Monte Carlo Sports Simulations

Every league. Every season. 100,000 stories.

What if you could replay a season 100,000 times? How often would your team win it all? Which underdog was secretly a genuine contender? And which champion was even better than you remember? At Retro Stat Sports, we run every season through a Monte Carlo engine built on team Elo ratings to understand just how likely - or unlikely - those results were. Our historic simulations reveal what could have been, while our live in-season projections forecast how this season could plausibly end. Explore alternate histories for the U.S. pro leagues, the European domestic football leagues, and major NCAA sports for every season we have data on.

USA Pro Leagues

American professional sports - historic seasons and live projections.

European Soccer

Top 15 of UEFA's most-watched competitions - browse all 54 active confederations below.

College Sports

NCAA football and basketball coming soon

Coming Soon
NCAAF
1915 – Present
Coming Soon
NCAAB
1950 – Present
Coming Soon
NCAAW
2001 – Present

How It Works

Step 1
Rate every team with Elo.
Each team's strength rating updates after every game played.
Step 2
Simulate the schedule 100,000 times.
Each game's outcome is random, weighted by team strength.
Step 3
Show the full range of outcomes.
Win totals, playoff odds, and championship probabilities.