2026 NFL Season

0 games played · 32 teams

Live

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

Seattle Seahawks

16.28% chance to win Super Bowl

Biggest Overachiever

New York Jets

0.00 wins above expected

0 wins · 0.00 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

New York Jets

0.00 wins below expected

0 wins · 0.00 expected wins

Current Standings

Each team's record through games played. SimW is the model's expected wins through the same games - the sum of pregame win probabilities over completed games. vsSim shows actual wins minus that expectation - positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.

#	Team	Pct	GB
1	New York Jets	.000	-
2	New England Patriots	.000	-
3	Miami Dolphins	.000	-
4	Buffalo Bills	.000	-

#	Team	Pct	GB
1	Cincinnati Bengals	.000	-
2	Cleveland Browns	.000	-
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	.000	-
4	Baltimore Ravens	.000	-

#	Team	Pct	GB
1	Indianapolis Colts	.000	-
2	Jacksonville Jaguars	.000	-
3	Tennessee Titans	.000	-
4	Houston Texans	.000	-

#	Team	Pct	GB
1	Las Vegas Raiders	.000	-
2	Los Angeles Chargers	.000	-
3	Kansas City Chiefs	.000	-
4	Denver Broncos	.000	-

#	Team	Pct	GB
1	Washington Commanders	.000	-
2	Philadelphia Eagles	.000	-
3	Dallas Cowboys	.000	-
4	New York Giants	.000	-

#	Team	Pct	GB
1	Minnesota Vikings	.000	-
2	Green Bay Packers	.000	-
3	Chicago Bears	.000	-
4	Detroit Lions	.000	-

#	Team	Pct	GB
1	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	.000	-
2	New Orleans Saints	.000	-
3	Carolina Panthers	.000	-
4	Atlanta Falcons	.000	-

#	Team	Pct	GB
1	Los Angeles Rams	.000	-
2	San Francisco 49ers	.000	-
3	Seattle Seahawks	.000	-
4	Arizona Cardinals	.000	-

Current Playoff Probabilities

Current playoff probabilities according to the model. Hover or tap a segment for the team and its exact odds.

Hover or tap on a team

AFC · 8 spots

NFC · 8 spots

Each bar is one group’s playoff spots, divided by how likely the model thinks each team is to claim one. Teams under 2% are pooled into a gray “Others.”

Changes in Playoff Odds

Which teams are surging into contention or slipping out of it over the last 14 days?

Biggest Improvements

#	Team	Δ	Now
1	Arizona Cardinals	+0.00%	7.60%
2	Atlanta Falcons	+0.00%	42.57%
3	Baltimore Ravens	+0.00%	60.72%
4	Buffalo Bills	+0.00%	73.49%
5	Carolina Panthers	+0.00%	20.20%

Biggest Losers

#	Team	Δ	Now
1	Arizona Cardinals	+0.00%	7.60%
2	Atlanta Falcons	+0.00%	42.57%
3	Baltimore Ravens	+0.00%	60.72%
4	Buffalo Bills	+0.00%	73.49%
5	Carolina Panthers	+0.00%	20.20%

Recent Elo Movers

Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?

Biggest Elo Gainers

#	Team	Δ Elo	Current Elo
1	Arizona Cardinals	+0.00	1424
2	Atlanta Falcons	+0.00	1478
3	Baltimore Ravens	+0.00	1526
4	Buffalo Bills	+0.00	1573
5	Carolina Panthers	+0.00	1444

Biggest Elo Losers

#	Team	Δ Elo	Current Elo
1	Arizona Cardinals	+0.00	1424
2	Atlanta Falcons	+0.00	1478
3	Baltimore Ravens	+0.00	1526
4	Buffalo Bills	+0.00	1573
5	Carolina Panthers	+0.00	1444

Season Summary

Every team's current record alongside their projected end-of-season totals. Click on any column header to sort. Exp. Wins Rem. is the average number of additional wins the model expects each team to add between now and the end of the regular season.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Record	Avg. Wins	Exp. Wins Rem.	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1648	0-0	11.73	11.73	4	9	10	12	13	15	17
Los Angeles Rams	NFC	NFC West	1593	0-0	10.41	10.41	3	7	9	10	12	13	17
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1585	0-0	10.68	10.68	3	7	9	11	12	14	17
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1583	0-0	10.30	10.30	2	7	9	10	12	13	16
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1573	0-0	10.12	10.12	3	7	9	10	11	13	16
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1572	0-0	10.19	10.19	3	7	9	10	11	13	16
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1568	0-0	10.17	10.17	2	7	9	10	12	13	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1540	0-0	9.22	9.22	2	6	8	9	11	12	16
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1532	0-0	9.54	9.54	1	6	8	10	11	13	17
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1531	0-0	9.27	9.27	2	6	8	9	11	12	15
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1529	0-0	9.17	9.17	2	6	8	9	11	12	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1526	0-0	9.46	9.46	2	6	8	9	11	13	16
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1525	0-0	8.67	8.67	1	5	7	9	10	12	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1518	0-0	8.63	8.63	1	5	7	9	10	12	15
Los Angeles Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1514	0-0	8.61	8.61	1	5	7	9	10	12	15
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1503	0-0	8.65	8.65	1	5	7	9	10	12	16
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1485	0-0	8.06	8.06	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1482	0-0	8.22	8.22	0	5	7	8	10	11	17
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1479	0-0	8.40	8.40	1	5	7	8	10	12	16
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1478	0-0	8.24	8.24	2	5	7	8	10	12	16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1476	0-0	8.08	8.08	1	5	7	8	9	11	16
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1461	0-0	7.43	7.43	1	4	6	7	9	11	14
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1459	0-0	7.29	7.29	1	4	6	7	9	11	15
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1459	0-0	8.03	8.03	0	5	7	8	9	11	15
Washington Commanders	NFC	NFC East	1455	0-0	7.27	7.27	0	4	6	7	9	11	14
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1454	0-0	7.24	7.24	1	4	6	7	9	10	14
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1444	0-0	6.99	6.99	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1442	0-0	7.68	7.68	1	4	6	8	9	11	15
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1424	0-0	6.34	6.34	0	3	5	6	8	10	14
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1402	0-0	6.36	6.36	0	3	5	6	8	10	14
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1388	0-0	5.98	5.98	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Las Vegas Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1375	0-0	5.58	5.58	0	3	4	5	7	9	14

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	—	—
Allowed	—	—
Differential	—	—

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

No HFA data available.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
New England Patriots	48.19%	36.68%	12.19%	2.94%
Buffalo Bills	43.92%	38.99%	13.45%	3.64%
Miami Dolphins	6.24%	17.07%	46.30%	30.39%
New York Jets	1.65%	7.26%	28.06%	63.03%

Team	1	2	3	4
Baltimore Ravens	40.99%	27.21%	19.58%	12.22%
Pittsburgh Steelers	25.78%	27.15%	25.72%	21.35%
Cincinnati Bengals	20.98%	25.86%	27.37%	25.79%
Cleveland Browns	12.25%	19.78%	27.33%	40.64%

Team	1	2	3	4
Houston Texans	49.98%	32.11%	14.18%	3.73%
Jacksonville Jaguars	37.96%	37.85%	18.33%	5.86%
Indianapolis Colts	10.20%	22.31%	44.27%	23.22%
Tennessee Titans	1.86%	7.73%	23.22%	67.19%

Team	1	2	3	4
Denver Broncos	58.30%	26.69%	12.30%	2.71%
Los Angeles Chargers	23.58%	36.23%	29.68%	10.51%
Kansas City Chiefs	16.34%	29.81%	37.33%	16.52%
Las Vegas Raiders	1.78%	7.27%	20.69%	70.26%

Team	1	2	3	4
Philadelphia Eagles	52.20%	25.54%	14.73%	7.53%
New York Giants	17.29%	25.65%	28.08%	28.98%
Dallas Cowboys	15.72%	24.41%	28.92%	30.95%
Washington Commanders	14.79%	24.40%	28.27%	32.54%

Team	1	2	3	4
Detroit Lions	33.31%	26.59%	22.64%	17.46%
Minnesota Vikings	27.68%	25.74%	24.10%	22.48%
Chicago Bears	19.73%	24.19%	26.34%	29.74%
Green Bay Packers	19.28%	23.48%	26.92%	30.32%

Team	1	2	3	4
Atlanta Falcons	31.03%	26.93%	23.60%	18.44%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	28.39%	26.60%	24.32%	20.69%
New Orleans Saints	27.15%	26.41%	24.68%	21.76%
Carolina Panthers	13.43%	20.06%	27.40%	39.11%

Team	1	2	3	4
Seattle Seahawks	59.76%	27.00%	11.60%	1.64%
Los Angeles Rams	27.10%	41.56%	25.82%	5.52%
San Francisco 49ers	12.27%	27.08%	46.06%	14.59%
Arizona Cardinals	0.87%	4.36%	16.52%	78.25%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Houston Texans	20.08%	15.32%	12.00%	10.32%	8.93%	7.36%	6.15%	5.22%	4.13%	3.16%	2.53%	2.07%	1.27%	0.78%	0.50%	0.18%
New England Patriots	15.05%	12.97%	12.57%	10.31%	9.33%	8.48%	7.42%	6.21%	4.92%	3.59%	3.05%	2.53%	1.55%	1.14%	0.54%	0.34%
Denver Broncos	12.80%	13.45%	13.14%	11.34%	9.26%	8.01%	7.02%	6.73%	4.74%	4.02%	3.23%	2.64%	1.59%	1.10%	0.64%	0.29%
Buffalo Bills	13.54%	12.03%	10.84%	10.58%	9.89%	8.90%	7.58%	6.19%	5.28%	4.25%	3.54%	2.56%	2.14%	1.40%	0.89%	0.39%
Jacksonville Jaguars	14.28%	11.71%	10.94%	9.81%	9.91%	8.53%	7.70%	6.39%	5.23%	4.46%	3.76%	2.52%	2.21%	1.32%	0.89%	0.34%
Baltimore Ravens	7.84%	9.27%	9.15%	9.42%	8.87%	8.07%	7.74%	7.33%	6.94%	6.02%	5.43%	4.50%	3.65%	2.85%	1.89%	1.03%
Pittsburgh Steelers	3.82%	5.45%	6.02%	6.71%	7.40%	7.85%	8.07%	8.07%	7.70%	7.31%	7.39%	6.80%	6.27%	4.85%	4.20%	2.09%
Los Angeles Chargers	3.41%	4.82%	5.87%	6.68%	7.08%	8.00%	8.42%	9.16%	8.47%	7.53%	7.72%	7.04%	5.73%	4.67%	2.97%	2.43%
Cincinnati Bengals	2.73%	4.00%	5.43%	6.27%	6.58%	7.08%	7.56%	7.91%	7.74%	8.28%	7.42%	7.24%	7.26%	6.42%	5.03%	3.05%
Indianapolis Colts	2.27%	3.44%	3.82%	4.66%	5.87%	6.72%	6.98%	7.57%	9.09%	9.77%	9.18%	8.07%	7.11%	6.76%	5.36%	3.33%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.96%	2.94%	4.02%	4.77%	5.78%	6.80%	7.32%	8.04%	8.19%	8.92%	8.83%	8.68%	7.66%	6.40%	5.70%	3.99%
Cleveland Browns	1.00%	2.33%	2.86%	3.92%	4.17%	5.45%	6.52%	6.71%	7.71%	7.87%	8.60%	9.51%	9.72%	9.75%	8.20%	5.68%
Miami Dolphins	0.77%	1.41%	1.85%	2.71%	3.24%	4.01%	4.80%	5.91%	7.42%	9.13%	10.06%	10.58%	10.36%	10.02%	9.68%	8.05%
Tennessee Titans	0.18%	0.51%	0.76%	1.23%	1.69%	2.14%	2.73%	3.45%	5.12%	6.09%	7.44%	9.11%	11.69%	13.99%	16.16%	17.71%
New York Jets	0.14%	0.18%	0.48%	0.81%	1.10%	1.48%	2.26%	2.70%	4.21%	5.49%	6.29%	8.84%	11.51%	14.21%	18.28%	22.02%
Las Vegas Raiders	0.13%	0.17%	0.25%	0.46%	0.90%	1.12%	1.73%	2.41%	3.11%	4.11%	5.53%	7.31%	10.28%	14.34%	19.07%	29.08%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Seattle Seahawks	40.43%	17.36%	11.37%	8.78%	6.03%	4.37%	3.48%	2.80%	1.64%	1.43%	0.83%	0.57%	0.42%	0.27%	0.17%	0.05%
Los Angeles Rams	16.13%	13.41%	12.33%	10.87%	9.49%	7.72%	6.88%	5.55%	4.63%	3.72%	3.35%	2.29%	1.56%	1.04%	0.76%	0.27%
Detroit Lions	7.86%	10.91%	9.88%	8.94%	8.61%	7.67%	7.40%	6.79%	6.23%	5.42%	5.04%	4.43%	3.87%	3.38%	2.24%	1.33%
Philadelphia Eagles	5.97%	9.97%	10.28%	9.52%	8.95%	8.72%	7.42%	7.49%	5.96%	5.47%	4.63%	4.74%	3.54%	2.99%	2.52%	1.83%
Minnesota Vikings	5.94%	8.95%	8.76%	8.17%	7.59%	8.21%	6.65%	6.65%	6.74%	7.03%	5.70%	4.96%	5.45%	4.19%	3.03%	1.98%
San Francisco 49ers	6.44%	6.62%	7.50%	8.00%	8.56%	8.37%	7.91%	7.82%	7.62%	7.40%	6.38%	5.11%	4.31%	3.43%	2.83%	1.70%
Chicago Bears	3.94%	6.86%	6.09%	6.39%	6.93%	7.39%	7.44%	7.07%	6.92%	7.43%	6.57%	6.87%	6.71%	5.90%	4.14%	3.35%
Green Bay Packers	3.53%	6.33%	6.19%	6.51%	7.01%	7.49%	7.29%	7.11%	7.34%	7.43%	6.40%	6.22%	7.16%	5.87%	4.85%	3.27%
Atlanta Falcons	2.35%	4.47%	5.98%	6.34%	6.69%	6.89%	7.62%	7.20%	7.06%	6.96%	7.55%	7.06%	6.67%	6.06%	6.17%	4.93%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1.83%	3.92%	5.28%	6.02%	6.04%	6.72%	7.12%	7.16%	7.17%	7.39%	7.52%	7.45%	7.18%	7.20%	6.62%	5.38%
New Orleans Saints	1.80%	3.57%	4.78%	5.59%	6.36%	6.72%	7.01%	7.40%	7.68%	7.00%	7.59%	7.31%	6.87%	6.71%	7.16%	6.45%
New York Giants	1.22%	2.12%	2.98%	3.94%	4.58%	5.02%	5.44%	6.29%	6.95%	7.00%	8.41%	8.90%	8.32%	8.91%	9.72%	10.20%
Dallas Cowboys	0.86%	1.93%	2.95%	3.42%	4.26%	4.66%	5.48%	5.98%	6.55%	6.96%	8.18%	8.72%	8.89%	10.03%	9.84%	11.29%
Washington Commanders	0.85%	1.69%	2.78%	3.47%	4.28%	4.49%	5.30%	6.10%	6.62%	7.02%	7.63%	8.79%	9.19%	10.11%	10.34%	11.34%
Carolina Panthers	0.56%	1.42%	2.03%	2.94%	3.19%	3.72%	4.84%	5.74%	6.15%	7.31%	7.54%	8.47%	9.09%	10.04%	12.84%	14.12%
Arizona Cardinals	0.29%	0.47%	0.82%	1.10%	1.43%	1.84%	2.72%	2.85%	4.74%	5.03%	6.68%	8.11%	10.77%	13.87%	16.77%	22.51%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
Seattle Seahawks	24.39%	15.19%	9.97%	8.14%	6.35%	5.79%	4.22%	3.83%	3.43%	3.06%	2.43%	1.87%	1.83%	1.59%	1.60%	1.25%	0.91%	0.72%	0.83%	0.55%	0.42%	0.31%	0.29%	0.21%	0.27%	0.18%	0.12%	0.11%	0.05%	0.06%	0.03%	-
Houston Texans	10.56%	9.78%	8.32%	7.44%	6.55%	5.90%	5.87%	4.57%	4.52%	4.01%	3.91%	3.44%	3.12%	2.76%	2.59%	2.41%	1.95%	1.88%	1.61%	1.59%	1.32%	1.14%	1.03%	0.91%	0.66%	0.60%	0.47%	0.34%	0.31%	0.22%	0.14%	0.08%
Los Angeles Rams	8.38%	7.55%	7.32%	6.93%	6.26%	5.91%	5.41%	5.16%	4.69%	4.79%	3.99%	3.50%	3.66%	3.37%	3.17%	2.77%	2.33%	2.07%	2.00%	1.81%	1.75%	1.40%	1.30%	1.13%	0.66%	0.85%	0.54%	0.56%	0.33%	0.22%	0.12%	0.07%
New England Patriots	8.07%	7.50%	7.04%	6.13%	6.80%	6.08%	5.40%	4.83%	4.85%	4.26%	4.21%	4.15%	3.72%	3.25%	2.82%	3.03%	2.39%	2.41%	2.12%	1.88%	1.55%	1.54%	1.22%	1.11%	0.89%	0.69%	0.60%	0.54%	0.32%	0.24%	0.18%	0.18%
Denver Broncos	6.79%	6.64%	7.24%	6.22%	6.73%	6.29%	5.62%	5.38%	4.54%	4.48%	4.58%	3.83%	3.43%	3.36%	3.20%	3.31%	2.57%	2.18%	2.07%	1.84%	1.62%	1.51%	1.37%	1.39%	0.90%	0.69%	0.59%	0.58%	0.42%	0.36%	0.15%	0.12%
Jacksonville Jaguars	6.86%	7.35%	6.78%	5.79%	5.90%	5.45%	5.11%	5.12%	5.25%	4.60%	4.24%	3.99%	3.52%	3.40%	3.13%	3.22%	2.58%	2.01%	2.08%	2.37%	2.13%	1.69%	1.42%	1.15%	1.24%	0.94%	0.73%	0.66%	0.51%	0.41%	0.25%	0.12%
Buffalo Bills	6.92%	6.87%	6.28%	5.85%	6.02%	5.18%	6.17%	4.52%	5.25%	4.45%	4.84%	3.97%	3.55%	3.69%	3.25%	2.81%	2.49%	2.50%	2.21%	2.18%	1.73%	1.75%	1.11%	1.40%	1.25%	1.01%	0.79%	0.67%	0.45%	0.39%	0.26%	0.19%
Detroit Lions	3.87%	4.42%	4.98%	5.29%	4.66%	4.66%	4.45%	4.79%	4.15%	4.41%	4.17%	4.03%	4.06%	3.38%	3.70%	3.47%	3.15%	3.10%	2.84%	2.92%	2.53%	2.39%	2.21%	1.99%	2.27%	1.90%	1.64%	1.55%	1.12%	0.86%	0.66%	0.38%
Baltimore Ravens	3.49%	4.46%	4.49%	5.05%	4.74%	4.71%	4.71%	4.45%	4.41%	4.29%	4.37%	3.91%	4.01%	3.38%	3.86%	3.56%	3.67%	3.09%	2.97%	3.08%	2.81%	2.57%	2.11%	2.13%	1.95%	1.70%	1.43%	1.43%	1.21%	0.84%	0.63%	0.49%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.42%	3.60%	4.32%	4.74%	4.56%	5.57%	4.46%	4.92%	4.18%	4.72%	3.47%	4.82%	3.92%	4.22%	3.63%	3.66%	3.22%	3.32%	2.72%	3.11%	2.69%	2.11%	2.80%	2.07%	1.82%	1.81%	1.86%	1.40%	1.44%	1.02%	0.88%	0.52%
Minnesota Vikings	2.70%	3.32%	4.22%	4.17%	4.17%	4.13%	4.08%	4.50%	4.01%	4.13%	3.72%	3.86%	3.66%	3.66%	3.89%	3.53%	3.36%	3.11%	3.66%	3.29%	3.27%	2.73%	2.59%	2.69%	2.79%	2.26%	2.30%	1.81%	1.38%	1.37%	0.96%	0.68%
San Francisco 49ers	2.81%	3.47%	3.18%	3.67%	3.70%	4.16%	4.15%	3.96%	3.73%	4.73%	4.39%	4.24%	3.90%	3.90%	4.19%	4.02%	3.55%	3.63%	3.98%	3.38%	3.29%	2.72%	2.80%	2.68%	2.48%	1.83%	1.70%	1.56%	1.71%	1.13%	0.83%	0.53%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.61%	2.06%	2.88%	2.95%	3.15%	2.93%	3.45%	3.09%	4.06%	3.53%	4.08%	3.96%	4.25%	3.84%	3.69%	3.99%	3.78%	3.81%	3.62%	3.71%	3.62%	3.65%	3.07%	3.51%	2.91%	3.15%	2.48%	2.44%	2.09%	2.17%	1.40%	1.07%
Los Angeles Chargers	1.42%	1.98%	2.30%	2.55%	3.16%	3.11%	3.30%	3.23%	3.82%	3.44%	3.93%	3.66%	4.18%	4.45%	4.19%	4.53%	3.93%	4.17%	3.92%	3.48%	3.93%	3.50%	3.45%	3.28%	2.83%	3.30%	2.45%	2.40%	1.92%	1.58%	1.40%	1.21%
Chicago Bears	1.69%	2.08%	3.00%	3.43%	2.76%	3.11%	3.34%	3.39%	3.85%	2.94%	3.88%	3.95%	3.84%	3.69%	4.24%	3.55%	3.41%	3.35%	3.74%	3.77%	3.58%	3.59%	3.22%	3.34%	3.74%	3.21%	2.98%	2.38%	2.25%	1.95%	1.72%	1.03%
Green Bay Packers	1.35%	2.30%	2.62%	3.11%	3.01%	2.99%	3.16%	3.45%	3.78%	3.62%	3.33%	4.01%	3.77%	3.71%	3.90%	3.67%	3.77%	3.73%	3.75%	3.90%	3.45%	3.16%	3.34%	3.12%	3.56%	3.54%	2.98%	2.49%	2.47%	2.06%	1.85%	1.05%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.09%	1.55%	1.99%	2.22%	2.58%	2.93%	3.02%	3.27%	3.45%	3.40%	3.39%	3.40%	3.85%	3.91%	3.97%	3.68%	3.91%	3.95%	3.94%	3.93%	3.72%	3.73%	3.59%	3.67%	3.31%	3.38%	3.41%	3.21%	2.60%	2.29%	2.26%	1.40%
Atlanta Falcons	0.81%	1.40%	1.83%	2.15%	2.90%	2.65%	3.10%	3.27%	3.25%	3.44%	3.05%	3.65%	4.07%	3.87%	3.79%	3.33%	3.67%	3.67%	3.99%	3.61%	3.69%	3.97%	3.77%	3.57%	3.60%	2.95%	3.59%	3.26%	3.10%	2.82%	2.66%	1.52%
Indianapolis Colts	0.75%	1.42%	1.77%	1.92%	1.94%	2.29%	2.73%	2.28%	2.74%	3.08%	3.28%	3.23%	3.57%	3.63%	3.87%	4.10%	4.68%	4.04%	4.15%	4.61%	4.07%	4.70%	4.09%	3.89%	3.57%	3.13%	3.27%	3.65%	3.03%	2.82%	1.84%	1.86%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.65%	1.22%	1.51%	2.04%	2.01%	2.72%	2.60%	3.33%	2.76%	3.06%	3.27%	3.66%	3.72%	3.52%	3.42%	3.43%	3.82%	3.96%	3.79%	3.73%	3.95%	3.75%	3.99%	4.06%	3.67%	3.79%	3.98%	3.49%	3.21%	3.27%	2.57%	2.05%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.71%	1.35%	1.35%	1.60%	2.25%	1.95%	2.47%	2.47%	3.04%	3.14%	3.16%	3.29%	3.42%	3.69%	3.39%	3.90%	4.30%	4.39%	4.02%	4.27%	3.73%	4.58%	3.99%	4.33%	3.77%	4.21%	3.39%	3.31%	2.90%	3.03%	2.51%	2.09%
New Orleans Saints	0.74%	1.05%	1.47%	1.69%	1.98%	2.62%	2.41%	2.86%	2.83%	3.38%	3.57%	3.25%	3.64%	3.75%	3.66%	3.47%	3.83%	4.08%	3.70%	3.73%	4.13%	3.55%	4.01%	3.77%	3.60%	3.54%	3.65%	3.73%	3.62%	3.36%	3.11%	2.22%
Cleveland Browns	0.29%	0.69%	0.98%	1.42%	1.43%	1.39%	1.73%	2.11%	2.18%	2.50%	2.87%	3.01%	2.78%	3.14%	3.44%	3.35%	3.73%	3.88%	3.93%	3.97%	3.97%	4.56%	4.48%	4.56%	4.68%	4.88%	4.42%	4.76%	4.01%	4.12%	3.58%	3.16%
New York Giants	0.44%	0.57%	0.94%	1.16%	1.33%	1.37%	1.66%	2.28%	1.94%	2.31%	2.46%	2.65%	2.74%	2.92%	2.73%	3.30%	3.50%	3.77%	3.58%	3.61%	4.33%	4.24%	4.65%	4.56%	4.26%	4.70%	4.42%	4.69%	5.18%	4.62%	5.26%	3.83%
Dallas Cowboys	0.30%	0.48%	0.79%	1.04%	0.96%	1.55%	1.53%	1.90%	1.96%	2.18%	2.23%	2.47%	2.63%	2.66%	2.69%	2.96%	3.39%	3.75%	3.79%	3.41%	4.08%	4.29%	4.46%	4.72%	4.52%	4.85%	5.23%	5.19%	5.03%	4.88%	5.44%	4.64%
Washington Commanders	0.28%	0.40%	0.72%	0.91%	1.20%	1.36%	1.50%	1.80%	1.86%	2.12%	1.96%	2.80%	2.59%	2.92%	2.68%	3.14%	3.37%	3.66%	3.32%	3.62%	3.84%	4.22%	4.60%	4.36%	4.83%	4.61%	5.40%	5.13%	6.01%	5.01%	5.28%	4.50%
Miami Dolphins	0.23%	0.53%	0.67%	0.83%	0.95%	1.03%	1.27%	1.50%	1.50%	1.86%	2.30%	1.90%	2.10%	2.64%	2.80%	3.04%	3.50%	3.69%	4.11%	4.36%	4.61%	5.06%	4.71%	5.01%	4.83%	5.38%	4.89%	5.20%	4.95%	5.35%	4.66%	4.54%
Carolina Panthers	0.22%	0.33%	0.56%	0.67%	0.82%	0.91%	1.41%	1.43%	1.68%	1.47%	1.87%	1.94%	2.27%	2.46%	2.49%	2.92%	3.33%	3.48%	3.62%	3.34%	4.04%	3.74%	4.76%	4.63%	4.70%	4.74%	5.02%	5.67%	6.32%	6.58%	6.81%	5.77%
Tennessee Titans	0.02%	0.15%	0.17%	0.33%	0.35%	0.46%	0.60%	0.80%	0.81%	0.82%	0.95%	1.15%	1.27%	1.50%	1.84%	2.08%	2.61%	2.33%	2.88%	3.13%	3.66%	3.74%	4.14%	4.34%	5.48%	5.55%	6.21%	6.83%	7.39%	8.63%	8.51%	11.27%
Arizona Cardinals	0.08%	0.14%	0.15%	0.32%	0.43%	0.33%	0.54%	0.64%	0.62%	0.79%	0.92%	1.00%	1.10%	1.61%	1.77%	1.75%	2.01%	2.64%	2.62%	2.72%	3.41%	3.65%	4.26%	4.46%	5.33%	5.55%	7.11%	6.51%	8.41%	8.60%	10.01%	10.52%
New York Jets	0.02%	0.08%	0.11%	0.13%	0.24%	0.30%	0.33%	0.57%	0.47%	0.60%	0.67%	0.71%	1.15%	1.24%	1.27%	1.47%	1.92%	2.00%	2.58%	2.81%	2.83%	3.57%	3.69%	4.30%	5.22%	5.70%	6.44%	7.20%	8.13%	9.65%	10.71%	13.89%
Las Vegas Raiders	0.04%	0.07%	0.05%	0.11%	0.11%	0.17%	0.20%	0.30%	0.39%	0.39%	0.51%	0.70%	0.68%	0.89%	1.14%	1.30%	1.37%	1.63%	1.86%	2.29%	2.25%	2.89%	3.48%	3.66%	4.41%	5.38%	5.91%	7.25%	8.13%	10.09%	13.33%	19.02%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

No data available.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Houston Texans	20.08%	14.35%	9.50%	6.05%	14.23%	8.93%	6.81%	20.05%
New England Patriots	15.05%	13.02%	11.20%	8.92%	11.43%	9.30%	7.16%	23.92%
Jacksonville Jaguars	14.28%	10.51%	8.09%	5.08%	15.18%	10.86%	8.51%	27.49%
Buffalo Bills	13.54%	11.57%	9.96%	8.85%	11.74%	9.81%	8.02%	26.51%
Denver Broncos	12.80%	14.55%	15.64%	15.31%	5.65%	5.97%	6.07%	24.01%
Baltimore Ravens	7.84%	9.73%	11.42%	12.00%	5.76%	6.89%	7.08%	39.28%
Pittsburgh Steelers	3.82%	5.89%	7.10%	8.97%	4.99%	6.82%	7.77%	54.64%
Los Angeles Chargers	3.41%	4.98%	6.70%	8.49%	5.85%	7.06%	8.16%	55.35%
Cincinnati Bengals	2.73%	4.26%	6.54%	7.45%	5.02%	6.30%	7.50%	60.20%
Indianapolis Colts	2.27%	3.21%	2.69%	2.03%	6.93%	8.11%	7.81%	66.95%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.96%	3.18%	4.53%	6.67%	4.11%	6.20%	7.20%	66.15%
Cleveland Browns	1.00%	2.47%	3.48%	5.30%	3.00%	4.72%	6.26%	73.77%
Miami Dolphins	0.77%	1.40%	1.66%	2.41%	2.95%	4.13%	5.06%	81.62%
Tennessee Titans	0.18%	0.44%	0.63%	0.61%	1.85%	2.30%	2.84%	91.15%
New York Jets	0.14%	0.22%	0.52%	0.77%	0.86%	1.59%	2.19%	93.71%
Las Vegas Raiders	0.13%	0.22%	0.34%	1.09%	0.45%	1.01%	1.56%	95.20%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Seattle Seahawks	40.43%	13.28%	4.69%	1.36%	18.31%	8.21%	4.61%	9.11%
Los Angeles Rams	16.13%	7.31%	2.89%	0.77%	25.75%	12.95%	9.12%	25.08%
Detroit Lions	7.86%	12.87%	8.28%	4.30%	7.73%	9.51%	8.99%	40.46%
San Francisco 49ers	6.44%	3.79%	1.49%	0.55%	15.37%	13.06%	10.14%	49.16%
Philadelphia Eagles	5.97%	11.52%	17.17%	17.54%	2.08%	3.91%	5.18%	36.63%
Minnesota Vikings	5.94%	10.81%	7.49%	3.44%	7.16%	9.50%	8.41%	47.25%
Chicago Bears	3.94%	8.09%	5.03%	2.67%	5.92%	8.78%	8.81%	56.76%
Green Bay Packers	3.53%	7.73%	5.35%	2.67%	5.59%	8.89%	8.62%	57.62%
Atlanta Falcons	2.35%	5.58%	9.50%	13.60%	1.82%	3.97%	5.75%	57.43%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1.83%	4.90%	9.17%	12.49%	1.70%	3.70%	5.36%	60.85%
New Orleans Saints	1.80%	4.55%	8.22%	12.58%	1.65%	3.91%	5.19%	62.10%
New York Giants	1.22%	2.73%	5.66%	7.68%	1.43%	3.19%	4.54%	73.55%
Dallas Cowboys	0.86%	2.37%	5.41%	7.08%	1.35%	3.01%	4.50%	75.42%
Washington Commanders	0.85%	2.17%	5.22%	6.55%	1.50%	2.93%	4.40%	76.38%
Carolina Panthers	0.56%	1.97%	4.24%	6.66%	0.99%	2.19%	3.59%	79.80%
Arizona Cardinals	0.29%	0.33%	0.19%	0.06%	1.65%	2.29%	2.79%	92.40%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season metrics unavailable for this season.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Seattle Seahawks	74.92%	74.92%	47.20%	29.18%	16.28%
Houston Texans	59.87%	54.62%	29.78%	16.40%	8.84%
Los Angeles Rams	58.79%	51.18%	27.86%	15.11%	8.08%
New England Patriots	61.03%	50.64%	27.32%	14.84%	7.55%
Denver Broncos	63.19%	49.22%	26.60%	13.55%	6.87%
Buffalo Bills	59.95%	47.26%	25.63%	13.47%	6.78%
Jacksonville Jaguars	58.23%	46.63%	24.33%	12.45%	6.12%
Philadelphia Eagles	57.40%	35.30%	17.39%	8.06%	3.82%
Baltimore Ravens	52.88%	34.76%	16.41%	7.65%	3.62%
Detroit Lions	51.68%	34.61%	17.11%	7.94%	3.62%
Minnesota Vikings	46.81%	29.95%	14.37%	6.57%	3.19%
San Francisco 49ers	44.40%	29.55%	13.80%	6.69%	3.14%
Chicago Bears	39.30%	24.06%	12.18%	5.52%	2.58%
Green Bay Packers	38.85%	22.65%	10.44%	4.88%	2.37%
Los Angeles Chargers	41.24%	22.54%	10.27%	4.86%	2.29%
Pittsburgh Steelers	41.54%	22.77%	10.11%	4.59%	2.01%
Atlanta Falcons	40.22%	19.88%	8.19%	3.60%	1.66%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	37.32%	18.26%	7.42%	3.01%	1.43%
Cincinnati Bengals	37.07%	18.24%	7.50%	3.14%	1.33%
New Orleans Saints	36.10%	16.81%	6.99%	2.74%	1.29%
Indianapolis Colts	30.78%	14.79%	6.44%	2.66%	1.25%
Kansas City Chiefs	31.89%	15.29%	6.68%	2.80%	1.14%
New York Giants	25.23%	11.89%	4.97%	2.01%	0.95%
Dallas Cowboys	23.72%	10.41%	4.50%	1.74%	0.77%
Washington Commanders	22.77%	9.95%	3.80%	1.46%	0.73%
Cleveland Browns	25.23%	9.90%	4.00%	1.62%	0.70%
Miami Dolphins	17.61%	7.34%	3.09%	1.31%	0.68%
Carolina Panthers	19.64%	7.72%	2.87%	1.17%	0.51%
Tennessee Titans	8.67%	2.84%	1.00%	0.36%	0.15%
Arizona Cardinals	7.31%	2.86%	0.91%	0.32%	0.14%
New York Jets	6.15%	1.79%	0.47%	0.20%	0.08%
Las Vegas Raiders	4.67%	1.37%	0.37%	0.10%	0.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		43.3%5.66%	58.5%4.02%	59.3%2.46%	43.9%4.94%	44.5%6.07%	59.3%3.51%	44.9%5.92%	62.8%2.82%	67.5%0.40%	53.5%3.98%	63.7%1.57%	43.2%5.32%	65.8%0.76%	54.7%4.57%	65.9%0.88%
Buffalo Bills	56.7%5.66%		63.8%3.98%	68.0%2.91%	48.3%7.33%	48.1%5.94%	62.2%3.15%	51.2%5.84%	59.2%3.65%	76.2%0.63%	56.8%4.51%	71.5%1.93%	47.4%8.38%	83.1%0.83%	62.3%4.32%	79.8%0.89%
Cincinnati Bengals	41.5%4.02%	36.2%3.98%		58.1%1.36%	37.3%4.13%	36.9%4.28%	57.6%1.91%	37.4%4.30%	53.3%2.10%	66.7%0.36%	39.7%2.34%	55.7%0.88%	31.9%3.92%	58.6%0.29%	48.3%2.69%	54.9%0.51%
Cleveland Browns	40.7%2.46%	32.0%2.91%	41.9%1.36%		31.0%2.68%	31.0%3.36%	43.9%1.32%	29.6%2.77%	40.0%1.25%	62.5%0.16%	37.3%1.58%	48.6%0.70%	27.9%2.94%	77.8%0.09%	38.3%1.41%	70.8%0.24%
Denver Broncos	56.1%4.94%	51.7%7.33%	62.7%4.13%	69.0%2.68%		49.9%6.39%	61.1%4.22%	51.8%6.58%	60.6%4.37%	83.3%0.60%	60.1%5.72%	67.1%2.31%	51.4%7.18%	80.9%0.89%	60.7%4.53%	71.2%1.32%
Houston Texans	55.5%6.07%	51.9%5.94%	63.1%4.28%	69.0%3.36%	50.1%6.39%		66.4%3.30%	50.4%7.83%	65.4%3.53%	83.0%0.47%	59.8%4.65%	57.9%1.95%	52.1%5.68%	76.1%0.67%	60.7%4.81%	77.7%0.94%
Indianapolis Colts	40.7%3.51%	37.8%3.15%	42.4%1.91%	56.1%1.32%	38.9%4.22%	33.6%3.30%		37.8%2.75%	40.3%1.49%	11.1%0.09%	45.2%2.17%	53.2%0.77%	38.2%3.27%	70.8%0.24%	43.7%2.38%	47.6%0.21%
Jacksonville Jaguars	55.1%5.92%	48.8%5.84%	62.6%4.30%	70.4%2.77%	48.2%6.58%	49.6%7.83%	62.2%2.75%		63.8%3.12%	74.1%0.58%	60.1%4.19%	66.9%1.81%	44.8%6.47%	74.1%0.54%	59.8%4.75%	70.5%0.78%
Kansas City Chiefs	37.2%2.82%	40.8%3.65%	46.7%2.10%	60.0%1.25%	39.4%4.37%	34.6%3.53%	59.7%1.49%	36.2%3.12%		73.3%0.15%	43.2%1.85%	53.4%0.88%	33.7%3.83%	63.6%0.22%	47.2%2.18%	57.8%0.45%
Las Vegas Raiders	32.5%0.40%	23.8%0.63%	33.3%0.36%	37.5%0.16%	16.7%0.60%	17.0%0.47%	88.9%0.09%	25.9%0.58%	26.7%0.15%		38.1%0.21%	55.6%0.09%	16.9%0.59%	0.0%0.01%	31.2%0.32%	0.0%0.01%
Los Angeles Chargers	46.5%3.98%	43.2%4.51%	60.3%2.34%	62.7%1.58%	39.9%5.72%	40.2%4.65%	54.8%2.17%	39.9%4.19%	56.8%1.85%	61.9%0.21%		60.7%1.12%	39.0%5.20%	61.0%0.41%	50.9%2.83%	70.8%0.48%
Miami Dolphins	36.3%1.57%	28.5%1.93%	44.3%0.88%	51.4%0.70%	32.9%2.31%	42.1%1.95%	46.8%0.77%	33.1%1.81%	46.6%0.88%	44.4%0.09%	39.3%1.12%		32.8%2.04%	16.7%0.06%	38.2%1.31%	47.4%0.19%
New England Patriots	56.8%5.32%	52.6%8.38%	68.1%3.92%	72.1%2.94%	48.6%7.18%	47.9%5.68%	61.8%3.27%	55.2%6.47%	66.3%3.83%	83.1%0.59%	61.0%5.20%	67.2%2.04%		78.6%0.70%	59.0%4.41%	77.3%1.10%
New York Jets	34.2%0.76%	16.9%0.83%	41.4%0.29%	22.2%0.09%	19.1%0.89%	23.9%0.67%	29.2%0.24%	25.9%0.54%	36.4%0.22%	100.0%0.01%	39.0%0.41%	83.3%0.06%	21.4%0.70%		27.5%0.40%	25.0%0.04%
Pittsburgh Steelers	45.3%4.57%	37.7%4.32%	51.7%2.69%	61.7%1.41%	39.3%4.53%	39.3%4.81%	56.3%2.38%	40.2%4.75%	52.8%2.18%	68.8%0.32%	49.1%2.83%	61.8%1.31%	41.0%4.41%	72.5%0.40%		63.5%0.63%
Tennessee Titans	34.1%0.88%	20.2%0.89%	45.1%0.51%	29.2%0.24%	28.8%1.32%	22.3%0.94%	52.4%0.21%	29.5%0.78%	42.2%0.45%	100.0%0.01%	29.2%0.48%	52.6%0.19%	22.7%1.10%	75.0%0.04%	36.5%0.63%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Commanders
Arizona Cardinals		53.3%0.60%	45.2%0.31%	27.5%0.51%	34.4%0.32%	38.5%0.65%	26.2%0.42%	19.5%0.41%	26.1%0.69%	52.0%0.50%	42.4%0.33%	32.9%0.82%	47.1%0.17%	21.3%0.61%	38.5%0.65%	34.4%0.32%
Atlanta Falcons	46.7%0.60%		50.4%1.17%	44.0%3.02%	54.0%1.00%	47.9%3.82%	45.7%2.91%	38.3%6.03%	40.9%3.79%	52.7%2.24%	54.8%1.24%	38.4%2.45%	44.5%3.73%	30.8%4.68%	53.7%2.31%	51.2%1.23%
Carolina Panthers	54.8%0.31%	49.6%1.17%		38.3%1.33%	54.7%0.64%	35.6%1.88%	37.3%1.34%	28.7%2.54%	42.4%1.84%	39.1%0.87%	34.5%0.58%	35.5%1.24%	35.1%2.08%	22.9%2.23%	39.8%0.98%	42.6%0.61%
Chicago Bears	72.5%0.51%	56.0%3.02%	61.7%1.33%		59.9%1.72%	48.0%4.35%	50.0%2.62%	40.8%3.09%	52.5%3.77%	54.6%2.51%	58.8%1.94%	48.1%4.57%	52.2%2.24%	34.2%3.13%	55.0%2.82%	63.7%1.68%
Dallas Cowboys	65.6%0.32%	46.0%1.00%	45.3%0.64%	40.1%1.72%		46.2%2.34%	45.0%1.71%	33.8%3.20%	41.7%2.06%	45.9%1.09%	44.2%0.77%	38.6%2.51%	37.4%2.19%	29.8%2.52%	36.8%1.06%	57.6%0.59%
Detroit Lions	61.5%0.65%	52.1%3.82%	64.4%1.88%	52.0%4.35%	53.8%2.34%		51.5%4.33%	40.1%4.29%	51.1%5.42%	54.6%3.35%	61.4%2.28%	54.6%5.64%	55.2%3.73%	33.9%3.75%	56.3%3.78%	55.1%2.07%
Green Bay Packers	73.8%0.42%	54.3%2.91%	62.7%1.34%	50.0%2.62%	55.0%1.71%	48.5%4.33%		38.7%3.00%	47.5%3.81%	52.7%2.73%	53.0%1.81%	47.3%4.55%	46.8%2.33%	30.2%2.85%	55.9%2.90%	61.7%1.54%
Los Angeles Rams	80.5%0.41%	61.7%6.03%	71.3%2.54%	59.2%3.09%	66.2%3.20%	59.9%4.29%	61.3%3.00%		60.2%3.84%	66.5%4.66%	62.4%3.67%	53.5%8.58%	53.5%2.56%	41.3%4.55%	60.7%5.12%	67.1%3.25%
Minnesota Vikings	73.9%0.69%	59.1%3.79%	57.6%1.84%	47.5%3.77%	58.3%2.06%	48.9%5.42%	52.5%3.81%	39.8%3.84%		56.2%3.47%	58.6%1.98%	49.6%4.92%	52.2%2.99%	32.3%2.97%	54.7%3.49%	59.3%1.77%
New Orleans Saints	48.0%0.50%	47.3%2.24%	60.9%0.87%	45.4%2.51%	54.1%1.09%	45.4%3.35%	47.3%2.73%	33.5%4.66%	43.8%3.47%		54.2%1.07%	34.6%2.40%	41.0%4.02%	28.3%4.03%	41.9%2.15%	45.5%1.01%
New York Giants	57.6%0.33%	45.2%1.24%	65.5%0.58%	41.2%1.94%	55.8%0.77%	38.6%2.28%	47.0%1.81%	37.6%3.67%	41.4%1.98%	45.8%1.07%		42.2%2.44%	43.4%2.51%	32.7%2.78%	45.5%1.21%	50.0%0.62%
Philadelphia Eagles	67.1%0.82%	61.6%2.45%	64.5%1.24%	51.9%4.57%	61.4%2.51%	45.4%5.64%	52.7%4.55%	46.5%8.58%	50.4%4.92%	65.4%2.40%	57.8%2.44%		49.9%6.57%	34.4%6.16%	61.8%2.07%	59.3%2.48%
San Francisco 49ers	52.9%0.17%	55.5%3.73%	64.9%2.08%	47.8%2.24%	62.6%2.19%	44.8%3.73%	53.2%2.33%	46.5%2.56%	47.8%2.99%	59.0%4.02%	56.6%2.51%	50.1%6.57%		32.8%3.38%	56.8%3.80%	61.0%2.10%
Seattle Seahawks	78.7%0.61%	69.2%4.68%	77.1%2.23%	65.8%3.13%	70.2%2.52%	66.1%3.75%	69.8%2.85%	58.7%4.55%	67.7%2.97%	71.7%4.03%	67.3%2.78%	65.6%6.16%	67.2%3.38%		71.1%4.15%	76.8%2.67%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	61.5%0.65%	46.3%2.31%	60.2%0.98%	45.0%2.82%	63.2%1.06%	43.7%3.78%	44.1%2.90%	39.3%5.12%	45.3%3.49%	58.1%2.15%	54.5%1.21%	38.2%2.07%	43.2%3.80%	28.9%4.15%		44.6%0.83%
Washington Commanders	65.6%0.32%	48.8%1.23%	57.4%0.61%	36.3%1.68%	42.4%0.59%	44.9%2.07%	38.3%1.54%	32.9%3.25%	40.7%1.77%	54.5%1.01%	50.0%0.62%	40.7%2.48%	39.0%2.10%	23.2%2.67%	55.4%0.83%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		44.1%4.83%	57.1%1.26%	60.3%0.63%	47.7%5.12%	43.1%5.45%	51.1%1.31%	44.7%4.38%	52.4%1.64%	69.2%0.13%	51.8%2.18%	55.7%0.79%	40.9%4.99%	81.2%0.16%	53.5%1.59%	73.3%0.30%
Buffalo Bills	55.9%4.83%		67.2%2.56%	57.9%1.33%	52.6%6.65%	47.0%7.15%	59.9%2.07%	51.4%6.21%	58.7%1.96%	47.4%0.19%	55.3%3.02%	60.0%0.65%	52.5%6.95%	82.4%0.17%	58.4%3.10%	59.5%0.42%
Cincinnati Bengals	42.9%1.26%	32.8%2.56%		57.7%0.26%	41.3%2.81%	43.8%2.67%	60.0%0.55%	40.4%2.28%	42.6%0.61%	80.0%0.05%	41.8%1.10%	54.1%0.37%	36.0%2.83%	66.7%0.06%	46.2%0.78%	20.0%0.05%
Cleveland Browns	39.7%0.63%	42.1%1.33%	42.3%0.26%		34.9%1.46%	41.6%1.49%	33.3%0.33%	41.2%1.36%	40.0%0.30%	100.0%0.02%	44.4%0.54%	64.7%0.17%	35.0%1.60%	75.0%0.04%	53.1%0.32%	60.0%0.05%
Denver Broncos	52.3%5.12%	47.4%6.65%	58.7%2.81%	65.1%1.46%		50.8%7.84%	64.6%2.06%	50.9%6.37%	63.1%1.57%	80.0%0.15%	56.9%2.55%	58.7%0.92%	51.6%7.58%	83.3%0.24%	61.3%3.44%	65.2%0.46%
Houston Texans	56.9%5.45%	53.0%7.15%	56.2%2.67%	58.4%1.49%	49.2%7.84%		60.8%2.40%	51.5%8.19%	60.7%2.62%	78.3%0.23%	59.8%3.46%	66.0%1.41%	48.4%7.29%	82.1%0.39%	56.6%3.66%	78.4%0.37%
Indianapolis Colts	48.9%1.31%	40.1%2.07%	40.0%0.55%	66.7%0.33%	35.4%2.06%	39.2%2.40%		48.4%1.55%	47.9%0.48%	66.7%0.03%	51.9%0.77%	50.0%0.24%	42.7%2.11%	42.9%0.07%	50.7%0.75%	42.9%0.07%
Jacksonville Jaguars	55.3%4.38%	48.6%6.21%	59.6%2.28%	58.8%1.36%	49.1%6.37%	48.5%8.19%	51.6%1.55%		57.0%2.07%	64.3%0.14%	59.7%3.15%	52.7%0.91%	50.5%6.75%	73.7%0.19%	52.7%2.83%	64.0%0.25%
Kansas City Chiefs	47.6%1.64%	41.3%1.96%	57.4%0.61%	60.0%0.30%	36.9%1.57%	39.3%2.62%	52.1%0.48%	43.0%2.07%			64.4%0.45%	31.8%0.22%	41.2%2.38%	71.4%0.07%	46.8%0.79%	38.5%0.13%
Las Vegas Raiders	30.8%0.13%	52.6%0.19%	20.0%0.05%	0.0%0.02%	20.0%0.15%	21.7%0.23%	33.3%0.03%	35.7%0.14%			0.0%0.01%	50.0%0.02%	10.7%0.28%	100.0%0.01%	20.0%0.10%	100.0%0.01%
Los Angeles Chargers	48.2%2.18%	44.7%3.02%	58.2%1.10%	55.6%0.54%	43.1%2.55%	40.2%3.46%	48.1%0.77%	40.3%3.15%	35.6%0.45%	100.0%0.01%		55.6%0.36%	44.3%3.27%	60.0%0.10%	56.7%1.41%	70.6%0.17%
Miami Dolphins	44.3%0.79%	40.0%0.65%	45.9%0.37%	35.3%0.17%	41.3%0.92%	34.0%1.41%	50.0%0.24%	47.3%0.91%	68.2%0.22%	50.0%0.02%	44.4%0.36%		38.0%0.79%	0.0%0.01%	46.7%0.45%	33.3%0.03%
New England Patriots	59.1%4.99%	47.5%6.95%	64.0%2.83%	65.0%1.60%	48.4%7.58%	51.6%7.29%	57.3%2.11%	49.5%6.75%	58.8%2.38%	89.3%0.28%	55.7%3.27%	62.0%0.79%		55.6%0.18%	58.7%3.29%	71.4%0.35%
New York Jets	18.8%0.16%	17.6%0.17%	33.3%0.06%	25.0%0.04%	16.7%0.24%	17.9%0.39%	57.1%0.07%	26.3%0.19%	28.6%0.07%	0.0%0.01%	40.0%0.10%	100.0%0.01%	44.4%0.18%		33.3%0.09%	0.0%0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	46.5%1.59%	41.6%3.10%	53.8%0.78%	46.9%0.32%	38.7%3.44%	43.4%3.66%	49.3%0.75%	47.3%2.83%	53.2%0.79%	80.0%0.10%	43.3%1.41%	53.3%0.45%	41.3%3.29%	66.7%0.09%		64.7%0.17%
Tennessee Titans	26.7%0.30%	40.5%0.42%	80.0%0.05%	40.0%0.05%	34.8%0.46%	21.6%0.37%	57.1%0.07%	36.0%0.25%	61.5%0.13%	0.0%0.01%	29.4%0.17%	66.7%0.03%	28.6%0.35%	100.0%0.01%	35.3%0.17%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Commanders
Arizona Cardinals		26.7%0.15%	25.0%0.04%	30.8%0.13%	50.0%0.06%	37.5%0.24%	33.3%0.15%	39.1%0.46%	31.6%0.19%	33.3%0.09%	14.3%0.07%	38.9%0.18%	27.3%0.11%	27.6%0.87%	10.0%0.10%	100.0%0.02%
Atlanta Falcons	73.3%0.15%		50.0%0.12%	42.3%1.37%	52.9%0.68%	43.5%2.09%	49.2%1.18%	37.3%2.36%	37.4%1.82%	58.1%0.43%	46.3%0.67%	45.0%2.38%	45.5%1.32%	28.9%4.22%	46.0%0.50%	59.3%0.59%
Carolina Panthers	75.0%0.04%	50.0%0.12%		44.0%0.50%	50.0%0.24%	31.1%0.74%	43.9%0.57%	38.5%1.04%	42.0%0.69%	71.4%0.14%	44.4%0.27%	27.3%0.77%	45.8%0.48%	27.8%1.80%	50.0%0.12%	30.0%0.20%
Chicago Bears	69.2%0.13%	57.7%1.37%	56.0%0.50%		51.9%0.77%	49.7%1.93%	61.0%0.82%	48.2%3.36%	52.1%1.44%	49.2%1.22%	60.3%0.78%	52.6%2.30%	56.6%1.82%	40.1%5.83%	65.5%1.19%	60.0%0.60%
Dallas Cowboys	50.0%0.06%	47.1%0.68%	50.0%0.24%	48.1%0.77%		46.2%0.91%	40.9%0.66%	31.2%1.28%	42.2%0.90%	64.0%0.50%	50.0%0.14%	55.8%0.43%	47.5%0.59%	35.3%2.55%	55.4%0.65%	40.0%0.05%
Detroit Lions	62.5%0.24%	56.5%2.09%	68.9%0.74%	50.3%1.93%	53.8%0.91%		52.1%1.67%	44.8%5.25%	48.1%2.16%	59.0%1.78%	67.2%1.16%	50.9%3.91%	53.9%2.71%	36.6%7.19%	59.6%1.83%	52.9%1.04%
Green Bay Packers	66.7%0.15%	50.8%1.18%	56.1%0.57%	39.0%0.82%	59.1%0.66%	47.9%1.67%		45.3%3.09%	52.9%1.40%	44.6%1.12%	50.6%0.77%	50.0%2.62%	48.1%1.58%	34.7%5.24%	51.9%1.04%	60.8%0.74%
Los Angeles Rams	60.9%0.46%	62.7%2.36%	61.5%1.04%	51.8%3.36%	68.8%1.28%	55.2%5.25%	54.7%3.09%		56.0%4.57%	65.4%2.34%	61.7%1.54%	56.1%4.46%	56.9%4.85%	44.4%13.34%	59.9%2.02%	67.2%1.22%
Minnesota Vikings	68.4%0.19%	62.6%1.82%	58.0%0.69%	47.9%1.44%	57.8%0.90%	51.9%2.16%	47.1%1.40%	44.0%4.57%		52.6%1.33%	56.8%1.18%	45.3%3.53%	56.0%2.34%	35.4%5.94%	52.3%1.53%	55.9%0.93%
New Orleans Saints	66.7%0.09%	41.9%0.43%	28.6%0.14%	50.8%1.22%	36.0%0.50%	41.0%1.78%	55.4%1.12%	34.6%2.34%	47.4%1.33%		44.4%0.54%	46.2%1.99%	35.6%0.90%	32.7%3.64%	59.4%0.32%	55.3%0.47%
New York Giants	85.7%0.07%	53.7%0.67%	55.6%0.27%	39.7%0.78%	50.0%0.14%	32.8%1.16%	49.4%0.77%	38.3%1.54%	43.2%1.18%	55.6%0.54%		46.3%0.67%	47.0%0.66%	32.8%2.74%	50.0%0.64%	33.3%0.06%
Philadelphia Eagles	61.1%0.18%	55.0%2.38%	72.7%0.77%	47.4%2.30%	44.2%0.43%	49.1%3.91%	50.0%2.62%	43.9%4.46%	54.7%3.53%	53.8%1.99%	53.7%0.67%		51.8%2.28%	40.2%7.06%	54.7%2.25%	70.2%0.47%
San Francisco 49ers	72.7%0.11%	54.5%1.32%	54.2%0.48%	43.4%1.82%	52.5%0.59%	46.1%2.71%	51.9%1.58%	43.1%4.85%	44.0%2.34%	64.4%0.90%	53.0%0.66%	48.2%2.28%		40.6%7.91%	60.7%1.35%	60.0%0.65%
Seattle Seahawks	72.4%0.87%	71.1%4.22%	72.2%1.80%	59.9%5.83%	64.7%2.55%	63.4%7.19%	65.3%5.24%	55.6%13.34%	64.6%5.94%	67.3%3.64%	67.2%2.74%	59.8%7.06%	59.4%7.91%		70.0%4.20%	72.8%2.39%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	90.0%0.10%	54.0%0.50%	50.0%0.12%	34.5%1.19%	44.6%0.65%	40.4%1.83%	48.1%1.04%	40.1%2.02%	47.7%1.53%	40.6%0.32%	50.0%0.64%	45.3%2.25%	39.3%1.35%	30.0%4.20%		50.0%0.52%
Washington Commanders	0.0%0.02%	40.7%0.59%	70.0%0.20%	40.0%0.60%	60.0%0.05%	47.1%1.04%	39.2%0.74%	32.8%1.22%	44.1%0.93%	44.7%0.47%	66.7%0.06%	29.8%0.47%	40.0%0.65%	27.2%2.39%	50.0%0.52%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		44.3%2.28%	58.2%0.55%	60.0%0.35%	45.6%2.63%	45.1%2.57%	44.9%0.49%	45.1%2.26%	56.9%0.51%	75.0%0.04%	49.5%0.93%	54.2%0.24%	44.2%2.74%	50.0%0.06%	44.9%0.69%	71.4%0.07%
Buffalo Bills	55.7%2.28%		57.6%1.18%	62.8%0.43%	52.0%4.25%	47.5%4.74%	60.6%0.99%	52.5%4.02%	67.4%0.95%	60.0%0.05%	56.6%1.43%	59.4%0.32%	44.6%3.41%	75.0%0.04%	55.2%1.43%	63.6%0.11%
Cincinnati Bengals	41.8%0.55%	42.4%1.18%		55.6%0.09%	44.2%0.95%	35.2%1.08%	46.7%0.30%	42.3%1.11%	61.5%0.26%	100.0%0.01%	30.8%0.39%	41.2%0.17%	41.4%1.16%	50.0%0.02%	42.1%0.19%	50.0%0.04%
Cleveland Browns	40.0%0.35%	37.2%0.43%	44.4%0.09%		37.5%0.64%	38.7%0.62%	35.3%0.17%	39.6%0.53%	63.6%0.11%	0.0%0.01%	47.6%0.21%	42.9%0.14%	38.0%0.50%		52.6%0.19%	100.0%0.01%
Denver Broncos	54.4%2.63%	48.0%4.25%	55.8%0.95%	62.5%0.64%		47.5%5.01%	63.4%0.93%	49.7%3.68%	53.4%0.73%	66.7%0.03%	48.9%1.37%	50.0%0.46%	49.1%4.24%	70.0%0.10%	56.6%1.45%	53.8%0.13%
Houston Texans	54.9%2.57%	52.5%4.74%	64.8%1.08%	61.3%0.62%	52.5%5.01%		71.6%0.81%	54.3%3.98%	54.2%1.18%	66.7%0.06%	62.6%1.79%	69.4%0.49%	49.4%5.59%	50.0%0.06%	62.7%1.61%	57.9%0.19%
Indianapolis Colts	55.1%0.49%	39.4%0.99%	53.3%0.30%	64.7%0.17%	36.6%0.93%	28.4%0.81%		40.8%0.71%	50.0%0.26%		54.8%0.31%	44.4%0.09%	34.7%0.95%	50.0%0.02%	43.6%0.39%	100.0%0.02%
Jacksonville Jaguars	54.9%2.26%	47.5%4.02%	57.7%1.11%	60.4%0.53%	50.3%3.68%	45.7%3.98%	59.2%0.71%		53.9%0.89%	100.0%0.05%	55.1%1.27%	64.9%0.37%	50.6%3.99%	55.6%0.09%	49.6%1.27%	72.7%0.11%
Kansas City Chiefs	43.1%0.51%	32.6%0.95%	38.5%0.26%	36.4%0.11%	46.6%0.73%	45.8%1.18%	50.0%0.26%	46.1%0.89%		0.0%0.01%	51.7%0.29%	14.3%0.07%	32.0%1.03%	0.0%0.01%	58.3%0.36%	50.0%0.02%
Las Vegas Raiders	25.0%0.04%	40.0%0.05%	0.0%0.01%	100.0%0.01%	33.3%0.03%	33.3%0.06%		0.0%0.05%	100.0%0.01%			0.0%0.02%	0.0%0.05%		50.0%0.04%
Los Angeles Chargers	50.5%0.93%	43.4%1.43%	69.2%0.39%	52.4%0.21%	51.1%1.37%	37.4%1.79%	45.2%0.31%	44.9%1.27%	48.3%0.29%			66.7%0.18%	50.0%1.48%	0.0%0.01%	50.0%0.56%	60.0%0.05%
Miami Dolphins	45.8%0.24%	40.6%0.32%	58.8%0.17%	57.1%0.14%	50.0%0.46%	30.6%0.49%	55.6%0.09%	35.1%0.37%	85.7%0.07%	100.0%0.02%	33.3%0.18%		36.4%0.33%		26.3%0.19%	100.0%0.02%
New England Patriots	55.8%2.74%	55.4%3.41%	58.6%1.16%	62.0%0.50%	50.9%4.24%	50.6%5.59%	65.3%0.95%	49.4%3.99%	68.0%1.03%	100.0%0.05%	50.0%1.48%	63.6%0.33%		75.0%0.04%	61.2%1.65%	68.8%0.16%
New York Jets	50.0%0.06%	25.0%0.04%	50.0%0.02%		30.0%0.10%	50.0%0.06%	50.0%0.02%	44.4%0.09%	100.0%0.01%		100.0%0.01%		25.0%0.04%		50.0%0.02%
Pittsburgh Steelers	55.1%0.69%	44.8%1.43%	57.9%0.19%	47.4%0.19%	43.4%1.45%	37.3%1.61%	56.4%0.39%	50.4%1.27%	41.7%0.36%	50.0%0.04%	50.0%0.56%	73.7%0.19%	38.8%1.65%	50.0%0.02%		57.1%0.07%
Tennessee Titans	28.6%0.07%	36.4%0.11%	50.0%0.04%	0.0%0.01%	46.2%0.13%	42.1%0.19%	0.0%0.02%	27.3%0.11%	50.0%0.02%		40.0%0.05%	0.0%0.02%	31.2%0.16%		42.9%0.07%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Commanders
Arizona Cardinals		0.0%0.06%	0.0%0.02%	33.3%0.06%	66.7%0.03%	83.3%0.06%	33.3%0.03%	22.2%0.18%	50.0%0.04%	50.0%0.02%	0.0%0.02%	60.0%0.05%	0.0%0.03%	32.0%0.25%	50.0%0.04%	100.0%0.02%
Atlanta Falcons	100.0%0.06%		100.0%0.03%	56.8%0.44%	56.2%0.16%	48.0%0.50%	43.5%0.46%	45.3%1.37%	56.9%0.58%	68.4%0.19%	35.7%0.28%	38.8%0.67%	41.9%0.43%	35.4%2.63%	50.0%0.28%	36.4%0.11%
Carolina Panthers	100.0%0.02%	0.0%0.03%		36.4%0.11%	16.7%0.06%	48.0%0.25%	53.8%0.13%	39.6%0.53%	53.8%0.13%	0.0%0.03%	62.5%0.08%	50.0%0.26%	55.0%0.20%	28.9%0.90%	50.0%0.06%	62.5%0.08%
Chicago Bears	66.7%0.06%	43.2%0.44%	63.6%0.11%		52.9%0.17%	50.0%0.82%	39.3%0.61%	41.9%2.03%	55.2%0.67%	62.2%0.45%	53.8%0.26%	47.8%0.92%	44.4%1.08%	38.5%3.74%	60.7%0.56%	53.8%0.26%
Dallas Cowboys	33.3%0.03%	43.8%0.16%	83.3%0.06%	47.1%0.17%		54.8%0.31%	40.0%0.20%	34.8%0.66%	33.3%0.33%	40.9%0.22%	50.0%0.08%	33.3%0.21%	43.6%0.39%	31.0%1.42%	66.7%0.18%	12.5%0.08%
Detroit Lions	16.7%0.06%	52.0%0.50%	52.0%0.25%	50.0%0.82%	45.2%0.31%		47.8%0.67%	44.7%2.95%	49.3%0.75%	52.4%0.63%	63.3%0.49%	54.0%1.61%	52.6%1.33%	38.2%5.81%	51.9%0.54%	69.2%0.39%
Green Bay Packers	66.7%0.03%	56.5%0.46%	46.2%0.13%	60.7%0.61%	60.0%0.20%	52.2%0.67%		46.5%1.59%	42.9%0.56%	56.8%0.37%	68.4%0.19%	44.0%0.91%	50.6%0.87%	39.8%3.34%	44.7%0.38%	30.8%0.13%
Los Angeles Rams	77.8%0.18%	54.7%1.37%	60.4%0.53%	58.1%2.03%	65.2%0.66%	55.3%2.95%	53.5%1.59%		52.4%2.48%	64.2%1.06%	60.8%0.74%	58.3%2.95%	47.0%1.68%	47.8%7.83%	63.3%1.09%	61.1%0.72%
Minnesota Vikings	50.0%0.04%	43.1%0.58%	46.2%0.13%	44.8%0.67%	66.7%0.33%	50.7%0.75%	57.1%0.56%	47.6%2.48%		57.4%0.47%	60.6%0.33%	46.0%1.13%	49.1%1.16%	37.1%5.12%	60.4%0.48%	64.3%0.14%
New Orleans Saints	50.0%0.02%	31.6%0.19%	100.0%0.03%	37.8%0.45%	59.1%0.22%	47.6%0.63%	43.2%0.37%	35.8%1.06%	42.6%0.47%		83.3%0.12%	39.3%0.56%	37.8%0.45%	31.4%2.10%	57.9%0.19%	30.8%0.13%
New York Giants	100.0%0.02%	64.3%0.28%	37.5%0.08%	46.2%0.26%	50.0%0.08%	36.7%0.49%	31.6%0.19%	39.2%0.74%	39.4%0.33%	16.7%0.12%		40.0%0.25%	55.0%0.40%	32.0%1.50%	47.1%0.17%	100.0%0.06%
Philadelphia Eagles	40.0%0.05%	61.2%0.67%	50.0%0.26%	52.2%0.92%	66.7%0.21%	46.0%1.61%	56.0%0.91%	41.7%2.95%	54.0%1.13%	60.7%0.56%	60.0%0.25%		49.3%1.34%	37.5%5.68%	59.4%0.64%	61.9%0.21%
San Francisco 49ers	100.0%0.03%	58.1%0.43%	45.0%0.20%	55.6%1.08%	56.4%0.39%	47.4%1.33%	49.4%0.87%	53.0%1.68%	50.9%1.16%	62.2%0.45%	45.0%0.40%	50.7%1.34%		39.3%3.61%	46.0%0.63%	55.0%0.20%
Seattle Seahawks	68.0%0.25%	64.6%2.63%	71.1%0.90%	61.5%3.74%	69.0%1.42%	61.8%5.81%	60.2%3.34%	52.2%7.83%	62.9%5.12%	68.6%2.10%	68.0%1.50%	62.5%5.68%	60.7%3.61%		67.5%2.09%	73.7%1.18%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	50.0%0.04%	50.0%0.28%	50.0%0.06%	39.3%0.56%	33.3%0.18%	48.1%0.54%	55.3%0.38%	36.7%1.09%	39.6%0.48%	42.1%0.19%	52.9%0.17%	40.6%0.64%	54.0%0.63%	32.5%2.09%		33.3%0.09%
Washington Commanders	0.0%0.02%	63.6%0.11%	37.5%0.08%	46.2%0.26%	87.5%0.08%	30.8%0.39%	69.2%0.13%	38.9%0.72%	35.7%0.14%	69.2%0.13%	0.0%0.06%	38.1%0.21%	45.0%0.20%	26.3%1.18%	66.7%0.09%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Commanders	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	50.0%0.02%	44.4%0.18%	100.0%0.02%	64.4%0.45%	42.1%0.19%	55.1%0.69%	43.6%0.39%	42.6%1.22%	46.3%0.54%	63.2%0.19%	40.0%0.10%	53.4%0.58%	46.2%0.39%	43.3%2.38%	42.9%0.21%	50.0%0.10%
Buffalo Bills	25.0%0.04%	50.0%0.38%	53.8%0.13%	46.7%1.05%	65.6%0.32%	54.5%1.12%	52.4%0.63%	42.6%2.02%	51.9%0.79%	60.0%0.30%	66.7%0.27%	49.6%1.23%	54.1%0.85%	47.6%3.74%	60.9%0.46%	78.6%0.14%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.0%0.01%	30.8%0.13%	50.0%0.02%	53.3%0.15%	75.0%0.04%	41.7%0.24%	80.0%0.10%	40.4%0.47%	50.0%0.20%	40.0%0.05%	12.5%0.08%	45.8%0.24%	45.0%0.20%	38.3%1.07%	50.0%0.10%	25.0%0.04%
Cleveland Browns	0.0%0.01%	50.0%0.04%		50.0%0.06%	75.0%0.04%	20.0%0.10%	87.5%0.08%	42.3%0.26%	46.7%0.15%	50.0%0.04%	50.0%0.06%	53.8%0.13%	45.5%0.11%	35.6%0.45%	28.6%0.07%	0.0%0.02%
Denver Broncos	100.0%0.03%	57.7%0.52%	69.2%0.13%	57.1%0.70%	42.9%0.21%	53.3%1.05%	42.1%0.57%	51.2%2.05%	49.4%0.83%	54.1%0.37%	54.5%0.33%	53.7%1.34%	56.3%0.71%	45.7%4.05%	44.1%0.34%	62.5%0.32%
Houston Texans	57.1%0.07%	66.7%0.75%	58.3%0.24%	53.3%0.90%	62.1%0.29%	62.3%1.30%	50.5%0.93%	55.8%2.24%	58.6%1.16%	43.8%0.48%	55.2%0.29%	48.5%1.03%	59.7%1.19%	49.2%4.80%	50.0%0.50%	43.5%0.23%
Indianapolis Colts	100.0%0.01%	57.1%0.14%	100.0%0.03%	66.7%0.12%	66.7%0.03%	55.6%0.18%	38.9%0.18%	35.4%0.48%	54.5%0.11%	28.6%0.07%	25.0%0.04%	65.0%0.20%	52.9%0.17%	41.6%0.77%	54.5%0.11%	0.0%0.02%
Jacksonville Jaguars	75.0%0.04%	43.1%0.51%	38.5%0.13%	54.2%0.59%	58.8%0.17%	59.0%0.78%	50.8%0.65%	45.6%1.82%	57.7%0.78%	57.5%0.40%	57.7%0.26%	54.1%0.98%	52.5%0.99%	40.8%3.73%	65.9%0.44%	50.0%0.18%
Kansas City Chiefs		50.0%0.08%	50.0%0.04%	61.5%0.13%	100.0%0.04%	50.0%0.28%	28.6%0.07%	30.4%0.46%	47.8%0.23%	25.0%0.04%	33.3%0.03%	60.0%0.25%	36.0%0.25%	32.1%0.78%	33.3%0.09%	33.3%0.03%
Las Vegas Raiders						50.0%0.02%		0.0%0.02%		100.0%0.02%			0.0%0.01%	0.0%0.03%
Los Angeles Chargers		73.7%0.19%	42.9%0.07%	52.4%0.21%	70.0%0.10%	60.0%0.35%	48.0%0.25%	42.5%0.73%	41.7%0.36%	50.0%0.10%	50.0%0.10%	67.9%0.28%	45.2%0.42%	37.6%1.49%	53.8%0.13%	50.0%0.08%
Miami Dolphins	100.0%0.01%	25.0%0.04%	0.0%0.02%	66.7%0.09%	50.0%0.02%	70.0%0.10%	50.0%0.04%	60.7%0.28%	66.7%0.12%	50.0%0.02%	100.0%0.01%	42.9%0.14%	42.9%0.07%	37.5%0.32%	100.0%0.01%	50.0%0.02%
New England Patriots	66.7%0.06%	52.2%0.46%	54.2%0.24%	48.1%0.79%	52.9%0.17%	51.2%1.21%	61.8%0.76%	48.9%2.29%	43.9%0.98%	50.0%0.54%	56.2%0.32%	53.8%1.30%	54.9%1.02%	48.8%4.06%	59.0%0.39%	44.0%0.25%
New York Jets			100.0%0.01%	0.0%0.01%	0.0%0.02%		0.0%0.01%	33.3%0.03%	100.0%0.01%	100.0%0.01%			0.0%0.01%	50.0%0.08%	0.0%0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.0%0.02%	47.1%0.17%	66.7%0.09%	52.0%0.25%	12.5%0.08%	47.7%0.44%	52.4%0.21%	38.6%0.70%	59.3%0.27%	72.7%0.11%	36.4%0.11%	42.9%0.35%	62.1%0.29%	36.1%1.33%	35.7%0.14%	0.0%0.03%
Tennessee Titans		0.0%0.01%		50.0%0.02%	50.0%0.02%	25.0%0.08%	100.0%0.01%	75.0%0.04%	25.0%0.04%		100.0%0.01%	100.0%0.01%	0.0%0.01%	40.0%0.10%	0.0%0.01%
Arizona Cardinals																	50.0%0.02%	75.0%0.04%	100.0%0.01%	100.0%0.01%	0.0%0.03%	42.9%0.07%	0.0%0.01%	25.0%0.04%				0.0%0.01%	33.3%0.06%		100.0%0.02%
Atlanta Falcons																	55.6%0.18%	50.0%0.38%	69.2%0.13%	50.0%0.04%	42.3%0.52%	33.3%0.75%	42.9%0.14%	56.9%0.51%	50.0%0.08%		26.3%0.19%	75.0%0.04%	47.8%0.46%		52.9%0.17%	100.0%0.01%
Carolina Panthers																	0.0%0.02%	46.2%0.13%	50.0%0.02%		30.8%0.13%	41.7%0.24%	0.0%0.03%	61.5%0.13%	50.0%0.04%		57.1%0.07%	100.0%0.02%	45.8%0.24%	0.0%0.01%	33.3%0.09%
Chicago Bears																	35.6%0.45%	53.3%1.05%	46.7%0.15%	50.0%0.06%	42.9%0.70%	46.7%0.90%	33.3%0.12%	45.8%0.59%	38.5%0.13%		47.6%0.21%	33.3%0.09%	51.9%0.79%	100.0%0.01%	48.0%0.25%	50.0%0.02%
Dallas Cowboys																	57.9%0.19%	34.4%0.32%	25.0%0.04%	25.0%0.04%	57.1%0.21%	37.9%0.29%	33.3%0.03%	41.2%0.17%	0.0%0.04%		30.0%0.10%	50.0%0.02%	47.1%0.17%	100.0%0.02%	87.5%0.08%	50.0%0.02%
Detroit Lions																	44.9%0.69%	45.5%1.12%	58.3%0.24%	80.0%0.10%	46.7%1.05%	37.7%1.30%	44.4%0.18%	41.0%0.78%	50.0%0.28%	50.0%0.02%	40.0%0.35%	30.0%0.10%	48.8%1.21%		52.3%0.44%	75.0%0.08%
Green Bay Packers																	56.4%0.39%	47.6%0.63%	20.0%0.10%	12.5%0.08%	57.9%0.57%	49.5%0.93%	61.1%0.18%	49.2%0.65%	71.4%0.07%		52.0%0.25%	50.0%0.04%	38.2%0.76%	100.0%0.01%	47.6%0.21%	0.0%0.01%
Los Angeles Rams																	57.4%1.22%	57.4%2.02%	59.6%0.47%	57.7%0.26%	48.8%2.05%	44.2%2.24%	64.6%0.48%	54.4%1.82%	69.6%0.46%	100.0%0.02%	57.5%0.73%	39.3%0.28%	51.1%2.29%	66.7%0.03%	61.4%0.70%	25.0%0.04%
Minnesota Vikings																	53.7%0.54%	48.1%0.79%	50.0%0.20%	53.3%0.15%	50.6%0.83%	41.4%1.16%	45.5%0.11%	42.3%0.78%	52.2%0.23%		58.3%0.36%	33.3%0.12%	56.1%0.98%	0.0%0.01%	40.7%0.27%	75.0%0.04%
New Orleans Saints																	36.8%0.19%	40.0%0.30%	60.0%0.05%	50.0%0.04%	45.9%0.37%	56.2%0.48%	71.4%0.07%	42.5%0.40%	75.0%0.04%	0.0%0.02%	50.0%0.10%	50.0%0.02%	50.0%0.54%	0.0%0.01%	27.3%0.11%
New York Giants																	60.0%0.10%	33.3%0.27%	87.5%0.08%	50.0%0.06%	45.5%0.33%	44.8%0.29%	75.0%0.04%	42.3%0.26%	66.7%0.03%		50.0%0.10%	0.0%0.01%	43.8%0.32%		63.6%0.11%	0.0%0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles																	46.6%0.58%	50.4%1.23%	54.2%0.24%	46.2%0.13%	46.3%1.34%	51.5%1.03%	35.0%0.20%	45.9%0.98%	40.0%0.25%		32.1%0.28%	57.1%0.14%	46.2%1.30%		57.1%0.35%	0.0%0.01%
San Francisco 49ers																	53.8%0.39%	45.9%0.85%	55.0%0.20%	54.5%0.11%	43.7%0.71%	40.3%1.19%	47.1%0.17%	47.5%0.99%	64.0%0.25%	100.0%0.01%	54.8%0.42%	57.1%0.07%	45.1%1.02%	100.0%0.01%	37.9%0.29%	100.0%0.01%
Seattle Seahawks																	56.7%2.38%	52.4%3.74%	61.7%1.07%	64.4%0.45%	54.3%4.05%	50.8%4.80%	58.4%0.77%	59.2%3.73%	67.9%0.78%	100.0%0.03%	62.4%1.49%	62.5%0.32%	51.2%4.06%	50.0%0.08%	63.9%1.33%	60.0%0.10%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	57.1%0.21%	39.1%0.46%	50.0%0.10%	71.4%0.07%	55.9%0.34%	50.0%0.50%	45.5%0.11%	34.1%0.44%	66.7%0.09%		46.2%0.13%	0.0%0.01%	41.0%0.39%	100.0%0.01%	64.3%0.14%	100.0%0.01%
Washington Commanders																	50.0%0.10%	21.4%0.14%	75.0%0.04%	100.0%0.02%	37.5%0.32%	56.5%0.23%	100.0%0.02%	50.0%0.18%	66.7%0.03%		50.0%0.08%	50.0%0.02%	56.0%0.25%		100.0%0.03%

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