2026 USL Season

149 games played · 25 teams · 100,000 simulations

Live

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

Tampa Bay Rowdies

21.15% chance to win USL Championship

Biggest Overachiever

Tampa Bay Rowdies

7.77 points above expected

28 points · 20.23 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sporting Club Jacksonville

10.73 points below expected

3 points · 13.73 expected points

Current Standings

Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the expected points from each game's pregame probabilities over completed games. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Pt%	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	8	1	4	28	.718	21	8	+13	20.23	+7.77
2	Louisville City FC	6	5	3	21	.500	24	22	+2	22.43	-1.43
3	Detroit City FC	6	4	3	21	.538	19	13	+6	18.80	+2.20
4	Charleston Battery	6	4	2	20	.556	21	16	+5	17.35	+2.65
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	6	4	1	19	.576	15	13	+2	14.65	+4.35
6	Indy Eleven	5	3	3	18	.545	16	12	+4	15.21	+2.79
7	Hartford Athletic	4	2	5	17	.515	10	10	0	15.68	+1.32
8	Miami FC	4	4	5	17	.436	15	19	-4	14.35	+2.65
9	Rhode Island FC	4	4	3	15	.455	21	15	+6	15.70	-0.70
10	Birmingham Legion	2	4	5	11	.333	12	14	-2	14.87	-3.87
11	Brooklyn FC	2	7	3	9	.250	13	22	-9	14.22	-5.22
12	Loudoun United	1	4	6	9	.273	13	21	-8	14.49	-5.49
13	Sporting Club Jacksonville	0	10	3	3	.077	15	34	-19	13.73	-10.73

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Pt%	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	San Antonio FC	5	2	6	21	.538	18	16	+2	18.11	+2.89
2	Orange County SC	5	2	5	20	.556	15	11	+4	16.89	+3.11
3	Oakland Roots	4	3	5	17	.472	17	15	+2	16.77	+0.23
4	Phoenix Rising	4	4	5	17	.436	15	14	+1	17.29	-0.29
5	Sacramento Republic	4	3	4	16	.485	13	11	+2	16.68	-0.68
6	FC Tulsa	4	3	4	16	.485	14	14	0	16.00	0.00
7	El Paso Locomotive	4	4	4	16	.444	23	22	+1	17.49	-1.49
8	Lexington SC	4	5	3	15	.417	17	15	+2	14.97	+0.03
9	Las Vegas Lights FC	4	5	3	15	.417	18	20	-2	13.38	+1.62
10	New Mexico United	4	4	3	15	.455	12	13	-1	14.57	+0.43
11	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	3	4	4	13	.394	18	18	0	14.61	-1.61
12	Monterey Bay FC	3	7	2	11	.306	13	20	-7	13.22	-2.22

Current Playoff Probabilities

Current playoff probabilities according to the model. Teams under 2% are pooled into the "Others" category. Hover or tap a segment for the team and its exact odds.

Hover or tap on a team

Eastern · 9 spots

Western · 9 spots

Each bar is one group’s playoff spots, divided by how likely the model thinks each team is to claim one. Teams under 2% are pooled into a gray “Others.”

Changes in Playoff Odds

Which teams are surging into contention or slipping out of it over the last 14 days?

Biggest Improvements

#	Team	Δ	Now
1	Lexington SC	+22.28%	68.58%
2	Rhode Island FC	+18.08%	86.08%
3	Las Vegas Lights FC	+16.15%	44.05%
4	Hartford Athletic	+14.32%	84.92%
5	Sacramento Republic	+11.59%	89.09%

Biggest Losers

#	Team	Δ	Now
1	Birmingham Legion	-25.27%	16.13%
2	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	-19.51%	42.99%
3	Phoenix Rising	-13.16%	78.94%
4	Loudoun United	-12.06%	4.04%
5	Miami FC	-8.35%	39.25%

Recent Elo Movers

Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?

Biggest Elo Gainers

#	Team	Δ Elo	Current Elo
1	Charleston Battery	+30.10	1571
2	Rhode Island FC	+28.89	1555
3	Louisville City FC	+26.02	1535
4	Detroit City FC	+22.56	1539
5	Lexington SC	+19.65	1508

Biggest Elo Losers

#	Team	Δ Elo	Current Elo
1	Sporting Club Jacksonville	-40.83	1356
2	Loudoun United	-30.96	1421
3	FC Tulsa	-25.87	1537
4	Phoenix Rising	-24.77	1522
5	Birmingham Legion	-16.46	1452

Season Summary

Every team's current record alongside their projected end-of-season totals from 10,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the average number of additional points the model expects each team to add between now and the end of the regular season.

Team	Conference	Elo	Points	Avg. Pts.	Exp. Pts. Rem.	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Tampa Bay Rowdies	Eastern	1601	28	57.38	29.38	39	49	54	57	61	66	75
Charleston Battery	Eastern	1571	20	50.22	30.22	31	42	47	50	54	59	69
Rhode Island FC	Eastern	1555	15	44.07	29.07	23	35	40	44	48	53	63
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Eastern	1545	19	47.70	28.70	28	39	44	48	51	57	67
Sacramento Republic	Western	1543	16	44.55	28.55	25	36	41	45	48	54	64
Detroit City FC	Eastern	1539	21	46.11	25.11	29	38	43	46	50	54	68
Orange County SC	Western	1537	20	46.34	26.34	26	38	43	46	50	55	66
FC Tulsa	Western	1537	16	43.99	27.99	24	35	40	44	48	53	64
Louisville City FC	Eastern	1535	21	43.93	22.93	26	36	41	44	47	52	69
Hartford Athletic	Eastern	1522	17	43.61	26.61	25	35	40	44	47	53	65
Phoenix Rising	Western	1522	17	42.02	25.02	24	34	39	42	45	50	65
Indy Eleven	Eastern	1515	18	44.55	26.55	26	36	41	44	48	53	67
San Antonio FC	Western	1511	21	44.87	23.87	29	37	41	45	48	53	65
Lexington SC	Western	1508	15	40.36	25.36	22	32	37	40	44	49	59
New Mexico United	Western	1499	15	40.83	25.83	22	32	37	41	45	50	61
El Paso Locomotive	Western	1496	16	40.45	24.45	23	32	37	40	44	49	61
Oakland Roots	Western	1485	17	39.23	22.23	23	31	36	39	43	48	58
Colorado Springs Switchbacks	Western	1475	13	36.96	23.96	16	28	33	37	40	46	57
Las Vegas Lights FC	Western	1466	15	37.21	22.21	18	29	34	37	41	46	57
Birmingham Legion	Eastern	1452	11	33.33	22.33	16	25	30	33	37	42	52
Miami FC	Eastern	1450	17	37.12	20.12	20	29	34	37	40	45	56
Brooklyn FC	Eastern	1440	9	29.50	20.50	13	21	26	29	33	38	52
Loudoun United	Eastern	1421	9	28.84	19.84	12	21	25	29	32	37	48
Monterey Bay FC	Western	1420	11	28.87	17.87	14	21	25	29	32	37	48
Sporting Club Jacksonville	Eastern	1356	3	18.15	15.15	4	11	15	18	21	26	39

Head-to-Head

Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team	Legion	FC	Battery	FC	Athletic	Eleven	United	FC	FC	Riverhounds	FC	Jacksonville	Rowdies
Birmingham Legion	—	—	0 (0.8 exp.)	—	1 (1.2 exp.)	1 (1.5 exp.)	1 (1.0 exp.)	1 (1.5 exp.)	1 (1.8 exp.)	3 (1.5 exp.)	3 (0.8 exp.)	—	0 (1.6 exp.)
Brooklyn FC	—	—	3 (1.1 exp.)	0 (1.1 exp.)	0 (1.3 exp.)	3 (1.7 exp.)	0 (1.7 exp.)	1 (1.8 exp.)	0 (1.1 exp.)	—	0 (0.8 exp.)	1 (1.2 exp.)	—
Charleston Battery	3 (2.0 exp.)	0 (1.6 exp.)	—	3 (2.8 exp.)	—	—	—	3 (0.9 exp.)	—	3 (1.8 exp.)	0 (1.2 exp.)	3 (2.0 exp.)	2 (2.4 exp.)
Detroit City FC	—	3 (1.6 exp.)	3 (2.6 exp.)	—	0 (1.1 exp.)	0 (1.2 exp.)	1 (1.3 exp.)	3 (1.4 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	0 (1.2 exp.)	1 (1.2 exp.)	6 (3.6 exp.)	—
Hartford Athletic	1 (1.4 exp.)	3 (1.3 exp.)	—	3 (1.5 exp.)	—	1 (1.9 exp.)	1 (1.8 exp.)	—	1 (1.4 exp.)	—	—	3 (1.1 exp.)	3 (0.7 exp.)
Indy Eleven	1 (1.2 exp.)	0 (1.0 exp.)	—	3 (1.5 exp.)	1 (0.8 exp.)	—	—	—	—	1 (2.6 exp.)	3 (1.6 exp.)	3 (2.0 exp.)	0 (0.9 exp.)
Loudoun United	1 (1.7 exp.)	3 (1.0 exp.)	—	1 (1.4 exp.)	1 (0.9 exp.)	—	—	1 (1.2 exp.)	1 (1.7 exp.)	0 (1.5 exp.)	0 (1.3 exp.)	—	0 (0.9 exp.)
Louisville City FC	1 (1.2 exp.)	4 (3.6 exp.)	0 (1.8 exp.)	0 (1.2 exp.)	—	—	1 (1.5 exp.)	—	3 (3.4 exp.)	0 (1.9 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	3 (2.1 exp.)	0 (1.4 exp.)
Miami FC	1 (0.9 exp.)	3 (1.5 exp.)	—	0 (0.8 exp.)	1 (1.3 exp.)	—	1 (1.0 exp.)	3 (2.0 exp.)	—	0 (0.9 exp.)	3 (1.5 exp.)	3 (1.0 exp.)	—
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0 (1.2 exp.)	—	0 (0.9 exp.)	3 (1.5 exp.)	—	4 (2.8 exp.)	3 (1.1 exp.)	3 (0.8 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	—	—	3 (1.8 exp.)	0 (1.1 exp.)
Rhode Island FC	0 (1.9 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	3 (1.5 exp.)	1 (1.5 exp.)	—	0 (1.1 exp.)	3 (1.4 exp.)	0 (0.8 exp.)	0 (1.2 exp.)	—	—	1 (1.8 exp.)	1 (1.5 exp.)
Sporting Club Jacksonville	—	1 (1.5 exp.)	0 (0.8 exp.)	0 (1.8 exp.)	0 (1.6 exp.)	0 (0.8 exp.)	—	0 (0.6 exp.)	0 (1.7 exp.)	0 (0.9 exp.)	1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0 (1.2 exp.)
Tampa Bay Rowdies	3 (1.1 exp.)	—	2 (3.0 exp.)	—	0 (2.0 exp.)	3 (1.8 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	3 (1.3 exp.)	—	3 (1.6 exp.)	1 (1.2 exp.)	3 (1.5 exp.)	—

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team	Switchbacks	Locomotive	Tulsa	FC	SC	FC	United	Roots	SC	Rising	Republic	FC
Birmingham Legion	—	—	—	0 (1.7 exp.)	—	0 (1.6 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—
Brooklyn FC	—	—	—	—	0 (1.0 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	1 (1.3 exp.)	—
Charleston Battery	—	—	3 (1.5 exp.)	—	—	—	0 (1.2 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—
Detroit City FC	—	1 (1.7 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hartford Athletic	—	0 (1.7 exp.)	0 (0.9 exp.)	—	—	—	1 (1.7 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—
Indy Eleven	—	—	—	—	3 (1.8 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—
Loudoun United	—	—	—	—	—	0 (1.4 exp.)	—	1 (1.5 exp.)	—	—	—	—
Louisville City FC	—	—	—	—	3 (1.4 exp.)	—	—	—	—	3 (0.9 exp.)	—	—
Miami FC	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0 (1.6 exp.)	—	1 (1.0 exp.)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0 (1.5 exp.)	—	—
Rhode Island FC	—	—	—	—	3 (1.1 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sporting Club Jacksonville	—	—	—	—	—	0 (1.0 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	1 (1.1 exp.)
Tampa Bay Rowdies	—	—	—	—	—	—	3 (1.3 exp.)	1 (1.9 exp.)	—	3 (1.7 exp.)	—	—

Within Western

Team	Switchbacks	Locomotive	Tulsa	FC	SC	FC	United	Roots	SC	Rising	Republic	FC
Colorado Springs Switchbacks	—	1 (1.0 exp.)	—	3 (3.0 exp.)	1 (1.6 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	0 (1.0 exp.)	3 (0.9 exp.)	1 (2.6 exp.)	—	0 (1.5 exp.)	1 (1.0 exp.)
El Paso Locomotive	1 (1.6 exp.)	—	0 (1.9 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	0 (1.9 exp.)	3 (1.2 exp.)	1 (1.3 exp.)	0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1 (1.6 exp.)	3 (1.0 exp.)	0 (2.0 exp.)
FC Tulsa	—	3 (0.8 exp.)	—	4 (3.4 exp.)	—	3 (1.7 exp.)	—	1 (1.1 exp.)	0 (1.6 exp.)	1 (1.7 exp.)	0 (1.0 exp.)	1 (1.7 exp.)
Las Vegas Lights FC	3 (2.3 exp.)	0 (0.8 exp.)	1 (2.0 exp.)	—	3 (1.5 exp.)	3 (1.8 exp.)	0 (0.9 exp.)	0 (0.9 exp.)	1 (0.9 exp.)	—	1 (1.2 exp.)	—
Lexington SC	1 (1.0 exp.)	3 (0.8 exp.)	—	0 (1.1 exp.)	—	3 (1.9 exp.)	—	—	1 (0.8 exp.)	—	1 (1.3 exp.)	3 (2.5 exp.)
Monterey Bay FC	0 (0.8 exp.)	0 (1.5 exp.)	0 (1.0 exp.)	0 (0.9 exp.)	0 (0.8 exp.)	—	—	0 (1.6 exp.)	—	—	1 (0.6 exp.)	1 (1.1 exp.)
New Mexico United	3 (1.7 exp.)	1 (1.4 exp.)	—	3 (1.8 exp.)	—	—	—	0 (1.1 exp.)	4 (2.5 exp.)	0 (1.2 exp.)	—	0 (1.0 exp.)
Oakland Roots	0 (1.8 exp.)	3 (1.5 exp.)	1 (1.6 exp.)	3 (1.8 exp.)	—	3 (1.1 exp.)	3 (1.6 exp.)	—	0 (2.6 exp.)	1 (1.1 exp.)	—	—
Orange County SC	4 (2.8 exp.)	—	3 (1.1 exp.)	1 (1.8 exp.)	1 (1.9 exp.)	—	1 (2.9 exp.)	6 (2.8 exp.)	—	1 (1.0 exp.)	0 (1.0 exp.)	3 (1.6 exp.)
Phoenix Rising	—	1 (1.1 exp.)	1 (1.0 exp.)	—	—	—	3 (1.5 exp.)	1 (1.6 exp.)	1 (1.6 exp.)	—	3 (2.5 exp.)	1 (2.9 exp.)
Sacramento Republic	3 (1.2 exp.)	0 (1.7 exp.)	3 (1.7 exp.)	1 (1.5 exp.)	1 (1.4 exp.)	1 (2.1 exp.)	—	—	3 (1.7 exp.)	3 (2.9 exp.)	—	0 (1.2 exp.)
San Antonio FC	1 (1.7 exp.)	3 (0.8 exp.)	1 (1.0 exp.)	—	3 (2.9 exp.)	1 (1.5 exp.)	3 (1.6 exp.)	—	0 (1.1 exp.)	4 (2.5 exp.)	3 (1.5 exp.)	—

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team	Legion	FC	Battery	FC	Athletic	Eleven	United	FC	FC	Riverhounds	FC	Jacksonville	Rowdies
Colorado Springs Switchbacks	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
El Paso Locomotive	—	—	—	1 (1.0 exp.)	3 (1.0 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
FC Tulsa	—	—	0 (1.1 exp.)	—	3 (1.8 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Las Vegas Lights FC	3 (1.0 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Lexington SC	—	3 (1.6 exp.)	—	—	—	0 (0.9 exp.)	—	0 (1.3 exp.)	—	—	0 (1.6 exp.)	—	—
Monterey Bay FC	3 (1.1 exp.)	—	—	—	—	0 (0.8 exp.)	3 (1.3 exp.)	—	—	—	—	3 (1.7 exp.)	—
New Mexico United	—	—	3 (1.5 exp.)	—	1 (1.0 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0 (1.4 exp.)
Oakland Roots	—	—	—	—	—	—	1 (1.2 exp.)	—	1 (1.8 exp.)	—	—	—	1 (0.8 exp.)
Orange County SC	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Phoenix Rising	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0 (1.8 exp.)	3 (1.1 exp.)	3 (1.2 exp.)	—	—	0 (1.0 exp.)
Sacramento Republic	—	1 (1.3 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
San Antonio FC	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1 (1.7 exp.)	—	—	1 (1.6 exp.)	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.07%	8.39%	5.03%	3.02%	1.01%	—	27.52%
1	8.39%	12.08%	6.38%	2.35%	2.35%	0.34%	31.88%
2	5.03%	6.38%	7.38%	3.69%	1.01%	0.34%	23.83%
3	3.02%	2.35%	3.69%	1.34%	0.34%	—	10.74%
4	1.01%	2.35%	1.01%	0.34%	0.67%	—	5.37%
5+	—	0.34%	0.34%	—	—	—	0.67%
Total	27.52%	31.88%	23.83%	10.74%	5.37%	0.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	1.37	+0.00
SD	1.20	1.20	1.60
CV	0.87	0.87	—
Max	6	6	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 149

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	36.36%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	—	—	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	27.27%	36.36%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Birmingham Legion — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.27	-0.18
SD	1.04	1.01	1.08
CV	0.96	0.79	—
Max	3	3	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 11

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	—	16.67%	—	—	33.33%
1	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	33.33%
2	—	—	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
3	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	8.33%	—	100%

Brooklyn FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.83	-0.75
SD	1.00	1.27	1.76
CV	0.92	0.69	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	33.33%
1	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
2	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	25.00%	41.67%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	—	100%

Charleston Battery — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.75	1.33	+0.42
SD	1.66	1.23	2.47
CV	0.95	0.92	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
2	—	—	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	36.36%	36.36%	18.18%	—	—	100%

Colorado Springs Switchbacks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.64	+0.00
SD	1.36	0.92	1.34
CV	0.83	0.56	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 11

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
1	15.38%	7.69%	23.08%	—	—	—	46.15%
2	—	15.38%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	38.46%	23.08%	38.46%	—	—	—	100%

Detroit City FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.46	1.00	+0.46
SD	1.61	0.91	1.66
CV	1.10	0.91	—
Max	6	2	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	—	16.67%	8.33%	—	16.67%	—	41.67%
2	—	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
3	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	25.00%	33.33%	8.33%	16.67%	—	100%

El Paso Locomotive — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.92	1.83	+0.08
SD	1.00	1.34	2.07
CV	0.52	0.73	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	1	0	-3

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	36.36%
1	—	18.18%	—	—	—	9.09%	27.27%
2	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	45.45%	18.18%	—	—	9.09%	100%

FC Tulsa — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.27	+0.00
SD	1.35	1.42	1.90
CV	1.06	1.12	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 11

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	36.36%	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	54.55%
1	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
2	—	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	54.55%	18.18%	18.18%	—	9.09%	—	100%

Hartford Athletic — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	0.91	+0.00
SD	1.14	1.30	1.79
CV	1.25	1.43	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 11

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	27.27%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
2	—	18.18%	18.18%	—	—	—	36.36%
3	—	18.18%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	72.73%	18.18%	—	—	—	100%

Indy Eleven — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.09	+0.36
SD	1.13	0.54	1.12
CV	0.78	0.49	—
Max	3	2	+2
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 11

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
1	8.33%	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	16.67%	—	25.00%	8.33%	—	58.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	33.33%	—	33.33%	8.33%	—	100%

Las Vegas Lights FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.67	-0.17
SD	0.67	1.44	1.27
CV	0.45	0.86	—
Max	2	4	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
1	—	8.33%	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	41.67%
2	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
3	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	25.00%	25.00%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Lexington SC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.25	+0.17
SD	1.31	1.14	1.90
CV	0.93	0.91	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	27.27%	—	—	—	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	—	—	9.09%	18.18%	—	36.36%
2	—	—	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	—	—	9.09%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	—	18.18%	27.27%	18.18%	—	100%

Loudoun United — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.91	-0.73
SD	0.98	1.64	1.35
CV	0.83	0.86	—
Max	3	4	+1
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 11

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	21.43%	—	—	—	21.43%
1	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
2	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
3	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	14.29%
4	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.43%	21.43%	42.86%	7.14%	7.14%	—	100%

Louisville City FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.71	1.57	+0.14
SD	1.38	1.16	1.61
CV	0.81	0.74	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	38.46%	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	53.85%
1	—	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	15.38%
2	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
3	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.46%	7.69%	30.77%	15.38%	7.69%	—	100%

Miami FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.15	1.46	-0.31
SD	1.57	1.39	1.55
CV	1.36	0.95	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
1	—	8.33%	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	41.67%
2	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	41.67%	8.33%	25.00%	8.33%	—	100%

Monterey Bay FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.67	-0.58
SD	1.16	1.30	1.88
CV	1.07	0.78	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	18.18%	—	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
1	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	36.36%	27.27%	9.09%	—	—	100%

New Mexico United — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.18	-0.09
SD	1.14	0.98	1.38
CV	1.04	0.83	—
Max	3	3	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 11

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
1	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
2	—	16.67%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	41.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	50.00%	25.00%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Oakland Roots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.25	+0.17
SD	1.16	0.87	0.94
CV	0.82	0.69	—
Max	4	3	+2
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	25.00%	25.00%	—	—	—	—	50.00%
2	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
3	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	33.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Orange County SC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	0.92	+0.33
SD	0.87	1.00	0.89
CV	0.69	1.09	—
Max	3	3	+2
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
1	7.69%	38.46%	7.69%	—	—	—	53.85%
2	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
3	15.38%	—	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	38.46%	23.08%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Phoenix Rising — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.15	1.08	+0.08
SD	0.99	0.95	1.85
CV	0.86	0.89	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.18%	—	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
3	—	—	18.18%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	36.36%	27.27%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.18	+0.18
SD	1.12	0.98	1.54
CV	0.82	0.83	—
Max	3	3	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 11

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	—	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
2	—	—	—	—	9.09%	—	9.09%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	9.09%	18.18%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	54.55%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Rhode Island FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	1.36	+0.55
SD	1.58	1.21	2.11
CV	0.83	0.88	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 11

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	27.27%	18.18%	—	—	—	54.55%
2	18.18%	—	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	27.27%	36.36%	—	—	—	100%

Sacramento Republic — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.00	+0.18
SD	0.87	0.89	1.25
CV	0.74	0.89	—
Max	3	2	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 11

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.08%	—	15.38%	—	—	—	38.46%
1	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
2	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	—	23.08%
3	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	7.69%	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.46%	23.08%	23.08%	7.69%	7.69%	—	100%

San Antonio FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.23	+0.15
SD	1.39	1.30	1.14
CV	1.00	1.06	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	23.08%	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	38.46%
1	—	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	23.08%
2	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	30.77%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	7.69%	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	30.77%	23.08%	15.38%	23.08%	7.69%	100%

Sporting Club Jacksonville — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.15	2.62	-1.46
SD	1.21	1.56	1.39
CV	1.05	0.60	—
Max	4	6	+0
Min	0	1	-4

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
1	30.77%	15.38%	—	—	—	—	46.15%
2	7.69%	—	15.38%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	23.08%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	53.85%	30.77%	15.38%	—	—	—	100%

Tampa Bay Rowdies — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.62	0.62	+1.00
SD	0.96	0.77	1.22
CV	0.59	1.25	—
Max	3	2	+3
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 13

Points Points vs. Goal Differential

Plot of points against goals differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	El Paso Locomotive	4	Mar 14 – Apr 11	1 in 126
2	Tampa Bay Rowdies	4	Mar 7 – Apr 4	1 in 45
3	Phoenix Rising	3	Apr 11 – May 2	1 in 32
4	Monterey Bay FC	3	May 23 – Jun 10	1 in 25
5	FC Tulsa	3	Apr 29 – May 22	1 in 24

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sporting Club Jacksonville	7	Mar 25 – May 9	1 in 184
2	Louisville City FC	4	May 2 – May 30	1 in 146
3	Brooklyn FC	4	Mar 14 – Mar 28	1 in 35
4	El Paso Locomotive	2	Apr 18 – Apr 29	1 in 32
5	Monterey Bay FC	4	Apr 11 – May 8	1 in 13

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	12	Mar 7 – Jun 10	1 in 68
2	Loudoun United	6	Apr 4 – May 23	1 in 17
3	Miami FC	5	Mar 21 – Apr 11	1 in 15
4	San Antonio FC	6	Apr 11 – May 27	1 in 14
5	Birmingham Legion	5	Apr 4 – May 7	1 in 10

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sporting Club Jacksonville	13	Mar 7 – Jun 13	1 in 52
2	El Paso Locomotive	7	Apr 18 – Jun 13	1 in 50
3	Loudoun United	7	Mar 14 – May 2	1 in 21
4	Hartford Athletic	4	Mar 28 – Apr 18	1 in 14
5	Monterey Bay FC	9	Mar 7 – May 8	1 in 13

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13
Tampa Bay Rowdies	71.04%	17.49%	6.25%	2.88%	1.27%	0.66%	0.31%	0.09%	0.01%	—	—	—	—
Charleston Battery	12.66%	28.65%	20.14%	13.61%	9.58%	6.67%	4.53%	2.45%	1.38%	0.19%	0.14%	—	—
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	5.95%	17.25%	18.43%	16.34%	13.28%	11.45%	8.07%	5.66%	2.54%	0.84%	0.16%	0.03%	—
Detroit City FC	3.66%	10.03%	14.44%	15.72%	15.35%	14.45%	11.84%	8.32%	4.31%	1.49%	0.37%	0.02%	—
Indy Eleven	2.03%	7.50%	11.05%	13.10%	14.56%	14.15%	13.66%	11.95%	7.53%	3.22%	1.07%	0.18%	—
Rhode Island FC	1.53%	7.57%	9.80%	11.87%	13.30%	14.12%	14.37%	13.52%	8.84%	3.81%	1.10%	0.16%	0.01%
Louisville City FC	1.29%	4.99%	9.59%	12.33%	14.47%	15.69%	15.69%	14.31%	7.77%	3.07%	0.63%	0.17%	—
Hartford Athletic	1.76%	6.29%	8.91%	11.46%	13.04%	13.69%	15.20%	14.57%	9.80%	3.79%	1.27%	0.20%	0.02%
Miami FC	0.07%	0.21%	1.10%	1.96%	3.59%	5.87%	10.22%	16.23%	27.03%	20.73%	9.39%	3.47%	0.13%
Birmingham Legion	0.01%	0.01%	0.25%	0.60%	1.17%	2.20%	4.09%	7.80%	17.67%	29.12%	22.27%	13.37%	1.44%
Brooklyn FC	—	0.01%	0.03%	0.07%	0.25%	0.59%	1.01%	2.72%	7.07%	17.37%	30.60%	35.27%	5.01%
Loudoun United	—	—	0.01%	0.06%	0.14%	0.46%	1.00%	2.37%	6.00%	15.77%	30.70%	37.63%	5.86%
Sporting Club Jacksonville	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.01%	0.05%	0.60%	2.30%	9.50%	87.53%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Orange County SC	25.78%	18.49%	14.26%	10.94%	8.88%	6.89%	5.21%	4.19%	2.88%	1.55%	0.70%	0.23%
San Antonio FC	16.57%	16.43%	14.40%	12.24%	10.20%	9.22%	7.03%	5.49%	4.08%	2.77%	1.39%	0.18%
Sacramento Republic	17.15%	14.91%	13.18%	11.43%	10.22%	8.80%	7.07%	6.33%	4.80%	3.60%	2.04%	0.47%
FC Tulsa	13.69%	13.99%	13.08%	11.39%	10.47%	9.38%	8.22%	6.71%	5.61%	4.17%	2.74%	0.55%
Phoenix Rising	6.60%	8.90%	10.28%	10.90%	11.26%	11.06%	10.36%	9.58%	8.13%	7.06%	4.48%	1.39%
New Mexico United	5.99%	6.79%	7.89%	8.99%	9.61%	9.86%	10.66%	10.61%	9.97%	9.36%	7.71%	2.56%
Lexington SC	4.41%	6.17%	7.68%	9.11%	9.54%	10.39%	10.77%	10.51%	10.13%	9.78%	8.65%	2.86%
El Paso Locomotive	4.53%	5.69%	6.99%	8.31%	10.01%	10.71%	11.07%	11.24%	10.98%	10.10%	7.83%	2.54%
Oakland Roots	2.81%	4.21%	5.50%	7.50%	8.39%	9.16%	10.67%	11.69%	12.46%	13.09%	11.38%	3.14%
Las Vegas Lights FC	1.35%	2.36%	3.39%	4.65%	5.33%	6.80%	8.89%	11.28%	13.83%	15.69%	18.85%	7.58%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1.12%	2.02%	3.21%	4.37%	5.76%	6.97%	9.02%	10.52%	13.77%	16.01%	18.80%	8.43%
Monterey Bay FC	—	0.04%	0.14%	0.17%	0.33%	0.76%	1.03%	1.85%	3.36%	6.82%	15.43%	70.07%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25
Tampa Bay Rowdies	66.26%	17.32%	6.84%	3.64%	2.11%	1.61%	0.65%	0.59%	0.33%	0.25%	0.20%	0.08%	0.06%	0.04%	0.01%	—	0.01%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Charleston Battery	11.26%	20.60%	15.55%	10.85%	8.73%	6.69%	5.66%	4.24%	3.36%	3.11%	2.31%	2.07%	1.47%	1.16%	0.85%	0.75%	0.60%	0.34%	0.23%	0.07%	0.03%	0.07%	—	—	—
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	5.14%	11.91%	11.97%	9.60%	9.09%	7.63%	6.91%	6.36%	5.98%	4.83%	4.01%	3.59%	2.97%	2.47%	2.19%	1.72%	1.34%	0.94%	0.64%	0.36%	0.26%	0.06%	0.03%	—	—
Orange County SC	3.25%	7.82%	8.43%	9.07%	9.02%	7.96%	7.46%	6.66%	6.12%	5.40%	5.11%	4.62%	4.31%	3.39%	2.80%	2.91%	2.11%	1.31%	1.11%	0.60%	0.29%	0.18%	0.05%	0.02%	—
Detroit City FC	3.00%	6.53%	8.22%	8.45%	8.30%	8.40%	7.43%	7.31%	6.56%	6.33%	5.28%	4.73%	4.38%	3.77%	3.19%	2.55%	1.98%	1.27%	1.08%	0.67%	0.32%	0.21%	0.03%	0.01%	—
San Antonio FC	1.69%	4.55%	5.98%	6.94%	7.59%	7.15%	7.38%	7.13%	6.78%	6.79%	5.91%	5.85%	5.50%	4.47%	3.89%	3.38%	3.10%	2.32%	1.57%	1.03%	0.67%	0.24%	0.09%	—	—
Sacramento Republic	1.70%	4.82%	6.31%	6.69%	6.92%	6.87%	6.68%	6.48%	6.58%	6.10%	6.36%	5.08%	5.16%	4.79%	4.33%	3.73%	3.12%	2.92%	2.22%	1.50%	0.99%	0.48%	0.11%	0.06%	—
Indy Eleven	1.67%	4.78%	6.01%	6.92%	6.40%	7.07%	6.95%	6.35%	6.23%	6.30%	6.16%	5.63%	5.29%	5.01%	4.22%	3.74%	3.19%	2.69%	2.33%	1.46%	0.86%	0.46%	0.22%	0.06%	—
Rhode Island FC	1.27%	4.86%	5.37%	6.05%	6.38%	6.41%	6.38%	6.07%	6.16%	5.76%	6.38%	5.59%	5.72%	5.02%	4.79%	4.63%	3.65%	3.24%	2.49%	1.65%	1.28%	0.61%	0.15%	0.08%	0.01%
Louisville City FC	1.06%	3.19%	4.82%	5.89%	6.19%	6.82%	6.59%	6.97%	6.96%	6.60%	6.19%	6.29%	5.92%	5.63%	5.17%	3.94%	4.07%	2.90%	1.92%	1.58%	0.79%	0.31%	0.14%	0.06%	—
FC Tulsa	0.95%	3.69%	5.29%	6.27%	6.42%	6.61%	6.82%	6.76%	6.24%	6.08%	6.08%	5.56%	5.50%	5.44%	4.51%	4.03%	4.16%	3.15%	2.41%	1.86%	1.31%	0.53%	0.21%	0.12%	—
Hartford Athletic	1.44%	3.92%	4.60%	5.21%	5.57%	5.80%	6.34%	6.53%	6.23%	5.86%	5.95%	5.77%	5.65%	5.57%	5.41%	4.70%	4.36%	3.82%	2.77%	2.15%	1.33%	0.71%	0.23%	0.07%	0.01%
Phoenix Rising	0.47%	1.66%	2.90%	3.60%	3.88%	4.53%	5.08%	5.47%	5.96%	6.58%	6.41%	6.92%	6.37%	6.43%	6.10%	6.07%	5.82%	4.79%	4.09%	3.12%	1.95%	1.17%	0.48%	0.14%	0.01%
New Mexico United	0.22%	1.29%	2.41%	2.86%	3.39%	3.42%	4.22%	4.46%	4.74%	4.94%	6.02%	5.71%	6.04%	6.20%	6.55%	6.93%	6.36%	6.12%	5.63%	4.89%	3.74%	2.36%	1.07%	0.42%	0.01%
El Paso Locomotive	0.23%	1.01%	1.80%	2.32%	2.27%	3.20%	3.46%	4.24%	4.88%	5.25%	5.61%	6.13%	6.75%	6.74%	6.80%	7.28%	6.86%	6.80%	5.76%	5.15%	3.76%	2.21%	1.11%	0.38%	—
Lexington SC	0.16%	0.88%	1.42%	2.09%	2.84%	3.43%	3.74%	3.99%	4.57%	5.57%	5.82%	5.93%	6.49%	6.95%	6.90%	6.76%	6.30%	6.87%	5.89%	5.14%	4.15%	2.43%	1.26%	0.40%	0.02%
Oakland Roots	0.10%	0.59%	0.99%	1.46%	1.87%	2.33%	2.94%	3.43%	4.02%	4.31%	5.10%	5.59%	5.37%	6.11%	7.50%	7.24%	7.47%	8.05%	7.84%	6.93%	5.16%	3.35%	1.77%	0.48%	—
Las Vegas Lights FC	0.05%	0.26%	0.35%	0.66%	1.18%	1.22%	1.80%	2.13%	2.55%	3.03%	2.97%	4.15%	4.54%	5.51%	6.09%	7.13%	7.92%	8.73%	9.70%	9.41%	8.61%	6.35%	3.76%	1.76%	0.14%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0.02%	0.23%	0.40%	0.59%	0.85%	1.33%	1.64%	1.97%	2.34%	3.05%	3.28%	3.97%	4.68%	5.12%	6.07%	6.82%	8.24%	8.41%	9.48%	9.69%	8.41%	6.77%	4.45%	2.09%	0.10%
Miami FC	0.06%	0.08%	0.27%	0.66%	0.80%	1.20%	1.28%	1.94%	2.29%	2.45%	3.06%	3.87%	4.38%	5.78%	6.61%	7.16%	8.01%	9.43%	10.16%	10.17%	8.92%	6.40%	3.43%	1.48%	0.11%
Birmingham Legion	—	0.01%	0.06%	0.17%	0.16%	0.22%	0.43%	0.62%	0.75%	0.91%	1.20%	1.69%	1.99%	2.47%	3.17%	4.22%	5.22%	7.31%	9.41%	11.44%	14.12%	13.60%	11.23%	8.35%	1.25%
Brooklyn FC	—	—	0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.04%	0.07%	0.15%	0.18%	0.19%	0.17%	0.46%	0.48%	0.77%	1.14%	1.71%	2.31%	3.10%	4.60%	7.85%	11.10%	16.91%	21.44%	22.86%	4.43%
Monterey Bay FC	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.03%	0.04%	0.08%	0.07%	0.11%	0.24%	0.33%	0.41%	0.66%	0.74%	1.28%	1.99%	2.68%	4.33%	6.51%	10.67%	17.45%	24.38%	24.72%	3.27%
Loudoun United	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.03%	0.05%	0.07%	0.12%	0.20%	0.18%	0.39%	0.57%	0.50%	0.97%	1.32%	1.79%	2.79%	4.28%	6.60%	10.93%	15.98%	21.27%	26.60%	5.35%
Sporting Club Jacksonville	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.02%	0.02%	0.06%	0.17%	0.35%	1.16%	3.09%	9.84%	85.29%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Tampa Bay Rowdies	71.04%	17.49%	6.25%	2.88%	1.27%	0.66%	0.31%	0.09%	0.01%
Charleston Battery	12.66%	28.65%	20.14%	13.61%	9.58%	6.67%	4.53%	2.45%	1.71%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	5.95%	17.25%	18.43%	16.34%	13.28%	11.45%	8.07%	5.66%	3.57%
Detroit City FC	3.66%	10.03%	14.44%	15.72%	15.35%	14.45%	11.84%	8.32%	6.19%
Indy Eleven	2.03%	7.50%	11.05%	13.10%	14.56%	14.15%	13.66%	11.95%	12.00%
Hartford Athletic	1.76%	6.29%	8.91%	11.46%	13.04%	13.69%	15.20%	14.57%	15.08%
Rhode Island FC	1.53%	7.57%	9.80%	11.87%	13.30%	14.12%	14.37%	13.52%	13.92%
Louisville City FC	1.29%	4.99%	9.59%	12.33%	14.47%	15.69%	15.69%	14.31%	11.64%
Miami FC	0.07%	0.21%	1.10%	1.96%	3.59%	5.87%	10.22%	16.23%	60.75%
Birmingham Legion	0.01%	0.01%	0.25%	0.60%	1.17%	2.20%	4.09%	7.80%	83.87%
Brooklyn FC	—	0.01%	0.03%	0.07%	0.25%	0.59%	1.01%	2.72%	95.32%
Loudoun United	—	—	0.01%	0.06%	0.14%	0.46%	1.00%	2.37%	95.96%
Sporting Club Jacksonville	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.01%	99.98%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Orange County SC	25.78%	18.49%	14.26%	10.94%	8.88%	6.89%	5.21%	4.19%	5.36%
Sacramento Republic	17.15%	14.91%	13.18%	11.43%	10.22%	8.80%	7.07%	6.33%	10.91%
San Antonio FC	16.57%	16.43%	14.40%	12.24%	10.20%	9.22%	7.03%	5.49%	8.42%
FC Tulsa	13.69%	13.99%	13.08%	11.39%	10.47%	9.38%	8.22%	6.71%	13.07%
Phoenix Rising	6.60%	8.90%	10.28%	10.90%	11.26%	11.06%	10.36%	9.58%	21.06%
New Mexico United	5.99%	6.79%	7.89%	8.99%	9.61%	9.86%	10.66%	10.61%	29.60%
El Paso Locomotive	4.53%	5.69%	6.99%	8.31%	10.01%	10.71%	11.07%	11.24%	31.45%
Lexington SC	4.41%	6.17%	7.68%	9.11%	9.54%	10.39%	10.77%	10.51%	31.42%
Oakland Roots	2.81%	4.21%	5.50%	7.50%	8.39%	9.16%	10.67%	11.69%	40.07%
Las Vegas Lights FC	1.35%	2.36%	3.39%	4.65%	5.33%	6.80%	8.89%	11.28%	55.95%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1.12%	2.02%	3.21%	4.37%	5.76%	6.97%	9.02%	10.52%	57.01%
Monterey Bay FC	—	0.04%	0.14%	0.17%	0.33%	0.76%	1.03%	1.85%	95.68%

Points Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of points. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median points for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Conference Semifinals	Advanced to Conference Finals	Advanced to USL Championship	Won USL Championship
Tampa Bay Rowdies	99.99%	70.81%	47.10%	30.41%	21.15%
Charleston Battery	98.29%	60.77%	34.77%	17.43%	11.16%
Orange County SC	94.64%	56.62%	32.13%	17.63%	7.55%
Sacramento Republic	89.09%	51.55%	28.61%	15.56%	6.70%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	96.43%	52.12%	25.62%	11.74%	6.55%
FC Tulsa	86.93%	49.58%	26.95%	14.42%	6.15%
Detroit City FC	93.81%	45.26%	20.77%	9.67%	5.70%
San Antonio FC	91.58%	49.10%	25.00%	12.27%	4.80%
Rhode Island FC	86.08%	41.51%	19.79%	8.83%	4.79%
Phoenix Rising	78.94%	39.62%	19.63%	9.78%	3.95%
Louisville City FC	88.36%	38.65%	16.53%	7.28%	3.86%
Indy Eleven	88.00%	37.95%	15.77%	6.90%	3.50%
Hartford Athletic	84.92%	36.14%	14.80%	6.35%	3.39%
New Mexico United	70.40%	31.67%	14.83%	7.09%	2.62%
El Paso Locomotive	68.55%	30.88%	13.99%	6.53%	2.33%
Lexington SC	68.58%	31.91%	14.81%	6.46%	2.17%
Oakland Roots	59.93%	24.77%	10.38%	4.69%	1.55%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks	42.99%	16.27%	6.52%	2.65%	0.82%
Las Vegas Lights FC	44.05%	16.97%	6.79%	2.77%	0.74%
Miami FC	39.25%	10.66%	3.03%	0.86%	0.33%
Birmingham Legion	16.13%	4.11%	1.31%	0.37%	0.15%
Brooklyn FC	4.68%	1.19%	0.28%	0.10%	0.03%
Loudoun United	4.04%	0.83%	0.23%	0.06%	0.01%
Monterey Bay FC	4.32%	1.06%	0.36%	0.15%	—
Sporting Club Jacksonville	0.02%	—	—	—	—

Loser → ↓ Winner	Birmingham Legion	Brooklyn FC	Charleston Battery	Detroit City FC	Hartford Athletic	Indy Eleven	Loudoun United	Louisville City FC	Miami FC	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Rhode Island FC	Sporting Club Jacksonville	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Birmingham Legion			0.82%	0.27%	0.34%	0.41%		0.24%	0.01%	0.56%	0.30%		1.16%
Brooklyn FC	0.01%		0.18%	0.08%	0.10%	0.02%		0.07%		0.18%	0.09%		0.46%
Charleston Battery	2.21%	0.67%		8.27%	8.65%	9.54%	0.66%	9.55%	5.28%	6.88%	7.72%		1.34%
Detroit City FC	0.80%	0.28%	5.55%		6.64%	7.26%	0.23%	6.29%	2.55%	6.69%	5.81%		3.16%
Hartford Athletic	0.64%	0.17%	4.89%	5.66%		4.22%	0.08%	4.63%	1.66%	5.48%	4.10%		4.61%
Indy Eleven	0.77%	0.12%	5.35%	6.14%	4.61%		0.09%	5.27%	1.56%	5.68%	4.92%	0.01%	3.43%
Loudoun United			0.15%	0.05%	0.03%	0.07%		0.08%		0.09%	0.05%		0.31%
Louisville City FC	0.56%	0.15%	5.57%	6.02%	4.42%	5.12%	0.09%		1.72%	6.25%	4.20%		4.55%
Miami FC	0.04%	0.01%	1.76%	1.09%	0.79%	0.82%	0.02%	0.90%		1.41%	0.71%		3.11%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1.32%	0.31%	5.34%	7.84%	7.90%	8.29%	0.28%	7.67%	3.43%		7.45%	0.01%	2.28%
Rhode Island FC	0.49%	0.15%	5.69%	6.46%	5.04%	5.34%	0.16%	5.20%	1.64%	6.57%			4.77%
Tampa Bay Rowdies	5.18%	1.63%	2.22%	6.67%	10.26%	8.96%	1.60%	9.81%	10.74%	4.52%	9.22%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	El Paso Locomotive	FC Tulsa	Las Vegas Lights FC	Lexington SC	Monterey Bay FC	New Mexico United	Oakland Roots	Orange County SC	Phoenix Rising	Sacramento Republic	San Antonio FC
Colorado Springs Switchbacks		1.27%	2.01%	0.91%	1.15%	0.10%	1.59%	1.21%	2.18%	1.68%	1.82%	2.35%
El Paso Locomotive	1.86%		3.27%	1.81%	2.78%	0.12%	3.31%	2.67%	3.95%	3.22%	3.82%	4.07%
FC Tulsa	3.54%	5.49%		3.69%	5.05%	0.45%	5.30%	5.24%	4.90%	5.80%	4.76%	5.36%
Las Vegas Lights FC	1.00%	1.38%	1.78%		1.51%	0.07%	1.53%	1.22%	2.30%	1.79%	2.01%	2.38%
Lexington SC	1.93%	3.19%	3.64%	1.73%		0.15%	3.35%	2.51%	3.94%	3.39%	3.80%	4.28%
Monterey Bay FC	0.01%	0.09%	0.15%		0.04%		0.10%	0.04%	0.25%	0.06%	0.17%	0.15%
New Mexico United	1.76%	3.11%	3.56%	2.19%	2.99%	0.14%		2.94%	3.74%	3.40%	3.55%	4.29%
Oakland Roots	1.31%	2.07%	2.73%	1.34%	2.26%	0.22%	2.45%		3.17%	2.49%	3.06%	3.67%
Orange County SC	5.25%	6.55%	4.98%	4.87%	6.11%	0.74%	5.80%	5.65%		6.31%	5.07%	5.29%
Phoenix Rising	2.38%	3.82%	4.70%	2.41%	4.12%	0.21%	4.15%	3.73%	4.87%		4.33%	4.90%
Sacramento Republic	4.03%	5.43%	5.28%	4.03%	5.58%	0.52%	5.81%	4.98%	4.42%	5.73%		5.74%
San Antonio FC	3.65%	5.27%	5.25%	4.10%	5.08%	0.54%	5.34%	4.97%	4.30%	5.45%	5.15%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Birmingham Legion	Brooklyn FC	Charleston Battery	Detroit City FC	Hartford Athletic	Indy Eleven	Loudoun United	Louisville City FC	Miami FC	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Rhode Island FC	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Birmingham Legion			0.27%	0.17%	0.12%	0.10%		0.11%	0.01%	0.15%	0.09%	0.29%
Brooklyn FC			0.06%		0.02%	0.05%		0.05%	0.01%	0.02%	0.02%	0.05%
Charleston Battery	0.47%	0.17%		5.53%	4.46%	4.42%	0.10%	4.42%	1.52%	6.29%	4.22%	3.17%
Detroit City FC	0.26%	0.12%	3.87%		2.11%	2.39%	0.08%	1.96%	0.64%	3.52%	2.45%	3.37%
Hartford Athletic	0.21%	0.09%	2.60%	1.65%		1.60%	0.06%	1.41%	0.56%	2.19%	1.51%	2.92%
Indy Eleven	0.22%	0.10%	2.61%	1.92%	1.70%		0.04%	1.68%	0.54%	2.58%	1.76%	2.62%
Loudoun United			0.07%	0.02%	0.02%			0.01%		0.05%	0.02%	0.04%
Louisville City FC	0.20%	0.05%	3.05%	2.01%	1.60%	1.64%	0.03%		0.42%	2.34%	1.94%	3.25%
Miami FC	0.01%	0.01%	0.46%	0.29%	0.25%	0.28%	0.01%	0.26%		0.44%	0.29%	0.73%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0.35%	0.10%	4.80%	3.65%	2.87%	3.61%	0.07%	2.98%	1.00%		2.90%	3.29%
Rhode Island FC	0.23%	0.05%	3.63%	2.46%	2.04%	1.87%	0.03%	2.00%	0.62%	2.88%		3.98%
Tampa Bay Rowdies	0.85%	0.22%	4.58%	6.79%	6.15%	6.22%	0.18%	7.24%	2.31%	6.04%	6.52%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	El Paso Locomotive	FC Tulsa	Las Vegas Lights FC	Lexington SC	Monterey Bay FC	New Mexico United	Oakland Roots	Orange County SC	Phoenix Rising	Sacramento Republic	San Antonio FC
Colorado Springs Switchbacks		0.57%	0.83%	0.26%	0.63%	0.01%	0.38%	0.48%	0.94%	0.70%	0.82%	0.90%
El Paso Locomotive	0.61%		1.65%	0.60%	1.24%	0.06%	1.28%	1.15%	2.15%	1.46%	1.93%	1.86%
FC Tulsa	1.22%	2.51%		1.60%	2.68%	0.17%	2.50%	2.21%	3.65%	2.84%	3.64%	3.93%
Las Vegas Lights FC	0.35%	0.49%	0.80%		0.66%	0.01%	0.50%	0.41%	1.02%	0.75%	0.92%	0.88%
Lexington SC	0.75%	1.29%	1.93%	0.59%		0.03%	1.20%	0.97%	2.10%	1.69%	1.98%	2.28%
Monterey Bay FC		0.03%	0.05%	0.01%	0.04%		0.02%	0.04%	0.07%	0.01%	0.01%	0.08%
New Mexico United	0.58%	1.19%	1.67%	0.75%	1.16%	0.03%		1.09%	2.46%	1.49%	2.10%	2.31%
Oakland Roots	0.57%	0.85%	1.32%	0.42%	0.80%	0.02%	0.95%		1.62%	1.09%	1.45%	1.29%
Orange County SC	1.73%	3.14%	4.23%	1.88%	3.06%	0.10%	3.29%	2.64%		3.68%	4.05%	4.33%
Phoenix Rising	1.00%	1.68%	2.57%	1.04%	1.56%	0.04%	1.77%	1.39%	3.14%		2.70%	2.74%
Sacramento Republic	1.70%	2.88%	3.99%	1.64%	2.65%	0.10%	2.57%	2.30%	3.92%	3.36%		3.50%
San Antonio FC	1.24%	2.26%	3.59%	1.39%	2.62%	0.13%	2.38%	1.71%	3.42%	2.92%	3.34%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Birmingham Legion	Brooklyn FC	Charleston Battery	Detroit City FC	Hartford Athletic	Indy Eleven	Loudoun United	Louisville City FC	Miami FC	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Rhode Island FC	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Birmingham Legion			0.05%	0.05%	0.04%	0.04%		0.06%	0.01%	0.03%	0.04%	0.05%
Brooklyn FC			0.01%	0.02%	0.01%	0.01%				0.04%	0.01%
Charleston Battery	0.14%	0.03%		2.08%	1.52%	1.59%	0.03%	1.57%	0.43%	2.63%	2.18%	5.23%
Detroit City FC	0.11%	0.03%	1.71%		0.92%	0.80%	0.02%	1.01%	0.32%	1.18%	1.36%	2.21%
Hartford Athletic	0.02%	0.01%	1.06%	0.88%		0.62%	0.05%	0.64%	0.22%	0.91%	0.57%	1.37%
Indy Eleven	0.10%	0.02%	1.02%	0.93%	0.53%		0.02%	0.75%	0.28%	0.88%	0.95%	1.42%
Loudoun United			0.02%		0.01%			0.01%		0.01%	0.01%
Louisville City FC	0.10%	0.01%	1.23%	1.00%	0.67%	0.66%	0.02%		0.19%	1.00%	1.01%	1.39%
Miami FC	0.01%	0.01%	0.15%	0.09%	0.06%	0.12%		0.06%		0.17%	0.08%	0.11%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0.15%	0.04%	2.29%	1.24%	1.07%	1.13%		1.26%	0.25%		1.22%	3.09%
Rhode Island FC	0.12%	0.01%	1.53%	1.01%	0.86%	0.88%	0.02%	1.07%	0.19%	1.32%		1.82%
Tampa Bay Rowdies	0.19%	0.02%	8.27%	3.80%	2.76%	3.02%	0.01%	2.82%	0.28%	5.71%	3.53%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	El Paso Locomotive	FC Tulsa	Las Vegas Lights FC	Lexington SC	Monterey Bay FC	New Mexico United	Oakland Roots	Orange County SC	Phoenix Rising	Sacramento Republic	San Antonio FC
Colorado Springs Switchbacks		0.25%	0.41%	0.13%	0.28%		0.16%	0.16%	0.40%	0.25%	0.36%	0.25%
El Paso Locomotive	0.31%		0.92%	0.22%	0.67%		0.55%	0.29%	0.96%	0.81%	0.93%	0.87%
FC Tulsa	0.51%	1.28%		0.66%	1.24%	0.01%	1.21%	0.78%	2.71%	1.59%	2.26%	2.17%
Las Vegas Lights FC	0.17%	0.27%	0.35%		0.17%	0.02%	0.28%	0.12%	0.40%	0.30%	0.40%	0.29%
Lexington SC	0.27%	0.48%	0.74%	0.24%		0.03%	0.51%	0.41%	1.04%	0.92%	1.03%	0.79%
Monterey Bay FC	0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.01%	0.01%				0.03%	0.01%	0.02%	0.02%
New Mexico United	0.24%	0.64%	1.09%	0.31%	0.59%	0.02%		0.40%	1.09%	0.65%	0.93%	1.13%
Oakland Roots	0.20%	0.33%	0.77%	0.20%	0.38%	0.03%	0.36%		0.75%	0.41%	0.62%	0.64%
Orange County SC	0.72%	1.42%	2.79%	0.69%	1.48%	0.03%	1.51%	1.07%		2.07%	3.12%	2.73%
Phoenix Rising	0.37%	0.85%	1.52%	0.38%	0.97%	0.02%	0.83%	0.67%	1.60%		1.22%	1.35%
Sacramento Republic	0.70%	1.03%	2.22%	0.57%	1.40%	0.03%	1.37%	0.98%	3.17%	1.60%		2.49%
San Antonio FC	0.37%	0.90%	1.69%	0.61%	1.16%	0.02%	0.96%	0.81%	2.35%	1.24%	2.16%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Birmingham Legion	Brooklyn FC	Charleston Battery	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	Detroit City FC	El Paso Locomotive	FC Tulsa	Hartford Athletic	Indy Eleven	Las Vegas Lights FC	Lexington SC	Loudoun United	Louisville City FC	Miami FC	Monterey Bay FC	New Mexico United	Oakland Roots	Orange County SC	Phoenix Rising	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Rhode Island FC	Sacramento Republic	San Antonio FC	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Birmingham Legion							0.01%			0.01%	0.01%					0.01%			0.04%			0.04%	0.03%
Brooklyn FC							0.02%				0.01%
Charleston Battery				0.30%		0.72%	1.55%			0.36%	0.84%				0.02%	0.94%	0.69%	2.05%	1.00%			1.47%	1.22%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks			0.14%		0.08%			0.05%	0.04%				0.10%	0.01%						0.12%	0.05%			0.23%
Detroit City FC				0.18%		0.37%	0.84%			0.15%	0.43%				0.02%	0.41%	0.20%	0.97%	0.68%			0.79%	0.66%
El Paso Locomotive	0.01%	0.01%	0.40%		0.26%			0.19%	0.16%				0.13%	0.02%						0.38%	0.21%			0.56%
FC Tulsa	0.03%		0.95%		0.53%			0.44%	0.65%				0.51%	0.06%						0.75%	0.72%			1.51%
Hartford Athletic				0.11%		0.18%	0.56%			0.13%	0.25%				0.01%	0.30%	0.15%	0.63%	0.19%			0.41%	0.47%
Indy Eleven				0.10%		0.20%	0.55%			0.12%	0.31%				0.01%	0.19%	0.20%	0.51%	0.37%			0.46%	0.48%
Las Vegas Lights FC			0.13%		0.04%			0.02%	0.03%				0.08%							0.10%	0.07%			0.27%
Lexington SC	0.02%	0.01%	0.47%		0.27%			0.15%	0.18%				0.14%	0.02%						0.25%	0.21%			0.45%
Loudoun United																						0.01%
Louisville City FC				0.10%		0.23%	0.52%			0.14%	0.25%					0.28%	0.23%	0.62%	0.41%			0.52%	0.56%
Miami FC						0.03%	0.09%			0.01%	0.03%					0.02%	0.02%	0.03%	0.03%			0.06%	0.01%
New Mexico United	0.02%		0.37%		0.23%			0.19%	0.30%			0.01%	0.25%	0.06%						0.37%	0.29%			0.53%
Oakland Roots	0.01%		0.25%		0.21%			0.16%	0.14%				0.15%	0.07%						0.16%	0.14%			0.26%
Orange County SC	0.04%	0.03%	1.19%		0.76%			0.58%	0.62%			0.03%	0.73%	0.07%						1.00%	0.72%			1.78%
Phoenix Rising	0.03%	0.01%	0.58%		0.45%			0.32%	0.30%			0.01%	0.32%	0.07%						0.50%	0.48%			0.88%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds				0.31%		0.42%	0.73%			0.32%	0.41%				0.01%	0.59%	0.37%	1.13%	0.51%			0.99%	0.76%
Rhode Island FC				0.19%		0.35%	0.57%			0.10%	0.33%				0.04%	0.40%	0.26%	0.74%	0.51%			0.74%	0.56%
Sacramento Republic	0.03%		1.14%		0.72%			0.53%	0.59%				0.63%	0.09%						0.96%	0.61%			1.40%
San Antonio FC	0.03%	0.01%	0.65%		0.42%			0.33%	0.39%				0.38%	0.06%						0.60%	0.54%			1.39%
Tampa Bay Rowdies				0.54%		1.70%	2.83%			0.69%	1.42%				0.04%	1.33%	1.02%	3.40%	2.09%			3.37%	2.72%

Completed Games

Every regular-season game played so far this season from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2026-03-07	Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 0-1	1473.54	1492.80	41.80%	31.71%	26.49%	-13.40	0
2026-03-11	Hartford Athletic	T 0-0	1460.14	1559.49	30.54%	32.31%	37.16%	+0.45	1
2026-03-21	@ Charleston Battery	L 2-3	1460.59	1559.85	16.49%	26.16%	57.35%	-5.52	1
2026-04-04	@ Loudoun United	T 2-2	1455.07	1460.08	23.89%	30.98%	45.12%	+1.02	2
2026-04-12	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	W 1-0	1456.09	1505.24	37.60%	32.27%	30.13%	+10.65	5
2026-04-19	Indy Eleven	T 2-2	1466.74	1502.48	39.49%	32.07%	28.44%	-0.51	6
2026-05-02	@ Rhode Island FC	W 3-1	1466.23	1550.06	17.46%	27.12%	55.42%	+26.94	9
2026-05-07	Miami FC	T 0-0	1493.17	1455.90	49.43%	29.65%	20.92%	-2.10	10
2026-05-23	@ Monterey Bay FC	L 0-2	1491.07	1358.74	41.79%	31.72%	26.49%	-25.26	10
2026-06-03	Louisville City FC	T 1-1	1465.81	1507.43	38.66%	32.17%	29.17%	-0.59	11
2026-06-13	Las Vegas Lights FC	L 1-2	1465.22	1452.69	46.14%	30.71%	23.15%	-13.58	11
2026-03-08	Indy Eleven	W 1-0	1500.00	1489.92	45.81%	30.80%	23.39%	+8.74	3
2026-03-14	@ Detroit City FC	L 0-3	1508.74	1504.20	24.88%	31.30%	43.82%	-25.20	3
2026-03-21	Hartford Athletic	L 1-2	1483.54	1559.04	33.83%	32.43%	33.74%	-10.89	3
2026-03-25	@ Lexington SC	L 0-3	1472.65	1470.96	24.58%	31.21%	44.21%	-24.96	3
2026-03-28	Louisville City FC	L 0-1	1447.69	1597.07	24.63%	31.23%	44.14%	-9.13	3
2026-04-11	Charleston Battery	W 3-0	1438.56	1584.20	25.03%	31.34%	43.63%	+37.87	6
2026-04-21	Sacramento Republic	T 1-1	1476.43	1550.62	34.01%	32.43%	33.55%	-0.03	7
2026-05-02	@ Miami FC	L 2-3	1476.40	1446.95	27.68%	31.95%	40.38%	-8.95	7
2026-05-09	Loudoun United	L 0-1	1467.45	1461.42	45.26%	30.95%	23.79%	-14.21	7
2026-05-23	@ Rhode Island FC	L 1-4	1453.24	1522.49	18.45%	27.98%	53.57%	-16.12	7
2026-05-30	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	T 2-2	1437.12	1388.65	30.04%	32.26%	37.69%	+0.35	8
2026-06-13	@ Louisville City FC	T 2-2	1437.47	1536.86	16.49%	26.15%	57.36%	+2.06	9
2026-03-07	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	W 2-1	1552.27	1519.66	48.82%	29.87%	21.32%	+7.58	3
2026-03-21	Birmingham Legion	W 3-2	1559.85	1460.59	57.35%	26.16%	16.49%	+5.52	6
2026-03-28	@ Detroit City FC	L 0-1	1565.37	1519.39	29.72%	32.23%	38.05%	-10.55	6
2026-04-04	@ Louisville City FC	W 2-0	1554.82	1606.20	19.78%	28.95%	51.27%	+29.38	9
2026-04-11	@ Brooklyn FC	L 0-3	1584.20	1438.56	43.63%	31.34%	25.03%	-37.86	9
2026-04-18	Tampa Bay Rowdies	T 1-1	1546.34	1553.14	43.51%	31.37%	25.12%	-1.17	10
2026-04-22	@ Rhode Island FC	L 0-4	1545.17	1514.06	27.87%	31.98%	40.14%	-35.99	10
2026-05-02	Sporting Club Jacksonville	W 4-0	1509.18	1416.47	56.53%	26.58%	16.89%	+22.69	13
2026-05-23	@ New Mexico United	L 0-1	1531.87	1487.45	29.52%	32.21%	38.27%	-10.50	13
2026-05-30	Detroit City FC	W 2-0	1521.37	1534.72	42.61%	31.56%	25.83%	+17.89	16
2026-06-10	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	T 2-2	1539.26	1619.77	17.68%	27.32%	55.00%	+1.87	17
2026-06-13	FC Tulsa	W 5-1	1541.13	1566.63	40.93%	31.86%	27.21%	+29.45	20
2026-03-07	@ El Paso Locomotive	T 2-2	1487.79	1489.14	24.26%	31.11%	44.63%	+0.97	1
2026-03-14	Las Vegas Lights FC	W 3-2	1488.76	1456.43	48.78%	29.88%	21.34%	+7.21	4
2026-03-21	@ Orange County SC	L 0-1	1495.97	1497.92	24.20%	31.09%	44.71%	-9.00	4
2026-03-28	@ New Mexico United	L 2-3	1486.97	1492.37	23.85%	30.97%	45.18%	-7.95	4
2026-04-04	Lexington SC	T 1-1	1479.02	1479.74	44.34%	31.18%	24.48%	-1.27	5
2026-04-18	Monterey Bay FC	W 4-1	1477.75	1392.77	55.56%	27.05%	17.39%	+15.12	8
2026-05-02	@ San Antonio FC	T 3-3	1492.87	1521.14	21.70%	30.06%	48.24%	+1.08	9
2026-05-08	Orange County SC	T 2-2	1493.95	1527.79	39.76%	32.04%	28.20%	-0.53	10
2026-05-23	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	L 0-2	1493.42	1431.01	31.90%	32.39%	35.71%	-20.92	10
2026-05-30	@ Oakland Roots	W 1-0	1472.50	1502.06	21.58%	30.00%	48.41%	+14.93	13
2026-06-13	Sacramento Republic	L 0-1	1487.43	1530.56	38.45%	32.19%	29.36%	-12.62	13
2026-03-14	Brooklyn FC	W 3-0	1504.20	1508.74	43.82%	31.30%	24.88%	+25.20	3
2026-03-21	@ Indy Eleven	L 1-2	1529.40	1481.18	30.01%	32.26%	37.73%	-10.01	3
2026-03-28	Charleston Battery	W 1-0	1519.39	1565.37	38.05%	32.23%	29.72%	+10.55	6
2026-04-04	@ Rhode Island FC	T 0-0	1529.94	1492.46	28.65%	32.10%	39.25%	+0.73	7
2026-04-11	Sporting Club Jacksonville	W 1-0	1530.67	1427.37	57.85%	25.90%	16.25%	+6.06	10
2026-04-18	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	L 1-2	1536.73	1494.59	29.23%	32.18%	38.59%	-9.82	10
2026-05-02	Louisville City FC	W 2-1	1526.91	1581.21	36.86%	32.33%	30.81%	+10.20	13
2026-05-09	@ Hartford Athletic	L 1-2	1537.11	1512.46	27.11%	31.84%	41.05%	-9.29	13
2026-05-20	Miami FC	W 2-1	1527.82	1457.99	53.64%	27.95%	18.41%	+6.57	16
2026-05-23	@ Loudoun United	T 0-0	1534.39	1475.63	31.40%	32.37%	36.23%	+0.33	17
2026-05-30	@ Charleston Battery	L 0-2	1534.72	1521.37	25.83%	31.56%	42.61%	-17.89	17
2026-06-10	El Paso Locomotive	T 1-1	1516.83	1495.25	47.35%	30.35%	22.30%	-1.63	18
2026-06-13	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	W 6-2	1515.20	1380.45	42.13%	31.65%	26.22%	+24.29	21
2026-03-07	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	T 2-2	1489.14	1487.79	44.63%	31.11%	24.26%	-0.97	1
2026-03-14	@ Monterey Bay FC	W 3-0	1488.17	1441.27	29.84%	32.24%	37.92%	+34.21	4
2026-03-28	@ Sacramento Republic	W 2-1	1522.38	1550.55	21.71%	30.07%	48.23%	+14.04	7
2026-04-04	Las Vegas Lights FC	W 3-2	1536.42	1450.94	55.62%	27.02%	17.35%	+5.85	10
2026-04-11	@ Hartford Athletic	W 4-0	1542.27	1567.85	21.94%	30.18%	47.89%	+52.99	13
2026-04-18	San Antonio FC	L 2-3	1595.26	1506.26	56.07%	26.81%	17.13%	-14.88	13
2026-04-29	FC Tulsa	L 1-4	1580.38	1506.52	54.16%	27.72%	18.13%	-37.46	13
2026-05-06	@ New Mexico United	T 2-2	1542.92	1487.03	31.02%	32.34%	36.64%	+0.26	14
2026-05-09	@ Oakland Roots	L 1-2	1543.18	1499.78	29.39%	32.20%	38.41%	-9.87	14
2026-05-30	Lexington SC	L 1-4	1533.31	1450.05	55.34%	27.16%	17.50%	-38.06	14
2026-06-10	@ Detroit City FC	T 1-1	1495.25	1516.83	22.30%	30.35%	47.35%	+1.63	15
2026-06-13	Phoenix Rising	T 1-1	1496.88	1520.80	41.15%	31.83%	27.02%	-0.88	16
2026-03-07	@ Sacramento Republic	L 0-2	1533.34	1537.21	24.01%	31.02%	44.97%	-16.86	0
2026-03-14	San Antonio FC	T 0-0	1516.48	1500.50	46.60%	30.57%	22.82%	-1.72	1
2026-03-21	Las Vegas Lights FC	W 3-2	1514.76	1449.22	53.09%	28.19%	18.71%	+6.34	4
2026-03-28	Phoenix Rising	T 1-1	1521.10	1492.47	48.29%	30.04%	21.66%	-1.74	5
2026-04-11	Orange County SC	L 0-1	1519.36	1524.41	43.76%	31.31%	24.93%	-13.85	5
2026-04-18	@ Oakland Roots	T 1-1	1505.51	1488.96	26.18%	31.65%	42.17%	+1.01	6
2026-04-29	@ El Paso Locomotive	W 4-1	1506.52	1580.38	18.13%	27.72%	54.16%	+37.46	9
2026-05-03	@ Monterey Bay FC	W 2-1	1543.98	1377.65	46.44%	30.62%	22.94%	+8.10	12
2026-05-22	Hartford Athletic	W 2-0	1552.08	1521.75	48.52%	29.97%	21.52%	+15.31	15
2026-05-30	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	T 0-0	1567.39	1451.93	39.44%	32.08%	28.49%	-0.76	16
2026-06-13	@ Charleston Battery	L 1-5	1566.63	1541.13	27.21%	31.86%	40.93%	-29.45	16
2026-03-07	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	W 3-0	1523.14	1500.00	26.93%	31.81%	41.26%	+36.35	3
2026-03-11	@ Birmingham Legion	T 0-0	1559.49	1460.14	37.16%	32.31%	30.54%	-0.45	4
2026-03-21	@ Brooklyn FC	W 2-1	1559.04	1483.54	33.74%	32.43%	33.83%	+10.88	7
2026-03-28	Indy Eleven	T 2-2	1569.92	1491.19	54.77%	27.43%	17.80%	-1.85	8
2026-04-04	@ Miami FC	T 0-0	1568.07	1481.06	35.39%	32.41%	32.20%	-0.22	9
2026-04-11	El Paso Locomotive	L 0-4	1567.85	1542.27	47.89%	30.18%	21.94%	-52.99	9
2026-04-18	Loudoun United	T 0-0	1514.86	1459.51	51.78%	28.75%	19.47%	-2.40	10
2026-05-09	Detroit City FC	W 2-1	1512.46	1537.11	41.05%	31.84%	27.11%	+9.29	13
2026-05-22	@ FC Tulsa	L 0-2	1521.75	1552.08	21.52%	29.97%	48.52%	-15.31	13
2026-05-30	New Mexico United	T 0-0	1506.44	1497.95	45.60%	30.86%	23.55%	-1.58	14
2026-06-13	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	W 1-0	1504.86	1617.89	15.69%	25.25%	59.05%	+17.25	17
2026-03-08	@ Brooklyn FC	L 0-1	1489.92	1500.00	23.39%	30.80%	45.81%	-8.74	0
2026-03-21	Detroit City FC	W 2-1	1481.18	1529.40	37.73%	32.26%	30.01%	+10.01	3
2026-03-28	@ Hartford Athletic	T 2-2	1491.19	1569.92	17.80%	27.43%	54.77%	+1.86	4
2026-04-04	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	T 1-1	1493.05	1504.15	42.92%	31.50%	25.58%	-1.10	5
2026-04-11	Monterey Bay FC	W 3-1	1491.95	1403.31	56.02%	26.83%	17.15%	+10.53	8
2026-04-19	@ Birmingham Legion	T 2-2	1502.48	1466.74	28.44%	32.07%	39.49%	+0.51	9
2026-05-02	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 0-1	1502.99	1554.31	19.78%	28.96%	51.26%	-7.49	9
2026-05-09	Sporting Club Jacksonville	W 2-1	1495.50	1393.78	57.65%	26.00%	16.35%	+5.76	12
2026-05-23	Lexington SC	W 3-1	1501.26	1462.91	49.57%	29.60%	20.83%	+12.86	15
2026-05-30	Rhode Island FC	W 1-0	1514.12	1538.61	41.07%	31.84%	27.09%	+9.85	18
2026-06-13	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	L 0-1	1523.97	1536.17	23.19%	30.72%	46.10%	-8.68	18
2026-03-07	@ Orange County SC	T 1-1	1454.45	1498.65	20.35%	29.32%	50.34%	+1.98	1
2026-03-14	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	L 2-3	1456.43	1488.76	21.34%	29.88%	48.78%	-7.21	1
2026-03-21	@ FC Tulsa	L 2-3	1449.22	1514.76	18.71%	28.19%	53.09%	-6.33	1
2026-03-28	Monterey Bay FC	W 1-0	1442.89	1410.42	48.80%	29.87%	21.33%	+8.05	4
2026-04-04	@ El Paso Locomotive	L 2-3	1450.94	1536.42	17.35%	27.02%	55.62%	-5.85	4
2026-04-11	Sacramento Republic	T 1-1	1445.09	1551.14	29.67%	32.23%	38.11%	+0.52	5
2026-04-22	@ Oakland Roots	L 2-4	1445.61	1487.96	20.50%	29.41%	50.09%	-11.33	5
2026-05-02	Lexington SC	W 2-1	1434.28	1461.48	40.69%	31.90%	27.41%	+9.37	8
2026-05-09	@ New Mexico United	L 1-3	1443.65	1486.78	20.43%	29.37%	50.20%	-12.64	8
2026-05-23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	W 2-0	1431.01	1493.42	35.71%	32.39%	31.90%	+20.92	11
2026-05-30	FC Tulsa	T 0-0	1451.93	1567.39	28.49%	32.08%	39.44%	+0.76	12
2026-06-13	@ Birmingham Legion	W 2-1	1452.69	1465.22	23.15%	30.71%	46.14%	+13.58	15
2026-03-06	Louisville City FC	L 1-2	1481.52	1562.89	32.99%	32.43%	34.58%	-10.70	0
2026-03-14	Sacramento Republic	T 0-0	1470.82	1554.06	32.73%	32.42%	34.85%	+0.14	1
2026-03-25	Brooklyn FC	W 3-0	1470.96	1472.65	44.21%	31.21%	24.58%	+24.96	4
2026-03-29	@ San Antonio FC	L 0-2	1495.92	1511.25	22.88%	30.60%	46.52%	-16.18	4
2026-04-04	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	T 1-1	1479.74	1479.02	24.48%	31.18%	44.34%	+1.27	5
2026-04-11	Rhode Island FC	L 1-3	1481.01	1491.73	42.98%	31.48%	25.54%	-22.33	5
2026-04-18	@ Orange County SC	T 0-0	1458.68	1538.26	17.74%	27.38%	54.88%	+2.80	6
2026-05-02	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	L 1-2	1461.48	1434.28	27.41%	31.90%	40.69%	-9.37	6
2026-05-08	Monterey Bay FC	W 3-1	1452.11	1369.54	55.26%	27.20%	17.54%	+10.80	9
2026-05-23	@ Indy Eleven	L 1-3	1462.91	1501.26	20.83%	29.60%	49.57%	-12.86	9
2026-05-30	@ El Paso Locomotive	W 4-1	1450.05	1533.31	17.50%	27.16%	55.34%	+38.06	12
2026-06-13	San Antonio FC	W 2-0	1488.11	1530.95	38.49%	32.19%	29.32%	+19.69	15
2026-03-14	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	L 2-3	1485.54	1512.07	40.78%	31.89%	27.33%	-11.78	0
2026-03-21	Miami FC	T 0-0	1473.76	1448.55	47.84%	30.19%	21.97%	-1.88	1
2026-03-28	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 1-3	1471.88	1532.55	19.07%	28.46%	52.47%	-11.80	1
2026-04-04	Birmingham Legion	T 2-2	1460.08	1455.07	45.12%	30.98%	23.89%	-1.01	2
2026-04-10	Louisville City FC	T 3-3	1459.07	1576.82	28.20%	32.04%	39.76%	+0.44	3
2026-04-18	@ Hartford Athletic	T 0-0	1459.51	1514.86	19.47%	28.75%	51.78%	+2.40	4
2026-05-02	Oakland Roots	T 2-2	1461.91	1499.29	39.26%	32.10%	28.64%	-0.49	5
2026-05-09	@ Brooklyn FC	W 1-0	1461.42	1467.45	23.79%	30.95%	45.26%	+14.21	8
2026-05-23	Detroit City FC	T 0-0	1475.63	1534.39	36.23%	32.37%	31.40%	-0.33	9
2026-05-30	@ Monterey Bay FC	L 1-4	1475.30	1384.00	36.01%	32.38%	31.61%	-27.83	9
2026-06-13	Rhode Island FC	L 1-4	1447.47	1528.77	33.00%	32.43%	34.57%	-26.22	9
2026-03-06	@ Lexington SC	W 2-1	1562.89	1481.52	34.58%	32.43%	32.99%	+10.70	3
2026-03-14	Miami FC	W 4-1	1573.59	1462.07	58.87%	25.36%	15.78%	+13.53	6
2026-03-21	Rhode Island FC	W 4-2	1587.12	1511.88	54.33%	27.64%	18.03%	+9.95	9
2026-03-28	@ Brooklyn FC	W 1-0	1597.07	1447.69	44.14%	31.23%	24.63%	+9.13	12
2026-04-04	Charleston Battery	L 0-2	1606.20	1554.82	51.27%	28.95%	19.78%	-29.38	12
2026-04-10	@ Loudoun United	T 3-3	1576.82	1459.07	39.76%	32.04%	28.20%	-0.44	13
2026-04-18	Sporting Club Jacksonville	W 1-0	1576.38	1421.30	64.14%	22.31%	13.55%	+4.83	16
2026-05-02	@ Detroit City FC	L 1-2	1581.21	1526.91	30.81%	32.33%	36.86%	-10.21	16
2026-05-09	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	L 0-2	1571.00	1491.67	54.85%	27.39%	17.76%	-30.87	16
2026-05-23	@ Miami FC	L 3-4	1540.13	1451.42	35.64%	32.40%	31.97%	-10.44	16
2026-05-30	Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 0-2	1529.69	1597.51	34.93%	32.42%	32.65%	-22.26	16
2026-06-03	@ Birmingham Legion	T 1-1	1507.43	1465.81	29.17%	32.17%	38.66%	+0.59	17
2026-06-10	@ Phoenix Rising	W 2-0	1508.02	1549.64	20.56%	29.44%	50.00%	+28.84	20
2026-06-13	Brooklyn FC	T 2-2	1536.86	1437.47	57.36%	26.15%	16.49%	-2.07	21
2026-03-14	@ Louisville City FC	L 1-4	1462.07	1573.59	15.78%	25.36%	58.87%	-13.52	0
2026-03-21	@ Loudoun United	T 0-0	1448.55	1473.76	21.97%	30.19%	47.84%	+1.88	1
2026-03-25	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	W 4-2	1450.43	1465.72	22.89%	30.60%	46.51%	+21.17	4
2026-03-28	Rhode Island FC	W 2-1	1471.60	1501.93	40.25%	31.97%	27.78%	+9.46	7
2026-04-04	Hartford Athletic	T 0-0	1481.06	1568.07	32.20%	32.41%	35.39%	+0.22	8
2026-04-11	@ San Antonio FC	T 0-0	1481.28	1508.17	21.82%	30.12%	48.06%	+1.91	9
2026-04-18	Phoenix Rising	L 0-3	1483.19	1507.51	41.09%	31.84%	27.07%	-36.24	9
2026-05-02	Brooklyn FC	W 3-2	1446.95	1476.40	40.38%	31.95%	27.68%	+8.95	12
2026-05-07	@ Birmingham Legion	T 0-0	1455.90	1493.17	20.92%	29.65%	49.43%	+2.09	13
2026-05-20	@ Detroit City FC	L 1-2	1457.99	1527.82	18.41%	27.95%	53.64%	-6.57	13
2026-05-23	Louisville City FC	W 4-3	1451.42	1540.13	31.97%	32.40%	35.64%	+10.45	16
2026-05-30	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	L 0-2	1461.87	1522.54	19.07%	28.46%	52.47%	-13.62	16
2026-06-13	@ Oakland Roots	T 0-0	1448.25	1487.13	20.78%	29.57%	49.64%	+2.12	17
2026-03-07	Oakland Roots	L 0-1	1454.55	1477.46	41.29%	31.80%	26.91%	-13.28	0
2026-03-14	El Paso Locomotive	L 0-3	1441.27	1488.17	37.92%	32.24%	29.84%	-34.22	0
2026-03-21	@ Sacramento Republic	T 1-1	1407.05	1553.92	13.94%	22.90%	63.16%	+3.37	1
2026-03-28	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	L 0-1	1410.42	1442.89	21.33%	29.87%	48.80%	-8.05	1
2026-04-04	San Antonio FC	T 0-0	1402.37	1527.43	27.33%	31.89%	40.78%	+0.94	2
2026-04-11	@ Indy Eleven	L 1-3	1403.31	1491.95	17.15%	26.83%	56.02%	-10.54	2
2026-04-18	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	L 1-4	1392.77	1477.75	17.39%	27.05%	55.56%	-15.12	2
2026-05-03	FC Tulsa	L 1-2	1377.65	1543.98	22.94%	30.62%	46.44%	-8.11	2
2026-05-08	@ Lexington SC	L 1-3	1369.54	1452.11	17.54%	27.20%	55.26%	-10.80	2
2026-05-23	Birmingham Legion	W 2-0	1358.74	1491.07	26.49%	31.72%	41.79%	+25.26	5
2026-05-30	Loudoun United	W 4-1	1384.00	1475.30	31.61%	32.38%	36.01%	+27.84	8
2026-06-10	Sporting Club Jacksonville	W 2-1	1411.84	1388.30	47.61%	30.26%	22.12%	+7.85	11
2026-03-14	@ Oakland Roots	L 1-2	1510.54	1490.74	26.55%	31.73%	41.72%	-9.14	0
2026-03-21	@ San Antonio FC	L 0-1	1501.40	1502.22	24.32%	31.13%	44.56%	-9.03	0
2026-03-28	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	W 3-2	1492.37	1486.97	45.18%	30.97%	23.85%	+7.95	3
2026-04-04	@ Orange County SC	W 1-0	1500.32	1520.74	22.41%	30.39%	47.20%	+14.65	6
2026-04-11	@ Phoenix Rising	L 0-3	1514.97	1479.58	28.39%	32.06%	39.54%	-27.94	6
2026-05-06	El Paso Locomotive	T 2-2	1487.03	1542.92	36.64%	32.34%	31.02%	-0.25	7
2026-05-09	Las Vegas Lights FC	W 3-1	1486.78	1443.65	50.20%	29.37%	20.43%	+12.63	10
2026-05-20	Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 0-1	1499.41	1562.43	35.62%	32.40%	31.99%	-11.96	10
2026-05-23	Charleston Battery	W 1-0	1487.45	1531.87	38.27%	32.21%	29.52%	+10.50	13
2026-05-30	@ Hartford Athletic	T 0-0	1497.95	1506.44	23.55%	30.86%	45.60%	+1.58	14
2026-06-13	Orange County SC	T 1-1	1499.53	1535.90	39.40%	32.08%	28.51%	-0.67	15
2026-03-07	@ Monterey Bay FC	W 1-0	1477.46	1454.55	26.91%	31.80%	41.29%	+13.28	3
2026-03-14	New Mexico United	W 2-1	1490.74	1510.54	41.72%	31.73%	26.55%	+9.14	6
2026-03-21	@ Phoenix Rising	T 1-1	1499.88	1493.65	25.06%	31.35%	43.59%	+1.18	7
2026-03-28	Orange County SC	L 0-1	1501.06	1506.92	43.64%	31.34%	25.02%	-13.83	7
2026-04-11	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	T 2-2	1487.23	1554.87	18.56%	28.07%	53.36%	+1.73	8
2026-04-18	FC Tulsa	T 1-1	1488.96	1505.51	42.17%	31.65%	26.18%	-1.00	9
2026-04-22	Las Vegas Lights FC	W 4-2	1487.96	1445.61	50.09%	29.41%	20.50%	+11.33	12
2026-05-02	@ Loudoun United	T 2-2	1499.29	1461.91	28.64%	32.10%	39.26%	+0.49	13
2026-05-09	El Paso Locomotive	W 2-1	1499.78	1543.18	38.41%	32.20%	29.39%	+9.86	16
2026-05-23	@ Orange County SC	L 2-3	1509.64	1528.32	22.57%	30.47%	46.97%	-7.58	16
2026-05-30	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	L 0-1	1502.06	1472.50	48.41%	30.00%	21.58%	-14.93	16
2026-06-13	Miami FC	T 0-0	1487.13	1448.25	49.64%	29.57%	20.78%	-2.12	17
2026-03-07	Las Vegas Lights FC	T 1-1	1498.65	1454.45	50.34%	29.32%	20.35%	-1.98	1
2026-03-14	@ Phoenix Rising	T 1-1	1496.67	1494.90	24.59%	31.21%	44.20%	+1.25	2
2026-03-21	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	W 1-0	1497.92	1495.97	44.71%	31.09%	24.20%	+9.00	5
2026-03-28	@ Oakland Roots	W 1-0	1506.92	1501.06	25.02%	31.34%	43.64%	+13.82	8
2026-04-04	New Mexico United	L 0-1	1520.74	1500.32	47.20%	30.39%	22.41%	-14.65	8
2026-04-08	San Antonio FC	W 2-0	1506.09	1526.49	41.64%	31.74%	26.62%	+18.32	11
2026-04-11	@ FC Tulsa	W 1-0	1524.41	1519.36	24.93%	31.31%	43.76%	+13.85	14
2026-04-18	Lexington SC	T 0-0	1538.26	1458.68	54.88%	27.38%	17.74%	-2.79	15
2026-05-02	@ Sacramento Republic	L 2-3	1535.47	1550.65	22.90%	30.60%	46.50%	-7.68	15
2026-05-08	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	T 2-2	1527.79	1493.95	28.20%	32.04%	39.76%	+0.53	16
2026-05-23	Oakland Roots	W 3-2	1528.32	1509.64	46.97%	30.47%	22.57%	+7.58	19
2026-06-13	@ New Mexico United	T 1-1	1535.90	1499.53	28.51%	32.08%	39.40%	+0.68	20
2026-03-07	@ San Antonio FC	L 1-2	1503.81	1491.59	25.70%	31.53%	42.77%	-8.91	0
2026-03-14	Orange County SC	T 1-1	1494.90	1496.67	44.20%	31.21%	24.59%	-1.25	1
2026-03-21	Oakland Roots	T 1-1	1493.65	1499.88	43.59%	31.35%	25.06%	-1.18	2
2026-03-28	@ FC Tulsa	T 1-1	1492.47	1521.10	21.66%	30.04%	48.29%	+1.74	3
2026-04-04	@ Sacramento Republic	L 0-2	1494.21	1536.51	20.50%	29.41%	50.09%	-14.63	3
2026-04-11	New Mexico United	W 3-0	1479.58	1514.97	39.54%	32.06%	28.39%	+27.93	6
2026-04-18	@ Miami FC	W 3-0	1507.51	1483.19	27.07%	31.84%	41.09%	+36.25	9
2026-05-02	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	W 1-0	1543.76	1504.42	28.88%	32.13%	38.99%	+12.74	12
2026-05-09	San Antonio FC	T 1-1	1556.50	1520.06	49.32%	29.69%	20.99%	-1.86	13
2026-05-23	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 0-3	1554.64	1574.40	22.47%	30.42%	47.11%	-23.12	13
2026-05-30	Sacramento Republic	W 2-0	1531.52	1548.68	42.09%	31.66%	26.25%	+18.12	16
2026-06-10	Louisville City FC	L 0-2	1549.64	1508.02	50.00%	29.44%	20.56%	-28.84	16
2026-06-13	@ El Paso Locomotive	T 1-1	1520.80	1496.88	27.02%	31.83%	41.15%	+0.88	17
2026-03-07	@ Charleston Battery	L 1-2	1519.66	1552.27	21.32%	29.87%	48.82%	-7.59	0
2026-03-14	@ Loudoun United	W 3-2	1512.07	1485.54	27.33%	31.89%	40.78%	+11.77	3
2026-03-21	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 0-3	1523.84	1506.20	26.31%	31.67%	42.02%	-26.36	3
2026-03-28	Sporting Club Jacksonville	W 3-2	1497.48	1444.55	51.47%	28.87%	19.65%	+6.67	6
2026-04-04	@ Indy Eleven	T 1-1	1504.15	1493.05	25.58%	31.50%	42.92%	+1.09	7
2026-04-12	@ Birmingham Legion	L 0-1	1505.24	1456.09	30.13%	32.27%	37.60%	-10.65	7
2026-04-18	Detroit City FC	W 2-1	1494.59	1536.73	38.59%	32.18%	29.23%	+9.83	10
2026-05-02	Phoenix Rising	L 0-1	1504.42	1543.76	38.99%	32.13%	28.88%	-12.75	10
2026-05-09	@ Louisville City FC	W 2-0	1491.67	1571.00	17.76%	27.39%	54.85%	+30.87	13
2026-05-30	Miami FC	W 2-0	1522.54	1461.87	52.47%	28.46%	19.07%	+13.63	16
2026-06-13	Indy Eleven	W 1-0	1536.17	1523.97	46.10%	30.72%	23.19%	+8.67	19
2026-03-14	Sporting Club Jacksonville	T 1-1	1513.95	1463.65	51.13%	29.01%	19.86%	-2.07	1
2026-03-21	@ Louisville City FC	L 2-4	1511.88	1587.12	18.03%	27.64%	54.33%	-9.95	1
2026-03-28	@ Miami FC	L 1-2	1501.93	1471.60	27.78%	31.97%	40.25%	-9.47	1
2026-04-04	Detroit City FC	T 0-0	1492.46	1529.94	39.25%	32.10%	28.65%	-0.73	2
2026-04-11	@ Lexington SC	W 3-1	1491.73	1481.01	25.54%	31.48%	42.98%	+22.33	5
2026-04-22	Charleston Battery	W 4-0	1514.06	1545.17	40.14%	31.98%	27.87%	+36.00	8
2026-05-02	Birmingham Legion	L 1-3	1550.06	1466.23	55.42%	27.12%	17.46%	-26.94	8
2026-05-09	Tampa Bay Rowdies	T 1-1	1523.12	1561.80	39.08%	32.12%	28.80%	-0.63	9
2026-05-23	Brooklyn FC	W 4-1	1522.49	1453.24	53.57%	27.98%	18.45%	+16.12	12
2026-05-30	@ Indy Eleven	L 0-1	1538.61	1514.12	27.09%	31.84%	41.07%	-9.84	12
2026-06-13	@ Loudoun United	W 4-1	1528.77	1447.47	34.57%	32.43%	33.00%	+26.22	15
2026-03-07	FC Tulsa	W 2-0	1537.21	1533.34	44.97%	31.02%	24.01%	+16.85	3
2026-03-14	@ Lexington SC	T 0-0	1554.06	1470.82	34.85%	32.42%	32.73%	-0.14	4
2026-03-21	Monterey Bay FC	T 1-1	1553.92	1407.05	63.16%	22.90%	13.94%	-3.37	5
2026-03-28	El Paso Locomotive	L 1-2	1550.55	1522.38	48.23%	30.07%	21.71%	-14.04	5
2026-04-04	Phoenix Rising	W 2-0	1536.51	1494.21	50.09%	29.41%	20.50%	+14.63	8
2026-04-11	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	T 1-1	1551.14	1445.09	38.11%	32.23%	29.67%	-0.52	9
2026-04-21	@ Brooklyn FC	T 1-1	1550.62	1476.43	33.55%	32.43%	34.01%	+0.03	10
2026-05-02	Orange County SC	W 3-2	1550.65	1535.47	46.50%	30.60%	22.90%	+7.68	13
2026-05-23	@ San Antonio FC	L 1-2	1558.33	1521.92	28.52%	32.08%	39.40%	-9.65	13
2026-05-30	@ Phoenix Rising	L 0-2	1548.68	1531.52	26.25%	31.66%	42.09%	-18.12	13
2026-06-13	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	W 1-0	1530.56	1487.43	29.36%	32.19%	38.45%	+12.62	16
2026-03-07	Phoenix Rising	W 2-1	1491.59	1503.81	42.77%	31.53%	25.70%	+8.91	3
2026-03-14	@ FC Tulsa	T 0-0	1500.50	1516.48	22.82%	30.57%	46.60%	+1.72	4
2026-03-21	New Mexico United	W 1-0	1502.22	1501.40	44.56%	31.13%	24.32%	+9.03	7
2026-03-29	Lexington SC	W 2-0	1511.25	1495.92	46.52%	30.60%	22.88%	+16.18	10
2026-04-04	@ Monterey Bay FC	T 0-0	1527.43	1402.37	40.78%	31.89%	27.33%	-0.94	11
2026-04-08	@ Orange County SC	L 0-2	1526.49	1506.09	26.62%	31.74%	41.64%	-18.32	11
2026-04-11	Miami FC	T 0-0	1508.17	1481.28	48.06%	30.12%	21.82%	-1.91	12
2026-04-18	@ El Paso Locomotive	W 3-2	1506.26	1595.26	17.13%	26.81%	56.07%	+14.88	15
2026-05-02	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	T 3-3	1521.14	1492.87	48.24%	30.06%	21.70%	-1.08	16
2026-05-09	@ Phoenix Rising	T 1-1	1520.06	1556.50	20.99%	29.69%	49.32%	+1.86	17
2026-05-23	Sacramento Republic	W 2-1	1521.92	1558.33	39.40%	32.08%	28.52%	+9.65	20
2026-05-27	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	T 4-4	1531.57	1388.02	43.34%	31.41%	25.25%	-0.62	21
2026-06-13	@ Lexington SC	L 0-2	1530.95	1488.11	29.32%	32.19%	38.49%	-19.70	21
2026-03-07	Hartford Athletic	L 0-3	1500.00	1523.14	41.26%	31.81%	26.93%	-36.35	0
2026-03-14	@ Rhode Island FC	T 1-1	1463.65	1513.95	19.86%	29.01%	51.13%	+2.07	1
2026-03-25	Miami FC	L 2-4	1465.72	1450.43	46.51%	30.60%	22.89%	-21.17	1
2026-03-28	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	L 2-3	1444.55	1497.48	19.65%	28.87%	51.47%	-6.66	1
2026-04-04	Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 0-1	1437.89	1544.35	29.61%	32.22%	38.17%	-10.52	1
2026-04-11	@ Detroit City FC	L 0-1	1427.37	1530.67	16.25%	25.90%	57.85%	-6.07	1
2026-04-18	@ Louisville City FC	L 0-1	1421.30	1576.38	13.55%	22.31%	64.14%	-4.83	1
2026-05-02	@ Charleston Battery	L 0-4	1416.47	1509.18	16.89%	26.58%	56.53%	-22.69	1
2026-05-09	@ Indy Eleven	L 1-2	1393.78	1495.50	16.35%	26.00%	57.65%	-5.76	1
2026-05-27	San Antonio FC	T 4-4	1388.02	1531.57	25.25%	31.41%	43.34%	+0.63	2
2026-05-30	Brooklyn FC	T 2-2	1388.65	1437.12	37.69%	32.26%	30.04%	-0.35	3
2026-06-10	@ Monterey Bay FC	L 1-2	1388.30	1411.84	22.12%	30.26%	47.61%	-7.85	3
2026-06-13	Detroit City FC	L 2-6	1380.45	1515.20	26.22%	31.65%	42.13%	-24.28	3
2026-03-07	@ Birmingham Legion	W 1-0	1492.80	1473.54	26.49%	31.71%	41.80%	+13.40	3
2026-03-21	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	W 3-0	1506.20	1523.84	42.02%	31.67%	26.31%	+26.35	6
2026-03-28	Loudoun United	W 3-1	1532.55	1471.88	52.47%	28.46%	19.07%	+11.80	9
2026-04-04	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	W 1-0	1544.35	1437.89	38.17%	32.22%	29.61%	+10.52	12
2026-04-11	Oakland Roots	T 2-2	1554.87	1487.23	53.36%	28.07%	18.56%	-1.73	13
2026-04-18	@ Charleston Battery	T 1-1	1553.14	1546.34	25.12%	31.37%	43.51%	+1.17	14
2026-05-02	Indy Eleven	W 1-0	1554.31	1502.99	51.26%	28.96%	19.78%	+7.49	17
2026-05-09	@ Rhode Island FC	T 1-1	1561.80	1523.12	28.80%	32.12%	39.08%	+0.63	18
2026-05-20	@ New Mexico United	W 1-0	1562.43	1499.41	31.99%	32.40%	35.62%	+11.97	21
2026-05-23	Phoenix Rising	W 3-0	1574.40	1554.64	47.11%	30.42%	22.47%	+23.11	24
2026-05-30	@ Louisville City FC	W 2-0	1597.51	1529.69	32.65%	32.42%	34.93%	+22.26	27
2026-06-10	Charleston Battery	T 2-2	1619.77	1539.26	55.00%	27.32%	17.68%	-1.88	28
2026-06-13	Hartford Athletic	L 0-1	1617.89	1504.86	59.05%	25.25%	15.69%	-17.25	28

Upcoming Games

Scheduled but not-yet-played games, controlled by the team filter above — a team's remaining schedule with the model's win probability for each matchup.

Date	Opponent	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %
2026-06-17	@ Oakland Roots	1451.64	1485.01	21.25%	29.83%	48.92%
2026-06-20	Loudoun United	1451.64	1421.25	48.52%	29.97%	21.51%
2026-07-02	Detroit City FC	1451.64	1539.49	32.09%	32.40%	35.51%
2026-07-05	@ Miami FC	1451.64	1450.37	24.53%	31.19%	44.27%
2026-07-24	New Mexico United	1451.64	1498.86	37.87%	32.25%	29.88%
2026-07-29	@ Louisville City FC	1451.64	1534.79	17.50%	27.17%	55.33%
2026-08-01	Rhode Island FC	1451.64	1554.99	30.01%	32.26%	37.72%
2026-08-08	@ Brooklyn FC	1451.64	1439.53	25.69%	31.52%	42.79%
2026-08-15	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1451.64	1474.81	22.15%	30.28%	47.57%
2026-08-22	Sporting Club Jacksonville	1451.64	1356.17	56.88%	26.40%	16.72%
2026-08-29	@ Hartford Athletic	1451.64	1522.11	18.36%	27.91%	53.72%
2026-09-05	@ Indy Eleven	1451.64	1515.29	18.85%	28.30%	52.85%
2026-09-13	Charleston Battery	1451.64	1570.58	28.06%	32.01%	39.93%
2026-09-19	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	1451.64	1600.64	13.83%	22.75%	63.42%
2026-09-23	Brooklyn FC	1451.64	1439.53	46.08%	30.72%	23.19%
2026-10-03	@ Detroit City FC	1451.64	1539.49	17.20%	26.88%	55.92%
2026-10-10	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	1451.64	1356.17	36.60%	32.35%	31.05%
2026-10-18	Loudoun United	1451.64	1421.25	48.52%	29.97%	21.51%
2026-10-24	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1451.64	1544.84	16.86%	26.54%	56.59%
2026-06-17	@ Indy Eleven	1439.53	1515.29	18.00%	27.61%	54.40%
2026-06-20	Tampa Bay Rowdies	1439.53	1600.64	23.45%	30.82%	45.73%
2026-07-04	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1439.53	1544.84	16.13%	25.77%	58.10%
2026-07-18	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	1439.53	1356.17	34.87%	32.42%	32.71%
2026-07-25	San Antonio FC	1439.53	1511.25	34.37%	32.43%	33.20%
2026-08-01	@ Charleston Battery	1439.53	1570.58	14.72%	24.02%	61.25%
2026-08-08	Birmingham Legion	1439.53	1451.64	42.79%	31.52%	25.69%
2026-08-15	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	1439.53	1466.27	21.83%	30.13%	48.04%
2026-08-22	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1439.53	1544.84	29.76%	32.24%	38.00%
2026-08-29	Sporting Club Jacksonville	1439.53	1356.17	55.36%	27.15%	17.49%
2026-09-05	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	1439.53	1600.64	13.27%	21.88%	64.86%
2026-09-12	Miami FC	1439.53	1450.37	42.96%	31.49%	25.55%
2026-09-19	FC Tulsa	1439.53	1537.18	30.76%	32.33%	36.91%
2026-09-23	@ Birmingham Legion	1439.53	1451.64	23.19%	30.72%	46.08%
2026-09-30	Detroit City FC	1439.53	1539.49	30.46%	32.30%	37.24%
2026-10-03	Rhode Island FC	1439.53	1554.99	28.49%	32.08%	39.44%
2026-10-17	@ Hartford Athletic	1439.53	1522.11	17.54%	27.20%	55.26%
2026-10-24	@ Loudoun United	1439.53	1421.25	26.38%	31.69%	41.93%
2026-06-20	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	1570.58	1356.17	52.75%	28.34%	18.91%
2026-06-24	Loudoun United	1570.58	1421.25	63.46%	22.73%	13.82%
2026-07-04	@ Indy Eleven	1570.58	1515.29	30.94%	32.34%	36.72%
2026-07-18	Sacramento Republic	1570.58	1543.18	48.13%	30.10%	21.77%
2026-07-25	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1570.58	1474.81	36.65%	32.34%	31.01%
2026-08-01	Brooklyn FC	1570.58	1439.53	61.25%	24.02%	14.72%
2026-08-08	@ Loudoun United	1570.58	1421.25	44.13%	31.23%	24.64%
2026-08-15	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1570.58	1544.84	27.24%	31.87%	40.89%
2026-08-22	Miami FC	1570.58	1450.37	59.93%	24.77%	15.30%
2026-08-29	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	1570.58	1466.27	37.86%	32.25%	29.89%
2026-09-02	Hartford Athletic	1570.58	1522.11	50.89%	29.10%	20.00%
2026-09-13	@ Birmingham Legion	1570.58	1451.64	39.93%	32.01%	28.06%
2026-09-19	Monterey Bay FC	1570.58	1419.69	63.64%	22.62%	13.74%
2026-09-26	Rhode Island FC	1570.58	1554.99	46.55%	30.59%	22.86%
2026-10-03	@ Hartford Athletic	1570.58	1522.11	30.04%	32.26%	37.69%
2026-10-10	Louisville City FC	1570.58	1534.79	49.24%	29.72%	21.04%
2026-10-17	@ Miami FC	1570.58	1450.37	40.10%	31.99%	27.91%
2026-10-24	Indy Eleven	1570.58	1515.29	51.78%	28.75%	19.47%
2026-06-20	@ FC Tulsa	1474.81	1537.18	18.94%	28.37%	52.69%
2026-06-24	San Antonio FC	1474.81	1511.25	39.39%	32.08%	28.52%
2026-07-04	Phoenix Rising	1474.81	1521.68	37.92%	32.24%	29.84%
2026-07-22	Miami FC	1474.81	1450.37	47.73%	30.23%	22.04%
2026-07-25	Charleston Battery	1474.81	1570.58	31.01%	32.34%	36.65%
2026-08-01	@ New Mexico United	1474.81	1498.86	22.08%	30.24%	47.68%
2026-08-08	@ Rhode Island FC	1474.81	1554.99	17.70%	27.34%	54.96%
2026-08-15	Birmingham Legion	1474.81	1451.64	47.57%	30.28%	22.15%
2026-08-19	@ Phoenix Rising	1474.81	1521.68	20.13%	29.18%	50.68%
2026-08-22	El Paso Locomotive	1474.81	1496.00	41.53%	31.76%	26.71%
2026-08-29	@ Lexington SC	1474.81	1507.80	21.28%	29.85%	48.87%
2026-09-04	@ Loudoun United	1474.81	1421.25	30.71%	32.32%	36.97%
2026-09-11	San Antonio FC	1474.81	1511.25	39.39%	32.08%	28.52%
2026-09-19	New Mexico United	1474.81	1498.86	41.13%	31.83%	27.04%
2026-09-26	@ Detroit City FC	1474.81	1539.49	18.78%	28.24%	52.98%
2026-10-03	Oakland Roots	1474.81	1485.01	43.05%	31.47%	25.48%
2026-10-10	@ Sacramento Republic	1474.81	1543.18	18.51%	28.03%	53.46%
2026-10-17	@ Monterey Bay FC	1474.81	1419.69	30.92%	32.34%	36.75%
2026-10-24	FC Tulsa	1474.81	1537.18	35.71%	32.39%	31.90%
2026-07-02	@ Birmingham Legion	1539.49	1451.64	35.51%	32.40%	32.09%
2026-07-18	Indy Eleven	1539.49	1515.29	47.70%	30.24%	22.06%
2026-07-25	Las Vegas Lights FC	1539.49	1466.27	54.07%	27.75%	18.17%
2026-08-01	@ Miami FC	1539.49	1450.37	35.69%	32.39%	31.91%
2026-08-08	@ FC Tulsa	1539.49	1537.18	24.64%	31.23%	44.13%
2026-08-15	Loudoun United	1539.49	1421.25	59.69%	24.90%	15.40%
2026-08-22	Tampa Bay Rowdies	1539.49	1600.64	35.89%	32.39%	31.73%
2026-08-29	@ Louisville City FC	1539.49	1534.79	24.89%	31.30%	43.80%
2026-09-05	Hartford Athletic	1539.49	1522.11	46.79%	30.52%	22.69%
2026-09-12	@ Sacramento Republic	1539.49	1543.18	24.03%	31.03%	44.95%
2026-09-19	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1539.49	1544.84	43.71%	31.32%	24.96%
2026-09-26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1539.49	1474.81	52.98%	28.24%	18.78%
2026-09-30	@ Brooklyn FC	1539.49	1439.53	37.24%	32.30%	30.46%
2026-10-03	Birmingham Legion	1539.49	1451.64	55.92%	26.88%	17.20%
2026-10-10	Rhode Island FC	1539.49	1554.99	42.32%	31.62%	26.07%
2026-10-17	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	1539.49	1600.64	19.03%	28.43%	52.53%
2026-10-24	@ Louisville City FC	1539.49	1534.79	24.89%	31.30%	43.80%
2026-06-20	@ Monterey Bay FC	1496.00	1419.69	33.86%	32.43%	33.71%
2026-07-04	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	1496.00	1466.27	27.71%	31.95%	40.34%
2026-07-18	@ FC Tulsa	1496.00	1537.18	20.59%	29.46%	49.94%
2026-07-25	Sporting Club Jacksonville	1496.00	1356.17	62.32%	23.41%	14.28%
2026-08-01	@ Orange County SC	1496.00	1536.58	20.64%	29.49%	49.86%
2026-08-05	Monterey Bay FC	1496.00	1419.69	54.47%	27.57%	17.96%
2026-08-08	Oakland Roots	1496.00	1485.01	45.93%	30.76%	23.30%
2026-08-15	@ San Antonio FC	1496.00	1511.25	22.89%	30.60%	46.51%
2026-08-22	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1496.00	1474.81	26.71%	31.76%	41.53%
2026-08-26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1496.00	1544.84	37.64%	32.27%	30.09%
2026-08-29	Loudoun United	1496.00	1421.25	54.27%	27.67%	18.07%
2026-09-12	@ Louisville City FC	1496.00	1534.79	20.79%	29.58%	49.63%
2026-09-19	@ Phoenix Rising	1496.00	1521.68	21.93%	30.17%	47.90%
2026-09-25	FC Tulsa	1496.00	1537.18	38.73%	32.16%	29.11%
2026-10-03	@ Lexington SC	1496.00	1507.80	23.22%	30.73%	46.04%
2026-10-10	Orange County SC	1496.00	1536.58	38.81%	32.15%	29.04%
2026-10-17	Sacramento Republic	1496.00	1543.18	37.88%	32.25%	29.88%
2026-10-24	New Mexico United	1496.00	1498.86	44.05%	31.25%	24.70%
2026-06-17	Monterey Bay FC	1537.18	1419.69	59.60%	24.95%	15.44%
2026-06-20	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1537.18	1474.81	52.69%	28.37%	18.94%
2026-07-04	Sacramento Republic	1537.18	1543.18	43.62%	31.34%	25.03%
2026-07-18	El Paso Locomotive	1537.18	1496.00	49.94%	29.46%	20.59%
2026-07-25	Lexington SC	1537.18	1507.80	48.39%	30.01%	21.60%
2026-07-29	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1537.18	1544.84	23.63%	30.89%	45.48%
2026-08-08	Detroit City FC	1537.18	1539.49	44.13%	31.23%	24.64%
2026-08-15	@ New Mexico United	1537.18	1498.86	28.75%	32.12%	39.13%
2026-08-22	@ Orange County SC	1537.18	1536.58	24.47%	31.17%	44.36%
2026-08-29	Rhode Island FC	1537.18	1554.99	42.00%	31.68%	26.33%
2026-09-05	@ San Antonio FC	1537.18	1511.25	27.26%	31.87%	40.87%
2026-09-12	@ Phoenix Rising	1537.18	1521.68	26.07%	31.62%	42.32%
2026-09-19	@ Brooklyn FC	1537.18	1439.53	36.91%	32.33%	30.76%
2026-09-25	@ El Paso Locomotive	1537.18	1496.00	29.11%	32.16%	38.73%
2026-09-30	New Mexico United	1537.18	1498.86	49.57%	29.60%	20.83%
2026-10-03	Sacramento Republic	1537.18	1543.18	43.62%	31.34%	25.03%
2026-10-09	@ Lexington SC	1537.18	1507.80	27.67%	31.95%	40.39%
2026-10-17	Oakland Roots	1537.18	1485.01	51.37%	28.91%	19.71%
2026-10-24	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1537.18	1474.81	31.90%	32.39%	35.71%
2026-06-20	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1522.11	1544.84	41.31%	31.80%	26.89%
2026-07-04	@ Louisville City FC	1522.11	1534.79	23.14%	30.70%	46.16%
2026-07-08	Orange County SC	1522.11	1536.58	42.46%	31.59%	25.95%
2026-07-18	@ Rhode Island FC	1522.11	1554.99	21.29%	29.85%	48.85%
2026-07-25	@ Phoenix Rising	1522.11	1521.68	24.45%	31.17%	44.39%
2026-08-01	@ Loudoun United	1522.11	1421.25	37.37%	32.29%	30.34%
2026-08-09	@ Indy Eleven	1522.11	1515.29	25.12%	31.37%	43.51%
2026-08-15	Miami FC	1522.11	1450.37	53.89%	27.84%	18.27%
2026-08-29	Birmingham Legion	1522.11	1451.64	53.72%	27.91%	18.36%
2026-09-02	@ Charleston Battery	1522.11	1570.58	20.00%	29.10%	50.89%
2026-09-05	@ Detroit City FC	1522.11	1539.49	22.69%	30.52%	46.79%
2026-09-12	Tampa Bay Rowdies	1522.11	1600.64	33.39%	32.43%	34.18%
2026-09-16	Sporting Club Jacksonville	1522.11	1356.17	65.43%	21.52%	13.05%
2026-09-19	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	1522.11	1466.27	31.01%	32.34%	36.64%
2026-09-25	Louisville City FC	1522.11	1534.79	42.71%	31.54%	25.75%
2026-10-03	Charleston Battery	1522.11	1570.58	37.69%	32.26%	30.04%
2026-10-10	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1522.11	1544.84	22.20%	30.30%	47.51%
2026-10-17	Brooklyn FC	1522.11	1439.53	55.26%	27.20%	17.54%
2026-10-24	Rhode Island FC	1522.11	1554.99	39.89%	32.02%	28.09%
2026-06-17	Brooklyn FC	1515.29	1439.53	54.40%	27.61%	18.00%
2026-07-04	Charleston Battery	1515.29	1570.58	36.72%	32.34%	30.94%
2026-07-15	@ Miami FC	1515.29	1450.37	32.25%	32.41%	35.35%
2026-07-18	@ Detroit City FC	1515.29	1539.49	22.06%	30.24%	47.70%
2026-07-25	Loudoun United	1515.29	1421.25	56.70%	26.49%	16.81%
2026-08-01	@ San Antonio FC	1515.29	1511.25	24.82%	31.28%	43.89%
2026-08-09	Hartford Athletic	1515.29	1522.11	43.51%	31.37%	25.12%
2026-08-15	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	1515.29	1356.17	45.46%	30.89%	23.64%
2026-08-22	Louisville City FC	1515.29	1534.79	41.76%	31.72%	26.52%
2026-08-29	@ Phoenix Rising	1515.29	1521.68	23.76%	30.93%	45.31%
2026-09-05	Birmingham Legion	1515.29	1451.64	52.85%	28.30%	18.85%
2026-09-11	@ New Mexico United	1515.29	1498.86	26.17%	31.64%	42.19%
2026-09-20	Oakland Roots	1515.29	1485.01	48.51%	29.97%	21.52%
2026-09-26	Miami FC	1515.29	1450.37	53.02%	28.23%	18.76%
2026-09-30	@ Rhode Island FC	1515.29	1554.99	20.72%	29.54%	49.75%
2026-10-03	@ Loudoun United	1515.29	1421.25	36.40%	32.36%	31.24%
2026-10-10	Tampa Bay Rowdies	1515.29	1600.64	32.43%	32.41%	35.15%
2026-10-17	@ Louisville City FC	1515.29	1534.79	22.49%	30.43%	47.08%
2026-10-24	@ Charleston Battery	1515.29	1570.58	19.47%	28.75%	51.78%
2026-06-20	Orange County SC	1466.27	1536.58	34.57%	32.43%	33.00%
2026-07-04	El Paso Locomotive	1466.27	1496.00	40.34%	31.95%	27.71%
2026-07-18	@ San Antonio FC	1466.27	1511.25	20.28%	29.28%	50.44%
2026-07-25	@ Detroit City FC	1466.27	1539.49	18.17%	27.75%	54.07%
2026-08-01	Phoenix Rising	1466.27	1521.68	36.71%	32.34%	30.95%
2026-08-05	Oakland Roots	1466.27	1485.01	41.87%	31.70%	26.43%
2026-08-08	@ Miami FC	1466.27	1450.37	26.11%	31.63%	42.26%
2026-08-15	Brooklyn FC	1466.27	1439.53	48.04%	30.13%	21.83%
2026-08-22	@ Lexington SC	1466.27	1507.80	20.56%	29.45%	49.99%
2026-08-29	Charleston Battery	1466.27	1570.58	29.89%	32.25%	37.86%
2026-09-05	New Mexico United	1466.27	1498.86	39.94%	32.01%	28.05%
2026-09-12	@ Orange County SC	1466.27	1536.58	18.37%	27.92%	53.70%
2026-09-19	Hartford Athletic	1466.27	1522.11	36.64%	32.34%	31.01%
2026-09-30	@ Sacramento Republic	1466.27	1543.18	17.92%	27.54%	54.54%
2026-10-03	San Antonio FC	1466.27	1511.25	38.19%	32.22%	29.59%
2026-10-10	@ Phoenix Rising	1466.27	1521.68	19.46%	28.74%	51.79%
2026-10-17	Lexington SC	1466.27	1507.80	38.68%	32.17%	29.16%
2026-10-24	@ Monterey Bay FC	1466.27	1419.69	29.80%	32.24%	37.96%
2026-07-04	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	1507.80	1600.64	16.89%	26.57%	56.55%
2026-07-15	New Mexico United	1507.80	1498.86	45.66%	30.84%	23.50%
2026-07-22	Oakland Roots	1507.80	1485.01	47.51%	30.30%	22.19%
2026-07-25	@ FC Tulsa	1507.80	1537.18	21.60%	30.01%	48.39%
2026-08-01	Monterey Bay FC	1507.80	1419.69	55.96%	26.86%	17.18%
2026-08-08	Phoenix Rising	1507.80	1521.68	42.54%	31.57%	25.89%
2026-08-15	@ Sacramento Republic	1507.80	1543.18	21.08%	29.74%	49.18%
2026-08-22	Las Vegas Lights FC	1507.80	1466.27	49.99%	29.45%	20.56%
2026-08-26	@ New Mexico United	1507.80	1498.86	25.35%	31.43%	43.22%
2026-08-29	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1507.80	1474.81	48.87%	29.85%	21.28%
2026-09-05	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	1507.80	1356.17	44.45%	31.15%	24.40%
2026-09-12	@ Oakland Roots	1507.80	1485.01	26.89%	31.80%	41.30%
2026-09-19	Orange County SC	1507.80	1536.58	40.47%	31.93%	27.59%
2026-09-26	@ Monterey Bay FC	1507.80	1419.69	35.55%	32.40%	32.05%
2026-10-03	El Paso Locomotive	1507.80	1496.00	46.04%	30.73%	23.22%
2026-10-09	FC Tulsa	1507.80	1537.18	40.39%	31.95%	27.67%
2026-10-17	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	1507.80	1466.27	29.16%	32.17%	38.68%
2026-10-24	@ Phoenix Rising	1507.80	1521.68	23.02%	30.65%	46.32%
2026-06-20	@ Birmingham Legion	1421.25	1451.64	21.51%	29.97%	48.52%
2026-06-24	@ Charleston Battery	1421.25	1570.58	13.82%	22.73%	63.46%
2026-07-03	Sporting Club Jacksonville	1421.25	1356.17	53.04%	28.22%	18.75%
2026-07-18	Tampa Bay Rowdies	1421.25	1600.64	21.74%	30.08%	48.18%
2026-07-25	@ Indy Eleven	1421.25	1515.29	16.81%	26.49%	56.70%
2026-08-01	Hartford Athletic	1421.25	1522.11	30.34%	32.29%	37.37%
2026-08-08	Charleston Battery	1421.25	1570.58	24.64%	31.23%	44.13%
2026-08-15	@ Detroit City FC	1421.25	1539.49	15.40%	24.90%	59.69%
2026-08-22	New Mexico United	1421.25	1498.86	33.52%	32.43%	34.04%
2026-08-29	@ El Paso Locomotive	1421.25	1496.00	18.07%	27.67%	54.27%
2026-09-04	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1421.25	1474.81	36.97%	32.32%	30.71%
2026-09-12	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1421.25	1544.84	15.11%	24.54%	60.35%
2026-09-19	@ Louisville City FC	1421.25	1534.79	15.66%	25.22%	59.11%
2026-09-26	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	1421.25	1356.17	32.27%	32.41%	35.32%
2026-10-03	Indy Eleven	1421.25	1515.29	31.24%	32.36%	36.40%
2026-10-10	@ Miami FC	1421.25	1450.37	21.62%	30.02%	48.35%
2026-10-15	@ Rhode Island FC	1421.25	1554.99	14.59%	23.83%	61.58%
2026-10-18	@ Birmingham Legion	1421.25	1451.64	21.51%	29.97%	48.52%
2026-10-24	Brooklyn FC	1421.25	1439.53	41.93%	31.69%	26.38%
2026-07-04	Hartford Athletic	1534.79	1522.11	46.16%	30.70%	23.14%
2026-07-18	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1534.79	1544.84	23.39%	30.80%	45.81%
2026-07-29	Birmingham Legion	1534.79	1451.64	55.33%	27.17%	17.50%
2026-08-01	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	1534.79	1600.64	18.69%	28.17%	53.13%
2026-08-08	San Antonio FC	1534.79	1511.25	47.61%	30.26%	22.12%
2026-08-15	@ Orange County SC	1534.79	1536.58	24.22%	31.09%	44.69%
2026-08-22	@ Indy Eleven	1534.79	1515.29	26.52%	31.72%	41.76%
2026-08-29	Detroit City FC	1534.79	1539.49	43.80%	31.30%	24.89%
2026-09-05	@ Rhode Island FC	1534.79	1554.99	22.43%	30.40%	47.17%
2026-09-12	El Paso Locomotive	1534.79	1496.00	49.63%	29.58%	20.79%
2026-09-19	Loudoun United	1534.79	1421.25	59.11%	25.22%	15.66%
2026-09-25	@ Hartford Athletic	1534.79	1522.11	25.75%	31.54%	42.71%
2026-10-03	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	1534.79	1356.17	48.08%	30.12%	21.81%
2026-10-10	@ Charleston Battery	1534.79	1570.58	21.04%	29.72%	49.24%
2026-10-17	Indy Eleven	1534.79	1515.29	47.08%	30.43%	22.49%
2026-10-24	Detroit City FC	1534.79	1539.49	43.80%	31.30%	24.89%
2026-06-24	Orange County SC	1450.37	1536.58	32.31%	32.41%	35.28%
2026-07-05	Birmingham Legion	1450.37	1451.64	44.27%	31.19%	24.53%
2026-07-15	Indy Eleven	1450.37	1515.29	35.35%	32.41%	32.25%
2026-07-22	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1450.37	1474.81	22.04%	30.23%	47.73%
2026-07-25	Tampa Bay Rowdies	1450.37	1600.64	24.54%	31.20%	44.26%
2026-08-01	Detroit City FC	1450.37	1539.49	31.91%	32.39%	35.69%
2026-08-08	Las Vegas Lights FC	1450.37	1466.27	42.26%	31.63%	26.11%
2026-08-15	@ Hartford Athletic	1450.37	1522.11	18.27%	27.84%	53.89%
2026-08-22	@ Charleston Battery	1450.37	1570.58	15.30%	24.77%	59.93%
2026-09-05	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1450.37	1544.84	31.18%	32.36%	36.46%
2026-09-12	@ Brooklyn FC	1450.37	1439.53	25.55%	31.49%	42.96%
2026-09-19	@ Rhode Island FC	1450.37	1554.99	16.17%	25.81%	58.01%
2026-09-26	@ Indy Eleven	1450.37	1515.29	18.76%	28.23%	53.02%
2026-09-30	Sporting Club Jacksonville	1450.37	1356.17	56.72%	26.48%	16.80%
2026-10-03	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	1450.37	1600.64	13.77%	22.66%	63.57%
2026-10-10	Loudoun United	1450.37	1421.25	48.35%	30.02%	21.62%
2026-10-17	Charleston Battery	1450.37	1570.58	27.91%	31.99%	40.10%
2026-06-17	@ FC Tulsa	1419.69	1537.18	15.44%	24.95%	59.60%
2026-06-20	El Paso Locomotive	1419.69	1496.00	33.71%	32.43%	33.86%
2026-07-04	@ San Antonio FC	1419.69	1511.25	16.97%	26.65%	56.39%
2026-07-18	@ Phoenix Rising	1419.69	1521.68	16.33%	25.98%	57.69%
2026-07-25	Orange County SC	1419.69	1536.58	28.31%	32.05%	39.64%
2026-08-01	@ Lexington SC	1419.69	1507.80	17.18%	26.86%	55.96%
2026-08-05	@ El Paso Locomotive	1419.69	1496.00	17.96%	27.57%	54.47%
2026-08-08	New Mexico United	1419.69	1498.86	33.30%	32.43%	34.27%
2026-08-15	@ Oakland Roots	1419.69	1485.01	18.73%	28.20%	53.07%
2026-08-22	@ Rhode Island FC	1419.69	1554.99	14.51%	23.72%	61.77%
2026-08-29	Sacramento Republic	1419.69	1543.18	27.52%	31.92%	40.56%
2026-09-05	Phoenix Rising	1419.69	1521.68	30.19%	32.28%	37.53%
2026-09-19	@ Charleston Battery	1419.69	1570.58	13.74%	22.62%	63.64%
2026-09-26	Lexington SC	1419.69	1507.80	32.05%	32.40%	35.55%
2026-10-03	@ Orange County SC	1419.69	1536.58	15.48%	25.00%	59.53%
2026-10-10	@ New Mexico United	1419.69	1498.86	17.77%	27.40%	54.83%
2026-10-17	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1419.69	1474.81	36.75%	32.34%	30.92%
2026-10-24	Las Vegas Lights FC	1419.69	1466.27	37.96%	32.24%	29.80%
2026-06-20	@ Sacramento Republic	1498.86	1543.18	20.34%	29.31%	50.35%
2026-07-04	Oakland Roots	1498.86	1485.01	46.32%	30.66%	23.03%
2026-07-15	@ Lexington SC	1498.86	1507.80	23.50%	30.84%	45.66%
2026-07-24	@ Birmingham Legion	1498.86	1451.64	29.88%	32.25%	37.87%
2026-08-01	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1498.86	1474.81	47.68%	30.24%	22.08%
2026-08-08	@ Monterey Bay FC	1498.86	1419.69	34.27%	32.43%	33.30%
2026-08-15	FC Tulsa	1498.86	1537.18	39.13%	32.12%	28.75%
2026-08-22	@ Loudoun United	1498.86	1421.25	34.04%	32.43%	33.52%
2026-08-26	Lexington SC	1498.86	1507.80	43.22%	31.43%	25.35%
2026-08-30	San Antonio FC	1498.86	1511.25	42.75%	31.53%	25.72%
2026-09-05	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	1498.86	1466.27	28.05%	32.01%	39.94%
2026-09-11	Indy Eleven	1498.86	1515.29	42.19%	31.64%	26.17%
2026-09-19	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1498.86	1474.81	27.04%	31.83%	41.13%
2026-09-26	Sacramento Republic	1498.86	1543.18	38.28%	32.21%	29.51%
2026-09-30	@ FC Tulsa	1498.86	1537.18	20.83%	29.60%	49.57%
2026-10-03	Phoenix Rising	1498.86	1521.68	41.30%	31.80%	26.90%
2026-10-10	Monterey Bay FC	1498.86	1419.69	54.83%	27.40%	17.77%
2026-10-17	@ San Antonio FC	1498.86	1511.25	23.17%	30.71%	46.12%
2026-10-24	@ El Paso Locomotive	1498.86	1496.00	24.70%	31.25%	44.05%
2026-06-17	Birmingham Legion	1485.01	1451.64	48.92%	29.83%	21.25%
2026-06-20	@ Phoenix Rising	1485.01	1521.68	20.97%	29.68%	49.35%
2026-07-04	@ New Mexico United	1485.01	1498.86	23.03%	30.66%	46.32%
2026-07-22	@ Lexington SC	1485.01	1507.80	22.19%	30.30%	47.51%
2026-07-25	Sacramento Republic	1485.01	1543.18	36.31%	32.36%	31.33%
2026-08-01	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1485.01	1544.84	36.07%	32.38%	31.55%
2026-08-05	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	1485.01	1466.27	26.43%	31.70%	41.87%
2026-08-08	@ El Paso Locomotive	1485.01	1496.00	23.30%	30.76%	45.93%
2026-08-15	Monterey Bay FC	1485.01	1419.69	53.07%	28.20%	18.73%
2026-08-22	@ San Antonio FC	1485.01	1511.25	21.88%	30.15%	47.97%
2026-08-29	Orange County SC	1485.01	1536.58	37.25%	32.30%	30.45%
2026-09-12	Lexington SC	1485.01	1507.80	41.30%	31.80%	26.89%
2026-09-20	@ Indy Eleven	1485.01	1515.29	21.52%	29.97%	48.51%
2026-09-26	Phoenix Rising	1485.01	1521.68	39.36%	32.09%	28.55%
2026-10-03	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1485.01	1474.81	25.48%	31.47%	43.05%
2026-10-10	San Antonio FC	1485.01	1511.25	40.82%	31.88%	27.30%
2026-10-17	@ FC Tulsa	1485.01	1537.18	19.71%	28.91%	51.37%
2026-10-24	@ Sacramento Republic	1485.01	1543.18	19.26%	28.60%	52.15%
2026-06-20	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	1536.58	1466.27	33.00%	32.43%	34.57%
2026-06-24	@ Miami FC	1536.58	1450.37	35.28%	32.41%	32.31%
2026-07-04	@ Rhode Island FC	1536.58	1554.99	22.59%	30.48%	46.93%
2026-07-08	@ Hartford Athletic	1536.58	1522.11	25.95%	31.59%	42.46%
2026-07-25	@ Monterey Bay FC	1536.58	1419.69	39.64%	32.05%	28.31%
2026-08-01	El Paso Locomotive	1536.58	1496.00	49.86%	29.49%	20.64%
2026-08-08	Tampa Bay Rowdies	1536.58	1600.64	35.47%	32.40%	32.13%
2026-08-15	Louisville City FC	1536.58	1534.79	44.69%	31.09%	24.22%
2026-08-22	FC Tulsa	1536.58	1537.18	44.36%	31.17%	24.47%
2026-08-29	@ Oakland Roots	1536.58	1485.01	30.45%	32.30%	37.25%
2026-09-05	Sacramento Republic	1536.58	1543.18	43.54%	31.36%	25.10%
2026-09-12	Las Vegas Lights FC	1536.58	1466.27	53.70%	27.92%	18.37%
2026-09-19	@ Lexington SC	1536.58	1507.80	27.59%	31.93%	40.47%
2026-09-26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1536.58	1544.84	43.31%	31.41%	25.27%
2026-10-03	Monterey Bay FC	1536.58	1419.69	59.53%	25.00%	15.48%
2026-10-10	@ El Paso Locomotive	1536.58	1496.00	29.04%	32.15%	38.81%
2026-10-17	Phoenix Rising	1536.58	1521.68	46.46%	30.62%	22.93%
2026-10-24	@ San Antonio FC	1536.58	1511.25	27.19%	31.86%	40.95%
2026-06-20	Oakland Roots	1521.68	1485.01	49.35%	29.68%	20.97%
2026-07-04	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1521.68	1474.81	29.84%	32.24%	37.92%
2026-07-18	Monterey Bay FC	1521.68	1419.69	57.69%	25.98%	16.33%
2026-07-25	Hartford Athletic	1521.68	1522.11	44.39%	31.17%	24.45%
2026-08-01	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	1521.68	1466.27	30.95%	32.34%	36.71%
2026-08-08	@ Lexington SC	1521.68	1507.80	25.89%	31.57%	42.54%
2026-08-19	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1521.68	1474.81	50.68%	29.18%	20.13%
2026-08-22	@ Sacramento Republic	1521.68	1543.18	22.31%	30.35%	47.34%
2026-08-29	Indy Eleven	1521.68	1515.29	45.31%	30.93%	23.76%
2026-09-05	@ Monterey Bay FC	1521.68	1419.69	37.53%	32.28%	30.19%
2026-09-12	FC Tulsa	1521.68	1537.18	42.32%	31.62%	26.07%
2026-09-19	El Paso Locomotive	1521.68	1496.00	47.90%	30.17%	21.93%
2026-09-26	@ Oakland Roots	1521.68	1485.01	28.55%	32.09%	39.36%
2026-10-03	@ New Mexico United	1521.68	1498.86	26.90%	31.80%	41.30%
2026-10-10	Las Vegas Lights FC	1521.68	1466.27	51.79%	28.74%	19.46%
2026-10-17	@ Orange County SC	1521.68	1536.58	22.93%	30.62%	46.46%
2026-10-24	Lexington SC	1521.68	1507.80	46.32%	30.65%	23.02%
2026-06-20	@ Hartford Athletic	1544.84	1522.11	26.89%	31.80%	41.31%
2026-07-04	Brooklyn FC	1544.84	1439.53	58.10%	25.77%	16.13%
2026-07-15	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	1544.84	1356.17	49.40%	29.66%	20.94%
2026-07-18	Louisville City FC	1544.84	1534.79	45.81%	30.80%	23.39%
2026-07-25	Rhode Island FC	1544.84	1554.99	43.05%	31.47%	25.48%
2026-07-29	FC Tulsa	1544.84	1537.18	45.48%	30.89%	23.63%
2026-08-01	@ Oakland Roots	1544.84	1485.01	31.55%	32.38%	36.07%
2026-08-08	Sacramento Republic	1544.84	1543.18	44.67%	31.10%	24.23%
2026-08-15	Charleston Battery	1544.84	1570.58	40.89%	31.87%	27.24%
2026-08-22	@ Brooklyn FC	1544.84	1439.53	38.00%	32.24%	29.76%
2026-08-26	@ El Paso Locomotive	1544.84	1496.00	30.09%	32.27%	37.64%
2026-08-29	Tampa Bay Rowdies	1544.84	1600.64	36.65%	32.34%	31.01%
2026-09-05	@ Miami FC	1544.84	1450.37	36.46%	32.36%	31.18%
2026-09-12	Loudoun United	1544.84	1421.25	60.35%	24.54%	15.11%
2026-09-19	@ Detroit City FC	1544.84	1539.49	24.96%	31.32%	43.71%
2026-09-26	@ Orange County SC	1544.84	1536.58	25.27%	31.41%	43.31%
2026-10-10	Hartford Athletic	1544.84	1522.11	47.51%	30.30%	22.20%
2026-10-17	@ Rhode Island FC	1544.84	1554.99	23.38%	30.80%	45.82%
2026-10-24	Birmingham Legion	1544.84	1451.64	56.59%	26.54%	16.86%
2026-07-04	Orange County SC	1554.99	1536.58	46.93%	30.48%	22.59%
2026-07-08	@ Sacramento Republic	1554.99	1543.18	25.66%	31.52%	42.83%
2026-07-18	Hartford Athletic	1554.99	1522.11	48.85%	29.85%	21.29%
2026-07-25	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1554.99	1544.84	25.48%	31.47%	43.05%
2026-08-01	@ Birmingham Legion	1554.99	1451.64	37.72%	32.26%	30.01%
2026-08-08	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1554.99	1474.81	54.96%	27.34%	17.70%
2026-08-15	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	1554.99	1600.64	20.23%	29.25%	50.53%
2026-08-22	Monterey Bay FC	1554.99	1419.69	61.77%	23.72%	14.51%
2026-08-29	@ FC Tulsa	1554.99	1537.18	26.33%	31.68%	42.00%
2026-09-05	Louisville City FC	1554.99	1534.79	47.17%	30.40%	22.43%
2026-09-12	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	1554.99	1356.17	50.73%	29.17%	20.10%
2026-09-19	Miami FC	1554.99	1450.37	58.01%	25.81%	16.17%
2026-09-26	@ Charleston Battery	1554.99	1570.58	22.86%	30.59%	46.55%
2026-09-30	Indy Eleven	1554.99	1515.29	49.75%	29.54%	20.72%
2026-10-03	@ Brooklyn FC	1554.99	1439.53	39.44%	32.08%	28.49%
2026-10-10	@ Detroit City FC	1554.99	1539.49	26.07%	31.62%	42.32%
2026-10-15	Loudoun United	1554.99	1421.25	61.58%	23.83%	14.59%
2026-10-17	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1554.99	1544.84	45.82%	30.80%	23.38%
2026-10-24	@ Hartford Athletic	1554.99	1522.11	28.09%	32.02%	39.89%
2026-06-20	New Mexico United	1543.18	1498.86	50.35%	29.31%	20.34%
2026-07-04	@ FC Tulsa	1543.18	1537.18	25.03%	31.34%	43.62%
2026-07-08	Rhode Island FC	1543.18	1554.99	42.83%	31.52%	25.66%
2026-07-18	@ Charleston Battery	1543.18	1570.58	21.77%	30.10%	48.13%
2026-07-25	@ Oakland Roots	1543.18	1485.01	31.33%	32.36%	36.31%
2026-08-01	Sporting Club Jacksonville	1543.18	1356.17	67.88%	19.98%	12.14%
2026-08-08	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1543.18	1544.84	24.23%	31.10%	44.67%
2026-08-15	Lexington SC	1543.18	1507.80	49.18%	29.74%	21.08%
2026-08-22	Phoenix Rising	1543.18	1521.68	47.34%	30.35%	22.31%
2026-08-29	@ Monterey Bay FC	1543.18	1419.69	40.56%	31.92%	27.52%
2026-09-05	@ Orange County SC	1543.18	1536.58	25.10%	31.36%	43.54%
2026-09-12	Detroit City FC	1543.18	1539.49	44.95%	31.03%	24.03%
2026-09-20	San Antonio FC	1543.18	1511.25	48.73%	29.90%	21.38%
2026-09-26	@ New Mexico United	1543.18	1498.86	29.51%	32.21%	38.28%
2026-09-30	Las Vegas Lights FC	1543.18	1466.27	54.54%	27.54%	17.92%
2026-10-03	@ FC Tulsa	1543.18	1537.18	25.03%	31.34%	43.62%
2026-10-10	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1543.18	1474.81	53.46%	28.03%	18.51%
2026-10-17	@ El Paso Locomotive	1543.18	1496.00	29.88%	32.25%	37.88%
2026-10-24	Oakland Roots	1543.18	1485.01	52.15%	28.60%	19.26%
2026-06-24	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1511.25	1474.81	28.52%	32.08%	39.39%
2026-07-04	Monterey Bay FC	1511.25	1419.69	56.39%	26.65%	16.97%
2026-07-18	Las Vegas Lights FC	1511.25	1466.27	50.44%	29.28%	20.28%
2026-07-25	@ Brooklyn FC	1511.25	1439.53	33.20%	32.43%	34.37%
2026-08-01	Indy Eleven	1511.25	1515.29	43.89%	31.28%	24.82%
2026-08-08	@ Louisville City FC	1511.25	1534.79	22.12%	30.26%	47.61%
2026-08-15	El Paso Locomotive	1511.25	1496.00	46.51%	30.60%	22.89%
2026-08-22	Oakland Roots	1511.25	1485.01	47.97%	30.15%	21.88%
2026-08-30	@ New Mexico United	1511.25	1498.86	25.72%	31.53%	42.75%
2026-09-05	FC Tulsa	1511.25	1537.18	40.87%	31.87%	27.26%
2026-09-11	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1511.25	1474.81	28.52%	32.08%	39.39%
2026-09-20	@ Sacramento Republic	1511.25	1543.18	21.38%	29.90%	48.73%
2026-09-26	Tampa Bay Rowdies	1511.25	1600.64	31.87%	32.39%	35.73%
2026-10-03	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	1511.25	1466.27	29.59%	32.22%	38.19%
2026-10-10	@ Oakland Roots	1511.25	1485.01	27.30%	31.88%	40.82%
2026-10-17	New Mexico United	1511.25	1498.86	46.12%	30.71%	23.17%
2026-10-24	Orange County SC	1511.25	1536.58	40.95%	31.86%	27.19%
2026-06-20	Charleston Battery	1356.17	1570.58	18.91%	28.34%	52.75%
2026-07-03	@ Loudoun United	1356.17	1421.25	18.75%	28.22%	53.04%
2026-07-15	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1356.17	1544.84	20.94%	29.66%	49.40%
2026-07-18	Brooklyn FC	1356.17	1439.53	32.71%	32.42%	34.87%
2026-07-25	@ El Paso Locomotive	1356.17	1496.00	14.28%	23.41%	62.32%
2026-08-01	@ Sacramento Republic	1356.17	1543.18	12.14%	19.98%	67.88%
2026-08-15	Indy Eleven	1356.17	1515.29	23.64%	30.89%	45.46%
2026-08-22	@ Birmingham Legion	1356.17	1451.64	16.72%	26.40%	56.88%
2026-08-29	@ Brooklyn FC	1356.17	1439.53	17.49%	27.15%	55.36%
2026-09-05	Lexington SC	1356.17	1507.80	24.40%	31.15%	44.45%
2026-09-12	Rhode Island FC	1356.17	1554.99	20.10%	29.17%	50.73%
2026-09-16	@ Hartford Athletic	1356.17	1522.11	13.05%	21.52%	65.43%
2026-09-26	Loudoun United	1356.17	1421.25	35.32%	32.41%	32.27%
2026-09-30	@ Miami FC	1356.17	1450.37	16.80%	26.48%	56.72%
2026-10-03	Louisville City FC	1356.17	1534.79	21.81%	30.12%	48.08%
2026-10-10	Birmingham Legion	1356.17	1451.64	31.05%	32.35%	36.60%
2026-10-24	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	1356.17	1600.64	9.94%	15.79%	74.27%
2026-06-20	@ Brooklyn FC	1600.64	1439.53	45.73%	30.82%	23.45%
2026-07-04	Lexington SC	1600.64	1507.80	56.55%	26.57%	16.89%
2026-07-18	@ Loudoun United	1600.64	1421.25	48.18%	30.08%	21.74%
2026-07-25	@ Miami FC	1600.64	1450.37	44.26%	31.20%	24.54%
2026-08-01	Louisville City FC	1600.64	1534.79	53.13%	28.17%	18.69%
2026-08-08	@ Orange County SC	1600.64	1536.58	32.13%	32.40%	35.47%
2026-08-15	Rhode Island FC	1600.64	1554.99	50.53%	29.25%	20.23%
2026-08-22	@ Detroit City FC	1600.64	1539.49	31.73%	32.39%	35.89%
2026-08-29	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1600.64	1544.84	31.01%	32.34%	36.65%
2026-09-05	Brooklyn FC	1600.64	1439.53	64.86%	21.88%	13.27%
2026-09-12	@ Hartford Athletic	1600.64	1522.11	34.18%	32.43%	33.39%
2026-09-19	Birmingham Legion	1600.64	1451.64	63.42%	22.75%	13.83%
2026-09-26	@ San Antonio FC	1600.64	1511.25	35.73%	32.39%	31.87%
2026-10-03	Miami FC	1600.64	1450.37	63.57%	22.66%	13.77%
2026-10-10	@ Indy Eleven	1600.64	1515.29	35.15%	32.41%	32.43%
2026-10-17	Detroit City FC	1600.64	1539.49	52.53%	28.43%	19.03%
2026-10-24	Sporting Club Jacksonville	1600.64	1356.17	74.27%	15.79%	9.94%

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2026-06-13	15.69%	Hartford Athletic	1504.86	1	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	1617.89	0
2	2026-04-18	17.13%	San Antonio FC	1506.26	3	@ El Paso Locomotive	1595.26	2
3	2026-05-02	17.46%	Birmingham Legion	1466.23	3	@ Rhode Island FC	1550.06	1
4	2026-05-30	17.50%	Lexington SC	1450.05	4	@ El Paso Locomotive	1533.31	1
5	2026-05-09	17.76%	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1491.67	2	@ Louisville City FC	1571.00	0
6	2026-04-29	18.13%	FC Tulsa	1506.52	4	@ El Paso Locomotive	1580.38	1
7	2026-04-04	19.78%	Charleston Battery	1554.82	2	@ Louisville City FC	1606.20	0
8	2026-06-10	20.56%	Louisville City FC	1508.02	2	@ Phoenix Rising	1549.64	0
9	2026-05-30	21.58%	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1472.50	1	@ Oakland Roots	1502.06	0
10	2026-03-28	21.71%	El Paso Locomotive	1522.38	2	@ Sacramento Republic	1550.55	1
11	2026-04-11	21.94%	El Paso Locomotive	1542.27	4	@ Hartford Athletic	1567.85	0
12	2026-04-04	22.41%	New Mexico United	1500.32	1	@ Orange County SC	1520.74	0
13	2026-03-25	22.89%	Miami FC	1450.43	4	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	1465.72	2
14	2026-06-13	23.15%	Las Vegas Lights FC	1452.69	2	@ Birmingham Legion	1465.22	1
15	2026-05-09	23.79%	Loudoun United	1461.42	1	@ Brooklyn FC	1467.45	0
16	2026-04-11	24.93%	Orange County SC	1524.41	1	@ FC Tulsa	1519.36	0
17	2026-03-28	25.02%	Orange County SC	1506.92	1	@ Oakland Roots	1501.06	0
18	2026-04-11	25.03%	@ Brooklyn FC	1438.56	3	Charleston Battery	1584.20	0
19	2026-04-11	25.54%	Rhode Island FC	1491.73	3	@ Lexington SC	1481.01	1
20	2026-03-07	26.49%	Tampa Bay Rowdies	1492.80	1	@ Birmingham Legion	1473.54	0
21	2026-05-23	26.49%	@ Monterey Bay FC	1358.74	2	Birmingham Legion	1491.07	0
22	2026-03-07	26.91%	Oakland Roots	1477.46	1	@ Monterey Bay FC	1454.55	0
23	2026-03-07	26.93%	Hartford Athletic	1523.14	3	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	1500.00	0
24	2026-04-18	27.07%	Phoenix Rising	1507.51	3	@ Miami FC	1483.19	0
25	2026-03-14	27.33%	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1512.07	3	@ Loudoun United	1485.54	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2026-04-11	52.99	El Paso Locomotive	4	1542.27	21.94%	@ Hartford Athletic	0	1567.85	47.89%	30.18%
2	2026-05-30	38.06	Lexington SC	4	1450.05	17.50%	@ El Paso Locomotive	1	1533.31	55.34%	27.16%
3	2026-04-11	37.87	@ Brooklyn FC	3	1438.56	25.03%	Charleston Battery	0	1584.20	43.63%	31.34%
4	2026-04-29	37.46	FC Tulsa	4	1506.52	18.13%	@ El Paso Locomotive	1	1580.38	54.16%	27.72%
5	2026-03-07	36.35	Hartford Athletic	3	1523.14	26.93%	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	0	1500.00	41.26%	31.81%
6	2026-04-18	36.25	Phoenix Rising	3	1507.51	27.07%	@ Miami FC	0	1483.19	41.09%	31.84%
7	2026-04-22	36.00	@ Rhode Island FC	4	1514.06	40.14%	Charleston Battery	0	1545.17	27.87%	31.98%
8	2026-03-14	34.22	El Paso Locomotive	3	1488.17	29.84%	@ Monterey Bay FC	0	1441.27	37.92%	32.24%
9	2026-05-09	30.87	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2	1491.67	17.76%	@ Louisville City FC	0	1571.00	54.85%	27.39%
10	2026-06-13	29.45	@ Charleston Battery	5	1541.13	40.93%	FC Tulsa	1	1566.63	27.21%	31.86%
11	2026-04-04	29.38	Charleston Battery	2	1554.82	19.78%	@ Louisville City FC	0	1606.20	51.27%	28.95%
12	2026-06-10	28.84	Louisville City FC	2	1508.02	20.56%	@ Phoenix Rising	0	1549.64	50.00%	29.44%
13	2026-04-11	27.94	@ Phoenix Rising	3	1479.58	39.54%	New Mexico United	0	1514.97	28.39%	32.06%
14	2026-05-30	27.84	@ Monterey Bay FC	4	1384.00	31.61%	Loudoun United	1	1475.30	36.01%	32.38%
15	2026-05-02	26.94	Birmingham Legion	3	1466.23	17.46%	@ Rhode Island FC	1	1550.06	55.42%	27.12%
16	2026-03-21	26.36	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	3	1506.20	42.02%	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0	1523.84	26.31%	31.67%
17	2026-06-13	26.22	Rhode Island FC	4	1528.77	34.57%	@ Loudoun United	1	1447.47	33.00%	32.43%
18	2026-05-23	25.26	@ Monterey Bay FC	2	1358.74	26.49%	Birmingham Legion	0	1491.07	41.79%	31.72%
19	2026-03-14	25.20	@ Detroit City FC	3	1504.20	43.82%	Brooklyn FC	0	1508.74	24.88%	31.30%
20	2026-03-25	24.96	@ Lexington SC	3	1470.96	44.21%	Brooklyn FC	0	1472.65	24.58%	31.21%
21	2026-06-13	24.29	Detroit City FC	6	1515.20	42.13%	@ Sporting Club Jacksonville	2	1380.45	26.22%	31.65%
22	2026-05-23	23.12	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	3	1574.40	47.11%	Phoenix Rising	0	1554.64	22.47%	30.42%
23	2026-05-02	22.69	@ Charleston Battery	4	1509.18	56.53%	Sporting Club Jacksonville	0	1416.47	16.89%	26.58%
24	2026-04-11	22.33	Rhode Island FC	3	1491.73	25.54%	@ Lexington SC	1	1481.01	42.98%	31.48%
25	2026-05-30	22.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies	2	1597.51	32.65%	@ Louisville City FC	0	1529.69	34.93%	32.42%