2025 WNBA Season
286 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Las Vegas Aces
3rd Title
Last Title: 2023
Runner-Up
Phoenix Mercury
6
Last Appearance: 2021
Biggest Overachiever
Las Vegas Aces
4.67 wins above expected
30 wins · 25.33 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Dallas Wings
3.69 wins below expected
10 wins · 13.69 expected wins
Final Standings
Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx League | 34 | 10 | .773 | — | 86.1 | 76.7 | +9.4 | 32.64 | +1.36 |
| 2 | Atlanta Dream Playoffs | 30 | 14 | .682 | 4 | 84.4 | 76.8 | +7.6 | 26.71 | +3.29 |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces Playoffs | 30 | 14 | .682 | 4 | 83.6 | 80.7 | +2.9 | 25.33 | +4.67 |
| 4 | New York Liberty Playoffs | 27 | 17 | .614 | 7 | 84.4 | 80.3 | +4.1 | 28.99 | -1.99 |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury Playoffs | 27 | 17 | .614 | 7 | 82.8 | 80.1 | +2.7 | 25.30 | +1.70 |
| 6 | Indiana Fever Playoffs | 24 | 20 | .545 | 10 | 84.9 | 81.5 | +3.4 | 24.90 | -0.90 |
| 7 | Golden State Valkyries Playoffs | 23 | 21 | .523 | 11 | 77.7 | 76.3 | +1.4 | 19.13 | +3.87 |
| 8 | Seattle Storm Playoffs | 23 | 21 | .523 | 11 | 82.1 | 80.1 | +2.0 | 24.53 | -1.53 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Sparks | 21 | 23 | .477 | 13 | 85.7 | 88.2 | -2.6 | 18.19 | +2.81 |
| 10 | Washington Mystics | 16 | 28 | .364 | 18 | 77.1 | 81.6 | -4.4 | 19.54 | -3.54 |
| 11 | Connecticut Sun | 11 | 33 | .250 | 23 | 75.8 | 86.0 | -10.1 | 14.59 | -3.59 |
| 12 | Dallas Wings | 10 | 34 | .227 | 24 | 81.7 | 88.0 | -6.3 | 13.69 | -3.69 |
| 13 | Chicago Sky | 10 | 34 | .227 | 24 | 75.8 | 85.8 | -10.0 | 12.46 | -2.46 |
Playoff Bracket
WNBA Playoffs
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
WNBA Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 1709 | 30 | 25.33 | +4.67 | 95.77% | 13 | 20 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 30 | 36 | ||
| Atlanta Dream | 1704 | 30 | 26.71 | +3.29 | 89.43% | 14 | 22 | 25 | 27 | 29 | 32 | 37 | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 1694 | 34 | 32.64 | +1.36 | 73.22% | 20 | 28 | 31 | 33 | 35 | 37 | 42 | ||
| New York Liberty | 1569 | 27 | 28.99 | -1.99 | 29.72% | 18 | 24 | 27 | 29 | 31 | 34 | 39 | ||
| Indiana Fever | 1567 | 24 | 24.90 | -0.90 | 45.04% | 14 | 20 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 30 | 38 | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 1541 | 27 | 25.30 | +1.70 | 76.17% | 14 | 20 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 30 | 37 | ||
| Golden State Valkyries | 1513 | 23 | 19.13 | +3.87 | 91.86% | 8 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 34 | ||
| Seattle Storm | 1503 | 23 | 24.53 | -1.53 | 36.29% | 12 | 19 | 22 | 25 | 27 | 30 | 36 | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1460 | 21 | 18.19 | +2.81 | 86.30% | 8 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 30 | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 1342 | 11 | 14.59 | -3.59 | 14.43% | 4 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 26 | ||
| Washington Mystics | 1316 | 16 | 19.54 | -3.54 | 16.61% | 8 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 25 | 31 | ||
| Dallas Wings | 1310 | 10 | 13.69 | -3.69 | 13.84% | 4 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 26 | ||
| Chicago Sky | 1271 | 10 | 12.46 | -2.46 | 25.21% | 3 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 25 |
Head-to-Head
Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win.
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Wings | Valkyries | Fever | Aces | Sparks | Lynx | Liberty | Mercury | Storm | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | — |
4-0
(3.0 exp.)
|
4-1
(3.7 exp.)
|
3-1
(3.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
0-4
(1.0 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-5
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
1-4
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-3
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
| Dallas Wings |
1-3
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
— |
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-4
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Golden State Valkyries |
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
|
— |
3-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
4-0
(1.9 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
5-0
(3.6 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.9 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
| Las Vegas Aces |
3-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.7 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.8 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.8 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.4 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
— |
0-4
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
1-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-1
(3.3 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.4 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.2 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.2 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.4 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-1
(3.3 exp.)
|
3-1
(3.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-1
(3.0 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
— |
1-3
(2.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.0 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
0-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-2
(3.0 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.9 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-1
(3.2 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
0-4
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.1 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
— |
Scoreline Distribution
Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | 0.87% | 1.05% | 1.05% | 0.52% | 0.17% | 0.17% | 3.85% |
| 60–69 | 0.87% | 1.05% | 2.97% | 3.67% | 1.75% | 0.35% | — | 10.66% |
| 70–79 | 1.05% | 2.97% | 8.39% | 9.97% | 3.50% | 1.05% | — | 26.92% |
| 80–89 | 1.05% | 3.67% | 9.97% | 9.09% | 8.22% | 1.92% | — | 33.92% |
| 90–99 | 0.52% | 1.75% | 3.50% | 8.22% | 3.50% | 1.22% | — | 18.71% |
| 100–109 | 0.17% | 0.35% | 1.05% | 1.92% | 1.22% | 1.05% | — | 5.77% |
| 110+ | 0.17% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.17% |
| Total | 3.85% | 10.66% | 26.92% | 33.92% | 18.71% | 5.77% | 0.17% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 81.70 | 81.70 | +0.00 |
| SD | 11.44 | 11.44 | 15.33 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 111 | 111 | +53 |
| Min | 49 | 49 | -53 |
Games Played: 286
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | 2.27% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.27% |
| 60–69 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 70–79 | 4.55% | 6.82% | 9.09% | 13.64% | — | — | — | 34.09% |
| 80–89 | 4.55% | 4.55% | 11.36% | 6.82% | 2.27% | — | — | 29.55% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 6.82% | 13.64% | 9.09% | — | — | 29.55% |
| 100–109 | — | — | 2.27% | 2.27% | — | — | — | 4.55% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 9.09% | 13.64% | 29.55% | 36.36% | 11.36% | — | — | 100% |
Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 84.36 | 76.77 | +7.59 |
| SD | 9.25 | 11.20 | 12.56 |
| CV | 0.11 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 104 | 99 | +37 |
| Min | 55 | 49 | -17 |
Games Played: 44
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | 2.27% | 2.27% | 6.82% | — | — | 11.36% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 6.82% | 9.09% | 4.55% | — | — | 20.45% |
| 70–79 | — | 4.55% | 4.55% | 11.36% | 13.64% | — | — | 34.09% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.27% | 2.27% | 2.27% | 11.36% | 4.55% | — | 22.73% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 9.09% | 2.27% | — | — | 11.36% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 6.82% | 15.91% | 34.09% | 38.64% | 4.55% | — | 100% |
Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 75.80 | 85.84 | -10.05 |
| SD | 12.03 | 9.51 | 14.72 |
| CV | 0.16 | 0.11 | — |
| Max | 97 | 107 | +24 |
| Min | 49 | 64 | -38 |
Games Played: 44
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | 4.55% | 2.27% | — | 2.27% | — | 9.09% |
| 60–69 | 2.27% | — | 4.55% | 13.64% | — | 4.55% | — | 25.00% |
| 70–79 | — | 4.55% | 2.27% | 13.64% | 4.55% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.27% | 2.27% | 6.82% | 9.09% | 6.82% | — | 27.27% |
| 90–99 | — | 2.27% | — | 4.55% | 2.27% | 2.27% | — | 11.36% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | — | 2.27% | — | — | 2.27% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.27% | 9.09% | 13.64% | 40.91% | 18.18% | 15.91% | — | 100% |
Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 75.84 | 85.95 | -10.11 |
| SD | 12.14 | 11.85 | 15.67 |
| CV | 0.16 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 101 | 109 | +31 |
| Min | 52 | 56 | -48 |
Games Played: 44
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | 2.27% | — | — | 2.27% | 2.27% | — | — | 6.82% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 4.55% | 15.91% | 9.09% | 4.55% | — | 34.09% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.27% | 2.27% | 15.91% | 15.91% | 6.82% | — | 43.18% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 2.27% | 4.55% | 4.55% | 2.27% | — | 13.64% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | 2.27% | — | — | — | 2.27% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.27% | 2.27% | 9.09% | 40.91% | 31.82% | 13.64% | — | 100% |
Dallas Wings — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 81.68 | 87.98 | -6.30 |
| SD | 9.09 | 10.50 | 12.94 |
| CV | 0.11 | 0.12 | — |
| Max | 109 | 106 | +24 |
| Min | 60 | 55 | -35 |
Games Played: 44
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | 2.27% | 2.27% | — | — | — | — | 4.55% |
| 60–69 | 2.27% | 2.27% | 2.27% | 2.27% | 4.55% | — | — | 13.64% |
| 70–79 | 4.55% | 4.55% | 15.91% | 15.91% | — | 2.27% | — | 43.18% |
| 80–89 | 2.27% | 4.55% | 9.09% | 6.82% | 2.27% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 90–99 | 2.27% | 4.55% | — | 2.27% | 2.27% | — | — | 11.36% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.27% | — | 2.27% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 11.36% | 18.18% | 29.55% | 27.27% | 9.09% | 4.55% | — | 100% |
Golden State Valkyries — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 77.73 | 76.34 | +1.39 |
| SD | 10.37 | 11.94 | 15.21 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.16 | — |
| Max | 102 | 104 | +37 |
| Min | 53 | 57 | -31 |
Games Played: 44
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | 2.27% | — | — | — | — | 2.27% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 2.27% | 2.27% | 2.27% | — | — | 6.82% |
| 70–79 | 2.27% | — | 4.55% | 9.09% | 2.27% | — | — | 18.18% |
| 80–89 | 2.27% | — | 15.91% | 11.36% | 6.82% | — | — | 36.36% |
| 90–99 | 2.27% | 2.27% | 9.09% | 6.82% | 6.82% | 2.27% | — | 29.55% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | 4.55% | — | 2.27% | — | 6.82% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 6.82% | 2.27% | 34.09% | 34.09% | 18.18% | 4.55% | — | 100% |
Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 84.86 | 81.50 | +3.36 |
| SD | 11.05 | 11.55 | 15.07 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 107 | 101 | +35 |
| Min | 58 | 52 | -35 |
Games Played: 44
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | 2.27% | — | — | 2.27% | 4.55% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 4.55% | — | 2.27% | — | — | 6.82% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 13.64% | 4.55% | 2.27% | 2.27% | — | 22.73% |
| 80–89 | 2.27% | 9.09% | 9.09% | 9.09% | 6.82% | 2.27% | — | 38.64% |
| 90–99 | — | 2.27% | — | 13.64% | — | — | — | 15.91% |
| 100–109 | — | — | 4.55% | 4.55% | — | 2.27% | — | 11.36% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.27% | 11.36% | 31.82% | 34.09% | 11.36% | 6.82% | 2.27% | 100% |
Las Vegas Aces — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 83.64 | 80.73 | +2.91 |
| SD | 11.97 | 12.24 | 17.39 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 106 | 111 | +31 |
| Min | 54 | 59 | -53 |
Games Played: 44
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | 2.27% | — | — | — | — | 2.27% |
| 60–69 | — | — | — | 2.27% | 2.27% | — | — | 4.55% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 2.27% | 11.36% | — | 4.55% | — | 18.18% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.27% | 4.55% | 15.91% | 13.64% | 2.27% | — | 38.64% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 6.82% | 11.36% | 4.55% | 2.27% | — | 25.00% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | 2.27% | 6.82% | 2.27% | — | 11.36% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 2.27% | 15.91% | 43.18% | 27.27% | 11.36% | — | 100% |
Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 85.66 | 88.23 | -2.57 |
| SD | 10.54 | 9.00 | 12.08 |
| CV | 0.12 | 0.10 | — |
| Max | 108 | 106 | +19 |
| Min | 59 | 67 | -31 |
Games Played: 44
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | 2.27% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.27% |
| 70–79 | 2.27% | 4.55% | 11.36% | 4.55% | 2.27% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 80–89 | — | 6.82% | 15.91% | 6.82% | 6.82% | — | — | 36.36% |
| 90–99 | — | 2.27% | 9.09% | 9.09% | 4.55% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 100–109 | — | 2.27% | 4.55% | — | 2.27% | — | — | 9.09% |
| 110+ | 2.27% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.27% |
| Total | 4.55% | 18.18% | 40.91% | 20.45% | 15.91% | — | — | 100% |
Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 86.07 | 76.66 | +9.41 |
| SD | 10.45 | 10.29 | 13.64 |
| CV | 0.12 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 111 | 97 | +53 |
| Min | 64 | 53 | -14 |
Games Played: 44
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | 2.27% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.27% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 4.55% | 2.27% | — | — | — | 6.82% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.27% | 4.55% | 6.82% | — | — | — | 13.64% |
| 80–89 | — | 6.82% | 27.27% | 6.82% | 6.82% | 2.27% | — | 50.00% |
| 90–99 | — | 2.27% | 6.82% | 6.82% | — | 6.82% | — | 22.73% |
| 100–109 | 2.27% | — | — | — | 2.27% | — | — | 4.55% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.27% | 13.64% | 43.18% | 22.73% | 9.09% | 9.09% | — | 100% |
New York Liberty — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 84.39 | 80.32 | +4.07 |
| SD | 10.52 | 11.14 | 14.06 |
| CV | 0.12 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 105 | 106 | +48 |
| Min | 58 | 52 | -17 |
Games Played: 44
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | 2.27% | 4.55% | 4.55% | — | — | — | 11.36% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.27% | 11.36% | 4.55% | 6.82% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 80–89 | 2.27% | 6.82% | 13.64% | 18.18% | 2.27% | — | — | 43.18% |
| 90–99 | — | 2.27% | — | 6.82% | 2.27% | — | — | 11.36% |
| 100–109 | — | — | 2.27% | 2.27% | 2.27% | 2.27% | — | 9.09% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.27% | 13.64% | 31.82% | 36.36% | 13.64% | 2.27% | — | 100% |
Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 82.80 | 80.11 | +2.68 |
| SD | 10.77 | 10.70 | 13.43 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 107 | 107 | +35 |
| Min | 61 | 59 | -23 |
Games Played: 44
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | 2.27% | — | 4.55% | — | — | — | 6.82% |
| 60–69 | 2.27% | — | 2.27% | 2.27% | — | — | — | 6.82% |
| 70–79 | — | 4.55% | 15.91% | 6.82% | 2.27% | — | — | 29.55% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 11.36% | 4.55% | 13.64% | — | — | 29.55% |
| 90–99 | 2.27% | 4.55% | 2.27% | 9.09% | 2.27% | — | — | 20.45% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | 4.55% | — | 2.27% | — | 6.82% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 4.55% | 11.36% | 31.82% | 31.82% | 18.18% | 2.27% | — | 100% |
Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 82.14 | 80.09 | +2.05 |
| SD | 11.85 | 10.62 | 14.06 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 106 | 108 | +38 |
| Min | 57 | 57 | -27 |
Games Played: 44
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | 2.27% | — | 2.27% | — | — | — | 4.55% |
| 60–69 | 2.27% | 6.82% | 6.82% | 6.82% | 4.55% | — | — | 27.27% |
| 70–79 | — | 4.55% | 9.09% | 11.36% | 2.27% | — | — | 27.27% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 4.55% | 6.82% | 9.09% | — | — | 20.45% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 2.27% | 9.09% | 4.55% | — | — | 15.91% |
| 100–109 | — | 2.27% | — | 2.27% | — | — | — | 4.55% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.27% | 15.91% | 22.73% | 38.64% | 20.45% | — | — | 100% |
Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 77.14 | 81.57 | -4.43 |
| SD | 11.94 | 9.92 | 13.75 |
| CV | 0.15 | 0.12 | — |
| Max | 104 | 99 | +37 |
| Min | 56 | 58 | -37 |
Games Played: 44
Actual Wins vs. Point Differential
Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Vegas Aces | 30 | 25.33 | +4.67 |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries | 23 | 19.13 | +3.87 |
| 3 | Atlanta Dream | 30 | 26.71 | +3.29 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Sparks | 21 | 18.19 | +2.81 |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury | 27 | 25.30 | +1.70 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Wings | 10 | 13.69 | -3.69 |
| 2 | Connecticut Sun | 11 | 14.59 | -3.59 |
| 3 | Washington Mystics | 16 | 19.54 | -3.54 |
| 4 | Chicago Sky | 10 | 12.46 | -2.46 |
| 5 | New York Liberty | 27 | 28.99 | -1.99 |
Top Streaks
The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Vegas Aces | 16 | Aug 3 – Sep 11 | 1 in 1,345 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Sparks | 5 | Jul 13 – Jul 26 | 1 in 103 |
| 3 | Phoenix Mercury | 6 | Jun 11 – Jun 27 | 1 in 82 |
| 4 | Minnesota Lynx | 9 | May 16 – Jun 8 | 1 in 22 |
| 5 | Connecticut Sun | 3 | Aug 19 – Aug 23 | 1 in 16 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Liberty | 4 | Jul 26 – Aug 1 | 1 in 198 |
| 2 | Washington Mystics | 10 | Aug 19 – Sep 9 | 1 in 130 |
| 3 | Connecticut Sun | 10 | Jun 8 – Jul 6 | 1 in 99 |
| 4 | Seattle Storm | 6 | Aug 1 – Aug 13 | 1 in 38 |
| 5 | Dallas Wings | 10 | Aug 15 – Sep 7 | 1 in 21 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 71.95% | 18.03% | 6.19% | 2.20% | 1.11% | 0.41% | 0.07% | 0.03% | 0.01% | — | — | — | — |
| New York Liberty | 15.51% | 35.36% | 20.90% | 12.42% | 7.82% | 4.50% | 2.43% | 0.80% | 0.19% | 0.07% | — | — | — |
| Atlanta Dream | 5.02% | 15.39% | 20.99% | 19.16% | 15.00% | 11.45% | 7.69% | 3.54% | 1.19% | 0.44% | 0.09% | 0.04% | — |
| Phoenix Mercury | 2.12% | 8.94% | 14.13% | 16.51% | 17.54% | 16.39% | 12.85% | 7.01% | 3.09% | 1.07% | 0.31% | 0.03% | 0.01% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 2.07% | 8.72% | 13.60% | 16.78% | 17.62% | 16.42% | 13.93% | 6.86% | 2.70% | 1.02% | 0.25% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
| Indiana Fever | 1.80% | 7.08% | 11.95% | 15.21% | 16.88% | 17.75% | 15.53% | 8.23% | 3.70% | 1.36% | 0.39% | 0.11% | 0.01% |
| Seattle Storm | 1.47% | 6.13% | 10.73% | 14.31% | 16.39% | 17.63% | 16.98% | 9.17% | 4.62% | 1.99% | 0.44% | 0.12% | 0.02% |
| Washington Mystics | 0.02% | 0.21% | 0.70% | 1.63% | 3.41% | 6.29% | 11.94% | 22.04% | 22.82% | 17.24% | 8.47% | 3.93% | 1.30% |
| Golden State Valkyries | 0.03% | 0.12% | 0.59% | 1.28% | 2.73% | 5.35% | 9.68% | 20.48% | 22.95% | 20.77% | 10.46% | 4.02% | 1.54% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.20% | 0.48% | 1.37% | 3.30% | 7.30% | 16.44% | 23.50% | 24.20% | 13.44% | 7.09% | 2.65% |
| Connecticut Sun | — | — | 0.02% | — | 0.05% | 0.28% | 0.92% | 2.98% | 7.69% | 14.84% | 28.76% | 26.13% | 18.33% |
| Dallas Wings | — | — | — | 0.02% | 0.08% | 0.18% | 0.48% | 1.77% | 4.99% | 10.47% | 21.78% | 31.44% | 28.79% |
| Chicago Sky | — | — | — | — | — | 0.05% | 0.20% | 0.65% | 2.55% | 6.53% | 15.61% | 27.07% | 47.34% |
Win Totals in Context
How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | 7 Seed | 8 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 71.95% | 18.03% | 6.19% | 2.20% | 1.11% | 0.41% | 0.07% | 0.03% | 0.01% |
| New York Liberty | 15.51% | 35.36% | 20.90% | 12.42% | 7.82% | 4.50% | 2.43% | 0.80% | 0.26% |
| Atlanta Dream | 5.02% | 15.39% | 20.99% | 19.16% | 15.00% | 11.45% | 7.69% | 3.54% | 1.76% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 2.12% | 8.94% | 14.13% | 16.51% | 17.54% | 16.39% | 12.85% | 7.01% | 4.51% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 2.07% | 8.72% | 13.60% | 16.78% | 17.62% | 16.42% | 13.93% | 6.86% | 4.00% |
| Indiana Fever | 1.80% | 7.08% | 11.95% | 15.21% | 16.88% | 17.75% | 15.53% | 8.23% | 5.57% |
| Seattle Storm | 1.47% | 6.13% | 10.73% | 14.31% | 16.39% | 17.63% | 16.98% | 9.17% | 7.19% |
| Golden State Valkyries | 0.03% | 0.12% | 0.59% | 1.28% | 2.73% | 5.35% | 9.68% | 20.48% | 59.74% |
| Washington Mystics | 0.02% | 0.21% | 0.70% | 1.63% | 3.41% | 6.29% | 11.94% | 22.04% | 53.76% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.20% | 0.48% | 1.37% | 3.30% | 7.30% | 16.44% | 70.88% |
| Connecticut Sun | — | — | 0.02% | — | 0.05% | 0.28% | 0.92% | 2.98% | 95.75% |
| Dallas Wings | — | — | — | 0.02% | 0.08% | 0.18% | 0.48% | 1.77% | 97.47% |
| Chicago Sky | — | — | — | — | — | 0.05% | 0.20% | 0.65% | 99.10% |
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 99.99% | 80.81% | 50.08% | 28.64% |
| Atlanta Dream | 98.24% | 72.22% | 46.87% | 27.53% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 96.00% | 68.21% | 45.18% | 26.47% |
| New York Liberty | 99.74% | 53.80% | 19.46% | 6.11% |
| Indiana Fever | 94.43% | 40.09% | 13.86% | 4.64% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 95.49% | 36.31% | 11.91% | 3.69% |
| Seattle Storm | 92.81% | 28.35% | 7.80% | 1.93% |
| Golden State Valkyries | 40.26% | 11.00% | 3.21% | 0.71% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 29.12% | 5.74% | 1.25% | 0.25% |
| Washington Mystics | 46.24% | 3.01% | 0.34% | 0.03% |
| Chicago Sky | 0.90% | 0.06% | — | — |
| Connecticut Sun | 4.25% | 0.24% | 0.02% | — |
| Dallas Wings | 2.53% | 0.16% | 0.02% | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Golden State Valkyries | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.05% | 0.34% | 0.24% | 3.90% | 12.91% | 8.52% | 2.98% | 2.59% | 8.08% | 13.67% | 13.88% | 5.06% | |
| Chicago Sky | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | |||||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.14% | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.02% | |||||||
| Dallas Wings | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.06% | 0.02% | 0.01% | ||||||
| Golden State Valkyries | 0.77% | 0.01% | 0.86% | 0.48% | 0.01% | 3.02% | 3.15% | 1.26% | 1.27% | 0.17% | |||
| Indiana Fever | 4.13% | 0.02% | 0.12% | 0.09% | 1.47% | 3.76% | 1.09% | 2.62% | 7.60% | 8.09% | 8.50% | 2.60% | |
| Las Vegas Aces | 8.46% | 0.02% | 0.23% | 0.08% | 2.40% | 11.31% | 1.65% | 4.66% | 11.46% | 12.87% | 11.77% | 3.30% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.34% | 0.01% | 0.56% | 0.15% | 1.65% | 1.84% | 0.69% | 0.45% | 0.05% | ||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 2.55% | 0.49% | 2.36% | 1.31% | 13.26% | 7.97% | 4.92% | 11.49% | 1.12% | 7.29% | 9.74% | 18.31% | |
| New York Liberty | 3.17% | 0.21% | 0.73% | 0.44% | 5.38% | 8.31% | 3.89% | 4.29% | 0.38% | 8.10% | 10.46% | 8.44% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 3.71% | 0.01% | 0.11% | 0.09% | 1.74% | 6.98% | 3.56% | 1.18% | 1.86% | 6.01% | 7.87% | 3.19% | |
| Seattle Storm | 2.72% | 0.04% | 0.11% | 0.12% | 1.03% | 5.10% | 2.37% | 0.69% | 1.66% | 5.71% | 6.69% | 2.11% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.12% | 0.06% | 0.30% | 0.14% | 0.57% | 0.86% | 0.48% | 0.48% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Golden State Valkyries | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.07% | 0.03% | 2.05% | 5.69% | 6.35% | 1.27% | 10.88% | 10.65% | 4.86% | 4.43% | 0.59% | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.01% | 0.01% | |||||||||||
| Dallas Wings | 0.01% | 0.01% | |||||||||||
| Golden State Valkyries | 0.49% | 0.46% | 0.38% | 0.02% | 0.21% | 0.53% | 0.63% | 0.45% | 0.04% | ||||
| Indiana Fever | 1.76% | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.71% | 1.45% | 0.50% | 2.90% | 2.74% | 1.85% | 1.52% | 0.35% | |
| Las Vegas Aces | 6.95% | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.02% | 2.09% | 5.60% | 1.20% | 10.29% | 9.39% | 4.92% | 4.09% | 0.56% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.18% | 0.05% | 0.25% | 0.06% | 0.10% | 0.23% | 0.19% | 0.17% | 0.02% | ||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 9.74% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 1.07% | 8.41% | 9.52% | 0.43% | 6.51% | 7.92% | 6.08% | 0.34% | |
| New York Liberty | 3.73% | 0.03% | 0.59% | 3.48% | 2.93% | 0.38% | 2.40% | 3.01% | 2.56% | 0.35% | |||
| Phoenix Mercury | 1.51% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.75% | 1.30% | 1.37% | 0.46% | 2.36% | 2.75% | 1.16% | 0.21% | |
| Seattle Storm | 0.95% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.48% | 0.98% | 0.93% | 0.22% | 1.56% | 1.48% | 0.97% | 0.21% | ||
| Washington Mystics | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.06% | 0.04% | 0.09% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Golden State Valkyries | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.72% | 2.67% | 7.67% | 0.20% | 8.44% | 3.71% | 2.42% | 1.63% | 0.07% | |||
| Golden State Valkyries | 0.12% | 0.06% | 0.18% | 0.01% | 0.14% | 0.13% | 0.05% | 0.02% | ||||
| Indiana Fever | 1.02% | 0.12% | 1.21% | 0.05% | 1.11% | 0.55% | 0.30% | 0.27% | 0.01% | |||
| Las Vegas Aces | 7.04% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.79% | 2.83% | 0.34% | 8.18% | 3.31% | 2.21% | 1.65% | 0.10% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.09% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.02% | |||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 8.49% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.60% | 2.69% | 7.15% | 0.28% | 5.02% | 2.63% | 1.69% | 0.07% | |
| New York Liberty | 1.31% | 0.17% | 0.51% | 1.22% | 0.07% | 2.06% | 0.45% | 0.29% | 0.03% | |||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.84% | 0.05% | 0.27% | 0.83% | 0.03% | 0.96% | 0.38% | 0.30% | 0.03% | |||
| Seattle Storm | 0.49% | 0.04% | 0.16% | 0.36% | 0.02% | 0.48% | 0.23% | 0.15% | ||||
| Washington Mystics | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 82.42% | 61.82% | 30.14% | Eliminated in Semifinals |
| Las Vegas Aces | 85.07% | 47.53% | 29.43% | Won Finals |
| Atlanta Dream | 76.34% | 40.99% | 25.26% | Eliminated in Quarterfinals |
| New York Liberty | 51.90% | 16.81% | 5.02% | Eliminated in Quarterfinals |
| Phoenix Mercury | 48.10% | 13.85% | 3.67% | Eliminated in Finals |
| Indiana Fever | 23.66% | 8.04% | 3.51% | Eliminated in Semifinals |
| Golden State Valkyries | 17.58% | 7.52% | 1.80% | Eliminated in Quarterfinals |
| Seattle Storm | 14.93% | 3.44% | 1.17% | Eliminated in Quarterfinals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Golden State Valkyries | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 76.34% | |||||||
| Golden State Valkyries | 17.58% | |||||||
| Indiana Fever | 23.66% | |||||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 85.07% | |||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 82.42% | |||||||
| New York Liberty | 51.90% | |||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 48.10% | |||||||
| Seattle Storm | 14.93% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Golden State Valkyries | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 31.67% | 9.32% | ||||||
| Golden State Valkyries | 3.68% | 3.84% | ||||||
| Indiana Fever | 5.87% | 2.17% | ||||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 33.09% | 14.44% | ||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 31.41% | 30.41% | ||||||
| New York Liberty | 5.42% | 11.39% | ||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 4.64% | 9.21% | ||||||
| Seattle Storm | 2.26% | 1.18% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Golden State Valkyries | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 2.34% | 13.52% | 5.09% | 4.31% | ||||
| Golden State Valkyries | 0.61% | 0.29% | 0.77% | 0.13% | ||||
| Indiana Fever | 0.36% | 1.90% | 0.58% | 0.67% | ||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 2.87% | 15.65% | 5.89% | 5.02% | ||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 11.71% | 3.23% | 13.60% | 1.60% | ||||
| New York Liberty | 2.04% | 0.56% | 2.19% | 0.23% | ||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 1.37% | 0.45% | 1.54% | 0.31% | ||||
| Seattle Storm | 0.15% | 0.61% | 0.23% | 0.18% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-16 | @ Washington Mystics | L 90-94 | 1486.29 | 1490.77 | 43.42% | 56.58% | -10.55 | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-20 | @ Indiana Fever | W 91-90 | 1475.74 | 1529.94 | 36.57% | 63.43% | +7.70 | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-22 | Indiana Fever | L 76-81 | 1483.44 | 1522.23 | 50.39% | 49.61% | -13.69 | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-24 | Dallas Wings | W 83-75 | 1469.75 | 1398.95 | 65.62% | 34.38% | +11.82 | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-25 | Connecticut Sun | W 79-55 | 1481.57 | 1509.55 | 51.94% | 48.06% | +28.60 | 3-2 |
| 2025-05-27 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 88-82 | 1510.17 | 1425.87 | 56.13% | 43.87% | +13.06 | 4-2 |
| 2025-05-30 | @ Seattle Storm | W 94-87 | 1523.23 | 1556.08 | 39.46% | 60.54% | +19.46 | 5-2 |
| 2025-06-06 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 76-84 | 1542.69 | 1439.12 | 58.84% | 41.16% | -20.22 | 5-3 |
| 2025-06-10 | Indiana Fever | W 77-58 | 1522.47 | 1543.56 | 52.93% | 47.07% | +24.93 | 6-3 |
| 2025-06-13 | Chicago Sky | W 88-70 | 1547.40 | 1378.24 | 77.08% | 22.92% | +11.81 | 7-3 |
| 2025-06-15 | @ Washington Mystics | W 89-56 | 1559.21 | 1492.33 | 53.65% | 46.35% | +32.36 | 8-3 |
| 2025-06-17 | @ New York Liberty | L 81-86 | 1591.57 | 1686.25 | 31.35% | 68.65% | -8.52 | 8-4 |
| 2025-06-20 | Washington Mystics | W 92-91 | 1583.05 | 1474.90 | 70.30% | 29.70% | +3.61 | 9-4 |
| 2025-06-22 | Chicago Sky | W 93-80 | 1586.66 | 1360.88 | 82.33% | 17.67% | +7.74 | 10-4 |
| 2025-06-24 | @ Dallas Wings | L 55-68 | 1594.40 | 1357.68 | 75.47% | 24.53% | -33.06 | 10-5 |
| 2025-06-27 | Minnesota Lynx | L 92-96 | 1561.34 | 1662.53 | 41.49% | 58.51% | -10.08 | 10-6 |
| 2025-06-29 | New York Liberty | W 90-81 | 1551.26 | 1627.24 | 45.05% | 54.95% | +20.03 | 11-6 |
| 2025-07-03 | Seattle Storm | L 79-80 | 1571.29 | 1559.17 | 57.66% | 42.34% | -7.01 | 11-7 |
| 2025-07-07 | Golden State Valkyries | W 90-81 | 1564.28 | 1488.68 | 66.24% | 33.76% | +12.31 | 12-7 |
| 2025-07-11 | @ Indiana Fever | L 82-99 | 1576.59 | 1505.14 | 54.30% | 45.70% | -27.21 | 12-8 |
| 2025-07-13 | @ New York Liberty | L 72-79 | 1549.38 | 1602.63 | 36.69% | 63.31% | -11.79 | 12-9 |
| 2025-07-16 | @ Chicago Sky | W 86-49 | 1537.59 | 1407.69 | 62.45% | 37.55% | +27.75 | 13-9 |
| 2025-07-22 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 72-87 | 1565.34 | 1501.13 | 53.26% | 46.74% | -25.07 | 13-10 |
| 2025-07-23 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 90-79 | 1540.27 | 1586.60 | 37.62% | 62.38% | +25.14 | 14-10 |
| 2025-07-27 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 90-86 | 1565.41 | 1709.70 | 25.55% | 74.45% | +18.09 | 15-10 |
| 2025-07-29 | Golden State Valkyries | L 75-77 | 1583.50 | 1447.64 | 73.52% | 26.48% | -12.63 | 15-11 |
| 2025-07-30 | @ Dallas Wings | W 88-85 | 1570.87 | 1402.95 | 67.43% | 32.57% | +6.85 | 16-11 |
| 2025-08-01 | Phoenix Mercury | W 95-72 | 1577.72 | 1556.22 | 58.97% | 41.03% | +23.91 | 17-11 |
| 2025-08-03 | Washington Mystics | W 99-83 | 1601.63 | 1468.25 | 73.24% | 26.76% | +13.01 | 18-11 |
| 2025-08-07 | @ Chicago Sky | W 86-65 | 1614.64 | 1324.93 | 80.67% | 19.33% | +10.76 | 19-11 |
| 2025-08-10 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 74-66 | 1625.40 | 1587.58 | 49.47% | 50.53% | +17.36 | 20-11 |
| 2025-08-13 | @ Seattle Storm | W 85-75 | 1642.76 | 1484.65 | 66.18% | 33.82% | +13.00 | 21-11 |
| 2025-08-15 | Seattle Storm | L 78-80 | 1655.76 | 1471.65 | 78.56% | 21.44% | -13.50 | 21-12 |
| 2025-08-17 | @ Golden State Valkyries | W 79-63 | 1642.26 | 1510.30 | 62.73% | 37.27% | +18.11 | 22-12 |
| 2025-08-19 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 72-74 | 1660.37 | 1599.76 | 52.75% | 47.25% | -9.06 | 22-13 |
| 2025-08-21 | Minnesota Lynx | W 75-73 | 1651.31 | 1736.20 | 43.79% | 56.21% | +9.66 | 23-13 |
| 2025-08-23 | New York Liberty | W 78-62 | 1660.97 | 1574.77 | 67.59% | 32.41% | +15.75 | 24-13 |
| 2025-08-27 | Las Vegas Aces | L 75-81 | 1676.72 | 1645.45 | 60.32% | 39.68% | -17.95 | 24-14 |
| 2025-08-29 | Dallas Wings | W 100-78 | 1658.77 | 1285.82 | 91.57% | 8.43% | +4.80 | 25-14 |
| 2025-09-01 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 93-76 | 1663.57 | 1384.77 | 79.67% | 20.33% | +10.18 | 26-14 |
| 2025-09-03 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 86-75 | 1673.75 | 1463.25 | 81.01% | 18.99% | +7.65 | 27-14 |
| 2025-09-05 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 104-85 | 1681.40 | 1455.60 | 82.33% | 17.67% | +9.36 | 28-14 |
| 2025-09-08 | Connecticut Sun | W 87-62 | 1690.76 | 1355.45 | 89.74% | 10.26% | +6.23 | 29-14 |
| 2025-09-10 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 88-72 | 1696.99 | 1349.22 | 85.36% | 14.64% | +7.12 | 30-14 |
| 2025-05-17 | @ Indiana Fever | L 58-93 | 1438.31 | 1504.82 | 34.94% | 65.06% | -25.11 | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-22 | New York Liberty | L 74-99 | 1413.20 | 1638.63 | 25.75% | 74.25% | -15.65 | 0-2 |
| 2025-05-25 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 78-91 | 1397.55 | 1407.16 | 42.70% | 57.30% | -18.70 | 0-3 |
| 2025-05-27 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 89-94 | 1378.85 | 1500.73 | 28.08% | 71.92% | -7.63 | 0-4 |
| 2025-05-29 | Dallas Wings | W 97-92 | 1371.22 | 1426.20 | 48.06% | 51.94% | +14.11 | 1-4 |
| 2025-05-31 | @ Dallas Wings | W 94-83 | 1385.33 | 1412.09 | 40.30% | 59.70% | +24.06 | 2-4 |
| 2025-06-07 | Indiana Fever | L 52-79 | 1409.39 | 1518.02 | 40.46% | 59.54% | -25.55 | 2-5 |
| 2025-06-10 | @ New York Liberty | L 66-85 | 1383.84 | 1713.09 | 10.58% | 89.42% | -5.60 | 2-6 |
| 2025-06-13 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 70-88 | 1378.24 | 1547.40 | 22.92% | 77.08% | -11.82 | 2-7 |
| 2025-06-15 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 78-66 | 1366.42 | 1426.83 | 35.74% | 64.26% | +27.05 | 3-7 |
| 2025-06-17 | Washington Mystics | L 72-79 | 1393.47 | 1459.98 | 46.41% | 53.59% | -14.92 | 3-8 |
| 2025-06-21 | Phoenix Mercury | L 86-107 | 1378.55 | 1553.08 | 31.74% | 68.26% | -17.67 | 3-9 |
| 2025-06-22 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 80-93 | 1360.88 | 1586.66 | 17.67% | 82.33% | -7.74 | 3-10 |
| 2025-06-24 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 97-86 | 1353.14 | 1380.62 | 52.02% | 47.98% | +19.33 | 4-10 |
| 2025-06-27 | @ Golden State Valkyries | L 78-83 | 1372.47 | 1447.19 | 33.87% | 66.13% | -9.20 | 4-11 |
| 2025-06-29 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 92-85 | 1363.27 | 1391.38 | 40.11% | 59.89% | +19.25 | 5-11 |
| 2025-07-06 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 75-80 | 1382.52 | 1698.81 | 11.31% | 88.69% | -3.07 | 5-12 |
| 2025-07-08 | @ Washington Mystics | L 79-81 | 1379.45 | 1486.25 | 29.87% | 70.13% | -5.13 | 5-13 |
| 2025-07-09 | Dallas Wings | W 87-76 | 1374.32 | 1406.87 | 51.29% | 48.71% | +19.63 | 6-13 |
| 2025-07-12 | Minnesota Lynx | W 87-81 | 1393.95 | 1687.23 | 19.01% | 80.99% | +24.10 | 7-13 |
| 2025-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx | L 78-91 | 1418.05 | 1663.13 | 23.65% | 76.35% | -10.36 | 7-14 |
| 2025-07-16 | Atlanta Dream | L 49-86 | 1407.69 | 1537.59 | 37.55% | 62.45% | -27.75 | 7-15 |
| 2025-07-22 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 68-91 | 1379.94 | 1688.49 | 11.76% | 88.24% | -6.85 | 7-16 |
| 2025-07-24 | Seattle Storm | L 57-95 | 1373.09 | 1514.03 | 36.07% | 63.93% | -27.02 | 7-17 |
| 2025-07-27 | Indiana Fever | L 78-93 | 1346.07 | 1537.68 | 29.65% | 70.35% | -13.95 | 7-18 |
| 2025-07-29 | @ Washington Mystics | L 86-103 | 1332.12 | 1461.68 | 27.20% | 72.80% | -13.62 | 7-19 |
| 2025-08-01 | Golden State Valkyries | L 66-73 | 1318.50 | 1467.32 | 35.03% | 64.97% | -11.26 | 7-20 |
| 2025-08-03 | Phoenix Mercury | L 67-83 | 1307.24 | 1532.31 | 25.79% | 74.21% | -12.54 | 7-21 |
| 2025-08-05 | Washington Mystics | W 78-64 | 1294.70 | 1455.24 | 33.51% | 66.49% | +30.23 | 8-21 |
| 2025-08-07 | Atlanta Dream | L 65-86 | 1324.93 | 1614.64 | 19.33% | 80.67% | -10.76 | 8-22 |
| 2025-08-09 | @ Indiana Fever | L 70-92 | 1314.17 | 1533.78 | 18.20% | 81.80% | -10.37 | 8-23 |
| 2025-08-13 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 62-71 | 1303.80 | 1309.16 | 43.30% | 56.70% | -15.78 | 8-24 |
| 2025-08-15 | Golden State Valkyries | L 59-90 | 1288.02 | 1491.17 | 28.28% | 71.72% | -19.14 | 8-25 |
| 2025-08-19 | Seattle Storm | L 88-94 | 1268.88 | 1475.60 | 27.87% | 72.13% | -8.29 | 8-26 |
| 2025-08-21 | @ New York Liberty | W 91-85 | 1260.59 | 1601.57 | 9.96% | 90.04% | +26.80 | 9-26 |
| 2025-08-23 | Connecticut Sun | L 84-94 | 1287.39 | 1369.06 | 44.24% | 55.76% | -17.00 | 9-27 |
| 2025-08-25 | Las Vegas Aces | L 74-79 | 1270.39 | 1641.91 | 13.01% | 86.99% | -3.54 | 9-28 |
| 2025-08-28 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 79-83 | 1266.85 | 1585.24 | 11.19% | 88.81% | -2.72 | 9-29 |
| 2025-08-30 | @ Seattle Storm | L 69-79 | 1264.13 | 1530.12 | 14.55% | 85.45% | -5.59 | 9-30 |
| 2025-09-03 | Connecticut Sun | W 88-64 | 1258.54 | 1374.58 | 39.43% | 60.57% | +36.05 | 10-30 |
| 2025-09-05 | @ Indiana Fever | L 77-97 | 1294.59 | 1509.51 | 18.60% | 81.40% | -10.11 | 10-31 |
| 2025-09-07 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 66-80 | 1284.48 | 1683.35 | 7.34% | 92.66% | -3.33 | 10-32 |
| 2025-09-09 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 61-92 | 1281.15 | 1686.69 | 7.09% | 92.91% | -4.80 | 10-33 |
| 2025-09-11 | New York Liberty | L 86-91 | 1276.35 | 1563.22 | 19.58% | 80.42% | -5.32 | 10-34 |
| 2025-05-18 | Washington Mystics | L 85-90 | 1568.45 | 1501.33 | 65.14% | 34.86% | -17.69 | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-20 | Las Vegas Aces | L 62-87 | 1550.76 | 1573.43 | 52.71% | 47.29% | -32.02 | 0-2 |
| 2025-05-23 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 70-76 | 1518.74 | 1617.27 | 30.87% | 69.13% | -9.19 | 0-3 |
| 2025-05-25 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 55-79 | 1509.55 | 1481.57 | 48.06% | 51.94% | -28.60 | 0-4 |
| 2025-05-27 | Dallas Wings | L 87-109 | 1480.95 | 1387.13 | 68.54% | 31.46% | -39.07 | 0-5 |
| 2025-05-30 | @ Indiana Fever | W 85-83 | 1441.88 | 1514.28 | 34.17% | 65.83% | +11.31 | 1-5 |
| 2025-06-01 | @ New York Liberty | L 52-100 | 1453.19 | 1690.57 | 16.72% | 83.28% | -14.07 | 1-6 |
| 2025-06-06 | Atlanta Dream | W 84-76 | 1439.12 | 1542.69 | 41.16% | 58.84% | +20.22 | 2-6 |
| 2025-06-08 | @ Washington Mystics | L 67-104 | 1459.34 | 1459.82 | 43.99% | 56.01% | -32.51 | 2-7 |
| 2025-06-15 | Chicago Sky | L 66-78 | 1426.83 | 1366.42 | 64.26% | 35.74% | -27.05 | 2-8 |
| 2025-06-17 | @ Indiana Fever | L 71-88 | 1399.78 | 1551.07 | 24.79% | 75.21% | -12.42 | 2-9 |
| 2025-06-18 | Phoenix Mercury | L 75-83 | 1387.36 | 1513.55 | 38.05% | 61.95% | -13.07 | 2-10 |
| 2025-06-20 | Dallas Wings | L 83-86 | 1374.29 | 1351.50 | 59.15% | 40.85% | -12.45 | 2-11 |
| 2025-06-22 | @ Golden State Valkyries | L 63-87 | 1361.84 | 1432.93 | 34.34% | 65.66% | -20.44 | 2-12 |
| 2025-06-25 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 59-85 | 1341.40 | 1508.00 | 23.18% | 76.82% | -14.36 | 2-13 |
| 2025-06-27 | @ Seattle Storm | L 81-97 | 1327.04 | 1592.64 | 14.58% | 85.42% | -7.09 | 2-14 |
| 2025-06-29 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 63-102 | 1319.95 | 1672.61 | 9.37% | 90.63% | -7.11 | 2-15 |
| 2025-07-06 | Las Vegas Aces | L 68-86 | 1312.84 | 1486.21 | 31.88% | 68.12% | -16.44 | 2-16 |
| 2025-07-09 | Seattle Storm | W 93-83 | 1296.40 | 1588.97 | 19.07% | 80.93% | +31.10 | 3-16 |
| 2025-07-11 | @ Seattle Storm | L 65-79 | 1327.50 | 1557.87 | 17.29% | 82.71% | -7.87 | 3-17 |
| 2025-07-13 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 88-92 | 1319.63 | 1372.52 | 36.74% | 63.26% | -8.92 | 3-18 |
| 2025-07-15 | Indiana Fever | L 77-85 | 1310.71 | 1545.83 | 24.70% | 75.30% | -8.49 | 3-19 |
| 2025-07-24 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 86-101 | 1302.22 | 1435.89 | 37.04% | 62.96% | -17.43 | 3-20 |
| 2025-07-27 | Golden State Valkyries | W 95-64 | 1284.79 | 1496.85 | 27.25% | 72.75% | +49.21 | 4-20 |
| 2025-07-28 | Seattle Storm | L 85-101 | 1334.00 | 1518.74 | 30.48% | 69.52% | -14.81 | 4-21 |
| 2025-08-01 | New York Liberty | W 78-62 | 1319.19 | 1607.11 | 19.49% | 80.51% | +39.13 | 5-21 |
| 2025-08-03 | New York Liberty | L 78-87 | 1358.32 | 1567.99 | 27.53% | 72.47% | -10.04 | 5-22 |
| 2025-08-05 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 66-82 | 1348.28 | 1544.84 | 20.26% | 79.74% | -9.84 | 5-23 |
| 2025-08-07 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 91-102 | 1338.44 | 1479.11 | 25.95% | 74.05% | -10.46 | 5-24 |
| 2025-08-10 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 86-94 | 1327.98 | 1559.28 | 17.22% | 82.78% | -5.91 | 5-25 |
| 2025-08-11 | @ Golden State Valkyries | L 57-74 | 1322.07 | 1464.39 | 25.77% | 74.23% | -12.91 | 5-26 |
| 2025-08-13 | Chicago Sky | W 71-62 | 1309.16 | 1303.80 | 56.70% | 43.30% | +15.78 | 6-26 |
| 2025-08-17 | Indiana Fever | L 93-99 | 1324.94 | 1517.43 | 29.54% | 70.46% | -8.79 | 6-27 |
| 2025-08-19 | @ Washington Mystics | W 80-69 | 1316.15 | 1463.47 | 25.22% | 74.78% | +30.13 | 7-27 |
| 2025-08-21 | Washington Mystics | W 67-56 | 1346.28 | 1433.33 | 43.48% | 56.52% | +22.78 | 8-27 |
| 2025-08-23 | @ Chicago Sky | W 94-84 | 1369.06 | 1287.39 | 55.76% | 44.24% | +17.00 | 9-27 |
| 2025-08-25 | @ New York Liberty | L 79-81 | 1386.06 | 1559.02 | 22.54% | 77.46% | -3.88 | 9-28 |
| 2025-08-27 | @ Dallas Wings | W 101-95 | 1382.18 | 1298.92 | 55.98% | 44.02% | +13.10 | 10-28 |
| 2025-08-30 | Minnesota Lynx | L 70-94 | 1395.28 | 1704.10 | 17.67% | 82.33% | -10.51 | 10-29 |
| 2025-09-01 | Atlanta Dream | L 76-93 | 1384.77 | 1663.57 | 20.33% | 79.67% | -10.19 | 10-30 |
| 2025-09-03 | @ Chicago Sky | L 64-88 | 1374.58 | 1258.54 | 60.57% | 39.43% | -36.05 | 10-31 |
| 2025-09-06 | Phoenix Mercury | W 87-84 | 1338.53 | 1625.07 | 19.61% | 80.39% | +16.92 | 11-31 |
| 2025-09-08 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 62-87 | 1355.45 | 1690.76 | 10.26% | 89.74% | -6.23 | 11-32 |
| 2025-09-10 | Atlanta Dream | L 72-88 | 1349.22 | 1696.99 | 14.64% | 85.36% | -7.12 | 11-33 |
| 2025-05-16 | Minnesota Lynx | L 84-99 | 1435.18 | 1579.40 | 35.63% | 64.37% | -16.76 | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-19 | Seattle Storm | L 71-79 | 1418.42 | 1507.96 | 43.13% | 56.87% | -14.82 | 0-2 |
| 2025-05-21 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 81-85 | 1403.60 | 1612.63 | 19.12% | 80.88% | -4.65 | 0-3 |
| 2025-05-24 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 75-83 | 1398.95 | 1469.75 | 34.38% | 65.62% | -11.82 | 0-4 |
| 2025-05-27 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 109-87 | 1387.13 | 1480.95 | 31.46% | 68.54% | +39.07 | 1-4 |
| 2025-05-29 | @ Chicago Sky | L 92-97 | 1426.20 | 1371.22 | 51.94% | 48.06% | -14.11 | 1-5 |
| 2025-05-31 | Chicago Sky | L 83-94 | 1412.09 | 1385.33 | 59.70% | 40.30% | -24.06 | 1-6 |
| 2025-06-03 | @ Seattle Storm | L 77-83 | 1388.03 | 1523.61 | 26.51% | 73.49% | -7.89 | 1-7 |
| 2025-06-06 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 79-93 | 1380.14 | 1390.65 | 54.45% | 45.55% | -24.75 | 1-8 |
| 2025-06-08 | Minnesota Lynx | L 65-81 | 1355.39 | 1667.05 | 17.43% | 82.57% | -8.48 | 1-9 |
| 2025-06-11 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 80-93 | 1346.91 | 1483.70 | 26.38% | 73.62% | -11.55 | 1-10 |
| 2025-06-13 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 84-88 | 1335.36 | 1529.96 | 20.44% | 79.56% | -4.97 | 1-11 |
| 2025-06-17 | Golden State Valkyries | W 80-71 | 1330.39 | 1427.43 | 42.07% | 57.93% | +21.11 | 2-11 |
| 2025-06-20 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 86-83 | 1351.50 | 1374.29 | 40.85% | 59.15% | +12.45 | 3-11 |
| 2025-06-22 | @ Washington Mystics | L 88-91 | 1363.95 | 1471.29 | 29.80% | 70.20% | -6.27 | 3-12 |
| 2025-06-24 | Atlanta Dream | W 68-55 | 1357.68 | 1594.40 | 24.53% | 75.47% | +33.06 | 4-12 |
| 2025-06-27 | Indiana Fever | L 86-94 | 1390.74 | 1513.04 | 38.58% | 61.42% | -13.26 | 4-13 |
| 2025-06-28 | Washington Mystics | W 79-71 | 1377.48 | 1519.06 | 35.98% | 64.02% | +22.00 | 5-13 |
| 2025-07-03 | Phoenix Mercury | W 98-89 | 1399.48 | 1582.51 | 30.69% | 69.31% | +25.27 | 6-13 |
| 2025-07-07 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 72-102 | 1424.75 | 1557.24 | 26.86% | 73.14% | -17.88 | 6-14 |
| 2025-07-09 | @ Chicago Sky | L 76-87 | 1406.87 | 1374.32 | 48.71% | 51.29% | -19.63 | 6-15 |
| 2025-07-13 | @ Indiana Fever | L 83-102 | 1387.24 | 1532.35 | 25.46% | 74.54% | -13.48 | 6-16 |
| 2025-07-16 | Las Vegas Aces | L 86-90 | 1373.76 | 1491.61 | 39.19% | 60.81% | -9.53 | 6-17 |
| 2025-07-22 | @ Seattle Storm | W 87-63 | 1364.23 | 1561.54 | 20.19% | 79.81% | +47.51 | 7-17 |
| 2025-07-25 | @ Golden State Valkyries | L 76-86 | 1411.74 | 1483.70 | 34.23% | 65.77% | -13.15 | 7-18 |
| 2025-07-27 | Las Vegas Aces | L 80-106 | 1398.59 | 1494.60 | 42.22% | 57.78% | -26.16 | 7-19 |
| 2025-07-28 | New York Liberty | W 92-82 | 1372.43 | 1648.57 | 20.58% | 79.42% | +30.52 | 8-19 |
| 2025-07-30 | Atlanta Dream | L 85-88 | 1402.95 | 1570.87 | 32.57% | 67.43% | -6.86 | 8-20 |
| 2025-08-01 | Indiana Fever | L 78-88 | 1396.09 | 1565.53 | 32.38% | 67.62% | -12.44 | 8-21 |
| 2025-08-05 | @ New York Liberty | L 76-85 | 1383.65 | 1578.02 | 20.46% | 79.54% | -7.45 | 8-22 |
| 2025-08-08 | New York Liberty | L 77-88 | 1376.20 | 1585.48 | 27.57% | 72.43% | -11.11 | 8-23 |
| 2025-08-10 | Washington Mystics | L 78-91 | 1365.09 | 1422.23 | 47.75% | 52.25% | -20.92 | 8-24 |
| 2025-08-12 | @ Indiana Fever | W 81-80 | 1344.17 | 1544.15 | 19.94% | 80.06% | +9.73 | 9-24 |
| 2025-08-15 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 96-97 | 1353.90 | 1463.28 | 40.35% | 59.65% | -4.91 | 9-25 |
| 2025-08-17 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 87-106 | 1348.99 | 1591.10 | 16.35% | 83.65% | -8.66 | 9-26 |
| 2025-08-20 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 80-81 | 1340.33 | 1450.98 | 29.40% | 70.60% | -3.57 | 9-27 |
| 2025-08-22 | Seattle Storm | L 60-95 | 1336.76 | 1483.89 | 35.25% | 64.75% | -25.34 | 9-28 |
| 2025-08-24 | Golden State Valkyries | L 81-90 | 1311.42 | 1465.71 | 34.32% | 65.68% | -12.50 | 9-29 |
| 2025-08-27 | Connecticut Sun | L 95-101 | 1298.92 | 1382.18 | 44.02% | 55.98% | -13.10 | 9-30 |
| 2025-08-29 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 78-100 | 1285.82 | 1658.77 | 8.43% | 91.57% | -4.81 | 9-31 |
| 2025-09-01 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 71-96 | 1281.01 | 1714.62 | 6.09% | 93.91% | -3.70 | 9-32 |
| 2025-09-04 | @ Golden State Valkyries | L 80-84 | 1277.31 | 1538.69 | 14.89% | 85.11% | -3.62 | 9-33 |
| 2025-09-07 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 77-91 | 1273.69 | 1446.24 | 22.58% | 77.42% | -10.26 | 9-34 |
| 2025-09-11 | Phoenix Mercury | W 97-76 | 1263.43 | 1587.71 | 16.41% | 83.59% | +46.54 | 10-34 |
| 2025-05-16 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 67-84 | 1350.00 | 1434.28 | 43.87% | 56.13% | -21.98 | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-21 | Washington Mystics | W 76-74 | 1328.02 | 1519.02 | 29.72% | 70.28% | +12.08 | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-23 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 82-73 | 1340.10 | 1432.06 | 31.68% | 68.32% | +24.90 | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-27 | @ New York Liberty | L 67-95 | 1365.00 | 1661.00 | 12.53% | 87.47% | -8.06 | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-29 | @ New York Liberty | L 77-82 | 1356.94 | 1669.05 | 11.55% | 88.45% | -3.14 | 2-3 |
| 2025-06-01 | Minnesota Lynx | L 75-86 | 1353.80 | 1644.12 | 19.27% | 80.73% | -7.77 | 2-4 |
| 2025-06-05 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 77-86 | 1346.03 | 1496.63 | 24.87% | 75.13% | -9.06 | 2-5 |
| 2025-06-07 | Las Vegas Aces | W 95-68 | 1336.97 | 1605.88 | 21.26% | 78.74% | +49.71 | 3-5 |
| 2025-06-09 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 89-81 | 1386.68 | 1415.40 | 40.03% | 59.97% | +20.61 | 4-5 |
| 2025-06-14 | Seattle Storm | W 76-70 | 1407.29 | 1577.08 | 32.33% | 67.67% | +20.14 | 5-5 |
| 2025-06-17 | @ Dallas Wings | L 71-80 | 1427.43 | 1330.39 | 57.93% | 42.07% | -21.12 | 5-6 |
| 2025-06-19 | Indiana Fever | W 88-77 | 1406.31 | 1563.49 | 33.94% | 66.06% | +26.62 | 6-6 |
| 2025-06-22 | Connecticut Sun | W 87-63 | 1432.93 | 1361.84 | 65.66% | 34.34% | +20.44 | 7-6 |
| 2025-06-25 | New York Liberty | L 78-81 | 1453.37 | 1647.37 | 29.36% | 70.64% | -6.18 | 7-7 |
| 2025-06-27 | Chicago Sky | W 83-78 | 1447.19 | 1372.47 | 66.13% | 33.87% | +9.21 | 8-7 |
| 2025-06-29 | Seattle Storm | W 84-57 | 1456.40 | 1599.73 | 35.75% | 64.25% | +40.56 | 9-7 |
| 2025-07-05 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 71-82 | 1496.96 | 1690.53 | 20.53% | 79.47% | -8.28 | 9-8 |
| 2025-07-07 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 81-90 | 1488.68 | 1564.28 | 33.76% | 66.24% | -12.30 | 9-9 |
| 2025-07-09 | @ Indiana Fever | W 80-61 | 1476.38 | 1539.36 | 35.40% | 64.60% | +34.21 | 10-9 |
| 2025-07-12 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 102-104 | 1510.59 | 1483.37 | 47.95% | 52.05% | -8.24 | 10-10 |
| 2025-07-14 | Phoenix Mercury | L 77-78 | 1502.35 | 1596.44 | 42.49% | 57.51% | -5.16 | 10-11 |
| 2025-07-16 | @ Seattle Storm | L 58-67 | 1497.19 | 1548.05 | 37.01% | 62.99% | -13.49 | 10-12 |
| 2025-07-25 | Dallas Wings | W 86-76 | 1483.70 | 1411.74 | 65.77% | 34.23% | +13.15 | 11-12 |
| 2025-07-27 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 64-95 | 1496.85 | 1284.79 | 72.75% | 27.25% | -49.21 | 11-13 |
| 2025-07-29 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 77-75 | 1447.64 | 1583.50 | 26.48% | 73.52% | +12.63 | 12-13 |
| 2025-07-31 | @ Washington Mystics | W 68-67 | 1460.27 | 1475.30 | 41.94% | 58.06% | +7.05 | 13-13 |
| 2025-08-01 | @ Chicago Sky | W 73-66 | 1467.32 | 1318.50 | 64.97% | 35.03% | +11.26 | 14-13 |
| 2025-08-03 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 77-101 | 1478.58 | 1513.66 | 39.15% | 60.85% | -23.30 | 14-14 |
| 2025-08-06 | Las Vegas Aces | L 72-78 | 1455.28 | 1536.97 | 44.24% | 55.76% | -13.17 | 14-15 |
| 2025-08-09 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 72-59 | 1442.11 | 1489.57 | 49.14% | 50.86% | +22.28 | 15-15 |
| 2025-08-11 | Connecticut Sun | W 74-57 | 1464.39 | 1322.07 | 74.23% | 25.77% | +12.91 | 16-15 |
| 2025-08-13 | @ Washington Mystics | W 88-83 | 1477.30 | 1443.15 | 48.94% | 51.06% | +13.87 | 17-15 |
| 2025-08-15 | @ Chicago Sky | W 90-59 | 1491.17 | 1288.02 | 71.72% | 28.28% | +19.13 | 18-15 |
| 2025-08-17 | Atlanta Dream | L 63-79 | 1510.30 | 1642.26 | 37.27% | 62.73% | -18.11 | 18-16 |
| 2025-08-19 | Phoenix Mercury | L 91-98 | 1492.19 | 1568.28 | 45.04% | 54.96% | -14.48 | 18-17 |
| 2025-08-22 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 72-81 | 1477.71 | 1559.74 | 32.94% | 67.06% | -12.00 | 18-18 |
| 2025-08-24 | @ Dallas Wings | W 90-81 | 1465.71 | 1311.42 | 65.68% | 34.32% | +12.50 | 19-18 |
| 2025-08-30 | Washington Mystics | W 99-62 | 1478.21 | 1379.35 | 69.17% | 30.83% | +22.79 | 20-18 |
| 2025-08-31 | Indiana Fever | W 75-63 | 1501.00 | 1539.89 | 50.38% | 49.62% | +20.89 | 21-18 |
| 2025-09-02 | New York Liberty | W 66-58 | 1521.89 | 1555.78 | 51.09% | 48.91% | +16.80 | 22-18 |
| 2025-09-04 | Dallas Wings | W 84-80 | 1538.69 | 1277.31 | 85.11% | 14.89% | +3.62 | 23-18 |
| 2025-09-06 | Minnesota Lynx | L 72-78 | 1542.31 | 1698.37 | 34.09% | 65.91% | -10.14 | 23-19 |
| 2025-09-09 | @ Seattle Storm | L 73-74 | 1532.17 | 1497.28 | 49.05% | 50.95% | -5.96 | 23-20 |
| 2025-09-11 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 53-72 | 1526.21 | 1681.32 | 24.38% | 75.62% | -12.92 | 23-21 |
| 2025-05-17 | Chicago Sky | W 93-58 | 1504.82 | 1438.31 | 65.06% | 34.94% | +25.12 | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-20 | Atlanta Dream | L 90-91 | 1529.94 | 1475.74 | 63.43% | 36.57% | -7.71 | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-22 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 81-76 | 1522.23 | 1483.44 | 49.61% | 50.39% | +13.69 | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-24 | New York Liberty | L 88-90 | 1535.92 | 1654.27 | 39.12% | 60.88% | -6.72 | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-28 | @ Washington Mystics | L 77-83 | 1529.20 | 1486.77 | 50.13% | 49.87% | -14.92 | 2-3 |
| 2025-05-30 | Connecticut Sun | L 83-85 | 1514.28 | 1441.88 | 65.83% | 34.17% | -11.31 | 2-4 |
| 2025-06-03 | Washington Mystics | W 85-76 | 1502.97 | 1483.32 | 58.71% | 41.29% | +15.05 | 3-4 |
| 2025-06-07 | @ Chicago Sky | W 79-52 | 1518.02 | 1409.39 | 59.54% | 40.46% | +25.54 | 4-4 |
| 2025-06-10 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 58-77 | 1543.56 | 1522.47 | 47.07% | 52.93% | -24.93 | 4-5 |
| 2025-06-14 | New York Liberty | W 102-88 | 1518.63 | 1718.69 | 28.64% | 71.36% | +32.44 | 5-5 |
| 2025-06-17 | Connecticut Sun | W 88-71 | 1551.07 | 1399.78 | 75.21% | 24.79% | +12.42 | 6-5 |
| 2025-06-19 | @ Golden State Valkyries | L 77-88 | 1563.49 | 1406.31 | 66.06% | 33.94% | -26.62 | 6-6 |
| 2025-06-22 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 81-89 | 1536.87 | 1490.58 | 50.69% | 49.31% | -17.42 | 6-7 |
| 2025-06-24 | @ Seattle Storm | W 94-86 | 1519.45 | 1616.33 | 31.08% | 68.92% | +23.69 | 7-7 |
| 2025-06-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-85 | 1543.14 | 1361.28 | 78.34% | 21.66% | -30.10 | 7-8 |
| 2025-06-27 | @ Dallas Wings | W 94-86 | 1513.04 | 1390.74 | 61.42% | 38.58% | +13.25 | 8-8 |
| 2025-07-03 | Las Vegas Aces | W 81-54 | 1526.29 | 1512.82 | 57.85% | 42.15% | +26.62 | 9-8 |
| 2025-07-05 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 87-89 | 1552.91 | 1365.64 | 78.87% | 21.13% | -13.55 | 9-9 |
| 2025-07-09 | Golden State Valkyries | L 61-80 | 1539.36 | 1476.38 | 64.60% | 35.40% | -34.22 | 9-10 |
| 2025-07-11 | Atlanta Dream | W 99-82 | 1505.14 | 1576.59 | 45.70% | 54.30% | +27.21 | 10-10 |
| 2025-07-13 | Dallas Wings | W 102-83 | 1532.35 | 1387.24 | 74.54% | 25.46% | +13.48 | 11-10 |
| 2025-07-15 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 85-77 | 1545.83 | 1310.71 | 75.30% | 24.70% | +8.49 | 12-10 |
| 2025-07-16 | @ New York Liberty | L 77-98 | 1554.32 | 1614.43 | 35.78% | 64.22% | -19.92 | 12-11 |
| 2025-07-22 | @ New York Liberty | L 84-98 | 1534.40 | 1634.35 | 30.70% | 69.30% | -13.96 | 12-12 |
| 2025-07-24 | Las Vegas Aces | W 80-70 | 1520.44 | 1526.19 | 55.13% | 44.87% | +17.24 | 13-12 |
| 2025-07-27 | @ Chicago Sky | W 93-78 | 1537.68 | 1346.07 | 70.35% | 29.65% | +13.95 | 14-12 |
| 2025-07-30 | Phoenix Mercury | W 107-101 | 1551.63 | 1570.11 | 53.31% | 46.69% | +13.90 | 15-12 |
| 2025-08-01 | @ Dallas Wings | W 88-78 | 1565.53 | 1396.09 | 67.62% | 32.38% | +12.44 | 16-12 |
| 2025-08-03 | @ Seattle Storm | W 78-74 | 1577.97 | 1521.88 | 52.10% | 47.90% | +11.64 | 17-12 |
| 2025-08-05 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 91-100 | 1589.61 | 1456.18 | 62.93% | 37.07% | -22.94 | 17-13 |
| 2025-08-07 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 60-95 | 1566.67 | 1554.69 | 45.76% | 54.24% | -32.89 | 17-14 |
| 2025-08-09 | Chicago Sky | W 92-70 | 1533.78 | 1314.17 | 81.80% | 18.20% | +10.37 | 18-14 |
| 2025-08-12 | Dallas Wings | L 80-81 | 1544.15 | 1344.17 | 80.06% | 19.94% | -9.73 | 18-15 |
| 2025-08-15 | Washington Mystics | L 84-88 | 1534.42 | 1429.28 | 69.93% | 30.07% | -16.99 | 18-16 |
| 2025-08-17 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 99-93 | 1517.43 | 1324.94 | 70.46% | 29.54% | +8.79 | 19-16 |
| 2025-08-22 | Minnesota Lynx | L 90-95 | 1526.22 | 1726.55 | 28.61% | 71.39% | -7.77 | 19-17 |
| 2025-08-24 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 84-97 | 1518.45 | 1734.32 | 18.52% | 81.48% | -8.12 | 19-18 |
| 2025-08-26 | Seattle Storm | W 95-75 | 1510.33 | 1516.18 | 55.11% | 44.89% | +24.39 | 20-18 |
| 2025-08-29 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 76-75 | 1534.72 | 1441.05 | 57.45% | 42.55% | +5.17 | 21-18 |
| 2025-08-31 | @ Golden State Valkyries | L 63-75 | 1539.89 | 1501.00 | 49.62% | 50.38% | -20.88 | 21-19 |
| 2025-09-02 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 79-85 | 1519.01 | 1609.26 | 31.90% | 68.10% | -9.50 | 21-20 |
| 2025-09-05 | Chicago Sky | W 97-77 | 1509.51 | 1294.59 | 81.40% | 18.60% | +10.11 | 22-20 |
| 2025-09-07 | @ Washington Mystics | W 94-65 | 1519.62 | 1343.24 | 68.49% | 31.51% | +20.62 | 23-20 |
| 2025-09-09 | Minnesota Lynx | W 83-72 | 1540.24 | 1708.51 | 32.52% | 67.48% | +27.19 | 24-20 |
| 2025-05-17 | @ New York Liberty | L 78-92 | 1591.62 | 1620.44 | 40.02% | 59.98% | -18.19 | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-20 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 87-62 | 1573.43 | 1550.76 | 47.29% | 52.71% | +32.02 | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-23 | Washington Mystics | W 75-72 | 1605.45 | 1506.95 | 69.12% | 30.88% | +6.50 | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-25 | @ Seattle Storm | L 82-102 | 1611.95 | 1535.93 | 54.95% | 45.05% | -29.86 | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-30 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 96-81 | 1582.09 | 1412.81 | 77.09% | 22.91% | +10.78 | 3-2 |
| 2025-06-01 | @ Seattle Storm | W 75-70 | 1592.87 | 1536.62 | 52.12% | 47.88% | +13.01 | 4-2 |
| 2025-06-07 | @ Golden State Valkyries | L 68-95 | 1605.88 | 1336.97 | 78.74% | 21.26% | -49.71 | 4-3 |
| 2025-06-11 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 89-97 | 1556.17 | 1394.79 | 76.28% | 23.72% | -26.21 | 4-4 |
| 2025-06-13 | Dallas Wings | W 88-84 | 1529.96 | 1335.36 | 79.56% | 20.44% | +4.96 | 5-4 |
| 2025-06-15 | Phoenix Mercury | L 70-76 | 1534.92 | 1495.25 | 61.47% | 38.53% | -18.29 | 5-5 |
| 2025-06-17 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 62-76 | 1516.63 | 1661.98 | 25.43% | 74.57% | -11.56 | 5-6 |
| 2025-06-20 | Seattle Storm | L 83-90 | 1505.07 | 1580.89 | 45.08% | 54.92% | -14.49 | 5-7 |
| 2025-06-22 | Indiana Fever | W 89-81 | 1490.58 | 1536.87 | 49.31% | 50.69% | +17.42 | 6-7 |
| 2025-06-25 | Connecticut Sun | W 85-59 | 1508.00 | 1341.40 | 76.82% | 23.18% | +14.36 | 7-7 |
| 2025-06-26 | Washington Mystics | L 83-94 | 1522.36 | 1494.96 | 59.79% | 40.21% | -24.09 | 7-8 |
| 2025-06-29 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 84-81 | 1498.27 | 1597.06 | 30.84% | 69.16% | +14.55 | 8-8 |
| 2025-07-03 | @ Indiana Fever | L 54-81 | 1512.82 | 1526.29 | 42.15% | 57.85% | -26.61 | 8-9 |
| 2025-07-06 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 86-68 | 1486.21 | 1312.84 | 68.12% | 31.88% | +16.43 | 9-9 |
| 2025-07-08 | @ New York Liberty | L 78-87 | 1502.64 | 1590.91 | 32.15% | 67.85% | -11.71 | 9-10 |
| 2025-07-10 | @ Washington Mystics | L 68-70 | 1490.93 | 1491.38 | 43.99% | 56.01% | -7.56 | 9-11 |
| 2025-07-12 | Golden State Valkyries | W 104-102 | 1483.37 | 1510.59 | 52.05% | 47.95% | +8.24 | 10-11 |
| 2025-07-16 | @ Dallas Wings | W 90-86 | 1491.61 | 1373.76 | 60.81% | 39.19% | +9.52 | 11-11 |
| 2025-07-22 | Atlanta Dream | W 87-72 | 1501.13 | 1565.34 | 46.74% | 53.26% | +25.06 | 12-11 |
| 2025-07-24 | @ Indiana Fever | L 70-80 | 1526.19 | 1520.44 | 44.87% | 55.13% | -17.24 | 12-12 |
| 2025-07-25 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 78-109 | 1508.95 | 1695.34 | 21.22% | 78.78% | -14.35 | 12-13 |
| 2025-07-27 | @ Dallas Wings | W 106-80 | 1494.60 | 1398.59 | 57.78% | 42.22% | +26.15 | 13-13 |
| 2025-07-29 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 89-74 | 1520.75 | 1467.21 | 51.73% | 48.27% | +22.72 | 14-13 |
| 2025-08-02 | Minnesota Lynx | L 58-111 | 1543.47 | 1702.54 | 33.70% | 66.30% | -29.81 | 14-14 |
| 2025-08-03 | Golden State Valkyries | W 101-77 | 1513.66 | 1478.58 | 60.85% | 39.15% | +23.31 | 15-14 |
| 2025-08-06 | @ Golden State Valkyries | W 78-72 | 1536.97 | 1455.28 | 55.76% | 44.24% | +13.16 | 16-14 |
| 2025-08-08 | Seattle Storm | W 90-86 | 1550.13 | 1503.89 | 62.37% | 37.63% | +9.15 | 17-14 |
| 2025-08-10 | Connecticut Sun | W 94-86 | 1559.28 | 1327.98 | 82.78% | 17.22% | +5.92 | 18-14 |
| 2025-08-13 | New York Liberty | W 83-77 | 1565.20 | 1595.74 | 51.58% | 48.42% | +14.41 | 19-14 |
| 2025-08-15 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 86-83 | 1579.61 | 1570.22 | 45.39% | 54.61% | +11.49 | 20-14 |
| 2025-08-17 | Dallas Wings | W 106-87 | 1591.10 | 1348.99 | 83.65% | 16.35% | +8.66 | 21-14 |
| 2025-08-19 | Atlanta Dream | W 74-72 | 1599.76 | 1660.37 | 47.25% | 52.75% | +9.06 | 22-14 |
| 2025-08-21 | Phoenix Mercury | W 83-61 | 1608.82 | 1582.76 | 59.60% | 40.40% | +23.02 | 23-14 |
| 2025-08-23 | @ Washington Mystics | W 91-81 | 1631.84 | 1410.56 | 73.79% | 26.21% | +10.07 | 24-14 |
| 2025-08-25 | @ Chicago Sky | W 79-74 | 1641.91 | 1270.39 | 86.99% | 13.01% | +3.54 | 25-14 |
| 2025-08-27 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 81-75 | 1645.45 | 1676.72 | 39.68% | 60.32% | +17.95 | 26-14 |
| 2025-09-04 | Minnesota Lynx | W 97-87 | 1663.40 | 1718.32 | 48.07% | 51.93% | +19.95 | 27-14 |
| 2025-09-07 | Chicago Sky | W 80-66 | 1683.35 | 1284.48 | 92.66% | 7.34% | +3.34 | 28-14 |
| 2025-09-09 | Chicago Sky | W 92-61 | 1686.69 | 1281.15 | 92.91% | 7.09% | +4.80 | 29-14 |
| 2025-09-11 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 103-75 | 1691.49 | 1476.95 | 73.03% | 26.97% | +17.34 | 30-14 |
| 2025-05-16 | @ Golden State Valkyries | W 84-67 | 1434.28 | 1350.00 | 56.13% | 43.87% | +21.98 | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Minnesota Lynx | L 75-89 | 1456.26 | 1596.17 | 36.21% | 63.79% | -16.46 | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 86-89 | 1439.80 | 1492.46 | 36.77% | 63.23% | -7.74 | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-23 | Golden State Valkyries | L 73-82 | 1432.06 | 1340.10 | 68.32% | 31.68% | -24.90 | 1-3 |
| 2025-05-25 | Chicago Sky | W 91-78 | 1407.16 | 1397.55 | 57.30% | 42.70% | +18.71 | 2-3 |
| 2025-05-27 | Atlanta Dream | L 82-88 | 1425.87 | 1510.17 | 43.87% | 56.13% | -13.06 | 2-4 |
| 2025-05-30 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 81-96 | 1412.81 | 1582.09 | 22.91% | 77.09% | -10.78 | 2-5 |
| 2025-06-01 | Phoenix Mercury | L 80-85 | 1402.03 | 1500.40 | 41.89% | 58.11% | -11.38 | 2-6 |
| 2025-06-06 | @ Dallas Wings | W 93-79 | 1390.65 | 1380.14 | 45.55% | 54.45% | +24.75 | 3-6 |
| 2025-06-09 | Golden State Valkyries | L 81-89 | 1415.40 | 1386.68 | 59.97% | 40.03% | -20.61 | 3-7 |
| 2025-06-11 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 97-89 | 1394.79 | 1556.17 | 23.72% | 76.28% | +26.22 | 4-7 |
| 2025-06-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 78-101 | 1421.01 | 1651.93 | 17.25% | 82.75% | -10.05 | 4-8 |
| 2025-06-17 | Seattle Storm | L 67-98 | 1410.96 | 1556.95 | 35.40% | 64.60% | -23.95 | 4-9 |
| 2025-06-21 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 66-82 | 1387.01 | 1673.55 | 13.14% | 86.86% | -6.39 | 4-10 |
| 2025-06-24 | @ Chicago Sky | L 86-97 | 1380.62 | 1353.14 | 47.98% | 52.02% | -19.34 | 4-11 |
| 2025-06-26 | @ Indiana Fever | W 85-75 | 1361.28 | 1543.14 | 21.66% | 78.34% | +30.10 | 5-11 |
| 2025-06-29 | Chicago Sky | L 85-92 | 1391.38 | 1363.27 | 59.89% | 40.11% | -19.25 | 5-12 |
| 2025-07-03 | @ New York Liberty | L 79-89 | 1372.13 | 1607.21 | 16.91% | 83.09% | -6.49 | 5-13 |
| 2025-07-05 | @ Indiana Fever | W 89-87 | 1365.64 | 1552.91 | 21.13% | 78.87% | +13.55 | 6-13 |
| 2025-07-10 | Minnesota Lynx | L 82-91 | 1379.19 | 1680.56 | 18.30% | 81.70% | -6.67 | 6-14 |
| 2025-07-13 | Connecticut Sun | W 92-88 | 1372.52 | 1319.63 | 63.26% | 36.74% | +8.93 | 7-14 |
| 2025-07-15 | Washington Mystics | W 99-80 | 1381.45 | 1516.62 | 36.84% | 63.16% | +33.45 | 8-14 |
| 2025-07-22 | @ Washington Mystics | W 93-86 | 1414.90 | 1483.17 | 34.71% | 65.29% | +20.99 | 9-14 |
| 2025-07-24 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 101-86 | 1435.89 | 1302.22 | 62.96% | 37.04% | +17.43 | 10-14 |
| 2025-07-26 | @ New York Liberty | W 101-99 | 1453.32 | 1662.47 | 19.11% | 80.89% | +13.89 | 11-14 |
| 2025-07-29 | Las Vegas Aces | L 74-89 | 1467.21 | 1520.75 | 48.27% | 51.73% | -22.71 | 11-15 |
| 2025-08-01 | @ Seattle Storm | W 108-106 | 1444.50 | 1533.55 | 32.05% | 67.95% | +11.68 | 12-15 |
| 2025-08-05 | Indiana Fever | W 100-91 | 1456.18 | 1589.61 | 37.07% | 62.93% | +22.93 | 13-15 |
| 2025-08-07 | Connecticut Sun | W 102-91 | 1479.11 | 1338.44 | 74.05% | 25.95% | +10.46 | 14-15 |
| 2025-08-09 | @ Golden State Valkyries | L 59-72 | 1489.57 | 1442.11 | 50.86% | 49.14% | -22.28 | 14-16 |
| 2025-08-10 | Seattle Storm | W 94-91 | 1467.29 | 1494.74 | 52.02% | 47.98% | +10.10 | 15-16 |
| 2025-08-12 | New York Liberty | L 97-105 | 1477.39 | 1581.63 | 41.07% | 58.93% | -14.11 | 15-17 |
| 2025-08-15 | @ Dallas Wings | W 97-96 | 1463.28 | 1353.90 | 59.65% | 40.35% | +4.90 | 16-17 |
| 2025-08-17 | @ Washington Mystics | L 86-95 | 1468.18 | 1446.27 | 47.18% | 52.82% | -17.20 | 16-18 |
| 2025-08-20 | Dallas Wings | W 81-80 | 1450.98 | 1340.33 | 70.60% | 29.40% | +3.57 | 17-18 |
| 2025-08-26 | Phoenix Mercury | L 84-92 | 1454.55 | 1571.74 | 39.28% | 60.72% | -13.50 | 17-19 |
| 2025-08-29 | Indiana Fever | L 75-76 | 1441.05 | 1534.72 | 42.55% | 57.45% | -5.16 | 17-20 |
| 2025-08-31 | Washington Mystics | W 81-78 | 1435.89 | 1356.56 | 66.72% | 33.28% | +7.00 | 18-20 |
| 2025-09-01 | @ Seattle Storm | W 91-85 | 1442.89 | 1535.71 | 31.58% | 68.42% | +20.36 | 19-20 |
| 2025-09-03 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 75-86 | 1463.25 | 1673.75 | 18.99% | 81.01% | -7.65 | 19-21 |
| 2025-09-05 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 85-104 | 1455.60 | 1681.40 | 17.67% | 82.33% | -9.36 | 19-22 |
| 2025-09-07 | Dallas Wings | W 91-77 | 1446.24 | 1273.69 | 77.42% | 22.58% | +10.27 | 20-22 |
| 2025-09-09 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 88-83 | 1456.51 | 1608.15 | 24.75% | 75.25% | +20.44 | 21-22 |
| 2025-09-11 | Las Vegas Aces | L 75-103 | 1476.95 | 1691.49 | 26.97% | 73.03% | -17.34 | 21-23 |
| 2025-05-16 | @ Dallas Wings | W 99-84 | 1579.40 | 1435.18 | 64.37% | 35.63% | +16.77 | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-18 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 89-75 | 1596.17 | 1456.26 | 63.79% | 36.21% | +16.46 | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-21 | Dallas Wings | W 85-81 | 1612.63 | 1403.60 | 80.88% | 19.12% | +4.64 | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-23 | Connecticut Sun | W 76-70 | 1617.27 | 1518.74 | 69.13% | 30.87% | +9.19 | 4-0 |
| 2025-05-27 | Seattle Storm | W 82-77 | 1626.46 | 1565.78 | 64.29% | 35.71% | +9.70 | 5-0 |
| 2025-05-30 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 74-71 | 1636.16 | 1508.36 | 62.17% | 37.83% | +7.96 | 6-0 |
| 2025-06-01 | @ Golden State Valkyries | W 86-75 | 1644.12 | 1353.80 | 80.73% | 19.27% | +7.77 | 7-0 |
| 2025-06-03 | Phoenix Mercury | W 88-65 | 1651.89 | 1511.78 | 73.99% | 26.01% | +15.16 | 8-0 |
| 2025-06-08 | @ Dallas Wings | W 81-65 | 1667.05 | 1355.39 | 82.57% | 17.43% | +8.47 | 9-0 |
| 2025-06-11 | @ Seattle Storm | L 84-94 | 1675.52 | 1553.50 | 61.38% | 38.62% | -23.59 | 9-1 |
| 2025-06-14 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 101-78 | 1651.93 | 1421.01 | 82.75% | 17.25% | +10.05 | 10-1 |
| 2025-06-17 | Las Vegas Aces | W 76-62 | 1661.98 | 1516.63 | 74.57% | 25.43% | +11.57 | 11-1 |
| 2025-06-21 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 82-66 | 1673.55 | 1387.01 | 86.86% | 13.14% | +6.38 | 12-1 |
| 2025-06-24 | @ Washington Mystics | L 64-68 | 1679.93 | 1477.56 | 71.63% | 28.37% | -17.40 | 12-2 |
| 2025-06-27 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 96-92 | 1662.53 | 1561.34 | 58.51% | 41.49% | +10.08 | 13-2 |
| 2025-06-29 | Connecticut Sun | W 102-63 | 1672.61 | 1319.95 | 90.63% | 9.37% | +7.11 | 14-2 |
| 2025-07-03 | Washington Mystics | W 92-75 | 1679.72 | 1497.06 | 78.42% | 21.58% | +10.81 | 15-2 |
| 2025-07-05 | Golden State Valkyries | W 82-71 | 1690.53 | 1496.96 | 79.47% | 20.53% | +8.28 | 16-2 |
| 2025-07-06 | Chicago Sky | W 80-75 | 1698.81 | 1382.52 | 88.69% | 11.31% | +3.07 | 17-2 |
| 2025-07-09 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 71-79 | 1701.88 | 1575.12 | 62.03% | 37.97% | -21.32 | 17-3 |
| 2025-07-10 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 91-82 | 1680.56 | 1379.19 | 81.70% | 18.30% | +6.67 | 18-3 |
| 2025-07-12 | @ Chicago Sky | L 81-87 | 1687.23 | 1393.95 | 80.99% | 19.01% | -24.10 | 18-4 |
| 2025-07-14 | @ Chicago Sky | W 91-78 | 1663.13 | 1418.05 | 76.35% | 23.65% | +10.36 | 19-4 |
| 2025-07-16 | Phoenix Mercury | W 79-66 | 1673.49 | 1601.60 | 65.76% | 34.24% | +15.00 | 20-4 |
| 2025-07-22 | Chicago Sky | W 91-68 | 1688.49 | 1379.94 | 88.24% | 11.76% | +6.85 | 21-4 |
| 2025-07-25 | Las Vegas Aces | W 109-78 | 1695.34 | 1508.95 | 78.78% | 21.22% | +14.36 | 22-4 |
| 2025-07-27 | Atlanta Dream | L 86-90 | 1709.70 | 1565.41 | 74.45% | 25.55% | -18.09 | 22-5 |
| 2025-07-30 | New York Liberty | W 100-93 | 1691.61 | 1618.05 | 65.98% | 34.02% | +10.93 | 23-5 |
| 2025-08-02 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 111-58 | 1702.54 | 1543.47 | 66.30% | 33.70% | +29.81 | 24-5 |
| 2025-08-05 | @ Seattle Storm | W 91-87 | 1732.35 | 1510.24 | 73.88% | 26.12% | +6.35 | 25-5 |
| 2025-08-08 | Washington Mystics | W 80-76 | 1738.70 | 1425.01 | 88.54% | 11.46% | +2.78 | 26-5 |
| 2025-08-10 | @ New York Liberty | W 83-71 | 1741.48 | 1596.59 | 64.46% | 35.54% | +14.96 | 27-5 |
| 2025-08-16 | New York Liberty | W 86-80 | 1756.44 | 1581.33 | 77.68% | 22.32% | +6.65 | 28-5 |
| 2025-08-19 | @ New York Liberty | L 75-85 | 1763.09 | 1574.68 | 69.96% | 30.04% | -26.89 | 28-6 |
| 2025-08-21 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 73-75 | 1736.20 | 1651.31 | 56.21% | 43.79% | -9.65 | 28-7 |
| 2025-08-22 | @ Indiana Fever | W 95-90 | 1726.55 | 1526.22 | 71.39% | 28.61% | +7.77 | 29-7 |
| 2025-08-24 | Indiana Fever | W 97-84 | 1734.32 | 1518.45 | 81.48% | 18.52% | +8.11 | 30-7 |
| 2025-08-28 | Seattle Storm | L 79-93 | 1742.43 | 1491.79 | 84.31% | 15.69% | -38.33 | 30-8 |
| 2025-08-30 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 94-70 | 1704.10 | 1395.28 | 82.33% | 17.67% | +10.52 | 31-8 |
| 2025-09-01 | Dallas Wings | W 96-71 | 1714.62 | 1281.01 | 93.91% | 6.09% | +3.70 | 32-8 |
| 2025-09-04 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 87-97 | 1718.32 | 1663.40 | 51.93% | 48.07% | -19.95 | 32-9 |
| 2025-09-06 | @ Golden State Valkyries | W 78-72 | 1698.37 | 1542.31 | 65.91% | 34.09% | +10.14 | 33-9 |
| 2025-09-09 | @ Indiana Fever | L 72-83 | 1708.51 | 1540.24 | 67.48% | 32.52% | -27.19 | 33-10 |
| 2025-09-11 | Golden State Valkyries | W 72-53 | 1681.32 | 1526.21 | 75.62% | 24.38% | +12.92 | 34-10 |
| 2025-05-17 | Las Vegas Aces | W 92-78 | 1620.44 | 1591.62 | 59.98% | 40.02% | +18.19 | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-22 | @ Chicago Sky | W 99-74 | 1638.63 | 1413.20 | 74.25% | 25.75% | +15.64 | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-24 | @ Indiana Fever | W 90-88 | 1654.27 | 1535.92 | 60.88% | 39.12% | +6.73 | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-27 | Golden State Valkyries | W 95-67 | 1661.00 | 1365.00 | 87.47% | 12.53% | +8.05 | 4-0 |
| 2025-05-29 | Golden State Valkyries | W 82-77 | 1669.05 | 1356.94 | 88.45% | 11.55% | +3.14 | 5-0 |
| 2025-05-30 | @ Washington Mystics | W 85-63 | 1672.19 | 1501.69 | 67.76% | 32.24% | +18.38 | 6-0 |
| 2025-06-01 | Connecticut Sun | W 100-52 | 1690.57 | 1453.19 | 83.28% | 16.72% | +14.08 | 7-0 |
| 2025-06-05 | @ Washington Mystics | W 86-78 | 1704.65 | 1468.27 | 75.43% | 24.57% | +8.44 | 8-0 |
| 2025-06-10 | Chicago Sky | W 85-66 | 1713.09 | 1383.84 | 89.42% | 10.58% | +5.60 | 9-0 |
| 2025-06-14 | @ Indiana Fever | L 88-102 | 1718.69 | 1518.63 | 71.36% | 28.64% | -32.44 | 9-1 |
| 2025-06-17 | Atlanta Dream | W 86-81 | 1686.25 | 1591.57 | 68.65% | 31.35% | +8.52 | 10-1 |
| 2025-06-19 | Phoenix Mercury | L 81-89 | 1694.77 | 1526.62 | 76.97% | 23.03% | -26.45 | 10-2 |
| 2025-06-22 | @ Seattle Storm | L 79-89 | 1668.32 | 1595.38 | 54.51% | 45.49% | -20.95 | 10-3 |
| 2025-06-25 | @ Golden State Valkyries | W 81-78 | 1647.37 | 1453.37 | 70.64% | 29.36% | +6.18 | 11-3 |
| 2025-06-27 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 91-106 | 1653.55 | 1570.75 | 55.92% | 44.08% | -26.31 | 11-4 |
| 2025-06-29 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 81-90 | 1627.24 | 1551.26 | 54.95% | 45.05% | -20.03 | 11-5 |
| 2025-07-03 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 89-79 | 1607.21 | 1372.13 | 83.09% | 16.91% | +6.50 | 12-5 |
| 2025-07-06 | Seattle Storm | L 70-79 | 1613.71 | 1566.17 | 62.54% | 37.46% | -22.80 | 12-6 |
| 2025-07-08 | Las Vegas Aces | W 87-78 | 1590.91 | 1502.64 | 67.85% | 32.15% | +11.72 | 13-6 |
| 2025-07-13 | Atlanta Dream | W 79-72 | 1602.63 | 1549.38 | 63.31% | 36.69% | +11.80 | 14-6 |
| 2025-07-16 | Indiana Fever | W 98-77 | 1614.43 | 1554.32 | 64.22% | 35.78% | +19.92 | 15-6 |
| 2025-07-22 | Indiana Fever | W 98-84 | 1634.35 | 1534.40 | 69.30% | 30.70% | +13.95 | 16-6 |
| 2025-07-25 | Phoenix Mercury | W 89-76 | 1648.30 | 1561.46 | 67.67% | 32.33% | +14.17 | 17-6 |
| 2025-07-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 99-101 | 1662.47 | 1453.32 | 80.89% | 19.11% | -13.90 | 17-7 |
| 2025-07-28 | @ Dallas Wings | L 82-92 | 1648.57 | 1372.43 | 79.42% | 20.58% | -30.52 | 17-8 |
| 2025-07-30 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 93-100 | 1618.05 | 1691.61 | 34.02% | 65.98% | -10.94 | 17-9 |
| 2025-08-01 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 62-78 | 1607.11 | 1319.19 | 80.51% | 19.49% | -39.12 | 17-10 |
| 2025-08-03 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 87-78 | 1567.99 | 1358.32 | 72.47% | 27.53% | +10.03 | 18-10 |
| 2025-08-05 | Dallas Wings | W 85-76 | 1578.02 | 1383.65 | 79.54% | 20.46% | +7.46 | 19-10 |
| 2025-08-08 | @ Dallas Wings | W 88-77 | 1585.48 | 1376.20 | 72.43% | 27.57% | +11.11 | 20-10 |
| 2025-08-10 | Minnesota Lynx | L 71-83 | 1596.59 | 1741.48 | 35.54% | 64.46% | -14.96 | 20-11 |
| 2025-08-12 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 105-97 | 1581.63 | 1477.39 | 58.93% | 41.07% | +14.11 | 21-11 |
| 2025-08-13 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 77-83 | 1595.74 | 1565.20 | 48.42% | 51.58% | -14.41 | 21-12 |
| 2025-08-16 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 80-86 | 1581.33 | 1756.44 | 22.32% | 77.68% | -6.65 | 21-13 |
| 2025-08-19 | Minnesota Lynx | W 85-75 | 1574.68 | 1763.09 | 30.04% | 69.96% | +26.89 | 22-13 |
| 2025-08-21 | Chicago Sky | L 85-91 | 1601.57 | 1260.59 | 90.04% | 9.96% | -26.80 | 22-14 |
| 2025-08-23 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 62-78 | 1574.77 | 1660.97 | 32.41% | 67.59% | -15.75 | 22-15 |
| 2025-08-25 | Connecticut Sun | W 81-79 | 1559.02 | 1386.06 | 77.46% | 22.54% | +3.87 | 23-15 |
| 2025-08-28 | Washington Mystics | W 89-63 | 1562.89 | 1393.54 | 77.10% | 22.90% | +14.19 | 24-15 |
| 2025-08-30 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 63-80 | 1577.08 | 1587.96 | 42.52% | 57.48% | -21.30 | 24-16 |
| 2025-09-02 | @ Golden State Valkyries | L 58-66 | 1555.78 | 1521.89 | 48.91% | 51.09% | -16.81 | 24-17 |
| 2025-09-05 | @ Seattle Storm | W 84-76 | 1538.97 | 1515.35 | 47.43% | 52.57% | +18.07 | 25-17 |
| 2025-09-09 | Washington Mystics | W 75-66 | 1557.04 | 1322.62 | 83.04% | 16.96% | +6.18 | 26-17 |
| 2025-09-11 | @ Chicago Sky | W 91-86 | 1563.22 | 1276.35 | 80.42% | 19.58% | +5.32 | 27-17 |
| 2025-05-17 | Seattle Storm | W 81-59 | 1460.94 | 1539.48 | 44.69% | 55.31% | +31.52 | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-21 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 89-86 | 1492.46 | 1439.80 | 63.23% | 36.77% | +7.74 | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-23 | @ Seattle Storm | L 70-77 | 1500.20 | 1522.78 | 40.88% | 59.12% | -13.15 | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-25 | Washington Mystics | W 68-62 | 1487.05 | 1500.45 | 54.04% | 45.96% | +13.68 | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-27 | Chicago Sky | W 94-89 | 1500.73 | 1378.85 | 71.92% | 28.08% | +7.63 | 4-1 |
| 2025-05-30 | Minnesota Lynx | L 71-74 | 1508.36 | 1636.16 | 37.83% | 62.17% | -7.96 | 4-2 |
| 2025-06-01 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 85-80 | 1500.40 | 1402.03 | 58.11% | 41.89% | +11.38 | 5-2 |
| 2025-06-03 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 65-88 | 1511.78 | 1651.89 | 26.01% | 73.99% | -15.15 | 5-3 |
| 2025-06-05 | Golden State Valkyries | W 86-77 | 1496.63 | 1346.03 | 75.13% | 24.87% | +9.06 | 6-3 |
| 2025-06-07 | Seattle Storm | L 77-89 | 1505.69 | 1531.51 | 52.26% | 47.74% | -21.99 | 6-4 |
| 2025-06-11 | Dallas Wings | W 93-80 | 1483.70 | 1346.91 | 73.62% | 26.38% | +11.55 | 7-4 |
| 2025-06-15 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 76-70 | 1495.25 | 1534.92 | 38.53% | 61.47% | +18.30 | 8-4 |
| 2025-06-18 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 83-75 | 1513.55 | 1387.36 | 61.95% | 38.05% | +13.07 | 9-4 |
| 2025-06-19 | @ New York Liberty | W 89-81 | 1526.62 | 1694.77 | 23.03% | 76.97% | +26.46 | 10-4 |
| 2025-06-21 | @ Chicago Sky | W 107-86 | 1553.08 | 1378.55 | 68.26% | 31.74% | +17.67 | 11-4 |
| 2025-06-27 | New York Liberty | W 106-91 | 1570.75 | 1653.55 | 44.08% | 55.92% | +26.31 | 12-4 |
| 2025-06-29 | Las Vegas Aces | L 81-84 | 1597.06 | 1498.27 | 69.16% | 30.84% | -14.55 | 12-5 |
| 2025-07-03 | @ Dallas Wings | L 89-98 | 1582.51 | 1399.48 | 69.31% | 30.69% | -25.27 | 12-6 |
| 2025-07-07 | Dallas Wings | W 102-72 | 1557.24 | 1424.75 | 73.14% | 26.86% | +17.88 | 13-6 |
| 2025-07-09 | Minnesota Lynx | W 79-71 | 1575.12 | 1701.88 | 37.97% | 62.03% | +21.32 | 14-6 |
| 2025-07-14 | @ Golden State Valkyries | W 78-77 | 1596.44 | 1502.35 | 57.51% | 42.49% | +5.16 | 15-6 |
| 2025-07-16 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 66-79 | 1601.60 | 1673.49 | 34.24% | 65.76% | -15.00 | 15-7 |
| 2025-07-23 | Atlanta Dream | L 79-90 | 1586.60 | 1540.27 | 62.38% | 37.62% | -25.14 | 15-8 |
| 2025-07-25 | @ New York Liberty | L 76-89 | 1561.46 | 1648.30 | 32.33% | 67.67% | -14.16 | 15-9 |
| 2025-07-27 | @ Washington Mystics | W 88-72 | 1547.30 | 1484.49 | 53.06% | 46.94% | +22.81 | 16-9 |
| 2025-07-30 | @ Indiana Fever | L 101-107 | 1570.11 | 1551.63 | 46.69% | 53.31% | -13.89 | 16-10 |
| 2025-08-01 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 72-95 | 1556.22 | 1577.72 | 41.03% | 58.97% | -23.91 | 16-11 |
| 2025-08-03 | @ Chicago Sky | W 83-67 | 1532.31 | 1307.24 | 74.21% | 25.79% | +12.53 | 17-11 |
| 2025-08-05 | Connecticut Sun | W 82-66 | 1544.84 | 1348.28 | 79.74% | 20.26% | +9.85 | 18-11 |
| 2025-08-07 | Indiana Fever | W 95-60 | 1554.69 | 1566.67 | 54.24% | 45.76% | +32.89 | 19-11 |
| 2025-08-10 | Atlanta Dream | L 66-74 | 1587.58 | 1625.40 | 50.53% | 49.47% | -17.36 | 19-12 |
| 2025-08-15 | Las Vegas Aces | L 83-86 | 1570.22 | 1579.61 | 54.61% | 45.39% | -11.49 | 19-13 |
| 2025-08-17 | @ Seattle Storm | W 85-82 | 1558.73 | 1485.15 | 54.60% | 45.40% | +9.55 | 20-13 |
| 2025-08-19 | @ Golden State Valkyries | W 98-91 | 1568.28 | 1492.19 | 54.96% | 45.04% | +14.48 | 21-13 |
| 2025-08-21 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 61-83 | 1582.76 | 1608.82 | 40.40% | 59.60% | -23.02 | 21-14 |
| 2025-08-22 | Golden State Valkyries | W 81-72 | 1559.74 | 1477.71 | 67.06% | 32.94% | +12.00 | 22-14 |
| 2025-08-26 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 92-84 | 1571.74 | 1454.55 | 60.72% | 39.28% | +13.50 | 23-14 |
| 2025-08-28 | Chicago Sky | W 83-79 | 1585.24 | 1266.85 | 88.81% | 11.19% | +2.72 | 24-14 |
| 2025-08-30 | New York Liberty | W 80-63 | 1587.96 | 1577.08 | 57.48% | 42.52% | +21.30 | 25-14 |
| 2025-09-02 | Indiana Fever | W 85-79 | 1609.26 | 1519.01 | 68.10% | 31.90% | +9.49 | 26-14 |
| 2025-09-04 | @ Washington Mystics | W 75-69 | 1618.75 | 1349.56 | 78.76% | 21.24% | +6.32 | 27-14 |
| 2025-09-06 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 84-87 | 1625.07 | 1338.53 | 80.39% | 19.61% | -16.92 | 27-15 |
| 2025-09-09 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 83-88 | 1608.15 | 1456.51 | 75.25% | 24.75% | -20.44 | 27-16 |
| 2025-09-11 | @ Dallas Wings | L 76-97 | 1587.71 | 1263.43 | 83.59% | 16.41% | -46.54 | 27-17 |
| 2025-05-17 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 59-81 | 1539.48 | 1460.94 | 55.31% | 44.69% | -31.52 | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-19 | @ Dallas Wings | W 79-71 | 1507.96 | 1418.42 | 56.87% | 43.13% | +14.82 | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-23 | Phoenix Mercury | W 77-70 | 1522.78 | 1500.20 | 59.12% | 40.88% | +13.15 | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-25 | Las Vegas Aces | W 102-82 | 1535.93 | 1611.95 | 45.05% | 54.95% | +29.85 | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-27 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 77-82 | 1565.78 | 1626.46 | 35.71% | 64.29% | -9.70 | 3-2 |
| 2025-05-30 | Atlanta Dream | L 87-94 | 1556.08 | 1523.23 | 60.54% | 39.46% | -19.46 | 3-3 |
| 2025-06-01 | Las Vegas Aces | L 70-75 | 1536.62 | 1592.87 | 47.88% | 52.12% | -13.01 | 3-4 |
| 2025-06-03 | Dallas Wings | W 83-77 | 1523.61 | 1388.03 | 73.49% | 26.51% | +7.90 | 4-4 |
| 2025-06-07 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 89-77 | 1531.51 | 1505.69 | 47.74% | 52.26% | +21.99 | 5-4 |
| 2025-06-11 | Minnesota Lynx | W 94-84 | 1553.50 | 1675.52 | 38.62% | 61.38% | +23.58 | 6-4 |
| 2025-06-14 | @ Golden State Valkyries | L 70-76 | 1577.08 | 1407.29 | 67.67% | 32.33% | -20.13 | 6-5 |
| 2025-06-17 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 98-67 | 1556.95 | 1410.96 | 64.60% | 35.40% | +23.94 | 7-5 |
| 2025-06-20 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 90-83 | 1580.89 | 1505.07 | 54.92% | 45.08% | +14.49 | 8-5 |
| 2025-06-22 | New York Liberty | W 89-79 | 1595.38 | 1668.32 | 45.49% | 54.51% | +20.95 | 9-5 |
| 2025-06-24 | Indiana Fever | L 86-94 | 1616.33 | 1519.45 | 68.92% | 31.08% | -23.69 | 9-6 |
| 2025-06-27 | Connecticut Sun | W 97-81 | 1592.64 | 1327.04 | 85.42% | 14.58% | +7.09 | 10-6 |
| 2025-06-29 | @ Golden State Valkyries | L 57-84 | 1599.73 | 1456.40 | 64.25% | 35.75% | -40.56 | 10-7 |
| 2025-07-03 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 80-79 | 1559.17 | 1571.29 | 42.34% | 57.66% | +7.00 | 11-7 |
| 2025-07-06 | @ New York Liberty | W 79-70 | 1566.17 | 1613.71 | 37.46% | 62.54% | +22.80 | 12-7 |
| 2025-07-09 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 83-93 | 1588.97 | 1296.40 | 80.93% | 19.07% | -31.10 | 12-8 |
| 2025-07-11 | Connecticut Sun | W 79-65 | 1557.87 | 1327.50 | 82.71% | 17.29% | +7.86 | 13-8 |
| 2025-07-13 | Washington Mystics | L 69-74 | 1565.73 | 1498.94 | 65.10% | 34.90% | -17.68 | 13-9 |
| 2025-07-16 | Golden State Valkyries | W 67-58 | 1548.05 | 1497.19 | 62.99% | 37.01% | +13.49 | 14-9 |
| 2025-07-22 | Dallas Wings | L 63-87 | 1561.54 | 1364.23 | 79.81% | 20.19% | -47.51 | 14-10 |
| 2025-07-24 | @ Chicago Sky | W 95-57 | 1514.03 | 1373.09 | 63.93% | 36.07% | +27.02 | 15-10 |
| 2025-07-26 | @ Washington Mystics | L 58-69 | 1541.05 | 1462.18 | 55.36% | 44.64% | -22.31 | 15-11 |
| 2025-07-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 101-85 | 1518.74 | 1334.00 | 69.52% | 30.48% | +14.81 | 16-11 |
| 2025-08-01 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 106-108 | 1533.55 | 1444.50 | 67.95% | 32.05% | -11.67 | 16-12 |
| 2025-08-03 | Indiana Fever | L 74-78 | 1521.88 | 1577.97 | 47.90% | 52.10% | -11.64 | 16-13 |
| 2025-08-05 | Minnesota Lynx | L 87-91 | 1510.24 | 1732.35 | 26.12% | 73.88% | -6.35 | 16-14 |
| 2025-08-08 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 86-90 | 1503.89 | 1550.13 | 37.63% | 62.37% | -9.15 | 16-15 |
| 2025-08-10 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 91-94 | 1494.74 | 1467.29 | 47.98% | 52.02% | -10.09 | 16-16 |
| 2025-08-13 | Atlanta Dream | L 75-85 | 1484.65 | 1642.76 | 33.82% | 66.18% | -13.00 | 16-17 |
| 2025-08-15 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 80-78 | 1471.65 | 1655.76 | 21.44% | 78.56% | +13.50 | 17-17 |
| 2025-08-17 | Phoenix Mercury | L 82-85 | 1485.15 | 1558.73 | 45.40% | 54.60% | -9.55 | 17-18 |
| 2025-08-19 | @ Chicago Sky | W 94-88 | 1475.60 | 1268.88 | 72.13% | 27.87% | +8.29 | 18-18 |
| 2025-08-22 | @ Dallas Wings | W 95-60 | 1483.89 | 1336.76 | 64.75% | 35.25% | +25.34 | 19-18 |
| 2025-08-24 | @ Washington Mystics | W 84-82 | 1509.23 | 1400.49 | 59.56% | 40.44% | +6.95 | 20-18 |
| 2025-08-26 | @ Indiana Fever | L 75-95 | 1516.18 | 1510.33 | 44.89% | 55.11% | -24.39 | 20-19 |
| 2025-08-28 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 93-79 | 1491.79 | 1742.43 | 15.69% | 84.31% | +38.33 | 21-19 |
| 2025-08-30 | Chicago Sky | W 79-69 | 1530.12 | 1264.13 | 85.45% | 14.55% | +5.59 | 22-19 |
| 2025-09-01 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 85-91 | 1535.71 | 1442.89 | 68.42% | 31.58% | -20.36 | 22-20 |
| 2025-09-05 | New York Liberty | L 76-84 | 1515.35 | 1538.97 | 52.57% | 47.43% | -18.07 | 22-21 |
| 2025-09-09 | Golden State Valkyries | W 74-73 | 1497.28 | 1532.17 | 50.95% | 49.05% | +5.96 | 23-21 |
| 2025-05-16 | Atlanta Dream | W 94-90 | 1490.77 | 1486.29 | 56.58% | 43.42% | +10.56 | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-18 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 90-85 | 1501.33 | 1568.45 | 34.86% | 65.14% | +17.69 | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-21 | @ Golden State Valkyries | L 74-76 | 1519.02 | 1328.02 | 70.28% | 29.72% | -12.07 | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-23 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 72-75 | 1506.95 | 1605.45 | 30.88% | 69.12% | -6.50 | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-25 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 62-68 | 1500.45 | 1487.05 | 45.96% | 54.04% | -13.68 | 2-3 |
| 2025-05-28 | Indiana Fever | W 83-77 | 1486.77 | 1529.20 | 49.87% | 50.13% | +14.92 | 3-3 |
| 2025-05-30 | New York Liberty | L 63-85 | 1501.69 | 1672.19 | 32.24% | 67.76% | -18.37 | 3-4 |
| 2025-06-03 | @ Indiana Fever | L 76-85 | 1483.32 | 1502.97 | 41.29% | 58.71% | -15.05 | 3-5 |
| 2025-06-05 | New York Liberty | L 78-86 | 1468.27 | 1704.65 | 24.57% | 75.43% | -8.45 | 3-6 |
| 2025-06-08 | Connecticut Sun | W 104-67 | 1459.82 | 1459.34 | 56.01% | 43.99% | +32.51 | 4-6 |
| 2025-06-15 | Atlanta Dream | L 56-89 | 1492.33 | 1559.21 | 46.35% | 53.65% | -32.35 | 4-7 |
| 2025-06-17 | @ Chicago Sky | W 79-72 | 1459.98 | 1393.47 | 53.59% | 46.41% | +14.92 | 5-7 |
| 2025-06-20 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 91-92 | 1474.90 | 1583.05 | 29.70% | 70.30% | -3.61 | 5-8 |
| 2025-06-22 | Dallas Wings | W 91-88 | 1471.29 | 1363.95 | 70.20% | 29.80% | +6.27 | 6-8 |
| 2025-06-24 | Minnesota Lynx | W 68-64 | 1477.56 | 1679.93 | 28.37% | 71.63% | +17.40 | 7-8 |
| 2025-06-26 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 94-83 | 1494.96 | 1522.36 | 40.21% | 59.79% | +24.10 | 8-8 |
| 2025-06-28 | @ Dallas Wings | L 71-79 | 1519.06 | 1377.48 | 64.02% | 35.98% | -22.00 | 8-9 |
| 2025-07-03 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 75-92 | 1497.06 | 1679.72 | 21.58% | 78.42% | -10.81 | 8-10 |
| 2025-07-08 | Chicago Sky | W 81-79 | 1486.25 | 1379.45 | 70.13% | 29.87% | +5.13 | 9-10 |
| 2025-07-10 | Las Vegas Aces | W 70-68 | 1491.38 | 1490.93 | 56.01% | 43.99% | +7.56 | 10-10 |
| 2025-07-13 | @ Seattle Storm | W 74-69 | 1498.94 | 1565.73 | 34.90% | 65.10% | +17.68 | 11-10 |
| 2025-07-15 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 80-99 | 1516.62 | 1381.45 | 63.16% | 36.84% | -33.45 | 11-11 |
| 2025-07-22 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 86-93 | 1483.17 | 1414.90 | 65.29% | 34.71% | -20.99 | 11-12 |
| 2025-07-26 | Seattle Storm | W 69-58 | 1462.18 | 1541.05 | 44.64% | 55.36% | +22.31 | 12-12 |
| 2025-07-27 | Phoenix Mercury | L 72-88 | 1484.49 | 1547.30 | 46.94% | 53.06% | -22.81 | 12-13 |
| 2025-07-29 | Chicago Sky | W 103-86 | 1461.68 | 1332.12 | 72.80% | 27.20% | +13.62 | 13-13 |
| 2025-07-31 | Golden State Valkyries | L 67-68 | 1475.30 | 1460.27 | 58.06% | 41.94% | -7.05 | 13-14 |
| 2025-08-03 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 83-99 | 1468.25 | 1601.63 | 26.76% | 73.24% | -13.01 | 13-15 |
| 2025-08-05 | @ Chicago Sky | L 64-78 | 1455.24 | 1294.70 | 66.49% | 33.51% | -30.23 | 13-16 |
| 2025-08-08 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 76-80 | 1425.01 | 1738.70 | 11.46% | 88.54% | -2.78 | 13-17 |
| 2025-08-10 | @ Dallas Wings | W 91-78 | 1422.23 | 1365.09 | 52.25% | 47.75% | +20.92 | 14-17 |
| 2025-08-13 | Golden State Valkyries | L 83-88 | 1443.15 | 1477.30 | 51.06% | 48.94% | -13.87 | 14-18 |
| 2025-08-15 | @ Indiana Fever | W 88-84 | 1429.28 | 1534.42 | 30.07% | 69.93% | +16.99 | 15-18 |
| 2025-08-17 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 95-86 | 1446.27 | 1468.18 | 52.82% | 47.18% | +17.20 | 16-18 |
| 2025-08-19 | Connecticut Sun | L 69-80 | 1463.47 | 1316.15 | 74.78% | 25.22% | -30.14 | 16-19 |
| 2025-08-21 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 56-67 | 1433.33 | 1346.28 | 56.52% | 43.48% | -22.77 | 16-20 |
| 2025-08-23 | Las Vegas Aces | L 81-91 | 1410.56 | 1631.84 | 26.21% | 73.79% | -10.07 | 16-21 |
| 2025-08-24 | Seattle Storm | L 82-84 | 1400.49 | 1509.23 | 40.44% | 59.56% | -6.95 | 16-22 |
| 2025-08-28 | @ New York Liberty | L 63-89 | 1393.54 | 1562.89 | 22.90% | 77.10% | -14.19 | 16-23 |
| 2025-08-30 | @ Golden State Valkyries | L 62-99 | 1379.35 | 1478.21 | 30.83% | 69.17% | -22.79 | 16-24 |
| 2025-08-31 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 78-81 | 1356.56 | 1435.89 | 33.28% | 66.72% | -7.00 | 16-25 |
| 2025-09-04 | Phoenix Mercury | L 69-75 | 1349.56 | 1618.75 | 21.24% | 78.76% | -6.32 | 16-26 |
| 2025-09-07 | Indiana Fever | L 65-94 | 1343.24 | 1519.62 | 31.51% | 68.49% | -20.62 | 16-27 |
| 2025-09-09 | @ New York Liberty | L 66-75 | 1322.62 | 1557.04 | 16.96% | 83.04% | -6.18 | 16-28 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-14 | Indiana Fever | W 80-68 | 1704.11 | 1567.43 | 73.61% | 26.39% | +11.11 | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-16 | @ Indiana Fever | L 60-77 | 1715.22 | 1556.32 | 66.28% | 33.72% | -33.21 | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-18 | Indiana Fever | L 85-87 | 1682.01 | 1589.52 | 68.38% | 31.62% | -11.75 | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 72-101 | 1513.29 | 1694.24 | 21.75% | 78.25% | -14.23 | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-17 | Minnesota Lynx | L 74-75 | 1499.06 | 1708.47 | 27.56% | 72.44% | -3.34 | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-14 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 68-80 | 1567.43 | 1704.11 | 26.39% | 73.61% | -11.11 | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-16 | Atlanta Dream | W 77-60 | 1556.32 | 1715.22 | 33.72% | 66.28% | +33.20 | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-18 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 87-85 | 1589.52 | 1682.01 | 31.62% | 68.38% | +11.75 | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 89-73 | 1601.27 | 1707.37 | 29.95% | 70.05% | +34.05 | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-23 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 68-90 | 1635.32 | 1673.32 | 38.75% | 61.25% | -22.09 | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-26 | Las Vegas Aces | L 72-84 | 1613.23 | 1695.41 | 44.17% | 55.83% | -18.59 | 3-3 |
| 2025-09-28 | Las Vegas Aces | W 90-83 | 1594.64 | 1714.00 | 38.98% | 61.02% | +19.61 | 4-3 |
| 2025-09-30 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 98-107 | 1614.25 | 1694.38 | 33.18% | 66.82% | -12.09 | 4-4 |
| 2025-09-14 | Seattle Storm | W 102-77 | 1708.83 | 1503.24 | 80.57% | 19.43% | +11.80 | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-16 | @ Seattle Storm | L 83-86 | 1720.63 | 1491.44 | 74.66% | 25.34% | -15.71 | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-18 | Seattle Storm | W 74-73 | 1704.92 | 1507.15 | 79.86% | 20.14% | +2.45 | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Indiana Fever | L 73-89 | 1707.37 | 1601.27 | 70.05% | 29.95% | -34.05 | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-23 | Indiana Fever | W 90-68 | 1673.32 | 1635.32 | 61.25% | 38.75% | +22.09 | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-26 | @ Indiana Fever | W 84-72 | 1695.41 | 1613.23 | 55.83% | 44.17% | +18.59 | 4-2 |
| 2025-09-28 | @ Indiana Fever | L 83-90 | 1714.00 | 1594.64 | 61.02% | 38.98% | -19.62 | 4-3 |
| 2025-09-30 | Indiana Fever | W 107-98 | 1694.38 | 1614.25 | 66.82% | 33.18% | +12.10 | 5-3 |
| 2025-10-02 | Phoenix Mercury | W 89-86 | 1706.48 | 1623.04 | 67.24% | 32.76% | +6.89 | 6-3 |
| 2025-10-05 | Phoenix Mercury | W 81-78 | 1713.37 | 1616.14 | 68.97% | 31.03% | +6.53 | 7-3 |
| 2025-10-08 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 90-88 | 1719.90 | 1609.61 | 59.77% | 40.23% | +6.91 | 8-3 |
| 2025-10-10 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 97-86 | 1726.81 | 1602.70 | 61.67% | 38.33% | +15.45 | 9-3 |
| 2025-09-14 | Golden State Valkyries | W 101-72 | 1694.24 | 1513.29 | 78.25% | 21.75% | +14.23 | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-17 | @ Golden State Valkyries | W 75-74 | 1708.47 | 1499.06 | 72.44% | 27.56% | +3.34 | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Phoenix Mercury | W 82-69 | 1711.81 | 1576.61 | 73.44% | 26.56% | +11.64 | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Phoenix Mercury | L 83-89 | 1723.45 | 1564.98 | 75.97% | 24.03% | -22.61 | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-26 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 76-84 | 1700.84 | 1587.59 | 60.18% | 39.82% | -20.68 | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-28 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 81-86 | 1680.16 | 1608.27 | 54.36% | 45.64% | -14.77 | 3-3 |
| 2025-09-14 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 76-69 | 1568.54 | 1541.17 | 47.97% | 52.03% | +16.73 | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Phoenix Mercury | L 60-86 | 1585.27 | 1524.45 | 64.31% | 35.69% | -39.84 | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 73-79 | 1545.43 | 1564.29 | 41.40% | 58.60% | -12.33 | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-14 | New York Liberty | L 69-76 | 1541.17 | 1568.54 | 52.03% | 47.97% | -16.72 | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-17 | @ New York Liberty | W 86-60 | 1524.45 | 1585.27 | 35.69% | 64.31% | +39.84 | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-19 | New York Liberty | W 79-73 | 1564.29 | 1545.43 | 58.60% | 41.40% | +12.32 | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 69-82 | 1576.61 | 1711.81 | 26.56% | 73.44% | -11.63 | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-23 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 89-83 | 1564.98 | 1723.45 | 24.03% | 75.97% | +22.61 | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-26 | Minnesota Lynx | W 84-76 | 1587.59 | 1700.84 | 39.82% | 60.18% | +20.68 | 4-2 |
| 2025-09-28 | Minnesota Lynx | W 86-81 | 1608.27 | 1680.16 | 45.64% | 54.36% | +14.77 | 5-2 |
| 2025-10-02 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 86-89 | 1623.04 | 1706.48 | 32.76% | 67.24% | -6.90 | 5-3 |
| 2025-10-05 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 78-81 | 1616.14 | 1713.37 | 31.03% | 68.97% | -6.53 | 5-4 |
| 2025-10-08 | Las Vegas Aces | L 88-90 | 1609.61 | 1719.90 | 40.23% | 59.77% | -6.91 | 5-5 |
| 2025-10-10 | Las Vegas Aces | L 86-97 | 1602.70 | 1726.81 | 38.33% | 61.67% | -15.44 | 5-6 |
| 2025-09-14 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 77-102 | 1503.24 | 1708.83 | 19.43% | 80.57% | -11.80 | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-16 | Las Vegas Aces | W 86-83 | 1491.44 | 1720.63 | 25.34% | 74.66% | +15.71 | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-18 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 73-74 | 1507.15 | 1704.92 | 20.14% | 79.86% | -2.45 | 1-2 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2025-08-21 | 9.96% | Chicago Sky | 1260.59 | 91 | @ New York Liberty | 1601.57 | 85 |
| 2 | 2025-08-28 | 15.69% | Seattle Storm | 1491.79 | 93 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1742.43 | 79 |
| 3 | 2025-09-11 | 16.41% | @ Dallas Wings | 1263.43 | 97 | Phoenix Mercury | 1587.71 | 76 |
| 4 | 2025-07-12 | 19.01% | @ Chicago Sky | 1393.95 | 87 | Minnesota Lynx | 1687.23 | 81 |
| 5 | 2025-07-09 | 19.07% | @ Connecticut Sun | 1296.40 | 93 | Seattle Storm | 1588.97 | 83 |
| 6 | 2025-07-26 | 19.11% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1453.32 | 101 | @ New York Liberty | 1662.47 | 99 |
| 7 | 2025-08-01 | 19.49% | @ Connecticut Sun | 1319.19 | 78 | New York Liberty | 1607.11 | 62 |
| 8 | 2025-09-06 | 19.61% | @ Connecticut Sun | 1338.53 | 87 | Phoenix Mercury | 1625.07 | 84 |
| 9 | 2025-08-12 | 19.94% | Dallas Wings | 1344.17 | 81 | @ Indiana Fever | 1544.15 | 80 |
| 10 | 2025-07-22 | 20.19% | Dallas Wings | 1364.23 | 87 | @ Seattle Storm | 1561.54 | 63 |
| 11 | 2025-07-28 | 20.58% | @ Dallas Wings | 1372.43 | 92 | New York Liberty | 1648.57 | 82 |
| 12 | 2025-07-05 | 21.13% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1365.64 | 89 | @ Indiana Fever | 1552.91 | 87 |
| 13 | 2025-06-07 | 21.26% | @ Golden State Valkyries | 1336.97 | 95 | Las Vegas Aces | 1605.88 | 68 |
| 14 | 2025-08-15 | 21.44% | Seattle Storm | 1471.65 | 80 | @ Atlanta Dream | 1655.76 | 78 |
| 15 | 2025-06-26 | 21.66% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1361.28 | 85 | @ Indiana Fever | 1543.14 | 75 |
| 16 | 2025-06-19 | 23.03% | Phoenix Mercury | 1526.62 | 89 | @ New York Liberty | 1694.77 | 81 |
| 17 | 2025-06-11 | 23.72% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1394.79 | 97 | @ Las Vegas Aces | 1556.17 | 89 |
| 18 | 2025-09-23 * | 24.03% | Phoenix Mercury | 1564.98 | 89 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1723.45 | 83 |
| 19 | 2025-06-24 | 24.53% | @ Dallas Wings | 1357.68 | 68 | Atlanta Dream | 1594.40 | 55 |
| 20 | 2025-09-09 | 24.75% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1456.51 | 88 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1608.15 | 83 |
| 21 | 2025-08-19 | 25.22% | Connecticut Sun | 1316.15 | 80 | @ Washington Mystics | 1463.47 | 69 |
| 22 | 2025-09-16 * | 25.34% | @ Seattle Storm | 1491.44 | 86 | Las Vegas Aces | 1720.63 | 83 |
| 23 | 2025-07-27 | 25.55% | Atlanta Dream | 1565.41 | 90 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1709.70 | 86 |
| 24 | 2025-07-29 | 26.48% | Golden State Valkyries | 1447.64 | 77 | @ Atlanta Dream | 1583.50 | 75 |
| 25 | 2025-07-27 | 27.25% | @ Connecticut Sun | 1284.79 | 95 | Golden State Valkyries | 1496.85 | 64 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2025-06-07 | 49.71 | @ Golden State Valkyries | 95 | 1336.97 | 21.26% | Las Vegas Aces | 68 | 1605.88 | 78.74% |
| 2 | 2025-07-27 | 49.21 | @ Connecticut Sun | 95 | 1284.79 | 27.25% | Golden State Valkyries | 64 | 1496.85 | 72.75% |
| 3 | 2025-07-22 | 47.51 | Dallas Wings | 87 | 1364.23 | 20.19% | @ Seattle Storm | 63 | 1561.54 | 79.81% |
| 4 | 2025-09-11 | 46.54 | @ Dallas Wings | 97 | 1263.43 | 16.41% | Phoenix Mercury | 76 | 1587.71 | 83.59% |
| 5 | 2025-06-29 | 40.56 | @ Golden State Valkyries | 84 | 1456.40 | 35.75% | Seattle Storm | 57 | 1599.73 | 64.25% |
| 6 | 2025-09-17 * | 39.84 | Phoenix Mercury | 86 | 1524.45 | 35.69% | @ New York Liberty | 60 | 1585.27 | 64.31% |
| 7 | 2025-08-01 | 39.13 | @ Connecticut Sun | 78 | 1319.19 | 19.49% | New York Liberty | 62 | 1607.11 | 80.51% |
| 8 | 2025-05-27 | 39.07 | Dallas Wings | 109 | 1387.13 | 31.46% | @ Connecticut Sun | 87 | 1480.95 | 68.54% |
| 9 | 2025-08-28 | 38.33 | Seattle Storm | 93 | 1491.79 | 15.69% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 79 | 1742.43 | 84.31% |
| 10 | 2025-09-03 | 36.05 | @ Chicago Sky | 88 | 1258.54 | 39.43% | Connecticut Sun | 64 | 1374.58 | 60.57% |
| 11 | 2025-07-09 | 34.22 | Golden State Valkyries | 80 | 1476.38 | 35.40% | @ Indiana Fever | 61 | 1539.36 | 64.60% |
| 12 | 2025-09-21 * | 34.05 | Indiana Fever | 89 | 1601.27 | 29.95% | @ Las Vegas Aces | 73 | 1707.37 | 70.05% |
| 13 | 2025-07-15 | 33.45 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 99 | 1381.45 | 36.84% | Washington Mystics | 80 | 1516.62 | 63.16% |
| 14 | 2025-09-16 * | 33.21 | @ Indiana Fever | 77 | 1556.32 | 33.72% | Atlanta Dream | 60 | 1715.22 | 66.28% |
| 15 | 2025-06-24 | 33.06 | @ Dallas Wings | 68 | 1357.68 | 24.53% | Atlanta Dream | 55 | 1594.40 | 75.47% |
| 16 | 2025-08-07 | 32.89 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 95 | 1554.69 | 54.24% | Indiana Fever | 60 | 1566.67 | 45.76% |
| 17 | 2025-06-08 | 32.51 | @ Washington Mystics | 104 | 1459.82 | 56.01% | Connecticut Sun | 67 | 1459.34 | 43.99% |
| 18 | 2025-06-14 | 32.44 | @ Indiana Fever | 102 | 1518.63 | 28.64% | New York Liberty | 88 | 1718.69 | 71.36% |
| 19 | 2025-06-15 | 32.36 | Atlanta Dream | 89 | 1559.21 | 53.65% | @ Washington Mystics | 56 | 1492.33 | 46.35% |
| 20 | 2025-05-20 | 32.02 | Las Vegas Aces | 87 | 1573.43 | 47.29% | @ Connecticut Sun | 62 | 1550.76 | 52.71% |
| 21 | 2025-05-17 | 31.52 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 81 | 1460.94 | 44.69% | Seattle Storm | 59 | 1539.48 | 55.31% |
| 22 | 2025-07-09 | 31.10 | @ Connecticut Sun | 93 | 1296.40 | 19.07% | Seattle Storm | 83 | 1588.97 | 80.93% |
| 23 | 2025-07-28 | 30.52 | @ Dallas Wings | 92 | 1372.43 | 20.58% | New York Liberty | 82 | 1648.57 | 79.42% |
| 24 | 2025-08-05 | 30.23 | @ Chicago Sky | 78 | 1294.70 | 33.51% | Washington Mystics | 64 | 1455.24 | 66.49% |
| 25 | 2025-08-19 | 30.14 | Connecticut Sun | 80 | 1316.15 | 25.22% | @ Washington Mystics | 69 | 1463.47 | 74.78% |