2026 WNBA Season

102 games played · 15 teams · 100,000 simulations

Live

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

Minnesota Lynx

34.61% chance to win WNBA Finals

Biggest Overachiever

Portland Fire

1.89 wins above expected

7 wins · 5.11 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Seattle Storm

3.27 wins below expected

3 wins · 6.27 expected wins

Current Standings

Each team's record through games played. SimW is the model's expected wins through the same games — the sum of pregame win probabilities over completed games. vsSim shows actual wins minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PPG	OPP	DIFF	SimW	vsSim
1	Las Vegas Aces	10	3	.769	—	92.1	86.6	+5.5	8.47	+1.53
2	Minnesota Lynx	10	3	.769	—	91.5	79.8	+11.7	8.97	+1.03
3	New York Liberty	10	4	.714	0.5	88.4	81.4	+7.0	8.79	+1.21
4	Atlanta Dream	9	4	.692	1	87.1	80.7	+6.4	8.79	+0.21
5	Golden State Valkyries	8	5	.615	2	85.2	79.8	+5.3	7.41	+0.59
6	Indiana Fever	8	5	.615	2	89.9	86.4	+3.5	8.59	-0.59
7	Dallas Wings	8	5	.615	2	87.5	83.4	+4.2	6.15	+1.85
8	Los Angeles Sparks	7	6	.538	3	90.4	91.3	-0.9	6.12	+0.88
9	Toronto Tempo	7	7	.500	3.5	88.6	89.7	-1.1	7.95	-0.95
10	Portland Fire	7	8	.467	4	82.0	86.7	-4.7	5.11	+1.89
11	Washington Mystics	5	7	.417	4.5	81.4	86.7	-5.2	4.16	+0.84
12	Chicago Sky	4	9	.308	6	82.2	87.8	-5.6	4.54	-0.54
13	Phoenix Mercury	4	11	.267	7	82.2	86.8	-4.6	6.88	-2.88
14	Seattle Storm	3	12	.200	8	76.4	83.1	-6.7	6.27	-3.27
15	Connecticut Sun	2	13	.133	9	77.9	89.1	-11.3	3.81	-1.81

Current Playoff Probabilities

Current playoff probabilities according to the model. Teams under 2% are pooled into the "Others" category. Hover or tap a segment for the team and its exact odds.

Hover or tap on a team

League

Each bar is one group’s playoff spots, divided by how likely the model thinks each team is to claim one. Teams under 2% are pooled into a gray “Others.”

Changes in Playoff Odds

Which teams are surging into contention or slipping out of it over the last 14 days?

Biggest Improvements

#	Team	Δ	Now
1	New York Liberty	+49.98%	99.98%
2	Los Angeles Sparks	+36.06%	84.26%
3	Indiana Fever	+24.87%	97.67%
4	Golden State Valkyries	+6.40%	99.00%
5	Connecticut Sun	+0.00%	0.00%

Biggest Losers

#	Team	Δ	Now
1	Portland Fire	-60.05%	5.25%
2	Toronto Tempo	-47.35%	10.65%
3	Chicago Sky	-4.87%	0.03%
4	Washington Mystics	-4.09%	3.21%
5	Phoenix Mercury	-0.61%	0.59%

Recent Elo Movers

Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?

Biggest Elo Gainers

#	Team	Δ Elo	Current Elo
1	New York Liberty	+185.53	1675
2	Las Vegas Aces	+95.01	1712
3	Indiana Fever	+63.75	1589
4	Los Angeles Sparks	+42.83	1528
5	Minnesota Lynx	+37.35	1774

Biggest Elo Losers

#	Team	Δ Elo	Current Elo
1	Portland Fire	-120.15	1379
2	Chicago Sky	-85.56	1297
3	Seattle Storm	-64.70	1281
4	Connecticut Sun	-59.30	1221
5	Toronto Tempo	-53.56	1446

Season Summary

Every team's current record alongside their projected end-of-season totals from 10,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Exp. Wins Rem. is the average number of additional wins the model expects each team to add between now and the end of the regular season.

Team	Elo	Record	Avg. Wins	Exp. Wins Rem.	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Minnesota Lynx	1774	10-3	34.92	24.92	25	31	34	35	36	38	41
Las Vegas Aces	1712	10-3	33.37	23.37	24	30	32	33	35	37	40
New York Liberty	1675	10-4	30.43	20.43	21	27	29	30	32	34	38
Atlanta Dream	1642	9-4	30.40	21.40	22	26	29	30	32	34	39
Golden State Valkyries	1603	8-5	27.18	19.18	16	23	26	27	29	31	37
Dallas Wings	1593	8-5	27.73	19.73	19	24	26	28	29	32	36
Indiana Fever	1589	8-5	25.93	17.93	17	22	24	26	28	30	34
Los Angeles Sparks	1528	7-6	23.08	16.08	13	19	21	23	25	27	32
Toronto Tempo	1446	7-7	18.61	11.61	10	15	17	19	20	23	28
Washington Mystics	1382	5-7	16.76	11.76	8	13	15	17	18	21	27
Portland Fire	1379	7-8	17.62	10.62	9	14	16	18	19	22	27
Phoenix Mercury	1378	4-11	14.81	10.81	7	11	13	15	16	19	23
Chicago Sky	1297	4-9	12.40	8.40	5	9	11	12	14	16	22
Seattle Storm	1281	3-12	9.41	6.41	3	6	8	9	11	13	19
Connecticut Sun	1221	2-13	7.33	5.33	2	4	6	7	9	11	16

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	Dream	Sky	Sun	Wings	Valkyries	Fever	Aces	Sparks	Lynx	Liberty	Mercury	Fire	Storm	Tempo	Mystics
Atlanta Dream	—	1-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)
Chicago Sky	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	—	—	1-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Connecticut Sun	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	—
Dallas Wings	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	—	—	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Golden State Valkyries	—	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	—
Indiana Fever	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Las Vegas Aces	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	—	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.9 exp.)	—	—
Los Angeles Sparks	—	—	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	—	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-1 (2.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	—	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—
New York Liberty	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	—	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-2 (2.3 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	—
Portland Fire	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	2-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	—
Seattle Storm	—	—	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Toronto Tempo	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	—	—	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.3 exp.)
Washington Mystics	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	1.47%	—	—	—	—	1.47%
60–69	—	1.96%	2.45%	2.45%	1.47%	—	—	8.33%
70–79	1.47%	2.45%	3.92%	7.84%	3.92%	2.94%	0.49%	23.04%
80–89	—	2.45%	7.84%	12.75%	7.35%	1.47%	—	31.86%
90–99	—	1.47%	3.92%	7.35%	4.90%	3.43%	—	21.08%
100–109	—	—	2.94%	1.47%	3.43%	2.94%	1.47%	12.25%
110+	—	—	0.49%	—	—	1.47%	—	1.96%
Total	1.47%	8.33%	23.04%	31.86%	21.08%	12.25%	1.96%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	85.34	85.34	+0.00
SD	11.92	11.92	14.23
CV	0.14	0.14	—
Max	114	114	+34
Min	56	56	-34

Games Played: 102

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
70–79	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
80–89	—	15.38%	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	46.15%
90–99	—	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	23.08%
100–109	—	—	15.38%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	15.38%	38.46%	23.08%	15.38%	7.69%	—	100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	87.08	80.69	+6.38
SD	10.01	10.84	15.03
CV	0.11	0.13	—
Max	109	104	+32
Min	71	66	-15

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
60–69	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
70–79	—	—	—	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
80–89	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	30.77%
90–99	—	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	15.38%	15.38%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.69%	15.38%	38.46%	23.08%	—	15.38%	100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	82.15	87.77	-5.62
SD	14.52	13.75	10.82
CV	0.18	0.16	—
Max	106	114	+15
Min	58	63	-21

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
60–69	—	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
70–79	—	—	—	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	26.67%
80–89	—	—	6.67%	33.33%	—	—	—	40.00%
90–99	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%	—	6.67%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%	—	6.67%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	20.00%	40.00%	20.00%	20.00%	—	100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	77.87	89.13	-11.27
SD	11.13	10.66	10.83
CV	0.14	0.12	—
Max	102	106	+3
Min	59	71	-31

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
70–79	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	—	23.08%
80–89	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
90–99	—	7.69%	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	30.77%
100–109	—	—	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	15.38%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	7.69%	23.08%	30.77%	15.38%	15.38%	—	100%

Dallas Wings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	87.54	83.38	+4.15
SD	11.86	13.50	14.22
CV	0.14	0.16	—
Max	107	104	+23
Min	69	56	-24

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
70–79	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
80–89	—	—	7.69%	15.38%	15.38%	—	—	38.46%
90–99	—	—	23.08%	15.38%	—	—	—	38.46%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.69%	38.46%	38.46%	15.38%	—	—	100%

Golden State Valkyries — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	85.15	79.85	+5.31
SD	9.31	7.88	11.70
CV	0.11	0.10	—
Max	97	91	+27
Min	63	69	-10

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
70–79	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
80–89	—	—	30.77%	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	46.15%
90–99	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	15.38%	—	15.38%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%	—	7.69%
Total	—	—	46.15%	15.38%	7.69%	30.77%	—	100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	89.92	86.38	+3.54
SD	10.84	13.36	9.32
CV	0.12	0.15	—
Max	114	107	+17
Min	75	71	-16

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%
70–79	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
80–89	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
90–99	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	23.08%
100–109	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	23.08%	—	—	38.46%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	15.38%	15.38%	23.08%	38.46%	7.69%	—	100%

Las Vegas Aces — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	92.08	86.62	+5.46
SD	11.52	10.84	15.84
CV	0.13	0.13	—
Max	105	101	+29
Min	66	69	-33

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
70–79	—	—	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	15.38%
80–89	—	—	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	23.08%
90–99	—	—	—	15.38%	7.69%	15.38%	—	38.46%
100–109	—	—	—	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%	—	7.69%
Total	—	—	15.38%	38.46%	15.38%	30.77%	—	100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	90.38	91.31	-0.92
SD	11.48	10.80	11.64
CV	0.13	0.12	—
Max	111	106	+17
Min	69	72	-27

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
70–79	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
80–89	—	7.69%	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	30.77%
90–99	—	—	—	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	—	30.77%
100–109	—	—	15.38%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
110+	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	7.69%	7.69%	30.77%	38.46%	7.69%	7.69%	—	100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	91.54	79.85	+11.69
SD	9.03	10.68	12.93
CV	0.10	0.13	—
Max	111	100	+34
Min	79	58	-7

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
70–79	—	7.14%	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
80–89	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
90–99	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	21.43%
100–109	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	14.29%	21.43%	35.71%	28.57%	—	—	100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	88.43	81.43	+7.00
SD	11.91	9.72	13.56
CV	0.13	0.12	—
Max	106	98	+31
Min	70	64	-17

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
70–79	—	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	6.67%	40.00%
80–89	—	—	—	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
90–99	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%	6.67%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	13.33%	13.33%	40.00%	20.00%	—	13.33%	100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	82.20	86.80	-4.60
SD	10.12	13.79	14.53
CV	0.12	0.16	—
Max	102	111	+33
Min	68	66	-34

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
70–79	—	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	33.33%
80–89	—	—	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	13.33%	—	40.00%
90–99	—	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
100–109	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.67%	13.33%	40.00%	26.67%	13.33%	—	100%

Portland Fire — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	82.00	86.73	-4.73
SD	10.72	11.33	13.57
CV	0.13	0.13	—
Max	100	105	+19
Min	66	61	-20

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
60–69	—	—	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
70–79	6.67%	—	6.67%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	40.00%
80–89	—	—	—	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
90–99	—	—	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	13.33%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.67%	—	26.67%	46.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	76.40	83.13	-6.73
SD	10.76	9.94	11.88
CV	0.14	0.12	—
Max	97	101	+18
Min	56	59	-23

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
70–79	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%	—	14.29%
80–89	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	35.71%
90–99	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	21.43%
100–109	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	14.29%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
Total	—	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	35.71%	28.57%	—	100%

Toronto Tempo — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	88.64	89.71	-1.07
SD	13.51	13.66	15.52
CV	0.15	0.15	—
Max	111	104	+21
Min	65	68	-28

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
70–79	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	25.00%
80–89	—	—	—	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	25.00%
90–99	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	16.67%	16.67%	16.67%	33.33%	16.67%	—	100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	81.42	86.67	-5.25
SD	11.60	14.47	14.89
CV	0.14	0.17	—
Max	104	109	+18
Min	64	64	-32

Games Played: 12

Record Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New York Liberty	7	May 27 – Jun 14	1 in 60
2	Las Vegas Aces	6	May 31 – Jun 13	1 in 25
3	Los Angeles Sparks	3	May 21 – May 29	1 in 20
4	Minnesota Lynx	8	May 21 – Jun 9	1 in 16
5	Portland Fire	3	May 23 – May 27	1 in 16

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Phoenix Mercury	6	May 19 – Jun 1	1 in 53
2	Seattle Storm	8	May 27 – Jun 12	1 in 24
3	New York Liberty	3	May 21 – May 25	1 in 14
4	Los Angeles Sparks	3	May 30 – Jun 5	1 in 13
5	Chicago Sky	5	May 20 – Jun 2	1 in 13

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Minnesota Lynx	60.34%	27.45%	8.52%	2.92%	0.55%	0.17%	0.05%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Las Vegas Aces	30.66%	40.60%	17.57%	7.39%	2.78%	0.74%	0.23%	0.03%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
New York Liberty	4.82%	15.26%	28.09%	23.54%	15.80%	8.31%	3.47%	0.69%	0.02%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Atlanta Dream	3.54%	12.06%	28.20%	28.66%	15.18%	7.95%	3.51%	0.87%	0.03%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dallas Wings	0.30%	2.37%	7.97%	16.66%	26.51%	24.05%	16.16%	5.37%	0.55%	0.06%	—	—	—	—	—
Golden State Valkyries	0.25%	1.33%	6.64%	13.45%	22.70%	26.29%	19.93%	8.41%	0.89%	0.09%	0.02%	—	—	—	—
Indiana Fever	0.09%	0.92%	2.71%	6.46%	13.63%	24.14%	34.96%	14.76%	1.87%	0.37%	0.08%	0.01%	—	—	—
Los Angeles Sparks	—	0.01%	0.30%	0.89%	2.79%	7.91%	19.38%	52.98%	11.84%	3.03%	0.73%	0.13%	0.01%	—	—
Toronto Tempo	—	—	—	0.03%	0.04%	0.36%	1.48%	8.74%	34.86%	28.32%	18.23%	7.00%	0.91%	0.02%	0.01%
Portland Fire	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.07%	0.53%	4.64%	25.22%	28.88%	22.75%	13.75%	3.64%	0.49%	0.02%
Washington Mystics	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.01%	0.25%	2.94%	19.19%	24.78%	27.39%	18.37%	6.21%	0.74%	0.11%
Phoenix Mercury	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.04%	0.55%	5.01%	12.44%	23.71%	37.41%	17.37%	3.06%	0.41%
Chicago Sky	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.02%	0.51%	1.89%	6.12%	19.10%	51.28%	17.30%	3.77%
Seattle Storm	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.14%	0.85%	3.63%	17.11%	60.80%	17.46%
Connecticut Sun	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.12%	0.60%	3.47%	17.59%	78.22%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Minnesota Lynx	60.34%	27.45%	8.52%	2.92%	0.55%	0.17%	0.05%	—	—
Las Vegas Aces	30.66%	40.60%	17.57%	7.39%	2.78%	0.74%	0.23%	0.03%	—
New York Liberty	4.82%	15.26%	28.09%	23.54%	15.80%	8.31%	3.47%	0.69%	0.02%
Atlanta Dream	3.54%	12.06%	28.20%	28.66%	15.18%	7.95%	3.51%	0.87%	0.03%
Dallas Wings	0.30%	2.37%	7.97%	16.66%	26.51%	24.05%	16.16%	5.37%	0.61%
Golden State Valkyries	0.25%	1.33%	6.64%	13.45%	22.70%	26.29%	19.93%	8.41%	1.00%
Indiana Fever	0.09%	0.92%	2.71%	6.46%	13.63%	24.14%	34.96%	14.76%	2.33%
Los Angeles Sparks	—	0.01%	0.30%	0.89%	2.79%	7.91%	19.38%	52.98%	15.74%
Toronto Tempo	—	—	—	0.03%	0.04%	0.36%	1.48%	8.74%	89.35%
Portland Fire	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.07%	0.53%	4.64%	94.75%
Washington Mystics	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.01%	0.25%	2.94%	96.79%
Phoenix Mercury	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.04%	0.55%	99.41%
Chicago Sky	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.02%	99.97%
Connecticut Sun	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	100.00%
Seattle Storm	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	100.00%

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals
Minnesota Lynx	100.00%	82.14%	56.68%	34.61%
Las Vegas Aces	100.00%	71.84%	41.91%	20.41%
New York Liberty	99.98%	62.55%	29.28%	14.56%
Atlanta Dream	99.97%	55.03%	23.16%	10.29%
Golden State Valkyries	99.00%	38.25%	15.13%	6.54%
Dallas Wings	99.39%	37.16%	13.89%	5.65%
Indiana Fever	97.67%	33.96%	13.43%	5.57%
Los Angeles Sparks	84.26%	17.15%	6.19%	2.24%
Toronto Tempo	10.65%	1.22%	0.20%	0.07%
Washington Mystics	3.21%	0.28%	0.06%	0.04%
Portland Fire	5.25%	0.37%	0.07%	0.02%
Chicago Sky	0.03%	—	—	—
Phoenix Mercury	0.59%	0.05%	—	—

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Dallas Wings	Golden State Valkyries	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Portland Fire	Toronto Tempo	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream			14.75%	13.89%	11.40%	1.93%	4.99%	0.70%	6.59%	0.01%	0.22%	0.45%	0.10%
Dallas Wings	10.02%			6.30%	3.51%	4.86%	1.26%	2.25%	8.86%			0.08%	0.02%
Golden State Valkyries	10.60%		6.83%		2.94%	5.39%	0.85%	3.22%	8.34%		0.01%	0.06%	0.01%
Indiana Fever	8.06%		3.57%	2.92%		7.77%	0.43%	4.54%	6.64%		0.02%	0.01%
Las Vegas Aces	3.04%	0.02%	11.01%	11.82%	17.36%		20.32%	0.10%	2.67%	0.19%	1.56%	2.88%	0.87%
Los Angeles Sparks	2.45%		0.68%	0.51%	0.22%	5.31%		5.60%	2.38%
Minnesota Lynx	2.04%	0.01%	8.55%	10.88%	16.04%	0.14%	32.62%		1.68%	0.30%	2.77%	5.39%	1.72%
New York Liberty	8.46%		16.82%	14.41%	12.24%	2.05%	6.64%	0.82%		0.04%	0.30%	0.56%	0.21%
Phoenix Mercury	0.01%					0.01%		0.03%
Portland Fire	0.05%		0.01%			0.12%		0.14%	0.05%
Toronto Tempo	0.16%		0.01%	0.02%		0.49%		0.37%	0.17%
Washington Mystics	0.05%					0.09%		0.09%	0.05%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Dallas Wings	Golden State Valkyries	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Portland Fire	Toronto Tempo	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		1.79%	1.74%	2.44%	6.61%	1.90%	5.58%	2.74%	0.01%	0.07%	0.25%	0.03%
Dallas Wings	1.26%		1.31%	1.89%	3.25%	1.20%	3.27%	1.56%		0.02%	0.12%	0.01%
Golden State Valkyries	1.62%	1.33%		2.19%	3.26%	1.44%	3.06%	1.94%	0.01%	0.04%	0.17%	0.07%
Indiana Fever	1.84%	1.79%	1.91%		2.48%	0.84%	2.24%	2.20%		0.03%	0.08%	0.02%
Las Vegas Aces	9.54%	6.06%	5.93%	4.67%		1.67%	3.54%	10.26%	0.02%	0.05%	0.15%	0.02%
Los Angeles Sparks	1.31%	1.08%	1.18%	0.67%	0.53%		0.35%	1.05%			0.01%	0.01%
Minnesota Lynx	12.93%	9.08%	8.75%	5.53%	5.35%	1.53%		13.43%		0.01%	0.05%	0.02%
New York Liberty	3.30%	2.11%	2.24%	3.07%	8.45%	2.38%	7.41%		0.01%	0.08%	0.19%	0.04%
Portland Fire	0.03%			0.01%				0.03%
Toronto Tempo	0.03%	0.02%	0.06%	0.04%			0.01%	0.04%
Washington Mystics	0.01%	0.01%		0.02%				0.02%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Dallas Wings	Golden State Valkyries	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Portland Fire	Toronto Tempo	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		0.92%	0.91%	0.84%	2.25%	0.41%	3.04%	1.92%
Dallas Wings	0.87%		0.54%	0.49%	1.10%	0.21%	1.48%	0.94%	0.01%	0.01%
Golden State Valkyries	0.83%	0.58%		0.58%	1.26%	0.32%	1.94%	1.02%	0.01%
Indiana Fever	0.76%	0.53%	0.53%		1.08%	0.27%	1.43%	0.96%			0.01%
Las Vegas Aces	2.70%	1.54%	1.66%	1.31%		0.80%	9.03%	3.35%	0.01%	0.01%
Los Angeles Sparks	0.28%	0.16%	0.22%	0.27%	0.39%		0.51%	0.41%
Minnesota Lynx	5.14%	3.12%	3.34%	3.08%	12.36%	1.35%		6.11%	0.02%	0.08%	0.01%
New York Liberty	2.29%	1.37%	1.37%	1.27%	3.04%	0.59%	4.60%			0.03%
Portland Fire			0.01%		0.01%
Toronto Tempo		0.01%	0.01%	0.02%			0.02%	0.01%
Washington Mystics		0.01%			0.01%		0.02%

Completed Games

Every regular-season game played so far this season from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2026-05-09	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 91-90	1616.47	1609.37	51.02%	48.98%	+11.66	1-0
2026-05-12	@ Dallas Wings	W 77-72	1628.13	1437.32	75.00%	25.00%	+13.32	2-0
2026-05-17	Las Vegas Aces	L 84-85	1641.45	1641.79	49.95%	50.05%	-11.90	2-1
2026-05-22	Dallas Wings	W 86-69	1629.55	1512.39	66.25%	33.75%	+33.15	3-1
2026-05-24	Phoenix Mercury	W 82-80	1662.70	1498.05	72.07%	27.93%	+9.41	4-1
2026-05-27	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 81-96	1672.11	1661.85	51.48%	48.52%	-47.49	4-2
2026-05-29	@ Portland Fire	W 86-66	1624.62	1446.99	73.55%	26.45%	+28.18	5-2
2026-06-02	Connecticut Sun	W 91-75	1652.80	1279.71	89.55%	10.45%	+9.96	6-2
2026-06-04	@ Indiana Fever	L 71-83	1662.76	1540.29	66.93%	33.07%	-55.22	6-3
2026-06-06	Washington Mystics	W 109-77	1607.54	1433.52	73.14%	26.86%	+36.19	7-3
2026-06-09	@ Chicago Sky	W 82-75	1643.73	1317.85	86.71%	13.29%	+8.37	8-3
2026-06-11	New York Liberty	L 90-104	1652.10	1602.59	57.08%	42.92%	-50.87	8-4
2026-06-14	@ Toronto Tempo	W 102-77	1601.23	1486.52	65.93%	34.07%	+40.57	9-4
2026-05-09	@ Portland Fire	W 98-83	1374.72	1350.00	53.55%	46.45%	+42.85	1-0
2026-05-13	@ Golden State Valkyries	W 69-63	1417.57	1609.96	24.83%	75.17%	+43.86	2-0
2026-05-15	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 83-91	1461.43	1562.99	35.79%	64.21%	-24.11	2-1
2026-05-17	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 86-79	1437.32	1632.33	24.55%	75.45%	+47.55	3-1
2026-05-20	Dallas Wings	L 89-99	1484.87	1473.49	51.64%	48.36%	-38.90	3-2
2026-05-23	Minnesota Lynx	L 75-85	1445.97	1643.57	24.28%	75.72%	-18.29	3-3
2026-05-27	Toronto Tempo	L 104-111	1427.68	1424.21	50.50%	49.50%	-31.82	3-4
2026-05-29	Minnesota Lynx	L 58-79	1395.86	1709.34	14.13%	85.87%	-15.42	3-5
2026-06-02	@ Washington Mystics	L 72-90	1380.44	1383.42	49.57%	50.43%	-50.10	3-6
2026-06-05	Connecticut Sun	W 85-80	1330.34	1269.74	58.63%	41.37%	+22.03	4-6
2026-06-07	@ Toronto Tempo	L 68-85	1352.37	1458.73	35.15%	64.85%	-34.52	4-7
2026-06-09	Atlanta Dream	L 75-82	1317.85	1643.73	13.29%	86.71%	-8.38	4-8
2026-06-11	@ Indiana Fever	L 106-114	1309.47	1567.63	18.45%	81.55%	-12.43	4-9
2026-05-08	@ New York Liberty	L 75-106	1415.35	1531.56	33.87%	66.13%	-44.92	0-1
2026-05-10	Seattle Storm	L 82-89	1370.43	1474.49	35.46%	64.54%	-22.35	0-2
2026-05-13	Las Vegas Aces	L 69-98	1348.08	1609.30	18.19%	81.81%	-23.33	0-3
2026-05-15	Las Vegas Aces	L 94-101	1324.75	1632.63	14.53%	85.47%	-9.15	0-4
2026-05-18	@ Portland Fire	L 82-83	1315.60	1314.02	50.23%	49.77%	-11.97	0-5
2026-05-20	@ Seattle Storm	W 80-78	1303.63	1422.12	33.58%	66.42%	+22.38	1-5
2026-05-22	@ Seattle Storm	L 59-77	1326.01	1399.75	39.54%	60.46%	-39.97	1-6
2026-05-25	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 70-97	1286.04	1581.98	15.40%	84.60%	-19.06	1-7
2026-05-27	@ Portland Fire	L 61-71	1266.98	1425.41	28.66%	71.34%	-21.59	1-8
2026-05-30	Los Angeles Sparks	W 84-81	1245.39	1522.89	16.83%	83.17%	+34.32	2-8
2026-06-02	@ Atlanta Dream	L 75-91	1279.71	1652.80	10.45%	89.55%	-9.97	2-9
2026-06-05	@ Chicago Sky	L 80-85	1269.74	1330.34	41.37%	58.63%	-22.03	2-10
2026-06-08	New York Liberty	L 80-89	1247.71	1594.02	11.99%	88.01%	-8.57	2-11
2026-06-10	@ Toronto Tempo	L 102-106	1239.14	1493.26	18.80%	81.20%	-8.95	2-12
2026-06-13	Indiana Fever	L 75-85	1230.19	1580.06	11.77%	88.23%	-8.87	2-13
2026-05-09	@ Indiana Fever	W 107-104	1407.43	1575.38	27.55%	72.45%	+29.89	1-0
2026-05-12	Atlanta Dream	L 72-77	1437.32	1628.13	25.00%	75.00%	-13.31	1-1
2026-05-14	Minnesota Lynx	L 86-90	1424.01	1620.72	24.37%	75.63%	-11.61	1-2
2026-05-18	Washington Mystics	W 92-69	1412.40	1436.64	46.52%	53.48%	+61.09	2-2
2026-05-20	@ Chicago Sky	W 99-89	1473.49	1484.87	48.36%	51.64%	+38.90	3-2
2026-05-22	@ Atlanta Dream	L 69-86	1512.39	1629.55	33.75%	66.25%	-33.15	3-3
2026-05-24	@ New York Liberty	W 91-76	1479.24	1533.70	42.23%	57.77%	+53.30	4-3
2026-05-28	Las Vegas Aces	W 95-87	1532.54	1609.74	39.07%	60.93%	+41.05	5-3
2026-06-01	Seattle Storm	W 79-56	1573.59	1364.94	76.87%	23.13%	+26.42	6-3
2026-06-05	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 104-96	1600.01	1463.74	68.66%	31.34%	+21.11	7-3
2026-06-09	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 76-100	1621.12	1766.10	30.27%	69.73%	-35.32	7-4
2026-06-11	Phoenix Mercury	W 85-70	1585.80	1430.45	70.98%	29.02%	+26.78	8-4
2026-06-13	@ Portland Fire	L 83-84	1612.58	1359.45	81.11%	18.89%	-19.32	8-5
2026-05-08	@ Seattle Storm	W 91-80	1509.20	1514.60	49.22%	50.78%	+40.12	1-0
2026-05-10	Phoenix Mercury	W 95-79	1549.32	1646.66	36.35%	63.65%	+60.64	2-0
2026-05-13	Chicago Sky	L 63-69	1609.96	1417.57	75.17%	24.83%	-43.85	2-1
2026-05-21	@ New York Liberty	W 87-70	1566.11	1585.55	47.21%	52.79%	+51.85	3-1
2026-05-22	@ Indiana Fever	L 82-90	1617.96	1594.26	53.41%	46.59%	-35.98	3-2
2026-05-25	Connecticut Sun	W 97-70	1581.98	1286.04	84.60%	15.40%	+19.06	4-2
2026-05-28	Indiana Fever	W 90-88	1601.04	1630.24	45.81%	54.19%	+18.26	5-2
2026-05-31	Las Vegas Aces	L 81-91	1619.30	1568.69	57.23%	42.77%	-43.12	5-3
2026-06-02	Portland Fire	W 95-77	1576.18	1490.51	62.09%	37.91%	+38.32	6-3
2026-06-04	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 84-87	1614.50	1745.02	32.05%	67.95%	-13.22	6-4
2026-06-06	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 79-84	1601.28	1636.64	44.93%	55.07%	-23.93	6-5
2026-06-09	Phoenix Mercury	W 87-81	1577.35	1449.34	67.63%	32.37%	+18.88	7-5
2026-06-12	@ Seattle Storm	W 76-72	1596.23	1288.40	85.47%	14.53%	+6.92	8-5
2026-05-09	Dallas Wings	L 104-107	1575.38	1407.43	72.45%	27.55%	-29.89	0-1
2026-05-13	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 87-78	1545.49	1437.66	65.04%	34.96%	+24.99	1-1
2026-05-15	Washington Mystics	L 102-104	1570.48	1412.63	71.27%	28.73%	-24.01	1-2
2026-05-17	Seattle Storm	W 89-78	1546.47	1451.04	63.40%	36.60%	+28.91	2-2
2026-05-20	Portland Fire	W 90-73	1575.38	1325.98	80.78%	19.22%	+18.88	3-2
2026-05-22	Golden State Valkyries	W 90-82	1594.26	1617.96	46.59%	53.41%	+35.98	4-2
2026-05-28	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 88-90	1630.24	1601.04	54.19%	45.81%	-18.25	4-3
2026-05-30	@ Portland Fire	L 84-100	1611.99	1418.81	75.25%	24.75%	-71.70	4-4
2026-06-04	Atlanta Dream	W 83-71	1540.29	1662.76	33.07%	66.93%	+55.23	5-4
2026-06-06	@ New York Liberty	L 75-83	1595.52	1556.57	55.58%	44.42%	-37.45	5-5
2026-06-08	@ Washington Mystics	W 78-76	1558.07	1397.33	71.61%	28.39%	+9.56	6-5
2026-06-11	Chicago Sky	W 114-106	1567.63	1309.47	81.55%	18.45%	+12.43	7-5
2026-06-13	@ Connecticut Sun	W 85-75	1580.06	1230.19	88.23%	11.77%	+8.87	8-5
2026-05-09	Phoenix Mercury	L 66-99	1644.71	1562.32	61.64%	38.36%	-84.35	0-1
2026-05-10	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 105-78	1560.36	1486.61	60.46%	39.54%	+48.94	1-1
2026-05-13	@ Connecticut Sun	W 98-69	1609.30	1348.08	81.81%	18.19%	+23.33	2-1
2026-05-15	@ Connecticut Sun	W 101-94	1632.63	1324.75	85.47%	14.53%	+9.16	3-1
2026-05-17	@ Atlanta Dream	W 85-84	1641.79	1641.45	50.05%	49.95%	+11.90	4-1
2026-05-23	Los Angeles Sparks	L 95-101	1653.69	1459.86	75.32%	24.68%	-43.95	4-2
2026-05-28	@ Dallas Wings	L 87-95	1609.74	1532.54	60.93%	39.07%	-41.05	4-3
2026-05-31	@ Golden State Valkyries	W 91-81	1568.69	1619.30	42.77%	57.23%	+43.11	5-3
2026-06-02	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 79-69	1611.80	1488.58	67.03%	32.97%	+24.84	6-3
2026-06-06	Golden State Valkyries	W 84-79	1636.64	1601.28	55.07%	44.93%	+23.93	7-3
2026-06-08	Seattle Storm	W 101-91	1660.57	1310.84	88.22%	11.78%	+8.87	8-3
2026-06-11	@ Portland Fire	W 105-89	1669.44	1374.17	84.55%	15.45%	+14.72	9-3
2026-06-13	Minnesota Lynx	W 100-97	1684.16	1801.42	33.74%	66.26%	+27.34	10-3
2026-05-10	Las Vegas Aces	L 78-105	1486.61	1560.36	39.54%	60.46%	-48.95	0-1
2026-05-13	Indiana Fever	L 78-87	1437.66	1545.49	34.96%	65.04%	-24.98	0-2
2026-05-15	Toronto Tempo	W 99-95	1412.68	1519.51	35.09%	64.91%	+30.92	1-2
2026-05-17	Toronto Tempo	L 96-106	1443.60	1488.59	43.56%	56.44%	-32.81	1-3
2026-05-21	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 97-88	1410.79	1547.12	31.33%	68.67%	+49.07	2-3
2026-05-23	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 101-95	1459.86	1653.69	24.68%	75.32%	+43.95	3-3
2026-05-29	@ Washington Mystics	W 92-87	1503.81	1402.50	64.18%	35.82%	+19.08	4-3
2026-05-30	@ Connecticut Sun	L 81-84	1522.89	1245.39	83.17%	16.83%	-34.31	4-4
2026-06-02	Las Vegas Aces	L 69-79	1488.58	1611.80	32.97%	67.03%	-24.84	4-5
2026-06-05	Dallas Wings	L 96-104	1463.74	1600.01	31.34%	68.66%	-21.12	4-6
2026-06-07	Portland Fire	W 89-72	1442.62	1420.10	53.24%	46.76%	+45.93	5-6
2026-06-10	@ Seattle Storm	W 88-83	1488.55	1301.97	74.54%	25.46%	+13.56	6-6
2026-06-13	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 111-102	1502.11	1403.68	63.80%	36.20%	+25.87	7-6
2026-05-09	Atlanta Dream	L 90-91	1609.37	1616.47	48.98%	51.02%	-11.67	0-1
2026-05-12	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 88-84	1597.70	1586.01	51.68%	48.32%	+23.02	1-1
2026-05-14	@ Dallas Wings	W 90-86	1620.72	1424.01	75.63%	24.37%	+11.61	2-1
2026-05-17	Chicago Sky	L 79-86	1632.33	1437.32	75.45%	24.55%	-47.55	2-2
2026-05-21	Toronto Tempo	W 100-72	1584.78	1561.39	53.36%	46.64%	+58.79	3-2
2026-05-23	@ Chicago Sky	W 85-75	1643.57	1445.97	75.72%	24.28%	+18.28	4-2
2026-05-27	Atlanta Dream	W 96-81	1661.85	1672.11	48.52%	51.48%	+47.49	5-2
2026-05-29	@ Chicago Sky	W 79-58	1709.34	1395.86	85.87%	14.13%	+15.43	6-2
2026-06-01	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 111-77	1724.77	1417.67	85.42%	14.58%	+20.25	7-2
2026-06-04	Golden State Valkyries	W 87-84	1745.02	1614.50	67.95%	32.05%	+13.22	8-2
2026-06-06	Seattle Storm	W 88-68	1758.24	1318.70	92.62%	7.38%	+7.86	9-2
2026-06-09	Dallas Wings	W 100-76	1766.10	1621.12	69.73%	30.27%	+35.32	10-2
2026-06-13	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 97-100	1801.42	1684.16	66.26%	33.74%	-27.34	10-3
2026-05-08	Connecticut Sun	W 106-75	1531.56	1415.35	66.13%	33.87%	+44.93	1-0
2026-05-10	@ Washington Mystics	W 98-93	1576.49	1428.57	70.09%	29.91%	+15.93	2-0
2026-05-12	@ Portland Fire	L 96-98	1592.42	1307.15	83.78%	16.22%	-28.22	2-1
2026-05-14	@ Portland Fire	W 100-82	1564.20	1335.37	78.87%	21.13%	+21.35	3-1
2026-05-21	Golden State Valkyries	L 70-87	1585.55	1566.11	52.79%	47.21%	-51.85	3-2
2026-05-24	Dallas Wings	L 76-91	1533.70	1479.24	57.77%	42.23%	-53.30	3-3
2026-05-25	Portland Fire	L 74-81	1480.40	1385.50	63.33%	36.67%	-39.91	3-4
2026-05-27	Phoenix Mercury	W 84-74	1440.49	1488.64	43.11%	56.89%	+42.85	4-4
2026-05-29	Phoenix Mercury	W 75-68	1483.34	1445.79	55.38%	44.62%	+28.12	5-4
2026-06-03	Toronto Tempo	W 97-82	1511.46	1503.85	51.09%	48.91%	+45.11	6-4
2026-06-06	Indiana Fever	W 83-75	1556.57	1595.52	44.42%	55.58%	+37.45	7-4
2026-06-08	@ Connecticut Sun	W 89-80	1594.02	1247.71	88.01%	11.99%	+8.57	8-4
2026-06-11	@ Atlanta Dream	W 104-90	1602.59	1652.10	42.92%	57.08%	+50.87	9-4
2026-06-14	Washington Mystics	W 86-64	1653.46	1403.46	80.83%	19.17%	+21.41	10-4
2026-05-09	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 99-66	1562.32	1644.71	38.36%	61.64%	+84.34	1-0
2026-05-10	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 79-95	1646.66	1549.32	63.65%	36.35%	-60.65	1-1
2026-05-12	Minnesota Lynx	L 84-88	1586.01	1597.70	48.32%	51.68%	-23.02	1-2
2026-05-15	Chicago Sky	W 91-83	1562.99	1461.43	64.21%	35.79%	+24.11	2-2
2026-05-19	Toronto Tempo	L 90-98	1587.10	1521.40	59.34%	40.66%	-39.98	2-3
2026-05-21	Los Angeles Sparks	L 88-97	1547.12	1410.79	68.67%	31.33%	-49.07	2-4
2026-05-24	@ Atlanta Dream	L 80-82	1498.05	1662.70	27.93%	72.07%	-9.41	2-5
2026-05-27	@ New York Liberty	L 74-84	1488.64	1440.49	56.89%	43.11%	-42.85	2-6
2026-05-29	@ New York Liberty	L 68-75	1445.79	1483.34	44.62%	55.38%	-28.12	2-7
2026-06-01	Minnesota Lynx	L 77-111	1417.67	1724.77	14.58%	85.42%	-20.25	2-8
2026-06-03	@ Seattle Storm	W 72-68	1397.42	1338.52	58.40%	41.60%	+19.82	3-8
2026-06-05	@ Portland Fire	W 78-72	1417.24	1452.20	44.99%	55.01%	+32.10	4-8
2026-06-09	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 81-87	1449.34	1577.35	32.37%	67.63%	-18.89	4-9
2026-06-11	@ Dallas Wings	L 70-85	1430.45	1585.80	29.02%	70.98%	-26.77	4-10
2026-06-13	Los Angeles Sparks	L 102-111	1403.68	1502.11	36.20%	63.80%	-25.87	4-11
2026-05-09	Chicago Sky	L 83-98	1350.00	1374.72	46.45%	53.55%	-42.85	0-1
2026-05-12	New York Liberty	W 98-96	1307.15	1592.42	16.22%	83.78%	+28.22	1-1
2026-05-14	New York Liberty	L 82-100	1335.37	1564.20	21.13%	78.87%	-21.35	1-2
2026-05-18	Connecticut Sun	W 83-82	1314.02	1315.60	49.77%	50.23%	+11.96	2-2
2026-05-20	@ Indiana Fever	L 73-90	1325.98	1575.38	19.22%	80.78%	-18.87	2-3
2026-05-23	@ Toronto Tempo	W 99-80	1307.11	1502.60	24.50%	75.50%	+78.39	3-3
2026-05-25	@ New York Liberty	W 81-74	1385.50	1480.40	36.67%	63.33%	+39.91	4-3
2026-05-27	Connecticut Sun	W 71-61	1425.41	1266.98	71.34%	28.66%	+21.58	5-3
2026-05-29	Atlanta Dream	L 66-86	1446.99	1624.62	26.45%	73.55%	-28.18	5-4
2026-05-30	Indiana Fever	W 100-84	1418.81	1611.99	24.75%	75.25%	+71.70	6-4
2026-06-02	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 77-95	1490.51	1576.18	37.91%	62.09%	-38.31	6-5
2026-06-05	Phoenix Mercury	L 72-78	1452.20	1417.24	55.01%	44.99%	-32.10	6-6
2026-06-07	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 72-89	1420.10	1442.62	46.76%	53.24%	-45.93	6-7
2026-06-11	Las Vegas Aces	L 89-105	1374.17	1669.44	15.45%	84.55%	-14.72	6-8
2026-06-13	Dallas Wings	W 84-83	1359.45	1612.58	18.89%	81.11%	+19.32	7-8
2026-05-08	Golden State Valkyries	L 80-91	1514.60	1509.20	50.78%	49.22%	-40.11	0-1
2026-05-10	@ Connecticut Sun	W 89-82	1474.49	1370.43	64.54%	35.46%	+22.34	1-1
2026-05-13	@ Toronto Tempo	L 73-86	1496.83	1473.72	53.32%	46.68%	-45.79	1-2
2026-05-17	@ Indiana Fever	L 78-89	1451.04	1546.47	36.60%	63.40%	-28.92	1-3
2026-05-20	Connecticut Sun	L 78-80	1422.12	1303.63	66.42%	33.58%	-22.37	1-4
2026-05-22	Connecticut Sun	W 77-59	1399.75	1326.01	60.46%	39.54%	+39.96	2-4
2026-05-24	Washington Mystics	W 97-85	1439.71	1375.55	59.13%	40.87%	+33.72	3-4
2026-05-27	Washington Mystics	L 64-78	1473.43	1341.82	68.08%	31.92%	-60.68	3-5
2026-05-30	@ Toronto Tempo	L 72-93	1412.75	1456.04	43.80%	56.20%	-47.81	3-6
2026-06-01	@ Dallas Wings	L 56-79	1364.94	1573.59	23.13%	76.87%	-26.42	3-7
2026-06-03	Phoenix Mercury	L 68-72	1338.52	1397.42	41.60%	58.40%	-19.82	3-8
2026-06-06	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 68-88	1318.70	1758.24	7.38%	92.62%	-7.86	3-9
2026-06-08	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 91-101	1310.84	1660.57	11.78%	88.22%	-8.87	3-10
2026-06-10	Los Angeles Sparks	L 83-88	1301.97	1488.55	25.46%	74.54%	-13.57	3-11
2026-06-12	Golden State Valkyries	L 72-76	1288.40	1596.23	14.53%	85.47%	-6.92	3-12
2026-05-08	Washington Mystics	L 65-68	1500.00	1402.28	63.70%	36.30%	-26.28	0-1
2026-05-13	Seattle Storm	W 86-73	1473.72	1496.83	46.68%	53.32%	+45.79	1-1
2026-05-15	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 95-99	1519.51	1412.68	64.91%	35.09%	-30.92	1-2
2026-05-17	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 106-96	1488.59	1443.60	56.44%	43.56%	+32.81	2-2
2026-05-19	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 98-90	1521.40	1587.10	40.66%	59.34%	+39.99	3-2
2026-05-21	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 72-100	1561.39	1584.78	46.64%	53.36%	-58.79	3-3
2026-05-23	Portland Fire	L 80-99	1502.60	1307.11	75.50%	24.50%	-78.39	3-4
2026-05-27	@ Chicago Sky	W 111-104	1424.21	1427.68	49.50%	50.50%	+31.83	4-4
2026-05-30	Seattle Storm	W 93-72	1456.04	1412.75	56.20%	43.80%	+47.81	5-4
2026-06-03	@ New York Liberty	L 82-97	1503.85	1511.46	48.91%	51.09%	-45.12	5-5
2026-06-07	Chicago Sky	W 85-68	1458.73	1352.37	64.85%	35.15%	+34.53	6-5
2026-06-10	Connecticut Sun	W 106-102	1493.26	1239.14	81.20%	18.80%	+8.96	7-5
2026-06-12	@ Washington Mystics	L 85-86	1502.22	1387.76	65.90%	34.10%	-15.70	7-6
2026-06-14	Atlanta Dream	L 77-102	1486.52	1601.23	34.07%	65.93%	-40.57	7-7
2026-05-08	@ Toronto Tempo	W 68-65	1402.28	1500.00	36.30%	63.70%	+26.29	1-0
2026-05-10	New York Liberty	L 93-98	1428.57	1576.49	29.91%	70.09%	-15.94	1-1
2026-05-15	@ Indiana Fever	W 104-102	1412.63	1570.48	28.73%	71.27%	+24.01	2-1
2026-05-18	@ Dallas Wings	L 69-92	1436.64	1412.40	53.48%	46.52%	-61.09	2-2
2026-05-24	@ Seattle Storm	L 85-97	1375.55	1439.71	40.87%	59.13%	-33.73	2-3
2026-05-27	@ Seattle Storm	W 78-64	1341.82	1473.43	31.92%	68.08%	+60.68	3-3
2026-05-29	Los Angeles Sparks	L 87-92	1402.50	1503.81	35.82%	64.18%	-19.08	3-4
2026-06-02	Chicago Sky	W 90-72	1383.42	1380.44	50.43%	49.57%	+50.10	4-4
2026-06-06	@ Atlanta Dream	L 77-109	1433.52	1607.54	26.86%	73.14%	-36.19	4-5
2026-06-08	Indiana Fever	L 76-78	1397.33	1558.07	28.39%	71.61%	-9.57	4-6
2026-06-12	Toronto Tempo	W 86-85	1387.76	1502.22	34.10%	65.90%	+15.70	5-6
2026-06-14	@ New York Liberty	L 64-86	1403.46	1653.46	19.17%	80.83%	-21.42	5-7

Upcoming Games

Scheduled but not-yet-played games, controlled by the team filter above — a team's remaining schedule with the model's win probability for each matchup.

Date	Opponent	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %
2026-06-18	@ Indiana Fever	1641.80	1588.93	57.55%	42.45%
2026-06-20	Indiana Fever	1641.80	1588.93	57.55%	42.45%
2026-06-22	Toronto Tempo	1641.80	1445.95	75.54%	24.46%
2026-06-24	@ Golden State Valkyries	1641.80	1603.15	55.54%	44.46%
2026-06-26	@ Golden State Valkyries	1641.80	1603.15	55.54%	44.46%
2026-06-27	@ Seattle Storm	1641.80	1281.48	88.84%	11.16%
2026-07-02	@ Washington Mystics	1641.80	1382.04	81.69%	18.31%
2026-07-04	Golden State Valkyries	1641.80	1603.15	55.54%	44.46%
2026-07-09	Seattle Storm	1641.80	1281.48	88.84%	11.16%
2026-07-11	Portland Fire	1641.80	1378.77	81.97%	18.03%
2026-07-13	Los Angeles Sparks	1641.80	1527.98	65.82%	34.18%
2026-07-17	@ Toronto Tempo	1641.80	1445.95	75.54%	24.46%
2026-07-19	Chicago Sky	1641.80	1297.04	87.92%	12.08%
2026-07-29	@ Dallas Wings	1641.80	1593.26	56.94%	43.06%
2026-07-31	Seattle Storm	1641.80	1281.48	88.84%	11.16%
2026-08-03	Las Vegas Aces	1641.80	1711.50	40.10%	59.90%
2026-08-05	Phoenix Mercury	1641.80	1377.81	82.05%	17.95%
2026-08-07	@ Washington Mystics	1641.80	1382.04	81.69%	18.31%
2026-08-10	Toronto Tempo	1641.80	1445.95	75.54%	24.46%
2026-08-13	@ Connecticut Sun	1641.80	1221.32	91.84%	8.16%
2026-08-16	Indiana Fever	1641.80	1588.93	57.55%	42.45%
2026-08-18	@ Las Vegas Aces	1641.80	1711.50	40.10%	59.90%
2026-08-20	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1641.80	1527.98	65.82%	34.18%
2026-08-22	@ Phoenix Mercury	1641.80	1377.81	82.05%	17.95%
2026-08-24	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1641.80	1527.98	65.82%	34.18%
2026-08-28	Portland Fire	1641.80	1378.77	81.97%	18.03%
2026-08-30	Minnesota Lynx	1641.80	1774.08	31.83%	68.17%
2026-09-17	Connecticut Sun	1641.80	1221.32	91.84%	8.16%
2026-09-19	Chicago Sky	1641.80	1297.04	87.92%	12.08%
2026-09-21	@ New York Liberty	1641.80	1674.87	45.26%	54.74%
2026-09-23	@ New York Liberty	1641.80	1674.87	45.26%	54.74%
2026-06-17	New York Liberty	1297.04	1674.87	10.20%	89.80%
2026-06-20	@ Dallas Wings	1297.04	1593.26	15.38%	84.62%
2026-06-22	@ Connecticut Sun	1297.04	1221.32	60.73%	39.27%
2026-06-24	Portland Fire	1297.04	1378.77	38.45%	61.55%
2026-06-26	Portland Fire	1297.04	1378.77	38.45%	61.55%
2026-06-28	Las Vegas Aces	1297.04	1711.50	8.43%	91.57%
2026-07-03	@ Las Vegas Aces	1297.04	1711.50	8.43%	91.57%
2026-07-07	@ Phoenix Mercury	1297.04	1377.81	38.58%	61.42%
2026-07-10	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1297.04	1527.98	20.93%	79.07%
2026-07-12	@ Dallas Wings	1297.04	1593.26	15.38%	84.62%
2026-07-15	Seattle Storm	1297.04	1281.48	52.24%	47.76%
2026-07-17	Los Angeles Sparks	1297.04	1527.98	20.93%	79.07%
2026-07-19	@ Atlanta Dream	1297.04	1641.80	12.08%	87.92%
2026-07-22	@ New York Liberty	1297.04	1674.87	10.20%	89.80%
2026-07-30	Connecticut Sun	1297.04	1221.32	60.73%	39.27%
2026-08-01	Las Vegas Aces	1297.04	1711.50	8.43%	91.57%
2026-08-03	Phoenix Mercury	1297.04	1377.81	38.58%	61.42%
2026-08-05	Los Angeles Sparks	1297.04	1527.98	20.93%	79.07%
2026-08-08	Indiana Fever	1297.04	1588.93	15.71%	84.29%
2026-08-10	@ Seattle Storm	1297.04	1281.48	52.24%	47.76%
2026-08-12	@ Golden State Valkyries	1297.04	1603.15	14.65%	85.35%
2026-08-16	@ Seattle Storm	1297.04	1281.48	52.24%	47.76%
2026-08-18	New York Liberty	1297.04	1674.87	10.20%	89.80%
2026-08-21	Golden State Valkyries	1297.04	1603.15	14.65%	85.35%
2026-08-23	Indiana Fever	1297.04	1588.93	15.71%	84.29%
2026-08-25	@ Connecticut Sun	1297.04	1221.32	60.73%	39.27%
2026-08-29	@ New York Liberty	1297.04	1674.87	10.20%	89.80%
2026-09-17	Washington Mystics	1297.04	1382.04	38.01%	61.99%
2026-09-19	@ Atlanta Dream	1297.04	1641.80	12.08%	87.92%
2026-09-22	Toronto Tempo	1297.04	1445.95	29.79%	70.21%
2026-09-24	@ Washington Mystics	1297.04	1382.04	38.01%	61.99%
2026-06-17	Washington Mystics	1221.32	1382.04	28.39%	71.61%
2026-06-19	Toronto Tempo	1221.32	1445.95	21.53%	78.47%
2026-06-22	Chicago Sky	1221.32	1297.04	39.27%	60.73%
2026-06-26	Washington Mystics	1221.32	1382.04	28.39%	71.61%
2026-07-02	Dallas Wings	1221.32	1593.26	10.52%	89.48%
2026-07-06	@ Minnesota Lynx	1221.32	1774.08	3.98%	96.02%
2026-07-08	Minnesota Lynx	1221.32	1774.08	3.98%	96.02%
2026-07-10	Golden State Valkyries	1221.32	1603.15	9.99%	90.01%
2026-07-14	Portland Fire	1221.32	1378.77	28.77%	71.23%
2026-07-17	@ Phoenix Mercury	1221.32	1377.81	28.89%	71.11%
2026-07-19	@ Phoenix Mercury	1221.32	1377.81	28.89%	71.11%
2026-07-22	@ Indiana Fever	1221.32	1588.93	10.75%	89.25%
2026-07-28	@ Washington Mystics	1221.32	1382.04	28.39%	71.61%
2026-07-30	@ Chicago Sky	1221.32	1297.04	39.27%	60.73%
2026-08-02	@ Dallas Wings	1221.32	1593.26	10.52%	89.48%
2026-08-07	Phoenix Mercury	1221.32	1377.81	28.89%	71.11%
2026-08-13	Atlanta Dream	1221.32	1641.80	8.16%	91.84%
2026-08-15	New York Liberty	1221.32	1674.87	6.84%	93.16%
2026-08-18	Los Angeles Sparks	1221.32	1527.98	14.61%	85.39%
2026-08-20	@ Las Vegas Aces	1221.32	1711.50	5.62%	94.38%
2026-08-22	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1221.32	1527.98	14.61%	85.39%
2026-08-25	Chicago Sky	1221.32	1297.04	39.27%	60.73%
2026-08-26	Golden State Valkyries	1221.32	1603.15	9.99%	90.01%
2026-08-28	@ Indiana Fever	1221.32	1588.93	10.75%	89.25%
2026-08-30	@ Dallas Wings	1221.32	1593.26	10.52%	89.48%
2026-09-17	@ Atlanta Dream	1221.32	1641.80	8.16%	91.84%
2026-09-20	Minnesota Lynx	1221.32	1774.08	3.98%	96.02%
2026-09-22	@ Washington Mystics	1221.32	1382.04	28.39%	71.61%
2026-09-24	Toronto Tempo	1221.32	1445.95	21.53%	78.47%
2026-06-15	Las Vegas Aces	1593.26	1711.50	33.61%	66.39%
2026-06-17	@ Golden State Valkyries	1593.26	1603.15	48.58%	51.42%
2026-06-20	Chicago Sky	1593.26	1297.04	84.62%	15.38%
2026-06-22	@ Seattle Storm	1593.26	1281.48	85.75%	14.25%
2026-06-25	@ Las Vegas Aces	1593.26	1711.50	33.61%	66.39%
2026-06-28	Minnesota Lynx	1593.26	1774.08	26.10%	73.90%
2026-07-02	@ Connecticut Sun	1593.26	1221.32	89.48%	10.52%
2026-07-05	@ Toronto Tempo	1593.26	1445.95	70.01%	29.99%
2026-07-07	@ New York Liberty	1593.26	1674.87	38.47%	61.53%
2026-07-10	@ Toronto Tempo	1593.26	1445.95	70.01%	29.99%
2026-07-12	Chicago Sky	1593.26	1297.04	84.62%	15.38%
2026-07-16	New York Liberty	1593.26	1674.87	38.47%	61.53%
2026-07-19	Los Angeles Sparks	1593.26	1527.98	59.28%	40.72%
2026-07-22	@ Portland Fire	1593.26	1378.77	77.46%	22.54%
2026-07-29	Atlanta Dream	1593.26	1641.80	43.06%	56.94%
2026-07-31	@ Washington Mystics	1593.26	1382.04	77.13%	22.87%
2026-08-02	Connecticut Sun	1593.26	1221.32	89.48%	10.52%
2026-08-05	@ Washington Mystics	1593.26	1382.04	77.13%	22.87%
2026-08-07	Golden State Valkyries	1593.26	1603.15	48.58%	51.42%
2026-08-09	@ Minnesota Lynx	1593.26	1774.08	26.10%	73.90%
2026-08-12	Toronto Tempo	1593.26	1445.95	70.01%	29.99%
2026-08-14	@ Indiana Fever	1593.26	1588.93	50.62%	49.38%
2026-08-17	@ Golden State Valkyries	1593.26	1603.15	48.58%	51.42%
2026-08-20	Indiana Fever	1593.26	1588.93	50.62%	49.38%
2026-08-23	Seattle Storm	1593.26	1281.48	85.75%	14.25%
2026-08-25	Portland Fire	1593.26	1378.77	77.46%	22.54%
2026-08-30	Connecticut Sun	1593.26	1221.32	89.48%	10.52%
2026-09-17	Los Angeles Sparks	1593.26	1527.98	59.28%	40.72%
2026-09-19	Phoenix Mercury	1593.26	1377.81	77.56%	22.44%
2026-09-21	@ Phoenix Mercury	1593.26	1377.81	77.56%	22.44%
2026-09-23	@ Seattle Storm	1593.26	1281.48	85.75%	14.25%
2026-06-15	Los Angeles Sparks	1603.15	1527.98	60.65%	39.35%
2026-06-17	Dallas Wings	1603.15	1593.26	51.42%	48.58%
2026-06-19	Minnesota Lynx	1603.15	1774.08	27.21%	72.79%
2026-06-21	@ Las Vegas Aces	1603.15	1711.50	34.89%	65.11%
2026-06-24	Atlanta Dream	1603.15	1641.80	44.46%	55.54%
2026-06-26	Atlanta Dream	1603.15	1641.80	44.46%	55.54%
2026-06-28	New York Liberty	1603.15	1674.87	39.82%	60.18%
2026-07-04	@ Atlanta Dream	1603.15	1641.80	44.46%	55.54%
2026-07-06	@ Washington Mystics	1603.15	1382.04	78.12%	21.88%
2026-07-08	@ Toronto Tempo	1603.15	1445.95	71.20%	28.80%
2026-07-10	@ Connecticut Sun	1603.15	1221.32	90.01%	9.99%
2026-07-15	@ Indiana Fever	1603.15	1588.93	52.05%	47.95%
2026-07-18	Washington Mystics	1603.15	1382.04	78.12%	21.88%
2026-07-20	Washington Mystics	1603.15	1382.04	78.12%	21.88%
2026-07-29	@ Phoenix Mercury	1603.15	1377.81	78.54%	21.46%
2026-08-02	Toronto Tempo	1603.15	1445.95	71.20%	28.80%
2026-08-04	Toronto Tempo	1603.15	1445.95	71.20%	28.80%
2026-08-07	@ Dallas Wings	1603.15	1593.26	51.42%	48.58%
2026-08-09	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1603.15	1527.98	60.65%	39.35%
2026-08-12	Chicago Sky	1603.15	1297.04	85.35%	14.65%
2026-08-17	Dallas Wings	1603.15	1593.26	51.42%	48.58%
2026-08-19	Minnesota Lynx	1603.15	1774.08	27.21%	72.79%
2026-08-21	@ Chicago Sky	1603.15	1297.04	85.35%	14.65%
2026-08-24	@ Minnesota Lynx	1603.15	1774.08	27.21%	72.79%
2026-08-26	@ Connecticut Sun	1603.15	1221.32	90.01%	9.99%
2026-08-27	@ New York Liberty	1603.15	1674.87	39.82%	60.18%
2026-08-30	@ Portland Fire	1603.15	1378.77	78.44%	21.56%
2026-09-18	Portland Fire	1603.15	1378.77	78.44%	21.56%
2026-09-19	Seattle Storm	1603.15	1281.48	86.43%	13.57%
2026-09-22	@ Portland Fire	1603.15	1378.77	78.44%	21.56%
2026-09-24	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1603.15	1527.98	60.65%	39.35%
2026-06-16	Toronto Tempo	1588.93	1445.95	69.49%	30.51%
2026-06-18	Atlanta Dream	1588.93	1641.80	42.45%	57.55%
2026-06-20	@ Atlanta Dream	1588.93	1641.80	42.45%	57.55%
2026-06-22	Phoenix Mercury	1588.93	1377.81	77.12%	22.88%
2026-06-24	Phoenix Mercury	1588.93	1377.81	77.12%	22.88%
2026-06-27	Los Angeles Sparks	1588.93	1527.98	58.68%	41.32%
2026-07-05	@ Las Vegas Aces	1588.93	1711.50	33.06%	66.94%
2026-07-08	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1588.93	1527.98	58.68%	41.32%
2026-07-09	@ Phoenix Mercury	1588.93	1377.81	77.12%	22.88%
2026-07-12	@ Las Vegas Aces	1588.93	1711.50	33.06%	66.94%
2026-07-15	Golden State Valkyries	1588.93	1603.15	47.95%	52.05%
2026-07-17	Seattle Storm	1588.93	1281.48	85.44%	14.56%
2026-07-18	New York Liberty	1588.93	1674.87	37.88%	62.12%
2026-07-22	Connecticut Sun	1588.93	1221.32	89.25%	10.75%
2026-07-28	@ Seattle Storm	1588.93	1281.48	85.44%	14.56%
2026-07-31	@ Portland Fire	1588.93	1378.77	77.03%	22.97%
2026-08-02	@ Minnesota Lynx	1588.93	1774.08	25.62%	74.38%
2026-08-06	Las Vegas Aces	1588.93	1711.50	33.06%	66.94%
2026-08-08	@ Chicago Sky	1588.93	1297.04	84.29%	15.71%
2026-08-11	New York Liberty	1588.93	1674.87	37.88%	62.12%
2026-08-14	Dallas Wings	1588.93	1593.26	49.38%	50.62%
2026-08-16	@ Atlanta Dream	1588.93	1641.80	42.45%	57.55%
2026-08-18	@ Toronto Tempo	1588.93	1445.95	69.49%	30.51%
2026-08-20	@ Dallas Wings	1588.93	1593.26	49.38%	50.62%
2026-08-22	@ New York Liberty	1588.93	1674.87	37.88%	62.12%
2026-08-23	@ Chicago Sky	1588.93	1297.04	84.29%	15.71%
2026-08-28	Connecticut Sun	1588.93	1221.32	89.25%	10.75%
2026-09-18	@ Toronto Tempo	1588.93	1445.95	69.49%	30.51%
2026-09-20	Washington Mystics	1588.93	1382.04	76.69%	23.31%
2026-09-22	Minnesota Lynx	1588.93	1774.08	25.62%	74.38%
2026-09-24	@ Minnesota Lynx	1588.93	1774.08	25.62%	74.38%
2026-06-15	@ Dallas Wings	1711.50	1593.26	66.39%	33.61%
2026-06-17	@ Phoenix Mercury	1711.50	1377.81	87.22%	12.78%
2026-06-21	Golden State Valkyries	1711.50	1603.15	65.11%	34.89%
2026-06-23	New York Liberty	1711.50	1674.87	55.25%	44.75%
2026-06-25	Dallas Wings	1711.50	1593.26	66.39%	33.61%
2026-06-28	@ Chicago Sky	1711.50	1297.04	91.57%	8.43%
2026-07-03	Chicago Sky	1711.50	1297.04	91.57%	8.43%
2026-07-05	Indiana Fever	1711.50	1588.93	66.94%	33.06%
2026-07-09	@ Portland Fire	1711.50	1378.77	87.16%	12.84%
2026-07-11	Phoenix Mercury	1711.50	1377.81	87.22%	12.78%
2026-07-12	Indiana Fever	1711.50	1588.93	66.94%	33.06%
2026-07-20	@ Toronto Tempo	1711.50	1445.95	82.18%	17.82%
2026-07-22	@ Washington Mystics	1711.50	1382.04	86.95%	13.05%
2026-07-28	Portland Fire	1711.50	1378.77	87.16%	12.84%
2026-07-30	New York Liberty	1711.50	1674.87	55.25%	44.75%
2026-08-01	@ Chicago Sky	1711.50	1297.04	91.57%	8.43%
2026-08-03	@ Atlanta Dream	1711.50	1641.80	59.90%	40.10%
2026-08-06	@ Indiana Fever	1711.50	1588.93	66.94%	33.06%
2026-08-08	@ Minnesota Lynx	1711.50	1774.08	41.09%	58.91%
2026-08-09	@ New York Liberty	1711.50	1674.87	55.25%	44.75%
2026-08-11	Washington Mystics	1711.50	1382.04	86.95%	13.05%
2026-08-13	Washington Mystics	1711.50	1382.04	86.95%	13.05%
2026-08-15	Minnesota Lynx	1711.50	1774.08	41.09%	58.91%
2026-08-18	Atlanta Dream	1711.50	1641.80	59.90%	40.10%
2026-08-20	Connecticut Sun	1711.50	1221.32	94.38%	5.62%
2026-08-23	@ Toronto Tempo	1711.50	1445.95	82.18%	17.82%
2026-08-28	Toronto Tempo	1711.50	1445.95	82.18%	17.82%
2026-09-17	@ Seattle Storm	1711.50	1281.48	92.24%	7.76%
2026-09-20	Seattle Storm	1711.50	1281.48	92.24%	7.76%
2026-09-22	Los Angeles Sparks	1711.50	1527.98	74.20%	25.80%
2026-09-24	@ Phoenix Mercury	1711.50	1377.81	87.22%	12.78%
2026-06-15	@ Golden State Valkyries	1527.98	1603.15	39.35%	60.65%
2026-06-17	Minnesota Lynx	1527.98	1774.08	19.52%	80.48%
2026-06-21	New York Liberty	1527.98	1674.87	30.04%	69.96%
2026-06-25	@ Toronto Tempo	1527.98	1445.95	61.59%	38.41%
2026-06-27	@ Indiana Fever	1527.98	1588.93	41.32%	58.68%
2026-07-06	Seattle Storm	1527.98	1281.48	80.52%	19.48%
2026-07-08	Indiana Fever	1527.98	1588.93	41.32%	58.68%
2026-07-10	Chicago Sky	1527.98	1297.04	79.07%	20.93%
2026-07-13	@ Atlanta Dream	1527.98	1641.80	34.18%	65.82%
2026-07-15	@ Minnesota Lynx	1527.98	1774.08	19.52%	80.48%
2026-07-17	@ Chicago Sky	1527.98	1297.04	79.07%	20.93%
2026-07-19	@ Dallas Wings	1527.98	1593.26	40.72%	59.28%
2026-07-22	Phoenix Mercury	1527.98	1377.81	70.36%	29.64%
2026-07-28	New York Liberty	1527.98	1674.87	30.04%	69.96%
2026-08-02	@ Portland Fire	1527.98	1378.77	70.24%	29.76%
2026-08-05	@ Chicago Sky	1527.98	1297.04	79.07%	20.93%
2026-08-06	@ Minnesota Lynx	1527.98	1774.08	19.52%	80.48%
2026-08-09	Golden State Valkyries	1527.98	1603.15	39.35%	60.65%
2026-08-11	Phoenix Mercury	1527.98	1377.81	70.36%	29.64%
2026-08-13	@ New York Liberty	1527.98	1674.87	30.04%	69.96%
2026-08-15	@ Washington Mystics	1527.98	1382.04	69.85%	30.15%
2026-08-18	@ Connecticut Sun	1527.98	1221.32	85.39%	14.61%
2026-08-20	Atlanta Dream	1527.98	1641.80	34.18%	65.82%
2026-08-22	Connecticut Sun	1527.98	1221.32	85.39%	14.61%
2026-08-24	Atlanta Dream	1527.98	1641.80	34.18%	65.82%
2026-08-28	Washington Mystics	1527.98	1382.04	69.85%	30.15%
2026-08-30	@ Seattle Storm	1527.98	1281.48	80.52%	19.48%
2026-09-17	@ Dallas Wings	1527.98	1593.26	40.72%	59.28%
2026-09-20	Portland Fire	1527.98	1378.77	70.24%	29.76%
2026-09-22	@ Las Vegas Aces	1527.98	1711.50	25.80%	74.20%
2026-09-24	Golden State Valkyries	1527.98	1603.15	39.35%	60.65%
2026-06-15	Portland Fire	1774.08	1378.77	90.68%	9.32%
2026-06-17	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1774.08	1527.98	80.48%	19.52%
2026-06-19	@ Golden State Valkyries	1774.08	1603.15	72.79%	27.21%
2026-06-21	Washington Mystics	1774.08	1382.04	90.52%	9.48%
2026-06-24	@ Washington Mystics	1774.08	1382.04	90.52%	9.48%
2026-06-28	@ Dallas Wings	1774.08	1593.26	73.90%	26.10%
2026-07-03	@ New York Liberty	1774.08	1674.87	63.90%	36.10%
2026-07-06	Connecticut Sun	1774.08	1221.32	96.02%	3.98%
2026-07-08	@ Connecticut Sun	1774.08	1221.32	96.02%	3.98%
2026-07-11	New York Liberty	1774.08	1674.87	63.90%	36.10%
2026-07-13	Phoenix Mercury	1774.08	1377.81	90.73%	9.27%
2026-07-15	Los Angeles Sparks	1774.08	1527.98	80.48%	19.52%
2026-07-18	Portland Fire	1774.08	1378.77	90.68%	9.32%
2026-07-20	@ Seattle Storm	1774.08	1281.48	94.46%	5.54%
2026-07-22	@ Seattle Storm	1774.08	1281.48	94.46%	5.54%
2026-07-28	Toronto Tempo	1774.08	1445.95	86.86%	13.14%
2026-07-30	@ Toronto Tempo	1774.08	1445.95	86.86%	13.14%
2026-08-02	Indiana Fever	1774.08	1588.93	74.38%	25.62%
2026-08-06	Los Angeles Sparks	1774.08	1527.98	80.48%	19.52%
2026-08-08	Las Vegas Aces	1774.08	1711.50	58.91%	41.09%
2026-08-09	Dallas Wings	1774.08	1593.26	73.90%	26.10%
2026-08-12	@ Portland Fire	1774.08	1378.77	90.68%	9.32%
2026-08-15	@ Las Vegas Aces	1774.08	1711.50	58.91%	41.09%
2026-08-19	@ Golden State Valkyries	1774.08	1603.15	72.79%	27.21%
2026-08-21	@ Washington Mystics	1774.08	1382.04	90.52%	9.48%
2026-08-24	Golden State Valkyries	1774.08	1603.15	72.79%	27.21%
2026-08-30	@ Atlanta Dream	1774.08	1641.80	68.17%	31.83%
2026-09-18	New York Liberty	1774.08	1674.87	63.90%	36.10%
2026-09-20	@ Connecticut Sun	1774.08	1221.32	96.02%	3.98%
2026-09-22	@ Indiana Fever	1774.08	1588.93	74.38%	25.62%
2026-09-24	Indiana Fever	1774.08	1588.93	74.38%	25.62%
2026-06-17	@ Chicago Sky	1674.87	1297.04	89.80%	10.20%
2026-06-19	Washington Mystics	1674.87	1382.04	84.37%	15.63%
2026-06-21	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1674.87	1527.98	69.96%	30.04%
2026-06-23	@ Las Vegas Aces	1674.87	1711.50	44.75%	55.25%
2026-06-25	@ Seattle Storm	1674.87	1281.48	90.59%	9.41%
2026-06-28	@ Golden State Valkyries	1674.87	1603.15	60.18%	39.82%
2026-07-03	Minnesota Lynx	1674.87	1774.08	36.10%	63.90%
2026-07-07	Dallas Wings	1674.87	1593.26	61.53%	38.47%
2026-07-11	@ Minnesota Lynx	1674.87	1774.08	36.10%	63.90%
2026-07-12	@ Toronto Tempo	1674.87	1445.95	78.88%	21.12%
2026-07-16	@ Dallas Wings	1674.87	1593.26	61.53%	38.47%
2026-07-18	@ Indiana Fever	1674.87	1588.93	62.12%	37.88%
2026-07-22	Chicago Sky	1674.87	1297.04	89.80%	10.20%
2026-07-28	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1674.87	1527.98	69.96%	30.04%
2026-07-30	@ Las Vegas Aces	1674.87	1711.50	44.75%	55.25%
2026-08-01	@ Phoenix Mercury	1674.87	1377.81	84.68%	15.32%
2026-08-03	Seattle Storm	1674.87	1281.48	90.59%	9.41%
2026-08-05	Seattle Storm	1674.87	1281.48	90.59%	9.41%
2026-08-09	Las Vegas Aces	1674.87	1711.50	44.75%	55.25%
2026-08-11	@ Indiana Fever	1674.87	1588.93	62.12%	37.88%
2026-08-13	Los Angeles Sparks	1674.87	1527.98	69.96%	30.04%
2026-08-15	@ Connecticut Sun	1674.87	1221.32	93.16%	6.84%
2026-08-18	@ Chicago Sky	1674.87	1297.04	89.80%	10.20%
2026-08-22	Indiana Fever	1674.87	1588.93	62.12%	37.88%
2026-08-27	Golden State Valkyries	1674.87	1603.15	60.18%	39.82%
2026-08-29	Chicago Sky	1674.87	1297.04	89.80%	10.20%
2026-09-18	@ Minnesota Lynx	1674.87	1774.08	36.10%	63.90%
2026-09-20	@ Toronto Tempo	1674.87	1445.95	78.88%	21.12%
2026-09-21	Atlanta Dream	1674.87	1641.80	54.74%	45.26%
2026-09-23	Atlanta Dream	1674.87	1641.80	54.74%	45.26%
2026-06-17	Las Vegas Aces	1377.81	1711.50	12.78%	87.22%
2026-06-20	Seattle Storm	1377.81	1281.48	63.52%	36.48%
2026-06-22	@ Indiana Fever	1377.81	1588.93	22.88%	77.12%
2026-06-24	@ Indiana Fever	1377.81	1588.93	22.88%	77.12%
2026-06-27	@ Toronto Tempo	1377.81	1445.95	40.32%	59.68%
2026-07-02	Seattle Storm	1377.81	1281.48	63.52%	36.48%
2026-07-07	Chicago Sky	1377.81	1297.04	61.42%	38.58%
2026-07-09	Indiana Fever	1377.81	1588.93	22.88%	77.12%
2026-07-11	@ Las Vegas Aces	1377.81	1711.50	12.78%	87.22%
2026-07-13	@ Minnesota Lynx	1377.81	1774.08	9.27%	90.73%
2026-07-17	Connecticut Sun	1377.81	1221.32	71.11%	28.89%
2026-07-19	Connecticut Sun	1377.81	1221.32	71.11%	28.89%
2026-07-22	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1377.81	1527.98	29.64%	70.36%
2026-07-29	Golden State Valkyries	1377.81	1603.15	21.46%	78.54%
2026-08-01	New York Liberty	1377.81	1674.87	15.32%	84.68%
2026-08-03	@ Chicago Sky	1377.81	1297.04	61.42%	38.58%
2026-08-05	@ Atlanta Dream	1377.81	1641.80	17.95%	82.05%
2026-08-07	@ Connecticut Sun	1377.81	1221.32	71.11%	28.89%
2026-08-09	@ Washington Mystics	1377.81	1382.04	49.39%	50.61%
2026-08-11	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1377.81	1527.98	29.64%	70.36%
2026-08-16	Portland Fire	1377.81	1378.77	49.86%	50.14%
2026-08-22	Atlanta Dream	1377.81	1641.80	17.95%	82.05%
2026-08-25	Washington Mystics	1377.81	1382.04	49.39%	50.61%
2026-08-27	Washington Mystics	1377.81	1382.04	49.39%	50.61%
2026-08-29	Toronto Tempo	1377.81	1445.95	40.32%	59.68%
2026-09-17	@ Portland Fire	1377.81	1378.77	49.86%	50.14%
2026-09-19	@ Dallas Wings	1377.81	1593.26	22.44%	77.56%
2026-09-21	Dallas Wings	1377.81	1593.26	22.44%	77.56%
2026-09-24	Las Vegas Aces	1377.81	1711.50	12.78%	87.22%
2026-06-15	@ Minnesota Lynx	1378.77	1774.08	9.32%	90.68%
2026-06-17	Seattle Storm	1378.77	1281.48	63.65%	36.35%
2026-06-24	@ Chicago Sky	1378.77	1297.04	61.55%	38.45%
2026-06-26	@ Chicago Sky	1378.77	1297.04	61.55%	38.45%
2026-06-28	@ Washington Mystics	1378.77	1382.04	49.53%	50.47%
2026-07-04	@ Seattle Storm	1378.77	1281.48	63.65%	36.35%
2026-07-09	Las Vegas Aces	1378.77	1711.50	12.84%	87.16%
2026-07-11	@ Atlanta Dream	1378.77	1641.80	18.03%	81.97%
2026-07-14	@ Connecticut Sun	1378.77	1221.32	71.23%	28.77%
2026-07-16	@ Washington Mystics	1378.77	1382.04	49.53%	50.47%
2026-07-18	@ Minnesota Lynx	1378.77	1774.08	9.32%	90.68%
2026-07-22	Dallas Wings	1378.77	1593.26	22.54%	77.46%
2026-07-28	@ Las Vegas Aces	1378.77	1711.50	12.84%	87.16%
2026-07-31	Indiana Fever	1378.77	1588.93	22.97%	77.03%
2026-08-02	Los Angeles Sparks	1378.77	1527.98	29.76%	70.24%
2026-08-06	Toronto Tempo	1378.77	1445.95	40.45%	59.55%
2026-08-08	Seattle Storm	1378.77	1281.48	63.65%	36.35%
2026-08-12	Minnesota Lynx	1378.77	1774.08	9.32%	90.68%
2026-08-14	@ Seattle Storm	1378.77	1281.48	63.65%	36.35%
2026-08-16	@ Phoenix Mercury	1378.77	1377.81	50.14%	49.86%
2026-08-21	@ Toronto Tempo	1378.77	1445.95	40.45%	59.55%
2026-08-23	Washington Mystics	1378.77	1382.04	49.53%	50.47%
2026-08-25	@ Dallas Wings	1378.77	1593.26	22.54%	77.46%
2026-08-28	@ Atlanta Dream	1378.77	1641.80	18.03%	81.97%
2026-08-30	Golden State Valkyries	1378.77	1603.15	21.56%	78.44%
2026-09-17	Phoenix Mercury	1378.77	1377.81	50.14%	49.86%
2026-09-18	@ Golden State Valkyries	1378.77	1603.15	21.56%	78.44%
2026-09-20	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1378.77	1527.98	29.76%	70.24%
2026-09-22	Golden State Valkyries	1378.77	1603.15	21.56%	78.44%
2026-06-17	@ Portland Fire	1281.48	1378.77	36.35%	63.65%
2026-06-20	@ Phoenix Mercury	1281.48	1377.81	36.48%	63.52%
2026-06-22	Dallas Wings	1281.48	1593.26	14.25%	85.75%
2026-06-25	New York Liberty	1281.48	1674.87	9.41%	90.59%
2026-06-27	Atlanta Dream	1281.48	1641.80	11.16%	88.84%
2026-07-02	@ Phoenix Mercury	1281.48	1377.81	36.48%	63.52%
2026-07-04	Portland Fire	1281.48	1378.77	36.35%	63.65%
2026-07-06	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1281.48	1527.98	19.48%	80.52%
2026-07-09	@ Atlanta Dream	1281.48	1641.80	11.16%	88.84%
2026-07-12	@ Washington Mystics	1281.48	1382.04	35.92%	64.08%
2026-07-15	@ Chicago Sky	1281.48	1297.04	47.76%	52.24%
2026-07-17	@ Indiana Fever	1281.48	1588.93	14.56%	85.44%
2026-07-20	Minnesota Lynx	1281.48	1774.08	5.54%	94.46%
2026-07-22	Minnesota Lynx	1281.48	1774.08	5.54%	94.46%
2026-07-28	Indiana Fever	1281.48	1588.93	14.56%	85.44%
2026-07-31	@ Atlanta Dream	1281.48	1641.80	11.16%	88.84%
2026-08-03	@ New York Liberty	1281.48	1674.87	9.41%	90.59%
2026-08-05	@ New York Liberty	1281.48	1674.87	9.41%	90.59%
2026-08-08	@ Portland Fire	1281.48	1378.77	36.35%	63.65%
2026-08-10	Chicago Sky	1281.48	1297.04	47.76%	52.24%
2026-08-14	Portland Fire	1281.48	1378.77	36.35%	63.65%
2026-08-16	Chicago Sky	1281.48	1297.04	47.76%	52.24%
2026-08-23	@ Dallas Wings	1281.48	1593.26	14.25%	85.75%
2026-08-26	Toronto Tempo	1281.48	1445.95	27.95%	72.05%
2026-08-30	Los Angeles Sparks	1281.48	1527.98	19.48%	80.52%
2026-09-17	Las Vegas Aces	1281.48	1711.50	7.76%	92.24%
2026-09-19	@ Golden State Valkyries	1281.48	1603.15	13.57%	86.43%
2026-09-20	@ Las Vegas Aces	1281.48	1711.50	7.76%	92.24%
2026-09-23	Dallas Wings	1281.48	1593.26	14.25%	85.75%
2026-06-16	@ Indiana Fever	1445.95	1588.93	30.51%	69.49%
2026-06-19	@ Connecticut Sun	1445.95	1221.32	78.47%	21.53%
2026-06-22	@ Atlanta Dream	1445.95	1641.80	24.46%	75.54%
2026-06-25	Los Angeles Sparks	1445.95	1527.98	38.41%	61.59%
2026-06-27	Phoenix Mercury	1445.95	1377.81	59.68%	40.32%
2026-07-05	Dallas Wings	1445.95	1593.26	29.99%	70.01%
2026-07-08	Golden State Valkyries	1445.95	1603.15	28.80%	71.20%
2026-07-10	Dallas Wings	1445.95	1593.26	29.99%	70.01%
2026-07-12	New York Liberty	1445.95	1674.87	21.12%	78.88%
2026-07-14	Washington Mystics	1445.95	1382.04	59.09%	40.91%
2026-07-17	Atlanta Dream	1445.95	1641.80	24.46%	75.54%
2026-07-20	Las Vegas Aces	1445.95	1711.50	17.82%	82.18%
2026-07-28	@ Minnesota Lynx	1445.95	1774.08	13.14%	86.86%
2026-07-30	Minnesota Lynx	1445.95	1774.08	13.14%	86.86%
2026-08-02	@ Golden State Valkyries	1445.95	1603.15	28.80%	71.20%
2026-08-04	@ Golden State Valkyries	1445.95	1603.15	28.80%	71.20%
2026-08-06	@ Portland Fire	1445.95	1378.77	59.55%	40.45%
2026-08-10	@ Atlanta Dream	1445.95	1641.80	24.46%	75.54%
2026-08-12	@ Dallas Wings	1445.95	1593.26	29.99%	70.01%
2026-08-18	Indiana Fever	1445.95	1588.93	30.51%	69.49%
2026-08-19	@ Washington Mystics	1445.95	1382.04	59.09%	40.91%
2026-08-21	Portland Fire	1445.95	1378.77	59.55%	40.45%
2026-08-23	Las Vegas Aces	1445.95	1711.50	17.82%	82.18%
2026-08-26	@ Seattle Storm	1445.95	1281.48	72.05%	27.95%
2026-08-28	@ Las Vegas Aces	1445.95	1711.50	17.82%	82.18%
2026-08-29	@ Phoenix Mercury	1445.95	1377.81	59.68%	40.32%
2026-09-18	Indiana Fever	1445.95	1588.93	30.51%	69.49%
2026-09-20	New York Liberty	1445.95	1674.87	21.12%	78.88%
2026-09-22	@ Chicago Sky	1445.95	1297.04	70.21%	29.79%
2026-09-24	@ Connecticut Sun	1445.95	1221.32	78.47%	21.53%
2026-06-17	@ Connecticut Sun	1382.04	1221.32	71.61%	28.39%
2026-06-19	@ New York Liberty	1382.04	1674.87	15.63%	84.37%
2026-06-21	@ Minnesota Lynx	1382.04	1774.08	9.48%	90.52%
2026-06-24	Minnesota Lynx	1382.04	1774.08	9.48%	90.52%
2026-06-26	@ Connecticut Sun	1382.04	1221.32	71.61%	28.39%
2026-06-28	Portland Fire	1382.04	1378.77	50.47%	49.53%
2026-07-02	Atlanta Dream	1382.04	1641.80	18.31%	81.69%
2026-07-06	Golden State Valkyries	1382.04	1603.15	21.88%	78.12%
2026-07-12	Seattle Storm	1382.04	1281.48	64.08%	35.92%
2026-07-14	@ Toronto Tempo	1382.04	1445.95	40.91%	59.09%
2026-07-16	Portland Fire	1382.04	1378.77	50.47%	49.53%
2026-07-18	@ Golden State Valkyries	1382.04	1603.15	21.88%	78.12%
2026-07-20	@ Golden State Valkyries	1382.04	1603.15	21.88%	78.12%
2026-07-22	Las Vegas Aces	1382.04	1711.50	13.05%	86.95%
2026-07-28	Connecticut Sun	1382.04	1221.32	71.61%	28.39%
2026-07-31	Dallas Wings	1382.04	1593.26	22.87%	77.13%
2026-08-05	Dallas Wings	1382.04	1593.26	22.87%	77.13%
2026-08-07	Atlanta Dream	1382.04	1641.80	18.31%	81.69%
2026-08-09	Phoenix Mercury	1382.04	1377.81	50.61%	49.39%
2026-08-11	@ Las Vegas Aces	1382.04	1711.50	13.05%	86.95%
2026-08-13	@ Las Vegas Aces	1382.04	1711.50	13.05%	86.95%
2026-08-15	Los Angeles Sparks	1382.04	1527.98	30.15%	69.85%
2026-08-19	Toronto Tempo	1382.04	1445.95	40.91%	59.09%
2026-08-21	Minnesota Lynx	1382.04	1774.08	9.48%	90.52%
2026-08-23	@ Portland Fire	1382.04	1378.77	50.47%	49.53%
2026-08-25	@ Phoenix Mercury	1382.04	1377.81	50.61%	49.39%
2026-08-27	@ Phoenix Mercury	1382.04	1377.81	50.61%	49.39%
2026-08-28	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1382.04	1527.98	30.15%	69.85%
2026-09-17	@ Chicago Sky	1382.04	1297.04	61.99%	38.01%
2026-09-20	@ Indiana Fever	1382.04	1588.93	23.31%	76.69%
2026-09-22	Connecticut Sun	1382.04	1221.32	71.61%	28.39%
2026-09-24	Chicago Sky	1382.04	1297.04	61.99%	38.01%

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2026-05-12	16.22%	@ Portland Fire	1307.15	98	New York Liberty	1592.42	96
2	2026-05-30	16.83%	@ Connecticut Sun	1245.39	84	Los Angeles Sparks	1522.89	81
3	2026-06-13	18.89%	@ Portland Fire	1359.45	84	Dallas Wings	1612.58	83
4	2026-05-23	24.50%	Portland Fire	1307.11	99	@ Toronto Tempo	1502.60	80
5	2026-05-17	24.55%	Chicago Sky	1437.32	86	@ Minnesota Lynx	1632.33	79
6	2026-05-23	24.68%	Los Angeles Sparks	1459.86	101	@ Las Vegas Aces	1653.69	95
7	2026-05-30	24.75%	@ Portland Fire	1418.81	100	Indiana Fever	1611.99	84
8	2026-05-13	24.83%	Chicago Sky	1417.57	69	@ Golden State Valkyries	1609.96	63
9	2026-05-09	27.55%	Dallas Wings	1407.43	107	@ Indiana Fever	1575.38	104
10	2026-05-15	28.73%	Washington Mystics	1412.63	104	@ Indiana Fever	1570.48	102
11	2026-05-21	31.33%	Los Angeles Sparks	1410.79	97	@ Phoenix Mercury	1547.12	88
12	2026-05-27	31.92%	Washington Mystics	1341.82	78	@ Seattle Storm	1473.43	64
13	2026-06-04	33.07%	@ Indiana Fever	1540.29	83	Atlanta Dream	1662.76	71
14	2026-05-20	33.58%	Connecticut Sun	1303.63	80	@ Seattle Storm	1422.12	78
15	2026-06-13	33.74%	@ Las Vegas Aces	1684.16	100	Minnesota Lynx	1801.42	97
16	2026-06-12	34.10%	@ Washington Mystics	1387.76	86	Toronto Tempo	1502.22	85
17	2026-05-15	35.09%	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1412.68	99	Toronto Tempo	1519.51	95
18	2026-05-08	36.30%	Washington Mystics	1402.28	68	@ Toronto Tempo	1500.00	65
19	2026-05-10	36.35%	@ Golden State Valkyries	1549.32	95	Phoenix Mercury	1646.66	79
20	2026-05-25	36.67%	Portland Fire	1385.50	81	@ New York Liberty	1480.40	74
21	2026-05-09	38.36%	Phoenix Mercury	1562.32	99	@ Las Vegas Aces	1644.71	66
22	2026-05-28	39.07%	@ Dallas Wings	1532.54	95	Las Vegas Aces	1609.74	87
23	2026-05-19	40.66%	Toronto Tempo	1521.40	98	@ Phoenix Mercury	1587.10	90
24	2026-05-24	42.23%	Dallas Wings	1479.24	91	@ New York Liberty	1533.70	76
25	2026-05-31	42.77%	Las Vegas Aces	1568.69	91	@ Golden State Valkyries	1619.30	81

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2026-05-09	84.35	Phoenix Mercury	99	1562.32	38.36%	@ Las Vegas Aces	66	1644.71	61.64%
2	2026-05-23	78.39	Portland Fire	99	1307.11	24.50%	@ Toronto Tempo	80	1502.60	75.50%
3	2026-05-30	71.70	@ Portland Fire	100	1418.81	24.75%	Indiana Fever	84	1611.99	75.25%
4	2026-05-18	61.09	@ Dallas Wings	92	1412.40	46.52%	Washington Mystics	69	1436.64	53.48%
5	2026-05-27	60.68	Washington Mystics	78	1341.82	31.92%	@ Seattle Storm	64	1473.43	68.08%
6	2026-05-10	60.65	@ Golden State Valkyries	95	1549.32	36.35%	Phoenix Mercury	79	1646.66	63.65%
7	2026-05-21	58.79	@ Minnesota Lynx	100	1584.78	53.36%	Toronto Tempo	72	1561.39	46.64%
8	2026-06-04	55.23	@ Indiana Fever	83	1540.29	33.07%	Atlanta Dream	71	1662.76	66.93%
9	2026-05-24	53.30	Dallas Wings	91	1479.24	42.23%	@ New York Liberty	76	1533.70	57.77%
10	2026-05-21	51.85	Golden State Valkyries	87	1566.11	47.21%	@ New York Liberty	70	1585.55	52.79%
11	2026-06-11	50.87	New York Liberty	104	1602.59	42.92%	@ Atlanta Dream	90	1652.10	57.08%
12	2026-06-02	50.10	@ Washington Mystics	90	1383.42	50.43%	Chicago Sky	72	1380.44	49.57%
13	2026-05-21	49.07	Los Angeles Sparks	97	1410.79	31.33%	@ Phoenix Mercury	88	1547.12	68.67%
14	2026-05-10	48.95	Las Vegas Aces	105	1560.36	60.46%	@ Los Angeles Sparks	78	1486.61	39.54%
15	2026-05-30	47.81	@ Toronto Tempo	93	1456.04	56.20%	Seattle Storm	72	1412.75	43.80%
16	2026-05-17	47.55	Chicago Sky	86	1437.32	24.55%	@ Minnesota Lynx	79	1632.33	75.45%
17	2026-05-27	47.49	@ Minnesota Lynx	96	1661.85	48.52%	Atlanta Dream	81	1672.11	51.48%
18	2026-06-07	45.93	@ Los Angeles Sparks	89	1442.62	53.24%	Portland Fire	72	1420.10	46.76%
19	2026-05-13	45.79	@ Toronto Tempo	86	1473.72	46.68%	Seattle Storm	73	1496.83	53.32%
20	2026-06-03	45.12	@ New York Liberty	97	1511.46	51.09%	Toronto Tempo	82	1503.85	48.91%
21	2026-05-08	44.93	@ New York Liberty	106	1531.56	66.13%	Connecticut Sun	75	1415.35	33.87%
22	2026-05-23	43.95	Los Angeles Sparks	101	1459.86	24.68%	@ Las Vegas Aces	95	1653.69	75.32%
23	2026-05-13	43.86	Chicago Sky	69	1417.57	24.83%	@ Golden State Valkyries	63	1609.96	75.17%
24	2026-05-31	43.12	Las Vegas Aces	91	1568.69	42.77%	@ Golden State Valkyries	81	1619.30	57.23%
25	2026-05-27	42.85	@ New York Liberty	84	1440.49	43.11%	Phoenix Mercury	74	1488.64	56.89%