Home / Leagues / WNBA / 2024

2024 WNBA Season

240 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

New York Liberty

1st Title

Runner-Up

Minnesota Lynx

7

Last Appearance: 2017

Biggest Overachiever

Minnesota Lynx

3.95 wins above expected

30 wins · 26.05 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Dallas Wings

4.96 wins below expected

9 wins · 13.96 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 New York Liberty League 32 8 .800 85.6 76.5 +9.1 30.12 +1.88
2 Minnesota Lynx Playoffs 30 10 .750 2 82.0 75.6 +6.4 26.05 +3.95
3 Connecticut Sun Playoffs 28 12 .700 4 80.1 73.6 +6.5 26.98 +1.02
4 Las Vegas Aces Playoffs 27 13 .675 5 86.4 80.9 +5.5 26.88 +0.12
5 Seattle Storm Playoffs 25 15 .625 7 83.2 78.8 +4.5 23.03 +1.97
6 Indiana Fever Playoffs 20 20 .500 12 85.0 87.7 -2.7 16.86 +3.14
7 Phoenix Mercury Playoffs 19 21 .475 13 81.5 84.8 -3.3 16.84 +2.16
8 Atlanta Dream Playoffs 15 25 .375 17 77.0 79.8 -2.8 15.09 -0.09
9 Washington Mystics 14 26 .350 18 79.3 82.3 -3.0 14.80 -0.80
10 Chicago Sky 13 27 .325 19 77.4 82.5 -5.1 17.17 -4.17
11 Dallas Wings 9 31 .225 23 84.2 92.1 -7.9 13.96 -4.96
12 Los Angeles Sparks 8 32 .200 24 78.4 85.6 -7.2 12.22 -4.22

Playoff Bracket

WNBA Playoffs

Quarterfinals

Connecticut Sun 2
Indiana Fever 0

2 games · Sep 22–Sep 25

Las Vegas Aces 2
Seattle Storm 0

2 games · Sep 22–Sep 24

Minnesota Lynx 2
Phoenix Mercury 0

2 games · Sep 22–Sep 25

New York Liberty 2
Atlanta Dream 0

2 games · Sep 22–Sep 24

Semifinals

Minnesota Lynx 3
Connecticut Sun 2

5 games · Sep 29–Oct 8

New York Liberty 3
Las Vegas Aces 1

4 games · Sep 29–Oct 6

WNBA Finals

New York Liberty 3
Minnesota Lynx 2

5 games · Oct 10–Oct 20

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
New York Liberty 1703 32 30.12 +1.88 81.12% 20 26 28 30 32 34 38
Las Vegas Aces 1688 27 26.88 +0.12 57.62% 15 22 25 27 29 31 36
Minnesota Lynx 1649 30 26.05 +3.95 94.47% 13 21 24 26 28 31 36
Connecticut Sun 1619 28 26.98 +1.02 70.35% 15 22 25 27 29 31 37
Seattle Storm 1585 25 23.03 +1.97 80.18% 13 18 21 23 25 28 33
Indiana Fever 1512 20 16.86 +3.14 89.30% 6 12 15 17 19 22 28
Atlanta Dream 1451 15 15.09 -0.09 55.76% 6 10 13 15 17 20 27
Washington Mystics 1447 14 14.80 -0.80 46.52% 3 10 13 15 17 20 26
Phoenix Mercury 1404 19 16.84 +2.16 81.50% 6 12 15 17 19 22 28
Chicago Sky 1327 13 17.17 -4.17 11.05% 6 12 15 17 19 22 29
Dallas Wings 1312 9 13.96 -4.96 5.16% 4 9 12 14 16 19 25
Los Angeles Sparks 1302 8 12.22 -4.22 8.39% 3 8 10 12 14 17 22

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team Dream Sky Sun Wings Fever Aces Sparks Lynx Liberty Mercury Storm Mystics
Atlanta Dream
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
2-2
(0.9 exp.)
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
0-4
(1.9 exp.)
1-2
(0.7 exp.)
3-0
(1.6 exp.)
0-4
(1.1 exp.)
1-3
(0.8 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
1-2
(0.6 exp.)
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
Chicago Sky
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
0-4
(1.2 exp.)
3-1
(1.9 exp.)
1-3
(2.2 exp.)
1-3
(1.0 exp.)
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
0-3
(0.6 exp.)
1-3
(1.1 exp.)
0-3
(1.5 exp.)
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
1-3
(2.4 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
2-2
(3.1 exp.)
4-0
(2.8 exp.)
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
3-1
(2.9 exp.)
0-3
(1.6 exp.)
4-0
(3.4 exp.)
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
4-0
(2.9 exp.)
1-2
(1.9 exp.)
4-0
(3.0 exp.)
Dallas Wings
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
1-3
(2.1 exp.)
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-3
(0.8 exp.)
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
2-2
(1.0 exp.)
0-4
(0.3 exp.)
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
0-4
(1.1 exp.)
0-3
(1.5 exp.)
Indiana Fever
4-0
(2.1 exp.)
3-1
(1.8 exp.)
1-3
(1.1 exp.)
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
0-4
(1.2 exp.)
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
1-3
(0.8 exp.)
3-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
Las Vegas Aces
2-1
(2.3 exp.)
3-1
(3.0 exp.)
3-0
(1.4 exp.)
3-1
(3.2 exp.)
4-0
(2.8 exp.)
2-2
(3.2 exp.)
1-3
(2.2 exp.)
0-3
(1.1 exp.)
3-1
(2.9 exp.)
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks
0-3
(1.4 exp.)
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
0-4
(0.6 exp.)
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
2-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-3
(0.8 exp.)
1-3
(0.5 exp.)
0-4
(1.6 exp.)
0-4
(0.8 exp.)
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
4-0
(2.9 exp.)
3-0
(2.4 exp.)
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
2-2
(3.0 exp.)
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
3-1
(1.8 exp.)
3-1
(3.2 exp.)
2-1
(1.1 exp.)
3-1
(2.9 exp.)
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
4-0
(3.1 exp.)
New York Liberty
3-1
(3.2 exp.)
3-1
(2.9 exp.)
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
4-0
(3.7 exp.)
3-1
(3.2 exp.)
3-0
(1.9 exp.)
3-1
(3.5 exp.)
1-2
(1.9 exp.)
2-1
(2.3 exp.)
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
4-0
(3.1 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
3-0
(1.5 exp.)
0-4
(1.1 exp.)
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
0-3
(1.7 exp.)
1-3
(1.1 exp.)
4-0
(2.4 exp.)
1-3
(1.1 exp.)
1-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
Seattle Storm
2-1
(2.4 exp.)
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
2-1
(1.1 exp.)
4-0
(2.9 exp.)
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
4-0
(3.2 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
Washington Mystics
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
3-1
(1.6 exp.)
0-4
(1.0 exp.)
3-0
(1.5 exp.)
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
0-4
(0.9 exp.)
0-4
(0.9 exp.)
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
1-3
(1.5 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<600.62%0.42%0.42%1.46%
60–690.62%0.42%5.00%3.75%1.04%0.83%11.67%
70–790.42%5.00%7.92%10.42%4.38%28.12%
80–890.42%3.75%10.42%12.92%7.50%1.04%36.04%
90–991.04%4.38%7.50%2.92%1.88%17.71%
100+0.83%1.04%1.88%1.25%5.00%
Total1.46%11.67%28.12%36.04%17.71%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.67 81.67 +0.00
SD 10.75 10.75 12.95
CV 0.13 0.13
Max 113 113 +36
Min 47 47 -36

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<605.00%5.00%
60–6912.50%5.00%17.50%
70–797.50%7.50%17.50%7.50%40.00%
80–892.50%10.00%15.00%2.50%30.00%
90–992.50%2.50%
100+2.50%2.50%5.00%
Total15.00%30.00%40.00%12.50%2.50%100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.00 79.75 -2.75
SD 10.75 9.40 10.55
CV 0.14 0.12
Max 107 104 +18
Min 50 62 -21

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<605.00%5.00%
60–695.00%10.00%15.00%
70–792.50%12.50%12.50%5.00%32.50%
80–8910.00%15.00%7.50%2.50%35.00%
90–995.00%7.50%12.50%
100+
Total2.50%32.50%50.00%12.50%2.50%100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.40 82.53 -5.12
SD 9.62 7.38 11.89
CV 0.12 0.09
Max 93 100 +15
Min 54 69 -33

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–692.50%2.50%10.00%15.00%
70–795.00%5.00%12.50%12.50%35.00%
80–892.50%10.00%10.00%12.50%35.00%
90–992.50%2.50%5.00%2.50%12.50%
100+2.50%2.50%
Total10.00%20.00%35.00%30.00%5.00%100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 80.10 73.60 +6.50
SD 10.11 10.35 11.58
CV 0.13 0.14
Max 109 91 +33
Min 61 47 -13

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–692.50%5.00%7.50%
70–795.00%12.50%12.50%30.00%
80–892.50%10.00%12.50%5.00%30.00%
90–992.50%2.50%5.00%12.50%22.50%
100+5.00%5.00%10.00%
Total10.00%27.50%40.00%22.50%100%

Dallas Wings — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 84.20 92.12 -7.92
SD 11.47 9.61 10.91
CV 0.14 0.10
Max 113 110 +18
Min 67 74 -32

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–692.50%5.00%7.50%
70–797.50%7.50%2.50%17.50%
80–897.50%22.50%10.00%2.50%42.50%
90–995.00%12.50%2.50%2.50%22.50%
100+2.50%2.50%5.00%10.00%
Total20.00%47.50%17.50%15.00%100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 84.97 87.65 -2.67
SD 10.10 9.20 12.57
CV 0.12 0.10
Max 110 109 +19
Min 66 70 -36

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–695.00%5.00%
70–792.50%10.00%2.50%15.00%
80–895.00%25.00%5.00%10.00%2.50%47.50%
90–997.50%12.50%7.50%27.50%
100+2.50%2.50%5.00%
Total7.50%47.50%22.50%20.00%2.50%100%

Las Vegas Aces — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 86.38 80.90 +5.47
SD 9.20 9.67 10.87
CV 0.11 0.12
Max 104 100 +21
Min 65 66 -14

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–692.50%2.50%2.50%12.50%2.50%22.50%
70–792.50%5.00%15.00%7.50%30.00%
80–892.50%17.50%17.50%37.50%
90–992.50%5.00%7.50%
100+2.50%2.50%
Total2.50%5.00%10.00%47.50%30.00%5.00%100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 78.40 85.62 -7.22
SD 10.57 10.11 9.84
CV 0.13 0.12
Max 110 113 +17
Min 61 51 -35

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<602.50%2.50%
60–692.50%2.50%2.50%2.50%10.00%
70–7912.50%10.00%2.50%2.50%27.50%
80–8912.50%17.50%5.00%2.50%37.50%
90–997.50%10.00%17.50%
100+2.50%2.50%5.00%
Total2.50%27.50%37.50%22.50%10.00%100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.97 75.60 +6.38
SD 11.01 9.71 11.59
CV 0.13 0.13
Max 102 94 +24
Min 51 55 -28

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–695.00%2.50%7.50%
70–7912.50%7.50%5.00%25.00%
80–892.50%17.50%2.50%5.00%27.50%
90–992.50%10.00%15.00%2.50%30.00%
100+7.50%2.50%10.00%
Total25.00%40.00%25.00%10.00%100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 85.60 76.45 +9.15
SD 10.59 9.03 12.43
CV 0.12 0.12
Max 105 99 +36
Min 64 61 -17

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<602.50%2.50%
60–695.00%5.00%5.00%15.00%
70–792.50%12.50%7.50%22.50%
80–897.50%5.00%17.50%5.00%35.00%
90–992.50%7.50%5.00%5.00%20.00%
100+2.50%2.50%5.00%
Total10.00%15.00%45.00%25.00%5.00%100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.45 84.75 -3.30
SD 12.70 10.06 13.29
CV 0.16 0.12
Max 104 107 +20
Min 47 65 -27

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–692.50%2.50%5.00%
70–7910.00%5.00%10.00%2.50%27.50%
80–892.50%15.00%15.00%7.50%40.00%
90–995.00%7.50%7.50%2.50%22.50%
100+2.50%2.50%5.00%
Total20.00%30.00%37.50%10.00%2.50%100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 83.22 78.75 +4.47
SD 9.50 10.14 13.05
CV 0.11 0.13
Max 103 102 +32
Min 63 61 -19

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<602.50%2.50%
60–6910.00%2.50%12.50%
70–792.50%12.50%15.00%5.00%35.00%
80–892.50%2.50%2.50%17.50%10.00%35.00%
90–992.50%2.50%5.00%5.00%15.00%
100+
Total2.50%7.50%30.00%37.50%20.00%2.50%100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 79.30 82.28 -2.98
SD 8.69 9.80 11.95
CV 0.11 0.12
Max 97 101 +31
Min 59 58 -32

Games Played: 40

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Minnesota Lynx 30 26.05 +3.95
2 Indiana Fever 20 16.86 +3.14
3 Phoenix Mercury 19 16.84 +2.16
4 Seattle Storm 25 23.03 +1.97
5 New York Liberty 32 30.12 +1.88

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Dallas Wings 9 13.96 -4.96
2 Los Angeles Sparks 8 12.22 -4.22
3 Chicago Sky 13 17.17 -4.17
4 Washington Mystics 14 14.80 -0.80
5 Atlanta Dream 15 15.09 -0.09

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atlanta Dream 3 Aug 16 – Aug 21 1 in 76
2 Seattle Storm 6 May 22 – Jun 7 1 in 72
3 Dallas Wings 3 Aug 25 – Aug 30 1 in 62
4 Connecticut Sun 9 May 14 – Jun 4 1 in 37
5 Phoenix Mercury 3 May 18 – May 23 1 in 25

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dallas Wings 11 May 31 – Jun 23 1 in 600
2 Washington Mystics 12 May 14 – Jun 9 1 in 381
3 Las Vegas Aces 3 Jun 7 – Jun 11 1 in 28
4 Chicago Sky 7 Aug 18 – Sep 3 1 in 22
5 Atlanta Dream 8 Jun 30 – Jul 17 1 in 20

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team123456789101112
New York Liberty59.97%23.19%10.89%4.72%1.12%0.09%0.02%
Connecticut Sun15.28%26.62%25.62%21.09%9.55%1.50%0.22%0.08%0.02%0.02%
Las Vegas Aces14.47%25.84%25.82%21.38%10.32%1.74%0.33%0.07%0.03%
Minnesota Lynx8.86%19.25%26.15%27.13%14.98%2.63%0.77%0.17%0.04%0.01%0.01%
Seattle Storm1.38%4.86%10.43%21.27%41.99%12.44%4.53%1.90%0.77%0.33%0.10%
Chicago Sky0.02%0.07%0.31%1.39%6.75%21.81%20.17%16.20%12.75%9.85%6.95%3.73%
Phoenix Mercury0.10%0.38%1.15%5.82%18.60%19.04%17.53%14.47%10.48%7.90%4.53%
Indiana Fever0.02%0.06%0.33%1.09%5.27%18.64%19.94%17.26%14.26%11.33%7.41%4.39%
Atlanta Dream0.01%0.03%0.34%1.74%9.18%12.82%15.60%16.52%16.30%15.82%11.64%
Washington Mystics0.03%0.32%1.57%7.49%11.23%14.34%15.92%18.50%17.22%13.38%
Dallas Wings0.01%0.12%0.71%4.48%7.90%10.96%15.75%19.27%21.56%19.24%
Los Angeles Sparks0.18%1.40%3.03%5.89%9.50%13.88%23.04%43.08%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 Seed5 Seed6 Seed7 Seed8 SeedMissed Playoffs
New York Liberty59.97%23.19%10.89%4.72%1.12%0.09%0.02%
Connecticut Sun15.28%26.62%25.62%21.09%9.55%1.50%0.22%0.08%0.04%
Las Vegas Aces14.47%25.84%25.82%21.38%10.32%1.74%0.33%0.07%0.03%
Minnesota Lynx8.86%19.25%26.15%27.13%14.98%2.63%0.77%0.17%0.06%
Seattle Storm1.38%4.86%10.43%21.27%41.99%12.44%4.53%1.90%1.20%
Chicago Sky0.02%0.07%0.31%1.39%6.75%21.81%20.17%16.20%33.28%
Indiana Fever0.02%0.06%0.33%1.09%5.27%18.64%19.94%17.26%37.39%
Phoenix Mercury0.10%0.38%1.15%5.82%18.60%19.04%17.53%37.38%
Atlanta Dream0.01%0.03%0.34%1.74%9.18%12.82%15.60%60.28%
Washington Mystics0.03%0.32%1.57%7.49%11.23%14.34%65.02%
Dallas Wings0.01%0.12%0.71%4.48%7.90%10.96%75.82%
Los Angeles Sparks0.18%1.40%3.03%5.89%89.50%

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals
New York Liberty 100.00% 88.54% 56.11% 33.55%
Las Vegas Aces 99.97% 81.55% 49.68% 27.68%
Minnesota Lynx 99.94% 73.14% 37.29% 16.70%
Connecticut Sun 99.96% 73.02% 31.53% 13.43%
Seattle Storm 98.80% 44.06% 17.04% 6.51%
Indiana Fever 62.61% 15.36% 4.71% 1.48%
Washington Mystics 34.98% 5.32% 1.07% 0.25%
Phoenix Mercury 62.62% 7.18% 1.08% 0.18%
Atlanta Dream 39.72% 5.90% 1.05% 0.17%
Chicago Sky 66.72% 4.36% 0.36% 0.05%
Dallas Wings 24.18% 1.16% 0.03%
Los Angeles Sparks 10.50% 0.41% 0.05%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunDallas WingsIndiana FeverLas Vegas AcesLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySeattle StormWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream0.07%1.58%0.02%1.09%1.25%1.40%0.02%0.47%
Chicago Sky1.36%0.02%0.04%0.74%0.82%0.86%0.06%0.46%
Connecticut Sun6.99%14.05%4.62%9.71%1.71%2.32%3.23%0.27%12.02%12.12%5.98%
Dallas Wings0.01%0.35%0.14%0.17%0.41%0.01%0.07%
Indiana Fever0.02%0.17%4.09%0.03%2.95%3.22%3.04%0.15%1.67%0.02%
Las Vegas Aces7.70%13.81%2.82%4.89%11.23%1.91%4.04%0.38%12.58%15.35%6.84%
Los Angeles Sparks0.12%0.06%0.10%0.10%0.03%
Minnesota Lynx5.81%12.79%3.44%3.63%9.22%2.53%1.35%0.51%11.07%17.76%5.03%
New York Liberty11.66%16.61%0.50%8.62%14.12%0.39%4.16%0.78%15.67%5.45%10.58%
Phoenix Mercury0.14%2.15%0.01%0.04%1.06%1.55%1.35%0.87%0.01%
Seattle Storm1.63%4.68%9.08%1.20%2.87%6.76%0.35%10.64%1.84%3.81%1.20%
Washington Mystics0.01%0.03%1.45%0.99%1.00%1.30%0.05%0.49%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunDallas WingsIndiana FeverLas Vegas AcesLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySeattle StormWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream0.02%0.23%0.05%0.14%0.22%0.12%0.07%0.17%0.03%
Chicago Sky0.01%0.07%0.01%0.04%0.05%0.02%0.04%0.03%0.07%0.02%
Connecticut Sun0.78%0.65%0.15%1.93%7.96%0.08%7.62%6.61%1.03%4.01%0.71%
Dallas Wings0.01%0.01%0.01%
Indiana Fever0.17%0.34%0.89%0.01%0.86%0.01%0.81%0.56%0.22%0.67%0.17%
Las Vegas Aces1.21%0.98%14.20%0.32%2.81%0.12%10.59%10.80%1.44%6.15%1.06%
Los Angeles Sparks0.01%0.01%0.03%
Minnesota Lynx0.98%0.89%9.85%0.30%2.01%8.28%0.07%9.11%1.19%3.67%0.94%
New York Liberty0.88%0.58%12.70%0.18%2.41%11.52%0.04%13.85%1.31%11.88%0.76%
Phoenix Mercury0.02%0.05%0.19%0.13%0.14%0.01%0.19%0.10%0.21%0.04%
Seattle Storm0.74%0.41%3.21%0.16%1.18%2.76%0.03%2.32%5.01%0.70%0.52%
Washington Mystics0.05%0.07%0.15%0.09%0.15%0.23%0.07%0.10%0.16%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunDallas WingsIndiana FeverLas Vegas AcesLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySeattle StormWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream0.02%0.04%0.02%0.08%0.01%
Chicago Sky0.02%0.01%0.01%0.01%
Connecticut Sun0.09%0.04%0.36%3.58%0.01%2.84%4.92%0.07%1.38%0.14%
Indiana Fever0.02%0.24%0.27%0.27%0.41%0.02%0.24%0.01%
Las Vegas Aces0.18%0.11%5.61%0.01%0.76%7.35%9.73%0.35%3.38%0.20%
Minnesota Lynx0.11%0.04%2.95%0.02%0.59%5.11%0.02%5.78%0.13%1.84%0.11%
New York Liberty0.37%0.07%7.84%1.24%11.21%0.01%8.63%0.31%3.60%0.27%
Phoenix Mercury0.01%0.05%0.05%0.03%0.03%0.01%
Seattle Storm0.10%0.04%1.37%0.26%1.67%0.01%1.36%1.60%0.02%0.08%
Washington Mystics0.01%0.05%0.02%0.06%0.06%0.05%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals Actual Outcome
New York Liberty 88.49% 48.68% 31.96% Won Finals
Las Vegas Aces 70.03% 38.11% 23.77% Eliminated in Semifinals
Minnesota Lynx 88.48% 53.73% 22.23% Eliminated in Finals
Connecticut Sun 70.51% 33.85% 12.97% Eliminated in Semifinals
Seattle Storm 29.97% 11.28% 5.65% Eliminated in Quarterfinals
Indiana Fever 29.49% 9.92% 2.43% Eliminated in Quarterfinals
Atlanta Dream 11.51% 1.93% 0.58% Eliminated in Quarterfinals
Phoenix Mercury 11.52% 2.50% 0.41% Eliminated in Quarterfinals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamConnecticut SunIndiana FeverLas Vegas AcesMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySeattle Storm
Atlanta Dream11.51%
Connecticut Sun70.51%
Indiana Fever29.49%
Las Vegas Aces70.03%
Minnesota Lynx88.48%
New York Liberty88.49%
Phoenix Mercury11.52%
Seattle Storm29.97%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamConnecticut SunIndiana FeverLas Vegas AcesMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySeattle Storm
Atlanta Dream1.00%0.93%
Connecticut Sun27.35%6.50%
Indiana Fever7.40%2.52%
Las Vegas Aces7.00%31.11%
Minnesota Lynx35.21%18.52%
New York Liberty30.92%17.76%
Phoenix Mercury1.45%1.05%
Seattle Storm2.58%8.70%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamConnecticut SunIndiana FeverLas Vegas AcesMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySeattle Storm
Atlanta Dream0.17%0.06%0.33%0.02%
Connecticut Sun0.47%5.24%5.44%1.82%
Indiana Fever0.06%0.80%1.04%0.53%
Las Vegas Aces8.00%3.07%11.86%0.84%
Minnesota Lynx0.80%8.16%10.09%3.18%
New York Liberty11.02%3.67%16.30%0.97%
Phoenix Mercury0.02%0.14%0.15%0.10%
Seattle Storm1.69%0.69%3.01%0.26%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

New York Liberty 31.96% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
88.49%
Semifinals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
63.52%
Win Prob
49.85%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
51.00%
Win Prob
61.77%
Las Vegas Aces 23.77% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
70.03%
Semifinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
81.63%
Win Prob
50.15%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
49.89%
Win Prob
59.24%
Minnesota Lynx 22.23% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
88.48%
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
65.53%
Win Prob
56.28%
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
45.39%
Win Prob
38.23%
Connecticut Sun 12.97% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
70.51%
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
80.80%
Win Prob
43.72%
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
41.94%
Win Prob
33.05%
Seattle Storm 5.65% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
29.97%
Semifinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
77.13%
Win Prob
32.88%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
53.27%
Win Prob
48.63%
Indiana Fever 2.43% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
29.49%
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
74.60%
Win Prob
28.55%
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
42.80%
Win Prob
22.08%
Atlanta Dream 0.58% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
11.51%
Semifinals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
51.81%
Win Prob
12.50%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
56.90%
Win Prob
29.20%
Phoenix Mercury 0.41% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
11.52%
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
58.00%
Win Prob
18.24%
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
36.59%
Win Prob
13.39%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2024-05-15 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 92-81 1467.70 1476.28 46.27% 53.73% +21.16 1-0
2024-05-18 @ Phoenix Mercury L 85-88 1488.86 1399.49 60.21% 39.79% -12.38 1-1
2024-05-21 Dallas Wings W 83-78 1476.48 1526.99 45.25% 54.75% +14.53 2-1
2024-05-26 Minnesota Lynx L 79-92 1491.01 1525.18 47.59% 52.41% -20.37 2-2
2024-05-29 @ Washington Mystics W 73-67 1470.64 1393.29 58.54% 41.46% +12.06 3-2
2024-05-31 Las Vegas Aces W 78-74 1482.70 1646.58 30.08% 69.92% +16.59 4-2
2024-06-02 Connecticut Sun L 50-69 1499.29 1617.09 35.94% 64.06% -18.59 4-3
2024-06-06 New York Liberty L 61-78 1480.70 1632.90 31.52% 68.48% -15.43 4-4
2024-06-08 @ Chicago Sky W 89-80 1465.27 1501.46 42.35% 57.65% +20.53 5-4
2024-06-11 Washington Mystics L 68-87 1485.80 1341.05 71.78% 28.22% -37.13 5-5
2024-06-13 @ Indiana Fever L 84-91 1448.67 1356.45 60.61% 39.39% -19.04 5-6
2024-06-16 Los Angeles Sparks W 87-74 1429.63 1405.66 55.93% 44.07% +18.87 6-6
2024-06-19 @ Minnesota Lynx L 55-68 1448.50 1634.32 23.69% 76.31% -10.14 6-7
2024-06-21 Indiana Fever L 79-91 1438.36 1410.08 56.53% 43.47% -23.25 6-8
2024-06-23 New York Liberty L 75-96 1415.11 1670.91 20.22% 79.78% -11.00 6-9
2024-06-28 @ Connecticut Sun W 78-74 1404.11 1621.20 20.59% 79.41% +18.85 7-9
2024-06-30 @ New York Liberty L 75-81 1422.96 1681.91 16.93% 83.07% -4.92 7-10
2024-07-02 Chicago Sky L 77-85 1418.04 1440.34 49.29% 50.71% -16.55 7-11
2024-07-05 @ Dallas Wings L 82-85 1401.49 1340.05 56.31% 43.69% -11.58 7-12
2024-07-07 @ Connecticut Sun L 67-80 1389.91 1629.38 18.56% 81.44% -7.94 7-13
2024-07-10 @ Chicago Sky L 69-78 1381.97 1458.33 36.83% 63.17% -13.11 7-14
2024-07-12 Las Vegas Aces L 70-84 1368.86 1651.16 17.87% 82.13% -7.94 7-15
2024-07-14 @ Seattle Storm L 70-81 1360.92 1602.09 18.42% 81.58% -7.25 7-16
2024-07-17 @ Minnesota Lynx L 79-86 1353.67 1569.24 20.73% 79.27% -6.51 7-17
2024-08-16 Seattle Storm W 83-81 1347.16 1615.46 19.09% 80.91% +13.58 8-17
2024-08-18 Connecticut Sun W 82-70 1360.74 1639.44 18.18% 81.82% +33.64 9-17
2024-08-21 Phoenix Mercury W 72-63 1394.38 1496.07 38.10% 61.90% +22.04 10-17
2024-08-23 Phoenix Mercury L 80-82 1416.42 1474.03 44.24% 55.76% -7.42 10-18
2024-08-26 Indiana Fever L 79-84 1409.00 1487.32 41.32% 58.68% -10.97 10-19
2024-08-28 @ Seattle Storm L 81-85 1398.03 1563.57 25.86% 74.14% -6.14 10-20
2024-08-30 @ Las Vegas Aces L 72-83 1391.89 1578.08 23.65% 76.35% -9.31 10-21
2024-09-01 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 80-62 1382.58 1330.89 54.92% 45.08% +22.70 11-21
2024-09-03 @ Phoenix Mercury L 66-74 1405.28 1442.49 42.21% 57.79% -14.17 11-22
2024-09-06 Dallas Wings W 107-96 1391.11 1368.87 55.68% 44.32% +17.45 12-22
2024-09-08 @ Indiana Fever L 100-104 1408.56 1533.65 30.57% 69.43% -7.26 12-23
2024-09-10 Minnesota Lynx L 64-76 1401.30 1648.79 21.01% 78.99% -8.63 12-24
2024-09-13 Washington Mystics L 69-72 1392.67 1452.72 43.89% 56.11% -9.03 12-25
2024-09-15 @ Washington Mystics W 76-73 1383.64 1461.75 36.59% 63.41% +13.04 13-25
2024-09-17 Chicago Sky W 86-70 1396.68 1358.12 57.98% 42.02% +19.95 14-25
2024-09-19 @ New York Liberty W 78-67 1416.63 1737.53 12.48% 87.52% +34.45 15-25
2024-05-15 @ Dallas Wings L 79-87 1497.44 1534.82 42.18% 57.82% -14.16 0-1
2024-05-18 @ Dallas Wings W 83-74 1483.28 1548.98 38.27% 61.73% +21.99 1-1
2024-05-23 @ New York Liberty W 90-81 1505.27 1647.82 28.48% 71.52% +25.46 2-1
2024-05-25 Connecticut Sun L 82-86 1530.73 1585.44 44.65% 55.35% -10.60 2-2
2024-05-28 Seattle Storm L 68-77 1520.13 1460.05 60.97% 39.03% -21.71 2-3
2024-05-30 Los Angeles Sparks W 83-73 1498.42 1447.86 59.66% 40.34% +15.15 3-3
2024-06-01 @ Indiana Fever L 70-71 1513.57 1361.24 68.50% 31.50% -8.13 3-4
2024-06-04 New York Liberty L 75-88 1505.44 1617.17 36.75% 63.25% -15.73 3-5
2024-06-06 @ Washington Mystics W 79-71 1489.71 1364.88 64.99% 35.01% +11.75 4-5
2024-06-08 Atlanta Dream L 80-89 1501.46 1465.27 57.65% 42.35% -20.52 4-6
2024-06-12 Connecticut Sun L 75-83 1480.94 1635.66 31.20% 68.80% -10.48 4-7
2024-06-14 @ Washington Mystics L 81-83 1470.46 1378.19 60.61% 39.39% -10.18 4-8
2024-06-16 @ Indiana Fever L 83-91 1460.28 1375.48 59.58% 40.42% -20.00 4-9
2024-06-20 Dallas Wings W 83-72 1440.28 1419.74 55.44% 44.56% +17.54 5-9
2024-06-23 Indiana Fever W 88-87 1457.82 1433.33 56.00% 44.00% +5.23 6-9
2024-06-27 Las Vegas Aces L 83-95 1463.05 1608.75 32.33% 67.67% -13.30 6-10
2024-06-30 Minnesota Lynx L 62-70 1449.75 1630.76 28.05% 71.95% -9.41 6-11
2024-07-02 @ Atlanta Dream W 85-77 1440.34 1418.04 50.71% 49.29% +16.55 7-11
2024-07-05 @ Seattle Storm W 88-84 1456.89 1579.89 30.83% 69.17% +16.42 8-11
2024-07-07 @ Seattle Storm L 71-84 1473.31 1563.47 35.00% 65.00% -14.98 8-12
2024-07-10 Atlanta Dream W 78-69 1458.33 1381.97 63.17% 36.83% +13.11 9-12
2024-07-11 @ New York Liberty L 76-91 1471.44 1689.18 20.53% 79.47% -9.44 9-13
2024-07-13 New York Liberty L 67-81 1462.00 1698.62 22.06% 77.94% -9.80 9-14
2024-07-16 @ Las Vegas Aces W 93-85 1452.20 1667.72 20.74% 79.26% +26.62 10-14
2024-08-15 Phoenix Mercury L 65-85 1478.82 1463.43 54.70% 45.30% -29.04 10-15
2024-08-17 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 90-86 1449.78 1347.61 61.96% 38.04% +9.03 11-15
2024-08-18 @ Phoenix Mercury L 68-86 1458.81 1473.19 45.44% 54.56% -22.89 11-16
2024-08-23 @ Connecticut Sun L 80-82 1435.92 1611.08 24.82% 75.18% -4.16 11-17
2024-08-25 Las Vegas Aces L 75-77 1431.76 1589.43 30.84% 69.16% -5.18 11-18
2024-08-28 Washington Mystics L 70-74 1426.58 1383.32 58.64% 41.36% -13.92 11-19
2024-08-30 Indiana Fever L 81-100 1412.66 1514.20 38.12% 61.88% -19.73 11-20
2024-09-01 @ Minnesota Lynx L 74-79 1392.93 1619.45 19.72% 80.28% -5.23 11-21
2024-09-03 @ Las Vegas Aces L 71-90 1387.70 1604.85 20.59% 79.41% -10.65 11-22
2024-09-06 Los Angeles Sparks W 92-78 1377.05 1302.27 62.96% 37.04% +16.45 12-22
2024-09-08 Dallas Wings W 92-77 1393.50 1351.43 58.47% 41.53% +19.09 13-22
2024-09-11 Washington Mystics L 58-89 1412.59 1418.60 51.64% 48.36% -34.13 13-23
2024-09-13 @ Minnesota Lynx L 66-83 1378.46 1657.42 15.37% 84.63% -7.52 13-24
2024-09-15 Phoenix Mercury L 88-93 1370.94 1400.18 48.30% 51.70% -12.82 13-25
2024-09-17 @ Atlanta Dream L 70-86 1358.12 1396.68 42.02% 57.98% -19.95 13-26
2024-09-19 @ Connecticut Sun L 54-87 1338.17 1608.36 16.04% 83.96% -10.93 13-27
2024-05-14 Indiana Fever W 92-71 1544.79 1446.75 66.03% 33.97% +18.48 1-0
2024-05-17 Washington Mystics W 84-77 1563.27 1474.75 64.79% 35.21% +11.06 2-0
2024-05-20 @ Indiana Fever W 88-84 1574.33 1400.61 71.09% 28.91% +6.86 3-0
2024-05-23 Minnesota Lynx W 83-82 1581.19 1497.35 64.17% 35.83% +4.25 4-0
2024-05-25 @ Chicago Sky W 86-82 1585.44 1530.73 55.35% 44.65% +10.60 5-0
2024-05-28 Phoenix Mercury W 70-47 1596.04 1431.72 74.00% 26.00% +14.80 6-0
2024-05-31 Dallas Wings W 74-72 1610.84 1537.26 62.80% 37.20% +6.25 7-0
2024-06-02 @ Atlanta Dream W 69-50 1617.09 1499.29 64.06% 35.94% +18.59 8-0
2024-06-04 Washington Mystics W 76-59 1635.68 1373.02 83.37% 16.63% +8.14 9-0
2024-06-08 New York Liberty L 75-82 1643.82 1648.32 51.85% 48.15% -16.28 9-1
2024-06-10 Indiana Fever W 89-72 1627.54 1364.57 83.39% 16.61% +8.12 10-1
2024-06-12 @ Chicago Sky W 83-75 1635.66 1480.94 68.80% 31.20% +10.48 11-1
2024-06-15 @ Dallas Wings W 85-67 1646.14 1441.87 74.57% 25.43% +12.81 12-1
2024-06-18 Los Angeles Sparks W 79-70 1658.95 1386.79 84.11% 15.89% +5.65 13-1
2024-06-21 @ Las Vegas Aces L 74-85 1664.60 1585.62 58.77% 41.23% -23.13 13-2
2024-06-23 @ Seattle Storm L 61-72 1641.47 1514.47 65.27% 34.73% -25.70 13-3
2024-06-27 @ Washington Mystics W 94-91 1615.77 1420.38 73.59% 26.41% +5.43 14-3
2024-06-28 Atlanta Dream L 74-78 1621.20 1404.11 79.41% 20.59% -18.85 14-4
2024-07-01 @ Phoenix Mercury W 83-72 1602.35 1455.98 67.75% 32.25% +12.69 15-4
2024-07-04 @ Minnesota Lynx W 78-73 1615.04 1625.62 45.98% 54.02% +14.34 16-4
2024-07-07 Atlanta Dream W 80-67 1629.38 1389.91 81.44% 18.56% +7.95 17-4
2024-07-10 New York Liberty L 68-71 1637.33 1679.64 46.42% 53.58% -9.55 17-5
2024-07-14 Phoenix Mercury W 96-69 1627.78 1463.02 74.05% 25.95% +16.01 18-5
2024-07-16 @ New York Liberty L 74-82 1643.79 1708.42 38.41% 61.59% -12.90 18-6
2024-08-16 @ Dallas Wings W 109-91 1630.89 1337.77 83.02% 16.98% +8.55 19-6
2024-08-18 @ Atlanta Dream L 70-82 1639.44 1360.74 81.82% 18.18% -33.64 19-7
2024-08-20 Los Angeles Sparks W 69-61 1605.80 1331.53 84.28% 15.72% +5.28 20-7
2024-08-23 Chicago Sky W 82-80 1611.08 1435.92 75.18% 24.82% +4.16 21-7
2024-08-24 @ New York Liberty W 72-64 1615.24 1752.54 29.10% 70.90% +23.81 22-7
2024-08-28 @ Indiana Fever L 80-84 1639.05 1498.28 67.04% 32.96% -15.92 22-8
2024-08-31 @ Washington Mystics W 96-85 1623.13 1397.24 76.86% 23.14% +9.11 23-8
2024-09-01 Seattle Storm W 93-86 1632.24 1555.66 63.20% 36.80% +11.56 24-8
2024-09-03 Seattle Storm L 64-71 1643.80 1544.10 66.24% 33.76% -20.81 24-9
2024-09-06 Las Vegas Aces L 67-72 1622.99 1615.50 53.57% 46.43% -14.22 24-10
2024-09-08 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 79-67 1608.77 1285.82 85.31% 14.69% +6.04 25-10
2024-09-10 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 86-66 1614.81 1279.78 86.16% 13.84% +7.35 26-10
2024-09-13 @ Phoenix Mercury W 88-69 1622.16 1413.06 75.09% 24.91% +12.89 27-10
2024-09-15 @ Las Vegas Aces L 71-84 1635.05 1646.64 45.84% 54.16% -19.62 27-11
2024-09-17 Minnesota Lynx L 76-78 1615.43 1687.94 42.13% 57.87% -7.07 27-12
2024-09-19 Chicago Sky W 87-54 1608.36 1338.17 83.96% 16.04% +10.93 28-12
2024-05-15 Chicago Sky W 87-79 1534.82 1497.44 57.82% 42.18% +14.16 1-0
2024-05-18 Chicago Sky L 74-83 1548.98 1483.28 61.73% 38.27% -21.99 1-1
2024-05-21 @ Atlanta Dream L 78-83 1526.99 1476.48 54.75% 45.25% -14.53 1-2
2024-05-25 @ Phoenix Mercury W 107-92 1512.46 1451.86 56.19% 43.81% +20.14 2-2
2024-05-26 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 84-83 1532.60 1439.02 60.79% 39.21% +4.66 3-2
2024-05-31 @ Connecticut Sun L 72-74 1537.26 1610.84 37.20% 62.80% -6.25 3-3
2024-06-02 @ Minnesota Lynx L 76-87 1531.01 1545.93 45.36% 54.64% -17.86 3-4
2024-06-05 Las Vegas Aces L 81-95 1513.15 1629.98 36.07% 63.93% -16.01 3-5
2024-06-07 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 72-81 1497.14 1387.34 62.99% 37.01% -22.44 3-6
2024-06-09 Phoenix Mercury L 90-97 1474.70 1410.94 61.47% 38.53% -19.30 3-7
2024-06-13 Seattle Storm L 84-92 1455.40 1540.98 40.31% 59.69% -13.53 3-8
2024-06-15 Connecticut Sun L 67-85 1441.87 1646.14 25.43% 74.57% -12.81 3-9
2024-06-17 @ Minnesota Lynx L 78-90 1429.06 1625.00 22.65% 77.35% -9.32 3-10
2024-06-20 @ Chicago Sky L 72-83 1419.74 1440.28 44.56% 55.44% -17.54 3-11
2024-06-22 @ Washington Mystics L 69-97 1402.20 1373.77 51.59% 48.41% -32.40 3-12
2024-06-23 @ Washington Mystics L 84-92 1369.80 1406.17 42.32% 57.68% -14.21 3-13
2024-06-27 Minnesota Lynx W 94-88 1355.59 1655.05 16.47% 83.53% +24.28 4-13
2024-06-29 @ Seattle Storm L 76-97 1379.87 1553.40 24.99% 75.01% -13.59 4-14
2024-07-01 @ Seattle Storm L 71-95 1366.28 1566.99 22.17% 77.83% -12.89 4-15
2024-07-03 Phoenix Mercury L 96-104 1353.39 1443.29 39.71% 60.29% -13.34 4-16
2024-07-05 Atlanta Dream W 85-82 1340.05 1401.49 43.69% 56.31% +11.58 5-16
2024-07-07 @ Las Vegas Aces L 85-104 1351.63 1631.64 15.29% 84.71% -7.91 5-17
2024-07-10 @ Phoenix Mercury L 84-100 1343.72 1468.23 30.64% 69.36% -14.55 5-18
2024-07-13 Los Angeles Sparks L 81-87 1329.17 1347.57 49.85% 50.15% -14.50 5-19
2024-07-17 Indiana Fever W 101-93 1314.67 1469.35 31.21% 68.79% +23.10 6-19
2024-08-16 Connecticut Sun L 91-109 1337.77 1630.89 16.98% 83.02% -8.55 6-20
2024-08-20 @ New York Liberty L 74-94 1329.22 1746.07 7.59% 92.41% -4.03 6-21
2024-08-22 @ New York Liberty L 71-79 1325.19 1750.10 7.27% 92.73% -2.44 6-22
2024-08-25 Los Angeles Sparks W 113-110 1322.75 1313.74 53.79% 46.21% +9.50 7-22
2024-08-27 Las Vegas Aces W 93-90 1332.25 1594.60 19.62% 80.38% +16.52 8-22
2024-08-30 Minnesota Lynx W 94-76 1348.77 1662.05 15.40% 84.60% +42.61 9-22
2024-09-01 Indiana Fever L 93-100 1391.38 1533.92 32.73% 67.27% -10.28 9-23
2024-09-03 Washington Mystics L 86-90 1381.10 1388.13 51.49% 48.51% -12.23 9-24
2024-09-06 @ Atlanta Dream L 96-107 1368.87 1391.11 44.32% 55.68% -17.44 9-25
2024-09-08 @ Chicago Sky L 77-92 1351.43 1393.50 41.53% 58.47% -19.09 9-26
2024-09-10 New York Liberty L 91-105 1332.34 1741.65 9.48% 90.52% -4.22 9-27
2024-09-12 New York Liberty L 67-99 1328.12 1745.86 9.07% 90.93% -6.09 9-28
2024-09-13 Seattle Storm L 81-83 1322.03 1579.80 20.04% 79.96% -3.36 9-29
2024-09-15 @ Indiana Fever L 109-110 1318.67 1516.11 22.50% 77.50% -2.67 9-30
2024-09-19 @ Las Vegas Aces L 84-98 1316.00 1683.82 9.82% 90.18% -4.36 9-31
2024-05-14 @ Connecticut Sun L 71-92 1446.75 1544.79 33.97% 66.03% -18.48 0-1
2024-05-16 New York Liberty L 66-102 1428.27 1611.79 27.76% 72.24% -19.77 0-2
2024-05-18 @ New York Liberty L 80-91 1408.50 1631.56 20.03% 79.97% -7.89 0-3
2024-05-20 Connecticut Sun L 84-88 1400.61 1574.33 28.91% 71.09% -6.86 0-4
2024-05-22 @ Seattle Storm L 83-85 1393.75 1421.19 43.58% 56.42% -7.32 0-5
2024-05-24 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 78-73 1386.43 1455.52 37.80% 62.20% +16.51 1-5
2024-05-25 @ Las Vegas Aces L 80-99 1402.94 1617.75 20.81% 79.19% -10.77 1-6
2024-05-28 Los Angeles Sparks L 82-88 1392.17 1434.36 46.44% 53.56% -13.50 1-7
2024-05-30 Seattle Storm L 88-103 1378.67 1481.76 37.91% 62.09% -17.43 1-8
2024-06-01 Chicago Sky W 71-70 1361.24 1513.57 31.50% 68.50% +8.13 2-8
2024-06-02 @ New York Liberty L 68-104 1369.37 1603.62 19.02% 80.98% -13.54 2-9
2024-06-07 @ Washington Mystics W 85-83 1355.83 1353.13 47.89% 52.11% +8.74 3-9
2024-06-10 @ Connecticut Sun L 72-89 1364.57 1627.54 16.61% 83.39% -8.12 3-10
2024-06-13 Atlanta Dream W 91-84 1356.45 1448.67 39.39% 60.61% +19.03 4-10
2024-06-16 Chicago Sky W 91-83 1375.48 1460.28 40.42% 59.58% +20.00 5-10
2024-06-19 Washington Mystics W 88-81 1395.48 1388.37 53.52% 46.48% +14.60 6-10
2024-06-21 @ Atlanta Dream W 91-79 1410.08 1438.36 43.47% 56.53% +23.25 7-10
2024-06-23 @ Chicago Sky L 87-88 1433.33 1457.82 44.00% 56.00% -5.23 7-11
2024-06-27 @ Seattle Storm L 77-89 1428.10 1540.16 32.19% 67.81% -13.23 7-12
2024-06-30 @ Phoenix Mercury W 88-82 1414.87 1473.66 39.21% 60.79% +17.67 8-12
2024-07-02 @ Las Vegas Aces L 69-88 1432.54 1631.94 22.31% 77.69% -11.54 8-13
2024-07-06 New York Liberty W 83-78 1421.00 1701.39 18.04% 81.96% +21.76 9-13
2024-07-10 Washington Mystics L 84-89 1442.76 1395.41 59.21% 40.79% -15.72 9-14
2024-07-12 Phoenix Mercury W 95-86 1427.04 1482.78 44.50% 55.50% +19.76 10-14
2024-07-14 @ Minnesota Lynx W 81-74 1446.80 1591.79 28.20% 71.80% +22.55 11-14
2024-07-17 @ Dallas Wings L 93-101 1469.35 1314.67 68.79% 31.21% -23.09 11-15
2024-08-16 Phoenix Mercury W 98-89 1446.26 1492.47 45.86% 54.14% +19.28 12-15
2024-08-18 Seattle Storm W 92-75 1465.54 1601.87 33.52% 66.48% +32.53 13-15
2024-08-24 @ Minnesota Lynx L 80-90 1498.07 1639.13 28.66% 71.34% -10.75 13-16
2024-08-26 @ Atlanta Dream W 84-79 1487.32 1409.00 58.68% 41.32% +10.96 14-16
2024-08-28 Connecticut Sun W 84-80 1498.28 1639.05 32.96% 67.04% +15.92 15-16
2024-08-30 @ Chicago Sky W 100-81 1514.20 1412.66 61.88% 38.12% +19.72 16-16
2024-09-01 @ Dallas Wings W 100-93 1533.92 1391.38 67.27% 32.73% +10.28 17-16
2024-09-04 Los Angeles Sparks W 93-86 1544.20 1308.19 81.13% 18.87% +5.93 18-16
2024-09-06 Minnesota Lynx L 88-99 1550.13 1624.68 41.85% 58.15% -16.48 18-17
2024-09-08 Atlanta Dream W 104-100 1533.65 1408.56 69.43% 30.57% +7.26 19-17
2024-09-11 Las Vegas Aces L 75-86 1540.91 1621.84 40.96% 59.04% -16.12 19-18
2024-09-13 Las Vegas Aces L 74-78 1524.79 1637.96 36.55% 63.45% -8.68 19-19
2024-09-15 Dallas Wings W 110-109 1516.11 1318.67 77.50% 22.50% +2.67 20-19
2024-09-19 @ Washington Mystics L 91-92 1518.78 1440.14 58.72% 41.28% -6.97 20-20
2024-05-14 Phoenix Mercury W 89-80 1633.78 1406.48 80.35% 19.65% +6.99 1-0
2024-05-18 Los Angeles Sparks W 89-82 1640.77 1455.13 76.29% 23.71% +7.45 2-0
2024-05-21 Phoenix Mercury L 88-98 1648.22 1411.86 81.16% 18.84% -30.47 2-1
2024-05-25 Indiana Fever W 99-80 1617.75 1402.94 79.19% 20.81% +10.77 3-1
2024-05-29 @ Minnesota Lynx W 80-66 1628.52 1545.55 59.33% 40.67% +18.06 4-1
2024-05-31 @ Atlanta Dream L 74-78 1646.58 1482.70 69.92% 30.08% -16.60 4-2
2024-06-05 @ Dallas Wings W 95-81 1629.98 1513.15 63.93% 36.07% +16.02 5-2
2024-06-07 Seattle Storm L 65-78 1646.00 1517.60 69.83% 30.17% -29.88 5-3
2024-06-09 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 92-96 1616.12 1409.78 74.79% 25.21% -17.76 5-4
2024-06-11 Minnesota Lynx L 86-100 1598.36 1595.83 52.86% 47.14% -23.48 5-5
2024-06-13 @ Phoenix Mercury W 103-99 1574.88 1430.24 67.54% 32.46% +7.71 6-5
2024-06-15 New York Liberty L 82-90 1582.59 1667.93 40.34% 59.66% -13.55 6-6
2024-06-19 Seattle Storm W 94-83 1569.04 1531.04 57.91% 42.09% +16.58 7-6
2024-06-21 Connecticut Sun W 85-74 1585.62 1664.60 41.23% 58.77% +23.13 8-6
2024-06-27 @ Chicago Sky W 95-83 1608.75 1463.05 67.67% 32.33% +13.30 9-6
2024-06-29 @ Washington Mystics W 88-77 1622.05 1414.95 74.88% 25.12% +9.89 10-6
2024-07-02 Indiana Fever W 88-69 1631.94 1432.54 77.69% 22.31% +11.54 11-6
2024-07-04 Washington Mystics W 98-77 1643.48 1412.63 80.67% 19.33% +10.51 12-6
2024-07-05 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 93-98 1653.99 1345.90 84.20% 15.80% -22.35 12-7
2024-07-07 Dallas Wings W 104-85 1631.64 1351.63 84.71% 15.29% +7.91 13-7
2024-07-10 @ Seattle Storm W 84-79 1639.55 1578.45 56.26% 43.74% +11.61 14-7
2024-07-12 @ Atlanta Dream W 84-70 1651.16 1368.86 82.13% 17.87% +7.94 15-7
2024-07-14 @ Washington Mystics W 89-77 1659.10 1411.13 79.04% 20.96% +8.62 16-7
2024-07-16 Chicago Sky L 85-93 1667.72 1452.20 79.26% 20.74% -26.61 16-8
2024-08-17 New York Liberty L 67-79 1641.11 1729.66 39.90% 60.10% -16.41 16-9
2024-08-18 Los Angeles Sparks W 87-71 1624.70 1338.58 85.16% 14.84% +7.05 17-9
2024-08-21 Minnesota Lynx L 87-98 1631.75 1596.81 57.48% 42.52% -22.63 17-10
2024-08-23 @ Minnesota Lynx L 74-87 1609.12 1619.43 46.02% 53.98% -19.69 17-11
2024-08-25 @ Chicago Sky W 77-75 1589.43 1431.76 69.16% 30.84% +5.17 18-11
2024-08-27 @ Dallas Wings L 90-93 1594.60 1332.25 80.38% 19.62% -16.52 18-12
2024-08-30 Atlanta Dream W 83-72 1578.08 1391.89 76.35% 23.65% +9.31 19-12
2024-09-01 @ Phoenix Mercury W 97-79 1587.39 1459.95 65.33% 34.67% +17.46 20-12
2024-09-03 Chicago Sky W 90-71 1604.85 1387.70 79.41% 20.59% +10.65 21-12
2024-09-06 @ Connecticut Sun W 72-67 1615.50 1622.99 46.43% 53.57% +14.22 22-12
2024-09-08 @ New York Liberty L 71-75 1629.72 1733.77 33.20% 66.80% -7.88 22-13
2024-09-11 @ Indiana Fever W 86-75 1621.84 1540.91 59.04% 40.96% +16.12 23-13
2024-09-13 @ Indiana Fever W 78-74 1637.96 1524.79 63.45% 36.55% +8.68 24-13
2024-09-15 Connecticut Sun W 84-71 1646.64 1635.05 54.16% 45.84% +19.62 25-13
2024-09-17 @ Seattle Storm W 85-72 1666.26 1585.79 58.98% 41.02% +17.56 26-13
2024-09-19 Dallas Wings W 98-84 1683.82 1316.00 90.18% 9.82% +4.36 27-13
2024-05-15 Atlanta Dream L 81-92 1476.28 1467.70 53.73% 46.27% -21.15 0-1
2024-05-18 @ Las Vegas Aces L 82-89 1455.13 1640.77 23.71% 76.29% -7.45 0-2
2024-05-21 Washington Mystics W 70-68 1447.68 1442.20 53.29% 46.71% +7.84 1-2
2024-05-24 Indiana Fever L 73-78 1455.52 1386.43 62.20% 37.80% -16.50 1-3
2024-05-26 Dallas Wings L 83-84 1439.02 1532.60 39.21% 60.79% -4.66 1-4
2024-05-28 @ Indiana Fever W 88-82 1434.36 1392.17 53.56% 46.44% +13.50 2-4
2024-05-30 @ Chicago Sky L 73-83 1447.86 1498.42 40.34% 59.66% -15.14 2-5
2024-06-02 @ Phoenix Mercury L 68-87 1432.72 1393.32 53.16% 46.84% -27.51 2-6
2024-06-05 Minnesota Lynx L 62-86 1405.21 1563.79 30.73% 69.27% -17.87 2-7
2024-06-07 Dallas Wings W 81-72 1387.34 1497.14 37.01% 62.99% +22.44 3-7
2024-06-09 Las Vegas Aces W 96-92 1409.78 1616.12 25.21% 74.79% +17.75 4-7
2024-06-11 @ Seattle Storm L 79-95 1427.53 1524.80 34.07% 65.93% -16.18 4-8
2024-06-14 @ Minnesota Lynx L 76-81 1411.35 1619.31 21.46% 78.54% -5.69 4-9
2024-06-16 @ Atlanta Dream L 74-87 1405.66 1429.63 44.07% 55.93% -18.87 4-10
2024-06-18 @ Connecticut Sun L 70-79 1386.79 1658.95 15.89% 84.11% -5.65 4-11
2024-06-20 @ New York Liberty L 80-93 1381.14 1658.85 15.46% 84.54% -6.62 4-12
2024-06-22 @ New York Liberty L 88-98 1374.52 1665.47 14.49% 85.51% -5.44 4-13
2024-06-28 @ Phoenix Mercury L 78-92 1369.08 1458.04 35.16% 64.84% -15.61 4-14
2024-07-02 Washington Mystics L 80-82 1353.47 1405.06 45.09% 54.91% -7.57 4-15
2024-07-05 Las Vegas Aces W 98-93 1345.90 1653.99 15.80% 84.20% +22.35 5-15
2024-07-07 Phoenix Mercury L 78-84 1368.25 1456.62 39.92% 60.08% -11.61 5-16
2024-07-09 Minnesota Lynx L 67-82 1356.64 1617.99 19.71% 80.29% -9.07 5-17
2024-07-13 @ Dallas Wings W 87-81 1347.57 1329.17 50.15% 49.85% +14.50 6-17
2024-07-16 Seattle Storm L 83-89 1362.07 1609.34 21.03% 78.97% -6.11 6-18
2024-08-15 New York Liberty L 68-103 1355.96 1721.31 11.89% 88.11% -8.35 6-19
2024-08-17 Chicago Sky L 86-90 1347.61 1449.78 38.04% 61.96% -9.03 6-20
2024-08-18 @ Las Vegas Aces L 71-87 1338.58 1624.70 14.84% 85.16% -7.05 6-21
2024-08-20 @ Connecticut Sun L 61-69 1331.53 1605.80 15.72% 84.28% -5.28 6-22
2024-08-23 @ Washington Mystics L 74-80 1326.25 1357.65 43.03% 56.97% -12.51 6-23
2024-08-25 @ Dallas Wings L 110-113 1313.74 1322.75 46.21% 53.79% -9.50 6-24
2024-08-28 New York Liberty W 94-88 1304.24 1738.07 8.34% 91.66% +26.65 7-24
2024-09-01 Atlanta Dream L 62-80 1330.89 1382.58 45.08% 54.92% -22.70 7-25
2024-09-04 @ Indiana Fever L 86-93 1308.19 1544.20 18.87% 81.13% -5.92 7-26
2024-09-06 @ Chicago Sky L 78-92 1302.27 1377.05 37.04% 62.96% -16.45 7-27
2024-09-08 Connecticut Sun L 67-79 1285.82 1608.77 14.69% 85.31% -6.04 7-28
2024-09-10 Connecticut Sun L 66-86 1279.78 1614.81 13.84% 86.16% -7.35 7-29
2024-09-11 Seattle Storm L 82-90 1272.43 1574.33 16.28% 83.72% -5.47 7-30
2024-09-15 @ Seattle Storm L 87-90 1266.96 1583.16 12.78% 87.22% -2.62 7-31
2024-09-17 Phoenix Mercury L 81-85 1264.34 1412.99 31.96% 68.04% -7.59 7-32
2024-09-19 @ Minnesota Lynx W 68-51 1256.75 1695.02 6.77% 93.23% +45.63 8-32
2024-05-14 @ Seattle Storm W 83-70 1462.22 1443.19 50.24% 49.76% +21.30 1-0
2024-05-17 Seattle Storm W 102-93 1483.52 1421.90 61.18% 38.82% +13.83 2-0
2024-05-23 @ Connecticut Sun L 82-83 1497.35 1581.19 35.83% 64.17% -4.26 2-1
2024-05-25 New York Liberty W 84-67 1493.09 1622.36 34.43% 65.57% +32.09 3-1
2024-05-26 @ Atlanta Dream W 92-79 1525.18 1491.01 52.41% 47.59% +20.37 4-1
2024-05-29 Las Vegas Aces L 66-80 1545.55 1628.52 40.67% 59.33% -18.07 4-2
2024-05-31 Phoenix Mercury W 95-71 1527.48 1411.78 68.27% 31.73% +18.45 5-2
2024-06-02 Dallas Wings W 87-76 1545.93 1531.01 54.64% 45.36% +17.86 6-2
2024-06-05 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 86-62 1563.79 1405.21 69.27% 30.73% +17.87 7-2
2024-06-07 @ Phoenix Mercury L 80-81 1581.66 1402.42 71.74% 28.26% -8.51 7-3
2024-06-09 Seattle Storm W 83-64 1573.15 1547.48 56.16% 43.84% +22.68 8-3
2024-06-11 @ Las Vegas Aces W 100-86 1595.83 1598.36 47.14% 52.86% +23.48 9-3
2024-06-14 Los Angeles Sparks W 81-76 1619.31 1411.35 78.54% 21.46% +5.69 10-3
2024-06-17 Dallas Wings W 90-78 1625.00 1429.06 77.35% 22.65% +9.32 11-3
2024-06-19 Atlanta Dream W 68-55 1634.32 1448.50 76.31% 23.69% +10.14 12-3
2024-06-22 Phoenix Mercury W 73-60 1644.46 1468.63 75.25% 24.75% +10.59 13-3
2024-06-27 @ Dallas Wings L 88-94 1655.05 1355.59 83.53% 16.47% -24.29 13-4
2024-06-30 @ Chicago Sky W 70-62 1630.76 1449.75 71.95% 28.05% +9.42 14-4
2024-07-02 @ New York Liberty L 67-76 1640.18 1686.83 40.89% 59.11% -14.56 14-5
2024-07-04 Connecticut Sun L 73-78 1625.62 1615.04 54.02% 45.98% -14.34 14-6
2024-07-06 Washington Mystics W 74-67 1611.28 1402.12 78.65% 21.35% +6.71 15-6
2024-07-09 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 82-67 1617.99 1356.64 80.29% 19.71% +9.06 16-6
2024-07-12 @ Seattle Storm L 63-91 1627.05 1566.84 56.13% 43.87% -35.26 16-7
2024-07-14 Indiana Fever L 74-81 1591.79 1446.80 71.80% 28.20% -22.55 16-8
2024-07-17 Atlanta Dream W 86-79 1569.24 1353.67 79.27% 20.73% +6.51 17-8
2024-08-15 Washington Mystics W 79-68 1575.75 1386.09 76.71% 23.29% +9.17 18-8
2024-08-17 @ Washington Mystics W 99-83 1584.92 1376.92 74.97% 25.03% +11.89 19-8
2024-08-21 @ Las Vegas Aces W 98-87 1596.81 1631.75 42.52% 57.48% +22.62 20-8
2024-08-23 Las Vegas Aces W 87-74 1619.43 1609.12 53.98% 46.02% +19.70 21-8
2024-08-24 Indiana Fever W 90-80 1639.13 1498.07 71.34% 28.66% +10.76 22-8
2024-08-28 @ Phoenix Mercury W 89-76 1649.89 1472.12 71.57% 28.43% +12.16 23-8
2024-08-30 @ Dallas Wings L 76-94 1662.05 1348.77 84.60% 15.40% -42.60 23-9
2024-09-01 Chicago Sky W 79-74 1619.45 1392.93 80.28% 19.72% +5.23 24-9
2024-09-06 @ Indiana Fever W 99-88 1624.68 1550.13 58.15% 41.85% +16.48 25-9
2024-09-08 @ Washington Mystics W 78-71 1641.16 1426.22 75.72% 24.28% +7.63 26-9
2024-09-10 @ Atlanta Dream W 76-64 1648.79 1401.30 78.99% 21.01% +8.63 27-9
2024-09-13 Chicago Sky W 83-66 1657.42 1378.46 84.63% 15.37% +7.52 28-9
2024-09-15 @ New York Liberty W 88-79 1664.94 1751.96 35.41% 64.59% +23.00 29-9
2024-09-17 @ Connecticut Sun W 78-76 1687.94 1615.43 57.87% 42.13% +7.08 30-9
2024-09-19 Los Angeles Sparks L 51-68 1695.02 1256.75 93.23% 6.77% -45.63 30-10
2024-05-14 @ Washington Mystics W 85-80 1602.26 1484.29 64.08% 35.92% +9.53 1-0
2024-05-16 @ Indiana Fever W 102-66 1611.79 1428.27 72.24% 27.76% +19.77 2-0
2024-05-18 Indiana Fever W 91-80 1631.56 1408.50 79.97% 20.03% +7.89 3-0
2024-05-20 Seattle Storm W 74-63 1639.45 1429.57 78.72% 21.28% +8.37 4-0
2024-05-23 Chicago Sky L 81-90 1647.82 1505.27 71.52% 28.48% -25.46 4-1
2024-05-25 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-84 1622.36 1493.09 65.57% 34.43% -32.09 4-2
2024-05-29 Phoenix Mercury W 81-78 1590.27 1416.92 74.99% 25.01% +5.14 5-2
2024-05-31 Washington Mystics W 90-79 1595.41 1381.24 79.13% 20.87% +8.21 6-2
2024-06-02 Indiana Fever W 104-68 1603.62 1369.37 80.98% 19.02% +13.55 7-2
2024-06-04 @ Chicago Sky W 88-75 1617.17 1505.44 63.25% 36.75% +15.73 8-2
2024-06-06 @ Atlanta Dream W 78-61 1632.90 1480.70 68.48% 31.52% +15.42 9-2
2024-06-08 @ Connecticut Sun W 82-75 1648.32 1643.82 48.15% 51.85% +16.29 10-2
2024-06-09 Washington Mystics W 93-88 1664.61 1344.38 87.47% 12.53% +3.32 11-2
2024-06-15 @ Las Vegas Aces W 90-82 1667.93 1582.59 59.66% 40.34% +13.55 12-2
2024-06-18 @ Phoenix Mercury L 93-99 1681.48 1446.01 77.82% 22.18% -22.63 12-3
2024-06-20 Los Angeles Sparks W 93-80 1658.85 1381.14 84.54% 15.46% +6.62 13-3
2024-06-22 Los Angeles Sparks W 98-88 1665.47 1374.52 85.51% 14.49% +5.44 14-3
2024-06-23 @ Atlanta Dream W 96-75 1670.91 1415.11 79.78% 20.22% +11.00 15-3
2024-06-30 Atlanta Dream W 81-75 1681.91 1422.96 83.07% 16.93% +4.92 16-3
2024-07-02 Minnesota Lynx W 76-67 1686.83 1640.18 59.11% 40.89% +14.56 17-3
2024-07-06 @ Indiana Fever L 78-83 1701.39 1421.00 81.96% 18.04% -21.75 17-4
2024-07-10 @ Connecticut Sun W 71-68 1679.64 1637.33 53.58% 46.42% +9.54 18-4
2024-07-11 Chicago Sky W 91-76 1689.18 1471.44 79.47% 20.53% +9.44 19-4
2024-07-13 @ Chicago Sky W 81-67 1698.62 1462.00 77.94% 22.06% +9.80 20-4
2024-07-16 Connecticut Sun W 82-74 1708.42 1643.79 61.59% 38.41% +12.89 21-4
2024-08-15 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 103-68 1721.31 1355.96 88.11% 11.89% +8.35 22-4
2024-08-17 @ Las Vegas Aces W 79-67 1729.66 1641.11 60.10% 39.90% +16.41 23-4
2024-08-20 Dallas Wings W 94-74 1746.07 1329.22 92.41% 7.59% +4.03 24-4
2024-08-22 Dallas Wings W 79-71 1750.10 1325.19 92.73% 7.27% +2.44 25-4
2024-08-24 Connecticut Sun L 64-72 1752.54 1615.24 70.90% 29.10% -23.81 25-5
2024-08-26 @ Phoenix Mercury W 84-70 1728.73 1481.46 78.97% 21.03% +9.34 26-5
2024-08-28 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 88-94 1738.07 1304.24 91.66% 8.34% -26.65 26-6
2024-08-30 @ Seattle Storm W 98-85 1711.42 1569.71 67.16% 32.84% +14.05 27-6
2024-09-05 Seattle Storm W 77-70 1725.47 1564.90 73.58% 26.42% +8.30 28-6
2024-09-08 Las Vegas Aces W 75-71 1733.77 1629.72 66.80% 33.20% +7.88 29-6
2024-09-10 @ Dallas Wings W 105-91 1741.65 1332.34 90.52% 9.48% +4.21 30-6
2024-09-12 @ Dallas Wings W 99-67 1745.86 1328.12 90.93% 9.07% +6.10 31-6
2024-09-15 Minnesota Lynx L 79-88 1751.96 1664.94 64.59% 35.41% -23.00 31-7
2024-09-17 @ Washington Mystics W 87-71 1728.96 1448.71 81.95% 18.05% +8.57 32-7
2024-09-19 Atlanta Dream L 67-78 1737.53 1416.63 87.52% 12.48% -34.46 32-8
2024-05-14 @ Las Vegas Aces L 80-89 1406.48 1633.78 19.65% 80.35% -6.99 0-1
2024-05-18 Atlanta Dream W 88-85 1399.49 1488.86 39.79% 60.21% +12.37 1-1
2024-05-21 @ Las Vegas Aces W 98-88 1411.86 1648.22 18.84% 81.16% +30.47 2-1
2024-05-23 Washington Mystics W 83-80 1442.33 1434.36 53.64% 46.36% +9.53 3-1
2024-05-25 Dallas Wings L 92-107 1451.86 1512.46 43.81% 56.19% -20.14 3-2
2024-05-28 @ Connecticut Sun L 47-70 1431.72 1596.04 26.00% 74.00% -14.80 3-3
2024-05-29 @ New York Liberty L 78-81 1416.92 1590.27 25.01% 74.99% -5.14 3-4
2024-05-31 @ Minnesota Lynx L 71-95 1411.78 1527.48 31.73% 68.27% -18.46 3-5
2024-06-02 Los Angeles Sparks W 87-68 1393.32 1432.72 46.84% 53.16% +27.51 4-5
2024-06-04 @ Seattle Storm L 62-80 1420.83 1499.19 36.56% 63.44% -18.41 4-6
2024-06-07 Minnesota Lynx W 81-80 1402.42 1581.66 28.26% 71.74% +8.52 5-6
2024-06-09 @ Dallas Wings W 97-90 1410.94 1474.70 38.53% 61.47% +19.30 6-6
2024-06-13 Las Vegas Aces L 99-103 1430.24 1574.88 32.46% 67.54% -7.71 6-7
2024-06-16 Seattle Storm W 87-78 1422.53 1554.51 34.08% 65.92% +23.48 7-7
2024-06-18 New York Liberty W 99-93 1446.01 1681.48 22.18% 77.82% +22.62 8-7
2024-06-22 @ Minnesota Lynx L 60-73 1468.63 1644.46 24.75% 75.25% -10.59 8-8
2024-06-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 92-78 1458.04 1369.08 64.84% 35.16% +15.62 9-8
2024-06-30 Indiana Fever L 82-88 1473.66 1414.87 60.79% 39.21% -17.68 9-9
2024-07-01 Connecticut Sun L 72-83 1455.98 1602.35 32.25% 67.75% -12.69 9-10
2024-07-03 @ Dallas Wings W 104-96 1443.29 1353.39 60.29% 39.71% +13.33 10-10
2024-07-07 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 84-78 1456.62 1368.25 60.08% 39.92% +11.61 11-10
2024-07-10 Dallas Wings W 100-84 1468.23 1343.72 69.36% 30.64% +14.55 12-10
2024-07-12 @ Indiana Fever L 86-95 1482.78 1427.04 55.50% 44.50% -19.76 12-11
2024-07-14 @ Connecticut Sun L 69-96 1463.02 1627.78 25.95% 74.05% -16.01 12-12
2024-07-16 @ Washington Mystics W 96-87 1447.01 1402.51 53.89% 46.11% +16.42 13-12
2024-08-15 @ Chicago Sky W 85-65 1463.43 1478.82 45.30% 54.70% +29.04 14-12
2024-08-16 @ Indiana Fever L 89-98 1492.47 1446.26 54.14% 45.86% -19.28 14-13
2024-08-18 Chicago Sky W 86-68 1473.19 1458.81 54.56% 45.44% +22.88 15-13
2024-08-21 @ Atlanta Dream L 63-72 1496.07 1394.38 61.90% 38.10% -22.04 15-14
2024-08-23 @ Atlanta Dream W 82-80 1474.03 1416.42 55.76% 44.24% +7.43 16-14
2024-08-26 New York Liberty L 70-84 1481.46 1728.73 21.03% 78.97% -9.34 16-15
2024-08-28 Minnesota Lynx L 76-89 1472.12 1649.89 28.43% 71.57% -12.17 16-16
2024-09-01 Las Vegas Aces L 79-97 1459.95 1587.39 34.67% 65.33% -17.46 16-17
2024-09-03 Atlanta Dream W 74-66 1442.49 1405.28 57.79% 42.21% +14.17 17-17
2024-09-05 Washington Mystics L 77-90 1456.66 1400.35 60.45% 39.55% -25.87 17-18
2024-09-07 @ Seattle Storm L 66-90 1430.79 1556.61 30.48% 69.52% -17.73 17-19
2024-09-13 Connecticut Sun L 69-88 1413.06 1622.16 24.91% 75.09% -12.88 17-20
2024-09-15 @ Chicago Sky W 93-88 1400.18 1370.94 51.70% 48.30% +12.81 18-20
2024-09-17 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 85-81 1412.99 1264.34 68.04% 31.96% +7.59 19-20
2024-09-19 Seattle Storm L 70-89 1420.58 1568.24 32.09% 67.91% -16.60 19-21
2024-05-14 Minnesota Lynx L 70-83 1443.19 1462.22 49.76% 50.24% -21.29 0-1
2024-05-17 @ Minnesota Lynx L 93-102 1421.90 1483.52 38.82% 61.18% -13.83 0-2
2024-05-19 @ Washington Mystics W 84-75 1408.07 1463.69 39.64% 60.36% +21.50 1-2
2024-05-20 @ New York Liberty L 63-74 1429.57 1639.45 21.28% 78.72% -8.38 1-3
2024-05-22 Indiana Fever W 85-83 1421.19 1393.75 56.42% 43.58% +7.31 2-3
2024-05-25 Washington Mystics W 101-69 1428.50 1424.83 53.03% 46.97% +31.55 3-3
2024-05-28 @ Chicago Sky W 77-68 1460.05 1520.13 39.03% 60.97% +21.71 4-3
2024-05-30 @ Indiana Fever W 103-88 1481.76 1378.67 62.09% 37.91% +17.43 5-3
2024-06-04 Phoenix Mercury W 80-62 1499.19 1420.83 63.44% 36.56% +18.41 6-3
2024-06-07 @ Las Vegas Aces W 78-65 1517.60 1646.00 30.17% 69.83% +29.88 7-3
2024-06-09 @ Minnesota Lynx L 64-83 1547.48 1573.15 43.84% 56.16% -22.68 7-4
2024-06-11 Los Angeles Sparks W 95-79 1524.80 1427.53 65.93% 34.07% +16.18 8-4
2024-06-13 @ Dallas Wings W 92-84 1540.98 1455.40 59.69% 40.31% +13.53 9-4
2024-06-16 @ Phoenix Mercury L 78-87 1554.51 1422.53 65.92% 34.08% -23.47 9-5
2024-06-19 @ Las Vegas Aces L 83-94 1531.04 1569.04 42.09% 57.91% -16.57 9-6
2024-06-23 Connecticut Sun W 72-61 1514.47 1641.47 34.73% 65.27% +25.69 10-6
2024-06-27 Indiana Fever W 89-77 1540.16 1428.10 67.81% 32.19% +13.24 11-6
2024-06-29 Dallas Wings W 97-76 1553.40 1379.87 75.01% 24.99% +13.59 12-6
2024-07-01 Dallas Wings W 95-71 1566.99 1366.28 77.83% 22.17% +12.90 13-6
2024-07-05 Chicago Sky L 84-88 1579.89 1456.89 69.17% 30.83% -16.42 13-7
2024-07-07 Chicago Sky W 84-71 1563.47 1473.31 65.00% 35.00% +14.98 14-7
2024-07-10 Las Vegas Aces L 79-84 1578.45 1639.55 43.74% 56.26% -11.61 14-8
2024-07-12 Minnesota Lynx W 91-63 1566.84 1627.05 43.87% 56.13% +35.25 15-8
2024-07-14 Atlanta Dream W 81-70 1602.09 1360.92 81.58% 18.42% +7.25 16-8
2024-07-16 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 89-83 1609.34 1362.07 78.97% 21.03% +6.12 17-8
2024-08-16 @ Atlanta Dream L 81-83 1615.46 1347.16 80.91% 19.09% -13.59 17-9
2024-08-18 @ Indiana Fever L 75-92 1601.87 1465.54 66.48% 33.52% -32.53 17-10
2024-08-20 @ Washington Mystics W 83-77 1569.34 1365.04 74.57% 25.43% +7.39 18-10
2024-08-26 Washington Mystics L 72-74 1576.73 1370.16 78.40% 21.60% -13.16 18-11
2024-08-28 Atlanta Dream W 85-81 1563.57 1398.03 74.14% 25.86% +6.14 19-11
2024-08-30 New York Liberty L 85-98 1569.71 1711.42 32.84% 67.16% -14.05 19-12
2024-09-01 @ Connecticut Sun L 86-93 1555.66 1632.24 36.80% 63.20% -11.56 19-13
2024-09-03 @ Connecticut Sun W 71-64 1544.10 1643.80 33.76% 66.24% +20.80 20-13
2024-09-05 @ New York Liberty L 70-77 1564.90 1725.47 26.42% 73.58% -8.29 20-14
2024-09-07 Phoenix Mercury W 90-66 1556.61 1430.79 69.52% 30.48% +17.72 21-14
2024-09-11 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 90-82 1574.33 1272.43 83.72% 16.28% +5.47 22-14
2024-09-13 @ Dallas Wings W 83-81 1579.80 1322.03 79.96% 20.04% +3.36 23-14
2024-09-15 Los Angeles Sparks W 90-87 1583.16 1266.96 87.22% 12.78% +2.63 24-14
2024-09-17 Las Vegas Aces L 72-85 1585.79 1666.26 41.02% 58.98% -17.55 24-15
2024-09-19 @ Phoenix Mercury W 89-70 1568.24 1420.58 67.91% 32.09% +16.60 25-15
2024-05-14 New York Liberty L 80-85 1484.29 1602.26 35.92% 64.08% -9.54 0-1
2024-05-17 @ Connecticut Sun L 77-84 1474.75 1563.27 35.21% 64.79% -11.06 0-2
2024-05-19 Seattle Storm L 75-84 1463.69 1408.07 60.36% 39.64% -21.49 0-3
2024-05-21 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 68-70 1442.20 1447.68 46.71% 53.29% -7.84 0-4
2024-05-23 @ Phoenix Mercury L 80-83 1434.36 1442.33 46.36% 53.64% -9.53 0-5
2024-05-25 @ Seattle Storm L 69-101 1424.83 1428.50 46.97% 53.03% -31.54 0-6
2024-05-29 Atlanta Dream L 67-73 1393.29 1470.64 41.46% 58.54% -12.05 0-7
2024-05-31 @ New York Liberty L 79-90 1381.24 1595.41 20.87% 79.13% -8.22 0-8
2024-06-04 @ Connecticut Sun L 59-76 1373.02 1635.68 16.63% 83.37% -8.14 0-9
2024-06-06 Chicago Sky L 71-79 1364.88 1489.71 35.01% 64.99% -11.75 0-10
2024-06-07 Indiana Fever L 83-85 1353.13 1355.83 52.11% 47.89% -8.75 0-11
2024-06-09 @ New York Liberty L 88-93 1344.38 1664.61 12.53% 87.47% -3.33 0-12
2024-06-11 @ Atlanta Dream W 87-68 1341.05 1485.80 28.22% 71.78% +37.14 1-12
2024-06-14 Chicago Sky W 83-81 1378.19 1470.46 39.39% 60.61% +10.18 2-12
2024-06-19 @ Indiana Fever L 81-88 1388.37 1395.48 46.48% 53.52% -14.60 2-13
2024-06-22 Dallas Wings W 97-69 1373.77 1402.20 48.41% 51.59% +32.40 3-13
2024-06-23 Dallas Wings W 92-84 1406.17 1369.80 57.68% 42.32% +14.21 4-13
2024-06-27 Connecticut Sun L 91-94 1420.38 1615.77 26.41% 73.59% -5.43 4-14
2024-06-29 Las Vegas Aces L 77-88 1414.95 1622.05 25.12% 74.88% -9.89 4-15
2024-07-02 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 82-80 1405.06 1353.47 54.91% 45.09% +7.57 5-15
2024-07-04 @ Las Vegas Aces L 77-98 1412.63 1643.48 19.33% 80.67% -10.51 5-16
2024-07-06 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-74 1402.12 1611.28 21.35% 78.65% -6.71 5-17
2024-07-10 @ Indiana Fever W 89-84 1395.41 1442.76 40.79% 59.21% +15.72 6-17
2024-07-14 Las Vegas Aces L 77-89 1411.13 1659.10 20.96% 79.04% -8.62 6-18
2024-07-16 Phoenix Mercury L 87-96 1402.51 1447.01 46.11% 53.89% -16.42 6-19
2024-08-15 @ Minnesota Lynx L 68-79 1386.09 1575.75 23.29% 76.71% -9.17 6-20
2024-08-17 Minnesota Lynx L 83-99 1376.92 1584.92 25.03% 74.97% -11.88 6-21
2024-08-20 Seattle Storm L 77-83 1365.04 1569.34 25.43% 74.57% -7.39 6-22
2024-08-23 Los Angeles Sparks W 80-74 1357.65 1326.25 56.97% 43.03% +12.51 7-22
2024-08-26 @ Seattle Storm W 74-72 1370.16 1576.73 21.60% 78.40% +13.16 8-22
2024-08-28 @ Chicago Sky W 74-70 1383.32 1426.58 41.36% 58.64% +13.92 9-22
2024-08-31 Connecticut Sun L 85-96 1397.24 1623.13 23.14% 76.86% -9.11 9-23
2024-09-03 @ Dallas Wings W 90-86 1388.13 1381.10 48.51% 51.49% +12.22 10-23
2024-09-05 @ Phoenix Mercury W 90-77 1400.35 1456.66 39.55% 60.45% +25.87 11-23
2024-09-08 Minnesota Lynx L 71-78 1426.22 1641.16 24.28% 75.72% -7.62 11-24
2024-09-11 @ Chicago Sky W 89-58 1418.60 1412.59 48.36% 51.64% +34.12 12-24
2024-09-13 @ Atlanta Dream W 72-69 1452.72 1392.67 56.11% 43.89% +9.03 13-24
2024-09-15 Atlanta Dream L 73-76 1461.75 1383.64 63.41% 36.59% -13.04 13-25
2024-09-17 New York Liberty L 71-87 1448.71 1728.96 18.05% 81.95% -8.57 13-26
2024-09-19 Indiana Fever W 92-91 1440.14 1518.78 41.28% 58.72% +6.97 14-26

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2024-09-22 @ New York Liberty L 69-83 1451.08 1703.07 17.50% 82.50% -7.77 0-1
2024-09-24 @ New York Liberty L 82-91 1443.31 1710.84 16.24% 83.76% -5.79 0-2
2024-09-22 Indiana Fever W 93-69 1619.29 1511.81 67.24% 32.76% +19.06 1-0
2024-09-25 Indiana Fever W 87-81 1638.35 1492.76 71.87% 28.13% +8.18 2-0
2024-09-29 @ Minnesota Lynx W 73-70 1646.53 1662.38 45.23% 54.77% +11.26 3-0
2024-10-01 @ Minnesota Lynx L 70-77 1657.79 1651.12 48.46% 51.54% -15.22 3-1
2024-10-04 Minnesota Lynx L 81-90 1642.57 1666.34 49.08% 50.92% -17.48 3-2
2024-10-06 Minnesota Lynx W 92-82 1625.09 1683.81 44.08% 55.92% +20.99 4-2
2024-10-08 @ Minnesota Lynx L 77-88 1646.08 1662.82 45.10% 54.90% -17.76 4-3
2024-09-22 @ Connecticut Sun L 69-93 1511.81 1619.29 32.76% 67.24% -19.05 0-1
2024-09-25 @ Connecticut Sun L 81-87 1492.76 1638.35 28.13% 71.87% -8.18 0-2
2024-09-22 Seattle Storm W 78-67 1688.18 1584.84 66.71% 33.29% +13.10 1-0
2024-09-24 Seattle Storm W 83-76 1701.28 1571.73 69.97% 30.03% +9.43 2-0
2024-09-29 @ New York Liberty L 77-87 1710.71 1716.63 46.65% 53.35% -17.51 2-1
2024-10-01 @ New York Liberty L 84-88 1693.20 1734.14 41.68% 58.32% -9.89 2-2
2024-10-04 New York Liberty W 95-81 1683.31 1744.04 43.80% 56.20% +24.96 3-2
2024-10-06 New York Liberty L 62-76 1708.27 1719.07 50.95% 49.05% -22.63 3-3
2024-09-22 Phoenix Mercury W 102-95 1649.39 1403.98 81.95% 18.05% +5.67 1-0
2024-09-25 Phoenix Mercury W 101-88 1655.06 1398.31 82.89% 17.11% +7.32 2-0
2024-09-29 Connecticut Sun L 70-73 1662.38 1646.53 54.77% 45.23% -11.26 2-1
2024-10-01 Connecticut Sun W 77-70 1651.12 1657.79 51.54% 48.46% +15.22 3-1
2024-10-04 @ Connecticut Sun W 90-81 1666.34 1642.57 50.92% 49.08% +17.47 4-1
2024-10-06 @ Connecticut Sun L 82-92 1683.81 1625.09 55.92% 44.08% -20.99 4-2
2024-10-08 Connecticut Sun W 88-77 1662.82 1646.08 54.90% 45.10% +17.76 5-2
2024-10-10 @ New York Liberty W 95-93 1680.58 1741.70 38.89% 61.11% +10.26 6-2
2024-10-13 @ New York Liberty L 66-80 1690.84 1731.44 41.73% 58.27% -18.53 6-3
2024-10-16 New York Liberty L 77-80 1672.31 1749.98 41.41% 58.59% -8.52 6-4
2024-10-18 New York Liberty W 82-80 1663.79 1758.49 39.05% 60.95% +10.23 7-4
2024-10-20 @ New York Liberty L 62-67 1674.02 1748.26 37.11% 62.89% -9.85 7-5
2024-09-22 Atlanta Dream W 83-69 1703.07 1451.08 82.50% 17.50% +7.77 1-0
2024-09-24 Atlanta Dream W 91-82 1710.84 1443.31 83.76% 16.24% +5.79 2-0
2024-09-29 Las Vegas Aces W 87-77 1716.63 1710.71 53.35% 46.65% +17.51 3-0
2024-10-01 Las Vegas Aces W 88-84 1734.14 1693.20 58.32% 41.68% +9.90 4-0
2024-10-04 @ Las Vegas Aces L 81-95 1744.04 1683.31 56.20% 43.80% -24.97 4-1
2024-10-06 @ Las Vegas Aces W 76-62 1719.07 1708.27 49.05% 50.95% +22.63 5-1
2024-10-10 Minnesota Lynx L 93-95 1741.70 1680.58 61.11% 38.89% -10.26 5-2
2024-10-13 Minnesota Lynx W 80-66 1731.44 1690.84 58.27% 41.73% +18.54 6-2
2024-10-16 @ Minnesota Lynx W 80-77 1749.98 1672.31 58.59% 41.41% +8.51 7-2
2024-10-18 @ Minnesota Lynx L 80-82 1758.49 1663.79 60.95% 39.05% -10.23 7-3
2024-10-20 Minnesota Lynx W 67-62 1748.26 1674.02 62.89% 37.11% +9.85 8-3
2024-09-22 @ Minnesota Lynx L 95-102 1403.98 1649.39 18.05% 81.95% -5.67 0-1
2024-09-25 @ Minnesota Lynx L 88-101 1398.31 1655.06 17.11% 82.89% -7.32 0-2
2024-09-22 @ Las Vegas Aces L 67-78 1584.84 1688.18 33.29% 66.71% -13.11 0-1
2024-09-24 @ Las Vegas Aces L 76-83 1571.73 1701.28 30.03% 69.97% -9.43 0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2024-09-19 6.77% Los Angeles Sparks 1256.75 68 @ Minnesota Lynx 1695.02 51
2 2024-08-28 8.34% @ Los Angeles Sparks 1304.24 94 New York Liberty 1738.07 88
3 2024-09-19 12.48% Atlanta Dream 1416.63 78 @ New York Liberty 1737.53 67
4 2024-08-30 15.40% @ Dallas Wings 1348.77 94 Minnesota Lynx 1662.05 76
5 2024-07-05 15.80% @ Los Angeles Sparks 1345.90 98 Las Vegas Aces 1653.99 93
6 2024-06-27 16.47% @ Dallas Wings 1355.59 94 Minnesota Lynx 1655.05 88
7 2024-07-06 18.04% @ Indiana Fever 1421.00 83 New York Liberty 1701.39 78
8 2024-08-18 18.18% @ Atlanta Dream 1360.74 82 Connecticut Sun 1639.44 70
9 2024-05-21 18.84% Phoenix Mercury 1411.86 98 @ Las Vegas Aces 1648.22 88
10 2024-08-16 19.09% @ Atlanta Dream 1347.16 83 Seattle Storm 1615.46 81
11 2024-08-27 19.62% @ Dallas Wings 1332.25 93 Las Vegas Aces 1594.60 90
12 2024-06-28 20.59% Atlanta Dream 1404.11 78 @ Connecticut Sun 1621.20 74
13 2024-07-16 20.74% Chicago Sky 1452.20 93 @ Las Vegas Aces 1667.72 85
14 2024-08-26 21.60% Washington Mystics 1370.16 74 @ Seattle Storm 1576.73 72
15 2024-06-18 22.18% @ Phoenix Mercury 1446.01 99 New York Liberty 1681.48 93
16 2024-06-09 25.21% @ Los Angeles Sparks 1409.78 96 Las Vegas Aces 1616.12 92
17 2024-07-14 28.20% Indiana Fever 1446.80 81 @ Minnesota Lynx 1591.79 74
18 2024-06-11 28.22% Washington Mystics 1341.05 87 @ Atlanta Dream 1485.80 68
19 2024-06-07 28.26% @ Phoenix Mercury 1402.42 81 Minnesota Lynx 1581.66 80
20 2024-05-23 28.48% Chicago Sky 1505.27 90 @ New York Liberty 1647.82 81
21 2024-08-24 29.10% Connecticut Sun 1615.24 72 @ New York Liberty 1752.54 64
22 2024-05-31 30.08% @ Atlanta Dream 1482.70 78 Las Vegas Aces 1646.58 74
23 2024-06-07 30.17% Seattle Storm 1517.60 78 @ Las Vegas Aces 1646.00 65
24 2024-07-05 30.83% Chicago Sky 1456.89 88 @ Seattle Storm 1579.89 84
25 2024-07-17 31.21% @ Dallas Wings 1314.67 101 Indiana Fever 1469.35 93

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-09-19 45.63 Los Angeles Sparks 68 1256.75 6.77% @ Minnesota Lynx 51 1695.02 93.23%
2 2024-08-30 42.61 @ Dallas Wings 94 1348.77 15.40% Minnesota Lynx 76 1662.05 84.60%
3 2024-06-11 37.14 Washington Mystics 87 1341.05 28.22% @ Atlanta Dream 68 1485.80 71.78%
4 2024-07-12 35.26 @ Seattle Storm 91 1566.84 43.87% Minnesota Lynx 63 1627.05 56.13%
5 2024-09-19 34.46 Atlanta Dream 78 1416.63 12.48% @ New York Liberty 67 1737.53 87.52%
6 2024-09-11 34.13 Washington Mystics 89 1418.60 48.36% @ Chicago Sky 58 1412.59 51.64%
7 2024-08-18 33.64 @ Atlanta Dream 82 1360.74 18.18% Connecticut Sun 70 1639.44 81.82%
8 2024-08-18 32.53 @ Indiana Fever 92 1465.54 33.52% Seattle Storm 75 1601.87 66.48%
9 2024-06-22 32.40 @ Washington Mystics 97 1373.77 48.41% Dallas Wings 69 1402.20 51.59%
10 2024-05-25 32.09 @ Minnesota Lynx 84 1493.09 34.43% New York Liberty 67 1622.36 65.57%
11 2024-05-25 31.55 @ Seattle Storm 101 1428.50 53.03% Washington Mystics 69 1424.83 46.97%
12 2024-05-21 30.47 Phoenix Mercury 98 1411.86 18.84% @ Las Vegas Aces 88 1648.22 81.16%
13 2024-06-07 29.88 Seattle Storm 78 1517.60 30.17% @ Las Vegas Aces 65 1646.00 69.83%
14 2024-08-15 29.04 Phoenix Mercury 85 1463.43 45.30% @ Chicago Sky 65 1478.82 54.70%
15 2024-06-02 27.51 @ Phoenix Mercury 87 1393.32 46.84% Los Angeles Sparks 68 1432.72 53.16%
16 2024-08-28 26.65 @ Los Angeles Sparks 94 1304.24 8.34% New York Liberty 88 1738.07 91.66%
17 2024-07-16 26.62 Chicago Sky 93 1452.20 20.74% @ Las Vegas Aces 85 1667.72 79.26%
18 2024-09-05 25.87 Washington Mystics 90 1400.35 39.55% @ Phoenix Mercury 77 1456.66 60.45%
19 2024-06-23 25.70 @ Seattle Storm 72 1514.47 34.73% Connecticut Sun 61 1641.47 65.27%
20 2024-05-23 25.46 Chicago Sky 90 1505.27 28.48% @ New York Liberty 81 1647.82 71.52%
21 2024-10-04 * 24.97 @ Las Vegas Aces 95 1683.31 43.80% New York Liberty 81 1744.04 56.20%
22 2024-06-27 24.29 @ Dallas Wings 94 1355.59 16.47% Minnesota Lynx 88 1655.05 83.53%
23 2024-08-24 23.81 Connecticut Sun 72 1615.24 29.10% @ New York Liberty 64 1752.54 70.90%
24 2024-06-11 23.48 Minnesota Lynx 100 1595.83 47.14% @ Las Vegas Aces 86 1598.36 52.86%
25 2024-06-16 23.48 @ Phoenix Mercury 87 1422.53 34.08% Seattle Storm 78 1554.51 65.92%