Home / Leagues / WNBA / 2023

2023 WNBA Season

240 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Las Vegas Aces

2nd Title

Last Title: 2022

Runner-Up

New York Liberty

5

Last Appearance: 2002

Biggest Overachiever

New York Liberty

6.18 wins above expected

32 wins · 25.82 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Seattle Storm

5.14 wins below expected

11 wins · 16.14 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Las Vegas Aces League 34 6 .850 92.8 80.3 +12.5 31.36 +2.64
2 New York Liberty Playoffs 32 8 .800 2 89.2 80.5 +8.7 25.82 +6.18
3 Connecticut Sun Playoffs 27 13 .675 7 82.7 79.0 +3.7 27.30 -0.30
4 Dallas Wings Playoffs 22 18 .550 12 87.8 84.9 +2.9 21.66 +0.34
5 Minnesota Lynx Playoffs 19 21 .475 15 80.2 85.0 -4.8 16.71 +2.29
6 Washington Mystics Playoffs 19 21 .475 15 80.5 80.9 -0.3 20.53 -1.53
7 Atlanta Dream Playoffs 19 21 .475 15 82.5 84.0 -1.5 18.89 +0.11
8 Chicago Sky Playoffs 18 22 .450 16 81.7 83.3 -1.6 19.48 -1.48
9 Los Angeles Sparks 17 23 .425 17 78.9 80.5 -1.6 16.58 +0.42
10 Indiana Fever 13 27 .325 21 81.0 85.0 -4.0 12.00 +1.00
11 Seattle Storm 11 29 .275 23 78.8 84.5 -5.6 16.14 -5.14
12 Phoenix Mercury 9 31 .225 25 76.6 84.9 -8.3 13.53 -4.53

Playoff Bracket

WNBA Playoffs

Quarterfinals

Connecticut Sun 2
Minnesota Lynx 1

3 games · Sep 13–Sep 20

Las Vegas Aces 2
Chicago Sky 0

2 games · Sep 13–Sep 17

New York Liberty 2
Washington Mystics 0

2 games · Sep 15–Sep 19

Dallas Wings 2
Atlanta Dream 0

2 games · Sep 15–Sep 19

Semifinals

New York Liberty 3
Connecticut Sun 1

4 games · Sep 24–Oct 1

Las Vegas Aces 3
Dallas Wings 0

3 games · Sep 24–Sep 29

WNBA Finals

Las Vegas Aces 3
New York Liberty 1

4 games · Oct 8–Oct 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
New York Liberty 1755 32 25.82 +6.18 99.34% 15 21 24 26 28 30 37
Las Vegas Aces 1739 34 31.36 +2.64 89.89% 21 27 30 31 33 35 40
Connecticut Sun 1597 27 27.30 -0.30 52.24% 16 23 25 27 29 32 36
Dallas Wings 1567 22 21.66 +0.34 61.79% 11 17 20 22 24 26 32
Chicago Sky 1514 18 19.48 -1.48 37.13% 9 15 17 19 21 24 30
Washington Mystics 1473 19 20.53 -1.53 36.00% 9 16 18 21 23 25 30
Atlanta Dream 1457 19 18.89 +0.11 58.54% 7 14 17 19 21 24 30
Los Angeles Sparks 1444 17 16.58 +0.42 62.38% 6 12 15 17 19 22 29
Minnesota Lynx 1432 19 16.71 +2.29 82.91% 6 12 15 17 19 22 26
Indiana Fever 1373 13 12.00 +1.00 71.27% 3 8 10 12 14 17 24
Seattle Storm 1365 11 16.14 -5.14 5.70% 4 11 14 16 18 21 27
Phoenix Mercury 1285 9 13.53 -4.53 7.42% 4 9 12 13 15 18 25

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team Dream Sky Sun Wings Fever Aces Sparks Lynx Liberty Mercury Storm Mystics
Atlanta Dream
4-0
(1.8 exp.)
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
0-3
(1.3 exp.)
2-2
(2.7 exp.)
0-4
(0.8 exp.)
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
3-1
(1.7 exp.)
Chicago Sky
0-4
(2.2 exp.)
1-3
(1.1 exp.)
3-0
(1.2 exp.)
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
0-3
(0.6 exp.)
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
0-4
(2.1 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
3-1
(2.9 exp.)
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
4-0
(3.3 exp.)
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
3-0
(2.1 exp.)
3-1
(3.0 exp.)
0-4
(2.1 exp.)
1-2
(2.5 exp.)
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
4-0
(2.6 exp.)
Dallas Wings
3-0
(1.7 exp.)
0-3
(1.8 exp.)
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
2-1
(2.3 exp.)
1-3
(0.9 exp.)
1-3
(2.4 exp.)
2-2
(2.6 exp.)
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
4-0
(2.7 exp.)
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
Indiana Fever
2-2
(1.3 exp.)
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
0-4
(0.7 exp.)
1-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-3
(0.4 exp.)
0-3
(1.3 exp.)
3-1
(1.3 exp.)
0-4
(0.8 exp.)
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-2
(1.1 exp.)
Las Vegas Aces
4-0
(3.2 exp.)
3-0
(2.4 exp.)
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
3-1
(3.1 exp.)
3-0
(2.6 exp.)
3-1
(3.3 exp.)
4-0
(3.3 exp.)
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
4-0
(3.6 exp.)
4-0
(3.1 exp.)
2-1
(2.6 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
0-3
(0.9 exp.)
3-1
(1.6 exp.)
3-0
(1.7 exp.)
1-3
(0.7 exp.)
0-4
(2.2 exp.)
0-3
(0.6 exp.)
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
2-1
(1.1 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
1-3
(1.0 exp.)
2-2
(1.4 exp.)
1-3
(2.7 exp.)
0-4
(0.7 exp.)
4-0
(1.8 exp.)
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
New York Liberty
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
4-0
(1.9 exp.)
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
4-0
(3.2 exp.)
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
3-0
(2.4 exp.)
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
3-0
(2.4 exp.)
4-0
(2.8 exp.)
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
2-1
(0.5 exp.)
0-4
(1.3 exp.)
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
0-4
(0.4 exp.)
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
0-3
(0.6 exp.)
0-4
(1.8 exp.)
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
Seattle Storm
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
0-4
(0.9 exp.)
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
0-4
(1.2 exp.)
4-0
(2.2 exp.)
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
Washington Mystics
1-3
(2.3 exp.)
4-0
(1.9 exp.)
0-4
(1.4 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
2-2
(2.9 exp.)
1-2
(0.4 exp.)
1-2
(1.9 exp.)
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
3-0
(1.8 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<600.21%0.42%0.62%
60–691.67%5.00%4.38%1.46%0.42%12.92%
70–790.21%5.00%6.25%9.79%4.58%0.62%0.21%26.67%
80–890.42%4.38%9.79%6.67%8.33%2.08%0.83%32.50%
90–991.46%4.58%8.33%3.75%1.67%19.79%
100–1090.42%0.62%2.08%1.67%0.83%0.42%6.04%
110+0.21%0.83%0.42%1.46%
Total0.62%12.92%26.67%32.50%19.79%6.04%1.46%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 82.74 82.74 +0.00
SD 11.29 11.29 14.11
CV 0.14 0.14
Max 113 113 +41
Min 58 58 -41

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60
60–692.50%2.50%5.00%
70–797.50%17.50%7.50%32.50%
80–895.00%20.00%2.50%10.00%5.00%2.50%45.00%
90–995.00%5.00%10.00%
100–1092.50%2.50%5.00%
110+2.50%2.50%
Total15.00%25.00%30.00%20.00%5.00%5.00%100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 82.53 84.00 -1.48
SD 9.18 12.16 13.62
CV 0.11 0.14
Max 112 112 +28
Min 65 65 -30

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<602.50%2.50%
60–6910.00%10.00%20.00%
70–795.00%7.50%15.00%2.50%30.00%
80–892.50%2.50%5.00%5.00%15.00%
90–992.50%2.50%7.50%2.50%2.50%17.50%
100–1092.50%5.00%5.00%2.50%15.00%
110+
Total10.00%25.00%45.00%15.00%5.00%100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.72 83.35 -1.62
SD 13.42 9.39 12.90
CV 0.16 0.11
Max 108 107 +27
Min 59 63 -24

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<602.50%2.50%
60–692.50%2.50%2.50%7.50%
70–792.50%5.00%2.50%2.50%12.50%
80–897.50%27.50%12.50%10.00%2.50%60.00%
90–9910.00%2.50%2.50%2.50%17.50%
100–109
110+
Total2.50%15.00%42.50%20.00%15.00%5.00%100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 82.67 78.97 +3.70
SD 8.27 10.51 12.22
CV 0.10 0.13
Max 96 102 +24
Min 58 59 -31

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60
60–692.50%2.50%
70–795.00%10.00%2.50%17.50%
80–8912.50%5.00%12.50%5.00%35.00%
90–992.50%7.50%12.50%5.00%7.50%35.00%
100–1092.50%2.50%2.50%7.50%
110+2.50%2.50%
Total10.00%32.50%20.00%20.00%17.50%100%

Dallas Wings — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 87.85 84.90 +2.95
SD 10.23 12.41 12.93
CV 0.12 0.15
Max 110 109 +40
Min 61 62 -20

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<602.50%2.50%
60–692.50%7.50%2.50%12.50%
70–792.50%7.50%10.00%2.50%22.50%
80–895.00%7.50%15.00%7.50%7.50%42.50%
90–992.50%7.50%2.50%2.50%15.00%
100–1092.50%2.50%5.00%
110+
Total7.50%22.50%40.00%15.00%12.50%2.50%100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.00 85.05 -4.05
SD 10.50 10.97 11.16
CV 0.13 0.13
Max 103 110 +21
Min 59 66 -27

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60
60–692.50%2.50%5.00%
70–792.50%2.50%2.50%2.50%10.00%
80–892.50%5.00%7.50%2.50%17.50%
90–997.50%15.00%17.50%40.00%
100–1092.50%2.50%10.00%5.00%20.00%
110+5.00%2.50%7.50%
Total15.00%27.50%42.50%12.50%2.50%100%

Las Vegas Aces — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 92.83 80.28 +12.55
SD 12.01 9.91 14.76
CV 0.13 0.12
Max 113 100 +41
Min 61 62 -38

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60
60–695.00%5.00%5.00%2.50%17.50%
70–797.50%20.00%7.50%7.50%42.50%
80–892.50%5.00%2.50%10.00%2.50%22.50%
90–992.50%2.50%10.00%2.50%17.50%
100–109
110+
Total17.50%32.50%25.00%22.50%2.50%100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 78.90 80.53 -1.62
SD 9.68 11.46 12.55
CV 0.12 0.14
Max 99 112 +29
Min 61 61 -28

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60
60–692.50%10.00%2.50%2.50%2.50%20.00%
70–792.50%7.50%12.50%5.00%2.50%30.00%
80–8910.00%7.50%10.00%2.50%30.00%
90–9912.50%5.00%17.50%
100–1092.50%2.50%
110+
Total5.00%27.50%35.00%25.00%2.50%5.00%100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 80.15 84.97 -4.83
SD 10.29 11.46 13.48
CV 0.13 0.13
Max 104 113 +13
Min 62 61 -40

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60
60–692.50%2.50%
70–795.00%2.50%5.00%12.50%
80–892.50%10.00%12.50%12.50%7.50%45.00%
90–992.50%2.50%12.50%7.50%25.00%
100–1097.50%2.50%10.00%
110+2.50%2.50%5.00%
Total2.50%17.50%20.00%42.50%17.50%100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 89.22 80.55 +8.68
SD 10.02 10.39 12.83
CV 0.11 0.13
Max 111 98 +38
Min 64 58 -17

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60
60–6910.00%10.00%2.50%22.50%
70–792.50%7.50%17.50%17.50%2.50%47.50%
80–895.00%2.50%5.00%12.50%
90–995.00%5.00%7.50%17.50%
100–109
110+
Total7.50%22.50%35.00%27.50%7.50%100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 76.60 84.90 -8.30
SD 9.14 10.97 13.27
CV 0.12 0.13
Max 95 104 +22
Min 62 62 -29

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60
60–695.00%12.50%7.50%2.50%2.50%30.00%
70–792.50%2.50%10.00%5.00%5.00%25.00%
80–895.00%7.50%2.50%12.50%27.50%
90–992.50%7.50%5.00%15.00%
100–1092.50%2.50%
110+
Total12.50%25.00%20.00%27.50%15.00%100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 78.83 84.45 -5.62
SD 11.43 12.63 13.46
CV 0.15 0.15
Max 109 106 +23
Min 63 61 -41

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60
60–692.50%2.50%2.50%2.50%10.00%
70–7912.50%5.00%17.50%2.50%37.50%
80–892.50%7.50%7.50%5.00%12.50%2.50%37.50%
90–997.50%2.50%10.00%
100–1092.50%2.50%5.00%
110+
Total2.50%22.50%17.50%35.00%20.00%2.50%100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 80.53 80.88 -0.35
SD 9.98 11.70 12.70
CV 0.12 0.14
Max 109 113 +23
Min 62 59 -28

Games Played: 40

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 New York Liberty 32 25.82 +6.18
2 Las Vegas Aces 34 31.36 +2.64
3 Minnesota Lynx 19 16.71 +2.29
4 Indiana Fever 13 12.00 +1.00
5 Los Angeles Sparks 17 16.58 +0.42

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Seattle Storm 11 16.14 -5.14
2 Phoenix Mercury 9 13.53 -4.53
3 Washington Mystics 19 20.53 -1.53
4 Chicago Sky 18 19.48 -1.48
5 Connecticut Sun 27 27.30 -0.30

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Los Angeles Sparks 6 Aug 6 – Aug 25 1 in 445
2 Atlanta Dream 7 Jun 30 – Jul 18 1 in 104
3 Dallas Wings 5 Jul 7 – Jul 22 1 in 40
4 Indiana Fever 3 Aug 20 – Aug 27 1 in 19
5 Phoenix Mercury 2 Jul 18 – Jul 20 1 in 18

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chicago Sky 6 Jun 9 – Jun 25 1 in 69
2 Los Angeles Sparks 8 Jun 28 – Jul 22 1 in 67
3 Phoenix Mercury 11 Aug 13 – Sep 10 1 in 59
4 Seattle Storm 10 Jun 27 – Jul 25 1 in 56
5 Connecticut Sun 3 Aug 10 – Aug 18 1 in 45

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team123456789101112
Las Vegas Aces79.13%16.18%4.22%0.35%0.10%0.02%
Connecticut Sun13.99%45.81%27.14%8.96%2.61%1.07%0.26%0.12%0.03%0.01%
New York Liberty6.23%29.44%39.28%14.61%5.92%2.64%1.12%0.56%0.16%0.04%
Dallas Wings0.39%4.09%12.65%26.20%21.75%14.35%9.36%5.62%3.19%1.67%0.57%0.16%
Washington Mystics0.13%2.37%7.96%18.75%20.07%18.06%12.53%8.93%5.98%3.38%1.54%0.30%
Chicago Sky0.08%1.14%4.09%12.88%17.22%18.20%16.42%12.03%8.99%5.55%2.66%0.74%
Atlanta Dream0.05%0.81%2.86%9.59%14.43%16.93%16.85%14.77%11.24%7.48%3.72%1.27%
Minnesota Lynx0.05%0.72%3.03%6.13%9.23%13.07%17.00%18.06%16.59%11.30%4.82%
Los Angeles Sparks0.09%0.57%2.87%5.90%9.32%13.51%15.61%17.85%16.29%11.77%6.22%
Seattle Storm0.02%0.48%2.38%4.75%7.63%11.59%15.19%16.35%18.67%15.19%7.75%
Phoenix Mercury0.03%0.30%0.82%2.00%3.88%6.79%11.90%18.70%28.41%27.17%
Indiana Fever0.08%0.30%0.55%1.41%3.38%6.25%11.62%24.84%51.57%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 Seed5 Seed6 Seed7 Seed8 SeedMissed Playoffs
Las Vegas Aces79.13%16.18%4.22%0.35%0.10%0.02%
Connecticut Sun13.99%45.81%27.14%8.96%2.61%1.07%0.26%0.12%0.04%
New York Liberty6.23%29.44%39.28%14.61%5.92%2.64%1.12%0.56%0.20%
Dallas Wings0.39%4.09%12.65%26.20%21.75%14.35%9.36%5.62%5.59%
Washington Mystics0.13%2.37%7.96%18.75%20.07%18.06%12.53%8.93%11.20%
Chicago Sky0.08%1.14%4.09%12.88%17.22%18.20%16.42%12.03%17.94%
Atlanta Dream0.05%0.81%2.86%9.59%14.43%16.93%16.85%14.77%23.71%
Minnesota Lynx0.05%0.72%3.03%6.13%9.23%13.07%17.00%50.77%
Los Angeles Sparks0.09%0.57%2.87%5.90%9.32%13.51%15.61%52.13%
Seattle Storm0.02%0.48%2.38%4.75%7.63%11.59%15.19%57.96%
Phoenix Mercury0.03%0.30%0.82%2.00%3.88%6.79%86.18%
Indiana Fever0.08%0.30%0.55%1.41%3.38%94.28%

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals
New York Liberty 99.80% 90.14% 68.24% 43.61%
Las Vegas Aces 100.00% 91.35% 69.05% 40.66%
Connecticut Sun 99.96% 72.99% 27.19% 8.03%
Dallas Wings 94.41% 51.57% 16.07% 4.44%
Chicago Sky 82.06% 26.98% 6.82% 1.51%
Washington Mystics 88.80% 26.64% 5.24% 0.84%
Atlanta Dream 76.29% 17.81% 3.39% 0.43%
Los Angeles Sparks 47.87% 9.05% 1.83% 0.26%
Minnesota Lynx 49.23% 8.02% 1.53% 0.15%
Seattle Storm 42.04% 4.35% 0.50% 0.06%
Phoenix Mercury 13.82% 0.65% 0.06% 0.01%
Indiana Fever 5.72% 0.45% 0.08%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunDallas WingsIndiana FeverLas Vegas AcesLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySeattle StormWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream2.21%3.78%3.23%0.02%1.19%0.73%0.96%1.12%0.14%0.78%3.65%
Chicago Sky2.93%5.30%5.86%0.02%1.62%1.01%1.27%2.08%0.24%0.96%5.69%
Connecticut Sun12.15%11.11%6.54%1.28%0.03%8.86%9.11%0.47%3.25%9.01%11.18%
Dallas Wings8.40%8.98%5.45%0.25%1.26%3.59%3.58%2.56%0.71%2.94%13.85%
Indiana Fever0.01%0.21%0.05%0.13%0.01%0.01%0.02%0.01%
Las Vegas Aces14.10%11.23%0.16%5.67%2.75%13.36%15.02%0.34%6.16%13.74%8.82%
Los Angeles Sparks0.62%0.59%2.76%1.30%0.03%1.33%0.17%0.61%0.07%0.26%1.31%
Minnesota Lynx0.48%0.77%2.31%1.13%0.01%0.94%0.10%0.71%0.08%0.24%1.25%
New York Liberty15.55%15.48%1.66%12.00%0.80%0.32%9.38%9.25%2.15%7.94%15.61%
Phoenix Mercury0.02%0.02%0.18%0.11%0.12%0.02%0.06%0.12%
Seattle Storm0.26%0.35%1.26%0.60%0.01%0.64%0.12%0.08%0.35%0.01%0.67%
Washington Mystics3.97%4.33%3.90%6.35%0.10%1.07%1.65%1.77%1.35%0.35%1.80%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunDallas WingsIndiana FeverLas Vegas AcesLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySeattle StormWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream0.39%0.78%0.48%0.01%0.49%0.18%0.21%0.28%0.03%0.11%0.43%
Chicago Sky0.67%1.55%0.84%0.02%1.33%0.43%0.36%0.75%0.03%0.21%0.63%
Connecticut Sun2.18%3.29%5.54%0.02%2.39%0.92%0.99%7.85%0.09%0.48%3.44%
Dallas Wings1.06%1.20%4.90%0.05%4.60%0.51%0.56%1.74%0.06%0.37%1.02%
Indiana Fever0.01%0.02%0.01%0.02%0.01%0.01%
Las Vegas Aces6.17%9.23%7.44%19.36%0.04%2.37%2.09%10.51%0.14%1.21%10.49%
Los Angeles Sparks0.18%0.30%0.39%0.30%0.01%0.16%0.09%0.15%0.02%0.06%0.17%
Minnesota Lynx0.13%0.16%0.35%0.25%0.15%0.09%0.11%0.02%0.27%
New York Liberty3.62%4.95%28.93%8.14%0.14%11.98%2.38%1.87%0.20%1.18%4.85%
Phoenix Mercury0.02%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%
Seattle Storm0.04%0.06%0.07%0.09%0.05%0.03%0.04%0.04%0.08%
Washington Mystics0.36%0.54%1.37%0.48%0.07%1.15%0.31%0.27%0.46%0.02%0.21%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunDallas WingsIndiana FeverLas Vegas AcesLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySeattle StormWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream0.01%0.07%0.09%0.01%0.11%0.01%0.11%0.01%0.01%
Chicago Sky0.04%0.23%0.23%0.45%0.05%0.02%0.42%0.07%
Connecticut Sun0.22%0.34%0.92%0.01%3.89%0.07%0.10%2.05%0.01%0.03%0.39%
Dallas Wings0.14%0.21%0.62%0.01%1.33%0.07%0.06%1.78%0.01%0.03%0.18%
Las Vegas Aces1.24%2.09%10.51%4.15%0.01%0.56%0.52%19.83%0.02%0.18%1.55%
Los Angeles Sparks0.04%0.03%0.07%0.10%0.02%
Minnesota Lynx0.03%0.03%0.05%0.04%
New York Liberty1.30%2.60%7.50%6.12%0.04%22.25%0.78%0.66%0.01%0.18%2.17%
Phoenix Mercury0.01%
Seattle Storm0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%
Washington Mystics0.02%0.06%0.15%0.05%0.22%0.03%0.01%0.29%0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals Actual Outcome
New York Liberty 91.06% 75.81% 45.30% Eliminated in Finals
Las Vegas Aces 85.90% 72.66% 39.62% Won Finals
Connecticut Sun 79.08% 18.70% 6.93% Eliminated in Semifinals
Dallas Wings 70.73% 16.43% 4.74% Eliminated in Semifinals
Chicago Sky 14.10% 7.10% 1.51% Eliminated in Quarterfinals
Washington Mystics 8.94% 3.42% 0.77% Eliminated in Quarterfinals
Atlanta Dream 29.27% 3.81% 0.65% Eliminated in Quarterfinals
Minnesota Lynx 20.92% 2.07% 0.48% Eliminated in Quarterfinals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunDallas WingsLas Vegas AcesMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream29.27%
Chicago Sky14.10%
Connecticut Sun79.08%
Dallas Wings70.73%
Las Vegas Aces85.90%
Minnesota Lynx20.92%
New York Liberty91.06%
Washington Mystics8.94%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunDallas WingsLas Vegas AcesMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream1.58%2.23%
Chicago Sky2.72%4.38%
Connecticut Sun14.14%4.56%
Dallas Wings5.42%11.01%
Las Vegas Aces22.74%49.92%
Minnesota Lynx1.11%0.96%
New York Liberty57.97%17.84%
Washington Mystics2.41%1.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunDallas WingsLas Vegas AcesMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream0.17%0.02%0.35%0.11%
Chicago Sky0.39%0.09%0.93%0.10%
Connecticut Sun0.36%0.88%1.73%3.96%
Dallas Wings1.28%0.23%2.82%0.41%
Las Vegas Aces9.93%1.25%26.41%2.03%
Minnesota Lynx0.05%0.10%0.08%0.25%
New York Liberty2.69%4.52%9.70%28.39%
Washington Mystics0.06%0.09%0.18%0.44%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

New York Liberty 45.30% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Washington Mystics
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
91.06%
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
76.47%
Win Prob
80.39%
Finals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
62.67%
Win Prob
51.81%
Las Vegas Aces 39.62% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
85.90%
Semifinals
vs. Dallas Wings
Matchup
68.70%
Win Prob
81.93%
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
66.66%
Win Prob
48.19%
Connecticut Sun 6.93% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
79.08%
Semifinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
75.61%
Win Prob
19.61%
Finals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
57.14%
Win Prob
28.51%
Dallas Wings 4.74% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
70.73%
Semifinals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
67.01%
Win Prob
18.07%
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
59.49%
Win Prob
22.52%
Chicago Sky 1.51% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
14.10%
Semifinals
vs. Dallas Wings
Matchup
61.69%
Win Prob
44.69%
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
61.59%
Win Prob
17.06%
Washington Mystics 0.77% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
8.94%
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
70.47%
Win Prob
34.58%
Finals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
57.14%
Win Prob
17.81%
Atlanta Dream 0.65% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Dallas Wings
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
29.27%
Semifinals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
58.53%
Win Prob
8.93%
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
53.85%
Win Prob
11.51%
Minnesota Lynx 0.48% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
20.92%
Semifinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
53.62%
Win Prob
5.86%
Finals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
52.08%
Win Prob
16.67%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2023-05-20 @ Dallas Wings L 78-85 1455.30 1508.58 40.37% 59.63% -11.72 0-1
2023-05-23 @ Minnesota Lynx W 83-77 1443.58 1454.95 46.29% 53.71% +14.44 1-1
2023-05-28 Indiana Fever L 87-90 1458.02 1343.22 67.79% 32.21% -12.89 1-2
2023-05-30 Chicago Sky W 83-65 1445.13 1590.55 32.00% 68.00% +31.68 2-2
2023-06-02 Las Vegas Aces L 87-92 1476.81 1659.66 27.50% 72.50% -6.76 2-3
2023-06-09 New York Liberty L 83-106 1470.05 1522.94 44.50% 55.50% -23.43 2-4
2023-06-11 Connecticut Sun L 77-89 1446.62 1630.81 27.35% 72.65% -10.40 2-5
2023-06-13 @ New York Liberty W 86-79 1436.22 1561.67 30.89% 69.11% +20.08 3-5
2023-06-15 @ Connecticut Sun W 92-88 1456.30 1641.22 24.09% 75.91% +16.67 4-5
2023-06-18 @ Indiana Fever W 100-94 1472.97 1393.88 59.19% 40.81% +10.97 5-5
2023-06-20 @ Dallas Wings L 73-85 1483.94 1477.41 48.86% 51.14% -18.58 5-6
2023-06-23 New York Liberty L 80-110 1465.36 1554.12 39.47% 60.53% -23.74 5-7
2023-06-28 @ Washington Mystics L 86-109 1441.62 1558.90 31.90% 68.10% -16.79 5-8
2023-06-30 Washington Mystics W 94-89 1424.83 1575.70 31.32% 68.68% +16.86 6-8
2023-07-02 Los Angeles Sparks W 112-84 1441.69 1440.50 52.25% 47.75% +27.74 7-8
2023-07-05 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 90-79 1469.43 1412.75 56.04% 43.96% +16.01 8-8
2023-07-07 @ Chicago Sky W 82-68 1485.44 1506.81 44.86% 55.14% +22.65 9-8
2023-07-09 @ Chicago Sky W 88-77 1508.09 1484.15 51.36% 48.64% +17.71 10-8
2023-07-12 Seattle Storm W 85-75 1525.80 1396.53 69.58% 30.42% +10.57 11-8
2023-07-18 Minnesota Lynx W 82-73 1536.37 1442.46 65.11% 34.89% +11.49 12-8
2023-07-20 @ Connecticut Sun L 71-82 1547.86 1640.13 35.10% 64.90% -12.79 12-9
2023-07-22 Connecticut Sun L 78-86 1535.07 1652.91 35.55% 64.45% -11.04 12-10
2023-07-25 Phoenix Mercury W 78-65 1524.03 1378.52 71.52% 28.48% +11.28 13-10
2023-07-27 @ New York Liberty L 84-95 1535.31 1620.21 36.08% 63.92% -13.14 13-11
2023-07-30 Washington Mystics W 80-73 1522.17 1480.95 57.95% 42.05% +12.22 14-11
2023-08-01 @ Las Vegas Aces L 72-93 1534.39 1784.06 17.94% 82.06% -9.03 14-12
2023-08-03 @ Phoenix Mercury L 71-91 1525.36 1341.94 72.56% 27.44% -35.63 14-13
2023-08-06 Indiana Fever W 82-73 1489.73 1302.74 76.13% 23.87% +7.86 15-13
2023-08-10 @ Seattle Storm L 67-68 1497.59 1398.38 61.96% 38.04% -6.80 15-14
2023-08-12 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 74-85 1490.79 1396.09 61.34% 38.66% -22.34 15-15
2023-08-13 @ Las Vegas Aces L 65-86 1468.45 1765.06 14.30% 85.70% -7.19 15-16
2023-08-18 Chicago Sky W 78-67 1461.26 1447.25 54.09% 45.91% +16.71 16-16
2023-08-22 Las Vegas Aces L 100-112 1477.97 1762.90 17.41% 82.59% -6.62 16-17
2023-08-25 Los Angeles Sparks L 78-83 1471.35 1464.73 53.03% 46.97% -13.02 16-18
2023-08-27 @ Indiana Fever L 80-83 1458.33 1341.30 64.34% 35.66% -12.24 16-19
2023-08-29 Phoenix Mercury W 94-76 1446.09 1340.45 66.63% 33.37% +15.55 17-19
2023-09-01 @ Minnesota Lynx L 85-91 1461.64 1445.04 50.30% 49.70% -13.53 17-20
2023-09-06 Seattle Storm W 79-68 1448.11 1397.77 59.22% 40.78% +14.85 18-20
2023-09-08 @ Washington Mystics W 80-75 1462.96 1472.50 46.55% 53.45% +13.12 19-20
2023-09-10 Dallas Wings L 77-94 1476.08 1548.42 41.75% 58.25% -18.90 19-21
2023-05-19 @ Minnesota Lynx W 77-66 1566.45 1468.88 61.74% 38.26% +13.94 1-0
2023-05-21 @ Phoenix Mercury W 75-69 1580.39 1438.25 67.59% 32.41% +8.72 2-0
2023-05-26 Washington Mystics L 69-71 1589.11 1519.43 61.88% 38.12% -9.61 2-1
2023-05-28 Dallas Wings W 94-88 1579.50 1531.54 58.89% 41.11% +11.05 3-1
2023-05-30 @ Atlanta Dream L 65-83 1590.55 1445.13 68.00% 32.00% -31.67 3-2
2023-06-02 New York Liberty L 76-77 1558.88 1527.57 56.55% 43.45% -6.21 3-3
2023-06-04 @ New York Liberty W 86-82 1552.67 1533.78 50.63% 49.37% +10.84 4-3
2023-06-06 Indiana Fever W 108-103 1563.51 1349.22 78.87% 21.13% +5.19 5-3
2023-06-09 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 62-77 1568.70 1450.14 64.55% 35.45% -27.45 5-4
2023-06-11 @ Las Vegas Aces L 80-93 1541.25 1654.97 32.34% 67.66% -12.81 5-5
2023-06-15 Indiana Fever L 90-92 1528.44 1382.77 71.54% 28.46% -11.11 5-6
2023-06-18 @ Washington Mystics L 69-77 1517.33 1525.96 46.68% 53.32% -14.49 5-7
2023-06-22 Washington Mystics L 59-80 1502.84 1540.46 46.67% 53.33% -23.49 5-8
2023-06-25 @ Connecticut Sun L 72-96 1479.35 1655.54 25.02% 74.98% -13.46 5-9
2023-06-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 80-63 1465.89 1476.22 50.60% 49.40% +22.37 6-9
2023-06-30 Los Angeles Sparks W 86-78 1488.26 1453.85 56.99% 43.01% +13.36 7-9
2023-07-02 @ Indiana Fever W 89-87 1501.62 1367.43 66.58% 33.42% +5.19 8-9
2023-07-07 Atlanta Dream L 68-82 1506.81 1485.44 55.14% 44.86% -22.66 8-10
2023-07-09 Atlanta Dream L 77-88 1484.15 1508.09 48.64% 51.36% -17.71 8-11
2023-07-12 Connecticut Sun L 72-84 1466.44 1652.80 27.10% 72.90% -10.31 8-12
2023-07-20 @ Phoenix Mercury L 62-80 1456.13 1363.97 61.00% 39.00% -28.41 8-13
2023-07-22 @ Seattle Storm W 90-75 1427.72 1380.98 54.63% 45.37% +19.29 9-13
2023-07-25 Las Vegas Aces L 95-107 1447.01 1768.77 14.57% 85.43% -5.54 9-14
2023-07-28 Seattle Storm L 74-83 1441.47 1357.84 63.76% 36.24% -21.00 9-15
2023-07-30 Phoenix Mercury W 104-85 1420.47 1367.24 59.62% 40.38% +19.32 10-15
2023-08-04 @ Dallas Wings W 104-89 1439.79 1594.72 27.39% 72.61% +30.88 11-15
2023-08-06 @ Dallas Wings W 104-96 1470.67 1563.84 34.99% 65.01% +20.19 12-15
2023-08-08 Minnesota Lynx L 79-88 1490.86 1463.17 56.04% 43.96% -18.46 12-16
2023-08-11 @ New York Liberty L 73-89 1472.40 1685.16 21.28% 78.72% -9.34 12-17
2023-08-13 @ Washington Mystics L 76-83 1463.06 1417.81 54.42% 45.58% -15.81 12-18
2023-08-18 @ Atlanta Dream L 67-78 1447.25 1461.26 45.91% 54.09% -16.72 12-19
2023-08-20 Connecticut Sun L 73-79 1430.53 1602.16 28.81% 71.19% -7.75 12-20
2023-08-22 Seattle Storm W 102-79 1422.78 1431.84 50.78% 49.22% +25.92 13-20
2023-08-24 Las Vegas Aces L 87-94 1448.70 1769.52 14.64% 85.36% -4.25 13-21
2023-08-27 @ Seattle Storm W 90-85 1444.45 1392.97 55.30% 44.70% +10.97 14-21
2023-08-29 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 76-75 1455.42 1464.75 46.58% 53.42% +5.87 15-21
2023-09-03 New York Liberty L 69-86 1461.29 1754.26 16.75% 83.25% -7.59 15-22
2023-09-05 @ Indiana Fever W 96-69 1453.70 1376.64 58.91% 41.09% +23.45 16-22
2023-09-08 Minnesota Lynx W 92-87 1477.15 1470.17 53.08% 46.92% +11.52 17-22
2023-09-10 @ Connecticut Sun W 102-91 1488.67 1622.94 29.81% 70.19% +25.56 18-22
2023-05-19 @ Indiana Fever W 70-61 1596.48 1365.49 77.67% 22.33% +7.35 1-0
2023-05-21 Washington Mystics W 80-74 1603.83 1541.64 60.86% 39.14% +10.53 2-0
2023-05-23 @ Washington Mystics W 88-81 1614.36 1531.12 59.77% 40.23% +11.69 3-0
2023-05-27 @ New York Liberty L 65-81 1626.05 1482.02 67.82% 32.18% -29.79 3-1
2023-05-30 Indiana Fever W 81-78 1596.26 1356.11 81.24% 18.76% +3.57 4-1
2023-06-01 @ Minnesota Lynx W 89-84 1599.83 1405.92 73.75% 26.25% +6.44 5-1
2023-06-04 Dallas Wings W 80-74 1606.27 1523.39 63.66% 36.34% +9.78 6-1
2023-06-06 Las Vegas Aces L 84-90 1616.05 1669.73 44.38% 55.62% -11.94 6-2
2023-06-08 Las Vegas Aces W 94-77 1604.11 1681.67 41.02% 58.98% +26.70 7-2
2023-06-11 @ Atlanta Dream W 89-77 1630.81 1446.62 72.65% 27.35% +10.41 8-2
2023-06-15 Atlanta Dream L 88-92 1641.22 1456.30 75.91% 24.09% -16.67 8-3
2023-06-18 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 83-74 1624.55 1475.79 68.42% 31.58% +10.40 9-3
2023-06-20 @ Seattle Storm W 85-79 1634.95 1474.98 69.79% 30.21% +8.12 10-3
2023-06-22 @ Minnesota Lynx W 89-68 1643.07 1435.58 75.23% 24.77% +12.47 11-3
2023-06-25 Chicago Sky W 96-72 1655.54 1479.35 74.98% 25.02% +13.45 12-3
2023-06-27 New York Liberty L 81-89 1668.99 1582.90 64.08% 35.92% -19.90 12-4
2023-07-01 @ Las Vegas Aces L 84-102 1649.09 1725.39 37.23% 62.77% -17.34 12-5
2023-07-06 Seattle Storm W 93-73 1631.75 1421.19 78.51% 21.49% +10.56 13-5
2023-07-09 Washington Mystics W 92-84 1642.31 1539.96 66.21% 33.79% +10.49 14-5
2023-07-12 @ Chicago Sky W 84-72 1652.80 1466.44 72.90% 27.10% +10.31 15-5
2023-07-18 @ Phoenix Mercury L 66-72 1663.11 1340.98 85.46% 14.54% -22.98 15-6
2023-07-20 Atlanta Dream W 82-71 1640.13 1547.86 64.90% 35.10% +12.78 16-6
2023-07-22 @ Atlanta Dream W 86-78 1652.91 1535.07 64.45% 35.55% +11.04 17-6
2023-07-25 @ Dallas Wings W 88-83 1663.95 1582.16 59.57% 40.43% +9.93 18-6
2023-07-30 Minnesota Lynx L 83-87 1673.88 1465.51 78.29% 21.71% -17.20 18-7
2023-08-01 Minnesota Lynx W 79-69 1656.68 1482.70 74.74% 25.26% +8.77 19-7
2023-08-04 @ Indiana Fever W 88-72 1665.45 1308.10 87.80% 12.20% +5.36 20-7
2023-08-08 @ Seattle Storm W 81-69 1670.81 1405.65 80.89% 19.11% +7.27 21-7
2023-08-10 @ Phoenix Mercury L 84-90 1678.08 1393.11 82.59% 17.41% -22.22 21-8
2023-08-12 @ Dallas Wings L 81-91 1655.86 1531.23 65.34% 34.66% -22.68 21-9
2023-08-18 Dallas Wings L 75-95 1633.18 1553.91 63.17% 36.83% -31.02 21-10
2023-08-20 @ Chicago Sky W 79-73 1602.16 1430.53 71.19% 28.81% +7.75 22-10
2023-08-22 @ Washington Mystics W 68-64 1609.91 1428.62 72.32% 27.68% +6.07 23-10
2023-08-24 New York Liberty L 90-95 1615.98 1692.61 41.15% 58.85% -10.10 23-11
2023-08-27 Los Angeles Sparks W 83-68 1605.88 1477.75 69.44% 30.56% +13.00 24-11
2023-08-31 Phoenix Mercury W 84-74 1618.88 1324.91 85.51% 14.49% +5.02 25-11
2023-09-01 @ New York Liberty L 58-89 1623.90 1734.22 32.77% 67.23% -20.03 25-12
2023-09-05 Los Angeles Sparks W 90-76 1603.87 1452.50 72.21% 27.79% +11.42 26-12
2023-09-08 Indiana Fever W 76-59 1615.29 1353.20 83.09% 16.91% +7.65 27-12
2023-09-10 Chicago Sky L 91-102 1622.94 1488.67 70.19% 29.81% -25.56 27-13
2023-05-20 Atlanta Dream W 85-78 1508.58 1455.30 59.63% 40.37% +11.73 1-0
2023-05-26 @ Seattle Storm W 95-91 1520.31 1513.76 48.86% 51.14% +11.23 2-0
2023-05-28 @ Chicago Sky L 88-94 1531.54 1579.50 41.11% 58.89% -11.06 2-1
2023-05-30 Minnesota Lynx W 94-89 1520.48 1414.09 66.73% 33.27% +8.17 3-1
2023-06-02 @ Washington Mystics L 74-75 1528.65 1529.04 47.86% 52.14% -5.26 3-2
2023-06-04 @ Connecticut Sun L 74-80 1523.39 1606.27 36.34% 63.66% -9.77 3-3
2023-06-07 Phoenix Mercury W 84-79 1513.62 1431.16 63.60% 36.40% +8.94 4-3
2023-06-09 Phoenix Mercury W 90-77 1522.56 1422.23 65.95% 34.05% +13.48 5-3
2023-06-11 @ New York Liberty L 93-102 1536.04 1546.37 46.44% 53.56% -15.30 5-4
2023-06-14 Los Angeles Sparks L 61-79 1520.74 1463.13 60.23% 39.77% -28.05 5-5
2023-06-17 Seattle Storm L 103-109 1492.69 1459.71 56.79% 43.21% -15.28 5-6
2023-06-20 Atlanta Dream W 85-73 1477.41 1483.94 51.14% 48.86% +18.59 6-6
2023-06-23 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 74-76 1496.00 1449.64 54.57% 45.43% -8.48 6-7
2023-06-25 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 83-93 1487.52 1458.11 52.15% 47.85% -18.11 6-8
2023-06-27 @ Phoenix Mercury W 77-62 1469.41 1343.45 65.52% 34.48% +14.67 7-8
2023-07-02 Washington Mystics W 89-72 1484.08 1558.84 41.41% 58.59% +26.52 8-8
2023-07-05 @ Las Vegas Aces L 82-89 1510.60 1742.73 19.47% 80.53% -5.65 8-9
2023-07-07 Las Vegas Aces W 80-78 1504.95 1748.38 21.12% 78.88% +12.25 9-9
2023-07-09 @ Indiana Fever W 77-76 1517.20 1344.77 71.28% 28.72% +3.15 10-9
2023-07-12 @ Minnesota Lynx W 107-67 1520.35 1474.01 54.57% 45.43% +31.55 11-9
2023-07-19 @ New York Liberty W 98-88 1551.90 1615.74 38.92% 61.08% +21.21 12-9
2023-07-22 Los Angeles Sparks W 98-84 1573.11 1368.21 77.95% 22.05% +9.05 13-9
2023-07-25 Connecticut Sun L 83-88 1582.16 1663.95 40.43% 59.57% -9.92 13-10
2023-07-28 Washington Mystics W 90-62 1572.24 1503.15 61.80% 38.20% +22.19 14-10
2023-07-30 @ Las Vegas Aces L 91-104 1594.43 1774.31 24.62% 75.38% -9.75 14-11
2023-08-02 @ Seattle Storm W 76-65 1584.68 1402.24 72.45% 27.55% +10.04 15-11
2023-08-04 Chicago Sky L 89-104 1594.72 1439.79 72.61% 27.39% -30.88 15-12
2023-08-06 Chicago Sky L 96-104 1563.84 1470.67 65.01% 34.99% -20.19 15-13
2023-08-08 Las Vegas Aces L 84-104 1543.65 1746.28 25.29% 74.71% -12.42 15-14
2023-08-12 Connecticut Sun W 91-81 1531.23 1655.86 34.66% 65.34% +22.68 16-14
2023-08-18 @ Connecticut Sun W 95-75 1553.91 1633.18 36.83% 63.17% +31.02 17-14
2023-08-20 @ Washington Mystics W 97-84 1584.93 1441.38 67.77% 32.23% +12.77 18-14
2023-08-22 @ Minnesota Lynx L 86-91 1597.70 1437.54 69.82% 30.18% -17.15 18-15
2023-08-24 Minnesota Lynx L 81-90 1580.55 1454.68 69.17% 30.83% -22.78 18-16
2023-08-27 @ Phoenix Mercury W 77-74 1557.77 1345.06 75.79% 24.21% +4.61 19-16
2023-09-01 @ Indiana Fever W 110-100 1562.38 1353.54 75.38% 24.62% +8.54 20-16
2023-09-03 Indiana Fever L 84-97 1570.92 1344.99 79.96% 20.04% -31.65 20-17
2023-09-05 New York Liberty L 93-94 1539.27 1761.84 23.18% 76.82% -2.55 20-18
2023-09-08 Seattle Storm W 106-91 1536.72 1382.92 72.49% 27.51% +11.70 21-18
2023-09-10 @ Atlanta Dream W 94-77 1548.42 1476.08 58.25% 41.75% +18.90 22-18
2023-05-19 Connecticut Sun L 61-70 1365.49 1596.48 22.33% 77.67% -7.36 0-1
2023-05-21 @ New York Liberty L 73-90 1358.13 1467.11 32.94% 67.06% -14.91 0-2
2023-05-28 @ Atlanta Dream W 90-87 1343.22 1458.02 32.21% 67.79% +12.89 1-2
2023-05-30 @ Connecticut Sun L 78-81 1356.11 1596.26 18.76% 81.24% -3.57 1-3
2023-06-04 Las Vegas Aces L 80-84 1352.54 1666.41 15.14% 84.86% -3.32 1-4
2023-06-06 @ Chicago Sky L 103-108 1349.22 1563.51 21.13% 78.87% -5.19 1-5
2023-06-09 @ Minnesota Lynx W 71-69 1344.03 1410.38 38.57% 61.43% +9.54 2-5
2023-06-11 Phoenix Mercury L 82-85 1353.57 1408.75 44.17% 55.83% -8.40 2-6
2023-06-13 Washington Mystics W 87-66 1345.17 1548.01 25.27% 74.73% +37.60 3-6
2023-06-15 @ Chicago Sky W 92-90 1382.77 1528.44 28.46% 71.54% +11.11 4-6
2023-06-18 Atlanta Dream L 94-100 1393.88 1472.97 40.81% 59.19% -10.98 4-7
2023-06-22 @ Seattle Storm W 80-68 1382.90 1466.86 36.20% 63.80% +24.27 5-7
2023-06-24 @ Las Vegas Aces L 88-101 1407.17 1700.37 14.54% 85.46% -5.76 5-8
2023-06-26 @ Las Vegas Aces L 80-88 1401.41 1706.12 13.74% 86.26% -4.26 5-9
2023-06-29 @ Phoenix Mercury L 63-85 1397.15 1328.78 57.69% 42.31% -29.72 5-10
2023-07-02 Chicago Sky L 87-89 1367.43 1501.62 33.42% 66.58% -5.19 5-11
2023-07-05 @ Minnesota Lynx L 83-90 1362.24 1464.23 33.84% 66.16% -9.83 5-12
2023-07-07 @ Washington Mystics L 88-96 1352.41 1532.31 24.62% 75.38% -7.64 5-13
2023-07-09 Dallas Wings L 76-77 1344.77 1517.20 28.72% 71.28% -3.16 5-14
2023-07-12 New York Liberty L 87-95 1341.61 1609.89 18.83% 81.17% -5.84 5-15
2023-07-19 @ Washington Mystics W 82-76 1335.77 1538.49 22.26% 77.74% +20.90 6-15
2023-07-23 @ New York Liberty L 83-101 1356.67 1608.07 17.79% 82.21% -8.29 6-16
2023-07-25 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 78-79 1348.38 1359.15 46.37% 53.63% -5.09 6-17
2023-07-27 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 68-81 1343.29 1364.24 44.92% 55.08% -17.78 6-18
2023-07-30 Seattle Storm L 62-85 1325.51 1378.84 44.43% 55.57% -23.40 6-19
2023-08-01 Phoenix Mercury W 72-71 1302.11 1347.92 45.50% 54.50% +5.99 7-19
2023-08-04 Connecticut Sun L 72-88 1308.10 1665.45 12.20% 87.80% -5.36 7-20
2023-08-06 @ Atlanta Dream L 73-82 1302.74 1489.73 23.87% 76.13% -7.86 7-21
2023-08-08 Los Angeles Sparks L 80-87 1294.88 1384.66 39.33% 60.67% -11.43 7-22
2023-08-10 Minnesota Lynx W 91-73 1283.45 1481.63 25.78% 74.22% +34.58 8-22
2023-08-13 New York Liberty L 89-100 1318.03 1694.51 11.07% 88.93% -4.03 8-23
2023-08-18 Washington Mystics L 79-83 1314.00 1433.62 35.31% 64.69% -7.76 8-24
2023-08-20 @ Phoenix Mercury W 83-73 1306.24 1389.24 36.33% 63.67% +22.11 9-24
2023-08-24 Seattle Storm W 90-86 1328.35 1405.93 41.02% 58.98% +12.95 10-24
2023-08-27 Atlanta Dream W 83-80 1341.30 1458.33 35.66% 64.34% +12.24 11-24
2023-09-01 Dallas Wings L 100-110 1353.54 1562.38 24.62% 75.38% -8.55 11-25
2023-09-03 @ Dallas Wings W 97-84 1344.99 1570.92 20.04% 79.96% +31.65 12-25
2023-09-05 Chicago Sky L 69-96 1376.64 1453.70 41.09% 58.91% -23.44 12-26
2023-09-08 @ Connecticut Sun L 59-76 1353.20 1615.29 16.91% 83.09% -7.65 12-27
2023-09-10 Minnesota Lynx W 87-72 1345.55 1458.65 36.18% 63.82% +27.14 13-27
2023-05-20 @ Seattle Storm W 105-64 1595.18 1545.35 55.07% 44.93% +31.59 1-0
2023-05-25 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 94-85 1626.77 1451.28 71.64% 28.36% +9.34 2-0
2023-05-27 Los Angeles Sparks W 93-65 1636.11 1441.94 76.87% 23.13% +13.44 3-0
2023-05-28 Minnesota Lynx W 94-73 1649.55 1424.20 79.91% 20.09% +10.11 4-0
2023-06-02 @ Atlanta Dream W 92-87 1659.66 1476.81 72.50% 27.50% +6.75 5-0
2023-06-04 @ Indiana Fever W 84-80 1666.41 1352.54 84.86% 15.14% +3.32 6-0
2023-06-06 @ Connecticut Sun W 90-84 1669.73 1616.05 55.62% 44.38% +11.94 7-0
2023-06-08 @ Connecticut Sun L 77-94 1681.67 1604.11 58.98% 41.02% -26.70 7-1
2023-06-11 Chicago Sky W 93-80 1654.97 1541.25 67.66% 32.34% +12.80 8-1
2023-06-15 Seattle Storm W 96-63 1667.77 1474.34 76.80% 23.20% +14.64 9-1
2023-06-18 Minnesota Lynx W 93-62 1682.41 1430.69 82.24% 17.76% +10.86 10-1
2023-06-21 @ Phoenix Mercury W 99-79 1693.27 1369.90 85.55% 14.45% +7.10 11-1
2023-06-24 Indiana Fever W 101-88 1700.37 1407.17 85.46% 14.54% +5.75 12-1
2023-06-26 Indiana Fever W 88-80 1706.12 1401.41 86.26% 13.74% +4.27 13-1
2023-06-29 New York Liberty W 98-81 1710.39 1602.80 66.88% 33.12% +15.00 14-1
2023-07-01 Connecticut Sun W 102-84 1725.39 1649.09 62.77% 37.23% +17.34 15-1
2023-07-05 Dallas Wings W 89-82 1742.73 1510.60 80.53% 19.47% +5.65 16-1
2023-07-07 @ Dallas Wings L 78-80 1748.38 1504.95 78.88% 21.12% -12.25 16-2
2023-07-09 @ Minnesota Lynx W 113-89 1736.13 1484.97 79.62% 20.38% +10.97 17-2
2023-07-11 Phoenix Mercury W 98-72 1747.10 1345.67 91.64% 8.36% +4.68 18-2
2023-07-12 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 97-78 1751.78 1381.30 88.59% 11.41% +5.46 19-2
2023-07-20 @ Seattle Storm W 79-63 1757.24 1385.97 88.63% 11.37% +5.00 20-2
2023-07-22 @ Minnesota Lynx W 98-81 1762.24 1438.60 85.57% 14.43% +6.53 21-2
2023-07-25 @ Chicago Sky W 107-95 1768.77 1447.01 85.43% 14.57% +5.54 22-2
2023-07-30 Dallas Wings W 104-91 1774.31 1594.43 75.38% 24.62% +9.75 23-2
2023-08-01 Atlanta Dream W 93-72 1784.06 1534.39 82.06% 17.94% +9.02 24-2
2023-08-06 @ New York Liberty L 61-99 1793.08 1638.36 69.15% 30.85% -46.80 24-3
2023-08-08 @ Dallas Wings W 104-84 1746.28 1543.65 74.71% 25.29% +12.42 25-3
2023-08-11 Washington Mystics W 113-89 1758.70 1424.17 88.17% 11.83% +6.36 26-3
2023-08-13 Atlanta Dream W 86-65 1765.06 1468.45 85.70% 14.30% +7.19 27-3
2023-08-17 New York Liberty W 88-75 1772.25 1698.54 62.43% 37.57% +14.88 28-3
2023-08-19 Los Angeles Sparks L 72-78 1787.13 1418.43 90.08% 9.92% -24.23 28-4
2023-08-22 @ Atlanta Dream W 112-100 1762.90 1477.97 82.59% 17.41% +6.62 29-4
2023-08-24 @ Chicago Sky W 94-87 1769.52 1448.70 85.36% 14.64% +4.26 30-4
2023-08-26 @ Washington Mystics L 62-78 1773.78 1422.54 87.42% 12.58% -38.40 30-5
2023-08-28 @ New York Liberty L 85-94 1735.38 1717.60 50.48% 49.52% -16.63 30-6
2023-08-31 Washington Mystics W 84-75 1718.75 1478.47 81.25% 18.75% +6.18 31-6
2023-09-02 Seattle Storm W 103-77 1724.93 1404.89 87.28% 12.72% +7.12 32-6
2023-09-08 @ Phoenix Mercury W 94-73 1732.05 1291.57 92.07% 7.93% +3.99 33-6
2023-09-10 Phoenix Mercury W 100-85 1736.04 1287.58 93.49% 6.51% +2.77 34-6
2023-05-19 Phoenix Mercury W 94-71 1422.71 1466.82 45.75% 54.25% +28.57 1-0
2023-05-25 Las Vegas Aces L 85-94 1451.28 1626.77 28.36% 71.64% -9.34 1-1
2023-05-27 @ Las Vegas Aces L 65-93 1441.94 1636.11 23.13% 76.87% -13.44 1-2
2023-06-02 @ Phoenix Mercury W 99-93 1428.50 1445.84 45.43% 54.57% +14.68 2-2
2023-06-03 Seattle Storm W 92-85 1443.18 1486.77 45.82% 54.18% +15.74 3-2
2023-06-06 @ Seattle Storm L 63-66 1458.92 1471.03 46.18% 53.82% -8.78 3-3
2023-06-09 Chicago Sky W 77-62 1450.14 1568.70 35.45% 64.55% +27.44 4-3
2023-06-11 @ Minnesota Lynx L 86-91 1477.58 1400.84 58.87% 41.13% -14.45 4-4
2023-06-14 @ Dallas Wings W 79-61 1463.13 1520.74 39.77% 60.23% +28.06 5-4
2023-06-16 Minnesota Lynx L 72-77 1491.19 1415.29 62.72% 37.28% -15.40 5-5
2023-06-18 Connecticut Sun L 74-83 1475.79 1624.55 31.58% 68.42% -10.40 5-6
2023-06-20 Minnesota Lynx L 61-67 1465.39 1419.83 58.55% 41.45% -15.75 5-7
2023-06-23 Dallas Wings W 76-74 1449.64 1496.00 45.43% 54.57% +8.47 6-7
2023-06-25 Dallas Wings W 93-83 1458.11 1487.52 47.85% 52.15% +18.11 7-7
2023-06-28 @ Chicago Sky L 63-80 1476.22 1465.89 49.40% 50.60% -22.37 7-8
2023-06-30 @ Chicago Sky L 78-86 1453.85 1488.26 43.01% 56.99% -13.35 7-9
2023-07-02 @ Atlanta Dream L 84-112 1440.50 1441.69 47.75% 52.25% -27.75 7-10
2023-07-05 Atlanta Dream L 79-90 1412.75 1469.43 43.96% 56.04% -16.00 7-11
2023-07-09 @ Phoenix Mercury L 72-78 1396.75 1330.22 57.43% 42.57% -15.45 7-12
2023-07-12 Las Vegas Aces L 78-97 1381.30 1751.78 11.41% 88.59% -5.46 7-13
2023-07-20 @ Minnesota Lynx L 70-73 1375.84 1430.97 40.11% 59.89% -7.63 7-14
2023-07-22 @ Dallas Wings L 84-98 1368.21 1573.11 22.05% 77.95% -9.06 7-15
2023-07-25 Indiana Fever W 79-78 1359.15 1348.38 53.63% 46.37% +5.09 8-15
2023-07-27 Indiana Fever W 81-68 1364.24 1343.29 55.08% 44.92% +17.78 9-15
2023-07-30 New York Liberty L 79-87 1382.02 1614.67 22.17% 77.83% -6.88 9-16
2023-08-01 New York Liberty L 69-76 1375.14 1621.55 20.83% 79.17% -6.05 9-17
2023-08-04 @ Washington Mystics L 77-79 1369.09 1468.74 34.14% 65.86% -5.30 9-18
2023-08-06 @ Washington Mystics W 91-83 1363.79 1474.04 32.78% 67.22% +20.87 10-18
2023-08-08 @ Indiana Fever W 87-80 1384.66 1294.88 60.67% 39.33% +11.43 11-18
2023-08-12 Atlanta Dream W 85-74 1396.09 1490.79 38.66% 61.34% +22.34 12-18
2023-08-19 @ Las Vegas Aces W 78-72 1418.43 1787.13 9.92% 90.08% +24.22 13-18
2023-08-23 Phoenix Mercury W 91-62 1442.65 1367.13 62.67% 37.33% +22.08 14-18
2023-08-25 @ Atlanta Dream W 83-78 1464.73 1471.35 46.97% 53.03% +13.02 15-18
2023-08-27 @ Connecticut Sun L 68-83 1477.75 1605.88 30.56% 69.44% -13.00 15-19
2023-08-29 Chicago Sky L 75-76 1464.75 1455.42 53.42% 46.58% -5.86 15-20
2023-08-31 Seattle Storm L 61-72 1458.89 1382.00 62.85% 37.15% -22.89 15-21
2023-09-03 Washington Mystics W 72-64 1436.00 1472.29 46.86% 53.14% +16.50 16-21
2023-09-05 @ Connecticut Sun L 76-90 1452.50 1603.87 27.79% 72.21% -11.42 16-22
2023-09-07 @ New York Liberty L 89-96 1441.08 1764.39 12.52% 87.48% -3.64 16-23
2023-09-10 @ Seattle Storm W 91-89 1437.44 1371.22 57.39% 42.61% +6.62 17-23
2023-05-19 Chicago Sky L 66-77 1468.88 1566.45 38.26% 61.74% -13.93 0-1
2023-05-23 Atlanta Dream L 77-83 1454.95 1443.58 53.71% 46.29% -14.45 0-2
2023-05-25 @ Phoenix Mercury L 81-90 1440.50 1429.54 49.49% 50.51% -16.30 0-3
2023-05-28 @ Las Vegas Aces L 73-94 1424.20 1649.55 20.09% 79.91% -10.11 0-4
2023-05-30 @ Dallas Wings L 89-94 1414.09 1520.48 33.27% 66.73% -8.17 0-5
2023-06-01 Connecticut Sun L 84-89 1405.92 1599.83 26.25% 73.75% -6.45 0-6
2023-06-03 @ Washington Mystics W 80-78 1399.47 1534.29 29.75% 70.25% +10.91 1-6
2023-06-09 Indiana Fever L 69-71 1410.38 1344.03 61.43% 38.57% -9.54 1-7
2023-06-11 Los Angeles Sparks W 91-86 1400.84 1477.58 41.13% 58.87% +14.45 2-7
2023-06-16 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 77-72 1415.29 1491.19 37.28% 62.72% +15.40 3-7
2023-06-18 @ Las Vegas Aces L 62-93 1430.69 1682.41 17.76% 82.24% -10.86 3-8
2023-06-20 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 67-61 1419.83 1465.39 41.45% 58.55% +15.75 4-8
2023-06-22 Connecticut Sun L 68-89 1435.58 1643.07 24.77% 75.23% -12.46 4-9
2023-06-27 Seattle Storm W 104-93 1423.12 1461.95 46.50% 53.50% +19.48 5-9
2023-06-29 @ Seattle Storm W 99-97 1442.60 1442.46 47.94% 52.06% +8.09 6-9
2023-07-01 @ Phoenix Mercury W 86-76 1450.69 1358.50 61.00% 39.00% +13.54 7-9
2023-07-05 Indiana Fever W 90-83 1464.23 1362.24 66.16% 33.84% +9.83 8-9
2023-07-07 Phoenix Mercury W 75-64 1474.06 1341.13 70.03% 29.97% +10.91 9-9
2023-07-09 Las Vegas Aces L 89-113 1484.97 1736.13 20.38% 79.62% -10.96 9-10
2023-07-12 Dallas Wings L 67-107 1474.01 1520.35 45.43% 54.57% -31.55 9-11
2023-07-18 @ Atlanta Dream L 73-82 1442.46 1536.37 34.89% 65.11% -11.49 9-12
2023-07-20 Los Angeles Sparks W 73-70 1430.97 1375.84 59.89% 40.11% +7.63 10-12
2023-07-22 Las Vegas Aces L 81-98 1438.60 1762.24 14.43% 85.57% -6.54 10-13
2023-07-26 Washington Mystics W 97-92 1432.06 1517.91 39.87% 60.13% +14.77 11-13
2023-07-28 @ New York Liberty W 88-83 1446.83 1633.35 23.92% 76.08% +18.68 12-13
2023-07-30 @ Connecticut Sun W 87-83 1465.51 1673.88 21.71% 78.29% +17.19 13-13
2023-08-01 @ Connecticut Sun L 69-79 1482.70 1656.68 25.26% 74.74% -8.77 13-14
2023-08-04 New York Liberty L 66-76 1473.93 1627.60 30.98% 69.02% -10.76 13-15
2023-08-08 @ Chicago Sky W 88-79 1463.17 1490.86 43.96% 56.04% +18.46 14-15
2023-08-10 @ Indiana Fever L 73-91 1481.63 1283.45 74.22% 25.78% -34.57 14-16
2023-08-18 @ Seattle Storm W 78-70 1447.06 1422.33 51.47% 48.53% +15.07 15-16
2023-08-20 Seattle Storm L 74-88 1462.13 1407.26 59.85% 40.15% -24.59 15-17
2023-08-22 Dallas Wings W 91-86 1437.54 1597.70 30.18% 69.82% +17.14 16-17
2023-08-24 @ Dallas Wings W 90-81 1454.68 1580.55 30.83% 69.17% +22.78 17-17
2023-08-26 New York Liberty L 76-111 1477.46 1702.71 22.91% 77.09% -14.88 17-18
2023-08-29 @ Washington Mystics L 72-83 1462.58 1460.93 48.15% 51.85% -17.54 17-19
2023-09-01 Atlanta Dream W 91-85 1445.04 1461.64 49.70% 50.30% +13.53 18-19
2023-09-03 Phoenix Mercury W 86-73 1458.57 1319.88 70.72% 29.28% +11.60 19-19
2023-09-08 @ Chicago Sky L 87-92 1470.17 1477.15 46.92% 53.08% -11.52 19-20
2023-09-10 @ Indiana Fever L 72-87 1458.65 1345.55 63.82% 36.18% -27.14 19-21
2023-05-19 @ Washington Mystics L 64-80 1485.83 1522.92 42.63% 57.37% -18.72 0-1
2023-05-21 Indiana Fever W 90-73 1467.11 1358.13 67.06% 32.94% +14.91 1-1
2023-05-27 Connecticut Sun W 81-65 1482.02 1626.05 32.18% 67.82% +29.79 2-1
2023-05-30 @ Seattle Storm W 86-78 1511.81 1502.53 49.25% 50.75% +15.76 3-1
2023-06-02 @ Chicago Sky W 77-76 1527.57 1558.88 43.45% 56.55% +6.21 4-1
2023-06-04 Chicago Sky L 82-86 1533.78 1552.67 49.37% 50.63% -10.84 4-2
2023-06-09 @ Atlanta Dream W 106-83 1522.94 1470.05 55.50% 44.50% +23.43 5-2
2023-06-11 Dallas Wings W 102-93 1546.37 1536.04 53.56% 46.44% +15.30 6-2
2023-06-13 Atlanta Dream L 79-86 1561.67 1436.22 69.11% 30.89% -20.08 6-3
2023-06-18 Phoenix Mercury W 89-71 1541.59 1382.44 73.10% 26.90% +12.53 7-3
2023-06-23 @ Atlanta Dream W 110-80 1554.12 1465.36 60.53% 39.47% +23.74 8-3
2023-06-25 Washington Mystics W 89-88 1577.86 1563.95 54.08% 45.92% +5.04 9-3
2023-06-27 @ Connecticut Sun W 89-81 1582.90 1668.99 35.92% 64.08% +19.90 10-3
2023-06-29 @ Las Vegas Aces L 81-98 1602.80 1710.39 33.12% 66.88% -14.99 10-4
2023-07-02 @ Seattle Storm W 81-66 1587.81 1434.38 68.99% 31.01% +13.18 11-4
2023-07-05 Phoenix Mercury W 99-95 1600.99 1344.96 82.60% 17.40% +3.82 12-4
2023-07-08 Seattle Storm W 80-76 1604.81 1410.64 76.87% 23.13% +5.08 13-4
2023-07-12 @ Indiana Fever W 95-87 1609.89 1341.61 81.17% 18.83% +5.85 14-4
2023-07-19 Dallas Wings L 88-98 1615.74 1551.90 61.08% 38.92% -21.21 14-5
2023-07-21 @ Washington Mystics W 96-87 1594.53 1517.59 58.89% 41.11% +13.54 15-5
2023-07-23 Indiana Fever W 101-83 1608.07 1356.67 82.21% 17.79% +8.29 16-5
2023-07-25 Seattle Storm W 86-82 1616.36 1361.69 82.48% 17.52% +3.85 17-5
2023-07-27 Atlanta Dream W 95-84 1620.21 1535.31 63.92% 36.08% +13.14 18-5
2023-07-28 Minnesota Lynx L 83-88 1633.35 1446.83 76.08% 23.92% -18.68 18-6
2023-07-30 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 87-79 1614.67 1382.02 77.83% 22.17% +6.88 19-6
2023-08-01 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 76-69 1621.55 1375.14 79.17% 20.83% +6.05 20-6
2023-08-04 @ Minnesota Lynx W 76-66 1627.60 1473.93 69.02% 30.98% +10.76 21-6
2023-08-06 Las Vegas Aces W 99-61 1638.36 1793.08 30.85% 69.15% +46.80 22-6
2023-08-11 Chicago Sky W 89-73 1685.16 1472.40 78.72% 21.28% +9.35 23-6
2023-08-13 @ Indiana Fever W 100-89 1694.51 1318.03 88.93% 11.07% +4.03 24-6
2023-08-17 @ Las Vegas Aces L 75-88 1698.54 1772.25 37.57% 62.43% -14.87 24-7
2023-08-18 @ Phoenix Mercury W 85-63 1683.67 1398.18 82.64% 17.36% +8.94 25-7
2023-08-24 @ Connecticut Sun W 95-90 1692.61 1615.98 58.85% 41.15% +10.10 26-7
2023-08-26 @ Minnesota Lynx W 111-76 1702.71 1477.46 77.09% 22.91% +14.89 27-7
2023-08-28 Las Vegas Aces W 94-85 1717.60 1735.38 49.52% 50.48% +16.62 28-7
2023-09-01 Connecticut Sun W 89-58 1734.22 1623.90 67.23% 32.77% +20.04 29-7
2023-09-03 @ Chicago Sky W 86-69 1754.26 1461.29 83.25% 16.75% +7.58 30-7
2023-09-05 @ Dallas Wings W 94-93 1761.84 1539.27 76.82% 23.18% +2.55 31-7
2023-09-07 Los Angeles Sparks W 96-89 1764.39 1441.08 87.48% 12.52% +3.64 32-7
2023-09-10 Washington Mystics L 88-90 1768.03 1459.38 86.53% 13.47% -13.44 32-8
2023-05-19 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 71-94 1466.82 1422.71 54.25% 45.75% -28.57 0-1
2023-05-21 Chicago Sky L 69-75 1438.25 1580.39 32.41% 67.59% -8.71 0-2
2023-05-25 Minnesota Lynx W 90-81 1429.54 1440.50 50.51% 49.49% +16.30 1-2
2023-06-02 Los Angeles Sparks L 93-99 1445.84 1428.50 54.57% 45.43% -14.68 1-3
2023-06-07 @ Dallas Wings L 79-84 1431.16 1513.62 36.40% 63.60% -8.93 1-4
2023-06-09 @ Dallas Wings L 77-90 1422.23 1522.56 34.05% 65.95% -13.48 1-5
2023-06-11 @ Indiana Fever W 85-82 1408.75 1353.57 55.83% 44.17% +8.40 2-5
2023-06-13 Seattle Storm L 69-83 1417.15 1455.19 46.61% 53.39% -19.16 2-6
2023-06-16 @ Washington Mystics L 69-88 1397.99 1510.40 32.51% 67.49% -15.55 2-7
2023-06-18 @ New York Liberty L 71-89 1382.44 1541.59 26.90% 73.10% -12.54 2-8
2023-06-21 Las Vegas Aces L 79-99 1369.90 1693.27 14.45% 85.55% -7.09 2-9
2023-06-24 @ Seattle Storm L 74-97 1362.81 1442.59 36.76% 63.24% -19.36 2-10
2023-06-27 Dallas Wings L 62-77 1343.45 1469.41 34.48% 65.52% -14.67 2-11
2023-06-29 Indiana Fever W 85-63 1328.78 1397.15 42.31% 57.69% +29.72 3-11
2023-07-01 Minnesota Lynx L 76-86 1358.50 1450.69 39.00% 61.00% -13.54 3-12
2023-07-05 @ New York Liberty L 95-99 1344.96 1600.99 17.40% 82.60% -3.83 3-13
2023-07-07 @ Minnesota Lynx L 64-75 1341.13 1474.06 29.97% 70.03% -10.91 3-14
2023-07-09 Los Angeles Sparks W 78-72 1330.22 1396.75 42.57% 57.43% +15.45 4-14
2023-07-11 @ Las Vegas Aces L 72-98 1345.67 1747.10 8.36% 91.64% -4.69 4-15
2023-07-18 Connecticut Sun W 72-66 1340.98 1663.11 14.54% 85.46% +22.99 5-15
2023-07-20 Chicago Sky W 80-62 1363.97 1456.13 39.00% 61.00% +28.41 6-15
2023-07-23 @ Washington Mystics L 69-84 1392.38 1504.04 32.60% 67.40% -13.86 6-16
2023-07-25 @ Atlanta Dream L 65-78 1378.52 1524.03 28.48% 71.52% -11.28 6-17
2023-07-30 @ Chicago Sky L 85-104 1367.24 1420.47 40.38% 59.62% -19.32 6-18
2023-08-01 @ Indiana Fever L 71-72 1347.92 1302.11 54.50% 45.50% -5.98 6-19
2023-08-03 Atlanta Dream W 91-71 1341.94 1525.36 27.44% 72.56% +35.63 7-19
2023-08-05 Seattle Storm L 91-97 1377.57 1392.20 49.98% 50.02% -13.44 7-20
2023-08-08 Washington Mystics W 91-72 1364.13 1453.16 39.43% 60.57% +28.98 8-20
2023-08-10 Connecticut Sun W 90-84 1393.11 1678.08 17.41% 82.59% +22.22 9-20
2023-08-13 @ Seattle Storm L 71-81 1415.33 1405.18 49.38% 50.62% -17.15 9-21
2023-08-18 New York Liberty L 63-85 1398.18 1683.67 17.36% 82.64% -8.94 9-22
2023-08-20 Indiana Fever L 73-83 1389.24 1306.24 63.67% 36.33% -22.11 9-23
2023-08-23 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 62-91 1367.13 1442.65 37.33% 62.67% -22.07 9-24
2023-08-27 Dallas Wings L 74-77 1345.06 1557.77 24.21% 75.79% -4.61 9-25
2023-08-29 @ Atlanta Dream L 76-94 1340.45 1446.09 33.37% 66.63% -15.54 9-26
2023-08-31 @ Connecticut Sun L 74-84 1324.91 1618.88 14.49% 85.51% -5.03 9-27
2023-09-03 @ Minnesota Lynx L 73-86 1319.88 1458.57 29.28% 70.72% -11.59 9-28
2023-09-05 Washington Mystics L 77-100 1308.29 1455.79 31.74% 68.26% -16.72 9-29
2023-09-08 Las Vegas Aces L 73-94 1291.57 1732.05 7.93% 92.07% -3.99 9-30
2023-09-10 @ Las Vegas Aces L 85-100 1287.58 1736.04 6.51% 93.49% -2.76 9-31
2023-05-20 Las Vegas Aces L 64-105 1545.35 1595.18 44.93% 55.07% -31.59 0-1
2023-05-26 Dallas Wings L 91-95 1513.76 1520.31 51.14% 48.86% -11.23 0-2
2023-05-30 New York Liberty L 78-86 1502.53 1511.81 50.75% 49.25% -15.76 0-3
2023-06-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 85-92 1486.77 1443.18 54.18% 45.82% -15.74 0-4
2023-06-06 Los Angeles Sparks W 66-63 1471.03 1458.92 53.82% 46.18% +8.79 1-4
2023-06-09 Washington Mystics L 66-73 1479.82 1523.38 45.82% 54.18% -13.32 1-5
2023-06-11 Washington Mystics L 65-71 1466.50 1536.70 42.05% 57.95% -11.31 1-6
2023-06-13 @ Phoenix Mercury W 83-69 1455.19 1417.15 53.39% 46.61% +19.15 2-6
2023-06-15 @ Las Vegas Aces L 63-96 1474.34 1667.77 23.20% 76.80% -14.63 2-7
2023-06-17 @ Dallas Wings W 109-103 1459.71 1492.69 43.21% 56.79% +15.27 3-7
2023-06-20 Connecticut Sun L 79-85 1474.98 1634.95 30.21% 69.79% -8.12 3-8
2023-06-22 Indiana Fever L 68-80 1466.86 1382.90 63.80% 36.20% -24.27 3-9
2023-06-24 Phoenix Mercury W 97-74 1442.59 1362.81 63.24% 36.76% +19.36 4-9
2023-06-27 @ Minnesota Lynx L 93-104 1461.95 1423.12 53.50% 46.50% -19.49 4-10
2023-06-29 Minnesota Lynx L 97-99 1442.46 1442.60 52.06% 47.94% -8.08 4-11
2023-07-02 New York Liberty L 66-81 1434.38 1587.81 31.01% 68.99% -13.19 4-12
2023-07-06 @ Connecticut Sun L 73-93 1421.19 1631.75 21.49% 78.51% -10.55 4-13
2023-07-08 @ New York Liberty L 76-80 1410.64 1604.81 23.13% 76.87% -5.08 4-14
2023-07-11 @ Washington Mystics L 86-93 1405.56 1529.47 31.08% 68.92% -9.03 4-15
2023-07-12 @ Atlanta Dream L 75-85 1396.53 1525.80 30.42% 69.58% -10.56 4-16
2023-07-20 Las Vegas Aces L 63-79 1385.97 1757.24 11.37% 88.63% -4.99 4-17
2023-07-22 Chicago Sky L 75-90 1380.98 1427.72 45.37% 54.63% -19.29 4-18
2023-07-25 @ New York Liberty L 82-86 1361.69 1616.36 17.52% 82.48% -3.85 4-19
2023-07-28 @ Chicago Sky W 83-74 1357.84 1441.47 36.24% 63.76% +21.00 5-19
2023-07-30 @ Indiana Fever W 85-62 1378.84 1325.51 55.57% 44.43% +23.40 6-19
2023-08-02 Dallas Wings L 65-76 1402.24 1584.68 27.55% 72.45% -10.04 6-20
2023-08-05 @ Phoenix Mercury W 97-91 1392.20 1377.57 50.02% 49.98% +13.45 7-20
2023-08-08 Connecticut Sun L 69-81 1405.65 1670.81 19.11% 80.89% -7.27 7-21
2023-08-10 Atlanta Dream W 68-67 1398.38 1497.59 38.04% 61.96% +6.80 8-21
2023-08-13 Phoenix Mercury W 81-71 1405.18 1415.33 50.62% 49.38% +17.15 9-21
2023-08-18 Minnesota Lynx L 70-78 1422.33 1447.06 48.53% 51.47% -15.07 9-22
2023-08-20 @ Minnesota Lynx W 88-74 1407.26 1462.13 40.15% 59.85% +24.58 10-22
2023-08-22 @ Chicago Sky L 79-102 1431.84 1422.78 49.22% 50.78% -25.91 10-23
2023-08-24 @ Indiana Fever L 86-90 1405.93 1328.35 58.98% 41.02% -12.96 10-24
2023-08-27 Chicago Sky L 85-90 1392.97 1444.45 44.70% 55.30% -10.97 10-25
2023-08-31 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 72-61 1382.00 1458.89 37.15% 62.85% +22.89 11-25
2023-09-02 @ Las Vegas Aces L 77-103 1404.89 1724.93 12.72% 87.28% -7.12 11-26
2023-09-06 @ Atlanta Dream L 68-79 1397.77 1448.11 40.78% 59.22% -14.85 11-27
2023-09-08 @ Dallas Wings L 91-106 1382.92 1536.72 27.51% 72.49% -11.70 11-28
2023-09-10 Los Angeles Sparks L 89-91 1371.22 1437.44 42.61% 57.39% -6.62 11-29
2023-05-19 New York Liberty W 80-64 1522.92 1485.83 57.37% 42.63% +18.72 1-0
2023-05-21 @ Connecticut Sun L 74-80 1541.64 1603.83 39.14% 60.86% -10.52 1-1
2023-05-23 Connecticut Sun L 81-88 1531.12 1614.36 40.23% 59.77% -11.69 1-2
2023-05-26 @ Chicago Sky W 71-69 1519.43 1589.11 38.12% 61.88% +9.61 2-2
2023-06-02 Dallas Wings W 75-74 1529.04 1528.65 52.14% 47.86% +5.25 3-2
2023-06-03 Minnesota Lynx L 78-80 1534.29 1399.47 70.25% 29.75% -10.91 3-3
2023-06-09 @ Seattle Storm W 73-66 1523.38 1479.82 54.18% 45.82% +13.32 4-3
2023-06-11 @ Seattle Storm W 71-65 1536.70 1466.50 57.95% 42.05% +11.31 5-3
2023-06-13 @ Indiana Fever L 66-87 1548.01 1345.17 74.73% 25.27% -37.61 5-4
2023-06-16 Phoenix Mercury W 88-69 1510.40 1397.99 67.49% 32.51% +15.56 6-4
2023-06-18 Chicago Sky W 77-69 1525.96 1517.33 53.32% 46.68% +14.50 7-4
2023-06-22 @ Chicago Sky W 80-59 1540.46 1502.84 53.33% 46.67% +23.49 8-4
2023-06-25 @ New York Liberty L 88-89 1563.95 1577.86 45.92% 54.08% -5.05 8-5
2023-06-28 Atlanta Dream W 109-86 1558.90 1441.62 68.10% 31.90% +16.80 9-5
2023-06-30 @ Atlanta Dream L 89-94 1575.70 1424.83 68.68% 31.32% -16.86 9-6
2023-07-02 @ Dallas Wings L 72-89 1558.84 1484.08 58.59% 41.41% -26.53 9-7
2023-07-07 Indiana Fever W 96-88 1532.31 1352.41 75.38% 24.62% +7.65 10-7
2023-07-09 @ Connecticut Sun L 84-92 1539.96 1642.31 33.79% 66.21% -10.49 10-8
2023-07-11 Seattle Storm W 93-86 1529.47 1405.56 68.92% 31.08% +9.02 11-8
2023-07-19 Indiana Fever L 76-82 1538.49 1335.77 77.74% 22.26% -20.90 11-9
2023-07-21 New York Liberty L 87-96 1517.59 1594.53 41.11% 58.89% -13.55 11-10
2023-07-23 Phoenix Mercury W 84-69 1504.04 1392.38 67.40% 32.60% +13.87 12-10
2023-07-26 @ Minnesota Lynx L 92-97 1517.91 1432.06 60.13% 39.87% -14.76 12-11
2023-07-28 @ Dallas Wings L 62-90 1503.15 1572.24 38.20% 61.80% -22.20 12-12
2023-07-30 @ Atlanta Dream L 73-80 1480.95 1522.17 42.05% 57.95% -12.21 12-13
2023-08-04 Los Angeles Sparks W 79-77 1468.74 1369.09 65.86% 34.14% +5.30 13-13
2023-08-06 Los Angeles Sparks L 83-91 1474.04 1363.79 67.22% 32.78% -20.88 13-14
2023-08-08 @ Phoenix Mercury L 72-91 1453.16 1364.13 60.57% 39.43% -28.99 13-15
2023-08-11 @ Las Vegas Aces L 89-113 1424.17 1758.70 11.83% 88.17% -6.36 13-16
2023-08-13 Chicago Sky W 83-76 1417.81 1463.06 45.58% 54.42% +15.81 14-16
2023-08-18 @ Indiana Fever W 83-79 1433.62 1314.00 64.69% 35.31% +7.76 15-16
2023-08-20 Dallas Wings L 84-97 1441.38 1584.93 32.23% 67.77% -12.76 15-17
2023-08-22 Connecticut Sun L 64-68 1428.62 1609.91 27.68% 72.32% -6.08 15-18
2023-08-26 Las Vegas Aces W 78-62 1422.54 1773.78 12.58% 87.42% +38.39 16-18
2023-08-29 Minnesota Lynx W 83-72 1460.93 1462.58 51.85% 48.15% +17.54 17-18
2023-08-31 @ Las Vegas Aces L 75-84 1478.47 1718.75 18.75% 81.25% -6.18 17-19
2023-09-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 64-72 1472.29 1436.00 53.14% 46.86% -16.50 17-20
2023-09-05 @ Phoenix Mercury W 100-77 1455.79 1308.29 68.26% 31.74% +16.71 18-20
2023-09-08 Atlanta Dream L 75-80 1472.50 1462.96 53.45% 46.55% -13.12 18-21
2023-09-10 @ New York Liberty W 90-88 1459.38 1768.03 13.47% 86.53% +13.44 19-21

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2023-09-15 @ Dallas Wings L 82-94 1457.18 1567.32 32.80% 67.20% -12.47 0-1
2023-09-19 @ Dallas Wings L 74-101 1444.71 1579.80 29.71% 70.29% -16.95 0-2
2023-09-13 @ Las Vegas Aces L 59-87 1514.23 1738.81 20.16% 79.84% -11.72 0-1
2023-09-17 @ Las Vegas Aces L 70-92 1502.51 1750.52 18.08% 81.92% -9.31 0-2
2023-09-13 Minnesota Lynx W 90-60 1597.38 1431.51 73.85% 26.15% +15.73 1-0
2023-09-17 Minnesota Lynx L 75-82 1613.11 1415.78 77.19% 22.81% -22.43 1-1
2023-09-20 @ Minnesota Lynx W 90-75 1590.68 1438.21 68.88% 31.12% +13.24 2-1
2023-09-24 @ New York Liberty W 78-63 1603.92 1764.67 26.72% 73.28% +31.16 3-1
2023-09-26 @ New York Liberty L 77-84 1635.08 1733.51 34.30% 65.70% -9.96 3-2
2023-09-29 New York Liberty L 81-92 1625.12 1743.47 35.48% 64.52% -12.93 3-3
2023-10-01 New York Liberty L 84-87 1612.19 1756.39 32.15% 67.85% -6.11 3-4
2023-09-15 Atlanta Dream W 94-82 1567.32 1457.18 67.20% 32.80% +12.48 1-0
2023-09-19 Atlanta Dream W 101-74 1579.80 1444.71 70.29% 29.71% +16.95 2-0
2023-09-24 @ Las Vegas Aces L 83-97 1596.75 1759.83 26.46% 73.54% -10.87 2-1
2023-09-26 @ Las Vegas Aces L 84-91 1585.88 1770.71 24.10% 75.90% -7.00 2-2
2023-09-29 Las Vegas Aces L 61-64 1578.88 1777.71 25.71% 74.29% -4.89 2-3
2023-09-13 Chicago Sky W 87-59 1738.81 1514.23 79.84% 20.16% +11.71 1-0
2023-09-17 Chicago Sky W 92-70 1750.52 1502.51 81.92% 18.08% +9.31 2-0
2023-09-24 Dallas Wings W 97-83 1759.83 1596.75 73.54% 26.46% +10.88 3-0
2023-09-26 Dallas Wings W 91-84 1770.71 1585.88 75.90% 24.10% +7.00 4-0
2023-09-29 @ Dallas Wings W 64-61 1777.71 1578.88 74.29% 25.71% +4.89 5-0
2023-10-08 New York Liberty W 99-82 1782.60 1762.51 54.96% 45.04% +20.39 6-0
2023-10-11 New York Liberty W 104-76 1802.99 1742.12 60.68% 39.32% +22.84 7-0
2023-10-15 @ New York Liberty L 73-87 1825.83 1719.27 62.95% 37.05% -25.86 7-1
2023-10-18 @ New York Liberty W 70-69 1799.97 1745.13 55.78% 44.22% +4.86 8-1
2023-09-13 @ Connecticut Sun L 60-90 1431.51 1597.38 26.15% 73.85% -15.73 0-1
2023-09-17 @ Connecticut Sun W 82-75 1415.78 1613.11 22.81% 77.19% +22.43 1-1
2023-09-20 Connecticut Sun L 75-90 1438.21 1590.68 31.12% 68.88% -13.24 1-2
2023-09-15 Washington Mystics W 90-75 1754.59 1472.82 84.62% 15.38% +6.54 1-0
2023-09-19 Washington Mystics W 90-85 1761.13 1466.28 85.58% 14.42% +3.54 2-0
2023-09-24 Connecticut Sun L 63-78 1764.67 1603.92 73.28% 26.72% -31.16 2-1
2023-09-26 Connecticut Sun W 84-77 1733.51 1635.08 65.70% 34.30% +9.96 3-1
2023-09-29 @ Connecticut Sun W 92-81 1743.47 1625.12 64.52% 35.48% +12.92 4-1
2023-10-01 @ Connecticut Sun W 87-84 1756.39 1612.19 67.85% 32.15% +6.12 5-1
2023-10-08 @ Las Vegas Aces L 82-99 1762.51 1782.60 45.04% 54.96% -20.39 5-2
2023-10-11 @ Las Vegas Aces L 76-104 1742.12 1802.99 39.32% 60.68% -22.85 5-3
2023-10-15 Las Vegas Aces W 87-73 1719.27 1825.83 37.05% 62.95% +25.86 6-3
2023-10-18 Las Vegas Aces L 69-70 1745.13 1799.97 44.22% 55.78% -4.85 6-4
2023-09-15 @ New York Liberty L 75-90 1472.82 1754.59 15.38% 84.62% -6.54 0-1
2023-09-19 @ New York Liberty L 85-90 1466.28 1761.13 14.42% 85.58% -3.54 0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2023-08-19 9.92% Los Angeles Sparks 1418.43 78 @ Las Vegas Aces 1787.13 72
2 2023-08-26 12.58% @ Washington Mystics 1422.54 78 Las Vegas Aces 1773.78 62
3 2023-09-10 13.47% Washington Mystics 1459.38 90 @ New York Liberty 1768.03 88
4 2023-07-18 14.54% @ Phoenix Mercury 1340.98 72 Connecticut Sun 1663.11 66
5 2023-08-10 17.41% @ Phoenix Mercury 1393.11 90 Connecticut Sun 1678.08 84
6 2023-09-03 20.04% Indiana Fever 1344.99 97 @ Dallas Wings 1570.92 84
7 2023-07-07 21.12% @ Dallas Wings 1504.95 80 Las Vegas Aces 1748.38 78
8 2023-07-30 21.71% Minnesota Lynx 1465.51 87 @ Connecticut Sun 1673.88 83
9 2023-07-19 22.26% Indiana Fever 1335.77 82 @ Washington Mystics 1538.49 76
10 2023-09-17 * 22.81% Minnesota Lynx 1415.78 82 @ Connecticut Sun 1613.11 75
11 2023-07-28 23.92% Minnesota Lynx 1446.83 88 @ New York Liberty 1633.35 83
12 2023-06-15 24.09% Atlanta Dream 1456.30 92 @ Connecticut Sun 1641.22 88
13 2023-06-13 25.27% @ Indiana Fever 1345.17 87 Washington Mystics 1548.01 66
14 2023-08-10 25.78% @ Indiana Fever 1283.45 91 Minnesota Lynx 1481.63 73
15 2023-09-24 * 26.72% Connecticut Sun 1603.92 78 @ New York Liberty 1764.67 63
16 2023-08-04 27.39% Chicago Sky 1439.79 104 @ Dallas Wings 1594.72 89
17 2023-08-03 27.44% @ Phoenix Mercury 1341.94 91 Atlanta Dream 1525.36 71
18 2023-06-15 28.46% Indiana Fever 1382.77 92 @ Chicago Sky 1528.44 90
19 2023-06-03 29.75% Minnesota Lynx 1399.47 80 @ Washington Mystics 1534.29 78
20 2023-09-10 29.81% Chicago Sky 1488.67 102 @ Connecticut Sun 1622.94 91
21 2023-08-22 30.18% @ Minnesota Lynx 1437.54 91 Dallas Wings 1597.70 86
22 2023-08-24 30.83% Minnesota Lynx 1454.68 90 @ Dallas Wings 1580.55 81
23 2023-08-06 30.85% @ New York Liberty 1638.36 99 Las Vegas Aces 1793.08 61
24 2023-06-13 30.89% Atlanta Dream 1436.22 86 @ New York Liberty 1561.67 79
25 2023-06-30 31.32% @ Atlanta Dream 1424.83 94 Washington Mystics 1575.70 89

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-08-06 46.80 @ New York Liberty 99 1638.36 30.85% Las Vegas Aces 61 1793.08 69.15%
2 2023-08-26 38.40 @ Washington Mystics 78 1422.54 12.58% Las Vegas Aces 62 1773.78 87.42%
3 2023-06-13 37.61 @ Indiana Fever 87 1345.17 25.27% Washington Mystics 66 1548.01 74.73%
4 2023-08-03 35.63 @ Phoenix Mercury 91 1341.94 27.44% Atlanta Dream 71 1525.36 72.56%
5 2023-08-10 34.58 @ Indiana Fever 91 1283.45 25.78% Minnesota Lynx 73 1481.63 74.22%
6 2023-05-30 31.68 @ Atlanta Dream 83 1445.13 32.00% Chicago Sky 65 1590.55 68.00%
7 2023-09-03 31.65 Indiana Fever 97 1344.99 20.04% @ Dallas Wings 84 1570.92 79.96%
8 2023-05-20 31.59 Las Vegas Aces 105 1595.18 55.07% @ Seattle Storm 64 1545.35 44.93%
9 2023-07-12 31.55 Dallas Wings 107 1520.35 54.57% @ Minnesota Lynx 67 1474.01 45.43%
10 2023-09-24 * 31.16 Connecticut Sun 78 1603.92 26.72% @ New York Liberty 63 1764.67 73.28%
11 2023-08-18 31.02 Dallas Wings 95 1553.91 36.83% @ Connecticut Sun 75 1633.18 63.17%
12 2023-08-04 30.88 Chicago Sky 104 1439.79 27.39% @ Dallas Wings 89 1594.72 72.61%
13 2023-05-27 29.79 @ New York Liberty 81 1482.02 32.18% Connecticut Sun 65 1626.05 67.82%
14 2023-06-29 29.72 @ Phoenix Mercury 85 1328.78 42.31% Indiana Fever 63 1397.15 57.69%
15 2023-08-08 28.99 @ Phoenix Mercury 91 1364.13 39.43% Washington Mystics 72 1453.16 60.57%
16 2023-05-19 28.57 @ Los Angeles Sparks 94 1422.71 45.75% Phoenix Mercury 71 1466.82 54.25%
17 2023-07-20 28.41 @ Phoenix Mercury 80 1363.97 39.00% Chicago Sky 62 1456.13 61.00%
18 2023-06-14 28.06 Los Angeles Sparks 79 1463.13 39.77% @ Dallas Wings 61 1520.74 60.23%
19 2023-07-02 27.75 @ Atlanta Dream 112 1441.69 52.25% Los Angeles Sparks 84 1440.50 47.75%
20 2023-06-09 27.45 @ Los Angeles Sparks 77 1450.14 35.45% Chicago Sky 62 1568.70 64.55%
21 2023-09-10 27.14 @ Indiana Fever 87 1345.55 36.18% Minnesota Lynx 72 1458.65 63.82%
22 2023-06-08 26.70 @ Connecticut Sun 94 1604.11 41.02% Las Vegas Aces 77 1681.67 58.98%
23 2023-07-02 26.53 @ Dallas Wings 89 1484.08 41.41% Washington Mystics 72 1558.84 58.59%
24 2023-08-22 25.92 @ Chicago Sky 102 1422.78 50.78% Seattle Storm 79 1431.84 49.22%
25 2023-10-15 * 25.86 @ New York Liberty 87 1719.27 37.05% Las Vegas Aces 73 1825.83 62.95%