Home / Leagues / WNBA / 2015

2015 WNBA Season

204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Minnesota Lynx

3rd Title

Last Title: 2013

Runner-Up

Indiana Fever

3

Last Appearance: 2012

Biggest Overachiever

New York Liberty

4.57 wins above expected

23 wins · 18.43 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

San Antonio Silver Stars

4.87 wins below expected

8 wins · 12.87 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 New York Liberty League 23 11 .676 74.4 71.1 +3.3 18.43 +4.57
2 Chicago Sky Playoffs 21 13 .618 2 82.9 78.8 +4.1 18.40 +2.60
3 Indiana Fever Playoffs 20 14 .588 3 77.7 75.8 +1.9 17.22 +2.78
4 Washington Mystics Playoffs 18 16 .529 5 73.6 71.2 +2.3 18.14 -0.14
5 Connecticut Sun 15 19 .441 8 75.0 76.6 -1.6 16.03 -1.03
6 Atlanta Dream 15 19 .441 8 77.8 79.8 -2.0 14.73 +0.27
# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Minnesota Lynx League 22 12 .647 75.5 71.7 +3.7 21.97 +0.03
2 Phoenix Mercury Playoffs 20 14 .588 2 75.1 72.3 +2.9 21.82 -1.82
3 Tulsa Shock Playoffs 18 16 .529 4 77.7 77.1 +0.6 16.84 +1.16
4 Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs 14 20 .412 8 73.6 74.6 -0.9 14.80 -0.80
5 Seattle Storm 10 24 .294 12 70.4 76.1 -5.6 12.74 -2.74
6 San Antonio Silver Stars 8 26 .235 14 68.1 76.7 -8.6 12.87 -4.87

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

Indiana Fever 2
Chicago Sky 1

3 games · Sep 17–Sep 21

New York Liberty 2
Washington Mystics 1

3 games · Sep 18–Sep 22

Conference Final

Indiana Fever 2
New York Liberty 1

3 games · Sep 23–Sep 29

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

Phoenix Mercury 2
Tulsa Shock 0

2 games · Sep 17–Sep 19

Minnesota Lynx 2
Los Angeles Sparks 1

3 games · Sep 18–Sep 22

Conference Final

Minnesota Lynx 2
Phoenix Mercury 0

2 games · Sep 24–Sep 27

WNBA Finals

Minnesota Lynx 3
Indiana Fever 2

5 games · Oct 4–Oct 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Phoenix Mercury Western 1582 20 21.82 -1.82 31.05% 11 17 20 22 24 26 33
Minnesota Lynx Western 1570 22 21.97 +0.03 57.44% 11 18 20 22 24 26 33
Chicago Sky Eastern 1561 21 18.40 +2.60 86.99% 9 14 17 18 20 23 28
New York Liberty Eastern 1557 23 18.43 +4.57 96.67% 8 14 17 18 20 23 28
Indiana Fever Eastern 1556 20 17.22 +2.78 87.55% 8 13 15 17 19 22 27
Washington Mystics Eastern 1547 18 18.14 -0.14 54.86% 8 14 16 18 20 23 27
Tulsa Shock Western 1504 18 16.84 +1.16 72.82% 7 12 15 17 19 21 27
Los Angeles Sparks Western 1492 14 14.80 -0.80 45.93% 6 10 13 15 17 19 27
Atlanta Dream Eastern 1486 15 14.73 +0.27 61.30% 4 10 13 15 17 19 25
Connecticut Sun Eastern 1436 15 16.03 -1.03 42.10% 4 12 14 16 18 21 27
Seattle Storm Western 1394 10 12.74 -2.74 20.84% 4 8 11 13 15 17 23
San Antonio Silver Stars Western 1316 8 12.87 -4.87 5.00% 4 8 11 13 15 17 22

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Atlanta Dream
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
3-2
(2.5 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
1-4
(2.0 exp.)
4-0
(1.7 exp.)
Chicago Sky
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
2-3
(2.7 exp.)
4-0
(2.1 exp.)
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
4-1
(2.6 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
2-3
(2.5 exp.)
3-2
(2.3 exp.)
0-4
(2.0 exp.)
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
Indiana Fever
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
0-4
(1.9 exp.)
4-0
(2.0 exp.)
4-1
(2.5 exp.)
2-3
(2.3 exp.)
New York Liberty
4-1
(3.0 exp.)
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
4-0
(2.5 exp.)
1-4
(2.5 exp.)
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
Washington Mystics
0-4
(2.3 exp.)
1-4
(2.4 exp.)
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
3-2
(2.7 exp.)
3-1
(2.0 exp.)

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Atlanta Dream
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
Chicago Sky
0-2
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
Indiana Fever
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
New York Liberty
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
Washington Mystics
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)

Within Western

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Los Angeles Sparks
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
2-2
(1.2 exp.)
4-1
(2.8 exp.)
0-4
(2.3 exp.)
3-2
(2.3 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
2-3
(2.5 exp.)
4-0
(2.9 exp.)
4-1
(3.7 exp.)
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
2-2
(2.8 exp.)
3-2
(2.5 exp.)
3-1
(2.9 exp.)
4-0
(2.9 exp.)
3-2
(3.1 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
1-4
(2.2 exp.)
0-4
(1.1 exp.)
1-3
(1.1 exp.)
3-2
(2.3 exp.)
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
Seattle Storm
4-0
(1.7 exp.)
1-4
(1.3 exp.)
0-4
(1.1 exp.)
2-3
(2.7 exp.)
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
2-3
(2.7 exp.)
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
2-3
(1.9 exp.)
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
3-1
(2.5 exp.)

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Los Angeles Sparks
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
Seattle Storm
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<500.49%0.25%0.74%
50–590.98%1.96%1.96%2.21%0.25%7.35%
60–690.49%1.96%3.43%11.03%4.66%0.49%22.06%
70–790.25%1.96%11.03%9.80%8.82%2.70%0.25%34.80%
80–892.21%4.66%8.82%6.37%1.96%0.49%24.51%
90–990.25%0.49%2.70%1.96%2.94%0.74%9.07%
100+0.25%0.49%0.74%1.47%
Total0.74%7.35%22.06%34.80%24.51%9.07%1.47%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 75.14 75.14 +0.00
SD 11.11 11.11 13.39
CV 0.15 0.15
Max 106 106 +35
Min 45 45 -35

Games Played: 204

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–59
60–692.94%11.76%2.94%17.65%
70–792.94%11.76%11.76%17.65%2.94%2.94%50.00%
80–892.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
90–992.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%2.94%20.59%
100+2.94%2.94%
Total2.94%17.65%29.41%26.47%14.71%8.82%100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.79 79.76 -1.97
SD 10.67 12.32 11.26
CV 0.14 0.15
Max 102 106 +30
Min 64 57 -29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–59
60–695.88%8.82%5.88%20.59%
70–795.88%5.88%8.82%20.59%
80–892.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%17.65%
90–992.94%11.76%11.76%5.88%2.94%35.29%
100+2.94%2.94%5.88%
Total2.94%17.65%29.41%38.24%8.82%2.94%100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 82.88 78.82 +4.06
SD 12.80 10.82 13.90
CV 0.15 0.14
Max 106 101 +28
Min 63 57 -21

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
60–695.88%5.88%2.94%14.71%
70–792.94%5.88%14.71%11.76%8.82%44.12%
80–892.94%2.94%11.76%5.88%2.94%26.47%
90–992.94%2.94%5.88%
100+
Total5.88%17.65%38.24%23.53%11.76%2.94%100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 75.00 76.62 -1.62
SD 9.16 10.88 12.38
CV 0.12 0.14
Max 92 102 +31
Min 51 51 -30

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%2.94%
60–692.94%5.88%8.82%
70–792.94%14.71%11.76%11.76%5.88%47.06%
80–892.94%5.88%14.71%2.94%2.94%2.94%32.35%
90–992.94%2.94%5.88%
100+2.94%2.94%
Total5.88%23.53%35.29%23.53%8.82%2.94%100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.68 75.79 +1.88
SD 9.49 12.03 14.82
CV 0.12 0.16
Max 106 106 +30
Min 50 50 -26

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%5.88%8.82%
60–692.94%2.94%17.65%5.88%2.94%32.35%
70–798.82%5.88%8.82%23.53%
80–892.94%2.94%8.82%5.88%20.59%
90–992.94%2.94%8.82%14.71%
100+
Total11.76%20.59%35.29%20.59%11.76%100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 73.62 74.56 -0.94
SD 12.38 11.00 13.21
CV 0.17 0.15
Max 98 95 +31
Min 52 52 -30

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–59
60–692.94%2.94%14.71%8.82%29.41%
70–795.88%14.71%11.76%2.94%35.29%
80–892.94%5.88%14.71%5.88%2.94%32.35%
90–992.94%2.94%
100+
Total2.94%11.76%20.59%44.12%17.65%2.94%100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 75.47 71.74 +3.74
SD 8.28 9.96 12.51
CV 0.11 0.14
Max 94 90 +25
Min 61 49 -22

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
60–695.88%2.94%2.94%5.88%17.65%
70–792.94%14.71%11.76%14.71%44.12%
80–8911.76%11.76%2.94%26.47%
90–992.94%2.94%
100+
Total2.94%8.82%29.41%32.35%26.47%100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 74.38 71.06 +3.32
SD 9.12 9.57 12.32
CV 0.12 0.13
Max 90 84 +28
Min 55 45 -27

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%5.88%8.82%
60–6917.65%17.65%
70–792.94%17.65%11.76%2.94%35.29%
80–895.88%5.88%8.82%8.82%2.94%32.35%
90–992.94%2.94%5.88%
100+
Total8.82%26.47%47.06%8.82%8.82%100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 75.15 72.29 +2.85
SD 10.36 9.72 12.08
CV 0.14 0.13
Max 94 91 +31
Min 56 52 -15

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<502.94%2.94%5.88%
50–592.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%2.94%20.59%
60–692.94%2.94%14.71%8.82%29.41%
70–792.94%11.76%11.76%26.47%
80–892.94%5.88%5.88%14.71%
90–99
100+2.94%2.94%
Total5.88%14.71%32.35%38.24%8.82%100%

San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 68.06 76.71 -8.65
SD 12.60 9.99 13.30
CV 0.19 0.13
Max 102 95 +18
Min 45 58 -35

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<502.94%2.94%
50–592.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
60–695.88%5.88%14.71%8.82%2.94%38.24%
70–798.82%5.88%8.82%5.88%29.41%
80–895.88%5.88%2.94%5.88%20.59%
90–99
100+
Total8.82%23.53%29.41%23.53%14.71%100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 70.41 76.06 -5.65
SD 10.09 11.52 13.36
CV 0.14 0.15
Max 89 94 +25
Min 45 54 -28

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%5.88%8.82%
60–692.94%8.82%11.76%
70–792.94%11.76%5.88%5.88%5.88%32.35%
80–898.82%11.76%11.76%32.35%
90–995.88%5.88%11.76%
100+2.94%2.94%
Total2.94%2.94%23.53%26.47%29.41%14.71%100%

Tulsa Shock — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.71 77.06 +0.65
SD 10.74 12.32 13.32
CV 0.14 0.16
Max 101 98 +27
Min 55 45 -31

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%5.88%2.94%11.76%
60–692.94%11.76%11.76%26.47%
70–792.94%14.71%8.82%2.94%29.41%
80–895.88%11.76%11.76%29.41%
90–992.94%2.94%
100+
Total11.76%29.41%38.24%17.65%2.94%100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 73.56 71.24 +2.32
SD 10.88 9.95 13.32
CV 0.15 0.14
Max 91 93 +35
Min 50 50 -28

Games Played: 34

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 New York Liberty 23 18.43 +4.57
2 Indiana Fever 20 17.22 +2.78
3 Chicago Sky 21 18.40 +2.60
4 Tulsa Shock 18 16.84 +1.16
5 Atlanta Dream 15 14.73 +0.27

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 San Antonio Silver Stars 8 12.87 -4.87
2 Seattle Storm 10 12.74 -2.74
3 Phoenix Mercury 20 21.82 -1.82
4 Connecticut Sun 15 16.03 -1.03
5 Los Angeles Sparks 14 14.80 -0.80

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Connecticut Sun 7 Jun 7 – Jun 26 1 in 209
2 Tulsa Shock 8 Jun 6 – Jun 28 1 in 171
3 Indiana Fever 6 Aug 7 – Aug 23 1 in 85
4 Los Angeles Sparks 4 Jul 31 – Aug 6 1 in 64
5 New York Liberty 5 Jul 15 – Jul 22 1 in 35

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tulsa Shock 10 Jul 15 – Aug 12 1 in 670
2 Connecticut Sun 7 Aug 14 – Aug 29 1 in 91
3 Los Angeles Sparks 7 Jun 6 – Jun 28 1 in 62
4 San Antonio Silver Stars 10 Aug 11 – Sep 8 1 in 56
5 Phoenix Mercury 3 Aug 16 – Aug 21 1 in 40

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team123456
New York Liberty26.10%22.24%18.42%15.47%10.94%6.83%
Chicago Sky25.31%22.32%19.37%15.03%11.34%6.63%
Washington Mystics23.53%20.71%18.76%16.44%12.38%8.18%
Indiana Fever14.56%17.55%18.55%18.52%17.45%13.37%
Connecticut Sun7.06%10.76%15.52%19.21%23.53%23.92%
Atlanta Dream3.44%6.42%9.38%15.33%24.36%41.07%
Team123456
Minnesota Lynx48.31%40.31%8.91%2.05%0.32%0.10%
Phoenix Mercury46.67%39.84%10.32%2.53%0.55%0.09%
Tulsa Shock3.80%13.14%42.22%24.04%11.79%5.01%
Los Angeles Sparks0.92%4.36%21.81%32.57%24.57%15.77%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.11%1.30%8.58%19.55%31.40%39.06%
Seattle Storm0.19%1.05%8.16%19.26%31.37%39.97%
Team123456789101112
Minnesota Lynx38.29%26.02%14.96%8.49%5.37%2.93%2.05%0.97%0.61%0.20%0.07%0.04%
Phoenix Mercury37.84%24.59%14.45%9.17%5.88%3.49%2.02%1.37%0.68%0.34%0.12%0.05%
New York Liberty6.20%11.02%14.14%14.58%12.93%12.14%9.18%7.20%5.69%3.69%2.30%0.93%
Chicago Sky5.49%10.78%14.82%14.64%13.46%11.46%9.48%7.15%5.65%3.78%2.54%0.75%
Washington Mystics5.08%10.06%13.16%13.95%12.90%11.56%10.13%8.27%6.29%4.68%2.73%1.19%
Indiana Fever2.69%6.44%9.78%11.35%12.44%12.34%11.60%10.02%9.02%7.18%4.87%2.27%
Tulsa Shock2.43%4.92%7.45%8.85%11.29%13.16%12.88%11.97%9.95%8.12%5.61%3.37%
Connecticut Sun1.02%3.01%5.26%7.72%9.76%11.33%12.39%12.44%12.10%11.00%8.97%5.00%
Atlanta Dream0.44%1.28%2.82%4.39%5.90%7.79%9.52%12.50%13.80%15.08%14.71%11.77%
Los Angeles Sparks0.41%1.33%2.16%4.59%5.89%7.62%10.50%12.55%14.14%14.70%14.65%11.46%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.03%0.32%0.51%1.29%2.08%3.00%5.04%8.11%11.66%15.51%21.68%30.77%
Seattle Storm0.08%0.23%0.49%0.98%2.10%3.18%5.21%7.45%10.41%15.72%21.75%32.40%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
New York Liberty26.10%22.24%18.42%15.47%17.77%
Chicago Sky25.31%22.32%19.37%15.03%17.97%
Washington Mystics23.53%20.71%18.76%16.44%20.56%
Indiana Fever14.56%17.55%18.55%18.52%30.82%
Connecticut Sun7.06%10.76%15.52%19.21%47.45%
Atlanta Dream3.44%6.42%9.38%15.33%65.43%
Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Minnesota Lynx48.31%40.31%8.91%2.05%0.42%
Phoenix Mercury46.67%39.84%10.32%2.53%0.64%
Tulsa Shock3.80%13.14%42.22%24.04%16.80%
Los Angeles Sparks0.92%4.36%21.81%32.57%40.34%
Seattle Storm0.19%1.05%8.16%19.26%71.34%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.11%1.30%8.58%19.55%70.46%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals
Phoenix Mercury 99.36% 73.28% 42.14% 24.05%
Minnesota Lynx 99.58% 72.15% 38.59% 21.15%
Chicago Sky 82.03% 47.18% 25.50% 12.77%
New York Liberty 82.23% 46.87% 25.15% 12.38%
Washington Mystics 79.44% 42.40% 21.25% 9.93%
Indiana Fever 69.18% 37.30% 19.47% 9.27%
Tulsa Shock 83.20% 28.42% 10.60% 4.48%
Los Angeles Sparks 59.66% 18.86% 7.34% 2.88%
Atlanta Dream 34.57% 12.46% 4.61% 1.59%
Connecticut Sun 52.55% 13.79% 4.02% 1.22%
Seattle Storm 28.66% 4.48% 0.96% 0.22%
San Antonio Silver Stars 29.54% 2.81% 0.37% 0.06%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream2.73%1.95%2.01%2.87%2.90%
Chicago Sky5.68%10.35%9.37%10.71%11.07%
Connecticut Sun1.59%2.76%2.48%3.55%3.41%
Indiana Fever3.97%8.53%6.91%8.87%9.02%
New York Liberty5.84%11.03%10.07%9.29%10.64%
Washington Mystics5.03%9.80%9.48%8.73%9.36%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks8.59%7.53%0.32%0.42%2.00%
Minnesota Lynx19.41%3.75%12.51%11.54%24.94%
Phoenix Mercury18.94%3.77%12.37%11.20%27.00%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.07%1.28%1.10%0.04%0.32%
Seattle Storm0.12%2.01%1.71%0.12%0.52%
Tulsa Shock2.26%11.78%11.99%1.41%0.98%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream1.10%0.52%0.88%1.07%1.04%
Chicago Sky2.35%2.47%6.10%7.52%7.06%
Connecticut Sun0.35%1.00%0.62%1.18%0.87%
Indiana Fever1.61%5.48%1.95%5.49%4.94%
New York Liberty1.93%7.59%2.55%5.84%7.24%
Washington Mystics1.61%6.51%2.28%4.39%6.46%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks2.22%2.90%0.14%0.25%1.83%
Minnesota Lynx4.51%24.24%0.91%1.19%7.74%
Phoenix Mercury4.76%27.17%0.85%1.41%7.95%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.06%0.09%0.09%0.02%0.11%
Seattle Storm0.19%0.25%0.32%0.01%0.19%
Tulsa Shock2.00%3.83%3.59%0.53%0.65%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa ShockWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream0.17%0.63%0.50%0.04%0.25%
Chicago Sky1.17%4.79%4.73%0.14%0.20%1.74%
Connecticut Sun0.11%0.44%0.50%0.01%0.16%
Indiana Fever0.84%3.23%3.72%0.06%0.21%1.21%
Los Angeles Sparks0.17%0.55%0.21%0.62%0.73%0.60%
Minnesota Lynx1.17%5.21%1.21%4.21%4.72%4.63%
New York Liberty1.17%4.83%4.64%0.06%0.12%1.56%
Phoenix Mercury1.41%5.86%1.14%4.47%6.23%4.94%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.01%0.02%0.01%0.01%0.01%
Seattle Storm0.01%0.03%0.02%0.01%0.07%0.08%
Tulsa Shock0.25%1.06%0.21%0.88%1.02%1.06%
Washington Mystics1.00%3.52%4.00%0.04%0.17%1.20%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals Actual Outcome
Minnesota Lynx 69.92% 39.68% 21.08% Won Finals
Indiana Fever 42.81% 21.51% 10.69% Eliminated in Finals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago SkyIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Chicago Sky57.19%
Indiana Fever42.81%
New York Liberty57.47%
Washington Mystics42.53%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercuryTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks30.08%
Minnesota Lynx69.92%
Phoenix Mercury69.98%
Tulsa Shock30.02%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago SkyIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Chicago Sky15.24%13.67%
Indiana Fever10.82%10.69%
New York Liberty17.94%13.47%
Washington Mystics10.34%7.83%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercuryTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks6.56%3.69%
Minnesota Lynx26.44%13.24%
Phoenix Mercury14.62%22.36%
Tulsa Shock5.21%7.88%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago SkyIndiana FeverLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercuryTulsa ShockWashington Mystics
Chicago Sky1.93%5.30%5.19%2.48%
Indiana Fever1.39%4.03%3.58%1.69%
Los Angeles Sparks0.98%0.85%1.24%0.64%
Minnesota Lynx6.41%4.50%5.95%4.22%
New York Liberty2.08%6.45%5.76%2.66%
Phoenix Mercury5.32%4.55%5.64%4.11%
Tulsa Shock1.30%0.92%1.63%1.03%
Washington Mystics1.14%2.82%2.83%1.38%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Minnesota Lynx 21.08% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
69.92%
Semifinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
66.63%
Win Prob
54.18%
Finals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
30.41%
Win Prob
54.74%
Phoenix Mercury 19.62% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Tulsa Shock
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
69.98%
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
60.47%
Win Prob
45.82%
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
28.75%
Win Prob
49.47%
New York Liberty 16.95% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Washington Mystics
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
57.47%
Semifinals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
57.12%
Win Prob
54.07%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
38.05%
Win Prob
52.02%
Chicago Sky 14.90% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
57.19%
Semifinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
52.72%
Win Prob
45.93%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
35.57%
Win Prob
45.26%
Indiana Fever 10.69% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
42.81%
Semifinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
50.30%
Win Prob
44.55%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
37.70%
Win Prob
47.25%
Washington Mystics 8.17% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
42.53%
Semifinals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
56.91%
Win Prob
43.07%
Finals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
34.64%
Win Prob
40.78%
Tulsa Shock 4.88% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
30.02%
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
60.20%
Win Prob
37.31%
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
33.40%
Win Prob
38.00%
Los Angeles Sparks 3.71% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
30.08%
Semifinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
64.00%
Win Prob
30.97%
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
33.42%
Win Prob
37.35%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2015-06-05 @ New York Liberty L 73-82 1502.05 1468.48 42.89% 57.11% -10.26 0-1
2015-06-07 Connecticut Sun L 70-75 1491.79 1460.97 65.86% 34.14% -11.73 0-2
2015-06-11 San Antonio Silver Stars W 72-69 1480.06 1476.11 62.30% 37.70% +5.20 1-2
2015-06-12 @ Washington Mystics W 64-61 1485.26 1503.28 35.82% 64.18% +8.86 2-2
2015-06-14 @ Connecticut Sun L 64-82 1494.12 1477.29 40.55% 59.45% -13.71 2-3
2015-06-16 Indiana Fever L 79-90 1480.41 1443.44 66.65% 33.35% -17.62 2-4
2015-06-19 Chicago Sky W 74-73 1462.79 1509.91 55.19% 44.81% +3.57 3-4
2015-06-21 New York Liberty L 64-73 1466.36 1455.36 63.25% 36.75% -15.12 3-5
2015-06-24 @ Chicago Sky L 96-100 1451.24 1517.83 29.67% 70.33% -4.73 3-6
2015-06-26 Washington Mystics W 72-69 1446.51 1524.67 50.74% 49.26% +6.80 4-6
2015-07-05 Seattle Storm W 72-64 1453.31 1423.77 65.69% 34.31% +7.73 5-6
2015-07-07 Tulsa Shock L 75-85 1461.04 1522.28 53.17% 46.83% -13.40 5-7
2015-07-12 New York Liberty W 84-76 1447.64 1496.35 54.96% 45.04% +10.16 6-7
2015-07-14 @ Phoenix Mercury L 71-80 1457.80 1612.28 20.28% 79.72% -4.85 6-8
2015-07-16 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 76-72 1452.95 1415.16 43.49% 56.51% +9.00 7-8
2015-07-18 @ Seattle Storm L 73-86 1461.95 1399.48 47.00% 53.00% -13.50 7-9
2015-07-21 @ Chicago Sky L 92-97 1448.45 1549.06 25.75% 74.25% -4.59 7-10
2015-07-29 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 85-102 1443.86 1431.98 39.86% 60.14% -13.10 7-11
2015-07-31 @ Minnesota Lynx L 70-86 1430.76 1634.20 16.10% 83.90% -5.14 7-12
2015-08-02 Phoenix Mercury L 68-71 1425.62 1613.65 35.37% 64.63% -4.88 7-13
2015-08-07 @ Indiana Fever L 77-106 1420.74 1497.72 28.44% 71.56% -12.21 7-14
2015-08-09 @ Tulsa Shock W 98-90 1408.53 1461.42 31.35% 68.65% +15.48 8-14
2015-08-14 Minnesota Lynx L 82-84 1424.01 1621.96 34.08% 65.92% -3.84 8-15
2015-08-16 Connecticut Sun W 90-77 1420.17 1485.21 52.63% 47.37% +13.61 9-15
2015-08-21 @ New York Liberty L 67-78 1433.78 1575.02 21.54% 78.46% -5.69 9-16
2015-08-23 @ Connecticut Sun W 102-92 1428.09 1462.99 33.62% 66.38% +16.73 10-16
2015-08-25 Connecticut Sun W 71-57 1444.82 1446.26 61.57% 38.43% +11.46 11-16
2015-08-28 @ Indiana Fever W 90-84 1456.28 1566.68 24.69% 75.31% +14.70 12-16
2015-08-29 Chicago Sky L 96-98 1470.98 1537.76 52.38% 47.62% -5.90 12-17
2015-09-01 @ New York Liberty L 75-80 1465.08 1600.76 22.09% 77.91% -3.94 12-18
2015-09-06 Washington Mystics W 73-67 1461.14 1528.25 52.33% 47.67% +9.31 13-18
2015-09-09 Los Angeles Sparks W 90-60 1470.45 1516.10 55.40% 44.60% +19.47 14-18
2015-09-11 Indiana Fever L 67-75 1489.92 1536.18 55.31% 44.69% -12.47 14-19
2015-09-13 @ Washington Mystics W 73-71 1477.45 1554.75 28.40% 71.60% +8.07 15-19
2015-06-05 Indiana Fever W 95-72 1485.05 1494.25 60.51% 39.49% +15.10 1-0
2015-06-06 @ Tulsa Shock L 93-101 1500.15 1464.72 43.15% 56.85% -9.73 1-1
2015-06-11 @ Connecticut Sun L 65-67 1490.42 1472.70 40.67% 59.33% -4.59 1-2
2015-06-14 @ Indiana Fever W 98-72 1485.83 1467.52 40.75% 59.25% +24.08 2-2
2015-06-19 @ Atlanta Dream L 73-74 1509.91 1462.79 44.81% 55.19% -3.57 2-3
2015-06-20 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 95-87 1506.34 1429.63 49.05% 50.95% +11.49 3-3
2015-06-24 Atlanta Dream W 100-96 1517.83 1451.24 70.33% 29.67% +4.73 4-3
2015-06-26 @ Indiana Fever W 83-77 1522.56 1465.80 46.19% 53.81% +10.50 5-3
2015-06-28 @ Washington Mystics L 71-86 1533.06 1517.87 40.32% 59.68% -12.44 5-4
2015-06-30 New York Liberty L 81-89 1520.62 1472.00 68.12% 31.88% -15.36 5-5
2015-07-02 @ Connecticut Sun W 77-74 1505.26 1531.83 34.69% 65.31% +9.01 6-5
2015-07-10 Minnesota Lynx W 90-83 1514.27 1613.31 47.74% 52.26% +11.02 7-5
2015-07-12 Connecticut Sun W 96-76 1525.29 1522.81 62.10% 37.90% +13.51 8-5
2015-07-15 Washington Mystics W 85-57 1538.80 1503.58 66.43% 33.57% +14.16 9-5
2015-07-17 @ Minnesota Lynx L 66-84 1552.96 1617.60 29.91% 70.09% -10.11 9-6
2015-07-19 San Antonio Silver Stars W 93-82 1542.85 1421.26 76.49% 23.51% +6.21 10-6
2015-07-21 Atlanta Dream W 97-92 1549.06 1448.45 74.25% 25.75% +4.59 11-6
2015-07-28 @ Phoenix Mercury L 87-89 1553.65 1596.76 32.57% 67.43% -3.67 11-7
2015-07-31 Los Angeles Sparks L 77-88 1549.98 1405.91 78.73% 21.27% -20.81 11-8
2015-08-02 Washington Mystics W 71-68 1529.17 1554.54 58.26% 41.74% +5.76 12-8
2015-08-04 Indiana Fever W 106-82 1534.93 1511.42 64.91% 35.09% +13.70 13-8
2015-08-07 New York Liberty L 63-77 1548.63 1524.60 64.97% 35.03% -19.37 13-9
2015-08-09 Phoenix Mercury W 74-64 1529.26 1629.63 47.55% 52.45% +13.22 14-9
2015-08-11 @ New York Liberty L 63-84 1542.48 1543.98 38.03% 61.97% -13.89 14-10
2015-08-14 @ Seattle Storm W 94-84 1528.59 1392.60 57.52% 42.48% +10.70 15-10
2015-08-16 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 64-76 1539.29 1454.53 50.21% 49.79% -13.86 15-11
2015-08-21 Washington Mystics W 87-85 1525.43 1564.68 56.31% 43.69% +4.93 16-11
2015-08-23 @ Washington Mystics W 66-64 1530.36 1559.75 34.33% 65.67% +7.40 17-11
2015-08-29 @ Atlanta Dream W 98-96 1537.76 1470.98 47.62% 52.38% +5.90 18-11
2015-08-30 Connecticut Sun L 68-72 1543.66 1419.69 76.73% 23.27% -12.23 18-12
2015-09-03 @ New York Liberty W 82-60 1531.43 1604.70 28.88% 71.12% +26.59 19-12
2015-09-06 Seattle Storm W 93-65 1558.02 1390.55 80.90% 19.10% +8.05 20-12
2015-09-11 Tulsa Shock W 92-71 1566.07 1506.83 69.44% 30.56% +11.17 21-12
2015-09-13 @ Connecticut Sun L 75-86 1577.24 1420.17 60.46% 39.54% -15.99 21-13
2015-06-05 Washington Mystics L 68-73 1471.62 1486.25 59.76% 40.24% -10.65 0-1
2015-06-07 @ Atlanta Dream W 75-70 1460.97 1491.79 34.14% 65.86% +11.73 1-1
2015-06-11 Chicago Sky W 67-65 1472.70 1490.42 59.33% 40.67% +4.59 2-1
2015-06-14 Atlanta Dream W 82-64 1477.29 1494.12 59.45% 40.55% +13.71 3-1
2015-06-16 @ Seattle Storm W 79-58 1491.00 1467.47 41.48% 58.52% +21.37 4-1
2015-06-19 @ Phoenix Mercury W 90-78 1512.37 1603.51 26.81% 73.19% +20.21 5-1
2015-06-21 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 76-68 1532.58 1461.44 48.25% 51.75% +11.66 6-1
2015-06-26 Los Angeles Sparks W 80-76 1544.24 1445.12 74.08% 25.92% +4.14 7-1
2015-06-30 Indiana Fever L 84-92 1548.38 1455.30 73.41% 26.59% -16.55 7-2
2015-07-02 Chicago Sky L 74-77 1531.83 1505.26 65.31% 34.69% -9.02 7-3
2015-07-12 @ Chicago Sky L 76-96 1522.81 1525.29 37.90% 62.10% -13.51 7-4
2015-07-14 Minnesota Lynx L 79-85 1509.30 1608.27 47.75% 52.25% -9.32 7-5
2015-07-16 @ New York Liberty L 57-64 1499.98 1495.62 38.83% 61.17% -8.18 7-6
2015-07-19 @ Washington Mystics L 82-89 1491.80 1503.44 36.67% 63.33% -7.74 7-7
2015-07-22 @ Minnesota Lynx W 78-77 1484.06 1637.68 20.36% 79.64% +6.35 8-7
2015-07-28 Indiana Fever L 73-75 1490.41 1481.84 62.92% 37.08% -7.09 8-8
2015-07-31 Seattle Storm W 67-66 1483.32 1398.55 72.46% 27.54% +2.19 9-8
2015-08-02 @ Indiana Fever L 70-83 1485.51 1501.03 36.15% 63.85% -10.38 9-9
2015-08-04 San Antonio Silver Stars W 82-51 1475.13 1414.80 69.57% 30.43% +13.50 10-9
2015-08-07 Washington Mystics W 86-72 1488.63 1551.67 52.91% 47.09% +14.04 11-9
2015-08-09 @ Washington Mystics L 73-84 1502.67 1537.63 33.61% 66.39% -8.88 11-10
2015-08-12 Tulsa Shock W 80-74 1493.79 1445.94 68.03% 31.97% +6.24 12-10
2015-08-14 New York Liberty L 78-90 1500.03 1557.87 53.66% 46.34% -14.82 12-11
2015-08-16 @ Atlanta Dream L 77-90 1485.21 1420.17 47.37% 52.63% -13.61 12-12
2015-08-21 @ Tulsa Shock L 76-84 1471.60 1471.79 38.21% 61.79% -8.61 12-13
2015-08-23 Atlanta Dream L 92-102 1462.99 1428.09 66.38% 33.62% -16.73 12-14
2015-08-25 @ Atlanta Dream L 57-71 1446.26 1444.82 38.43% 61.57% -11.46 12-15
2015-08-27 Phoenix Mercury L 80-81 1434.80 1575.33 41.84% 58.16% -3.34 12-16
2015-08-29 New York Liberty L 66-80 1431.46 1588.99 39.48% 60.52% -11.77 12-17
2015-08-30 @ Chicago Sky W 72-68 1419.69 1543.66 23.27% 76.73% +12.23 13-17
2015-09-01 @ Indiana Fever L 51-81 1431.92 1542.84 24.64% 75.36% -10.75 13-18
2015-09-04 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 73-72 1421.17 1331.25 50.95% 49.05% +3.90 14-18
2015-09-09 @ New York Liberty L 64-74 1425.07 1588.37 19.47% 80.53% -4.90 14-19
2015-09-13 Chicago Sky W 86-75 1420.17 1577.24 39.54% 60.46% +15.98 15-19
2015-06-05 @ Chicago Sky L 72-95 1494.25 1485.05 39.49% 60.51% -15.10 0-1
2015-06-06 Minnesota Lynx L 69-78 1479.15 1568.76 49.09% 50.91% -11.74 0-2
2015-06-09 @ New York Liberty L 79-86 1467.41 1472.36 37.57% 62.43% -7.92 0-3
2015-06-12 Phoenix Mercury W 77-74 1459.49 1599.81 41.87% 58.13% +8.03 1-3
2015-06-14 Chicago Sky L 72-98 1467.52 1485.83 59.25% 40.75% -24.08 1-4
2015-06-16 @ Atlanta Dream W 90-79 1443.44 1480.41 33.35% 66.65% +17.62 2-4
2015-06-19 @ New York Liberty W 80-63 1461.06 1476.33 36.18% 63.82% +20.97 3-4
2015-06-20 Washington Mystics L 75-87 1482.03 1503.78 58.77% 41.23% -16.23 3-5
2015-06-26 Chicago Sky L 77-83 1465.80 1522.56 53.81% 46.19% -10.50 3-6
2015-06-30 @ Connecticut Sun W 92-84 1455.30 1548.38 26.59% 73.41% +16.55 4-6
2015-07-02 Washington Mystics W 73-50 1471.85 1530.31 53.57% 46.43% +17.74 5-6
2015-07-08 Seattle Storm W 88-65 1489.59 1416.04 71.16% 28.84% +11.03 6-6
2015-07-10 San Antonio Silver Stars W 83-76 1500.62 1430.96 70.69% 29.31% +6.18 7-6
2015-07-15 Tulsa Shock W 83-80 1506.80 1543.53 56.66% 43.34% +5.98 8-6
2015-07-17 @ Washington Mystics L 50-68 1512.78 1489.42 41.46% 58.54% -14.02 8-7
2015-07-21 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 62-80 1498.76 1415.05 50.06% 49.94% -16.92 8-8
2015-07-28 @ Connecticut Sun W 75-73 1481.84 1490.41 37.08% 62.92% +7.09 9-8
2015-07-29 New York Liberty W 84-72 1488.93 1529.18 56.17% 43.83% +12.10 10-8
2015-08-02 Connecticut Sun W 83-70 1501.03 1485.51 63.85% 36.15% +10.39 11-8
2015-08-04 @ Chicago Sky L 82-106 1511.42 1534.93 35.09% 64.91% -13.70 11-9
2015-08-07 Atlanta Dream W 106-77 1497.72 1420.74 71.56% 28.44% +12.20 12-9
2015-08-11 @ Washington Mystics W 73-62 1509.92 1546.52 33.40% 66.60% +17.61 13-9
2015-08-16 @ Phoenix Mercury W 75-63 1527.53 1621.32 26.51% 73.49% +20.29 14-9
2015-08-18 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 79-68 1547.82 1468.39 49.44% 50.56% +13.36 15-9
2015-08-21 @ Seattle Storm W 75-63 1561.18 1391.73 62.15% 37.85% +10.45 16-9
2015-08-23 New York Liberty W 80-79 1571.63 1580.71 60.52% 39.48% +3.15 17-9
2015-08-26 Los Angeles Sparks L 79-81 1574.78 1495.07 71.88% 28.12% -8.10 17-10
2015-08-28 Atlanta Dream L 84-90 1566.68 1456.28 75.31% 24.69% -14.70 17-11
2015-08-30 @ Tulsa Shock L 70-76 1551.98 1490.83 46.81% 53.19% -9.14 17-12
2015-09-01 Connecticut Sun W 81-51 1542.84 1431.92 75.36% 24.64% +10.75 18-12
2015-09-04 @ Minnesota Lynx L 65-81 1553.59 1586.55 33.86% 66.14% -10.80 18-13
2015-09-08 @ Washington Mystics L 72-76 1542.79 1518.95 41.53% 58.47% -6.61 18-14
2015-09-11 @ Atlanta Dream W 75-67 1536.18 1489.92 44.69% 55.31% +12.46 19-14
2015-09-13 New York Liberty W 81-76 1548.64 1564.09 59.64% 40.36% +7.20 20-14
2015-06-06 @ Seattle Storm L 61-86 1506.78 1460.96 44.63% 55.37% -17.79 0-1
2015-06-14 Seattle Storm L 54-60 1488.99 1454.52 66.33% 33.67% -12.95 0-2
2015-06-16 Minnesota Lynx L 52-67 1476.04 1578.16 47.30% 52.70% -14.60 0-3
2015-06-21 Connecticut Sun L 68-76 1461.44 1532.58 51.75% 48.25% -11.66 0-4
2015-06-23 @ Washington Mystics L 80-84 1449.78 1520.01 29.24% 70.76% -4.66 0-5
2015-06-26 @ Connecticut Sun L 76-80 1445.12 1544.24 25.92% 74.08% -4.13 0-6
2015-06-28 @ New York Liberty L 70-79 1440.99 1463.58 35.21% 64.79% -8.42 0-7
2015-07-02 San Antonio Silver Stars W 86-81 1432.57 1429.10 62.23% 37.77% +6.73 1-7
2015-07-03 Tulsa Shock W 98-95 1439.30 1529.31 49.04% 50.96% +7.03 2-7
2015-07-05 Phoenix Mercury L 91-94 1446.33 1592.02 41.12% 58.88% -5.67 2-8
2015-07-08 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 63-70 1440.66 1422.37 40.75% 59.25% -8.60 2-9
2015-07-11 @ Tulsa Shock L 67-82 1432.06 1535.68 25.43% 74.57% -7.84 2-10
2015-07-15 @ Seattle Storm L 61-68 1424.22 1390.43 42.92% 57.08% -9.06 2-11
2015-07-16 Atlanta Dream L 72-76 1415.16 1452.95 56.51% 43.49% -9.00 2-12
2015-07-21 Phoenix Mercury W 70-65 1406.16 1608.61 33.50% 66.50% +11.85 3-12
2015-07-22 New York Liberty L 53-59 1418.01 1519.94 47.32% 52.68% -9.24 3-13
2015-07-29 @ Minnesota Lynx L 76-82 1408.77 1631.34 14.67% 85.33% -2.86 3-14
2015-07-31 @ Chicago Sky W 88-77 1405.91 1549.98 21.27% 78.73% +20.81 4-14
2015-08-02 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 80-78 1426.72 1421.69 38.92% 61.08% +6.88 5-14
2015-08-04 Minnesota Lynx W 83-61 1433.60 1647.24 32.08% 67.92% +25.39 6-14
2015-08-06 Tulsa Shock W 84-57 1458.99 1478.36 59.10% 40.90% +16.94 7-14
2015-08-09 @ Minnesota Lynx L 64-72 1475.93 1613.78 21.87% 78.13% -4.93 7-15
2015-08-11 Seattle Storm L 77-85 1471.00 1381.04 73.05% 26.95% -16.47 7-16
2015-08-16 Chicago Sky W 76-64 1454.53 1539.29 49.79% 50.21% +13.86 8-16
2015-08-18 Indiana Fever L 68-79 1468.39 1547.82 50.56% 49.44% -13.36 8-17
2015-08-21 @ Phoenix Mercury W 78-68 1455.03 1582.78 22.88% 77.12% +19.44 9-17
2015-08-23 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 90-59 1474.47 1366.37 53.56% 46.44% +20.60 10-17
2015-08-26 @ Indiana Fever W 81-79 1495.07 1574.78 28.12% 71.88% +8.11 11-17
2015-08-28 @ Tulsa Shock L 66-76 1503.18 1480.40 41.37% 58.63% -10.43 11-18
2015-08-30 San Antonio Silver Stars W 60-52 1492.75 1335.77 79.95% 20.05% +4.52 12-18
2015-09-03 Washington Mystics W 93-91 1497.27 1533.12 56.79% 43.21% +4.87 13-18
2015-09-06 Tulsa Shock W 92-73 1502.14 1516.41 59.81% 40.19% +13.96 14-18
2015-09-09 @ Atlanta Dream L 60-90 1516.10 1470.45 44.60% 55.40% -19.47 14-19
2015-09-11 @ Phoenix Mercury L 65-70 1496.63 1585.15 27.11% 72.89% -4.83 14-20
2015-06-05 Tulsa Shock W 83-75 1562.74 1470.75 73.29% 26.71% +6.02 1-0
2015-06-06 @ Indiana Fever W 78-69 1568.76 1479.15 50.91% 49.09% +11.74 2-0
2015-06-11 Seattle Storm W 94-70 1580.50 1463.90 75.97% 24.03% +9.39 3-0
2015-06-14 @ Phoenix Mercury L 66-81 1589.89 1591.79 37.98% 62.02% -11.73 3-1
2015-06-16 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 67-52 1578.16 1476.04 52.70% 47.30% +14.60 4-1
2015-06-19 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 74-59 1592.76 1442.11 59.57% 40.43% +12.48 5-1
2015-06-21 Tulsa Shock L 78-86 1605.24 1527.84 71.61% 28.39% -16.14 5-2
2015-06-25 @ Seattle Storm W 76-73 1589.10 1434.41 60.13% 39.87% +5.50 6-2
2015-06-27 Phoenix Mercury W 71-56 1594.60 1583.73 63.23% 36.77% +11.35 7-2
2015-07-03 Seattle Storm W 82-57 1605.95 1431.13 81.55% 18.45% +7.36 8-2
2015-07-10 @ Chicago Sky L 83-90 1613.31 1514.27 52.26% 47.74% -11.02 8-3
2015-07-12 San Antonio Silver Stars W 66-49 1602.29 1424.78 81.78% 18.22% +5.98 9-3
2015-07-14 @ Connecticut Sun W 85-79 1608.27 1509.30 52.25% 47.75% +9.33 10-3
2015-07-17 Chicago Sky W 84-66 1617.60 1552.96 70.09% 29.91% +10.11 11-3
2015-07-19 @ Tulsa Shock W 79-72 1627.71 1525.65 52.70% 47.30% +9.97 12-3
2015-07-22 Connecticut Sun L 77-78 1637.68 1484.06 79.64% 20.36% -6.34 12-4
2015-07-29 Los Angeles Sparks W 82-76 1631.34 1408.77 85.33% 14.67% +2.86 13-4
2015-07-31 Atlanta Dream W 86-70 1634.20 1430.76 83.90% 16.10% +5.13 14-4
2015-08-01 @ Tulsa Shock W 86-80 1639.33 1489.29 59.49% 40.51% +7.91 15-4
2015-08-04 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 61-83 1647.24 1433.60 67.92% 32.08% -25.39 15-5
2015-08-07 @ Phoenix Mercury L 66-73 1621.85 1621.56 38.27% 61.73% -8.07 15-6
2015-08-09 Los Angeles Sparks W 72-64 1613.78 1475.93 78.13% 21.87% +4.93 16-6
2015-08-11 San Antonio Silver Stars W 83-76 1618.71 1406.20 84.59% 15.41% +3.25 17-6
2015-08-14 @ Atlanta Dream W 84-82 1621.96 1424.01 65.92% 34.08% +3.84 18-6
2015-08-16 @ Washington Mystics L 69-77 1625.80 1528.91 51.95% 48.05% -11.71 18-7
2015-08-19 Washington Mystics L 61-79 1614.09 1540.62 71.15% 28.85% -24.06 18-8
2015-08-21 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 78-61 1590.03 1376.94 67.85% 32.15% +10.57 19-8
2015-08-23 @ Phoenix Mercury L 67-79 1600.60 1563.34 43.41% 56.59% -11.99 19-9
2015-08-28 @ New York Liberty L 68-81 1588.61 1577.57 39.75% 60.25% -11.42 19-10
2015-08-30 Phoenix Mercury W 71-61 1577.19 1569.23 62.84% 37.16% +9.36 20-10
2015-09-04 Indiana Fever W 81-65 1586.55 1553.59 66.14% 33.86% +10.80 21-10
2015-09-06 New York Liberty L 71-75 1597.35 1578.11 64.34% 35.66% -10.26 21-11
2015-09-08 Seattle Storm W 73-67 1587.09 1382.49 83.99% 16.01% +3.13 22-11
2015-09-11 @ Seattle Storm L 64-78 1590.22 1379.37 67.57% 32.43% -20.15 22-12
2015-06-05 Atlanta Dream W 82-73 1468.48 1502.05 57.11% 42.89% +10.26 1-0
2015-06-06 @ Washington Mystics L 62-67 1478.74 1496.90 35.80% 64.20% -6.38 1-1
2015-06-09 Indiana Fever W 86-79 1472.36 1467.41 62.43% 37.57% +7.92 2-1
2015-06-11 Phoenix Mercury W 68-57 1480.28 1614.97 42.66% 57.34% +15.15 3-1
2015-06-14 Washington Mystics L 59-74 1495.43 1494.42 61.90% 38.10% -19.10 3-2
2015-06-19 Indiana Fever L 63-80 1476.33 1461.06 63.82% 36.18% -20.97 3-3
2015-06-21 @ Atlanta Dream W 73-64 1455.36 1466.36 36.75% 63.25% +15.12 4-3
2015-06-26 @ Tulsa Shock L 62-71 1470.48 1543.98 28.85% 71.15% -6.90 4-4
2015-06-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 79-70 1463.58 1440.99 64.79% 35.21% +8.42 5-4
2015-06-30 @ Chicago Sky W 89-81 1472.00 1520.62 31.88% 68.12% +15.36 6-4
2015-07-09 @ Washington Mystics W 79-76 1487.36 1512.57 34.87% 65.13% +8.99 7-4
2015-07-12 @ Atlanta Dream L 76-84 1496.35 1447.64 45.04% 54.96% -10.16 7-5
2015-07-15 San Antonio Silver Stars W 84-68 1486.19 1418.80 70.42% 29.58% +9.43 8-5
2015-07-16 Connecticut Sun W 64-57 1495.62 1499.98 61.17% 38.83% +8.19 9-5
2015-07-18 @ Phoenix Mercury W 75-73 1503.81 1617.13 24.38% 75.62% +8.52 10-5
2015-07-21 @ Seattle Storm W 81-77 1512.33 1412.99 52.31% 47.69% +7.61 11-5
2015-07-22 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 59-53 1519.94 1418.01 52.68% 47.32% +9.24 12-5
2015-07-29 @ Indiana Fever L 72-84 1529.18 1488.93 43.83% 56.17% -12.11 12-6
2015-08-02 Seattle Storm W 78-62 1517.07 1396.36 76.40% 23.60% +7.53 13-6
2015-08-07 @ Chicago Sky W 77-63 1524.60 1548.63 35.03% 64.97% +19.38 14-6
2015-08-11 Chicago Sky W 84-63 1543.98 1542.48 61.97% 38.03% +13.89 15-6
2015-08-14 @ Connecticut Sun W 90-78 1557.87 1500.03 46.34% 53.66% +14.81 16-6
2015-08-15 Tulsa Shock L 76-81 1572.68 1439.70 77.64% 22.36% -13.84 16-7
2015-08-19 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 73-45 1558.84 1393.11 61.64% 38.36% +16.18 17-7
2015-08-21 Atlanta Dream W 78-67 1575.02 1433.78 78.46% 21.54% +5.69 18-7
2015-08-23 @ Indiana Fever L 79-80 1580.71 1571.63 39.48% 60.52% -3.14 18-8
2015-08-28 Minnesota Lynx W 81-68 1577.57 1588.61 60.25% 39.75% +11.42 19-8
2015-08-29 @ Connecticut Sun W 80-66 1588.99 1431.46 60.52% 39.48% +11.77 20-8
2015-09-01 Atlanta Dream W 80-75 1600.76 1465.08 77.91% 22.09% +3.94 21-8
2015-09-03 Chicago Sky L 60-82 1604.70 1531.43 71.12% 28.88% -26.59 21-9
2015-09-06 @ Minnesota Lynx W 75-71 1578.11 1597.35 35.66% 64.34% +10.26 22-9
2015-09-09 Connecticut Sun W 74-64 1588.37 1425.07 80.53% 19.47% +4.91 23-9
2015-09-11 Washington Mystics L 55-82 1593.28 1525.57 70.46% 29.54% -29.19 23-10
2015-09-13 @ Indiana Fever L 76-81 1564.09 1548.64 40.36% 59.64% -7.19 23-11
2015-06-05 San Antonio Silver Stars W 76-71 1610.95 1480.14 77.43% 22.57% +4.02 1-0
2015-06-11 @ New York Liberty L 57-68 1614.97 1480.28 57.34% 42.66% -15.16 1-1
2015-06-12 @ Indiana Fever L 74-77 1599.81 1459.49 58.13% 41.87% -8.02 1-2
2015-06-14 Minnesota Lynx W 81-66 1591.79 1589.89 62.02% 37.98% +11.72 2-2
2015-06-19 Connecticut Sun L 78-90 1603.51 1512.37 73.19% 26.81% -20.20 2-3
2015-06-21 @ Seattle Storm W 84-72 1583.31 1446.09 57.70% 42.30% +11.68 3-3
2015-06-25 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 71-76 1594.99 1418.14 63.14% 36.86% -11.26 3-4
2015-06-27 @ Minnesota Lynx L 56-71 1583.73 1594.60 36.77% 63.23% -11.35 3-5
2015-06-30 San Antonio Silver Stars W 85-78 1572.38 1433.70 78.21% 21.79% +4.60 4-5
2015-07-02 Tulsa Shock W 86-55 1576.98 1544.36 66.09% 33.91% +15.04 5-5
2015-07-05 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 94-91 1592.02 1446.33 58.88% 41.12% +5.68 6-5
2015-07-10 @ Seattle Storm W 94-79 1597.70 1405.02 65.24% 34.76% +10.73 7-5
2015-07-12 Seattle Storm W 70-60 1608.43 1394.29 84.71% 15.29% +3.85 8-5
2015-07-14 Atlanta Dream W 80-71 1612.28 1457.80 79.72% 20.28% +4.85 9-5
2015-07-18 New York Liberty L 73-75 1617.13 1503.81 75.62% 24.38% -8.52 9-6
2015-07-21 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 65-70 1608.61 1406.16 66.50% 33.50% -11.85 9-7
2015-07-28 Chicago Sky W 89-87 1596.76 1553.65 67.43% 32.57% +3.67 10-7
2015-07-30 @ Tulsa Shock W 78-66 1600.43 1502.52 52.10% 47.90% +13.22 11-7
2015-08-02 @ Atlanta Dream W 71-68 1613.65 1425.62 64.63% 35.37% +4.89 12-7
2015-08-04 Tulsa Shock W 87-84 1618.54 1481.38 78.06% 21.94% +3.02 13-7
2015-08-07 Minnesota Lynx W 73-66 1621.56 1621.85 61.73% 38.27% +8.07 14-7
2015-08-09 @ Chicago Sky L 64-74 1629.63 1529.26 52.45% 47.55% -13.22 14-8
2015-08-12 Seattle Storm W 83-66 1616.41 1397.51 85.06% 14.94% +4.91 15-8
2015-08-16 Indiana Fever L 63-75 1621.32 1527.53 73.49% 26.51% -20.29 15-9
2015-08-18 @ Tulsa Shock L 59-74 1601.03 1453.54 59.13% 40.87% -18.25 15-10
2015-08-21 Los Angeles Sparks L 68-78 1582.78 1455.03 77.12% 22.88% -19.44 15-11
2015-08-23 Minnesota Lynx W 79-67 1563.34 1600.60 56.59% 43.41% +11.99 16-11
2015-08-27 @ Connecticut Sun W 81-80 1575.33 1434.80 58.16% 41.84% +3.33 17-11
2015-08-28 @ Washington Mystics L 63-71 1578.66 1552.35 41.87% 58.13% -9.43 17-12
2015-08-30 @ Minnesota Lynx L 61-71 1569.23 1577.19 37.16% 62.84% -9.37 17-13
2015-09-02 Washington Mystics W 73-53 1559.86 1546.09 63.62% 36.38% +12.97 18-13
2015-09-05 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 82-52 1572.83 1327.34 71.78% 28.22% +12.32 19-13
2015-09-11 Los Angeles Sparks W 70-65 1585.15 1496.63 72.89% 27.11% +4.83 20-13
2015-09-13 @ Tulsa Shock L 87-91 1589.98 1495.66 51.58% 48.42% -8.22 20-14
2015-06-05 @ Phoenix Mercury L 71-76 1480.14 1610.95 22.57% 77.43% -4.03 0-1
2015-06-11 @ Atlanta Dream L 69-72 1476.11 1480.06 37.70% 62.30% -5.20 0-2
2015-06-14 Tulsa Shock L 62-73 1470.91 1489.29 59.24% 40.76% -15.66 0-3
2015-06-16 @ Tulsa Shock L 61-88 1455.25 1504.95 31.74% 68.26% -13.14 0-4
2015-06-19 Minnesota Lynx L 59-74 1442.11 1592.76 40.43% 59.57% -12.48 0-5
2015-06-20 Chicago Sky L 87-95 1429.63 1506.34 50.95% 49.05% -11.49 0-6
2015-06-25 Phoenix Mercury W 76-71 1418.14 1594.99 36.86% 63.14% +11.25 1-6
2015-06-27 Seattle Storm W 73-71 1429.39 1428.91 61.83% 38.17% +4.31 2-6
2015-06-30 @ Phoenix Mercury L 78-85 1433.70 1572.38 21.79% 78.21% -4.60 2-7
2015-07-02 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 81-86 1429.10 1432.57 37.77% 62.23% -6.73 2-8
2015-07-08 Los Angeles Sparks W 70-63 1422.37 1440.66 59.25% 40.75% +8.59 3-8
2015-07-10 @ Indiana Fever L 76-83 1430.96 1500.62 29.31% 70.69% -6.18 3-9
2015-07-12 @ Minnesota Lynx L 49-66 1424.78 1602.29 18.22% 81.78% -5.98 3-10
2015-07-15 @ New York Liberty L 68-84 1418.80 1486.19 29.58% 70.42% -9.43 3-11
2015-07-17 Tulsa Shock W 65-58 1409.37 1537.54 43.58% 56.42% +11.89 4-11
2015-07-19 @ Chicago Sky L 82-93 1421.26 1542.85 23.51% 76.49% -6.21 4-12
2015-07-21 Indiana Fever W 80-62 1415.05 1498.76 49.94% 50.06% +16.93 5-12
2015-07-29 Atlanta Dream W 102-85 1431.98 1443.86 60.14% 39.86% +13.10 6-12
2015-07-31 Washington Mystics L 53-88 1445.08 1531.16 49.60% 50.40% -23.39 6-13
2015-08-02 Los Angeles Sparks L 78-80 1421.69 1426.72 61.08% 38.92% -6.89 6-14
2015-08-04 @ Connecticut Sun L 51-82 1414.80 1475.13 30.43% 69.57% -13.50 6-15
2015-08-05 @ Washington Mystics L 63-66 1401.30 1548.78 20.94% 79.06% -2.89 6-16
2015-08-08 Seattle Storm W 88-81 1398.41 1388.83 63.06% 36.94% +7.79 7-16
2015-08-11 @ Minnesota Lynx L 76-83 1406.20 1618.71 15.41% 84.59% -3.25 7-17
2015-08-16 @ Seattle Storm L 63-72 1402.95 1381.90 41.13% 58.87% -9.84 7-18
2015-08-19 New York Liberty L 45-73 1393.11 1558.84 38.36% 61.64% -16.17 7-19
2015-08-21 Minnesota Lynx L 61-78 1376.94 1590.03 32.15% 67.85% -10.57 7-20
2015-08-23 Los Angeles Sparks L 59-90 1366.37 1474.47 46.44% 53.56% -20.60 7-21
2015-08-28 @ Seattle Storm L 69-83 1345.77 1381.28 33.54% 66.46% -10.00 7-22
2015-08-30 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 52-60 1335.77 1492.75 20.05% 79.95% -4.52 7-23
2015-09-04 Connecticut Sun L 72-73 1331.25 1421.17 49.05% 50.95% -3.91 7-24
2015-09-05 Phoenix Mercury L 52-82 1327.34 1572.83 28.22% 71.78% -12.32 7-25
2015-09-08 @ Tulsa Shock L 64-74 1315.02 1502.44 17.39% 82.61% -4.38 7-26
2015-09-13 @ Seattle Storm W 59-58 1310.64 1399.52 27.07% 72.93% +5.81 8-26
2015-06-06 Los Angeles Sparks W 86-61 1460.96 1506.78 55.37% 44.63% +17.78 1-0
2015-06-09 @ Tulsa Shock L 45-68 1478.74 1474.45 38.82% 61.18% -14.84 1-1
2015-06-11 @ Minnesota Lynx L 70-94 1463.90 1580.50 24.03% 75.97% -9.38 1-2
2015-06-14 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 60-54 1454.52 1488.99 33.67% 66.33% +12.95 2-2
2015-06-16 Connecticut Sun L 58-79 1467.47 1491.00 58.52% 41.48% -21.38 2-3
2015-06-21 Phoenix Mercury L 72-84 1446.09 1583.31 42.30% 57.70% -11.68 2-4
2015-06-25 Minnesota Lynx L 73-76 1434.41 1589.10 39.87% 60.13% -5.50 2-5
2015-06-27 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 71-73 1428.91 1429.39 38.17% 61.83% -4.30 2-6
2015-06-28 @ Tulsa Shock L 89-93 1424.61 1550.88 23.03% 76.97% -3.67 2-7
2015-06-30 Tulsa Shock W 74-69 1420.94 1554.55 42.81% 57.19% +10.19 3-7
2015-07-03 @ Minnesota Lynx L 57-82 1431.13 1605.95 18.45% 81.55% -7.36 3-8
2015-07-05 @ Atlanta Dream L 64-72 1423.77 1453.31 34.31% 65.69% -7.73 3-9
2015-07-08 @ Indiana Fever L 65-88 1416.04 1489.59 28.84% 71.16% -11.02 3-10
2015-07-10 Phoenix Mercury L 79-94 1405.02 1597.70 34.76% 65.24% -10.73 3-11
2015-07-12 @ Phoenix Mercury L 60-70 1394.29 1608.43 15.29% 84.71% -3.86 3-12
2015-07-15 Los Angeles Sparks W 68-61 1390.43 1424.22 57.08% 42.92% +9.05 4-12
2015-07-18 Atlanta Dream W 86-73 1399.48 1461.95 53.00% 47.00% +13.51 5-12
2015-07-21 New York Liberty L 77-81 1412.99 1512.33 47.69% 52.31% -7.60 5-13
2015-07-29 @ Washington Mystics L 74-87 1405.39 1524.32 23.79% 76.21% -6.84 5-14
2015-07-31 @ Connecticut Sun L 66-67 1398.55 1483.32 27.54% 72.46% -2.19 5-15
2015-08-02 @ New York Liberty L 62-78 1396.36 1517.07 23.60% 76.40% -7.53 5-16
2015-08-08 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 81-88 1388.83 1398.41 36.94% 63.06% -7.79 5-17
2015-08-11 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 85-77 1381.04 1471.00 26.95% 73.05% +16.47 6-17
2015-08-12 @ Phoenix Mercury L 66-83 1397.51 1616.41 14.94% 85.06% -4.91 6-18
2015-08-14 Chicago Sky L 84-94 1392.60 1528.59 42.48% 57.52% -10.70 6-19
2015-08-16 San Antonio Silver Stars W 72-63 1381.90 1402.95 58.87% 41.13% +9.83 7-19
2015-08-21 Indiana Fever L 63-75 1391.73 1561.18 37.85% 62.15% -10.45 7-20
2015-08-28 San Antonio Silver Stars W 83-69 1381.28 1345.77 66.46% 33.54% +10.00 8-20
2015-08-30 Washington Mystics W 69-59 1391.28 1561.79 37.71% 62.29% +15.70 9-20
2015-09-03 Tulsa Shock L 67-85 1406.98 1499.97 48.61% 51.39% -16.43 9-21
2015-09-06 @ Chicago Sky L 65-93 1390.55 1558.02 19.10% 80.90% -8.06 9-22
2015-09-08 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-73 1382.49 1587.09 16.01% 83.99% -3.12 9-23
2015-09-11 Minnesota Lynx W 78-64 1379.37 1590.22 32.43% 67.57% +20.15 10-23
2015-09-13 San Antonio Silver Stars L 58-59 1399.52 1310.64 72.93% 27.07% -5.82 10-24
2015-06-05 @ Minnesota Lynx L 75-83 1470.75 1562.74 26.71% 73.29% -6.03 0-1
2015-06-06 Chicago Sky W 101-93 1464.72 1500.15 56.85% 43.15% +9.73 1-1
2015-06-09 Seattle Storm W 68-45 1474.45 1478.74 61.18% 38.82% +14.84 2-1
2015-06-14 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 73-62 1489.29 1470.91 40.76% 59.24% +15.66 3-1
2015-06-16 San Antonio Silver Stars W 88-61 1504.95 1455.25 68.26% 31.74% +13.14 4-1
2015-06-19 @ Washington Mystics W 86-82 1518.09 1513.53 38.86% 61.14% +9.75 5-1
2015-06-21 @ Minnesota Lynx W 86-78 1527.84 1605.24 28.39% 71.61% +16.14 6-1
2015-06-26 New York Liberty W 71-62 1543.98 1470.48 71.15% 28.85% +6.90 7-1
2015-06-28 Seattle Storm W 93-89 1550.88 1424.61 76.97% 23.03% +3.67 8-1
2015-06-30 @ Seattle Storm L 69-74 1554.55 1420.94 57.19% 42.81% -10.19 8-2
2015-07-02 @ Phoenix Mercury L 55-86 1544.36 1576.98 33.91% 66.09% -15.05 8-3
2015-07-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 95-98 1529.31 1439.30 50.96% 49.04% -7.03 8-4
2015-07-07 @ Atlanta Dream W 85-75 1522.28 1461.04 46.83% 53.17% +13.40 9-4
2015-07-11 Los Angeles Sparks W 82-67 1535.68 1432.06 74.57% 25.43% +7.85 10-4
2015-07-15 @ Indiana Fever L 80-83 1543.53 1506.80 43.34% 56.66% -5.99 10-5
2015-07-17 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 58-65 1537.54 1409.37 56.42% 43.58% -11.89 10-6
2015-07-19 Minnesota Lynx L 72-79 1525.65 1627.71 47.30% 52.70% -9.98 10-7
2015-07-21 Washington Mystics L 69-76 1515.67 1511.17 62.38% 37.62% -13.15 10-8
2015-07-30 Phoenix Mercury L 66-78 1502.52 1600.43 47.90% 52.10% -13.23 10-9
2015-08-01 Minnesota Lynx L 80-86 1489.29 1639.33 40.51% 59.49% -7.91 10-10
2015-08-04 @ Phoenix Mercury L 84-87 1481.38 1618.54 21.94% 78.06% -3.02 10-11
2015-08-06 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 57-84 1478.36 1458.99 40.90% 59.10% -16.94 10-12
2015-08-09 Atlanta Dream L 90-98 1461.42 1408.53 68.65% 31.35% -15.48 10-13
2015-08-12 @ Connecticut Sun L 74-80 1445.94 1493.79 31.97% 68.03% -6.24 10-14
2015-08-15 @ New York Liberty W 81-76 1439.70 1572.68 22.36% 77.64% +13.84 11-14
2015-08-18 Phoenix Mercury W 74-59 1453.54 1601.03 40.87% 59.13% +18.25 12-14
2015-08-21 Connecticut Sun W 84-76 1471.79 1471.60 61.79% 38.21% +8.61 13-14
2015-08-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 76-66 1480.40 1503.18 58.63% 41.37% +10.43 14-14
2015-08-30 Indiana Fever W 76-70 1490.83 1551.98 53.19% 46.81% +9.14 15-14
2015-09-03 @ Seattle Storm W 85-67 1499.97 1406.98 51.39% 48.61% +16.44 16-14
2015-09-06 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 73-92 1516.41 1502.14 40.19% 59.81% -13.97 16-15
2015-09-08 San Antonio Silver Stars W 74-64 1502.44 1315.02 82.61% 17.39% +4.39 17-15
2015-09-11 @ Chicago Sky L 71-92 1506.83 1566.07 30.56% 69.44% -11.17 17-16
2015-09-13 Phoenix Mercury W 91-87 1495.66 1589.98 48.42% 51.58% +8.23 18-16
2015-06-05 @ Connecticut Sun W 73-68 1486.25 1471.62 40.24% 59.76% +10.65 1-0
2015-06-06 New York Liberty W 67-62 1496.90 1478.74 64.20% 35.80% +6.38 2-0
2015-06-12 Atlanta Dream L 61-64 1503.28 1485.26 64.18% 35.82% -8.86 2-1
2015-06-14 @ New York Liberty W 74-59 1494.42 1495.43 38.10% 61.90% +19.11 3-1
2015-06-19 Tulsa Shock L 82-86 1513.53 1518.09 61.14% 38.86% -9.75 3-2
2015-06-20 @ Indiana Fever W 87-75 1503.78 1482.03 41.23% 58.77% +16.23 4-2
2015-06-23 Los Angeles Sparks W 84-80 1520.01 1449.78 70.76% 29.24% +4.66 5-2
2015-06-26 @ Atlanta Dream L 69-72 1524.67 1446.51 49.26% 50.74% -6.80 5-3
2015-06-28 Chicago Sky W 86-71 1517.87 1533.06 59.68% 40.32% +12.44 6-3
2015-07-02 @ Indiana Fever L 50-73 1530.31 1471.85 46.43% 53.57% -17.74 6-4
2015-07-09 New York Liberty L 76-79 1512.57 1487.36 65.13% 34.87% -8.99 6-5
2015-07-15 @ Chicago Sky L 57-85 1503.58 1538.80 33.57% 66.43% -14.16 6-6
2015-07-17 Indiana Fever W 68-50 1489.42 1512.78 58.54% 41.46% +14.02 7-6
2015-07-19 Connecticut Sun W 89-82 1503.44 1491.80 63.33% 36.67% +7.73 8-6
2015-07-21 @ Tulsa Shock W 76-69 1511.17 1515.67 37.62% 62.38% +13.15 9-6
2015-07-29 Seattle Storm W 87-74 1524.32 1405.39 76.21% 23.79% +6.84 10-6
2015-07-31 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 88-53 1531.16 1445.08 50.40% 49.60% +23.38 11-6
2015-08-02 @ Chicago Sky L 68-71 1554.54 1529.17 41.74% 58.26% -5.76 11-7
2015-08-05 San Antonio Silver Stars W 66-63 1548.78 1401.30 79.06% 20.94% +2.89 12-7
2015-08-07 @ Connecticut Sun L 72-86 1551.67 1488.63 47.09% 52.91% -14.04 12-8
2015-08-09 Connecticut Sun W 84-73 1537.63 1502.67 66.39% 33.61% +8.89 13-8
2015-08-11 Indiana Fever L 62-73 1546.52 1509.92 66.60% 33.40% -17.61 13-9
2015-08-16 Minnesota Lynx W 77-69 1528.91 1625.80 48.05% 51.95% +11.71 14-9
2015-08-19 @ Minnesota Lynx W 79-61 1540.62 1614.09 28.85% 71.15% +24.06 15-9
2015-08-21 @ Chicago Sky L 85-87 1564.68 1525.43 43.69% 56.31% -4.93 15-10
2015-08-23 Chicago Sky L 64-66 1559.75 1530.36 65.67% 34.33% -7.40 15-11
2015-08-28 Phoenix Mercury W 71-63 1552.35 1578.66 58.13% 41.87% +9.44 16-11
2015-08-30 @ Seattle Storm L 59-69 1561.79 1391.28 62.29% 37.71% -15.70 16-12
2015-09-02 @ Phoenix Mercury L 53-73 1546.09 1559.86 36.38% 63.62% -12.97 16-13
2015-09-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 91-93 1533.12 1497.27 43.21% 56.79% -4.87 16-14
2015-09-06 @ Atlanta Dream L 67-73 1528.25 1461.14 47.67% 52.33% -9.30 16-15
2015-09-08 Indiana Fever W 76-72 1518.95 1542.79 58.47% 41.53% +6.62 17-15
2015-09-11 @ New York Liberty W 82-55 1525.57 1593.28 29.54% 70.46% +29.18 18-15
2015-09-13 Atlanta Dream L 71-73 1554.75 1477.45 71.60% 28.40% -8.07 18-16

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2015-09-17 Indiana Fever W 77-72 1561.25 1555.84 62.50% 37.50% +6.69 1-0
2015-09-19 @ Indiana Fever L 82-89 1567.94 1549.15 40.82% 59.18% -8.61 1-1
2015-09-21 Indiana Fever L 89-100 1559.33 1557.76 61.98% 38.02% -16.38 1-2
2015-09-17 @ Chicago Sky L 72-77 1555.84 1561.25 37.50% 62.50% -6.69 0-1
2015-09-19 Chicago Sky W 89-82 1549.15 1567.94 59.18% 40.82% +8.61 1-1
2015-09-21 @ Chicago Sky W 100-89 1557.76 1559.33 38.02% 61.98% +16.38 2-1
2015-09-23 @ New York Liberty L 67-84 1574.14 1575.38 38.07% 61.93% -12.51 2-2
2015-09-27 New York Liberty W 70-64 1561.63 1587.89 58.14% 41.86% +8.18 3-2
2015-09-29 @ New York Liberty W 66-51 1569.81 1579.72 36.90% 63.10% +19.48 4-2
2015-10-04 @ Minnesota Lynx W 75-69 1589.29 1583.25 39.06% 60.94% +11.89 5-2
2015-10-06 @ Minnesota Lynx L 71-77 1601.18 1571.35 42.36% 57.64% -8.27 5-3
2015-10-09 Minnesota Lynx L 77-80 1592.91 1579.62 63.55% 36.45% -8.77 5-4
2015-10-11 Minnesota Lynx W 75-69 1584.14 1588.39 61.18% 38.82% +7.58 6-4
2015-10-14 @ Minnesota Lynx L 52-69 1591.72 1580.82 39.73% 60.27% -13.06 6-5
2015-09-18 @ Minnesota Lynx L 65-67 1491.80 1570.07 28.29% 71.71% -3.19 0-1
2015-09-20 Minnesota Lynx W 81-71 1488.61 1573.26 49.81% 50.19% +12.65 1-1
2015-09-22 @ Minnesota Lynx L 80-91 1501.26 1560.61 30.55% 69.45% -8.07 1-2
2015-09-18 Los Angeles Sparks W 67-65 1570.07 1491.80 71.71% 28.29% +3.19 1-0
2015-09-20 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 71-81 1573.26 1488.61 50.19% 49.81% -12.65 1-1
2015-09-22 Los Angeles Sparks W 91-80 1560.61 1501.26 69.45% 30.55% +8.07 2-1
2015-09-24 Phoenix Mercury W 67-60 1568.68 1613.10 55.57% 44.43% +9.37 3-1
2015-09-27 @ Phoenix Mercury W 72-71 1578.05 1603.73 34.81% 65.19% +5.20 4-1
2015-10-04 Indiana Fever L 69-75 1583.25 1589.29 60.94% 39.06% -11.90 4-2
2015-10-06 Indiana Fever W 77-71 1571.35 1601.18 57.64% 42.36% +8.27 5-2
2015-10-09 @ Indiana Fever W 80-77 1579.62 1592.91 36.45% 63.55% +8.77 6-2
2015-10-11 @ Indiana Fever L 69-75 1588.39 1584.14 38.82% 61.18% -7.57 6-3
2015-10-14 Indiana Fever W 69-52 1580.82 1591.72 60.27% 39.73% +13.05 7-3
2015-09-18 Washington Mystics L 83-86 1556.90 1546.68 63.14% 36.86% -8.71 0-1
2015-09-20 @ Washington Mystics W 86-68 1548.19 1555.39 37.26% 62.74% +21.21 1-1
2015-09-22 Washington Mystics W 79-74 1569.40 1534.18 66.43% 33.57% +5.98 2-1
2015-09-23 Indiana Fever W 84-67 1575.38 1574.14 61.93% 38.07% +12.51 3-1
2015-09-27 @ Indiana Fever L 64-70 1587.89 1561.63 41.86% 58.14% -8.17 3-2
2015-09-29 Indiana Fever L 51-66 1579.72 1569.81 63.10% 36.90% -19.48 3-3
2015-09-17 Tulsa Shock W 88-55 1581.76 1503.89 71.66% 28.34% +12.97 1-0
2015-09-19 @ Tulsa Shock W 91-67 1594.73 1490.91 52.95% 47.05% +18.37 2-0
2015-09-24 @ Minnesota Lynx L 60-67 1613.10 1568.68 44.43% 55.57% -9.37 2-1
2015-09-27 Minnesota Lynx L 71-72 1603.73 1578.05 65.19% 34.81% -5.19 2-2
2015-09-17 @ Phoenix Mercury L 55-88 1503.89 1581.76 28.34% 71.66% -12.98 0-1
2015-09-19 Phoenix Mercury L 67-91 1490.91 1594.73 47.05% 52.95% -18.37 0-2
2015-09-18 @ New York Liberty W 86-83 1546.68 1556.90 36.86% 63.14% +8.71 1-0
2015-09-20 New York Liberty L 68-86 1555.39 1548.19 62.74% 37.26% -21.21 1-1
2015-09-22 @ New York Liberty L 74-79 1534.18 1569.40 33.57% 66.43% -5.99 1-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2015-07-22 20.36% Connecticut Sun 1484.06 78 @ Minnesota Lynx 1637.68 77
2 2015-07-31 21.27% Los Angeles Sparks 1405.91 88 @ Chicago Sky 1549.98 77
3 2015-08-15 22.36% Tulsa Shock 1439.70 81 @ New York Liberty 1572.68 76
4 2015-08-21 22.88% Los Angeles Sparks 1455.03 78 @ Phoenix Mercury 1582.78 68
5 2015-08-30 23.27% Connecticut Sun 1419.69 72 @ Chicago Sky 1543.66 68
6 2015-07-18 24.38% New York Liberty 1503.81 75 @ Phoenix Mercury 1617.13 73
7 2015-08-28 24.69% Atlanta Dream 1456.28 90 @ Indiana Fever 1566.68 84
8 2015-08-16 26.51% Indiana Fever 1527.53 75 @ Phoenix Mercury 1621.32 63
9 2015-06-30 26.59% Indiana Fever 1455.30 92 @ Connecticut Sun 1548.38 84
10 2015-06-19 26.81% Connecticut Sun 1512.37 90 @ Phoenix Mercury 1603.51 78
11 2015-08-11 26.95% Seattle Storm 1381.04 85 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1471.00 77
12 2015-09-13 27.07% San Antonio Silver Stars 1310.64 59 @ Seattle Storm 1399.52 58
13 2015-08-26 28.12% Los Angeles Sparks 1495.07 81 @ Indiana Fever 1574.78 79
14 2015-06-21 28.39% Tulsa Shock 1527.84 86 @ Minnesota Lynx 1605.24 78
15 2015-09-13 28.40% Atlanta Dream 1477.45 73 @ Washington Mystics 1554.75 71
16 2015-08-19 28.85% Washington Mystics 1540.62 79 @ Minnesota Lynx 1614.09 61
17 2015-09-03 28.88% Chicago Sky 1531.43 82 @ New York Liberty 1604.70 60
18 2015-09-11 29.54% Washington Mystics 1525.57 82 @ New York Liberty 1593.28 55
19 2015-08-09 31.35% Atlanta Dream 1408.53 98 @ Tulsa Shock 1461.42 90
20 2015-06-30 31.88% New York Liberty 1472.00 89 @ Chicago Sky 1520.62 81
21 2015-08-04 32.08% @ Los Angeles Sparks 1433.60 83 Minnesota Lynx 1647.24 61
22 2015-09-11 32.43% @ Seattle Storm 1379.37 78 Minnesota Lynx 1590.22 64
23 2015-06-16 33.35% Indiana Fever 1443.44 90 @ Atlanta Dream 1480.41 79
24 2015-08-11 33.40% Indiana Fever 1509.92 73 @ Washington Mystics 1546.52 62
25 2015-07-21 33.50% @ Los Angeles Sparks 1406.16 70 Phoenix Mercury 1608.61 65

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-09-11 29.19 Washington Mystics 82 1525.57 29.54% @ New York Liberty 55 1593.28 70.46%
2 2015-09-03 26.59 Chicago Sky 82 1531.43 28.88% @ New York Liberty 60 1604.70 71.12%
3 2015-08-04 25.39 @ Los Angeles Sparks 83 1433.60 32.08% Minnesota Lynx 61 1647.24 67.92%
4 2015-06-14 24.08 Chicago Sky 98 1485.83 40.75% @ Indiana Fever 72 1467.52 59.25%
5 2015-08-19 24.06 Washington Mystics 79 1540.62 28.85% @ Minnesota Lynx 61 1614.09 71.15%
6 2015-07-31 23.39 Washington Mystics 88 1531.16 50.40% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 53 1445.08 49.60%
7 2015-06-16 21.38 Connecticut Sun 79 1491.00 41.48% @ Seattle Storm 58 1467.47 58.52%
8 2015-09-20 * 21.21 New York Liberty 86 1548.19 37.26% @ Washington Mystics 68 1555.39 62.74%
9 2015-06-19 20.97 Indiana Fever 80 1461.06 36.18% @ New York Liberty 63 1476.33 63.82%
10 2015-07-31 20.81 Los Angeles Sparks 88 1405.91 21.27% @ Chicago Sky 77 1549.98 78.73%
11 2015-08-23 20.60 Los Angeles Sparks 90 1474.47 53.56% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 59 1366.37 46.44%
12 2015-08-16 20.29 Indiana Fever 75 1527.53 26.51% @ Phoenix Mercury 63 1621.32 73.49%
13 2015-06-19 20.21 Connecticut Sun 90 1512.37 26.81% @ Phoenix Mercury 78 1603.51 73.19%
14 2015-09-11 20.15 @ Seattle Storm 78 1379.37 32.43% Minnesota Lynx 64 1590.22 67.57%
15 2015-09-29 * 19.48 Indiana Fever 66 1569.81 36.90% @ New York Liberty 51 1579.72 63.10%
16 2015-09-09 19.47 @ Atlanta Dream 90 1470.45 55.40% Los Angeles Sparks 60 1516.10 44.60%
17 2015-08-21 19.44 Los Angeles Sparks 78 1455.03 22.88% @ Phoenix Mercury 68 1582.78 77.12%
18 2015-08-07 19.38 New York Liberty 77 1524.60 35.03% @ Chicago Sky 63 1548.63 64.97%
19 2015-06-14 19.11 Washington Mystics 74 1494.42 38.10% @ New York Liberty 59 1495.43 61.90%
20 2015-09-19 * 18.37 Phoenix Mercury 91 1594.73 52.95% @ Tulsa Shock 67 1490.91 47.05%
21 2015-08-18 18.25 @ Tulsa Shock 74 1453.54 40.87% Phoenix Mercury 59 1601.03 59.13%
22 2015-06-06 17.79 @ Seattle Storm 86 1460.96 55.37% Los Angeles Sparks 61 1506.78 44.63%
23 2015-07-02 17.74 @ Indiana Fever 73 1471.85 53.57% Washington Mystics 50 1530.31 46.43%
24 2015-06-16 17.62 Indiana Fever 90 1443.44 33.35% @ Atlanta Dream 79 1480.41 66.65%
25 2015-08-11 17.61 Indiana Fever 73 1509.92 33.40% @ Washington Mystics 62 1546.52 66.60%