Home / Leagues / WNBA / 2016

2016 WNBA Season

204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Los Angeles Sparks

3rd Title

Last Title: 2002

Runner-Up

Minnesota Lynx

5

Last Appearance: 2015

Biggest Overachiever

Minnesota Lynx

4.27 wins above expected

28 wins · 23.73 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Dallas Wings

3.92 wins below expected

11 wins · 14.92 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Minnesota Lynx League 28 6 .824 85.8 77.0 +8.8 23.73 +4.27
2 Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs 26 8 .765 2 83.0 75.9 +7.1 23.16 +2.84
3 New York Liberty Playoffs 21 13 .618 7 81.6 80.9 +0.8 20.37 +0.63
4 Chicago Sky Playoffs 18 16 .529 10 86.2 85.6 +0.6 17.51 +0.49
5 Indiana Fever Playoffs 17 17 .500 11 80.5 80.9 -0.4 17.44 -0.44
6 Atlanta Dream Playoffs 17 17 .500 11 81.8 84.0 -2.2 16.66 +0.34
7 Phoenix Mercury Playoffs 16 18 .471 12 84.6 83.3 +1.3 17.92 -1.92
8 Seattle Storm Playoffs 16 18 .471 12 80.8 80.2 +0.6 14.04 +1.96
9 Connecticut Sun 14 20 .412 14 83.0 84.4 -1.4 12.88 +1.12
10 Washington Mystics 13 21 .382 15 80.7 82.2 -1.5 15.76 -2.76
11 Dallas Wings 11 23 .324 17 82.6 88.2 -5.6 14.92 -3.92
12 San Antonio Silver Stars 7 27 .206 21 72.0 80.2 -8.2 9.62 -2.62

Playoff Bracket

WNBA Playoffs

First Round

Atlanta Dream 94
Seattle Storm 85

Sep 21

Phoenix Mercury 89
Indiana Fever 78

Sep 21

Second Round

Phoenix Mercury 101
New York Liberty 94

Sep 24

Chicago Sky 108
Atlanta Dream 98

Sep 25

Semifinals

Los Angeles Sparks 3
Chicago Sky 1

4 games · Sep 28–Oct 4

Minnesota Lynx 3
Phoenix Mercury 0

3 games · Sep 28–Oct 2

WNBA Finals

Los Angeles Sparks 3
Minnesota Lynx 2

5 games · Oct 9–Oct 20

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Minnesota Lynx 1694 28 23.73 +4.27 97.20% 13 19 22 24 26 28 33
Los Angeles Sparks 1616 26 23.16 +2.84 90.23% 12 19 21 23 25 27 31
Phoenix Mercury 1536 16 17.92 -1.92 30.40% 6 13 16 18 20 22 28
Indiana Fever 1533 17 17.44 -0.44 50.66% 7 13 16 17 19 22 28
Seattle Storm 1525 16 14.04 +1.96 81.47% 4 9 12 14 16 19 23
Chicago Sky 1520 18 17.51 +0.49 63.59% 7 13 16 18 19 22 28
New York Liberty 1508 21 20.37 +0.63 65.93% 9 16 19 20 22 25 31
Connecticut Sun 1478 14 12.88 +1.12 73.56% 3 9 11 13 15 17 23
Atlanta Dream 1473 17 16.66 +0.34 61.63% 7 12 15 17 19 21 27
Washington Mystics 1463 13 15.76 -2.76 21.33% 5 11 14 16 18 20 26
Dallas Wings 1363 11 14.92 -3.92 11.31% 5 10 13 15 17 20 25
San Antonio Silver Stars 1291 7 9.62 -2.62 20.74% 1 6 8 10 11 14 21

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team Dream Sky Sun Wings Fever Sparks Lynx Liberty Mercury Stars Storm Mystics
Atlanta Dream
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
4-0
(2.5 exp.)
3-0
(1.6 exp.)
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
2-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
1-2
(1.7 exp.)
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
Chicago Sky
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
3-0
(1.6 exp.)
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
0-3
(1.1 exp.)
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
3-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-1
(1.1 exp.)
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
2-1
(0.6 exp.)
0-3
(0.9 exp.)
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
Dallas Wings
0-3
(1.4 exp.)
0-3
(1.4 exp.)
0-3
(1.7 exp.)
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
3-1
(1.7 exp.)
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
Indiana Fever
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
1-2
(1.9 exp.)
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-3
(0.9 exp.)
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks
1-2
(2.3 exp.)
3-0
(1.9 exp.)
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
3-0
(1.7 exp.)
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
4-0
(3.2 exp.)
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
1-2
(2.4 exp.)
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
3-0
(2.1 exp.)
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
3-0
(2.6 exp.)
4-0
(3.1 exp.)
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
New York Liberty
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
3-0
(2.1 exp.)
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
0-3
(1.3 exp.)
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
1-3
(2.3 exp.)
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
3-0
(1.6 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-4
(0.8 exp.)
0-3
(0.4 exp.)
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
2-1
(0.8 exp.)
Seattle Storm
2-1
(1.3 exp.)
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-4
(0.9 exp.)
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
Washington Mystics
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
0-3
(1.4 exp.)
1-2
(2.2 exp.)
1-2
(1.6 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<600.49%0.49%0.98%
60–690.98%5.88%3.19%1.47%11.52%
70–795.88%9.31%10.05%4.41%0.98%30.64%
80–890.49%3.19%10.05%9.80%8.58%0.25%32.35%
90–990.49%1.47%4.41%8.58%4.90%1.23%21.08%
100+0.98%0.25%1.23%0.98%3.43%
Total0.98%11.52%30.64%32.35%21.08%3.43%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.89 81.89 +0.00
SD 10.64 10.64 13.24
CV 0.13 0.13
Max 118 118 +37
Min 51 51 -37

Games Played: 204

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–692.94%5.88%5.88%2.94%17.65%
70–795.88%2.94%8.82%2.94%2.94%23.53%
80–8911.76%8.82%14.71%35.29%
90–992.94%8.82%5.88%17.65%
100+5.88%5.88%
Total8.82%23.53%32.35%32.35%2.94%100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.76 83.97 -2.21
SD 10.38 10.48 11.88
CV 0.13 0.12
Max 102 110 +17
Min 62 63 -32

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–692.94%2.94%
70–792.94%5.88%5.88%14.71%
80–898.82%14.71%17.65%2.94%44.12%
90–992.94%8.82%17.65%2.94%2.94%35.29%
100+2.94%2.94%
Total5.88%26.47%38.24%23.53%5.88%100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 86.18 85.56 +0.62
SD 7.98 10.96 12.88
CV 0.09 0.13
Max 100 118 +26
Min 67 64 -37

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–692.94%2.94%
70–792.94%5.88%23.53%5.88%38.24%
80–895.88%8.82%11.76%11.76%38.24%
90–995.88%8.82%14.71%
100+2.94%2.94%5.88%
Total11.76%17.65%41.18%26.47%2.94%100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 83.00 84.35 -1.35
SD 9.79 10.62 12.18
CV 0.12 0.13
Max 107 109 +33
Min 63 62 -23

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<602.94%2.94%
60–692.94%5.88%8.82%
70–795.88%11.76%5.88%2.94%26.47%
80–8911.76%11.76%14.71%38.24%
90–992.94%2.94%8.82%2.94%17.65%
100+2.94%2.94%5.88%
Total23.53%32.35%35.29%8.82%100%

Dallas Wings — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 82.65 88.24 -5.59
SD 12.01 8.86 12.17
CV 0.15 0.10
Max 117 111 +11
Min 56 74 -37

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<602.94%2.94%
60–698.82%5.88%2.94%17.65%
70–795.88%8.82%5.88%2.94%23.53%
80–892.94%14.71%8.82%5.88%32.35%
90–992.94%17.65%2.94%23.53%
100+
Total8.82%35.29%38.24%17.65%100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 80.47 80.85 -0.38
SD 11.25 8.84 13.27
CV 0.14 0.11
Max 98 94 +23
Min 59 60 -32

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–692.94%8.82%11.76%
70–7914.71%14.71%2.94%32.35%
80–898.82%8.82%2.94%20.59%
90–995.88%8.82%14.71%2.94%32.35%
100+2.94%2.94%
Total23.53%44.12%23.53%8.82%100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 82.97 75.88 +7.09
SD 11.15 8.83 11.30
CV 0.13 0.12
Max 100 92 +30
Min 60 61 -18

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–692.94%2.94%
70–798.82%11.76%2.94%23.53%
80–892.94%8.82%14.71%8.82%2.94%38.24%
90–992.94%2.94%5.88%11.76%8.82%32.35%
100+2.94%2.94%
Total5.88%20.59%35.29%23.53%14.71%100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 85.79 76.97 +8.82
SD 9.43 10.85 12.34
CV 0.11 0.14
Max 110 98 +37
Min 63 56 -24

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–698.82%2.94%11.76%
70–792.94%11.76%8.82%2.94%5.88%32.35%
80–892.94%17.65%11.76%32.35%
90–992.94%8.82%5.88%2.94%2.94%23.53%
100+
Total2.94%5.88%47.06%26.47%8.82%8.82%100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.65 80.85 +0.79
SD 9.22 10.61 13.81
CV 0.11 0.13
Max 99 104 +32
Min 62 59 -24

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–692.94%2.94%
70–795.88%11.76%5.88%5.88%29.41%
80–898.82%5.88%8.82%11.76%35.29%
90–9911.76%2.94%5.88%5.88%26.47%
100+2.94%2.94%5.88%
Total14.71%32.35%17.65%26.47%8.82%100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 84.59 83.29 +1.29
SD 10.58 12.66 12.52
CV 0.13 0.15
Max 111 117 +26
Min 60 62 -22

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<602.94%2.94%
60–692.94%23.53%14.71%2.94%44.12%
70–795.88%8.82%14.71%8.82%38.24%
80–892.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
90–995.88%5.88%
100+
Total8.82%35.29%35.29%20.59%100%

San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 72.03 80.24 -8.21
SD 8.64 8.71 9.41
CV 0.12 0.11
Max 90 97 +11
Min 57 67 -27

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–692.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
70–798.82%17.65%11.76%38.24%
80–892.94%2.94%5.88%8.82%14.71%35.29%
90–9914.71%14.71%
100+2.94%2.94%
Total2.94%11.76%29.41%38.24%17.65%100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 80.82 80.24 +0.59
SD 9.15 9.84 13.06
CV 0.11 0.12
Max 102 96 +29
Min 62 51 -30

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<602.94%2.94%
60–692.94%2.94%5.88%
70–795.88%5.88%23.53%11.76%47.06%
80–895.88%8.82%11.76%2.94%29.41%
90–995.88%2.94%8.82%
100+2.94%2.94%5.88%
Total17.65%17.65%41.18%20.59%2.94%100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 80.74 82.21 -1.47
SD 11.78 10.79 15.84
CV 0.15 0.13
Max 118 106 +37
Min 51 62 -30

Games Played: 34

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Minnesota Lynx 28 23.73 +4.27
2 Los Angeles Sparks 26 23.16 +2.84
3 Seattle Storm 16 14.04 +1.96
4 Connecticut Sun 14 12.88 +1.12
5 New York Liberty 21 20.37 +0.63

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Dallas Wings 11 14.92 -3.92
2 Washington Mystics 13 15.76 -2.76
3 San Antonio Silver Stars 7 9.62 -2.62
4 Phoenix Mercury 16 17.92 -1.92
5 Indiana Fever 17 17.44 -0.44

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Minnesota Lynx 13 May 14 – Jun 21 1 in 457
2 Los Angeles Sparks 11 May 15 – Jun 17 1 in 231
3 Seattle Storm 4 Sep 4 – Sep 11 1 in 51
4 Connecticut Sun 3 Jul 20 – Aug 26 1 in 35
5 Atlanta Dream 5 May 22 – Jun 3 1 in 32

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dallas Wings 11 Jul 8 – Sep 4 1 in 233
2 Washington Mystics 7 Jul 1 – Jul 22 1 in 78
3 Atlanta Dream 6 Jun 18 – Jul 3 1 in 61
4 Connecticut Sun 6 May 21 – Jun 5 1 in 28
5 Minnesota Lynx 3 Jun 24 – Jun 29 1 in 25

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team123456789101112
Minnesota Lynx48.02%29.15%12.70%5.80%2.07%1.33%0.52%0.24%0.13%0.04%
Los Angeles Sparks37.36%33.12%15.93%6.98%3.48%1.64%0.89%0.42%0.12%0.05%0.01%
New York Liberty8.74%18.03%25.26%17.28%11.57%7.90%5.15%2.98%1.90%0.82%0.32%0.05%
Phoenix Mercury2.02%5.33%11.17%16.11%15.87%14.05%12.22%9.51%6.75%4.23%2.25%0.49%
Chicago Sky1.46%4.68%10.08%13.71%15.15%13.90%12.03%11.15%7.96%5.72%3.24%0.92%
Indiana Fever1.32%4.37%9.68%13.38%14.86%14.54%13.59%10.95%7.99%5.73%3.00%0.59%
Atlanta Dream0.58%2.40%6.54%10.79%12.44%14.41%14.46%12.50%11.18%8.16%5.14%1.40%
Washington Mystics0.29%1.64%4.21%6.59%10.26%11.61%13.05%14.51%14.36%12.37%8.69%2.42%
Dallas Wings0.15%0.86%2.36%5.14%6.94%9.63%11.84%13.80%16.43%15.59%12.24%5.02%
Seattle Storm0.06%0.30%1.44%2.69%4.84%6.52%9.84%13.07%15.56%19.21%17.90%8.57%
Connecticut Sun0.12%0.59%1.41%2.39%3.97%5.49%9.33%14.30%19.66%27.99%14.75%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.04%0.12%0.13%0.50%0.92%1.54%3.32%8.42%19.22%65.79%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 Seed5 Seed6 Seed7 Seed8 SeedMissed Playoffs
Minnesota Lynx48.02%29.15%12.70%5.80%2.07%1.33%0.52%0.24%0.17%
Los Angeles Sparks37.36%33.12%15.93%6.98%3.48%1.64%0.89%0.42%0.18%
New York Liberty8.74%18.03%25.26%17.28%11.57%7.90%5.15%2.98%3.09%
Phoenix Mercury2.02%5.33%11.17%16.11%15.87%14.05%12.22%9.51%13.72%
Chicago Sky1.46%4.68%10.08%13.71%15.15%13.90%12.03%11.15%17.84%
Indiana Fever1.32%4.37%9.68%13.38%14.86%14.54%13.59%10.95%17.31%
Atlanta Dream0.58%2.40%6.54%10.79%12.44%14.41%14.46%12.50%25.88%
Washington Mystics0.29%1.64%4.21%6.59%10.26%11.61%13.05%14.51%37.84%
Dallas Wings0.15%0.86%2.36%5.14%6.94%9.63%11.84%13.80%49.28%
Seattle Storm0.06%0.30%1.44%2.69%4.84%6.52%9.84%13.07%61.24%
Connecticut Sun0.12%0.59%1.41%2.39%3.97%5.49%9.33%76.70%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.04%0.12%0.13%0.50%0.92%1.54%96.75%

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals
Minnesota Lynx 94.09% 94.09% 76.49% 55.08%
Los Angeles Sparks 89.12% 89.12% 58.46% 26.15%
Phoenix Mercury 57.24% 36.92% 13.01% 4.10%
New York Liberty 58.04% 56.43% 16.54% 4.07%
Chicago Sky 53.24% 32.82% 10.91% 3.48%
Indiana Fever 53.61% 32.99% 10.83% 3.47%
Atlanta Dream 41.76% 20.58% 4.86% 1.20%
Seattle Storm 22.04% 10.72% 3.59% 1.17%
Washington Mystics 32.56% 14.83% 3.47% 0.85%
Connecticut Sun 11.32% 4.73% 1.13% 0.34%
Dallas Wings 20.12% 6.66% 0.71% 0.09%
San Antonio Silver Stars 0.83% 0.11%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunDallas WingsIndiana FeverLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream2.83%0.41%1.13%2.71%0.98%0.58%3.28%3.06%0.07%0.90%1.65%
Chicago Sky3.35%0.82%1.99%4.38%1.45%0.80%5.17%4.64%0.09%1.57%2.42%
Connecticut Sun0.57%0.58%0.22%0.69%0.35%0.18%0.83%0.63%0.19%0.37%
Dallas Wings0.61%0.94%0.12%0.76%0.28%0.15%0.97%0.89%0.03%0.27%0.63%
Indiana Fever3.53%4.33%0.85%2.09%1.49%0.96%5.28%4.73%0.09%1.40%2.55%
Los Angeles Sparks2.54%2.72%0.93%1.40%2.82%0.18%1.50%2.75%0.05%1.54%2.21%
Minnesota Lynx2.23%2.53%0.72%1.28%2.46%0.29%1.47%2.43%0.09%1.41%2.01%
New York Liberty4.23%4.55%1.32%2.78%4.74%0.69%0.34%4.91%0.18%2.04%3.88%
Phoenix Mercury4.22%5.06%0.96%2.23%4.56%1.56%0.86%5.18%0.07%1.74%3.13%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.04%0.02%0.01%0.03%0.01%
Seattle Storm1.28%1.20%0.21%0.48%1.36%0.84%0.40%2.13%1.63%0.03%0.80%
Washington Mystics1.56%1.80%0.37%0.87%1.82%0.93%0.37%2.54%2.00%0.02%0.62%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunDallas WingsIndiana FeverLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream0.31%0.01%0.06%0.34%1.69%0.98%0.98%0.34%0.15%
Chicago Sky0.51%0.05%0.13%0.61%3.72%2.37%2.30%0.83%0.10%0.29%
Connecticut Sun0.01%0.01%0.07%0.40%0.32%0.25%0.07%
Dallas Wings0.08%0.06%0.20%0.10%0.18%0.04%0.01%0.04%
Indiana Fever0.39%0.76%0.02%0.19%3.85%2.22%2.27%0.77%0.12%0.24%
Los Angeles Sparks5.60%7.91%1.29%2.30%8.16%4.67%13.80%7.96%0.03%2.70%4.04%
Minnesota Lynx7.06%9.73%1.83%2.58%10.22%9.05%15.61%11.54%0.06%3.70%5.11%
New York Liberty1.34%1.91%0.26%0.41%1.58%4.89%2.64%2.01%0.02%0.39%1.09%
Phoenix Mercury0.45%0.85%0.13%0.21%0.83%4.41%2.73%2.94%0.11%0.35%
Seattle Storm0.12%0.20%0.01%0.01%0.10%1.30%0.90%0.76%0.14%0.05%
Washington Mystics0.16%0.23%0.06%0.19%1.15%0.67%0.80%0.21%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunDallas WingsIndiana FeverLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySeattle StormWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream0.09%0.01%0.03%0.11%0.35%0.39%0.07%0.10%0.02%0.03%
Chicago Sky0.21%0.02%0.03%0.20%0.89%1.32%0.34%0.34%0.08%0.05%
Connecticut Sun0.01%0.02%0.02%0.06%0.08%0.05%0.04%0.04%0.01%0.01%
Dallas Wings0.02%0.05%0.01%0.01%
Indiana Fever0.07%0.20%0.03%1.01%1.30%0.30%0.32%0.13%0.11%
Los Angeles Sparks1.07%1.88%0.25%0.21%1.83%14.59%3.29%2.04%0.51%0.48%
Minnesota Lynx2.03%4.50%0.44%0.30%4.43%26.98%7.78%5.48%1.45%1.69%
New York Liberty0.13%0.28%0.03%0.01%0.26%1.18%1.56%0.41%0.09%0.12%
Phoenix Mercury0.08%0.27%0.02%0.28%1.26%1.53%0.45%0.10%0.11%
Seattle Storm0.02%0.07%0.01%0.12%0.34%0.38%0.13%0.08%0.02%
Washington Mystics0.04%0.10%0.07%0.22%0.24%0.07%0.09%0.02%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals Actual Outcome
Minnesota Lynx 100.00% 81.03% 58.41% Eliminated in Finals
Los Angeles Sparks 100.00% 70.75% 26.12% Won Finals
Chicago Sky 51.28% 8.49% 3.49% Eliminated in Semifinals
Phoenix Mercury 22.41% 5.08% 2.47% Eliminated in Semifinals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyIndiana FeverNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySeattle Storm
Atlanta Dream20.10%
Chicago Sky28.35%22.93%
Indiana Fever26.31%
New York Liberty27.75%26.17%
Phoenix Mercury22.41%
Seattle Storm25.98%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyIndiana FeverLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySeattle Storm
Atlanta Dream4.96%
Chicago Sky8.49%
Indiana Fever5.40%
Los Angeles Sparks15.14%38.81%16.80%
Minnesota Lynx42.79%20.91%17.33%
New York Liberty15.11%
Phoenix Mercury5.08%
Seattle Storm9.18%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyIndiana FeverLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySeattle Storm
Atlanta Dream0.16%0.09%0.64%0.09%
Chicago Sky0.28%2.11%0.69%0.41%
Indiana Fever0.15%1.66%0.42%0.35%
Los Angeles Sparks3.91%2.12%18.10%1.99%
Minnesota Lynx3.40%39.35%10.00%5.66%
New York Liberty0.67%0.36%2.23%0.28%
Phoenix Mercury0.15%1.51%0.46%0.35%
Seattle Storm0.26%0.25%1.65%0.25%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Minnesota Lynx 58.41% chance to win
Semifinals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
52.81%
Win Prob
83.44%
Finals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
67.37%
Win Prob
68.49%
Los Angeles Sparks 26.12% chance to win
Semifinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
54.86%
Win Prob
71.98%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
69.30%
Win Prob
31.51%
New York Liberty 3.54% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
51.47%
Win Prob
57.99%
Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
28.02%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
62.99%
Win Prob
18.23%
Chicago Sky 3.49% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
55.28%
Win Prob
51.87%
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
16.56%
Finals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
60.46%
Win Prob
35.05%
Indiana Fever 2.58% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
48.13%
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
20.52%
Finals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
64.34%
Win Prob
43.92%
Phoenix Mercury 2.47% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
49.43%
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
22.67%
Finals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
61.13%
Win Prob
43.14%
Seattle Storm 2.41% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
49.82%
Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
35.33%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
68.46%
Win Prob
22.57%
Atlanta Dream 0.98% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
42.01%
Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
24.68%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
65.31%
Win Prob
15.84%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2016-05-14 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 73-63 1492.97 1407.21 56.88% 43.12% +12.02 1-0
2016-05-20 @ Indiana Fever L 85-94 1504.99 1528.28 41.33% 58.67% -10.93 1-1
2016-05-22 Chicago Sky W 87-81 1494.06 1518.81 51.85% 48.15% +10.40 2-1
2016-05-24 @ New York Liberty W 85-79 1504.46 1540.48 39.56% 60.44% +13.06 3-1
2016-05-27 @ Dallas Wings W 102-93 1517.52 1516.25 44.79% 55.21% +14.61 4-1
2016-05-29 Indiana Fever W 85-76 1532.13 1533.70 55.17% 44.83% +11.86 5-1
2016-06-03 @ Connecticut Sun W 83-77 1543.99 1417.53 62.51% 37.49% +8.10 6-1
2016-06-05 Washington Mystics L 79-86 1552.09 1435.86 70.80% 29.20% -16.52 6-2
2016-06-10 Minnesota Lynx L 78-110 1535.57 1636.13 41.04% 58.96% -20.48 6-3
2016-06-12 Connecticut Sun W 93-87 1515.09 1401.74 70.45% 29.55% +6.38 7-3
2016-06-17 Chicago Sky W 101-97 1521.47 1521.33 55.41% 44.59% +7.87 8-3
2016-06-18 @ Washington Mystics L 65-95 1529.34 1467.35 53.50% 46.50% -25.85 8-4
2016-06-22 New York Liberty L 79-90 1503.49 1563.79 46.74% 53.26% -13.67 8-5
2016-06-25 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 69-73 1489.82 1337.97 65.87% 34.13% -11.62 8-6
2016-06-28 @ Seattle Storm L 81-84 1478.20 1423.05 52.52% 47.48% -8.02 8-7
2016-06-30 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 75-84 1470.18 1662.52 21.02% 78.98% -5.56 8-8
2016-07-03 Phoenix Mercury L 87-95 1464.62 1515.49 48.09% 51.91% -12.00 8-9
2016-07-05 Seattle Storm W 77-64 1452.62 1421.37 59.78% 40.22% +12.79 9-9
2016-07-08 Dallas Wings W 95-90 1465.41 1481.05 53.16% 46.84% +9.24 10-9
2016-07-10 @ Connecticut Sun W 67-63 1474.65 1385.62 57.35% 42.65% +7.52 11-9
2016-07-13 @ New York Liberty L 62-86 1482.17 1595.41 29.56% 70.44% -12.77 11-10
2016-07-15 @ Indiana Fever L 72-78 1469.40 1494.35 41.09% 58.91% -8.88 11-11
2016-07-17 Los Angeles Sparks W 91-74 1460.52 1701.26 23.70% 76.30% +27.75 12-11
2016-07-20 @ Minnesota Lynx L 65-83 1488.27 1661.13 22.94% 77.06% -8.59 12-12
2016-07-22 Dallas Wings W 93-88 1479.68 1428.44 62.52% 37.48% +7.40 13-12
2016-08-26 @ Chicago Sky L 82-90 1487.08 1501.63 42.55% 57.45% -10.62 13-13
2016-08-28 Connecticut Sun W 87-73 1476.46 1444.83 59.83% 40.17% +13.26 14-13
2016-09-04 Seattle Storm L 82-91 1489.72 1449.24 61.05% 38.95% -16.16 14-14
2016-09-06 Phoenix Mercury W 91-87 1473.56 1508.47 50.39% 49.61% +8.75 15-14
2016-09-08 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 86-81 1482.31 1645.28 23.96% 76.04% +15.00 16-14
2016-09-11 @ Phoenix Mercury L 75-86 1497.31 1499.72 44.27% 55.73% -12.95 16-15
2016-09-13 San Antonio Silver Stars L 67-71 1484.36 1288.37 79.33% 20.67% -13.99 16-16
2016-09-15 Washington Mystics W 94-91 1470.37 1485.70 53.20% 46.80% +7.15 17-16
2016-09-17 @ Minnesota Lynx L 87-95 1477.52 1688.90 19.26% 80.74% -4.81 17-17
2016-05-14 Connecticut Sun W 93-70 1521.87 1468.55 62.79% 37.21% +15.74 1-0
2016-05-18 Minnesota Lynx L 80-97 1537.61 1563.58 51.67% 48.33% -18.80 1-1
2016-05-22 @ Atlanta Dream L 81-87 1518.81 1494.06 48.15% 51.85% -10.40 1-2
2016-05-24 Los Angeles Sparks L 80-93 1508.41 1553.23 48.96% 51.04% -15.57 1-3
2016-05-27 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 78-79 1492.84 1381.29 60.48% 39.52% -5.33 1-4
2016-05-29 @ Dallas Wings W 92-87 1487.51 1501.64 42.61% 57.39% +11.31 2-4
2016-06-01 @ Washington Mystics W 86-78 1498.82 1464.84 49.48% 50.52% +12.61 3-4
2016-06-03 Washington Mystics W 98-72 1511.43 1452.24 63.58% 36.42% +16.38 4-4
2016-06-10 @ Indiana Fever W 73-64 1527.81 1519.71 45.76% 54.24% +14.35 5-4
2016-06-12 @ Phoenix Mercury L 80-86 1542.16 1513.04 48.78% 51.22% -10.54 5-5
2016-06-14 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 85-98 1531.62 1622.04 32.37% 67.63% -10.29 5-6
2016-06-17 @ Atlanta Dream L 97-101 1521.33 1521.47 44.59% 55.41% -7.87 5-7
2016-06-21 San Antonio Silver Stars W 81-75 1513.46 1349.31 76.16% 23.84% +5.15 6-7
2016-06-24 @ New York Liberty L 79-80 1518.61 1577.46 36.46% 63.54% -3.21 6-8
2016-06-29 Indiana Fever L 83-95 1515.40 1486.69 59.43% 40.57% -18.16 6-9
2016-07-01 Washington Mystics W 86-84 1497.24 1528.18 50.96% 49.04% +6.12 7-9
2016-07-05 @ Minnesota Lynx L 82-87 1503.36 1630.67 27.90% 72.10% -5.51 7-10
2016-07-08 New York Liberty L 85-88 1497.85 1584.23 43.03% 56.97% -6.57 7-11
2016-07-10 Phoenix Mercury W 100-95 1491.28 1497.23 54.54% 45.46% +8.97 8-11
2016-07-13 Los Angeles Sparks L 67-77 1500.25 1688.89 29.54% 70.46% -8.24 8-12
2016-07-15 Dallas Wings W 84-77 1492.01 1458.24 60.13% 39.87% +9.30 9-12
2016-07-17 @ Seattle Storm W 91-88 1501.31 1432.94 54.42% 45.58% +6.96 10-12
2016-07-19 @ Phoenix Mercury W 79-77 1508.27 1505.67 44.98% 55.02% +6.87 11-12
2016-07-22 Connecticut Sun L 89-94 1515.14 1417.83 68.50% 31.50% -13.51 11-13
2016-08-26 Atlanta Dream W 90-82 1501.63 1487.08 57.45% 42.55% +10.61 12-13
2016-08-28 @ Dallas Wings W 92-85 1512.24 1405.76 59.78% 40.22% +9.39 13-13
2016-09-02 Seattle Storm W 92-88 1521.63 1455.50 64.50% 35.50% +6.26 14-13
2016-09-04 San Antonio Silver Stars W 97-73 1527.89 1313.61 81.00% 19.00% +8.21 15-13
2016-09-07 @ Washington Mystics L 81-118 1536.10 1456.19 56.06% 43.94% -30.08 15-14
2016-09-09 @ Indiana Fever L 88-95 1506.02 1516.37 43.14% 56.86% -10.06 15-15
2016-09-11 @ Connecticut Sun W 96-86 1495.96 1450.56 51.12% 48.88% +13.63 16-15
2016-09-13 Minnesota Lynx W 98-97 1509.59 1687.00 30.90% 69.10% +6.10 17-15
2016-09-16 New York Liberty W 92-68 1515.69 1528.49 53.56% 46.44% +20.06 18-15
2016-09-18 @ Seattle Storm L 75-88 1535.75 1509.25 48.40% 51.60% -15.39 18-16
2016-05-14 @ Chicago Sky L 70-93 1468.55 1521.87 37.21% 62.79% -15.74 0-1
2016-05-19 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 72-68 1452.81 1395.19 52.88% 47.12% +8.32 1-1
2016-05-21 Washington Mystics L 76-84 1461.13 1459.18 55.67% 44.33% -13.89 1-2
2016-05-26 Los Angeles Sparks L 72-77 1447.24 1568.80 38.15% 61.85% -7.53 1-3
2016-05-28 @ Seattle Storm L 82-93 1439.71 1421.43 47.22% 52.78% -13.81 1-4
2016-05-31 @ Phoenix Mercury L 90-99 1425.90 1522.15 31.64% 68.36% -8.37 1-5
2016-06-03 Atlanta Dream L 77-83 1417.53 1543.99 37.49% 62.51% -8.10 1-6
2016-06-05 Indiana Fever L 77-88 1409.43 1507.61 41.37% 58.63% -12.10 1-7
2016-06-10 Seattle Storm W 77-76 1397.33 1435.21 49.96% 50.04% +4.41 2-7
2016-06-12 @ Atlanta Dream L 87-93 1401.74 1515.09 29.55% 70.45% -6.38 2-8
2016-06-14 Washington Mystics L 106-109 1395.36 1460.31 46.07% 53.93% -7.04 2-9
2016-06-16 New York Liberty L 72-80 1388.32 1548.39 33.07% 66.93% -8.25 2-10
2016-06-19 San Antonio Silver Stars W 93-90 1380.07 1355.59 58.84% 41.16% +6.29 3-10
2016-06-24 @ Seattle Storm L 81-98 1386.36 1407.93 41.56% 58.44% -15.12 3-11
2016-06-26 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 73-80 1371.24 1654.95 13.59% 86.41% -3.17 3-12
2016-06-29 @ Phoenix Mercury L 75-86 1368.07 1522.51 24.87% 75.13% -7.27 3-13
2016-07-02 @ Dallas Wings W 86-83 1360.80 1483.98 28.38% 71.62% +10.94 4-13
2016-07-07 Minnesota Lynx W 93-89 1371.74 1636.18 21.32% 78.68% +13.88 5-13
2016-07-10 Atlanta Dream L 63-67 1385.62 1474.65 42.65% 57.35% -7.53 5-14
2016-07-13 @ Indiana Fever W 86-64 1378.09 1525.09 25.68% 74.32% +30.75 6-14
2016-07-15 Los Angeles Sparks L 92-98 1408.84 1697.13 19.11% 80.89% -4.13 6-15
2016-07-17 @ New York Liberty L 76-83 1404.71 1593.37 21.37% 78.63% -4.99 6-16
2016-07-20 @ Dallas Wings W 89-78 1399.72 1446.55 38.08% 61.92% +18.11 7-16
2016-07-22 @ Chicago Sky W 94-89 1417.83 1515.14 31.50% 68.50% +13.51 8-16
2016-08-26 Minnesota Lynx W 84-80 1431.34 1673.77 23.52% 76.48% +13.49 9-16
2016-08-28 @ Atlanta Dream L 73-87 1444.83 1476.46 40.17% 59.83% -13.25 9-17
2016-08-30 San Antonio Silver Stars W 89-62 1431.58 1332.31 68.74% 31.26% +14.33 10-17
2016-09-02 Phoenix Mercury W 87-74 1445.91 1543.02 41.52% 58.48% +18.59 11-17
2016-09-04 @ Minnesota Lynx L 79-93 1464.50 1670.28 19.76% 80.24% -6.52 11-18
2016-09-09 @ New York Liberty L 82-89 1457.98 1552.96 31.79% 68.21% -7.42 11-19
2016-09-11 Chicago Sky L 86-96 1450.56 1495.96 48.88% 51.12% -13.63 11-20
2016-09-13 Indiana Fever W 89-87 1436.93 1537.66 41.01% 58.99% +7.36 12-20
2016-09-16 Dallas Wings W 107-74 1444.29 1392.21 62.63% 37.37% +18.93 13-20
2016-09-18 @ Washington Mystics W 87-78 1463.22 1478.55 42.44% 57.56% +15.23 14-20
2016-05-14 @ Indiana Fever W 90-79 1486.49 1538.41 37.39% 62.61% +18.31 1-0
2016-05-15 @ New York Liberty L 71-79 1504.80 1544.11 39.11% 60.89% -9.75 1-1
2016-05-18 @ Washington Mystics W 87-77 1495.05 1499.38 43.99% 56.01% +15.62 2-1
2016-05-21 San Antonio Silver Stars W 82-77 1510.67 1386.88 71.69% 28.31% +5.58 3-1
2016-05-27 Atlanta Dream L 93-102 1516.25 1517.52 55.21% 44.79% -14.61 3-2
2016-05-29 Chicago Sky L 87-92 1501.64 1487.51 57.39% 42.61% -11.32 3-3
2016-06-04 @ Minnesota Lynx L 63-80 1490.32 1618.80 27.77% 72.23% -10.10 3-4
2016-06-08 Washington Mystics L 79-87 1480.22 1452.38 59.31% 40.69% -14.79 3-5
2016-06-11 Los Angeles Sparks L 73-97 1465.43 1606.70 35.51% 64.49% -15.34 3-6
2016-06-14 @ New York Liberty L 88-91 1450.09 1543.50 31.99% 68.01% -4.89 3-7
2016-06-16 Seattle Storm W 88-79 1445.20 1425.68 58.15% 41.85% +11.07 4-7
2016-06-18 @ Phoenix Mercury W 117-111 1456.27 1517.08 36.20% 63.80% +13.79 5-7
2016-06-21 Phoenix Mercury W 100-90 1470.06 1503.29 50.63% 49.37% +13.77 6-7
2016-06-23 San Antonio Silver Stars W 97-90 1483.83 1344.15 73.51% 26.49% +6.18 7-7
2016-06-25 Indiana Fever L 87-92 1490.01 1475.35 57.46% 42.54% -11.34 7-8
2016-06-28 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 84-89 1478.67 1658.12 22.28% 77.72% -4.39 7-9
2016-06-30 @ Seattle Storm W 83-78 1474.28 1431.07 50.81% 49.19% +9.70 8-9
2016-07-02 Connecticut Sun L 83-86 1483.98 1360.80 71.62% 28.38% -10.94 8-10
2016-07-05 Phoenix Mercury W 77-74 1473.04 1527.49 47.58% 52.42% +8.01 9-10
2016-07-08 @ Atlanta Dream L 90-95 1481.05 1465.41 46.84% 53.16% -9.24 9-11
2016-07-09 @ Minnesota Lynx L 56-93 1471.81 1622.30 25.30% 74.70% -13.57 9-12
2016-07-15 @ Chicago Sky L 77-84 1458.24 1492.01 39.87% 60.13% -9.30 9-13
2016-07-17 Minnesota Lynx L 97-98 1448.94 1658.75 27.07% 72.93% -2.39 9-14
2016-07-20 Connecticut Sun L 78-89 1446.55 1399.72 61.92% 38.08% -18.11 9-15
2016-07-22 @ Atlanta Dream L 88-93 1428.44 1479.68 37.48% 62.52% -7.40 9-16
2016-08-26 @ Phoenix Mercury L 72-98 1421.04 1498.80 33.98% 66.02% -15.28 9-17
2016-08-28 Chicago Sky L 85-92 1405.76 1512.24 40.22% 59.78% -9.38 9-18
2016-08-31 @ Seattle Storm L 66-78 1396.38 1443.90 37.99% 62.01% -11.61 9-19
2016-09-02 Los Angeles Sparks L 79-87 1384.77 1641.21 22.10% 77.90% -5.52 9-20
2016-09-04 Washington Mystics L 83-88 1379.25 1447.18 45.65% 54.35% -9.00 9-21
2016-09-09 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 92-84 1370.25 1301.99 54.40% 45.60% +11.38 10-21
2016-09-11 New York Liberty W 84-81 1381.63 1560.38 30.74% 69.26% +10.58 11-21
2016-09-16 @ Connecticut Sun L 74-107 1392.21 1444.29 37.37% 62.63% -18.94 11-22
2016-09-18 @ Indiana Fever L 60-83 1373.27 1522.30 25.46% 74.54% -10.76 11-23
2016-05-14 Dallas Wings L 79-90 1538.41 1486.49 62.61% 37.39% -18.32 0-1
2016-05-18 Phoenix Mercury W 97-93 1520.09 1532.54 53.61% 46.39% +8.19 1-1
2016-05-20 Atlanta Dream W 94-85 1528.28 1504.99 58.67% 41.33% +10.93 2-1
2016-05-27 @ Minnesota Lynx L 71-74 1539.21 1601.00 36.07% 63.93% -5.51 2-2
2016-05-29 @ Atlanta Dream L 76-85 1533.70 1532.13 44.83% 55.17% -11.86 2-3
2016-06-01 Seattle Storm W 85-75 1521.84 1435.25 67.15% 32.85% +9.16 3-3
2016-06-03 @ New York Liberty L 59-91 1531.00 1515.13 46.87% 53.13% -23.39 3-4
2016-06-05 @ Connecticut Sun W 88-77 1507.61 1409.43 58.63% 41.37% +12.10 4-4
2016-06-10 Chicago Sky L 64-73 1519.71 1527.81 54.24% 45.76% -14.35 4-5
2016-06-12 Seattle Storm L 88-90 1505.36 1430.80 65.60% 34.40% -8.18 4-6
2016-06-14 @ Minnesota Lynx L 63-87 1497.18 1663.47 23.62% 76.38% -10.20 4-7
2016-06-17 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 84-75 1486.98 1365.70 61.81% 38.19% +10.10 5-7
2016-06-19 New York Liberty L 75-78 1497.08 1556.64 46.85% 53.15% -7.16 5-8
2016-06-22 @ Washington Mystics L 62-76 1489.92 1493.19 44.14% 55.86% -14.57 5-9
2016-06-25 @ Dallas Wings W 92-87 1475.35 1490.01 42.54% 57.46% +11.34 6-9
2016-06-29 @ Chicago Sky W 95-83 1486.69 1515.40 40.57% 59.43% +18.16 7-9
2016-07-01 San Antonio Silver Stars L 85-87 1504.85 1341.15 76.11% 23.89% -9.50 7-10
2016-07-06 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 88-94 1495.35 1677.53 22.01% 77.99% -4.75 7-11
2016-07-08 @ Phoenix Mercury W 78-60 1490.60 1519.48 40.55% 59.45% +22.25 8-11
2016-07-10 @ Seattle Storm W 93-82 1512.85 1418.21 58.13% 41.87% +12.24 9-11
2016-07-13 Connecticut Sun L 64-86 1525.09 1378.09 74.32% 25.68% -30.74 9-12
2016-07-15 Atlanta Dream W 78-72 1494.35 1469.40 58.91% 41.09% +8.87 10-12
2016-07-19 Los Angeles Sparks W 92-82 1503.22 1673.51 31.78% 68.22% +19.03 11-12
2016-07-21 @ New York Liberty W 82-70 1522.25 1606.86 33.10% 66.90% +20.44 12-12
2016-08-27 Washington Mystics L 69-92 1542.69 1444.51 68.60% 31.40% -29.02 12-13
2016-08-30 Phoenix Mercury L 65-79 1513.67 1525.29 53.73% 46.27% -17.73 12-14
2016-09-01 New York Liberty W 98-77 1495.94 1591.24 41.77% 58.23% +23.53 13-14
2016-09-04 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 81-88 1519.47 1646.72 27.91% 72.09% -6.51 13-15
2016-09-06 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 71-69 1512.96 1305.40 72.68% 27.32% +3.41 14-15
2016-09-09 Chicago Sky W 95-88 1516.37 1506.02 56.86% 43.14% +10.07 15-15
2016-09-11 @ Washington Mystics W 80-73 1526.44 1475.61 51.90% 48.10% +11.22 16-15
2016-09-13 @ Connecticut Sun L 87-89 1537.66 1436.93 58.99% 41.01% -7.36 16-16
2016-09-16 Minnesota Lynx L 75-82 1530.30 1680.90 34.29% 65.71% -8.00 16-17
2016-09-18 Dallas Wings W 83-60 1522.30 1373.27 74.54% 25.46% +10.77 17-17
2016-05-15 Seattle Storm W 96-66 1497.02 1447.88 62.23% 37.77% +18.24 1-0
2016-05-20 @ Washington Mystics W 97-67 1515.26 1483.76 49.12% 50.88% +24.58 2-0
2016-05-21 @ New York Liberty W 79-72 1539.84 1553.87 42.62% 57.38% +13.39 3-0
2016-05-24 @ Chicago Sky W 93-80 1553.23 1508.41 51.04% 48.96% +15.57 4-0
2016-05-26 @ Connecticut Sun W 77-72 1568.80 1447.24 61.85% 38.15% +7.53 5-0
2016-06-02 San Antonio Silver Stars W 68-61 1576.33 1386.63 78.73% 21.27% +4.96 6-0
2016-06-04 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 74-61 1581.29 1381.66 71.76% 28.24% +8.98 7-0
2016-06-07 New York Liberty W 100-77 1590.27 1549.03 61.16% 38.84% +16.43 8-0
2016-06-11 @ Dallas Wings W 97-73 1606.70 1465.43 64.49% 35.51% +15.34 9-0
2016-06-14 Chicago Sky W 98-85 1622.04 1531.62 67.63% 32.37% +10.30 10-0
2016-06-17 Phoenix Mercury W 77-71 1632.34 1523.58 69.90% 30.10% +6.50 11-0
2016-06-21 Minnesota Lynx L 69-72 1638.84 1680.35 49.44% 50.56% -7.55 11-1
2016-06-24 @ Minnesota Lynx W 94-76 1631.29 1687.91 36.76% 63.24% +23.66 12-1
2016-06-26 Connecticut Sun W 80-73 1654.95 1371.24 86.41% 13.59% +3.17 13-1
2016-06-28 Dallas Wings W 89-84 1658.12 1478.67 77.72% 22.28% +4.40 14-1
2016-06-30 Atlanta Dream W 84-75 1662.52 1470.18 78.98% 21.02% +5.56 15-1
2016-07-03 New York Liberty W 77-67 1668.08 1589.61 66.11% 33.89% +9.45 16-1
2016-07-06 Indiana Fever W 94-88 1677.53 1495.35 77.99% 22.01% +4.75 17-1
2016-07-10 Washington Mystics W 93-82 1682.28 1505.94 77.41% 22.59% +6.61 18-1
2016-07-13 @ Chicago Sky W 77-67 1688.89 1500.25 70.46% 29.54% +8.24 19-1
2016-07-15 @ Connecticut Sun W 98-92 1697.13 1408.84 80.89% 19.11% +4.13 20-1
2016-07-17 @ Atlanta Dream L 74-91 1701.26 1460.52 76.30% 23.70% -27.75 20-2
2016-07-19 @ Indiana Fever L 82-92 1673.51 1503.22 68.22% 31.78% -19.03 20-3
2016-07-22 @ Washington Mystics W 95-75 1654.48 1455.69 71.66% 28.34% +11.18 21-3
2016-08-26 @ Seattle Storm L 72-79 1665.66 1432.18 75.54% 24.46% -17.63 21-4
2016-08-28 @ Phoenix Mercury L 66-70 1648.03 1514.09 63.52% 36.48% -11.20 21-5
2016-09-01 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 70-61 1636.83 1317.98 83.46% 16.54% +4.38 22-5
2016-09-02 @ Dallas Wings W 87-79 1641.21 1384.77 77.90% 22.10% +5.51 23-5
2016-09-04 Indiana Fever W 88-81 1646.72 1519.47 72.09% 27.91% +6.51 24-5
2016-09-06 Minnesota Lynx L 74-77 1653.23 1676.80 52.02% 47.98% -7.95 24-6
2016-09-08 Atlanta Dream L 81-86 1645.28 1482.31 76.04% 23.96% -14.99 24-7
2016-09-11 @ Seattle Storm L 60-78 1630.29 1506.74 62.12% 37.88% -23.25 24-8
2016-09-13 Phoenix Mercury W 90-85 1607.04 1512.67 68.13% 31.87% +6.29 25-8
2016-09-16 San Antonio Silver Stars W 71-65 1613.33 1302.36 88.15% 11.85% +2.56 26-8
2016-05-14 Phoenix Mercury W 95-76 1546.22 1549.90 54.87% 45.13% +17.36 1-0
2016-05-18 @ Chicago Sky W 97-80 1563.58 1537.61 48.33% 51.67% +18.79 2-0
2016-05-22 @ Seattle Storm W 78-71 1582.37 1435.65 65.21% 34.79% +8.12 3-0
2016-05-25 @ Phoenix Mercury W 85-78 1590.49 1518.35 54.95% 45.05% +10.51 4-0
2016-05-27 Indiana Fever W 74-71 1601.00 1539.21 63.93% 36.07% +5.51 5-0
2016-05-31 @ New York Liberty W 79-69 1606.51 1527.42 55.94% 44.06% +12.29 6-0
2016-06-04 Dallas Wings W 80-63 1618.80 1490.32 72.23% 27.77% +10.10 7-0
2016-06-07 Phoenix Mercury W 89-81 1628.90 1510.89 71.01% 28.99% +7.23 8-0
2016-06-10 @ Atlanta Dream W 110-78 1636.13 1535.57 58.96% 41.04% +20.47 9-0
2016-06-11 @ Washington Mystics W 83-76 1656.60 1467.18 70.56% 29.44% +6.87 10-0
2016-06-14 Indiana Fever W 87-63 1663.47 1497.18 76.38% 23.62% +10.21 11-0
2016-06-19 @ Seattle Storm W 96-84 1673.68 1414.60 78.16% 21.84% +6.67 12-0
2016-06-21 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 72-69 1680.35 1638.84 50.56% 49.44% +7.56 13-0
2016-06-24 Los Angeles Sparks L 76-94 1687.91 1631.29 63.24% 36.76% -23.67 13-1
2016-06-26 @ Washington Mystics L 63-87 1664.24 1490.05 68.70% 31.30% -29.68 13-2
2016-06-29 New York Liberty L 92-95 1634.56 1565.41 64.90% 35.10% -9.92 13-3
2016-07-02 San Antonio Silver Stars W 91-68 1624.64 1350.64 85.74% 14.26% +6.03 14-3
2016-07-05 Chicago Sky W 87-82 1630.67 1503.36 72.10% 27.90% +5.51 15-3
2016-07-07 @ Connecticut Sun L 89-93 1636.18 1371.74 78.68% 21.32% -13.88 15-4
2016-07-09 Dallas Wings W 93-56 1622.30 1471.81 74.70% 25.30% +13.57 16-4
2016-07-12 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 81-57 1635.87 1342.43 81.35% 18.65% +8.06 17-4
2016-07-15 New York Liberty W 88-70 1643.93 1608.18 60.40% 39.60% +14.82 18-4
2016-07-17 @ Dallas Wings W 98-97 1658.75 1448.94 72.93% 27.07% +2.38 19-4
2016-07-20 Atlanta Dream W 83-65 1661.13 1488.27 77.06% 22.94% +8.59 20-4
2016-07-22 Seattle Storm W 79-72 1669.72 1436.23 82.64% 17.36% +4.05 21-4
2016-08-26 @ Connecticut Sun L 80-84 1673.77 1431.34 76.48% 23.52% -13.49 21-5
2016-08-28 Seattle Storm W 92-80 1660.28 1449.81 80.66% 19.34% +5.91 22-5
2016-09-02 Washington Mystics W 75-69 1666.19 1451.28 81.06% 18.94% +4.09 23-5
2016-09-04 Connecticut Sun W 93-79 1670.28 1464.50 80.24% 19.76% +6.52 24-5
2016-09-06 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 77-74 1676.80 1653.23 47.98% 52.02% +7.95 25-5
2016-09-11 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 81-76 1684.75 1290.61 88.62% 11.38% +2.25 26-5
2016-09-13 @ Chicago Sky L 97-98 1687.00 1509.59 69.10% 30.90% -6.10 26-6
2016-09-16 @ Indiana Fever W 82-75 1680.90 1530.30 65.71% 34.29% +8.00 27-6
2016-09-17 Atlanta Dream W 95-87 1688.90 1477.52 80.74% 19.26% +4.81 28-6
2016-05-14 @ Washington Mystics W 87-76 1528.47 1515.02 46.53% 53.47% +15.64 1-0
2016-05-15 Dallas Wings W 79-71 1544.11 1504.80 60.89% 39.11% +9.76 2-0
2016-05-21 Los Angeles Sparks L 72-79 1553.87 1539.84 57.38% 42.62% -13.39 2-1
2016-05-24 Atlanta Dream L 79-85 1540.48 1504.46 60.44% 39.56% -13.06 2-2
2016-05-31 Minnesota Lynx L 69-79 1527.42 1606.51 44.06% 55.94% -12.29 2-3
2016-06-03 Indiana Fever W 91-59 1515.13 1531.00 53.13% 46.87% +23.39 3-3
2016-06-05 @ Seattle Storm W 86-78 1538.52 1445.72 57.88% 42.12% +10.51 4-3
2016-06-07 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 77-100 1549.03 1590.27 38.84% 61.16% -16.43 4-4
2016-06-11 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 90-75 1532.60 1363.29 68.09% 31.91% +10.90 5-4
2016-06-14 Dallas Wings W 91-88 1543.50 1450.09 68.01% 31.99% +4.89 6-4
2016-06-16 @ Connecticut Sun W 80-72 1548.39 1388.32 66.93% 33.07% +8.25 7-4
2016-06-19 @ Indiana Fever W 78-75 1556.64 1497.08 53.15% 46.85% +7.15 8-4
2016-06-22 @ Atlanta Dream W 90-79 1563.79 1503.49 53.26% 46.74% +13.67 9-4
2016-06-24 Chicago Sky W 80-79 1577.46 1518.61 63.54% 36.46% +3.22 10-4
2016-06-26 Phoenix Mercury L 97-104 1580.68 1507.23 65.46% 34.54% -15.27 10-5
2016-06-29 @ Minnesota Lynx W 95-92 1565.41 1634.56 35.10% 64.90% +9.91 11-5
2016-07-01 @ Phoenix Mercury W 99-88 1575.32 1529.79 51.14% 48.86% +14.29 12-5
2016-07-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 67-77 1589.61 1668.08 33.89% 66.11% -9.45 12-6
2016-07-06 Seattle Storm W 78-74 1580.16 1408.58 76.93% 23.07% +4.07 13-6
2016-07-08 @ Chicago Sky W 88-85 1584.23 1497.85 56.97% 43.03% +6.57 14-6
2016-07-10 San Antonio Silver Stars W 75-65 1590.80 1347.04 83.48% 16.52% +4.61 15-6
2016-07-13 Atlanta Dream W 86-62 1595.41 1482.17 70.44% 29.56% +12.77 16-6
2016-07-15 @ Minnesota Lynx L 70-88 1608.18 1643.93 39.60% 60.40% -14.81 16-7
2016-07-17 Connecticut Sun W 83-76 1593.37 1404.71 78.63% 21.37% +4.99 17-7
2016-07-20 @ Washington Mystics W 88-81 1598.36 1464.20 63.55% 36.45% +8.50 18-7
2016-07-21 Indiana Fever L 70-82 1606.86 1522.25 66.90% 33.10% -20.44 18-8
2016-08-26 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 84-77 1586.42 1314.87 79.36% 20.64% +4.82 19-8
2016-09-01 @ Indiana Fever L 77-98 1591.24 1495.94 58.23% 41.77% -23.54 19-9
2016-09-03 Phoenix Mercury W 92-70 1567.70 1524.43 61.43% 38.57% +15.96 20-9
2016-09-07 Seattle Storm L 78-102 1583.66 1465.40 71.04% 28.96% -30.70 20-10
2016-09-09 Connecticut Sun W 89-82 1552.96 1457.98 68.21% 31.79% +7.42 21-10
2016-09-11 @ Dallas Wings L 81-84 1560.38 1381.63 69.26% 30.74% -10.58 21-11
2016-09-13 Washington Mystics L 62-75 1549.80 1464.39 67.00% 33.00% -21.31 21-12
2016-09-16 @ Chicago Sky L 68-92 1528.49 1515.69 46.44% 53.56% -20.06 21-13
2016-05-14 @ Minnesota Lynx L 76-95 1549.90 1546.22 45.13% 54.87% -17.36 0-1
2016-05-18 @ Indiana Fever L 93-97 1532.54 1520.09 46.39% 53.61% -8.18 0-2
2016-05-20 Seattle Storm L 80-81 1524.36 1429.63 68.17% 31.83% -6.01 0-3
2016-05-25 Minnesota Lynx L 78-85 1518.35 1590.49 45.05% 54.95% -10.51 0-4
2016-05-29 Washington Mystics W 93-77 1507.84 1479.16 59.43% 40.57% +14.31 1-4
2016-05-31 Connecticut Sun W 99-90 1522.15 1425.90 68.36% 31.64% +8.37 2-4
2016-06-03 @ Seattle Storm L 81-95 1530.52 1426.08 59.50% 40.50% -19.63 2-5
2016-06-07 @ Minnesota Lynx L 81-89 1510.89 1628.90 28.99% 71.01% -7.24 2-6
2016-06-09 San Antonio Silver Stars W 90-75 1503.65 1372.68 72.52% 27.48% +9.39 3-6
2016-06-12 Chicago Sky W 86-80 1513.04 1542.16 51.22% 48.78% +10.54 4-6
2016-06-17 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 71-77 1523.58 1632.34 30.10% 69.90% -6.50 4-7
2016-06-18 Dallas Wings L 111-117 1517.08 1456.27 63.80% 36.20% -13.79 4-8
2016-06-21 @ Dallas Wings L 90-100 1503.29 1470.06 49.37% 50.63% -13.77 4-9
2016-06-24 @ Washington Mystics W 91-79 1489.52 1507.76 42.03% 57.97% +17.71 5-9
2016-06-26 @ New York Liberty W 104-97 1507.23 1580.68 34.54% 65.46% +15.28 6-9
2016-06-29 Connecticut Sun W 86-75 1522.51 1368.07 75.13% 24.87% +7.28 7-9
2016-07-01 New York Liberty L 88-99 1529.79 1575.32 48.86% 51.14% -14.30 7-10
2016-07-03 @ Atlanta Dream W 95-87 1515.49 1464.62 51.91% 48.09% +12.00 8-10
2016-07-05 @ Dallas Wings L 74-77 1527.49 1473.04 52.42% 47.58% -8.01 8-11
2016-07-08 Indiana Fever L 60-78 1519.48 1490.60 59.45% 40.55% -22.25 8-12
2016-07-10 @ Chicago Sky L 95-100 1497.23 1491.28 45.46% 54.54% -8.96 8-13
2016-07-13 Washington Mystics W 78-74 1488.27 1499.33 53.81% 46.19% +8.15 9-13
2016-07-16 San Antonio Silver Stars W 83-64 1496.42 1334.37 75.94% 24.06% +9.25 10-13
2016-07-19 Chicago Sky L 77-79 1505.67 1508.27 55.02% 44.98% -6.87 10-14
2016-08-26 Dallas Wings W 98-72 1498.80 1421.04 66.02% 33.98% +15.29 11-14
2016-08-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 70-66 1514.09 1648.03 36.48% 63.52% +11.20 12-14
2016-08-30 @ Indiana Fever W 79-65 1525.29 1513.67 46.27% 53.73% +17.73 13-14
2016-09-02 @ Connecticut Sun L 74-87 1543.02 1445.91 58.48% 41.52% -18.59 13-15
2016-09-03 @ New York Liberty L 70-92 1524.43 1567.70 38.57% 61.43% -15.96 13-16
2016-09-06 @ Atlanta Dream L 87-91 1508.47 1473.56 49.61% 50.39% -8.75 13-17
2016-09-11 Atlanta Dream W 86-75 1499.72 1497.31 55.73% 44.27% +12.95 14-17
2016-09-13 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 85-90 1512.67 1607.04 31.87% 68.13% -6.29 14-18
2016-09-15 Seattle Storm W 86-62 1506.38 1529.99 52.01% 47.99% +20.74 15-18
2016-09-18 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 81-65 1527.12 1299.80 74.88% 25.12% +8.86 16-18
2016-05-14 Atlanta Dream L 63-73 1407.21 1492.97 43.12% 56.88% -12.02 0-1
2016-05-19 Connecticut Sun L 68-72 1395.19 1452.81 47.12% 52.88% -8.31 0-2
2016-05-21 @ Dallas Wings L 77-82 1386.88 1510.67 28.31% 71.69% -5.59 0-3
2016-05-27 Chicago Sky W 79-78 1381.29 1492.84 39.52% 60.48% +5.34 1-3
2016-06-02 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 61-68 1386.63 1576.33 21.27% 78.73% -4.97 1-4
2016-06-04 Los Angeles Sparks L 61-74 1381.66 1581.29 28.24% 71.76% -8.98 1-5
2016-06-09 @ Phoenix Mercury L 75-90 1372.68 1503.65 27.48% 72.52% -9.39 1-6
2016-06-11 New York Liberty L 75-90 1363.29 1532.60 31.91% 68.09% -10.89 1-7
2016-06-14 Seattle Storm W 77-70 1352.40 1438.98 43.00% 57.00% +13.30 2-7
2016-06-17 Indiana Fever L 75-84 1365.70 1486.98 38.19% 61.81% -10.11 2-8
2016-06-19 @ Connecticut Sun L 90-93 1355.59 1380.07 41.16% 58.84% -6.28 2-9
2016-06-21 @ Chicago Sky L 75-81 1349.31 1513.46 23.84% 76.16% -5.16 2-10
2016-06-23 @ Dallas Wings L 90-97 1344.15 1483.83 26.49% 73.51% -6.18 2-11
2016-06-25 Atlanta Dream W 73-69 1337.97 1489.82 34.13% 65.87% +11.62 3-11
2016-06-29 @ Washington Mystics L 67-84 1349.59 1519.73 23.22% 76.78% -8.44 3-12
2016-07-01 @ Indiana Fever W 87-85 1341.15 1504.85 23.89% 76.11% +9.49 4-12
2016-07-02 @ Minnesota Lynx L 68-91 1350.64 1624.64 14.26% 85.74% -6.03 4-13
2016-07-06 Washington Mystics W 77-70 1344.61 1522.06 30.90% 69.10% +16.13 5-13
2016-07-08 Seattle Storm L 68-78 1360.74 1404.51 49.11% 50.89% -13.70 5-14
2016-07-10 @ New York Liberty L 65-75 1347.04 1590.80 16.52% 83.48% -4.61 5-15
2016-07-12 Minnesota Lynx L 57-81 1342.43 1635.87 18.65% 81.35% -8.06 5-16
2016-07-16 @ Phoenix Mercury L 64-83 1334.37 1496.42 24.06% 75.94% -9.25 5-17
2016-07-20 @ Seattle Storm L 69-83 1325.12 1425.98 31.06% 68.94% -10.25 5-18
2016-08-26 New York Liberty L 77-84 1314.87 1586.42 20.64% 79.36% -4.82 5-19
2016-08-28 @ Washington Mystics W 85-74 1310.05 1473.53 23.91% 76.09% +22.26 6-19
2016-08-30 @ Connecticut Sun L 62-89 1332.31 1431.58 31.26% 68.74% -14.33 6-20
2016-09-01 Los Angeles Sparks L 61-70 1317.98 1636.83 16.54% 83.46% -4.37 6-21
2016-09-04 @ Chicago Sky L 73-97 1313.61 1527.89 19.00% 81.00% -8.21 6-22
2016-09-06 Indiana Fever L 69-71 1305.40 1512.96 27.32% 72.68% -3.41 6-23
2016-09-09 Dallas Wings L 84-92 1301.99 1370.25 45.60% 54.40% -11.38 6-24
2016-09-11 Minnesota Lynx L 76-81 1290.61 1684.75 11.38% 88.62% -2.24 6-25
2016-09-13 @ Atlanta Dream W 71-67 1288.37 1484.36 20.67% 79.33% +13.99 7-25
2016-09-16 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 65-71 1302.36 1613.33 11.85% 88.15% -2.56 7-26
2016-09-18 Phoenix Mercury L 65-81 1299.80 1527.12 25.12% 74.88% -8.86 7-27
2016-05-15 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 66-96 1447.88 1497.02 37.77% 62.23% -18.25 0-1
2016-05-20 @ Phoenix Mercury W 81-80 1429.63 1524.36 31.83% 68.17% +6.02 1-1
2016-05-22 Minnesota Lynx L 71-78 1435.65 1582.37 34.79% 65.21% -8.12 1-2
2016-05-26 Washington Mystics L 82-84 1427.53 1473.06 48.86% 51.14% -6.10 1-3
2016-05-28 Connecticut Sun W 93-82 1421.43 1439.71 52.78% 47.22% +13.82 2-3
2016-06-01 @ Indiana Fever L 75-85 1435.25 1521.84 32.85% 67.15% -9.17 2-4
2016-06-03 Phoenix Mercury W 95-81 1426.08 1530.52 40.50% 59.50% +19.64 3-4
2016-06-05 New York Liberty L 78-86 1445.72 1538.52 42.12% 57.88% -10.51 3-5
2016-06-10 @ Connecticut Sun L 76-77 1435.21 1397.33 50.04% 49.96% -4.41 3-6
2016-06-12 @ Indiana Fever W 90-88 1430.80 1505.36 34.40% 65.60% +8.18 4-6
2016-06-14 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 70-77 1438.98 1352.40 57.00% 43.00% -13.30 4-7
2016-06-16 @ Dallas Wings L 79-88 1425.68 1445.20 41.85% 58.15% -11.08 4-8
2016-06-19 Minnesota Lynx L 84-96 1414.60 1673.68 21.84% 78.16% -6.67 4-9
2016-06-24 Connecticut Sun W 98-81 1407.93 1386.36 58.44% 41.56% +15.12 5-9
2016-06-28 Atlanta Dream W 84-81 1423.05 1478.20 47.48% 52.52% +8.02 6-9
2016-06-30 Dallas Wings L 78-83 1431.07 1474.28 49.19% 50.81% -9.70 6-10
2016-07-05 @ Atlanta Dream L 64-77 1421.37 1452.62 40.22% 59.78% -12.79 6-11
2016-07-06 @ New York Liberty L 74-78 1408.58 1580.16 23.07% 76.93% -4.07 6-12
2016-07-08 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 78-68 1404.51 1360.74 50.89% 49.11% +13.70 7-12
2016-07-10 Indiana Fever L 82-93 1418.21 1512.85 41.87% 58.13% -12.25 7-13
2016-07-15 Washington Mystics W 80-51 1405.96 1491.18 43.19% 56.81% +26.98 8-13
2016-07-17 Chicago Sky L 88-91 1432.94 1501.31 45.58% 54.42% -6.96 8-14
2016-07-20 San Antonio Silver Stars W 83-69 1425.98 1325.12 68.94% 31.06% +10.25 9-14
2016-07-22 @ Minnesota Lynx L 72-79 1436.23 1669.72 17.36% 82.64% -4.05 9-15
2016-08-26 Los Angeles Sparks W 79-72 1432.18 1665.66 24.46% 75.54% +17.63 10-15
2016-08-28 @ Minnesota Lynx L 80-92 1449.81 1660.28 19.34% 80.66% -5.91 10-16
2016-08-31 Dallas Wings W 78-66 1443.90 1396.38 62.01% 37.99% +11.60 11-16
2016-09-02 @ Chicago Sky L 88-92 1455.50 1521.63 35.50% 64.50% -6.26 11-17
2016-09-04 @ Atlanta Dream W 91-82 1449.24 1489.72 38.95% 61.05% +16.16 12-17
2016-09-07 @ New York Liberty W 102-78 1465.40 1583.66 28.96% 71.04% +30.69 13-17
2016-09-09 @ Washington Mystics W 81-76 1496.09 1486.26 46.01% 53.99% +10.65 14-17
2016-09-11 Los Angeles Sparks W 78-60 1506.74 1630.29 37.88% 62.12% +23.25 15-17
2016-09-15 @ Phoenix Mercury L 62-86 1529.99 1506.38 47.99% 52.01% -20.74 15-18
2016-09-18 Chicago Sky W 88-75 1509.25 1535.75 51.60% 48.40% +15.39 16-18
2016-05-14 New York Liberty L 76-87 1515.02 1528.47 53.47% 46.53% -15.64 0-1
2016-05-18 Dallas Wings L 77-87 1499.38 1495.05 56.01% 43.99% -15.62 0-2
2016-05-20 Los Angeles Sparks L 67-97 1483.76 1515.26 50.88% 49.12% -24.58 0-3
2016-05-21 @ Connecticut Sun W 84-76 1459.18 1461.13 44.33% 55.67% +13.88 1-3
2016-05-26 @ Seattle Storm W 84-82 1473.06 1427.53 51.14% 48.86% +6.10 2-3
2016-05-29 @ Phoenix Mercury L 77-93 1479.16 1507.84 40.57% 59.43% -14.32 2-4
2016-06-01 Chicago Sky L 78-86 1464.84 1498.82 50.52% 49.48% -12.60 2-5
2016-06-03 @ Chicago Sky L 72-98 1452.24 1511.43 36.42% 63.58% -16.38 2-6
2016-06-05 @ Atlanta Dream W 86-79 1435.86 1552.09 29.20% 70.80% +16.52 3-6
2016-06-08 @ Dallas Wings W 87-79 1452.38 1480.22 40.69% 59.31% +14.80 4-6
2016-06-11 Minnesota Lynx L 76-83 1467.18 1656.60 29.44% 70.56% -6.87 4-7
2016-06-14 @ Connecticut Sun W 109-106 1460.31 1395.36 53.93% 46.07% +7.04 5-7
2016-06-18 Atlanta Dream W 95-65 1467.35 1529.34 46.50% 53.50% +25.84 6-7
2016-06-22 Indiana Fever W 76-62 1493.19 1489.92 55.86% 44.14% +14.57 7-7
2016-06-24 Phoenix Mercury L 79-91 1507.76 1489.52 57.97% 42.03% -17.71 7-8
2016-06-26 Minnesota Lynx W 87-63 1490.05 1664.24 31.30% 68.70% +29.68 8-8
2016-06-29 San Antonio Silver Stars W 84-67 1519.73 1349.59 76.78% 23.22% +8.45 9-8
2016-07-01 @ Chicago Sky L 84-86 1528.18 1497.24 49.04% 50.96% -6.12 9-9
2016-07-06 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 70-77 1522.06 1344.61 69.10% 30.90% -16.12 9-10
2016-07-10 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 82-93 1505.94 1682.28 22.59% 77.41% -6.61 9-11
2016-07-13 @ Phoenix Mercury L 74-78 1499.33 1488.27 46.19% 53.81% -8.15 9-12
2016-07-15 @ Seattle Storm L 51-80 1491.18 1405.96 56.81% 43.19% -26.98 9-13
2016-07-20 New York Liberty L 81-88 1464.20 1598.36 36.45% 63.55% -8.51 9-14
2016-07-22 Los Angeles Sparks L 75-95 1455.69 1654.48 28.34% 71.66% -11.18 9-15
2016-08-27 @ Indiana Fever W 92-69 1444.51 1542.69 31.40% 68.60% +29.02 10-15
2016-08-28 San Antonio Silver Stars L 74-85 1473.53 1310.05 76.09% 23.91% -22.25 10-16
2016-09-02 @ Minnesota Lynx L 69-75 1451.28 1666.19 18.94% 81.06% -4.10 10-17
2016-09-04 @ Dallas Wings W 88-83 1447.18 1379.25 54.35% 45.65% +9.01 11-17
2016-09-07 Chicago Sky W 118-81 1456.19 1536.10 43.94% 56.06% +30.07 12-17
2016-09-09 Seattle Storm L 76-81 1486.26 1496.09 53.99% 46.01% -10.65 12-18
2016-09-11 Indiana Fever L 73-80 1475.61 1526.44 48.10% 51.90% -11.22 12-19
2016-09-13 @ New York Liberty W 75-62 1464.39 1549.80 33.00% 67.00% +21.31 13-19
2016-09-15 @ Atlanta Dream L 91-94 1485.70 1470.37 46.80% 53.20% -7.15 13-20
2016-09-18 Connecticut Sun L 78-87 1478.55 1463.22 57.56% 42.44% -15.23 13-21

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2016-09-21 Seattle Storm W 94-85 1472.71 1524.64 47.94% 52.06% +13.78 1-0
2016-09-25 @ Chicago Sky L 98-108 1486.49 1520.36 39.86% 60.14% -11.12 1-1
2016-09-25 Atlanta Dream W 108-98 1520.36 1486.49 60.14% 39.86% +11.11 1-0
2016-09-28 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 75-95 1531.47 1615.89 33.13% 66.87% -13.06 1-1
2016-09-30 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 84-99 1518.41 1628.96 29.88% 70.12% -10.21 1-2
2016-10-02 Los Angeles Sparks W 70-66 1508.20 1639.16 36.88% 63.12% +11.13 2-2
2016-10-04 Los Angeles Sparks L 75-95 1519.33 1628.03 39.91% 60.09% -15.74 2-3
2016-09-21 Phoenix Mercury L 78-89 1533.07 1535.98 54.98% 45.02% -16.08 0-1
2016-09-28 Chicago Sky W 95-75 1615.89 1531.47 66.87% 33.13% +13.07 1-0
2016-09-30 Chicago Sky W 99-84 1628.96 1518.41 70.12% 29.88% +10.20 2-0
2016-10-02 @ Chicago Sky L 66-70 1639.16 1508.20 63.12% 36.88% -11.13 2-1
2016-10-04 @ Chicago Sky W 95-75 1628.03 1519.33 60.09% 39.91% +15.74 3-1
2016-10-09 @ Minnesota Lynx W 78-76 1643.77 1722.16 33.90% 66.10% +8.25 4-1
2016-10-11 @ Minnesota Lynx L 60-79 1652.02 1713.91 36.06% 63.94% -13.87 4-2
2016-10-14 Minnesota Lynx W 92-75 1638.15 1727.78 42.57% 57.43% +20.89 5-2
2016-10-16 Minnesota Lynx L 79-85 1659.04 1706.89 48.53% 51.47% -10.49 5-3
2016-10-20 @ Minnesota Lynx W 77-76 1648.55 1717.38 35.15% 64.85% +5.72 6-3
2016-09-28 Phoenix Mercury W 113-95 1693.71 1563.53 72.43% 27.57% +10.31 1-0
2016-09-30 Phoenix Mercury W 96-86 1704.02 1553.21 74.74% 25.26% +7.05 2-0
2016-10-02 @ Phoenix Mercury W 82-67 1711.07 1546.17 67.54% 32.46% +11.09 3-0
2016-10-09 Los Angeles Sparks L 76-78 1722.16 1643.77 66.10% 33.90% -8.25 3-1
2016-10-11 Los Angeles Sparks W 79-60 1713.91 1652.02 63.94% 36.06% +13.87 4-1
2016-10-14 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 75-92 1727.78 1638.15 57.43% 42.57% -20.89 4-2
2016-10-16 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 85-79 1706.89 1659.04 51.47% 48.53% +10.49 5-2
2016-10-20 Los Angeles Sparks L 76-77 1717.38 1648.55 64.85% 35.15% -5.73 5-3
2016-09-24 Phoenix Mercury L 94-101 1508.43 1552.06 49.13% 50.87% -11.47 0-1
2016-09-21 @ Indiana Fever W 89-78 1535.98 1533.07 45.02% 54.98% +16.08 1-0
2016-09-24 @ New York Liberty W 101-94 1552.06 1508.43 50.87% 49.13% +11.47 2-0
2016-09-28 @ Minnesota Lynx L 95-113 1563.53 1693.71 27.57% 72.43% -10.32 2-1
2016-09-30 @ Minnesota Lynx L 86-96 1553.21 1704.02 25.26% 74.74% -7.04 2-2
2016-10-02 Minnesota Lynx L 67-82 1546.17 1711.07 32.46% 67.54% -11.09 2-3
2016-09-21 @ Atlanta Dream L 85-94 1524.64 1472.71 52.06% 47.94% -13.77 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2016-09-13 20.67% San Antonio Silver Stars 1288.37 71 @ Atlanta Dream 1484.36 67
2 2016-07-07 21.32% @ Connecticut Sun 1371.74 93 Minnesota Lynx 1636.18 89
3 2016-08-26 23.52% @ Connecticut Sun 1431.34 84 Minnesota Lynx 1673.77 80
4 2016-07-17 23.70% @ Atlanta Dream 1460.52 91 Los Angeles Sparks 1701.26 74
5 2016-07-01 23.89% San Antonio Silver Stars 1341.15 87 @ Indiana Fever 1504.85 85
6 2016-08-28 23.91% San Antonio Silver Stars 1310.05 85 @ Washington Mystics 1473.53 74
7 2016-09-08 23.96% Atlanta Dream 1482.31 86 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1645.28 81
8 2016-08-26 24.46% @ Seattle Storm 1432.18 79 Los Angeles Sparks 1665.66 72
9 2016-07-13 25.68% Connecticut Sun 1378.09 86 @ Indiana Fever 1525.09 64
10 2016-07-02 28.38% Connecticut Sun 1360.80 86 @ Dallas Wings 1483.98 83
11 2016-09-07 28.96% Seattle Storm 1465.40 102 @ New York Liberty 1583.66 78
12 2016-06-05 29.20% Washington Mystics 1435.86 86 @ Atlanta Dream 1552.09 79
13 2016-09-11 30.74% @ Dallas Wings 1381.63 84 New York Liberty 1560.38 81
14 2016-07-06 30.90% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1344.61 77 Washington Mystics 1522.06 70
15 2016-09-13 30.90% @ Chicago Sky 1509.59 98 Minnesota Lynx 1687.00 97
16 2016-06-26 31.30% @ Washington Mystics 1490.05 87 Minnesota Lynx 1664.24 63
17 2016-08-27 31.40% Washington Mystics 1444.51 92 @ Indiana Fever 1542.69 69
18 2016-07-22 31.50% Connecticut Sun 1417.83 94 @ Chicago Sky 1515.14 89
19 2016-07-19 31.78% @ Indiana Fever 1503.22 92 Los Angeles Sparks 1673.51 82
20 2016-05-20 31.83% Seattle Storm 1429.63 81 @ Phoenix Mercury 1524.36 80
21 2016-09-13 33.00% Washington Mystics 1464.39 75 @ New York Liberty 1549.80 62
22 2016-07-21 33.10% Indiana Fever 1522.25 82 @ New York Liberty 1606.86 70
23 2016-10-09 * 33.90% Los Angeles Sparks 1643.77 78 @ Minnesota Lynx 1722.16 76
24 2016-06-25 34.13% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1337.97 73 Atlanta Dream 1489.82 69
25 2016-06-12 34.40% Seattle Storm 1430.80 90 @ Indiana Fever 1505.36 88

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-07-13 30.75 Connecticut Sun 86 1378.09 25.68% @ Indiana Fever 64 1525.09 74.32%
2 2016-09-07 30.70 Seattle Storm 102 1465.40 28.96% @ New York Liberty 78 1583.66 71.04%
3 2016-09-07 30.08 @ Washington Mystics 118 1456.19 43.94% Chicago Sky 81 1536.10 56.06%
4 2016-06-26 29.68 @ Washington Mystics 87 1490.05 31.30% Minnesota Lynx 63 1664.24 68.70%
5 2016-08-27 29.02 Washington Mystics 92 1444.51 31.40% @ Indiana Fever 69 1542.69 68.60%
6 2016-07-17 27.75 @ Atlanta Dream 91 1460.52 23.70% Los Angeles Sparks 74 1701.26 76.30%
7 2016-07-15 26.98 @ Seattle Storm 80 1405.96 43.19% Washington Mystics 51 1491.18 56.81%
8 2016-06-18 25.85 @ Washington Mystics 95 1467.35 46.50% Atlanta Dream 65 1529.34 53.50%
9 2016-05-20 24.58 Los Angeles Sparks 97 1515.26 49.12% @ Washington Mystics 67 1483.76 50.88%
10 2016-06-24 23.67 Los Angeles Sparks 94 1631.29 36.76% @ Minnesota Lynx 76 1687.91 63.24%
11 2016-09-01 23.54 @ Indiana Fever 98 1495.94 41.77% New York Liberty 77 1591.24 58.23%
12 2016-06-03 23.39 @ New York Liberty 91 1515.13 53.13% Indiana Fever 59 1531.00 46.87%
13 2016-09-11 23.25 @ Seattle Storm 78 1506.74 37.88% Los Angeles Sparks 60 1630.29 62.12%
14 2016-08-28 22.26 San Antonio Silver Stars 85 1310.05 23.91% @ Washington Mystics 74 1473.53 76.09%
15 2016-07-08 22.25 Indiana Fever 78 1490.60 40.55% @ Phoenix Mercury 60 1519.48 59.45%
16 2016-09-13 21.31 Washington Mystics 75 1464.39 33.00% @ New York Liberty 62 1549.80 67.00%
17 2016-10-14 * 20.89 @ Los Angeles Sparks 92 1638.15 42.57% Minnesota Lynx 75 1727.78 57.43%
18 2016-09-15 20.74 @ Phoenix Mercury 86 1506.38 52.01% Seattle Storm 62 1529.99 47.99%
19 2016-06-10 20.48 Minnesota Lynx 110 1636.13 58.96% @ Atlanta Dream 78 1535.57 41.04%
20 2016-07-21 20.44 Indiana Fever 82 1522.25 33.10% @ New York Liberty 70 1606.86 66.90%
21 2016-09-16 20.06 @ Chicago Sky 92 1515.69 53.56% New York Liberty 68 1528.49 46.44%
22 2016-06-03 19.64 @ Seattle Storm 95 1426.08 40.50% Phoenix Mercury 81 1530.52 59.50%
23 2016-07-19 19.03 @ Indiana Fever 92 1503.22 31.78% Los Angeles Sparks 82 1673.51 68.22%
24 2016-09-16 18.94 @ Connecticut Sun 107 1444.29 62.63% Dallas Wings 74 1392.21 37.37%
25 2016-05-18 18.80 Minnesota Lynx 97 1563.58 48.33% @ Chicago Sky 80 1537.61 51.67%