Home / Leagues / WNBA / 2014

2014 WNBA Season

204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Phoenix Mercury

3rd Title

Runner-Up

Chicago Sky

1

Biggest Overachiever

Phoenix Mercury

6.54 wins above expected

29 wins · 22.46 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Tulsa Shock

2.57 wins below expected

12 wins · 14.57 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Atlanta Dream League 19 15 .559 80.6 78.5 +2.1 19.45 -0.45
2 Indiana Fever Playoffs 16 18 .471 3 74.1 75.1 -1.0 16.83 -0.83
3 Washington Mystics Playoffs 16 18 .471 3 74.3 73.8 +0.4 16.60 -0.60
4 Chicago Sky Playoffs 15 19 .441 4 76.2 78.2 -2.0 17.04 -2.04
5 New York Liberty 15 19 .441 4 72.1 75.2 -3.1 12.60 +2.40
6 Connecticut Sun 13 21 .382 6 75.7 77.5 -1.8 13.68 -0.68
# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Phoenix Mercury League 29 5 .853 83.5 74.1 +9.4 22.46 +6.54
2 Minnesota Lynx Playoffs 25 9 .735 4 81.6 77.2 +4.5 24.11 +0.89
3 San Antonio Silver Stars Playoffs 16 18 .471 13 77.8 79.6 -1.8 14.79 +1.21
4 Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs 16 18 .471 13 77.4 77.6 -0.2 18.03 -2.03
5 Seattle Storm 12 22 .353 17 70.9 75.3 -4.4 13.84 -1.84
6 Tulsa Shock 12 22 .353 17 81.2 83.3 -2.1 14.57 -2.57

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

Indiana Fever 2
Washington Mystics 0

2 games · Aug 21–Aug 23

Chicago Sky 2
Atlanta Dream 1

3 games · Aug 22–Aug 26

Conference Final

Chicago Sky 2
Indiana Fever 1

3 games · Aug 30–Sep 3

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

Minnesota Lynx 2
San Antonio Silver Stars 0

2 games · Aug 21–Aug 23

Phoenix Mercury 2
Los Angeles Sparks 0

2 games · Aug 22–Aug 24

Conference Final

Phoenix Mercury 2
Minnesota Lynx 1

3 games · Aug 29–Sep 2

WNBA Finals

Phoenix Mercury 3
Chicago Sky 0

3 games · Sep 7–Sep 12

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Phoenix Mercury Western 1707 29 22.46 +6.54 99.82% 12 18 21 23 24 27 32
Minnesota Lynx Western 1652 25 24.11 +0.89 69.31% 12 20 22 24 26 28 33
Los Angeles Sparks Western 1531 16 18.03 -2.03 28.98% 6 14 16 18 20 23 28
Atlanta Dream Eastern 1504 19 19.45 -0.45 50.06% 10 15 18 19 21 24 29
Washington Mystics Eastern 1485 16 16.60 -0.60 48.62% 5 12 15 17 19 21 26
Indiana Fever Eastern 1484 16 16.83 -0.83 45.54% 6 12 15 17 19 21 28
San Antonio Silver Stars Western 1466 16 14.79 +1.21 73.56% 3 10 13 15 17 19 25
Chicago Sky Eastern 1463 15 17.04 -2.04 28.47% 6 12 15 17 19 22 27
New York Liberty Eastern 1433 15 12.60 +2.40 85.87% 2 8 11 13 14 17 22
Connecticut Sun Eastern 1432 13 13.68 -0.68 47.97% 4 9 12 14 16 18 23
Tulsa Shock Western 1428 12 14.57 -2.57 22.87% 4 10 13 15 16 19 25
Seattle Storm Western 1415 12 13.84 -1.84 31.86% 4 9 12 14 16 18 25

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Atlanta Dream
2-3
(2.8 exp.)
2-2
(2.7 exp.)
3-2
(2.8 exp.)
1-3
(2.9 exp.)
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
Chicago Sky
3-2
(2.2 exp.)
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
2-3
(2.5 exp.)
4-0
(2.4 exp.)
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
2-2
(1.3 exp.)
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
2-3
(2.6 exp.)
1-4
(2.1 exp.)
Indiana Fever
2-3
(2.2 exp.)
3-2
(2.5 exp.)
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
New York Liberty
3-1
(1.1 exp.)
0-4
(1.6 exp.)
3-2
(2.4 exp.)
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
3-2
(1.9 exp.)
Washington Mystics
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
4-1
(2.9 exp.)
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
2-3
(3.1 exp.)

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Atlanta Dream
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
Chicago Sky
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
Indiana Fever
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
New York Liberty
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
Washington Mystics
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)

Within Western

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Los Angeles Sparks
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
0-5
(1.9 exp.)
1-3
(2.5 exp.)
5-0
(2.9 exp.)
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
1-3
(2.2 exp.)
4-1
(3.8 exp.)
2-2
(3.0 exp.)
5-0
(3.7 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
5-0
(3.1 exp.)
3-1
(1.8 exp.)
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
5-0
(3.6 exp.)
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
3-1
(1.5 exp.)
1-4
(1.2 exp.)
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
1-3
(2.2 exp.)
3-2
(2.6 exp.)
Seattle Storm
0-5
(2.1 exp.)
2-2
(1.0 exp.)
0-5
(1.4 exp.)
3-1
(1.8 exp.)
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
0-5
(1.3 exp.)
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
2-3
(2.4 exp.)
2-2
(2.1 exp.)

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Los Angeles Sparks
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
Seattle Storm
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<600.74%1.47%0.25%0.25%2.70%
60–690.74%4.41%12.75%4.17%0.74%22.79%
70–791.47%12.75%7.84%11.52%3.19%0.49%37.25%
80–890.25%4.17%11.52%4.41%3.19%0.74%24.26%
90–990.25%0.74%3.19%3.19%2.45%0.25%10.05%
100+0.49%0.74%0.25%1.47%2.94%
Total2.70%22.79%37.25%24.26%10.05%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.12 77.12 +0.00
SD 10.41 10.41 11.85
CV 0.13 0.13
Max 112 112 +38
Min 46 46 -38

Games Played: 204

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<602.94%2.94%
60–695.88%5.88%11.76%
70–795.88%11.76%17.65%35.29%
80–895.88%17.65%5.88%29.41%
90–992.94%5.88%8.82%17.65%
100+2.94%2.94%
Total2.94%11.76%41.18%41.18%2.94%100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 80.59 78.53 +2.06
SD 10.49 9.06 12.93
CV 0.13 0.12
Max 108 112 +38
Min 55 59 -29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<602.94%2.94%
60–692.94%20.59%5.88%29.41%
70–7914.71%8.82%14.71%2.94%41.18%
80–895.88%5.88%2.94%14.71%
90–992.94%2.94%5.88%
100+2.94%2.94%5.88%
Total2.94%20.59%35.29%26.47%5.88%8.82%100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 76.21 78.24 -2.03
SD 11.12 11.11 12.27
CV 0.15 0.14
Max 105 105 +19
Min 59 57 -38

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<602.94%2.94%
60–695.88%23.53%2.94%2.94%35.29%
70–792.94%2.94%8.82%5.88%20.59%
80–892.94%5.88%11.76%5.88%5.88%5.88%38.24%
90–992.94%2.94%
100+
Total5.88%14.71%47.06%14.71%11.76%5.88%100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 75.68 77.50 -1.82
SD 10.23 11.16 13.24
CV 0.14 0.14
Max 96 101 +29
Min 54 55 -26

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<602.94%2.94%
60–695.88%14.71%2.94%23.53%
70–7923.53%14.71%11.76%2.94%52.94%
80–892.94%8.82%2.94%14.71%
90–992.94%2.94%
100+2.94%2.94%
Total35.29%41.18%14.71%5.88%2.94%100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 74.15 75.12 -0.97
SD 9.04 10.26 10.02
CV 0.12 0.14
Max 102 107 +18
Min 57 60 -22

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–695.88%5.88%8.82%2.94%23.53%
70–792.94%11.76%5.88%8.82%5.88%2.94%38.24%
80–895.88%8.82%11.76%26.47%
90–992.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
100+2.94%2.94%
Total8.82%26.47%23.53%14.71%23.53%2.94%100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.41 77.62 -0.21
SD 9.00 12.91 12.17
CV 0.12 0.17
Max 102 101 +26
Min 64 54 -27

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–695.88%2.94%8.82%
70–7917.65%2.94%5.88%5.88%32.35%
80–892.94%23.53%11.76%38.24%
90–992.94%11.76%2.94%17.65%
100+2.94%2.94%
Total26.47%32.35%29.41%8.82%2.94%100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.65 77.18 +4.47
SD 10.07 10.60 8.81
CV 0.12 0.14
Max 112 108 +17
Min 62 60 -16

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<602.94%5.88%8.82%
60–698.82%17.65%5.88%32.35%
70–792.94%11.76%5.88%8.82%2.94%32.35%
80–892.94%8.82%8.82%20.59%
90–992.94%2.94%
100+2.94%2.94%
Total2.94%26.47%41.18%23.53%2.94%2.94%100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 72.15 75.21 -3.06
SD 10.93 10.10 12.09
CV 0.15 0.13
Max 100 105 +21
Min 46 54 -33

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–692.94%2.94%
70–792.94%23.53%5.88%2.94%35.29%
80–898.82%14.71%2.94%2.94%29.41%
90–995.88%11.76%5.88%2.94%26.47%
100+2.94%2.94%5.88%
Total2.94%38.24%38.24%11.76%8.82%100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 83.53 74.12 +9.41
SD 8.29 9.61 9.96
CV 0.10 0.13
Max 101 96 +29
Min 67 58 -16

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–698.82%5.88%2.94%17.65%
70–795.88%17.65%17.65%2.94%44.12%
80–892.94%14.71%2.94%2.94%23.53%
90–995.88%5.88%11.76%
100+2.94%2.94%
Total8.82%50.00%26.47%14.71%100%

San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.79 79.56 -1.76
SD 9.72 8.07 12.22
CV 0.12 0.10
Max 101 95 +27
Min 61 65 -29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<602.94%8.82%11.76%
60–695.88%23.53%11.76%41.18%
70–798.82%2.94%11.76%23.53%
80–895.88%8.82%8.82%23.53%
90–99
100+
Total23.53%44.12%32.35%100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 70.88 75.32 -4.44
SD 9.15 7.78 10.93
CV 0.13 0.10
Max 89 89 +21
Min 56 60 -23

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–695.88%2.94%2.94%11.76%
70–792.94%5.88%5.88%20.59%8.82%2.94%47.06%
80–895.88%11.76%17.65%
90–992.94%2.94%11.76%17.65%
100+2.94%2.94%5.88%
Total2.94%11.76%17.65%26.47%35.29%5.88%100%

Tulsa Shock — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.18 83.26 -2.09
SD 10.94 11.12 10.06
CV 0.13 0.13
Max 107 102 +17
Min 60 57 -22

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60
60–698.82%20.59%5.88%35.29%
70–792.94%20.59%2.94%14.71%2.94%44.12%
80–898.82%5.88%14.71%
90–992.94%2.94%5.88%
100+
Total2.94%29.41%35.29%29.41%2.94%100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 74.26 73.82 +0.44
SD 8.28 9.90 11.56
CV 0.11 0.13
Max 92 90 +33
Min 61 46 -17

Games Played: 34

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Phoenix Mercury 29 22.46 +6.54
2 New York Liberty 15 12.60 +2.40
3 San Antonio Silver Stars 16 14.79 +1.21
4 Minnesota Lynx 25 24.11 +0.89
5 Atlanta Dream 19 19.45 -0.45

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Tulsa Shock 12 14.57 -2.57
2 Chicago Sky 15 17.04 -2.04
3 Los Angeles Sparks 16 18.03 -2.03
4 Seattle Storm 12 13.84 -1.84
5 Indiana Fever 16 16.83 -0.83

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Phoenix Mercury 16 Jun 15 – Jul 29 1 in 952
2 Connecticut Sun 6 Jun 7 – Jun 25 1 in 77
3 Atlanta Dream 6 Jun 3 – Jun 20 1 in 40
4 Minnesota Lynx 11 Jul 8 – Aug 7 1 in 34
5 New York Liberty 3 Jun 29 – Jul 6 1 in 18

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Seattle Storm 7 Jul 13 – Jul 31 1 in 64
2 Atlanta Dream 5 Aug 3 – Aug 10 1 in 51
3 Minnesota Lynx 3 Aug 9 – Aug 15 1 in 35
4 Chicago Sky 6 Jul 2 – Jul 17 1 in 22
5 Connecticut Sun 4 Jun 27 – Jul 3 1 in 22

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team123456
Atlanta Dream50.01%24.05%14.09%7.73%3.18%0.94%
Chicago Sky16.90%23.59%23.07%18.88%12.34%5.22%
Indiana Fever16.52%21.73%22.22%19.98%13.42%6.13%
Washington Mystics13.42%21.28%22.62%20.97%13.95%7.76%
Connecticut Sun2.28%6.07%11.10%18.60%30.82%31.13%
New York Liberty0.87%3.28%6.90%13.84%26.29%48.82%
Team123456
Minnesota Lynx63.67%30.22%5.12%0.79%0.16%0.04%
Phoenix Mercury32.62%50.61%13.17%2.81%0.63%0.16%
Los Angeles Sparks3.02%13.65%45.79%21.92%10.82%4.80%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.26%2.34%13.78%28.10%29.50%26.02%
Tulsa Shock0.30%1.90%12.79%26.29%29.83%28.89%
Seattle Storm0.13%1.28%9.35%20.09%29.06%40.09%
Team123456789101112
Minnesota Lynx59.45%25.57%8.85%3.52%1.34%0.81%0.26%0.08%0.09%0.03%
Phoenix Mercury30.08%37.17%16.38%8.12%3.98%2.29%1.07%0.53%0.25%0.07%0.05%0.01%
Atlanta Dream4.83%14.58%24.24%18.41%12.83%9.39%6.02%4.36%2.57%1.62%0.83%0.32%
Los Angeles Sparks2.48%8.51%13.93%16.52%15.58%12.25%10.14%7.56%5.48%4.09%2.33%1.13%
Chicago Sky1.05%4.39%9.76%13.26%13.99%13.58%12.81%9.78%8.11%6.55%4.27%2.45%
Indiana Fever0.96%3.75%9.48%12.52%13.40%13.27%11.41%10.91%9.26%7.16%4.96%2.92%
Washington Mystics0.63%3.11%8.45%11.13%13.29%13.48%12.10%11.53%9.41%7.48%5.44%3.95%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.19%0.99%2.88%4.92%7.11%9.41%11.58%12.97%13.74%13.64%12.77%9.80%
Tulsa Shock0.19%0.87%2.42%4.52%6.54%8.48%11.19%12.83%13.60%14.14%14.06%11.16%
Seattle Storm0.09%0.49%1.64%3.06%5.08%6.42%8.81%11.14%13.67%15.26%17.17%17.17%
Connecticut Sun0.04%0.47%1.36%2.77%4.35%6.83%8.54%10.43%12.98%15.27%17.40%19.56%
New York Liberty0.01%0.10%0.61%1.25%2.51%3.79%6.07%7.88%10.84%14.69%20.72%31.53%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Atlanta Dream50.01%24.05%14.09%7.73%4.12%
Chicago Sky16.90%23.59%23.07%18.88%17.56%
Indiana Fever16.52%21.73%22.22%19.98%19.55%
Washington Mystics13.42%21.28%22.62%20.97%21.71%
Connecticut Sun2.28%6.07%11.10%18.60%61.95%
New York Liberty0.87%3.28%6.90%13.84%75.11%
Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Minnesota Lynx63.67%30.22%5.12%0.79%0.20%
Phoenix Mercury32.62%50.61%13.17%2.81%0.79%
Los Angeles Sparks3.02%13.65%45.79%21.92%15.62%
Tulsa Shock0.30%1.90%12.79%26.29%58.72%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.26%2.34%13.78%28.10%55.52%
Seattle Storm0.13%1.28%9.35%20.09%69.15%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals
Phoenix Mercury 99.21% 84.24% 53.61% 47.38%
Minnesota Lynx 99.80% 80.10% 37.91% 31.01%
Atlanta Dream 95.88% 56.98% 31.90% 5.71%
Los Angeles Sparks 84.38% 20.99% 5.88% 3.99%
Indiana Fever 80.45% 41.73% 21.39% 3.50%
Washington Mystics 78.29% 39.71% 20.41% 3.39%
Chicago Sky 82.44% 38.06% 17.13% 2.81%
Connecticut Sun 38.05% 14.07% 5.44% 0.74%
San Antonio Silver Stars 44.48% 7.07% 1.24% 0.64%
New York Liberty 24.89% 9.45% 3.73% 0.36%
Tulsa Shock 41.28% 4.44% 0.77% 0.25%
Seattle Storm 30.85% 3.16% 0.59% 0.22%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream14.20%9.55%13.13%6.73%13.37%
Chicago Sky9.23%4.87%10.56%2.99%10.41%
Connecticut Sun4.79%3.41%2.85%0.40%2.62%
Indiana Fever11.29%12.31%4.94%2.78%10.41%
New York Liberty3.34%2.10%0.48%1.76%1.77%
Washington Mystics10.25%12.36%4.14%10.42%2.54%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks8.44%8.03%1.47%1.33%1.72%
Minnesota Lynx24.67%2.68%19.36%14.45%18.94%
Phoenix Mercury37.02%3.25%16.36%11.69%15.92%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.73%3.94%2.14%0.09%0.17%
Seattle Storm0.42%1.73%0.81%0.11%0.09%
Tulsa Shock0.55%2.34%1.31%0.11%0.13%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream9.16%3.05%9.49%1.92%8.28%
Chicago Sky6.49%1.57%3.90%1.12%4.05%
Connecticut Sun1.67%1.18%1.26%0.27%1.06%
Indiana Fever7.80%5.27%2.07%1.17%5.08%
New York Liberty1.09%0.77%0.22%0.82%0.83%
Washington Mystics8.03%4.55%1.72%4.87%1.24%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks2.42%2.19%0.70%0.22%0.35%
Minnesota Lynx6.64%27.37%1.84%0.82%1.24%
Phoenix Mercury7.90%39.03%3.19%1.45%2.04%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.28%0.35%0.52%0.05%0.04%
Seattle Storm0.09%0.20%0.25%0.05%
Tulsa Shock0.20%0.19%0.30%0.05%0.03%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa ShockWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream0.75%2.25%2.21%0.23%0.13%0.14%
Chicago Sky0.27%1.20%1.11%0.11%0.01%0.11%
Connecticut Sun0.11%0.29%0.23%0.03%0.05%0.03%
Indiana Fever0.38%1.50%1.36%0.09%0.07%0.10%
Los Angeles Sparks1.24%0.64%0.18%0.82%0.11%1.00%
Minnesota Lynx9.75%5.68%1.70%6.61%1.21%6.06%
New York Liberty0.02%0.19%0.11%0.01%0.01%0.02%
Phoenix Mercury14.89%7.77%2.74%10.21%1.98%9.79%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.22%0.12%0.05%0.12%0.03%0.10%
Seattle Storm0.05%0.01%0.01%0.08%0.03%0.04%
Tulsa Shock0.04%0.10%0.02%0.05%0.01%0.03%
Washington Mystics0.36%1.47%1.21%0.13%0.10%0.12%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals Actual Outcome
Phoenix Mercury 83.24% 56.48% 49.54% Won Finals
Chicago Sky 38.63% 17.08% 2.52% Eliminated in Finals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyIndiana FeverWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream61.37%
Chicago Sky38.63%
Indiana Fever52.79%
Washington Mystics47.21%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver Stars
Los Angeles Sparks16.76%
Minnesota Lynx83.97%
Phoenix Mercury83.24%
San Antonio Silver Stars16.03%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyIndiana FeverWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream18.91%16.67%
Chicago Sky8.93%8.15%
Indiana Fever13.68%11.27%
Washington Mystics12.11%10.28%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver Stars
Los Angeles Sparks3.99%1.69%
Minnesota Lynx9.96%24.87%
Phoenix Mercury45.15%11.33%
San Antonio Silver Stars1.12%1.89%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyIndiana FeverLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream0.82%2.51%2.55%0.63%
Chicago Sky0.43%0.87%1.02%0.20%
Indiana Fever0.40%1.46%1.81%0.31%
Los Angeles Sparks1.17%0.83%0.93%0.67%
Minnesota Lynx10.06%5.22%6.82%6.63%
Phoenix Mercury17.30%8.29%12.85%11.10%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.54%0.22%0.37%0.36%
Washington Mystics0.43%1.26%1.56%0.38%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Phoenix Mercury 49.54% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
83.24%
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
79.94%
Win Prob
64.48%
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
34.92%
Win Prob
87.15%
Minnesota Lynx 28.73% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. San Antonio Silver Stars
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
83.97%
Semifinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
71.40%
Win Prob
35.52%
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
35.02%
Win Prob
80.03%
Atlanta Dream 6.51% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
61.37%
Semifinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
53.15%
Win Prob
58.02%
Finals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
39.17%
Win Prob
12.85%
Indiana Fever 3.98% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Washington Mystics
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
52.79%
Semifinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
54.83%
Win Prob
41.98%
Finals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
45.48%
Win Prob
12.35%
Washington Mystics 3.63% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
47.21%
Semifinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
54.09%
Win Prob
42.08%
Finals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
42.98%
Win Prob
12.32%
Los Angeles Sparks 3.60% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
16.76%
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
70.25%
Win Prob
28.60%
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
32.50%
Win Prob
58.79%
Chicago Sky 2.52% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
38.63%
Semifinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
52.28%
Win Prob
44.21%
Finals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
40.48%
Win Prob
10.96%
San Antonio Silver Stars 1.49% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
16.03%
Semifinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
62.79%
Win Prob
14.30%
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
36.24%
Win Prob
46.15%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2014-05-16 San Antonio Silver Stars W 79-75 1501.52 1460.79 63.43% 36.57% +6.51 1-0
2014-05-17 @ Indiana Fever W 90-88 1508.03 1512.65 41.51% 58.49% +7.35 2-0
2014-05-24 @ Chicago Sky L 73-87 1515.38 1566.75 35.16% 64.84% -11.70 2-1
2014-05-25 Indiana Fever L 77-82 1503.68 1482.82 60.74% 39.26% -12.07 2-2
2014-05-30 Seattle Storm W 80-69 1491.61 1456.47 62.68% 37.32% +11.00 3-2
2014-06-01 @ Connecticut Sun L 76-85 1502.61 1398.28 57.06% 42.94% -15.22 3-3
2014-06-03 Los Angeles Sparks W 93-85 1487.39 1557.85 47.77% 52.23% +13.14 4-3
2014-06-07 Chicago Sky W 97-59 1500.53 1558.73 49.53% 50.47% +27.66 5-3
2014-06-13 Minnesota Lynx W 85-82 1528.19 1670.72 37.66% 62.34% +9.59 6-3
2014-06-15 @ Washington Mystics W 75-67 1537.78 1476.01 50.98% 49.02% +12.33 7-3
2014-06-18 Washington Mystics W 83-73 1550.11 1463.68 69.29% 30.71% +8.63 8-3
2014-06-20 New York Liberty W 85-64 1558.74 1383.89 78.97% 21.03% +8.57 9-3
2014-06-22 @ New York Liberty L 78-85 1567.31 1375.32 68.76% 31.24% -16.17 9-4
2014-06-26 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 81-79 1551.14 1468.76 53.94% 46.06% +5.79 10-4
2014-06-29 @ Indiana Fever W 76-68 1556.93 1476.20 53.70% 46.30% +11.64 11-4
2014-07-01 Indiana Fever L 70-77 1568.57 1464.56 71.40% 28.60% -16.79 11-5
2014-07-05 Washington Mystics W 86-73 1551.78 1448.33 71.34% 28.66% +9.18 12-5
2014-07-08 Connecticut Sun W 83-71 1560.96 1446.33 72.64% 27.36% +8.43 13-5
2014-07-12 @ Indiana Fever W 93-74 1569.39 1497.61 52.42% 47.58% +18.44 14-5
2014-07-13 Chicago Sky W 81-79 1587.83 1448.54 75.36% 24.64% +3.10 15-5
2014-07-16 @ New York Liberty L 75-77 1590.93 1400.38 68.58% 31.42% -8.63 15-6
2014-07-22 @ Minnesota Lynx L 108-112 1582.30 1652.39 32.74% 67.26% -5.82 15-7
2014-07-25 Chicago Sky L 75-79 1576.48 1438.28 75.25% 24.75% -13.38 15-8
2014-07-27 @ Washington Mystics L 67-77 1563.10 1499.30 51.27% 48.73% -14.41 15-9
2014-07-29 Connecticut Sun W 89-80 1548.69 1413.67 74.90% 25.10% +6.69 16-9
2014-07-31 @ Tulsa Shock W 85-75 1555.38 1444.12 58.03% 41.97% +11.80 17-9
2014-08-03 New York Liberty L 76-83 1567.18 1419.85 76.21% 23.79% -17.93 17-10
2014-08-05 @ Phoenix Mercury L 67-75 1549.25 1697.90 23.65% 76.35% -5.94 17-11
2014-08-07 @ Seattle Storm L 68-88 1543.31 1395.50 63.05% 36.95% -25.07 17-12
2014-08-08 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 77-80 1518.24 1512.98 42.90% 57.10% -6.61 17-13
2014-08-10 @ Chicago Sky L 69-80 1511.63 1466.35 48.61% 51.39% -14.33 17-14
2014-08-13 Phoenix Mercury W 96-82 1497.30 1719.22 27.66% 72.34% +24.06 18-14
2014-08-15 Tulsa Shock W 92-76 1521.36 1445.46 67.99% 32.01% +11.39 19-14
2014-08-17 @ Connecticut Sun L 55-84 1532.75 1402.65 60.65% 39.35% -29.04 19-15
2014-05-16 Indiana Fever W 74-71 1539.95 1518.69 60.80% 39.20% +6.04 1-0
2014-05-17 @ New York Liberty W 79-65 1545.99 1440.28 57.25% 42.75% +14.22 2-0
2014-05-21 Connecticut Sun W 78-68 1560.21 1408.10 76.71% 23.29% +6.54 3-0
2014-05-24 Atlanta Dream W 87-73 1566.75 1515.38 64.84% 35.16% +11.70 4-0
2014-05-26 Minnesota Lynx L 72-75 1578.45 1645.36 48.28% 51.72% -7.43 4-1
2014-05-30 Connecticut Sun W 101-82 1571.02 1406.83 77.93% 22.07% +8.55 5-1
2014-06-06 Los Angeles Sparks L 88-102 1579.57 1544.72 62.64% 37.36% -20.84 5-2
2014-06-07 @ Atlanta Dream L 59-97 1558.73 1500.53 50.47% 49.53% -27.66 5-3
2014-06-10 Seattle Storm L 76-80 1531.07 1451.10 68.50% 31.50% -12.17 5-4
2014-06-13 @ Washington Mystics L 68-79 1518.90 1461.15 50.40% 49.60% -14.87 5-5
2014-06-18 New York Liberty W 105-100 1504.03 1389.33 72.64% 27.36% +5.44 6-5
2014-06-20 Indiana Fever L 75-83 1509.47 1486.58 61.02% 38.98% -15.34 6-6
2014-06-22 Tulsa Shock L 99-105 1494.13 1463.11 62.13% 37.87% -13.53 6-7
2014-06-25 @ Connecticut Sun L 69-79 1480.60 1470.20 43.62% 56.38% -12.26 6-8
2014-06-27 @ New York Liberty W 73-69 1468.34 1391.49 53.15% 46.85% +8.33 7-8
2014-07-01 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 90-83 1476.67 1521.90 35.97% 64.03% +15.06 8-8
2014-07-02 @ Phoenix Mercury L 69-87 1491.73 1608.09 27.17% 72.83% -10.25 8-9
2014-07-05 @ Seattle Storm L 73-80 1481.48 1443.33 47.58% 52.42% -11.19 8-10
2014-07-09 Washington Mystics L 65-72 1470.29 1439.14 62.14% 37.86% -14.62 8-11
2014-07-11 Phoenix Mercury L 66-72 1455.67 1635.60 32.75% 67.25% -7.13 8-12
2014-07-13 @ Atlanta Dream L 79-81 1448.54 1587.83 24.64% 75.36% -3.10 8-13
2014-07-17 @ Indiana Fever L 64-82 1445.44 1466.89 39.18% 60.82% -14.77 8-14
2014-07-22 Indiana Fever W 60-57 1430.67 1481.66 50.57% 49.43% +7.61 9-14
2014-07-25 @ Atlanta Dream W 79-75 1438.28 1576.48 24.75% 75.25% +13.38 10-14
2014-07-27 @ Tulsa Shock L 69-79 1451.66 1422.86 46.24% 53.76% -13.00 10-15
2014-07-29 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 74-92 1438.66 1438.41 42.19% 57.81% -15.92 10-16
2014-07-31 New York Liberty W 87-74 1422.74 1433.86 56.27% 43.73% +14.02 11-16
2014-08-03 Washington Mystics W 76-65 1436.76 1503.94 48.24% 51.76% +15.26 12-16
2014-08-05 @ Connecticut Sun W 82-66 1452.02 1422.48 46.35% 53.65% +19.08 13-16
2014-08-07 @ Minnesota Lynx L 64-74 1471.10 1693.03 16.88% 83.12% -4.75 13-17
2014-08-10 Atlanta Dream W 80-69 1466.35 1511.63 51.39% 48.61% +14.33 14-17
2014-08-13 @ Washington Mystics W 72-69 1480.68 1508.96 38.25% 61.75% +9.51 15-17
2014-08-16 @ Indiana Fever L 67-71 1490.19 1493.68 41.67% 58.33% -7.41 15-18
2014-08-17 San Antonio Silver Stars L 72-84 1482.78 1446.37 62.85% 37.15% -19.35 15-19
2014-05-16 New York Liberty L 54-75 1435.33 1415.59 60.59% 39.41% -24.68 0-1
2014-05-18 @ Minnesota Lynx L 87-90 1410.65 1636.42 16.58% 83.42% -2.55 0-2
2014-05-21 @ Chicago Sky L 68-78 1408.10 1560.21 23.29% 76.71% -6.55 0-3
2014-05-23 Seattle Storm W 71-59 1401.55 1467.05 48.48% 51.52% +15.87 1-3
2014-05-29 @ Indiana Fever L 65-79 1417.42 1494.89 31.81% 68.19% -10.59 1-4
2014-05-30 @ Chicago Sky L 82-101 1406.83 1571.02 22.07% 77.93% -8.55 1-5
2014-06-01 Atlanta Dream W 85-76 1398.28 1502.61 42.94% 57.06% +15.22 2-5
2014-06-05 Washington Mystics L 66-74 1413.50 1495.88 46.06% 53.94% -11.58 2-6
2014-06-07 Indiana Fever W 88-71 1401.92 1519.87 41.03% 58.97% +21.61 3-6
2014-06-12 Phoenix Mercury W 96-95 1423.53 1554.96 39.17% 60.83% +5.41 4-6
2014-06-13 @ New York Liberty W 83-75 1428.94 1409.53 44.90% 55.10% +13.85 5-6
2014-06-15 New York Liberty W 76-72 1442.79 1395.68 64.28% 35.72% +6.35 6-6
2014-06-17 Indiana Fever W 89-67 1449.14 1507.64 49.49% 50.51% +21.06 7-6
2014-06-25 Chicago Sky W 79-69 1470.20 1480.60 56.38% 43.62% +12.27 8-6
2014-06-27 @ Washington Mystics L 63-69 1482.47 1461.73 45.09% 54.91% -9.82 8-7
2014-06-29 @ New York Liberty L 65-67 1472.65 1383.16 54.95% 45.05% -6.91 8-8
2014-07-01 San Antonio Silver Stars L 71-74 1465.74 1477.82 56.14% 43.86% -8.64 8-9
2014-07-03 Tulsa Shock L 83-96 1457.10 1454.82 58.16% 41.84% -18.65 8-10
2014-07-05 @ Tulsa Shock W 78-76 1438.45 1473.46 37.34% 62.66% +7.88 9-10
2014-07-08 @ Atlanta Dream L 71-83 1446.33 1560.96 27.36% 72.64% -8.43 9-11
2014-07-10 @ Indiana Fever L 68-72 1437.90 1491.41 34.88% 65.12% -6.20 9-12
2014-07-13 Los Angeles Sparks L 64-90 1431.70 1521.68 44.98% 55.02% -20.39 9-13
2014-07-15 @ Seattle Storm W 86-63 1411.31 1464.50 34.92% 65.08% +27.75 10-13
2014-07-17 @ Phoenix Mercury L 85-101 1439.06 1659.33 17.02% 82.98% -6.05 10-14
2014-07-23 @ Washington Mystics L 75-89 1433.01 1480.76 35.64% 64.36% -11.86 10-15
2014-07-27 Minnesota Lynx L 65-76 1421.15 1663.44 25.38% 74.62% -7.48 10-16
2014-07-29 @ Atlanta Dream L 80-89 1413.67 1548.69 25.10% 74.90% -6.69 10-17
2014-08-01 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 89-79 1406.98 1454.32 35.69% 64.31% +18.08 11-17
2014-08-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 69-70 1425.06 1525.92 28.97% 71.03% -2.58 11-18
2014-08-05 Chicago Sky L 66-82 1422.48 1452.02 53.65% 46.35% -19.08 11-19
2014-08-08 @ New York Liberty L 66-71 1403.40 1419.79 39.88% 60.12% -7.92 11-20
2014-08-10 Washington Mystics W 89-81 1395.48 1524.16 39.55% 60.45% +15.20 12-20
2014-08-15 Washington Mystics L 67-71 1410.68 1499.45 45.15% 54.85% -8.03 12-21
2014-08-17 Atlanta Dream W 84-55 1402.65 1532.75 39.35% 60.65% +29.04 13-21
2014-05-16 @ Chicago Sky L 71-74 1518.69 1539.95 39.20% 60.80% -6.04 0-1
2014-05-17 Atlanta Dream L 88-90 1512.65 1508.03 58.49% 41.51% -7.35 0-2
2014-05-23 Washington Mystics L 63-79 1505.30 1466.18 63.22% 36.78% -22.48 0-3
2014-05-25 @ Atlanta Dream W 82-77 1482.82 1503.68 39.26% 60.74% +12.07 1-3
2014-05-29 Connecticut Sun W 79-65 1494.89 1417.42 68.19% 31.81% +10.58 2-3
2014-05-31 New York Liberty W 70-66 1505.47 1423.93 68.69% 31.31% +5.57 3-3
2014-06-06 @ Washington Mystics W 64-61 1511.04 1507.46 42.66% 57.34% +8.83 4-3
2014-06-07 @ Connecticut Sun L 71-88 1519.87 1401.92 58.97% 41.03% -21.62 4-4
2014-06-11 Seattle Storm W 76-68 1498.25 1463.28 62.66% 37.34% +9.39 5-4
2014-06-17 @ Connecticut Sun L 67-89 1507.64 1449.14 50.51% 49.49% -21.06 5-5
2014-06-20 @ Chicago Sky W 83-75 1486.58 1509.47 38.98% 61.02% +15.34 6-5
2014-06-22 @ Minnesota Lynx L 77-83 1501.92 1645.64 24.17% 75.83% -5.26 6-6
2014-06-25 Tulsa Shock L 102-107 1496.66 1476.64 60.63% 39.37% -12.05 6-7
2014-06-27 Phoenix Mercury L 76-81 1484.61 1593.44 42.31% 57.69% -8.41 6-8
2014-06-29 Atlanta Dream L 68-76 1476.20 1556.93 46.30% 53.70% -11.64 6-9
2014-07-01 @ Atlanta Dream W 77-70 1464.56 1568.57 28.60% 71.40% +16.79 7-9
2014-07-02 @ Washington Mystics W 80-77 1481.35 1456.70 45.65% 54.35% +8.37 8-9
2014-07-05 San Antonio Silver Stars L 70-71 1489.72 1480.91 59.08% 40.92% -5.25 8-10
2014-07-08 @ Tulsa Shock W 78-76 1484.47 1465.58 44.83% 55.17% +6.94 9-10
2014-07-10 Connecticut Sun W 72-68 1491.41 1437.90 65.12% 34.88% +6.20 10-10
2014-07-12 Atlanta Dream L 74-93 1497.61 1569.39 47.58% 52.42% -18.44 10-11
2014-07-15 Los Angeles Sparks L 78-86 1479.17 1542.06 48.86% 51.14% -12.28 10-12
2014-07-17 Chicago Sky W 82-64 1466.89 1445.44 60.82% 39.18% +14.77 11-12
2014-07-22 @ Chicago Sky L 57-60 1481.66 1430.67 49.43% 50.57% -7.61 11-13
2014-07-26 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 75-68 1474.05 1451.25 45.39% 54.61% +12.85 12-13
2014-07-28 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 73-77 1486.90 1528.59 36.44% 63.56% -6.48 12-14
2014-07-31 @ Seattle Storm W 76-67 1480.42 1396.96 54.09% 45.91% +12.24 13-14
2014-08-02 @ Phoenix Mercury L 69-79 1492.66 1692.63 18.73% 81.27% -5.26 13-15
2014-08-05 Minnesota Lynx L 64-66 1487.40 1689.26 30.03% 69.97% -3.78 13-16
2014-08-08 Washington Mystics L 61-74 1483.62 1506.67 54.58% 45.42% -17.49 13-17
2014-08-10 @ New York Liberty W 90-76 1466.13 1427.71 47.62% 52.38% +17.42 14-17
2014-08-14 New York Liberty W 76-63 1483.55 1404.33 68.40% 31.60% +10.13 15-17
2014-08-16 Chicago Sky W 71-67 1493.68 1490.19 58.33% 41.67% +7.41 16-17
2014-08-17 @ New York Liberty L 61-73 1501.09 1416.53 54.25% 45.75% -16.71 16-18
2014-05-16 @ Seattle Storm W 80-69 1557.61 1495.86 50.98% 49.02% +14.46 1-0
2014-05-18 Phoenix Mercury L 69-74 1572.07 1517.43 65.27% 34.73% -12.98 1-1
2014-05-25 San Antonio Silver Stars W 83-62 1559.09 1474.07 69.12% 30.88% +12.58 2-1
2014-06-01 @ Washington Mystics L 84-92 1571.67 1482.05 54.97% 45.03% -13.82 2-2
2014-06-03 @ Atlanta Dream L 85-93 1557.85 1487.39 52.23% 47.77% -13.13 2-3
2014-06-06 @ Chicago Sky W 102-88 1544.72 1579.57 37.36% 62.64% +20.83 3-3
2014-06-08 Minnesota Lynx L 72-85 1565.55 1656.34 44.86% 55.14% -14.38 3-4
2014-06-13 @ Tulsa Shock L 67-69 1551.17 1466.39 54.28% 45.72% -6.82 3-5
2014-06-14 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 74-101 1544.35 1440.34 57.01% 42.99% -26.34 3-6
2014-06-17 Minnesota Lynx L 77-94 1518.01 1642.94 40.06% 59.94% -14.68 3-7
2014-06-19 Tulsa Shock W 87-77 1503.33 1482.22 60.77% 39.23% +11.02 4-7
2014-06-22 San Antonio Silver Stars L 69-72 1514.35 1477.94 62.85% 37.15% -9.67 4-8
2014-06-24 Seattle Storm W 65-57 1504.68 1453.76 64.78% 35.22% +8.85 5-8
2014-06-28 @ Tulsa Shock W 92-89 1513.53 1488.69 45.68% 54.32% +8.37 6-8
2014-07-01 Chicago Sky L 83-90 1521.90 1476.67 64.03% 35.97% -15.06 6-9
2014-07-03 @ Seattle Storm W 70-56 1506.84 1460.37 48.78% 51.22% +17.03 7-9
2014-07-06 Phoenix Mercury L 89-94 1523.87 1618.34 44.34% 55.66% -8.81 7-10
2014-07-08 @ Minnesota Lynx L 72-83 1515.06 1623.72 28.05% 71.95% -8.27 7-11
2014-07-11 @ New York Liberty W 68-54 1506.79 1415.27 55.24% 44.76% +14.89 8-11
2014-07-13 @ Connecticut Sun W 90-64 1521.68 1431.70 55.02% 44.98% +20.38 9-11
2014-07-15 @ Indiana Fever W 86-78 1542.06 1479.17 51.14% 48.86% +12.29 10-11
2014-07-17 Washington Mystics L 75-79 1554.35 1468.45 69.23% 30.77% -12.31 10-12
2014-07-23 New York Liberty L 64-66 1542.04 1409.00 74.69% 25.31% -9.39 10-13
2014-07-24 Phoenix Mercury L 73-93 1532.65 1675.53 37.61% 62.39% -14.95 10-14
2014-07-26 @ Seattle Storm W 77-69 1517.70 1416.12 56.67% 43.33% +10.89 11-14
2014-07-28 Indiana Fever W 77-73 1528.59 1486.90 63.56% 36.44% +6.48 12-14
2014-07-29 @ Phoenix Mercury L 69-90 1535.07 1695.27 22.47% 77.53% -9.15 12-15
2014-08-03 Connecticut Sun W 70-69 1525.92 1425.06 71.03% 28.97% +2.57 13-15
2014-08-05 Tulsa Shock L 90-96 1528.49 1425.78 71.25% 28.75% -15.51 13-16
2014-08-08 Atlanta Dream W 80-77 1512.98 1518.24 57.10% 42.90% +6.60 14-16
2014-08-10 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 76-82 1519.58 1406.73 58.26% 41.74% -12.68 14-17
2014-08-12 @ Minnesota Lynx W 71-63 1506.90 1692.66 20.01% 79.99% +20.11 15-17
2014-08-15 Seattle Storm W 77-65 1527.01 1430.84 70.47% 29.53% +9.09 16-17
2014-08-16 @ Phoenix Mercury L 69-76 1536.10 1695.16 22.58% 77.42% -5.31 16-18
2014-05-16 @ Washington Mystics W 89-77 1625.03 1477.58 63.01% 36.99% +11.39 1-0
2014-05-18 Connecticut Sun W 90-87 1636.42 1410.65 83.42% 16.58% +2.55 2-0
2014-05-23 @ Tulsa Shock W 94-93 1638.97 1461.10 66.99% 33.01% +2.94 3-0
2014-05-24 New York Liberty W 87-82 1641.91 1426.06 82.62% 17.38% +3.45 4-0
2014-05-26 @ Chicago Sky W 75-72 1645.36 1578.45 51.72% 48.28% +7.44 5-0
2014-05-30 San Antonio Silver Stars W 88-72 1652.80 1467.91 79.91% 20.09% +7.14 6-0
2014-06-01 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 87-79 1659.94 1460.77 69.64% 30.36% +7.64 7-0
2014-06-06 @ Seattle Storm L 62-65 1667.58 1439.86 73.00% 27.00% -11.24 7-1
2014-06-08 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 85-72 1656.34 1565.55 55.14% 44.86% +14.38 8-1
2014-06-13 @ Atlanta Dream L 82-85 1670.72 1528.19 62.34% 37.66% -9.60 8-2
2014-06-15 Phoenix Mercury L 72-80 1661.12 1549.55 72.28% 27.72% -18.18 8-3
2014-06-17 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 94-77 1642.94 1518.01 59.94% 40.06% +14.69 9-3
2014-06-18 @ Phoenix Mercury L 79-92 1657.63 1567.72 55.01% 44.99% -17.64 9-4
2014-06-20 Washington Mystics W 75-65 1639.99 1455.05 79.91% 20.09% +5.65 10-4
2014-06-22 Indiana Fever W 83-77 1645.64 1501.92 75.83% 24.17% +5.26 11-4
2014-06-27 @ Seattle Storm L 71-81 1650.90 1444.90 70.46% 29.54% -19.81 11-5
2014-06-29 Seattle Storm W 74-69 1631.09 1464.71 78.14% 21.86% +4.35 12-5
2014-07-03 San Antonio Silver Stars W 91-84 1635.44 1486.46 76.38% 23.62% +5.55 13-5
2014-07-06 @ New York Liberty L 80-87 1640.99 1409.33 73.44% 26.56% -17.27 13-6
2014-07-08 Los Angeles Sparks W 83-72 1623.72 1515.06 71.95% 28.05% +8.27 14-6
2014-07-10 @ Tulsa Shock W 91-85 1631.99 1458.65 66.41% 33.59% +7.31 15-6
2014-07-13 Seattle Storm W 77-60 1639.30 1472.49 78.19% 21.81% +8.00 16-6
2014-07-16 Tulsa Shock W 93-82 1647.30 1430.25 82.72% 17.28% +5.09 17-6
2014-07-22 Atlanta Dream W 112-108 1652.39 1582.30 67.26% 32.74% +5.83 18-6
2014-07-25 San Antonio Silver Stars W 88-78 1658.22 1456.48 81.42% 18.58% +5.22 19-6
2014-07-27 @ Connecticut Sun W 76-65 1663.44 1421.15 74.62% 25.38% +7.48 20-6
2014-07-31 Phoenix Mercury W 75-67 1670.92 1704.43 53.08% 46.92% +11.80 21-6
2014-08-02 @ Tulsa Shock W 84-75 1682.72 1432.32 75.49% 24.51% +6.54 22-6
2014-08-05 @ Indiana Fever W 66-64 1689.26 1487.40 69.97% 30.03% +3.77 23-6
2014-08-07 Chicago Sky W 74-64 1693.03 1471.10 83.12% 16.88% +4.75 24-6
2014-08-09 @ Phoenix Mercury L 80-82 1697.78 1708.15 40.71% 59.29% -5.12 24-7
2014-08-12 Los Angeles Sparks L 63-71 1692.66 1506.90 79.99% 20.01% -20.11 24-8
2014-08-15 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 76-92 1672.55 1419.42 75.78% 24.22% -26.95 24-9
2014-08-16 Tulsa Shock W 80-63 1645.60 1434.07 82.26% 17.74% +6.50 25-9
2014-05-16 @ Connecticut Sun W 75-54 1415.59 1435.33 39.41% 60.59% +24.69 1-0
2014-05-17 Chicago Sky L 65-79 1440.28 1545.99 42.75% 57.25% -14.22 1-1
2014-05-24 @ Minnesota Lynx L 82-87 1426.06 1641.91 17.38% 82.62% -3.46 1-2
2014-05-27 Seattle Storm W 70-64 1422.60 1467.03 51.51% 48.49% +10.56 2-2
2014-05-30 @ Washington Mystics L 60-68 1433.16 1472.82 36.71% 63.29% -9.23 2-3
2014-05-31 @ Indiana Fever L 66-70 1423.93 1505.47 31.31% 68.69% -5.57 2-4
2014-06-05 San Antonio Silver Stars L 75-87 1418.36 1453.13 52.90% 47.10% -16.29 2-5
2014-06-08 Washington Mystics W 81-64 1402.07 1498.63 44.04% 55.96% +20.51 3-5
2014-06-10 @ Tulsa Shock L 57-72 1422.58 1453.34 37.91% 62.09% -13.05 3-6
2014-06-13 Connecticut Sun L 75-83 1409.53 1428.94 55.10% 44.90% -13.85 3-7
2014-06-15 @ Connecticut Sun L 72-76 1395.68 1442.79 35.72% 64.28% -6.35 3-8
2014-06-18 @ Chicago Sky L 100-105 1389.33 1504.03 27.36% 72.64% -5.44 3-9
2014-06-20 @ Atlanta Dream L 64-85 1383.89 1558.74 21.03% 78.97% -8.57 3-10
2014-06-22 Atlanta Dream W 85-78 1375.32 1567.31 31.24% 68.76% +16.17 4-10
2014-06-27 Chicago Sky L 69-73 1391.49 1468.34 46.85% 53.15% -8.33 4-11
2014-06-29 Connecticut Sun W 67-65 1383.16 1472.65 45.05% 54.95% +6.91 5-11
2014-07-01 Tulsa Shock W 90-74 1390.07 1474.08 45.83% 54.17% +19.26 6-11
2014-07-06 Minnesota Lynx W 87-80 1409.33 1640.99 26.56% 73.44% +17.28 7-11
2014-07-09 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 66-80 1426.61 1486.16 34.09% 65.91% -11.34 7-12
2014-07-11 Los Angeles Sparks L 54-68 1415.27 1506.79 44.76% 55.24% -14.89 7-13
2014-07-16 Atlanta Dream W 77-75 1400.38 1590.93 31.42% 68.58% +8.62 8-13
2014-07-23 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 66-64 1409.00 1542.04 25.31% 74.69% +9.39 9-13
2014-07-24 @ Seattle Storm W 84-80 1418.39 1426.61 41.01% 58.99% +10.49 10-13
2014-07-26 @ Phoenix Mercury L 63-78 1428.88 1690.48 13.92% 86.08% -4.79 10-14
2014-07-29 Washington Mystics W 80-76 1424.09 1513.72 45.03% 54.97% +9.77 11-14
2014-07-31 @ Chicago Sky L 74-87 1433.86 1422.74 43.73% 56.27% -14.01 11-15
2014-08-03 @ Atlanta Dream W 83-76 1419.85 1567.18 23.79% 76.21% +17.92 12-15
2014-08-05 @ Washington Mystics L 46-79 1437.77 1488.68 35.22% 64.78% -17.98 12-16
2014-08-08 Connecticut Sun W 71-66 1419.79 1403.40 60.12% 39.88% +7.92 13-16
2014-08-10 Indiana Fever L 76-90 1427.71 1466.13 52.38% 47.62% -17.42 13-17
2014-08-12 Phoenix Mercury L 64-76 1410.29 1713.27 19.35% 80.65% -5.96 13-18
2014-08-14 @ Indiana Fever L 63-76 1404.33 1483.55 31.60% 68.40% -10.12 13-19
2014-08-16 @ Washington Mystics W 73-61 1394.21 1507.48 27.52% 72.48% +22.32 14-19
2014-08-17 Indiana Fever W 73-61 1416.53 1501.09 45.75% 54.25% +16.70 15-19
2014-05-17 Seattle Storm W 81-64 1503.08 1481.40 60.85% 39.15% +14.35 1-0
2014-05-18 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 74-69 1517.43 1572.07 34.73% 65.27% +12.98 2-0
2014-05-23 San Antonio Silver Stars L 74-78 1530.41 1462.16 67.02% 32.98% -11.92 2-1
2014-05-30 Tulsa Shock W 100-78 1518.49 1451.74 66.83% 33.17% +13.83 3-1
2014-06-03 Seattle Storm W 87-72 1532.32 1450.63 68.71% 31.29% +10.78 4-1
2014-06-06 @ Tulsa Shock L 78-94 1543.10 1432.74 57.91% 42.09% -20.60 4-2
2014-06-07 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 91-79 1522.50 1469.42 49.73% 50.27% +15.48 5-2
2014-06-10 @ Washington Mystics W 81-66 1537.98 1478.12 50.71% 49.29% +16.98 6-2
2014-06-12 @ Connecticut Sun L 95-96 1554.96 1423.53 60.83% 39.17% -5.41 6-3
2014-06-15 @ Minnesota Lynx W 80-72 1549.55 1661.12 27.72% 72.28% +18.17 7-3
2014-06-18 Minnesota Lynx W 92-79 1567.72 1657.63 44.99% 55.01% +17.64 8-3
2014-06-20 Tulsa Shock W 91-80 1585.36 1471.19 72.58% 27.42% +8.08 9-3
2014-06-27 @ Indiana Fever W 81-76 1593.44 1484.61 57.69% 42.31% +8.41 10-3
2014-06-29 @ Tulsa Shock W 80-77 1601.85 1480.32 59.47% 40.53% +6.24 11-3
2014-07-02 Chicago Sky W 87-69 1608.09 1491.73 72.83% 27.17% +10.25 12-3
2014-07-06 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 94-89 1618.34 1523.87 55.66% 44.34% +8.81 13-3
2014-07-09 Seattle Storm W 78-58 1627.15 1454.52 78.75% 21.25% +8.45 14-3
2014-07-11 @ Chicago Sky W 72-66 1635.60 1455.67 67.25% 32.75% +7.13 15-3
2014-07-13 San Antonio Silver Stars W 90-61 1642.73 1471.08 78.66% 21.34% +10.22 16-3
2014-07-15 Washington Mystics W 90-78 1652.95 1474.84 79.28% 20.72% +6.38 17-3
2014-07-17 Connecticut Sun W 101-85 1659.33 1439.06 82.98% 17.02% +6.05 18-3
2014-07-22 @ Seattle Storm W 89-71 1665.38 1436.75 73.10% 26.90% +10.15 19-3
2014-07-24 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 93-73 1675.53 1532.65 62.39% 37.61% +14.95 20-3
2014-07-26 New York Liberty W 78-63 1690.48 1428.88 86.08% 13.92% +4.79 21-3
2014-07-29 Los Angeles Sparks W 90-69 1695.27 1535.07 77.53% 22.47% +9.16 22-3
2014-07-31 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-75 1704.43 1670.92 46.92% 53.08% -11.80 22-4
2014-08-02 Indiana Fever W 79-69 1692.63 1492.66 81.27% 18.73% +5.27 23-4
2014-08-05 Atlanta Dream W 75-67 1697.90 1549.25 76.35% 23.65% +5.94 24-4
2014-08-07 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 78-73 1703.84 1425.46 78.35% 21.65% +4.31 25-4
2014-08-09 Minnesota Lynx W 82-80 1708.15 1697.78 59.29% 40.71% +5.12 26-4
2014-08-12 @ New York Liberty W 76-64 1713.27 1410.29 80.65% 19.35% +5.95 27-4
2014-08-13 @ Atlanta Dream L 82-96 1719.22 1497.30 72.34% 27.66% -24.06 27-5
2014-08-16 Los Angeles Sparks W 76-69 1695.16 1536.10 77.42% 22.58% +5.31 28-5
2014-08-17 @ Seattle Storm W 78-65 1700.47 1421.75 78.38% 21.62% +6.93 29-5
2014-05-16 @ Atlanta Dream L 75-79 1460.79 1501.52 36.57% 63.43% -6.50 0-1
2014-05-17 Tulsa Shock W 80-76 1454.29 1468.96 55.77% 44.23% +7.87 1-1
2014-05-23 @ Phoenix Mercury W 78-74 1462.16 1530.41 32.98% 67.02% +11.91 2-1
2014-05-25 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 62-83 1474.07 1559.09 30.88% 69.12% -12.58 2-2
2014-05-28 Tulsa Shock W 82-79 1461.49 1458.16 58.31% 41.69% +6.42 3-2
2014-05-30 @ Minnesota Lynx L 72-88 1467.91 1652.80 20.09% 79.91% -7.14 3-3
2014-06-01 Minnesota Lynx L 79-87 1460.77 1659.94 30.36% 69.64% -7.64 3-4
2014-06-05 @ New York Liberty W 87-75 1453.13 1418.36 47.10% 52.90% +16.29 4-4
2014-06-07 Phoenix Mercury L 79-91 1469.42 1522.50 50.27% 49.73% -15.48 4-5
2014-06-13 Seattle Storm L 72-79 1453.94 1453.89 57.85% 42.15% -13.60 4-6
2014-06-14 Los Angeles Sparks W 101-74 1440.34 1544.35 42.99% 57.01% +26.33 5-6
2014-06-19 @ Seattle Storm W 87-82 1466.67 1458.49 43.31% 56.69% +11.27 6-6
2014-06-22 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 72-69 1477.94 1514.35 37.15% 62.85% +9.68 7-6
2014-06-24 Washington Mystics L 70-81 1487.62 1442.86 63.97% 36.03% -18.86 7-7
2014-06-26 Atlanta Dream L 79-81 1468.76 1551.14 46.06% 53.94% -5.79 7-8
2014-06-29 @ Washington Mystics W 73-65 1462.97 1471.54 40.96% 59.04% +14.85 8-8
2014-07-01 @ Connecticut Sun W 74-71 1477.82 1465.74 43.86% 56.14% +8.64 9-8
2014-07-03 @ Minnesota Lynx L 84-91 1486.46 1635.44 23.62% 76.38% -5.55 9-9
2014-07-05 @ Indiana Fever W 71-70 1480.91 1489.72 40.92% 59.08% +5.25 10-9
2014-07-09 New York Liberty W 80-66 1486.16 1426.61 65.91% 34.09% +11.34 11-9
2014-07-11 Seattle Storm L 67-88 1497.50 1446.08 64.85% 35.15% -26.42 11-10
2014-07-13 @ Phoenix Mercury L 61-90 1471.08 1642.73 21.34% 78.66% -10.22 11-11
2014-07-17 @ Tulsa Shock L 90-95 1460.86 1425.16 47.23% 52.77% -9.39 11-12
2014-07-22 Tulsa Shock W 95-93 1451.47 1434.55 60.20% 39.80% +5.01 12-12
2014-07-25 @ Minnesota Lynx L 78-88 1456.48 1658.22 18.58% 81.42% -5.23 12-13
2014-07-26 Indiana Fever L 68-75 1451.25 1474.05 54.61% 45.39% -12.84 12-14
2014-07-29 Chicago Sky W 92-74 1438.41 1438.66 57.81% 42.19% +15.91 13-14
2014-08-01 Connecticut Sun L 79-89 1454.32 1406.98 64.31% 35.69% -18.08 13-15
2014-08-03 @ Seattle Storm L 65-71 1436.24 1384.72 49.51% 50.49% -10.78 13-16
2014-08-07 Phoenix Mercury L 73-78 1425.46 1703.84 21.65% 78.35% -4.30 13-17
2014-08-08 @ Tulsa Shock L 62-79 1421.16 1441.30 39.36% 60.64% -14.43 13-18
2014-08-10 Los Angeles Sparks W 82-76 1406.73 1519.58 41.74% 58.26% +12.69 14-18
2014-08-15 Minnesota Lynx W 92-76 1419.42 1672.55 24.22% 75.78% +26.95 15-18
2014-08-17 @ Chicago Sky W 84-72 1446.37 1482.78 37.15% 62.85% +19.35 16-18
2014-05-16 Los Angeles Sparks L 69-80 1495.86 1557.61 49.02% 50.98% -14.46 0-1
2014-05-17 @ Phoenix Mercury L 64-81 1481.40 1503.08 39.15% 60.85% -14.35 0-2
2014-05-23 @ Connecticut Sun L 59-71 1467.05 1401.55 51.52% 48.48% -15.86 0-3
2014-05-24 @ Washington Mystics W 73-65 1451.19 1488.66 37.00% 63.00% +15.84 1-3
2014-05-27 @ New York Liberty L 64-70 1467.03 1422.60 48.49% 51.51% -10.56 1-4
2014-05-30 @ Atlanta Dream L 69-80 1456.47 1491.61 37.32% 62.68% -11.00 1-5
2014-06-01 Tulsa Shock W 62-60 1445.47 1437.91 58.90% 41.10% +5.16 2-5
2014-06-03 @ Phoenix Mercury L 72-87 1450.63 1532.32 31.29% 68.71% -10.77 2-6
2014-06-06 Minnesota Lynx W 65-62 1439.86 1667.58 27.00% 73.00% +11.24 3-6
2014-06-10 @ Chicago Sky W 80-76 1451.10 1531.07 31.50% 68.50% +12.18 4-6
2014-06-11 @ Indiana Fever L 68-76 1463.28 1498.25 37.34% 62.66% -9.39 4-7
2014-06-13 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 79-72 1453.89 1453.94 42.15% 57.85% +13.61 5-7
2014-06-15 @ Tulsa Shock L 79-85 1467.50 1473.21 41.36% 58.64% -9.01 5-8
2014-06-19 San Antonio Silver Stars L 82-87 1458.49 1466.67 56.69% 43.31% -11.27 5-9
2014-06-22 Washington Mystics W 89-86 1447.22 1449.40 57.54% 42.46% +6.54 6-9
2014-06-24 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 57-65 1453.76 1504.68 35.22% 64.78% -8.86 6-10
2014-06-27 Minnesota Lynx W 81-71 1444.90 1650.90 29.54% 70.46% +19.81 7-10
2014-06-29 @ Minnesota Lynx L 69-74 1464.71 1631.09 21.86% 78.14% -4.34 7-11
2014-07-03 Los Angeles Sparks L 56-70 1460.37 1506.84 51.22% 48.78% -17.04 7-12
2014-07-05 Chicago Sky W 80-73 1443.33 1481.48 52.42% 47.58% +11.19 8-12
2014-07-09 @ Phoenix Mercury L 58-78 1454.52 1627.15 21.25% 78.75% -8.44 8-13
2014-07-11 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 88-67 1446.08 1497.50 35.15% 64.85% +26.41 9-13
2014-07-13 @ Minnesota Lynx L 60-77 1472.49 1639.30 21.81% 78.19% -7.99 9-14
2014-07-15 Connecticut Sun L 63-86 1464.50 1411.31 65.08% 34.92% -27.75 9-15
2014-07-22 Phoenix Mercury L 71-89 1436.75 1665.38 26.90% 73.10% -10.14 9-16
2014-07-24 New York Liberty L 80-84 1426.61 1418.39 58.99% 41.01% -10.49 9-17
2014-07-26 Los Angeles Sparks L 69-77 1416.12 1517.70 43.33% 56.67% -10.90 9-18
2014-07-29 @ Tulsa Shock L 74-80 1405.22 1435.86 37.93% 62.07% -8.26 9-19
2014-07-31 Indiana Fever L 67-76 1396.96 1480.42 45.91% 54.09% -12.24 9-20
2014-08-03 San Antonio Silver Stars W 71-65 1384.72 1436.24 50.49% 49.51% +10.78 10-20
2014-08-07 Atlanta Dream W 88-68 1395.50 1543.31 36.95% 63.05% +25.07 11-20
2014-08-10 Tulsa Shock W 74-68 1420.57 1455.72 52.85% 47.15% +10.27 12-20
2014-08-15 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 65-77 1430.84 1527.01 29.53% 70.47% -9.09 12-21
2014-08-17 Phoenix Mercury L 65-78 1421.75 1700.47 21.62% 78.38% -6.93 12-22
2014-05-17 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 76-80 1468.96 1454.29 44.23% 55.77% -7.86 0-1
2014-05-23 Minnesota Lynx L 93-94 1461.10 1638.97 33.01% 66.99% -2.94 0-2
2014-05-28 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 79-82 1458.16 1461.49 41.69% 58.31% -6.42 0-3
2014-05-30 @ Phoenix Mercury L 78-100 1451.74 1518.49 33.17% 66.83% -13.83 0-4
2014-06-01 @ Seattle Storm L 60-62 1437.91 1445.47 41.10% 58.90% -5.17 0-5
2014-06-06 Phoenix Mercury W 94-78 1432.74 1543.10 42.09% 57.91% +20.60 1-5
2014-06-10 New York Liberty W 72-57 1453.34 1422.58 62.09% 37.91% +13.05 2-5
2014-06-13 Los Angeles Sparks W 69-67 1466.39 1551.17 45.72% 54.28% +6.82 3-5
2014-06-15 Seattle Storm W 85-79 1473.21 1467.50 58.64% 41.36% +9.01 4-5
2014-06-19 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 77-87 1482.22 1503.33 39.23% 60.77% -11.03 4-6
2014-06-20 @ Phoenix Mercury L 80-91 1471.19 1585.36 27.42% 72.58% -8.08 4-7
2014-06-22 @ Chicago Sky W 105-99 1463.11 1494.13 37.87% 62.13% +13.53 5-7
2014-06-25 @ Indiana Fever W 107-102 1476.64 1496.66 39.37% 60.63% +12.05 6-7
2014-06-28 Los Angeles Sparks L 89-92 1488.69 1513.53 54.32% 45.68% -8.37 6-8
2014-06-29 Phoenix Mercury L 77-80 1480.32 1601.85 40.53% 59.47% -6.24 6-9
2014-07-01 @ New York Liberty L 74-90 1474.08 1390.07 54.17% 45.83% -19.26 6-10
2014-07-03 @ Connecticut Sun W 96-83 1454.82 1457.10 41.84% 58.16% +18.64 7-10
2014-07-05 Connecticut Sun L 76-78 1473.46 1438.45 62.66% 37.34% -7.88 7-11
2014-07-08 Indiana Fever L 76-78 1465.58 1484.47 55.17% 44.83% -6.93 7-12
2014-07-10 Minnesota Lynx L 85-91 1458.65 1631.99 33.59% 66.41% -7.32 7-13
2014-07-12 Washington Mystics L 74-91 1451.33 1453.76 57.50% 42.50% -21.08 7-14
2014-07-16 @ Minnesota Lynx L 82-93 1430.25 1647.30 17.28% 82.72% -5.09 7-15
2014-07-17 San Antonio Silver Stars W 95-90 1425.16 1460.86 52.77% 47.23% +9.39 8-15
2014-07-22 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 93-95 1434.55 1451.47 39.80% 60.20% -5.01 8-16
2014-07-25 @ Washington Mystics L 77-82 1429.54 1492.62 33.64% 66.36% -6.68 8-17
2014-07-27 Chicago Sky W 79-69 1422.86 1451.66 53.76% 46.24% +13.00 9-17
2014-07-29 Seattle Storm W 80-74 1435.86 1405.22 62.07% 37.93% +8.26 10-17
2014-07-31 Atlanta Dream L 75-85 1444.12 1555.38 41.97% 58.03% -11.80 10-18
2014-08-02 Minnesota Lynx L 75-84 1432.32 1682.72 24.51% 75.49% -6.54 10-19
2014-08-05 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 96-90 1425.78 1528.49 28.75% 71.25% +15.52 11-19
2014-08-08 San Antonio Silver Stars W 79-62 1441.30 1421.16 60.64% 39.36% +14.42 12-19
2014-08-10 @ Seattle Storm L 68-74 1455.72 1420.57 47.15% 52.85% -10.26 12-20
2014-08-15 @ Atlanta Dream L 76-92 1445.46 1521.36 32.01% 67.99% -11.39 12-21
2014-08-16 @ Minnesota Lynx L 63-80 1434.07 1645.60 17.74% 82.26% -6.50 12-22
2014-05-16 Minnesota Lynx L 77-89 1477.58 1625.03 36.99% 63.01% -11.40 0-1
2014-05-23 @ Indiana Fever W 79-63 1466.18 1505.30 36.78% 63.22% +22.48 1-1
2014-05-24 Seattle Storm L 65-73 1488.66 1451.19 63.00% 37.00% -15.84 1-2
2014-05-30 New York Liberty W 68-60 1472.82 1433.16 63.29% 36.71% +9.23 2-2
2014-06-01 Los Angeles Sparks W 92-84 1482.05 1571.67 45.03% 54.97% +13.83 3-2
2014-06-05 @ Connecticut Sun W 74-66 1495.88 1413.50 53.94% 46.06% +11.58 4-2
2014-06-06 Indiana Fever L 61-64 1507.46 1511.04 57.34% 42.66% -8.83 4-3
2014-06-08 @ New York Liberty L 64-81 1498.63 1402.07 55.96% 44.04% -20.51 4-4
2014-06-10 Phoenix Mercury L 66-81 1478.12 1537.98 49.29% 50.71% -16.97 4-5
2014-06-13 Chicago Sky W 79-68 1461.15 1518.90 49.60% 50.40% +14.86 5-5
2014-06-15 Atlanta Dream L 67-75 1476.01 1537.78 49.02% 50.98% -12.33 5-6
2014-06-18 @ Atlanta Dream L 73-83 1463.68 1550.11 30.71% 69.29% -8.63 5-7
2014-06-20 @ Minnesota Lynx L 65-75 1455.05 1639.99 20.09% 79.91% -5.65 5-8
2014-06-22 @ Seattle Storm L 86-89 1449.40 1447.22 42.46% 57.54% -6.54 5-9
2014-06-24 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 81-70 1442.86 1487.62 36.03% 63.97% +18.87 6-9
2014-06-27 Connecticut Sun W 69-63 1461.73 1482.47 54.91% 45.09% +9.81 7-9
2014-06-29 San Antonio Silver Stars L 65-73 1471.54 1462.97 59.04% 40.96% -14.84 7-10
2014-07-02 Indiana Fever L 77-80 1456.70 1481.35 54.35% 45.65% -8.37 7-11
2014-07-05 @ Atlanta Dream L 73-86 1448.33 1551.78 28.66% 71.34% -9.19 7-12
2014-07-09 @ Chicago Sky W 72-65 1439.14 1470.29 37.86% 62.14% +14.62 8-12
2014-07-12 @ Tulsa Shock W 91-74 1453.76 1451.33 42.50% 57.50% +21.08 9-12
2014-07-15 @ Phoenix Mercury L 78-90 1474.84 1652.95 20.72% 79.28% -6.39 9-13
2014-07-17 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 79-75 1468.45 1554.35 30.77% 69.23% +12.31 10-13
2014-07-23 Connecticut Sun W 89-75 1480.76 1433.01 64.36% 35.64% +11.86 11-13
2014-07-25 Tulsa Shock W 82-77 1492.62 1429.54 66.36% 33.64% +6.68 12-13
2014-07-27 Atlanta Dream W 77-67 1499.30 1563.10 48.73% 51.27% +14.42 13-13
2014-07-29 @ New York Liberty L 76-80 1513.72 1424.09 54.97% 45.03% -9.78 13-14
2014-08-03 @ Chicago Sky L 65-76 1503.94 1436.76 51.76% 48.24% -15.26 13-15
2014-08-05 New York Liberty W 79-46 1488.68 1437.77 64.78% 35.22% +17.99 14-15
2014-08-08 @ Indiana Fever W 74-61 1506.67 1483.62 45.42% 54.58% +17.49 15-15
2014-08-10 @ Connecticut Sun L 81-89 1524.16 1395.48 60.45% 39.55% -15.20 15-16
2014-08-13 Chicago Sky L 69-72 1508.96 1480.68 61.75% 38.25% -9.51 15-17
2014-08-15 @ Connecticut Sun W 71-67 1499.45 1410.68 54.85% 45.15% +8.03 16-17
2014-08-16 New York Liberty L 61-73 1507.48 1394.21 72.48% 27.52% -22.32 16-18

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2014-08-22 Chicago Sky L 77-80 1503.71 1463.43 63.37% 36.63% -9.76 0-1
2014-08-24 @ Chicago Sky W 92-83 1493.95 1473.18 45.10% 54.90% +14.64 1-1
2014-08-26 Chicago Sky L 80-81 1508.59 1458.54 64.67% 35.33% -5.74 1-2
2014-08-22 @ Atlanta Dream W 80-77 1463.43 1503.71 36.63% 63.37% +9.75 1-0
2014-08-24 Atlanta Dream L 83-92 1473.18 1493.95 54.90% 45.10% -14.64 1-1
2014-08-26 @ Atlanta Dream W 81-80 1458.54 1508.59 35.33% 64.67% +5.75 2-1
2014-08-30 @ Indiana Fever L 70-77 1464.29 1503.83 36.73% 63.27% -8.64 2-2
2014-09-01 Indiana Fever W 86-84 1455.65 1512.47 49.73% 50.27% +6.32 3-2
2014-09-03 @ Indiana Fever W 75-62 1461.97 1506.15 36.11% 63.89% +20.48 4-2
2014-09-07 @ Phoenix Mercury L 62-83 1482.45 1738.02 14.34% 85.66% -5.84 4-3
2014-09-09 @ Phoenix Mercury L 68-97 1476.61 1743.86 13.53% 86.47% -6.48 4-4
2014-09-12 Phoenix Mercury L 82-87 1470.13 1750.34 21.47% 78.53% -4.27 4-5
2014-08-21 Washington Mystics W 78-73 1484.38 1485.16 57.73% 42.27% +8.40 1-0
2014-08-23 @ Washington Mystics W 81-76 1492.78 1476.76 44.42% 55.58% +11.05 2-0
2014-08-30 Chicago Sky W 77-70 1503.83 1464.29 63.27% 36.73% +8.64 3-0
2014-09-01 @ Chicago Sky L 84-86 1512.47 1455.65 50.27% 49.73% -6.32 3-1
2014-09-03 Chicago Sky L 62-75 1506.15 1461.97 63.89% 36.11% -20.48 3-2
2014-08-22 @ Phoenix Mercury L 72-75 1530.79 1707.40 20.87% 79.13% -3.21 0-1
2014-08-24 Phoenix Mercury L 68-93 1527.58 1710.62 32.36% 67.64% -14.38 0-2
2014-08-21 San Antonio Silver Stars W 88-84 1652.10 1465.72 80.05% 19.95% +3.55 1-0
2014-08-23 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 94-89 1655.65 1462.17 68.94% 31.06% +6.17 2-0
2014-08-29 @ Phoenix Mercury L 71-85 1661.82 1725.00 33.63% 66.37% -11.18 2-1
2014-08-31 Phoenix Mercury W 82-77 1650.64 1736.18 45.61% 54.39% +10.81 3-1
2014-09-02 @ Phoenix Mercury L 78-96 1661.45 1725.37 33.53% 66.47% -12.65 3-2
2014-08-22 Los Angeles Sparks W 75-72 1707.40 1530.79 79.13% 20.87% +3.22 1-0
2014-08-24 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 93-68 1710.62 1527.58 67.64% 32.36% +14.38 2-0
2014-08-29 Minnesota Lynx W 85-71 1725.00 1661.82 66.37% 33.63% +11.18 3-0
2014-08-31 @ Minnesota Lynx L 77-82 1736.18 1650.64 54.39% 45.61% -10.81 3-1
2014-09-02 Minnesota Lynx W 96-78 1725.37 1661.45 66.47% 33.53% +12.65 4-1
2014-09-07 Chicago Sky W 83-62 1738.02 1482.45 85.66% 14.34% +5.84 5-1
2014-09-09 Chicago Sky W 97-68 1743.86 1476.61 86.47% 13.53% +6.48 6-1
2014-09-12 @ Chicago Sky W 87-82 1750.34 1470.13 78.53% 21.47% +4.27 7-1
2014-08-21 @ Minnesota Lynx L 84-88 1465.72 1652.10 19.95% 80.05% -3.55 0-1
2014-08-23 Minnesota Lynx L 89-94 1462.17 1655.65 31.06% 68.94% -6.17 0-2
2014-08-21 @ Indiana Fever L 73-78 1485.16 1484.38 42.27% 57.73% -8.40 0-1
2014-08-23 Indiana Fever L 76-81 1476.76 1492.78 55.58% 44.42% -11.05 0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-08-12 20.01% Los Angeles Sparks 1506.90 71 @ Minnesota Lynx 1692.66 63
2 2014-08-03 23.79% New York Liberty 1419.85 83 @ Atlanta Dream 1567.18 76
3 2014-08-15 24.22% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1419.42 92 Minnesota Lynx 1672.55 76
4 2014-07-25 24.75% Chicago Sky 1438.28 79 @ Atlanta Dream 1576.48 75
5 2014-07-23 25.31% New York Liberty 1409.00 66 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1542.04 64
6 2014-07-06 26.56% @ New York Liberty 1409.33 87 Minnesota Lynx 1640.99 80
7 2014-06-06 27.00% @ Seattle Storm 1439.86 65 Minnesota Lynx 1667.58 62
8 2014-08-16 27.52% New York Liberty 1394.21 73 @ Washington Mystics 1507.48 61
9 2014-08-13 27.66% @ Atlanta Dream 1497.30 96 Phoenix Mercury 1719.22 82
10 2014-06-15 27.72% Phoenix Mercury 1549.55 80 @ Minnesota Lynx 1661.12 72
11 2014-07-01 28.60% Indiana Fever 1464.56 77 @ Atlanta Dream 1568.57 70
12 2014-08-05 28.75% Tulsa Shock 1425.78 96 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1528.49 90
13 2014-06-27 29.54% @ Seattle Storm 1444.90 81 Minnesota Lynx 1650.90 71
14 2014-07-17 30.77% Washington Mystics 1468.45 79 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1554.35 75
15 2014-06-22 31.24% @ New York Liberty 1375.32 85 Atlanta Dream 1567.31 78
16 2014-07-16 31.42% @ New York Liberty 1400.38 77 Atlanta Dream 1590.93 75
17 2014-06-10 31.50% Seattle Storm 1451.10 80 @ Chicago Sky 1531.07 76
18 2014-05-23 32.98% San Antonio Silver Stars 1462.16 78 @ Phoenix Mercury 1530.41 74
19 2014-05-18 34.73% Phoenix Mercury 1517.43 74 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1572.07 69
20 2014-07-15 34.92% Connecticut Sun 1411.31 86 @ Seattle Storm 1464.50 63
21 2014-07-11 35.15% Seattle Storm 1446.08 88 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1497.50 67
22 2014-08-26 * 35.33% Chicago Sky 1458.54 81 @ Atlanta Dream 1508.59 80
23 2014-08-01 35.69% Connecticut Sun 1406.98 89 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1454.32 79
24 2014-07-01 35.97% Chicago Sky 1476.67 90 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1521.90 83
25 2014-06-24 36.03% Washington Mystics 1442.86 81 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1487.62 70

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-08-17 29.04 @ Connecticut Sun 84 1402.65 39.35% Atlanta Dream 55 1532.75 60.65%
2 2014-07-15 27.75 Connecticut Sun 86 1411.31 34.92% @ Seattle Storm 63 1464.50 65.08%
3 2014-06-07 27.66 @ Atlanta Dream 97 1500.53 49.53% Chicago Sky 59 1558.73 50.47%
4 2014-08-15 26.95 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 92 1419.42 24.22% Minnesota Lynx 76 1672.55 75.78%
5 2014-07-11 26.42 Seattle Storm 88 1446.08 35.15% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 67 1497.50 64.85%
6 2014-06-14 26.34 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 101 1440.34 42.99% Los Angeles Sparks 74 1544.35 57.01%
7 2014-08-07 25.07 @ Seattle Storm 88 1395.50 36.95% Atlanta Dream 68 1543.31 63.05%
8 2014-05-16 24.69 New York Liberty 75 1415.59 39.41% @ Connecticut Sun 54 1435.33 60.59%
9 2014-08-13 24.06 @ Atlanta Dream 96 1497.30 27.66% Phoenix Mercury 82 1719.22 72.34%
10 2014-05-23 22.48 Washington Mystics 79 1466.18 36.78% @ Indiana Fever 63 1505.30 63.22%
11 2014-08-16 22.32 New York Liberty 73 1394.21 27.52% @ Washington Mystics 61 1507.48 72.48%
12 2014-06-07 21.62 @ Connecticut Sun 88 1401.92 41.03% Indiana Fever 71 1519.87 58.97%
13 2014-07-12 21.08 Washington Mystics 91 1453.76 42.50% @ Tulsa Shock 74 1451.33 57.50%
14 2014-06-17 21.06 @ Connecticut Sun 89 1449.14 49.49% Indiana Fever 67 1507.64 50.51%
15 2014-06-06 20.84 Los Angeles Sparks 102 1544.72 37.36% @ Chicago Sky 88 1579.57 62.64%
16 2014-06-06 20.60 @ Tulsa Shock 94 1432.74 42.09% Phoenix Mercury 78 1543.10 57.91%
17 2014-06-08 20.51 @ New York Liberty 81 1402.07 44.04% Washington Mystics 64 1498.63 55.96%
18 2014-09-03 * 20.48 Chicago Sky 75 1461.97 36.11% @ Indiana Fever 62 1506.15 63.89%
19 2014-07-13 20.39 Los Angeles Sparks 90 1521.68 55.02% @ Connecticut Sun 64 1431.70 44.98%
20 2014-08-12 20.11 Los Angeles Sparks 71 1506.90 20.01% @ Minnesota Lynx 63 1692.66 79.99%
21 2014-06-27 19.81 @ Seattle Storm 81 1444.90 29.54% Minnesota Lynx 71 1650.90 70.46%
22 2014-08-17 19.35 San Antonio Silver Stars 84 1446.37 37.15% @ Chicago Sky 72 1482.78 62.85%
23 2014-07-01 19.26 @ New York Liberty 90 1390.07 45.83% Tulsa Shock 74 1474.08 54.17%
24 2014-08-05 19.08 Chicago Sky 82 1452.02 46.35% @ Connecticut Sun 66 1422.48 53.65%
25 2014-06-24 18.87 Washington Mystics 81 1442.86 36.03% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 70 1487.62 63.97%