2006 WNBA Season
238 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Detroit Shock
2nd Title
Last Title: 2003
Runner-Up
Sacramento Monarchs
2
Last Appearance: 2005
Biggest Overachiever
Los Angeles Sparks
5.59 wins above expected
25 wins · 19.41 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Minnesota Lynx
4.10 wins below expected
10 wins · 14.10 expected wins
Final Standings
Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut Sun League | 26 | 8 | .765 | — | 78.9 | 71.1 | +7.8 | 23.63 | +2.37 |
| 2 | Detroit Shock Playoffs | 23 | 11 | .676 | 3 | 74.3 | 70.1 | +4.2 | 18.97 | +4.03 |
| 3 | Indiana Fever Playoffs | 21 | 13 | .618 | 5 | 71.6 | 68.1 | +3.5 | 19.83 | +1.17 |
| 4 | Washington Mystics Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 8 | 80.8 | 78.1 | +2.6 | 17.95 | +0.05 |
| 5 | Charlotte Sting | 11 | 23 | .324 | 15 | 72.2 | 75.6 | -3.4 | 12.67 | -1.67 |
| 6 | New York Liberty | 11 | 23 | .324 | 15 | 69.8 | 78.1 | -8.4 | 13.60 | -2.60 |
| 7 | Chicago Sky | 5 | 29 | .147 | 21 | 68.3 | 79.0 | -10.7 | 8.07 | -3.07 |
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Sparks League | 25 | 9 | .735 | — | 75.7 | 72.8 | +2.9 | 19.41 | +5.59 |
| 2 | Sacramento Monarchs Playoffs | 21 | 13 | .618 | 4 | 74.6 | 70.7 | +3.9 | 21.22 | -0.22 |
| 3 | Houston Comets Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 7 | 73.7 | 72.0 | +1.7 | 18.81 | -0.81 |
| 4 | Seattle Storm Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 7 | 77.7 | 75.7 | +2.0 | 18.85 | -0.85 |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury | 18 | 16 | .529 | 7 | 87.1 | 84.7 | +2.4 | 16.91 | +1.09 |
| 6 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 13 | 21 | .382 | 12 | 74.2 | 76.6 | -2.4 | 13.97 | -0.97 |
| 7 | Minnesota Lynx | 10 | 24 | .294 | 15 | 74.2 | 80.4 | -6.2 | 14.10 | -4.10 |
Playoff Bracket
Eastern Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
Western Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
WNBA Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | Eastern | 1664 | 26 | 23.63 | +2.37 | 87.02% | 15 | 19 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 28 | 34 | |
| Sacramento Monarchs | Western | 1612 | 21 | 21.22 | -0.22 | 53.69% | 11 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 31 | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | Western | 1595 | 25 | 19.41 | +5.59 | 98.77% | 9 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 30 | |
| Detroit Shock | Eastern | 1580 | 23 | 18.97 | +4.03 | 95.48% | 8 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 28 | |
| Indiana Fever | Eastern | 1574 | 21 | 19.83 | +1.17 | 72.73% | 10 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 29 | |
| Phoenix Mercury | Western | 1555 | 18 | 16.91 | +1.09 | 71.45% | 7 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 29 | |
| Seattle Storm | Western | 1530 | 18 | 18.85 | -0.85 | 44.88% | 8 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 28 | |
| Houston Comets | Western | 1523 | 18 | 18.81 | -0.81 | 45.70% | 9 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 29 | |
| Washington Mystics | Eastern | 1517 | 18 | 17.95 | +0.05 | 58.02% | 8 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 27 | |
| Charlotte Sting | Eastern | 1414 | 11 | 12.67 | -1.67 | 33.42% | 3 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 23 | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | Western | 1409 | 13 | 13.97 | -0.97 | 43.76% | 5 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 24 | |
| New York Liberty | Eastern | 1403 | 11 | 13.60 | -2.60 | 21.93% | 4 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 18 | 25 | |
| Minnesota Lynx | Western | 1371 | 10 | 14.10 | -4.10 | 9.28% | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 24 | |
| Chicago Sky | Eastern | 1253 | 5 | 8.07 | -3.07 | 13.68% | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 17 |
Head-to-Head
Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.
Within Eastern
| Team | Sting | Sky | Sun | Shock | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | — |
1-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
2-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
— |
0-3
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-4
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.6 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
4-0
(3.0 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.6 exp.)
|
— |
0-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
| Detroit Shock |
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.2 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
3-1
(3.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
— |
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
— |
Eastern vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Comets | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Monarchs | Stars | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting |
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Detroit Shock |
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
Within Western
| Team | Comets | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Monarchs | Stars | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | — |
0-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
3-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
| Sacramento Monarchs |
1-3
(2.3 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.6 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
3-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
0-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
— |
Western vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Sting | Sky | Sun | Shock | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets |
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Sacramento Monarchs |
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
Scoreline Distribution
Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | 0.42% | 0.21% | — | — | 0.63% |
| 50–59 | — | 0.42% | 2.73% | 2.10% | 1.26% | — | — | 6.51% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.73% | 4.62% | 12.18% | 3.99% | 1.68% | — | 25.21% |
| 70–79 | 0.42% | 2.10% | 12.18% | 5.46% | 8.61% | 3.57% | 0.42% | 32.77% |
| 80–89 | 0.21% | 1.26% | 3.99% | 8.61% | 4.62% | 3.78% | 0.42% | 22.90% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 1.68% | 3.57% | 3.78% | 1.68% | — | 10.71% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | 0.42% | 0.42% | — | 0.42% | 1.26% |
| Total | 0.63% | 6.51% | 25.21% | 32.77% | 22.90% | 10.71% | 1.26% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 75.23 | 75.23 | +0.00 |
| SD | 11.43 | 11.43 | 14.24 |
| CV | 0.15 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 114 | 114 | +43 |
| Min | 44 | 44 | -43 |
Games Played: 238
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 11.76% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 26.47% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 8.82% | 29.41% | 26.47% | 23.53% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Charlotte Sting — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 72.24 | 75.62 | -3.38 |
| SD | 7.83 | 12.68 | 12.72 |
| CV | 0.11 | 0.17 | — |
| Max | 86 | 112 | +27 |
| Min | 57 | 57 | -28 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 50–59 | — | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 5.88% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 20.59% | 8.82% | — | 41.18% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 11.76% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | — | 17.65% | 29.41% | 41.18% | 11.76% | — | 100% |
Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 68.29 | 79.03 | -10.74 |
| SD | 9.78 | 7.83 | 10.31 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.10 | — |
| Max | 83 | 92 | +14 |
| Min | 48 | 64 | -34 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 23.53% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 41.18% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 8.82% | 38.24% | 32.35% | 17.65% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 78.91 | 71.09 | +7.82 |
| SD | 8.54 | 9.54 | 12.00 |
| CV | 0.11 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 92 | 91 | +26 |
| Min | 63 | 52 | -23 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 60–69 | — | 5.88% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | 5.88% | — | 29.41% |
| 70–79 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 20.59% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 44.12% |
| 80–89 | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 5.88% | 11.76% | 38.24% | 20.59% | 11.76% | 11.76% | — | 100% |
Detroit Shock — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 74.32 | 70.12 | +4.21 |
| SD | 9.60 | 12.29 | 14.39 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.18 | — |
| Max | 92 | 94 | +34 |
| Min | 56 | 48 | -33 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 70–79 | — | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | — | 26.47% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | — | 5.88% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% |
| Total | — | 11.76% | 32.35% | 38.24% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Houston Comets — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 73.74 | 72.03 | +1.71 |
| SD | 13.93 | 12.50 | 14.83 |
| CV | 0.19 | 0.17 | — |
| Max | 110 | 111 | +35 |
| Min | 52 | 55 | -20 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 60–69 | — | 11.76% | 8.82% | 26.47% | 2.94% | — | — | 50.00% |
| 70–79 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.94% | 14.71% | 26.47% | 44.12% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 71.62 | 68.12 | +3.50 |
| SD | 9.28 | 9.87 | 12.04 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 92 | 92 | +33 |
| Min | 59 | 44 | -21 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 60–69 | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 20.59% |
| 70–79 | — | 5.88% | 20.59% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 38.24% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | — | 14.71% | 29.41% | 26.47% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 75.74 | 72.82 | +2.91 |
| SD | 10.77 | 13.28 | 14.29 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.18 | — |
| Max | 105 | 114 | +25 |
| Min | 56 | 52 | -43 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 60–69 | — | — | — | 17.65% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 32.35% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | 26.47% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 17.65% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | 8.82% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | — | — | 11.76% | 38.24% | 29.41% | 20.59% | — | 100% |
Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 74.21 | 80.44 | -6.24 |
| SD | 12.39 | 8.56 | 15.15 |
| CV | 0.17 | 0.11 | — |
| Max | 114 | 99 | +43 |
| Min | 55 | 62 | -31 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 50–59 | — | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 26.47% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 11.76% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | 38.24% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 11.76% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | — | 26.47% | 29.41% | 26.47% | 17.65% | — | 100% |
New York Liberty — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 69.76 | 78.12 | -8.35 |
| SD | 11.97 | 10.15 | 14.17 |
| CV | 0.17 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 93 | 97 | +12 |
| Min | 44 | 62 | -35 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 70–79 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | 17.65% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 8.82% | 8.82% | 17.65% | — | 35.29% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 2.94% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | 38.24% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 5.88% |
| Total | — | — | 2.94% | 29.41% | 35.29% | 26.47% | 5.88% | 100% |
Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 87.06 | 84.68 | +2.38 |
| SD | 9.95 | 10.60 | 12.56 |
| CV | 0.11 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 112 | 110 | +31 |
| Min | 65 | 68 | -27 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 23.53% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 41.18% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | — | 5.88% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | — | 8.82% | 44.12% | 29.41% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | 100% |
Sacramento Monarchs — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 74.62 | 70.71 | +3.91 |
| SD | 11.37 | 9.89 | 14.59 |
| CV | 0.15 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 105 | 95 | +33 |
| Min | 53 | 57 | -20 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 14.71% | 11.76% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 14.71% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | — | 14.71% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 2.94% | 26.47% | 29.41% | 29.41% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 74.21 | 76.56 | -2.35 |
| SD | 11.24 | 11.46 | 13.23 |
| CV | 0.15 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 98 | 105 | +30 |
| Min | 53 | 57 | -30 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 8.82% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 80–89 | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 8.82% | 17.65% | 35.29% | 35.29% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 77.71 | 75.74 | +1.97 |
| SD | 10.53 | 10.28 | 14.24 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 97 | 92 | +35 |
| Min | 59 | 53 | -25 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | — | — | 11.76% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 20.59% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 17.65% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | 32.35% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 5.88% | 14.71% | — | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | — | 11.76% | 50.00% | 26.47% | 11.76% | — | 100% |
Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 80.79 | 78.15 | +2.65 |
| SD | 9.80 | 8.71 | 12.80 |
| CV | 0.12 | 0.11 | — |
| Max | 96 | 99 | +35 |
| Min | 60 | 60 | -14 |
Games Played: 34
Actual Wins vs. Point Differential
Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Sparks | 25 | 19.41 | +5.59 |
| 2 | Detroit Shock | 23 | 18.97 | +4.03 |
| 3 | Connecticut Sun | 26 | 23.63 | +2.37 |
| 4 | Indiana Fever | 21 | 19.83 | +1.17 |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury | 18 | 16.91 | +1.09 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx | 10 | 14.10 | -4.10 |
| 2 | Chicago Sky | 5 | 8.07 | -3.07 |
| 3 | New York Liberty | 11 | 13.60 | -2.60 |
| 4 | Charlotte Sting | 11 | 12.67 | -1.67 |
| 5 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 13 | 13.97 | -0.97 |
Top Streaks
The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Sparks | 8 | Jun 7 – Jun 25 | 1 in 94 |
| 2 | Charlotte Sting | 4 | Jul 14 – Jul 20 | 1 in 78 |
| 3 | Connecticut Sun | 12 | Jul 16 – Aug 9 | 1 in 49 |
| 4 | Phoenix Mercury | 7 | Aug 1 – Aug 13 | 1 in 43 |
| 5 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 4 | Jun 30 – Jul 7 | 1 in 31 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Liberty | 11 | Jun 27 – Jul 24 | 1 in 454 |
| 2 | Minnesota Lynx | 6 | Jul 27 – Aug 4 | 1 in 42 |
| 3 | Chicago Sky | 13 | May 23 – Jun 25 | 1 in 38 |
| 4 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 6 | Jul 30 – Aug 8 | 1 in 17 |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury | 4 | May 20 – Jun 2 | 1 in 15 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 73.37% | 18.28% | 6.04% | 1.99% | 0.29% | 0.03% | — |
| Indiana Fever | 13.50% | 35.71% | 27.68% | 17.41% | 4.59% | 1.10% | 0.01% |
| Detroit Shock | 8.12% | 26.58% | 31.22% | 25.17% | 6.99% | 1.84% | 0.08% |
| Washington Mystics | 4.77% | 17.34% | 27.76% | 33.43% | 12.61% | 3.80% | 0.29% |
| New York Liberty | 0.15% | 1.33% | 4.77% | 13.08% | 41.86% | 32.49% | 6.32% |
| Charlotte Sting | 0.09% | 0.76% | 2.50% | 8.73% | 30.79% | 47.82% | 9.31% |
| Chicago Sky | — | — | 0.03% | 0.19% | 2.87% | 12.92% | 83.99% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Monarchs | 45.01% | 24.35% | 15.33% | 9.17% | 4.31% | 1.52% | 0.31% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 19.59% | 23.41% | 20.79% | 16.85% | 11.86% | 5.48% | 2.02% |
| Seattle Storm | 14.71% | 19.91% | 21.14% | 19.41% | 14.17% | 7.34% | 3.32% |
| Houston Comets | 14.79% | 19.02% | 21.01% | 19.23% | 14.90% | 7.96% | 3.09% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 4.83% | 9.85% | 13.89% | 19.55% | 24.21% | 18.18% | 9.49% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.54% | 1.81% | 4.16% | 7.98% | 14.98% | 30.79% | 39.74% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.53% | 1.65% | 3.68% | 7.81% | 15.57% | 28.73% | 42.03% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 53.84% | 20.36% | 10.18% | 6.63% | 3.88% | 2.37% | 1.29% | 0.75% | 0.46% | 0.20% | 0.03% | 0.01% | — | — |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 15.83% | 22.05% | 17.61% | 13.18% | 10.36% | 7.50% | 5.46% | 3.73% | 2.34% | 1.18% | 0.49% | 0.18% | 0.08% | 0.01% |
| Indiana Fever | 8.14% | 12.80% | 13.65% | 13.60% | 12.37% | 11.02% | 9.33% | 7.36% | 5.41% | 3.24% | 1.84% | 0.92% | 0.31% | 0.01% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 5.97% | 10.94% | 13.03% | 12.70% | 12.93% | 11.33% | 10.37% | 8.43% | 6.16% | 4.02% | 2.45% | 1.22% | 0.42% | 0.03% |
| Detroit Shock | 4.23% | 8.54% | 10.75% | 12.00% | 12.26% | 12.12% | 11.74% | 10.17% | 7.73% | 5.46% | 2.76% | 1.60% | 0.60% | 0.04% |
| Seattle Storm | 4.27% | 8.31% | 10.84% | 11.45% | 12.17% | 12.19% | 11.23% | 10.27% | 8.33% | 4.76% | 3.30% | 1.93% | 0.89% | 0.06% |
| Houston Comets | 4.52% | 8.16% | 10.41% | 11.63% | 11.49% | 12.40% | 11.24% | 9.83% | 8.13% | 5.83% | 3.78% | 1.86% | 0.66% | 0.06% |
| Washington Mystics | 2.12% | 5.21% | 6.95% | 8.67% | 10.62% | 11.43% | 12.60% | 12.23% | 11.55% | 8.58% | 5.45% | 2.91% | 1.44% | 0.24% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.94% | 2.81% | 4.63% | 6.41% | 7.88% | 9.89% | 11.48% | 12.59% | 13.38% | 12.15% | 9.01% | 5.53% | 2.89% | 0.41% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.03% | 0.31% | 0.70% | 1.43% | 2.05% | 3.40% | 4.66% | 7.47% | 10.18% | 15.26% | 17.36% | 18.40% | 15.34% | 3.41% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.06% | 0.25% | 0.61% | 1.15% | 1.93% | 2.94% | 4.79% | 6.92% | 10.84% | 14.04% | 17.85% | 18.49% | 16.64% | 3.49% |
| New York Liberty | 0.04% | 0.21% | 0.40% | 0.76% | 1.39% | 2.20% | 3.58% | 6.35% | 8.96% | 14.35% | 17.60% | 20.35% | 18.67% | 5.14% |
| Charlotte Sting | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.24% | 0.39% | 0.67% | 1.20% | 2.21% | 3.85% | 6.41% | 10.18% | 16.21% | 21.72% | 28.80% | 8.06% |
| Chicago Sky | — | — | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.75% | 1.87% | 4.88% | 13.26% | 79.04% |
Win Totals in Context
How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 73.37% | 18.28% | 6.04% | 1.99% | 0.32% |
| Indiana Fever | 13.50% | 35.71% | 27.68% | 17.41% | 5.70% |
| Detroit Shock | 8.12% | 26.58% | 31.22% | 25.17% | 8.91% |
| Washington Mystics | 4.77% | 17.34% | 27.76% | 33.43% | 16.70% |
| New York Liberty | 0.15% | 1.33% | 4.77% | 13.08% | 80.67% |
| Charlotte Sting | 0.09% | 0.76% | 2.50% | 8.73% | 87.92% |
| Chicago Sky | — | — | 0.03% | 0.19% | 99.78% |
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Monarchs | 45.01% | 24.35% | 15.33% | 9.17% | 6.14% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 19.59% | 23.41% | 20.79% | 16.85% | 19.36% |
| Houston Comets | 14.79% | 19.02% | 21.01% | 19.23% | 25.95% |
| Seattle Storm | 14.71% | 19.91% | 21.14% | 19.41% | 24.83% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 4.83% | 9.85% | 13.89% | 19.55% | 51.88% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.54% | 1.81% | 4.16% | 7.98% | 85.51% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.53% | 1.65% | 3.68% | 7.81% | 86.33% |
Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed
The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 99.68% | 76.65% | 54.09% | 37.41% |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 93.86% | 62.37% | 38.22% | 17.88% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 80.64% | 47.89% | 25.71% | 11.03% |
| Indiana Fever | 94.30% | 48.91% | 19.52% | 9.60% |
| Detroit Shock | 91.09% | 43.83% | 17.91% | 9.26% |
| Seattle Storm | 75.17% | 32.93% | 13.76% | 4.33% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 48.12% | 22.08% | 9.78% | 3.59% |
| Houston Comets | 74.05% | 30.01% | 11.48% | 3.44% |
| Washington Mystics | 83.30% | 26.40% | 7.84% | 3.15% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 13.67% | 2.53% | 0.70% | 0.12% |
| New York Liberty | 19.33% | 2.50% | 0.38% | 0.10% |
| Charlotte Sting | 12.08% | 1.71% | 0.26% | 0.06% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 14.49% | 2.19% | 0.35% | 0.03% |
| Chicago Sky | 0.22% | — | — | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charlotte Sting | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | 0.73% | 0.27% | 0.53% | 0.06% | 0.12% | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 6.49% | 0.15% | 19.40% | 14.55% | 10.19% | 25.87% | |
| Detroit Shock | 1.31% | 0.03% | 8.05% | 19.54% | 2.09% | 12.81% | |
| Indiana Fever | 1.93% | 0.03% | 6.57% | 19.32% | 3.36% | 17.70% | |
| New York Liberty | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.86% | 0.49% | 0.69% | 0.40% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.59% | 6.82% | 7.78% | 10.08% | 1.13% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | 7.16% | 1.86% | 4.25% | 6.65% | 1.58% | 8.51% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 13.56% | 2.72% | 6.75% | 9.86% | 2.42% | 12.58% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.50% | 0.44% | 0.16% | 0.61% | 0.06% | 0.42% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 4.77% | 4.90% | 0.85% | 5.94% | 0.61% | 5.01% | |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 15.46% | 11.98% | 4.66% | 10.36% | 4.72% | 15.19% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.52% | 0.44% | 0.14% | 0.15% | 0.75% | 0.53% | |
| Seattle Storm | 9.23% | 7.83% | 2.07% | 4.37% | 7.68% | 1.75% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charlotte Sting | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | 0.07% | 0.06% | 0.05% | 0.08% | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.66% | 19.01% | 22.46% | 1.08% | 10.88% | |
| Detroit Shock | 0.23% | 8.96% | 4.59% | 0.38% | 3.75% | |
| Indiana Fever | 0.47% | 10.31% | 4.51% | 0.46% | 3.77% | |
| New York Liberty | 0.01% | 0.09% | 0.05% | 0.15% | 0.08% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.08% | 3.13% | 2.29% | 2.14% | 0.20% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | 2.87% | 0.21% | 1.36% | 4.65% | 0.22% | 2.17% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 4.91% | 0.49% | 3.51% | 10.55% | 0.44% | 5.81% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.08% | 0.09% | 0.04% | 0.10% | 0.04% | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 1.93% | 2.45% | 0.13% | 3.48% | 0.10% | 1.69% | |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 8.82% | 12.90% | 0.68% | 5.66% | 0.82% | 9.34% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.13% | 0.12% | 0.03% | 0.10% | 0.20% | 0.12% | |
| Seattle Storm | 2.66% | 3.75% | 0.30% | 1.63% | 5.17% | 0.25% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charlotte Sting | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Houston Comets | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.01% | |||||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 4.68% | 9.42% | 0.23% | 3.91% | 13.08% | 0.31% | 5.78% | ||||||
| Detroit Shock | 1.39% | 2.20% | 0.03% | 1.06% | 2.88% | 0.10% | 1.60% | ||||||
| Houston Comets | 0.03% | 1.22% | 0.78% | 1.00% | 0.01% | 0.40% | |||||||
| Indiana Fever | 1.46% | 2.23% | 0.05% | 0.92% | 3.32% | 0.14% | 1.48% | ||||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.05% | 4.50% | 2.50% | 2.66% | 0.04% | 1.28% | |||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | ||||||||||
| New York Liberty | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.03% | ||||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.05% | 1.61% | 0.73% | 0.73% | 0.03% | 0.44% | |||||||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 0.06% | 7.71% | 3.69% | 4.31% | 0.16% | 1.95% | |||||||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.02% | 0.07% | 0.03% | ||||||||||
| Seattle Storm | 0.01% | 1.61% | 0.87% | 1.21% | 0.04% | 0.59% | |||||||
| Washington Mystics | 0.46% | 0.80% | 0.01% | 0.29% | 1.03% | 0.03% | 0.53% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Monarchs | 71.44% | 39.49% | 18.22% | Eliminated in Finals |
| Detroit Shock | 56.90% | 21.15% | 10.75% | Won Finals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 79.82% | |||
| Detroit Shock | 56.90% | |||
| Indiana Fever | 43.10% | |||
| Washington Mystics | 20.18% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Sacramento Monarchs | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | 28.56% | |||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 67.53% | |||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 71.44% | |||
| Seattle Storm | 32.47% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 31.84% | 24.39% | ||
| Detroit Shock | 13.60% | 7.55% | ||
| Indiana Fever | 9.99% | 5.64% | ||
| Washington Mystics | 3.91% | 3.08% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Sacramento Monarchs | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | 6.57% | 4.94% | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 12.47% | 24.66% | ||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 23.83% | 15.66% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 4.58% | 7.29% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Houston Comets | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Sacramento Monarchs | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 5.07% | 13.53% | 13.75% | 5.28% | ||||
| Detroit Shock | 1.56% | 3.62% | 3.90% | 1.67% | ||||
| Houston Comets | 1.40% | 0.93% | 0.62% | 0.25% | ||||
| Indiana Fever | 1.23% | 2.76% | 2.75% | 1.15% | ||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 7.04% | 4.24% | 3.35% | 1.78% | ||||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 8.60% | 4.40% | 3.18% | 2.04% | ||||
| Seattle Storm | 1.56% | 0.83% | 0.59% | 0.44% | ||||
| Washington Mystics | 0.45% | 0.81% | 0.87% | 0.35% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006-05-20 | Chicago Sky | L 82-83 | 1437.16 | 1350.00 | 71.67% | 28.33% | -5.00 | 0-1 |
| 2006-05-23 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 65-72 | 1432.16 | 1496.43 | 51.41% | 48.59% | -9.50 | 0-2 |
| 2006-05-25 | Washington Mystics | W 73-63 | 1422.66 | 1512.55 | 47.73% | 52.27% | +11.54 | 1-2 |
| 2006-06-01 | Connecticut Sun | L 65-89 | 1434.20 | 1596.54 | 37.57% | 62.43% | -12.85 | 1-3 |
| 2006-06-03 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 71-89 | 1421.35 | 1609.39 | 18.11% | 81.89% | -5.36 | 1-4 |
| 2006-06-09 | Indiana Fever | W 70-59 | 1415.99 | 1558.24 | 40.32% | 59.68% | +13.82 | 2-4 |
| 2006-06-13 | @ Washington Mystics | L 70-87 | 1429.81 | 1519.44 | 28.04% | 71.96% | -8.07 | 2-5 |
| 2006-06-15 | Washington Mystics | L 77-96 | 1421.74 | 1527.51 | 45.45% | 54.55% | -13.83 | 2-6 |
| 2006-06-18 | @ Indiana Fever | L 85-92 | 1407.91 | 1546.52 | 22.72% | 77.28% | -4.20 | 2-7 |
| 2006-06-20 | Connecticut Sun | L 66-90 | 1403.71 | 1613.77 | 31.37% | 68.63% | -10.73 | 2-8 |
| 2006-06-22 | Detroit Shock | L 74-86 | 1392.98 | 1511.61 | 43.63% | 56.37% | -10.54 | 2-9 |
| 2006-06-23 | @ Houston Comets | L 70-85 | 1382.44 | 1551.34 | 19.80% | 80.20% | -5.36 | 2-10 |
| 2006-06-25 | @ Detroit Shock | L 61-71 | 1377.08 | 1529.34 | 21.37% | 78.63% | -4.71 | 2-11 |
| 2006-06-27 | @ New York Liberty | W 73-67 | 1372.37 | 1464.16 | 27.79% | 72.21% | +12.34 | 3-11 |
| 2006-06-29 | @ Chicago Sky | L 69-75 | 1384.71 | 1284.35 | 53.77% | 46.23% | -9.19 | 3-12 |
| 2006-07-01 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 57-65 | 1375.52 | 1566.28 | 33.81% | 66.19% | -6.68 | 3-13 |
| 2006-07-06 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 71-76 | 1368.84 | 1631.88 | 12.56% | 87.44% | -1.96 | 3-14 |
| 2006-07-08 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 64-66 | 1366.88 | 1567.10 | 17.09% | 82.91% | -1.68 | 3-15 |
| 2006-07-09 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 61-70 | 1365.20 | 1588.60 | 15.28% | 84.72% | -3.20 | 3-16 |
| 2006-07-14 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 81-65 | 1362.00 | 1481.22 | 43.54% | 56.46% | +15.76 | 4-16 |
| 2006-07-15 | Indiana Fever | W 75-65 | 1377.76 | 1566.04 | 34.13% | 65.87% | +14.54 | 5-16 |
| 2006-07-19 | @ Detroit Shock | W 73-67 | 1392.30 | 1555.38 | 20.34% | 79.66% | +13.62 | 6-16 |
| 2006-07-20 | Seattle Storm | W 86-72 | 1405.92 | 1533.07 | 42.42% | 57.58% | +15.04 | 7-16 |
| 2006-07-22 | Phoenix Mercury | L 74-78 | 1420.96 | 1510.77 | 47.74% | 52.26% | -6.67 | 7-17 |
| 2006-07-25 | Minnesota Lynx | L 62-70 | 1414.29 | 1418.74 | 59.89% | 40.11% | -11.82 | 7-18 |
| 2006-07-27 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 81-68 | 1402.47 | 1430.56 | 35.70% | 64.30% | +16.18 | 8-18 |
| 2006-07-29 | New York Liberty | L 80-85 | 1418.65 | 1370.12 | 66.95% | 33.05% | -10.45 | 8-19 |
| 2006-07-30 | @ Washington Mystics | L 73-78 | 1408.20 | 1508.93 | 26.77% | 73.23% | -4.18 | 8-20 |
| 2006-08-01 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 68-65 | 1404.02 | 1439.90 | 34.68% | 65.32% | +7.90 | 9-20 |
| 2006-08-03 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 84-112 | 1411.92 | 1502.42 | 27.94% | 72.06% | -10.32 | 9-21 |
| 2006-08-05 | @ Seattle Storm | L 81-87 | 1401.60 | 1545.70 | 22.17% | 77.83% | -3.79 | 9-22 |
| 2006-08-08 | Houston Comets | W 68-57 | 1397.81 | 1527.33 | 42.09% | 57.91% | +13.40 | 10-22 |
| 2006-08-11 | @ New York Liberty | L 62-64 | 1411.21 | 1384.56 | 43.22% | 56.78% | -4.26 | 10-23 |
| 2006-08-12 | Chicago Sky | W 84-57 | 1406.95 | 1243.35 | 79.71% | 20.29% | +7.36 | 11-23 |
| 2006-05-20 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 83-82 | 1350.00 | 1437.16 | 28.33% | 71.67% | +5.00 | 1-0 |
| 2006-05-23 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 63-76 | 1355.00 | 1613.26 | 25.73% | 74.27% | -6.47 | 1-1 |
| 2006-05-26 | Indiana Fever | L 60-75 | 1348.53 | 1549.01 | 32.57% | 67.43% | -8.81 | 1-2 |
| 2006-05-30 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 55-64 | 1339.72 | 1516.46 | 35.64% | 64.36% | -7.46 | 1-3 |
| 2006-06-02 | @ Houston Comets | L 60-71 | 1332.26 | 1559.89 | 14.97% | 85.03% | -3.47 | 1-4 |
| 2006-06-04 | Detroit Shock | L 66-81 | 1328.79 | 1496.79 | 36.81% | 63.19% | -9.95 | 1-5 |
| 2006-06-07 | @ Seattle Storm | L 73-86 | 1318.84 | 1534.43 | 15.88% | 84.12% | -3.99 | 1-6 |
| 2006-06-09 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 65-73 | 1314.85 | 1499.65 | 18.39% | 81.61% | -3.63 | 1-7 |
| 2006-06-10 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 70-80 | 1311.22 | 1585.54 | 11.86% | 88.14% | -2.62 | 1-8 |
| 2006-06-15 | Seattle Storm | L 61-74 | 1308.60 | 1538.50 | 28.97% | 71.03% | -7.29 | 1-9 |
| 2006-06-17 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 65-69 | 1301.31 | 1451.25 | 39.25% | 60.75% | -5.48 | 1-10 |
| 2006-06-21 | @ Indiana Fever | L 55-77 | 1295.83 | 1550.71 | 13.08% | 86.92% | -4.28 | 1-11 |
| 2006-06-23 | Connecticut Sun | L 79-84 | 1291.55 | 1630.78 | 17.85% | 82.15% | -2.79 | 1-12 |
| 2006-06-25 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 77-90 | 1288.76 | 1483.73 | 17.53% | 82.47% | -4.41 | 1-13 |
| 2006-06-29 | Charlotte Sting | W 75-69 | 1284.35 | 1384.71 | 46.23% | 53.77% | +9.19 | 2-13 |
| 2006-07-01 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 57-69 | 1293.54 | 1442.46 | 21.69% | 78.31% | -5.24 | 2-14 |
| 2006-07-07 | New York Liberty | W 78-73 | 1288.30 | 1422.11 | 41.49% | 58.51% | +9.13 | 3-14 |
| 2006-07-09 | @ Washington Mystics | L 83-89 | 1297.43 | 1502.28 | 16.72% | 83.28% | -2.86 | 3-15 |
| 2006-07-14 | Houston Comets | L 77-82 | 1294.57 | 1536.87 | 27.52% | 72.48% | -4.29 | 3-16 |
| 2006-07-16 | Washington Mystics | L 75-83 | 1290.28 | 1505.13 | 30.78% | 69.22% | -6.08 | 3-17 |
| 2006-07-19 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 82-90 | 1284.20 | 1436.47 | 21.37% | 78.63% | -4.22 | 3-18 |
| 2006-07-20 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 72-86 | 1279.98 | 1640.14 | 7.59% | 92.41% | -1.98 | 3-19 |
| 2006-07-22 | @ Detroit Shock | L 70-89 | 1278.00 | 1553.99 | 11.76% | 88.24% | -3.58 | 3-20 |
| 2006-07-25 | New York Liberty | L 72-79 | 1274.42 | 1361.22 | 48.17% | 51.83% | -8.90 | 3-21 |
| 2006-07-27 | @ Washington Mystics | L 74-92 | 1265.52 | 1491.58 | 15.09% | 84.91% | -4.46 | 3-22 |
| 2006-07-28 | Minnesota Lynx | W 79-65 | 1261.06 | 1414.38 | 38.79% | 61.21% | +15.98 | 4-22 |
| 2006-07-30 | Indiana Fever | L 64-69 | 1277.04 | 1553.96 | 23.73% | 76.27% | -3.70 | 4-23 |
| 2006-08-01 | Phoenix Mercury | L 70-90 | 1273.34 | 1493.00 | 30.20% | 69.80% | -9.43 | 4-24 |
| 2006-08-04 | Detroit Shock | L 49-76 | 1263.91 | 1562.06 | 21.59% | 78.41% | -7.83 | 4-25 |
| 2006-08-05 | @ New York Liberty | L 69-80 | 1256.08 | 1399.41 | 22.24% | 77.76% | -5.15 | 4-26 |
| 2006-08-08 | Connecticut Sun | L 59-85 | 1250.93 | 1694.27 | 10.66% | 89.34% | -3.79 | 4-27 |
| 2006-08-10 | @ Detroit Shock | L 48-82 | 1247.14 | 1568.45 | 9.31% | 90.69% | -3.79 | 4-28 |
| 2006-08-12 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 57-84 | 1243.35 | 1406.95 | 20.29% | 79.71% | -7.36 | 4-29 |
| 2006-08-13 | @ Indiana Fever | W 80-73 | 1235.99 | 1590.90 | 7.80% | 92.20% | +17.03 | 5-29 |
| 2006-05-20 | New York Liberty | W 91-74 | 1587.96 | 1507.24 | 70.91% | 29.09% | +8.37 | 1-0 |
| 2006-05-23 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 81-69 | 1596.33 | 1478.16 | 56.31% | 43.69% | +10.57 | 2-0 |
| 2006-05-27 | Detroit Shock | L 73-77 | 1606.90 | 1497.51 | 74.20% | 25.80% | -10.36 | 2-1 |
| 2006-06-01 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 89-65 | 1596.54 | 1434.20 | 62.43% | 37.57% | +12.85 | 3-1 |
| 2006-06-03 | Charlotte Sting | W 89-71 | 1609.39 | 1421.35 | 81.89% | 18.11% | +5.36 | 4-1 |
| 2006-06-07 | @ New York Liberty | W 75-60 | 1614.75 | 1480.13 | 58.62% | 41.38% | +11.18 | 5-1 |
| 2006-06-09 | Seattle Storm | W 85-81 | 1625.93 | 1538.43 | 71.71% | 28.29% | +3.95 | 6-1 |
| 2006-06-11 | Washington Mystics | W 85-71 | 1629.88 | 1526.35 | 73.55% | 26.45% | +6.91 | 7-1 |
| 2006-06-16 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 86-91 | 1636.79 | 1483.48 | 61.21% | 38.79% | -9.55 | 7-2 |
| 2006-06-17 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 70-82 | 1627.24 | 1513.25 | 55.72% | 44.28% | -13.47 | 7-3 |
| 2006-06-20 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 90-66 | 1613.77 | 1403.71 | 68.63% | 31.37% | +10.73 | 8-3 |
| 2006-06-22 | Minnesota Lynx | W 79-62 | 1624.50 | 1477.22 | 78.15% | 21.85% | +6.28 | 9-3 |
| 2006-06-23 | @ Chicago Sky | W 84-79 | 1630.78 | 1291.55 | 82.15% | 17.85% | +2.79 | 10-3 |
| 2006-06-25 | @ Washington Mystics | L 80-87 | 1633.57 | 1532.97 | 53.81% | 46.19% | -9.94 | 10-4 |
| 2006-06-27 | Houston Comets | W 73-57 | 1623.63 | 1564.94 | 68.23% | 31.77% | +8.87 | 11-4 |
| 2006-06-30 | Detroit Shock | L 64-70 | 1632.50 | 1532.49 | 73.15% | 26.85% | -12.50 | 11-5 |
| 2006-07-01 | @ Indiana Fever | W 76-66 | 1620.00 | 1572.48 | 46.18% | 53.82% | +11.88 | 12-5 |
| 2006-07-06 | Charlotte Sting | W 76-71 | 1631.88 | 1368.84 | 87.44% | 12.56% | +1.96 | 13-5 |
| 2006-07-08 | Phoenix Mercury | W 82-77 | 1633.84 | 1501.20 | 76.67% | 23.33% | +3.64 | 14-5 |
| 2006-07-15 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 63-69 | 1637.48 | 1591.80 | 45.92% | 54.08% | -7.85 | 14-6 |
| 2006-07-16 | @ Seattle Storm | W 92-83 | 1629.63 | 1556.92 | 49.80% | 50.20% | +10.51 | 15-6 |
| 2006-07-20 | Chicago Sky | W 86-72 | 1640.14 | 1279.98 | 92.41% | 7.59% | +1.98 | 16-6 |
| 2006-07-22 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 79-61 | 1642.12 | 1458.40 | 65.27% | 34.73% | +10.28 | 17-6 |
| 2006-07-24 | @ New York Liberty | W 89-71 | 1652.40 | 1368.02 | 77.04% | 22.96% | +6.80 | 18-6 |
| 2006-07-25 | Washington Mystics | W 86-73 | 1659.20 | 1496.72 | 79.61% | 20.39% | +5.13 | 19-6 |
| 2006-07-28 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 75-68 | 1664.33 | 1600.27 | 68.90% | 31.10% | +5.75 | 20-6 |
| 2006-07-30 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 72-65 | 1670.08 | 1442.67 | 85.01% | 14.99% | +2.77 | 21-6 |
| 2006-08-01 | New York Liberty | W 66-52 | 1672.85 | 1389.35 | 88.68% | 11.32% | +2.95 | 22-6 |
| 2006-08-03 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 72-63 | 1675.80 | 1599.84 | 70.35% | 29.65% | +6.21 | 23-6 |
| 2006-08-06 | @ Houston Comets | W 86-67 | 1682.01 | 1539.59 | 59.71% | 40.29% | +12.26 | 24-6 |
| 2006-08-08 | @ Chicago Sky | W 85-59 | 1694.27 | 1250.93 | 89.34% | 10.66% | +3.80 | 25-6 |
| 2006-08-09 | @ Indiana Fever | W 71-63 | 1698.07 | 1575.88 | 56.88% | 43.12% | +8.51 | 26-6 |
| 2006-08-11 | Indiana Fever | L 68-87 | 1706.58 | 1567.37 | 77.34% | 22.66% | -23.53 | 26-7 |
| 2006-08-13 | @ Detroit Shock | L 65-88 | 1683.05 | 1560.91 | 56.87% | 43.13% | -19.04 | 26-8 |
| 2006-05-20 | @ Indiana Fever | L 60-67 | 1496.26 | 1532.79 | 34.60% | 65.40% | -6.39 | 0-1 |
| 2006-05-24 | Minnesota Lynx | W 78-69 | 1489.87 | 1467.59 | 63.52% | 36.48% | +7.64 | 1-1 |
| 2006-05-27 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 77-73 | 1497.51 | 1606.90 | 25.80% | 74.20% | +10.36 | 2-1 |
| 2006-06-01 | New York Liberty | W 64-63 | 1507.87 | 1472.89 | 65.20% | 34.80% | +2.43 | 3-1 |
| 2006-06-03 | @ Washington Mystics | L 68-92 | 1510.30 | 1510.21 | 39.51% | 60.49% | -13.51 | 3-2 |
| 2006-06-04 | @ Chicago Sky | W 81-66 | 1496.79 | 1328.79 | 63.19% | 36.81% | +9.95 | 4-2 |
| 2006-06-07 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 78-86 | 1506.74 | 1491.43 | 41.62% | 58.38% | -8.22 | 4-3 |
| 2006-06-09 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 79-93 | 1498.52 | 1482.55 | 41.71% | 58.29% | -10.89 | 4-4 |
| 2006-06-16 | Indiana Fever | W 71-63 | 1487.63 | 1556.23 | 50.79% | 49.21% | +9.71 | 5-4 |
| 2006-06-17 | Houston Comets | W 71-55 | 1497.34 | 1579.12 | 48.89% | 51.11% | +14.27 | 6-4 |
| 2006-06-22 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 86-74 | 1511.61 | 1392.98 | 56.37% | 43.63% | +10.55 | 7-4 |
| 2006-06-24 | Washington Mystics | W 92-86 | 1522.16 | 1540.15 | 58.00% | 42.00% | +7.18 | 8-4 |
| 2006-06-25 | Charlotte Sting | W 71-61 | 1529.34 | 1377.08 | 78.63% | 21.37% | +4.72 | 9-4 |
| 2006-06-27 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 63-59 | 1534.06 | 1432.80 | 53.90% | 46.10% | +6.43 | 10-4 |
| 2006-06-29 | @ Indiana Fever | L 56-66 | 1540.49 | 1564.47 | 36.25% | 63.75% | -8.00 | 10-5 |
| 2006-06-30 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 70-64 | 1532.49 | 1632.50 | 26.85% | 73.15% | +12.51 | 11-5 |
| 2006-07-06 | Phoenix Mercury | L 76-91 | 1545.00 | 1482.63 | 68.69% | 31.31% | -18.57 | 11-6 |
| 2006-07-07 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 92-80 | 1526.43 | 1451.31 | 50.15% | 49.85% | +12.05 | 12-6 |
| 2006-07-09 | @ Houston Comets | W 66-60 | 1538.48 | 1547.42 | 38.27% | 61.73% | +10.56 | 13-6 |
| 2006-07-16 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 77-67 | 1549.04 | 1465.45 | 71.25% | 28.75% | +6.34 | 14-6 |
| 2006-07-19 | Charlotte Sting | L 67-73 | 1555.38 | 1392.30 | 79.66% | 20.34% | -13.62 | 14-7 |
| 2006-07-21 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 73-59 | 1541.76 | 1593.62 | 53.20% | 46.80% | +12.23 | 15-7 |
| 2006-07-22 | Chicago Sky | W 89-70 | 1553.99 | 1278.00 | 88.24% | 11.76% | +3.57 | 16-7 |
| 2006-07-26 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 91-71 | 1557.56 | 1615.14 | 52.37% | 47.63% | +14.87 | 17-7 |
| 2006-07-28 | @ Seattle Storm | W 77-67 | 1572.43 | 1550.53 | 42.55% | 57.45% | +12.68 | 18-7 |
| 2006-07-30 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 61-94 | 1585.11 | 1594.53 | 38.21% | 61.79% | -15.32 | 18-8 |
| 2006-08-01 | Indiana Fever | W 70-66 | 1569.79 | 1557.67 | 62.16% | 37.84% | +5.28 | 19-8 |
| 2006-08-03 | @ New York Liberty | L 67-75 | 1575.07 | 1386.40 | 65.92% | 34.08% | -13.01 | 19-9 |
| 2006-08-04 | @ Chicago Sky | W 76-49 | 1562.06 | 1263.91 | 78.41% | 21.59% | +7.83 | 20-9 |
| 2006-08-06 | New York Liberty | W 65-53 | 1569.89 | 1404.56 | 79.87% | 20.13% | +4.87 | 21-9 |
| 2006-08-08 | Seattle Storm | L 79-81 | 1574.76 | 1549.49 | 63.92% | 36.08% | -6.31 | 21-10 |
| 2006-08-10 | Chicago Sky | W 82-48 | 1568.45 | 1247.14 | 90.69% | 9.31% | +3.79 | 22-10 |
| 2006-08-11 | @ Washington Mystics | L 66-78 | 1572.24 | 1520.16 | 46.84% | 53.16% | -11.33 | 22-11 |
| 2006-08-13 | Connecticut Sun | W 88-65 | 1560.91 | 1683.05 | 43.13% | 56.87% | +19.04 | 23-11 |
| 2006-05-21 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 63-79 | 1527.08 | 1423.32 | 73.57% | 26.43% | -20.54 | 0-1 |
| 2006-05-23 | @ Seattle Storm | W 84-59 | 1506.54 | 1554.12 | 33.17% | 66.83% | +23.32 | 1-1 |
| 2006-05-25 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 81-66 | 1529.86 | 1619.74 | 28.01% | 71.99% | +19.46 | 2-1 |
| 2006-05-31 | Indiana Fever | W 73-60 | 1549.32 | 1567.32 | 58.00% | 42.00% | +10.57 | 3-1 |
| 2006-06-02 | Chicago Sky | W 71-60 | 1559.89 | 1332.26 | 85.03% | 14.97% | +3.47 | 4-1 |
| 2006-06-04 | Minnesota Lynx | W 85-62 | 1563.36 | 1481.59 | 71.04% | 28.96% | +9.69 | 5-1 |
| 2006-06-06 | @ Washington Mystics | L 79-93 | 1573.05 | 1523.72 | 46.44% | 53.56% | -12.13 | 5-2 |
| 2006-06-09 | New York Liberty | W 97-62 | 1560.92 | 1468.94 | 72.23% | 27.77% | +11.47 | 6-2 |
| 2006-06-11 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 62-75 | 1572.39 | 1482.57 | 52.26% | 47.74% | -13.15 | 6-3 |
| 2006-06-14 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 73-66 | 1559.24 | 1588.15 | 56.46% | 43.54% | +8.04 | 7-3 |
| 2006-06-16 | @ New York Liberty | W 72-58 | 1567.28 | 1460.84 | 54.64% | 45.36% | +11.84 | 8-3 |
| 2006-06-17 | @ Detroit Shock | L 55-71 | 1579.12 | 1497.34 | 51.11% | 48.89% | -14.27 | 8-4 |
| 2006-06-21 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 55-75 | 1564.85 | 1537.72 | 43.28% | 56.72% | -13.51 | 8-5 |
| 2006-06-23 | Charlotte Sting | W 85-70 | 1551.34 | 1382.44 | 80.20% | 19.80% | +5.35 | 9-5 |
| 2006-06-25 | Seattle Storm | W 84-74 | 1556.69 | 1541.00 | 62.64% | 37.36% | +8.25 | 10-5 |
| 2006-06-27 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 57-73 | 1564.94 | 1623.63 | 31.77% | 68.23% | -8.87 | 10-6 |
| 2006-06-29 | Washington Mystics | W 83-76 | 1556.07 | 1532.01 | 63.76% | 36.24% | +6.69 | 11-6 |
| 2006-07-02 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 77-62 | 1562.76 | 1572.96 | 59.09% | 40.91% | +11.06 | 12-6 |
| 2006-07-05 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 62-74 | 1573.82 | 1546.99 | 43.24% | 56.76% | -10.45 | 12-7 |
| 2006-07-07 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 75-94 | 1563.37 | 1472.52 | 52.41% | 47.59% | -15.95 | 12-8 |
| 2006-07-09 | Detroit Shock | L 60-66 | 1547.42 | 1538.48 | 61.73% | 38.27% | -10.55 | 12-9 |
| 2006-07-14 | @ Chicago Sky | W 82-77 | 1536.87 | 1294.57 | 72.48% | 27.52% | +4.29 | 13-9 |
| 2006-07-16 | @ Indiana Fever | L 56-60 | 1541.16 | 1551.50 | 38.08% | 61.92% | -5.31 | 13-10 |
| 2006-07-18 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 64-67 | 1535.85 | 1459.11 | 50.38% | 49.62% | -6.09 | 13-11 |
| 2006-07-20 | Minnesota Lynx | W 78-55 | 1529.76 | 1440.69 | 71.89% | 28.11% | +9.40 | 14-11 |
| 2006-07-25 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 52-56 | 1539.16 | 1590.42 | 53.28% | 46.72% | -7.43 | 14-12 |
| 2006-07-27 | Phoenix Mercury | W 98-95 | 1531.73 | 1507.64 | 63.76% | 36.24% | +4.38 | 15-12 |
| 2006-07-30 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 82-80 | 1536.11 | 1498.45 | 44.78% | 55.22% | +5.45 | 16-12 |
| 2006-08-01 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 62-74 | 1541.56 | 1609.85 | 30.58% | 69.42% | -7.40 | 16-13 |
| 2006-08-04 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 77-73 | 1534.16 | 1381.24 | 61.15% | 38.85% | +5.43 | 17-13 |
| 2006-08-06 | Connecticut Sun | L 67-86 | 1539.59 | 1682.01 | 40.29% | 59.71% | -12.26 | 17-14 |
| 2006-08-08 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 57-68 | 1527.33 | 1397.81 | 57.91% | 42.09% | -13.41 | 17-15 |
| 2006-08-10 | Phoenix Mercury | L 110-111 | 1513.92 | 1535.78 | 57.46% | 42.54% | -4.01 | 17-16 |
| 2006-08-12 | Seattle Storm | W 89-72 | 1509.91 | 1542.20 | 55.99% | 44.01% | +12.67 | 18-16 |
| 2006-05-20 | Detroit Shock | W 67-60 | 1532.79 | 1496.26 | 65.40% | 34.60% | +6.39 | 1-0 |
| 2006-05-23 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 62-53 | 1539.18 | 1443.86 | 53.05% | 46.95% | +9.83 | 2-0 |
| 2006-05-26 | @ Chicago Sky | W 75-60 | 1549.01 | 1348.53 | 67.43% | 32.57% | +8.80 | 3-0 |
| 2006-05-30 | New York Liberty | W 91-70 | 1557.81 | 1482.40 | 70.28% | 29.72% | +9.51 | 4-0 |
| 2006-05-31 | @ Houston Comets | L 60-73 | 1567.32 | 1549.32 | 42.00% | 58.00% | -10.57 | 4-1 |
| 2006-06-02 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 87-92 | 1556.75 | 1473.59 | 51.31% | 48.69% | -8.01 | 4-2 |
| 2006-06-07 | Washington Mystics | W 83-70 | 1548.74 | 1535.85 | 62.26% | 37.74% | +9.50 | 5-2 |
| 2006-06-09 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 59-70 | 1558.24 | 1415.99 | 59.68% | 40.32% | -13.82 | 5-3 |
| 2006-06-11 | Seattle Storm | W 69-62 | 1544.42 | 1534.48 | 61.86% | 38.14% | +7.05 | 6-3 |
| 2006-06-13 | @ New York Liberty | W 80-78 | 1551.47 | 1465.61 | 51.69% | 48.31% | +4.76 | 7-3 |
| 2006-06-16 | @ Detroit Shock | L 63-71 | 1556.23 | 1487.63 | 49.21% | 50.79% | -9.71 | 7-4 |
| 2006-06-18 | Charlotte Sting | W 92-85 | 1546.52 | 1407.91 | 77.28% | 22.72% | +4.19 | 8-4 |
| 2006-06-21 | Chicago Sky | W 77-55 | 1550.71 | 1295.83 | 86.92% | 13.08% | +4.29 | 9-4 |
| 2006-06-23 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 83-73 | 1555.00 | 1495.22 | 47.94% | 52.06% | +11.49 | 10-4 |
| 2006-06-25 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 61-82 | 1566.49 | 1560.14 | 40.37% | 59.63% | -12.92 | 10-5 |
| 2006-06-27 | @ Washington Mystics | W 74-67 | 1553.57 | 1542.91 | 40.97% | 59.03% | +10.90 | 11-5 |
| 2006-06-29 | Detroit Shock | W 66-56 | 1564.47 | 1540.49 | 63.75% | 36.25% | +8.01 | 12-5 |
| 2006-07-01 | Connecticut Sun | L 66-76 | 1572.48 | 1620.00 | 53.82% | 46.18% | -11.88 | 12-6 |
| 2006-07-07 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 60-72 | 1560.60 | 1557.45 | 39.93% | 60.07% | -9.66 | 12-7 |
| 2006-07-09 | @ Seattle Storm | W 74-62 | 1550.94 | 1565.13 | 37.56% | 62.44% | +15.10 | 13-7 |
| 2006-07-15 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 65-75 | 1566.04 | 1377.76 | 65.87% | 34.13% | -14.54 | 13-8 |
| 2006-07-16 | Houston Comets | W 60-56 | 1551.50 | 1541.16 | 61.92% | 38.08% | +5.32 | 14-8 |
| 2006-07-18 | Phoenix Mercury | W 71-65 | 1556.82 | 1500.47 | 67.94% | 32.06% | +5.48 | 15-8 |
| 2006-07-22 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 68-73 | 1562.30 | 1581.40 | 57.85% | 42.15% | -9.03 | 15-9 |
| 2006-07-25 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 75-60 | 1553.27 | 1628.71 | 49.81% | 50.19% | +13.57 | 16-9 |
| 2006-07-29 | Washington Mystics | L 67-74 | 1566.84 | 1496.05 | 69.72% | 30.28% | -12.88 | 16-10 |
| 2006-07-30 | @ Chicago Sky | W 69-64 | 1553.96 | 1277.04 | 76.27% | 23.73% | +3.71 | 17-10 |
| 2006-08-01 | @ Detroit Shock | L 66-70 | 1557.67 | 1569.79 | 37.84% | 62.16% | -5.28 | 17-11 |
| 2006-08-03 | Minnesota Lynx | W 69-59 | 1552.39 | 1385.66 | 80.00% | 20.00% | +4.41 | 18-11 |
| 2006-08-05 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 76-70 | 1556.80 | 1421.78 | 76.92% | 23.08% | +3.95 | 19-11 |
| 2006-08-08 | @ New York Liberty | W 77-44 | 1560.75 | 1399.69 | 62.26% | 37.74% | +15.13 | 20-11 |
| 2006-08-09 | Connecticut Sun | L 63-71 | 1575.88 | 1698.07 | 43.12% | 56.88% | -8.51 | 20-12 |
| 2006-08-11 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 87-68 | 1567.37 | 1706.58 | 22.66% | 77.34% | +23.53 | 21-12 |
| 2006-08-13 | Chicago Sky | L 73-80 | 1590.90 | 1235.99 | 92.20% | 7.80% | -17.03 | 21-13 |
| 2006-05-21 | @ Seattle Storm | L 67-90 | 1508.10 | 1542.44 | 34.88% | 65.12% | -11.67 | 0-1 |
| 2006-05-23 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 72-65 | 1496.43 | 1432.16 | 48.59% | 51.41% | +9.49 | 1-1 |
| 2006-05-25 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 80-71 | 1505.92 | 1434.03 | 49.68% | 50.32% | +10.54 | 2-1 |
| 2006-05-30 | @ Chicago Sky | W 64-55 | 1516.46 | 1339.72 | 64.36% | 35.64% | +7.46 | 3-1 |
| 2006-05-31 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 71-114 | 1523.92 | 1450.76 | 49.87% | 50.13% | -22.82 | 3-2 |
| 2006-06-03 | @ New York Liberty | L 79-89 | 1501.10 | 1470.46 | 43.78% | 56.22% | -9.67 | 3-3 |
| 2006-06-07 | Detroit Shock | W 86-78 | 1491.43 | 1506.74 | 58.38% | 41.62% | +8.22 | 4-3 |
| 2006-06-09 | Chicago Sky | W 73-65 | 1499.65 | 1314.85 | 81.61% | 18.39% | +3.63 | 5-3 |
| 2006-06-13 | Phoenix Mercury | W 98-84 | 1503.28 | 1493.45 | 61.85% | 38.15% | +9.97 | 6-3 |
| 2006-06-17 | Connecticut Sun | W 82-70 | 1513.25 | 1627.24 | 44.28% | 55.72% | +13.47 | 7-3 |
| 2006-06-18 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 80-69 | 1526.72 | 1583.56 | 52.48% | 47.52% | +11.00 | 8-3 |
| 2006-06-21 | Houston Comets | W 75-55 | 1537.72 | 1564.85 | 56.72% | 43.28% | +13.51 | 9-3 |
| 2006-06-23 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 77-63 | 1551.23 | 1576.85 | 36.03% | 63.97% | +16.71 | 10-3 |
| 2006-06-25 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 105-80 | 1567.94 | 1441.16 | 76.07% | 23.93% | +8.35 | 11-3 |
| 2006-06-28 | Seattle Storm | L 67-75 | 1576.29 | 1544.96 | 64.72% | 35.28% | -12.78 | 11-4 |
| 2006-06-30 | Phoenix Mercury | W 85-83 | 1563.51 | 1492.41 | 69.76% | 30.24% | +2.99 | 12-4 |
| 2006-07-01 | Washington Mystics | W 80-75 | 1566.50 | 1525.32 | 66.01% | 33.99% | +5.30 | 13-4 |
| 2006-07-03 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 63-85 | 1571.80 | 1447.71 | 75.78% | 24.22% | -24.81 | 13-5 |
| 2006-07-05 | Houston Comets | W 74-62 | 1546.99 | 1573.82 | 56.76% | 43.24% | +10.46 | 14-5 |
| 2006-07-07 | Indiana Fever | W 72-60 | 1557.45 | 1560.60 | 60.07% | 39.93% | +9.65 | 15-5 |
| 2006-07-08 | Charlotte Sting | W 66-64 | 1567.10 | 1366.88 | 82.91% | 17.09% | +1.69 | 16-5 |
| 2006-07-14 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 95-85 | 1568.79 | 1505.85 | 48.40% | 51.60% | +11.39 | 17-5 |
| 2006-07-16 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 90-78 | 1580.18 | 1446.50 | 58.49% | 41.51% | +10.04 | 18-5 |
| 2006-07-18 | New York Liberty | W 70-62 | 1590.22 | 1391.80 | 82.76% | 17.24% | +3.40 | 19-5 |
| 2006-07-21 | @ Detroit Shock | L 59-73 | 1593.62 | 1541.76 | 46.80% | 53.20% | -12.22 | 19-6 |
| 2006-07-22 | @ Indiana Fever | W 73-68 | 1581.40 | 1562.30 | 42.15% | 57.85% | +9.02 | 20-6 |
| 2006-07-25 | @ Houston Comets | W 56-52 | 1590.42 | 1539.16 | 46.72% | 53.28% | +7.44 | 21-6 |
| 2006-07-26 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 81-67 | 1597.86 | 1448.11 | 60.72% | 39.28% | +10.26 | 22-6 |
| 2006-07-30 | @ Seattle Storm | W 71-70 | 1608.12 | 1537.84 | 49.45% | 50.55% | +3.53 | 23-6 |
| 2006-08-01 | @ Washington Mystics | L 74-84 | 1611.65 | 1513.10 | 53.51% | 46.49% | -11.81 | 23-7 |
| 2006-08-03 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 63-72 | 1599.84 | 1675.80 | 29.65% | 70.35% | -6.21 | 23-8 |
| 2006-08-05 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 80-96 | 1593.63 | 1512.74 | 50.98% | 49.02% | -14.24 | 23-9 |
| 2006-08-09 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 69-58 | 1579.39 | 1631.06 | 53.22% | 46.78% | +10.83 | 24-9 |
| 2006-08-13 | Minnesota Lynx | W 78-59 | 1590.22 | 1376.11 | 84.01% | 15.99% | +4.87 | 25-9 |
| 2006-05-23 | Connecticut Sun | L 69-81 | 1478.16 | 1596.33 | 43.69% | 56.31% | -10.57 | 0-1 |
| 2006-05-24 | @ Detroit Shock | L 69-78 | 1467.59 | 1489.87 | 36.48% | 63.52% | -7.63 | 0-2 |
| 2006-05-27 | @ Washington Mystics | L 75-90 | 1459.96 | 1501.01 | 34.01% | 65.99% | -9.20 | 0-3 |
| 2006-05-31 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 114-71 | 1450.76 | 1523.92 | 50.13% | 49.87% | +22.83 | 1-3 |
| 2006-06-02 | Indiana Fever | W 92-87 | 1473.59 | 1556.75 | 48.69% | 51.31% | +8.00 | 2-3 |
| 2006-06-04 | @ Houston Comets | L 62-85 | 1481.59 | 1563.36 | 28.96% | 71.04% | -9.69 | 2-4 |
| 2006-06-09 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 86-79 | 1471.90 | 1452.19 | 42.24% | 57.76% | +10.67 | 3-4 |
| 2006-06-11 | Houston Comets | W 75-62 | 1482.57 | 1572.39 | 47.74% | 52.26% | +13.15 | 4-4 |
| 2006-06-14 | Seattle Storm | L 66-74 | 1495.72 | 1527.43 | 56.07% | 43.93% | -11.07 | 4-5 |
| 2006-06-16 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 60-90 | 1484.65 | 1433.38 | 46.72% | 53.28% | -17.86 | 4-6 |
| 2006-06-18 | Phoenix Mercury | W 94-82 | 1466.79 | 1493.04 | 56.84% | 43.16% | +10.43 | 5-6 |
| 2006-06-22 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 62-79 | 1477.22 | 1624.50 | 21.85% | 78.15% | -6.29 | 5-7 |
| 2006-06-24 | New York Liberty | L 83-93 | 1470.93 | 1450.19 | 63.32% | 36.68% | -13.97 | 5-8 |
| 2006-06-28 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 78-81 | 1456.96 | 1488.14 | 35.30% | 64.70% | -4.27 | 5-9 |
| 2006-06-29 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 78-87 | 1452.69 | 1560.85 | 25.94% | 74.06% | -5.43 | 5-10 |
| 2006-07-01 | @ Seattle Storm | L 75-92 | 1447.26 | 1557.74 | 25.68% | 74.32% | -7.39 | 5-11 |
| 2006-07-05 | Washington Mystics | W 84-74 | 1439.87 | 1526.81 | 48.15% | 51.85% | +11.44 | 6-11 |
| 2006-07-07 | Detroit Shock | L 80-92 | 1451.31 | 1526.43 | 49.85% | 50.15% | -12.05 | 6-12 |
| 2006-07-09 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 85-80 | 1439.26 | 1488.46 | 53.58% | 46.42% | +7.24 | 7-12 |
| 2006-07-16 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 78-90 | 1446.50 | 1580.18 | 41.51% | 58.49% | -10.03 | 7-13 |
| 2006-07-19 | Chicago Sky | W 90-82 | 1436.47 | 1284.20 | 78.63% | 21.37% | +4.22 | 8-13 |
| 2006-07-20 | @ Houston Comets | L 55-78 | 1440.69 | 1529.76 | 28.11% | 71.89% | -9.41 | 8-14 |
| 2006-07-22 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 59-86 | 1431.28 | 1616.17 | 34.57% | 65.43% | -12.54 | 8-15 |
| 2006-07-25 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 70-62 | 1418.74 | 1414.29 | 40.11% | 59.89% | +11.82 | 9-15 |
| 2006-07-27 | Charlotte Sting | L 68-81 | 1430.56 | 1402.47 | 64.30% | 35.70% | -16.18 | 9-16 |
| 2006-07-28 | @ Chicago Sky | L 65-79 | 1414.38 | 1261.06 | 61.21% | 38.79% | -15.99 | 9-17 |
| 2006-07-30 | @ New York Liberty | L 69-78 | 1398.39 | 1380.57 | 41.97% | 58.03% | -8.78 | 9-18 |
| 2006-08-01 | Seattle Storm | L 75-77 | 1389.61 | 1534.32 | 39.97% | 60.03% | -3.95 | 9-19 |
| 2006-08-03 | @ Indiana Fever | L 59-69 | 1385.66 | 1552.39 | 20.00% | 80.00% | -4.42 | 9-20 |
| 2006-08-04 | Houston Comets | L 73-77 | 1381.24 | 1534.16 | 38.85% | 61.15% | -5.42 | 9-21 |
| 2006-08-06 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 82-68 | 1375.82 | 1417.83 | 54.60% | 45.40% | +11.86 | 10-21 |
| 2006-08-08 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 68-99 | 1387.68 | 1526.98 | 22.65% | 77.35% | -8.80 | 10-22 |
| 2006-08-10 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 66-74 | 1378.88 | 1620.23 | 13.99% | 86.01% | -2.77 | 10-23 |
| 2006-08-13 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 59-78 | 1376.11 | 1590.22 | 15.99% | 84.01% | -4.86 | 10-24 |
| 2006-05-20 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 74-91 | 1507.24 | 1587.96 | 29.09% | 70.91% | -8.37 | 0-1 |
| 2006-05-23 | @ Washington Mystics | L 60-95 | 1498.87 | 1496.08 | 39.88% | 60.12% | -16.47 | 0-2 |
| 2006-05-30 | @ Indiana Fever | L 70-91 | 1482.40 | 1557.81 | 29.72% | 70.28% | -9.51 | 0-3 |
| 2006-06-01 | @ Detroit Shock | L 63-64 | 1472.89 | 1507.87 | 34.80% | 65.20% | -2.43 | 0-4 |
| 2006-06-03 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 89-79 | 1470.46 | 1501.10 | 56.22% | 43.78% | +9.67 | 1-4 |
| 2006-06-07 | Connecticut Sun | L 60-75 | 1480.13 | 1614.75 | 41.38% | 58.62% | -11.19 | 1-5 |
| 2006-06-09 | @ Houston Comets | L 62-97 | 1468.94 | 1560.92 | 27.77% | 72.23% | -11.46 | 1-6 |
| 2006-06-10 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 71-67 | 1457.48 | 1441.52 | 41.71% | 58.29% | +8.13 | 2-6 |
| 2006-06-13 | Indiana Fever | L 78-80 | 1465.61 | 1551.47 | 48.31% | 51.69% | -4.77 | 2-7 |
| 2006-06-16 | Houston Comets | L 58-72 | 1460.84 | 1567.28 | 45.36% | 54.64% | -11.84 | 2-8 |
| 2006-06-17 | @ Washington Mystics | L 70-88 | 1449.00 | 1541.34 | 27.73% | 72.27% | -8.21 | 2-9 |
| 2006-06-21 | Washington Mystics | W 72-66 | 1440.79 | 1549.55 | 45.03% | 54.97% | +9.40 | 3-9 |
| 2006-06-24 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 93-83 | 1450.19 | 1470.93 | 36.68% | 63.32% | +13.97 | 4-9 |
| 2006-06-27 | Charlotte Sting | L 67-73 | 1464.16 | 1372.37 | 72.21% | 27.79% | -12.34 | 4-10 |
| 2006-06-30 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 78-91 | 1451.82 | 1426.37 | 63.95% | 36.05% | -16.10 | 4-11 |
| 2006-07-06 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 58-79 | 1435.72 | 1561.90 | 42.56% | 57.44% | -13.61 | 4-12 |
| 2006-07-07 | @ Chicago Sky | L 73-78 | 1422.11 | 1288.30 | 58.51% | 41.49% | -9.13 | 4-13 |
| 2006-07-09 | Phoenix Mercury | L 88-94 | 1412.98 | 1497.56 | 48.49% | 51.51% | -8.29 | 4-14 |
| 2006-07-14 | @ Seattle Storm | L 66-86 | 1404.69 | 1550.03 | 22.04% | 77.96% | -6.88 | 4-15 |
| 2006-07-16 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 70-80 | 1397.81 | 1494.46 | 27.23% | 72.77% | -6.01 | 4-16 |
| 2006-07-18 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 62-70 | 1391.80 | 1590.22 | 17.24% | 82.76% | -3.41 | 4-17 |
| 2006-07-20 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 62-71 | 1388.39 | 1612.99 | 15.20% | 84.80% | -3.18 | 4-18 |
| 2006-07-22 | Seattle Storm | L 54-89 | 1385.21 | 1518.03 | 41.63% | 58.37% | -17.19 | 4-19 |
| 2006-07-24 | Connecticut Sun | L 71-89 | 1368.02 | 1652.40 | 22.96% | 77.04% | -6.80 | 4-20 |
| 2006-07-25 | @ Chicago Sky | W 79-72 | 1361.22 | 1274.42 | 51.83% | 48.17% | +8.90 | 5-20 |
| 2006-07-29 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 85-80 | 1370.12 | 1418.65 | 33.05% | 66.95% | +10.45 | 6-20 |
| 2006-07-30 | Minnesota Lynx | W 78-69 | 1380.57 | 1398.39 | 58.03% | 41.97% | +8.78 | 7-20 |
| 2006-08-01 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 52-66 | 1389.35 | 1672.85 | 11.32% | 88.68% | -2.95 | 7-21 |
| 2006-08-03 | Detroit Shock | W 75-67 | 1386.40 | 1575.07 | 34.08% | 65.92% | +13.01 | 8-21 |
| 2006-08-05 | Chicago Sky | W 80-69 | 1399.41 | 1256.08 | 77.76% | 22.24% | +5.15 | 9-21 |
| 2006-08-06 | @ Detroit Shock | L 53-65 | 1404.56 | 1569.89 | 20.13% | 79.87% | -4.87 | 9-22 |
| 2006-08-08 | Indiana Fever | L 44-77 | 1399.69 | 1560.75 | 37.74% | 62.26% | -15.13 | 9-23 |
| 2006-08-11 | Charlotte Sting | W 64-62 | 1384.56 | 1411.21 | 56.78% | 43.22% | +4.27 | 10-23 |
| 2006-08-13 | Washington Mystics | W 93-81 | 1388.83 | 1531.49 | 40.26% | 59.74% | +14.44 | 11-23 |
| 2006-05-20 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 78-105 | 1510.17 | 1603.24 | 27.64% | 72.36% | -10.03 | 0-1 |
| 2006-05-25 | Seattle Storm | L 81-94 | 1500.14 | 1530.80 | 56.22% | 43.78% | -14.15 | 0-2 |
| 2006-05-31 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 76-82 | 1485.99 | 1423.49 | 68.70% | 31.30% | -11.74 | 0-3 |
| 2006-06-02 | @ Seattle Storm | L 87-97 | 1474.25 | 1534.65 | 31.56% | 68.44% | -6.97 | 0-4 |
| 2006-06-06 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 90-76 | 1467.28 | 1600.81 | 41.53% | 58.47% | +15.27 | 1-4 |
| 2006-06-09 | Detroit Shock | W 93-79 | 1482.55 | 1498.52 | 58.29% | 41.71% | +10.90 | 2-4 |
| 2006-06-13 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 84-98 | 1493.45 | 1503.28 | 38.15% | 61.85% | -9.97 | 2-5 |
| 2006-06-16 | Connecticut Sun | W 91-86 | 1483.48 | 1636.79 | 38.79% | 61.21% | +9.56 | 3-5 |
| 2006-06-18 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 82-94 | 1493.04 | 1466.79 | 43.16% | 56.84% | -10.44 | 3-6 |
| 2006-06-21 | @ Seattle Storm | W 87-80 | 1482.60 | 1542.35 | 31.64% | 68.36% | +12.62 | 4-6 |
| 2006-06-23 | Indiana Fever | L 73-83 | 1495.22 | 1555.00 | 52.06% | 47.94% | -11.49 | 4-7 |
| 2006-06-25 | Chicago Sky | W 90-77 | 1483.73 | 1288.76 | 82.47% | 17.53% | +4.41 | 5-7 |
| 2006-06-28 | Minnesota Lynx | W 81-78 | 1488.14 | 1456.96 | 64.70% | 35.30% | +4.27 | 6-7 |
| 2006-06-30 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 83-85 | 1492.41 | 1563.51 | 30.24% | 69.76% | -2.98 | 6-8 |
| 2006-07-02 | Washington Mystics | L 78-81 | 1489.43 | 1520.01 | 56.23% | 43.77% | -6.80 | 6-9 |
| 2006-07-06 | @ Detroit Shock | W 91-76 | 1482.63 | 1545.00 | 31.31% | 68.69% | +18.57 | 7-9 |
| 2006-07-08 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 77-82 | 1501.20 | 1633.84 | 23.33% | 76.67% | -3.64 | 7-10 |
| 2006-07-09 | @ New York Liberty | W 94-88 | 1497.56 | 1412.98 | 51.51% | 48.49% | +8.29 | 8-10 |
| 2006-07-14 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 85-95 | 1505.85 | 1568.79 | 51.60% | 48.40% | -11.39 | 8-11 |
| 2006-07-16 | New York Liberty | W 80-70 | 1494.46 | 1397.81 | 72.77% | 27.23% | +6.01 | 9-11 |
| 2006-07-18 | @ Indiana Fever | L 65-71 | 1500.47 | 1556.82 | 32.06% | 67.94% | -5.48 | 9-12 |
| 2006-07-19 | @ Washington Mystics | W 96-83 | 1494.99 | 1511.21 | 37.29% | 62.71% | +15.78 | 10-12 |
| 2006-07-22 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 78-74 | 1510.77 | 1420.96 | 52.26% | 47.74% | +6.66 | 11-12 |
| 2006-07-25 | Seattle Storm | L 85-91 | 1517.43 | 1540.74 | 57.26% | 42.74% | -9.79 | 11-13 |
| 2006-07-27 | @ Houston Comets | L 95-98 | 1507.64 | 1531.73 | 36.24% | 63.76% | -4.38 | 11-14 |
| 2006-07-28 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 96-98 | 1503.26 | 1437.85 | 48.75% | 51.25% | -4.81 | 11-15 |
| 2006-07-30 | Houston Comets | L 80-82 | 1498.45 | 1536.11 | 55.22% | 44.78% | -5.45 | 11-16 |
| 2006-08-01 | @ Chicago Sky | W 90-70 | 1493.00 | 1273.34 | 69.80% | 30.20% | +9.42 | 12-16 |
| 2006-08-03 | Charlotte Sting | W 112-84 | 1502.42 | 1411.92 | 72.06% | 27.94% | +10.32 | 13-16 |
| 2006-08-05 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 96-80 | 1512.74 | 1593.63 | 49.02% | 50.98% | +14.24 | 14-16 |
| 2006-08-08 | Minnesota Lynx | W 99-68 | 1526.98 | 1387.68 | 77.35% | 22.65% | +8.80 | 15-16 |
| 2006-08-10 | @ Houston Comets | W 111-110 | 1535.78 | 1513.92 | 42.54% | 57.46% | +4.01 | 16-16 |
| 2006-08-12 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 95-93 | 1539.79 | 1413.29 | 57.49% | 42.51% | +4.20 | 17-16 |
| 2006-08-13 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 81-71 | 1543.99 | 1623.00 | 49.29% | 50.71% | +11.19 | 18-16 |
| 2006-05-20 | Phoenix Mercury | W 105-78 | 1603.24 | 1510.17 | 72.36% | 27.64% | +10.02 | 1-0 |
| 2006-05-23 | @ Chicago Sky | W 76-63 | 1613.26 | 1355.00 | 74.27% | 25.73% | +6.48 | 2-0 |
| 2006-05-25 | Houston Comets | L 66-81 | 1619.74 | 1529.86 | 71.99% | 28.01% | -19.46 | 2-1 |
| 2006-05-31 | Seattle Storm | W 87-66 | 1600.28 | 1544.94 | 67.81% | 32.19% | +10.29 | 3-1 |
| 2006-06-02 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 71-74 | 1610.57 | 1435.24 | 80.78% | 19.22% | -9.76 | 3-2 |
| 2006-06-06 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 76-90 | 1600.81 | 1467.28 | 58.47% | 41.53% | -15.27 | 3-3 |
| 2006-06-10 | Chicago Sky | W 80-70 | 1585.54 | 1311.22 | 88.14% | 11.86% | +2.61 | 4-3 |
| 2006-06-14 | @ Houston Comets | L 66-73 | 1588.15 | 1559.24 | 43.54% | 56.46% | -8.04 | 4-4 |
| 2006-06-17 | Seattle Storm | W 76-74 | 1580.11 | 1545.79 | 65.11% | 34.89% | +3.45 | 5-4 |
| 2006-06-18 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 69-80 | 1583.56 | 1526.72 | 47.52% | 52.48% | -11.00 | 5-5 |
| 2006-06-21 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 75-69 | 1572.56 | 1456.73 | 74.90% | 25.10% | +4.29 | 6-5 |
| 2006-06-23 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-77 | 1576.85 | 1551.23 | 63.97% | 36.03% | -16.71 | 6-6 |
| 2006-06-25 | Indiana Fever | W 82-61 | 1560.14 | 1566.49 | 59.63% | 40.37% | +12.92 | 7-6 |
| 2006-06-27 | @ Seattle Storm | L 53-68 | 1573.06 | 1532.76 | 45.15% | 54.85% | -12.21 | 7-7 |
| 2006-06-29 | Minnesota Lynx | W 87-78 | 1560.85 | 1452.69 | 74.06% | 25.94% | +5.43 | 8-7 |
| 2006-07-01 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 65-57 | 1566.28 | 1375.52 | 66.19% | 33.81% | +6.68 | 9-7 |
| 2006-07-02 | @ Houston Comets | L 62-77 | 1572.96 | 1562.76 | 40.91% | 59.09% | -11.06 | 9-8 |
| 2006-07-06 | @ New York Liberty | W 79-58 | 1561.90 | 1435.72 | 57.44% | 42.56% | +13.61 | 10-8 |
| 2006-07-07 | @ Washington Mystics | W 73-60 | 1575.51 | 1515.36 | 47.99% | 52.01% | +13.09 | 11-8 |
| 2006-07-09 | Charlotte Sting | W 70-61 | 1588.60 | 1365.20 | 84.72% | 15.28% | +3.20 | 12-8 |
| 2006-07-15 | Connecticut Sun | W 69-63 | 1591.80 | 1637.48 | 54.08% | 45.92% | +7.85 | 13-8 |
| 2006-07-18 | @ Seattle Storm | W 74-61 | 1599.65 | 1546.40 | 47.00% | 53.00% | +13.34 | 14-8 |
| 2006-07-20 | New York Liberty | W 71-62 | 1612.99 | 1388.39 | 84.80% | 15.20% | +3.18 | 15-8 |
| 2006-07-22 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 86-59 | 1616.17 | 1431.28 | 65.43% | 34.57% | +12.54 | 16-8 |
| 2006-07-25 | @ Indiana Fever | L 60-75 | 1628.71 | 1553.27 | 50.19% | 49.81% | -13.57 | 16-9 |
| 2006-07-26 | @ Detroit Shock | L 71-91 | 1615.14 | 1557.56 | 47.63% | 52.37% | -14.87 | 16-10 |
| 2006-07-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 68-75 | 1600.27 | 1664.33 | 31.10% | 68.90% | -5.74 | 16-11 |
| 2006-07-30 | Detroit Shock | W 94-61 | 1594.53 | 1585.11 | 61.79% | 38.21% | +15.32 | 17-11 |
| 2006-08-01 | Houston Comets | W 74-62 | 1609.85 | 1541.56 | 69.42% | 30.58% | +7.40 | 18-11 |
| 2006-08-03 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 87-69 | 1617.25 | 1432.00 | 65.47% | 34.53% | +10.22 | 19-11 |
| 2006-08-05 | Washington Mystics | W 99-95 | 1627.47 | 1517.48 | 74.26% | 25.74% | +3.59 | 20-11 |
| 2006-08-09 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 58-69 | 1631.06 | 1579.39 | 46.78% | 53.22% | -10.83 | 20-12 |
| 2006-08-10 | Minnesota Lynx | W 74-66 | 1620.23 | 1378.88 | 86.01% | 13.99% | +2.77 | 21-12 |
| 2006-08-13 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 71-81 | 1623.00 | 1543.99 | 50.71% | 49.29% | -11.20 | 21-13 |
| 2006-05-21 | @ Houston Comets | W 79-63 | 1423.32 | 1527.08 | 26.43% | 73.57% | +20.54 | 1-0 |
| 2006-05-23 | Indiana Fever | L 53-62 | 1443.86 | 1539.18 | 46.95% | 53.05% | -9.83 | 1-1 |
| 2006-05-25 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 71-80 | 1434.03 | 1505.92 | 50.32% | 49.68% | -10.54 | 1-2 |
| 2006-05-31 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 82-76 | 1423.49 | 1485.99 | 31.30% | 68.70% | +11.75 | 2-2 |
| 2006-06-02 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 74-71 | 1435.24 | 1610.57 | 19.22% | 80.78% | +9.77 | 3-2 |
| 2006-06-04 | @ Seattle Storm | W 89-87 | 1445.01 | 1541.61 | 27.24% | 72.76% | +7.18 | 4-2 |
| 2006-06-09 | Minnesota Lynx | L 79-86 | 1452.19 | 1471.90 | 57.76% | 42.24% | -10.67 | 4-3 |
| 2006-06-10 | New York Liberty | L 67-71 | 1441.52 | 1457.48 | 58.29% | 41.71% | -8.14 | 4-4 |
| 2006-06-16 | Minnesota Lynx | W 90-60 | 1433.38 | 1484.65 | 53.28% | 46.72% | +17.87 | 5-4 |
| 2006-06-17 | @ Chicago Sky | W 69-65 | 1451.25 | 1301.31 | 60.75% | 39.25% | +5.48 | 6-4 |
| 2006-06-21 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 69-75 | 1456.73 | 1572.56 | 25.10% | 74.90% | -4.30 | 6-5 |
| 2006-06-23 | @ Seattle Storm | L 57-87 | 1452.43 | 1529.73 | 29.50% | 70.50% | -11.27 | 6-6 |
| 2006-06-25 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 80-105 | 1441.16 | 1567.94 | 23.93% | 76.07% | -8.36 | 6-7 |
| 2006-06-27 | Detroit Shock | L 59-63 | 1432.80 | 1534.06 | 46.10% | 53.90% | -6.43 | 6-8 |
| 2006-06-30 | @ New York Liberty | W 91-78 | 1426.37 | 1451.82 | 36.05% | 63.95% | +16.09 | 7-8 |
| 2006-07-01 | Chicago Sky | W 69-57 | 1442.46 | 1293.54 | 78.31% | 21.69% | +5.25 | 8-8 |
| 2006-07-03 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 85-63 | 1447.71 | 1571.80 | 24.22% | 75.78% | +24.81 | 9-8 |
| 2006-07-07 | Houston Comets | W 94-75 | 1472.52 | 1563.37 | 47.59% | 52.41% | +15.94 | 10-8 |
| 2006-07-09 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 80-85 | 1488.46 | 1439.26 | 46.42% | 53.58% | -7.24 | 10-9 |
| 2006-07-14 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 65-81 | 1481.22 | 1362.00 | 56.46% | 43.54% | -15.77 | 10-10 |
| 2006-07-16 | @ Detroit Shock | L 67-77 | 1465.45 | 1549.04 | 28.75% | 71.25% | -6.34 | 10-11 |
| 2006-07-18 | Houston Comets | W 67-64 | 1459.11 | 1535.85 | 49.62% | 50.38% | +6.09 | 11-11 |
| 2006-07-21 | Washington Mystics | L 77-80 | 1465.20 | 1495.43 | 56.28% | 43.72% | -6.80 | 11-12 |
| 2006-07-22 | Connecticut Sun | L 61-79 | 1458.40 | 1642.12 | 34.73% | 65.27% | -10.29 | 11-13 |
| 2006-07-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 67-81 | 1448.11 | 1597.86 | 39.28% | 60.72% | -10.26 | 11-14 |
| 2006-07-28 | Phoenix Mercury | W 98-96 | 1437.85 | 1503.26 | 51.25% | 48.75% | +4.82 | 12-14 |
| 2006-07-30 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 65-72 | 1442.67 | 1670.08 | 14.99% | 85.01% | -2.77 | 12-15 |
| 2006-08-01 | Charlotte Sting | L 65-68 | 1439.90 | 1404.02 | 65.32% | 34.68% | -7.90 | 12-16 |
| 2006-08-03 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 69-87 | 1432.00 | 1617.25 | 34.53% | 65.47% | -10.22 | 12-17 |
| 2006-08-05 | @ Indiana Fever | L 70-76 | 1421.78 | 1556.80 | 23.08% | 76.92% | -3.95 | 12-18 |
| 2006-08-06 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 68-82 | 1417.83 | 1375.82 | 45.40% | 54.60% | -11.86 | 12-19 |
| 2006-08-08 | @ Washington Mystics | L 79-91 | 1405.97 | 1513.88 | 25.97% | 74.03% | -6.27 | 12-20 |
| 2006-08-10 | Seattle Storm | W 75-65 | 1399.70 | 1555.80 | 38.41% | 61.59% | +13.59 | 13-20 |
| 2006-08-12 | Phoenix Mercury | L 93-95 | 1413.29 | 1539.79 | 42.51% | 57.49% | -4.20 | 13-21 |
| 2006-05-21 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 90-67 | 1542.44 | 1508.10 | 65.12% | 34.88% | +11.68 | 1-0 |
| 2006-05-23 | Houston Comets | L 59-84 | 1554.12 | 1506.54 | 66.83% | 33.17% | -23.32 | 1-1 |
| 2006-05-25 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 94-81 | 1530.80 | 1500.14 | 43.78% | 56.22% | +14.14 | 2-1 |
| 2006-05-31 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 66-87 | 1544.94 | 1600.28 | 32.19% | 67.81% | -10.29 | 2-2 |
| 2006-06-02 | Phoenix Mercury | W 97-87 | 1534.65 | 1474.25 | 68.44% | 31.56% | +6.96 | 3-2 |
| 2006-06-04 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 87-89 | 1541.61 | 1445.01 | 72.76% | 27.24% | -7.18 | 3-3 |
| 2006-06-07 | Chicago Sky | W 86-73 | 1534.43 | 1318.84 | 84.12% | 15.88% | +4.00 | 4-3 |
| 2006-06-09 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 81-85 | 1538.43 | 1625.93 | 28.29% | 71.71% | -3.95 | 4-4 |
| 2006-06-11 | @ Indiana Fever | L 62-69 | 1534.48 | 1544.42 | 38.14% | 61.86% | -7.05 | 4-5 |
| 2006-06-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 74-66 | 1527.43 | 1495.72 | 43.93% | 56.07% | +11.07 | 5-5 |
| 2006-06-15 | @ Chicago Sky | W 74-61 | 1538.50 | 1308.60 | 71.03% | 28.97% | +7.29 | 6-5 |
| 2006-06-17 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 74-76 | 1545.79 | 1580.11 | 34.89% | 65.11% | -3.44 | 6-6 |
| 2006-06-21 | Phoenix Mercury | L 80-87 | 1542.35 | 1482.60 | 68.36% | 31.64% | -12.62 | 6-7 |
| 2006-06-23 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 87-57 | 1529.73 | 1452.43 | 70.50% | 29.50% | +11.27 | 7-7 |
| 2006-06-25 | @ Houston Comets | L 74-84 | 1541.00 | 1556.69 | 37.36% | 62.64% | -8.24 | 7-8 |
| 2006-06-27 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 68-53 | 1532.76 | 1573.06 | 54.85% | 45.15% | +12.20 | 8-8 |
| 2006-06-28 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 75-67 | 1544.96 | 1576.29 | 35.28% | 64.72% | +12.78 | 9-8 |
| 2006-07-01 | Minnesota Lynx | W 92-75 | 1557.74 | 1447.26 | 74.32% | 25.68% | +7.39 | 10-8 |
| 2006-07-09 | Indiana Fever | L 62-74 | 1565.13 | 1550.94 | 62.44% | 37.56% | -15.10 | 10-9 |
| 2006-07-14 | New York Liberty | W 86-66 | 1550.03 | 1404.69 | 77.96% | 22.04% | +6.89 | 11-9 |
| 2006-07-16 | Connecticut Sun | L 83-92 | 1556.92 | 1629.63 | 50.20% | 49.80% | -10.52 | 11-10 |
| 2006-07-18 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 61-74 | 1546.40 | 1599.65 | 53.00% | 47.00% | -13.33 | 11-11 |
| 2006-07-20 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 72-86 | 1533.07 | 1405.92 | 57.58% | 42.42% | -15.04 | 11-12 |
| 2006-07-22 | @ New York Liberty | W 89-54 | 1518.03 | 1385.21 | 58.37% | 41.63% | +17.19 | 12-12 |
| 2006-07-23 | @ Washington Mystics | W 73-71 | 1535.22 | 1502.23 | 44.11% | 55.89% | +5.52 | 13-12 |
| 2006-07-25 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 91-85 | 1540.74 | 1517.43 | 42.74% | 57.26% | +9.79 | 14-12 |
| 2006-07-28 | Detroit Shock | L 67-77 | 1550.53 | 1572.43 | 57.45% | 42.55% | -12.69 | 14-13 |
| 2006-07-30 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 70-71 | 1537.84 | 1608.12 | 50.55% | 49.45% | -3.52 | 14-14 |
| 2006-08-01 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 77-75 | 1534.32 | 1389.61 | 60.03% | 39.97% | +3.94 | 15-14 |
| 2006-08-03 | Washington Mystics | W 86-78 | 1538.26 | 1524.92 | 62.32% | 37.68% | +7.44 | 16-14 |
| 2006-08-05 | Charlotte Sting | W 87-81 | 1545.70 | 1401.60 | 77.83% | 22.17% | +3.79 | 17-14 |
| 2006-08-08 | @ Detroit Shock | W 81-79 | 1549.49 | 1574.76 | 36.08% | 63.92% | +6.31 | 18-14 |
| 2006-08-10 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 65-75 | 1555.80 | 1399.70 | 61.59% | 38.41% | -13.60 | 18-15 |
| 2006-08-12 | @ Houston Comets | L 72-89 | 1542.20 | 1509.91 | 44.01% | 55.99% | -12.66 | 18-16 |
| 2006-05-23 | New York Liberty | W 95-60 | 1496.08 | 1498.87 | 60.12% | 39.88% | +16.47 | 1-0 |
| 2006-05-25 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 63-73 | 1512.55 | 1422.66 | 52.27% | 47.73% | -11.54 | 1-1 |
| 2006-05-27 | Minnesota Lynx | W 90-75 | 1501.01 | 1459.96 | 65.99% | 34.01% | +9.20 | 2-1 |
| 2006-06-03 | Detroit Shock | W 92-68 | 1510.21 | 1510.30 | 60.49% | 39.51% | +13.51 | 3-1 |
| 2006-06-06 | Houston Comets | W 93-79 | 1523.72 | 1573.05 | 53.56% | 46.44% | +12.13 | 4-1 |
| 2006-06-07 | @ Indiana Fever | L 70-83 | 1535.85 | 1548.74 | 37.74% | 62.26% | -9.50 | 4-2 |
| 2006-06-11 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 71-85 | 1526.35 | 1629.88 | 26.45% | 73.55% | -6.91 | 4-3 |
| 2006-06-13 | Charlotte Sting | W 87-70 | 1519.44 | 1429.81 | 71.96% | 28.04% | +8.07 | 5-3 |
| 2006-06-15 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 96-77 | 1527.51 | 1421.74 | 54.55% | 45.45% | +13.83 | 6-3 |
| 2006-06-17 | New York Liberty | W 88-70 | 1541.34 | 1449.00 | 72.27% | 27.73% | +8.21 | 7-3 |
| 2006-06-21 | @ New York Liberty | L 66-72 | 1549.55 | 1440.79 | 54.97% | 45.03% | -9.40 | 7-4 |
| 2006-06-24 | @ Detroit Shock | L 86-92 | 1540.15 | 1522.16 | 42.00% | 58.00% | -7.18 | 7-5 |
| 2006-06-25 | Connecticut Sun | W 87-80 | 1532.97 | 1633.57 | 46.19% | 53.81% | +9.94 | 8-5 |
| 2006-06-27 | Indiana Fever | L 67-74 | 1542.91 | 1553.57 | 59.03% | 40.97% | -10.90 | 8-6 |
| 2006-06-29 | @ Houston Comets | L 76-83 | 1532.01 | 1556.07 | 36.24% | 63.76% | -6.69 | 8-7 |
| 2006-07-01 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-80 | 1525.32 | 1566.50 | 33.99% | 66.01% | -5.31 | 8-8 |
| 2006-07-02 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 81-78 | 1520.01 | 1489.43 | 43.77% | 56.23% | +6.80 | 9-8 |
| 2006-07-05 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 74-84 | 1526.81 | 1439.87 | 51.85% | 48.15% | -11.45 | 9-9 |
| 2006-07-07 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 60-73 | 1515.36 | 1575.51 | 52.01% | 47.99% | -13.08 | 9-10 |
| 2006-07-09 | Chicago Sky | W 89-83 | 1502.28 | 1297.43 | 83.28% | 16.72% | +2.85 | 10-10 |
| 2006-07-16 | @ Chicago Sky | W 83-75 | 1505.13 | 1290.28 | 69.22% | 30.78% | +6.08 | 11-10 |
| 2006-07-19 | Phoenix Mercury | L 83-96 | 1511.21 | 1494.99 | 62.71% | 37.29% | -15.78 | 11-11 |
| 2006-07-21 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 80-77 | 1495.43 | 1465.20 | 43.72% | 56.28% | +6.80 | 12-11 |
| 2006-07-23 | Seattle Storm | L 71-73 | 1502.23 | 1535.22 | 55.89% | 44.11% | -5.51 | 12-12 |
| 2006-07-25 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 73-86 | 1496.72 | 1659.20 | 20.39% | 79.61% | -5.14 | 12-13 |
| 2006-07-27 | Chicago Sky | W 92-74 | 1491.58 | 1265.52 | 84.91% | 15.09% | +4.47 | 13-13 |
| 2006-07-29 | @ Indiana Fever | W 74-67 | 1496.05 | 1566.84 | 30.28% | 69.72% | +12.88 | 14-13 |
| 2006-07-30 | Charlotte Sting | W 78-73 | 1508.93 | 1408.20 | 73.23% | 26.77% | +4.17 | 15-13 |
| 2006-08-01 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 84-74 | 1513.10 | 1611.65 | 46.49% | 53.51% | +11.82 | 16-13 |
| 2006-08-03 | @ Seattle Storm | L 78-86 | 1524.92 | 1538.26 | 37.68% | 62.32% | -7.44 | 16-14 |
| 2006-08-05 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 95-99 | 1517.48 | 1627.47 | 25.74% | 74.26% | -3.60 | 16-15 |
| 2006-08-08 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 91-79 | 1513.88 | 1405.97 | 74.03% | 25.97% | +6.28 | 17-15 |
| 2006-08-11 | Detroit Shock | W 78-66 | 1520.16 | 1572.24 | 53.16% | 46.84% | +11.33 | 18-15 |
| 2006-08-13 | @ New York Liberty | L 81-93 | 1531.49 | 1388.83 | 59.74% | 40.26% | -14.45 | 18-16 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006-08-18 | @ Washington Mystics | W 76-61 | 1664.01 | 1517.04 | 60.34% | 39.66% | +10.72 | 1-0 |
| 2006-08-20 | Washington Mystics | W 68-65 | 1674.73 | 1506.32 | 80.15% | 19.85% | +2.40 | 2-0 |
| 2006-08-24 | @ Detroit Shock | L 59-70 | 1677.13 | 1603.79 | 49.89% | 50.11% | -11.55 | 2-1 |
| 2006-08-26 | Detroit Shock | W 77-68 | 1665.58 | 1615.34 | 67.17% | 32.83% | +6.88 | 3-1 |
| 2006-08-27 | Detroit Shock | L 55-79 | 1672.46 | 1608.46 | 68.89% | 31.11% | -23.56 | 3-2 |
| 2006-08-17 | @ Indiana Fever | W 68-56 | 1579.95 | 1573.87 | 40.34% | 59.66% | +14.43 | 1-0 |
| 2006-08-19 | Indiana Fever | W 98-83 | 1594.38 | 1559.44 | 65.19% | 34.81% | +9.41 | 2-0 |
| 2006-08-24 | Connecticut Sun | W 70-59 | 1603.79 | 1677.13 | 50.11% | 49.89% | +11.55 | 3-0 |
| 2006-08-26 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 68-77 | 1615.34 | 1665.58 | 32.83% | 67.17% | -6.88 | 3-1 |
| 2006-08-27 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 79-55 | 1608.46 | 1672.46 | 31.11% | 68.89% | +23.56 | 4-1 |
| 2006-08-30 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 71-95 | 1632.02 | 1652.24 | 57.69% | 42.31% | -19.73 | 4-2 |
| 2006-09-01 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 73-63 | 1612.29 | 1671.97 | 52.07% | 47.93% | +10.58 | 5-2 |
| 2006-09-03 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 69-89 | 1622.87 | 1661.39 | 34.34% | 65.66% | -10.72 | 5-3 |
| 2006-09-06 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 72-52 | 1612.15 | 1672.11 | 31.61% | 68.39% | +21.35 | 6-3 |
| 2006-09-09 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 80-75 | 1633.50 | 1650.76 | 58.11% | 41.89% | +6.54 | 7-3 |
| 2006-08-17 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 78-93 | 1522.58 | 1611.80 | 47.82% | 52.18% | -12.93 | 0-1 |
| 2006-08-19 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 64-92 | 1509.65 | 1624.73 | 25.18% | 74.82% | -9.30 | 0-2 |
| 2006-08-17 | Detroit Shock | L 56-68 | 1573.87 | 1579.95 | 59.66% | 40.34% | -14.43 | 0-1 |
| 2006-08-19 | @ Detroit Shock | L 83-98 | 1559.44 | 1594.38 | 34.81% | 65.19% | -9.40 | 0-2 |
| 2006-08-18 | @ Seattle Storm | L 72-84 | 1595.09 | 1529.54 | 48.77% | 51.23% | -11.79 | 0-1 |
| 2006-08-20 | Seattle Storm | W 78-70 | 1583.30 | 1541.33 | 66.11% | 33.89% | +6.69 | 1-1 |
| 2006-08-22 | Seattle Storm | W 68-63 | 1589.99 | 1534.64 | 67.81% | 32.19% | +5.02 | 2-1 |
| 2006-08-24 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 61-64 | 1595.01 | 1634.03 | 34.27% | 65.73% | -4.14 | 2-2 |
| 2006-08-26 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 58-72 | 1590.87 | 1638.18 | 53.85% | 46.15% | -14.07 | 2-3 |
| 2006-08-17 | @ Houston Comets | W 93-78 | 1611.80 | 1522.58 | 52.18% | 47.82% | +12.93 | 1-0 |
| 2006-08-19 | Houston Comets | W 92-64 | 1624.73 | 1509.65 | 74.82% | 25.18% | +9.30 | 2-0 |
| 2006-08-24 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 64-61 | 1634.03 | 1595.01 | 65.73% | 34.27% | +4.15 | 3-0 |
| 2006-08-26 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 72-58 | 1638.18 | 1590.87 | 46.15% | 53.85% | +14.06 | 4-0 |
| 2006-08-30 | @ Detroit Shock | W 95-71 | 1652.24 | 1632.02 | 42.31% | 57.69% | +19.73 | 5-0 |
| 2006-09-01 | @ Detroit Shock | L 63-73 | 1671.97 | 1612.29 | 47.93% | 52.07% | -10.58 | 5-1 |
| 2006-09-03 | Detroit Shock | W 89-69 | 1661.39 | 1622.87 | 65.66% | 34.34% | +10.72 | 6-1 |
| 2006-09-06 | Detroit Shock | L 52-72 | 1672.11 | 1612.15 | 68.39% | 31.61% | -21.35 | 6-2 |
| 2006-09-09 | @ Detroit Shock | L 75-80 | 1650.76 | 1633.50 | 41.89% | 58.11% | -6.54 | 6-3 |
| 2006-08-18 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 84-72 | 1529.54 | 1595.09 | 51.23% | 48.77% | +11.79 | 1-0 |
| 2006-08-20 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 70-78 | 1541.33 | 1583.30 | 33.89% | 66.11% | -6.69 | 1-1 |
| 2006-08-22 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-68 | 1534.64 | 1589.99 | 32.19% | 67.81% | -5.02 | 1-2 |
| 2006-08-18 | Connecticut Sun | L 61-76 | 1517.04 | 1664.01 | 39.66% | 60.34% | -10.72 | 0-1 |
| 2006-08-20 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 65-68 | 1506.32 | 1674.73 | 19.85% | 80.15% | -2.40 | 0-2 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2006-08-13 | 7.80% | Chicago Sky | 1235.99 | 80 | @ Indiana Fever | 1590.90 | 73 |
| 2 | 2006-06-02 | 19.22% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1435.24 | 74 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 1610.57 | 71 |
| 3 | 2006-07-19 | 20.34% | Charlotte Sting | 1392.30 | 73 | @ Detroit Shock | 1555.38 | 67 |
| 4 | 2006-08-11 | 22.66% | Indiana Fever | 1567.37 | 87 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1706.58 | 68 |
| 5 | 2006-07-03 | 24.22% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1447.71 | 85 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1571.80 | 63 |
| 6 | 2006-05-27 | 25.80% | Detroit Shock | 1497.51 | 77 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1606.90 | 73 |
| 7 | 2006-05-21 | 26.43% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1423.32 | 79 | @ Houston Comets | 1527.08 | 63 |
| 8 | 2006-06-30 | 26.85% | Detroit Shock | 1532.49 | 70 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1632.50 | 64 |
| 9 | 2006-06-04 | 27.24% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1445.01 | 89 | @ Seattle Storm | 1541.61 | 87 |
| 10 | 2006-06-27 | 27.79% | Charlotte Sting | 1372.37 | 73 | @ New York Liberty | 1464.16 | 67 |
| 11 | 2006-05-25 | 28.01% | Houston Comets | 1529.86 | 81 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 1619.74 | 66 |
| 12 | 2006-05-20 | 28.33% | Chicago Sky | 1350.00 | 83 | @ Charlotte Sting | 1437.16 | 82 |
| 13 | 2006-07-29 | 30.28% | Washington Mystics | 1496.05 | 74 | @ Indiana Fever | 1566.84 | 67 |
| 14 | 2006-08-27 * | 31.11% | Detroit Shock | 1608.46 | 79 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1672.46 | 55 |
| 15 | 2006-05-31 | 31.30% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1423.49 | 82 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1485.99 | 76 |
| 16 | 2006-07-06 | 31.31% | Phoenix Mercury | 1482.63 | 91 | @ Detroit Shock | 1545.00 | 76 |
| 17 | 2006-09-06 * | 31.61% | Detroit Shock | 1612.15 | 72 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 1672.11 | 52 |
| 18 | 2006-06-21 | 31.64% | Phoenix Mercury | 1482.60 | 87 | @ Seattle Storm | 1542.35 | 80 |
| 19 | 2006-07-29 | 33.05% | New York Liberty | 1370.12 | 85 | @ Charlotte Sting | 1418.65 | 80 |
| 20 | 2006-05-23 | 33.17% | Houston Comets | 1506.54 | 84 | @ Seattle Storm | 1554.12 | 59 |
| 21 | 2006-08-03 | 34.08% | @ New York Liberty | 1386.40 | 75 | Detroit Shock | 1575.07 | 67 |
| 22 | 2006-07-15 | 34.13% | @ Charlotte Sting | 1377.76 | 75 | Indiana Fever | 1566.04 | 65 |
| 23 | 2006-08-01 | 34.68% | Charlotte Sting | 1404.02 | 68 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1439.90 | 65 |
| 24 | 2006-06-28 | 35.28% | Seattle Storm | 1544.96 | 75 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1576.29 | 67 |
| 25 | 2006-07-27 | 35.70% | Charlotte Sting | 1402.47 | 81 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1430.56 | 68 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2006-07-03 | 24.81 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 85 | 1447.71 | 24.22% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 63 | 1571.80 | 75.78% |
| 2 | 2006-08-27 * | 23.56 | Detroit Shock | 79 | 1608.46 | 31.11% | @ Connecticut Sun | 55 | 1672.46 | 68.89% |
| 3 | 2006-08-11 | 23.53 | Indiana Fever | 87 | 1567.37 | 22.66% | @ Connecticut Sun | 68 | 1706.58 | 77.34% |
| 4 | 2006-05-23 | 23.32 | Houston Comets | 84 | 1506.54 | 33.17% | @ Seattle Storm | 59 | 1554.12 | 66.83% |
| 5 | 2006-05-31 | 22.83 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 114 | 1450.76 | 50.13% | Los Angeles Sparks | 71 | 1523.92 | 49.87% |
| 6 | 2006-09-06 * | 21.35 | Detroit Shock | 72 | 1612.15 | 31.61% | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 52 | 1672.11 | 68.39% |
| 7 | 2006-05-21 | 20.54 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 79 | 1423.32 | 26.43% | @ Houston Comets | 63 | 1527.08 | 73.57% |
| 8 | 2006-08-30 * | 19.73 | Sacramento Monarchs | 95 | 1652.24 | 42.31% | @ Detroit Shock | 71 | 1632.02 | 57.69% |
| 9 | 2006-05-25 | 19.46 | Houston Comets | 81 | 1529.86 | 28.01% | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 66 | 1619.74 | 71.99% |
| 10 | 2006-08-13 | 19.04 | @ Detroit Shock | 88 | 1560.91 | 43.13% | Connecticut Sun | 65 | 1683.05 | 56.87% |
| 11 | 2006-07-06 | 18.57 | Phoenix Mercury | 91 | 1482.63 | 31.31% | @ Detroit Shock | 76 | 1545.00 | 68.69% |
| 12 | 2006-06-16 | 17.87 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 90 | 1433.38 | 53.28% | Minnesota Lynx | 60 | 1484.65 | 46.72% |
| 13 | 2006-07-22 | 17.19 | Seattle Storm | 89 | 1518.03 | 58.37% | @ New York Liberty | 54 | 1385.21 | 41.63% |
| 14 | 2006-08-13 | 17.03 | Chicago Sky | 80 | 1235.99 | 7.80% | @ Indiana Fever | 73 | 1590.90 | 92.20% |
| 15 | 2006-06-23 | 16.71 | Los Angeles Sparks | 77 | 1551.23 | 36.03% | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 63 | 1576.85 | 63.97% |
| 16 | 2006-05-23 | 16.47 | @ Washington Mystics | 95 | 1496.08 | 60.12% | New York Liberty | 60 | 1498.87 | 39.88% |
| 17 | 2006-07-27 | 16.18 | Charlotte Sting | 81 | 1402.47 | 35.70% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 68 | 1430.56 | 64.30% |
| 18 | 2006-06-30 | 16.10 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 91 | 1426.37 | 36.05% | @ New York Liberty | 78 | 1451.82 | 63.95% |
| 19 | 2006-07-28 | 15.99 | @ Chicago Sky | 79 | 1261.06 | 38.79% | Minnesota Lynx | 65 | 1414.38 | 61.21% |
| 20 | 2006-07-07 | 15.95 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 94 | 1472.52 | 47.59% | Houston Comets | 75 | 1563.37 | 52.41% |
| 21 | 2006-07-19 | 15.78 | Phoenix Mercury | 96 | 1494.99 | 37.29% | @ Washington Mystics | 83 | 1511.21 | 62.71% |
| 22 | 2006-07-14 | 15.77 | @ Charlotte Sting | 81 | 1362.00 | 43.54% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 65 | 1481.22 | 56.46% |
| 23 | 2006-07-30 | 15.32 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 94 | 1594.53 | 61.79% | Detroit Shock | 61 | 1585.11 | 38.21% |
| 24 | 2006-06-06 | 15.27 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 90 | 1467.28 | 41.53% | Sacramento Monarchs | 76 | 1600.81 | 58.47% |
| 25 | 2006-08-08 | 15.13 | Indiana Fever | 77 | 1560.75 | 62.26% | @ New York Liberty | 44 | 1399.69 | 37.74% |