2005 WNBA Season
221 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Sacramento Monarchs
1st Title
Runner-Up
Connecticut Sun
2
Last Appearance: 2004
Biggest Overachiever
Connecticut Sun
4.51 wins above expected
26 wins · 21.49 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Charlotte Sting
5.48 wins below expected
6 wins · 11.48 expected wins
Final Standings
Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut Sun League | 26 | 8 | .765 | — | 72.8 | 66.0 | +6.8 | 21.49 | +4.51 |
| 2 | Indiana Fever Playoffs | 21 | 13 | .618 | 5 | 63.8 | 62.7 | +1.1 | 17.16 | +3.84 |
| 3 | New York Liberty Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 8 | 68.1 | 67.2 | +0.9 | 17.18 | +0.82 |
| 4 | Detroit Shock Playoffs | 16 | 18 | .471 | 10 | 66.1 | 67.3 | -1.2 | 17.17 | -1.17 |
| 5 | Washington Mystics | 16 | 18 | .471 | 10 | 66.6 | 67.8 | -1.2 | 16.02 | -0.02 |
| 6 | Charlotte Sting | 6 | 28 | .176 | 20 | 61.6 | 68.7 | -7.1 | 11.48 | -5.48 |
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacramento Monarchs League | 25 | 9 | .735 | — | 68.5 | 61.6 | +6.9 | 21.22 | +3.78 |
| 2 | Seattle Storm Playoffs | 20 | 14 | .588 | 5 | 73.5 | 70.8 | +2.7 | 19.42 | +0.58 |
| 3 | Houston Comets Playoffs | 19 | 15 | .559 | 6 | 67.9 | 66.6 | +1.4 | 17.01 | +1.99 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs | 17 | 17 | .500 | 8 | 68.4 | 69.0 | -0.6 | 18.52 | -1.52 |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury | 16 | 18 | .471 | 9 | 69.4 | 69.2 | +0.2 | 16.30 | -0.30 |
| 6 | Minnesota Lynx | 14 | 20 | .412 | 11 | 65.0 | 67.3 | -2.3 | 15.96 | -1.96 |
| 7 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 7 | 27 | .206 | 18 | 63.0 | 70.6 | -7.6 | 12.08 | -5.08 |
Playoff Bracket
Eastern Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
Western Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
WNBA Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | Eastern | 1635 | 26 | 21.49 | +4.51 | 97.53% | 11 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 26 | 31 | |
| Sacramento Monarchs | Western | 1631 | 25 | 21.22 | +3.78 | 94.90% | 10 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 26 | 30 | |
| Seattle Storm | Western | 1577 | 20 | 19.42 | +0.58 | 65.44% | 9 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 29 | |
| Indiana Fever | Eastern | 1536 | 21 | 17.16 | +3.84 | 94.12% | 6 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 27 | |
| Houston Comets | Western | 1524 | 19 | 17.01 | +1.99 | 81.69% | 8 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 27 | |
| New York Liberty | Eastern | 1513 | 18 | 17.18 | +0.82 | 68.84% | 7 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 27 | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | Western | 1506 | 17 | 18.52 | -1.52 | 34.88% | 8 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 23 | 30 | |
| Phoenix Mercury | Western | 1498 | 16 | 16.30 | -0.30 | 52.92% | 6 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 27 | |
| Detroit Shock | Eastern | 1486 | 16 | 17.17 | -1.17 | 40.45% | 8 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 27 | |
| Washington Mystics | Eastern | 1472 | 16 | 16.02 | -0.02 | 56.75% | 6 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 27 | |
| Minnesota Lynx | Western | 1438 | 14 | 15.96 | -1.96 | 29.12% | 6 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 26 | |
| Charlotte Sting | Eastern | 1353 | 6 | 11.48 | -5.48 | 2.42% | 0 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 21 | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | Western | 1333 | 7 | 12.08 | -5.08 | 3.98% | 3 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.
Within Eastern
| Team | Sting | Sun | Shock | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | — |
0-4
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.6 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
4-0
(3.2 exp.)
|
— |
1-3
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.6 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.6 exp.)
|
| Detroit Shock |
2-2
(2.7 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
4-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
2-2
(2.8 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
4-0
(2.4 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
— |
Eastern vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Comets | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Monarchs | Stars | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting |
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Detroit Shock |
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
Within Western
| Team | Comets | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Monarchs | Stars | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | — |
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
— |
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
— |
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
| Sacramento Monarchs |
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.6 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
|
— |
4-0
(2.9 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.6 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.1 exp.)
|
— |
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
|
— |
Western vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Sting | Sun | Shock | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets |
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Sacramento Monarchs |
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
Scoreline Distribution
Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | 0.90% | 1.36% | — | 0.23% | — | 2.49% |
| 50–59 | 0.90% | 3.17% | 10.63% | 3.39% | 0.23% | 0.45% | 18.78% |
| 60–69 | 1.36% | 10.63% | 9.50% | 14.93% | 2.71% | — | 39.14% |
| 70–79 | — | 3.39% | 14.93% | 7.24% | 4.30% | 0.45% | 30.32% |
| 80–89 | 0.23% | 0.23% | 2.71% | 4.30% | 0.45% | 0.23% | 8.14% |
| 90+ | — | 0.45% | — | 0.45% | 0.23% | — | 1.13% |
| Total | 2.49% | 18.78% | 39.14% | 30.32% | 8.14% | 1.13% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 67.29 | 67.29 | +0.00 |
| SD | 9.50 | 9.50 | 11.88 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 95 | 95 | +40 |
| Min | 40 | 40 | -40 |
Games Played: 221
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | 8.82% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 50–59 | 2.94% | — | 26.47% | 5.88% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | 14.71% | 20.59% | 2.94% | — | 41.18% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | — | 8.82% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.94% | 2.94% | 52.94% | 32.35% | 8.82% | — | 100% |
Charlotte Sting — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 61.62 | 68.68 | -7.06 |
| SD | 9.38 | 7.68 | 8.52 |
| CV | 0.15 | 0.11 | — |
| Max | 84 | 84 | +12 |
| Min | 42 | 49 | -20 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 8.82% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 60–69 | — | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 70–79 | — | 8.82% | 26.47% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 41.18% |
| 80–89 | 2.94% | — | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 23.53% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 2.94% | 20.59% | 52.94% | 17.65% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 72.76 | 66.00 | +6.76 |
| SD | 8.79 | 9.98 | 10.69 |
| CV | 0.12 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 90 | 95 | +34 |
| Min | 53 | 47 | -11 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 50–59 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 2.94% | 17.65% |
| 60–69 | — | 11.76% | 8.82% | 20.59% | 2.94% | — | 44.12% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 20.59% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 35.29% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.94% | 20.59% | 35.29% | 29.41% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Detroit Shock — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 66.09 | 67.26 | -1.18 |
| SD | 8.39 | 10.07 | 11.43 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 79 | 91 | +15 |
| Min | 49 | 40 | -40 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 50–59 | — | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 60–69 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 11.76% | 17.65% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.94% | 17.65% | 41.18% | 32.35% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Houston Comets — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 67.91 | 66.56 | +1.35 |
| SD | 9.30 | 8.79 | 10.38 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 86 | 83 | +26 |
| Min | 45 | 44 | -20 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 50–59 | — | 8.82% | 14.71% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 60–69 | 2.94% | 32.35% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 50.00% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 8.82% | — | 14.71% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.94% | 47.06% | 32.35% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | 100% |
Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 63.82 | 62.74 | +1.09 |
| SD | 9.93 | 10.38 | 10.28 |
| CV | 0.16 | 0.17 | — |
| Max | 84 | 88 | +25 |
| Min | 40 | 46 | -21 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 60–69 | — | 14.71% | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 11.76% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 20.59% | 32.35% | 38.24% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 68.41 | 68.97 | -0.56 |
| SD | 9.21 | 9.47 | 12.97 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 86 | 90 | +23 |
| Min | 51 | 50 | -28 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 50–59 | — | 2.94% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 60–69 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 17.65% | 2.94% | — | 41.18% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 11.76% | 14.71% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.94% | 14.71% | 38.24% | 38.24% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 65.03 | 67.29 | -2.26 |
| SD | 8.91 | 8.26 | 10.69 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.12 | — |
| Max | 86 | 83 | +21 |
| Min | 47 | 45 | -19 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | 2.94% | — | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 60–69 | — | 14.71% | 11.76% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 41.18% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 8.82% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.94% | 17.65% | 44.12% | 29.41% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
New York Liberty — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 68.12 | 67.21 | +0.91 |
| SD | 8.73 | 8.66 | 9.89 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 89 | 87 | +18 |
| Min | 50 | 47 | -25 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 60–69 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | 32.35% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 20.59% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | 38.24% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 90+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 2.94% | 11.76% | 41.18% | 26.47% | 17.65% | — | 100% |
Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 69.44 | 69.24 | +0.21 |
| SD | 8.61 | 9.93 | 13.26 |
| CV | 0.12 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 91 | 86 | +34 |
| Min | 54 | 49 | -23 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 60–69 | — | 26.47% | 5.88% | 14.71% | — | — | 47.06% |
| 70–79 | — | 8.82% | 17.65% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 90+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 2.94% | 44.12% | 29.41% | 20.59% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Sacramento Monarchs — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 68.50 | 61.56 | +6.94 |
| SD | 8.53 | 8.85 | 11.63 |
| CV | 0.12 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 91 | 81 | +40 |
| Min | 50 | 45 | -14 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 50–59 | — | 2.94% | 14.71% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 60–69 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 23.53% | 2.94% | — | 41.18% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 17.65% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.94% | 5.88% | 35.29% | 44.12% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 100% |
San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 62.97 | 70.62 | -7.65 |
| SD | 8.71 | 9.35 | 11.59 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 81 | 92 | +15 |
| Min | 44 | 49 | -34 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 2.94% | 17.65% | 5.88% | — | 26.47% |
| 70–79 | — | 5.88% | 26.47% | 17.65% | — | — | 50.00% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 11.76% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 5.88% |
| Total | — | 5.88% | 35.29% | 47.06% | 11.76% | — | 100% |
Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 73.47 | 70.79 | +2.68 |
| SD | 9.66 | 8.38 | 11.98 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.12 | — |
| Max | 95 | 86 | +28 |
| Min | 50 | 51 | -18 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% |
| 50–59 | — | — | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 60–69 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 17.65% | 5.88% | — | 47.06% |
| 70–79 | — | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 26.47% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.94% | 14.71% | 38.24% | 29.41% | 14.71% | — | 100% |
Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 66.56 | 67.79 | -1.24 |
| SD | 8.77 | 10.11 | 12.53 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 88 | 84 | +21 |
| Min | 47 | 42 | -34 |
Games Played: 34
Actual Wins vs. Point Differential
Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut Sun | 26 | 21.49 | +4.51 |
| 2 | Indiana Fever | 21 | 17.16 | +3.84 |
| 3 | Sacramento Monarchs | 25 | 21.22 | +3.78 |
| 4 | Houston Comets | 19 | 17.01 | +1.99 |
| 5 | New York Liberty | 18 | 17.18 | +0.82 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Sting | 6 | 11.48 | -5.48 |
| 2 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 7 | 12.08 | -5.08 |
| 3 | Minnesota Lynx | 14 | 15.96 | -1.96 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Sparks | 17 | 18.52 | -1.52 |
| 5 | Detroit Shock | 16 | 17.17 | -1.17 |
Top Streaks
The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut Sun | 8 | May 22 – Jun 20 | 1 in 139 |
| 2 | Houston Comets | 6 | Jun 18 – Jul 7 | 1 in 53 |
| 3 | Minnesota Lynx | 4 | Jun 4 – Jun 15 | 1 in 25 |
| 4 | Indiana Fever | 4 | Aug 14 – Aug 23 | 1 in 23 |
| 5 | Charlotte Sting | 2 | Aug 23 – Aug 25 | 1 in 17 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 9 | Aug 2 – Aug 26 | 1 in 49 |
| 2 | Minnesota Lynx | 5 | Jul 24 – Aug 3 | 1 in 29 |
| 3 | Charlotte Sting | 10 | Jul 12 – Aug 4 | 1 in 23 |
| 4 | Houston Comets | 4 | Jun 7 – Jun 15 | 1 in 14 |
| 5 | Detroit Shock | 4 | Jun 12 – Jun 24 | 1 in 13 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 67.77% | 18.86% | 8.07% | 3.89% | 1.31% | 0.10% |
| New York Liberty | 9.14% | 22.57% | 22.86% | 22.98% | 17.89% | 4.56% |
| Detroit Shock | 9.39% | 21.48% | 24.31% | 21.72% | 17.99% | 5.11% |
| Indiana Fever | 9.12% | 22.55% | 23.09% | 21.89% | 18.23% | 5.12% |
| Washington Mystics | 4.46% | 13.75% | 19.61% | 23.67% | 28.91% | 9.60% |
| Charlotte Sting | 0.12% | 0.79% | 2.06% | 5.85% | 15.67% | 75.51% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Monarchs | 50.08% | 24.17% | 13.51% | 6.91% | 3.66% | 1.42% | 0.25% |
| Seattle Storm | 22.28% | 26.49% | 20.72% | 14.30% | 9.86% | 5.08% | 1.27% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 14.84% | 21.19% | 21.79% | 18.53% | 13.14% | 8.27% | 2.24% |
| Houston Comets | 5.71% | 11.99% | 17.72% | 20.18% | 20.54% | 16.98% | 6.88% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 3.88% | 8.66% | 13.54% | 18.45% | 22.04% | 23.23% | 10.20% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 3.11% | 6.97% | 11.44% | 18.07% | 23.11% | 25.91% | 11.39% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.10% | 0.53% | 1.28% | 3.56% | 7.65% | 19.11% | 67.77% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 34.10% | 22.63% | 14.67% | 9.67% | 6.52% | 4.70% | 2.96% | 1.99% | 1.42% | 0.80% | 0.37% | 0.14% | 0.03% |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 30.36% | 22.94% | 14.81% | 10.33% | 7.44% | 5.23% | 3.46% | 2.23% | 1.78% | 0.74% | 0.43% | 0.18% | 0.07% |
| Seattle Storm | 12.61% | 14.49% | 14.93% | 13.31% | 11.09% | 9.08% | 7.71% | 5.81% | 4.52% | 3.14% | 2.09% | 0.92% | 0.30% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 7.13% | 10.70% | 12.53% | 12.27% | 11.69% | 10.54% | 9.28% | 8.13% | 6.73% | 5.05% | 3.59% | 1.81% | 0.55% |
| New York Liberty | 2.91% | 5.03% | 7.59% | 8.49% | 10.77% | 10.72% | 10.55% | 11.33% | 10.18% | 9.27% | 7.19% | 4.21% | 1.76% |
| Indiana Fever | 2.91% | 5.23% | 7.77% | 9.46% | 9.39% | 10.56% | 10.77% | 10.16% | 10.04% | 9.72% | 7.72% | 4.33% | 1.94% |
| Detroit Shock | 3.18% | 5.26% | 7.10% | 9.03% | 9.76% | 10.38% | 11.30% | 10.65% | 9.74% | 9.64% | 7.72% | 4.51% | 1.73% |
| Houston Comets | 2.79% | 4.82% | 7.05% | 8.52% | 10.08% | 10.22% | 10.36% | 10.58% | 10.71% | 9.69% | 8.04% | 5.11% | 2.03% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 1.56% | 3.45% | 5.06% | 6.81% | 7.83% | 8.79% | 10.22% | 10.72% | 11.45% | 12.14% | 11.12% | 7.52% | 3.33% |
| Washington Mystics | 1.12% | 2.59% | 4.13% | 5.72% | 7.20% | 8.98% | 10.24% | 11.16% | 12.14% | 12.11% | 12.38% | 8.09% | 4.14% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 1.30% | 2.67% | 3.95% | 5.74% | 6.92% | 8.68% | 9.46% | 11.47% | 11.95% | 13.19% | 12.34% | 8.30% | 4.03% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.02% | 0.16% | 0.26% | 0.40% | 0.77% | 1.42% | 2.12% | 3.50% | 5.27% | 7.80% | 14.83% | 28.22% | 35.23% |
| Charlotte Sting | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.15% | 0.25% | 0.54% | 0.70% | 1.57% | 2.27% | 4.07% | 6.71% | 12.18% | 26.66% | 44.86% |
Win Totals in Context
How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 67.77% | 18.86% | 8.07% | 3.89% | 1.41% |
| Detroit Shock | 9.39% | 21.48% | 24.31% | 21.72% | 23.10% |
| New York Liberty | 9.14% | 22.57% | 22.86% | 22.98% | 22.45% |
| Indiana Fever | 9.12% | 22.55% | 23.09% | 21.89% | 23.35% |
| Washington Mystics | 4.46% | 13.75% | 19.61% | 23.67% | 38.51% |
| Charlotte Sting | 0.12% | 0.79% | 2.06% | 5.85% | 91.18% |
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Monarchs | 50.08% | 24.17% | 13.51% | 6.91% | 5.33% |
| Seattle Storm | 22.28% | 26.49% | 20.72% | 14.30% | 16.21% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 14.84% | 21.19% | 21.79% | 18.53% | 23.65% |
| Houston Comets | 5.71% | 11.99% | 17.72% | 20.18% | 44.40% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 3.88% | 8.66% | 13.54% | 18.45% | 55.47% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 3.11% | 6.97% | 11.44% | 18.07% | 60.41% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.10% | 0.53% | 1.28% | 3.56% | 94.53% |
Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed
The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 98.59% | 77.74% | 59.38% | 36.12% |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 94.67% | 70.57% | 48.53% | 28.29% |
| Seattle Storm | 83.79% | 50.84% | 24.59% | 12.10% |
| Indiana Fever | 76.65% | 37.65% | 14.62% | 5.58% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 76.35% | 30.43% | 10.69% | 4.02% |
| New York Liberty | 77.55% | 34.16% | 11.55% | 3.87% |
| Houston Comets | 55.60% | 22.87% | 8.51% | 3.28% |
| Detroit Shock | 76.90% | 28.93% | 8.59% | 2.72% |
| Washington Mystics | 61.49% | 20.23% | 5.67% | 1.72% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 44.53% | 15.01% | 5.15% | 1.64% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 39.59% | 9.67% | 2.43% | 0.64% |
| Charlotte Sting | 8.82% | 1.29% | 0.19% | 0.01% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 5.47% | 0.61% | 0.10% | 0.01% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charlotte Sting | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | 0.36% | 0.30% | 0.20% | 0.30% | 0.13% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 4.22% | 19.49% | 17.01% | 18.47% | 18.55% | |
| Detroit Shock | 0.95% | 4.67% | 7.66% | 8.77% | 6.88% | |
| Indiana Fever | 0.86% | 5.97% | 11.88% | 10.99% | 7.95% | |
| New York Liberty | 1.02% | 5.78% | 10.46% | 9.15% | 7.75% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.48% | 4.07% | 5.84% | 4.98% | 4.86% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | 6.03% | 2.86% | 2.63% | 4.94% | 0.39% | 6.02% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 5.91% | 4.99% | 5.28% | 5.57% | 0.79% | 7.89% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 1.46% | 2.73% | 1.04% | 2.12% | 0.18% | 2.14% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 2.24% | 4.11% | 1.52% | 3.45% | 0.15% | 3.54% | |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 13.29% | 17.47% | 12.37% | 11.95% | 2.28% | 13.21% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.05% | 0.16% | 0.05% | 0.04% | 0.16% | 0.15% | |
| Seattle Storm | 9.78% | 15.42% | 8.13% | 8.58% | 7.86% | 1.07% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charlotte Sting | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.07% | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.66% | 14.47% | 17.77% | 16.59% | 9.89% | |
| Detroit Shock | 0.10% | 3.82% | 1.80% | 1.71% | 1.16% | |
| Indiana Fever | 0.20% | 6.87% | 2.69% | 3.01% | 1.85% | |
| New York Liberty | 0.08% | 5.35% | 2.23% | 2.30% | 1.59% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.06% | 2.27% | 0.93% | 1.16% | 1.25% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | 1.74% | 0.54% | 0.73% | 3.30% | 0.05% | 2.15% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1.60% | 0.88% | 1.04% | 4.22% | 0.03% | 2.92% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.28% | 0.46% | 0.18% | 0.87% | 0.02% | 0.62% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.63% | 0.81% | 0.40% | 1.95% | 0.04% | 1.32% | |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 7.98% | 11.82% | 3.78% | 5.46% | 0.26% | 19.23% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.01% | |
| Seattle Storm | 3.86% | 4.89% | 1.63% | 2.44% | 11.66% | 0.11% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charlotte Sting | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Houston Comets | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 3.86% | 4.54% | 1.32% | 2.36% | 14.96% | 0.04% | 9.04% | ||||||
| Detroit Shock | 0.30% | 0.49% | 0.06% | 0.21% | 0.95% | 0.01% | 0.70% | ||||||
| Houston Comets | 0.01% | 1.48% | 0.37% | 0.58% | 0.54% | 0.30% | |||||||
| Indiana Fever | 0.58% | 0.89% | 0.16% | 0.39% | 2.29% | 0.01% | 1.26% | ||||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1.94% | 0.45% | 0.72% | 0.66% | 0.25% | ||||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.31% | 0.06% | 0.12% | 0.10% | 0.05% | ||||||||
| New York Liberty | 0.37% | 0.53% | 0.14% | 0.34% | 1.42% | 0.03% | 1.04% | ||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.01% | 0.64% | 0.32% | 0.28% | 0.25% | 0.14% | |||||||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 0.12% | 13.47% | 3.20% | 5.11% | 4.34% | 2.05% | |||||||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| Seattle Storm | 0.04% | 5.42% | 1.47% | 2.23% | 1.78% | 1.16% | |||||||
| Washington Mystics | 0.12% | 0.22% | 0.11% | 0.21% | 0.62% | 0.44% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 82.04% | 61.17% | 37.68% | Eliminated in Finals |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 78.25% | 54.00% | 30.51% | Won Finals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 82.04% | |||
| Detroit Shock | 17.96% | |||
| Indiana Fever | 62.36% | |||
| New York Liberty | 37.64% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Sacramento Monarchs | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | 32.11% | |||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 21.75% | |||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 78.25% | |||
| Seattle Storm | 67.89% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 37.77% | 23.40% | ||
| Detroit Shock | 3.97% | 2.67% | ||
| Indiana Fever | 13.69% | 6.93% | ||
| New York Liberty | 7.18% | 4.39% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Sacramento Monarchs | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | 4.18% | 6.72% | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 2.88% | 4.58% | ||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 18.33% | 35.67% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 10.11% | 17.53% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Houston Comets | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | New York Liberty | Sacramento Monarchs | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 4.91% | 3.61% | 18.08% | 11.08% | ||||
| Detroit Shock | 0.20% | 0.13% | 0.72% | 0.56% | ||||
| Houston Comets | 1.67% | 0.61% | 1.06% | 0.82% | ||||
| Indiana Fever | 1.14% | 0.84% | 3.05% | 2.91% | ||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1.02% | 0.26% | 0.77% | 0.42% | ||||
| New York Liberty | 0.49% | 0.41% | 1.64% | 1.11% | ||||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 15.07% | 2.86% | 7.83% | 4.75% | ||||
| Seattle Storm | 5.73% | 1.30% | 3.02% | 1.93% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005-05-21 | Washington Mystics | L 42-60 | 1476.22 | 1477.98 | 64.48% | 35.52% | -18.96 | 0-1 |
| 2005-05-22 | @ Indiana Fever | L 58-68 | 1457.26 | 1477.33 | 32.70% | 67.30% | -7.16 | 0-2 |
| 2005-05-26 | Phoenix Mercury | L 58-68 | 1450.10 | 1482.86 | 60.29% | 39.71% | -13.22 | 0-3 |
| 2005-05-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 84-75 | 1436.88 | 1568.17 | 46.27% | 53.73% | +11.17 | 1-3 |
| 2005-06-02 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 62-69 | 1448.05 | 1407.71 | 40.76% | 59.24% | -7.47 | 1-4 |
| 2005-06-04 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 67-73 | 1440.58 | 1476.08 | 30.78% | 69.22% | -5.22 | 1-5 |
| 2005-06-10 | @ Detroit Shock | L 55-69 | 1435.36 | 1521.64 | 24.92% | 75.08% | -6.46 | 1-6 |
| 2005-06-12 | Seattle Storm | L 60-62 | 1428.90 | 1564.98 | 45.58% | 54.42% | -4.47 | 1-7 |
| 2005-06-16 | Indiana Fever | L 57-60 | 1424.43 | 1498.00 | 54.55% | 45.45% | -6.55 | 1-8 |
| 2005-06-23 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 49-64 | 1417.88 | 1386.09 | 68.76% | 31.24% | -18.46 | 1-9 |
| 2005-06-25 | New York Liberty | W 67-61 | 1399.42 | 1494.91 | 51.41% | 48.59% | +8.25 | 2-9 |
| 2005-06-28 | Washington Mystics | L 61-66 | 1407.67 | 1489.43 | 53.38% | 46.62% | -8.27 | 2-10 |
| 2005-06-30 | @ Washington Mystics | L 50-65 | 1399.40 | 1497.70 | 23.65% | 76.35% | -6.35 | 2-11 |
| 2005-07-02 | @ Houston Comets | L 65-75 | 1393.05 | 1491.04 | 23.68% | 76.32% | -5.19 | 2-12 |
| 2005-07-07 | Minnesota Lynx | W 66-58 | 1387.86 | 1505.41 | 48.24% | 51.76% | +10.15 | 3-12 |
| 2005-07-12 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 59-71 | 1398.01 | 1540.28 | 19.39% | 80.61% | -4.66 | 3-13 |
| 2005-07-13 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 62-82 | 1393.35 | 1459.84 | 27.11% | 72.89% | -8.40 | 3-14 |
| 2005-07-17 | Houston Comets | L 55-67 | 1384.95 | 1504.00 | 48.02% | 51.98% | -11.53 | 3-15 |
| 2005-07-19 | Connecticut Sun | L 55-64 | 1373.42 | 1616.71 | 31.12% | 68.88% | -6.47 | 3-16 |
| 2005-07-22 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 63-73 | 1366.95 | 1611.44 | 11.78% | 88.22% | -2.58 | 3-17 |
| 2005-07-23 | Indiana Fever | L 46-63 | 1364.37 | 1501.54 | 45.43% | 54.57% | -12.98 | 3-18 |
| 2005-07-26 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 54-64 | 1351.39 | 1588.30 | 12.24% | 87.76% | -2.68 | 3-19 |
| 2005-07-29 | @ Seattle Storm | L 68-79 | 1348.71 | 1546.29 | 14.89% | 85.11% | -3.42 | 3-20 |
| 2005-08-02 | @ Washington Mystics | L 63-65 | 1345.29 | 1488.77 | 19.28% | 80.72% | -1.89 | 3-21 |
| 2005-08-04 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 58-76 | 1343.40 | 1612.10 | 28.08% | 71.92% | -8.26 | 3-22 |
| 2005-08-06 | Detroit Shock | W 82-73 | 1335.14 | 1489.78 | 42.95% | 57.05% | +11.86 | 4-22 |
| 2005-08-09 | @ Detroit Shock | L 64-71 | 1347.00 | 1484.52 | 19.82% | 80.18% | -3.63 | 4-23 |
| 2005-08-12 | New York Liberty | L 74-82 | 1343.37 | 1529.76 | 38.54% | 61.46% | -7.55 | 4-24 |
| 2005-08-14 | @ New York Liberty | L 65-73 | 1335.82 | 1537.31 | 14.60% | 85.40% | -2.87 | 4-25 |
| 2005-08-18 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 70-84 | 1332.95 | 1646.01 | 8.25% | 91.75% | -2.14 | 4-26 |
| 2005-08-20 | @ Indiana Fever | L 53-62 | 1330.81 | 1519.19 | 15.57% | 84.43% | -3.23 | 4-27 |
| 2005-08-23 | Detroit Shock | W 56-49 | 1327.58 | 1493.05 | 41.43% | 58.57% | +10.74 | 5-27 |
| 2005-08-25 | @ New York Liberty | W 78-66 | 1338.32 | 1545.66 | 14.19% | 85.81% | +20.60 | 6-27 |
| 2005-08-27 | Connecticut Sun | L 69-78 | 1358.92 | 1629.42 | 27.87% | 72.13% | -5.80 | 6-28 |
| 2005-05-21 | @ Detroit Shock | L 67-78 | 1521.46 | 1511.06 | 36.67% | 63.33% | -8.43 | 0-1 |
| 2005-05-22 | @ Washington Mystics | W 69-67 | 1513.03 | 1496.93 | 37.44% | 62.56% | +6.13 | 1-1 |
| 2005-05-28 | Phoenix Mercury | W 85-68 | 1519.16 | 1496.07 | 67.68% | 32.32% | +9.23 | 2-1 |
| 2005-06-04 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 80-69 | 1528.39 | 1415.18 | 77.87% | 22.13% | +5.09 | 3-1 |
| 2005-06-07 | Seattle Storm | W 81-69 | 1533.48 | 1570.64 | 59.68% | 40.32% | +9.68 | 4-1 |
| 2005-06-10 | @ Houston Comets | W 77-57 | 1543.16 | 1497.96 | 41.44% | 58.56% | +18.15 | 5-1 |
| 2005-06-11 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 78-69 | 1561.31 | 1419.01 | 55.30% | 44.70% | +9.29 | 6-1 |
| 2005-06-18 | Detroit Shock | W 73-63 | 1570.60 | 1516.87 | 71.41% | 28.59% | +6.27 | 7-1 |
| 2005-06-20 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 90-70 | 1576.87 | 1561.83 | 37.29% | 62.71% | +19.43 | 8-1 |
| 2005-06-22 | @ Seattle Storm | L 86-95 | 1596.30 | 1558.10 | 40.46% | 59.54% | -8.41 | 8-2 |
| 2005-06-24 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 61-50 | 1587.89 | 1582.80 | 35.97% | 64.03% | +14.72 | 9-2 |
| 2005-06-25 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 77-69 | 1602.61 | 1453.06 | 56.33% | 43.67% | +8.56 | 10-2 |
| 2005-06-28 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 70-66 | 1611.17 | 1576.61 | 69.11% | 30.89% | +4.28 | 11-2 |
| 2005-06-30 | Minnesota Lynx | W 71-56 | 1615.45 | 1511.61 | 76.92% | 23.08% | +6.19 | 12-2 |
| 2005-07-07 | @ New York Liberty | L 79-89 | 1621.64 | 1482.01 | 54.93% | 45.07% | -12.04 | 12-3 |
| 2005-07-13 | @ Indiana Fever | L 53-64 | 1609.60 | 1485.92 | 52.64% | 47.36% | -12.10 | 12-4 |
| 2005-07-15 | Houston Comets | W 70-66 | 1597.50 | 1507.39 | 75.49% | 24.51% | +3.40 | 13-4 |
| 2005-07-17 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 72-53 | 1600.90 | 1511.80 | 47.67% | 52.33% | +15.81 | 14-4 |
| 2005-07-19 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 64-55 | 1616.71 | 1373.42 | 68.88% | 31.12% | +6.47 | 15-4 |
| 2005-07-20 | @ Detroit Shock | L 57-66 | 1623.18 | 1472.75 | 56.46% | 43.54% | -11.74 | 15-5 |
| 2005-07-22 | Charlotte Sting | W 73-63 | 1611.44 | 1366.95 | 88.22% | 11.78% | +2.58 | 16-5 |
| 2005-07-26 | Indiana Fever | W 68-55 | 1614.02 | 1514.52 | 76.48% | 23.52% | +5.88 | 17-5 |
| 2005-07-28 | New York Liberty | W 73-70 | 1619.90 | 1526.19 | 75.87% | 24.13% | +2.90 | 18-5 |
| 2005-07-30 | Detroit Shock | L 66-75 | 1622.80 | 1470.69 | 81.48% | 18.52% | -16.94 | 18-6 |
| 2005-08-02 | @ New York Liberty | W 72-65 | 1605.86 | 1532.11 | 45.47% | 54.53% | +10.00 | 19-6 |
| 2005-08-06 | @ Indiana Fever | W 74-65 | 1615.86 | 1513.68 | 49.55% | 50.45% | +10.48 | 20-6 |
| 2005-08-09 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 64-51 | 1626.34 | 1508.16 | 78.35% | 21.65% | +5.41 | 21-6 |
| 2005-08-11 | @ Washington Mystics | W 80-65 | 1631.75 | 1493.22 | 54.77% | 45.23% | +12.14 | 22-6 |
| 2005-08-14 | Washington Mystics | W 80-77 | 1643.89 | 1481.08 | 82.40% | 17.60% | +2.12 | 23-6 |
| 2005-08-18 | Charlotte Sting | W 84-70 | 1646.01 | 1332.95 | 91.75% | 8.25% | +2.14 | 24-6 |
| 2005-08-20 | New York Liberty | L 58-64 | 1648.15 | 1544.88 | 76.86% | 23.14% | -13.05 | 24-7 |
| 2005-08-23 | Indiana Fever | L 63-69 | 1635.10 | 1522.43 | 77.81% | 22.19% | -13.21 | 24-8 |
| 2005-08-26 | Washington Mystics | W 81-47 | 1621.89 | 1471.27 | 81.35% | 18.65% | +7.53 | 25-8 |
| 2005-08-27 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 78-69 | 1629.42 | 1358.92 | 72.13% | 27.87% | +5.80 | 26-8 |
| 2005-05-21 | Connecticut Sun | W 78-67 | 1511.06 | 1521.46 | 63.33% | 36.67% | +8.42 | 1-0 |
| 2005-05-22 | @ New York Liberty | W 78-71 | 1519.48 | 1486.71 | 39.71% | 60.29% | +11.06 | 2-0 |
| 2005-05-24 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 74-65 | 1530.54 | 1431.35 | 76.44% | 23.56% | +4.90 | 3-0 |
| 2005-06-03 | New York Liberty | W 68-66 | 1535.44 | 1477.25 | 71.93% | 28.07% | +2.75 | 4-0 |
| 2005-06-08 | Seattle Storm | L 61-76 | 1538.19 | 1560.97 | 61.66% | 38.34% | -16.55 | 4-1 |
| 2005-06-10 | Charlotte Sting | W 69-55 | 1521.64 | 1435.36 | 75.08% | 24.92% | +6.46 | 5-1 |
| 2005-06-12 | @ New York Liberty | L 69-72 | 1528.10 | 1474.57 | 42.60% | 57.40% | -5.11 | 5-2 |
| 2005-06-15 | @ Indiana Fever | L 79-84 | 1522.99 | 1491.89 | 39.48% | 60.52% | -6.12 | 5-3 |
| 2005-06-18 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 63-73 | 1516.87 | 1570.60 | 28.59% | 71.41% | -6.27 | 5-4 |
| 2005-06-24 | Washington Mystics | L 55-69 | 1510.60 | 1480.18 | 68.60% | 31.40% | -17.78 | 5-5 |
| 2005-06-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 79-73 | 1492.82 | 1551.25 | 56.70% | 43.30% | +7.35 | 6-5 |
| 2005-07-01 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 63-80 | 1500.17 | 1584.47 | 53.02% | 46.98% | -15.15 | 6-6 |
| 2005-07-05 | Houston Comets | L 66-75 | 1485.02 | 1496.23 | 63.22% | 36.78% | -13.15 | 6-7 |
| 2005-07-07 | @ Washington Mystics | W 76-62 | 1471.87 | 1504.05 | 31.19% | 68.81% | +17.85 | 7-7 |
| 2005-07-13 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 61-71 | 1489.72 | 1495.27 | 34.57% | 65.43% | -7.58 | 7-8 |
| 2005-07-15 | @ Indiana Fever | L 57-62 | 1482.14 | 1498.02 | 33.24% | 66.76% | -5.15 | 7-9 |
| 2005-07-17 | Indiana Fever | L 58-59 | 1476.99 | 1503.17 | 61.19% | 38.81% | -4.24 | 7-10 |
| 2005-07-20 | Connecticut Sun | W 66-57 | 1472.75 | 1623.18 | 43.54% | 56.46% | +11.74 | 8-10 |
| 2005-07-23 | @ Seattle Storm | L 71-74 | 1484.49 | 1542.93 | 28.04% | 71.96% | -3.37 | 8-11 |
| 2005-07-24 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 51-91 | 1481.12 | 1577.86 | 23.81% | 76.19% | -10.43 | 8-12 |
| 2005-07-30 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 75-66 | 1470.69 | 1622.80 | 18.52% | 81.48% | +16.94 | 9-12 |
| 2005-07-31 | Phoenix Mercury | W 66-63 | 1487.63 | 1499.97 | 63.07% | 36.93% | +4.43 | 10-12 |
| 2005-08-02 | @ Houston Comets | L 61-62 | 1492.06 | 1510.92 | 32.85% | 67.15% | -2.28 | 10-13 |
| 2005-08-06 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 73-82 | 1489.78 | 1335.14 | 57.05% | 42.95% | -11.86 | 10-14 |
| 2005-08-07 | New York Liberty | W 72-67 | 1477.92 | 1531.33 | 57.41% | 42.59% | +6.60 | 11-14 |
| 2005-08-09 | Charlotte Sting | W 71-64 | 1484.52 | 1347.00 | 80.18% | 19.82% | +3.63 | 12-14 |
| 2005-08-11 | Minnesota Lynx | W 72-66 | 1488.15 | 1472.64 | 66.72% | 33.28% | +5.65 | 13-14 |
| 2005-08-13 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 60-59 | 1493.80 | 1363.67 | 53.57% | 46.43% | +3.22 | 14-14 |
| 2005-08-16 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 51-58 | 1497.02 | 1508.73 | 33.77% | 66.23% | -6.19 | 14-15 |
| 2005-08-19 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 67-74 | 1490.83 | 1495.42 | 34.69% | 65.31% | -6.36 | 14-16 |
| 2005-08-21 | Washington Mystics | W 66-52 | 1484.47 | 1467.59 | 66.89% | 33.11% | +8.58 | 15-16 |
| 2005-08-23 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 49-56 | 1493.05 | 1327.58 | 58.57% | 41.43% | -10.74 | 15-17 |
| 2005-08-25 | Indiana Fever | W 55-40 | 1482.31 | 1535.64 | 57.42% | 42.58% | +11.43 | 16-17 |
| 2005-08-27 | @ Washington Mystics | L 67-76 | 1493.74 | 1463.74 | 39.33% | 60.67% | -8.18 | 16-18 |
| 2005-05-21 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 78-70 | 1483.49 | 1442.96 | 40.79% | 59.21% | +11.61 | 1-0 |
| 2005-05-22 | Minnesota Lynx | W 79-65 | 1495.10 | 1487.68 | 65.68% | 34.32% | +8.90 | 2-0 |
| 2005-05-27 | @ Seattle Storm | L 69-79 | 1504.00 | 1538.85 | 30.86% | 69.14% | -6.77 | 2-1 |
| 2005-05-29 | Indiana Fever | W 86-78 | 1497.23 | 1503.37 | 63.90% | 36.10% | +7.08 | 3-1 |
| 2005-06-04 | Phoenix Mercury | W 59-57 | 1504.31 | 1474.06 | 68.57% | 31.43% | +3.08 | 4-1 |
| 2005-06-07 | Minnesota Lynx | L 58-62 | 1507.39 | 1481.30 | 68.06% | 31.94% | -9.43 | 4-2 |
| 2005-06-10 | Connecticut Sun | L 57-77 | 1497.96 | 1543.16 | 58.56% | 41.44% | -18.15 | 4-3 |
| 2005-06-13 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 68-74 | 1479.81 | 1570.80 | 24.42% | 75.58% | -4.15 | 4-4 |
| 2005-06-15 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 64-83 | 1475.66 | 1546.56 | 26.61% | 73.39% | -8.04 | 4-5 |
| 2005-06-18 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 75-69 | 1467.62 | 1402.63 | 44.23% | 55.77% | +9.47 | 5-5 |
| 2005-06-25 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 62-44 | 1477.09 | 1404.55 | 73.57% | 26.43% | +7.77 | 6-5 |
| 2005-06-28 | Seattle Storm | W 71-67 | 1484.86 | 1552.50 | 55.40% | 44.60% | +6.18 | 7-5 |
| 2005-07-02 | Charlotte Sting | W 75-65 | 1491.04 | 1393.05 | 76.32% | 23.68% | +5.19 | 8-5 |
| 2005-07-05 | @ Detroit Shock | W 75-66 | 1496.23 | 1485.02 | 36.78% | 63.22% | +13.15 | 9-5 |
| 2005-07-07 | @ Indiana Fever | W 65-63 | 1509.38 | 1492.03 | 37.61% | 62.39% | +6.11 | 10-5 |
| 2005-07-12 | New York Liberty | L 65-68 | 1515.49 | 1494.04 | 67.47% | 32.53% | -8.10 | 10-6 |
| 2005-07-15 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 66-70 | 1507.39 | 1597.50 | 24.51% | 75.49% | -3.39 | 10-7 |
| 2005-07-17 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 67-55 | 1504.00 | 1384.95 | 51.98% | 48.02% | +11.52 | 11-7 |
| 2005-07-19 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 58-54 | 1515.52 | 1601.02 | 52.85% | 47.15% | +6.54 | 12-7 |
| 2005-07-21 | Washington Mystics | L 65-70 | 1522.06 | 1496.05 | 68.05% | 31.95% | -10.54 | 12-8 |
| 2005-07-23 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 59-69 | 1511.52 | 1519.71 | 63.62% | 36.38% | -13.95 | 12-9 |
| 2005-07-26 | @ Washington Mystics | W 83-65 | 1497.57 | 1506.59 | 34.12% | 65.88% | +19.37 | 13-9 |
| 2005-07-27 | @ New York Liberty | W 71-69 | 1516.94 | 1532.73 | 33.25% | 66.75% | +6.55 | 14-9 |
| 2005-07-30 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 63-68 | 1523.49 | 1376.22 | 81.06% | 18.94% | -12.57 | 14-10 |
| 2005-08-02 | Detroit Shock | W 62-61 | 1510.92 | 1492.06 | 67.15% | 32.85% | +2.28 | 15-10 |
| 2005-08-05 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 75-80 | 1513.20 | 1500.95 | 36.92% | 63.08% | -5.72 | 15-11 |
| 2005-08-07 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 45-55 | 1507.48 | 1620.36 | 22.17% | 77.83% | -4.86 | 15-12 |
| 2005-08-09 | @ Seattle Storm | L 68-71 | 1502.62 | 1536.02 | 31.04% | 68.96% | -3.72 | 15-13 |
| 2005-08-14 | Seattle Storm | W 75-72 | 1498.90 | 1549.02 | 57.87% | 42.13% | +5.05 | 16-13 |
| 2005-08-16 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 62-73 | 1503.95 | 1457.71 | 41.58% | 58.42% | -9.55 | 16-14 |
| 2005-08-18 | Phoenix Mercury | W 77-66 | 1494.40 | 1514.92 | 61.96% | 38.04% | +8.74 | 17-14 |
| 2005-08-21 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 50-55 | 1503.14 | 1501.78 | 35.47% | 64.53% | -5.50 | 17-15 |
| 2005-08-25 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 80-72 | 1497.64 | 1517.39 | 32.74% | 67.26% | +13.18 | 18-15 |
| 2005-08-27 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 77-51 | 1510.82 | 1518.61 | 63.68% | 36.32% | +12.84 | 19-15 |
| 2005-05-22 | Charlotte Sting | W 68-58 | 1477.33 | 1457.26 | 67.30% | 32.70% | +7.16 | 1-0 |
| 2005-05-24 | Phoenix Mercury | W 83-76 | 1484.49 | 1489.45 | 64.05% | 35.95% | +6.59 | 2-0 |
| 2005-05-26 | @ New York Liberty | W 67-59 | 1491.08 | 1475.65 | 37.35% | 62.65% | +12.29 | 3-0 |
| 2005-05-29 | @ Houston Comets | L 78-86 | 1503.37 | 1497.23 | 36.10% | 63.90% | -7.08 | 3-1 |
| 2005-06-01 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 61-60 | 1496.29 | 1555.13 | 56.65% | 43.35% | +3.00 | 4-1 |
| 2005-06-04 | @ Seattle Storm | L 77-83 | 1499.29 | 1566.05 | 27.08% | 72.92% | -4.59 | 4-2 |
| 2005-06-07 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 51-65 | 1494.70 | 1565.52 | 26.62% | 73.38% | -6.91 | 4-3 |
| 2005-06-10 | New York Liberty | W 62-59 | 1487.79 | 1478.67 | 65.90% | 34.10% | +4.10 | 5-3 |
| 2005-06-15 | Detroit Shock | W 84-79 | 1491.89 | 1522.99 | 60.52% | 39.48% | +6.11 | 6-3 |
| 2005-06-16 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 60-57 | 1498.00 | 1424.43 | 45.45% | 54.55% | +6.55 | 7-3 |
| 2005-06-18 | @ Washington Mystics | L 78-88 | 1504.55 | 1459.72 | 41.38% | 58.62% | -9.07 | 7-4 |
| 2005-06-24 | Minnesota Lynx | W 57-55 | 1495.48 | 1505.11 | 63.43% | 36.57% | +3.59 | 8-4 |
| 2005-06-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 58-61 | 1499.07 | 1543.90 | 58.61% | 41.39% | -7.04 | 8-5 |
| 2005-07-07 | Houston Comets | L 63-65 | 1492.03 | 1509.38 | 62.39% | 37.61% | -6.11 | 8-6 |
| 2005-07-13 | Connecticut Sun | W 64-53 | 1485.92 | 1609.60 | 47.36% | 52.64% | +12.10 | 9-6 |
| 2005-07-15 | Detroit Shock | W 62-57 | 1498.02 | 1482.14 | 66.76% | 33.24% | +5.15 | 10-6 |
| 2005-07-17 | @ Detroit Shock | W 59-58 | 1503.17 | 1476.99 | 38.81% | 61.19% | +4.24 | 11-6 |
| 2005-07-19 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 45-66 | 1507.41 | 1495.99 | 36.81% | 63.19% | -11.69 | 11-7 |
| 2005-07-21 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 66-53 | 1495.72 | 1394.19 | 76.68% | 23.32% | +5.82 | 12-7 |
| 2005-07-23 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 63-46 | 1501.54 | 1364.37 | 54.57% | 45.43% | +12.98 | 13-7 |
| 2005-07-26 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 55-68 | 1514.52 | 1614.02 | 23.52% | 76.48% | -5.88 | 13-8 |
| 2005-07-29 | Washington Mystics | W 62-58 | 1508.64 | 1493.39 | 66.68% | 33.32% | +4.62 | 14-8 |
| 2005-07-31 | @ New York Liberty | L 53-67 | 1513.26 | 1523.29 | 33.99% | 66.01% | -8.81 | 14-9 |
| 2005-08-04 | Seattle Storm | W 78-68 | 1504.45 | 1554.46 | 57.89% | 42.11% | +9.23 | 15-9 |
| 2005-08-06 | Connecticut Sun | L 65-74 | 1513.68 | 1615.86 | 50.45% | 49.55% | -10.49 | 15-10 |
| 2005-08-07 | @ Washington Mystics | L 60-61 | 1503.19 | 1490.66 | 36.96% | 63.04% | -2.56 | 15-11 |
| 2005-08-11 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 57-50 | 1500.63 | 1372.22 | 53.32% | 46.68% | +8.56 | 16-11 |
| 2005-08-13 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 59-69 | 1509.19 | 1497.72 | 36.81% | 63.19% | -8.07 | 16-12 |
| 2005-08-14 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 62-56 | 1501.12 | 1520.13 | 32.84% | 67.16% | +11.40 | 17-12 |
| 2005-08-18 | Washington Mystics | W 67-57 | 1512.52 | 1474.27 | 69.56% | 30.44% | +6.67 | 18-12 |
| 2005-08-20 | Charlotte Sting | W 62-53 | 1519.19 | 1330.81 | 84.43% | 15.57% | +3.24 | 19-12 |
| 2005-08-23 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 69-63 | 1522.43 | 1635.10 | 22.19% | 77.81% | +13.21 | 20-12 |
| 2005-08-25 | @ Detroit Shock | L 40-55 | 1535.64 | 1482.31 | 42.58% | 57.42% | -11.43 | 20-13 |
| 2005-08-27 | New York Liberty | W 75-50 | 1524.21 | 1525.06 | 64.59% | 35.41% | +12.27 | 21-13 |
| 2005-05-21 | @ Seattle Storm | W 68-50 | 1542.59 | 1558.48 | 33.24% | 66.76% | +19.63 | 1-0 |
| 2005-05-25 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 65-68 | 1562.22 | 1478.78 | 46.86% | 53.14% | -5.62 | 1-1 |
| 2005-05-26 | @ Washington Mystics | W 84-75 | 1556.60 | 1490.80 | 44.34% | 55.66% | +11.57 | 2-1 |
| 2005-05-28 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 75-84 | 1568.17 | 1436.88 | 53.73% | 46.27% | -11.17 | 2-2 |
| 2005-05-31 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 81-70 | 1557.00 | 1412.11 | 80.85% | 19.15% | +4.40 | 3-2 |
| 2005-06-04 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 53-81 | 1561.40 | 1552.13 | 36.52% | 63.48% | -13.39 | 3-3 |
| 2005-06-08 | Phoenix Mercury | L 63-66 | 1548.01 | 1470.98 | 74.07% | 25.93% | -8.89 | 3-4 |
| 2005-06-11 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 81-74 | 1539.12 | 1578.25 | 59.41% | 40.59% | +7.44 | 4-4 |
| 2005-06-15 | Houston Comets | W 83-64 | 1546.56 | 1475.66 | 73.39% | 26.61% | +8.04 | 5-4 |
| 2005-06-18 | Minnesota Lynx | W 69-56 | 1554.60 | 1503.79 | 71.07% | 28.93% | +7.23 | 6-4 |
| 2005-06-20 | Connecticut Sun | L 70-90 | 1561.83 | 1576.87 | 62.71% | 37.29% | -19.43 | 6-5 |
| 2005-06-24 | Seattle Storm | W 76-65 | 1542.40 | 1566.51 | 61.47% | 38.53% | +8.85 | 7-5 |
| 2005-06-26 | @ Detroit Shock | L 73-79 | 1551.25 | 1492.82 | 43.30% | 56.70% | -7.35 | 7-6 |
| 2005-06-28 | @ Indiana Fever | W 61-58 | 1543.90 | 1499.07 | 41.39% | 58.61% | +7.04 | 8-6 |
| 2005-07-02 | Phoenix Mercury | W 86-63 | 1550.94 | 1444.50 | 77.19% | 22.81% | +7.58 | 9-6 |
| 2005-07-05 | New York Liberty | L 55-67 | 1558.52 | 1463.77 | 75.98% | 24.02% | -18.24 | 9-7 |
| 2005-07-12 | Charlotte Sting | W 71-59 | 1540.28 | 1398.01 | 80.61% | 19.39% | +4.65 | 10-7 |
| 2005-07-16 | Seattle Storm | L 70-78 | 1544.93 | 1523.51 | 67.47% | 32.53% | -13.22 | 10-8 |
| 2005-07-19 | Washington Mystics | L 68-74 | 1531.71 | 1484.05 | 70.69% | 29.31% | -12.00 | 10-9 |
| 2005-07-23 | @ Houston Comets | W 69-59 | 1519.71 | 1511.52 | 36.38% | 63.62% | +13.94 | 11-9 |
| 2005-07-26 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 60-77 | 1533.65 | 1478.93 | 42.77% | 57.23% | -12.22 | 11-10 |
| 2005-07-29 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 59-79 | 1521.43 | 1590.98 | 26.77% | 73.23% | -8.30 | 11-11 |
| 2005-07-31 | @ Seattle Storm | L 72-77 | 1513.13 | 1549.71 | 30.65% | 69.35% | -4.74 | 11-12 |
| 2005-08-05 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 66-63 | 1508.39 | 1381.19 | 53.15% | 46.85% | +5.62 | 12-12 |
| 2005-08-07 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 72-76 | 1514.01 | 1463.45 | 42.19% | 57.81% | -5.85 | 12-13 |
| 2005-08-09 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 51-64 | 1508.16 | 1626.34 | 21.65% | 78.35% | -5.41 | 12-14 |
| 2005-08-10 | @ New York Liberty | L 69-74 | 1502.75 | 1524.73 | 32.46% | 67.54% | -5.03 | 12-15 |
| 2005-08-13 | Indiana Fever | W 69-59 | 1497.72 | 1509.19 | 63.19% | 36.81% | +8.07 | 13-15 |
| 2005-08-16 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 63-72 | 1505.79 | 1611.76 | 49.90% | 50.10% | -10.37 | 13-16 |
| 2005-08-19 | Detroit Shock | W 74-67 | 1495.42 | 1490.83 | 65.31% | 34.69% | +6.36 | 14-16 |
| 2005-08-21 | Houston Comets | W 55-50 | 1501.78 | 1503.14 | 64.53% | 35.47% | +5.49 | 15-16 |
| 2005-08-23 | Minnesota Lynx | W 74-63 | 1507.27 | 1452.66 | 71.52% | 28.48% | +6.55 | 16-16 |
| 2005-08-26 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 70-67 | 1513.82 | 1337.35 | 60.10% | 39.90% | +4.79 | 17-16 |
| 2005-08-27 | @ Houston Comets | L 51-77 | 1518.61 | 1510.82 | 36.32% | 63.68% | -12.84 | 17-17 |
| 2005-05-22 | @ Houston Comets | L 65-79 | 1487.68 | 1495.10 | 34.32% | 65.68% | -8.90 | 0-1 |
| 2005-05-25 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 68-65 | 1478.78 | 1562.22 | 53.14% | 46.86% | +5.62 | 1-1 |
| 2005-05-29 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 66-67 | 1484.40 | 1551.29 | 55.51% | 44.49% | -3.84 | 1-2 |
| 2005-06-03 | @ Washington Mystics | L 71-74 | 1480.56 | 1465.35 | 37.32% | 62.68% | -4.48 | 1-3 |
| 2005-06-04 | Charlotte Sting | W 73-67 | 1476.08 | 1440.58 | 69.22% | 30.78% | +5.22 | 2-3 |
| 2005-06-07 | @ Houston Comets | W 62-58 | 1481.30 | 1507.39 | 31.94% | 68.06% | +9.44 | 3-3 |
| 2005-06-11 | Washington Mystics | W 78-60 | 1490.74 | 1469.29 | 67.47% | 32.53% | +9.56 | 4-3 |
| 2005-06-15 | @ Seattle Storm | W 86-81 | 1500.30 | 1569.44 | 26.81% | 73.19% | +11.34 | 5-3 |
| 2005-06-17 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 50-67 | 1511.64 | 1574.95 | 27.48% | 72.52% | -7.85 | 5-4 |
| 2005-06-18 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 56-69 | 1503.79 | 1554.60 | 28.93% | 71.07% | -7.23 | 5-5 |
| 2005-06-22 | Phoenix Mercury | W 75-59 | 1496.56 | 1461.61 | 69.15% | 30.85% | +8.55 | 6-5 |
| 2005-06-24 | @ Indiana Fever | L 55-57 | 1505.11 | 1495.48 | 36.57% | 63.43% | -3.58 | 6-6 |
| 2005-06-26 | Seattle Storm | W 73-70 | 1501.53 | 1557.66 | 57.03% | 42.97% | +5.15 | 7-6 |
| 2005-06-28 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 63-53 | 1506.68 | 1396.78 | 77.54% | 22.46% | +4.93 | 8-6 |
| 2005-06-30 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 56-71 | 1511.61 | 1615.45 | 23.08% | 76.92% | -6.20 | 8-7 |
| 2005-07-07 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 58-66 | 1505.41 | 1387.86 | 51.76% | 48.24% | -10.14 | 8-8 |
| 2005-07-13 | Detroit Shock | W 71-61 | 1495.27 | 1489.72 | 65.43% | 34.57% | +7.57 | 9-8 |
| 2005-07-15 | @ New York Liberty | W 64-60 | 1502.84 | 1502.14 | 35.39% | 64.61% | +8.96 | 10-8 |
| 2005-07-17 | Connecticut Sun | L 53-72 | 1511.80 | 1600.90 | 52.33% | 47.67% | -15.81 | 10-9 |
| 2005-07-19 | Indiana Fever | W 66-45 | 1495.99 | 1507.41 | 63.19% | 36.81% | +11.69 | 11-9 |
| 2005-07-24 | New York Liberty | L 47-59 | 1507.68 | 1517.51 | 63.40% | 36.60% | -15.22 | 11-10 |
| 2005-07-26 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 71-78 | 1492.46 | 1372.84 | 52.06% | 47.94% | -9.55 | 11-11 |
| 2005-07-29 | Phoenix Mercury | L 65-69 | 1482.91 | 1491.16 | 63.62% | 36.38% | -8.81 | 11-12 |
| 2005-07-31 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 54-67 | 1474.10 | 1599.28 | 20.97% | 79.03% | -5.24 | 11-13 |
| 2005-08-03 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 64-70 | 1468.86 | 1495.54 | 31.87% | 68.13% | -5.41 | 11-14 |
| 2005-08-07 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 76-72 | 1463.45 | 1514.01 | 57.81% | 42.19% | +5.84 | 12-14 |
| 2005-08-09 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 76-72 | 1469.29 | 1375.57 | 75.87% | 24.13% | +3.35 | 13-14 |
| 2005-08-11 | @ Detroit Shock | L 66-72 | 1472.64 | 1488.15 | 33.28% | 66.72% | -5.65 | 13-15 |
| 2005-08-12 | Seattle Storm | L 66-72 | 1466.99 | 1539.74 | 54.67% | 45.33% | -9.28 | 13-16 |
| 2005-08-16 | Houston Comets | W 73-62 | 1457.71 | 1503.95 | 58.42% | 41.58% | +9.56 | 14-16 |
| 2005-08-18 | @ Seattle Storm | L 60-76 | 1467.27 | 1543.97 | 25.97% | 74.03% | -7.20 | 14-17 |
| 2005-08-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 69-83 | 1460.07 | 1513.82 | 28.59% | 71.41% | -7.41 | 14-18 |
| 2005-08-23 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-74 | 1452.66 | 1507.27 | 28.48% | 71.52% | -6.55 | 14-19 |
| 2005-08-27 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 52-61 | 1446.11 | 1622.33 | 39.93% | 60.07% | -8.30 | 14-20 |
| 2005-05-22 | Detroit Shock | L 71-78 | 1486.71 | 1519.48 | 60.29% | 39.71% | -11.06 | 0-1 |
| 2005-05-26 | Indiana Fever | L 59-67 | 1475.65 | 1491.08 | 62.65% | 37.35% | -12.28 | 0-2 |
| 2005-06-01 | @ Washington Mystics | W 77-68 | 1463.37 | 1479.23 | 33.24% | 66.76% | +13.88 | 1-2 |
| 2005-06-03 | @ Detroit Shock | L 66-68 | 1477.25 | 1535.44 | 28.07% | 71.93% | -2.75 | 1-3 |
| 2005-06-05 | Washington Mystics | W 61-58 | 1474.50 | 1469.83 | 65.32% | 34.68% | +4.17 | 2-3 |
| 2005-06-10 | @ Indiana Fever | L 59-62 | 1478.67 | 1487.79 | 34.10% | 65.90% | -4.10 | 2-4 |
| 2005-06-12 | Detroit Shock | W 72-69 | 1474.57 | 1528.10 | 57.40% | 42.60% | +5.12 | 3-4 |
| 2005-06-18 | Phoenix Mercury | W 65-54 | 1479.69 | 1481.15 | 64.51% | 35.49% | +8.15 | 4-4 |
| 2005-06-21 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 77-59 | 1487.84 | 1393.16 | 75.97% | 24.03% | +7.07 | 5-4 |
| 2005-06-25 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 61-67 | 1494.91 | 1399.42 | 48.59% | 51.41% | -8.25 | 5-5 |
| 2005-06-30 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 50-61 | 1486.66 | 1572.33 | 52.82% | 47.18% | -12.14 | 5-6 |
| 2005-07-02 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 57-69 | 1474.52 | 1405.55 | 44.79% | 55.21% | -10.75 | 5-7 |
| 2005-07-05 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 67-55 | 1463.77 | 1558.52 | 24.02% | 75.98% | +18.24 | 6-7 |
| 2005-07-07 | Connecticut Sun | W 89-79 | 1482.01 | 1621.64 | 45.07% | 54.93% | +12.03 | 7-7 |
| 2005-07-12 | @ Houston Comets | W 68-65 | 1494.04 | 1515.49 | 32.53% | 67.47% | +8.10 | 8-7 |
| 2005-07-15 | Minnesota Lynx | L 60-64 | 1502.14 | 1502.84 | 64.61% | 35.39% | -8.95 | 8-8 |
| 2005-07-19 | @ Seattle Storm | L 78-87 | 1493.19 | 1536.73 | 29.80% | 70.20% | -6.20 | 8-9 |
| 2005-07-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 80-70 | 1486.99 | 1477.31 | 36.58% | 63.42% | +13.90 | 9-9 |
| 2005-07-22 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 73-63 | 1500.89 | 1594.49 | 24.14% | 75.86% | +16.62 | 10-9 |
| 2005-07-24 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 59-47 | 1517.51 | 1507.68 | 36.60% | 63.40% | +15.22 | 11-9 |
| 2005-07-27 | Houston Comets | L 69-71 | 1532.73 | 1516.94 | 66.75% | 33.25% | -6.54 | 11-10 |
| 2005-07-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 70-73 | 1526.19 | 1619.90 | 24.13% | 75.87% | -2.90 | 11-11 |
| 2005-07-31 | Indiana Fever | W 67-53 | 1523.29 | 1513.26 | 66.01% | 33.99% | +8.82 | 12-11 |
| 2005-08-02 | Connecticut Sun | L 65-72 | 1532.11 | 1605.86 | 54.53% | 45.47% | -10.00 | 12-12 |
| 2005-08-06 | Seattle Storm | W 79-67 | 1522.11 | 1545.23 | 61.61% | 38.39% | +9.22 | 13-12 |
| 2005-08-07 | @ Detroit Shock | L 67-72 | 1531.33 | 1477.92 | 42.59% | 57.41% | -6.60 | 13-13 |
| 2005-08-10 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 74-69 | 1524.73 | 1502.75 | 67.54% | 32.46% | +5.03 | 14-13 |
| 2005-08-12 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 82-74 | 1529.76 | 1343.37 | 61.46% | 38.54% | +7.55 | 15-13 |
| 2005-08-14 | Charlotte Sting | W 73-65 | 1537.31 | 1335.82 | 85.40% | 14.60% | +2.86 | 16-13 |
| 2005-08-16 | Washington Mystics | W 72-66 | 1540.17 | 1478.97 | 72.28% | 27.72% | +4.71 | 17-13 |
| 2005-08-20 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 64-58 | 1544.88 | 1648.15 | 23.14% | 76.86% | +13.05 | 18-13 |
| 2005-08-23 | @ Washington Mystics | L 69-82 | 1557.93 | 1459.01 | 49.08% | 50.92% | -12.27 | 18-14 |
| 2005-08-25 | Charlotte Sting | L 66-78 | 1545.66 | 1338.32 | 85.81% | 14.19% | -20.60 | 18-15 |
| 2005-08-27 | @ Indiana Fever | L 50-75 | 1525.06 | 1524.21 | 35.41% | 64.59% | -12.27 | 18-16 |
| 2005-05-21 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 72-77 | 1498.71 | 1535.35 | 59.75% | 40.25% | -9.26 | 0-1 |
| 2005-05-24 | @ Indiana Fever | L 76-83 | 1489.45 | 1484.49 | 35.95% | 64.05% | -6.59 | 0-2 |
| 2005-05-26 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 68-58 | 1482.86 | 1450.10 | 39.71% | 60.29% | +13.21 | 1-2 |
| 2005-05-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 68-85 | 1496.07 | 1519.16 | 32.32% | 67.68% | -9.23 | 1-3 |
| 2005-06-02 | Seattle Storm | L 67-78 | 1486.84 | 1553.27 | 55.57% | 44.43% | -12.78 | 1-4 |
| 2005-06-04 | @ Houston Comets | L 57-59 | 1474.06 | 1504.31 | 31.43% | 68.57% | -3.08 | 1-5 |
| 2005-06-08 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 66-63 | 1470.98 | 1548.01 | 25.93% | 74.07% | +8.90 | 2-5 |
| 2005-06-10 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 61-73 | 1479.88 | 1572.43 | 24.25% | 75.75% | -5.83 | 2-6 |
| 2005-06-15 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 76-62 | 1474.05 | 1409.72 | 72.64% | 27.36% | +7.10 | 3-6 |
| 2005-06-18 | @ New York Liberty | L 54-65 | 1481.15 | 1479.69 | 35.49% | 64.51% | -8.16 | 3-7 |
| 2005-06-21 | @ Washington Mystics | L 56-77 | 1472.99 | 1468.79 | 35.85% | 64.15% | -11.38 | 3-8 |
| 2005-06-22 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 59-75 | 1461.61 | 1496.56 | 30.85% | 69.15% | -8.55 | 3-9 |
| 2005-06-25 | Connecticut Sun | L 69-77 | 1453.06 | 1602.61 | 43.67% | 56.33% | -8.56 | 3-10 |
| 2005-07-02 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-86 | 1444.50 | 1550.94 | 22.81% | 77.19% | -7.58 | 3-11 |
| 2005-07-05 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 76-69 | 1436.92 | 1416.30 | 38.05% | 61.95% | +11.35 | 4-11 |
| 2005-07-06 | Seattle Storm | W 73-61 | 1448.27 | 1540.79 | 51.84% | 48.16% | +11.57 | 5-11 |
| 2005-07-13 | Charlotte Sting | W 82-62 | 1459.84 | 1393.35 | 72.89% | 27.11% | +8.40 | 6-11 |
| 2005-07-15 | Washington Mystics | W 77-66 | 1468.24 | 1499.07 | 60.56% | 39.44% | +9.07 | 7-11 |
| 2005-07-21 | New York Liberty | L 70-80 | 1477.31 | 1486.99 | 63.42% | 36.58% | -13.90 | 7-12 |
| 2005-07-23 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 66-49 | 1463.41 | 1388.37 | 45.66% | 54.34% | +15.52 | 8-12 |
| 2005-07-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 77-60 | 1478.93 | 1533.65 | 57.23% | 42.77% | +12.23 | 9-12 |
| 2005-07-29 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 69-65 | 1491.16 | 1482.91 | 36.38% | 63.62% | +8.81 | 10-12 |
| 2005-07-31 | @ Detroit Shock | L 63-66 | 1499.97 | 1487.63 | 36.93% | 63.07% | -4.43 | 10-13 |
| 2005-08-03 | Minnesota Lynx | W 70-64 | 1495.54 | 1468.86 | 68.13% | 31.87% | +5.41 | 11-13 |
| 2005-08-05 | Houston Comets | W 80-75 | 1500.95 | 1513.20 | 63.08% | 36.92% | +5.72 | 12-13 |
| 2005-08-12 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 76-62 | 1506.67 | 1625.22 | 48.09% | 51.91% | +13.46 | 13-13 |
| 2005-08-14 | Indiana Fever | L 56-62 | 1520.13 | 1501.12 | 67.16% | 32.84% | -11.40 | 13-14 |
| 2005-08-16 | Detroit Shock | W 58-51 | 1508.73 | 1497.02 | 66.23% | 33.77% | +6.19 | 14-14 |
| 2005-08-18 | @ Houston Comets | L 66-77 | 1514.92 | 1494.40 | 38.04% | 61.96% | -8.74 | 14-15 |
| 2005-08-19 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 91-57 | 1506.18 | 1358.47 | 81.10% | 18.90% | +7.64 | 15-15 |
| 2005-08-21 | Minnesota Lynx | W 83-69 | 1513.82 | 1460.07 | 71.41% | 28.59% | +7.41 | 16-15 |
| 2005-08-23 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 70-76 | 1521.23 | 1629.89 | 22.59% | 77.41% | -3.84 | 16-16 |
| 2005-08-25 | Houston Comets | L 72-80 | 1517.39 | 1497.64 | 67.26% | 32.74% | -13.18 | 16-17 |
| 2005-08-27 | @ Seattle Storm | L 74-85 | 1504.21 | 1570.26 | 27.16% | 72.84% | -6.24 | 16-18 |
| 2005-05-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 77-72 | 1535.35 | 1498.71 | 40.25% | 59.75% | +9.26 | 1-0 |
| 2005-05-27 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 71-67 | 1544.61 | 1426.45 | 51.85% | 48.15% | +6.68 | 2-0 |
| 2005-05-29 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 67-66 | 1551.29 | 1484.40 | 44.49% | 55.51% | +3.84 | 3-0 |
| 2005-06-01 | @ Indiana Fever | L 60-61 | 1555.13 | 1496.29 | 43.35% | 56.65% | -3.00 | 3-1 |
| 2005-06-04 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 81-53 | 1552.13 | 1561.40 | 63.48% | 36.52% | +13.39 | 4-1 |
| 2005-06-07 | Indiana Fever | W 65-51 | 1565.52 | 1494.70 | 73.38% | 26.62% | +6.91 | 5-1 |
| 2005-06-10 | Phoenix Mercury | W 73-61 | 1572.43 | 1479.88 | 75.75% | 24.25% | +5.82 | 6-1 |
| 2005-06-11 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 74-81 | 1578.25 | 1539.12 | 40.59% | 59.41% | -7.45 | 6-2 |
| 2005-06-13 | Houston Comets | W 74-68 | 1570.80 | 1479.81 | 75.58% | 24.42% | +4.15 | 7-2 |
| 2005-06-17 | Minnesota Lynx | W 67-50 | 1574.95 | 1511.64 | 72.52% | 27.48% | +7.85 | 8-2 |
| 2005-06-24 | Connecticut Sun | L 50-61 | 1582.80 | 1587.89 | 64.03% | 35.97% | -14.72 | 8-3 |
| 2005-06-26 | @ Washington Mystics | W 62-57 | 1568.08 | 1497.96 | 44.95% | 55.05% | +8.53 | 9-3 |
| 2005-06-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 66-70 | 1576.61 | 1611.17 | 30.89% | 69.11% | -4.28 | 9-4 |
| 2005-06-30 | @ New York Liberty | W 61-50 | 1572.33 | 1486.66 | 47.18% | 52.82% | +12.14 | 10-4 |
| 2005-07-01 | @ Detroit Shock | W 80-63 | 1584.47 | 1500.17 | 46.98% | 53.02% | +15.15 | 11-4 |
| 2005-07-03 | @ Seattle Storm | L 67-74 | 1599.62 | 1532.63 | 44.51% | 55.49% | -8.16 | 11-5 |
| 2005-07-14 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 72-61 | 1591.46 | 1404.94 | 84.29% | 15.71% | +3.61 | 12-5 |
| 2005-07-16 | Washington Mystics | W 73-59 | 1595.07 | 1490.00 | 77.05% | 22.95% | +5.95 | 13-5 |
| 2005-07-19 | @ Houston Comets | L 54-58 | 1601.02 | 1515.52 | 47.15% | 52.85% | -6.53 | 13-6 |
| 2005-07-22 | New York Liberty | L 63-73 | 1594.49 | 1500.89 | 75.86% | 24.14% | -16.63 | 13-7 |
| 2005-07-24 | Detroit Shock | W 91-51 | 1577.86 | 1481.12 | 76.19% | 23.81% | +10.44 | 14-7 |
| 2005-07-26 | Charlotte Sting | W 64-54 | 1588.30 | 1351.39 | 87.76% | 12.24% | +2.68 | 15-7 |
| 2005-07-29 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 79-59 | 1590.98 | 1521.43 | 73.23% | 26.77% | +8.30 | 16-7 |
| 2005-07-31 | Minnesota Lynx | W 67-54 | 1599.28 | 1474.10 | 79.03% | 20.97% | +5.24 | 17-7 |
| 2005-08-02 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 67-57 | 1604.52 | 1388.78 | 65.38% | 34.62% | +7.58 | 18-7 |
| 2005-08-04 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 76-58 | 1612.10 | 1343.40 | 71.92% | 28.08% | +8.26 | 19-7 |
| 2005-08-07 | Houston Comets | W 55-45 | 1620.36 | 1507.48 | 77.83% | 22.17% | +4.86 | 20-7 |
| 2005-08-12 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 62-76 | 1625.22 | 1506.67 | 51.91% | 48.09% | -13.46 | 20-8 |
| 2005-08-16 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 72-63 | 1611.76 | 1505.79 | 50.10% | 49.90% | +10.37 | 21-8 |
| 2005-08-18 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 64-57 | 1622.13 | 1360.45 | 89.21% | 10.79% | +1.98 | 22-8 |
| 2005-08-20 | Seattle Storm | W 75-65 | 1624.11 | 1551.16 | 73.62% | 26.38% | +5.78 | 23-8 |
| 2005-08-23 | Phoenix Mercury | W 76-70 | 1629.89 | 1521.23 | 77.41% | 22.59% | +3.84 | 24-8 |
| 2005-08-25 | @ Seattle Storm | L 63-76 | 1633.73 | 1558.86 | 45.63% | 54.37% | -11.40 | 24-9 |
| 2005-08-27 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 61-52 | 1622.33 | 1446.11 | 60.07% | 39.93% | +8.30 | 25-9 |
| 2005-05-21 | Houston Comets | L 70-78 | 1442.96 | 1483.49 | 59.21% | 40.79% | -11.61 | 0-1 |
| 2005-05-24 | @ Detroit Shock | L 65-74 | 1431.35 | 1530.54 | 23.56% | 76.44% | -4.90 | 0-2 |
| 2005-05-27 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 67-71 | 1426.45 | 1544.61 | 48.15% | 51.85% | -6.67 | 0-3 |
| 2005-05-29 | @ Seattle Storm | L 51-79 | 1419.78 | 1545.61 | 20.91% | 79.09% | -7.67 | 0-4 |
| 2005-05-31 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 70-81 | 1412.11 | 1557.00 | 19.15% | 80.85% | -4.40 | 0-5 |
| 2005-06-02 | Charlotte Sting | W 69-62 | 1407.71 | 1448.05 | 59.24% | 40.76% | +7.47 | 1-5 |
| 2005-06-04 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 69-80 | 1415.18 | 1528.39 | 22.13% | 77.87% | -5.08 | 1-6 |
| 2005-06-07 | Washington Mystics | W 71-62 | 1410.10 | 1465.67 | 57.11% | 42.89% | +8.91 | 2-6 |
| 2005-06-11 | Connecticut Sun | L 69-78 | 1419.01 | 1561.31 | 44.70% | 55.30% | -9.29 | 2-7 |
| 2005-06-15 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 62-76 | 1409.72 | 1474.05 | 27.36% | 72.64% | -7.09 | 2-8 |
| 2005-06-18 | Houston Comets | L 69-75 | 1402.63 | 1467.62 | 55.77% | 44.23% | -9.47 | 2-9 |
| 2005-06-21 | @ New York Liberty | L 59-77 | 1393.16 | 1487.84 | 24.03% | 75.97% | -7.07 | 2-10 |
| 2005-06-23 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 64-49 | 1386.09 | 1417.88 | 31.24% | 68.76% | +18.46 | 3-10 |
| 2005-06-25 | @ Houston Comets | L 44-62 | 1404.55 | 1477.09 | 26.43% | 73.57% | -7.77 | 3-11 |
| 2005-06-28 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 53-63 | 1396.78 | 1506.68 | 22.46% | 77.54% | -4.92 | 3-12 |
| 2005-06-30 | Seattle Storm | W 81-69 | 1391.86 | 1546.32 | 42.97% | 57.03% | +13.69 | 4-12 |
| 2005-07-02 | New York Liberty | W 69-57 | 1405.55 | 1474.52 | 55.21% | 44.79% | +10.75 | 5-12 |
| 2005-07-05 | Phoenix Mercury | L 69-76 | 1416.30 | 1436.92 | 61.95% | 38.05% | -11.36 | 5-13 |
| 2005-07-14 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 61-72 | 1404.94 | 1591.46 | 15.71% | 84.29% | -3.61 | 5-14 |
| 2005-07-15 | @ Seattle Storm | L 70-92 | 1401.33 | 1516.37 | 21.95% | 78.05% | -7.14 | 5-15 |
| 2005-07-21 | @ Indiana Fever | L 53-66 | 1394.19 | 1495.72 | 23.32% | 76.68% | -5.82 | 5-16 |
| 2005-07-23 | Phoenix Mercury | L 49-66 | 1388.37 | 1463.41 | 54.34% | 45.66% | -15.53 | 5-17 |
| 2005-07-26 | Minnesota Lynx | W 78-71 | 1372.84 | 1492.46 | 47.94% | 52.06% | +9.55 | 6-17 |
| 2005-07-28 | @ Washington Mystics | L 58-73 | 1382.39 | 1487.22 | 22.98% | 77.02% | -6.17 | 6-18 |
| 2005-07-30 | @ Houston Comets | W 68-63 | 1376.22 | 1523.49 | 18.94% | 81.06% | +12.56 | 7-18 |
| 2005-08-02 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 57-67 | 1388.78 | 1604.52 | 34.62% | 65.38% | -7.59 | 7-19 |
| 2005-08-05 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-66 | 1381.19 | 1508.39 | 46.85% | 53.15% | -5.62 | 7-20 |
| 2005-08-09 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 72-76 | 1375.57 | 1469.29 | 24.13% | 75.87% | -3.35 | 7-21 |
| 2005-08-11 | Indiana Fever | L 50-57 | 1372.22 | 1500.63 | 46.68% | 53.32% | -8.55 | 7-22 |
| 2005-08-13 | Detroit Shock | L 59-60 | 1363.67 | 1493.80 | 46.43% | 53.57% | -3.22 | 7-23 |
| 2005-08-18 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 57-64 | 1360.45 | 1622.13 | 10.79% | 89.21% | -1.98 | 7-24 |
| 2005-08-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 57-91 | 1358.47 | 1506.18 | 18.90% | 81.10% | -7.64 | 7-25 |
| 2005-08-23 | Seattle Storm | L 51-78 | 1350.83 | 1545.38 | 37.43% | 62.57% | -13.48 | 7-26 |
| 2005-08-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 67-70 | 1337.35 | 1513.82 | 39.90% | 60.10% | -4.79 | 7-27 |
| 2005-05-21 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 50-68 | 1558.48 | 1542.59 | 66.76% | 33.24% | -19.63 | 0-1 |
| 2005-05-27 | Houston Comets | W 79-69 | 1538.85 | 1504.00 | 69.14% | 30.86% | +6.76 | 1-1 |
| 2005-05-29 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 79-51 | 1545.61 | 1419.78 | 79.09% | 20.91% | +7.66 | 2-1 |
| 2005-06-02 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 78-67 | 1553.27 | 1486.84 | 44.43% | 55.57% | +12.78 | 3-1 |
| 2005-06-04 | Indiana Fever | W 83-77 | 1566.05 | 1499.29 | 72.92% | 27.08% | +4.59 | 4-1 |
| 2005-06-07 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 69-81 | 1570.64 | 1533.48 | 40.32% | 59.68% | -9.67 | 4-2 |
| 2005-06-08 | @ Detroit Shock | W 76-61 | 1560.97 | 1538.19 | 38.34% | 61.66% | +16.54 | 5-2 |
| 2005-06-10 | @ Washington Mystics | L 52-64 | 1577.51 | 1456.75 | 52.22% | 47.78% | -12.53 | 5-3 |
| 2005-06-12 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 62-60 | 1564.98 | 1428.90 | 54.42% | 45.58% | +4.46 | 6-3 |
| 2005-06-15 | Minnesota Lynx | L 81-86 | 1569.44 | 1500.30 | 73.19% | 26.81% | -11.34 | 6-4 |
| 2005-06-22 | Connecticut Sun | W 95-86 | 1558.10 | 1596.30 | 59.54% | 40.46% | +8.41 | 7-4 |
| 2005-06-24 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 65-76 | 1566.51 | 1542.40 | 38.53% | 61.47% | -8.85 | 7-5 |
| 2005-06-26 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 70-73 | 1557.66 | 1501.53 | 42.97% | 57.03% | -5.16 | 7-6 |
| 2005-06-28 | @ Houston Comets | L 67-71 | 1552.50 | 1484.86 | 44.60% | 55.40% | -6.18 | 7-7 |
| 2005-06-30 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 69-81 | 1546.32 | 1391.86 | 57.03% | 42.97% | -13.69 | 7-8 |
| 2005-07-03 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 74-67 | 1532.63 | 1599.62 | 55.49% | 44.51% | +8.16 | 8-8 |
| 2005-07-06 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 61-73 | 1540.79 | 1448.27 | 48.16% | 51.84% | -11.56 | 8-9 |
| 2005-07-13 | Washington Mystics | L 71-78 | 1529.23 | 1486.21 | 70.14% | 29.86% | -12.86 | 8-10 |
| 2005-07-15 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 92-70 | 1516.37 | 1401.33 | 78.05% | 21.95% | +7.14 | 9-10 |
| 2005-07-16 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 78-70 | 1523.51 | 1544.93 | 32.53% | 67.47% | +13.22 | 10-10 |
| 2005-07-19 | New York Liberty | W 87-78 | 1536.73 | 1493.19 | 70.20% | 29.80% | +6.20 | 11-10 |
| 2005-07-23 | Detroit Shock | W 74-71 | 1542.93 | 1484.49 | 71.96% | 28.04% | +3.36 | 12-10 |
| 2005-07-29 | Charlotte Sting | W 79-68 | 1546.29 | 1348.71 | 85.11% | 14.89% | +3.42 | 13-10 |
| 2005-07-31 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 77-72 | 1549.71 | 1513.13 | 69.35% | 30.65% | +4.75 | 14-10 |
| 2005-08-04 | @ Indiana Fever | L 68-78 | 1554.46 | 1504.45 | 42.11% | 57.89% | -9.23 | 14-11 |
| 2005-08-06 | @ New York Liberty | L 67-79 | 1545.23 | 1522.11 | 38.39% | 61.61% | -9.21 | 14-12 |
| 2005-08-09 | Houston Comets | W 71-68 | 1536.02 | 1502.62 | 68.96% | 31.04% | +3.72 | 15-12 |
| 2005-08-12 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 72-66 | 1539.74 | 1466.99 | 45.33% | 54.67% | +9.28 | 16-12 |
| 2005-08-14 | @ Houston Comets | L 72-75 | 1549.02 | 1498.90 | 42.13% | 57.87% | -5.05 | 16-13 |
| 2005-08-18 | Minnesota Lynx | W 76-60 | 1543.97 | 1467.27 | 74.03% | 25.97% | +7.19 | 17-13 |
| 2005-08-20 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 65-75 | 1551.16 | 1624.11 | 26.38% | 73.62% | -5.78 | 17-14 |
| 2005-08-23 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 78-51 | 1545.38 | 1350.83 | 62.57% | 37.43% | +13.48 | 18-14 |
| 2005-08-25 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 76-63 | 1558.86 | 1633.73 | 54.37% | 45.63% | +11.40 | 19-14 |
| 2005-08-27 | Phoenix Mercury | W 85-74 | 1570.26 | 1504.21 | 72.84% | 27.16% | +6.25 | 20-14 |
| 2005-05-21 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 60-42 | 1477.98 | 1476.22 | 35.52% | 64.48% | +18.95 | 1-0 |
| 2005-05-22 | Connecticut Sun | L 67-69 | 1496.93 | 1513.03 | 62.56% | 37.44% | -6.13 | 1-1 |
| 2005-05-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-84 | 1490.80 | 1556.60 | 55.66% | 44.34% | -11.57 | 1-2 |
| 2005-06-01 | New York Liberty | L 68-77 | 1479.23 | 1463.37 | 66.76% | 33.24% | -13.88 | 1-3 |
| 2005-06-03 | Minnesota Lynx | W 74-71 | 1465.35 | 1480.56 | 62.68% | 37.32% | +4.48 | 2-3 |
| 2005-06-05 | @ New York Liberty | L 58-61 | 1469.83 | 1474.50 | 34.68% | 65.32% | -4.16 | 2-4 |
| 2005-06-07 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 62-71 | 1465.67 | 1410.10 | 42.89% | 57.11% | -8.92 | 2-5 |
| 2005-06-10 | Seattle Storm | W 64-52 | 1456.75 | 1577.51 | 47.78% | 52.22% | +12.54 | 3-5 |
| 2005-06-11 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 60-78 | 1469.29 | 1490.74 | 32.53% | 67.47% | -9.57 | 3-6 |
| 2005-06-18 | Indiana Fever | W 88-78 | 1459.72 | 1504.55 | 58.62% | 41.38% | +9.07 | 4-6 |
| 2005-06-21 | Phoenix Mercury | W 77-56 | 1468.79 | 1472.99 | 64.15% | 35.85% | +11.39 | 5-6 |
| 2005-06-24 | @ Detroit Shock | W 69-55 | 1480.18 | 1510.60 | 31.40% | 68.60% | +17.78 | 6-6 |
| 2005-06-26 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 57-62 | 1497.96 | 1568.08 | 55.05% | 44.95% | -8.53 | 6-7 |
| 2005-06-28 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 66-61 | 1489.43 | 1407.67 | 46.62% | 53.38% | +8.27 | 7-7 |
| 2005-06-30 | Charlotte Sting | W 65-50 | 1497.70 | 1399.40 | 76.35% | 23.65% | +6.35 | 8-7 |
| 2005-07-07 | Detroit Shock | L 62-76 | 1504.05 | 1471.87 | 68.81% | 31.19% | -17.84 | 8-8 |
| 2005-07-13 | @ Seattle Storm | W 78-71 | 1486.21 | 1529.23 | 29.86% | 70.14% | +12.86 | 9-8 |
| 2005-07-15 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 66-77 | 1499.07 | 1468.24 | 39.44% | 60.56% | -9.07 | 9-9 |
| 2005-07-16 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 59-73 | 1490.00 | 1595.07 | 22.95% | 77.05% | -5.95 | 9-10 |
| 2005-07-19 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 74-68 | 1484.05 | 1531.71 | 29.31% | 70.69% | +12.00 | 10-10 |
| 2005-07-21 | @ Houston Comets | W 70-65 | 1496.05 | 1522.06 | 31.95% | 68.05% | +10.54 | 11-10 |
| 2005-07-26 | Houston Comets | L 65-83 | 1506.59 | 1497.57 | 65.88% | 34.12% | -19.37 | 11-11 |
| 2005-07-28 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 73-58 | 1487.22 | 1382.39 | 77.02% | 22.98% | +6.17 | 12-11 |
| 2005-07-29 | @ Indiana Fever | L 58-62 | 1493.39 | 1508.64 | 33.32% | 66.68% | -4.62 | 12-12 |
| 2005-08-02 | Charlotte Sting | W 65-63 | 1488.77 | 1345.29 | 80.72% | 19.28% | +1.89 | 13-12 |
| 2005-08-07 | Indiana Fever | W 61-60 | 1490.66 | 1503.19 | 63.04% | 36.96% | +2.56 | 14-12 |
| 2005-08-11 | Connecticut Sun | L 65-80 | 1493.22 | 1631.75 | 45.23% | 54.77% | -12.14 | 14-13 |
| 2005-08-14 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 77-80 | 1481.08 | 1643.89 | 17.60% | 82.40% | -2.11 | 14-14 |
| 2005-08-16 | @ New York Liberty | L 66-72 | 1478.97 | 1540.17 | 27.72% | 72.28% | -4.70 | 14-15 |
| 2005-08-18 | @ Indiana Fever | L 57-67 | 1474.27 | 1512.52 | 30.44% | 69.56% | -6.68 | 14-16 |
| 2005-08-21 | @ Detroit Shock | L 52-66 | 1467.59 | 1484.47 | 33.11% | 66.89% | -8.58 | 14-17 |
| 2005-08-23 | New York Liberty | W 82-69 | 1459.01 | 1557.93 | 50.92% | 49.08% | +12.26 | 15-17 |
| 2005-08-26 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 47-81 | 1471.27 | 1621.89 | 18.65% | 81.35% | -7.53 | 15-18 |
| 2005-08-27 | Detroit Shock | W 76-67 | 1463.74 | 1493.74 | 60.67% | 39.33% | +8.18 | 16-18 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005-08-31 | @ Detroit Shock | W 73-62 | 1635.22 | 1485.56 | 56.35% | 43.65% | +10.03 | 1-0 |
| 2005-09-02 | Detroit Shock | W 75-67 | 1645.25 | 1475.53 | 82.96% | 17.04% | +3.34 | 2-0 |
| 2005-09-08 | @ Indiana Fever | W 73-68 | 1648.59 | 1556.87 | 48.05% | 51.95% | +8.05 | 3-0 |
| 2005-09-10 | Indiana Fever | W 77-67 | 1656.64 | 1548.81 | 77.33% | 22.67% | +4.97 | 4-0 |
| 2005-09-14 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 65-69 | 1661.61 | 1653.76 | 65.73% | 34.27% | -9.11 | 4-1 |
| 2005-09-15 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 77-70 | 1652.50 | 1662.87 | 63.33% | 36.67% | +6.72 | 5-1 |
| 2005-09-18 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 55-66 | 1659.22 | 1656.15 | 35.70% | 64.30% | -8.20 | 5-2 |
| 2005-09-20 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 59-62 | 1651.02 | 1664.35 | 33.56% | 66.44% | -4.03 | 5-3 |
| 2005-08-31 | Connecticut Sun | L 62-73 | 1485.56 | 1635.22 | 43.65% | 56.35% | -10.03 | 0-1 |
| 2005-09-02 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 67-75 | 1475.53 | 1645.25 | 17.04% | 82.96% | -3.34 | 0-2 |
| 2005-08-30 | Seattle Storm | L 67-75 | 1523.66 | 1576.51 | 57.49% | 42.51% | -11.27 | 0-1 |
| 2005-09-01 | @ Seattle Storm | W 67-64 | 1512.39 | 1587.78 | 26.11% | 73.89% | +8.87 | 1-1 |
| 2005-09-03 | @ Seattle Storm | W 75-58 | 1521.26 | 1578.91 | 28.13% | 71.87% | +20.54 | 2-1 |
| 2005-09-08 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 69-73 | 1541.80 | 1642.15 | 50.71% | 49.29% | -7.03 | 2-2 |
| 2005-09-10 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 65-74 | 1534.77 | 1649.18 | 22.02% | 77.98% | -4.58 | 2-3 |
| 2005-08-30 | @ New York Liberty | W 63-51 | 1536.48 | 1512.79 | 38.47% | 61.53% | +14.77 | 1-0 |
| 2005-09-01 | New York Liberty | W 58-50 | 1551.25 | 1498.02 | 71.35% | 28.65% | +5.62 | 2-0 |
| 2005-09-08 | Connecticut Sun | L 68-73 | 1556.87 | 1648.59 | 51.95% | 48.05% | -8.06 | 2-1 |
| 2005-09-10 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 67-77 | 1548.81 | 1656.64 | 22.67% | 77.33% | -4.96 | 2-2 |
| 2005-08-31 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 72-75 | 1505.77 | 1630.63 | 47.19% | 52.81% | -5.66 | 0-1 |
| 2005-09-02 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 63-81 | 1500.11 | 1636.29 | 19.94% | 80.06% | -5.86 | 0-2 |
| 2005-08-30 | Indiana Fever | L 51-63 | 1512.79 | 1536.48 | 61.53% | 38.47% | -14.77 | 0-1 |
| 2005-09-01 | @ Indiana Fever | L 50-58 | 1498.02 | 1551.25 | 28.65% | 71.35% | -5.61 | 0-2 |
| 2005-08-31 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 75-72 | 1630.63 | 1505.77 | 52.81% | 47.19% | +5.66 | 1-0 |
| 2005-09-02 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 81-63 | 1636.29 | 1500.11 | 80.06% | 19.94% | +5.86 | 2-0 |
| 2005-09-08 | @ Houston Comets | W 73-69 | 1642.15 | 1541.80 | 49.29% | 50.71% | +7.03 | 3-0 |
| 2005-09-10 | Houston Comets | W 74-65 | 1649.18 | 1534.77 | 77.98% | 22.02% | +4.58 | 4-0 |
| 2005-09-14 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 69-65 | 1653.76 | 1661.61 | 34.27% | 65.73% | +9.11 | 5-0 |
| 2005-09-15 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 70-77 | 1662.87 | 1652.50 | 36.67% | 63.33% | -6.72 | 5-1 |
| 2005-09-18 | Connecticut Sun | W 66-55 | 1656.15 | 1659.22 | 64.30% | 35.70% | +8.20 | 6-1 |
| 2005-09-20 | Connecticut Sun | W 62-59 | 1664.35 | 1651.02 | 66.44% | 33.56% | +4.03 | 7-1 |
| 2005-08-30 | @ Houston Comets | W 75-67 | 1576.51 | 1523.66 | 42.51% | 57.49% | +11.27 | 1-0 |
| 2005-09-01 | Houston Comets | L 64-67 | 1587.78 | 1512.39 | 73.89% | 26.11% | -8.87 | 1-1 |
| 2005-09-03 | Houston Comets | L 58-75 | 1578.91 | 1521.26 | 71.87% | 28.13% | -20.54 | 1-2 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2005-08-25 | 14.19% | Charlotte Sting | 1338.32 | 78 | @ New York Liberty | 1545.66 | 66 |
| 2 | 2005-07-30 | 18.52% | Detroit Shock | 1470.69 | 75 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1622.80 | 66 |
| 3 | 2005-07-30 | 18.94% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1376.22 | 68 | @ Houston Comets | 1523.49 | 63 |
| 4 | 2005-08-23 | 22.19% | Indiana Fever | 1522.43 | 69 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1635.10 | 63 |
| 5 | 2005-08-20 | 23.14% | New York Liberty | 1544.88 | 64 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1648.15 | 58 |
| 6 | 2005-07-05 | 24.02% | New York Liberty | 1463.77 | 67 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1558.52 | 55 |
| 7 | 2005-07-22 | 24.14% | New York Liberty | 1500.89 | 73 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 1594.49 | 63 |
| 8 | 2005-06-08 | 25.93% | Phoenix Mercury | 1470.98 | 66 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1548.01 | 63 |
| 9 | 2005-09-01 * | 26.11% | Houston Comets | 1512.39 | 67 | @ Seattle Storm | 1587.78 | 64 |
| 10 | 2005-06-15 | 26.81% | Minnesota Lynx | 1500.30 | 86 | @ Seattle Storm | 1569.44 | 81 |
| 11 | 2005-09-03 * | 28.13% | Houston Comets | 1521.26 | 75 | @ Seattle Storm | 1578.91 | 58 |
| 12 | 2005-07-19 | 29.31% | Washington Mystics | 1484.05 | 74 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1531.71 | 68 |
| 13 | 2005-07-13 | 29.86% | Washington Mystics | 1486.21 | 78 | @ Seattle Storm | 1529.23 | 71 |
| 14 | 2005-07-07 | 31.19% | Detroit Shock | 1471.87 | 76 | @ Washington Mystics | 1504.05 | 62 |
| 15 | 2005-06-23 | 31.24% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1386.09 | 64 | @ Charlotte Sting | 1417.88 | 49 |
| 16 | 2005-06-24 | 31.40% | Washington Mystics | 1480.18 | 69 | @ Detroit Shock | 1510.60 | 55 |
| 17 | 2005-06-07 | 31.94% | Minnesota Lynx | 1481.30 | 62 | @ Houston Comets | 1507.39 | 58 |
| 18 | 2005-07-21 | 31.95% | Washington Mystics | 1496.05 | 70 | @ Houston Comets | 1522.06 | 65 |
| 19 | 2005-07-12 | 32.53% | New York Liberty | 1494.04 | 68 | @ Houston Comets | 1515.49 | 65 |
| 20 | 2005-07-16 | 32.53% | Seattle Storm | 1523.51 | 78 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1544.93 | 70 |
| 21 | 2005-08-25 | 32.74% | Houston Comets | 1497.64 | 80 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1517.39 | 72 |
| 22 | 2005-08-14 | 32.84% | Indiana Fever | 1501.12 | 62 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1520.13 | 56 |
| 23 | 2005-05-21 | 33.24% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1542.59 | 68 | @ Seattle Storm | 1558.48 | 50 |
| 24 | 2005-06-01 | 33.24% | New York Liberty | 1463.37 | 77 | @ Washington Mystics | 1479.23 | 68 |
| 25 | 2005-07-27 | 33.25% | Houston Comets | 1516.94 | 71 | @ New York Liberty | 1532.73 | 69 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2005-08-25 | 20.60 | Charlotte Sting | 78 | 1338.32 | 14.19% | @ New York Liberty | 66 | 1545.66 | 85.81% |
| 2 | 2005-09-03 * | 20.54 | Houston Comets | 75 | 1521.26 | 28.13% | @ Seattle Storm | 58 | 1578.91 | 71.87% |
| 3 | 2005-05-21 | 19.63 | Los Angeles Sparks | 68 | 1542.59 | 33.24% | @ Seattle Storm | 50 | 1558.48 | 66.76% |
| 4 | 2005-06-20 | 19.43 | Connecticut Sun | 90 | 1576.87 | 37.29% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 70 | 1561.83 | 62.71% |
| 5 | 2005-07-26 | 19.37 | Houston Comets | 83 | 1497.57 | 34.12% | @ Washington Mystics | 65 | 1506.59 | 65.88% |
| 6 | 2005-05-21 | 18.96 | Washington Mystics | 60 | 1477.98 | 35.52% | @ Charlotte Sting | 42 | 1476.22 | 64.48% |
| 7 | 2005-06-23 | 18.46 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 64 | 1386.09 | 31.24% | @ Charlotte Sting | 49 | 1417.88 | 68.76% |
| 8 | 2005-07-05 | 18.24 | New York Liberty | 67 | 1463.77 | 24.02% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 55 | 1558.52 | 75.98% |
| 9 | 2005-06-10 | 18.15 | Connecticut Sun | 77 | 1543.16 | 41.44% | @ Houston Comets | 57 | 1497.96 | 58.56% |
| 10 | 2005-07-07 | 17.85 | Detroit Shock | 76 | 1471.87 | 31.19% | @ Washington Mystics | 62 | 1504.05 | 68.81% |
| 11 | 2005-06-24 | 17.78 | Washington Mystics | 69 | 1480.18 | 31.40% | @ Detroit Shock | 55 | 1510.60 | 68.60% |
| 12 | 2005-07-30 | 16.94 | Detroit Shock | 75 | 1470.69 | 18.52% | @ Connecticut Sun | 66 | 1622.80 | 81.48% |
| 13 | 2005-07-22 | 16.63 | New York Liberty | 73 | 1500.89 | 24.14% | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 63 | 1594.49 | 75.86% |
| 14 | 2005-06-08 | 16.55 | Seattle Storm | 76 | 1560.97 | 38.34% | @ Detroit Shock | 61 | 1538.19 | 61.66% |
| 15 | 2005-07-17 | 15.81 | Connecticut Sun | 72 | 1600.90 | 47.67% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 53 | 1511.80 | 52.33% |
| 16 | 2005-07-23 | 15.53 | Phoenix Mercury | 66 | 1463.41 | 45.66% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 49 | 1388.37 | 54.34% |
| 17 | 2005-07-24 | 15.22 | New York Liberty | 59 | 1517.51 | 36.60% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 47 | 1507.68 | 63.40% |
| 18 | 2005-07-01 | 15.15 | Sacramento Monarchs | 80 | 1584.47 | 46.98% | @ Detroit Shock | 63 | 1500.17 | 53.02% |
| 19 | 2005-08-30 * | 14.77 | Indiana Fever | 63 | 1536.48 | 38.47% | @ New York Liberty | 51 | 1512.79 | 61.53% |
| 20 | 2005-06-24 | 14.72 | Connecticut Sun | 61 | 1587.89 | 35.97% | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 50 | 1582.80 | 64.03% |
| 21 | 2005-07-23 | 13.95 | Los Angeles Sparks | 69 | 1519.71 | 36.38% | @ Houston Comets | 59 | 1511.52 | 63.62% |
| 22 | 2005-07-21 | 13.90 | New York Liberty | 80 | 1486.99 | 36.58% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 70 | 1477.31 | 63.42% |
| 23 | 2005-06-01 | 13.88 | New York Liberty | 77 | 1463.37 | 33.24% | @ Washington Mystics | 68 | 1479.23 | 66.76% |
| 24 | 2005-06-30 | 13.69 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 81 | 1391.86 | 42.97% | Seattle Storm | 69 | 1546.32 | 57.03% |
| 25 | 2005-08-23 | 13.48 | Seattle Storm | 78 | 1545.38 | 62.57% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 51 | 1350.83 | 37.43% |