2007 WNBA Season
221 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Phoenix Mercury
1st Title
Runner-Up
Detroit Shock
3
Last Appearance: 2006
Biggest Overachiever
Phoenix Mercury
3.43 wins above expected
23 wins · 19.57 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Los Angeles Sparks
6.46 wins below expected
10 wins · 16.46 expected wins
Final Standings
Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Shock League | 24 | 10 | .706 | — | 79.3 | 74.7 | +4.6 | 22.73 | +1.27 |
| 2 | Indiana Fever Playoffs | 21 | 13 | .618 | 3 | 72.9 | 69.7 | +3.2 | 19.83 | +1.17 |
| 3 | Connecticut Sun Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 6 | 78.7 | 76.3 | +2.4 | 19.75 | -1.75 |
| 4 | New York Liberty Playoffs | 16 | 18 | .471 | 8 | 71.0 | 73.6 | -2.6 | 14.01 | +1.99 |
| 5 | Washington Mystics | 16 | 18 | .471 | 8 | 76.0 | 77.6 | -1.6 | 15.50 | +0.50 |
| 6 | Chicago Sky | 14 | 20 | .412 | 10 | 74.3 | 76.8 | -2.5 | 11.21 | +2.79 |
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix Mercury League | 23 | 11 | .676 | — | 89.0 | 85.4 | +3.6 | 19.57 | +3.43 |
| 2 | San Antonio Silver Stars Playoffs | 20 | 14 | .588 | 3 | 74.0 | 73.1 | +1.0 | 16.65 | +3.35 |
| 3 | Sacramento Monarchs Playoffs | 19 | 15 | .559 | 4 | 74.3 | 72.9 | +1.4 | 20.98 | -1.98 |
| 4 | Seattle Storm Playoffs | 17 | 17 | .500 | 6 | 80.4 | 77.9 | +2.6 | 18.40 | -1.40 |
| 5 | Houston Comets | 13 | 21 | .382 | 10 | 73.8 | 77.3 | -3.5 | 14.20 | -1.20 |
| 6 | Minnesota Lynx | 10 | 24 | .294 | 13 | 77.5 | 80.9 | -3.4 | 11.71 | -1.71 |
| 7 | Los Angeles Sparks | 10 | 24 | .294 | 13 | 74.5 | 79.6 | -5.1 | 16.46 | -6.46 |
Playoff Bracket
Eastern Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
Western Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
WNBA Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Shock | Eastern | 1616 | 24 | 22.73 | +1.27 | 74.30% | 11 | 18 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 32 | |
| Phoenix Mercury | Western | 1587 | 23 | 19.57 | +3.43 | 92.22% | 8 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 24 | 29 | |
| Connecticut Sun | Eastern | 1574 | 18 | 19.75 | -1.75 | 32.16% | 7 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 29 | |
| Indiana Fever | Eastern | 1556 | 21 | 19.83 | +1.17 | 72.64% | 8 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 31 | |
| Sacramento Monarchs | Western | 1543 | 19 | 20.98 | -1.98 | 29.43% | 11 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 31 | |
| Seattle Storm | Western | 1524 | 17 | 18.40 | -1.40 | 37.43% | 7 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 28 | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | Western | 1502 | 20 | 16.65 | +3.35 | 91.36% | 4 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 27 | |
| Washington Mystics | Eastern | 1485 | 16 | 15.50 | +0.50 | 64.24% | 5 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 26 | |
| Houston Comets | Western | 1459 | 13 | 14.20 | -1.20 | 40.80% | 5 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 24 | |
| New York Liberty | Eastern | 1434 | 16 | 14.01 | +1.99 | 81.25% | 4 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 26 | |
| Chicago Sky | Eastern | 1411 | 14 | 11.21 | +2.79 | 89.22% | 2 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 24 | |
| Minnesota Lynx | Western | 1408 | 10 | 11.71 | -1.71 | 32.61% | 3 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 22 | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | Western | 1400 | 10 | 16.46 | -6.46 | 1.72% | 6 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 27 |
Head-to-Head
Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.
Within Eastern
| Team | Sky | Sun | Shock | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | — |
1-3
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-3
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
3-1
(2.9 exp.)
|
— |
0-4
(1.7 exp.)
|
4-0
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.7 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.5 exp.)
|
| Detroit Shock |
3-1
(3.1 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.9 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
3-1
(3.0 exp.)
|
0-4
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.2 exp.)
|
— |
Eastern vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Comets | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Monarchs | Stars | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky |
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Detroit Shock |
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
Within Western
| Team | Comets | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Monarchs | Stars | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | — |
3-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
1-3
(2.3 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(2.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.8 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
0-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
— |
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
4-0
(2.4 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
|
— |
4-0
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Sacramento Monarchs |
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.9 exp.)
|
0-4
(2.1 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
— |
4-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-4
(2.3 exp.)
|
— |
Western vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Sky | Sun | Shock | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets |
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
| Sacramento Monarchs |
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
0-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
Scoreline Distribution
Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | 0.23% | — | — | 0.23% | — | — | 0.45% |
| 50–59 | 0.23% | 1.81% | 1.81% | 1.36% | 1.13% | — | — | 6.33% |
| 60–69 | — | 1.81% | 4.07% | 8.37% | 3.17% | 0.45% | — | 17.87% |
| 70–79 | — | 1.36% | 8.37% | 14.48% | 11.31% | 2.26% | 0.23% | 38.01% |
| 80–89 | 0.23% | 1.13% | 3.17% | 11.31% | 5.88% | 3.17% | 1.13% | 26.02% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 0.45% | 2.26% | 3.17% | 1.36% | 0.68% | 7.92% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | 0.23% | 1.13% | 0.68% | 1.36% | 3.39% |
| Total | 0.45% | 6.33% | 17.87% | 38.01% | 26.02% | 7.92% | 3.39% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 76.60 | 76.60 | +0.00 |
| SD | 11.35 | 11.35 | 11.52 |
| CV | 0.15 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 111 | 111 | +35 |
| Min | 46 | 46 | -35 |
Games Played: 221
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 8.82% | 17.65% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 14.71% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 23.53% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 8.82% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 5.88% | 14.71% | 41.18% | 23.53% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 100% |
Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 74.26 | 76.79 | -2.53 |
| SD | 11.35 | 11.56 | 10.58 |
| CV | 0.15 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 97 | 102 | +18 |
| Min | 52 | 54 | -22 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 70–79 | — | 5.88% | 8.82% | 29.41% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 52.94% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 8.82% |
| Total | — | 8.82% | 17.65% | 47.06% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 78.68 | 76.26 | +2.41 |
| SD | 11.41 | 11.66 | 10.71 |
| CV | 0.15 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 110 | 111 | +25 |
| Min | 58 | 56 | -20 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 11.76% | 17.65% | 11.76% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 8.82% | 14.71% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | — | 5.88% | 17.65% | 41.18% | 35.29% | — | — | 100% |
Detroit Shock — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 79.32 | 74.71 | +4.62 |
| SD | 10.46 | 8.39 | 9.32 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.11 | — |
| Max | 111 | 88 | +29 |
| Min | 64 | 57 | -10 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 8.82% | 14.71% | 17.65% | 2.94% | — | 44.12% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 20.59% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 26.47% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 2.94% | 17.65% | 41.18% | 29.41% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Houston Comets — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 73.82 | 77.29 | -3.47 |
| SD | 8.94 | 10.32 | 10.94 |
| CV | 0.12 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 95 | 111 | +12 |
| Min | 55 | 56 | -26 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 60–69 | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 17.65% | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 14.71% | 35.29% | 35.29% | 14.71% | — | — | 100% |
Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 72.94 | 69.71 | +3.24 |
| SD | 9.33 | 9.68 | 11.82 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 90 | 89 | +28 |
| Min | 50 | 55 | -25 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 50–59 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 5.88% | 11.76% | 17.65% | 5.88% | — | 41.18% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | 5.88% | 23.53% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 8.82% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 2.94% | 20.59% | 17.65% | 44.12% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 100% |
Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 74.50 | 79.65 | -5.15 |
| SD | 11.89 | 11.66 | 12.37 |
| CV | 0.16 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 96 | 110 | +20 |
| Min | 47 | 57 | -35 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | — | — | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 2.94% | 11.76% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 44.12% |
| 80–89 | — | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | 26.47% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 8.82% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 35.29% | 35.29% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 100% |
Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 77.53 | 80.94 | -3.41 |
| SD | 8.35 | 10.84 | 11.86 |
| CV | 0.11 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 95 | 106 | +26 |
| Min | 60 | 55 | -24 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 50–59 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 2.94% | 17.65% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 17.65% | 17.65% | 2.94% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 5.88% | 26.47% | 41.18% | 23.53% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
New York Liberty — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 70.97 | 73.56 | -2.59 |
| SD | 9.85 | 8.98 | 10.20 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.12 | — |
| Max | 86 | 97 | +12 |
| Min | 46 | 52 | -31 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 70–79 | — | — | — | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | 17.65% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 35.29% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 20.59% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 23.53% |
| Total | — | — | 2.94% | 38.24% | 29.41% | 14.71% | 14.71% | 100% |
Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 88.97 | 85.41 | +3.56 |
| SD | 11.60 | 11.70 | 11.98 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 111 | 111 | +26 |
| Min | 67 | 66 | -29 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 60–69 | — | 5.88% | — | 11.76% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 70–79 | — | 5.88% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 11.76% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 32.35% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.94% | 14.71% | 14.71% | 38.24% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Sacramento Monarchs — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 74.32 | 72.94 | +1.38 |
| SD | 9.83 | 12.82 | 9.21 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.18 | — |
| Max | 91 | 101 | +18 |
| Min | 54 | 46 | -14 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | 23.53% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 5.88% | 26.47% | 44.12% | 20.59% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 74.03 | 73.06 | +0.97 |
| SD | 9.69 | 8.99 | 9.85 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.12 | — |
| Max | 92 | 97 | +19 |
| Min | 55 | 58 | -26 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 60–69 | — | — | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | 8.82% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | — | 8.82% | 20.59% | 5.88% | — | 38.24% |
| 80–89 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 2.94% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 5.88% |
| Total | 2.94% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 38.24% | 23.53% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 100% |
Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 80.41 | 77.85 | +2.56 |
| SD | 11.60 | 12.18 | 16.12 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.16 | — |
| Max | 111 | 101 | +35 |
| Min | 58 | 47 | -28 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 2.94% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 20.59% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% |
| Total | — | 2.94% | 23.53% | 35.29% | 23.53% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 100% |
Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 76.03 | 77.62 | -1.59 |
| SD | 12.49 | 10.78 | 9.42 |
| CV | 0.16 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 106 | 101 | +17 |
| Min | 52 | 58 | -23 |
Games Played: 34
Actual Wins vs. Point Differential
Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix Mercury | 23 | 19.57 | +3.43 |
| 2 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 20 | 16.65 | +3.35 |
| 3 | Chicago Sky | 14 | 11.21 | +2.79 |
| 4 | New York Liberty | 16 | 14.01 | +1.99 |
| 5 | Detroit Shock | 24 | 22.73 | +1.27 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Sparks | 10 | 16.46 | -6.46 |
| 2 | Sacramento Monarchs | 19 | 20.98 | -1.98 |
| 3 | Connecticut Sun | 18 | 19.75 | -1.75 |
| 4 | Minnesota Lynx | 10 | 11.71 | -1.71 |
| 5 | Seattle Storm | 17 | 18.40 | -1.40 |
Top Streaks
The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 6 | Jul 1 – Jul 20 | 1 in 178 |
| 2 | Chicago Sky | 3 | Jul 21 – Jul 26 | 1 in 62 |
| 3 | Connecticut Sun | 6 | Jul 7 – Jul 22 | 1 in 41 |
| 4 | Detroit Shock | 7 | May 19 – Jun 15 | 1 in 31 |
| 5 | New York Liberty | 5 | May 20 – Jun 5 | 1 in 31 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Shock | 4 | Aug 12 – Aug 19 | 1 in 249 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Sparks | 7 | Jun 29 – Jul 17 | 1 in 196 |
| 3 | Indiana Fever | 6 | Jul 20 – Jul 29 | 1 in 149 |
| 4 | Connecticut Sun | 5 | Jun 10 – Jun 20 | 1 in 143 |
| 5 | Washington Mystics | 8 | May 19 – Jun 12 | 1 in 122 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Shock | 62.53% | 24.26% | 10.41% | 2.39% | 0.36% | 0.05% |
| Indiana Fever | 17.66% | 33.97% | 31.93% | 12.20% | 3.64% | 0.60% |
| Connecticut Sun | 17.75% | 32.79% | 32.01% | 13.32% | 3.43% | 0.70% |
| Washington Mystics | 1.62% | 6.15% | 15.64% | 38.14% | 28.11% | 10.34% |
| New York Liberty | 0.42% | 2.50% | 8.44% | 26.58% | 40.98% | 21.08% |
| Chicago Sky | 0.02% | 0.33% | 1.57% | 7.37% | 23.48% | 67.23% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Monarchs | 47.51% | 25.11% | 14.31% | 7.87% | 3.67% | 1.31% | 0.22% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 26.45% | 27.18% | 21.17% | 13.09% | 7.79% | 3.58% | 0.74% |
| Seattle Storm | 14.57% | 21.59% | 23.70% | 18.42% | 13.11% | 6.54% | 2.07% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 5.51% | 12.25% | 16.84% | 22.27% | 22.64% | 14.47% | 6.02% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 4.76% | 10.03% | 16.15% | 21.84% | 23.97% | 16.93% | 6.32% |
| Houston Comets | 1.09% | 3.35% | 6.38% | 12.61% | 20.19% | 34.44% | 21.94% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.11% | 0.49% | 1.45% | 3.90% | 8.63% | 22.73% | 62.69% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Shock | 43.20% | 22.79% | 13.41% | 8.29% | 5.12% | 3.36% | 2.01% | 0.95% | 0.57% | 0.18% | 0.09% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 19.29% | 20.46% | 16.80% | 13.43% | 10.67% | 7.46% | 5.17% | 3.07% | 1.88% | 1.18% | 0.43% | 0.16% | — |
| Indiana Fever | 10.87% | 13.69% | 15.29% | 14.70% | 13.08% | 10.64% | 8.31% | 5.69% | 3.70% | 2.29% | 1.11% | 0.49% | 0.14% |
| Connecticut Sun | 10.12% | 13.94% | 14.81% | 14.56% | 13.60% | 10.79% | 8.63% | 5.86% | 3.70% | 2.18% | 1.30% | 0.38% | 0.13% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 9.24% | 13.11% | 14.17% | 14.61% | 13.28% | 11.43% | 9.10% | 6.43% | 3.95% | 2.55% | 1.44% | 0.53% | 0.16% |
| Seattle Storm | 4.17% | 7.77% | 10.81% | 12.04% | 13.31% | 13.79% | 11.64% | 9.29% | 7.55% | 4.89% | 2.77% | 1.52% | 0.45% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 1.33% | 2.98% | 5.02% | 7.35% | 9.46% | 11.22% | 13.04% | 13.88% | 12.46% | 9.86% | 7.21% | 4.39% | 1.80% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.97% | 2.76% | 4.33% | 6.49% | 8.19% | 11.70% | 12.86% | 14.11% | 13.20% | 11.19% | 7.82% | 4.42% | 1.96% |
| Washington Mystics | 0.60% | 1.34% | 2.97% | 4.15% | 6.06% | 8.06% | 10.70% | 13.88% | 14.46% | 13.63% | 12.19% | 8.10% | 3.86% |
| Houston Comets | 0.12% | 0.56% | 1.20% | 2.06% | 3.32% | 5.11% | 7.57% | 10.08% | 13.76% | 15.84% | 17.29% | 14.06% | 9.03% |
| New York Liberty | 0.09% | 0.52% | 1.06% | 1.79% | 2.86% | 4.45% | 7.19% | 10.31% | 13.09% | 16.90% | 16.56% | 14.92% | 10.26% |
| Minnesota Lynx | — | 0.06% | 0.08% | 0.32% | 0.63% | 1.13% | 2.02% | 3.97% | 6.40% | 10.63% | 16.83% | 26.23% | 31.70% |
| Chicago Sky | — | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.21% | 0.42% | 0.86% | 1.76% | 2.48% | 5.28% | 8.68% | 14.96% | 24.78% | 40.50% |
Win Totals in Context
How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Shock | 62.53% | 24.26% | 10.41% | 2.39% | 0.41% |
| Connecticut Sun | 17.75% | 32.79% | 32.01% | 13.32% | 4.13% |
| Indiana Fever | 17.66% | 33.97% | 31.93% | 12.20% | 4.24% |
| Washington Mystics | 1.62% | 6.15% | 15.64% | 38.14% | 38.45% |
| New York Liberty | 0.42% | 2.50% | 8.44% | 26.58% | 62.06% |
| Chicago Sky | 0.02% | 0.33% | 1.57% | 7.37% | 90.71% |
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Monarchs | 47.51% | 25.11% | 14.31% | 7.87% | 5.20% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 26.45% | 27.18% | 21.17% | 13.09% | 12.11% |
| Seattle Storm | 14.57% | 21.59% | 23.70% | 18.42% | 21.72% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 5.51% | 12.25% | 16.84% | 22.27% | 43.13% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 4.76% | 10.03% | 16.15% | 21.84% | 47.22% |
| Houston Comets | 1.09% | 3.35% | 6.38% | 12.61% | 76.57% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.11% | 0.49% | 1.45% | 3.90% | 94.05% |
Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed
The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Shock | 99.59% | 70.59% | 44.88% | 29.45% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 87.89% | 58.55% | 36.85% | 18.50% |
| Connecticut Sun | 95.87% | 53.64% | 25.60% | 14.52% |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 94.80% | 56.78% | 28.92% | 11.64% |
| Indiana Fever | 95.76% | 47.86% | 21.46% | 11.53% |
| Seattle Storm | 78.28% | 39.34% | 18.63% | 6.79% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 56.87% | 24.01% | 9.76% | 3.25% |
| Washington Mystics | 61.55% | 17.78% | 5.57% | 2.23% |
| New York Liberty | 37.94% | 8.31% | 2.05% | 0.68% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 52.78% | 12.15% | 2.84% | 0.64% |
| Houston Comets | 23.43% | 7.62% | 2.60% | 0.58% |
| Chicago Sky | 9.29% | 1.82% | 0.44% | 0.15% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 5.95% | 1.55% | 0.40% | 0.04% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 0.43% | 0.80% | 0.49% | 0.03% | 0.07% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 1.52% | 9.86% | 24.59% | 6.96% | 10.71% | |
| Detroit Shock | 4.23% | 13.70% | 14.63% | 15.63% | 22.40% | |
| Indiana Fever | 1.57% | 21.15% | 8.45% | 6.45% | 10.24% | |
| New York Liberty | 0.06% | 2.13% | 3.18% | 2.59% | 0.35% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.09% | 4.82% | 6.71% | 5.60% | 0.56% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | 0.97% | 0.04% | 1.62% | 2.83% | 0.72% | 1.44% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.47% | 0.15% | 2.84% | 4.23% | 1.61% | 2.85% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.05% | 0.17% | 0.32% | 0.54% | 0.25% | 0.22% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 4.92% | 13.47% | 1.05% | 11.91% | 11.32% | 15.88% | |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 6.26% | 14.20% | 1.93% | 9.32% | 12.01% | 13.06% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 1.09% | 4.06% | 0.38% | 5.45% | 7.54% | 5.49% | |
| Seattle Storm | 3.02% | 7.76% | 0.85% | 9.79% | 10.97% | 6.95% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 0.22% | 0.08% | 0.09% | 0.02% | 0.03% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 0.48% | 12.51% | 6.84% | 1.82% | 3.95% | |
| Detroit Shock | 0.54% | 19.12% | 17.47% | 2.72% | 5.03% | |
| Indiana Fever | 0.32% | 5.92% | 10.62% | 1.54% | 3.06% | |
| New York Liberty | 0.01% | 0.69% | 0.66% | 0.55% | 0.14% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.03% | 2.09% | 1.84% | 1.45% | 0.16% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | 0.17% | 0.02% | 0.85% | 0.73% | 0.31% | 0.52% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.08% | 0.05% | 0.77% | 0.85% | 0.40% | 0.69% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.14% | 0.03% | 0.09% | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 2.12% | 3.73% | 0.33% | 15.70% | 5.86% | 9.11% | |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 1.45% | 2.93% | 0.36% | 11.51% | 4.56% | 8.11% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.47% | 0.82% | 0.10% | 2.73% | 3.45% | 2.19% | |
| Seattle Storm | 0.90% | 1.63% | 0.29% | 5.73% | 6.99% | 3.09% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Houston Comets | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.05% | 0.04% | 0.01% | ||||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.53% | 0.55% | 0.10% | 4.61% | 4.15% | 1.50% | 3.08% | ||||||
| Detroit Shock | 0.91% | 1.08% | 0.16% | 9.42% | 8.72% | 3.37% | 5.79% | ||||||
| Houston Comets | 0.14% | 0.17% | 0.18% | 0.06% | 0.03% | ||||||||
| Indiana Fever | 0.48% | 0.43% | 0.08% | 3.36% | 3.48% | 1.29% | 2.41% | ||||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.18% | 0.23% | 0.11% | 0.03% | 0.09% | ||||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | ||||||||||
| New York Liberty | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.18% | 0.19% | 0.06% | 0.17% | ||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.16% | 4.96% | 7.18% | 4.41% | 0.54% | 1.25% | |||||||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 0.09% | 2.96% | 4.33% | 2.76% | 0.40% | 1.10% | |||||||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.01% | 0.97% | 1.07% | 0.85% | 0.11% | 0.24% | |||||||
| Seattle Storm | 0.03% | 1.86% | 2.43% | 1.61% | 0.23% | 0.63% | |||||||
| Washington Mystics | 0.08% | 0.08% | 0.01% | 0.74% | 0.69% | 0.25% | 0.38% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Shock | 82.97% | 50.21% | 31.30% | Eliminated in Finals |
| Phoenix Mercury | 63.75% | 40.70% | 20.52% | Won Finals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 51.13% | |||
| Detroit Shock | 82.97% | |||
| Indiana Fever | 48.87% | |||
| New York Liberty | 17.03% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 63.75% | |||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 56.92% | |||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 43.08% | |||
| Seattle Storm | 36.25% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 17.36% | 6.62% | ||
| Detroit Shock | 25.01% | 25.20% | ||
| Indiana Fever | 15.40% | 6.10% | ||
| New York Liberty | 2.14% | 2.17% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 22.14% | 18.56% | ||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 14.25% | 11.25% | ||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 8.80% | 7.45% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 9.28% | 8.27% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 4.93% | 3.33% | 2.61% | 2.66% | ||||
| Detroit Shock | 10.82% | 8.80% | 5.83% | 5.85% | ||||
| Indiana Fever | 4.13% | 2.87% | 2.27% | 2.29% | ||||
| New York Liberty | 0.30% | 0.31% | 0.32% | 0.23% | ||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 4.83% | 9.31% | 5.02% | 1.36% | ||||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 2.50% | 4.50% | 2.31% | 0.88% | ||||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 1.56% | 2.18% | 1.09% | 0.39% | ||||
| Seattle Storm | 1.56% | 2.92% | 1.52% | 0.52% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007-05-20 | @ New York Liberty | L 71-83 | 1372.79 | 1442.45 | 36.05% | 63.95% | -7.88 | 0-1 |
| 2007-05-22 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 64-81 | 1364.91 | 1531.42 | 31.30% | 68.70% | -8.15 | 0-2 |
| 2007-05-25 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 82-77 | 1356.76 | 1409.69 | 38.30% | 61.70% | +8.71 | 1-2 |
| 2007-05-31 | Connecticut Sun | L 97-102 | 1365.47 | 1556.85 | 28.31% | 71.69% | -3.99 | 1-3 |
| 2007-06-01 | @ Washington Mystics | W 75-70 | 1361.48 | 1464.64 | 31.73% | 68.27% | +9.63 | 2-3 |
| 2007-06-03 | Minnesota Lynx | W 78-72 | 1371.11 | 1383.87 | 52.47% | 47.53% | +7.35 | 3-3 |
| 2007-06-07 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 66-80 | 1378.46 | 1526.34 | 26.43% | 73.57% | -6.25 | 3-4 |
| 2007-06-09 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 70-60 | 1372.21 | 1469.93 | 32.41% | 67.59% | +13.49 | 4-4 |
| 2007-06-12 | Seattle Storm | L 69-81 | 1385.70 | 1509.54 | 36.81% | 63.19% | -8.04 | 4-5 |
| 2007-06-15 | New York Liberty | W 73-66 | 1377.66 | 1473.53 | 40.62% | 59.38% | +9.91 | 5-5 |
| 2007-06-17 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 87-74 | 1387.57 | 1556.39 | 24.16% | 75.84% | +17.25 | 6-5 |
| 2007-06-19 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 52-54 | 1404.82 | 1604.21 | 27.38% | 72.62% | -2.44 | 6-6 |
| 2007-06-23 | Washington Mystics | L 86-99 | 1402.38 | 1444.29 | 48.28% | 51.72% | -10.98 | 6-7 |
| 2007-06-26 | @ Seattle Storm | L 76-94 | 1391.40 | 1509.74 | 29.87% | 70.13% | -8.00 | 6-8 |
| 2007-06-29 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 92-84 | 1383.40 | 1601.03 | 19.39% | 80.61% | +14.39 | 7-8 |
| 2007-07-01 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 74-71 | 1397.79 | 1508.50 | 30.80% | 69.20% | +7.56 | 8-8 |
| 2007-07-07 | Washington Mystics | L 73-77 | 1405.35 | 1461.37 | 46.25% | 53.75% | -5.84 | 8-9 |
| 2007-07-08 | @ Indiana Fever | L 70-86 | 1399.51 | 1582.00 | 22.74% | 77.26% | -5.74 | 8-10 |
| 2007-07-10 | @ Detroit Shock | L 84-92 | 1393.77 | 1612.22 | 19.31% | 80.69% | -3.44 | 8-11 |
| 2007-07-12 | Detroit Shock | L 65-78 | 1390.33 | 1615.66 | 24.51% | 75.49% | -5.58 | 8-12 |
| 2007-07-18 | @ Indiana Fever | L 74-75 | 1384.75 | 1597.87 | 19.79% | 80.21% | -1.25 | 8-13 |
| 2007-07-21 | Indiana Fever | W 68-65 | 1383.50 | 1589.53 | 26.63% | 73.37% | +8.02 | 9-13 |
| 2007-07-22 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 84-82 | 1391.52 | 1522.45 | 35.86% | 64.14% | +5.72 | 10-13 |
| 2007-07-26 | @ Detroit Shock | W 83-73 | 1397.24 | 1644.41 | 16.87% | 83.13% | +16.59 | 11-13 |
| 2007-07-27 | Phoenix Mercury | L 96-98 | 1413.83 | 1539.18 | 36.61% | 63.39% | -3.26 | 11-14 |
| 2007-07-29 | Houston Comets | W 88-70 | 1410.57 | 1452.83 | 48.23% | 51.77% | +13.86 | 12-14 |
| 2007-07-31 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 56-74 | 1424.43 | 1567.16 | 27.01% | 72.99% | -7.24 | 12-15 |
| 2007-08-03 | Detroit Shock | L 60-66 | 1417.19 | 1642.68 | 24.50% | 75.50% | -3.78 | 12-16 |
| 2007-08-05 | @ Washington Mystics | L 66-71 | 1413.41 | 1478.09 | 36.71% | 63.29% | -5.18 | 12-17 |
| 2007-08-07 | Indiana Fever | L 70-75 | 1408.23 | 1545.16 | 35.07% | 64.93% | -4.95 | 12-18 |
| 2007-08-11 | Connecticut Sun | L 66-88 | 1403.28 | 1582.61 | 29.74% | 70.26% | -8.80 | 12-19 |
| 2007-08-14 | New York Liberty | W 77-65 | 1394.48 | 1421.69 | 50.39% | 49.61% | +10.84 | 13-19 |
| 2007-08-16 | @ Houston Comets | W 81-70 | 1405.32 | 1462.37 | 37.74% | 62.26% | +13.03 | 14-19 |
| 2007-08-19 | @ New York Liberty | L 52-58 | 1418.35 | 1427.41 | 44.41% | 55.59% | -6.86 | 14-20 |
| 2007-05-19 | @ Washington Mystics | W 89-80 | 1572.77 | 1498.99 | 56.28% | 43.72% | +8.28 | 1-0 |
| 2007-05-23 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 71-74 | 1581.05 | 1444.82 | 64.84% | 35.16% | -7.09 | 1-1 |
| 2007-05-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 68-88 | 1573.96 | 1528.92 | 60.63% | 39.37% | -17.11 | 1-2 |
| 2007-05-31 | @ Chicago Sky | W 102-97 | 1556.85 | 1365.47 | 71.69% | 28.31% | +4.00 | 2-2 |
| 2007-06-02 | Phoenix Mercury | W 76-67 | 1560.85 | 1548.79 | 56.01% | 43.99% | +8.32 | 3-2 |
| 2007-06-08 | @ Houston Comets | W 88-77 | 1569.17 | 1446.03 | 63.10% | 36.90% | +7.73 | 4-2 |
| 2007-06-10 | Detroit Shock | L 74-79 | 1576.90 | 1601.02 | 50.84% | 49.16% | -7.18 | 4-3 |
| 2007-06-13 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 73-77 | 1569.72 | 1377.23 | 71.82% | 28.18% | -9.06 | 4-4 |
| 2007-06-15 | @ Detroit Shock | L 72-75 | 1560.66 | 1608.19 | 39.03% | 60.97% | -4.27 | 4-5 |
| 2007-06-17 | Chicago Sky | L 74-87 | 1556.39 | 1387.57 | 75.84% | 24.16% | -17.25 | 4-6 |
| 2007-06-20 | New York Liberty | L 73-76 | 1539.14 | 1455.27 | 65.82% | 34.18% | -7.20 | 4-7 |
| 2007-06-22 | @ Indiana Fever | W 78-74 | 1531.94 | 1580.47 | 38.90% | 61.10% | +7.72 | 5-7 |
| 2007-06-23 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 58-71 | 1539.66 | 1479.95 | 62.62% | 37.38% | -14.25 | 5-8 |
| 2007-06-26 | Washington Mystics | L 75-91 | 1525.41 | 1455.27 | 64.02% | 35.98% | -16.16 | 5-9 |
| 2007-06-27 | @ Detroit Shock | L 74-77 | 1509.25 | 1612.27 | 31.75% | 68.25% | -3.47 | 5-10 |
| 2007-06-29 | Indiana Fever | W 72-67 | 1505.78 | 1580.59 | 43.58% | 56.42% | +7.96 | 6-10 |
| 2007-07-06 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 109-111 | 1513.74 | 1549.11 | 40.71% | 59.29% | -3.63 | 6-11 |
| 2007-07-07 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 110-89 | 1510.11 | 1486.62 | 49.07% | 50.93% | +14.73 | 7-11 |
| 2007-07-11 | @ Seattle Storm | W 76-63 | 1524.84 | 1552.81 | 41.74% | 58.26% | +13.25 | 8-11 |
| 2007-07-12 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 82-78 | 1538.09 | 1581.85 | 39.55% | 60.45% | +7.63 | 9-11 |
| 2007-07-17 | Minnesota Lynx | W 84-79 | 1545.72 | 1377.83 | 75.75% | 24.25% | +3.42 | 10-11 |
| 2007-07-20 | Seattle Storm | W 76-58 | 1549.14 | 1530.09 | 57.00% | 43.00% | +11.51 | 11-11 |
| 2007-07-22 | Houston Comets | W 81-79 | 1560.65 | 1445.33 | 69.77% | 30.23% | +2.70 | 12-11 |
| 2007-07-24 | Detroit Shock | L 88-92 | 1563.35 | 1638.92 | 43.47% | 56.53% | -5.49 | 12-12 |
| 2007-07-26 | New York Liberty | W 79-75 | 1557.86 | 1436.07 | 70.55% | 29.45% | +3.72 | 13-12 |
| 2007-07-29 | @ New York Liberty | W 67-61 | 1561.58 | 1432.35 | 63.91% | 36.09% | +5.58 | 14-12 |
| 2007-07-31 | Chicago Sky | W 74-56 | 1567.16 | 1424.43 | 72.99% | 27.01% | +7.23 | 15-12 |
| 2007-08-04 | Indiana Fever | W 84-59 | 1574.39 | 1549.20 | 57.87% | 42.13% | +13.29 | 16-12 |
| 2007-08-07 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 79-81 | 1587.68 | 1569.60 | 56.87% | 43.13% | -5.07 | 16-13 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ Chicago Sky | W 88-66 | 1582.61 | 1403.28 | 70.26% | 29.74% | +8.80 | 17-13 |
| 2007-08-14 | @ Washington Mystics | L 64-65 | 1591.41 | 1478.76 | 61.68% | 38.32% | -3.89 | 17-14 |
| 2007-08-15 | @ Indiana Fever | W 77-74 | 1587.52 | 1545.67 | 51.71% | 48.29% | +5.27 | 18-14 |
| 2007-08-17 | @ New York Liberty | L 66-74 | 1592.79 | 1414.90 | 70.09% | 29.91% | -12.51 | 18-15 |
| 2007-08-19 | Washington Mystics | L 74-76 | 1580.28 | 1478.60 | 68.09% | 31.91% | -6.07 | 18-16 |
| 2007-05-19 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 75-68 | 1567.30 | 1572.88 | 53.50% | 46.50% | +7.76 | 1-0 |
| 2007-05-22 | Minnesota Lynx | W 85-75 | 1575.06 | 1414.69 | 74.94% | 25.06% | +5.00 | 2-0 |
| 2007-05-30 | Washington Mystics | W 94-79 | 1580.06 | 1472.25 | 68.85% | 31.15% | +7.62 | 3-0 |
| 2007-06-02 | @ Houston Comets | W 77-71 | 1587.68 | 1462.38 | 63.39% | 36.61% | +5.65 | 4-0 |
| 2007-06-08 | @ New York Liberty | W 67-57 | 1593.33 | 1482.01 | 61.50% | 38.50% | +7.69 | 5-0 |
| 2007-06-10 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 79-74 | 1601.02 | 1576.90 | 49.16% | 50.84% | +7.17 | 6-0 |
| 2007-06-15 | Connecticut Sun | W 75-72 | 1608.19 | 1560.66 | 60.97% | 39.03% | +4.27 | 7-0 |
| 2007-06-16 | Indiana Fever | L 67-77 | 1612.46 | 1568.40 | 60.49% | 39.51% | -12.08 | 7-1 |
| 2007-06-18 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 79-73 | 1600.38 | 1533.62 | 55.28% | 44.72% | +6.92 | 8-1 |
| 2007-06-20 | @ Seattle Storm | W 87-71 | 1607.30 | 1512.66 | 59.20% | 40.80% | +10.29 | 9-1 |
| 2007-06-22 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 87-84 | 1617.59 | 1528.43 | 58.44% | 41.56% | +4.55 | 10-1 |
| 2007-06-23 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 75-85 | 1622.14 | 1596.15 | 49.43% | 50.57% | -9.87 | 10-2 |
| 2007-06-27 | Connecticut Sun | W 77-74 | 1612.27 | 1509.25 | 68.25% | 31.75% | +3.47 | 11-2 |
| 2007-06-29 | @ Washington Mystics | L 64-65 | 1615.74 | 1471.43 | 65.89% | 34.11% | -4.16 | 11-3 |
| 2007-07-01 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 68-71 | 1611.58 | 1470.84 | 72.76% | 27.24% | -7.95 | 11-4 |
| 2007-07-06 | New York Liberty | L 81-82 | 1603.63 | 1441.08 | 75.18% | 24.82% | -4.74 | 11-5 |
| 2007-07-08 | Phoenix Mercury | W 111-82 | 1598.89 | 1552.74 | 60.78% | 39.22% | +13.33 | 12-5 |
| 2007-07-10 | Chicago Sky | W 92-84 | 1612.22 | 1393.77 | 80.69% | 19.31% | +3.44 | 13-5 |
| 2007-07-12 | @ Chicago Sky | W 78-65 | 1615.66 | 1390.33 | 75.49% | 24.51% | +5.58 | 14-5 |
| 2007-07-18 | New York Liberty | W 87-82 | 1621.24 | 1451.96 | 75.89% | 24.11% | +3.40 | 15-5 |
| 2007-07-20 | @ Indiana Fever | W 89-80 | 1624.64 | 1599.12 | 49.36% | 50.64% | +9.59 | 16-5 |
| 2007-07-21 | Washington Mystics | W 66-58 | 1634.23 | 1485.38 | 73.68% | 26.32% | +4.69 | 17-5 |
| 2007-07-24 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 92-88 | 1638.92 | 1563.35 | 56.53% | 43.47% | +5.49 | 18-5 |
| 2007-07-26 | Chicago Sky | L 73-83 | 1644.41 | 1397.24 | 83.13% | 16.87% | -16.59 | 18-6 |
| 2007-07-28 | @ Washington Mystics | W 76-64 | 1627.82 | 1483.94 | 65.83% | 34.17% | +7.47 | 19-6 |
| 2007-07-29 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 75-73 | 1635.29 | 1446.85 | 77.85% | 22.15% | +1.98 | 20-6 |
| 2007-07-31 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 84-79 | 1637.27 | 1524.92 | 61.64% | 38.36% | +5.41 | 21-6 |
| 2007-08-03 | @ Chicago Sky | W 66-60 | 1642.68 | 1417.19 | 75.50% | 24.50% | +3.79 | 22-6 |
| 2007-08-09 | Seattle Storm | W 97-70 | 1646.47 | 1503.28 | 73.04% | 26.96% | +8.84 | 23-6 |
| 2007-08-11 | Indiana Fever | W 74-69 | 1655.31 | 1550.11 | 68.52% | 31.48% | +4.44 | 24-6 |
| 2007-08-12 | @ New York Liberty | L 84-85 | 1659.75 | 1416.81 | 77.31% | 22.69% | -4.88 | 24-7 |
| 2007-08-14 | Houston Comets | L 73-81 | 1654.87 | 1448.16 | 79.61% | 20.39% | -14.21 | 24-8 |
| 2007-08-16 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 77-87 | 1640.66 | 1371.24 | 79.88% | 20.12% | -15.94 | 24-9 |
| 2007-08-19 | @ Indiana Fever | L 66-72 | 1624.72 | 1547.05 | 56.83% | 43.17% | -8.78 | 24-10 |
| 2007-05-19 | @ Seattle Storm | L 69-82 | 1497.03 | 1512.71 | 43.47% | 56.53% | -9.89 | 0-1 |
| 2007-05-25 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 85-111 | 1487.14 | 1522.50 | 40.71% | 59.29% | -13.10 | 0-2 |
| 2007-05-29 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 71-82 | 1474.04 | 1463.91 | 55.74% | 44.26% | -11.66 | 0-3 |
| 2007-06-02 | Detroit Shock | L 71-77 | 1462.38 | 1587.68 | 36.61% | 63.39% | -5.66 | 0-4 |
| 2007-06-06 | @ Indiana Fever | L 59-84 | 1456.72 | 1542.88 | 33.89% | 66.11% | -10.69 | 0-5 |
| 2007-06-08 | Connecticut Sun | L 77-88 | 1446.03 | 1569.17 | 36.90% | 63.10% | -7.73 | 0-6 |
| 2007-06-11 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 67-82 | 1438.30 | 1591.12 | 33.02% | 66.98% | -8.06 | 0-7 |
| 2007-06-13 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 71-74 | 1430.24 | 1544.37 | 30.38% | 69.62% | -3.32 | 0-8 |
| 2007-06-15 | @ Seattle Storm | L 71-84 | 1426.92 | 1504.71 | 34.97% | 65.03% | -7.96 | 0-9 |
| 2007-06-16 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 63-75 | 1418.96 | 1599.19 | 22.97% | 77.03% | -5.02 | 0-10 |
| 2007-06-20 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 74-64 | 1413.94 | 1526.71 | 38.30% | 61.70% | +12.31 | 1-10 |
| 2007-06-22 | Washington Mystics | W 95-85 | 1426.25 | 1454.21 | 50.29% | 49.71% | +9.92 | 2-10 |
| 2007-06-24 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 85-90 | 1436.17 | 1523.88 | 33.69% | 66.31% | -4.75 | 2-11 |
| 2007-06-26 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 75-67 | 1431.42 | 1494.20 | 45.29% | 54.71% | +9.76 | 3-11 |
| 2007-06-28 | Seattle Storm | W 81-76 | 1441.18 | 1517.74 | 43.33% | 56.67% | +8.00 | 4-11 |
| 2007-06-30 | Phoenix Mercury | L 75-92 | 1449.18 | 1528.64 | 42.92% | 57.08% | -11.17 | 4-12 |
| 2007-07-06 | Seattle Storm | L 55-71 | 1438.01 | 1534.79 | 40.50% | 59.50% | -10.22 | 4-13 |
| 2007-07-08 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 79-67 | 1427.79 | 1402.93 | 49.27% | 50.73% | +11.09 | 5-13 |
| 2007-07-10 | Indiana Fever | L 77-79 | 1438.88 | 1587.74 | 33.52% | 66.48% | -3.00 | 5-14 |
| 2007-07-12 | Minnesota Lynx | W 87-77 | 1435.88 | 1385.54 | 61.35% | 38.65% | +7.72 | 6-14 |
| 2007-07-18 | @ Washington Mystics | L 58-65 | 1443.60 | 1473.51 | 41.47% | 58.53% | -6.93 | 6-15 |
| 2007-07-20 | @ New York Liberty | W 80-74 | 1436.67 | 1448.56 | 44.01% | 55.99% | +8.66 | 7-15 |
| 2007-07-22 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 79-81 | 1445.33 | 1560.65 | 30.23% | 69.77% | -2.70 | 7-16 |
| 2007-07-27 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 69-63 | 1442.63 | 1528.02 | 33.99% | 66.01% | +10.20 | 8-16 |
| 2007-07-29 | @ Chicago Sky | L 70-88 | 1452.83 | 1410.57 | 51.77% | 48.23% | -13.86 | 8-17 |
| 2007-07-31 | Phoenix Mercury | L 74-76 | 1438.97 | 1549.02 | 38.67% | 61.33% | -3.45 | 8-18 |
| 2007-08-03 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 66-56 | 1435.52 | 1455.19 | 51.48% | 48.52% | +9.68 | 9-18 |
| 2007-08-04 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 80-77 | 1445.20 | 1371.02 | 56.33% | 43.67% | +4.78 | 10-18 |
| 2007-08-07 | New York Liberty | L 71-77 | 1449.98 | 1413.58 | 59.43% | 40.57% | -9.19 | 10-19 |
| 2007-08-10 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 83-75 | 1440.79 | 1563.31 | 36.98% | 63.02% | +11.25 | 11-19 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 60-63 | 1452.04 | 1526.33 | 35.43% | 64.57% | -3.88 | 11-20 |
| 2007-08-14 | @ Detroit Shock | W 81-73 | 1448.16 | 1654.87 | 20.39% | 79.61% | +14.21 | 12-20 |
| 2007-08-16 | Chicago Sky | L 70-81 | 1462.37 | 1405.32 | 62.26% | 37.74% | -13.03 | 12-21 |
| 2007-08-19 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 82-72 | 1449.34 | 1409.61 | 51.41% | 48.59% | +9.70 | 13-21 |
| 2007-05-19 | Minnesota Lynx | W 83-64 | 1523.00 | 1430.62 | 66.91% | 33.09% | +9.10 | 1-0 |
| 2007-05-24 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 83-70 | 1532.10 | 1539.56 | 53.23% | 46.77% | +10.64 | 2-0 |
| 2007-05-29 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 89-75 | 1542.74 | 1400.98 | 65.56% | 34.44% | +8.13 | 3-0 |
| 2007-06-03 | Washington Mystics | W 70-66 | 1550.87 | 1455.00 | 67.35% | 32.65% | +4.12 | 4-0 |
| 2007-06-05 | @ New York Liberty | L 67-78 | 1554.99 | 1469.90 | 57.87% | 42.13% | -12.11 | 4-1 |
| 2007-06-06 | Houston Comets | W 84-59 | 1542.88 | 1456.72 | 66.11% | 33.89% | +10.69 | 5-1 |
| 2007-06-08 | @ Washington Mystics | W 74-69 | 1553.57 | 1450.88 | 60.32% | 39.68% | +5.60 | 6-1 |
| 2007-06-10 | New York Liberty | W 80-61 | 1559.17 | 1474.33 | 65.94% | 34.06% | +9.37 | 7-1 |
| 2007-06-13 | Seattle Storm | W 90-62 | 1568.54 | 1517.58 | 61.44% | 38.56% | +12.87 | 8-1 |
| 2007-06-15 | Phoenix Mercury | L 78-89 | 1581.41 | 1524.86 | 62.20% | 37.80% | -13.01 | 8-2 |
| 2007-06-16 | @ Detroit Shock | W 77-67 | 1568.40 | 1612.46 | 39.51% | 60.49% | +12.07 | 9-2 |
| 2007-06-22 | Connecticut Sun | L 74-78 | 1580.47 | 1531.94 | 61.10% | 38.90% | -7.71 | 9-3 |
| 2007-06-24 | @ New York Liberty | W 74-63 | 1572.76 | 1453.61 | 62.56% | 37.44% | +7.83 | 10-3 |
| 2007-06-29 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 67-72 | 1580.59 | 1505.78 | 56.42% | 43.58% | -7.96 | 10-4 |
| 2007-07-01 | @ Washington Mystics | W 69-62 | 1572.63 | 1475.59 | 59.54% | 40.46% | +6.75 | 11-4 |
| 2007-07-05 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 57-56 | 1579.38 | 1489.23 | 58.58% | 41.42% | +2.62 | 12-4 |
| 2007-07-08 | Chicago Sky | W 86-70 | 1582.00 | 1399.51 | 77.26% | 22.74% | +5.74 | 13-4 |
| 2007-07-10 | @ Houston Comets | W 79-77 | 1587.74 | 1438.88 | 66.48% | 33.52% | +2.99 | 14-4 |
| 2007-07-12 | New York Liberty | W 79-63 | 1590.73 | 1459.10 | 71.71% | 28.29% | +7.14 | 15-4 |
| 2007-07-18 | Chicago Sky | W 75-74 | 1597.87 | 1384.75 | 80.21% | 19.79% | +1.25 | 16-4 |
| 2007-07-20 | Detroit Shock | L 80-89 | 1599.12 | 1624.64 | 50.64% | 49.36% | -9.59 | 16-5 |
| 2007-07-21 | @ Chicago Sky | L 65-68 | 1589.53 | 1383.50 | 73.37% | 26.63% | -8.01 | 16-6 |
| 2007-07-24 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 63-71 | 1581.52 | 1516.72 | 63.30% | 36.70% | -11.30 | 16-7 |
| 2007-07-26 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 50-60 | 1570.22 | 1569.06 | 45.87% | 54.13% | -9.16 | 16-8 |
| 2007-07-27 | @ Seattle Storm | L 75-89 | 1561.06 | 1519.15 | 51.72% | 48.28% | -12.21 | 16-9 |
| 2007-07-29 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 75-80 | 1548.85 | 1542.44 | 46.62% | 53.38% | -6.57 | 16-10 |
| 2007-07-31 | Washington Mystics | W 66-57 | 1542.28 | 1476.48 | 63.44% | 36.56% | +6.92 | 17-10 |
| 2007-08-04 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 59-84 | 1549.20 | 1574.39 | 42.13% | 57.87% | -13.30 | 17-11 |
| 2007-08-05 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 63-55 | 1535.90 | 1578.86 | 48.13% | 51.87% | +9.26 | 18-11 |
| 2007-08-07 | @ Chicago Sky | W 75-70 | 1545.16 | 1408.23 | 64.93% | 35.07% | +4.95 | 19-11 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ Detroit Shock | L 69-74 | 1550.11 | 1655.31 | 31.48% | 68.52% | -4.44 | 19-12 |
| 2007-08-15 | Connecticut Sun | L 74-77 | 1545.67 | 1587.52 | 48.29% | 51.71% | -5.28 | 19-13 |
| 2007-08-17 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 59-55 | 1540.39 | 1529.62 | 47.24% | 52.76% | +6.66 | 20-13 |
| 2007-08-19 | Detroit Shock | W 72-66 | 1547.05 | 1624.72 | 43.17% | 56.83% | +8.78 | 21-13 |
| 2007-05-22 | @ Chicago Sky | W 81-64 | 1531.42 | 1364.91 | 68.70% | 31.30% | +8.14 | 1-0 |
| 2007-05-24 | @ Indiana Fever | L 70-83 | 1539.56 | 1532.10 | 46.77% | 53.23% | -10.64 | 1-1 |
| 2007-05-26 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 88-68 | 1528.92 | 1573.96 | 39.37% | 60.63% | +17.11 | 2-1 |
| 2007-06-02 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 85-88 | 1546.03 | 1580.05 | 40.90% | 59.10% | -4.47 | 2-2 |
| 2007-06-08 | Minnesota Lynx | W 90-87 | 1541.56 | 1387.09 | 74.30% | 25.70% | +2.81 | 3-2 |
| 2007-06-13 | Houston Comets | W 74-71 | 1544.37 | 1430.24 | 69.62% | 30.38% | +3.32 | 4-2 |
| 2007-06-15 | @ Washington Mystics | W 89-80 | 1547.69 | 1452.46 | 59.29% | 40.71% | +7.70 | 5-2 |
| 2007-06-16 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 58-83 | 1555.39 | 1386.29 | 69.02% | 30.98% | -21.77 | 5-3 |
| 2007-06-18 | Detroit Shock | L 73-79 | 1533.62 | 1600.38 | 44.72% | 55.28% | -6.91 | 5-4 |
| 2007-06-20 | @ Houston Comets | L 64-74 | 1526.71 | 1413.94 | 61.70% | 38.30% | -12.32 | 5-5 |
| 2007-06-22 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 96-88 | 1514.39 | 1606.66 | 41.13% | 58.87% | +10.51 | 6-5 |
| 2007-06-24 | Seattle Storm | L 71-83 | 1524.90 | 1497.01 | 58.25% | 41.75% | -12.73 | 6-6 |
| 2007-06-27 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 74-66 | 1512.17 | 1611.72 | 40.11% | 59.89% | +10.69 | 7-6 |
| 2007-06-29 | New York Liberty | L 68-80 | 1522.86 | 1440.07 | 65.68% | 34.32% | -14.36 | 7-7 |
| 2007-07-01 | Chicago Sky | L 71-74 | 1508.50 | 1397.79 | 69.20% | 30.80% | -7.56 | 7-8 |
| 2007-07-03 | @ Seattle Storm | L 71-90 | 1500.94 | 1523.08 | 42.56% | 57.44% | -11.71 | 7-9 |
| 2007-07-05 | Indiana Fever | L 56-57 | 1489.23 | 1579.38 | 41.42% | 58.58% | -2.61 | 7-10 |
| 2007-07-07 | Connecticut Sun | L 89-110 | 1486.62 | 1510.11 | 50.93% | 49.07% | -14.73 | 7-11 |
| 2007-07-10 | Seattle Storm | L 47-82 | 1471.89 | 1535.97 | 45.10% | 54.90% | -16.83 | 7-12 |
| 2007-07-17 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 61-63 | 1455.06 | 1507.36 | 46.79% | 53.21% | -4.18 | 7-13 |
| 2007-07-20 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 87-77 | 1450.88 | 1536.81 | 33.92% | 66.08% | +13.19 | 8-13 |
| 2007-07-24 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 59-67 | 1464.07 | 1563.31 | 32.22% | 67.78% | -5.75 | 8-14 |
| 2007-07-27 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 76-85 | 1458.32 | 1353.90 | 60.56% | 39.44% | -11.47 | 8-15 |
| 2007-07-29 | @ Detroit Shock | L 73-75 | 1446.85 | 1635.29 | 22.15% | 77.85% | -1.97 | 8-16 |
| 2007-07-31 | @ New York Liberty | W 73-63 | 1444.88 | 1426.77 | 48.30% | 51.70% | +10.31 | 9-16 |
| 2007-08-03 | @ Houston Comets | L 56-66 | 1455.19 | 1435.52 | 48.52% | 51.48% | -9.68 | 9-17 |
| 2007-08-04 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 67-86 | 1445.51 | 1512.51 | 36.40% | 63.60% | -10.01 | 9-18 |
| 2007-08-07 | Phoenix Mercury | L 93-96 | 1435.50 | 1548.99 | 38.20% | 61.80% | -4.18 | 9-19 |
| 2007-08-09 | Washington Mystics | L 75-80 | 1431.32 | 1490.82 | 45.76% | 54.24% | -6.45 | 9-20 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 83-100 | 1424.87 | 1559.12 | 27.99% | 72.01% | -7.28 | 9-21 |
| 2007-08-12 | Minnesota Lynx | W 89-80 | 1417.59 | 1385.75 | 58.80% | 41.20% | +7.80 | 10-21 |
| 2007-08-14 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 77-84 | 1425.39 | 1530.20 | 39.39% | 60.61% | -6.58 | 10-22 |
| 2007-08-17 | @ Seattle Storm | L 77-97 | 1418.81 | 1515.10 | 32.59% | 67.41% | -9.20 | 10-23 |
| 2007-08-19 | Houston Comets | L 72-82 | 1409.61 | 1449.34 | 48.59% | 51.41% | -9.69 | 10-24 |
| 2007-05-19 | @ Indiana Fever | L 64-83 | 1430.62 | 1523.00 | 33.09% | 66.91% | -9.10 | 0-1 |
| 2007-05-20 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 64-74 | 1421.52 | 1565.12 | 34.20% | 65.80% | -6.83 | 0-2 |
| 2007-05-22 | @ Detroit Shock | L 75-85 | 1414.69 | 1575.06 | 25.06% | 74.94% | -5.00 | 0-3 |
| 2007-05-25 | Chicago Sky | L 77-82 | 1409.69 | 1356.76 | 61.70% | 38.30% | -8.71 | 0-4 |
| 2007-05-29 | Indiana Fever | L 75-89 | 1400.98 | 1542.74 | 34.44% | 65.56% | -8.13 | 0-5 |
| 2007-06-01 | New York Liberty | L 60-70 | 1392.85 | 1457.36 | 45.04% | 54.96% | -8.98 | 0-6 |
| 2007-06-03 | @ Chicago Sky | L 72-78 | 1383.87 | 1371.11 | 47.53% | 52.47% | -7.35 | 0-7 |
| 2007-06-05 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 90-85 | 1376.52 | 1536.91 | 25.06% | 74.94% | +10.57 | 1-7 |
| 2007-06-08 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 87-90 | 1387.09 | 1541.56 | 25.70% | 74.30% | -2.81 | 1-8 |
| 2007-06-09 | @ Seattle Storm | L 76-90 | 1384.28 | 1502.48 | 29.89% | 70.11% | -7.05 | 1-9 |
| 2007-06-13 | Connecticut Sun | W 77-73 | 1377.23 | 1569.72 | 28.18% | 71.82% | +9.06 | 2-9 |
| 2007-06-16 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 83-58 | 1386.29 | 1555.39 | 30.98% | 69.02% | +21.78 | 3-9 |
| 2007-06-20 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 73-80 | 1408.07 | 1464.78 | 37.78% | 62.22% | -6.31 | 3-10 |
| 2007-06-22 | Seattle Storm | W 78-76 | 1401.76 | 1502.37 | 39.97% | 60.03% | +5.36 | 4-10 |
| 2007-06-29 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 77-66 | 1407.12 | 1484.43 | 35.04% | 64.96% | +13.59 | 5-10 |
| 2007-07-01 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 68-76 | 1420.71 | 1586.64 | 24.46% | 75.54% | -4.36 | 5-11 |
| 2007-07-03 | Phoenix Mercury | L 79-95 | 1416.35 | 1539.80 | 36.86% | 63.14% | -9.31 | 5-12 |
| 2007-07-06 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 80-85 | 1407.04 | 1591.01 | 29.18% | 70.82% | -4.11 | 5-13 |
| 2007-07-08 | Houston Comets | L 67-79 | 1402.93 | 1427.79 | 50.73% | 49.27% | -11.09 | 5-14 |
| 2007-07-10 | @ Washington Mystics | L 83-91 | 1391.84 | 1467.21 | 35.29% | 64.71% | -6.30 | 5-15 |
| 2007-07-12 | @ Houston Comets | L 77-87 | 1385.54 | 1435.88 | 38.65% | 61.35% | -7.71 | 5-16 |
| 2007-07-17 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 79-84 | 1377.83 | 1545.72 | 24.25% | 75.75% | -3.42 | 5-17 |
| 2007-07-20 | Washington Mystics | L 87-91 | 1374.41 | 1480.43 | 39.22% | 60.78% | -4.95 | 5-18 |
| 2007-07-22 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 93-106 | 1369.46 | 1523.62 | 25.73% | 74.27% | -5.86 | 5-19 |
| 2007-07-25 | Phoenix Mercury | L 79-103 | 1363.60 | 1529.48 | 31.38% | 68.62% | -9.70 | 5-20 |
| 2007-07-27 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 85-76 | 1353.90 | 1458.32 | 39.44% | 60.56% | +11.46 | 6-20 |
| 2007-07-29 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 78-73 | 1365.36 | 1578.21 | 19.82% | 80.18% | +11.32 | 7-20 |
| 2007-08-02 | @ New York Liberty | L 66-71 | 1376.68 | 1416.46 | 40.10% | 59.90% | -5.66 | 7-21 |
| 2007-08-04 | Houston Comets | L 77-80 | 1371.02 | 1445.20 | 43.67% | 56.33% | -4.77 | 7-22 |
| 2007-08-07 | Seattle Storm | W 95-74 | 1366.25 | 1522.78 | 32.55% | 67.45% | +19.50 | 8-22 |
| 2007-08-12 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 80-89 | 1385.75 | 1417.59 | 41.20% | 58.80% | -7.80 | 8-23 |
| 2007-08-14 | @ Seattle Storm | L 67-81 | 1377.95 | 1508.39 | 28.43% | 71.57% | -6.71 | 8-24 |
| 2007-08-16 | Detroit Shock | W 87-77 | 1371.24 | 1640.66 | 20.12% | 79.88% | +15.94 | 9-24 |
| 2007-08-19 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 81-55 | 1387.18 | 1522.96 | 35.22% | 64.78% | +20.84 | 10-24 |
| 2007-05-20 | Chicago Sky | W 83-71 | 1442.45 | 1372.79 | 63.95% | 36.05% | +7.88 | 1-0 |
| 2007-05-24 | Washington Mystics | W 81-76 | 1450.33 | 1479.29 | 50.14% | 49.86% | +7.03 | 2-0 |
| 2007-06-01 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 70-60 | 1457.36 | 1392.85 | 54.96% | 45.04% | +8.99 | 3-0 |
| 2007-06-03 | Phoenix Mercury | W 83-82 | 1466.35 | 1540.47 | 43.68% | 56.32% | +3.55 | 4-0 |
| 2007-06-05 | Indiana Fever | W 78-67 | 1469.90 | 1554.99 | 42.13% | 57.87% | +12.11 | 5-0 |
| 2007-06-08 | Detroit Shock | L 57-67 | 1482.01 | 1593.33 | 38.50% | 61.50% | -7.68 | 5-1 |
| 2007-06-10 | @ Indiana Fever | L 61-80 | 1474.33 | 1559.17 | 34.06% | 65.94% | -9.37 | 5-2 |
| 2007-06-12 | Washington Mystics | W 79-69 | 1464.96 | 1445.29 | 57.09% | 42.91% | +8.57 | 6-2 |
| 2007-06-15 | @ Chicago Sky | L 66-73 | 1473.53 | 1377.66 | 59.38% | 40.62% | -9.92 | 6-3 |
| 2007-06-16 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 71-79 | 1463.61 | 1456.44 | 46.73% | 53.27% | -8.34 | 6-4 |
| 2007-06-20 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 76-73 | 1455.27 | 1539.14 | 34.18% | 65.82% | +7.20 | 7-4 |
| 2007-06-22 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 63-70 | 1462.47 | 1471.09 | 53.06% | 46.94% | -8.86 | 7-5 |
| 2007-06-24 | Indiana Fever | L 63-74 | 1453.61 | 1572.76 | 37.44% | 62.56% | -7.84 | 7-6 |
| 2007-06-26 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 46-59 | 1445.77 | 1606.01 | 25.07% | 74.93% | -5.70 | 7-7 |
| 2007-06-29 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 80-68 | 1440.07 | 1522.86 | 34.32% | 65.68% | +14.36 | 8-7 |
| 2007-07-01 | @ Seattle Storm | L 53-84 | 1454.43 | 1509.74 | 37.97% | 62.03% | -13.35 | 8-8 |
| 2007-07-06 | @ Detroit Shock | W 82-81 | 1441.08 | 1603.63 | 24.82% | 75.18% | +4.75 | 9-8 |
| 2007-07-08 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 71-61 | 1445.83 | 1595.13 | 33.47% | 66.53% | +13.27 | 10-8 |
| 2007-07-12 | @ Indiana Fever | L 63-79 | 1459.10 | 1590.73 | 28.29% | 71.71% | -7.14 | 10-9 |
| 2007-07-18 | @ Detroit Shock | L 82-87 | 1451.96 | 1621.24 | 24.11% | 75.89% | -3.40 | 10-10 |
| 2007-07-20 | Houston Comets | L 74-80 | 1448.56 | 1436.67 | 55.99% | 44.01% | -8.65 | 10-11 |
| 2007-07-22 | Seattle Storm | L 75-77 | 1439.91 | 1518.58 | 43.03% | 56.97% | -3.84 | 10-12 |
| 2007-07-26 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 75-79 | 1436.07 | 1557.86 | 29.45% | 70.55% | -3.72 | 10-13 |
| 2007-07-29 | Connecticut Sun | L 61-67 | 1432.35 | 1561.58 | 36.09% | 63.91% | -5.58 | 10-14 |
| 2007-07-31 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-73 | 1426.77 | 1444.88 | 51.70% | 48.30% | -10.31 | 10-15 |
| 2007-08-02 | Minnesota Lynx | W 71-66 | 1416.46 | 1376.68 | 59.90% | 40.10% | +5.65 | 11-15 |
| 2007-08-03 | @ Washington Mystics | L 68-80 | 1422.11 | 1469.55 | 39.04% | 60.96% | -8.53 | 11-16 |
| 2007-08-07 | @ Houston Comets | W 77-71 | 1413.58 | 1449.98 | 40.57% | 59.43% | +9.19 | 12-16 |
| 2007-08-09 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 86-97 | 1422.77 | 1553.17 | 28.43% | 71.57% | -5.96 | 12-17 |
| 2007-08-12 | Detroit Shock | W 85-84 | 1416.81 | 1659.75 | 22.69% | 77.31% | +4.88 | 13-17 |
| 2007-08-14 | @ Chicago Sky | L 65-77 | 1421.69 | 1394.48 | 49.61% | 50.39% | -10.84 | 13-18 |
| 2007-08-16 | @ Washington Mystics | W 73-72 | 1410.85 | 1482.65 | 35.76% | 64.24% | +4.05 | 14-18 |
| 2007-08-17 | Connecticut Sun | W 74-66 | 1414.90 | 1592.79 | 29.91% | 70.09% | +12.51 | 15-18 |
| 2007-08-19 | Chicago Sky | W 58-52 | 1427.41 | 1418.35 | 55.59% | 44.41% | +6.87 | 16-18 |
| 2007-05-19 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 81-72 | 1526.55 | 1451.51 | 64.66% | 35.34% | +6.69 | 1-0 |
| 2007-05-23 | @ Seattle Storm | L 87-100 | 1533.24 | 1522.60 | 47.23% | 52.77% | -10.74 | 1-1 |
| 2007-05-25 | Houston Comets | W 111-85 | 1522.50 | 1487.14 | 59.29% | 40.71% | +13.10 | 2-1 |
| 2007-05-29 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 76-75 | 1535.60 | 1583.37 | 47.44% | 52.56% | +3.31 | 3-1 |
| 2007-05-31 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 97-85 | 1538.91 | 1475.57 | 54.79% | 45.21% | +9.88 | 4-1 |
| 2007-06-02 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 67-76 | 1548.79 | 1560.85 | 43.99% | 56.01% | -8.32 | 4-2 |
| 2007-06-03 | @ New York Liberty | L 82-83 | 1540.47 | 1466.35 | 56.32% | 43.68% | -3.56 | 4-3 |
| 2007-06-05 | Minnesota Lynx | L 85-90 | 1536.91 | 1376.52 | 74.94% | 25.06% | -10.57 | 4-4 |
| 2007-06-07 | Chicago Sky | W 80-66 | 1526.34 | 1378.46 | 73.57% | 26.43% | +6.24 | 5-4 |
| 2007-06-09 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 74-70 | 1532.58 | 1599.14 | 36.46% | 63.54% | +8.02 | 6-4 |
| 2007-06-13 | @ Washington Mystics | L 69-86 | 1540.60 | 1436.72 | 60.48% | 39.52% | -15.74 | 6-5 |
| 2007-06-15 | @ Indiana Fever | W 89-78 | 1524.86 | 1581.41 | 37.80% | 62.20% | +13.02 | 7-5 |
| 2007-06-20 | Washington Mystics | L 101-106 | 1537.88 | 1444.75 | 67.01% | 32.99% | -9.45 | 7-6 |
| 2007-06-22 | Detroit Shock | L 84-87 | 1528.43 | 1617.59 | 41.56% | 58.44% | -4.55 | 7-7 |
| 2007-06-24 | Houston Comets | W 90-85 | 1523.88 | 1436.17 | 66.31% | 33.69% | +4.76 | 8-7 |
| 2007-06-30 | @ Houston Comets | W 92-75 | 1528.64 | 1449.18 | 57.08% | 42.92% | +11.16 | 9-7 |
| 2007-07-03 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 95-79 | 1539.80 | 1416.35 | 63.14% | 36.86% | +9.31 | 10-7 |
| 2007-07-06 | Connecticut Sun | W 111-109 | 1549.11 | 1513.74 | 59.29% | 40.71% | +3.63 | 11-7 |
| 2007-07-08 | @ Detroit Shock | L 82-111 | 1552.74 | 1598.89 | 39.22% | 60.78% | -13.33 | 11-8 |
| 2007-07-11 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 77-87 | 1539.41 | 1495.29 | 60.50% | 39.50% | -12.07 | 11-9 |
| 2007-07-17 | Seattle Storm | W 89-79 | 1527.34 | 1539.55 | 52.55% | 47.45% | +9.47 | 12-9 |
| 2007-07-20 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 77-87 | 1536.81 | 1450.88 | 66.08% | 33.92% | -13.19 | 12-10 |
| 2007-07-22 | Minnesota Lynx | W 106-93 | 1523.62 | 1369.46 | 74.27% | 25.73% | +5.86 | 13-10 |
| 2007-07-25 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 103-79 | 1529.48 | 1363.60 | 68.62% | 31.38% | +9.70 | 14-10 |
| 2007-07-27 | @ Chicago Sky | W 98-96 | 1539.18 | 1413.83 | 63.39% | 36.61% | +3.26 | 15-10 |
| 2007-07-29 | Indiana Fever | W 80-75 | 1542.44 | 1548.85 | 53.38% | 46.62% | +6.58 | 16-10 |
| 2007-07-31 | @ Houston Comets | W 76-74 | 1549.02 | 1438.97 | 61.33% | 38.67% | +3.45 | 17-10 |
| 2007-08-02 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 84-79 | 1552.47 | 1519.50 | 50.44% | 49.56% | +6.99 | 18-10 |
| 2007-08-04 | @ Seattle Storm | L 101-111 | 1559.46 | 1512.31 | 52.48% | 47.52% | -10.47 | 18-11 |
| 2007-08-07 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 96-93 | 1548.99 | 1435.50 | 61.80% | 38.20% | +4.18 | 19-11 |
| 2007-08-09 | New York Liberty | W 97-86 | 1553.17 | 1422.77 | 71.57% | 28.43% | +5.95 | 20-11 |
| 2007-08-11 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 100-83 | 1559.12 | 1424.87 | 72.01% | 27.99% | +7.28 | 21-11 |
| 2007-08-17 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 101-91 | 1566.40 | 1563.79 | 46.07% | 53.93% | +10.76 | 22-11 |
| 2007-08-19 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 87-73 | 1577.16 | 1553.03 | 57.72% | 42.28% | +9.98 | 23-11 |
| 2007-05-19 | @ Detroit Shock | L 68-75 | 1572.88 | 1567.30 | 46.50% | 53.50% | -7.76 | 0-1 |
| 2007-05-20 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 74-64 | 1565.12 | 1421.52 | 65.80% | 34.20% | +6.82 | 1-1 |
| 2007-05-22 | @ Washington Mystics | W 70-52 | 1571.94 | 1490.71 | 57.33% | 42.67% | +11.43 | 2-1 |
| 2007-05-29 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 75-76 | 1583.37 | 1535.60 | 52.56% | 47.44% | -3.32 | 2-2 |
| 2007-06-02 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 88-85 | 1580.05 | 1546.03 | 59.10% | 40.90% | +4.47 | 3-2 |
| 2007-06-05 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 74-57 | 1584.52 | 1478.08 | 68.68% | 31.32% | +8.15 | 4-2 |
| 2007-06-07 | Seattle Storm | W 81-72 | 1592.67 | 1508.96 | 65.80% | 34.20% | +6.47 | 5-2 |
| 2007-06-09 | Phoenix Mercury | L 70-74 | 1599.14 | 1532.58 | 63.54% | 36.46% | -8.02 | 5-3 |
| 2007-06-11 | @ Houston Comets | W 82-67 | 1591.12 | 1438.30 | 66.98% | 33.02% | +8.07 | 6-3 |
| 2007-06-16 | Houston Comets | W 75-63 | 1599.19 | 1418.96 | 77.03% | 22.97% | +5.02 | 7-3 |
| 2007-06-19 | @ Chicago Sky | W 54-52 | 1604.21 | 1404.82 | 72.62% | 27.38% | +2.45 | 8-3 |
| 2007-06-22 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 88-96 | 1606.66 | 1514.39 | 58.87% | 41.13% | -10.51 | 8-4 |
| 2007-06-23 | Detroit Shock | W 85-75 | 1596.15 | 1622.14 | 50.57% | 49.43% | +9.86 | 9-4 |
| 2007-06-26 | New York Liberty | W 59-46 | 1606.01 | 1445.77 | 74.93% | 25.07% | +5.71 | 10-4 |
| 2007-06-27 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 66-74 | 1611.72 | 1512.17 | 59.89% | 40.11% | -10.69 | 10-5 |
| 2007-06-29 | Chicago Sky | L 84-92 | 1601.03 | 1383.40 | 80.61% | 19.39% | -14.39 | 10-6 |
| 2007-07-01 | Minnesota Lynx | W 76-68 | 1586.64 | 1420.71 | 75.54% | 24.46% | +4.37 | 11-6 |
| 2007-07-06 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 85-80 | 1591.01 | 1407.04 | 70.82% | 29.18% | +4.12 | 12-6 |
| 2007-07-08 | @ New York Liberty | L 61-71 | 1595.13 | 1445.83 | 66.53% | 33.47% | -13.28 | 12-7 |
| 2007-07-12 | Connecticut Sun | L 78-82 | 1581.85 | 1538.09 | 60.45% | 39.55% | -7.63 | 12-8 |
| 2007-07-20 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 71-81 | 1574.22 | 1511.53 | 54.70% | 45.30% | -10.91 | 12-9 |
| 2007-07-24 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 67-59 | 1563.31 | 1464.07 | 67.78% | 32.22% | +5.75 | 13-9 |
| 2007-07-26 | Indiana Fever | W 60-50 | 1569.06 | 1570.22 | 54.13% | 45.87% | +9.15 | 14-9 |
| 2007-07-29 | Minnesota Lynx | L 73-78 | 1578.21 | 1365.36 | 80.18% | 19.82% | -11.31 | 14-10 |
| 2007-07-31 | @ Seattle Storm | W 78-74 | 1566.90 | 1524.27 | 51.82% | 48.18% | +6.08 | 15-10 |
| 2007-08-03 | Seattle Storm | W 82-76 | 1572.98 | 1518.19 | 61.96% | 38.04% | +5.88 | 16-10 |
| 2007-08-05 | @ Indiana Fever | L 55-63 | 1578.86 | 1535.90 | 51.87% | 48.13% | -9.26 | 16-11 |
| 2007-08-07 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 81-79 | 1569.60 | 1587.68 | 43.13% | 56.87% | +5.07 | 17-11 |
| 2007-08-09 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 61-72 | 1574.67 | 1514.97 | 54.27% | 45.73% | -11.36 | 17-12 |
| 2007-08-10 | @ Houston Comets | L 75-83 | 1563.31 | 1440.79 | 63.02% | 36.98% | -11.24 | 17-13 |
| 2007-08-12 | Washington Mystics | W 86-82 | 1552.07 | 1483.32 | 63.83% | 36.17% | +4.56 | 18-13 |
| 2007-08-15 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 81-74 | 1556.63 | 1536.78 | 57.12% | 42.88% | +7.16 | 19-13 |
| 2007-08-17 | Phoenix Mercury | L 91-101 | 1563.79 | 1566.40 | 53.93% | 46.07% | -10.76 | 19-14 |
| 2007-08-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 73-87 | 1553.03 | 1577.16 | 42.28% | 57.72% | -9.98 | 19-15 |
| 2007-05-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 72-81 | 1451.51 | 1526.55 | 35.34% | 64.66% | -6.69 | 0-1 |
| 2007-05-23 | Connecticut Sun | W 74-71 | 1444.82 | 1581.05 | 35.16% | 64.84% | +7.08 | 1-1 |
| 2007-05-25 | Seattle Storm | W 82-71 | 1451.90 | 1533.35 | 42.64% | 57.36% | +12.01 | 2-1 |
| 2007-05-29 | @ Houston Comets | W 82-71 | 1463.91 | 1474.04 | 44.26% | 55.74% | +11.66 | 3-1 |
| 2007-05-31 | Phoenix Mercury | L 85-97 | 1475.57 | 1538.91 | 45.21% | 54.79% | -9.88 | 3-2 |
| 2007-06-02 | @ Seattle Storm | W 78-68 | 1465.69 | 1521.34 | 37.93% | 62.07% | +12.39 | 4-2 |
| 2007-06-05 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 57-74 | 1478.08 | 1584.52 | 31.32% | 68.68% | -8.15 | 4-3 |
| 2007-06-09 | Chicago Sky | L 60-70 | 1469.93 | 1372.21 | 67.59% | 32.41% | -13.49 | 4-4 |
| 2007-06-16 | New York Liberty | W 79-71 | 1456.44 | 1463.61 | 53.27% | 46.73% | +8.34 | 5-4 |
| 2007-06-20 | Minnesota Lynx | W 80-73 | 1464.78 | 1408.07 | 62.22% | 37.78% | +6.31 | 6-4 |
| 2007-06-22 | @ New York Liberty | W 70-63 | 1471.09 | 1462.47 | 46.94% | 53.06% | +8.86 | 7-4 |
| 2007-06-23 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 71-58 | 1479.95 | 1539.66 | 37.38% | 62.62% | +14.25 | 8-4 |
| 2007-06-26 | @ Houston Comets | L 67-75 | 1494.20 | 1431.42 | 54.71% | 45.29% | -9.77 | 8-5 |
| 2007-06-29 | Minnesota Lynx | L 66-77 | 1484.43 | 1407.12 | 64.96% | 35.04% | -13.59 | 8-6 |
| 2007-07-01 | @ Detroit Shock | W 71-68 | 1470.84 | 1611.58 | 27.24% | 72.76% | +7.95 | 9-6 |
| 2007-07-03 | @ Washington Mystics | W 84-79 | 1478.79 | 1468.83 | 47.13% | 52.87% | +7.46 | 10-6 |
| 2007-07-07 | Seattle Storm | W 80-73 | 1486.25 | 1545.01 | 45.86% | 54.14% | +9.04 | 11-6 |
| 2007-07-11 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 87-77 | 1495.29 | 1539.41 | 39.50% | 60.50% | +12.07 | 12-6 |
| 2007-07-17 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 63-61 | 1507.36 | 1455.06 | 53.21% | 46.79% | +4.17 | 13-6 |
| 2007-07-20 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 81-71 | 1511.53 | 1574.22 | 45.30% | 54.70% | +10.92 | 14-6 |
| 2007-07-22 | @ Chicago Sky | L 82-84 | 1522.45 | 1391.52 | 64.14% | 35.86% | -5.73 | 14-7 |
| 2007-07-24 | @ Indiana Fever | W 71-63 | 1516.72 | 1581.52 | 36.70% | 63.30% | +11.30 | 15-7 |
| 2007-07-27 | Houston Comets | L 63-69 | 1528.02 | 1442.63 | 66.01% | 33.99% | -10.20 | 15-8 |
| 2007-07-29 | @ Seattle Storm | W 92-88 | 1517.82 | 1531.36 | 43.77% | 56.23% | +7.10 | 16-8 |
| 2007-07-31 | Detroit Shock | L 79-84 | 1524.92 | 1637.27 | 38.36% | 61.64% | -5.42 | 16-9 |
| 2007-08-02 | Phoenix Mercury | L 79-84 | 1519.50 | 1552.47 | 49.56% | 50.44% | -6.99 | 16-10 |
| 2007-08-04 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 86-67 | 1512.51 | 1445.51 | 63.60% | 36.40% | +10.01 | 17-10 |
| 2007-08-07 | Washington Mystics | L 73-77 | 1522.52 | 1483.27 | 59.83% | 40.17% | -7.55 | 17-11 |
| 2007-08-09 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 72-61 | 1514.97 | 1574.67 | 45.73% | 54.27% | +11.36 | 18-11 |
| 2007-08-11 | Houston Comets | W 63-60 | 1526.33 | 1452.04 | 64.57% | 35.43% | +3.87 | 19-11 |
| 2007-08-14 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 84-77 | 1530.20 | 1425.39 | 60.61% | 39.39% | +6.58 | 20-11 |
| 2007-08-15 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 74-81 | 1536.78 | 1556.63 | 42.88% | 57.12% | -7.16 | 20-12 |
| 2007-08-17 | Indiana Fever | L 55-59 | 1529.62 | 1540.39 | 52.76% | 47.24% | -6.66 | 20-13 |
| 2007-08-19 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 55-81 | 1522.96 | 1387.18 | 64.78% | 35.22% | -20.84 | 20-14 |
| 2007-05-19 | Houston Comets | W 82-69 | 1512.71 | 1497.03 | 56.53% | 43.47% | +9.89 | 1-0 |
| 2007-05-23 | Phoenix Mercury | W 100-87 | 1522.60 | 1533.24 | 52.77% | 47.23% | +10.75 | 2-0 |
| 2007-05-25 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 71-82 | 1533.35 | 1451.90 | 57.36% | 42.64% | -12.01 | 2-1 |
| 2007-06-02 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 68-78 | 1521.34 | 1465.69 | 62.07% | 37.93% | -12.38 | 2-2 |
| 2007-06-07 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 72-81 | 1508.96 | 1592.67 | 34.20% | 65.80% | -6.48 | 2-3 |
| 2007-06-09 | Minnesota Lynx | W 90-76 | 1502.48 | 1384.28 | 70.11% | 29.89% | +7.06 | 3-3 |
| 2007-06-12 | @ Chicago Sky | W 81-69 | 1509.54 | 1385.70 | 63.19% | 36.81% | +8.04 | 4-3 |
| 2007-06-13 | @ Indiana Fever | L 62-90 | 1517.58 | 1568.54 | 38.56% | 61.44% | -12.87 | 4-4 |
| 2007-06-15 | Houston Comets | W 84-71 | 1504.71 | 1426.92 | 65.03% | 34.97% | +7.95 | 5-4 |
| 2007-06-20 | Detroit Shock | L 71-87 | 1512.66 | 1607.30 | 40.80% | 59.20% | -10.29 | 5-5 |
| 2007-06-22 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 76-78 | 1502.37 | 1401.76 | 60.03% | 39.97% | -5.36 | 5-6 |
| 2007-06-24 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 83-71 | 1497.01 | 1524.90 | 41.75% | 58.25% | +12.73 | 6-6 |
| 2007-06-26 | Chicago Sky | W 94-76 | 1509.74 | 1391.40 | 70.13% | 29.87% | +8.00 | 7-6 |
| 2007-06-28 | @ Houston Comets | L 76-81 | 1517.74 | 1441.18 | 56.67% | 43.33% | -8.00 | 7-7 |
| 2007-07-01 | New York Liberty | W 84-53 | 1509.74 | 1454.43 | 62.03% | 37.97% | +13.34 | 8-7 |
| 2007-07-03 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 90-71 | 1523.08 | 1500.94 | 57.44% | 42.56% | +11.71 | 9-7 |
| 2007-07-06 | @ Houston Comets | W 71-55 | 1534.79 | 1438.01 | 59.50% | 40.50% | +10.22 | 10-7 |
| 2007-07-07 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 73-80 | 1545.01 | 1486.25 | 54.14% | 45.86% | -9.04 | 10-8 |
| 2007-07-10 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 82-47 | 1535.97 | 1471.89 | 54.90% | 45.10% | +16.84 | 11-8 |
| 2007-07-11 | Connecticut Sun | L 63-76 | 1552.81 | 1524.84 | 58.26% | 41.74% | -13.26 | 11-9 |
| 2007-07-17 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 79-89 | 1539.55 | 1527.34 | 47.45% | 52.55% | -9.46 | 11-10 |
| 2007-07-20 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 58-76 | 1530.09 | 1549.14 | 43.00% | 57.00% | -11.51 | 11-11 |
| 2007-07-22 | @ New York Liberty | W 77-75 | 1518.58 | 1439.91 | 56.97% | 43.03% | +3.84 | 12-11 |
| 2007-07-24 | @ Washington Mystics | L 96-97 | 1522.42 | 1480.68 | 51.70% | 48.30% | -3.27 | 12-12 |
| 2007-07-27 | Indiana Fever | W 89-75 | 1519.15 | 1561.06 | 48.28% | 51.72% | +12.21 | 13-12 |
| 2007-07-29 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 88-92 | 1531.36 | 1517.82 | 56.23% | 43.77% | -7.09 | 13-13 |
| 2007-07-31 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 74-78 | 1524.27 | 1566.90 | 48.18% | 51.82% | -6.08 | 13-14 |
| 2007-08-03 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 76-82 | 1518.19 | 1572.98 | 38.04% | 61.96% | -5.88 | 13-15 |
| 2007-08-04 | Phoenix Mercury | W 111-101 | 1512.31 | 1559.46 | 47.52% | 52.48% | +10.47 | 14-15 |
| 2007-08-07 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 74-95 | 1522.78 | 1366.25 | 67.45% | 32.55% | -19.50 | 14-16 |
| 2007-08-09 | @ Detroit Shock | L 70-97 | 1503.28 | 1646.47 | 26.96% | 73.04% | -8.84 | 14-17 |
| 2007-08-11 | Washington Mystics | W 91-68 | 1494.44 | 1497.28 | 53.89% | 46.11% | +13.95 | 15-17 |
| 2007-08-14 | Minnesota Lynx | W 81-67 | 1508.39 | 1377.95 | 71.57% | 28.43% | +6.71 | 16-17 |
| 2007-08-17 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 97-77 | 1515.10 | 1418.81 | 67.41% | 32.59% | +9.20 | 17-17 |
| 2007-05-19 | Connecticut Sun | L 80-89 | 1498.99 | 1572.77 | 43.72% | 56.28% | -8.28 | 0-1 |
| 2007-05-22 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 52-70 | 1490.71 | 1571.94 | 42.67% | 57.33% | -11.42 | 0-2 |
| 2007-05-24 | @ New York Liberty | L 76-81 | 1479.29 | 1450.33 | 49.86% | 50.14% | -7.04 | 0-3 |
| 2007-05-30 | @ Detroit Shock | L 79-94 | 1472.25 | 1580.06 | 31.15% | 68.85% | -7.61 | 0-4 |
| 2007-06-01 | Chicago Sky | L 70-75 | 1464.64 | 1361.48 | 68.27% | 31.73% | -9.64 | 0-5 |
| 2007-06-03 | @ Indiana Fever | L 66-70 | 1455.00 | 1550.87 | 32.65% | 67.35% | -4.12 | 0-6 |
| 2007-06-08 | Indiana Fever | L 69-74 | 1450.88 | 1553.57 | 39.68% | 60.32% | -5.59 | 0-7 |
| 2007-06-12 | @ New York Liberty | L 69-79 | 1445.29 | 1464.96 | 42.91% | 57.09% | -8.57 | 0-8 |
| 2007-06-13 | Phoenix Mercury | W 86-69 | 1436.72 | 1540.60 | 39.52% | 60.48% | +15.74 | 1-8 |
| 2007-06-15 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 80-89 | 1452.46 | 1547.69 | 40.71% | 59.29% | -7.71 | 1-9 |
| 2007-06-20 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 106-101 | 1444.75 | 1537.88 | 32.99% | 67.01% | +9.46 | 2-9 |
| 2007-06-22 | @ Houston Comets | L 85-95 | 1454.21 | 1426.25 | 49.71% | 50.29% | -9.92 | 2-10 |
| 2007-06-23 | @ Chicago Sky | W 99-86 | 1444.29 | 1402.38 | 51.72% | 48.28% | +10.98 | 3-10 |
| 2007-06-26 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 91-75 | 1455.27 | 1525.41 | 35.98% | 64.02% | +16.16 | 4-10 |
| 2007-06-29 | Detroit Shock | W 65-64 | 1471.43 | 1615.74 | 34.11% | 65.89% | +4.16 | 5-10 |
| 2007-07-01 | Indiana Fever | L 62-69 | 1475.59 | 1572.63 | 40.46% | 59.54% | -6.76 | 5-11 |
| 2007-07-03 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 79-84 | 1468.83 | 1478.79 | 52.87% | 47.13% | -7.46 | 5-12 |
| 2007-07-07 | @ Chicago Sky | W 77-73 | 1461.37 | 1405.35 | 53.75% | 46.25% | +5.84 | 6-12 |
| 2007-07-10 | Minnesota Lynx | W 91-83 | 1467.21 | 1391.84 | 64.71% | 35.29% | +6.30 | 7-12 |
| 2007-07-18 | Houston Comets | W 65-58 | 1473.51 | 1443.60 | 58.53% | 41.47% | +6.92 | 8-12 |
| 2007-07-20 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 91-87 | 1480.43 | 1374.41 | 60.78% | 39.22% | +4.95 | 9-12 |
| 2007-07-21 | @ Detroit Shock | L 58-66 | 1485.38 | 1634.23 | 26.32% | 73.68% | -4.70 | 9-13 |
| 2007-07-24 | Seattle Storm | W 97-96 | 1480.68 | 1522.42 | 48.30% | 51.70% | +3.26 | 10-13 |
| 2007-07-28 | Detroit Shock | L 64-76 | 1483.94 | 1627.82 | 34.17% | 65.83% | -7.46 | 10-14 |
| 2007-07-31 | @ Indiana Fever | L 57-66 | 1476.48 | 1542.28 | 36.56% | 63.44% | -6.93 | 10-15 |
| 2007-08-03 | New York Liberty | W 80-68 | 1469.55 | 1422.11 | 60.96% | 39.04% | +8.54 | 11-15 |
| 2007-08-05 | Chicago Sky | W 71-66 | 1478.09 | 1413.41 | 63.29% | 36.71% | +5.18 | 12-15 |
| 2007-08-07 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 77-73 | 1483.27 | 1522.52 | 40.17% | 59.83% | +7.55 | 13-15 |
| 2007-08-09 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 80-75 | 1490.82 | 1431.32 | 54.24% | 45.76% | +6.46 | 14-15 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ Seattle Storm | L 68-91 | 1497.28 | 1494.44 | 46.11% | 53.89% | -13.96 | 14-16 |
| 2007-08-12 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 82-86 | 1483.32 | 1552.07 | 36.17% | 63.83% | -4.56 | 14-17 |
| 2007-08-14 | Connecticut Sun | W 65-64 | 1478.76 | 1591.41 | 38.32% | 61.68% | +3.89 | 15-17 |
| 2007-08-16 | New York Liberty | L 72-73 | 1482.65 | 1410.85 | 64.24% | 35.76% | -4.05 | 15-18 |
| 2007-08-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 76-74 | 1478.60 | 1580.28 | 31.91% | 68.09% | +6.07 | 16-18 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007-08-23 | Indiana Fever | W 93-88 | 1574.21 | 1555.83 | 56.91% | 43.09% | +6.08 | 1-0 |
| 2007-08-25 | @ Indiana Fever | L 59-78 | 1580.29 | 1549.75 | 50.09% | 49.91% | -13.78 | 1-1 |
| 2007-08-27 | @ Indiana Fever | L 88-93 | 1566.51 | 1563.53 | 46.13% | 53.87% | -6.51 | 1-2 |
| 2007-08-24 | @ New York Liberty | L 51-73 | 1615.94 | 1434.28 | 70.54% | 29.46% | -20.88 | 0-1 |
| 2007-08-26 | New York Liberty | W 76-73 | 1595.06 | 1455.16 | 72.67% | 27.33% | +2.99 | 1-1 |
| 2007-08-28 | New York Liberty | W 71-70 | 1598.05 | 1452.17 | 73.34% | 26.66% | +1.68 | 2-1 |
| 2007-08-31 | @ Indiana Fever | L 65-75 | 1599.73 | 1570.04 | 49.96% | 50.04% | -9.97 | 2-2 |
| 2007-09-02 | Indiana Fever | W 77-63 | 1589.76 | 1580.01 | 55.69% | 44.31% | +10.46 | 3-2 |
| 2007-09-03 | Indiana Fever | W 81-65 | 1600.22 | 1569.54 | 58.64% | 41.36% | +10.44 | 4-2 |
| 2007-09-05 | Phoenix Mercury | W 108-100 | 1610.66 | 1612.81 | 53.99% | 46.01% | +8.21 | 5-2 |
| 2007-09-08 | Phoenix Mercury | L 70-98 | 1618.87 | 1604.60 | 56.33% | 43.67% | -18.81 | 5-3 |
| 2007-09-11 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 88-83 | 1600.06 | 1623.41 | 42.39% | 57.61% | +8.13 | 6-3 |
| 2007-09-13 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 76-77 | 1608.19 | 1615.28 | 44.69% | 55.31% | -2.82 | 6-4 |
| 2007-09-16 | Phoenix Mercury | L 92-108 | 1605.37 | 1618.10 | 52.47% | 47.53% | -13.24 | 6-5 |
| 2007-08-23 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 88-93 | 1555.83 | 1574.21 | 43.09% | 56.91% | -6.08 | 0-1 |
| 2007-08-25 | Connecticut Sun | W 78-59 | 1549.75 | 1580.29 | 49.91% | 50.09% | +13.78 | 1-1 |
| 2007-08-27 | Connecticut Sun | W 93-88 | 1563.53 | 1566.51 | 53.87% | 46.13% | +6.51 | 2-1 |
| 2007-08-31 | Detroit Shock | W 75-65 | 1570.04 | 1599.73 | 50.04% | 49.96% | +9.97 | 3-1 |
| 2007-09-02 | @ Detroit Shock | L 63-77 | 1580.01 | 1589.76 | 44.31% | 55.69% | -10.47 | 3-2 |
| 2007-09-03 | @ Detroit Shock | L 65-81 | 1569.54 | 1600.22 | 41.36% | 58.64% | -10.44 | 3-3 |
| 2007-08-24 | Detroit Shock | W 73-51 | 1434.28 | 1615.94 | 29.46% | 70.54% | +20.88 | 1-0 |
| 2007-08-26 | @ Detroit Shock | L 73-76 | 1455.16 | 1595.06 | 27.33% | 72.67% | -2.99 | 1-1 |
| 2007-08-28 | @ Detroit Shock | L 70-71 | 1452.17 | 1598.05 | 26.66% | 73.34% | -1.68 | 1-2 |
| 2007-08-24 | @ Seattle Storm | W 101-84 | 1587.14 | 1524.30 | 54.72% | 45.28% | +11.78 | 1-0 |
| 2007-08-26 | Seattle Storm | W 95-89 | 1598.92 | 1512.52 | 66.14% | 33.86% | +5.24 | 2-0 |
| 2007-08-30 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 102-100 | 1604.16 | 1512.34 | 58.81% | 41.19% | +3.67 | 3-0 |
| 2007-09-01 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 98-92 | 1607.83 | 1508.67 | 67.77% | 32.23% | +4.98 | 4-0 |
| 2007-09-05 | @ Detroit Shock | L 100-108 | 1612.81 | 1610.66 | 46.01% | 53.99% | -8.21 | 4-1 |
| 2007-09-08 | @ Detroit Shock | W 98-70 | 1604.60 | 1618.87 | 43.67% | 56.33% | +18.81 | 5-1 |
| 2007-09-11 | Detroit Shock | L 83-88 | 1623.41 | 1600.06 | 57.61% | 42.39% | -8.13 | 5-2 |
| 2007-09-13 | Detroit Shock | W 77-76 | 1615.28 | 1608.19 | 55.31% | 44.69% | +2.82 | 6-2 |
| 2007-09-16 | @ Detroit Shock | W 108-92 | 1618.10 | 1605.37 | 47.53% | 52.47% | +13.25 | 7-2 |
| 2007-08-23 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 86-65 | 1543.05 | 1502.12 | 60.06% | 39.94% | +11.55 | 1-0 |
| 2007-08-25 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 61-86 | 1554.60 | 1490.57 | 54.89% | 45.11% | -17.32 | 1-1 |
| 2007-08-27 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 78-80 | 1537.28 | 1507.89 | 49.92% | 50.08% | -4.45 | 1-2 |
| 2007-08-23 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 65-86 | 1502.12 | 1543.05 | 39.94% | 60.06% | -11.55 | 0-1 |
| 2007-08-25 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 86-61 | 1490.57 | 1554.60 | 45.11% | 54.89% | +17.32 | 1-1 |
| 2007-08-27 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 80-78 | 1507.89 | 1537.28 | 50.08% | 49.92% | +4.45 | 2-1 |
| 2007-08-30 | Phoenix Mercury | L 100-102 | 1512.34 | 1604.16 | 41.19% | 58.81% | -3.67 | 2-2 |
| 2007-09-01 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 92-98 | 1508.67 | 1607.83 | 32.23% | 67.77% | -4.98 | 2-3 |
| 2007-08-24 | Phoenix Mercury | L 84-101 | 1524.30 | 1587.14 | 45.28% | 54.72% | -11.78 | 0-1 |
| 2007-08-26 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 89-95 | 1512.52 | 1598.92 | 33.86% | 66.14% | -5.23 | 0-2 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2007-07-26 | 16.87% | Chicago Sky | 1397.24 | 83 | @ Detroit Shock | 1644.41 | 73 |
| 2 | 2007-06-29 | 19.39% | Chicago Sky | 1383.40 | 92 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 1601.03 | 84 |
| 3 | 2007-07-29 | 19.82% | Minnesota Lynx | 1365.36 | 78 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 1578.21 | 73 |
| 4 | 2007-08-16 | 20.12% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1371.24 | 87 | Detroit Shock | 1640.66 | 77 |
| 5 | 2007-08-14 | 20.39% | Houston Comets | 1448.16 | 81 | @ Detroit Shock | 1654.87 | 73 |
| 6 | 2007-08-12 | 22.69% | @ New York Liberty | 1416.81 | 85 | Detroit Shock | 1659.75 | 84 |
| 7 | 2007-06-17 | 24.16% | Chicago Sky | 1387.57 | 87 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1556.39 | 74 |
| 8 | 2007-07-06 | 24.82% | New York Liberty | 1441.08 | 82 | @ Detroit Shock | 1603.63 | 81 |
| 9 | 2007-06-05 | 25.06% | Minnesota Lynx | 1376.52 | 90 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1536.91 | 85 |
| 10 | 2007-07-21 | 26.63% | @ Chicago Sky | 1383.50 | 68 | Indiana Fever | 1589.53 | 65 |
| 11 | 2007-07-01 | 27.24% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1470.84 | 71 | @ Detroit Shock | 1611.58 | 68 |
| 12 | 2007-06-13 | 28.18% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1377.23 | 77 | Connecticut Sun | 1569.72 | 73 |
| 13 | 2007-08-24 * | 29.46% | @ New York Liberty | 1434.28 | 73 | Detroit Shock | 1615.94 | 51 |
| 14 | 2007-08-17 | 29.91% | @ New York Liberty | 1414.90 | 74 | Connecticut Sun | 1592.79 | 66 |
| 15 | 2007-07-01 | 30.80% | Chicago Sky | 1397.79 | 74 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1508.50 | 71 |
| 16 | 2007-06-16 | 30.98% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1386.29 | 83 | Los Angeles Sparks | 1555.39 | 58 |
| 17 | 2007-06-01 | 31.73% | Chicago Sky | 1361.48 | 75 | @ Washington Mystics | 1464.64 | 70 |
| 18 | 2007-08-19 | 31.91% | Washington Mystics | 1478.60 | 76 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1580.28 | 74 |
| 19 | 2007-06-09 | 32.41% | Chicago Sky | 1372.21 | 70 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1469.93 | 60 |
| 20 | 2007-08-07 | 32.55% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1366.25 | 95 | Seattle Storm | 1522.78 | 74 |
| 21 | 2007-06-20 | 32.99% | Washington Mystics | 1444.75 | 106 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1537.88 | 101 |
| 22 | 2007-07-08 | 33.47% | @ New York Liberty | 1445.83 | 71 | Sacramento Monarchs | 1595.13 | 61 |
| 23 | 2007-07-20 | 33.92% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1450.88 | 87 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1536.81 | 77 |
| 24 | 2007-07-27 | 33.99% | Houston Comets | 1442.63 | 69 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1528.02 | 63 |
| 25 | 2007-06-29 | 34.11% | @ Washington Mystics | 1471.43 | 65 | Detroit Shock | 1615.74 | 64 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2007-06-16 | 21.78 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 83 | 1386.29 | 30.98% | Los Angeles Sparks | 58 | 1555.39 | 69.02% |
| 2 | 2007-08-24 * | 20.88 | @ New York Liberty | 73 | 1434.28 | 29.46% | Detroit Shock | 51 | 1615.94 | 70.54% |
| 3 | 2007-08-19 | 20.84 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 81 | 1387.18 | 35.22% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 55 | 1522.96 | 64.78% |
| 4 | 2007-08-07 | 19.50 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 95 | 1366.25 | 32.55% | Seattle Storm | 74 | 1522.78 | 67.45% |
| 5 | 2007-09-08 * | 18.81 | Phoenix Mercury | 98 | 1604.60 | 43.67% | @ Detroit Shock | 70 | 1618.87 | 56.33% |
| 6 | 2007-08-25 * | 17.32 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 86 | 1490.57 | 45.11% | Sacramento Monarchs | 61 | 1554.60 | 54.89% |
| 7 | 2007-06-17 | 17.25 | Chicago Sky | 87 | 1387.57 | 24.16% | @ Connecticut Sun | 74 | 1556.39 | 75.84% |
| 8 | 2007-05-26 | 17.11 | Los Angeles Sparks | 88 | 1528.92 | 39.37% | @ Connecticut Sun | 68 | 1573.96 | 60.63% |
| 9 | 2007-07-10 | 16.84 | Seattle Storm | 82 | 1535.97 | 54.90% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 47 | 1471.89 | 45.10% |
| 10 | 2007-07-26 | 16.59 | Chicago Sky | 83 | 1397.24 | 16.87% | @ Detroit Shock | 73 | 1644.41 | 83.13% |
| 11 | 2007-06-26 | 16.16 | Washington Mystics | 91 | 1455.27 | 35.98% | @ Connecticut Sun | 75 | 1525.41 | 64.02% |
| 12 | 2007-08-16 | 15.94 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 87 | 1371.24 | 20.12% | Detroit Shock | 77 | 1640.66 | 79.88% |
| 13 | 2007-06-13 | 15.74 | @ Washington Mystics | 86 | 1436.72 | 39.52% | Phoenix Mercury | 69 | 1540.60 | 60.48% |
| 14 | 2007-07-07 | 14.73 | Connecticut Sun | 110 | 1510.11 | 49.07% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 89 | 1486.62 | 50.93% |
| 15 | 2007-06-29 | 14.39 | Chicago Sky | 92 | 1383.40 | 19.39% | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 84 | 1601.03 | 80.61% |
| 16 | 2007-06-29 | 14.36 | New York Liberty | 80 | 1440.07 | 34.32% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 68 | 1522.86 | 65.68% |
| 17 | 2007-06-23 | 14.25 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 71 | 1479.95 | 37.38% | @ Connecticut Sun | 58 | 1539.66 | 62.62% |
| 18 | 2007-08-14 | 14.21 | Houston Comets | 81 | 1448.16 | 20.39% | @ Detroit Shock | 73 | 1654.87 | 79.61% |
| 19 | 2007-08-11 | 13.96 | @ Seattle Storm | 91 | 1494.44 | 53.89% | Washington Mystics | 68 | 1497.28 | 46.11% |
| 20 | 2007-07-29 | 13.86 | @ Chicago Sky | 88 | 1410.57 | 48.23% | Houston Comets | 70 | 1452.83 | 51.77% |
| 21 | 2007-08-25 * | 13.78 | @ Indiana Fever | 78 | 1549.75 | 49.91% | Connecticut Sun | 59 | 1580.29 | 50.09% |
| 22 | 2007-06-29 | 13.59 | Minnesota Lynx | 77 | 1407.12 | 35.04% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 66 | 1484.43 | 64.96% |
| 23 | 2007-06-09 | 13.49 | Chicago Sky | 70 | 1372.21 | 32.41% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 60 | 1469.93 | 67.59% |
| 24 | 2007-07-01 | 13.35 | @ Seattle Storm | 84 | 1509.74 | 62.03% | New York Liberty | 53 | 1454.43 | 37.97% |
| 25 | 2007-07-08 | 13.33 | @ Detroit Shock | 111 | 1598.89 | 60.78% | Phoenix Mercury | 82 | 1552.74 | 39.22% |