1997 NFL Season

240 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Denver Broncos

1st Super Bowl

Runner-Up

Green Bay Packers

4th SB App.

Last Appearance: 1996

Biggest Overachiever

Kansas City Chiefs

3.96 wins above expected

13 wins · 9.04 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Oakland Raiders

3.61 wins below expected

4 wins · 7.61 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	11	5	0	.688	—	372	307	+65	8.88	+2.12
2	Jacksonville Jaguars Playoffs	11	5	0	.688	—	394	318	+76	8.70	+2.30
3	Tennessee Oilers	8	8	0	.500	3	333	310	+23	7.85	+0.15
4	Cincinnati Bengals	7	9	0	.438	4	355	405	-50	6.97	+0.03
5	Baltimore Ravens	6	9	1	.406	4.5	326	345	-19	7.54	-1.04

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	10	6	.625	—	369	289	+80	9.23	+0.77
2	Miami Dolphins Playoffs	9	7	.562	1	339	327	+12	8.55	+0.45
3	New York Jets	9	7	.562	1	348	287	+61	7.74	+1.26
4	Buffalo Bills	6	10	.375	4	255	367	-112	7.31	-1.31
5	Indianapolis Colts	3	13	.188	7	313	401	-88	5.77	-2.77

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Kansas City Chiefs Division	13	3	.812	—	375	232	+143	9.04	+3.96
2	Denver Broncos Playoffs	12	4	.750	1	472	287	+185	10.41	+1.59
3	Seattle Seahawks	8	8	.500	5	365	362	+3	7.74	+0.26
4	Oakland Raiders	4	12	.250	9	324	419	-95	7.61	-3.61
5	San Diego Chargers	4	12	.250	9	266	425	-159	6.75	-2.75

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	13	3	.812	—	422	282	+140	11.08	+1.92
2	Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoffs	10	6	.625	3	299	263	+36	8.51	+1.49
3	Detroit Lions Playoffs	9	7	.562	4	379	306	+73	7.89	+1.11
4	Minnesota Vikings Playoffs	9	7	.562	4	354	359	-5	8.18	+0.82
5	Chicago Bears	4	12	.250	9	263	421	-158	5.86	-1.86

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New York Giants Division	10	5	1	.656	—	307	265	+42	8.14	+2.36
2	Washington Redskins	8	7	1	.531	2	327	289	+38	9.22	-0.72
3	Philadelphia Eagles	6	9	1	.406	4	317	372	-55	7.35	-0.85
4	Dallas Cowboys	6	10	0	.375	4.5	304	314	-10	8.90	-2.90
5	Arizona Cardinals	4	12	0	.250	6.5	283	379	-96	6.11	-2.11

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Francisco 49ers Division	13	3	.812	—	375	265	+110	10.83	+2.17
2	Atlanta Falcons	7	9	.438	6	320	361	-41	6.62	+0.38
3	Carolina Panthers	7	9	.438	6	265	314	-49	8.39	-1.39
4	New Orleans Saints	6	10	.375	7	237	327	-90	6.35	-0.35
5	St. Louis Rams	5	11	.312	8	299	359	-60	6.48	-1.48

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Denver Broncos 42

Jacksonville Jaguars 17

Dec 27

New England Patriots 17

Miami Dolphins 3

Dec 28

Divisional Round

Pittsburgh Steelers 7

New England Patriots 6

Jan 3

Denver Broncos 14

Kansas City Chiefs 10

Jan 4

Conference Championship

Denver Broncos 24

Pittsburgh Steelers 21

Jan 11

NFC

Wild Card Round

Minnesota Vikings 23

New York Giants 22

Dec 27

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20

Detroit Lions 10

Dec 28

Divisional Round

San Francisco 49ers 38

Minnesota Vikings 22

Jan 3

Green Bay Packers 21

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7

Jan 4

Conference Championship

Green Bay Packers 23

San Francisco 49ers 10

Jan 11

Super Bowl

Denver Broncos 31

Green Bay Packers 24

Jan 25

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC Central	1719	13	11.08	+1.92	92.27%	5	8	10	11	12	14	16
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1648	13	9.04	+3.96	99.43%	3	6	8	9	10	12	15
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1637	12	10.41	+1.59	88.14%	3	7	9	10	12	13	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1624	13	10.83	+2.17	94.31%	4	8	10	11	12	14	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC Central	1586	11	8.88	+2.12	92.26%	2	6	8	9	10	12	15
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1580	10	9.23	+0.77	75.94%	3	6	8	9	10	12	15
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC Central	1565	11	8.70	+2.30	93.59%	1	5	7	9	10	12	15
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1558	10.5	8.14	+2.36	89.74%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC Central	1535	9	7.89	+1.11	81.45%	0	5	7	8	9	11	15
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1530	8.5	9.22	-0.72	36.74%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC Central	1521	10	8.51	+1.49	85.15%	2	5	7	8	10	12	15
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1518	9	8.55	+0.45	70.56%	2	5	7	8	10	12	15
Tennessee Oilers	AFC	AFC Central	1517	8	7.85	+0.15	64.16%	0	5	7	8	9	11	14
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC Central	1507	9	8.18	+0.82	77.05%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Seattle Seahawks	AFC	AFC West	1505	8	7.74	+0.26	66.68%	0	5	6	8	9	11	14
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1491	9	7.74	+1.26	83.15%	0	4	6	8	9	11	14
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC Central	1481	7	6.97	+0.03	62.73%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC West	1481	7	8.39	-1.39	33.67%	1	5	7	8	10	11	15
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1471	6	8.90	-2.90	10.93%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC Central	1450	6.5	7.54	-1.04	31.07%	0	4	6	7	9	11	14
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1448	6.5	7.35	-0.85	34.41%	1	4	6	7	9	10	14
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC West	1448	7	6.62	+0.38	69.59%	0	3	5	7	8	10	14
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1421	6	7.31	-1.31	35.01%	1	4	6	7	9	10	14
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1418	4	7.61	-3.61	5.46%	1	4	6	8	9	11	15
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1418	5	6.48	-1.48	31.59%	0	3	5	6	8	9	13
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC East	1408	3	5.77	-2.77	11.06%	0	3	4	6	7	9	12
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC Central	1395	4	5.86	-1.86	24.80%	0	3	5	6	7	9	13
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC West	1385	6	6.35	-0.35	55.21%	0	3	5	6	8	9	14
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC East	1368	4	6.11	-2.11	20.88%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1366	4	6.75	-2.75	11.31%	0	4	5	7	8	10	13

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Jaguars	Steelers	Oilers
Baltimore Ravens	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Tennessee Oilers	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-1-1 (2.0 exp.)	—
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	—
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	—
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	—
Tennessee Oilers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	4-0 (1.9 exp.)	—

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Colts	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
New York Jets	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	—	—
Indianapolis Colts	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	—	—
Miami Dolphins	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	—	—
New England Patriots	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-3 (2.2 exp.)	—	—
New York Jets	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	—	—

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers	Seahawks
Denver Broncos	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Denver Broncos	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	—	3-1 (2.5 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	—	4-0 (2.3 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	—	2-2 (2.2 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	—	1-3 (1.7 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	—	2-2 (2.1 exp.)

Within NFC Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings	Buccaneers
Chicago Bears	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC East	NFC West
Chicago Bears	—	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Detroit Lions	—	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	—	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	—	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	—	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cardinals	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Arizona Cardinals	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
New York Giants	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-0-1 (0.9 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Washington Redskins	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC West
Arizona Cardinals	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	—	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	—	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
New York Giants	1-3 (2.2 exp.)	—	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	2-1-1 (1.9 exp.)	—	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	—	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	49ers	Rams
Atlanta Falcons	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East
Atlanta Falcons	—	—	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	—	—	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	—	—	2-2 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	—	—	2-2 (2.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	—	—	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	1.67%	1.67%	0.62%	1.88%	0.83%	—	6.67%
7–13	1.67%	4.17%	5.00%	4.17%	3.75%	1.25%	0.21%	20.21%
14–20	1.67%	5.00%	6.25%	5.42%	2.92%	2.29%	0.42%	23.96%
21–27	0.62%	4.17%	5.42%	7.08%	4.38%	1.04%	—	22.71%
28–34	1.88%	3.75%	2.92%	4.38%	1.25%	2.08%	0.42%	16.67%
35–41	0.83%	1.25%	2.29%	1.04%	2.08%	0.83%	—	8.33%
42+	—	0.21%	0.42%	—	0.42%	—	0.42%	1.46%
Total	6.67%	20.21%	23.96%	22.71%	16.67%	8.33%	1.46%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.74	20.74	+0.00
SD	9.98	9.98	14.52
CV	0.48	0.48	—
Max	55	55	+41
Min	0	0	-41

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	50.00%	—	12.50%	—	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.69	23.69	-6.00
SD	7.56	7.55	9.53
CV	0.43	0.32	—
Max	31	41	+10
Min	6	13	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.00	22.56	-2.56
SD	8.43	10.86	11.47
CV	0.42	0.48	—
Max	34	36	+17
Min	6	3	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.38	21.56	-1.19
SD	9.50	9.18	12.86
CV	0.47	0.43	—
Max	36	42	+26
Min	0	10	-37

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.94	22.94	-7.00
SD	8.59	9.91	11.87
CV	0.54	0.43	—
Max	37	35	+10
Min	3	6	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	18.75%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.56	19.62	-3.06
SD	8.54	11.35	16.02
CV	0.52	0.58	—
Max	38	35	+24
Min	0	0	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	25.00%	37.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.44	26.31	-9.88
SD	8.74	12.52	14.39
CV	0.53	0.48	—
Max	36	55	+17
Min	3	3	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
Total	—	6.25%	18.75%	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.19	25.31	-3.12
SD	12.39	8.53	13.81
CV	0.56	0.34	—
Max	42	44	+27
Min	3	13	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	12.50%	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.00	19.62	-0.62
SD	7.55	10.26	14.57
CV	0.40	0.52	—
Max	37	45	+30
Min	7	3	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	12.50%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	6.25%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.50	17.94	+11.56
SD	7.00	11.36	15.35
CV	0.24	0.63	—
Max	38	35	+35
Min	17	0	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	31.25%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.69	19.12	+4.56
SD	12.35	8.70	16.80
CV	0.52	0.45	—
Max	55	35	+35
Min	7	7	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	37.50%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.38	17.62	+8.75
SD	9.97	9.77	9.71
CV	0.38	0.55	—
Max	45	41	+28
Min	9	6	-11

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	31.25%	25.00%	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.56	25.06	-5.50
SD	12.23	11.45	16.02
CV	0.63	0.46	—
Max	41	39	+41
Min	3	0	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	25.00%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	6.25%	56.25%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.62	19.88	+4.75
SD	7.60	7.35	10.06
CV	0.31	0.37	—
Max	40	31	+27
Min	12	9	-12

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	25.00%	43.75%	18.75%	—	—	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.44	14.50	+8.94
SD	10.20	7.39	14.85
CV	0.44	0.51	—
Max	44	27	+35
Min	3	0	-16

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.19	20.44	+0.75
SD	9.95	9.79	13.65
CV	0.47	0.48	—
Max	34	41	+18
Min	0	9	-41

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.12	22.44	-0.31
SD	8.69	8.74	11.35
CV	0.39	0.39	—
Max	39	38	+21
Min	10	6	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	—	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.06	18.06	+5.00
SD	9.37	9.47	17.56
CV	0.41	0.52	—
Max	41	34	+34
Min	7	3	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.81	20.44	-5.62
SD	10.35	8.52	12.78
CV	0.70	0.42	—
Max	35	38	+18
Min	0	10	-26

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	50.00%	25.00%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.19	16.56	+2.62
SD	9.63	8.76	11.82
CV	0.50	0.53	—
Max	31	40	+20
Min	3	7	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	12.50%	—	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.75	17.94	+3.81
SD	8.00	8.45	14.07
CV	0.37	0.47	—
Max	41	31	+38
Min	10	0	-11

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.25	26.19	-5.94
SD	12.06	8.66	15.26
CV	0.60	0.33	—
Max	38	45	+25
Min	0	13	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	25.00%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
Total	—	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.81	23.25	-3.44
SD	8.67	10.93	8.00
CV	0.44	0.47	—
Max	44	42	+14
Min	10	9	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.25	19.19	+4.06
SD	10.75	10.11	14.58
CV	0.46	0.53	—
Max	42	37	+37
Min	6	0	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	31.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	18.75%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	37.50%	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.62	26.56	-9.94
SD	11.26	11.44	16.57
CV	0.68	0.43	—
Max	35	41	+16
Min	3	6	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%
14–20	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	50.00%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.44	16.56	+6.88
SD	10.04	11.58	17.58
CV	0.43	0.70	—
Max	35	44	+27
Min	6	0	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.81	22.62	+0.19
SD	10.80	10.63	16.14
CV	0.47	0.47	—
Max	45	41	+29
Min	3	3	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	—	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.69	22.44	-3.75
SD	9.90	9.06	10.85
CV	0.53	0.40	—
Max	38	35	+14
Min	7	3	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.69	16.44	+2.25
SD	10.75	7.63	14.25
CV	0.58	0.46	—
Max	31	31	+21
Min	0	6	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	43.75%	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	—	100%

Tennessee Oilers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.81	19.38	+1.44
SD	9.25	11.04	15.71
CV	0.44	0.57	—
Max	41	41	+27
Min	9	6	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	37.50%	25.00%	12.50%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.44	18.06	+2.38
SD	9.31	8.54	12.38
CV	0.46	0.47	—
Max	38	32	+23
Min	7	7	-20

Games Played: 16

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Kansas City Chiefs	13	9.04	+3.96
2	New York Giants	10.5	8.14	+2.36
3	Jacksonville Jaguars	11	8.70	+2.30
4	San Francisco 49ers	13	10.83	+2.17
5	Pittsburgh Steelers	11	8.88	+2.12

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Oakland Raiders	4	7.61	-3.61
2	Dallas Cowboys	6	8.90	-2.90
3	Indianapolis Colts	3	5.77	-2.77
4	San Diego Chargers	4	6.75	-2.75
5	Arizona Cardinals	4	6.11	-2.11

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atlanta Falcons	5	Nov 16 – Dec 14	1 in 69
2	San Francisco 49ers	11	Sep 7 – Nov 23	1 in 62
3	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	5	Aug 31 – Sep 28	1 in 34
4	New York Giants	5	Sep 28 – Oct 26	1 in 31
5	Minnesota Vikings	6	Sep 28 – Nov 9	1 in 26

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Indianapolis Colts	10	Aug 31 – Nov 9	1 in 416
2	San Diego Chargers	8	Nov 2 – Dec 21	1 in 84
3	St. Louis Rams	8	Sep 28 – Nov 23	1 in 74
4	Dallas Cowboys	5	Nov 23 – Dec 21	1 in 50
5	Chicago Bears	7	Sep 1 – Oct 12	1 in 49

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Pittsburgh Steelers	32.98%	25.12%	18.67%	14.37%	8.86%
Jacksonville Jaguars	29.62%	24.84%	20.47%	15.14%	9.93%
Tennessee Oilers	16.52%	20.17%	21.84%	21.78%	19.69%
Baltimore Ravens	12.76%	17.17%	20.54%	23.42%	26.11%
Cincinnati Bengals	8.12%	12.70%	18.48%	25.29%	35.41%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
New England Patriots	42.98%	26.72%	16.62%	9.74%	3.94%
Miami Dolphins	27.71%	27.22%	21.85%	15.38%	7.84%
New York Jets	15.67%	21.37%	24.52%	23.47%	14.97%
Buffalo Bills	11.07%	17.77%	24.09%	27.14%	19.93%
Indianapolis Colts	2.57%	6.92%	12.92%	24.27%	53.32%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Denver Broncos	56.43%	24.20%	11.84%	5.70%	1.83%
Kansas City Chiefs	24.40%	31.37%	21.92%	14.68%	7.63%
Seattle Seahawks	8.76%	18.57%	24.45%	25.55%	22.67%
Oakland Raiders	7.42%	16.51%	24.77%	26.64%	24.66%
San Diego Chargers	2.99%	9.35%	17.02%	27.43%	43.21%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Green Bay Packers	67.25%	20.20%	8.54%	3.27%	0.74%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	13.82%	27.62%	26.47%	21.54%	10.55%
Minnesota Vikings	10.16%	26.17%	26.77%	24.28%	12.62%
Detroit Lions	7.63%	21.20%	26.66%	27.91%	16.60%
Chicago Bears	1.14%	4.81%	11.56%	23.00%	59.49%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Washington Redskins	36.86%	26.72%	18.89%	11.93%	5.60%
Dallas Cowboys	31.37%	26.54%	20.48%	14.74%	6.87%
New York Giants	18.32%	22.85%	24.39%	21.06%	13.38%
Philadelphia Eagles	10.27%	16.70%	22.51%	28.07%	22.45%
Arizona Cardinals	3.18%	7.19%	13.73%	24.20%	51.70%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
San Francisco 49ers	73.24%	18.51%	5.80%	1.89%	0.56%
Carolina Panthers	16.71%	39.61%	23.77%	13.33%	6.58%
Atlanta Falcons	3.59%	14.82%	25.20%	27.10%	29.29%
St. Louis Rams	3.70%	14.04%	23.01%	28.88%	30.37%
New Orleans Saints	2.76%	13.02%	22.22%	28.80%	33.20%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Denver Broncos	31.52%	17.74%	12.38%	9.49%	7.28%	5.44%	4.10%	3.35%	2.48%	2.05%	1.75%	1.15%	0.71%	0.39%	0.17%
New England Patriots	12.57%	12.97%	12.63%	10.06%	9.09%	8.06%	6.80%	6.11%	5.36%	4.65%	3.57%	3.16%	2.14%	1.57%	1.26%
Kansas City Chiefs	11.44%	10.54%	9.77%	10.42%	9.15%	8.20%	7.71%	7.12%	5.88%	4.93%	4.64%	3.81%	2.78%	2.30%	1.31%
Pittsburgh Steelers	9.79%	10.57%	10.39%	9.21%	8.67%	8.72%	7.03%	7.17%	5.85%	5.54%	4.95%	4.15%	3.53%	2.58%	1.85%
Jacksonville Jaguars	7.99%	10.31%	9.46%	9.01%	8.66%	8.15%	7.82%	6.84%	6.66%	5.99%	5.45%	4.78%	3.74%	2.91%	2.23%
Miami Dolphins	6.99%	8.96%	9.01%	8.29%	9.39%	8.34%	7.65%	7.34%	7.27%	5.70%	5.66%	5.70%	4.00%	3.04%	2.66%
Tennessee Oilers	3.62%	5.06%	6.19%	6.58%	7.00%	7.48%	8.06%	7.70%	7.31%	7.37%	7.74%	7.46%	6.77%	6.30%	5.36%
New York Jets	3.07%	4.87%	5.34%	6.29%	6.63%	7.46%	7.95%	7.77%	8.12%	7.61%	7.58%	7.87%	6.60%	6.71%	6.13%
Seattle Seahawks	3.05%	4.21%	4.85%	6.27%	6.45%	7.04%	7.76%	7.61%	7.95%	8.37%	8.34%	8.30%	7.25%	7.14%	5.41%
Oakland Raiders	2.98%	3.48%	4.47%	5.58%	5.70%	6.73%	7.39%	8.03%	7.93%	8.62%	8.36%	8.22%	8.53%	7.52%	6.46%
Baltimore Ravens	2.50%	3.77%	5.24%	5.77%	6.36%	6.52%	6.54%	7.21%	7.26%	8.17%	7.83%	8.14%	9.44%	8.05%	7.20%
Buffalo Bills	1.97%	3.37%	4.07%	4.92%	5.37%	6.42%	6.64%	7.35%	8.43%	8.26%	8.41%	9.24%	8.88%	8.33%	8.34%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.27%	2.35%	3.23%	3.74%	4.51%	4.97%	5.85%	6.19%	8.04%	8.11%	8.98%	9.40%	10.59%	11.72%	11.05%
San Diego Chargers	0.97%	1.26%	2.02%	3.09%	3.79%	4.11%	5.47%	6.23%	6.57%	8.49%	9.30%	9.83%	12.60%	13.81%	12.46%
Indianapolis Colts	0.27%	0.54%	0.95%	1.28%	1.95%	2.36%	3.23%	3.98%	4.89%	6.14%	7.44%	8.79%	12.44%	17.63%	28.11%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Green Bay Packers	34.98%	22.05%	13.75%	9.25%	6.28%	4.07%	3.32%	2.25%	1.48%	1.03%	0.72%	0.47%	0.26%	0.06%	0.03%
San Francisco 49ers	29.46%	23.45%	15.98%	9.18%	6.37%	5.08%	3.39%	2.25%	1.90%	1.19%	0.64%	0.55%	0.24%	0.26%	0.06%
Washington Redskins	8.18%	11.86%	13.01%	11.16%	10.05%	8.51%	8.25%	7.08%	5.52%	5.00%	3.74%	2.97%	2.40%	1.38%	0.89%
Dallas Cowboys	6.38%	9.91%	10.92%	10.72%	10.31%	9.32%	8.29%	7.47%	6.51%	5.83%	4.67%	3.90%	2.62%	1.89%	1.26%
Carolina Panthers	4.22%	5.96%	7.83%	9.19%	10.10%	11.11%	8.95%	8.46%	8.54%	6.31%	5.58%	5.18%	3.68%	3.06%	1.83%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	5.33%	6.15%	7.72%	9.30%	9.04%	9.39%	9.37%	8.73%	7.28%	6.97%	6.46%	5.25%	3.68%	3.20%	2.13%
Minnesota Vikings	3.31%	4.61%	6.66%	8.79%	9.02%	9.34%	8.86%	8.46%	8.21%	8.26%	7.05%	5.95%	5.10%	3.78%	2.60%
New York Giants	2.62%	5.53%	7.54%	8.54%	9.20%	8.52%	8.25%	8.51%	7.89%	7.23%	6.96%	6.50%	5.49%	4.09%	3.13%
Detroit Lions	2.35%	3.53%	5.31%	7.33%	7.76%	7.94%	8.99%	9.44%	8.36%	8.63%	8.10%	7.32%	6.51%	5.02%	3.41%
Philadelphia Eagles	1.53%	2.80%	4.18%	5.21%	6.21%	6.58%	7.79%	8.21%	8.43%	8.11%	9.81%	9.59%	7.92%	7.83%	5.80%
Atlanta Falcons	0.59%	1.17%	1.72%	3.00%	4.08%	5.22%	5.89%	7.02%	8.21%	9.16%	9.19%	10.38%	11.38%	10.56%	12.43%
St. Louis Rams	0.34%	1.00%	1.76%	2.45%	3.62%	5.05%	5.31%	6.57%	8.23%	8.53%	9.66%	11.35%	11.50%	12.13%	12.50%
New Orleans Saints	0.34%	0.70%	1.46%	2.44%	3.31%	4.19%	5.46%	6.37%	7.67%	8.05%	9.93%	10.58%	12.03%	12.70%	14.77%
Arizona Cardinals	0.16%	0.90%	1.41%	1.94%	2.63%	3.24%	4.35%	4.74%	6.14%	8.07%	9.16%	10.04%	12.92%	16.09%	18.21%
Chicago Bears	0.21%	0.38%	0.75%	1.50%	2.02%	2.44%	3.53%	4.44%	5.63%	7.63%	8.33%	9.97%	14.27%	17.95%	20.95%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
Green Bay Packers	23.96%	15.32%	11.80%	8.88%	7.08%	5.46%	4.79%	3.86%	3.24%	2.44%	2.09%	1.93%	1.83%	1.31%	1.11%	1.03%	0.84%	0.59%	0.50%	0.43%	0.39%	0.29%	0.24%	0.22%	0.18%	0.07%	0.08%	0.03%	0.01%	—
San Francisco 49ers	19.97%	14.07%	12.26%	9.32%	7.72%	6.29%	4.65%	4.21%	3.30%	2.88%	2.45%	2.01%	1.95%	1.80%	1.14%	1.14%	0.94%	0.99%	0.65%	0.47%	0.47%	0.26%	0.29%	0.14%	0.19%	0.12%	0.16%	0.12%	0.04%	—
Denver Broncos	13.90%	13.78%	9.91%	9.24%	7.35%	6.59%	5.32%	5.25%	3.71%	3.36%	2.87%	2.52%	2.45%	2.02%	1.96%	1.51%	1.39%	1.19%	1.03%	0.75%	1.05%	0.81%	0.59%	0.37%	0.44%	0.27%	0.10%	0.13%	0.10%	0.04%
New England Patriots	5.23%	6.18%	5.91%	6.45%	6.33%	6.45%	5.22%	5.25%	4.99%	4.68%	4.08%	4.19%	3.60%	3.70%	3.18%	3.09%	2.93%	2.35%	2.50%	2.25%	1.90%	1.94%	1.72%	1.16%	0.92%	1.25%	0.83%	0.77%	0.64%	0.31%
Washington Redskins	4.61%	5.53%	6.41%	5.84%	6.24%	5.63%	5.52%	5.41%	4.86%	4.74%	4.15%	4.15%	3.77%	3.82%	3.47%	3.65%	2.68%	2.64%	2.44%	2.69%	2.00%	1.75%	1.58%	1.62%	1.35%	1.08%	0.78%	0.73%	0.52%	0.34%
Kansas City Chiefs	4.30%	5.48%	5.41%	5.55%	5.04%	5.34%	5.28%	5.41%	4.74%	4.90%	4.21%	4.15%	4.01%	3.61%	3.92%	3.47%	3.53%	2.81%	2.55%	2.40%	2.31%	2.18%	1.74%	1.73%	1.46%	1.37%	1.10%	0.98%	0.62%	0.40%
Dallas Cowboys	3.48%	4.13%	5.41%	5.20%	5.38%	4.87%	5.24%	5.03%	4.90%	4.67%	4.58%	4.18%	4.19%	4.25%	3.80%	3.53%	3.42%	3.10%	2.53%	3.01%	2.25%	2.46%	2.15%	2.08%	1.43%	1.31%	1.16%	1.05%	0.66%	0.55%
Pittsburgh Steelers	3.33%	4.83%	5.03%	5.32%	5.55%	5.61%	4.95%	4.53%	4.86%	4.28%	4.88%	3.80%	3.82%	3.56%	3.90%	3.82%	3.23%	3.04%	2.72%	2.45%	2.78%	2.45%	2.02%	1.99%	1.68%	1.65%	1.29%	1.06%	0.94%	0.63%
Jacksonville Jaguars	2.87%	3.74%	4.55%	5.21%	4.83%	5.41%	4.69%	4.52%	4.65%	4.45%	4.39%	3.98%	4.22%	3.66%	3.81%	3.79%	3.65%	3.33%	3.03%	2.86%	3.09%	2.42%	2.54%	1.98%	2.02%	1.80%	1.37%	1.40%	0.98%	0.76%
Miami Dolphins	2.41%	3.62%	3.93%	4.58%	4.12%	4.86%	4.17%	4.73%	4.65%	4.95%	4.49%	4.60%	3.73%	3.73%	3.86%	3.75%	3.79%	3.42%	3.23%	3.02%	2.92%	2.97%	2.82%	2.63%	2.08%	1.63%	1.80%	1.42%	1.35%	0.74%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2.92%	3.26%	3.66%	3.39%	4.06%	3.82%	4.42%	4.03%	4.54%	4.37%	4.24%	4.57%	4.62%	4.29%	4.16%	4.19%	3.51%	3.94%	3.40%	3.49%	2.83%	3.33%	2.41%	2.76%	2.23%	1.90%	1.56%	1.71%	1.45%	0.94%
Carolina Panthers	2.28%	2.55%	3.06%	3.57%	4.08%	3.81%	4.55%	4.31%	4.50%	4.81%	4.71%	5.19%	4.34%	4.78%	4.03%	3.94%	3.69%	4.34%	3.55%	3.42%	2.70%	3.05%	2.55%	2.80%	2.32%	1.81%	1.59%	1.54%	1.36%	0.77%
Minnesota Vikings	1.73%	1.90%	2.48%	3.00%	3.25%	3.40%	4.43%	3.99%	4.41%	4.33%	4.56%	4.54%	4.18%	4.20%	4.36%	4.03%	3.63%	4.45%	3.71%	4.02%	3.58%	3.54%	2.98%	3.02%	2.57%	2.50%	2.32%	2.01%	1.59%	1.29%
New York Giants	1.36%	1.98%	2.70%	3.14%	3.67%	3.65%	4.08%	4.13%	4.37%	4.37%	4.24%	4.26%	3.69%	4.31%	4.22%	3.95%	3.81%	3.69%	3.87%	3.51%	3.55%	3.47%	3.42%	3.18%	3.05%	2.54%	2.18%	2.03%	2.08%	1.50%
Detroit Lions	1.16%	1.46%	1.85%	2.05%	2.99%	2.77%	3.63%	3.51%	3.56%	3.86%	4.07%	4.07%	4.10%	4.41%	4.56%	4.45%	4.13%	4.27%	4.02%	3.91%	3.90%	4.06%	3.35%	3.93%	3.53%	3.41%	2.81%	2.52%	1.92%	1.74%
Tennessee Oilers	1.05%	1.80%	2.38%	2.44%	2.86%	3.27%	3.45%	3.47%	3.88%	3.59%	4.06%	3.85%	4.30%	3.81%	4.08%	3.80%	3.98%	3.41%	4.35%	3.59%	3.94%	3.66%	4.08%	3.40%	3.58%	3.26%	3.09%	2.96%	2.46%	2.15%
New York Jets	0.83%	1.71%	2.03%	2.53%	2.54%	2.94%	2.84%	3.21%	3.65%	3.81%	3.95%	3.92%	3.72%	4.00%	4.18%	4.13%	4.01%	3.80%	4.22%	3.82%	3.89%	3.71%	4.19%	3.63%	3.71%	3.25%	3.41%	2.94%	3.00%	2.43%
Seattle Seahawks	0.88%	1.58%	1.73%	2.13%	2.55%	2.75%	3.32%	3.29%	3.11%	3.42%	3.61%	3.99%	3.89%	3.93%	3.80%	4.15%	4.19%	4.19%	4.42%	4.02%	4.27%	4.04%	4.21%	3.79%	3.81%	3.61%	3.53%	2.93%	2.72%	2.14%
Oakland Raiders	0.89%	1.43%	1.58%	1.92%	2.02%	2.72%	2.98%	2.80%	2.83%	3.15%	3.53%	3.54%	3.91%	3.67%	4.09%	4.04%	4.36%	4.18%	4.75%	3.93%	4.42%	3.79%	4.29%	4.11%	4.34%	3.56%	4.01%	3.38%	3.23%	2.55%
Baltimore Ravens	0.69%	1.33%	1.49%	2.10%	2.34%	2.83%	2.84%	3.02%	3.28%	3.41%	3.58%	3.05%	3.46%	3.84%	3.81%	3.58%	3.81%	3.73%	4.19%	4.00%	4.47%	3.84%	4.52%	3.92%	4.34%	4.32%	4.03%	3.84%	3.58%	2.76%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.62%	1.05%	1.43%	1.55%	1.97%	2.37%	2.47%	2.72%	2.69%	3.14%	3.21%	3.53%	3.60%	3.74%	3.43%	4.02%	3.91%	4.30%	3.94%	4.72%	4.09%	4.73%	4.62%	5.02%	4.00%	4.51%	3.70%	4.39%	3.54%	2.99%
Buffalo Bills	0.49%	0.99%	1.41%	1.68%	2.12%	2.03%	2.40%	2.28%	2.81%	3.11%	3.14%	3.29%	3.79%	3.45%	3.69%	3.78%	4.35%	4.25%	4.08%	4.02%	4.70%	4.41%	4.43%	4.71%	4.57%	4.36%	4.19%	3.97%	4.21%	3.29%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.24%	0.52%	1.09%	1.31%	1.19%	1.67%	1.78%	2.14%	2.59%	2.33%	2.58%	2.71%	3.04%	2.85%	3.16%	3.65%	3.77%	4.33%	4.24%	4.29%	5.04%	4.35%	4.89%	4.36%	5.69%	5.07%	5.75%	5.22%	5.30%	4.85%
San Diego Chargers	0.15%	0.41%	0.53%	0.91%	0.83%	1.21%	1.32%	1.79%	1.82%	1.98%	2.53%	2.14%	2.78%	2.63%	3.68%	2.90%	3.90%	3.43%	4.11%	4.35%	4.98%	5.02%	5.10%	5.00%	5.87%	5.92%	7.17%	6.29%	6.00%	5.25%
Atlanta Falcons	0.20%	0.45%	0.58%	0.69%	0.83%	0.93%	1.29%	1.79%	1.77%	2.23%	2.31%	2.51%	2.65%	3.22%	3.13%	3.39%	3.42%	4.18%	4.30%	4.64%	4.25%	4.36%	4.96%	5.54%	5.57%	5.82%	5.72%	6.06%	5.76%	7.45%
St. Louis Rams	0.13%	0.26%	0.41%	0.54%	0.82%	0.90%	1.14%	1.21%	1.90%	1.87%	2.17%	2.74%	2.53%	2.78%	2.67%	3.36%	3.45%	3.80%	3.84%	4.89%	4.15%	4.76%	5.21%	5.88%	5.60%	6.16%	5.94%	6.84%	6.69%	7.36%
New Orleans Saints	0.13%	0.23%	0.30%	0.49%	0.67%	0.90%	1.08%	1.39%	1.39%	1.71%	1.72%	2.14%	2.39%	2.91%	2.67%	3.19%	3.47%	3.92%	3.77%	4.07%	4.13%	5.08%	4.87%	5.68%	5.95%	6.11%	6.53%	6.82%	7.72%	8.57%
Arizona Cardinals	0.07%	0.19%	0.34%	0.44%	0.72%	0.69%	0.82%	1.13%	1.32%	1.16%	1.35%	1.73%	1.98%	2.27%	2.26%	2.49%	2.79%	3.19%	3.45%	4.25%	4.40%	4.48%	4.67%	5.27%	5.71%	6.87%	7.44%	8.33%	9.10%	11.09%
Chicago Bears	0.08%	0.14%	0.13%	0.23%	0.39%	0.35%	0.81%	0.83%	0.89%	0.94%	1.10%	1.54%	1.62%	1.78%	1.93%	2.09%	2.58%	3.09%	3.50%	3.52%	3.70%	4.51%	4.77%	5.15%	5.75%	7.87%	8.18%	9.03%	10.57%	12.93%
Indianapolis Colts	0.04%	0.08%	0.20%	0.30%	0.46%	0.48%	0.52%	0.76%	0.79%	1.06%	1.15%	1.18%	1.84%	1.67%	1.94%	2.09%	2.84%	2.05%	3.11%	3.21%	3.85%	4.28%	4.79%	4.93%	6.06%	6.60%	8.18%	9.50%	11.86%	14.18%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Denver Broncos	31.52%	16.22%	8.69%	13.50%	8.19%	5.65%	16.23%
New England Patriots	12.57%	14.31%	16.10%	7.49%	7.86%	7.39%	34.28%
Kansas City Chiefs	11.44%	8.13%	4.83%	15.58%	10.63%	8.75%	40.64%
Pittsburgh Steelers	9.79%	11.33%	11.86%	7.47%	8.47%	8.36%	42.72%
Jacksonville Jaguars	7.99%	11.14%	10.49%	7.75%	8.20%	8.05%	46.38%
Miami Dolphins	6.99%	9.76%	10.96%	6.80%	8.77%	8.02%	48.70%
Tennessee Oilers	3.62%	5.70%	7.20%	5.37%	6.65%	7.38%	64.08%
New York Jets	3.07%	5.32%	7.28%	4.65%	6.04%	7.42%	66.22%
Seattle Seahawks	3.05%	3.28%	2.43%	8.02%	7.46%	7.37%	68.39%
Oakland Raiders	2.98%	2.46%	1.98%	7.31%	6.79%	7.17%	71.31%
Baltimore Ravens	2.50%	4.23%	6.03%	4.55%	6.30%	6.55%	69.84%
Buffalo Bills	1.97%	3.75%	5.35%	4.17%	4.78%	6.24%	73.74%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.27%	2.65%	4.20%	2.97%	4.15%	4.84%	79.92%
San Diego Chargers	0.97%	0.93%	1.09%	3.51%	3.97%	4.58%	84.95%
Indianapolis Colts	0.27%	0.79%	1.51%	0.86%	1.74%	2.23%	92.60%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Green Bay Packers	34.98%	21.59%	10.68%	11.82%	6.93%	4.33%	9.67%
San Francisco 49ers	29.46%	24.68%	19.10%	6.96%	5.10%	4.53%	10.17%
Washington Redskins	8.18%	12.38%	16.30%	8.25%	9.39%	8.41%	37.09%
Dallas Cowboys	6.38%	10.56%	14.43%	7.92%	9.45%	8.90%	42.36%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	5.33%	4.98%	3.51%	12.85%	10.31%	9.71%	53.31%
Carolina Panthers	4.22%	5.73%	6.76%	10.32%	10.46%	10.95%	51.56%
Minnesota Vikings	3.31%	3.83%	3.02%	11.50%	10.13%	9.70%	58.51%
New York Giants	2.62%	5.83%	9.87%	6.69%	8.61%	8.42%	57.96%
Detroit Lions	2.35%	2.90%	2.38%	9.41%	8.70%	8.29%	65.97%
Philadelphia Eagles	1.53%	3.13%	5.61%	4.14%	5.63%	6.52%	73.44%
Atlanta Falcons	0.59%	1.14%	1.86%	2.72%	4.22%	5.26%	84.21%
St. Louis Rams	0.34%	1.11%	2.25%	2.09%	3.42%	4.99%	85.80%
New Orleans Saints	0.34%	0.82%	1.60%	2.26%	3.25%	4.25%	87.48%
Chicago Bears	0.21%	0.37%	0.56%	1.50%	2.10%	2.50%	92.76%
Arizona Cardinals	0.16%	0.95%	2.07%	1.57%	2.30%	3.24%	89.71%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Green Bay Packers	83.36%	83.36%	63.02%	45.06%	29.11%
Denver Broncos	71.46%	71.46%	45.32%	29.06%	14.46%
San Francisco 49ers	79.14%	79.14%	50.74%	25.09%	13.56%
Kansas City Chiefs	45.63%	45.63%	27.27%	16.73%	9.09%
New England Patriots	50.38%	50.38%	26.69%	13.10%	5.73%
Pittsburgh Steelers	41.81%	41.81%	23.11%	11.55%	5.24%
Jacksonville Jaguars	38.15%	38.15%	19.34%	8.93%	3.62%
Washington Redskins	43.08%	43.08%	18.06%	6.78%	2.80%
New York Giants	33.59%	26.28%	11.41%	4.60%	2.16%
Miami Dolphins	34.55%	33.03%	14.72%	5.82%	2.15%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	36.38%	28.33%	10.58%	4.12%	1.82%
Tennessee Oilers	26.60%	22.73%	9.93%	3.51%	1.42%
Dallas Cowboys	40.70%	34.95%	12.15%	3.75%	1.31%
Detroit Lions	28.78%	19.65%	7.55%	2.96%	1.27%
Minnesota Vikings	34.35%	23.13%	7.71%	2.54%	1.03%
New York Jets	25.39%	19.17%	7.49%	2.79%	1.02%
Carolina Panthers	38.49%	26.60%	8.93%	2.69%	0.99%
Seattle Seahawks	25.28%	17.25%	6.60%	2.40%	0.87%
Cincinnati Bengals	16.16%	10.78%	4.11%	1.50%	0.47%
Baltimore Ravens	23.43%	15.36%	5.18%	1.68%	0.47%
Oakland Raiders	23.25%	12.63%	3.97%	1.18%	0.31%
Philadelphia Eagles	21.90%	13.04%	3.91%	1.02%	0.29%
Buffalo Bills	20.54%	13.35%	4.09%	1.10%	0.26%
Atlanta Falcons	14.06%	6.57%	2.10%	0.62%	0.19%
Indianapolis Colts	6.34%	3.11%	0.84%	0.27%	0.09%
San Diego Chargers	13.15%	5.16%	1.34%	0.38%	0.08%
New Orleans Saints	11.36%	4.34%	0.96%	0.18%	0.06%
Chicago Bears	6.66%	2.49%	0.53%	0.16%	0.05%
St. Louis Rams	12.75%	5.44%	1.53%	0.23%	0.05%
Arizona Cardinals	9.18%	3.60%	0.82%	0.20%	0.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Oilers
Baltimore Ravens		0.69%	0.29%	0.53%	0.26%	0.70%	0.78%	0.85%	0.62%	0.68%	0.84%	0.70%	0.55%	0.68%	0.46%
Buffalo Bills	0.75%		0.40%	0.46%	0.15%	0.60%	0.54%	0.69%	0.57%	0.50%	0.79%	0.61%	0.49%	0.61%	0.47%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.57%	0.54%		0.47%	0.17%	0.57%	0.57%	0.56%	0.61%	0.54%	0.58%	0.59%	0.33%	0.46%	0.30%
Denver Broncos	1.94%	1.56%	1.11%		0.51%	2.30%	1.68%	2.34%	2.00%	1.70%	1.84%	2.01%	1.06%	1.77%	1.90%
Indianapolis Colts	0.17%	0.09%	0.09%	0.17%		0.14%	0.13%	0.22%	0.08%	0.12%	0.17%	0.18%	0.15%	0.20%	0.14%
Jacksonville Jaguars	1.30%	1.24%	0.84%	1.34%	0.49%		1.64%	2.08%	1.60%	1.38%	1.67%	1.52%	1.04%	1.73%	1.15%
Kansas City Chiefs	2.10%	1.60%	1.38%	1.59%	0.53%	2.34%		2.86%	2.53%	1.92%	1.82%	2.68%	1.23%	1.48%	2.00%
Miami Dolphins	1.34%	1.00%	0.90%	1.23%	0.31%	1.25%	1.28%		1.53%	1.26%	1.50%	1.24%	0.96%	1.45%	1.03%
New England Patriots	1.69%	1.64%	1.05%	1.58%	0.58%	1.85%	1.85%	2.33%		1.91%	2.06%	2.08%	1.21%	1.92%	1.75%
New York Jets	0.73%	0.68%	0.63%	0.66%	0.14%	0.86%	0.87%	1.10%	0.99%		0.96%	0.92%	0.61%	0.79%	0.84%
Oakland Raiders	0.53%	0.50%	0.36%	0.64%	0.15%	0.61%	0.58%	0.75%	0.66%	0.67%		0.60%	0.26%	0.33%	0.55%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.56%	1.29%	0.87%	1.49%	0.44%	1.89%	1.90%	1.76%	1.69%	1.74%	1.67%		1.02%	1.68%	1.69%
San Diego Chargers	0.31%	0.24%	0.13%	0.25%	0.06%	0.29%	0.14%	0.41%	0.32%	0.31%	0.20%	0.28%		0.14%	0.18%
Seattle Seahawks	0.88%	0.81%	0.67%	0.86%	0.20%	0.98%	0.67%	1.22%	1.07%	0.86%	0.76%	0.98%	0.23%		0.73%
Tennessee Oilers	0.93%	1.03%	0.58%	1.04%	0.30%	1.09%	1.10%	1.10%	1.07%	1.02%	1.20%	1.08%	0.75%	1.12%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		0.09%	0.22%	0.08%	0.29%	0.16%	0.10%	0.24%	0.09%	0.17%	0.15%	0.13%	0.20%	0.29%	0.28%
Atlanta Falcons	0.33%		0.46%	0.15%	0.56%	0.41%	0.20%	0.54%	0.11%	0.40%	0.23%	0.32%	0.10%	0.49%	0.54%
Carolina Panthers	0.67%	0.55%		0.58%	1.95%	1.70%	0.82%	1.88%	0.39%	1.50%	1.22%	1.13%	0.48%	1.92%	1.86%
Chicago Bears	0.11%	0.10%	0.21%		0.32%	0.04%	0.06%	0.13%	0.11%	0.11%	0.19%	0.14%	0.06%	0.08%	0.25%
Dallas Cowboys	0.58%	1.11%	2.03%	0.58%		1.71%	0.56%	2.06%	0.82%	1.46%	1.31%	0.85%	0.92%	1.93%	2.09%
Detroit Lions	0.61%	0.58%	1.80%	0.17%	2.23%		0.64%	1.06%	0.48%	1.18%	1.15%	1.18%	0.58%	1.12%	1.62%
Green Bay Packers	0.86%	1.22%	3.66%	0.65%	3.33%	2.02%		2.15%	0.90%	2.39%	1.65%	1.42%	1.10%	2.40%	3.04%
Minnesota Vikings	0.53%	0.69%	2.03%	0.26%	2.37%	0.93%	0.70%		0.65%	1.45%	1.17%	1.08%	0.78%	1.43%	1.92%
New Orleans Saints	0.15%	0.07%	0.20%	0.05%	0.37%	0.16%	0.17%	0.29%		0.30%	0.29%	0.20%	0.10%	0.35%	0.48%
New York Giants	0.52%	0.87%	1.75%	0.52%	2.25%	1.67%	0.79%	1.72%	0.90%		1.12%	1.21%	0.71%	1.91%	1.89%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.17%	0.34%	1.03%	0.23%	0.91%	0.58%	0.35%	0.95%	0.47%	0.61%		0.47%	0.46%	0.81%	1.00%
San Francisco 49ers	0.65%	1.46%	3.16%	0.65%	2.27%	2.09%	0.78%	2.64%	1.27%	2.19%	1.70%		1.36%	2.68%	2.10%
St. Louis Rams	0.16%	0.08%	0.26%	0.09%	0.65%	0.27%	0.14%	0.41%	0.15%	0.42%	0.26%	0.37%		0.29%	0.44%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.60%	0.93%	2.29%	0.25%	2.35%	0.97%	0.78%	1.46%	0.93%	1.59%	1.46%	1.29%	0.80%		2.32%
Washington Redskins	0.75%	1.13%	2.74%	0.49%	2.84%	1.67%	0.88%	2.83%	0.91%	1.99%	1.62%	0.90%	1.11%	2.66%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Oilers
Baltimore Ravens		0.29%	0.15%	0.73%	0.06%	0.44%	0.48%	0.69%	0.83%	0.36%	0.24%	0.46%	0.04%	0.23%	0.18%
Buffalo Bills	0.32%		0.17%	0.63%	0.04%	0.46%	0.29%	0.23%	0.55%	0.12%	0.13%	0.48%	0.11%	0.21%	0.35%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.14%	0.29%		0.55%	0.07%	0.34%	0.40%	0.48%	0.63%	0.33%	0.06%	0.31%	0.10%	0.21%	0.20%
Denver Broncos	2.61%	2.17%	1.59%		0.59%	5.06%	6.98%	3.93%	5.44%	2.87%	2.43%	4.51%	1.03%	3.14%	2.97%
Indianapolis Colts	0.06%	0.01%	0.07%	0.09%		0.08%	0.07%	0.06%	0.05%	0.03%	0.08%	0.08%	0.01%	0.06%	0.09%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.86%	1.03%	0.54%	2.74%	0.25%		1.65%	2.47%	2.99%	1.42%	0.82%	2.00%	0.39%	1.09%	1.09%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.31%	1.09%	0.82%	6.88%	0.33%	2.38%		2.29%	3.30%	1.55%	1.24%	2.66%	0.47%	1.32%	1.63%
Miami Dolphins	0.88%	0.51%	0.77%	2.21%	0.09%	1.48%	1.44%		1.84%	0.78%	0.47%	1.95%	0.22%	0.82%	1.26%
New England Patriots	1.64%	1.16%	1.13%	3.95%	0.21%	3.45%	2.44%	2.62%		1.31%	1.18%	3.40%	0.41%	1.51%	2.28%
New York Jets	0.38%	0.23%	0.31%	1.09%	0.04%	0.91%	0.83%	0.49%	1.00%		0.30%	0.81%	0.15%	0.36%	0.59%
Oakland Raiders	0.17%	0.34%	0.13%	0.69%	0.09%	0.45%	0.30%	0.25%	0.49%	0.30%		0.36%	0.07%	0.11%	0.22%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.23%	1.23%	0.53%	3.34%	0.30%	2.33%	2.01%	2.78%	3.77%	1.53%	1.05%		0.52%	1.03%	1.46%
San Diego Chargers	0.05%	0.04%	0.04%	0.24%	0.01%	0.17%	0.08%	0.16%	0.13%	0.04%	0.07%	0.13%		0.09%	0.09%
Seattle Seahawks	0.26%	0.34%	0.23%	1.33%	0.10%	0.56%	0.46%	0.67%	0.85%	0.34%	0.29%	0.70%	0.08%		0.39%
Tennessee Oilers	0.27%	0.53%	0.19%	1.67%	0.09%	0.70%	0.93%	1.19%	1.82%	0.70%	0.30%	0.85%	0.22%	0.47%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		0.01%	0.11%	0.02%	0.09%	0.02%	0.15%	0.05%	0.01%	0.02%	0.01%	0.23%	0.02%	0.02%	0.06%
Atlanta Falcons	0.03%		0.09%	0.01%	0.34%	0.12%	0.34%	0.10%	0.03%	0.19%	0.08%	0.31%	0.04%	0.14%	0.28%
Carolina Panthers	0.16%	0.12%		0.07%	1.20%	0.52%	1.27%	0.29%	0.05%	0.73%	0.42%	2.15%	0.06%	0.72%	1.17%
Chicago Bears			0.02%		0.09%	0.01%	0.04%	0.02%	0.01%	0.07%	0.03%	0.11%	0.02%	0.05%	0.06%
Dallas Cowboys	0.15%	0.34%	1.35%	0.11%		0.59%	1.59%	0.87%	0.28%	0.62%	0.55%	3.11%	0.31%	1.02%	1.26%
Detroit Lions	0.07%	0.14%	0.73%	0.06%	0.88%		1.46%	0.36%	0.10%	0.44%	0.35%	1.38%	0.13%	0.40%	1.05%
Green Bay Packers	0.94%	1.39%	5.27%	0.57%	7.28%	4.90%		6.54%	1.10%	5.33%	2.98%	9.13%	1.31%	7.71%	8.57%
Minnesota Vikings	0.07%	0.20%	0.51%	0.06%	0.96%	0.28%	1.48%		0.10%	0.54%	0.32%	1.49%	0.12%	0.44%	1.14%
New Orleans Saints		0.01%	0.07%	0.01%	0.23%	0.03%	0.15%	0.03%		0.08%	0.03%	0.13%	0.03%	0.03%	0.13%
New York Giants	0.02%	0.30%	1.06%	0.14%	0.91%	0.50%	2.02%	0.74%	0.24%		0.36%	3.24%	0.22%	0.73%	0.93%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.04%	0.09%	0.44%	0.09%	0.40%	0.19%	0.59%	0.25%	0.10%	0.16%		0.85%	0.11%	0.27%	0.33%
San Francisco 49ers	0.87%	1.08%	5.32%	0.60%	7.16%	3.37%	5.51%	3.96%	0.87%	4.91%	3.07%		0.99%	4.45%	8.58%
St. Louis Rams	0.07%	0.03%	0.09%		0.22%	0.08%	0.17%	0.10%	0.01%	0.17%	0.09%	0.25%		0.13%	0.12%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.12%	0.22%	0.89%	0.08%	1.13%	0.42%	2.47%	0.54%	0.21%	0.68%	0.40%	1.95%	0.13%		1.34%
Washington Redskins	0.24%	0.54%	1.72%	0.14%	1.91%	1.07%	3.10%	1.57%	0.27%	0.93%	0.44%	4.07%	0.42%	1.64%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Oilers
Baltimore Ravens		0.04%	0.01%	0.36%	0.01%	0.17%	0.24%	0.11%	0.26%	0.10%	0.10%	0.08%	0.04%	0.08%	0.08%
Buffalo Bills	0.01%		0.02%	0.28%	0.01%	0.14%	0.16%	0.07%	0.07%	0.01%	0.03%	0.13%	0.02%	0.09%	0.06%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.05%	0.04%		0.37%	0.01%	0.07%	0.22%	0.21%	0.15%	0.05%	0.05%	0.11%	0.02%	0.07%	0.08%
Denver Broncos	1.37%	1.01%	1.06%		0.26%	4.15%	2.75%	3.32%	5.41%	1.41%	0.51%	4.50%	0.19%	0.92%	2.20%
Indianapolis Colts		0.01%	0.02%	0.05%		0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.03%			0.05%		0.02%	0.03%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.19%	0.27%	0.10%	2.38%	0.06%		1.16%	0.87%	1.38%	0.53%	0.29%	0.74%	0.07%	0.52%	0.37%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.76%	0.58%	0.57%	2.42%	0.08%	2.02%		1.61%	2.89%	1.04%	0.32%	2.46%	0.07%	0.58%	1.33%
Miami Dolphins	0.17%	0.11%	0.15%	1.56%		0.74%	0.82%		0.46%	0.20%	0.15%	0.67%	0.14%	0.29%	0.36%
New England Patriots	0.40%	0.23%	0.31%	3.52%	0.03%	1.32%	2.23%	0.75%		0.39%	0.46%	1.57%	0.17%	0.75%	0.97%
New York Jets	0.13%	0.06%	0.04%	0.70%		0.19%	0.40%	0.20%	0.13%		0.12%	0.42%	0.05%	0.12%	0.23%
Oakland Raiders	0.05%	0.04%	0.04%	0.17%	0.02%	0.17%	0.13%	0.07%	0.16%	0.06%		0.17%		0.02%	0.08%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.20%	0.38%	0.15%	3.02%	0.05%	0.84%	1.75%	1.20%	1.80%	0.62%	0.50%		0.15%	0.51%	0.38%
San Diego Chargers	0.03%	0.01%	0.02%	0.02%		0.02%	0.02%	0.01%	0.08%		0.02%	0.08%			0.07%
Seattle Seahawks	0.08%	0.10%	0.06%	0.41%	0.02%	0.36%	0.20%	0.20%	0.30%	0.11%	0.06%	0.31%	0.01%		0.18%
Tennessee Oilers	0.06%	0.11%	0.06%	1.00%	0.02%	0.21%	0.44%	0.25%	0.47%	0.18%	0.18%	0.27%	0.03%	0.23%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals			0.04%		0.01%		0.04%			0.01%		0.05%	0.01%	0.04%
Atlanta Falcons			0.03%		0.07%	0.03%	0.12%	0.06%		0.07%	0.01%	0.10%		0.01%	0.12%
Carolina Panthers	0.05%	0.02%		0.02%	0.23%	0.18%	0.79%	0.11%	0.02%	0.14%	0.15%	0.52%	0.03%	0.20%	0.23%
Chicago Bears			0.01%		0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%		0.02%		0.03%	0.04%
Dallas Cowboys	0.02%	0.02%	0.30%	0.01%		0.17%	1.00%	0.27%	0.01%	0.12%	0.08%	1.04%	0.04%	0.40%	0.27%
Detroit Lions	0.02%	0.02%	0.21%		0.37%		0.58%	0.08%	0.02%	0.15%	0.10%	1.01%	0.02%	0.13%	0.25%
Green Bay Packers	0.30%	0.79%	3.42%	0.19%	4.23%	1.86%		1.86%	0.37%	3.73%	1.47%	17.62%	0.69%	2.46%	6.07%
Minnesota Vikings	0.02%	0.05%	0.13%	0.02%	0.31%	0.08%	0.43%		0.02%	0.19%	0.09%	0.70%	0.05%	0.10%	0.35%
New Orleans Saints			0.01%		0.04%		0.05%			0.02%	0.01%	0.01%		0.02%	0.02%
New York Giants	0.01%	0.05%	0.34%	0.03%	0.19%	0.21%	1.38%	0.29%	0.03%		0.07%	1.21%	0.08%	0.39%	0.32%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.01%	0.04%	0.06%		0.04%	0.08%	0.25%	0.05%	0.02%	0.04%		0.25%		0.11%	0.07%
San Francisco 49ers	0.14%	0.30%	0.89%	0.08%	2.14%	1.54%	10.50%	1.91%	0.14%	1.57%	0.62%		0.19%	2.08%	2.99%
St. Louis Rams					0.01%	0.01%	0.09%	0.01%		0.04%	0.01%	0.01%		0.01%	0.04%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.03%	0.05%	0.38%		0.42%	0.08%	0.76%	0.12%	0.03%	0.41%	0.13%	1.09%	0.11%		0.51%
Washington Redskins	0.02%	0.14%	0.42%	0.02%	0.33%	0.34%	1.96%	0.40%	0.11%	0.31%	0.15%	2.02%	0.08%	0.48%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Cincinnati Bengals	Dallas Cowboys	Denver Broncos	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	Minnesota Vikings	New England Patriots	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Tennessee Oilers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals									0.01%								0.01%												0.01%
Atlanta Falcons									0.01%					0.04%	0.02%		0.05%			0.01%	0.02%		0.03%						0.01%
Baltimore Ravens		0.01%			0.01%			0.02%			0.20%					0.03%			0.02%			0.01%			0.10%			0.03%		0.04%
Buffalo Bills					0.01%			0.01%		0.01%	0.08%														0.11%			0.01%		0.03%
Carolina Panthers			0.03%	0.02%			0.02%		0.29%				0.08%	0.20%	0.09%		0.11%			0.02%			0.10%			0.02%			0.01%
Chicago Bears			0.01%				0.01%										0.01%						0.02%
Cincinnati Bengals		0.01%			0.03%			0.02%		0.02%	0.14%					0.02%						0.01%			0.11%			0.03%		0.08%
Dallas Cowboys			0.03%	0.02%			0.06%		0.29%			0.01%	0.11%	0.19%	0.08%		0.21%			0.06%	0.03%		0.13%			0.02%			0.07%
Denver Broncos	0.04%	0.09%			0.55%	0.04%		0.73%		0.57%	5.29%					0.47%		0.03%	0.86%			0.25%			3.61%		0.06%	0.68%		1.19%
Detroit Lions			0.06%	0.04%			0.01%		0.33%				0.09%	0.18%	0.06%		0.19%			0.06%	0.06%		0.08%			0.05%			0.06%
Green Bay Packers			0.71%	0.38%			0.58%		7.96%			0.14%	2.90%	3.97%	1.85%		4.05%			0.79%	0.41%		3.49%	0.14%		0.77%			0.97%
Indianapolis Colts										0.02%	0.01%								0.03%						0.03%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.03%	0.02%			0.13%	0.01%		0.28%		0.09%	1.15%					0.11%			0.20%			0.04%			1.00%		0.02%	0.21%		0.33%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.03%	0.11%			0.31%	0.03%		0.40%		0.32%	3.30%					0.27%		0.01%	0.51%			0.13%			2.46%		0.04%	0.42%		0.75%
Miami Dolphins	0.02%	0.02%			0.16%			0.12%		0.06%	0.67%					0.08%		0.02%	0.11%			0.04%			0.56%			0.08%		0.21%
Minnesota Vikings			0.02%	0.01%			0.02%		0.33%				0.12%	0.09%	0.09%		0.12%			0.04%	0.04%		0.08%	0.01%		0.04%			0.02%
New England Patriots	0.01%	0.07%			0.13%	0.01%		0.33%		0.19%	1.96%					0.19%		0.04%	0.32%			0.11%			1.43%		0.03%	0.31%		0.60%
New Orleans Saints							0.02%		0.01%					0.02%									0.01%
New York Giants			0.04%	0.05%					0.57%				0.21%	0.31%	0.15%		0.30%			0.09%	0.03%		0.29%	0.02%		0.02%			0.08%
New York Jets	0.02%				0.05%	0.01%		0.07%		0.06%	0.41%					0.03%		0.01%	0.04%			0.02%			0.12%			0.07%		0.11%
Oakland Raiders								0.04%		0.01%	0.05%					0.01%			0.01%			0.01%			0.10%		0.01%	0.03%		0.04%
Philadelphia Eagles							0.01%		0.03%				0.07%	0.04%	0.02%		0.01%						0.05%			0.02%			0.04%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.02%	0.08%			0.21%	0.01%		0.25%		0.19%	1.94%					0.18%			0.26%			0.07%			1.31%		0.01%	0.29%		0.42%
San Diego Chargers								0.01%			0.06%																	0.01%
San Francisco 49ers			0.22%	0.22%			0.22%		3.62%			0.03%	1.34%	1.78%	0.99%		1.73%			0.52%	0.22%		1.58%	0.13%		0.38%			0.58%
Seattle Seahawks					0.04%			0.07%		0.10%	0.29%					0.02%		0.01%	0.02%			0.02%			0.19%			0.02%		0.09%
St. Louis Rams							0.01%		0.01%					0.01%	0.01%		0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers			0.01%	0.05%			0.03%		0.43%				0.13%	0.33%	0.10%		0.25%			0.10%	0.01%		0.22%			0.08%			0.08%
Tennessee Oilers		0.02%			0.07%			0.09%		0.05%	0.40%					0.10%			0.06%			0.02%			0.40%		0.01%	0.11%		0.09%
Washington Redskins			0.08%	0.05%			0.04%		0.71%				0.26%	0.48%	0.21%		0.32%			0.08%	0.05%		0.23%			0.13%			0.16%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Green Bay Packers	100.00%	79.96%	48.43%	29.97%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Kansas City Chiefs	100.00%	67.37%	45.19%	21.04%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
San Francisco 49ers	100.00%	71.51%	36.25%	18.42%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Pittsburgh Steelers	100.00%	58.97%	23.16%	9.65%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Denver Broncos	69.55%	28.10%	13.63%	6.74%	Won Super Bowl
New England Patriots	69.15%	27.09%	11.16%	4.76%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
New York Giants	68.21%	14.09%	6.34%	2.86%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Jacksonville Jaguars	30.45%	10.58%	4.39%	1.88%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	58.97%	14.48%	3.85%	1.56%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Detroit Lions	41.03%	11.56%	3.17%	1.35%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Miami Dolphins	30.85%	7.89%	2.47%	1.07%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Minnesota Vikings	31.79%	8.40%	1.96%	0.70%	Eliminated in Divisional Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Denver Broncos	Jacksonville Jaguars	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots
Denver Broncos		69.55%
Jacksonville Jaguars	30.45%
Miami Dolphins				30.85%
New England Patriots			69.15%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Detroit Lions	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions				41.03%
Minnesota Vikings			31.79%
New York Giants		68.21%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	58.97%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Denver Broncos	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Denver Broncos			18.05%			10.05%
Jacksonville Jaguars			6.69%			3.89%
Kansas City Chiefs	30.25%	14.16%		22.96%
Miami Dolphins			7.89%
New England Patriots						27.09%
Pittsburgh Steelers	11.20%	5.71%			42.06%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions		2.69%			8.87%
Green Bay Packers	10.38%			54.12%		15.46%
Minnesota Vikings					8.40%
New York Giants		14.09%
San Francisco 49ers	19.09%		23.39%			29.03%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		3.26%			11.22%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Denver Broncos	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Denver Broncos			2.89%	1.91%	3.32%	5.51%
Jacksonville Jaguars			0.93%	0.68%	1.13%	1.65%
Kansas City Chiefs	4.47%	2.02%			11.48%	27.22%
Miami Dolphins	0.78%	0.26%				1.43%
New England Patriots	3.69%	1.64%	5.83%
Pittsburgh Steelers	5.53%	2.27%	12.53%	2.83%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions		1.40%	0.47%	0.64%	0.66%
Green Bay Packers	5.64%		5.52%		30.20%	7.07%
Minnesota Vikings	0.30%	1.36%				0.30%
New York Giants	1.19%				3.58%	1.57%
San Francisco 49ers	1.26%	26.94%		6.36%		1.69%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		1.83%	0.45%	0.75%	0.82%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Denver Broncos	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	Minnesota Vikings	New England Patriots	New York Giants	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Denver Broncos		0.24%	2.77%				0.17%		0.59%		2.59%	0.38%
Detroit Lions	0.07%			0.04%	0.77%	0.04%		0.18%		0.25%
Green Bay Packers	3.96%			1.39%	12.97%	0.80%		3.35%		7.50%
Jacksonville Jaguars		0.09%	0.75%				0.09%		0.14%		0.75%	0.06%
Kansas City Chiefs		0.73%	8.45%				0.64%		1.60%		8.62%	1.00%
Miami Dolphins		0.02%	0.44%				0.01%		0.06%		0.47%	0.07%
Minnesota Vikings	0.08%			0.01%	0.27%	0.01%		0.06%		0.27%
New England Patriots		0.22%	2.01%				0.11%		0.27%		1.90%	0.25%
New York Giants	0.40%			0.14%	1.22%	0.04%		0.43%		0.63%
Pittsburgh Steelers		0.52%	4.04%				0.24%		0.82%		3.50%	0.53%
San Francisco 49ers	2.21%			0.86%	8.25%	0.47%		2.18%		4.45%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.17%			0.07%	0.67%	0.04%		0.20%		0.41%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Green Bay Packers 29.97% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

67.68%

Win Prob

79.34%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

62.36%

Win Prob

52.85%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

43.28%

Win Prob

60.55%

Kansas City Chiefs 21.04% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

44.90%

Win Prob

62.63%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

60.23%

Win Prob

68.48%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

40.97%

Win Prob

51.10%

San Francisco 49ers 18.42% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

40.60%

Win Prob

72.12%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

74.32%

Win Prob

47.15%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

44.79%

Win Prob

48.90%

Pittsburgh Steelers 9.65% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

71.32%

Win Prob

60.82%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

54.10%

Win Prob

31.52%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

41.87%

Win Prob

35.01%

Denver Broncos 6.74% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

69.55%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

64.23%

Win Prob

37.37%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

40.43%

Win Prob

49.91%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

41.10%

Win Prob

41.16%

New England Patriots 4.76% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

69.15%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.18%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

52.24%

Win Prob

33.68%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

42.23%

Win Prob

37.50%

New York Giants 2.86% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

68.21%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

20.66%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

56.47%

Win Prob

36.02%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

42.66%

Win Prob

43.26%

Jacksonville Jaguars 1.88% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

30.45%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

63.23%

Win Prob

32.09%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

37.59%

Win Prob

42.09%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

39.89%

Win Prob

35.05%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1.56% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Detroit Lions

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

58.97%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

77.49%

Win Prob

27.88%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

47.53%

Win Prob

20.56%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

42.95%

Win Prob

40.12%

Detroit Lions 1.35% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

41.03%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

76.73%

Win Prob

31.72%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

44.16%

Win Prob

19.89%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

57.04%

Win Prob

51.33%

Miami Dolphins 1.07% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

30.85%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

25.58%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

57.89%

Win Prob

33.57%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

43.93%

Win Prob

50.00%

Minnesota Vikings 0.70% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

31.79%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

26.42%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

69.39%

Win Prob

19.77%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

38.57%

Win Prob

29.67%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1997-08-31	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-24	1456.63	1500.70	32.92%	66.19%	-6.34	0-1
1997-09-07	Dallas Cowboys	W 25-22	1450.29	1577.01	42.38%	56.72%	+10.87	1-1
1997-09-14	@ Washington Redskins	L 13-19	1461.16	1535.03	29.24%	69.86%	-7.96	1-2
1997-09-28	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 18-19	1453.20	1545.95	27.05%	72.06%	-3.01	1-3
1997-10-05	Minnesota Vikings	L 19-20	1450.19	1519.60	50.57%	48.53%	-5.60	1-4
1997-10-12	New York Giants	L 13-27	1444.59	1472.30	56.52%	42.58%	-23.41	1-5
1997-10-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-13	1421.18	1488.12	30.08%	69.03%	-5.79	1-6
1997-10-26	Tennessee Oilers	L 14-41	1415.39	1481.65	51.02%	48.08%	-29.37	1-7
1997-11-02	Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-21	1386.02	1499.36	44.27%	54.83%	+19.20	2-7
1997-11-09	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 6-24	1405.22	1553.76	21.19%	77.91%	-10.02	2-8
1997-11-16	@ New York Giants	L 10-19	1395.20	1507.40	24.89%	74.21%	-8.31	2-9
1997-11-23	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 16-13	1386.89	1453.11	30.16%	68.94%	+13.21	3-9
1997-11-30	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-26	1400.10	1564.68	37.17%	61.94%	-10.11	3-10
1997-12-07	Washington Redskins	L 28-38	1389.99	1531.69	40.29%	58.81%	-14.14	3-11
1997-12-14	@ New Orleans Saints	L 10-27	1375.85	1371.72	39.30%	59.80%	-17.99	3-12
1997-12-21	Atlanta Falcons	W 29-26	1357.86	1457.66	46.20%	52.90%	+10.15	4-12
1997-08-31	@ Detroit Lions	L 17-28	1443.67	1470.94	35.08%	64.02%	-12.93	0-1
1997-09-07	Carolina Panthers	L 6-9	1430.74	1515.18	48.41%	50.69%	-9.29	0-2
1997-09-14	Oakland Raiders	L 31-36	1421.45	1499.03	49.39%	49.71%	-12.24	0-3
1997-09-21	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-34	1409.21	1571.12	19.93%	79.17%	-11.54	0-4
1997-09-28	Denver Broncos	L 21-29	1397.67	1604.13	31.73%	67.37%	-9.97	0-5
1997-10-12	@ New Orleans Saints	W 23-17	1387.70	1419.09	34.55%	64.56%	+17.49	1-5
1997-10-19	San Francisco 49ers	L 28-35	1405.19	1613.39	31.51%	67.59%	-9.27	1-6
1997-10-26	@ Carolina Panthers	L 12-21	1395.92	1506.64	25.06%	74.05%	-8.36	1-7
1997-11-02	St. Louis Rams	W 34-31	1387.56	1408.08	57.52%	41.58%	+7.99	2-7
1997-11-09	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-31	1395.55	1505.29	44.78%	54.32%	-22.76	2-8
1997-11-16	@ St. Louis Rams	W 27-21	1372.79	1395.62	35.67%	63.43%	+17.19	3-8
1997-11-23	New Orleans Saints	W 20-3	1389.98	1392.67	59.99%	39.11%	+17.90	4-8
1997-11-30	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 24-17	1407.88	1492.57	27.97%	71.13%	+20.82	5-8
1997-12-07	@ San Diego Chargers	W 14-3	1428.70	1410.04	41.32%	57.79%	+21.21	6-8
1997-12-14	Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-17	1449.91	1461.53	58.76%	40.34%	+7.75	7-8
1997-12-21	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 26-29	1457.66	1357.86	52.90%	46.20%	-10.14	7-9
1997-08-31	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 27-28	1464.05	1481.14	58.00%	41.10%	-6.42	0-1
1997-09-07	Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-10	1457.63	1507.03	53.44%	45.66%	+18.26	1-1
1997-09-14	@ New York Giants	W 24-23	1475.89	1474.35	38.95%	60.15%	+6.65	2-1
1997-09-21	@ Tennessee Oilers	W 36-10	1482.54	1496.37	36.87%	62.23%	+35.11	3-1
1997-09-28	@ San Diego Chargers	L 17-21	1517.65	1455.10	47.55%	51.55%	-10.54	3-2
1997-10-05	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 34-42	1507.11	1497.97	61.61%	37.50%	-19.27	3-3
1997-10-19	Miami Dolphins	L 13-24	1487.84	1529.27	54.57%	44.53%	-20.04	3-4
1997-10-26	@ Washington Redskins	W 20-17	1467.80	1526.21	31.12%	67.98%	+13.02	4-4
1997-11-02	@ New York Jets	L 16-19	1480.82	1490.61	37.41%	61.69%	-7.19	4-5
1997-11-09	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 0-37	1473.63	1544.58	29.59%	69.51%	-20.02	4-6
1997-11-16	Philadelphia Eagles	T 10-10	1453.61	1465.93	58.67%	40.43%	-0.50	4-6
1997-11-23	Arizona Cardinals	L 13-16	1453.11	1386.89	68.94%	30.16%	-13.21	4-7
1997-11-30	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 27-29	1439.90	1548.31	25.30%	73.80%	-3.98	4-8
1997-12-07	Seattle Seahawks	W 31-24	1435.92	1471.75	55.37%	43.73%	+12.83	5-8
1997-12-14	Tennessee Oilers	W 21-19	1448.75	1505.18	52.43%	46.67%	+7.32	6-8
1997-12-21	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-16	1456.07	1475.21	36.16%	62.94%	-5.68	6-9
1997-08-31	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-34	1515.62	1498.73	62.64%	36.46%	-31.77	0-1
1997-09-07	@ New York Jets	W 28-22	1483.85	1473.69	40.14%	58.97%	+15.99	1-1
1997-09-14	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-22	1499.84	1502.72	38.35%	60.76%	-10.43	1-2
1997-09-21	Indianapolis Colts	W 37-35	1489.41	1419.19	69.42%	29.68%	+4.67	2-2
1997-10-05	Detroit Lions	W 22-13	1494.08	1497.18	59.94%	39.16%	+13.04	3-2
1997-10-12	@ New England Patriots	L 6-33	1507.12	1587.01	28.53%	70.57%	-16.49	3-3
1997-10-20	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 9-6	1490.63	1399.53	51.65%	47.45%	+9.11	4-3
1997-10-26	Denver Broncos	L 20-23	1499.74	1622.02	43.01%	56.10%	-8.26	4-4
1997-11-02	Miami Dolphins	W 9-6	1491.48	1534.36	54.37%	44.73%	+8.59	5-4
1997-11-09	New England Patriots	L 10-31	1500.07	1553.11	52.92%	46.18%	-26.85	5-5
1997-11-17	@ Miami Dolphins	L 13-30	1473.22	1536.05	30.58%	68.53%	-14.02	5-6
1997-11-23	@ Tennessee Oilers	L 14-31	1459.20	1494.00	34.10%	65.00%	-15.62	5-7
1997-11-30	New York Jets	W 20-10	1443.58	1508.69	51.19%	47.91%	+16.79	6-7
1997-12-07	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-20	1460.37	1371.84	51.28%	47.82%	-23.42	6-8
1997-12-14	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 14-20	1436.95	1536.50	46.24%	52.86%	-12.56	6-9
1997-12-20	@ Green Bay Packers	L 21-31	1424.39	1715.13	10.60%	88.50%	-3.74	6-10
1997-08-31	Washington Redskins	L 10-24	1541.73	1513.54	64.14%	34.96%	-26.55	0-1
1997-09-07	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 9-6	1515.18	1430.74	50.69%	48.41%	+9.29	1-1
1997-09-14	@ San Diego Chargers	W 26-7	1524.47	1490.56	43.46%	55.64%	+26.85	2-1
1997-09-21	Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-35	1551.32	1513.15	65.43%	33.67%	-33.17	2-2
1997-09-29	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-34	1518.15	1582.66	51.27%	47.83%	-20.48	2-3
1997-10-12	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 14-21	1497.67	1525.21	35.05%	64.05%	-10.30	2-4
1997-10-19	@ New Orleans Saints	W 13-0	1487.37	1401.60	50.89%	48.21%	+19.27	3-4
1997-10-26	Atlanta Falcons	W 21-12	1506.64	1395.92	74.05%	25.06%	+8.36	4-4
1997-11-02	Oakland Raiders	W 38-14	1515.00	1489.01	63.85%	35.25%	+19.19	5-4
1997-11-09	@ Denver Broncos	L 0-34	1534.19	1634.83	26.16%	72.94%	-16.98	5-5
1997-11-16	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 19-27	1517.21	1660.21	21.73%	77.37%	-6.84	5-6
1997-11-23	@ St. Louis Rams	W 16-10	1510.37	1378.43	57.45%	41.65%	+11.32	6-6
1997-11-30	New Orleans Saints	L 13-16	1521.69	1374.77	77.75%	21.35%	-14.90	6-7
1997-12-08	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 23-13	1506.79	1527.40	35.96%	63.14%	+22.09	7-7
1997-12-14	Green Bay Packers	L 10-31	1528.88	1696.42	36.77%	62.33%	-18.71	7-8
1997-12-20	St. Louis Rams	L 18-30	1510.17	1388.84	75.18%	23.93%	-28.81	7-9
1997-09-01	@ Green Bay Packers	L 24-38	1492.84	1616.87	23.64%	75.46%	-9.84	0-1
1997-09-07	Minnesota Vikings	L 24-27	1483.00	1530.49	53.71%	45.39%	-10.30	0-2
1997-09-14	Detroit Lions	L 7-32	1472.70	1466.40	61.22%	37.88%	-33.87	0-3
1997-09-21	@ New England Patriots	L 3-31	1438.83	1594.06	20.56%	78.55%	-12.12	0-4
1997-09-28	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 3-27	1426.71	1569.50	21.75%	77.35%	-11.86	0-5
1997-10-05	New Orleans Saints	L 17-20	1414.85	1407.32	61.39%	37.72%	-11.77	0-6
1997-10-12	Green Bay Packers	L 23-24	1403.08	1618.74	30.59%	68.51%	-3.40	0-7
1997-10-27	@ Miami Dolphins	W 36-33	1399.68	1549.31	21.09%	78.01%	+14.95	1-7
1997-11-02	Washington Redskins	L 8-31	1414.63	1513.18	46.38%	52.72%	-24.66	1-8
1997-11-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 22-29	1389.97	1558.20	19.36%	79.74%	-5.71	1-9
1997-11-16	New York Jets	L 15-23	1384.26	1487.52	45.71%	53.39%	-14.33	1-10
1997-11-23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 13-7	1369.93	1550.86	35.00%	64.11%	+17.37	2-10
1997-11-27	@ Detroit Lions	L 20-55	1387.30	1512.90	23.48%	75.62%	-15.46	2-11
1997-12-07	Buffalo Bills	W 20-3	1371.84	1460.37	47.82%	51.28%	+23.42	3-11
1997-12-14	@ St. Louis Rams	W 13-10	1395.26	1400.55	38.02%	61.08%	+11.71	4-11
1997-12-21	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 15-31	1406.97	1509.85	25.91%	73.19%	-11.54	4-12
1997-08-31	Arizona Cardinals	W 24-21	1500.70	1456.63	66.19%	32.92%	+6.33	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-23	1507.03	1457.63	45.66%	53.44%	-18.25	1-1
1997-09-21	@ Denver Broncos	L 20-38	1488.78	1591.91	25.88%	73.22%	-12.22	1-2
1997-09-28	New York Jets	L 14-31	1476.56	1458.50	62.80%	36.30%	-28.65	1-3
1997-10-05	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 13-21	1447.91	1509.06	30.78%	68.32%	-9.68	1-4
1997-10-12	@ Tennessee Oilers	L 7-30	1438.23	1440.00	38.50%	60.60%	-20.50	1-5
1997-10-19	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-26	1417.73	1521.14	45.69%	53.41%	-20.26	1-6
1997-10-26	@ New York Giants	L 27-29	1397.47	1512.80	24.56%	74.54%	-3.86	1-7
1997-11-02	San Diego Chargers	W 38-31	1393.61	1488.03	46.97%	52.13%	+15.27	2-7
1997-11-09	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 28-13	1408.88	1369.65	44.21%	54.89%	+23.53	3-7
1997-11-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-20	1432.41	1564.60	22.81%	76.30%	-10.47	3-8
1997-11-23	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 31-26	1421.94	1562.84	40.40%	58.70%	+14.53	4-8
1997-11-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 42-44	1436.47	1476.82	33.39%	65.71%	-5.25	4-9
1997-12-04	Tennessee Oilers	W 41-14	1431.22	1536.03	45.49%	53.61%	+30.85	5-9
1997-12-14	Dallas Cowboys	W 31-24	1462.07	1505.31	54.32%	44.78%	+13.14	6-9
1997-12-21	Baltimore Ravens	W 16-14	1475.21	1456.07	62.94%	36.16%	+5.68	7-9
1997-08-31	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 37-7	1541.72	1526.12	40.89%	58.21%	+35.29	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 22-25	1577.01	1450.29	56.72%	42.38%	-10.87	1-1
1997-09-15	Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-20	1566.14	1500.54	68.86%	30.24%	+3.36	2-1
1997-09-28	Chicago Bears	W 27-3	1569.50	1426.71	77.35%	21.75%	+11.86	3-1
1997-10-05	@ New York Giants	L 17-20	1581.36	1461.61	55.74%	43.36%	-10.68	3-2
1997-10-13	@ Washington Redskins	L 16-21	1570.68	1536.58	43.49%	55.61%	-10.79	3-3
1997-10-19	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 26-22	1559.89	1535.62	63.62%	35.48%	+7.88	4-3
1997-10-26	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 12-13	1567.77	1493.91	49.17%	49.93%	-5.44	4-4
1997-11-02	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 10-17	1562.33	1637.42	29.10%	70.00%	-8.57	4-5
1997-11-09	Arizona Cardinals	W 24-6	1553.76	1405.22	77.91%	21.19%	+10.02	5-5
1997-11-16	Washington Redskins	W 17-14	1563.78	1555.23	61.52%	37.58%	+7.22	6-5
1997-11-23	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-45	1571.00	1645.10	29.22%	69.88%	-17.19	6-6
1997-11-27	Tennessee Oilers	L 14-27	1553.81	1509.62	66.20%	32.90%	-26.41	6-7
1997-12-08	Carolina Panthers	L 13-23	1527.40	1506.79	63.14%	35.96%	-22.09	6-8
1997-12-14	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-31	1505.31	1462.07	44.78%	54.32%	-13.14	6-9
1997-12-21	New York Giants	L 7-20	1492.17	1536.19	54.21%	44.89%	-21.63	6-10
1997-08-31	Kansas City Chiefs	W 19-3	1541.20	1511.33	64.36%	34.75%	+15.44	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 35-14	1556.64	1448.39	54.10%	45.00%	+22.86	2-0
1997-09-14	St. Louis Rams	W 35-14	1579.50	1461.95	74.78%	24.32%	+12.41	3-0
1997-09-21	Cincinnati Bengals	W 38-20	1591.91	1488.78	73.22%	25.88%	+12.22	4-0
1997-09-28	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 29-21	1604.13	1397.67	67.37%	31.73%	+9.97	5-0
1997-10-06	New England Patriots	W 34-13	1614.10	1606.17	61.44%	37.66%	+19.17	6-0
1997-10-19	@ Oakland Raiders	L 25-28	1633.27	1492.71	58.65%	40.45%	-11.25	6-1
1997-10-26	@ Buffalo Bills	W 23-20	1622.02	1499.74	56.10%	43.01%	+8.27	7-1
1997-11-02	Seattle Seahawks	W 30-27	1630.29	1505.57	75.53%	23.57%	+4.54	8-1
1997-11-09	Carolina Panthers	W 34-0	1634.83	1534.19	72.94%	26.16%	+16.97	9-1
1997-11-16	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 22-24	1651.80	1562.77	51.35%	47.75%	-8.04	9-2
1997-11-24	Oakland Raiders	W 31-3	1643.76	1489.34	78.47%	20.63%	+12.16	10-2
1997-11-30	@ San Diego Chargers	W 38-28	1655.92	1419.95	70.93%	28.17%	+9.91	11-2
1997-12-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-35	1665.83	1574.79	51.64%	47.46%	-18.97	11-3
1997-12-15	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-34	1646.86	1646.17	38.83%	60.27%	-17.78	11-4
1997-12-21	San Diego Chargers	W 38-3	1629.08	1374.39	86.37%	12.74%	+8.41	12-4
1997-08-31	Atlanta Falcons	W 28-17	1470.94	1443.67	64.02%	35.08%	+12.93	1-0
1997-09-07	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-24	1483.87	1489.04	59.65%	39.45%	-17.47	1-1
1997-09-14	@ Chicago Bears	W 32-7	1466.40	1472.70	37.88%	61.22%	+33.87	2-1
1997-09-21	@ New Orleans Saints	L 17-35	1500.27	1390.17	54.37%	44.73%	-25.54	2-2
1997-09-28	Green Bay Packers	W 26-15	1474.73	1633.57	37.94%	61.16%	+22.45	3-2
1997-10-05	@ Buffalo Bills	L 13-22	1497.18	1494.08	39.16%	59.94%	-13.04	3-3
1997-10-12	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-9	1484.14	1541.34	31.27%	67.83%	+31.83	4-3
1997-10-19	New York Giants	L 20-26	1515.97	1495.70	63.09%	36.01%	-17.09	4-4
1997-11-02	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-20	1498.88	1648.36	21.10%	78.00%	-7.44	4-5
1997-11-09	@ Washington Redskins	L 7-30	1491.44	1537.84	32.62%	66.48%	-17.38	4-6
1997-11-16	Minnesota Vikings	W 38-15	1474.06	1563.91	47.63%	51.47%	+27.34	5-6
1997-11-23	Indianapolis Colts	W 32-10	1501.40	1361.27	77.09%	22.01%	+11.50	6-6
1997-11-27	Chicago Bears	W 55-20	1512.90	1387.30	75.62%	23.48%	+15.46	7-6
1997-12-07	@ Miami Dolphins	L 30-33	1528.36	1566.82	33.63%	65.47%	-6.47	7-7
1997-12-14	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 14-13	1521.89	1502.64	41.40%	57.70%	+6.38	8-7
1997-12-21	New York Jets	W 13-10	1528.27	1497.83	64.43%	34.67%	+6.68	9-7
1997-09-01	Chicago Bears	W 38-24	1616.87	1492.84	75.46%	23.64%	+9.84	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-10	1626.71	1494.17	57.54%	41.56%	-6.36	1-1
1997-09-14	Miami Dolphins	W 23-18	1620.35	1517.73	73.16%	25.94%	+6.45	2-1
1997-09-21	Minnesota Vikings	W 38-32	1626.80	1513.92	74.28%	24.82%	+6.77	3-1
1997-09-28	@ Detroit Lions	L 15-26	1633.57	1474.73	61.16%	37.94%	-22.45	3-2
1997-10-05	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 21-16	1611.12	1548.96	68.44%	30.66%	+7.62	4-2
1997-10-12	@ Chicago Bears	W 24-23	1618.74	1403.08	68.51%	30.59%	+3.41	5-2
1997-10-27	@ New England Patriots	W 28-10	1622.15	1589.45	43.29%	55.81%	+26.21	6-2
1997-11-02	Detroit Lions	W 20-10	1648.36	1498.88	78.00%	21.10%	+7.43	7-2
1997-11-09	St. Louis Rams	W 17-7	1655.79	1400.09	86.43%	12.67%	+4.47	8-2
1997-11-16	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 38-41	1660.26	1346.11	79.10%	20.00%	-15.16	8-3
1997-11-23	Dallas Cowboys	W 45-17	1645.10	1571.00	69.88%	29.22%	+17.19	9-3
1997-12-01	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 27-11	1662.29	1529.73	57.54%	41.56%	+18.45	10-3
1997-12-07	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-6	1680.74	1555.74	56.48%	42.62%	+15.68	11-3
1997-12-14	@ Carolina Panthers	W 31-10	1696.42	1528.88	62.33%	36.77%	+18.71	12-3
1997-12-20	Buffalo Bills	W 31-21	1715.13	1424.39	88.50%	10.60%	+3.75	13-3
1997-08-31	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-16	1494.65	1500.12	37.99%	61.11%	-10.34	0-1
1997-09-07	New England Patriots	L 6-31	1484.31	1562.33	49.33%	49.77%	-27.33	0-2
1997-09-14	Seattle Seahawks	L 3-31	1456.98	1425.53	64.56%	34.54%	-37.79	0-3
1997-09-21	@ Buffalo Bills	L 35-37	1419.19	1489.41	29.68%	69.42%	-4.67	0-4
1997-10-05	New York Jets	L 12-16	1414.52	1487.15	50.11%	49.00%	-11.10	0-5
1997-10-12	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 22-24	1403.42	1517.25	24.72%	74.38%	-3.89	0-6
1997-10-20	Buffalo Bills	L 6-9	1399.53	1490.63	47.45%	51.65%	-9.11	0-7
1997-10-26	@ San Diego Chargers	L 19-35	1390.42	1475.61	27.91%	71.19%	-12.42	0-8
1997-11-02	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 28-31	1378.00	1496.94	43.48%	55.62%	-8.35	0-9
1997-11-09	Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-28	1369.65	1408.88	54.89%	44.21%	-23.54	0-10
1997-11-16	Green Bay Packers	W 41-38	1346.11	1660.26	20.00%	79.10%	+15.16	1-10
1997-11-23	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-32	1361.27	1501.40	22.01%	77.09%	-11.50	1-11
1997-11-30	@ New England Patriots	L 17-20	1349.77	1564.41	15.53%	83.58%	-2.99	1-12
1997-12-07	@ New York Jets	W 22-14	1346.78	1491.90	21.52%	77.58%	+24.27	2-12
1997-12-14	Miami Dolphins	W 41-0	1371.05	1573.29	32.26%	66.84%	+47.35	3-12
1997-12-21	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 28-39	1418.40	1496.26	28.77%	70.33%	-10.61	3-13
1997-08-31	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 28-27	1481.14	1464.05	41.10%	58.00%	+6.41	1-0
1997-09-07	New York Giants	W 40-13	1487.55	1497.48	59.00%	40.10%	+23.13	2-0
1997-09-22	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 30-21	1510.68	1495.90	62.36%	36.74%	+12.24	3-0
1997-09-28	@ Washington Redskins	L 12-24	1522.92	1543.00	36.03%	63.07%	-13.86	3-1
1997-10-05	Cincinnati Bengals	W 21-13	1509.06	1447.91	68.32%	30.78%	+9.68	4-1
1997-10-12	Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-21	1518.74	1505.01	62.22%	36.88%	+16.88	5-1
1997-10-19	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 22-26	1535.62	1559.89	35.48%	63.62%	-7.88	5-2
1997-10-26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-23	1527.74	1541.40	36.89%	62.21%	-10.03	5-3
1997-11-02	@ Tennessee Oilers	W 30-24	1517.71	1511.02	39.66%	59.45%	+16.11	6-3
1997-11-09	Kansas City Chiefs	W 24-10	1533.82	1581.62	53.67%	45.43%	+18.85	7-3
1997-11-16	Tennessee Oilers	W 17-9	1552.67	1504.17	66.75%	32.35%	+10.17	8-3
1997-11-23	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 26-31	1562.84	1421.94	58.70%	40.40%	-14.53	8-4
1997-11-30	Baltimore Ravens	W 29-27	1548.31	1439.90	73.80%	25.30%	+3.99	9-4
1997-12-07	New England Patriots	L 20-26	1552.30	1567.41	58.28%	40.82%	-15.80	9-5
1997-12-14	@ Buffalo Bills	W 20-14	1536.50	1436.95	52.86%	46.24%	+12.55	10-5
1997-12-21	@ Oakland Raiders	W 20-9	1549.05	1434.69	54.97%	44.13%	+16.24	11-5
1997-08-31	@ Denver Broncos	L 3-19	1511.33	1541.20	34.75%	64.36%	-15.44	0-1
1997-09-08	@ Oakland Raiders	W 28-27	1495.89	1505.86	37.39%	61.72%	+6.83	1-1
1997-09-14	Buffalo Bills	W 22-16	1502.72	1499.84	60.76%	38.35%	+10.43	2-1
1997-09-21	@ Carolina Panthers	W 35-14	1513.15	1551.32	33.67%	65.43%	+33.17	3-1
1997-09-28	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-17	1546.32	1471.94	69.92%	29.18%	+5.62	4-1
1997-10-05	@ Miami Dolphins	L 14-17	1551.94	1498.71	46.21%	52.89%	-8.87	4-2
1997-10-16	San Diego Chargers	W 31-3	1543.07	1494.64	66.74%	32.36%	+19.03	5-2
1997-10-26	@ St. Louis Rams	W 28-20	1562.10	1420.75	58.76%	40.34%	+12.67	6-2
1997-11-03	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 13-10	1574.77	1551.43	63.50%	35.60%	+6.85	7-2
1997-11-09	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 10-24	1581.62	1533.82	45.43%	53.67%	-18.85	7-3
1997-11-16	Denver Broncos	W 24-22	1562.77	1651.80	47.75%	51.35%	+8.04	8-3
1997-11-23	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 19-14	1570.81	1505.23	47.98%	51.12%	+12.66	9-3
1997-11-30	San Francisco 49ers	W 44-9	1583.47	1671.04	47.96%	51.14%	+33.52	10-3
1997-12-07	Oakland Raiders	W 30-0	1616.99	1453.16	79.34%	19.76%	+12.05	11-3
1997-12-14	@ San Diego Chargers	W 29-7	1629.04	1388.83	71.42%	27.68%	+14.44	12-3
1997-12-21	New Orleans Saints	W 25-13	1643.48	1389.71	86.31%	12.79%	+4.95	13-3
1997-08-31	Indianapolis Colts	W 16-10	1500.12	1494.65	61.11%	37.99%	+10.33	1-0
1997-09-07	Tennessee Oilers	W 16-13	1510.45	1503.64	61.29%	37.81%	+7.28	2-0
1997-09-14	@ Green Bay Packers	L 18-23	1517.73	1620.35	25.94%	73.16%	-6.46	2-1
1997-09-21	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 21-31	1511.27	1533.39	35.76%	63.34%	-12.56	2-2
1997-10-05	Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-14	1498.71	1551.94	52.89%	46.21%	+8.87	3-2
1997-10-12	@ New York Jets	W 31-20	1507.58	1498.25	40.02%	59.08%	+21.69	4-2
1997-10-19	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 24-13	1529.27	1487.84	44.53%	54.57%	+20.04	5-2
1997-10-27	Chicago Bears	L 33-36	1549.31	1399.68	78.01%	21.09%	-14.95	5-3
1997-11-02	@ Buffalo Bills	L 6-9	1534.36	1491.48	44.73%	54.37%	-8.60	5-4
1997-11-09	New York Jets	W 24-17	1525.76	1497.81	64.11%	34.99%	+10.29	6-4
1997-11-17	Buffalo Bills	W 30-13	1536.05	1473.22	68.53%	30.58%	+14.02	7-4
1997-11-23	@ New England Patriots	L 24-27	1550.07	1557.14	37.78%	61.33%	-7.27	7-5
1997-11-30	@ Oakland Raiders	W 34-16	1542.80	1477.18	47.99%	51.11%	+24.02	8-5
1997-12-07	Detroit Lions	W 33-30	1566.82	1528.36	65.47%	33.63%	+6.47	9-5
1997-12-14	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 0-41	1573.29	1371.05	66.84%	32.26%	-47.34	9-6
1997-12-22	New England Patriots	L 12-14	1525.95	1571.91	53.93%	45.17%	-8.45	9-7
1997-08-31	@ Buffalo Bills	W 34-13	1498.73	1515.62	36.46%	62.64%	+31.76	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Chicago Bears	W 27-24	1530.49	1483.00	45.39%	53.71%	+10.30	2-0
1997-09-14	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 14-28	1540.79	1506.51	64.93%	34.17%	-26.87	2-1
1997-09-21	@ Green Bay Packers	L 32-38	1513.92	1626.80	24.82%	74.28%	-6.77	2-2
1997-09-28	Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-19	1507.15	1497.18	61.72%	37.39%	+12.45	3-2
1997-10-05	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 20-19	1519.60	1450.19	48.53%	50.57%	+5.61	4-2
1997-10-12	Carolina Panthers	W 21-14	1525.21	1497.67	64.05%	35.05%	+10.30	5-2
1997-10-26	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 10-6	1535.51	1509.50	42.35%	56.76%	+12.56	6-2
1997-11-02	New England Patriots	W 23-18	1548.07	1563.24	58.27%	40.83%	+10.13	7-2
1997-11-09	Chicago Bears	W 29-22	1558.20	1389.97	79.74%	19.36%	+5.71	8-2
1997-11-16	@ Detroit Lions	L 15-38	1563.91	1474.06	51.47%	47.63%	-27.34	8-3
1997-11-23	@ New York Jets	L 21-23	1536.57	1501.86	43.57%	55.53%	-6.84	8-4
1997-12-01	Green Bay Packers	L 11-27	1529.73	1662.29	41.56%	57.54%	-18.44	8-5
1997-12-07	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-28	1511.29	1637.53	23.41%	75.69%	-8.65	8-6
1997-12-14	Detroit Lions	L 13-14	1502.64	1521.89	57.70%	41.40%	-6.38	8-7
1997-12-21	Indianapolis Colts	W 39-28	1496.26	1418.40	70.33%	28.77%	+10.61	9-7
1997-08-31	San Diego Chargers	W 41-7	1541.72	1488.70	67.31%	31.79%	+20.61	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 31-6	1562.33	1484.31	49.77%	49.33%	+27.33	2-0
1997-09-14	New York Jets	W 27-24	1589.66	1457.71	76.27%	22.83%	+4.40	3-0
1997-09-21	Chicago Bears	W 31-3	1594.06	1438.83	78.55%	20.56%	+12.11	4-0
1997-10-06	@ Denver Broncos	L 13-34	1606.17	1614.10	37.66%	61.44%	-19.16	4-1
1997-10-12	Buffalo Bills	W 33-6	1587.01	1507.12	70.57%	28.53%	+16.49	5-1
1997-10-19	@ New York Jets	L 19-24	1603.50	1476.57	56.75%	42.35%	-14.05	5-2
1997-10-27	Green Bay Packers	L 10-28	1589.45	1622.15	55.81%	43.29%	-26.21	5-3
1997-11-02	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 18-23	1563.24	1548.07	40.83%	58.27%	-10.13	5-4
1997-11-09	@ Buffalo Bills	W 31-10	1553.11	1500.07	46.18%	52.92%	+26.85	6-4
1997-11-16	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 7-27	1579.96	1528.05	46.02%	53.08%	-22.82	6-5
1997-11-23	Miami Dolphins	W 27-24	1557.14	1550.07	61.33%	37.78%	+7.27	7-5
1997-11-30	Indianapolis Colts	W 20-17	1564.41	1349.77	83.58%	15.53%	+3.00	8-5
1997-12-07	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 26-20	1567.41	1552.30	40.82%	58.28%	+15.80	9-5
1997-12-13	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-24	1583.21	1593.76	58.91%	40.19%	-11.30	9-6
1997-12-22	@ Miami Dolphins	W 14-12	1571.91	1525.95	45.17%	53.93%	+8.45	10-6
1997-08-31	@ St. Louis Rams	L 24-38	1439.32	1456.25	36.45%	62.65%	-15.15	0-1
1997-09-07	San Diego Chargers	L 6-20	1424.17	1468.10	54.22%	44.88%	-22.46	0-2
1997-09-14	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-33	1401.71	1559.58	20.31%	78.79%	-11.54	0-3
1997-09-21	Detroit Lions	W 35-17	1390.17	1500.27	44.73%	54.37%	+25.54	1-3
1997-09-28	@ New York Giants	L 9-14	1415.71	1453.22	33.75%	65.35%	-8.39	1-4
1997-10-05	@ Chicago Bears	W 20-17	1407.32	1414.85	37.72%	61.39%	+11.77	2-4
1997-10-12	Atlanta Falcons	L 17-23	1419.09	1387.70	64.56%	34.55%	-17.49	2-5
1997-10-19	Carolina Panthers	L 0-13	1401.60	1487.37	48.21%	50.89%	-19.27	2-6
1997-10-26	San Francisco 49ers	L 0-23	1382.33	1622.66	27.66%	71.44%	-14.76	2-7
1997-11-09	@ Oakland Raiders	W 13-10	1367.57	1469.83	25.98%	73.12%	+14.01	3-7
1997-11-16	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-17	1381.58	1516.32	41.26%	57.84%	+11.09	4-7
1997-11-23	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 3-20	1392.67	1389.98	39.11%	59.99%	-17.90	4-8
1997-11-30	@ Carolina Panthers	W 16-13	1374.77	1521.69	21.35%	77.75%	+14.90	5-8
1997-12-07	St. Louis Rams	L 27-34	1389.67	1382.60	61.33%	37.78%	-17.95	5-9
1997-12-14	Arizona Cardinals	W 27-10	1371.72	1375.85	59.80%	39.30%	+17.99	6-9
1997-12-21	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-25	1389.71	1643.48	12.79%	86.31%	-4.95	6-10
1997-08-31	Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-17	1479.52	1512.13	55.82%	43.28%	+17.96	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 13-40	1497.48	1487.55	40.10%	59.00%	-23.13	1-1
1997-09-14	Baltimore Ravens	L 23-24	1474.35	1475.89	60.15%	38.95%	-6.66	1-2
1997-09-21	@ St. Louis Rams	L 3-13	1467.69	1449.54	41.25%	57.86%	-14.47	1-3
1997-09-28	New Orleans Saints	W 14-9	1453.22	1415.71	65.35%	33.75%	+8.39	2-3
1997-10-05	Dallas Cowboys	W 20-17	1461.61	1581.36	43.36%	55.74%	+10.69	3-3
1997-10-12	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 27-13	1472.30	1444.59	42.58%	56.52%	+23.40	4-3
1997-10-19	@ Detroit Lions	W 26-20	1495.70	1515.97	36.01%	63.09%	+17.10	5-3
1997-10-26	Cincinnati Bengals	W 29-27	1512.80	1397.47	74.54%	24.56%	+3.87	6-3
1997-11-09	@ Tennessee Oilers	L 6-10	1516.67	1494.91	41.75%	57.35%	-9.27	6-4
1997-11-16	Arizona Cardinals	W 19-10	1507.40	1395.20	74.21%	24.89%	+8.31	7-4
1997-11-23	@ Washington Redskins	T 7-7	1515.71	1548.00	34.43%	64.67%	+0.84	7-4
1997-11-30	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 8-20	1516.55	1533.49	58.02%	41.08%	-22.25	7-5
1997-12-07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-21	1494.30	1482.07	40.42%	58.68%	+20.54	8-5
1997-12-13	Washington Redskins	W 30-10	1514.84	1545.83	56.05%	43.05%	+21.35	9-5
1997-12-21	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 20-7	1536.19	1492.17	44.89%	54.21%	+21.64	10-5
1997-08-31	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 41-3	1426.43	1495.65	29.80%	69.30%	+47.26	1-0
1997-09-07	Buffalo Bills	L 22-28	1473.69	1483.85	58.97%	40.14%	-15.98	1-1
1997-09-14	@ New England Patriots	L 24-27	1457.71	1589.66	22.83%	76.27%	-4.41	1-2
1997-09-21	Oakland Raiders	W 23-22	1453.30	1511.27	52.21%	46.89%	+5.20	2-2
1997-09-28	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-14	1458.50	1476.56	36.30%	62.80%	+28.65	3-2
1997-10-05	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 16-12	1487.15	1414.52	49.00%	50.11%	+11.10	4-2
1997-10-12	Miami Dolphins	L 20-31	1498.25	1507.58	59.08%	40.02%	-21.68	4-3
1997-10-19	New England Patriots	W 24-19	1476.57	1603.50	42.35%	56.75%	+14.04	5-3
1997-11-02	Baltimore Ravens	W 19-16	1490.61	1480.82	61.69%	37.41%	+7.20	6-3
1997-11-09	@ Miami Dolphins	L 17-24	1497.81	1525.76	34.99%	64.11%	-10.29	6-4
1997-11-16	@ Chicago Bears	W 23-15	1487.52	1384.26	53.39%	45.71%	+14.34	7-4
1997-11-23	Minnesota Vikings	W 23-21	1501.86	1536.57	55.53%	43.57%	+6.83	8-4
1997-11-30	@ Buffalo Bills	L 10-20	1508.69	1443.58	47.91%	51.19%	-16.79	8-5
1997-12-07	Indianapolis Colts	L 14-22	1491.90	1346.78	77.58%	21.52%	-24.28	8-6
1997-12-14	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-0	1467.62	1540.06	50.13%	48.97%	+30.21	9-6
1997-12-21	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-13	1497.83	1528.27	34.67%	64.43%	-6.67	9-7
1997-08-31	@ Tennessee Oilers	L 21-24	1513.78	1495.72	41.23%	57.87%	-7.92	0-1
1997-09-08	Kansas City Chiefs	L 27-28	1505.86	1495.89	61.72%	37.39%	-6.83	0-2
1997-09-14	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 36-31	1499.03	1421.45	49.71%	49.39%	+12.24	1-2
1997-09-21	@ New York Jets	L 22-23	1511.27	1453.30	46.89%	52.21%	-5.20	1-3
1997-09-28	St. Louis Rams	W 35-17	1506.07	1464.01	65.93%	33.17%	+15.64	2-3
1997-10-05	San Diego Chargers	L 10-25	1521.71	1465.64	67.69%	31.41%	-29.00	2-4
1997-10-19	Denver Broncos	W 28-25	1492.71	1633.27	40.45%	58.65%	+11.24	3-4
1997-10-26	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 34-45	1503.95	1490.63	40.57%	58.53%	-14.94	3-5
1997-11-02	@ Carolina Panthers	L 14-38	1489.01	1515.00	35.25%	63.85%	-19.18	3-6
1997-11-09	New Orleans Saints	L 10-13	1469.83	1367.57	73.12%	25.98%	-14.01	3-7
1997-11-16	@ San Diego Chargers	W 38-13	1455.82	1457.45	38.52%	60.59%	+33.52	4-7
1997-11-24	@ Denver Broncos	L 3-31	1489.34	1643.76	20.63%	78.47%	-12.16	4-8
1997-11-30	Miami Dolphins	L 16-34	1477.18	1542.80	51.11%	47.99%	-24.02	4-9
1997-12-07	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 0-30	1453.16	1616.99	19.76%	79.34%	-12.06	4-10
1997-12-14	Seattle Seahawks	L 21-22	1441.10	1458.92	57.90%	41.20%	-6.41	4-11
1997-12-21	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 9-20	1434.69	1549.05	44.13%	54.97%	-16.23	4-12
1997-08-31	@ New York Giants	L 17-31	1512.13	1479.52	43.28%	55.82%	-17.96	0-1
1997-09-07	Green Bay Packers	W 10-9	1494.17	1626.71	41.56%	57.54%	+6.37	1-1
1997-09-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 20-21	1500.54	1566.14	30.24%	68.86%	-3.36	1-2
1997-09-28	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 19-28	1497.18	1507.15	37.39%	61.72%	-12.46	1-3
1997-10-05	Washington Redskins	W 24-10	1484.72	1556.86	50.18%	48.92%	+20.29	2-3
1997-10-12	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 21-38	1505.01	1518.74	36.88%	62.22%	-16.89	2-4
1997-10-19	Arizona Cardinals	W 13-10	1488.12	1421.18	69.03%	30.08%	+5.79	3-4
1997-10-26	Dallas Cowboys	W 13-12	1493.91	1567.77	49.93%	49.17%	+5.45	4-4
1997-11-02	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 21-31	1499.36	1386.02	54.83%	44.27%	-19.19	4-5
1997-11-10	San Francisco 49ers	L 12-24	1480.17	1645.98	37.00%	62.10%	-14.24	4-6
1997-11-16	@ Baltimore Ravens	T 10-10	1465.93	1453.61	40.43%	58.67%	+0.51	4-6
1997-11-23	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-20	1466.44	1575.07	44.94%	54.16%	+10.38	5-6
1997-11-30	Cincinnati Bengals	W 44-42	1476.82	1436.47	65.71%	33.39%	+5.25	6-6
1997-12-07	New York Giants	L 21-31	1482.07	1494.30	58.68%	40.42%	-20.54	6-7
1997-12-14	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 17-20	1461.53	1449.91	40.34%	58.76%	-7.75	6-8
1997-12-21	@ Washington Redskins	L 32-35	1453.78	1524.47	29.62%	69.48%	-5.71	6-9
1997-08-31	Dallas Cowboys	L 7-37	1526.12	1541.72	58.21%	40.89%	-35.28	0-1
1997-09-07	Washington Redskins	W 14-13	1490.84	1540.09	53.46%	45.64%	+5.06	1-1
1997-09-22	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 21-30	1495.90	1510.68	36.74%	62.36%	-12.24	1-2
1997-09-28	Tennessee Oilers	W 37-24	1483.66	1461.26	63.38%	35.73%	+14.31	2-2
1997-10-05	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 42-34	1497.97	1507.11	37.50%	61.61%	+19.28	3-2
1997-10-12	Indianapolis Colts	W 24-22	1517.25	1403.42	74.38%	24.72%	+3.89	4-2
1997-10-19	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 26-10	1521.14	1417.73	53.41%	45.69%	+20.26	5-2
1997-10-26	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 23-17	1541.40	1527.74	62.21%	36.89%	+10.03	6-2
1997-11-03	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-13	1551.43	1574.77	35.60%	63.50%	-6.85	6-3
1997-11-09	Baltimore Ravens	W 37-0	1544.58	1473.63	69.51%	29.59%	+20.02	7-3
1997-11-16	Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-3	1564.60	1432.41	76.30%	22.81%	+10.47	8-3
1997-11-23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-23	1575.07	1466.44	54.16%	44.94%	-10.39	8-4
1997-11-30	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 26-20	1564.68	1400.10	61.94%	37.17%	+10.11	9-4
1997-12-07	Denver Broncos	W 35-24	1574.79	1665.83	47.46%	51.64%	+18.97	10-4
1997-12-13	@ New England Patriots	W 24-21	1593.76	1583.21	40.19%	58.91%	+11.29	11-4
1997-12-21	@ Tennessee Oilers	L 6-16	1605.05	1497.87	53.95%	45.15%	-18.89	11-5
1997-08-31	@ New England Patriots	L 7-41	1488.70	1541.72	31.79%	67.31%	-20.60	0-1
1997-09-07	@ New Orleans Saints	W 20-6	1468.10	1424.17	44.88%	54.22%	+22.46	1-1
1997-09-14	Carolina Panthers	L 7-26	1490.56	1524.47	55.64%	43.46%	-26.85	1-2
1997-09-21	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 22-26	1463.71	1463.32	38.79%	60.31%	-8.61	1-3
1997-09-28	Baltimore Ravens	W 21-17	1455.10	1517.65	51.55%	47.55%	+10.54	2-3
1997-10-05	@ Oakland Raiders	W 25-10	1465.64	1521.71	31.41%	67.69%	+29.00	3-3
1997-10-16	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-31	1494.64	1543.07	32.36%	66.74%	-19.03	3-4
1997-10-26	Indianapolis Colts	W 35-19	1475.61	1390.42	71.19%	27.91%	+12.42	4-4
1997-11-02	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 31-38	1488.03	1393.61	52.13%	46.97%	-15.28	4-5
1997-11-09	Seattle Seahawks	L 31-37	1472.75	1501.02	56.44%	42.66%	-15.30	4-6
1997-11-16	Oakland Raiders	L 13-38	1457.45	1455.82	60.59%	38.52%	-33.52	4-7
1997-11-23	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 10-17	1423.93	1667.06	13.49%	85.61%	-3.98	4-8
1997-11-30	Denver Broncos	L 28-38	1419.95	1655.92	28.17%	70.93%	-9.91	4-9
1997-12-07	Atlanta Falcons	L 3-14	1410.04	1428.70	57.79%	41.32%	-21.21	4-10
1997-12-14	Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-29	1388.83	1629.04	27.68%	71.42%	-14.44	4-11
1997-12-21	@ Denver Broncos	L 3-38	1374.39	1629.08	12.74%	86.37%	-8.41	4-12
1997-08-31	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 6-13	1565.28	1473.90	51.69%	47.41%	-15.15	0-1
1997-09-07	@ St. Louis Rams	W 15-12	1550.13	1471.40	49.87%	49.23%	+9.45	1-1
1997-09-14	New Orleans Saints	W 33-7	1559.58	1401.71	78.79%	20.31%	+11.54	2-1
1997-09-21	Atlanta Falcons	W 34-7	1571.12	1409.21	79.17%	19.93%	+11.54	3-1
1997-09-29	@ Carolina Panthers	W 34-21	1582.66	1518.15	47.83%	51.27%	+20.47	4-1
1997-10-12	St. Louis Rams	W 30-10	1603.13	1448.37	78.50%	20.60%	+10.26	5-1
1997-10-19	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 35-28	1613.39	1405.19	67.59%	31.51%	+9.27	6-1
1997-10-26	@ New Orleans Saints	W 23-0	1622.66	1382.33	71.44%	27.66%	+14.76	7-1
1997-11-02	Dallas Cowboys	W 17-10	1637.42	1562.33	70.00%	29.10%	+8.56	8-1
1997-11-10	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-12	1645.98	1480.17	62.10%	37.00%	+14.23	9-1
1997-11-16	Carolina Panthers	W 27-19	1660.21	1517.21	77.37%	21.73%	+6.85	10-1
1997-11-23	San Diego Chargers	W 17-10	1667.06	1423.93	85.61%	13.49%	+3.98	11-1
1997-11-30	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 9-44	1671.04	1583.47	51.14%	47.96%	-33.51	11-2
1997-12-07	Minnesota Vikings	W 28-17	1637.53	1511.29	75.69%	23.41%	+8.64	12-2
1997-12-15	Denver Broncos	W 34-17	1646.17	1646.86	60.27%	38.83%	+17.78	13-2
1997-12-21	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 9-38	1663.95	1465.33	66.38%	32.72%	-39.55	13-3
1997-08-31	New York Jets	L 3-41	1495.65	1426.43	69.30%	29.80%	-47.26	0-1
1997-09-07	Denver Broncos	L 14-35	1448.39	1556.64	45.00%	54.10%	-22.86	0-2
1997-09-14	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 31-3	1425.53	1456.98	34.54%	64.56%	+37.79	1-2
1997-09-21	San Diego Chargers	W 26-22	1463.32	1463.71	60.31%	38.79%	+8.62	2-2
1997-09-28	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-20	1471.94	1546.32	29.18%	69.92%	-5.62	2-3
1997-10-05	Tennessee Oilers	W 16-13	1466.32	1446.95	62.97%	36.13%	+6.95	3-3
1997-10-19	@ St. Louis Rams	W 17-9	1473.27	1438.11	43.64%	55.47%	+17.36	4-3
1997-10-26	Oakland Raiders	W 45-34	1490.63	1503.95	58.53%	40.57%	+14.94	5-3
1997-11-02	@ Denver Broncos	L 27-30	1505.57	1630.29	23.57%	75.53%	-4.55	5-4
1997-11-09	@ San Diego Chargers	W 37-31	1501.02	1472.75	42.66%	56.44%	+15.30	6-4
1997-11-16	@ New Orleans Saints	L 17-20	1516.32	1381.58	57.84%	41.26%	-11.09	6-5
1997-11-23	Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-19	1505.23	1570.81	51.12%	47.98%	-12.66	6-6
1997-11-30	Atlanta Falcons	L 17-24	1492.57	1407.88	71.13%	27.97%	-20.82	6-7
1997-12-07	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 24-31	1471.75	1435.92	43.73%	55.37%	-12.83	6-8
1997-12-14	@ Oakland Raiders	W 22-21	1458.92	1441.10	41.20%	57.90%	+6.41	7-8
1997-12-21	San Francisco 49ers	W 38-9	1465.33	1663.95	32.72%	66.38%	+39.55	8-8
1997-08-31	New Orleans Saints	W 38-24	1456.25	1439.32	62.65%	36.45%	+15.15	1-0
1997-09-07	San Francisco 49ers	L 12-15	1471.40	1550.13	49.23%	49.87%	-9.45	1-1
1997-09-14	@ Denver Broncos	L 14-35	1461.95	1579.50	24.32%	74.78%	-12.41	1-2
1997-09-21	New York Giants	W 13-3	1449.54	1467.69	57.86%	41.25%	+14.47	2-2
1997-09-28	@ Oakland Raiders	L 17-35	1464.01	1506.07	33.17%	65.93%	-15.64	2-3
1997-10-12	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 10-30	1448.37	1603.13	20.60%	78.50%	-10.26	2-4
1997-10-19	Seattle Seahawks	L 9-17	1438.11	1473.27	55.47%	43.64%	-17.36	2-5
1997-10-26	Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-28	1420.75	1562.10	40.34%	58.76%	-12.67	2-6
1997-11-02	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 31-34	1408.08	1387.56	41.58%	57.52%	-7.99	2-7
1997-11-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-17	1400.09	1655.79	12.67%	86.43%	-4.47	2-8
1997-11-16	Atlanta Falcons	L 21-27	1395.62	1372.79	63.43%	35.67%	-17.19	2-9
1997-11-23	Carolina Panthers	L 10-16	1378.43	1510.37	41.65%	57.45%	-11.32	2-10
1997-11-30	@ Washington Redskins	W 23-20	1367.11	1547.17	18.32%	80.78%	+15.49	3-10
1997-12-07	@ New Orleans Saints	W 34-27	1382.60	1389.67	37.78%	61.33%	+17.95	4-10
1997-12-14	Chicago Bears	L 10-13	1400.55	1395.26	61.08%	38.02%	-11.71	4-11
1997-12-20	@ Carolina Panthers	W 30-18	1388.84	1510.17	23.93%	75.18%	+28.81	5-11
1997-08-31	San Francisco 49ers	W 13-6	1473.90	1565.28	47.41%	51.69%	+15.14	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-17	1489.04	1483.87	39.45%	59.65%	+17.47	2-0
1997-09-14	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 28-14	1506.51	1540.79	34.17%	64.93%	+26.88	3-0
1997-09-21	Miami Dolphins	W 31-21	1533.39	1511.27	63.34%	35.76%	+12.56	4-0
1997-09-28	Arizona Cardinals	W 19-18	1545.95	1453.20	72.06%	27.05%	+3.01	5-0
1997-10-05	@ Green Bay Packers	L 16-21	1548.96	1611.12	30.66%	68.44%	-7.62	5-1
1997-10-12	Detroit Lions	L 9-27	1541.34	1484.14	67.83%	31.27%	-31.84	5-2
1997-10-26	Minnesota Vikings	L 6-10	1509.50	1535.51	56.76%	42.35%	-12.56	5-3
1997-11-02	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 31-28	1496.94	1378.00	55.62%	43.48%	+8.35	6-3
1997-11-09	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 31-10	1505.29	1395.55	54.32%	44.78%	+22.76	7-3
1997-11-16	New England Patriots	W 27-7	1528.05	1579.96	53.08%	46.02%	+22.81	8-3
1997-11-23	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-13	1550.86	1369.93	64.11%	35.00%	-17.37	8-4
1997-11-30	@ New York Giants	W 20-8	1533.49	1516.55	41.08%	58.02%	+22.25	9-4
1997-12-07	Green Bay Packers	L 6-17	1555.74	1680.74	42.62%	56.48%	-15.68	9-5
1997-12-14	@ New York Jets	L 0-31	1540.06	1467.62	48.97%	50.13%	-30.21	9-6
1997-12-21	Chicago Bears	W 31-15	1509.85	1406.97	73.19%	25.91%	+11.53	10-6
1997-08-31	Oakland Raiders	W 24-21	1495.72	1513.78	57.87%	41.23%	+7.92	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Miami Dolphins	L 13-16	1503.64	1510.45	37.81%	61.29%	-7.27	1-1
1997-09-21	Baltimore Ravens	L 10-36	1496.37	1482.54	62.23%	36.87%	-35.11	1-2
1997-09-28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-37	1461.26	1483.66	35.73%	63.38%	-14.31	1-3
1997-10-05	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 13-16	1446.95	1466.32	36.13%	62.97%	-6.95	1-4
1997-10-12	Cincinnati Bengals	W 30-7	1440.00	1438.23	60.60%	38.50%	+20.50	2-4
1997-10-19	Washington Redskins	W 28-14	1460.50	1547.36	48.06%	51.04%	+21.15	3-4
1997-10-26	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 41-14	1481.65	1415.39	48.08%	51.02%	+29.37	4-4
1997-11-02	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 24-30	1511.02	1517.71	59.45%	39.66%	-16.11	4-5
1997-11-09	New York Giants	W 10-6	1494.91	1516.67	57.35%	41.75%	+9.26	5-5
1997-11-16	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 9-17	1504.17	1552.67	32.35%	66.75%	-10.17	5-6
1997-11-23	Buffalo Bills	W 31-14	1494.00	1459.20	65.00%	34.10%	+15.62	6-6
1997-11-27	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 27-14	1509.62	1553.81	32.90%	66.20%	+26.41	7-6
1997-12-04	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-41	1536.03	1431.22	53.61%	45.49%	-30.85	7-7
1997-12-14	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 19-21	1505.18	1448.75	46.67%	52.43%	-7.31	7-8
1997-12-21	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 16-6	1497.87	1605.05	45.15%	53.95%	+18.89	8-8
1997-08-31	@ Carolina Panthers	W 24-10	1513.54	1541.73	34.96%	64.14%	+26.55	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-14	1540.09	1490.84	45.64%	53.46%	-5.06	1-1
1997-09-14	Arizona Cardinals	W 19-13	1535.03	1461.16	69.86%	29.24%	+7.97	2-1
1997-09-28	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-12	1543.00	1522.92	63.07%	36.03%	+13.86	3-1
1997-10-05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-24	1556.86	1484.72	48.92%	50.18%	-20.28	3-2
1997-10-13	Dallas Cowboys	W 21-16	1536.58	1570.68	55.61%	43.49%	+10.78	4-2
1997-10-19	@ Tennessee Oilers	L 14-28	1547.36	1460.50	51.04%	48.06%	-21.15	4-3
1997-10-26	Baltimore Ravens	L 17-20	1526.21	1467.80	67.98%	31.12%	-13.03	4-4
1997-11-02	@ Chicago Bears	W 31-8	1513.18	1414.63	52.72%	46.38%	+24.66	5-4
1997-11-09	Detroit Lions	W 30-7	1537.84	1491.44	66.48%	32.62%	+17.39	6-4
1997-11-16	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 14-17	1555.23	1563.78	37.58%	61.52%	-7.23	6-5
1997-11-23	New York Giants	T 7-7	1548.00	1515.71	64.67%	34.43%	-0.83	6-5
1997-11-30	St. Louis Rams	L 20-23	1547.17	1367.11	80.78%	18.32%	-15.48	6-6
1997-12-07	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 38-28	1531.69	1389.99	58.81%	40.29%	+14.14	7-6
1997-12-13	@ New York Giants	L 10-30	1545.83	1514.84	43.05%	56.05%	-21.36	7-7
1997-12-21	Philadelphia Eagles	W 35-32	1524.47	1453.78	69.48%	29.62%	+5.71	8-7

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1997-12-27	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 42-17	1637.49	1565.29	70.18%	29.82%	+16.37	1-0
1998-01-04	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 14-10	1653.86	1648.43	39.91%	60.09%	+13.19	2-0
1998-01-11	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-21	1667.05	1590.57	50.00%	50.00%	+9.51	3-0
1998-01-25	@ Green Bay Packers	W 31-24	1676.56	1745.38	40.22%	59.78%	+17.37	4-0
1997-12-28	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-20	1534.95	1521.38	41.04%	58.96%	-14.26	0-1
1998-01-04	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 21-7	1718.88	1535.63	81.69%	18.31%	+7.52	1-0
1998-01-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 23-10	1726.40	1635.58	52.06%	47.94%	+18.98	2-0
1998-01-25	Denver Broncos	L 24-31	1745.38	1676.56	59.78%	40.22%	-17.37	2-1
1997-12-27	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-42	1565.29	1637.49	29.82%	70.18%	-16.37	0-1
1998-01-04	Denver Broncos	L 10-14	1648.43	1653.86	60.09%	39.91%	-13.20	0-1
1997-12-28	@ New England Patriots	L 3-17	1517.50	1580.36	30.96%	69.04%	-12.72	0-1
1997-12-27	@ New York Giants	W 23-22	1506.87	1557.83	32.44%	67.56%	+7.42	1-0
1998-01-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 22-38	1514.29	1624.40	25.46%	74.54%	-11.19	1-1
1997-12-28	Miami Dolphins	W 17-3	1580.36	1517.50	69.04%	30.96%	+12.72	1-0
1998-01-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 6-7	1593.08	1586.16	40.12%	59.88%	-4.41	1-1
1997-12-27	Minnesota Vikings	L 22-23	1557.83	1506.87	67.56%	32.44%	-7.42	0-1
1998-01-03	New England Patriots	W 7-6	1586.16	1593.08	59.88%	40.12%	+4.41	1-0
1998-01-11	Denver Broncos	L 21-24	1590.57	1667.05	50.00%	50.00%	-9.51	1-1
1998-01-03	Minnesota Vikings	W 38-22	1624.40	1514.29	74.54%	25.46%	+11.18	1-0
1998-01-11	Green Bay Packers	L 10-23	1635.58	1726.40	47.94%	52.06%	-18.98	1-1
1997-12-28	Detroit Lions	W 20-10	1521.38	1534.95	58.96%	41.04%	+14.25	1-0
1998-01-04	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-21	1535.63	1718.88	18.31%	81.69%	-7.53	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1997-11-30	18.32%	St. Louis Rams	1367.11	23	@ Washington Redskins	1547.17	20
2	1997-11-16	20.00%	@ Indianapolis Colts	1346.11	41	Green Bay Packers	1660.26	38
3	1997-10-27	21.09%	Chicago Bears	1399.68	36	@ Miami Dolphins	1549.31	33
4	1997-11-30	21.35%	New Orleans Saints	1374.77	16	@ Carolina Panthers	1521.69	13
5	1997-12-07	21.52%	Indianapolis Colts	1346.78	22	@ New York Jets	1491.90	14
6	1997-12-20	23.93%	St. Louis Rams	1388.84	30	@ Carolina Panthers	1510.17	18
7	1997-11-09	25.98%	New Orleans Saints	1367.57	13	@ Oakland Raiders	1469.83	10
8	1997-11-30	27.97%	Atlanta Falcons	1407.88	24	@ Seattle Seahawks	1492.57	17
9	1997-08-31	29.80%	New York Jets	1426.43	41	@ Seattle Seahawks	1495.65	3
10	1997-11-23	30.16%	Arizona Cardinals	1386.89	16	@ Baltimore Ravens	1453.11	13
11	1997-10-26	31.12%	Baltimore Ravens	1467.80	20	@ Washington Redskins	1526.21	17
12	1997-10-12	31.27%	Detroit Lions	1484.14	27	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1541.34	9
13	1997-10-05	31.41%	San Diego Chargers	1465.64	25	@ Oakland Raiders	1521.71	10
14	1997-12-14	32.26%	@ Indianapolis Colts	1371.05	41	Miami Dolphins	1573.29	0
15	1997-12-27 *	32.44%	Minnesota Vikings	1506.87	23	@ New York Giants	1557.83	22
16	1997-12-21	32.72%	@ Seattle Seahawks	1465.33	38	San Francisco 49ers	1663.95	9
17	1997-11-27	32.90%	Tennessee Oilers	1509.62	27	@ Dallas Cowboys	1553.81	14
18	1997-09-21	33.67%	Kansas City Chiefs	1513.15	35	@ Carolina Panthers	1551.32	14
19	1997-09-14	34.17%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1506.51	28	@ Minnesota Vikings	1540.79	14
20	1997-09-14	34.54%	Seattle Seahawks	1425.53	31	@ Indianapolis Colts	1456.98	3
21	1997-10-12	34.55%	Atlanta Falcons	1387.70	23	@ New Orleans Saints	1419.09	17
22	1997-08-31	34.96%	Washington Redskins	1513.54	24	@ Carolina Panthers	1541.73	10
23	1997-11-23	35.00%	@ Chicago Bears	1369.93	13	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1550.86	7
24	1997-11-16	35.67%	Atlanta Falcons	1372.79	27	@ St. Louis Rams	1395.62	21
25	1997-12-08	35.96%	Carolina Panthers	1506.79	23	@ Dallas Cowboys	1527.40	13

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1997-12-14	47.35	@ Indianapolis Colts	41	1371.05	32.26%	Miami Dolphins	0	1573.29	66.84%
2	1997-08-31	47.26	New York Jets	41	1426.43	29.80%	@ Seattle Seahawks	3	1495.65	69.30%
3	1997-12-21	39.55	@ Seattle Seahawks	38	1465.33	32.72%	San Francisco 49ers	9	1663.95	66.38%
4	1997-09-14	37.79	Seattle Seahawks	31	1425.53	34.54%	@ Indianapolis Colts	3	1456.98	64.56%
5	1997-08-31	35.29	Dallas Cowboys	37	1541.72	40.89%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	7	1526.12	58.21%
6	1997-09-21	35.11	Baltimore Ravens	36	1482.54	36.87%	@ Tennessee Oilers	10	1496.37	62.23%
7	1997-09-14	33.87	Detroit Lions	32	1466.40	37.88%	@ Chicago Bears	7	1472.70	61.22%
8	1997-11-16	33.52	Oakland Raiders	38	1455.82	38.52%	@ San Diego Chargers	13	1457.45	60.59%
9	1997-11-30	33.52	@ Kansas City Chiefs	44	1583.47	47.96%	San Francisco 49ers	9	1671.04	51.14%
10	1997-09-21	33.17	Kansas City Chiefs	35	1513.15	33.67%	@ Carolina Panthers	14	1551.32	65.43%
11	1997-10-12	31.84	Detroit Lions	27	1484.14	31.27%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	9	1541.34	67.83%
12	1997-08-31	31.77	Minnesota Vikings	34	1498.73	36.46%	@ Buffalo Bills	13	1515.62	62.64%
13	1997-12-04	30.85	@ Cincinnati Bengals	41	1431.22	45.49%	Tennessee Oilers	14	1536.03	53.61%
14	1997-12-14	30.21	@ New York Jets	31	1467.62	50.13%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0	1540.06	48.97%
15	1997-10-26	29.37	Tennessee Oilers	41	1481.65	48.08%	@ Arizona Cardinals	14	1415.39	51.02%
16	1997-10-05	29.00	San Diego Chargers	25	1465.64	31.41%	@ Oakland Raiders	10	1521.71	67.69%
17	1997-12-20	28.81	St. Louis Rams	30	1388.84	23.93%	@ Carolina Panthers	18	1510.17	75.18%
18	1997-09-28	28.65	New York Jets	31	1458.50	36.30%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	14	1476.56	62.80%
19	1997-11-16	27.34	@ Detroit Lions	38	1474.06	47.63%	Minnesota Vikings	15	1563.91	51.47%
20	1997-09-07	27.33	New England Patriots	31	1562.33	49.77%	@ Indianapolis Colts	6	1484.31	49.33%
21	1997-09-14	26.88	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	28	1506.51	34.17%	@ Minnesota Vikings	14	1540.79	64.93%
22	1997-11-09	26.85	New England Patriots	31	1553.11	46.18%	@ Buffalo Bills	10	1500.07	52.92%
23	1997-09-14	26.85	Carolina Panthers	26	1524.47	43.46%	@ San Diego Chargers	7	1490.56	55.64%
24	1997-08-31	26.55	Washington Redskins	24	1513.54	34.96%	@ Carolina Panthers	10	1541.73	64.14%
25	1997-11-27	26.41	Tennessee Oilers	27	1509.62	32.90%	@ Dallas Cowboys	14	1553.81	66.20%