1996 NFL Season

240 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Green Bay Packers

3rd Super Bowl

Last Title: 1967

Runner-Up

New England Patriots

2nd SB App.

Last Appearance: 1985

Biggest Overachiever

Carolina Panthers

3.91 wins above expected

12 wins · 8.09 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

New Orleans Saints

4.00 wins below expected

3 wins · 7.00 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	10	6	.625	—	344	257	+87	9.89	+0.11
2	Jacksonville Jaguars Playoffs	9	7	.562	1	325	335	-10	6.70	+2.30
3	Houston Oilers	8	8	.500	2	345	319	+26	8.96	-0.96
4	Cincinnati Bengals	8	8	.500	2	372	369	+3	7.22	+0.78
5	Baltimore Ravens	4	12	.250	6	371	441	-70	7.01	-3.01

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	11	5	.688	—	418	313	+105	8.63	+2.37
2	Buffalo Bills Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	319	266	+53	8.71	+1.29
3	Indianapolis Colts Playoffs	9	7	.562	2	317	334	-17	8.15	+0.85
4	Miami Dolphins	8	8	.500	3	339	325	+14	8.75	-0.75
5	New York Jets	1	15	.062	10	279	454	-175	4.92	-3.92

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Denver Broncos Division	13	3	.812	—	391	275	+116	9.63	+3.37
2	Kansas City Chiefs	9	7	.562	4	297	300	-3	9.19	-0.19
3	San Diego Chargers	8	8	.500	5	310	376	-66	7.75	+0.25
4	Seattle Seahawks	7	9	.438	6	317	376	-59	6.66	+0.34
5	Oakland Raiders	7	9	.438	6	340	293	+47	8.06	-1.06

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	13	3	.812	—	456	210	+246	10.61	+2.39
2	Minnesota Vikings Playoffs	9	7	.562	4	298	315	-17	8.50	+0.50
3	Chicago Bears	7	9	.438	6	283	305	-22	7.49	-0.49
4	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6	10	.375	7	221	293	-72	5.73	+0.27
5	Detroit Lions	5	11	.312	8	302	368	-66	7.86	-2.86

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Philadelphia Eagles Division	10	6	.625	—	363	341	+22	9.08	+0.92
2	Dallas Cowboys Playoffs	10	6	.625	—	286	250	+36	9.73	+0.27
3	Washington Redskins	9	7	.562	1	364	312	+52	8.41	+0.59
4	Arizona Cardinals	7	9	.438	3	300	397	-97	6.45	+0.55
5	New York Giants	6	10	.375	4	242	297	-55	7.23	-1.23

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Carolina Panthers Division	12	4	.750	—	367	218	+149	8.09	+3.91
2	San Francisco 49ers Playoffs	12	4	.750	—	398	257	+141	10.71	+1.29
3	St. Louis Rams	6	10	.375	6	303	409	-106	6.55	-0.55
4	Atlanta Falcons	3	13	.188	9	309	461	-152	6.35	-3.35
5	New Orleans Saints	3	13	.188	9	229	339	-110	7.00	-4.00

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Jacksonville Jaguars 30

Buffalo Bills 27

Dec 28

Pittsburgh Steelers 42

Indianapolis Colts 14

Dec 29

Divisional Round

Jacksonville Jaguars 30

Denver Broncos 27

Jan 4

New England Patriots 28

Pittsburgh Steelers 3

Jan 5

Conference Championship

New England Patriots 20

Jacksonville Jaguars 6

Jan 12

NFC

Wild Card Round

Dallas Cowboys 40

Minnesota Vikings 15

Dec 28

San Francisco 49ers 14

Philadelphia Eagles 0

Dec 29

Divisional Round

Green Bay Packers 35

San Francisco 49ers 14

Jan 4

Carolina Panthers 26

Dallas Cowboys 17

Jan 5

Conference Championship

Green Bay Packers 30

Carolina Panthers 13

Jan 12

Super Bowl

Green Bay Packers 35

New England Patriots 21

Jan 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC Central	1714	13	10.61	+2.39	94.89%	2	8	9	11	12	14	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1660	12	10.71	+1.29	84.63%	4	8	10	11	12	14	16
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1627	13	9.63	+3.37	98.72%	3	7	8	10	11	13	16
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1603	10	9.73	+0.27	65.50%	3	7	8	10	11	13	16
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC West	1592	12	8.09	+3.91	99.15%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1584	11	8.63	+2.37	94.14%	2	6	7	9	10	12	15
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC Central	1562	10	9.89	+0.11	62.89%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1554	10	8.71	+1.29	82.78%	1	6	7	9	10	12	15
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1544	10	9.08	+0.92	77.16%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1533	9	8.41	+0.59	71.97%	2	5	7	8	10	12	15
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1531	9	9.19	-0.19	56.05%	2	6	8	9	10	12	15
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1529	7	8.06	-1.06	38.26%	1	5	7	8	9	11	16
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC Central	1514	9	8.50	+0.50	70.35%	1	5	7	8	10	12	16
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC East	1509	9	8.15	+0.85	76.03%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC Central	1504	8	7.22	+0.78	75.89%	1	4	6	7	8	10	14
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1503	8	8.75	-0.75	44.43%	2	6	7	9	10	12	15
Seattle Seahawks	AFC	AFC West	1493	7	6.66	+0.34	67.64%	0	4	5	7	8	10	15
Houston Oilers	AFC	AFC Central	1492	8	8.96	-0.96	40.23%	1	6	8	9	10	12	15
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC Central	1485	7	7.49	-0.49	50.42%	1	4	6	7	9	10	13
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1479	8	7.75	+0.25	65.54%	1	5	6	8	9	11	14
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1455	6	7.23	-1.23	35.46%	1	4	6	7	8	10	14
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC Central	1445	6	5.73	+0.27	67.51%	0	3	4	6	7	9	13
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC Central	1441	9	6.70	+2.30	93.58%	1	4	5	7	8	10	14
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC Central	1429	5	7.86	-2.86	10.42%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC East	1412	7	6.45	+0.55	72.61%	1	3	5	6	8	9	14
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1407	6	6.55	-0.55	49.82%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC Central	1402	4	7.01	-3.01	8.72%	1	4	6	7	8	10	13
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC West	1358	3	6.35	-3.35	5.88%	0	3	5	6	8	9	14
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC West	1346	3	7.00	-4.00	2.82%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1292	1	4.92	-3.92	1.84%	0	2	4	5	6	8	12

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Oilers	Jaguars	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Houston Oilers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.5 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	—	2-2 (1.7 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	—	2-2 (1.9 exp.)
Houston Oilers	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	—	2-2 (2.3 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	—	2-2 (1.9 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	—	2-2 (2.4 exp.)

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Colts	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
New England Patriots	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
New York Jets	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	4-0 (1.7 exp.)	—
Indianapolis Colts	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	—
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-3 (2.2 exp.)	—
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	—
New York Jets	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	—

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers	Seahawks
Denver Broncos	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Denver Broncos	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	—	—
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	4-0 (2.2 exp.)	—	—
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	—	—
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	—	—
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	—	—

Within NFC Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings	Buccaneers
Chicago Bears	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC East	NFC West
Chicago Bears	—	—	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Detroit Lions	—	—	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	—	—	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	—	—	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	—	—	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cardinals	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Arizona Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Washington Redskins	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC West
Arizona Cardinals	—	0-4 (1.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	—	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
New York Giants	—	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	—	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Washington Redskins	—	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	49ers	Rams
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East
Atlanta Falcons	0-4 (1.4 exp.)	—	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	—	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	—	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	4-0 (2.6 exp.)	—	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	—	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	1.04%	1.25%	1.88%	1.67%	0.42%	0.21%	6.46%
7–13	1.04%	2.92%	5.83%	3.75%	2.71%	2.29%	0.62%	19.17%
14–20	1.25%	5.83%	7.08%	6.88%	4.17%	1.04%	0.21%	26.46%
21–27	1.88%	3.75%	6.88%	6.25%	4.58%	0.42%	0.42%	24.17%
28–34	1.67%	2.71%	4.17%	4.58%	1.67%	1.25%	0.21%	16.25%
35–41	0.42%	2.29%	1.04%	0.42%	1.25%	—	0.21%	5.62%
42+	0.21%	0.62%	0.21%	0.42%	0.21%	0.21%	—	1.88%
Total	6.46%	19.17%	26.46%	24.17%	16.25%	5.62%	1.88%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.43	20.43	+0.00
SD	9.63	9.63	14.48
CV	0.47	0.47	—
Max	59	59	+43
Min	0	0	-43

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.75	24.81	-6.06
SD	11.87	9.68	13.14
CV	0.63	0.39	—
Max	37	41	+14
Min	0	9	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	50.00%
21–27	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	31.25%	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.31	28.81	-9.50
SD	7.18	11.57	13.71
CV	0.37	0.40	—
Max	31	59	+16
Min	6	15	-43

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.19	27.56	-4.38
SD	8.02	9.87	8.91
CV	0.35	0.36	—
Max	38	46	+14
Min	13	10	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	43.75%	25.00%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.94	16.62	+3.31
SD	9.57	6.38	11.92
CV	0.48	0.38	—
Max	38	28	+25
Min	6	7	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	25.00%	43.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.94	13.62	+9.31
SD	8.76	7.11	12.59
CV	0.38	0.52	—
Max	45	24	+32
Min	9	0	-11

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	37.50%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.69	19.06	-1.38
SD	8.62	10.00	14.56
CV	0.49	0.52	—
Max	35	37	+26
Min	3	6	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	25.00%	37.50%	31.25%	—	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.25	23.06	+0.19
SD	8.68	6.43	9.28
CV	0.37	0.28	—
Max	41	31	+15
Min	10	13	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.25%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.88	15.62	+2.25
SD	8.42	10.90	13.99
CV	0.47	0.70	—
Max	32	37	+27
Min	6	0	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	31.25%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.44	17.19	+7.25
SD	10.42	9.68	15.55
CV	0.43	0.56	—
Max	45	41	+27
Min	6	6	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	12.50%	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	—	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.88	23.00	-4.12
SD	7.92	9.97	15.26
CV	0.42	0.43	—
Max	35	37	+27
Min	3	0	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	25.00%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.50	13.12	+15.38
SD	10.26	8.23	16.17
CV	0.36	0.63	—
Max	42	30	+35
Min	6	3	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	12.50%	43.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Houston Oilers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.56	19.94	+1.62
SD	8.66	6.98	12.59
CV	0.40	0.35	—
Max	35	31	+25
Min	6	10	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.81	20.88	-1.06
SD	8.22	9.60	12.87
CV	0.41	0.46	—
Max	37	37	+27
Min	9	6	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	18.75%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	43.75%	18.75%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.31	20.94	-0.62
SD	8.34	7.10	9.67
CV	0.41	0.34	—
Max	30	34	+15
Min	3	9	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	43.75%	25.00%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.56	18.75	-0.19
SD	9.00	8.01	13.57
CV	0.48	0.43	—
Max	35	34	+18
Min	7	3	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.19	20.31	+0.88
SD	10.80	9.98	13.97
CV	0.51	0.49	—
Max	38	42	+28
Min	6	7	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	31.25%	31.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.62	19.69	-1.06
SD	8.60	8.93	12.65
CV	0.46	0.45	—
Max	41	42	+24
Min	6	10	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
Total	6.25%	31.25%	6.25%	43.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.12	19.56	+6.56
SD	12.65	10.35	16.84
CV	0.48	0.53	—
Max	46	38	+38
Min	6	0	-26

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	37.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	—	—	56.25%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	31.25%	25.00%	—	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.31	21.19	-6.88
SD	4.99	7.94	9.05
CV	0.35	0.37	—
Max	27	31	+14
Min	7	3	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	18.75%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	—	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.12	18.56	-3.44
SD	9.15	9.82	14.89
CV	0.60	0.53	—
Max	35	31	+28
Min	0	6	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	—	31.25%	43.75%	18.75%	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.44	28.38	-10.94
SD	8.94	6.99	10.66
CV	0.51	0.25	—
Max	31	36	+10
Min	6	13	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.25	18.31	+2.94
SD	8.81	8.84	10.79
CV	0.41	0.48	—
Max	37	40	+21
Min	3	3	-16

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	25.00%	6.25%	18.75%	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.69	21.31	+1.38
SD	7.23	10.57	13.69
CV	0.32	0.50	—
Max	35	39	+24
Min	10	0	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	25.00%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.50	16.06	+5.44
SD	8.35	9.68	14.90
CV	0.39	0.60	—
Max	42	34	+36
Min	9	3	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	—	12.50%	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.38	23.50	-4.12
SD	9.63	10.83	16.68
CV	0.50	0.46	—
Max	40	45	+22
Min	3	7	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	43.75%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.88	16.06	+8.81
SD	9.04	7.07	12.81
CV	0.36	0.44	—
Max	39	30	+34
Min	7	0	-16

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	31.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.81	23.50	-3.69
SD	9.23	7.89	14.65
CV	0.47	0.34	—
Max	42	35	+19
Min	7	13	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.94	25.56	-6.62
SD	14.53	10.95	20.69
CV	0.77	0.43	—
Max	59	45	+43
Min	0	10	-36

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
7–13	—	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	37.50%	25.00%	31.25%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.81	18.31	-4.50
SD	10.07	7.12	14.22
CV	0.73	0.39	—
Max	34	34	+15
Min	0	7	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	37.50%	—	12.50%	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.75	19.50	+3.25
SD	9.59	9.35	13.34
CV	0.42	0.48	—
Max	37	38	+27
Min	10	3	-25

Games Played: 16

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Carolina Panthers	12	8.09	+3.91
2	Denver Broncos	13	9.63	+3.37
3	Green Bay Packers	13	10.61	+2.39
4	New England Patriots	11	8.63	+2.37
5	Jacksonville Jaguars	9	6.70	+2.30

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New Orleans Saints	3	7.00	-4.00
2	New York Jets	1	4.92	-3.92
3	Atlanta Falcons	3	6.35	-3.35
4	Baltimore Ravens	4	7.01	-3.01
5	Detroit Lions	5	7.86	-2.86

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Carolina Panthers	7	Nov 10 – Dec 22	1 in 103
2	Denver Broncos	9	Sep 29 – Dec 1	1 in 88
3	Jacksonville Jaguars	5	Nov 24 – Dec 22	1 in 68
4	Washington Redskins	7	Sep 8 – Oct 27	1 in 61
5	Arizona Cardinals	3	Nov 10 – Nov 24	1 in 22

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New Orleans Saints	7	Oct 20 – Dec 8	1 in 65
2	Atlanta Falcons	8	Sep 1 – Oct 27	1 in 53
3	Minnesota Vikings	4	Oct 13 – Nov 10	1 in 43
4	New York Jets	8	Sep 1 – Oct 20	1 in 40
5	Philadelphia Eagles	3	Nov 10 – Nov 24	1 in 25

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Pittsburgh Steelers	52.39%	26.35%	12.60%	6.49%	2.17%
Houston Oilers	28.80%	31.31%	19.25%	12.87%	7.77%
Cincinnati Bengals	7.61%	16.48%	24.88%	26.73%	24.30%
Baltimore Ravens	6.63%	15.05%	23.15%	26.65%	28.52%
Jacksonville Jaguars	4.57%	10.81%	20.12%	27.26%	37.24%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Buffalo Bills	28.40%	24.89%	22.66%	18.65%	5.40%
Miami Dolphins	27.58%	25.79%	22.54%	18.82%	5.27%
New England Patriots	25.06%	24.72%	24.05%	20.93%	5.24%
Indianapolis Colts	18.30%	22.30%	24.66%	25.47%	9.27%
New York Jets	0.66%	2.30%	6.09%	16.13%	74.82%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Denver Broncos	39.42%	27.07%	17.68%	10.54%	5.29%
Kansas City Chiefs	32.24%	27.20%	19.27%	13.20%	8.09%
Oakland Raiders	13.24%	19.67%	24.52%	23.25%	19.32%
San Diego Chargers	11.00%	17.09%	22.55%	26.59%	22.77%
Seattle Seahawks	4.10%	8.97%	15.98%	26.42%	44.53%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Green Bay Packers	65.48%	21.07%	8.80%	3.73%	0.92%
Minnesota Vikings	16.24%	31.20%	25.84%	18.27%	8.45%
Detroit Lions	9.89%	23.23%	27.70%	24.93%	14.25%
Chicago Bears	7.05%	19.10%	26.19%	29.73%	17.93%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1.34%	5.40%	11.47%	23.34%	58.45%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Dallas Cowboys	44.86%	26.82%	16.24%	8.25%	3.83%
Philadelphia Eagles	28.16%	28.84%	21.52%	14.26%	7.22%
Washington Redskins	16.70%	24.27%	26.90%	20.06%	12.07%
New York Giants	7.31%	12.68%	21.02%	30.74%	28.25%
Arizona Cardinals	2.97%	7.39%	14.32%	26.69%	48.63%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
San Francisco 49ers	73.59%	17.42%	5.79%	2.44%	0.76%
Carolina Panthers	13.23%	33.95%	24.47%	17.72%	10.63%
New Orleans Saints	5.72%	19.28%	25.50%	25.87%	23.63%
St. Louis Rams	4.23%	15.46%	22.91%	26.36%	31.04%
Atlanta Falcons	3.23%	13.89%	21.33%	27.61%	33.94%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Pittsburgh Steelers	20.27%	16.06%	13.47%	10.09%	8.78%	7.33%	5.81%	4.84%	4.02%	2.86%	2.51%	1.79%	1.34%	0.55%	0.28%
Denver Broncos	15.90%	14.29%	12.01%	10.11%	9.27%	8.02%	6.57%	5.61%	5.03%	3.77%	2.98%	2.43%	2.18%	1.25%	0.58%
Kansas City Chiefs	13.42%	11.34%	9.59%	10.15%	9.02%	7.92%	7.47%	5.97%	5.69%	5.59%	4.35%	3.38%	2.96%	2.23%	0.92%
Houston Oilers	10.18%	9.62%	10.04%	9.24%	9.86%	8.85%	7.33%	6.79%	6.08%	5.15%	4.79%	4.16%	3.56%	2.66%	1.69%
Buffalo Bills	8.28%	8.87%	9.50%	8.99%	8.17%	8.37%	8.43%	7.15%	7.17%	6.22%	6.05%	5.04%	3.51%	2.63%	1.62%
Miami Dolphins	8.28%	8.93%	9.46%	8.70%	8.69%	8.39%	7.44%	7.78%	7.44%	6.20%	5.99%	5.23%	3.42%	2.44%	1.61%
New England Patriots	7.13%	7.98%	9.16%	8.32%	8.26%	8.60%	7.83%	8.21%	7.38%	6.79%	6.50%	5.85%	3.86%	2.63%	1.50%
Indianapolis Colts	4.60%	5.91%	6.67%	7.30%	7.41%	7.72%	8.51%	8.00%	7.87%	8.02%	7.99%	7.17%	5.40%	4.45%	2.98%
Oakland Raiders	4.12%	5.06%	5.74%	6.92%	7.00%	7.67%	8.06%	8.76%	8.03%	7.88%	7.54%	7.41%	6.61%	5.36%	3.84%
San Diego Chargers	3.06%	4.28%	4.57%	6.01%	6.23%	6.86%	7.59%	8.04%	8.07%	9.03%	8.23%	8.27%	8.62%	6.97%	4.17%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.67%	2.52%	3.04%	4.25%	4.94%	6.18%	6.93%	7.57%	8.29%	9.13%	9.39%	9.93%	9.93%	9.39%	6.84%
Baltimore Ravens	1.10%	2.07%	2.83%	3.84%	4.78%	5.07%	6.17%	7.83%	7.87%	8.80%	9.43%	10.36%	11.03%	10.29%	8.53%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.88%	1.41%	1.79%	2.61%	3.59%	4.22%	5.23%	6.18%	7.70%	7.93%	9.90%	11.20%	12.57%	13.50%	11.29%
Seattle Seahawks	1.08%	1.47%	1.84%	3.04%	3.32%	3.79%	5.28%	5.58%	6.69%	8.92%	9.21%	10.49%	12.71%	14.71%	11.87%
New York Jets	0.03%	0.19%	0.29%	0.43%	0.68%	1.01%	1.35%	1.69%	2.67%	3.71%	5.14%	7.29%	12.30%	20.94%	42.28%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
San Francisco 49ers	28.98%	22.50%	16.52%	9.57%	6.46%	5.03%	3.17%	2.47%	1.81%	1.19%	0.96%	0.60%	0.43%	0.21%	0.10%
Green Bay Packers	28.74%	20.70%	14.94%	9.99%	7.46%	5.56%	3.80%	2.70%	2.14%	1.40%	1.08%	0.77%	0.37%	0.25%	0.10%
Dallas Cowboys	14.80%	15.49%	14.42%	11.92%	9.54%	7.80%	6.55%	5.24%	3.80%	3.39%	2.27%	1.95%	1.37%	1.01%	0.45%
Philadelphia Eagles	8.22%	10.41%	11.63%	11.50%	9.90%	8.96%	8.21%	6.89%	5.73%	5.44%	4.35%	3.36%	2.54%	1.73%	1.13%
Minnesota Vikings	4.61%	6.16%	8.14%	9.98%	10.88%	8.86%	8.82%	8.66%	7.19%	7.14%	6.11%	5.01%	3.47%	3.10%	1.87%
Washington Redskins	4.84%	6.03%	7.30%	8.85%	9.05%	9.00%	8.78%	9.34%	8.04%	6.85%	6.32%	5.75%	4.10%	3.47%	2.28%
Carolina Panthers	2.84%	4.59%	6.49%	7.18%	9.16%	11.07%	8.75%	8.52%	8.70%	7.52%	6.78%	6.03%	5.39%	4.09%	2.89%
Detroit Lions	2.15%	3.92%	4.93%	7.33%	8.24%	7.94%	9.20%	9.27%	9.29%	8.22%	7.91%	7.06%	5.95%	5.13%	3.46%
Chicago Bears	1.38%	2.74%	3.74%	5.77%	6.71%	7.84%	8.10%	8.26%	9.37%	9.44%	8.92%	8.37%	7.85%	6.40%	5.11%
New York Giants	1.18%	2.35%	3.32%	4.90%	5.10%	5.64%	7.61%	8.03%	8.22%	9.48%	9.72%	9.89%	9.37%	8.68%	6.51%
New Orleans Saints	0.80%	1.70%	2.70%	3.76%	5.14%	6.89%	6.74%	8.04%	8.99%	8.72%	9.21%	9.41%	9.37%	8.82%	9.71%
St. Louis Rams	0.59%	1.03%	1.93%	2.81%	4.24%	5.35%	6.10%	6.70%	8.23%	7.72%	9.21%	10.08%	10.66%	11.80%	13.55%
Atlanta Falcons	0.41%	0.97%	1.49%	2.67%	3.49%	4.22%	5.33%	6.23%	7.56%	8.52%	8.95%	10.85%	11.39%	12.67%	15.25%
Arizona Cardinals	0.30%	1.05%	1.68%	2.42%	2.79%	3.48%	5.38%	5.63%	6.62%	8.27%	9.86%	10.85%	14.13%	13.79%	13.75%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.16%	0.36%	0.77%	1.35%	1.84%	2.36%	3.46%	4.02%	4.31%	6.70%	8.35%	10.02%	13.61%	18.85%	23.84%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
San Francisco 49ers	18.72%	13.09%	11.50%	10.11%	7.21%	6.73%	5.05%	4.48%	3.68%	3.26%	2.37%	2.25%	1.69%	1.76%	1.33%	1.34%	0.94%	0.97%	0.61%	0.60%	0.56%	0.41%	0.38%	0.29%	0.22%	0.16%	0.10%	0.10%	0.07%	0.02%
Green Bay Packers	18.94%	12.03%	10.85%	8.65%	7.46%	6.28%	5.21%	4.74%	3.72%	3.55%	2.67%	2.74%	2.01%	1.97%	1.46%	1.41%	1.13%	1.01%	0.77%	0.79%	0.51%	0.59%	0.43%	0.39%	0.20%	0.21%	0.11%	0.09%	0.06%	0.02%
Pittsburgh Steelers	9.70%	9.59%	7.66%	8.09%	7.23%	7.18%	5.19%	5.39%	4.36%	4.31%	3.93%	3.65%	3.26%	2.75%	2.44%	2.52%	2.01%	1.71%	1.63%	1.36%	1.35%	1.06%	0.93%	0.68%	0.67%	0.63%	0.33%	0.14%	0.15%	0.10%
Dallas Cowboys	8.43%	8.03%	8.31%	6.76%	7.30%	6.19%	6.11%	5.13%	5.08%	4.47%	3.98%	3.62%	3.43%	3.21%	2.59%	2.66%	1.90%	2.08%	1.77%	1.66%	1.34%	1.14%	1.07%	0.99%	0.81%	0.63%	0.47%	0.38%	0.27%	0.19%
Denver Broncos	6.68%	8.28%	6.86%	7.66%	6.48%	6.28%	5.53%	5.01%	4.79%	4.57%	4.38%	4.00%	3.71%	2.90%	3.03%	2.58%	2.85%	2.12%	1.95%	1.70%	1.54%	1.33%	1.38%	0.88%	1.10%	0.77%	0.68%	0.49%	0.23%	0.24%
Kansas City Chiefs	5.56%	6.66%	5.93%	5.61%	5.03%	5.22%	5.45%	5.09%	5.11%	4.10%	4.39%	3.71%	4.22%	3.45%	3.15%	2.98%	3.15%	2.70%	2.88%	2.47%	2.23%	2.04%	1.76%	1.45%	1.43%	1.41%	1.08%	0.97%	0.48%	0.29%
Philadelphia Eagles	4.46%	4.72%	5.58%	4.93%	5.85%	5.33%	5.70%	5.50%	4.58%	4.64%	4.52%	4.55%	4.26%	3.90%	3.56%	3.29%	2.92%	2.60%	2.83%	2.86%	2.17%	2.20%	1.65%	1.94%	1.38%	1.31%	0.98%	0.60%	0.82%	0.37%
Houston Oilers	4.53%	4.89%	4.95%	4.98%	5.36%	5.14%	4.94%	4.85%	4.73%	4.79%	4.64%	4.29%	3.70%	3.71%	3.54%	3.23%	3.31%	2.98%	2.55%	2.65%	2.34%	2.46%	2.12%	2.04%	1.64%	1.62%	1.45%	1.07%	0.79%	0.71%
Miami Dolphins	3.30%	4.25%	4.18%	4.82%	4.85%	4.71%	4.85%	4.37%	4.79%	4.47%	4.41%	3.96%	3.79%	3.97%	4.06%	3.81%	3.77%	3.58%	3.11%	2.99%	2.95%	2.89%	2.40%	2.28%	1.91%	1.71%	1.17%	1.16%	0.89%	0.60%
Buffalo Bills	3.11%	4.33%	4.25%	4.61%	4.86%	4.82%	4.69%	4.70%	4.55%	4.45%	4.60%	4.02%	4.22%	3.86%	3.95%	3.44%	3.59%	3.61%	2.81%	3.32%	3.04%	2.75%	2.50%	2.25%	1.62%	2.00%	1.27%	1.34%	0.80%	0.64%
New England Patriots	2.42%	3.92%	3.62%	4.65%	4.39%	5.06%	4.28%	4.38%	4.23%	4.11%	4.62%	4.50%	4.29%	3.76%	4.47%	3.84%	3.64%	3.42%	3.64%	3.10%	3.33%	2.85%	2.60%	2.62%	2.29%	2.04%	1.45%	1.14%	0.83%	0.51%
Minnesota Vikings	2.45%	2.56%	3.37%	3.16%	4.24%	4.27%	4.70%	4.56%	4.82%	5.10%	4.16%	4.79%	4.25%	4.40%	3.97%	4.71%	3.37%	3.47%	3.66%	3.57%	3.29%	3.10%	2.57%	2.60%	2.05%	1.86%	1.65%	1.57%	1.18%	0.55%
Washington Redskins	2.34%	2.99%	3.21%	3.02%	3.61%	3.65%	4.39%	4.10%	4.39%	4.49%	4.28%	4.36%	4.38%	4.44%	4.13%	4.69%	4.01%	3.95%	3.50%	3.76%	3.02%	3.34%	2.94%	2.87%	2.31%	2.02%	2.00%	1.56%	1.57%	0.68%
Indianapolis Colts	1.66%	2.35%	2.64%	3.44%	3.33%	3.49%	3.83%	3.79%	3.89%	3.84%	3.79%	4.05%	4.26%	4.27%	3.96%	4.06%	4.28%	3.85%	4.26%	3.84%	3.77%	3.93%	3.44%	3.40%	2.57%	2.76%	2.33%	2.19%	1.70%	1.03%
Carolina Panthers	1.43%	1.70%	2.54%	2.63%	3.20%	3.04%	3.39%	3.69%	4.10%	4.36%	4.66%	5.35%	4.06%	4.91%	3.88%	4.58%	3.75%	4.56%	3.74%	4.12%	3.74%	3.48%	3.08%	3.03%	3.12%	2.76%	2.35%	2.16%	1.50%	1.09%
Oakland Raiders	1.38%	2.10%	2.60%	2.85%	2.74%	3.20%	3.49%	3.83%	3.87%	3.54%	3.87%	4.01%	4.16%	4.03%	4.25%	4.77%	4.56%	3.67%	3.86%	3.57%	3.93%	3.55%	3.85%	3.27%	3.24%	2.96%	2.82%	2.33%	2.13%	1.57%
Detroit Lions	0.96%	1.47%	1.79%	2.03%	2.48%	2.92%	2.91%	3.73%	3.93%	4.17%	3.79%	4.21%	4.35%	4.42%	4.44%	4.46%	4.50%	4.50%	4.06%	4.45%	3.83%	4.09%	3.47%	3.60%	3.29%	3.04%	3.04%	2.66%	2.07%	1.34%
San Diego Chargers	0.98%	1.57%	1.98%	2.26%	2.42%	2.49%	2.93%	3.03%	3.43%	3.39%	3.83%	3.46%	4.15%	3.46%	4.61%	3.70%	4.48%	4.20%	4.45%	3.89%	4.27%	4.19%	4.38%	3.88%	4.02%	4.05%	3.33%	3.03%	2.39%	1.75%
Chicago Bears	0.56%	0.78%	1.50%	1.53%	1.78%	2.04%	2.59%	2.96%	3.00%	3.53%	3.64%	3.93%	3.79%	3.94%	4.32%	4.12%	4.39%	4.75%	4.27%	4.85%	4.10%	4.57%	4.38%	4.39%	4.20%	3.95%	3.73%	3.41%	2.91%	2.09%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.46%	0.79%	1.06%	1.30%	1.51%	1.80%	2.11%	2.25%	2.59%	2.73%	3.05%	3.08%	3.47%	3.62%	3.92%	4.03%	4.27%	4.24%	4.33%	4.52%	5.02%	4.65%	5.01%	4.66%	4.86%	4.78%	4.61%	4.36%	3.77%	3.15%
New York Giants	0.49%	0.75%	1.28%	1.11%	1.66%	1.57%	2.31%	2.40%	2.61%	2.48%	3.17%	2.62%	3.37%	3.57%	3.87%	3.99%	4.26%	4.41%	4.19%	5.06%	4.91%	4.72%	4.85%	5.02%	4.69%	4.72%	4.52%	4.53%	3.64%	3.23%
New Orleans Saints	0.33%	0.52%	0.83%	0.91%	1.15%	1.47%	1.80%	2.05%	2.10%	2.81%	2.67%	3.43%	3.19%	4.11%	3.50%	3.90%	3.69%	4.52%	4.70%	4.46%	4.45%	4.62%	4.85%	5.04%	5.19%	4.81%	4.94%	4.21%	5.35%	4.40%
Baltimore Ravens	0.22%	0.62%	0.87%	1.17%	1.15%	1.73%	1.81%	2.06%	2.27%	2.56%	2.58%	2.69%	3.30%	3.24%	3.90%	3.79%	3.96%	4.13%	4.47%	4.24%	5.25%	4.69%	5.21%	5.27%	5.22%	5.32%	5.03%	4.80%	4.36%	4.09%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.16%	0.52%	0.54%	0.88%	0.87%	1.02%	1.06%	1.56%	1.88%	1.95%	2.16%	2.39%	2.81%	2.66%	3.09%	3.21%	3.95%	3.87%	4.28%	3.75%	5.52%	4.45%	5.62%	5.34%	6.36%	5.80%	6.68%	6.15%	5.93%	5.54%
St. Louis Rams	0.21%	0.34%	0.43%	0.65%	0.86%	1.05%	1.14%	1.49%	1.69%	2.27%	2.29%	2.54%	2.65%	3.18%	3.31%	3.22%	3.89%	4.13%	3.86%	4.23%	4.19%	4.67%	5.03%	5.36%	5.51%	5.53%	5.96%	6.70%	7.00%	6.62%
Seattle Seahawks	0.26%	0.50%	0.65%	0.80%	1.02%	1.01%	1.38%	1.68%	1.88%	1.52%	2.19%	1.98%	2.77%	2.55%	3.06%	2.77%	3.74%	3.54%	4.69%	4.13%	4.33%	5.20%	5.10%	5.34%	5.87%	6.41%	6.34%	7.34%	5.71%	6.24%
Atlanta Falcons	0.16%	0.26%	0.41%	0.56%	0.80%	0.76%	1.23%	1.22%	1.38%	1.83%	2.00%	2.09%	2.03%	2.88%	2.84%	3.03%	3.07%	4.25%	3.71%	4.56%	4.12%	4.84%	4.60%	6.31%	5.35%	6.49%	6.55%	7.18%	7.61%	7.88%
Arizona Cardinals	0.07%	0.26%	0.47%	0.55%	0.74%	0.97%	1.13%	1.10%	1.40%	1.40%	1.71%	1.96%	2.35%	2.68%	2.59%	2.77%	3.10%	3.42%	4.23%	4.32%	4.49%	5.23%	5.70%	5.51%	6.94%	6.35%	7.46%	7.11%	7.65%	6.34%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.03%	0.11%	0.12%	0.20%	0.26%	0.44%	0.62%	0.65%	0.74%	0.93%	1.20%	1.20%	1.44%	1.67%	1.74%	2.26%	2.19%	2.37%	2.97%	3.47%	3.92%	4.17%	5.05%	5.36%	6.60%	7.10%	8.82%	9.84%	11.58%	12.95%
New York Jets	—	0.02%	0.02%	0.08%	0.16%	0.14%	0.18%	0.21%	0.41%	0.38%	0.45%	0.57%	0.64%	0.73%	1.04%	0.84%	1.33%	1.39%	2.22%	1.71%	2.49%	2.79%	3.65%	3.94%	5.34%	6.80%	8.75%	11.39%	16.56%	25.77%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Pittsburgh Steelers	20.27%	16.92%	15.20%	8.74%	8.05%	6.99%	23.83%
Denver Broncos	15.90%	13.67%	9.85%	11.87%	9.98%	8.29%	30.44%
Kansas City Chiefs	13.42%	10.80%	8.02%	11.46%	9.65%	8.04%	38.61%
Houston Oilers	10.18%	9.31%	9.31%	10.46%	9.77%	8.85%	42.12%
Miami Dolphins	8.28%	9.22%	10.08%	8.11%	8.66%	8.12%	47.53%
Buffalo Bills	8.28%	9.41%	10.71%	7.80%	7.83%	8.28%	47.69%
New England Patriots	7.13%	8.10%	9.83%	7.99%	7.94%	8.49%	50.52%
Indianapolis Colts	4.60%	6.05%	7.65%	6.79%	6.99%	7.62%	60.30%
Oakland Raiders	4.12%	4.69%	4.43%	7.70%	7.60%	7.78%	63.68%
San Diego Chargers	3.06%	4.16%	3.78%	6.14%	6.52%	7.24%	69.10%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.67%	2.58%	3.36%	3.90%	4.82%	6.23%	77.44%
Baltimore Ravens	1.10%	2.13%	3.40%	3.55%	4.54%	4.98%	80.30%
Seattle Seahawks	1.08%	1.36%	1.66%	2.92%	3.50%	3.89%	85.59%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.88%	1.41%	2.28%	2.23%	3.46%	4.25%	85.49%
New York Jets	0.03%	0.19%	0.44%	0.34%	0.69%	0.95%	97.36%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
San Francisco 49ers	28.98%	23.67%	20.94%	6.05%	5.14%	4.45%	10.77%
Green Bay Packers	28.74%	21.21%	15.53%	9.31%	7.27%	5.45%	12.49%
Dallas Cowboys	14.80%	15.34%	14.72%	12.01%	9.26%	7.89%	25.98%
Philadelphia Eagles	8.22%	9.85%	10.09%	12.85%	10.35%	9.18%	39.46%
Washington Redskins	4.84%	6.00%	5.86%	9.74%	9.27%	9.28%	55.01%
Minnesota Vikings	4.61%	5.64%	5.99%	12.04%	11.30%	9.06%	51.36%
Carolina Panthers	2.84%	4.34%	6.05%	7.86%	9.36%	10.90%	58.65%
Detroit Lions	2.15%	3.62%	4.12%	7.93%	8.56%	8.12%	65.50%
Chicago Bears	1.38%	2.55%	3.12%	6.07%	7.02%	7.93%	71.93%
New York Giants	1.18%	2.44%	3.69%	4.24%	5.20%	5.65%	77.60%
New Orleans Saints	0.80%	1.86%	3.06%	3.48%	5.04%	6.79%	78.97%
St. Louis Rams	0.59%	1.03%	2.61%	2.51%	3.96%	5.27%	84.03%
Atlanta Falcons	0.41%	1.02%	1.80%	2.41%	3.49%	4.13%	86.74%
Arizona Cardinals	0.30%	1.03%	1.64%	2.28%	2.90%	3.50%	88.35%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.16%	0.40%	0.78%	1.22%	1.88%	2.40%	93.16%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Green Bay Packers	78.66%	78.66%	54.96%	35.80%	24.30%
San Francisco 49ers	79.14%	79.14%	51.12%	29.06%	18.22%
Denver Broncos	55.71%	55.71%	35.68%	21.98%	10.66%
Dallas Cowboys	57.62%	57.62%	29.87%	13.50%	7.45%
Pittsburgh Steelers	59.56%	59.56%	33.21%	17.57%	6.88%
New England Patriots	35.49%	35.49%	19.43%	10.24%	4.04%
Buffalo Bills	36.59%	36.59%	19.13%	9.57%	3.88%
Kansas City Chiefs	42.89%	42.89%	20.96%	10.00%	3.84%
Philadelphia Eagles	42.47%	40.18%	16.90%	6.09%	3.05%
Carolina Panthers	34.17%	25.56%	10.85%	4.60%	2.62%
Houston Oilers	38.39%	36.53%	15.51%	6.77%	2.42%
Miami Dolphins	34.97%	33.85%	15.22%	6.76%	2.25%
Washington Redskins	34.15%	26.95%	10.36%	3.51%	1.86%
Minnesota Vikings	38.39%	28.03%	9.35%	3.34%	1.62%
Indianapolis Colts	29.05%	24.76%	11.01%	4.90%	1.60%
Oakland Raiders	27.51%	22.02%	9.80%	4.44%	1.41%
San Diego Chargers	23.68%	17.29%	6.95%	2.89%	0.90%
Cincinnati Bengals	18.31%	12.17%	5.08%	2.18%	0.71%
Chicago Bears	24.14%	13.67%	4.20%	1.19%	0.64%
Seattle Seahawks	11.97%	7.37%	2.98%	1.23%	0.31%
Detroit Lions	28.73%	15.30%	4.08%	1.05%	0.29%
New York Giants	18.78%	10.61%	2.95%	0.78%	0.29%
Jacksonville Jaguars	12.22%	6.58%	2.13%	0.81%	0.28%
Baltimore Ravens	16.47%	8.45%	2.74%	0.65%	0.13%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6.28%	2.82%	0.82%	0.22%	0.09%
St. Louis Rams	14.35%	5.71%	1.27%	0.25%	0.08%
New Orleans Saints	18.37%	7.00%	1.40%	0.25%	0.07%
Arizona Cardinals	10.32%	4.59%	1.01%	0.22%	0.07%
Atlanta Falcons	11.83%	4.16%	0.86%	0.14%	0.04%
New York Jets	2.42%	0.74%	0.17%	0.01%	—

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Baltimore Ravens		0.44%	0.23%	0.39%	0.38%	0.35%	0.15%	0.63%	0.50%	0.36%	0.01%	0.37%	0.57%	0.53%	0.31%
Buffalo Bills	1.16%		0.94%	1.39%	2.36%	1.44%	0.76%	2.17%	1.85%	1.59%	0.18%	1.48%	1.60%	1.32%	0.66%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.30%	0.61%		0.77%	0.84%	0.70%	0.26%	0.87%	0.79%	0.44%	0.08%	0.61%	0.73%	0.55%	0.37%
Denver Broncos	1.34%	2.27%	1.50%		3.04%	2.00%	1.10%	2.50%	2.72%	2.43%	0.21%	1.97%	2.41%	1.81%	0.84%
Houston Oilers	0.88%	1.43%	0.83%	1.44%		1.61%	0.58%	1.80%	1.80%	1.10%	0.20%	1.48%	1.90%	1.34%	0.65%
Indianapolis Colts	0.77%	1.07%	0.67%	1.14%	1.70%		0.55%	1.30%	1.34%	1.18%	0.13%	1.20%	1.23%	1.26%	0.57%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.20%	0.38%	0.08%	0.37%	0.44%	0.46%		0.44%	0.41%	0.20%	0.06%	0.35%	0.35%	0.39%	0.16%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.21%	1.78%	1.06%	1.39%	2.27%	1.58%	0.84%		1.94%	1.67%	0.11%	1.32%	1.99%	1.00%	0.51%
Miami Dolphins	1.10%	1.29%	1.01%	1.40%	1.54%	1.34%	0.77%	1.83%		1.18%	0.16%	1.27%	1.35%	1.38%	0.73%
New England Patriots	1.04%	1.71%	1.15%	1.66%	2.54%	1.59%	0.76%	2.20%	2.07%		0.16%	1.39%	1.87%	1.28%	0.84%
New York Jets	0.05%	0.05%	0.03%	0.07%	0.07%	0.01%	0.02%	0.05%	0.04%			0.02%	0.02%	0.06%	0.03%
Oakland Raiders	0.81%	1.33%	0.78%	1.08%	1.51%	1.00%	0.54%	1.26%	1.41%	1.01%	0.16%		1.20%	0.69%	0.43%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.33%	2.04%	1.27%	1.78%	2.63%	1.63%	0.90%	2.37%	2.13%	1.61%	0.23%	1.97%		1.73%	0.75%
San Diego Chargers	0.73%	0.94%	0.52%	0.66%	1.46%	0.80%	0.46%	0.74%	1.11%	0.84%	0.12%	0.59%	0.91%		0.19%
Seattle Seahawks	0.33%	0.38%	0.32%	0.31%	0.57%	0.43%	0.24%	0.34%	0.51%	0.38%	0.09%	0.28%	0.48%	0.27%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		0.17%	0.24%	0.29%	0.33%	0.48%	0.10%	0.39%	0.24%	0.10%	0.26%	0.16%	0.20%	0.04%	0.26%
Atlanta Falcons	0.11%		0.08%	0.14%	0.28%	0.35%	0.10%	0.27%	0.12%	0.19%	0.39%	0.20%	0.09%	0.07%	0.34%
Carolina Panthers	0.62%	0.35%		1.37%	1.92%	1.86%	1.26%	2.03%	0.91%	1.09%	2.62%	1.64%	0.56%	0.33%	1.82%
Chicago Bears	0.43%	0.67%	0.78%		0.98%	0.72%	0.37%	0.79%	0.72%	0.72%	1.40%	0.53%	0.49%	0.13%	1.01%
Dallas Cowboys	0.98%	1.26%	2.41%	2.34%		2.78%	1.55%	3.78%	2.06%	1.55%	2.85%	1.27%	1.35%	0.64%	2.66%
Detroit Lions	0.43%	0.53%	0.84%	0.44%	0.94%		0.53%	0.87%	0.83%	0.67%	1.13%	0.63%	0.66%	0.12%	0.91%
Green Bay Packers	1.04%	1.14%	2.49%	2.20%	2.61%	2.58%		2.96%	1.93%	1.90%	3.23%	1.42%	1.47%	0.76%	2.98%
Minnesota Vikings	0.90%	0.92%	1.65%	0.94%	1.91%	1.38%	0.73%		1.46%	1.28%	2.46%	1.00%	1.15%	0.19%	1.81%
New Orleans Saints	0.15%	0.14%	0.20%	0.24%	0.44%	0.60%	0.19%	0.57%		0.27%	0.47%	0.37%	0.18%	0.07%	0.45%
New York Giants	0.16%	0.44%	0.53%	0.59%	0.65%	0.84%	0.31%	0.85%	0.55%		0.53%	0.49%	0.39%	0.17%	0.49%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.65%	1.13%	2.00%	1.80%	2.25%	2.67%	1.22%	2.95%	1.59%	1.11%		0.92%	1.28%	0.63%	1.91%
San Francisco 49ers	0.96%	1.29%	2.91%	2.20%	1.89%	2.39%	1.10%	2.58%	2.06%	1.46%	2.73%		1.62%	0.50%	2.80%
St. Louis Rams	0.16%	0.11%	0.18%	0.32%	0.44%	0.47%	0.17%	0.51%	0.25%	0.30%	0.35%	0.39%		0.07%	0.37%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.09%	0.13%	0.14%	0.11%	0.27%	0.19%	0.17%	0.14%	0.14%	0.23%	0.18%	0.13%	0.11%		0.23%
Washington Redskins	0.38%	0.82%	1.34%	1.42%	1.49%	1.89%	1.05%	1.92%	1.17%	0.92%	1.76%	0.94%	0.71%	0.30%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Baltimore Ravens		0.29%	0.05%	0.24%	0.24%	0.21%	0.03%	0.37%	0.24%	0.39%	0.01%	0.17%	0.34%	0.11%	0.05%
Buffalo Bills	0.70%		0.66%	2.20%	2.17%	1.10%	0.48%	2.26%	1.87%	1.52%	0.03%	1.28%	3.11%	1.26%	0.49%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.14%	0.43%		0.68%	0.49%	0.31%	0.05%	0.62%	0.56%	0.40%	0.01%	0.36%	0.63%	0.31%	0.09%
Denver Broncos	0.94%	3.62%	1.13%		4.17%	2.73%	0.78%	5.35%	3.55%	2.88%	0.05%	2.43%	5.34%	1.81%	0.90%
Houston Oilers	0.40%	1.44%	0.46%	1.87%		1.15%	0.26%	1.53%	1.94%	1.35%	0.07%	1.02%	2.72%	1.01%	0.29%
Indianapolis Colts	0.37%	0.74%	0.48%	1.28%	1.21%		0.28%	1.30%	0.94%	0.94%	0.03%	0.80%	1.90%	0.53%	0.21%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.02%	0.22%	0.04%	0.27%	0.17%	0.16%		0.20%	0.20%	0.23%		0.11%	0.31%	0.13%	0.07%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.64%	1.97%	0.77%	3.21%	2.18%	1.49%	0.49%		2.16%	1.97%	0.07%	1.38%	3.09%	1.07%	0.47%
Miami Dolphins	0.45%	1.39%	0.66%	1.86%	1.65%	0.98%	0.36%	2.06%		1.25%	0.02%	0.98%	2.46%	0.79%	0.31%
New England Patriots	0.57%	1.64%	0.86%	2.05%	2.12%	1.31%	0.52%	2.31%	2.16%		0.02%	1.19%	3.22%	1.02%	0.44%
New York Jets	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%		0.04%	0.01%		0.02%	0.02%	0.01%			0.04%
Oakland Raiders	0.25%	1.02%	0.37%	1.13%	1.03%	0.73%	0.18%	1.11%	0.84%	0.79%	0.04%		1.76%	0.38%	0.17%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.98%	3.66%	1.27%	4.16%	4.32%	2.90%	0.79%	3.77%	3.20%	3.27%	0.15%	2.11%		1.80%	0.83%
San Diego Chargers	0.20%	0.68%	0.21%	0.64%	0.89%	0.48%	0.16%	0.78%	0.68%	0.76%	0.05%	0.26%	1.09%		0.07%
Seattle Seahawks	0.04%	0.35%	0.12%	0.44%	0.34%	0.19%	0.07%	0.25%	0.27%	0.30%	0.02%	0.13%	0.34%	0.12%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		0.07%	0.11%	0.06%	0.10%	0.10%	0.13%	0.05%	0.04%	0.01%	0.06%	0.15%		0.02%	0.11%
Atlanta Falcons			0.03%	0.05%	0.14%	0.01%	0.12%	0.03%	0.01%	0.06%	0.11%	0.15%		0.04%	0.11%
Carolina Panthers	0.15%	0.09%		0.52%	1.76%	0.45%	1.85%	0.81%	0.14%	0.36%	1.32%	2.40%	0.10%	0.05%	0.85%
Chicago Bears	0.07%	0.08%	0.22%		0.62%	0.16%	0.73%	0.25%	0.11%	0.19%	0.65%	0.75%	0.07%	0.02%	0.28%
Dallas Cowboys	0.32%	0.50%	2.44%	1.38%		2.05%	5.31%	2.71%	0.78%	0.96%	3.92%	5.70%	0.72%	0.41%	2.67%
Detroit Lions	0.07%	0.12%	0.27%	0.12%	0.75%		0.55%	0.35%	0.13%	0.06%	0.50%	0.61%	0.15%	0.01%	0.39%
Green Bay Packers	1.11%	1.06%	4.42%	2.80%	8.84%	3.15%		5.99%	1.68%	2.34%	6.82%	9.71%	1.31%	0.48%	5.25%
Minnesota Vikings	0.14%	0.10%	0.51%	0.16%	1.48%	0.37%	1.98%		0.29%	0.31%	1.22%	1.85%	0.21%	0.02%	0.71%
New Orleans Saints	0.05%	0.03%	0.07%	0.03%	0.24%	0.06%	0.25%	0.11%		0.05%	0.14%	0.25%	0.03%	0.01%	0.08%
New York Giants	0.03%	0.09%	0.32%	0.11%	0.32%	0.15%	0.49%	0.30%	0.07%		0.30%	0.54%	0.08%	0.03%	0.12%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.23%	0.32%	1.10%	0.86%	2.74%	1.06%	2.72%	1.60%	0.47%	0.42%		3.49%	0.39%	0.18%	1.32%
San Francisco 49ers	1.25%	0.62%	4.36%	2.75%	8.82%	2.97%	7.75%	5.25%	1.46%	2.54%	6.97%		1.13%	0.66%	4.59%
St. Louis Rams	0.05%		0.01%	0.08%	0.27%	0.05%	0.13%	0.17%	0.03%	0.04%	0.14%	0.23%		0.02%	0.05%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.01%	0.05%	0.07%	0.02%	0.07%	0.02%	0.16%	0.06%	0.04%	0.02%	0.10%	0.14%			0.06%
Washington Redskins	0.10%	0.17%	0.78%	0.53%	1.60%	0.62%	1.53%	1.00%	0.35%	0.30%	1.03%	2.05%	0.25%	0.05%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Baltimore Ravens		0.08%	0.02%	0.11%	0.01%		0.02%	0.08%	0.09%	0.06%		0.03%	0.06%	0.05%	0.04%
Buffalo Bills	0.33%		0.37%	1.99%	0.98%	0.37%	0.12%	1.28%	0.45%	0.52%	0.02%	0.56%	1.78%	0.55%	0.25%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.02%	0.26%		0.44%	0.11%	0.16%	0.05%	0.25%	0.27%	0.19%		0.14%	0.15%	0.10%	0.04%
Denver Broncos	0.48%	2.84%	0.61%		2.41%	1.62%	0.37%	1.83%	2.25%	2.92%	0.02%	0.95%	4.83%	0.64%	0.21%
Houston Oilers	0.13%	0.73%	0.06%	1.16%		0.60%	0.07%	1.04%	0.77%	0.64%	0.02%	0.47%	0.62%	0.36%	0.10%
Indianapolis Colts	0.09%	0.29%	0.14%	1.01%	0.54%		0.07%	0.55%	0.28%	0.27%		0.35%	0.96%	0.23%	0.12%
Jacksonville Jaguars		0.14%	0.01%	0.09%	0.05%	0.08%		0.12%	0.07%	0.06%		0.07%	0.07%	0.04%	0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.28%	1.20%	0.41%	1.01%	1.08%	0.80%	0.19%		1.23%	1.26%	0.04%	0.24%	1.93%	0.26%	0.07%
Miami Dolphins	0.14%	0.35%	0.22%	1.49%	0.64%	0.23%	0.09%	0.93%		0.39%	0.03%	0.40%	1.39%	0.34%	0.12%
New England Patriots	0.20%	0.71%	0.40%	2.09%	1.05%	0.38%	0.08%	1.46%	0.48%			0.83%	1.94%	0.42%	0.20%
New York Jets													0.01%
Oakland Raiders	0.08%	0.53%	0.16%	0.41%	0.47%	0.37%	0.05%	0.35%	0.34%	0.40%	0.01%		1.10%	0.13%	0.04%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.21%	2.03%	0.33%	3.59%	0.85%	1.20%	0.17%	2.76%	1.74%	2.14%	0.01%	1.14%		0.92%	0.48%
San Diego Chargers	0.08%	0.30%	0.13%	0.25%	0.42%	0.20%	0.03%	0.23%	0.33%	0.20%	0.01%	0.13%	0.51%		0.07%
Seattle Seahawks	0.05%	0.10%	0.04%	0.06%	0.13%	0.10%	0.01%	0.08%	0.16%	0.14%		0.05%	0.29%	0.02%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals				0.01%	0.04%	0.02%	0.08%	0.01%		0.01%		0.04%	0.01%
Atlanta Falcons			0.02%		0.01%	0.01%	0.04%				0.03%	0.02%			0.01%
Carolina Panthers	0.03%	0.03%		0.16%	0.90%	0.20%	1.13%	0.29%	0.03%	0.10%	0.51%	0.93%	0.01%	0.04%	0.24%
Chicago Bears	0.02%		0.09%		0.19%	0.04%	0.16%	0.05%		0.02%	0.21%	0.27%	0.03%		0.11%
Dallas Cowboys	0.05%	0.10%	1.18%	0.45%		0.55%	3.92%	1.03%	0.18%	0.11%	0.95%	4.03%	0.18%	0.13%	0.64%
Detroit Lions	0.01%		0.06%	0.03%	0.23%		0.17%	0.04%		0.05%	0.12%	0.27%			0.07%
Green Bay Packers	0.39%	0.35%	2.61%	0.71%	7.10%	0.65%		1.65%	0.51%	0.92%	4.56%	12.61%	0.40%	0.13%	3.21%
Minnesota Vikings	0.04%	0.06%	0.29%	0.09%	0.69%	0.05%	0.63%		0.05%	0.08%	0.34%	0.85%	0.03%		0.14%
New Orleans Saints	0.01%			0.01%	0.06%		0.06%			0.02%	0.03%	0.01%		0.01%	0.04%
New York Giants		0.01%	0.01%	0.06%	0.07%	0.04%	0.16%	0.05%	0.01%		0.06%	0.24%	0.02%	0.01%	0.04%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.03%	0.02%	0.41%	0.19%	0.63%	0.22%	1.70%	0.44%	0.09%	0.11%		1.73%	0.10%	0.08%	0.34%
San Francisco 49ers	0.21%	0.12%	1.29%	1.20%	6.06%	1.09%	9.99%	2.12%	0.21%	0.70%	3.68%		0.20%	0.19%	2.00%
St. Louis Rams			0.01%	0.02%	0.07%	0.02%	0.05%	0.01%			0.03%	0.03%			0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers					0.04%	0.01%	0.06%	0.02%			0.05%	0.02%	0.02%
Washington Redskins		0.03%	0.28%	0.08%	0.28%	0.13%	1.01%	0.30%	0.07%	0.05%	0.24%	1.01%	0.02%	0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Cincinnati Bengals	Dallas Cowboys	Denver Broncos	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	Minnesota Vikings	New England Patriots	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals									0.01%			0.01%			0.01%	0.01%		0.03%
Atlanta Falcons									0.01%						0.01%			0.01%						0.01%
Baltimore Ravens								0.06%			0.03%						0.01%									0.03%
Buffalo Bills	0.02%	0.01%			0.23%	0.05%		0.68%		0.06%	1.07%						0.17%		0.03%	0.08%			0.33%			0.99%		0.01%	0.02%	0.13%
Carolina Panthers			0.04%	0.24%			0.09%		0.46%			0.17%	0.07%	0.04%	0.29%	0.24%		0.23%				0.08%		0.52%	0.13%		0.02%
Chicago Bears				0.04%			0.01%		0.09%			0.06%	0.02%		0.04%	0.08%		0.07%				0.03%		0.14%	0.05%		0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals					0.02%	0.02%		0.14%		0.01%	0.16%						0.04%						0.07%			0.23%				0.02%
Dallas Cowboys			0.11%	0.72%			0.23%		1.30%			0.69%	0.43%	0.09%	0.75%	0.46%		0.66%			0.01%	0.36%		1.26%	0.27%		0.11%
Denver Broncos	0.01%	0.01%			0.48%	0.13%		1.68%		0.23%	3.12%						0.39%		0.03%	0.14%			0.76%			3.11%		0.03%	0.01%	0.53%
Detroit Lions				0.04%					0.05%			0.02%	0.02%	0.01%	0.04%	0.03%						0.01%		0.06%	0.01%
Green Bay Packers			0.14%	2.11%			0.54%		4.73%			1.65%	1.45%	0.20%	2.37%	1.80%		2.60%				1.27%		4.36%	0.72%		0.36%
Houston Oilers	0.03%				0.11%	0.03%		0.32%		0.05%	0.68%						0.10%		0.02%	0.02%			0.21%			0.71%		0.01%		0.13%
Indianapolis Colts	0.01%	0.01%			0.09%	0.03%		0.22%		0.02%	0.46%						0.09%		0.01%	0.02%			0.15%			0.40%		0.02%	0.03%	0.04%
Jacksonville Jaguars								0.06%			0.06%						0.04%			0.01%			0.03%			0.04%		0.01%		0.03%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.02%				0.24%	0.05%		0.66%		0.08%	0.87%						0.12%		0.01%	0.05%			0.32%			1.15%		0.01%	0.02%	0.24%
Miami Dolphins	0.01%	0.01%			0.14%	0.05%		0.43%		0.03%	0.57%						0.09%		0.02%	0.02%			0.20%			0.50%		0.04%		0.14%
Minnesota Vikings			0.05%	0.21%			0.03%		0.31%			0.13%	0.11%		0.09%	0.17%		0.10%				0.04%		0.26%	0.09%		0.03%
New England Patriots	0.01%	0.01%			0.15%	0.04%		0.47%		0.08%	1.49%						0.20%		0.03%	0.03%			0.24%			1.14%		0.01%	0.03%	0.11%
New Orleans Saints				0.01%					0.01%						0.01%	0.01%								0.03%
New York Giants				0.01%					0.03%			0.02%	0.01%		0.06%	0.02%		0.03%						0.08%	0.02%		0.01%
Oakland Raiders					0.06%	0.01%		0.23%		0.05%	0.43%						0.04%						0.08%			0.46%			0.01%	0.04%
Philadelphia Eagles			0.05%	0.30%			0.04%		0.51%			0.20%	0.11%	0.04%	0.33%	0.21%		0.36%				0.17%		0.57%	0.08%		0.08%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.04%	0.04%			0.37%	0.11%		0.98%		0.13%	2.20%						0.40%		0.02%	0.11%			0.47%			1.79%		0.03%		0.19%
San Diego Chargers		0.01%			0.05%	0.02%		0.08%		0.01%	0.27%						0.02%		0.01%	0.01%			0.15%			0.24%				0.03%
San Francisco 49ers			0.13%	1.87%			0.46%		3.47%			1.25%	0.99%	0.13%	1.88%	1.35%		1.86%				0.92%		3.03%	0.59%		0.29%
Seattle Seahawks					0.04%	0.01%		0.04%		0.01%	0.09%						0.01%						0.03%			0.05%			0.01%	0.02%
St. Louis Rams									0.01%			0.01%						0.01%				0.02%		0.03%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers				0.01%			0.01%		0.02%						0.02%			0.01%						0.02%
Washington Redskins				0.13%			0.06%		0.31%			0.14%	0.09%	0.02%	0.26%	0.13%		0.23%				0.13%		0.32%	0.03%		0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Green Bay Packers	100.00%	74.22%	54.24%	34.67%	Won Super Bowl
Denver Broncos	100.00%	73.30%	49.24%	21.17%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
New England Patriots	100.00%	65.84%	27.91%	10.78%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Carolina Panthers	100.00%	57.80%	19.41%	9.67%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
San Francisco 49ers	76.60%	27.64%	12.59%	7.96%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Dallas Cowboys	72.28%	29.76%	10.50%	5.85%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Pittsburgh Steelers	69.39%	24.82%	10.03%	3.78%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Buffalo Bills	75.30%	23.59%	8.88%	3.45%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Philadelphia Eagles	23.40%	5.55%	1.76%	0.91%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Indianapolis Colts	30.61%	7.85%	2.74%	0.86%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Minnesota Vikings	27.72%	5.03%	1.50%	0.59%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Jacksonville Jaguars	24.70%	4.60%	1.20%	0.31%	Eliminated in Conference Championship

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills			75.30%
Indianapolis Colts				30.61%
Jacksonville Jaguars	24.70%
Pittsburgh Steelers		69.39%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Minnesota Vikings	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers
Dallas Cowboys		72.28%
Minnesota Vikings	27.72%
Philadelphia Eagles				23.40%
San Francisco 49ers			76.60%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills		15.64%			7.95%
Denver Broncos	36.56%		22.76%	13.98%
Indianapolis Colts		7.85%
Jacksonville Jaguars		3.21%			1.39%
New England Patriots	15.15%			6.12%		44.57%
Pittsburgh Steelers					24.82%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Carolina Panthers	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers
Carolina Panthers		42.52%			4.48%	10.80%
Dallas Cowboys	29.76%
Green Bay Packers				22.69%	13.37%	38.16%
Minnesota Vikings			5.03%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.15%		3.40%
San Francisco 49ers	10.29%		17.35%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills		1.77%	1.21%		3.63%	2.27%
Denver Broncos	4.44%			0.81%	31.73%	12.26%
Indianapolis Colts	0.53%			0.20%	2.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars		0.22%	0.16%		0.56%	0.26%
New England Patriots	6.61%	15.88%	3.74%	1.68%
Pittsburgh Steelers	3.13%	6.19%		0.71%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Carolina Panthers	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers
Carolina Panthers			10.87%	1.78%	1.28%	5.48%
Dallas Cowboys			5.70%		1.04%	3.76%
Green Bay Packers	32.08%	15.47%			1.35%	5.34%
Minnesota Vikings	0.91%				0.12%	0.47%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.65%	0.43%	0.42%	0.26%
San Francisco 49ers	4.75%	3.36%	2.99%	1.49%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Carolina Panthers	Dallas Cowboys	Denver Broncos	Green Bay Packers	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Minnesota Vikings	New England Patriots	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Francisco 49ers
Buffalo Bills		0.88%	0.42%		1.70%			0.10%		0.08%		0.27%
Carolina Panthers	0.87%			4.29%		0.38%	0.16%		2.87%		1.10%
Dallas Cowboys	0.61%			2.74%		0.14%	0.09%		1.75%		0.52%
Denver Broncos		4.96%	2.58%		10.34%			0.41%		0.43%		2.45%
Green Bay Packers	3.27%			16.73%		1.09%	0.49%		9.68%		3.41%
Indianapolis Colts		0.24%	0.07%		0.46%			0.02%		0.01%		0.06%
Jacksonville Jaguars		0.09%	0.03%		0.14%			0.02%				0.03%
Minnesota Vikings	0.08%			0.26%		0.02%			0.16%		0.07%
New England Patriots		2.69%	1.12%		5.09%			0.30%		0.24%		1.34%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.06%			0.41%		0.04%	0.02%		0.29%		0.09%
Pittsburgh Steelers		0.88%	0.43%		1.84%			0.06%		0.09%		0.48%
San Francisco 49ers	0.54%			3.64%		0.21%	0.13%		2.38%		1.06%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Green Bay Packers 34.67% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

51.41%

Win Prob

68.74%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

59.14%

Win Prob

74.69%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

48.25%

Win Prob

61.80%

Denver Broncos 21.17% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

49.88%

Win Prob

70.04%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

64.44%

Win Prob

66.65%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

48.84%

Win Prob

38.20%

New England Patriots 10.78% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

67.69%

Win Prob

64.23%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

56.90%

Win Prob

33.35%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

47.22%

Win Prob

34.46%

Carolina Panthers 9.67% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

73.56%

Win Prob

58.83%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

56.00%

Win Prob

25.31%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

44.36%

Win Prob

46.38%

San Francisco 49ers 7.96% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

76.60%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

62.77%

Win Prob

31.26%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

37.73%

Win Prob

46.43%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

45.73%

Win Prob

59.77%

Dallas Cowboys 5.85% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

72.28%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

41.17%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

54.29%

Win Prob

26.92%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

46.84%

Win Prob

51.50%

Pittsburgh Steelers 3.78% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

69.39%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

35.77%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

61.71%

Win Prob

33.55%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

48.68%

Win Prob

35.05%

Buffalo Bills 3.45% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

75.30%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

66.30%

Win Prob

29.96%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

40.88%

Win Prob

35.45%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

49.28%

Win Prob

34.21%

Philadelphia Eagles 0.91% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

23.40%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

61.26%

Win Prob

20.27%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

36.93%

Win Prob

33.68%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

45.05%

Win Prob

48.81%

Indianapolis Colts 0.86% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

30.61%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

25.65%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

73.36%

Win Prob

34.96%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

53.49%

Win Prob

29.68%

Minnesota Vikings 0.59% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

27.72%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

18.15%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

60.67%

Win Prob

33.83%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

44.07%

Win Prob

38.81%

Jacksonville Jaguars 0.31% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

24.70%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

69.78%

Win Prob

18.67%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

46.67%

Win Prob

25.00%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

45.16%

Win Prob

22.22%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1996-09-01	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 13-20	1450.89	1516.37	29.43%	70.35%	-8.78	0-1
1996-09-08	Miami Dolphins	L 10-38	1442.11	1540.38	48.08%	51.70%	-28.66	0-2
1996-09-15	@ New England Patriots	L 0-31	1413.45	1461.87	31.51%	68.27%	-19.78	0-3
1996-09-22	@ New Orleans Saints	W 28-14	1393.67	1450.39	30.49%	69.29%	+29.19	1-3
1996-09-29	St. Louis Rams	W 31-28	1422.86	1426.96	61.41%	38.37%	+7.49	2-3
1996-10-13	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 3-17	1430.35	1588.88	19.62%	80.16%	-8.28	2-4
1996-10-20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 13-9	1422.07	1393.65	65.73%	34.05%	+7.68	3-4
1996-10-27	New York Jets	L 21-31	1429.75	1323.87	74.94%	24.84%	-26.69	3-5
1996-11-03	@ New York Giants	L 8-16	1403.06	1481.16	27.95%	71.83%	-8.91	3-6
1996-11-10	@ Washington Redskins	W 37-34	1394.15	1546.56	20.18%	79.60%	+15.52	4-6
1996-11-17	New York Giants	W 31-23	1409.67	1475.76	52.70%	47.08%	+15.00	5-6
1996-11-24	Philadelphia Eagles	W 36-30	1424.67	1560.24	42.76%	57.02%	+15.73	6-6
1996-12-01	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-41	1440.40	1488.56	31.55%	68.24%	-17.42	6-7
1996-12-08	Dallas Cowboys	L 6-10	1422.98	1620.23	34.37%	65.41%	-7.75	6-8
1996-12-15	Washington Redskins	W 27-26	1415.23	1504.67	49.35%	50.44%	+5.68	7-8
1996-12-22	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 19-29	1420.91	1535.46	23.92%	75.86%	-8.53	7-9
1996-09-01	@ Carolina Panthers	L 6-29	1500.01	1420.69	48.98%	50.80%	-26.46	0-1
1996-09-08	Minnesota Vikings	L 17-23	1473.55	1529.14	54.21%	45.57%	-14.95	0-2
1996-09-22	Philadelphia Eagles	L 18-33	1458.60	1523.29	52.90%	46.88%	-23.08	0-3
1996-09-29	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-39	1435.52	1596.13	19.43%	80.35%	-10.28	0-4
1996-10-06	@ Detroit Lions	L 24-28	1425.24	1565.75	21.31%	78.47%	-4.81	0-5
1996-10-13	Houston Oilers	L 13-23	1420.43	1519.18	48.01%	51.77%	-17.10	0-6
1996-10-20	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 28-32	1403.33	1597.16	16.61%	83.17%	-3.75	0-7
1996-10-27	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-20	1399.58	1585.17	35.90%	63.88%	-7.01	0-8
1996-11-03	Carolina Panthers	W 20-17	1392.57	1482.76	49.24%	50.54%	+9.86	1-8
1996-11-10	@ St. Louis Rams	L 16-59	1402.43	1372.07	42.00%	57.78%	-31.03	1-9
1996-11-17	New Orleans Saints	W 17-15	1371.40	1385.90	59.99%	39.80%	+6.34	2-9
1996-11-24	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 31-41	1377.74	1459.92	27.48%	72.30%	-9.80	2-10
1996-12-02	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-34	1367.94	1641.87	25.20%	74.58%	-13.92	2-11
1996-12-08	@ New Orleans Saints	W 31-15	1354.02	1342.64	39.37%	60.42%	+27.21	3-11
1996-12-15	St. Louis Rams	L 27-34	1381.23	1384.84	61.48%	38.30%	-18.31	3-12
1996-12-22	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-19	1362.92	1436.01	28.53%	71.25%	-4.55	3-13
1996-09-01	Oakland Raiders	W 19-14	1477.68	1500.00	58.90%	40.88%	+10.30	1-0
1996-09-08	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-31	1487.98	1526.17	32.80%	66.98%	-13.83	1-1
1996-09-15	@ Houston Oilers	L 13-29	1474.15	1507.60	33.40%	66.38%	-15.06	1-2
1996-09-29	New Orleans Saints	W 17-10	1459.09	1421.20	66.94%	32.84%	+9.79	2-2
1996-10-06	New England Patriots	L 38-46	1468.88	1486.67	59.53%	40.25%	-18.96	2-3
1996-10-13	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 21-26	1449.92	1553.11	25.13%	74.65%	-6.34	2-4
1996-10-20	@ Denver Broncos	L 34-45	1443.58	1569.50	22.75%	77.03%	-8.51	2-5
1996-10-27	St. Louis Rams	W 37-31	1435.07	1391.35	67.68%	32.10%	+8.86	3-5
1996-11-03	Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-24	1443.93	1438.11	62.75%	37.03%	-12.24	3-6
1996-11-10	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 27-30	1431.69	1378.96	45.17%	54.61%	-8.81	3-7
1996-11-17	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-38	1422.88	1624.42	16.01%	83.77%	-7.66	3-8
1996-11-24	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 25-28	1415.22	1378.40	66.81%	32.97%	-13.03	3-9
1996-12-01	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-17	1402.19	1607.30	33.36%	66.42%	+27.98	4-9
1996-12-08	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-21	1430.17	1460.19	33.84%	65.94%	-10.09	4-10
1996-12-15	@ Carolina Panthers	L 16-27	1420.08	1576.01	19.86%	79.92%	-7.43	4-11
1996-12-22	Houston Oilers	L 21-24	1412.65	1481.64	52.29%	47.49%	-10.20	4-12
1996-09-01	@ New York Giants	W 23-20	1510.83	1489.03	40.81%	58.97%	+11.51	1-0
1996-09-08	New England Patriots	W 17-10	1522.34	1471.17	68.61%	31.17%	+9.29	2-0
1996-09-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 6-24	1531.63	1540.01	36.69%	63.09%	-17.54	2-1
1996-09-22	Dallas Cowboys	W 10-7	1514.09	1585.17	51.99%	47.79%	+9.33	3-1
1996-10-06	Indianapolis Colts	W 16-13	1523.42	1561.52	56.69%	43.09%	+8.41	4-1
1996-10-13	Miami Dolphins	L 7-21	1531.83	1542.71	60.48%	39.30%	-25.49	4-2
1996-10-20	@ New York Jets	W 25-22	1506.34	1331.15	62.49%	37.29%	+7.28	5-2
1996-10-27	@ New England Patriots	L 25-28	1513.62	1524.82	36.31%	63.47%	-7.09	5-3
1996-11-03	Washington Redskins	W 38-13	1506.53	1573.12	52.63%	47.15%	+26.56	6-3
1996-11-10	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-17	1533.09	1598.31	29.47%	70.32%	+20.95	7-3
1996-11-17	Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-17	1554.04	1471.49	72.35%	27.44%	+11.57	8-3
1996-11-24	New York Jets	W 35-10	1565.61	1337.23	85.74%	14.04%	+7.92	9-3
1996-12-01	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 10-13	1573.53	1464.71	53.22%	46.56%	-10.38	9-4
1996-12-08	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 18-26	1563.15	1468.71	51.15%	48.63%	-16.30	9-5
1996-12-16	@ Miami Dolphins	L 14-16	1546.85	1488.47	45.97%	53.81%	-7.32	9-6
1996-12-22	Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-9	1539.53	1545.71	61.13%	38.65%	+14.45	10-6
1996-09-01	Atlanta Falcons	W 29-6	1420.69	1500.01	50.80%	48.98%	+26.46	1-0
1996-09-08	@ New Orleans Saints	W 22-20	1447.15	1478.84	33.63%	66.15%	+10.54	2-0
1996-09-22	San Francisco 49ers	W 23-7	1457.69	1623.72	38.53%	61.25%	+27.59	3-0
1996-09-29	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 14-24	1485.28	1378.64	52.91%	46.88%	-18.85	3-1
1996-10-06	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 12-14	1466.43	1562.22	25.94%	73.84%	-4.14	3-2
1996-10-13	St. Louis Rams	W 45-13	1462.29	1402.87	69.62%	30.16%	+19.24	4-2
1996-10-20	New Orleans Saints	W 19-7	1481.53	1428.16	68.88%	30.90%	+12.07	5-2
1996-10-27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-20	1493.60	1562.89	28.98%	70.80%	-10.84	5-3
1996-11-03	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 17-20	1482.76	1392.57	50.54%	49.24%	-9.86	5-4
1996-11-10	New York Giants	W 27-17	1472.90	1490.08	59.62%	40.17%	+14.32	6-4
1996-11-17	@ St. Louis Rams	W 20-10	1487.22	1403.11	49.67%	50.11%	+17.85	7-4
1996-11-24	@ Houston Oilers	W 31-6	1505.07	1540.26	33.18%	66.60%	+37.49	8-4
1996-12-01	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-0	1542.56	1423.19	76.36%	23.42%	+12.95	9-4
1996-12-08	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 30-24	1555.51	1655.79	25.45%	74.33%	+20.50	10-4
1996-12-15	Baltimore Ravens	W 27-16	1576.01	1420.08	79.92%	19.86%	+7.43	11-4
1996-12-22	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 18-14	1583.44	1570.17	63.75%	36.04%	+8.12	12-4
1996-09-02	Dallas Cowboys	W 22-6	1512.08	1600.61	49.48%	50.30%	+22.67	1-0
1996-09-08	@ Washington Redskins	L 3-10	1534.75	1465.76	47.49%	52.29%	-14.16	1-1
1996-09-15	Minnesota Vikings	L 14-20	1520.59	1544.09	58.74%	41.04%	-16.20	1-2
1996-09-22	@ Detroit Lions	L 16-35	1504.39	1524.52	35.13%	64.65%	-17.26	1-3
1996-09-29	Oakland Raiders	W 19-17	1487.13	1472.91	63.87%	35.91%	+5.72	2-3
1996-10-06	Green Bay Packers	L 6-37	1492.85	1632.48	42.19%	57.59%	-26.47	2-4
1996-10-13	@ New Orleans Saints	L 24-27	1466.38	1419.51	44.33%	55.45%	-8.65	2-5
1996-10-28	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 15-13	1457.73	1541.93	27.25%	72.54%	+11.55	3-5
1996-11-03	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 13-10	1469.28	1382.97	72.78%	27.01%	+5.27	4-5
1996-11-10	@ Denver Broncos	L 12-17	1474.55	1606.55	22.14%	77.64%	-5.58	4-6
1996-11-17	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-14	1468.97	1601.24	22.12%	77.66%	-4.99	4-7
1996-11-24	Detroit Lions	W 31-14	1463.98	1491.23	58.22%	41.57%	+19.31	5-7
1996-12-01	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-28	1483.29	1652.93	18.63%	81.15%	-6.97	5-8
1996-12-08	St. Louis Rams	W 35-9	1476.32	1401.10	71.50%	28.28%	+16.26	6-8
1996-12-14	San Diego Chargers	W 27-14	1492.58	1475.85	64.20%	35.58%	+14.46	7-8
1996-12-22	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 19-34	1507.04	1422.90	49.67%	50.11%	-21.67	7-9
1996-09-01	@ St. Louis Rams	L 16-26	1471.03	1440.74	41.99%	57.79%	-14.97	0-1
1996-09-08	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-27	1456.06	1535.00	27.85%	71.93%	-11.32	0-2
1996-09-15	New Orleans Saints	W 30-15	1444.74	1468.31	58.73%	41.05%	+17.92	1-2
1996-09-29	Denver Broncos	L 10-14	1462.66	1544.16	50.49%	49.29%	-11.38	1-3
1996-10-06	Houston Oilers	L 27-30	1451.28	1508.65	53.95%	45.83%	-10.52	1-4
1996-10-13	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-20	1440.76	1594.77	20.04%	79.75%	-7.15	1-5
1996-10-20	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 21-28	1433.61	1616.55	17.50%	82.28%	-5.22	1-6
1996-10-27	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-21	1428.39	1388.69	67.17%	32.61%	+9.72	2-6
1996-11-03	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 24-21	1438.11	1443.93	37.03%	62.75%	+12.24	3-6
1996-11-10	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-24	1450.35	1602.59	40.43%	59.35%	+21.14	4-6
1996-11-17	@ Buffalo Bills	L 17-31	1471.49	1554.04	27.44%	72.35%	-11.57	4-7
1996-11-24	Atlanta Falcons	W 41-31	1459.92	1377.74	72.30%	27.48%	+9.79	5-7
1996-12-01	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 27-30	1469.71	1391.43	48.83%	50.95%	-9.52	5-8
1996-12-08	Baltimore Ravens	W 21-14	1460.19	1430.17	65.94%	33.84%	+10.09	6-8
1996-12-15	@ Houston Oilers	W 21-13	1470.28	1502.74	33.53%	66.25%	+21.10	7-8
1996-12-22	Indianapolis Colts	W 31-24	1491.38	1521.86	57.76%	42.02%	+12.53	8-8
1996-09-02	@ Chicago Bears	L 6-22	1600.61	1512.08	50.30%	49.48%	-22.66	0-1
1996-09-08	New York Giants	W 27-0	1577.95	1477.53	74.35%	25.44%	+14.90	1-1
1996-09-15	Indianapolis Colts	L 24-25	1592.85	1544.61	68.25%	31.54%	-7.68	1-2
1996-09-22	@ Buffalo Bills	L 7-10	1585.17	1514.09	47.79%	51.99%	-9.33	1-3
1996-09-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-19	1575.84	1546.37	41.88%	57.90%	+13.04	2-3
1996-10-13	Arizona Cardinals	W 17-3	1588.88	1430.35	80.16%	19.62%	+8.28	3-3
1996-10-20	Atlanta Falcons	W 32-28	1597.16	1403.33	83.17%	16.61%	+3.75	4-3
1996-10-27	@ Miami Dolphins	W 29-10	1600.91	1556.21	44.02%	55.76%	+27.37	5-3
1996-11-03	Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-31	1628.28	1573.73	69.02%	30.76%	-24.58	5-4
1996-11-10	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 20-17	1603.70	1637.38	33.37%	66.41%	+12.96	6-4
1996-11-18	Green Bay Packers	W 21-6	1616.66	1660.19	55.92%	43.86%	+19.14	7-4
1996-11-24	@ New York Giants	L 6-20	1635.80	1460.76	62.47%	37.31%	-26.32	7-5
1996-11-28	Washington Redskins	W 21-10	1609.48	1538.37	71.02%	28.77%	+10.75	8-5
1996-12-08	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 10-6	1620.23	1422.98	65.41%	34.37%	+7.75	9-5
1996-12-15	New England Patriots	W 12-6	1627.98	1588.09	67.20%	32.58%	+9.00	10-5
1996-12-22	@ Washington Redskins	L 10-37	1636.98	1498.99	57.36%	42.42%	-33.57	10-6
1996-09-01	New York Jets	W 31-6	1510.07	1429.05	72.17%	27.61%	+15.57	1-0
1996-09-08	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 30-20	1525.64	1478.60	44.36%	55.42%	+19.74	2-0
1996-09-15	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-23	1545.38	1411.14	77.86%	21.92%	+4.94	3-0
1996-09-22	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-17	1550.32	1598.53	31.54%	68.24%	-6.16	3-1
1996-09-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 14-10	1544.16	1462.66	49.29%	50.49%	+11.38	4-1
1996-10-06	San Diego Chargers	W 28-17	1555.54	1552.03	62.44%	37.34%	+13.96	5-1
1996-10-20	Baltimore Ravens	W 45-34	1569.50	1443.58	77.03%	22.75%	+8.51	6-1
1996-10-27	Kansas City Chiefs	W 34-7	1578.01	1583.64	61.20%	38.58%	+22.59	7-1
1996-11-04	@ Oakland Raiders	W 22-21	1600.60	1535.62	46.92%	52.86%	+5.95	8-1
1996-11-10	Chicago Bears	W 17-12	1606.55	1474.55	77.64%	22.14%	+5.59	9-1
1996-11-17	@ New England Patriots	W 34-8	1612.14	1557.96	45.37%	54.41%	+31.24	10-1
1996-11-24	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 21-17	1643.38	1497.89	58.41%	41.37%	+9.33	11-1
1996-12-01	Seattle Seahawks	W 34-7	1652.71	1479.44	81.46%	18.32%	+10.74	12-1
1996-12-08	@ Green Bay Packers	L 6-41	1663.45	1659.90	38.29%	61.49%	-25.54	12-2
1996-12-15	Oakland Raiders	W 24-19	1637.91	1557.56	72.09%	27.69%	+6.98	13-2
1996-12-22	@ San Diego Chargers	L 10-16	1644.89	1461.40	63.60%	36.18%	-17.54	13-3
1996-09-01	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-17	1534.88	1520.16	39.83%	59.96%	-8.97	0-1
1996-09-08	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 21-6	1525.91	1422.08	74.72%	25.07%	+10.95	1-1
1996-09-15	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-24	1536.86	1510.96	41.38%	58.40%	-12.34	1-2
1996-09-22	Chicago Bears	W 35-16	1524.52	1504.39	64.65%	35.13%	+17.26	2-2
1996-09-29	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-0	1541.78	1393.20	58.84%	40.94%	+23.97	3-2
1996-10-06	Atlanta Falcons	W 28-24	1565.75	1425.24	78.47%	21.31%	+4.81	4-2
1996-10-13	@ Oakland Raiders	L 21-37	1570.56	1491.53	48.94%	50.85%	-22.05	4-3
1996-10-27	New York Giants	L 7-35	1548.51	1436.10	75.63%	24.15%	-45.07	4-4
1996-11-03	@ Green Bay Packers	L 18-28	1503.44	1668.40	19.05%	80.74%	-6.79	4-5
1996-11-11	@ San Diego Chargers	L 21-27	1496.65	1511.57	35.82%	63.97%	-9.89	4-6
1996-11-17	Seattle Seahawks	W 17-16	1486.76	1500.68	60.07%	39.72%	+4.47	5-6
1996-11-24	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-31	1491.23	1463.98	41.57%	58.22%	-19.31	5-7
1996-11-28	Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-28	1471.92	1574.49	47.46%	52.32%	-10.69	5-8
1996-12-08	Minnesota Vikings	L 22-24	1461.23	1505.99	55.75%	44.03%	-8.88	5-9
1996-12-15	Green Bay Packers	L 3-31	1452.35	1685.44	29.88%	69.90%	-17.83	5-10
1996-12-23	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-24	1434.52	1655.11	14.59%	85.19%	-5.20	5-11
1996-09-01	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 34-3	1563.47	1450.96	53.75%	46.04%	+28.87	1-0
1996-09-09	Philadelphia Eagles	W 39-13	1592.34	1527.95	70.22%	29.56%	+17.00	2-0
1996-09-15	San Diego Chargers	W 42-10	1609.34	1546.32	70.05%	29.73%	+18.96	3-0
1996-09-22	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 21-30	1628.30	1560.29	47.35%	52.43%	-16.00	3-1
1996-09-29	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 31-10	1612.30	1450.22	60.71%	39.07%	+20.18	4-1
1996-10-06	@ Chicago Bears	W 37-6	1632.48	1492.85	57.59%	42.19%	+26.47	5-1
1996-10-14	San Francisco 49ers	W 23-20	1658.95	1623.01	66.70%	33.09%	+6.46	6-1
1996-10-27	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 13-7	1665.41	1385.97	88.93%	10.85%	+2.99	7-1
1996-11-03	Detroit Lions	W 28-18	1668.40	1503.44	80.74%	19.05%	+6.80	8-1
1996-11-10	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-27	1675.20	1586.23	50.37%	49.41%	-15.01	8-2
1996-11-18	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 6-21	1660.19	1616.66	43.86%	55.92%	-19.14	8-3
1996-11-24	@ St. Louis Rams	W 24-9	1641.05	1385.26	72.57%	27.22%	+11.88	9-3
1996-12-01	Chicago Bears	W 28-17	1652.93	1483.29	81.15%	18.63%	+6.97	10-3
1996-12-08	Denver Broncos	W 41-6	1659.90	1663.45	61.49%	38.29%	+25.54	11-3
1996-12-15	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-3	1685.44	1452.35	69.90%	29.88%	+17.82	12-3
1996-12-22	Minnesota Vikings	W 38-10	1703.26	1525.16	81.88%	17.91%	+10.69	13-3
1996-09-01	Kansas City Chiefs	L 19-20	1498.63	1558.06	53.66%	46.12%	-6.04	0-1
1996-09-08	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 34-27	1492.59	1410.29	49.41%	50.37%	+15.01	1-1
1996-09-15	Baltimore Ravens	W 29-13	1507.60	1474.15	66.38%	33.40%	+15.06	2-1
1996-09-29	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-30	1522.66	1557.55	33.22%	66.56%	-14.01	2-2
1996-10-06	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 30-27	1508.65	1451.28	45.83%	53.95%	+10.53	3-2
1996-10-13	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 23-13	1519.18	1420.43	51.77%	48.01%	+17.10	4-2
1996-10-20	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-13	1536.28	1601.91	52.77%	47.01%	+16.75	5-2
1996-10-27	San Francisco 49ers	L 9-10	1553.03	1621.78	52.32%	47.46%	-5.89	5-3
1996-11-03	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 16-23	1547.14	1465.74	49.28%	50.50%	-14.69	5-4
1996-11-10	@ New Orleans Saints	W 31-14	1532.45	1406.39	55.68%	44.10%	+20.49	6-4
1996-11-17	Miami Dolphins	L 20-23	1552.94	1529.98	65.02%	34.76%	-12.68	6-5
1996-11-24	Carolina Panthers	L 6-31	1540.26	1505.07	66.60%	33.18%	-37.50	6-6
1996-12-01	@ New York Jets	W 35-10	1502.76	1329.31	62.26%	37.53%	+21.15	7-6
1996-12-08	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-23	1523.91	1400.96	76.73%	23.05%	-21.17	7-7
1996-12-15	Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-21	1502.74	1470.28	66.25%	33.53%	-21.10	7-8
1996-12-22	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 24-21	1481.64	1412.65	47.49%	52.29%	+10.20	8-8
1996-09-01	Arizona Cardinals	W 20-13	1516.37	1450.89	70.35%	29.43%	+8.78	1-0
1996-09-08	@ New York Jets	W 21-7	1525.15	1413.48	53.63%	46.16%	+19.46	2-0
1996-09-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 25-24	1544.61	1592.85	31.54%	68.25%	+7.68	3-0
1996-09-23	Miami Dolphins	W 10-6	1552.29	1575.18	58.82%	40.96%	+9.23	4-0
1996-10-06	@ Buffalo Bills	L 13-16	1561.52	1523.42	43.09%	56.69%	-8.41	4-1
1996-10-13	Baltimore Ravens	W 26-21	1553.11	1449.92	74.65%	25.13%	+6.34	5-1
1996-10-20	New England Patriots	L 9-27	1559.45	1491.05	70.70%	29.09%	-33.77	5-2
1996-10-27	@ Washington Redskins	L 16-31	1525.68	1558.50	33.48%	66.30%	-14.62	5-3
1996-11-03	San Diego Chargers	L 19-26	1511.06	1492.37	64.46%	35.32%	-19.21	5-4
1996-11-10	@ Miami Dolphins	L 13-37	1491.85	1510.47	35.33%	64.45%	-19.51	5-5
1996-11-17	New York Jets	W 34-29	1472.34	1342.88	77.39%	22.40%	+5.65	6-5
1996-11-24	@ New England Patriots	L 13-27	1477.99	1526.71	31.48%	68.31%	-13.28	6-6
1996-12-01	Buffalo Bills	W 13-10	1464.71	1573.53	46.56%	53.22%	+10.39	7-6
1996-12-05	Philadelphia Eagles	W 37-10	1475.10	1561.30	49.81%	49.97%	+29.24	8-6
1996-12-15	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 24-19	1504.34	1563.22	30.23%	69.55%	+17.52	9-6
1996-12-22	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-31	1521.86	1491.38	42.02%	57.76%	-12.53	9-7
1996-09-01	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-9	1383.36	1553.11	38.03%	61.76%	+26.93	1-0
1996-09-08	Houston Oilers	L 27-34	1410.29	1492.59	50.37%	49.41%	-15.01	1-1
1996-09-15	@ Oakland Raiders	L 3-17	1395.28	1476.90	27.54%	72.24%	-11.62	1-2
1996-09-22	@ New England Patriots	L 25-28	1383.66	1481.65	25.70%	74.08%	-5.02	1-3
1996-09-29	Carolina Panthers	W 24-14	1378.64	1485.28	46.88%	52.91%	+18.84	2-3
1996-10-06	@ New Orleans Saints	L 13-17	1397.48	1411.41	35.95%	63.83%	-8.10	2-4
1996-10-13	New York Jets	W 21-17	1389.38	1338.18	68.61%	31.17%	+7.03	3-4
1996-10-20	@ St. Louis Rams	L 14-17	1396.41	1383.63	39.56%	60.22%	-7.72	3-5
1996-10-27	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-28	1388.69	1428.39	32.61%	67.17%	-9.73	3-6
1996-11-10	Baltimore Ravens	W 30-27	1378.96	1431.69	54.61%	45.17%	+8.82	4-6
1996-11-17	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-28	1387.78	1581.45	16.63%	83.16%	-9.38	4-7
1996-11-24	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 28-25	1378.40	1415.22	32.97%	66.81%	+13.03	5-7
1996-12-01	Cincinnati Bengals	W 30-27	1391.43	1469.71	50.95%	48.83%	+9.53	6-7
1996-12-08	@ Houston Oilers	W 23-17	1400.96	1523.91	23.05%	76.73%	+21.16	7-7
1996-12-15	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-13	1422.12	1485.00	53.16%	46.62%	+13.89	8-7
1996-12-22	Atlanta Falcons	W 19-17	1436.01	1362.92	71.25%	28.53%	+4.55	9-7
1996-09-01	@ Houston Oilers	W 20-19	1558.06	1498.63	46.12%	53.66%	+6.04	1-0
1996-09-08	Oakland Raiders	W 19-3	1564.10	1489.70	71.40%	28.38%	+12.80	2-0
1996-09-15	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 35-17	1576.90	1458.86	54.54%	45.24%	+21.63	3-0
1996-09-22	Denver Broncos	W 17-14	1598.53	1550.32	68.24%	31.54%	+6.16	4-0
1996-09-29	@ San Diego Chargers	L 19-22	1604.69	1542.97	46.45%	53.33%	-9.07	4-1
1996-10-07	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-17	1595.62	1571.56	65.17%	34.62%	-23.20	4-2
1996-10-17	Seattle Seahawks	W 34-16	1572.42	1453.29	76.33%	23.45%	+11.22	5-2
1996-10-27	@ Denver Broncos	L 7-34	1583.64	1578.01	38.58%	61.20%	-22.59	5-3
1996-11-03	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 21-6	1561.05	1530.38	42.04%	57.74%	+25.18	6-3
1996-11-10	Green Bay Packers	W 27-20	1586.23	1675.20	49.41%	50.37%	+15.01	7-3
1996-11-17	Chicago Bears	W 14-10	1601.24	1468.97	77.66%	22.12%	+4.99	8-3
1996-11-24	San Diego Chargers	L 14-28	1606.23	1496.73	75.33%	24.46%	-31.74	8-4
1996-11-28	@ Detroit Lions	W 28-24	1574.49	1471.92	52.32%	47.46%	+10.69	9-4
1996-12-09	@ Oakland Raiders	L 7-26	1585.18	1535.59	44.72%	55.06%	-21.96	9-5
1996-12-15	Indianapolis Colts	L 19-24	1563.22	1504.34	69.55%	30.23%	-17.51	9-6
1996-12-22	@ Buffalo Bills	L 9-20	1545.71	1539.53	38.65%	61.13%	-14.45	9-7
1996-09-01	New England Patriots	W 24-10	1526.74	1484.80	67.46%	32.32%	+13.64	1-0
1996-09-08	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 38-10	1540.38	1442.11	51.70%	48.08%	+28.65	2-0
1996-09-15	New York Jets	W 36-27	1569.03	1394.03	81.61%	18.17%	+6.15	3-0
1996-09-23	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 6-10	1575.18	1552.29	40.96%	58.82%	-9.23	3-1
1996-10-06	Seattle Seahawks	L 15-22	1565.95	1430.04	78.02%	21.76%	-23.24	3-2
1996-10-13	@ Buffalo Bills	W 21-7	1542.71	1531.83	39.30%	60.48%	+25.48	4-2
1996-10-20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 28-35	1568.19	1550.91	40.18%	59.60%	-11.98	4-3
1996-10-27	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-29	1556.21	1600.91	55.76%	44.02%	-27.37	4-4
1996-11-03	@ New England Patriots	L 23-42	1528.84	1531.91	37.40%	62.38%	-18.37	4-5
1996-11-10	Indianapolis Colts	W 37-13	1510.47	1491.85	64.45%	35.33%	+19.51	5-5
1996-11-17	@ Houston Oilers	W 23-20	1529.98	1552.94	34.76%	65.02%	+12.68	6-5
1996-11-25	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-24	1542.66	1590.83	55.26%	44.52%	-16.47	6-6
1996-12-01	@ Oakland Raiders	L 7-17	1526.19	1521.91	38.39%	61.39%	-13.68	6-7
1996-12-08	New York Giants	L 7-17	1512.51	1470.29	67.49%	32.29%	-24.04	6-8
1996-12-16	Buffalo Bills	W 16-14	1488.47	1546.85	53.81%	45.97%	+7.33	7-8
1996-12-22	@ New York Jets	W 31-28	1495.80	1298.58	65.41%	34.38%	+6.71	8-8
1996-09-01	Detroit Lions	W 17-13	1520.16	1534.88	59.96%	39.83%	+8.98	1-0
1996-09-08	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 23-17	1529.14	1473.55	45.57%	54.21%	+14.95	2-0
1996-09-15	@ Chicago Bears	W 20-14	1544.09	1520.59	41.04%	58.74%	+16.20	3-0
1996-09-22	Green Bay Packers	W 30-21	1560.29	1628.30	52.43%	47.35%	+16.01	4-0
1996-09-29	@ New York Giants	L 10-15	1576.30	1448.51	55.92%	43.86%	-14.08	4-1
1996-10-06	Carolina Panthers	W 14-12	1562.22	1466.43	73.84%	25.94%	+4.13	5-1
1996-10-13	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-24	1566.35	1369.23	65.39%	34.39%	-24.42	5-2
1996-10-28	Chicago Bears	L 13-15	1541.93	1457.73	72.54%	27.25%	-11.55	5-3
1996-11-03	Kansas City Chiefs	L 6-21	1530.38	1561.05	57.74%	42.04%	-25.18	5-4
1996-11-10	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 23-42	1505.20	1480.43	41.22%	58.56%	-20.25	5-5
1996-11-17	@ Oakland Raiders	W 16-13	1484.95	1518.09	33.44%	66.34%	+12.94	6-5
1996-11-24	Denver Broncos	L 17-21	1497.89	1643.38	41.37%	58.41%	-9.33	6-6
1996-12-01	Arizona Cardinals	W 41-17	1488.56	1440.40	68.24%	31.55%	+17.43	7-6
1996-12-08	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-22	1505.99	1461.23	44.03%	55.75%	+8.88	8-6
1996-12-15	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 21-10	1514.87	1433.19	72.25%	27.54%	+10.29	9-6
1996-12-22	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-38	1525.16	1703.26	17.91%	81.88%	-10.68	9-7
1996-09-01	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-24	1484.80	1526.74	32.32%	67.46%	-13.63	0-1
1996-09-08	@ Buffalo Bills	L 10-17	1471.17	1522.34	31.17%	68.61%	-9.30	0-2
1996-09-15	Arizona Cardinals	W 31-0	1461.87	1413.45	68.27%	31.51%	+19.78	1-2
1996-09-22	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-25	1481.65	1383.66	74.08%	25.70%	+5.02	2-2
1996-10-06	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 46-38	1486.67	1468.88	40.25%	59.53%	+18.96	3-2
1996-10-13	Washington Redskins	L 22-27	1505.63	1535.00	57.92%	41.86%	-14.58	3-3
1996-10-20	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 27-9	1491.05	1559.45	29.09%	70.70%	+33.77	4-3
1996-10-27	Buffalo Bills	W 28-25	1524.82	1513.62	63.47%	36.31%	+7.09	5-3
1996-11-03	Miami Dolphins	W 42-23	1531.91	1528.84	62.38%	37.40%	+18.37	6-3
1996-11-10	@ New York Jets	W 31-27	1550.28	1350.55	65.73%	34.05%	+7.68	7-3
1996-11-17	Denver Broncos	L 8-34	1557.96	1612.14	54.41%	45.37%	-31.25	7-4
1996-11-24	Indianapolis Colts	W 27-13	1526.71	1477.99	68.31%	31.48%	+13.28	8-4
1996-12-01	@ San Diego Chargers	W 45-7	1539.99	1528.46	39.39%	60.40%	+41.93	9-4
1996-12-08	New York Jets	W 34-10	1581.92	1308.16	88.61%	11.17%	+6.17	10-4
1996-12-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 6-12	1588.09	1627.98	32.58%	67.20%	-8.99	10-5
1996-12-21	@ New York Giants	W 23-22	1579.10	1459.80	54.72%	45.07%	+5.07	11-5
1996-09-01	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 11-27	1489.87	1599.57	24.43%	75.35%	-11.03	0-1
1996-09-08	Carolina Panthers	L 20-22	1478.84	1447.15	66.15%	33.63%	-10.53	0-2
1996-09-15	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 15-30	1468.31	1444.74	41.05%	58.73%	-17.92	0-3
1996-09-22	Arizona Cardinals	L 14-28	1450.39	1393.67	69.29%	30.49%	-29.19	0-4
1996-09-29	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-17	1421.20	1459.09	32.84%	66.94%	-9.79	0-5
1996-10-06	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 17-13	1411.41	1397.48	63.83%	35.95%	+8.10	1-5
1996-10-13	Chicago Bears	W 27-24	1419.51	1466.38	55.45%	44.33%	+8.65	2-5
1996-10-20	@ Carolina Panthers	L 7-19	1428.16	1481.53	30.90%	68.88%	-12.07	2-6
1996-11-03	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-24	1416.09	1627.67	32.54%	67.25%	-9.70	2-7
1996-11-10	Houston Oilers	L 14-31	1406.39	1532.45	44.10%	55.68%	-20.49	2-8
1996-11-17	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 15-17	1385.90	1371.40	39.80%	59.99%	-6.34	2-9
1996-11-24	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 7-13	1379.56	1414.00	33.28%	66.51%	-9.19	2-10
1996-12-01	St. Louis Rams	L 10-26	1370.37	1373.37	61.56%	38.22%	-27.73	2-11
1996-12-08	Atlanta Falcons	L 15-31	1342.64	1354.02	60.42%	39.37%	-27.22	2-12
1996-12-15	@ New York Giants	W 17-3	1315.42	1494.32	17.84%	81.94%	+34.53	3-12
1996-12-21	@ St. Louis Rams	L 13-14	1349.95	1403.16	30.92%	68.86%	-3.49	3-13
1996-09-01	Buffalo Bills	L 20-23	1489.03	1510.83	58.97%	40.81%	-11.50	0-1
1996-09-08	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 0-27	1477.53	1577.95	25.44%	74.35%	-14.91	0-2
1996-09-15	Washington Redskins	L 10-31	1462.62	1479.91	59.60%	40.18%	-30.76	0-3
1996-09-22	@ New York Jets	W 13-6	1431.86	1387.88	43.92%	55.86%	+16.65	1-3
1996-09-29	Minnesota Vikings	W 15-10	1448.51	1576.30	43.86%	55.92%	+14.08	2-3
1996-10-13	Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-19	1462.59	1533.33	52.04%	47.74%	-17.58	2-4
1996-10-20	@ Washington Redskins	L 21-31	1445.01	1549.59	24.98%	74.80%	-8.91	2-5
1996-10-27	@ Detroit Lions	W 35-7	1436.10	1548.51	24.15%	75.63%	+45.06	3-5
1996-11-03	Arizona Cardinals	W 16-8	1481.16	1403.06	71.83%	27.95%	+8.92	4-5
1996-11-10	@ Carolina Panthers	L 17-27	1490.08	1472.90	40.17%	59.62%	-14.32	4-6
1996-11-17	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 23-31	1475.76	1409.67	47.08%	52.70%	-15.00	4-7
1996-11-24	Dallas Cowboys	W 20-6	1460.76	1635.80	37.31%	62.47%	+26.32	5-7
1996-12-01	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 0-24	1487.08	1544.51	30.41%	69.38%	-16.79	5-8
1996-12-08	@ Miami Dolphins	W 17-7	1470.29	1512.51	32.29%	67.49%	+24.03	6-8
1996-12-15	New Orleans Saints	L 3-17	1494.32	1315.42	81.94%	17.84%	-34.52	6-9
1996-12-21	New England Patriots	L 22-23	1459.80	1579.10	45.07%	54.72%	-5.08	6-10
1996-09-01	@ Denver Broncos	L 6-31	1429.05	1510.07	27.61%	72.17%	-15.57	0-1
1996-09-08	Indianapolis Colts	L 7-21	1413.48	1525.15	46.16%	53.63%	-19.45	0-2
1996-09-15	@ Miami Dolphins	L 27-36	1394.03	1569.03	18.17%	81.61%	-6.15	0-3
1996-09-22	New York Giants	L 6-13	1387.88	1431.86	55.86%	43.92%	-16.65	0-4
1996-09-29	@ Washington Redskins	L 16-31	1371.23	1526.29	19.94%	79.84%	-8.71	0-5
1996-10-06	Oakland Raiders	L 13-34	1362.52	1467.18	47.16%	52.62%	-24.34	0-6
1996-10-13	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-21	1338.18	1389.38	31.17%	68.61%	-7.03	0-7
1996-10-20	Buffalo Bills	L 22-25	1331.15	1506.34	37.29%	62.49%	-7.28	0-8
1996-10-27	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 31-21	1323.87	1429.75	24.84%	74.94%	+26.68	1-8
1996-11-10	New England Patriots	L 27-31	1350.55	1550.28	34.05%	65.73%	-7.67	1-9
1996-11-17	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 29-34	1342.88	1472.34	22.40%	77.39%	-5.65	1-10
1996-11-24	@ Buffalo Bills	L 10-35	1337.23	1565.61	14.04%	85.74%	-7.92	1-11
1996-12-01	Houston Oilers	L 10-35	1329.31	1502.76	37.53%	62.26%	-21.15	1-12
1996-12-08	@ New England Patriots	L 10-34	1308.16	1581.92	11.17%	88.61%	-6.17	1-13
1996-12-14	Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-21	1301.99	1532.05	30.25%	69.54%	-3.41	1-14
1996-12-22	Miami Dolphins	L 28-31	1298.58	1495.80	34.38%	65.41%	-6.72	1-15
1996-09-01	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 14-19	1500.00	1477.68	40.88%	58.90%	-10.30	0-1
1996-09-08	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-19	1489.70	1564.10	28.38%	71.40%	-12.80	0-2
1996-09-15	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 17-3	1476.90	1395.28	72.24%	27.54%	+11.62	1-2
1996-09-22	San Diego Chargers	L 34-40	1488.52	1527.36	56.59%	43.20%	-15.61	1-3
1996-09-29	@ Chicago Bears	L 17-19	1472.91	1487.13	35.91%	63.87%	-5.73	1-4
1996-10-06	@ New York Jets	W 34-13	1467.18	1362.52	52.62%	47.16%	+24.35	2-4
1996-10-13	Detroit Lions	W 37-21	1491.53	1570.56	50.85%	48.94%	+22.05	3-4
1996-10-21	@ San Diego Chargers	W 23-14	1513.58	1538.07	34.56%	65.22%	+22.04	4-4
1996-11-04	Denver Broncos	L 21-22	1535.62	1600.60	52.86%	46.92%	-5.96	4-5
1996-11-10	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-20	1529.66	1377.70	59.31%	40.47%	-11.57	4-6
1996-11-17	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-16	1518.09	1484.95	66.34%	33.44%	-12.94	4-7
1996-11-24	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 27-21	1505.15	1496.20	39.03%	60.75%	+16.76	5-7
1996-12-01	Miami Dolphins	W 17-7	1521.91	1526.19	61.39%	38.39%	+13.68	6-7
1996-12-09	Kansas City Chiefs	W 26-7	1535.59	1585.18	55.06%	44.72%	+21.97	7-7
1996-12-15	@ Denver Broncos	L 19-24	1557.56	1637.91	27.69%	72.09%	-6.98	7-8
1996-12-22	Seattle Seahawks	L 21-28	1550.58	1471.11	71.99%	27.79%	-21.45	7-9
1996-09-01	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-14	1516.95	1476.76	43.39%	56.40%	+11.00	1-0
1996-09-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-39	1527.95	1592.34	29.56%	70.22%	-16.99	1-1
1996-09-15	Detroit Lions	W 24-17	1510.96	1536.86	58.40%	41.38%	+12.33	2-1
1996-09-22	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 33-18	1523.29	1458.60	46.88%	52.90%	+23.08	3-1
1996-09-30	Dallas Cowboys	L 19-23	1546.37	1575.84	57.90%	41.88%	-13.04	3-2
1996-10-13	@ New York Giants	W 19-10	1533.33	1462.59	47.74%	52.04%	+17.58	4-2
1996-10-20	Miami Dolphins	W 35-28	1550.91	1568.19	59.60%	40.18%	+11.98	5-2
1996-10-27	Carolina Panthers	W 20-9	1562.89	1493.60	70.80%	28.98%	+10.84	6-2
1996-11-03	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 31-21	1573.73	1628.28	30.76%	69.02%	+24.58	7-2
1996-11-10	Buffalo Bills	L 17-24	1598.31	1533.09	70.32%	29.47%	-20.95	7-3
1996-11-17	Washington Redskins	L 21-26	1577.36	1531.03	68.01%	31.77%	-17.12	7-4
1996-11-24	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 30-36	1560.24	1424.67	57.02%	42.76%	-15.73	7-5
1996-12-01	New York Giants	W 24-0	1544.51	1487.08	69.38%	30.41%	+16.79	8-5
1996-12-05	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 10-37	1561.30	1475.10	49.97%	49.81%	-29.25	8-6
1996-12-14	@ New York Jets	W 21-20	1532.05	1301.99	69.54%	30.25%	+3.41	9-6
1996-12-22	Arizona Cardinals	W 29-19	1535.46	1420.91	75.86%	23.92%	+8.53	10-6
1996-09-01	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 9-24	1553.11	1383.36	61.76%	38.03%	-26.94	0-1
1996-09-08	Baltimore Ravens	W 31-17	1526.17	1487.98	66.98%	32.80%	+13.84	1-1
1996-09-16	Buffalo Bills	W 24-6	1540.01	1531.63	63.09%	36.69%	+17.54	2-1
1996-09-29	Houston Oilers	W 30-16	1557.55	1522.66	66.56%	33.22%	+14.01	3-1
1996-10-07	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-7	1571.56	1595.62	34.62%	65.17%	+23.21	4-1
1996-10-13	Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-10	1594.77	1440.76	79.75%	20.04%	+7.14	5-1
1996-10-20	@ Houston Oilers	L 13-23	1601.91	1536.28	47.01%	52.77%	-16.74	5-2
1996-10-27	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 20-17	1585.17	1399.58	63.88%	35.90%	+7.00	6-2
1996-11-03	St. Louis Rams	W 42-6	1592.17	1382.49	84.39%	15.39%	+10.42	7-2
1996-11-10	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-34	1602.59	1450.35	59.35%	40.43%	-21.14	7-3
1996-11-17	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-3	1581.45	1387.78	83.16%	16.63%	+9.38	8-3
1996-11-25	@ Miami Dolphins	W 24-17	1590.83	1542.66	44.52%	55.26%	+16.47	9-3
1996-12-01	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 17-31	1607.30	1402.19	66.42%	33.36%	-27.99	9-4
1996-12-08	San Diego Chargers	W 16-3	1579.31	1486.54	73.50%	26.28%	+10.69	10-4
1996-12-15	San Francisco 49ers	L 15-25	1590.00	1635.29	55.67%	44.11%	-19.83	10-5
1996-12-22	@ Carolina Panthers	L 14-18	1570.17	1583.44	36.04%	63.75%	-8.12	10-6
1996-09-01	Seattle Seahawks	W 29-7	1516.35	1497.24	64.52%	35.26%	+18.65	1-0
1996-09-08	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-14	1535.00	1456.06	71.93%	27.85%	+11.32	2-0
1996-09-15	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-42	1546.32	1609.34	29.73%	70.05%	-18.96	2-1
1996-09-22	@ Oakland Raiders	W 40-34	1527.36	1488.52	43.20%	56.59%	+15.61	3-1
1996-09-29	Kansas City Chiefs	W 22-19	1542.97	1604.69	53.33%	46.45%	+9.06	4-1
1996-10-06	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-28	1552.03	1555.54	37.34%	62.44%	-13.96	4-2
1996-10-21	Oakland Raiders	L 14-23	1538.07	1513.58	65.22%	34.56%	-22.03	4-3
1996-10-27	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 13-32	1516.04	1442.07	48.21%	51.57%	-23.67	4-4
1996-11-03	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 26-19	1492.37	1511.06	35.32%	64.46%	+19.20	5-4
1996-11-11	Detroit Lions	W 27-21	1511.57	1496.65	63.97%	35.82%	+9.89	6-4
1996-11-17	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-25	1521.46	1389.27	77.66%	22.12%	-24.73	6-5
1996-11-24	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 28-14	1496.73	1606.23	24.46%	75.33%	+31.73	7-5
1996-12-01	New England Patriots	L 7-45	1528.46	1539.99	60.40%	39.39%	-41.92	7-6
1996-12-08	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-16	1486.54	1579.31	26.28%	73.50%	-10.69	7-7
1996-12-14	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-27	1475.85	1492.58	35.58%	64.20%	-14.45	7-8
1996-12-22	Denver Broncos	W 16-10	1461.40	1644.89	36.18%	63.60%	+17.54	8-8
1996-09-01	New Orleans Saints	W 27-11	1599.57	1489.87	75.35%	24.43%	+11.03	1-0
1996-09-08	St. Louis Rams	W 34-0	1610.60	1455.70	79.83%	19.95%	+13.12	2-0
1996-09-22	@ Carolina Panthers	L 7-23	1623.72	1457.69	61.25%	38.53%	-27.59	2-1
1996-09-29	Atlanta Falcons	W 39-17	1596.13	1435.52	80.35%	19.43%	+10.28	3-1
1996-10-06	@ St. Louis Rams	W 28-11	1606.41	1419.47	64.06%	35.72%	+16.60	4-1
1996-10-14	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-23	1623.01	1658.95	33.09%	66.70%	-6.46	4-2
1996-10-20	Cincinnati Bengals	W 28-21	1616.55	1433.61	82.28%	17.50%	+5.23	5-2
1996-10-27	@ Houston Oilers	W 10-9	1621.78	1553.03	47.46%	52.32%	+5.89	6-2
1996-11-03	@ New Orleans Saints	W 24-17	1627.67	1416.09	67.25%	32.54%	+9.71	7-2
1996-11-10	Dallas Cowboys	L 17-20	1637.38	1603.70	66.41%	33.37%	-12.96	7-3
1996-11-17	Baltimore Ravens	W 38-20	1624.42	1422.88	83.77%	16.01%	+7.67	8-3
1996-11-24	@ Washington Redskins	W 19-16	1632.09	1548.16	49.64%	50.14%	+9.78	9-3
1996-12-02	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 34-10	1641.87	1367.94	74.58%	25.20%	+13.92	10-3
1996-12-08	Carolina Panthers	L 24-30	1655.79	1555.51	74.33%	25.45%	-20.50	10-4
1996-12-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 25-15	1635.29	1590.00	44.11%	55.67%	+19.82	11-4
1996-12-23	Detroit Lions	W 24-14	1655.11	1434.52	85.19%	14.59%	+5.21	12-4
1996-09-01	@ San Diego Chargers	L 7-29	1497.24	1516.35	35.26%	64.52%	-18.64	0-1
1996-09-08	Denver Broncos	L 20-30	1478.60	1525.64	55.42%	44.36%	-19.74	0-2
1996-09-15	Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-35	1458.86	1576.90	45.24%	54.54%	-21.63	0-3
1996-09-22	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-13	1437.23	1406.19	42.10%	57.68%	+12.99	1-3
1996-09-29	Green Bay Packers	L 10-31	1450.22	1612.30	39.07%	60.71%	-20.18	1-4
1996-10-06	@ Miami Dolphins	W 22-15	1430.04	1565.95	21.76%	78.02%	+23.25	2-4
1996-10-17	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-34	1453.29	1572.42	23.45%	76.33%	-11.22	2-5
1996-10-27	San Diego Chargers	W 32-13	1442.07	1516.04	51.57%	48.21%	+23.67	3-5
1996-11-03	Houston Oilers	W 23-16	1465.74	1547.14	50.50%	49.28%	+14.69	4-5
1996-11-10	Minnesota Vikings	W 42-23	1480.43	1505.20	58.56%	41.22%	+20.25	5-5
1996-11-17	@ Detroit Lions	L 16-17	1500.68	1486.76	39.72%	60.07%	-4.48	5-6
1996-11-24	Oakland Raiders	L 21-27	1496.20	1505.15	60.75%	39.03%	-16.76	5-7
1996-12-01	@ Denver Broncos	L 7-34	1479.44	1652.71	18.32%	81.46%	-10.73	5-8
1996-12-08	Buffalo Bills	W 26-18	1468.71	1563.15	48.63%	51.15%	+16.29	6-8
1996-12-15	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 13-20	1485.00	1422.12	46.62%	53.16%	-13.89	6-9
1996-12-22	@ Oakland Raiders	W 28-21	1471.11	1550.58	27.79%	71.99%	+21.45	7-9
1996-09-01	Cincinnati Bengals	W 26-16	1440.74	1471.03	57.79%	41.99%	+14.96	1-0
1996-09-08	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 0-34	1455.70	1610.60	19.95%	79.83%	-13.12	1-1
1996-09-22	Washington Redskins	L 10-17	1442.58	1510.67	52.42%	47.37%	-15.62	1-2
1996-09-29	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 28-31	1426.96	1422.86	38.37%	61.41%	-7.49	1-3
1996-10-06	San Francisco 49ers	L 11-28	1419.47	1606.41	35.72%	64.06%	-16.60	1-4
1996-10-13	@ Carolina Panthers	L 13-45	1402.87	1462.29	30.16%	69.62%	-19.24	1-5
1996-10-20	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 17-14	1383.63	1396.41	60.22%	39.56%	+7.72	2-5
1996-10-27	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 31-37	1391.35	1435.07	32.10%	67.68%	-8.86	2-6
1996-11-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 6-42	1382.49	1592.17	15.39%	84.39%	-10.42	2-7
1996-11-10	Atlanta Falcons	W 59-16	1372.07	1402.43	57.78%	42.00%	+31.04	3-7
1996-11-17	Carolina Panthers	L 10-20	1403.11	1487.22	50.11%	49.67%	-17.85	3-8
1996-11-24	Green Bay Packers	L 9-24	1385.26	1641.05	27.22%	72.57%	-11.89	3-9
1996-12-01	@ New Orleans Saints	W 26-10	1373.37	1370.37	38.22%	61.56%	+27.73	4-9
1996-12-08	@ Chicago Bears	L 9-35	1401.10	1476.32	28.28%	71.50%	-16.26	4-10
1996-12-15	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 34-27	1384.84	1381.23	38.30%	61.48%	+18.32	5-10
1996-12-21	New Orleans Saints	W 14-13	1403.16	1349.95	68.86%	30.92%	+3.48	6-10
1996-09-01	Green Bay Packers	L 3-34	1450.96	1563.47	46.04%	53.75%	-28.88	0-1
1996-09-08	@ Detroit Lions	L 6-21	1422.08	1525.91	25.07%	74.72%	-10.94	0-2
1996-09-15	@ Denver Broncos	L 23-27	1411.14	1545.38	21.92%	77.86%	-4.95	0-3
1996-09-22	Seattle Seahawks	L 13-17	1406.19	1437.23	57.68%	42.10%	-12.99	0-4
1996-09-29	Detroit Lions	L 0-27	1393.20	1541.78	40.94%	58.84%	-23.97	0-5
1996-10-13	Minnesota Vikings	W 24-13	1369.23	1566.35	34.39%	65.39%	+24.42	1-5
1996-10-20	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 9-13	1393.65	1422.07	34.05%	65.73%	-7.68	1-6
1996-10-27	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-13	1385.97	1665.41	10.85%	88.93%	-3.00	1-7
1996-11-03	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-13	1382.97	1469.28	27.01%	72.78%	-5.27	1-8
1996-11-10	Oakland Raiders	W 20-17	1377.70	1529.66	40.47%	59.31%	+11.57	2-8
1996-11-17	@ San Diego Chargers	W 25-17	1389.27	1521.46	22.12%	77.66%	+24.73	3-8
1996-11-24	New Orleans Saints	W 13-7	1414.00	1379.56	66.51%	33.28%	+9.19	4-8
1996-12-01	@ Carolina Panthers	L 0-24	1423.19	1542.56	23.42%	76.36%	-12.94	4-9
1996-12-08	Washington Redskins	W 24-10	1410.25	1527.62	45.34%	54.44%	+22.94	5-9
1996-12-15	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-21	1433.19	1514.87	27.54%	72.25%	-10.29	5-10
1996-12-22	Chicago Bears	W 34-19	1422.90	1507.04	50.11%	49.67%	+21.67	6-10
1996-09-01	Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-17	1476.76	1516.95	56.40%	43.39%	-11.00	0-1
1996-09-08	Chicago Bears	W 10-3	1465.76	1534.75	52.29%	47.49%	+14.15	1-1
1996-09-15	@ New York Giants	W 31-10	1479.91	1462.62	40.18%	59.60%	+30.76	2-1
1996-09-22	@ St. Louis Rams	W 17-10	1510.67	1442.58	47.37%	52.42%	+15.62	3-1
1996-09-29	New York Jets	W 31-16	1526.29	1371.23	79.84%	19.94%	+8.71	4-1
1996-10-13	@ New England Patriots	W 27-22	1535.00	1505.63	41.86%	57.92%	+14.59	5-1
1996-10-20	New York Giants	W 31-21	1549.59	1445.01	74.80%	24.98%	+8.91	6-1
1996-10-27	Indianapolis Colts	W 31-16	1558.50	1525.68	66.30%	33.48%	+14.62	7-1
1996-11-03	@ Buffalo Bills	L 13-38	1573.12	1506.53	47.15%	52.63%	-26.56	7-2
1996-11-10	Arizona Cardinals	L 34-37	1546.56	1394.15	79.60%	20.18%	-15.53	7-3
1996-11-17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 26-21	1531.03	1577.36	31.77%	68.01%	+17.13	8-3
1996-11-24	San Francisco 49ers	L 16-19	1548.16	1632.09	50.14%	49.64%	-9.79	8-4
1996-11-28	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-21	1538.37	1609.48	28.77%	71.02%	-10.75	8-5
1996-12-08	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-24	1527.62	1410.25	54.44%	45.34%	-22.95	8-6
1996-12-15	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 26-27	1504.67	1415.23	50.44%	49.35%	-5.68	8-7
1996-12-22	Dallas Cowboys	W 37-10	1498.99	1636.98	42.42%	57.36%	+33.57	9-7

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1996-12-28	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 27-30	1553.98	1440.56	75.88%	24.12%	-14.77	0-1
1997-01-05	Dallas Cowboys	W 26-17	1591.56	1618.47	58.38%	41.62%	+14.04	1-0
1997-01-12	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-30	1605.60	1730.54	22.93%	77.07%	-10.63	1-1
1996-12-28	Minnesota Vikings	W 40-15	1603.41	1514.48	73.21%	26.79%	+15.06	1-0
1997-01-05	@ Carolina Panthers	L 17-26	1618.47	1591.56	41.62%	58.38%	-14.04	1-1
1997-01-04	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 27-30	1627.35	1455.34	81.51%	18.49%	-15.87	0-1
1997-01-04	San Francisco 49ers	W 35-14	1713.95	1670.33	67.79%	32.21%	+16.59	1-0
1997-01-12	Carolina Panthers	W 30-13	1730.54	1605.60	77.07%	22.93%	+10.63	2-0
1997-01-26	@ New England Patriots	W 35-21	1741.17	1614.47	67.47%	32.53%	+13.68	3-0
1996-12-29	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-42	1509.33	1562.05	31.08%	68.92%	-18.48	0-1
1996-12-28	@ Buffalo Bills	W 30-27	1440.56	1553.98	24.12%	75.88%	+14.78	1-0
1997-01-04	@ Denver Broncos	W 30-27	1455.34	1627.35	18.49%	81.51%	+15.86	2-0
1997-01-12	@ New England Patriots	L 6-20	1471.20	1605.20	22.02%	77.98%	-9.26	2-1
1996-12-28	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 15-40	1514.48	1603.41	26.79%	73.21%	-15.06	0-1
1997-01-05	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-3	1584.17	1580.53	62.58%	37.42%	+21.03	1-0
1997-01-12	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-6	1605.20	1471.20	77.98%	22.02%	+9.27	2-0
1997-01-26	Green Bay Packers	L 21-35	1614.47	1741.17	32.53%	67.47%	-13.69	2-1
1996-12-29	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 0-14	1543.99	1660.32	23.82%	76.18%	-10.01	0-1
1996-12-29	Indianapolis Colts	W 42-14	1562.05	1509.33	68.92%	31.08%	+18.48	1-0
1997-01-05	@ New England Patriots	L 3-28	1580.53	1584.17	37.42%	62.58%	-21.03	1-1
1996-12-29	Philadelphia Eagles	W 14-0	1660.32	1543.99	76.18%	23.82%	+10.01	1-0
1997-01-04	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-35	1670.33	1713.95	32.21%	67.79%	-16.59	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1996-12-15	17.84%	New Orleans Saints	1315.42	17	@ New York Giants	1494.32	3
2	1997-01-04 *	18.49%	Jacksonville Jaguars	1455.34	30	@ Denver Broncos	1627.35	27
3	1996-11-10	20.18%	Arizona Cardinals	1394.15	37	@ Washington Redskins	1546.56	34
4	1996-10-06	21.76%	Seattle Seahawks	1430.04	22	@ Miami Dolphins	1565.95	15
5	1996-11-17	22.12%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1389.27	25	@ San Diego Chargers	1521.46	17
6	1996-12-08	23.05%	Jacksonville Jaguars	1400.96	23	@ Houston Oilers	1523.91	17
7	1996-12-28 *	24.12%	Jacksonville Jaguars	1440.56	30	@ Buffalo Bills	1553.98	27
8	1996-10-27	24.15%	New York Giants	1436.10	35	@ Detroit Lions	1548.51	7
9	1996-11-24	24.46%	San Diego Chargers	1496.73	28	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1606.23	14
10	1996-10-27	24.84%	New York Jets	1323.87	31	@ Arizona Cardinals	1429.75	21
11	1996-12-08	25.45%	Carolina Panthers	1555.51	30	@ San Francisco 49ers	1655.79	24
12	1996-10-28	27.25%	Chicago Bears	1457.73	15	@ Minnesota Vikings	1541.93	13
13	1996-12-22	27.79%	Seattle Seahawks	1471.11	28	@ Oakland Raiders	1550.58	21
14	1996-10-20	29.09%	New England Patriots	1491.05	27	@ Indianapolis Colts	1559.45	9
15	1996-11-10	29.47%	Buffalo Bills	1533.09	24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1598.31	17
16	1996-12-15	30.23%	Indianapolis Colts	1504.34	24	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1563.22	19
17	1996-09-22	30.49%	Arizona Cardinals	1393.67	28	@ New Orleans Saints	1450.39	14
18	1996-11-03	30.76%	Philadelphia Eagles	1573.73	31	@ Dallas Cowboys	1628.28	21
19	1996-09-15	31.54%	Indianapolis Colts	1544.61	25	@ Dallas Cowboys	1592.85	24
20	1996-11-17	31.77%	Washington Redskins	1531.03	26	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1577.36	21
21	1996-12-08	32.29%	New York Giants	1470.29	17	@ Miami Dolphins	1512.51	7
22	1996-11-24	32.97%	Jacksonville Jaguars	1378.40	28	@ Baltimore Ravens	1415.22	25
23	1996-11-24	33.18%	Carolina Panthers	1505.07	31	@ Houston Oilers	1540.26	6
24	1996-12-01	33.36%	@ Baltimore Ravens	1402.19	31	Pittsburgh Steelers	1607.30	17
25	1996-11-10	33.37%	Dallas Cowboys	1603.70	20	@ San Francisco 49ers	1637.38	17

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1996-10-27	45.07	New York Giants	35	1436.10	24.15%	@ Detroit Lions	7	1548.51	75.63%
2	1996-12-01	41.93	New England Patriots	45	1539.99	39.39%	@ San Diego Chargers	7	1528.46	60.40%
3	1996-11-24	37.50	Carolina Panthers	31	1505.07	33.18%	@ Houston Oilers	6	1540.26	66.60%
4	1996-12-15	34.53	New Orleans Saints	17	1315.42	17.84%	@ New York Giants	3	1494.32	81.94%
5	1996-10-20	33.77	New England Patriots	27	1491.05	29.09%	@ Indianapolis Colts	9	1559.45	70.70%
6	1996-12-22	33.57	@ Washington Redskins	37	1498.99	42.42%	Dallas Cowboys	10	1636.98	57.36%
7	1996-11-24	31.74	San Diego Chargers	28	1496.73	24.46%	@ Kansas City Chiefs	14	1606.23	75.33%
8	1996-11-17	31.25	Denver Broncos	34	1612.14	45.37%	@ New England Patriots	8	1557.96	54.41%
9	1996-11-10	31.04	@ St. Louis Rams	59	1372.07	57.78%	Atlanta Falcons	16	1402.43	42.00%
10	1996-09-15	30.76	Washington Redskins	31	1479.91	40.18%	@ New York Giants	10	1462.62	59.60%
11	1996-12-05	29.25	@ Indianapolis Colts	37	1475.10	49.81%	Philadelphia Eagles	10	1561.30	49.97%
12	1996-09-22	29.19	Arizona Cardinals	28	1393.67	30.49%	@ New Orleans Saints	14	1450.39	69.29%
13	1996-09-01	28.88	Green Bay Packers	34	1563.47	53.75%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3	1450.96	46.04%
14	1996-09-08	28.66	Miami Dolphins	38	1540.38	51.70%	@ Arizona Cardinals	10	1442.11	48.08%
15	1996-12-01	27.99	@ Baltimore Ravens	31	1402.19	33.36%	Pittsburgh Steelers	17	1607.30	66.42%
16	1996-12-01	27.73	St. Louis Rams	26	1373.37	38.22%	@ New Orleans Saints	10	1370.37	61.56%
17	1996-09-22	27.59	@ Carolina Panthers	23	1457.69	38.53%	San Francisco 49ers	7	1623.72	61.25%
18	1996-10-27	27.37	Dallas Cowboys	29	1600.91	44.02%	@ Miami Dolphins	10	1556.21	55.76%
19	1996-12-08	27.22	Atlanta Falcons	31	1354.02	39.37%	@ New Orleans Saints	15	1342.64	60.42%
20	1996-09-01	26.94	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	24	1383.36	38.03%	Pittsburgh Steelers	9	1553.11	61.76%
21	1996-10-27	26.69	New York Jets	31	1323.87	24.84%	@ Arizona Cardinals	21	1429.75	74.94%
22	1996-11-03	26.56	@ Buffalo Bills	38	1506.53	52.63%	Washington Redskins	13	1573.12	47.15%
23	1996-10-06	26.47	Green Bay Packers	37	1632.48	57.59%	@ Chicago Bears	6	1492.85	42.19%
24	1996-09-01	26.46	@ Carolina Panthers	29	1420.69	50.80%	Atlanta Falcons	6	1500.01	48.98%
25	1996-11-24	26.32	@ New York Giants	20	1460.76	37.31%	Dallas Cowboys	6	1635.80	62.47%