1995 NFL Season

240 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Dallas Cowboys

5th Super Bowl

Last Title: 1993

Runner-Up

Pittsburgh Steelers

5th SB App.

Last Appearance: 1979

Biggest Overachiever

Kansas City Chiefs

3.57 wins above expected

13 wins · 9.43 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Cleveland Browns (1st)

3.80 wins below expected

5 wins · 8.80 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	11	5	.688	—	407	327	+80	9.64	+1.36
2	Cincinnati Bengals	7	9	.438	4	349	374	-25	6.97	+0.03
3	Houston Oilers	7	9	.438	4	348	324	+24	7.52	-0.52
4	Cleveland Browns (1st)	5	11	.312	6	289	356	-67	8.80	-3.80
5	Jacksonville Jaguars	4	12	.250	7	275	404	-129	3.55	+0.45

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Buffalo Bills Division	10	6	.625	—	350	335	+15	8.75	+1.25
2	Indianapolis Colts Playoffs	9	7	.562	1	331	316	+15	8.08	+0.92
3	Miami Dolphins Playoffs	9	7	.562	1	398	332	+66	9.42	-0.42
4	New England Patriots	6	10	.375	4	294	377	-83	7.57	-1.57
5	New York Jets	3	13	.188	7	233	384	-151	6.75	-3.75

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Kansas City Chiefs Division	13	3	.812	—	358	241	+117	9.43	+3.57
2	San Diego Chargers Playoffs	9	7	.562	4	321	323	-2	8.25	+0.75
3	Denver Broncos	8	8	.500	5	388	345	+43	8.23	-0.23
4	Oakland Raiders	8	8	.500	5	348	332	+16	8.87	-0.87
5	Seattle Seahawks	8	8	.500	5	363	366	-3	7.17	+0.83

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	11	5	.688	—	404	314	+90	9.62	+1.38
2	Detroit Lions Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	436	336	+100	8.26	+1.74
3	Chicago Bears	9	7	.562	2	392	360	+32	9.09	-0.09
4	Minnesota Vikings	8	8	.500	3	412	385	+27	8.23	-0.23
5	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7	9	.438	4	238	335	-97	7.37	-0.37

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Dallas Cowboys Division	12	4	.750	—	435	291	+144	10.88	+1.12
2	Philadelphia Eagles Playoffs	10	6	.625	2	318	338	-20	8.03	+1.97
3	Washington Redskins	6	10	.375	6	326	359	-33	6.78	-0.78
4	New York Giants	5	11	.312	7	290	340	-50	7.41	-2.41
5	Arizona Cardinals	4	12	.250	8	275	422	-147	6.88	-2.88

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Francisco 49ers Division	11	5	.688	—	457	258	+199	11.33	-0.33
2	Atlanta Falcons Playoffs	9	7	.562	2	362	349	+13	8.05	+0.95
3	Carolina Panthers	7	9	.438	4	289	325	-36	4.06	+2.94
4	New Orleans Saints	7	9	.438	4	319	348	-29	7.59	-0.59
5	St. Louis Rams	7	9	.438	4	309	418	-109	7.42	-0.42

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Buffalo Bills 37

Miami Dolphins 22

Dec 30

Indianapolis Colts 35

San Diego Chargers 20

Dec 31

Divisional Round

Pittsburgh Steelers 40

Buffalo Bills 21

Jan 6

Indianapolis Colts 10

Kansas City Chiefs 7

Jan 7

Conference Championship

Pittsburgh Steelers 20

Indianapolis Colts 16

Jan 14

NFC

Wild Card Round

Philadelphia Eagles 58

Detroit Lions 37

Dec 30

Green Bay Packers 37

Atlanta Falcons 20

Dec 31

Divisional Round

Green Bay Packers 27

San Francisco 49ers 17

Jan 6

Dallas Cowboys 30

Philadelphia Eagles 11

Jan 7

Conference Championship

Dallas Cowboys 38

Green Bay Packers 27

Jan 14

Super Bowl

Dallas Cowboys 27

Pittsburgh Steelers 17

Jan 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1700	11	11.33	-0.33	53.12%	3	8	10	11	12	14	16
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1676	12	10.88	+1.12	80.92%	3	8	10	11	12	14	16
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1640	13	9.43	+3.57	98.89%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC Central	1613	11	9.62	+1.38	84.49%	3	6	8	10	11	13	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC Central	1607	11	9.64	+1.36	84.23%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC Central	1588	10	8.26	+1.74	88.35%	1	5	7	8	10	11	15
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1567	9	9.42	-0.42	51.70%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1558	9	8.25	+0.75	74.47%	1	5	7	8	10	11	14
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC Central	1538	8	8.23	-0.23	55.71%	1	5	7	8	10	11	16
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1529	10	8.03	+1.97	90.69%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC Central	1524	9	9.09	-0.09	58.90%	1	6	8	9	10	12	15
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1519	10	8.75	+1.25	82.53%	2	6	7	9	10	12	16
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1518	8	8.23	-0.23	56.02%	2	5	7	8	9	11	15
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC West	1510	9	8.05	+0.95	78.36%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC East	1504	9	8.08	+0.92	77.51%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1500	8	8.87	-0.87	42.56%	2	6	8	9	10	12	15
Houston Oilers	AFC	AFC Central	1496	7	7.52	-0.52	50.46%	1	5	6	7	9	11	15
Seattle Seahawks	AFC	AFC West	1494	8	7.17	+0.83	76.20%	1	4	6	7	8	10	14
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC West	1479	7	7.59	-0.59	47.88%	1	4	6	8	9	11	14
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1475	5	7.41	-2.41	16.53%	1	4	6	7	9	11	14
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1470	6	7.57	-1.57	28.53%	1	5	6	8	9	11	14
Cleveland Browns (1st)	AFC	AFC Central	1452	5	8.80	-3.80	4.11%	1	6	7	9	10	12	15
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1450	6	6.78	-0.78	45.19%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC Central	1440	7	6.97	+0.03	61.56%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC Central	1412	7	7.37	-0.37	52.96%	0	4	6	7	9	10	14
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC East	1399	4	6.88	-2.88	10.03%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1392	7	7.42	-0.42	52.46%	1	4	6	7	9	11	15
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1350	3	6.75	-3.75	3.77%	1	4	5	7	8	10	14
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC West	1342	7	4.06	+2.94	97.51%	0	1	3	4	5	7	11
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC Central	1256	4	3.55	+0.45	73.49%	0	1	2	3	5	6	11

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team	Bengals	(1st)	Oilers	Jaguars	Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Houston Oilers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.4 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	—

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	—	—
Cleveland Browns (1st)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	—	—
Houston Oilers	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	—	—
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-4 (0.7 exp.)	—	—
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	—	—

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Colts	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
New York Jets	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	—	3-1 (2.2 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	—	2-2 (2.0 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—	—	2-2 (2.3 exp.)
New England Patriots	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	—	0-4 (2.1 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	—	0-4 (2.0 exp.)

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers	Seahawks
Denver Broncos	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Denver Broncos	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	—
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	—
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	—
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	—
Seattle Seahawks	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	3-1 (1.7 exp.)	—

Within NFC Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings	Buccaneers
Chicago Bears	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC East	NFC West
Chicago Bears	2-2 (2.6 exp.)	—	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Detroit Lions	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	—	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	—	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	—	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	—	—	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cardinals	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Arizona Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (1.6 exp.)
New York Giants	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC West
Arizona Cardinals	—	—	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	—	—	4-0 (2.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
New York Giants	—	—	0-4 (1.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	—	—	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Washington Redskins	—	—	0-4 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	49ers	Rams
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East
Atlanta Falcons	—	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	—	3-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	—	4-0 (1.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	—	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	—	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	1.25%	1.67%	1.88%	0.42%	0.62%	0.21%	6.04%
7–13	1.25%	2.08%	4.38%	3.75%	2.29%	1.25%	0.62%	15.62%
14–20	1.67%	4.38%	9.58%	6.67%	3.12%	0.62%	0.62%	26.67%
21–27	1.88%	3.75%	6.67%	8.33%	4.38%	1.25%	0.62%	26.88%
28–34	0.42%	2.29%	3.12%	4.38%	2.08%	2.08%	0.83%	15.21%
35–41	0.62%	1.25%	0.62%	1.25%	2.08%	0.42%	0.21%	6.46%
42+	0.21%	0.62%	0.62%	0.62%	0.83%	0.21%	—	3.12%
Total	6.04%	15.62%	26.67%	26.88%	15.21%	6.46%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.49	21.49	+0.00
SD	9.84	9.84	13.61
CV	0.46	0.46	—
Max	52	52	+44
Min	0	0	-44

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	—	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.19	26.38	-9.19
SD	9.66	8.33	11.54
CV	0.56	0.32	—
Max	40	38	+6
Min	3	10	-32

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	25.00%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	—	18.75%	50.00%	6.25%	12.50%	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.62	21.81	+0.81
SD	7.97	9.88	12.47
CV	0.35	0.45	—
Max	37	41	+25
Min	10	3	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	18.75%	25.00%	43.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.88	20.94	+0.94
SD	9.54	7.48	12.45
CV	0.44	0.36	—
Max	45	35	+22
Min	6	9	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	37.50%
14–20	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	6.25%	37.50%	—	—	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.06	20.31	-2.25
SD	6.31	10.07	12.74
CV	0.35	0.50	—
Max	27	34	+20
Min	9	3	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	43.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	37.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.50	22.50	+2.00
SD	8.53	10.20	10.83
CV	0.35	0.45	—
Max	35	37	+21
Min	7	6	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	18.75%	43.75%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.81	23.38	-1.56
SD	6.84	9.97	9.57
CV	0.31	0.43	—
Max	32	49	+18
Min	10	9	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	43.75%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.06	22.25	-4.19
SD	7.80	9.56	13.56
CV	0.43	0.43	—
Max	35	38	+18
Min	3	6	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	37.50%
35–41	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	25.00%	31.25%	—	6.25%	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.19	18.19	+9.00
SD	6.92	8.60	13.05
CV	0.25	0.47	—
Max	37	38	+35
Min	17	0	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%
35–41	12.50%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	31.25%	—	6.25%	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.25	21.56	+2.69
SD	10.91	12.01	16.90
CV	0.45	0.56	—
Max	38	42	+34
Min	6	0	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	50.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.25	21.00	+6.25
SD	9.43	10.34	14.96
CV	0.35	0.49	—
Max	44	38	+44
Min	10	0	-12

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	37.50%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.25	19.62	+5.62
SD	8.43	7.26	9.03
CV	0.33	0.37	—
Max	38	34	+22
Min	10	6	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	12.50%	25.00%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

Houston Oilers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.75	20.25	+1.50
SD	11.02	10.43	12.12
CV	0.51	0.51	—
Max	42	35	+27
Min	7	3	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	—	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.69	19.75	+0.94
SD	9.00	7.47	6.87
CV	0.44	0.38	—
Max	41	31	+14
Min	10	7	-13

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	31.25%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.19	25.25	-8.06
SD	9.14	10.95	12.22
CV	0.53	0.43	—
Max	31	47	+8
Min	0	10	-44

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	25.00%	—	6.25%	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.38	15.06	+7.31
SD	7.02	9.43	12.30
CV	0.31	0.63	—
Max	34	35	+24
Min	6	3	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	6.25%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.88	20.75	+4.12
SD	9.69	11.89	15.05
CV	0.39	0.57	—
Max	52	44	+38
Min	13	3	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	37.50%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.75	24.06	+1.69
SD	10.31	9.67	11.91
CV	0.40	0.40	—
Max	44	44	+20
Min	6	10	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.38	23.56	-5.19
SD	10.97	9.62	14.57
CV	0.60	0.41	—
Max	35	41	+17
Min	3	7	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	12.50%	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.94	21.75	-1.81
SD	9.10	12.25	10.24
CV	0.46	0.56	—
Max	34	45	+14
Min	3	0	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%	25.00%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.12	21.25	-3.12
SD	10.68	7.61	11.53
CV	0.59	0.36	—
Max	45	35	+16
Min	0	6	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	—	12.50%	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.56	24.00	-9.44
SD	8.69	12.12	14.09
CV	0.60	0.51	—
Max	28	52	+17
Min	0	10	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%
14–20	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	25.00%	—	6.25%	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.75	20.75	+1.00
SD	13.31	10.62	19.47
CV	0.61	0.51	—
Max	48	44	+37
Min	0	7	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	50.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	6.25%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.88	21.12	-1.25
SD	8.20	10.73	13.25
CV	0.41	0.51	—
Max	37	48	+18
Min	6	7	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	—	6.25%	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.44	20.44	+5.00
SD	10.88	10.87	13.49
CV	0.43	0.53	—
Max	49	44	+19
Min	9	3	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	43.75%	18.75%	—	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.06	20.19	-0.12
SD	9.07	7.99	10.46
CV	0.45	0.40	—
Max	35	31	+18
Min	7	6	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	12.50%	37.50%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.56	16.12	+12.44
SD	11.93	7.97	13.67
CV	0.42	0.49	—
Max	44	30	+34
Min	7	3	-6

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	25.00%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.69	22.88	-0.19
SD	12.24	8.45	15.67
CV	0.54	0.37	—
Max	47	35	+34
Min	3	10	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	37.50%	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.31	26.12	-6.81
SD	8.30	11.80	15.27
CV	0.43	0.45	—
Max	34	45	+21
Min	6	10	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	31.25%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.88	20.94	-6.06
SD	5.84	9.73	12.67
CV	0.39	0.46	—
Max	24	37	+15
Min	6	6	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	37.50%	37.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.38	22.44	-2.06
SD	10.90	8.13	10.12
CV	0.53	0.36	—
Max	36	38	+20
Min	3	7	-21

Games Played: 16

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Kansas City Chiefs	13	9.43	+3.57
2	Carolina Panthers	7	4.06	+2.94
3	Philadelphia Eagles	10	8.03	+1.97
4	Detroit Lions	10	8.26	+1.74
5	Green Bay Packers	11	9.62	+1.38

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Cleveland Browns (1st)	5	8.80	-3.80
2	New York Jets	3	6.75	-3.75
3	Arizona Cardinals	4	6.88	-2.88
4	New York Giants	5	7.41	-2.41
5	New England Patriots	6	7.57	-1.57

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Carolina Panthers	4	Oct 15 – Nov 5	1 in 580
2	Pittsburgh Steelers	8	Oct 29 – Dec 16	1 in 77
3	Detroit Lions	7	Nov 12 – Dec 23	1 in 44
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	2	Oct 1 – Oct 8	1 in 31
5	Kansas City Chiefs	7	Oct 1 – Nov 19	1 in 29

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Oakland Raiders	6	Nov 19 – Dec 24	1 in 91
2	San Francisco 49ers	2	Oct 29 – Nov 5	1 in 86
3	Cleveland Browns (1st)	6	Nov 5 – Dec 9	1 in 43
4	New Orleans Saints	5	Sep 3 – Oct 1	1 in 31
5	Miami Dolphins	3	Oct 8 – Oct 22	1 in 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Pittsburgh Steelers	49.81%	28.15%	14.63%	6.74%	0.67%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	29.75%	33.19%	22.17%	13.16%	1.73%
Houston Oilers	11.96%	21.44%	31.91%	29.63%	5.06%
Cincinnati Bengals	8.32%	16.62%	28.26%	37.89%	8.91%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.16%	0.60%	3.03%	12.58%	83.63%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Miami Dolphins	41.36%	26.16%	16.62%	9.99%	5.87%
Buffalo Bills	26.53%	25.59%	21.39%	17.13%	9.36%
Indianapolis Colts	16.12%	21.09%	23.00%	21.86%	17.93%
New England Patriots	11.00%	17.29%	22.65%	25.69%	23.37%
New York Jets	4.99%	9.87%	16.34%	25.33%	43.47%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Kansas City Chiefs	36.25%	25.17%	18.33%	12.91%	7.34%
Oakland Raiders	25.27%	24.24%	20.63%	17.41%	12.45%
San Diego Chargers	16.76%	19.86%	21.86%	21.89%	19.63%
Denver Broncos	15.62%	19.21%	22.28%	22.97%	19.92%
Seattle Seahawks	6.10%	11.52%	16.90%	24.82%	40.66%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Green Bay Packers	37.92%	25.03%	17.80%	12.06%	7.19%
Chicago Bears	26.11%	24.24%	20.69%	16.96%	12.00%
Detroit Lions	14.96%	19.21%	22.84%	23.05%	19.94%
Minnesota Vikings	14.67%	20.34%	21.31%	22.45%	21.23%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6.34%	11.18%	17.36%	25.48%	39.64%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Dallas Cowboys	73.82%	16.51%	6.34%	2.65%	0.68%
Philadelphia Eagles	11.10%	30.09%	25.04%	20.25%	13.52%
New York Giants	7.22%	22.55%	25.33%	23.79%	21.11%
Arizona Cardinals	4.14%	16.10%	22.25%	26.66%	30.85%
Washington Redskins	3.72%	14.75%	21.04%	26.65%	33.84%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
San Francisco 49ers	79.27%	15.09%	4.45%	1.08%	0.11%
Atlanta Falcons	9.39%	32.45%	30.31%	23.09%	4.76%
New Orleans Saints	6.14%	27.10%	30.51%	28.94%	7.31%
St. Louis Rams	5.07%	24.02%	30.47%	32.05%	8.39%
Carolina Panthers	0.13%	1.34%	4.26%	14.84%	79.43%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Pittsburgh Steelers	17.19%	14.70%	13.46%	9.51%	8.86%	8.83%	6.34%	5.24%	4.71%	3.88%	2.46%	2.32%	1.32%	0.85%	0.33%
Miami Dolphins	15.77%	13.39%	11.16%	9.79%	9.00%	7.80%	6.53%	6.27%	5.17%	3.92%	3.70%	2.93%	2.28%	1.85%	0.44%
Kansas City Chiefs	15.38%	12.78%	11.30%	10.41%	8.33%	7.21%	7.30%	6.16%	5.01%	4.93%	3.68%	2.95%	2.62%	1.59%	0.35%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	8.80%	9.13%	9.32%	10.14%	9.16%	9.74%	7.91%	6.70%	7.14%	5.30%	5.57%	4.99%	3.27%	1.95%	0.88%
Oakland Raiders	10.04%	9.67%	9.04%	8.88%	8.70%	7.60%	7.83%	7.31%	6.30%	6.35%	5.28%	4.73%	4.30%	3.29%	0.68%
Buffalo Bills	8.02%	9.32%	9.14%	8.36%	9.20%	8.32%	8.01%	7.50%	6.76%	6.73%	6.12%	4.66%	4.10%	3.11%	0.65%
San Diego Chargers	6.37%	6.25%	6.31%	7.57%	7.07%	7.68%	8.09%	7.66%	7.34%	7.72%	7.13%	6.95%	6.80%	5.62%	1.44%
Denver Broncos	5.19%	5.90%	6.83%	7.26%	7.41%	7.04%	8.22%	7.92%	7.43%	8.04%	7.61%	7.28%	6.96%	5.67%	1.24%
Indianapolis Colts	4.18%	5.71%	6.65%	6.68%	7.58%	7.14%	7.93%	8.73%	7.63%	7.68%	8.13%	6.83%	6.58%	6.64%	1.91%
Houston Oilers	2.32%	3.43%	4.66%	4.85%	5.96%	7.40%	7.20%	8.22%	9.81%	9.03%	9.64%	10.15%	8.37%	5.98%	2.98%
New England Patriots	2.62%	3.65%	4.19%	5.58%	6.14%	6.49%	7.04%	8.01%	8.37%	8.72%	9.76%	9.35%	8.81%	8.75%	2.52%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.22%	2.51%	2.71%	3.79%	4.61%	5.40%	6.31%	7.30%	8.62%	8.93%	9.56%	12.31%	11.25%	9.86%	5.62%
Seattle Seahawks	1.83%	2.15%	3.04%	4.26%	4.46%	5.09%	5.99%	6.70%	7.51%	9.17%	9.62%	10.09%	12.48%	12.54%	5.07%
New York Jets	1.07%	1.38%	2.14%	2.86%	3.42%	4.13%	5.05%	5.91%	7.38%	8.17%	9.92%	10.66%	13.80%	17.81%	6.30%
Jacksonville Jaguars	—	0.03%	0.05%	0.06%	0.10%	0.13%	0.25%	0.37%	0.82%	1.43%	1.82%	3.80%	7.06%	14.49%	69.59%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
San Francisco 49ers	36.34%	24.33%	16.39%	7.67%	5.29%	3.63%	2.36%	1.43%	1.04%	0.65%	0.49%	0.23%	0.06%	0.05%	0.04%
Dallas Cowboys	30.23%	21.93%	16.56%	9.25%	6.08%	4.61%	3.50%	2.55%	1.63%	1.25%	1.11%	0.66%	0.37%	0.22%	0.05%
Green Bay Packers	10.23%	13.98%	13.58%	12.54%	9.80%	7.86%	7.57%	5.78%	4.80%	4.09%	3.57%	2.19%	2.41%	1.31%	0.29%
Chicago Bears	6.10%	9.84%	11.11%	11.15%	9.43%	8.69%	8.05%	7.31%	6.48%	6.31%	5.01%	4.18%	3.50%	2.27%	0.57%
Detroit Lions	3.28%	5.17%	6.87%	8.50%	7.98%	8.16%	8.59%	8.46%	7.67%	8.56%	7.16%	6.35%	6.57%	4.99%	1.69%
Minnesota Vikings	3.14%	5.54%	7.04%	8.14%	8.52%	7.78%	8.39%	8.05%	7.91%	7.67%	7.74%	6.31%	6.69%	5.36%	1.72%
Atlanta Falcons	2.83%	3.70%	4.80%	7.07%	8.94%	9.89%	9.18%	9.13%	9.52%	7.80%	7.64%	7.84%	5.54%	3.76%	2.36%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.20%	3.89%	5.83%	7.61%	8.98%	8.76%	8.84%	8.63%	8.70%	7.71%	7.60%	7.31%	6.23%	5.68%	2.03%
New Orleans Saints	1.33%	2.59%	3.42%	5.88%	7.63%	8.64%	8.18%	9.14%	9.24%	8.32%	9.20%	9.32%	7.65%	5.79%	3.67%
St. Louis Rams	1.25%	1.95%	3.27%	5.08%	6.58%	7.68%	7.92%	8.32%	9.36%	9.44%	9.85%	10.19%	8.56%	6.22%	4.33%
New York Giants	1.20%	2.49%	3.68%	5.36%	6.54%	7.30%	7.82%	8.56%	8.53%	8.50%	8.68%	8.94%	8.46%	9.92%	4.02%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.99%	2.16%	3.12%	4.89%	5.00%	5.79%	7.11%	7.28%	8.24%	9.94%	9.69%	9.61%	11.71%	9.98%	4.49%
Arizona Cardinals	0.46%	1.33%	2.22%	3.56%	4.81%	5.52%	6.11%	7.51%	7.79%	8.84%	9.48%	10.99%	11.13%	12.48%	7.77%
Washington Redskins	0.42%	1.08%	2.05%	3.16%	4.21%	5.22%	5.86%	6.93%	7.81%	8.77%	9.50%	10.77%	11.98%	14.28%	7.96%
Carolina Panthers	—	0.02%	0.06%	0.14%	0.21%	0.47%	0.52%	0.92%	1.28%	2.15%	3.28%	5.11%	9.14%	17.69%	59.01%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
San Francisco 49ers	26.42%	15.79%	12.87%	9.40%	7.24%	6.06%	4.34%	3.26%	2.49%	2.23%	1.82%	1.59%	1.30%	1.17%	0.86%	0.71%	0.55%	0.40%	0.36%	0.30%	0.33%	0.15%	0.14%	0.07%	0.05%	0.01%	0.05%	0.03%	0.01%	—
Dallas Cowboys	20.97%	13.63%	11.34%	9.04%	8.04%	6.32%	4.94%	3.77%	3.24%	2.84%	2.32%	2.23%	1.63%	1.47%	1.82%	0.99%	0.90%	0.88%	0.65%	0.69%	0.58%	0.37%	0.47%	0.30%	0.26%	0.11%	0.12%	0.06%	0.02%	—
Pittsburgh Steelers	6.72%	8.18%	6.98%	8.10%	6.26%	6.88%	5.45%	5.17%	4.94%	4.32%	4.45%	4.26%	3.42%	3.25%	3.09%	2.63%	2.19%	2.33%	1.96%	2.05%	1.53%	1.30%	1.02%	0.99%	0.69%	0.73%	0.42%	0.39%	0.21%	0.09%
Green Bay Packers	6.75%	6.23%	7.80%	6.10%	7.17%	5.76%	6.52%	5.28%	4.94%	4.52%	4.17%	3.85%	3.79%	3.18%	3.03%	2.65%	2.53%	2.37%	2.20%	1.79%	1.84%	1.46%	1.34%	1.16%	1.11%	0.96%	0.71%	0.48%	0.26%	0.05%
Miami Dolphins	5.75%	7.65%	6.84%	6.45%	5.68%	6.30%	5.29%	5.10%	4.77%	4.72%	4.20%	3.57%	3.95%	3.25%	2.97%	3.00%	2.87%	2.49%	2.47%	1.72%	1.80%	1.83%	1.58%	1.50%	1.22%	1.00%	0.87%	0.75%	0.31%	0.10%
Kansas City Chiefs	5.27%	7.62%	6.33%	6.73%	6.17%	5.88%	5.50%	5.27%	4.67%	4.53%	4.07%	3.68%	3.60%	3.42%	3.27%	3.03%	2.87%	2.50%	2.53%	2.05%	2.12%	1.75%	1.66%	1.48%	1.10%	1.15%	0.84%	0.49%	0.29%	0.13%
Chicago Bears	3.60%	4.38%	5.02%	5.14%	5.58%	5.26%	5.36%	5.06%	5.09%	4.31%	4.14%	4.25%	4.18%	3.95%	3.74%	3.47%	3.39%	3.10%	3.01%	2.88%	2.48%	2.65%	2.02%	1.98%	1.77%	1.47%	1.32%	0.91%	0.30%	0.19%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2.84%	4.21%	4.07%	5.00%	4.72%	5.25%	4.94%	5.15%	4.74%	4.95%	4.61%	4.93%	3.74%	4.41%	3.61%	3.51%	3.38%	3.34%	2.72%	3.01%	2.95%	2.87%	2.28%	2.42%	1.86%	1.57%	1.16%	0.88%	0.60%	0.28%
Oakland Raiders	3.42%	4.80%	4.83%	4.87%	5.26%	4.75%	4.53%	4.27%	5.06%	4.16%	4.12%	3.89%	4.31%	3.63%	3.75%	3.74%	3.53%	3.11%	3.27%	2.72%	2.84%	2.76%	2.51%	1.97%	1.94%	2.14%	1.62%	1.41%	0.58%	0.21%
Buffalo Bills	2.51%	4.06%	4.09%	4.85%	4.39%	5.10%	4.08%	4.78%	4.60%	4.89%	4.45%	4.33%	3.95%	4.09%	4.01%	3.62%	3.62%	3.55%	3.69%	3.04%	3.25%	2.90%	2.48%	2.30%	2.13%	1.76%	1.74%	1.09%	0.46%	0.19%
San Diego Chargers	2.07%	2.87%	3.23%	3.23%	3.37%	3.34%	3.72%	4.01%	3.77%	3.39%	4.47%	3.69%	4.54%	3.91%	3.74%	3.82%	4.44%	3.42%	3.63%	3.69%	3.69%	3.79%	3.69%	3.41%	3.29%	2.98%	2.67%	2.59%	1.06%	0.48%
Detroit Lions	1.88%	1.93%	2.74%	3.25%	3.59%	3.41%	3.72%	3.97%	3.97%	4.25%	3.81%	4.19%	4.20%	4.27%	3.93%	4.10%	4.11%	3.93%	3.92%	4.09%	3.62%	3.93%	3.47%	3.00%	3.28%	3.12%	2.54%	2.16%	1.21%	0.41%
Minnesota Vikings	1.73%	2.11%	3.20%	2.76%	3.55%	3.38%	4.36%	3.79%	3.95%	3.91%	4.41%	3.43%	4.12%	4.06%	4.22%	3.63%	4.32%	3.68%	3.96%	3.77%	4.23%	3.39%	3.22%	3.22%	3.55%	2.91%	3.01%	2.39%	1.29%	0.45%
Denver Broncos	1.37%	2.55%	2.51%	3.46%	3.61%	3.62%	3.45%	3.91%	3.92%	3.97%	3.89%	3.86%	4.21%	4.09%	3.74%	4.08%	3.89%	4.06%	4.07%	3.98%	3.91%	3.56%	3.91%	3.44%	3.34%	3.21%	2.73%	2.19%	1.13%	0.34%
Indianapolis Colts	1.22%	2.26%	2.37%	3.23%	2.67%	3.68%	3.17%	4.16%	3.72%	3.88%	3.78%	3.81%	4.06%	3.88%	4.12%	4.51%	4.23%	3.93%	4.04%	3.90%	3.95%	3.82%	3.44%	3.48%	3.19%	3.79%	2.97%	2.64%	1.32%	0.78%
Atlanta Falcons	1.38%	1.93%	1.94%	1.92%	2.94%	2.84%	3.37%	3.39%	4.13%	4.37%	3.91%	4.99%	4.33%	4.67%	4.46%	4.73%	4.38%	4.48%	3.86%	3.91%	4.02%	3.68%	3.85%	3.91%	3.11%	3.01%	2.42%	1.84%	1.40%	0.83%
Philadelphia Eagles	1.22%	1.49%	2.10%	2.34%	2.93%	3.01%	3.94%	3.74%	3.89%	4.08%	4.56%	4.22%	4.15%	4.33%	4.34%	4.33%	4.25%	3.82%	3.97%	4.04%	4.24%	3.40%	3.73%	3.55%	3.66%	3.23%	2.86%	2.43%	1.61%	0.54%
New Orleans Saints	0.66%	1.01%	1.44%	1.38%	1.91%	1.99%	2.80%	2.95%	3.26%	3.73%	4.11%	4.00%	4.17%	4.12%	4.29%	4.58%	4.10%	4.61%	4.26%	4.17%	4.20%	4.82%	4.59%	4.61%	3.86%	3.99%	3.28%	3.59%	2.27%	1.25%
Houston Oilers	0.52%	1.22%	1.40%	1.75%	2.01%	2.67%	2.23%	2.80%	2.83%	3.51%	3.31%	3.49%	3.94%	3.90%	3.83%	4.26%	4.26%	4.87%	4.37%	5.22%	4.51%	5.02%	5.05%	4.74%	4.22%	4.40%	3.28%	3.33%	1.99%	1.07%
New England Patriots	0.67%	1.23%	1.33%	2.25%	1.80%	2.15%	2.75%	3.15%	3.15%	3.14%	3.34%	3.48%	3.27%	3.72%	4.33%	3.92%	3.98%	4.46%	4.49%	4.27%	4.85%	5.00%	4.97%	4.60%	4.59%	4.26%	4.00%	3.93%	1.93%	0.99%
St. Louis Rams	0.62%	0.73%	1.28%	1.16%	1.74%	1.94%	2.43%	2.69%	2.91%	3.15%	3.30%	3.81%	3.61%	4.06%	4.08%	4.17%	4.15%	4.67%	4.55%	5.13%	4.49%	4.70%	4.60%	5.40%	4.71%	4.37%	3.80%	3.58%	2.88%	1.29%
New York Giants	0.72%	0.69%	1.37%	1.53%	2.01%	1.77%	2.64%	2.50%	3.32%	3.03%	3.33%	3.59%	4.01%	3.76%	4.00%	4.16%	3.70%	4.24%	4.54%	4.32%	4.26%	4.51%	4.64%	4.33%	4.41%	4.86%	4.85%	4.86%	2.80%	1.25%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.43%	0.74%	1.20%	1.19%	1.38%	1.87%	2.43%	2.45%	2.44%	2.50%	2.95%	3.17%	3.21%	3.41%	3.68%	3.98%	4.08%	4.93%	4.54%	4.81%	4.61%	4.92%	4.71%	5.03%	5.59%	5.67%	4.95%	4.57%	2.97%	1.59%
Seattle Seahawks	0.45%	0.89%	0.82%	1.35%	1.36%	1.74%	1.98%	2.22%	2.22%	2.44%	2.49%	3.03%	3.20%	3.17%	3.23%	3.36%	4.51%	3.69%	4.24%	4.39%	4.75%	5.06%	5.20%	5.09%	5.95%	5.87%	6.01%	5.60%	3.46%	2.23%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.28%	0.68%	0.85%	1.19%	1.33%	1.46%	1.71%	1.96%	2.23%	2.56%	2.81%	2.60%	3.05%	3.48%	3.46%	3.75%	3.80%	4.36%	4.42%	5.07%	4.36%	4.96%	5.45%	6.36%	4.89%	6.16%	5.38%	5.38%	3.66%	2.35%
Arizona Cardinals	0.21%	0.29%	0.71%	0.84%	1.37%	1.32%	1.60%	1.75%	2.10%	2.25%	2.60%	2.73%	3.01%	3.11%	3.46%	3.77%	3.52%	3.99%	4.31%	4.65%	4.57%	5.14%	5.12%	5.51%	6.18%	5.53%	6.61%	6.36%	4.58%	2.81%
Washington Redskins	0.12%	0.29%	0.67%	0.78%	0.96%	1.06%	1.48%	1.70%	1.76%	2.30%	2.48%	2.57%	2.49%	3.13%	3.46%	3.47%	3.91%	3.77%	4.06%	4.45%	4.79%	4.72%	5.65%	5.33%	6.56%	6.11%	6.89%	7.16%	5.27%	2.61%
New York Jets	0.20%	0.54%	0.65%	0.69%	0.92%	1.13%	1.17%	1.66%	1.76%	1.95%	1.87%	2.50%	2.25%	2.72%	2.92%	3.43%	3.63%	3.95%	4.20%	4.06%	5.07%	5.00%	5.15%	6.09%	6.58%	6.60%	7.81%	7.74%	4.80%	2.96%
Carolina Panthers	—	—	0.01%	0.02%	0.02%	0.03%	0.07%	0.06%	0.12%	0.05%	0.22%	0.18%	0.17%	0.30%	0.41%	0.40%	0.62%	0.68%	0.91%	1.17%	1.32%	1.76%	2.41%	2.66%	4.01%	5.15%	8.37%	12.01%	27.19%	29.68%
Jacksonville Jaguars	—	—	0.01%	—	0.02%	0.03%	0.03%	0.03%	0.01%	0.07%	0.01%	0.08%	0.14%	0.09%	0.15%	0.20%	0.29%	0.39%	0.80%	0.66%	0.84%	0.78%	1.65%	2.07%	2.90%	3.88%	6.72%	9.16%	24.14%	44.85%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Pittsburgh Steelers	17.19%	15.63%	16.99%	7.62%	7.58%	7.93%	27.06%
Miami Dolphins	15.77%	13.86%	11.73%	9.02%	8.94%	7.58%	33.10%
Kansas City Chiefs	15.38%	12.27%	8.60%	12.49%	8.92%	7.57%	34.77%
Oakland Raiders	10.04%	8.67%	6.56%	11.16%	9.37%	8.00%	46.20%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	8.80%	9.57%	11.38%	8.68%	8.99%	9.27%	43.31%
Buffalo Bills	8.02%	9.37%	9.14%	8.27%	9.07%	8.53%	47.60%
San Diego Chargers	6.37%	5.87%	4.52%	8.97%	7.29%	7.94%	59.04%
Denver Broncos	5.19%	5.42%	5.01%	8.24%	8.18%	7.35%	60.61%
Indianapolis Colts	4.18%	5.67%	6.27%	6.81%	7.74%	7.21%	62.12%
New England Patriots	2.62%	3.67%	4.71%	4.89%	6.17%	6.55%	71.39%
Houston Oilers	2.32%	3.67%	5.97%	4.18%	5.58%	7.14%	71.14%
Seattle Seahawks	1.83%	2.02%	2.25%	4.48%	4.55%	5.48%	79.39%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.22%	2.74%	4.36%	2.71%	4.28%	5.12%	79.57%
New York Jets	1.07%	1.53%	2.39%	2.45%	3.26%	4.22%	85.08%
Jacksonville Jaguars	—	0.04%	0.12%	0.03%	0.08%	0.11%	99.62%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
San Francisco 49ers	36.34%	24.85%	18.08%	6.54%	4.49%	3.49%	6.21%
Dallas Cowboys	30.23%	23.01%	20.58%	6.05%	4.95%	4.01%	11.17%
Green Bay Packers	10.23%	14.27%	13.42%	12.06%	9.95%	8.01%	32.06%
Chicago Bears	6.10%	9.83%	10.18%	11.58%	9.55%	9.01%	43.75%
Detroit Lions	3.28%	5.24%	6.44%	8.41%	8.10%	8.39%	60.14%
Minnesota Vikings	3.14%	5.33%	6.20%	8.71%	8.62%	8.10%	59.90%
Atlanta Falcons	2.83%	3.13%	3.43%	8.46%	9.51%	9.85%	62.79%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.20%	3.51%	5.39%	8.37%	9.21%	8.62%	62.70%
New Orleans Saints	1.33%	2.26%	2.55%	6.76%	7.99%	8.60%	70.51%
St. Louis Rams	1.25%	1.72%	2.10%	6.06%	6.96%	7.73%	74.18%
New York Giants	1.20%	2.37%	3.65%	5.67%	6.46%	7.21%	73.44%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.99%	2.15%	3.20%	4.51%	5.10%	5.95%	78.10%
Arizona Cardinals	0.46%	1.17%	2.51%	3.57%	4.76%	5.44%	82.09%
Washington Redskins	0.42%	1.15%	2.15%	3.11%	4.16%	5.16%	83.85%
Carolina Panthers	—	0.01%	0.12%	0.14%	0.19%	0.43%	99.11%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
San Francisco 49ers	85.94%	85.94%	60.92%	38.59%	25.76%
Dallas Cowboys	79.36%	79.36%	52.22%	30.13%	19.08%
Kansas City Chiefs	53.28%	53.28%	34.47%	21.73%	10.65%
Pittsburgh Steelers	59.15%	59.15%	36.32%	20.91%	9.38%
Green Bay Packers	52.05%	52.05%	25.76%	11.68%	6.54%
Miami Dolphins	50.19%	50.19%	28.47%	15.08%	5.64%
San Diego Chargers	28.72%	27.79%	14.39%	7.15%	2.69%
Detroit Lions	31.34%	26.14%	11.09%	4.27%	2.60%
Buffalo Bills	35.01%	34.48%	16.27%	7.07%	2.35%
Oakland Raiders	35.20%	35.20%	14.92%	6.54%	2.25%
Chicago Bears	40.32%	35.43%	13.45%	4.28%	1.92%
Denver Broncos	28.78%	24.70%	11.21%	5.06%	1.63%
Minnesota Vikings	31.63%	24.05%	8.94%	3.08%	1.49%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	38.32%	33.71%	12.34%	4.31%	1.40%
Indianapolis Colts	28.03%	22.82%	9.54%	3.86%	1.25%
Philadelphia Eagles	31.59%	20.06%	7.01%	2.24%	1.01%
Atlanta Falcons	31.25%	18.96%	6.17%	2.25%	0.88%
New England Patriots	22.32%	15.41%	6.01%	2.24%	0.74%
Houston Oilers	22.87%	15.54%	6.46%	2.73%	0.72%
Seattle Seahawks	16.76%	11.53%	4.66%	1.56%	0.59%
Cincinnati Bengals	16.47%	10.13%	3.51%	1.31%	0.35%
New York Giants	22.99%	12.50%	3.66%	1.04%	0.33%
New Orleans Saints	25.90%	13.46%	3.74%	0.91%	0.26%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	18.76%	9.37%	1.96%	0.38%	0.14%
St. Louis Rams	22.85%	9.21%	1.97%	0.37%	0.11%
Washington Redskins	14.58%	6.71%	1.66%	0.43%	0.11%
Arizona Cardinals	16.28%	6.53%	1.41%	0.35%	0.09%
New York Jets	12.32%	5.95%	1.42%	0.44%	0.04%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.34%	0.12%	0.01%	0.01%	—
Carolina Panthers	0.88%	0.23%	0.04%	—	—

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills		1.05%	2.04%	1.35%	1.07%	1.24%	0.01%	1.46%	1.87%	1.04%	0.66%	1.95%	1.26%	1.18%	0.91%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.49%		0.69%	0.64%	0.30%	0.42%		0.39%	0.43%	0.45%	0.29%	0.80%	0.53%	0.43%	0.31%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	1.58%	0.57%		1.31%	0.86%	1.41%	0.04%	1.05%	1.26%	1.22%	0.85%	1.65%	1.57%	1.09%	0.88%
Denver Broncos	1.40%	0.79%	1.91%		0.96%	1.22%	0.01%	0.87%	1.37%	1.20%	0.70%	1.10%	1.14%	0.87%	0.55%
Houston Oilers	1.02%	0.47%	1.03%	0.76%		0.85%	0.01%	0.52%	0.88%	0.76%	0.45%	0.96%	0.79%	0.64%	0.41%
Indianapolis Colts	0.93%	0.59%	1.80%	1.24%	0.94%			0.92%	1.17%	0.68%	0.55%	1.45%	0.85%	1.13%	0.72%
Jacksonville Jaguars									0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%		0.03%
Kansas City Chiefs	2.54%	1.60%	3.20%	1.74%	1.85%	1.95%	0.05%		2.57%	1.69%	1.23%	2.18%	2.16%	1.82%	1.05%
Miami Dolphins	2.14%	1.11%	1.86%	1.82%	1.26%	1.60%	0.01%	1.68%		1.38%	0.83%	2.40%	1.54%	1.68%	1.25%
New England Patriots	0.85%	0.55%	1.10%	0.70%	0.64%	0.45%	0.01%	0.63%	0.78%		0.29%	1.18%	0.67%	0.74%	0.53%
New York Jets	0.26%	0.29%	0.48%	0.35%	0.26%	0.22%	0.02%	0.18%	0.24%	0.14%		0.31%	0.23%	0.21%	0.16%
Oakland Raiders	1.82%	0.88%	2.10%	1.33%	1.33%	1.34%	0.02%	1.06%	1.77%	1.34%	0.82%		1.13%	1.01%	0.54%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.41%	1.33%	3.86%	2.16%	2.12%	2.18%	0.02%	1.69%	2.11%	1.70%	1.15%	2.57%		1.90%	1.13%
San Diego Chargers	1.66%	0.70%	1.98%	0.91%	1.12%	1.42%	0.04%	1.06%	1.53%	1.04%	0.69%	1.40%	1.39%		0.61%
Seattle Seahawks	0.82%	0.37%	0.93%	0.38%	0.61%	0.76%	0.02%	0.44%	0.72%	0.55%	0.45%	0.64%	0.52%	0.47%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		0.47%		0.64%	0.41%	0.43%	0.51%	0.39%	0.35%	0.21%	0.19%	0.21%	0.52%	0.43%	0.14%
Atlanta Falcons	0.68%			1.85%	0.71%	1.03%	1.28%	1.42%	0.66%	0.95%	1.30%	0.73%	0.72%	1.05%	0.62%
Carolina Panthers	0.01%	0.01%		0.04%	0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.02%		0.01%	0.03%	0.02%	0.02%	0.01%	0.01%
Chicago Bears	1.31%	1.98%	0.07%		0.81%	1.55%	1.85%	1.56%	2.00%	1.52%	1.83%	0.83%	2.03%	1.06%	1.10%
Dallas Cowboys	1.82%	2.57%	0.13%	2.75%		1.98%	2.31%	2.06%	1.95%	1.88%	2.43%	0.97%	2.09%	1.63%	1.55%
Detroit Lions	0.90%	1.61%	0.05%	1.78%	1.13%		1.63%	1.22%	1.62%	1.50%	1.82%	0.89%	1.81%	0.87%	0.79%
Green Bay Packers	1.78%	2.91%	0.13%	3.24%	1.32%	1.91%		2.26%	2.51%	2.13%	2.93%	1.04%	2.51%	1.49%	1.39%
Minnesota Vikings	1.04%	1.68%	0.06%	1.67%	0.87%	0.93%	1.34%		1.33%	1.28%	1.66%	0.66%	1.36%	0.77%	0.93%
New Orleans Saints	0.57%	0.64%		1.37%	0.64%	0.79%	0.96%	0.93%		0.79%	1.03%	0.49%	0.39%	0.79%	0.48%
New York Giants	0.32%	0.87%	0.03%	1.04%	0.70%	0.71%	0.63%	1.00%	0.74%		0.48%	0.50%	0.84%	0.83%	0.24%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.55%	1.53%	0.04%	1.84%	1.01%	1.18%	1.46%	1.56%	1.18%	0.73%		0.61%	1.24%	1.04%	0.38%
San Francisco 49ers	1.34%	2.57%	0.10%	2.51%	0.79%	1.98%	2.13%	2.16%	2.33%	1.81%	2.15%		2.06%	1.70%	1.12%
St. Louis Rams	0.41%	0.24%		0.85%	0.39%	0.52%	0.68%	0.65%	0.32%	0.40%	0.57%	0.38%		0.50%	0.33%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.56%	0.58%	0.02%	0.58%	0.30%	0.35%	0.50%	0.32%	0.65%	0.56%	0.60%	0.26%	0.59%		0.36%
Washington Redskins	0.09%	0.59%	0.03%	0.66%	0.38%	0.35%	0.59%	0.50%	0.39%	0.29%	0.22%	0.26%	0.43%	0.36%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills		0.65%	1.95%	0.94%	0.85%	0.99%	0.01%	1.74%	2.08%	0.64%	0.31%	1.79%	2.55%	1.24%	0.53%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.34%		0.32%	0.20%	0.07%	0.16%		0.38%	0.36%	0.25%	0.14%	0.43%	0.48%	0.25%	0.13%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	1.33%	0.35%		0.86%	0.47%	0.88%	0.01%	1.20%	1.72%	0.79%	0.42%	1.25%	1.79%	0.89%	0.38%
Denver Broncos	0.84%	0.42%	1.42%		0.57%	0.81%	0.01%	1.34%	1.47%	0.53%	0.23%	1.21%	1.41%	0.60%	0.35%
Houston Oilers	0.60%	0.09%	0.39%	0.31%		0.46%		0.63%	1.04%	0.35%	0.16%	0.93%	0.86%	0.34%	0.30%
Indianapolis Colts	0.85%	0.41%	1.07%	0.72%	0.55%			0.89%	1.20%	0.33%	0.17%	0.88%	1.53%	0.64%	0.30%
Jacksonville Jaguars								0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.94%	1.25%	3.50%	2.74%	1.55%	2.41%	0.04%		4.21%	1.65%	0.77%	4.20%	4.58%	2.50%	1.13%
Miami Dolphins	2.77%	0.89%	3.58%	2.07%	1.51%	2.14%	0.02%	3.24%		1.35%	0.56%	2.98%	4.10%	2.12%	1.14%
New England Patriots	0.48%	0.26%	0.68%	0.42%	0.33%	0.37%		0.56%	0.57%		0.13%	0.68%	0.84%	0.39%	0.30%
New York Jets	0.14%	0.05%	0.21%	0.13%	0.08%	0.07%		0.07%	0.19%	0.04%		0.15%	0.17%	0.09%	0.03%
Oakland Raiders	1.40%	0.54%	1.74%	1.04%	0.70%	1.04%	0.01%	1.90%	1.86%	0.75%	0.36%		2.02%	1.09%	0.47%
Pittsburgh Steelers	3.87%	0.98%	4.48%	2.58%	1.60%	2.81%		4.69%	4.68%	1.66%	0.87%	3.84%		3.00%	1.26%
San Diego Chargers	1.29%	0.60%	1.53%	1.06%	0.60%	0.73%	0.01%	1.70%	1.80%	0.78%	0.32%	1.49%	1.93%		0.55%
Seattle Seahawks	0.36%	0.13%	0.50%	0.42%	0.20%	0.41%		0.46%	0.54%	0.28%	0.09%	0.45%	0.57%	0.25%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		0.06%		0.16%	0.18%	0.16%	0.19%	0.14%	0.07%	0.04%	0.03%	0.24%	0.11%	0.02%	0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	0.15%			0.61%	1.03%	0.51%	0.80%	0.39%	0.16%	0.28%	0.29%	1.42%	0.14%	0.24%	0.15%
Carolina Panthers				0.02%				0.01%			0.01%
Chicago Bears	0.50%	0.84%	0.01%		2.90%	0.72%	1.97%	0.90%	0.68%	0.56%	0.82%	2.44%	0.42%	0.30%	0.39%
Dallas Cowboys	1.45%	3.27%	0.09%	7.16%		4.44%	8.42%	4.90%	2.71%	2.61%	3.90%	7.44%	2.04%	2.40%	1.39%
Detroit Lions	0.25%	0.59%		0.88%	2.36%		1.50%	0.58%	0.41%	0.49%	0.67%	2.62%	0.29%	0.23%	0.22%
Green Bay Packers	0.68%	1.42%	0.02%	3.02%	5.54%	1.71%		1.63%	1.12%	1.27%	1.93%	5.21%	0.72%	0.72%	0.77%
Minnesota Vikings	0.28%	0.50%	0.02%	0.74%	2.08%	0.44%	1.06%		0.34%	0.39%	0.62%	1.73%	0.30%	0.19%	0.25%
New Orleans Saints	0.06%	0.15%		0.38%	0.65%	0.28%	0.50%	0.13%		0.18%	0.20%	0.90%	0.05%	0.14%	0.12%
New York Giants	0.06%	0.29%		0.31%	0.63%	0.13%	0.58%	0.34%	0.15%		0.12%	0.62%	0.13%	0.21%	0.09%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.10%	0.34%		0.56%	1.58%	0.65%	1.03%	0.40%	0.30%	0.26%		1.27%	0.18%	0.25%	0.09%
San Francisco 49ers	1.43%	5.02%	0.05%	7.58%	9.10%	5.67%	9.53%	5.28%	3.56%	2.57%	4.26%		2.76%	2.58%	1.53%
St. Louis Rams	0.06%	0.07%		0.19%	0.45%	0.13%	0.26%	0.14%	0.05%	0.09%	0.06%	0.36%		0.09%	0.02%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.06%	0.14%		0.15%	0.36%	0.11%	0.21%	0.10%	0.12%	0.09%	0.12%	0.40%	0.08%		0.02%
Washington Redskins	0.04%	0.10%		0.22%	0.28%	0.10%	0.24%	0.17%	0.05%	0.01%	0.02%	0.37%	0.02%	0.04%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills		0.23%	0.57%	0.55%	0.26%	0.23%	1.22%	0.71%	0.10%	0.03%	0.94%	1.38%	0.58%	0.27%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.13%		0.06%	0.04%	0.02%	0.05%	0.25%	0.24%	0.07%	0.03%	0.11%	0.09%	0.14%	0.08%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	0.40%	0.10%		0.37%	0.13%	0.22%	0.61%	0.60%	0.19%	0.09%	0.59%	0.45%	0.43%	0.13%
Denver Broncos	0.51%	0.10%	0.52%		0.19%	0.41%	0.56%	0.87%	0.30%	0.08%	0.31%	0.76%	0.33%	0.12%
Houston Oilers	0.24%	0.03%	0.17%	0.26%		0.16%	0.41%	0.32%	0.10%	0.03%	0.31%	0.33%	0.27%	0.10%
Indianapolis Colts	0.22%	0.09%	0.34%	0.25%	0.13%		0.73%	0.40%	0.07%	0.02%	0.41%	0.76%	0.32%	0.12%
Jacksonville Jaguars									0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	2.58%	0.58%	2.18%	0.99%	1.00%	1.55%		3.78%	0.89%	0.26%	1.35%	4.89%	1.10%	0.58%
Miami Dolphins	1.00%	0.30%	1.52%	1.26%	0.55%	0.44%	2.76%		0.39%	0.06%	1.58%	3.29%	1.45%	0.48%
New England Patriots	0.11%	0.10%	0.15%	0.22%	0.15%	0.06%	0.38%	0.17%		0.03%	0.27%	0.45%	0.11%	0.04%
New York Jets	0.02%	0.03%	0.03%	0.02%	0.02%		0.03%	0.02%	0.03%		0.08%	0.06%	0.07%	0.03%
Oakland Raiders	0.68%	0.14%	0.67%	0.21%	0.33%	0.43%	0.81%	1.13%	0.29%	0.06%		1.32%	0.32%	0.15%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.34%	0.31%	1.04%	1.62%	0.50%	1.37%	4.09%	3.66%	0.85%	0.17%	2.04%		2.03%	0.89%
San Diego Chargers	0.77%	0.13%	0.62%	0.33%	0.40%	0.67%	0.72%	1.22%	0.40%	0.09%	0.34%	1.35%		0.11%
Seattle Seahawks	0.20%	0.06%	0.16%	0.03%	0.05%	0.09%	0.17%	0.27%	0.08%	0.03%	0.05%	0.28%	0.09%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		0.02%		0.05%	0.05%	0.01%	0.02%	0.02%	0.02%	0.02%	0.04%	0.06%	0.03%	0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	0.02%			0.22%	0.58%	0.17%	0.31%	0.09%	0.05%	0.14%	0.07%	0.50%	0.04%	0.04%	0.02%
Chicago Bears	0.03%	0.22%			1.17%	0.24%	0.47%	0.12%	0.23%	0.10%	0.25%	1.28%	0.12%	0.01%	0.04%
Dallas Cowboys	0.22%	1.57%	0.03%	2.89%		2.42%	4.63%	1.90%	0.99%	0.55%	0.91%	12.72%	0.47%	0.63%	0.20%
Detroit Lions	0.05%	0.19%		0.23%	1.03%		0.54%	0.21%	0.20%	0.11%	0.21%	1.33%	0.09%	0.03%	0.05%
Green Bay Packers	0.13%	0.62%		0.63%	3.41%	0.61%		0.38%	0.44%	0.29%	0.66%	4.01%	0.19%	0.13%	0.18%
Minnesota Vikings	0.04%	0.15%		0.19%	0.71%	0.14%	0.30%		0.07%	0.10%	0.21%	0.91%	0.11%	0.05%	0.10%
New Orleans Saints		0.02%		0.10%	0.22%	0.06%	0.17%	0.04%		0.02%	0.07%	0.19%	0.01%	0.01%
New York Giants		0.04%		0.06%	0.18%	0.02%	0.18%	0.09%	0.05%		0.08%	0.30%	0.01%	0.02%	0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.02%	0.10%		0.16%	0.40%	0.14%	0.31%	0.20%	0.04%	0.04%		0.76%	0.02%	0.03%	0.02%
San Francisco 49ers	0.55%	0.95%	0.01%	4.55%	13.95%	2.97%	7.06%	2.71%	0.71%	1.22%	2.24%		0.47%	0.62%	0.58%
St. Louis Rams		0.01%		0.03%	0.14%	0.02%	0.03%	0.04%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.06%			0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		0.02%		0.02%	0.13%		0.04%	0.03%		0.01%	0.02%	0.08%	0.01%		0.02%
Washington Redskins		0.01%		0.04%	0.12%	0.02%	0.02%	0.03%	0.02%	0.01%		0.13%	0.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Buffalo Bills	Chicago Bears	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	Denver Broncos	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	Minnesota Vikings	New England Patriots	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals			0.01%									0.01%											0.05%	0.02%
Atlanta Falcons			0.12%		0.02%	0.04%		0.04%			0.05%	0.03%		0.12%	0.06%		0.03%				0.07%		0.20%	0.10%
Buffalo Bills	0.01%	0.10%		0.16%			0.65%		0.09%	0.24%						0.09%		0.09%	0.04%			0.07%			0.77%		0.01%		0.03%
Chicago Bears			0.18%		0.04%	0.16%		0.08%			0.03%	0.12%		0.32%	0.24%		0.06%			0.01%	0.18%		0.33%	0.13%		0.04%
Cincinnati Bengals		0.03%		0.02%			0.08%			0.08%						0.01%			0.01%			0.01%			0.10%			0.01%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	0.01%	0.06%		0.08%			0.37%		0.07%	0.17%						0.08%		0.01%	0.03%			0.06%			0.43%		0.01%		0.02%
Dallas Cowboys			1.34%		0.32%	0.98%		1.01%			0.60%	0.81%	0.01%	3.42%	3.25%		0.52%			0.08%	1.14%		3.96%	1.35%		0.29%
Denver Broncos	0.01%	0.09%		0.08%			0.32%		0.05%	0.26%						0.07%		0.05%	0.02%			0.05%			0.56%		0.02%	0.03%	0.02%
Detroit Lions			0.26%		0.03%	0.14%		0.21%			0.10%	0.13%		0.40%	0.37%		0.08%			0.04%	0.24%		0.40%	0.17%		0.03%
Green Bay Packers			0.59%		0.11%	0.28%		0.43%			0.21%	0.30%		1.19%	0.97%		0.22%			0.06%	0.51%		1.06%	0.52%		0.09%
Houston Oilers		0.01%		0.05%			0.10%		0.02%	0.12%						0.06%		0.01%	0.02%			0.02%			0.28%		0.01%	0.01%	0.01%
Indianapolis Colts		0.04%		0.08%			0.37%		0.03%	0.18%						0.02%		0.02%	0.01%			0.03%			0.43%		0.01%	0.01%	0.02%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.02%	0.36%		0.59%			3.20%		0.38%	1.48%						0.40%		0.18%	0.20%			0.26%			3.37%		0.07%	0.05%	0.09%
Miami Dolphins	0.04%	0.10%		0.44%			1.55%		0.32%	0.62%						0.22%		0.09%	0.12%			0.25%			1.83%		0.03%		0.03%
Minnesota Vikings			0.06%		0.02%	0.10%		0.07%			0.04%	0.02%		0.31%	0.19%		0.04%				0.21%		0.25%	0.14%		0.04%
New England Patriots	0.01%	0.03%		0.04%			0.29%		0.01%	0.09%								0.01%				0.01%			0.21%		0.02%	0.01%	0.01%
New Orleans Saints			0.02%			0.03%		0.01%						0.04%	0.03%		0.02%				0.01%		0.09%	0.01%
New York Giants			0.04%					0.05%			0.02%	0.02%		0.05%	0.03%		0.01%				0.03%		0.05%	0.01%		0.02%
New York Jets							0.03%									0.01%
Oakland Raiders	0.02%	0.10%		0.12%			0.61%		0.17%	0.31%						0.04%		0.03%	0.06%			0.05%			0.67%		0.03%	0.03%	0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles			0.15%		0.03%	0.09%		0.04%			0.04%	0.06%		0.14%	0.14%		0.02%			0.01%	0.07%		0.15%	0.05%		0.02%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.10%	0.30%		0.49%			2.62%		0.41%	1.18%						0.43%		0.11%	0.16%			0.33%			3.10%		0.04%	0.06%	0.05%
San Diego Chargers	0.03%	0.14%		0.14%			0.73%		0.11%	0.36%						0.12%		0.02%	0.03%			0.07%			0.87%		0.01%	0.03%	0.03%
San Francisco 49ers			1.90%		0.39%	1.08%		1.46%			0.91%	1.10%		5.04%	4.13%		0.49%			0.19%	1.80%		4.91%	1.93%		0.43%
Seattle Seahawks	0.01%	0.01%		0.07%			0.13%		0.01%	0.05%						0.04%		0.03%	0.01%			0.02%			0.21%
St. Louis Rams			0.03%			0.01%		0.02%			0.01%									0.01%			0.02%	0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers			0.02%					0.01%						0.02%	0.02%						0.03%		0.03%	0.01%
Washington Redskins												0.01%		0.03%	0.01%		0.01%						0.03%	0.01%		0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Dallas Cowboys	100.00%	74.36%	44.10%	26.14%	Won Super Bowl
San Francisco 49ers	100.00%	71.75%	37.81%	23.25%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Kansas City Chiefs	100.00%	69.24%	46.44%	20.72%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Pittsburgh Steelers	100.00%	68.04%	29.73%	12.37%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Green Bay Packers	73.03%	21.31%	9.13%	4.88%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
San Diego Chargers	66.84%	21.58%	8.58%	3.11%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Miami Dolphins	46.36%	15.13%	5.99%	2.46%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Detroit Lions	48.57%	14.60%	4.57%	2.16%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Buffalo Bills	53.64%	16.67%	6.18%	1.87%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Philadelphia Eagles	51.43%	12.26%	2.98%	1.40%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Indianapolis Colts	33.16%	9.34%	3.08%	1.07%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Atlanta Falcons	26.97%	5.72%	1.41%	0.57%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Indianapolis Colts	Miami Dolphins	San Diego Chargers
Buffalo Bills			53.64%
Indianapolis Colts				33.16%
Miami Dolphins	46.36%
San Diego Chargers		66.84%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Philadelphia Eagles
Atlanta Falcons			26.97%
Detroit Lions				48.57%
Green Bay Packers	73.03%
Philadelphia Eagles		51.43%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers
Buffalo Bills					16.67%
Indianapolis Colts			4.75%		4.59%
Kansas City Chiefs		12.75%		31.23%		25.26%
Miami Dolphins			15.13%
Pittsburgh Steelers	36.97%	11.07%				20.00%
San Diego Chargers			10.88%		10.70%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers
Atlanta Falcons		5.72%
Dallas Cowboys	21.25%		24.73%		28.38%
Detroit Lions		10.83%				3.77%
Green Bay Packers						21.31%
Philadelphia Eagles		9.09%				3.17%
San Francisco 49ers			9.24%	51.72%	10.79%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers
Buffalo Bills		0.81%	3.56%			1.81%
Indianapolis Colts	0.60%		0.82%	0.79%	0.87%
Kansas City Chiefs	8.48%	2.34%			30.66%	4.96%
Miami Dolphins		0.64%			3.95%	1.40%
Pittsburgh Steelers		2.47%	16.10%	6.33%		4.83%
San Diego Chargers	1.41%		2.32%	2.02%	2.83%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers
Atlanta Falcons			0.24%		0.24%	0.93%
Dallas Cowboys			2.06%	10.40%	1.96%	29.68%
Detroit Lions	0.52%	0.95%		1.14%		1.96%
Green Bay Packers		5.17%	2.03%		1.93%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.35%	0.62%		0.64%		1.37%
San Francisco 49ers	3.44%	23.52%	5.70%		5.15%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Buffalo Bills	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	San Francisco 49ers
Atlanta Falcons		0.04%				0.04%	0.26%	0.02%		0.15%	0.06%
Buffalo Bills	0.04%		0.82%	0.08%	0.15%				0.07%			0.71%
Dallas Cowboys		2.17%				0.80%	11.60%	1.49%		7.64%	2.44%
Detroit Lions		0.17%				0.06%	1.02%	0.10%		0.57%	0.24%
Green Bay Packers		0.31%				0.15%	2.29%	0.32%		1.37%	0.44%
Indianapolis Colts	0.03%		0.49%	0.07%	0.09%				0.03%			0.36%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.40%		8.93%	1.26%	2.31%				0.73%			7.09%
Miami Dolphins	0.05%		1.12%	0.13%	0.22%				0.13%			0.81%
Philadelphia Eagles		0.11%				0.05%	0.57%	0.03%		0.49%	0.15%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.25%		5.18%	0.70%	1.18%				0.50%			4.56%
San Diego Chargers	0.07%		1.42%	0.17%	0.30%				0.12%			1.03%
San Francisco 49ers		1.51%				0.91%	9.98%	1.57%		7.14%	2.14%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Dallas Cowboys 26.14% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

38.17%

Win Prob

75.74%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

67.30%

Win Prob

55.79%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

44.38%

Win Prob

56.50%

San Francisco 49ers 23.25% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

72.08%

Win Prob

70.82%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

62.21%

Win Prob

44.21%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

42.92%

Win Prob

58.47%

Kansas City Chiefs 20.72% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

45.10%

Win Prob

67.36%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

66.02%

Win Prob

65.57%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

43.10%

Win Prob

43.50%

Pittsburgh Steelers 12.37% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

54.34%

Win Prob

68.92%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

54.15%

Win Prob

34.43%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

41.88%

Win Prob

40.41%

Green Bay Packers 4.88% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

73.03%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

29.18%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

56.63%

Win Prob

33.20%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

46.93%

Win Prob

49.78%

San Diego Chargers 3.11% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

66.84%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

50.42%

Win Prob

30.11%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

32.98%

Win Prob

36.95%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

45.66%

Win Prob

36.79%

Miami Dolphins 2.46% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

46.36%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

32.64%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

65.94%

Win Prob

38.42%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

45.53%

Win Prob

42.91%

Detroit Lions 2.16% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

48.57%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

74.18%

Win Prob

30.46%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

42.89%

Win Prob

25.59%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

47.22%

Win Prob

44.74%

Buffalo Bills 1.87% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

53.64%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

31.08%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

57.61%

Win Prob

29.57%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

43.85%

Win Prob

27.42%

Philadelphia Eagles 1.40% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Detroit Lions

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

51.43%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

74.14%

Win Prob

24.26%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

45.97%

Win Prob

21.01%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

40.71%

Win Prob

43.85%

Indianapolis Colts 1.07% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

33.16%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

50.86%

Win Prob

27.14%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

28.25%

Win Prob

26.05%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

45.79%

Win Prob

37.98%

Atlanta Falcons 0.57% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

26.97%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

21.21%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

65.96%

Win Prob

21.28%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

45.61%

Win Prob

39.39%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1995-09-03	@ Washington Redskins	L 7-27	1517.00	1467.80	46.83%	52.94%	-18.96	0-1
1995-09-10	Philadelphia Eagles	L 19-31	1498.04	1486.56	61.46%	38.32%	-19.26	0-2
1995-09-17	@ Detroit Lions	W 20-17	1478.78	1508.00	35.93%	63.84%	+10.01	1-2
1995-09-24	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 20-34	1488.79	1653.66	20.44%	79.33%	-6.94	1-3
1995-10-01	Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-24	1481.85	1554.36	49.59%	50.18%	-20.56	1-4
1995-10-08	@ New York Giants	L 21-27	1461.29	1494.49	35.41%	64.36%	-7.86	1-5
1995-10-15	Washington Redskins	W 24-20	1453.43	1457.99	59.25%	40.52%	+7.34	2-5
1995-10-29	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-14	1460.77	1440.33	62.67%	37.10%	+8.23	3-5
1995-11-05	@ Denver Broncos	L 6-38	1469.00	1530.59	31.76%	68.01%	-16.27	3-6
1995-11-12	Minnesota Vikings	L 24-30	1452.73	1517.69	50.67%	49.10%	-11.24	3-7
1995-11-19	@ Carolina Panthers	L 7-27	1441.49	1313.67	58.07%	41.70%	-23.50	3-8
1995-11-26	Atlanta Falcons	W 40-37	1417.99	1519.57	45.42%	54.35%	+8.52	4-8
1995-11-30	New York Giants	L 6-10	1426.51	1474.43	53.12%	46.65%	-9.61	4-9
1995-12-09	@ San Diego Chargers	L 25-28	1416.90	1530.27	25.68%	74.09%	-4.03	4-10
1995-12-17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-21	1412.87	1536.86	24.53%	75.24%	-2.22	4-11
1995-12-25	Dallas Cowboys	L 13-37	1410.65	1665.06	25.66%	74.11%	-11.39	4-12
1995-09-03	Carolina Panthers	W 23-20	1483.94	1275.00	83.15%	16.62%	+2.61	1-0
1995-09-10	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 10-41	1486.55	1636.42	21.88%	77.89%	-11.04	1-1
1995-09-17	@ New Orleans Saints	W 27-24	1475.51	1487.34	38.27%	61.50%	+9.64	2-1
1995-09-24	New York Jets	W 13-3	1485.15	1457.81	63.59%	36.18%	+10.36	3-1
1995-10-01	New England Patriots	W 30-17	1495.51	1504.47	58.64%	41.13%	+13.43	4-1
1995-10-12	@ St. Louis Rams	L 19-21	1508.94	1489.76	42.56%	57.21%	-5.45	4-2
1995-10-22	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-21	1503.49	1480.92	43.04%	56.73%	+8.89	5-2
1995-10-29	Dallas Cowboys	L 13-28	1512.38	1671.40	37.41%	62.36%	-13.12	5-3
1995-11-05	Detroit Lions	W 34-22	1499.26	1518.99	57.13%	42.64%	+13.37	6-3
1995-11-12	@ Buffalo Bills	L 17-23	1512.63	1525.40	38.14%	61.63%	-8.46	6-4
1995-11-19	St. Louis Rams	W 31-6	1504.17	1460.15	65.78%	34.00%	+15.40	7-4
1995-11-26	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 37-40	1519.57	1417.99	54.35%	45.42%	-8.52	7-5
1995-12-03	@ Miami Dolphins	L 20-21	1511.05	1542.65	35.62%	64.15%	-3.23	7-6
1995-12-10	New Orleans Saints	W 19-14	1507.82	1485.33	62.94%	36.83%	+7.46	8-6
1995-12-17	@ Carolina Panthers	L 17-21	1515.28	1334.15	65.29%	34.48%	-11.81	8-7
1995-12-24	San Francisco 49ers	W 28-27	1503.47	1706.46	31.70%	68.07%	+6.16	9-7
1995-09-03	@ Denver Broncos	L 7-22	1513.54	1507.92	40.67%	59.10%	-14.26	0-1
1995-09-10	Carolina Panthers	W 31-9	1499.28	1272.39	84.53%	15.24%	+6.48	1-1
1995-09-17	Indianapolis Colts	W 20-14	1505.76	1481.58	63.17%	36.60%	+8.12	2-1
1995-10-02	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 22-19	1513.88	1585.11	30.57%	69.20%	+10.84	3-1
1995-10-08	New York Jets	W 29-10	1524.72	1423.17	72.77%	27.00%	+10.66	4-1
1995-10-15	Seattle Seahawks	W 27-21	1535.38	1461.10	69.57%	30.20%	+6.70	5-1
1995-10-23	@ New England Patriots	L 14-27	1542.08	1454.71	52.32%	47.45%	-17.07	5-2
1995-10-29	@ Miami Dolphins	L 6-23	1525.01	1576.84	33.00%	66.78%	-12.32	5-3
1995-11-05	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 16-10	1512.69	1494.59	42.41%	57.36%	+12.71	6-3
1995-11-12	Atlanta Falcons	W 23-17	1525.40	1512.63	61.63%	38.14%	+8.46	7-3
1995-11-19	@ New York Jets	W 28-26	1533.86	1376.09	62.19%	37.58%	+4.82	8-3
1995-11-26	New England Patriots	L 25-35	1538.68	1482.22	67.36%	32.41%	-19.28	8-4
1995-12-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-27	1519.40	1688.66	20.03%	79.74%	-5.74	8-5
1995-12-10	@ St. Louis Rams	W 45-27	1513.66	1446.06	49.48%	50.29%	+19.32	9-5
1995-12-17	Miami Dolphins	W 23-20	1532.98	1558.57	56.30%	43.47%	+6.81	10-5
1995-12-24	Houston Oilers	L 17-28	1539.79	1475.97	68.28%	31.49%	-20.49	10-6
1995-09-03	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-23	1275.00	1483.94	16.62%	83.15%	-2.61	0-1
1995-09-10	@ Buffalo Bills	L 9-31	1272.39	1499.28	15.24%	84.53%	-6.48	0-2
1995-09-17	St. Louis Rams	L 10-31	1265.91	1473.09	31.18%	68.59%	-12.94	0-3
1995-10-01	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-20	1252.97	1460.17	31.18%	68.59%	-7.47	0-4
1995-10-08	@ Chicago Bears	L 27-31	1245.50	1528.00	11.54%	88.23%	-2.10	0-5
1995-10-15	New York Jets	W 26-15	1243.40	1412.50	36.07%	63.71%	+19.12	1-5
1995-10-22	New Orleans Saints	W 20-3	1262.52	1461.39	32.21%	67.56%	+25.20	2-5
1995-10-29	@ New England Patriots	W 20-17	1287.72	1471.78	18.70%	81.07%	+12.70	3-5
1995-11-05	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 13-7	1300.42	1654.86	7.94%	91.83%	+20.36	4-5
1995-11-12	@ St. Louis Rams	L 17-28	1320.78	1453.04	23.66%	76.11%	-7.11	4-6
1995-11-19	Arizona Cardinals	W 27-7	1313.67	1441.49	41.70%	58.07%	+23.49	5-6
1995-11-26	@ New Orleans Saints	L 26-34	1337.16	1456.92	24.98%	74.79%	-6.40	5-7
1995-12-03	Indianapolis Colts	W 13-10	1330.76	1509.11	34.85%	64.92%	+10.18	6-7
1995-12-10	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-31	1340.94	1694.40	16.33%	83.44%	-6.79	6-8
1995-12-17	Atlanta Falcons	W 21-17	1334.15	1515.28	34.48%	65.29%	+11.82	7-8
1995-12-24	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-20	1345.97	1445.29	27.25%	72.52%	-4.28	7-9
1995-09-03	Minnesota Vikings	W 31-14	1510.88	1525.32	57.87%	41.90%	+15.64	1-0
1995-09-11	Green Bay Packers	L 24-27	1526.52	1542.13	57.71%	42.06%	-9.04	1-1
1995-09-17	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 25-6	1517.48	1470.52	46.51%	53.26%	+21.01	2-1
1995-09-24	@ St. Louis Rams	L 28-34	1538.49	1486.03	47.30%	52.47%	-10.49	2-2
1995-10-08	Carolina Panthers	W 31-27	1528.00	1245.50	88.23%	11.54%	+2.09	3-2
1995-10-15	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 30-27	1530.09	1271.91	74.52%	25.25%	+3.96	4-2
1995-10-22	Houston Oilers	W 35-32	1534.05	1453.24	70.36%	29.42%	+4.62	5-2
1995-10-30	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 14-6	1538.67	1525.01	41.79%	57.98%	+14.84	6-2
1995-11-05	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 34-37	1553.51	1526.83	63.50%	36.27%	-9.95	6-3
1995-11-12	@ Green Bay Packers	L 28-35	1543.56	1559.84	37.67%	62.11%	-9.03	6-4
1995-11-19	Detroit Lions	L 17-24	1534.53	1510.89	63.10%	36.67%	-15.10	6-5
1995-11-26	@ New York Giants	W 27-24	1519.43	1483.02	45.01%	54.77%	+8.58	7-5
1995-12-04	@ Detroit Lions	L 7-27	1528.01	1535.32	38.89%	60.89%	-15.74	7-6
1995-12-10	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-16	1512.27	1434.44	50.95%	48.82%	-11.30	7-7
1995-12-17	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-10	1500.97	1444.94	67.31%	32.46%	+13.48	8-7
1995-12-24	Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-14	1514.45	1539.08	56.44%	43.33%	+9.61	9-7
1995-09-03	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 24-21	1441.47	1482.71	34.36%	65.42%	+10.25	1-0
1995-09-10	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-17	1451.72	1267.19	81.11%	18.66%	+4.48	2-0
1995-09-17	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 21-24	1456.20	1447.17	41.14%	58.63%	-6.46	2-1
1995-09-24	Houston Oilers	L 28-38	1449.74	1450.25	59.81%	39.96%	-17.11	2-2
1995-10-01	Miami Dolphins	L 23-26	1432.63	1598.27	36.53%	63.24%	-5.73	2-3
1995-10-08	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 16-19	1426.90	1467.64	34.42%	65.35%	-5.40	2-4
1995-10-19	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-9	1421.50	1550.31	24.02%	75.75%	+29.08	3-4
1995-10-29	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 26-29	1450.58	1532.68	48.21%	51.56%	-7.56	3-5
1995-11-05	Oakland Raiders	L 17-20	1443.02	1579.81	40.46%	59.32%	-6.34	3-6
1995-11-12	@ Houston Oilers	W 32-25	1436.68	1495.08	32.16%	67.61%	+16.18	4-6
1995-11-19	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 31-49	1452.86	1550.18	46.02%	53.75%	-17.68	4-7
1995-11-26	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 17-13	1435.18	1269.05	63.31%	36.46%	+6.61	5-7
1995-12-03	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-24	1441.79	1593.86	21.66%	78.11%	-7.35	5-8
1995-12-10	Chicago Bears	W 16-10	1434.44	1512.27	48.82%	50.95%	+11.30	6-8
1995-12-17	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-26	1445.74	1448.18	39.55%	60.22%	-14.33	6-9
1995-12-24	Minnesota Vikings	W 27-24	1431.41	1547.23	43.39%	56.38%	+8.84	7-9
1995-09-03	@ New England Patriots	L 14-17	1554.25	1529.26	43.38%	56.39%	-6.80	0-1
1995-09-10	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 22-6	1547.45	1481.85	68.50%	31.27%	+11.33	1-1
1995-09-17	@ Houston Oilers	W 14-7	1558.78	1461.27	53.77%	46.00%	+11.01	2-1
1995-09-24	Kansas City Chiefs	W 35-17	1569.79	1569.68	59.90%	39.87%	+15.32	3-1
1995-10-02	Buffalo Bills	L 19-22	1585.11	1513.88	69.20%	30.57%	-10.84	3-2
1995-10-08	@ Detroit Lions	L 20-38	1574.27	1507.80	49.31%	50.46%	-18.94	3-3
1995-10-22	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 15-23	1555.33	1267.95	88.51%	11.26%	-22.65	3-4
1995-10-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 29-26	1532.68	1450.58	51.56%	48.21%	+7.56	4-4
1995-11-05	Houston Oilers	L 10-37	1540.24	1462.16	70.03%	29.74%	-32.92	4-5
1995-11-13	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-20	1507.32	1536.78	35.90%	63.87%	-13.41	4-6
1995-11-19	Green Bay Packers	L 20-31	1493.91	1568.86	49.24%	50.53%	-14.78	4-7
1995-11-26	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-20	1479.13	1567.86	47.26%	52.51%	-7.41	4-8
1995-12-03	@ San Diego Chargers	L 13-31	1471.72	1517.28	33.80%	65.97%	-12.99	4-9
1995-12-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 11-27	1458.73	1541.95	29.13%	70.64%	-10.55	4-10
1995-12-17	Cincinnati Bengals	W 26-10	1448.18	1445.74	60.22%	39.55%	+14.32	5-10
1995-12-24	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 21-24	1462.50	1245.33	69.81%	29.96%	-10.94	5-11
1995-09-04	@ New York Giants	W 35-0	1611.28	1527.24	51.84%	47.93%	+25.66	1-0
1995-09-10	Denver Broncos	W 31-21	1636.94	1522.18	74.24%	25.53%	+7.32	2-0
1995-09-17	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 23-17	1644.26	1521.51	57.35%	42.42%	+9.40	3-0
1995-09-24	Arizona Cardinals	W 34-20	1653.66	1488.79	79.33%	20.44%	+6.93	4-0
1995-10-01	@ Washington Redskins	L 23-27	1660.59	1451.26	68.86%	30.91%	-12.45	4-1
1995-10-08	Green Bay Packers	W 34-24	1648.14	1565.45	70.58%	29.19%	+8.36	5-1
1995-10-15	@ San Diego Chargers	W 23-9	1656.50	1544.88	55.78%	43.99%	+14.90	6-1
1995-10-29	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 28-13	1671.40	1512.38	62.36%	37.41%	+13.12	7-1
1995-11-06	Philadelphia Eagles	W 34-12	1684.52	1514.71	79.79%	19.98%	+8.50	8-1
1995-11-12	San Francisco 49ers	L 20-38	1693.02	1634.51	67.62%	32.15%	-25.96	8-2
1995-11-19	@ Oakland Raiders	W 34-21	1667.06	1594.81	50.15%	49.63%	+16.19	9-2
1995-11-23	Kansas City Chiefs	W 24-12	1683.25	1637.05	66.06%	33.71%	+10.58	10-2
1995-12-03	Washington Redskins	L 17-24	1693.83	1413.39	88.10%	11.67%	-21.09	10-3
1995-12-10	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-20	1672.74	1527.37	60.50%	39.27%	-9.48	10-4
1995-12-17	New York Giants	W 21-20	1663.26	1492.02	79.92%	19.85%	+1.80	11-4
1995-12-25	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 37-13	1665.06	1410.65	74.11%	25.66%	+11.39	12-4
1995-09-03	Buffalo Bills	W 22-7	1507.92	1513.54	59.10%	40.67%	+14.26	1-0
1995-09-10	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 21-31	1522.18	1636.94	25.53%	74.24%	-7.31	1-1
1995-09-17	Washington Redskins	W 38-31	1514.87	1470.04	65.88%	33.89%	+8.12	2-1
1995-09-24	@ San Diego Chargers	L 6-17	1522.99	1557.35	35.25%	64.52%	-10.59	2-2
1995-10-01	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 10-27	1512.40	1453.62	48.21%	51.56%	-17.99	2-3
1995-10-08	@ New England Patriots	W 37-3	1494.41	1491.04	40.36%	59.42%	+31.34	3-3
1995-10-16	Oakland Raiders	W 27-0	1525.75	1593.11	50.33%	49.44%	+23.26	4-3
1995-10-22	Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-21	1549.01	1588.10	54.38%	45.39%	-18.42	4-4
1995-11-05	Arizona Cardinals	W 38-6	1530.59	1469.00	68.01%	31.76%	+16.28	5-4
1995-11-12	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-31	1546.87	1506.22	45.61%	54.16%	-17.52	5-5
1995-11-19	San Diego Chargers	W 30-27	1529.35	1512.05	62.24%	37.53%	+5.89	6-5
1995-11-26	@ Houston Oilers	L 33-42	1535.24	1473.72	48.60%	51.17%	-13.20	6-6
1995-12-03	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 31-23	1522.04	1262.45	86.81%	12.96%	+3.33	7-6
1995-12-10	Seattle Seahawks	L 27-31	1525.37	1467.36	67.56%	32.21%	-12.23	7-7
1995-12-17	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-20	1513.14	1625.21	25.82%	73.95%	-4.05	7-8
1995-12-24	@ Oakland Raiders	W 31-28	1509.09	1508.93	39.91%	59.86%	+9.38	8-8
1995-09-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-23	1525.18	1568.15	34.13%	65.64%	-5.35	0-1
1995-09-10	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-20	1519.83	1509.68	41.30%	58.47%	-11.83	0-2
1995-09-17	Arizona Cardinals	L 17-20	1508.00	1478.78	63.84%	35.93%	-10.00	0-3
1995-09-25	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-24	1498.00	1658.18	37.26%	62.51%	+9.80	1-3
1995-10-08	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 38-20	1507.80	1574.27	50.46%	49.31%	+18.93	2-3
1995-10-15	@ Green Bay Packers	L 21-30	1526.73	1557.08	35.78%	63.99%	-9.72	2-4
1995-10-22	@ Washington Redskins	L 30-36	1517.01	1450.65	49.30%	50.47%	-10.93	2-5
1995-10-29	Green Bay Packers	W 24-16	1506.08	1580.27	49.35%	50.42%	+12.91	3-5
1995-11-05	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 22-34	1518.99	1499.26	42.64%	57.13%	-13.37	3-6
1995-11-12	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-24	1505.62	1458.50	66.17%	33.60%	+5.27	4-6
1995-11-19	@ Chicago Bears	W 24-17	1510.89	1534.53	36.67%	63.10%	+15.10	5-6
1995-11-23	Minnesota Vikings	W 44-38	1525.99	1541.58	57.71%	42.06%	+9.33	6-6
1995-12-04	Chicago Bears	W 27-7	1535.32	1528.01	60.89%	38.89%	+15.75	7-6
1995-12-10	@ Houston Oilers	W 24-17	1551.07	1477.25	50.37%	49.40%	+11.83	8-6
1995-12-17	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 44-0	1562.90	1251.31	89.83%	9.94%	+5.97	9-6
1995-12-23	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 37-10	1568.87	1431.47	59.40%	40.37%	+19.00	10-6
1995-09-03	St. Louis Rams	L 14-17	1553.50	1453.73	72.57%	27.20%	-11.37	0-1
1995-09-11	@ Chicago Bears	W 27-24	1542.13	1526.52	42.06%	57.71%	+9.05	1-1
1995-09-17	New York Giants	W 14-6	1551.18	1496.45	67.14%	32.63%	+8.35	2-1
1995-09-24	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-14	1559.53	1255.86	79.14%	20.63%	+5.92	3-1
1995-10-08	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 24-34	1565.45	1648.14	29.19%	70.58%	-8.37	3-2
1995-10-15	Detroit Lions	W 30-21	1557.08	1526.73	63.99%	35.78%	+9.73	4-2
1995-10-22	Minnesota Vikings	W 38-21	1566.81	1538.47	63.72%	36.05%	+13.46	5-2
1995-10-29	@ Detroit Lions	L 16-24	1580.27	1506.08	50.42%	49.35%	-12.91	5-3
1995-11-05	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 24-27	1567.36	1510.17	47.98%	51.79%	-7.52	5-4
1995-11-12	Chicago Bears	W 35-28	1559.84	1543.56	62.11%	37.67%	+9.02	6-4
1995-11-19	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 31-20	1568.86	1493.91	50.53%	49.24%	+14.78	7-4
1995-11-26	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 35-13	1583.64	1454.93	75.74%	24.03%	+10.22	8-4
1995-12-03	Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-10	1593.86	1441.79	78.11%	21.66%	+7.34	9-4
1995-12-10	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-13	1601.20	1435.02	63.32%	36.45%	-9.92	9-5
1995-12-16	@ New Orleans Saints	W 34-23	1591.28	1477.88	56.04%	43.74%	+13.13	10-5
1995-12-24	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-19	1604.41	1615.31	58.37%	41.40%	+8.38	11-5
1995-09-03	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 10-3	1470.76	1275.00	67.16%	32.61%	+7.82	1-0
1995-09-10	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-34	1478.58	1573.50	46.37%	53.40%	-17.31	1-1
1995-09-17	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-14	1461.27	1558.78	46.00%	53.77%	-11.02	1-2
1995-09-24	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 38-28	1450.25	1449.74	39.96%	59.81%	+17.12	2-2
1995-10-01	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 16-17	1467.37	1249.95	83.82%	15.95%	-7.59	2-3
1995-10-08	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-23	1459.78	1539.81	29.51%	70.26%	-6.54	2-4
1995-10-22	@ Chicago Bears	L 32-35	1453.24	1534.05	29.42%	70.36%	-4.62	2-5
1995-10-29	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 19-7	1448.62	1472.03	56.61%	43.16%	+13.54	3-5
1995-11-05	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 37-10	1462.16	1540.24	29.74%	70.03%	+32.92	4-5
1995-11-12	Cincinnati Bengals	L 25-32	1495.08	1436.68	67.61%	32.16%	-16.19	4-6
1995-11-19	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-20	1478.89	1631.88	21.57%	78.20%	-5.17	4-7
1995-11-26	Denver Broncos	W 42-33	1473.72	1535.24	51.17%	48.60%	+13.20	5-7
1995-12-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-21	1486.92	1575.27	28.52%	71.25%	-9.67	5-8
1995-12-10	Detroit Lions	L 17-24	1477.25	1551.07	49.40%	50.37%	-11.83	5-9
1995-12-17	New York Jets	W 23-6	1465.42	1374.73	71.52%	28.25%	+10.55	6-9
1995-12-24	@ Buffalo Bills	W 28-17	1475.97	1539.79	31.49%	68.28%	+20.49	7-9
1995-09-03	Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-24	1482.71	1441.47	65.42%	34.36%	-10.25	0-1
1995-09-10	@ New York Jets	W 27-24	1472.46	1460.07	41.61%	58.16%	+9.12	1-1
1995-09-17	@ Buffalo Bills	L 14-20	1481.58	1505.76	36.60%	63.17%	-8.12	1-2
1995-10-01	St. Louis Rams	W 21-18	1473.46	1496.52	56.66%	43.11%	+6.76	2-2
1995-10-08	@ Miami Dolphins	W 27-24	1480.22	1604.00	24.55%	75.22%	+11.79	3-2
1995-10-15	San Francisco 49ers	W 18-17	1492.01	1655.92	36.76%	63.01%	+5.70	4-2
1995-10-22	@ Oakland Raiders	L 17-30	1497.71	1569.86	30.46%	69.31%	-9.95	4-3
1995-10-29	New York Jets	W 17-10	1487.76	1399.39	71.25%	28.52%	+6.83	5-3
1995-11-05	Buffalo Bills	L 10-16	1494.59	1512.69	57.36%	42.41%	-12.71	5-4
1995-11-12	@ New Orleans Saints	L 14-17	1481.88	1462.90	42.54%	57.24%	-6.67	5-5
1995-11-19	@ New England Patriots	W 24-10	1475.21	1503.80	36.02%	63.75%	+21.58	6-5
1995-11-26	Miami Dolphins	W 36-28	1496.79	1554.97	51.65%	48.12%	+12.32	7-5
1995-12-03	@ Carolina Panthers	L 10-13	1509.11	1330.76	64.92%	34.85%	-10.17	7-6
1995-12-10	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 41-31	1498.94	1259.13	72.47%	27.30%	+7.82	8-6
1995-12-17	San Diego Chargers	L 24-27	1506.76	1534.30	56.03%	43.74%	-8.78	8-7
1995-12-23	New England Patriots	W 10-7	1497.98	1475.40	62.95%	36.82%	+5.77	9-7
1995-09-03	Houston Oilers	L 3-10	1275.00	1470.76	32.61%	67.16%	-7.81	0-1
1995-09-10	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-24	1267.19	1451.72	18.66%	81.11%	-4.48	0-2
1995-09-17	@ New York Jets	L 10-27	1262.71	1450.96	18.34%	81.43%	-6.85	0-3
1995-09-24	Green Bay Packers	L 14-24	1255.86	1559.53	20.63%	79.14%	-5.91	0-4
1995-10-01	@ Houston Oilers	W 17-16	1249.95	1467.37	15.95%	83.82%	+7.58	1-4
1995-10-08	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 20-16	1257.53	1564.69	20.31%	79.46%	+14.38	2-4
1995-10-15	Chicago Bears	L 27-30	1271.91	1530.09	25.25%	74.52%	-3.96	2-5
1995-10-22	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 23-15	1267.95	1555.33	11.26%	88.51%	+22.65	3-5
1995-10-29	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-24	1290.60	1521.23	14.96%	84.81%	-5.59	3-6
1995-11-12	Seattle Seahawks	L 30-47	1285.01	1438.58	38.15%	61.62%	-14.25	3-7
1995-11-19	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 16-17	1270.76	1453.23	18.84%	80.93%	-1.71	3-8
1995-11-26	Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-17	1269.05	1435.18	36.46%	63.31%	-6.60	3-9
1995-12-03	@ Denver Broncos	L 23-31	1262.45	1522.04	12.96%	86.81%	-3.32	3-10
1995-12-10	Indianapolis Colts	L 31-41	1259.13	1498.94	27.30%	72.47%	-7.82	3-11
1995-12-17	@ Detroit Lions	L 0-44	1251.31	1562.90	9.94%	89.83%	-5.98	3-12
1995-12-24	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 24-21	1245.33	1462.50	29.96%	69.81%	+10.94	4-12
1995-09-03	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 34-10	1533.13	1475.27	48.08%	51.69%	+22.92	1-0
1995-09-10	New York Giants	W 20-17	1556.05	1501.57	67.11%	32.66%	+5.13	2-0
1995-09-17	Oakland Raiders	W 23-17	1561.18	1549.91	61.43%	38.35%	+8.50	3-0
1995-09-24	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-35	1569.68	1569.79	39.87%	59.90%	-15.32	3-1
1995-10-01	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 24-3	1554.36	1481.85	50.18%	49.59%	+20.57	4-1
1995-10-09	San Diego Chargers	W 29-23	1574.93	1553.06	62.86%	36.91%	+8.19	5-1
1995-10-15	New England Patriots	W 31-26	1583.12	1459.69	75.18%	24.59%	+4.98	6-1
1995-10-22	@ Denver Broncos	W 21-7	1588.10	1549.01	45.39%	54.38%	+18.42	7-1
1995-11-05	Washington Redskins	W 24-3	1606.52	1446.52	78.87%	20.90%	+8.67	8-1
1995-11-12	@ San Diego Chargers	W 22-7	1615.19	1528.73	52.19%	47.58%	+16.69	9-1
1995-11-19	Houston Oilers	W 20-13	1631.88	1478.89	78.20%	21.57%	+5.17	10-1
1995-11-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 12-24	1637.05	1683.25	33.71%	66.06%	-10.58	10-2
1995-12-03	@ Oakland Raiders	W 29-23	1626.47	1567.49	48.24%	51.53%	+11.42	11-2
1995-12-11	@ Miami Dolphins	L 6-13	1637.89	1545.88	52.99%	46.78%	-12.68	11-3
1995-12-17	Denver Broncos	W 20-17	1625.21	1513.14	73.95%	25.82%	+4.05	12-3
1995-12-24	Seattle Seahawks	W 26-3	1629.26	1504.70	75.30%	24.47%	+10.63	13-3
1995-09-03	New York Jets	W 52-14	1546.92	1477.25	69.01%	30.76%	+17.18	1-0
1995-09-10	@ New England Patriots	W 20-3	1564.10	1536.07	43.82%	55.96%	+20.88	2-0
1995-09-18	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-10	1584.98	1590.81	59.07%	40.70%	+13.29	3-0
1995-10-01	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 26-23	1598.27	1432.63	63.24%	36.53%	+5.73	4-0
1995-10-08	Indianapolis Colts	L 24-27	1604.00	1480.22	75.22%	24.55%	-11.79	4-1
1995-10-15	@ New Orleans Saints	L 30-33	1592.21	1452.03	59.79%	39.99%	-9.37	4-2
1995-10-22	@ New York Jets	L 16-17	1582.84	1393.39	66.36%	33.41%	-6.00	4-3
1995-10-29	Buffalo Bills	W 23-6	1576.84	1525.01	66.78%	33.00%	+12.32	5-3
1995-11-05	@ San Diego Chargers	W 24-14	1589.16	1544.04	46.25%	53.52%	+15.32	6-3
1995-11-12	New England Patriots	L 17-34	1604.48	1475.54	75.76%	24.01%	-28.27	6-4
1995-11-20	San Francisco 49ers	L 20-44	1576.21	1660.46	47.90%	51.87%	-21.24	6-5
1995-11-26	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 28-36	1554.97	1496.79	48.12%	51.65%	-12.32	6-6
1995-12-03	Atlanta Falcons	W 21-20	1542.65	1511.05	64.15%	35.62%	+3.23	7-6
1995-12-11	Kansas City Chiefs	W 13-6	1545.88	1637.89	46.78%	52.99%	+12.69	8-6
1995-12-17	@ Buffalo Bills	L 20-23	1558.57	1532.98	43.47%	56.30%	-6.82	8-7
1995-12-24	@ St. Louis Rams	W 41-22	1551.75	1407.97	60.28%	39.49%	+15.59	9-7
1995-09-03	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-31	1525.32	1510.88	41.90%	57.87%	-15.64	0-1
1995-09-10	Detroit Lions	W 20-10	1509.68	1519.83	58.47%	41.30%	+11.83	1-1
1995-09-17	Dallas Cowboys	L 17-23	1521.51	1644.26	42.42%	57.35%	-9.41	1-2
1995-09-24	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 44-24	1512.10	1577.52	31.29%	68.48%	+27.71	2-2
1995-10-08	Houston Oilers	W 23-17	1539.81	1459.78	70.26%	29.51%	+6.55	3-2
1995-10-15	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-20	1546.36	1473.04	50.30%	49.47%	-7.89	3-3
1995-10-22	@ Green Bay Packers	L 21-38	1538.47	1566.81	36.05%	63.72%	-13.46	3-4
1995-10-30	Chicago Bears	L 6-14	1525.01	1538.67	57.98%	41.79%	-14.84	3-5
1995-11-05	Green Bay Packers	W 27-24	1510.17	1567.36	51.79%	47.98%	+7.52	4-5
1995-11-12	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 30-24	1517.69	1452.73	49.10%	50.67%	+11.24	5-5
1995-11-19	New Orleans Saints	W 43-24	1528.93	1469.57	67.73%	32.04%	+12.65	6-5
1995-11-23	@ Detroit Lions	L 38-44	1541.58	1525.99	42.06%	57.71%	-9.33	6-6
1995-12-03	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-17	1532.25	1444.72	71.15%	28.62%	+9.70	7-6
1995-12-09	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 27-11	1541.95	1458.73	70.64%	29.13%	+10.56	8-6
1995-12-18	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 30-37	1552.51	1701.19	22.00%	77.78%	-5.28	8-7
1995-12-24	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-27	1547.23	1431.41	56.38%	43.39%	-8.83	8-8
1995-09-03	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 17-14	1529.26	1554.25	56.39%	43.38%	+6.81	1-0
1995-09-10	Miami Dolphins	L 3-20	1536.07	1564.10	55.96%	43.82%	-20.88	1-1
1995-09-17	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 3-28	1515.19	1647.46	23.66%	76.11%	-10.72	1-2
1995-10-01	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 17-30	1504.47	1495.51	41.13%	58.64%	-13.43	1-3
1995-10-08	Denver Broncos	L 3-37	1491.04	1494.41	59.42%	40.36%	-31.35	1-4
1995-10-15	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 26-31	1459.69	1583.12	24.59%	75.18%	-4.98	1-5
1995-10-23	Buffalo Bills	W 27-14	1454.71	1542.08	47.45%	52.32%	+17.07	2-5
1995-10-29	Carolina Panthers	L 17-20	1471.78	1287.72	81.07%	18.70%	-12.70	2-6
1995-11-05	@ New York Jets	W 20-7	1459.08	1392.56	49.32%	50.45%	+16.46	3-6
1995-11-12	@ Miami Dolphins	W 34-17	1475.54	1604.48	24.01%	75.76%	+28.26	4-6
1995-11-19	Indianapolis Colts	L 10-24	1503.80	1475.21	63.75%	36.02%	-21.58	4-7
1995-11-26	@ Buffalo Bills	W 35-25	1482.22	1538.68	32.41%	67.36%	+19.27	5-7
1995-12-03	New Orleans Saints	L 17-31	1501.49	1463.33	65.01%	34.76%	-22.01	5-8
1995-12-10	New York Jets	W 31-28	1479.48	1378.98	72.65%	27.12%	+4.26	6-8
1995-12-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 27-41	1483.74	1606.96	24.61%	75.16%	-8.34	6-9
1995-12-23	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 7-10	1475.40	1497.98	36.82%	62.95%	-5.78	6-10
1995-09-03	San Francisco 49ers	L 22-24	1500.63	1631.12	41.33%	58.44%	-5.30	0-1
1995-09-10	@ St. Louis Rams	L 13-17	1495.33	1465.10	44.13%	55.64%	-7.99	0-2
1995-09-17	Atlanta Falcons	L 24-27	1487.34	1475.51	61.50%	38.27%	-9.63	0-3
1995-09-24	@ New York Giants	L 29-45	1477.71	1488.09	38.47%	61.31%	-13.94	0-4
1995-10-01	Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-15	1463.77	1476.87	58.06%	41.71%	-11.74	0-5
1995-10-15	Miami Dolphins	W 33-30	1452.03	1592.21	39.99%	59.79%	+9.36	1-5
1995-10-22	@ Carolina Panthers	L 3-20	1461.39	1262.52	67.56%	32.21%	-25.20	1-6
1995-10-29	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 11-7	1436.19	1670.26	14.71%	85.06%	+15.40	2-6
1995-11-05	St. Louis Rams	W 19-10	1451.59	1464.35	58.11%	41.66%	+11.31	3-6
1995-11-12	Indianapolis Colts	W 17-14	1462.90	1481.88	57.24%	42.54%	+6.67	4-6
1995-11-19	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 24-43	1469.57	1528.93	32.04%	67.73%	-12.65	4-7
1995-11-26	Carolina Panthers	W 34-26	1456.92	1337.16	74.79%	24.98%	+6.41	5-7
1995-12-03	@ New England Patriots	W 31-17	1463.33	1501.49	34.76%	65.01%	+22.00	6-7
1995-12-10	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 14-19	1485.33	1507.82	36.83%	62.94%	-7.45	6-8
1995-12-16	Green Bay Packers	L 23-34	1477.88	1591.28	43.74%	56.04%	-13.14	6-9
1995-12-24	@ New York Jets	W 12-0	1464.74	1364.17	54.21%	45.56%	+14.29	7-9
1995-09-04	Dallas Cowboys	L 0-35	1527.24	1611.28	47.93%	51.84%	-25.67	0-1
1995-09-10	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-20	1501.57	1556.05	32.66%	67.11%	-5.12	0-2
1995-09-17	@ Green Bay Packers	L 6-14	1496.45	1551.18	32.63%	67.14%	-8.36	0-3
1995-09-24	New Orleans Saints	W 45-29	1488.09	1477.71	61.31%	38.47%	+13.93	1-3
1995-10-01	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 6-20	1502.02	1648.38	22.23%	77.55%	-7.53	1-4
1995-10-08	Arizona Cardinals	W 27-21	1494.49	1461.29	64.36%	35.41%	+7.85	2-4
1995-10-15	Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-17	1502.34	1494.34	60.98%	38.79%	-9.55	2-5
1995-10-29	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-15	1492.79	1461.58	44.26%	55.51%	+15.06	3-5
1995-11-05	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 28-30	1507.85	1432.10	50.65%	49.12%	-6.48	3-6
1995-11-12	Oakland Raiders	L 13-17	1501.37	1586.15	47.82%	51.95%	-8.66	3-7
1995-11-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 19-28	1492.71	1523.74	35.69%	64.08%	-9.69	3-8
1995-11-26	Chicago Bears	L 24-27	1483.02	1519.43	54.77%	45.01%	-8.59	3-9
1995-11-30	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 10-6	1474.43	1426.51	46.65%	53.12%	+9.62	4-9
1995-12-10	Washington Redskins	W 20-13	1484.05	1434.48	66.49%	33.28%	+7.97	5-9
1995-12-17	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 20-21	1492.02	1663.26	19.85%	79.92%	-1.80	5-10
1995-12-23	San Diego Chargers	L 17-27	1490.22	1543.08	52.41%	47.36%	-15.00	5-11
1995-09-03	@ Miami Dolphins	L 14-52	1477.25	1546.92	30.76%	69.01%	-17.18	0-1
1995-09-10	Indianapolis Colts	L 24-27	1460.07	1472.46	58.16%	41.61%	-9.11	0-2
1995-09-17	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-10	1450.96	1262.71	81.43%	18.34%	+6.85	1-2
1995-09-24	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 3-13	1457.81	1485.15	36.18%	63.59%	-10.36	1-3
1995-10-01	Oakland Raiders	L 10-47	1447.45	1558.32	44.09%	55.68%	-24.28	1-4
1995-10-08	@ Buffalo Bills	L 10-29	1423.17	1524.72	27.00%	72.77%	-10.67	1-5
1995-10-15	@ Carolina Panthers	L 15-26	1412.50	1243.40	63.71%	36.07%	-19.11	1-6
1995-10-22	Miami Dolphins	W 17-16	1393.39	1582.84	33.41%	66.36%	+6.00	2-6
1995-10-29	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 10-17	1399.39	1487.76	28.52%	71.25%	-6.83	2-7
1995-11-05	New England Patriots	L 7-20	1392.56	1459.08	50.45%	49.32%	-16.47	2-8
1995-11-19	Buffalo Bills	L 26-28	1376.09	1533.86	37.58%	62.19%	-4.81	2-9
1995-11-26	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 16-10	1371.28	1466.66	27.70%	72.07%	+15.97	3-9
1995-12-03	St. Louis Rams	L 20-23	1387.25	1437.79	52.75%	47.03%	-8.27	3-10
1995-12-10	@ New England Patriots	L 28-31	1378.98	1479.48	27.12%	72.65%	-4.25	3-11
1995-12-17	@ Houston Oilers	L 6-23	1374.73	1465.42	28.25%	71.52%	-10.56	3-12
1995-12-24	New Orleans Saints	L 0-12	1364.17	1464.74	45.56%	54.21%	-14.28	3-13
1995-09-03	San Diego Chargers	W 17-7	1520.47	1552.84	55.34%	44.43%	+12.72	1-0
1995-09-10	@ Washington Redskins	W 20-8	1533.19	1486.76	46.44%	53.33%	+16.72	2-0
1995-09-17	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-23	1549.91	1561.18	38.35%	61.43%	-8.50	2-1
1995-09-24	Philadelphia Eagles	W 48-17	1541.41	1493.78	66.24%	33.53%	+16.91	3-1
1995-10-01	@ New York Jets	W 47-10	1558.32	1447.45	55.68%	44.09%	+24.28	4-1
1995-10-08	Seattle Seahawks	W 34-14	1582.60	1471.61	73.83%	25.94%	+10.51	5-1
1995-10-16	@ Denver Broncos	L 0-27	1593.11	1525.75	49.44%	50.33%	-23.25	5-2
1995-10-22	Indianapolis Colts	W 30-17	1569.86	1497.71	69.31%	30.46%	+9.95	6-2
1995-11-05	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-17	1579.81	1443.02	59.32%	40.46%	+6.34	7-2
1995-11-12	@ New York Giants	W 17-13	1586.15	1501.37	51.95%	47.82%	+8.66	8-2
1995-11-19	Dallas Cowboys	L 21-34	1594.81	1667.06	49.63%	50.15%	-16.19	8-3
1995-11-27	@ San Diego Chargers	L 6-12	1578.62	1506.16	50.18%	49.60%	-11.13	8-4
1995-12-03	Kansas City Chiefs	L 23-29	1567.49	1626.47	51.53%	48.24%	-11.42	8-5
1995-12-10	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-29	1556.07	1584.94	55.84%	43.93%	-22.03	8-6
1995-12-17	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 10-44	1534.04	1479.59	47.59%	52.18%	-25.11	8-7
1995-12-24	Denver Broncos	L 28-31	1508.93	1509.09	59.86%	39.91%	-9.38	8-8
1995-09-03	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 6-21	1509.94	1458.46	66.73%	33.04%	-23.38	0-1
1995-09-10	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 31-19	1486.56	1498.04	38.32%	61.46%	+19.26	1-1
1995-09-17	San Diego Chargers	L 21-27	1505.82	1545.30	54.33%	45.44%	-12.04	1-2
1995-09-24	@ Oakland Raiders	L 17-48	1493.78	1541.41	33.53%	66.24%	-16.91	1-3
1995-10-01	@ New Orleans Saints	W 15-10	1476.87	1463.77	41.71%	58.06%	+11.75	2-3
1995-10-08	Washington Redskins	W 37-34	1488.62	1463.72	63.26%	36.51%	+5.72	3-3
1995-10-15	@ New York Giants	W 17-14	1494.34	1502.34	38.79%	60.98%	+9.56	4-3
1995-10-29	St. Louis Rams	W 20-9	1503.90	1475.17	63.77%	36.00%	+10.81	5-3
1995-11-06	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 12-34	1514.71	1684.52	19.98%	79.79%	-8.49	5-4
1995-11-12	Denver Broncos	W 31-13	1506.22	1546.87	54.16%	45.61%	+17.52	6-4
1995-11-19	New York Giants	W 28-19	1523.74	1492.71	64.08%	35.69%	+9.69	7-4
1995-11-26	@ Washington Redskins	W 14-7	1533.43	1424.00	55.47%	44.30%	+10.61	8-4
1995-12-03	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 14-26	1544.04	1450.69	53.18%	46.59%	-16.67	8-5
1995-12-10	Dallas Cowboys	W 20-17	1527.37	1672.74	39.27%	60.50%	+9.49	9-5
1995-12-17	Arizona Cardinals	W 21-20	1536.86	1412.87	75.24%	24.53%	+2.22	10-5
1995-12-24	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-20	1539.08	1514.45	43.33%	56.44%	-9.61	10-6
1995-09-03	Detroit Lions	W 23-20	1568.15	1525.18	65.64%	34.13%	+5.35	1-0
1995-09-10	@ Houston Oilers	W 34-17	1573.50	1478.58	53.40%	46.37%	+17.31	2-0
1995-09-18	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-23	1590.81	1584.98	40.70%	59.07%	-13.29	2-1
1995-09-24	Minnesota Vikings	L 24-44	1577.52	1512.10	68.48%	31.29%	-27.70	2-2
1995-10-01	San Diego Chargers	W 31-16	1549.82	1567.94	57.36%	42.42%	+14.87	3-2
1995-10-08	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 16-20	1564.69	1257.53	79.46%	20.31%	-14.38	3-3
1995-10-19	Cincinnati Bengals	L 9-27	1550.31	1421.50	75.75%	24.02%	-29.08	3-4
1995-10-29	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-7	1521.23	1290.60	84.81%	14.96%	+5.60	4-4
1995-11-05	@ Chicago Bears	W 37-34	1526.83	1553.51	36.27%	63.50%	+9.95	5-4
1995-11-13	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 20-3	1536.78	1507.32	63.87%	35.90%	+13.40	6-4
1995-11-19	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 49-31	1550.18	1452.86	53.75%	46.02%	+17.68	7-4
1995-11-26	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 20-17	1567.86	1479.13	52.51%	47.26%	+7.41	8-4
1995-12-03	Houston Oilers	W 21-7	1575.27	1486.92	71.25%	28.52%	+9.67	9-4
1995-12-10	@ Oakland Raiders	W 29-10	1584.94	1556.07	43.93%	55.84%	+22.02	10-4
1995-12-16	New England Patriots	W 41-27	1606.96	1483.74	75.16%	24.61%	+8.35	11-4
1995-12-24	@ Green Bay Packers	L 19-24	1615.31	1604.41	41.40%	58.37%	-8.39	11-5
1995-09-03	@ Oakland Raiders	L 7-17	1552.84	1520.47	44.43%	55.34%	-12.72	0-1
1995-09-10	Seattle Seahawks	W 14-10	1540.12	1452.35	71.18%	28.59%	+5.18	1-1
1995-09-17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-21	1545.30	1505.82	45.44%	54.33%	+12.05	2-1
1995-09-24	Denver Broncos	W 17-6	1557.35	1522.99	64.52%	35.25%	+10.59	3-1
1995-10-01	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-31	1567.94	1549.82	42.42%	57.36%	-14.88	3-2
1995-10-09	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 23-29	1553.06	1574.93	36.91%	62.86%	-8.18	3-3
1995-10-15	Dallas Cowboys	L 9-23	1544.88	1656.50	43.99%	55.78%	-14.90	3-4
1995-10-22	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 35-25	1529.98	1454.40	50.62%	49.15%	+14.06	4-4
1995-11-05	Miami Dolphins	L 14-24	1544.04	1589.16	53.52%	46.25%	-15.31	4-5
1995-11-12	Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-22	1528.73	1615.19	47.58%	52.19%	-16.68	4-6
1995-11-19	@ Denver Broncos	L 27-30	1512.05	1529.35	37.53%	62.24%	-5.89	4-7
1995-11-27	Oakland Raiders	W 12-6	1506.16	1578.62	49.60%	50.18%	+11.12	5-7
1995-12-03	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 31-13	1517.28	1471.72	65.97%	33.80%	+12.99	6-7
1995-12-09	Arizona Cardinals	W 28-25	1530.27	1416.90	74.09%	25.68%	+4.03	7-7
1995-12-17	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 27-24	1534.30	1506.76	43.74%	56.03%	+8.78	8-7
1995-12-23	@ New York Giants	W 27-17	1543.08	1490.22	47.36%	52.41%	+15.00	9-7
1995-09-03	@ New Orleans Saints	W 24-22	1631.12	1500.63	58.44%	41.33%	+5.30	1-0
1995-09-10	Atlanta Falcons	W 41-10	1636.42	1486.55	77.89%	21.88%	+11.04	2-0
1995-09-17	New England Patriots	W 28-3	1647.46	1515.19	76.11%	23.66%	+10.72	3-0
1995-09-25	@ Detroit Lions	L 24-27	1658.18	1498.00	62.51%	37.26%	-9.80	3-1
1995-10-01	New York Giants	W 20-6	1648.38	1502.02	77.55%	22.23%	+7.54	4-1
1995-10-15	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 17-18	1655.92	1492.01	63.01%	36.76%	-5.71	4-2
1995-10-22	@ St. Louis Rams	W 44-10	1650.21	1495.21	61.81%	37.96%	+20.05	5-2
1995-10-29	New Orleans Saints	L 7-11	1670.26	1436.19	85.06%	14.71%	-15.40	5-3
1995-11-05	Carolina Panthers	L 7-13	1654.86	1300.42	91.83%	7.94%	-20.35	5-4
1995-11-12	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 38-20	1634.51	1693.02	32.15%	67.62%	+25.95	6-4
1995-11-20	@ Miami Dolphins	W 44-20	1660.46	1576.21	51.87%	47.90%	+21.24	7-4
1995-11-26	St. Louis Rams	W 41-13	1681.70	1444.75	85.27%	14.50%	+6.96	8-4
1995-12-03	Buffalo Bills	W 27-17	1688.66	1519.40	79.74%	20.03%	+5.74	9-4
1995-12-10	@ Carolina Panthers	W 31-10	1694.40	1340.94	83.44%	16.33%	+6.79	10-4
1995-12-18	Minnesota Vikings	W 37-30	1701.19	1552.51	77.78%	22.00%	+5.27	11-4
1995-12-24	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 27-28	1706.46	1503.47	68.07%	31.70%	-6.16	11-5
1995-09-03	Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-34	1475.27	1533.13	51.69%	48.08%	-22.92	0-1
1995-09-10	@ San Diego Chargers	L 10-14	1452.35	1540.12	28.59%	71.18%	-5.18	0-2
1995-09-17	Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-21	1447.17	1456.20	58.63%	41.14%	+6.45	1-2
1995-10-01	Denver Broncos	W 27-10	1453.62	1512.40	51.56%	48.21%	+17.99	2-2
1995-10-08	@ Oakland Raiders	L 14-34	1471.61	1582.60	25.94%	73.83%	-10.51	2-3
1995-10-15	@ Buffalo Bills	L 21-27	1461.10	1535.38	30.20%	69.57%	-6.70	2-4
1995-10-22	San Diego Chargers	L 25-35	1454.40	1529.98	49.15%	50.62%	-14.07	2-5
1995-10-29	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 14-20	1440.33	1460.77	37.10%	62.67%	-8.23	2-6
1995-11-05	New York Giants	W 30-28	1432.10	1507.85	49.12%	50.65%	+6.48	3-6
1995-11-12	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 47-30	1438.58	1285.01	61.62%	38.15%	+14.25	4-6
1995-11-19	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-20	1452.83	1437.84	41.98%	57.80%	+13.83	5-6
1995-11-26	New York Jets	L 10-16	1466.66	1371.28	72.07%	27.70%	-15.97	5-7
1995-12-03	Philadelphia Eagles	W 26-14	1450.69	1544.04	46.59%	53.18%	+16.67	6-7
1995-12-10	@ Denver Broncos	W 31-27	1467.36	1525.37	32.21%	67.56%	+12.23	7-7
1995-12-17	Oakland Raiders	W 44-10	1479.59	1534.04	52.18%	47.59%	+25.11	8-7
1995-12-24	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-26	1504.70	1629.26	24.47%	75.30%	-10.63	8-8
1995-09-03	@ Green Bay Packers	W 17-14	1453.73	1553.50	27.20%	72.57%	+11.37	1-0
1995-09-10	New Orleans Saints	W 17-13	1465.10	1495.33	55.64%	44.13%	+7.99	2-0
1995-09-17	@ Carolina Panthers	W 31-10	1473.09	1265.91	68.59%	31.18%	+12.94	3-0
1995-09-24	Chicago Bears	W 34-28	1486.03	1538.49	52.47%	47.30%	+10.49	4-0
1995-10-01	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 18-21	1496.52	1473.46	43.11%	56.66%	-6.76	4-1
1995-10-12	Atlanta Falcons	W 21-19	1489.76	1508.94	57.21%	42.56%	+5.45	5-1
1995-10-22	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-44	1495.21	1650.21	37.96%	61.81%	-20.04	5-2
1995-10-29	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-20	1475.17	1503.90	36.00%	63.77%	-10.82	5-3
1995-11-05	@ New Orleans Saints	L 10-19	1464.35	1451.59	41.66%	58.11%	-11.31	5-4
1995-11-12	Carolina Panthers	W 28-17	1453.04	1320.78	76.11%	23.66%	+7.11	6-4
1995-11-19	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 6-31	1460.15	1504.17	34.00%	65.78%	-15.40	6-5
1995-11-26	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-41	1444.75	1681.70	14.50%	85.27%	-6.96	6-6
1995-12-03	@ New York Jets	W 23-20	1437.79	1387.25	47.03%	52.75%	+8.27	7-6
1995-12-10	Buffalo Bills	L 27-45	1446.06	1513.66	50.29%	49.48%	-19.31	7-7
1995-12-17	Washington Redskins	L 23-35	1426.75	1426.51	59.91%	39.86%	-18.78	7-8
1995-12-24	Miami Dolphins	L 22-41	1407.97	1551.75	39.49%	60.28%	-15.59	7-9
1995-09-03	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-6	1458.46	1509.94	33.04%	66.73%	+23.39	1-0
1995-09-10	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 6-22	1481.85	1547.45	31.27%	68.50%	-11.33	1-1
1995-09-17	Chicago Bears	L 6-25	1470.52	1517.48	53.26%	46.51%	-21.01	1-2
1995-09-24	Washington Redskins	W 14-6	1449.51	1461.92	58.16%	41.61%	+10.66	2-2
1995-10-01	@ Carolina Panthers	W 20-13	1460.17	1252.97	68.59%	31.18%	+7.47	3-2
1995-10-08	Cincinnati Bengals	W 19-16	1467.64	1426.90	65.35%	34.42%	+5.40	4-2
1995-10-15	Minnesota Vikings	W 20-17	1473.04	1546.36	49.47%	50.30%	+7.88	5-2
1995-10-22	Atlanta Falcons	L 21-24	1480.92	1503.49	56.73%	43.04%	-8.89	5-3
1995-10-29	@ Houston Oilers	L 7-19	1472.03	1448.62	43.16%	56.61%	-13.53	5-4
1995-11-12	@ Detroit Lions	L 24-27	1458.50	1505.62	33.60%	66.17%	-5.27	5-5
1995-11-19	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 17-16	1453.23	1270.76	80.93%	18.84%	+1.70	6-5
1995-11-26	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-35	1454.93	1583.64	24.03%	75.74%	-10.21	6-6
1995-12-03	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-31	1444.72	1532.25	28.62%	71.15%	-9.70	6-7
1995-12-10	Green Bay Packers	W 13-10	1435.02	1601.20	36.45%	63.32%	+9.92	7-7
1995-12-17	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-31	1444.94	1500.97	32.46%	67.31%	-13.47	7-8
1995-12-23	Detroit Lions	L 10-37	1431.47	1568.87	40.37%	59.40%	-19.00	7-9
1995-09-03	Arizona Cardinals	W 27-7	1467.80	1517.00	52.94%	46.83%	+18.96	1-0
1995-09-10	Oakland Raiders	L 8-20	1486.76	1533.19	53.33%	46.44%	-16.72	1-1
1995-09-17	@ Denver Broncos	L 31-38	1470.04	1514.87	33.89%	65.88%	-8.12	1-2
1995-09-24	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 6-14	1461.92	1449.51	41.61%	58.16%	-10.66	1-3
1995-10-01	Dallas Cowboys	W 27-23	1451.26	1660.59	30.91%	68.86%	+12.46	2-3
1995-10-08	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 34-37	1463.72	1488.62	36.51%	63.26%	-5.73	2-4
1995-10-15	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 20-24	1457.99	1453.43	40.52%	59.25%	-7.34	2-5
1995-10-22	Detroit Lions	W 36-30	1450.65	1517.01	50.47%	49.30%	+10.93	3-5
1995-10-29	New York Giants	L 15-24	1461.58	1492.79	55.51%	44.26%	-15.06	3-6
1995-11-05	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-24	1446.52	1606.52	20.90%	78.87%	-8.68	3-7
1995-11-19	Seattle Seahawks	L 20-27	1437.84	1452.83	57.80%	41.98%	-13.84	3-8
1995-11-26	Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-14	1424.00	1533.43	44.30%	55.47%	-10.61	3-9
1995-12-03	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 24-17	1413.39	1693.83	11.67%	88.10%	+21.09	4-9
1995-12-10	@ New York Giants	L 13-20	1434.48	1484.05	33.28%	66.49%	-7.97	4-10
1995-12-17	@ St. Louis Rams	W 35-23	1426.51	1426.75	39.86%	59.91%	+18.78	5-10
1995-12-24	Carolina Panthers	W 20-17	1445.29	1345.97	72.52%	27.25%	+4.27	6-10

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1995-12-31	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-37	1509.63	1612.79	26.91%	73.09%	-10.02	0-1
1995-12-30	Miami Dolphins	W 37-22	1519.30	1567.34	53.22%	46.78%	+16.36	1-0
1996-01-06	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-40	1535.66	1606.92	30.67%	69.33%	-12.07	1-1
1996-01-07	Philadelphia Eagles	W 30-11	1676.45	1549.44	75.71%	24.29%	+9.56	1-0
1996-01-14	Green Bay Packers	W 38-27	1686.01	1642.83	65.79%	34.21%	+10.25	2-0
1996-01-28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-17	1696.26	1624.34	60.20%	39.80%	+11.36	3-0
1995-12-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 37-58	1587.87	1529.47	48.27%	51.73%	-19.98	0-1
1995-12-31	Atlanta Falcons	W 37-20	1612.79	1509.63	73.09%	26.91%	+10.02	1-0
1996-01-06	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 27-17	1622.81	1700.30	29.91%	70.09%	+20.02	2-0
1996-01-14	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 27-38	1642.83	1686.01	34.21%	65.79%	-10.25	2-1
1995-12-31	@ San Diego Chargers	W 35-20	1503.75	1558.08	32.78%	67.22%	+23.51	1-0
1996-01-07	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 10-7	1527.26	1639.89	25.85%	74.15%	+11.60	2-0
1996-01-14	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-20	1538.86	1618.99	29.59%	70.41%	-5.34	2-1
1996-01-07	Indianapolis Colts	L 7-10	1639.89	1527.26	74.15%	25.85%	-11.59	0-1
1995-12-30	@ Buffalo Bills	L 22-37	1567.34	1519.30	46.78%	53.22%	-16.36	0-1
1995-12-30	Detroit Lions	W 58-37	1529.47	1587.87	51.73%	48.27%	+19.97	1-0
1996-01-07	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 11-30	1549.44	1676.45	24.29%	75.71%	-9.56	1-1
1996-01-06	Buffalo Bills	W 40-21	1606.92	1535.66	69.33%	30.67%	+12.07	1-0
1996-01-14	Indianapolis Colts	W 20-16	1618.99	1538.86	70.41%	29.59%	+5.35	2-0
1996-01-28	Dallas Cowboys	L 17-27	1624.34	1696.26	39.80%	60.20%	-11.37	2-1
1995-12-31	Indianapolis Colts	L 20-35	1558.08	1503.75	67.22%	32.78%	-23.51	0-1
1996-01-06	Green Bay Packers	L 17-27	1700.30	1622.81	70.09%	29.91%	-20.01	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1995-11-05	7.94%	Carolina Panthers	1300.42	13	@ San Francisco 49ers	1654.86	7
2	1995-10-22	11.26%	Jacksonville Jaguars	1267.95	23	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1555.33	15
3	1995-12-03	11.67%	Washington Redskins	1413.39	24	@ Dallas Cowboys	1693.83	17
4	1995-10-29	14.71%	New Orleans Saints	1436.19	11	@ San Francisco 49ers	1670.26	7
5	1995-10-01	15.95%	Jacksonville Jaguars	1249.95	17	@ Houston Oilers	1467.37	16
6	1995-10-29	18.70%	Carolina Panthers	1287.72	20	@ New England Patriots	1471.78	17
7	1995-10-08	20.31%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1257.53	20	Pittsburgh Steelers	1564.69	16
8	1995-11-12	24.01%	New England Patriots	1475.54	34	@ Miami Dolphins	1604.48	17
9	1995-10-19	24.02%	Cincinnati Bengals	1421.50	27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1550.31	9
10	1995-10-08	24.55%	Indianapolis Colts	1480.22	27	@ Miami Dolphins	1604.00	24
11	1996-01-07 *	25.85%	Indianapolis Colts	1527.26	10	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1639.89	7
12	1995-09-03	27.20%	St. Louis Rams	1453.73	17	@ Green Bay Packers	1553.50	14
13	1995-11-26	27.70%	New York Jets	1371.28	16	@ Seattle Seahawks	1466.66	10
14	1995-11-05	29.74%	Houston Oilers	1462.16	37	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1540.24	10
15	1996-01-06 *	29.91%	Green Bay Packers	1622.81	27	@ San Francisco 49ers	1700.30	17
16	1995-12-24	29.96%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1245.33	24	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1462.50	21
17	1995-10-02	30.57%	Buffalo Bills	1513.88	22	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1585.11	19
18	1995-10-01	30.91%	@ Washington Redskins	1451.26	27	Dallas Cowboys	1660.59	23
19	1995-09-24	31.29%	Minnesota Vikings	1512.10	44	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1577.52	24
20	1995-12-24	31.49%	Houston Oilers	1475.97	28	@ Buffalo Bills	1539.79	17
21	1995-12-24	31.70%	@ Atlanta Falcons	1503.47	28	San Francisco 49ers	1706.46	27
22	1995-11-12	32.15%	San Francisco 49ers	1634.51	38	@ Dallas Cowboys	1693.02	20
23	1995-11-12	32.16%	Cincinnati Bengals	1436.68	32	@ Houston Oilers	1495.08	25
24	1995-10-22	32.21%	@ Carolina Panthers	1262.52	20	New Orleans Saints	1461.39	3
25	1995-12-10	32.21%	Seattle Seahawks	1467.36	31	@ Denver Broncos	1525.37	27

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1995-11-05	32.92	Houston Oilers	37	1462.16	29.74%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	10	1540.24	70.03%
2	1995-10-08	31.35	Denver Broncos	37	1494.41	40.36%	@ New England Patriots	3	1491.04	59.42%
3	1995-10-19	29.08	Cincinnati Bengals	27	1421.50	24.02%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	9	1550.31	75.75%
4	1995-11-12	28.27	New England Patriots	34	1475.54	24.01%	@ Miami Dolphins	17	1604.48	75.76%
5	1995-09-24	27.71	Minnesota Vikings	44	1512.10	31.29%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	24	1577.52	68.48%
6	1995-11-12	25.96	San Francisco 49ers	38	1634.51	32.15%	@ Dallas Cowboys	20	1693.02	67.62%
7	1995-09-04	25.67	Dallas Cowboys	35	1611.28	51.84%	@ New York Giants	0	1527.24	47.93%
8	1995-10-22	25.20	@ Carolina Panthers	20	1262.52	32.21%	New Orleans Saints	3	1461.39	67.56%
9	1995-12-17	25.11	@ Seattle Seahawks	44	1479.59	52.18%	Oakland Raiders	10	1534.04	47.59%
10	1995-10-01	24.28	Oakland Raiders	47	1558.32	55.68%	@ New York Jets	10	1447.45	44.09%
11	1995-12-31 *	23.51	Indianapolis Colts	35	1503.75	32.78%	@ San Diego Chargers	20	1558.08	67.22%
12	1995-11-19	23.50	@ Carolina Panthers	27	1313.67	41.70%	Arizona Cardinals	7	1441.49	58.07%
13	1995-09-03	23.39	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	21	1458.46	33.04%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	6	1509.94	66.73%
14	1995-10-16	23.26	@ Denver Broncos	27	1525.75	50.33%	Oakland Raiders	0	1593.11	49.44%
15	1995-09-03	22.92	Kansas City Chiefs	34	1533.13	48.08%	@ Seattle Seahawks	10	1475.27	51.69%
16	1995-10-22	22.65	Jacksonville Jaguars	23	1267.95	11.26%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	15	1555.33	88.51%
17	1995-12-10	22.03	Pittsburgh Steelers	29	1584.94	43.93%	@ Oakland Raiders	10	1556.07	55.84%
18	1995-12-03	22.01	New Orleans Saints	31	1463.33	34.76%	@ New England Patriots	17	1501.49	65.01%
19	1995-11-19	21.58	Indianapolis Colts	24	1475.21	36.02%	@ New England Patriots	10	1503.80	63.75%
20	1995-11-20	21.24	San Francisco 49ers	44	1660.46	51.87%	@ Miami Dolphins	20	1576.21	47.90%
21	1995-12-03	21.09	Washington Redskins	24	1413.39	11.67%	@ Dallas Cowboys	17	1693.83	88.10%
22	1995-09-17	21.01	Chicago Bears	25	1517.48	46.51%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6	1470.52	53.26%
23	1995-09-10	20.88	Miami Dolphins	20	1564.10	43.82%	@ New England Patriots	3	1536.07	55.96%
24	1995-10-01	20.57	Kansas City Chiefs	24	1554.36	50.18%	@ Arizona Cardinals	3	1481.85	49.59%
25	1995-12-24	20.49	Houston Oilers	28	1475.97	31.49%	@ Buffalo Bills	17	1539.79	68.28%