1988 NFL Season

224 regular-season games · 10 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

San Francisco 49ers

3rd Super Bowl

Last Title: 1984

Runner-Up

Cincinnati Bengals

2nd SB App.

Last Appearance: 1981

Biggest Overachiever

Buffalo Bills

3.16 wins above expected

12 wins · 8.84 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Dallas Cowboys

3.33 wins below expected

3 wins · 6.33 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cincinnati Bengals Division	12	4	.750	—	448	329	+119	8.92	+3.08
2	Houston Oilers Playoffs	10	6	.625	2	424	365	+59	8.34	+1.66
3	Cleveland Browns (1st) Playoffs	10	6	.625	2	304	288	+16	9.34	+0.66
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	5	11	.312	7	336	421	-85	6.77	-1.77

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Buffalo Bills Division	12	4	0	.750	—	329	237	+92	8.84	+3.16
2	Indianapolis Colts	9	7	0	.562	3	354	315	+39	8.07	+0.93
3	New England Patriots	9	7	0	.562	3	250	284	-34	8.25	+0.75
4	New York Jets	8	7	1	.531	3.5	372	354	+18	7.83	+0.67
5	Miami Dolphins	6	10	0	.375	6	319	380	-61	7.95	-1.95

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Seattle Seahawks Division	9	7	0	.562	—	339	329	+10	8.37	+0.63
2	Denver Broncos	8	8	0	.500	1	327	352	-25	8.76	-0.76
3	Los Angeles Raiders	7	9	0	.438	2	325	369	-44	7.59	-0.59
4	San Diego Chargers	6	10	0	.375	3	231	332	-101	6.38	-0.38
5	Kansas City Chiefs	4	11	1	.281	4.5	254	320	-66	6.89	-2.39

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Chicago Bears Division	12	4	.750	—	312	215	+97	10.08	+1.92
2	Minnesota Vikings Playoffs	11	5	.688	1	406	233	+173	9.78	+1.22
3	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	5	11	.312	7	261	350	-89	5.94	-0.94
4	Green Bay Packers	4	12	.250	8	240	315	-75	6.48	-2.48
5	Detroit Lions	4	12	.250	8	220	313	-93	6.33	-2.33

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Philadelphia Eagles Division	10	6	.625	—	379	319	+60	8.32	+1.68
2	New York Giants	10	6	.625	—	359	304	+55	8.56	+1.44
3	Phoenix Cardinals	7	9	.438	3	344	398	-54	7.71	-0.71
4	Washington Redskins	7	9	.438	3	345	387	-42	8.91	-1.91
5	Dallas Cowboys	3	13	.188	7	265	381	-116	6.33	-3.33

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Los Angeles Rams Division	10	6	.625	—	407	293	+114	8.60	+1.40
2	San Francisco 49ers Playoffs	10	6	.625	—	369	294	+75	9.67	+0.33
3	New Orleans Saints	10	6	.625	—	312	283	+29	9.23	+0.77
4	Atlanta Falcons	5	11	.312	5	244	315	-71	5.77	-0.77

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Houston Oilers 24

Cleveland Browns (1st) 23

Dec 24

Divisional Round

Cincinnati Bengals 21

Seattle Seahawks 13

Dec 31

Buffalo Bills 17

Houston Oilers 10

Jan 1

Conference Championship

Cincinnati Bengals 21

Buffalo Bills 10

Jan 8

NFC

Wild Card Round

Minnesota Vikings 28

Los Angeles Rams 17

Dec 26

Divisional Round

Chicago Bears 20

Philadelphia Eagles 12

Dec 31

San Francisco 49ers 34

Minnesota Vikings 9

Jan 1

Conference Championship

San Francisco 49ers 28

Chicago Bears 3

Jan 8

Super Bowl

San Francisco 49ers 20

Cincinnati Bengals 16

Jan 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC Central	1608	11	9.78	+1.22	82.07%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1596	10	9.67	+0.33	67.56%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC Central	1592	12	10.08	+1.92	90.99%	4	7	9	10	11	13	16
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC Central	1572	12	8.92	+3.08	97.40%	2	6	8	9	10	12	15
Los Angeles Rams	NFC	NFC West	1572	10	8.60	+1.40	84.52%	1	5	7	9	10	12	15
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1571	12	8.84	+3.16	97.33%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Houston Oilers	AFC	AFC Central	1564	10	8.34	+1.66	87.19%	1	5	7	8	10	12	15
Cleveland Browns (1st)	AFC	AFC Central	1564	10	9.34	+0.66	72.90%	2	6	8	9	11	12	15
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC West	1561	10	9.23	+0.77	75.28%	2	6	8	9	10	12	15
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1555	10	8.32	+1.68	87.33%	1	5	7	8	10	11	15
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1539	10	8.56	+1.44	84.80%	1	5	7	9	10	12	16
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC East	1535	9	8.07	+0.93	77.68%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Seattle Seahawks	AFC	AFC West	1534	9	8.37	+0.63	72.28%	1	5	7	8	10	11	15
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1517	9	8.25	+0.75	74.75%	1	5	7	8	10	11	15
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1517	8.5	7.83	+0.67	64.93%	1	5	6	8	9	11	15
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1513	8	8.76	-0.76	44.85%	2	6	7	9	10	12	15
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1504	7	8.91	-1.91	24.16%	2	6	8	9	10	12	15
Los Angeles Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1457	7	7.59	-0.59	49.15%	1	4	6	8	9	11	14
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1450	6	7.95	-1.95	24.16%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Phoenix Cardinals	NFC	NFC East	1446	7	7.71	-0.71	46.60%	1	4	6	8	9	11	15
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC Central	1441	5	6.77	-1.77	26.53%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1423	6	6.38	-0.38	53.93%	0	3	5	6	8	9	13
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC Central	1413	4	6.48	-2.48	15.57%	0	3	5	6	8	10	15
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1410	4.5	6.89	-2.39	10.71%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC West	1391	5	5.77	-0.77	45.57%	0	3	4	6	7	9	13
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1388	3	6.33	-3.33	6.85%	0	3	5	6	8	9	14
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC Central	1385	5	5.94	-0.94	41.83%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC Central	1382	4	6.33	-2.33	17.30%	0	3	5	6	8	9	14

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team	Bengals	(1st)	Oilers	Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Houston Oilers	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Cincinnati Bengals	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	—	4-0 (2.2 exp.)	—
Cleveland Browns (1st)	1-2 (2.0 exp.)	1-2 (1.7 exp.)	—	4-0 (2.3 exp.)	—
Houston Oilers	2-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	—	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	—
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	—

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Colts	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
New England Patriots	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
New York Jets	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	—	—
Indianapolis Colts	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	—	—
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	—	—
New England Patriots	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	—	—
New York Jets	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	0-1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers	Seahawks
Denver Broncos	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Los Angeles Raiders	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Denver Broncos	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	—	3-1 (2.0 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	1-0-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—
Los Angeles Raiders	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	—	1-3 (1.8 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	—	2-2 (1.4 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	—	1-3 (2.0 exp.)

Within NFC Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings	Buccaneers
Chicago Bears	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC East	NFC West
Chicago Bears	—	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Detroit Lions	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-3 (1.7 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	—	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	—	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	—	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Cardinals	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
New York Giants	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Phoenix Cardinals	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	0-4 (1.3 exp.)	—	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
New York Giants	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-2 (2.0 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	—	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Phoenix Cardinals	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	—	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	—	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Falcons	Rams	Saints	49ers
Atlanta Falcons	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East
Atlanta Falcons	—	—	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (0.9 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	—	—	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	3-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.6 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	—	—	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.8 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	—	—	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	0.89%	2.68%	1.56%	1.12%	1.34%	0.45%	1.12%	9.15%
7–13	2.68%	5.80%	4.91%	2.90%	2.23%	0.22%	0.67%	19.42%
14–20	1.56%	4.91%	6.25%	6.03%	2.68%	1.79%	0.67%	23.88%
21–27	1.12%	2.90%	6.03%	8.04%	2.90%	2.23%	0.67%	23.88%
28–34	1.34%	2.23%	2.68%	2.90%	2.23%	1.34%	0.45%	13.17%
35–41	0.45%	0.22%	1.79%	2.23%	1.34%	0.45%	0.22%	6.70%
42+	1.12%	0.67%	0.67%	0.67%	0.45%	0.22%	—	3.79%
Total	9.15%	19.42%	23.88%	23.88%	13.17%	6.70%	3.79%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.26	20.26	+0.00
SD	10.64	10.64	14.97
CV	0.53	0.53	—
Max	55	55	+42
Min	0	0	-42

Games Played: 224

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	25.00%	31.25%	—	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.25	19.69	-4.44
SD	8.82	10.36	13.20
CV	0.58	0.53	—
Max	34	33	+20
Min	0	0	-33

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
28–34	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.25%	12.50%	25.00%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.56	14.81	+5.75
SD	11.91	9.81	13.32
CV	0.58	0.66	—
Max	37	35	+28
Min	3	0	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	43.75%	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.50	13.44	+6.06
SD	9.69	9.63	16.21
CV	0.50	0.72	—
Max	34	31	+27
Min	3	0	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
Total	—	18.75%	25.00%	43.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.00	20.56	+7.44
SD	11.20	8.32	16.09
CV	0.40	0.40	—
Max	45	41	+35
Min	6	7	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.00	18.00	+1.00
SD	8.66	9.56	11.99
CV	0.46	0.53	—
Max	31	38	+20
Min	3	3	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	37.50%	31.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.56	23.81	-7.25
SD	7.09	8.73	11.33
CV	0.43	0.37	—
Max	26	43	+7
Min	3	12	-40

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.44	22.00	-1.56
SD	9.27	15.77	20.24
CV	0.45	0.72	—
Max	35	55	+31
Min	0	0	-42

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	56.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	31.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.75	19.56	-5.81
SD	8.14	8.91	12.41
CV	0.59	0.46	—
Max	31	44	+16
Min	0	6	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	6.25%	43.75%	18.75%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.00	19.69	-4.69
SD	12.56	8.31	18.28
CV	0.84	0.42	—
Max	45	34	+42
Min	0	3	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	—	37.50%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Houston Oilers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.50	22.81	+3.69
SD	11.28	12.99	19.12
CV	0.43	0.57	—
Max	41	45	+35
Min	3	6	-42

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	50.00%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.12	19.69	+2.44
SD	12.40	9.12	12.81
CV	0.56	0.46	—
Max	55	34	+32
Min	3	0	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.88	20.00	-4.12
SD	9.74	8.82	7.58
CV	0.61	0.44	—
Max	38	34	+7
Min	3	6	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	18.75%	—	18.75%	12.50%	100%

Los Angeles Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.31	23.06	-2.75
SD	9.47	13.44	10.31
CV	0.47	0.58	—
Max	37	45	+11
Min	6	3	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	50.00%
28–34	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	—	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.44	18.31	+7.12
SD	9.13	13.09	15.06
CV	0.36	0.71	—
Max	45	41	+33
Min	10	0	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.94	23.75	-3.81
SD	11.19	12.36	12.24
CV	0.56	0.52	—
Max	38	44	+17
Min	3	6	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
Total	31.25%	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.38	14.56	+10.81
SD	14.54	10.16	20.01
CV	0.57	0.70	—
Max	49	34	+42
Min	6	0	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.62	17.75	-2.12
SD	8.59	12.13	17.78
CV	0.55	0.68	—
Max	30	45	+25
Min	3	3	-42

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
7–13	—	25.00%	—	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.50	17.69	+1.81
SD	9.68	11.52	16.46
CV	0.50	0.65	—
Max	42	45	+42
Min	3	0	-42

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	37.50%	18.75%	37.50%	—	—	6.25%	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.44	19.00	+3.44
SD	8.79	9.39	12.81
CV	0.39	0.49	—
Max	44	45	+37
Min	12	7	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
Total	12.50%	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.25	22.12	+1.12
SD	12.77	12.49	17.94
CV	0.55	0.56	—
Max	45	38	+42
Min	3	3	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	12.50%	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	56.25%
28–34	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	37.50%	43.75%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.69	19.94	+3.75
SD	8.64	5.63	10.02
CV	0.36	0.28	—
Max	41	28	+27
Min	3	7	-16

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	18.75%	43.75%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Phoenix Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.50	24.88	-3.38
SD	8.34	8.82	13.65
CV	0.39	0.35	—
Max	41	44	+17
Min	7	10	-37

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	43.75%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.00	26.31	-5.31
SD	11.19	8.02	13.75
CV	0.53	0.30	—
Max	40	42	+18
Min	7	10	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.44	20.75	-6.31
SD	10.66	10.89	14.64
CV	0.74	0.52	—
Max	38	48	+14
Min	0	6	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	31.25%	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.06	18.38	+4.69
SD	11.88	10.09	15.22
CV	0.52	0.55	—
Max	48	38	+38
Min	3	3	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
Total	—	25.00%	37.50%	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.19	20.56	+0.62
SD	12.84	9.16	14.63
CV	0.61	0.45	—
Max	43	38	+28
Min	3	10	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.31	21.88	-5.56
SD	7.13	12.40	11.11
CV	0.44	0.57	—
Max	31	49	+11
Min	7	5	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	50.00%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	37.50%	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.56	24.19	-2.62
SD	6.51	8.41	11.48
CV	0.30	0.35	—
Max	35	41	+18
Min	13	10	-24

Games Played: 16

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Buffalo Bills	12	8.84	+3.16
2	Cincinnati Bengals	12	8.92	+3.08
3	Chicago Bears	12	10.08	+1.92
4	Philadelphia Eagles	10	8.32	+1.68
5	Houston Oilers	10	8.34	+1.66

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Dallas Cowboys	3	6.33	-3.33
2	Green Bay Packers	4	6.48	-2.48
3	Kansas City Chiefs	4.5	6.89	-2.39
4	Detroit Lions	4	6.33	-2.33
5	Miami Dolphins	6	7.95	-1.95

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cincinnati Bengals	6	Sep 4 – Oct 9	1 in 90
2	Buffalo Bills	7	Oct 9 – Nov 20	1 in 52
3	New Orleans Saints	7	Sep 11 – Oct 23	1 in 33
4	Phoenix Cardinals	4	Sep 18 – Oct 9	1 in 23
5	New England Patriots	4	Oct 30 – Nov 20	1 in 22

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dallas Cowboys	10	Oct 3 – Dec 4	1 in 108
2	Green Bay Packers	7	Oct 23 – Dec 4	1 in 51
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	6	Sep 11 – Oct 16	1 in 39
4	Los Angeles Rams	4	Nov 6 – Nov 27	1 in 38
5	San Diego Chargers	6	Oct 2 – Nov 6	1 in 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4
Cleveland Browns (1st)	40.61%	28.87%	19.98%	10.54%
Cincinnati Bengals	31.50%	29.77%	24.29%	14.44%
Houston Oilers	21.82%	27.48%	29.95%	20.75%
Pittsburgh Steelers	6.07%	13.88%	25.78%	54.27%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Buffalo Bills	29.86%	22.68%	19.95%	15.17%	12.34%
New England Patriots	20.65%	20.86%	19.30%	20.91%	18.28%
Indianapolis Colts	18.37%	19.78%	20.75%	20.72%	20.38%
Miami Dolphins	16.58%	18.85%	19.63%	21.32%	23.62%
New York Jets	14.54%	17.83%	20.37%	21.88%	25.38%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Denver Broncos	37.07%	26.03%	17.48%	12.34%	7.08%
Seattle Seahawks	29.72%	25.38%	20.76%	14.94%	9.20%
Los Angeles Raiders	17.00%	21.28%	22.91%	21.37%	17.44%
Kansas City Chiefs	9.62%	15.64%	20.88%	25.89%	27.97%
San Diego Chargers	6.59%	11.67%	17.97%	25.46%	38.31%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Chicago Bears	49.89%	34.14%	10.99%	3.81%	1.17%
Minnesota Vikings	42.32%	38.38%	12.80%	5.04%	1.46%
Green Bay Packers	3.00%	10.66%	27.92%	30.31%	28.11%
Detroit Lions	2.85%	9.45%	26.64%	30.50%	30.56%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1.94%	7.37%	21.65%	30.34%	38.70%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Washington Redskins	33.85%	24.99%	18.90%	14.32%	7.94%
New York Giants	24.57%	25.00%	21.91%	17.41%	11.11%
Philadelphia Eagles	22.80%	22.69%	22.35%	19.39%	12.77%
Phoenix Cardinals	14.07%	18.80%	21.63%	24.44%	21.06%
Dallas Cowboys	4.71%	8.52%	15.21%	24.44%	47.12%

Team	1	2	3	4
San Francisco 49ers	44.07%	30.66%	20.55%	4.72%
New Orleans Saints	32.74%	33.01%	26.38%	7.87%
Los Angeles Rams	21.49%	30.24%	35.81%	12.46%
Atlanta Falcons	1.70%	6.09%	17.26%	74.95%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Cleveland Browns (1st)	18.10%	13.42%	11.18%	10.41%	8.46%	7.38%	6.81%	5.81%	5.19%	4.24%	3.41%	2.85%	1.90%	0.84%
Cincinnati Bengals	12.79%	11.24%	9.52%	9.81%	9.08%	8.19%	7.42%	7.13%	6.35%	5.18%	4.60%	4.05%	3.11%	1.53%
Denver Broncos	10.25%	11.26%	10.79%	9.29%	8.85%	8.45%	7.55%	6.34%	6.01%	5.31%	4.89%	4.31%	3.45%	3.25%
Buffalo Bills	11.54%	10.64%	9.74%	9.13%	8.17%	7.90%	7.83%	6.47%	6.29%	5.67%	5.39%	4.37%	4.48%	2.38%
Seattle Seahawks	7.86%	8.87%	9.10%	8.36%	7.90%	8.31%	7.79%	7.55%	7.18%	6.40%	5.92%	5.75%	4.65%	4.36%
Houston Oilers	7.80%	7.62%	8.07%	8.24%	8.87%	8.21%	7.60%	8.79%	7.97%	7.01%	6.20%	6.19%	4.73%	2.70%
New England Patriots	6.91%	7.75%	7.46%	8.32%	7.65%	7.61%	7.06%	7.27%	7.90%	7.94%	7.07%	6.15%	6.39%	4.52%
Indianapolis Colts	6.08%	6.91%	6.83%	7.39%	7.56%	7.41%	7.96%	7.60%	7.52%	7.64%	7.46%	6.84%	7.03%	5.77%
Miami Dolphins	5.52%	5.97%	6.84%	6.71%	7.30%	6.55%	7.93%	7.57%	7.27%	8.01%	7.80%	7.66%	8.09%	6.78%
New York Jets	5.16%	5.13%	5.99%	5.98%	7.02%	7.26%	7.59%	7.48%	7.96%	8.66%	8.18%	7.61%	8.86%	7.12%
Los Angeles Raiders	3.76%	4.88%	5.79%	5.68%	6.88%	7.47%	7.26%	7.63%	8.23%	8.11%	8.49%	9.02%	7.84%	8.96%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.81%	2.66%	3.29%	4.25%	4.69%	5.71%	5.66%	7.36%	7.80%	8.84%	9.39%	10.92%	11.32%	16.30%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.58%	2.08%	2.99%	3.59%	4.17%	5.15%	6.36%	7.00%	7.92%	8.91%	11.01%	13.05%	14.02%	12.17%
San Diego Chargers	0.84%	1.57%	2.41%	2.84%	3.40%	4.40%	5.18%	6.00%	6.41%	8.08%	10.19%	11.23%	14.13%	23.32%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Chicago Bears	21.91%	17.06%	13.34%	11.18%	9.85%	8.19%	5.36%	4.23%	3.31%	2.09%	1.69%	0.94%	0.57%	0.28%
Minnesota Vikings	17.91%	14.55%	13.24%	12.12%	10.43%	9.07%	6.46%	4.75%	4.03%	2.71%	2.16%	1.27%	0.87%	0.43%
San Francisco 49ers	17.08%	14.85%	12.76%	11.41%	9.85%	8.33%	7.40%	6.38%	4.61%	2.88%	2.20%	1.21%	0.82%	0.22%
New Orleans Saints	10.90%	12.04%	11.47%	11.31%	10.00%	10.08%	8.60%	7.79%	5.72%	4.71%	3.41%	2.24%	1.18%	0.55%
Washington Redskins	9.53%	10.60%	10.14%	9.85%	10.29%	8.94%	8.63%	7.30%	6.64%	6.16%	4.50%	3.36%	2.71%	1.35%
Los Angeles Rams	6.66%	7.94%	8.72%	9.44%	9.93%	9.61%	9.91%	10.07%	8.92%	6.06%	5.18%	4.22%	2.19%	1.15%
New York Giants	6.05%	7.92%	9.31%	9.02%	9.69%	9.25%	9.08%	8.39%	7.62%	7.53%	5.62%	4.61%	3.52%	2.39%
Philadelphia Eagles	4.93%	6.99%	8.47%	8.30%	8.39%	9.59%	9.54%	8.60%	8.52%	7.52%	6.38%	5.33%	4.29%	3.15%
Phoenix Cardinals	2.75%	4.23%	5.39%	6.57%	7.48%	7.79%	8.32%	9.49%	8.73%	9.89%	8.88%	7.99%	6.94%	5.55%
Green Bay Packers	0.71%	0.86%	1.77%	2.56%	3.38%	4.97%	6.42%	8.15%	9.31%	10.25%	11.85%	12.60%	12.70%	14.47%
Detroit Lions	0.54%	0.87%	1.62%	2.52%	3.14%	4.22%	6.37%	7.45%	9.28%	10.68%	11.31%	12.35%	13.35%	16.30%
Dallas Cowboys	0.59%	1.10%	1.77%	2.72%	3.40%	4.13%	5.28%	6.49%	8.14%	10.04%	11.10%	13.31%	16.41%	15.52%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.28%	0.58%	0.99%	1.56%	2.28%	3.46%	4.62%	5.75%	8.02%	9.84%	11.79%	13.20%	16.25%	21.38%
Atlanta Falcons	0.16%	0.41%	1.01%	1.44%	1.89%	2.37%	4.01%	5.16%	7.15%	9.64%	13.93%	17.37%	18.20%	17.26%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28
Chicago Bears	14.70%	10.42%	9.07%	7.11%	7.09%	6.30%	5.58%	4.84%	4.59%	4.65%	3.23%	3.71%	2.94%	2.56%	1.83%	2.03%	1.84%	1.54%	1.12%	1.06%	1.01%	0.85%	0.57%	0.47%	0.40%	0.22%	0.13%	0.14%
Minnesota Vikings	11.63%	8.43%	8.39%	6.96%	6.39%	6.11%	5.82%	5.62%	5.02%	4.54%	4.37%	3.81%	3.14%	3.32%	2.31%	2.31%	1.78%	2.23%	1.29%	1.37%	1.17%	1.15%	0.63%	0.76%	0.57%	0.43%	0.28%	0.17%
San Francisco 49ers	10.44%	8.47%	8.35%	6.89%	6.36%	5.95%	5.79%	5.06%	5.23%	4.30%	3.89%	3.76%	3.68%	3.29%	3.16%	2.84%	2.15%	2.33%	1.40%	1.55%	1.03%	1.17%	0.80%	0.84%	0.42%	0.48%	0.23%	0.14%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	7.65%	8.15%	6.82%	7.08%	5.61%	6.04%	5.22%	5.54%	4.14%	4.72%	4.17%	3.42%	3.81%	3.38%	3.35%	2.80%	2.68%	2.61%	2.35%	1.93%	1.71%	1.64%	1.56%	1.21%	0.89%	0.76%	0.46%	0.30%
New Orleans Saints	6.80%	5.47%	6.85%	5.73%	6.16%	5.46%	5.62%	5.07%	4.84%	4.79%	4.36%	5.23%	3.83%	4.11%	3.33%	3.81%	2.69%	2.96%	2.24%	2.44%	1.66%	1.66%	1.29%	1.40%	0.80%	0.71%	0.36%	0.33%
Cincinnati Bengals	4.86%	6.46%	5.53%	5.75%	4.88%	5.10%	4.85%	5.01%	4.72%	4.64%	4.41%	4.33%	3.47%	4.11%	4.11%	3.32%	3.38%	2.92%	2.90%	2.49%	2.64%	2.07%	2.03%	1.85%	1.51%	1.36%	0.75%	0.55%
Washington Redskins	5.64%	5.04%	5.68%	5.20%	5.24%	4.73%	5.40%	4.54%	5.03%	4.38%	4.53%	4.07%	4.11%	4.08%	3.88%	3.42%	3.00%	3.41%	3.05%	2.95%	2.35%	2.50%	1.61%	1.74%	1.46%	1.35%	0.91%	0.70%
Buffalo Bills	4.97%	5.27%	5.05%	5.40%	5.09%	4.66%	4.67%	4.84%	4.49%	4.44%	4.35%	4.25%	4.13%	3.80%	3.75%	3.43%	3.35%	2.71%	3.24%	2.99%	3.03%	2.49%	2.19%	1.90%	2.20%	1.47%	1.16%	0.68%
Denver Broncos	4.01%	5.38%	5.02%	5.62%	4.73%	5.55%	4.52%	5.36%	4.64%	4.78%	4.14%	4.28%	4.33%	4.09%	3.45%	3.29%	3.17%	2.88%	3.00%	2.77%	2.74%	2.15%	2.39%	2.03%	1.93%	1.56%	1.38%	0.81%
Los Angeles Rams	3.71%	3.61%	4.64%	4.03%	4.73%	4.17%	4.81%	4.38%	4.82%	4.32%	4.82%	4.97%	4.76%	4.37%	4.19%	4.85%	3.76%	4.58%	3.14%	2.92%	2.77%	2.93%	2.05%	2.38%	1.51%	1.21%	0.97%	0.60%
New York Giants	3.32%	3.73%	4.42%	4.00%	4.68%	4.05%	4.40%	5.06%	4.68%	4.70%	4.57%	4.38%	4.34%	4.24%	3.81%	4.38%	3.77%	3.49%	3.74%	3.42%	2.76%	3.03%	2.66%	2.03%	2.14%	1.67%	1.48%	1.05%
Seattle Seahawks	2.93%	3.85%	4.06%	4.56%	4.27%	4.34%	4.16%	4.53%	4.48%	4.22%	4.29%	4.25%	4.04%	4.21%	4.02%	3.93%	3.81%	3.62%	3.50%	3.24%	3.05%	3.14%	2.81%	2.92%	2.55%	1.97%	2.13%	1.12%
Houston Oilers	2.93%	3.91%	3.28%	4.10%	4.07%	4.38%	3.99%	4.48%	4.36%	4.33%	4.18%	4.38%	3.91%	4.19%	4.74%	4.26%	4.01%	3.96%	4.02%	3.45%	3.41%	2.89%	3.33%	2.46%	2.31%	2.14%	1.34%	1.19%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.79%	3.07%	3.56%	3.86%	4.45%	3.87%	4.18%	3.91%	4.05%	4.02%	4.35%	4.93%	4.62%	4.57%	4.06%	4.15%	3.90%	4.16%	3.45%	3.94%	3.14%	3.41%	2.74%	2.73%	2.35%	2.52%	1.81%	1.41%
New England Patriots	2.72%	3.28%	3.23%	3.74%	4.06%	4.09%	4.32%	4.19%	3.94%	4.04%	4.10%	3.99%	4.00%	3.41%	4.10%	3.96%	4.43%	3.67%	4.21%	3.74%	4.11%	3.48%	3.24%	2.71%	3.04%	2.55%	2.36%	1.29%
Indianapolis Colts	2.20%	3.13%	2.90%	3.41%	3.50%	3.72%	3.43%	4.06%	3.98%	4.13%	4.08%	3.90%	4.08%	3.82%	4.46%	3.78%	4.39%	3.55%	4.03%	3.78%	3.98%	3.77%	3.54%	3.32%	3.42%	3.08%	2.66%	1.90%
Miami Dolphins	2.03%	2.80%	2.64%	3.00%	3.52%	3.40%	3.53%	3.39%	3.61%	4.07%	3.65%	3.60%	4.20%	3.87%	4.11%	3.96%	4.36%	3.71%	3.97%	3.91%	4.43%	3.64%	4.31%	3.58%	4.09%	3.30%	3.24%	2.08%
New York Jets	1.69%	2.45%	2.25%	3.04%	2.85%	3.22%	3.05%	3.06%	3.31%	3.71%	4.06%	3.98%	4.04%	3.56%	4.48%	3.90%	4.73%	3.88%	4.60%	4.23%	4.72%	3.74%	4.15%	3.84%	4.23%	3.67%	3.19%	2.37%
Phoenix Cardinals	1.50%	1.69%	2.24%	2.32%	2.60%	3.15%	3.23%	3.06%	3.85%	3.36%	3.89%	3.61%	4.26%	4.04%	4.23%	4.34%	4.46%	4.64%	4.48%	4.70%	4.20%	4.32%	4.38%	3.88%	3.82%	3.66%	2.96%	3.13%
Los Angeles Raiders	1.26%	1.89%	1.95%	2.58%	2.61%	3.01%	2.97%	2.97%	3.27%	3.75%	3.73%	3.73%	4.00%	3.93%	4.36%	3.95%	4.30%	4.05%	4.27%	4.49%	4.67%	3.78%	4.82%	4.34%	4.60%	3.70%	3.96%	3.06%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.50%	0.89%	0.83%	1.38%	1.49%	1.91%	1.87%	2.34%	2.25%	2.63%	2.57%	3.00%	3.19%	3.32%	3.53%	4.09%	4.23%	3.93%	4.90%	4.65%	4.92%	4.94%	5.77%	5.43%	6.26%	5.78%	7.28%	6.12%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.51%	0.72%	0.84%	1.07%	1.48%	1.43%	1.83%	1.71%	2.15%	2.34%	2.94%	2.36%	3.25%	3.25%	3.70%	3.74%	4.24%	4.09%	4.75%	5.00%	5.74%	5.08%	6.63%	6.12%	6.51%	6.67%	5.92%	5.93%
Green Bay Packers	0.34%	0.36%	0.40%	0.73%	0.77%	1.06%	1.48%	1.18%	1.63%	1.99%	2.45%	2.26%	2.75%	3.25%	3.47%	3.91%	4.13%	4.54%	4.53%	4.97%	5.01%	6.34%	5.65%	6.84%	6.34%	7.07%	7.57%	8.98%
San Diego Chargers	0.20%	0.48%	0.52%	0.78%	0.90%	1.28%	1.32%	1.63%	1.63%	1.75%	2.14%	2.52%	2.37%	2.90%	3.22%	2.80%	3.69%	3.49%	4.64%	4.32%	5.44%	4.90%	6.43%	6.00%	7.22%	7.53%	10.12%	9.78%
Detroit Lions	0.22%	0.40%	0.43%	0.53%	0.62%	0.90%	1.28%	1.23%	1.62%	1.57%	2.01%	2.07%	2.93%	3.27%	3.00%	3.67%	3.77%	4.96%	4.59%	5.32%	4.87%	6.02%	5.45%	6.50%	6.61%	7.76%	8.25%	10.15%
Dallas Cowboys	0.26%	0.37%	0.60%	0.50%	0.72%	0.97%	1.27%	1.45%	1.73%	1.66%	2.06%	2.21%	2.45%	2.42%	2.70%	3.41%	3.80%	4.40%	4.53%	4.79%	4.84%	5.84%	5.77%	6.91%	7.45%	8.37%	8.68%	9.84%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.13%	0.19%	0.22%	0.34%	0.56%	0.63%	0.75%	0.81%	1.04%	1.24%	1.48%	1.76%	1.80%	2.63%	2.31%	2.98%	3.13%	3.92%	4.15%	4.79%	5.11%	6.55%	6.04%	7.15%	7.40%	8.58%	10.68%	13.63%
Atlanta Falcons	0.06%	0.09%	0.23%	0.29%	0.57%	0.52%	0.66%	0.68%	0.90%	0.93%	1.18%	1.24%	1.57%	2.01%	2.34%	2.69%	3.05%	3.77%	3.91%	4.79%	5.49%	6.52%	7.16%	8.66%	7.97%	10.43%	9.74%	12.55%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Cleveland Browns (1st)	18.10%	12.54%	9.97%	12.17%	8.89%	38.33%
Cincinnati Bengals	12.79%	10.10%	8.61%	11.33%	9.63%	47.54%
Buffalo Bills	11.54%	10.66%	7.66%	9.93%	8.76%	51.45%
Denver Broncos	10.25%	12.33%	14.49%	6.45%	7.80%	48.68%
Seattle Seahawks	7.86%	9.47%	12.39%	6.22%	6.97%	57.09%
Houston Oilers	7.80%	7.23%	6.79%	9.37%	9.52%	59.29%
New England Patriots	6.91%	7.65%	6.09%	8.71%	8.05%	62.59%
Indianapolis Colts	6.08%	6.70%	5.59%	8.14%	7.78%	65.71%
Miami Dolphins	5.52%	5.85%	5.21%	7.67%	7.47%	68.28%
New York Jets	5.16%	4.98%	4.40%	6.91%	7.14%	71.41%
Los Angeles Raiders	3.76%	5.54%	7.70%	4.52%	6.11%	72.37%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.81%	3.00%	4.81%	2.97%	4.54%	82.87%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.58%	2.09%	2.40%	3.86%	4.18%	85.89%
San Diego Chargers	0.84%	1.86%	3.89%	1.75%	3.16%	88.50%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Chicago Bears	21.91%	16.24%	11.74%	13.17%	10.37%	26.57%
Minnesota Vikings	17.91%	13.69%	10.72%	14.91%	11.23%	31.54%
San Francisco 49ers	17.08%	14.65%	12.34%	12.01%	10.08%	33.84%
New Orleans Saints	10.90%	11.73%	10.11%	12.44%	10.58%	44.24%
Washington Redskins	9.53%	11.53%	12.79%	7.61%	9.08%	49.46%
Los Angeles Rams	6.66%	7.53%	7.30%	10.64%	10.34%	57.53%
New York Giants	6.05%	8.37%	10.15%	8.16%	9.31%	57.96%
Philadelphia Eagles	4.93%	7.62%	10.25%	6.67%	7.66%	62.87%
Phoenix Cardinals	2.75%	4.45%	6.87%	5.09%	7.09%	73.75%
Green Bay Packers	0.71%	0.84%	1.45%	2.51%	3.61%	90.88%
Dallas Cowboys	0.59%	1.34%	2.78%	1.90%	3.03%	90.36%
Detroit Lions	0.54%	0.88%	1.43%	2.16%	3.60%	91.39%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.28%	0.69%	0.97%	1.41%	2.26%	94.39%
Atlanta Falcons	0.16%	0.44%	1.10%	1.32%	1.76%	95.22%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Chicago Bears	64.43%	64.43%	37.58%	20.53%	11.72%
Minnesota Vikings	58.47%	58.47%	34.35%	19.11%	10.95%
San Francisco 49ers	56.83%	56.83%	32.53%	17.18%	9.46%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	53.20%	53.20%	32.13%	17.70%	8.59%
Cincinnati Bengals	43.98%	43.98%	25.98%	14.57%	7.65%
Buffalo Bills	40.00%	40.00%	22.06%	12.27%	6.07%
New Orleans Saints	45.26%	45.26%	23.33%	11.42%	5.94%
Houston Oilers	32.68%	32.68%	18.54%	9.89%	5.07%
Los Angeles Rams	32.82%	32.82%	17.69%	8.96%	4.52%
Seattle Seahawks	36.32%	36.32%	17.54%	8.89%	4.30%
Denver Broncos	43.76%	43.76%	20.47%	9.52%	4.00%
Philadelphia Eagles	29.82%	29.82%	13.72%	6.69%	3.46%
New York Giants	32.59%	32.59%	13.73%	6.28%	3.05%
Indianapolis Colts	26.69%	26.69%	13.19%	6.39%	3.04%
Washington Redskins	40.56%	40.56%	15.83%	6.46%	2.94%
New England Patriots	28.84%	28.84%	14.02%	6.52%	2.61%
New York Jets	21.45%	21.45%	10.07%	4.69%	2.00%
Miami Dolphins	22.70%	22.70%	8.49%	3.20%	1.11%
Los Angeles Raiders	20.92%	20.92%	7.80%	2.97%	1.06%
Phoenix Cardinals	18.04%	18.04%	5.69%	1.87%	0.81%
Pittsburgh Steelers	9.18%	9.18%	3.54%	1.23%	0.43%
Kansas City Chiefs	12.07%	12.07%	3.65%	1.14%	0.41%
San Diego Chargers	8.21%	8.21%	2.52%	1.02%	0.32%
Green Bay Packers	6.12%	5.00%	1.45%	0.51%	0.18%
Dallas Cowboys	6.01%	6.01%	1.48%	0.29%	0.12%
Detroit Lions	5.76%	4.50%	1.10%	0.30%	0.09%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3.67%	3.03%	0.89%	0.25%	0.06%
Atlanta Falcons	3.08%	2.64%	0.63%	0.15%	0.04%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills		1.22%	1.22%	1.06%	1.17%	0.54%	0.71%	0.80%	0.51%	0.61%	0.60%	0.54%	0.34%	0.82%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.54%		0.58%	1.05%	0.72%	1.12%	0.58%	0.86%	1.51%	1.46%	1.18%	0.48%	0.47%	0.93%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	1.31%	0.57%		0.94%	0.81%	1.45%	0.62%	1.12%	1.62%	1.36%	1.02%	0.32%	0.50%	0.95%
Denver Broncos	0.71%	0.91%	0.81%		0.52%	0.61%	0.17%	0.22%	0.72%	0.64%	0.63%	0.37%	0.13%	0.25%
Houston Oilers	1.23%	0.62%	0.69%	0.95%		1.00%	0.57%	0.74%	1.33%	1.35%	0.95%	0.30%	0.33%	0.80%
Indianapolis Colts	0.65%	0.99%	1.03%	0.84%	0.89%		0.51%	0.63%	0.56%	0.38%	0.42%	0.53%	0.31%	0.58%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.27%	0.21%	0.22%	0.09%	0.18%	0.28%		0.13%	0.26%	0.31%	0.22%	0.15%	0.05%	0.08%
Los Angeles Raiders	0.42%	0.43%	0.28%	0.17%	0.38%	0.41%	0.14%		0.43%	0.42%	0.38%	0.25%	0.06%	0.15%
Miami Dolphins	0.30%	0.70%	0.76%	0.61%	0.74%	0.31%	0.52%	0.35%		0.37%	0.34%	0.45%	0.22%	0.45%
New England Patriots	0.52%	0.93%	1.02%	0.74%	0.78%	0.37%	0.44%	0.79%	0.56%		0.38%	0.63%	0.31%	0.72%
New York Jets	0.44%	0.68%	0.82%	0.64%	0.79%	0.28%	0.41%	0.56%	0.36%	0.41%		0.50%	0.35%	0.67%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.34%	0.20%	0.20%	0.28%	0.18%	0.29%	0.16%	0.22%	0.29%	0.31%	0.39%		0.15%	0.10%
San Diego Chargers	0.13%	0.20%	0.17%	0.03%	0.11%	0.20%	0.05%	0.05%	0.15%	0.19%	0.16%	0.09%		0.09%
Seattle Seahawks	0.69%	0.82%	0.67%	0.16%	0.76%	0.74%	0.18%	0.24%	0.72%	0.76%	0.47%	0.32%	0.07%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Phoenix Cardinals	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		0.14%	0.04%	0.07%	0.06%	0.03%	0.14%	0.08%	0.08%	0.07%	0.09%	0.04%	0.04%	0.06%
Chicago Bears	0.44%		0.67%	0.46%	0.33%	1.94%	0.11%	2.22%	1.56%	1.31%	1.37%	2.04%	0.26%	1.83%
Dallas Cowboys	0.05%	0.23%		0.05%	0.04%	0.16%	0.15%	0.24%	0.04%	0.05%	0.04%	0.13%	0.05%	0.07%
Detroit Lions	0.02%	0.13%	0.06%		0.06%	0.13%	0.10%	0.19%	0.27%	0.10%	0.25%	0.11%	0.03%	0.20%
Green Bay Packers	0.10%	0.09%	0.11%	0.04%		0.24%	0.13%	0.26%	0.21%	0.13%	0.18%	0.25%	0.01%	0.25%
Los Angeles Rams	0.19%	1.36%	0.41%	0.46%	0.49%		1.64%	1.04%	1.29%	0.94%	1.10%	0.73%	0.32%	1.36%
Minnesota Vikings	0.38%	0.04%	0.64%	0.52%	0.44%	2.27%		2.37%	2.00%	1.54%	1.61%	2.21%	0.21%	1.92%
New Orleans Saints	0.16%	1.72%	0.56%	0.59%	0.63%	0.96%	1.82%		1.40%	1.11%	1.10%	0.51%	0.46%	1.50%
New York Giants	0.26%	1.16%	0.21%	0.47%	0.30%	1.06%	1.29%	0.97%		0.34%	0.35%	1.03%	0.21%	0.37%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.11%	0.91%	0.14%	0.33%	0.39%	0.74%	1.26%	0.88%	0.43%		0.31%	0.90%	0.24%	0.38%
Phoenix Cardinals	0.06%	0.52%	0.06%	0.24%	0.27%	0.48%	0.57%	0.55%	0.29%	0.19%		0.46%	0.12%	0.16%
San Francisco 49ers	0.15%	1.64%	0.49%	0.49%	0.78%	0.72%	1.84%	0.69%	1.42%	1.09%	1.34%		0.41%	1.70%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.01%	0.07%	0.13%	0.02%	0.03%	0.10%	0.04%	0.10%	0.09%	0.11%	0.12%	0.09%		0.18%
Washington Redskins	0.21%	0.99%	0.11%	0.37%	0.30%	0.82%	0.90%	0.91%	0.37%	0.33%	0.35%	0.83%	0.22%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills		3.37%	3.98%	3.56%	3.17%		1.11%	1.87%				1.12%	0.97%	2.91%
Cincinnati Bengals	3.54%			3.61%		2.86%	1.53%	2.24%	3.18%	2.70%	2.20%		0.90%	3.22%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	4.56%			5.26%		3.32%	1.54%	2.81%	3.23%	3.68%	2.70%		1.43%	3.60%
Denver Broncos	2.82%	3.07%	3.25%		2.29%	1.81%			2.27%	2.17%	1.89%	0.90%
Houston Oilers	2.53%			2.86%		1.74%	0.94%	1.75%	1.92%	2.16%	1.68%		0.69%	2.27%
Indianapolis Colts		2.30%	2.17%	2.16%	1.61%		0.81%	1.37%				0.58%	0.38%	1.81%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.43%	0.59%	0.63%		0.40%	0.44%			0.31%	0.41%	0.30%	0.14%
Los Angeles Raiders	0.99%	1.02%	1.29%		0.70%	0.75%			0.89%	0.97%	0.81%	0.38%
Miami Dolphins		1.40%	1.44%	1.22%	1.02%		0.78%	0.68%				0.42%	0.32%	1.21%
New England Patriots		2.18%	2.62%	2.27%	1.69%		1.07%	1.27%				0.76%	0.56%	1.60%
New York Jets		1.40%	2.19%	1.68%	1.11%		0.47%	0.87%				0.40%	0.37%	1.58%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.45%			0.67%		0.37%	0.17%	0.26%	0.34%	0.47%	0.16%		0.07%	0.58%
San Diego Chargers	0.35%	0.28%	0.49%		0.23%	0.28%			0.28%	0.37%	0.16%	0.08%
Seattle Seahawks	2.27%	2.39%	3.01%		1.92%	1.93%			1.79%	1.89%	1.48%	0.86%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Phoenix Cardinals	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		0.12%	0.01%	0.02%	0.02%		0.07%		0.10%	0.06%	0.07%		0.02%	0.14%
Chicago Bears	0.67%		0.90%			4.59%		6.37%	4.72%	4.16%	3.18%	7.13%		5.86%
Dallas Cowboys	0.03%	0.22%		0.09%	0.04%	0.14%	0.27%	0.28%				0.39%	0.02%
Detroit Lions	0.03%		0.05%			0.12%		0.20%	0.09%	0.15%	0.12%	0.17%		0.17%
Green Bay Packers	0.02%		0.05%			0.16%		0.27%	0.18%	0.11%	0.13%	0.25%		0.28%
Los Angeles Rams		3.88%	0.61%	0.35%	0.49%		3.53%		2.30%	1.58%	1.48%		0.24%	3.23%
Minnesota Vikings	0.42%		1.08%			4.26%		5.99%	4.26%	3.61%	2.74%	6.48%		5.51%
New Orleans Saints		5.32%	0.72%	0.71%	0.69%		4.16%		2.93%	2.66%	1.95%		0.34%	3.85%
New York Giants	0.16%	3.13%		0.26%	0.41%	1.66%	2.88%	2.37%				2.65%	0.21%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.21%	3.05%		0.45%	0.42%	1.40%	2.57%	2.43%				2.97%	0.22%
Phoenix Cardinals	0.13%	1.11%		0.17%	0.19%	0.67%	1.25%	1.00%				1.12%	0.05%
San Francisco 49ers		6.97%	1.08%	0.73%	0.89%		6.20%		4.20%	3.66%	2.62%		0.66%	5.52%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.01%		0.03%			0.14%		0.09%	0.08%	0.11%	0.06%	0.20%		0.17%
Washington Redskins	0.33%	3.05%		0.62%	0.40%	1.99%	3.19%	2.93%				2.94%	0.38%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills		1.43%	2.27%	1.61%	1.05%	0.91%	0.27%	0.60%	0.70%	0.94%	0.80%	0.27%	0.15%	1.27%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.57%		2.44%	1.91%	1.53%	0.99%	0.38%	0.64%	0.76%	1.11%	0.84%	0.35%	0.28%	1.77%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2.19%	2.78%		2.14%	1.74%	1.53%	0.52%	0.96%	0.87%	1.43%	0.99%	0.55%	0.34%	1.66%
Denver Broncos	0.91%	1.41%	1.86%		1.00%	0.64%	0.13%	0.39%	0.68%	0.86%	0.61%	0.19%	0.12%	0.72%
Houston Oilers	1.19%	1.15%	1.73%	1.19%		0.67%	0.36%	0.56%	0.58%	0.86%	0.50%	0.21%	0.16%	0.73%
Indianapolis Colts	0.69%	1.02%	1.08%	0.63%	0.61%		0.20%	0.35%	0.33%	0.38%	0.37%	0.14%	0.11%	0.48%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.17%	0.09%	0.20%	0.12%	0.04%	0.08%		0.06%	0.06%	0.11%	0.07%	0.02%	0.02%	0.10%
Los Angeles Raiders	0.25%	0.33%	0.68%	0.30%	0.22%	0.27%	0.05%		0.17%	0.21%	0.19%	0.08%	0.03%	0.19%
Miami Dolphins	0.32%	0.38%	0.51%	0.48%	0.27%	0.20%	0.05%	0.16%		0.24%	0.12%	0.04%	0.04%	0.39%
New England Patriots	0.74%	0.69%	1.00%	0.88%	0.67%	0.51%	0.18%	0.41%	0.26%		0.30%	0.12%	0.08%	0.68%
New York Jets	0.41%	0.55%	0.66%	0.58%	0.48%	0.37%	0.15%	0.23%	0.22%	0.40%		0.10%	0.08%	0.46%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.11%	0.16%	0.18%	0.07%	0.10%	0.05%	0.03%	0.07%	0.07%	0.11%	0.11%		0.01%	0.16%
San Diego Chargers	0.11%	0.18%	0.18%	0.07%	0.10%	0.05%	0.02%	0.02%	0.05%	0.11%	0.07%	0.02%		0.04%
Seattle Seahawks	1.13%	1.24%	1.64%	0.97%	0.84%	0.53%	0.17%	0.38%	0.54%	0.74%	0.41%	0.22%	0.08%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Phoenix Cardinals	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		0.03%	0.01%		0.01%		0.03%	0.02%	0.01%		0.01%	0.01%		0.02%
Chicago Bears	0.11%		0.20%	0.13%	0.20%	1.92%	4.66%	2.94%	1.62%	1.65%	0.82%	3.95%	0.12%	2.21%
Dallas Cowboys		0.08%			0.01%	0.03%	0.01%	0.01%	0.04%	0.04%	0.03%	0.03%		0.01%
Detroit Lions		0.05%			0.01%	0.03%	0.02%	0.04%	0.02%	0.02%	0.02%	0.03%		0.06%
Green Bay Packers		0.05%	0.02%			0.01%	0.10%	0.11%	0.02%	0.04%	0.02%	0.11%		0.03%
Los Angeles Rams	0.06%	1.74%	0.19%	0.12%	0.05%		1.60%	1.02%	0.74%	0.43%	0.36%	1.71%	0.09%	0.85%
Minnesota Vikings	0.17%	4.43%	0.25%	0.11%	0.15%	1.97%		2.52%	1.50%	1.46%	0.84%	3.64%	0.08%	1.99%
New Orleans Saints	0.03%	2.53%	0.18%	0.07%	0.06%	1.03%	2.07%		0.84%	0.93%	0.38%	2.05%	0.09%	1.16%
New York Giants	0.02%	1.42%	0.03%	0.02%	0.08%	0.52%	1.09%	0.75%		0.46%	0.20%	1.21%	0.03%	0.45%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.01%	1.34%	0.03%	0.02%	0.06%	0.52%	1.10%	0.91%	0.47%		0.23%	1.30%	0.04%	0.66%
Phoenix Cardinals		0.46%	0.05%	0.04%	0.02%	0.15%	0.23%	0.30%	0.15%	0.10%		0.23%	0.02%	0.12%
San Francisco 49ers	0.05%	3.60%	0.13%	0.20%	0.21%	1.83%	3.09%	2.49%	1.52%	1.47%	0.67%		0.13%	1.79%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%		0.04%	0.02%	0.04%	0.01%	0.02%		0.06%		0.02%
Washington Redskins	0.02%	1.31%	0.09%	0.08%	0.08%	0.68%	1.22%	0.76%	0.51%	0.41%	0.24%	1.02%	0.04%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Buffalo Bills	Chicago Bears	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	Denver Broncos	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Los Angeles Rams	Miami Dolphins	Minnesota Vikings	New England Patriots	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	New York Jets	Philadelphia Eagles	Phoenix Cardinals	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons					0.01%		0.01%					0.01%														0.01%
Buffalo Bills	0.01%		1.19%			0.04%		0.02%	0.05%					0.53%		1.00%		0.79%	0.39%		0.43%	0.13%			1.04%		0.02%	0.43%
Chicago Bears		1.43%		1.59%	1.85%		1.22%			0.99%	0.68%	0.16%	0.46%		0.42%		0.93%			0.73%			0.17%	0.08%		1.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.01%		1.43%			0.07%		0.07%	0.02%					0.78%		1.37%		0.86%	0.48%		0.51%	0.18%			1.34%		0.02%	0.51%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	0.01%		1.64%			0.03%		0.01%	0.08%					0.83%		1.55%		0.94%	0.57%		0.63%	0.16%			1.52%		0.04%	0.58%
Dallas Cowboys		0.02%		0.01%	0.01%					0.02%	0.01%				0.02%		0.01%						0.01%	0.01%
Denver Broncos	0.02%		0.64%			0.01%		0.04%	0.06%					0.29%		0.70%		0.56%	0.30%		0.24%	0.15%			0.64%		0.02%	0.33%
Detroit Lions		0.02%			0.01%					0.01%	0.03%				0.01%		0.01%
Green Bay Packers		0.03%		0.02%	0.06%		0.03%			0.01%	0.01%						0.01%							0.01%
Houston Oilers	0.02%		0.92%					0.02%	0.01%					0.41%		0.96%		0.61%	0.46%		0.28%	0.08%			0.86%		0.01%	0.43%
Indianapolis Colts	0.02%		0.64%					0.01%	0.02%					0.22%		0.41%		0.34%	0.26%		0.24%	0.10%			0.53%		0.02%	0.23%
Kansas City Chiefs			0.08%											0.07%		0.03%		0.07%	0.04%		0.01%	0.02%			0.08%			0.01%
Los Angeles Raiders			0.22%						0.01%					0.13%		0.15%		0.10%	0.07%		0.09%	0.01%			0.20%			0.08%
Los Angeles Rams		0.45%		0.52%	0.71%		0.51%			0.52%	0.31%	0.04%	0.12%		0.21%		0.34%			0.23%			0.09%	0.09%		0.38%
Miami Dolphins			0.21%					0.01%	0.01%					0.14%		0.18%		0.12%	0.03%		0.11%	0.02%			0.13%		0.01%	0.14%
Minnesota Vikings		1.31%		1.47%	1.97%		1.06%			0.96%	0.59%	0.12%	0.46%		0.45%		0.72%			0.54%			0.18%	0.10%		1.02%
New England Patriots			0.41%					0.02%	0.03%					0.28%		0.55%		0.34%	0.18%		0.15%	0.04%			0.41%			0.20%
New Orleans Saints		0.72%		0.89%	0.92%		0.58%			0.52%	0.40%	0.07%	0.21%		0.14%		0.45%			0.28%			0.06%	0.14%		0.56%
New York Giants		0.37%		0.45%	0.52%		0.36%			0.28%	0.24%	0.05%	0.08%		0.09%		0.17%			0.13%			0.06%	0.05%		0.20%
New York Jets	0.01%		0.39%						0.02%					0.20%		0.40%		0.19%	0.13%		0.19%	0.02%			0.32%		0.01%	0.12%
Philadelphia Eagles		0.42%		0.38%	0.49%		0.36%			0.37%	0.21%	0.07%	0.13%		0.11%		0.29%			0.18%			0.05%	0.04%		0.36%
Phoenix Cardinals		0.11%		0.06%	0.21%		0.05%			0.04%	0.07%	0.02%	0.03%		0.03%		0.10%			0.01%			0.01%			0.07%
Pittsburgh Steelers			0.07%											0.10%		0.08%		0.03%	0.01%		0.03%	0.03%			0.06%			0.02%
San Diego Chargers			0.08%											0.02%		0.06%		0.05%	0.01%		0.04%				0.04%		0.01%	0.01%
San Francisco 49ers		0.99%		1.11%	1.74%		0.97%			0.88%	0.64%	0.15%	0.32%		0.53%		0.71%			0.39%			0.15%	0.12%		0.76%
Seattle Seahawks	0.01%		0.89%			0.02%		0.01%	0.02%					0.44%		0.72%		0.48%	0.30%		0.28%	0.12%			0.55%		0.03%	0.43%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers					0.01%		0.01%			0.01%			0.02%													0.01%
Washington Redskins		0.33%		0.42%	0.60%		0.36%			0.21%	0.16%	0.04%	0.08%		0.08%		0.17%			0.20%			0.02%	0.06%		0.21%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Chicago Bears	100.00%	61.58%	35.90%	18.95%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Cincinnati Bengals	100.00%	63.95%	37.22%	17.77%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
San Francisco 49ers	100.00%	59.34%	29.01%	15.59%	Won Super Bowl
Buffalo Bills	100.00%	57.29%	27.95%	12.99%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Philadelphia Eagles	100.00%	35.92%	15.28%	7.46%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Minnesota Vikings	62.50%	27.63%	12.75%	7.39%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Seattle Seahawks	100.00%	36.05%	16.01%	6.67%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Cleveland Browns (1st)	58.49%	24.41%	10.55%	5.16%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Houston Oilers	41.51%	18.30%	8.27%	4.27%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Los Angeles Rams	37.50%	15.53%	7.06%	3.75%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Houston Oilers
Cleveland Browns (1st)		58.49%
Houston Oilers	41.51%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Rams		37.50%
Minnesota Vikings	62.50%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Houston Oilers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills			34.08%	23.21%
Cincinnati Bengals					63.95%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	24.41%
Houston Oilers	18.30%
Seattle Seahawks		36.05%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers
Chicago Bears		21.97%		39.61%
Los Angeles Rams	15.53%
Minnesota Vikings					27.63%
Philadelphia Eagles	22.89%				13.03%
San Francisco 49ers			34.87%	24.47%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Houston Oilers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills		15.11%			12.84%
Cincinnati Bengals	21.50%		9.24%	6.48%
Cleveland Browns (1st)		6.34%			4.21%
Houston Oilers		5.28%			2.99%
Seattle Seahawks	7.84%		4.62%	3.55%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers
Chicago Bears			10.07%	4.89%	20.94%
Los Angeles Rams				2.83%	4.23%
Minnesota Vikings	8.02%			4.73%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.60%	2.71%	4.81%		5.16%
San Francisco 49ers	15.06%	5.76%		8.19%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Chicago Bears	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Houston Oilers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills		4.79%				0.94%	1.53%	2.21%	3.52%
Chicago Bears	5.37%		6.47%	1.93%	1.67%					3.51%
Cincinnati Bengals		6.65%				1.27%	1.78%	3.11%	4.96%
Cleveland Browns (1st)		1.85%				0.37%	0.54%	0.72%	1.68%
Houston Oilers		1.37%				0.27%	0.59%	0.80%	1.24%
Los Angeles Rams	1.11%		1.26%	0.48%	0.25%					0.65%
Minnesota Vikings	2.14%		2.85%	0.72%	0.40%					1.28%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.19%		2.77%	0.66%	0.47%					1.37%
San Francisco 49ers	4.15%		6.10%	1.60%	1.21%					2.53%
Seattle Seahawks		2.29%				0.46%	0.92%	0.98%	2.02%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Chicago Bears 18.95% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

64.32%

Win Prob

63.38%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

58.33%

Win Prob

58.17%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

34.14%

Win Prob

49.31%

Cincinnati Bengals 17.77% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

63.95%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

57.76%

Win Prob

58.73%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

37.42%

Win Prob

50.69%

San Francisco 49ers 15.59% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

58.76%

Win Prob

55.79%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

51.91%

Win Prob

41.83%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

39.13%

Win Prob

55.15%

Buffalo Bills 12.99% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

59.49%

Win Prob

58.27%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

54.06%

Win Prob

41.27%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

36.87%

Win Prob

47.15%

Philadelphia Eagles 7.46% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

63.72%

Win Prob

36.62%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

33.77%

Win Prob

38.65%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

37.13%

Win Prob

47.11%

Minnesota Vikings 7.39% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

62.50%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

44.21%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

62.90%

Win Prob

44.33%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

38.57%

Win Prob

61.56%

Seattle Seahawks 6.67% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

36.05%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

48.97%

Win Prob

37.91%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

34.33%

Win Prob

39.48%

Cleveland Browns (1st) 5.16% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Houston Oilers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

58.49%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

41.73%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

60.09%

Win Prob

40.69%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

35.85%

Win Prob

48.94%

Houston Oilers 4.27% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

41.51%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

44.09%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

63.85%

Win Prob

44.90%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

32.08%

Win Prob

45.07%

Los Angeles Rams 3.75% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

37.50%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

41.41%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

59.92%

Win Prob

42.34%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

33.60%

Win Prob

49.80%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1988-09-04	@ Detroit Lions	L 17-31	1413.92	1452.64	35.78%	63.71%	-12.66	0-1
1988-09-11	New Orleans Saints	L 21-29	1401.26	1527.04	40.55%	58.94%	-10.83	0-2
1988-09-18	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 34-17	1390.43	1587.63	18.29%	81.21%	+31.57	1-2
1988-09-25	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 20-26	1422.00	1484.20	32.74%	66.75%	-7.58	1-3
1988-10-02	Seattle Seahawks	L 20-31	1414.42	1503.40	45.75%	53.75%	-14.32	1-4
1988-10-09	Los Angeles Rams	L 0-33	1400.10	1534.72	39.33%	60.16%	-21.35	1-5
1988-10-16	@ Denver Broncos	L 14-30	1378.75	1545.34	21.07%	78.43%	-7.98	1-6
1988-10-23	New York Giants	L 16-23	1370.77	1511.56	38.49%	61.00%	-9.62	1-7
1988-10-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-24	1361.15	1504.51	23.38%	76.12%	+12.43	2-7
1988-11-06	Green Bay Packers	W 20-0	1373.58	1442.08	48.68%	50.81%	+21.45	3-7
1988-11-13	San Diego Chargers	L 7-10	1395.03	1390.92	59.01%	40.48%	-9.64	3-8
1988-11-20	@ Los Angeles Raiders	W 12-6	1385.39	1502.38	26.20%	73.29%	+16.92	4-8
1988-11-27	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-10	1402.31	1368.71	63.03%	36.46%	+9.12	5-8
1988-12-04	San Francisco 49ers	L 3-13	1411.43	1605.12	31.58%	67.92%	-9.44	5-9
1988-12-11	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 7-22	1401.99	1532.51	24.73%	74.77%	-9.06	5-10
1988-12-18	@ New Orleans Saints	L 9-10	1392.93	1558.73	21.14%	78.35%	-2.00	5-11
1988-09-04	Minnesota Vikings	W 13-10	1477.60	1532.77	50.60%	48.89%	+7.99	1-0
1988-09-11	Miami Dolphins	W 9-6	1485.59	1491.65	57.60%	41.90%	+6.85	2-0
1988-09-18	@ New England Patriots	W 16-14	1492.44	1519.64	37.32%	62.17%	+8.29	3-0
1988-09-25	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 36-28	1500.73	1486.57	60.40%	39.09%	+10.45	4-0
1988-10-02	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-24	1511.18	1555.36	35.06%	64.43%	-15.19	4-1
1988-10-09	Indianapolis Colts	W 34-23	1495.99	1472.88	61.62%	37.87%	+11.87	5-1
1988-10-17	@ New York Jets	W 37-14	1507.86	1515.89	39.94%	59.56%	+26.94	6-1
1988-10-23	New England Patriots	W 23-20	1534.80	1476.68	66.24%	33.26%	+5.45	7-1
1988-10-30	Green Bay Packers	W 28-0	1540.25	1457.17	69.34%	30.15%	+15.08	8-1
1988-11-06	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 13-3	1555.33	1515.40	46.70%	52.79%	+15.76	9-1
1988-11-14	@ Miami Dolphins	W 31-6	1571.09	1499.71	51.22%	48.27%	+22.78	10-1
1988-11-20	New York Jets	W 9-6	1593.87	1493.00	71.46%	28.04%	+4.59	11-1
1988-11-27	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-35	1598.46	1569.74	45.10%	54.39%	-15.93	11-2
1988-12-04	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 5-10	1582.53	1359.59	71.44%	28.06%	-15.07	11-3
1988-12-11	Los Angeles Raiders	W 37-21	1567.46	1479.53	69.93%	29.56%	+11.19	12-3
1988-12-18	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 14-17	1578.65	1526.78	48.42%	51.08%	-7.92	12-4
1988-09-04	Miami Dolphins	W 34-7	1539.40	1509.82	62.49%	37.00%	+18.17	1-0
1988-09-11	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 17-13	1557.57	1491.43	50.47%	49.02%	+9.26	2-0
1988-09-18	Minnesota Vikings	L 7-31	1566.83	1547.27	61.14%	38.35%	-28.25	2-1
1988-09-25	@ Green Bay Packers	W 24-6	1538.58	1422.32	57.61%	41.88%	+16.78	3-1
1988-10-02	Buffalo Bills	W 24-3	1555.36	1511.18	64.43%	35.06%	+15.19	4-1
1988-10-09	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-7	1570.55	1426.80	61.41%	38.09%	+14.84	5-1
1988-10-16	Dallas Cowboys	W 17-7	1585.39	1466.66	73.48%	26.01%	+7.78	6-1
1988-10-24	San Francisco 49ers	W 10-9	1593.17	1588.84	59.05%	40.45%	+3.82	7-1
1988-10-30	@ New England Patriots	L 7-30	1596.99	1471.23	58.94%	40.56%	-26.66	7-2
1988-11-06	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 28-10	1570.33	1375.29	81.02%	18.47%	+7.42	8-2
1988-11-13	@ Washington Redskins	W 34-14	1577.75	1572.21	41.82%	57.67%	+24.33	9-2
1988-11-20	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-15	1602.08	1377.85	71.59%	27.91%	+9.14	10-2
1988-11-27	Green Bay Packers	W 16-0	1611.22	1391.23	83.09%	16.41%	+6.22	11-2
1988-12-05	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 3-23	1617.44	1508.65	56.56%	42.93%	-23.86	11-3
1988-12-11	Detroit Lions	W 13-12	1593.58	1397.34	81.13%	18.37%	+1.74	12-3
1988-12-19	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 27-28	1595.32	1604.14	39.83%	59.67%	-3.77	12-4
1988-09-04	Phoenix Cardinals	W 21-14	1468.55	1482.30	56.52%	42.98%	+10.73	1-0
1988-09-11	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-24	1479.28	1513.85	36.33%	63.16%	+11.92	2-0
1988-09-18	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 17-12	1491.20	1499.12	39.95%	59.54%	+12.55	3-0
1988-09-25	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 24-17	1503.75	1550.08	51.87%	47.62%	+11.90	4-0
1988-10-02	@ Los Angeles Raiders	W 45-21	1515.65	1495.95	43.82%	55.68%	+25.73	5-0
1988-10-09	New York Jets	W 36-19	1541.38	1531.34	59.83%	39.66%	+15.45	6-0
1988-10-16	@ New England Patriots	L 21-27	1556.83	1464.13	54.28%	45.22%	-12.55	6-1
1988-10-23	Houston Oilers	W 44-21	1544.28	1520.87	61.66%	37.83%	+17.15	7-1
1988-10-30	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 16-23	1561.43	1569.22	39.97%	59.53%	-9.99	7-2
1988-11-06	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 42-7	1551.44	1441.68	72.48%	27.02%	+15.12	8-2
1988-11-13	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 28-31	1566.56	1415.33	62.42%	37.08%	-10.20	8-3
1988-11-20	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 38-24	1556.36	1410.73	61.66%	37.83%	+13.38	9-3
1988-11-27	Buffalo Bills	W 35-21	1569.74	1598.46	54.39%	45.10%	+15.93	10-3
1988-12-04	San Diego Chargers	W 27-10	1585.67	1406.40	79.62%	19.88%	+7.76	11-3
1988-12-11	@ Houston Oilers	L 6-41	1593.43	1546.51	47.71%	51.79%	-26.64	11-4
1988-12-17	Washington Redskins	W 20-17	1566.79	1509.70	66.10%	33.39%	+5.47	12-4
1988-09-04	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 6-3	1565.69	1470.52	54.63%	44.86%	+7.34	1-0
1988-09-11	New York Jets	L 3-23	1573.03	1462.81	72.53%	26.97%	-30.59	1-1
1988-09-19	Indianapolis Colts	W 23-17	1542.44	1482.18	66.51%	32.99%	+7.64	2-1
1988-09-25	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-24	1550.08	1503.75	47.62%	51.87%	-11.89	2-2
1988-10-02	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-9	1538.19	1476.12	49.88%	49.61%	+17.52	3-2
1988-10-09	Seattle Seahawks	L 10-16	1555.71	1517.72	63.61%	35.88%	-14.70	3-3
1988-10-16	Philadelphia Eagles	W 19-3	1541.01	1515.36	61.96%	37.53%	+14.19	4-3
1988-10-23	@ Phoenix Cardinals	W 29-21	1555.20	1513.58	46.95%	52.55%	+14.02	5-3
1988-10-30	Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-16	1569.22	1561.43	59.53%	39.97%	+9.99	6-3
1988-11-07	@ Houston Oilers	L 17-24	1579.21	1528.38	48.27%	51.23%	-12.05	6-4
1988-11-13	@ Denver Broncos	L 7-30	1567.16	1511.45	48.97%	50.52%	-22.17	6-5
1988-11-20	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-7	1544.99	1422.09	73.94%	25.55%	+10.81	7-5
1988-11-27	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-13	1555.80	1533.49	44.19%	55.30%	+10.44	8-5
1988-12-04	Dallas Cowboys	W 24-21	1566.24	1387.46	79.57%	19.92%	+3.26	9-5
1988-12-12	@ Miami Dolphins	L 31-38	1569.50	1453.33	57.60%	41.89%	-14.37	9-6
1988-12-18	Houston Oilers	W 28-23	1555.13	1573.15	55.91%	43.58%	+9.20	10-6
1988-09-04	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-24	1488.73	1495.71	40.08%	59.41%	-6.55	0-1
1988-09-12	@ Phoenix Cardinals	W 17-14	1482.18	1471.56	42.54%	56.96%	+9.30	1-1
1988-09-18	New York Giants	L 10-12	1491.48	1518.91	54.58%	44.92%	-7.28	1-2
1988-09-25	Atlanta Falcons	W 26-20	1484.20	1422.00	66.75%	32.74%	+7.58	2-2
1988-10-03	@ New Orleans Saints	L 17-20	1491.78	1554.86	32.63%	66.86%	-5.34	2-3
1988-10-09	Washington Redskins	L 17-35	1486.44	1550.01	49.39%	50.10%	-19.78	2-4
1988-10-16	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-17	1466.66	1585.39	26.01%	73.48%	-7.78	2-5
1988-10-23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 23-24	1458.88	1501.17	35.31%	64.18%	-3.34	2-6
1988-10-30	Phoenix Cardinals	L 10-16	1455.54	1499.56	52.20%	47.29%	-12.06	2-7
1988-11-06	@ New York Giants	L 21-29	1443.48	1528.04	29.97%	69.52%	-8.02	2-8
1988-11-13	Minnesota Vikings	L 3-43	1435.46	1555.26	41.39%	58.11%	-24.73	2-9
1988-11-20	Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-38	1410.73	1556.36	37.83%	61.66%	-13.37	2-10
1988-11-24	Houston Oilers	L 17-25	1397.36	1548.94	37.03%	62.46%	-9.90	2-11
1988-12-04	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 21-24	1387.46	1566.24	19.92%	79.57%	-3.27	2-12
1988-12-11	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-17	1384.19	1528.72	23.26%	76.24%	+19.02	3-12
1988-12-18	Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-23	1403.21	1540.65	38.95%	60.55%	-14.71	3-13
1988-09-04	Seattle Seahawks	L 14-21	1540.75	1521.37	61.11%	38.38%	-15.25	0-1
1988-09-11	San Diego Chargers	W 34-3	1525.50	1454.42	67.87%	31.62%	+16.65	1-1
1988-09-18	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-20	1542.15	1449.61	54.26%	45.24%	-13.54	1-2
1988-09-26	Los Angeles Raiders	L 27-30	1528.61	1485.45	64.30%	35.20%	-10.50	1-3
1988-10-02	@ San Diego Chargers	W 12-0	1518.11	1461.24	49.14%	50.36%	+16.46	2-3
1988-10-09	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 16-13	1534.57	1590.61	33.52%	65.97%	+10.77	3-3
1988-10-16	Atlanta Falcons	W 30-14	1545.34	1378.75	78.43%	21.07%	+7.98	4-3
1988-10-23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-39	1553.32	1424.06	59.42%	40.07%	-23.78	4-4
1988-10-31	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 23-55	1529.54	1487.51	47.00%	52.49%	-25.10	4-5
1988-11-06	Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-11	1504.44	1422.34	69.22%	30.27%	+7.01	5-5
1988-11-13	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 30-7	1511.45	1567.16	50.52%	48.97%	+22.17	6-5
1988-11-20	@ New Orleans Saints	L 0-42	1533.62	1580.37	34.73%	64.77%	-21.27	6-6
1988-11-27	Los Angeles Rams	W 35-24	1512.35	1521.93	57.10%	42.39%	+13.27	7-6
1988-12-04	@ Los Angeles Raiders	L 20-21	1525.62	1474.97	48.24%	51.25%	-4.55	7-7
1988-12-11	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 14-42	1521.07	1499.98	44.02%	55.48%	-21.99	7-8
1988-12-17	New England Patriots	W 21-10	1499.08	1531.69	53.84%	45.66%	+14.29	8-8
1988-09-04	Atlanta Falcons	W 31-17	1452.64	1413.92	63.71%	35.78%	+12.65	1-0
1988-09-11	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 10-17	1465.29	1518.64	33.87%	65.62%	-8.47	1-1
1988-09-18	New Orleans Saints	L 14-22	1456.82	1537.88	46.88%	52.61%	-12.52	1-2
1988-09-25	New York Jets	L 10-17	1444.30	1520.33	47.60%	51.89%	-11.89	1-3
1988-10-02	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-20	1432.41	1584.99	22.44%	77.05%	-5.61	1-4
1988-10-09	Chicago Bears	L 7-24	1426.80	1570.55	38.09%	61.41%	-14.84	1-5
1988-10-16	@ New York Giants	L 10-30	1411.96	1499.01	29.67%	69.82%	-12.55	1-6
1988-10-23	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 7-6	1399.41	1437.56	35.86%	63.64%	+6.00	2-6
1988-10-30	New York Giants	L 10-13	1405.41	1521.18	41.95%	57.54%	-6.86	2-7
1988-11-06	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-44	1398.55	1543.87	23.17%	76.32%	-11.40	2-8
1988-11-13	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 20-23	1387.15	1367.87	61.10%	38.39%	-9.98	2-9
1988-11-20	@ Green Bay Packers	W 19-9	1377.17	1410.00	36.57%	62.93%	+18.77	3-9
1988-11-24	Minnesota Vikings	L 0-23	1395.94	1590.18	31.51%	67.99%	-14.29	3-10
1988-12-04	Green Bay Packers	W 30-14	1381.65	1385.02	57.97%	41.52%	+15.69	4-10
1988-12-11	@ Chicago Bears	L 12-13	1397.34	1593.58	18.37%	81.13%	-1.74	4-11
1988-12-18	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-21	1395.60	1370.99	44.52%	54.98%	-13.94	4-12
1988-09-04	Los Angeles Rams	L 7-34	1468.01	1491.62	55.12%	44.37%	-27.02	0-1
1988-09-11	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-13	1440.99	1410.78	62.58%	36.92%	-10.22	0-2
1988-09-18	@ Miami Dolphins	L 17-24	1430.77	1484.79	33.78%	65.71%	-8.45	0-3
1988-09-25	Chicago Bears	L 6-24	1422.32	1538.58	41.88%	57.61%	-16.78	0-4
1988-10-02	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 24-27	1405.54	1404.38	41.21%	58.28%	-6.75	0-5
1988-10-09	New England Patriots	W 45-3	1398.79	1497.87	44.31%	55.19%	+33.74	1-5
1988-10-16	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 34-14	1432.53	1560.66	24.98%	74.51%	+31.43	2-5
1988-10-23	Washington Redskins	L 17-20	1463.96	1583.10	41.48%	58.02%	-6.79	2-6
1988-10-30	@ Buffalo Bills	L 0-28	1457.17	1540.25	30.15%	69.34%	-15.09	2-7
1988-11-06	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 0-20	1442.08	1373.58	50.81%	48.68%	-21.44	2-8
1988-11-13	Indianapolis Colts	L 13-20	1420.64	1531.94	42.58%	56.91%	-10.64	2-9
1988-11-20	Detroit Lions	L 9-19	1410.00	1377.17	62.93%	36.57%	-18.77	2-10
1988-11-27	@ Chicago Bears	L 0-16	1391.23	1611.22	16.41%	83.09%	-6.21	2-11
1988-12-04	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-30	1385.02	1381.65	41.52%	57.97%	-15.69	2-12
1988-12-11	Minnesota Vikings	W 18-6	1369.33	1628.80	24.01%	75.48%	+24.66	3-12
1988-12-18	@ Phoenix Cardinals	W 26-17	1393.99	1465.58	31.56%	67.93%	+19.22	4-12
1988-09-04	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 17-14	1498.14	1501.04	40.65%	58.85%	+9.62	1-0
1988-09-11	Los Angeles Raiders	W 38-35	1507.76	1503.50	59.04%	40.46%	+6.62	2-0
1988-09-18	@ New York Jets	L 3-45	1514.38	1493.40	44.00%	55.49%	-26.93	2-1
1988-09-25	New England Patriots	W 31-6	1487.45	1511.35	55.08%	44.42%	+20.97	3-1
1988-10-02	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 23-32	1508.42	1489.67	43.68%	55.81%	-12.38	3-2
1988-10-09	Kansas City Chiefs	W 7-6	1496.04	1458.42	63.57%	35.93%	+3.40	4-2
1988-10-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-14	1499.44	1445.49	48.72%	50.78%	+21.43	5-2
1988-10-23	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-44	1520.87	1544.28	37.83%	61.66%	-17.15	5-3
1988-10-30	Washington Redskins	W 41-17	1503.72	1589.89	46.15%	53.35%	+24.66	6-3
1988-11-07	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 24-17	1528.38	1579.21	51.23%	48.27%	+12.05	7-3
1988-11-13	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 24-27	1540.43	1499.65	46.83%	52.67%	-7.65	7-4
1988-11-20	Phoenix Cardinals	W 38-20	1532.78	1527.51	59.18%	40.32%	+16.16	8-4
1988-11-24	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 25-17	1548.94	1397.36	62.46%	37.03%	+9.89	9-4
1988-12-04	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 34-37	1558.83	1421.52	75.49%	24.01%	-12.32	9-5
1988-12-11	Cincinnati Bengals	W 41-6	1546.51	1593.43	51.79%	47.71%	+26.64	10-5
1988-12-18	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 23-28	1573.15	1555.13	43.58%	55.91%	-9.21	10-6
1988-09-04	Houston Oilers	L 14-17	1501.04	1498.14	58.85%	40.65%	-9.61	0-1
1988-09-11	Chicago Bears	L 13-17	1491.43	1557.57	49.02%	50.47%	-9.25	0-2
1988-09-19	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-23	1482.18	1542.44	32.99%	66.51%	-7.64	0-3
1988-09-25	Miami Dolphins	W 15-13	1474.54	1493.24	55.82%	43.68%	+5.83	1-3
1988-10-02	@ New England Patriots	L 17-21	1480.37	1490.38	39.66%	59.83%	-7.49	1-4
1988-10-09	@ Buffalo Bills	L 23-34	1472.88	1495.99	37.87%	61.62%	-11.87	1-5
1988-10-16	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 35-31	1461.01	1408.95	65.46%	34.04%	+6.43	2-5
1988-10-23	@ San Diego Chargers	W 16-0	1467.44	1430.24	46.31%	53.18%	+20.07	3-5
1988-10-31	Denver Broncos	W 55-23	1487.51	1529.54	52.49%	47.00%	+25.11	4-5
1988-11-06	New York Jets	W 38-14	1512.62	1517.66	57.74%	41.75%	+19.32	5-5
1988-11-13	@ Green Bay Packers	W 20-13	1531.94	1420.64	56.91%	42.58%	+10.64	6-5
1988-11-20	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 3-12	1542.58	1579.99	35.96%	63.54%	-10.20	6-6
1988-11-27	New England Patriots	W 24-21	1532.38	1525.39	59.41%	40.08%	+6.56	7-6
1988-12-04	@ Miami Dolphins	W 31-28	1538.94	1461.07	52.16%	47.34%	+7.74	8-6
1988-12-10	@ New York Jets	L 16-34	1546.68	1485.96	49.69%	49.80%	-19.90	8-7
1988-12-18	Buffalo Bills	W 17-14	1526.78	1578.65	51.08%	48.42%	+7.92	9-7
1988-09-04	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 3-6	1470.52	1565.69	44.86%	54.63%	-7.33	0-1
1988-09-11	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 10-31	1463.19	1536.62	31.33%	68.16%	-13.58	0-2
1988-09-18	Denver Broncos	W 20-13	1449.61	1542.15	45.24%	54.26%	+13.54	1-2
1988-09-25	San Diego Chargers	L 23-24	1463.15	1455.63	59.49%	40.01%	-5.61	1-3
1988-10-02	@ New York Jets	T 17-17	1457.54	1532.22	31.18%	68.31%	+0.88	1-3
1988-10-09	@ Houston Oilers	L 6-7	1458.42	1496.04	35.93%	63.57%	-3.40	1-4
1988-10-16	Los Angeles Raiders	L 17-27	1455.02	1454.40	58.53%	40.96%	-17.46	1-5
1988-10-23	Detroit Lions	L 6-7	1437.56	1399.41	63.64%	35.86%	-6.00	1-6
1988-10-30	@ Los Angeles Raiders	L 10-17	1431.56	1462.03	36.88%	62.61%	-9.22	1-7
1988-11-06	@ Denver Broncos	L 11-17	1422.34	1504.44	30.27%	69.22%	-7.01	1-8
1988-11-13	Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-28	1415.33	1566.56	37.08%	62.42%	+10.19	2-8
1988-11-20	Seattle Seahawks	W 27-24	1425.52	1507.30	46.78%	52.72%	+8.62	3-8
1988-11-27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-16	1434.14	1411.28	44.27%	55.23%	-10.24	3-9
1988-12-04	New York Jets	W 38-34	1423.90	1495.64	48.22%	51.28%	+9.68	4-9
1988-12-11	@ New York Giants	L 12-28	1433.58	1539.87	27.41%	72.08%	-10.38	4-10
1988-12-18	@ San Diego Chargers	L 13-24	1423.20	1409.28	43.00%	56.49%	-13.46	4-11
1988-09-04	San Diego Chargers	W 24-13	1491.73	1466.19	61.95%	37.54%	+11.77	1-0
1988-09-11	@ Houston Oilers	L 35-38	1503.50	1507.76	40.46%	59.04%	-6.62	1-1
1988-09-18	Los Angeles Rams	L 17-22	1496.88	1527.11	54.18%	45.32%	-11.43	1-2
1988-09-26	@ Denver Broncos	W 30-27	1485.45	1528.61	35.20%	64.30%	+10.50	2-2
1988-10-02	Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-45	1495.95	1515.65	55.68%	43.82%	-25.73	2-3
1988-10-09	Miami Dolphins	L 14-24	1470.22	1508.49	53.03%	46.47%	-15.82	2-4
1988-10-16	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-17	1454.40	1455.02	40.96%	58.53%	+17.46	3-4
1988-10-23	@ New Orleans Saints	L 6-20	1471.86	1574.93	27.78%	71.71%	-9.83	3-5
1988-10-30	Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-10	1462.03	1431.56	62.61%	36.88%	+9.22	4-5
1988-11-06	@ San Diego Chargers	W 13-3	1471.25	1405.58	50.40%	49.09%	+14.65	5-5
1988-11-13	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 9-3	1485.90	1586.01	28.13%	71.37%	+16.48	6-5
1988-11-20	Atlanta Falcons	L 6-12	1502.38	1385.39	73.29%	26.20%	-16.93	6-6
1988-11-28	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 27-35	1485.45	1498.69	39.22%	60.27%	-10.48	6-7
1988-12-04	Denver Broncos	W 21-20	1474.97	1525.62	51.25%	48.24%	+4.56	7-7
1988-12-11	@ Buffalo Bills	L 21-37	1479.53	1567.46	29.56%	69.93%	-11.19	7-8
1988-12-18	Seattle Seahawks	L 37-43	1468.34	1521.97	50.82%	48.67%	-11.74	7-9
1988-09-04	@ Green Bay Packers	W 34-7	1491.62	1468.01	44.37%	55.12%	+27.02	1-0
1988-09-11	Detroit Lions	W 17-10	1518.64	1465.29	65.62%	33.87%	+8.47	2-0
1988-09-18	@ Los Angeles Raiders	W 22-17	1527.11	1496.88	45.32%	54.18%	+11.43	3-0
1988-09-25	@ New York Giants	W 45-31	1538.54	1526.19	42.78%	56.71%	+20.02	4-0
1988-10-02	Phoenix Cardinals	L 27-41	1558.56	1489.96	67.56%	31.93%	-23.84	4-1
1988-10-09	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 33-0	1534.72	1400.10	60.16%	39.33%	+21.35	5-1
1988-10-16	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-24	1556.07	1579.84	55.10%	44.40%	-9.00	5-2
1988-10-23	Seattle Seahawks	W 31-10	1547.07	1527.40	61.15%	38.34%	+16.60	6-2
1988-10-30	@ New Orleans Saints	W 12-10	1563.67	1584.76	38.15%	61.35%	+8.18	7-2
1988-11-06	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-30	1571.85	1492.08	52.43%	47.06%	-12.12	7-3
1988-11-13	New Orleans Saints	L 10-14	1559.73	1569.61	57.06%	42.43%	-10.76	7-4
1988-11-20	San Diego Chargers	L 24-38	1548.97	1400.56	76.63%	22.86%	-27.04	7-5
1988-11-27	@ Denver Broncos	L 24-35	1521.93	1512.35	42.39%	57.10%	-13.28	7-6
1988-12-05	Chicago Bears	W 23-3	1508.65	1617.44	42.93%	56.56%	+23.86	8-6
1988-12-11	Atlanta Falcons	W 22-7	1532.51	1401.99	74.77%	24.73%	+9.06	9-6
1988-12-18	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 38-16	1541.57	1626.53	29.92%	69.57%	+30.77	10-6
1988-09-04	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-34	1509.82	1539.40	37.00%	62.49%	-18.17	0-1
1988-09-11	@ Buffalo Bills	L 6-9	1491.65	1485.59	41.90%	57.60%	-6.86	0-2
1988-09-18	Green Bay Packers	W 24-17	1484.79	1430.77	65.71%	33.78%	+8.45	1-2
1988-09-25	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 13-15	1493.24	1474.54	43.68%	55.82%	-5.83	1-3
1988-10-02	Minnesota Vikings	W 24-7	1487.41	1579.57	45.29%	54.20%	+21.08	2-3
1988-10-09	@ Los Angeles Raiders	W 24-14	1508.49	1470.22	46.47%	53.03%	+15.83	3-3
1988-10-16	San Diego Chargers	W 31-28	1524.32	1435.06	70.09%	29.41%	+4.81	4-3
1988-10-23	New York Jets	L 30-44	1529.13	1488.96	63.90%	35.59%	-22.55	4-4
1988-10-30	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-14	1506.58	1381.95	58.78%	40.71%	+6.67	5-4
1988-11-06	@ New England Patriots	L 10-21	1513.25	1497.89	43.20%	56.29%	-13.54	5-5
1988-11-14	Buffalo Bills	L 6-31	1499.71	1571.09	48.27%	51.22%	-22.78	5-6
1988-11-20	New England Patriots	L 3-6	1476.93	1516.76	52.80%	46.69%	-8.63	5-7
1988-11-27	@ New York Jets	L 34-38	1468.30	1488.40	38.28%	61.21%	-7.23	5-8
1988-12-04	Indianapolis Colts	L 28-31	1461.07	1538.94	47.34%	52.16%	-7.74	5-9
1988-12-12	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 38-31	1453.33	1569.50	41.89%	57.60%	+14.37	6-9
1988-12-18	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-40	1467.70	1423.20	47.36%	52.14%	-17.88	6-10
1988-09-04	@ Buffalo Bills	L 10-13	1532.77	1477.60	48.89%	50.60%	-8.00	0-1
1988-09-11	New England Patriots	W 36-6	1524.77	1542.14	56.01%	43.49%	+22.50	1-1
1988-09-18	@ Chicago Bears	W 31-7	1547.27	1566.83	38.35%	61.14%	+28.24	2-1
1988-09-25	Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-21	1575.51	1493.73	69.19%	30.31%	+4.06	3-1
1988-10-02	@ Miami Dolphins	L 7-24	1579.57	1487.41	54.20%	45.29%	-21.09	3-2
1988-10-09	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 14-13	1558.48	1411.12	76.53%	22.97%	+2.18	4-2
1988-10-16	Green Bay Packers	L 14-34	1560.66	1432.53	74.51%	24.98%	-31.42	4-3
1988-10-23	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 49-20	1529.24	1402.52	59.07%	40.42%	+20.56	5-3
1988-10-30	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 21-24	1549.80	1585.02	36.25%	63.25%	-5.93	5-4
1988-11-06	Detroit Lions	W 44-17	1543.87	1398.55	76.32%	23.17%	+11.39	6-4
1988-11-13	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 43-3	1555.26	1435.46	58.11%	41.39%	+24.73	7-4
1988-11-20	Indianapolis Colts	W 12-3	1579.99	1542.58	63.54%	35.96%	+10.19	8-4
1988-11-24	@ Detroit Lions	W 23-0	1590.18	1395.94	67.99%	31.51%	+14.29	9-4
1988-12-04	New Orleans Saints	W 45-3	1604.47	1595.02	59.75%	39.74%	+24.33	10-4
1988-12-11	@ Green Bay Packers	L 6-18	1628.80	1369.33	75.48%	24.01%	-24.66	10-5
1988-12-19	Chicago Bears	W 28-27	1604.14	1595.32	59.67%	39.83%	+3.77	11-5
1988-09-04	New York Jets	W 28-3	1525.71	1479.24	64.73%	34.77%	+16.43	1-0
1988-09-11	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 6-36	1542.14	1524.77	43.49%	56.01%	-22.50	1-1
1988-09-18	Buffalo Bills	L 14-16	1519.64	1492.44	62.17%	37.32%	-8.29	1-2
1988-09-25	@ Houston Oilers	L 6-31	1511.35	1487.45	44.42%	55.08%	-20.97	1-3
1988-10-02	Indianapolis Colts	W 21-17	1490.38	1480.37	59.83%	39.66%	+7.49	2-3
1988-10-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 3-45	1497.87	1398.79	55.19%	44.31%	-33.74	2-4
1988-10-16	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-21	1464.13	1556.83	45.22%	54.28%	+12.55	3-4
1988-10-23	@ Buffalo Bills	L 20-23	1476.68	1534.80	33.26%	66.24%	-5.45	3-5
1988-10-30	Chicago Bears	W 30-7	1471.23	1596.99	40.56%	58.94%	+26.66	4-5
1988-11-06	Miami Dolphins	W 21-10	1497.89	1513.25	56.29%	43.20%	+13.53	5-5
1988-11-13	@ New York Jets	W 14-13	1511.42	1498.34	42.88%	56.61%	+5.34	6-5
1988-11-20	@ Miami Dolphins	W 6-3	1516.76	1476.93	46.69%	52.80%	+8.63	7-5
1988-11-27	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 21-24	1525.39	1532.38	40.08%	59.41%	-6.56	7-6
1988-12-04	Seattle Seahawks	W 13-7	1518.83	1509.17	59.78%	39.71%	+9.19	8-6
1988-12-11	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 10-7	1528.02	1374.65	77.13%	22.36%	+3.67	9-6
1988-12-17	@ Denver Broncos	L 10-21	1531.69	1499.08	45.66%	53.84%	-14.30	9-7
1988-09-04	San Francisco 49ers	L 33-34	1531.99	1574.34	52.44%	47.05%	-4.95	0-1
1988-09-11	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 29-21	1527.04	1401.26	58.94%	40.55%	+10.84	1-1
1988-09-18	@ Detroit Lions	W 22-14	1537.88	1456.82	52.61%	46.88%	+12.52	2-1
1988-09-25	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 13-9	1550.40	1408.84	75.93%	23.56%	+4.46	3-1
1988-10-03	Dallas Cowboys	W 20-17	1554.86	1491.78	66.86%	32.63%	+5.34	4-1
1988-10-09	@ San Diego Chargers	W 23-17	1560.20	1444.78	57.49%	42.00%	+9.72	5-1
1988-10-16	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 20-19	1569.92	1532.42	46.36%	53.14%	+5.01	6-1
1988-10-23	Los Angeles Raiders	W 20-6	1574.93	1471.86	71.71%	27.78%	+9.83	7-1
1988-10-30	Los Angeles Rams	L 10-12	1584.76	1563.67	61.35%	38.15%	-8.18	7-2
1988-11-06	@ Washington Redskins	L 24-27	1576.58	1565.23	42.64%	56.85%	-6.97	7-3
1988-11-13	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 14-10	1569.61	1559.73	42.43%	57.06%	+10.76	8-3
1988-11-20	Denver Broncos	W 42-0	1580.37	1533.62	64.77%	34.73%	+21.27	9-3
1988-11-27	New York Giants	L 12-13	1601.64	1511.09	70.24%	29.25%	-6.62	9-4
1988-12-04	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 3-45	1595.02	1604.47	39.74%	59.75%	-24.33	9-5
1988-12-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-30	1570.69	1614.56	35.10%	64.39%	-11.96	9-6
1988-12-18	Atlanta Falcons	W 10-9	1558.73	1392.93	78.35%	21.14%	+2.00	10-6
1988-09-05	Washington Redskins	W 27-20	1514.95	1572.64	50.24%	49.25%	+12.30	1-0
1988-09-11	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-20	1527.25	1579.28	51.05%	48.44%	-8.34	1-1
1988-09-18	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 12-10	1518.91	1491.48	44.92%	54.58%	+7.28	2-1
1988-09-25	Los Angeles Rams	L 31-45	1526.19	1538.54	56.71%	42.78%	-20.02	2-2
1988-10-02	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-23	1506.17	1556.15	34.31%	65.19%	+6.15	3-2
1988-10-10	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-24	1512.32	1502.05	42.49%	57.01%	-13.31	3-3
1988-10-16	Detroit Lions	W 30-10	1499.01	1411.96	69.82%	29.67%	+12.55	4-3
1988-10-23	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 23-16	1511.56	1370.77	61.00%	38.49%	+9.62	5-3
1988-10-30	@ Detroit Lions	W 13-10	1521.18	1405.41	57.54%	41.95%	+6.86	6-3
1988-11-06	Dallas Cowboys	W 29-21	1528.04	1443.48	69.52%	29.97%	+8.02	7-3
1988-11-13	@ Phoenix Cardinals	L 17-24	1536.06	1516.56	43.79%	55.70%	-10.94	7-4
1988-11-20	Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-23	1525.12	1508.67	60.71%	38.78%	-14.03	7-5
1988-11-27	@ New Orleans Saints	W 13-12	1511.09	1601.64	29.25%	70.24%	+6.63	8-5
1988-12-04	Phoenix Cardinals	W 44-7	1517.72	1499.55	60.95%	38.54%	+22.15	9-5
1988-12-11	Kansas City Chiefs	W 28-12	1539.87	1433.58	72.08%	27.41%	+10.37	10-5
1988-12-18	@ New York Jets	L 21-27	1550.24	1505.86	47.34%	52.15%	-10.95	10-6
1988-09-04	@ New England Patriots	L 3-28	1479.24	1525.71	34.77%	64.73%	-16.43	0-1
1988-09-11	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 23-3	1462.81	1573.03	26.97%	72.53%	+30.59	1-1
1988-09-18	Houston Oilers	W 45-3	1493.40	1514.38	55.49%	44.00%	+26.93	2-1
1988-09-25	@ Detroit Lions	W 17-10	1520.33	1444.30	51.89%	47.60%	+11.89	3-1
1988-10-02	Kansas City Chiefs	T 17-17	1532.22	1457.54	68.31%	31.18%	-0.88	3-1
1988-10-09	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 19-36	1531.34	1541.38	39.66%	59.83%	-15.45	3-2
1988-10-17	Buffalo Bills	L 14-37	1515.89	1507.86	59.56%	39.94%	-26.93	3-3
1988-10-23	@ Miami Dolphins	W 44-30	1488.96	1529.13	35.59%	63.90%	+22.54	4-3
1988-10-30	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-20	1511.50	1447.84	66.94%	32.55%	+6.16	5-3
1988-11-06	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 14-38	1517.66	1512.62	41.75%	57.74%	-19.32	5-4
1988-11-13	New England Patriots	L 13-14	1498.34	1511.42	56.61%	42.88%	-5.34	5-5
1988-11-20	@ Buffalo Bills	L 6-9	1493.00	1593.87	28.04%	71.46%	-4.60	5-6
1988-11-27	Miami Dolphins	W 38-34	1488.40	1468.30	61.21%	38.28%	+7.24	6-6
1988-12-04	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 34-38	1495.64	1423.90	51.28%	48.22%	-9.68	6-7
1988-12-10	Indianapolis Colts	W 34-16	1485.96	1546.68	49.80%	49.69%	+19.90	7-7
1988-12-18	New York Giants	W 27-21	1505.86	1550.24	52.15%	47.34%	+10.95	8-7
1988-09-04	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 41-14	1488.89	1435.73	48.60%	50.89%	+24.96	1-0
1988-09-11	Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-28	1513.85	1479.28	63.16%	36.33%	-11.91	1-1
1988-09-18	@ Washington Redskins	L 10-17	1501.94	1563.49	32.82%	66.67%	-8.21	1-2
1988-09-25	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 21-23	1493.73	1575.51	30.31%	69.19%	-4.06	1-3
1988-10-02	Houston Oilers	W 32-23	1489.67	1508.42	55.81%	43.68%	+12.38	2-3
1988-10-10	New York Giants	W 24-13	1502.05	1512.32	57.01%	42.49%	+13.31	3-3
1988-10-16	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 3-19	1515.36	1541.01	37.53%	61.96%	-14.19	3-4
1988-10-23	Dallas Cowboys	W 24-23	1501.17	1458.88	64.18%	35.31%	+3.34	4-4
1988-10-30	Atlanta Falcons	L 24-27	1504.51	1361.15	76.12%	23.38%	-12.43	4-5
1988-11-06	Los Angeles Rams	W 30-24	1492.08	1571.85	47.06%	52.43%	+12.12	5-5
1988-11-13	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-26	1504.20	1426.56	52.12%	47.37%	+4.47	6-5
1988-11-20	@ New York Giants	W 23-17	1508.67	1525.12	38.78%	60.71%	+14.02	7-5
1988-11-27	Phoenix Cardinals	W 31-21	1522.69	1511.35	60.01%	39.48%	+11.80	8-5
1988-12-04	Washington Redskins	L 19-20	1534.49	1523.06	60.03%	39.47%	-5.66	8-6
1988-12-10	@ Phoenix Cardinals	W 23-17	1528.83	1477.40	48.35%	51.14%	+11.82	9-6
1988-12-18	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 23-7	1540.65	1403.21	60.55%	38.95%	+14.72	10-6
1988-09-04	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-21	1482.30	1468.55	42.98%	56.52%	-10.74	0-1
1988-09-12	Dallas Cowboys	L 14-17	1471.56	1482.18	56.96%	42.54%	-9.31	0-2
1988-09-18	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 30-24	1462.25	1421.00	46.89%	52.60%	+12.16	1-2
1988-09-25	Washington Redskins	W 30-21	1474.41	1571.70	44.56%	54.93%	+15.55	2-2
1988-10-02	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 41-27	1489.96	1558.56	31.93%	67.56%	+23.83	3-2
1988-10-09	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-14	1513.79	1458.60	65.86%	33.63%	+13.11	4-2
1988-10-16	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-33	1526.90	1569.78	35.23%	64.26%	-13.32	4-3
1988-10-23	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 21-29	1513.58	1555.20	52.55%	46.95%	-14.02	4-4
1988-10-30	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 16-10	1499.56	1455.54	47.29%	52.20%	+12.06	5-4
1988-11-06	San Francisco 49ers	W 24-23	1511.62	1590.95	47.13%	52.37%	+4.94	6-4
1988-11-13	New York Giants	W 24-17	1516.56	1536.06	55.70%	43.79%	+10.95	7-4
1988-11-20	@ Houston Oilers	L 20-38	1527.51	1532.78	40.32%	59.18%	-16.16	7-5
1988-11-27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-31	1511.35	1522.69	39.48%	60.01%	-11.80	7-6
1988-12-04	@ New York Giants	L 7-44	1499.55	1517.72	38.54%	60.95%	-22.15	7-7
1988-12-10	Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-23	1477.40	1528.83	51.14%	48.35%	-11.82	7-8
1988-12-18	Green Bay Packers	L 17-26	1465.58	1393.99	67.93%	31.56%	-19.22	7-9
1988-09-04	Dallas Cowboys	W 24-21	1495.71	1488.73	59.41%	40.08%	+6.56	1-0
1988-09-11	@ Washington Redskins	L 29-30	1502.27	1560.34	33.26%	66.23%	-3.15	1-1
1988-09-18	Cincinnati Bengals	L 12-17	1499.12	1491.20	59.54%	39.95%	-12.55	1-2
1988-09-25	@ Buffalo Bills	L 28-36	1486.57	1500.73	39.09%	60.40%	-10.45	1-3
1988-10-02	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 9-23	1476.12	1538.19	49.61%	49.88%	-17.52	1-4
1988-10-09	@ Phoenix Cardinals	L 14-31	1458.60	1513.79	33.63%	65.86%	-13.11	1-5
1988-10-16	Houston Oilers	L 14-34	1445.49	1499.44	50.78%	48.72%	-21.43	1-6
1988-10-23	Denver Broncos	W 39-21	1424.06	1553.32	40.07%	59.42%	+23.78	2-6
1988-10-30	@ New York Jets	L 20-24	1447.84	1511.50	32.55%	66.94%	-6.16	2-7
1988-11-06	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 7-42	1441.68	1551.44	27.02%	72.48%	-15.12	2-8
1988-11-13	Philadelphia Eagles	L 26-27	1426.56	1504.20	47.37%	52.12%	-4.47	2-9
1988-11-20	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-27	1422.09	1544.99	25.55%	73.94%	-10.81	2-10
1988-11-27	Kansas City Chiefs	W 16-10	1411.28	1434.14	55.23%	44.27%	+10.24	3-10
1988-12-04	@ Houston Oilers	W 37-34	1421.52	1558.83	24.01%	75.49%	+12.33	4-10
1988-12-11	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-20	1433.85	1398.64	46.03%	53.47%	-10.65	4-11
1988-12-18	Miami Dolphins	W 40-24	1423.20	1467.70	52.14%	47.36%	+17.89	5-11
1988-09-04	@ Los Angeles Raiders	L 13-24	1466.19	1491.73	37.54%	61.95%	-11.77	0-1
1988-09-11	@ Denver Broncos	L 3-34	1454.42	1525.50	31.62%	67.87%	-16.64	0-2
1988-09-18	Seattle Seahawks	W 17-6	1437.78	1550.19	42.42%	57.07%	+17.85	1-2
1988-09-25	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 24-23	1455.63	1463.15	40.01%	59.49%	+5.61	2-2
1988-10-02	Denver Broncos	L 0-12	1461.24	1518.11	50.36%	49.14%	-16.46	2-3
1988-10-09	New Orleans Saints	L 17-23	1444.78	1560.20	42.00%	57.49%	-9.72	2-4
1988-10-16	@ Miami Dolphins	L 28-31	1435.06	1524.32	29.41%	70.09%	-4.82	2-5
1988-10-23	Indianapolis Colts	L 0-16	1430.24	1467.44	53.18%	46.31%	-20.07	2-6
1988-10-30	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 14-17	1410.17	1510.80	28.07%	71.43%	-4.59	2-7
1988-11-06	Los Angeles Raiders	L 3-13	1405.58	1471.25	49.09%	50.40%	-14.66	2-8
1988-11-13	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 10-7	1390.92	1395.03	40.48%	59.01%	+9.64	3-8
1988-11-20	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 38-24	1400.56	1548.97	22.86%	76.63%	+27.04	4-8
1988-11-27	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-48	1427.60	1583.92	36.40%	63.10%	-21.20	4-9
1988-12-04	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-27	1406.40	1585.67	19.88%	79.62%	-7.76	4-10
1988-12-11	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 20-14	1398.64	1433.85	53.47%	46.03%	+10.64	5-10
1988-12-18	Kansas City Chiefs	W 24-13	1409.28	1423.20	56.49%	43.00%	+13.47	6-10
1988-09-04	@ New Orleans Saints	W 34-33	1574.34	1531.99	47.05%	52.44%	+4.94	1-0
1988-09-11	@ New York Giants	W 20-17	1579.28	1527.25	48.44%	51.05%	+8.35	2-0
1988-09-18	Atlanta Falcons	L 17-34	1587.63	1390.43	81.21%	18.29%	-31.58	2-1
1988-09-25	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 38-7	1556.05	1532.34	44.39%	55.11%	+28.94	3-1
1988-10-02	Detroit Lions	W 20-13	1584.99	1432.41	77.05%	22.44%	+5.62	4-1
1988-10-09	Denver Broncos	L 13-16	1590.61	1534.57	65.97%	33.52%	-10.77	4-2
1988-10-16	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 24-21	1579.84	1556.07	44.40%	55.10%	+9.00	5-2
1988-10-24	@ Chicago Bears	L 9-10	1588.84	1593.17	40.45%	59.05%	-3.82	5-3
1988-10-30	Minnesota Vikings	W 24-21	1585.02	1549.80	63.25%	36.25%	+5.93	6-3
1988-11-06	@ Phoenix Cardinals	L 23-24	1590.95	1511.62	52.37%	47.13%	-4.94	6-4
1988-11-13	Los Angeles Raiders	L 3-9	1586.01	1485.90	71.37%	28.13%	-16.48	6-5
1988-11-21	Washington Redskins	W 37-21	1569.53	1547.88	61.42%	38.07%	+14.39	7-5
1988-11-27	@ San Diego Chargers	W 48-10	1583.92	1427.60	63.10%	36.40%	+21.20	8-5
1988-12-04	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 13-3	1605.12	1411.43	67.92%	31.58%	+9.44	9-5
1988-12-11	New Orleans Saints	W 30-17	1614.56	1570.69	64.39%	35.10%	+11.97	10-5
1988-12-18	Los Angeles Rams	L 16-38	1626.53	1541.57	69.57%	29.92%	-30.77	10-6
1988-09-04	@ Denver Broncos	W 21-14	1521.37	1540.75	38.38%	61.11%	+15.25	1-0
1988-09-11	Kansas City Chiefs	W 31-10	1536.62	1463.19	68.16%	31.33%	+13.57	2-0
1988-09-18	@ San Diego Chargers	L 6-17	1550.19	1437.78	57.07%	42.42%	-17.85	2-1
1988-09-25	San Francisco 49ers	L 7-38	1532.34	1556.05	55.11%	44.39%	-28.94	2-2
1988-10-02	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 31-20	1503.40	1414.42	53.75%	45.75%	+14.32	3-2
1988-10-09	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 16-10	1517.72	1555.71	35.88%	63.61%	+14.70	4-2
1988-10-16	New Orleans Saints	L 19-20	1532.42	1569.92	53.14%	46.36%	-5.02	4-3
1988-10-23	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 10-31	1527.40	1547.07	38.34%	61.15%	-16.60	4-4
1988-10-30	San Diego Chargers	W 17-14	1510.80	1410.17	71.43%	28.07%	+4.60	5-4
1988-11-06	Buffalo Bills	L 3-13	1515.40	1555.33	52.79%	46.70%	-15.75	5-5
1988-11-13	Houston Oilers	W 27-24	1499.65	1540.43	52.67%	46.83%	+7.65	6-5
1988-11-20	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-27	1507.30	1425.52	52.72%	46.78%	-8.61	6-6
1988-11-28	Los Angeles Raiders	W 35-27	1498.69	1485.45	60.27%	39.22%	+10.48	7-6
1988-12-04	@ New England Patriots	L 7-13	1509.17	1518.83	39.71%	59.78%	-9.19	7-7
1988-12-11	Denver Broncos	W 42-14	1499.98	1521.07	55.48%	44.02%	+21.99	8-7
1988-12-18	@ Los Angeles Raiders	W 43-37	1521.97	1468.34	48.67%	50.82%	+11.75	9-7
1988-09-04	Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-41	1435.73	1488.89	50.89%	48.60%	-24.95	0-1
1988-09-11	@ Green Bay Packers	W 13-10	1410.78	1440.99	36.92%	62.58%	+10.22	1-1
1988-09-18	Phoenix Cardinals	L 24-30	1421.00	1462.25	52.60%	46.89%	-12.16	1-2
1988-09-25	@ New Orleans Saints	L 9-13	1408.84	1550.40	23.56%	75.93%	-4.46	1-3
1988-10-02	Green Bay Packers	W 27-24	1404.38	1405.54	58.28%	41.21%	+6.74	2-3
1988-10-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-14	1411.12	1558.48	22.97%	76.53%	-2.17	2-4
1988-10-16	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 31-35	1408.95	1461.01	34.04%	65.46%	-6.43	2-5
1988-10-23	Minnesota Vikings	L 20-49	1402.52	1529.24	40.42%	59.07%	-20.57	2-6
1988-10-30	Miami Dolphins	L 14-17	1381.95	1506.58	40.71%	58.78%	-6.66	2-7
1988-11-06	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-28	1375.29	1570.33	18.47%	81.02%	-7.42	2-8
1988-11-13	@ Detroit Lions	W 23-20	1367.87	1387.15	38.39%	61.10%	+9.98	3-8
1988-11-20	Chicago Bears	L 15-27	1377.85	1602.08	27.91%	71.59%	-9.14	3-9
1988-11-27	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 10-17	1368.71	1402.31	36.46%	63.03%	-9.12	3-10
1988-12-04	Buffalo Bills	W 10-5	1359.59	1582.53	28.06%	71.44%	+15.06	4-10
1988-12-11	@ New England Patriots	L 7-10	1374.65	1528.02	22.36%	77.13%	-3.66	4-11
1988-12-18	Detroit Lions	W 21-10	1370.99	1395.60	54.98%	44.52%	+13.94	5-11
1988-09-05	@ New York Giants	L 20-27	1572.64	1514.95	49.25%	50.24%	-12.30	0-1
1988-09-11	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 30-29	1560.34	1502.27	66.23%	33.26%	+3.15	1-1
1988-09-18	Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-10	1563.49	1501.94	66.67%	32.82%	+8.21	2-1
1988-09-25	@ Phoenix Cardinals	L 21-30	1571.70	1474.41	54.93%	44.56%	-15.55	2-2
1988-10-02	New York Giants	L 23-24	1556.15	1506.17	65.19%	34.31%	-6.14	2-3
1988-10-09	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 35-17	1550.01	1486.44	50.10%	49.39%	+19.77	3-3
1988-10-16	Phoenix Cardinals	W 33-17	1569.78	1526.90	64.26%	35.23%	+13.32	4-3
1988-10-23	@ Green Bay Packers	W 20-17	1583.10	1463.96	58.02%	41.48%	+6.79	5-3
1988-10-30	@ Houston Oilers	L 17-41	1589.89	1503.72	53.35%	46.15%	-24.66	5-4
1988-11-06	New Orleans Saints	W 27-24	1565.23	1576.58	56.85%	42.64%	+6.98	6-4
1988-11-13	Chicago Bears	L 14-34	1572.21	1577.75	57.67%	41.82%	-24.33	6-5
1988-11-21	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 21-37	1547.88	1569.53	38.07%	61.42%	-14.39	6-6
1988-11-27	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 13-17	1533.49	1555.80	55.30%	44.19%	-10.43	6-7
1988-12-04	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-19	1523.06	1534.49	39.47%	60.03%	+5.66	7-7
1988-12-11	Dallas Cowboys	L 17-24	1528.72	1384.19	76.24%	23.26%	-19.02	7-8
1988-12-17	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-20	1509.70	1566.79	33.39%	66.10%	-5.47	7-9

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1989-01-01	Houston Oilers	W 17-10	1570.73	1569.46	58.88%	41.12%	+10.22	1-0
1989-01-08	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-21	1580.95	1581.83	41.17%	58.83%	-12.83	1-1
1988-12-31	Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-12	1591.55	1555.37	63.65%	36.35%	+9.66	1-0
1989-01-08	San Francisco 49ers	L 3-28	1601.21	1616.70	56.53%	43.47%	-26.54	1-1
1988-12-31	Seattle Seahawks	W 21-13	1572.26	1533.72	63.96%	36.04%	+9.57	1-0
1989-01-08	Buffalo Bills	W 21-10	1581.83	1580.95	58.83%	41.17%	+12.82	2-0
1989-01-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 16-20	1594.65	1643.24	43.05%	56.95%	-8.08	2-1
1988-12-24	Houston Oilers	L 23-24	1564.33	1563.94	58.76%	41.24%	-5.51	0-1
1988-12-24	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 24-23	1563.94	1564.33	41.24%	58.76%	+5.52	1-0
1989-01-01	@ Buffalo Bills	L 10-17	1569.46	1570.73	41.12%	58.88%	-10.21	1-1
1988-12-26	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-28	1572.34	1607.91	36.44%	63.56%	-11.35	0-1
1988-12-26	Los Angeles Rams	W 28-17	1607.91	1572.34	63.56%	36.44%	+11.34	1-0
1989-01-01	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 9-34	1619.25	1595.76	44.61%	55.39%	-20.94	1-1
1988-12-31	@ Chicago Bears	L 12-20	1555.37	1591.55	36.35%	63.65%	-9.66	0-1
1989-01-01	Minnesota Vikings	W 34-9	1595.76	1619.25	55.39%	44.61%	+20.94	1-0
1989-01-08	@ Chicago Bears	W 28-3	1616.70	1601.21	43.47%	56.53%	+26.54	2-0
1989-01-22	Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-16	1643.24	1594.65	56.95%	43.05%	+8.08	3-0
1988-12-31	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-21	1533.72	1572.26	36.04%	63.96%	-9.57	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1988-09-18	18.29%	Atlanta Falcons	1390.43	34	@ San Francisco 49ers	1587.63	17
2	1988-11-20	22.86%	San Diego Chargers	1400.56	38	@ Los Angeles Rams	1548.97	24
3	1988-12-11	23.26%	Dallas Cowboys	1384.19	24	@ Washington Redskins	1528.72	17
4	1988-10-30	23.38%	Atlanta Falcons	1361.15	27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1504.51	24
5	1988-12-04	24.01%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1421.52	37	@ Houston Oilers	1558.83	34
6	1988-12-11	24.01%	@ Green Bay Packers	1369.33	18	Minnesota Vikings	1628.80	6
7	1988-10-16	24.98%	Green Bay Packers	1432.53	34	@ Minnesota Vikings	1560.66	14
8	1988-11-20	26.20%	Atlanta Falcons	1385.39	12	@ Los Angeles Raiders	1502.38	6
9	1988-09-11	26.97%	New York Jets	1462.81	23	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1573.03	3
10	1988-12-04	28.06%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1359.59	10	Buffalo Bills	1582.53	5
11	1988-11-13	28.13%	Los Angeles Raiders	1485.90	9	@ San Francisco 49ers	1586.01	3
12	1988-11-27	29.25%	New York Giants	1511.09	13	@ New Orleans Saints	1601.64	12
13	1988-12-18	29.92%	Los Angeles Rams	1541.57	38	@ San Francisco 49ers	1626.53	16
14	1988-12-18	31.56%	Green Bay Packers	1393.99	26	@ Phoenix Cardinals	1465.58	17
15	1988-10-02	31.93%	Phoenix Cardinals	1489.96	41	@ Los Angeles Rams	1558.56	27
16	1988-10-09	33.52%	Denver Broncos	1534.57	16	@ San Francisco 49ers	1590.61	13
17	1988-10-02	34.31%	New York Giants	1506.17	24	@ Washington Redskins	1556.15	23
18	1988-09-26	35.20%	Los Angeles Raiders	1485.45	30	@ Denver Broncos	1528.61	27
19	1988-10-23	35.59%	New York Jets	1488.96	44	@ Miami Dolphins	1529.13	30
20	1988-10-23	35.86%	Detroit Lions	1399.41	7	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1437.56	6
21	1988-10-09	35.88%	Seattle Seahawks	1517.72	16	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1555.71	10
22	1988-09-11	36.33%	Cincinnati Bengals	1479.28	28	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1513.85	24
23	1988-11-20	36.57%	Detroit Lions	1377.17	19	@ Green Bay Packers	1410.00	9
24	1988-09-11	36.92%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1410.78	13	@ Green Bay Packers	1440.99	10
25	1988-11-13	37.08%	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1415.33	31	Cincinnati Bengals	1566.56	28

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1988-10-09	33.74	@ Green Bay Packers	45	1398.79	44.31%	New England Patriots	3	1497.87	55.19%
2	1988-09-18	31.58	Atlanta Falcons	34	1390.43	18.29%	@ San Francisco 49ers	17	1587.63	81.21%
3	1988-10-16	31.43	Green Bay Packers	34	1432.53	24.98%	@ Minnesota Vikings	14	1560.66	74.51%
4	1988-12-18	30.77	Los Angeles Rams	38	1541.57	29.92%	@ San Francisco 49ers	16	1626.53	69.57%
5	1988-09-11	30.59	New York Jets	23	1462.81	26.97%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	3	1573.03	72.53%
6	1988-09-25	28.94	San Francisco 49ers	38	1556.05	44.39%	@ Seattle Seahawks	7	1532.34	55.11%
7	1988-09-18	28.25	Minnesota Vikings	31	1547.27	38.35%	@ Chicago Bears	7	1566.83	61.14%
8	1988-11-20	27.04	San Diego Chargers	38	1400.56	22.86%	@ Los Angeles Rams	24	1548.97	76.63%
9	1988-09-04	27.02	Los Angeles Rams	34	1491.62	44.37%	@ Green Bay Packers	7	1468.01	55.12%
10	1988-10-17	26.94	Buffalo Bills	37	1507.86	39.94%	@ New York Jets	14	1515.89	59.56%
11	1988-09-18	26.93	@ New York Jets	45	1493.40	55.49%	Houston Oilers	3	1514.38	44.00%
12	1988-10-30	26.66	@ New England Patriots	30	1471.23	40.56%	Chicago Bears	7	1596.99	58.94%
13	1988-12-11	26.64	@ Houston Oilers	41	1546.51	51.79%	Cincinnati Bengals	6	1593.43	47.71%
14	1989-01-08 *	26.54	San Francisco 49ers	28	1616.70	43.47%	@ Chicago Bears	3	1601.21	56.53%
15	1988-10-02	25.73	Cincinnati Bengals	45	1515.65	43.82%	@ Los Angeles Raiders	21	1495.95	55.68%
16	1988-10-31	25.11	@ Indianapolis Colts	55	1487.51	52.49%	Denver Broncos	23	1529.54	47.00%
17	1988-09-04	24.96	Philadelphia Eagles	41	1488.89	48.60%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	14	1435.73	50.89%
18	1988-11-13	24.73	Minnesota Vikings	43	1555.26	58.11%	@ Dallas Cowboys	3	1435.46	41.39%
19	1988-10-30	24.66	@ Houston Oilers	41	1503.72	46.15%	Washington Redskins	17	1589.89	53.35%
20	1988-12-11	24.66	@ Green Bay Packers	18	1369.33	24.01%	Minnesota Vikings	6	1628.80	75.48%
21	1988-11-13	24.33	Chicago Bears	34	1577.75	41.82%	@ Washington Redskins	14	1572.21	57.67%
22	1988-12-04	24.33	@ Minnesota Vikings	45	1604.47	59.75%	New Orleans Saints	3	1595.02	39.74%
23	1988-12-05	23.86	@ Los Angeles Rams	23	1508.65	42.93%	Chicago Bears	3	1617.44	56.56%
24	1988-10-02	23.84	Phoenix Cardinals	41	1489.96	31.93%	@ Los Angeles Rams	27	1558.56	67.56%
25	1988-10-23	23.78	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	39	1424.06	40.07%	Denver Broncos	21	1553.32	59.42%