1987 NFL Season

210 regular-season games · 10 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Washington Redskins

2nd Super Bowl

Last Title: 1982

Runner-Up

Denver Broncos

3rd SB App.

Last Appearance: 1986

Biggest Overachiever

New Orleans Saints

3.70 wins above expected

12 wins · 8.30 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Cincinnati Bengals

3.14 wins below expected

4 wins · 7.14 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cleveland Browns (1st) Division	10	5	.667	—	390	239	+151	9.26	+0.74
2	Houston Oilers Playoffs	9	6	.600	1	345	349	-4	6.85	+2.15
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	8	7	.533	2	285	299	-14	7.39	+0.61
4	Cincinnati Bengals	4	11	.267	6	285	370	-85	7.14	-3.14

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Indianapolis Colts Division	9	6	.600	—	300	238	+62	6.87	+2.13
2	New England Patriots	8	7	.533	1	320	293	+27	8.02	-0.02
3	Miami Dolphins	8	7	.533	1	362	335	+27	8.17	-0.17
4	Buffalo Bills	7	8	.467	2	270	305	-35	5.62	+1.38
5	New York Jets	6	9	.400	3	334	360	-26	7.92	-1.92

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Denver Broncos Division	10	4	1	.700	—	379	288	+91	9.02	+1.48
2	Seattle Seahawks Playoffs	9	6	0	.600	1.5	371	314	+57	8.95	+0.05
3	San Diego Chargers	8	7	0	.533	2.5	253	317	-64	7.29	+0.71
4	Los Angeles Raiders	5	10	0	.333	5.5	301	289	+12	7.28	-2.28
5	Kansas City Chiefs	4	11	0	.267	6.5	273	388	-115	5.62	-1.62

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Chicago Bears Division	11	4	0	.733	—	356	282	+74	10.27	+0.73
2	Minnesota Vikings Playoffs	8	7	0	.533	3	336	335	+1	8.12	-0.12
3	Green Bay Packers	5	9	1	.367	5.5	255	300	-45	5.70	-0.20
4	Detroit Lions	4	11	0	.267	7	269	384	-115	5.65	-1.65
5	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	4	11	0	.267	7	286	360	-74	5.68	-1.68

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Washington Redskins Division	11	4	.733	—	379	285	+94	10.08	+0.92
2	St. Louis Cardinals	7	8	.467	4	362	368	-6	6.56	+0.44
3	Dallas Cowboys	7	8	.467	4	340	348	-8	7.24	-0.24
4	Philadelphia Eagles	7	8	.467	4	337	380	-43	6.54	+0.46
5	New York Giants	6	9	.400	5	280	312	-32	8.32	-2.32

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Francisco 49ers Division	13	2	.867	—	459	253	+206	9.63	+3.37
2	New Orleans Saints Playoffs	12	3	.800	1	422	283	+139	8.30	+3.70
3	Los Angeles Rams	6	9	.400	7	317	361	-44	7.13	-1.13
4	Atlanta Falcons	3	12	.200	10	205	436	-231	5.39	-2.39

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Houston Oilers 23

Seattle Seahawks 20

Jan 3

Divisional Round

Cleveland Browns (1st) 38

Indianapolis Colts 21

Jan 9

Denver Broncos 34

Houston Oilers 10

Jan 10

Conference Championship

Denver Broncos 38

Cleveland Browns (1st) 33

Jan 17

NFC

Wild Card Round

Minnesota Vikings 44

New Orleans Saints 10

Jan 3

Divisional Round

Minnesota Vikings 36

San Francisco 49ers 24

Jan 9

Washington Redskins 21

Chicago Bears 17

Jan 10

Conference Championship

Washington Redskins 17

Minnesota Vikings 10

Jan 17

Super Bowl

Washington Redskins 42

Denver Broncos 10

Jan 31

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1717	13	9.63	+3.37	99.04%	2	7	8	10	11	12	15
Cleveland Browns (1st)	AFC	AFC Central	1637	10	9.26	+0.74	75.39%	3	6	8	9	10	12	15
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1632	11	10.08	+0.92	78.98%	4	7	9	10	11	13	15
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC West	1630	12	8.30	+3.70	99.32%	2	5	7	8	10	11	14
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC Central	1617	11	10.27	+0.73	76.70%	4	7	9	10	11	13	15
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1599	10.5	9.02	+1.48	79.01%	2	6	8	9	10	12	15
Seattle Seahawks	AFC	AFC West	1561	9	8.95	+0.05	62.24%	2	6	8	9	10	12	14
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1559	8	8.02	-0.02	60.44%	2	5	7	8	9	11	14
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1534	6	8.32	-2.32	17.41%	1	5	7	8	10	11	15
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1523	8	8.17	-0.17	57.30%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC East	1516	9	6.87	+2.13	92.34%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC Central	1516	8	8.12	-0.12	59.12%	2	5	7	8	9	11	15
Houston Oilers	AFC	AFC Central	1504	9	6.85	+2.15	92.72%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC Central	1490	8	7.39	+0.61	72.68%	1	4	6	7	9	10	14
Los Angeles Rams	NFC	NFC West	1479	6	7.13	-1.13	37.44%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1474	7	6.54	+0.46	71.16%	1	4	5	6	8	10	14
Los Angeles Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1473	5	7.28	-2.28	17.87%	1	4	6	7	9	10	14
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1472	7	7.24	-0.24	56.66%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
St. Louis Cardinals	NFC	NFC East	1456	7	6.56	+0.44	70.44%	0	3	5	7	8	10	14
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1448	7	5.62	+1.38	85.31%	0	3	4	6	7	9	12
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1446	6	7.92	-1.92	23.83%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1432	8	7.29	+0.71	74.67%	1	4	6	7	9	10	14
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1427	4	5.62	-1.62	27.63%	0	3	4	6	7	9	13
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC Central	1420	5.5	5.70	-0.20	47.20%	0	3	4	6	7	9	13
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC Central	1417	4	7.14	-3.14	8.15%	1	4	6	7	8	10	14
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC Central	1383	4	5.65	-1.65	28.00%	0	3	4	6	7	9	13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC Central	1327	4	5.68	-1.68	26.97%	0	3	4	6	7	9	12
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC West	1310	3	5.39	-2.39	14.96%	0	3	4	5	7	8	13

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team	Bengals	(1st)	Oilers	Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Houston Oilers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	—

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Cincinnati Bengals	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	—	—	1-2 (1.4 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	—	2-2 (2.5 exp.)
Houston Oilers	0-3 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	—	2-2 (1.7 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	3-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	—	2-2 (1.9 exp.)

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Colts	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	—
Indianapolis Colts	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	—
Miami Dolphins	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	3-0 (1.4 exp.)	—
New England Patriots	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-3 (1.7 exp.)	—
New York Jets	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-4 (1.9 exp.)	—

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers	Seahawks
Denver Broncos	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Los Angeles Raiders	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Denver Broncos	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-1-1 (2.3 exp.)	—	—
Kansas City Chiefs	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	—	—
Los Angeles Raiders	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	—	—
San Diego Chargers	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—
Seattle Seahawks	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	—	—

Within NFC Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings	Buccaneers
Chicago Bears	—	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC East	NFC West
Chicago Bears	—	—	2-2 (2.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)
Detroit Lions	—	—	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	—	—	1-2-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	—	—	2-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	—	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-3 (1.3 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Cardinals	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
New York Giants	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Washington Redskins	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	—	2-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
New York Giants	—	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	—	3-1 (1.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	—	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)
Washington Redskins	—	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (1.4 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Falcons	Rams	Saints	49ers
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East
Atlanta Falcons	0-4 (1.4 exp.)	—	—	0-3 (1.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.0 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	—	—	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	2-1 (1.3 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	—	—	3-0 (1.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.6 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	—	—	3-0 (2.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	1.43%	—	0.48%	1.67%	0.95%	1.19%	0.71%	6.43%
7–13	—	2.38%	5.00%	3.57%	1.67%	1.43%	0.24%	14.29%
14–20	0.48%	5.00%	8.10%	6.67%	4.05%	1.67%	0.48%	26.43%
21–27	1.67%	3.57%	6.67%	6.19%	4.76%	2.14%	0.71%	25.71%
28–34	0.95%	1.67%	4.05%	4.76%	4.76%	0.71%	0.24%	17.14%
35–41	1.19%	1.43%	1.67%	2.14%	0.71%	—	0.24%	7.38%
42+	0.71%	0.24%	0.48%	0.71%	0.24%	0.24%	—	2.62%
Total	6.43%	14.29%	26.43%	25.71%	17.14%	7.38%	2.62%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.60	21.60	+0.00
SD	10.19	10.19	15.29
CV	0.47	0.47	—
Max	51	51	+48
Min	0	0	-48

Games Played: 210

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.67%	13.33%	—	20.00%
7–13	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	40.00%
14–20	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
21–27	—	6.67%	13.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%	—	6.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.67%	20.00%	13.33%	26.67%	26.67%	6.67%	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.67	29.07	-15.40
SD	9.32	10.00	15.85
CV	0.68	0.34	—
Max	33	48	+11
Min	0	10	-38

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%	13.33%
7–13	—	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
14–20	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
21–27	13.33%	—	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
28–34	—	—	—	—	20.00%	—	—	20.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	6.67%	26.67%	13.33%	26.67%	—	6.67%	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.00	20.33	-2.33
SD	10.60	13.38	16.46
CV	0.59	0.66	—
Max	34	47	+27
Min	6	0	-41

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%	—	13.33%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
21–27	—	13.33%	—	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
28–34	—	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	33.33%
35–41	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	20.00%	13.33%	20.00%	20.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.73	18.80	+4.93
SD	9.87	12.27	17.03
CV	0.42	0.65	—
Max	35	41	+32
Min	0	3	-41

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%
7–13	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
14–20	—	13.33%	6.67%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	46.67%
21–27	—	—	—	13.33%	—	13.33%	—	26.67%
28–34	—	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	20.00%	6.67%	40.00%	20.00%	13.33%	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.00	24.67	-5.67
SD	7.79	9.69	10.59
CV	0.41	0.39	—
Max	30	41	+7
Min	0	10	-34

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
14–20	—	13.33%	—	—	—	—	—	13.33%
21–27	—	—	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	33.33%
28–34	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
35–41	6.67%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	33.33%	20.00%	20.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.00	15.93	+10.07
SD	9.89	10.27	15.57
CV	0.38	0.64	—
Max	40	38	+35
Min	7	0	-14

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.67%	—	13.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
14–20	—	—	13.33%	13.33%	—	6.67%	—	33.33%
21–27	—	—	13.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
28–34	—	—	—	13.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
35–41	—	—	—	13.33%	—	—	6.67%	20.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.67%	26.67%	53.33%	—	6.67%	6.67%	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.67	23.20	-0.53
SD	10.76	8.20	10.41
CV	0.47	0.35	—
Max	41	44	+19
Min	7	13	-17

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%	—	6.67%
14–20	—	—	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
21–27	6.67%	—	13.33%	—	13.33%	—	—	33.33%
28–34	6.67%	—	20.00%	—	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
35–41	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	—	53.33%	6.67%	20.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.27	19.20	+6.07
SD	8.01	10.77	15.72
CV	0.32	0.56	—
Max	40	40	+34
Min	10	0	-30

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%
7–13	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
14–20	—	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	—	46.67%
21–27	—	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
28–34	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	13.33%	26.67%	13.33%	33.33%	13.33%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.93	25.60	-7.67
SD	8.91	9.25	14.37
CV	0.50	0.36	—
Max	33	37	+17
Min	0	10	-34

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
7–13	—	—	6.67%	20.00%	—	—	—	26.67%
14–20	—	13.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
21–27	6.67%	—	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.67%	13.33%	33.33%	33.33%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.00	20.00	-3.00
SD	7.97	8.16	10.10
CV	0.47	0.41	—
Max	34	33	+20
Min	0	3	-20

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	13.33%	—	6.67%	—	20.00%
14–20	—	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
21–27	6.67%	—	13.33%	—	—	—	6.67%	26.67%
28–34	—	—	6.67%	—	13.33%	—	—	20.00%
35–41	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.67%	13.33%	26.67%	20.00%	20.00%	6.67%	6.67%	100%

Houston Oilers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.00	23.27	-0.27
SD	10.29	12.67	16.45
CV	0.45	0.54	—
Max	40	51	+30
Min	7	3	-33

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.67%	—	—	13.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
7–13	—	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
14–20	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
21–27	6.67%	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
28–34	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
35–41	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
42+	6.67%	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
Total	20.00%	13.33%	20.00%	46.67%	—	—	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.00	15.87	+4.13
SD	15.88	8.77	18.22
CV	0.79	0.55	—
Max	51	27	+41
Min	0	0	-24

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%	13.33%
7–13	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
14–20	—	13.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	6.67%	6.67%	46.67%
21–27	—	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	20.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%
35–41	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	13.33%	33.33%	13.33%	13.33%	6.67%	20.00%	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.20	25.87	-7.67
SD	10.21	10.84	16.08
CV	0.56	0.42	—
Max	41	43	+21
Min	0	10	-42

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
7–13	—	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%	—	13.33%
14–20	6.67%	—	6.67%	20.00%	13.33%	—	—	46.67%
21–27	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
28–34	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
35–41	—	—	13.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	6.67%	26.67%	33.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Los Angeles Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.07	19.27	+0.80
SD	9.65	9.82	14.27
CV	0.48	0.51	—
Max	37	35	+23
Min	3	0	-22

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%	6.67%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	13.33%
14–20	—	—	6.67%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	33.33%
21–27	—	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
28–34	6.67%	—	—	13.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
35–41	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	—	13.33%	33.33%	26.67%	6.67%	6.67%	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.13	24.07	-2.93
SD	10.73	12.02	21.72
CV	0.51	0.50	—
Max	37	48	+33
Min	0	0	-48

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
7–13	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
14–20	—	—	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
21–27	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	26.67%
28–34	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	20.00%
35–41	—	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
42+	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	6.67%	13.33%	13.33%	33.33%	20.00%	13.33%	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.13	22.33	+1.80
SD	10.58	11.02	16.65
CV	0.44	0.49	—
Max	42	40	+42
Min	0	0	-27

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
14–20	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
21–27	—	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
28–34	—	—	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%	—	6.67%
Total	—	6.67%	46.67%	26.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.40	22.33	+0.07
SD	10.22	7.02	9.90
CV	0.46	0.31	—
Max	44	38	+15
Min	7	13	-20

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
14–20	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	26.67%
21–27	6.67%	13.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%	33.33%
28–34	—	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	6.67%	26.67%	20.00%	20.00%	20.00%	—	6.67%	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.33	19.53	+1.80
SD	8.61	11.89	13.14
CV	0.40	0.61	—
Max	42	43	+24
Min	10	0	-19

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
21–27	—	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
28–34	—	—	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
35–41	6.67%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%
Total	6.67%	13.33%	26.67%	46.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.13	18.87	+9.27
SD	8.73	8.47	12.31
CV	0.31	0.45	—
Max	44	34	+38
Min	17	0	-10

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%	—	6.67%
14–20	—	20.00%	13.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	53.33%
21–27	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	26.67%
28–34	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.67%	26.67%	20.00%	20.00%	13.33%	13.33%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.67	20.80	-2.13
SD	6.28	11.79	12.81
CV	0.34	0.57	—
Max	30	41	+23
Min	3	6	-26

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
7–13	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
14–20	—	6.67%	20.00%	—	—	—	6.67%	33.33%
21–27	—	—	6.67%	—	—	13.33%	—	20.00%
28–34	—	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	20.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%
42+	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	6.67%	6.67%	40.00%	6.67%	13.33%	20.00%	6.67%	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.27	24.00	-1.73
SD	11.38	11.19	11.45
CV	0.51	0.47	—
Max	43	42	+19
Min	0	6	-22

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%	—	6.67%
7–13	—	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
14–20	—	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
21–27	—	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	20.00%
28–34	—	—	—	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
35–41	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.67%	26.67%	26.67%	26.67%	13.33%	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.47	25.33	-2.87
SD	10.28	8.67	13.48
CV	0.46	0.34	—
Max	38	41	+17
Min	3	7	-32

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
7–13	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
14–20	—	—	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
21–27	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	26.67%
28–34	—	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	20.00%	46.67%	13.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.00	19.93	-0.93
SD	7.58	8.36	12.42
CV	0.40	0.42	—
Max	30	35	+16
Min	3	7	-24

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
7–13	—	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
14–20	—	13.33%	13.33%	—	13.33%	—	—	40.00%
21–27	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
28–34	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	—	20.00%	33.33%	26.67%	20.00%	—	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.87	21.13	-4.27
SD	10.47	7.46	13.23
CV	0.62	0.35	—
Max	42	34	+21
Min	0	9	-31

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%
21–27	—	13.33%	13.33%	20.00%	—	—	—	46.67%
28–34	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
35–41	6.67%	6.67%	—	13.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
42+	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	13.33%	26.67%	13.33%	33.33%	13.33%	—	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	30.60	16.87	+13.73
SD	8.60	9.83	16.08
CV	0.28	0.58	—
Max	48	30	+48
Min	17	0	-13

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.67%	20.00%	—	26.67%
21–27	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
28–34	6.67%	—	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
35–41	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
42+	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	6.67%	20.00%	33.33%	13.33%	6.67%	20.00%	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.73	20.93	+3.80
SD	10.56	11.16	18.70
CV	0.43	0.53	—
Max	43	41	+31
Min	9	3	-23

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%
14–20	—	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
21–27	—	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	20.00%	—	—	46.67%
28–34	—	—	13.33%	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	33.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.67%	20.00%	26.67%	46.67%	—	—	100%

St. Louis Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.13	24.53	-0.40
SD	6.99	6.51	11.15
CV	0.29	0.27	—
Max	34	34	+17
Min	7	13	-23

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	20.00%
7–13	—	—	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
14–20	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
21–27	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
28–34	—	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	6.67%	20.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	—	13.33%	26.67%	33.33%	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.07	24.00	-4.93
SD	12.72	9.10	16.07
CV	0.67	0.38	—
Max	48	44	+38
Min	3	10	-32

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
14–20	—	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
21–27	—	6.67%	13.33%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	46.67%
28–34	—	—	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
35–41	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	26.67%	26.67%	33.33%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.27	19.00	+6.27
SD	6.71	7.20	8.82
CV	0.27	0.38	—
Max	38	31	+26
Min	13	7	-4

Games Played: 15

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New Orleans Saints	12	8.30	+3.70
2	San Francisco 49ers	13	9.63	+3.37
3	Houston Oilers	9	6.85	+2.15
4	Indianapolis Colts	9	6.87	+2.13
5	Denver Broncos	10.5	9.02	+1.48

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Cincinnati Bengals	4	7.14	-3.14
2	Atlanta Falcons	3	5.39	-2.39
3	New York Giants	6	8.32	-2.32
4	Los Angeles Raiders	5	7.28	-2.28
5	New York Jets	6	7.92	-1.92

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	San Diego Chargers	8	Sep 20 – Nov 15	1 in 233
2	New Orleans Saints	9	Nov 1 – Dec 27	1 in 95
3	San Francisco 49ers	7	Sep 20 – Nov 8	1 in 42
4	Los Angeles Rams	5	Nov 15 – Dec 13	1 in 38
5	Philadelphia Eagles	3	Oct 25 – Nov 8	1 in 15

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New York Giants	5	Sep 14 – Oct 18	1 in 95
2	Los Angeles Raiders	7	Oct 12 – Nov 22	1 in 89
3	Kansas City Chiefs	9	Sep 20 – Nov 22	1 in 83
4	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	8	Nov 8 – Dec 27	1 in 55
5	San Diego Chargers	6	Nov 22 – Dec 27	1 in 42

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4
Cleveland Browns (1st)	56.53%	23.90%	12.98%	6.59%
Pittsburgh Steelers	17.81%	27.83%	27.83%	26.53%
Cincinnati Bengals	13.60%	25.34%	29.81%	31.25%
Houston Oilers	12.06%	22.93%	29.38%	35.63%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Miami Dolphins	31.03%	25.34%	20.83%	14.64%	8.16%
New England Patriots	27.80%	25.15%	21.29%	16.41%	9.35%
New York Jets	26.06%	24.46%	22.06%	16.83%	10.59%
Indianapolis Colts	11.11%	16.77%	21.77%	27.34%	23.01%
Buffalo Bills	4.00%	8.28%	14.05%	24.78%	48.89%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Denver Broncos	39.35%	27.62%	17.57%	10.88%	4.58%
Seattle Seahawks	35.13%	29.87%	19.18%	11.04%	4.78%
Los Angeles Raiders	12.16%	18.58%	24.89%	26.21%	18.16%
San Diego Chargers	10.74%	17.74%	25.02%	27.11%	19.39%
Kansas City Chiefs	2.62%	6.19%	13.34%	24.76%	53.09%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Chicago Bears	73.67%	19.91%	4.61%	1.54%	0.27%
Minnesota Vikings	20.10%	46.03%	19.43%	9.86%	4.58%
Green Bay Packers	2.18%	11.23%	26.08%	30.35%	30.16%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2.36%	11.48%	24.72%	29.87%	31.57%
Detroit Lions	1.69%	11.35%	25.16%	28.38%	33.42%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Washington Redskins	60.27%	22.93%	10.36%	4.66%	1.78%
New York Giants	20.52%	31.20%	22.61%	16.27%	9.40%
Dallas Cowboys	9.18%	19.64%	25.85%	24.23%	21.10%
Philadelphia Eagles	4.89%	13.28%	20.88%	27.87%	33.08%
St. Louis Cardinals	5.14%	12.95%	20.30%	26.97%	34.64%

Team	1	2	3	4
San Francisco 49ers	63.24%	24.36%	10.06%	2.34%
New Orleans Saints	23.79%	40.46%	26.14%	9.61%
Los Angeles Rams	11.18%	27.08%	40.08%	21.66%
Atlanta Falcons	1.79%	8.10%	23.72%	66.39%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Cleveland Browns (1st)	20.65%	16.63%	13.81%	10.70%	8.51%	6.99%	5.42%	4.47%	4.15%	3.06%	2.22%	2.01%	1.10%	0.28%
Denver Broncos	18.13%	14.56%	11.70%	10.27%	8.72%	7.92%	6.47%	5.39%	4.70%	4.02%	3.15%	2.26%	1.69%	1.02%
Seattle Seahawks	16.25%	12.97%	11.57%	11.24%	9.71%	8.58%	6.91%	5.29%	4.99%	3.82%	3.02%	2.64%	1.95%	1.06%
Miami Dolphins	9.20%	9.78%	9.85%	9.18%	9.00%	8.48%	7.81%	7.70%	6.97%	5.89%	5.27%	4.48%	3.58%	2.81%
New England Patriots	7.73%	9.10%	8.93%	9.11%	8.95%	8.95%	7.88%	7.55%	6.97%	6.64%	5.93%	4.84%	4.23%	3.19%
New York Jets	6.84%	8.19%	8.75%	8.59%	8.99%	8.63%	8.45%	7.52%	7.61%	6.51%	6.16%	5.33%	4.75%	3.68%
Pittsburgh Steelers	4.12%	5.80%	6.94%	6.88%	7.64%	8.68%	8.07%	9.06%	8.85%	8.32%	7.60%	8.13%	5.71%	4.20%
Los Angeles Raiders	4.20%	4.71%	5.32%	6.68%	6.85%	7.05%	8.38%	8.33%	8.86%	9.08%	8.96%	7.91%	7.41%	6.26%
Cincinnati Bengals	3.42%	4.64%	5.55%	6.12%	6.66%	7.64%	8.23%	8.97%	9.00%	9.43%	9.20%	9.21%	7.22%	4.71%
San Diego Chargers	3.79%	4.48%	5.52%	6.65%	7.04%	7.02%	8.22%	8.45%	8.24%	9.34%	8.85%	8.02%	7.54%	6.84%
Houston Oilers	2.19%	3.53%	4.76%	4.94%	6.92%	7.12%	7.96%	8.61%	9.36%	9.05%	9.60%	10.64%	8.66%	6.66%
Indianapolis Colts	2.35%	3.60%	4.30%	5.41%	5.96%	6.73%	7.33%	8.05%	8.04%	9.40%	9.79%	9.59%	9.73%	9.72%
Buffalo Bills	0.58%	1.10%	1.54%	2.16%	2.68%	3.22%	4.40%	5.31%	6.16%	7.62%	10.46%	12.05%	17.61%	25.11%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.55%	0.91%	1.46%	2.07%	2.37%	2.99%	4.47%	5.30%	6.10%	7.82%	9.79%	12.89%	18.82%	24.46%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Chicago Bears	29.72%	23.06%	16.42%	10.84%	6.87%	5.00%	2.82%	2.08%	1.37%	0.74%	0.59%	0.27%	0.15%	0.07%
Washington Redskins	25.73%	21.18%	16.31%	11.10%	7.13%	5.48%	4.40%	2.98%	2.16%	1.57%	0.78%	0.69%	0.38%	0.11%
San Francisco 49ers	19.38%	19.41%	17.69%	11.48%	9.39%	7.40%	4.96%	3.89%	2.79%	1.63%	0.98%	0.69%	0.25%	0.06%
New Orleans Saints	5.50%	7.81%	10.63%	12.29%	12.66%	11.86%	9.60%	8.52%	6.59%	4.79%	3.91%	3.04%	2.07%	0.73%
New York Giants	7.53%	7.91%	9.39%	11.87%	10.89%	10.22%	9.33%	7.76%	6.99%	5.99%	4.59%	3.45%	2.60%	1.48%
Minnesota Vikings	5.21%	7.40%	8.88%	11.32%	12.79%	12.77%	9.78%	7.63%	6.87%	5.34%	4.38%	3.34%	2.39%	1.90%
Los Angeles Rams	1.61%	3.28%	5.29%	6.97%	8.57%	9.45%	10.69%	11.53%	10.38%	8.77%	7.71%	7.05%	5.85%	2.85%
Dallas Cowboys	2.06%	3.67%	5.49%	7.19%	7.98%	8.68%	9.93%	9.52%	8.80%	9.75%	8.13%	7.49%	6.71%	4.60%
Philadelphia Eagles	1.12%	1.81%	2.88%	4.66%	5.85%	5.86%	8.90%	8.64%	9.35%	10.81%	10.74%	10.64%	10.22%	8.52%
St. Louis Cardinals	1.18%	2.25%	2.93%	4.66%	5.77%	6.11%	8.23%	8.32%	9.53%	10.91%	9.94%	9.77%	11.27%	9.13%
Green Bay Packers	0.32%	0.60%	1.09%	2.16%	3.11%	4.46%	5.69%	7.82%	9.50%	9.79%	12.06%	12.66%	13.28%	17.46%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.29%	0.76%	1.15%	2.03%	3.25%	4.58%	5.90%	7.56%	8.73%	9.60%	11.63%	12.09%	14.08%	18.35%
Detroit Lions	0.23%	0.49%	1.08%	1.79%	3.17%	4.61%	5.14%	7.10%	9.35%	10.20%	11.92%	11.92%	13.89%	19.11%
Atlanta Falcons	0.12%	0.37%	0.77%	1.64%	2.57%	3.52%	4.63%	6.65%	7.59%	10.11%	12.64%	16.90%	16.86%	15.63%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28
Chicago Bears	20.84%	13.17%	12.24%	9.11%	8.29%	6.60%	5.42%	4.62%	3.54%	3.21%	2.44%	2.18%	1.62%	1.40%	0.87%	1.02%	0.75%	0.72%	0.44%	0.39%	0.29%	0.28%	0.20%	0.17%	0.07%	0.08%	0.03%	0.01%
Washington Redskins	17.39%	12.54%	11.44%	8.94%	8.06%	6.59%	5.62%	4.79%	3.47%	3.06%	2.79%	2.53%	2.42%	1.94%	1.63%	1.28%	1.10%	1.01%	0.77%	0.68%	0.52%	0.32%	0.40%	0.25%	0.21%	0.14%	0.09%	0.02%
San Francisco 49ers	12.57%	10.05%	10.03%	8.95%	8.03%	7.34%	5.95%	5.26%	4.48%	4.50%	3.19%	3.59%	2.45%	2.67%	2.02%	2.06%	1.32%	1.33%	0.88%	1.04%	0.57%	0.49%	0.48%	0.33%	0.21%	0.07%	0.10%	0.04%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	8.57%	10.07%	7.86%	8.49%	6.85%	7.42%	5.85%	5.69%	4.79%	4.35%	3.86%	3.56%	3.18%	2.60%	2.67%	1.96%	2.28%	1.96%	1.62%	1.31%	1.27%	1.00%	0.87%	0.79%	0.55%	0.38%	0.16%	0.04%
Denver Broncos	7.04%	8.81%	7.38%	7.74%	6.21%	6.06%	5.71%	5.37%	4.92%	4.41%	4.01%	4.00%	3.67%	3.42%	2.82%	2.42%	2.53%	2.41%	2.18%	1.70%	1.75%	1.22%	1.28%	0.92%	0.71%	0.55%	0.50%	0.26%
Seattle Seahawks	6.54%	7.69%	6.59%	7.16%	5.99%	6.13%	6.02%	5.86%	5.31%	5.06%	4.85%	4.02%	3.71%	3.12%	3.02%	2.61%	2.57%	2.43%	2.09%	1.59%	1.53%	1.35%	1.28%	1.06%	1.02%	0.63%	0.48%	0.29%
New Orleans Saints	3.09%	3.53%	4.44%	4.30%	5.58%	5.26%	5.78%	5.57%	5.78%	5.60%	5.85%	5.33%	4.72%	4.63%	4.18%	4.11%	3.10%	3.20%	2.64%	2.47%	2.32%	1.97%	1.57%	1.67%	1.15%	1.11%	0.67%	0.38%
New York Giants	4.30%	4.08%	4.77%	3.86%	5.08%	4.96%	5.73%	5.22%	5.38%	4.97%	4.70%	4.36%	4.80%	4.44%	3.57%	4.23%	3.48%	3.59%	2.95%	2.88%	2.22%	2.24%	2.13%	1.83%	1.52%	1.15%	0.92%	0.64%
Miami Dolphins	3.21%	4.51%	4.39%	5.15%	4.99%	5.37%	4.62%	5.08%	4.84%	4.61%	4.76%	4.35%	4.04%	3.90%	4.18%	3.69%	3.74%	3.58%	3.45%	2.39%	2.75%	2.63%	2.48%	1.83%	1.91%	1.41%	1.38%	0.76%
Minnesota Vikings	2.80%	3.26%	4.18%	4.01%	4.50%	4.80%	5.24%	5.24%	5.14%	6.28%	5.06%	6.41%	4.57%	4.82%	3.79%	4.36%	3.30%	3.43%	2.76%	3.00%	2.48%	2.38%	1.69%	1.78%	1.46%	1.26%	1.28%	0.72%
New England Patriots	2.39%	3.90%	4.03%	4.84%	4.50%	4.54%	4.71%	5.16%	4.90%	4.73%	5.15%	4.36%	4.35%	4.08%	3.75%	3.45%	4.11%	3.35%	3.78%	2.93%	3.19%	2.71%	2.58%	2.10%	2.23%	1.64%	1.61%	0.93%
New York Jets	2.12%	3.52%	3.61%	4.57%	4.46%	4.78%	4.13%	4.57%	4.93%	4.51%	4.61%	4.69%	4.34%	4.21%	4.06%	3.68%	4.32%	3.72%	3.55%	2.96%	3.30%	2.96%	2.93%	2.34%	2.49%	1.88%	1.64%	1.12%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.31%	2.13%	2.29%	3.05%	3.59%	3.60%	3.58%	3.65%	3.81%	4.07%	4.71%	4.49%	4.43%	4.20%	4.77%	4.09%	4.79%	4.42%	4.10%	4.14%	4.06%	3.76%	3.78%	3.37%	2.88%	2.82%	2.17%	1.94%
Los Angeles Raiders	1.18%	2.05%	2.36%	2.38%	2.71%	3.02%	3.43%	3.41%	3.55%	3.78%	3.57%	4.28%	4.23%	4.10%	4.65%	4.07%	4.58%	4.70%	4.86%	4.42%	4.48%	4.48%	4.25%	3.40%	3.43%	3.22%	3.22%	2.19%
Los Angeles Rams	0.78%	1.10%	1.60%	1.87%	2.60%	2.82%	3.25%	3.30%	4.24%	4.15%	4.14%	4.44%	4.51%	5.22%	5.38%	5.89%	4.57%	4.91%	4.09%	5.35%	3.67%	3.96%	3.56%	4.13%	3.22%	3.21%	2.52%	1.52%
San Diego Chargers	1.04%	1.75%	2.10%	2.60%	2.56%	3.07%	3.45%	3.49%	3.70%	3.87%	4.14%	3.55%	4.58%	4.31%	4.48%	3.89%	4.93%	4.31%	5.14%	4.05%	4.31%	4.13%	4.35%	3.91%	3.65%	3.26%	3.09%	2.29%
Dallas Cowboys	0.98%	1.45%	2.15%	2.02%	2.75%	2.95%	3.33%	3.35%	4.08%	3.80%	4.33%	4.08%	4.51%	4.43%	4.66%	5.03%	4.31%	4.29%	4.52%	4.92%	4.13%	4.37%	3.46%	4.13%	3.62%	3.28%	2.69%	2.38%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.00%	1.66%	2.09%	2.49%	2.61%	2.90%	3.34%	2.91%	3.48%	3.75%	3.93%	4.22%	4.61%	4.04%	4.52%	4.69%	4.55%	4.38%	5.07%	4.46%	5.11%	4.40%	4.16%	4.14%	3.77%	3.14%	2.39%	2.19%
Houston Oilers	0.60%	1.13%	1.37%	1.77%	2.07%	2.64%	2.49%	2.97%	3.62%	3.32%	3.58%	3.76%	4.45%	3.91%	4.67%	4.24%	4.90%	4.62%	4.97%	4.42%	5.16%	4.69%	5.01%	4.86%	4.26%	3.91%	3.58%	3.03%
Indianapolis Colts	0.59%	1.11%	1.46%	1.97%	1.81%	2.47%	2.65%	2.88%	2.93%	3.27%	4.00%	3.47%	4.24%	4.02%	4.36%	3.74%	4.53%	4.24%	4.99%	4.63%	5.17%	4.41%	5.41%	4.41%	4.92%	4.37%	4.76%	3.19%
St. Louis Cardinals	0.50%	0.77%	0.98%	1.29%	1.62%	1.55%	2.01%	2.67%	2.77%	2.67%	2.92%	3.27%	3.38%	4.52%	3.52%	4.39%	4.67%	4.77%	4.97%	5.28%	4.94%	5.06%	5.03%	5.10%	5.50%	5.66%	5.25%	4.94%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.53%	0.70%	0.94%	0.91%	1.64%	1.43%	2.16%	2.37%	2.88%	2.71%	2.76%	3.30%	3.92%	3.97%	3.96%	4.49%	4.26%	4.90%	4.68%	5.75%	4.79%	5.96%	4.98%	5.81%	4.75%	5.98%	4.64%	4.83%
Green Bay Packers	0.14%	0.16%	0.31%	0.39%	0.63%	0.60%	0.83%	1.22%	1.25%	1.79%	2.02%	2.17%	2.28%	3.08%	3.31%	3.89%	3.66%	4.83%	4.02%	5.60%	5.55%	5.83%	5.99%	7.13%	6.30%	8.04%	8.13%	10.85%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.08%	0.20%	0.37%	0.35%	0.61%	0.67%	0.99%	1.03%	1.23%	1.90%	1.88%	2.25%	2.30%	3.30%	3.35%	3.98%	3.64%	4.13%	3.98%	5.35%	4.99%	6.00%	6.05%	6.86%	6.85%	7.80%	8.90%	10.96%
Detroit Lions	0.08%	0.15%	0.25%	0.44%	0.57%	0.54%	0.90%	0.98%	1.33%	1.70%	1.90%	2.06%	2.14%	2.70%	2.97%	3.92%	4.00%	4.24%	4.57%	5.42%	5.40%	5.84%	6.41%	6.04%	7.10%	7.63%	9.47%	11.25%
Buffalo Bills	0.16%	0.24%	0.34%	0.55%	0.61%	0.89%	1.09%	1.24%	1.24%	1.36%	1.87%	1.77%	2.16%	2.36%	2.97%	2.69%	3.55%	3.38%	4.12%	3.86%	5.67%	5.55%	6.04%	6.56%	8.68%	8.98%	10.71%	11.36%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.13%	0.19%	0.27%	0.53%	0.68%	0.67%	0.96%	1.18%	1.26%	1.27%	1.33%	1.97%	2.51%	2.41%	2.79%	2.78%	3.37%	3.41%	4.35%	3.82%	5.19%	5.71%	6.48%	7.14%	9.14%	8.79%	10.61%	11.06%
Atlanta Falcons	0.04%	0.08%	0.16%	0.27%	0.40%	0.33%	0.76%	0.92%	1.15%	1.30%	1.65%	1.54%	1.88%	2.20%	3.08%	3.35%	3.09%	3.74%	4.46%	5.19%	5.19%	6.30%	7.15%	7.94%	8.40%	9.61%	9.01%	10.81%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Cleveland Browns (1st)	20.65%	17.85%	18.03%	7.43%	7.30%	28.74%
Denver Broncos	18.13%	13.07%	8.15%	13.97%	9.63%	37.05%
Seattle Seahawks	16.25%	11.23%	7.65%	15.06%	10.99%	38.82%
Miami Dolphins	9.20%	10.58%	11.25%	7.79%	8.44%	52.74%
New England Patriots	7.73%	9.72%	10.35%	7.38%	8.68%	56.14%
New York Jets	6.84%	8.84%	10.38%	6.96%	8.38%	58.60%
Los Angeles Raiders	4.20%	4.28%	3.68%	7.38%	7.79%	72.67%
Pittsburgh Steelers	4.12%	6.03%	7.66%	6.74%	7.37%	68.08%
San Diego Chargers	3.79%	3.75%	3.20%	8.23%	7.77%	73.26%
Cincinnati Bengals	3.42%	4.61%	5.57%	6.49%	6.53%	73.38%
Indianapolis Colts	2.35%	3.83%	4.93%	4.60%	5.81%	78.48%
Houston Oilers	2.19%	3.99%	5.88%	4.15%	6.42%	77.37%
Buffalo Bills	0.58%	1.31%	2.11%	1.65%	2.41%	91.94%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.55%	0.91%	1.16%	2.17%	2.48%	92.73%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Chicago Bears	29.72%	24.10%	19.85%	7.94%	5.88%	12.51%
Washington Redskins	25.73%	20.85%	13.69%	13.21%	7.68%	18.84%
San Francisco 49ers	19.38%	20.67%	23.19%	7.26%	7.63%	21.87%
New York Giants	7.53%	7.03%	5.96%	14.86%	11.82%	52.80%
New Orleans Saints	5.50%	7.48%	10.81%	12.63%	12.65%	50.93%
Minnesota Vikings	5.21%	6.92%	7.97%	12.54%	13.20%	54.16%
Dallas Cowboys	2.06%	3.47%	3.65%	8.13%	8.78%	73.91%
Los Angeles Rams	1.61%	3.47%	6.10%	6.34%	8.25%	74.23%
St. Louis Cardinals	1.18%	2.01%	1.95%	5.13%	6.01%	83.72%
Philadelphia Eagles	1.12%	1.78%	1.99%	5.01%	6.11%	83.99%
Green Bay Packers	0.32%	0.59%	1.27%	1.95%	3.08%	92.79%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.29%	0.72%	1.35%	1.86%	3.20%	92.58%
Detroit Lions	0.23%	0.50%	0.96%	1.88%	3.18%	93.25%
Atlanta Falcons	0.12%	0.41%	1.26%	1.26%	2.53%	94.42%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
San Francisco 49ers	74.13%	74.13%	51.25%	33.67%	23.13%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	66.74%	66.74%	43.60%	27.43%	13.50%
Chicago Bears	81.84%	81.84%	43.59%	20.99%	11.96%
Washington Redskins	73.58%	73.58%	39.20%	19.73%	11.95%
Denver Broncos	54.15%	54.15%	32.02%	18.38%	7.96%
New Orleans Saints	39.81%	39.81%	22.20%	11.09%	6.70%
Seattle Seahawks	50.25%	50.25%	27.40%	13.69%	5.47%
New England Patriots	36.75%	36.75%	19.18%	9.53%	3.81%
Miami Dolphins	39.20%	39.20%	18.06%	7.77%	2.56%
New York Giants	33.78%	33.78%	13.12%	5.15%	2.41%
Minnesota Vikings	31.80%	31.80%	11.41%	3.71%	1.59%
Pittsburgh Steelers	24.23%	24.23%	10.68%	4.47%	1.24%
Houston Oilers	16.76%	16.76%	7.51%	3.45%	1.16%
Indianapolis Colts	16.32%	16.32%	7.04%	3.10%	1.05%
New York Jets	32.15%	32.15%	11.19%	3.86%	1.05%
Los Angeles Raiders	18.55%	18.55%	7.69%	3.10%	0.96%
Los Angeles Rams	17.34%	17.34%	6.27%	2.00%	0.73%
San Diego Chargers	16.78%	16.78%	6.16%	2.04%	0.66%
Dallas Cowboys	16.91%	16.20%	4.64%	1.53%	0.56%
Cincinnati Bengals	18.14%	18.14%	6.13%	1.95%	0.47%
Philadelphia Eagles	11.12%	9.35%	2.78%	0.83%	0.37%
St. Louis Cardinals	11.14%	9.23%	2.72%	0.72%	0.23%
Buffalo Bills	5.61%	5.61%	1.86%	0.71%	0.21%
Kansas City Chiefs	4.65%	4.37%	1.48%	0.52%	0.11%
Green Bay Packers	5.03%	3.90%	1.01%	0.23%	0.07%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	5.06%	3.42%	0.59%	0.09%	0.04%
Detroit Lions	5.06%	3.00%	0.70%	0.15%	0.03%
Atlanta Falcons	3.79%	2.62%	0.52%	0.11%	0.02%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills		0.16%	0.14%	0.18%	0.06%	0.03%	0.05%	0.18%	0.08%	0.05%	0.09%	0.10%	0.22%	0.27%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.14%		0.05%	0.54%	0.11%	0.28%	0.16%	0.49%	0.47%	0.46%	0.44%	0.22%	0.46%	0.72%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	0.27%	0.39%		1.33%	0.21%	0.66%	0.34%	1.19%	0.94%	0.96%	0.88%	0.21%	1.12%	1.71%
Denver Broncos	0.48%	1.66%	0.92%		1.08%	0.93%	0.29%	0.83%	1.59%	1.46%	1.91%	1.57%	1.16%	0.92%
Houston Oilers	0.16%	0.20%	0.09%	0.63%		0.30%	0.11%	0.56%	0.42%	0.31%	0.49%	0.19%	0.56%	0.68%
Indianapolis Colts	0.04%	0.47%	0.23%	0.70%	0.29%		0.20%	0.69%	0.23%	0.23%	0.23%	0.39%	0.60%	0.91%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.05%	0.12%	0.08%	0.10%	0.14%	0.11%		0.07%	0.20%	0.17%	0.19%	0.22%	0.08%	0.22%
Los Angeles Raiders	0.17%	0.71%	0.41%	0.50%	0.40%	0.47%	0.11%		0.72%	0.44%	0.77%	0.63%	0.49%	0.57%
Miami Dolphins	0.14%	0.76%	0.55%	1.17%	0.57%	0.20%	0.34%	0.80%		0.25%	0.35%	0.78%	1.13%	1.13%
New England Patriots	0.04%	0.89%	0.45%	1.06%	0.65%	0.19%	0.35%	1.24%	0.35%		0.45%	0.83%	1.05%	1.40%
New York Jets	0.05%	0.51%	0.36%	0.70%	0.46%	0.21%	0.22%	0.79%	0.23%	0.22%		0.59%	1.00%	0.75%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.13%	0.31%	0.10%	0.74%	0.31%	0.29%	0.26%	0.59%	0.56%	0.46%	0.86%		0.80%	1.01%
San Diego Chargers	0.25%	0.57%	0.23%	0.41%	0.40%	0.42%	0.15%	0.41%	0.70%	0.63%	0.73%	0.50%		0.64%
Seattle Seahawks	0.53%	1.73%	0.91%	0.74%	1.19%	1.11%	0.32%	0.94%	1.57%	1.47%	1.86%	1.46%	1.29%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Cardinals	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		0.03%	0.11%	0.05%	0.03%	0.03%	0.10%	0.01%	0.11%	0.12%	0.01%	0.14%	0.04%	0.05%
Chicago Bears	0.29%		0.96%	0.12%	0.07%	0.91%	0.09%	1.09%	1.74%	0.62%	0.40%	0.62%	0.12%	1.14%
Dallas Cowboys	0.32%	0.34%		0.32%	0.32%	0.82%	1.37%	0.95%	0.66%	0.32%	0.42%	0.35%	0.51%	0.32%
Detroit Lions	0.06%	0.02%	0.23%		0.02%	0.06%	0.11%	0.10%	0.26%	0.09%	0.13%	0.12%		0.11%
Green Bay Packers	0.06%	0.03%	0.27%	0.02%		0.19%	0.14%	0.14%	0.29%	0.17%	0.08%	0.16%	0.03%	0.14%
Los Angeles Rams	0.11%	0.36%	0.81%	0.19%	0.24%		0.93%	0.34%	1.03%	0.66%	0.11%	0.55%	0.22%	0.61%
Minnesota Vikings	0.43%	0.04%	1.54%	0.17%	0.15%	1.26%		1.36%	2.37%	1.11%	0.62%	1.23%	0.22%	1.20%
New Orleans Saints	0.18%	1.21%	2.07%	0.67%	0.64%	0.65%	2.34%		3.13%	1.41%	0.17%	1.43%	0.56%	1.56%
New York Giants	0.53%	1.04%	1.22%	0.58%	0.61%	1.63%	2.35%	1.79%		0.60%	0.84%	0.71%	0.83%	0.53%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.14%	0.32%	0.21%	0.30%	0.17%	0.45%	0.87%	0.70%	0.38%		0.18%	0.20%	0.23%	0.31%
San Francisco 49ers	0.19%	0.74%	1.19%	0.32%	0.40%	0.38%	1.91%	0.25%	2.28%	0.68%		0.81%	0.40%	1.34%
St. Louis Cardinals	0.15%	0.33%	0.24%	0.31%	0.21%	0.37%	0.82%	0.57%	0.36%	0.19%	0.18%		0.17%	0.19%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.05%	0.03%	0.17%	0.03%	0.01%	0.08%	0.10%	0.08%	0.15%	0.12%	0.03%	0.13%		0.08%
Washington Redskins	0.45%	1.16%	0.87%	0.67%	0.44%	1.60%	2.91%	1.88%	0.66%	0.57%	0.83%	0.60%	0.67%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills		0.16%	0.27%	0.26%	0.18%		0.06%	0.09%				0.20%	0.28%	0.36%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.21%			0.99%		0.30%	0.11%	0.54%	0.91%	0.71%	0.80%		0.55%	1.01%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	1.05%			7.68%		2.53%	1.02%	3.15%	5.93%	4.95%	5.91%		3.71%	7.67%
Denver Broncos	0.69%	3.05%	6.15%		2.16%	2.37%			5.04%	4.11%	5.21%	3.24%
Houston Oilers	0.22%			1.20%		0.39%	0.22%	0.67%	0.87%	0.76%	1.00%		0.67%	1.51%
Indianapolis Colts		0.70%	1.04%	1.51%	0.41%		0.16%	0.70%				0.76%	0.42%	1.34%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.05%	0.12%	0.21%		0.13%	0.11%			0.20%	0.26%	0.26%	0.14%
Los Angeles Raiders	0.17%	0.81%	1.22%		0.76%	0.55%			1.24%	0.94%	1.18%	0.82%
Miami Dolphins		1.54%	3.05%	3.34%	1.36%		0.33%	1.73%				1.70%	1.52%	3.49%
New England Patriots		1.50%	3.45%	3.40%	1.14%		0.44%	1.99%				1.90%	1.59%	3.77%
New York Jets		1.17%	1.56%	1.94%	0.73%		0.31%	1.05%				1.38%	1.10%	1.95%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.30%			1.81%		0.62%	0.24%	0.94%	1.54%	1.22%	1.48%		0.78%	1.75%
San Diego Chargers	0.24%	0.61%	1.06%		0.45%	0.26%			1.04%	0.79%	0.97%	0.74%
Seattle Seahawks	0.82%	2.35%	5.13%		1.93%	2.15%			4.37%	3.83%	4.15%	2.67%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Cardinals	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		0.17%	0.01%				0.06%		0.13%	0.03%		0.01%	0.02%	0.09%
Chicago Bears	0.61%		4.31%			3.90%		6.15%	7.07%	2.23%	7.58%	2.40%		9.34%
Dallas Cowboys	0.10%	1.54%		0.04%	0.12%	0.38%	0.54%	0.83%			0.96%		0.13%
Detroit Lions	0.01%		0.09%			0.06%		0.07%	0.12%	0.04%	0.10%	0.03%		0.18%
Green Bay Packers	0.03%		0.09%			0.06%		0.08%	0.13%	0.09%	0.17%	0.05%		0.31%
Los Angeles Rams		1.80%	0.34%	0.07%	0.12%		0.72%		0.90%	0.30%		0.21%	0.15%	1.66%
Minnesota Vikings	0.11%		0.89%			0.81%		1.44%	1.81%	0.63%	1.92%	0.45%		3.35%
New Orleans Saints		6.03%	1.78%	0.31%	0.31%		2.78%		2.79%	0.64%		1.02%	0.24%	6.30%
New York Giants	0.36%	4.33%		0.26%	0.34%	1.16%	1.98%	1.57%			2.83%		0.29%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.11%	1.04%		0.05%	0.07%	0.40%	0.34%	0.19%			0.49%		0.09%
San Francisco 49ers		12.44%	4.01%	0.71%	0.83%		6.91%		7.62%	2.57%		2.32%	0.87%	12.97%
St. Louis Cardinals	0.12%	1.02%		0.07%	0.13%	0.23%	0.38%	0.30%			0.40%		0.07%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers			0.04%			0.07%		0.05%	0.09%	0.04%	0.10%	0.02%		0.18%
Washington Redskins	0.65%	9.88%		0.79%	0.97%	4.00%	6.68%	6.93%			8.33%		0.97%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills		0.03%	0.09%	0.13%	0.05%	0.03%	0.04%	0.04%	0.04%	0.04%	0.04%	0.08%	0.02%	0.08%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.03%		0.37%	0.29%	0.05%	0.09%	0.04%	0.12%	0.15%	0.19%	0.17%	0.13%	0.10%	0.22%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	0.39%	1.09%		4.95%	1.17%	1.24%	0.26%	1.37%	3.27%	3.38%	2.50%	1.72%	1.04%	5.05%
Denver Broncos	0.15%	0.88%	4.34%		0.82%	0.63%	0.25%	0.84%	1.90%	1.87%	1.44%	1.09%	0.87%	3.30%
Houston Oilers	0.06%	0.08%	0.74%	0.61%		0.22%	0.02%	0.16%	0.43%	0.38%	0.20%	0.09%	0.08%	0.38%
Indianapolis Colts	0.05%	0.16%	0.83%	0.48%	0.19%		0.02%	0.18%	0.21%	0.22%	0.06%	0.22%	0.09%	0.39%
Kansas City Chiefs			0.14%	0.13%	0.02%	0.01%			0.07%	0.02%	0.02%	0.01%	0.04%	0.06%
Los Angeles Raiders	0.02%	0.16%	0.52%	0.53%	0.11%	0.09%	0.02%		0.37%	0.23%	0.25%	0.23%	0.08%	0.49%
Miami Dolphins	0.08%	0.38%	1.94%	1.01%	0.39%	0.29%	0.07%	0.39%		0.76%	0.52%	0.52%	0.24%	1.18%
New England Patriots	0.12%	0.45%	2.08%	1.45%	0.35%	0.40%	0.03%	0.43%	1.24%		0.58%	0.71%	0.43%	1.26%
New York Jets	0.03%	0.24%	0.82%	0.64%	0.16%	0.15%	0.03%	0.13%	0.42%	0.28%		0.33%	0.18%	0.45%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.04%	0.13%	0.81%	0.61%	0.07%	0.24%	0.04%	0.22%	0.62%	0.45%	0.41%		0.28%	0.55%
San Diego Chargers		0.06%	0.43%	0.34%	0.04%	0.06%	0.01%	0.08%	0.22%	0.22%	0.12%	0.16%		0.30%
Seattle Seahawks	0.18%	0.52%	3.06%	2.47%	0.64%	0.49%	0.13%	0.63%	1.35%	1.61%	1.02%	0.92%	0.67%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Cardinals	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		0.04%	0.01%		0.02%				0.01%		0.01%			0.02%
Chicago Bears	0.08%		0.80%	0.19%	0.17%	1.18%	1.96%	2.57%	1.68%	0.51%	5.82%	0.36%	0.09%	5.58%
Dallas Cowboys		0.32%			0.01%	0.09%	0.06%	0.20%	0.14%	0.04%	0.33%	0.03%		0.31%
Detroit Lions		0.04%					0.02%	0.03%			0.04%			0.02%
Green Bay Packers		0.05%	0.01%	0.01%				0.03%	0.01%		0.09%			0.03%
Los Angeles Rams	0.01%	0.46%	0.09%	0.03%	0.05%		0.08%	0.19%	0.13%	0.08%	0.44%	0.04%	0.03%	0.37%
Minnesota Vikings	0.03%	1.08%	0.11%	0.01%	0.03%	0.15%		0.39%	0.25%	0.07%	0.99%	0.02%	0.03%	0.55%
New Orleans Saints	0.01%	2.72%	0.27%	0.03%	0.08%	0.44%	0.89%		0.88%	0.20%	3.11%	0.22%	0.04%	2.20%
New York Giants	0.04%	1.12%	0.13%	0.01%	0.04%	0.24%	0.40%	0.52%		0.12%	1.04%	0.11%	0.03%	1.35%
Philadelphia Eagles		0.12%	0.02%			0.02%	0.04%	0.10%	0.05%		0.21%	0.01%	0.01%	0.25%
San Francisco 49ers	0.15%	10.28%	0.99%	0.17%	0.17%	1.30%	2.86%	4.90%	2.84%	0.50%		0.76%	0.19%	8.56%
St. Louis Cardinals		0.18%	0.03%		0.02%	0.01%	0.02%	0.08%	0.04%	0.01%	0.12%			0.21%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		0.04%							0.01%	0.01%	0.01%			0.02%
Washington Redskins	0.09%	6.15%	0.65%	0.10%	0.19%	0.84%	1.37%	2.10%	1.93%	0.41%	5.37%	0.45%	0.08%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Buffalo Bills	Chicago Bears	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	Denver Broncos	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Los Angeles Rams	Miami Dolphins	Minnesota Vikings	New England Patriots	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	New York Jets	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Cardinals	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons					0.01%																		0.01%
Buffalo Bills			0.06%			0.01%												0.04%						0.07%				0.03%
Chicago Bears		0.10%		0.28%	2.81%		1.91%			0.47%	0.44%	0.09%	0.45%		1.09%		1.12%			0.56%		0.55%	0.25%		1.84%
Cincinnati Bengals			0.09%											0.03%		0.02%		0.06%	0.06%		0.01%			0.12%				0.08%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	0.01%		3.08%			0.27%		0.06%	0.05%					0.36%		0.69%		1.47%	0.73%		0.23%			3.60%		0.17%	0.02%	2.76%
Dallas Cowboys				0.03%	0.12%		0.09%			0.03%			0.06%		0.02%		0.05%			0.04%		0.04%	0.01%		0.07%
Denver Broncos	0.01%		1.86%			0.25%		0.03%	0.04%					0.29%		0.39%		0.79%	0.57%		0.07%			2.07%		0.14%	0.01%	1.44%
Detroit Lions					0.01%										0.01%								0.01%
Green Bay Packers				0.01%	0.03%		0.02%															0.01%
Houston Oilers	0.01%		0.20%			0.06%								0.06%		0.08%		0.14%	0.05%					0.28%		0.01%		0.27%
Indianapolis Colts			0.25%			0.03%		0.01%						0.02%		0.12%		0.07%	0.06%		0.01%			0.23%		0.03%		0.22%
Kansas City Chiefs			0.01%			0.01%										0.02%		0.01%	0.01%					0.02%		0.01%		0.02%
Los Angeles Raiders			0.13%			0.01%								0.04%		0.05%		0.15%	0.08%					0.26%				0.24%
Los Angeles Rams		0.01%		0.04%	0.17%		0.12%			0.03%	0.05%	0.01%	0.02%		0.05%		0.07%			0.02%		0.05%	0.01%		0.08%
Miami Dolphins			0.43%			0.05%			0.01%					0.07%		0.12%		0.33%	0.28%		0.03%			0.73%		0.03%		0.48%
Minnesota Vikings		0.04%		0.02%	0.30%		0.28%			0.06%	0.07%	0.01%	0.09%		0.15%		0.16%			0.04%		0.11%	0.03%		0.23%
New England Patriots	0.03%		0.87%			0.06%		0.01%	0.01%					0.17%		0.23%		0.36%	0.26%		0.04%			1.08%		0.02%	0.01%	0.66%
New Orleans Saints		0.08%		0.13%	1.51%		1.31%			0.34%	0.22%	0.08%	0.25%		0.62%		0.45%			0.29%		0.36%	0.25%		0.81%
New York Giants		0.02%		0.04%	0.55%		0.44%			0.10%	0.08%	0.02%	0.11%		0.22%		0.20%			0.09%		0.07%	0.10%		0.37%
New York Jets			0.24%			0.02%			0.01%					0.02%		0.06%		0.14%	0.07%		0.01%			0.26%		0.02%		0.20%
Philadelphia Eagles				0.03%	0.10%		0.09%				0.01%		0.02%		0.01%		0.03%			0.01%		0.02%	0.02%		0.03%
Pittsburgh Steelers			0.32%			0.01%			0.02%					0.05%		0.05%		0.15%	0.10%		0.01%			0.36%				0.17%
San Diego Chargers	0.02%		0.19%			0.02%			0.01%					0.02%		0.04%		0.06%	0.04%		0.02%			0.12%				0.12%
San Francisco 49ers		0.16%		0.52%	5.29%		4.17%			0.78%	0.74%	0.13%	0.68%		2.03%		2.38%			1.26%		1.40%	0.49%		3.10%
Seattle Seahawks	0.01%		1.30%			0.17%		0.01%	0.01%					0.14%		0.25%		0.62%	0.43%		0.03%			1.34%		0.06%	0.01%	1.09%
St. Louis Cardinals				0.01%	0.04%		0.04%			0.01%	0.01%				0.03%		0.02%			0.01%		0.01%			0.05%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers												0.01%	0.01%		0.01%							0.01%
Washington Redskins		0.09%		0.37%	2.99%		1.95%			0.47%	0.43%	0.06%	0.45%		0.97%		1.24%			0.49%		0.60%	0.20%		1.64%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
San Francisco 49ers	100.00%	70.05%	46.60%	30.23%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Cleveland Browns (1st)	100.00%	65.96%	37.73%	17.07%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Denver Broncos	100.00%	65.67%	34.30%	13.37%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Chicago Bears	100.00%	51.01%	19.79%	10.85%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Washington Redskins	100.00%	37.63%	17.88%	10.55%	Won Super Bowl
New Orleans Saints	70.23%	34.49%	13.42%	7.85%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Indianapolis Colts	100.00%	31.96%	12.41%	3.86%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Seattle Seahawks	52.60%	20.06%	9.49%	3.41%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Houston Oilers	47.40%	16.35%	6.07%	1.80%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Minnesota Vikings	29.77%	6.82%	2.31%	1.01%	Eliminated in Conference Championship

Loser → ↓ Winner	Houston Oilers	Seattle Seahawks
Houston Oilers		47.40%
Seattle Seahawks	52.60%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints
Minnesota Vikings		29.77%
New Orleans Saints	70.23%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Seattle Seahawks
Cleveland Browns (1st)				33.42%	32.54%
Denver Broncos			31.05%	34.62%
Houston Oilers		16.35%
Indianapolis Colts	13.98%	17.98%
Seattle Seahawks	20.06%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Redskins
Chicago Bears			35.74%		15.27%
Minnesota Vikings				6.82%
New Orleans Saints	34.49%
San Francisco 49ers		22.95%			47.10%
Washington Redskins	14.50%			23.13%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Seattle Seahawks
Cleveland Browns (1st)		22.12%	7.69%	7.92%
Denver Broncos	21.07%			5.80%	7.43%
Houston Oilers	3.89%			2.18%
Indianapolis Colts	3.27%	3.41%	2.59%		3.14%
Seattle Seahawks		5.84%		3.65%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Redskins
Chicago Bears		2.35%		11.61%	5.83%
Minnesota Vikings	1.19%				1.12%
New Orleans Saints				7.90%	5.52%
San Francisco 49ers	24.38%		14.94%		7.28%
Washington Redskins	5.65%	2.16%	6.13%	3.94%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Washington Redskins
Chicago Bears		3.94%	3.45%	0.83%	1.66%				0.97%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	3.74%					0.54%	2.59%	6.86%		3.34%
Denver Broncos	3.12%					0.36%	1.75%	5.68%		2.46%
Houston Oilers	0.42%					0.08%	0.23%	0.77%		0.30%
Indianapolis Colts	0.80%					0.17%	0.59%	1.56%		0.74%
Minnesota Vikings		0.27%	0.36%	0.11%	0.16%				0.11%
New Orleans Saints		2.46%	2.91%	0.54%	1.17%				0.77%
San Francisco 49ers		10.40%	10.83%	1.97%	4.10%				2.93%
Seattle Seahawks	0.86%					0.15%	0.41%	1.50%		0.49%
Washington Redskins		3.59%	3.38%	0.82%	1.46%				1.30%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

San Francisco 49ers 30.23% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

67.24%

Win Prob

67.07%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

52.32%

Win Prob

67.74%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

35.83%

Win Prob

65.60%

Cleveland Browns (1st) 17.07% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

50.67%

Win Prob

70.51%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

58.63%

Win Prob

51.22%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

40.19%

Win Prob

39.75%

Denver Broncos 13.37% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

52.72%

Win Prob

65.82%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

61.43%

Win Prob

48.78%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

42.48%

Win Prob

34.40%

Chicago Bears 10.85% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

70.06%

Win Prob

50.89%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

58.67%

Win Prob

32.26%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

36.31%

Win Prob

51.30%

Washington Redskins 10.55% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

61.47%

Win Prob

32.93%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

34.28%

Win Prob

52.62%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

34.03%

Win Prob

51.80%

New Orleans Saints 7.85% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

70.23%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

49.11%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

58.87%

Win Prob

34.59%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

37.07%

Win Prob

62.45%

Indianapolis Colts 3.86% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

56.26%

Win Prob

34.18%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

27.48%

Win Prob

37.02%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

40.41%

Win Prob

27.56%

Seattle Seahawks 3.41% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Houston Oilers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

52.60%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

38.14%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

61.54%

Win Prob

44.01%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

43.99%

Win Prob

33.86%

Houston Oilers 1.80% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

47.40%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.49%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

64.09%

Win Prob

33.59%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

42.78%

Win Prob

28.10%

Minnesota Vikings 1.01% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

29.77%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

22.91%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

51.52%

Win Prob

33.62%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

35.64%

Win Prob

50.00%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1987-09-13	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-48	1476.11	1378.81	59.05%	40.36%	-42.44	0-1
1987-09-20	Washington Redskins	W 21-20	1433.67	1572.70	34.73%	64.67%	+7.54	1-1
1987-10-04	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 12-28	1441.21	1490.88	47.09%	52.31%	-21.99	1-2
1987-10-11	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-25	1419.22	1575.18	32.56%	66.84%	-10.77	1-3
1987-10-18	Los Angeles Rams	W 24-20	1408.45	1487.46	42.91%	56.49%	+13.18	2-3
1987-10-25	@ Houston Oilers	L 33-37	1421.63	1489.21	35.84%	63.56%	-8.38	2-4
1987-11-01	New Orleans Saints	L 0-38	1413.25	1500.00	41.83%	57.58%	-30.12	2-5
1987-11-08	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 3-38	1383.13	1586.73	20.34%	79.07%	-14.09	2-6
1987-11-15	Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-16	1369.04	1467.48	40.20%	59.20%	-11.50	2-7
1987-11-22	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-24	1357.54	1522.34	24.19%	75.21%	-9.39	2-8
1987-11-29	St. Louis Cardinals	L 21-34	1348.15	1434.15	41.93%	57.47%	-17.66	2-9
1987-12-06	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 21-10	1330.49	1471.52	26.79%	72.61%	+28.07	3-9
1987-12-13	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 0-33	1358.56	1498.57	26.91%	72.50%	-18.08	3-10
1987-12-20	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-35	1340.48	1695.15	9.66%	89.74%	-6.00	3-11
1987-12-27	Detroit Lions	L 13-30	1334.48	1358.83	50.73%	48.67%	-24.41	3-12
1987-09-13	New York Jets	L 28-31	1428.97	1504.00	43.48%	55.92%	-8.79	0-1
1987-09-20	Houston Oilers	W 34-30	1420.18	1463.49	48.00%	51.40%	+11.99	1-1
1987-10-04	Indianapolis Colts	L 6-47	1432.17	1399.55	58.82%	40.58%	-43.91	1-2
1987-10-11	@ New England Patriots	L 7-14	1388.26	1512.05	28.78%	70.62%	-8.91	1-3
1987-10-18	New York Giants	W 6-3	1379.35	1515.49	35.11%	64.29%	+12.98	2-3
1987-10-25	@ Miami Dolphins	W 34-31	1392.33	1536.61	26.43%	72.98%	+14.74	3-3
1987-11-01	Washington Redskins	L 7-27	1407.07	1620.08	25.79%	73.61%	-13.50	3-4
1987-11-08	Denver Broncos	W 21-14	1393.57	1557.58	31.55%	67.85%	+20.93	4-4
1987-11-15	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 21-27	1414.50	1600.82	21.99%	77.41%	-6.31	4-5
1987-11-22	@ New York Jets	W 17-14	1408.19	1532.33	28.74%	70.66%	+14.27	5-5
1987-11-29	Miami Dolphins	W 27-0	1422.46	1534.04	38.39%	61.01%	+36.96	6-5
1987-12-06	@ Los Angeles Raiders	L 21-34	1459.42	1493.52	40.38%	59.02%	-17.01	6-6
1987-12-13	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 27-3	1442.41	1518.68	34.69%	64.71%	+36.96	7-6
1987-12-20	New England Patriots	L 7-13	1479.37	1521.23	48.21%	51.19%	-13.79	7-7
1987-12-27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-17	1465.58	1457.01	46.40%	53.00%	-17.13	7-8
1987-09-14	New York Giants	W 34-19	1582.52	1609.52	50.35%	49.05%	+22.17	1-0
1987-09-20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 20-3	1604.69	1421.25	77.12%	22.28%	+10.76	2-0
1987-10-04	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 35-3	1615.45	1487.57	63.20%	36.20%	+23.93	3-0
1987-10-11	Minnesota Vikings	W 27-7	1639.38	1529.45	68.96%	30.44%	+15.93	4-0
1987-10-18	New Orleans Saints	L 17-19	1655.31	1494.58	74.78%	24.63%	-12.33	4-1
1987-10-25	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-26	1642.98	1434.53	73.10%	26.30%	+3.08	5-1
1987-11-01	Kansas City Chiefs	W 31-28	1646.06	1409.74	81.95%	17.45%	+3.54	6-1
1987-11-08	@ Green Bay Packers	W 26-24	1649.60	1429.02	74.43%	24.97%	+4.13	7-1
1987-11-16	@ Denver Broncos	L 29-31	1653.73	1536.65	61.75%	37.65%	-10.18	7-2
1987-11-22	Detroit Lions	W 30-10	1643.55	1389.92	83.34%	16.06%	+8.42	8-2
1987-11-29	Green Bay Packers	W 23-10	1651.97	1441.40	79.71%	19.69%	+8.31	9-2
1987-12-06	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 30-24	1660.28	1545.33	61.47%	37.94%	+10.86	10-2
1987-12-14	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 0-41	1671.14	1660.21	46.74%	52.66%	-34.94	10-3
1987-12-20	Seattle Seahawks	L 21-34	1636.20	1573.99	62.85%	36.55%	-26.42	10-4
1987-12-27	@ Los Angeles Raiders	W 6-3	1609.78	1480.76	63.35%	36.05%	+7.30	11-4
1987-09-13	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 23-21	1521.03	1423.07	59.14%	40.26%	+6.66	1-0
1987-09-20	San Francisco 49ers	L 26-27	1527.69	1538.46	52.68%	46.72%	-6.15	1-1
1987-10-04	San Diego Chargers	L 9-10	1521.54	1472.94	61.02%	38.39%	-7.11	1-2
1987-10-11	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 17-10	1514.43	1565.78	38.01%	61.39%	+18.93	2-2
1987-10-18	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 0-34	1533.36	1549.85	51.86%	47.54%	-35.28	2-3
1987-10-25	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-23	1498.08	1511.46	43.28%	56.12%	-8.75	2-4
1987-11-01	Houston Oilers	L 29-31	1489.33	1497.59	53.04%	46.36%	-8.75	2-5
1987-11-08	Miami Dolphins	L 14-20	1480.58	1539.28	45.80%	53.60%	-13.10	2-6
1987-11-15	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 16-10	1467.48	1369.04	59.20%	40.20%	+11.50	3-6
1987-11-22	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-30	1478.98	1478.48	54.29%	45.11%	-23.69	3-7
1987-11-29	@ New York Jets	L 20-27	1455.29	1518.06	36.47%	62.93%	-11.28	3-8
1987-12-06	Kansas City Chiefs	W 30-27	1444.01	1381.02	62.95%	36.45%	+7.38	4-8
1987-12-13	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 24-38	1451.39	1604.32	25.47%	73.93%	-11.16	4-9
1987-12-20	New Orleans Saints	L 24-41	1440.23	1607.09	31.19%	68.21%	-15.04	4-10
1987-12-27	@ Houston Oilers	L 17-21	1425.19	1495.77	35.44%	63.96%	-8.29	4-11
1987-09-13	@ New Orleans Saints	L 21-28	1538.45	1481.98	53.28%	46.12%	-16.44	0-1
1987-09-20	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-10	1522.01	1516.26	55.04%	44.36%	+25.38	1-1
1987-10-04	@ New England Patriots	W 20-10	1547.39	1531.20	47.50%	51.91%	+19.15	2-1
1987-10-11	Houston Oilers	L 10-15	1566.54	1495.65	64.00%	35.40%	-16.69	2-2
1987-10-18	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-0	1549.85	1533.36	47.54%	51.86%	+35.28	3-2
1987-10-26	Los Angeles Rams	W 30-17	1585.13	1474.28	69.07%	30.33%	+12.80	4-2
1987-11-01	@ San Diego Chargers	L 24-27	1597.93	1526.52	55.41%	43.99%	-11.20	4-3
1987-11-08	Atlanta Falcons	W 38-3	1586.73	1383.13	79.07%	20.34%	+14.09	5-3
1987-11-15	Buffalo Bills	W 27-21	1600.82	1414.50	77.41%	21.99%	+6.31	6-3
1987-11-22	@ Houston Oilers	W 40-7	1607.13	1526.09	56.77%	42.63%	+28.60	7-3
1987-11-29	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 24-38	1635.73	1630.30	45.95%	53.45%	-20.07	7-4
1987-12-06	Indianapolis Colts	L 7-9	1615.66	1507.34	68.76%	30.64%	-11.34	7-5
1987-12-13	Cincinnati Bengals	W 38-24	1604.32	1451.39	73.93%	25.47%	+11.15	8-5
1987-12-20	@ Los Angeles Raiders	W 24-17	1615.47	1492.14	62.59%	36.81%	+11.38	9-5
1987-12-26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 19-13	1626.85	1500.33	63.02%	36.38%	+10.42	10-5
1987-09-13	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 13-24	1491.77	1434.54	53.39%	46.01%	-20.65	0-1
1987-09-20	@ New York Giants	W 16-14	1471.12	1587.35	29.68%	69.72%	+11.49	1-1
1987-10-04	@ New York Jets	W 38-24	1482.61	1539.03	37.33%	62.07%	+27.08	2-1
1987-10-11	Philadelphia Eagles	W 41-22	1509.69	1463.63	60.67%	38.73%	+19.73	3-1
1987-10-19	Washington Redskins	L 7-13	1529.42	1604.00	43.54%	55.86%	-12.46	3-2
1987-10-25	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-37	1516.96	1430.25	57.57%	41.83%	-27.68	3-3
1987-11-02	New York Giants	W 33-24	1489.28	1523.16	49.36%	50.04%	+17.52	4-3
1987-11-08	@ Detroit Lions	L 17-27	1506.80	1372.07	64.11%	35.29%	-23.63	4-4
1987-11-15	@ New England Patriots	W 23-17	1483.17	1511.62	41.16%	58.24%	+16.63	5-4
1987-11-22	Miami Dolphins	L 14-20	1499.80	1519.34	51.42%	47.98%	-14.69	5-5
1987-11-26	Minnesota Vikings	L 38-44	1485.11	1531.74	47.53%	51.87%	-13.59	5-6
1987-12-06	Atlanta Falcons	L 10-21	1471.52	1330.49	72.61%	26.79%	-28.08	5-7
1987-12-13	@ Washington Redskins	L 20-24	1443.44	1628.54	22.11%	77.29%	-5.18	5-8
1987-12-21	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 29-21	1438.26	1516.66	34.42%	64.98%	+21.43	6-8
1987-12-27	St. Louis Cardinals	W 21-16	1459.69	1467.86	53.05%	46.35%	+12.10	7-8
1987-09-13	Seattle Seahawks	W 40-17	1537.21	1555.39	51.62%	47.78%	+26.75	1-0
1987-09-20	@ Green Bay Packers	T 17-17	1563.96	1414.57	66.01%	33.39%	-0.95	1-0
1987-10-04	Houston Oilers	L 10-40	1563.01	1451.50	69.15%	30.25%	-44.15	1-1
1987-10-12	Los Angeles Raiders	W 30-14	1518.86	1562.43	47.97%	51.43%	+24.00	2-1
1987-10-18	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 26-17	1542.86	1442.03	59.53%	39.87%	+13.98	3-1
1987-10-26	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 27-34	1556.84	1491.56	54.54%	44.86%	-16.83	3-2
1987-11-01	Detroit Lions	W 34-0	1540.01	1389.65	73.65%	25.75%	+17.57	4-2
1987-11-08	@ Buffalo Bills	L 14-21	1557.58	1393.57	67.85%	31.55%	-20.93	4-3
1987-11-16	Chicago Bears	W 31-29	1536.65	1653.73	37.65%	61.75%	+10.18	5-3
1987-11-22	@ Los Angeles Raiders	W 23-17	1546.83	1463.76	57.06%	42.34%	+12.12	6-3
1987-11-29	@ San Diego Chargers	W 31-17	1558.95	1526.57	49.82%	49.58%	+21.65	7-3
1987-12-06	New England Patriots	W 31-20	1580.60	1508.87	64.11%	35.29%	+13.68	8-3
1987-12-13	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 21-28	1594.28	1558.45	50.32%	49.08%	-15.54	8-4
1987-12-19	Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-17	1578.74	1392.03	77.45%	21.96%	+4.46	9-4
1987-12-27	San Diego Chargers	W 24-0	1583.20	1448.24	71.92%	27.48%	+15.75	10-4
1987-09-13	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 19-34	1448.99	1522.72	35.03%	64.37%	-15.86	0-1
1987-09-20	@ Los Angeles Raiders	L 7-27	1433.13	1526.81	32.46%	66.94%	-16.97	0-2
1987-10-04	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 27-31	1416.16	1410.50	55.03%	44.37%	-12.84	0-3
1987-10-11	@ Green Bay Packers	W 19-16	1403.32	1437.75	40.33%	59.07%	+11.93	1-3
1987-10-18	Seattle Seahawks	L 14-37	1415.25	1546.84	35.71%	63.69%	-20.02	1-4
1987-10-25	Green Bay Packers	L 33-34	1395.23	1439.48	47.87%	51.53%	-5.58	1-5
1987-11-01	@ Denver Broncos	L 0-34	1389.65	1540.01	25.75%	73.65%	-17.58	1-6
1987-11-08	Dallas Cowboys	W 27-17	1372.07	1506.80	35.29%	64.11%	+23.64	2-6
1987-11-15	@ Washington Redskins	L 13-20	1395.71	1617.80	18.67%	80.74%	-5.79	2-7
1987-11-22	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-30	1389.92	1643.55	16.06%	83.34%	-8.42	2-8
1987-11-26	Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-27	1381.50	1363.50	56.77%	42.63%	-17.51	2-9
1987-12-06	Los Angeles Rams	L 16-37	1363.99	1478.20	38.04%	61.37%	-20.37	2-10
1987-12-13	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 20-10	1343.62	1380.68	39.97%	59.43%	+21.91	3-10
1987-12-20	Minnesota Vikings	L 14-17	1365.53	1517.06	33.12%	66.28%	-6.70	3-11
1987-12-27	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 30-13	1358.83	1334.48	48.67%	50.73%	+24.40	4-11
1987-09-13	Los Angeles Raiders	L 0-20	1437.99	1503.40	44.84%	54.56%	-23.42	0-1
1987-09-20	Denver Broncos	T 17-17	1414.57	1563.96	33.39%	66.01%	+0.95	0-1
1987-10-04	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 23-16	1415.52	1551.67	27.35%	72.06%	+22.23	1-1
1987-10-11	Detroit Lions	L 16-19	1437.75	1403.32	59.07%	40.33%	-11.93	1-2
1987-10-18	Philadelphia Eagles	W 16-10	1425.82	1443.91	51.63%	47.77%	+13.66	2-2
1987-10-25	@ Detroit Lions	W 34-33	1439.48	1395.23	51.53%	47.87%	+5.58	3-2
1987-11-01	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-23	1445.06	1431.45	56.15%	43.25%	-16.04	3-3
1987-11-08	Chicago Bears	L 24-26	1429.02	1649.60	24.97%	74.43%	-4.13	3-4
1987-11-15	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 13-24	1424.89	1577.39	25.51%	73.89%	-9.91	3-5
1987-11-22	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 23-3	1414.98	1389.92	48.77%	50.63%	+26.42	4-5
1987-11-29	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-23	1441.40	1651.97	19.69%	79.71%	-8.31	4-6
1987-12-06	San Francisco 49ers	L 12-23	1433.09	1650.38	25.32%	74.08%	-9.83	4-7
1987-12-13	Minnesota Vikings	W 16-10	1423.26	1534.47	38.44%	60.96%	+17.41	5-7
1987-12-19	@ New York Giants	L 10-20	1440.67	1504.88	36.28%	63.12%	-13.41	5-8
1987-12-27	@ New Orleans Saints	L 24-33	1427.26	1622.13	21.16%	78.24%	-7.44	5-9
1987-09-13	Los Angeles Rams	W 20-16	1450.52	1523.39	43.78%	55.62%	+12.97	1-0
1987-09-20	@ Buffalo Bills	L 30-34	1463.49	1420.18	51.40%	48.00%	-11.99	1-1
1987-10-04	@ Denver Broncos	W 40-10	1451.50	1563.01	30.25%	69.15%	+44.15	2-1
1987-10-11	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 15-10	1495.65	1566.54	35.40%	64.00%	+16.69	3-1
1987-10-18	New England Patriots	L 7-21	1512.34	1520.96	52.99%	46.41%	-23.13	3-2
1987-10-25	Atlanta Falcons	W 37-33	1489.21	1421.63	63.56%	35.84%	+8.38	4-2
1987-11-01	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-29	1497.59	1489.33	46.36%	53.04%	+8.75	5-2
1987-11-08	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-27	1506.34	1619.30	30.08%	69.33%	-9.31	5-3
1987-11-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-3	1497.03	1507.54	43.69%	55.72%	+29.06	6-3
1987-11-22	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-40	1526.09	1607.13	42.63%	56.77%	-28.60	6-4
1987-11-29	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 27-51	1497.49	1480.08	47.67%	51.73%	-27.26	6-5
1987-12-06	San Diego Chargers	W 33-18	1470.23	1504.92	49.24%	50.16%	+22.67	7-5
1987-12-13	@ New Orleans Saints	L 10-24	1492.90	1593.25	31.62%	67.78%	-13.84	7-6
1987-12-20	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-16	1479.06	1517.04	48.77%	50.63%	+16.71	8-6
1987-12-27	Cincinnati Bengals	W 21-17	1495.77	1425.19	63.96%	35.44%	+8.28	9-6
1987-09-13	Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-23	1423.07	1521.03	40.26%	59.14%	-6.65	0-1
1987-09-20	Miami Dolphins	L 10-23	1416.42	1516.04	40.03%	59.37%	-16.87	0-2
1987-10-04	@ Buffalo Bills	W 47-6	1399.55	1432.17	40.58%	58.82%	+43.92	1-2
1987-10-11	New York Jets	W 6-0	1443.47	1511.95	44.40%	55.00%	+15.71	2-2
1987-10-18	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-21	1459.18	1493.85	40.30%	59.10%	-17.61	2-3
1987-10-25	New England Patriots	W 30-16	1441.57	1544.09	39.63%	59.77%	+26.07	3-3
1987-11-01	@ New York Jets	W 19-14	1467.64	1507.80	39.54%	59.86%	+15.61	4-3
1987-11-08	San Diego Chargers	L 13-16	1483.25	1537.71	46.40%	53.00%	-9.38	4-4
1987-11-15	@ Miami Dolphins	W 40-21	1473.87	1552.38	34.40%	65.00%	+33.03	5-4
1987-11-22	@ New England Patriots	L 0-24	1506.90	1494.98	46.88%	52.52%	-26.82	5-5
1987-11-29	Houston Oilers	W 51-27	1480.08	1497.49	51.73%	47.67%	+27.26	6-5
1987-12-06	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 9-7	1507.34	1615.66	30.64%	68.76%	+11.34	7-5
1987-12-13	Buffalo Bills	L 3-27	1518.68	1442.41	64.71%	34.69%	-36.96	7-6
1987-12-20	@ San Diego Chargers	W 20-7	1481.72	1470.37	46.80%	52.60%	+22.13	8-6
1987-12-27	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-6	1503.85	1338.78	75.24%	24.16%	+12.00	9-6
1987-09-13	San Diego Chargers	W 20-13	1503.99	1475.35	58.26%	41.14%	+12.71	1-0
1987-09-20	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 14-43	1516.70	1528.64	43.48%	55.92%	-27.35	1-1
1987-10-04	@ Los Angeles Raiders	L 17-35	1489.35	1543.79	37.59%	61.81%	-18.64	1-2
1987-10-11	@ Miami Dolphins	L 0-42	1470.71	1523.11	37.87%	61.53%	-28.68	1-3
1987-10-18	Denver Broncos	L 17-26	1442.03	1542.86	39.87%	59.53%	-13.97	1-4
1987-10-25	@ San Diego Chargers	L 21-42	1428.06	1508.20	34.19%	65.21%	-18.32	1-5
1987-11-01	@ Chicago Bears	L 28-31	1409.74	1646.06	17.45%	81.95%	-3.54	1-6
1987-11-08	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-17	1406.20	1502.81	40.45%	58.95%	-4.73	1-7
1987-11-15	New York Jets	L 9-16	1401.47	1520.78	37.35%	62.05%	-11.55	1-8
1987-11-22	Green Bay Packers	L 3-23	1389.92	1414.98	50.63%	48.77%	-26.42	1-9
1987-11-26	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-20	1363.50	1381.50	42.63%	56.77%	+17.52	2-9
1987-12-06	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 27-30	1381.02	1444.01	36.45%	62.95%	-7.38	2-10
1987-12-13	Los Angeles Raiders	W 16-10	1373.64	1510.53	35.01%	64.39%	+18.39	3-10
1987-12-19	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-20	1392.03	1578.74	21.96%	77.45%	-4.45	3-11
1987-12-27	Seattle Seahawks	W 41-20	1387.58	1600.41	25.81%	73.59%	+39.31	4-11
1987-09-13	@ Green Bay Packers	W 20-0	1503.40	1437.99	54.56%	44.84%	+23.41	1-0
1987-09-20	Detroit Lions	W 27-7	1526.81	1433.13	66.94%	32.46%	+16.98	2-0
1987-10-04	Kansas City Chiefs	W 35-17	1543.79	1489.35	61.81%	37.59%	+18.64	3-0
1987-10-12	@ Denver Broncos	L 14-30	1562.43	1518.86	51.43%	47.97%	-24.00	3-1
1987-10-18	San Diego Chargers	L 17-23	1538.43	1490.81	60.88%	38.52%	-17.39	3-2
1987-10-25	Seattle Seahawks	L 13-35	1521.04	1566.86	47.64%	51.76%	-26.09	3-3
1987-11-01	@ New England Patriots	L 23-26	1494.95	1518.01	41.92%	57.48%	-8.48	3-4
1987-11-08	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 20-31	1486.47	1495.36	43.92%	55.48%	-17.01	3-5
1987-11-15	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-16	1469.46	1547.10	34.52%	64.88%	-5.70	3-6
1987-11-22	Denver Broncos	L 17-23	1463.76	1546.83	42.34%	57.06%	-12.12	3-7
1987-11-30	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 37-14	1451.64	1613.53	24.50%	74.90%	+41.88	4-7
1987-12-06	Buffalo Bills	W 34-21	1493.52	1459.42	59.02%	40.38%	+17.01	5-7
1987-12-13	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-16	1510.53	1373.64	64.39%	35.01%	-18.39	5-8
1987-12-20	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-24	1492.14	1615.47	36.81%	62.59%	-11.38	5-9
1987-12-27	Chicago Bears	L 3-6	1480.76	1609.78	36.05%	63.35%	-7.30	5-10
1987-09-13	@ Houston Oilers	L 16-20	1523.39	1450.52	55.62%	43.78%	-12.97	0-1
1987-09-20	Minnesota Vikings	L 16-21	1510.42	1538.58	50.18%	49.22%	-13.09	0-2
1987-10-04	@ New Orleans Saints	L 10-37	1497.33	1480.21	47.63%	51.77%	-28.89	0-3
1987-10-11	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-21	1468.44	1512.87	47.84%	51.56%	+19.02	1-3
1987-10-18	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-24	1487.46	1408.45	56.49%	42.91%	-13.18	1-4
1987-10-26	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-30	1474.28	1585.13	30.33%	69.07%	-12.79	1-5
1987-11-01	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-31	1461.49	1600.71	34.71%	64.69%	-18.59	1-6
1987-11-08	New Orleans Saints	L 14-31	1442.90	1530.12	41.76%	57.64%	-20.12	1-7
1987-11-15	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 27-24	1422.78	1419.31	45.68%	53.73%	+10.86	2-7
1987-11-23	@ Washington Redskins	W 30-26	1433.64	1623.58	21.64%	77.76%	+18.13	3-7
1987-11-29	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 35-3	1451.77	1414.87	59.41%	39.99%	+26.43	4-7
1987-12-06	@ Detroit Lions	W 37-16	1478.20	1363.99	61.37%	38.04%	+20.37	5-7
1987-12-13	Atlanta Falcons	W 33-0	1498.57	1358.56	72.50%	26.91%	+18.09	6-7
1987-12-21	Dallas Cowboys	L 21-29	1516.66	1438.26	64.98%	34.42%	-21.43	6-8
1987-12-27	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 0-48	1495.23	1701.14	20.12%	79.28%	-16.33	6-9
1987-09-13	@ New England Patriots	L 21-28	1529.35	1544.12	43.08%	56.32%	-13.31	0-1
1987-09-20	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 23-10	1516.04	1416.42	59.37%	40.03%	+16.87	1-1
1987-10-04	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 20-24	1532.91	1555.99	41.91%	57.49%	-9.80	1-2
1987-10-11	Kansas City Chiefs	W 42-0	1523.11	1470.71	61.53%	37.87%	+28.69	2-2
1987-10-18	@ New York Jets	L 31-37	1551.80	1496.24	53.15%	46.25%	-15.19	2-3
1987-10-25	Buffalo Bills	L 31-34	1536.61	1392.33	72.98%	26.43%	-14.74	2-4
1987-11-01	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 35-24	1521.87	1520.22	54.46%	44.94%	+17.41	3-4
1987-11-08	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-14	1539.28	1480.58	53.60%	45.80%	+13.10	4-4
1987-11-15	Indianapolis Colts	L 21-40	1552.38	1473.87	65.00%	34.40%	-33.04	4-5
1987-11-22	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 20-14	1519.34	1499.80	47.98%	51.42%	+14.70	5-5
1987-11-29	@ Buffalo Bills	L 0-27	1534.04	1422.46	61.01%	38.39%	-36.96	5-6
1987-12-07	New York Jets	W 37-28	1497.08	1529.34	49.59%	49.81%	+17.44	6-6
1987-12-13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-10	1514.52	1455.89	53.59%	45.81%	+22.69	7-6
1987-12-20	Washington Redskins	W 23-21	1537.21	1633.72	40.47%	58.94%	+9.72	8-6
1987-12-28	New England Patriots	L 10-24	1546.93	1535.02	55.91%	43.49%	-24.40	8-7
1987-09-13	Detroit Lions	W 34-19	1522.72	1448.99	64.37%	35.03%	+15.86	1-0
1987-09-20	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 21-16	1538.58	1510.42	49.22%	50.18%	+13.09	2-0
1987-10-04	Green Bay Packers	L 16-23	1551.67	1415.52	72.06%	27.35%	-22.22	2-1
1987-10-11	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-27	1529.45	1639.38	30.44%	68.96%	-15.93	2-2
1987-10-18	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-20	1513.52	1412.57	59.55%	39.85%	-21.96	2-3
1987-10-26	Denver Broncos	W 34-27	1491.56	1556.84	44.86%	54.54%	+16.83	3-3
1987-11-01	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 17-28	1508.39	1592.95	33.62%	65.78%	-13.03	3-4
1987-11-08	Los Angeles Raiders	W 31-20	1495.36	1486.47	55.48%	43.92%	+17.01	4-4
1987-11-15	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-17	1512.37	1437.25	64.56%	34.85%	+9.97	5-4
1987-11-22	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-13	1522.34	1357.54	75.21%	24.19%	+9.40	6-4
1987-11-26	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 44-38	1531.74	1485.11	51.87%	47.53%	+13.59	7-4
1987-12-06	Chicago Bears	L 24-30	1545.33	1660.28	37.94%	61.47%	-10.86	7-5
1987-12-13	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-16	1534.47	1423.26	60.96%	38.44%	-17.41	7-6
1987-12-20	@ Detroit Lions	W 17-14	1517.06	1365.53	66.28%	33.12%	+6.70	8-6
1987-12-26	Washington Redskins	L 24-27	1523.76	1624.00	39.95%	59.45%	-8.08	8-7
1987-09-13	Miami Dolphins	W 28-21	1544.12	1529.35	56.32%	43.08%	+13.31	1-0
1987-09-21	@ New York Jets	L 24-43	1557.43	1512.80	51.59%	47.81%	-26.23	1-1
1987-10-04	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-20	1531.20	1547.39	51.91%	47.50%	-19.15	1-2
1987-10-11	Buffalo Bills	W 14-7	1512.05	1388.26	70.62%	28.78%	+8.91	2-2
1987-10-18	@ Houston Oilers	W 21-7	1520.96	1512.34	46.41%	52.99%	+23.13	3-2
1987-10-25	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 16-30	1544.09	1441.57	59.77%	39.63%	-26.08	3-3
1987-11-01	Los Angeles Raiders	W 26-23	1518.01	1494.95	57.48%	41.92%	+8.48	4-3
1987-11-08	@ New York Giants	L 10-17	1526.49	1505.64	48.17%	51.24%	-14.87	4-4
1987-11-15	Dallas Cowboys	L 17-23	1511.62	1483.17	58.24%	41.16%	-16.64	4-5
1987-11-22	Indianapolis Colts	W 24-0	1494.98	1506.90	52.52%	46.88%	+26.81	5-5
1987-11-29	Philadelphia Eagles	L 31-34	1521.79	1450.84	64.01%	35.39%	-12.92	5-6
1987-12-06	@ Denver Broncos	L 20-31	1508.87	1580.60	35.29%	64.11%	-13.68	5-7
1987-12-13	New York Jets	W 42-20	1495.19	1511.90	51.83%	47.57%	+26.04	6-7
1987-12-20	@ Buffalo Bills	W 13-7	1521.23	1479.37	51.19%	48.21%	+13.79	7-7
1987-12-28	@ Miami Dolphins	W 24-10	1535.02	1546.93	43.49%	55.91%	+24.40	8-7
1987-09-13	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 28-21	1481.98	1538.45	46.12%	53.28%	+16.44	1-0
1987-09-20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-27	1498.42	1469.36	49.35%	50.05%	-18.21	1-1
1987-10-04	Los Angeles Rams	W 37-10	1480.21	1497.33	51.77%	47.63%	+28.89	2-1
1987-10-11	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 19-24	1509.10	1435.86	55.67%	43.73%	-14.52	2-2
1987-10-18	@ Chicago Bears	W 19-17	1494.58	1655.31	24.63%	74.78%	+12.33	3-2
1987-10-25	San Francisco 49ers	L 22-24	1506.91	1593.80	41.81%	57.60%	-6.91	3-3
1987-11-01	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 38-0	1500.00	1413.25	57.58%	41.83%	+30.12	4-3
1987-11-08	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 31-14	1530.12	1442.90	57.64%	41.76%	+20.11	5-3
1987-11-15	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 26-24	1550.23	1628.61	34.42%	64.98%	+10.72	6-3
1987-11-22	New York Giants	W 23-14	1560.95	1530.49	58.52%	40.88%	+14.32	7-3
1987-11-29	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 20-16	1575.27	1502.17	55.65%	43.75%	+10.22	8-3
1987-12-06	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 44-34	1585.49	1388.44	78.45%	20.95%	+7.76	9-3
1987-12-13	Houston Oilers	W 24-10	1593.25	1492.90	67.78%	31.62%	+13.84	10-3
1987-12-20	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 41-24	1607.09	1440.23	68.21%	31.19%	+15.04	11-3
1987-12-27	Green Bay Packers	W 33-24	1622.13	1427.26	78.24%	21.16%	+7.44	12-3
1987-09-14	@ Chicago Bears	L 19-34	1609.52	1582.52	49.05%	50.35%	-22.17	0-1
1987-09-20	Dallas Cowboys	L 14-16	1587.35	1471.12	69.72%	29.68%	-11.49	0-2
1987-10-05	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-41	1575.86	1544.60	58.63%	40.77%	-30.58	0-3
1987-10-11	Washington Redskins	L 12-38	1545.28	1574.20	50.07%	49.33%	-29.79	0-4
1987-10-18	@ Buffalo Bills	L 3-6	1515.49	1379.35	64.29%	35.11%	-12.98	0-5
1987-10-25	St. Louis Cardinals	W 30-7	1502.51	1442.52	62.55%	36.85%	+20.65	1-5
1987-11-02	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 24-33	1523.16	1489.28	50.04%	49.36%	-17.52	1-6
1987-11-08	New England Patriots	W 17-10	1505.64	1526.49	51.24%	48.17%	+14.88	2-6
1987-11-15	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-17	1520.52	1486.52	50.06%	49.34%	+9.97	3-6
1987-11-22	@ New Orleans Saints	L 14-23	1530.49	1560.95	40.88%	58.52%	-14.33	3-7
1987-11-29	@ Washington Redskins	L 19-23	1516.16	1605.45	33.02%	66.38%	-7.72	3-8
1987-12-06	Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-20	1508.44	1463.77	60.48%	38.92%	+7.88	4-8
1987-12-13	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 24-27	1516.32	1436.44	56.61%	42.79%	-11.44	4-9
1987-12-19	Green Bay Packers	W 20-10	1504.88	1440.67	63.12%	36.28%	+13.41	5-9
1987-12-27	New York Jets	W 20-7	1518.29	1462.05	62.05%	37.35%	+15.74	6-9
1987-09-13	@ Buffalo Bills	W 31-28	1504.00	1428.97	55.92%	43.48%	+8.80	1-0
1987-09-21	New England Patriots	W 43-24	1512.80	1557.43	47.81%	51.59%	+26.23	2-0
1987-10-04	Dallas Cowboys	L 24-38	1539.03	1482.61	62.07%	37.33%	-27.08	2-1
1987-10-11	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 0-6	1511.95	1443.47	55.00%	44.40%	-15.71	2-2
1987-10-18	Miami Dolphins	W 37-31	1496.24	1551.80	46.25%	53.15%	+15.19	3-2
1987-10-25	@ Washington Redskins	L 16-17	1511.43	1616.45	31.04%	68.36%	-3.63	3-3
1987-11-01	Indianapolis Colts	L 14-19	1507.80	1467.64	59.86%	39.54%	-15.61	3-4
1987-11-09	Seattle Seahawks	W 30-14	1492.19	1605.99	38.09%	61.31%	+28.59	4-4
1987-11-15	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 16-9	1520.78	1401.47	62.05%	37.35%	+11.55	5-4
1987-11-22	Buffalo Bills	L 14-17	1532.33	1408.19	70.66%	28.74%	-14.27	5-5
1987-11-29	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-20	1518.06	1455.29	62.93%	36.47%	+11.28	6-5
1987-12-07	@ Miami Dolphins	L 28-37	1529.34	1497.08	49.81%	49.59%	-17.44	6-6
1987-12-13	@ New England Patriots	L 20-42	1511.90	1495.19	47.57%	51.83%	-26.04	6-7
1987-12-20	Philadelphia Eagles	L 27-38	1485.86	1433.20	61.57%	37.83%	-23.81	6-8
1987-12-27	@ New York Giants	L 7-20	1462.05	1518.29	37.35%	62.05%	-15.74	6-9
1987-09-13	@ Washington Redskins	L 24-34	1482.11	1559.95	34.49%	64.91%	-12.75	0-1
1987-09-20	New Orleans Saints	W 27-17	1469.36	1498.42	50.05%	49.35%	+18.21	1-1
1987-10-04	Chicago Bears	L 3-35	1487.57	1615.45	36.20%	63.20%	-23.94	1-2
1987-10-11	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 22-41	1463.63	1509.69	38.73%	60.67%	-19.72	1-3
1987-10-18	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-16	1443.91	1425.82	47.77%	51.63%	-13.66	1-4
1987-10-25	Dallas Cowboys	W 37-20	1430.25	1516.96	41.83%	57.57%	+27.68	2-4
1987-11-01	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 28-23	1457.93	1421.86	50.35%	49.05%	+12.80	3-4
1987-11-08	Washington Redskins	W 31-27	1470.73	1633.58	31.69%	67.71%	+15.79	4-4
1987-11-15	New York Giants	L 17-20	1486.52	1520.52	49.34%	50.06%	-9.98	4-5
1987-11-22	St. Louis Cardinals	L 19-31	1476.54	1408.46	63.63%	35.77%	-25.70	4-6
1987-11-29	@ New England Patriots	W 34-31	1450.84	1521.79	35.39%	64.01%	+12.93	5-6
1987-12-06	@ New York Giants	L 20-23	1463.77	1508.44	38.92%	60.48%	-7.88	5-7
1987-12-13	Miami Dolphins	L 10-28	1455.89	1514.52	45.81%	53.59%	-22.69	5-8
1987-12-20	@ New York Jets	W 38-27	1433.20	1485.86	37.83%	61.57%	+23.81	6-8
1987-12-27	Buffalo Bills	W 17-7	1457.01	1465.58	53.00%	46.40%	+17.13	7-8
1987-09-13	San Francisco 49ers	W 30-17	1493.13	1561.58	44.41%	54.99%	+23.13	1-0
1987-09-20	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-34	1516.26	1522.01	44.36%	55.04%	-25.38	1-1
1987-10-04	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 28-12	1490.88	1441.21	52.31%	47.09%	+21.99	2-1
1987-10-11	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 21-31	1512.87	1468.44	51.56%	47.84%	-19.02	2-2
1987-10-18	Indianapolis Colts	W 21-7	1493.85	1459.18	59.10%	40.30%	+17.61	3-2
1987-10-25	Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-20	1511.46	1498.08	56.12%	43.28%	+8.76	4-2
1987-11-01	@ Miami Dolphins	L 24-35	1520.22	1521.87	44.94%	54.46%	-17.41	4-3
1987-11-08	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-16	1502.81	1406.20	58.95%	40.45%	+4.73	5-3
1987-11-15	Houston Oilers	L 3-23	1507.54	1497.03	55.72%	43.69%	-29.06	5-4
1987-11-22	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 30-16	1478.48	1478.98	45.11%	54.29%	+23.69	6-4
1987-11-29	New Orleans Saints	L 16-20	1502.17	1575.27	43.75%	55.65%	-10.21	6-5
1987-12-06	Seattle Seahawks	W 13-9	1491.96	1571.65	42.82%	56.58%	+13.19	7-5
1987-12-13	@ San Diego Chargers	W 20-16	1505.15	1482.26	48.46%	50.94%	+11.89	8-5
1987-12-20	@ Houston Oilers	L 16-24	1517.04	1479.06	50.63%	48.77%	-16.71	8-6
1987-12-26	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 13-19	1500.33	1626.85	36.38%	63.02%	-10.41	8-7
1987-09-13	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-20	1475.35	1503.99	41.14%	58.26%	-12.72	0-1
1987-09-20	St. Louis Cardinals	W 28-24	1462.63	1455.20	55.28%	44.12%	+10.31	1-1
1987-10-04	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 10-9	1472.94	1521.54	38.39%	61.02%	+7.11	2-1
1987-10-11	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-13	1480.05	1423.33	53.32%	46.08%	+10.76	3-1
1987-10-18	@ Los Angeles Raiders	W 23-17	1490.81	1538.43	38.52%	60.88%	+17.39	4-1
1987-10-25	Kansas City Chiefs	W 42-21	1508.20	1428.06	65.21%	34.19%	+18.32	5-1
1987-11-01	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 27-24	1526.52	1597.93	43.99%	55.41%	+11.19	6-1
1987-11-08	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 16-13	1537.71	1483.25	53.00%	46.40%	+9.39	7-1
1987-11-15	Los Angeles Raiders	W 16-14	1547.10	1469.46	64.88%	34.52%	+5.70	8-1
1987-11-22	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 3-34	1552.80	1587.30	40.32%	59.08%	-26.23	8-2
1987-11-29	Denver Broncos	L 17-31	1526.57	1558.95	49.58%	49.82%	-21.65	8-3
1987-12-06	@ Houston Oilers	L 18-33	1504.92	1470.23	50.16%	49.24%	-22.66	8-4
1987-12-13	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-20	1482.26	1505.15	50.94%	48.46%	-11.89	8-5
1987-12-20	Indianapolis Colts	L 7-20	1470.37	1481.72	52.60%	46.80%	-22.13	8-6
1987-12-27	@ Denver Broncos	L 0-24	1448.24	1583.20	27.48%	71.92%	-15.75	8-7
1987-09-13	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-30	1561.58	1493.13	54.99%	44.41%	-23.12	0-1
1987-09-20	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-26	1538.46	1527.69	46.72%	52.68%	+6.14	1-1
1987-10-05	@ New York Giants	W 41-21	1544.60	1575.86	40.77%	58.63%	+30.58	2-1
1987-10-11	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 25-17	1575.18	1419.22	66.84%	32.56%	+10.77	3-1
1987-10-18	St. Louis Cardinals	W 34-28	1585.95	1450.38	71.99%	27.41%	+7.85	4-1
1987-10-25	@ New Orleans Saints	W 24-22	1593.80	1506.91	57.60%	41.81%	+6.91	5-1
1987-11-01	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 31-10	1600.71	1461.49	64.69%	34.71%	+18.59	6-1
1987-11-08	Houston Oilers	W 27-20	1619.30	1506.34	69.33%	30.08%	+9.31	7-1
1987-11-15	New Orleans Saints	L 24-26	1628.61	1550.23	64.98%	34.42%	-10.71	7-2
1987-11-22	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-10	1617.90	1427.27	71.07%	28.34%	+12.40	8-2
1987-11-29	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 38-24	1630.30	1635.73	53.45%	45.95%	+20.08	9-2
1987-12-06	@ Green Bay Packers	W 23-12	1650.38	1433.09	74.08%	25.32%	+9.83	10-2
1987-12-14	Chicago Bears	W 41-0	1660.21	1671.14	52.66%	46.74%	+34.94	11-2
1987-12-20	Atlanta Falcons	W 35-7	1695.15	1340.48	89.74%	9.66%	+5.99	12-2
1987-12-27	Los Angeles Rams	W 48-0	1701.14	1495.23	79.28%	20.12%	+16.33	13-2
1987-09-13	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-40	1555.39	1537.21	47.78%	51.62%	-26.75	0-1
1987-09-20	Kansas City Chiefs	W 43-14	1528.64	1516.70	55.92%	43.48%	+27.35	1-1
1987-10-04	Miami Dolphins	W 24-20	1555.99	1532.91	57.49%	41.91%	+9.79	2-1
1987-10-11	Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-17	1565.78	1514.43	61.39%	38.01%	-18.94	2-2
1987-10-18	@ Detroit Lions	W 37-14	1546.84	1415.25	63.69%	35.71%	+20.02	3-2
1987-10-25	@ Los Angeles Raiders	W 35-13	1566.86	1521.04	51.76%	47.64%	+26.09	4-2
1987-11-01	Minnesota Vikings	W 28-17	1592.95	1508.39	65.78%	33.62%	+13.04	5-2
1987-11-09	@ New York Jets	L 14-30	1605.99	1492.19	61.31%	38.09%	-28.60	5-3
1987-11-15	Green Bay Packers	W 24-13	1577.39	1424.89	73.89%	25.51%	+9.91	6-3
1987-11-22	San Diego Chargers	W 34-3	1587.30	1552.80	59.08%	40.32%	+26.23	7-3
1987-11-30	Los Angeles Raiders	L 14-37	1613.53	1451.64	74.90%	24.50%	-41.88	7-4
1987-12-06	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 9-13	1571.65	1491.96	56.58%	42.82%	-13.20	7-5
1987-12-13	Denver Broncos	W 28-21	1558.45	1594.28	49.08%	50.32%	+15.54	8-5
1987-12-20	@ Chicago Bears	W 34-21	1573.99	1636.20	36.55%	62.85%	+26.42	9-5
1987-12-27	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-41	1600.41	1387.58	73.59%	25.81%	-39.31	9-6
1987-09-13	Dallas Cowboys	W 24-13	1434.54	1491.77	46.01%	53.39%	+20.66	1-0
1987-09-20	@ San Diego Chargers	L 24-28	1455.20	1462.63	44.12%	55.28%	-10.31	1-1
1987-10-04	@ Washington Redskins	L 21-28	1444.89	1565.16	29.20%	70.20%	-9.03	1-2
1987-10-11	New Orleans Saints	W 24-19	1435.86	1509.10	43.73%	55.67%	+14.52	2-2
1987-10-18	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 28-34	1450.38	1585.95	27.41%	71.99%	-7.86	2-3
1987-10-25	@ New York Giants	L 7-30	1442.52	1502.51	36.85%	62.55%	-20.66	2-4
1987-11-01	Philadelphia Eagles	L 23-28	1421.86	1457.93	49.05%	50.35%	-12.79	2-5
1987-11-08	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-28	1409.07	1447.50	48.71%	50.69%	+10.24	3-5
1987-11-15	Los Angeles Rams	L 24-27	1419.31	1422.78	53.73%	45.68%	-10.85	3-6
1987-11-22	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-19	1408.46	1476.54	35.77%	63.63%	+25.69	4-6
1987-11-29	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 34-21	1434.15	1348.15	57.47%	41.93%	+17.66	5-6
1987-12-06	Washington Redskins	L 17-34	1451.81	1613.17	31.88%	67.52%	-15.37	5-7
1987-12-13	New York Giants	W 27-24	1436.44	1516.32	42.79%	56.61%	+11.44	6-7
1987-12-20	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-14	1447.88	1358.76	57.91%	41.50%	+19.98	7-7
1987-12-27	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 16-21	1467.86	1459.69	46.35%	53.05%	-12.10	7-8
1987-09-13	Atlanta Falcons	W 48-10	1378.81	1476.11	40.36%	59.05%	+42.44	1-0
1987-09-20	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-20	1421.25	1604.69	22.28%	77.12%	-10.75	1-1
1987-10-04	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-27	1410.50	1416.16	44.37%	55.03%	+12.83	2-1
1987-10-11	San Diego Chargers	L 13-17	1423.33	1480.05	46.08%	53.32%	-10.76	2-2
1987-10-18	Minnesota Vikings	W 20-10	1412.57	1513.52	39.85%	59.55%	+21.96	3-2
1987-10-25	Chicago Bears	L 26-27	1434.53	1642.98	26.30%	73.10%	-3.08	3-3
1987-11-01	@ Green Bay Packers	W 23-17	1431.45	1445.06	43.25%	56.15%	+16.05	4-3
1987-11-08	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 28-31	1447.50	1409.07	50.69%	48.71%	-10.25	4-4
1987-11-15	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-23	1437.25	1512.37	34.85%	64.56%	-9.98	4-5
1987-11-22	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-24	1427.27	1617.90	28.34%	71.07%	-12.40	4-6
1987-11-29	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 3-35	1414.87	1451.77	39.99%	59.41%	-26.43	4-7
1987-12-06	@ New Orleans Saints	L 34-44	1388.44	1585.49	20.95%	78.45%	-7.76	4-8
1987-12-13	Detroit Lions	L 10-20	1380.68	1343.62	59.43%	39.97%	-21.92	4-9
1987-12-20	St. Louis Cardinals	L 14-31	1358.76	1447.88	41.50%	57.91%	-19.98	4-10
1987-12-27	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 6-24	1338.78	1503.85	24.16%	75.24%	-12.00	4-11
1987-09-13	Philadelphia Eagles	W 34-24	1559.95	1482.11	64.91%	34.49%	+12.75	1-0
1987-09-20	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-21	1572.70	1433.67	64.67%	34.73%	-7.54	1-1
1987-10-04	St. Louis Cardinals	W 28-21	1565.16	1444.89	70.20%	29.20%	+9.04	2-1
1987-10-11	@ New York Giants	W 38-12	1574.20	1545.28	49.33%	50.07%	+29.80	3-1
1987-10-19	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 13-7	1604.00	1529.42	55.86%	43.54%	+12.45	4-1
1987-10-25	New York Jets	W 17-16	1616.45	1511.43	68.36%	31.04%	+3.63	5-1
1987-11-01	@ Buffalo Bills	W 27-7	1620.08	1407.07	73.61%	25.79%	+13.50	6-1
1987-11-08	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 27-31	1633.58	1470.73	67.71%	31.69%	-15.78	6-2
1987-11-15	Detroit Lions	W 20-13	1617.80	1395.71	80.74%	18.67%	+5.78	7-2
1987-11-23	Los Angeles Rams	L 26-30	1623.58	1433.64	77.76%	21.64%	-18.13	7-3
1987-11-29	New York Giants	W 23-19	1605.45	1516.16	66.38%	33.02%	+7.72	8-3
1987-12-06	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 34-17	1613.17	1451.81	67.52%	31.88%	+15.37	9-3
1987-12-13	Dallas Cowboys	W 24-20	1628.54	1443.44	77.29%	22.11%	+5.18	10-3
1987-12-20	@ Miami Dolphins	L 21-23	1633.72	1537.21	58.94%	40.47%	-9.72	10-4
1987-12-26	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 27-24	1624.00	1523.76	59.45%	39.95%	+8.09	11-4

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1988-01-10	Washington Redskins	L 17-21	1617.08	1632.09	52.37%	47.63%	-12.15	0-1
1988-01-09	Indianapolis Colts	W 38-21	1637.27	1515.85	70.69%	29.31%	+14.02	1-0
1988-01-17	@ Denver Broncos	L 33-38	1651.29	1618.24	50.22%	49.78%	-13.03	1-1
1988-01-10	Houston Oilers	W 34-10	1598.95	1514.84	66.05%	33.95%	+19.29	1-0
1988-01-17	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 38-33	1618.24	1651.29	49.78%	50.22%	+13.03	2-0
1988-01-31	@ Washington Redskins	L 10-42	1631.27	1655.99	46.45%	53.55%	-30.48	2-1
1988-01-03	Seattle Seahawks	W 23-20	1504.05	1561.10	46.33%	53.67%	+10.79	1-0
1988-01-10	@ Denver Broncos	L 10-34	1514.84	1598.95	33.95%	66.05%	-19.29	1-1
1988-01-09	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 21-38	1515.85	1637.27	29.31%	70.69%	-14.02	0-1
1988-01-03	@ New Orleans Saints	W 44-10	1515.68	1629.57	30.22%	69.78%	+47.20	1-0
1988-01-09	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 36-24	1562.88	1717.47	25.52%	74.48%	+29.93	2-0
1988-01-17	@ Washington Redskins	L 10-17	1592.81	1644.24	38.28%	61.72%	-11.75	2-1
1988-01-03	Minnesota Vikings	L 10-44	1629.57	1515.68	69.78%	30.22%	-47.20	0-1
1988-01-09	Minnesota Vikings	L 24-36	1717.47	1562.88	74.48%	25.52%	-29.93	0-1
1988-01-03	@ Houston Oilers	L 20-23	1561.10	1504.05	53.67%	46.33%	-10.79	0-1
1988-01-10	@ Chicago Bears	W 21-17	1632.09	1617.08	47.63%	52.37%	+12.15	1-0
1988-01-17	Minnesota Vikings	W 17-10	1644.24	1592.81	61.72%	38.28%	+11.75	2-0
1988-01-31	Denver Broncos	W 42-10	1655.99	1631.27	53.55%	46.45%	+30.48	3-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1987-11-23	21.64%	Los Angeles Rams	1433.64	30	@ Washington Redskins	1623.58	26
2	1987-11-30	24.50%	Los Angeles Raiders	1451.64	37	@ Seattle Seahawks	1613.53	14
3	1987-10-18	24.63%	New Orleans Saints	1494.58	19	@ Chicago Bears	1655.31	17
4	1988-01-09 *	25.52%	Minnesota Vikings	1562.88	36	@ San Francisco 49ers	1717.47	24
5	1987-12-27	25.81%	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1387.58	41	Seattle Seahawks	1600.41	20
6	1987-10-25	26.43%	Buffalo Bills	1392.33	34	@ Miami Dolphins	1536.61	31
7	1987-12-06	26.79%	Atlanta Falcons	1330.49	21	@ Dallas Cowboys	1471.52	10
8	1987-10-04	27.35%	Green Bay Packers	1415.52	23	@ Minnesota Vikings	1551.67	16
9	1987-11-22	28.74%	Buffalo Bills	1408.19	17	@ New York Jets	1532.33	14
10	1987-09-20	29.68%	Dallas Cowboys	1471.12	16	@ New York Giants	1587.35	14
11	1988-01-03 *	30.22%	Minnesota Vikings	1515.68	44	@ New Orleans Saints	1629.57	10
12	1987-10-04	30.25%	Houston Oilers	1451.50	40	@ Denver Broncos	1563.01	10
13	1987-12-06	30.64%	Indianapolis Colts	1507.34	9	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1615.66	7
14	1987-11-08	31.55%	@ Buffalo Bills	1393.57	21	Denver Broncos	1557.58	14
15	1987-11-08	31.69%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1470.73	31	Washington Redskins	1633.58	27
16	1987-11-15	34.40%	Indianapolis Colts	1473.87	40	@ Miami Dolphins	1552.38	21
17	1987-11-15	34.42%	New Orleans Saints	1550.23	26	@ San Francisco 49ers	1628.61	24
18	1987-12-21	34.42%	Dallas Cowboys	1438.26	29	@ Los Angeles Rams	1516.66	21
19	1987-12-13	34.69%	Buffalo Bills	1442.41	27	@ Indianapolis Colts	1518.68	3
20	1987-09-20	34.73%	@ Atlanta Falcons	1433.67	21	Washington Redskins	1572.70	20
21	1987-12-13	35.01%	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1373.64	16	Los Angeles Raiders	1510.53	10
22	1987-10-18	35.11%	@ Buffalo Bills	1379.35	6	New York Giants	1515.49	3
23	1987-11-08	35.29%	@ Detroit Lions	1372.07	27	Dallas Cowboys	1506.80	17
24	1987-11-29	35.39%	Philadelphia Eagles	1450.84	34	@ New England Patriots	1521.79	31
25	1987-10-11	35.40%	Houston Oilers	1495.65	15	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1566.54	10

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1988-01-03 *	47.20	Minnesota Vikings	44	1515.68	30.22%	@ New Orleans Saints	10	1629.57	69.78%
2	1987-10-04	44.15	Houston Oilers	40	1451.50	30.25%	@ Denver Broncos	10	1563.01	69.15%
3	1987-10-04	43.92	Indianapolis Colts	47	1399.55	40.58%	@ Buffalo Bills	6	1432.17	58.82%
4	1987-09-13	42.44	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	48	1378.81	40.36%	Atlanta Falcons	10	1476.11	59.05%
5	1987-11-30	41.88	Los Angeles Raiders	37	1451.64	24.50%	@ Seattle Seahawks	14	1613.53	74.90%
6	1987-12-27	39.31	@ Kansas City Chiefs	41	1387.58	25.81%	Seattle Seahawks	20	1600.41	73.59%
7	1987-11-29	36.96	@ Buffalo Bills	27	1422.46	38.39%	Miami Dolphins	0	1534.04	61.01%
8	1987-12-13	36.96	Buffalo Bills	27	1442.41	34.69%	@ Indianapolis Colts	3	1518.68	64.71%
9	1987-10-18	35.28	Cleveland Browns (1st)	34	1549.85	47.54%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	0	1533.36	51.86%
10	1987-12-14	34.94	@ San Francisco 49ers	41	1660.21	52.66%	Chicago Bears	0	1671.14	46.74%
11	1987-11-15	33.04	Indianapolis Colts	40	1473.87	34.40%	@ Miami Dolphins	21	1552.38	65.00%
12	1987-10-05	30.58	San Francisco 49ers	41	1544.60	40.77%	@ New York Giants	21	1575.86	58.63%
13	1988-01-31 *	30.48	@ Washington Redskins	42	1655.99	53.55%	Denver Broncos	10	1631.27	46.45%
14	1987-11-01	30.12	New Orleans Saints	38	1500.00	57.58%	@ Atlanta Falcons	0	1413.25	41.83%
15	1988-01-09 *	29.93	Minnesota Vikings	36	1562.88	25.52%	@ San Francisco 49ers	24	1717.47	74.48%
16	1987-10-11	29.80	Washington Redskins	38	1574.20	49.33%	@ New York Giants	12	1545.28	50.07%
17	1987-11-15	29.06	Houston Oilers	23	1497.03	43.69%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	3	1507.54	55.72%
18	1987-10-04	28.89	@ New Orleans Saints	37	1480.21	51.77%	Los Angeles Rams	10	1497.33	47.63%
19	1987-10-11	28.69	@ Miami Dolphins	42	1523.11	61.53%	Kansas City Chiefs	0	1470.71	37.87%
20	1987-11-09	28.60	@ New York Jets	30	1492.19	38.09%	Seattle Seahawks	14	1605.99	61.31%
21	1987-11-22	28.60	Cleveland Browns (1st)	40	1607.13	56.77%	@ Houston Oilers	7	1526.09	42.63%
22	1987-12-06	28.08	Atlanta Falcons	21	1330.49	26.79%	@ Dallas Cowboys	10	1471.52	72.61%
23	1987-10-25	27.68	@ Philadelphia Eagles	37	1430.25	41.83%	Dallas Cowboys	20	1516.96	57.57%
24	1987-09-20	27.35	@ Seattle Seahawks	43	1528.64	55.92%	Kansas City Chiefs	14	1516.70	43.48%
25	1987-11-29	27.26	@ Indianapolis Colts	51	1480.08	51.73%	Houston Oilers	27	1497.49	47.67%