1970 NFL Season

182 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Baltimore Colts

1st Super Bowl

Last Title: 1959

Runner-Up

Dallas Cowboys

1st SB App.

Biggest Overachiever

Miami Dolphins

2.71 wins above expected

10 wins · 7.29 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

New York Jets

2.65 wins below expected

4 wins · 6.65 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cincinnati Bengals Division	8	6	0	.571	—	312	255	+57	6.05	+1.95
2	Cleveland Browns (1st)	7	7	0	.500	1	286	265	+21	8.37	-1.37
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	5	9	0	.357	3	210	272	-62	5.08	-0.08
4	Houston Oilers	3	10	1	.250	4.5	217	352	-135	6.05	-2.55

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Baltimore Colts Division	11	2	1	.821	—	321	234	+87	9.54	+1.96
2	Miami Dolphins Playoffs	10	4	0	.714	1.5	297	228	+69	7.29	+2.71
3	New York Jets	4	10	0	.286	7.5	255	286	-31	6.65	-2.65
4	Buffalo Bills	3	10	1	.250	8	204	337	-133	5.03	-1.53
5	Boston Patriots	2	12	0	.143	9.5	149	361	-212	4.38	-2.38

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Oakland Raiders Division	8	4	2	.643	—	300	293	+7	8.52	+0.48
2	Kansas City Chiefs	7	5	2	.571	1	272	244	+28	8.78	-0.78
3	San Diego Chargers	5	6	3	.464	2.5	282	278	+4	7.07	-0.57
4	Denver Broncos	5	8	1	.393	3.5	253	264	-11	6.71	-1.21

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Minnesota Vikings Division	12	2	.857	—	335	143	+192	11.06	+0.94
2	Detroit Lions Playoffs	10	4	.714	2	347	202	+145	8.62	+1.38
3	Chicago Bears	6	8	.429	6	256	261	-5	4.95	+1.05
4	Green Bay Packers	6	8	.429	6	196	293	-97	6.06	-0.06

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Dallas Cowboys Division	10	4	0	.714	—	299	221	+78	8.64	+1.36
2	New York Giants	9	5	0	.643	1	301	270	+31	7.74	+1.26
3	St. Louis Cardinals	8	5	1	.607	1.5	325	228	+97	7.37	+1.13
4	Washington Redskins	6	8	0	.429	4	297	314	-17	6.59	-0.59
5	Philadelphia Eagles	3	10	1	.250	6.5	241	332	-91	4.10	-0.60

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Francisco 49ers Division	10	3	1	.750	—	352	267	+85	7.84	+2.66
2	Los Angeles Rams	9	4	1	.679	1	325	202	+123	8.71	+0.79
3	Atlanta Falcons	4	8	2	.357	5.5	206	261	-55	6.72	-1.72
4	New Orleans Saints	2	11	1	.179	8	172	347	-175	4.10	-1.60

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Divisional Round

Baltimore Colts 17

Cincinnati Bengals 0

Dec 26

Oakland Raiders 21

Miami Dolphins 14

Dec 27

Conference Championship

Baltimore Colts 27

Oakland Raiders 17

Jan 3

NFC

Divisional Round

Dallas Cowboys 5

Detroit Lions 0

Dec 26

San Francisco 49ers 17

Minnesota Vikings 14

Dec 27

Conference Championship

Dallas Cowboys 17

San Francisco 49ers 10

Jan 3

Super Bowl

Baltimore Colts 16

Dallas Cowboys 13

Jan 17

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC Central	1801	12	11.06	+0.94	88.56%	4	8	10	11	12	13	14
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC Central	1738	10	8.62	+1.38	91.72%	2	5	7	8	9	11	14
Los Angeles Rams	NFC	NFC West	1680	9.5	8.71	+0.79	75.79%	2	5	7	8	9	11	14
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1655	10	8.64	+1.36	91.07%	2	5	7	8	9	11	14
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1648	10.5	7.84	+2.66	96.19%	1	5	6	7	9	10	14
Baltimore Colts	AFC	AFC East	1638	11.5	9.54	+1.96	91.82%	3	6	8	9	10	12	14
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1588	9	8.52	+0.48	77.68%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1585	8	8.78	-0.78	51.62%	2	5	7	8	10	11	14
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1578	10	7.29	+2.71	98.48%	1	4	6	7	8	10	13
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1567	6.5	7.07	-0.57	46.76%	1	4	5	7	8	10	13
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1561	9	7.74	+1.26	88.68%	1	4	6	7	9	10	13
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC Central	1542	8	6.05	+1.95	95.76%	0	3	5	6	7	8	12
St. Louis Cardinals	NFC	NFC East	1542	8.5	7.37	+1.13	81.00%	1	4	6	7	8	10	13
Cleveland Browns (1st)	AFC	AFC Central	1528	7	8.37	-1.37	39.09%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1472	6	6.59	-0.59	57.48%	0	3	5	6	7	9	12
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC Central	1471	6	4.95	+1.05	88.58%	0	2	3	5	6	7	11
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1468	4	6.65	-2.65	15.18%	0	3	5	6	7	9	13
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC Central	1428	6	6.06	-0.06	69.28%	0	3	4	6	7	8	12
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1409	5.5	6.71	-1.21	32.21%	1	3	5	6	7	9	13
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC West	1402	5	6.72	-1.72	32.12%	1	3	5	6	7	9	13
Houston Oilers	AFC	AFC Central	1328	3.5	6.05	-2.55	10.20%	0	3	4	6	7	8	12
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1325	3.5	4.10	-0.60	46.45%	0	1	3	4	5	6	10
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC Central	1317	5	5.08	-0.08	69.57%	0	2	3	5	6	7	12
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1257	3.5	5.03	-1.53	24.96%	0	2	4	5	6	7	11
Boston Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1238	2	4.38	-2.38	16.11%	0	2	3	4	5	7	10
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC West	1234	2.5	4.10	-1.60	23.21%	0	1	3	4	5	6	11

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team	Bengals	(1st)	Oilers	Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals	—	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
Houston Oilers	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Cincinnati Bengals	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
Houston Oilers	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-3 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)

Within AFC East

Team	Colts	Patriots	Bills	Dolphins	Jets
Baltimore Colts	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Boston Patriots	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Buffalo Bills	0-1-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.5 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
New York Jets	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Baltimore Colts	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	—
Boston Patriots	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—
Buffalo Bills	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
New York Jets	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-0-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-0-1 (1.1 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-0-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Denver Broncos	1-2 (1.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	3-0 (2.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—
Oakland Raiders	2-1 (2.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)

Within NFC Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.3 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	—

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC East	NFC West
Chicago Bears	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-1 (1.2 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-2 (1.3 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	—	1-1 (1.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	3-0 (2.4 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Cardinals	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Washington Redskins	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
New York Giants	—	3-0 (1.7 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.3 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Falcons	Rams	Saints	49ers
Atlanta Falcons	—	0-1-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-0-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (0.4 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.5 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East
Atlanta Falcons	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-3 (1.3 exp.)	0-1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	1.10%	1.37%	4.12%	1.65%	1.37%	1.10%	0.27%	10.99%
7–13	1.37%	2.20%	5.77%	3.85%	2.75%	0.82%	1.37%	18.13%
14–20	4.12%	5.77%	7.14%	6.59%	4.95%	1.92%	0.27%	30.77%
21–27	1.65%	3.85%	6.59%	2.20%	3.02%	0.82%	0.55%	18.68%
28–34	1.37%	2.75%	4.95%	3.02%	1.65%	0.27%	—	14.01%
35–41	1.10%	0.82%	1.92%	0.82%	0.27%	—	—	4.95%
42+	0.27%	1.37%	0.27%	0.55%	—	—	—	2.47%
Total	10.99%	18.13%	30.77%	18.68%	14.01%	4.95%	2.47%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.26	19.26	+0.00
SD	10.38	10.38	16.20
CV	0.54	0.54	—
Max	54	54	+44
Min	0	0	-44

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	42.86%
14–20	7.14%	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	21.43%
21–27	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	21.43%	35.71%	28.57%	—	7.14%	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.71	18.64	-3.93
SD	8.97	8.33	12.38
CV	0.61	0.45	—
Max	32	37	+18
Min	0	3	-30

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	7.14%	—	21.43%	—	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
21–27	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	—	7.14%	28.57%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
35–41	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.43%	14.29%	42.86%	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	100%

Baltimore Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.93	16.71	+6.21
SD	7.30	11.74	14.45
CV	0.32	0.70	—
Max	35	44	+35
Min	13	0	-20

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%	21.43%
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	14.29%	—	28.57%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.14%	35.71%	14.29%	14.29%	14.29%	14.29%	100%

Boston Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	10.64	25.79	-15.14
SD	8.21	11.79	14.41
CV	0.77	0.46	—
Max	27	45	+13
Min	0	10	-38

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
7–13	7.14%	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	7.14%	42.86%
14–20	—	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	28.57%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	7.14%	7.14%	35.71%	14.29%	21.43%	—	14.29%	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.57	24.07	-9.50
SD	11.57	11.47	17.45
CV	0.79	0.48	—
Max	45	45	+35
Min	0	6	-38

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	21.43%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
14–20	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	35.71%
21–27	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	7.14%	57.14%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.29	18.64	-0.36
SD	9.27	7.80	14.35
CV	0.51	0.42	—
Max	35	37	+21
Min	0	3	-24

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
21–27	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	7.14%	21.43%	35.71%	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.29	18.21	+4.07
SD	13.78	9.35	20.14
CV	0.62	0.51	—
Max	45	38	+38
Min	0	6	-35

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
14–20	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	14.29%	—	—	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
28–34	7.14%	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	21.43%	14.29%	28.57%	14.29%	7.14%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.43	18.93	+1.50
SD	9.62	11.70	13.66
CV	0.47	0.62	—
Max	31	41	+28
Min	2	0	-19

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
7–13	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	21.43%
14–20	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
21–27	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
28–34	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	28.57%	21.43%	21.43%	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.36	15.79	+5.57
SD	14.73	15.31	23.66
CV	0.69	0.97	—
Max	52	54	+42
Min	0	0	-41

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
21–27	—	21.43%	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	42.86%
28–34	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	28.57%	28.57%	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.07	18.86	-0.79
SD	8.58	8.46	13.09
CV	0.47	0.45	—
Max	31	35	+25
Min	0	6	-16

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
14–20	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	42.86%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
35–41	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.57%	14.29%	21.43%	21.43%	14.29%	—	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.79	14.43	+10.36
SD	9.81	10.91	16.88
CV	0.40	0.76	—
Max	41	31	+40
Min	10	0	-21

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	—	28.57%
7–13	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	28.57%	35.71%	14.29%	7.14%	14.29%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.00	20.93	-6.93
SD	9.95	9.30	13.84
CV	0.71	0.44	—
Max	30	40	+13
Min	0	10	-40

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	28.57%
14–20	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	21.43%	—	—	42.86%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	21.43%	7.14%	28.57%	28.57%	—	14.29%	100%

Houston Oilers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.50	25.14	-9.64
SD	9.22	12.51	16.56
CV	0.59	0.50	—
Max	31	52	+12
Min	0	7	-44

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
7–13	—	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
14–20	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
21–27	—	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	14.29%	14.29%	35.71%	28.57%	7.14%	—	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.43	17.43	+2.00
SD	10.50	9.10	14.11
CV	0.54	0.52	—
Max	44	31	+20
Min	6	0	-18

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
7–13	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
21–27	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
28–34	7.14%	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	42.86%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	42.86%	21.43%	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.21	14.43	+8.79
SD	11.03	8.69	14.30
CV	0.48	0.60	—
Max	37	31	+28
Min	3	0	-14

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	14.29%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	7.14%	28.57%	—	14.29%	—	—	—	50.00%
21–27	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
28–34	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	7.14%	42.86%	21.43%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.21	16.29	+4.93
SD	12.77	9.15	19.50
CV	0.60	0.56	—
Max	45	35	+38
Min	0	6	-35

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
14–20	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	28.57%	42.86%	28.57%	—	—	—	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.93	10.21	+13.71
SD	12.52	6.78	13.76
CV	0.52	0.66	—
Max	54	20	+41
Min	10	0	-10

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	21.43%	—	—	50.00%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.14%	21.43%	35.71%	28.57%	7.14%	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	12.29	24.79	-12.50
SD	7.81	7.91	9.62
CV	0.64	0.32	—
Max	27	38	+4
Min	0	10	-26

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
14–20	14.29%	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	28.57%
21–27	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	7.14%	28.57%	28.57%	21.43%	—	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.50	19.29	+2.21
SD	9.99	9.39	13.61
CV	0.46	0.49	—
Max	35	33	+18
Min	3	0	-28

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
7–13	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
14–20	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	28.57%
21–27	—	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	14.29%	28.57%	21.43%	21.43%	7.14%	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.21	20.43	-2.21
SD	8.69	9.48	9.77
CV	0.48	0.46	—
Max	31	35	+14
Min	6	3	-15

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
14–20	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
21–27	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	7.14%	50.00%	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	—	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.43	20.93	+0.50
SD	8.26	8.11	12.92
CV	0.39	0.39	—
Max	35	38	+17
Min	7	6	-31

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	35.71%
21–27	—	—	14.29%	—	14.29%	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.14%	35.71%	21.43%	28.57%	7.14%	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.21	23.71	-6.50
SD	6.85	6.65	8.99
CV	0.40	0.28	—
Max	30	35	+10
Min	6	13	-19

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	7.14%	—	28.57%	—	7.14%	—	—	42.86%
14–20	—	—	—	7.14%	21.43%	—	—	28.57%
21–27	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	21.43%	35.71%	7.14%	28.57%	—	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.00	19.43	-4.43
SD	6.80	9.78	13.06
CV	0.45	0.50	—
Max	28	34	+19
Min	7	3	-27

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
14–20	—	7.14%	35.71%	14.29%	—	—	—	57.14%
21–27	—	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	21.43%	35.71%	28.57%	7.14%	7.14%	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.14	19.86	+0.29
SD	6.78	8.26	11.41
CV	0.34	0.42	—
Max	31	37	+18
Min	10	7	-27

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	14.29%
14–20	7.14%	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
21–27	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	14.29%	42.86%	14.29%	21.43%	—	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.14	19.07	+6.07
SD	9.49	8.08	13.65
CV	0.38	0.42	—
Max	38	31	+31
Min	7	6	-21

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
7–13	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	21.43%
21–27	—	—	21.43%	—	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
28–34	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	28.57%	7.14%	35.71%	—	21.43%	7.14%	—	100%

St. Louis Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.21	16.29	+6.93
SD	11.69	12.78	20.60
CV	0.50	0.78	—
Max	44	35	+44
Min	3	0	-21

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	14.29%	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
21–27	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	21.43%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	28.57%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	35.71%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.21	22.43	-1.21
SD	9.01	13.39	16.98
CV	0.42	0.60	—
Max	33	45	+21
Min	0	0	-34

Games Played: 14

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Miami Dolphins	10	7.29	+2.71
2	San Francisco 49ers	10.5	7.84	+2.66
3	Baltimore Colts	11.5	9.54	+1.96
4	Cincinnati Bengals	8	6.05	+1.95
5	Detroit Lions	10	8.62	+1.38

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New York Jets	4	6.65	-2.65
2	Houston Oilers	3.5	6.05	-2.55
3	Boston Patriots	2	4.38	-2.38
4	Atlanta Falcons	5	6.72	-1.72
5	New Orleans Saints	2.5	4.10	-1.60

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cincinnati Bengals	7	Nov 8 – Dec 20	1 in 151
2	New York Jets	3	Nov 15 – Nov 29	1 in 68
3	New York Giants	6	Oct 11 – Nov 15	1 in 60
4	Miami Dolphins	6	Nov 15 – Dec 20	1 in 29
5	Baltimore Colts	6	Oct 4 – Nov 9	1 in 24

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New York Jets	6	Oct 4 – Nov 8	1 in 472
2	Boston Patriots	9	Sep 27 – Nov 22	1 in 82
3	Washington Redskins	5	Nov 8 – Dec 6	1 in 22
4	Philadelphia Eagles	7	Sep 20 – Nov 1	1 in 19
5	Cleveland Browns (1st)	3	Nov 1 – Nov 15	1 in 18

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4
Cleveland Browns (1st)	68.97%	20.45%	7.80%	2.78%
Houston Oilers	13.46%	31.25%	31.30%	23.99%
Cincinnati Bengals	12.51%	31.05%	32.92%	23.52%
Pittsburgh Steelers	5.06%	17.25%	27.98%	49.71%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Baltimore Colts	73.78%	18.37%	5.91%	1.64%	0.30%
Miami Dolphins	14.91%	39.36%	28.77%	12.61%	4.35%
New York Jets	9.23%	30.12%	34.08%	18.57%	8.00%
Buffalo Bills	1.36%	7.77%	19.02%	36.06%	35.79%
Boston Patriots	0.72%	4.38%	12.22%	31.12%	51.56%

Team	1	2	3	4
Kansas City Chiefs	43.79%	29.60%	17.89%	8.72%
Oakland Raiders	35.89%	31.91%	20.39%	11.81%
San Diego Chargers	12.33%	21.23%	32.22%	34.22%
Denver Broncos	7.99%	17.26%	29.50%	45.25%

Team	1	2	3	4
Minnesota Vikings	84.04%	14.57%	1.30%	0.09%
Detroit Lions	14.53%	67.90%	14.90%	2.67%
Green Bay Packers	1.15%	12.94%	54.62%	31.29%
Chicago Bears	0.28%	4.59%	29.18%	65.95%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Dallas Cowboys	47.13%	27.78%	15.70%	7.96%	1.43%
New York Giants	24.16%	27.30%	25.45%	18.24%	4.85%
St. Louis Cardinals	18.16%	25.41%	27.47%	22.98%	5.98%
Washington Redskins	10.11%	17.51%	25.79%	33.92%	12.67%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.44%	2.00%	5.59%	16.90%	75.07%

Team	1	2	3	4
Los Angeles Rams	56.17%	29.30%	12.84%	1.69%
San Francisco 49ers	30.59%	40.10%	24.69%	4.62%
Atlanta Falcons	12.72%	26.77%	46.97%	13.54%
New Orleans Saints	0.52%	3.83%	15.50%	80.15%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13
Baltimore Colts	34.56%	23.33%	14.49%	9.09%	6.82%	4.39%	2.91%	1.91%	1.11%	0.70%	0.45%	0.12%	0.12%
Kansas City Chiefs	20.37%	18.02%	14.78%	12.49%	9.64%	7.70%	5.88%	3.91%	3.14%	2.18%	1.17%	0.62%	0.10%
Oakland Raiders	16.20%	16.15%	14.22%	13.20%	10.12%	7.99%	6.78%	5.54%	4.09%	2.94%	1.66%	0.84%	0.27%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	12.60%	16.40%	18.33%	13.30%	10.51%	8.25%	6.59%	4.89%	3.50%	2.73%	1.42%	1.13%	0.35%
Miami Dolphins	4.50%	6.65%	8.42%	11.07%	12.66%	11.27%	10.74%	9.99%	8.09%	6.52%	4.77%	3.30%	2.02%
San Diego Chargers	4.57%	6.01%	8.09%	9.00%	9.54%	10.94%	11.15%	9.69%	9.41%	8.41%	7.04%	4.39%	1.76%
New York Jets	2.18%	3.75%	5.87%	8.17%	9.79%	10.51%	10.55%	11.78%	10.79%	8.44%	7.69%	6.11%	4.37%
Denver Broncos	2.43%	4.06%	6.28%	7.81%	8.76%	9.60%	11.15%	10.64%	10.04%	10.78%	9.55%	5.91%	2.99%
Houston Oilers	1.22%	2.36%	3.53%	5.94%	7.31%	9.00%	9.57%	10.31%	11.89%	11.53%	10.48%	10.72%	6.14%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.82%	1.90%	3.40%	5.41%	7.13%	9.54%	9.79%	10.93%	12.05%	11.86%	10.91%	10.26%	6.00%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.31%	0.69%	1.35%	2.13%	3.16%	5.02%	6.42%	8.08%	9.71%	12.01%	14.42%	20.34%	16.36%
Buffalo Bills	0.18%	0.48%	0.83%	1.75%	3.20%	3.73%	5.49%	7.62%	9.42%	12.35%	15.36%	15.87%	23.72%
Boston Patriots	0.06%	0.20%	0.41%	0.64%	1.36%	2.06%	2.98%	4.71%	6.76%	9.55%	15.08%	20.39%	35.80%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13
Minnesota Vikings	64.05%	18.38%	8.14%	4.70%	2.27%	1.20%	0.65%	0.40%	0.11%	0.04%	0.05%	—	0.01%
Los Angeles Rams	8.86%	18.35%	17.39%	14.43%	11.44%	9.65%	6.98%	5.19%	3.72%	2.27%	1.18%	0.43%	0.11%
Dallas Cowboys	7.93%	17.44%	16.69%	13.98%	12.51%	9.19%	7.04%	5.88%	4.12%	2.96%	1.48%	0.56%	0.22%
Detroit Lions	8.51%	12.69%	15.60%	16.98%	14.34%	10.88%	7.65%	5.84%	3.50%	2.20%	1.09%	0.53%	0.19%
San Francisco 49ers	3.11%	9.86%	11.16%	12.31%	12.46%	13.37%	11.10%	9.02%	7.54%	4.69%	3.00%	1.77%	0.61%
New York Giants	3.52%	9.07%	10.14%	10.78%	11.14%	11.60%	11.84%	9.23%	8.00%	6.95%	4.10%	2.43%	1.20%
St. Louis Cardinals	1.86%	6.25%	8.33%	8.73%	11.55%	11.29%	11.73%	11.42%	10.23%	8.70%	5.34%	3.17%	1.40%
Atlanta Falcons	0.89%	3.46%	5.04%	6.38%	8.20%	10.87%	11.96%	13.05%	13.61%	10.41%	8.07%	5.45%	2.61%
Washington Redskins	0.81%	3.25%	4.64%	6.17%	7.35%	9.38%	10.99%	11.49%	12.05%	13.85%	9.51%	6.27%	4.24%
Green Bay Packers	0.42%	0.99%	1.91%	3.65%	5.45%	7.28%	10.54%	13.70%	14.24%	14.57%	13.31%	9.11%	4.83%
Chicago Bears	0.03%	0.14%	0.53%	1.05%	1.85%	2.84%	4.86%	7.50%	10.98%	14.79%	20.68%	19.05%	15.70%
New Orleans Saints	0.01%	0.07%	0.18%	0.38%	0.71%	1.23%	2.49%	3.89%	6.40%	9.66%	17.75%	26.92%	30.31%
Philadelphia Eagles	—	0.05%	0.25%	0.46%	0.73%	1.22%	2.17%	3.39%	5.50%	8.91%	14.44%	24.31%	38.57%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26
Minnesota Vikings	48.57%	18.97%	10.68%	6.35%	4.91%	2.89%	2.23%	1.72%	1.05%	0.73%	0.53%	0.46%	0.36%	0.19%	0.12%	0.10%	0.03%	0.03%	0.05%	0.01%	0.01%	—	0.01%	—	—	—
Baltimore Colts	12.37%	17.30%	11.85%	11.79%	7.91%	7.55%	5.54%	4.76%	3.95%	3.70%	2.69%	2.40%	1.70%	1.72%	1.32%	0.93%	0.61%	0.64%	0.36%	0.34%	0.22%	0.19%	0.07%	0.05%	0.03%	0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	6.94%	10.02%	8.97%	9.08%	7.87%	7.40%	6.19%	6.25%	5.51%	4.89%	4.41%	4.09%	3.64%	2.92%	2.59%	1.98%	1.99%	1.30%	1.30%	0.89%	0.69%	0.46%	0.36%	0.16%	0.10%	—
Los Angeles Rams	5.46%	7.25%	9.54%	8.26%	9.41%	8.04%	7.50%	6.30%	5.91%	5.16%	4.51%	4.32%	3.65%	2.89%	2.72%	1.92%	1.97%	1.39%	1.12%	0.91%	0.77%	0.44%	0.27%	0.16%	0.07%	0.06%
Dallas Cowboys	4.91%	6.95%	9.12%	8.07%	8.81%	7.51%	7.43%	6.85%	6.23%	5.25%	4.73%	3.80%	3.90%	3.05%	2.75%	2.58%	2.03%	1.57%	1.39%	1.09%	0.74%	0.53%	0.38%	0.15%	0.11%	0.07%
Detroit Lions	5.15%	5.94%	7.60%	7.57%	8.18%	8.03%	8.55%	7.37%	7.12%	5.49%	5.14%	4.60%	3.91%	3.01%	2.97%	2.34%	1.80%	1.48%	1.09%	0.90%	0.53%	0.52%	0.34%	0.25%	0.06%	0.06%
Oakland Raiders	4.65%	8.48%	7.80%	8.39%	7.33%	7.19%	6.83%	6.44%	5.50%	5.44%	4.63%	4.10%	4.10%	3.29%	3.11%	2.78%	2.08%	2.11%	1.59%	1.37%	1.10%	0.65%	0.45%	0.34%	0.16%	0.09%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	3.78%	6.90%	6.95%	8.33%	7.34%	8.60%	7.22%	6.76%	6.02%	5.66%	4.66%	4.70%	3.99%	3.58%	2.95%	2.85%	1.94%	1.67%	1.86%	1.35%	0.79%	0.88%	0.54%	0.41%	0.20%	0.07%
San Francisco 49ers	1.63%	3.40%	4.97%	5.65%	6.09%	5.90%	6.42%	5.68%	6.37%	6.20%	6.26%	5.66%	5.32%	5.11%	4.57%	4.17%	3.61%	3.10%	2.58%	2.05%	1.57%	1.29%	1.07%	0.80%	0.33%	0.20%
New York Giants	1.89%	3.22%	4.70%	4.47%	5.66%	5.47%	5.88%	5.80%	5.66%	5.62%	6.10%	5.42%	5.45%	5.27%	4.61%	3.94%	3.73%	3.89%	3.13%	2.69%	2.04%	1.95%	1.37%	0.92%	0.70%	0.42%
St. Louis Cardinals	1.04%	2.10%	3.30%	3.44%	4.36%	4.31%	4.67%	5.25%	5.71%	6.03%	5.94%	5.25%	5.59%	5.55%	5.70%	5.29%	4.71%	4.72%	3.87%	3.68%	2.71%	2.34%	1.66%	1.28%	0.95%	0.55%
Miami Dolphins	0.82%	2.01%	2.96%	3.41%	3.94%	4.43%	4.88%	5.53%	5.60%	6.61%	5.81%	5.82%	5.39%	5.93%	5.01%	5.24%	4.84%	4.46%	3.84%	3.35%	2.68%	2.39%	2.06%	1.48%	1.01%	0.50%
San Diego Chargers	0.80%	2.21%	2.64%	3.23%	3.33%	4.32%	4.21%	4.58%	4.64%	5.12%	5.05%	5.73%	5.74%	5.86%	4.96%	5.53%	4.66%	5.17%	4.38%	4.59%	3.75%	3.28%	2.33%	2.12%	1.04%	0.73%
Atlanta Falcons	0.34%	0.90%	1.72%	2.07%	2.82%	2.84%	3.41%	3.83%	4.19%	4.56%	5.29%	5.46%	5.58%	5.81%	6.52%	5.91%	6.19%	5.92%	4.99%	5.15%	3.99%	3.74%	3.29%	2.46%	1.83%	1.19%
Denver Broncos	0.29%	1.21%	1.61%	2.26%	2.32%	3.37%	3.68%	4.16%	4.43%	4.24%	5.03%	4.98%	5.43%	5.54%	5.68%	5.31%	5.52%	5.49%	5.45%	5.46%	5.22%	4.25%	3.47%	2.61%	1.80%	1.19%
New York Jets	0.39%	0.91%	1.40%	2.11%	2.47%	2.87%	3.39%	3.90%	4.46%	5.00%	4.87%	5.68%	5.08%	6.22%	5.70%	6.18%	5.86%	5.73%	4.91%	5.01%	4.33%	3.64%	3.39%	2.94%	2.20%	1.36%
Washington Redskins	0.41%	0.79%	1.61%	1.85%	2.54%	2.67%	3.40%	3.50%	3.94%	3.96%	5.04%	4.57%	5.61%	5.36%	5.45%	5.31%	6.11%	6.04%	6.39%	5.41%	4.53%	4.60%	3.55%	3.25%	2.24%	1.87%
Houston Oilers	0.14%	0.67%	0.82%	0.98%	1.27%	1.87%	2.19%	3.05%	3.18%	3.59%	4.16%	4.55%	4.82%	4.80%	5.01%	5.68%	6.27%	6.02%	6.22%	6.48%	5.75%	6.14%	5.44%	4.97%	3.55%	2.38%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.15%	0.38%	0.61%	0.98%	1.04%	1.66%	1.92%	2.74%	3.11%	3.78%	3.86%	4.89%	4.65%	5.48%	5.33%	6.06%	6.07%	6.40%	6.18%	6.73%	6.52%	5.73%	5.35%	4.86%	3.39%	2.13%
Green Bay Packers	0.19%	0.19%	0.61%	0.80%	1.13%	1.20%	2.04%	2.41%	2.85%	3.23%	3.98%	3.95%	4.87%	5.33%	5.96%	6.31%	7.03%	6.80%	6.48%	7.04%	5.87%	6.40%	5.05%	4.38%	3.43%	2.47%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.02%	0.11%	0.21%	0.34%	0.45%	0.63%	0.72%	0.97%	1.36%	1.56%	2.05%	2.72%	2.61%	3.30%	4.09%	4.50%	4.65%	5.24%	6.49%	6.29%	7.44%	8.22%	9.68%	9.50%	8.73%	8.12%
Buffalo Bills	0.03%	0.05%	0.17%	0.27%	0.24%	0.46%	0.56%	0.87%	1.01%	1.45%	1.70%	2.49%	2.38%	2.88%	3.47%	4.49%	4.71%	5.14%	6.10%	6.75%	8.53%	7.86%	8.90%	9.21%	10.84%	9.44%
Chicago Bears	0.03%	—	0.07%	0.16%	0.25%	0.40%	0.54%	0.50%	1.12%	1.22%	1.39%	1.74%	2.58%	2.73%	3.72%	3.89%	4.61%	5.65%	6.82%	7.19%	9.51%	8.83%	9.58%	9.36%	8.94%	9.17%
Boston Patriots	—	0.03%	0.04%	0.08%	0.14%	0.16%	0.21%	0.30%	0.40%	0.63%	0.87%	1.02%	1.40%	1.65%	1.99%	2.72%	3.16%	3.76%	4.93%	5.11%	7.61%	8.72%	10.69%	12.77%	16.08%	15.53%
New Orleans Saints	—	0.01%	0.05%	0.02%	0.08%	0.08%	0.17%	0.16%	0.39%	0.46%	0.68%	0.79%	1.22%	1.24%	1.88%	2.15%	3.14%	3.28%	4.34%	5.35%	6.69%	9.16%	10.38%	13.52%	14.92%	19.84%
Philadelphia Eagles	—	—	—	0.04%	0.11%	0.15%	0.22%	0.32%	0.29%	0.42%	0.62%	0.81%	1.03%	1.29%	1.82%	1.84%	2.68%	3.00%	4.14%	4.81%	6.41%	7.79%	10.32%	12.05%	17.29%	22.55%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Baltimore Colts	34.56%	25.93%	13.29%	7.37%	18.85%
Kansas City Chiefs	20.37%	15.98%	7.44%	18.68%	37.53%
Oakland Raiders	16.20%	13.87%	5.82%	20.38%	43.73%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	12.60%	19.18%	37.19%	2.31%	28.72%
San Diego Chargers	4.57%	4.87%	2.89%	12.14%	75.53%
Miami Dolphins	4.50%	6.23%	4.18%	12.29%	72.80%
Denver Broncos	2.43%	3.29%	2.27%	9.57%	82.44%
New York Jets	2.18%	3.79%	3.26%	8.61%	82.16%
Houston Oilers	1.22%	2.92%	9.32%	3.04%	83.50%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.82%	2.28%	9.41%	2.56%	84.93%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.31%	0.85%	3.90%	1.06%	93.88%
Buffalo Bills	0.18%	0.52%	0.66%	1.41%	97.23%
Boston Patriots	0.06%	0.29%	0.37%	0.58%	98.70%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Minnesota Vikings	64.05%	15.36%	4.63%	10.71%	5.25%
Los Angeles Rams	8.86%	21.38%	25.93%	6.82%	37.01%
Detroit Lions	8.51%	4.06%	1.96%	35.68%	49.79%
Dallas Cowboys	7.93%	20.56%	18.64%	8.65%	44.22%
New York Giants	3.52%	10.80%	9.84%	8.25%	67.59%
San Francisco 49ers	3.11%	11.37%	16.11%	8.53%	60.88%
St. Louis Cardinals	1.86%	7.45%	8.85%	6.79%	75.05%
Atlanta Falcons	0.89%	4.22%	7.61%	4.16%	83.12%
Washington Redskins	0.81%	4.07%	5.23%	4.35%	85.54%
Green Bay Packers	0.42%	0.42%	0.31%	4.44%	94.41%
Chicago Bears	0.03%	0.09%	0.16%	1.14%	98.58%
New Orleans Saints	0.01%	0.10%	0.41%	0.19%	99.29%
Philadelphia Eagles	—	0.12%	0.32%	0.29%	99.27%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Minnesota Vikings	94.75%	73.80%	51.92%	38.72%
Baltimore Colts	81.15%	54.99%	33.65%	11.85%
Detroit Lions	50.21%	31.97%	14.16%	9.70%
Los Angeles Rams	62.99%	27.95%	12.50%	8.24%
Dallas Cowboys	55.78%	26.18%	9.60%	5.82%
Kansas City Chiefs	62.47%	36.14%	18.50%	5.63%
Oakland Raiders	56.27%	32.39%	16.57%	5.35%
San Francisco 49ers	39.12%	14.55%	5.99%	3.61%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	71.28%	27.55%	12.29%	3.36%
Miami Dolphins	27.20%	14.79%	6.82%	2.15%
New York Giants	32.41%	10.80%	2.82%	1.37%
San Diego Chargers	24.47%	12.05%	5.15%	1.37%
St. Louis Cardinals	24.95%	7.28%	1.85%	1.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	15.07%	5.67%	2.65%	0.62%
New York Jets	17.84%	7.05%	2.28%	0.54%
Denver Broncos	17.56%	5.28%	1.32%	0.23%
Washington Redskins	14.46%	3.26%	0.65%	0.22%
Atlanta Falcons	16.88%	2.32%	0.29%	0.08%
Houston Oilers	16.50%	2.68%	0.53%	0.07%
Green Bay Packers	5.59%	1.42%	0.13%	0.03%
Pittsburgh Steelers	6.12%	0.80%	0.14%	0.02%
Chicago Bears	1.42%	0.38%	0.06%	0.01%
New Orleans Saints	0.71%	0.03%	0.01%	—
Philadelphia Eagles	0.73%	0.06%	0.02%	—
Buffalo Bills	2.77%	0.39%	0.07%	—
Boston Patriots	1.30%	0.22%	0.03%	—

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Boston Patriots	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers
Baltimore Colts				2.44%	12.70%	6.57%	3.32%	11.14%			11.02%	1.18%	6.62%
Boston Patriots				0.01%	0.06%	0.04%	0.01%	0.04%			0.05%		0.01%
Buffalo Bills				0.02%	0.04%	0.05%	0.04%	0.13%			0.06%	0.01%	0.04%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.13%		0.03%			0.47%		1.46%	0.40%	0.42%	1.33%		0.43%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	6.22%	0.13%	0.32%			2.22%		7.37%	1.70%	1.41%	5.72%		2.46%
Denver Broncos	1.45%	0.12%	0.15%	0.41%	1.42%		0.50%		0.49%	0.50%		0.24%
Houston Oilers	0.49%	0.02%	0.05%			0.29%		0.55%	0.17%	0.22%	0.66%		0.23%
Kansas City Chiefs	6.53%	0.30%	0.78%	2.64%	12.17%		3.98%		4.37%	3.64%		1.73%
Miami Dolphins				0.50%	2.95%	1.69%	0.70%	3.64%			3.33%	0.31%	1.67%
New York Jets				0.24%	1.13%	0.87%	0.44%	1.78%			1.53%	0.14%	0.92%
Oakland Raiders	6.92%	0.36%	0.74%	2.34%	9.96%		3.76%		3.81%	3.27%		1.23%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.16%		0.01%			0.08%		0.22%	0.06%	0.05%	0.18%		0.04%
San Diego Chargers	3.26%	0.15%	0.30%	0.80%	3.30%		1.07%		1.41%	1.28%		0.48%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		0.02%	0.39%	0.24%	0.04%		0.60%		0.40%	0.01%		0.40%	0.22%
Chicago Bears			0.11%			0.02%			0.13%			0.08%	0.04%
Dallas Cowboys	2.47%	0.42%		8.40%	1.76%	5.67%	3.73%	0.09%			3.64%
Detroit Lions	1.64%		9.38%			3.95%		0.06%	6.48%	0.14%	2.62%	4.73%	2.97%
Green Bay Packers	0.07%		0.37%			0.12%			0.31%	0.03%	0.08%	0.25%	0.19%
Los Angeles Rams		0.09%	6.60%	2.40%	0.35%		8.19%		4.16%	0.10%		3.61%	2.45%
Minnesota Vikings	8.01%		9.30%			21.18%		0.43%	8.06%	0.32%	15.48%	6.67%	4.35%
New Orleans Saints									0.03%
New York Giants	1.17%	0.21%		3.20%	0.76%	2.06%	1.93%	0.02%			1.45%
Philadelphia Eagles				0.04%		0.01%	0.01%
San Francisco 49ers		0.06%	3.45%	1.12%	0.23%		4.67%		2.04%	0.07%		1.93%	0.98%
St. Louis Cardinals	0.76%	0.17%		2.03%	0.64%	1.50%	1.24%	0.06%			0.88%
Washington Redskins	0.44%	0.07%		0.81%	0.39%	0.53%	0.58%	0.02%			0.42%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Boston Patriots	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers
Baltimore Colts		0.03%	0.09%	1.32%	6.66%	1.33%	0.94%	8.37%	3.17%	1.62%	7.35%	0.24%	2.53%
Boston Patriots											0.03%
Buffalo Bills	0.01%				0.02%			0.02%			0.01%	0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.77%	0.01%	0.01%		0.26%	0.15%	0.01%	0.44%	0.22%	0.16%	0.44%		0.18%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	3.62%	0.02%	0.10%	0.24%		0.58%	0.11%	2.23%	1.45%	0.91%	2.07%	0.02%	0.94%
Denver Broncos	0.37%			0.04%	0.23%		0.02%	0.21%	0.07%	0.08%	0.19%		0.11%
Houston Oilers	0.12%				0.06%	0.02%		0.11%	0.08%	0.04%	0.08%		0.02%
Kansas City Chiefs	6.68%	0.05%	0.05%	0.38%	2.58%	0.73%	0.34%		1.53%	0.81%	3.73%	0.13%	1.49%
Miami Dolphins	2.11%	0.01%	0.01%	0.26%	1.30%	0.15%	0.26%	1.20%		0.21%	0.81%	0.10%	0.40%
New York Jets	0.67%	0.01%	0.01%	0.10%	0.46%	0.09%	0.12%	0.34%	0.10%		0.30%	0.01%	0.07%
Oakland Raiders	5.67%	0.04%	0.04%	0.52%	2.75%	0.70%	0.25%	3.68%	1.00%	0.70%		0.08%	1.14%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.01%				0.01%		0.01%	0.04%	0.01%	0.02%	0.02%		0.02%
San Diego Chargers	1.31%	0.02%	0.01%	0.16%	0.93%	0.21%	0.09%	1.00%	0.34%	0.22%	0.79%	0.07%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons			0.05%	0.06%		0.02%	0.12%		0.02%		0.01%		0.01%
Chicago Bears						0.02%	0.03%				0.01%
Dallas Cowboys	0.27%	0.02%		0.87%	0.07%	1.65%	4.47%		0.74%		0.85%	0.39%	0.27%
Detroit Lions	0.27%		1.23%		0.08%	2.28%	8.27%		0.58%	0.01%	1.00%	0.26%	0.18%
Green Bay Packers			0.02%	0.01%		0.04%	0.06%
Los Angeles Rams	0.18%	0.08%	1.93%	2.26%	0.23%		4.71%	0.01%	0.90%		1.25%	0.69%	0.26%
Minnesota Vikings	1.05%	0.18%	11.78%	13.16%	0.83%	9.65%		0.01%	5.10%	0.03%	4.90%	3.65%	1.58%
New Orleans Saints			0.01%
New York Giants	0.11%	0.02%	0.36%	0.21%		0.44%	1.18%				0.33%	0.11%	0.06%
Philadelphia Eagles				0.01%			0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	0.06%	0.02%	0.91%	1.09%	0.07%	0.86%	1.98%		0.49%			0.31%	0.20%
St. Louis Cardinals	0.05%		0.22%	0.10%		0.31%	0.83%		0.12%		0.17%		0.05%
Washington Redskins	0.04%		0.07%	0.04%	0.01%	0.18%	0.22%		0.03%		0.04%	0.02%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Baltimore Colts	Boston Patriots	Buffalo Bills	Chicago Bears	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	Denver Broncos	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Rams	Miami Dolphins	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		0.01%											0.03%		0.02%				0.01%	0.01%
Baltimore Colts	0.07%							1.40%		1.80%	0.02%			1.50%		5.08%	0.01%	0.56%			0.01%			0.93%	0.30%	0.17%
Chicago Bears		0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.01%				0.01%			0.09%		0.08%				0.11%		0.20%		0.05%						0.05%	0.01%	0.01%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	0.03%							0.33%		0.41%	0.03%			0.49%		1.48%		0.13%						0.26%	0.12%	0.08%
Dallas Cowboys		1.68%				0.28%	0.75%		0.10%			0.03%	1.15%		0.37%				0.18%	0.95%		0.05%	0.28%
Denver Broncos								0.04%		0.02%				0.03%		0.07%		0.01%						0.03%	0.03%
Detroit Lions		3.25%	0.01%	0.04%		0.32%	1.15%		0.17%			0.13%	1.61%		0.63%				0.26%	1.55%			0.58%
Green Bay Packers							0.02%													0.01%
Houston Oilers	0.01%							0.01%		0.01%				0.01%		0.02%		0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.02%				0.03%			0.75%		0.87%				0.78%		2.22%		0.25%						0.44%	0.19%	0.08%
Los Angeles Rams		2.61%				0.22%	1.18%		0.14%			0.08%	1.67%		0.43%				0.16%	1.31%			0.44%
Miami Dolphins	0.01%							0.24%		0.23%	0.02%			0.31%		1.02%		0.10%						0.16%	0.05%	0.01%
Minnesota Vikings		12.23%	0.02%	0.03%		1.03%	5.17%		0.62%			0.19%	7.16%		2.83%				0.97%	6.26%		0.06%	2.15%
New York Giants		0.38%				0.02%	0.23%		0.01%				0.25%		0.15%				0.04%	0.21%			0.08%
New York Jets								0.04%		0.12%	0.01%			0.05%		0.26%		0.01%						0.04%	0.01%
Oakland Raiders	0.06%				0.01%			0.66%		0.72%	0.02%			0.86%		2.22%		0.26%			0.01%			0.37%	0.09%	0.07%
Pittsburgh Steelers								0.01%								0.01%
San Diego Chargers								0.21%		0.20%				0.12%		0.62%		0.07%						0.10%	0.04%	0.01%
San Francisco 49ers		1.27%				0.10%	0.33%		0.03%			0.02%	0.71%		0.16%				0.10%	0.69%		0.01%	0.19%
St. Louis Cardinals		0.30%				0.04%	0.07%		0.02%			0.01%	0.23%		0.06%				0.02%	0.21%			0.05%
Washington Redskins		0.06%				0.02%	0.03%						0.06%		0.02%					0.02%			0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Minnesota Vikings	76.76%	47.99%	35.55%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Baltimore Colts	70.13%	44.63%	15.56%	Won Super Bowl
Detroit Lions	54.12%	21.07%	14.79%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Dallas Cowboys	45.88%	20.12%	11.73%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Oakland Raiders	59.57%	25.54%	7.49%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
San Francisco 49ers	23.24%	10.82%	6.63%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Miami Dolphins	40.43%	16.17%	4.75%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Cincinnati Bengals	29.87%	13.66%	3.50%	Eliminated in Divisional Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Cincinnati Bengals	Miami Dolphins	Oakland Raiders
Baltimore Colts		70.13%
Cincinnati Bengals	29.87%
Miami Dolphins				40.43%
Oakland Raiders			59.57%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Minnesota Vikings	San Francisco 49ers
Dallas Cowboys		45.88%
Detroit Lions	54.12%
Minnesota Vikings				76.76%
San Francisco 49ers			23.24%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Cincinnati Bengals	Miami Dolphins	Oakland Raiders
Baltimore Colts			17.61%	27.02%
Cincinnati Bengals			6.65%	7.01%
Miami Dolphins	10.49%	5.68%
Oakland Raiders	15.01%	10.53%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Minnesota Vikings	San Francisco 49ers
Dallas Cowboys			14.20%	5.92%
Detroit Lions			14.57%	6.50%
Minnesota Vikings	21.29%	26.70%
San Francisco 49ers	4.47%	6.35%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Cincinnati Bengals	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Miami Dolphins	Minnesota Vikings	Oakland Raiders	San Francisco 49ers
Baltimore Colts			4.09%	3.04%		6.35%		2.08%
Cincinnati Bengals			1.05%	0.75%		1.25%		0.45%
Dallas Cowboys	4.96%	1.67%			1.79%		3.31%
Detroit Lions	6.21%	2.06%			2.68%		3.84%
Miami Dolphins			1.33%	1.02%		1.79%		0.61%
Minnesota Vikings	14.95%	5.62%			5.90%		9.08%
Oakland Raiders			1.92%	1.47%		3.05%		1.05%
San Francisco 49ers	2.95%	0.81%			1.05%		1.82%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Minnesota Vikings 35.55% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

76.76%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Detroit Lions

Matchup

55.64%

Win Prob

64.70%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Baltimore Colts

Matchup

42.05%

Win Prob

70.19%

Baltimore Colts 15.56% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

70.13%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

60.54%

Win Prob

64.29%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

40.81%

Win Prob

29.81%

Detroit Lions 14.79% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

54.12%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

69.15%

Win Prob

35.30%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Baltimore Colts

Matchup

41.99%

Win Prob

67.14%

Dallas Cowboys 11.73% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Detroit Lions

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

45.88%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

70.58%

Win Prob

40.01%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Baltimore Colts

Matchup

42.28%

Win Prob

54.81%

Oakland Raiders 7.49% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

59.57%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Baltimore Colts

Matchup

58.77%

Win Prob

35.71%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

40.72%

Win Prob

25.14%

San Francisco 49ers 6.63% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

23.24%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Detroit Lions

Matchup

58.69%

Win Prob

49.42%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Baltimore Colts

Matchup

44.49%

Win Prob

58.65%

Miami Dolphins 4.75% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

40.43%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Baltimore Colts

Matchup

64.87%

Win Prob

37.33%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

37.68%

Win Prob

23.28%

Cincinnati Bengals 3.50% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Baltimore Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

29.87%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

51.32%

Win Prob

39.97%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

35.71%

Win Prob

18.20%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1970-09-20	@ New Orleans Saints	W 14-3	1516.15	1421.95	52.61%	41.68%	+28.67	1-0
1970-09-27	@ Green Bay Packers	L 24-27	1544.82	1476.70	48.91%	45.38%	-17.42	1-1
1970-10-04	San Francisco 49ers	W 21-20	1527.40	1501.82	58.51%	35.79%	+7.48	2-1
1970-10-11	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 0-13	1534.88	1568.14	34.78%	59.52%	-26.22	2-2
1970-10-18	@ Denver Broncos	L 10-24	1508.66	1519.52	37.77%	56.53%	-29.45	2-3
1970-10-25	New Orleans Saints	W 32-14	1479.21	1388.05	66.68%	27.63%	+24.74	3-3
1970-11-01	Chicago Bears	L 14-23	1503.95	1361.44	72.21%	22.12%	-44.16	3-4
1970-11-08	@ Los Angeles Rams	T 10-10	1459.79	1616.09	20.78%	73.56%	+2.64	3-4
1970-11-15	@ Philadelphia Eagles	T 13-13	1462.43	1308.01	60.75%	33.55%	-1.34	3-4
1970-11-22	Los Angeles Rams	L 7-17	1461.09	1559.89	41.04%	53.25%	-26.93	3-5
1970-11-30	Miami Dolphins	L 7-20	1434.16	1501.63	45.48%	48.81%	-33.84	3-6
1970-12-06	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-24	1400.32	1549.21	21.49%	72.84%	-9.14	3-7
1970-12-13	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-16	1391.18	1372.72	57.55%	36.74%	+25.42	4-7
1970-12-20	Minnesota Vikings	L 7-37	1416.60	1786.05	12.76%	81.64%	-15.02	4-8
1970-09-20	@ San Diego Chargers	W 16-14	1563.19	1527.33	44.28%	50.01%	+14.52	1-0
1970-09-28	Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-44	1577.71	1605.48	51.16%	43.13%	-46.92	1-1
1970-10-04	@ Boston Patriots	W 14-6	1530.79	1443.20	51.68%	42.61%	+24.96	2-1
1970-10-11	@ Houston Oilers	W 24-20	1555.75	1508.71	45.88%	48.41%	+19.91	3-1
1970-10-18	@ New York Jets	W 29-22	1575.66	1496.03	50.55%	43.74%	+23.93	4-1
1970-10-25	Boston Patriots	W 27-3	1599.59	1361.94	80.28%	14.11%	+14.83	5-1
1970-11-01	Miami Dolphins	W 35-0	1614.42	1487.55	70.62%	23.71%	+29.74	6-1
1970-11-09	@ Green Bay Packers	W 13-10	1644.16	1487.04	61.10%	33.20%	+12.05	7-1
1970-11-15	Buffalo Bills	T 17-17	1656.21	1342.65	84.85%	9.60%	-3.82	7-1
1970-11-22	@ Miami Dolphins	L 17-34	1652.39	1445.17	67.18%	27.13%	-56.45	7-2
1970-11-29	Chicago Bears	W 21-20	1595.94	1403.22	76.82%	17.54%	+3.75	8-2
1970-12-06	Philadelphia Eagles	W 29-10	1599.69	1327.87	82.52%	11.89%	+11.15	9-2
1970-12-13	@ Buffalo Bills	W 20-14	1610.84	1278.99	79.01%	15.37%	+8.06	10-2
1970-12-19	New York Jets	W 35-20	1618.90	1487.19	71.12%	23.21%	+19.07	11-2
1970-09-20	Miami Dolphins	W 27-14	1446.49	1415.70	59.19%	35.10%	+26.46	1-0
1970-09-27	New York Jets	L 21-31	1472.95	1539.68	45.58%	48.71%	-29.75	1-1
1970-10-04	Baltimore Colts	L 6-14	1443.20	1530.79	42.61%	51.68%	-24.96	1-2
1970-10-11	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-23	1418.24	1608.28	17.77%	76.60%	-13.68	1-3
1970-10-18	New York Giants	L 0-16	1404.56	1426.50	51.98%	42.31%	-42.62	1-4
1970-10-25	@ Baltimore Colts	L 3-27	1361.94	1599.59	14.11%	80.28%	-14.82	1-5
1970-11-01	Buffalo Bills	L 10-45	1347.12	1349.25	54.75%	39.54%	-66.26	1-6
1970-11-08	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 0-31	1280.86	1523.81	13.74%	80.65%	-16.42	1-7
1970-11-15	San Diego Chargers	L 14-16	1264.44	1569.87	17.46%	76.91%	-5.28	1-8
1970-11-22	@ New York Jets	L 3-17	1259.16	1445.46	18.08%	76.28%	-14.44	1-9
1970-11-29	@ Buffalo Bills	W 14-10	1244.72	1314.68	30.14%	64.16%	+26.16	2-9
1970-12-06	@ Miami Dolphins	L 20-37	1270.88	1535.46	12.33%	82.08%	-10.93	2-10
1970-12-13	Minnesota Vikings	L 14-35	1259.95	1780.31	5.79%	88.75%	-5.74	2-11
1970-12-20	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 7-45	1254.21	1525.92	11.90%	82.52%	-15.78	2-12
1970-09-20	Denver Broncos	L 10-25	1430.08	1456.23	51.39%	42.90%	-40.81	0-1
1970-09-27	Los Angeles Rams	L 0-19	1389.27	1578.95	29.18%	65.13%	-26.78	0-2
1970-10-04	New York Jets	W 34-31	1362.49	1569.42	27.16%	67.15%	+23.70	1-2
1970-10-11	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-23	1386.19	1302.92	51.07%	43.22%	-37.77	1-3
1970-10-18	Miami Dolphins	L 14-33	1348.42	1517.25	31.72%	62.58%	-29.02	1-4
1970-10-25	@ New York Jets	W 10-6	1319.40	1472.10	21.13%	73.21%	+29.85	2-4
1970-11-01	@ Boston Patriots	W 45-10	1349.25	1347.12	39.54%	54.75%	+66.25	3-4
1970-11-08	Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-43	1415.50	1326.89	66.38%	27.93%	-72.85	3-5
1970-11-15	@ Baltimore Colts	T 17-17	1342.65	1656.21	9.60%	84.85%	+3.82	3-5
1970-11-22	@ Chicago Bears	L 13-31	1346.47	1371.44	35.87%	58.42%	-31.79	3-6
1970-11-29	Boston Patriots	L 10-14	1314.68	1244.72	64.16%	30.14%	-26.16	3-7
1970-12-06	@ New York Giants	L 6-20	1288.52	1561.15	11.84%	82.57%	-9.53	3-8
1970-12-13	Baltimore Colts	L 14-20	1278.99	1610.84	15.37%	79.01%	-8.06	3-9
1970-12-20	@ Miami Dolphins	L 7-45	1270.93	1563.66	10.69%	83.74%	-14.19	3-10
1970-09-19	@ New York Giants	W 24-16	1384.76	1487.80	26.28%	68.03%	+39.21	1-0
1970-09-27	Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-16	1423.97	1377.11	61.28%	33.02%	+13.84	2-0
1970-10-05	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-28	1437.81	1668.61	14.59%	79.79%	-11.70	2-1
1970-10-11	Minnesota Vikings	L 0-24	1426.11	1706.09	19.67%	74.68%	-20.54	2-2
1970-10-18	San Diego Chargers	L 7-20	1405.57	1468.32	46.15%	48.14%	-34.31	2-3
1970-10-25	Detroit Lions	L 10-16	1371.26	1660.95	18.80%	75.55%	-9.82	2-4
1970-11-01	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 23-14	1361.44	1503.95	22.12%	72.21%	+44.16	3-4
1970-11-08	San Francisco 49ers	L 16-37	1405.60	1592.31	29.53%	64.78%	-28.49	3-5
1970-11-15	@ Green Bay Packers	L 19-20	1377.11	1474.99	26.87%	67.45%	-5.67	3-6
1970-11-22	Buffalo Bills	W 31-13	1371.44	1346.47	58.42%	35.87%	+31.78	4-6
1970-11-29	@ Baltimore Colts	L 20-21	1403.22	1595.94	17.54%	76.82%	-3.74	4-7
1970-12-05	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-16	1399.48	1777.76	6.82%	87.69%	-2.56	4-8
1970-12-13	Green Bay Packers	W 35-17	1396.92	1483.08	42.81%	51.48%	+44.78	5-8
1970-12-20	@ New Orleans Saints	W 24-3	1441.70	1263.20	63.78%	30.53%	+29.41	6-8
1970-09-20	Oakland Raiders	W 31-21	1399.13	1621.70	25.42%	68.90%	+44.41	1-0
1970-09-27	@ Detroit Lions	L 3-38	1443.54	1647.58	16.62%	77.75%	-21.03	1-1
1970-10-04	Houston Oilers	L 13-20	1422.51	1483.39	46.42%	47.87%	-25.32	1-2
1970-10-11	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 27-30	1397.19	1589.64	17.56%	76.80%	-6.50	1-3
1970-10-18	Kansas City Chiefs	L 19-27	1390.69	1621.96	24.48%	69.85%	-14.66	1-4
1970-10-25	@ Washington Redskins	L 0-20	1376.03	1503.80	23.62%	70.71%	-22.40	1-5
1970-11-02	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-21	1353.63	1357.39	38.73%	55.56%	-26.74	1-6
1970-11-08	@ Buffalo Bills	W 43-14	1326.89	1415.50	27.93%	66.38%	+72.86	2-6
1970-11-15	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 14-10	1399.75	1541.64	35.18%	59.12%	+24.14	3-6
1970-11-22	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-7	1423.89	1378.09	61.14%	33.16%	+36.10	4-6
1970-11-29	New Orleans Saints	W 26-6	1459.99	1304.09	73.52%	20.82%	+19.81	5-6
1970-12-06	@ San Diego Chargers	W 17-14	1479.80	1541.71	31.13%	63.17%	+22.31	6-6
1970-12-13	@ Houston Oilers	W 30-20	1502.11	1366.92	58.23%	36.07%	+23.81	7-6
1970-12-20	Boston Patriots	W 45-7	1525.92	1254.21	82.52%	11.90%	+15.78	8-6
1970-09-21	New York Jets	W 31-21	1577.66	1564.35	56.86%	37.44%	+24.67	1-0
1970-09-27	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 31-34	1602.33	1481.91	56.24%	38.05%	-19.91	1-1
1970-10-03	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 15-7	1582.42	1310.14	82.55%	11.86%	+7.22	2-1
1970-10-11	Cincinnati Bengals	W 30-27	1589.64	1397.19	76.80%	17.56%	+6.50	3-1
1970-10-18	Detroit Lions	L 24-41	1596.14	1616.88	52.15%	42.14%	-44.07	3-2
1970-10-25	@ Miami Dolphins	W 28-0	1552.07	1546.28	40.05%	54.24%	+58.73	4-2
1970-11-01	San Diego Chargers	L 10-27	1610.80	1501.29	68.75%	25.57%	-57.77	4-3
1970-11-08	@ Oakland Raiders	L 20-23	1553.03	1613.47	31.31%	62.99%	-11.39	4-4
1970-11-15	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-14	1541.64	1399.75	59.12%	35.18%	-24.13	4-5
1970-11-22	Houston Oilers	W 28-14	1517.51	1376.59	72.06%	22.28%	+17.70	5-5
1970-11-29	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 9-28	1535.21	1341.98	65.56%	28.76%	-58.24	5-6
1970-12-07	@ Houston Oilers	W 21-10	1476.97	1396.88	50.62%	43.67%	+29.96	6-6
1970-12-12	Dallas Cowboys	L 2-6	1506.93	1623.96	38.52%	55.78%	-16.03	6-7
1970-12-20	@ Denver Broncos	W 27-13	1490.90	1446.05	45.57%	48.72%	+37.48	7-7
1970-09-20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-7	1576.97	1397.32	63.92%	30.39%	+20.21	1-0
1970-09-27	New York Giants	W 28-10	1597.18	1448.59	72.81%	21.52%	+19.41	2-0
1970-10-04	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 7-20	1616.59	1420.17	65.93%	28.38%	-48.45	2-1
1970-10-11	Atlanta Falcons	W 13-0	1568.14	1534.88	59.52%	34.78%	+26.22	3-1
1970-10-18	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-54	1594.36	1726.62	23.16%	71.18%	-31.45	3-2
1970-10-25	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-16	1562.91	1636.63	29.69%	64.62%	+43.68	4-2
1970-11-01	Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-17	1606.59	1277.03	85.63%	8.83%	+3.81	5-2
1970-11-08	@ New York Giants	L 20-23	1610.40	1541.30	49.05%	45.24%	-17.46	5-3
1970-11-16	St. Louis Cardinals	L 0-38	1592.94	1540.23	62.02%	32.28%	-77.97	5-4
1970-11-22	@ Washington Redskins	W 45-21	1514.97	1544.71	35.24%	59.06%	+59.05	6-4
1970-11-26	Green Bay Packers	W 16-3	1574.02	1476.02	67.46%	26.85%	+20.45	7-4
1970-12-06	Washington Redskins	W 34-0	1594.47	1468.98	70.47%	23.86%	+29.49	8-4
1970-12-12	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 6-2	1623.96	1506.93	55.78%	38.52%	+16.04	9-4
1970-12-20	Houston Oilers	W 52-10	1640.00	1343.11	83.97%	10.46%	+14.60	10-4
1970-09-20	@ Buffalo Bills	W 25-10	1456.23	1430.08	42.90%	51.39%	+40.81	1-0
1970-09-27	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 16-13	1497.04	1317.02	75.73%	18.62%	+6.88	2-0
1970-10-04	Kansas City Chiefs	W 26-13	1503.92	1652.41	34.32%	59.98%	+44.14	3-0
1970-10-11	@ Oakland Raiders	L 23-35	1548.06	1545.27	39.63%	54.66%	-28.54	3-1
1970-10-18	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-10	1519.52	1508.66	56.53%	37.77%	+29.44	4-1
1970-10-25	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-19	1548.96	1546.63	39.57%	54.72%	-18.40	4-2
1970-11-01	Washington Redskins	L 3-19	1530.56	1526.20	55.64%	38.65%	-45.50	4-3
1970-11-08	@ San Diego Chargers	L 21-24	1485.06	1559.06	29.66%	64.65%	-10.81	4-4
1970-11-15	Oakland Raiders	L 19-24	1474.25	1624.86	34.04%	60.26%	-15.93	4-5
1970-11-22	@ New Orleans Saints	W 31-6	1458.32	1344.63	55.32%	38.98%	+40.54	5-5
1970-11-29	@ Houston Oilers	L 21-31	1498.86	1358.88	58.86%	35.43%	-38.00	5-6
1970-12-06	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 0-16	1460.86	1652.63	17.62%	76.74%	-15.06	5-7
1970-12-13	San Diego Chargers	T 17-17	1445.80	1519.40	44.60%	49.69%	+0.25	5-7
1970-12-20	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 13-27	1446.05	1490.90	48.72%	45.57%	-37.48	5-8
1970-09-20	@ Green Bay Packers	W 40-0	1584.04	1540.24	45.42%	48.87%	+63.54	1-0
1970-09-27	Cincinnati Bengals	W 38-3	1647.58	1443.54	77.75%	16.62%	+21.03	2-0
1970-10-05	Chicago Bears	W 28-14	1668.61	1437.81	79.79%	14.59%	+11.70	3-0
1970-10-11	@ Washington Redskins	L 10-31	1680.31	1466.55	67.93%	26.39%	-63.43	3-1
1970-10-18	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 41-24	1616.88	1596.14	42.14%	52.15%	+44.07	4-1
1970-10-25	@ Chicago Bears	W 16-10	1660.95	1371.26	75.55%	18.80%	+9.82	5-1
1970-11-01	Minnesota Vikings	L 17-30	1670.77	1772.73	40.60%	53.69%	-30.39	5-2
1970-11-08	@ New Orleans Saints	L 17-19	1640.38	1344.85	76.06%	18.29%	-21.94	5-3
1970-11-15	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 20-24	1618.44	1818.66	16.92%	77.44%	-7.24	5-4
1970-11-22	San Francisco 49ers	W 28-7	1611.20	1637.45	51.37%	42.92%	+40.72	6-4
1970-11-26	Oakland Raiders	W 28-14	1651.92	1651.96	55.04%	39.26%	+30.54	7-4
1970-12-06	St. Louis Cardinals	W 16-3	1682.46	1626.37	62.45%	31.85%	+24.11	8-4
1970-12-14	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 28-23	1706.57	1641.60	48.46%	45.83%	+21.14	9-4
1970-12-20	Green Bay Packers	W 20-0	1727.71	1438.30	83.56%	10.87%	+10.47	10-4
1970-09-20	Detroit Lions	L 0-40	1540.24	1584.04	48.87%	45.42%	-63.54	0-1
1970-09-27	Atlanta Falcons	W 27-24	1476.70	1544.82	45.38%	48.91%	+17.41	1-1
1970-10-04	Minnesota Vikings	W 13-10	1494.11	1730.95	23.89%	70.44%	+24.87	2-1
1970-10-12	@ San Diego Chargers	W 22-20	1518.98	1482.83	44.32%	49.97%	+14.51	3-1
1970-10-18	Los Angeles Rams	L 21-31	1533.49	1580.83	48.37%	45.92%	-31.46	3-2
1970-10-25	Philadelphia Eagles	W 30-17	1502.03	1289.33	78.44%	15.94%	+12.30	4-2
1970-11-01	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 10-26	1514.33	1565.02	32.54%	61.77%	-27.29	4-3
1970-11-09	Baltimore Colts	L 10-13	1487.04	1644.16	33.20%	61.10%	-12.05	4-4
1970-11-15	Chicago Bears	W 20-19	1474.99	1377.11	67.45%	26.87%	+5.68	5-4
1970-11-22	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 3-10	1480.67	1825.90	8.13%	86.35%	-4.65	5-5
1970-11-26	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 3-16	1476.02	1574.02	26.85%	67.46%	-20.45	5-6
1970-12-06	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 20-12	1455.57	1400.23	47.07%	47.21%	+27.51	6-6
1970-12-13	@ Chicago Bears	L 17-35	1483.08	1396.92	51.48%	42.81%	-44.78	6-7
1970-12-20	@ Detroit Lions	L 0-20	1438.30	1727.71	10.87%	83.56%	-10.47	6-8
1970-09-20	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 19-7	1506.52	1340.32	62.25%	32.05%	+23.30	1-0
1970-09-27	Miami Dolphins	L 10-20	1529.82	1389.24	72.02%	22.31%	-46.43	1-1
1970-10-04	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-13	1483.39	1422.51	47.87%	46.42%	+25.32	2-1
1970-10-11	Baltimore Colts	L 20-24	1508.71	1555.75	48.41%	45.88%	-19.91	2-2
1970-10-18	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-7	1488.80	1340.69	72.77%	21.57%	-29.67	2-3
1970-10-25	@ San Diego Chargers	T 31-31	1459.13	1502.64	33.45%	60.85%	+1.35	2-3
1970-11-01	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 0-44	1460.48	1471.67	37.72%	56.57%	-52.13	2-4
1970-11-08	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 9-24	1408.35	1592.44	18.27%	76.09%	-15.11	2-5
1970-11-15	San Francisco 49ers	L 20-30	1393.24	1620.80	24.88%	69.45%	-16.65	2-6
1970-11-22	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-28	1376.59	1517.51	22.28%	72.06%	-17.71	2-7
1970-11-29	Denver Broncos	W 31-21	1358.88	1498.86	35.43%	58.86%	+38.00	3-7
1970-12-07	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-21	1396.88	1476.97	43.67%	50.62%	-29.96	3-8
1970-12-13	Cincinnati Bengals	L 20-30	1366.92	1502.11	36.07%	58.23%	-23.81	3-9
1970-12-20	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-52	1343.11	1640.00	10.46%	83.97%	-14.61	3-10
1970-09-20	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-27	1632.47	1694.17	31.16%	63.15%	-26.99	0-1
1970-09-28	@ Baltimore Colts	W 44-24	1605.48	1577.71	43.13%	51.16%	+46.93	1-1
1970-10-04	@ Denver Broncos	L 13-26	1652.41	1503.92	59.98%	34.32%	-44.13	1-2
1970-10-11	Boston Patriots	W 23-10	1608.28	1418.24	76.60%	17.77%	+13.68	2-2
1970-10-18	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-19	1621.96	1390.69	69.85%	24.48%	+14.67	3-2
1970-10-25	Dallas Cowboys	L 16-27	1636.63	1562.91	64.62%	29.69%	-43.69	3-3
1970-11-01	Oakland Raiders	T 17-17	1592.94	1612.97	52.25%	42.04%	-0.50	3-3
1970-11-08	Houston Oilers	W 24-9	1592.44	1408.35	76.09%	18.27%	+15.11	4-3
1970-11-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-14	1607.55	1401.85	67.01%	27.31%	+23.76	5-3
1970-11-22	St. Louis Cardinals	T 6-6	1631.31	1618.20	56.83%	37.46%	-0.95	5-3
1970-11-29	San Diego Chargers	W 26-14	1630.36	1563.98	63.73%	30.58%	+22.27	6-3
1970-12-06	Denver Broncos	W 16-0	1652.63	1460.86	76.74%	17.62%	+15.05	7-3
1970-12-12	@ Oakland Raiders	L 6-20	1667.68	1629.66	44.59%	49.70%	-34.47	7-4
1970-12-20	@ San Diego Chargers	L 13-31	1633.21	1519.15	55.37%	38.92%	-48.03	7-5
1970-09-18	St. Louis Cardinals	W 34-13	1558.10	1408.20	72.94%	21.40%	+20.85	1-0
1970-09-27	@ Buffalo Bills	W 19-0	1578.95	1389.27	65.13%	29.18%	+26.78	2-0
1970-10-04	San Diego Chargers	W 37-10	1605.73	1512.93	66.87%	27.45%	+30.10	3-0
1970-10-11	San Francisco 49ers	L 6-20	1635.83	1494.35	72.11%	22.22%	-55.00	3-1
1970-10-18	@ Green Bay Packers	W 31-21	1580.83	1533.49	45.92%	48.37%	+31.45	4-1
1970-10-26	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 3-13	1612.28	1758.08	21.80%	72.54%	-14.64	4-2
1970-11-01	@ New Orleans Saints	W 30-17	1597.64	1363.31	70.17%	24.16%	+18.45	5-2
1970-11-08	Atlanta Falcons	T 10-10	1616.09	1459.79	73.56%	20.78%	-2.64	5-2
1970-11-15	New York Jets	L 20-31	1613.45	1391.90	79.11%	15.27%	-53.56	5-3
1970-11-22	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 17-7	1559.89	1461.09	53.25%	41.04%	+26.93	6-3
1970-11-29	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 30-13	1586.82	1596.74	37.89%	56.40%	+47.52	7-3
1970-12-06	New Orleans Saints	W 34-16	1634.34	1284.28	86.56%	7.93%	+7.26	8-3
1970-12-14	Detroit Lions	L 23-28	1641.60	1706.57	45.83%	48.46%	-21.14	8-4
1970-12-20	@ New York Giants	W 31-3	1620.46	1620.58	39.23%	55.06%	+59.58	9-4
1970-09-20	@ Boston Patriots	L 14-27	1415.70	1446.49	35.10%	59.19%	-26.46	0-1
1970-09-27	@ Houston Oilers	W 20-10	1389.24	1529.82	22.31%	72.02%	+46.43	1-1
1970-10-03	Oakland Raiders	W 20-13	1435.67	1577.17	35.23%	59.07%	+31.90	2-1
1970-10-10	@ New York Jets	W 20-6	1467.57	1545.72	29.16%	65.15%	+49.68	3-1
1970-10-18	@ Buffalo Bills	W 33-14	1517.25	1348.42	62.58%	31.72%	+29.03	4-1
1970-10-25	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 0-28	1546.28	1552.07	54.24%	40.05%	-58.73	4-2
1970-11-01	@ Baltimore Colts	L 0-35	1487.55	1614.42	23.71%	70.62%	-29.74	4-3
1970-11-08	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-24	1457.81	1273.22	64.52%	29.79%	-34.80	4-4
1970-11-15	New Orleans Saints	W 21-10	1423.01	1366.80	62.46%	31.84%	+22.16	5-4
1970-11-22	Baltimore Colts	W 34-17	1445.17	1652.39	27.13%	67.18%	+56.46	6-4
1970-11-30	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 20-7	1501.63	1434.16	48.81%	45.48%	+33.83	7-4
1970-12-06	Boston Patriots	W 37-20	1535.46	1270.88	82.08%	12.33%	+10.94	8-4
1970-12-13	New York Jets	W 16-10	1546.40	1504.46	60.65%	33.65%	+17.26	9-4
1970-12-20	Buffalo Bills	W 45-7	1563.66	1270.93	83.74%	10.69%	+14.19	10-4
1970-09-20	Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-10	1694.17	1632.47	63.15%	31.16%	+26.98	1-0
1970-09-27	New Orleans Saints	W 26-0	1721.15	1393.29	85.55%	8.91%	+9.80	2-0
1970-10-04	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-13	1730.95	1494.11	70.44%	23.89%	-24.86	2-1
1970-10-11	@ Chicago Bears	W 24-0	1706.09	1426.11	74.68%	19.67%	+20.53	3-1
1970-10-18	Dallas Cowboys	W 54-13	1726.62	1594.36	71.18%	23.16%	+31.46	4-1
1970-10-26	Los Angeles Rams	W 13-3	1758.08	1612.28	72.54%	21.80%	+14.65	5-1
1970-11-01	@ Detroit Lions	W 30-17	1772.73	1670.77	53.69%	40.60%	+30.39	6-1
1970-11-08	@ Washington Redskins	W 19-10	1803.12	1571.70	69.86%	24.46%	+15.54	7-1
1970-11-15	Detroit Lions	W 24-20	1818.66	1618.44	77.44%	16.92%	+7.24	8-1
1970-11-22	Green Bay Packers	W 10-3	1825.90	1480.67	86.35%	8.13%	+4.65	9-1
1970-11-29	@ New York Jets	L 10-20	1830.55	1459.91	81.72%	12.69%	-52.79	9-2
1970-12-05	Chicago Bears	W 16-13	1777.76	1399.48	87.69%	6.82%	+2.55	10-2
1970-12-13	@ Boston Patriots	W 35-14	1780.31	1259.95	88.75%	5.79%	+5.74	11-2
1970-12-20	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 37-7	1786.05	1416.60	81.64%	12.76%	+15.02	12-2
1970-09-20	Atlanta Falcons	L 3-14	1421.95	1516.15	41.68%	52.61%	-28.66	0-1
1970-09-27	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 0-26	1393.29	1721.15	8.91%	85.55%	-9.80	0-2
1970-10-04	New York Giants	W 14-10	1383.49	1429.17	48.60%	45.69%	+18.85	1-2
1970-10-11	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 17-24	1402.34	1468.62	30.59%	63.71%	-17.01	1-3
1970-10-18	@ San Francisco 49ers	T 20-20	1385.33	1549.35	20.06%	74.29%	+2.72	1-3
1970-10-25	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 14-32	1388.05	1479.21	27.63%	66.68%	-24.74	1-4
1970-11-01	Los Angeles Rams	L 17-30	1363.31	1597.64	24.16%	70.17%	-18.46	1-5
1970-11-08	Detroit Lions	W 19-17	1344.85	1640.38	18.29%	76.06%	+21.95	2-5
1970-11-15	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-21	1366.80	1423.01	31.84%	62.46%	-22.17	2-6
1970-11-22	Denver Broncos	L 6-31	1344.63	1458.32	38.98%	55.32%	-40.54	2-7
1970-11-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 6-26	1304.09	1459.99	20.82%	73.52%	-19.81	2-8
1970-12-06	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 16-34	1284.28	1634.34	7.93%	86.56%	-7.26	2-9
1970-12-13	San Francisco 49ers	L 27-38	1277.02	1558.35	19.55%	74.80%	-13.82	2-10
1970-12-20	Chicago Bears	L 3-24	1263.20	1441.70	30.53%	63.78%	-29.41	2-11
1970-09-19	Chicago Bears	L 16-24	1487.80	1384.76	68.03%	26.28%	-39.21	0-1
1970-09-27	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-28	1448.59	1597.18	21.52%	72.81%	-19.42	0-2
1970-10-04	@ New Orleans Saints	L 10-14	1429.17	1383.49	45.69%	48.60%	-18.85	0-3
1970-10-11	Philadelphia Eagles	W 30-23	1410.32	1331.11	65.28%	29.03%	+16.18	1-3
1970-10-18	@ Boston Patriots	W 16-0	1426.50	1404.56	42.31%	51.98%	+42.62	2-3
1970-10-25	St. Louis Cardinals	W 35-17	1469.12	1511.25	49.11%	45.18%	+39.57	3-3
1970-11-01	@ New York Jets	W 22-10	1508.69	1442.24	48.67%	45.62%	+32.61	4-3
1970-11-08	Dallas Cowboys	W 23-20	1541.30	1610.40	45.24%	49.05%	+17.46	5-3
1970-11-15	Washington Redskins	W 35-33	1558.76	1556.15	55.40%	38.89%	+11.44	6-3
1970-11-23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-23	1570.20	1309.36	72.87%	21.47%	-25.73	6-4
1970-11-29	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-24	1544.47	1485.66	47.57%	46.72%	+16.68	7-4
1970-12-06	Buffalo Bills	W 20-6	1561.15	1288.52	82.57%	11.84%	+9.53	8-4
1970-12-13	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 34-17	1570.68	1602.26	35.00%	59.30%	+49.90	9-4
1970-12-20	Los Angeles Rams	L 3-31	1620.58	1620.46	55.06%	39.23%	-59.59	9-5
1970-09-21	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 21-31	1564.35	1577.66	37.44%	56.86%	-24.67	0-1
1970-09-27	@ Boston Patriots	W 31-21	1539.68	1472.95	48.71%	45.58%	+29.74	1-1
1970-10-04	@ Buffalo Bills	L 31-34	1569.42	1362.49	67.15%	27.16%	-23.70	1-2
1970-10-10	Miami Dolphins	L 6-20	1545.72	1467.57	65.15%	29.16%	-49.69	1-3
1970-10-18	Baltimore Colts	L 22-29	1496.03	1575.66	43.74%	50.55%	-23.93	1-4
1970-10-25	Buffalo Bills	L 6-10	1472.10	1319.40	73.21%	21.13%	-29.86	1-5
1970-11-01	New York Giants	L 10-22	1442.24	1508.69	45.62%	48.67%	-32.61	1-6
1970-11-08	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-21	1409.63	1384.12	42.81%	51.48%	-17.73	1-7
1970-11-15	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 31-20	1391.90	1613.45	15.27%	79.11%	+53.56	2-7
1970-11-22	Boston Patriots	W 17-3	1445.46	1259.16	76.28%	18.08%	+14.45	3-7
1970-11-29	Minnesota Vikings	W 20-10	1459.91	1830.55	12.69%	81.72%	+52.79	4-7
1970-12-06	Oakland Raiders	L 13-14	1512.70	1621.41	39.66%	54.63%	-8.24	4-8
1970-12-13	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-16	1504.46	1546.40	33.65%	60.65%	-17.27	4-9
1970-12-19	@ Baltimore Colts	L 20-35	1487.19	1618.90	23.21%	71.12%	-19.07	4-10
1970-09-20	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-31	1621.70	1399.13	68.90%	25.42%	-44.41	0-1
1970-09-27	@ San Diego Chargers	T 27-27	1577.29	1512.81	48.39%	45.90%	-0.12	0-1
1970-10-03	@ Miami Dolphins	L 13-20	1577.17	1435.67	59.07%	35.23%	-31.90	0-2
1970-10-11	Denver Broncos	W 35-23	1545.27	1548.06	54.66%	39.63%	+28.54	1-2
1970-10-19	Washington Redskins	W 34-20	1573.81	1529.98	60.89%	33.41%	+26.19	2-2
1970-10-25	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-14	1600.00	1370.36	79.71%	14.68%	+12.97	3-2
1970-11-01	@ Kansas City Chiefs	T 17-17	1612.97	1592.94	42.04%	52.25%	+0.50	3-2
1970-11-08	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 23-20	1613.47	1553.03	62.99%	31.31%	+11.39	4-2
1970-11-15	@ Denver Broncos	W 24-19	1624.86	1474.25	60.26%	34.04%	+15.93	5-2
1970-11-22	San Diego Chargers	W 20-17	1640.79	1575.14	63.64%	30.67%	+11.17	6-2
1970-11-26	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-28	1651.96	1651.92	39.26%	55.04%	-30.55	6-3
1970-12-06	@ New York Jets	W 14-13	1621.41	1512.70	54.63%	39.66%	+8.25	7-3
1970-12-12	Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-6	1629.66	1667.68	49.70%	44.59%	+34.47	8-3
1970-12-20	San Francisco 49ers	L 7-38	1664.13	1572.17	66.77%	27.54%	-75.77	8-4
1970-09-20	Dallas Cowboys	L 7-17	1397.32	1576.97	30.39%	63.92%	-20.21	0-1
1970-09-27	@ Chicago Bears	L 16-20	1377.11	1423.97	33.02%	61.28%	-13.84	0-2
1970-10-04	Washington Redskins	L 21-33	1363.27	1434.39	44.95%	49.34%	-32.16	0-3
1970-10-11	@ New York Giants	L 23-30	1331.11	1410.32	29.03%	65.28%	-16.17	0-4
1970-10-18	St. Louis Cardinals	L 20-35	1314.94	1485.64	31.49%	62.82%	-25.61	0-5
1970-10-25	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-30	1289.33	1502.03	15.94%	78.44%	-12.30	0-6
1970-11-01	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-21	1277.03	1606.59	8.83%	85.63%	-3.81	0-7
1970-11-08	Miami Dolphins	W 24-17	1273.22	1457.81	29.79%	64.52%	+34.79	1-7
1970-11-15	Atlanta Falcons	T 13-13	1308.01	1462.43	33.55%	60.75%	+1.35	1-7
1970-11-23	New York Giants	W 23-20	1309.36	1570.20	21.47%	72.87%	+25.73	2-7
1970-11-29	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 14-23	1335.09	1619.15	11.17%	83.25%	-7.22	2-8
1970-12-06	@ Baltimore Colts	L 10-29	1327.87	1599.69	11.89%	82.52%	-11.15	2-9
1970-12-13	@ Washington Redskins	L 6-24	1316.72	1439.49	24.14%	70.18%	-21.70	2-10
1970-12-20	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 30-20	1295.02	1347.30	47.66%	46.63%	+30.39	3-10
1970-09-20	Houston Oilers	L 7-19	1340.32	1506.52	32.05%	62.25%	-23.30	0-1
1970-09-27	@ Denver Broncos	L 13-16	1317.02	1497.04	18.62%	75.73%	-6.88	0-2
1970-10-03	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-15	1310.14	1582.42	11.86%	82.55%	-7.22	0-3
1970-10-11	Buffalo Bills	W 23-10	1302.92	1386.19	43.22%	51.07%	+37.77	1-3
1970-10-18	@ Houston Oilers	W 7-3	1340.69	1488.80	21.57%	72.77%	+29.67	2-3
1970-10-25	@ Oakland Raiders	L 14-31	1370.36	1600.00	14.68%	79.71%	-12.97	2-4
1970-11-02	Cincinnati Bengals	W 21-10	1357.39	1353.63	55.56%	38.73%	+26.73	3-4
1970-11-08	New York Jets	W 21-17	1384.12	1409.63	51.48%	42.81%	+17.73	4-4
1970-11-15	Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-31	1401.85	1607.55	27.31%	67.01%	-23.76	4-5
1970-11-22	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 7-34	1378.09	1423.89	33.16%	61.14%	-36.11	4-6
1970-11-29	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 28-9	1341.98	1535.21	28.76%	65.56%	+58.25	5-6
1970-12-06	Green Bay Packers	L 12-20	1400.23	1455.57	47.21%	47.07%	-27.51	5-7
1970-12-13	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 16-27	1372.72	1391.18	36.74%	57.55%	-25.42	5-8
1970-12-20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-30	1347.30	1295.02	46.63%	47.66%	-30.39	5-9
1970-09-20	Baltimore Colts	L 14-16	1527.33	1563.19	50.01%	44.28%	-14.52	0-1
1970-09-27	Oakland Raiders	T 27-27	1512.81	1577.29	45.90%	48.39%	+0.12	0-1
1970-10-04	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 10-37	1512.93	1605.73	27.45%	66.87%	-30.10	0-2
1970-10-12	Green Bay Packers	L 20-22	1482.83	1518.98	49.97%	44.32%	-14.51	0-3
1970-10-18	@ Chicago Bears	W 20-7	1468.32	1405.57	48.14%	46.15%	+34.32	1-3
1970-10-25	Houston Oilers	T 31-31	1502.64	1459.13	60.85%	33.45%	-1.35	1-3
1970-11-01	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 27-10	1501.29	1610.80	25.57%	68.75%	+57.77	2-3
1970-11-08	Denver Broncos	W 24-21	1559.06	1485.06	64.65%	29.66%	+10.81	3-3
1970-11-15	@ Boston Patriots	W 16-14	1569.87	1264.44	76.91%	17.46%	+5.27	4-3
1970-11-22	@ Oakland Raiders	L 17-20	1575.14	1640.79	30.67%	63.64%	-11.16	4-4
1970-11-29	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-26	1563.98	1630.36	30.58%	63.73%	-22.27	4-5
1970-12-06	Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-17	1541.71	1479.80	63.17%	31.13%	-22.31	4-6
1970-12-13	@ Denver Broncos	T 17-17	1519.40	1445.80	49.69%	44.60%	-0.25	4-6
1970-12-20	Kansas City Chiefs	W 31-13	1519.15	1633.21	38.92%	55.37%	+48.04	5-6
1970-09-20	Washington Redskins	W 26-17	1454.02	1495.11	49.26%	45.03%	+27.89	1-0
1970-09-27	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 34-31	1481.91	1602.33	38.05%	56.24%	+19.91	2-0
1970-10-04	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-21	1501.82	1527.40	35.79%	58.51%	-7.47	2-1
1970-10-11	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 20-6	1494.35	1635.83	22.22%	72.11%	+55.00	3-1
1970-10-18	New Orleans Saints	T 20-20	1549.35	1385.33	74.29%	20.06%	-2.72	3-1
1970-10-25	Denver Broncos	W 19-14	1546.63	1548.96	54.72%	39.57%	+18.39	4-1
1970-11-01	Green Bay Packers	W 26-10	1565.02	1514.33	61.77%	32.54%	+27.29	5-1
1970-11-08	@ Chicago Bears	W 37-16	1592.31	1405.60	64.78%	29.53%	+28.49	6-1
1970-11-15	@ Houston Oilers	W 30-20	1620.80	1393.24	69.45%	24.88%	+16.65	7-1
1970-11-22	@ Detroit Lions	L 7-28	1637.45	1611.20	42.92%	51.37%	-40.71	7-2
1970-11-29	Los Angeles Rams	L 13-30	1596.74	1586.82	56.40%	37.89%	-47.53	7-3
1970-12-06	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-20	1549.21	1400.32	72.84%	21.49%	+9.14	8-3
1970-12-13	@ New Orleans Saints	W 38-27	1558.35	1277.02	74.80%	19.55%	+13.82	9-3
1970-12-20	@ Oakland Raiders	W 38-7	1572.17	1664.13	27.54%	66.77%	+75.77	10-3
1970-09-18	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 13-34	1408.20	1558.10	21.40%	72.94%	-20.85	0-1
1970-09-27	Washington Redskins	W 27-17	1387.35	1467.22	43.71%	50.58%	+32.82	1-1
1970-10-04	Dallas Cowboys	W 20-7	1420.17	1616.59	28.38%	65.93%	+48.45	2-1
1970-10-11	New Orleans Saints	W 24-17	1468.62	1402.34	63.71%	30.59%	+17.02	3-1
1970-10-18	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 35-20	1485.64	1314.94	62.82%	31.49%	+25.61	4-1
1970-10-25	@ New York Giants	L 17-35	1511.25	1469.12	45.18%	49.11%	-39.58	4-2
1970-11-01	Houston Oilers	W 44-0	1471.67	1460.48	56.57%	37.72%	+52.14	5-2
1970-11-08	Boston Patriots	W 31-0	1523.81	1280.86	80.65%	13.74%	+16.42	6-2
1970-11-16	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 38-0	1540.23	1592.94	32.28%	62.02%	+77.97	7-2
1970-11-22	@ Kansas City Chiefs	T 6-6	1618.20	1631.31	37.46%	56.83%	+0.95	7-2
1970-11-29	Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-14	1619.15	1335.09	83.25%	11.17%	+7.22	8-2
1970-12-06	@ Detroit Lions	L 3-16	1626.37	1682.46	31.85%	62.45%	-24.11	8-3
1970-12-13	New York Giants	L 17-34	1602.26	1570.68	59.30%	35.00%	-49.90	8-4
1970-12-20	@ Washington Redskins	L 27-28	1552.36	1461.20	52.18%	42.11%	-10.69	8-5
1970-09-20	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-26	1495.11	1454.02	45.03%	49.26%	-27.89	0-1
1970-09-27	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 17-27	1467.22	1387.35	50.58%	43.71%	-32.83	0-2
1970-10-04	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 33-21	1434.39	1363.27	49.34%	44.95%	+32.16	1-2
1970-10-11	Detroit Lions	W 31-10	1466.55	1680.31	26.39%	67.93%	+63.43	2-2
1970-10-19	@ Oakland Raiders	L 20-34	1529.98	1573.81	33.41%	60.89%	-26.18	2-3
1970-10-25	Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-0	1503.80	1376.03	70.71%	23.62%	+22.40	3-3
1970-11-01	@ Denver Broncos	W 19-3	1526.20	1530.56	38.65%	55.64%	+45.50	4-3
1970-11-08	Minnesota Vikings	L 10-19	1571.70	1803.12	24.46%	69.86%	-15.55	4-4
1970-11-15	@ New York Giants	L 33-35	1556.15	1558.76	38.89%	55.40%	-11.44	4-5
1970-11-22	Dallas Cowboys	L 21-45	1544.71	1514.97	59.06%	35.24%	-59.05	4-6
1970-11-29	New York Giants	L 24-27	1485.66	1544.47	46.72%	47.57%	-16.68	4-7
1970-12-06	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 0-34	1468.98	1594.47	23.86%	70.47%	-29.49	4-8
1970-12-13	Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-6	1439.49	1316.72	70.18%	24.14%	+21.71	5-8
1970-12-20	St. Louis Cardinals	W 28-27	1461.20	1552.36	42.11%	52.18%	+10.69	6-8

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1970-12-26	Cincinnati Bengals	W 17-0	1637.97	1541.70	70.59%	29.41%	+23.55	1-0
1971-01-03	Oakland Raiders	W 27-17	1661.52	1609.20	65.08%	34.92%	+21.44	2-0
1971-01-17	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 16-13	1682.96	1707.52	46.47%	53.53%	+18.01	3-0
1970-12-26	@ Baltimore Colts	L 0-17	1541.70	1637.97	29.41%	70.59%	-23.55	0-1
1970-12-26	Detroit Lions	W 5-0	1654.60	1738.18	46.02%	53.98%	+23.44	1-0
1971-01-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 17-10	1678.04	1673.80	42.63%	57.37%	+29.48	2-0
1971-01-17	Baltimore Colts	L 13-16	1707.52	1682.96	53.53%	46.47%	-18.01	2-1
1970-12-26	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 0-5	1738.18	1654.60	53.98%	46.02%	-23.44	0-1
1970-12-27	@ Oakland Raiders	L 14-21	1577.85	1588.36	40.57%	59.43%	-20.85	0-1
1970-12-27	San Francisco 49ers	L 14-17	1801.07	1647.94	76.91%	23.09%	-25.87	0-1
1970-12-27	Miami Dolphins	W 21-14	1588.36	1577.85	59.43%	40.57%	+20.84	1-0
1971-01-03	@ Baltimore Colts	L 17-27	1609.20	1661.52	34.92%	65.08%	-21.44	1-1
1970-12-27	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 17-14	1647.94	1801.07	23.09%	76.91%	+25.86	1-0
1971-01-03	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-17	1673.80	1678.04	57.37%	42.63%	-29.47	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1970-11-29	12.69%	@ New York Jets	1459.91	20	Minnesota Vikings	1830.55	10
2	1970-11-15	15.27%	New York Jets	1391.90	31	@ Los Angeles Rams	1613.45	20
3	1970-11-08	18.29%	@ New Orleans Saints	1344.85	19	Detroit Lions	1640.38	17
4	1970-10-25	21.13%	Buffalo Bills	1319.40	10	@ New York Jets	1472.10	6
5	1970-11-23	21.47%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1309.36	23	New York Giants	1570.20	20
6	1970-10-18	21.57%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1340.69	7	@ Houston Oilers	1488.80	3
7	1970-11-01	22.12%	Chicago Bears	1361.44	23	@ Atlanta Falcons	1503.95	14
8	1970-10-11	22.22%	San Francisco 49ers	1494.35	20	@ Los Angeles Rams	1635.83	6
9	1970-09-27	22.31%	Miami Dolphins	1389.24	20	@ Houston Oilers	1529.82	10
10	1970-12-27 *	23.09%	San Francisco 49ers	1647.94	17	@ Minnesota Vikings	1801.07	14
11	1970-10-04	23.89%	@ Green Bay Packers	1494.11	13	Minnesota Vikings	1730.95	10
12	1970-09-20	25.42%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1399.13	31	Oakland Raiders	1621.70	21
13	1970-11-01	25.57%	San Diego Chargers	1501.29	27	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1610.80	10
14	1970-09-19	26.28%	Chicago Bears	1384.76	24	@ New York Giants	1487.80	16
15	1970-10-11	26.39%	@ Washington Redskins	1466.55	31	Detroit Lions	1680.31	10
16	1970-11-22	27.13%	@ Miami Dolphins	1445.17	34	Baltimore Colts	1652.39	17
17	1970-10-04	27.16%	@ Buffalo Bills	1362.49	34	New York Jets	1569.42	31
18	1970-12-20	27.54%	San Francisco 49ers	1572.17	38	@ Oakland Raiders	1664.13	7
19	1970-11-08	27.93%	Cincinnati Bengals	1326.89	43	@ Buffalo Bills	1415.50	14
20	1970-10-04	28.38%	@ St. Louis Cardinals	1420.17	20	Dallas Cowboys	1616.59	7
21	1970-11-29	28.76%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1341.98	28	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1535.21	9
22	1970-10-10	29.16%	Miami Dolphins	1467.57	20	@ New York Jets	1545.72	6
23	1970-10-25	29.69%	Dallas Cowboys	1562.91	27	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1636.63	16
24	1970-11-08	29.79%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1273.22	24	Miami Dolphins	1457.81	17
25	1970-11-29	30.14%	Boston Patriots	1244.72	14	@ Buffalo Bills	1314.68	10

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1970-11-16	77.97	St. Louis Cardinals	38	1540.23	32.28%	@ Dallas Cowboys	0	1592.94	62.02%
2	1970-12-20	75.77	San Francisco 49ers	38	1572.17	27.54%	@ Oakland Raiders	7	1664.13	66.77%
3	1970-11-08	72.86	Cincinnati Bengals	43	1326.89	27.93%	@ Buffalo Bills	14	1415.50	66.38%
4	1970-11-01	66.26	Buffalo Bills	45	1349.25	39.54%	@ Boston Patriots	10	1347.12	54.75%
5	1970-09-20	63.54	Detroit Lions	40	1584.04	45.42%	@ Green Bay Packers	0	1540.24	48.87%
6	1970-10-11	63.43	@ Washington Redskins	31	1466.55	26.39%	Detroit Lions	10	1680.31	67.93%
7	1970-12-20	59.59	Los Angeles Rams	31	1620.46	39.23%	@ New York Giants	3	1620.58	55.06%
8	1970-11-22	59.05	Dallas Cowboys	45	1514.97	35.24%	@ Washington Redskins	21	1544.71	59.06%
9	1970-10-25	58.73	Cleveland Browns (1st)	28	1552.07	40.05%	@ Miami Dolphins	0	1546.28	54.24%
10	1970-11-29	58.25	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	28	1341.98	28.76%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	9	1535.21	65.56%
11	1970-11-01	57.77	San Diego Chargers	27	1501.29	25.57%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	10	1610.80	68.75%
12	1970-11-22	56.46	@ Miami Dolphins	34	1445.17	27.13%	Baltimore Colts	17	1652.39	67.18%
13	1970-10-11	55.00	San Francisco 49ers	20	1494.35	22.22%	@ Los Angeles Rams	6	1635.83	72.11%
14	1970-11-15	53.56	New York Jets	31	1391.90	15.27%	@ Los Angeles Rams	20	1613.45	79.11%
15	1970-11-29	52.79	@ New York Jets	20	1459.91	12.69%	Minnesota Vikings	10	1830.55	81.72%
16	1970-11-01	52.14	@ St. Louis Cardinals	44	1471.67	56.57%	Houston Oilers	0	1460.48	37.72%
17	1970-12-13	49.90	New York Giants	34	1570.68	35.00%	@ St. Louis Cardinals	17	1602.26	59.30%
18	1970-10-10	49.69	Miami Dolphins	20	1467.57	29.16%	@ New York Jets	6	1545.72	65.15%
19	1970-10-04	48.45	@ St. Louis Cardinals	20	1420.17	28.38%	Dallas Cowboys	7	1616.59	65.93%
20	1970-12-20	48.04	@ San Diego Chargers	31	1519.15	38.92%	Kansas City Chiefs	13	1633.21	55.37%
21	1970-11-29	47.53	Los Angeles Rams	30	1586.82	37.89%	@ San Francisco 49ers	13	1596.74	56.40%
22	1970-09-28	46.93	Kansas City Chiefs	44	1605.48	43.13%	@ Baltimore Colts	24	1577.71	51.16%
23	1970-09-27	46.43	Miami Dolphins	20	1389.24	22.31%	@ Houston Oilers	10	1529.82	72.02%
24	1970-11-01	45.50	Washington Redskins	19	1526.20	38.65%	@ Denver Broncos	3	1530.56	55.64%
25	1970-12-13	44.78	@ Chicago Bears	35	1396.92	42.81%	Green Bay Packers	17	1483.08	51.48%