1967 NFL Season
112 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Green Bay Packers
2nd Super Bowl
Last Title: 1966
Runner-Up
Dallas Cowboys
1st SB App.
Biggest Overachiever
Los Angeles Rams
3.24 wins above expected
11 wins · 8.76 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
New Orleans Saints
2.33 wins below expected
3 wins · 5.33 expected wins
Final Standings
Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pct | GB | PF | PA | PD | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Cowboys Division | 9 | 5 | 0 | .643 | — | 342 | 268 | +74 | 8.90 | +0.10 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Eagles | 6 | 7 | 1 | .464 | 2.5 | 351 | 409 | -58 | 7.05 | -0.55 |
| 3 | Washington Redskins | 5 | 6 | 3 | .464 | 2.5 | 347 | 353 | -6 | 7.12 | -0.62 |
| 4 | New Orleans Saints | 3 | 11 | 0 | .214 | 6 | 233 | 379 | -146 | 5.33 | -2.33 |
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pct | GB | PF | PA | PD | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green Bay Packers Division | 9 | 4 | 1 | .679 | — | 332 | 209 | +123 | 9.97 | -0.47 |
| 2 | Chicago Bears | 7 | 6 | 1 | .536 | 2 | 239 | 218 | +21 | 6.86 | +0.64 |
| 3 | Detroit Lions | 5 | 7 | 2 | .429 | 3.5 | 260 | 259 | +1 | 5.97 | +0.03 |
| 4 | Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 8 | 3 | .321 | 5 | 233 | 294 | -61 | 5.75 | -1.25 |
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pct | GB | PF | PA | PD | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | 9 | 5 | 0 | .643 | — | 334 | 297 | +37 | 8.64 | +0.36 |
| 2 | New York Giants | 7 | 7 | 0 | .500 | 2 | 369 | 379 | -10 | 5.31 | +1.69 |
| 3 | St. Louis Cardinals | 6 | 7 | 1 | .464 | 2.5 | 333 | 356 | -23 | 7.19 | -0.69 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 4 | 9 | 1 | .321 | 4.5 | 281 | 320 | -39 | 5.89 | -1.39 |
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pct | GB | PF | PA | PD | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltimore Colts | 11 | 1 | 2 | .857 | — | 394 | 198 | +196 | 9.60 | +2.40 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Rams | 11 | 1 | 2 | .857 | — | 398 | 196 | +202 | 8.76 | +3.24 |
| 3 | San Francisco 49ers | 7 | 7 | 0 | .500 | 5 | 273 | 337 | -64 | 6.53 | +0.47 |
| 4 | Atlanta Falcons | 1 | 12 | 1 | .107 | 10.5 | 175 | 422 | -247 | 3.15 | -1.65 |
Playoff Bracket
Eastern Conference
Western Conference
NFL Championship Game
Season Summary
Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | West | Coastal | 1711 | 12 | 8.76 | +3.24 | 99.64% | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 14 |
| Baltimore Colts | West | Coastal | 1687 | 12 | 9.60 | +2.40 | 98.54% | 2 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 14 |
| Green Bay Packers | West | Central | 1671 | 9.5 | 9.97 | -0.47 | 54.43% | 3 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 14 |
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | East | Century | 1583 | 9 | 8.64 | +0.36 | 80.33% | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 14 |
| Dallas Cowboys | East | Capitol | 1580 | 9 | 8.90 | +0.10 | 76.49% | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 14 |
| Chicago Bears | West | Central | 1552 | 7.5 | 6.86 | +0.64 | 78.12% | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 12 |
| Washington Redskins | East | Capitol | 1477 | 6.5 | 7.12 | -0.62 | 52.42% | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 14 |
| San Francisco 49ers | West | Coastal | 1464 | 7 | 6.53 | +0.47 | 83.42% | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 12 |
| Detroit Lions | West | Central | 1462 | 6 | 5.97 | +0.03 | 76.81% | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 12 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | East | Capitol | 1457 | 6.5 | 7.05 | -0.55 | 53.97% | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | East | Century | 1452 | 6.5 | 7.19 | -0.69 | 51.38% | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 13 |
| New York Giants | East | Century | 1435 | 7 | 5.31 | +1.69 | 95.14% | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 11 |
| Minnesota Vikings | West | Central | 1425 | 4.5 | 5.75 | -1.25 | 38.87% | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 12 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | East | Century | 1419 | 4.5 | 5.89 | -1.39 | 35.89% | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| New Orleans Saints | East | Capitol | 1386 | 3 | 5.33 | -2.33 | 25.97% | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 11 |
| Atlanta Falcons | West | Coastal | 1240 | 1.5 | 3.15 | -1.65 | 25.46% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.
Within Capitol
| Team | Cowboys | Saints | Eagles | Redskins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Cowboys | — |
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| New Orleans Saints |
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
— |
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
| Philadelphia Eagles |
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
— |
1-0-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Washington Redskins |
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
— |
Capitol vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Falcons | Colts | Bears | (1st) | Lions | Packers | Rams | Vikings | Giants | Steelers | 49ers | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Cowboys |
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
| New Orleans Saints |
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.1 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
| Philadelphia Eagles |
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
| Washington Redskins |
0-0-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
0-0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
Within Central
| Team | Bears | Lions | Packers | Vikings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears | — |
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-0-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Detroit Lions |
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
— |
0-1-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-0-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Green Bay Packers |
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-0-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
— |
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Vikings |
0-1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
— |
Central vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Falcons | Colts | (1st) | Cowboys | Rams | Saints | Giants | Eagles | Steelers | 49ers | Cardinals | Redskins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears |
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
| Detroit Lions |
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
| Green Bay Packers |
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
—
|
| Minnesota Vikings |
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
Within Century
| Team | (1st) | Giants | Steelers | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | — |
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
| New York Giants |
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
— |
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
| Pittsburgh Steelers |
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
— |
0-1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
| St. Louis Cardinals |
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-0-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
— |
Century vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Falcons | Colts | Bears | Cowboys | Lions | Packers | Rams | Vikings | Saints | Eagles | 49ers | Redskins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns (1st) |
—
|
—
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
| New York Giants |
—
|
—
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
| Pittsburgh Steelers |
—
|
—
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.1 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
| St. Louis Cardinals |
—
|
—
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
Within Coastal
| Team | Falcons | Colts | Rams | 49ers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons | — |
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.2 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
| Baltimore Colts |
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
0-1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Rams |
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-0-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
— |
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| San Francisco 49ers |
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
— |
Coastal vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Bears | (1st) | Cowboys | Lions | Packers | Vikings | Saints | Giants | Eagles | Steelers | Cardinals | Redskins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons |
0-1
(0.1 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.1 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.1 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
0-0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
| Baltimore Colts |
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-0-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Rams |
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
0-0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
| San Francisco 49ers |
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
Scoreline Distribution
Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | 0.45% | 1.34% | 1.79% | 0.89% | 0.89% | 0.45% | 5.80% |
| 7–13 | 0.45% | 4.46% | 3.57% | 2.68% | 2.68% | 3.12% | 1.79% | 18.75% |
| 14–20 | 1.34% | 3.57% | 6.25% | 4.91% | 4.02% | 1.34% | 0.45% | 21.88% |
| 21–27 | 1.79% | 2.68% | 4.91% | 8.93% | 3.12% | 1.34% | 1.34% | 24.11% |
| 28–34 | 0.89% | 2.68% | 4.02% | 3.12% | 2.68% | 1.79% | — | 15.18% |
| 35–41 | 0.89% | 3.12% | 1.34% | 1.34% | 1.79% | 0.89% | 0.45% | 9.82% |
| 42+ | 0.45% | 1.79% | 0.45% | 1.34% | — | 0.45% | — | 4.46% |
| Total | 5.80% | 18.75% | 21.88% | 24.11% | 15.18% | 9.82% | 4.46% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 21.85 | 21.85 | +0.00 |
| SD | 11.31 | 11.31 | 17.61 |
| CV | 0.52 | 0.52 | — |
| Max | 55 | 55 | +48 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -48 |
Games Played: 112
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | 7.14% | 14.29% | 7.14% | — | — | 28.57% |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | 21.43% | 7.14% | 28.57% |
| 14–20 | — | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | — | 14.29% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | — | 14.29% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | 14.29% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | — | 21.43% | 28.57% | 14.29% | 28.57% | 7.14% | 100% |
Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 12.50 | 30.14 | -17.64 |
| SD | 10.35 | 9.04 | 13.72 |
| CV | 0.83 | 0.30 | — |
| Max | 31 | 49 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 20 | -42 |
Games Played: 14
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | 7.14% | — | — | 7.14% | — | — | 14.29% |
| 14–20 | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | — | — | 14.29% |
| 21–27 | 7.14% | 7.14% | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | — | 28.57% |
| 28–34 | — | 7.14% | — | — | — | — | — | 7.14% |
| 35–41 | 7.14% | 14.29% | — | — | 7.14% | — | — | 28.57% |
| 42+ | — | 7.14% | — | — | — | — | — | 7.14% |
| Total | 14.29% | 50.00% | 14.29% | 7.14% | 14.29% | — | — | 100% |
Baltimore Colts — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 28.14 | 14.14 | +14.00 |
| SD | 11.69 | 9.70 | 17.91 |
| CV | 0.42 | 0.69 | — |
| Max | 49 | 34 | +42 |
| Min | 10 | 3 | -24 |
Games Played: 14
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | 14.29% | — | — | — | 14.29% |
| 7–13 | — | 14.29% | 7.14% | — | — | 7.14% | — | 28.57% |
| 14–20 | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | 7.14% | — | — | 21.43% |
| 21–27 | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | — | — | 14.29% |
| 28–34 | 7.14% | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | — | — | 21.43% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 14.29% | 35.71% | 21.43% | 14.29% | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | 100% |
Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 17.07 | 15.57 | +1.50 |
| SD | 10.15 | 10.59 | 17.69 |
| CV | 0.59 | 0.68 | — |
| Max | 34 | 41 | +27 |
| Min | 0 | 3 | -28 |
Games Played: 14
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7.14% | 7.14% |
| 14–20 | — | 7.14% | 14.29% | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | 35.71% |
| 21–27 | 7.14% | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | 7.14% | — | — | 28.57% |
| 28–34 | — | — | 7.14% | — | — | 7.14% | — | 14.29% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 42+ | — | 7.14% | — | — | — | 7.14% | — | 14.29% |
| Total | 7.14% | 21.43% | 28.57% | 7.14% | 14.29% | 14.29% | 7.14% | 100% |
Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 23.86 | 21.21 | +2.64 |
| SD | 10.66 | 14.87 | 19.75 |
| CV | 0.45 | 0.70 | — |
| Max | 42 | 55 | +35 |
| Min | 7 | 0 | -48 |
Games Played: 14
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | 7.14% | — | 7.14% |
| 14–20 | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | 28.57% | — | — | — | 42.86% |
| 21–27 | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | — | 21.43% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 35–41 | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | — | 21.43% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | 7.14% | — | — | — | 7.14% |
| Total | — | 21.43% | 21.43% | 50.00% | — | 7.14% | — | 100% |
Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 24.43 | 19.14 | +5.29 |
| SD | 10.95 | 7.63 | 14.74 |
| CV | 0.45 | 0.40 | — |
| Max | 46 | 35 | +30 |
| Min | 13 | 7 | -22 |
Games Played: 14
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | 7.14% | — | — | — | — | 7.14% |
| 7–13 | — | 7.14% | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | 28.57% |
| 14–20 | 7.14% | — | 7.14% | 14.29% | — | — | — | 28.57% |
| 21–27 | 7.14% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7.14% |
| 28–34 | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | 7.14% | — | 21.43% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 42+ | 7.14% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7.14% |
| Total | 21.43% | 14.29% | 21.43% | 21.43% | 7.14% | 14.29% | — | 100% |
Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 18.57 | 18.50 | +0.07 |
| SD | 11.65 | 12.97 | 20.56 |
| CV | 0.63 | 0.70 | — |
| Max | 45 | 41 | +42 |
| Min | 3 | 3 | -34 |
Games Played: 14
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | 7.14% | 21.43% | — | — | — | — | — | 28.57% |
| 14–20 | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | — | 21.43% |
| 21–27 | 7.14% | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | — | 21.43% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | 14.29% | — | — | — | 14.29% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 42+ | — | 7.14% | — | 7.14% | — | — | — | 14.29% |
| Total | 14.29% | 35.71% | 14.29% | 35.71% | — | — | — | 100% |
Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 23.71 | 14.93 | +8.79 |
| SD | 13.88 | 8.98 | 15.00 |
| CV | 0.59 | 0.60 | — |
| Max | 55 | 27 | +48 |
| Min | 7 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 14
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14–20 | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | — | — | — | 14.29% |
| 21–27 | — | 7.14% | — | 21.43% | — | — | — | 28.57% |
| 28–34 | 7.14% | 14.29% | 14.29% | — | 7.14% | — | — | 42.86% |
| 35–41 | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | — | — | — | 14.29% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 21.43% | 35.71% | 14.29% | 21.43% | 7.14% | — | — | 100% |
Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 28.43 | 14.00 | +14.43 |
| SD | 5.98 | 9.04 | 11.71 |
| CV | 0.21 | 0.65 | — |
| Max | 39 | 28 | +36 |
| Min | 17 | 3 | -3 |
Games Played: 14
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | 7.14% | — | — | 7.14% | — | 14.29% |
| 7–13 | — | 21.43% | 14.29% | — | — | — | — | 35.71% |
| 14–20 | — | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | — | 14.29% |
| 21–27 | — | — | — | 14.29% | 14.29% | — | — | 28.57% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | 7.14% | — | — | — | 7.14% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 21.43% | 28.57% | 28.57% | 14.29% | 7.14% | — | 100% |
Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 16.64 | 21.00 | -4.36 |
| SD | 10.90 | 9.64 | 11.19 |
| CV | 0.66 | 0.46 | — |
| Max | 41 | 39 | +14 |
| Min | 3 | 7 | -36 |
Games Played: 14
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | 14.29% | 21.43% | 14.29% | — | 7.14% | 57.14% |
| 14–20 | — | — | — | — | 7.14% | — | — | 7.14% |
| 21–27 | — | — | — | 14.29% | — | — | 7.14% | 21.43% |
| 28–34 | — | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | — | 14.29% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | — | 21.43% | 42.86% | 21.43% | — | 14.29% | 100% |
New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 16.64 | 27.07 | -10.43 |
| SD | 8.23 | 9.71 | 13.63 |
| CV | 0.49 | 0.36 | — |
| Max | 31 | 48 | +16 |
| Min | 7 | 14 | -35 |
Games Played: 14
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | 14.29% | — | — | 14.29% |
| 14–20 | — | — | — | 7.14% | — | — | — | 7.14% |
| 21–27 | — | — | — | 21.43% | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | 35.71% |
| 28–34 | — | — | 7.14% | — | — | 7.14% | — | 14.29% |
| 35–41 | — | — | 14.29% | — | 7.14% | — | — | 21.43% |
| 42+ | — | 7.14% | — | — | — | — | — | 7.14% |
| Total | — | 7.14% | 21.43% | 28.57% | 21.43% | 14.29% | 7.14% | 100% |
New York Giants — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 26.36 | 27.07 | -0.71 |
| SD | 11.36 | 10.78 | 18.84 |
| CV | 0.43 | 0.40 | — |
| Max | 44 | 48 | +37 |
| Min | 7 | 7 | -27 |
Games Played: 14
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | 7.14% | — | 7.14% |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7.14% | 7.14% |
| 14–20 | — | — | — | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | 7.14% | 21.43% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 7.14% | — | 14.29% | — | — | 21.43% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | 14.29% | — | — | — | 14.29% |
| 35–41 | — | 7.14% | — | 7.14% | — | 7.14% | — | 21.43% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | 7.14% | — | — | — | 7.14% |
| Total | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | 28.57% | 21.43% | 21.43% | 14.29% | 100% |
Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 25.07 | 29.21 | -4.14 |
| SD | 12.23 | 11.27 | 21.54 |
| CV | 0.49 | 0.39 | — |
| Max | 48 | 48 | +31 |
| Min | 6 | 7 | -37 |
Games Played: 14
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | — | 14.29% |
| 14–20 | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | 21.43% | — | — | 35.71% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 14.29% | 14.29% | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | 42.86% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 35–41 | — | 7.14% | — | — | — | — | — | 7.14% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 14.29% | 28.57% | 21.43% | 28.57% | 7.14% | — | 100% |
Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 20.07 | 22.86 | -2.79 |
| SD | 8.32 | 9.48 | 12.28 |
| CV | 0.41 | 0.41 | — |
| Max | 41 | 41 | +28 |
| Min | 10 | 10 | -20 |
Games Played: 14
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | 7.14% | — | — | — | — | 7.14% | 14.29% |
| 7–13 | — | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | 7.14% | — | 21.43% |
| 14–20 | — | — | — | — | 7.14% | — | — | 7.14% |
| 21–27 | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | 14.29% | — | — | — | 28.57% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | 7.14% | 14.29% | — | — | 21.43% |
| 35–41 | — | 7.14% | — | — | — | — | — | 7.14% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 21.43% | 14.29% | 28.57% | 21.43% | 7.14% | 7.14% | 100% |
San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 19.50 | 24.07 | -4.57 |
| SD | 12.38 | 10.66 | 19.00 |
| CV | 0.63 | 0.44 | — |
| Max | 38 | 45 | +31 |
| Min | 0 | 7 | -42 |
Games Played: 14
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | 7.14% | — | — | 7.14% |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14–20 | — | — | 21.43% | — | — | 14.29% | — | 35.71% |
| 21–27 | — | — | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | 7.14% | 21.43% |
| 28–34 | — | — | 14.29% | 7.14% | — | — | — | 21.43% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | 7.14% | — | — | 7.14% |
| 42+ | — | — | 7.14% | — | — | — | — | 7.14% |
| Total | — | — | 42.86% | 14.29% | 21.43% | 14.29% | 7.14% | 100% |
St. Louis Cardinals — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 23.79 | 25.43 | -1.64 |
| SD | 11.57 | 9.81 | 17.41 |
| CV | 0.49 | 0.39 | — |
| Max | 48 | 46 | +34 |
| Min | 3 | 14 | -27 |
Games Played: 14
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | 7.14% | — | — | — | — | 7.14% |
| 14–20 | — | 7.14% | 14.29% | — | 7.14% | — | — | 28.57% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | 7.14% | — | 21.43% |
| 28–34 | — | 7.14% | — | — | 14.29% | — | — | 21.43% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | 7.14% | 21.43% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 14.29% | 28.57% | 7.14% | 28.57% | 14.29% | 7.14% | 100% |
Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 24.79 | 25.21 | -0.43 |
| SD | 8.83 | 9.78 | 8.59 |
| CV | 0.36 | 0.39 | — |
| Max | 38 | 42 | +20 |
| Min | 13 | 10 | -16 |
Games Played: 14
Actual Wins vs. Point Differential
Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Rams | 12 | 8.76 | +3.24 |
| 2 | Baltimore Colts | 12 | 9.60 | +2.40 |
| 3 | New York Giants | 7 | 5.31 | +1.69 |
| 4 | Chicago Bears | 7.5 | 6.86 | +0.64 |
| 5 | San Francisco 49ers | 7 | 6.53 | +0.47 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Orleans Saints | 3 | 5.33 | -2.33 |
| 2 | Atlanta Falcons | 1.5 | 3.15 | -1.65 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 4.5 | 5.89 | -1.39 |
| 4 | Minnesota Vikings | 4.5 | 5.75 | -1.25 |
| 5 | St. Louis Cardinals | 6.5 | 7.19 | -0.69 |
Top Streaks
The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Rams | 8 | Oct 29 – Dec 17 | 1 in 52 |
| 2 | Baltimore Colts | 7 | Oct 29 – Dec 10 | 1 in 16 |
| 3 | San Francisco 49ers | 3 | Oct 8 – Oct 22 | 1 in 13 |
| 4 | St. Louis Cardinals | 3 | Sep 24 – Oct 8 | 1 in 12 |
| 5 | Chicago Bears | 3 | Nov 5 – Nov 19 | 1 in 11 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Orleans Saints | 7 | Sep 17 – Oct 29 | 1 in 109 |
| 2 | San Francisco 49ers | 6 | Oct 29 – Dec 3 | 1 in 49 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 5 | Sep 24 – Oct 22 | 1 in 41 |
| 4 | Green Bay Packers | 2 | Dec 9 – Dec 17 | 1 in 22 |
| 5 | Minnesota Vikings | 4 | Sep 17 – Oct 8 | 1 in 16 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Cowboys | 62.40% | 23.83% | 10.48% | 3.29% |
| Washington Redskins | 17.75% | 32.94% | 32.04% | 17.27% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 16.37% | 32.51% | 33.30% | 17.82% |
| New Orleans Saints | 3.48% | 10.72% | 24.18% | 61.62% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 84.18% | 12.30% | 2.85% | 0.67% |
| Chicago Bears | 9.25% | 41.63% | 29.85% | 19.27% |
| Detroit Lions | 3.75% | 25.24% | 34.39% | 36.62% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 2.82% | 20.83% | 32.91% | 43.44% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | 62.83% | 24.62% | 9.28% | 3.27% |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 23.93% | 38.70% | 24.54% | 12.83% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 8.62% | 21.51% | 36.49% | 33.38% |
| New York Giants | 4.62% | 15.17% | 29.69% | 50.52% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Colts | 60.01% | 31.98% | 7.87% | 0.14% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 34.53% | 48.94% | 16.02% | 0.51% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5.44% | 18.61% | 68.06% | 7.89% |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.02% | 0.47% | 8.05% | 91.46% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Cowboys | 37.56% | 25.06% | 14.93% | 10.27% | 6.09% | 3.56% | 1.87% | 0.66% |
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | 31.23% | 26.76% | 15.79% | 11.28% | 6.67% | 4.47% | 2.54% | 1.26% |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 10.04% | 13.38% | 16.42% | 17.32% | 14.91% | 12.96% | 9.21% | 5.76% |
| Washington Redskins | 8.52% | 12.19% | 17.27% | 16.54% | 16.07% | 13.31% | 9.84% | 6.26% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 7.85% | 12.12% | 16.19% | 17.15% | 16.43% | 13.74% | 10.00% | 6.52% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2.46% | 5.15% | 8.57% | 11.59% | 14.96% | 19.22% | 18.94% | 19.11% |
| New York Giants | 1.21% | 2.86% | 5.29% | 8.43% | 12.14% | 16.80% | 22.44% | 30.83% |
| New Orleans Saints | 1.13% | 2.48% | 5.54% | 7.42% | 12.73% | 15.94% | 25.16% | 29.60% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 43.05% | 32.46% | 13.66% | 6.60% | 2.79% | 1.13% | 0.31% | — |
| Baltimore Colts | 33.74% | 29.36% | 20.15% | 9.70% | 4.46% | 2.14% | 0.43% | 0.02% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 17.02% | 23.14% | 29.05% | 15.79% | 8.53% | 4.92% | 1.37% | 0.18% |
| Chicago Bears | 2.95% | 6.16% | 13.38% | 22.51% | 21.24% | 17.18% | 13.43% | 3.15% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 1.78% | 4.63% | 10.36% | 17.03% | 24.70% | 23.55% | 12.98% | 4.97% |
| Detroit Lions | 0.82% | 2.36% | 7.24% | 15.18% | 18.69% | 23.06% | 24.92% | 7.73% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 0.64% | 1.85% | 5.99% | 12.67% | 17.51% | 22.79% | 28.29% | 10.26% |
| Atlanta Falcons | — | 0.04% | 0.17% | 0.52% | 2.08% | 5.23% | 18.27% | 73.69% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 31.60% | 21.27% | 15.73% | 10.18% | 7.26% | 5.02% | 3.17% | 2.24% | 1.39% | 0.93% | 0.55% | 0.36% | 0.19% | 0.07% | 0.04% | — |
| Baltimore Colts | 24.49% | 17.60% | 15.81% | 12.00% | 9.24% | 6.83% | 4.61% | 3.37% | 2.14% | 1.68% | 1.01% | 0.78% | 0.31% | 0.10% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
| Dallas Cowboys | 12.69% | 16.00% | 14.00% | 13.22% | 10.74% | 8.55% | 6.84% | 5.22% | 3.77% | 3.07% | 2.28% | 1.56% | 1.04% | 0.61% | 0.29% | 0.12% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 11.42% | 11.99% | 13.57% | 12.58% | 12.97% | 9.47% | 7.79% | 5.95% | 4.29% | 3.57% | 2.68% | 1.95% | 0.86% | 0.64% | 0.21% | 0.06% |
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | 10.00% | 13.77% | 13.29% | 14.07% | 10.37% | 9.00% | 7.26% | 6.06% | 4.43% | 3.68% | 2.73% | 2.01% | 1.45% | 1.13% | 0.56% | 0.19% |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 2.42% | 4.56% | 5.62% | 6.94% | 7.95% | 9.23% | 8.57% | 9.59% | 8.60% | 8.15% | 7.38% | 6.67% | 5.44% | 4.59% | 3.30% | 0.99% |
| Washington Redskins | 2.05% | 3.93% | 4.83% | 6.81% | 7.52% | 9.47% | 9.59% | 8.70% | 9.04% | 8.76% | 7.64% | 6.50% | 5.98% | 4.60% | 3.53% | 1.05% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 1.75% | 3.77% | 4.58% | 6.65% | 7.32% | 8.81% | 9.13% | 9.78% | 9.14% | 8.53% | 7.89% | 6.96% | 5.95% | 4.64% | 3.68% | 1.42% |
| Chicago Bears | 1.46% | 2.59% | 3.74% | 4.95% | 6.49% | 8.31% | 9.35% | 9.77% | 9.47% | 9.45% | 8.83% | 7.95% | 6.12% | 6.07% | 3.86% | 1.59% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 0.85% | 1.50% | 2.90% | 3.58% | 5.72% | 6.09% | 8.16% | 8.72% | 10.50% | 10.27% | 10.16% | 9.77% | 7.97% | 6.97% | 4.08% | 2.76% |
| Detroit Lions | 0.39% | 0.78% | 1.36% | 2.05% | 4.04% | 4.41% | 6.56% | 7.67% | 8.37% | 8.69% | 10.29% | 10.64% | 10.71% | 11.36% | 7.73% | 4.95% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 0.30% | 0.93% | 1.80% | 2.48% | 3.24% | 5.13% | 5.63% | 6.79% | 7.47% | 9.09% | 9.82% | 10.06% | 11.18% | 10.43% | 10.82% | 4.83% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 0.34% | 0.46% | 1.13% | 1.90% | 2.84% | 3.85% | 5.54% | 6.20% | 8.09% | 8.61% | 10.02% | 11.31% | 11.49% | 12.15% | 9.65% | 6.42% |
| New York Giants | 0.13% | 0.48% | 0.91% | 1.49% | 1.92% | 2.72% | 3.93% | 4.95% | 6.49% | 7.11% | 8.47% | 10.12% | 12.53% | 12.94% | 16.36% | 9.45% |
| New Orleans Saints | 0.11% | 0.36% | 0.71% | 1.10% | 2.32% | 2.97% | 3.64% | 4.68% | 6.12% | 7.17% | 8.63% | 10.07% | 13.43% | 13.87% | 15.70% | 9.12% |
| Atlanta Falcons | — | 0.01% | 0.02% | — | 0.06% | 0.14% | 0.23% | 0.31% | 0.69% | 1.24% | 1.62% | 3.29% | 5.35% | 9.83% | 20.17% | 57.04% |
Win Totals in Context
How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Cowboys | 37.56% | 25.06% | 37.38% |
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | 31.23% | 26.76% | 42.01% |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 10.04% | 13.38% | 76.58% |
| Washington Redskins | 8.52% | 12.19% | 79.29% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 7.85% | 12.12% | 80.03% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2.46% | 5.15% | 92.39% |
| New York Giants | 1.21% | 2.86% | 95.93% |
| New Orleans Saints | 1.13% | 2.48% | 96.39% |
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 43.05% | 32.46% | 24.49% |
| Baltimore Colts | 33.74% | 29.36% | 36.90% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 17.02% | 23.14% | 59.84% |
| Chicago Bears | 2.95% | 6.16% | 90.89% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 1.78% | 4.63% | 93.59% |
| Detroit Lions | 0.82% | 2.36% | 96.82% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 0.64% | 1.85% | 97.51% |
| Atlanta Falcons | — | 0.04% | 99.96% |
Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed
The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Super Bowl | Won Super Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 75.51% | 37.85% | 26.34% |
| Baltimore Colts | 63.10% | 34.34% | 23.92% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 40.16% | 22.42% | 15.84% |
| Dallas Cowboys | 62.62% | 37.42% | 12.83% |
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | 57.99% | 34.08% | 12.05% |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 23.42% | 8.46% | 2.02% |
| Washington Redskins | 20.71% | 8.17% | 1.99% |
| Chicago Bears | 9.11% | 2.84% | 1.50% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 19.97% | 7.15% | 1.48% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 6.41% | 1.42% | 0.68% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 7.61% | 2.20% | 0.45% |
| New York Giants | 4.07% | 1.40% | 0.33% |
| Detroit Lions | 3.18% | 0.68% | 0.26% |
| New Orleans Saints | 3.61% | 1.12% | 0.20% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 2.49% | 0.45% | 0.11% |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.04% | — | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Cleveland Browns (1st) | Dallas Cowboys | New Orleans Saints | New York Giants | Philadelphia Eagles | Pittsburgh Steelers | St. Louis Cardinals | Washington Redskins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | 16.12% | 1.19% | 0.56% | 5.44% | 1.02% | 4.05% | 5.70% | |
| Dallas Cowboys | 15.95% | 0.72% | 1.38% | 4.63% | 2.89% | 7.59% | 4.26% | |
| New Orleans Saints | 0.33% | 0.22% | 0.02% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.31% | 0.07% | |
| New York Giants | 0.25% | 0.54% | 0.05% | 0.22% | 0.07% | 0.08% | 0.19% | |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2.43% | 1.91% | 0.09% | 0.27% | 0.49% | 1.22% | 0.74% | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 0.39% | 0.89% | 0.08% | 0.05% | 0.22% | 0.29% | 0.28% | |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 1.76% | 3.27% | 0.27% | 0.14% | 1.44% | 0.28% | 1.30% | |
| Washington Redskins | 2.80% | 2.25% | 0.09% | 0.25% | 0.81% | 0.55% | 1.42% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Falcons | Baltimore Colts | Chicago Bears | Detroit Lions | Green Bay Packers | Los Angeles Rams | Minnesota Vikings | San Francisco 49ers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Colts | 0.03% | 2.65% | 1.03% | 22.52% | 6.07% | 0.88% | 1.16% | |
| Chicago Bears | 1.16% | 0.08% | 0.89% | 0.51% | 0.04% | 0.16% | ||
| Detroit Lions | 0.30% | 0.03% | 0.18% | 0.11% | 0.06% | |||
| Green Bay Packers | 0.01% | 20.60% | 2.07% | 0.80% | 10.85% | 0.64% | 2.88% | |
| Los Angeles Rams | 6.23% | 1.38% | 0.52% | 13.19% | 0.42% | 0.68% | ||
| Minnesota Vikings | 0.19% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.12% | 0.07% | 0.05% | ||
| San Francisco 49ers | 0.28% | 0.13% | 0.06% | 0.76% | 0.13% | 0.06% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Baltimore Colts | Chicago Bears | Cleveland Browns (1st) | Dallas Cowboys | Detroit Lions | Green Bay Packers | Los Angeles Rams | Minnesota Vikings | New Orleans Saints | New York Giants | Philadelphia Eagles | Pittsburgh Steelers | San Francisco 49ers | St. Louis Cardinals | Washington Redskins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Colts | 7.99% | 8.42% | 0.39% | 0.28% | 1.78% | 0.60% | 2.15% | 2.31% | |||||||
| Chicago Bears | 0.43% | 0.66% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.09% | 0.14% | 0.14% | ||||||||
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | 4.13% | 0.44% | 0.16% | 4.29% | 2.70% | 0.11% | 0.22% | ||||||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 4.06% | 0.66% | 0.13% | 4.88% | 2.62% | 0.13% | 0.35% | ||||||||
| Detroit Lions | 0.06% | 0.07% | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.02% | ||||||||
| Green Bay Packers | 8.14% | 9.52% | 0.28% | 0.51% | 2.34% | 0.63% | 2.63% | 2.29% | |||||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 5.13% | 5.68% | 0.23% | 0.23% | 1.33% | 0.46% | 1.42% | 1.36% | |||||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.03% | ||||||||||
| New Orleans Saints | 0.09% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.04% | ||||||||||
| New York Giants | 0.16% | 0.01% | 0.12% | 0.04% | |||||||||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 0.48% | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.54% | 0.34% | 0.02% | 0.03% | ||||||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 0.14% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.19% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.02% | ||||||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 0.25% | 0.22% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.03% | 0.07% | 0.03% | ||||||||
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0.70% | 0.05% | 0.04% | 0.76% | 0.37% | 0.04% | 0.06% | ||||||||
| Washington Redskins | 0.66% | 0.10% | 0.05% | 0.69% | 0.40% | 0.03% | 0.06% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Advanced to Super Bowl | Won Super Bowl |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | 57.07% | 40.80% |
| Baltimore Colts | 42.93% | 29.48% |
| Dallas Cowboys | 52.80% | 15.44% |
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | 47.20% | 14.28% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Cleveland Browns (1st) | Dallas Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | 47.20% | |
| Dallas Cowboys | 52.80% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Baltimore Colts | Los Angeles Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Colts | 42.93% | |
| Los Angeles Rams | 57.07% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Baltimore Colts | Cleveland Browns (1st) | Dallas Cowboys | Los Angeles Rams |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Colts | 13.50% | 15.98% | ||
| Cleveland Browns (1st) | 6.41% | 7.87% | ||
| Dallas Cowboys | 7.04% | 8.40% | ||
| Los Angeles Rams | 19.42% | 21.38% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1967-09-17 | @ Baltimore Colts | L 31-38 | 1342.44 | 1571.30 | 15.88% | 74.50% | -5.92 | 0-1 |
| 1967-09-24 | @ San Francisco 49ers | L 7-38 | 1336.52 | 1524.81 | 19.21% | 70.97% | -14.96 | 0-2 |
| 1967-10-01 | @ Green Bay Packers | L 0-23 | 1321.56 | 1641.46 | 10.15% | 80.81% | -6.87 | 0-3 |
| 1967-10-08 | Philadelphia Eagles | L 7-38 | 1314.69 | 1517.92 | 22.52% | 67.50% | -17.45 | 0-4 |
| 1967-10-15 | Washington Redskins | T 20-20 | 1297.24 | 1504.77 | 22.09% | 67.95% | +1.43 | 0-4 |
| 1967-10-22 | @ Detroit Lions | L 3-24 | 1298.67 | 1421.50 | 25.68% | 64.23% | -16.27 | 0-5 |
| 1967-10-29 | Minnesota Vikings | W 21-20 | 1282.40 | 1430.01 | 28.56% | 61.27% | +7.94 | 1-5 |
| 1967-11-05 | @ Dallas Cowboys | L 7-37 | 1290.34 | 1572.36 | 12.27% | 78.44% | -9.48 | 1-6 |
| 1967-11-12 | Baltimore Colts | L 7-49 | 1280.86 | 1668.38 | 9.29% | 81.79% | -8.49 | 1-7 |
| 1967-11-19 | Los Angeles Rams | L 3-31 | 1272.37 | 1642.92 | 10.13% | 80.84% | -7.56 | 1-8 |
| 1967-11-26 | @ New Orleans Saints | L 24-27 | 1264.81 | 1361.16 | 28.69% | 61.14% | -6.83 | 1-9 |
| 1967-12-03 | @ Los Angeles Rams | L 3-20 | 1257.98 | 1666.04 | 6.45% | 85.18% | -3.73 | 1-10 |
| 1967-12-10 | San Francisco 49ers | L 28-34 | 1254.25 | 1432.40 | 25.12% | 64.81% | -8.52 | 1-11 |
| 1967-12-17 | Chicago Bears | L 14-23 | 1245.73 | 1545.95 | 14.34% | 76.16% | -6.06 | 1-12 |
| 1967-09-17 | Atlanta Falcons | W 38-31 | 1571.30 | 1342.44 | 74.50% | 15.88% | +5.91 | 1-0 |
| 1967-09-24 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | W 38-6 | 1577.21 | 1533.96 | 47.43% | 42.23% | +31.82 | 2-0 |
| 1967-10-01 | San Francisco 49ers | W 41-7 | 1609.03 | 1539.78 | 57.77% | 31.99% | +25.43 | 3-0 |
| 1967-10-08 | @ Chicago Bears | W 24-3 | 1634.46 | 1492.38 | 60.60% | 29.21% | +18.37 | 4-0 |
| 1967-10-15 | Los Angeles Rams | T 24-24 | 1652.83 | 1602.43 | 55.32% | 34.40% | -0.63 | 4-0 |
| 1967-10-22 | @ Minnesota Vikings | T 20-20 | 1652.20 | 1428.48 | 69.56% | 20.54% | -1.54 | 4-0 |
| 1967-10-29 | @ Washington Redskins | W 17-13 | 1650.66 | 1504.36 | 61.11% | 28.71% | +7.89 | 5-0 |
| 1967-11-05 | Green Bay Packers | W 13-10 | 1658.55 | 1668.21 | 47.04% | 42.62% | +9.83 | 6-0 |
| 1967-11-12 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W 49-7 | 1668.38 | 1280.86 | 81.79% | 9.29% | +8.49 | 7-0 |
| 1967-11-19 | Detroit Lions | W 41-7 | 1676.87 | 1464.39 | 73.13% | 17.16% | +14.05 | 8-0 |
| 1967-11-26 | @ San Francisco 49ers | W 26-9 | 1690.92 | 1462.94 | 69.98% | 20.15% | +11.61 | 9-0 |
| 1967-12-03 | Dallas Cowboys | W 23-17 | 1702.53 | 1596.10 | 62.34% | 27.52% | +9.29 | 10-0 |
| 1967-12-10 | New Orleans Saints | W 30-10 | 1711.82 | 1355.78 | 82.78% | 8.45% | +5.32 | 11-0 |
| 1967-12-17 | @ Los Angeles Rams | L 10-34 | 1717.14 | 1680.48 | 46.49% | 43.17% | -30.04 | 11-1 |
| 1967-09-17 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | L 13-41 | 1512.45 | 1465.13 | 48.00% | 41.65% | -33.41 | 0-1 |
| 1967-09-24 | @ Green Bay Packers | L 10-13 | 1479.04 | 1636.13 | 22.12% | 67.92% | -5.33 | 0-2 |
| 1967-10-01 | @ Minnesota Vikings | W 17-7 | 1473.71 | 1446.87 | 45.08% | 44.57% | +18.67 | 1-2 |
| 1967-10-08 | Baltimore Colts | L 3-24 | 1492.38 | 1634.46 | 29.21% | 60.60% | -18.37 | 1-3 |
| 1967-10-15 | Detroit Lions | W 14-3 | 1474.01 | 1437.74 | 53.43% | 36.27% | +16.24 | 2-3 |
| 1967-10-22 | @ Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 0-24 | 1490.25 | 1571.44 | 30.51% | 59.28% | -20.45 | 2-4 |
| 1967-10-29 | Los Angeles Rams | L 17-28 | 1469.80 | 1602.04 | 30.40% | 59.39% | -13.79 | 2-5 |
| 1967-11-05 | @ Detroit Lions | W 27-13 | 1456.01 | 1490.43 | 36.52% | 53.18% | +25.97 | 3-5 |
| 1967-11-12 | New York Giants | W 34-7 | 1481.98 | 1406.79 | 58.52% | 31.25% | +22.18 | 4-5 |
| 1967-11-19 | St. Louis Cardinals | W 30-3 | 1504.16 | 1534.96 | 44.01% | 45.65% | +31.34 | 5-5 |
| 1967-11-26 | Green Bay Packers | L 13-17 | 1535.50 | 1697.49 | 26.90% | 62.97% | -7.42 | 5-6 |
| 1967-12-03 | @ San Francisco 49ers | W 28-14 | 1528.08 | 1451.33 | 52.11% | 37.57% | +18.93 | 6-6 |
| 1967-12-10 | Minnesota Vikings | T 10-10 | 1547.01 | 1442.65 | 62.09% | 27.76% | -1.06 | 6-6 |
| 1967-12-17 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W 23-14 | 1545.95 | 1245.73 | 76.16% | 14.34% | +6.07 | 7-6 |
| 1967-09-17 | Dallas Cowboys | L 14-21 | 1565.31 | 1574.05 | 47.17% | 42.49% | -16.44 | 0-1 |
| 1967-09-24 | @ Detroit Lions | L 14-31 | 1548.87 | 1434.00 | 57.19% | 32.56% | -30.66 | 0-2 |
| 1967-10-01 | @ New Orleans Saints | W 42-7 | 1518.21 | 1450.24 | 50.90% | 38.77% | +30.80 | 1-2 |
| 1967-10-07 | Pittsburgh Steelers | W 21-10 | 1549.01 | 1455.75 | 60.76% | 29.06% | +13.23 | 2-2 |
| 1967-10-15 | St. Louis Cardinals | W 20-16 | 1562.24 | 1507.89 | 55.84% | 33.89% | +9.20 | 3-2 |
| 1967-10-22 | Chicago Bears | W 24-0 | 1571.44 | 1490.25 | 59.28% | 30.51% | +20.45 | 4-2 |
| 1967-10-29 | @ New York Giants | L 34-38 | 1591.89 | 1398.96 | 66.42% | 23.56% | -17.20 | 4-3 |
| 1967-11-05 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | W 34-14 | 1574.69 | 1435.13 | 60.29% | 29.52% | +18.10 | 5-3 |
| 1967-11-12 | @ Green Bay Packers | L 7-55 | 1592.79 | 1658.38 | 32.45% | 57.30% | -30.62 | 5-4 |
| 1967-11-19 | Minnesota Vikings | W 14-10 | 1562.17 | 1431.50 | 65.10% | 24.83% | +6.88 | 6-4 |
| 1967-11-26 | Washington Redskins | W 42-37 | 1569.05 | 1512.74 | 56.10% | 33.63% | +10.21 | 7-4 |
| 1967-12-03 | New York Giants | W 24-14 | 1579.26 | 1445.31 | 65.46% | 24.48% | +10.73 | 8-4 |
| 1967-12-10 | @ St. Louis Cardinals | W 20-16 | 1589.99 | 1494.13 | 54.70% | 35.02% | +9.49 | 9-4 |
| 1967-12-17 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | L 24-28 | 1599.48 | 1440.45 | 62.62% | 27.24% | -16.23 | 9-5 |
| 1967-09-17 | @ Cleveland Browns (1st) | W 21-14 | 1574.05 | 1565.31 | 42.49% | 47.17% | +16.44 | 1-0 |
| 1967-09-24 | New York Giants | W 38-24 | 1590.49 | 1404.06 | 70.79% | 19.37% | +10.14 | 2-0 |
| 1967-10-01 | Los Angeles Rams | L 13-35 | 1600.63 | 1585.25 | 50.56% | 39.11% | -31.06 | 2-1 |
| 1967-10-08 | @ Washington Redskins | W 17-14 | 1569.57 | 1514.15 | 49.15% | 40.52% | +9.38 | 3-1 |
| 1967-10-15 | New Orleans Saints | W 14-10 | 1578.95 | 1404.58 | 69.64% | 20.47% | +5.72 | 4-1 |
| 1967-10-22 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | W 24-21 | 1584.67 | 1430.31 | 62.07% | 27.78% | +6.62 | 5-1 |
| 1967-10-29 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | L 14-21 | 1591.29 | 1493.77 | 54.92% | 34.80% | -18.93 | 5-2 |
| 1967-11-05 | Atlanta Falcons | W 37-7 | 1572.36 | 1290.34 | 78.44% | 12.27% | +9.48 | 6-2 |
| 1967-11-12 | @ New Orleans Saints | W 27-10 | 1581.84 | 1395.44 | 65.71% | 24.24% | +13.86 | 7-2 |
| 1967-11-19 | Washington Redskins | L 20-27 | 1595.70 | 1491.45 | 62.08% | 27.77% | -21.29 | 7-3 |
| 1967-11-23 | St. Louis Cardinals | W 46-21 | 1574.41 | 1503.61 | 57.97% | 31.79% | +21.69 | 8-3 |
| 1967-12-03 | @ Baltimore Colts | L 17-23 | 1596.10 | 1702.53 | 27.52% | 62.34% | -9.29 | 8-4 |
| 1967-12-10 | Philadelphia Eagles | W 38-17 | 1586.81 | 1456.22 | 65.09% | 24.84% | +15.77 | 9-4 |
| 1967-12-16 | @ San Francisco 49ers | L 16-24 | 1602.58 | 1440.92 | 62.93% | 26.94% | -23.07 | 9-5 |
| 1967-09-17 | @ Green Bay Packers | T 17-17 | 1432.28 | 1637.85 | 17.73% | 72.53% | +1.72 | 0-0 |
| 1967-09-24 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | W 31-14 | 1434.00 | 1548.87 | 32.56% | 57.19% | +30.66 | 1-0 |
| 1967-10-01 | @ St. Louis Cardinals | L 28-38 | 1464.66 | 1474.26 | 39.91% | 49.76% | -16.90 | 1-1 |
| 1967-10-08 | Green Bay Packers | L 17-27 | 1447.76 | 1648.33 | 22.78% | 67.23% | -10.02 | 1-2 |
| 1967-10-15 | @ Chicago Bears | L 3-14 | 1437.74 | 1474.01 | 36.27% | 53.43% | -16.24 | 1-3 |
| 1967-10-22 | Atlanta Falcons | W 24-3 | 1421.50 | 1298.67 | 64.23% | 25.68% | +16.27 | 2-3 |
| 1967-10-29 | @ San Francisco 49ers | W 45-3 | 1437.77 | 1547.31 | 27.16% | 62.70% | +52.66 | 3-3 |
| 1967-11-05 | Chicago Bears | L 13-27 | 1490.43 | 1456.01 | 53.18% | 36.52% | -25.97 | 3-4 |
| 1967-11-12 | @ Minnesota Vikings | T 10-10 | 1464.46 | 1431.43 | 45.97% | 43.69% | -0.07 | 3-4 |
| 1967-11-19 | @ Baltimore Colts | L 7-41 | 1464.39 | 1676.87 | 17.16% | 73.13% | -14.05 | 3-5 |
| 1967-11-23 | Los Angeles Rams | L 7-31 | 1450.34 | 1650.49 | 22.83% | 67.18% | -15.55 | 3-6 |
| 1967-12-03 | Pittsburgh Steelers | L 14-24 | 1434.79 | 1378.70 | 56.07% | 33.66% | -23.08 | 3-7 |
| 1967-12-10 | @ New York Giants | W 30-7 | 1411.71 | 1434.58 | 38.08% | 51.60% | +32.37 | 4-7 |
| 1967-12-17 | Minnesota Vikings | W 14-3 | 1444.08 | 1443.71 | 48.46% | 41.20% | +18.24 | 5-7 |
| 1967-09-17 | Detroit Lions | T 17-17 | 1637.85 | 1432.28 | 72.53% | 17.73% | -1.72 | 0-0 |
| 1967-09-24 | Chicago Bears | W 13-10 | 1636.13 | 1479.04 | 67.92% | 22.12% | +5.33 | 1-0 |
| 1967-10-01 | Atlanta Falcons | W 23-0 | 1641.46 | 1321.56 | 80.81% | 10.15% | +6.87 | 2-0 |
| 1967-10-08 | @ Detroit Lions | W 27-17 | 1648.33 | 1447.76 | 67.23% | 22.78% | +10.02 | 3-0 |
| 1967-10-15 | Minnesota Vikings | L 7-10 | 1658.35 | 1411.47 | 75.92% | 14.56% | -17.00 | 3-1 |
| 1967-10-22 | @ New York Giants | W 48-21 | 1641.35 | 1413.61 | 69.95% | 20.17% | +14.64 | 4-1 |
| 1967-10-30 | @ St. Louis Cardinals | W 31-23 | 1655.99 | 1533.80 | 58.12% | 31.64% | +12.22 | 5-1 |
| 1967-11-05 | @ Baltimore Colts | L 10-13 | 1668.21 | 1658.55 | 42.62% | 47.04% | -9.83 | 5-2 |
| 1967-11-12 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | W 55-7 | 1658.38 | 1592.79 | 57.30% | 32.45% | +30.63 | 6-2 |
| 1967-11-19 | San Francisco 49ers | W 13-0 | 1689.01 | 1471.43 | 73.57% | 16.75% | +8.48 | 7-2 |
| 1967-11-26 | @ Chicago Bears | W 17-13 | 1697.49 | 1535.50 | 62.97% | 26.90% | +7.43 | 8-2 |
| 1967-12-03 | @ Minnesota Vikings | W 30-27 | 1704.92 | 1446.92 | 72.73% | 17.54% | +4.26 | 9-2 |
| 1967-12-09 | @ Los Angeles Rams | L 24-27 | 1709.18 | 1669.77 | 46.88% | 42.78% | -10.70 | 9-3 |
| 1967-12-17 | Pittsburgh Steelers | L 17-24 | 1698.48 | 1391.33 | 80.05% | 10.82% | -27.37 | 9-4 |
| 1967-09-17 | @ New Orleans Saints | W 27-13 | 1539.74 | 1500.00 | 46.93% | 42.73% | +21.27 | 1-0 |
| 1967-09-22 | Minnesota Vikings | W 39-3 | 1561.01 | 1471.11 | 60.35% | 29.46% | +24.24 | 2-0 |
| 1967-10-01 | @ Dallas Cowboys | W 35-13 | 1585.25 | 1600.63 | 39.11% | 50.56% | +31.06 | 3-0 |
| 1967-10-08 | San Francisco 49ers | L 24-27 | 1616.31 | 1514.34 | 61.81% | 28.03% | -13.88 | 3-1 |
| 1967-10-15 | @ Baltimore Colts | T 24-24 | 1602.43 | 1652.83 | 34.40% | 55.32% | +0.64 | 3-1 |
| 1967-10-22 | Washington Redskins | T 28-28 | 1603.07 | 1503.34 | 61.54% | 28.29% | -1.03 | 3-1 |
| 1967-10-29 | @ Chicago Bears | W 28-17 | 1602.04 | 1469.80 | 59.39% | 30.40% | +13.80 | 4-1 |
| 1967-11-05 | @ San Francisco 49ers | W 17-7 | 1615.84 | 1494.64 | 58.00% | 31.76% | +13.71 | 5-1 |
| 1967-11-12 | Philadelphia Eagles | W 33-17 | 1629.55 | 1492.07 | 65.85% | 24.11% | +13.37 | 6-1 |
| 1967-11-19 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W 31-3 | 1642.92 | 1272.37 | 80.84% | 10.13% | +7.57 | 7-1 |
| 1967-11-23 | @ Detroit Lions | W 31-7 | 1650.49 | 1450.34 | 67.18% | 22.83% | +15.55 | 8-1 |
| 1967-12-03 | Atlanta Falcons | W 20-3 | 1666.04 | 1257.98 | 85.18% | 6.45% | +3.73 | 9-1 |
| 1967-12-09 | Green Bay Packers | W 27-24 | 1669.77 | 1709.18 | 42.78% | 46.88% | +10.71 | 10-1 |
| 1967-12-17 | Baltimore Colts | W 34-10 | 1680.48 | 1717.14 | 43.17% | 46.49% | +30.04 | 11-1 |
| 1967-09-17 | San Francisco 49ers | L 21-27 | 1485.67 | 1510.25 | 44.90% | 44.76% | -14.56 | 0-1 |
| 1967-09-22 | @ Los Angeles Rams | L 3-39 | 1471.11 | 1561.01 | 29.46% | 60.35% | -24.24 | 0-2 |
| 1967-10-01 | Chicago Bears | L 7-17 | 1446.87 | 1473.71 | 44.57% | 45.08% | -18.67 | 0-3 |
| 1967-10-08 | St. Louis Cardinals | L 24-34 | 1428.20 | 1491.16 | 39.47% | 50.20% | -16.73 | 0-4 |
| 1967-10-15 | @ Green Bay Packers | W 10-7 | 1411.47 | 1658.35 | 14.56% | 75.92% | +17.01 | 1-4 |
| 1967-10-22 | Baltimore Colts | T 20-20 | 1428.48 | 1652.20 | 20.54% | 69.56% | +1.53 | 1-4 |
| 1967-10-29 | @ Atlanta Falcons | L 20-21 | 1430.01 | 1282.40 | 61.27% | 28.56% | -7.95 | 1-5 |
| 1967-11-05 | New York Giants | W 27-24 | 1422.06 | 1416.16 | 49.24% | 40.43% | +9.37 | 2-5 |
| 1967-11-12 | Detroit Lions | T 10-10 | 1431.43 | 1464.46 | 43.69% | 45.97% | +0.07 | 2-5 |
| 1967-11-19 | @ Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 10-14 | 1431.50 | 1562.17 | 24.83% | 65.10% | -6.88 | 2-6 |
| 1967-11-26 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | W 41-27 | 1424.62 | 1401.00 | 44.62% | 45.04% | +22.30 | 3-6 |
| 1967-12-03 | Green Bay Packers | L 27-30 | 1446.92 | 1704.92 | 17.54% | 72.73% | -4.27 | 3-7 |
| 1967-12-10 | @ Chicago Bears | T 10-10 | 1442.65 | 1547.01 | 27.76% | 62.09% | +1.06 | 3-7 |
| 1967-12-17 | @ Detroit Lions | L 3-14 | 1443.71 | 1444.08 | 41.20% | 48.46% | -18.24 | 3-8 |
| 1967-09-17 | Los Angeles Rams | L 13-27 | 1500.00 | 1539.74 | 42.73% | 46.93% | -21.27 | 0-1 |
| 1967-09-24 | Washington Redskins | L 10-30 | 1478.73 | 1478.27 | 48.47% | 41.19% | -28.49 | 0-2 |
| 1967-10-01 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 7-42 | 1450.24 | 1518.21 | 38.77% | 50.90% | -30.80 | 0-3 |
| 1967-10-08 | @ New York Giants | L 21-27 | 1419.44 | 1386.53 | 45.95% | 43.70% | -14.86 | 0-4 |
| 1967-10-15 | @ Dallas Cowboys | L 10-14 | 1404.58 | 1578.95 | 20.47% | 69.64% | -5.72 | 0-5 |
| 1967-10-22 | @ San Francisco 49ers | L 13-27 | 1398.86 | 1534.71 | 24.28% | 65.67% | -12.60 | 0-6 |
| 1967-10-29 | Pittsburgh Steelers | L 10-14 | 1386.26 | 1423.69 | 43.06% | 46.60% | -11.45 | 0-7 |
| 1967-11-05 | Philadelphia Eagles | W 31-24 | 1374.81 | 1512.70 | 29.72% | 60.09% | +20.63 | 1-7 |
| 1967-11-12 | Dallas Cowboys | L 10-27 | 1395.44 | 1581.84 | 24.24% | 65.71% | -13.86 | 1-8 |
| 1967-11-19 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | L 21-48 | 1381.58 | 1478.69 | 28.60% | 61.23% | -20.42 | 1-9 |
| 1967-11-26 | Atlanta Falcons | W 27-24 | 1361.16 | 1264.81 | 61.14% | 28.69% | +6.83 | 2-9 |
| 1967-12-03 | @ St. Louis Cardinals | L 20-31 | 1367.99 | 1481.92 | 26.67% | 63.21% | -12.21 | 2-10 |
| 1967-12-10 | @ Baltimore Colts | L 10-30 | 1355.78 | 1711.82 | 8.45% | 82.78% | -5.32 | 2-11 |
| 1967-12-17 | @ Washington Redskins | W 30-14 | 1350.46 | 1512.36 | 21.65% | 68.41% | +35.41 | 3-11 |
| 1967-09-17 | @ St. Louis Cardinals | W 37-20 | 1370.51 | 1480.79 | 27.08% | 62.79% | +33.55 | 1-0 |
| 1967-09-24 | @ Dallas Cowboys | L 24-38 | 1404.06 | 1590.49 | 19.37% | 70.79% | -10.14 | 1-1 |
| 1967-10-01 | @ Washington Redskins | L 34-38 | 1393.92 | 1506.76 | 26.79% | 63.08% | -7.39 | 1-2 |
| 1967-10-08 | New Orleans Saints | W 27-21 | 1386.53 | 1419.44 | 43.70% | 45.95% | +14.86 | 2-2 |
| 1967-10-15 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | W 27-24 | 1401.39 | 1442.52 | 35.62% | 54.08% | +12.22 | 3-2 |
| 1967-10-22 | Green Bay Packers | L 21-48 | 1413.61 | 1641.35 | 20.17% | 69.95% | -14.65 | 3-3 |
| 1967-10-29 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | W 38-34 | 1398.96 | 1591.89 | 23.56% | 66.42% | +17.20 | 4-3 |
| 1967-11-05 | @ Minnesota Vikings | L 24-27 | 1416.16 | 1422.06 | 40.43% | 49.24% | -9.37 | 4-4 |
| 1967-11-12 | @ Chicago Bears | L 7-34 | 1406.79 | 1481.98 | 31.25% | 58.52% | -22.18 | 4-5 |
| 1967-11-19 | Pittsburgh Steelers | W 28-20 | 1384.61 | 1418.20 | 43.61% | 46.05% | +17.20 | 5-5 |
| 1967-11-26 | Philadelphia Eagles | W 44-7 | 1401.81 | 1499.11 | 34.83% | 54.89% | +43.50 | 6-5 |
| 1967-12-03 | @ Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 14-24 | 1445.31 | 1579.26 | 24.48% | 65.46% | -10.73 | 6-6 |
| 1967-12-10 | Detroit Lions | L 7-30 | 1434.58 | 1411.71 | 51.60% | 38.08% | -32.37 | 6-7 |
| 1967-12-17 | St. Louis Cardinals | W 37-14 | 1402.21 | 1484.64 | 36.81% | 52.89% | +33.12 | 7-7 |
| 1967-09-17 | Washington Redskins | W 35-24 | 1516.90 | 1495.33 | 51.42% | 38.26% | +17.06 | 1-0 |
| 1967-09-24 | Baltimore Colts | L 6-38 | 1533.96 | 1577.21 | 42.23% | 47.43% | -31.82 | 1-1 |
| 1967-10-01 | Pittsburgh Steelers | W 34-24 | 1502.14 | 1471.54 | 52.66% | 37.03% | +15.78 | 2-1 |
| 1967-10-08 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W 38-7 | 1517.92 | 1314.69 | 67.50% | 22.52% | +17.45 | 3-1 |
| 1967-10-15 | San Francisco 49ers | L 27-28 | 1535.37 | 1528.22 | 49.41% | 40.25% | -6.49 | 3-2 |
| 1967-10-22 | @ St. Louis Cardinals | L 14-48 | 1528.88 | 1498.68 | 45.56% | 44.09% | -35.11 | 3-3 |
| 1967-10-29 | Dallas Cowboys | W 21-14 | 1493.77 | 1591.29 | 34.80% | 54.92% | +18.93 | 4-3 |
| 1967-11-05 | @ New Orleans Saints | L 24-31 | 1512.70 | 1374.81 | 60.09% | 29.72% | -20.63 | 4-4 |
| 1967-11-12 | @ Los Angeles Rams | L 17-33 | 1492.07 | 1629.55 | 24.11% | 65.85% | -13.38 | 4-5 |
| 1967-11-19 | New Orleans Saints | W 48-21 | 1478.69 | 1381.58 | 61.23% | 28.60% | +20.42 | 5-5 |
| 1967-11-26 | @ New York Giants | L 7-44 | 1499.11 | 1401.81 | 54.89% | 34.83% | -43.50 | 5-6 |
| 1967-12-03 | @ Washington Redskins | T 35-35 | 1455.61 | 1502.52 | 34.86% | 54.86% | +0.61 | 5-6 |
| 1967-12-10 | @ Dallas Cowboys | L 17-38 | 1456.22 | 1586.81 | 24.84% | 65.09% | -15.77 | 5-7 |
| 1967-12-17 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | W 28-24 | 1440.45 | 1599.48 | 27.24% | 62.62% | +16.23 | 6-7 |
| 1967-09-17 | Chicago Bears | W 41-13 | 1465.13 | 1512.45 | 41.65% | 48.00% | +33.42 | 1-0 |
| 1967-09-24 | St. Louis Cardinals | L 14-28 | 1498.55 | 1447.24 | 55.44% | 34.28% | -27.01 | 1-1 |
| 1967-10-01 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | L 24-34 | 1471.54 | 1502.14 | 37.03% | 52.66% | -15.79 | 1-2 |
| 1967-10-07 | @ Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 10-21 | 1455.75 | 1549.01 | 29.06% | 60.76% | -13.23 | 1-3 |
| 1967-10-15 | New York Giants | L 24-27 | 1442.52 | 1401.39 | 54.08% | 35.62% | -12.21 | 1-4 |
| 1967-10-22 | Dallas Cowboys | L 21-24 | 1430.31 | 1584.67 | 27.78% | 62.07% | -6.62 | 1-5 |
| 1967-10-29 | @ New Orleans Saints | W 14-10 | 1423.69 | 1386.26 | 46.60% | 43.06% | +11.44 | 2-5 |
| 1967-11-05 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 14-34 | 1435.13 | 1574.69 | 29.52% | 60.29% | -18.10 | 2-6 |
| 1967-11-12 | @ St. Louis Cardinals | T 14-14 | 1417.03 | 1536.12 | 26.09% | 63.80% | +1.17 | 2-6 |
| 1967-11-19 | @ New York Giants | L 20-28 | 1418.20 | 1384.61 | 46.05% | 43.61% | -17.20 | 2-7 |
| 1967-11-26 | Minnesota Vikings | L 27-41 | 1401.00 | 1424.62 | 45.04% | 44.62% | -22.30 | 2-8 |
| 1967-12-03 | @ Detroit Lions | W 24-14 | 1378.70 | 1434.79 | 33.66% | 56.07% | +23.08 | 3-8 |
| 1967-12-10 | Washington Redskins | L 10-15 | 1401.78 | 1501.92 | 34.46% | 55.26% | -10.45 | 3-9 |
| 1967-12-17 | @ Green Bay Packers | W 24-17 | 1391.33 | 1698.48 | 10.82% | 80.05% | +27.36 | 4-9 |
| 1967-09-17 | @ Minnesota Vikings | W 27-21 | 1510.25 | 1485.67 | 44.76% | 44.90% | +14.56 | 1-0 |
| 1967-09-24 | Atlanta Falcons | W 38-7 | 1524.81 | 1336.52 | 70.97% | 19.21% | +14.97 | 2-0 |
| 1967-10-01 | @ Baltimore Colts | L 7-41 | 1539.78 | 1609.03 | 31.99% | 57.77% | -25.44 | 2-1 |
| 1967-10-08 | @ Los Angeles Rams | W 27-24 | 1514.34 | 1616.31 | 28.03% | 61.81% | +13.88 | 3-1 |
| 1967-10-15 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | W 28-27 | 1528.22 | 1535.37 | 40.25% | 49.41% | +6.49 | 4-1 |
| 1967-10-22 | New Orleans Saints | W 27-13 | 1534.71 | 1398.86 | 65.67% | 24.28% | +12.60 | 5-1 |
| 1967-10-29 | Detroit Lions | L 3-45 | 1547.31 | 1437.77 | 62.70% | 27.16% | -52.67 | 5-2 |
| 1967-11-05 | Los Angeles Rams | L 7-17 | 1494.64 | 1615.84 | 31.76% | 58.00% | -13.70 | 5-3 |
| 1967-11-12 | @ Washington Redskins | L 28-31 | 1480.94 | 1481.94 | 41.11% | 48.55% | -9.51 | 5-4 |
| 1967-11-19 | @ Green Bay Packers | L 0-13 | 1471.43 | 1689.01 | 16.75% | 73.57% | -8.49 | 5-5 |
| 1967-11-26 | Baltimore Colts | L 9-26 | 1462.94 | 1690.92 | 20.15% | 69.98% | -11.61 | 5-6 |
| 1967-12-03 | Chicago Bears | L 14-28 | 1451.33 | 1528.08 | 37.57% | 52.11% | -18.93 | 5-7 |
| 1967-12-10 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W 34-28 | 1432.40 | 1254.25 | 64.81% | 25.12% | +8.52 | 6-7 |
| 1967-12-16 | Dallas Cowboys | W 24-16 | 1440.92 | 1602.58 | 26.94% | 62.93% | +23.07 | 7-7 |
| 1967-09-17 | New York Giants | L 20-37 | 1480.79 | 1370.51 | 62.79% | 27.08% | -33.55 | 0-1 |
| 1967-09-24 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | W 28-14 | 1447.24 | 1498.55 | 34.28% | 55.44% | +27.02 | 1-1 |
| 1967-10-01 | Detroit Lions | W 38-28 | 1474.26 | 1464.66 | 49.76% | 39.91% | +16.90 | 2-1 |
| 1967-10-08 | @ Minnesota Vikings | W 34-24 | 1491.16 | 1428.20 | 50.20% | 39.47% | +16.73 | 3-1 |
| 1967-10-15 | @ Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 16-20 | 1507.89 | 1562.24 | 33.89% | 55.84% | -9.21 | 3-2 |
| 1967-10-22 | Philadelphia Eagles | W 48-14 | 1498.68 | 1528.88 | 44.09% | 45.56% | +35.12 | 4-2 |
| 1967-10-30 | Green Bay Packers | L 23-31 | 1533.80 | 1655.99 | 31.64% | 58.12% | -12.21 | 4-3 |
| 1967-11-05 | @ Washington Redskins | W 27-21 | 1521.59 | 1496.47 | 44.83% | 44.82% | +14.53 | 5-3 |
| 1967-11-12 | Pittsburgh Steelers | T 14-14 | 1536.12 | 1417.03 | 63.80% | 26.09% | -1.16 | 5-3 |
| 1967-11-19 | @ Chicago Bears | L 3-30 | 1534.96 | 1504.16 | 45.65% | 44.01% | -31.35 | 5-4 |
| 1967-11-23 | @ Dallas Cowboys | L 21-46 | 1503.61 | 1574.41 | 31.79% | 57.97% | -21.69 | 5-5 |
| 1967-12-03 | New Orleans Saints | W 31-20 | 1481.92 | 1367.99 | 63.21% | 26.67% | +12.21 | 6-5 |
| 1967-12-10 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 16-20 | 1494.13 | 1589.99 | 35.02% | 54.70% | -9.49 | 6-6 |
| 1967-12-17 | @ New York Giants | L 14-37 | 1484.64 | 1402.21 | 52.89% | 36.81% | -33.12 | 6-7 |
| 1967-09-17 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | L 24-35 | 1495.33 | 1516.90 | 38.26% | 51.42% | -17.06 | 0-1 |
| 1967-09-24 | @ New Orleans Saints | W 30-10 | 1478.27 | 1478.73 | 41.19% | 48.47% | +28.49 | 1-1 |
| 1967-10-01 | New York Giants | W 38-34 | 1506.76 | 1393.92 | 63.08% | 26.79% | +7.39 | 2-1 |
| 1967-10-08 | Dallas Cowboys | L 14-17 | 1514.15 | 1569.57 | 40.52% | 49.15% | -9.38 | 2-2 |
| 1967-10-15 | @ Atlanta Falcons | T 20-20 | 1504.77 | 1297.24 | 67.95% | 22.09% | -1.43 | 2-2 |
| 1967-10-22 | @ Los Angeles Rams | T 28-28 | 1503.34 | 1603.07 | 28.29% | 61.54% | +1.02 | 2-2 |
| 1967-10-29 | Baltimore Colts | L 13-17 | 1504.36 | 1650.66 | 28.71% | 61.11% | -7.89 | 2-3 |
| 1967-11-05 | St. Louis Cardinals | L 21-27 | 1496.47 | 1521.59 | 44.82% | 44.83% | -14.53 | 2-4 |
| 1967-11-12 | San Francisco 49ers | W 31-28 | 1481.94 | 1480.94 | 48.55% | 41.11% | +9.51 | 3-4 |
| 1967-11-19 | @ Dallas Cowboys | W 27-20 | 1491.45 | 1595.70 | 27.77% | 62.08% | +21.29 | 4-4 |
| 1967-11-26 | @ Cleveland Browns (1st) | L 37-42 | 1512.74 | 1569.05 | 33.63% | 56.10% | -10.22 | 4-5 |
| 1967-12-03 | Philadelphia Eagles | T 35-35 | 1502.52 | 1455.61 | 54.86% | 34.86% | -0.60 | 4-5 |
| 1967-12-10 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | W 15-10 | 1501.92 | 1401.78 | 55.26% | 34.46% | +10.44 | 5-5 |
| 1967-12-17 | New Orleans Saints | L 14-30 | 1512.36 | 1350.46 | 68.41% | 21.65% | -35.41 | 5-6 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1967-12-24 | @ Dallas Cowboys | L 14-52 | 1583.25 | 1579.51 | 46.93% | 53.07% | -34.34 | 0-1 |
| 1967-12-24 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | W 52-14 | 1579.51 | 1583.25 | 53.07% | 46.93% | +34.34 | 1-0 |
| 1967-12-31 | @ Green Bay Packers | L 17-21 | 1613.85 | 1699.43 | 34.59% | 65.41% | -8.21 | 1-1 |
| 1967-12-23 | Los Angeles Rams | W 28-7 | 1671.11 | 1710.52 | 47.94% | 52.06% | +28.32 | 1-0 |
| 1967-12-31 | Dallas Cowboys | W 21-17 | 1699.43 | 1613.85 | 65.41% | 34.59% | +8.21 | 2-0 |
| 1967-12-23 | @ Green Bay Packers | L 7-28 | 1710.52 | 1671.11 | 52.06% | 47.94% | -28.32 | 0-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 1967-12-17 | 10.82% | Pittsburgh Steelers | 1391.33 | 24 | @ Green Bay Packers | 1698.48 | 17 |
| 2 | 1967-10-15 | 14.56% | Minnesota Vikings | 1411.47 | 10 | @ Green Bay Packers | 1658.35 | 7 |
| 3 | 1967-12-17 | 21.65% | New Orleans Saints | 1350.46 | 30 | @ Washington Redskins | 1512.36 | 14 |
| 4 | 1967-10-29 | 23.56% | @ New York Giants | 1398.96 | 38 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | 1591.89 | 34 |
| 5 | 1967-12-16 | 26.94% | @ San Francisco 49ers | 1440.92 | 24 | Dallas Cowboys | 1602.58 | 16 |
| 6 | 1967-09-17 | 27.08% | New York Giants | 1370.51 | 37 | @ St. Louis Cardinals | 1480.79 | 20 |
| 7 | 1967-10-29 | 27.16% | Detroit Lions | 1437.77 | 45 | @ San Francisco 49ers | 1547.31 | 3 |
| 8 | 1967-12-17 | 27.24% | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 1440.45 | 28 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | 1599.48 | 24 |
| 9 | 1967-11-19 | 27.77% | Washington Redskins | 1491.45 | 27 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 1595.70 | 20 |
| 10 | 1967-10-08 | 28.03% | San Francisco 49ers | 1514.34 | 27 | @ Los Angeles Rams | 1616.31 | 24 |
| 11 | 1967-10-29 | 28.56% | @ Atlanta Falcons | 1282.40 | 21 | Minnesota Vikings | 1430.01 | 20 |
| 12 | 1967-11-05 | 29.72% | @ New Orleans Saints | 1374.81 | 31 | Philadelphia Eagles | 1512.70 | 24 |
| 13 | 1967-09-24 | 32.56% | @ Detroit Lions | 1434.00 | 31 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | 1548.87 | 14 |
| 14 | 1967-12-03 | 33.66% | Pittsburgh Steelers | 1378.70 | 24 | @ Detroit Lions | 1434.79 | 14 |
| 15 | 1967-09-24 | 34.28% | St. Louis Cardinals | 1447.24 | 28 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 1498.55 | 14 |
| 16 | 1967-10-29 | 34.80% | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 1493.77 | 21 | Dallas Cowboys | 1591.29 | 14 |
| 17 | 1967-11-26 | 34.83% | @ New York Giants | 1401.81 | 44 | Philadelphia Eagles | 1499.11 | 7 |
| 18 | 1967-10-15 | 35.62% | New York Giants | 1401.39 | 27 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 1442.52 | 24 |
| 19 | 1967-11-05 | 36.52% | Chicago Bears | 1456.01 | 27 | @ Detroit Lions | 1490.43 | 13 |
| 20 | 1967-12-17 | 36.81% | @ New York Giants | 1402.21 | 37 | St. Louis Cardinals | 1484.64 | 14 |
| 21 | 1967-12-10 | 38.08% | Detroit Lions | 1411.71 | 30 | @ New York Giants | 1434.58 | 7 |
| 22 | 1967-10-01 | 39.11% | Los Angeles Rams | 1585.25 | 35 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 1600.63 | 13 |
| 23 | 1967-10-15 | 40.25% | San Francisco 49ers | 1528.22 | 28 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 1535.37 | 27 |
| 24 | 1967-09-24 | 41.19% | Washington Redskins | 1478.27 | 30 | @ New Orleans Saints | 1478.73 | 10 |
| 25 | 1967-09-17 | 41.65% | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 1465.13 | 41 | Chicago Bears | 1512.45 | 13 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 1967-10-29 | 52.67 | Detroit Lions | 45 | 1437.77 | 27.16% | @ San Francisco 49ers | 3 | 1547.31 | 62.70% |
| 2 | 1967-11-26 | 43.50 | @ New York Giants | 44 | 1401.81 | 34.83% | Philadelphia Eagles | 7 | 1499.11 | 54.89% |
| 3 | 1967-12-17 | 35.41 | New Orleans Saints | 30 | 1350.46 | 21.65% | @ Washington Redskins | 14 | 1512.36 | 68.41% |
| 4 | 1967-10-22 | 35.12 | @ St. Louis Cardinals | 48 | 1498.68 | 44.09% | Philadelphia Eagles | 14 | 1528.88 | 45.56% |
| 5 | 1967-12-24 * | 34.34 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 52 | 1579.51 | 53.07% | Cleveland Browns (1st) | 14 | 1583.25 | 46.93% |
| 6 | 1967-09-17 | 33.55 | New York Giants | 37 | 1370.51 | 27.08% | @ St. Louis Cardinals | 20 | 1480.79 | 62.79% |
| 7 | 1967-09-17 | 33.42 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 41 | 1465.13 | 41.65% | Chicago Bears | 13 | 1512.45 | 48.00% |
| 8 | 1967-12-17 | 33.12 | @ New York Giants | 37 | 1402.21 | 36.81% | St. Louis Cardinals | 14 | 1484.64 | 52.89% |
| 9 | 1967-12-10 | 32.37 | Detroit Lions | 30 | 1411.71 | 38.08% | @ New York Giants | 7 | 1434.58 | 51.60% |
| 10 | 1967-09-24 | 31.82 | Baltimore Colts | 38 | 1577.21 | 47.43% | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 6 | 1533.96 | 42.23% |
| 11 | 1967-11-19 | 31.35 | @ Chicago Bears | 30 | 1504.16 | 44.01% | St. Louis Cardinals | 3 | 1534.96 | 45.65% |
| 12 | 1967-10-01 | 31.06 | Los Angeles Rams | 35 | 1585.25 | 39.11% | @ Dallas Cowboys | 13 | 1600.63 | 50.56% |
| 13 | 1967-10-01 | 30.80 | Cleveland Browns (1st) | 42 | 1518.21 | 50.90% | @ New Orleans Saints | 7 | 1450.24 | 38.77% |
| 14 | 1967-09-24 | 30.66 | @ Detroit Lions | 31 | 1434.00 | 32.56% | Cleveland Browns (1st) | 14 | 1548.87 | 57.19% |
| 15 | 1967-11-12 | 30.63 | @ Green Bay Packers | 55 | 1658.38 | 57.30% | Cleveland Browns (1st) | 7 | 1592.79 | 32.45% |
| 16 | 1967-12-17 | 30.04 | @ Los Angeles Rams | 34 | 1680.48 | 43.17% | Baltimore Colts | 10 | 1717.14 | 46.49% |
| 17 | 1967-09-24 | 28.49 | Washington Redskins | 30 | 1478.27 | 41.19% | @ New Orleans Saints | 10 | 1478.73 | 48.47% |
| 18 | 1967-12-23 * | 28.32 | @ Green Bay Packers | 28 | 1671.11 | 47.94% | Los Angeles Rams | 7 | 1710.52 | 52.06% |
| 19 | 1967-12-17 | 27.37 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 24 | 1391.33 | 10.82% | @ Green Bay Packers | 17 | 1698.48 | 80.05% |
| 20 | 1967-09-24 | 27.02 | St. Louis Cardinals | 28 | 1447.24 | 34.28% | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 14 | 1498.55 | 55.44% |
| 21 | 1967-11-05 | 25.97 | Chicago Bears | 27 | 1456.01 | 36.52% | @ Detroit Lions | 13 | 1490.43 | 53.18% |
| 22 | 1967-10-01 | 25.44 | @ Baltimore Colts | 41 | 1609.03 | 57.77% | San Francisco 49ers | 7 | 1539.78 | 31.99% |
| 23 | 1967-09-22 | 24.24 | @ Los Angeles Rams | 39 | 1561.01 | 60.35% | Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 1471.11 | 29.46% |
| 24 | 1967-12-03 | 23.08 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 24 | 1378.70 | 33.66% | @ Detroit Lions | 14 | 1434.79 | 56.07% |
| 25 | 1967-12-16 | 23.07 | @ San Francisco 49ers | 24 | 1440.92 | 26.94% | Dallas Cowboys | 16 | 1602.58 | 62.93% |