1962 NFL Season

98 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Green Bay Packers

8th Title

Last Title: 1961

Runner-Up

New York Giants

13th Appearance

Last Appearance: 1961

Biggest Overachiever

New York Giants

2.75 wins above expected

12 wins · 9.25 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Los Angeles Rams

3.31 wins below expected

1 wins · 4.81 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New York Giants Division	12	2	0	.857	—	398	283	+115	9.25	+2.75
2	Pittsburgh Steelers	9	5	0	.643	3	312	363	-51	6.76	+2.24
3	Cleveland Browns (1st)	7	6	1	.536	4.5	291	257	+34	8.33	-0.83
4	Washington Redskins	5	7	2	.429	6	305	376	-71	5.43	+0.57
5	Dallas Cowboys	5	8	1	.393	6.5	398	402	-4	6.03	-0.53
6	St. Louis Cardinals	4	9	1	.321	7.5	287	361	-74	5.82	-1.32
7	Philadelphia Eagles	3	10	1	.250	8.5	282	356	-74	6.77	-3.27

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	13	1	0	.929	—	415	148	+267	10.59	+2.41
2	Detroit Lions	11	3	0	.786	2	315	177	+138	8.76	+2.24
3	Chicago Bears	9	5	0	.643	4	321	287	+34	7.10	+1.90
4	Baltimore Colts	7	7	0	.500	6	293	288	+5	6.99	+0.01
5	San Francisco 49ers	6	8	0	.429	7	282	331	-49	6.59	-0.59
6	Minnesota Vikings	2	11	1	.179	10.5	254	410	-156	4.76	-2.26
7	Los Angeles Rams	1	12	1	.107	11.5	220	334	-114	4.81	-3.31

Playoff Bracket

NFL Championship Game

Green Bay Packers 16

New York Giants 7

Dec 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Green Bay Packers	West	1753	13	10.59	+2.41	98.84%	2	7	9	10	11	13	14
New York Giants	East	1687	12	9.25	+2.75	98.51%	2	6	8	9	10	12	14
Detroit Lions	West	1671	11	8.76	+2.24	96.76%	2	5	7	8	10	11	14
Chicago Bears	West	1596	9	7.10	+1.90	94.45%	0	4	5	7	8	10	13
Cleveland Browns (1st)	East	1530	7.5	8.33	-0.83	40.04%	2	5	7	8	9	11	14
Baltimore Colts	West	1511	7	6.99	+0.01	70.26%	0	4	5	7	8	9	12
Pittsburgh Steelers	East	1497	9	6.76	+2.24	95.90%	0	3	5	6	8	9	13
San Francisco 49ers	West	1468	6	6.59	-0.59	57.35%	0	3	5	6	7	9	13
St. Louis Cardinals	East	1430	4.5	5.82	-1.32	31.09%	0	3	4	5	7	8	12
Philadelphia Eagles	East	1429	3.5	6.77	-3.27	5.02%	0	3	5	6	8	9	12
Dallas Cowboys	East	1416	5.5	6.03	-0.53	47.32%	0	3	4	6	7	9	12
Washington Redskins	East	1354	6	5.43	+0.57	80.11%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Los Angeles Rams	West	1331	1.5	4.81	-3.31	3.17%	0	2	3	4	5	7	11
Minnesota Vikings	West	1328	2.5	4.76	-2.26	13.23%	0	2	3	4	5	7	11

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	(1st)	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Cardinals	Redskins
Cleveland Browns (1st)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.4 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.0 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Washington Redskins	2-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-0-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Colts	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	Vikings	49ers
Cleveland Browns (1st)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—	—
New York Giants	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	—	—
Philadelphia Eagles	—	—	—	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	—
Pittsburgh Steelers	—	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—
St. Louis Cardinals	—	—	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Washington Redskins	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	—

Within West

Team	Colts	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	Vikings	49ers
Baltimore Colts	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Chicago Bears	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-0-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	(1st)	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Cardinals	Redskins
Baltimore Colts	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Chicago Bears	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	—	—
Detroit Lions	—	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	—
Green Bay Packers	—	—	—	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—
Los Angeles Rams	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	—	—	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	—	—	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	—
San Francisco 49ers	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	—	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	1.02%	1.53%	2.04%	0.51%	—	—	1.53%	6.63%
7–13	1.53%	4.08%	3.06%	1.02%	2.55%	3.06%	0.51%	15.82%
14–20	2.04%	3.06%	8.16%	4.08%	3.06%	4.08%	1.02%	25.51%
21–27	0.51%	1.02%	4.08%	7.14%	3.57%	1.02%	2.55%	19.90%
28–34	—	2.55%	3.06%	3.57%	4.08%	1.02%	0.51%	14.80%
35–41	—	3.06%	4.08%	1.02%	1.02%	1.02%	0.51%	10.71%
42+	1.53%	0.51%	1.02%	2.55%	0.51%	0.51%	—	6.63%
Total	6.63%	15.82%	25.51%	19.90%	14.80%	10.71%	6.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.31	22.31	+0.00
SD	12.02	12.02	17.83
CV	0.54	0.54	—
Max	57	57	+57
Min	0	0	-57

Games Played: 98

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	28.57%
21–27	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	—	21.43%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	14.29%	7.14%	28.57%	28.57%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	100%

Baltimore Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.93	20.57	+0.36
SD	12.45	14.05	22.36
CV	0.59	0.68	—
Max	42	57	+27
Min	0	2	-57

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%	21.43%
7–13	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	14.29%	—	14.29%	—	—	28.57%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	21.43%	7.14%	21.43%	14.29%	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.93	20.50	+2.43
SD	15.93	15.32	24.42
CV	0.69	0.75	—
Max	57	49	+57
Min	0	0	-49

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	—	28.57%
14–20	—	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	—	35.71%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	21.43%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	28.57%	50.00%	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.79	18.36	+2.43
SD	11.31	11.69	18.62
CV	0.54	0.64	—
Max	41	45	+27
Min	7	7	-28

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	14.29%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	—	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	21.43%
35–41	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
42+	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	—	7.14%	21.43%	14.29%	28.57%	21.43%	7.14%	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.43	28.71	-0.29
SD	11.63	11.28	18.71
CV	0.41	0.39	—
Max	45	52	+28
Min	10	10	-32

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	28.57%
14–20	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	28.57%	21.43%	28.57%	21.43%	—	—	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.50	12.64	+9.86
SD	14.42	7.93	10.70
CV	0.64	0.63	—
Max	45	24	+38
Min	0	3	-3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	35.71%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
35–41	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
Total	28.57%	42.86%	7.14%	21.43%	—	—	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.64	10.57	+19.07
SD	14.01	8.34	17.75
CV	0.47	0.79	—
Max	49	26	+49
Min	9	0	-12

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
7–13	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	42.86%
21–27	—	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	14.29%	28.57%	28.57%	14.29%	14.29%	—	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.71	23.86	-8.14
SD	7.98	9.08	10.79
CV	0.51	0.38	—
Max	28	41	+14
Min	2	12	-31

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	28.57%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
21–27	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%
28–34	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	21.43%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.14%	14.29%	21.43%	21.43%	21.43%	14.29%	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.14	29.29	-11.14
SD	11.83	10.96	15.26
CV	0.65	0.37	—
Max	38	48	+24
Min	0	13	-27

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	7.14%	21.43%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
21–27	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
28–34	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
Total	—	21.43%	35.71%	21.43%	21.43%	—	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.43	20.21	+8.21
SD	12.06	7.73	10.37
CV	0.42	0.38	—
Max	49	34	+31
Min	7	10	-10

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
7–13	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	28.57%
21–27	—	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	21.43%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	14.29%	28.57%	21.43%	14.29%	7.14%	14.29%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.14	25.43	-5.29
SD	10.76	12.88	18.96
CV	0.53	0.51	—
Max	37	49	+28
Min	0	7	-49

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	14.29%	—	28.57%
21–27	—	—	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	—	7.14%	42.86%
28–34	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	14.29%	21.43%	14.29%	21.43%	14.29%	14.29%	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.29	25.93	-3.64
SD	8.35	12.31	15.45
CV	0.37	0.47	—
Max	39	45	+12
Min	7	7	-38

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	14.29%	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	50.00%
28–34	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	28.57%	14.29%	14.29%	28.57%	7.14%	7.14%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.14	23.64	-3.50
SD	8.76	10.99	14.27
CV	0.43	0.46	—
Max	35	45	+23
Min	3	7	-21

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	—	42.86%
21–27	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
28–34	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
Total	—	—	28.57%	35.71%	21.43%	14.29%	—	100%

St. Louis Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.50	25.79	-5.29
SD	14.40	6.92	15.32
CV	0.70	0.27	—
Max	52	38	+32
Min	0	17	-27

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
14–20	—	7.14%	21.43%	—	—	7.14%	—	35.71%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	21.43%	7.14%	—	7.14%	42.86%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.14%	28.57%	21.43%	7.14%	21.43%	14.29%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.79	26.86	-5.07
SD	7.01	12.33	12.16
CV	0.32	0.46	—
Max	35	49	+10
Min	10	9	-28

Games Played: 14

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New York Giants	12	9.25	+2.75
2	Green Bay Packers	13	10.59	+2.41
3	Detroit Lions	11	8.76	+2.24
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	9	6.76	+2.24
5	Chicago Bears	9	7.10	+1.90

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Los Angeles Rams	1.5	4.81	-3.31
2	Philadelphia Eagles	3.5	6.77	-3.27
3	Minnesota Vikings	2.5	4.76	-2.26
4	St. Louis Cardinals	4.5	5.82	-1.32
5	Cleveland Browns (1st)	7.5	8.33	-0.83

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New York Giants	9	Oct 21 – Dec 16	1 in 44
2	Green Bay Packers	10	Sep 16 – Nov 18	1 in 35
3	Washington Redskins	3	Sep 23 – Oct 7	1 in 28
4	Detroit Lions	7	Oct 28 – Dec 9	1 in 28
5	San Francisco 49ers	3	Sep 30 – Oct 14	1 in 10

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Philadelphia Eagles	4	Oct 6 – Oct 28	1 in 69
2	Los Angeles Rams	6	Sep 16 – Oct 21	1 in 55
3	San Francisco 49ers	4	Oct 21 – Nov 11	1 in 15
4	St. Louis Cardinals	5	Nov 4 – Dec 2	1 in 14
5	Washington Redskins	5	Nov 18 – Dec 16	1 in 13

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
New York Giants	49.53%	24.65%	12.84%	7.08%	3.43%	1.83%	0.64%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	26.83%	28.01%	18.60%	11.57%	8.01%	4.61%	2.37%
Pittsburgh Steelers	7.90%	14.21%	17.24%	18.38%	15.92%	15.39%	10.96%
Philadelphia Eagles	7.18%	12.82%	17.96%	19.17%	17.70%	14.40%	10.77%
Dallas Cowboys	3.54%	8.16%	13.36%	16.16%	19.13%	19.44%	20.21%
St. Louis Cardinals	2.92%	7.23%	11.10%	14.67%	18.26%	21.50%	24.32%
Washington Redskins	2.10%	4.92%	8.90%	12.97%	17.55%	22.83%	30.73%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
Green Bay Packers	69.25%	20.62%	6.45%	2.50%	0.86%	0.28%	0.04%
Detroit Lions	18.94%	36.88%	21.59%	12.64%	6.46%	2.59%	0.90%
Chicago Bears	4.82%	14.77%	22.21%	21.61%	17.80%	12.29%	6.50%
Baltimore Colts	4.06%	13.72%	21.83%	22.18%	19.65%	12.32%	6.24%
San Francisco 49ers	2.51%	10.51%	18.06%	21.35%	21.56%	16.39%	9.62%
Los Angeles Rams	0.27%	1.79%	5.10%	10.13%	16.90%	28.87%	36.94%
Minnesota Vikings	0.15%	1.71%	4.76%	9.59%	16.77%	27.26%	39.76%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Green Bay Packers	51.20%	22.93%	11.12%	6.32%	3.30%	2.04%	1.34%	0.84%	0.47%	0.20%	0.10%	0.10%	0.02%	0.02%
New York Giants	17.81%	25.30%	15.87%	12.65%	8.58%	6.30%	4.36%	3.13%	2.33%	1.60%	0.94%	0.71%	0.33%	0.09%
Detroit Lions	12.70%	13.98%	18.70%	13.95%	11.10%	8.62%	6.72%	4.81%	3.44%	2.65%	1.64%	0.80%	0.63%	0.26%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	7.90%	14.30%	14.66%	14.52%	11.21%	9.68%	6.95%	5.56%	4.90%	3.81%	2.79%	1.93%	1.30%	0.49%
Chicago Bears	2.63%	4.12%	7.57%	8.76%	10.76%	10.02%	10.33%	10.02%	8.31%	8.02%	6.95%	5.71%	4.16%	2.64%
Baltimore Colts	2.08%	3.76%	6.90%	7.91%	10.34%	10.42%	10.83%	10.30%	9.17%	8.89%	6.67%	5.86%	3.95%	2.92%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.50%	4.57%	6.09%	7.79%	8.08%	9.24%	10.13%	9.40%	9.39%	8.41%	8.08%	7.30%	5.56%	4.46%
Philadelphia Eagles	1.39%	4.00%	5.55%	7.40%	8.73%	9.66%	9.78%	10.91%	9.36%	8.85%	8.33%	6.49%	5.85%	3.70%
San Francisco 49ers	1.30%	2.41%	5.09%	6.31%	8.36%	9.31%	10.30%	9.80%	10.50%	9.60%	8.60%	7.73%	5.87%	4.82%
Dallas Cowboys	0.49%	1.86%	2.87%	4.94%	5.98%	7.61%	8.10%	9.06%	9.40%	10.22%	10.59%	9.81%	10.28%	8.79%
St. Louis Cardinals	0.51%	1.48%	2.46%	4.26%	5.36%	6.20%	6.85%	8.46%	9.20%	10.50%	11.13%	11.27%	12.43%	9.89%
Washington Redskins	0.34%	0.90%	1.71%	3.01%	3.81%	5.02%	6.25%	7.23%	8.89%	9.41%	11.75%	12.93%	14.54%	14.21%
Los Angeles Rams	0.10%	0.20%	0.70%	1.12%	2.29%	3.02%	4.20%	5.28%	7.30%	9.01%	11.73%	14.43%	17.57%	23.05%
Minnesota Vikings	0.05%	0.19%	0.71%	1.06%	2.10%	2.86%	3.86%	5.20%	7.34%	8.83%	10.70%	14.93%	17.51%	24.66%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New York Giants	49.53%	50.47%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	26.83%	73.17%
Pittsburgh Steelers	7.90%	92.10%
Philadelphia Eagles	7.18%	92.82%
Dallas Cowboys	3.54%	96.46%
St. Louis Cardinals	2.92%	97.08%
Washington Redskins	2.10%	97.90%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Green Bay Packers	69.25%	30.75%
Detroit Lions	18.94%	81.06%
Chicago Bears	4.82%	95.18%
Baltimore Colts	4.06%	95.94%
San Francisco 49ers	2.51%	97.49%
Los Angeles Rams	0.27%	99.73%
Minnesota Vikings	0.15%	99.85%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Super Bowl
Green Bay Packers	69.25%	48.69%
New York Giants	49.53%	23.09%
Detroit Lions	18.94%	11.63%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	26.83%	6.97%
Chicago Bears	4.82%	2.41%
Pittsburgh Steelers	7.90%	1.94%
Baltimore Colts	4.06%	1.67%
Philadelphia Eagles	7.18%	1.34%
San Francisco 49ers	2.51%	0.85%
Dallas Cowboys	3.54%	0.56%
St. Louis Cardinals	2.92%	0.46%
Washington Redskins	2.10%	0.30%
Los Angeles Rams	0.27%	0.07%
Minnesota Vikings	0.15%	0.02%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Chicago Bears	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Baltimore Colts			0.42%	0.12%					0.61%	0.17%	0.22%		0.08%	0.05%
Chicago Bears			0.86%	0.08%					0.64%	0.33%	0.29%		0.11%	0.10%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	0.43%	0.55%			1.65%	4.02%	0.05%	0.02%				0.25%
Dallas Cowboys	0.05%	0.01%			0.12%	0.32%						0.06%
Detroit Lions			3.88%	0.63%					4.02%	1.22%	0.87%		0.63%	0.38%
Green Bay Packers			14.51%	2.10%					20.82%	3.97%	4.46%		1.59%	1.24%
Los Angeles Rams			0.03%						0.03%	0.01%
Minnesota Vikings											0.01%			0.01%
New York Giants	1.59%	1.39%			4.58%	14.14%	0.15%	0.07%				1.17%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.17%	0.23%			0.28%	0.55%		0.01%				0.10%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.11%	0.17%			0.44%	1.16%		0.01%				0.05%
San Francisco 49ers			0.16%	0.05%					0.32%	0.14%	0.11%		0.05%	0.02%
St. Louis Cardinals	0.03%	0.03%			0.17%	0.19%		0.02%				0.02%
Washington Redskins	0.01%	0.03%			0.07%	0.18%						0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Won Super Bowl
Green Bay Packers	59.40%
New York Giants	40.60%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Green Bay Packers	New York Giants
Green Bay Packers		59.40%
New York Giants	40.60%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Green Bay Packers 59.40% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

59.40%

New York Giants 40.60% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

40.60%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1962-09-16	Los Angeles Rams	W 30-27	1511.06	1459.66	54.40%	39.83%	+10.17	1-0
1962-09-23	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 34-7	1521.23	1420.54	60.99%	33.25%	+25.69	2-0
1962-09-30	Detroit Lions	L 20-29	1546.92	1583.38	41.92%	52.31%	-18.50	2-1
1962-10-07	San Francisco 49ers	L 13-21	1528.42	1484.28	53.39%	40.84%	-21.93	2-2
1962-10-14	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 36-14	1506.49	1532.18	43.44%	50.79%	+34.67	3-2
1962-10-21	@ Chicago Bears	L 15-35	1541.16	1513.96	51.00%	43.22%	-33.19	3-3
1962-10-28	Green Bay Packers	L 6-17	1507.97	1718.43	20.93%	73.38%	-10.48	3-4
1962-11-04	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 22-3	1497.49	1473.74	50.51%	43.71%	+27.96	4-4
1962-11-11	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 14-2	1525.45	1381.23	66.33%	27.93%	+14.48	5-4
1962-11-18	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-17	1539.93	1761.28	19.91%	74.40%	-6.01	5-5
1962-11-25	Chicago Bears	L 0-57	1533.92	1521.96	48.83%	45.40%	-53.77	5-6
1962-12-02	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-21	1480.15	1670.11	22.95%	71.34%	-9.15	5-7
1962-12-08	Washington Redskins	W 34-21	1471.00	1379.96	59.74%	34.50%	+18.47	6-7
1962-12-16	Minnesota Vikings	W 42-17	1489.47	1348.70	65.92%	28.34%	+21.19	7-7
1962-09-16	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 30-14	1515.76	1516.50	47.01%	47.22%	+27.60	1-0
1962-09-23	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 27-23	1543.36	1449.48	60.11%	34.13%	+10.14	2-0
1962-09-30	@ Green Bay Packers	L 0-49	1553.50	1651.48	33.60%	60.64%	-34.96	2-1
1962-10-07	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 13-0	1518.54	1374.12	66.35%	27.91%	+15.07	3-1
1962-10-14	San Francisco 49ers	L 27-34	1533.61	1506.22	51.03%	43.20%	-19.65	3-2
1962-10-21	Baltimore Colts	W 35-15	1513.96	1541.16	43.22%	51.00%	+33.19	4-2
1962-10-28	@ Detroit Lions	L 3-11	1547.15	1587.82	41.33%	52.90%	-17.20	4-3
1962-11-04	Green Bay Packers	L 7-38	1529.95	1728.91	22.05%	72.25%	-18.51	4-4
1962-11-11	Minnesota Vikings	W 31-30	1511.44	1395.35	62.94%	31.31%	+4.67	5-4
1962-11-18	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 34-33	1516.11	1463.56	54.56%	39.68%	+5.85	6-4
1962-11-25	@ Baltimore Colts	W 57-0	1521.96	1533.92	45.40%	48.83%	+53.77	7-4
1962-12-02	New York Giants	L 24-26	1575.73	1663.45	34.93%	59.31%	-7.33	7-5
1962-12-09	Los Angeles Rams	W 30-14	1568.40	1344.56	74.63%	19.68%	+11.90	8-5
1962-12-16	Detroit Lions	W 3-0	1580.30	1686.17	32.59%	61.65%	+15.45	9-5
1962-09-16	New York Giants	W 17-7	1547.05	1568.91	43.98%	50.24%	+23.14	1-0
1962-09-23	Washington Redskins	L 16-17	1570.19	1379.54	71.41%	22.88%	-10.32	1-1
1962-09-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-35	1559.87	1505.55	54.80%	39.43%	-42.09	1-2
1962-10-07	Dallas Cowboys	W 19-10	1517.78	1409.11	62.01%	32.24%	+14.40	2-2
1962-10-14	Baltimore Colts	L 14-36	1532.18	1506.49	50.79%	43.44%	-34.68	2-3
1962-10-21	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 34-7	1497.50	1451.05	53.71%	40.52%	+31.02	3-3
1962-10-28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 41-14	1528.52	1454.68	57.46%	36.78%	+28.29	4-3
1962-11-04	Philadelphia Eagles	T 14-14	1556.81	1436.52	63.46%	30.79%	-1.15	4-3
1962-11-11	@ Washington Redskins	L 9-17	1555.66	1403.13	67.29%	26.98%	-27.51	4-4
1962-11-18	St. Louis Cardinals	W 38-14	1528.15	1409.71	63.23%	31.02%	+22.66	5-4
1962-11-25	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 35-14	1550.81	1473.68	57.90%	36.34%	+24.66	6-4
1962-12-02	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 21-45	1575.47	1428.95	66.60%	27.67%	-47.17	6-5
1962-12-09	@ New York Giants	L 13-17	1528.30	1670.78	28.14%	66.13%	-8.42	6-6
1962-12-15	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 13-10	1519.88	1478.97	52.94%	41.29%	+10.53	7-6
1962-09-16	Washington Redskins	T 35-35	1392.20	1379.41	48.95%	45.28%	-0.13	0-0
1962-09-23	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 28-30	1392.07	1448.15	39.19%	55.04%	-8.18	0-1
1962-09-30	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 27-17	1383.89	1439.35	39.28%	54.96%	+25.22	1-1
1962-10-07	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-19	1409.11	1517.78	32.24%	62.01%	-14.39	1-2
1962-10-14	Philadelphia Eagles	W 41-19	1394.72	1526.01	29.46%	64.80%	+43.94	2-2
1962-10-21	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 42-27	1438.66	1484.87	40.55%	53.68%	+30.19	3-2
1962-10-28	St. Louis Cardinals	L 24-28	1468.85	1420.03	54.04%	40.19%	-15.69	3-3
1962-11-04	@ Washington Redskins	W 38-10	1453.16	1437.97	49.29%	44.93%	+34.84	4-3
1962-11-11	New York Giants	L 10-41	1488.00	1619.94	29.38%	64.88%	-24.44	4-4
1962-11-18	Chicago Bears	L 33-34	1463.56	1516.11	39.68%	54.56%	-5.85	4-5
1962-11-25	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-28	1457.71	1417.04	52.90%	41.33%	-28.76	4-6
1962-12-02	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 45-21	1428.95	1575.47	27.67%	66.60%	+47.16	5-6
1962-12-09	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 20-52	1476.11	1353.28	63.77%	30.48%	-52.17	5-7
1962-12-16	@ New York Giants	L 31-41	1423.94	1679.20	16.98%	77.36%	-8.14	5-8
1962-09-16	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 45-7	1519.61	1486.57	51.83%	42.40%	+38.41	1-0
1962-09-23	San Francisco 49ers	W 45-24	1558.02	1488.90	56.82%	37.41%	+25.36	2-0
1962-09-30	@ Baltimore Colts	W 29-20	1583.38	1546.92	52.31%	41.92%	+18.50	3-0
1962-10-07	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-9	1601.88	1686.43	35.35%	58.89%	-7.42	3-1
1962-10-14	Los Angeles Rams	W 13-10	1594.46	1397.46	72.05%	22.24%	+5.81	4-1
1962-10-21	@ New York Giants	L 14-17	1600.27	1584.93	49.31%	44.91%	-12.45	4-2
1962-10-28	Chicago Bears	W 11-3	1587.82	1547.15	52.90%	41.33%	+17.20	5-2
1962-11-04	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 12-3	1605.02	1390.54	73.76%	20.55%	+9.31	6-2
1962-11-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 38-24	1614.33	1445.77	69.08%	25.20%	+14.16	7-2
1962-11-18	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 17-6	1628.49	1390.68	75.88%	18.44%	+9.26	8-2
1962-11-22	Green Bay Packers	W 26-14	1637.75	1767.30	29.67%	64.59%	+32.36	9-2
1962-12-02	Baltimore Colts	W 21-14	1670.11	1480.15	71.34%	22.95%	+9.14	10-2
1962-12-09	Minnesota Vikings	W 37-23	1679.25	1355.62	82.27%	12.14%	+6.92	11-2
1962-12-16	@ Chicago Bears	L 0-3	1686.17	1580.30	61.65%	32.59%	-15.45	11-3
1962-09-16	Minnesota Vikings	W 34-7	1612.73	1439.85	69.54%	24.73%	+19.31	1-0
1962-09-23	St. Louis Cardinals	W 17-0	1632.04	1518.71	62.59%	31.66%	+19.44	2-0
1962-09-30	Chicago Bears	W 49-0	1651.48	1553.50	60.64%	33.60%	+34.95	3-0
1962-10-07	Detroit Lions	W 9-7	1686.43	1601.88	58.89%	35.35%	+7.42	4-0
1962-10-14	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 48-21	1693.85	1359.06	82.95%	11.47%	+9.09	5-0
1962-10-21	San Francisco 49ers	W 31-13	1702.94	1525.86	69.99%	24.29%	+15.49	6-0
1962-10-28	@ Baltimore Colts	W 17-6	1718.43	1507.97	73.38%	20.93%	+10.48	7-0
1962-11-04	@ Chicago Bears	W 38-7	1728.91	1529.95	72.25%	22.05%	+18.50	8-0
1962-11-11	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 49-0	1747.41	1437.67	81.38%	13.01%	+13.87	9-0
1962-11-18	Baltimore Colts	W 17-13	1761.28	1539.93	74.40%	19.91%	+6.02	10-0
1962-11-22	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-26	1767.30	1637.75	64.59%	29.67%	-32.35	10-1
1962-12-02	Los Angeles Rams	W 41-10	1734.95	1352.18	85.52%	8.96%	+7.62	11-1
1962-12-09	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 31-21	1742.57	1487.10	77.38%	16.97%	+8.14	12-1
1962-12-16	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 20-17	1750.71	1332.66	87.09%	7.44%	+1.97	13-1
1962-09-16	@ Baltimore Colts	L 27-30	1459.66	1511.06	39.83%	54.40%	-10.18	0-1
1962-09-23	Chicago Bears	L 23-27	1449.48	1543.36	34.13%	60.11%	-10.13	0-2
1962-09-30	Dallas Cowboys	L 17-27	1439.35	1383.89	54.96%	39.28%	-25.22	0-3
1962-10-07	@ Washington Redskins	L 14-20	1414.13	1418.27	46.52%	47.71%	-16.67	0-4
1962-10-14	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-13	1397.46	1594.46	22.24%	72.05%	-5.80	0-5
1962-10-21	Minnesota Vikings	L 14-38	1391.66	1349.97	53.05%	41.18%	-37.76	0-6
1962-10-28	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 28-14	1353.90	1510.37	26.54%	67.73%	+36.64	1-6
1962-11-04	Detroit Lions	L 3-12	1390.54	1605.02	20.55%	73.76%	-9.31	1-7
1962-11-11	Baltimore Colts	L 2-14	1381.23	1525.45	27.93%	66.33%	-14.48	1-8
1962-11-18	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-24	1366.75	1431.61	37.99%	56.25%	-14.86	1-9
1962-11-25	@ Minnesota Vikings	T 24-24	1351.89	1381.42	42.90%	51.33%	+0.29	1-9
1962-12-02	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-41	1352.18	1734.95	8.96%	85.52%	-7.62	1-10
1962-12-09	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-30	1344.56	1568.40	19.68%	74.63%	-11.90	1-11
1962-12-16	Green Bay Packers	L 17-20	1332.66	1750.71	7.44%	87.09%	-1.97	1-12
1962-09-16	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-34	1439.85	1612.73	24.73%	69.54%	-19.31	0-1
1962-09-23	Baltimore Colts	L 7-34	1420.54	1521.23	33.25%	60.99%	-25.69	0-2
1962-09-30	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-21	1394.85	1463.55	37.47%	56.77%	-20.73	0-3
1962-10-07	Chicago Bears	L 0-13	1374.12	1518.54	27.91%	66.35%	-15.06	0-4
1962-10-14	Green Bay Packers	L 21-48	1359.06	1693.85	11.47%	82.95%	-9.09	0-5
1962-10-21	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 38-14	1349.97	1391.66	41.18%	53.05%	+37.75	1-5
1962-10-28	Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-21	1387.72	1462.93	36.59%	57.65%	+26.42	2-5
1962-11-04	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 31-39	1414.14	1426.40	45.35%	48.87%	-18.79	2-6
1962-11-11	@ Chicago Bears	L 30-31	1395.35	1511.44	31.31%	62.94%	-4.67	2-7
1962-11-18	Detroit Lions	L 6-17	1390.68	1628.49	18.44%	75.88%	-9.26	2-8
1962-11-25	Los Angeles Rams	T 24-24	1381.42	1351.89	51.33%	42.90%	-0.29	2-8
1962-12-02	San Francisco 49ers	L 12-35	1381.13	1461.60	35.89%	58.35%	-25.51	2-9
1962-12-09	@ Detroit Lions	L 23-37	1355.62	1679.25	12.14%	82.27%	-6.92	2-10
1962-12-16	@ Baltimore Colts	L 17-42	1348.70	1489.47	28.34%	65.92%	-21.19	2-11
1962-09-16	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-17	1568.91	1547.05	50.24%	43.98%	-23.14	0-1
1962-09-23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 29-13	1545.77	1532.00	49.09%	45.14%	+26.45	1-1
1962-09-30	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-27	1572.22	1456.33	62.91%	31.34%	+9.34	2-1
1962-10-07	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 31-14	1581.56	1470.85	62.27%	31.98%	+19.64	3-1
1962-10-14	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-20	1601.20	1468.61	64.95%	29.30%	-16.27	3-2
1962-10-21	Detroit Lions	W 17-14	1584.93	1600.27	44.91%	49.31%	+12.45	4-2
1962-10-28	Washington Redskins	W 49-34	1597.38	1454.23	66.20%	28.06%	+16.26	5-2
1962-11-04	St. Louis Cardinals	W 31-28	1613.64	1435.73	70.08%	24.20%	+6.30	6-2
1962-11-11	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 41-10	1619.94	1488.00	64.88%	29.38%	+24.44	7-2
1962-11-18	Philadelphia Eagles	W 19-14	1644.38	1423.79	74.33%	19.98%	+6.75	8-2
1962-11-25	@ Washington Redskins	W 42-24	1651.13	1421.86	75.12%	19.19%	+12.32	9-2
1962-12-02	@ Chicago Bears	W 26-24	1663.45	1575.73	59.31%	34.93%	+7.33	10-2
1962-12-09	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 17-13	1670.78	1528.30	66.13%	28.14%	+8.42	11-2
1962-12-16	Dallas Cowboys	W 41-31	1679.20	1423.94	77.36%	16.98%	+8.14	12-2
1962-09-16	St. Louis Cardinals	L 21-27	1551.37	1499.33	54.49%	39.75%	-19.37	0-1
1962-09-23	New York Giants	L 13-29	1532.00	1545.77	45.14%	49.09%	-26.45	0-2
1962-09-30	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 35-7	1505.55	1559.87	39.43%	54.80%	+42.08	1-2
1962-10-06	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-13	1547.63	1446.99	60.99%	33.26%	-21.62	1-3
1962-10-14	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 19-41	1526.01	1394.72	64.80%	29.46%	-43.95	1-4
1962-10-21	Washington Redskins	L 21-27	1482.06	1435.10	53.78%	40.45%	-19.13	1-5
1962-10-28	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 21-31	1462.93	1387.72	57.65%	36.59%	-26.41	1-6
1962-11-04	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	T 14-14	1436.52	1556.81	30.79%	63.46%	+1.15	1-6
1962-11-11	Green Bay Packers	L 0-49	1437.67	1747.41	13.01%	81.38%	-13.88	1-7
1962-11-18	@ New York Giants	L 14-19	1423.79	1644.38	19.98%	74.33%	-6.75	1-8
1962-11-25	Dallas Cowboys	W 28-14	1417.04	1457.71	41.33%	52.90%	+28.76	2-8
1962-12-02	@ Washington Redskins	W 37-14	1445.80	1409.54	52.28%	41.95%	+29.59	3-8
1962-12-09	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-26	1475.39	1467.67	48.22%	46.00%	-21.11	3-9
1962-12-16	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 35-45	1454.28	1405.45	54.04%	40.19%	-24.82	3-10
1962-09-16	@ Detroit Lions	L 7-45	1486.57	1519.61	42.40%	51.83%	-38.42	0-1
1962-09-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 30-28	1448.15	1392.07	55.04%	39.19%	+8.18	1-1
1962-09-30	New York Giants	L 27-31	1456.33	1572.22	31.34%	62.91%	-9.34	1-2
1962-10-06	Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-7	1446.99	1547.63	33.26%	60.99%	+21.62	2-2
1962-10-14	@ New York Giants	W 20-17	1468.61	1601.20	29.30%	64.95%	+16.26	3-2
1962-10-21	Dallas Cowboys	L 27-42	1484.87	1438.66	53.68%	40.55%	-30.19	3-3
1962-10-28	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-41	1454.68	1528.52	36.78%	57.46%	-28.28	3-4
1962-11-04	Minnesota Vikings	W 39-31	1426.40	1414.14	48.87%	45.35%	+18.79	4-4
1962-11-11	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 26-17	1445.19	1429.42	49.37%	44.85%	+19.71	5-4
1962-11-18	Washington Redskins	W 23-21	1464.90	1430.64	52.00%	42.23%	+8.78	6-4
1962-11-25	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-35	1473.68	1550.81	36.34%	57.90%	-24.66	6-5
1962-12-02	St. Louis Cardinals	W 19-7	1449.02	1371.92	57.90%	36.34%	+18.65	7-5
1962-12-09	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 26-17	1467.67	1475.39	46.00%	48.22%	+21.11	8-5
1962-12-16	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-24	1488.78	1361.49	64.31%	29.94%	+7.74	9-5
1962-09-16	Chicago Bears	L 14-30	1516.50	1515.76	47.22%	47.01%	-27.60	0-1
1962-09-23	@ Detroit Lions	L 24-45	1488.90	1558.02	37.41%	56.82%	-25.35	0-2
1962-09-30	Minnesota Vikings	W 21-7	1463.55	1394.85	56.77%	37.47%	+20.73	1-2
1962-10-07	@ Baltimore Colts	W 21-13	1484.28	1528.42	40.84%	53.39%	+21.94	2-2
1962-10-14	@ Chicago Bears	W 34-27	1506.22	1533.61	43.20%	51.03%	+19.64	3-2
1962-10-21	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-31	1525.86	1702.94	24.29%	69.99%	-15.49	3-3
1962-10-28	Los Angeles Rams	L 14-28	1510.37	1353.90	67.73%	26.54%	-36.63	3-4
1962-11-04	Baltimore Colts	L 3-22	1473.74	1497.49	43.71%	50.51%	-27.97	3-5
1962-11-11	Detroit Lions	L 24-38	1445.77	1614.33	25.20%	69.08%	-14.16	3-6
1962-11-18	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 24-17	1431.61	1366.75	56.25%	37.99%	+14.86	4-6
1962-11-25	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 24-17	1446.47	1387.05	55.50%	38.73%	+15.13	5-6
1962-12-02	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 35-12	1461.60	1381.13	58.35%	35.89%	+25.50	6-6
1962-12-09	Green Bay Packers	L 21-31	1487.10	1742.57	16.97%	77.38%	-8.13	6-7
1962-12-15	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-13	1478.97	1519.88	41.29%	52.94%	-10.53	6-8
1962-09-16	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-21	1499.33	1551.37	39.75%	54.49%	+19.38	1-0
1962-09-23	@ Green Bay Packers	L 0-17	1518.71	1632.04	31.66%	62.59%	-19.45	1-1
1962-09-30	@ Washington Redskins	L 14-24	1499.26	1389.86	62.10%	32.15%	-28.41	1-2
1962-10-07	New York Giants	L 14-31	1470.85	1581.56	31.98%	62.27%	-19.63	1-3
1962-10-14	Washington Redskins	T 17-17	1451.22	1434.93	49.45%	44.78%	-0.17	1-3
1962-10-21	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-34	1451.05	1497.50	40.52%	53.71%	-31.02	1-4
1962-10-28	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 28-24	1420.03	1468.85	40.19%	54.04%	+15.70	2-4
1962-11-04	@ New York Giants	L 28-31	1435.73	1613.64	24.20%	70.08%	-6.31	2-5
1962-11-11	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-26	1429.42	1445.19	44.85%	49.37%	-19.71	2-6
1962-11-18	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-38	1409.71	1528.15	31.02%	63.23%	-22.66	2-7
1962-11-25	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-24	1387.05	1446.47	38.73%	55.50%	-15.13	2-8
1962-12-02	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-19	1371.92	1449.02	36.34%	57.90%	-18.64	2-9
1962-12-09	Dallas Cowboys	W 52-20	1353.28	1476.11	30.48%	63.77%	+52.17	3-9
1962-12-16	Philadelphia Eagles	W 45-35	1405.45	1454.28	40.19%	54.04%	+24.81	4-9
1962-09-16	@ Dallas Cowboys	T 35-35	1379.41	1392.20	45.28%	48.95%	+0.13	0-0
1962-09-23	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 17-16	1379.54	1570.19	22.88%	71.41%	+10.32	1-0
1962-09-30	St. Louis Cardinals	W 24-14	1389.86	1499.26	32.15%	62.10%	+28.41	2-0
1962-10-07	Los Angeles Rams	W 20-14	1418.27	1414.13	47.71%	46.52%	+16.66	3-0
1962-10-14	@ St. Louis Cardinals	T 17-17	1434.93	1451.22	44.78%	49.45%	+0.17	3-0
1962-10-21	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-21	1435.10	1482.06	40.45%	53.78%	+19.13	4-0
1962-10-28	@ New York Giants	L 34-49	1454.23	1597.38	28.06%	66.20%	-16.26	4-1
1962-11-04	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-38	1437.97	1453.16	44.93%	49.29%	-34.84	4-2
1962-11-11	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 17-9	1403.13	1555.66	26.98%	67.29%	+27.51	5-2
1962-11-18	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-23	1430.64	1464.90	42.23%	52.00%	-8.78	5-3
1962-11-25	New York Giants	L 24-42	1421.86	1651.13	19.19%	75.12%	-12.32	5-4
1962-12-02	Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-37	1409.54	1445.80	41.95%	52.28%	-29.58	5-5
1962-12-08	@ Baltimore Colts	L 21-34	1379.96	1471.00	34.50%	59.74%	-18.47	5-6
1962-12-16	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-27	1361.49	1488.78	29.94%	64.31%	-7.74	5-7

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1962-12-30	@ New York Giants	W 16-7	1752.68	1687.34	59.29%	40.71%	+16.82	1-0
1962-12-30	Green Bay Packers	L 7-16	1687.34	1752.68	40.71%	59.29%	-16.81	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1962-09-23	22.88%	Washington Redskins	1379.54	17	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1570.19	16
2	1962-10-28	26.54%	Los Angeles Rams	1353.90	28	@ San Francisco 49ers	1510.37	14
3	1962-11-11	26.98%	@ Washington Redskins	1403.13	17	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1555.66	9
4	1962-12-02	27.67%	@ Dallas Cowboys	1428.95	45	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1575.47	21
5	1962-10-14	29.30%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1468.61	20	@ New York Giants	1601.20	17
6	1962-10-14	29.46%	@ Dallas Cowboys	1394.72	41	Philadelphia Eagles	1526.01	19
7	1962-11-22	29.67%	@ Detroit Lions	1637.75	26	Green Bay Packers	1767.30	14
8	1962-12-09	30.48%	@ St. Louis Cardinals	1353.28	52	Dallas Cowboys	1476.11	20
9	1962-09-30	32.15%	@ Washington Redskins	1389.86	24	St. Louis Cardinals	1499.26	14
10	1962-12-16	32.59%	@ Chicago Bears	1580.30	3	Detroit Lions	1686.17	0
11	1962-10-06	33.26%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1446.99	13	Philadelphia Eagles	1547.63	7
12	1962-10-28	36.59%	@ Minnesota Vikings	1387.72	31	Philadelphia Eagles	1462.93	21
13	1962-09-30	39.28%	Dallas Cowboys	1383.89	27	@ Los Angeles Rams	1439.35	17
14	1962-09-30	39.43%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1505.55	35	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1559.87	7
15	1962-09-16	39.75%	St. Louis Cardinals	1499.33	27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1551.37	21
16	1962-10-28	40.19%	St. Louis Cardinals	1420.03	28	@ Dallas Cowboys	1468.85	24
17	1962-12-16	40.19%	@ St. Louis Cardinals	1405.45	45	Philadelphia Eagles	1454.28	35
18	1962-10-21	40.45%	Washington Redskins	1435.10	27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1482.06	21
19	1962-10-21	40.55%	Dallas Cowboys	1438.66	42	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1484.87	27
20	1962-10-07	40.84%	San Francisco 49ers	1484.28	21	@ Baltimore Colts	1528.42	13
21	1962-10-21	41.18%	Minnesota Vikings	1349.97	38	@ Los Angeles Rams	1391.66	14
22	1962-11-25	41.33%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1417.04	28	Dallas Cowboys	1457.71	14
23	1962-10-14	43.20%	San Francisco 49ers	1506.22	34	@ Chicago Bears	1533.61	27
24	1962-10-21	43.22%	@ Chicago Bears	1513.96	35	Baltimore Colts	1541.16	15
25	1962-10-14	43.44%	Baltimore Colts	1506.49	36	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1532.18	14

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1962-11-25	53.77	Chicago Bears	57	1521.96	45.40%	@ Baltimore Colts	0	1533.92	48.83%
2	1962-12-09	52.17	@ St. Louis Cardinals	52	1353.28	30.48%	Dallas Cowboys	20	1476.11	63.77%
3	1962-12-02	47.17	@ Dallas Cowboys	45	1428.95	27.67%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	21	1575.47	66.60%
4	1962-10-14	43.95	@ Dallas Cowboys	41	1394.72	29.46%	Philadelphia Eagles	19	1526.01	64.80%
5	1962-09-30	42.09	@ Philadelphia Eagles	35	1505.55	39.43%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	7	1559.87	54.80%
6	1962-09-16	38.42	@ Detroit Lions	45	1519.61	51.83%	Pittsburgh Steelers	7	1486.57	42.40%
7	1962-10-21	37.76	Minnesota Vikings	38	1349.97	41.18%	@ Los Angeles Rams	14	1391.66	53.05%
8	1962-10-28	36.64	Los Angeles Rams	28	1353.90	26.54%	@ San Francisco 49ers	14	1510.37	67.73%
9	1962-09-30	34.96	@ Green Bay Packers	49	1651.48	60.64%	Chicago Bears	0	1553.50	33.60%
10	1962-11-04	34.84	Dallas Cowboys	38	1453.16	49.29%	@ Washington Redskins	10	1437.97	44.93%
11	1962-10-14	34.68	Baltimore Colts	36	1506.49	43.44%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	14	1532.18	50.79%
12	1962-10-21	33.19	@ Chicago Bears	35	1513.96	43.22%	Baltimore Colts	15	1541.16	51.00%
13	1962-11-22	32.36	@ Detroit Lions	26	1637.75	29.67%	Green Bay Packers	14	1767.30	64.59%
14	1962-10-21	31.02	Cleveland Browns (1st)	34	1497.50	53.71%	@ St. Louis Cardinals	7	1451.05	40.52%
15	1962-10-21	30.19	Dallas Cowboys	42	1438.66	40.55%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	27	1484.87	53.68%
16	1962-12-02	29.59	Philadelphia Eagles	37	1445.80	52.28%	@ Washington Redskins	14	1409.54	41.95%
17	1962-11-25	28.76	@ Philadelphia Eagles	28	1417.04	41.33%	Dallas Cowboys	14	1457.71	52.90%
18	1962-09-30	28.41	@ Washington Redskins	24	1389.86	32.15%	St. Louis Cardinals	14	1499.26	62.10%
19	1962-10-28	28.29	Cleveland Browns (1st)	41	1528.52	57.46%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	14	1454.68	36.78%
20	1962-11-04	27.97	Baltimore Colts	22	1497.49	50.51%	@ San Francisco 49ers	3	1473.74	43.71%
21	1962-09-16	27.60	Chicago Bears	30	1515.76	47.01%	@ San Francisco 49ers	14	1516.50	47.22%
22	1962-11-11	27.51	@ Washington Redskins	17	1403.13	26.98%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	9	1555.66	67.29%
23	1962-09-23	26.45	New York Giants	29	1545.77	49.09%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	13	1532.00	45.14%
24	1962-10-28	26.42	@ Minnesota Vikings	31	1387.72	36.59%	Philadelphia Eagles	21	1462.93	57.65%
25	1962-09-23	25.69	Baltimore Colts	34	1521.23	60.99%	@ Minnesota Vikings	7	1420.54	33.25%