1960 NFL Season

78 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Philadelphia Eagles

3rd Title

Last Title: 1949

Runner-Up

Green Bay Packers

5th Appearance

Last Appearance: 1944

Biggest Overachiever

Philadelphia Eagles

3.38 wins above expected

10 wins · 6.62 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Dallas Cowboys

4.04 wins below expected

0 wins · 4.54 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Philadelphia Eagles Division	10	2	0	.833	—	321	246	+75	6.62	+3.38
2	Cleveland Browns (1st)	8	3	1	.708	1.5	362	217	+145	7.51	+0.99
3	New York Giants	6	4	2	.583	3	271	261	+10	7.08	-0.08
4	St. Louis Cardinals	6	5	1	.542	3.5	288	230	+58	5.42	+1.08
5	Pittsburgh Steelers	5	6	1	.458	4.5	240	275	-35	5.83	-0.33
6	Washington Redskins	1	9	2	.167	8	178	309	-131	3.87	-1.87
7	Dallas Cowboys	0	11	1	.042	9.5	177	369	-192	4.54	-4.04

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	8	4	0	.667	—	332	209	+123	6.65	+1.35
2	San Francisco 49ers	7	5	0	.583	1	208	205	+3	5.81	+1.19
3	Detroit Lions	7	5	0	.583	1	239	212	+27	5.50	+1.50
4	Baltimore Colts	6	6	0	.500	2	288	234	+54	7.78	-1.78
5	Chicago Bears	5	6	1	.458	2.5	194	299	-105	6.48	-0.98
6	Los Angeles Rams	4	7	1	.375	3.5	265	297	-32	4.90	-0.40

Playoff Bracket

NFL Championship Game

Philadelphia Eagles 17

Green Bay Packers 13

Dec 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Cleveland Browns (1st)	East	1638	8.5	7.51	+0.99	80.53%	0	4	6	7	8	10	12
Green Bay Packers	West	1606	8	6.65	+1.35	91.84%	0	3	5	6	7	9	12
Philadelphia Eagles	East	1598	10	6.62	+3.38	99.67%	1	3	5	6	7	9	12
Detroit Lions	West	1537	7	5.50	+1.50	93.27%	0	2	4	5	6	8	11
New York Giants	East	1535	7	7.08	-0.08	70.63%	1	4	5	7	8	9	12
San Francisco 49ers	West	1533	7	5.81	+1.19	90.06%	0	3	4	5	6	8	11
St. Louis Cardinals	East	1522	6.5	5.42	+1.08	82.36%	0	2	4	5	6	8	12
Baltimore Colts	West	1522	6	7.78	-1.78	31.36%	0	5	6	7	8	10	12
Pittsburgh Steelers	East	1486	5.5	5.83	-0.33	53.76%	0	3	4	5	6	8	12
Los Angeles Rams	West	1445	4.5	4.90	-0.40	52.97%	0	2	3	4	6	7	11
Chicago Bears	West	1444	5.5	6.48	-0.98	38.53%	0	3	5	6	7	9	12
Washington Redskins	East	1326	2	3.87	-1.87	28.92%	0	1	2	3	4	6	10
Dallas Cowboys	East	1309	0.5	4.54	-4.04	0.42%	0	2	3	4	5	7	12

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	(1st)	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Cardinals	Redskins
Cleveland Browns (1st)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.4 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.2 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	0-1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Washington Redskins	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Colts	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	49ers
Cleveland Browns (1st)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	—	—	—
Dallas Cowboys	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
New York Giants	—	—	—	—	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	—	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	—	—
Pittsburgh Steelers	—	—	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	—
St. Louis Cardinals	—	—	—	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—
Washington Redskins	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—

Within West

Team	Colts	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	49ers
Baltimore Colts	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)
Chicago Bears	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	(1st)	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Cardinals	Redskins
Baltimore Colts	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	—	—	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)
Chicago Bears	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—
Detroit Lions	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	—
Green Bay Packers	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	—
Los Angeles Rams	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	—	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—
San Francisco 49ers	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	—	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	1.28%	1.92%	0.64%	—	0.64%	0.64%	5.13%
7–13	1.28%	3.85%	5.13%	3.21%	3.85%	2.56%	2.56%	22.44%
14–20	1.92%	5.13%	5.13%	5.13%	1.92%	1.28%	—	20.51%
21–27	0.64%	3.21%	5.13%	7.69%	3.21%	2.56%	0.64%	23.08%
28–34	—	3.85%	1.92%	3.21%	3.85%	1.28%	0.64%	14.74%
35–41	0.64%	2.56%	1.28%	2.56%	1.28%	—	0.64%	8.97%
42+	0.64%	2.56%	—	0.64%	0.64%	0.64%	—	5.13%
Total	5.13%	22.44%	20.51%	23.08%	14.74%	8.97%	5.13%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.56	21.56	+0.00
SD	11.29	11.29	17.18
CV	0.52	0.52	—
Max	48	48	+42
Min	0	0	-42

Games Played: 78

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
14–20	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	8.33%	25.00%	25.00%	8.33%	25.00%	8.33%	—	100%

Baltimore Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.00	19.50	+4.50
SD	12.81	11.60	19.80
CV	0.53	0.60	—
Max	45	35	+38
Min	3	0	-24

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	16.67%
7–13	—	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	25.00%
14–20	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
28–34	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	8.33%	33.33%	—	16.67%	16.67%	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.17	24.92	-8.75
SD	11.09	13.33	22.11
CV	0.69	0.54	—
Max	34	42	+21
Min	0	7	-42

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
14–20	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
21–27	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
28–34	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
35–41	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
Total	8.33%	16.67%	41.67%	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	30.17	18.08	+12.08
SD	12.76	9.89	16.07
CV	0.42	0.55	—
Max	48	34	+42
Min	10	0	-4

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	16.67%	16.67%	50.00%
14–20	—	—	—	25.00%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
28–34	—	—	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	8.33%	8.33%	33.33%	8.33%	25.00%	16.67%	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.75	30.75	-16.00
SD	8.59	11.02	14.65
CV	0.58	0.36	—
Max	31	48	+0
Min	7	12	-41

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	25.00%	—	—	41.67%
14–20	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
21–27	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%	16.67%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	16.67%	33.33%	—	25.00%	—	8.33%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.92	17.67	+2.25
SD	10.31	13.54	18.02
CV	0.52	0.77	—
Max	36	48	+36
Min	7	0	-21

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
14–20	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%
28–34	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	16.67%	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	41.67%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	33.33%	16.67%	25.00%	8.33%	8.33%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.67	17.42	+10.25
SD	11.50	10.69	15.79
CV	0.42	0.61	—
Max	41	38	+34
Min	10	0	-14

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	8.33%	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
14–20	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
21–27	—	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	33.33%
28–34	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
35–41	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%
Total	8.33%	25.00%	—	16.67%	25.00%	16.67%	8.33%	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.08	24.75	-2.67
SD	12.76	12.14	13.36
CV	0.58	0.49	—
Max	48	43	+25
Min	7	3	-22

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
14–20	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
28–34	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	16.67%
35–41	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	8.33%	41.67%	16.67%	16.67%	—	8.33%	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.58	21.75	+0.83
SD	8.01	11.34	9.63
CV	0.35	0.52	—
Max	35	48	+21
Min	10	3	-14

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	16.67%	—	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	41.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	33.33%	—	33.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.75	20.50	+6.25
SD	6.58	10.99	11.19
CV	0.25	0.54	—
Max	38	41	+27
Min	17	6	-17

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	8.33%	8.33%	25.00%	—	—	—	41.67%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	16.67%	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	8.33%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.00	22.92	-2.92
SD	8.66	8.96	13.87
CV	0.43	0.39	—
Max	35	38	+13
Min	7	10	-31

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
7–13	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
14–20	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	50.00%	8.33%	33.33%	—	8.33%	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.33	17.08	+0.25
SD	10.88	10.24	16.96
CV	0.63	0.60	—
Max	34	41	+24
Min	0	7	-27

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
14–20	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	33.33%
21–27	—	—	8.33%	—	16.67%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	—	33.33%	25.00%	16.67%	16.67%	8.33%	—	100%

St. Louis Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.00	19.17	+4.83
SD	12.48	9.46	17.97
CV	0.52	0.49	—
Max	44	35	+37
Min	6	7	-21

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
7–13	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	33.33%
14–20	—	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
21–27	—	—	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	33.33%	41.67%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.83	25.75	-10.92
SD	9.55	8.66	12.30
CV	0.64	0.34	—
Max	28	44	+12
Min	0	14	-37

Games Played: 12

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Philadelphia Eagles	10	6.62	+3.38
2	Detroit Lions	7	5.50	+1.50
3	Green Bay Packers	8	6.65	+1.35
4	San Francisco 49ers	7	5.81	+1.19
5	St. Louis Cardinals	6.5	5.42	+1.08

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Dallas Cowboys	0.5	4.54	-4.04
2	Washington Redskins	2	3.87	-1.87
3	Baltimore Colts	6	7.78	-1.78
4	Chicago Bears	5.5	6.48	-0.98
5	Los Angeles Rams	4.5	4.90	-0.40

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Philadelphia Eagles	9	Sep 30 – Dec 4	1 in 837
2	Detroit Lions	4	Nov 24 – Dec 18	1 in 27
3	Green Bay Packers	4	Oct 2 – Oct 30	1 in 21
4	San Francisco 49ers	3	Nov 20 – Dec 4	1 in 17
5	St. Louis Cardinals	3	Oct 23 – Nov 6	1 in 14

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dallas Cowboys	10	Sep 24 – Nov 27	1 in 483
2	Baltimore Colts	4	Nov 27 – Dec 18	1 in 122
3	Washington Redskins	8	Oct 30 – Dec 18	1 in 30
4	Green Bay Packers	2	Nov 20 – Nov 24	1 in 11
5	Los Angeles Rams	4	Sep 23 – Oct 16	1 in 10

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
Cleveland Browns (1st)	38.04%	23.44%	16.54%	10.38%	6.46%	3.55%	1.59%
New York Giants	25.31%	24.51%	19.23%	14.36%	9.19%	5.20%	2.20%
Philadelphia Eagles	18.44%	21.05%	19.48%	16.25%	12.88%	7.80%	4.10%
Pittsburgh Steelers	9.28%	13.34%	16.88%	18.75%	17.85%	14.99%	8.91%
St. Louis Cardinals	6.04%	10.53%	14.15%	16.95%	19.65%	18.92%	13.76%
Dallas Cowboys	2.11%	4.90%	9.22%	14.96%	20.49%	25.98%	22.34%
Washington Redskins	0.78%	2.23%	4.50%	8.35%	13.48%	23.56%	47.10%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Baltimore Colts	44.96%	23.92%	14.53%	9.10%	5.08%	2.41%
Green Bay Packers	19.47%	22.56%	19.83%	16.78%	12.84%	8.52%
Chicago Bears	16.35%	20.00%	20.24%	18.15%	15.10%	10.16%
San Francisco 49ers	9.19%	14.28%	17.25%	20.06%	20.62%	18.60%
Detroit Lions	6.32%	11.64%	16.45%	19.50%	23.24%	22.85%
Los Angeles Rams	3.71%	7.60%	11.70%	16.41%	23.12%	37.46%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13
Baltimore Colts	24.92%	19.35%	12.86%	11.50%	8.32%	6.43%	5.06%	4.02%	3.08%	1.95%	1.47%	0.78%	0.26%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	21.23%	16.73%	13.67%	10.19%	9.27%	7.56%	5.91%	5.01%	3.38%	2.69%	2.16%	1.28%	0.92%
New York Giants	13.84%	12.30%	12.87%	11.79%	10.06%	9.25%	7.45%	6.90%	5.15%	4.24%	3.01%	1.75%	1.39%
Green Bay Packers	9.24%	10.42%	10.69%	11.42%	9.53%	10.01%	8.59%	7.75%	6.98%	5.76%	4.81%	3.40%	1.40%
Philadelphia Eagles	8.90%	9.91%	10.69%	10.47%	10.16%	9.66%	8.74%	7.59%	7.06%	6.04%	4.75%	3.56%	2.47%
Chicago Bears	7.74%	8.84%	9.76%	9.94%	9.75%	9.75%	9.77%	8.80%	7.92%	6.88%	4.92%	4.27%	1.66%
San Francisco 49ers	3.88%	5.39%	6.52%	7.36%	8.15%	9.19%	9.68%	9.52%	10.25%	9.53%	8.21%	8.19%	4.13%
Pittsburgh Steelers	4.06%	5.31%	6.54%	7.09%	8.65%	8.42%	9.46%	9.58%	9.48%	9.61%	8.88%	6.66%	6.26%
Detroit Lions	2.32%	3.74%	5.29%	6.08%	7.64%	8.65%	9.27%	10.00%	10.41%	10.78%	10.18%	10.22%	5.42%
St. Louis Cardinals	1.97%	3.82%	5.02%	5.66%	7.12%	7.52%	8.82%	8.84%	9.99%	10.76%	10.75%	9.80%	9.93%
Los Angeles Rams	1.06%	2.26%	3.22%	4.07%	5.43%	6.11%	7.42%	8.76%	9.87%	11.35%	13.26%	16.71%	10.48%
Dallas Cowboys	0.63%	1.43%	2.14%	2.99%	3.94%	5.06%	6.21%	8.43%	9.81%	11.45%	14.38%	15.00%	18.53%
Washington Redskins	0.21%	0.50%	0.73%	1.44%	1.98%	2.39%	3.62%	4.80%	6.62%	8.96%	13.22%	18.38%	37.15%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Cleveland Browns (1st)	38.04%	61.96%
New York Giants	25.31%	74.69%
Philadelphia Eagles	18.44%	81.56%
Pittsburgh Steelers	9.28%	90.72%
St. Louis Cardinals	6.04%	93.96%
Dallas Cowboys	2.11%	97.89%
Washington Redskins	0.78%	99.22%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Baltimore Colts	44.96%	55.04%
Green Bay Packers	19.47%	80.53%
Chicago Bears	16.35%	83.65%
San Francisco 49ers	9.19%	90.81%
Detroit Lions	6.32%	93.68%
Los Angeles Rams	3.71%	96.29%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Super Bowl
Cleveland Browns (1st)	38.04%	25.29%
Baltimore Colts	44.96%	19.01%
New York Giants	25.31%	13.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	18.44%	11.42%
Green Bay Packers	19.47%	10.47%
Chicago Bears	16.35%	5.36%
Pittsburgh Steelers	9.28%	4.32%
San Francisco 49ers	9.19%	4.04%
Detroit Lions	6.32%	2.70%
St. Louis Cardinals	6.04%	2.65%
Los Angeles Rams	3.71%	1.02%
Dallas Cowboys	2.11%	0.53%
Washington Redskins	0.78%	0.18%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Chicago Bears	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Baltimore Colts			5.74%	0.66%				5.30%	3.25%	2.33%		1.49%	0.24%
Chicago Bears			1.21%	0.23%				1.76%	0.88%	0.73%		0.46%	0.09%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	11.49%	4.07%			1.86%	4.27%	1.14%				2.46%
Dallas Cowboys	0.23%	0.10%			0.02%	0.08%	0.01%				0.09%
Detroit Lions			0.86%	0.09%				0.73%	0.37%	0.34%		0.25%	0.06%
Green Bay Packers			3.36%	0.38%				3.15%	1.68%	0.88%		0.83%	0.19%
Los Angeles Rams			0.23%	0.03%				0.43%	0.13%	0.14%		0.05%	0.01%
New York Giants	5.99%	2.73%			0.80%	1.89%	0.74%				0.86%
Philadelphia Eagles	5.08%	2.46%			0.57%	1.80%	0.46%				1.05%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.78%	1.08%			0.25%	0.54%	0.26%				0.41%
San Francisco 49ers			1.35%	0.19%				0.93%	0.71%	0.54%		0.31%	0.01%
St. Louis Cardinals	1.33%	0.48%			0.11%	0.38%	0.08%				0.27%
Washington Redskins	0.05%	0.07%			0.01%	0.04%					0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Won Super Bowl
Philadelphia Eagles	53.48%
Green Bay Packers	46.52%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Green Bay Packers	Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers		46.52%
Philadelphia Eagles	53.48%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Philadelphia Eagles 53.48% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

53.48%

Green Bay Packers 46.52% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

46.52%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1960-09-25	Washington Redskins	W 20-0	1569.49	1433.53	67.61%	24.47%	+15.49	1-0
1960-10-02	Chicago Bears	W 42-7	1584.98	1545.63	55.84%	36.11%	+29.66	2-0
1960-10-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 21-35	1614.64	1505.86	56.76%	35.20%	-28.61	2-1
1960-10-16	Los Angeles Rams	W 31-17	1586.03	1418.79	70.84%	21.30%	+11.35	3-1
1960-10-23	@ Detroit Lions	L 17-30	1597.38	1417.36	65.56%	26.48%	-31.74	3-2
1960-10-30	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 45-7	1565.64	1411.66	62.51%	29.50%	+25.54	4-2
1960-11-06	Green Bay Packers	W 38-24	1591.18	1575.10	52.67%	39.27%	+20.29	5-2
1960-11-13	@ Chicago Bears	W 24-20	1611.47	1517.71	54.75%	37.20%	+10.30	6-2
1960-11-27	San Francisco 49ers	L 22-30	1621.77	1470.64	69.21%	22.89%	-26.27	6-3
1960-12-04	Detroit Lions	L 15-20	1595.50	1477.21	65.65%	26.39%	-19.71	6-4
1960-12-11	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 3-10	1575.79	1441.02	60.13%	31.86%	-21.39	6-5
1960-12-18	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 10-34	1554.40	1500.32	49.23%	42.70%	-32.73	6-6
1960-09-25	@ Green Bay Packers	W 17-14	1535.14	1492.01	47.67%	44.26%	+10.49	1-0
1960-10-02	@ Baltimore Colts	L 7-42	1545.63	1584.98	36.11%	55.84%	-29.66	1-1
1960-10-09	Los Angeles Rams	W 34-27	1515.97	1429.98	61.84%	30.16%	+11.20	2-1
1960-10-16	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-10	1527.17	1510.05	52.81%	39.13%	+22.27	3-1
1960-10-23	@ Los Angeles Rams	T 24-24	1549.44	1407.44	61.03%	30.96%	-0.97	3-1
1960-10-30	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-25	1548.47	1462.39	53.70%	38.25%	-30.76	3-2
1960-11-13	Baltimore Colts	L 20-24	1517.71	1611.47	37.20%	54.75%	-10.31	3-3
1960-11-20	Detroit Lions	W 28-7	1507.40	1473.06	55.17%	36.79%	+23.37	4-3
1960-11-27	Dallas Cowboys	W 17-7	1530.77	1324.01	74.48%	17.75%	+8.04	5-3
1960-12-04	Green Bay Packers	L 13-41	1538.81	1530.23	51.62%	40.31%	-36.97	5-4
1960-12-11	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 0-42	1501.84	1589.07	30.01%	61.99%	-27.29	5-5
1960-12-18	@ Detroit Lions	L 0-36	1474.55	1505.56	37.23%	54.72%	-30.95	5-6
1960-09-25	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 41-24	1531.93	1485.98	48.07%	43.86%	+24.76	1-0
1960-10-02	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-20	1556.69	1532.87	53.73%	38.21%	+14.94	2-0
1960-10-16	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 48-7	1571.63	1449.29	58.54%	33.43%	+29.86	3-0
1960-10-23	Philadelphia Eagles	L 29-31	1601.49	1503.31	63.31%	28.70%	-12.02	3-1
1960-10-30	@ Washington Redskins	W 31-10	1589.47	1443.11	61.57%	30.43%	+19.54	4-1
1960-11-06	New York Giants	L 13-17	1609.01	1557.30	57.48%	34.48%	-15.47	4-2
1960-11-13	St. Louis Cardinals	W 28-27	1593.54	1493.78	63.50%	28.52%	+4.01	5-2
1960-11-20	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-14	1597.55	1474.29	58.66%	33.32%	-15.79	5-3
1960-11-27	@ St. Louis Cardinals	T 17-17	1581.76	1506.97	52.14%	39.80%	-0.39	5-3
1960-12-04	Washington Redskins	W 27-16	1581.37	1355.25	76.08%	16.19%	+7.70	6-3
1960-12-11	Chicago Bears	W 42-0	1589.07	1501.84	61.99%	30.01%	+27.29	7-3
1960-12-18	@ New York Giants	W 48-34	1616.36	1556.16	50.09%	41.84%	+21.51	8-3
1960-09-24	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 28-35	1500.00	1515.53	48.22%	43.71%	-17.34	0-1
1960-09-30	Philadelphia Eagles	L 25-27	1482.66	1461.22	53.41%	38.54%	-10.20	0-2
1960-10-09	@ Washington Redskins	L 14-26	1472.46	1418.03	49.28%	42.66%	-23.17	0-3
1960-10-16	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-48	1449.29	1571.63	33.43%	58.54%	-29.85	0-4
1960-10-23	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 10-12	1419.44	1431.30	39.86%	52.08%	-7.78	0-5
1960-10-30	Baltimore Colts	L 7-45	1411.66	1565.64	29.50%	62.51%	-25.54	0-6
1960-11-06	Los Angeles Rams	L 13-38	1386.12	1431.63	43.92%	48.01%	-30.06	0-7
1960-11-13	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-41	1356.06	1554.81	18.43%	73.78%	-15.37	0-8
1960-11-20	San Francisco 49ers	L 14-26	1340.69	1453.95	34.61%	57.35%	-16.68	0-9
1960-11-27	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-17	1324.01	1530.77	17.75%	74.48%	-8.04	0-10
1960-12-04	@ New York Giants	T 31-31	1315.97	1545.02	15.96%	76.32%	+1.99	0-10
1960-12-11	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-23	1317.96	1496.92	20.19%	71.97%	-8.64	0-11
1960-10-02	@ Green Bay Packers	L 9-28	1474.55	1481.52	40.54%	51.40%	-24.33	0-1
1960-10-09	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-14	1450.22	1498.11	43.58%	48.35%	-11.94	0-2
1960-10-16	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-28	1438.28	1482.39	35.48%	56.48%	-20.92	0-3
1960-10-23	Baltimore Colts	W 30-17	1417.36	1597.38	26.48%	65.56%	+31.73	1-3
1960-10-30	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 35-48	1449.09	1408.41	47.32%	44.61%	-23.22	1-4
1960-11-06	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 24-0	1425.87	1493.15	32.48%	59.50%	+39.21	2-4
1960-11-13	Los Angeles Rams	W 12-10	1465.08	1461.70	50.90%	41.04%	+7.98	3-4
1960-11-20	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-28	1473.06	1507.40	36.79%	55.17%	-23.37	3-5
1960-11-24	Green Bay Packers	W 23-10	1449.69	1557.75	35.29%	56.67%	+27.52	4-5
1960-12-04	@ Baltimore Colts	W 20-15	1477.21	1595.50	26.39%	65.65%	+19.71	5-5
1960-12-11	Dallas Cowboys	W 23-14	1496.92	1317.96	71.97%	20.19%	+8.64	6-5
1960-12-18	Chicago Bears	W 36-0	1505.56	1474.55	54.72%	37.23%	+30.95	7-5
1960-09-25	Chicago Bears	L 14-17	1492.01	1535.14	44.26%	47.67%	-10.49	0-1
1960-10-02	Detroit Lions	W 28-9	1481.52	1474.55	51.40%	40.54%	+24.34	1-1
1960-10-09	Baltimore Colts	W 35-21	1505.86	1614.64	35.20%	56.76%	+28.61	2-1
1960-10-23	San Francisco 49ers	W 41-14	1534.47	1487.78	56.82%	35.14%	+25.39	3-1
1960-10-30	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 19-13	1559.86	1525.93	46.35%	45.58%	+15.24	4-1
1960-11-06	@ Baltimore Colts	L 24-38	1575.10	1591.18	39.27%	52.67%	-20.29	4-2
1960-11-13	Dallas Cowboys	W 41-7	1554.81	1356.06	73.78%	18.43%	+15.37	5-2
1960-11-20	Los Angeles Rams	L 31-33	1570.18	1453.71	65.45%	26.60%	-12.43	5-3
1960-11-24	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-23	1557.75	1449.69	56.67%	35.29%	-27.52	5-4
1960-12-04	@ Chicago Bears	W 41-13	1530.23	1538.81	40.31%	51.62%	+36.96	6-4
1960-12-10	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 13-0	1567.19	1522.02	47.96%	43.97%	+21.71	7-4
1960-12-17	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 35-21	1588.90	1462.41	59.07%	32.90%	+17.18	8-4
1960-09-23	St. Louis Cardinals	L 21-43	1473.61	1451.10	53.55%	38.39%	-33.92	0-1
1960-10-02	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 9-13	1439.69	1488.41	34.88%	57.09%	-9.71	0-2
1960-10-09	@ Chicago Bears	L 27-34	1429.98	1515.97	30.16%	61.84%	-11.19	0-3
1960-10-16	@ Baltimore Colts	L 17-31	1418.79	1586.03	21.30%	70.84%	-11.35	0-4
1960-10-23	Chicago Bears	T 24-24	1407.44	1549.44	30.96%	61.03%	+0.97	0-4
1960-10-30	Detroit Lions	W 48-35	1408.41	1449.09	44.61%	47.32%	+23.22	1-4
1960-11-06	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 38-13	1431.63	1386.12	48.01%	43.92%	+30.07	2-4
1960-11-13	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-12	1461.70	1465.08	41.04%	50.90%	-7.99	2-5
1960-11-20	@ Green Bay Packers	W 33-31	1453.71	1570.18	26.60%	65.45%	+12.43	3-5
1960-12-04	San Francisco 49ers	L 7-23	1466.14	1496.91	46.03%	45.89%	-25.12	3-6
1960-12-11	Baltimore Colts	W 10-3	1441.02	1575.79	31.86%	60.13%	+21.39	4-6
1960-12-17	Green Bay Packers	L 21-35	1462.41	1588.90	32.90%	59.07%	-17.19	4-7
1960-09-25	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 21-19	1540.16	1496.97	47.68%	44.25%	+8.57	1-0
1960-10-02	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 35-14	1548.73	1485.03	50.59%	41.35%	+26.05	2-0
1960-10-09	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 19-17	1574.78	1517.92	49.62%	42.31%	+8.22	3-0
1960-10-16	Washington Redskins	T 24-24	1583.00	1441.20	68.23%	23.85%	-1.45	3-0
1960-10-30	St. Louis Cardinals	L 13-20	1581.55	1439.07	68.31%	23.78%	-24.25	3-1
1960-11-06	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 17-13	1557.30	1609.01	34.48%	57.48%	+15.48	4-1
1960-11-13	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-24	1572.78	1481.47	62.49%	29.52%	+7.18	5-1
1960-11-20	Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-17	1579.96	1552.51	54.23%	37.72%	-19.37	5-2
1960-11-27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 23-31	1560.59	1571.88	39.94%	52.00%	-15.57	5-3
1960-12-04	Dallas Cowboys	T 31-31	1545.02	1315.97	76.32%	15.96%	-1.99	5-3
1960-12-11	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-3	1543.03	1347.55	67.28%	24.79%	+13.13	6-3
1960-12-18	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 34-48	1556.16	1616.36	41.84%	50.09%	-21.51	6-4
1960-09-25	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 24-41	1485.98	1531.93	43.86%	48.07%	-24.76	0-1
1960-09-30	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 27-25	1461.22	1482.66	38.54%	53.41%	+10.20	1-1
1960-10-09	St. Louis Cardinals	W 31-27	1471.42	1458.97	52.16%	39.78%	+10.97	2-1
1960-10-16	Detroit Lions	W 28-10	1482.39	1438.28	56.48%	35.48%	+20.92	3-1
1960-10-23	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 31-29	1503.31	1601.49	28.70%	63.31%	+12.02	4-1
1960-11-06	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-7	1515.33	1510.69	51.07%	40.86%	+29.23	5-1
1960-11-13	Washington Redskins	W 19-13	1544.56	1393.12	69.24%	22.86%	+7.95	6-1
1960-11-20	@ New York Giants	W 17-10	1552.51	1579.96	37.72%	54.23%	+19.37	7-1
1960-11-27	New York Giants	W 31-23	1571.88	1560.59	52.00%	39.94%	+15.57	8-1
1960-12-04	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 20-6	1587.45	1507.36	52.87%	39.07%	+20.18	9-1
1960-12-11	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-27	1607.63	1502.78	56.24%	35.72%	-18.56	9-2
1960-12-18	@ Washington Redskins	W 38-28	1589.07	1334.42	73.18%	19.00%	+8.59	10-2
1960-09-24	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 35-28	1515.53	1500.00	43.71%	48.22%	+17.34	1-0
1960-10-02	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 20-28	1532.87	1556.69	38.21%	53.73%	-14.95	1-1
1960-10-09	New York Giants	L 17-19	1517.92	1574.78	42.31%	49.62%	-8.22	1-2
1960-10-16	St. Louis Cardinals	W 27-14	1509.70	1448.00	58.78%	33.19%	+16.70	2-2
1960-10-23	@ Washington Redskins	T 27-27	1526.40	1442.64	53.38%	38.56%	-0.47	2-2
1960-10-30	Green Bay Packers	L 13-19	1525.93	1559.86	45.58%	46.35%	-15.24	2-3
1960-11-06	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-34	1510.69	1515.33	40.86%	51.07%	-29.22	2-4
1960-11-13	@ New York Giants	L 24-27	1481.47	1572.78	29.52%	62.49%	-7.18	2-5
1960-11-20	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 14-10	1474.29	1597.55	33.32%	58.66%	+15.78	3-5
1960-11-27	Washington Redskins	W 22-10	1490.07	1367.96	66.08%	25.97%	+12.71	4-5
1960-12-11	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-21	1502.78	1607.63	35.72%	56.24%	+18.57	5-5
1960-12-18	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 7-38	1521.35	1487.17	46.38%	45.55%	-35.21	5-6
1960-09-25	New York Giants	L 19-21	1496.97	1540.16	44.25%	47.68%	-8.56	0-1
1960-10-02	Los Angeles Rams	W 13-9	1488.41	1439.69	57.09%	34.88%	+9.70	1-1
1960-10-09	@ Detroit Lions	W 14-10	1498.11	1450.22	48.35%	43.58%	+11.94	2-1
1960-10-16	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-27	1510.05	1527.17	39.13%	52.81%	-22.27	2-2
1960-10-23	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-41	1487.78	1534.47	35.14%	56.82%	-25.39	2-3
1960-10-30	Chicago Bears	W 25-7	1462.39	1548.47	38.25%	53.70%	+30.76	3-3
1960-11-06	Detroit Lions	L 0-24	1493.15	1425.87	59.50%	32.48%	-39.20	3-4
1960-11-20	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 26-14	1453.95	1340.69	57.35%	34.61%	+16.69	4-4
1960-11-27	@ Baltimore Colts	W 30-22	1470.64	1621.77	22.89%	69.21%	+26.27	5-4
1960-12-04	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 23-7	1496.91	1466.14	45.89%	46.03%	+25.11	6-4
1960-12-10	Green Bay Packers	L 0-13	1522.02	1567.19	43.97%	47.96%	-21.70	6-5
1960-12-18	Baltimore Colts	W 34-10	1500.32	1554.40	42.70%	49.23%	+32.73	7-5
1960-09-23	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 43-21	1451.10	1473.61	38.39%	53.55%	+33.93	1-0
1960-10-02	New York Giants	L 14-35	1485.03	1548.73	41.35%	50.59%	-26.06	1-1
1960-10-09	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 27-31	1458.97	1471.42	39.78%	52.16%	-10.97	1-2
1960-10-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-27	1448.00	1509.70	33.19%	58.78%	-16.70	1-3
1960-10-23	Dallas Cowboys	W 12-10	1431.30	1419.44	52.08%	39.86%	+7.77	2-3
1960-10-30	@ New York Giants	W 20-13	1439.07	1581.55	23.78%	68.31%	+24.26	3-3
1960-11-06	Washington Redskins	W 44-7	1463.33	1423.57	55.90%	36.06%	+30.45	4-3
1960-11-13	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 27-28	1493.78	1593.54	28.52%	63.50%	-4.01	4-4
1960-11-20	@ Washington Redskins	W 26-14	1489.77	1385.16	56.21%	35.75%	+17.20	5-4
1960-11-27	Cleveland Browns (1st)	T 17-17	1506.97	1581.76	39.80%	52.14%	+0.39	5-4
1960-12-04	Philadelphia Eagles	L 6-20	1507.36	1587.45	39.07%	52.87%	-20.19	5-5
1960-12-18	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 38-7	1487.17	1521.35	45.55%	46.38%	+35.21	6-5
1960-09-25	@ Baltimore Colts	L 0-20	1433.53	1569.49	24.47%	67.61%	-15.50	0-1
1960-10-09	Dallas Cowboys	W 26-14	1418.03	1472.46	42.66%	49.28%	+23.17	1-1
1960-10-16	@ New York Giants	T 24-24	1441.20	1583.00	23.85%	68.23%	+1.44	1-1
1960-10-23	Pittsburgh Steelers	T 27-27	1442.64	1526.40	38.56%	53.38%	+0.47	1-1
1960-10-30	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-31	1443.11	1589.47	30.43%	61.57%	-19.54	1-2
1960-11-06	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 7-44	1423.57	1463.33	36.06%	55.90%	-30.45	1-3
1960-11-13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-19	1393.12	1544.56	22.86%	69.24%	-7.96	1-4
1960-11-20	St. Louis Cardinals	L 14-26	1385.16	1489.77	35.75%	56.21%	-17.20	1-5
1960-11-27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-22	1367.96	1490.07	25.97%	66.08%	-12.71	1-6
1960-12-04	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 16-27	1355.25	1581.37	16.19%	76.08%	-7.70	1-7
1960-12-11	New York Giants	L 3-17	1347.55	1543.03	24.79%	67.28%	-13.13	1-8
1960-12-18	Philadelphia Eagles	L 28-38	1334.42	1589.07	19.00%	73.18%	-8.59	1-9

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1960-12-26	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-17	1606.08	1597.66	46.72%	53.28%	-11.71	0-1
1960-12-26	Green Bay Packers	W 17-13	1597.66	1606.08	53.28%	46.72%	+11.72	1-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1960-11-27	22.89%	San Francisco 49ers	1470.64	30	@ Baltimore Colts	1621.77	22
2	1960-10-30	23.78%	St. Louis Cardinals	1439.07	20	@ New York Giants	1581.55	13
3	1960-12-04	26.39%	Detroit Lions	1477.21	20	@ Baltimore Colts	1595.50	15
4	1960-10-23	26.48%	@ Detroit Lions	1417.36	30	Baltimore Colts	1597.38	17
5	1960-11-20	26.60%	Los Angeles Rams	1453.71	33	@ Green Bay Packers	1570.18	31
6	1960-10-23	28.70%	Philadelphia Eagles	1503.31	31	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1601.49	29
7	1960-12-11	31.86%	@ Los Angeles Rams	1441.02	10	Baltimore Colts	1575.79	3
8	1960-11-06	32.48%	Detroit Lions	1425.87	24	@ San Francisco 49ers	1493.15	0
9	1960-11-20	33.32%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1474.29	14	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1597.55	10
10	1960-11-06	34.48%	New York Giants	1557.30	17	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1609.01	13
11	1960-10-09	35.20%	@ Green Bay Packers	1505.86	35	Baltimore Colts	1614.64	21
12	1960-11-24	35.29%	@ Detroit Lions	1449.69	23	Green Bay Packers	1557.75	10
13	1960-12-11	35.72%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1502.78	27	Philadelphia Eagles	1607.63	21
14	1960-11-20	37.72%	Philadelphia Eagles	1552.51	17	@ New York Giants	1579.96	10
15	1960-10-30	38.25%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1462.39	25	Chicago Bears	1548.47	7
16	1960-09-23	38.39%	St. Louis Cardinals	1451.10	43	@ Los Angeles Rams	1473.61	21
17	1960-09-30	38.54%	Philadelphia Eagles	1461.22	27	@ Dallas Cowboys	1482.66	25
18	1960-12-04	40.31%	Green Bay Packers	1530.23	41	@ Chicago Bears	1538.81	13
19	1960-10-09	42.66%	@ Washington Redskins	1418.03	26	Dallas Cowboys	1472.46	14
20	1960-12-18	42.70%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1500.32	34	Baltimore Colts	1554.40	10
21	1960-09-24	43.71%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1515.53	35	@ Dallas Cowboys	1500.00	28
22	1960-10-30	44.61%	@ Los Angeles Rams	1408.41	48	Detroit Lions	1449.09	35
23	1960-12-18	45.55%	@ St. Louis Cardinals	1487.17	38	Pittsburgh Steelers	1521.35	7
24	1960-12-04	45.89%	San Francisco 49ers	1496.91	23	@ Los Angeles Rams	1466.14	7

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1960-11-06	39.21	Detroit Lions	24	1425.87	32.48%	@ San Francisco 49ers	0	1493.15	59.50%
2	1960-12-04	36.97	Green Bay Packers	41	1530.23	40.31%	@ Chicago Bears	13	1538.81	51.62%
3	1960-12-18	35.21	@ St. Louis Cardinals	38	1487.17	45.55%	Pittsburgh Steelers	7	1521.35	46.38%
4	1960-09-23	33.93	St. Louis Cardinals	43	1451.10	38.39%	@ Los Angeles Rams	21	1473.61	53.55%
5	1960-12-18	32.73	@ San Francisco 49ers	34	1500.32	42.70%	Baltimore Colts	10	1554.40	49.23%
6	1960-10-23	31.74	@ Detroit Lions	30	1417.36	26.48%	Baltimore Colts	17	1597.38	65.56%
7	1960-12-18	30.95	@ Detroit Lions	36	1505.56	54.72%	Chicago Bears	0	1474.55	37.23%
8	1960-10-30	30.76	@ San Francisco 49ers	25	1462.39	38.25%	Chicago Bears	7	1548.47	53.70%
9	1960-11-06	30.45	@ St. Louis Cardinals	44	1463.33	55.90%	Washington Redskins	7	1423.57	36.06%
10	1960-11-06	30.07	Los Angeles Rams	38	1431.63	48.01%	@ Dallas Cowboys	13	1386.12	43.92%
11	1960-10-16	29.86	Cleveland Browns (1st)	48	1571.63	58.54%	@ Dallas Cowboys	7	1449.29	33.43%
12	1960-10-02	29.66	@ Baltimore Colts	42	1584.98	55.84%	Chicago Bears	7	1545.63	36.11%
13	1960-11-06	29.23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	34	1515.33	51.07%	Pittsburgh Steelers	7	1510.69	40.86%
14	1960-10-09	28.61	@ Green Bay Packers	35	1505.86	35.20%	Baltimore Colts	21	1614.64	56.76%
15	1960-11-24	27.52	@ Detroit Lions	23	1449.69	35.29%	Green Bay Packers	10	1557.75	56.67%
16	1960-12-11	27.29	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	42	1589.07	61.99%	Chicago Bears	0	1501.84	30.01%
17	1960-11-27	26.27	San Francisco 49ers	30	1470.64	22.89%	@ Baltimore Colts	22	1621.77	69.21%
18	1960-10-02	26.06	New York Giants	35	1548.73	50.59%	@ St. Louis Cardinals	14	1485.03	41.35%
19	1960-10-30	25.54	Baltimore Colts	45	1565.64	62.51%	@ Dallas Cowboys	7	1411.66	29.50%
20	1960-10-23	25.39	@ Green Bay Packers	41	1534.47	56.82%	San Francisco 49ers	14	1487.78	35.14%
21	1960-12-04	25.12	San Francisco 49ers	23	1496.91	45.89%	@ Los Angeles Rams	7	1466.14	46.03%
22	1960-09-25	24.76	Cleveland Browns (1st)	41	1531.93	48.07%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	24	1485.98	43.86%
23	1960-10-02	24.34	@ Green Bay Packers	28	1481.52	51.40%	Detroit Lions	9	1474.55	40.54%
24	1960-10-30	24.26	St. Louis Cardinals	20	1439.07	23.78%	@ New York Giants	13	1581.55	68.31%
25	1960-11-20	23.37	@ Chicago Bears	28	1507.40	55.17%	Detroit Lions	7	1473.06	36.79%