1957 NFL Season

72 regular-season games · 3 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Detroit Lions

4th Title

Last Title: 1953

Runner-Up

Cleveland Browns (1st)

7th Appearance

Last Appearance: 1955

Biggest Overachiever

Cleveland Browns (1st)

2.62 wins above expected

9 wins · 6.88 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Chicago Cardinals

2.62 wins below expected

3 wins · 5.62 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cleveland Browns (1st) Division	9	2	1	.792	—	269	172	+97	6.88	+2.62
2	New York Giants	7	5	0	.583	2.5	254	211	+43	7.13	-0.13
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	6	6	0	.500	3.5	161	178	-17	5.88	+0.12
4	Washington Redskins	5	6	1	.458	4	251	230	+21	5.47	+0.03
5	Philadelphia Eagles	4	8	0	.333	5.5	173	230	-57	5.34	-1.34
6	Chicago Cardinals	3	9	0	.250	6.5	200	299	-99	5.62	-2.62

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Francisco 49ers Division	8	4	.667	—	260	264	-4	5.81	+2.19
2	Detroit Lions Playoffs	8	4	.667	—	251	231	+20	6.40	+1.60
3	Baltimore Colts	7	5	.583	1	303	235	+68	6.60	+0.40
4	Los Angeles Rams	6	6	.500	2	307	278	+29	5.80	+0.20
5	Chicago Bears	5	7	.417	3	203	211	-8	6.27	-1.27
6	Green Bay Packers	3	9	.250	5	218	311	-93	4.80	-1.80

Playoff Bracket

Division Playoff

Detroit Lions 31

San Francisco 49ers 27

Dec 22

NFL Championship Game

Detroit Lions 59

Cleveland Browns (1st) 14

Dec 29

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Cleveland Browns (1st)	East	1591	9.5	6.88	+2.62	94.94%	1	4	6	7	8	10	12
Detroit Lions	West	1560	8	6.40	+1.60	89.95%	0	4	5	6	7	9	12
New York Giants	East	1532	7	7.13	-0.13	60.68%	1	4	6	7	8	10	12
Baltimore Colts	West	1532	7	6.60	+0.40	71.59%	0	4	5	7	8	9	12
Los Angeles Rams	West	1519	6	5.80	+0.20	67.86%	0	3	5	6	7	9	12
San Francisco 49ers	West	1516	8	5.81	+2.19	95.30%	0	3	5	6	7	8	12
Washington Redskins	East	1515	5.5	5.47	+0.03	53.52%	0	3	4	5	6	8	11
Chicago Bears	West	1497	5	6.27	-1.27	34.38%	0	3	5	6	7	9	12
Pittsburgh Steelers	East	1494	6	5.88	+0.12	66.86%	0	3	5	6	7	9	12
Philadelphia Eagles	East	1433	4	5.34	-1.34	33.14%	0	3	4	5	6	8	11
Chicago Cardinals	East	1412	3	5.62	-2.62	11.49%	0	3	4	6	7	8	11
Green Bay Packers	West	1398	3	4.80	-1.80	23.71%	0	2	4	5	6	7	11

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	Cardinals	(1st)	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Redskins
Chicago Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.2 exp.)
New York Giants	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Colts	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	49ers
Chicago Cardinals	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	—	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	—	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—
New York Giants	—	—	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.7 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	—	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	—
Washington Redskins	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	—	—

Within West

Team	Colts	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	49ers
Baltimore Colts	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Chicago Bears	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	Cardinals	(1st)	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Redskins
Baltimore Colts	—	—	—	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Chicago Bears	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	—	—	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
Detroit Lions	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	—
Green Bay Packers	—	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	—
Los Angeles Rams	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	—
San Francisco 49ers	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	2.78%	2.08%	2.08%	1.39%	0.69%	0.69%	—	9.72%
7–13	2.08%	1.39%	5.56%	5.56%	1.39%	—	0.69%	16.67%
14–20	2.08%	5.56%	—	10.42%	4.17%	1.39%	2.08%	25.69%
21–27	1.39%	5.56%	10.42%	2.78%	3.47%	2.08%	—	25.69%
28–34	0.69%	1.39%	4.17%	3.47%	2.78%	0.69%	0.69%	13.89%
35–41	0.69%	—	1.39%	2.08%	0.69%	—	—	4.86%
42+	—	0.69%	2.08%	—	0.69%	—	—	3.47%
Total	9.72%	16.67%	25.69%	25.69%	13.89%	4.86%	3.47%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.79	19.79	+0.00
SD	10.31	10.31	14.37
CV	0.52	0.52	—
Max	45	45	+35
Min	0	0	-35

Games Played: 72

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	8.33%	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	—	50.00%
28–34	—	—	25.00%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	—	8.33%	58.33%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	—	100%

Baltimore Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.25	19.58	+5.67
SD	9.01	7.75	12.86
CV	0.36	0.40	—
Max	45	37	+28
Min	13	10	-16

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
14–20	8.33%	8.33%	—	25.00%	8.33%	—	—	50.00%
21–27	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
28–34	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	16.67%	16.67%	50.00%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.92	17.58	-0.67
SD	7.89	7.32	10.39
CV	0.47	0.42	—
Max	34	29	+20
Min	3	6	-15

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
7–13	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
14–20	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	33.33%
21–27	—	—	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	16.67%
28–34	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	—	8.33%	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	16.67%	—	100%

Chicago Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.67	24.92	-8.25
SD	12.53	9.13	16.70
CV	0.75	0.37	—
Max	44	38	+30
Min	0	10	-31

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
14–20	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
21–27	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
28–34	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
Total	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	—	25.00%	—	—	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.42	14.33	+8.08
SD	11.90	11.32	12.75
CV	0.53	0.79	—
Max	45	31	+31
Min	6	0	-13

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
14–20	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	33.33%
21–27	—	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	33.33%	16.67%	16.67%	8.33%	16.67%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.92	19.25	+1.67
SD	8.18	11.57	14.05
CV	0.39	0.60	—
Max	31	35	+21
Min	7	6	-20

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	33.33%	8.33%	—	16.67%	58.33%
21–27	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	8.33%	16.67%	41.67%	16.67%	—	16.67%	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.17	25.92	-7.75
SD	6.07	10.12	12.27
CV	0.33	0.39	—
Max	27	45	+17
Min	6	10	-28

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
14–20	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
28–34	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	16.67%
35–41	—	—	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	—	16.67%	25.00%	33.33%	16.67%	—	8.33%	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.58	23.17	+2.42
SD	11.70	9.91	13.28
CV	0.46	0.43	—
Max	42	45	+25
Min	7	10	-17

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
14–20	—	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
21–27	—	—	25.00%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	—	33.33%	25.00%	16.67%	—	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.17	17.58	+3.58
SD	9.64	11.03	14.27
CV	0.46	0.63	—
Max	35	34	+35
Min	3	0	-17

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
7–13	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	33.33%
14–20	—	8.33%	—	16.67%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	25.00%	8.33%	33.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.42	19.17	-4.75
SD	11.20	11.13	13.78
CV	0.78	0.58	—
Max	38	42	+17
Min	0	6	-35

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	8.33%	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	41.67%
7–13	—	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
14–20	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
21–27	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
28–34	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	41.67%	8.33%	25.00%	—	8.33%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.42	14.83	-1.42
SD	10.96	10.83	18.03
CV	0.82	0.73	—
Max	29	35	+25
Min	0	0	-35

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
14–20	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
21–27	—	—	50.00%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	66.67%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	8.33%	58.33%	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.67	22.00	-0.33
SD	7.02	7.65	9.85
CV	0.32	0.35	—
Max	35	37	+10
Min	10	13	-21

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	8.33%	—	—	25.00%	—	—	8.33%	41.67%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	16.67%	8.33%	16.67%	33.33%	16.67%	—	8.33%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.92	19.17	+1.75
SD	11.31	11.95	18.21
CV	0.54	0.62	—
Max	42	44	+35
Min	7	3	-30

Games Played: 12

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Cleveland Browns (1st)	9.5	6.88	+2.62
2	San Francisco 49ers	8	5.81	+2.19
3	Detroit Lions	8	6.40	+1.60
4	Baltimore Colts	7	6.60	+0.40
5	Los Angeles Rams	6	5.80	+0.20

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Chicago Cardinals	3	5.62	-2.62
2	Green Bay Packers	3	4.80	-1.80
3	Philadelphia Eagles	4	5.34	-1.34
4	Chicago Bears	5	6.27	-1.27
5	New York Giants	7	7.13	-0.13

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	San Francisco 49ers	5	Oct 6 – Nov 3	1 in 33
2	Baltimore Colts	4	Nov 10 – Dec 1	1 in 12
3	Washington Redskins	3	Dec 1 – Dec 15	1 in 9
4	Detroit Lions	3	Oct 6 – Oct 20	1 in 7
5	Cleveland Browns (1st)	3	Sep 29 – Oct 13	1 in 7

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Chicago Cardinals	6	Oct 27 – Dec 8	1 in 44
2	New York Giants	3	Dec 1 – Dec 15	1 in 18
3	Baltimore Colts	3	Oct 20 – Nov 3	1 in 17
4	Chicago Bears	3	Sep 29 – Oct 13	1 in 10
5	Pittsburgh Steelers	3	Nov 10 – Dec 1	1 in 9

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
New York Giants	33.65%	23.25%	17.01%	12.53%	8.50%	5.06%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	28.74%	22.69%	17.91%	13.48%	10.34%	6.84%
Pittsburgh Steelers	12.40%	16.01%	18.16%	18.30%	18.16%	16.97%
Chicago Cardinals	9.74%	13.87%	16.30%	19.03%	20.04%	21.02%
Washington Redskins	7.99%	12.52%	15.49%	18.18%	21.70%	24.12%
Philadelphia Eagles	7.48%	11.66%	15.13%	18.48%	21.26%	25.99%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Baltimore Colts	26.68%	20.37%	17.88%	15.05%	11.86%	8.16%
Detroit Lions	21.70%	19.76%	18.34%	15.77%	13.86%	10.57%
Chicago Bears	20.22%	20.46%	17.84%	16.40%	14.22%	10.86%
Los Angeles Rams	13.77%	15.54%	16.40%	18.10%	18.94%	17.25%
San Francisco 49ers	12.73%	15.74%	17.30%	18.71%	17.94%	17.58%
Green Bay Packers	4.90%	8.13%	12.24%	15.97%	23.18%	35.58%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
New York Giants	20.02%	14.99%	12.14%	10.60%	9.36%	7.71%	6.40%	5.64%	4.88%	3.66%	2.75%	1.85%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	16.26%	13.52%	12.24%	10.26%	9.52%	8.45%	6.99%	6.28%	5.29%	4.54%	3.93%	2.72%
Baltimore Colts	13.17%	12.66%	10.13%	10.21%	8.90%	9.25%	7.50%	7.57%	6.35%	6.02%	4.53%	3.71%
Detroit Lions	10.45%	10.36%	10.29%	9.89%	8.99%	8.94%	8.26%	8.13%	7.23%	6.77%	5.92%	4.77%
Chicago Bears	8.99%	10.26%	10.07%	10.04%	9.16%	9.33%	8.30%	7.83%	7.44%	7.21%	5.99%	5.38%
Pittsburgh Steelers	6.21%	6.91%	7.75%	8.55%	8.62%	8.48%	9.07%	9.68%	8.94%	8.90%	9.22%	7.67%
Los Angeles Rams	5.74%	7.36%	7.37%	8.20%	7.76%	8.99%	9.06%	8.87%	9.10%	9.53%	9.43%	8.59%
San Francisco 49ers	5.36%	6.58%	7.70%	8.53%	8.26%	8.94%	9.15%	9.47%	9.08%	9.11%	9.05%	8.77%
Chicago Cardinals	4.51%	5.56%	7.02%	7.32%	8.25%	7.94%	9.34%	9.55%	10.23%	9.61%	10.53%	10.14%
Washington Redskins	3.96%	4.87%	6.00%	6.06%	8.12%	7.70%	8.92%	9.58%	10.36%	11.23%	11.39%	11.81%
Philadelphia Eagles	3.44%	4.26%	5.80%	6.12%	7.33%	7.90%	9.21%	9.12%	10.46%	10.97%	11.90%	13.49%
Green Bay Packers	1.89%	2.67%	3.49%	4.22%	5.73%	6.37%	7.80%	8.28%	10.64%	12.45%	15.36%	21.10%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New York Giants	33.65%	66.35%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	28.74%	71.26%
Pittsburgh Steelers	12.40%	87.60%
Chicago Cardinals	9.74%	90.26%
Washington Redskins	7.99%	92.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	7.48%	92.52%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Baltimore Colts	26.68%	73.32%
Detroit Lions	21.70%	78.30%
Chicago Bears	20.22%	79.78%
Los Angeles Rams	13.77%	86.23%
San Francisco 49ers	12.73%	87.27%
Green Bay Packers	4.90%	95.10%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Super Bowl
Cleveland Browns (1st)	28.74%	15.71%
Baltimore Colts	26.68%	15.20%
New York Giants	33.65%	15.19%
Detroit Lions	21.70%	13.07%
Chicago Bears	20.22%	10.24%
Los Angeles Rams	13.77%	7.58%
San Francisco 49ers	12.73%	6.86%
Pittsburgh Steelers	12.40%	4.99%
Washington Redskins	7.99%	3.47%
Chicago Cardinals	9.74%	3.07%
Philadelphia Eagles	7.48%	2.69%
Green Bay Packers	4.90%	1.93%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Chicago Bears	Chicago Cardinals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Redskins
Baltimore Colts			1.92%	4.12%				5.17%	1.42%	1.63%		0.94%
Chicago Bears			0.96%	2.57%				3.60%	0.98%	1.46%		0.67%
Chicago Cardinals	0.83%	0.58%			0.62%	0.24%	0.47%				0.33%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	4.38%	3.46%			2.58%	1.17%	1.97%				2.15%
Detroit Lions			1.65%	2.64%				4.63%	0.96%	1.93%		1.26%
Green Bay Packers			0.36%	0.36%				0.65%	0.25%	0.17%		0.14%
Los Angeles Rams			1.01%	1.55%				2.58%	0.52%	1.14%		0.78%
New York Giants	3.86%	3.57%			3.16%	0.71%	2.02%				1.87%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.65%	0.57%			0.45%	0.28%	0.34%				0.40%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.95%	1.10%			1.12%	0.29%	0.83%				0.70%
San Francisco 49ers			0.77%	1.79%				1.83%	0.66%	1.08%		0.73%
Washington Redskins	0.81%	0.70%			0.70%	0.28%	0.56%				0.42%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Won Super Bowl
Detroit Lions	51.03%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	48.97%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Detroit Lions
Cleveland Browns (1st)		48.97%
Detroit Lions	51.03%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Detroit Lions 51.03% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

51.03%

Cleveland Browns (1st) 48.97% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Detroit Lions

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

48.97%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1957-09-29	Detroit Lions	W 34-14	1481.10	1527.83	48.72%	49.60%	+22.20	1-0
1957-10-05	Chicago Bears	W 21-10	1503.30	1513.31	53.98%	44.34%	+14.74	2-0
1957-10-13	@ Green Bay Packers	W 45-17	1518.04	1469.73	49.83%	48.49%	+25.69	3-0
1957-10-20	@ Detroit Lions	L 27-31	1543.73	1529.03	45.01%	53.32%	-9.02	3-1
1957-10-27	Green Bay Packers	L 21-24	1534.71	1428.48	69.35%	28.98%	-11.99	3-2
1957-11-03	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-19	1522.72	1496.04	59.12%	39.21%	-14.46	3-3
1957-11-10	@ Washington Redskins	W 21-17	1508.26	1482.00	46.66%	51.66%	+10.33	4-3
1957-11-17	@ Chicago Bears	W 29-14	1518.59	1512.85	43.74%	54.59%	+21.13	5-3
1957-11-24	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-21	1539.72	1484.52	62.95%	35.37%	+8.71	6-3
1957-12-01	Los Angeles Rams	W 31-14	1548.43	1495.39	62.67%	35.66%	+14.78	7-3
1957-12-08	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-17	1563.21	1497.83	52.28%	46.04%	-10.45	7-4
1957-12-15	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 21-37	1552.76	1498.29	50.72%	47.61%	-20.29	7-5
1957-09-29	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-21	1523.24	1476.45	49.61%	48.71%	-9.93	0-1
1957-10-05	@ Baltimore Colts	L 10-21	1513.31	1503.30	44.34%	53.98%	-14.74	0-2
1957-10-13	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-21	1498.57	1475.87	58.57%	39.76%	-11.70	0-3
1957-10-20	Los Angeles Rams	W 34-26	1486.87	1485.98	55.53%	42.80%	+12.14	1-3
1957-10-27	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-21	1499.01	1503.13	42.35%	55.98%	-8.49	1-4
1957-11-03	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 16-10	1490.52	1495.94	42.16%	56.16%	+13.74	2-4
1957-11-10	Green Bay Packers	W 21-14	1504.26	1424.84	66.07%	32.25%	+8.59	3-4
1957-11-17	Baltimore Colts	L 14-29	1512.85	1518.59	54.59%	43.74%	-21.13	3-5
1957-11-24	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-7	1491.72	1542.65	35.94%	62.39%	+27.85	4-5
1957-12-01	Washington Redskins	L 3-14	1519.57	1458.28	63.75%	34.57%	-21.10	4-6
1957-12-08	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 14-6	1498.47	1439.00	51.44%	46.89%	+13.28	5-6
1957-12-15	Detroit Lions	L 13-21	1511.75	1545.21	50.63%	47.70%	-14.32	5-7
1957-09-29	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 20-10	1515.76	1483.67	47.50%	50.83%	+16.08	1-0
1957-10-06	Washington Redskins	L 14-37	1531.84	1470.87	63.71%	34.62%	-30.50	1-1
1957-10-13	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-29	1501.34	1495.84	43.70%	54.62%	-13.14	1-2
1957-10-20	@ Washington Redskins	W 44-14	1488.20	1491.17	42.51%	55.82%	+30.54	2-2
1957-10-27	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-17	1518.74	1528.14	54.07%	44.26%	-17.09	2-3
1957-11-03	Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-38	1501.65	1453.73	61.99%	36.34%	-25.51	2-4
1957-11-10	@ New York Giants	L 14-27	1476.14	1552.67	32.62%	65.71%	-11.84	2-5
1957-11-24	New York Giants	L 21-28	1464.30	1575.20	39.64%	58.69%	-10.53	2-6
1957-12-01	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 0-31	1453.77	1583.20	26.31%	72.02%	-14.77	2-7
1957-12-08	Chicago Bears	L 6-14	1439.00	1498.47	46.89%	51.44%	-13.28	2-8
1957-12-14	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-27	1425.72	1444.91	40.24%	58.08%	+11.60	3-8
1957-12-22	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 2-27	1437.32	1469.05	50.88%	47.45%	-25.45	3-9
1957-09-29	New York Giants	W 6-3	1506.12	1531.12	51.84%	46.48%	+8.06	1-0
1957-10-05	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-12	1514.18	1514.20	42.92%	55.40%	+18.36	2-0
1957-10-13	Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-7	1532.54	1459.10	65.32%	33.01%	+13.70	3-0
1957-10-20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-17	1546.24	1445.41	57.29%	41.03%	-18.10	3-1
1957-10-27	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 17-7	1528.14	1518.74	44.26%	54.07%	+17.09	4-1
1957-11-03	Washington Redskins	W 21-17	1545.23	1489.09	63.08%	35.25%	+7.09	5-1
1957-11-10	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-0	1552.32	1510.50	61.17%	37.15%	+18.29	6-1
1957-11-17	@ Washington Redskins	T 30-30	1570.61	1471.67	57.03%	41.30%	-0.39	6-1
1957-11-24	Los Angeles Rams	W 45-31	1570.22	1508.38	63.82%	34.50%	+12.98	7-1
1957-12-01	Chicago Cardinals	W 31-0	1583.20	1453.77	72.02%	26.31%	+14.78	8-1
1957-12-08	@ Detroit Lions	L 7-20	1597.98	1526.03	53.22%	45.11%	-19.18	8-2
1957-12-15	@ New York Giants	W 34-28	1578.80	1544.62	47.80%	50.53%	+12.38	9-2
1957-09-29	@ Baltimore Colts	L 14-34	1527.83	1481.10	49.60%	48.72%	-22.20	0-1
1957-10-06	@ Green Bay Packers	W 24-14	1505.63	1486.38	45.66%	52.67%	+16.65	1-1
1957-10-13	Los Angeles Rams	W 10-7	1522.28	1492.73	59.51%	38.82%	+6.75	2-1
1957-10-20	Baltimore Colts	W 31-27	1529.03	1543.73	53.32%	45.01%	+9.03	3-1
1957-10-27	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 17-35	1538.06	1473.84	52.12%	46.21%	-22.11	3-2
1957-11-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 31-35	1515.95	1511.62	43.54%	54.79%	-8.73	3-3
1957-11-10	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-16	1507.22	1479.24	46.91%	51.42%	+17.05	4-3
1957-11-17	San Francisco 49ers	W 31-10	1524.27	1502.90	58.39%	39.94%	+18.38	5-3
1957-11-24	Chicago Bears	L 7-27	1542.65	1491.72	62.39%	35.94%	-27.85	5-4
1957-11-28	Green Bay Packers	W 18-6	1514.80	1434.99	66.12%	32.20%	+11.23	6-4
1957-12-08	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 20-7	1526.03	1597.98	45.11%	53.22%	+19.18	7-4
1957-12-15	@ Chicago Bears	W 21-13	1545.21	1511.75	47.70%	50.63%	+14.32	8-4
1957-09-29	Chicago Bears	W 21-17	1476.45	1523.24	48.71%	49.61%	+9.93	1-0
1957-10-06	Detroit Lions	L 14-24	1486.38	1505.63	52.67%	45.66%	-16.65	1-1
1957-10-13	Baltimore Colts	L 17-45	1469.73	1518.04	48.49%	49.83%	-25.69	1-2
1957-10-20	San Francisco 49ers	L 14-24	1444.04	1487.56	49.18%	49.14%	-15.56	1-3
1957-10-27	@ Baltimore Colts	W 24-21	1428.48	1534.71	28.98%	69.35%	+11.99	2-3
1957-11-03	New York Giants	L 17-31	1440.47	1537.04	41.63%	56.70%	-15.63	2-4
1957-11-10	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-21	1424.84	1504.26	32.25%	66.07%	-8.59	2-5
1957-11-17	Los Angeles Rams	L 27-31	1416.25	1499.66	43.48%	54.85%	-8.72	2-6
1957-11-24	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-10	1407.53	1492.21	31.60%	66.73%	+27.46	3-6
1957-11-28	@ Detroit Lions	L 6-18	1434.99	1514.80	32.20%	66.12%	-11.23	3-7
1957-12-08	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 17-42	1423.76	1480.61	35.16%	63.17%	-17.68	3-8
1957-12-15	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-27	1406.08	1508.29	29.46%	68.87%	-7.85	3-9
1957-09-29	Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-13	1492.83	1476.81	57.65%	40.68%	+8.17	1-0
1957-10-06	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-23	1501.00	1467.60	47.69%	50.64%	-8.27	1-1
1957-10-13	@ Detroit Lions	L 7-10	1492.73	1522.28	38.82%	59.51%	-6.75	1-2
1957-10-20	@ Chicago Bears	L 26-34	1485.98	1486.87	42.80%	55.53%	-12.14	1-3
1957-10-27	Detroit Lions	W 35-17	1473.84	1538.06	46.21%	52.12%	+22.10	2-3
1957-11-03	Chicago Bears	L 10-16	1495.94	1490.52	56.16%	42.16%	-13.74	2-4
1957-11-10	San Francisco 49ers	W 37-24	1482.20	1520.36	49.96%	48.37%	+17.46	3-4
1957-11-17	@ Green Bay Packers	W 31-27	1499.66	1416.25	54.85%	43.48%	+8.72	4-4
1957-11-24	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 31-45	1508.38	1570.22	34.50%	63.82%	-12.99	4-5
1957-12-01	@ Baltimore Colts	L 14-31	1495.39	1548.43	35.66%	62.67%	-14.78	4-6
1957-12-08	Green Bay Packers	W 42-17	1480.61	1423.76	63.17%	35.16%	+17.68	5-6
1957-12-15	Baltimore Colts	W 37-21	1498.29	1552.76	47.61%	50.72%	+20.29	6-6
1957-09-29	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 3-6	1531.12	1506.12	46.48%	51.84%	-8.06	0-1
1957-10-05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-20	1523.06	1468.64	50.71%	47.62%	+9.54	1-1
1957-10-13	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-20	1532.60	1501.36	47.38%	50.95%	+10.19	2-1
1957-10-20	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 35-0	1542.79	1508.99	60.09%	38.24%	+22.72	3-1
1957-10-27	Washington Redskins	L 14-31	1565.51	1460.62	69.19%	29.14%	-28.47	3-2
1957-11-03	@ Green Bay Packers	W 31-17	1537.04	1440.47	56.70%	41.63%	+15.63	4-2
1957-11-10	Chicago Cardinals	W 27-14	1552.67	1476.14	65.71%	32.62%	+11.84	5-2
1957-11-17	Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-0	1564.51	1462.19	68.89%	29.44%	+10.69	6-2
1957-11-24	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 28-21	1575.20	1464.30	58.69%	39.64%	+10.53	7-2
1957-12-01	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-27	1585.73	1475.81	69.79%	28.54%	-22.02	7-3
1957-12-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-21	1563.71	1460.45	57.63%	40.69%	-19.09	7-4
1957-12-15	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 28-34	1544.62	1578.80	50.53%	47.80%	-12.38	7-5
1957-09-29	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 13-17	1476.81	1492.83	40.68%	57.65%	-8.17	0-1
1957-10-05	New York Giants	L 20-24	1468.64	1523.06	47.62%	50.71%	-9.54	0-2
1957-10-13	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-24	1459.10	1532.54	33.01%	65.32%	-13.69	0-3
1957-10-20	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 17-7	1445.41	1546.24	41.03%	57.29%	+18.09	1-3
1957-10-27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 0-6	1463.50	1486.26	39.75%	58.58%	-9.77	1-4
1957-11-03	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 38-21	1453.73	1501.65	36.34%	61.99%	+25.51	2-4
1957-11-10	Detroit Lions	L 16-27	1479.24	1507.22	51.42%	46.91%	-17.05	2-5
1957-11-17	@ New York Giants	L 0-13	1462.19	1564.51	29.44%	68.89%	-10.70	2-6
1957-11-24	Washington Redskins	W 21-12	1451.49	1472.06	52.48%	45.85%	+13.78	3-6
1957-12-01	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 7-6	1465.27	1464.75	55.47%	42.85%	+4.30	4-6
1957-12-08	@ Washington Redskins	L 7-42	1469.57	1479.38	41.55%	56.78%	-24.66	4-7
1957-12-14	Chicago Cardinals	L 27-31	1444.91	1425.72	58.08%	40.24%	-11.60	4-8
1957-09-29	Washington Redskins	W 28-7	1494.76	1490.31	56.03%	42.30%	+19.44	1-0
1957-10-05	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 12-23	1514.20	1514.18	55.40%	42.92%	-18.36	1-1
1957-10-13	Chicago Cardinals	W 29-20	1495.84	1501.34	54.62%	43.70%	+13.15	2-1
1957-10-20	@ New York Giants	L 0-35	1508.99	1542.79	38.24%	60.09%	-22.73	2-2
1957-10-27	Philadelphia Eagles	W 6-0	1486.26	1463.50	58.58%	39.75%	+9.78	3-2
1957-11-03	@ Baltimore Colts	W 19-13	1496.04	1522.72	39.21%	59.12%	+14.46	4-2
1957-11-10	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 0-24	1510.50	1552.32	37.15%	61.17%	-18.29	4-3
1957-11-24	Green Bay Packers	L 10-27	1492.21	1407.53	66.73%	31.60%	-27.46	4-4
1957-12-01	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 6-7	1464.75	1465.27	42.85%	55.47%	-4.30	4-5
1957-12-07	New York Giants	W 21-10	1460.45	1563.71	40.69%	57.63%	+19.09	5-5
1957-12-15	@ Washington Redskins	L 3-10	1479.54	1504.04	39.51%	58.82%	-10.49	5-6
1957-12-22	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 27-2	1469.05	1437.32	47.45%	50.88%	+25.44	6-6
1957-09-29	Chicago Cardinals	L 10-20	1483.67	1515.76	50.83%	47.50%	-16.07	0-1
1957-10-06	Los Angeles Rams	W 23-20	1467.60	1501.00	50.64%	47.69%	+8.27	1-1
1957-10-13	@ Chicago Bears	W 21-17	1475.87	1498.57	39.76%	58.57%	+11.69	2-1
1957-10-20	@ Green Bay Packers	W 24-14	1487.56	1444.04	49.14%	49.18%	+15.57	3-1
1957-10-27	Chicago Bears	W 21-17	1503.13	1499.01	55.98%	42.35%	+8.49	4-1
1957-11-03	Detroit Lions	W 35-31	1511.62	1515.95	54.79%	43.54%	+8.74	5-1
1957-11-10	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 24-37	1520.36	1482.20	48.37%	49.96%	-17.46	5-2
1957-11-17	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-31	1502.90	1524.27	39.94%	58.39%	-18.38	5-3
1957-11-24	@ Baltimore Colts	L 21-27	1484.52	1539.72	35.37%	62.95%	-8.71	5-4
1957-12-01	@ New York Giants	W 27-17	1475.81	1585.73	28.54%	69.79%	+22.02	6-4
1957-12-08	Baltimore Colts	W 17-13	1497.83	1563.21	46.04%	52.28%	+10.46	7-4
1957-12-15	Green Bay Packers	W 27-20	1508.29	1406.08	68.87%	29.46%	+7.85	8-4
1957-09-29	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-28	1490.31	1494.76	42.30%	56.03%	-19.44	0-1
1957-10-06	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 37-14	1470.87	1531.84	34.62%	63.71%	+30.49	1-1
1957-10-13	New York Giants	L 20-24	1501.36	1532.60	50.95%	47.38%	-10.19	1-2
1957-10-20	Chicago Cardinals	L 14-44	1491.17	1488.20	55.82%	42.51%	-30.55	1-3
1957-10-27	@ New York Giants	W 31-14	1460.62	1565.51	29.14%	69.19%	+28.47	2-3
1957-11-03	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-21	1489.09	1545.23	35.25%	63.08%	-7.09	2-4
1957-11-10	Baltimore Colts	L 17-21	1482.00	1508.26	51.66%	46.66%	-10.33	2-5
1957-11-17	Cleveland Browns (1st)	T 30-30	1471.67	1570.61	41.30%	57.03%	+0.39	2-5
1957-11-24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 12-21	1472.06	1451.49	45.85%	52.48%	-13.78	2-6
1957-12-01	@ Chicago Bears	W 14-3	1458.28	1519.57	34.57%	63.75%	+21.10	3-6
1957-12-08	Philadelphia Eagles	W 42-7	1479.38	1469.57	56.78%	41.55%	+24.66	4-6
1957-12-15	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 10-3	1504.04	1479.54	58.82%	39.51%	+10.50	5-6

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1957-12-29	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-59	1591.18	1569.38	46.86%	53.14%	-30.93	0-1
1957-12-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 31-27	1559.53	1516.14	49.96%	50.04%	+9.85	1-0
1957-12-29	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 59-14	1569.38	1591.18	53.14%	46.86%	+30.93	2-0
1957-12-22	Detroit Lions	L 27-31	1516.14	1559.53	50.04%	49.96%	-9.85	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1957-12-01	28.54%	San Francisco 49ers	1475.81	27	@ New York Giants	1585.73	17
2	1957-10-27	28.98%	Green Bay Packers	1428.48	24	@ Baltimore Colts	1534.71	21
3	1957-10-27	29.14%	Washington Redskins	1460.62	31	@ New York Giants	1565.51	14
4	1957-11-24	31.60%	Green Bay Packers	1407.53	27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1492.21	10
5	1957-12-01	34.57%	Washington Redskins	1458.28	14	@ Chicago Bears	1519.57	3
6	1957-10-06	34.62%	Washington Redskins	1470.87	37	@ Chicago Cardinals	1531.84	14
7	1957-11-24	35.94%	Chicago Bears	1491.72	27	@ Detroit Lions	1542.65	7
8	1957-11-03	36.34%	Philadelphia Eagles	1453.73	38	@ Chicago Cardinals	1501.65	21
9	1957-11-03	39.21%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1496.04	19	@ Baltimore Colts	1522.72	13
10	1957-10-13	39.76%	San Francisco 49ers	1475.87	21	@ Chicago Bears	1498.57	17
11	1957-12-14	40.24%	Chicago Cardinals	1425.72	31	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1444.91	27
12	1957-12-07	40.69%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1460.45	21	New York Giants	1563.71	10
13	1957-10-20	41.03%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1445.41	17	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1546.24	7
14	1957-11-03	42.16%	Chicago Bears	1490.52	16	@ Los Angeles Rams	1495.94	10
15	1957-10-20	42.51%	Chicago Cardinals	1488.20	44	@ Washington Redskins	1491.17	14
16	1957-10-05	42.92%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1514.18	23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1514.20	12
17	1957-11-17	43.74%	Baltimore Colts	1518.59	29	@ Chicago Bears	1512.85	14
18	1957-10-27	44.26%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1528.14	17	@ Chicago Cardinals	1518.74	7
19	1957-12-08	45.11%	@ Detroit Lions	1526.03	20	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1597.98	7
20	1957-10-06	45.66%	Detroit Lions	1505.63	24	@ Green Bay Packers	1486.38	14
21	1957-12-08	46.04%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1497.83	17	Baltimore Colts	1563.21	13
22	1957-10-27	46.21%	@ Los Angeles Rams	1473.84	35	Detroit Lions	1538.06	17
23	1957-11-10	46.66%	Baltimore Colts	1508.26	21	@ Washington Redskins	1482.00	17
24	1957-11-10	46.91%	Detroit Lions	1507.22	27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1479.24	16
25	1957-10-13	47.38%	New York Giants	1532.60	24	@ Washington Redskins	1501.36	20

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1957-12-29 *	30.93	@ Detroit Lions	59	1569.38	53.14%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	14	1591.18	46.86%
2	1957-10-20	30.55	Chicago Cardinals	44	1488.20	42.51%	@ Washington Redskins	14	1491.17	55.82%
3	1957-10-06	30.50	Washington Redskins	37	1470.87	34.62%	@ Chicago Cardinals	14	1531.84	63.71%
4	1957-10-27	28.47	Washington Redskins	31	1460.62	29.14%	@ New York Giants	14	1565.51	69.19%
5	1957-11-24	27.85	Chicago Bears	27	1491.72	35.94%	@ Detroit Lions	7	1542.65	62.39%
6	1957-11-24	27.46	Green Bay Packers	27	1407.53	31.60%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	10	1492.21	66.73%
7	1957-10-13	25.69	Baltimore Colts	45	1518.04	49.83%	@ Green Bay Packers	17	1469.73	48.49%
8	1957-11-03	25.51	Philadelphia Eagles	38	1453.73	36.34%	@ Chicago Cardinals	21	1501.65	61.99%
9	1957-12-22	25.45	Pittsburgh Steelers	27	1469.05	47.45%	@ Chicago Cardinals	2	1437.32	50.88%
10	1957-12-08	24.66	@ Washington Redskins	42	1479.38	56.78%	Philadelphia Eagles	7	1469.57	41.55%
11	1957-10-20	22.73	@ New York Giants	35	1542.79	60.09%	Pittsburgh Steelers	0	1508.99	38.24%
12	1957-09-29	22.20	@ Baltimore Colts	34	1481.10	48.72%	Detroit Lions	14	1527.83	49.60%
13	1957-10-27	22.11	@ Los Angeles Rams	35	1473.84	46.21%	Detroit Lions	17	1538.06	52.12%
14	1957-12-01	22.02	San Francisco 49ers	27	1475.81	28.54%	@ New York Giants	17	1585.73	69.79%
15	1957-11-17	21.13	Baltimore Colts	29	1518.59	43.74%	@ Chicago Bears	14	1512.85	54.59%
16	1957-12-01	21.10	Washington Redskins	14	1458.28	34.57%	@ Chicago Bears	3	1519.57	63.75%
17	1957-12-15	20.29	@ Los Angeles Rams	37	1498.29	47.61%	Baltimore Colts	21	1552.76	50.72%
18	1957-09-29	19.44	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	28	1494.76	56.03%	Washington Redskins	7	1490.31	42.30%
19	1957-12-08	19.18	@ Detroit Lions	20	1526.03	45.11%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	7	1597.98	53.22%
20	1957-12-07	19.09	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	21	1460.45	40.69%	New York Giants	10	1563.71	57.63%
21	1957-11-17	18.38	@ Detroit Lions	31	1524.27	58.39%	San Francisco 49ers	10	1502.90	39.94%
22	1957-10-05	18.36	Cleveland Browns (1st)	23	1514.18	42.92%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	12	1514.20	55.40%
23	1957-11-10	18.29	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	24	1552.32	61.17%	Pittsburgh Steelers	0	1510.50	37.15%
24	1957-10-20	18.10	@ Philadelphia Eagles	17	1445.41	41.03%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	7	1546.24	57.29%
25	1957-12-08	17.68	@ Los Angeles Rams	42	1480.61	63.17%	Green Bay Packers	17	1423.76	35.16%