1952 NFL Season

72 regular-season games · 3 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Detroit Lions

2nd Title

Last Title: 1935

Runner-Up

Cleveland Browns (1st)

3rd Appearance

Last Appearance: 1951

Biggest Overachiever

Detroit Lions

1.66 wins above expected

9 wins · 7.34 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Dallas Texans (1st)

1.90 wins below expected

1 wins · 2.90 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cleveland Browns (1st) Division	8	4	.667	—	310	213	+97	8.63	-0.63
2	New York Giants	7	5	.583	1	234	231	+3	7.89	-0.89
3	Philadelphia Eagles	7	5	.583	1	252	271	-19	6.31	+0.69
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	5	7	.417	3	300	273	+27	4.69	+0.31
5	Chicago Cardinals	4	8	.333	4	172	221	-49	4.82	-0.82
6	Washington Redskins	4	8	.333	4	240	287	-47	4.31	-0.31

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Detroit Lions Division	9	3	.750	—	344	192	+152	7.34	+1.66
2	Los Angeles Rams Playoffs	9	3	.750	—	349	234	+115	7.62	+1.38
3	San Francisco 49ers	7	5	.583	2	285	221	+64	7.37	-0.37
4	Green Bay Packers	6	6	.500	3	295	312	-17	4.45	+1.55
5	Chicago Bears	5	7	.417	4	245	326	-81	5.67	-0.67
6	Dallas Texans (1st)	1	11	.083	8	182	427	-245	2.90	-1.90

Playoff Bracket

Division Playoff

Detroit Lions 31

Los Angeles Rams 21

Dec 21

NFL Championship Game

Detroit Lions 17

Cleveland Browns (1st) 7

Dec 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Los Angeles Rams	West	1676	9	7.62	+1.38	89.10%	1	5	7	8	9	10	12
Cleveland Browns (1st)	East	1644	8	8.63	-0.63	46.57%	2	6	8	9	10	11	12
Detroit Lions	West	1637	9	7.34	+1.66	91.98%	2	5	6	7	8	10	12
San Francisco 49ers	West	1540	7	7.37	-0.37	53.90%	1	5	6	7	8	10	12
New York Giants	East	1538	7	7.89	-0.89	41.19%	1	5	7	8	9	10	12
Pittsburgh Steelers	East	1519	5	4.69	+0.31	70.51%	0	2	4	5	6	7	11
Philadelphia Eagles	East	1506	7	6.31	+0.69	77.60%	1	4	5	6	7	9	12
Green Bay Packers	West	1423	6	4.45	+1.55	90.07%	0	2	3	4	5	7	10
Washington Redskins	East	1418	4	4.31	-0.31	57.28%	0	2	3	4	5	7	11
Chicago Bears	West	1415	5	5.67	-0.67	47.88%	0	3	5	6	7	8	11
Chicago Cardinals	East	1415	4	4.82	-0.82	44.31%	0	2	4	5	6	7	11
Dallas Texans (1st)	West	1268	1	2.90	-1.90	17.39%	0	1	2	3	4	5	10

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	Cardinals	(1st)	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Redskins
Chicago Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Bears	(1st)	Lions	Packers	Rams	49ers
Chicago Cardinals	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—
Cleveland Browns (1st)	—	—	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—
New York Giants	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	—	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	—
Pittsburgh Steelers	—	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
Washington Redskins	—	—	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.2 exp.)

Within West

Team	Bears	(1st)	Lions	Packers	Rams	49ers
Chicago Bears	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Dallas Texans (1st)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	Cardinals	(1st)	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Redskins
Chicago Bears	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—
Dallas Texans (1st)	—	—	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	—	—
Detroit Lions	—	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—
Green Bay Packers	—	—	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—
San Francisco 49ers	—	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	0.69%	2.78%	1.39%	2.08%	0.69%	—	7.64%
7–13	0.69%	4.17%	2.08%	2.08%	2.08%	1.39%	2.08%	14.58%
14–20	2.78%	2.08%	5.56%	5.56%	1.39%	3.47%	2.08%	22.92%
21–27	1.39%	2.08%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	1.39%	3.47%	25.00%
28–34	2.08%	2.08%	1.39%	2.78%	4.17%	1.39%	—	13.89%
35–41	0.69%	1.39%	3.47%	1.39%	1.39%	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	2.08%	2.08%	3.47%	—	—	—	7.64%
Total	7.64%	14.58%	22.92%	25.00%	13.89%	8.33%	7.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.28	22.28	+0.00
SD	11.98	11.98	18.09
CV	0.54	0.54	—
Max	63	63	+56
Min	0	0	-56

Games Played: 72

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	16.67%
21–27	—	—	8.33%	16.67%	—	8.33%	8.33%	41.67%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%
35–41	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	8.33%	25.00%	25.00%	8.33%	25.00%	8.33%	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.42	27.17	-6.75
SD	8.68	12.22	14.10
CV	0.43	0.45	—
Max	38	45	+18
Min	7	7	-24

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
7–13	—	16.67%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
14–20	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
21–27	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
28–34	—	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	33.33%	8.33%	25.00%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Chicago Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.33	18.42	-4.08
SD	9.33	9.15	10.47
CV	0.65	0.50	—
Max	28	34	+11
Min	0	6	-22

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
14–20	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
21–27	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
28–34	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	8.33%	25.00%	33.33%	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.83	17.75	+8.08
SD	14.35	10.45	16.67
CV	0.56	0.59	—
Max	49	37	+42
Min	6	0	-11

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	25.00%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%	8.33%
14–20	—	—	—	8.33%	—	16.67%	16.67%	41.67%
21–27	—	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	—	33.33%	—	33.33%	33.33%	100%

Dallas Texans (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.17	35.58	-20.42
SD	6.85	8.71	10.19
CV	0.45	0.24	—
Max	27	48	+4
Min	6	23	-35

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
21–27	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
28–34	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	8.33%	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
Total	25.00%	8.33%	33.33%	25.00%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.67	16.00	+12.67
SD	17.46	7.46	19.95
CV	0.61	0.47	—
Max	52	28	+35
Min	0	6	-28

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
14–20	8.33%	—	—	16.67%	—	—	8.33%	33.33%
21–27	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
35–41	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
42+	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	8.33%	8.33%	25.00%	16.67%	16.67%	—	25.00%	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.58	26.00	-1.42
SD	10.43	15.54	18.54
CV	0.42	0.60	—
Max	42	52	+28
Min	12	3	-35

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%
14–20	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
21–27	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
28–34	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
35–41	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
42+	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	8.33%	16.67%	25.00%	33.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.08	19.50	+9.58
SD	11.66	9.36	16.51
CV	0.40	0.48	—
Max	45	37	+26
Min	7	6	-30

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%	16.67%
14–20	—	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	25.00%	25.00%	16.67%	8.33%	—	8.33%	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.50	19.25	+0.25
SD	10.08	16.42	21.32
CV	0.52	0.85	—
Max	37	63	+24
Min	3	6	-56

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	16.67%	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	33.33%
14–20	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
21–27	—	—	—	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	16.67%	33.33%	16.67%	—	8.33%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.00	22.58	-1.58
SD	11.43	11.10	16.92
CV	0.54	0.49	—
Max	38	49	+18
Min	7	7	-42

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	8.33%	—	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	41.67%
28–34	—	—	—	—	16.67%	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	—	16.67%	8.33%	25.00%	50.00%	—	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.00	22.75	+2.25
SD	13.90	8.76	19.79
CV	0.56	0.39	—
Max	63	31	+56
Min	6	7	-25

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	16.67%
14–20	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
42+	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	16.67%	—	41.67%	25.00%	8.33%	8.33%	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.75	18.42	+5.33
SD	12.57	10.46	18.67
CV	0.53	0.57	—
Max	48	35	+28
Min	7	0	-26

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
14–20	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	16.67%	—	33.33%
21–27	—	8.33%	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	8.33%	41.67%
28–34	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	8.33%	33.33%	33.33%	—	16.67%	8.33%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.00	23.92	-3.92
SD	6.92	11.34	11.83
CV	0.35	0.47	—
Max	28	48	+16
Min	6	7	-24

Games Played: 12

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Detroit Lions	9	7.34	+1.66
2	Green Bay Packers	6	4.45	+1.55
3	Los Angeles Rams	9	7.62	+1.38
4	Philadelphia Eagles	7	6.31	+0.69
5	Pittsburgh Steelers	5	4.69	+0.31

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Dallas Texans (1st)	1	2.90	-1.90
2	New York Giants	7	7.89	-0.89
3	Chicago Cardinals	4	4.82	-0.82
4	Chicago Bears	5	5.67	-0.67
5	Cleveland Browns (1st)	8	8.63	-0.63

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Green Bay Packers	4	Nov 2 – Nov 23	1 in 56
2	Los Angeles Rams	8	Oct 26 – Dec 14	1 in 29
3	Detroit Lions	5	Oct 19 – Nov 16	1 in 21
4	Chicago Cardinals	3	Oct 5 – Oct 19	1 in 19
5	Pittsburgh Steelers	3	Nov 23 – Dec 7	1 in 19

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dallas Texans (1st)	9	Sep 28 – Nov 23	1 in 16
2	Chicago Cardinals	5	Oct 26 – Nov 23	1 in 15
3	New York Giants	2	Oct 19 – Oct 26	1 in 14
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	4	Sep 28 – Oct 19	1 in 10
5	San Francisco 49ers	3	Nov 23 – Dec 7	1 in 8

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Cleveland Browns (1st)	50.12%	30.08%	13.05%	4.53%	1.74%	0.48%
New York Giants	36.73%	35.75%	16.75%	6.99%	2.92%	0.86%
Philadelphia Eagles	8.85%	19.58%	31.49%	20.79%	12.51%	6.78%
Chicago Cardinals	1.87%	5.67%	14.05%	24.39%	27.37%	26.65%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.53%	5.35%	14.52%	23.66%	27.26%	27.68%
Washington Redskins	0.90%	3.57%	10.14%	19.64%	28.20%	37.55%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Los Angeles Rams	32.81%	28.00%	21.30%	12.31%	4.54%	1.04%
San Francisco 49ers	33.08%	26.74%	21.46%	12.67%	5.16%	0.89%
Detroit Lions	25.72%	27.36%	24.21%	15.30%	6.29%	1.12%
Chicago Bears	6.34%	12.49%	20.47%	31.93%	21.90%	6.87%
Green Bay Packers	1.91%	4.87%	10.26%	21.04%	39.64%	22.28%
Dallas Texans (1st)	0.14%	0.54%	2.30%	6.75%	22.47%	67.80%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Cleveland Browns (1st)	34.07%	20.24%	16.21%	10.70%	7.56%	4.81%	2.98%	1.60%	0.93%	0.65%	0.21%	0.04%
New York Giants	20.81%	17.91%	17.28%	15.66%	8.89%	8.20%	4.78%	2.97%	1.80%	1.10%	0.47%	0.13%
Los Angeles Rams	13.97%	17.69%	15.83%	13.34%	12.08%	9.86%	7.04%	4.89%	2.70%	1.48%	0.69%	0.43%
San Francisco 49ers	13.06%	16.56%	14.58%	13.95%	11.85%	10.55%	6.82%	6.03%	3.35%	2.17%	0.72%	0.36%
Detroit Lions	10.91%	13.87%	13.46%	15.35%	13.29%	11.33%	8.73%	6.16%	3.41%	2.21%	0.90%	0.38%
Philadelphia Eagles	3.94%	5.56%	8.91%	10.86%	14.10%	15.44%	11.97%	10.04%	7.72%	5.45%	4.05%	1.96%
Chicago Bears	1.45%	3.85%	5.57%	7.61%	10.25%	11.28%	15.10%	14.87%	11.23%	9.79%	5.51%	3.49%
Chicago Cardinals	0.65%	1.18%	2.21%	3.91%	6.10%	8.06%	11.53%	12.95%	15.33%	14.18%	15.08%	8.82%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.65%	1.16%	2.43%	2.96%	6.50%	7.49%	10.92%	12.61%	15.76%	14.34%	15.36%	9.82%
Green Bay Packers	0.29%	1.20%	1.95%	3.11%	4.55%	6.02%	8.77%	11.99%	14.85%	20.30%	13.39%	13.58%
Washington Redskins	0.19%	0.69%	1.40%	2.20%	4.14%	5.56%	8.98%	11.50%	15.58%	15.11%	20.55%	14.10%
Dallas Texans (1st)	0.01%	0.09%	0.17%	0.35%	0.69%	1.40%	2.38%	4.39%	7.34%	13.22%	23.07%	46.89%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Cleveland Browns (1st)	50.12%	49.88%
New York Giants	36.73%	63.27%
Philadelphia Eagles	8.85%	91.15%
Chicago Cardinals	1.87%	98.13%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.53%	98.47%
Washington Redskins	0.90%	99.10%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
San Francisco 49ers	33.08%	66.92%
Los Angeles Rams	32.81%	67.19%
Detroit Lions	25.72%	74.28%
Chicago Bears	6.34%	93.66%
Green Bay Packers	1.91%	98.09%
Dallas Texans (1st)	0.14%	99.86%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Super Bowl
Cleveland Browns (1st)	50.12%	28.37%
Los Angeles Rams	32.81%	20.62%
New York Giants	36.73%	15.35%
Detroit Lions	25.72%	14.35%
San Francisco 49ers	33.08%	14.19%
Philadelphia Eagles	8.85%	3.36%
Chicago Bears	6.34%	1.88%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.53%	0.62%
Chicago Cardinals	1.87%	0.53%
Green Bay Packers	1.91%	0.49%
Washington Redskins	0.90%	0.21%
Dallas Texans (1st)	0.14%	0.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Chicago Cardinals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Texans (1st)	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Redskins
Chicago Bears		0.02%	0.82%					0.74%	0.22%	0.05%		0.03%
Chicago Cardinals	0.01%				0.17%	0.02%	0.12%				0.21%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2.56%			0.10%	6.26%	0.92%	6.99%				11.54%
Dallas Texans (1st)			0.03%
Detroit Lions		0.36%	5.77%					6.02%	1.76%	0.26%		0.18%
Green Bay Packers		0.01%	0.22%					0.19%	0.06%	0.01%
Los Angeles Rams		0.52%	8.45%					9.11%	1.99%	0.26%		0.29%
New York Giants	1.48%			0.01%	3.75%	0.44%	4.22%				5.45%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.34%				0.93%	0.02%	0.67%				1.40%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.05%				0.19%	0.02%	0.11%				0.25%
San Francisco 49ers		0.43%	6.46%					5.32%	1.46%	0.33%		0.19%
Washington Redskins	0.02%				0.07%		0.08%				0.04%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Won Super Bowl
Cleveland Browns (1st)	50.33%
Detroit Lions	49.67%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Detroit Lions
Cleveland Browns (1st)		50.33%
Detroit Lions	49.67%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Cleveland Browns (1st) 50.33% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Detroit Lions

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

50.33%

Detroit Lions 49.67% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

49.67%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1952-09-28	@ Green Bay Packers	W 24-14	1498.70	1370.38	67.12%	31.90%	+12.72	1-0
1952-10-05	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 10-21	1511.42	1426.64	61.45%	37.57%	-25.56	1-1
1952-10-12	Dallas Texans (1st)	W 38-20	1485.86	1366.69	65.96%	33.06%	+17.67	2-1
1952-10-19	San Francisco 49ers	L 16-40	1503.53	1599.11	36.13%	62.89%	-22.29	2-2
1952-10-26	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 7-31	1481.24	1532.46	42.20%	56.82%	-26.01	2-3
1952-11-02	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 20-17	1455.23	1631.64	26.21%	72.81%	+15.81	3-3
1952-11-09	Green Bay Packers	L 28-41	1471.04	1388.07	61.20%	37.82%	-27.68	3-4
1952-11-16	Los Angeles Rams	L 24-40	1443.36	1580.70	30.78%	68.24%	-15.53	3-5
1952-11-23	Detroit Lions	W 24-23	1427.83	1601.99	26.46%	72.56%	+9.10	4-5
1952-11-27	@ Dallas Texans (1st)	L 23-27	1436.93	1269.78	71.77%	27.25%	-18.00	4-6
1952-12-07	@ Detroit Lions	L 21-45	1418.93	1613.11	24.28%	74.74%	-15.02	4-7
1952-12-14	Chicago Cardinals	W 10-7	1403.91	1426.67	46.24%	52.78%	+11.48	5-7
1952-09-29	Washington Redskins	L 7-23	1452.86	1434.20	52.19%	46.83%	-26.22	0-1
1952-10-05	Chicago Bears	W 21-10	1426.64	1511.42	37.57%	61.45%	+25.57	1-1
1952-10-12	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-6	1452.21	1429.40	52.78%	46.23%	+19.27	2-1
1952-10-19	@ New York Giants	W 24-23	1471.48	1646.94	26.31%	72.70%	+9.12	3-1
1952-10-26	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 28-34	1480.60	1424.91	57.44%	41.57%	-17.65	3-2
1952-11-02	New York Giants	L 6-28	1462.95	1619.93	28.43%	70.59%	-16.83	3-3
1952-11-09	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 13-28	1446.12	1649.49	23.32%	75.70%	-11.40	3-4
1952-11-16	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-10	1434.72	1502.34	39.92%	59.10%	-8.70	3-5
1952-11-23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-17	1426.02	1425.21	49.63%	49.39%	-10.80	3-6
1952-11-30	Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-22	1415.22	1535.90	32.86%	66.16%	+20.32	4-6
1952-12-07	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 0-10	1435.54	1649.82	22.21%	76.80%	-8.87	4-7
1952-12-14	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-10	1426.67	1403.91	52.78%	46.24%	-11.48	4-8
1952-09-28	Los Angeles Rams	W 37-7	1636.49	1589.51	56.22%	42.80%	+29.49	1-0
1952-10-04	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 21-20	1665.98	1453.69	76.61%	22.41%	+2.83	2-0
1952-10-12	New York Giants	L 9-17	1668.81	1627.25	55.46%	43.56%	-19.69	2-1
1952-10-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 49-7	1649.12	1498.68	69.82%	29.20%	+23.87	3-1
1952-10-26	Washington Redskins	W 19-15	1672.99	1423.57	80.10%	18.91%	+4.79	4-1
1952-11-02	@ Detroit Lions	L 6-17	1677.78	1542.46	67.99%	31.03%	-28.29	4-2
1952-11-09	Chicago Cardinals	W 28-13	1649.49	1446.12	75.70%	23.32%	+11.41	5-2
1952-11-16	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 29-28	1660.90	1427.79	78.62%	20.40%	+2.58	6-2
1952-11-23	Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-28	1663.48	1511.05	70.06%	28.96%	-24.85	6-3
1952-11-30	@ Washington Redskins	W 48-24	1638.63	1379.43	80.95%	18.07%	+11.19	7-3
1952-12-07	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 10-0	1649.82	1435.54	76.80%	22.21%	+8.87	8-3
1952-12-14	@ New York Giants	L 34-37	1658.69	1523.72	67.94%	31.07%	-14.76	8-4
1952-09-28	New York Giants	L 6-24	1395.78	1592.16	24.05%	74.97%	-12.88	0-1
1952-10-05	San Francisco 49ers	L 14-37	1382.90	1554.18	26.78%	72.24%	-16.21	0-2
1952-10-12	@ Chicago Bears	L 20-38	1366.69	1485.86	33.06%	65.96%	-17.68	0-3
1952-10-18	Green Bay Packers	L 14-24	1349.01	1383.65	44.55%	54.47%	-17.71	0-4
1952-10-26	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 21-48	1331.30	1621.40	15.58%	83.44%	-10.24	0-5
1952-11-02	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 20-42	1321.06	1558.47	20.00%	79.02%	-11.86	0-6
1952-11-09	Los Angeles Rams	L 6-27	1309.20	1570.32	17.90%	81.11%	-10.37	0-7
1952-11-16	@ Detroit Lions	L 13-43	1298.83	1591.32	15.40%	83.62%	-10.67	0-8
1952-11-23	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-42	1288.16	1452.89	27.53%	71.49%	-18.38	0-9
1952-11-27	Chicago Bears	W 27-23	1269.78	1436.93	27.25%	71.77%	+18.00	1-9
1952-12-07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-38	1287.78	1515.57	20.90%	78.12%	-10.89	1-10
1952-12-13	@ Detroit Lions	L 6-41	1276.89	1628.13	11.49%	87.53%	-8.60	1-11
1952-09-28	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 3-17	1537.39	1530.44	50.51%	48.51%	-23.74	0-1
1952-10-03	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 17-14	1513.65	1560.02	42.88%	56.13%	+12.20	1-1
1952-10-12	San Francisco 49ers	L 0-28	1525.85	1570.39	43.14%	55.88%	-28.71	1-2
1952-10-19	Los Angeles Rams	W 24-16	1497.14	1552.85	41.57%	57.45%	+20.39	2-2
1952-10-26	@ Green Bay Packers	W 52-17	1517.53	1401.37	65.58%	33.44%	+24.93	3-2
1952-11-02	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 17-6	1542.46	1677.78	31.03%	67.99%	+28.28	4-2
1952-11-09	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-6	1570.74	1448.36	66.37%	32.65%	+20.58	5-2
1952-11-16	Dallas Texans (1st)	W 43-13	1591.32	1298.83	83.62%	15.40%	+10.67	6-2
1952-11-23	@ Chicago Bears	L 23-24	1601.99	1427.83	72.56%	26.46%	-9.10	6-3
1952-11-27	Green Bay Packers	W 48-24	1592.89	1471.27	66.27%	32.74%	+20.22	7-3
1952-12-07	Chicago Bears	W 45-21	1613.11	1418.93	74.74%	24.28%	+15.02	8-3
1952-12-13	Dallas Texans (1st)	W 41-6	1628.13	1276.89	87.53%	11.49%	+8.60	9-3
1952-09-28	Chicago Bears	L 14-24	1370.38	1498.70	31.90%	67.12%	-12.72	0-1
1952-10-05	Washington Redskins	W 35-20	1357.66	1460.41	35.18%	63.84%	+31.02	1-1
1952-10-12	Los Angeles Rams	L 28-30	1388.68	1547.82	28.17%	70.84%	-5.03	1-2
1952-10-18	@ Dallas Texans (1st)	W 24-14	1383.65	1349.01	54.47%	44.55%	+17.72	2-2
1952-10-26	Detroit Lions	L 17-52	1401.37	1517.53	33.44%	65.58%	-24.94	2-3
1952-11-02	Philadelphia Eagles	W 12-10	1376.43	1492.69	33.43%	65.59%	+11.64	3-3
1952-11-09	@ Chicago Bears	W 41-28	1388.07	1471.04	37.82%	61.20%	+27.68	4-3
1952-11-16	@ New York Giants	W 17-3	1415.75	1654.29	19.89%	79.12%	+37.14	5-3
1952-11-23	Dallas Texans (1st)	W 42-14	1452.89	1288.16	71.49%	27.53%	+18.38	6-3
1952-11-27	@ Detroit Lions	L 24-48	1471.27	1592.89	32.74%	66.27%	-20.22	6-4
1952-12-07	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 27-45	1451.05	1647.63	24.02%	74.99%	-12.87	6-5
1952-12-14	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-24	1438.18	1524.79	37.33%	61.69%	-14.87	6-6
1952-09-28	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-37	1589.51	1636.49	42.80%	56.22%	-29.49	0-1
1952-10-03	Detroit Lions	L 14-17	1560.02	1513.65	56.13%	42.88%	-12.20	0-2
1952-10-12	@ Green Bay Packers	W 30-28	1547.82	1388.68	70.84%	28.17%	+5.03	1-2
1952-10-19	@ Detroit Lions	L 16-24	1552.85	1497.14	57.45%	41.57%	-20.39	1-3
1952-10-26	Chicago Bears	W 31-7	1532.46	1481.24	56.82%	42.20%	+26.01	2-3
1952-11-02	Dallas Texans (1st)	W 42-20	1558.47	1321.06	79.02%	20.00%	+11.85	3-3
1952-11-09	@ Dallas Texans (1st)	W 27-6	1570.32	1309.20	81.11%	17.90%	+10.38	4-3
1952-11-16	@ Chicago Bears	W 40-24	1580.70	1443.36	68.24%	30.78%	+15.53	5-3
1952-11-23	San Francisco 49ers	W 35-9	1596.23	1605.40	48.19%	50.83%	+32.55	6-3
1952-11-30	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 34-21	1628.78	1572.85	57.48%	41.54%	+18.85	7-3
1952-12-07	Green Bay Packers	W 45-27	1647.63	1451.05	74.99%	24.02%	+12.87	8-3
1952-12-14	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-14	1660.50	1534.58	66.82%	32.20%	+15.19	9-3
1952-09-28	@ Dallas Texans (1st)	W 24-6	1592.16	1395.78	74.97%	24.05%	+12.88	1-0
1952-10-04	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-7	1605.04	1508.39	63.03%	35.98%	+22.21	2-0
1952-10-12	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 17-9	1627.25	1668.81	43.56%	55.46%	+19.69	3-0
1952-10-19	Chicago Cardinals	L 23-24	1646.94	1471.48	72.70%	26.31%	-9.12	3-1
1952-10-26	Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-14	1637.82	1474.81	71.29%	27.73%	-17.89	3-2
1952-11-02	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 28-6	1619.93	1462.95	70.59%	28.43%	+16.83	4-2
1952-11-09	San Francisco 49ers	W 23-14	1636.76	1615.83	52.52%	46.50%	+17.53	5-2
1952-11-16	Green Bay Packers	L 3-17	1654.29	1415.75	79.12%	19.89%	-37.14	5-3
1952-11-23	@ Washington Redskins	W 14-10	1617.15	1384.60	78.57%	20.45%	+5.17	6-3
1952-11-30	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-63	1622.32	1436.01	73.90%	25.12%	-69.36	6-4
1952-12-07	Washington Redskins	L 17-27	1552.96	1368.24	73.73%	25.29%	-29.24	6-5
1952-12-14	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 37-34	1523.72	1658.69	31.07%	67.94%	+14.76	7-5
1952-09-28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-25	1494.32	1467.76	53.32%	45.70%	+14.07	1-0
1952-10-04	New York Giants	L 7-31	1508.39	1605.04	35.98%	63.03%	-22.21	1-1
1952-10-12	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 26-21	1486.18	1450.86	54.57%	44.45%	+12.50	2-1
1952-10-19	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-49	1498.68	1649.12	29.20%	69.82%	-23.87	2-2
1952-10-26	@ New York Giants	W 14-10	1474.81	1637.82	27.73%	71.29%	+17.88	3-2
1952-11-02	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-12	1492.69	1376.43	65.59%	33.43%	-11.63	3-3
1952-11-09	Washington Redskins	W 38-20	1481.06	1412.99	59.16%	39.86%	+21.28	4-3
1952-11-16	Chicago Cardinals	W 10-7	1502.34	1434.72	59.10%	39.92%	+8.71	5-3
1952-11-23	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 28-20	1511.05	1663.48	28.96%	70.06%	+24.85	6-3
1952-11-30	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 22-28	1535.90	1415.22	66.16%	32.86%	-20.33	6-4
1952-12-07	Dallas Texans (1st)	W 38-21	1515.57	1287.78	78.12%	20.90%	+10.89	7-4
1952-12-14	@ Washington Redskins	L 21-27	1526.46	1397.48	67.20%	31.82%	-20.64	7-5
1952-09-28	Philadelphia Eagles	L 25-31	1467.76	1494.32	45.70%	53.32%	-14.07	0-1
1952-10-04	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 20-21	1453.69	1665.98	22.41%	76.61%	-2.83	0-2
1952-10-12	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-26	1450.86	1486.18	44.45%	54.57%	-12.50	0-3
1952-10-19	Washington Redskins	L 24-28	1438.36	1410.12	53.56%	45.46%	-13.45	0-4
1952-10-26	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 34-28	1424.91	1480.60	41.57%	57.44%	+17.66	1-4
1952-11-02	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-23	1442.57	1418.79	52.92%	46.09%	+5.79	2-4
1952-11-09	Detroit Lions	L 6-31	1448.36	1570.74	32.65%	66.37%	-20.57	2-5
1952-11-16	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 28-29	1427.79	1660.90	20.40%	78.62%	-2.58	2-6
1952-11-23	Chicago Cardinals	W 17-14	1425.21	1426.02	49.39%	49.63%	+10.80	3-6
1952-11-30	New York Giants	W 63-7	1436.01	1622.32	25.12%	73.90%	+69.36	4-6
1952-12-07	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 24-7	1505.37	1554.00	42.57%	56.45%	+29.21	5-6
1952-12-14	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 14-28	1534.58	1660.50	32.20%	66.82%	-15.19	5-7
1952-09-28	Detroit Lions	W 17-3	1530.44	1537.39	48.51%	50.51%	+23.74	1-0
1952-10-05	@ Dallas Texans (1st)	W 37-14	1554.18	1382.90	72.24%	26.78%	+16.21	2-0
1952-10-12	@ Detroit Lions	W 28-0	1570.39	1525.85	55.88%	43.14%	+28.72	3-0
1952-10-19	@ Chicago Bears	W 40-16	1599.11	1503.53	62.89%	36.13%	+22.29	4-0
1952-10-26	Dallas Texans (1st)	W 48-21	1621.40	1331.30	83.44%	15.58%	+10.24	5-0
1952-11-02	Chicago Bears	L 17-20	1631.64	1455.23	72.81%	26.21%	-15.81	5-1
1952-11-09	@ New York Giants	L 14-23	1615.83	1636.76	46.50%	52.52%	-17.54	5-2
1952-11-16	@ Washington Redskins	W 23-17	1598.29	1391.71	76.03%	22.99%	+7.11	6-2
1952-11-23	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 9-35	1605.40	1596.23	50.83%	48.19%	-32.55	6-3
1952-11-30	Los Angeles Rams	L 21-34	1572.85	1628.78	41.54%	57.48%	-18.85	6-4
1952-12-07	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-24	1554.00	1505.37	56.45%	42.57%	-29.21	6-5
1952-12-14	Green Bay Packers	W 24-14	1524.79	1438.18	61.69%	37.33%	+14.86	7-5
1952-09-29	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 23-7	1434.20	1452.86	46.83%	52.19%	+26.21	1-0
1952-10-05	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-35	1460.41	1357.66	63.84%	35.18%	-31.01	1-1
1952-10-12	Chicago Cardinals	L 6-17	1429.40	1452.21	46.23%	52.78%	-19.28	1-2
1952-10-19	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-24	1410.12	1438.36	45.46%	53.56%	+13.45	2-2
1952-10-26	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 15-19	1423.57	1672.99	18.91%	80.10%	-4.78	2-3
1952-11-02	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 23-24	1418.79	1442.57	46.09%	52.92%	-5.80	2-4
1952-11-09	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-38	1412.99	1481.06	39.86%	59.16%	-21.28	2-5
1952-11-16	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-23	1391.71	1598.29	22.99%	76.03%	-7.11	2-6
1952-11-23	New York Giants	L 10-14	1384.60	1617.15	20.45%	78.57%	-5.17	2-7
1952-11-30	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 24-48	1379.43	1638.63	18.07%	80.95%	-11.19	2-8
1952-12-07	@ New York Giants	W 27-17	1368.24	1552.96	25.29%	73.73%	+29.24	3-8
1952-12-14	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-21	1397.48	1526.46	31.82%	67.20%	+20.65	4-8

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1952-12-28	Detroit Lions	L 7-17	1643.93	1658.60	47.89%	52.11%	-18.84	0-1
1952-12-21	Los Angeles Rams	W 31-21	1636.73	1675.69	44.42%	55.58%	+21.87	1-0
1952-12-28	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 17-7	1658.60	1643.93	52.11%	47.89%	+18.84	2-0
1952-12-21	@ Detroit Lions	L 21-31	1675.69	1636.73	55.58%	44.42%	-21.87	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1952-11-16	19.89%	Green Bay Packers	1415.75	17	@ New York Giants	1654.29	3
2	1952-11-30	25.12%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1436.01	63	New York Giants	1622.32	7
3	1952-12-07	25.29%	Washington Redskins	1368.24	27	@ New York Giants	1552.96	17
4	1952-11-02	26.21%	Chicago Bears	1455.23	20	@ San Francisco 49ers	1631.64	17
5	1952-10-19	26.31%	Chicago Cardinals	1471.48	24	@ New York Giants	1646.94	23
6	1952-11-23	26.46%	@ Chicago Bears	1427.83	24	Detroit Lions	1601.99	23
7	1952-11-27	27.25%	@ Dallas Texans (1st)	1269.78	27	Chicago Bears	1436.93	23
8	1952-10-26	27.73%	Philadelphia Eagles	1474.81	14	@ New York Giants	1637.82	10
9	1952-11-23	28.96%	Philadelphia Eagles	1511.05	28	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1663.48	20
10	1952-11-02	31.03%	@ Detroit Lions	1542.46	17	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1677.78	6
11	1952-12-14	31.07%	@ New York Giants	1523.72	37	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1658.69	34
12	1952-12-14	31.82%	@ Washington Redskins	1397.48	27	Philadelphia Eagles	1526.46	21
13	1952-11-30	32.86%	@ Chicago Cardinals	1415.22	28	Philadelphia Eagles	1535.90	22
14	1952-11-02	33.43%	@ Green Bay Packers	1376.43	12	Philadelphia Eagles	1492.69	10
15	1952-10-05	35.18%	@ Green Bay Packers	1357.66	35	Washington Redskins	1460.41	20
16	1952-10-05	37.57%	@ Chicago Cardinals	1426.64	21	Chicago Bears	1511.42	10
17	1952-11-09	37.82%	Green Bay Packers	1388.07	41	@ Chicago Bears	1471.04	28
18	1952-10-19	41.57%	@ Detroit Lions	1497.14	24	Los Angeles Rams	1552.85	16
19	1952-10-26	41.57%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1424.91	34	@ Chicago Cardinals	1480.60	28
20	1952-12-07	42.57%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1505.37	24	@ San Francisco 49ers	1554.00	7
21	1952-10-03	42.88%	Detroit Lions	1513.65	17	@ Los Angeles Rams	1560.02	14
22	1952-10-12	43.56%	New York Giants	1627.25	17	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1668.81	9
23	1952-12-21 *	44.42%	@ Detroit Lions	1636.73	31	Los Angeles Rams	1675.69	21
24	1952-10-19	45.46%	Washington Redskins	1410.12	28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1438.36	24
25	1952-12-14	46.24%	@ Chicago Bears	1403.91	10	Chicago Cardinals	1426.67	7

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1952-11-30	69.36	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	63	1436.01	25.12%	New York Giants	7	1622.32	73.90%
2	1952-11-16	37.14	Green Bay Packers	17	1415.75	19.89%	@ New York Giants	3	1654.29	79.12%
3	1952-11-23	32.55	@ Los Angeles Rams	35	1596.23	48.19%	San Francisco 49ers	9	1605.40	50.83%
4	1952-10-05	31.02	@ Green Bay Packers	35	1357.66	35.18%	Washington Redskins	20	1460.41	63.84%
5	1952-09-28	29.49	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	37	1636.49	56.22%	Los Angeles Rams	7	1589.51	42.80%
6	1952-12-07	29.24	Washington Redskins	27	1368.24	25.29%	@ New York Giants	17	1552.96	73.73%
7	1952-12-07	29.21	Pittsburgh Steelers	24	1505.37	42.57%	@ San Francisco 49ers	7	1554.00	56.45%
8	1952-10-12	28.72	San Francisco 49ers	28	1570.39	55.88%	@ Detroit Lions	0	1525.85	43.14%
9	1952-11-02	28.29	@ Detroit Lions	17	1542.46	31.03%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	6	1677.78	67.99%
10	1952-11-09	27.68	Green Bay Packers	41	1388.07	37.82%	@ Chicago Bears	28	1471.04	61.20%
11	1952-09-29	26.22	Washington Redskins	23	1434.20	46.83%	@ Chicago Cardinals	7	1452.86	52.19%
12	1952-10-26	26.01	@ Los Angeles Rams	31	1532.46	56.82%	Chicago Bears	7	1481.24	42.20%
13	1952-10-05	25.57	@ Chicago Cardinals	21	1426.64	37.57%	Chicago Bears	10	1511.42	61.45%
14	1952-10-26	24.94	Detroit Lions	52	1517.53	65.58%	@ Green Bay Packers	17	1401.37	33.44%
15	1952-11-23	24.85	Philadelphia Eagles	28	1511.05	28.96%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	20	1663.48	70.06%
16	1952-10-19	23.87	Cleveland Browns (1st)	49	1649.12	69.82%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	7	1498.68	29.20%
17	1952-09-28	23.74	@ San Francisco 49ers	17	1530.44	48.51%	Detroit Lions	3	1537.39	50.51%
18	1952-10-19	22.29	San Francisco 49ers	40	1599.11	62.89%	@ Chicago Bears	16	1503.53	36.13%
19	1952-10-04	22.21	New York Giants	31	1605.04	63.03%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	7	1508.39	35.98%
20	1952-12-21 *	21.87	@ Detroit Lions	31	1636.73	44.42%	Los Angeles Rams	21	1675.69	55.58%
21	1952-11-09	21.28	@ Philadelphia Eagles	38	1481.06	59.16%	Washington Redskins	20	1412.99	39.86%
22	1952-12-14	20.65	@ Washington Redskins	27	1397.48	31.82%	Philadelphia Eagles	21	1526.46	67.20%
23	1952-11-09	20.58	Detroit Lions	31	1570.74	66.37%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	6	1448.36	32.65%
24	1952-10-19	20.39	@ Detroit Lions	24	1497.14	41.57%	Los Angeles Rams	16	1552.85	57.45%
25	1952-11-30	20.33	@ Chicago Cardinals	28	1415.22	32.86%	Philadelphia Eagles	22	1535.90	66.16%