1950 NFL Season

78 regular-season games · 4 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Cleveland Browns (1st)

1st Title

Runner-Up

Los Angeles Rams

3rd Appearance

Last Appearance: 1949

Biggest Overachiever

New York Giants

3.76 wins above expected

10 wins · 6.24 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

San Francisco 49ers

2.83 wins below expected

3 wins · 5.83 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cleveland Browns (1st) Division	10	2	.833	—	310	144	+166	8.47	+1.53
2	New York Giants Playoffs	10	2	.833	—	268	150	+118	6.24	+3.76
3	Philadelphia Eagles	6	6	.500	4	254	141	+113	8.39	-2.39
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	6	6	.500	4	180	195	-15	5.16	+0.84
5	Chicago Cardinals	5	7	.417	5	233	287	-54	5.25	-0.25
6	Washington Redskins	3	9	.250	7	232	326	-94	4.30	-1.30

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Los Angeles Rams Division	9	3	.750	—	466	309	+157	7.82	+1.18
2	Chicago Bears Playoffs	9	3	.750	—	279	207	+72	8.31	+0.69
3	New York Yanks	7	5	.583	2	366	367	-1	5.04	+1.96
4	Detroit Lions	6	6	.500	3	321	285	+36	6.10	-0.10
5	San Francisco 49ers	3	9	.250	6	213	300	-87	5.83	-2.83
6	Green Bay Packers	3	9	.250	6	244	406	-162	3.44	-0.44
7	Baltimore Colts (1st)	1	11	.083	8	213	462	-249	3.65	-2.65

Playoff Bracket

Division Playoff

Cleveland Browns (1st) 8

New York Giants 3

Dec 17

Los Angeles Rams 24

Chicago Bears 14

Dec 17

NFL Championship Game

Cleveland Browns (1st) 30

Los Angeles Rams 28

Dec 24

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Cleveland Browns (1st)	East	1724	10	8.47	+1.53	92.60%	2	6	7	8	9	11	12
Chicago Bears	West	1647	9	8.31	+0.69	78.39%	2	6	7	8	9	11	12
Los Angeles Rams	West	1645	9	7.82	+1.18	87.33%	1	5	7	8	9	10	12
Philadelphia Eagles	East	1637	6	8.39	-2.39	10.96%	2	6	7	8	9	11	12
New York Giants	East	1629	10	6.24	+3.76	99.70%	0	4	5	6	7	9	12
Pittsburgh Steelers	East	1508	6	5.16	+0.84	80.71%	0	3	4	5	6	8	12
Detroit Lions	West	1491	6	6.10	-0.10	60.55%	0	3	5	6	7	9	12
Chicago Cardinals	East	1479	5	5.25	-0.25	57.45%	0	3	4	5	6	8	11
New York Yanks	West	1433	7	5.04	+1.96	94.32%	0	2	4	5	6	8	11
San Francisco 49ers	West	1413	3	5.83	-2.83	6.66%	0	3	5	6	7	8	11
Washington Redskins	East	1396	3	4.30	-1.30	31.24%	0	2	3	4	5	7	9
Green Bay Packers	West	1264	3	3.44	-0.44	54.30%	0	1	2	3	4	6	9
Baltimore Colts (1st)	West	1235	1	3.65	-2.65	7.15%	0	1	3	4	5	6	10

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	Cardinals	(1st)	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Redskins
Chicago Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Washington Redskins	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	(1st)	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	Yanks	49ers
Chicago Cardinals	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—
Cleveland Browns (1st)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	1-0 (0.8 exp.)
New York Giants	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	—	—	—	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	—
Philadelphia Eagles	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	—	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	—
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	—	—
Washington Redskins	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	—	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	—	—

Within West

Team	(1st)	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	Yanks	49ers
Baltimore Colts (1st)	—	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
Chicago Bears	—	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
New York Yanks	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.7 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	Cardinals	(1st)	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Redskins
Baltimore Colts (1st)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Chicago Bears	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—
Detroit Lions	—	—	—	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—
Green Bay Packers	—	—	—	—	—	1-0 (0.3 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	—	—	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	—
New York Yanks	—	—	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	—	—	—
San Francisco 49ers	—	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	—	—	—	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	2.56%	0.64%	1.92%	0.64%	1.28%	0.64%	—	7.69%
7–13	0.64%	6.41%	3.85%	1.92%	0.64%	0.64%	3.21%	17.31%
14–20	1.92%	3.85%	2.56%	3.21%	4.49%	1.92%	3.85%	21.79%
21–27	0.64%	1.92%	3.21%	3.85%	3.21%	2.56%	3.85%	19.23%
28–34	1.28%	0.64%	4.49%	3.21%	1.28%	1.28%	1.28%	13.46%
35–41	0.64%	0.64%	1.92%	2.56%	1.28%	—	0.64%	7.69%
42+	—	3.21%	3.85%	3.85%	1.28%	0.64%	—	12.82%
Total	7.69%	17.31%	21.79%	19.23%	13.46%	7.69%	12.82%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.94	22.94	+0.00
SD	14.22	14.22	20.69
CV	0.62	0.62	—
Max	70	70	+44
Min	0	0	-44

Games Played: 78

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%	16.67%
14–20	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	16.67%	41.67%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%	16.67%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%
35–41	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	16.67%	16.67%	8.33%	16.67%	41.67%	100%

Baltimore Colts (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.75	38.50	-20.75
SD	10.69	17.14	18.74
CV	0.60	0.45	—
Max	41	70	+20
Min	0	17	-43

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
14–20	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
21–27	8.33%	—	16.67%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	41.67%
28–34	—	—	25.00%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	—	50.00%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.25	17.25	+6.00
SD	8.56	10.92	11.05
CV	0.37	0.63	—
Max	35	38	+21
Min	6	0	-11

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	25.00%
14–20	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
21–27	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	16.67%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	8.33%	33.33%	—	8.33%	33.33%	—	16.67%	100%

Chicago Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.42	23.92	-4.50
SD	14.52	15.01	22.13
CV	0.75	0.63	—
Max	55	51	+42
Min	6	3	-38

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	8.33%	—	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
35–41	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	16.67%	33.33%	33.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.83	12.00	+13.83
SD	14.39	7.02	13.86
CV	0.56	0.58	—
Max	45	24	+38
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	16.67%	50.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
Total	8.33%	25.00%	8.33%	16.67%	16.67%	8.33%	16.67%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.75	23.75	+3.00
SD	13.80	18.00	23.09
CV	0.52	0.76	—
Max	49	65	+38
Min	3	6	-41

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%	8.33%
14–20	—	—	—	—	16.67%	8.33%	16.67%	41.67%
21–27	—	—	—	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	—	33.33%	16.67%	16.67%	33.33%	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.33	33.83	-13.50
SD	8.61	11.04	17.20
CV	0.42	0.33	—
Max	35	51	+14
Min	7	21	-38

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	16.67%	—	—	8.33%	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	—	16.67%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	—	50.00%
Total	—	—	25.00%	41.67%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	38.83	25.75	+13.08
SD	17.67	11.51	23.48
CV	0.45	0.45	—
Max	70	56	+43
Min	14	14	-36

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	8.33%	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
7–13	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
14–20	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
21–27	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
Total	16.67%	33.33%	33.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.33	12.50	+9.83
SD	19.27	7.38	17.67
CV	0.86	0.59	—
Max	55	21	+44
Min	3	0	-14

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%	8.33%
14–20	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	16.67%
21–27	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
28–34	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	16.67%
35–41	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	25.00%
42+	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
Total	—	—	25.00%	25.00%	16.67%	—	33.33%	100%

New York Yanks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	30.50	30.58	-0.08
SD	13.19	13.20	23.61
CV	0.43	0.43	—
Max	51	51	+37
Min	7	14	-44

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	25.00%	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	41.67%
14–20	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
21–27	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
28–34	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	16.67%	50.00%	25.00%	—	—	8.33%	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.17	11.75	+9.42
SD	17.37	9.04	20.54
CV	0.82	0.77	—
Max	56	35	+38
Min	3	0	-25

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	16.67%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	50.00%
14–20	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
28–34	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	41.67%	25.00%	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.00	16.25	-1.25
SD	8.46	11.93	17.08
CV	0.56	0.73	—
Max	28	45	+21
Min	7	6	-38

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
14–20	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	41.67%
21–27	—	—	—	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	25.00%	33.33%	33.33%	8.33%	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.75	25.00	-7.25
SD	8.42	7.27	10.89
CV	0.47	0.29	—
Max	30	35	+16
Min	0	14	-21

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	16.67%
7–13	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
14–20	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
21–27	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	33.33%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%
35–41	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	8.33%	16.67%	25.00%	16.67%	25.00%	8.33%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.33	27.17	-7.83
SD	12.17	10.76	18.18
CV	0.63	0.40	—
Max	38	45	+24
Min	0	7	-33

Games Played: 12

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New York Giants	10	6.24	+3.76
2	New York Yanks	7	5.04	+1.96
3	Cleveland Browns (1st)	10	8.47	+1.53
4	Los Angeles Rams	9	7.82	+1.18
5	Pittsburgh Steelers	6	5.16	+0.84

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	San Francisco 49ers	3	5.83	-2.83
2	Baltimore Colts (1st)	1	3.65	-2.65
3	Philadelphia Eagles	6	8.39	-2.39
4	Washington Redskins	3	4.30	-1.30
5	Green Bay Packers	3	3.44	-0.44

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New York Yanks	5	Sep 29 – Oct 29	1 in 42
2	New York Giants	6	Nov 5 – Dec 10	1 in 30
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	3	Nov 5 – Nov 23	1 in 24
4	Green Bay Packers	2	Sep 24 – Oct 1	1 in 19
5	Los Angeles Rams	6	Oct 15 – Nov 19	1 in 8

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	San Francisco 49ers	5	Sep 17 – Oct 12	1 in 72
2	Philadelphia Eagles	4	Nov 19 – Dec 10	1 in 66
3	Washington Redskins	8	Sep 24 – Nov 19	1 in 54
4	Green Bay Packers	6	Oct 8 – Nov 19	1 in 10
5	Baltimore Colts (1st)	6	Sep 17 – Oct 29	1 in 8

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Cleveland Browns (1st)	44.80%	32.91%	13.66%	5.66%	2.33%	0.64%
Philadelphia Eagles	41.34%	33.69%	15.35%	6.59%	2.32%	0.71%
New York Giants	7.96%	16.45%	27.28%	22.43%	16.15%	9.73%
Chicago Cardinals	3.13%	7.49%	17.61%	23.71%	24.86%	23.20%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.06%	6.38%	16.07%	23.14%	26.34%	26.01%
Washington Redskins	0.71%	3.08%	10.03%	18.47%	28.00%	39.71%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
Chicago Bears	54.96%	25.97%	11.06%	5.09%	1.95%	0.76%	0.21%
Los Angeles Rams	30.02%	34.68%	18.25%	9.95%	4.79%	1.85%	0.46%
Detroit Lions	7.55%	17.77%	25.43%	20.65%	14.97%	9.22%	4.41%
San Francisco 49ers	4.55%	12.21%	21.59%	24.42%	18.95%	12.38%	5.90%
New York Yanks	2.39%	6.65%	13.75%	19.98%	23.72%	20.16%	13.35%
Baltimore Colts (1st)	0.45%	1.69%	5.75%	11.85%	20.62%	30.82%	28.82%
Green Bay Packers	0.08%	1.03%	4.17%	8.06%	15.00%	24.81%	46.85%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13
Cleveland Browns (1st)	26.52%	21.16%	18.08%	13.30%	7.78%	4.96%	3.60%	1.95%	1.47%	0.73%	0.28%	0.14%	0.03%
Chicago Bears	24.45%	25.97%	15.31%	13.21%	7.37%	5.39%	3.03%	2.37%	1.28%	0.79%	0.46%	0.24%	0.13%
Philadelphia Eagles	26.03%	18.43%	18.75%	13.08%	8.72%	6.22%	3.92%	2.26%	1.34%	0.68%	0.39%	0.15%	0.03%
Los Angeles Rams	13.41%	16.74%	17.05%	16.79%	11.22%	8.53%	5.94%	4.08%	2.83%	1.82%	0.90%	0.47%	0.22%
New York Giants	3.41%	4.74%	7.98%	9.51%	13.46%	12.60%	11.82%	9.94%	8.85%	7.42%	5.30%	3.74%	1.23%
Detroit Lions	2.20%	4.56%	7.37%	10.11%	12.49%	13.35%	10.88%	10.43%	8.30%	7.39%	6.00%	3.93%	2.99%
San Francisco 49ers	1.35%	2.87%	4.84%	7.33%	10.67%	11.72%	13.13%	12.04%	10.93%	9.10%	7.10%	5.22%	3.70%
Chicago Cardinals	1.32%	1.87%	3.69%	4.58%	7.61%	9.19%	10.61%	12.41%	11.68%	12.32%	10.83%	9.93%	3.96%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.57%	1.42%	2.87%	4.13%	7.42%	8.59%	10.80%	11.50%	13.22%	12.06%	13.15%	10.22%	4.05%
New York Yanks	0.46%	1.44%	2.42%	4.30%	6.47%	7.76%	9.97%	10.67%	12.28%	12.57%	12.25%	10.18%	9.23%
Washington Redskins	0.19%	0.42%	0.89%	2.07%	3.22%	5.87%	7.81%	10.20%	12.28%	13.90%	14.47%	18.27%	10.41%
Baltimore Colts (1st)	0.07%	0.31%	0.54%	1.02%	2.19%	3.29%	4.80%	7.34%	8.42%	12.06%	15.30%	19.13%	25.53%
Green Bay Packers	0.02%	0.07%	0.21%	0.57%	1.38%	2.53%	3.69%	4.81%	7.12%	9.16%	13.57%	18.38%	38.49%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Cleveland Browns (1st)	44.80%	55.20%
Philadelphia Eagles	41.34%	58.66%
New York Giants	7.96%	92.04%
Chicago Cardinals	3.13%	96.87%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.06%	97.94%
Washington Redskins	0.71%	99.29%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Chicago Bears	54.96%	45.04%
Los Angeles Rams	30.02%	69.98%
Detroit Lions	7.55%	92.45%
San Francisco 49ers	4.55%	95.45%
New York Yanks	2.39%	97.61%
Baltimore Colts (1st)	0.45%	99.55%
Green Bay Packers	0.08%	99.92%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Super Bowl
Cleveland Browns (1st)	44.80%	31.54%
Philadelphia Eagles	41.34%	24.58%
Chicago Bears	54.96%	22.43%
Los Angeles Rams	30.02%	11.70%
New York Giants	7.96%	4.48%
Detroit Lions	7.55%	1.84%
Chicago Cardinals	3.13%	1.32%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.06%	0.86%
San Francisco 49ers	4.55%	0.65%
New York Yanks	2.39%	0.31%
Washington Redskins	0.71%	0.24%
Baltimore Colts (1st)	0.45%	0.05%
Green Bay Packers	0.08%	—

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts (1st)	Chicago Bears	Chicago Cardinals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	New York Giants	New York Yanks	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Redskins
Baltimore Colts (1st)			0.01%	0.01%				0.01%		0.02%
Chicago Bears			0.80%	7.88%				2.10%		10.66%	0.73%		0.26%
Chicago Cardinals		0.43%			0.19%		0.50%		0.09%			0.11%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	0.20%	16.49%			2.71%	0.04%	9.62%		0.88%			1.60%
Detroit Lions			0.12%	0.56%				0.27%		0.86%			0.03%
Los Angeles Rams			0.79%	4.54%				1.02%		4.75%	0.44%		0.16%
New York Giants	0.04%	2.32%			0.33%		1.32%		0.06%			0.41%
New York Yanks			0.04%	0.08%				0.01%		0.16%	0.01%		0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.16%	12.73%			2.37%	0.04%	6.62%		1.01%			1.65%
Pittsburgh Steelers		0.43%			0.11%		0.19%		0.04%			0.09%
San Francisco 49ers			0.05%	0.19%				0.07%		0.31%	0.02%		0.01%
Washington Redskins		0.13%					0.07%					0.04%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Won Super Bowl
New York Giants	55.02%
Chicago Bears	44.98%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	New York Giants
Chicago Bears		44.98%
New York Giants	55.02%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

New York Giants 55.02% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

55.02%

Chicago Bears 44.98% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

44.98%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1950-09-17	Washington Redskins	L 14-38	1433.93	1453.38	54.56%	44.69%	-43.33	0-1
1950-09-24	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 0-31	1390.60	1642.69	23.94%	75.32%	-21.71	0-2
1950-10-02	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 13-55	1368.89	1490.10	26.45%	72.81%	-27.90	0-3
1950-10-15	Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-24	1340.99	1686.74	15.51%	83.74%	-7.99	0-4
1950-10-22	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 27-70	1333.00	1573.20	15.34%	83.91%	-16.41	0-5
1950-10-29	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-17	1316.59	1439.78	26.23%	73.03%	-7.39	0-6
1950-11-05	Green Bay Packers	W 41-21	1309.20	1324.24	55.19%	44.07%	+31.99	1-6
1950-11-12	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-17	1341.19	1479.10	24.62%	74.63%	-12.68	1-7
1950-11-19	New York Giants	L 20-55	1328.51	1544.48	27.93%	71.33%	-26.89	1-8
1950-11-26	@ Washington Redskins	L 28-38	1301.62	1341.10	36.53%	62.72%	-18.77	1-9
1950-12-03	Detroit Lions	L 21-45	1282.85	1473.32	30.98%	68.28%	-24.69	1-10
1950-12-10	@ New York Yanks	L 14-51	1258.16	1409.55	23.21%	76.05%	-22.99	1-11
1950-09-17	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 24-20	1616.54	1559.04	50.15%	49.11%	+15.93	1-0
1950-09-24	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 32-20	1632.47	1540.88	55.03%	44.22%	+24.87	2-0
1950-10-01	@ Green Bay Packers	L 21-31	1657.34	1339.74	81.50%	17.75%	-41.76	2-1
1950-10-08	Chicago Cardinals	W 27-6	1615.58	1518.00	70.08%	29.18%	+21.76	3-1
1950-10-15	Green Bay Packers	W 28-14	1637.34	1350.45	87.09%	12.17%	+7.42	4-1
1950-10-29	@ New York Yanks	L 27-38	1644.76	1476.40	65.49%	33.76%	-35.19	4-2
1950-11-05	@ Detroit Lions	W 35-21	1609.57	1438.79	65.80%	33.45%	+20.35	5-2
1950-11-12	New York Yanks	W 28-20	1629.92	1511.59	72.48%	26.77%	+12.33	6-2
1950-11-19	San Francisco 49ers	W 17-0	1642.25	1426.76	81.97%	17.28%	+11.62	7-2
1950-11-26	Los Angeles Rams	W 24-14	1653.87	1658.16	56.71%	42.55%	+21.84	8-2
1950-12-03	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 10-20	1675.71	1478.82	69.06%	30.19%	-35.38	8-3
1950-12-10	Detroit Lions	W 6-3	1640.33	1498.01	75.10%	24.15%	+6.81	9-3
1950-09-24	Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-45	1537.69	1605.83	47.58%	51.68%	-47.59	0-1
1950-10-02	Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 55-13	1490.10	1368.89	72.81%	26.45%	+27.90	1-1
1950-10-08	@ Chicago Bears	L 6-27	1518.00	1615.58	29.18%	70.08%	-21.76	1-2
1950-10-15	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 24-34	1496.24	1654.36	22.52%	76.73%	-11.60	1-3
1950-10-22	@ Washington Redskins	W 38-28	1484.64	1399.10	54.17%	45.09%	+23.15	2-3
1950-10-29	New York Giants	W 17-3	1507.79	1524.54	54.95%	44.31%	+26.91	3-3
1950-11-05	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-10	1534.70	1667.09	38.54%	60.72%	-10.85	3-4
1950-11-12	@ New York Giants	L 21-51	1523.85	1504.79	44.64%	54.62%	-39.68	3-5
1950-11-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 14-10	1484.17	1712.13	16.28%	82.97%	+26.89	4-5
1950-11-23	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-28	1511.06	1491.77	59.99%	39.27%	-32.24	4-6
1950-12-03	Chicago Bears	W 20-10	1478.82	1675.71	30.19%	69.06%	+35.38	5-6
1950-12-10	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-28	1514.20	1472.36	47.90%	51.36%	-35.61	5-7
1950-09-16	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 35-10	1588.52	1660.00	32.38%	66.88%	+54.17	1-0
1950-09-24	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 31-0	1642.69	1390.60	75.32%	23.94%	+21.71	2-0
1950-10-01	New York Giants	L 0-6	1664.40	1496.06	77.74%	21.52%	-30.85	2-1
1950-10-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 30-17	1633.55	1478.66	63.74%	35.52%	+20.81	3-1
1950-10-15	Chicago Cardinals	W 34-24	1654.36	1496.24	76.73%	22.52%	+11.61	4-1
1950-10-22	@ New York Giants	L 13-17	1665.97	1503.57	64.72%	34.53%	-20.98	4-2
1950-10-29	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 45-7	1644.99	1481.69	77.25%	22.01%	+22.10	5-2
1950-11-05	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 10-7	1667.09	1534.70	60.72%	38.54%	+10.85	6-2
1950-11-12	San Francisco 49ers	W 34-14	1677.94	1437.96	83.89%	15.36%	+11.20	7-2
1950-11-19	Washington Redskins	W 20-14	1689.14	1344.72	90.21%	9.05%	+3.62	8-2
1950-12-03	Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-7	1692.76	1666.39	60.96%	38.30%	+15.24	9-2
1950-12-10	@ Washington Redskins	W 45-21	1708.00	1411.53	79.65%	19.60%	+15.65	10-2
1950-09-17	@ Green Bay Packers	W 45-7	1450.43	1339.23	57.79%	41.46%	+41.51	1-0
1950-09-24	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 10-7	1491.94	1446.45	63.52%	35.73%	+10.06	2-0
1950-09-29	@ New York Yanks	L 21-44	1502.00	1363.21	61.59%	37.67%	-47.86	2-1
1950-10-08	San Francisco 49ers	W 24-7	1454.14	1477.83	53.96%	45.30%	+30.32	3-1
1950-10-15	Los Angeles Rams	L 28-30	1484.46	1562.61	46.14%	53.11%	-10.59	3-2
1950-10-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 27-28	1473.87	1432.01	47.90%	51.36%	-7.78	3-3
1950-10-29	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 24-65	1466.09	1589.60	26.19%	73.06%	-27.30	3-4
1950-11-05	Chicago Bears	L 21-35	1438.79	1609.57	33.45%	65.80%	-20.35	3-5
1950-11-19	Green Bay Packers	W 24-21	1418.44	1277.34	74.97%	24.28%	+6.85	4-5
1950-11-23	New York Yanks	W 49-14	1425.29	1482.14	49.20%	50.05%	+48.03	5-5
1950-12-03	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 45-21	1473.32	1282.85	68.28%	30.98%	+24.69	6-5
1950-12-10	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-6	1498.01	1640.33	24.15%	75.10%	-6.82	6-6
1950-09-17	Detroit Lions	L 7-45	1339.23	1450.43	41.46%	57.79%	-41.51	0-1
1950-09-24	Washington Redskins	W 35-21	1297.72	1496.71	29.94%	69.32%	+42.02	1-1
1950-10-01	Chicago Bears	W 31-21	1339.74	1657.34	17.75%	81.50%	+41.76	2-1
1950-10-08	New York Yanks	L 31-44	1381.50	1411.07	53.12%	46.14%	-31.05	2-2
1950-10-15	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-28	1350.45	1637.34	12.17%	87.09%	-7.43	2-3
1950-10-19	@ New York Yanks	L 17-35	1343.02	1457.62	27.19%	72.06%	-18.78	2-4
1950-11-05	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	L 21-41	1324.24	1309.20	44.07%	55.19%	-31.99	2-5
1950-11-12	Los Angeles Rams	L 14-45	1292.25	1626.12	16.43%	82.83%	-14.91	2-6
1950-11-19	@ Detroit Lions	L 21-24	1277.34	1418.44	24.28%	74.97%	-6.85	2-7
1950-11-26	San Francisco 49ers	W 25-21	1270.49	1415.14	36.88%	62.38%	+20.21	3-7
1950-12-03	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 14-51	1290.70	1636.31	8.99%	90.26%	-8.93	3-8
1950-12-10	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-30	1281.77	1394.93	27.36%	71.90%	-17.81	3-9
1950-09-17	Chicago Bears	L 20-24	1559.04	1616.54	49.11%	50.15%	-15.94	0-1
1950-09-22	New York Yanks	W 45-28	1543.10	1377.86	77.44%	21.82%	+14.66	1-1
1950-10-01	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 35-14	1557.76	1516.01	47.88%	51.37%	+38.17	2-1
1950-10-07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-56	1595.93	1653.42	34.16%	65.09%	-33.32	2-2
1950-10-15	@ Detroit Lions	W 30-28	1562.61	1484.46	53.11%	46.14%	+10.59	3-2
1950-10-22	Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 70-27	1573.20	1333.00	83.91%	15.34%	+16.40	4-2
1950-10-29	Detroit Lions	W 65-24	1589.60	1466.09	73.06%	26.19%	+27.30	5-2
1950-11-05	San Francisco 49ers	W 28-21	1616.90	1447.18	77.87%	21.38%	+9.22	6-2
1950-11-12	@ Green Bay Packers	W 45-14	1626.12	1292.25	82.83%	16.43%	+14.91	7-2
1950-11-19	@ New York Yanks	W 43-35	1641.03	1499.27	61.99%	37.27%	+17.13	8-2
1950-11-26	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-24	1658.16	1653.87	42.55%	56.71%	-21.85	8-3
1950-12-03	Green Bay Packers	W 51-14	1636.31	1290.70	90.26%	8.99%	+8.93	9-3
1950-09-17	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 18-7	1464.20	1478.30	39.98%	59.27%	+31.86	1-0
1950-10-01	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 6-0	1496.06	1664.40	21.52%	77.74%	+30.85	2-0
1950-10-08	@ Washington Redskins	W 21-17	1526.91	1412.42	58.25%	41.00%	+13.32	3-0
1950-10-15	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 6-17	1540.23	1457.85	68.24%	31.02%	-36.66	3-1
1950-10-22	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 17-13	1503.57	1665.97	34.53%	64.72%	+20.97	4-1
1950-10-29	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 3-17	1524.54	1507.79	44.31%	54.95%	-26.91	4-2
1950-11-05	Washington Redskins	W 24-21	1497.63	1367.03	73.85%	25.41%	+7.16	5-2
1950-11-12	Chicago Cardinals	W 51-21	1504.79	1523.85	54.62%	44.64%	+39.69	6-2
1950-11-19	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 55-20	1544.48	1328.51	71.33%	27.93%	+26.89	7-2
1950-11-26	Philadelphia Eagles	W 7-3	1571.37	1685.24	41.09%	58.17%	+18.85	8-2
1950-12-03	New York Yanks	W 51-7	1590.22	1434.11	76.53%	22.73%	+24.55	9-2
1950-12-10	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 9-7	1614.77	1651.14	36.95%	62.31%	+14.28	10-2
1950-09-17	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 21-17	1351.28	1567.46	17.23%	82.03%	+26.58	1-0
1950-09-22	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 28-45	1377.86	1543.10	21.82%	77.44%	-14.65	1-1
1950-09-29	Detroit Lions	W 44-21	1363.21	1502.00	37.67%	61.59%	+47.86	2-1
1950-10-08	@ Green Bay Packers	W 44-31	1411.07	1381.50	46.14%	53.12%	+31.05	3-1
1950-10-12	San Francisco 49ers	W 29-24	1442.12	1447.51	56.55%	42.70%	+15.50	4-1
1950-10-19	Green Bay Packers	W 35-17	1457.62	1343.02	72.06%	27.19%	+18.78	5-1
1950-10-29	Chicago Bears	W 38-27	1476.40	1644.76	33.76%	65.49%	+35.19	6-1
1950-11-12	@ Chicago Bears	L 20-28	1511.59	1629.92	26.77%	72.48%	-12.32	6-2
1950-11-19	Los Angeles Rams	L 35-43	1499.27	1641.03	37.27%	61.99%	-17.13	6-3
1950-11-23	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-49	1482.14	1425.29	50.05%	49.20%	-48.03	6-4
1950-12-03	@ New York Giants	L 7-51	1434.11	1590.22	22.73%	76.53%	-24.56	6-5
1950-12-10	Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 51-14	1409.55	1258.16	76.05%	23.21%	+22.99	7-5
1950-09-16	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-35	1660.00	1588.52	66.88%	32.38%	-54.17	0-1
1950-09-24	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 45-7	1605.83	1537.69	51.68%	47.58%	+47.59	1-1
1950-10-07	Los Angeles Rams	W 56-20	1653.42	1595.93	65.09%	34.16%	+33.32	2-1
1950-10-15	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 24-14	1686.74	1340.99	83.74%	15.51%	+8.00	3-1
1950-10-22	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 17-10	1694.74	1494.51	69.47%	29.79%	+12.82	4-1
1950-10-29	Washington Redskins	W 35-3	1707.56	1375.96	89.58%	9.67%	+8.93	5-1
1950-11-05	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-9	1716.49	1459.59	85.12%	14.14%	-19.50	5-2
1950-11-12	@ Washington Redskins	W 33-0	1696.99	1359.86	83.08%	16.17%	+15.14	6-2
1950-11-19	Chicago Cardinals	L 10-14	1712.13	1484.17	82.97%	16.28%	-26.89	6-3
1950-11-26	@ New York Giants	L 3-7	1685.24	1571.37	58.17%	41.09%	-18.85	6-4
1950-12-03	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-13	1666.39	1692.76	38.30%	60.96%	-15.25	6-5
1950-12-10	New York Giants	L 7-9	1651.14	1614.77	62.31%	36.95%	-14.27	6-6
1950-09-17	New York Giants	L 7-18	1478.30	1464.20	59.27%	39.98%	-31.85	0-1
1950-09-24	@ Detroit Lions	L 7-10	1446.45	1491.94	35.73%	63.52%	-10.06	0-2
1950-10-01	@ Washington Redskins	W 26-7	1436.39	1454.70	39.40%	59.85%	+42.27	1-2
1950-10-07	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-30	1478.66	1633.55	35.52%	63.74%	-20.81	1-3
1950-10-15	@ New York Giants	W 17-6	1457.85	1540.23	31.02%	68.24%	+36.66	2-3
1950-10-22	Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-17	1494.51	1694.74	29.79%	69.47%	-12.82	2-4
1950-10-29	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-45	1481.69	1644.99	22.01%	77.25%	-22.10	2-5
1950-11-05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 9-7	1459.59	1716.49	14.14%	85.12%	+19.51	3-5
1950-11-12	Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 17-7	1479.10	1341.19	74.63%	24.62%	+12.67	4-5
1950-11-23	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 28-17	1491.77	1511.06	39.27%	59.99%	+32.24	5-5
1950-12-03	Washington Redskins	L 7-24	1524.01	1359.87	77.33%	21.93%	-51.65	5-6
1950-12-10	Chicago Cardinals	W 28-7	1472.36	1514.20	51.36%	47.90%	+35.61	6-6
1950-09-17	New York Yanks	L 17-21	1567.46	1351.28	82.03%	17.23%	-26.58	0-1
1950-09-24	Chicago Bears	L 20-32	1540.88	1632.47	44.22%	55.03%	-24.87	0-2
1950-10-01	Los Angeles Rams	L 14-35	1516.01	1557.76	51.37%	47.88%	-38.18	0-3
1950-10-08	@ Detroit Lions	L 7-24	1477.83	1454.14	45.30%	53.96%	-30.32	0-4
1950-10-12	@ New York Yanks	L 24-29	1447.51	1442.12	42.70%	56.55%	-15.50	0-5
1950-10-22	Detroit Lions	W 28-27	1432.01	1473.87	51.36%	47.90%	+7.77	1-5
1950-10-29	Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 17-14	1439.78	1316.59	73.03%	26.23%	+7.40	2-5
1950-11-05	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 21-28	1447.18	1616.90	21.38%	77.87%	-9.22	2-6
1950-11-12	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-34	1437.96	1677.94	15.36%	83.89%	-11.20	2-7
1950-11-19	@ Chicago Bears	L 0-17	1426.76	1642.25	17.28%	81.97%	-11.62	2-8
1950-11-26	@ Green Bay Packers	L 21-25	1415.14	1270.49	62.38%	36.88%	-20.21	2-9
1950-12-10	Green Bay Packers	W 30-14	1394.93	1281.77	71.90%	27.36%	+17.81	3-9
1950-09-17	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 38-14	1453.38	1433.93	44.69%	54.56%	+43.33	1-0
1950-09-24	@ Green Bay Packers	L 21-35	1496.71	1297.72	69.32%	29.94%	-42.01	1-1
1950-10-01	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-26	1454.70	1436.39	59.85%	39.40%	-42.28	1-2
1950-10-08	New York Giants	L 17-21	1412.42	1526.91	41.00%	58.25%	-13.32	1-3
1950-10-22	Chicago Cardinals	L 28-38	1399.10	1484.64	45.09%	54.17%	-23.14	1-4
1950-10-29	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-35	1375.96	1707.56	9.67%	89.58%	-8.93	1-5
1950-11-05	@ New York Giants	L 21-24	1367.03	1497.63	25.41%	73.85%	-7.17	1-6
1950-11-12	Philadelphia Eagles	L 0-33	1359.86	1696.99	16.17%	83.08%	-15.14	1-7
1950-11-19	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-20	1344.72	1689.14	9.05%	90.21%	-3.62	1-8
1950-11-26	Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 38-28	1341.10	1301.62	62.72%	36.53%	+18.77	2-8
1950-12-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-7	1359.87	1524.01	21.93%	77.33%	+51.66	3-8
1950-12-10	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 21-45	1411.53	1708.00	19.60%	79.65%	-15.65	3-9

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1950-12-17	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 14-24	1647.14	1645.24	42.58%	57.42%	-21.67	0-1
1950-12-17	New York Giants	W 8-3	1723.65	1629.05	70.16%	29.84%	+10.74	1-0
1950-12-24	Los Angeles Rams	W 30-28	1734.39	1666.91	66.79%	33.21%	+7.56	2-0
1950-12-17	Chicago Bears	W 24-14	1645.24	1647.14	57.42%	42.58%	+21.67	1-0
1950-12-24	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 28-30	1666.91	1734.39	33.21%	66.79%	-7.56	1-1
1950-12-17	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 3-8	1629.05	1723.65	29.84%	70.16%	-10.74	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1950-11-05	14.14%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1459.59	9	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1716.49	7
2	1950-11-19	16.28%	Chicago Cardinals	1484.17	14	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1712.13	10
3	1950-09-17	17.23%	New York Yanks	1351.28	21	@ San Francisco 49ers	1567.46	17
4	1950-10-01	17.75%	@ Green Bay Packers	1339.74	31	Chicago Bears	1657.34	21
5	1950-10-01	21.52%	New York Giants	1496.06	6	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1664.40	0
6	1950-12-03	21.93%	Washington Redskins	1359.87	24	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1524.01	7
7	1950-09-24	29.94%	@ Green Bay Packers	1297.72	35	Washington Redskins	1496.71	21
8	1950-12-03	30.19%	@ Chicago Cardinals	1478.82	20	Chicago Bears	1675.71	10
9	1950-10-15	31.02%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1457.85	17	@ New York Giants	1540.23	6
10	1950-09-16	32.38%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1588.52	35	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1660.00	10
11	1950-10-29	33.76%	@ New York Yanks	1476.40	38	Chicago Bears	1644.76	27
12	1950-10-22	34.53%	@ New York Giants	1503.57	17	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1665.97	13
13	1950-11-26	36.88%	@ Green Bay Packers	1270.49	25	San Francisco 49ers	1415.14	21
14	1950-12-10	36.95%	New York Giants	1614.77	9	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1651.14	7
15	1950-09-29	37.67%	@ New York Yanks	1363.21	44	Detroit Lions	1502.00	21
16	1950-11-23	39.27%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1491.77	28	@ Chicago Cardinals	1511.06	17
17	1950-10-01	39.40%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1436.39	26	@ Washington Redskins	1454.70	7
18	1950-09-17	39.98%	New York Giants	1464.20	18	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1478.30	7
19	1950-11-26	41.09%	@ New York Giants	1571.37	7	Philadelphia Eagles	1685.24	3
20	1950-09-17	44.69%	Washington Redskins	1453.38	38	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	1433.93	14
21	1950-10-08	46.14%	New York Yanks	1411.07	44	@ Green Bay Packers	1381.50	31
22	1950-10-01	47.88%	Los Angeles Rams	1557.76	35	@ San Francisco 49ers	1516.01	14
23	1950-11-23	49.20%	@ Detroit Lions	1425.29	49	New York Yanks	1482.14	14

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1950-09-16	54.17	Cleveland Browns (1st)	35	1588.52	32.38%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	10	1660.00	66.88%
2	1950-12-03	51.66	Washington Redskins	24	1359.87	21.93%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	7	1524.01	77.33%
3	1950-11-23	48.03	@ Detroit Lions	49	1425.29	49.20%	New York Yanks	14	1482.14	50.05%
4	1950-09-29	47.86	@ New York Yanks	44	1363.21	37.67%	Detroit Lions	21	1502.00	61.59%
5	1950-09-24	47.59	Philadelphia Eagles	45	1605.83	51.68%	@ Chicago Cardinals	7	1537.69	47.58%
6	1950-09-17	43.33	Washington Redskins	38	1453.38	44.69%	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	14	1433.93	54.56%
7	1950-10-01	42.28	Pittsburgh Steelers	26	1436.39	39.40%	@ Washington Redskins	7	1454.70	59.85%
8	1950-09-24	42.02	@ Green Bay Packers	35	1297.72	29.94%	Washington Redskins	21	1496.71	69.32%
9	1950-10-01	41.76	@ Green Bay Packers	31	1339.74	17.75%	Chicago Bears	21	1657.34	81.50%
10	1950-09-17	41.51	Detroit Lions	45	1450.43	57.79%	@ Green Bay Packers	7	1339.23	41.46%
11	1950-11-12	39.69	@ New York Giants	51	1504.79	54.62%	Chicago Cardinals	21	1523.85	44.64%
12	1950-10-01	38.18	Los Angeles Rams	35	1557.76	47.88%	@ San Francisco 49ers	14	1516.01	51.37%
13	1950-10-15	36.66	Pittsburgh Steelers	17	1457.85	31.02%	@ New York Giants	6	1540.23	68.24%
14	1950-12-10	35.61	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	28	1472.36	51.36%	Chicago Cardinals	7	1514.20	47.90%
15	1950-12-03	35.38	@ Chicago Cardinals	20	1478.82	30.19%	Chicago Bears	10	1675.71	69.06%
16	1950-10-29	35.19	@ New York Yanks	38	1476.40	33.76%	Chicago Bears	27	1644.76	65.49%
17	1950-10-07	33.32	@ Philadelphia Eagles	56	1653.42	65.09%	Los Angeles Rams	20	1595.93	34.16%
18	1950-11-23	32.24	Pittsburgh Steelers	28	1491.77	39.27%	@ Chicago Cardinals	17	1511.06	59.99%
19	1950-11-05	31.99	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	41	1309.20	55.19%	Green Bay Packers	21	1324.24	44.07%
20	1950-09-17	31.86	New York Giants	18	1464.20	39.98%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	7	1478.30	59.27%
21	1950-10-08	31.05	New York Yanks	44	1411.07	46.14%	@ Green Bay Packers	31	1381.50	53.12%
22	1950-10-01	30.85	New York Giants	6	1496.06	21.52%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	0	1664.40	77.74%
23	1950-10-08	30.32	@ Detroit Lions	24	1454.14	53.96%	San Francisco 49ers	7	1477.83	45.30%
24	1950-10-02	27.90	@ Chicago Cardinals	55	1490.10	72.81%	Baltimore Colts (1st)	13	1368.89	26.45%
25	1950-10-29	27.30	@ Los Angeles Rams	65	1589.60	73.06%	Detroit Lions	24	1466.09	26.19%