1936 NFL Season

54 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Green Bay Packers

4th Title

Runner-Up

Boston Redskins

1st Appearance

Biggest Overachiever

Green Bay Packers

4.10 wins above expected

10 wins · 6.40 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Philadelphia Eagles

4.34 wins below expected

1 wins · 5.34 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Boston Redskins Division	7	5	0	.583	—	149	110	+39	6.06	+0.94
2	Pittsburgh Pirates	6	6	0	.500	1	98	187	-89	5.42	+0.58
3	New York Giants	5	6	1	.458	1.5	115	163	-48	6.41	-0.91
4	Brooklyn Dodgers	3	8	1	.292	3.5	92	161	-69	5.80	-2.30
5	Philadelphia Eagles	1	11	0	.083	6	51	206	-155	5.34	-4.34

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	10	1	1	.875	—	248	118	+130	6.40	+4.10
2	Chicago Bears	9	3	0	.750	1.5	222	94	+128	6.61	+2.39
3	Detroit Lions	8	4	0	.667	2.5	235	102	+133	6.63	+1.37
4	Chicago Cardinals	3	8	1	.292	7	74	143	-69	5.32	-1.82

Playoff Bracket

NFL Championship Game

Green Bay Packers 21

Boston Redskins 6

Dec 13

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Chicago Bears	West	1563	9	6.61	+2.39	97.36%	4	5	6	8	9	11
Green Bay Packers	West	1561	10.5	6.40	+4.10	99.57%	3	5	6	7	9	12
Detroit Lions	West	1557	8	6.63	+1.37	89.11%	4	5	6	8	9	12
New York Giants	East	1504	5.5	6.41	-0.91	35.18%	3	5	6	7	9	12
Boston Redskins	East	1501	7	6.06	+0.94	84.05%	3	5	6	7	9	11
Chicago Cardinals	West	1479	3.5	5.32	-1.82	17.76%	2	4	5	6	8	12
Brooklyn Dodgers	East	1457	3.5	5.80	-2.30	11.64%	3	4	6	7	8	11
Pittsburgh Pirates	East	1456	6	5.42	+0.58	78.75%	2	4	5	6	8	11
Philadelphia Eagles	East	1421	1	5.34	-4.34	1.29%	2	4	5	6	8	11

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	Redskins	Dodgers	Giants	Eagles	Pirates
Boston Redskins	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Brooklyn Dodgers	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Pittsburgh Pirates	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Bears	Cardinals	Lions	Packers
Boston Redskins	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Brooklyn Dodgers	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
New York Giants	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—
Pittsburgh Pirates	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)

Within West

Team	Bears	Cardinals	Lions	Packers
Chicago Bears	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Chicago Cardinals	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2-1 (1.2 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0-1 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	Redskins	Dodgers	Giants	Eagles	Pirates
Chicago Bears	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Chicago Cardinals	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Detroit Lions	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	3.70%	6.48%	8.33%	3.70%	4.63%	1.85%	—	28.70%
7–13	6.48%	16.67%	4.63%	3.70%	0.93%	0.93%	0.93%	34.26%
14–20	8.33%	4.63%	1.85%	2.78%	—	—	—	17.59%
21–27	3.70%	3.70%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	10.19%
28–34	4.63%	0.93%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
35–41	1.85%	0.93%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
42+	—	0.93%	—	—	—	—	—	0.93%
Total	28.70%	34.26%	17.59%	10.19%	5.56%	2.78%	0.93%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	11.89	11.89	+0.00
SD	10.07	10.07	16.89
CV	0.85	0.85	—
Max	42	42	+39
Min	0	0	-39

Games Played: 54

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	25.00%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	41.67%
7–13	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
14–20	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
28–34	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	41.67%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Boston Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	12.42	9.17	+3.25
SD	11.63	9.68	19.04
CV	0.94	1.06	—
Max	30	31	+30
Min	0	0	-29

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	8.33%	25.00%	—	8.33%	—	—	41.67%
7–13	8.33%	25.00%	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	50.00%
14–20	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	33.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	100%

Brooklyn Dodgers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	7.67	13.42	-5.75
SD	4.60	10.94	13.61
CV	0.60	0.82	—
Max	18	38	+18
Min	0	0	-31

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	41.67%
14–20	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
21–27	8.33%	25.00%	—	—	—	—	—	33.33%
28–34	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	50.00%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.50	7.83	+10.67
SD	9.36	6.15	13.50
CV	0.51	0.78	—
Max	30	21	+27
Min	7	0	-11

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	50.00%
7–13	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
14–20	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	41.67%	16.67%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	100%

Chicago Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	6.17	11.92	-5.75
SD	5.62	10.74	14.18
CV	0.91	0.90	—
Max	14	39	+13
Min	0	0	-39

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	41.67%
21–27	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
28–34	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	33.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.58	8.50	+11.08
SD	10.42	8.21	16.46
CV	0.53	0.97	—
Max	39	26	+39
Min	7	0	-9

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
7–13	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
14–20	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
21–27	8.33%	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
28–34	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	33.33%	33.33%	25.00%	—	8.33%	—	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.67	9.83	+10.83
SD	13.38	8.84	16.78
CV	0.65	0.90	—
Max	42	30	+32
Min	0	0	-27

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	16.67%
7–13	8.33%	25.00%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	41.67%
14–20	16.67%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
21–27	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	33.33%	16.67%	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	9.58	13.58	-4.00
SD	6.17	11.29	14.49
CV	0.64	0.83	—
Max	21	38	+14
Min	0	0	-38

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	8.33%	8.33%	25.00%	16.67%	—	—	—	58.33%
7–13	—	16.67%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
14–20	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	25.00%	33.33%	25.00%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	4.25	17.17	-12.92
SD	5.46	6.79	8.34
CV	1.29	0.40	—
Max	17	28	+3
Min	0	6	-23

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	16.67%	—	—	33.33%
7–13	16.67%	16.67%	—	16.67%	—	—	8.33%	58.33%
14–20	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	16.67%	8.33%	16.67%	16.67%	—	8.33%	100%

Pittsburgh Pirates — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	8.17	15.58	-7.42
SD	4.26	14.36	16.78
CV	0.52	0.92	—
Max	17	42	+17
Min	0	0	-32

Games Played: 12

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Green Bay Packers	10.5	6.40	+4.10
2	Chicago Bears	9	6.61	+2.39
3	Detroit Lions	8	6.63	+1.37
4	Boston Redskins	7	6.06	+0.94
5	Pittsburgh Pirates	6	5.42	+0.58

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Philadelphia Eagles	1	5.34	-4.34
2	Brooklyn Dodgers	3.5	5.80	-2.30
3	Chicago Cardinals	3.5	5.32	-1.82
4	New York Giants	5.5	6.41	-0.91
5	Pittsburgh Pirates	6	5.42	+0.58

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Green Bay Packers	9	Oct 4 – Nov 29	1 in 581
2	Chicago Bears	6	Sep 20 – Oct 25	1 in 42
3	Pittsburgh Pirates	3	Sep 13 – Sep 27	1 in 10
4	Detroit Lions	4	Nov 8 – Nov 26	1 in 10
5	Boston Redskins	3	Nov 22 – Dec 6	1 in 8

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Philadelphia Eagles	11	Sep 20 – Nov 29	1 in 1,029
2	Chicago Cardinals	7	Sep 13 – Nov 1	1 in 41
3	Brooklyn Dodgers	4	Nov 1 – Nov 26	1 in 14
4	New York Giants	3	Nov 8 – Nov 22	1 in 8
5	Detroit Lions	3	Oct 18 – Nov 1	1 in 7

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4	5
New York Giants	32.11%	23.47%	18.55%	15.12%	10.75%
Boston Redskins	23.02%	22.46%	20.50%	18.20%	15.82%
Brooklyn Dodgers	18.37%	20.41%	21.03%	20.58%	19.61%
Pittsburgh Pirates	14.13%	17.26%	20.09%	23.06%	25.46%
Philadelphia Eagles	12.37%	16.40%	19.83%	23.04%	28.36%

Team	1	2	3	4
Detroit Lions	32.43%	27.96%	23.76%	15.85%
Chicago Bears	31.29%	29.02%	22.86%	16.83%
Green Bay Packers	25.56%	25.70%	26.94%	21.80%
Chicago Cardinals	10.72%	17.32%	26.44%	45.52%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Detroit Lions	18.64%	15.11%	13.44%	12.34%	11.11%	10.06%	8.29%	6.85%	4.16%
Chicago Bears	17.68%	15.18%	13.69%	12.95%	10.90%	9.66%	8.10%	7.17%	4.67%
New York Giants	15.77%	14.45%	12.87%	11.82%	10.69%	10.02%	9.10%	7.83%	7.45%
Green Bay Packers	14.46%	13.09%	12.67%	11.87%	12.14%	11.26%	9.89%	9.33%	5.29%
Boston Redskins	10.17%	11.56%	11.86%	12.46%	11.47%	11.07%	10.59%	10.06%	10.76%
Brooklyn Dodgers	7.77%	9.65%	10.43%	10.98%	11.65%	12.21%	12.10%	11.60%	13.61%
Pittsburgh Pirates	5.47%	7.91%	8.21%	9.72%	10.76%	12.19%	13.06%	14.58%	18.10%
Chicago Cardinals	5.30%	6.01%	8.46%	8.95%	10.55%	12.03%	15.25%	17.88%	15.57%
Philadelphia Eagles	4.74%	7.04%	8.37%	8.91%	10.73%	11.50%	13.62%	14.70%	20.39%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New York Giants	32.11%	67.89%
Boston Redskins	23.02%	76.98%
Brooklyn Dodgers	18.37%	81.63%
Pittsburgh Pirates	14.13%	85.87%
Philadelphia Eagles	12.37%	87.63%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Detroit Lions	32.43%	67.57%
Chicago Bears	31.29%	68.71%
Green Bay Packers	25.56%	74.44%
Chicago Cardinals	10.72%	89.28%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Super Bowl
Detroit Lions	32.43%	17.37%
Chicago Bears	31.29%	16.87%
New York Giants	32.11%	16.21%
Green Bay Packers	25.56%	13.95%
Boston Redskins	23.02%	11.77%
Brooklyn Dodgers	18.37%	7.91%
Pittsburgh Pirates	14.13%	6.43%
Philadelphia Eagles	12.37%	5.01%
Chicago Cardinals	10.72%	4.48%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Boston Redskins	Brooklyn Dodgers	Chicago Bears	Chicago Cardinals	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Pirates
Boston Redskins			3.55%	1.30%	4.38%	2.54%
Brooklyn Dodgers			2.68%	1.09%	2.13%	2.01%
Chicago Bears	3.28%	3.97%					5.47%	1.89%	2.26%
Chicago Cardinals	0.86%	0.83%					1.37%	0.68%	0.74%
Detroit Lions	4.63%	2.85%					4.94%	2.54%	2.41%
Green Bay Packers	2.48%	2.81%					4.12%	2.25%	2.29%
New York Giants			5.15%	2.25%	4.66%	4.15%
Philadelphia Eagles			1.41%	0.61%	1.64%	1.35%
Pittsburgh Pirates			1.63%	0.99%	2.25%	1.56%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Won Super Bowl
Green Bay Packers	50.41%
Boston Redskins	49.59%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Boston Redskins	Green Bay Packers
Boston Redskins		49.59%
Green Bay Packers	50.41%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Green Bay Packers 50.41% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Boston Redskins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

50.41%

Boston Redskins 49.59% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

49.59%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1936-09-13	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	L 0-10	1486.58	1466.91	43.23%	52.43%	-4.66	0-1
1936-09-20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 26-3	1481.92	1478.95	40.89%	54.78%	+8.88	1-1
1936-09-27	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	W 14-3	1490.80	1479.85	42.00%	53.66%	+6.02	2-1
1936-10-04	New York Giants	L 0-7	1496.82	1512.73	52.97%	42.70%	-4.74	2-2
1936-10-11	@ Green Bay Packers	L 2-31	1492.08	1515.57	37.26%	58.42%	-6.88	2-3
1936-10-18	Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-7	1485.20	1445.42	60.59%	35.10%	+3.81	3-3
1936-11-01	Chicago Cardinals	W 13-10	1489.01	1472.05	57.53%	38.15%	+2.27	4-3
1936-11-08	Green Bay Packers	L 3-7	1491.28	1537.67	48.62%	47.05%	-3.30	4-4
1936-11-15	Chicago Bears	L 0-26	1487.98	1558.00	45.23%	50.44%	-7.86	4-5
1936-11-22	Brooklyn Dodgers	W 30-6	1480.12	1468.47	56.81%	38.87%	+6.52	5-5
1936-11-29	Pittsburgh Pirates	W 30-0	1486.64	1463.13	58.42%	37.26%	+7.00	6-5
1936-12-06	@ New York Giants	W 14-0	1493.64	1511.79	37.99%	57.69%	+7.29	7-5
1936-09-23	Pittsburgh Pirates	L 6-10	1483.70	1471.57	56.87%	38.81%	-3.85	0-1
1936-09-27	Boston Redskins	L 3-14	1479.85	1490.80	53.66%	42.00%	-6.02	0-2
1936-10-04	Philadelphia Eagles	W 18-0	1473.83	1463.63	56.61%	39.07%	+5.68	1-2
1936-10-11	@ New York Giants	T 10-10	1479.51	1517.47	35.34%	60.35%	+0.20	1-2
1936-10-14	Detroit Lions	L 7-14	1479.71	1542.90	46.20%	49.46%	-4.16	1-3
1936-10-25	Chicago Cardinals	W 9-0	1475.55	1476.21	55.10%	40.57%	+4.17	2-3
1936-11-01	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	L 7-10	1479.72	1465.65	42.44%	53.22%	-2.51	2-4
1936-11-15	Green Bay Packers	L 7-38	1477.21	1540.97	46.12%	49.54%	-8.74	2-5
1936-11-22	@ Boston Redskins	L 6-30	1468.47	1480.12	38.87%	56.81%	-6.52	2-6
1936-11-26	New York Giants	L 0-14	1461.95	1505.57	49.01%	46.65%	-6.23	2-7
1936-11-29	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-7	1455.72	1425.15	44.78%	50.88%	+4.23	3-7
1936-12-06	@ Detroit Lions	L 6-14	1459.95	1554.34	28.32%	67.41%	-2.77	3-8
1936-09-20	@ Green Bay Packers	W 30-3	1525.80	1518.79	41.45%	54.22%	+9.52	1-0
1936-09-27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-0	1535.32	1470.07	49.76%	45.91%	+6.44	2-0
1936-10-04	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	W 27-9	1541.76	1478.13	49.52%	46.14%	+6.66	3-0
1936-10-11	Chicago Cardinals	W 7-3	1548.42	1481.84	64.04%	31.67%	+2.19	4-0
1936-10-18	Pittsburgh Pirates	W 26-7	1550.61	1476.79	64.93%	30.78%	+4.63	5-0
1936-10-25	Detroit Lions	W 12-10	1555.24	1544.94	56.62%	39.06%	+1.89	6-0
1936-11-01	Green Bay Packers	L 10-21	1557.13	1531.09	58.76%	36.92%	-6.58	6-1
1936-11-08	@ New York Giants	W 25-7	1550.55	1526.69	43.83%	51.84%	+7.45	7-1
1936-11-15	@ Boston Redskins	W 26-0	1558.00	1487.98	50.44%	45.23%	+7.85	8-1
1936-11-22	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-7	1565.85	1430.84	59.47%	36.22%	+5.70	9-1
1936-11-26	@ Detroit Lions	L 7-13	1571.55	1556.44	42.59%	53.08%	-3.56	9-2
1936-11-29	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 7-14	1567.99	1474.02	53.83%	41.83%	-4.82	9-3
1936-09-13	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-10	1498.15	1516.53	37.95%	57.73%	-2.26	0-1
1936-09-28	@ Detroit Lions	L 0-39	1495.89	1527.94	36.12%	59.57%	-7.74	0-2
1936-10-04	@ Green Bay Packers	L 0-24	1488.15	1509.26	37.58%	58.10%	-6.31	0-3
1936-10-11	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-7	1481.84	1548.42	31.67%	64.04%	-2.19	0-4
1936-10-18	@ New York Giants	L 6-14	1479.65	1517.26	35.38%	60.30%	-3.44	0-5
1936-10-25	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	L 0-9	1476.21	1475.55	40.57%	55.10%	-4.16	0-6
1936-11-01	@ Boston Redskins	L 10-13	1472.05	1489.01	38.15%	57.53%	-2.26	0-7
1936-11-08	Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-0	1469.79	1435.28	59.89%	35.79%	+4.43	1-7
1936-11-15	Pittsburgh Pirates	W 14-6	1474.22	1466.95	56.20%	39.47%	+3.82	2-7
1936-11-22	Detroit Lions	L 7-14	1478.04	1552.42	44.60%	51.06%	-4.02	2-8
1936-11-29	Chicago Bears	W 14-7	1474.02	1567.99	41.83%	53.83%	+4.82	3-8
1936-12-06	Green Bay Packers	T 0-0	1478.84	1561.21	43.47%	52.20%	+0.07	3-8
1936-09-28	Chicago Cardinals	W 39-0	1527.94	1495.89	59.57%	36.12%	+7.74	1-0
1936-10-11	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-0	1535.68	1457.95	51.54%	44.13%	+7.22	2-0
1936-10-14	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	W 14-7	1542.90	1479.71	49.46%	46.20%	+4.16	3-0
1936-10-18	@ Green Bay Packers	L 18-20	1547.06	1522.46	43.93%	51.73%	-2.12	3-1
1936-10-25	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-12	1544.94	1555.24	39.06%	56.62%	-1.89	3-2
1936-11-01	@ New York Giants	L 7-14	1543.05	1522.78	43.32%	52.35%	-3.91	3-3
1936-11-08	Pittsburgh Pirates	W 28-3	1539.14	1472.41	64.05%	31.65%	+5.45	4-3
1936-11-15	New York Giants	W 38-0	1544.59	1519.24	58.67%	37.01%	+7.83	5-3
1936-11-22	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 14-7	1552.42	1478.04	51.06%	44.60%	+4.02	6-3
1936-11-26	Chicago Bears	W 13-7	1556.44	1571.55	53.08%	42.59%	+3.56	7-3
1936-11-29	Green Bay Packers	L 17-26	1560.00	1555.55	55.81%	39.86%	-5.66	7-4
1936-12-06	Brooklyn Dodgers	W 14-6	1554.34	1459.95	67.41%	28.32%	+2.77	8-4
1936-09-13	Chicago Cardinals	W 10-7	1516.53	1498.15	57.73%	37.95%	+2.26	1-0
1936-09-20	Chicago Bears	L 3-30	1518.79	1525.80	54.22%	41.45%	-9.53	1-1
1936-10-04	Chicago Cardinals	W 24-0	1509.26	1488.15	58.10%	37.58%	+6.31	2-1
1936-10-11	Boston Redskins	W 31-2	1515.57	1492.08	58.42%	37.26%	+6.89	3-1
1936-10-18	Detroit Lions	W 20-18	1522.46	1547.06	51.73%	43.93%	+2.11	4-1
1936-10-25	Pittsburgh Pirates	W 42-10	1524.57	1472.17	62.24%	33.46%	+6.52	5-1
1936-11-01	@ Chicago Bears	W 21-10	1531.09	1557.13	36.92%	58.76%	+6.58	6-1
1936-11-08	@ Boston Redskins	W 7-3	1537.67	1491.28	47.05%	48.62%	+3.30	7-1
1936-11-15	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	W 38-7	1540.97	1477.21	49.54%	46.12%	+8.73	8-1
1936-11-22	@ New York Giants	W 26-14	1549.70	1511.42	45.88%	49.78%	+5.85	9-1
1936-11-29	@ Detroit Lions	W 26-17	1555.55	1560.00	39.86%	55.81%	+5.66	10-1
1936-12-06	@ Chicago Cardinals	T 0-0	1561.21	1478.84	52.20%	43.47%	-0.07	10-1
1936-09-13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-10	1518.18	1476.22	46.41%	49.25%	-2.74	0-1
1936-09-27	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	L 7-10	1515.44	1475.42	46.13%	49.53%	-2.71	0-2
1936-10-04	@ Boston Redskins	W 7-0	1512.73	1496.82	42.70%	52.97%	+4.74	1-2
1936-10-11	Brooklyn Dodgers	T 10-10	1517.47	1479.51	60.35%	35.34%	-0.21	1-2
1936-10-18	Chicago Cardinals	W 14-6	1517.26	1479.65	60.30%	35.38%	+3.44	2-2
1936-10-25	Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-17	1520.70	1441.60	65.58%	30.14%	+2.08	3-2
1936-11-01	Detroit Lions	W 14-7	1522.78	1543.05	52.35%	43.32%	+3.91	4-2
1936-11-08	Chicago Bears	L 7-25	1526.69	1550.55	51.84%	43.83%	-7.45	4-3
1936-11-15	@ Detroit Lions	L 0-38	1519.24	1544.59	37.01%	58.67%	-7.82	4-4
1936-11-22	Green Bay Packers	L 14-26	1511.42	1549.70	49.78%	45.88%	-5.85	4-5
1936-11-26	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	W 14-0	1505.57	1461.95	46.65%	49.01%	+6.22	5-5
1936-12-06	Boston Redskins	L 0-14	1511.79	1493.64	57.69%	37.99%	-7.29	5-6
1936-09-13	New York Giants	W 10-7	1476.22	1518.18	49.25%	46.41%	+2.73	1-0
1936-09-20	Boston Redskins	L 3-26	1478.95	1481.92	54.78%	40.89%	-8.88	1-1
1936-09-27	Chicago Bears	L 0-17	1470.07	1535.32	45.91%	49.76%	-6.44	1-2
1936-10-04	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	L 0-18	1463.63	1473.83	39.07%	56.61%	-5.68	1-3
1936-10-11	Detroit Lions	L 0-23	1457.95	1535.68	44.13%	51.54%	-7.21	1-4
1936-10-14	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	L 0-17	1450.74	1471.47	37.63%	58.05%	-5.32	1-5
1936-10-18	@ Boston Redskins	L 7-17	1445.42	1485.20	35.10%	60.59%	-3.82	1-6
1936-10-25	@ New York Giants	L 17-21	1441.60	1520.70	30.14%	65.58%	-2.08	1-7
1936-11-05	Pittsburgh Pirates	L 0-6	1439.52	1468.16	51.16%	44.51%	-4.24	1-8
1936-11-08	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 0-13	1435.28	1469.79	35.79%	59.89%	-4.44	1-9
1936-11-22	Chicago Bears	L 7-28	1430.84	1565.85	36.22%	59.47%	-5.69	1-10
1936-11-29	Brooklyn Dodgers	L 7-13	1425.15	1455.72	50.88%	44.78%	-4.23	1-11
1936-09-13	Boston Redskins	W 10-0	1466.91	1486.58	52.43%	43.23%	+4.66	1-0
1936-09-23	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	W 10-6	1471.57	1483.70	38.81%	56.87%	+3.85	2-0
1936-09-27	New York Giants	W 10-7	1475.42	1515.44	49.53%	46.13%	+2.71	3-0
1936-10-04	Chicago Bears	L 9-27	1478.13	1541.76	46.14%	49.52%	-6.66	3-1
1936-10-14	Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-0	1471.47	1450.74	58.05%	37.63%	+5.32	4-1
1936-10-18	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-26	1476.79	1550.61	30.78%	64.93%	-4.62	4-2
1936-10-25	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-42	1472.17	1524.57	33.46%	62.24%	-6.52	4-3
1936-11-01	Brooklyn Dodgers	W 10-7	1465.65	1479.72	53.22%	42.44%	+2.51	5-3
1936-11-05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 6-0	1468.16	1439.52	44.51%	51.16%	+4.25	6-3
1936-11-08	@ Detroit Lions	L 3-28	1472.41	1539.14	31.65%	64.05%	-5.46	6-4
1936-11-15	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 6-14	1466.95	1474.22	39.47%	56.20%	-3.82	6-5
1936-11-29	@ Boston Redskins	L 0-30	1463.13	1486.64	37.26%	58.42%	-7.00	6-6

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1936-12-13	Green Bay Packers	L 6-21	1500.93	1561.14	48.80%	51.20%	-6.14	0-1
1936-12-13	@ Boston Redskins	W 21-6	1561.14	1500.93	51.20%	48.80%	+6.14	1-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1936-11-01	36.92%	Green Bay Packers	1531.09	21	@ Chicago Bears	1557.13	10
2	1936-12-06	37.99%	Boston Redskins	1493.64	14	@ New York Giants	1511.79	0
3	1936-09-23	38.81%	Pittsburgh Pirates	1471.57	10	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	1483.70	6
4	1936-11-29	39.86%	Green Bay Packers	1555.55	26	@ Detroit Lions	1560.00	17
5	1936-09-20	40.89%	Boston Redskins	1481.92	26	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1478.95	3
6	1936-09-20	41.45%	Chicago Bears	1525.80	30	@ Green Bay Packers	1518.79	3
7	1936-11-29	41.83%	@ Chicago Cardinals	1474.02	14	Chicago Bears	1567.99	7
8	1936-09-27	42.00%	Boston Redskins	1490.80	14	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	1479.85	3
9	1936-10-04	42.70%	New York Giants	1512.73	7	@ Boston Redskins	1496.82	0
10	1936-11-08	43.83%	Chicago Bears	1550.55	25	@ New York Giants	1526.69	7
11	1936-11-05	44.51%	Pittsburgh Pirates	1468.16	6	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1439.52	0
12	1936-11-29	44.78%	Brooklyn Dodgers	1455.72	13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1425.15	7
13	1936-11-22	45.88%	Green Bay Packers	1549.70	26	@ New York Giants	1511.42	14
14	1936-11-26	46.65%	New York Giants	1505.57	14	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	1461.95	0
15	1936-11-08	47.05%	Green Bay Packers	1537.67	7	@ Boston Redskins	1491.28	3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1936-09-20	9.53	Chicago Bears	30	1525.80	41.45%	@ Green Bay Packers	3	1518.79	54.22%
2	1936-09-20	8.88	Boston Redskins	26	1481.92	40.89%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	3	1478.95	54.78%
3	1936-11-15	8.74	Green Bay Packers	38	1540.97	49.54%	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	7	1477.21	46.12%
4	1936-11-15	7.86	Chicago Bears	26	1558.00	50.44%	@ Boston Redskins	0	1487.98	45.23%
5	1936-11-15	7.83	@ Detroit Lions	38	1544.59	58.67%	New York Giants	0	1519.24	37.01%
6	1936-09-28	7.74	@ Detroit Lions	39	1527.94	59.57%	Chicago Cardinals	0	1495.89	36.12%
7	1936-11-08	7.45	Chicago Bears	25	1550.55	43.83%	@ New York Giants	7	1526.69	51.84%
8	1936-12-06	7.29	Boston Redskins	14	1493.64	37.99%	@ New York Giants	0	1511.79	57.69%
9	1936-10-11	7.22	Detroit Lions	23	1535.68	51.54%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	0	1457.95	44.13%
10	1936-11-29	7.00	@ Boston Redskins	30	1486.64	58.42%	Pittsburgh Pirates	0	1463.13	37.26%
11	1936-10-11	6.89	@ Green Bay Packers	31	1515.57	58.42%	Boston Redskins	2	1492.08	37.26%
12	1936-10-04	6.66	Chicago Bears	27	1541.76	49.52%	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	9	1478.13	46.14%
13	1936-11-01	6.58	Green Bay Packers	21	1531.09	36.92%	@ Chicago Bears	10	1557.13	58.76%
14	1936-11-22	6.52	@ Boston Redskins	30	1480.12	56.81%	Brooklyn Dodgers	6	1468.47	38.87%
15	1936-10-25	6.52	@ Green Bay Packers	42	1524.57	62.24%	Pittsburgh Pirates	10	1472.17	33.46%
16	1936-09-27	6.44	Chicago Bears	17	1535.32	49.76%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	0	1470.07	45.91%
17	1936-10-04	6.31	@ Green Bay Packers	24	1509.26	58.10%	Chicago Cardinals	0	1488.15	37.58%
18	1936-11-26	6.23	New York Giants	14	1505.57	46.65%	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	0	1461.95	49.01%
19	1936-12-13 *	6.14	Green Bay Packers	21	1561.14	51.20%	@ Boston Redskins	6	1500.93	48.80%
20	1936-09-27	6.02	Boston Redskins	14	1490.80	42.00%	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	3	1479.85	53.66%
21	1936-11-22	5.85	Green Bay Packers	26	1549.70	45.88%	@ New York Giants	14	1511.42	49.78%
22	1936-11-22	5.70	Chicago Bears	28	1565.85	59.47%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	7	1430.84	36.22%
23	1936-10-04	5.68	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	18	1473.83	56.61%	Philadelphia Eagles	0	1463.63	39.07%
24	1936-11-29	5.66	Green Bay Packers	26	1555.55	39.86%	@ Detroit Lions	17	1560.00	55.81%
25	1936-11-08	5.46	@ Detroit Lions	28	1539.14	64.05%	Pittsburgh Pirates	3	1472.41	31.65%