1935 NFL Season

53 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Detroit Lions

1st Title

Runner-Up

New York Giants

3rd Appearance

Last Appearance: 1934

Biggest Overachiever

New York Giants

2.45 wins above expected

9 wins · 6.55 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Philadelphia Eagles

3.15 wins below expected

2 wins · 5.15 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New York Giants Division	9	3	0	.750	—	180	96	+84	6.55	+2.45
2	Brooklyn Dodgers	5	6	1	.458	3.5	90	141	-51	5.77	-0.27
3	Pittsburgh Pirates	4	8	0	.333	5	100	209	-109	5.33	-1.33
4	Boston Redskins	2	8	1	.227	6	65	123	-58	5.35	-2.85
5	Philadelphia Eagles	2	9	0	.182	6.5	60	179	-119	5.15	-3.15

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Detroit Lions Division	7	3	2	.667	—	191	111	+80	6.38	+1.62
2	Green Bay Packers	8	4	0	.667	—	181	96	+85	6.19	+1.81
3	Chicago Cardinals	6	4	2	.583	1	99	97	+2	5.81	+1.19
4	Chicago Bears	6	4	2	.583	1	192	106	+86	6.48	+0.52

Playoff Bracket

NFL Championship Game

Detroit Lions 26

New York Giants 7

Dec 15

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Detroit Lions	West	1541	8	6.38	+1.62	94.65%	3	5	6	7	9	12
Chicago Bears	West	1540	7	6.48	+0.52	82.78%	3	5	6	7	9	12
New York Giants	East	1538	9	6.55	+2.45	98.28%	3	5	6	7	9	12
Green Bay Packers	West	1527	8	6.19	+1.81	95.66%	3	4	6	7	8	11
Chicago Cardinals	West	1497	7	5.81	+1.19	91.36%	2	4	5	6	8	11
Boston Redskins	East	1476	2.5	5.35	-2.85	8.04%	2	4	5	6	7	11
Brooklyn Dodgers	East	1475	5.5	5.77	-0.27	58.18%	2	4	5	6	8	12
Philadelphia Eagles	East	1459	2	5.15	-3.15	9.75%	2	3	5	6	7	11
Pittsburgh Pirates	East	1447	4	5.33	-1.33	46.21%	2	4	5	6	7	12

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	Redskins	Dodgers	Giants	Eagles	Pirates
Boston Redskins	—	1-0-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Brooklyn Dodgers	0-1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
New York Giants	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Pittsburgh Pirates	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Bears	Cardinals	Lions	Packers
Boston Redskins	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—
Brooklyn Dodgers	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—
New York Giants	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Pittsburgh Pirates	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)

Within West

Team	Bears	Cardinals	Lions	Packers
Chicago Bears	—	1-0-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Chicago Cardinals	0-1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (0.8 exp.)	3-0 (1.3 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-0-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-2 (1.4 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-3 (1.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.3 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	Redskins	Dodgers	Giants	Eagles	Pirates
Chicago Bears	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Chicago Cardinals	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—
Green Bay Packers	—	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	11.32%	10.38%	5.66%	1.89%	0.94%	1.89%	—	32.08%
7–13	10.38%	13.21%	8.49%	0.94%	0.94%	—	0.94%	34.91%
14–20	5.66%	8.49%	3.77%	1.89%	1.89%	—	—	21.70%
21–27	1.89%	0.94%	1.89%	—	—	—	—	4.72%
28–34	0.94%	0.94%	1.89%	—	—	—	—	3.77%
35–41	1.89%	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.89%
42+	—	0.94%	—	—	—	—	—	0.94%
Total	32.08%	34.91%	21.70%	4.72%	3.77%	1.89%	0.94%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	10.92	10.92	+0.00
SD	9.04	9.04	13.81
CV	0.83	0.83	—
Max	42	42	+39
Min	0	0	-39

Games Played: 53

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	27.27%	9.09%	18.18%	—	—	—	—	54.55%
7–13	18.18%	—	18.18%	—	—	—	—	36.36%
14–20	—	—	—	—	9.09%	—	—	9.09%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	45.45%	9.09%	36.36%	—	9.09%	—	—	100%

Boston Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	5.91	11.18	-5.27
SD	5.43	9.15	7.88
CV	0.92	0.82	—
Max	14	30	+10
Min	0	0	-16

Games Played: 11

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	16.67%	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	41.67%
7–13	—	25.00%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
14–20	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	41.67%	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Brooklyn Dodgers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	7.50	11.75	-4.25
SD	6.29	8.94	11.23
CV	0.84	0.76	—
Max	17	28	+11
Min	0	0	-28

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
7–13	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
14–20	8.33%	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
28–34	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	25.00%	41.67%	—	—	—	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.00	8.83	+7.17
SD	12.33	6.78	14.10
CV	0.77	0.77	—
Max	39	20	+39
Min	0	0	-12

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	33.33%
7–13	16.67%	25.00%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	58.33%
14–20	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	50.00%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	100%

Chicago Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	8.25	8.08	+0.17
SD	4.22	5.48	5.41
CV	0.51	0.68	—
Max	14	17	+9
Min	0	0	-13

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	8.33%	25.00%	—	—	8.33%	—	—	41.67%
14–20	16.67%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	41.67%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	41.67%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.92	9.25	+6.67
SD	8.68	9.23	15.41
CV	0.55	1.00	—
Max	35	31	+35
Min	7	0	-24

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
7–13	16.67%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	41.67%
14–20	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
21–27	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
28–34	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	41.67%	25.00%	—	—	—	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.08	8.00	+7.08
SD	10.59	5.86	11.37
CV	0.70	0.73	—
Max	34	20	+27
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
7–13	16.67%	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	41.67%
14–20	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
21–27	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	41.67%	25.00%	33.33%	—	—	—	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.00	8.00	+7.00
SD	10.62	7.12	13.38
CV	0.71	0.89	—
Max	42	20	+35
Min	3	0	-17

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	9.09%	27.27%	9.09%	—	—	18.18%	—	63.64%
7–13	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
14–20	9.09%	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	27.27%	18.18%	9.09%	—	18.18%	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	5.45	16.27	-10.82
SD	5.80	11.60	14.46
CV	1.06	0.71	—
Max	17	39	+11
Min	0	3	-39

Games Played: 11

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	41.67%
7–13	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	25.00%
14–20	—	25.00%	—	—	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	50.00%	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	8.33%	100%

Pittsburgh Pirates — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	8.33	17.42	-9.08
SD	6.21	12.06	14.39
CV	0.75	0.69	—
Max	17	42	+10
Min	0	0	-35

Games Played: 12

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New York Giants	9	6.55	+2.45
2	Green Bay Packers	8	6.19	+1.81
3	Detroit Lions	8	6.38	+1.62
4	Chicago Cardinals	7	5.81	+1.19
5	Chicago Bears	7	6.48	+0.52

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Philadelphia Eagles	2	5.15	-3.15
2	Boston Redskins	2.5	5.35	-2.85
3	Pittsburgh Pirates	4	5.33	-1.33
4	Brooklyn Dodgers	5.5	5.77	-0.27
5	Chicago Bears	7	6.48	+0.52

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New York Giants	5	Nov 17 – Dec 8	1 in 31
2	Green Bay Packers	3	Sep 22 – Oct 6	1 in 10
3	Brooklyn Dodgers	3	Oct 27 – Nov 5	1 in 10
4	Chicago Bears	3	Sep 29 – Oct 20	1 in 8
5	Pittsburgh Pirates	2	Oct 20 – Oct 27	1 in 6

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Boston Redskins	8	Oct 6 – Nov 24	1 in 411
2	Philadelphia Eagles	5	Nov 5 – Dec 8	1 in 30
3	Pittsburgh Pirates	4	Sep 22 – Oct 9	1 in 16
4	New York Giants	2	Oct 27 – Nov 3	1 in 6
5	Brooklyn Dodgers	2	Oct 13 – Oct 20	1 in 4

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4	5
New York Giants	37.78%	24.05%	17.68%	12.52%	7.97%
Brooklyn Dodgers	20.75%	22.70%	19.97%	18.93%	17.65%
Boston Redskins	14.80%	18.70%	20.90%	22.81%	22.79%
Pittsburgh Pirates	14.38%	17.93%	20.80%	21.82%	25.07%
Philadelphia Eagles	12.29%	16.62%	20.65%	23.92%	26.52%

Team	1	2	3	4
Chicago Bears	31.71%	26.49%	23.28%	18.52%
Detroit Lions	27.91%	26.49%	24.42%	21.18%
Green Bay Packers	23.04%	24.26%	25.85%	26.85%
Chicago Cardinals	17.34%	22.76%	26.45%	33.45%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
New York Giants	18.00%	16.42%	13.82%	12.22%	10.36%	9.30%	7.85%	6.37%	5.66%
Chicago Bears	19.16%	14.57%	13.39%	11.66%	11.06%	9.85%	8.06%	7.59%	4.66%
Detroit Lions	16.35%	14.15%	13.55%	11.79%	11.08%	10.58%	8.96%	8.58%	4.96%
Green Bay Packers	13.19%	12.84%	12.12%	12.03%	11.58%	11.61%	10.47%	10.18%	5.98%
Chicago Cardinals	9.52%	9.83%	11.13%	11.28%	12.12%	11.15%	12.89%	13.20%	8.88%
Brooklyn Dodgers	8.39%	10.72%	11.41%	11.67%	10.96%	11.67%	11.24%	10.92%	13.02%
Boston Redskins	5.49%	7.79%	8.49%	10.06%	11.23%	12.08%	13.22%	14.46%	17.18%
Pittsburgh Pirates	5.54%	7.44%	8.71%	9.50%	10.93%	11.91%	13.24%	13.63%	19.10%
Philadelphia Eagles	4.36%	6.24%	7.38%	9.79%	10.68%	11.85%	14.07%	15.07%	20.56%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New York Giants	37.78%	62.22%
Brooklyn Dodgers	20.75%	79.25%
Boston Redskins	14.80%	85.20%
Pittsburgh Pirates	14.38%	85.62%
Philadelphia Eagles	12.29%	87.71%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Chicago Bears	31.71%	68.29%
Detroit Lions	27.91%	72.09%
Green Bay Packers	23.04%	76.96%
Chicago Cardinals	17.34%	82.66%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Super Bowl
New York Giants	37.78%	19.10%
Chicago Bears	31.71%	18.00%
Detroit Lions	27.91%	15.80%
Green Bay Packers	23.04%	12.51%
Chicago Cardinals	17.34%	9.10%
Brooklyn Dodgers	20.75%	8.92%
Boston Redskins	14.80%	6.09%
Pittsburgh Pirates	14.38%	5.40%
Philadelphia Eagles	12.29%	5.08%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Boston Redskins	Brooklyn Dodgers	Chicago Bears	Chicago Cardinals	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Pirates
Boston Redskins			2.01%	1.04%	1.35%	1.69%
Brooklyn Dodgers			2.75%	1.62%	2.13%	2.42%
Chicago Bears	3.13%	3.66%					5.69%	2.66%	2.86%
Chicago Cardinals	1.41%	2.24%					3.00%	1.01%	1.44%
Detroit Lions	2.03%	2.69%					6.10%	1.86%	3.12%
Green Bay Packers	2.14%	3.24%					3.89%	1.68%	1.56%
New York Giants			5.65%	3.61%	5.59%	4.25%
Philadelphia Eagles			1.68%	0.93%	1.36%	1.11%
Pittsburgh Pirates			1.62%	1.04%	1.68%	1.06%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Won Super Bowl
New York Giants	50.79%
Green Bay Packers	49.21%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Green Bay Packers	New York Giants
Green Bay Packers		49.21%
New York Giants	50.79%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

New York Giants 50.79% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

50.79%

Green Bay Packers 49.21% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

49.21%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1935-09-29	Brooklyn Dodgers	W 7-3	1498.55	1485.28	47.64%	41.97%	+2.59	1-0
1935-10-06	New York Giants	L 12-20	1501.14	1516.55	43.53%	46.07%	-3.79	1-1
1935-10-13	Detroit Lions	L 7-17	1497.35	1525.91	41.67%	47.95%	-4.07	1-2
1935-10-20	@ New York Giants	L 6-17	1493.28	1522.43	39.76%	49.89%	-4.09	1-3
1935-10-27	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	L 0-6	1489.19	1454.58	48.81%	40.82%	-3.64	1-4
1935-10-30	@ Detroit Lions	L 0-14	1485.55	1527.15	38.06%	51.64%	-4.44	1-5
1935-11-03	Philadelphia Eagles	L 6-7	1481.11	1473.76	46.79%	42.81%	-1.43	1-6
1935-11-10	Chicago Bears	L 14-30	1479.68	1538.30	37.54%	52.19%	-4.68	1-7
1935-11-24	Chicago Cardinals	L 0-6	1475.00	1496.30	42.69%	46.91%	-3.23	1-8
1935-12-01	Pittsburgh Pirates	W 13-3	1471.77	1454.45	48.22%	41.40%	+4.05	2-8
1935-12-08	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	T 0-0	1475.82	1474.74	44.01%	45.58%	+0.01	2-8
1935-09-29	@ Boston Redskins	L 3-7	1485.28	1498.55	41.97%	47.64%	-2.59	0-1
1935-10-06	Detroit Lions	W 12-10	1482.69	1528.07	39.33%	50.33%	+2.16	1-1
1935-10-13	@ New York Giants	L 7-10	1484.85	1520.34	38.89%	50.79%	-2.10	1-2
1935-10-20	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-24	1482.75	1531.55	37.10%	52.64%	-3.66	1-3
1935-10-27	Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-6	1479.09	1478.22	45.86%	43.73%	+4.46	2-3
1935-11-03	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	W 13-7	1483.55	1458.22	47.49%	42.12%	+3.19	3-3
1935-11-05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 3-0	1486.74	1475.19	45.51%	44.08%	+2.35	4-3
1935-11-10	Pittsburgh Pirates	L 7-16	1489.09	1455.03	50.59%	39.09%	-4.61	4-4
1935-11-19	Chicago Cardinals	W 14-12	1484.48	1498.29	43.76%	45.84%	+1.99	5-4
1935-11-28	New York Giants	L 0-21	1486.47	1525.54	40.20%	49.44%	-5.72	5-5
1935-12-01	@ Detroit Lions	L 0-28	1480.75	1535.06	36.37%	53.41%	-6.01	5-6
1935-12-08	Boston Redskins	T 0-0	1474.74	1475.82	45.58%	44.01%	-0.01	5-6
1935-09-22	@ Green Bay Packers	L 0-7	1522.74	1501.39	46.92%	42.68%	-3.79	0-1
1935-09-29	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	W 23-7	1518.95	1466.64	51.30%	38.39%	+4.78	1-1
1935-10-13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 39-0	1523.73	1486.04	49.25%	40.39%	+7.82	2-1
1935-10-20	Brooklyn Dodgers	W 24-14	1531.55	1482.75	52.64%	37.10%	+3.66	3-1
1935-10-27	Green Bay Packers	L 14-17	1535.21	1515.81	48.51%	41.11%	-2.56	3-2
1935-11-03	@ New York Giants	W 20-3	1532.65	1525.00	44.95%	44.64%	+5.65	4-2
1935-11-10	@ Boston Redskins	W 30-14	1538.30	1479.68	52.19%	37.54%	+4.68	5-2
1935-11-17	New York Giants	L 0-3	1542.98	1519.34	49.11%	40.52%	-2.59	5-3
1935-11-24	Detroit Lions	T 20-20	1540.39	1530.22	47.20%	42.41%	-0.03	5-3
1935-11-28	@ Detroit Lions	L 2-14	1540.36	1530.25	45.31%	44.28%	-4.81	5-4
1935-12-01	Chicago Cardinals	T 7-7	1535.55	1501.58	50.57%	39.10%	-0.08	5-4
1935-12-08	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 13-0	1535.47	1501.66	48.69%	40.93%	+4.57	6-4
1935-09-15	@ Green Bay Packers	W 7-6	1493.29	1502.83	42.50%	47.11%	+1.44	1-0
1935-09-29	@ Detroit Lions	T 10-10	1494.73	1528.15	39.17%	50.50%	+0.08	1-0
1935-10-13	Green Bay Packers	W 3-0	1494.81	1515.46	42.78%	46.82%	+2.48	2-0
1935-10-20	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	L 13-17	1497.29	1451.52	50.39%	39.28%	-3.06	2-1
1935-10-27	@ New York Giants	W 14-13	1494.23	1526.52	39.33%	50.34%	+1.53	3-1
1935-11-03	Detroit Lions	L 6-7	1495.76	1531.59	40.65%	48.98%	-1.26	3-2
1935-11-10	Philadelphia Eagles	W 12-3	1494.50	1472.84	48.83%	40.80%	+3.79	4-2
1935-11-19	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	L 12-14	1498.29	1484.48	45.84%	43.76%	-1.99	4-3
1935-11-24	@ Boston Redskins	W 6-0	1496.30	1475.00	46.91%	42.69%	+3.23	5-3
1935-11-28	Green Bay Packers	W 9-7	1499.53	1526.19	41.93%	47.68%	+2.05	6-3
1935-12-01	@ Chicago Bears	T 7-7	1501.58	1535.55	39.10%	50.57%	+0.08	6-3
1935-12-08	Chicago Bears	L 0-13	1501.66	1535.47	40.93%	48.69%	-4.57	6-4
1935-09-20	Philadelphia Eagles	W 35-0	1520.92	1488.97	50.29%	39.38%	+7.23	1-0
1935-09-29	Chicago Cardinals	T 10-10	1528.15	1494.73	50.50%	39.17%	-0.08	1-0
1935-10-06	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	L 10-12	1528.07	1482.69	50.33%	39.33%	-2.16	1-1
1935-10-13	@ Boston Redskins	W 17-7	1525.91	1497.35	47.95%	41.67%	+4.08	2-1
1935-10-20	@ Green Bay Packers	L 9-13	1529.99	1512.98	46.30%	43.30%	-2.84	2-2
1935-10-30	Boston Redskins	W 14-0	1527.15	1485.55	51.64%	38.06%	+4.44	3-2
1935-11-03	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 7-6	1531.59	1495.76	48.98%	40.65%	+1.26	4-2
1935-11-10	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-31	1532.85	1518.37	45.93%	43.66%	-6.89	4-3
1935-11-17	Green Bay Packers	W 20-10	1525.96	1525.26	45.84%	43.75%	+4.26	5-3
1935-11-24	@ Chicago Bears	T 20-20	1530.22	1540.39	42.41%	47.20%	+0.03	5-3
1935-11-28	Chicago Bears	W 14-2	1530.25	1540.36	44.28%	45.31%	+4.81	6-3
1935-12-01	Brooklyn Dodgers	W 28-0	1535.06	1480.75	53.41%	36.37%	+6.02	7-3
1935-09-15	Chicago Cardinals	L 6-7	1502.83	1493.29	47.11%	42.50%	-1.44	0-1
1935-09-22	Chicago Bears	W 7-0	1501.39	1522.74	42.68%	46.92%	+3.80	1-1
1935-09-29	New York Giants	W 16-7	1505.19	1520.78	43.50%	46.09%	+4.23	2-1
1935-10-06	Pittsburgh Pirates	W 27-0	1509.42	1461.86	52.47%	37.27%	+6.04	3-1
1935-10-13	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 0-3	1515.46	1494.81	46.82%	42.78%	-2.48	3-2
1935-10-20	Detroit Lions	W 13-9	1512.98	1529.99	43.30%	46.30%	+2.83	4-2
1935-10-27	@ Chicago Bears	W 17-14	1515.81	1535.21	41.11%	48.51%	+2.56	5-2
1935-11-10	Detroit Lions	W 31-7	1518.37	1532.85	43.66%	45.93%	+6.89	6-2
1935-11-17	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-20	1525.26	1525.96	43.75%	45.84%	-4.25	6-3
1935-11-24	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	W 34-14	1521.01	1459.63	52.57%	37.17%	+5.18	7-3
1935-11-28	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 7-9	1526.19	1499.53	47.68%	41.93%	-2.05	7-4
1935-12-08	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-6	1524.14	1462.41	52.62%	37.13%	+3.06	8-4
1935-09-22	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	W 42-7	1513.41	1474.01	49.49%	40.16%	+7.37	1-0
1935-09-29	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-16	1520.78	1505.19	46.09%	43.50%	-4.23	1-1
1935-10-06	@ Boston Redskins	W 20-12	1516.55	1501.14	46.07%	43.53%	+3.79	2-1
1935-10-13	Brooklyn Dodgers	W 10-7	1520.34	1484.85	50.79%	38.89%	+2.09	3-1
1935-10-20	Boston Redskins	W 17-6	1522.43	1493.28	49.89%	39.76%	+4.09	4-1
1935-10-27	Chicago Cardinals	L 13-14	1526.52	1494.23	50.34%	39.33%	-1.52	4-2
1935-11-03	Chicago Bears	L 3-20	1525.00	1532.65	44.64%	44.95%	-5.66	4-3
1935-11-17	@ Chicago Bears	W 3-0	1519.34	1542.98	40.52%	49.11%	+2.59	5-3
1935-11-24	Philadelphia Eagles	W 10-0	1521.93	1469.05	53.21%	36.56%	+3.61	6-3
1935-11-28	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	W 21-0	1525.54	1486.47	49.44%	40.20%	+5.72	7-3
1935-12-01	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-14	1531.26	1465.44	53.18%	36.58%	+3.02	8-3
1935-12-08	Pittsburgh Pirates	W 13-0	1534.28	1450.40	57.41%	32.60%	+3.70	9-3
1935-09-13	Pittsburgh Pirates	L 7-17	1493.70	1469.28	49.23%	40.41%	-4.73	0-1
1935-09-20	@ Detroit Lions	L 0-35	1488.97	1520.92	39.38%	50.29%	-7.24	0-2
1935-10-09	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	W 17-6	1481.73	1455.82	47.57%	42.04%	+4.31	1-2
1935-10-13	Chicago Bears	L 0-39	1486.04	1523.73	40.39%	49.25%	-7.82	1-3
1935-10-27	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	L 6-17	1478.22	1479.09	43.73%	45.86%	-4.46	1-4
1935-11-03	@ Boston Redskins	W 7-6	1473.76	1481.11	42.81%	46.79%	+1.43	2-4
1935-11-05	Brooklyn Dodgers	L 0-3	1475.19	1486.74	44.08%	45.51%	-2.35	2-5
1935-11-10	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 3-12	1472.84	1494.50	40.80%	48.83%	-3.79	2-6
1935-11-24	@ New York Giants	L 0-10	1469.05	1521.93	36.56%	53.21%	-3.61	2-7
1935-12-01	New York Giants	L 14-21	1465.44	1531.26	36.58%	53.18%	-3.03	2-8
1935-12-08	Green Bay Packers	L 6-13	1462.41	1524.14	37.13%	52.62%	-3.06	2-9
1935-09-13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-7	1469.28	1493.70	40.41%	49.23%	+4.73	1-0
1935-09-22	New York Giants	L 7-42	1474.01	1513.41	40.16%	49.49%	-7.37	1-1
1935-09-29	Chicago Bears	L 7-23	1466.64	1518.95	38.39%	51.30%	-4.78	1-2
1935-10-06	@ Green Bay Packers	L 0-27	1461.86	1509.42	37.27%	52.47%	-6.04	1-3
1935-10-09	Philadelphia Eagles	L 6-17	1455.82	1481.73	42.04%	47.57%	-4.30	1-4
1935-10-20	Chicago Cardinals	W 17-13	1451.52	1497.29	39.28%	50.39%	+3.06	2-4
1935-10-27	Boston Redskins	W 6-0	1454.58	1489.19	40.82%	48.81%	+3.64	3-4
1935-11-03	Brooklyn Dodgers	L 7-13	1458.22	1483.55	42.12%	47.49%	-3.19	3-5
1935-11-10	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	W 16-7	1455.03	1489.09	39.09%	50.59%	+4.60	4-5
1935-11-24	Green Bay Packers	L 14-34	1459.63	1521.01	37.17%	52.57%	-5.18	4-6
1935-12-01	@ Boston Redskins	L 3-13	1454.45	1471.77	41.40%	48.22%	-4.05	4-7
1935-12-08	@ New York Giants	L 0-13	1450.40	1534.28	32.60%	57.41%	-3.70	4-8

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1935-12-15	New York Giants	W 26-7	1541.08	1537.98	51.39%	48.61%	+5.82	1-0
1935-12-15	@ Detroit Lions	L 7-26	1537.98	1541.08	48.61%	51.39%	-5.83	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1935-11-10	39.09%	Pittsburgh Pirates	1455.03	16	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	1489.09	7
2	1935-10-20	39.28%	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	1451.52	17	Chicago Cardinals	1497.29	13
3	1935-10-06	39.33%	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	1482.69	12	Detroit Lions	1528.07	10
4	1935-10-27	39.33%	Chicago Cardinals	1494.23	14	@ New York Giants	1526.52	13
5	1935-09-13	40.41%	Pittsburgh Pirates	1469.28	17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1493.70	7
6	1935-11-17	40.52%	New York Giants	1519.34	3	@ Chicago Bears	1542.98	0
7	1935-10-27	40.82%	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	1454.58	6	Boston Redskins	1489.19	0
8	1935-10-27	41.11%	Green Bay Packers	1515.81	17	@ Chicago Bears	1535.21	14
9	1935-11-28	41.93%	@ Chicago Cardinals	1499.53	9	Green Bay Packers	1526.19	7
10	1935-09-15	42.50%	Chicago Cardinals	1493.29	7	@ Green Bay Packers	1502.83	6
11	1935-09-22	42.68%	@ Green Bay Packers	1501.39	7	Chicago Bears	1522.74	0
12	1935-10-13	42.78%	@ Chicago Cardinals	1494.81	3	Green Bay Packers	1515.46	0
13	1935-11-03	42.81%	Philadelphia Eagles	1473.76	7	@ Boston Redskins	1481.11	6
14	1935-10-20	43.30%	@ Green Bay Packers	1512.98	13	Detroit Lions	1529.99	9
15	1935-09-29	43.50%	@ Green Bay Packers	1505.19	16	New York Giants	1520.78	7
16	1935-11-10	43.66%	@ Green Bay Packers	1518.37	31	Detroit Lions	1532.85	7
17	1935-11-19	43.76%	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	1484.48	14	Chicago Cardinals	1498.29	12
18	1935-11-28	44.28%	@ Detroit Lions	1530.25	14	Chicago Bears	1540.36	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1935-10-13	7.82	Chicago Bears	39	1523.73	49.25%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	0	1486.04	40.39%
2	1935-09-22	7.37	New York Giants	42	1513.41	49.49%	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	7	1474.01	40.16%
3	1935-09-20	7.24	@ Detroit Lions	35	1520.92	50.29%	Philadelphia Eagles	0	1488.97	39.38%
4	1935-11-10	6.89	@ Green Bay Packers	31	1518.37	43.66%	Detroit Lions	7	1532.85	45.93%
5	1935-10-06	6.04	@ Green Bay Packers	27	1509.42	52.47%	Pittsburgh Pirates	0	1461.86	37.27%
6	1935-12-01	6.02	@ Detroit Lions	28	1535.06	53.41%	Brooklyn Dodgers	0	1480.75	36.37%
7	1935-12-15 *	5.83	@ Detroit Lions	26	1541.08	51.39%	New York Giants	7	1537.98	48.61%
8	1935-11-28	5.72	New York Giants	21	1525.54	49.44%	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	0	1486.47	40.20%
9	1935-11-03	5.66	Chicago Bears	20	1532.65	44.95%	@ New York Giants	3	1525.00	44.64%
10	1935-11-24	5.18	Green Bay Packers	34	1521.01	52.57%	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	14	1459.63	37.17%
11	1935-11-28	4.81	@ Detroit Lions	14	1530.25	44.28%	Chicago Bears	2	1540.36	45.31%
12	1935-09-29	4.78	Chicago Bears	23	1518.95	51.30%	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	7	1466.64	38.39%
13	1935-09-13	4.73	Pittsburgh Pirates	17	1469.28	40.41%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	7	1493.70	49.23%
14	1935-11-10	4.68	Chicago Bears	30	1538.30	52.19%	@ Boston Redskins	14	1479.68	37.54%
15	1935-11-10	4.61	Pittsburgh Pirates	16	1455.03	39.09%	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	7	1489.09	50.59%
16	1935-12-08	4.57	Chicago Bears	13	1535.47	48.69%	@ Chicago Cardinals	0	1501.66	40.93%
17	1935-10-27	4.46	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	17	1479.09	45.86%	Philadelphia Eagles	6	1478.22	43.73%
18	1935-10-30	4.44	@ Detroit Lions	14	1527.15	51.64%	Boston Redskins	0	1485.55	38.06%
19	1935-10-09	4.31	Philadelphia Eagles	17	1481.73	47.57%	@ Pittsburgh Pirates	6	1455.82	42.04%
20	1935-11-17	4.26	@ Detroit Lions	20	1525.96	45.84%	Green Bay Packers	10	1525.26	43.75%
21	1935-09-29	4.23	@ Green Bay Packers	16	1505.19	43.50%	New York Giants	7	1520.78	46.09%
22	1935-10-20	4.09	@ New York Giants	17	1522.43	49.89%	Boston Redskins	6	1493.28	39.76%
23	1935-10-13	4.08	Detroit Lions	17	1525.91	47.95%	@ Boston Redskins	7	1497.35	41.67%
24	1935-12-01	4.05	@ Boston Redskins	13	1471.77	48.22%	Pittsburgh Pirates	3	1454.45	41.40%
25	1935-09-22	3.80	@ Green Bay Packers	7	1501.39	42.68%	Chicago Bears	0	1522.74	46.92%