1968 AFL Season

70 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Oakland Raiders

1st Title

Runner-Up

Kansas City Chiefs

2nd Appearance

Last Appearance: 1967

Biggest Overachiever

New York Jets

2.66 wins above expected

11 wins · 8.34 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Buffalo Bills

4.67 wins below expected

1 wins · 6.17 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New York Jets	11	3	0	.786	—	419	280	+139	8.34	+2.66
2	Houston Oilers	7	7	0	.500	4	303	248	+55	7.48	-0.48
3	Miami Dolphins	5	8	1	.393	5.5	276	355	-79	5.48	+0.02
4	Boston Patriots	4	10	0	.286	7	229	406	-177	6.46	-2.46
5	Buffalo Bills	1	12	1	.107	9.5	199	367	-168	6.17	-4.67

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Kansas City Chiefs Division	12	2	.857	—	371	170	+201	9.43	+2.57
2	Oakland Raiders Playoffs	12	2	.857	—	453	233	+220	9.71	+2.29
3	San Diego Chargers	9	5	.643	3	382	310	+72	8.20	+0.80
4	Denver Broncos	5	9	.357	7	255	404	-149	5.70	-0.70
5	Cincinnati Bengals	3	11	.214	9	215	329	-114	3.02	-0.02

Playoff Bracket

AFL Championship Game

Oakland Raiders 41

Kansas City Chiefs 6

Dec 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Oakland Raiders	West	1682	12	9.71	+2.29	96.93%	3	7	8	10	11	12	14
Kansas City Chiefs	West	1672	12	9.43	+2.57	98.05%	3	6	8	9	10	12	14
New York Jets	East	1613	11	8.34	+2.66	97.17%	2	5	7	8	9	11	14
San Diego Chargers	West	1566	9	8.20	+0.80	79.24%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
Houston Oilers	East	1539	7	7.48	-0.48	53.58%	1	4	6	7	9	10	13
Denver Broncos	West	1422	5	5.70	-0.70	49.27%	0	3	4	6	7	8	13
Miami Dolphins	East	1413	5.5	5.48	+0.02	74.66%	0	3	4	5	7	8	12
Buffalo Bills	East	1410	1.5	6.17	-4.67	1.85%	0	3	5	6	7	9	13
Boston Patriots	East	1402	4	6.46	-2.46	15.75%	0	3	5	6	8	9	13
Cincinnati Bengals	West	1282	3	3.02	-0.02	67.96%	0	1	2	3	4	5	10

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	Patriots	Bills	Oilers	Dolphins	Jets
Boston Patriots	—	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Buffalo Bills	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Houston Oilers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-0-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
New York Jets	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Bengals	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Boston Patriots	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
Buffalo Bills	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
Houston Oilers	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
New York Jets	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)

Within West

Team	Bengals	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Cincinnati Bengals	—	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Denver Broncos	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	Patriots	Bills	Oilers	Dolphins	Jets
Cincinnati Bengals	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)
Denver Broncos	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	0.71%	0.71%	1.43%	1.43%	1.43%	1.43%	7.14%
7–13	0.71%	2.86%	2.14%	5.00%	5.00%	1.43%	0.71%	17.86%
14–20	0.71%	2.14%	5.71%	6.43%	2.14%	2.86%	1.43%	21.43%
21–27	1.43%	5.00%	6.43%	4.29%	2.14%	1.43%	2.14%	22.86%
28–34	1.43%	5.00%	2.14%	2.14%	2.86%	—	1.43%	15.00%
35–41	1.43%	1.43%	2.86%	1.43%	—	1.43%	—	8.57%
42+	1.43%	0.71%	1.43%	2.14%	1.43%	—	—	7.14%
Total	7.14%	17.86%	21.43%	22.86%	15.00%	8.57%	7.14%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.16	22.16	+0.00
SD	12.10	12.10	19.34
CV	0.55	0.55	—
Max	55	55	+45
Min	0	0	-45

Games Played: 70

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	21.43%
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	50.00%
21–27	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%	7.14%	14.29%	21.43%	21.43%	100%

Boston Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.36	29.00	-12.64
SD	8.76	14.64	17.95
CV	0.54	0.50	—
Max	33	48	+19
Min	0	6	-34

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	28.57%
7–13	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.14%	21.43%	28.57%	21.43%	14.29%	7.14%	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.21	26.21	-12.00
SD	10.42	10.10	12.42
CV	0.73	0.39	—
Max	37	48	+2
Min	6	13	-42

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
7–13	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	21.43%	—	—	35.71%
14–20	—	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
21–27	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	21.43%	7.14%	35.71%	35.71%	—	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.36	23.50	-8.14
SD	10.91	8.35	14.58
CV	0.71	0.36	—
Max	38	34	+17
Min	0	10	-34

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	28.57%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
21–27	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	14.29%	35.71%
28–34	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	14.29%	21.43%	7.14%	28.57%	7.14%	21.43%	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.21	28.86	-10.64
SD	10.12	14.21	17.65
CV	0.56	0.49	—
Max	35	55	+21
Min	2	7	-36

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	21.43%	—	—	—	21.43%
14–20	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
21–27	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	14.29%	14.29%	28.57%	35.71%	7.14%	—	—	100%

Houston Oilers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.64	17.71	+3.93
SD	11.94	8.94	17.92
CV	0.55	0.50	—
Max	45	30	+29
Min	7	0	-19

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
21–27	—	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	35.71%
28–34	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
35–41	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	28.57%	35.71%	21.43%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.50	12.14	+14.36
SD	9.60	10.08	15.89
CV	0.36	0.83	—
Max	48	38	+45
Min	13	2	-17

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
21–27	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	35.71%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	21.43%	14.29%	21.43%	14.29%	14.29%	14.29%	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.71	25.36	-5.64
SD	9.83	13.82	20.70
CV	0.50	0.54	—
Max	38	48	+31
Min	3	7	-45

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
35–41	—	—	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
42+	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
Total	—	14.29%	50.00%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.93	20.00	+9.93
SD	10.02	10.46	13.00
CV	0.33	0.52	—
Max	48	43	+34
Min	13	7	-11

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
28–34	7.14%	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	—	28.57%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
Total	14.29%	28.57%	7.14%	42.86%	7.14%	—	—	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	32.36	16.64	+15.71
SD	12.65	9.61	16.87
CV	0.39	0.58	—
Max	48	32	+42
Min	10	0	-14

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
21–27	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	7.14%	14.29%	21.43%	28.57%	14.29%	14.29%	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.29	22.14	+5.14
SD	12.80	10.35	18.65
CV	0.47	0.47	—
Max	55	40	+31
Min	3	6	-37

Games Played: 14

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New York Jets	11	8.34	+2.66
2	Kansas City Chiefs	12	9.43	+2.57
3	Oakland Raiders	12	9.71	+2.29
4	San Diego Chargers	9	8.20	+0.80
5	Miami Dolphins	5.5	5.48	+0.02

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Buffalo Bills	1.5	6.17	-4.67
2	Boston Patriots	4	6.46	-2.46
3	Denver Broncos	5	5.70	-0.70
4	Houston Oilers	7	7.48	-0.48
5	Cincinnati Bengals	3	3.02	-0.02

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cincinnati Bengals	2	Sep 15 – Sep 22	1 in 19
2	Oakland Raiders	8	Oct 27 – Dec 15	1 in 17
3	Kansas City Chiefs	6	Sep 22 – Oct 27	1 in 13
4	New York Jets	4	Oct 20 – Nov 10	1 in 9
5	Denver Broncos	2	Oct 6 – Oct 13	1 in 5

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Buffalo Bills	8	Oct 20 – Dec 7	1 in 80
2	Boston Patriots	5	Oct 27 – Nov 24	1 in 19
3	Denver Broncos	3	Sep 15 – Sep 29	1 in 11
4	Houston Oilers	3	Sep 21 – Oct 6	1 in 10
5	Oakland Raiders	2	Oct 13 – Oct 20	1 in 6

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4	5
New York Jets	46.63%	26.12%	14.85%	8.67%	3.73%
Houston Oilers	26.84%	27.44%	21.86%	15.09%	8.77%
Boston Patriots	12.22%	19.46%	23.07%	23.92%	21.33%
Buffalo Bills	9.58%	16.87%	22.67%	25.86%	25.02%
Miami Dolphins	4.73%	10.11%	17.55%	26.46%	41.15%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Oakland Raiders	45.83%	32.37%	18.01%	3.68%	0.11%
Kansas City Chiefs	37.89%	35.54%	21.46%	4.95%	0.16%
San Diego Chargers	14.99%	26.82%	42.14%	14.80%	1.25%
Denver Broncos	1.27%	5.13%	17.16%	63.20%	13.24%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.02%	0.14%	1.23%	13.37%	85.24%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Oakland Raiders	36.83%	23.23%	16.25%	10.51%	6.20%	3.68%	2.08%	0.90%	0.32%	—
Kansas City Chiefs	29.90%	24.34%	17.11%	11.48%	7.93%	5.09%	2.32%	1.28%	0.48%	0.07%
New York Jets	11.92%	16.65%	17.32%	16.34%	13.65%	10.00%	7.12%	4.39%	2.15%	0.46%
San Diego Chargers	11.38%	15.10%	16.68%	16.59%	14.11%	10.76%	7.80%	4.58%	2.51%	0.49%
Houston Oilers	5.76%	9.67%	13.34%	14.99%	15.34%	13.61%	12.03%	8.46%	5.53%	1.27%
Boston Patriots	1.63%	4.34%	7.08%	10.12%	13.32%	15.40%	15.43%	14.97%	12.87%	4.84%
Buffalo Bills	1.32%	3.20%	5.67%	8.57%	11.70%	15.07%	16.77%	17.25%	15.14%	5.31%
Denver Broncos	0.71%	1.94%	3.64%	6.03%	9.24%	12.69%	17.19%	20.57%	19.29%	8.70%
Miami Dolphins	0.53%	1.51%	2.85%	5.16%	7.93%	12.01%	15.69%	19.94%	23.15%	11.23%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.02%	0.02%	0.06%	0.21%	0.58%	1.69%	3.57%	7.66%	18.56%	67.63%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New York Jets	46.63%	53.37%
Houston Oilers	26.84%	73.16%
Boston Patriots	12.22%	87.78%
Buffalo Bills	9.58%	90.42%
Miami Dolphins	4.73%	95.27%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Oakland Raiders	45.83%	54.17%
Kansas City Chiefs	37.89%	62.11%
San Diego Chargers	14.99%	85.01%
Denver Broncos	1.27%	98.73%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.02%	99.98%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Championship Game
Oakland Raiders	45.83%	31.37%
Kansas City Chiefs	37.89%	25.65%
New York Jets	46.63%	20.75%
Houston Oilers	26.84%	8.51%
San Diego Chargers	14.99%	7.94%
Boston Patriots	12.22%	2.34%
Buffalo Bills	9.58%	1.99%
Miami Dolphins	4.73%	0.93%
Denver Broncos	1.27%	0.52%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.02%	—

Loser → ↓ Winner	Boston Patriots	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	San Diego Chargers
Boston Patriots			0.01%	0.05%		0.87%			0.95%	0.46%
Buffalo Bills				0.06%		0.69%			0.80%	0.44%
Denver Broncos	0.04%	0.06%			0.18%		0.04%	0.20%
Houston Oilers			0.01%	0.16%		2.52%			3.67%	2.15%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.91%	2.90%			6.75%		1.44%	10.65%
Miami Dolphins				0.02%		0.35%			0.36%	0.20%
New York Jets				0.46%		7.81%			8.68%	3.80%
Oakland Raiders	4.65%	3.55%			9.08%		1.73%	12.36%
San Diego Chargers	1.28%	1.08%			2.32%		0.59%	2.67%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Won Championship Game	Actual Outcome
Oakland Raiders	60.08%	Won Championship Game

Loser → ↓ Winner	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders
New York Jets		39.92%
Oakland Raiders	60.08%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Oakland Raiders 60.08% chance to win

Championship Game

vs. New York Jets

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

60.08%

New York Jets 39.92% chance to win

Championship Game

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.92%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1968-09-08	@ Buffalo Bills	W 16-7	1496.31	1522.01	45.30%	52.68%	+10.73	1-0
1968-09-22	New York Jets	L 31-47	1507.04	1546.48	43.35%	54.63%	-11.82	1-1
1968-09-29	@ Denver Broncos	W 20-17	1495.22	1435.72	57.44%	40.54%	+4.79	2-1
1968-10-06	@ Oakland Raiders	L 10-41	1500.01	1642.69	29.69%	68.29%	-11.32	2-2
1968-10-13	Houston Oilers	L 0-16	1488.69	1497.16	47.77%	50.21%	-13.00	2-3
1968-10-20	Buffalo Bills	W 23-6	1475.69	1477.30	48.76%	49.22%	+13.79	3-3
1968-10-27	@ New York Jets	L 14-48	1489.48	1553.19	39.96%	58.02%	-15.89	3-4
1968-11-03	Denver Broncos	L 14-35	1473.59	1443.38	53.32%	44.66%	-16.59	3-5
1968-11-10	San Diego Chargers	L 17-27	1457.00	1581.36	31.94%	66.04%	-6.91	3-6
1968-11-17	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-31	1450.09	1634.28	24.96%	73.03%	-6.41	3-7
1968-11-24	Miami Dolphins	L 10-34	1443.68	1389.67	56.68%	41.30%	-18.83	3-8
1968-12-01	Cincinnati Bengals	W 33-14	1424.85	1294.68	66.77%	31.22%	+9.32	4-8
1968-12-08	@ Miami Dolphins	L 7-38	1434.17	1401.25	53.70%	44.28%	-20.29	4-9
1968-12-15	@ Houston Oilers	L 17-45	1413.88	1526.77	33.39%	64.59%	-12.09	4-10
1968-09-08	Boston Patriots	L 7-16	1522.01	1496.31	52.68%	45.30%	-10.73	0-1
1968-09-15	Oakland Raiders	L 6-48	1511.28	1612.91	34.85%	63.13%	-15.44	0-2
1968-09-22	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 23-34	1495.84	1289.11	75.38%	22.60%	-16.93	0-3
1968-09-29	New York Jets	W 37-35	1478.91	1558.30	37.81%	60.17%	+5.76	1-3
1968-10-05	Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-18	1484.67	1616.22	31.05%	66.94%	-7.05	1-4
1968-10-12	@ Miami Dolphins	T 14-14	1477.62	1409.91	58.58%	39.40%	-0.32	1-4
1968-10-20	@ Boston Patriots	L 6-23	1477.30	1475.69	49.22%	48.76%	-13.79	1-5
1968-10-27	Houston Oilers	L 7-30	1463.51	1502.84	43.37%	54.61%	-14.17	1-6
1968-11-03	@ New York Jets	L 21-25	1449.34	1569.09	32.52%	65.46%	-4.45	1-7
1968-11-10	Miami Dolphins	L 17-21	1444.89	1400.73	55.29%	42.69%	-7.51	1-8
1968-11-17	San Diego Chargers	L 6-21	1437.38	1588.28	28.71%	69.27%	-7.62	1-9
1968-11-24	@ Denver Broncos	L 32-34	1429.76	1437.11	47.93%	50.05%	-4.61	1-10
1968-11-28	@ Oakland Raiders	L 10-13	1425.15	1669.69	19.02%	78.96%	-2.27	1-11
1968-12-07	@ Houston Oilers	L 6-35	1422.88	1513.40	36.32%	61.66%	-13.36	1-12
1968-09-06	@ San Diego Chargers	L 13-29	1275.00	1542.24	17.09%	80.90%	-4.71	0-1
1968-09-15	Denver Broncos	W 24-10	1270.29	1465.83	23.75%	74.23%	+18.82	1-1
1968-09-22	Buffalo Bills	W 34-23	1289.11	1495.84	22.60%	75.38%	+16.93	2-1
1968-09-29	San Diego Chargers	L 10-31	1306.04	1559.82	18.22%	79.77%	-5.75	2-2
1968-10-06	@ Denver Broncos	L 7-10	1300.29	1430.93	31.16%	66.82%	-3.69	2-3
1968-10-13	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-13	1296.60	1623.27	12.77%	85.22%	-2.79	2-4
1968-10-20	Miami Dolphins	L 22-24	1293.81	1410.23	32.94%	65.04%	-3.19	2-5
1968-10-27	@ Oakland Raiders	L 10-31	1290.62	1628.37	12.08%	85.92%	-3.82	2-6
1968-11-03	Houston Oilers	L 17-27	1286.80	1517.01	20.33%	77.66%	-4.42	2-7
1968-11-10	Kansas City Chiefs	L 9-16	1282.38	1632.21	11.36%	86.64%	-2.07	2-8
1968-11-17	@ Miami Dolphins	W 38-21	1280.31	1408.24	31.50%	66.49%	+18.56	3-8
1968-11-24	Oakland Raiders	L 0-34	1298.87	1665.49	10.42%	87.58%	-4.19	3-9
1968-12-01	@ Boston Patriots	L 14-33	1294.68	1424.85	31.22%	66.77%	-9.32	3-10
1968-12-08	@ New York Jets	L 14-27	1285.36	1600.78	13.51%	84.48%	-3.36	3-11
1968-09-15	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-24	1465.83	1270.29	74.23%	23.75%	-18.81	0-1
1968-09-22	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 2-34	1447.02	1594.36	29.13%	68.85%	-11.30	0-2
1968-09-29	Boston Patriots	L 17-20	1435.72	1495.22	40.54%	57.44%	-4.79	0-3
1968-10-06	Cincinnati Bengals	W 10-7	1430.93	1300.29	66.82%	31.16%	+3.70	1-3
1968-10-13	@ New York Jets	W 21-13	1434.63	1558.51	32.00%	65.98%	+12.64	2-3
1968-10-20	@ San Diego Chargers	L 24-55	1447.27	1572.23	31.87%	66.12%	-12.15	2-4
1968-10-27	Miami Dolphins	W 21-14	1435.12	1413.42	52.11%	45.87%	+8.26	3-4
1968-11-03	@ Boston Patriots	W 35-14	1443.38	1473.59	44.66%	53.32%	+16.59	4-4
1968-11-10	Oakland Raiders	L 7-43	1459.97	1646.49	24.71%	73.28%	-10.18	4-5
1968-11-17	@ Houston Oilers	L 17-38	1449.79	1509.07	40.57%	57.41%	-12.68	4-6
1968-11-24	Buffalo Bills	W 34-32	1437.11	1429.76	50.05%	47.93%	+4.61	5-6
1968-12-01	San Diego Chargers	L 23-47	1441.72	1579.43	30.29%	67.69%	-10.17	5-7
1968-12-08	@ Oakland Raiders	L 27-33	1431.55	1671.96	19.39%	78.59%	-3.27	5-8
1968-12-14	Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-30	1428.28	1665.87	19.65%	78.34%	-6.48	5-9
1968-09-09	Kansas City Chiefs	L 21-26	1532.81	1592.03	40.58%	57.40%	-6.19	0-1
1968-09-14	@ Miami Dolphins	W 24-10	1526.62	1418.24	64.01%	33.97%	+8.69	1-1
1968-09-21	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-30	1535.31	1546.95	47.32%	50.66%	-12.87	1-2
1968-09-29	Oakland Raiders	L 15-24	1522.44	1635.85	33.33%	64.66%	-6.84	1-3
1968-10-06	Miami Dolphins	L 7-24	1515.60	1391.47	66.01%	31.97%	-18.44	1-4
1968-10-13	@ Boston Patriots	W 16-0	1497.16	1488.69	50.21%	47.77%	+13.00	2-4
1968-10-20	New York Jets	L 14-20	1510.16	1545.87	43.88%	54.10%	-7.32	2-5
1968-10-27	@ Buffalo Bills	W 30-7	1502.84	1463.51	54.61%	43.37%	+14.17	3-5
1968-11-03	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-17	1517.01	1286.80	77.66%	20.33%	+4.42	4-5
1968-11-10	@ New York Jets	L 7-26	1521.43	1573.54	41.57%	56.41%	-12.36	4-6
1968-11-17	Denver Broncos	W 38-17	1509.07	1449.79	57.41%	40.57%	+12.69	5-6
1968-11-28	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-24	1521.76	1640.69	32.62%	65.36%	-8.36	5-7
1968-12-07	Buffalo Bills	W 35-6	1513.40	1422.88	61.66%	36.32%	+13.37	6-7
1968-12-15	Boston Patriots	W 45-17	1526.77	1413.88	64.59%	33.39%	+12.08	7-7
1968-09-09	@ Houston Oilers	W 26-21	1592.03	1532.81	57.40%	40.58%	+6.19	1-0
1968-09-15	New York Jets	L 19-20	1598.22	1542.62	56.90%	41.08%	-3.86	1-1
1968-09-22	Denver Broncos	W 34-2	1594.36	1447.02	68.85%	29.13%	+11.30	2-1
1968-09-28	@ Miami Dolphins	W 48-3	1605.66	1402.04	75.07%	22.92%	+10.56	3-1
1968-10-05	@ Buffalo Bills	W 18-7	1616.22	1484.67	66.94%	31.05%	+7.05	4-1
1968-10-13	Cincinnati Bengals	W 13-3	1623.27	1296.60	85.22%	12.77%	+2.79	5-1
1968-10-20	Oakland Raiders	W 24-10	1626.06	1641.38	46.79%	51.19%	+13.01	6-1
1968-10-27	San Diego Chargers	W 27-20	1639.07	1584.37	56.77%	41.21%	+7.43	7-1
1968-11-03	@ Oakland Raiders	L 21-38	1646.50	1632.19	51.05%	46.93%	-14.29	7-2
1968-11-10	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 16-9	1632.21	1282.38	86.64%	11.36%	+2.07	8-2
1968-11-17	Boston Patriots	W 31-17	1634.28	1450.09	73.03%	24.96%	+6.41	9-2
1968-11-28	Houston Oilers	W 24-10	1640.69	1521.76	65.36%	32.62%	+8.36	10-2
1968-12-08	@ San Diego Chargers	W 40-3	1649.05	1589.60	57.43%	40.55%	+16.82	11-2
1968-12-14	@ Denver Broncos	W 30-7	1665.87	1428.28	78.34%	19.65%	+6.48	12-2
1968-09-14	Houston Oilers	L 10-24	1418.24	1526.62	33.97%	64.01%	-8.70	0-1
1968-09-21	Oakland Raiders	L 21-47	1409.54	1628.35	21.41%	76.57%	-7.50	0-2
1968-09-28	Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-48	1402.04	1605.66	22.92%	75.07%	-10.57	0-3
1968-10-06	@ Houston Oilers	W 24-7	1391.47	1515.60	31.97%	66.01%	+18.44	1-3
1968-10-12	Buffalo Bills	T 14-14	1409.91	1477.62	39.40%	58.58%	+0.32	1-3
1968-10-20	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-22	1410.23	1293.81	65.04%	32.94%	+3.19	2-3
1968-10-27	@ Denver Broncos	L 14-21	1413.42	1435.12	45.87%	52.11%	-8.26	2-4
1968-11-03	@ San Diego Chargers	L 28-34	1405.16	1576.94	26.32%	71.67%	-4.43	2-5
1968-11-10	@ Buffalo Bills	W 21-17	1400.73	1444.89	42.69%	55.29%	+7.51	3-5
1968-11-17	Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-38	1408.24	1280.31	66.49%	31.50%	-18.57	3-6
1968-11-24	@ Boston Patriots	W 34-10	1389.67	1443.68	41.30%	56.68%	+18.83	4-6
1968-12-01	@ New York Jets	L 17-35	1408.50	1593.53	24.86%	73.12%	-7.25	4-7
1968-12-08	Boston Patriots	W 38-7	1401.25	1434.17	44.28%	53.70%	+20.30	5-7
1968-12-15	New York Jets	L 7-31	1421.55	1604.14	25.13%	72.86%	-8.46	5-8
1968-09-15	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-19	1542.62	1598.22	41.08%	56.90%	+3.86	1-0
1968-09-22	@ Boston Patriots	W 47-31	1546.48	1507.04	54.63%	43.35%	+11.82	2-0
1968-09-29	@ Buffalo Bills	L 35-37	1558.30	1478.91	60.17%	37.81%	-5.77	2-1
1968-10-05	San Diego Chargers	W 23-20	1552.53	1565.57	47.12%	50.86%	+5.98	3-1
1968-10-13	Denver Broncos	L 13-21	1558.51	1434.63	65.98%	32.00%	-12.64	3-2
1968-10-20	@ Houston Oilers	W 20-14	1545.87	1510.16	54.10%	43.88%	+7.32	4-2
1968-10-27	Boston Patriots	W 48-14	1553.19	1489.48	58.02%	39.96%	+15.90	5-2
1968-11-03	Buffalo Bills	W 25-21	1569.09	1449.34	65.46%	32.52%	+4.45	6-2
1968-11-10	Houston Oilers	W 26-7	1573.54	1521.43	56.41%	41.57%	+12.35	7-2
1968-11-17	@ Oakland Raiders	L 32-43	1585.89	1656.67	38.98%	59.00%	-8.82	7-3
1968-11-24	@ San Diego Chargers	W 37-15	1577.07	1595.90	46.29%	51.69%	+16.46	8-3
1968-12-01	Miami Dolphins	W 35-17	1593.53	1408.50	73.12%	24.86%	+7.25	9-3
1968-12-08	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-14	1600.78	1285.36	84.48%	13.51%	+3.36	10-3
1968-12-15	@ Miami Dolphins	W 31-7	1604.14	1421.55	72.86%	25.13%	+8.45	11-3
1968-09-15	@ Buffalo Bills	W 48-6	1612.91	1511.28	63.13%	34.85%	+15.44	1-0
1968-09-21	@ Miami Dolphins	W 47-21	1628.35	1409.54	76.57%	21.41%	+7.50	2-0
1968-09-29	@ Houston Oilers	W 24-15	1635.85	1522.44	64.66%	33.33%	+6.84	3-0
1968-10-06	Boston Patriots	W 41-10	1642.69	1500.01	68.29%	29.69%	+11.33	4-0
1968-10-13	San Diego Chargers	L 14-23	1654.02	1559.59	62.18%	35.80%	-12.64	4-1
1968-10-20	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-24	1641.38	1626.06	51.19%	46.79%	-13.01	4-2
1968-10-27	Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-10	1628.37	1290.62	85.92%	12.08%	+3.82	5-2
1968-11-03	Kansas City Chiefs	W 38-21	1632.19	1646.50	46.93%	51.05%	+14.30	6-2
1968-11-10	@ Denver Broncos	W 43-7	1646.49	1459.97	73.28%	24.71%	+10.18	7-2
1968-11-17	New York Jets	W 43-32	1656.67	1585.89	59.00%	38.98%	+8.82	8-2
1968-11-24	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-0	1665.49	1298.87	87.58%	10.42%	+4.20	9-2
1968-11-28	Buffalo Bills	W 13-10	1669.69	1425.15	78.96%	19.02%	+2.27	10-2
1968-12-08	Denver Broncos	W 33-27	1671.96	1431.55	78.59%	19.39%	+3.27	11-2
1968-12-15	@ San Diego Chargers	W 34-27	1675.23	1572.78	63.24%	34.74%	+6.28	12-2
1968-09-06	Cincinnati Bengals	W 29-13	1542.24	1275.00	80.90%	17.09%	+4.71	1-0
1968-09-21	Houston Oilers	W 30-14	1546.95	1535.31	50.66%	47.32%	+12.87	2-0
1968-09-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-10	1559.82	1306.04	79.77%	18.22%	+5.75	3-0
1968-10-05	@ New York Jets	L 20-23	1565.57	1552.53	50.86%	47.12%	-5.98	3-1
1968-10-13	@ Oakland Raiders	W 23-14	1559.59	1654.02	35.80%	62.18%	+12.64	4-1
1968-10-20	Denver Broncos	W 55-24	1572.23	1447.27	66.12%	31.87%	+12.14	5-1
1968-10-27	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-27	1584.37	1639.07	41.21%	56.77%	-7.43	5-2
1968-11-03	Miami Dolphins	W 34-28	1576.94	1405.16	71.67%	26.32%	+4.42	6-2
1968-11-10	@ Boston Patriots	W 27-17	1581.36	1457.00	66.04%	31.94%	+6.92	7-2
1968-11-17	@ Buffalo Bills	W 21-6	1588.28	1437.38	69.27%	28.71%	+7.62	8-2
1968-11-24	New York Jets	L 15-37	1595.90	1577.07	51.69%	46.29%	-16.47	8-3
1968-12-01	@ Denver Broncos	W 47-23	1579.43	1441.72	67.69%	30.29%	+10.17	9-3
1968-12-08	Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-40	1589.60	1649.05	40.55%	57.43%	-16.82	9-4
1968-12-15	Oakland Raiders	L 27-34	1572.78	1675.23	34.74%	63.24%	-6.29	9-5

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1968-12-22	@ Oakland Raiders	L 6-41	1672.35	1681.51	48.68%	51.32%	-19.18	0-1
1968-12-29	Oakland Raiders	W 27-23	1612.59	1700.69	37.59%	62.41%	+8.31	1-0
1968-12-22	Kansas City Chiefs	W 41-6	1681.51	1672.35	51.32%	48.68%	+19.18	1-0
1968-12-29	@ New York Jets	L 23-27	1700.69	1612.59	62.41%	37.59%	-8.31	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1968-09-22	22.60%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1289.11	34	Buffalo Bills	1495.84	23
2	1968-09-15	23.75%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1270.29	24	Denver Broncos	1465.83	10
3	1968-11-17	31.50%	Cincinnati Bengals	1280.31	38	@ Miami Dolphins	1408.24	21
4	1968-10-06	31.97%	Miami Dolphins	1391.47	24	@ Houston Oilers	1515.60	7
5	1968-10-13	32.00%	Denver Broncos	1434.63	21	@ New York Jets	1558.51	13
6	1968-10-13	35.80%	San Diego Chargers	1559.59	23	@ Oakland Raiders	1654.02	14
7	1968-12-29 *	37.59%	@ New York Jets	1612.59	27	Oakland Raiders	1700.69	23
8	1968-09-29	37.81%	@ Buffalo Bills	1478.91	37	New York Jets	1558.30	35
9	1968-09-15	41.08%	New York Jets	1542.62	20	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1598.22	19
10	1968-11-24	41.30%	Miami Dolphins	1389.67	34	@ Boston Patriots	1443.68	10
11	1968-11-10	42.69%	Miami Dolphins	1400.73	21	@ Buffalo Bills	1444.89	17
12	1968-12-08	44.28%	@ Miami Dolphins	1401.25	38	Boston Patriots	1434.17	7
13	1968-11-03	44.66%	Denver Broncos	1443.38	35	@ Boston Patriots	1473.59	14
14	1968-09-08	45.30%	Boston Patriots	1496.31	16	@ Buffalo Bills	1522.01	7
15	1968-11-24	46.29%	New York Jets	1577.07	37	@ San Diego Chargers	1595.90	15
16	1968-10-20	46.79%	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1626.06	24	Oakland Raiders	1641.38	10
17	1968-11-03	46.93%	@ Oakland Raiders	1632.19	38	Kansas City Chiefs	1646.50	21
18	1968-10-05	47.12%	@ New York Jets	1552.53	23	San Diego Chargers	1565.57	20
19	1968-10-20	48.76%	@ Boston Patriots	1475.69	23	Buffalo Bills	1477.30	6

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1968-12-08	20.30	@ Miami Dolphins	38	1401.25	44.28%	Boston Patriots	7	1434.17	53.70%
2	1968-12-22 *	19.18	@ Oakland Raiders	41	1681.51	51.32%	Kansas City Chiefs	6	1672.35	48.68%
3	1968-11-24	18.83	Miami Dolphins	34	1389.67	41.30%	@ Boston Patriots	10	1443.68	56.68%
4	1968-09-15	18.82	@ Cincinnati Bengals	24	1270.29	23.75%	Denver Broncos	10	1465.83	74.23%
5	1968-11-17	18.57	Cincinnati Bengals	38	1280.31	31.50%	@ Miami Dolphins	21	1408.24	66.49%
6	1968-10-06	18.44	Miami Dolphins	24	1391.47	31.97%	@ Houston Oilers	7	1515.60	66.01%
7	1968-09-22	16.93	@ Cincinnati Bengals	34	1289.11	22.60%	Buffalo Bills	23	1495.84	75.38%
8	1968-12-08	16.82	Kansas City Chiefs	40	1649.05	57.43%	@ San Diego Chargers	3	1589.60	40.55%
9	1968-11-03	16.59	Denver Broncos	35	1443.38	44.66%	@ Boston Patriots	14	1473.59	53.32%
10	1968-11-24	16.47	New York Jets	37	1577.07	46.29%	@ San Diego Chargers	15	1595.90	51.69%
11	1968-10-27	15.90	@ New York Jets	48	1553.19	58.02%	Boston Patriots	14	1489.48	39.96%
12	1968-09-15	15.44	Oakland Raiders	48	1612.91	63.13%	@ Buffalo Bills	6	1511.28	34.85%
13	1968-11-03	14.30	@ Oakland Raiders	38	1632.19	46.93%	Kansas City Chiefs	21	1646.50	51.05%
14	1968-10-27	14.17	Houston Oilers	30	1502.84	54.61%	@ Buffalo Bills	7	1463.51	43.37%
15	1968-10-20	13.79	@ Boston Patriots	23	1475.69	48.76%	Buffalo Bills	6	1477.30	49.22%
16	1968-12-07	13.37	@ Houston Oilers	35	1513.40	61.66%	Buffalo Bills	6	1422.88	36.32%
17	1968-10-20	13.01	@ Kansas City Chiefs	24	1626.06	46.79%	Oakland Raiders	10	1641.38	51.19%
18	1968-10-13	13.00	Houston Oilers	16	1497.16	50.21%	@ Boston Patriots	0	1488.69	47.77%
19	1968-09-21	12.87	@ San Diego Chargers	30	1546.95	50.66%	Houston Oilers	14	1535.31	47.32%
20	1968-11-17	12.69	@ Houston Oilers	38	1509.07	57.41%	Denver Broncos	17	1449.79	40.57%
21	1968-10-13	12.64	Denver Broncos	21	1434.63	32.00%	@ New York Jets	13	1558.51	65.98%
22	1968-10-13	12.64	San Diego Chargers	23	1559.59	35.80%	@ Oakland Raiders	14	1654.02	62.18%
23	1968-11-10	12.36	@ New York Jets	26	1573.54	56.41%	Houston Oilers	7	1521.43	41.57%
24	1968-10-20	12.15	@ San Diego Chargers	55	1572.23	66.12%	Denver Broncos	24	1447.27	31.87%
25	1968-12-15	12.09	@ Houston Oilers	45	1526.77	64.59%	Boston Patriots	17	1413.88	33.39%