1967 AFL Season

63 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Oakland Raiders

1st Title

Runner-Up

Houston Oilers

4th Appearance

Last Appearance: 1962

Biggest Overachiever

Oakland Raiders

4.81 wins above expected

13 wins · 8.19 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Buffalo Bills

3.44 wins below expected

4 wins · 7.44 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Houston Oilers Division	9	4	1	.679	—	258	199	+59	7.01	+2.49
2	New York Jets	8	5	1	.607	1	371	329	+42	7.48	+1.02
3	Buffalo Bills	4	10	0	.286	5.5	237	285	-48	7.44	-3.44
4	Miami Dolphins	4	10	0	.286	5.5	219	407	-188	4.11	-0.11
5	Boston Patriots	3	10	1	.250	6	280	389	-109	6.88	-3.38

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Oakland Raiders Division	13	1	0	.929	—	468	233	+235	8.19	+4.81
2	Kansas City Chiefs	9	5	0	.643	4	408	254	+154	8.41	+0.59
3	San Diego Chargers	8	5	1	.607	4.5	360	352	+8	8.22	+0.28
4	Denver Broncos	3	11	0	.214	10	256	409	-153	5.26	-2.26

Playoff Bracket

AFL Championship Game

Oakland Raiders 40

Houston Oilers 7

Dec 31

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Oakland Raiders	West	1625	13	8.19	+4.81	99.99%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
Kansas City Chiefs	West	1588	9	8.41	+0.59	76.52%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
San Diego Chargers	West	1525	8.5	8.22	+0.28	80.73%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
New York Jets	East	1525	8.5	7.48	+1.02	89.89%	1	4	6	7	8	10	14
Houston Oilers	East	1519	9.5	7.01	+2.49	98.40%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Buffalo Bills	East	1494	4	7.44	-3.44	6.45%	1	4	6	7	8	10	13
Boston Patriots	East	1456	3.5	6.88	-3.38	12.43%	0	4	5	7	8	10	13
Denver Broncos	West	1412	3	5.26	-2.26	20.42%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Miami Dolphins	East	1356	4	4.11	-0.11	66.09%	0	1	3	4	5	7	11

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	Patriots	Bills	Oilers	Dolphins	Jets
Boston Patriots	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Buffalo Bills	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Houston Oilers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
New York Jets	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Boston Patriots	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Buffalo Bills	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Houston Oilers	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)

Within West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	Patriots	Bills	Oilers	Dolphins	Jets
Denver Broncos	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-0-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	2.38%	0.79%	3.17%	—	0.79%	0.79%	7.94%
7–13	2.38%	—	2.38%	1.59%	1.59%	3.17%	1.59%	12.70%
14–20	0.79%	2.38%	9.52%	6.35%	2.38%	0.79%	2.38%	24.60%
21–27	3.17%	1.59%	6.35%	3.17%	3.17%	4.76%	0.79%	23.02%
28–34	—	1.59%	2.38%	3.17%	3.17%	1.59%	1.59%	13.49%
35–41	0.79%	3.17%	0.79%	4.76%	1.59%	—	—	11.11%
42+	0.79%	1.59%	2.38%	0.79%	1.59%	—	—	7.14%
Total	7.94%	12.70%	24.60%	23.02%	13.49%	11.11%	7.14%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.67	22.67	+0.00
SD	12.05	12.05	18.78
CV	0.53	0.53	—
Max	52	52	+51
Min	0	0	-51

Games Played: 63

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	14.29%
14–20	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%	28.57%
21–27	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	14.29%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	14.29%	—	14.29%	35.71%	14.29%	14.29%	100%

Boston Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.00	27.79	-7.79
SD	9.99	13.77	19.28
CV	0.50	0.50	—
Max	41	48	+31
Min	6	0	-34

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	21.43%	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	42.86%
21–27	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	14.29%	42.86%	28.57%	7.14%	7.14%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.93	20.36	-3.43
SD	11.93	6.71	14.29
CV	0.70	0.33	—
Max	44	37	+28
Min	0	10	-23

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
14–20	—	—	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	—	28.57%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	28.57%	—	42.86%
28–34	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.14%	21.43%	28.57%	—	28.57%	14.29%	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.29	29.21	-10.93
SD	8.53	12.82	17.13
CV	0.47	0.44	—
Max	33	52	+9
Min	0	10	-51

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	14.29%	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
14–20	7.14%	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
21–27	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.57%	14.29%	42.86%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	100%

Houston Oilers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.43	14.21	+4.21
SD	10.33	7.82	12.35
CV	0.56	0.55	—
Max	41	28	+31
Min	3	3	-12

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	42.86%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
35–41	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	14.29%	28.57%	21.43%	21.43%	—	—	14.29%	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.14	18.14	+11.00
SD	10.62	13.72	19.10
CV	0.36	0.76	—
Max	52	45	+43
Min	16	0	-22

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
7–13	—	—	—	—	7.14%	21.43%	—	28.57%
14–20	—	—	14.29%	—	14.29%	—	—	28.57%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	14.29%	28.57%	28.57%	28.57%	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.64	29.07	-13.43
SD	14.00	8.79	18.27
CV	0.90	0.30	—
Max	41	41	+17
Min	0	14	-41

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	21.43%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	42.86%
35–41	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	14.29%	21.43%	28.57%	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.50	23.50	+3.00
SD	8.94	10.28	13.36
CV	0.34	0.44	—
Max	42	42	+22
Min	7	7	-24

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
42+	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
Total	7.14%	21.43%	28.57%	35.71%	7.14%	—	—	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	33.43	16.64	+16.79
SD	12.39	8.19	17.18
CV	0.37	0.49	—
Max	51	29	+51
Min	14	0	-13

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	21.43%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
Total	14.29%	—	28.57%	14.29%	14.29%	14.29%	14.29%	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.71	25.14	+0.57
SD	10.01	15.10	18.21
CV	0.39	0.60	—
Max	45	51	+24
Min	10	0	-41

Games Played: 14

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Oakland Raiders	13	8.19	+4.81
2	Houston Oilers	9.5	7.01	+2.49
3	New York Jets	8.5	7.48	+1.02
4	Kansas City Chiefs	9	8.41	+0.59
5	San Diego Chargers	8.5	8.22	+0.28

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Buffalo Bills	4	7.44	-3.44
2	Boston Patriots	3.5	6.88	-3.38
3	Denver Broncos	3	5.26	-2.26
4	Miami Dolphins	4	4.11	-0.11
5	San Diego Chargers	8.5	8.22	+0.28

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Oakland Raiders	10	Oct 15 – Dec 24	1 in 315
2	Miami Dolphins	2	Dec 10 – Dec 17	1 in 10
3	San Diego Chargers	3	Sep 9 – Oct 1	1 in 6
4	New York Jets	3	Sep 24 – Oct 7	1 in 6
5	Kansas City Chiefs	3	Oct 29 – Nov 12	1 in 5

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Denver Broncos	9	Sep 10 – Nov 12	1 in 151
2	San Diego Chargers	4	Dec 3 – Dec 24	1 in 45
3	Boston Patriots	5	Nov 12 – Dec 17	1 in 44
4	Buffalo Bills	4	Nov 12 – Dec 3	1 in 28
5	Miami Dolphins	8	Sep 24 – Nov 19	1 in 13

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4	5
New York Jets	29.86%	25.61%	22.18%	17.08%	5.27%
Buffalo Bills	29.04%	25.15%	22.31%	17.54%	5.96%
Houston Oilers	20.05%	23.67%	24.85%	22.60%	8.83%
Boston Patriots	19.67%	22.24%	23.34%	24.56%	10.19%
Miami Dolphins	1.38%	3.33%	7.32%	18.22%	69.75%

Team	1	2	3	4
Kansas City Chiefs	36.31%	29.90%	25.52%	8.27%
San Diego Chargers	30.64%	31.68%	28.31%	9.37%
Oakland Raiders	30.48%	31.20%	28.35%	9.97%
Denver Broncos	2.57%	7.22%	17.82%	72.39%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Kansas City Chiefs	24.27%	18.24%	15.25%	12.50%	10.10%	8.58%	6.21%	3.50%	1.35%
San Diego Chargers	19.88%	17.41%	15.66%	13.88%	11.92%	9.26%	6.88%	3.62%	1.49%
Oakland Raiders	20.32%	17.52%	15.17%	13.36%	11.21%	9.70%	7.00%	4.20%	1.52%
New York Jets	11.55%	12.41%	13.72%	13.11%	13.94%	12.89%	11.68%	7.64%	3.06%
Buffalo Bills	9.73%	12.84%	13.17%	14.54%	14.27%	12.80%	11.18%	7.78%	3.69%
Houston Oilers	6.49%	9.42%	11.31%	13.10%	14.38%	15.04%	13.89%	10.70%	5.67%
Boston Patriots	6.39%	9.26%	10.76%	11.97%	13.52%	14.45%	15.16%	12.07%	6.42%
Denver Broncos	1.17%	2.36%	3.70%	5.60%	7.55%	11.59%	16.90%	27.35%	23.78%
Miami Dolphins	0.20%	0.54%	1.26%	1.94%	3.11%	5.69%	11.10%	23.14%	53.02%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New York Jets	29.86%	70.14%
Buffalo Bills	29.04%	70.96%
Houston Oilers	20.05%	79.95%
Boston Patriots	19.67%	80.33%
Miami Dolphins	1.38%	98.62%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Kansas City Chiefs	36.31%	63.69%
San Diego Chargers	30.64%	69.36%
Oakland Raiders	30.48%	69.52%
Denver Broncos	2.57%	97.43%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Championship Game
Kansas City Chiefs	36.31%	22.62%
Oakland Raiders	30.48%	20.63%
San Diego Chargers	30.64%	16.41%
New York Jets	29.86%	12.59%
Buffalo Bills	29.04%	11.36%
Houston Oilers	20.05%	8.44%
Boston Patriots	19.67%	6.80%
Denver Broncos	2.57%	0.80%
Miami Dolphins	1.38%	0.35%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Boston Patriots	Buffalo Bills	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	San Diego Chargers
Boston Patriots			0.34%		2.78%			1.51%	2.17%
Buffalo Bills			0.47%		4.04%			2.79%	4.06%
Denver Broncos	0.19%	0.24%		0.12%		0.01%	0.24%
Houston Oilers			0.43%		2.60%			2.35%	3.06%
Kansas City Chiefs	5.09%	6.40%		4.21%		0.34%	6.58%
Miami Dolphins					0.17%			0.08%	0.10%
New York Jets			0.53%		4.10%			3.12%	4.84%
Oakland Raiders	4.32%	5.93%		4.45%		0.37%	5.56%
San Diego Chargers	3.27%	5.11%		2.83%		0.31%	4.89%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Won Championship Game	Actual Outcome
Oakland Raiders	65.51%	Won Championship Game
Houston Oilers	34.49%	Eliminated in Championship Game

Loser → ↓ Winner	Houston Oilers	Oakland Raiders
Houston Oilers		34.49%
Oakland Raiders	65.51%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Oakland Raiders 65.51% chance to win

Championship Game

vs. Houston Oilers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

65.51%

Houston Oilers 34.49% chance to win

Championship Game

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.49%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1967-09-03	@ Denver Broncos	L 21-26	1521.31	1461.45	51.08%	45.03%	-5.96	0-1
1967-09-09	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-28	1515.35	1531.94	40.21%	55.91%	-7.93	0-2
1967-09-17	@ Oakland Raiders	L 7-35	1507.42	1538.00	38.29%	57.83%	-10.68	0-3
1967-09-24	@ Buffalo Bills	W 23-0	1496.74	1533.48	37.45%	58.67%	+14.64	1-3
1967-10-08	@ San Diego Chargers	T 31-31	1511.38	1557.47	36.20%	59.92%	+0.30	1-3
1967-10-15	Miami Dolphins	W 41-10	1511.68	1366.08	71.92%	24.24%	+7.20	2-3
1967-10-22	Oakland Raiders	L 14-48	1518.88	1548.15	49.42%	46.69%	-15.07	2-4
1967-10-29	@ New York Jets	L 23-30	1503.81	1532.80	38.50%	57.61%	-5.37	2-5
1967-11-05	Houston Oilers	W 18-7	1498.44	1502.08	53.07%	43.04%	+7.50	3-5
1967-11-12	Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-33	1505.94	1572.34	44.10%	52.01%	-11.10	3-6
1967-11-19	New York Jets	L 24-29	1494.84	1534.59	47.91%	48.20%	-5.61	3-7
1967-11-26	@ Houston Oilers	L 6-27	1489.23	1497.67	41.34%	54.77%	-9.97	3-8
1967-12-09	Buffalo Bills	L 16-44	1479.26	1483.23	53.03%	43.09%	-14.64	3-9
1967-12-17	@ Miami Dolphins	L 32-41	1464.62	1356.85	57.79%	38.33%	-9.02	3-10
1967-09-10	New York Jets	W 20-17	1543.59	1505.07	58.91%	37.21%	+3.41	1-0
1967-09-17	Houston Oilers	L 3-20	1547.00	1477.07	63.03%	33.09%	-13.52	1-1
1967-09-24	Boston Patriots	L 0-23	1533.48	1496.74	58.67%	37.45%	-14.64	1-2
1967-10-01	San Diego Chargers	L 17-37	1518.84	1545.84	49.74%	46.36%	-11.63	1-3
1967-10-08	@ Denver Broncos	W 17-16	1507.21	1431.17	53.38%	42.73%	+2.25	2-3
1967-10-15	Oakland Raiders	L 20-24	1509.46	1543.05	48.80%	47.31%	-5.11	2-4
1967-10-29	@ Houston Oilers	L 3-10	1504.35	1496.01	43.70%	52.41%	-6.07	2-5
1967-11-05	Miami Dolphins	W 35-13	1498.28	1351.79	72.01%	24.15%	+6.04	3-5
1967-11-12	@ New York Jets	L 10-20	1504.32	1528.05	39.22%	56.89%	-6.53	3-6
1967-11-19	Denver Broncos	L 20-21	1497.79	1406.07	65.76%	30.37%	-3.42	3-7
1967-11-26	@ Miami Dolphins	L 14-17	1494.37	1337.91	64.18%	31.95%	-5.78	3-8
1967-12-03	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-23	1488.59	1567.53	31.95%	64.18%	-5.36	3-9
1967-12-09	@ Boston Patriots	W 44-16	1483.23	1479.26	43.09%	53.03%	+14.64	4-9
1967-12-24	@ Oakland Raiders	L 21-28	1497.87	1620.93	26.70%	69.45%	-3.76	4-10
1967-09-03	Boston Patriots	W 26-21	1461.45	1521.31	45.03%	51.08%	+5.96	1-0
1967-09-10	@ Oakland Raiders	L 0-51	1467.41	1524.89	34.70%	61.43%	-13.11	1-1
1967-09-17	@ Miami Dolphins	L 21-35	1454.30	1376.74	53.59%	42.52%	-10.45	1-2
1967-09-24	New York Jets	L 24-38	1443.85	1501.66	45.32%	50.79%	-8.90	1-3
1967-10-01	@ Houston Oilers	L 6-10	1434.95	1484.61	35.72%	60.40%	-3.78	1-4
1967-10-08	Buffalo Bills	L 16-17	1431.17	1507.21	42.73%	53.38%	-2.24	1-5
1967-10-22	San Diego Chargers	L 21-38	1428.93	1565.86	34.45%	61.68%	-7.52	1-6
1967-10-29	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 9-52	1421.41	1553.23	25.72%	70.43%	-8.99	1-7
1967-11-05	Oakland Raiders	L 17-21	1412.42	1578.00	30.82%	65.31%	-3.27	1-8
1967-11-12	Houston Oilers	L 18-20	1409.15	1494.58	41.41%	54.70%	-3.08	1-9
1967-11-19	@ Buffalo Bills	W 21-20	1406.07	1497.79	30.37%	65.76%	+3.42	2-9
1967-11-23	@ San Diego Chargers	L 20-24	1409.49	1566.22	23.08%	73.08%	-2.47	2-10
1967-12-03	@ New York Jets	W 33-24	1407.02	1540.20	25.58%	70.58%	+11.00	3-10
1967-12-17	Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-38	1418.02	1582.16	31.00%	65.13%	-6.15	3-11
1967-09-09	Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-25	1482.18	1552.83	43.49%	52.62%	-5.11	0-1
1967-09-17	@ Buffalo Bills	W 20-3	1477.07	1547.00	33.09%	63.03%	+13.52	1-1
1967-09-24	@ San Diego Chargers	L 3-13	1490.59	1539.86	35.77%	60.35%	-5.98	1-2
1967-10-01	Denver Broncos	W 10-6	1484.61	1434.95	60.40%	35.72%	+3.77	2-2
1967-10-15	@ New York Jets	T 28-28	1488.38	1525.97	37.34%	58.78%	+0.27	2-2
1967-10-22	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 24-19	1488.65	1560.59	32.84%	63.29%	+7.36	3-2
1967-10-29	Buffalo Bills	W 10-3	1496.01	1504.35	52.41%	43.70%	+6.07	4-2
1967-11-05	@ Boston Patriots	L 7-18	1502.08	1498.44	43.04%	53.07%	-7.50	4-3
1967-11-12	@ Denver Broncos	W 20-18	1494.58	1409.15	54.70%	41.41%	+3.09	5-3
1967-11-26	Boston Patriots	W 27-6	1497.67	1489.23	54.77%	41.34%	+9.96	6-3
1967-12-03	Miami Dolphins	W 17-14	1507.63	1343.69	73.81%	22.35%	+2.07	7-3
1967-12-10	Oakland Raiders	L 7-19	1509.70	1608.97	39.49%	56.62%	-7.21	7-4
1967-12-16	San Diego Chargers	W 24-17	1502.49	1541.88	47.96%	48.14%	+6.67	8-4
1967-12-23	@ Miami Dolphins	W 41-10	1509.16	1365.88	62.50%	33.62%	+9.91	9-4
1967-09-09	@ Houston Oilers	W 25-20	1552.83	1482.18	52.62%	43.49%	+5.11	1-0
1967-09-24	@ Miami Dolphins	W 24-0	1557.94	1387.20	65.94%	30.19%	+7.86	2-0
1967-10-01	@ Oakland Raiders	L 21-23	1565.80	1548.68	44.95%	51.16%	-3.34	2-1
1967-10-08	Miami Dolphins	W 41-0	1562.46	1372.90	76.28%	19.90%	+6.82	3-1
1967-10-15	@ San Diego Chargers	L 31-45	1569.28	1557.17	44.24%	51.87%	-8.69	3-2
1967-10-22	Houston Oilers	L 19-24	1560.59	1488.65	63.29%	32.84%	-7.36	3-3
1967-10-29	Denver Broncos	W 52-9	1553.23	1421.41	70.43%	25.72%	+8.99	4-3
1967-11-05	New York Jets	W 42-18	1562.22	1538.17	56.94%	39.18%	+10.12	5-3
1967-11-12	@ Boston Patriots	W 33-10	1572.34	1505.94	52.01%	44.10%	+11.10	6-3
1967-11-19	San Diego Chargers	L 16-17	1583.44	1563.28	56.40%	39.71%	-2.93	6-4
1967-11-23	Oakland Raiders	L 22-44	1580.51	1584.42	53.03%	43.08%	-12.98	6-5
1967-12-03	Buffalo Bills	W 23-13	1567.53	1488.59	64.18%	31.95%	+5.36	7-5
1967-12-10	@ New York Jets	W 21-7	1572.89	1529.20	48.76%	47.35%	+9.27	8-5
1967-12-17	@ Denver Broncos	W 38-24	1582.16	1418.02	65.13%	31.00%	+6.16	9-5
1967-09-17	Denver Broncos	W 35-21	1376.74	1454.30	42.52%	53.59%	+10.46	1-0
1967-09-24	Kansas City Chiefs	L 0-24	1387.20	1557.94	30.19%	65.94%	-7.85	1-1
1967-10-01	@ New York Jets	L 7-29	1379.35	1510.56	25.79%	70.36%	-6.45	1-2
1967-10-08	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 0-41	1372.90	1562.46	19.90%	76.28%	-6.82	1-3
1967-10-15	@ Boston Patriots	L 10-41	1366.08	1511.68	24.24%	71.92%	-7.20	1-4
1967-10-22	New York Jets	L 14-33	1358.88	1525.70	30.67%	65.46%	-7.09	1-5
1967-11-05	@ Buffalo Bills	L 13-35	1351.79	1498.28	24.15%	72.01%	-6.05	1-6
1967-11-12	@ San Diego Chargers	L 0-24	1345.74	1558.59	17.85%	78.35%	-4.68	1-7
1967-11-19	@ Oakland Raiders	L 17-31	1341.06	1581.27	15.66%	80.56%	-3.15	1-8
1967-11-26	Buffalo Bills	W 17-14	1337.91	1494.37	31.95%	64.18%	+5.78	2-8
1967-12-03	@ Houston Oilers	L 14-17	1343.69	1507.63	22.35%	73.81%	-2.07	2-9
1967-12-10	San Diego Chargers	W 41-24	1341.62	1557.11	25.05%	71.10%	+15.23	3-9
1967-12-17	Boston Patriots	W 41-32	1356.85	1464.62	38.33%	57.79%	+9.03	4-9
1967-12-23	Houston Oilers	L 10-41	1365.88	1509.16	33.62%	62.50%	-9.92	4-10
1967-09-10	@ Buffalo Bills	L 17-20	1505.07	1543.59	37.21%	58.91%	-3.41	0-1
1967-09-24	@ Denver Broncos	W 38-24	1501.66	1443.85	50.79%	45.32%	+8.90	1-1
1967-10-01	Miami Dolphins	W 29-7	1510.56	1379.35	70.36%	25.79%	+6.44	2-1
1967-10-07	Oakland Raiders	W 27-14	1517.00	1552.02	48.59%	47.52%	+8.97	3-1
1967-10-15	Houston Oilers	T 28-28	1525.97	1488.38	58.78%	37.34%	-0.27	3-1
1967-10-22	@ Miami Dolphins	W 33-14	1525.70	1358.88	65.46%	30.67%	+7.10	4-1
1967-10-29	Boston Patriots	W 30-23	1532.80	1503.81	57.61%	38.50%	+5.37	5-1
1967-11-05	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 18-42	1538.17	1562.22	39.18%	56.94%	-10.12	5-2
1967-11-12	Buffalo Bills	W 20-10	1528.05	1504.32	56.89%	39.22%	+6.54	6-2
1967-11-19	@ Boston Patriots	W 29-24	1534.59	1494.84	48.20%	47.91%	+5.61	7-2
1967-12-03	Denver Broncos	L 24-33	1540.20	1407.02	70.58%	25.58%	-11.00	7-3
1967-12-10	Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-21	1529.20	1572.89	47.35%	48.76%	-9.28	7-4
1967-12-17	@ Oakland Raiders	L 29-38	1519.92	1616.18	29.82%	66.31%	-4.75	7-5
1967-12-24	@ San Diego Chargers	W 42-31	1515.17	1535.21	39.73%	56.38%	+9.74	8-5
1967-09-10	Denver Broncos	W 51-0	1524.89	1467.41	61.43%	34.70%	+13.11	1-0
1967-09-17	Boston Patriots	W 35-7	1538.00	1507.42	57.83%	38.29%	+10.68	2-0
1967-10-01	Kansas City Chiefs	W 23-21	1548.68	1565.80	51.16%	44.95%	+3.34	3-0
1967-10-07	@ New York Jets	L 14-27	1552.02	1517.00	47.52%	48.59%	-8.97	3-1
1967-10-15	@ Buffalo Bills	W 24-20	1543.05	1509.46	47.31%	48.80%	+5.10	4-1
1967-10-22	@ Boston Patriots	W 48-14	1548.15	1518.88	46.69%	49.42%	+15.07	5-1
1967-10-29	San Diego Chargers	W 51-10	1563.22	1573.37	52.15%	43.96%	+14.78	6-1
1967-11-05	@ Denver Broncos	W 21-17	1578.00	1412.42	65.31%	30.82%	+3.27	7-1
1967-11-19	Miami Dolphins	W 31-17	1581.27	1341.06	80.56%	15.66%	+3.15	8-1
1967-11-23	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 44-22	1584.42	1580.51	43.08%	53.03%	+12.97	9-1
1967-12-03	@ San Diego Chargers	W 41-21	1597.39	1568.68	46.61%	49.50%	+11.58	10-1
1967-12-10	@ Houston Oilers	W 19-7	1608.97	1509.70	56.62%	39.49%	+7.21	11-1
1967-12-17	New York Jets	W 38-29	1616.18	1519.92	66.31%	29.82%	+4.75	12-1
1967-12-24	Buffalo Bills	W 28-21	1620.93	1497.87	69.45%	26.70%	+3.76	13-1
1967-09-09	Boston Patriots	W 28-14	1531.94	1515.35	55.91%	40.21%	+7.92	1-0
1967-09-24	Houston Oilers	W 13-3	1539.86	1490.59	60.35%	35.77%	+5.98	2-0
1967-10-01	@ Buffalo Bills	W 37-17	1545.84	1518.84	46.36%	49.74%	+11.63	3-0
1967-10-08	Boston Patriots	T 31-31	1557.47	1511.38	59.92%	36.20%	-0.30	3-0
1967-10-15	Kansas City Chiefs	W 45-31	1557.17	1569.28	51.87%	44.24%	+8.69	4-0
1967-10-22	@ Denver Broncos	W 38-21	1565.86	1428.93	61.68%	34.45%	+7.51	5-0
1967-10-29	@ Oakland Raiders	L 10-51	1573.37	1563.22	43.96%	52.15%	-14.78	5-1
1967-11-12	Miami Dolphins	W 24-0	1558.59	1345.74	78.35%	17.85%	+4.69	6-1
1967-11-19	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-16	1563.28	1583.44	39.71%	56.40%	+2.94	7-1
1967-11-23	Denver Broncos	W 24-20	1566.22	1409.49	73.08%	23.08%	+2.46	8-1
1967-12-03	Oakland Raiders	L 21-41	1568.68	1597.39	49.50%	46.61%	-11.57	8-2
1967-12-10	@ Miami Dolphins	L 24-41	1557.11	1341.62	71.10%	25.05%	-15.23	8-3
1967-12-16	@ Houston Oilers	L 17-24	1541.88	1502.49	48.14%	47.96%	-6.67	8-4
1967-12-24	New York Jets	L 31-42	1535.21	1515.17	56.38%	39.73%	-9.74	8-5

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1967-12-31	@ Oakland Raiders	L 7-40	1519.07	1624.69	30.34%	69.66%	-8.77	0-1
1967-12-31	Houston Oilers	W 40-7	1624.69	1519.07	69.66%	30.34%	+8.77	1-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1967-12-10	25.05%	@ Miami Dolphins	1341.62	41	San Diego Chargers	1557.11	24
2	1967-12-03	25.58%	Denver Broncos	1407.02	33	@ New York Jets	1540.20	24
3	1967-11-19	30.37%	Denver Broncos	1406.07	21	@ Buffalo Bills	1497.79	20
4	1967-11-26	31.95%	@ Miami Dolphins	1337.91	17	Buffalo Bills	1494.37	14
5	1967-10-22	32.84%	Houston Oilers	1488.65	24	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1560.59	19
6	1967-09-17	33.09%	Houston Oilers	1477.07	20	@ Buffalo Bills	1547.00	3
7	1967-09-24	37.45%	Boston Patriots	1496.74	23	@ Buffalo Bills	1533.48	0
8	1967-12-17	38.33%	@ Miami Dolphins	1356.85	41	Boston Patriots	1464.62	32
9	1967-11-19	39.71%	San Diego Chargers	1563.28	17	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1583.44	16
10	1967-12-24	39.73%	New York Jets	1515.17	42	@ San Diego Chargers	1535.21	31
11	1967-09-17	42.52%	@ Miami Dolphins	1376.74	35	Denver Broncos	1454.30	21
12	1967-11-23	43.08%	Oakland Raiders	1584.42	44	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1580.51	22
13	1967-12-09	43.09%	Buffalo Bills	1483.23	44	@ Boston Patriots	1479.26	16
14	1967-09-03	45.03%	@ Denver Broncos	1461.45	26	Boston Patriots	1521.31	21
15	1967-10-01	46.36%	San Diego Chargers	1545.84	37	@ Buffalo Bills	1518.84	17
16	1967-12-03	46.61%	Oakland Raiders	1597.39	41	@ San Diego Chargers	1568.68	21
17	1967-10-22	46.69%	Oakland Raiders	1548.15	48	@ Boston Patriots	1518.88	14
18	1967-10-15	47.31%	Oakland Raiders	1543.05	24	@ Buffalo Bills	1509.46	20
19	1967-12-16	47.96%	@ Houston Oilers	1502.49	24	San Diego Chargers	1541.88	17

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1967-12-10	15.23	@ Miami Dolphins	41	1341.62	25.05%	San Diego Chargers	24	1557.11	71.10%
2	1967-10-22	15.07	Oakland Raiders	48	1548.15	46.69%	@ Boston Patriots	14	1518.88	49.42%
3	1967-10-29	14.78	@ Oakland Raiders	51	1563.22	52.15%	San Diego Chargers	10	1573.37	43.96%
4	1967-09-24	14.64	Boston Patriots	23	1496.74	37.45%	@ Buffalo Bills	0	1533.48	58.67%
5	1967-12-09	14.64	Buffalo Bills	44	1483.23	43.09%	@ Boston Patriots	16	1479.26	53.03%
6	1967-09-17	13.52	Houston Oilers	20	1477.07	33.09%	@ Buffalo Bills	3	1547.00	63.03%
7	1967-09-10	13.11	@ Oakland Raiders	51	1524.89	61.43%	Denver Broncos	0	1467.41	34.70%
8	1967-11-23	12.98	Oakland Raiders	44	1584.42	43.08%	@ Kansas City Chiefs	22	1580.51	53.03%
9	1967-10-01	11.63	San Diego Chargers	37	1545.84	46.36%	@ Buffalo Bills	17	1518.84	49.74%
10	1967-12-03	11.58	Oakland Raiders	41	1597.39	46.61%	@ San Diego Chargers	21	1568.68	49.50%
11	1967-11-12	11.10	Kansas City Chiefs	33	1572.34	52.01%	@ Boston Patriots	10	1505.94	44.10%
12	1967-12-03	11.00	Denver Broncos	33	1407.02	25.58%	@ New York Jets	24	1540.20	70.58%
13	1967-09-17	10.68	@ Oakland Raiders	35	1538.00	57.83%	Boston Patriots	7	1507.42	38.29%
14	1967-09-17	10.46	@ Miami Dolphins	35	1376.74	42.52%	Denver Broncos	21	1454.30	53.59%
15	1967-11-05	10.12	@ Kansas City Chiefs	42	1562.22	56.94%	New York Jets	18	1538.17	39.18%
16	1967-11-26	9.97	@ Houston Oilers	27	1497.67	54.77%	Boston Patriots	6	1489.23	41.34%
17	1967-12-23	9.92	Houston Oilers	41	1509.16	62.50%	@ Miami Dolphins	10	1365.88	33.62%
18	1967-12-24	9.74	New York Jets	42	1515.17	39.73%	@ San Diego Chargers	31	1535.21	56.38%
19	1967-12-10	9.28	Kansas City Chiefs	21	1572.89	48.76%	@ New York Jets	7	1529.20	47.35%
20	1967-12-17	9.03	@ Miami Dolphins	41	1356.85	38.33%	Boston Patriots	32	1464.62	57.79%
21	1967-10-29	8.99	@ Kansas City Chiefs	52	1553.23	70.43%	Denver Broncos	9	1421.41	25.72%
22	1967-10-07	8.97	@ New York Jets	27	1517.00	48.59%	Oakland Raiders	14	1552.02	47.52%
23	1967-09-24	8.90	New York Jets	38	1501.66	50.79%	@ Denver Broncos	24	1443.85	45.32%
24	1967-12-31 *	8.77	@ Oakland Raiders	40	1624.69	69.66%	Houston Oilers	7	1519.07	30.34%
25	1967-10-15	8.69	@ San Diego Chargers	45	1557.17	51.87%	Kansas City Chiefs	31	1569.28	44.24%