1962 AFL Season

56 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Dallas Texans

1st Title

Runner-Up

Houston Oilers

3rd Appearance

Last Appearance: 1961

Biggest Overachiever

Dallas Texans

3.43 wins above expected

11 wins · 7.57 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Oakland Raiders

4.84 wins below expected

1 wins · 5.84 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Houston Oilers Division	11	3	0	.786	—	387	270	+117	7.98	+3.02
2	Boston Patriots	9	4	1	.679	1.5	346	295	+51	7.50	+2.00
3	Buffalo Bills	7	6	1	.536	3.5	309	272	+37	6.76	+0.74
4	New York Titans	5	9	0	.357	6	278	423	-145	6.50	-1.50

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Dallas Texans Division	11	3	.786	—	389	233	+156	7.57	+3.43
2	Denver Broncos	7	7	.500	4	353	334	+19	6.74	+0.26
3	San Diego Chargers	4	10	.286	7	314	392	-78	7.12	-3.12
4	Oakland Raiders	1	13	.071	10	213	370	-157	5.84	-4.84

Playoff Bracket

AFL Championship Game

Dallas Texans 20

Houston Oilers 17

Dec 23

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Houston Oilers	East	1561	11	7.98	+3.02	97.96%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
Dallas Texans	West	1546	11	7.57	+3.43	98.94%	0	4	6	7	9	10	14
Boston Patriots	East	1523	9.5	7.50	+2.00	95.98%	0	4	6	7	9	10	14
Buffalo Bills	East	1507	7.5	6.76	+0.74	84.74%	0	4	5	7	8	10	13
San Diego Chargers	West	1486	4	7.12	-3.12	9.20%	1	4	6	7	8	10	13
Denver Broncos	West	1485	7	6.74	+0.26	68.76%	0	4	5	7	8	10	13
New York Titans	East	1462	5	6.50	-1.50	32.89%	1	3	5	6	8	9	12
Oakland Raiders	West	1431	1	5.84	-4.84	0.73%	0	3	4	6	7	9	13

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	Patriots	Bills	Oilers	Titans
Boston Patriots	—	1-0-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Buffalo Bills	0-1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Houston Oilers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
New York Titans	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Texans	Broncos	Raiders	Chargers
Boston Patriots	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Buffalo Bills	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Houston Oilers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
New York Titans	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)

Within West

Team	Texans	Broncos	Raiders	Chargers
Dallas Texans	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Denver Broncos	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	Patriots	Bills	Oilers	Titans
Dallas Texans	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Denver Broncos	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	0.89%	4.46%	2.68%	—	—	—	8.04%
7–13	0.89%	—	1.79%	1.79%	1.79%	1.79%	1.79%	9.82%
14–20	4.46%	1.79%	5.36%	8.04%	3.57%	2.68%	2.68%	28.57%
21–27	2.68%	1.79%	8.04%	—	5.36%	0.89%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	1.79%	3.57%	5.36%	5.36%	—	2.68%	18.75%
35–41	—	1.79%	2.68%	0.89%	—	—	0.89%	6.25%
42+	—	1.79%	2.68%	—	2.68%	0.89%	1.79%	9.82%
Total	8.04%	9.82%	28.57%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	9.82%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.12	23.12	+0.00
SD	11.83	11.83	16.64
CV	0.51	0.51	—
Max	56	56	+39
Min	0	0	-39

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	7.14%	21.43%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	7.14%	28.57%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	7.14%	50.00%	21.43%	14.29%	—	7.14%	100%

Boston Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.71	21.07	+3.64
SD	11.76	8.21	14.67
CV	0.48	0.39	—
Max	43	42	+29
Min	0	10	-20

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
Total	21.43%	7.14%	28.57%	14.29%	14.29%	14.29%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.07	19.43	+2.64
SD	11.57	11.55	12.74
CV	0.52	0.59	—
Max	45	41	+25
Min	6	3	-20

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
21–27	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	14.29%
Total	7.14%	28.57%	28.57%	14.29%	21.43%	—	—	100%

Dallas Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.79	16.64	+11.14
SD	12.05	9.39	12.09
CV	0.43	0.56	—
Max	52	32	+28
Min	6	3	-9

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	21.43%
21–27	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
42+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
Total	7.14%	21.43%	21.43%	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	14.29%	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.21	23.86	+1.36
SD	12.12	13.84	17.06
CV	0.48	0.58	—
Max	45	46	+37
Min	3	6	-25

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
14–20	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	—	21.43%	14.29%	—	—	—	35.71%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
Total	7.14%	7.14%	57.14%	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	100%

Houston Oilers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.64	19.29	+8.36
SD	13.84	7.57	17.31
CV	0.50	0.39	—
Max	56	34	+39
Min	7	6	-24

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	14.29%
14–20	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	14.29%	42.86%
21–27	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	21.43%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
Total	14.29%	—	21.43%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	35.71%	100%

New York Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.86	30.21	-10.36
SD	11.05	16.74	19.03
CV	0.56	0.55	—
Max	46	56	+20
Min	3	3	-39

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%
14–20	7.14%	—	—	14.29%	21.43%	—	—	42.86%
21–27	—	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%	35.71%	7.14%	14.29%	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.21	26.43	-11.21
SD	7.97	11.89	12.56
CV	0.52	0.45	—
Max	33	44	+20
Min	6	0	-37

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	21.43%	—	7.14%	7.14%	42.86%
21–27	—	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	—	14.29%	35.71%	28.57%	14.29%	7.14%	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.43	28.00	-5.57
SD	10.95	7.95	14.54
CV	0.49	0.28	—
Max	42	42	+26
Min	3	14	-25

Games Played: 14

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Dallas Texans	11	7.57	+3.43
2	Houston Oilers	11	7.98	+3.02
3	Boston Patriots	9.5	7.50	+2.00
4	Buffalo Bills	7.5	6.76	+0.74
5	Denver Broncos	7	6.74	+0.26

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Oakland Raiders	1	5.84	-4.84
2	San Diego Chargers	4	7.12	-3.12
3	New York Titans	5	6.50	-1.50
4	Denver Broncos	7	6.74	+0.26
5	Buffalo Bills	7.5	6.76	+0.74

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Houston Oilers	7	Nov 4 – Dec 15	1 in 47
2	Denver Broncos	4	Sep 30 – Oct 21	1 in 18
3	Buffalo Bills	3	Oct 13 – Oct 28	1 in 9
4	Boston Patriots	3	Sep 16 – Oct 6	1 in 8
5	Dallas Texans	3	Sep 8 – Sep 30	1 in 7

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Oakland Raiders	13	Sep 9 – Dec 9	1 in 1,576
2	San Diego Chargers	6	Oct 13 – Nov 25	1 in 71
3	Buffalo Bills	5	Sep 9 – Oct 7	1 in 29
4	Denver Broncos	5	Nov 11 – Dec 9	1 in 28
5	New York Titans	4	Sep 30 – Oct 21	1 in 13

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4
Houston Oilers	39.63%	27.71%	19.78%	12.88%
Boston Patriots	29.20%	27.50%	24.31%	18.99%
Buffalo Bills	17.10%	23.48%	28.21%	31.21%
New York Titans	14.07%	21.31%	27.70%	36.92%

Team	1	2	3	4
Dallas Texans	38.76%	27.52%	20.75%	12.97%
San Diego Chargers	28.39%	28.35%	24.92%	18.34%
Denver Broncos	21.89%	26.05%	27.32%	24.74%
Oakland Raiders	10.96%	18.08%	27.01%	43.95%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Houston Oilers	24.24%	18.13%	15.19%	12.20%	10.34%	8.68%	6.38%	4.84%
Dallas Texans	17.84%	16.14%	15.27%	13.12%	11.63%	10.41%	8.96%	6.63%
Boston Patriots	16.89%	15.51%	14.03%	13.28%	12.53%	10.71%	10.08%	6.97%
San Diego Chargers	12.54%	13.15%	13.37%	14.00%	13.11%	12.06%	11.77%	10.00%
Buffalo Bills	8.97%	10.95%	12.35%	12.44%	13.25%	14.53%	13.99%	13.52%
Denver Broncos	8.55%	10.99%	11.54%	13.68%	13.30%	14.12%	13.87%	13.95%
New York Titans	7.25%	9.17%	10.96%	11.99%	13.54%	14.52%	15.55%	17.02%
Oakland Raiders	3.72%	5.96%	7.29%	9.29%	12.30%	14.97%	19.40%	27.07%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Houston Oilers	39.63%	60.37%
Boston Patriots	29.20%	70.80%
Buffalo Bills	17.10%	82.90%
New York Titans	14.07%	85.93%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Dallas Texans	38.76%	61.24%
San Diego Chargers	28.39%	71.61%
Denver Broncos	21.89%	78.11%
Oakland Raiders	10.96%	89.04%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Championship Game
Houston Oilers	39.63%	23.15%
Dallas Texans	38.76%	19.94%
Boston Patriots	29.20%	15.26%
San Diego Chargers	28.39%	12.69%
Denver Broncos	21.89%	9.96%
Buffalo Bills	17.10%	8.99%
New York Titans	14.07%	5.97%
Oakland Raiders	10.96%	4.04%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Boston Patriots	Buffalo Bills	Dallas Texans	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	New York Titans	Oakland Raiders	San Diego Chargers
Boston Patriots			5.28%	3.48%			1.91%	4.59%
Buffalo Bills			3.33%	2.14%			1.08%	2.44%
Dallas Texans	5.77%	3.36%			7.36%	3.45%
Denver Broncos	3.07%	1.76%			3.35%	1.78%
Houston Oilers			8.23%	4.95%			3.05%	6.92%
New York Titans			1.98%	1.36%			0.88%	1.75%
Oakland Raiders	1.18%	0.78%			1.39%	0.69%
San Diego Chargers	3.92%	2.21%			4.38%	2.18%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Won Championship Game	Actual Outcome
Houston Oilers	51.25%	Eliminated in Championship Game
Dallas Texans	48.75%	Won Championship Game

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Texans	Houston Oilers
Dallas Texans		48.75%
Houston Oilers	51.25%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Houston Oilers 51.25% chance to win

Championship Game

vs. Dallas Texans

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

51.25%

Dallas Texans 48.75% chance to win

Championship Game

vs. Houston Oilers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

48.75%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1962-09-08	@ Dallas Texans	L 28-42	1507.34	1501.89	45.20%	52.55%	-4.93	0-1
1962-09-16	Houston Oilers	W 34-21	1502.41	1535.11	48.65%	49.11%	+5.15	1-1
1962-09-21	Denver Broncos	W 41-16	1507.56	1485.78	56.40%	41.35%	+6.03	2-1
1962-10-06	@ New York Titans	W 43-14	1513.59	1488.55	48.00%	49.75%	+7.78	3-1
1962-10-12	Dallas Texans	L 7-27	1521.37	1513.93	54.39%	43.37%	-7.06	3-2
1962-10-19	San Diego Chargers	W 24-20	1514.31	1511.24	53.77%	43.98%	+2.57	4-2
1962-10-26	Oakland Raiders	W 26-16	1516.88	1446.80	62.95%	34.81%	+3.21	5-2
1962-11-03	@ Buffalo Bills	T 28-28	1520.09	1490.56	48.65%	49.10%	+0.01	5-2
1962-11-11	@ Denver Broncos	W 33-29	1520.10	1503.39	46.81%	50.94%	+2.95	6-2
1962-11-18	@ Houston Oilers	L 17-21	1523.05	1540.93	41.90%	55.86%	-2.44	6-3
1962-11-23	Buffalo Bills	W 21-10	1520.61	1500.23	56.21%	41.55%	+4.02	7-3
1962-11-30	New York Titans	W 24-17	1524.63	1477.67	59.87%	37.88%	+2.93	8-3
1962-12-09	@ San Diego Chargers	W 20-14	1527.56	1493.12	49.36%	48.40%	+3.44	9-3
1962-12-16	@ Oakland Raiders	L 0-20	1531.00	1422.85	59.73%	38.02%	-7.73	9-4
1962-09-09	Houston Oilers	L 23-28	1493.67	1532.00	47.83%	49.92%	-3.11	0-1
1962-09-15	Denver Broncos	L 20-23	1490.56	1483.05	54.40%	43.36%	-2.73	0-2
1962-09-22	New York Titans	L 6-17	1487.83	1491.02	52.88%	44.88%	-5.09	0-3
1962-09-30	@ Dallas Texans	L 21-41	1482.74	1511.25	40.41%	57.34%	-5.27	0-4
1962-10-07	@ Houston Oilers	L 14-17	1477.47	1537.49	36.13%	61.62%	-1.83	0-5
1962-10-13	San Diego Chargers	W 35-10	1475.64	1518.58	47.17%	50.58%	+7.34	1-5
1962-10-20	Oakland Raiders	W 14-6	1482.98	1450.09	57.95%	39.81%	+3.29	2-5
1962-10-28	@ Denver Broncos	W 45-38	1486.27	1505.00	41.78%	55.98%	+4.29	3-5
1962-11-03	Boston Patriots	T 28-28	1490.56	1520.09	49.10%	48.65%	-0.01	3-5
1962-11-11	@ San Diego Chargers	W 40-20	1490.55	1499.54	43.15%	54.60%	+7.08	4-5
1962-11-18	@ Oakland Raiders	W 10-6	1497.63	1436.68	53.15%	44.60%	+2.60	5-5
1962-11-23	@ Boston Patriots	L 10-21	1500.23	1520.61	41.55%	56.21%	-4.02	5-6
1962-12-02	Dallas Texans	W 23-14	1496.21	1543.95	46.49%	51.26%	+4.47	6-6
1962-12-08	@ New York Titans	W 20-3	1500.68	1474.74	48.13%	49.62%	+5.94	7-6
1962-09-08	Boston Patriots	W 42-28	1501.89	1507.34	52.55%	45.20%	+4.92	1-0
1962-09-23	@ Oakland Raiders	W 26-16	1506.81	1471.62	49.46%	48.29%	+4.44	2-0
1962-09-30	Buffalo Bills	W 41-21	1511.25	1482.74	57.34%	40.41%	+5.27	3-0
1962-10-07	@ San Diego Chargers	L 28-32	1516.52	1515.99	44.50%	53.25%	-2.59	3-1
1962-10-12	@ Boston Patriots	W 27-7	1513.93	1521.37	43.37%	54.39%	+7.05	4-1
1962-10-21	New York Titans	W 20-17	1520.98	1474.14	59.85%	37.90%	+1.92	5-1
1962-10-28	@ Houston Oilers	W 31-7	1522.90	1541.27	41.83%	55.92%	+7.94	6-1
1962-11-04	Houston Oilers	L 6-14	1530.84	1533.33	52.98%	44.77%	-4.35	6-2
1962-11-11	@ New York Titans	W 52-31	1526.49	1482.31	50.76%	47.00%	+6.26	7-2
1962-11-18	@ Denver Broncos	W 24-3	1532.75	1500.44	49.05%	48.70%	+6.49	8-2
1962-11-25	Oakland Raiders	W 35-7	1539.24	1434.09	67.39%	30.37%	+4.71	9-2
1962-12-02	@ Buffalo Bills	L 14-23	1543.95	1496.21	51.26%	46.49%	-4.47	9-3
1962-12-09	Denver Broncos	W 17-10	1539.48	1487.88	60.50%	37.26%	+2.88	10-3
1962-12-16	San Diego Chargers	W 26-17	1542.36	1489.67	60.64%	37.11%	+3.26	11-3
1962-09-07	San Diego Chargers	W 30-21	1478.70	1517.50	47.77%	49.98%	+4.35	1-0
1962-09-15	@ Buffalo Bills	W 23-20	1483.05	1490.56	43.36%	54.40%	+2.73	2-0
1962-09-21	@ Boston Patriots	L 16-41	1485.78	1507.56	41.35%	56.40%	-6.03	2-1
1962-09-30	@ New York Titans	W 32-10	1479.75	1496.11	42.11%	55.64%	+7.57	3-1
1962-10-05	Oakland Raiders	W 44-7	1487.32	1463.09	56.74%	41.01%	+7.27	4-1
1962-10-14	@ Oakland Raiders	W 23-6	1494.59	1455.81	49.98%	47.77%	+5.73	5-1
1962-10-21	Houston Oilers	W 20-10	1500.32	1545.95	46.79%	50.96%	+4.68	6-1
1962-10-28	Buffalo Bills	L 38-45	1505.00	1486.27	55.98%	41.78%	-4.30	6-2
1962-11-04	@ San Diego Chargers	W 23-20	1500.70	1502.23	44.20%	53.55%	+2.69	7-2
1962-11-11	Boston Patriots	L 29-33	1503.39	1520.10	50.94%	46.81%	-2.95	7-3
1962-11-18	Dallas Texans	L 3-24	1500.44	1532.75	48.70%	49.05%	-6.49	7-4
1962-11-22	New York Titans	L 45-46	1493.95	1476.05	55.86%	41.89%	-1.62	7-5
1962-12-02	@ Houston Oilers	L 17-34	1492.33	1546.04	36.97%	60.78%	-4.45	7-6
1962-12-09	@ Dallas Texans	L 10-17	1487.88	1539.48	37.26%	60.50%	-2.88	7-7
1962-09-09	@ Buffalo Bills	W 28-23	1532.00	1493.67	49.92%	47.83%	+3.11	1-0
1962-09-16	@ Boston Patriots	L 21-34	1535.11	1502.41	49.11%	48.65%	-5.14	1-1
1962-09-23	@ San Diego Chargers	W 42-17	1529.97	1519.41	45.93%	51.82%	+7.52	2-1
1962-10-07	Buffalo Bills	W 17-14	1537.49	1477.47	61.62%	36.13%	+1.83	3-1
1962-10-14	New York Titans	W 56-17	1539.32	1480.77	61.43%	36.33%	+6.63	4-1
1962-10-21	@ Denver Broncos	L 10-20	1545.95	1500.32	50.96%	46.79%	-4.68	4-2
1962-10-28	Dallas Texans	L 7-31	1541.27	1522.90	55.92%	41.83%	-7.94	4-3
1962-11-04	@ Dallas Texans	W 14-6	1533.33	1530.84	44.77%	52.98%	+4.34	5-3
1962-11-11	@ Oakland Raiders	W 28-20	1537.67	1439.94	58.31%	39.44%	+3.26	6-3
1962-11-18	Boston Patriots	W 21-17	1540.93	1523.05	55.86%	41.90%	+2.44	7-3
1962-11-25	San Diego Chargers	W 33-27	1543.37	1492.46	60.40%	37.35%	+2.67	8-3
1962-12-02	Denver Broncos	W 34-17	1546.04	1492.33	60.78%	36.97%	+4.46	9-3
1962-12-09	Oakland Raiders	W 32-17	1550.50	1426.04	69.68%	28.08%	+3.19	10-3
1962-12-15	@ New York Titans	W 44-10	1553.69	1468.80	56.53%	41.22%	+7.00	11-3
1962-09-09	@ Oakland Raiders	W 28-17	1492.37	1476.53	46.68%	51.07%	+4.92	1-0
1962-09-16	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-40	1497.29	1513.15	42.18%	55.57%	-6.27	1-1
1962-09-22	@ Buffalo Bills	W 17-6	1491.02	1487.83	44.88%	52.88%	+5.09	2-1
1962-09-30	Denver Broncos	L 10-32	1496.11	1479.75	55.64%	42.11%	-7.56	2-2
1962-10-06	Boston Patriots	L 14-43	1488.55	1513.59	49.75%	48.00%	-7.78	2-3
1962-10-14	@ Houston Oilers	L 17-56	1480.77	1539.32	36.33%	61.43%	-6.63	2-4
1962-10-21	@ Dallas Texans	L 17-20	1474.14	1520.98	37.90%	59.85%	-1.92	2-5
1962-10-28	San Diego Chargers	W 23-3	1472.22	1508.68	48.10%	49.65%	+6.45	3-5
1962-11-04	Oakland Raiders	W 31-21	1478.67	1443.58	58.25%	39.51%	+3.64	4-5
1962-11-11	Dallas Texans	L 31-52	1482.31	1526.49	47.00%	50.76%	-6.26	4-6
1962-11-22	@ Denver Broncos	W 46-45	1476.05	1493.95	41.89%	55.86%	+1.62	5-6
1962-11-30	@ Boston Patriots	L 17-24	1477.67	1524.63	37.88%	59.87%	-2.93	5-7
1962-12-08	Buffalo Bills	L 3-20	1474.74	1500.68	49.62%	48.13%	-5.94	5-8
1962-12-15	Houston Oilers	L 10-44	1468.80	1553.69	41.22%	56.53%	-7.01	5-9
1962-09-09	New York Titans	L 17-28	1476.53	1492.37	51.07%	46.68%	-4.91	0-1
1962-09-23	Dallas Texans	L 16-26	1471.62	1506.81	48.29%	49.46%	-4.44	0-2
1962-09-30	San Diego Chargers	L 33-42	1467.18	1511.89	46.92%	50.83%	-4.09	0-3
1962-10-05	@ Denver Broncos	L 7-44	1463.09	1487.32	41.01%	56.74%	-7.28	0-4
1962-10-14	Denver Broncos	L 6-23	1455.81	1494.59	47.77%	49.98%	-5.72	0-5
1962-10-20	@ Buffalo Bills	L 6-14	1450.09	1482.98	39.81%	57.95%	-3.29	0-6
1962-10-26	@ Boston Patriots	L 16-26	1446.80	1516.88	34.81%	62.95%	-3.22	0-7
1962-11-04	@ New York Titans	L 21-31	1443.58	1478.67	39.51%	58.25%	-3.64	0-8
1962-11-11	Houston Oilers	L 20-28	1439.94	1537.67	39.44%	58.31%	-3.26	0-9
1962-11-18	Buffalo Bills	L 6-10	1436.68	1497.63	44.60%	53.15%	-2.59	0-10
1962-11-25	@ Dallas Texans	L 7-35	1434.09	1539.24	30.37%	67.39%	-4.71	0-11
1962-12-02	@ San Diego Chargers	L 21-31	1429.38	1489.79	36.08%	61.68%	-3.34	0-12
1962-12-09	@ Houston Oilers	L 17-32	1426.04	1550.50	28.08%	69.68%	-3.19	0-13
1962-12-16	Boston Patriots	W 20-0	1422.85	1531.00	38.02%	59.73%	+7.74	1-13
1962-09-07	@ Denver Broncos	L 21-30	1517.50	1478.70	49.98%	47.77%	-4.35	0-1
1962-09-16	New York Titans	W 40-14	1513.15	1497.29	55.57%	42.18%	+6.26	1-1
1962-09-23	Houston Oilers	L 17-42	1519.41	1529.97	51.82%	45.93%	-7.52	1-2
1962-09-30	@ Oakland Raiders	W 42-33	1511.89	1467.18	50.83%	46.92%	+4.10	2-2
1962-10-07	Dallas Texans	W 32-28	1515.99	1516.52	53.25%	44.50%	+2.59	3-2
1962-10-13	@ Buffalo Bills	L 10-35	1518.58	1475.64	50.58%	47.17%	-7.34	3-3
1962-10-19	@ Boston Patriots	L 20-24	1511.24	1514.31	43.98%	53.77%	-2.56	3-4
1962-10-28	@ New York Titans	L 3-23	1508.68	1472.22	49.65%	48.10%	-6.45	3-5
1962-11-04	Denver Broncos	L 20-23	1502.23	1500.70	53.55%	44.20%	-2.69	3-6
1962-11-11	Buffalo Bills	L 20-40	1499.54	1490.55	54.60%	43.15%	-7.08	3-7
1962-11-25	@ Houston Oilers	L 27-33	1492.46	1543.37	37.35%	60.40%	-2.67	3-8
1962-12-02	Oakland Raiders	W 31-21	1489.79	1429.38	61.68%	36.08%	+3.33	4-8
1962-12-09	Boston Patriots	L 14-20	1493.12	1527.56	48.40%	49.36%	-3.45	4-9
1962-12-16	@ Dallas Texans	L 17-26	1489.67	1542.36	37.11%	60.64%	-3.25	4-10

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1962-12-23	@ Houston Oilers	W 20-17	1545.62	1560.69	43.39%	56.61%	+2.78	1-0
1962-12-23	Dallas Texans	L 17-20	1560.69	1545.62	56.61%	43.39%	-2.78	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1962-12-16	38.02%	@ Oakland Raiders	1422.85	20	Boston Patriots	1531.00	0
2	1962-10-28	41.78%	Buffalo Bills	1486.27	45	@ Denver Broncos	1505.00	38
3	1962-10-28	41.83%	Dallas Texans	1522.90	31	@ Houston Oilers	1541.27	7
4	1962-11-22	41.89%	New York Titans	1476.05	46	@ Denver Broncos	1493.95	45
5	1962-09-30	42.11%	Denver Broncos	1479.75	32	@ New York Titans	1496.11	10
6	1962-11-11	43.15%	Buffalo Bills	1490.55	40	@ San Diego Chargers	1499.54	20
7	1962-09-15	43.36%	Denver Broncos	1483.05	23	@ Buffalo Bills	1490.56	20
8	1962-10-12	43.37%	Dallas Texans	1513.93	27	@ Boston Patriots	1521.37	7
9	1962-12-23 *	43.39%	Dallas Texans	1545.62	20	@ Houston Oilers	1560.69	17
10	1962-11-04	44.20%	Denver Broncos	1500.70	23	@ San Diego Chargers	1502.23	20
11	1962-11-04	44.77%	Houston Oilers	1533.33	14	@ Dallas Texans	1530.84	6
12	1962-09-22	44.88%	New York Titans	1491.02	17	@ Buffalo Bills	1487.83	6
13	1962-09-23	45.93%	Houston Oilers	1529.97	42	@ San Diego Chargers	1519.41	17
14	1962-12-02	46.49%	@ Buffalo Bills	1496.21	23	Dallas Texans	1543.95	14
15	1962-09-09	46.68%	New York Titans	1492.37	28	@ Oakland Raiders	1476.53	17
16	1962-10-21	46.79%	@ Denver Broncos	1500.32	20	Houston Oilers	1545.95	10
17	1962-11-11	46.81%	Boston Patriots	1520.10	33	@ Denver Broncos	1503.39	29
18	1962-10-13	47.17%	@ Buffalo Bills	1475.64	35	San Diego Chargers	1518.58	10
19	1962-09-07	47.77%	@ Denver Broncos	1478.70	30	San Diego Chargers	1517.50	21
20	1962-10-06	48.00%	Boston Patriots	1513.59	43	@ New York Titans	1488.55	14
21	1962-10-28	48.10%	@ New York Titans	1472.22	23	San Diego Chargers	1508.68	3
22	1962-12-08	48.13%	Buffalo Bills	1500.68	20	@ New York Titans	1474.74	3
23	1962-09-16	48.65%	@ Boston Patriots	1502.41	34	Houston Oilers	1535.11	21

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1962-10-28	7.94	Dallas Texans	31	1522.90	41.83%	@ Houston Oilers	7	1541.27	55.92%
2	1962-10-06	7.78	Boston Patriots	43	1513.59	48.00%	@ New York Titans	14	1488.55	49.75%
3	1962-12-16	7.74	@ Oakland Raiders	20	1422.85	38.02%	Boston Patriots	0	1531.00	59.73%
4	1962-09-30	7.57	Denver Broncos	32	1479.75	42.11%	@ New York Titans	10	1496.11	55.64%
5	1962-09-23	7.52	Houston Oilers	42	1529.97	45.93%	@ San Diego Chargers	17	1519.41	51.82%
6	1962-10-13	7.34	@ Buffalo Bills	35	1475.64	47.17%	San Diego Chargers	10	1518.58	50.58%
7	1962-10-05	7.28	@ Denver Broncos	44	1487.32	56.74%	Oakland Raiders	7	1463.09	41.01%
8	1962-11-11	7.08	Buffalo Bills	40	1490.55	43.15%	@ San Diego Chargers	20	1499.54	54.60%
9	1962-10-12	7.06	Dallas Texans	27	1513.93	43.37%	@ Boston Patriots	7	1521.37	54.39%
10	1962-12-15	7.01	Houston Oilers	44	1553.69	56.53%	@ New York Titans	10	1468.80	41.22%
11	1962-10-14	6.63	@ Houston Oilers	56	1539.32	61.43%	New York Titans	17	1480.77	36.33%
12	1962-11-18	6.49	Dallas Texans	24	1532.75	49.05%	@ Denver Broncos	3	1500.44	48.70%
13	1962-10-28	6.45	@ New York Titans	23	1472.22	48.10%	San Diego Chargers	3	1508.68	49.65%
14	1962-09-16	6.27	@ San Diego Chargers	40	1513.15	55.57%	New York Titans	14	1497.29	42.18%
15	1962-11-11	6.26	Dallas Texans	52	1526.49	50.76%	@ New York Titans	31	1482.31	47.00%
16	1962-09-21	6.03	@ Boston Patriots	41	1507.56	56.40%	Denver Broncos	16	1485.78	41.35%
17	1962-12-08	5.94	Buffalo Bills	20	1500.68	48.13%	@ New York Titans	3	1474.74	49.62%
18	1962-10-14	5.73	Denver Broncos	23	1494.59	49.98%	@ Oakland Raiders	6	1455.81	47.77%
19	1962-09-30	5.27	@ Dallas Texans	41	1511.25	57.34%	Buffalo Bills	21	1482.74	40.41%
20	1962-09-16	5.15	@ Boston Patriots	34	1502.41	48.65%	Houston Oilers	21	1535.11	49.11%
21	1962-09-22	5.09	New York Titans	17	1491.02	44.88%	@ Buffalo Bills	6	1487.83	52.88%
22	1962-09-08	4.93	@ Dallas Texans	42	1501.89	52.55%	Boston Patriots	28	1507.34	45.20%
23	1962-09-09	4.92	New York Titans	28	1492.37	46.68%	@ Oakland Raiders	17	1476.53	51.07%
24	1962-11-25	4.71	@ Dallas Texans	35	1539.24	67.39%	Oakland Raiders	7	1434.09	30.37%
25	1962-10-21	4.68	@ Denver Broncos	20	1500.32	46.79%	Houston Oilers	10	1545.95	50.96%