1947 AAFC Season

56 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Cleveland Browns

2nd Title

Last Title: 1946

Runner-Up

New York Yankees

2nd Appearance

Last Appearance: 1946

Biggest Overachiever

Cleveland Browns

4.07 wins above expected

12 wins · 8.43 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Chicago Rockets

5.40 wins below expected

1 wins · 6.40 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New York Yankees Division	11	2	1	.821	—	378	239	+139	7.67	+3.83
2	Buffalo Bills (1st)	8	4	2	.643	2.5	320	288	+32	6.77	+2.23
3	Brooklyn Dodgers	3	10	1	.250	8	181	340	-159	6.12	-2.62
4	Baltimore Colts (1st)	2	11	1	.179	9	167	377	-210	5.93	-3.43

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cleveland Browns Division	12	1	1	.893	—	410	185	+225	8.43	+4.07
2	San Francisco 49ers	8	4	2	.643	3.5	327	264	+63	7.58	+1.42
3	Los Angeles Dons	7	7	0	.500	5.5	328	256	+72	7.11	-0.11
4	Chicago Rockets	1	13	0	.071	11.5	263	425	-162	6.40	-5.40

Playoff Bracket

AAFC Championship Game

Cleveland Browns 14

New York Yankees 3

Dec 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Cleveland Browns	West	1594	12.5	8.43	+4.07	99.99%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
New York Yankees	East	1556	11.5	7.67	+3.83	99.92%	1	4	6	7	8	10	13
San Francisco 49ers	West	1538	9	7.58	+1.42	97.24%	0	4	6	7	8	10	13
Los Angeles Dons	West	1509	7	7.11	-0.11	70.49%	1	3	5	6	8	9	13
Buffalo Bills (1st)	East	1498	9	6.77	+2.23	99.23%	0	3	5	6	7	9	12
Brooklyn Dodgers	East	1444	3.5	6.12	-2.62	29.31%	0	3	4	5	7	9	13
Chicago Rockets	West	1438	1	6.40	-5.40	0.68%	0	3	5	6	7	9	13
Baltimore Colts (1st)	East	1423	2.5	5.93	-3.43	15.79%	0	2	4	5	7	8	12

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	(1st)	Dodgers	(1st)	Yankees
Baltimore Colts (1st)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Brooklyn Dodgers	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Buffalo Bills (1st)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
New York Yankees	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Rockets	Browns	Dons	49ers
Baltimore Colts (1st)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Brooklyn Dodgers	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Buffalo Bills (1st)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.8 exp.)
New York Yankees	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)

Within West

Team	Rockets	Browns	Dons	49ers
Chicago Rockets	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Los Angeles Dons	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	(1st)	Dodgers	(1st)	Yankees
Chicago Rockets	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.0 exp.)
Los Angeles Dons	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-0-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	0.89%	—	0.89%	0.89%	—	1.79%	4.46%
7–13	0.89%	3.57%	5.36%	2.68%	2.68%	2.68%	0.89%	18.75%
14–20	—	5.36%	7.14%	5.36%	5.36%	1.79%	—	25.00%
21–27	0.89%	2.68%	5.36%	7.14%	0.89%	2.68%	1.79%	21.43%
28–34	0.89%	2.68%	5.36%	0.89%	5.36%	0.89%	0.89%	16.96%
35–41	—	2.68%	1.79%	2.68%	0.89%	—	—	8.04%
42+	1.79%	0.89%	—	1.79%	0.89%	—	—	5.36%
Total	4.46%	18.75%	25.00%	21.43%	16.96%	8.04%	5.36%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.20	21.20	+0.00
SD	11.67	11.67	18.34
CV	0.55	0.55	—
Max	56	56	+56
Min	0	0	-56

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%	21.43%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
14–20	—	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
21–27	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
28–34	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	14.29%	14.29%	21.43%	21.43%	14.29%	14.29%	100%

Baltimore Colts (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	11.93	26.93	-15.00
SD	8.51	13.53	18.31
CV	0.71	0.50	—
Max	28	56	+9
Min	0	7	-56

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	64.29%
14–20	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	7.14%	35.71%	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	14.29%	100%

Brooklyn Dodgers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	12.93	24.29	-11.36
SD	8.24	14.33	15.76
CV	0.64	0.59	—
Max	35	55	+7
Min	7	3	-48

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
21–27	7.14%	—	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	7.14%	35.71%	21.43%	14.29%	14.29%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.86	20.57	+2.29
SD	8.37	10.99	16.56
CV	0.37	0.53	—
Max	35	41	+28
Min	7	0	-22

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	—	—	21.43%	7.14%	—	28.57%
21–27	—	—	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	28.57%
28–34	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	35.71%	21.43%	14.29%	100%

Chicago Rockets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.79	30.36	-11.57
SD	8.90	11.30	9.44
CV	0.47	0.37	—
Max	31	48	+6
Min	3	7	-25

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
21–27	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
28–34	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	35.71%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	14.29%	35.71%	28.57%	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.29	13.21	+16.07
SD	12.14	8.75	15.47
CV	0.41	0.66	—
Max	55	28	+48
Min	10	0	-3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
21–27	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	7.14%	21.43%	21.43%	42.86%	7.14%	—	—	100%

Los Angeles Dons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.43	18.29	+5.14
SD	15.41	8.53	21.15
CV	0.66	0.47	—
Max	56	30	+56
Min	0	0	-25

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
21–27	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	35.71%	28.57%	21.43%	14.29%	—	—	100%

New York Yankees — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.00	17.07	+9.93
SD	8.58	7.66	10.59
CV	0.32	0.45	—
Max	48	28	+24
Min	16	7	-9

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	35.71%
21–27	—	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	21.43%	28.57%	28.57%	14.29%	7.14%	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.36	18.86	+4.50
SD	11.10	8.96	12.72
CV	0.48	0.48	—
Max	42	37	+25
Min	7	7	-23

Games Played: 14

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Cleveland Browns	12.5	8.43	+4.07
2	New York Yankees	11.5	7.67	+3.83
3	Buffalo Bills (1st)	9	6.77	+2.23
4	San Francisco 49ers	9	7.58	+1.42
5	Los Angeles Dons	7	7.11	-0.11

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Chicago Rockets	1	6.40	-5.40
2	Baltimore Colts (1st)	2.5	5.93	-3.43
3	Brooklyn Dodgers	3.5	6.12	-2.62
4	Los Angeles Dons	7	7.11	-0.11
5	San Francisco 49ers	9	7.58	+1.42

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cleveland Browns	5	Sep 5 – Oct 5	1 in 19
2	New York Yankees	5	Oct 12 – Nov 16	1 in 18
3	Los Angeles Dons	3	Oct 12 – Oct 26	1 in 11
4	San Francisco 49ers	3	Aug 31 – Sep 14	1 in 6
5	Buffalo Bills (1st)	2	Sep 14 – Sep 19	1 in 5

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Chicago Rockets	10	Aug 29 – Oct 31	1 in 1,094
2	Baltimore Colts (1st)	7	Oct 12 – Nov 23	1 in 74
3	Brooklyn Dodgers	4	Aug 31 – Sep 19	1 in 13
4	Los Angeles Dons	3	Nov 2 – Nov 16	1 in 9
5	San Francisco 49ers	2	Nov 9 – Nov 16	1 in 3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4
New York Yankees	46.39%	26.78%	17.24%	9.59%
Buffalo Bills (1st)	25.53%	29.00%	25.11%	20.36%
Brooklyn Dodgers	14.82%	23.53%	29.43%	32.22%
Baltimore Colts (1st)	13.26%	20.69%	28.22%	37.83%

Team	1	2	3	4
Cleveland Browns	45.38%	27.86%	17.68%	9.08%
San Francisco 49ers	26.52%	28.25%	25.76%	19.47%
Los Angeles Dons	18.13%	25.41%	28.84%	27.62%
Chicago Rockets	9.97%	18.48%	27.72%	43.83%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Cleveland Browns	30.95%	20.68%	15.65%	11.45%	8.53%	6.40%	4.07%	2.27%
New York Yankees	18.13%	17.11%	15.80%	14.05%	11.52%	10.06%	7.84%	5.49%
San Francisco 49ers	17.33%	15.95%	14.79%	14.34%	12.18%	10.57%	9.02%	5.82%
Los Angeles Dons	11.08%	13.89%	13.66%	13.73%	13.38%	12.91%	11.84%	9.51%
Buffalo Bills (1st)	8.30%	11.44%	11.57%	13.80%	14.44%	13.92%	13.59%	12.94%
Chicago Rockets	6.03%	8.27%	10.97%	11.78%	13.98%	15.27%	16.14%	17.56%
Brooklyn Dodgers	4.51%	6.70%	9.06%	10.85%	13.74%	15.86%	18.27%	21.01%
Baltimore Colts (1st)	3.67%	5.96%	8.50%	10.00%	12.23%	15.01%	19.23%	25.40%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New York Yankees	46.39%	53.61%
Buffalo Bills (1st)	25.53%	74.47%
Brooklyn Dodgers	14.82%	85.18%
Baltimore Colts (1st)	13.26%	86.74%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Cleveland Browns	45.38%	54.62%
San Francisco 49ers	26.52%	73.48%
Los Angeles Dons	18.13%	81.87%
Chicago Rockets	9.97%	90.03%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Championship Game
Cleveland Browns	45.38%	28.93%
New York Yankees	46.39%	23.01%
San Francisco 49ers	26.52%	15.12%
Buffalo Bills (1st)	25.53%	10.44%
Los Angeles Dons	18.13%	9.17%
Brooklyn Dodgers	14.82%	4.95%
Chicago Rockets	9.97%	4.31%
Baltimore Colts (1st)	13.26%	4.07%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts (1st)	Brooklyn Dodgers	Buffalo Bills (1st)	Chicago Rockets	Cleveland Browns	Los Angeles Dons	New York Yankees	San Francisco 49ers
Baltimore Colts (1st)				0.53%	1.50%	0.92%		1.12%
Brooklyn Dodgers				0.63%	1.87%	1.16%		1.29%
Buffalo Bills (1st)				1.37%	4.11%	2.26%		2.70%
Chicago Rockets	0.70%	0.82%	1.15%				1.64%
Cleveland Browns	4.58%	5.05%	7.54%				11.76%
Los Angeles Dons	1.57%	1.56%	2.39%				3.65%
New York Yankees				3.13%	8.97%	4.62%		6.29%
San Francisco 49ers	2.34%	2.44%	4.01%				6.33%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Won Championship Game	Actual Outcome
Cleveland Browns	60.85%	Won Championship Game
New York Yankees	39.15%	Eliminated in Championship Game

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns	New York Yankees
Cleveland Browns		60.85%
New York Yankees	39.15%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Cleveland Browns 60.85% chance to win

Championship Game

vs. New York Yankees

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

60.85%

New York Yankees 39.15% chance to win

Championship Game

vs. Cleveland Browns

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.15%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1947-09-07	Brooklyn Dodgers	W 16-7	1469.89	1476.98	49.93%	41.30%	+4.15	1-0
1947-09-14	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-14	1474.04	1525.41	33.48%	57.94%	-3.00	1-1
1947-09-21	@ Cleveland Browns	L 0-28	1471.04	1553.37	29.68%	61.91%	-5.36	1-2
1947-09-28	New York Yankees	L 7-21	1465.68	1526.30	42.29%	48.93%	-5.29	1-3
1947-10-05	San Francisco 49ers	T 28-28	1460.39	1530.91	40.90%	50.33%	+0.07	1-3
1947-10-12	@ Buffalo Bills (1st)	L 15-20	1460.46	1486.68	36.75%	54.57%	-2.77	1-4
1947-10-19	Los Angeles Dons	L 10-38	1457.69	1503.97	44.32%	46.88%	-7.82	1-5
1947-10-26	@ Los Angeles Dons	L 0-56	1449.87	1511.78	32.16%	59.32%	-8.18	1-6
1947-11-02	@ New York Yankees	L 21-35	1441.69	1539.41	27.90%	63.80%	-3.57	1-7
1947-11-07	@ Chicago Rockets	L 21-27	1438.12	1450.17	38.66%	52.61%	-3.18	1-8
1947-11-16	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	L 14-21	1434.94	1450.75	38.15%	53.13%	-3.40	1-9
1947-11-23	Buffalo Bills (1st)	L 14-33	1431.54	1496.95	41.61%	49.61%	-6.08	1-10
1947-11-30	Chicago Rockets	W 14-7	1425.46	1446.56	47.94%	43.27%	+3.83	2-10
1947-12-07	Cleveland Browns	L 0-42	1429.29	1587.42	29.56%	62.04%	-6.54	2-11
1947-08-31	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-23	1481.76	1518.41	35.37%	55.98%	-4.78	0-1
1947-09-07	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	L 7-16	1476.98	1469.89	41.30%	49.93%	-4.15	0-2
1947-09-12	Cleveland Browns	L 7-55	1472.83	1543.89	40.82%	50.41%	-9.49	0-3
1947-09-19	@ Los Angeles Dons	L 21-48	1463.34	1496.78	35.80%	55.55%	-6.28	0-4
1947-10-03	@ Chicago Rockets	W 35-31	1457.06	1468.21	38.78%	52.49%	+3.45	1-4
1947-10-12	@ New York Yankees	L 7-31	1460.51	1527.95	31.47%	60.03%	-5.25	1-5
1947-10-17	Buffalo Bills (1st)	T 14-14	1455.26	1489.45	46.06%	45.14%	-0.01	1-5
1947-10-26	@ Buffalo Bills (1st)	L 7-35	1455.25	1489.46	35.69%	55.65%	-6.39	1-6
1947-10-31	Chicago Rockets	W 7-3	1448.86	1452.91	50.36%	40.88%	+2.74	2-6
1947-11-09	@ Cleveland Browns	L 12-13	1451.60	1576.72	24.91%	67.00%	-0.85	2-7
1947-11-16	Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 21-14	1450.75	1434.94	53.13%	38.15%	+3.40	3-7
1947-11-23	Los Angeles Dons	L 12-16	1454.15	1505.45	43.61%	47.60%	-2.91	3-8
1947-11-27	San Francisco 49ers	L 7-21	1451.24	1533.44	39.28%	51.97%	-4.94	3-9
1947-12-07	New York Yankees	L 17-20	1446.30	1554.21	35.83%	55.51%	-2.10	3-10
1947-08-31	New York Yankees	W 28-24	1481.24	1513.03	46.40%	44.80%	+2.98	1-0
1947-09-05	@ Cleveland Browns	L 14-30	1484.22	1539.41	33.00%	58.44%	-4.48	1-1
1947-09-14	Chicago Rockets	W 28-20	1479.74	1484.82	50.21%	41.02%	+3.89	2-1
1947-09-19	@ Chicago Rockets	W 31-14	1483.63	1480.94	40.69%	50.55%	+6.87	3-1
1947-09-28	San Francisco 49ers	L 24-41	1490.50	1524.61	46.07%	45.13%	-6.31	3-2
1947-10-05	@ Los Angeles Dons	W 27-25	1484.19	1503.07	37.73%	53.56%	+2.49	4-2
1947-10-12	Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 20-15	1486.68	1460.46	54.57%	36.75%	+2.77	5-2
1947-10-17	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	T 14-14	1489.45	1455.26	45.14%	46.06%	+0.01	5-2
1947-10-26	Brooklyn Dodgers	W 35-7	1489.46	1455.25	55.65%	35.69%	+6.39	6-2
1947-11-02	Cleveland Browns	L 7-28	1495.85	1570.52	40.32%	50.92%	-6.20	6-3
1947-11-09	Los Angeles Dons	W 25-0	1489.65	1514.81	47.35%	43.85%	+7.30	7-3
1947-11-23	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 33-14	1496.95	1431.54	49.61%	41.61%	+6.08	8-3
1947-11-30	@ New York Yankees	L 13-35	1503.03	1548.77	34.20%	57.20%	-5.44	8-4
1947-12-07	@ San Francisco 49ers	T 21-21	1497.59	1538.38	34.83%	56.54%	+0.17	8-4
1947-08-29	Los Angeles Dons	L 21-24	1493.62	1502.64	49.65%	41.57%	-2.84	0-1
1947-09-05	@ New York Yankees	L 26-48	1490.78	1510.05	37.68%	53.61%	-5.96	0-2
1947-09-14	@ Buffalo Bills (1st)	L 20-28	1484.82	1479.74	41.02%	50.21%	-3.88	0-3
1947-09-19	Buffalo Bills (1st)	L 14-31	1480.94	1483.63	50.55%	40.69%	-6.87	0-4
1947-09-26	Cleveland Browns	L 21-41	1474.07	1558.73	38.95%	52.32%	-5.86	0-5
1947-10-03	Brooklyn Dodgers	L 31-35	1468.21	1457.06	52.49%	38.78%	-3.45	0-6
1947-10-12	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 28-42	1464.76	1530.84	31.64%	59.86%	-4.03	0-7
1947-10-19	@ Cleveland Browns	L 28-31	1460.73	1564.83	27.19%	64.56%	-1.61	0-8
1947-10-24	New York Yankees	L 7-28	1459.12	1533.20	40.40%	50.83%	-6.21	0-9
1947-10-31	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	L 3-7	1452.91	1448.86	40.88%	50.36%	-2.74	0-10
1947-11-07	Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 27-21	1450.17	1438.12	52.61%	38.66%	+3.18	1-10
1947-11-21	San Francisco 49ers	L 16-41	1453.35	1526.64	40.51%	50.72%	-6.79	1-11
1947-11-30	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	L 7-14	1446.56	1425.46	43.27%	47.94%	-3.82	1-12
1947-12-07	@ Los Angeles Dons	L 14-34	1442.74	1504.08	32.23%	59.24%	-4.90	1-13
1947-09-05	Buffalo Bills (1st)	W 30-14	1539.41	1484.22	58.44%	33.00%	+4.48	1-0
1947-09-12	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	W 55-7	1543.89	1472.83	50.41%	40.82%	+9.48	2-0
1947-09-21	Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 28-0	1553.37	1471.04	61.91%	29.68%	+5.36	3-0
1947-09-26	@ Chicago Rockets	W 41-21	1558.73	1474.07	52.32%	38.95%	+5.86	4-0
1947-10-05	New York Yankees	W 26-17	1564.59	1531.59	55.49%	35.85%	+3.63	5-0
1947-10-12	Los Angeles Dons	L 10-13	1568.22	1500.58	60.06%	31.45%	-3.39	5-1
1947-10-19	Chicago Rockets	W 31-28	1564.83	1460.73	64.56%	27.19%	+1.61	6-1
1947-10-26	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 14-7	1566.44	1534.87	44.77%	46.43%	+4.08	7-1
1947-11-02	@ Buffalo Bills (1st)	W 28-7	1570.52	1495.85	50.92%	40.32%	+6.20	8-1
1947-11-09	Brooklyn Dodgers	W 13-12	1576.72	1451.60	67.00%	24.91%	+0.85	9-1
1947-11-16	San Francisco 49ers	W 37-14	1577.57	1532.21	57.15%	34.25%	+5.57	10-1
1947-11-23	@ New York Yankees	T 28-28	1583.14	1548.78	45.17%	46.03%	+0.00	10-1
1947-11-27	@ Los Angeles Dons	W 27-17	1583.14	1508.36	50.93%	40.31%	+4.28	11-1
1947-12-07	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 42-0	1587.42	1429.29	62.04%	29.56%	+6.54	12-1
1947-08-29	@ Chicago Rockets	W 24-21	1502.64	1493.62	41.57%	49.65%	+2.84	1-0
1947-09-07	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-17	1505.48	1523.20	37.89%	53.40%	-2.21	1-1
1947-09-12	New York Yankees	L 14-30	1503.27	1516.00	49.13%	42.09%	-6.49	1-2
1947-09-19	Brooklyn Dodgers	W 48-21	1496.78	1463.34	55.55%	35.80%	+6.29	2-2
1947-10-05	Buffalo Bills (1st)	L 25-27	1503.07	1484.19	53.56%	37.73%	-2.49	2-3
1947-10-12	@ Cleveland Browns	W 13-10	1500.58	1568.22	31.45%	60.06%	+3.39	3-3
1947-10-19	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 38-10	1503.97	1457.69	46.88%	44.32%	+7.81	4-3
1947-10-26	Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 56-0	1511.78	1449.87	59.32%	32.16%	+8.19	5-3
1947-11-02	San Francisco 49ers	L 16-26	1519.97	1530.80	49.40%	41.82%	-5.16	5-4
1947-11-09	@ Buffalo Bills (1st)	L 0-25	1514.81	1489.65	43.85%	47.35%	-7.31	5-5
1947-11-16	@ New York Yankees	L 13-16	1507.50	1546.72	35.04%	56.33%	-2.05	5-6
1947-11-23	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	W 16-12	1505.45	1454.15	47.60%	43.61%	+2.91	6-6
1947-11-27	Cleveland Browns	L 17-27	1508.36	1583.14	40.31%	50.93%	-4.28	6-7
1947-12-07	Chicago Rockets	W 34-14	1504.08	1442.74	59.24%	32.23%	+4.90	7-7
1947-08-31	@ Buffalo Bills (1st)	L 24-28	1513.03	1481.24	44.80%	46.40%	-2.98	0-1
1947-09-05	Chicago Rockets	W 48-26	1510.05	1490.78	53.61%	37.68%	+5.95	1-1
1947-09-12	@ Los Angeles Dons	W 30-14	1516.00	1503.27	42.09%	49.13%	+6.49	2-1
1947-09-21	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 21-16	1522.49	1528.42	39.50%	51.76%	+3.81	3-1
1947-09-28	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 21-7	1526.30	1465.68	48.93%	42.29%	+5.29	4-1
1947-10-05	@ Cleveland Browns	L 17-26	1531.59	1564.59	35.85%	55.49%	-3.64	4-2
1947-10-12	Brooklyn Dodgers	W 31-7	1527.95	1460.51	60.03%	31.47%	+5.25	5-2
1947-10-24	@ Chicago Rockets	W 28-7	1533.20	1459.12	50.83%	40.40%	+6.21	6-2
1947-11-02	Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 35-21	1539.41	1441.69	63.80%	27.90%	+3.57	7-2
1947-11-09	San Francisco 49ers	W 24-16	1542.98	1535.95	51.91%	39.34%	+3.74	8-2
1947-11-16	Los Angeles Dons	W 16-13	1546.72	1507.50	56.33%	35.04%	+2.06	9-2
1947-11-23	Cleveland Browns	T 28-28	1548.78	1583.14	46.03%	45.17%	-0.01	9-2
1947-11-30	Buffalo Bills (1st)	W 35-13	1548.77	1503.03	57.20%	34.20%	+5.44	10-2
1947-12-07	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	W 20-17	1554.21	1446.30	55.51%	35.83%	+2.10	11-2
1947-08-31	Brooklyn Dodgers	W 23-7	1518.41	1481.76	55.98%	35.37%	+4.79	1-0
1947-09-07	Los Angeles Dons	W 17-14	1523.20	1505.48	53.40%	37.89%	+2.21	2-0
1947-09-14	Baltimore Colts (1st)	W 14-7	1525.41	1474.04	57.94%	33.48%	+3.01	3-0
1947-09-21	New York Yankees	L 16-21	1528.42	1522.49	51.76%	39.50%	-3.81	3-1
1947-09-28	@ Buffalo Bills (1st)	W 41-24	1524.61	1490.50	45.13%	46.07%	+6.30	4-1
1947-10-05	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	T 28-28	1530.91	1460.39	50.33%	40.90%	-0.07	4-1
1947-10-12	Chicago Rockets	W 42-28	1530.84	1464.76	59.86%	31.64%	+4.03	5-1
1947-10-26	Cleveland Browns	L 7-14	1534.87	1566.44	46.43%	44.77%	-4.07	5-2
1947-11-02	@ Los Angeles Dons	W 26-16	1530.80	1519.97	41.82%	49.40%	+5.15	6-2
1947-11-09	@ New York Yankees	L 16-24	1535.95	1542.98	39.34%	51.91%	-3.74	6-3
1947-11-16	@ Cleveland Browns	L 14-37	1532.21	1577.57	34.25%	57.15%	-5.57	6-4
1947-11-21	@ Chicago Rockets	W 41-16	1526.64	1453.35	50.72%	40.51%	+6.80	7-4
1947-11-27	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	W 21-7	1533.44	1451.24	51.97%	39.28%	+4.94	8-4
1947-12-07	Buffalo Bills (1st)	T 21-21	1538.38	1497.59	56.54%	34.83%	-0.17	8-4

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1947-12-14	@ New York Yankees	W 14-3	1593.96	1556.31	50.04%	49.96%	+5.02	1-0
1947-12-14	Cleveland Browns	L 3-14	1556.31	1593.96	49.96%	50.04%	-5.02	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1947-10-12	31.45%	Los Angeles Dons	1500.58	13	@ Cleveland Browns	1568.22	10
2	1947-10-05	37.73%	Buffalo Bills (1st)	1484.19	27	@ Los Angeles Dons	1503.07	25
3	1947-10-03	38.78%	Brooklyn Dodgers	1457.06	35	@ Chicago Rockets	1468.21	31
4	1947-09-21	39.50%	New York Yankees	1522.49	21	@ San Francisco 49ers	1528.42	16
5	1947-09-19	40.69%	Buffalo Bills (1st)	1483.63	31	@ Chicago Rockets	1480.94	14
6	1947-08-29	41.57%	Los Angeles Dons	1502.64	24	@ Chicago Rockets	1493.62	21
7	1947-11-02	41.82%	San Francisco 49ers	1530.80	26	@ Los Angeles Dons	1519.97	16
8	1947-09-12	42.09%	New York Yankees	1516.00	30	@ Los Angeles Dons	1503.27	14
9	1947-10-26	44.77%	Cleveland Browns	1566.44	14	@ San Francisco 49ers	1534.87	7
10	1947-09-28	45.13%	San Francisco 49ers	1524.61	41	@ Buffalo Bills (1st)	1490.50	24

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1947-09-12	9.49	Cleveland Browns	55	1543.89	50.41%	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	7	1472.83	40.82%
2	1947-10-26	8.19	@ Los Angeles Dons	56	1511.78	59.32%	Baltimore Colts (1st)	0	1449.87	32.16%
3	1947-10-19	7.82	Los Angeles Dons	38	1503.97	46.88%	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	10	1457.69	44.32%
4	1947-11-09	7.31	@ Buffalo Bills (1st)	25	1489.65	47.35%	Los Angeles Dons	0	1514.81	43.85%
5	1947-09-19	6.87	Buffalo Bills (1st)	31	1483.63	40.69%	@ Chicago Rockets	14	1480.94	50.55%
6	1947-11-21	6.80	San Francisco 49ers	41	1526.64	50.72%	@ Chicago Rockets	16	1453.35	40.51%
7	1947-12-07	6.54	Cleveland Browns	42	1587.42	62.04%	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	0	1429.29	29.56%
8	1947-09-12	6.49	New York Yankees	30	1516.00	42.09%	@ Los Angeles Dons	14	1503.27	49.13%
9	1947-10-26	6.39	@ Buffalo Bills (1st)	35	1489.46	55.65%	Brooklyn Dodgers	7	1455.25	35.69%
10	1947-09-28	6.31	San Francisco 49ers	41	1524.61	45.13%	@ Buffalo Bills (1st)	24	1490.50	46.07%
11	1947-09-19	6.29	@ Los Angeles Dons	48	1496.78	55.55%	Brooklyn Dodgers	21	1463.34	35.80%
12	1947-10-24	6.21	New York Yankees	28	1533.20	50.83%	@ Chicago Rockets	7	1459.12	40.40%
13	1947-11-02	6.20	Cleveland Browns	28	1570.52	50.92%	@ Buffalo Bills (1st)	7	1495.85	40.32%
14	1947-11-23	6.08	Buffalo Bills (1st)	33	1496.95	49.61%	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	14	1431.54	41.61%
15	1947-09-05	5.96	@ New York Yankees	48	1510.05	53.61%	Chicago Rockets	26	1490.78	37.68%
16	1947-09-26	5.86	Cleveland Browns	41	1558.73	52.32%	@ Chicago Rockets	21	1474.07	38.95%
17	1947-11-16	5.57	@ Cleveland Browns	37	1577.57	57.15%	San Francisco 49ers	14	1532.21	34.25%
18	1947-11-30	5.44	@ New York Yankees	35	1548.77	57.20%	Buffalo Bills (1st)	13	1503.03	34.20%
19	1947-09-21	5.36	@ Cleveland Browns	28	1553.37	61.91%	Baltimore Colts (1st)	0	1471.04	29.68%
20	1947-09-28	5.29	New York Yankees	21	1526.30	48.93%	@ Baltimore Colts (1st)	7	1465.68	42.29%
21	1947-10-12	5.25	@ New York Yankees	31	1527.95	60.03%	Brooklyn Dodgers	7	1460.51	31.47%
22	1947-11-02	5.16	San Francisco 49ers	26	1530.80	41.82%	@ Los Angeles Dons	16	1519.97	49.40%
23	1947-12-14 *	5.02	Cleveland Browns	14	1593.96	50.04%	@ New York Yankees	3	1556.31	49.96%
24	1947-11-27	4.94	San Francisco 49ers	21	1533.44	51.97%	@ Brooklyn Dodgers	7	1451.24	39.28%
25	1947-12-07	4.90	@ Los Angeles Dons	34	1504.08	59.24%	Chicago Rockets	14	1442.74	32.23%