2021 WNBA Season
192 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Chicago Sky
1st Title
Runner-Up
Phoenix Mercury
5
Last Appearance: 2014
Biggest Overachiever
Minnesota Lynx
3.69 wins above expected
22 wins · 18.31 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Seattle Storm
3.85 wins below expected
21 wins · 24.85 expected wins
Final Standings
Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut Sun League | 26 | 6 | .812 | — | 79.7 | 69.9 | +9.8 | 22.54 | +3.46 |
| 2 | Las Vegas Aces Playoffs | 24 | 8 | .750 | 2 | 89.2 | 80.2 | +9.1 | 21.94 | +2.06 |
| 3 | Minnesota Lynx Playoffs | 22 | 10 | .688 | 4 | 82.7 | 78.7 | +4.0 | 18.31 | +3.69 |
| 4 | Seattle Storm Playoffs | 21 | 11 | .656 | 5 | 84.8 | 80.4 | +4.4 | 24.85 | -3.85 |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury Playoffs | 19 | 13 | .594 | 7 | 82.1 | 79.5 | +2.6 | 17.71 | +1.29 |
| 6 | Chicago Sky Playoffs | 16 | 16 | .500 | 10 | 83.2 | 81.9 | +1.3 | 16.27 | -0.27 |
| 7 | Dallas Wings Playoffs | 14 | 18 | .438 | 12 | 81.1 | 81.7 | -0.5 | 14.59 | -0.59 |
| 8 | New York Liberty Playoffs | 12 | 20 | .375 | 14 | 78.5 | 85.5 | -7.0 | 9.51 | +2.49 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Sparks | 12 | 20 | .375 | 14 | 72.8 | 77.1 | -4.3 | 13.93 | -1.93 |
| 10 | Washington Mystics | 12 | 20 | .375 | 14 | 79.8 | 83.6 | -3.8 | 13.27 | -1.27 |
| 11 | Atlanta Dream | 8 | 24 | .250 | 18 | 78.7 | 84.3 | -5.6 | 10.89 | -2.89 |
| 12 | Indiana Fever | 6 | 26 | .188 | 20 | 75.3 | 85.1 | -9.8 | 8.19 | -2.19 |
Playoff Bracket
WNBA Playoffs
First Round
Second Round
Semifinals
WNBA Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 1765 | 26 | 22.54 | +3.46 | 95.64% | 14 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 31 | ||
| Las Vegas Aces | 1714 | 24 | 21.94 | +2.06 | 85.27% | 13 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 30 | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 1643 | 22 | 18.31 | +3.69 | 94.98% | 9 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 28 | ||
| Seattle Storm | 1596 | 21 | 24.85 | -3.85 | 7.57% | 15 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 28 | 32 | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 1586 | 19 | 17.71 | +1.29 | 75.70% | 8 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 22 | 27 | ||
| Chicago Sky | 1525 | 16 | 16.27 | -0.27 | 53.38% | 6 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 27 | ||
| Dallas Wings | 1447 | 14 | 14.59 | -0.59 | 49.21% | 4 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 19 | 24 | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1428 | 12 | 13.93 | -1.93 | 28.99% | 5 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 23 | ||
| Washington Mystics | 1396 | 12 | 13.27 | -1.27 | 38.61% | 4 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 22 | ||
| New York Liberty | 1333 | 12 | 9.51 | +2.49 | 88.43% | 1 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 22 | ||
| Atlanta Dream | 1297 | 8 | 10.89 | -2.89 | 17.24% | 3 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 20 | ||
| Indiana Fever | 1270 | 6 | 8.19 | -2.19 | 23.47% | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 17 |
Head-to-Head
Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win.
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Wings | Fever | Aces | Sparks | Lynx | Liberty | Mercury | Storm | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | — |
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
3-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
3-0
(2.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
3-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.6 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
| Dallas Wings |
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.9 exp.)
|
— |
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
— |
0-3
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Las Vegas Aces |
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.6 exp.)
|
— |
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
3-0
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
— |
0-3
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
3-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(2.4 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.4 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
3-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
0-3
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.4 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(2.5 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
— |
Scoreline Distribution
Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | 0.52% | 1.30% | 0.78% | — | — | — | 2.60% |
| 60–69 | 0.52% | 2.08% | 5.73% | 3.65% | 1.30% | — | — | 13.28% |
| 70–79 | 1.30% | 5.73% | 6.77% | 10.94% | 3.12% | 2.60% | 0.26% | 30.73% |
| 80–89 | 0.78% | 3.65% | 10.94% | 11.98% | 5.47% | 1.04% | — | 33.85% |
| 90–99 | — | 1.30% | 3.12% | 5.47% | 2.60% | 1.04% | 0.26% | 13.80% |
| 100–109 | — | — | 2.60% | 1.04% | 1.04% | 0.52% | — | 5.21% |
| 110+ | — | — | 0.26% | — | 0.26% | — | — | 0.52% |
| Total | 2.60% | 13.28% | 30.73% | 33.85% | 13.80% | 5.21% | 0.52% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 80.66 | 80.66 | +0.00 |
| SD | 10.90 | 10.90 | 13.98 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 118 | 118 | +36 |
| Min | 53 | 53 | -36 |
Games Played: 192
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 70–79 | — | 3.12% | 6.25% | 15.62% | 3.12% | 3.12% | — | 31.25% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 6.25% | 9.38% | 6.25% | 3.12% | — | 25.00% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 6.25% | 3.12% | — | 3.12% | 12.50% |
| 100–109 | — | — | 3.12% | — | 3.12% | — | — | 6.25% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 9.38% | 28.12% | 37.50% | 15.62% | 6.25% | 3.12% | 100% |
Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 78.69 | 84.31 | -5.62 |
| SD | 10.30 | 10.90 | 10.38 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 101 | 118 | +23 |
| Min | 64 | 64 | -24 |
Games Played: 32
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | 3.12% | — | — | — | — | 3.12% |
| 60–69 | — | 3.12% | 3.12% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 70–79 | 3.12% | 3.12% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 3.12% | — | 21.88% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 12.50% | 9.38% | 9.38% | 3.12% | — | 34.38% |
| 90–99 | — | 3.12% | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | 6.25% | — | 28.12% |
| 100–109 | — | — | 3.12% | 3.12% | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 3.12% | 9.38% | 34.38% | 31.25% | 9.38% | 12.50% | — | 100% |
Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 83.25 | 81.94 | +1.31 |
| SD | 11.65 | 10.79 | 13.40 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 107 | 103 | +32 |
| Min | 58 | 56 | -33 |
Games Played: 32
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | — | 3.12% | 3.12% | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 70–79 | 9.38% | 21.88% | 6.25% | 3.12% | — | — | — | 40.62% |
| 80–89 | 6.25% | 12.50% | 15.62% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | 46.88% |
| 90–99 | — | 3.12% | 3.12% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 15.62% | 37.50% | 28.12% | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | — | 100% |
Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 79.72 | 69.91 | +9.81 |
| SD | 7.08 | 9.85 | 11.27 |
| CV | 0.09 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 98 | 91 | +29 |
| Min | 66 | 54 | -23 |
Games Played: 32
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 60–69 | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 70–79 | 3.12% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 15.62% | 3.12% | — | — | 34.38% |
| 80–89 | — | 3.12% | 9.38% | 15.62% | 3.12% | — | — | 31.25% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 6.25% | — | 3.12% | 6.25% | — | 15.62% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | — | 3.12% | 3.12% | — | 6.25% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 3.12% | 15.62% | 21.88% | 37.50% | 12.50% | 9.38% | — | 100% |
Dallas Wings — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 81.12 | 81.66 | -0.53 |
| SD | 11.29 | 11.25 | 11.77 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 102 | 105 | +25 |
| Min | 56 | 59 | -27 |
Games Played: 32
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | 3.12% | — | — | 21.88% |
| 70–79 | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 25.00% | 6.25% | 3.12% | 3.12% | 50.00% |
| 80–89 | — | 3.12% | 3.12% | 12.50% | 9.38% | — | — | 28.12% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 9.38% | 15.62% | 50.00% | 18.75% | 3.12% | 3.12% | 100% |
Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 75.31 | 85.12 | -9.81 |
| SD | 6.88 | 9.85 | 12.09 |
| CV | 0.09 | 0.12 | — |
| Max | 89 | 113 | +13 |
| Min | 63 | 67 | -36 |
Games Played: 32
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | 3.12% | — | 12.50% | — | — | — | — | 15.62% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 3.12% | — | — | — | — | 3.12% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 12.50% | 6.25% | 9.38% | — | — | 28.12% |
| 90–99 | — | 3.12% | 6.25% | 12.50% | 9.38% | — | — | 31.25% |
| 100–109 | — | — | 12.50% | 3.12% | — | — | — | 15.62% |
| 110+ | — | — | 3.12% | — | 3.12% | — | — | 6.25% |
| Total | 3.12% | 3.12% | 50.00% | 21.88% | 21.88% | — | — | 100% |
Las Vegas Aces — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 89.25 | 80.19 | +9.06 |
| SD | 13.56 | 9.07 | 13.85 |
| CV | 0.15 | 0.11 | — |
| Max | 118 | 99 | +36 |
| Min | 62 | 58 | -14 |
Games Played: 32
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | 6.25% | 3.12% | — | — | — | — | 9.38% |
| 60–69 | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | 9.38% | 3.12% | — | — | 31.25% |
| 70–79 | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | 9.38% | 6.25% | — | — | 34.38% |
| 80–89 | 3.12% | — | 3.12% | 15.62% | — | — | — | 21.88% |
| 90–99 | — | 3.12% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 3.12% | 21.88% | 31.25% | 34.38% | 9.38% | — | — | 100% |
Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 72.75 | 77.09 | -4.34 |
| SD | 9.96 | 10.76 | 14.28 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 98 | 99 | +35 |
| Min | 57 | 53 | -28 |
Games Played: 32
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | 3.12% | — | 3.12% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 70–79 | — | 6.25% | 9.38% | 9.38% | 6.25% | — | — | 31.25% |
| 80–89 | — | 6.25% | 18.75% | 9.38% | — | 6.25% | — | 40.62% |
| 90–99 | — | 3.12% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 15.62% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | 3.12% | 3.12% | — | — | 6.25% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 3.12% | 15.62% | 37.50% | 28.12% | 9.38% | 6.25% | — | 100% |
Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 82.72 | 78.72 | +4.00 |
| SD | 9.43 | 11.19 | 12.92 |
| CV | 0.11 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 101 | 105 | +31 |
| Min | 60 | 57 | -21 |
Games Played: 32
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | 3.12% | — | — | — | — | 3.12% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 6.25% | 9.38% | 6.25% | — | — | 21.88% |
| 70–79 | — | 3.12% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 3.12% | 12.50% | — | 31.25% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 9.38% | 9.38% | 9.38% | — | — | 28.12% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 9.38% | 3.12% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 100–109 | — | — | 3.12% | — | — | — | — | 3.12% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 3.12% | 28.12% | 34.38% | 21.88% | 12.50% | — | 100% |
New York Liberty — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 78.47 | 85.50 | -7.03 |
| SD | 10.59 | 10.31 | 13.71 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.12 | — |
| Max | 101 | 106 | +23 |
| Min | 54 | 65 | -29 |
Games Played: 32
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | 3.12% | — | — | — | — | 3.12% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 3.12% | 3.12% | 3.12% | — | — | 9.38% |
| 70–79 | — | 3.12% | 9.38% | 12.50% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 80–89 | — | 12.50% | 6.25% | 25.00% | 3.12% | — | — | 46.88% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 3.12% | 3.12% | 3.12% | — | — | 9.38% |
| 100–109 | — | — | 3.12% | 3.12% | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 15.62% | 28.12% | 46.88% | 9.38% | — | — | 100% |
Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 82.06 | 79.50 | +2.56 |
| SD | 9.93 | 8.32 | 12.80 |
| CV | 0.12 | 0.10 | — |
| Max | 106 | 99 | +27 |
| Min | 59 | 64 | -31 |
Games Played: 32
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | 3.12% | — | — | — | 3.12% |
| 60–69 | — | 3.12% | 3.12% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 70–79 | — | 6.25% | 3.12% | 6.25% | — | 3.12% | — | 18.75% |
| 80–89 | — | 3.12% | 25.00% | 6.25% | 3.12% | — | — | 37.50% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 6.25% | 15.62% | 3.12% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 100–109 | — | — | 3.12% | — | 3.12% | 3.12% | — | 9.38% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 12.50% | 40.62% | 31.25% | 9.38% | 6.25% | — | 100% |
Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 84.81 | 80.38 | +4.44 |
| SD | 11.39 | 10.79 | 13.66 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 105 | 107 | +34 |
| Min | 53 | 62 | -32 |
Games Played: 32
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | 110+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | 3.12% | — | — | — | — | 3.12% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 3.12% | — | — | — | — | 3.12% |
| 70–79 | — | 3.12% | 6.25% | 21.88% | 9.38% | 6.25% | — | 46.88% |
| 80–89 | — | 3.12% | 9.38% | 18.75% | 6.25% | — | — | 37.50% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% |
| 100–109 | — | — | 3.12% | — | — | — | — | 3.12% |
| 110+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 6.25% | 25.00% | 40.62% | 21.88% | 6.25% | — | 100% |
Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 79.78 | 83.62 | -3.84 |
| SD | 8.79 | 9.44 | 12.98 |
| CV | 0.11 | 0.11 | — |
| Max | 101 | 105 | +29 |
| Min | 56 | 68 | -34 |
Games Played: 32
Actual Wins vs. Point Differential
Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx | 22 | 18.31 | +3.69 |
| 2 | Connecticut Sun | 26 | 22.54 | +3.46 |
| 3 | New York Liberty | 12 | 9.51 | +2.49 |
| 4 | Las Vegas Aces | 24 | 21.94 | +2.06 |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury | 19 | 17.71 | +1.29 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle Storm | 21 | 24.85 | -3.85 |
| 2 | Atlanta Dream | 8 | 10.89 | -2.89 |
| 3 | Indiana Fever | 6 | 8.19 | -2.19 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Sparks | 12 | 13.93 | -1.93 |
| 5 | Washington Mystics | 12 | 13.27 | -1.27 |
Top Streaks
The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx | 8 | Jun 23 – Aug 15 | 1 in 210 |
| 2 | Chicago Sky | 7 | Jun 9 – Jun 24 | 1 in 102 |
| 3 | Indiana Fever | 3 | Jul 3 – Jul 11 | 1 in 73 |
| 4 | Connecticut Sun | 14 | Jul 9 – Sep 19 | 1 in 49 |
| 5 | Dallas Wings | 3 | Jun 6 – Jun 11 | 1 in 44 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Sky | 7 | May 23 – Jun 5 | 1 in 223 |
| 2 | Atlanta Dream | 11 | Jul 2 – Sep 2 | 1 in 42 |
| 3 | Phoenix Mercury | 4 | Jun 8 – Jun 16 | 1 in 40 |
| 4 | Seattle Storm | 3 | Aug 24 – Aug 29 | 1 in 34 |
| 5 | Las Vegas Aces | 2 | Jul 7 – Jul 9 | 1 in 18 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 63.55% | 23.99% | 9.24% | 2.43% | 0.65% | 0.10% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% | — | — | — |
| Connecticut Sun | 19.86% | 35.44% | 27.24% | 11.32% | 4.23% | 1.33% | 0.39% | 0.18% | 0.01% | — | — | — |
| Las Vegas Aces | 13.90% | 29.63% | 33.05% | 14.53% | 5.84% | 2.01% | 0.78% | 0.21% | 0.05% | — | — | — |
| Minnesota Lynx | 1.41% | 5.26% | 12.74% | 26.64% | 23.45% | 15.15% | 8.41% | 4.22% | 1.86% | 0.76% | 0.10% | — |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.93% | 3.61% | 9.89% | 22.44% | 23.75% | 16.89% | 11.31% | 6.59% | 3.09% | 1.12% | 0.31% | 0.07% |
| Chicago Sky | 0.29% | 1.48% | 4.82% | 11.65% | 18.52% | 21.91% | 16.88% | 12.34% | 7.15% | 3.58% | 1.22% | 0.16% |
| Dallas Wings | 0.05% | 0.36% | 1.79% | 5.20% | 9.87% | 15.85% | 19.47% | 19.72% | 15.11% | 8.19% | 3.50% | 0.89% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.01% | 0.14% | 0.72% | 3.24% | 7.82% | 13.13% | 19.02% | 19.91% | 17.68% | 11.53% | 5.06% | 1.74% |
| Washington Mystics | — | 0.06% | 0.47% | 2.22% | 4.61% | 10.31% | 15.28% | 19.64% | 22.07% | 14.70% | 7.86% | 2.78% |
| Atlanta Dream | — | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.27% | 1.00% | 2.31% | 5.26% | 10.02% | 17.40% | 27.06% | 22.56% | 14.07% |
| New York Liberty | — | 0.02% | — | 0.05% | 0.20% | 0.80% | 2.57% | 5.34% | 10.24% | 20.45% | 31.76% | 28.57% |
| Indiana Fever | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.21% | 0.61% | 1.82% | 5.33% | 12.61% | 27.63% | 51.72% |
Win Totals in Context
How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | 7 Seed | 8 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 63.55% | 23.99% | 9.24% | 2.43% | 0.65% | 0.10% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% |
| Connecticut Sun | 19.86% | 35.44% | 27.24% | 11.32% | 4.23% | 1.33% | 0.39% | 0.18% | 0.01% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 13.90% | 29.63% | 33.05% | 14.53% | 5.84% | 2.01% | 0.78% | 0.21% | 0.05% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 1.41% | 5.26% | 12.74% | 26.64% | 23.45% | 15.15% | 8.41% | 4.22% | 2.72% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.93% | 3.61% | 9.89% | 22.44% | 23.75% | 16.89% | 11.31% | 6.59% | 4.59% |
| Chicago Sky | 0.29% | 1.48% | 4.82% | 11.65% | 18.52% | 21.91% | 16.88% | 12.34% | 12.11% |
| Dallas Wings | 0.05% | 0.36% | 1.79% | 5.20% | 9.87% | 15.85% | 19.47% | 19.72% | 27.69% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.01% | 0.14% | 0.72% | 3.24% | 7.82% | 13.13% | 19.02% | 19.91% | 36.01% |
| Washington Mystics | — | 0.06% | 0.47% | 2.22% | 4.61% | 10.31% | 15.28% | 19.64% | 47.41% |
| Atlanta Dream | — | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.27% | 1.00% | 2.31% | 5.26% | 10.02% | 81.09% |
| New York Liberty | — | 0.02% | — | 0.05% | 0.20% | 0.80% | 2.57% | 5.34% | 91.02% |
| Indiana Fever | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.21% | 0.61% | 1.82% | 97.29% |
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 89.87% | 89.87% | 65.60% | 46.90% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 83.65% | 83.65% | 48.09% | 27.19% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 77.95% | 51.84% | 24.17% | 9.81% |
| Seattle Storm | 94.80% | 94.80% | 38.18% | 9.76% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 72.26% | 38.49% | 14.68% | 4.56% |
| Chicago Sky | 56.25% | 21.85% | 6.52% | 1.36% |
| Dallas Wings | 32.61% | 9.13% | 1.46% | 0.19% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 25.46% | 5.99% | 0.85% | 0.16% |
| Washington Mystics | 18.09% | 3.62% | 0.40% | 0.07% |
| Atlanta Dream | 3.99% | 0.50% | 0.02% | — |
| Indiana Fever | 0.40% | 0.02% | — | — |
| New York Liberty | 1.96% | 0.24% | 0.03% | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.08% | 0.05% | 0.03% | 0.09% | 0.02% | 0.11% | 0.06% | 0.05% | ||||
| Chicago Sky | 0.17% | 2.02% | 1.66% | 2.70% | 1.34% | 5.12% | 0.06% | 5.01% | 0.98% | 1.02% | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.70% | 7.22% | 5.31% | 0.11% | 0.74% | 4.09% | 5.64% | 0.40% | 6.90% | 0.12% | 3.34% | |
| Dallas Wings | 0.04% | 1.16% | 0.76% | 0.01% | 1.50% | 0.55% | 1.99% | 0.02% | 1.69% | 0.69% | 0.31% | |
| Indiana Fever | 0.01% | 0.01% | ||||||||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 1.06% | 8.43% | 0.45% | 5.98% | 0.10% | 5.09% | 6.77% | 0.63% | 7.95% | 0.16% | 3.50% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.04% | 0.67% | 0.61% | 0.49% | 0.01% | 1.04% | 1.20% | 1.09% | 0.48% | 0.21% | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.68% | 9.79% | 2.69% | 5.06% | 0.07% | 4.12% | 4.44% | 0.36% | 13.61% | 1.14% | 3.21% | |
| New York Liberty | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.06% | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.01% | |||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.55% | 6.86% | 2.33% | 4.11% | 0.04% | 3.69% | 2.93% | 10.16% | 0.14% | 1.07% | 2.07% | |
| Seattle Storm | 0.22% | 1.54% | 0.03% | 1.06% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 1.06% | 0.97% | 0.13% | 1.25% | 0.86% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.04% | 0.37% | 0.46% | 0.19% | 0.01% | 0.63% | 0.10% | 0.75% | 0.72% | 0.29% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.01% | 0.01% | ||||||||||
| Chicago Sky | 0.65% | 0.03% | 0.84% | 0.16% | 0.20% | 4.64% | ||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.09% | 5.21% | 2.29% | 23.33% | 1.41% | 10.99% | 0.03% | 8.91% | 12.46% | 0.88% | ||
| Dallas Wings | 0.04% | 0.17% | 0.13% | 0.07% | 0.03% | 1.02% | ||||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.08% | 3.47% | 14.57% | 1.48% | 1.11% | 7.25% | 0.05% | 5.80% | 13.65% | 0.63% | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.04% | 0.07% | 0.03% | 0.71% | ||||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.02% | 0.43% | 4.29% | 0.17% | 4.07% | 0.10% | 0.75% | 14.31% | 0.03% | |||
| New York Liberty | 0.01% | 0.02% | ||||||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.01% | 0.21% | 1.86% | 0.05% | 2.30% | 0.07% | 0.62% | 0.01% | 9.52% | 0.03% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 0.28% | 5.96% | 2.67% | 3.64% | 0.02% | 4.75% | 2.45% | 8.57% | 0.12% | 8.07% | 1.65% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.02% | 0.28% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 0.51% | 0.02% | 0.30% | 0.22% | 0.13% | 0.17% | 0.01% | ||||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.01% | 2.62% | 0.61% | 12.84% | 0.33% | 7.72% | 0.01% | 5.66% | 16.89% | 0.21% | |
| Dallas Wings | 0.08% | 0.04% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | ||||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.01% | 1.56% | 8.77% | 0.33% | 0.18% | 4.72% | 0.02% | 3.08% | 8.42% | 0.10% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.05% | 0.03% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.03% | ||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.48% | 3.29% | 0.16% | 3.03% | 0.13% | 0.76% | 1.96% | ||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.21% | 1.51% | 0.07% | 1.22% | 0.02% | 0.62% | 0.91% | ||||
| Seattle Storm | 0.29% | 4.47% | 0.07% | 3.42% | 0.03% | 1.02% | 0.45% | 0.01% | |||
| Washington Mystics | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 100.00% | 82.78% | 51.29% | Eliminated in Semifinals |
| Las Vegas Aces | 100.00% | 65.54% | 29.40% | Eliminated in Semifinals |
| Phoenix Mercury | 35.77% | 8.41% | 3.18% | Eliminated in Finals |
| Chicago Sky | 21.98% | 3.07% | 1.09% | Won Finals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Sky | Dallas Wings | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 16.35% | 5.63% | ||||
| Dallas Wings | 6.88% | 2.51% | ||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 33.86% | 20.75% | 17.80% | |||
| Phoenix Mercury | 35.77% | |||||
| Seattle Storm | 8.74% | 5.28% | 42.07% | |||
| Washington Mystics | 4.36% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 2.85% | 0.22% | ||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 17.91% | 8.16% | 19.69% | 32.82% | 4.20% | |||
| Dallas Wings | 0.72% | 0.07% | ||||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 1.00% | 0.44% | 45.79% | 7.67% | 10.64% | |||
| Minnesota Lynx | 26.62% | |||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 5.39% | 3.02% | ||||||
| Seattle Storm | 8.10% | 4.53% | ||||||
| Washington Mystics | 0.16% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 0.03% | 0.66% | 0.10% | 0.08% | 0.22% | |||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.19% | 0.05% | 32.31% | 14.17% | 1.90% | 2.67% | ||
| Dallas Wings | 0.02% | 0.12% | 0.03% | 0.03% | ||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 1.32% | 21.99% | 0.42% | 2.13% | 3.45% | 0.09% | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.08% | 7.34% | 0.02% | 1.09% | 1.78% | |||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.18% | 0.80% | 0.03% | 1.33% | 0.84% | |||
| Seattle Storm | 0.21% | 1.31% | 0.07% | 1.67% | 1.20% | 0.02% | ||
| Washington Mystics | 0.05% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-14 | Connecticut Sun | L 67-78 | 1420.49 | 1570.10 | 32.85% | 67.15% | -13.99 | 0-1 |
| 2021-05-19 | Chicago Sky | L 77-85 | 1406.50 | 1518.86 | 37.74% | 62.26% | -13.70 | 0-2 |
| 2021-05-21 | @ Indiana Fever | W 83-79 | 1392.80 | 1346.81 | 52.96% | 47.04% | +12.08 | 1-2 |
| 2021-05-25 | @ Chicago Sky | W 90-83 | 1404.88 | 1504.94 | 32.69% | 67.31% | +22.86 | 2-2 |
| 2021-05-27 | Dallas Wings | W 101-95 | 1427.74 | 1456.18 | 49.56% | 50.44% | +15.87 | 3-2 |
| 2021-05-29 | @ New York Liberty | W 90-87 | 1443.61 | 1404.90 | 51.92% | 48.08% | +10.69 | 4-2 |
| 2021-06-04 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 84-86 | 1454.30 | 1489.21 | 41.41% | 58.59% | -7.52 | 4-3 |
| 2021-06-06 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 80-100 | 1446.78 | 1496.73 | 39.33% | 60.67% | -22.58 | 4-4 |
| 2021-06-09 | Seattle Storm | L 71-95 | 1424.20 | 1710.94 | 18.18% | 81.82% | -11.43 | 4-5 |
| 2021-06-11 | Seattle Storm | L 75-86 | 1412.77 | 1722.37 | 16.30% | 83.70% | -6.95 | 4-6 |
| 2021-06-13 | Washington Mystics | W 101-78 | 1405.82 | 1491.50 | 41.41% | 58.59% | +36.08 | 5-6 |
| 2021-06-17 | @ Washington Mystics | L 93-96 | 1441.90 | 1455.42 | 44.43% | 55.57% | -9.88 | 5-7 |
| 2021-06-23 | Minnesota Lynx | L 85-87 | 1432.02 | 1489.42 | 45.41% | 54.59% | -8.24 | 5-8 |
| 2021-06-26 | New York Liberty | L 78-101 | 1423.78 | 1344.67 | 64.60% | 35.40% | -39.78 | 5-9 |
| 2021-06-29 | New York Liberty | W 73-69 | 1384.00 | 1384.45 | 53.58% | 46.42% | +11.92 | 6-9 |
| 2021-07-02 | @ Seattle Storm | L 88-91 | 1395.92 | 1727.02 | 11.38% | 88.62% | -2.53 | 6-10 |
| 2021-07-04 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 95-118 | 1393.39 | 1695.76 | 13.16% | 86.84% | -8.11 | 6-11 |
| 2021-07-09 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 72-84 | 1385.28 | 1609.94 | 19.17% | 80.83% | -8.52 | 6-12 |
| 2021-07-11 | Indiana Fever | L 68-79 | 1376.76 | 1302.03 | 64.02% | 35.98% | -27.26 | 6-13 |
| 2021-08-15 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 81-92 | 1349.50 | 1503.49 | 26.26% | 73.74% | -11.19 | 6-14 |
| 2021-08-17 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 80-85 | 1338.31 | 1399.30 | 37.82% | 62.18% | -10.86 | 6-15 |
| 2021-08-19 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 64-66 | 1327.45 | 1410.16 | 34.93% | 65.07% | -6.34 | 6-16 |
| 2021-08-21 | Phoenix Mercury | L 69-84 | 1321.11 | 1536.25 | 25.12% | 74.88% | -12.49 | 6-17 |
| 2021-08-24 | Chicago Sky | L 79-86 | 1308.62 | 1504.97 | 27.21% | 72.79% | -9.24 | 6-18 |
| 2021-08-26 | Las Vegas Aces | L 71-78 | 1299.38 | 1650.29 | 13.31% | 86.69% | -4.52 | 6-19 |
| 2021-09-02 | @ Dallas Wings | L 68-72 | 1294.86 | 1469.50 | 24.02% | 75.98% | -6.17 | 6-20 |
| 2021-09-05 | @ Dallas Wings | W 69-64 | 1288.69 | 1475.67 | 22.75% | 77.25% | +22.18 | 7-20 |
| 2021-09-08 | Phoenix Mercury | L 75-76 | 1310.87 | 1622.62 | 16.13% | 83.87% | -2.07 | 7-21 |
| 2021-09-10 | @ Washington Mystics | L 74-82 | 1308.80 | 1390.74 | 35.03% | 64.97% | -12.72 | 7-22 |
| 2021-09-14 | Indiana Fever | W 85-78 | 1296.08 | 1300.90 | 52.95% | 47.05% | +15.98 | 8-22 |
| 2021-09-16 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 68-74 | 1312.06 | 1426.54 | 37.45% | 62.55% | -11.78 | 8-23 |
| 2021-09-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 64-84 | 1300.28 | 1761.27 | 5.73% | 94.27% | -3.29 | 8-24 |
| 2021-05-15 | @ Washington Mystics | W 70-56 | 1493.00 | 1494.29 | 46.17% | 53.83% | +25.86 | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-19 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 85-77 | 1518.86 | 1406.50 | 62.26% | 37.74% | +13.70 | 2-0 |
| 2021-05-23 | New York Liberty | L 85-93 | 1532.56 | 1357.08 | 76.06% | 23.94% | -27.62 | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-25 | Atlanta Dream | L 83-90 | 1504.94 | 1404.88 | 67.31% | 32.69% | -22.87 | 2-2 |
| 2021-05-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 61-76 | 1482.07 | 1474.22 | 54.77% | 45.23% | -27.23 | 2-3 |
| 2021-05-30 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 79-82 | 1454.84 | 1501.45 | 46.95% | 53.05% | -10.44 | 2-4 |
| 2021-06-01 | Phoenix Mercury | L 83-84 | 1444.40 | 1518.66 | 43.01% | 56.99% | -5.53 | 2-5 |
| 2021-06-03 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 74-77 | 1438.87 | 1524.18 | 34.59% | 65.41% | -7.69 | 2-6 |
| 2021-06-05 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-68 | 1431.18 | 1506.86 | 35.85% | 64.15% | -10.29 | 2-7 |
| 2021-06-09 | Indiana Fever | W 92-76 | 1420.89 | 1299.39 | 69.96% | 30.04% | +15.43 | 3-7 |
| 2021-06-12 | @ Indiana Fever | W 83-79 | 1436.32 | 1283.96 | 67.50% | 32.50% | +8.34 | 4-7 |
| 2021-06-15 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 105-89 | 1444.66 | 1527.31 | 34.94% | 65.06% | +33.42 | 5-7 |
| 2021-06-17 | Connecticut Sun | W 81-75 | 1478.08 | 1627.17 | 32.91% | 67.09% | +21.10 | 6-7 |
| 2021-06-19 | Connecticut Sun | W 91-81 | 1499.18 | 1606.07 | 38.48% | 61.52% | +24.98 | 7-7 |
| 2021-06-22 | @ New York Liberty | W 92-72 | 1524.16 | 1381.93 | 66.21% | 33.79% | +19.40 | 8-7 |
| 2021-06-24 | @ New York Liberty | W 91-68 | 1543.56 | 1362.52 | 71.01% | 28.99% | +17.85 | 9-7 |
| 2021-06-27 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 58-74 | 1561.41 | 1595.53 | 41.52% | 58.48% | -21.32 | 9-8 |
| 2021-06-30 | @ Dallas Wings | W 91-81 | 1540.09 | 1522.25 | 48.91% | 51.09% | +20.74 | 10-8 |
| 2021-07-02 | @ Dallas Wings | L 91-100 | 1560.83 | 1501.50 | 54.87% | 45.13% | -21.14 | 10-9 |
| 2021-07-10 | Washington Mystics | L 85-89 | 1539.69 | 1427.05 | 68.88% | 31.12% | -17.69 | 10-10 |
| 2021-08-15 | Seattle Storm | W 87-85 | 1522.00 | 1719.06 | 27.13% | 72.87% | +13.24 | 11-10 |
| 2021-08-17 | Dallas Wings | L 76-80 | 1535.24 | 1459.52 | 64.15% | 35.85% | -16.48 | 11-11 |
| 2021-08-21 | Minnesota Lynx | L 95-101 | 1518.76 | 1587.15 | 43.84% | 56.16% | -13.79 | 11-12 |
| 2021-08-24 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 86-79 | 1504.97 | 1308.62 | 72.79% | 27.21% | +9.25 | 12-12 |
| 2021-08-27 | @ Seattle Storm | W 73-69 | 1514.22 | 1679.51 | 25.02% | 74.98% | +19.25 | 13-12 |
| 2021-08-29 | @ Seattle Storm | W 107-75 | 1533.47 | 1660.25 | 29.40% | 70.60% | +51.28 | 14-12 |
| 2021-08-31 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 83-103 | 1584.75 | 1579.20 | 47.15% | 52.85% | -27.08 | 14-13 |
| 2021-09-02 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 83-90 | 1557.67 | 1662.45 | 32.10% | 67.90% | -10.90 | 14-14 |
| 2021-09-05 | Las Vegas Aces | W 92-84 | 1546.77 | 1673.36 | 35.83% | 64.17% | +23.30 | 15-14 |
| 2021-09-12 | Washington Mystics | L 71-79 | 1570.07 | 1403.46 | 75.12% | 24.88% | -27.28 | 15-15 |
| 2021-09-17 | Las Vegas Aces | L 70-103 | 1542.79 | 1684.21 | 33.90% | 66.10% | -25.00 | 15-16 |
| 2021-09-19 | Indiana Fever | W 98-87 | 1517.79 | 1277.17 | 82.22% | 17.78% | +7.57 | 16-16 |
| 2021-05-14 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 78-67 | 1570.10 | 1420.49 | 67.15% | 32.85% | +13.99 | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-16 | Phoenix Mercury | W 86-78 | 1584.09 | 1530.32 | 61.20% | 38.80% | +14.09 | 2-0 |
| 2021-05-19 | Indiana Fever | W 88-67 | 1598.18 | 1357.26 | 82.24% | 17.76% | +10.45 | 3-0 |
| 2021-05-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 84-67 | 1608.63 | 1543.75 | 55.66% | 44.34% | +23.47 | 4-0 |
| 2021-05-23 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 72-65 | 1632.10 | 1626.11 | 47.21% | 52.79% | +17.93 | 5-0 |
| 2021-05-25 | @ Seattle Storm | L 87-90 | 1650.03 | 1697.80 | 39.63% | 60.37% | -8.81 | 5-1 |
| 2021-05-28 | Washington Mystics | W 86-81 | 1641.22 | 1460.55 | 76.60% | 23.40% | +6.72 | 6-1 |
| 2021-05-30 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 74-79 | 1647.94 | 1468.89 | 70.78% | 29.22% | -20.32 | 6-2 |
| 2021-06-01 | Las Vegas Aces | W 74-67 | 1627.62 | 1640.57 | 51.79% | 48.21% | +16.37 | 7-2 |
| 2021-06-05 | New York Liberty | W 85-64 | 1643.99 | 1383.73 | 83.81% | 16.19% | +9.53 | 8-2 |
| 2021-06-13 | Seattle Storm | L 66-89 | 1653.52 | 1729.32 | 42.80% | 57.20% | -26.35 | 8-3 |
| 2021-06-17 | @ Chicago Sky | L 75-81 | 1627.17 | 1478.08 | 67.09% | 32.91% | -21.10 | 8-4 |
| 2021-06-19 | @ Chicago Sky | L 81-91 | 1606.07 | 1499.18 | 61.52% | 38.48% | -24.98 | 8-5 |
| 2021-06-22 | Dallas Wings | W 80-70 | 1581.09 | 1503.32 | 64.42% | 35.58% | +14.44 | 9-5 |
| 2021-06-27 | Chicago Sky | W 74-58 | 1595.53 | 1561.41 | 58.48% | 41.52% | +21.33 | 10-5 |
| 2021-06-29 | @ Washington Mystics | W 90-71 | 1616.86 | 1457.17 | 68.42% | 31.58% | +17.67 | 11-5 |
| 2021-07-01 | @ Indiana Fever | W 86-80 | 1634.53 | 1247.69 | 88.90% | 11.10% | +3.49 | 12-5 |
| 2021-07-03 | @ Indiana Fever | L 67-73 | 1638.02 | 1244.20 | 89.29% | 10.71% | -28.08 | 12-6 |
| 2021-07-09 | Atlanta Dream | W 84-72 | 1609.94 | 1385.28 | 80.83% | 19.17% | +8.52 | 13-6 |
| 2021-07-11 | @ New York Liberty | W 71-54 | 1618.46 | 1369.82 | 78.33% | 21.67% | +11.47 | 14-6 |
| 2021-08-15 | @ Dallas Wings | W 80-59 | 1629.93 | 1478.73 | 67.36% | 32.64% | +19.21 | 15-6 |
| 2021-08-17 | Minnesota Lynx | W 72-60 | 1649.14 | 1621.93 | 57.51% | 42.49% | +18.90 | 16-6 |
| 2021-08-19 | Minnesota Lynx | W 82-71 | 1668.04 | 1603.03 | 62.72% | 37.28% | +15.88 | 17-6 |
| 2021-08-24 | Las Vegas Aces | W 76-62 | 1683.92 | 1671.73 | 55.39% | 44.61% | +21.43 | 18-6 |
| 2021-08-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 76-72 | 1705.35 | 1407.11 | 86.56% | 13.44% | +3.45 | 19-6 |
| 2021-08-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 76-61 | 1708.80 | 1403.66 | 87.02% | 12.98% | +6.46 | 20-6 |
| 2021-08-31 | @ Washington Mystics | W 85-75 | 1715.26 | 1424.37 | 82.18% | 17.82% | +7.23 | 21-6 |
| 2021-09-07 | @ Dallas Wings | W 83-56 | 1722.49 | 1453.49 | 80.26% | 19.74% | +13.18 | 22-6 |
| 2021-09-09 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 75-57 | 1735.67 | 1379.81 | 87.02% | 12.98% | +7.07 | 23-6 |
| 2021-09-11 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 76-67 | 1742.74 | 1624.69 | 63.03% | 36.97% | +14.24 | 24-6 |
| 2021-09-15 | New York Liberty | W 98-69 | 1756.98 | 1310.40 | 93.80% | 6.20% | +4.29 | 25-6 |
| 2021-09-19 | Atlanta Dream | W 84-64 | 1761.27 | 1300.28 | 94.27% | 5.73% | +3.29 | 26-6 |
| 2021-05-14 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 94-71 | 1440.96 | 1536.78 | 33.23% | 66.77% | +41.12 | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-22 | Seattle Storm | L 97-100 | 1482.08 | 1692.09 | 25.68% | 74.32% | -5.71 | 1-1 |
| 2021-05-24 | @ New York Liberty | L 81-88 | 1476.37 | 1384.71 | 59.42% | 40.58% | -20.19 | 1-2 |
| 2021-05-27 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 95-101 | 1456.18 | 1427.74 | 50.44% | 49.56% | -15.86 | 1-3 |
| 2021-05-29 | Phoenix Mercury | L 85-89 | 1440.32 | 1507.35 | 44.03% | 55.97% | -11.31 | 1-4 |
| 2021-06-01 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 79-69 | 1429.01 | 1511.89 | 41.80% | 58.20% | +23.63 | 2-4 |
| 2021-06-04 | @ Seattle Storm | L 102-105 | 1452.64 | 1718.32 | 15.77% | 84.23% | -3.51 | 2-5 |
| 2021-06-06 | @ Seattle Storm | W 68-67 | 1449.13 | 1721.83 | 15.24% | 84.76% | +10.89 | 3-5 |
| 2021-06-08 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 85-81 | 1460.02 | 1531.88 | 36.36% | 63.64% | +16.34 | 4-5 |
| 2021-06-11 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 77-59 | 1476.36 | 1515.53 | 40.82% | 59.18% | +32.24 | 5-5 |
| 2021-06-13 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 78-85 | 1508.60 | 1641.12 | 28.72% | 71.28% | -9.76 | 5-6 |
| 2021-06-17 | Minnesota Lynx | L 73-85 | 1498.84 | 1493.89 | 54.35% | 45.65% | -24.17 | 5-7 |
| 2021-06-19 | Minnesota Lynx | W 95-77 | 1474.67 | 1518.07 | 47.41% | 52.59% | +28.65 | 6-7 |
| 2021-06-22 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 70-80 | 1503.32 | 1581.09 | 35.58% | 64.42% | -14.45 | 6-8 |
| 2021-06-24 | @ Indiana Fever | W 89-64 | 1488.87 | 1263.08 | 76.02% | 23.98% | +15.40 | 7-8 |
| 2021-06-26 | Washington Mystics | W 85-74 | 1504.27 | 1475.15 | 57.78% | 42.22% | +17.98 | 8-8 |
| 2021-06-30 | Chicago Sky | L 81-91 | 1522.25 | 1540.09 | 51.09% | 48.91% | -20.75 | 8-9 |
| 2021-07-02 | Chicago Sky | W 100-91 | 1501.50 | 1560.83 | 45.13% | 54.87% | +21.14 | 9-9 |
| 2021-07-05 | @ New York Liberty | L 96-99 | 1522.64 | 1384.98 | 65.62% | 34.38% | -14.59 | 9-10 |
| 2021-07-07 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 79-85 | 1508.05 | 1557.60 | 39.38% | 60.62% | -12.39 | 9-11 |
| 2021-07-11 | Las Vegas Aces | L 79-95 | 1495.66 | 1644.35 | 32.96% | 67.04% | -16.93 | 9-12 |
| 2021-08-15 | Connecticut Sun | L 59-80 | 1478.73 | 1629.93 | 32.64% | 67.36% | -19.21 | 9-13 |
| 2021-08-17 | @ Chicago Sky | W 80-76 | 1459.52 | 1535.24 | 35.85% | 64.15% | +16.48 | 10-13 |
| 2021-08-20 | Indiana Fever | L 81-83 | 1476.00 | 1312.76 | 74.76% | 25.24% | -13.58 | 10-14 |
| 2021-08-26 | @ Washington Mystics | W 82-77 | 1462.42 | 1431.45 | 50.80% | 49.20% | +14.13 | 11-14 |
| 2021-08-28 | @ Washington Mystics | L 75-76 | 1476.55 | 1417.33 | 54.85% | 45.15% | -7.05 | 11-15 |
| 2021-09-02 | Atlanta Dream | W 72-68 | 1469.50 | 1294.86 | 75.98% | 24.02% | +6.17 | 12-15 |
| 2021-09-05 | Atlanta Dream | L 64-69 | 1475.67 | 1288.69 | 77.25% | 22.75% | -22.18 | 12-16 |
| 2021-09-07 | Connecticut Sun | L 56-83 | 1453.49 | 1722.49 | 19.74% | 80.26% | -13.17 | 12-17 |
| 2021-09-11 | New York Liberty | W 77-76 | 1440.32 | 1314.18 | 70.52% | 29.48% | +3.79 | 13-17 |
| 2021-09-13 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 75-85 | 1444.11 | 1676.71 | 18.47% | 81.53% | -7.50 | 13-18 |
| 2021-09-19 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 87-84 | 1436.61 | 1438.32 | 53.40% | 46.60% | +10.36 | 14-18 |
| 2021-05-14 | @ New York Liberty | L 87-90 | 1391.74 | 1319.73 | 56.67% | 43.33% | -12.61 | 0-1 |
| 2021-05-16 | New York Liberty | L 65-73 | 1379.13 | 1332.34 | 60.24% | 39.76% | -21.87 | 0-2 |
| 2021-05-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 67-88 | 1357.26 | 1598.18 | 17.76% | 82.24% | -10.45 | 0-3 |
| 2021-05-21 | Atlanta Dream | L 79-83 | 1346.81 | 1392.80 | 47.04% | 52.96% | -12.08 | 0-4 |
| 2021-05-23 | Washington Mystics | W 89-77 | 1334.73 | 1467.40 | 35.03% | 64.97% | +28.90 | 1-4 |
| 2021-05-25 | Washington Mystics | L 69-85 | 1363.63 | 1438.51 | 42.92% | 57.08% | -22.05 | 1-5 |
| 2021-05-28 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 77-113 | 1341.58 | 1621.11 | 14.74% | 85.26% | -11.35 | 1-6 |
| 2021-05-30 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 78-101 | 1330.23 | 1632.46 | 13.17% | 86.83% | -8.11 | 1-7 |
| 2021-06-01 | @ Seattle Storm | L 73-88 | 1322.12 | 1714.19 | 8.29% | 91.71% | -4.13 | 1-8 |
| 2021-06-03 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-98 | 1317.99 | 1488.26 | 24.49% | 75.51% | -18.60 | 1-9 |
| 2021-06-09 | @ Chicago Sky | L 76-92 | 1299.39 | 1420.89 | 30.04% | 69.96% | -15.43 | 1-10 |
| 2021-06-12 | Chicago Sky | L 79-83 | 1283.96 | 1436.32 | 32.50% | 67.50% | -8.34 | 1-11 |
| 2021-06-15 | Seattle Storm | L 70-87 | 1275.62 | 1755.67 | 6.80% | 93.20% | -3.60 | 1-12 |
| 2021-06-17 | Seattle Storm | L 69-79 | 1272.02 | 1759.27 | 6.55% | 93.45% | -2.66 | 1-13 |
| 2021-06-19 | @ Washington Mystics | L 77-82 | 1269.36 | 1465.30 | 21.86% | 78.14% | -6.28 | 1-14 |
| 2021-06-24 | Dallas Wings | L 64-89 | 1263.08 | 1488.87 | 23.98% | 76.02% | -15.39 | 1-15 |
| 2021-07-01 | Connecticut Sun | L 80-86 | 1247.69 | 1634.53 | 11.10% | 88.90% | -3.49 | 1-16 |
| 2021-07-03 | Connecticut Sun | W 73-67 | 1244.20 | 1638.02 | 10.71% | 89.29% | +28.08 | 2-16 |
| 2021-07-09 | New York Liberty | W 82-69 | 1272.28 | 1399.57 | 35.74% | 64.26% | +29.75 | 3-16 |
| 2021-07-11 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 79-68 | 1302.03 | 1376.76 | 35.98% | 64.02% | +27.26 | 4-16 |
| 2021-08-15 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 70-75 | 1329.29 | 1388.37 | 38.08% | 61.92% | -10.93 | 4-17 |
| 2021-08-17 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 80-84 | 1318.36 | 1514.68 | 21.82% | 78.18% | -5.60 | 4-18 |
| 2021-08-20 | @ Dallas Wings | W 83-81 | 1312.76 | 1476.00 | 25.24% | 74.76% | +13.57 | 5-18 |
| 2021-08-28 | Las Vegas Aces | L 71-87 | 1326.33 | 1654.82 | 14.87% | 85.13% | -7.64 | 5-19 |
| 2021-08-31 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 74-72 | 1318.69 | 1397.20 | 42.41% | 57.59% | +10.46 | 6-19 |
| 2021-09-04 | Phoenix Mercury | L 65-87 | 1329.15 | 1606.27 | 19.01% | 80.99% | -11.45 | 6-20 |
| 2021-09-06 | Phoenix Mercury | L 81-86 | 1317.70 | 1617.72 | 17.07% | 82.93% | -4.90 | 6-21 |
| 2021-09-10 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 72-89 | 1312.80 | 1616.06 | 13.10% | 86.90% | -6.94 | 6-22 |
| 2021-09-12 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 80-90 | 1305.86 | 1622.99 | 12.22% | 87.78% | -4.96 | 6-23 |
| 2021-09-14 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 78-85 | 1300.90 | 1296.08 | 47.05% | 52.95% | -15.98 | 6-24 |
| 2021-09-17 | Minnesota Lynx | L 73-92 | 1284.92 | 1627.96 | 13.84% | 86.16% | -7.75 | 6-25 |
| 2021-09-19 | @ Chicago Sky | L 87-98 | 1277.17 | 1517.79 | 17.78% | 82.22% | -7.57 | 6-26 |
| 2021-05-15 | @ Seattle Storm | L 83-97 | 1581.43 | 1702.94 | 30.04% | 69.96% | -14.43 | 0-1 |
| 2021-05-18 | @ Seattle Storm | W 96-80 | 1567.00 | 1717.37 | 26.66% | 73.34% | +37.66 | 1-1 |
| 2021-05-21 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 97-69 | 1604.66 | 1495.67 | 68.43% | 31.57% | +21.45 | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-23 | Connecticut Sun | L 65-72 | 1626.11 | 1632.10 | 52.79% | 47.21% | -17.93 | 2-2 |
| 2021-05-26 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 85-79 | 1608.18 | 1520.28 | 58.90% | 41.10% | +12.93 | 3-2 |
| 2021-05-28 | Indiana Fever | W 113-77 | 1621.11 | 1341.58 | 85.26% | 14.74% | +11.35 | 4-2 |
| 2021-05-30 | Indiana Fever | W 101-78 | 1632.46 | 1330.23 | 86.83% | 13.17% | +8.11 | 5-2 |
| 2021-06-01 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 67-74 | 1640.57 | 1627.62 | 48.21% | 51.79% | -16.38 | 5-3 |
| 2021-06-03 | @ New York Liberty | W 94-82 | 1624.19 | 1394.20 | 76.46% | 23.54% | +10.47 | 6-3 |
| 2021-06-05 | @ Washington Mystics | W 96-93 | 1634.66 | 1453.83 | 70.99% | 29.01% | +6.46 | 7-3 |
| 2021-06-13 | Dallas Wings | W 85-78 | 1641.12 | 1508.60 | 71.28% | 28.72% | +9.75 | 8-3 |
| 2021-06-15 | New York Liberty | W 100-78 | 1650.87 | 1386.63 | 84.12% | 15.88% | +9.57 | 9-3 |
| 2021-06-17 | New York Liberty | W 103-76 | 1660.44 | 1377.07 | 85.54% | 14.46% | +9.65 | 10-3 |
| 2021-06-25 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 89-90 | 1670.09 | 1497.66 | 69.98% | 30.02% | -8.99 | 10-4 |
| 2021-06-27 | Seattle Storm | W 95-92 | 1661.10 | 1739.84 | 42.38% | 57.62% | +12.82 | 11-4 |
| 2021-06-30 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 99-75 | 1673.92 | 1439.11 | 76.95% | 23.05% | +14.49 | 12-4 |
| 2021-07-02 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 66-58 | 1688.41 | 1424.61 | 79.78% | 20.22% | +7.35 | 13-4 |
| 2021-07-04 | Atlanta Dream | W 118-95 | 1695.76 | 1393.39 | 86.84% | 13.16% | +8.10 | 14-4 |
| 2021-07-07 | Phoenix Mercury | L 90-99 | 1703.86 | 1449.86 | 83.32% | 16.68% | -32.09 | 14-5 |
| 2021-07-09 | Minnesota Lynx | L 67-77 | 1671.77 | 1569.98 | 67.53% | 32.47% | -27.42 | 14-6 |
| 2021-07-11 | @ Dallas Wings | W 95-79 | 1644.35 | 1495.66 | 67.04% | 32.96% | +16.93 | 15-6 |
| 2021-08-15 | Washington Mystics | W 84-83 | 1661.28 | 1444.74 | 80.10% | 19.90% | +2.56 | 16-6 |
| 2021-08-17 | Washington Mystics | W 93-83 | 1663.84 | 1442.19 | 80.57% | 19.43% | +7.89 | 17-6 |
| 2021-08-24 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 62-76 | 1671.73 | 1683.92 | 44.61% | 55.39% | -21.44 | 17-7 |
| 2021-08-26 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 78-71 | 1650.29 | 1299.38 | 86.69% | 13.31% | +4.53 | 18-7 |
| 2021-08-28 | @ Indiana Fever | W 87-71 | 1654.82 | 1326.33 | 85.13% | 14.87% | +7.63 | 19-7 |
| 2021-09-02 | Chicago Sky | W 90-83 | 1662.45 | 1557.67 | 67.90% | 32.10% | +10.91 | 20-7 |
| 2021-09-05 | @ Chicago Sky | L 84-92 | 1673.36 | 1546.77 | 64.17% | 35.83% | -23.31 | 20-8 |
| 2021-09-08 | Minnesota Lynx | W 102-81 | 1650.05 | 1642.71 | 54.69% | 45.31% | +26.66 | 21-8 |
| 2021-09-13 | Dallas Wings | W 85-75 | 1676.71 | 1444.11 | 81.53% | 18.47% | +7.50 | 22-8 |
| 2021-09-17 | @ Chicago Sky | W 103-70 | 1684.21 | 1542.79 | 66.10% | 33.90% | +25.00 | 23-8 |
| 2021-09-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 84-83 | 1709.21 | 1590.71 | 63.09% | 36.91% | +4.74 | 24-8 |
| 2021-05-14 | Dallas Wings | L 71-94 | 1536.78 | 1440.96 | 66.77% | 33.23% | -41.11 | 0-1 |
| 2021-05-21 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 69-97 | 1495.67 | 1604.66 | 31.57% | 68.43% | -21.45 | 0-2 |
| 2021-05-28 | @ Chicago Sky | W 76-61 | 1474.22 | 1482.07 | 45.23% | 54.77% | +27.23 | 1-2 |
| 2021-05-30 | @ Chicago Sky | W 82-79 | 1501.45 | 1454.84 | 53.05% | 46.95% | +10.44 | 2-2 |
| 2021-06-01 | @ Dallas Wings | L 69-79 | 1511.89 | 1429.01 | 58.20% | 41.80% | -23.63 | 2-3 |
| 2021-06-03 | Indiana Fever | W 98-63 | 1488.26 | 1317.99 | 75.51% | 24.49% | +18.60 | 3-3 |
| 2021-06-05 | Chicago Sky | W 68-63 | 1506.86 | 1431.18 | 64.15% | 35.85% | +10.29 | 4-3 |
| 2021-06-10 | @ Washington Mystics | L 71-89 | 1517.15 | 1461.93 | 54.28% | 45.72% | -29.57 | 4-4 |
| 2021-06-12 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 64-80 | 1487.58 | 1504.76 | 43.91% | 56.09% | -22.55 | 4-5 |
| 2021-06-16 | Phoenix Mercury | W 85-80 | 1465.03 | 1470.87 | 52.81% | 47.19% | +13.55 | 5-5 |
| 2021-06-18 | Phoenix Mercury | L 66-80 | 1478.58 | 1457.32 | 56.67% | 43.33% | -27.23 | 5-6 |
| 2021-06-20 | New York Liberty | L 73-76 | 1451.35 | 1367.42 | 65.23% | 34.77% | -14.50 | 5-7 |
| 2021-06-24 | Washington Mystics | W 89-82 | 1436.85 | 1493.67 | 45.49% | 54.51% | +18.52 | 6-7 |
| 2021-06-27 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 79-88 | 1455.37 | 1484.54 | 42.21% | 57.79% | -16.26 | 6-8 |
| 2021-06-30 | Las Vegas Aces | L 75-99 | 1439.11 | 1673.92 | 23.05% | 76.95% | -14.50 | 6-9 |
| 2021-07-02 | Las Vegas Aces | L 58-66 | 1424.61 | 1688.41 | 20.22% | 79.78% | -7.35 | 6-10 |
| 2021-07-04 | Seattle Storm | L 74-84 | 1417.26 | 1729.55 | 16.09% | 83.91% | -6.53 | 6-11 |
| 2021-07-07 | @ Seattle Storm | L 62-71 | 1410.73 | 1736.09 | 11.72% | 88.28% | -4.51 | 6-12 |
| 2021-07-11 | Minnesota Lynx | L 61-86 | 1406.22 | 1597.40 | 27.80% | 72.20% | -17.85 | 6-13 |
| 2021-08-15 | Indiana Fever | W 75-70 | 1388.37 | 1329.29 | 61.92% | 38.08% | +10.93 | 7-13 |
| 2021-08-17 | Atlanta Dream | W 85-80 | 1399.30 | 1338.31 | 62.18% | 37.82% | +10.86 | 8-13 |
| 2021-08-19 | Atlanta Dream | W 66-64 | 1410.16 | 1327.45 | 65.07% | 34.93% | +6.34 | 9-13 |
| 2021-08-22 | @ New York Liberty | W 86-83 | 1416.50 | 1365.61 | 53.66% | 46.34% | +10.31 | 10-13 |
| 2021-08-24 | @ Washington Mystics | L 68-78 | 1426.81 | 1411.76 | 48.51% | 51.49% | -19.70 | 10-14 |
| 2021-08-26 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 72-76 | 1407.11 | 1705.35 | 13.44% | 86.56% | -3.45 | 10-15 |
| 2021-08-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 61-76 | 1403.66 | 1708.80 | 12.98% | 87.02% | -6.46 | 10-16 |
| 2021-08-31 | @ Indiana Fever | L 72-74 | 1397.20 | 1318.69 | 57.59% | 42.41% | -10.45 | 10-17 |
| 2021-09-02 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 57-66 | 1386.75 | 1624.85 | 17.99% | 82.01% | -6.94 | 10-18 |
| 2021-09-09 | Connecticut Sun | L 57-75 | 1379.81 | 1735.67 | 12.98% | 87.02% | -7.07 | 10-19 |
| 2021-09-12 | Seattle Storm | W 81-53 | 1372.74 | 1630.14 | 20.82% | 79.18% | +53.80 | 11-19 |
| 2021-09-16 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 74-68 | 1426.54 | 1312.06 | 62.55% | 37.45% | +11.78 | 12-19 |
| 2021-09-19 | @ Dallas Wings | L 84-87 | 1438.32 | 1436.61 | 46.60% | 53.40% | -10.37 | 12-20 |
| 2021-05-14 | Phoenix Mercury | L 75-77 | 1528.16 | 1520.38 | 54.76% | 45.24% | -9.94 | 0-1 |
| 2021-05-18 | @ New York Liberty | L 75-86 | 1518.22 | 1354.21 | 68.95% | 31.05% | -29.36 | 0-2 |
| 2021-05-20 | Seattle Storm | L 78-90 | 1488.86 | 1679.70 | 27.84% | 72.16% | -12.39 | 0-3 |
| 2021-05-28 | @ Seattle Storm | L 72-82 | 1476.47 | 1706.61 | 18.68% | 81.32% | -7.58 | 0-4 |
| 2021-05-30 | Connecticut Sun | W 79-74 | 1468.89 | 1647.94 | 29.22% | 70.78% | +20.32 | 1-4 |
| 2021-06-04 | Atlanta Dream | W 86-84 | 1489.21 | 1454.30 | 58.59% | 41.41% | +7.52 | 2-4 |
| 2021-06-06 | Atlanta Dream | W 100-80 | 1496.73 | 1446.78 | 60.67% | 39.33% | +22.58 | 3-4 |
| 2021-06-08 | @ Washington Mystics | L 81-85 | 1519.31 | 1447.38 | 56.66% | 43.34% | -14.55 | 3-5 |
| 2021-06-12 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 80-64 | 1504.76 | 1487.58 | 56.09% | 43.91% | +22.55 | 4-5 |
| 2021-06-15 | Chicago Sky | L 89-105 | 1527.31 | 1444.66 | 65.06% | 34.94% | -33.42 | 4-6 |
| 2021-06-17 | @ Dallas Wings | W 85-73 | 1493.89 | 1498.84 | 45.65% | 54.35% | +24.18 | 5-6 |
| 2021-06-19 | @ Dallas Wings | L 77-95 | 1518.07 | 1474.67 | 52.59% | 47.41% | -28.65 | 5-7 |
| 2021-06-23 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 87-85 | 1489.42 | 1432.02 | 54.59% | 45.41% | +8.24 | 6-7 |
| 2021-06-25 | Las Vegas Aces | W 90-89 | 1497.66 | 1670.09 | 30.02% | 69.98% | +8.99 | 7-7 |
| 2021-06-30 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 82-76 | 1506.65 | 1500.80 | 47.19% | 52.81% | +16.61 | 8-7 |
| 2021-07-03 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 99-68 | 1523.26 | 1484.19 | 51.97% | 48.03% | +34.34 | 9-7 |
| 2021-07-07 | Dallas Wings | W 85-79 | 1557.60 | 1508.05 | 60.62% | 39.38% | +12.38 | 10-7 |
| 2021-07-09 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 77-67 | 1569.98 | 1671.77 | 32.47% | 67.53% | +27.42 | 11-7 |
| 2021-07-11 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 86-61 | 1597.40 | 1406.22 | 72.20% | 27.80% | +17.85 | 12-7 |
| 2021-08-15 | New York Liberty | W 88-78 | 1615.25 | 1358.35 | 83.55% | 16.45% | +6.68 | 13-7 |
| 2021-08-17 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 60-72 | 1621.93 | 1649.14 | 42.49% | 57.51% | -18.90 | 13-8 |
| 2021-08-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 71-82 | 1603.03 | 1668.04 | 37.28% | 62.72% | -15.88 | 13-9 |
| 2021-08-21 | @ Chicago Sky | W 101-95 | 1587.15 | 1518.76 | 56.16% | 43.84% | +13.79 | 14-9 |
| 2021-08-24 | Seattle Storm | W 76-70 | 1600.94 | 1698.45 | 39.77% | 60.23% | +18.95 | 15-9 |
| 2021-08-31 | New York Liberty | W 74-66 | 1619.89 | 1324.85 | 86.35% | 13.65% | +4.96 | 16-9 |
| 2021-09-02 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 66-57 | 1624.85 | 1386.75 | 82.01% | 17.99% | +6.93 | 17-9 |
| 2021-09-04 | Washington Mystics | W 93-75 | 1631.78 | 1417.14 | 79.93% | 20.07% | +10.93 | 18-9 |
| 2021-09-08 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 81-102 | 1642.71 | 1650.05 | 45.31% | 54.69% | -26.65 | 18-10 |
| 2021-09-10 | Indiana Fever | W 89-72 | 1616.06 | 1312.80 | 86.90% | 13.10% | +6.93 | 19-10 |
| 2021-09-12 | Indiana Fever | W 90-80 | 1622.99 | 1305.86 | 87.78% | 12.22% | +4.97 | 20-10 |
| 2021-09-17 | @ Indiana Fever | W 92-73 | 1627.96 | 1284.92 | 86.16% | 13.84% | +7.74 | 21-10 |
| 2021-09-19 | @ Washington Mystics | W 83-77 | 1635.70 | 1403.53 | 76.68% | 23.32% | +7.34 | 22-10 |
| 2021-05-14 | Indiana Fever | W 90-87 | 1319.73 | 1391.74 | 43.33% | 56.67% | +12.61 | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-16 | @ Indiana Fever | W 73-65 | 1332.34 | 1379.13 | 39.76% | 60.24% | +21.87 | 2-0 |
| 2021-05-18 | Minnesota Lynx | W 86-75 | 1354.21 | 1518.22 | 31.05% | 68.95% | +29.37 | 3-0 |
| 2021-05-21 | @ Washington Mystics | L 72-101 | 1383.58 | 1440.91 | 38.32% | 61.68% | -26.50 | 3-1 |
| 2021-05-23 | @ Chicago Sky | W 93-85 | 1357.08 | 1532.56 | 23.94% | 76.06% | +27.63 | 4-1 |
| 2021-05-24 | Dallas Wings | W 88-81 | 1384.71 | 1476.37 | 40.58% | 59.42% | +20.19 | 5-1 |
| 2021-05-29 | Atlanta Dream | L 87-90 | 1404.90 | 1443.61 | 48.08% | 51.92% | -10.70 | 5-2 |
| 2021-06-03 | Las Vegas Aces | L 82-94 | 1394.20 | 1624.19 | 23.54% | 76.46% | -10.47 | 5-3 |
| 2021-06-05 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 64-85 | 1383.73 | 1643.99 | 16.19% | 83.81% | -9.52 | 5-4 |
| 2021-06-13 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 85-83 | 1374.21 | 1483.29 | 31.56% | 68.44% | +12.42 | 6-4 |
| 2021-06-15 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 78-100 | 1386.63 | 1650.87 | 15.88% | 84.12% | -9.56 | 6-5 |
| 2021-06-17 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 76-103 | 1377.07 | 1660.44 | 14.46% | 85.54% | -9.65 | 6-6 |
| 2021-06-20 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 76-73 | 1367.42 | 1451.35 | 34.77% | 65.23% | +14.51 | 7-6 |
| 2021-06-22 | Chicago Sky | L 72-92 | 1381.93 | 1524.16 | 33.79% | 66.21% | -19.41 | 7-7 |
| 2021-06-24 | Chicago Sky | L 68-91 | 1362.52 | 1543.56 | 28.99% | 71.01% | -17.85 | 7-8 |
| 2021-06-26 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 101-78 | 1344.67 | 1423.78 | 35.40% | 64.60% | +39.78 | 8-8 |
| 2021-06-29 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 69-73 | 1384.45 | 1384.00 | 46.42% | 53.58% | -11.92 | 8-9 |
| 2021-07-03 | Washington Mystics | W 82-79 | 1372.53 | 1439.50 | 44.04% | 55.96% | +12.45 | 9-9 |
| 2021-07-05 | Dallas Wings | W 99-96 | 1384.98 | 1522.64 | 34.38% | 65.62% | +14.59 | 10-9 |
| 2021-07-09 | @ Indiana Fever | L 69-82 | 1399.57 | 1272.28 | 64.26% | 35.74% | -29.75 | 10-10 |
| 2021-07-11 | Connecticut Sun | L 54-71 | 1369.82 | 1618.46 | 21.67% | 78.33% | -11.47 | 10-11 |
| 2021-08-15 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 78-88 | 1358.35 | 1615.25 | 16.45% | 83.55% | -6.68 | 10-12 |
| 2021-08-18 | Seattle Storm | W 83-79 | 1351.67 | 1705.83 | 13.09% | 86.91% | +22.32 | 11-12 |
| 2021-08-20 | Seattle Storm | L 83-99 | 1373.99 | 1683.51 | 16.31% | 83.69% | -8.38 | 11-13 |
| 2021-08-22 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 83-86 | 1365.61 | 1416.50 | 46.34% | 53.66% | -10.30 | 11-14 |
| 2021-08-25 | Phoenix Mercury | L 79-106 | 1355.31 | 1548.74 | 27.54% | 72.46% | -18.38 | 11-15 |
| 2021-08-27 | Phoenix Mercury | L 64-80 | 1336.93 | 1567.12 | 23.52% | 76.48% | -12.08 | 11-16 |
| 2021-08-31 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 66-74 | 1324.85 | 1619.89 | 13.65% | 86.35% | -4.96 | 11-17 |
| 2021-09-02 | @ Seattle Storm | L 75-85 | 1319.89 | 1608.97 | 14.06% | 85.94% | -5.71 | 11-18 |
| 2021-09-11 | @ Dallas Wings | L 76-77 | 1314.18 | 1440.32 | 29.48% | 70.52% | -3.78 | 11-19 |
| 2021-09-15 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 69-98 | 1310.40 | 1756.98 | 6.20% | 93.80% | -4.29 | 11-20 |
| 2021-09-17 | Washington Mystics | W 91-80 | 1306.11 | 1430.74 | 36.09% | 63.91% | +27.22 | 12-20 |
| 2021-05-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 77-75 | 1520.38 | 1528.16 | 45.24% | 54.76% | +9.94 | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-16 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 78-86 | 1530.32 | 1584.09 | 38.80% | 61.20% | -14.09 | 1-1 |
| 2021-05-18 | @ Washington Mystics | W 91-70 | 1516.23 | 1468.43 | 53.22% | 46.78% | +27.52 | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-21 | Connecticut Sun | L 67-84 | 1543.75 | 1608.63 | 44.34% | 55.66% | -23.47 | 2-2 |
| 2021-05-26 | Las Vegas Aces | L 79-85 | 1520.28 | 1608.18 | 41.10% | 58.90% | -12.93 | 2-3 |
| 2021-05-29 | @ Dallas Wings | W 89-85 | 1507.35 | 1440.32 | 55.97% | 44.03% | +11.31 | 3-3 |
| 2021-06-01 | @ Chicago Sky | W 84-83 | 1518.66 | 1444.40 | 56.99% | 43.01% | +5.52 | 4-3 |
| 2021-06-03 | Chicago Sky | W 77-74 | 1524.18 | 1438.87 | 65.41% | 34.59% | +7.70 | 5-3 |
| 2021-06-08 | Dallas Wings | L 81-85 | 1531.88 | 1460.02 | 63.64% | 36.36% | -16.35 | 5-4 |
| 2021-06-11 | Dallas Wings | L 59-77 | 1515.53 | 1476.36 | 59.18% | 40.82% | -32.24 | 5-5 |
| 2021-06-13 | New York Liberty | L 83-85 | 1483.29 | 1374.21 | 68.44% | 31.56% | -12.42 | 5-6 |
| 2021-06-16 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 80-85 | 1470.87 | 1465.03 | 47.19% | 52.81% | -13.55 | 5-7 |
| 2021-06-18 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 80-66 | 1457.32 | 1478.58 | 43.33% | 56.67% | +27.22 | 6-7 |
| 2021-06-27 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 88-79 | 1484.54 | 1455.37 | 57.79% | 42.21% | +16.26 | 7-7 |
| 2021-06-30 | Minnesota Lynx | L 76-82 | 1500.80 | 1506.65 | 52.81% | 47.19% | -16.61 | 7-8 |
| 2021-07-03 | Minnesota Lynx | L 68-99 | 1484.19 | 1523.26 | 48.03% | 51.97% | -34.33 | 7-9 |
| 2021-07-07 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 99-90 | 1449.86 | 1703.86 | 16.68% | 83.32% | +32.09 | 8-9 |
| 2021-07-09 | Seattle Storm | W 85-77 | 1481.95 | 1740.60 | 20.70% | 79.30% | +28.80 | 9-9 |
| 2021-07-11 | @ Seattle Storm | L 75-82 | 1510.75 | 1711.80 | 21.36% | 78.64% | -7.26 | 9-10 |
| 2021-08-15 | Atlanta Dream | W 92-81 | 1503.49 | 1349.50 | 73.74% | 26.26% | +11.19 | 10-10 |
| 2021-08-17 | Indiana Fever | W 84-80 | 1514.68 | 1318.36 | 78.18% | 21.82% | +5.60 | 11-10 |
| 2021-08-19 | Washington Mystics | W 77-64 | 1520.28 | 1434.29 | 65.50% | 34.50% | +15.97 | 12-10 |
| 2021-08-21 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 84-69 | 1536.25 | 1321.11 | 74.88% | 25.12% | +12.49 | 13-10 |
| 2021-08-25 | @ New York Liberty | W 106-79 | 1548.74 | 1355.31 | 72.46% | 27.54% | +18.38 | 14-10 |
| 2021-08-27 | @ New York Liberty | W 80-64 | 1567.12 | 1336.93 | 76.48% | 23.52% | +12.08 | 15-10 |
| 2021-08-31 | Chicago Sky | W 103-83 | 1579.20 | 1584.75 | 52.85% | 47.15% | +27.07 | 16-10 |
| 2021-09-04 | @ Indiana Fever | W 87-65 | 1606.27 | 1329.15 | 80.99% | 19.01% | +11.45 | 17-10 |
| 2021-09-06 | @ Indiana Fever | W 86-81 | 1617.72 | 1317.70 | 82.93% | 17.07% | +4.90 | 18-10 |
| 2021-09-08 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 76-75 | 1622.62 | 1310.87 | 83.87% | 16.13% | +2.07 | 19-10 |
| 2021-09-11 | Connecticut Sun | L 67-76 | 1624.69 | 1742.74 | 36.97% | 63.03% | -14.24 | 19-11 |
| 2021-09-17 | @ Seattle Storm | L 85-94 | 1610.45 | 1576.35 | 51.26% | 48.74% | -19.74 | 19-12 |
| 2021-09-19 | Las Vegas Aces | L 83-84 | 1590.71 | 1709.21 | 36.91% | 63.09% | -4.74 | 19-13 |
| 2021-05-15 | Las Vegas Aces | W 97-83 | 1702.94 | 1581.43 | 69.96% | 30.04% | +14.43 | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-18 | Las Vegas Aces | L 80-96 | 1717.37 | 1567.00 | 73.34% | 26.66% | -37.67 | 1-1 |
| 2021-05-20 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 90-78 | 1679.70 | 1488.86 | 72.16% | 27.84% | +12.39 | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-22 | @ Dallas Wings | W 100-97 | 1692.09 | 1482.08 | 74.32% | 25.68% | +5.71 | 3-1 |
| 2021-05-25 | Connecticut Sun | W 90-87 | 1697.80 | 1650.03 | 60.37% | 39.63% | +8.81 | 4-1 |
| 2021-05-28 | Minnesota Lynx | W 82-72 | 1706.61 | 1476.47 | 81.32% | 18.68% | +7.58 | 5-1 |
| 2021-06-01 | Indiana Fever | W 88-73 | 1714.19 | 1322.12 | 91.71% | 8.29% | +4.13 | 6-1 |
| 2021-06-04 | Dallas Wings | W 105-102 | 1718.32 | 1452.64 | 84.23% | 15.77% | +3.51 | 7-1 |
| 2021-06-06 | Dallas Wings | L 67-68 | 1721.83 | 1449.13 | 84.76% | 15.24% | -10.89 | 7-2 |
| 2021-06-09 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 95-71 | 1710.94 | 1424.20 | 81.82% | 18.18% | +11.43 | 8-2 |
| 2021-06-11 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 86-75 | 1722.37 | 1412.77 | 83.70% | 16.30% | +6.95 | 9-2 |
| 2021-06-13 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 89-66 | 1729.32 | 1653.52 | 57.20% | 42.80% | +26.35 | 10-2 |
| 2021-06-15 | @ Indiana Fever | W 87-70 | 1755.67 | 1275.62 | 93.20% | 6.80% | +3.60 | 11-2 |
| 2021-06-17 | @ Indiana Fever | W 79-69 | 1759.27 | 1272.02 | 93.45% | 6.55% | +2.66 | 12-2 |
| 2021-06-22 | Washington Mystics | L 83-87 | 1761.93 | 1471.58 | 86.03% | 13.97% | -22.09 | 12-3 |
| 2021-06-27 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 92-95 | 1739.84 | 1661.10 | 57.62% | 42.38% | -12.82 | 12-4 |
| 2021-07-02 | Atlanta Dream | W 91-88 | 1727.02 | 1395.92 | 88.62% | 11.38% | +2.53 | 13-4 |
| 2021-07-04 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 84-74 | 1729.55 | 1417.26 | 83.91% | 16.09% | +6.54 | 14-4 |
| 2021-07-07 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 71-62 | 1736.09 | 1410.73 | 88.28% | 11.72% | +4.51 | 15-4 |
| 2021-07-09 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 77-85 | 1740.60 | 1481.95 | 79.30% | 20.70% | -28.80 | 15-5 |
| 2021-07-11 | Phoenix Mercury | W 82-75 | 1711.80 | 1510.75 | 78.64% | 21.36% | +7.26 | 16-5 |
| 2021-08-15 | @ Chicago Sky | L 85-87 | 1719.06 | 1522.00 | 72.87% | 27.13% | -13.23 | 16-6 |
| 2021-08-18 | @ New York Liberty | L 79-83 | 1705.83 | 1351.67 | 86.91% | 13.09% | -22.32 | 16-7 |
| 2021-08-20 | @ New York Liberty | W 99-83 | 1683.51 | 1373.99 | 83.69% | 16.31% | +8.37 | 17-7 |
| 2021-08-22 | @ Washington Mystics | W 85-78 | 1691.88 | 1418.32 | 80.67% | 19.33% | +6.57 | 18-7 |
| 2021-08-24 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 70-76 | 1698.45 | 1600.94 | 60.23% | 39.77% | -18.94 | 18-8 |
| 2021-08-27 | Chicago Sky | L 69-73 | 1679.51 | 1514.22 | 74.98% | 25.02% | -19.26 | 18-9 |
| 2021-08-29 | Chicago Sky | L 75-107 | 1660.25 | 1533.47 | 70.60% | 29.40% | -51.28 | 18-10 |
| 2021-09-02 | New York Liberty | W 85-75 | 1608.97 | 1319.89 | 85.94% | 14.06% | +5.71 | 19-10 |
| 2021-09-07 | Washington Mystics | W 105-71 | 1614.68 | 1406.20 | 79.35% | 20.65% | +15.46 | 20-10 |
| 2021-09-12 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 53-81 | 1630.14 | 1372.74 | 79.18% | 20.82% | -53.79 | 20-11 |
| 2021-09-17 | Phoenix Mercury | W 94-85 | 1576.35 | 1610.45 | 48.74% | 51.26% | +19.74 | 21-11 |
| 2021-05-15 | Chicago Sky | L 56-70 | 1494.29 | 1493.00 | 53.83% | 46.17% | -25.86 | 0-1 |
| 2021-05-18 | Phoenix Mercury | L 70-91 | 1468.43 | 1516.23 | 46.78% | 53.22% | -27.52 | 0-2 |
| 2021-05-21 | New York Liberty | W 101-72 | 1440.91 | 1383.58 | 61.68% | 38.32% | +26.49 | 1-2 |
| 2021-05-23 | @ Indiana Fever | L 77-89 | 1467.40 | 1334.73 | 64.97% | 35.03% | -28.89 | 1-3 |
| 2021-05-25 | @ Indiana Fever | W 85-69 | 1438.51 | 1363.63 | 57.08% | 42.92% | +22.04 | 2-3 |
| 2021-05-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 81-86 | 1460.55 | 1641.22 | 23.40% | 76.60% | -6.72 | 2-4 |
| 2021-06-05 | Las Vegas Aces | L 93-96 | 1453.83 | 1634.66 | 29.01% | 70.99% | -6.45 | 2-5 |
| 2021-06-08 | Minnesota Lynx | W 85-81 | 1447.38 | 1519.31 | 43.34% | 56.66% | +14.55 | 3-5 |
| 2021-06-10 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 89-71 | 1461.93 | 1517.15 | 45.72% | 54.28% | +29.57 | 4-5 |
| 2021-06-13 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 78-101 | 1491.50 | 1405.82 | 58.59% | 41.41% | -36.08 | 4-6 |
| 2021-06-17 | Atlanta Dream | W 96-93 | 1455.42 | 1441.90 | 55.57% | 44.43% | +9.88 | 5-6 |
| 2021-06-19 | Indiana Fever | W 82-77 | 1465.30 | 1269.36 | 78.14% | 21.86% | +6.28 | 6-6 |
| 2021-06-22 | @ Seattle Storm | W 87-83 | 1471.58 | 1761.93 | 13.97% | 86.03% | +22.09 | 7-6 |
| 2021-06-24 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 82-89 | 1493.67 | 1436.85 | 54.51% | 45.49% | -18.52 | 7-7 |
| 2021-06-26 | @ Dallas Wings | L 74-85 | 1475.15 | 1504.27 | 42.22% | 57.78% | -17.98 | 7-8 |
| 2021-06-29 | Connecticut Sun | L 71-90 | 1457.17 | 1616.86 | 31.58% | 68.42% | -17.67 | 7-9 |
| 2021-07-03 | @ New York Liberty | L 79-82 | 1439.50 | 1372.53 | 55.96% | 44.04% | -12.45 | 7-10 |
| 2021-07-10 | @ Chicago Sky | W 89-85 | 1427.05 | 1539.69 | 31.12% | 68.88% | +17.69 | 8-10 |
| 2021-08-15 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 83-84 | 1444.74 | 1661.28 | 19.90% | 80.10% | -2.55 | 8-11 |
| 2021-08-17 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 83-93 | 1442.19 | 1663.84 | 19.43% | 80.57% | -7.90 | 8-12 |
| 2021-08-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 64-77 | 1434.29 | 1520.28 | 34.50% | 65.50% | -15.97 | 8-13 |
| 2021-08-22 | Seattle Storm | L 78-85 | 1418.32 | 1691.88 | 19.33% | 80.67% | -6.56 | 8-14 |
| 2021-08-24 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 78-68 | 1411.76 | 1426.81 | 51.49% | 48.51% | +19.69 | 9-14 |
| 2021-08-26 | Dallas Wings | L 77-82 | 1431.45 | 1462.42 | 49.20% | 50.80% | -14.12 | 9-15 |
| 2021-08-28 | Dallas Wings | W 76-75 | 1417.33 | 1476.55 | 45.15% | 54.85% | +7.04 | 10-15 |
| 2021-08-31 | Connecticut Sun | L 75-85 | 1424.37 | 1715.26 | 17.82% | 82.18% | -7.23 | 10-16 |
| 2021-09-04 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 75-93 | 1417.14 | 1631.78 | 20.07% | 79.93% | -10.94 | 10-17 |
| 2021-09-07 | @ Seattle Storm | L 71-105 | 1406.20 | 1614.68 | 20.65% | 79.35% | -15.46 | 10-18 |
| 2021-09-10 | Atlanta Dream | W 82-74 | 1390.74 | 1308.80 | 64.97% | 35.03% | +12.72 | 11-18 |
| 2021-09-12 | @ Chicago Sky | W 79-71 | 1403.46 | 1570.07 | 24.88% | 75.12% | +27.28 | 12-18 |
| 2021-09-17 | @ New York Liberty | L 80-91 | 1430.74 | 1306.11 | 63.91% | 36.09% | -27.21 | 12-19 |
| 2021-09-19 | Minnesota Lynx | L 77-83 | 1403.53 | 1635.70 | 23.32% | 76.68% | -7.34 | 12-20 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-09-23 | Dallas Wings | W 81-64 | 1525.36 | 1446.97 | 64.51% | 35.49% | +18.79 | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-26 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 89-76 | 1544.15 | 1643.04 | 32.84% | 67.16% | +31.09 | 2-0 |
| 2021-09-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 101-95 | 1575.24 | 1764.56 | 22.52% | 77.48% | +24.37 | 3-0 |
| 2021-09-30 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 68-79 | 1599.61 | 1740.19 | 27.78% | 72.22% | -11.83 | 3-1 |
| 2021-10-03 | Connecticut Sun | W 86-83 | 1587.78 | 1752.02 | 31.02% | 68.98% | +15.34 | 4-1 |
| 2021-10-06 | Connecticut Sun | W 79-69 | 1603.12 | 1736.68 | 34.92% | 65.08% | +26.43 | 5-1 |
| 2021-10-10 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 91-77 | 1629.55 | 1656.96 | 42.46% | 57.54% | +27.64 | 6-1 |
| 2021-10-13 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 86-91 | 1657.19 | 1629.32 | 50.36% | 49.64% | -14.45 | 6-2 |
| 2021-10-15 | Phoenix Mercury | W 86-50 | 1642.74 | 1643.78 | 53.50% | 46.50% | +35.82 | 7-2 |
| 2021-10-17 | Phoenix Mercury | W 80-74 | 1678.56 | 1607.95 | 63.47% | 36.53% | +11.49 | 8-2 |
| 2021-09-28 | Chicago Sky | L 95-101 | 1764.56 | 1575.24 | 77.48% | 22.52% | -24.37 | 0-1 |
| 2021-09-30 | Chicago Sky | W 79-68 | 1740.19 | 1599.61 | 72.22% | 27.78% | +11.83 | 1-1 |
| 2021-10-03 | @ Chicago Sky | L 83-86 | 1752.02 | 1587.78 | 68.98% | 31.02% | -15.34 | 1-2 |
| 2021-10-06 | @ Chicago Sky | L 69-79 | 1736.68 | 1603.12 | 65.08% | 34.92% | -26.43 | 1-3 |
| 2021-09-23 | @ Chicago Sky | L 64-81 | 1446.97 | 1525.36 | 35.49% | 64.51% | -18.79 | 0-1 |
| 2021-09-28 | Phoenix Mercury | W 96-90 | 1713.95 | 1603.85 | 68.56% | 31.44% | +9.89 | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-30 | Phoenix Mercury | L 91-117 | 1723.84 | 1593.97 | 70.96% | 29.04% | -46.47 | 1-1 |
| 2021-10-03 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 60-87 | 1677.37 | 1640.43 | 51.66% | 48.34% | -34.46 | 1-2 |
| 2021-10-06 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 93-76 | 1642.91 | 1674.90 | 41.82% | 58.18% | +30.80 | 2-2 |
| 2021-10-08 | Phoenix Mercury | L 84-87 | 1673.71 | 1644.10 | 57.85% | 42.15% | -12.87 | 2-3 |
| 2021-09-26 | Chicago Sky | L 76-89 | 1643.04 | 1544.15 | 67.16% | 32.84% | -31.09 | 0-1 |
| 2021-09-23 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 82-83 | 1333.33 | 1585.97 | 16.79% | 83.21% | -2.16 | 0-1 |
| 2021-09-23 | New York Liberty | W 83-82 | 1585.97 | 1333.33 | 83.21% | 16.79% | +2.16 | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-26 | @ Seattle Storm | W 85-80 | 1588.13 | 1596.09 | 45.22% | 54.78% | +15.72 | 2-0 |
| 2021-09-28 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 90-96 | 1603.85 | 1713.95 | 31.44% | 68.56% | -9.88 | 2-1 |
| 2021-09-30 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 117-91 | 1593.97 | 1723.84 | 29.04% | 70.96% | +46.46 | 3-1 |
| 2021-10-03 | Las Vegas Aces | W 87-60 | 1640.43 | 1677.37 | 48.34% | 51.66% | +34.47 | 4-1 |
| 2021-10-06 | Las Vegas Aces | L 76-93 | 1674.90 | 1642.91 | 58.18% | 41.82% | -30.80 | 4-2 |
| 2021-10-08 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 87-84 | 1644.10 | 1673.71 | 42.15% | 57.85% | +12.86 | 5-2 |
| 2021-10-10 | Chicago Sky | L 77-91 | 1656.96 | 1629.55 | 57.54% | 42.46% | -27.64 | 5-3 |
| 2021-10-13 | Chicago Sky | W 91-86 | 1629.32 | 1657.19 | 49.64% | 50.36% | +14.46 | 6-3 |
| 2021-10-15 | @ Chicago Sky | L 50-86 | 1643.78 | 1642.74 | 46.50% | 53.50% | -35.83 | 6-4 |
| 2021-10-17 | @ Chicago Sky | L 74-80 | 1607.95 | 1678.56 | 36.53% | 63.47% | -11.49 | 6-5 |
| 2021-09-26 | Phoenix Mercury | L 80-85 | 1596.09 | 1588.13 | 54.78% | 45.22% | -15.73 | 0-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2021-07-03 | 10.71% | @ Indiana Fever | 1244.20 | 73 | Connecticut Sun | 1638.02 | 67 |
| 2 | 2021-08-18 | 13.09% | @ New York Liberty | 1351.67 | 83 | Seattle Storm | 1705.83 | 79 |
| 3 | 2021-06-22 | 13.97% | Washington Mystics | 1471.58 | 87 | @ Seattle Storm | 1761.93 | 83 |
| 4 | 2021-06-06 | 15.24% | Dallas Wings | 1449.13 | 68 | @ Seattle Storm | 1721.83 | 67 |
| 5 | 2021-07-07 | 16.68% | Phoenix Mercury | 1449.86 | 99 | @ Las Vegas Aces | 1703.86 | 90 |
| 6 | 2021-07-09 | 20.70% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1481.95 | 85 | Seattle Storm | 1740.60 | 77 |
| 7 | 2021-09-12 | 20.82% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1372.74 | 81 | Seattle Storm | 1630.14 | 53 |
| 8 | 2021-09-28 * | 22.52% | Chicago Sky | 1575.24 | 101 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1764.56 | 95 |
| 9 | 2021-09-05 | 22.75% | Atlanta Dream | 1288.69 | 69 | @ Dallas Wings | 1475.67 | 64 |
| 10 | 2021-05-23 | 23.94% | New York Liberty | 1357.08 | 93 | @ Chicago Sky | 1532.56 | 85 |
| 11 | 2021-09-12 | 24.88% | Washington Mystics | 1403.46 | 79 | @ Chicago Sky | 1570.07 | 71 |
| 12 | 2021-08-27 | 25.02% | Chicago Sky | 1514.22 | 73 | @ Seattle Storm | 1679.51 | 69 |
| 13 | 2021-08-20 | 25.24% | Indiana Fever | 1312.76 | 83 | @ Dallas Wings | 1476.00 | 81 |
| 14 | 2021-05-18 | 26.66% | Las Vegas Aces | 1567.00 | 96 | @ Seattle Storm | 1717.37 | 80 |
| 15 | 2021-08-15 | 27.13% | @ Chicago Sky | 1522.00 | 87 | Seattle Storm | 1719.06 | 85 |
| 16 | 2021-09-30 * | 29.04% | Phoenix Mercury | 1593.97 | 117 | @ Las Vegas Aces | 1723.84 | 91 |
| 17 | 2021-05-30 | 29.22% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1468.89 | 79 | Connecticut Sun | 1647.94 | 74 |
| 18 | 2021-08-29 | 29.40% | Chicago Sky | 1533.47 | 107 | @ Seattle Storm | 1660.25 | 75 |
| 19 | 2021-06-25 | 30.02% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1497.66 | 90 | Las Vegas Aces | 1670.09 | 89 |
| 20 | 2021-10-03 * | 31.02% | @ Chicago Sky | 1587.78 | 86 | Connecticut Sun | 1752.02 | 83 |
| 21 | 2021-05-18 | 31.05% | @ New York Liberty | 1354.21 | 86 | Minnesota Lynx | 1518.22 | 75 |
| 22 | 2021-07-10 | 31.12% | Washington Mystics | 1427.05 | 89 | @ Chicago Sky | 1539.69 | 85 |
| 23 | 2021-06-13 | 31.56% | New York Liberty | 1374.21 | 85 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1483.29 | 83 |
| 24 | 2021-07-09 | 32.47% | Minnesota Lynx | 1569.98 | 77 | @ Las Vegas Aces | 1671.77 | 67 |
| 25 | 2021-05-25 | 32.69% | Atlanta Dream | 1404.88 | 90 | @ Chicago Sky | 1504.94 | 83 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2021-09-12 | 53.80 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 81 | 1372.74 | 20.82% | Seattle Storm | 53 | 1630.14 | 79.18% |
| 2 | 2021-08-29 | 51.28 | Chicago Sky | 107 | 1533.47 | 29.40% | @ Seattle Storm | 75 | 1660.25 | 70.60% |
| 3 | 2021-09-30 * | 46.47 | Phoenix Mercury | 117 | 1593.97 | 29.04% | @ Las Vegas Aces | 91 | 1723.84 | 70.96% |
| 4 | 2021-05-14 | 41.12 | Dallas Wings | 94 | 1440.96 | 33.23% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 71 | 1536.78 | 66.77% |
| 5 | 2021-06-26 | 39.78 | New York Liberty | 101 | 1344.67 | 35.40% | @ Atlanta Dream | 78 | 1423.78 | 64.60% |
| 6 | 2021-05-18 | 37.67 | Las Vegas Aces | 96 | 1567.00 | 26.66% | @ Seattle Storm | 80 | 1717.37 | 73.34% |
| 7 | 2021-06-13 | 36.08 | @ Atlanta Dream | 101 | 1405.82 | 41.41% | Washington Mystics | 78 | 1491.50 | 58.59% |
| 8 | 2021-10-15 * | 35.83 | @ Chicago Sky | 86 | 1642.74 | 53.50% | Phoenix Mercury | 50 | 1643.78 | 46.50% |
| 9 | 2021-10-03 * | 34.47 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 87 | 1640.43 | 48.34% | Las Vegas Aces | 60 | 1677.37 | 51.66% |
| 10 | 2021-07-03 | 34.34 | Minnesota Lynx | 99 | 1523.26 | 51.97% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 68 | 1484.19 | 48.03% |
| 11 | 2021-06-15 | 33.42 | Chicago Sky | 105 | 1444.66 | 34.94% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 89 | 1527.31 | 65.06% |
| 12 | 2021-06-11 | 32.24 | Dallas Wings | 77 | 1476.36 | 40.82% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 59 | 1515.53 | 59.18% |
| 13 | 2021-07-07 | 32.09 | Phoenix Mercury | 99 | 1449.86 | 16.68% | @ Las Vegas Aces | 90 | 1703.86 | 83.32% |
| 14 | 2021-09-26 * | 31.09 | Chicago Sky | 89 | 1544.15 | 32.84% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 76 | 1643.04 | 67.16% |
| 15 | 2021-10-06 * | 30.80 | Las Vegas Aces | 93 | 1642.91 | 41.82% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 76 | 1674.90 | 58.18% |
| 16 | 2021-07-09 | 29.75 | @ Indiana Fever | 82 | 1272.28 | 35.74% | New York Liberty | 69 | 1399.57 | 64.26% |
| 17 | 2021-06-10 | 29.57 | @ Washington Mystics | 89 | 1461.93 | 45.72% | Los Angeles Sparks | 71 | 1517.15 | 54.28% |
| 18 | 2021-05-18 | 29.37 | @ New York Liberty | 86 | 1354.21 | 31.05% | Minnesota Lynx | 75 | 1518.22 | 68.95% |
| 19 | 2021-05-23 | 28.90 | @ Indiana Fever | 89 | 1334.73 | 35.03% | Washington Mystics | 77 | 1467.40 | 64.97% |
| 20 | 2021-07-09 | 28.80 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 85 | 1481.95 | 20.70% | Seattle Storm | 77 | 1740.60 | 79.30% |
| 21 | 2021-06-19 | 28.65 | @ Dallas Wings | 95 | 1474.67 | 47.41% | Minnesota Lynx | 77 | 1518.07 | 52.59% |
| 22 | 2021-07-03 | 28.08 | @ Indiana Fever | 73 | 1244.20 | 10.71% | Connecticut Sun | 67 | 1638.02 | 89.29% |
| 23 | 2021-10-10 * | 27.64 | Chicago Sky | 91 | 1629.55 | 42.46% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 77 | 1656.96 | 57.54% |
| 24 | 2021-05-23 | 27.63 | New York Liberty | 93 | 1357.08 | 23.94% | @ Chicago Sky | 85 | 1532.56 | 76.06% |
| 25 | 2021-05-18 | 27.52 | Phoenix Mercury | 91 | 1516.23 | 53.22% | @ Washington Mystics | 70 | 1468.43 | 46.78% |