2020 WNBA Season
132 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Seattle Storm
4th Title
Last Title: 2018
Runner-Up
Las Vegas Aces
1
Biggest Overachiever
Las Vegas Aces
3.59 wins above expected
18 wins · 14.41 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Washington Mystics
3.19 wins below expected
9 wins · 12.19 expected wins
Final Standings
Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle Storm League | 18 | 4 | .818 | — | 87.5 | 76.0 | +11.5 | 14.43 | +3.57 |
| 2 | Las Vegas Aces Playoffs | 18 | 4 | .818 | — | 88.7 | 80.1 | +8.6 | 14.41 | +3.59 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs | 15 | 7 | .682 | 3 | 84.9 | 80.3 | +4.6 | 13.96 | +1.04 |
| 4 | Minnesota Lynx Playoffs | 14 | 8 | .636 | 4 | 84.4 | 80.6 | +3.8 | 13.32 | +0.68 |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury Playoffs | 13 | 9 | .591 | 5 | 86.1 | 84.1 | +2.0 | 10.75 | +2.25 |
| 6 | Chicago Sky Playoffs | 12 | 10 | .545 | 6 | 86.7 | 84.1 | +2.6 | 13.21 | -1.21 |
| 7 | Connecticut Sun Playoffs | 10 | 12 | .455 | 8 | 80.4 | 79.9 | +0.5 | 11.81 | -1.81 |
| 8 | Washington Mystics Playoffs | 9 | 13 | .409 | 9 | 80.0 | 81.5 | -1.5 | 12.19 | -3.19 |
| 9 | Dallas Wings | 8 | 14 | .364 | 10 | 83.4 | 87.0 | -3.5 | 7.96 | +0.04 |
| 10 | Atlanta Dream | 7 | 15 | .318 | 11 | 81.0 | 87.6 | -6.7 | 6.47 | +0.53 |
| 11 | Indiana Fever | 6 | 16 | .273 | 12 | 81.7 | 89.5 | -7.9 | 8.44 | -2.44 |
| 12 | New York Liberty | 2 | 20 | .091 | 16 | 71.9 | 85.9 | -14.0 | 5.06 | -3.06 |
Playoff Bracket
WNBA Playoffs
First Round
Connecticut Sun
94
Chicago Sky
81
Phoenix Mercury
85
Washington Mystics
84
Second Round
Connecticut Sun
73
Los Angeles Sparks
59
Minnesota Lynx
80
Phoenix Mercury
79
Semifinals
Las Vegas Aces
3
Connecticut Sun
2
Seattle Storm
3
Minnesota Lynx
0
WNBA Finals
Seattle Storm
3
Las Vegas Aces
0
Season Summary
Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 1739 | 18 | 14.41 | +3.59 | 97.73% | 6 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 21 | ||
| Seattle Storm | 1725 | 18 | 14.43 | +3.57 | 97.51% | 6 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 21 | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1592 | 15 | 13.96 | +1.04 | 76.47% | 6 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 20 | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 1577 | 14 | 13.32 | +0.68 | 70.96% | 5 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 20 | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 1535 | 13 | 10.75 | +2.25 | 89.40% | 3 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 18 | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 1522 | 10 | 11.81 | -1.81 | 28.03% | 3 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 20 | ||
| Chicago Sky | 1514 | 12 | 13.21 | -1.21 | 36.74% | 5 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 20 | ||
| Washington Mystics | 1497 | 9 | 12.19 | -3.19 | 10.52% | 4 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 20 | ||
| Dallas Wings | 1402 | 8 | 7.96 | +0.04 | 60.37% | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 16 | ||
| Atlanta Dream | 1373 | 7 | 6.47 | +0.53 | 70.81% | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 15 | ||
| Indiana Fever | 1325 | 6 | 8.44 | -2.44 | 18.51% | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 17 | ||
| New York Liberty | 1200 | 2 | 5.06 | -3.06 | 8.25% | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win.
Beat expectations
Fell short
Within expectations
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Wings | Fever | Aces | Sparks | Lynx | Liberty | Mercury | Storm | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | — |
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
— |
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Dallas Wings |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
— |
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
— |
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
| Las Vegas Aces |
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
2-0
(1.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
— |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
1-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
— |
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
— |
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
— |
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
— |
Scoreline Distribution
Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.
Win
Loss
Same range
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | 0.76% | 0.38% | — | — | — | 1.14% |
| 60–69 | 0.76% | — | 3.41% | 2.65% | 2.27% | 0.76% | 9.85% |
| 70–79 | 0.38% | 3.41% | 3.79% | 13.26% | 5.30% | 1.14% | 27.27% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.65% | 13.26% | 9.09% | 7.20% | 1.52% | 33.71% |
| 90–99 | — | 2.27% | 5.30% | 7.20% | 2.27% | 3.41% | 20.45% |
| 100–109 | — | 0.76% | 1.14% | 1.52% | 3.41% | 0.76% | 7.58% |
| Total | 1.14% | 9.85% | 27.27% | 33.71% | 20.45% | 7.58% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 83.06 | 83.06 | +0.00 |
| SD | 10.82 | 10.82 | 14.06 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 107 | 107 | +41 |
| Min | 48 | 48 | -41 |
Games Played: 132
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | 4.55% | — | — | — | 4.55% | 4.55% | 13.64% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 4.55% | 27.27% | 4.55% | 4.55% | 40.91% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 9.09% | — | 13.64% | — | 22.73% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 4.55% | 9.09% | — | 13.64% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | — | 9.09% | — | 9.09% |
| Total | 4.55% | — | 13.64% | 31.82% | 40.91% | 9.09% | 100% |
Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 80.95 | 87.64 | -6.68 |
| SD | 11.24 | 10.15 | 12.91 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.12 | — |
| Max | 105 | 100 | +12 |
| Min | 62 | 56 | -37 |
Games Played: 22
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | — | 4.55% | — | — | — | 4.55% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 4.55% | 9.09% | — | — | 13.64% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 13.64% | 27.27% | 9.09% | — | 50.00% |
| 90–99 | — | 4.55% | 4.55% | 4.55% | — | 4.55% | 18.18% |
| 100–109 | — | — | 4.55% | 4.55% | 4.55% | — | 13.64% |
| Total | — | 4.55% | 31.82% | 45.45% | 13.64% | 4.55% | 100% |
Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 86.73 | 84.09 | +2.64 |
| SD | 9.54 | 8.36 | 11.93 |
| CV | 0.11 | 0.10 | — |
| Max | 101 | 101 | +25 |
| Min | 69 | 67 | -18 |
Games Played: 22
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | — | 9.09% | — | — | — | 9.09% |
| 70–79 | — | 13.64% | 4.55% | 18.18% | 13.64% | — | 50.00% |
| 80–89 | — | 9.09% | 4.55% | — | 4.55% | — | 18.18% |
| 90–99 | — | 4.55% | 4.55% | 4.55% | — | 9.09% | 22.73% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 27.27% | 22.73% | 22.73% | 18.18% | 9.09% | 100% |
Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 80.36 | 79.91 | +0.45 |
| SD | 8.98 | 12.67 | 13.67 |
| CV | 0.11 | 0.16 | — |
| Max | 96 | 100 | +23 |
| Min | 69 | 62 | -23 |
Games Played: 22
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | — | 4.55% | 4.55% | 4.55% | — | 13.64% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 9.09% | 9.09% | 4.55% | — | 22.73% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 13.64% | 4.55% | 13.64% | — | 31.82% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 9.09% | 4.55% | 9.09% | 22.73% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | — | 9.09% | — | 9.09% |
| Total | — | — | 27.27% | 27.27% | 36.36% | 9.09% | 100% |
Dallas Wings — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 83.41 | 86.95 | -3.55 |
| SD | 10.79 | 9.63 | 9.50 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.11 | — |
| Max | 101 | 107 | +13 |
| Min | 65 | 70 | -23 |
Games Played: 22
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | — | — | 4.55% | — | — | 4.55% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 4.55% | 18.18% | 13.64% | 9.09% | 45.45% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 9.09% | 4.55% | 9.09% | 4.55% | 27.27% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 4.55% | 9.09% | — | 4.55% | 18.18% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.55% | 4.55% |
| Total | — | — | 18.18% | 36.36% | 22.73% | 22.73% | 100% |
Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 81.68 | 89.55 | -7.86 |
| SD | 9.11 | 9.21 | 12.16 |
| CV | 0.11 | 0.10 | — |
| Max | 106 | 105 | +16 |
| Min | 62 | 75 | -25 |
Games Played: 22
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 70–79 | — | — | 9.09% | — | — | — | 9.09% |
| 80–89 | — | 4.55% | 27.27% | 18.18% | 4.55% | — | 54.55% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 13.64% | 4.55% | 4.55% | 4.55% | 27.27% |
| 100–109 | — | — | 4.55% | 4.55% | — | — | 9.09% |
| Total | — | 4.55% | 54.55% | 27.27% | 9.09% | 4.55% | 100% |
Las Vegas Aces — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 88.73 | 80.14 | +8.59 |
| SD | 7.38 | 9.01 | 9.26 |
| CV | 0.08 | 0.11 | — |
| Max | 104 | 102 | +30 |
| Min | 78 | 63 | -7 |
Games Played: 22
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 70–79 | — | — | — | 13.64% | 9.09% | — | 22.73% |
| 80–89 | — | 4.55% | 22.73% | 13.64% | 4.55% | — | 45.45% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 18.18% | 13.64% | — | — | 31.82% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 4.55% | 40.91% | 40.91% | 13.64% | — | 100% |
Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 84.91 | 80.32 | +4.59 |
| SD | 7.96 | 7.51 | 12.17 |
| CV | 0.09 | 0.09 | — |
| Max | 99 | 96 | +26 |
| Min | 70 | 64 | -18 |
Games Played: 22
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | 4.55% | — | — | — | 4.55% | — | 9.09% |
| 70–79 | — | 9.09% | 4.55% | 9.09% | — | — | 22.73% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 9.09% | 18.18% | 4.55% | 9.09% | 40.91% |
| 90–99 | — | 9.09% | 4.55% | 13.64% | — | — | 27.27% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 4.55% | 18.18% | 18.18% | 40.91% | 9.09% | 9.09% | 100% |
Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 84.41 | 80.59 | +3.82 |
| SD | 8.47 | 12.80 | 14.05 |
| CV | 0.10 | 0.16 | — |
| Max | 98 | 104 | +30 |
| Min | 66 | 48 | -24 |
Games Played: 22
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | 4.55% | 4.55% | — | — | — | 9.09% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 4.55% | 13.64% | 13.64% | 4.55% | 36.36% |
| 70–79 | — | 4.55% | 4.55% | 22.73% | 9.09% | — | 40.91% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | — | 4.55% | 4.55% | 9.09% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | — | 4.55% | — | 4.55% |
| Total | — | 9.09% | 13.64% | 36.36% | 31.82% | 9.09% | 100% |
New York Liberty — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 71.86 | 85.86 | -14.00 |
| SD | 10.05 | 11.24 | 11.58 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 101 | 105 | +8 |
| Min | 56 | 62 | -41 |
Games Played: 22
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | — | 4.55% | 4.55% | — | — | 9.09% |
| 70–79 | — | — | — | 13.64% | 4.55% | — | 18.18% |
| 80–89 | — | 4.55% | 9.09% | 4.55% | 9.09% | — | 27.27% |
| 90–99 | — | 4.55% | 9.09% | 13.64% | — | — | 27.27% |
| 100–109 | — | — | — | 4.55% | 9.09% | 4.55% | 18.18% |
| Total | — | 9.09% | 22.73% | 40.91% | 22.73% | 4.55% | 100% |
Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 86.14 | 84.14 | +2.00 |
| SD | 12.44 | 10.11 | 14.89 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.12 | — |
| Max | 105 | 106 | +29 |
| Min | 60 | 67 | -23 |
Games Played: 22
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 70–79 | — | 9.09% | — | 9.09% | — | — | 18.18% |
| 80–89 | — | 9.09% | 27.27% | 4.55% | 4.55% | — | 45.45% |
| 90–99 | — | 4.55% | 4.55% | 4.55% | 4.55% | — | 18.18% |
| 100–109 | — | 9.09% | — | 4.55% | 4.55% | — | 18.18% |
| Total | — | 31.82% | 31.82% | 22.73% | 13.64% | — | 100% |
Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 87.55 | 76.00 | +11.55 |
| SD | 10.24 | 10.93 | 13.99 |
| CV | 0.12 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 107 | 95 | +41 |
| Min | 71 | 60 | -18 |
Games Played: 22
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <60 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100–109 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <60 | — | 4.55% | — | — | — | — | 4.55% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 13.64% | 4.55% | — | — | 18.18% |
| 70–79 | 4.55% | 4.55% | — | 9.09% | 4.55% | — | 22.73% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 13.64% | 13.64% | 4.55% | — | 31.82% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 4.55% | 4.55% | 9.09% | 18.18% |
| 100–109 | — | — | 4.55% | — | — | — | 4.55% |
| Total | 4.55% | 9.09% | 31.82% | 31.82% | 13.64% | 9.09% | 100% |
Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 80.00 | 81.55 | -1.55 |
| SD | 13.38 | 11.20 | 12.69 |
| CV | 0.17 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 101 | 101 | +25 |
| Min | 48 | 58 | -22 |
Games Played: 22
Actual Wins vs. Point Differential
Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Vegas Aces | 18 | 14.41 | +3.59 |
| 2 | Seattle Storm | 18 | 14.43 | +3.57 |
| 3 | Phoenix Mercury | 13 | 10.75 | +2.25 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Sparks | 15 | 13.96 | +1.04 |
| 5 | Minnesota Lynx | 14 | 13.32 | +0.68 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Mystics | 9 | 12.19 | -3.19 |
| 2 | New York Liberty | 2 | 5.06 | -3.06 |
| 3 | Indiana Fever | 6 | 8.44 | -2.44 |
| 4 | Connecticut Sun | 10 | 11.81 | -1.81 |
| 5 | Chicago Sky | 12 | 13.21 | -1.21 |
Top Streaks
The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix Mercury | 6 | Aug 23 – Sep 5 | 1 in 73 |
| 2 | Las Vegas Aces | 7 | Aug 2 – Aug 15 | 1 in 50 |
| 3 | Seattle Storm | 9 | Aug 1 – Aug 18 | 1 in 31 |
| 4 | Washington Mystics | 4 | Sep 8 – Sep 13 | 1 in 31 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Sparks | 9 | Aug 9 – Aug 30 | 1 in 27 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Mystics | 7 | Aug 1 – Aug 15 | 1 in 1,888 |
| 2 | Chicago Sky | 4 | Sep 2 – Sep 9 | 1 in 47 |
| 3 | Indiana Fever | 8 | Aug 22 – Sep 8 | 1 in 32 |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream | 10 | Aug 2 – Aug 21 | 1 in 29 |
| 5 | Connecticut Sun | 5 | Jul 26 – Aug 4 | 1 in 25 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 24.35% | 20.08% | 15.57% | 13.16% | 10.31% | 7.66% | 4.92% | 2.64% | 0.94% | 0.31% | 0.06% | — |
| Las Vegas Aces | 24.58% | 19.69% | 16.08% | 12.36% | 10.05% | 7.63% | 5.26% | 2.85% | 1.05% | 0.38% | 0.06% | 0.01% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 18.01% | 17.38% | 16.35% | 13.88% | 11.73% | 9.44% | 6.61% | 4.34% | 1.52% | 0.61% | 0.12% | 0.01% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 11.84% | 13.43% | 14.51% | 14.54% | 13.60% | 12.06% | 9.47% | 6.61% | 2.76% | 0.91% | 0.20% | 0.07% |
| Chicago Sky | 10.84% | 12.52% | 14.12% | 14.55% | 14.56% | 12.49% | 10.01% | 6.34% | 3.08% | 1.11% | 0.33% | 0.05% |
| Washington Mystics | 4.82% | 7.60% | 9.68% | 11.75% | 13.79% | 15.04% | 14.86% | 12.03% | 6.61% | 2.86% | 0.87% | 0.09% |
| Connecticut Sun | 3.96% | 5.87% | 8.22% | 10.85% | 12.51% | 14.22% | 15.53% | 14.05% | 8.96% | 3.95% | 1.55% | 0.33% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 1.42% | 2.96% | 4.39% | 6.55% | 9.21% | 12.96% | 16.68% | 19.36% | 13.76% | 8.33% | 3.40% | 0.98% |
| Indiana Fever | 0.10% | 0.31% | 0.64% | 1.34% | 2.21% | 4.29% | 8.08% | 13.96% | 24.30% | 22.89% | 15.18% | 6.70% |
| Dallas Wings | 0.08% | 0.14% | 0.38% | 0.91% | 1.75% | 3.24% | 6.34% | 11.60% | 20.77% | 25.80% | 19.24% | 9.75% |
| Atlanta Dream | — | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.11% | 0.22% | 0.87% | 1.80% | 4.88% | 11.87% | 21.61% | 33.72% | 24.87% |
| New York Liberty | — | 0.01% | 0.02% | — | 0.06% | 0.10% | 0.44% | 1.34% | 4.38% | 11.24% | 25.27% | 57.14% |
Win Totals in Context
How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | 7 Seed | 8 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 24.58% | 19.69% | 16.08% | 12.36% | 10.05% | 7.63% | 5.26% | 2.85% | 1.50% |
| Seattle Storm | 24.35% | 20.08% | 15.57% | 13.16% | 10.31% | 7.66% | 4.92% | 2.64% | 1.31% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 18.01% | 17.38% | 16.35% | 13.88% | 11.73% | 9.44% | 6.61% | 4.34% | 2.26% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 11.84% | 13.43% | 14.51% | 14.54% | 13.60% | 12.06% | 9.47% | 6.61% | 3.94% |
| Chicago Sky | 10.84% | 12.52% | 14.12% | 14.55% | 14.56% | 12.49% | 10.01% | 6.34% | 4.57% |
| Washington Mystics | 4.82% | 7.60% | 9.68% | 11.75% | 13.79% | 15.04% | 14.86% | 12.03% | 10.43% |
| Connecticut Sun | 3.96% | 5.87% | 8.22% | 10.85% | 12.51% | 14.22% | 15.53% | 14.05% | 14.79% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 1.42% | 2.96% | 4.39% | 6.55% | 9.21% | 12.96% | 16.68% | 19.36% | 26.47% |
| Indiana Fever | 0.10% | 0.31% | 0.64% | 1.34% | 2.21% | 4.29% | 8.08% | 13.96% | 69.07% |
| Dallas Wings | 0.08% | 0.14% | 0.38% | 0.91% | 1.75% | 3.24% | 6.34% | 11.60% | 75.56% |
| Atlanta Dream | — | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.11% | 0.22% | 0.87% | 1.80% | 4.88% | 92.07% |
| New York Liberty | — | 0.01% | 0.02% | — | 0.06% | 0.10% | 0.44% | 1.34% | 98.03% |
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 79.35% | 79.35% | 59.63% | 39.08% |
| Seattle Storm | 79.27% | 79.27% | 56.70% | 35.22% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 61.63% | 61.63% | 26.28% | 9.18% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 53.94% | 52.01% | 20.04% | 6.72% |
| Chicago Sky | 49.58% | 43.16% | 12.22% | 2.74% |
| Connecticut Sun | 45.79% | 28.82% | 9.12% | 2.49% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 39.37% | 21.34% | 7.41% | 2.29% |
| Washington Mystics | 45.58% | 29.24% | 8.00% | 2.17% |
| Dallas Wings | 8.22% | 2.56% | 0.35% | 0.08% |
| Indiana Fever | 8.34% | 2.07% | 0.19% | 0.03% |
| Atlanta Dream | 2.08% | 0.52% | 0.06% | — |
| New York Liberty | 0.26% | 0.03% | — | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.11% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.05% | 0.11% | 0.04% | 0.05% | 0.05% | |||
| Chicago Sky | 0.13% | 3.23% | 0.67% | 0.97% | 1.41% | 2.84% | 3.14% | 0.01% | 2.48% | 1.43% | 3.49% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 0.06% | 3.53% | 0.37% | 0.47% | 1.98% | 2.68% | 3.22% | 0.01% | 2.09% | 1.53% | 3.05% | |
| Dallas Wings | 0.49% | 0.24% | 0.04% | 0.29% | 0.41% | 0.32% | 0.15% | 0.18% | 0.22% | |||
| Indiana Fever | 0.29% | 0.21% | 0.02% | 0.14% | 0.24% | 0.32% | 0.11% | 0.13% | 0.20% | |||
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.37% | 5.24% | 5.26% | 1.20% | 1.15% | 4.26% | 5.07% | 0.04% | 4.32% | 2.94% | 5.23% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.32% | 4.03% | 4.28% | 1.04% | 0.98% | 1.86% | 3.86% | 0.03% | 3.35% | 2.12% | 4.37% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.27% | 4.83% | 4.09% | 0.68% | 0.97% | 2.19% | 3.69% | 0.05% | 3.26% | 2.23% | 4.48% | |
| New York Liberty | 0.01% | 0.01% | ||||||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.06% | 3.05% | 1.97% | 0.30% | 0.45% | 1.54% | 2.56% | 2.98% | 0.02% | 1.63% | 2.40% | |
| Seattle Storm | 0.29% | 5.03% | 5.09% | 1.13% | 1.00% | 2.83% | 4.22% | 5.16% | 0.07% | 4.76% | 5.26% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.07% | 3.18% | 2.39% | 0.47% | 0.64% | 1.23% | 2.71% | 3.01% | 0.01% | 1.85% | 1.26% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | ||||||||
| Chicago Sky | 0.04% | 1.31% | 0.21% | 0.21% | 1.40% | 2.89% | 2.13% | 0.95% | 1.54% | 1.54% | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.02% | 1.68% | 0.14% | 0.04% | 0.98% | 1.82% | 1.92% | 0.51% | 1.01% | 1.00% | ||
| Dallas Wings | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.08% | 0.05% | 0.05% | 0.05% | 0.05% | |||||
| Indiana Fever | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.04% | |||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.13% | 8.99% | 5.95% | 0.60% | 0.61% | 11.30% | 10.22% | 0.02% | 4.59% | 11.04% | 6.18% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.10% | 4.78% | 2.88% | 0.36% | 0.25% | 3.69% | 5.03% | 1.95% | 4.02% | 3.22% | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.03% | 3.93% | 2.37% | 0.18% | 0.26% | 2.49% | 4.17% | 1.50% | 2.71% | 2.40% | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 1.21% | 0.59% | 0.03% | 0.02% | 1.13% | 1.53% | 1.07% | 1.09% | 0.74% | |||
| Seattle Storm | 0.13% | 8.61% | 5.76% | 0.64% | 0.41% | 9.26% | 11.89% | 9.88% | 4.06% | 6.06% | ||
| Washington Mystics | 0.01% | 1.65% | 0.82% | 0.05% | 0.08% | 0.68% | 1.63% | 1.62% | 0.01% | 0.35% | 1.10% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 0.02% | 0.18% | 0.01% | 0.86% | 0.41% | 0.32% | 0.08% | 0.69% | 0.17% | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.20% | 0.76% | 0.32% | 0.21% | 0.10% | 0.81% | 0.09% | ||||
| Dallas Wings | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.02% | ||||||
| Indiana Fever | 0.01% | 0.02% | |||||||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.01% | 3.85% | 2.51% | 0.13% | 0.09% | 7.64% | 5.76% | 2.23% | 14.32% | 2.54% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.88% | 0.67% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 2.90% | 1.16% | 0.48% | 2.61% | 0.44% | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.48% | 0.47% | 0.01% | 1.94% | 1.19% | 0.39% | 1.90% | 0.34% | |||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.12% | 0.20% | 0.01% | 0.58% | 0.39% | 0.30% | 0.54% | 0.15% | |||
| Seattle Storm | 0.03% | 3.75% | 2.41% | 0.08% | 0.05% | 12.88% | 6.87% | 5.37% | 1.70% | 2.08% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.17% | 0.18% | 0.01% | 0.61% | 0.28% | 0.20% | 0.14% | 0.58% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 100.00% | 80.20% | 44.83% | Eliminated in Finals |
| Seattle Storm | 100.00% | 74.25% | 38.77% | Won Finals |
| Minnesota Lynx | 53.77% | 12.76% | 4.87% | Eliminated in Semifinals |
| Connecticut Sun | 22.37% | 4.61% | 1.46% | Eliminated in Semifinals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 12.01% | 9.65% | ||||
| Connecticut Sun | 12.05% | 10.32% | ||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 16.31% | 16.06% | 25.85% | |||
| Minnesota Lynx | 11.69% | 11.91% | 30.17% | |||
| Phoenix Mercury | 26.26% | |||||
| Washington Mystics | 17.72% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 3.38% | 0.69% | ||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 3.64% | 0.97% | ||||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 14.55% | 14.38% | 24.09% | 12.21% | 14.97% | |||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 16.04% | |||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 7.10% | 5.66% | ||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 2.93% | 2.39% | ||||||
| Seattle Storm | 3.04% | 3.38% | 42.18% | 16.92% | 8.73% | |||
| Washington Mystics | 2.75% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 0.14% | 0.18% | 0.11% | 0.11% | 0.71% | 0.07% | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.20% | 0.14% | 0.11% | 0.12% | 0.85% | 0.04% | ||
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.43% | 0.64% | 8.58% | 3.01% | 1.47% | 30.70% | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.22% | 0.13% | 4.26% | 0.88% | 0.36% | |||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.17% | 0.13% | 1.76% | 0.93% | 1.72% | 0.16% | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.09% | 0.14% | 0.46% | 0.36% | 0.74% | |||
| Seattle Storm | 1.79% | 2.02% | 28.55% | 3.57% | 1.47% | 1.37% | ||
| Washington Mystics | 0.05% | 0.09% | 0.21% | 0.76% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.
Las Vegas Aces
44.83% chance to win
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
30.04%
Win Prob
77.24%
→
Finals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
68.48%
Win Prob
51.81%
Seattle Storm
38.77% chance to win
Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
56.81%
Win Prob
72.45%
→
Finals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
73.64%
Win Prob
48.19%
Los Angeles Sparks
5.85% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Washington Mystics
Matchup
44.40%
Win Prob
59.33%
→
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
27.55%
→
Finals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
72.82%
Win Prob
33.18%
Minnesota Lynx
4.87% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
56.11%
Win Prob
53.46%
→
Semifinals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
55.64%
Win Prob
22.76%
→
Finals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
36.14%
Win Prob
36.90%
Phoenix Mercury
1.79% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
46.54%
→
Semifinals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
55.08%
Win Prob
19.35%
→
Finals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
41.34%
Win Prob
33.48%
Connecticut Sun
1.46% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
53.87%
Win Prob
42.87%
→
Semifinals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
78.96%
Win Prob
20.20%
→
Finals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
58.22%
Win Prob
29.62%
Chicago Sky
1.32% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
55.45%
Win Prob
42.41%
→
Semifinals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
83.05%
Win Prob
18.85%
→
Finals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
53.79%
Win Prob
28.40%
Washington Mystics
1.11% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
40.67%
→
Semifinals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
15.52%
→
Finals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
68.47%
Win Prob
35.68%
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-07-26 | Dallas Wings | W 105-95 | 1397.18 | 1426.44 | 45.80% | 54.20% | +24.54 | 1-0 |
| 2020-07-29 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 70-100 | 1421.72 | 1527.24 | 35.26% | 64.74% | -27.66 | 1-1 |
| 2020-07-31 | New York Liberty | W 84-78 | 1394.06 | 1347.06 | 56.72% | 43.28% | +15.18 | 2-1 |
| 2020-08-02 | @ Indiana Fever | L 77-93 | 1409.24 | 1458.01 | 43.03% | 56.97% | -24.64 | 2-2 |
| 2020-08-04 | Phoenix Mercury | L 74-81 | 1384.60 | 1467.14 | 38.34% | 61.66% | -14.53 | 2-3 |
| 2020-08-06 | Seattle Storm | L 92-93 | 1370.07 | 1584.86 | 22.51% | 77.49% | -3.22 | 2-4 |
| 2020-08-08 | @ Dallas Wings | L 75-85 | 1366.85 | 1388.12 | 46.94% | 53.06% | -21.26 | 2-5 |
| 2020-08-10 | Connecticut Sun | L 82-93 | 1345.59 | 1491.55 | 30.15% | 69.85% | -14.32 | 2-6 |
| 2020-08-12 | @ Seattle Storm | L 63-100 | 1331.27 | 1629.96 | 15.20% | 84.80% | -13.23 | 2-7 |
| 2020-08-14 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 80-96 | 1318.04 | 1488.49 | 27.27% | 72.73% | -15.62 | 2-8 |
| 2020-08-16 | Chicago Sky | L 67-92 | 1302.42 | 1561.22 | 18.40% | 81.60% | -13.17 | 2-9 |
| 2020-08-19 | @ Washington Mystics | L 91-98 | 1289.25 | 1502.80 | 22.63% | 77.37% | -8.58 | 2-10 |
| 2020-08-21 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 85-93 | 1280.67 | 1633.54 | 11.60% | 88.40% | -4.69 | 2-11 |
| 2020-08-23 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 78-75 | 1275.98 | 1598.15 | 13.53% | 86.47% | +21.44 | 3-11 |
| 2020-08-28 | Minnesota Lynx | L 79-88 | 1297.42 | 1576.71 | 16.69% | 83.31% | -7.17 | 3-12 |
| 2020-08-30 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 79-84 | 1290.25 | 1653.12 | 11.02% | 88.98% | -3.52 | 3-13 |
| 2020-09-01 | Indiana Fever | W 102-90 | 1286.73 | 1388.33 | 35.78% | 64.22% | +31.85 | 4-13 |
| 2020-09-03 | @ New York Liberty | W 62-56 | 1318.58 | 1263.98 | 57.79% | 42.21% | +14.81 | 5-13 |
| 2020-09-05 | Las Vegas Aces | L 79-89 | 1333.39 | 1679.83 | 11.98% | 88.02% | -5.43 | 5-14 |
| 2020-09-09 | @ Chicago Sky | W 97-89 | 1327.96 | 1530.27 | 23.78% | 76.22% | +30.87 | 6-14 |
| 2020-09-11 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 82-75 | 1358.83 | 1550.36 | 24.93% | 75.07% | +28.44 | 7-14 |
| 2020-09-13 | Washington Mystics | L 78-85 | 1387.27 | 1483.23 | 36.53% | 63.47% | -13.84 | 7-15 |
| 2020-07-26 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 88-86 | 1540.18 | 1537.28 | 50.42% | 49.58% | +10.04 | 1-0 |
| 2020-07-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 96-78 | 1550.22 | 1557.77 | 48.91% | 51.09% | +31.04 | 2-0 |
| 2020-07-30 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 81-83 | 1581.26 | 1513.95 | 59.57% | 40.43% | -12.06 | 2-1 |
| 2020-08-01 | Washington Mystics | W 88-86 | 1569.20 | 1685.82 | 33.82% | 66.18% | +13.40 | 3-1 |
| 2020-08-04 | Dallas Wings | W 82-79 | 1582.60 | 1423.36 | 71.44% | 28.56% | +7.09 | 4-1 |
| 2020-08-06 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 86-96 | 1589.69 | 1481.67 | 65.06% | 34.94% | -29.47 | 4-2 |
| 2020-08-08 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 100-93 | 1560.22 | 1507.65 | 57.51% | 42.49% | +16.10 | 5-2 |
| 2020-08-10 | @ Seattle Storm | L 71-89 | 1576.32 | 1601.80 | 46.34% | 53.66% | -28.15 | 5-3 |
| 2020-08-12 | Phoenix Mercury | W 89-71 | 1548.17 | 1516.07 | 54.61% | 45.39% | +27.58 | 6-3 |
| 2020-08-14 | Connecticut Sun | L 74-77 | 1575.75 | 1515.61 | 58.57% | 41.43% | -14.53 | 6-4 |
| 2020-08-16 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 92-67 | 1561.22 | 1302.42 | 81.60% | 18.40% | +13.17 | 7-4 |
| 2020-08-18 | Las Vegas Aces | W 84-82 | 1574.39 | 1647.66 | 39.61% | 60.39% | +12.23 | 8-4 |
| 2020-08-20 | @ New York Liberty | W 101-85 | 1586.62 | 1276.84 | 85.61% | 14.39% | +8.24 | 9-4 |
| 2020-08-22 | Indiana Fever | W 87-76 | 1594.86 | 1449.64 | 69.76% | 30.24% | +14.37 | 10-4 |
| 2020-08-25 | New York Liberty | L 99-101 | 1609.23 | 1256.92 | 88.37% | 11.63% | -17.90 | 10-5 |
| 2020-08-29 | Seattle Storm | L 74-88 | 1591.33 | 1648.91 | 41.79% | 58.21% | -22.39 | 10-6 |
| 2020-08-31 | @ Indiana Fever | W 100-77 | 1568.94 | 1407.80 | 71.66% | 28.34% | +19.46 | 11-6 |
| 2020-09-02 | Minnesota Lynx | L 83-86 | 1588.40 | 1604.08 | 47.75% | 52.25% | -11.84 | 11-7 |
| 2020-09-04 | @ Washington Mystics | L 69-79 | 1576.56 | 1411.95 | 72.06% | 27.94% | -32.63 | 11-8 |
| 2020-09-06 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 80-86 | 1543.93 | 1622.09 | 38.94% | 61.06% | -13.66 | 11-9 |
| 2020-09-09 | Atlanta Dream | L 89-97 | 1530.27 | 1327.96 | 76.22% | 23.78% | -30.87 | 11-10 |
| 2020-09-11 | @ Dallas Wings | W 95-88 | 1499.40 | 1409.90 | 62.60% | 37.40% | +14.17 | 12-10 |
| 2020-07-26 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 69-77 | 1572.72 | 1528.15 | 56.38% | 43.62% | -22.83 | 0-1 |
| 2020-07-28 | Washington Mystics | L 89-94 | 1549.89 | 1652.12 | 35.70% | 64.30% | -11.43 | 0-2 |
| 2020-07-30 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 76-81 | 1538.46 | 1526.73 | 51.69% | 48.31% | -16.55 | 0-3 |
| 2020-08-01 | Minnesota Lynx | L 69-78 | 1521.91 | 1526.01 | 49.41% | 50.59% | -21.23 | 0-4 |
| 2020-08-04 | @ Seattle Storm | L 74-87 | 1500.68 | 1563.68 | 41.03% | 58.97% | -21.19 | 0-5 |
| 2020-08-06 | @ Dallas Wings | W 91-68 | 1479.49 | 1416.28 | 59.00% | 41.00% | +28.16 | 1-5 |
| 2020-08-08 | Chicago Sky | L 93-100 | 1507.65 | 1560.22 | 42.49% | 57.51% | -16.10 | 1-6 |
| 2020-08-10 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 93-82 | 1491.55 | 1345.59 | 69.85% | 30.15% | +14.32 | 2-6 |
| 2020-08-12 | Dallas Wings | W 70-66 | 1505.87 | 1390.73 | 65.99% | 34.01% | +9.74 | 3-6 |
| 2020-08-14 | @ Chicago Sky | W 77-74 | 1515.61 | 1575.75 | 41.43% | 58.57% | +14.53 | 4-6 |
| 2020-08-16 | Seattle Storm | L 72-95 | 1530.14 | 1654.19 | 32.87% | 67.13% | -22.57 | 4-7 |
| 2020-08-18 | Indiana Fever | W 84-62 | 1507.57 | 1448.80 | 58.38% | 41.62% | +27.95 | 5-7 |
| 2020-08-20 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 78-99 | 1535.52 | 1635.43 | 36.01% | 63.99% | -23.63 | 5-8 |
| 2020-08-22 | New York Liberty | W 82-65 | 1511.89 | 1268.60 | 80.23% | 19.77% | +11.68 | 6-8 |
| 2020-08-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 76-80 | 1523.57 | 1643.56 | 33.39% | 66.61% | -9.56 | 6-9 |
| 2020-08-30 | @ Washington Mystics | W 76-63 | 1514.01 | 1439.50 | 60.56% | 39.44% | +20.36 | 7-9 |
| 2020-09-01 | @ New York Liberty | W 70-65 | 1534.37 | 1269.71 | 82.11% | 17.89% | +5.73 | 8-9 |
| 2020-09-03 | Las Vegas Aces | L 78-93 | 1540.10 | 1661.41 | 33.22% | 66.78% | -18.42 | 8-10 |
| 2020-09-05 | @ Indiana Fever | W 96-77 | 1521.68 | 1338.39 | 74.18% | 25.82% | +16.12 | 9-10 |
| 2020-09-07 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 85-70 | 1537.80 | 1566.48 | 45.88% | 54.12% | +30.01 | 10-10 |
| 2020-09-09 | Phoenix Mercury | L 95-100 | 1567.81 | 1536.47 | 54.50% | 45.50% | -17.45 | 10-11 |
| 2020-09-11 | Atlanta Dream | L 75-82 | 1550.36 | 1358.83 | 75.07% | 24.93% | -28.44 | 10-12 |
| 2020-07-26 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 95-105 | 1426.44 | 1397.18 | 54.20% | 45.80% | -24.55 | 0-1 |
| 2020-07-29 | New York Liberty | W 93-80 | 1401.89 | 1370.56 | 54.50% | 45.50% | +23.50 | 1-1 |
| 2020-07-31 | Indiana Fever | W 76-73 | 1425.39 | 1472.06 | 43.32% | 56.68% | +14.05 | 2-1 |
| 2020-08-02 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 70-79 | 1439.44 | 1528.67 | 37.43% | 62.57% | -16.08 | 2-2 |
| 2020-08-04 | @ Chicago Sky | L 79-82 | 1423.36 | 1582.60 | 28.56% | 71.44% | -7.08 | 2-3 |
| 2020-08-06 | Connecticut Sun | L 68-91 | 1416.28 | 1479.49 | 41.00% | 59.00% | -28.16 | 2-4 |
| 2020-08-08 | Atlanta Dream | W 85-75 | 1388.12 | 1366.85 | 53.06% | 46.94% | +21.26 | 3-4 |
| 2020-08-10 | Phoenix Mercury | L 79-91 | 1409.38 | 1497.42 | 37.59% | 62.41% | -18.65 | 3-5 |
| 2020-08-12 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 66-70 | 1390.73 | 1505.87 | 34.01% | 65.99% | -9.74 | 3-6 |
| 2020-08-14 | Seattle Storm | L 65-83 | 1380.99 | 1643.19 | 18.10% | 81.90% | -11.00 | 3-7 |
| 2020-08-16 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 95-89 | 1369.99 | 1504.10 | 31.60% | 68.40% | +23.99 | 4-7 |
| 2020-08-19 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 84-91 | 1393.98 | 1572.83 | 26.32% | 73.68% | -9.97 | 4-8 |
| 2020-08-21 | Washington Mystics | W 101-92 | 1384.01 | 1511.37 | 32.45% | 67.55% | +29.02 | 5-8 |
| 2020-08-23 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 81-84 | 1413.03 | 1638.24 | 21.48% | 78.52% | -5.33 | 5-9 |
| 2020-08-25 | Las Vegas Aces | L 92-96 | 1407.70 | 1679.17 | 17.33% | 82.67% | -4.96 | 5-10 |
| 2020-08-29 | @ Indiana Fever | W 82-78 | 1402.74 | 1422.95 | 47.10% | 52.90% | +15.15 | 6-10 |
| 2020-09-02 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 83-91 | 1417.89 | 1618.52 | 23.96% | 76.04% | -9.70 | 6-11 |
| 2020-09-04 | Minnesota Lynx | L 75-88 | 1408.19 | 1615.92 | 23.22% | 76.78% | -11.99 | 6-12 |
| 2020-09-06 | @ Washington Mystics | W 101-94 | 1396.20 | 1444.58 | 43.08% | 56.92% | +21.56 | 7-12 |
| 2020-09-09 | @ Seattle Storm | L 95-107 | 1417.76 | 1707.87 | 15.84% | 84.16% | -7.86 | 7-13 |
| 2020-09-11 | Chicago Sky | L 88-95 | 1409.90 | 1499.40 | 37.40% | 62.60% | -14.17 | 7-14 |
| 2020-09-13 | @ New York Liberty | W 82-79 | 1395.73 | 1205.79 | 74.90% | 25.10% | +6.23 | 8-14 |
| 2020-07-25 | @ Washington Mystics | L 76-101 | 1476.65 | 1631.28 | 29.11% | 70.89% | -20.84 | 0-1 |
| 2020-07-29 | Phoenix Mercury | W 106-100 | 1455.81 | 1430.26 | 53.67% | 46.33% | +16.25 | 1-1 |
| 2020-07-31 | @ Dallas Wings | L 73-76 | 1472.06 | 1425.39 | 56.68% | 43.32% | -14.05 | 1-2 |
| 2020-08-02 | Atlanta Dream | W 93-77 | 1458.01 | 1409.24 | 56.97% | 43.03% | +24.64 | 2-2 |
| 2020-08-05 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-86 | 1482.65 | 1525.90 | 43.81% | 56.19% | -20.80 | 2-3 |
| 2020-08-07 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 80-87 | 1461.85 | 1561.75 | 36.01% | 63.99% | -13.65 | 2-4 |
| 2020-08-09 | Washington Mystics | W 91-84 | 1448.20 | 1612.78 | 27.94% | 72.06% | +27.30 | 3-4 |
| 2020-08-11 | Las Vegas Aces | L 79-98 | 1475.50 | 1585.67 | 34.66% | 65.34% | -21.63 | 3-5 |
| 2020-08-13 | @ New York Liberty | W 86-79 | 1453.87 | 1311.62 | 69.40% | 30.60% | +11.60 | 4-5 |
| 2020-08-15 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 76-90 | 1465.47 | 1603.62 | 31.10% | 68.90% | -16.67 | 4-6 |
| 2020-08-18 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 62-84 | 1448.80 | 1507.57 | 41.62% | 58.38% | -27.96 | 4-7 |
| 2020-08-20 | Seattle Storm | W 90-84 | 1420.84 | 1685.49 | 17.90% | 82.10% | +28.80 | 5-7 |
| 2020-08-22 | @ Chicago Sky | L 76-87 | 1449.64 | 1594.86 | 30.24% | 69.76% | -14.36 | 5-8 |
| 2020-08-25 | @ Seattle Storm | L 74-87 | 1435.28 | 1636.58 | 23.89% | 76.11% | -12.33 | 5-9 |
| 2020-08-29 | Dallas Wings | L 78-82 | 1422.95 | 1402.74 | 52.90% | 47.10% | -15.15 | 5-10 |
| 2020-08-31 | Chicago Sky | L 77-100 | 1407.80 | 1568.94 | 28.34% | 71.66% | -19.47 | 5-11 |
| 2020-09-01 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 90-102 | 1388.33 | 1286.73 | 64.22% | 35.78% | -31.85 | 5-12 |
| 2020-09-03 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 81-105 | 1356.48 | 1540.12 | 25.79% | 74.21% | -18.09 | 5-13 |
| 2020-09-05 | Connecticut Sun | L 77-96 | 1338.39 | 1521.68 | 25.82% | 74.18% | -16.12 | 5-14 |
| 2020-09-08 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 86-92 | 1322.27 | 1685.25 | 11.01% | 88.99% | -3.87 | 5-15 |
| 2020-09-10 | New York Liberty | W 85-75 | 1318.40 | 1234.08 | 61.90% | 38.10% | +17.26 | 6-15 |
| 2020-09-12 | Minnesota Lynx | L 86-98 | 1335.66 | 1566.56 | 20.93% | 79.07% | -10.39 | 6-16 |
| 2020-07-26 | Chicago Sky | L 86-88 | 1537.28 | 1540.18 | 49.58% | 50.42% | -10.04 | 0-1 |
| 2020-07-29 | Atlanta Dream | W 100-70 | 1527.24 | 1421.72 | 64.74% | 35.26% | +27.66 | 1-1 |
| 2020-07-31 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 95-102 | 1554.90 | 1414.01 | 69.23% | 30.77% | -26.23 | 1-2 |
| 2020-08-02 | Dallas Wings | W 79-70 | 1528.67 | 1439.44 | 62.57% | 37.43% | +16.08 | 2-2 |
| 2020-08-05 | @ Washington Mystics | W 83-77 | 1544.75 | 1672.42 | 32.41% | 67.59% | +23.71 | 3-2 |
| 2020-08-07 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 86-82 | 1568.46 | 1546.70 | 53.13% | 46.87% | +13.43 | 4-2 |
| 2020-08-09 | @ New York Liberty | W 78-76 | 1581.89 | 1326.40 | 81.32% | 18.68% | +3.78 | 5-2 |
| 2020-08-11 | @ Indiana Fever | W 98-79 | 1585.67 | 1475.50 | 65.34% | 34.66% | +21.63 | 6-2 |
| 2020-08-13 | Minnesota Lynx | W 87-77 | 1607.30 | 1579.18 | 54.04% | 45.96% | +20.82 | 7-2 |
| 2020-08-15 | Washington Mystics | W 88-73 | 1628.12 | 1522.34 | 64.77% | 35.23% | +19.54 | 8-2 |
| 2020-08-18 | @ Chicago Sky | L 82-84 | 1647.66 | 1574.39 | 60.39% | 39.61% | -12.23 | 8-3 |
| 2020-08-20 | Connecticut Sun | W 99-78 | 1635.43 | 1535.52 | 63.99% | 36.01% | +23.62 | 9-3 |
| 2020-08-22 | Seattle Storm | W 82-74 | 1659.05 | 1656.69 | 50.34% | 49.66% | +20.12 | 10-3 |
| 2020-08-25 | @ Dallas Wings | W 96-92 | 1679.17 | 1407.70 | 82.67% | 17.33% | +4.96 | 11-3 |
| 2020-08-29 | New York Liberty | W 80-63 | 1684.13 | 1274.82 | 91.34% | 8.66% | +5.11 | 12-3 |
| 2020-09-01 | Phoenix Mercury | L 85-92 | 1689.24 | 1512.29 | 73.47% | 26.53% | -27.83 | 12-4 |
| 2020-09-03 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 93-78 | 1661.41 | 1540.10 | 66.78% | 33.22% | +18.42 | 13-4 |
| 2020-09-05 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 89-79 | 1679.83 | 1333.39 | 88.02% | 11.98% | +5.42 | 14-4 |
| 2020-09-08 | Indiana Fever | W 92-86 | 1685.25 | 1322.27 | 88.99% | 11.01% | +3.87 | 15-4 |
| 2020-09-10 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 104-89 | 1689.12 | 1586.32 | 64.38% | 35.62% | +19.75 | 16-4 |
| 2020-09-12 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 84-70 | 1708.87 | 1611.75 | 63.62% | 36.38% | +19.49 | 17-4 |
| 2020-09-13 | @ Seattle Storm | W 86-84 | 1728.36 | 1735.14 | 49.03% | 50.97% | +10.33 | 18-4 |
| 2020-07-25 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 99-76 | 1530.55 | 1457.48 | 60.36% | 39.64% | +27.22 | 1-0 |
| 2020-07-28 | @ Chicago Sky | L 78-96 | 1557.77 | 1550.22 | 51.09% | 48.91% | -31.04 | 1-1 |
| 2020-07-30 | Connecticut Sun | W 81-76 | 1526.73 | 1538.46 | 48.31% | 51.69% | +16.55 | 2-1 |
| 2020-08-01 | @ Seattle Storm | L 75-81 | 1543.28 | 1546.29 | 49.57% | 50.43% | -17.38 | 2-2 |
| 2020-08-05 | Indiana Fever | W 86-75 | 1525.90 | 1482.65 | 56.19% | 43.81% | +20.80 | 3-2 |
| 2020-08-07 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 82-86 | 1546.70 | 1568.46 | 46.87% | 53.13% | -13.42 | 3-3 |
| 2020-08-09 | Minnesota Lynx | W 97-81 | 1533.28 | 1575.39 | 43.97% | 56.03% | +32.09 | 4-3 |
| 2020-08-11 | New York Liberty | W 93-78 | 1565.37 | 1322.62 | 80.18% | 19.82% | +11.00 | 5-3 |
| 2020-08-13 | @ Washington Mystics | W 81-64 | 1576.37 | 1549.59 | 53.85% | 46.15% | +27.25 | 6-3 |
| 2020-08-15 | @ Indiana Fever | W 90-76 | 1603.62 | 1465.47 | 68.90% | 31.10% | +16.66 | 7-3 |
| 2020-08-19 | Phoenix Mercury | W 83-74 | 1620.28 | 1480.11 | 69.14% | 30.86% | +13.26 | 8-3 |
| 2020-08-21 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 93-85 | 1633.54 | 1280.67 | 88.40% | 11.60% | +4.70 | 9-3 |
| 2020-08-23 | Dallas Wings | W 84-81 | 1638.24 | 1413.03 | 78.52% | 21.48% | +5.32 | 10-3 |
| 2020-08-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 80-76 | 1643.56 | 1523.57 | 66.61% | 33.39% | +9.56 | 11-3 |
| 2020-08-30 | Atlanta Dream | W 84-79 | 1653.12 | 1290.25 | 88.98% | 11.02% | +3.53 | 12-3 |
| 2020-08-31 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 78-96 | 1656.65 | 1565.95 | 62.76% | 37.24% | -38.13 | 12-4 |
| 2020-09-02 | @ Dallas Wings | W 91-83 | 1618.52 | 1417.89 | 76.04% | 23.96% | +9.70 | 13-4 |
| 2020-09-04 | Seattle Storm | L 89-90 | 1628.22 | 1678.49 | 42.82% | 57.18% | -6.13 | 13-5 |
| 2020-09-06 | Chicago Sky | W 86-80 | 1622.09 | 1543.93 | 61.06% | 38.94% | +13.66 | 14-5 |
| 2020-09-08 | @ New York Liberty | W 96-70 | 1635.75 | 1240.90 | 90.66% | 9.34% | +6.82 | 15-5 |
| 2020-09-10 | Washington Mystics | L 72-80 | 1642.57 | 1441.37 | 76.10% | 23.90% | -30.82 | 15-6 |
| 2020-09-12 | Las Vegas Aces | L 70-84 | 1611.75 | 1708.87 | 36.38% | 63.62% | -19.49 | 15-7 |
| 2020-07-26 | Connecticut Sun | W 77-69 | 1528.15 | 1572.72 | 43.62% | 56.38% | +22.84 | 1-0 |
| 2020-07-28 | @ Seattle Storm | L 66-90 | 1550.99 | 1531.52 | 52.80% | 47.20% | -37.04 | 1-1 |
| 2020-07-30 | Chicago Sky | W 83-81 | 1513.95 | 1581.26 | 40.43% | 59.57% | +12.06 | 2-1 |
| 2020-08-01 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 78-69 | 1526.01 | 1521.91 | 50.59% | 49.41% | +21.23 | 3-1 |
| 2020-08-05 | @ New York Liberty | W 92-66 | 1547.24 | 1304.97 | 80.13% | 19.87% | +14.51 | 4-1 |
| 2020-08-07 | Indiana Fever | W 87-80 | 1561.75 | 1461.85 | 63.99% | 36.01% | +13.64 | 5-1 |
| 2020-08-09 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 81-97 | 1575.39 | 1533.28 | 56.03% | 43.97% | -32.10 | 5-2 |
| 2020-08-11 | Washington Mystics | W 68-48 | 1543.29 | 1585.48 | 43.96% | 56.04% | +35.89 | 6-2 |
| 2020-08-13 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 77-87 | 1579.18 | 1607.30 | 45.96% | 54.04% | -20.81 | 6-3 |
| 2020-08-15 | New York Liberty | W 94-64 | 1558.37 | 1300.03 | 81.56% | 18.44% | +14.46 | 7-3 |
| 2020-08-19 | Dallas Wings | W 91-84 | 1572.83 | 1393.98 | 73.68% | 26.32% | +9.97 | 8-3 |
| 2020-08-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 90-80 | 1582.80 | 1466.86 | 66.09% | 33.91% | +15.35 | 9-3 |
| 2020-08-23 | Atlanta Dream | L 75-78 | 1598.15 | 1275.98 | 86.47% | 13.53% | -21.44 | 9-4 |
| 2020-08-28 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 88-79 | 1576.71 | 1297.42 | 83.31% | 16.69% | +7.17 | 10-4 |
| 2020-08-30 | Phoenix Mercury | L 79-83 | 1583.88 | 1494.36 | 62.61% | 37.39% | -17.93 | 10-5 |
| 2020-08-31 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 96-78 | 1565.95 | 1656.65 | 37.24% | 62.76% | +38.13 | 11-5 |
| 2020-09-02 | @ Chicago Sky | W 86-83 | 1604.08 | 1588.40 | 52.25% | 47.75% | +11.84 | 12-5 |
| 2020-09-04 | @ Dallas Wings | W 88-75 | 1615.92 | 1408.19 | 76.78% | 23.22% | +11.99 | 13-5 |
| 2020-09-06 | Seattle Storm | L 88-103 | 1627.91 | 1684.62 | 41.91% | 58.09% | -23.24 | 13-6 |
| 2020-09-08 | @ Washington Mystics | L 86-89 | 1604.67 | 1423.02 | 73.99% | 26.01% | -18.35 | 13-7 |
| 2020-09-10 | Las Vegas Aces | L 89-104 | 1586.32 | 1689.12 | 35.62% | 64.38% | -19.76 | 13-8 |
| 2020-09-12 | @ Indiana Fever | W 98-86 | 1566.56 | 1335.66 | 79.07% | 20.93% | +10.38 | 14-8 |
| 2020-07-25 | Seattle Storm | L 71-87 | 1389.45 | 1512.63 | 32.98% | 67.02% | -18.89 | 0-1 |
| 2020-07-29 | @ Dallas Wings | L 80-93 | 1370.56 | 1401.89 | 45.50% | 54.50% | -23.50 | 0-2 |
| 2020-07-31 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 78-84 | 1347.06 | 1394.06 | 43.28% | 56.72% | -15.18 | 0-3 |
| 2020-08-02 | Phoenix Mercury | L 67-96 | 1331.88 | 1440.24 | 34.89% | 65.11% | -26.91 | 0-4 |
| 2020-08-05 | Minnesota Lynx | L 66-92 | 1304.97 | 1547.24 | 19.87% | 80.13% | -14.50 | 0-5 |
| 2020-08-07 | @ Washington Mystics | W 74-66 | 1290.47 | 1648.71 | 11.28% | 88.72% | +35.93 | 1-5 |
| 2020-08-09 | Las Vegas Aces | L 76-78 | 1326.40 | 1581.89 | 18.68% | 81.32% | -3.78 | 1-6 |
| 2020-08-11 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 78-93 | 1322.62 | 1565.37 | 19.82% | 80.18% | -11.00 | 1-7 |
| 2020-08-13 | Indiana Fever | L 79-86 | 1311.62 | 1453.87 | 30.60% | 69.40% | -11.59 | 1-8 |
| 2020-08-15 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 64-94 | 1300.03 | 1558.37 | 18.44% | 81.56% | -14.46 | 1-9 |
| 2020-08-18 | @ Seattle Storm | L 64-105 | 1285.57 | 1676.76 | 9.52% | 90.48% | -8.73 | 1-10 |
| 2020-08-20 | Chicago Sky | L 85-101 | 1276.84 | 1586.62 | 14.39% | 85.61% | -8.24 | 1-11 |
| 2020-08-22 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 65-82 | 1268.60 | 1511.89 | 19.77% | 80.23% | -11.68 | 1-12 |
| 2020-08-25 | @ Chicago Sky | W 101-99 | 1256.92 | 1609.23 | 11.63% | 88.37% | +17.90 | 2-12 |
| 2020-08-29 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 63-80 | 1274.82 | 1684.13 | 8.66% | 91.34% | -5.11 | 2-13 |
| 2020-09-01 | Connecticut Sun | L 65-70 | 1269.71 | 1534.37 | 17.89% | 82.11% | -5.73 | 2-14 |
| 2020-09-03 | Atlanta Dream | L 56-62 | 1263.98 | 1318.58 | 42.21% | 57.79% | -14.81 | 2-15 |
| 2020-09-05 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 67-83 | 1249.17 | 1558.21 | 14.44% | 85.56% | -8.27 | 2-16 |
| 2020-09-08 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 70-96 | 1240.90 | 1635.75 | 9.34% | 90.66% | -6.82 | 2-17 |
| 2020-09-10 | @ Indiana Fever | L 75-85 | 1234.08 | 1318.40 | 38.10% | 61.90% | -17.25 | 2-18 |
| 2020-09-12 | Washington Mystics | L 58-75 | 1216.83 | 1472.19 | 18.69% | 81.31% | -11.04 | 2-19 |
| 2020-09-13 | Dallas Wings | L 79-82 | 1205.79 | 1395.73 | 25.10% | 74.90% | -6.22 | 2-20 |
| 2020-07-25 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 76-99 | 1457.48 | 1530.55 | 39.64% | 60.36% | -27.22 | 0-1 |
| 2020-07-29 | @ Indiana Fever | L 100-106 | 1430.26 | 1455.81 | 46.33% | 53.67% | -16.25 | 0-2 |
| 2020-07-31 | Las Vegas Aces | W 102-95 | 1414.01 | 1554.90 | 30.77% | 69.23% | +26.23 | 1-2 |
| 2020-08-02 | @ New York Liberty | W 96-67 | 1440.24 | 1331.88 | 65.11% | 34.89% | +26.90 | 2-2 |
| 2020-08-04 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 81-74 | 1467.14 | 1384.60 | 61.66% | 38.34% | +14.53 | 3-2 |
| 2020-08-06 | Chicago Sky | W 96-86 | 1481.67 | 1589.69 | 34.94% | 65.06% | +29.46 | 4-2 |
| 2020-08-08 | @ Seattle Storm | L 68-74 | 1511.13 | 1588.09 | 39.10% | 60.90% | -13.71 | 4-3 |
| 2020-08-10 | @ Dallas Wings | W 91-79 | 1497.42 | 1409.38 | 62.41% | 37.59% | +18.65 | 5-3 |
| 2020-08-12 | @ Chicago Sky | L 71-89 | 1516.07 | 1548.17 | 45.39% | 54.61% | -27.58 | 5-4 |
| 2020-08-14 | Atlanta Dream | W 96-80 | 1488.49 | 1318.04 | 72.73% | 27.27% | +15.61 | 6-4 |
| 2020-08-16 | Dallas Wings | L 89-95 | 1504.10 | 1369.99 | 68.40% | 31.60% | -23.99 | 6-5 |
| 2020-08-19 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 74-83 | 1480.11 | 1620.28 | 30.86% | 69.14% | -13.25 | 6-6 |
| 2020-08-21 | Minnesota Lynx | L 80-90 | 1466.86 | 1582.80 | 33.91% | 66.09% | -15.36 | 6-7 |
| 2020-08-23 | @ Washington Mystics | W 88-87 | 1451.50 | 1482.35 | 45.57% | 54.43% | +7.80 | 7-7 |
| 2020-08-28 | Washington Mystics | W 94-72 | 1459.30 | 1474.56 | 47.80% | 52.20% | +35.06 | 8-7 |
| 2020-08-30 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 83-79 | 1494.36 | 1583.88 | 37.39% | 62.61% | +17.93 | 9-7 |
| 2020-09-01 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 92-85 | 1512.29 | 1689.24 | 26.53% | 73.47% | +27.83 | 10-7 |
| 2020-09-03 | Indiana Fever | W 105-81 | 1540.12 | 1356.48 | 74.21% | 25.79% | +18.09 | 11-7 |
| 2020-09-05 | New York Liberty | W 83-67 | 1558.21 | 1249.17 | 85.56% | 14.44% | +8.27 | 12-7 |
| 2020-09-07 | Connecticut Sun | L 70-85 | 1566.48 | 1537.80 | 54.12% | 45.88% | -30.01 | 12-8 |
| 2020-09-09 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 100-95 | 1536.47 | 1567.81 | 45.50% | 54.50% | +17.45 | 13-8 |
| 2020-09-11 | Seattle Storm | L 60-83 | 1553.92 | 1715.73 | 28.26% | 71.74% | -19.41 | 13-9 |
| 2020-07-25 | @ New York Liberty | W 87-71 | 1512.63 | 1389.45 | 67.02% | 32.98% | +18.89 | 1-0 |
| 2020-07-28 | Minnesota Lynx | W 90-66 | 1531.52 | 1550.99 | 47.20% | 52.80% | +37.04 | 2-0 |
| 2020-07-30 | @ Washington Mystics | L 71-89 | 1568.56 | 1663.55 | 36.66% | 63.34% | -22.27 | 2-1 |
| 2020-08-01 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 81-75 | 1546.29 | 1543.28 | 50.43% | 49.57% | +17.39 | 3-1 |
| 2020-08-04 | Connecticut Sun | W 87-74 | 1563.68 | 1500.68 | 58.97% | 41.03% | +21.18 | 4-1 |
| 2020-08-06 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 93-92 | 1584.86 | 1370.07 | 77.49% | 22.51% | +3.23 | 5-1 |
| 2020-08-08 | Phoenix Mercury | W 74-68 | 1588.09 | 1511.13 | 60.90% | 39.10% | +13.71 | 6-1 |
| 2020-08-10 | Chicago Sky | W 89-71 | 1601.80 | 1576.32 | 53.66% | 46.34% | +28.16 | 7-1 |
| 2020-08-12 | Atlanta Dream | W 100-63 | 1629.96 | 1331.27 | 84.80% | 15.20% | +13.23 | 8-1 |
| 2020-08-14 | @ Dallas Wings | W 83-65 | 1643.19 | 1380.99 | 81.90% | 18.10% | +11.00 | 9-1 |
| 2020-08-16 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 95-72 | 1654.19 | 1530.14 | 67.13% | 32.87% | +22.57 | 10-1 |
| 2020-08-18 | New York Liberty | W 105-64 | 1676.76 | 1285.57 | 90.48% | 9.52% | +8.73 | 11-1 |
| 2020-08-20 | @ Indiana Fever | L 84-90 | 1685.49 | 1420.84 | 82.10% | 17.90% | -28.80 | 11-2 |
| 2020-08-22 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 74-82 | 1656.69 | 1659.05 | 49.66% | 50.34% | -20.11 | 11-3 |
| 2020-08-25 | Indiana Fever | W 87-74 | 1636.58 | 1435.28 | 76.11% | 23.89% | +12.33 | 12-3 |
| 2020-08-29 | @ Chicago Sky | W 88-74 | 1648.91 | 1591.33 | 58.21% | 41.79% | +22.39 | 13-3 |
| 2020-09-02 | Washington Mystics | W 71-64 | 1671.30 | 1419.14 | 81.02% | 18.98% | +7.19 | 14-3 |
| 2020-09-04 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 90-89 | 1678.49 | 1628.22 | 57.18% | 42.82% | +6.13 | 15-3 |
| 2020-09-06 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 103-88 | 1684.62 | 1627.91 | 58.09% | 41.91% | +23.25 | 16-3 |
| 2020-09-09 | Dallas Wings | W 107-95 | 1707.87 | 1417.76 | 84.16% | 15.84% | +7.86 | 17-3 |
| 2020-09-11 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 83-60 | 1715.73 | 1553.92 | 71.74% | 28.26% | +19.41 | 18-3 |
| 2020-09-13 | Las Vegas Aces | L 84-86 | 1735.14 | 1728.36 | 50.97% | 49.03% | -10.33 | 18-4 |
| 2020-07-25 | Indiana Fever | W 101-76 | 1631.28 | 1476.65 | 70.89% | 29.11% | +20.84 | 1-0 |
| 2020-07-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 94-89 | 1652.12 | 1549.89 | 64.30% | 35.70% | +11.43 | 2-0 |
| 2020-07-30 | Seattle Storm | W 89-71 | 1663.55 | 1568.56 | 63.34% | 36.66% | +22.27 | 3-0 |
| 2020-08-01 | @ Chicago Sky | L 86-88 | 1685.82 | 1569.20 | 66.18% | 33.82% | -13.40 | 3-1 |
| 2020-08-05 | Las Vegas Aces | L 77-83 | 1672.42 | 1544.75 | 67.59% | 32.41% | -23.71 | 3-2 |
| 2020-08-07 | New York Liberty | L 66-74 | 1648.71 | 1290.47 | 88.72% | 11.28% | -35.93 | 3-3 |
| 2020-08-09 | @ Indiana Fever | L 84-91 | 1612.78 | 1448.20 | 72.06% | 27.94% | -27.30 | 3-4 |
| 2020-08-11 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 48-68 | 1585.48 | 1543.29 | 56.04% | 43.96% | -35.89 | 3-5 |
| 2020-08-13 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 64-81 | 1549.59 | 1576.37 | 46.15% | 53.85% | -27.25 | 3-6 |
| 2020-08-15 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 73-88 | 1522.34 | 1628.12 | 35.23% | 64.77% | -19.54 | 3-7 |
| 2020-08-19 | Atlanta Dream | W 98-91 | 1502.80 | 1289.25 | 77.37% | 22.63% | +8.57 | 4-7 |
| 2020-08-21 | @ Dallas Wings | L 92-101 | 1511.37 | 1384.01 | 67.55% | 32.45% | -29.02 | 4-8 |
| 2020-08-23 | Phoenix Mercury | L 87-88 | 1482.35 | 1451.50 | 54.43% | 45.57% | -7.79 | 4-9 |
| 2020-08-28 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 72-94 | 1474.56 | 1459.30 | 52.20% | 47.80% | -35.06 | 4-10 |
| 2020-08-30 | Connecticut Sun | L 63-76 | 1439.50 | 1514.01 | 39.44% | 60.56% | -20.36 | 4-11 |
| 2020-09-02 | @ Seattle Storm | L 64-71 | 1419.14 | 1671.30 | 18.98% | 81.02% | -7.19 | 4-12 |
| 2020-09-04 | Chicago Sky | W 79-69 | 1411.95 | 1576.56 | 27.94% | 72.06% | +32.63 | 5-12 |
| 2020-09-06 | Dallas Wings | L 94-101 | 1444.58 | 1396.20 | 56.92% | 43.08% | -21.56 | 5-13 |
| 2020-09-08 | Minnesota Lynx | W 89-86 | 1423.02 | 1604.67 | 26.01% | 73.99% | +18.35 | 6-13 |
| 2020-09-10 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 80-72 | 1441.37 | 1642.57 | 23.90% | 76.10% | +30.82 | 7-13 |
| 2020-09-12 | @ New York Liberty | W 75-58 | 1472.19 | 1216.83 | 81.31% | 18.69% | +11.04 | 8-13 |
| 2020-09-13 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 85-78 | 1483.23 | 1387.27 | 63.47% | 36.53% | +13.84 | 9-13 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-09-15 | Connecticut Sun | L 81-94 | 1513.57 | 1521.92 | 48.80% | 51.20% | -25.20 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-15 | @ Chicago Sky | W 94-81 | 1521.92 | 1513.57 | 51.20% | 48.80% | +25.19 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-17 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 73-59 | 1547.11 | 1592.26 | 43.54% | 56.46% | +30.25 | 2-0 |
| 2020-09-20 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 87-62 | 1577.36 | 1738.69 | 28.32% | 71.68% | +51.33 | 3-0 |
| 2020-09-22 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 75-83 | 1628.69 | 1687.36 | 41.64% | 58.36% | -16.87 | 3-1 |
| 2020-09-24 | Las Vegas Aces | W 77-68 | 1611.82 | 1704.23 | 37.01% | 62.99% | +27.07 | 4-1 |
| 2020-09-27 | Las Vegas Aces | L 75-84 | 1638.89 | 1677.17 | 44.51% | 55.49% | -19.13 | 4-2 |
| 2020-09-29 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 63-66 | 1619.76 | 1696.29 | 39.16% | 60.84% | -9.71 | 4-3 |
| 2020-09-20 | Connecticut Sun | L 62-87 | 1738.69 | 1577.36 | 71.68% | 28.32% | -51.33 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-22 | Connecticut Sun | W 83-75 | 1687.36 | 1628.69 | 58.36% | 41.64% | +16.87 | 1-1 |
| 2020-09-24 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 68-77 | 1704.23 | 1611.82 | 62.99% | 37.01% | -27.06 | 1-2 |
| 2020-09-27 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 84-75 | 1677.17 | 1638.89 | 55.49% | 44.51% | +19.12 | 2-2 |
| 2020-09-29 | Connecticut Sun | W 66-63 | 1696.29 | 1619.76 | 60.84% | 39.16% | +9.71 | 3-2 |
| 2020-10-02 | Seattle Storm | L 80-93 | 1706.00 | 1761.41 | 42.09% | 57.91% | -21.73 | 3-3 |
| 2020-10-04 | Seattle Storm | L 91-104 | 1684.27 | 1783.15 | 36.14% | 63.86% | -18.66 | 3-4 |
| 2020-10-06 | @ Seattle Storm | L 59-92 | 1665.61 | 1801.81 | 31.35% | 68.65% | -25.79 | 3-5 |
| 2020-09-17 | Connecticut Sun | L 59-73 | 1592.26 | 1547.11 | 56.46% | 43.54% | -30.25 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-17 | Phoenix Mercury | W 80-79 | 1576.94 | 1540.90 | 55.17% | 44.83% | +6.42 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-22 | @ Seattle Storm | L 86-88 | 1583.36 | 1724.81 | 30.70% | 69.30% | -6.22 | 1-1 |
| 2020-09-24 | @ Seattle Storm | L 79-89 | 1577.14 | 1731.03 | 29.20% | 70.80% | -13.22 | 1-2 |
| 2020-09-27 | Seattle Storm | L 71-92 | 1563.92 | 1744.25 | 26.15% | 73.85% | -17.16 | 1-3 |
| 2020-09-15 | Washington Mystics | W 85-84 | 1534.51 | 1497.07 | 55.37% | 44.63% | +6.39 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-17 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 79-80 | 1540.90 | 1576.94 | 44.83% | 55.17% | -6.42 | 1-1 |
| 2020-09-22 | Minnesota Lynx | W 88-86 | 1724.81 | 1583.36 | 69.30% | 30.70% | +6.22 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-24 | Minnesota Lynx | W 89-79 | 1731.03 | 1577.14 | 70.80% | 29.20% | +13.22 | 2-0 |
| 2020-09-27 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 92-71 | 1744.25 | 1563.92 | 73.85% | 26.15% | +17.16 | 3-0 |
| 2020-10-02 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 93-80 | 1761.41 | 1706.00 | 57.91% | 42.09% | +21.74 | 4-0 |
| 2020-10-04 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 104-91 | 1783.15 | 1684.27 | 63.86% | 36.14% | +18.66 | 5-0 |
| 2020-10-06 | Las Vegas Aces | W 92-59 | 1801.81 | 1665.61 | 68.65% | 31.35% | +25.78 | 6-0 |
| 2020-09-15 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 84-85 | 1497.07 | 1534.51 | 44.63% | 55.37% | -6.39 | 0-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2020-08-07 | 11.28% | New York Liberty | 1290.47 | 74 | @ Washington Mystics | 1648.71 | 66 |
| 2 | 2020-08-25 | 11.63% | New York Liberty | 1256.92 | 101 | @ Chicago Sky | 1609.23 | 99 |
| 3 | 2020-08-23 | 13.53% | Atlanta Dream | 1275.98 | 78 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1598.15 | 75 |
| 4 | 2020-08-20 | 17.90% | @ Indiana Fever | 1420.84 | 90 | Seattle Storm | 1685.49 | 84 |
| 5 | 2020-09-09 | 23.78% | Atlanta Dream | 1327.96 | 97 | @ Chicago Sky | 1530.27 | 89 |
| 6 | 2020-09-10 | 23.90% | Washington Mystics | 1441.37 | 80 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1642.57 | 72 |
| 7 | 2020-09-11 | 24.93% | Atlanta Dream | 1358.83 | 82 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1550.36 | 75 |
| 8 | 2020-09-08 | 26.01% | @ Washington Mystics | 1423.02 | 89 | Minnesota Lynx | 1604.67 | 86 |
| 9 | 2020-09-01 | 26.53% | Phoenix Mercury | 1512.29 | 92 | @ Las Vegas Aces | 1689.24 | 85 |
| 10 | 2020-08-09 | 27.94% | @ Indiana Fever | 1448.20 | 91 | Washington Mystics | 1612.78 | 84 |
| 11 | 2020-09-04 | 27.94% | @ Washington Mystics | 1411.95 | 79 | Chicago Sky | 1576.56 | 69 |
| 12 | 2020-09-20 * | 28.32% | Connecticut Sun | 1577.36 | 87 | @ Las Vegas Aces | 1738.69 | 62 |
| 13 | 2020-07-31 | 30.77% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1414.01 | 102 | Las Vegas Aces | 1554.90 | 95 |
| 14 | 2020-08-16 | 31.60% | Dallas Wings | 1369.99 | 95 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1504.10 | 89 |
| 15 | 2020-08-05 | 32.41% | Las Vegas Aces | 1544.75 | 83 | @ Washington Mystics | 1672.42 | 77 |
| 16 | 2020-08-21 | 32.45% | @ Dallas Wings | 1384.01 | 101 | Washington Mystics | 1511.37 | 92 |
| 17 | 2020-08-01 | 33.82% | @ Chicago Sky | 1569.20 | 88 | Washington Mystics | 1685.82 | 86 |
| 18 | 2020-08-06 | 34.94% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1481.67 | 96 | Chicago Sky | 1589.69 | 86 |
| 19 | 2020-09-01 | 35.78% | @ Atlanta Dream | 1286.73 | 102 | Indiana Fever | 1388.33 | 90 |
| 20 | 2020-09-24 * | 37.01% | @ Connecticut Sun | 1611.82 | 77 | Las Vegas Aces | 1704.23 | 68 |
| 21 | 2020-08-31 | 37.24% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1565.95 | 96 | Los Angeles Sparks | 1656.65 | 78 |
| 22 | 2020-08-30 | 37.39% | Phoenix Mercury | 1494.36 | 83 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1583.88 | 79 |
| 23 | 2020-08-18 | 39.61% | @ Chicago Sky | 1574.39 | 84 | Las Vegas Aces | 1647.66 | 82 |
| 24 | 2020-07-30 | 40.43% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1513.95 | 83 | Chicago Sky | 1581.26 | 81 |
| 25 | 2020-08-14 | 41.43% | Connecticut Sun | 1515.61 | 77 | @ Chicago Sky | 1575.75 | 74 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2020-09-20 * | 51.33 | Connecticut Sun | 87 | 1577.36 | 28.32% | @ Las Vegas Aces | 62 | 1738.69 | 71.68% |
| 2 | 2020-08-31 | 38.13 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 96 | 1565.95 | 37.24% | Los Angeles Sparks | 78 | 1656.65 | 62.76% |
| 3 | 2020-07-28 | 37.04 | @ Seattle Storm | 90 | 1531.52 | 47.20% | Minnesota Lynx | 66 | 1550.99 | 52.80% |
| 4 | 2020-08-07 | 35.93 | New York Liberty | 74 | 1290.47 | 11.28% | @ Washington Mystics | 66 | 1648.71 | 88.72% |
| 5 | 2020-08-11 | 35.89 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 68 | 1543.29 | 43.96% | Washington Mystics | 48 | 1585.48 | 56.04% |
| 6 | 2020-08-28 | 35.06 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 94 | 1459.30 | 47.80% | Washington Mystics | 72 | 1474.56 | 52.20% |
| 7 | 2020-09-04 | 32.63 | @ Washington Mystics | 79 | 1411.95 | 27.94% | Chicago Sky | 69 | 1576.56 | 72.06% |
| 8 | 2020-08-09 | 32.10 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 97 | 1533.28 | 43.97% | Minnesota Lynx | 81 | 1575.39 | 56.03% |
| 9 | 2020-09-01 | 31.85 | @ Atlanta Dream | 102 | 1286.73 | 35.78% | Indiana Fever | 90 | 1388.33 | 64.22% |
| 10 | 2020-07-28 | 31.04 | @ Chicago Sky | 96 | 1550.22 | 48.91% | Los Angeles Sparks | 78 | 1557.77 | 51.09% |
| 11 | 2020-09-09 | 30.87 | Atlanta Dream | 97 | 1327.96 | 23.78% | @ Chicago Sky | 89 | 1530.27 | 76.22% |
| 12 | 2020-09-10 | 30.82 | Washington Mystics | 80 | 1441.37 | 23.90% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 72 | 1642.57 | 76.10% |
| 13 | 2020-09-17 * | 30.25 | Connecticut Sun | 73 | 1547.11 | 43.54% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 59 | 1592.26 | 56.46% |
| 14 | 2020-09-07 | 30.01 | Connecticut Sun | 85 | 1537.80 | 45.88% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 70 | 1566.48 | 54.12% |
| 15 | 2020-08-06 | 29.47 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 96 | 1481.67 | 34.94% | Chicago Sky | 86 | 1589.69 | 65.06% |
| 16 | 2020-08-21 | 29.02 | @ Dallas Wings | 101 | 1384.01 | 32.45% | Washington Mystics | 92 | 1511.37 | 67.55% |
| 17 | 2020-08-20 | 28.80 | @ Indiana Fever | 90 | 1420.84 | 17.90% | Seattle Storm | 84 | 1685.49 | 82.10% |
| 18 | 2020-09-11 | 28.44 | Atlanta Dream | 82 | 1358.83 | 24.93% | @ Connecticut Sun | 75 | 1550.36 | 75.07% |
| 19 | 2020-08-06 | 28.16 | Connecticut Sun | 91 | 1479.49 | 59.00% | @ Dallas Wings | 68 | 1416.28 | 41.00% |
| 20 | 2020-08-10 | 28.16 | @ Seattle Storm | 89 | 1601.80 | 53.66% | Chicago Sky | 71 | 1576.32 | 46.34% |
| 21 | 2020-08-18 | 27.96 | @ Connecticut Sun | 84 | 1507.57 | 58.38% | Indiana Fever | 62 | 1448.80 | 41.62% |
| 22 | 2020-09-01 | 27.83 | Phoenix Mercury | 92 | 1512.29 | 26.53% | @ Las Vegas Aces | 85 | 1689.24 | 73.47% |
| 23 | 2020-07-29 | 27.66 | @ Las Vegas Aces | 100 | 1527.24 | 64.74% | Atlanta Dream | 70 | 1421.72 | 35.26% |
| 24 | 2020-08-12 | 27.58 | @ Chicago Sky | 89 | 1548.17 | 54.61% | Phoenix Mercury | 71 | 1516.07 | 45.39% |
| 25 | 2020-08-09 | 27.30 | @ Indiana Fever | 91 | 1448.20 | 27.94% | Washington Mystics | 84 | 1612.78 | 72.06% |