Home / Leagues / WNBA / 2012

2012 WNBA Season

204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Indiana Fever

1st Title

Runner-Up

Minnesota Lynx

2

Last Appearance: 2011

Biggest Overachiever

Los Angeles Sparks

4.96 wins above expected

24 wins · 19.04 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Phoenix Mercury

3.92 wins below expected

7 wins · 10.92 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Connecticut Sun League 25 9 .735 81.6 77.4 +4.2 21.64 +3.36
2 Indiana Fever Playoffs 22 12 .647 3 78.3 72.3 +6.0 20.72 +1.28
3 Atlanta Dream Playoffs 19 15 .559 6 78.6 75.8 +2.8 19.48 -0.48
4 New York Liberty Playoffs 15 19 .441 10 73.1 77.2 -4.1 15.79 -0.79
5 Chicago Sky 14 20 .412 11 75.2 75.5 -0.2 15.41 -1.41
6 Washington Mystics 5 29 .147 20 68.6 78.3 -9.7 8.74 -3.74
# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Minnesota Lynx League 27 7 .794 86.0 76.2 +9.8 26.09 +0.91
2 Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs 24 10 .706 3 84.0 78.3 +5.8 19.04 +4.96
3 San Antonio Silver Stars Playoffs 21 13 .618 6 82.1 76.9 +5.1 20.80 +0.20
4 Seattle Storm Playoffs 16 18 .471 11 71.2 71.6 -0.4 17.08 -1.08
5 Tulsa Shock 9 25 .265 18 77.2 84.2 -7.0 8.28 +0.72
6 Phoenix Mercury 7 27 .206 20 74.5 86.7 -12.2 10.92 -3.92

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

Connecticut Sun 2
New York Liberty 0

2 games · Sep 27–Sep 29

Indiana Fever 2
Atlanta Dream 1

3 games · Sep 28–Oct 2

Conference Final

Indiana Fever 2
Connecticut Sun 1

3 games · Oct 5–Oct 11

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

Los Angeles Sparks 2
San Antonio Silver Stars 0

2 games · Sep 27–Sep 29

Minnesota Lynx 2
Seattle Storm 1

3 games · Sep 28–Oct 2

Conference Final

Minnesota Lynx 2
Los Angeles Sparks 0

2 games · Oct 4–Oct 7

WNBA Finals

Indiana Fever 3
Minnesota Lynx 1

4 games · Oct 14–Oct 21

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Minnesota Lynx Western 1696 27 26.09 +0.91 71.60% 14 22 25 26 28 30 34
Los Angeles Sparks Western 1637 24 19.04 +4.96 97.99% 9 15 17 19 21 23 27
Indiana Fever Eastern 1621 22 20.72 +1.28 74.47% 11 16 19 21 23 25 31
Connecticut Sun Eastern 1617 25 21.64 +3.36 93.36% 12 17 20 22 23 26 30
San Antonio Silver Stars Western 1585 21 20.80 +0.20 60.42% 11 17 19 21 23 25 30
Atlanta Dream Eastern 1585 19 19.48 -0.48 49.90% 10 15 18 20 21 24 29
Seattle Storm Western 1502 16 17.08 -1.08 41.37% 7 13 15 17 19 21 29
Chicago Sky Eastern 1464 14 15.41 -1.41 36.94% 6 11 14 15 17 20 27
New York Liberty Eastern 1450 15 15.79 -0.79 46.12% 6 11 14 16 18 20 26
Tulsa Shock Western 1357 9 8.28 +0.72 70.80% 1 5 7 8 10 12 19
Phoenix Mercury Western 1253 7 10.92 -3.92 8.67% 2 7 9 11 13 15 20
Washington Mystics Eastern 1233 5 8.74 -3.74 8.71% 0 5 7 9 10 13 18

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Atlanta Dream
3-2
(3.0 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
2-3
(2.5 exp.)
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
4-0
(3.2 exp.)
Chicago Sky
2-3
(2.0 exp.)
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
0-5
(2.0 exp.)
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
4-1
(3.2 exp.)
5-0
(4.0 exp.)
Indiana Fever
3-2
(2.5 exp.)
5-0
(3.0 exp.)
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
3-1
(3.2 exp.)
New York Liberty
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
1-4
(1.8 exp.)
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
4-1
(3.6 exp.)
Washington Mystics
0-4
(0.8 exp.)
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
0-5
(1.0 exp.)
1-3
(0.8 exp.)
1-4
(1.4 exp.)

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Atlanta Dream
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
Chicago Sky
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
Indiana Fever
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
New York Liberty
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
Washington Mystics
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)

Within Western

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Los Angeles Sparks
2-2
(1.1 exp.)
5-0
(3.2 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
5-0
(2.5 exp.)
2-2
(3.2 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
2-2
(2.9 exp.)
4-0
(3.3 exp.)
3-2
(3.4 exp.)
3-1
(3.1 exp.)
5-0
(4.5 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
0-5
(1.8 exp.)
0-4
(0.7 exp.)
1-3
(0.9 exp.)
1-4
(1.3 exp.)
2-2
(2.6 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
2-3
(1.6 exp.)
3-1
(3.1 exp.)
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
4-1
(4.0 exp.)
Seattle Storm
0-5
(2.5 exp.)
1-3
(0.9 exp.)
4-1
(3.7 exp.)
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
4-0
(2.8 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
2-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-5
(0.5 exp.)
2-2
(1.4 exp.)
1-4
(1.0 exp.)
0-4
(1.2 exp.)

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Los Angeles Sparks
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
Seattle Storm
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<500.25%0.25%0.49%
50–591.23%2.70%1.23%0.74%5.88%
60–691.23%3.43%7.11%3.68%1.47%16.91%
70–790.25%2.70%7.11%8.33%10.29%3.43%1.72%33.82%
80–890.25%1.23%3.68%10.29%6.86%4.41%0.49%27.21%
90–990.74%1.47%3.43%4.41%2.45%0.49%12.99%
100+1.72%0.49%0.49%2.70%
Total0.49%5.88%16.91%33.82%27.21%12.99%2.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.53 77.53 +0.00
SD 11.20 11.20 14.90
CV 0.14 0.14
Max 107 107 +42
Min 47 47 -42

Games Played: 204

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–59
60–692.94%11.76%14.71%
70–795.88%11.76%5.88%5.88%8.82%38.24%
80–892.94%5.88%8.82%5.88%2.94%26.47%
90–992.94%2.94%5.88%11.76%
100+2.94%5.88%8.82%
Total14.71%20.59%29.41%11.76%23.53%100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 78.59 75.76 +2.82
SD 11.29 12.35 14.08
CV 0.14 0.16
Max 102 97 +33
Min 60 57 -21

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%2.94%
60–692.94%2.94%14.71%2.94%23.53%
70–795.88%8.82%2.94%29.41%47.06%
80–892.94%8.82%5.88%17.65%
90–992.94%5.88%8.82%
100+
Total11.76%14.71%26.47%41.18%5.88%100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 75.24 75.47 -0.24
SD 9.22 10.16 11.47
CV 0.12 0.13
Max 98 92 +31
Min 59 55 -17

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–59
60–692.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
70–795.88%11.76%5.88%23.53%
80–8923.53%20.59%5.88%50.00%
90–992.94%8.82%2.94%14.71%
100+2.94%2.94%
Total5.88%5.88%50.00%29.41%8.82%100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.59 77.38 +4.21
SD 9.19 9.13 13.23
CV 0.11 0.12
Max 100 95 +42
Min 60 55 -34

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%2.94%
60–692.94%8.82%8.82%20.59%
70–792.94%5.88%5.88%8.82%23.53%
80–898.82%17.65%14.71%41.18%
90–992.94%5.88%2.94%11.76%
100+
Total2.94%5.88%29.41%35.29%26.47%100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 78.32 72.32 +6.00
SD 9.44 10.40 12.80
CV 0.12 0.14
Max 95 89 +34
Min 58 48 -16

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%2.94%
60–692.94%2.94%
70–7911.76%8.82%5.88%5.88%32.35%
80–892.94%2.94%5.88%2.94%11.76%26.47%
90–992.94%11.76%8.82%2.94%26.47%
100+8.82%8.82%
Total2.94%20.59%35.29%17.65%23.53%100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 84.03 78.26 +5.76
SD 10.64 11.20 15.51
CV 0.13 0.14
Max 101 99 +31
Min 59 59 -33

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–59
60–695.88%5.88%
70–792.94%5.88%2.94%2.94%2.94%17.65%
80–892.94%8.82%23.53%2.94%5.88%44.12%
90–992.94%2.94%11.76%5.88%23.53%
100+2.94%5.88%8.82%
Total5.88%23.53%32.35%23.53%14.71%100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 85.97 76.18 +9.79
SD 10.09 11.35 12.51
CV 0.12 0.15
Max 107 99 +32
Min 62 55 -16

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%2.94%5.88%
60–692.94%14.71%8.82%2.94%29.41%
70–792.94%14.71%14.71%2.94%2.94%5.88%44.12%
80–892.94%5.88%2.94%5.88%17.65%
90–992.94%2.94%
100+
Total8.82%14.71%41.18%14.71%14.71%5.88%100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 73.06 77.21 -4.15
SD 9.35 12.02 16.29
CV 0.13 0.16
Max 91 102 +28
Min 53 59 -42

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<502.94%2.94%
50–595.88%5.88%11.76%
60–692.94%14.71%17.65%
70–792.94%2.94%8.82%8.82%5.88%29.41%
80–892.94%11.76%11.76%2.94%29.41%
90–992.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
100+
Total2.94%14.71%47.06%23.53%11.76%100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 74.50 86.74 -12.24
SD 11.71 8.88 11.71
CV 0.16 0.10
Max 94 105 +9
Min 47 68 -42

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%2.94%
60–692.94%2.94%5.88%
70–798.82%5.88%20.59%2.94%38.24%
80–892.94%5.88%8.82%2.94%2.94%23.53%
90–992.94%8.82%14.71%2.94%29.41%
100+
Total2.94%20.59%26.47%41.18%5.88%2.94%100%

San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 82.06 76.94 +5.12
SD 10.15 10.59 14.08
CV 0.12 0.14
Max 99 101 +42
Min 57 47 -24

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<502.94%2.94%
50–592.94%11.76%2.94%17.65%
60–698.82%11.76%2.94%2.94%26.47%
70–7911.76%2.94%2.94%8.82%26.47%
80–8911.76%8.82%2.94%23.53%
90–99
100+2.94%2.94%
Total11.76%26.47%41.18%17.65%2.94%100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 71.24 71.65 -0.41
SD 11.75 9.05 15.51
CV 0.16 0.13
Max 101 90 +27
Min 48 55 -24

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
60–692.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
70–795.88%8.82%14.71%11.76%2.94%44.12%
80–898.82%8.82%2.94%2.94%23.53%
90–992.94%5.88%2.94%2.94%14.71%
100+
Total8.82%26.47%35.29%20.59%8.82%100%

Tulsa Shock — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.24 84.21 -6.97
SD 10.21 10.74 13.13
CV 0.13 0.13
Max 99 107 +16
Min 58 62 -33

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–595.88%5.88%2.94%14.71%
60–698.82%11.76%8.82%8.82%38.24%
70–792.94%26.47%8.82%2.94%41.18%
80–892.94%2.94%
90–992.94%2.94%
100+
Total2.94%14.71%47.06%20.59%11.76%2.94%100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 68.56 78.26 -9.71
SD 7.78 10.24 10.84
CV 0.11 0.13
Max 90 101 +17
Min 53 53 -31

Games Played: 34

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Los Angeles Sparks 24 19.04 +4.96
2 Connecticut Sun 25 21.64 +3.36
3 Indiana Fever 22 20.72 +1.28
4 Minnesota Lynx 27 26.09 +0.91
5 Tulsa Shock 9 8.28 +0.72

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Phoenix Mercury 7 10.92 -3.92
2 Washington Mystics 5 8.74 -3.74
3 Chicago Sky 14 15.41 -1.41
4 Seattle Storm 16 17.08 -1.08
5 New York Liberty 15 15.79 -0.79

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Los Angeles Sparks 9 Jul 5 – Aug 25 1 in 556
2 San Antonio Silver Stars 12 Jun 24 – Aug 21 1 in 227
3 Chicago Sky 6 May 30 – Jun 13 1 in 46
4 Tulsa Shock 3 Sep 14 – Sep 20 1 in 41
5 Phoenix Mercury 2 Aug 30 – Sep 1 1 in 32

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chicago Sky 9 Jul 6 – Aug 24 1 in 299
2 San Antonio Silver Stars 5 Aug 28 – Sep 9 1 in 94
3 Minnesota Lynx 3 Jul 1 – Jul 7 1 in 43
4 Phoenix Mercury 10 Jul 1 – Aug 25 1 in 37
5 Indiana Fever 3 Jun 3 – Jun 15 1 in 21

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team123456
Connecticut Sun47.09%29.61%16.06%5.64%1.59%0.01%
Indiana Fever31.17%33.11%23.91%8.72%3.04%0.05%
Atlanta Dream18.42%26.77%31.79%16.47%6.35%0.20%
New York Liberty1.93%5.71%15.38%35.50%38.05%3.43%
Chicago Sky1.39%4.79%12.78%32.67%44.21%4.16%
Washington Mystics0.01%0.08%1.00%6.76%92.15%
Team123456
Minnesota Lynx88.91%9.34%1.52%0.23%
San Antonio Silver Stars7.81%52.25%28.36%11.27%0.31%
Los Angeles Sparks2.74%27.10%41.27%26.67%2.10%0.12%
Seattle Storm0.54%11.22%27.83%53.97%5.90%0.54%
Phoenix Mercury0.09%0.94%6.81%69.05%23.11%
Tulsa Shock0.08%1.05%22.64%76.23%
Team123456789101112
Minnesota Lynx76.69%14.66%5.18%2.18%0.82%0.35%0.07%0.04%0.01%
Connecticut Sun8.52%26.98%21.45%16.16%11.31%8.23%4.13%2.42%0.73%0.07%
San Antonio Silver Stars5.45%17.90%19.92%18.52%14.84%11.03%7.31%3.67%1.26%0.09%0.01%
Indiana Fever5.02%18.48%19.45%17.48%15.10%11.23%7.32%3.95%1.77%0.18%0.02%
Atlanta Dream2.15%10.75%14.20%15.64%16.53%15.92%12.22%7.64%4.06%0.79%0.10%
Los Angeles Sparks1.71%7.53%11.44%15.27%17.41%16.73%14.27%9.82%4.49%1.17%0.14%0.02%
Seattle Storm0.30%2.10%4.65%7.67%11.47%15.40%20.12%19.16%14.25%3.94%0.83%0.11%
New York Liberty0.12%0.95%2.09%3.88%6.63%11.05%16.72%23.35%24.72%7.79%2.24%0.46%
Chicago Sky0.04%0.65%1.60%3.13%5.64%9.40%15.64%23.40%28.31%9.13%2.45%0.61%
Phoenix Mercury0.02%0.07%0.23%0.59%1.82%4.76%13.08%43.17%23.83%12.43%
Washington Mystics0.01%0.04%0.22%1.16%4.34%18.64%37.30%38.29%
Tulsa Shock0.01%0.03%0.16%0.63%2.98%15.03%33.08%48.08%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Connecticut Sun47.09%29.61%16.06%5.64%1.60%
Indiana Fever31.17%33.11%23.91%8.72%3.09%
Atlanta Dream18.42%26.77%31.79%16.47%6.55%
New York Liberty1.93%5.71%15.38%35.50%41.48%
Chicago Sky1.39%4.79%12.78%32.67%48.37%
Washington Mystics0.01%0.08%1.00%98.91%
Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Minnesota Lynx88.91%9.34%1.52%0.23%
San Antonio Silver Stars7.81%52.25%28.36%11.27%0.31%
Los Angeles Sparks2.74%27.10%41.27%26.67%2.22%
Seattle Storm0.54%11.22%27.83%53.97%6.44%
Phoenix Mercury0.09%0.94%6.81%92.16%
Tulsa Shock0.08%1.05%98.87%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals
Minnesota Lynx 100.00% 77.75% 53.43% 35.87%
Connecticut Sun 98.40% 65.33% 36.32% 15.04%
Indiana Fever 96.91% 62.42% 34.34% 14.65%
Los Angeles Sparks 97.78% 51.59% 24.07% 14.16%
San Antonio Silver Stars 99.69% 49.01% 17.13% 8.62%
Atlanta Dream 93.45% 48.37% 23.12% 8.56%
Seattle Storm 93.56% 21.32% 5.36% 1.91%
New York Liberty 58.52% 12.21% 3.11% 0.61%
Chicago Sky 51.63% 11.63% 3.11% 0.57%
Phoenix Mercury 7.84% 0.23% 0.01% 0.01%
Tulsa Shock 1.13% 0.10%
Washington Mystics 1.09% 0.04%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream8.70%13.51%16.04%9.95%0.17%
Chicago Sky2.83%4.11%3.67%1.01%0.01%
Connecticut Sun17.06%17.09%11.30%19.50%0.38%
Indiana Fever21.92%13.48%10.69%15.84%0.49%
New York Liberty3.27%0.73%4.74%3.47%
Washington Mystics0.02%0.01%0.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks10.35%0.25%31.35%9.55%0.09%
Minnesota Lynx19.19%6.06%9.57%42.16%0.77%
Phoenix Mercury0.04%0.13%0.05%0.01%
San Antonio Silver Stars23.43%3.64%1.26%20.51%0.17%
Seattle Storm3.52%8.08%0.04%9.68%
Tulsa Shock0.01%0.05%0.03%0.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream2.18%9.94%8.56%2.44%
Chicago Sky0.94%1.03%0.99%0.15%
Connecticut Sun12.40%3.32%17.50%3.09%0.01%
Indiana Fever10.84%2.91%17.14%3.42%0.03%
New York Liberty1.07%0.11%0.90%1.03%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks12.30%0.11%5.86%5.79%0.01%
Minnesota Lynx21.37%0.05%24.52%7.44%0.05%
Phoenix Mercury0.01%
San Antonio Silver Stars3.86%10.47%0.04%2.72%0.04%
Seattle Storm2.29%1.55%0.02%1.50%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Atlanta Dream2.06%3.80%1.89%0.81%
Chicago Sky0.16%0.20%0.13%0.08%
Connecticut Sun3.81%6.74%3.33%1.16%
Indiana Fever3.75%6.60%2.96%1.34%
Los Angeles Sparks3.45%0.57%4.91%4.70%0.53%
Minnesota Lynx8.56%1.44%12.63%11.76%1.48%
New York Liberty0.13%0.22%0.20%0.06%
Phoenix Mercury0.01%
San Antonio Silver Stars2.15%0.45%3.05%2.57%0.40%
Seattle Storm0.40%0.08%0.69%0.65%0.09%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals Actual Outcome
Minnesota Lynx 83.66% 54.01% 36.79% Eliminated in Finals
Indiana Fever 60.73% 32.96% 13.73% Won Finals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York Liberty
Atlanta Dream39.27%
Connecticut Sun80.68%
Indiana Fever60.73%
New York Liberty19.32%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxSan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Los Angeles Sparks63.41%
Minnesota Lynx83.66%
San Antonio Silver Stars36.59%
Seattle Storm16.34%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York Liberty
Atlanta Dream14.47%5.34%
Connecticut Sun17.42%25.14%
Indiana Fever23.65%9.31%
New York Liberty2.04%2.63%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxSan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Los Angeles Sparks20.20%7.53%
Minnesota Lynx32.58%21.43%
San Antonio Silver Stars9.45%3.68%
Seattle Storm3.10%2.03%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamConnecticut SunIndiana FeverLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Atlanta Dream2.14%3.20%1.14%0.58%
Connecticut Sun5.26%7.37%2.96%1.51%
Indiana Fever4.11%6.30%2.28%1.04%
Los Angeles Sparks3.84%5.99%5.11%1.02%
Minnesota Lynx7.31%15.59%11.75%2.14%
New York Liberty0.26%0.35%0.24%0.09%
San Antonio Silver Stars1.22%3.00%1.82%0.47%
Seattle Storm0.38%0.88%0.55%0.10%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Minnesota Lynx 36.79% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
83.66%
Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
60.32%
Win Prob
61.73%
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
42.38%
Win Prob
67.90%
Connecticut Sun 17.10% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
80.68%
Semifinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
59.07%
Win Prob
51.53%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
43.10%
Win Prob
32.10%
Los Angeles Sparks 15.96% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. San Antonio Silver Stars
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
63.41%
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
72.85%
Win Prob
38.27%
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
37.53%
Win Prob
53.24%
Indiana Fever 13.73% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
60.73%
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
71.75%
Win Prob
48.47%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
45.88%
Win Prob
34.90%
Atlanta Dream 7.06% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
39.27%
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
73.04%
Win Prob
45.37%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
45.33%
Win Prob
30.45%
San Antonio Silver Stars 6.51% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
36.59%
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
71.97%
Win Prob
30.60%
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
46.08%
Win Prob
50.34%
Seattle Storm 1.91% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
16.34%
Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
60.43%
Win Prob
29.16%
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
46.07%
Win Prob
36.82%
New York Liberty 0.94% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
19.32%
Semifinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
56.32%
Win Prob
22.03%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
37.23%
Win Prob
14.06%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2012-05-19 @ Indiana Fever L 84-92 1563.42 1518.84 48.01% 51.99% -15.87 0-1
2012-05-25 New York Liberty W 100-74 1547.55 1476.51 67.82% 32.18% +19.18 1-1
2012-05-27 Indiana Fever L 62-78 1566.73 1554.79 59.99% 40.01% -28.05 1-2
2012-05-31 Phoenix Mercury W 81-65 1538.68 1475.76 66.79% 33.21% +15.53 2-2
2012-06-02 Chicago Sky L 92-94 1554.21 1501.81 65.43% 34.57% -10.82 2-3
2012-06-05 @ New York Liberty L 74-79 1543.39 1471.63 51.92% 48.08% -13.57 2-4
2012-06-08 San Antonio Silver Stars W 60-57 1529.82 1507.94 61.36% 38.64% +7.82 3-4
2012-06-10 @ Connecticut Sun L 73-92 1537.64 1581.31 35.71% 64.29% -18.19 3-5
2012-06-15 Los Angeles Sparks W 92-59 1519.45 1555.91 53.16% 46.84% +31.45 4-5
2012-06-17 Connecticut Sun L 73-75 1550.90 1601.87 51.08% 48.92% -8.44 4-6
2012-06-19 New York Liberty L 60-73 1542.46 1456.33 69.68% 30.32% -29.37 4-7
2012-06-24 @ New York Liberty W 74-64 1513.09 1475.09 47.06% 52.94% +19.57 5-7
2012-06-26 Indiana Fever W 70-58 1532.66 1591.62 49.93% 50.07% +20.27 6-7
2012-06-29 @ Tulsa Shock W 102-92 1552.93 1320.04 73.19% 26.81% +9.92 7-7
2012-07-01 @ Chicago Sky L 69-71 1562.85 1492.49 51.71% 48.29% -8.55 7-8
2012-07-07 @ Phoenix Mercury W 100-93 1554.30 1376.55 66.52% 33.48% +10.35 8-8
2012-07-08 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 63-79 1564.65 1511.61 49.22% 50.78% -23.02 8-9
2012-07-11 @ Seattle Storm W 70-59 1541.63 1497.30 47.97% 52.03% +20.18 9-9
2012-07-13 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 70-91 1561.81 1653.65 29.63% 70.37% -15.87 9-10
2012-08-17 @ Chicago Sky W 82-76 1545.94 1461.13 53.79% 46.21% +13.23 10-10
2012-08-18 @ Indiana Fever L 72-86 1559.17 1568.25 40.40% 59.60% -17.67 10-11
2012-08-22 Chicago Sky W 82-71 1541.50 1413.47 74.53% 25.47% +9.87 11-11
2012-08-24 @ Washington Mystics W 81-69 1551.37 1334.00 71.40% 28.60% +11.59 12-11
2012-08-25 Minnesota Lynx L 74-84 1562.96 1706.10 38.05% 61.95% -14.07 12-12
2012-08-28 Tulsa Shock L 80-84 1548.89 1305.53 85.04% 14.96% -19.88 12-13
2012-08-30 Washington Mystics W 82-59 1529.01 1316.30 82.65% 17.35% +9.73 13-13
2012-09-02 Connecticut Sun W 87-80 1538.74 1609.89 48.17% 51.83% +16.03 14-13
2012-09-05 Indiana Fever W 71-64 1554.77 1617.75 49.35% 50.65% +15.66 15-13
2012-09-07 @ Minnesota Lynx L 93-97 1570.43 1745.29 20.70% 79.30% -4.84 15-14
2012-09-09 Washington Mystics W 93-68 1565.59 1279.48 87.90% 12.10% +7.07 16-14
2012-09-11 Seattle Storm W 77-61 1572.66 1500.90 67.91% 32.09% +15.01 17-14
2012-09-14 @ Washington Mystics W 82-74 1587.67 1263.75 82.17% 17.83% +5.89 18-14
2012-09-20 @ Chicago Sky W 75-66 1593.56 1469.34 59.35% 40.65% +14.26 19-14
2012-09-23 @ Connecticut Sun L 72-92 1607.82 1594.02 43.61% 56.39% -22.80 19-15
2012-05-19 @ Washington Mystics W 69-57 1469.23 1398.27 51.80% 48.20% +19.52 1-0
2012-05-25 Indiana Fever L 72-83 1488.75 1534.71 51.80% 48.20% -20.08 1-1
2012-05-30 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 77-63 1468.67 1522.31 34.41% 65.59% +28.69 2-1
2012-06-01 Washington Mystics W 65-63 1497.36 1382.33 73.08% 26.92% +4.45 3-1
2012-06-02 @ Atlanta Dream W 94-92 1501.81 1554.21 34.57% 65.43% +10.82 4-1
2012-06-08 Tulsa Shock W 98-91 1512.63 1298.59 82.76% 17.24% +5.33 5-1
2012-06-10 @ New York Liberty W 73-64 1517.96 1497.24 44.59% 55.41% +19.43 6-1
2012-06-13 Seattle Storm W 74-58 1537.39 1463.21 68.21% 31.79% +14.87 7-1
2012-06-16 @ Indiana Fever L 70-84 1552.26 1540.99 43.25% 56.75% -18.92 7-2
2012-06-23 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-79 1533.34 1725.43 19.12% 80.88% -7.74 7-3
2012-06-27 Indiana Fever L 72-81 1525.60 1571.34 51.83% 48.17% -18.18 7-4
2012-06-29 Phoenix Mercury L 81-84 1507.42 1386.65 73.72% 26.28% -14.93 7-5
2012-07-01 Atlanta Dream W 71-69 1492.49 1562.85 48.29% 51.71% +8.55 8-5
2012-07-06 New York Liberty L 59-64 1501.04 1480.44 61.18% 38.82% -15.99 8-6
2012-07-07 @ Indiana Fever L 86-88 1485.05 1562.37 31.40% 68.60% -5.19 8-7
2012-07-11 San Antonio Silver Stars L 68-77 1479.86 1641.16 35.62% 64.38% -12.49 8-8
2012-07-13 Connecticut Sun L 78-80 1467.37 1612.90 37.72% 62.28% -6.24 8-9
2012-08-17 Atlanta Dream L 76-82 1461.13 1545.94 46.21% 53.79% -13.23 8-10
2012-08-19 @ Washington Mystics L 71-75 1447.90 1321.82 59.61% 40.39% -13.94 8-11
2012-08-21 New York Liberty L 67-77 1433.96 1454.56 55.43% 44.57% -20.49 8-12
2012-08-22 @ Atlanta Dream L 71-82 1413.47 1541.50 25.47% 74.53% -9.88 8-13
2012-08-24 @ Tulsa Shock L 78-81 1403.59 1298.69 56.65% 43.35% -11.47 8-14
2012-08-26 @ Connecticut Sun W 82-70 1392.12 1602.63 17.53% 82.47% +33.40 9-14
2012-08-28 Connecticut Sun L 72-83 1425.52 1569.23 37.97% 62.03% -14.72 9-15
2012-09-01 @ Indiana Fever L 64-81 1410.80 1608.78 18.60% 81.40% -8.97 9-16
2012-09-02 Los Angeles Sparks W 85-74 1401.83 1608.30 29.90% 70.10% +27.18 10-16
2012-09-07 @ New York Liberty W 92-83 1429.01 1460.32 37.36% 62.64% +21.97 11-16
2012-09-09 @ Connecticut Sun L 77-82 1450.98 1569.15 26.57% 73.43% -6.95 11-17
2012-09-11 Minnesota Lynx W 83-70 1444.03 1768.29 17.80% 82.20% +34.65 12-17
2012-09-13 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 77-86 1478.68 1575.56 29.03% 70.97% -10.18 12-18
2012-09-16 @ Phoenix Mercury W 86-55 1468.50 1298.06 65.58% 34.42% +22.40 13-18
2012-09-18 @ Seattle Storm L 60-75 1490.90 1448.95 47.63% 52.37% -21.56 13-19
2012-09-20 Atlanta Dream L 66-75 1469.34 1593.56 40.65% 59.35% -14.25 13-20
2012-09-22 Washington Mystics W 77-58 1455.09 1241.91 82.69% 17.31% +8.82 14-20
2012-05-19 @ New York Liberty W 78-73 1532.65 1526.65 42.51% 57.49% +15.03 1-0
2012-05-20 New York Liberty W 92-77 1547.68 1511.63 63.27% 36.73% +16.63 2-0
2012-05-25 San Antonio Silver Stars W 83-79 1564.31 1530.99 62.91% 37.09% +8.67 3-0
2012-06-01 Minnesota Lynx L 72-85 1572.98 1681.60 42.83% 57.17% -18.05 3-1
2012-06-03 Washington Mystics W 94-86 1554.93 1377.88 79.50% 20.50% +6.77 4-1
2012-06-08 @ Indiana Fever W 89-81 1561.70 1568.55 40.71% 59.29% +19.61 5-1
2012-06-10 Atlanta Dream W 92-73 1581.31 1537.64 64.29% 35.71% +18.19 6-1
2012-06-13 Los Angeles Sparks L 81-87 1599.50 1536.79 66.76% 33.24% -19.11 6-2
2012-06-15 New York Liberty W 97-55 1580.39 1477.81 71.65% 28.35% +21.48 7-2
2012-06-17 @ Atlanta Dream W 75-73 1601.87 1550.90 48.92% 51.08% +8.44 8-2
2012-06-19 Indiana Fever W 88-85 1610.31 1559.91 65.17% 34.83% +7.05 9-2
2012-06-21 @ Indiana Fever L 61-95 1617.36 1552.85 50.87% 49.13% -34.67 9-3
2012-06-29 @ Washington Mystics W 77-64 1582.69 1321.54 76.26% 23.74% +10.01 10-3
2012-07-01 Seattle Storm L 83-89 1592.70 1490.76 71.57% 28.43% -20.50 10-4
2012-07-06 @ Tulsa Shock W 86-75 1572.20 1310.13 76.35% 23.65% +9.17 11-4
2012-07-07 @ Minnesota Lynx W 86-80 1581.37 1692.88 27.32% 72.68% +20.81 12-4
2012-07-10 @ Washington Mystics W 77-70 1602.18 1307.58 79.57% 20.43% +6.32 13-4
2012-07-11 Washington Mystics W 85-73 1608.50 1301.26 89.14% 10.86% +4.40 14-4
2012-07-13 @ Chicago Sky W 80-78 1612.90 1467.37 62.28% 37.72% +6.24 15-4
2012-08-16 @ New York Liberty L 66-79 1619.14 1436.19 67.19% 32.81% -28.32 15-5
2012-08-18 New York Liberty W 85-74 1590.82 1464.51 74.34% 25.66% +9.95 16-5
2012-08-21 Tulsa Shock W 82-80 1600.77 1300.55 88.74% 11.26% +1.86 17-5
2012-08-26 Chicago Sky L 70-82 1602.63 1392.12 82.47% 17.53% -33.40 17-6
2012-08-28 @ Chicago Sky W 83-72 1569.23 1425.52 62.03% 37.97% +14.72 18-6
2012-08-30 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 84-73 1583.95 1647.67 33.11% 66.89% +25.94 19-6
2012-09-02 @ Atlanta Dream L 80-87 1609.89 1538.74 51.83% 48.17% -16.03 19-7
2012-09-04 @ Washington Mystics W 77-70 1593.86 1299.35 79.56% 20.44% +6.32 20-7
2012-09-07 Phoenix Mercury L 82-91 1600.18 1304.24 88.49% 11.51% -31.03 20-8
2012-09-09 Chicago Sky W 82-77 1569.15 1450.98 73.43% 26.57% +6.94 21-8
2012-09-12 @ Phoenix Mercury W 100-78 1576.09 1331.71 74.47% 25.53% +14.00 22-8
2012-09-14 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 82-93 1590.09 1585.74 42.28% 57.72% -16.39 22-9
2012-09-16 @ Seattle Storm W 60-58 1573.70 1455.81 58.47% 41.53% +6.87 23-9
2012-09-19 Indiana Fever W 73-67 1580.57 1617.94 53.03% 46.97% +13.45 24-9
2012-09-23 Atlanta Dream W 92-72 1594.02 1607.82 56.39% 43.61% +22.80 25-9
2012-05-19 Atlanta Dream W 92-84 1518.84 1563.42 51.99% 48.01% +15.87 1-0
2012-05-25 @ Chicago Sky W 83-72 1534.71 1488.75 48.20% 51.80% +20.08 2-0
2012-05-27 @ Atlanta Dream W 78-62 1554.79 1566.73 40.01% 59.99% +28.05 3-0
2012-06-02 New York Liberty W 91-68 1582.84 1457.33 74.25% 25.75% +14.44 4-0
2012-06-03 @ New York Liberty L 72-87 1597.28 1442.89 63.47% 36.53% -28.73 4-1
2012-06-08 Connecticut Sun L 81-89 1568.55 1561.70 59.29% 40.71% -19.61 4-2
2012-06-15 @ Washington Mystics L 66-67 1548.94 1359.06 68.06% 31.94% -7.95 4-3
2012-06-16 Chicago Sky W 84-70 1540.99 1552.26 56.75% 43.25% +18.92 5-3
2012-06-19 @ Connecticut Sun L 85-88 1559.91 1610.31 34.83% 65.17% -7.06 5-4
2012-06-21 Connecticut Sun W 95-61 1552.85 1617.36 49.13% 50.87% +34.68 6-4
2012-06-23 @ Tulsa Shock W 73-70 1587.53 1290.29 79.81% 20.19% +4.09 7-4
2012-06-26 @ Atlanta Dream L 58-70 1591.62 1532.66 50.07% 49.93% -20.28 7-5
2012-06-27 @ Chicago Sky W 81-72 1571.34 1525.60 48.17% 51.83% +18.18 8-5
2012-07-05 San Antonio Silver Stars L 72-88 1589.52 1591.49 58.06% 41.94% -27.15 8-6
2012-07-07 Chicago Sky W 88-86 1562.37 1485.05 68.60% 31.40% +5.19 9-6
2012-07-10 New York Liberty W 84-82 1567.56 1479.51 69.92% 30.08% +4.97 10-6
2012-07-12 Los Angeles Sparks L 74-77 1572.53 1551.51 61.24% 38.76% -12.40 10-7
2012-08-16 Washington Mystics W 84-66 1560.13 1335.21 83.63% 16.37% +8.12 11-7
2012-08-18 Atlanta Dream W 86-72 1568.25 1559.17 59.60% 40.40% +17.67 12-7
2012-08-21 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 69-79 1585.92 1583.30 42.03% 57.97% -15.54 12-8
2012-08-23 @ Seattle Storm W 68-66 1570.38 1473.68 55.48% 44.52% +7.36 13-8
2012-08-25 @ Phoenix Mercury W 85-72 1577.74 1284.24 79.46% 20.54% +8.66 14-8
2012-08-28 Washington Mystics W 83-68 1586.40 1322.42 86.48% 13.52% +6.12 15-8
2012-08-30 @ New York Liberty W 76-63 1592.52 1453.34 61.41% 38.59% +16.26 16-8
2012-09-01 Chicago Sky W 81-64 1608.78 1410.80 81.40% 18.60% +8.97 17-8
2012-09-05 @ Atlanta Dream L 64-71 1617.75 1554.77 50.65% 49.35% -15.67 17-9
2012-09-07 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 82-78 1602.08 1602.59 41.60% 58.40% +13.66 18-9
2012-09-09 Phoenix Mercury W 89-83 1615.74 1335.27 87.55% 12.45% +3.56 19-9
2012-09-12 Seattle Storm W 72-48 1619.30 1485.89 75.11% 24.89% +14.26 20-9
2012-09-14 Minnesota Lynx L 64-66 1633.56 1733.64 44.04% 55.96% -7.28 20-10
2012-09-17 @ Minnesota Lynx L 79-86 1626.28 1740.92 26.96% 73.04% -8.34 20-11
2012-09-19 @ Connecticut Sun L 67-73 1617.94 1580.57 46.97% 53.03% -13.45 20-12
2012-09-21 @ Washington Mystics W 66-53 1604.49 1248.34 84.73% 15.27% +6.43 21-12
2012-09-23 Tulsa Shock W 91-58 1610.92 1367.09 85.07% 14.93% +10.03 22-12
2012-05-18 @ Seattle Storm W 72-66 1457.97 1533.28 31.65% 68.35% +19.57 1-0
2012-05-22 Seattle Storm W 74-61 1477.54 1513.71 53.20% 46.80% +19.73 2-0
2012-05-24 @ Minnesota Lynx L 84-92 1497.27 1662.34 21.64% 78.36% -7.16 2-1
2012-05-26 @ Phoenix Mercury W 99-88 1490.11 1498.84 40.45% 59.55% +23.09 3-1
2012-05-29 Tulsa Shock W 76-75 1513.20 1319.02 81.07% 18.93% +2.21 4-1
2012-06-03 Seattle Storm W 67-65 1515.41 1495.85 61.04% 38.96% +6.44 5-1
2012-06-08 Phoenix Mercury W 90-74 1521.85 1448.97 68.05% 31.95% +14.94 6-1
2012-06-13 @ Connecticut Sun W 87-81 1536.79 1599.50 33.24% 66.76% +19.12 7-1
2012-06-15 @ Atlanta Dream L 59-92 1555.91 1519.45 46.84% 53.16% -31.45 7-2
2012-06-16 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 85-98 1524.46 1516.48 42.79% 57.21% -18.04 7-3
2012-06-18 Washington Mystics W 101-70 1506.42 1367.01 75.75% 24.25% +15.79 8-3
2012-06-20 Tulsa Shock W 95-79 1522.21 1297.97 83.58% 16.42% +7.67 9-3
2012-06-23 @ Phoenix Mercury W 93-84 1529.88 1405.11 59.43% 40.57% +14.23 10-3
2012-06-24 San Antonio Silver Stars L 71-91 1544.11 1520.32 61.62% 38.38% -32.21 10-4
2012-06-26 @ Tulsa Shock L 75-91 1511.90 1286.20 72.37% 27.63% -33.84 10-5
2012-06-28 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 80-94 1478.06 1552.53 31.75% 68.25% -13.89 10-6
2012-07-05 Minnesota Lynx W 96-90 1464.17 1714.39 24.90% 75.10% +21.50 11-6
2012-07-07 Seattle Storm W 83-59 1485.67 1511.26 54.72% 45.28% +25.94 12-6
2012-07-08 Atlanta Dream W 79-63 1511.61 1564.65 50.78% 49.22% +23.01 13-6
2012-07-10 @ Phoenix Mercury W 90-71 1534.62 1354.21 66.86% 33.14% +16.89 14-6
2012-07-12 @ Indiana Fever W 77-74 1551.51 1572.53 38.76% 61.24% +12.40 15-6
2012-08-18 @ Seattle Storm W 82-71 1563.91 1505.63 49.98% 50.02% +19.39 16-6
2012-08-21 Indiana Fever W 79-69 1583.30 1585.92 57.97% 42.03% +15.54 17-6
2012-08-23 San Antonio Silver Stars W 101-77 1598.84 1687.85 45.61% 54.39% +31.15 18-6
2012-08-25 New York Liberty W 87-62 1629.99 1488.63 75.95% 24.05% +14.05 19-6
2012-08-30 @ Tulsa Shock L 85-99 1644.04 1325.41 81.72% 18.28% -35.74 19-7
2012-09-02 @ Chicago Sky L 74-85 1608.30 1401.83 70.10% 29.90% -27.18 19-8
2012-09-04 @ Minnesota Lynx L 77-88 1581.12 1736.53 22.60% 77.40% -8.76 19-9
2012-09-07 @ Washington Mystics W 96-68 1572.36 1293.03 78.10% 21.90% +13.54 20-9
2012-09-09 @ New York Liberty L 71-73 1585.90 1438.35 62.55% 37.45% -10.34 20-10
2012-09-13 Chicago Sky W 86-77 1575.56 1478.68 70.97% 29.03% +10.18 21-10
2012-09-14 Connecticut Sun W 93-82 1585.74 1590.09 57.72% 42.28% +16.39 22-10
2012-09-18 Phoenix Mercury W 101-76 1602.13 1275.66 90.17% 9.83% +5.75 23-10
2012-09-20 Minnesota Lynx W 92-76 1607.88 1749.26 38.29% 61.71% +28.86 24-10
2012-05-20 Phoenix Mercury W 105-83 1629.53 1507.27 73.89% 26.11% +14.32 1-0
2012-05-22 @ New York Liberty W 80-62 1643.85 1495.00 62.72% 37.28% +18.49 2-0
2012-05-24 Los Angeles Sparks W 92-84 1662.34 1497.27 78.36% 21.64% +7.15 3-0
2012-05-27 Seattle Storm W 84-71 1669.49 1493.98 79.36% 20.64% +8.70 4-0
2012-05-30 @ Washington Mystics W 79-77 1678.19 1385.74 79.36% 20.64% +3.41 5-0
2012-06-01 @ Connecticut Sun W 85-72 1681.60 1572.98 57.17% 42.83% +18.06 6-0
2012-06-03 San Antonio Silver Stars W 83-79 1699.66 1512.52 80.44% 19.56% +4.57 7-0
2012-06-06 Seattle Storm W 79-55 1704.23 1489.41 82.82% 17.18% +9.84 8-0
2012-06-09 @ Tulsa Shock W 93-73 1714.07 1293.26 88.95% 11.05% +5.77 9-0
2012-06-15 @ Phoenix Mercury W 78-60 1719.84 1434.03 78.73% 21.27% +10.55 10-0
2012-06-17 @ Seattle Storm L 62-65 1730.39 1463.38 76.86% 23.14% -15.56 10-1
2012-06-21 New York Liberty W 102-70 1714.83 1485.70 83.96% 16.04% +10.60 11-1
2012-06-23 Chicago Sky W 79-67 1725.43 1533.34 80.88% 19.12% +7.75 12-1
2012-06-27 Phoenix Mercury W 96-80 1733.18 1390.89 90.94% 9.06% +4.23 13-1
2012-07-01 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 84-93 1737.41 1566.42 65.65% 34.35% -23.02 13-2
2012-07-05 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 90-96 1714.39 1464.17 75.10% 24.90% -21.51 13-3
2012-07-07 Connecticut Sun L 80-86 1692.88 1581.37 72.68% 27.32% -20.81 13-4
2012-07-10 @ Tulsa Shock W 107-86 1672.07 1322.29 84.25% 15.75% +8.44 14-4
2012-07-12 Tulsa Shock W 89-74 1680.51 1313.86 92.03% 7.97% +3.61 15-4
2012-08-17 Washington Mystics W 98-69 1684.12 1327.10 91.62% 8.38% +5.27 16-4
2012-08-19 Tulsa Shock W 83-59 1689.39 1304.69 92.76% 7.24% +4.15 17-4
2012-08-21 @ Seattle Storm W 86-73 1693.54 1486.24 70.20% 29.80% +12.56 18-4
2012-08-25 @ Atlanta Dream W 84-74 1706.10 1562.96 61.95% 38.05% +14.06 19-4
2012-08-28 San Antonio Silver Stars W 96-84 1720.16 1661.33 66.26% 33.74% +13.66 20-4
2012-08-31 Tulsa Shock W 92-83 1733.82 1361.15 92.29% 7.71% +2.71 21-4
2012-09-04 Los Angeles Sparks W 88-77 1736.53 1581.12 77.40% 22.60% +8.76 22-4
2012-09-07 Atlanta Dream W 97-93 1745.29 1570.43 79.30% 20.70% +4.84 23-4
2012-09-09 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 81-62 1750.13 1588.94 64.37% 35.63% +18.16 24-4
2012-09-11 @ Chicago Sky L 70-83 1768.29 1444.03 82.20% 17.80% -34.65 24-5
2012-09-14 @ Indiana Fever W 66-64 1733.64 1633.56 55.96% 44.04% +7.28 25-5
2012-09-17 Indiana Fever W 86-79 1740.92 1626.28 73.04% 26.96% +8.34 26-5
2012-09-20 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 76-92 1749.26 1607.88 61.71% 38.29% -28.86 26-6
2012-09-21 @ Phoenix Mercury W 89-66 1720.40 1269.91 90.52% 9.48% +5.32 27-6
2012-09-23 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 84-99 1725.72 1555.55 65.54% 34.46% -29.68 27-7
2012-05-19 Connecticut Sun L 73-78 1526.65 1532.65 57.49% 42.51% -15.02 0-1
2012-05-20 @ Connecticut Sun L 77-92 1511.63 1547.68 36.73% 63.27% -16.63 0-2
2012-05-22 Minnesota Lynx L 62-80 1495.00 1643.85 37.28% 62.72% -18.49 0-3
2012-05-25 @ Atlanta Dream L 74-100 1476.51 1547.55 32.18% 67.82% -19.18 0-4
2012-06-02 @ Indiana Fever L 68-91 1457.33 1582.84 25.75% 74.25% -14.44 0-5
2012-06-03 Indiana Fever W 87-72 1442.89 1597.28 36.53% 63.47% +28.74 1-5
2012-06-05 Atlanta Dream W 79-74 1471.63 1543.39 48.08% 51.92% +13.57 2-5
2012-06-08 @ Washington Mystics W 76-70 1485.20 1371.10 57.94% 42.06% +12.04 3-5
2012-06-10 Chicago Sky L 64-73 1497.24 1517.96 55.41% 44.59% -19.43 3-6
2012-06-15 @ Connecticut Sun L 55-97 1477.81 1580.39 28.35% 71.65% -21.48 3-7
2012-06-19 @ Atlanta Dream W 73-60 1456.33 1542.46 30.32% 69.68% +29.37 4-7
2012-06-21 @ Minnesota Lynx L 70-102 1485.70 1714.83 16.04% 83.96% -10.61 4-8
2012-06-24 Atlanta Dream L 64-74 1475.09 1513.09 52.94% 47.06% -19.57 4-9
2012-06-30 Seattle Storm W 77-59 1455.52 1515.68 49.75% 50.25% +24.92 5-9
2012-07-06 @ Chicago Sky W 64-59 1480.44 1501.04 38.82% 61.18% +16.00 6-9
2012-07-08 San Antonio Silver Stars L 81-94 1496.44 1624.24 40.15% 59.85% -16.93 6-10
2012-07-10 @ Indiana Fever L 82-84 1479.51 1567.56 30.08% 69.92% -4.97 6-11
2012-07-13 Washington Mystics L 53-70 1474.54 1296.87 79.56% 20.44% -38.35 6-12
2012-08-16 Connecticut Sun W 79-66 1436.19 1619.14 32.81% 67.19% +28.32 7-12
2012-08-18 @ Connecticut Sun L 74-85 1464.51 1590.82 25.66% 74.34% -9.95 7-13
2012-08-21 @ Chicago Sky W 77-67 1454.56 1433.96 44.57% 55.43% +20.49 8-13
2012-08-23 @ Phoenix Mercury W 89-77 1475.05 1297.82 66.46% 33.54% +13.58 9-13
2012-08-25 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 62-87 1488.63 1629.99 24.05% 75.95% -14.05 9-14
2012-08-26 @ Seattle Storm L 66-84 1474.58 1466.32 42.83% 57.17% -21.24 9-15
2012-08-30 Indiana Fever L 63-76 1453.34 1592.52 38.59% 61.41% -16.27 9-16
2012-09-01 Washington Mystics W 79-73 1437.07 1306.57 74.79% 25.21% +7.22 10-16
2012-09-05 Phoenix Mercury W 87-59 1444.29 1320.27 74.08% 25.92% +16.03 11-16
2012-09-07 Chicago Sky L 83-92 1460.32 1429.01 62.64% 37.36% -21.97 11-17
2012-09-09 Los Angeles Sparks W 73-71 1438.35 1585.90 37.45% 62.55% +10.34 12-17
2012-09-12 Washington Mystics W 75-62 1448.69 1272.41 79.43% 20.57% +8.67 13-17
2012-09-16 @ Washington Mystics W 75-68 1457.36 1257.85 69.25% 30.75% +9.51 14-17
2012-09-18 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 66-77 1466.87 1564.19 28.97% 71.03% -11.23 14-18
2012-09-20 @ Tulsa Shock L 66-78 1455.64 1361.63 55.10% 44.90% -22.31 14-19
2012-09-22 Tulsa Shock W 91-74 1433.33 1383.94 65.04% 34.96% +16.85 15-19
2012-05-20 @ Minnesota Lynx L 83-105 1507.27 1629.53 26.11% 73.89% -14.32 0-1
2012-05-22 @ Tulsa Shock W 89-87 1492.95 1331.90 64.35% 35.65% +5.89 1-1
2012-05-26 Los Angeles Sparks L 88-99 1498.84 1490.11 59.55% 40.45% -23.08 1-2
2012-05-31 @ Atlanta Dream L 65-81 1475.76 1538.68 33.21% 66.79% -15.53 1-3
2012-06-01 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 66-85 1460.23 1493.62 37.08% 62.92% -18.90 1-4
2012-06-03 Tulsa Shock W 79-72 1441.33 1306.23 75.29% 24.71% +7.64 2-4
2012-06-08 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 74-90 1448.97 1521.85 31.95% 68.05% -14.94 2-5
2012-06-15 Minnesota Lynx L 60-78 1434.03 1719.84 21.27% 78.73% -10.55 2-6
2012-06-17 @ Tulsa Shock L 75-87 1423.48 1272.45 63.02% 36.98% -25.51 2-7
2012-06-20 Washington Mystics W 80-77 1397.97 1351.23 64.69% 35.31% +7.14 3-7
2012-06-23 Los Angeles Sparks L 84-93 1405.11 1529.88 40.57% 59.43% -14.22 3-8
2012-06-27 @ Minnesota Lynx L 80-96 1390.89 1733.18 9.06% 90.94% -4.24 3-9
2012-06-29 @ Chicago Sky W 84-81 1386.65 1507.42 26.28% 73.72% +14.93 4-9
2012-07-01 @ Washington Mystics L 77-90 1401.58 1311.53 54.53% 45.47% -22.99 4-10
2012-07-03 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 81-82 1378.59 1589.45 17.51% 82.49% -2.04 4-11
2012-07-07 Atlanta Dream L 93-100 1376.55 1554.30 33.48% 66.52% -10.36 4-12
2012-07-08 @ Seattle Storm L 68-83 1366.19 1485.32 26.46% 73.54% -11.98 4-13
2012-07-10 Los Angeles Sparks L 71-90 1354.21 1534.62 33.14% 66.86% -16.88 4-14
2012-07-13 Seattle Storm L 64-83 1337.33 1477.13 38.50% 61.50% -19.62 4-15
2012-08-16 @ Seattle Storm L 58-72 1317.71 1496.75 20.31% 79.69% -8.88 4-16
2012-08-19 San Antonio Silver Stars L 47-89 1308.83 1675.08 14.53% 85.47% -11.01 4-17
2012-08-23 New York Liberty L 77-89 1297.82 1475.05 33.54% 66.46% -13.58 4-18
2012-08-25 Indiana Fever L 72-85 1284.24 1577.74 20.54% 79.46% -8.66 4-19
2012-08-30 @ Seattle Storm W 75-68 1275.58 1487.56 17.41% 82.59% +25.54 5-19
2012-09-01 San Antonio Silver Stars W 94-90 1301.12 1621.74 18.11% 81.89% +19.15 6-19
2012-09-05 @ New York Liberty L 59-87 1320.27 1444.29 25.92% 74.08% -16.03 6-20
2012-09-07 @ Connecticut Sun W 91-82 1304.24 1600.18 11.51% 88.49% +31.03 7-20
2012-09-09 @ Indiana Fever L 83-89 1335.27 1615.74 12.45% 87.55% -3.56 7-21
2012-09-12 Connecticut Sun L 78-100 1331.71 1576.09 25.53% 74.47% -14.00 7-22
2012-09-14 Tulsa Shock L 84-92 1317.71 1309.95 59.41% 40.59% -19.65 7-23
2012-09-16 Chicago Sky L 55-86 1298.06 1468.50 34.42% 65.58% -22.40 7-24
2012-09-18 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 76-101 1275.66 1602.13 9.83% 90.17% -5.75 7-25
2012-09-21 Minnesota Lynx L 66-89 1269.91 1720.40 9.48% 90.52% -5.31 7-26
2012-09-23 Seattle Storm L 57-71 1264.60 1490.38 27.62% 72.38% -12.08 7-27
2012-05-19 @ Tulsa Shock W 88-79 1519.14 1343.75 66.22% 33.78% +11.85 1-0
2012-05-25 @ Connecticut Sun L 79-83 1530.99 1564.31 37.09% 62.91% -8.68 1-1
2012-05-30 Chicago Sky L 63-77 1522.31 1468.67 65.59% 34.41% -28.69 1-2
2012-06-01 Phoenix Mercury W 85-66 1493.62 1460.23 62.92% 37.08% +18.90 2-2
2012-06-03 @ Minnesota Lynx L 79-83 1512.52 1699.66 19.56% 80.44% -4.58 2-3
2012-06-08 @ Atlanta Dream L 57-60 1507.94 1529.82 38.64% 61.36% -7.82 2-4
2012-06-09 Seattle Storm W 80-67 1500.12 1479.57 61.18% 38.82% +16.36 3-4
2012-06-16 Los Angeles Sparks W 98-85 1516.48 1524.46 57.21% 42.79% +18.04 4-4
2012-06-22 @ Seattle Storm L 76-82 1534.52 1478.95 49.59% 50.41% -14.20 4-5
2012-06-24 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 91-71 1520.32 1544.11 38.38% 61.62% +32.21 5-5
2012-06-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 94-80 1552.53 1478.06 68.25% 31.75% +13.89 6-5
2012-07-01 Minnesota Lynx W 93-84 1566.42 1737.41 34.35% 65.65% +23.03 7-5
2012-07-03 Phoenix Mercury W 82-81 1589.45 1378.59 82.49% 17.51% +2.04 8-5
2012-07-05 @ Indiana Fever W 88-72 1591.49 1589.52 41.94% 58.06% +27.15 9-5
2012-07-06 @ Washington Mystics W 78-73 1618.64 1334.52 78.57% 21.43% +5.60 10-5
2012-07-08 @ New York Liberty W 94-81 1624.24 1496.44 59.85% 40.15% +16.92 11-5
2012-07-11 @ Chicago Sky W 77-68 1641.16 1479.86 64.38% 35.62% +12.49 12-5
2012-07-13 Atlanta Dream W 91-70 1653.65 1561.81 70.37% 29.63% +15.88 13-5
2012-08-17 @ Tulsa Shock W 89-79 1669.53 1310.25 84.96% 15.04% +5.55 14-5
2012-08-19 @ Phoenix Mercury W 89-47 1675.08 1308.83 85.47% 14.53% +11.01 15-5
2012-08-21 Washington Mystics W 75-72 1686.09 1335.76 91.32% 8.68% +1.76 16-5
2012-08-23 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 77-101 1687.85 1598.84 54.39% 45.61% -31.15 16-6
2012-08-25 Tulsa Shock W 91-71 1656.70 1310.16 91.14% 8.86% +4.63 17-6
2012-08-28 @ Minnesota Lynx L 84-96 1661.33 1720.16 33.74% 66.26% -13.66 17-7
2012-08-30 Connecticut Sun L 73-84 1647.67 1583.95 66.89% 33.11% -25.93 17-8
2012-09-01 @ Phoenix Mercury L 90-94 1621.74 1301.12 81.89% 18.11% -19.15 17-9
2012-09-07 Indiana Fever L 78-82 1602.59 1602.08 58.40% 41.60% -13.65 17-10
2012-09-09 Minnesota Lynx L 62-81 1588.94 1750.13 35.63% 64.37% -18.16 17-11
2012-09-12 @ Tulsa Shock W 78-67 1570.78 1319.56 75.21% 24.79% +9.61 18-11
2012-09-14 Seattle Storm W 90-66 1580.39 1471.64 72.36% 27.64% +15.83 19-11
2012-09-16 Tulsa Shock L 70-80 1596.22 1329.59 86.66% 13.34% -32.03 19-12
2012-09-18 New York Liberty W 77-66 1564.19 1466.87 71.03% 28.97% +11.23 20-12
2012-09-21 @ Seattle Storm L 75-84 1575.42 1470.51 56.65% 43.35% -19.87 20-13
2012-09-23 Minnesota Lynx W 99-84 1555.55 1725.72 34.46% 65.54% +29.68 21-13
2012-05-18 Los Angeles Sparks L 66-72 1533.28 1457.97 68.35% 31.65% -19.57 0-1
2012-05-22 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 61-74 1513.71 1477.54 46.80% 53.20% -19.73 0-2
2012-05-27 @ Minnesota Lynx L 71-84 1493.98 1669.49 20.64% 79.36% -8.70 0-3
2012-06-01 Tulsa Shock W 76-58 1485.28 1316.80 78.69% 21.31% +10.57 1-3
2012-06-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 65-67 1495.85 1515.41 38.96% 61.04% -6.44 1-4
2012-06-06 @ Minnesota Lynx L 55-79 1489.41 1704.23 17.18% 82.82% -9.84 1-5
2012-06-09 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 67-80 1479.57 1500.12 38.82% 61.18% -16.36 1-6
2012-06-13 @ Chicago Sky L 58-74 1463.21 1537.39 31.79% 68.21% -14.86 1-7
2012-06-15 @ Tulsa Shock W 86-73 1448.35 1287.48 64.33% 35.67% +15.03 2-7
2012-06-17 Minnesota Lynx W 65-62 1463.38 1730.39 23.14% 76.86% +15.57 3-7
2012-06-22 San Antonio Silver Stars W 82-76 1478.95 1534.52 50.41% 49.59% +14.19 4-7
2012-06-24 Washington Mystics W 72-55 1493.14 1344.08 76.76% 23.24% +11.21 5-7
2012-06-26 @ Washington Mystics W 79-71 1504.35 1332.88 65.71% 34.29% +11.33 6-7
2012-06-30 @ New York Liberty L 59-77 1515.68 1455.52 50.25% 49.75% -24.92 6-8
2012-07-01 @ Connecticut Sun W 89-83 1490.76 1592.70 28.43% 71.57% +20.50 7-8
2012-07-07 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 59-83 1511.26 1485.67 45.28% 54.72% -25.94 7-9
2012-07-08 Phoenix Mercury W 83-68 1485.32 1366.19 73.54% 26.46% +11.98 8-9
2012-07-11 Atlanta Dream L 59-70 1497.30 1541.63 52.03% 47.97% -20.17 8-10
2012-07-13 @ Phoenix Mercury W 83-64 1477.13 1337.33 61.50% 38.50% +19.62 9-10
2012-08-16 Phoenix Mercury W 72-58 1496.75 1317.71 79.69% 20.31% +8.88 10-10
2012-08-18 Los Angeles Sparks L 71-82 1505.63 1563.91 50.02% 49.98% -19.39 10-11
2012-08-21 Minnesota Lynx L 73-86 1486.24 1693.54 29.80% 70.20% -12.56 10-12
2012-08-23 Indiana Fever L 66-68 1473.68 1570.38 44.52% 55.48% -7.36 10-13
2012-08-26 New York Liberty W 84-66 1466.32 1474.58 57.17% 42.83% +21.24 11-13
2012-08-30 Phoenix Mercury L 68-75 1487.56 1275.58 82.59% 17.41% -25.55 11-14
2012-09-06 Tulsa Shock W 101-74 1462.01 1358.45 71.76% 28.24% +17.16 12-14
2012-09-08 @ Tulsa Shock W 89-66 1479.17 1341.29 61.23% 38.77% +21.73 13-14
2012-09-11 @ Atlanta Dream L 61-77 1500.90 1572.66 32.09% 67.91% -15.01 13-15
2012-09-12 @ Indiana Fever L 48-72 1485.89 1619.30 24.89% 75.11% -14.25 13-16
2012-09-14 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 66-90 1471.64 1580.39 27.64% 72.36% -15.83 13-17
2012-09-16 Connecticut Sun L 58-60 1455.81 1573.70 41.53% 58.47% -6.86 13-18
2012-09-18 Chicago Sky W 75-60 1448.95 1490.90 52.37% 47.63% +21.56 14-18
2012-09-21 San Antonio Silver Stars W 84-75 1470.51 1575.42 43.35% 56.65% +19.87 15-18
2012-09-23 @ Phoenix Mercury W 71-57 1490.38 1264.60 72.38% 27.62% +12.08 16-18
2012-05-19 San Antonio Silver Stars L 79-88 1343.75 1519.14 33.78% 66.22% -11.85 0-1
2012-05-22 Phoenix Mercury L 87-89 1331.90 1492.95 35.65% 64.35% -5.89 0-2
2012-05-26 @ Washington Mystics L 61-64 1326.01 1378.75 34.52% 65.48% -6.99 0-3
2012-05-29 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 75-76 1319.02 1513.20 18.93% 81.07% -2.22 0-4
2012-06-01 @ Seattle Storm L 58-76 1316.80 1485.28 21.31% 78.69% -10.57 0-5
2012-06-03 @ Phoenix Mercury L 72-79 1306.23 1441.33 24.71% 75.29% -7.64 0-6
2012-06-08 @ Chicago Sky L 91-98 1298.59 1512.63 17.24% 82.76% -5.33 0-7
2012-06-09 Minnesota Lynx L 73-93 1293.26 1714.07 11.05% 88.95% -5.78 0-8
2012-06-15 Seattle Storm L 73-86 1287.48 1448.35 35.67% 64.33% -15.03 0-9
2012-06-17 Phoenix Mercury W 87-75 1272.45 1423.48 36.98% 63.02% +25.52 1-9
2012-06-20 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 79-95 1297.97 1522.21 16.42% 83.58% -7.68 1-10
2012-06-23 Indiana Fever L 70-73 1290.29 1587.53 20.19% 79.81% -4.09 1-11
2012-06-26 Los Angeles Sparks W 91-75 1286.20 1511.90 27.63% 72.37% +33.84 2-11
2012-06-29 Atlanta Dream L 92-102 1320.04 1552.93 26.81% 73.19% -9.91 2-12
2012-07-06 Connecticut Sun L 75-86 1310.13 1572.20 23.65% 76.35% -9.17 2-13
2012-07-08 Washington Mystics W 78-62 1300.96 1328.92 54.38% 45.62% +21.33 3-13
2012-07-10 Minnesota Lynx L 86-107 1322.29 1672.07 15.75% 84.25% -8.43 3-14
2012-07-12 @ Minnesota Lynx L 74-89 1313.86 1680.51 7.97% 92.03% -3.61 3-15
2012-08-17 San Antonio Silver Stars L 79-89 1310.25 1669.53 15.04% 84.96% -5.56 3-16
2012-08-19 @ Minnesota Lynx L 59-83 1304.69 1689.39 7.24% 92.76% -4.14 3-17
2012-08-21 @ Connecticut Sun L 80-82 1300.55 1600.77 11.26% 88.74% -1.86 3-18
2012-08-24 Chicago Sky W 81-78 1298.69 1403.59 43.35% 56.65% +11.47 4-18
2012-08-25 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 71-91 1310.16 1656.70 8.86% 91.14% -4.63 4-19
2012-08-28 @ Atlanta Dream W 84-80 1305.53 1548.89 14.96% 85.04% +19.88 5-19
2012-08-30 Los Angeles Sparks W 99-85 1325.41 1644.04 18.28% 81.72% +35.74 6-19
2012-08-31 @ Minnesota Lynx L 83-92 1361.15 1733.82 7.71% 92.29% -2.70 6-20
2012-09-06 @ Seattle Storm L 74-101 1358.45 1462.01 28.24% 71.76% -17.16 6-21
2012-09-08 Seattle Storm L 66-89 1341.29 1479.17 38.77% 61.23% -21.73 6-22
2012-09-12 San Antonio Silver Stars L 67-78 1319.56 1570.78 24.79% 75.21% -9.61 6-23
2012-09-14 @ Phoenix Mercury W 92-84 1309.95 1317.71 40.59% 59.41% +19.64 7-23
2012-09-16 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 80-70 1329.59 1596.22 13.34% 86.66% +32.04 8-23
2012-09-20 New York Liberty W 78-66 1361.63 1455.64 44.90% 55.10% +22.31 9-23
2012-09-22 @ New York Liberty L 74-91 1383.94 1433.33 34.96% 65.04% -16.85 9-24
2012-09-23 @ Indiana Fever L 58-91 1367.09 1610.92 14.93% 85.07% -10.03 9-25
2012-05-19 Chicago Sky L 57-69 1398.27 1469.23 48.20% 51.80% -19.52 0-1
2012-05-26 Tulsa Shock W 64-61 1378.75 1326.01 65.48% 34.52% +6.99 1-1
2012-05-30 Minnesota Lynx L 77-79 1385.74 1678.19 20.64% 79.36% -3.41 1-2
2012-06-01 @ Chicago Sky L 63-65 1382.33 1497.36 26.92% 73.08% -4.45 1-3
2012-06-03 @ Connecticut Sun L 86-94 1377.88 1554.93 20.50% 79.50% -6.78 1-4
2012-06-08 New York Liberty L 70-76 1371.10 1485.20 42.06% 57.94% -12.04 1-5
2012-06-15 Indiana Fever W 67-66 1359.06 1548.94 31.94% 68.06% +7.95 2-5
2012-06-18 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 70-101 1367.01 1506.42 24.25% 75.75% -15.78 2-6
2012-06-20 @ Phoenix Mercury L 77-80 1351.23 1397.97 35.31% 64.69% -7.15 2-7
2012-06-24 @ Seattle Storm L 55-72 1344.08 1493.14 23.24% 76.76% -11.20 2-8
2012-06-26 Seattle Storm L 71-79 1332.88 1504.35 34.29% 65.71% -11.34 2-9
2012-06-29 Connecticut Sun L 64-77 1321.54 1582.69 23.74% 76.26% -10.01 2-10
2012-07-01 Phoenix Mercury W 90-77 1311.53 1401.58 45.47% 54.53% +22.99 3-10
2012-07-06 San Antonio Silver Stars L 73-78 1334.52 1618.64 21.43% 78.57% -5.60 3-11
2012-07-08 @ Tulsa Shock L 62-78 1328.92 1300.96 45.62% 54.38% -21.34 3-12
2012-07-10 Connecticut Sun L 70-77 1307.58 1602.18 20.43% 79.57% -6.32 3-13
2012-07-11 @ Connecticut Sun L 73-85 1301.26 1608.50 10.86% 89.14% -4.39 3-14
2012-07-13 @ New York Liberty W 70-53 1296.87 1474.54 20.44% 79.56% +38.34 4-14
2012-08-16 @ Indiana Fever L 66-84 1335.21 1560.13 16.37% 83.63% -8.11 4-15
2012-08-17 @ Minnesota Lynx L 69-98 1327.10 1684.12 8.38% 91.62% -5.28 4-16
2012-08-19 Chicago Sky W 75-71 1321.82 1447.90 40.39% 59.61% +13.94 5-16
2012-08-21 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 72-75 1335.76 1686.09 8.68% 91.32% -1.76 5-17
2012-08-24 Atlanta Dream L 69-81 1334.00 1551.37 28.60% 71.40% -11.58 5-18
2012-08-28 @ Indiana Fever L 68-83 1322.42 1586.40 13.52% 86.48% -6.12 5-19
2012-08-30 @ Atlanta Dream L 59-82 1316.30 1529.01 17.35% 82.65% -9.73 5-20
2012-09-01 @ New York Liberty L 73-79 1306.57 1437.07 25.21% 74.79% -7.22 5-21
2012-09-04 Connecticut Sun L 70-77 1299.35 1593.86 20.44% 79.56% -6.32 5-22
2012-09-07 Los Angeles Sparks L 68-96 1293.03 1572.36 21.90% 78.10% -13.55 5-23
2012-09-09 @ Atlanta Dream L 68-93 1279.48 1565.59 12.10% 87.90% -7.07 5-24
2012-09-12 @ New York Liberty L 62-75 1272.41 1448.69 20.57% 79.43% -8.66 5-25
2012-09-14 Atlanta Dream L 74-82 1263.75 1587.67 17.83% 82.17% -5.90 5-26
2012-09-16 New York Liberty L 68-75 1257.85 1457.36 30.75% 69.25% -9.51 5-27
2012-09-21 Indiana Fever L 53-66 1248.34 1604.49 15.27% 84.73% -6.43 5-28
2012-09-22 @ Chicago Sky L 58-77 1241.91 1455.09 17.31% 82.69% -8.83 5-29

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2012-09-28 @ Indiana Fever W 75-66 1585.02 1620.95 36.74% 63.26% +22.18 1-0
2012-09-30 Indiana Fever L 88-103 1607.20 1598.76 59.51% 40.49% -26.94 1-1
2012-10-02 @ Indiana Fever L 64-75 1580.26 1625.71 35.48% 64.52% -13.76 1-2
2012-09-27 New York Liberty W 65-60 1616.82 1450.18 78.51% 21.49% +5.61 1-0
2012-09-29 @ New York Liberty W 75-62 1622.43 1444.56 66.54% 33.46% +14.11 2-0
2012-10-05 Indiana Fever W 76-64 1636.54 1639.46 57.92% 42.08% +17.03 3-0
2012-10-08 @ Indiana Fever L 76-78 1653.57 1622.42 46.08% 53.92% -7.61 3-1
2012-10-11 Indiana Fever L 71-87 1645.96 1630.04 60.54% 39.46% -28.31 3-2
2012-09-28 Atlanta Dream L 66-75 1620.95 1585.02 63.26% 36.74% -22.19 0-1
2012-09-30 @ Atlanta Dream W 103-88 1598.76 1607.20 40.49% 59.51% +26.95 1-1
2012-10-02 Atlanta Dream W 75-64 1625.71 1580.26 64.52% 35.48% +13.75 2-1
2012-10-05 @ Connecticut Sun L 64-76 1639.46 1636.54 42.08% 57.92% -17.04 2-2
2012-10-08 Connecticut Sun W 78-76 1622.42 1653.57 53.92% 46.08% +7.62 3-2
2012-10-11 @ Connecticut Sun W 87-71 1630.04 1645.96 39.46% 60.54% +28.31 4-2
2012-10-14 @ Minnesota Lynx W 76-70 1658.35 1707.74 34.96% 65.04% +18.62 5-2
2012-10-17 @ Minnesota Lynx L 71-83 1676.97 1689.12 39.98% 60.02% -16.19 5-3
2012-10-19 Minnesota Lynx W 76-59 1660.78 1705.31 52.00% 48.00% +23.14 6-3
2012-10-21 Minnesota Lynx W 87-78 1683.92 1682.17 58.58% 41.42% +14.53 7-3
2012-09-27 San Antonio Silver Stars W 93-86 1636.74 1585.23 65.32% 34.68% +10.73 1-0
2012-09-29 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 101-94 1647.47 1574.50 52.09% 47.91% +14.81 2-0
2012-10-04 @ Minnesota Lynx L 77-94 1662.28 1683.20 38.77% 61.23% -18.68 2-1
2012-10-07 Minnesota Lynx L 79-80 1643.60 1701.89 50.02% 49.98% -5.85 2-2
2012-09-28 Seattle Storm W 78-70 1696.04 1502.46 81.01% 18.99% +6.28 1-0
2012-09-30 @ Seattle Storm L 79-86 1702.32 1496.18 70.06% 29.94% -21.67 1-1
2012-10-02 Seattle Storm W 73-72 1680.65 1517.85 78.14% 21.86% +2.55 2-1
2012-10-04 Los Angeles Sparks W 94-77 1683.20 1662.28 61.23% 38.77% +18.69 3-1
2012-10-07 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 80-79 1701.89 1643.60 49.98% 50.02% +5.85 4-1
2012-10-14 Indiana Fever L 70-76 1707.74 1658.35 65.04% 34.96% -18.62 4-2
2012-10-17 Indiana Fever W 83-71 1689.12 1676.97 60.02% 39.98% +16.19 5-2
2012-10-19 @ Indiana Fever L 59-76 1705.31 1660.78 48.00% 52.00% -23.14 5-3
2012-10-21 @ Indiana Fever L 78-87 1682.17 1683.92 41.42% 58.58% -14.52 5-4
2012-09-27 @ Connecticut Sun L 60-65 1450.18 1616.82 21.49% 78.51% -5.62 0-1
2012-09-29 Connecticut Sun L 62-75 1444.56 1622.43 33.46% 66.54% -14.10 0-2
2012-09-27 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 86-93 1585.23 1636.74 34.68% 65.32% -10.73 0-1
2012-09-29 Los Angeles Sparks L 94-101 1574.50 1647.47 47.91% 52.09% -14.82 0-2
2012-09-28 @ Minnesota Lynx L 70-78 1502.46 1696.04 18.99% 81.01% -6.28 0-1
2012-09-30 Minnesota Lynx W 86-79 1496.18 1702.32 29.94% 70.06% +21.67 1-1
2012-10-02 @ Minnesota Lynx L 72-73 1517.85 1680.65 21.86% 78.14% -2.56 1-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-09-07 11.51% Phoenix Mercury 1304.24 91 @ Connecticut Sun 1600.18 82
2 2012-09-16 13.34% Tulsa Shock 1329.59 80 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1596.22 70
3 2012-08-28 14.96% Tulsa Shock 1305.53 84 @ Atlanta Dream 1548.89 80
4 2012-08-30 17.41% Phoenix Mercury 1275.58 75 @ Seattle Storm 1487.56 68
5 2012-08-26 17.53% Chicago Sky 1392.12 82 @ Connecticut Sun 1602.63 70
6 2012-09-11 17.80% @ Chicago Sky 1444.03 83 Minnesota Lynx 1768.29 70
7 2012-09-01 18.11% @ Phoenix Mercury 1301.12 94 San Antonio Silver Stars 1621.74 90
8 2012-08-30 18.28% @ Tulsa Shock 1325.41 99 Los Angeles Sparks 1644.04 85
9 2012-07-13 20.44% Washington Mystics 1296.87 70 @ New York Liberty 1474.54 53
10 2012-06-17 23.14% @ Seattle Storm 1463.38 65 Minnesota Lynx 1730.39 62
11 2012-07-05 24.90% @ Los Angeles Sparks 1464.17 96 Minnesota Lynx 1714.39 90
12 2012-06-29 26.28% Phoenix Mercury 1386.65 84 @ Chicago Sky 1507.42 81
13 2012-07-07 27.32% Connecticut Sun 1581.37 86 @ Minnesota Lynx 1692.88 80
14 2012-06-26 27.63% @ Tulsa Shock 1286.20 91 Los Angeles Sparks 1511.90 75
15 2012-07-01 28.43% Seattle Storm 1490.76 89 @ Connecticut Sun 1592.70 83
16 2012-09-02 29.90% @ Chicago Sky 1401.83 85 Los Angeles Sparks 1608.30 74
17 2012-09-30 * 29.94% @ Seattle Storm 1496.18 86 Minnesota Lynx 1702.32 79
18 2012-06-19 30.32% New York Liberty 1456.33 73 @ Atlanta Dream 1542.46 60
19 2012-05-18 31.65% Los Angeles Sparks 1457.97 72 @ Seattle Storm 1533.28 66
20 2012-06-15 31.94% @ Washington Mystics 1359.06 67 Indiana Fever 1548.94 66
21 2012-08-16 32.81% @ New York Liberty 1436.19 79 Connecticut Sun 1619.14 66
22 2012-08-30 33.11% Connecticut Sun 1583.95 84 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1647.67 73
23 2012-06-13 33.24% Los Angeles Sparks 1536.79 87 @ Connecticut Sun 1599.50 81
24 2012-07-01 34.35% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1566.42 93 Minnesota Lynx 1737.41 84
25 2012-05-30 34.41% Chicago Sky 1468.67 77 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1522.31 63

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-07-13 38.35 Washington Mystics 70 1296.87 20.44% @ New York Liberty 53 1474.54 79.56%
2 2012-08-30 35.74 @ Tulsa Shock 99 1325.41 18.28% Los Angeles Sparks 85 1644.04 81.72%
3 2012-06-21 34.68 @ Indiana Fever 95 1552.85 49.13% Connecticut Sun 61 1617.36 50.87%
4 2012-09-11 34.65 @ Chicago Sky 83 1444.03 17.80% Minnesota Lynx 70 1768.29 82.20%
5 2012-06-26 33.84 @ Tulsa Shock 91 1286.20 27.63% Los Angeles Sparks 75 1511.90 72.37%
6 2012-08-26 33.40 Chicago Sky 82 1392.12 17.53% @ Connecticut Sun 70 1602.63 82.47%
7 2012-06-24 32.21 San Antonio Silver Stars 91 1520.32 38.38% @ Los Angeles Sparks 71 1544.11 61.62%
8 2012-09-16 32.04 Tulsa Shock 80 1329.59 13.34% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 70 1596.22 86.66%
9 2012-06-15 31.45 @ Atlanta Dream 92 1519.45 53.16% Los Angeles Sparks 59 1555.91 46.84%
10 2012-08-23 31.15 @ Los Angeles Sparks 101 1598.84 45.61% San Antonio Silver Stars 77 1687.85 54.39%
11 2012-09-07 31.03 Phoenix Mercury 91 1304.24 11.51% @ Connecticut Sun 82 1600.18 88.49%
12 2012-09-23 29.68 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 99 1555.55 34.46% Minnesota Lynx 84 1725.72 65.54%
13 2012-06-19 29.37 New York Liberty 73 1456.33 30.32% @ Atlanta Dream 60 1542.46 69.68%
14 2012-09-20 28.86 @ Los Angeles Sparks 92 1607.88 38.29% Minnesota Lynx 76 1749.26 61.71%
15 2012-06-03 28.74 @ New York Liberty 87 1442.89 36.53% Indiana Fever 72 1597.28 63.47%
16 2012-05-30 28.69 Chicago Sky 77 1468.67 34.41% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 63 1522.31 65.59%
17 2012-08-16 28.32 @ New York Liberty 79 1436.19 32.81% Connecticut Sun 66 1619.14 67.19%
18 2012-10-11 * 28.31 Indiana Fever 87 1630.04 39.46% @ Connecticut Sun 71 1645.96 60.54%
19 2012-05-27 28.05 Indiana Fever 78 1554.79 40.01% @ Atlanta Dream 62 1566.73 59.99%
20 2012-09-02 27.18 @ Chicago Sky 85 1401.83 29.90% Los Angeles Sparks 74 1608.30 70.10%
21 2012-07-05 27.15 San Antonio Silver Stars 88 1591.49 41.94% @ Indiana Fever 72 1589.52 58.06%
22 2012-09-30 * 26.95 Indiana Fever 103 1598.76 40.49% @ Atlanta Dream 88 1607.20 59.51%
23 2012-07-07 25.94 @ Los Angeles Sparks 83 1485.67 54.72% Seattle Storm 59 1511.26 45.28%
24 2012-08-30 25.94 Connecticut Sun 84 1583.95 33.11% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 73 1647.67 66.89%
25 2012-08-30 25.55 Phoenix Mercury 75 1275.58 17.41% @ Seattle Storm 68 1487.56 82.59%