Home / Leagues / WNBA / 2011

2011 WNBA Season

204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Minnesota Lynx

1st Title

Runner-Up

Atlanta Dream

2

Last Appearance: 2010

Biggest Overachiever

Minnesota Lynx

5.63 wins above expected

27 wins · 21.37 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Washington Mystics

5.84 wins below expected

6 wins · 11.84 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Connecticut Sun League 21 13 .618 80.1 76.8 +3.3 18.94 +2.06
2 Indiana Fever Playoffs 21 13 .618 77.7 73.8 +3.9 20.79 +0.21
3 Atlanta Dream Playoffs 20 14 .588 1 82.5 80.8 +1.7 17.49 +2.51
4 New York Liberty Playoffs 19 15 .559 2 76.0 74.8 +1.2 18.05 +0.95
5 Chicago Sky 14 20 .412 7 74.2 75.2 -0.9 15.52 -1.52
6 Washington Mystics 6 28 .176 15 70.8 78.8 -7.9 11.84 -5.84
# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Minnesota Lynx League 27 7 .794 81.5 73.6 +7.9 21.37 +5.63
2 Seattle Storm Playoffs 21 13 .618 6 71.6 69.9 +1.8 20.37 +0.63
3 Phoenix Mercury Playoffs 19 15 .559 8 89.0 86.0 +3.0 19.15 -0.15
4 San Antonio Silver Stars Playoffs 18 16 .529 9 77.6 75.5 +2.1 17.40 +0.60
5 Los Angeles Sparks 15 19 .441 12 77.1 80.3 -3.2 15.50 -0.50
6 Tulsa Shock 3 31 .088 24 69.2 82.1 -12.9 7.58 -4.58

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

Indiana Fever 2
New York Liberty 1

3 games · Sep 15–Sep 19

Atlanta Dream 2
Connecticut Sun 0

2 games · Sep 16–Sep 18

Conference Final

Atlanta Dream 2
Indiana Fever 1

3 games · Sep 22–Sep 27

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

Phoenix Mercury 2
Seattle Storm 1

3 games · Sep 15–Sep 19

Minnesota Lynx 2
San Antonio Silver Stars 1

3 games · Sep 16–Sep 20

Conference Final

Minnesota Lynx 2
Phoenix Mercury 0

2 games · Sep 22–Sep 25

WNBA Finals

Minnesota Lynx 3
Atlanta Dream 0

3 games · Oct 2–Oct 7

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Minnesota Lynx Western 1686 27 21.37 +5.63 99.29% 11 17 20 21 23 26 30
Atlanta Dream Eastern 1610 20 17.49 +2.51 86.53% 6 13 16 17 19 22 28
Connecticut Sun Eastern 1583 21 18.94 +2.06 81.75% 9 14 17 19 21 24 28
Seattle Storm Western 1576 21 20.37 +0.63 66.48% 10 16 19 20 22 25 30
Indiana Fever Eastern 1554 21 20.79 +0.21 59.67% 9 16 19 21 23 25 30
New York Liberty Eastern 1554 19 18.05 +0.95 69.76% 8 14 16 18 20 23 28
Phoenix Mercury Western 1534 19 19.15 -0.15 55.37% 9 15 17 19 21 24 30
San Antonio Silver Stars Western 1527 18 17.40 +0.60 65.99% 7 13 16 17 19 22 28
Chicago Sky Eastern 1441 14 15.52 -1.52 35.68% 6 11 14 16 17 20 28
Los Angeles Sparks Western 1427 15 15.50 -0.50 50.13% 6 11 14 15 17 20 28
Washington Mystics Eastern 1305 6 11.84 -5.84 1.73% 3 8 10 12 14 16 22
Tulsa Shock Western 1205 3 7.58 -4.58 3.35% 0 4 6 8 9 12 17

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Atlanta Dream
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
4-0
(1.8 exp.)
2-3
(2.3 exp.)
3-2
(3.2 exp.)
Chicago Sky
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
2-3
(2.2 exp.)
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
2-3
(2.1 exp.)
4-0
(2.3 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
3-2
(2.8 exp.)
2-3
(2.4 exp.)
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
4-0
(2.5 exp.)
Indiana Fever
0-4
(2.2 exp.)
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
3-2
(2.6 exp.)
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
5-0
(3.7 exp.)
New York Liberty
3-2
(2.7 exp.)
3-2
(2.9 exp.)
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
2-2
(2.7 exp.)
Washington Mystics
2-3
(1.8 exp.)
0-4
(1.7 exp.)
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
0-5
(1.3 exp.)
2-2
(1.3 exp.)

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Atlanta Dream
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
Chicago Sky
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
Indiana Fever
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
New York Liberty
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
Washington Mystics
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)

Within Western

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Los Angeles Sparks
1-4
(1.7 exp.)
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
4-1
(3.9 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
4-1
(3.3 exp.)
3-2
(2.8 exp.)
4-0
(2.7 exp.)
3-1
(1.9 exp.)
4-0
(3.2 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
2-3
(2.2 exp.)
2-3
(2.5 exp.)
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
4-0
(3.3 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
0-4
(1.3 exp.)
3-2
(2.5 exp.)
1-4
(2.2 exp.)
4-0
(2.9 exp.)
Seattle Storm
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
1-3
(2.1 exp.)
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
4-1
(2.8 exp.)
5-0
(4.0 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
1-4
(1.1 exp.)
0-4
(0.8 exp.)
0-4
(0.7 exp.)
0-4
(1.1 exp.)
0-5
(1.0 exp.)

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Los Angeles Sparks
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
Seattle Storm
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<500.25%0.25%0.49%
50–590.25%0.49%2.45%2.45%0.98%6.62%
60–692.45%4.90%6.86%3.43%1.47%0.25%19.36%
70–790.25%2.45%6.86%10.78%9.31%1.96%0.49%32.11%
80–890.98%3.43%9.31%7.35%3.92%0.25%25.25%
90–991.47%1.96%3.92%3.92%1.47%12.75%
100+0.25%0.49%0.25%1.47%0.98%3.43%
Total0.49%6.62%19.36%32.11%25.25%12.75%3.43%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.29 77.29 +0.00
SD 11.89 11.89 12.91
CV 0.15 0.15
Max 112 112 +39
Min 48 48 -39

Games Played: 204

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–59
60–692.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
70–798.82%8.82%2.94%5.88%26.47%
80–8911.76%14.71%14.71%41.18%
90–992.94%2.94%5.88%8.82%2.94%23.53%
100+
Total8.82%11.76%20.59%29.41%26.47%2.94%100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 82.50 80.79 +1.71
SD 8.66 13.36 12.04
CV 0.10 0.17
Max 95 109 +29
Min 64 52 -22

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<502.94%2.94%
50–595.88%5.88%
60–692.94%20.59%2.94%26.47%
70–792.94%5.88%11.76%11.76%32.35%
80–898.82%8.82%8.82%2.94%29.41%
90–99
100+2.94%2.94%
Total8.82%20.59%41.18%23.53%2.94%2.94%100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 74.24 75.18 -0.94
SD 10.68 10.30 10.05
CV 0.14 0.14
Max 107 101 +19
Min 49 54 -15

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%2.94%5.88%
60–695.88%2.94%2.94%2.94%14.71%
70–792.94%2.94%20.59%8.82%2.94%38.24%
80–892.94%2.94%8.82%2.94%2.94%20.59%
90–992.94%2.94%8.82%14.71%
100+2.94%2.94%5.88%
Total2.94%8.82%11.76%41.18%14.71%17.65%2.94%100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 80.12 76.82 +3.29
SD 11.78 12.64 12.40
CV 0.15 0.16
Max 108 107 +31
Min 58 48 -23

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%2.94%5.88%
60–6911.76%2.94%2.94%17.65%
70–795.88%11.76%8.82%26.47%
80–892.94%8.82%5.88%14.71%5.88%38.24%
90–992.94%2.94%2.94%2.94%11.76%
100+
Total14.71%23.53%20.59%32.35%8.82%100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.74 73.82 +3.91
SD 10.69 11.45 13.17
CV 0.14 0.16
Max 98 93 +35
Min 54 51 -28

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–59
60–695.88%5.88%8.82%2.94%23.53%
70–792.94%8.82%14.71%8.82%2.94%38.24%
80–898.82%11.76%5.88%2.94%29.41%
90–992.94%5.88%8.82%
100+
Total2.94%14.71%29.41%32.35%17.65%2.94%100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.15 80.32 -3.18
SD 8.85 11.30 12.11
CV 0.11 0.14
Max 98 101 +24
Min 63 50 -35

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%2.94%
60–695.88%2.94%8.82%
70–792.94%14.71%8.82%2.94%2.94%32.35%
80–892.94%11.76%14.71%2.94%32.35%
90–995.88%2.94%2.94%2.94%14.71%
100+2.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
Total5.88%41.18%32.35%8.82%5.88%5.88%100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.50 73.62 +7.88
SD 11.58 13.15 12.59
CV 0.14 0.18
Max 106 112 +30
Min 55 54 -29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%2.94%2.94%2.94%11.76%
60–6911.76%2.94%14.71%
70–798.82%11.76%8.82%29.41%
80–892.94%11.76%11.76%5.88%32.35%
90–992.94%5.88%2.94%11.76%
100+
Total2.94%5.88%26.47%26.47%29.41%8.82%100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 76.00 74.76 +1.24
SD 10.43 11.09 10.72
CV 0.14 0.15
Max 94 96 +31
Min 58 49 -21

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–59
60–692.94%2.94%
70–792.94%5.88%5.88%2.94%17.65%
80–8911.76%5.88%5.88%23.53%
90–998.82%11.76%11.76%8.82%41.18%
100+2.94%2.94%5.88%2.94%14.71%
Total5.88%26.47%29.41%26.47%11.76%100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 88.97 85.97 +3.00
SD 11.07 10.83 12.30
CV 0.12 0.13
Max 112 106 +39
Min 68 63 -18

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%2.94%5.88%
60–698.82%11.76%2.94%23.53%
70–792.94%11.76%2.94%11.76%29.41%
80–895.88%8.82%2.94%17.65%
90–992.94%2.94%5.88%2.94%14.71%
100+8.82%8.82%
Total2.94%32.35%29.41%23.53%8.82%2.94%100%

San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.65 75.53 +2.12
SD 13.41 11.25 11.59
CV 0.17 0.15
Max 102 105 +31
Min 55 59 -18

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%5.88%8.82%
60–698.82%14.71%5.88%5.88%35.29%
70–795.88%11.76%11.76%5.88%35.29%
80–8917.65%17.65%
90–992.94%2.94%
100+
Total17.65%26.47%41.18%8.82%5.88%100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 71.65 69.85 +1.79
SD 10.54 9.95 12.97
CV 0.15 0.14
Max 99 92 +19
Min 50 54 -29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50
50–592.94%8.82%5.88%17.65%
60–6917.65%5.88%2.94%2.94%29.41%
70–792.94%11.76%14.71%11.76%2.94%44.12%
80–892.94%2.94%5.88%
90–992.94%2.94%
100+
Total2.94%2.94%41.18%26.47%17.65%8.82%100%

Tulsa Shock — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 69.21 82.09 -12.88
SD 9.53 10.59 11.61
CV 0.14 0.13
Max 94 102 +18
Min 52 59 -39

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<502.94%2.94%
50–595.88%5.88%2.94%14.71%
60–695.88%11.76%8.82%26.47%
70–7914.71%17.65%2.94%35.29%
80–892.94%11.76%14.71%
90–992.94%2.94%5.88%
100+
Total14.71%35.29%44.12%5.88%100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 70.82 78.76 -7.94
SD 11.24 8.15 10.71
CV 0.16 0.10
Max 98 95 +20
Min 48 61 -32

Games Played: 34

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Minnesota Lynx 27 21.37 +5.63
2 Atlanta Dream 20 17.49 +2.51
3 Connecticut Sun 21 18.94 +2.06
4 New York Liberty 19 18.05 +0.95
5 Seattle Storm 21 20.37 +0.63

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Washington Mystics 6 11.84 -5.84
2 Tulsa Shock 3 7.58 -4.58
3 Chicago Sky 14 15.52 -1.52
4 Los Angeles Sparks 15 15.50 -0.50
5 Phoenix Mercury 19 19.15 -0.15

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Minnesota Lynx 9 Jul 15 – Aug 7 1 in 142
2 Tulsa Shock 2 Aug 26 – Aug 28 1 in 51
3 Indiana Fever 7 Jun 21 – Jul 13 1 in 33
4 Atlanta Dream 5 Jul 16 – Jul 28 1 in 19
5 Connecticut Sun 4 Jul 15 – Jul 26 1 in 17

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tulsa Shock 20 Jun 21 – Aug 25 1 in 183
2 San Antonio Silver Stars 6 Aug 14 – Aug 28 1 in 31
3 New York Liberty 4 Jun 11 – Jun 21 1 in 25
4 Washington Mystics 9 Aug 13 – Aug 30 1 in 21
5 Indiana Fever 3 Jul 15 – Jul 19 1 in 14

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team123456
Indiana Fever48.99%25.38%14.13%7.81%3.26%0.43%
Connecticut Sun22.72%25.95%22.68%16.77%9.62%2.26%
New York Liberty14.50%22.25%24.12%21.42%14.11%3.60%
Atlanta Dream10.46%17.66%23.12%25.08%18.31%5.37%
Chicago Sky3.17%8.16%13.69%23.19%36.79%15.00%
Washington Mystics0.16%0.60%2.26%5.73%17.91%73.34%
Team123456
Minnesota Lynx45.44%28.59%15.94%7.41%2.61%0.01%
Seattle Storm29.67%30.10%22.12%12.74%5.35%0.02%
Phoenix Mercury16.62%23.78%27.62%21.59%10.28%0.11%
San Antonio Silver Stars6.55%12.72%22.53%32.19%25.54%0.47%
Los Angeles Sparks1.72%4.81%11.76%25.91%53.82%1.98%
Tulsa Shock0.03%0.16%2.40%97.41%
Team123456789101112
Minnesota Lynx28.93%21.18%15.26%11.66%8.66%5.96%3.84%2.30%1.45%0.66%0.10%
Indiana Fever22.20%19.18%15.94%12.43%10.15%7.21%5.50%3.67%2.54%0.93%0.25%
Seattle Storm18.27%16.96%15.56%13.85%10.74%8.16%7.07%4.40%3.05%1.47%0.46%0.01%
Phoenix Mercury9.52%11.12%12.85%12.60%12.94%11.84%10.48%8.42%5.82%3.31%1.05%0.05%
Connecticut Sun8.59%11.20%11.63%12.36%12.39%11.75%10.70%8.73%7.02%4.16%1.41%0.06%
New York Liberty4.63%7.44%8.92%11.07%11.77%13.18%11.42%12.13%10.06%6.66%2.52%0.20%
Atlanta Dream3.18%5.24%7.15%9.10%10.78%12.57%13.05%13.54%12.46%8.97%3.73%0.23%
San Antonio Silver Stars3.23%4.90%7.40%8.76%10.56%11.91%13.66%13.49%12.59%9.85%3.41%0.24%
Chicago Sky0.73%1.46%2.73%3.91%5.70%8.14%11.18%14.69%18.13%21.24%10.97%1.12%
Los Angeles Sparks0.71%1.28%2.48%3.97%5.64%7.92%10.80%14.51%18.49%22.30%10.57%1.33%
Washington Mystics0.01%0.04%0.08%0.29%0.67%1.35%2.27%3.95%8.10%18.56%53.72%10.96%
Tulsa Shock0.01%0.03%0.17%0.29%1.89%11.81%85.80%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Indiana Fever48.99%25.38%14.13%7.81%3.69%
Connecticut Sun22.72%25.95%22.68%16.77%11.88%
New York Liberty14.50%22.25%24.12%21.42%17.71%
Atlanta Dream10.46%17.66%23.12%25.08%23.68%
Chicago Sky3.17%8.16%13.69%23.19%51.79%
Washington Mystics0.16%0.60%2.26%5.73%91.25%
Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Minnesota Lynx45.44%28.59%15.94%7.41%2.62%
Seattle Storm29.67%30.10%22.12%12.74%5.37%
Phoenix Mercury16.62%23.78%27.62%21.59%10.39%
San Antonio Silver Stars6.55%12.72%22.53%32.19%26.01%
Los Angeles Sparks1.72%4.81%11.76%25.91%55.80%
Tulsa Shock0.03%0.16%99.81%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals
Minnesota Lynx 97.38% 77.26% 56.09% 39.10%
Atlanta Dream 76.32% 45.28% 26.49% 12.32%
Connecticut Sun 88.12% 50.25% 26.98% 11.17%
Seattle Storm 94.63% 52.08% 21.51% 10.91%
Indiana Fever 96.31% 52.26% 25.30% 9.51%
New York Liberty 82.29% 39.23% 18.06% 6.64%
Phoenix Mercury 89.61% 36.70% 12.91% 5.80%
San Antonio Silver Stars 73.99% 26.03% 7.94% 3.54%
Chicago Sky 48.21% 12.22% 3.10% 0.54%
Los Angeles Sparks 44.20% 7.93% 1.55% 0.47%
Tulsa Shock 0.19%
Washington Mystics 8.75% 0.76% 0.07%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream6.10%12.28%14.62%11.16%1.12%
Chicago Sky1.58%2.95%4.72%2.75%0.22%
Connecticut Sun10.64%9.82%12.53%15.33%1.93%
Indiana Fever10.89%13.39%10.92%13.68%3.38%
New York Liberty7.86%6.65%11.55%11.83%1.34%
Washington Mystics0.07%0.03%0.17%0.35%0.14%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks1.18%2.50%1.24%3.01%
Minnesota Lynx15.90%23.88%21.22%16.19%0.07%
Phoenix Mercury6.50%6.62%9.75%13.76%0.07%
San Antonio Silver Stars2.78%5.18%8.48%9.59%
Seattle Storm11.09%7.14%18.05%15.75%0.05%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream2.19%8.10%9.35%6.72%0.13%
Chicago Sky0.63%0.96%0.84%0.63%0.04%
Connecticut Sun7.18%2.64%10.32%6.67%0.17%
Indiana Fever6.41%2.32%9.30%7.13%0.14%
New York Liberty4.54%1.97%4.91%6.43%0.21%
Washington Mystics0.03%0.02%0.02%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Los Angeles Sparks0.58%0.33%0.20%0.44%
Minnesota Lynx3.95%16.40%11.73%24.01%
Phoenix Mercury0.84%5.72%2.45%3.90%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.37%3.36%1.99%2.22%
Seattle Storm1.22%11.51%5.07%3.71%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream0.34%5.56%1.81%1.27%3.34%
Chicago Sky0.13%0.13%0.10%0.18%
Connecticut Sun0.26%4.68%2.00%1.37%2.86%
Indiana Fever0.29%3.84%1.92%0.88%2.58%
Los Angeles Sparks0.08%0.02%0.16%0.13%0.08%
Minnesota Lynx9.67%1.58%10.31%10.10%7.39%0.05%
New York Liberty0.19%2.78%1.25%0.78%1.64%
Phoenix Mercury1.30%0.25%1.42%1.59%1.23%0.01%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.76%0.23%0.88%0.91%0.75%0.01%
Seattle Storm2.36%0.48%3.04%3.06%1.97%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals Actual Outcome
Minnesota Lynx 81.86% 60.84% 42.02% Won Finals
Atlanta Dream 48.68% 29.14% 12.72% Eliminated in Finals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York Liberty
Atlanta Dream48.68%
Connecticut Sun51.32%
Indiana Fever56.40%
New York Liberty43.60%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Minnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Minnesota Lynx81.86%
Phoenix Mercury36.54%
San Antonio Silver Stars18.14%
Seattle Storm63.46%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York Liberty
Atlanta Dream15.54%13.60%
Connecticut Sun14.68%12.82%
Indiana Fever11.89%14.29%
New York Liberty7.65%9.53%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Minnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Minnesota Lynx22.85%37.99%
Phoenix Mercury7.21%3.47%
San Antonio Silver Stars3.01%4.60%
Seattle Storm13.81%7.06%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamConnecticut SunIndiana FeverMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Atlanta Dream6.39%2.04%1.23%3.06%
Connecticut Sun5.05%1.82%1.25%3.08%
Indiana Fever4.40%1.36%1.10%2.41%
Minnesota Lynx11.70%11.39%11.48%7.45%
New York Liberty2.98%0.86%0.69%1.47%
Phoenix Mercury1.14%1.16%1.15%1.15%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.82%0.83%1.07%0.62%
Seattle Storm2.76%2.92%3.21%1.96%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Minnesota Lynx 42.02% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. San Antonio Silver Stars
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
81.86%
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
62.44%
Win Prob
73.34%
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
27.84%
Win Prob
64.68%
Atlanta Dream 12.72% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
48.68%
Semifinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
53.33%
Win Prob
56.65%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
50.24%
Win Prob
35.32%
Connecticut Sun 11.20% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
51.32%
Semifinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
53.38%
Win Prob
50.67%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
45.09%
Win Prob
30.72%
Seattle Storm 10.85% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
63.46%
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
66.17%
Win Prob
26.66%
Finals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
29.59%
Win Prob
57.12%
Indiana Fever 9.27% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
56.40%
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
54.58%
Win Prob
49.33%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
47.46%
Win Prob
27.71%
New York Liberty 6.00% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
43.60%
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
55.47%
Win Prob
42.64%
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
49.67%
Win Prob
28.57%
Phoenix Mercury 4.60% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
36.54%
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
67.51%
Win Prob
23.99%
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
25.22%
Win Prob
38.93%
San Antonio Silver Stars 3.34% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
18.14%
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
60.45%
Win Prob
39.45%
Finals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
32.04%
Win Prob
49.31%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2011-06-05 New York Liberty L 88-94 1531.51 1538.29 60.84% 39.16% -16.89 0-1
2011-06-09 Washington Mystics L 90-98 1514.62 1504.18 63.17% 36.83% -20.24 0-2
2011-06-11 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 74-86 1494.38 1508.08 36.39% 63.61% -14.29 0-3
2011-06-14 @ New York Liberty W 79-58 1480.09 1543.83 30.02% 69.98% +36.34 1-3
2011-06-17 @ Minnesota Lynx L 85-96 1516.43 1512.52 38.77% 61.23% -14.57 1-4
2011-06-19 Minnesota Lynx L 64-77 1501.86 1527.08 58.28% 41.72% -23.81 1-5
2011-06-21 Chicago Sky W 71-68 1478.05 1497.18 59.13% 40.87% +8.02 2-5
2011-06-24 Phoenix Mercury L 83-92 1486.07 1502.03 59.57% 40.43% -20.25 2-6
2011-06-26 San Antonio Silver Stars L 86-92 1465.82 1524.89 53.48% 46.52% -14.84 2-7
2011-06-30 New York Liberty W 87-81 1450.98 1514.20 52.89% 47.11% +13.08 3-7
2011-07-09 @ Chicago Sky L 69-81 1464.06 1466.74 37.87% 62.13% -14.87 3-8
2011-07-13 @ New York Liberty L 69-91 1449.19 1536.63 27.23% 72.77% -14.47 3-9
2011-07-16 Chicago Sky W 76-68 1434.72 1480.60 55.37% 44.63% +14.30 4-9
2011-07-19 Indiana Fever W 84-74 1449.02 1577.75 43.50% 56.50% +20.25 5-9
2011-07-20 @ Washington Mystics W 86-79 1469.27 1417.14 45.52% 54.48% +16.33 6-9
2011-07-26 @ Tulsa Shock W 76-68 1485.60 1267.13 68.52% 31.48% +10.08 7-9
2011-07-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 89-80 1495.68 1444.93 68.39% 31.61% +10.75 8-9
2011-07-31 @ Connecticut Sun L 92-99 1506.43 1554.43 31.95% 68.05% -9.58 8-10
2011-08-02 New York Liberty L 75-85 1496.85 1513.42 59.49% 40.51% -21.32 8-11
2011-08-07 Seattle Storm W 70-53 1475.53 1588.66 45.72% 54.28% +25.36 9-11
2011-08-09 @ Washington Mystics W 72-70 1500.89 1400.27 52.49% 47.51% +7.61 10-11
2011-08-11 @ Phoenix Mercury L 95-109 1508.50 1559.38 31.60% 68.40% -13.39 10-12
2011-08-13 @ Seattle Storm W 92-63 1495.11 1559.74 29.91% 70.09% +42.76 11-12
2011-08-16 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 84-79 1537.87 1428.51 53.74% 46.26% +11.72 12-12
2011-08-19 Connecticut Sun W 94-88 1549.59 1587.39 56.51% 43.49% +12.07 13-12
2011-08-21 @ Connecticut Sun L 87-96 1561.66 1575.32 36.40% 63.60% -12.37 13-13
2011-08-23 @ Chicago Sky W 83-80 1549.29 1488.84 46.71% 53.29% +10.46 14-13
2011-08-27 @ Indiana Fever W 86-80 1559.75 1611.64 31.47% 68.53% +19.02 15-13
2011-08-30 Indiana Fever W 92-90 1578.77 1592.62 59.86% 40.14% +6.43 16-13
2011-09-01 @ Washington Mystics L 81-85 1585.20 1326.05 73.35% 26.65% -16.62 16-14
2011-09-02 Washington Mystics W 95-73 1568.58 1342.67 85.57% 14.43% +7.67 17-14
2011-09-04 Tulsa Shock W 73-52 1576.25 1226.10 92.38% 7.62% +3.95 18-14
2011-09-06 Connecticut Sun W 85-74 1580.20 1587.49 60.77% 39.23% +14.75 19-14
2011-09-11 @ Indiana Fever W 93-88 1594.95 1568.24 41.93% 58.07% +14.71 20-14
2011-06-04 @ Indiana Fever L 57-65 1477.64 1531.98 31.17% 68.83% -9.99 0-1
2011-06-10 Connecticut Sun W 78-75 1467.65 1519.02 54.58% 45.42% +8.91 1-1
2011-06-11 @ Washington Mystics W 84-77 1476.56 1524.42 31.97% 68.03% +20.40 2-1
2011-06-17 New York Liberty W 85-73 1496.96 1507.50 60.32% 39.68% +15.57 3-1
2011-06-19 @ Connecticut Sun L 68-83 1512.53 1536.92 34.98% 65.02% -15.35 3-2
2011-06-21 @ Atlanta Dream L 68-71 1497.18 1478.05 40.87% 59.13% -8.02 3-3
2011-06-23 Connecticut Sun W 107-101 1489.16 1552.27 52.90% 47.10% +13.07 4-3
2011-06-25 Phoenix Mercury L 78-86 1502.23 1522.28 59.00% 41.00% -18.91 4-4
2011-06-28 San Antonio Silver Stars L 74-84 1483.32 1539.74 53.86% 46.14% -19.30 4-5
2011-07-01 @ Phoenix Mercury L 84-97 1464.02 1532.47 29.45% 70.55% -12.03 4-6
2011-07-05 Washington Mystics W 78-65 1451.99 1436.07 63.90% 36.10% +14.75 5-6
2011-07-09 Atlanta Dream W 81-69 1466.74 1464.06 62.13% 37.87% +14.86 6-6
2011-07-10 @ New York Liberty L 73-80 1481.60 1526.95 32.29% 67.71% -9.68 6-7
2011-07-13 Tulsa Shock W 72-54 1471.92 1292.40 81.95% 18.05% +8.68 7-7
2011-07-16 @ Atlanta Dream L 68-76 1480.60 1434.72 44.63% 55.37% -14.30 7-8
2011-07-19 Seattle Storm W 78-69 1466.30 1558.12 48.77% 51.23% +17.41 8-8
2011-07-21 @ Indiana Fever L 63-77 1483.71 1557.51 28.82% 71.18% -12.22 8-9
2011-07-26 Connecticut Sun L 66-77 1471.49 1559.53 49.32% 50.68% -18.53 8-10
2011-07-28 @ Tulsa Shock W 64-55 1452.96 1257.05 65.66% 34.34% +11.67 9-10
2011-07-30 Los Angeles Sparks L 84-88 1464.63 1434.18 65.81% 34.19% -14.91 9-11
2011-08-04 @ New York Liberty L 49-59 1449.72 1534.73 27.51% 72.49% -9.86 9-12
2011-08-07 Indiana Fever W 88-69 1439.86 1620.37 36.37% 63.63% +31.43 10-12
2011-08-09 @ Connecticut Sun L 58-69 1471.29 1579.42 24.94% 75.06% -9.37 10-13
2011-08-12 Minnesota Lynx L 76-79 1461.92 1650.80 35.26% 64.74% -6.92 10-14
2011-08-14 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 85-73 1455.00 1543.36 27.13% 72.87% +28.60 11-14
2011-08-20 @ Washington Mystics W 71-70 1483.60 1374.38 53.72% 46.28% +5.24 12-14
2011-08-23 Atlanta Dream L 80-83 1488.84 1549.29 53.29% 46.71% -10.45 12-15
2011-08-26 Washington Mystics W 80-67 1478.39 1348.62 77.32% 22.68% +9.26 13-15
2011-08-28 New York Liberty W 74-73 1487.65 1537.71 54.77% 45.23% +5.13 14-15
2011-08-30 @ New York Liberty L 67-71 1492.78 1532.59 32.99% 67.01% -7.48 14-16
2011-09-04 Indiana Fever L 80-88 1485.30 1559.59 51.30% 48.70% -16.44 14-17
2011-09-08 @ Minnesota Lynx L 69-78 1468.86 1667.90 16.45% 83.55% -5.59 14-18
2011-09-10 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 67-74 1463.27 1413.25 45.22% 54.78% -13.55 14-19
2011-09-11 @ Seattle Storm L 70-81 1449.72 1566.66 24.00% 76.00% -9.02 14-20
2011-06-04 Washington Mystics W 89-73 1500.27 1522.92 58.64% 41.36% +18.75 1-0
2011-06-10 @ Chicago Sky L 75-78 1519.02 1467.65 45.42% 54.58% -8.92 1-1
2011-06-12 Tulsa Shock W 90-79 1510.10 1355.84 79.70% 20.30% +7.63 2-1
2011-06-16 @ Washington Mystics W 79-71 1517.73 1504.03 40.11% 59.89% +19.19 3-1
2011-06-19 Chicago Sky W 83-68 1536.92 1512.53 65.02% 34.98% +15.35 4-1
2011-06-23 @ Chicago Sky L 101-107 1552.27 1489.16 47.10% 52.90% -13.07 4-2
2011-06-25 @ Indiana Fever L 70-75 1539.20 1548.85 36.93% 63.07% -9.36 4-3
2011-06-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 79-76 1529.84 1490.15 67.00% 33.00% +6.48 5-3
2011-07-01 Seattle Storm W 75-70 1536.32 1571.16 56.93% 43.07% +10.91 6-3
2011-07-09 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-90 1547.23 1547.35 38.22% 61.78% -20.76 6-4
2011-07-13 @ Indiana Fever L 78-90 1526.47 1603.18 28.47% 71.53% -11.18 6-5
2011-07-15 @ New York Liberty W 68-59 1515.29 1551.10 33.50% 66.50% +22.60 7-5
2011-07-17 Indiana Fever W 76-71 1537.89 1589.25 54.59% 45.41% +11.51 8-5
2011-07-19 New York Liberty W 85-79 1549.40 1536.43 63.51% 36.49% +10.13 9-5
2011-07-26 @ Chicago Sky W 77-66 1559.53 1471.49 50.68% 49.32% +18.53 10-5
2011-07-28 Indiana Fever L 58-69 1578.06 1569.72 62.89% 37.11% -23.63 10-6
2011-07-31 Atlanta Dream W 99-92 1554.43 1506.43 68.05% 31.95% +9.58 11-6
2011-08-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 79-70 1564.01 1435.19 56.51% 43.49% +14.78 12-6
2011-08-05 @ Seattle Storm L 79-81 1578.79 1582.61 37.72% 62.28% -6.05 12-7
2011-08-07 @ Phoenix Mercury W 96-95 1572.74 1552.07 41.08% 58.92% +6.68 13-7
2011-08-09 Chicago Sky W 69-58 1579.42 1471.29 75.06% 24.94% +9.37 14-7
2011-08-11 San Antonio Silver Stars L 59-72 1588.79 1514.25 71.27% 28.73% -29.12 14-8
2011-08-13 Washington Mystics W 82-75 1559.67 1399.19 80.27% 19.73% +5.92 15-8
2011-08-16 Minnesota Lynx W 108-79 1565.59 1660.51 48.33% 51.67% +31.52 16-8
2011-08-18 @ New York Liberty L 81-84 1597.11 1517.01 49.54% 50.46% -9.72 16-9
2011-08-19 @ Atlanta Dream L 88-94 1587.39 1549.59 43.49% 56.51% -12.07 16-10
2011-08-21 Atlanta Dream W 96-87 1575.32 1561.66 63.60% 36.40% +12.37 17-10
2011-08-26 Phoenix Mercury W 95-92 1587.69 1559.08 65.57% 34.43% +6.76 18-10
2011-08-28 @ Tulsa Shock L 72-83 1594.45 1211.63 84.87% 15.13% -31.89 18-11
2011-08-30 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 66-78 1562.56 1466.57 51.82% 48.18% -20.34 18-12
2011-09-02 Indiana Fever W 83-55 1542.22 1586.19 55.64% 44.36% +26.60 19-12
2011-09-04 @ Washington Mystics W 79-48 1568.82 1335.00 70.40% 29.60% +18.67 20-12
2011-09-06 @ Atlanta Dream L 74-85 1587.49 1580.20 39.23% 60.77% -14.74 20-13
2011-09-11 New York Liberty W 69-63 1572.75 1563.99 62.95% 37.05% +10.28 21-13
2011-06-04 Chicago Sky W 65-57 1531.98 1477.64 68.83% 31.17% +9.99 1-0
2011-06-10 New York Liberty L 80-81 1541.97 1555.17 59.95% 40.05% -6.80 1-1
2011-06-11 @ New York Liberty W 86-80 1535.17 1561.96 34.67% 65.33% +18.14 2-1
2011-06-14 Tulsa Shock W 82-74 1553.31 1348.21 84.03% 15.97% +5.12 3-1
2011-06-17 @ Seattle Storm L 54-68 1558.43 1561.29 37.85% 62.15% -16.05 3-2
2011-06-19 @ Phoenix Mercury L 89-93 1542.38 1470.61 48.34% 51.66% -10.95 3-3
2011-06-21 @ Washington Mystics W 89-80 1531.43 1456.80 48.75% 51.25% +17.42 4-3
2011-06-25 Connecticut Sun W 75-70 1548.85 1539.20 63.07% 36.93% +9.35 5-3
2011-06-26 @ Minnesota Lynx W 78-75 1558.20 1537.53 41.08% 58.92% +11.57 6-3
2011-06-28 Phoenix Mercury W 91-86 1569.77 1541.19 65.57% 34.43% +8.72 7-3
2011-07-05 Seattle Storm W 78-61 1578.49 1576.92 61.98% 38.02% +17.76 8-3
2011-07-09 Washington Mystics W 68-57 1596.25 1421.33 81.56% 18.44% +6.93 9-3
2011-07-13 Connecticut Sun W 90-78 1603.18 1526.47 71.53% 28.47% +11.18 10-3
2011-07-15 Minnesota Lynx L 70-80 1614.36 1549.95 70.06% 29.94% -25.11 10-4
2011-07-17 @ Connecticut Sun L 71-76 1589.25 1537.89 45.41% 54.59% -11.50 10-5
2011-07-19 @ Atlanta Dream L 74-84 1577.75 1449.02 56.50% 43.50% -20.24 10-6
2011-07-21 Chicago Sky W 77-63 1557.51 1483.71 71.18% 28.82% +12.21 11-6
2011-07-28 @ Connecticut Sun W 69-58 1569.72 1578.06 37.11% 62.89% +23.63 12-6
2011-07-29 @ Washington Mystics W 61-59 1593.35 1383.36 67.46% 32.54% +5.22 13-6
2011-07-31 Los Angeles Sparks W 98-63 1598.57 1449.10 79.25% 20.75% +13.91 14-6
2011-08-05 @ Tulsa Shock W 85-65 1612.48 1235.53 84.43% 15.57% +7.89 15-6
2011-08-07 @ Chicago Sky L 69-88 1620.37 1439.86 63.63% 36.37% -31.43 15-7
2011-08-09 San Antonio Silver Stars W 81-68 1588.94 1526.58 69.82% 30.18% +12.33 16-7
2011-08-13 New York Liberty W 82-71 1601.27 1522.97 71.71% 28.29% +10.63 17-7
2011-08-16 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 65-63 1611.90 1514.76 51.99% 48.01% +7.69 18-7
2011-08-18 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 70-75 1619.59 1416.79 66.55% 33.45% -16.86 18-8
2011-08-21 Washington Mystics W 83-51 1602.73 1369.13 86.11% 13.89% +8.91 19-8
2011-08-27 Atlanta Dream L 80-86 1611.64 1559.75 68.53% 31.47% -19.02 19-9
2011-08-30 @ Atlanta Dream L 90-92 1592.62 1578.77 40.14% 59.86% -6.43 19-10
2011-09-02 @ Connecticut Sun L 55-83 1586.19 1542.22 44.36% 55.64% -26.60 19-11
2011-09-04 @ Chicago Sky W 88-80 1559.59 1485.30 48.70% 51.30% +16.44 20-11
2011-09-07 Washington Mystics W 87-69 1576.03 1316.33 87.81% 12.19% +5.86 21-11
2011-09-09 @ New York Liberty L 75-83 1581.89 1550.34 42.61% 57.39% -13.65 21-12
2011-09-11 Atlanta Dream L 88-93 1568.24 1594.95 58.07% 41.93% -14.72 21-13
2011-06-03 Minnesota Lynx W 82-74 1468.39 1474.02 61.00% 39.00% +12.50 1-0
2011-06-05 @ Minnesota Lynx L 69-86 1480.89 1461.52 40.90% 59.10% -19.11 1-1
2011-06-10 Phoenix Mercury W 98-84 1461.78 1497.89 56.75% 43.25% +18.34 2-1
2011-06-19 Seattle Storm W 74-50 1480.12 1577.34 48.00% 52.00% +28.86 3-1
2011-06-21 New York Liberty W 96-91 1508.98 1491.92 64.06% 35.94% +9.11 4-1
2011-06-24 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 80-90 1518.09 1510.84 39.23% 60.77% -14.06 4-2
2011-06-26 @ New York Liberty L 67-77 1504.03 1500.32 38.74% 61.26% -13.88 4-3
2011-06-28 @ Connecticut Sun L 76-79 1490.15 1529.84 33.00% 67.00% -6.47 4-4
2011-07-05 @ Phoenix Mercury L 82-101 1483.68 1544.50 30.37% 69.63% -15.00 4-5
2011-07-09 @ Seattle Storm L 80-99 1468.68 1559.15 26.89% 73.11% -13.28 4-6
2011-07-12 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 84-74 1455.40 1533.21 28.34% 71.66% +25.67 5-6
2011-07-15 @ Tulsa Shock W 79-74 1481.07 1283.72 65.85% 34.15% +8.66 6-6
2011-07-17 Washington Mystics L 85-89 1489.73 1400.61 72.96% 27.04% -16.54 6-7
2011-07-18 San Antonio Silver Stars L 69-79 1473.19 1517.01 55.66% 44.34% -19.94 6-8
2011-07-26 @ Minnesota Lynx L 72-85 1453.25 1606.76 20.37% 79.63% -8.32 6-9
2011-07-28 @ Atlanta Dream L 80-89 1444.93 1495.68 31.61% 68.39% -10.75 6-10
2011-07-30 @ Chicago Sky W 88-84 1434.18 1464.63 34.19% 65.81% +14.92 7-10
2011-07-31 @ Indiana Fever L 63-98 1449.10 1598.57 20.75% 79.25% -13.91 7-11
2011-08-03 Connecticut Sun L 70-79 1435.19 1564.01 43.49% 56.51% -14.78 7-12
2011-08-07 Minnesota Lynx L 78-84 1420.41 1656.65 29.31% 70.69% -8.14 7-13
2011-08-09 Tulsa Shock W 71-66 1412.27 1224.39 82.65% 17.35% +4.40 8-13
2011-08-12 Phoenix Mercury W 93-90 1416.67 1572.77 39.67% 60.33% +11.84 9-13
2011-08-16 Atlanta Dream L 79-84 1428.51 1537.87 46.26% 53.74% -11.72 9-14
2011-08-18 Indiana Fever W 75-70 1416.79 1619.59 33.45% 66.55% +16.86 10-14
2011-08-20 @ Minnesota Lynx L 68-87 1433.65 1643.22 15.63% 84.37% -7.72 10-15
2011-08-21 @ Tulsa Shock W 73-67 1425.93 1213.73 67.74% 32.26% +8.95 11-15
2011-08-23 @ Washington Mystics W 86-82 1434.88 1360.23 48.75% 51.25% +11.61 12-15
2011-08-26 Tulsa Shock L 75-77 1446.49 1197.67 87.12% 12.88% -13.96 12-16
2011-08-28 @ Seattle Storm L 63-65 1432.53 1531.87 25.90% 74.10% -4.15 12-17
2011-08-30 Seattle Storm W 68-62 1428.38 1536.02 46.50% 53.50% +14.85 13-17
2011-09-03 @ Phoenix Mercury L 77-93 1443.23 1548.65 25.23% 74.77% -11.43 13-18
2011-09-06 San Antonio Silver Stars L 65-82 1431.80 1489.82 53.63% 46.37% -25.06 13-19
2011-09-09 Tulsa Shock W 84-73 1406.74 1218.57 82.67% 17.33% +6.51 14-19
2011-09-10 Chicago Sky W 74-67 1413.25 1463.27 54.78% 45.22% +13.56 15-19
2011-06-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 74-82 1474.02 1468.39 39.00% 61.00% -12.50 0-1
2011-06-05 Los Angeles Sparks W 86-69 1461.52 1480.89 59.10% 40.90% +19.10 1-1
2011-06-07 Tulsa Shock W 75-65 1480.62 1396.63 72.37% 27.63% +9.90 2-1
2011-06-09 @ Seattle Storm W 81-74 1490.52 1583.29 26.63% 73.37% +22.00 3-1
2011-06-17 Atlanta Dream W 96-85 1512.52 1516.43 61.23% 38.77% +14.56 4-1
2011-06-19 @ Atlanta Dream W 77-64 1527.08 1501.86 41.72% 58.28% +23.81 5-1
2011-06-24 @ Seattle Storm L 55-65 1550.89 1557.79 37.30% 62.70% -13.36 5-2
2011-06-26 Indiana Fever L 75-78 1537.53 1558.20 58.92% 41.08% -11.56 5-3
2011-06-30 @ Tulsa Shock W 101-71 1525.97 1330.94 65.54% 34.46% +21.38 6-3
2011-07-09 Connecticut Sun W 90-67 1547.35 1547.23 61.78% 38.22% +20.77 7-3
2011-07-13 Phoenix Mercury L 105-112 1568.12 1576.66 60.60% 39.40% -18.17 7-4
2011-07-15 @ Indiana Fever W 80-70 1549.95 1614.36 29.94% 70.06% +25.10 8-4
2011-07-16 Seattle Storm W 69-62 1575.05 1569.35 62.54% 37.46% +11.23 9-4
2011-07-20 @ Phoenix Mercury W 106-98 1586.28 1602.21 36.09% 63.91% +20.48 10-4
2011-07-26 Los Angeles Sparks W 85-72 1606.76 1453.25 79.63% 20.37% +8.32 11-4
2011-07-29 Seattle Storm W 92-67 1615.08 1576.84 66.81% 33.19% +18.81 12-4
2011-07-31 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 70-69 1633.89 1547.37 50.46% 49.54% +5.61 13-4
2011-08-02 Phoenix Mercury W 90-73 1639.50 1565.53 71.21% 28.79% +13.45 14-4
2011-08-04 San Antonio Silver Stars W 62-60 1652.95 1527.03 76.93% 23.07% +3.70 15-4
2011-08-07 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 84-78 1656.65 1420.41 70.69% 29.31% +8.13 16-4
2011-08-09 @ Phoenix Mercury L 80-85 1664.78 1545.40 55.17% 44.83% -13.98 16-5
2011-08-12 @ Chicago Sky W 79-76 1650.80 1461.92 64.74% 35.26% +6.92 17-5
2011-08-14 Tulsa Shock W 82-54 1657.72 1216.52 95.34% 4.66% +2.79 18-5
2011-08-16 @ Connecticut Sun L 79-108 1660.51 1565.59 51.67% 48.33% -31.52 18-6
2011-08-18 @ Washington Mystics W 81-62 1628.99 1388.61 71.18% 28.82% +14.23 19-6
2011-08-20 Los Angeles Sparks W 87-68 1643.22 1433.65 84.37% 15.63% +7.72 20-6
2011-08-23 @ Tulsa Shock W 78-72 1650.94 1204.77 88.98% 11.02% +3.06 21-6
2011-08-26 San Antonio Silver Stars W 85-75 1654.00 1487.09 80.85% 19.15% +6.86 22-6
2011-08-28 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 72-61 1660.86 1480.23 63.65% 36.35% +13.66 23-6
2011-08-30 Washington Mystics W 73-56 1674.52 1329.71 92.16% 7.84% +3.66 24-6
2011-09-02 New York Liberty L 62-78 1678.18 1540.06 78.15% 21.85% -35.42 24-7
2011-09-04 @ New York Liberty W 86-68 1642.76 1575.48 47.69% 52.31% +25.14 25-7
2011-09-08 Chicago Sky W 78-69 1667.90 1468.86 83.55% 16.45% +5.59 26-7
2011-09-11 @ Phoenix Mercury W 96-90 1673.49 1545.99 56.33% 43.67% +12.12 27-7
2011-06-05 @ Atlanta Dream W 94-88 1538.29 1531.51 39.16% 60.84% +16.88 1-0
2011-06-10 @ Indiana Fever W 81-80 1555.17 1541.97 40.05% 59.95% +6.79 2-0
2011-06-11 Indiana Fever L 80-86 1561.96 1535.17 65.33% 34.67% -18.13 2-1
2011-06-14 Atlanta Dream L 58-79 1543.83 1480.09 69.98% 30.02% -36.33 2-2
2011-06-17 @ Chicago Sky L 73-85 1507.50 1496.96 39.68% 60.32% -15.58 2-3
2011-06-21 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 91-96 1491.92 1508.98 35.94% 64.06% -9.10 2-4
2011-06-23 @ Tulsa Shock W 94-82 1482.82 1361.81 55.40% 44.60% +17.50 3-4
2011-06-26 Los Angeles Sparks W 77-67 1500.32 1504.03 61.26% 38.74% +13.88 4-4
2011-06-30 @ Atlanta Dream L 81-87 1514.20 1450.98 47.11% 52.89% -13.08 4-5
2011-07-01 San Antonio Silver Stars W 81-75 1501.12 1559.03 53.65% 46.35% +12.87 5-5
2011-07-08 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 76-73 1513.99 1546.17 33.97% 66.03% +12.96 6-5
2011-07-10 Chicago Sky W 80-73 1526.95 1481.60 67.71% 32.29% +9.68 7-5
2011-07-13 Atlanta Dream W 91-69 1536.63 1449.19 72.77% 27.23% +14.47 8-5
2011-07-15 Connecticut Sun L 59-68 1551.10 1515.29 66.50% 33.50% -22.61 8-6
2011-07-17 Tulsa Shock W 88-57 1528.49 1275.07 87.42% 12.58% +7.94 9-6
2011-07-19 @ Connecticut Sun L 79-85 1536.43 1549.40 36.49% 63.51% -10.13 9-7
2011-07-28 Washington Mystics W 75-71 1526.30 1388.32 78.14% 21.86% +4.96 10-7
2011-07-30 Phoenix Mercury L 84-91 1531.26 1547.69 59.51% 40.49% -17.84 10-8
2011-08-02 @ Atlanta Dream W 85-75 1513.42 1496.85 40.51% 59.49% +21.31 11-8
2011-08-04 Chicago Sky W 59-49 1534.73 1449.72 72.49% 27.51% +9.86 12-8
2011-08-06 @ Washington Mystics L 81-91 1544.59 1378.15 61.74% 38.26% -22.12 12-9
2011-08-09 Seattle Storm W 58-56 1522.47 1563.30 56.08% 43.92% +7.04 13-9
2011-08-12 @ Washington Mystics L 63-64 1529.51 1392.66 57.64% 42.36% -6.54 13-10
2011-08-13 @ Indiana Fever L 71-82 1522.97 1601.27 28.29% 71.71% -10.62 13-11
2011-08-16 Washington Mystics W 69-66 1512.35 1393.28 76.22% 23.78% +4.66 14-11
2011-08-18 Connecticut Sun W 84-81 1517.01 1597.11 50.46% 49.54% +9.72 15-11
2011-08-20 @ Seattle Storm L 62-63 1526.73 1511.77 40.29% 59.71% -4.56 15-12
2011-08-23 @ Phoenix Mercury W 74-70 1522.17 1574.62 31.40% 68.60% +15.54 16-12
2011-08-28 @ Chicago Sky L 73-74 1537.71 1487.65 45.23% 54.77% -5.12 16-13
2011-08-30 Chicago Sky W 71-67 1532.59 1492.78 67.01% 32.99% +7.47 17-13
2011-09-02 @ Minnesota Lynx W 78-62 1540.06 1678.18 21.85% 78.15% +35.42 18-13
2011-09-04 Minnesota Lynx L 68-86 1575.48 1642.76 52.31% 47.69% -25.14 18-14
2011-09-09 Indiana Fever W 83-75 1550.34 1581.89 57.39% 42.61% +13.65 19-14
2011-09-11 @ Connecticut Sun L 63-69 1563.99 1572.75 37.05% 62.95% -10.28 19-15
2011-06-04 @ Seattle Storm L 71-78 1506.75 1574.43 29.54% 70.46% -8.86 0-1
2011-06-10 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 84-98 1497.89 1461.78 43.25% 56.75% -18.33 0-2
2011-06-17 San Antonio Silver Stars L 99-101 1479.56 1522.36 55.80% 44.20% -8.95 0-3
2011-06-19 Indiana Fever W 93-89 1470.61 1542.38 51.66% 48.34% +10.96 1-3
2011-06-21 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 105-98 1481.57 1531.30 31.74% 68.26% +20.46 2-3
2011-06-24 @ Atlanta Dream W 92-83 1502.03 1486.07 40.43% 59.57% +20.25 3-3
2011-06-25 @ Chicago Sky W 86-78 1522.28 1502.23 41.00% 59.00% +18.91 4-3
2011-06-28 @ Indiana Fever L 86-91 1541.19 1569.77 34.43% 65.57% -8.72 4-4
2011-07-01 Chicago Sky W 97-84 1532.47 1464.02 70.55% 29.45% +12.03 5-4
2011-07-05 Los Angeles Sparks W 101-82 1544.50 1483.68 69.63% 30.37% +15.00 6-4
2011-07-08 @ Tulsa Shock W 86-78 1559.50 1309.56 72.30% 27.70% +8.87 7-4
2011-07-10 Tulsa Shock W 102-63 1568.37 1300.68 88.29% 11.71% +8.29 8-4
2011-07-13 @ Minnesota Lynx W 112-105 1576.66 1568.12 39.40% 60.60% +18.16 9-4
2011-07-15 Washington Mystics W 78-64 1594.82 1408.00 82.56% 17.44% +7.39 10-4
2011-07-20 Minnesota Lynx L 98-106 1602.21 1586.28 63.91% 36.09% -20.48 10-5
2011-07-26 Seattle Storm L 77-83 1581.73 1558.85 64.82% 35.18% -17.99 10-6
2011-07-28 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 91-102 1563.74 1531.31 42.73% 57.27% -16.05 10-7
2011-07-30 @ New York Liberty W 91-84 1547.69 1531.26 40.49% 59.51% +17.84 11-7
2011-08-02 @ Minnesota Lynx L 73-90 1565.53 1639.50 28.79% 71.21% -13.46 11-8
2011-08-07 Connecticut Sun L 95-96 1552.07 1572.74 58.92% 41.08% -6.67 11-9
2011-08-09 Minnesota Lynx W 85-80 1545.40 1664.78 44.83% 55.17% +13.98 12-9
2011-08-11 Atlanta Dream W 109-95 1559.38 1508.50 68.40% 31.60% +13.39 13-9
2011-08-12 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 90-93 1572.77 1416.67 60.33% 39.67% -11.84 13-10
2011-08-16 Seattle Storm W 81-79 1560.93 1516.98 67.54% 32.46% +5.20 14-10
2011-08-20 San Antonio Silver Stars W 87-81 1566.13 1507.07 69.41% 30.59% +8.49 15-10
2011-08-23 New York Liberty L 70-74 1574.62 1522.17 68.60% 31.40% -15.54 15-11
2011-08-26 @ Connecticut Sun L 92-95 1559.08 1587.69 34.43% 65.57% -6.76 15-12
2011-08-28 @ Washington Mystics W 86-79 1552.32 1339.35 67.84% 32.16% +9.64 16-12
2011-08-30 @ Tulsa Shock W 96-74 1561.96 1243.52 79.47% 20.53% +10.91 17-12
2011-09-01 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 68-86 1572.87 1486.91 50.38% 49.62% -24.22 17-13
2011-09-03 Los Angeles Sparks W 93-77 1548.65 1443.23 74.77% 25.23% +11.44 18-13
2011-09-08 Tulsa Shock W 91-76 1560.09 1222.14 91.87% 8.13% +3.56 19-13
2011-09-09 @ Seattle Storm L 70-85 1563.65 1549.00 40.25% 59.75% -17.66 19-14
2011-09-11 Minnesota Lynx L 90-96 1545.99 1673.49 43.67% 56.33% -12.12 19-15
2011-06-04 Tulsa Shock W 93-73 1461.01 1412.81 68.07% 31.93% +16.18 1-0
2011-06-10 @ Tulsa Shock W 93-62 1477.19 1386.73 51.03% 48.97% +30.89 2-0
2011-06-11 Atlanta Dream W 86-74 1508.08 1494.38 63.61% 36.39% +14.28 3-0
2011-06-17 @ Phoenix Mercury W 101-99 1522.36 1479.56 44.20% 55.80% +8.94 4-0
2011-06-21 Phoenix Mercury L 98-105 1531.30 1481.57 68.26% 31.74% -20.46 4-1
2011-06-24 Los Angeles Sparks W 90-80 1510.84 1518.09 60.77% 39.23% +14.05 5-1
2011-06-26 @ Atlanta Dream W 92-86 1524.89 1465.82 46.52% 53.48% +14.85 6-1
2011-06-28 @ Chicago Sky W 84-74 1539.74 1483.32 46.14% 53.86% +19.29 7-1
2011-07-01 @ New York Liberty L 75-81 1559.03 1501.12 46.35% 53.65% -12.86 7-2
2011-07-08 New York Liberty L 73-76 1546.17 1513.99 66.03% 33.97% -12.96 7-3
2011-07-12 Los Angeles Sparks L 74-84 1533.21 1455.40 71.66% 28.34% -25.67 7-4
2011-07-14 Seattle Storm W 69-66 1507.54 1578.83 51.73% 48.27% +9.47 8-4
2011-07-18 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 79-69 1517.01 1473.19 44.34% 55.66% +19.94 9-4
2011-07-21 @ Seattle Storm L 55-73 1536.95 1540.71 37.73% 62.27% -18.13 9-5
2011-07-26 @ Washington Mystics W 73-67 1518.82 1400.81 54.98% 45.02% +12.49 10-5
2011-07-28 Phoenix Mercury W 102-91 1531.31 1563.74 57.27% 42.73% +16.06 11-5
2011-07-31 Minnesota Lynx L 69-70 1547.37 1633.89 49.54% 50.46% -5.61 11-6
2011-08-02 @ Seattle Storm L 64-78 1541.76 1567.88 34.75% 65.25% -14.73 11-7
2011-08-04 @ Minnesota Lynx L 60-62 1527.03 1652.95 23.07% 76.93% -3.70 11-8
2011-08-06 Tulsa Shock W 72-64 1523.33 1227.64 89.86% 10.14% +3.25 12-8
2011-08-09 @ Indiana Fever L 68-81 1526.58 1588.94 30.18% 69.82% -12.33 12-9
2011-08-11 @ Connecticut Sun W 72-59 1514.25 1588.79 28.73% 71.27% +29.11 13-9
2011-08-14 Chicago Sky L 73-85 1543.36 1455.00 72.87% 27.13% -28.60 13-10
2011-08-16 Indiana Fever L 63-65 1514.76 1611.90 48.01% 51.99% -7.69 13-11
2011-08-20 @ Phoenix Mercury L 81-87 1507.07 1566.13 30.59% 69.41% -8.49 13-12
2011-08-23 @ Seattle Storm L 55-63 1498.58 1516.34 35.85% 64.15% -11.49 13-13
2011-08-26 @ Minnesota Lynx L 75-85 1487.09 1654.00 19.15% 80.85% -6.86 13-14
2011-08-28 Minnesota Lynx L 61-72 1480.23 1660.86 36.35% 63.65% -13.66 13-15
2011-08-30 Connecticut Sun W 78-66 1466.57 1562.56 48.18% 51.82% +20.34 14-15
2011-09-01 Phoenix Mercury W 86-68 1486.91 1572.87 49.62% 50.38% +24.22 15-15
2011-09-03 Seattle Storm L 60-70 1511.13 1527.69 59.49% 40.51% -21.31 15-16
2011-09-06 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 82-65 1489.82 1431.80 46.37% 53.63% +25.05 16-16
2011-09-10 Washington Mystics W 82-74 1514.87 1310.47 83.97% 16.03% +5.14 17-16
2011-09-11 @ Tulsa Shock W 102-94 1520.01 1212.06 78.47% 21.53% +6.90 18-16
2011-06-04 Phoenix Mercury W 78-71 1574.43 1506.75 70.46% 29.54% +8.86 1-0
2011-06-09 Minnesota Lynx L 74-81 1583.29 1490.52 73.37% 26.63% -22.00 1-1
2011-06-17 Indiana Fever W 68-54 1561.29 1558.43 62.15% 37.85% +16.05 2-1
2011-06-19 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 50-74 1577.34 1480.12 52.00% 48.00% -28.87 2-2
2011-06-21 @ Tulsa Shock W 82-77 1548.47 1371.13 63.21% 36.79% +9.32 3-2
2011-06-24 Minnesota Lynx W 65-55 1557.79 1550.89 62.70% 37.30% +13.37 4-2
2011-07-01 @ Connecticut Sun L 70-75 1571.16 1536.32 43.07% 56.93% -10.91 4-3
2011-07-03 @ Washington Mystics W 73-63 1560.25 1452.74 53.48% 46.52% +16.67 5-3
2011-07-05 @ Indiana Fever L 61-78 1576.92 1578.49 38.02% 61.98% -17.77 5-4
2011-07-09 Los Angeles Sparks W 99-80 1559.15 1468.68 73.11% 26.89% +13.28 6-4
2011-07-12 Washington Mystics W 79-71 1572.43 1414.40 80.05% 19.95% +6.40 7-4
2011-07-14 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 66-69 1578.83 1507.54 48.27% 51.73% -9.48 7-5
2011-07-16 @ Minnesota Lynx L 62-69 1569.35 1575.05 37.46% 62.54% -11.23 7-6
2011-07-19 @ Chicago Sky L 69-78 1558.12 1466.30 51.23% 48.77% -17.41 7-7
2011-07-21 San Antonio Silver Stars W 73-55 1540.71 1536.95 62.27% 37.73% +18.14 8-7
2011-07-26 @ Phoenix Mercury W 83-77 1558.85 1581.73 35.18% 64.82% +17.99 9-7
2011-07-29 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-92 1576.84 1615.08 33.19% 66.81% -18.80 9-8
2011-07-30 @ Tulsa Shock W 89-72 1558.04 1245.38 78.92% 21.08% +9.84 10-8
2011-08-02 San Antonio Silver Stars W 78-64 1567.88 1541.76 65.25% 34.75% +14.73 11-8
2011-08-05 Connecticut Sun W 81-79 1582.61 1578.79 62.28% 37.72% +6.05 12-8
2011-08-07 @ Atlanta Dream L 53-70 1588.66 1475.53 54.28% 45.72% -25.36 12-9
2011-08-09 @ New York Liberty L 56-58 1563.30 1522.47 43.92% 56.08% -7.04 12-10
2011-08-11 Tulsa Shock W 77-63 1556.26 1219.99 91.80% 8.20% +3.48 13-10
2011-08-13 Atlanta Dream L 63-92 1559.74 1495.11 70.09% 29.91% -42.76 13-11
2011-08-16 @ Phoenix Mercury L 79-81 1516.98 1560.93 32.46% 67.54% -5.21 13-12
2011-08-20 New York Liberty W 63-62 1511.77 1526.73 59.71% 40.29% +4.57 14-12
2011-08-23 San Antonio Silver Stars W 63-55 1516.34 1498.58 64.15% 35.85% +11.49 15-12
2011-08-25 Tulsa Shock W 74-57 1527.83 1201.71 91.35% 8.65% +4.04 16-12
2011-08-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 65-63 1531.87 1432.53 74.10% 25.90% +4.15 17-12
2011-08-30 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 62-68 1536.02 1428.38 53.50% 46.50% -14.85 17-13
2011-09-02 @ Tulsa Shock W 78-72 1521.17 1232.61 76.52% 23.48% +6.52 18-13
2011-09-03 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 70-60 1527.69 1511.13 40.51% 59.49% +21.31 19-13
2011-09-09 Phoenix Mercury W 85-70 1549.00 1563.65 59.75% 40.25% +17.66 20-13
2011-09-11 Chicago Sky W 81-70 1566.66 1449.72 76.00% 24.00% +9.02 21-13
2011-06-04 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 73-93 1412.81 1461.01 31.93% 68.07% -16.18 0-1
2011-06-07 @ Minnesota Lynx L 65-75 1396.63 1480.62 27.63% 72.37% -9.90 0-2
2011-06-10 San Antonio Silver Stars L 62-93 1386.73 1477.19 48.97% 51.03% -30.89 0-3
2011-06-12 @ Connecticut Sun L 79-90 1355.84 1510.10 20.30% 79.70% -7.63 0-4
2011-06-14 @ Indiana Fever L 74-82 1348.21 1553.31 15.97% 84.03% -5.12 0-5
2011-06-18 Washington Mystics W 77-59 1343.09 1484.84 41.67% 58.33% +28.04 1-5
2011-06-21 Seattle Storm L 77-82 1371.13 1548.47 36.79% 63.21% -9.32 1-6
2011-06-23 New York Liberty L 82-94 1361.81 1482.82 44.60% 55.40% -17.50 1-7
2011-06-26 @ Washington Mystics L 63-83 1344.31 1439.38 26.37% 73.63% -13.37 1-8
2011-06-30 Minnesota Lynx L 71-101 1330.94 1525.97 34.46% 65.54% -21.38 1-9
2011-07-08 Phoenix Mercury L 78-86 1309.56 1559.50 27.70% 72.30% -8.88 1-10
2011-07-10 @ Phoenix Mercury L 63-102 1300.68 1568.37 11.71% 88.29% -8.28 1-11
2011-07-13 @ Chicago Sky L 54-72 1292.40 1471.92 18.05% 81.95% -8.68 1-12
2011-07-15 Los Angeles Sparks L 74-79 1283.72 1481.07 34.15% 65.85% -8.65 1-13
2011-07-17 @ New York Liberty L 57-88 1275.07 1528.49 12.58% 87.42% -7.94 1-14
2011-07-26 Atlanta Dream L 68-76 1267.13 1485.60 31.48% 68.52% -10.08 1-15
2011-07-28 Chicago Sky L 55-64 1257.05 1452.96 34.34% 65.66% -11.67 1-16
2011-07-30 Seattle Storm L 72-89 1245.38 1558.04 21.08% 78.92% -9.85 1-17
2011-08-05 Indiana Fever L 65-85 1235.53 1612.48 15.57% 84.43% -7.89 1-18
2011-08-06 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 64-72 1227.64 1523.33 10.14% 89.86% -3.25 1-19
2011-08-09 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 66-71 1224.39 1412.27 17.35% 82.65% -4.40 1-20
2011-08-11 @ Seattle Storm L 63-77 1219.99 1556.26 8.20% 91.80% -3.47 1-21
2011-08-14 @ Minnesota Lynx L 54-82 1216.52 1657.72 4.66% 95.34% -2.79 1-22
2011-08-21 Los Angeles Sparks L 67-73 1213.73 1425.93 32.26% 67.74% -8.96 1-23
2011-08-23 Minnesota Lynx L 72-78 1204.77 1650.94 11.02% 88.98% -3.06 1-24
2011-08-25 @ Seattle Storm L 57-74 1201.71 1527.83 8.65% 91.35% -4.04 1-25
2011-08-26 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 77-75 1197.67 1446.49 12.88% 87.12% +13.96 2-25
2011-08-28 Connecticut Sun W 83-72 1211.63 1594.45 15.13% 84.87% +31.89 3-25
2011-08-30 Phoenix Mercury L 74-96 1243.52 1561.96 20.53% 79.47% -10.91 3-26
2011-09-02 Seattle Storm L 72-78 1232.61 1521.17 23.48% 76.52% -6.51 3-27
2011-09-04 @ Atlanta Dream L 52-73 1226.10 1576.25 7.62% 92.38% -3.96 3-28
2011-09-08 @ Phoenix Mercury L 76-91 1222.14 1560.09 8.13% 91.87% -3.57 3-29
2011-09-09 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 73-84 1218.57 1406.74 17.33% 82.67% -6.51 3-30
2011-09-11 San Antonio Silver Stars L 94-102 1212.06 1520.01 21.53% 78.47% -6.90 3-31
2011-06-04 @ Connecticut Sun L 73-89 1522.92 1500.27 41.36% 58.64% -18.74 0-1
2011-06-09 @ Atlanta Dream W 98-90 1504.18 1514.62 36.83% 63.17% +20.24 1-1
2011-06-11 Chicago Sky L 77-84 1524.42 1476.56 68.03% 31.97% -20.39 1-2
2011-06-16 Connecticut Sun L 71-79 1504.03 1517.73 59.89% 40.11% -19.19 1-3
2011-06-18 @ Tulsa Shock L 59-77 1484.84 1343.09 58.33% 41.67% -28.04 1-4
2011-06-21 Indiana Fever L 80-89 1456.80 1531.43 51.25% 48.75% -17.42 1-5
2011-06-26 Tulsa Shock W 83-63 1439.38 1344.31 73.63% 26.37% +13.36 2-5
2011-07-03 Seattle Storm L 63-73 1452.74 1560.25 46.52% 53.48% -16.67 2-6
2011-07-05 @ Chicago Sky L 65-78 1436.07 1451.99 36.10% 63.90% -14.74 2-7
2011-07-09 @ Indiana Fever L 57-68 1421.33 1596.25 18.44% 81.56% -6.93 2-8
2011-07-12 @ Seattle Storm L 71-79 1414.40 1572.43 19.95% 80.05% -6.40 2-9
2011-07-15 @ Phoenix Mercury L 64-78 1408.00 1594.82 17.44% 82.56% -7.39 2-10
2011-07-17 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 89-85 1400.61 1489.73 27.04% 72.96% +16.53 3-10
2011-07-20 Atlanta Dream L 79-86 1417.14 1469.27 54.48% 45.52% -16.33 3-11
2011-07-26 San Antonio Silver Stars L 67-73 1400.81 1518.82 45.02% 54.98% -12.49 3-12
2011-07-28 @ New York Liberty L 71-75 1388.32 1526.30 21.86% 78.14% -4.96 3-13
2011-07-29 Indiana Fever L 59-61 1383.36 1593.35 32.54% 67.46% -5.21 3-14
2011-08-06 New York Liberty W 91-81 1378.15 1544.59 38.26% 61.74% +22.12 4-14
2011-08-09 Atlanta Dream L 70-72 1400.27 1500.89 47.51% 52.49% -7.61 4-15
2011-08-12 New York Liberty W 64-63 1392.66 1529.51 42.36% 57.64% +6.53 5-15
2011-08-13 @ Connecticut Sun L 75-82 1399.19 1559.67 19.73% 80.27% -5.91 5-16
2011-08-16 @ New York Liberty L 66-69 1393.28 1512.35 23.78% 76.22% -4.67 5-17
2011-08-18 Minnesota Lynx L 62-81 1388.61 1628.99 28.82% 71.18% -14.23 5-18
2011-08-20 Chicago Sky L 70-71 1374.38 1483.60 46.28% 53.72% -5.25 5-19
2011-08-21 @ Indiana Fever L 51-83 1369.13 1602.73 13.89% 86.11% -8.90 5-20
2011-08-23 Los Angeles Sparks L 82-86 1360.23 1434.88 51.25% 48.75% -11.61 5-21
2011-08-26 @ Chicago Sky L 67-80 1348.62 1478.39 22.68% 77.32% -9.27 5-22
2011-08-28 Phoenix Mercury L 79-86 1339.35 1552.32 32.16% 67.84% -9.64 5-23
2011-08-30 @ Minnesota Lynx L 56-73 1329.71 1674.52 7.84% 92.16% -3.66 5-24
2011-09-01 Atlanta Dream W 85-81 1326.05 1585.20 26.65% 73.35% +16.62 6-24
2011-09-02 @ Atlanta Dream L 73-95 1342.67 1568.58 14.43% 85.57% -7.67 6-25
2011-09-04 Connecticut Sun L 48-79 1335.00 1568.82 29.60% 70.40% -18.67 6-26
2011-09-07 @ Indiana Fever L 69-87 1316.33 1576.03 12.19% 87.81% -5.86 6-27
2011-09-10 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 74-82 1310.47 1514.87 16.03% 83.97% -5.14 6-28

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2011-09-16 @ Connecticut Sun W 89-84 1609.66 1583.03 41.91% 58.09% +14.71 1-0
2011-09-18 Connecticut Sun W 69-64 1624.37 1568.32 69.05% 30.95% +7.85 2-0
2011-09-22 @ Indiana Fever L 74-82 1632.22 1556.98 48.84% 51.16% -15.65 2-1
2011-09-25 Indiana Fever W 94-77 1616.57 1572.63 67.53% 32.47% +15.16 3-1
2011-09-27 @ Indiana Fever W 83-67 1631.73 1557.47 48.70% 51.30% +23.25 4-1
2011-10-02 @ Minnesota Lynx L 74-88 1654.98 1710.00 31.08% 68.92% -13.18 4-2
2011-10-05 @ Minnesota Lynx L 95-101 1641.80 1723.17 27.93% 72.07% -7.75 4-3
2011-10-07 Minnesota Lynx L 67-73 1634.05 1730.93 48.05% 51.95% -13.33 4-4
2011-09-16 Atlanta Dream L 84-89 1583.03 1609.66 58.09% 41.91% -14.71 0-1
2011-09-18 @ Atlanta Dream L 64-69 1568.32 1624.37 30.95% 69.05% -7.85 0-2
2011-09-15 New York Liberty W 74-72 1553.52 1553.71 61.74% 38.26% +6.13 1-0
2011-09-17 @ New York Liberty L 72-87 1559.65 1547.58 39.89% 60.11% -17.50 1-1
2011-09-19 New York Liberty W 72-62 1542.15 1565.08 58.60% 41.40% +14.83 2-1
2011-09-22 Atlanta Dream W 82-74 1556.98 1632.22 51.16% 48.84% +15.65 3-1
2011-09-25 @ Atlanta Dream L 77-94 1572.63 1616.57 32.47% 67.53% -15.16 3-2
2011-09-27 Atlanta Dream L 67-83 1557.47 1631.73 51.30% 48.70% -23.25 3-3
2011-09-16 San Antonio Silver Stars W 66-65 1685.61 1526.91 80.11% 19.89% +2.26 1-0
2011-09-18 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 75-84 1687.87 1524.65 61.30% 38.70% -20.84 1-1
2011-09-20 San Antonio Silver Stars W 85-67 1667.03 1545.49 76.48% 23.52% +11.31 2-1
2011-09-22 Phoenix Mercury W 95-67 1678.34 1545.02 77.68% 22.32% +13.38 3-1
2011-09-25 @ Phoenix Mercury W 103-86 1691.72 1531.63 60.87% 39.13% +18.28 4-1
2011-10-02 Atlanta Dream W 88-74 1710.00 1654.98 68.92% 31.08% +13.17 5-1
2011-10-05 Atlanta Dream W 101-95 1723.17 1641.80 72.07% 27.93% +7.76 6-1
2011-10-07 @ Atlanta Dream W 73-67 1730.93 1634.05 51.95% 48.05% +13.33 7-1
2011-09-15 @ Indiana Fever L 72-74 1553.71 1553.52 38.26% 61.74% -6.13 0-1
2011-09-17 Indiana Fever W 87-72 1547.58 1559.65 60.11% 39.89% +17.50 1-1
2011-09-19 @ Indiana Fever L 62-72 1565.08 1542.15 41.40% 58.60% -14.83 1-2
2011-09-15 @ Seattle Storm L 61-80 1533.87 1575.68 32.73% 67.27% -16.16 0-1
2011-09-17 Seattle Storm W 92-83 1517.71 1591.85 51.32% 48.68% +16.54 1-1
2011-09-19 @ Seattle Storm W 77-75 1534.25 1575.30 32.83% 67.17% +10.77 2-1
2011-09-22 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-95 1545.02 1678.34 22.32% 77.68% -13.39 2-2
2011-09-25 Minnesota Lynx L 86-103 1531.63 1691.72 39.13% 60.87% -18.27 2-3
2011-09-16 @ Minnesota Lynx L 65-66 1526.91 1685.61 19.89% 80.11% -2.26 0-1
2011-09-18 Minnesota Lynx W 84-75 1524.65 1687.87 38.70% 61.30% +20.84 1-1
2011-09-20 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-85 1545.49 1667.03 23.52% 76.48% -11.31 1-2
2011-09-15 Phoenix Mercury W 80-61 1575.68 1533.87 67.27% 32.73% +16.17 1-0
2011-09-17 @ Phoenix Mercury L 83-92 1591.85 1517.71 48.68% 51.32% -16.55 1-1
2011-09-19 Phoenix Mercury L 75-77 1575.30 1534.25 67.17% 32.83% -10.76 1-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2011-08-26 12.88% Tulsa Shock 1197.67 77 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1446.49 75
2 2011-08-28 15.13% @ Tulsa Shock 1211.63 83 Connecticut Sun 1594.45 72
3 2011-09-02 21.85% New York Liberty 1540.06 78 @ Minnesota Lynx 1678.18 62
4 2011-06-09 26.63% Minnesota Lynx 1490.52 81 @ Seattle Storm 1583.29 74
5 2011-09-01 26.65% @ Washington Mystics 1326.05 85 Atlanta Dream 1585.20 81
6 2011-07-17 27.04% Washington Mystics 1400.61 89 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1489.73 85
7 2011-08-14 27.13% Chicago Sky 1455.00 85 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1543.36 73
8 2011-07-12 28.34% Los Angeles Sparks 1455.40 84 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1533.21 74
9 2011-08-11 28.73% San Antonio Silver Stars 1514.25 72 @ Connecticut Sun 1588.79 59
10 2011-08-13 29.91% Atlanta Dream 1495.11 92 @ Seattle Storm 1559.74 63
11 2011-07-15 29.94% Minnesota Lynx 1549.95 80 @ Indiana Fever 1614.36 70
12 2011-06-14 30.02% Atlanta Dream 1480.09 79 @ New York Liberty 1543.83 58
13 2011-08-23 31.40% New York Liberty 1522.17 74 @ Phoenix Mercury 1574.62 70
14 2011-08-27 31.47% Atlanta Dream 1559.75 86 @ Indiana Fever 1611.64 80
15 2011-06-21 31.74% Phoenix Mercury 1481.57 105 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1531.30 98
16 2011-06-11 31.97% Chicago Sky 1476.56 84 @ Washington Mystics 1524.42 77
17 2011-09-19 * 32.83% Phoenix Mercury 1534.25 77 @ Seattle Storm 1575.30 75
18 2011-08-18 33.45% @ Los Angeles Sparks 1416.79 75 Indiana Fever 1619.59 70
19 2011-07-15 33.50% Connecticut Sun 1515.29 68 @ New York Liberty 1551.10 59
20 2011-07-08 33.97% New York Liberty 1513.99 76 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1546.17 73
21 2011-07-30 34.19% Los Angeles Sparks 1434.18 88 @ Chicago Sky 1464.63 84
22 2011-06-11 34.67% Indiana Fever 1535.17 86 @ New York Liberty 1561.96 80
23 2011-07-26 35.18% Seattle Storm 1558.85 83 @ Phoenix Mercury 1581.73 77
24 2011-07-20 36.09% Minnesota Lynx 1586.28 106 @ Phoenix Mercury 1602.21 98
25 2011-08-07 36.37% @ Chicago Sky 1439.86 88 Indiana Fever 1620.37 69

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-08-13 42.76 Atlanta Dream 92 1495.11 29.91% @ Seattle Storm 63 1559.74 70.09%
2 2011-06-14 36.34 Atlanta Dream 79 1480.09 30.02% @ New York Liberty 58 1543.83 69.98%
3 2011-09-02 35.42 New York Liberty 78 1540.06 21.85% @ Minnesota Lynx 62 1678.18 78.15%
4 2011-08-28 31.89 @ Tulsa Shock 83 1211.63 15.13% Connecticut Sun 72 1594.45 84.87%
5 2011-08-16 31.52 @ Connecticut Sun 108 1565.59 48.33% Minnesota Lynx 79 1660.51 51.67%
6 2011-08-07 31.43 @ Chicago Sky 88 1439.86 36.37% Indiana Fever 69 1620.37 63.63%
7 2011-06-10 30.89 San Antonio Silver Stars 93 1477.19 51.03% @ Tulsa Shock 62 1386.73 48.97%
8 2011-08-11 29.12 San Antonio Silver Stars 72 1514.25 28.73% @ Connecticut Sun 59 1588.79 71.27%
9 2011-06-19 28.87 @ Los Angeles Sparks 74 1480.12 48.00% Seattle Storm 50 1577.34 52.00%
10 2011-08-14 28.60 Chicago Sky 85 1455.00 27.13% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 73 1543.36 72.87%
11 2011-06-18 28.04 @ Tulsa Shock 77 1343.09 41.67% Washington Mystics 59 1484.84 58.33%
12 2011-09-02 26.60 @ Connecticut Sun 83 1542.22 55.64% Indiana Fever 55 1586.19 44.36%
13 2011-07-12 25.67 Los Angeles Sparks 84 1455.40 28.34% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 74 1533.21 71.66%
14 2011-08-07 25.36 @ Atlanta Dream 70 1475.53 45.72% Seattle Storm 53 1588.66 54.28%
15 2011-09-04 25.14 Minnesota Lynx 86 1642.76 47.69% @ New York Liberty 68 1575.48 52.31%
16 2011-07-15 25.11 Minnesota Lynx 80 1549.95 29.94% @ Indiana Fever 70 1614.36 70.06%
17 2011-09-06 25.06 San Antonio Silver Stars 82 1489.82 46.37% @ Los Angeles Sparks 65 1431.80 53.63%
18 2011-09-01 24.22 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 86 1486.91 49.62% Phoenix Mercury 68 1572.87 50.38%
19 2011-06-19 23.81 Minnesota Lynx 77 1527.08 41.72% @ Atlanta Dream 64 1501.86 58.28%
20 2011-07-28 23.63 Indiana Fever 69 1569.72 37.11% @ Connecticut Sun 58 1578.06 62.89%
21 2011-09-27 * 23.25 Atlanta Dream 83 1631.73 48.70% @ Indiana Fever 67 1557.47 51.30%
22 2011-07-15 22.61 Connecticut Sun 68 1515.29 33.50% @ New York Liberty 59 1551.10 66.50%
23 2011-08-06 22.12 @ Washington Mystics 91 1378.15 38.26% New York Liberty 81 1544.59 61.74%
24 2011-06-09 22.00 Minnesota Lynx 81 1490.52 26.63% @ Seattle Storm 74 1583.29 73.37%
25 2011-06-30 21.38 Minnesota Lynx 101 1525.97 65.54% @ Tulsa Shock 71 1330.94 34.46%