2003 WNBA Season
238 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Detroit Shock
1st Title
Runner-Up
Los Angeles Sparks
3
Last Appearance: 2002
Biggest Overachiever
Detroit Shock
5.77 wins above expected
25 wins · 19.23 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Washington Mystics
4.07 wins below expected
9 wins · 13.07 expected wins
Final Standings
Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Shock League | 25 | 9 | .735 | — | 75.1 | 70.4 | +4.6 | 19.23 | +5.77 |
| 2 | Charlotte Sting Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 7 | 65.2 | 64.6 | +0.6 | 18.35 | -0.35 |
| 3 | Connecticut Sun Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 7 | 70.1 | 70.9 | -0.7 | 16.52 | +1.48 |
| 4 | Cleveland Rockers Playoffs | 17 | 17 | .500 | 8 | 65.6 | 65.0 | +0.6 | 16.71 | +0.29 |
| 5 | Indiana Fever | 16 | 18 | .471 | 9 | 68.7 | 68.3 | +0.5 | 17.47 | -1.47 |
| 6 | New York Liberty | 16 | 18 | .471 | 9 | 66.0 | 66.4 | -0.4 | 17.09 | -1.09 |
| 7 | Washington Mystics | 9 | 25 | .265 | 16 | 68.5 | 73.5 | -4.9 | 13.07 | -4.07 |
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Sparks League | 24 | 10 | .706 | — | 73.5 | 71.5 | +2.0 | 22.21 | +1.79 |
| 2 | Houston Comets Playoffs | 20 | 14 | .588 | 4 | 66.0 | 63.0 | +3.0 | 19.11 | +0.89 |
| 3 | Sacramento Monarchs Playoffs | 19 | 15 | .559 | 5 | 67.6 | 65.2 | +2.4 | 17.61 | +1.39 |
| 4 | Minnesota Lynx Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 6 | 70.0 | 69.7 | +0.3 | 16.54 | +1.46 |
| 5 | Seattle Storm | 18 | 16 | .529 | 6 | 70.2 | 66.9 | +3.4 | 18.04 | -0.04 |
| 6 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 12 | 22 | .353 | 12 | 65.1 | 71.4 | -6.2 | 14.69 | -2.69 |
| 7 | Phoenix Mercury | 8 | 26 | .235 | 16 | 61.7 | 66.8 | -5.1 | 11.35 | -3.35 |
Playoff Bracket
Eastern Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
Western Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
WNBA Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Shock | Eastern | 1597 | 25 | 19.23 | +5.77 | 98.94% | 8 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 30 | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | Western | 1580 | 24 | 22.21 | +1.79 | 80.85% | 13 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 27 | 31 | |
| Houston Comets | Western | 1571 | 20 | 19.11 | +0.89 | 68.89% | 8 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 29 | |
| Sacramento Monarchs | Western | 1560 | 19 | 17.61 | +1.39 | 75.07% | 7 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 22 | 28 | |
| Seattle Storm | Western | 1526 | 18 | 18.04 | -0.04 | 56.96% | 8 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 28 | |
| Connecticut Sun | Eastern | 1520 | 18 | 16.52 | +1.48 | 75.95% | 6 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 28 | |
| Charlotte Sting | Eastern | 1504 | 18 | 18.35 | -0.35 | 52.18% | 8 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 29 | |
| Minnesota Lynx | Western | 1493 | 18 | 16.54 | +1.46 | 75.96% | 7 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 28 | |
| New York Liberty | Eastern | 1486 | 16 | 17.09 | -1.09 | 41.21% | 6 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 27 | |
| Cleveland Rockers | Eastern | 1480 | 17 | 16.71 | +0.29 | 60.84% | 6 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 27 | |
| Indiana Fever | Eastern | 1480 | 16 | 17.47 | -1.47 | 36.47% | 7 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 28 | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | Western | 1420 | 12 | 14.69 | -2.69 | 21.20% | 4 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 26 | |
| Washington Mystics | Eastern | 1399 | 9 | 13.07 | -4.07 | 8.80% | 4 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 24 | |
| Phoenix Mercury | Western | 1385 | 8 | 11.35 | -3.35 | 14.02% | 1 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.
Within Eastern
| Team | Sting | Rockers | Sun | Shock | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | — |
1-3
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
4-0
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.6 exp.)
|
| Cleveland Rockers |
3-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
— |
0-4
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
|
| Detroit Shock |
0-4
(2.1 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
3-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
Eastern vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Comets | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Monarchs | Stars | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting |
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Cleveland Rockers |
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
| Detroit Shock |
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
Within Western
| Team | Comets | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Monarchs | Stars | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | — |
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
— |
4-0
(2.4 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.8 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
— |
0-4
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
| Sacramento Monarchs |
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.2 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.6 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.3 exp.)
|
— |
Western vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Sting | Rockers | Sun | Shock | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets |
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
0-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
|
| Sacramento Monarchs |
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
Scoreline Distribution
Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | 0.42% | 1.05% | 0.84% | 0.21% | 0.21% | — | 2.73% |
| 50–59 | 1.05% | 2.10% | 10.50% | 3.36% | 1.05% | 0.63% | 18.70% |
| 60–69 | 0.84% | 10.50% | 14.29% | 9.24% | 1.47% | 0.21% | 36.55% |
| 70–79 | 0.21% | 3.36% | 9.24% | 9.66% | 5.04% | 0.21% | 27.73% |
| 80–89 | 0.21% | 1.05% | 1.47% | 5.04% | 1.68% | 1.26% | 10.71% |
| 90+ | — | 0.63% | 0.21% | 0.21% | 1.26% | 1.26% | 3.57% |
| Total | 2.73% | 18.70% | 36.55% | 27.73% | 10.71% | 3.57% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 68.10 | 68.10 | +0.00 |
| SD | 10.68 | 10.68 | 12.20 |
| CV | 0.16 | 0.16 | — |
| Max | 103 | 103 | +40 |
| Min | 45 | 45 | -40 |
Games Played: 238
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 50–59 | — | 5.88% | 14.71% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 60–69 | — | 26.47% | 14.71% | 11.76% | — | — | 52.94% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | — | 38.24% | 32.35% | 26.47% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Charlotte Sting — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 65.21 | 64.56 | +0.65 |
| SD | 8.98 | 9.10 | 10.65 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 92 | 83 | +30 |
| Min | 48 | 50 | -16 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 50–59 | — | 5.88% | 11.76% | 11.76% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 60–69 | — | 11.76% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 70–79 | — | 5.88% | 11.76% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 29.41% | 35.29% | 32.35% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Cleveland Rockers — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 65.56 | 65.00 | +0.56 |
| SD | 10.14 | 8.36 | 11.69 |
| CV | 0.15 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 89 | 81 | +28 |
| Min | 46 | 50 | -17 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 50–59 | — | — | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | 11.76% |
| 60–69 | — | 14.71% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | 32.35% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | 14.71% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% |
| Total | 2.94% | 17.65% | 32.35% | 20.59% | 17.65% | 8.82% | 100% |
Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 70.12 | 70.85 | -0.74 |
| SD | 11.36 | 12.20 | 11.97 |
| CV | 0.16 | 0.17 | — |
| Max | 91 | 103 | +19 |
| Min | 45 | 48 | -28 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | 11.76% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 70–79 | — | 8.82% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 17.65% |
| 90+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% | — | 14.71% |
| Total | — | 17.65% | 35.29% | 23.53% | 17.65% | 5.88% | 100% |
Detroit Shock — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 75.09 | 70.44 | +4.65 |
| SD | 12.54 | 11.87 | 12.10 |
| CV | 0.17 | 0.17 | — |
| Max | 103 | 92 | +37 |
| Min | 54 | 50 | -31 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | 2.94% | — | 14.71% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 60–69 | 5.88% | 17.65% | 17.65% | 11.76% | — | — | 52.94% |
| 70–79 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 11.76% | 23.53% | 44.12% | 17.65% | — | 2.94% | 100% |
Houston Comets — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 66.00 | 63.00 | +3.00 |
| SD | 7.63 | 9.87 | 10.89 |
| CV | 0.12 | 0.16 | — |
| Max | 83 | 91 | +27 |
| Min | 52 | 46 | -15 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | 2.94% | — | 17.65% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 17.65% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 80–89 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | — | 5.88% | 5.88% |
| Total | 5.88% | 5.88% | 44.12% | 32.35% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 100% |
Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 68.74 | 68.26 | +0.47 |
| SD | 12.19 | 10.09 | 14.01 |
| CV | 0.18 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 94 | 91 | +34 |
| Min | 50 | 46 | -30 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | 20.59% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 8.82% | 17.65% | 8.82% | — | 35.29% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 5.88% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | 26.47% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% |
| Total | 2.94% | 2.94% | 38.24% | 35.29% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 100% |
Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 73.50 | 71.53 | +1.97 |
| SD | 10.26 | 9.83 | 10.88 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 97 | 92 | +23 |
| Min | 52 | 48 | -36 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 50–59 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 60–69 | — | 11.76% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 20.59% | 5.88% | — | 38.24% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 14.71% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 23.53% | 20.59% | 41.18% | 14.71% | — | 100% |
Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 70.00 | 69.71 | +0.29 |
| SD | 8.41 | 9.96 | 10.19 |
| CV | 0.12 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 85 | 88 | +27 |
| Min | 49 | 50 | -23 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | 2.94% | — | 20.59% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 60–69 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 70–79 | — | 5.88% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% |
| 90+ | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 5.88% | 11.76% | 52.94% | 17.65% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
New York Liberty — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 65.97 | 66.35 | -0.38 |
| SD | 9.47 | 10.39 | 11.32 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.16 | — |
| Max | 90 | 90 | +26 |
| Min | 50 | 48 | -24 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 50–59 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 17.65% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 60–69 | — | 5.88% | 20.59% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 14.71% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.94% | 14.71% | 52.94% | 17.65% | 11.76% | — | 100% |
Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 61.68 | 66.76 | -5.09 |
| SD | 9.58 | 8.90 | 11.03 |
| CV | 0.16 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 89 | 82 | +27 |
| Min | 46 | 49 | -29 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 50–59 | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 60–69 | 2.94% | 17.65% | 23.53% | 11.76% | — | — | 55.88% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.94% | 17.65% | 41.18% | 38.24% | — | — | 100% |
Sacramento Monarchs — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 67.62 | 65.18 | +2.44 |
| SD | 8.96 | 8.35 | 12.23 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 89 | 79 | +25 |
| Min | 47 | 49 | -27 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 5.88% |
| 50–59 | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 20.59% |
| 60–69 | — | 17.65% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | 38.24% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | 26.47% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 8.82% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 23.53% | 23.53% | 20.59% | 26.47% | 5.88% | 100% |
San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 65.15 | 71.38 | -6.24 |
| SD | 10.64 | 13.29 | 14.59 |
| CV | 0.16 | 0.19 | — |
| Max | 88 | 99 | +17 |
| Min | 47 | 51 | -40 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 50–59 | — | — | 8.82% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 60–69 | — | 8.82% | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 70–79 | — | 11.76% | 5.88% | 17.65% | 5.88% | — | 41.18% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 8.82% |
| 90+ | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | — | 32.35% | 29.41% | 29.41% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 70.24 | 66.88 | +3.35 |
| SD | 10.13 | 11.00 | 14.33 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.16 | — |
| Max | 93 | 95 | +40 |
| Min | 47 | 51 | -14 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 50–59 | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 20.59% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 14.71% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 5.88% | 14.71% | 11.76% | — | 32.35% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 5.88% |
| 90+ | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 8.82% |
| Total | 2.94% | 2.94% | 29.41% | 35.29% | 20.59% | 8.82% | 100% |
Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 68.53 | 73.47 | -4.94 |
| SD | 11.95 | 10.80 | 10.10 |
| CV | 0.17 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 92 | 97 | +13 |
| Min | 48 | 45 | -37 |
Games Played: 34
Actual Wins vs. Point Differential
Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Shock | 25 | 19.23 | +5.77 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Sparks | 24 | 22.21 | +1.79 |
| 3 | Connecticut Sun | 18 | 16.52 | +1.48 |
| 4 | Minnesota Lynx | 18 | 16.54 | +1.46 |
| 5 | Sacramento Monarchs | 19 | 17.61 | +1.39 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Mystics | 9 | 13.07 | -4.07 |
| 2 | Phoenix Mercury | 8 | 11.35 | -3.35 |
| 3 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 12 | 14.69 | -2.69 |
| 4 | Indiana Fever | 16 | 17.47 | -1.47 |
| 5 | New York Liberty | 16 | 17.09 | -1.09 |
Top Streaks
The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Shock | 8 | Jun 5 – Jun 27 | 1 in 355 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Sparks | 9 | May 24 – Jun 14 | 1 in 115 |
| 3 | Washington Mystics | 3 | Jul 15 – Jul 19 | 1 in 34 |
| 4 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 3 | Jul 27 – Aug 1 | 1 in 32 |
| 5 | Connecticut Sun | 4 | Jul 19 – Jul 26 | 1 in 28 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Mystics | 11 | Jun 13 – Jul 9 | 1 in 262 |
| 2 | Indiana Fever | 6 | Aug 2 – Aug 12 | 1 in 98 |
| 3 | Seattle Storm | 5 | Aug 12 – Aug 20 | 1 in 86 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Sparks | 4 | Jul 30 – Aug 6 | 1 in 81 |
| 5 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 6 | Jul 10 – Jul 25 | 1 in 24 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Shock | 33.45% | 21.86% | 16.10% | 11.88% | 9.34% | 5.45% | 1.92% |
| Charlotte Sting | 21.81% | 20.87% | 17.44% | 15.04% | 12.02% | 8.62% | 4.20% |
| Indiana Fever | 14.58% | 16.06% | 16.80% | 16.84% | 15.47% | 13.10% | 7.15% |
| New York Liberty | 11.35% | 14.69% | 16.73% | 16.80% | 16.31% | 15.53% | 8.59% |
| Cleveland Rockers | 9.38% | 12.95% | 15.03% | 16.54% | 17.82% | 17.52% | 10.76% |
| Connecticut Sun | 8.76% | 11.84% | 14.52% | 16.92% | 18.12% | 18.39% | 11.45% |
| Washington Mystics | 0.67% | 1.73% | 3.38% | 5.98% | 10.92% | 21.39% | 55.93% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 62.31% | 21.65% | 9.24% | 4.27% | 1.94% | 0.57% | 0.02% |
| Houston Comets | 16.41% | 27.80% | 22.47% | 16.16% | 10.94% | 5.21% | 1.01% |
| Seattle Storm | 8.83% | 19.23% | 23.38% | 20.98% | 15.97% | 9.38% | 2.23% |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 7.53% | 16.61% | 20.87% | 22.03% | 18.12% | 11.38% | 3.46% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 3.88% | 10.30% | 15.69% | 20.73% | 24.18% | 19.29% | 5.93% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 1.00% | 4.10% | 7.40% | 13.15% | 22.42% | 34.97% | 16.96% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.04% | 0.31% | 0.95% | 2.68% | 6.43% | 19.20% | 70.39% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 48.22% | 19.62% | 11.48% | 7.12% | 4.48% | 3.28% | 2.19% | 1.40% | 0.97% | 0.65% | 0.34% | 0.24% | 0.01% | — |
| Detroit Shock | 10.77% | 14.96% | 13.45% | 11.06% | 10.67% | 9.07% | 7.06% | 6.50% | 5.14% | 4.57% | 3.25% | 2.03% | 1.15% | 0.32% |
| Houston Comets | 11.03% | 13.63% | 12.50% | 11.45% | 9.96% | 8.97% | 8.02% | 6.72% | 5.85% | 4.82% | 3.34% | 2.04% | 1.29% | 0.38% |
| Charlotte Sting | 6.38% | 9.80% | 11.23% | 11.30% | 9.98% | 10.00% | 8.74% | 8.08% | 6.93% | 5.80% | 5.10% | 3.69% | 2.18% | 0.79% |
| Seattle Storm | 5.67% | 8.50% | 10.01% | 9.81% | 9.95% | 9.77% | 8.73% | 8.95% | 8.24% | 6.77% | 5.88% | 4.38% | 2.47% | 0.87% |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 4.69% | 6.77% | 8.12% | 9.57% | 8.96% | 8.64% | 9.76% | 9.42% | 8.50% | 7.95% | 7.15% | 5.29% | 3.52% | 1.66% |
| Indiana Fever | 3.49% | 7.21% | 7.94% | 8.54% | 9.60% | 9.40% | 9.72% | 8.95% | 8.92% | 8.02% | 7.16% | 5.49% | 3.89% | 1.67% |
| New York Liberty | 2.93% | 5.22% | 6.69% | 7.82% | 8.90% | 9.17% | 9.49% | 9.17% | 9.83% | 8.65% | 8.01% | 6.98% | 4.88% | 2.26% |
| Cleveland Rockers | 2.21% | 4.50% | 6.01% | 6.80% | 7.59% | 8.61% | 9.35% | 9.39% | 9.70% | 9.77% | 9.06% | 8.03% | 6.10% | 2.88% |
| Connecticut Sun | 1.85% | 4.34% | 5.42% | 6.68% | 7.32% | 8.33% | 8.83% | 9.18% | 9.31% | 10.24% | 9.36% | 9.14% | 6.79% | 3.21% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 2.25% | 3.96% | 4.82% | 6.56% | 7.26% | 7.61% | 8.87% | 9.25% | 9.98% | 10.44% | 10.34% | 9.55% | 6.13% | 2.98% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.47% | 1.18% | 1.77% | 2.31% | 3.49% | 4.46% | 5.40% | 7.38% | 8.97% | 10.60% | 13.48% | 15.84% | 14.75% | 9.90% |
| Washington Mystics | 0.03% | 0.29% | 0.46% | 0.76% | 1.48% | 2.12% | 2.80% | 4.18% | 5.45% | 7.88% | 10.84% | 16.27% | 25.41% | 22.03% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.10% | 0.22% | 0.36% | 0.57% | 1.04% | 1.43% | 2.21% | 3.84% | 6.69% | 11.03% | 21.43% | 51.05% |
Win Totals in Context
How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Shock | 33.45% | 21.86% | 16.10% | 11.88% | 16.71% |
| Charlotte Sting | 21.81% | 20.87% | 17.44% | 15.04% | 24.84% |
| Indiana Fever | 14.58% | 16.06% | 16.80% | 16.84% | 35.72% |
| New York Liberty | 11.35% | 14.69% | 16.73% | 16.80% | 40.43% |
| Cleveland Rockers | 9.38% | 12.95% | 15.03% | 16.54% | 46.10% |
| Connecticut Sun | 8.76% | 11.84% | 14.52% | 16.92% | 47.96% |
| Washington Mystics | 0.67% | 1.73% | 3.38% | 5.98% | 88.24% |
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 62.31% | 21.65% | 9.24% | 4.27% | 2.53% |
| Houston Comets | 16.41% | 27.80% | 22.47% | 16.16% | 17.16% |
| Seattle Storm | 8.83% | 19.23% | 23.38% | 20.98% | 27.58% |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 7.53% | 16.61% | 20.87% | 22.03% | 32.96% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 3.88% | 10.30% | 15.69% | 20.73% | 49.40% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 1.00% | 4.10% | 7.40% | 13.15% | 74.35% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.04% | 0.31% | 0.95% | 2.68% | 96.02% |
Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed
The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 97.47% | 62.89% | 37.50% | 23.32% |
| Detroit Shock | 83.29% | 59.03% | 41.09% | 21.99% |
| Houston Comets | 82.84% | 47.32% | 25.09% | 14.75% |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 67.04% | 33.53% | 16.21% | 8.49% |
| Charlotte Sting | 75.16% | 36.50% | 16.28% | 6.41% |
| Seattle Storm | 72.42% | 31.78% | 13.10% | 6.31% |
| Connecticut Sun | 52.04% | 26.11% | 11.97% | 4.66% |
| Indiana Fever | 64.28% | 27.35% | 10.73% | 3.73% |
| New York Liberty | 59.57% | 25.60% | 10.29% | 3.71% |
| Cleveland Rockers | 53.90% | 22.40% | 8.97% | 3.20% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 50.60% | 18.16% | 6.74% | 2.93% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 25.65% | 5.68% | 1.28% | 0.37% |
| Washington Mystics | 11.76% | 3.01% | 0.67% | 0.11% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 3.98% | 0.64% | 0.08% | 0.02% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charlotte Sting | Cleveland Rockers | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | 6.98% | 5.52% | 5.64% | 8.48% | 8.12% | 1.76% | |
| Cleveland Rockers | 5.47% | 2.93% | 3.94% | 4.98% | 4.21% | 0.87% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 6.28% | 3.91% | 4.76% | 5.59% | 4.68% | 0.89% | |
| Detroit Shock | 12.69% | 10.51% | 9.50% | 12.02% | 11.25% | 3.06% | |
| Indiana Fever | 7.20% | 4.88% | 3.89% | 4.86% | 5.24% | 1.28% | |
| New York Liberty | 6.28% | 4.80% | 3.80% | 4.58% | 5.25% | 0.89% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.74% | 0.42% | 0.29% | 0.48% | 0.61% | 0.47% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | 9.35% | 8.86% | 0.81% | 10.13% | 4.66% | 13.51% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 11.44% | 13.06% | 1.71% | 13.25% | 8.93% | 14.50% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 4.53% | 5.56% | 0.14% | 2.94% | 1.32% | 3.67% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.09% | 0.32% | 0.04% | 0.06% | 0.03% | 0.10% | |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 9.05% | 9.10% | 4.92% | 0.24% | 2.52% | 7.70% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 1.01% | 2.02% | 0.72% | 0.05% | 0.72% | 1.16% | |
| Seattle Storm | 9.40% | 8.23% | 4.84% | 0.39% | 6.41% | 2.51% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charlotte Sting | Cleveland Rockers | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | 2.64% | 2.50% | 5.32% | 2.89% | 2.47% | 0.46% | |
| Cleveland Rockers | 1.75% | 1.24% | 2.84% | 1.53% | 1.35% | 0.26% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 2.77% | 1.44% | 3.50% | 2.10% | 1.94% | 0.22% | |
| Detroit Shock | 11.00% | 6.52% | 7.09% | 7.89% | 7.64% | 0.95% | |
| Indiana Fever | 2.29% | 1.48% | 1.68% | 3.26% | 1.80% | 0.22% | |
| New York Liberty | 2.30% | 1.25% | 1.55% | 2.88% | 2.08% | 0.23% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.11% | 0.10% | 0.08% | 0.14% | 0.13% | 0.11% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | 11.11% | 2.61% | 0.16% | 4.92% | 1.06% | 5.23% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 13.38% | 5.06% | 0.18% | 8.28% | 1.75% | 8.85% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 1.55% | 2.23% | 0.03% | 1.37% | 0.32% | 1.24% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | |||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 4.16% | 6.35% | 1.83% | 0.10% | 0.69% | 3.08% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.25% | 0.40% | 0.14% | 0.01% | 0.21% | 0.27% | |
| Seattle Storm | 2.85% | 5.29% | 1.78% | 0.08% | 2.52% | 0.58% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charlotte Sting | Cleveland Rockers | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Houston Comets | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | 1.53% | 1.89% | 0.61% | 1.20% | 0.14% | 1.04% | ||||||||
| Cleveland Rockers | 0.85% | 1.05% | 0.29% | 0.49% | 0.06% | 0.46% | ||||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 1.18% | 1.56% | 0.31% | 0.01% | 0.76% | 0.10% | 0.74% | |||||||
| Detroit Shock | 5.07% | 7.39% | 1.84% | 0.04% | 3.87% | 0.44% | 3.34% | |||||||
| Houston Comets | 2.52% | 1.35% | 1.87% | 5.08% | 1.94% | 1.83% | 0.16% | |||||||
| Indiana Fever | 0.97% | 0.99% | 0.41% | 0.73% | 0.07% | 0.56% | ||||||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 4.10% | 2.36% | 3.03% | 8.02% | 2.82% | 2.75% | 0.24% | |||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.52% | 0.38% | 0.42% | 0.95% | 0.35% | 0.30% | 0.01% | |||||||
| New York Liberty | 0.72% | 1.23% | 0.34% | 0.01% | 0.66% | 0.10% | 0.65% | |||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.01% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 1.60% | 0.95% | 1.09% | 2.85% | 0.97% | 0.95% | 0.08% | |||||||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.09% | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.07% | 0.05% | 0.07% | 0.01% | |||||||
| Seattle Storm | 1.04% | 0.69% | 0.85% | 2.13% | 0.87% | 0.67% | 0.06% | |||||||
| Washington Mystics | 0.02% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.01% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Shock | 76.73% | 53.64% | 32.11% | Won Finals |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 71.57% | 41.36% | 22.17% | Eliminated in Finals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charlotte Sting | Cleveland Rockers | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | 40.80% | |||
| Cleveland Rockers | 23.27% | |||
| Connecticut Sun | 59.20% | |||
| Detroit Shock | 76.73% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Sacramento Monarchs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | 58.25% | |||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 71.57% | |||
| Minnesota Lynx | 28.43% | |||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 41.75% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charlotte Sting | Cleveland Rockers | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | 5.74% | 9.34% | ||
| Cleveland Rockers | 3.79% | 5.36% | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 8.38% | 13.75% | ||
| Detroit Shock | 21.93% | 31.71% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Sacramento Monarchs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | 17.71% | 11.23% | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 24.43% | 16.93% | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 4.88% | 4.41% | ||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 12.50% | 7.91% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charlotte Sting | Cleveland Rockers | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Sacramento Monarchs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | 1.50% | 2.01% | 0.75% | 0.94% | ||||
| Cleveland Rockers | 0.72% | 0.97% | 0.40% | 0.60% | ||||
| Connecticut Sun | 2.14% | 3.31% | 1.17% | 1.74% | ||||
| Detroit Shock | 9.52% | 12.90% | 3.35% | 6.34% | ||||
| Houston Comets | 2.98% | 1.76% | 4.30% | 6.02% | ||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 4.33% | 2.77% | 5.66% | 9.41% | ||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.66% | 0.50% | 0.93% | 1.53% | ||||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 1.91% | 1.43% | 2.88% | 4.57% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-05-23 | Washington Mystics | L 70-74 | 1509.01 | 1490.15 | 64.70% | 35.30% | -9.62 | 0-1 |
| 2003-05-29 | Indiana Fever | W 66-57 | 1499.39 | 1492.95 | 63.05% | 36.95% | +8.24 | 1-1 |
| 2003-05-31 | @ Detroit Shock | W 70-67 | 1507.63 | 1465.92 | 43.60% | 56.40% | +7.26 | 2-1 |
| 2003-06-04 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 67-52 | 1514.89 | 1483.87 | 66.28% | 33.72% | +9.70 | 3-1 |
| 2003-06-06 | Houston Comets | W 69-58 | 1524.59 | 1541.51 | 59.87% | 40.13% | +9.89 | 4-1 |
| 2003-06-07 | @ Cleveland Rockers | L 57-67 | 1534.48 | 1496.62 | 43.06% | 56.94% | -10.12 | 4-2 |
| 2003-06-12 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 58-50 | 1524.36 | 1403.76 | 54.90% | 45.10% | +9.48 | 5-2 |
| 2003-06-14 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 52-62 | 1533.84 | 1455.00 | 48.91% | 51.09% | -11.49 | 5-3 |
| 2003-06-17 | @ Indiana Fever | L 60-71 | 1522.35 | 1504.87 | 40.21% | 59.79% | -9.91 | 5-4 |
| 2003-06-20 | Minnesota Lynx | W 76-72 | 1512.44 | 1465.65 | 68.28% | 31.72% | +4.71 | 6-4 |
| 2003-06-22 | @ New York Liberty | L 57-69 | 1517.15 | 1508.44 | 39.00% | 61.00% | -10.04 | 6-5 |
| 2003-06-25 | Cleveland Rockers | W 61-50 | 1507.11 | 1506.59 | 62.26% | 37.74% | +9.30 | 7-5 |
| 2003-06-28 | Connecticut Sun | W 69-55 | 1516.41 | 1492.84 | 65.32% | 34.68% | +9.65 | 8-5 |
| 2003-06-30 | Seattle Storm | L 71-83 | 1526.06 | 1531.40 | 61.46% | 38.54% | -15.82 | 8-6 |
| 2003-07-03 | @ Detroit Shock | W 92-79 | 1510.24 | 1562.60 | 31.03% | 68.97% | +18.47 | 9-6 |
| 2003-07-05 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 67-65 | 1528.71 | 1503.92 | 65.48% | 34.52% | +3.63 | 10-6 |
| 2003-07-07 | @ Washington Mystics | W 62-56 | 1532.34 | 1383.87 | 58.84% | 41.16% | +7.49 | 11-6 |
| 2003-07-10 | Detroit Shock | W 65-58 | 1539.83 | 1536.85 | 62.59% | 37.41% | +7.36 | 12-6 |
| 2003-07-17 | @ Washington Mystics | L 60-68 | 1547.19 | 1392.47 | 59.71% | 40.29% | -12.55 | 12-7 |
| 2003-07-18 | @ New York Liberty | L 48-56 | 1534.64 | 1490.50 | 43.95% | 56.05% | -9.24 | 12-8 |
| 2003-07-20 | Cleveland Rockers | L 57-59 | 1525.40 | 1489.28 | 66.94% | 33.06% | -7.03 | 12-9 |
| 2003-07-24 | Detroit Shock | W 67-61 | 1518.37 | 1555.15 | 57.09% | 42.91% | +7.81 | 13-9 |
| 2003-07-26 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 70-74 | 1526.18 | 1498.31 | 41.65% | 58.35% | -6.19 | 13-10 |
| 2003-07-31 | @ Seattle Storm | L 54-69 | 1519.99 | 1540.81 | 35.04% | 64.96% | -10.08 | 13-11 |
| 2003-08-02 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 84-73 | 1509.91 | 1594.34 | 27.22% | 72.78% | +17.93 | 14-11 |
| 2003-08-03 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 60-76 | 1527.84 | 1539.62 | 36.23% | 63.77% | -10.77 | 14-12 |
| 2003-08-07 | New York Liberty | W 65-54 | 1517.07 | 1485.22 | 66.39% | 33.61% | +8.28 | 15-12 |
| 2003-08-09 | Connecticut Sun | W 69-68 | 1525.35 | 1489.25 | 66.93% | 33.07% | +2.46 | 16-12 |
| 2003-08-14 | Washington Mystics | L 69-76 | 1527.81 | 1413.64 | 76.04% | 23.96% | -14.95 | 16-13 |
| 2003-08-16 | @ Indiana Fever | L 63-69 | 1512.86 | 1472.49 | 43.41% | 56.59% | -7.90 | 16-14 |
| 2003-08-20 | Indiana Fever | W 80-50 | 1504.96 | 1480.39 | 65.45% | 34.55% | +14.06 | 17-14 |
| 2003-08-22 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 55-63 | 1519.02 | 1486.50 | 42.31% | 57.69% | -8.89 | 17-15 |
| 2003-08-24 | New York Liberty | W 61-59 | 1510.13 | 1489.99 | 64.87% | 35.13% | +3.69 | 18-15 |
| 2003-08-25 | @ Cleveland Rockers | L 66-75 | 1513.82 | 1469.83 | 43.93% | 56.07% | -9.79 | 18-16 |
| 2003-05-27 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 71-79 | 1475.88 | 1578.71 | 47.64% | 52.36% | -10.01 | 0-1 |
| 2003-05-31 | New York Liberty | W 74-50 | 1465.87 | 1514.09 | 55.47% | 44.53% | +16.21 | 1-1 |
| 2003-06-06 | @ Washington Mystics | W 63-53 | 1482.08 | 1480.10 | 38.08% | 61.92% | +14.54 | 2-1 |
| 2003-06-07 | Charlotte Sting | W 67-57 | 1496.62 | 1534.48 | 56.94% | 43.06% | +10.12 | 3-1 |
| 2003-06-10 | @ New York Liberty | L 65-73 | 1506.74 | 1508.04 | 37.64% | 62.36% | -7.91 | 3-2 |
| 2003-06-14 | Connecticut Sun | W 84-56 | 1498.83 | 1524.48 | 58.66% | 41.34% | +16.25 | 4-2 |
| 2003-06-18 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 57-70 | 1515.08 | 1508.23 | 38.75% | 61.25% | -10.38 | 4-3 |
| 2003-06-20 | Washington Mystics | W 79-74 | 1504.70 | 1425.49 | 72.18% | 27.82% | +4.63 | 5-3 |
| 2003-06-21 | @ Houston Comets | L 62-63 | 1509.33 | 1516.46 | 36.85% | 63.15% | -2.74 | 5-4 |
| 2003-06-25 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 50-61 | 1506.59 | 1507.11 | 37.74% | 62.26% | -9.30 | 5-5 |
| 2003-06-27 | Seattle Storm | L 59-71 | 1497.29 | 1525.57 | 58.29% | 41.71% | -15.00 | 5-6 |
| 2003-06-29 | Indiana Fever | W 66-53 | 1482.29 | 1525.35 | 56.21% | 43.79% | +11.73 | 6-6 |
| 2003-07-02 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 57-64 | 1494.02 | 1470.33 | 41.07% | 58.93% | -8.08 | 6-7 |
| 2003-07-05 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 79-71 | 1485.94 | 1485.09 | 37.93% | 62.07% | +13.05 | 7-7 |
| 2003-07-07 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-81 | 1498.99 | 1628.20 | 22.42% | 77.58% | -4.08 | 7-8 |
| 2003-07-10 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 68-67 | 1494.91 | 1387.56 | 53.01% | 46.99% | +3.49 | 8-8 |
| 2003-07-15 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 57-66 | 1498.40 | 1496.04 | 62.50% | 37.50% | -13.93 | 8-9 |
| 2003-07-17 | Minnesota Lynx | W 70-61 | 1484.47 | 1499.14 | 60.18% | 39.82% | +8.87 | 9-9 |
| 2003-07-19 | Detroit Shock | L 57-58 | 1493.34 | 1547.13 | 54.68% | 45.32% | -4.06 | 9-10 |
| 2003-07-20 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 59-57 | 1489.28 | 1525.40 | 33.06% | 66.94% | +7.03 | 10-10 |
| 2003-07-22 | @ Detroit Shock | L 71-74 | 1496.31 | 1551.19 | 30.72% | 69.28% | -3.95 | 10-11 |
| 2003-07-26 | Washington Mystics | W 89-78 | 1492.36 | 1408.82 | 72.68% | 27.32% | +6.73 | 11-11 |
| 2003-07-27 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 55-64 | 1499.09 | 1396.53 | 52.32% | 47.68% | -11.66 | 11-12 |
| 2003-07-29 | Detroit Shock | L 65-77 | 1487.43 | 1552.24 | 53.10% | 46.90% | -13.67 | 11-13 |
| 2003-08-01 | Phoenix Mercury | W 73-56 | 1473.76 | 1371.63 | 74.75% | 25.25% | +7.74 | 12-13 |
| 2003-08-03 | @ New York Liberty | L 48-60 | 1481.50 | 1467.86 | 39.68% | 60.32% | -10.21 | 12-14 |
| 2003-08-09 | @ Indiana Fever | W 66-62 | 1471.29 | 1498.80 | 34.17% | 65.83% | +9.78 | 13-14 |
| 2003-08-10 | Indiana Fever | W 71-67 | 1481.07 | 1489.02 | 61.10% | 38.90% | +5.78 | 14-14 |
| 2003-08-16 | @ Washington Mystics | W 72-68 | 1486.85 | 1428.58 | 45.96% | 54.04% | +8.03 | 15-14 |
| 2003-08-17 | New York Liberty | L 54-71 | 1494.88 | 1472.94 | 65.11% | 34.89% | -19.95 | 15-15 |
| 2003-08-19 | Connecticut Sun | W 69-52 | 1474.93 | 1499.10 | 58.86% | 41.14% | +12.61 | 16-15 |
| 2003-08-21 | @ Detroit Shock | L 56-71 | 1487.54 | 1574.69 | 26.91% | 73.09% | -7.75 | 16-16 |
| 2003-08-23 | @ Indiana Fever | L 46-59 | 1479.79 | 1484.45 | 37.19% | 62.81% | -9.96 | 16-17 |
| 2003-08-25 | Charlotte Sting | W 75-66 | 1469.83 | 1513.82 | 56.07% | 43.93% | +9.79 | 17-17 |
| 2003-05-24 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 73-82 | 1496.71 | 1567.05 | 52.31% | 47.69% | -11.66 | 0-1 |
| 2003-05-30 | @ Houston Comets | W 91-83 | 1485.05 | 1556.19 | 28.76% | 71.24% | +14.97 | 1-1 |
| 2003-06-01 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 83-64 | 1500.02 | 1504.19 | 37.25% | 62.75% | +20.32 | 2-1 |
| 2003-06-05 | @ Detroit Shock | L 89-103 | 1520.34 | 1458.67 | 46.45% | 53.55% | -12.91 | 2-2 |
| 2003-06-07 | Houston Comets | W 65-58 | 1507.43 | 1531.62 | 58.86% | 41.14% | +8.09 | 3-2 |
| 2003-06-13 | Washington Mystics | W 84-70 | 1515.52 | 1472.90 | 67.76% | 32.24% | +8.96 | 4-2 |
| 2003-06-14 | @ Cleveland Rockers | L 56-84 | 1524.48 | 1498.83 | 41.34% | 58.66% | -16.25 | 4-3 |
| 2003-06-18 | Cleveland Rockers | W 70-57 | 1508.23 | 1515.08 | 61.25% | 38.75% | +10.38 | 5-3 |
| 2003-06-20 | @ Indiana Fever | L 74-84 | 1518.61 | 1514.78 | 38.33% | 61.67% | -9.01 | 5-4 |
| 2003-06-22 | Detroit Shock | L 73-82 | 1509.60 | 1536.56 | 58.47% | 41.53% | -13.03 | 5-5 |
| 2003-06-24 | @ Washington Mystics | W 65-63 | 1496.57 | 1420.87 | 48.46% | 51.54% | +5.41 | 6-5 |
| 2003-06-26 | Indiana Fever | L 90-94 | 1501.98 | 1507.03 | 61.50% | 38.50% | -9.14 | 6-6 |
| 2003-06-28 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 55-69 | 1492.84 | 1516.41 | 34.68% | 65.32% | -9.64 | 6-7 |
| 2003-07-01 | @ New York Liberty | L 64-90 | 1483.20 | 1512.31 | 33.96% | 66.04% | -12.87 | 6-8 |
| 2003-07-02 | Cleveland Rockers | W 64-57 | 1470.33 | 1494.02 | 58.93% | 41.07% | +8.08 | 7-8 |
| 2003-07-04 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 69-67 | 1478.41 | 1508.33 | 58.06% | 41.94% | +4.41 | 8-8 |
| 2003-07-06 | New York Liberty | W 62-58 | 1482.82 | 1525.17 | 56.31% | 43.69% | +6.49 | 9-8 |
| 2003-07-08 | @ Detroit Shock | L 50-66 | 1489.31 | 1527.09 | 32.85% | 67.15% | -9.77 | 9-9 |
| 2003-07-10 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 75-83 | 1479.54 | 1485.19 | 37.05% | 62.95% | -7.78 | 9-10 |
| 2003-07-17 | Seattle Storm | L 65-67 | 1471.76 | 1553.99 | 50.60% | 49.40% | -5.32 | 9-11 |
| 2003-07-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 75-67 | 1466.44 | 1382.47 | 49.65% | 50.35% | +10.58 | 10-11 |
| 2003-07-20 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 76-73 | 1477.02 | 1626.23 | 20.48% | 79.52% | +10.24 | 11-11 |
| 2003-07-23 | Minnesota Lynx | W 84-70 | 1487.26 | 1501.59 | 60.23% | 39.77% | +11.05 | 12-11 |
| 2003-07-26 | Charlotte Sting | W 74-70 | 1498.31 | 1526.18 | 58.35% | 41.65% | +6.19 | 13-11 |
| 2003-08-01 | Washington Mystics | L 45-48 | 1504.50 | 1393.96 | 75.65% | 24.35% | -9.73 | 13-12 |
| 2003-08-03 | Indiana Fever | W 66-55 | 1494.77 | 1523.75 | 58.19% | 41.81% | +10.30 | 14-12 |
| 2003-08-05 | Detroit Shock | L 61-78 | 1505.07 | 1580.18 | 51.63% | 48.37% | -15.82 | 14-13 |
| 2003-08-09 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 68-69 | 1489.25 | 1525.35 | 33.07% | 66.93% | -2.45 | 14-14 |
| 2003-08-12 | New York Liberty | L 73-74 | 1486.80 | 1485.24 | 62.40% | 37.60% | -4.64 | 14-15 |
| 2003-08-16 | @ New York Liberty | W 84-71 | 1482.16 | 1489.88 | 36.78% | 63.22% | +16.94 | 15-15 |
| 2003-08-19 | @ Cleveland Rockers | L 52-69 | 1499.10 | 1474.93 | 41.14% | 58.86% | -12.60 | 15-16 |
| 2003-08-22 | Charlotte Sting | W 63-55 | 1486.50 | 1519.02 | 57.69% | 42.31% | +8.89 | 16-16 |
| 2003-08-23 | @ Washington Mystics | W 74-67 | 1495.39 | 1412.07 | 49.55% | 50.45% | +9.91 | 17-16 |
| 2003-08-25 | @ Indiana Fever | W 72-62 | 1505.30 | 1494.42 | 39.30% | 60.70% | +14.27 | 18-16 |
| 2003-05-31 | Charlotte Sting | L 67-70 | 1465.92 | 1507.63 | 56.40% | 43.60% | -7.25 | 0-1 |
| 2003-06-05 | Connecticut Sun | W 103-89 | 1458.67 | 1520.34 | 53.55% | 46.45% | +12.91 | 1-1 |
| 2003-06-07 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 74-55 | 1471.58 | 1482.98 | 36.28% | 63.72% | +20.63 | 2-1 |
| 2003-06-14 | @ Washington Mystics | W 93-56 | 1492.21 | 1463.93 | 41.71% | 58.29% | +26.35 | 3-1 |
| 2003-06-17 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 87-78 | 1518.56 | 1634.30 | 45.79% | 54.21% | +12.08 | 4-1 |
| 2003-06-20 | New York Liberty | W 88-83 | 1530.64 | 1514.36 | 64.36% | 35.64% | +5.92 | 5-1 |
| 2003-06-22 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 82-73 | 1536.56 | 1509.60 | 41.53% | 58.47% | +13.04 | 6-1 |
| 2003-06-24 | Indiana Fever | W 68-60 | 1549.60 | 1513.99 | 66.87% | 33.13% | +6.96 | 7-1 |
| 2003-06-27 | @ New York Liberty | W 75-69 | 1556.56 | 1522.77 | 42.48% | 57.52% | +10.47 | 8-1 |
| 2003-06-28 | Phoenix Mercury | L 65-68 | 1567.03 | 1390.71 | 81.94% | 18.06% | -10.55 | 8-2 |
| 2003-07-01 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 99-88 | 1556.48 | 1450.63 | 75.15% | 24.85% | +6.12 | 9-2 |
| 2003-07-03 | Charlotte Sting | L 79-92 | 1562.60 | 1510.24 | 68.97% | 31.03% | -18.47 | 9-3 |
| 2003-07-06 | @ Indiana Fever | L 54-85 | 1544.13 | 1519.57 | 41.19% | 58.81% | -17.04 | 9-4 |
| 2003-07-08 | Connecticut Sun | W 66-50 | 1527.09 | 1489.31 | 67.15% | 32.85% | +9.76 | 10-4 |
| 2003-07-10 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 58-65 | 1536.85 | 1539.83 | 37.41% | 62.59% | -7.36 | 10-5 |
| 2003-07-16 | @ Indiana Fever | W 70-68 | 1529.49 | 1537.95 | 36.68% | 63.32% | +6.66 | 11-5 |
| 2003-07-18 | Seattle Storm | W 74-61 | 1536.15 | 1559.30 | 59.00% | 41.00% | +10.98 | 12-5 |
| 2003-07-19 | @ Cleveland Rockers | W 58-57 | 1547.13 | 1493.34 | 45.32% | 54.68% | +4.06 | 13-5 |
| 2003-07-22 | Cleveland Rockers | W 74-71 | 1551.19 | 1496.31 | 69.28% | 30.72% | +3.96 | 14-5 |
| 2003-07-24 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 61-67 | 1555.15 | 1518.37 | 42.91% | 57.09% | -7.81 | 14-6 |
| 2003-07-27 | Washington Mystics | W 81-71 | 1547.34 | 1402.09 | 79.14% | 20.86% | +4.90 | 15-6 |
| 2003-07-29 | @ Cleveland Rockers | W 77-65 | 1552.24 | 1487.43 | 46.90% | 53.10% | +13.67 | 16-6 |
| 2003-08-01 | @ New York Liberty | W 62-60 | 1565.91 | 1473.02 | 50.93% | 49.07% | +5.15 | 17-6 |
| 2003-08-02 | Indiana Fever | W 72-58 | 1571.06 | 1532.87 | 67.20% | 32.80% | +9.12 | 18-6 |
| 2003-08-05 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 78-61 | 1580.18 | 1505.07 | 48.37% | 51.63% | +15.82 | 19-6 |
| 2003-08-06 | @ Washington Mystics | L 81-92 | 1596.00 | 1398.69 | 65.44% | 34.56% | -16.13 | 19-7 |
| 2003-08-08 | Houston Comets | L 56-66 | 1579.87 | 1581.93 | 61.91% | 38.09% | -14.54 | 19-8 |
| 2003-08-10 | New York Liberty | W 90-87 | 1565.33 | 1488.86 | 71.86% | 28.14% | +3.62 | 20-8 |
| 2003-08-13 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 78-76 | 1568.95 | 1366.99 | 66.04% | 33.96% | +3.56 | 21-8 |
| 2003-08-15 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 63-75 | 1572.51 | 1542.93 | 41.89% | 58.11% | -10.78 | 21-9 |
| 2003-08-17 | @ Seattle Storm | W 95-86 | 1561.73 | 1532.41 | 41.86% | 58.14% | +12.96 | 22-9 |
| 2003-08-21 | Cleveland Rockers | W 71-56 | 1574.69 | 1487.54 | 73.09% | 26.91% | +7.75 | 23-9 |
| 2003-08-23 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 86-77 | 1582.44 | 1504.02 | 48.85% | 51.15% | +11.40 | 24-9 |
| 2003-08-25 | Washington Mystics | W 68-60 | 1593.84 | 1402.15 | 83.21% | 16.79% | +3.53 | 25-9 |
| 2003-05-22 | Seattle Storm | W 75-64 | 1538.67 | 1506.15 | 66.48% | 33.52% | +8.26 | 1-0 |
| 2003-05-24 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 69-62 | 1546.93 | 1440.51 | 52.88% | 47.12% | +9.26 | 2-0 |
| 2003-05-30 | Connecticut Sun | L 83-91 | 1556.19 | 1485.05 | 71.24% | 28.76% | -14.97 | 2-1 |
| 2003-06-01 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 64-68 | 1541.22 | 1485.84 | 45.55% | 54.45% | -6.77 | 2-2 |
| 2003-06-03 | Phoenix Mercury | W 66-51 | 1534.45 | 1425.66 | 75.47% | 24.53% | +7.06 | 3-2 |
| 2003-06-06 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 58-69 | 1541.51 | 1524.59 | 40.13% | 59.87% | -9.89 | 3-3 |
| 2003-06-07 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 58-65 | 1531.62 | 1507.43 | 41.14% | 58.86% | -8.08 | 3-4 |
| 2003-06-10 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 71-66 | 1523.54 | 1490.48 | 66.55% | 33.45% | +5.55 | 4-4 |
| 2003-06-14 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 61-76 | 1529.09 | 1394.29 | 56.92% | 43.08% | -16.38 | 4-5 |
| 2003-06-17 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 77-68 | 1512.71 | 1478.46 | 42.55% | 57.45% | +12.81 | 5-5 |
| 2003-06-20 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 69-76 | 1525.52 | 1466.49 | 46.07% | 53.93% | -9.06 | 5-6 |
| 2003-06-21 | Cleveland Rockers | W 63-62 | 1516.46 | 1509.33 | 63.15% | 36.85% | +2.74 | 6-6 |
| 2003-06-24 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 62-71 | 1519.20 | 1620.30 | 47.89% | 52.11% | -10.67 | 6-7 |
| 2003-06-28 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 64-49 | 1508.53 | 1459.68 | 68.54% | 31.46% | +9.05 | 7-7 |
| 2003-07-01 | Minnesota Lynx | W 71-69 | 1517.58 | 1488.66 | 66.01% | 33.99% | +3.57 | 8-7 |
| 2003-07-05 | Washington Mystics | W 76-54 | 1521.15 | 1391.68 | 77.60% | 22.40% | +7.81 | 9-7 |
| 2003-07-08 | Indiana Fever | W 60-56 | 1528.96 | 1536.61 | 61.14% | 38.86% | +5.77 | 10-7 |
| 2003-07-15 | @ Seattle Storm | L 55-69 | 1534.73 | 1543.81 | 36.59% | 63.41% | -10.17 | 10-8 |
| 2003-07-18 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 79-74 | 1524.56 | 1638.86 | 23.95% | 76.05% | +12.63 | 11-8 |
| 2003-07-19 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 74-71 | 1537.19 | 1515.43 | 40.80% | 59.20% | +7.62 | 12-8 |
| 2003-07-26 | New York Liberty | W 61-53 | 1544.81 | 1490.35 | 69.23% | 30.77% | +6.47 | 13-8 |
| 2003-07-29 | Minnesota Lynx | W 73-58 | 1551.28 | 1512.28 | 67.30% | 32.70% | +9.41 | 14-8 |
| 2003-08-01 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 53-63 | 1560.69 | 1426.04 | 56.90% | 43.10% | -13.37 | 14-9 |
| 2003-08-02 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 64-55 | 1547.32 | 1439.41 | 75.37% | 24.63% | +5.49 | 15-9 |
| 2003-08-05 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 74-47 | 1552.81 | 1550.39 | 62.51% | 37.49% | +14.47 | 16-9 |
| 2003-08-07 | @ Indiana Fever | W 68-55 | 1567.28 | 1513.44 | 45.33% | 54.67% | +14.65 | 17-9 |
| 2003-08-08 | @ Detroit Shock | W 66-56 | 1581.93 | 1579.87 | 38.09% | 61.91% | +14.54 | 18-9 |
| 2003-08-10 | Phoenix Mercury | W 69-46 | 1596.47 | 1372.09 | 85.68% | 14.32% | +5.11 | 19-9 |
| 2003-08-16 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-64 | 1601.58 | 1552.66 | 68.55% | 31.45% | -5.10 | 19-10 |
| 2003-08-18 | @ New York Liberty | L 64-67 | 1596.48 | 1492.88 | 52.47% | 47.53% | -6.75 | 19-11 |
| 2003-08-19 | Seattle Storm | W 52-47 | 1589.73 | 1519.45 | 71.14% | 28.86% | +4.80 | 20-11 |
| 2003-08-21 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 54-62 | 1594.53 | 1559.34 | 42.68% | 57.32% | -8.97 | 20-12 |
| 2003-08-23 | @ Seattle Storm | L 64-71 | 1585.56 | 1504.32 | 49.26% | 50.74% | -9.69 | 20-13 |
| 2003-08-25 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 64-67 | 1575.87 | 1574.88 | 37.95% | 62.05% | -4.88 | 20-14 |
| 2003-05-29 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 57-66 | 1492.95 | 1499.39 | 36.95% | 63.05% | -8.23 | 0-1 |
| 2003-05-31 | Washington Mystics | W 71-60 | 1484.72 | 1499.76 | 60.13% | 39.87% | +9.82 | 1-1 |
| 2003-06-07 | New York Liberty | W 86-66 | 1494.54 | 1521.85 | 58.42% | 41.58% | +13.82 | 2-1 |
| 2003-06-10 | @ Seattle Storm | L 51-78 | 1508.36 | 1501.85 | 38.70% | 61.30% | -14.94 | 2-2 |
| 2003-06-12 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 66-74 | 1493.42 | 1620.36 | 22.65% | 77.35% | -4.76 | 2-3 |
| 2003-06-14 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 79-67 | 1488.66 | 1494.76 | 36.99% | 63.01% | +16.21 | 3-3 |
| 2003-06-17 | Charlotte Sting | W 71-60 | 1504.87 | 1522.35 | 59.79% | 40.21% | +9.91 | 4-3 |
| 2003-06-20 | Connecticut Sun | W 84-74 | 1514.78 | 1518.61 | 61.67% | 38.33% | +9.01 | 5-3 |
| 2003-06-21 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 58-66 | 1523.79 | 1460.94 | 46.61% | 53.39% | -9.80 | 5-4 |
| 2003-06-24 | @ Detroit Shock | L 60-68 | 1513.99 | 1549.60 | 33.13% | 66.87% | -6.96 | 5-5 |
| 2003-06-26 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 94-90 | 1507.03 | 1501.98 | 38.50% | 61.50% | +9.14 | 6-5 |
| 2003-06-28 | Seattle Storm | W 79-70 | 1516.17 | 1540.57 | 58.83% | 41.17% | +9.18 | 7-5 |
| 2003-06-29 | @ Cleveland Rockers | L 53-66 | 1525.35 | 1482.29 | 43.79% | 56.21% | -11.74 | 7-6 |
| 2003-07-02 | Phoenix Mercury | W 79-68 | 1513.61 | 1401.26 | 75.85% | 24.15% | +5.96 | 8-6 |
| 2003-07-06 | Detroit Shock | W 85-54 | 1519.57 | 1544.13 | 58.81% | 41.19% | +17.04 | 9-6 |
| 2003-07-08 | @ Houston Comets | L 56-60 | 1536.61 | 1528.96 | 38.86% | 61.14% | -5.78 | 9-7 |
| 2003-07-10 | New York Liberty | W 76-69 | 1530.83 | 1518.68 | 63.82% | 36.18% | +7.12 | 10-7 |
| 2003-07-16 | Detroit Shock | L 68-70 | 1537.95 | 1529.49 | 63.32% | 36.68% | -6.66 | 10-8 |
| 2003-07-20 | @ New York Liberty | L 65-73 | 1531.29 | 1499.73 | 42.17% | 57.83% | -8.86 | 10-9 |
| 2003-07-23 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 81-47 | 1522.43 | 1417.91 | 75.01% | 24.99% | +10.83 | 11-9 |
| 2003-07-24 | @ Washington Mystics | W 80-75 | 1533.26 | 1416.40 | 54.37% | 45.63% | +7.58 | 12-9 |
| 2003-07-26 | Minnesota Lynx | L 65-70 | 1540.84 | 1501.08 | 67.40% | 32.60% | -11.20 | 12-10 |
| 2003-07-29 | @ Washington Mystics | W 92-91 | 1529.64 | 1397.19 | 56.59% | 43.41% | +3.23 | 13-10 |
| 2003-08-02 | @ Detroit Shock | L 58-72 | 1532.87 | 1571.06 | 32.80% | 67.20% | -9.12 | 13-11 |
| 2003-08-03 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 55-66 | 1523.75 | 1494.77 | 41.81% | 58.19% | -10.31 | 13-12 |
| 2003-08-07 | Houston Comets | L 55-68 | 1513.44 | 1567.28 | 54.67% | 45.33% | -14.64 | 13-13 |
| 2003-08-09 | Cleveland Rockers | L 62-66 | 1498.80 | 1471.29 | 65.83% | 34.17% | -9.78 | 13-14 |
| 2003-08-10 | @ Cleveland Rockers | L 67-71 | 1489.02 | 1481.07 | 38.90% | 61.10% | -5.78 | 13-15 |
| 2003-08-12 | Washington Mystics | L 80-84 | 1483.24 | 1402.89 | 72.31% | 27.69% | -10.75 | 13-16 |
| 2003-08-16 | Charlotte Sting | W 69-63 | 1472.49 | 1512.86 | 56.59% | 43.41% | +7.90 | 14-16 |
| 2003-08-20 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 50-80 | 1480.39 | 1504.96 | 34.55% | 65.45% | -14.06 | 14-17 |
| 2003-08-22 | @ New York Liberty | W 64-51 | 1466.33 | 1508.12 | 32.34% | 67.66% | +18.12 | 15-17 |
| 2003-08-23 | Cleveland Rockers | W 59-46 | 1484.45 | 1479.79 | 62.81% | 37.19% | +9.97 | 16-17 |
| 2003-08-25 | Connecticut Sun | L 62-72 | 1494.42 | 1505.30 | 60.70% | 39.30% | -14.27 | 16-18 |
| 2003-05-24 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 82-73 | 1567.05 | 1496.71 | 47.69% | 52.31% | +11.66 | 1-0 |
| 2003-05-27 | @ Cleveland Rockers | W 79-71 | 1578.71 | 1475.88 | 52.36% | 47.64% | +10.01 | 2-0 |
| 2003-05-28 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 83-80 | 1588.72 | 1475.62 | 53.83% | 46.17% | +5.94 | 3-0 |
| 2003-05-30 | @ Seattle Storm | W 77-74 | 1594.66 | 1490.01 | 52.62% | 47.38% | +6.10 | 4-0 |
| 2003-06-05 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 63-61 | 1600.76 | 1508.49 | 73.66% | 26.34% | +2.77 | 5-0 |
| 2003-06-07 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 79-61 | 1603.53 | 1505.72 | 51.64% | 48.36% | +15.24 | 6-0 |
| 2003-06-10 | Minnesota Lynx | W 76-75 | 1618.77 | 1478.48 | 78.67% | 21.33% | +1.59 | 7-0 |
| 2003-06-12 | Indiana Fever | W 74-66 | 1620.36 | 1493.42 | 77.35% | 22.65% | +4.76 | 8-0 |
| 2003-06-14 | @ New York Liberty | W 67-60 | 1625.12 | 1515.95 | 53.27% | 46.73% | +9.18 | 9-0 |
| 2003-06-17 | @ Detroit Shock | L 78-87 | 1634.30 | 1518.56 | 54.21% | 45.79% | -12.08 | 9-1 |
| 2003-06-19 | Seattle Storm | L 67-69 | 1622.22 | 1509.01 | 75.93% | 24.07% | -7.98 | 9-2 |
| 2003-06-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 54-48 | 1614.24 | 1407.04 | 66.72% | 33.28% | +6.06 | 10-2 |
| 2003-06-24 | @ Houston Comets | W 71-62 | 1620.30 | 1519.20 | 52.11% | 47.89% | +10.67 | 11-2 |
| 2003-06-26 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 67-58 | 1630.97 | 1468.42 | 60.79% | 39.21% | +8.74 | 12-2 |
| 2003-06-28 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 60-69 | 1639.71 | 1481.59 | 80.34% | 19.66% | -17.91 | 12-3 |
| 2003-07-05 | Seattle Storm | W 84-75 | 1621.80 | 1550.21 | 71.29% | 28.71% | +6.40 | 13-3 |
| 2003-07-07 | Cleveland Rockers | W 81-75 | 1628.20 | 1498.99 | 77.58% | 22.42% | +4.08 | 14-3 |
| 2003-07-09 | @ Washington Mystics | W 97-91 | 1632.28 | 1376.38 | 72.62% | 27.38% | +4.99 | 15-3 |
| 2003-07-15 | Phoenix Mercury | W 80-77 | 1637.27 | 1384.07 | 87.60% | 12.40% | +1.59 | 16-3 |
| 2003-07-18 | Houston Comets | L 74-79 | 1638.86 | 1524.56 | 76.05% | 23.95% | -12.63 | 16-4 |
| 2003-07-20 | Connecticut Sun | L 73-76 | 1626.23 | 1477.02 | 79.52% | 20.48% | -10.24 | 16-5 |
| 2003-07-22 | Washington Mystics | W 77-73 | 1615.99 | 1418.83 | 83.65% | 16.35% | +2.43 | 17-5 |
| 2003-07-24 | Phoenix Mercury | W 82-65 | 1618.42 | 1371.89 | 87.18% | 12.82% | +3.93 | 18-5 |
| 2003-07-30 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 62-70 | 1622.35 | 1408.19 | 84.94% | 15.06% | -17.85 | 18-6 |
| 2003-07-31 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 75-83 | 1604.50 | 1529.45 | 48.37% | 51.63% | -10.16 | 18-7 |
| 2003-08-02 | Charlotte Sting | L 73-84 | 1594.34 | 1509.91 | 72.78% | 27.22% | -17.94 | 18-8 |
| 2003-08-06 | @ Seattle Storm | L 56-92 | 1576.40 | 1546.22 | 41.98% | 58.02% | -18.71 | 18-9 |
| 2003-08-08 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 67-64 | 1557.69 | 1376.82 | 63.27% | 36.73% | +4.73 | 19-9 |
| 2003-08-09 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 52-69 | 1562.42 | 1409.42 | 59.47% | 40.53% | -18.22 | 19-10 |
| 2003-08-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 87-83 | 1544.20 | 1506.18 | 43.08% | 56.92% | +8.46 | 20-10 |
| 2003-08-16 | @ Houston Comets | W 64-63 | 1552.66 | 1601.58 | 31.45% | 68.55% | +5.09 | 21-10 |
| 2003-08-21 | Minnesota Lynx | W 88-65 | 1557.75 | 1515.53 | 67.71% | 32.29% | +11.51 | 22-10 |
| 2003-08-23 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 83-70 | 1569.26 | 1425.59 | 78.99% | 21.01% | +5.62 | 23-10 |
| 2003-08-25 | Houston Comets | W 67-64 | 1574.88 | 1575.87 | 62.05% | 37.95% | +4.89 | 24-10 |
| 2003-05-24 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 72-71 | 1472.38 | 1514.28 | 56.37% | 43.63% | +3.24 | 1-0 |
| 2003-05-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 80-83 | 1475.62 | 1588.72 | 46.17% | 53.83% | -5.94 | 1-1 |
| 2003-05-30 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 75-65 | 1469.68 | 1520.34 | 31.24% | 68.76% | +16.16 | 2-1 |
| 2003-06-01 | Houston Comets | W 68-64 | 1485.84 | 1541.22 | 54.45% | 45.55% | +6.77 | 3-1 |
| 2003-06-06 | New York Liberty | L 60-70 | 1492.61 | 1507.73 | 60.12% | 39.88% | -14.13 | 3-2 |
| 2003-06-10 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-76 | 1478.48 | 1618.77 | 21.33% | 78.67% | -1.58 | 3-3 |
| 2003-06-12 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 55-68 | 1476.90 | 1484.92 | 36.74% | 63.26% | -9.85 | 3-4 |
| 2003-06-14 | @ Seattle Storm | W 77-72 | 1467.05 | 1516.79 | 31.35% | 68.65% | +11.41 | 4-4 |
| 2003-06-17 | Houston Comets | L 68-77 | 1478.46 | 1512.71 | 57.45% | 42.55% | -12.81 | 4-5 |
| 2003-06-20 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 72-76 | 1465.65 | 1512.44 | 31.72% | 68.28% | -4.71 | 4-6 |
| 2003-06-21 | Indiana Fever | W 66-58 | 1460.94 | 1523.79 | 53.39% | 46.61% | +9.80 | 5-6 |
| 2003-06-27 | Phoenix Mercury | W 67-59 | 1470.74 | 1396.68 | 71.58% | 28.42% | +5.97 | 6-6 |
| 2003-06-29 | @ Washington Mystics | W 59-50 | 1476.71 | 1415.45 | 46.39% | 53.61% | +11.95 | 7-6 |
| 2003-07-01 | @ Houston Comets | L 69-71 | 1488.66 | 1517.58 | 33.99% | 66.01% | -3.57 | 7-7 |
| 2003-07-05 | Cleveland Rockers | L 71-79 | 1485.09 | 1485.94 | 62.07% | 37.93% | -13.04 | 7-8 |
| 2003-07-08 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 77-59 | 1472.05 | 1500.29 | 58.29% | 41.71% | +13.14 | 8-8 |
| 2003-07-10 | Connecticut Sun | W 83-75 | 1485.19 | 1479.54 | 62.95% | 37.05% | +7.79 | 9-8 |
| 2003-07-16 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 85-78 | 1492.98 | 1443.35 | 68.64% | 31.36% | +6.16 | 10-8 |
| 2003-07-17 | @ Cleveland Rockers | L 61-70 | 1499.14 | 1484.47 | 39.82% | 60.18% | -8.87 | 10-9 |
| 2003-07-20 | Seattle Storm | W 69-58 | 1490.27 | 1548.32 | 54.07% | 45.93% | +11.32 | 11-9 |
| 2003-07-23 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 70-84 | 1501.59 | 1487.26 | 39.77% | 60.23% | -11.06 | 11-10 |
| 2003-07-25 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 81-54 | 1490.53 | 1407.08 | 72.67% | 27.33% | +10.55 | 12-10 |
| 2003-07-26 | @ Indiana Fever | W 70-65 | 1501.08 | 1540.84 | 32.60% | 67.40% | +11.20 | 13-10 |
| 2003-07-29 | @ Houston Comets | L 58-73 | 1512.28 | 1551.28 | 32.70% | 67.30% | -9.41 | 13-11 |
| 2003-08-02 | Seattle Storm | W 73-71 | 1502.87 | 1550.89 | 55.50% | 44.50% | +4.68 | 14-11 |
| 2003-08-04 | Phoenix Mercury | W 61-56 | 1507.55 | 1368.90 | 78.51% | 21.49% | +3.57 | 15-11 |
| 2003-08-06 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 49-56 | 1511.12 | 1365.33 | 58.46% | 41.54% | -11.50 | 15-12 |
| 2003-08-08 | @ Seattle Storm | L 65-68 | 1499.62 | 1564.93 | 29.46% | 70.54% | -3.79 | 15-13 |
| 2003-08-09 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 77-73 | 1495.83 | 1553.28 | 30.41% | 69.59% | +10.35 | 16-13 |
| 2003-08-14 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 83-87 | 1506.18 | 1544.20 | 56.92% | 43.08% | -8.46 | 16-14 |
| 2003-08-16 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 73-64 | 1497.72 | 1446.14 | 45.00% | 55.00% | +12.26 | 17-14 |
| 2003-08-20 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 69-66 | 1509.98 | 1375.61 | 56.86% | 43.14% | +5.55 | 18-14 |
| 2003-08-21 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 65-88 | 1515.53 | 1557.75 | 32.29% | 67.71% | -11.51 | 18-15 |
| 2003-08-23 | Detroit Shock | L 77-86 | 1504.02 | 1582.44 | 51.15% | 48.85% | -11.40 | 18-16 |
| 2003-05-31 | @ Cleveland Rockers | L 50-74 | 1514.09 | 1465.87 | 44.53% | 55.47% | -16.21 | 0-1 |
| 2003-06-01 | Washington Mystics | W 70-57 | 1497.88 | 1489.94 | 63.25% | 36.75% | +9.85 | 1-1 |
| 2003-06-06 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 70-60 | 1507.73 | 1492.61 | 39.88% | 60.12% | +14.12 | 2-1 |
| 2003-06-07 | @ Indiana Fever | L 66-86 | 1521.85 | 1494.54 | 41.58% | 58.42% | -13.81 | 2-2 |
| 2003-06-10 | Cleveland Rockers | W 73-65 | 1508.04 | 1506.74 | 62.36% | 37.64% | +7.91 | 3-2 |
| 2003-06-14 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 60-67 | 1515.95 | 1625.12 | 46.73% | 53.27% | -9.19 | 3-3 |
| 2003-06-17 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 70-61 | 1506.76 | 1478.54 | 65.92% | 34.08% | +7.60 | 4-3 |
| 2003-06-20 | @ Detroit Shock | L 83-88 | 1514.36 | 1530.64 | 35.64% | 64.36% | -5.92 | 4-4 |
| 2003-06-22 | Charlotte Sting | W 69-57 | 1508.44 | 1517.15 | 61.00% | 39.00% | +10.03 | 5-4 |
| 2003-06-25 | Phoenix Mercury | W 70-64 | 1518.47 | 1400.98 | 76.38% | 23.62% | +4.30 | 6-4 |
| 2003-06-27 | Detroit Shock | L 69-75 | 1522.77 | 1556.56 | 57.52% | 42.48% | -10.46 | 6-5 |
| 2003-07-01 | Connecticut Sun | W 90-64 | 1512.31 | 1483.20 | 66.04% | 33.96% | +12.86 | 7-5 |
| 2003-07-06 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 58-62 | 1525.17 | 1482.82 | 43.69% | 56.31% | -6.49 | 7-6 |
| 2003-07-10 | @ Indiana Fever | L 69-76 | 1518.68 | 1530.83 | 36.18% | 63.82% | -7.11 | 7-7 |
| 2003-07-15 | Washington Mystics | L 64-77 | 1511.57 | 1371.40 | 78.66% | 21.34% | -21.07 | 7-8 |
| 2003-07-18 | Charlotte Sting | W 56-48 | 1490.50 | 1534.64 | 56.05% | 43.95% | +9.23 | 8-8 |
| 2003-07-20 | Indiana Fever | W 73-65 | 1499.73 | 1531.29 | 57.83% | 42.17% | +8.86 | 9-8 |
| 2003-07-23 | @ Seattle Storm | L 65-75 | 1508.59 | 1537.00 | 34.05% | 65.95% | -8.00 | 9-9 |
| 2003-07-24 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 53-67 | 1500.59 | 1507.82 | 36.84% | 63.16% | -10.24 | 9-10 |
| 2003-07-26 | @ Houston Comets | L 53-61 | 1490.35 | 1544.81 | 30.77% | 69.23% | -6.47 | 9-11 |
| 2003-07-29 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 59-66 | 1483.88 | 1360.76 | 55.26% | 44.74% | -10.86 | 9-12 |
| 2003-08-01 | Detroit Shock | L 60-62 | 1473.02 | 1565.91 | 49.07% | 50.93% | -5.16 | 9-13 |
| 2003-08-03 | Cleveland Rockers | W 60-48 | 1467.86 | 1481.50 | 60.32% | 39.68% | +10.22 | 10-13 |
| 2003-08-05 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 69-60 | 1478.08 | 1433.92 | 67.95% | 32.05% | +7.14 | 11-13 |
| 2003-08-07 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 54-65 | 1485.22 | 1517.07 | 33.61% | 66.39% | -8.28 | 11-14 |
| 2003-08-09 | @ Washington Mystics | W 65-56 | 1476.94 | 1414.81 | 46.51% | 53.49% | +11.92 | 12-14 |
| 2003-08-10 | @ Detroit Shock | L 87-90 | 1488.86 | 1565.33 | 28.14% | 71.86% | -3.62 | 12-15 |
| 2003-08-12 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 74-73 | 1485.24 | 1486.80 | 37.60% | 62.40% | +4.64 | 13-15 |
| 2003-08-16 | Connecticut Sun | L 71-84 | 1489.88 | 1482.16 | 63.22% | 36.78% | -16.94 | 13-16 |
| 2003-08-17 | @ Cleveland Rockers | W 71-54 | 1472.94 | 1494.88 | 34.89% | 65.11% | +19.94 | 14-16 |
| 2003-08-18 | Houston Comets | W 67-64 | 1492.88 | 1596.48 | 47.53% | 52.47% | +6.76 | 15-16 |
| 2003-08-21 | @ Washington Mystics | W 65-60 | 1499.64 | 1420.55 | 48.95% | 51.05% | +8.48 | 16-16 |
| 2003-08-22 | Indiana Fever | L 51-64 | 1508.12 | 1466.33 | 67.66% | 32.34% | -18.13 | 16-17 |
| 2003-08-24 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 59-61 | 1489.99 | 1510.13 | 35.13% | 64.87% | -3.69 | 16-18 |
| 2003-05-22 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 56-65 | 1452.85 | 1501.94 | 55.35% | 44.65% | -12.34 | 0-1 |
| 2003-05-24 | Houston Comets | L 62-69 | 1440.51 | 1546.93 | 47.12% | 52.88% | -9.26 | 0-2 |
| 2003-05-28 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 51-50 | 1431.25 | 1524.13 | 49.07% | 50.93% | +3.78 | 1-2 |
| 2003-05-30 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 49-69 | 1435.03 | 1511.04 | 28.19% | 71.81% | -9.37 | 1-3 |
| 2003-06-03 | @ Houston Comets | L 51-66 | 1425.66 | 1534.45 | 24.53% | 75.47% | -7.06 | 1-4 |
| 2003-06-05 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 55-70 | 1418.60 | 1474.16 | 30.63% | 69.37% | -8.81 | 1-5 |
| 2003-06-07 | @ Seattle Storm | L 57-66 | 1409.79 | 1495.83 | 27.04% | 72.96% | -6.03 | 1-6 |
| 2003-06-12 | Charlotte Sting | L 50-58 | 1403.76 | 1524.36 | 45.10% | 54.90% | -9.47 | 1-7 |
| 2003-06-14 | Houston Comets | W 76-61 | 1394.29 | 1529.09 | 43.08% | 56.92% | +16.37 | 2-7 |
| 2003-06-17 | Seattle Storm | L 60-61 | 1410.66 | 1505.39 | 48.80% | 51.20% | -3.62 | 2-8 |
| 2003-06-21 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 48-54 | 1407.04 | 1614.24 | 33.28% | 66.72% | -6.06 | 2-9 |
| 2003-06-25 | @ New York Liberty | L 64-70 | 1400.98 | 1518.47 | 23.62% | 76.38% | -4.30 | 2-10 |
| 2003-06-27 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 59-67 | 1396.68 | 1470.74 | 28.42% | 71.58% | -5.97 | 2-11 |
| 2003-06-28 | @ Detroit Shock | W 68-65 | 1390.71 | 1567.03 | 18.06% | 81.94% | +10.55 | 3-11 |
| 2003-07-02 | @ Indiana Fever | L 68-79 | 1401.26 | 1513.61 | 24.15% | 75.85% | -5.96 | 3-12 |
| 2003-07-05 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 70-81 | 1395.30 | 1444.50 | 31.42% | 68.58% | -7.74 | 3-13 |
| 2003-07-10 | Cleveland Rockers | L 67-68 | 1387.56 | 1494.91 | 46.99% | 53.01% | -3.49 | 3-14 |
| 2003-07-15 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 77-80 | 1384.07 | 1637.27 | 12.40% | 87.60% | -1.60 | 3-15 |
| 2003-07-19 | Connecticut Sun | L 67-75 | 1382.47 | 1466.44 | 50.35% | 49.65% | -10.58 | 3-16 |
| 2003-07-24 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 65-82 | 1371.89 | 1618.42 | 12.82% | 87.18% | -3.93 | 3-17 |
| 2003-07-25 | @ Seattle Storm | L 53-82 | 1367.96 | 1545.00 | 18.00% | 82.00% | -7.20 | 3-18 |
| 2003-07-29 | New York Liberty | W 66-59 | 1360.76 | 1483.88 | 44.74% | 55.26% | +10.87 | 4-18 |
| 2003-08-01 | @ Cleveland Rockers | L 56-73 | 1371.63 | 1473.76 | 25.25% | 74.75% | -7.74 | 4-19 |
| 2003-08-03 | @ Washington Mystics | W 70-69 | 1363.89 | 1403.70 | 32.60% | 67.40% | +5.01 | 5-19 |
| 2003-08-04 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 56-61 | 1368.90 | 1507.55 | 21.49% | 78.51% | -3.57 | 5-20 |
| 2003-08-06 | Minnesota Lynx | W 56-49 | 1365.33 | 1511.12 | 41.54% | 58.46% | +11.49 | 6-20 |
| 2003-08-08 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 64-67 | 1376.82 | 1557.69 | 36.73% | 63.27% | -4.73 | 6-21 |
| 2003-08-10 | @ Houston Comets | L 46-69 | 1372.09 | 1596.47 | 14.32% | 85.68% | -5.10 | 6-22 |
| 2003-08-13 | Detroit Shock | L 76-78 | 1366.99 | 1568.95 | 33.96% | 66.04% | -3.57 | 6-23 |
| 2003-08-15 | Seattle Storm | W 64-50 | 1363.42 | 1550.22 | 35.94% | 64.06% | +17.81 | 7-23 |
| 2003-08-16 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 61-65 | 1381.23 | 1553.72 | 37.86% | 62.14% | -5.62 | 7-24 |
| 2003-08-20 | Minnesota Lynx | L 66-69 | 1375.61 | 1509.98 | 43.14% | 56.86% | -5.56 | 7-25 |
| 2003-08-22 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 89-62 | 1370.05 | 1444.21 | 51.76% | 48.24% | +18.63 | 8-25 |
| 2003-08-23 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 54-61 | 1388.68 | 1568.31 | 17.78% | 82.22% | -3.50 | 8-26 |
| 2003-05-22 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 65-56 | 1501.94 | 1452.85 | 44.65% | 55.35% | +12.34 | 1-0 |
| 2003-05-24 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 71-72 | 1514.28 | 1472.38 | 43.63% | 56.37% | -3.24 | 1-1 |
| 2003-05-30 | Phoenix Mercury | W 69-49 | 1511.04 | 1435.03 | 71.81% | 28.19% | +9.37 | 2-1 |
| 2003-06-03 | @ Seattle Storm | L 56-70 | 1520.41 | 1483.91 | 42.87% | 57.13% | -11.92 | 2-2 |
| 2003-06-05 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 61-63 | 1508.49 | 1600.76 | 26.34% | 73.66% | -2.77 | 2-3 |
| 2003-06-07 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 61-79 | 1505.72 | 1603.53 | 48.36% | 51.64% | -15.24 | 2-4 |
| 2003-06-10 | @ Houston Comets | L 66-71 | 1490.48 | 1523.54 | 33.45% | 66.55% | -5.56 | 2-5 |
| 2003-06-12 | Minnesota Lynx | W 68-55 | 1484.92 | 1476.90 | 63.26% | 36.74% | +9.84 | 3-5 |
| 2003-06-14 | Indiana Fever | L 67-79 | 1494.76 | 1488.66 | 63.01% | 36.99% | -16.22 | 3-6 |
| 2003-06-17 | @ New York Liberty | L 61-70 | 1478.54 | 1506.76 | 34.08% | 65.92% | -7.59 | 3-7 |
| 2003-06-18 | @ Washington Mystics | W 69-61 | 1470.95 | 1437.59 | 42.42% | 57.58% | +12.10 | 4-7 |
| 2003-06-21 | Seattle Storm | W 69-64 | 1483.05 | 1516.99 | 57.49% | 42.51% | +7.06 | 5-7 |
| 2003-06-24 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 57-60 | 1490.11 | 1459.90 | 66.18% | 33.82% | -8.52 | 5-8 |
| 2003-06-28 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 69-60 | 1481.59 | 1639.71 | 19.66% | 80.34% | +17.91 | 6-8 |
| 2003-07-02 | Washington Mystics | W 83-62 | 1499.50 | 1403.50 | 74.08% | 25.92% | +8.83 | 7-8 |
| 2003-07-04 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 67-69 | 1508.33 | 1478.41 | 41.94% | 58.06% | -4.41 | 7-9 |
| 2003-07-05 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 65-67 | 1503.92 | 1528.71 | 34.52% | 65.48% | -3.63 | 7-10 |
| 2003-07-08 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 59-77 | 1500.29 | 1472.05 | 41.71% | 58.29% | -13.15 | 7-11 |
| 2003-07-10 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 89-76 | 1487.14 | 1452.24 | 66.78% | 33.22% | +8.90 | 8-11 |
| 2003-07-15 | @ Cleveland Rockers | W 66-57 | 1496.04 | 1498.40 | 37.50% | 62.50% | +13.94 | 9-11 |
| 2003-07-17 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 62-60 | 1509.98 | 1437.18 | 48.04% | 51.96% | +5.45 | 10-11 |
| 2003-07-19 | Houston Comets | L 71-74 | 1515.43 | 1537.19 | 59.20% | 40.80% | -7.61 | 10-12 |
| 2003-07-24 | New York Liberty | W 67-53 | 1507.82 | 1500.59 | 63.16% | 36.84% | +10.24 | 11-12 |
| 2003-07-26 | Seattle Storm | W 76-63 | 1518.06 | 1552.21 | 57.46% | 42.54% | +11.39 | 12-12 |
| 2003-07-31 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 83-75 | 1529.45 | 1604.50 | 51.63% | 48.37% | +10.17 | 13-12 |
| 2003-08-03 | Charlotte Sting | W 76-60 | 1539.62 | 1527.84 | 63.77% | 36.23% | +10.77 | 14-12 |
| 2003-08-05 | @ Houston Comets | L 47-74 | 1550.39 | 1552.81 | 37.49% | 62.51% | -14.48 | 14-13 |
| 2003-08-07 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 86-61 | 1535.91 | 1426.78 | 53.27% | 46.73% | +17.37 | 15-13 |
| 2003-08-09 | Minnesota Lynx | L 73-77 | 1553.28 | 1495.83 | 69.59% | 30.41% | -10.35 | 15-14 |
| 2003-08-15 | Detroit Shock | W 75-63 | 1542.93 | 1572.51 | 58.11% | 41.89% | +10.79 | 16-14 |
| 2003-08-16 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 65-61 | 1553.72 | 1381.23 | 62.14% | 37.86% | +5.62 | 17-14 |
| 2003-08-21 | Houston Comets | W 62-54 | 1559.34 | 1594.53 | 57.32% | 42.68% | +8.97 | 18-14 |
| 2003-08-23 | Phoenix Mercury | W 61-54 | 1568.31 | 1388.68 | 82.22% | 17.78% | +3.50 | 19-14 |
| 2003-08-25 | @ Seattle Storm | L 57-70 | 1571.81 | 1514.00 | 45.89% | 54.11% | -12.30 | 19-15 |
| 2003-05-24 | Seattle Storm | W 65-56 | 1516.25 | 1497.89 | 64.64% | 35.36% | +7.88 | 1-0 |
| 2003-05-28 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 50-51 | 1524.13 | 1431.25 | 50.93% | 49.07% | -3.79 | 1-1 |
| 2003-05-30 | Minnesota Lynx | L 65-75 | 1520.34 | 1469.68 | 68.76% | 31.24% | -16.15 | 1-2 |
| 2003-06-01 | Connecticut Sun | L 64-83 | 1504.19 | 1500.02 | 62.75% | 37.25% | -20.32 | 1-3 |
| 2003-06-04 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 52-67 | 1483.87 | 1514.89 | 33.72% | 66.28% | -9.71 | 1-4 |
| 2003-06-05 | Phoenix Mercury | W 70-55 | 1474.16 | 1418.60 | 69.37% | 30.63% | +8.82 | 2-4 |
| 2003-06-07 | Detroit Shock | L 55-74 | 1482.98 | 1471.58 | 63.72% | 36.28% | -20.64 | 2-5 |
| 2003-06-10 | @ Washington Mystics | L 72-79 | 1462.34 | 1465.55 | 37.38% | 62.62% | -7.34 | 2-6 |
| 2003-06-14 | Charlotte Sting | W 62-52 | 1455.00 | 1533.84 | 51.09% | 48.91% | +11.49 | 3-6 |
| 2003-06-20 | Houston Comets | W 76-69 | 1466.49 | 1525.52 | 53.93% | 46.07% | +9.05 | 4-6 |
| 2003-06-22 | @ Seattle Storm | L 53-93 | 1475.54 | 1509.93 | 33.28% | 66.72% | -15.64 | 4-7 |
| 2003-06-24 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 60-57 | 1459.90 | 1490.11 | 33.82% | 66.18% | +8.52 | 5-7 |
| 2003-06-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 58-67 | 1468.42 | 1630.97 | 39.21% | 60.79% | -8.74 | 5-8 |
| 2003-06-28 | @ Houston Comets | L 49-64 | 1459.68 | 1508.53 | 31.46% | 68.54% | -9.05 | 5-9 |
| 2003-07-01 | @ Detroit Shock | L 88-99 | 1450.63 | 1556.48 | 24.85% | 75.15% | -6.13 | 5-10 |
| 2003-07-05 | Phoenix Mercury | W 81-70 | 1444.50 | 1395.30 | 68.58% | 31.42% | +7.74 | 6-10 |
| 2003-07-10 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 76-89 | 1452.24 | 1487.14 | 33.22% | 66.78% | -8.89 | 6-11 |
| 2003-07-16 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 78-85 | 1443.35 | 1492.98 | 31.36% | 68.64% | -6.17 | 6-12 |
| 2003-07-17 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 60-62 | 1437.18 | 1509.98 | 51.96% | 48.04% | -5.46 | 6-13 |
| 2003-07-19 | Washington Mystics | L 77-85 | 1431.72 | 1405.02 | 65.73% | 34.27% | -13.81 | 6-14 |
| 2003-07-23 | @ Indiana Fever | L 47-81 | 1417.91 | 1522.43 | 24.99% | 75.01% | -10.83 | 6-15 |
| 2003-07-25 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 54-81 | 1407.08 | 1490.53 | 27.33% | 72.67% | -10.55 | 6-16 |
| 2003-07-27 | Cleveland Rockers | W 64-55 | 1396.53 | 1499.09 | 47.68% | 52.32% | +11.66 | 7-16 |
| 2003-07-30 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 70-62 | 1408.19 | 1622.35 | 15.06% | 84.94% | +17.85 | 8-16 |
| 2003-08-01 | Houston Comets | W 63-53 | 1426.04 | 1560.69 | 43.10% | 56.90% | +13.37 | 9-16 |
| 2003-08-02 | @ Houston Comets | L 55-64 | 1439.41 | 1547.32 | 24.63% | 75.37% | -5.49 | 9-17 |
| 2003-08-05 | @ New York Liberty | L 60-69 | 1433.92 | 1478.08 | 32.05% | 67.95% | -7.14 | 9-18 |
| 2003-08-07 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 61-86 | 1426.78 | 1535.91 | 46.73% | 53.27% | -17.36 | 9-19 |
| 2003-08-09 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 69-52 | 1409.42 | 1562.42 | 40.53% | 59.47% | +18.21 | 10-19 |
| 2003-08-12 | @ Seattle Storm | W 87-77 | 1427.63 | 1568.72 | 21.26% | 78.74% | +18.51 | 11-19 |
| 2003-08-16 | Minnesota Lynx | L 64-73 | 1446.14 | 1497.72 | 55.00% | 45.00% | -12.26 | 11-20 |
| 2003-08-20 | Seattle Storm | W 78-70 | 1433.88 | 1514.66 | 50.81% | 49.19% | +10.33 | 12-20 |
| 2003-08-22 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 62-89 | 1444.21 | 1370.05 | 48.24% | 51.76% | -18.62 | 12-21 |
| 2003-08-23 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 70-83 | 1425.59 | 1569.26 | 21.01% | 78.99% | -5.63 | 12-22 |
| 2003-05-22 | @ Houston Comets | L 64-75 | 1506.15 | 1538.67 | 33.52% | 66.48% | -8.26 | 0-1 |
| 2003-05-24 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 56-65 | 1497.89 | 1516.25 | 35.36% | 64.64% | -7.88 | 0-2 |
| 2003-05-30 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 74-77 | 1490.01 | 1594.66 | 47.38% | 52.62% | -6.10 | 0-3 |
| 2003-06-03 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 70-56 | 1483.91 | 1520.41 | 57.13% | 42.87% | +11.92 | 1-3 |
| 2003-06-07 | Phoenix Mercury | W 66-57 | 1495.83 | 1409.79 | 72.96% | 27.04% | +6.02 | 2-3 |
| 2003-06-10 | Indiana Fever | W 78-51 | 1501.85 | 1508.36 | 61.30% | 38.70% | +14.94 | 3-3 |
| 2003-06-14 | Minnesota Lynx | L 72-77 | 1516.79 | 1467.05 | 68.65% | 31.35% | -11.40 | 3-4 |
| 2003-06-17 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 61-60 | 1505.39 | 1410.66 | 51.20% | 48.80% | +3.62 | 4-4 |
| 2003-06-19 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 69-67 | 1509.01 | 1622.22 | 24.07% | 75.93% | +7.98 | 5-4 |
| 2003-06-21 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 64-69 | 1516.99 | 1483.05 | 42.51% | 57.49% | -7.06 | 5-5 |
| 2003-06-22 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 93-53 | 1509.93 | 1475.54 | 66.72% | 33.28% | +15.64 | 6-5 |
| 2003-06-27 | @ Cleveland Rockers | W 71-59 | 1525.57 | 1497.29 | 41.71% | 58.29% | +15.00 | 7-5 |
| 2003-06-28 | @ Indiana Fever | L 70-79 | 1540.57 | 1516.17 | 41.17% | 58.83% | -9.17 | 7-6 |
| 2003-06-30 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 83-71 | 1531.40 | 1526.06 | 38.54% | 61.46% | +15.82 | 8-6 |
| 2003-07-03 | Washington Mystics | W 76-72 | 1547.22 | 1394.68 | 79.83% | 20.17% | +2.99 | 9-6 |
| 2003-07-05 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-84 | 1550.21 | 1621.80 | 28.71% | 71.29% | -6.40 | 9-7 |
| 2003-07-15 | Houston Comets | W 69-55 | 1543.81 | 1534.73 | 63.41% | 36.59% | +10.18 | 10-7 |
| 2003-07-17 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 67-65 | 1553.99 | 1471.76 | 49.40% | 50.60% | +5.31 | 11-7 |
| 2003-07-18 | @ Detroit Shock | L 61-74 | 1559.30 | 1536.15 | 41.00% | 59.00% | -10.98 | 11-8 |
| 2003-07-20 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 58-69 | 1548.32 | 1490.27 | 45.93% | 54.07% | -11.32 | 11-9 |
| 2003-07-23 | New York Liberty | W 75-65 | 1537.00 | 1508.59 | 65.95% | 34.05% | +8.00 | 12-9 |
| 2003-07-25 | Phoenix Mercury | W 82-53 | 1545.00 | 1367.96 | 82.00% | 18.00% | +7.21 | 13-9 |
| 2003-07-26 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 63-76 | 1552.21 | 1518.06 | 42.54% | 57.46% | -11.40 | 13-10 |
| 2003-07-31 | Charlotte Sting | W 69-54 | 1540.81 | 1519.99 | 64.96% | 35.04% | +10.08 | 14-10 |
| 2003-08-02 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 71-73 | 1550.89 | 1502.87 | 44.50% | 55.50% | -4.67 | 14-11 |
| 2003-08-06 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 92-56 | 1546.22 | 1576.40 | 58.02% | 41.98% | +18.71 | 15-11 |
| 2003-08-08 | Minnesota Lynx | W 68-65 | 1564.93 | 1499.62 | 70.54% | 29.46% | +3.79 | 16-11 |
| 2003-08-12 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 77-87 | 1568.72 | 1427.63 | 78.74% | 21.26% | -18.50 | 16-12 |
| 2003-08-15 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 50-64 | 1550.22 | 1363.42 | 64.06% | 35.94% | -17.81 | 16-13 |
| 2003-08-17 | Detroit Shock | L 86-95 | 1532.41 | 1561.73 | 58.14% | 41.86% | -12.96 | 16-14 |
| 2003-08-19 | @ Houston Comets | L 47-52 | 1519.45 | 1589.73 | 28.86% | 71.14% | -4.79 | 16-15 |
| 2003-08-20 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 70-78 | 1514.66 | 1433.88 | 49.19% | 50.81% | -10.34 | 16-16 |
| 2003-08-23 | Houston Comets | W 71-64 | 1504.32 | 1585.56 | 50.74% | 49.26% | +9.68 | 17-16 |
| 2003-08-25 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 70-57 | 1514.00 | 1571.81 | 54.11% | 45.89% | +12.30 | 18-16 |
| 2003-05-23 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 74-70 | 1490.15 | 1509.01 | 35.30% | 64.70% | +9.61 | 1-0 |
| 2003-05-31 | @ Indiana Fever | L 60-71 | 1499.76 | 1484.72 | 39.87% | 60.13% | -9.82 | 1-1 |
| 2003-06-01 | @ New York Liberty | L 57-70 | 1489.94 | 1497.88 | 36.75% | 63.25% | -9.84 | 1-2 |
| 2003-06-06 | Cleveland Rockers | L 53-63 | 1480.10 | 1482.08 | 61.92% | 38.08% | -14.55 | 1-3 |
| 2003-06-10 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 79-72 | 1465.55 | 1462.34 | 62.62% | 37.38% | +7.35 | 2-3 |
| 2003-06-13 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 70-84 | 1472.90 | 1515.52 | 32.24% | 67.76% | -8.97 | 2-4 |
| 2003-06-14 | Detroit Shock | L 56-93 | 1463.93 | 1492.21 | 58.29% | 41.71% | -26.34 | 2-5 |
| 2003-06-18 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 61-69 | 1437.59 | 1470.95 | 57.58% | 42.42% | -12.10 | 2-6 |
| 2003-06-20 | @ Cleveland Rockers | L 74-79 | 1425.49 | 1504.70 | 27.82% | 72.18% | -4.62 | 2-7 |
| 2003-06-24 | Connecticut Sun | L 63-65 | 1420.87 | 1496.57 | 51.54% | 48.46% | -5.42 | 2-8 |
| 2003-06-29 | Minnesota Lynx | L 50-59 | 1415.45 | 1476.71 | 53.61% | 46.39% | -11.95 | 2-9 |
| 2003-07-02 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 62-83 | 1403.50 | 1499.50 | 25.92% | 74.08% | -8.82 | 2-10 |
| 2003-07-03 | @ Seattle Storm | L 72-76 | 1394.68 | 1547.22 | 20.17% | 79.83% | -3.00 | 2-11 |
| 2003-07-05 | @ Houston Comets | L 54-76 | 1391.68 | 1521.15 | 22.40% | 77.60% | -7.81 | 2-12 |
| 2003-07-07 | Charlotte Sting | L 56-62 | 1383.87 | 1532.34 | 41.16% | 58.84% | -7.49 | 2-13 |
| 2003-07-09 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 91-97 | 1376.38 | 1632.28 | 27.38% | 72.62% | -4.98 | 2-14 |
| 2003-07-15 | @ New York Liberty | W 77-64 | 1371.40 | 1511.57 | 21.34% | 78.66% | +21.07 | 3-14 |
| 2003-07-17 | Charlotte Sting | W 68-60 | 1392.47 | 1547.19 | 40.29% | 59.71% | +12.55 | 4-14 |
| 2003-07-19 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 85-77 | 1405.02 | 1431.72 | 34.27% | 65.73% | +13.81 | 5-14 |
| 2003-07-22 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 73-77 | 1418.83 | 1615.99 | 16.35% | 83.65% | -2.43 | 5-15 |
| 2003-07-24 | Indiana Fever | L 75-80 | 1416.40 | 1533.26 | 45.63% | 54.37% | -7.58 | 5-16 |
| 2003-07-26 | @ Cleveland Rockers | L 78-89 | 1408.82 | 1492.36 | 27.32% | 72.68% | -6.73 | 5-17 |
| 2003-07-27 | @ Detroit Shock | L 71-81 | 1402.09 | 1547.34 | 20.86% | 79.14% | -4.90 | 5-18 |
| 2003-07-29 | Indiana Fever | L 91-92 | 1397.19 | 1529.64 | 43.41% | 56.59% | -3.23 | 5-19 |
| 2003-08-01 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 48-45 | 1393.96 | 1504.50 | 24.35% | 75.65% | +9.74 | 6-19 |
| 2003-08-03 | Phoenix Mercury | L 69-70 | 1403.70 | 1363.89 | 67.40% | 32.60% | -5.01 | 6-20 |
| 2003-08-06 | Detroit Shock | W 92-81 | 1398.69 | 1596.00 | 34.56% | 65.44% | +16.12 | 7-20 |
| 2003-08-09 | New York Liberty | L 56-65 | 1414.81 | 1476.94 | 53.49% | 46.51% | -11.92 | 7-21 |
| 2003-08-12 | @ Indiana Fever | W 84-80 | 1402.89 | 1483.24 | 27.69% | 72.31% | +10.75 | 8-21 |
| 2003-08-14 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 76-69 | 1413.64 | 1527.81 | 23.96% | 76.04% | +14.94 | 9-21 |
| 2003-08-16 | Cleveland Rockers | L 68-72 | 1428.58 | 1486.85 | 54.04% | 45.96% | -8.03 | 9-22 |
| 2003-08-21 | New York Liberty | L 60-65 | 1420.55 | 1499.64 | 51.05% | 48.95% | -8.48 | 9-23 |
| 2003-08-23 | Connecticut Sun | L 67-74 | 1412.07 | 1495.39 | 50.45% | 49.55% | -9.92 | 9-24 |
| 2003-08-25 | @ Detroit Shock | L 60-68 | 1402.15 | 1593.84 | 16.79% | 83.21% | -3.52 | 9-25 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-08-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 66-68 | 1504.03 | 1519.57 | 35.74% | 64.26% | -3.75 | 0-1 |
| 2003-08-30 | Connecticut Sun | L 62-68 | 1500.28 | 1523.32 | 59.02% | 40.98% | -10.74 | 0-2 |
| 2003-08-29 | Detroit Shock | L 74-76 | 1479.62 | 1597.37 | 45.50% | 54.50% | -4.78 | 0-1 |
| 2003-08-31 | @ Detroit Shock | W 66-59 | 1474.84 | 1602.15 | 22.61% | 77.39% | +15.21 | 1-1 |
| 2003-09-02 | @ Detroit Shock | L 63-77 | 1490.05 | 1586.93 | 25.82% | 74.18% | -7.18 | 1-2 |
| 2003-08-28 | Charlotte Sting | W 68-66 | 1519.57 | 1504.03 | 64.26% | 35.74% | +3.75 | 1-0 |
| 2003-08-30 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 68-62 | 1523.32 | 1500.28 | 40.98% | 59.02% | +10.74 | 2-0 |
| 2003-09-05 | Detroit Shock | L 63-73 | 1534.06 | 1594.11 | 53.79% | 46.21% | -12.64 | 2-1 |
| 2003-09-07 | @ Detroit Shock | L 73-79 | 1521.42 | 1606.75 | 27.12% | 72.88% | -4.93 | 2-2 |
| 2003-08-29 | @ Cleveland Rockers | W 76-74 | 1597.37 | 1479.62 | 54.50% | 45.50% | +4.78 | 1-0 |
| 2003-08-31 | Cleveland Rockers | L 59-66 | 1602.15 | 1474.84 | 77.39% | 22.61% | -15.22 | 1-1 |
| 2003-09-02 | Cleveland Rockers | W 77-63 | 1586.93 | 1490.05 | 74.18% | 25.82% | +7.18 | 2-1 |
| 2003-09-05 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 73-63 | 1594.11 | 1534.06 | 46.21% | 53.79% | +12.64 | 3-1 |
| 2003-09-07 | Connecticut Sun | W 79-73 | 1606.75 | 1521.42 | 72.88% | 27.12% | +4.94 | 4-1 |
| 2003-09-12 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-75 | 1611.69 | 1596.74 | 39.86% | 60.14% | -10.26 | 4-2 |
| 2003-09-14 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 62-61 | 1601.43 | 1607.00 | 61.43% | 38.57% | +2.86 | 5-2 |
| 2003-09-16 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 83-78 | 1604.29 | 1604.14 | 62.21% | 37.79% | +6.28 | 6-2 |
| 2003-08-29 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 59-65 | 1570.99 | 1559.51 | 39.38% | 60.62% | -7.17 | 0-1 |
| 2003-08-31 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 69-48 | 1563.82 | 1566.68 | 61.80% | 38.20% | +13.01 | 1-1 |
| 2003-09-02 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 68-70 | 1576.83 | 1553.67 | 65.27% | 34.73% | -6.86 | 1-2 |
| 2003-08-28 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 72-74 | 1579.77 | 1492.62 | 50.11% | 49.89% | -5.27 | 0-1 |
| 2003-08-30 | Minnesota Lynx | W 80-69 | 1574.50 | 1497.89 | 71.88% | 28.12% | +6.93 | 1-1 |
| 2003-09-01 | Minnesota Lynx | W 74-64 | 1581.43 | 1490.96 | 73.46% | 26.54% | +6.24 | 2-1 |
| 2003-09-05 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 69-77 | 1587.67 | 1560.53 | 41.55% | 58.45% | -8.74 | 2-2 |
| 2003-09-07 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 79-54 | 1578.93 | 1569.26 | 63.49% | 36.51% | +13.57 | 3-2 |
| 2003-09-08 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 66-63 | 1592.50 | 1555.70 | 67.02% | 32.98% | +4.24 | 4-2 |
| 2003-09-12 | Detroit Shock | W 75-63 | 1596.74 | 1611.69 | 60.14% | 39.86% | +10.26 | 5-2 |
| 2003-09-14 | @ Detroit Shock | L 61-62 | 1607.00 | 1601.43 | 38.57% | 61.43% | -2.86 | 5-3 |
| 2003-09-16 | @ Detroit Shock | L 78-83 | 1604.14 | 1604.29 | 37.79% | 62.21% | -6.28 | 5-4 |
| 2003-08-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 74-72 | 1492.62 | 1579.77 | 49.89% | 50.11% | +5.27 | 1-0 |
| 2003-08-30 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 69-80 | 1497.89 | 1574.50 | 28.12% | 71.88% | -6.93 | 1-1 |
| 2003-09-01 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 64-74 | 1490.96 | 1581.43 | 26.54% | 73.46% | -6.24 | 1-2 |
| 2003-08-29 | Houston Comets | W 65-59 | 1559.51 | 1570.99 | 60.62% | 39.38% | +7.17 | 1-0 |
| 2003-08-31 | @ Houston Comets | L 48-69 | 1566.68 | 1563.82 | 38.20% | 61.80% | -13.01 | 1-1 |
| 2003-09-02 | @ Houston Comets | W 70-68 | 1553.67 | 1576.83 | 34.73% | 65.27% | +6.86 | 2-1 |
| 2003-09-05 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 77-69 | 1560.53 | 1587.67 | 58.45% | 41.55% | +8.73 | 3-1 |
| 2003-09-07 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 54-79 | 1569.26 | 1578.93 | 36.51% | 63.49% | -13.56 | 3-2 |
| 2003-09-08 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-66 | 1555.70 | 1592.50 | 32.98% | 67.02% | -4.25 | 3-3 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2003-07-30 | 15.06% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1408.19 | 70 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1622.35 | 62 |
| 2 | 2003-06-28 | 18.06% | Phoenix Mercury | 1390.71 | 68 | @ Detroit Shock | 1567.03 | 65 |
| 3 | 2003-06-28 | 19.66% | Sacramento Monarchs | 1481.59 | 69 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1639.71 | 60 |
| 4 | 2003-07-20 | 20.48% | Connecticut Sun | 1477.02 | 76 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1626.23 | 73 |
| 5 | 2003-08-12 | 21.26% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1427.63 | 87 | @ Seattle Storm | 1568.72 | 77 |
| 6 | 2003-07-15 | 21.34% | Washington Mystics | 1371.40 | 77 | @ New York Liberty | 1511.57 | 64 |
| 7 | 2003-08-31 * | 22.61% | Cleveland Rockers | 1474.84 | 66 | @ Detroit Shock | 1602.15 | 59 |
| 8 | 2003-07-18 | 23.95% | Houston Comets | 1524.56 | 79 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1638.86 | 74 |
| 9 | 2003-08-14 | 23.96% | Washington Mystics | 1413.64 | 76 | @ Charlotte Sting | 1527.81 | 69 |
| 10 | 2003-06-19 | 24.07% | Seattle Storm | 1509.01 | 69 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1622.22 | 67 |
| 11 | 2003-08-01 | 24.35% | Washington Mystics | 1393.96 | 48 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1504.50 | 45 |
| 12 | 2003-08-02 | 27.22% | Charlotte Sting | 1509.91 | 84 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1594.34 | 73 |
| 13 | 2003-08-12 | 27.69% | Washington Mystics | 1402.89 | 84 | @ Indiana Fever | 1483.24 | 80 |
| 14 | 2003-05-30 | 28.76% | Connecticut Sun | 1485.05 | 91 | @ Houston Comets | 1556.19 | 83 |
| 15 | 2003-08-09 | 30.41% | Minnesota Lynx | 1495.83 | 77 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 1553.28 | 73 |
| 16 | 2003-07-03 | 31.03% | Charlotte Sting | 1510.24 | 92 | @ Detroit Shock | 1562.60 | 79 |
| 17 | 2003-05-30 | 31.24% | Minnesota Lynx | 1469.68 | 75 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1520.34 | 65 |
| 18 | 2003-06-14 | 31.35% | Minnesota Lynx | 1467.05 | 77 | @ Seattle Storm | 1516.79 | 72 |
| 19 | 2003-08-16 | 31.45% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1552.66 | 64 | @ Houston Comets | 1601.58 | 63 |
| 20 | 2003-08-22 | 32.34% | Indiana Fever | 1466.33 | 64 | @ New York Liberty | 1508.12 | 51 |
| 21 | 2003-07-26 | 32.60% | Minnesota Lynx | 1501.08 | 70 | @ Indiana Fever | 1540.84 | 65 |
| 22 | 2003-08-03 | 32.60% | Phoenix Mercury | 1363.89 | 70 | @ Washington Mystics | 1403.70 | 69 |
| 23 | 2003-07-20 | 33.06% | Cleveland Rockers | 1489.28 | 59 | @ Charlotte Sting | 1525.40 | 57 |
| 24 | 2003-06-24 | 33.82% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1459.90 | 60 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 1490.11 | 57 |
| 25 | 2003-08-09 | 34.17% | Cleveland Rockers | 1471.29 | 66 | @ Indiana Fever | 1498.80 | 62 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2003-06-14 | 26.35 | Detroit Shock | 93 | 1492.21 | 41.71% | @ Washington Mystics | 56 | 1463.93 | 58.29% |
| 2 | 2003-07-15 | 21.07 | Washington Mystics | 77 | 1371.40 | 21.34% | @ New York Liberty | 64 | 1511.57 | 78.66% |
| 3 | 2003-06-07 | 20.64 | Detroit Shock | 74 | 1471.58 | 36.28% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 55 | 1482.98 | 63.72% |
| 4 | 2003-06-01 | 20.32 | Connecticut Sun | 83 | 1500.02 | 37.25% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 64 | 1504.19 | 62.75% |
| 5 | 2003-08-17 | 19.95 | New York Liberty | 71 | 1472.94 | 34.89% | @ Cleveland Rockers | 54 | 1494.88 | 65.11% |
| 6 | 2003-08-06 | 18.71 | @ Seattle Storm | 92 | 1546.22 | 58.02% | Los Angeles Sparks | 56 | 1576.40 | 41.98% |
| 7 | 2003-08-22 | 18.63 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 89 | 1370.05 | 51.76% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 62 | 1444.21 | 48.24% |
| 8 | 2003-08-12 | 18.51 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 87 | 1427.63 | 21.26% | @ Seattle Storm | 77 | 1568.72 | 78.74% |
| 9 | 2003-07-03 | 18.47 | Charlotte Sting | 92 | 1510.24 | 31.03% | @ Detroit Shock | 79 | 1562.60 | 68.97% |
| 10 | 2003-08-09 | 18.22 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 69 | 1409.42 | 40.53% | Los Angeles Sparks | 52 | 1562.42 | 59.47% |
| 11 | 2003-08-22 | 18.13 | Indiana Fever | 64 | 1466.33 | 32.34% | @ New York Liberty | 51 | 1508.12 | 67.66% |
| 12 | 2003-08-02 | 17.94 | Charlotte Sting | 84 | 1509.91 | 27.22% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 73 | 1594.34 | 72.78% |
| 13 | 2003-06-28 | 17.91 | Sacramento Monarchs | 69 | 1481.59 | 19.66% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 60 | 1639.71 | 80.34% |
| 14 | 2003-07-30 | 17.85 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 70 | 1408.19 | 15.06% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 62 | 1622.35 | 84.94% |
| 15 | 2003-08-15 | 17.81 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 64 | 1363.42 | 35.94% | Seattle Storm | 50 | 1550.22 | 64.06% |
| 16 | 2003-08-07 | 17.37 | Sacramento Monarchs | 86 | 1535.91 | 53.27% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 61 | 1426.78 | 46.73% |
| 17 | 2003-07-06 | 17.04 | @ Indiana Fever | 85 | 1519.57 | 58.81% | Detroit Shock | 54 | 1544.13 | 41.19% |
| 18 | 2003-08-16 | 16.94 | Connecticut Sun | 84 | 1482.16 | 36.78% | @ New York Liberty | 71 | 1489.88 | 63.22% |
| 19 | 2003-06-14 | 16.38 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 76 | 1394.29 | 43.08% | Houston Comets | 61 | 1529.09 | 56.92% |
| 20 | 2003-06-14 | 16.25 | @ Cleveland Rockers | 84 | 1498.83 | 58.66% | Connecticut Sun | 56 | 1524.48 | 41.34% |
| 21 | 2003-06-14 | 16.22 | Indiana Fever | 79 | 1488.66 | 36.99% | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 67 | 1494.76 | 63.01% |
| 22 | 2003-05-31 | 16.21 | @ Cleveland Rockers | 74 | 1465.87 | 55.47% | New York Liberty | 50 | 1514.09 | 44.53% |
| 23 | 2003-05-30 | 16.16 | Minnesota Lynx | 75 | 1469.68 | 31.24% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 65 | 1520.34 | 68.76% |
| 24 | 2003-08-06 | 16.13 | @ Washington Mystics | 92 | 1398.69 | 34.56% | Detroit Shock | 81 | 1596.00 | 65.44% |
| 25 | 2003-06-30 | 15.82 | Seattle Storm | 83 | 1531.40 | 38.54% | @ Charlotte Sting | 71 | 1526.06 | 61.46% |