2014 USL Season
182 regular-season games · 100,000 simulations
Season Status
In Progress
Awaiting final results
Title Favorite
Orlando City SC
16.98% chance to win USL Championship
Biggest Overachiever
Orlando City SC
15.58 points above expected
56 points · 40.42 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Dayton Dutch Lions
10.19 points below expected
22 points · 32.19 expected points
Final Standings
Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Pt% | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando City SC | 17 | 4 | 5 | 56 | .718 | 51 | 21 | +30 | 40.42 | +15.58 |
| 2 | Richmond Kickers | 13 | 3 | 10 | 49 | .628 | 53 | 28 | +25 | 39.72 | +9.28 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49 | .628 | 42 | 24 | +18 | 36.84 | +12.16 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | 13 | 7 | 6 | 45 | .577 | 52 | 38 | +14 | 37.08 | +7.92 |
| 5 | Charleston Battery | 10 | 9 | 7 | 37 | .474 | 34 | 30 | +4 | 36.46 | +0.54 |
| 6 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37 | .474 | 33 | 30 | +3 | 34.54 | +2.46 |
| 7 | Arizona United SC | 10 | 11 | 5 | 35 | .449 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 33.13 | +1.87 |
| 8 | Harrisburg City Islanders | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34 | .436 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 35.32 | -1.32 |
| 9 | Rochester Rhinos | 8 | 10 | 8 | 32 | .410 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 34.41 | -2.41 |
| 10 | Charlotte Eagles | 9 | 14 | 3 | 30 | .385 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 34.98 | -4.98 |
| 11 | OKC Energy FC | 8 | 13 | 5 | 29 | .372 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 35.57 | -6.57 |
| 12 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 7 | 14 | 5 | 26 | .333 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 32.81 | -6.81 |
| 13 | Orange County Blues FC | 8 | 17 | 1 | 25 | .321 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 34.12 | -9.12 |
| 14 | Dayton Dutch Lions | 6 | 16 | 4 | 22 | .282 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 32.19 | -10.19 |
Playoff Bracket
Season Summary
Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Points | Avg. Pts. | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 1565 | 56 | 40.42 | +15.58 | 99.22% | 18 | 30 | 36 | 40 | 45 | 51 | 67 | ||
| Richmond Kickers | 1552 | 49 | 39.72 | +9.28 | 92.72% | 13 | 29 | 35 | 40 | 44 | 51 | 62 | ||
| Sacramento Republic | 1530 | 49 | 36.84 | +12.16 | 97.16% | 13 | 26 | 32 | 37 | 41 | 48 | 62 | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 1521 | 45 | 37.08 | +7.92 | 89.41% | 15 | 26 | 33 | 37 | 42 | 48 | 62 | ||
| Charleston Battery | 1517 | 37 | 36.46 | +0.54 | 56.42% | 10 | 26 | 32 | 36 | 41 | 47 | 62 | ||
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 1501 | 34 | 35.32 | -1.32 | 45.53% | 13 | 25 | 31 | 35 | 40 | 46 | 61 | ||
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 1500 | 37 | 34.54 | +2.46 | 67.18% | 11 | 24 | 30 | 35 | 39 | 46 | 62 | ||
| OKC Energy FC | 1493 | 29 | 35.57 | -6.57 | 18.12% | 14 | 25 | 31 | 35 | 40 | 47 | 59 | ||
| Rochester Rhinos | 1490 | 32 | 34.41 | -2.41 | 39.22% | 10 | 24 | 30 | 34 | 39 | 45 | 61 | ||
| Charlotte Eagles | 1490 | 30 | 34.98 | -4.98 | 25.37% | 13 | 24 | 30 | 35 | 39 | 46 | 59 | ||
| Arizona United SC | 1480 | 35 | 33.13 | +1.87 | 64.14% | 10 | 23 | 29 | 33 | 38 | 44 | 56 | ||
| Orange County Blues FC | 1461 | 25 | 34.12 | -9.12 | 9.52% | 10 | 24 | 30 | 34 | 39 | 45 | 58 | ||
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1459 | 26 | 32.81 | -6.81 | 16.80% | 10 | 22 | 28 | 33 | 37 | 44 | 60 | ||
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 1441 | 22 | 32.19 | -10.19 | 6.64% | 11 | 22 | 28 | 32 | 37 | 43 | 61 |
Head-to-Head
Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point.
| Team | SC | Battery | Eagles | Lions | Islanders | II | FC | FC | SC | Riverhounds | Kickers | Rhinos | Republic | Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona United SC | — |
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
3
(1.4 exp.)
|
0
(1.5 exp.)
|
3
(1.2 exp.)
|
2
(4.9 exp.)
|
7
(5.1 exp.)
|
6
(5.2 exp.)
|
0
(1.3 exp.)
|
6
(2.8 exp.)
|
0
(1.1 exp.)
|
3
(1.4 exp.)
|
4
(5.0 exp.)
|
1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Charleston Battery |
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
1
(2.9 exp.)
|
4
(3.0 exp.)
|
6
(4.1 exp.)
|
3
(1.4 exp.)
|
3
(1.3 exp.)
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
1
(3.7 exp.)
|
7
(4.7 exp.)
|
2
(3.8 exp.)
|
4
(4.2 exp.)
|
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
0
(2.9 exp.)
|
| Charlotte Eagles |
0
(1.3 exp.)
|
4
(2.6 exp.)
|
— |
3
(4.5 exp.)
|
1
(2.7 exp.)
|
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1
(1.5 exp.)
|
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
3
(3.3 exp.)
|
0
(3.0 exp.)
|
3
(3.5 exp.)
|
6
(2.8 exp.)
|
0
(1.4 exp.)
|
6
(4.1 exp.)
|
| Dayton Dutch Lions |
3
(1.2 exp.)
|
1
(2.4 exp.)
|
6
(3.7 exp.)
|
— |
3
(5.0 exp.)
|
1
(2.4 exp.)
|
0
(1.3 exp.)
|
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
0
(2.1 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
1
(2.3 exp.)
|
1
(4.1 exp.)
|
0
(1.4 exp.)
|
3
(2.4 exp.)
|
| Harrisburg City Islanders |
0
(1.5 exp.)
|
3
(4.1 exp.)
|
4
(2.7 exp.)
|
9
(5.9 exp.)
|
— |
3
(1.4 exp.)
|
1
(1.5 exp.)
|
0
(1.3 exp.)
|
3
(2.3 exp.)
|
5
(4.2 exp.)
|
0
(3.5 exp.)
|
1
(2.9 exp.)
|
3
(1.2 exp.)
|
2
(2.8 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Galaxy II |
8
(6.0 exp.)
|
0
(1.3 exp.)
|
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
4
(3.0 exp.)
|
0
(1.3 exp.)
|
— |
12
(5.6 exp.)
|
12
(5.6 exp.)
|
0
(1.1 exp.)
|
0
(1.5 exp.)
|
1
(1.3 exp.)
|
0
(1.6 exp.)
|
4
(5.5 exp.)
|
1
(1.6 exp.)
|
| OKC Energy FC |
4
(5.9 exp.)
|
0
(1.4 exp.)
|
1
(1.2 exp.)
|
3
(1.4 exp.)
|
1
(1.2 exp.)
|
0
(5.3 exp.)
|
— |
9
(5.8 exp.)
|
0
(2.6 exp.)
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
0
(1.4 exp.)
|
1
(1.5 exp.)
|
6
(5.1 exp.)
|
1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Orange County Blues FC |
6
(5.7 exp.)
|
0
(1.1 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
3
(1.4 exp.)
|
0
(5.3 exp.)
|
3
(5.2 exp.)
|
— |
0
(1.1 exp.)
|
0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1
(1.1 exp.)
|
3
(1.2 exp.)
|
3
(5.2 exp.)
|
0
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Orlando City SC |
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
7
(4.5 exp.)
|
6
(4.9 exp.)
|
6
(3.5 exp.)
|
3
(3.2 exp.)
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
6
(2.9 exp.)
|
3
(1.7 exp.)
|
— |
4
(3.1 exp.)
|
6
(2.8 exp.)
|
4
(4.6 exp.)
|
1
(1.5 exp.)
|
4
(4.8 exp.)
|
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
0
(2.6 exp.)
|
1
(3.6 exp.)
|
6
(2.5 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
2
(4.0 exp.)
|
3
(1.2 exp.)
|
0
(1.1 exp.)
|
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
1
(2.4 exp.)
|
— |
1
(3.5 exp.)
|
6
(4.0 exp.)
|
0
(1.1 exp.)
|
0
(2.6 exp.)
|
| Richmond Kickers |
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
5
(4.4 exp.)
|
6
(4.7 exp.)
|
4
(3.2 exp.)
|
9
(4.8 exp.)
|
1
(1.4 exp.)
|
3
(1.3 exp.)
|
1
(1.6 exp.)
|
0
(2.7 exp.)
|
7
(4.8 exp.)
|
— |
2
(3.1 exp.)
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
5
(4.5 exp.)
|
| Rochester Rhinos |
0
(1.3 exp.)
|
4
(4.0 exp.)
|
0
(2.7 exp.)
|
7
(4.1 exp.)
|
4
(2.5 exp.)
|
3
(1.1 exp.)
|
1
(1.2 exp.)
|
0
(1.6 exp.)
|
4
(3.6 exp.)
|
3
(4.2 exp.)
|
2
(2.4 exp.)
|
— |
0
(1.4 exp.)
|
4
(4.1 exp.)
|
| Sacramento Republic |
7
(6.0 exp.)
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
3
(1.3 exp.)
|
3
(1.4 exp.)
|
0
(1.5 exp.)
|
7
(5.4 exp.)
|
6
(5.8 exp.)
|
9
(5.7 exp.)
|
1
(1.3 exp.)
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
0
(1.1 exp.)
|
3
(1.3 exp.)
|
— |
4
(3.0 exp.)
|
| Wilmington Hammerheads |
1
(1.6 exp.)
|
6
(2.6 exp.)
|
3
(4.0 exp.)
|
3
(3.1 exp.)
|
2
(2.7 exp.)
|
1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1
(1.6 exp.)
|
3
(1.3 exp.)
|
4
(3.5 exp.)
|
6
(2.9 exp.)
|
2
(3.7 exp.)
|
4
(4.1 exp.)
|
1
(2.5 exp.)
|
— |
Scoreline Distribution
Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.14% | 9.34% | 5.77% | 1.65% | 1.92% | 0.82% | 26.65% |
| 1 | 9.34% | 10.44% | 7.97% | 5.22% | 1.65% | 1.10% | 35.71% |
| 2 | 5.77% | 7.97% | 3.30% | 1.92% | 0.82% | — | 19.78% |
| 3 | 1.65% | 5.22% | 1.92% | 1.10% | 0.55% | 0.27% | 10.71% |
| 4 | 1.92% | 1.65% | 0.82% | 0.55% | — | — | 4.95% |
| 5+ | 0.82% | 1.10% | — | 0.27% | — | — | 2.20% |
| Total | 26.65% | 35.71% | 19.78% | 10.71% | 4.95% | 2.20% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.39 | 1.39 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.88 |
| CV | 0.92 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 7 | 7 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 182
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.85% | 7.69% | 7.69% | — | 7.69% | — | 26.92% |
| 1 | 11.54% | 15.38% | 7.69% | — | — | — | 34.62% |
| 2 | — | 19.23% | — | 7.69% | 3.85% | — | 30.77% |
| 3 | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 19.23% | 46.15% | 15.38% | 7.69% | 11.54% | — | 100% |
Arizona United SC — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.19 | 1.46 | -0.27 |
| SD | 0.94 | 1.24 | 1.66 |
| CV | 0.79 | 0.85 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.54% | 15.38% | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | — | 34.62% |
| 1 | 3.85% | 7.69% | — | 7.69% | 3.85% | — | 23.08% |
| 2 | 11.54% | 7.69% | 7.69% | — | — | — | 26.92% |
| 3 | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 4 | 7.69% | — | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 38.46% | 30.77% | 15.38% | 7.69% | 7.69% | — | 100% |
Charleston Battery — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.31 | 1.15 | +0.15 |
| SD | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.97 |
| CV | 0.96 | 1.09 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.85% | 15.38% | 7.69% | — | — | — | 26.92% |
| 1 | 3.85% | 7.69% | 15.38% | 7.69% | 3.85% | — | 38.46% |
| 2 | 15.38% | 7.69% | — | — | 3.85% | — | 26.92% |
| 3 | — | 7.69% | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.08% | 38.46% | 23.08% | 7.69% | 7.69% | — | 100% |
Charlotte Eagles — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.15 | 1.38 | -0.23 |
| SD | 0.92 | 1.17 | 1.58 |
| CV | 0.80 | 0.84 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 7.69% | 11.54% | 3.85% | 3.85% | 3.85% | 30.77% |
| 1 | 11.54% | 11.54% | 11.54% | 3.85% | — | 7.69% | 46.15% |
| 2 | — | 7.69% | 3.85% | — | — | — | 11.54% |
| 3 | — | 3.85% | — | — | 3.85% | 3.85% | 11.54% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 11.54% | 30.77% | 26.92% | 7.69% | 7.69% | 15.38% | 100% |
Dayton Dutch Lions — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.04 | 2.23 | -1.19 |
| SD | 0.96 | 1.80 | 2.04 |
| CV | 0.92 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 3 | 7 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.54% | 11.54% | — | — | 3.85% | — | 26.92% |
| 1 | 3.85% | 7.69% | 7.69% | 3.85% | 7.69% | — | 30.77% |
| 2 | — | 3.85% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | 11.54% |
| 3 | — | 11.54% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | 19.23% |
| 4 | — | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | 3.85% | — | — | 3.85% |
| Total | 15.38% | 38.46% | 19.23% | 15.38% | 11.54% | — | 100% |
Harrisburg City Islanders — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.62 | 1.69 | -0.08 |
| SD | 1.47 | 1.26 | 1.74 |
| CV | 0.91 | 0.74 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | 11.54% | — | — | 11.54% |
| 1 | 7.69% | 19.23% | 7.69% | 7.69% | — | — | 42.31% |
| 2 | — | 7.69% | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 3 | 3.85% | 7.69% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | 19.23% |
| 4 | 3.85% | — | 7.69% | — | — | — | 11.54% |
| 5+ | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| Total | 19.23% | 38.46% | 19.23% | 23.08% | — | — | 100% |
Los Angeles Galaxy II — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 1.46 | +0.54 |
| SD | 1.52 | 1.07 | 2.16 |
| CV | 0.76 | 0.73 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.85% | 19.23% | 3.85% | — | — | 3.85% | 30.77% |
| 1 | 7.69% | 7.69% | 11.54% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | 34.62% |
| 2 | 15.38% | — | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | — | 23.08% |
| 3 | 3.85% | — | — | 3.85% | — | — | 7.69% |
| 4 | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 34.62% | 26.92% | 19.23% | 7.69% | 7.69% | 3.85% | 100% |
OKC Energy FC — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.19 | 1.38 | -0.19 |
| SD | 1.10 | 1.44 | 1.96 |
| CV | 0.92 | 1.04 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 11.54% | 7.69% | 7.69% | 3.85% | — | 30.77% |
| 1 | 11.54% | 3.85% | 15.38% | 7.69% | 3.85% | 3.85% | 46.15% |
| 2 | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | — | — | 11.54% |
| 3 | — | — | 3.85% | — | — | — | 3.85% |
| 4 | — | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | — | — | 7.69% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 15.38% | 23.08% | 26.92% | 23.08% | 7.69% | 3.85% | 100% |
Orange County Blues FC — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.12 | 2.00 | -0.88 |
| SD | 1.14 | 1.44 | 1.90 |
| CV | 1.02 | 0.72 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.69% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | — | 15.38% |
| 1 | 15.38% | 11.54% | — | 3.85% | — | — | 30.77% |
| 2 | 11.54% | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | — | — | 19.23% |
| 3 | 3.85% | 15.38% | 3.85% | — | — | — | 23.08% |
| 4 | — | 7.69% | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 5+ | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85% |
| Total | 42.31% | 42.31% | 7.69% | 7.69% | — | — | 100% |
Orlando City SC — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.96 | 0.81 | +1.15 |
| SD | 1.59 | 0.90 | 1.85 |
| CV | 0.81 | 1.11 | — |
| Max | 7 | 3 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.69% | 15.38% | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | 3.85% | 34.62% |
| 1 | 7.69% | 7.69% | 3.85% | 15.38% | — | 3.85% | 38.46% |
| 2 | 7.69% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | — | 15.38% |
| 3 | — | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | — | 11.54% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.08% | 30.77% | 15.38% | 15.38% | 7.69% | 7.69% | 100% |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.04 | 1.77 | -0.73 |
| SD | 1.00 | 1.56 | 1.85 |
| CV | 0.96 | 0.88 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 1 | 3.85% | 23.08% | 3.85% | — | — | — | 30.77% |
| 2 | 3.85% | 11.54% | 11.54% | 3.85% | — | — | 30.77% |
| 3 | — | 11.54% | 3.85% | — | — | — | 15.38% |
| 4 | 7.69% | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 11.54% |
| 5+ | — | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 3.85% |
| Total | 19.23% | 57.69% | 19.23% | 3.85% | — | — | 100% |
Richmond Kickers — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.04 | 1.08 | +0.96 |
| SD | 1.28 | 0.74 | 1.51 |
| CV | 0.63 | 0.69 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.38% | 19.23% | 3.85% | — | — | — | 38.46% |
| 1 | 15.38% | 11.54% | 3.85% | 7.69% | — | — | 38.46% |
| 2 | 7.69% | 3.85% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | 19.23% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 3.85% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 38.46% | 38.46% | 11.54% | 11.54% | — | — | 100% |
Rochester Rhinos — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.92 | 0.96 | -0.04 |
| SD | 0.98 | 1.00 | 1.28 |
| CV | 1.06 | 1.04 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.69% | — | 7.69% | — | — | — | 15.38% |
| 1 | 15.38% | 7.69% | 19.23% | — | — | — | 42.31% |
| 2 | 3.85% | 23.08% | — | — | — | — | 26.92% |
| 3 | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| Total | 34.62% | 38.46% | 26.92% | — | — | — | 100% |
Sacramento Republic — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.62 | 0.92 | +0.69 |
| SD | 1.42 | 0.80 | 1.76 |
| CV | 0.88 | 0.86 | — |
| Max | 6 | 2 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23.08% | — | 19.23% | — | — | — | 42.31% |
| 1 | 11.54% | 3.85% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | 23.08% |
| 2 | — | 7.69% | 7.69% | — | — | — | 15.38% |
| 3 | — | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | — | — | 7.69% |
| 4 | 3.85% | — | — | 3.85% | — | — | 7.69% |
| 5+ | — | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 3.85% |
| Total | 38.46% | 19.23% | 30.77% | 11.54% | — | — | 100% |
Wilmington Hammerheads — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.27 | 1.15 | +0.12 |
| SD | 1.48 | 1.08 | 1.63 |
| CV | 1.17 | 0.94 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 26
Points Points vs. Goal Differential
Plot of points against goals differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando City SC | 56 | 40.42 | +15.58 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 49 | 36.84 | +12.16 |
| 3 | Richmond Kickers | 49 | 39.72 | +9.28 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | 45 | 37.08 | +7.92 |
| 5 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 37 | 34.54 | +2.46 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dayton Dutch Lions | 22 | 32.19 | -10.19 |
| 2 | Orange County Blues FC | 25 | 34.12 | -9.12 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 26 | 32.81 | -6.81 |
| 4 | OKC Energy FC | 29 | 35.57 | -6.57 |
| 5 | Charlotte Eagles | 30 | 34.98 | -4.98 |
Top Streaks
The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando City SC | 7 | May 18 – Jul 13 | 1 in 247 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | Jul 28 – Aug 28 | 1 in 184 |
| 3 | Arizona United SC | 4 | Aug 15 – Sep 7 | 1 in 66 |
| 4 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 4 | May 11 – Jun 1 | 1 in 63 |
| 5 | Harrisburg City Islanders | 3 | Jul 31 – Aug 10 | 1 in 21 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OKC Energy FC | 6 | Aug 10 – Sep 5 | 1 in 414 |
| 2 | Orange County Blues FC | 6 | Jul 8 – Aug 9 | 1 in 332 |
| 3 | Dayton Dutch Lions | 5 | May 17 – Jun 9 | 1 in 95 |
| 4 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 4 | Jul 27 – Aug 21 | 1 in 51 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 4 | May 10 – May 25 | 1 in 37 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richmond Kickers | 19 | Apr 20 – Aug 17 | 1 in 1,081 |
| 2 | Orlando City SC | 16 | Mar 23 – Jul 18 | 1 in 397 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 10 | Jul 15 – Sep 5 | 1 in 57 |
| 4 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 8 | May 4 – Jun 29 | 1 in 41 |
| 5 | Rochester Rhinos | 6 | Apr 12 – May 18 | 1 in 21 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 10 | Mar 30 – Jun 2 | 1 in 57 |
| 2 | Dayton Dutch Lions | 8 | Apr 27 – Jun 9 | 1 in 29 |
| 3 | OKC Energy FC | 7 | Apr 27 – Jun 8 | 1 in 19 |
| 4 | Richmond Kickers | 5 | Aug 17 – Sep 7 | 1 in 17 |
| 5 | Orange County Blues FC | 6 | Jul 8 – Aug 9 | 1 in 13 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 19.72% | 14.09% | 12.06% | 9.39% | 8.14% | 7.13% | 6.04% | 5.25% | 4.94% | 3.98% | 3.54% | 2.34% | 2.09% | 1.29% |
| Richmond Kickers | 17.03% | 13.21% | 11.38% | 9.50% | 8.65% | 7.27% | 6.40% | 5.61% | 5.03% | 4.71% | 3.76% | 3.27% | 2.31% | 1.87% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 9.01% | 8.97% | 8.96% | 8.67% | 8.80% | 7.52% | 7.19% | 7.22% | 6.80% | 6.08% | 5.95% | 5.52% | 5.10% | 4.21% |
| Sacramento Republic | 8.22% | 8.52% | 8.75% | 8.16% | 8.10% | 8.45% | 7.89% | 7.61% | 6.97% | 6.62% | 6.01% | 5.51% | 4.89% | 4.30% |
| Charleston Battery | 7.86% | 8.73% | 7.83% | 8.36% | 7.96% | 7.86% | 7.48% | 7.13% | 6.90% | 6.63% | 6.41% | 6.61% | 5.44% | 4.80% |
| OKC Energy FC | 6.09% | 6.95% | 7.32% | 7.25% | 7.34% | 7.46% | 7.88% | 7.68% | 7.41% | 7.40% | 7.31% | 7.47% | 6.62% | 5.82% |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 5.75% | 6.41% | 6.69% | 7.29% | 7.53% | 7.36% | 7.39% | 8.13% | 7.43% | 7.60% | 7.58% | 7.14% | 7.32% | 6.38% |
| Charlotte Eagles | 5.31% | 5.97% | 6.91% | 6.56% | 6.76% | 7.77% | 7.70% | 7.53% | 8.01% | 7.60% | 7.74% | 7.66% | 7.41% | 7.07% |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 4.31% | 5.81% | 6.10% | 6.82% | 7.07% | 6.84% | 7.42% | 7.37% | 7.88% | 8.04% | 7.78% | 8.35% | 8.29% | 7.92% |
| Rochester Rhinos | 4.40% | 5.32% | 5.83% | 6.89% | 6.49% | 6.97% | 7.87% | 7.29% | 7.86% | 7.80% | 8.38% | 7.99% | 8.21% | 8.70% |
| Orange County Blues FC | 4.02% | 5.43% | 5.43% | 6.15% | 6.20% | 6.95% | 7.15% | 7.72% | 7.86% | 8.40% | 8.05% | 8.41% | 9.21% | 9.02% |
| Arizona United SC | 3.13% | 3.79% | 4.54% | 5.33% | 6.26% | 6.44% | 6.85% | 7.42% | 7.48% | 8.07% | 9.13% | 9.31% | 10.44% | 11.81% |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 2.78% | 3.68% | 4.35% | 5.26% | 5.65% | 6.03% | 6.36% | 7.37% | 7.81% | 8.50% | 8.96% | 10.08% | 10.76% | 12.41% |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 2.37% | 3.12% | 3.85% | 4.37% | 5.05% | 5.95% | 6.38% | 6.67% | 7.62% | 8.57% | 9.40% | 10.34% | 11.91% | 14.40% |
Win Totals in Context
How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | 7 Seed | 8 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 19.72% | 14.09% | 12.06% | 9.39% | 8.14% | 7.13% | 6.04% | 5.25% | 18.18% |
| Richmond Kickers | 17.03% | 13.21% | 11.38% | 9.50% | 8.65% | 7.27% | 6.40% | 5.61% | 20.95% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 9.01% | 8.97% | 8.96% | 8.67% | 8.80% | 7.52% | 7.19% | 7.22% | 33.66% |
| Sacramento Republic | 8.22% | 8.52% | 8.75% | 8.16% | 8.10% | 8.45% | 7.89% | 7.61% | 34.30% |
| Charleston Battery | 7.86% | 8.73% | 7.83% | 8.36% | 7.96% | 7.86% | 7.48% | 7.13% | 36.79% |
| OKC Energy FC | 6.09% | 6.95% | 7.32% | 7.25% | 7.34% | 7.46% | 7.88% | 7.68% | 42.03% |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 5.75% | 6.41% | 6.69% | 7.29% | 7.53% | 7.36% | 7.39% | 8.13% | 43.45% |
| Charlotte Eagles | 5.31% | 5.97% | 6.91% | 6.56% | 6.76% | 7.77% | 7.70% | 7.53% | 45.49% |
| Rochester Rhinos | 4.40% | 5.32% | 5.83% | 6.89% | 6.49% | 6.97% | 7.87% | 7.29% | 48.94% |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 4.31% | 5.81% | 6.10% | 6.82% | 7.07% | 6.84% | 7.42% | 7.37% | 48.26% |
| Orange County Blues FC | 4.02% | 5.43% | 5.43% | 6.15% | 6.20% | 6.95% | 7.15% | 7.72% | 50.95% |
| Arizona United SC | 3.13% | 3.79% | 4.54% | 5.33% | 6.26% | 6.44% | 6.85% | 7.42% | 56.24% |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 2.78% | 3.68% | 4.35% | 5.26% | 5.65% | 6.03% | 6.36% | 7.37% | 58.52% |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 2.37% | 3.12% | 3.85% | 4.37% | 5.05% | 5.95% | 6.38% | 6.67% | 62.24% |
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Conference Finals | Advanced to USL Championship | Won USL Championship |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 81.82% | 49.35% | 29.43% | 16.98% |
| Richmond Kickers | 79.05% | 46.10% | 26.17% | 14.70% |
| Sacramento Republic | 65.70% | 35.53% | 18.54% | 9.44% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 66.34% | 35.17% | 17.84% | 9.01% |
| Charleston Battery | 63.21% | 32.82% | 17.15% | 8.57% |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 56.55% | 27.46% | 13.41% | 6.38% |
| OKC Energy FC | 57.97% | 27.56% | 12.85% | 6.24% |
| Charlotte Eagles | 54.51% | 25.34% | 11.89% | 5.67% |
| Rochester Rhinos | 51.06% | 23.95% | 11.43% | 5.56% |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 51.74% | 25.32% | 11.79% | 5.50% |
| Orange County Blues FC | 49.05% | 21.15% | 8.80% | 3.79% |
| Arizona United SC | 43.76% | 18.71% | 8.21% | 3.34% |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 41.48% | 16.59% | 6.76% | 2.60% |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 37.76% | 14.95% | 5.73% | 2.22% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Arizona United SC | Charleston Battery | Charlotte Eagles | Dayton Dutch Lions | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Galaxy II | OKC Energy FC | Orange County Blues FC | Orlando City SC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Richmond Kickers | Rochester Rhinos | Sacramento Republic | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona United SC | 1.63% | 1.38% | 1.07% | 1.33% | 1.56% | 1.47% | 1.49% | 1.78% | 0.98% | 1.76% | 1.24% | 1.62% | 1.40% | |
| Charleston Battery | 2.03% | 2.76% | 1.91% | 2.46% | 2.75% | 2.92% | 2.43% | 2.98% | 2.23% | 3.06% | 2.16% | 2.81% | 2.32% | |
| Charlotte Eagles | 1.73% | 1.92% | 1.49% | 2.03% | 2.24% | 2.05% | 1.88% | 2.39% | 1.77% | 2.31% | 1.67% | 2.25% | 1.61% | |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 1.02% | 1.14% | 1.09% | 1.23% | 1.22% | 1.10% | 1.06% | 1.41% | 0.89% | 1.50% | 1.07% | 1.16% | 1.06% | |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 1.73% | 2.25% | 2.30% | 1.27% | 2.32% | 1.94% | 2.03% | 2.71% | 1.73% | 2.46% | 2.17% | 2.56% | 1.99% | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 2.42% | 2.71% | 2.65% | 2.29% | 2.88% | 3.10% | 2.45% | 3.19% | 2.31% | 3.19% | 2.45% | 3.01% | 2.52% | |
| OKC Energy FC | 1.60% | 2.42% | 2.21% | 1.58% | 2.06% | 2.56% | 1.87% | 2.43% | 1.83% | 2.85% | 2.17% | 2.12% | 1.86% | |
| Orange County Blues FC | 1.27% | 1.78% | 1.55% | 1.35% | 1.34% | 1.79% | 1.76% | 2.22% | 1.46% | 1.89% | 1.54% | 1.63% | 1.57% | |
| Orlando City SC | 3.81% | 4.15% | 3.81% | 3.18% | 4.01% | 4.20% | 4.21% | 3.78% | 3.40% | 3.74% | 3.58% | 3.75% | 3.73% | |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1.05% | 1.49% | 1.05% | 1.01% | 1.18% | 1.44% | 1.19% | 1.16% | 1.60% | 1.64% | 1.39% | 1.29% | 1.10% | |
| Richmond Kickers | 3.28% | 3.98% | 3.61% | 3.00% | 3.91% | 3.91% | 3.44% | 3.45% | 3.74% | 3.11% | 3.34% | 4.00% | 3.33% | |
| Rochester Rhinos | 1.39% | 1.97% | 1.93% | 1.17% | 1.64% | 1.98% | 2.15% | 1.86% | 2.49% | 1.27% | 2.51% | 2.01% | 1.58% | |
| Sacramento Republic | 2.22% | 2.94% | 2.65% | 1.97% | 3.00% | 3.11% | 2.87% | 2.62% | 3.32% | 2.35% | 3.59% | 2.54% | 2.35% | |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 1.50% | 2.01% | 2.18% | 1.52% | 2.02% | 2.09% | 2.21% | 1.82% | 2.21% | 1.56% | 2.45% | 1.79% | 1.96% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Arizona United SC | Charleston Battery | Charlotte Eagles | Dayton Dutch Lions | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Galaxy II | OKC Energy FC | Orange County Blues FC | Orlando City SC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Richmond Kickers | Rochester Rhinos | Sacramento Republic | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona United SC | 0.67% | 0.71% | 0.37% | 0.60% | 0.78% | 0.64% | 0.49% | 0.90% | 0.44% | 0.85% | 0.59% | 0.60% | 0.57% | |
| Charleston Battery | 1.03% | 1.13% | 0.94% | 1.19% | 1.74% | 1.32% | 1.06% | 2.08% | 0.84% | 1.92% | 1.21% | 1.52% | 1.17% | |
| Charlotte Eagles | 0.57% | 1.12% | 0.45% | 1.10% | 0.94% | 0.99% | 0.92% | 1.31% | 0.54% | 1.27% | 0.95% | 1.06% | 0.67% | |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 0.40% | 0.49% | 0.39% | 0.42% | 0.63% | 0.44% | 0.28% | 0.65% | 0.27% | 0.65% | 0.21% | 0.46% | 0.44% | |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 0.69% | 1.03% | 1.02% | 0.57% | 1.41% | 1.01% | 0.88% | 1.54% | 0.59% | 1.63% | 0.85% | 1.22% | 0.97% | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 0.95% | 1.55% | 1.17% | 0.83% | 1.38% | 1.38% | 1.06% | 2.02% | 0.77% | 2.33% | 1.17% | 1.92% | 1.31% | |
| OKC Energy FC | 0.63% | 1.07% | 1.00% | 0.54% | 1.03% | 1.16% | 0.76% | 1.45% | 0.63% | 1.59% | 0.80% | 1.14% | 1.05% | |
| Orange County Blues FC | 0.36% | 0.96% | 0.59% | 0.46% | 0.54% | 0.64% | 0.58% | 1.04% | 0.50% | 0.95% | 0.59% | 0.86% | 0.73% | |
| Orlando City SC | 1.72% | 2.56% | 2.12% | 1.45% | 2.29% | 2.98% | 2.39% | 1.78% | 1.67% | 3.48% | 1.90% | 2.97% | 2.12% | |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0.35% | 0.59% | 0.34% | 0.26% | 0.58% | 0.54% | 0.43% | 0.53% | 0.90% | 0.62% | 0.48% | 0.71% | 0.43% | |
| Richmond Kickers | 1.58% | 2.18% | 1.85% | 1.24% | 1.83% | 2.79% | 2.19% | 1.99% | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1.79% | 2.43% | 1.99% | |
| Rochester Rhinos | 0.63% | 0.99% | 0.85% | 0.65% | 0.83% | 0.97% | 0.82% | 0.78% | 1.35% | 0.53% | 1.26% | 1.02% | 0.75% | |
| Sacramento Republic | 1.00% | 1.47% | 1.34% | 0.91% | 1.31% | 1.60% | 1.64% | 1.14% | 2.34% | 1.03% | 2.17% | 1.26% | 1.33% | |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 0.59% | 0.99% | 0.94% | 0.55% | 0.95% | 1.15% | 0.88% | 0.68% | 1.40% | 0.65% | 1.21% | 0.72% | 1.08% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Arizona United SC | Charleston Battery | Charlotte Eagles | Dayton Dutch Lions | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Galaxy II | OKC Energy FC | Orange County Blues FC | Orlando City SC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Richmond Kickers | Rochester Rhinos | Sacramento Republic | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona United SC | 0.31% | 0.22% | 0.12% | 0.26% | 0.31% | 0.23% | 0.19% | 0.44% | 0.11% | 0.47% | 0.16% | 0.29% | 0.23% | |
| Charleston Battery | 0.50% | 0.58% | 0.37% | 0.73% | 0.96% | 0.54% | 0.43% | 1.36% | 0.35% | 0.96% | 0.33% | 0.92% | 0.54% | |
| Charlotte Eagles | 0.27% | 0.54% | 0.18% | 0.44% | 0.55% | 0.38% | 0.24% | 0.80% | 0.23% | 0.67% | 0.29% | 0.72% | 0.36% | |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 0.08% | 0.25% | 0.17% | 0.09% | 0.17% | 0.19% | 0.15% | 0.29% | 0.09% | 0.16% | 0.14% | 0.18% | 0.26% | |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 0.28% | 0.56% | 0.42% | 0.22% | 0.52% | 0.44% | 0.34% | 0.95% | 0.35% | 0.78% | 0.44% | 0.67% | 0.41% | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 0.45% | 0.86% | 0.61% | 0.36% | 0.48% | 0.56% | 0.50% | 1.57% | 0.46% | 1.01% | 0.61% | 0.94% | 0.60% | |
| OKC Energy FC | 0.32% | 0.49% | 0.39% | 0.24% | 0.54% | 0.56% | 0.26% | 0.98% | 0.21% | 0.79% | 0.46% | 0.50% | 0.50% | |
| Orange County Blues FC | 0.24% | 0.31% | 0.21% | 0.11% | 0.36% | 0.36% | 0.28% | 0.47% | 0.16% | 0.39% | 0.26% | 0.42% | 0.22% | |
| Orlando City SC | 0.75% | 1.76% | 1.15% | 0.54% | 1.40% | 1.67% | 1.25% | 0.88% | 0.74% | 2.95% | 0.88% | 1.89% | 1.12% | |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0.12% | 0.23% | 0.12% | 0.06% | 0.23% | 0.31% | 0.20% | 0.11% | 0.32% | 0.30% | 0.23% | 0.23% | 0.14% | |
| Richmond Kickers | 0.82% | 1.49% | 1.02% | 0.53% | 1.08% | 1.44% | 1.02% | 0.81% | 2.39% | 0.74% | 0.99% | 1.40% | 0.97% | |
| Rochester Rhinos | 0.34% | 0.36% | 0.29% | 0.21% | 0.39% | 0.68% | 0.45% | 0.34% | 0.65% | 0.18% | 0.82% | 0.56% | 0.29% | |
| Sacramento Republic | 0.41% | 0.90% | 0.63% | 0.36% | 0.64% | 0.80% | 0.68% | 0.49% | 1.43% | 0.32% | 1.44% | 0.69% | 0.65% | |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 0.29% | 0.52% | 0.41% | 0.21% | 0.39% | 0.50% | 0.39% | 0.27% | 0.80% | 0.22% | 0.73% | 0.39% | 0.38% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Advanced to Conference Finals | Advanced to USL Championship | Won USL Championship |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 63.12% | 37.13% | 22.71% |
| Richmond Kickers | 59.87% | 30.03% | 16.80% |
| Sacramento Republic | 58.60% | 34.01% | 15.86% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 59.66% | 29.32% | 12.89% |
| Charleston Battery | 40.13% | 17.56% | 8.89% |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 41.40% | 18.46% | 8.09% |
| Rochester Rhinos | 40.34% | 18.21% | 7.60% |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 36.88% | 15.28% | 7.16% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charleston Battery | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Galaxy II | Orlando City SC | Richmond Kickers | Rochester Rhinos | Sacramento Republic | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Battery | 40.13% | |||||||
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 36.88% | |||||||
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 59.66% | |||||||
| Orlando City SC | 63.12% | |||||||
| Richmond Kickers | 59.87% | |||||||
| Rochester Rhinos | 40.34% | |||||||
| Sacramento Republic | 58.60% | |||||||
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 41.40% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charleston Battery | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Galaxy II | Orlando City SC | Richmond Kickers | Rochester Rhinos | Sacramento Republic | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Battery | 7.71% | 9.85% | ||||||
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 6.67% | 8.61% | ||||||
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 15.27% | 14.05% | ||||||
| Orlando City SC | 15.90% | 21.23% | ||||||
| Richmond Kickers | 13.89% | 16.14% | ||||||
| Rochester Rhinos | 9.32% | 8.89% | ||||||
| Sacramento Republic | 19.90% | 14.11% | ||||||
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 10.44% | 8.02% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charleston Battery | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Galaxy II | Orlando City SC | Richmond Kickers | Rochester Rhinos | Sacramento Republic | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Battery | 2.45% | 1.95% | 2.74% | 1.75% | ||||
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 2.09% | 1.42% | 2.36% | 1.29% | ||||
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 2.48% | 2.49% | 4.22% | 3.70% | ||||
| Orlando City SC | 6.89% | 3.98% | 7.55% | 4.29% | ||||
| Richmond Kickers | 5.00% | 3.26% | 5.50% | 3.04% | ||||
| Rochester Rhinos | 1.50% | 1.24% | 2.65% | 2.21% | ||||
| Sacramento Republic | 3.03% | 2.88% | 5.00% | 4.95% | ||||
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 1.66% | 1.51% | 2.55% | 2.37% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-04-13 | OKC Energy FC | L 0-4 | 1488.83 | 1501.51 | 38.44% | 27.72% | 33.84% | -8.16 | 0 |
| 2014-04-20 | Sacramento Republic | W 2-1 | 1480.67 | 1504.79 | 36.73% | 27.90% | 35.37% | +2.03 | 3 |
| 2014-04-26 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | T 1-1 | 1482.70 | 1502.75 | 37.33% | 27.86% | 34.81% | -0.03 | 4 |
| 2014-05-04 | Charlotte Eagles | W 2-1 | 1482.67 | 1502.86 | 37.31% | 27.86% | 34.83% | +2.00 | 7 |
| 2014-05-10 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 0-4 | 1484.67 | 1520.69 | 28.76% | 24.86% | 46.37% | -6.36 | 7 |
| 2014-05-11 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | W 1-0 | 1478.31 | 1493.31 | 30.69% | 26.48% | 42.83% | +2.46 | 10 |
| 2014-05-18 | Orlando City SC | L 0-1 | 1480.77 | 1535.26 | 32.68% | 27.42% | 39.90% | -2.02 | 10 |
| 2014-06-01 | @ Orange County Blues FC | L 0-2 | 1478.75 | 1487.75 | 31.31% | 26.84% | 41.85% | -3.67 | 10 |
| 2014-06-08 | @ Sacramento Republic | T 1-1 | 1475.08 | 1508.63 | 28.97% | 25.08% | 45.95% | +0.20 | 11 |
| 2014-06-12 | Dayton Dutch Lions | L 1-2 | 1475.28 | 1468.03 | 41.57% | 26.93% | 31.50% | -2.26 | 11 |
| 2014-06-15 | Rochester Rhinos | W 1-0 | 1473.02 | 1492.56 | 37.40% | 27.85% | 34.74% | +2.12 | 14 |
| 2014-06-22 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | T 1-1 | 1475.14 | 1514.62 | 34.57% | 27.83% | 37.60% | +0.03 | 15 |
| 2014-06-27 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 0-1 | 1475.17 | 1504.43 | 29.34% | 25.44% | 45.22% | -1.82 | 15 |
| 2014-06-29 | Orange County Blues FC | L 2-3 | 1473.35 | 1491.56 | 37.60% | 27.83% | 34.57% | -2.01 | 15 |
| 2014-07-05 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 2-4 | 1471.34 | 1509.72 | 28.57% | 24.65% | 46.78% | -2.57 | 15 |
| 2014-07-13 | @ Orange County Blues FC | W 2-1 | 1468.77 | 1491.74 | 29.92% | 25.93% | 44.16% | +2.36 | 18 |
| 2014-07-18 | @ OKC Energy FC | T 1-1 | 1471.13 | 1499.97 | 29.38% | 25.47% | 45.15% | +0.18 | 19 |
| 2014-07-20 | Orange County Blues FC | W 3-0 | 1471.31 | 1489.38 | 37.63% | 27.83% | 34.55% | +5.79 | 22 |
| 2014-07-26 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | T 0-0 | 1477.10 | 1503.57 | 29.59% | 25.66% | 44.74% | +0.20 | 23 |
| 2014-07-27 | @ Charleston Battery | L 0-2 | 1477.30 | 1500.49 | 29.89% | 25.91% | 44.19% | -3.50 | 23 |
| 2014-08-03 | Sacramento Republic | L 1-2 | 1473.80 | 1512.76 | 34.64% | 27.84% | 37.52% | -2.00 | 23 |
| 2014-08-10 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 2-3 | 1471.80 | 1515.00 | 28.18% | 24.20% | 47.62% | -1.55 | 23 |
| 2014-08-15 | @ OKC Energy FC | W 2-1 | 1470.25 | 1503.43 | 29.00% | 25.11% | 45.89% | +2.42 | 26 |
| 2014-08-17 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 3-1 | 1472.67 | 1468.36 | 41.09% | 27.09% | 31.82% | +3.22 | 29 |
| 2014-08-23 | OKC Energy FC | W 1-0 | 1475.89 | 1498.74 | 36.92% | 27.89% | 35.20% | +2.14 | 32 |
| 2014-09-07 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 2-1 | 1478.03 | 1461.44 | 34.35% | 27.80% | 37.85% | +2.13 | 35 |
| 2014-03-23 | Orlando City SC | T 1-1 | 1507.49 | 1523.47 | 37.94% | 27.79% | 34.27% | -0.05 | 1 |
| 2014-03-30 | Richmond Kickers | T 2-2 | 1507.44 | 1513.35 | 39.48% | 27.52% | 33.00% | -0.05 | 2 |
| 2014-04-13 | @ Orlando City SC | L 0-1 | 1507.39 | 1526.24 | 30.31% | 26.22% | 43.47% | -1.88 | 2 |
| 2014-04-27 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 0-0 | 1505.51 | 1481.93 | 35.29% | 27.90% | 36.81% | +0.02 | 3 |
| 2014-04-27 | @ Rochester Rhinos | L 0-1 | 1505.53 | 1487.56 | 34.53% | 27.83% | 37.64% | -2.12 | 3 |
| 2014-05-03 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | W 4-0 | 1503.41 | 1501.71 | 32.50% | 27.36% | 40.14% | +8.41 | 6 |
| 2014-05-05 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 2-0 | 1511.82 | 1486.01 | 35.61% | 27.91% | 36.48% | +4.15 | 9 |
| 2014-05-11 | Wilmington Hammerheads | L 0-1 | 1515.97 | 1491.85 | 44.35% | 25.84% | 29.81% | -2.51 | 9 |
| 2014-05-18 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | L 0-1 | 1513.46 | 1494.36 | 34.68% | 27.84% | 37.47% | -2.12 | 9 |
| 2014-05-25 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 1-0 | 1511.34 | 1471.97 | 46.95% | 24.56% | 28.49% | +1.76 | 12 |
| 2014-06-01 | @ Orlando City SC | L 0-2 | 1513.10 | 1540.20 | 29.54% | 25.61% | 44.85% | -3.46 | 12 |
| 2014-06-15 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | W 3-0 | 1509.64 | 1520.27 | 38.75% | 27.66% | 33.59% | +5.66 | 15 |
| 2014-06-22 | @ Charlotte Eagles | L 1-3 | 1515.30 | 1492.33 | 35.21% | 27.89% | 36.90% | -3.50 | 15 |
| 2014-07-06 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-4 | 1511.80 | 1493.36 | 34.60% | 27.83% | 37.57% | -4.88 | 15 |
| 2014-07-13 | Charlotte Eagles | T 0-0 | 1506.92 | 1494.06 | 42.48% | 26.61% | 30.91% | -0.15 | 16 |
| 2014-07-20 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 0-4 | 1506.77 | 1543.70 | 28.69% | 24.78% | 46.53% | -6.34 | 16 |
| 2014-07-23 | Richmond Kickers | T 1-1 | 1500.43 | 1550.04 | 33.27% | 27.59% | 39.14% | +0.06 | 17 |
| 2014-07-27 | Arizona United SC | W 2-0 | 1500.49 | 1477.30 | 44.19% | 25.91% | 29.89% | +3.50 | 20 |
| 2014-08-02 | @ Rochester Rhinos | T 0-0 | 1503.99 | 1487.83 | 34.29% | 27.79% | 37.91% | +0.05 | 21 |
| 2014-08-09 | Dayton Dutch Lions | T 2-2 | 1504.04 | 1454.06 | 48.80% | 23.53% | 27.67% | -0.19 | 22 |
| 2014-08-14 | Orange County Blues FC | W 3-2 | 1503.85 | 1474.42 | 45.25% | 25.43% | 29.33% | +1.63 | 25 |
| 2014-08-16 | Rochester Rhinos | W 2-1 | 1505.48 | 1485.33 | 43.68% | 26.13% | 30.18% | +1.77 | 28 |
| 2014-08-25 | @ OKC Energy FC | W 2-0 | 1507.25 | 1496.60 | 33.59% | 27.66% | 38.75% | +4.32 | 31 |
| 2014-08-28 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 1-3 | 1511.57 | 1527.62 | 30.59% | 26.41% | 43.00% | -3.10 | 31 |
| 2014-08-31 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 4-0 | 1508.47 | 1467.69 | 47.20% | 24.43% | 28.37% | +6.26 | 34 |
| 2014-09-06 | Harrisburg City Islanders | W 2-1 | 1514.73 | 1499.11 | 42.93% | 26.44% | 30.63% | +1.79 | 37 |
| 2014-04-05 | Dayton Dutch Lions | L 0-1 | 1498.86 | 1487.86 | 42.18% | 26.72% | 31.10% | -2.43 | 0 |
| 2014-04-13 | Richmond Kickers | W 2-1 | 1496.43 | 1516.40 | 37.34% | 27.86% | 34.80% | +2.00 | 3 |
| 2014-04-27 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | W 2-0 | 1498.43 | 1496.39 | 32.54% | 27.37% | 40.09% | +4.43 | 6 |
| 2014-05-04 | @ Arizona United SC | L 1-2 | 1502.86 | 1482.67 | 34.83% | 27.86% | 37.31% | -2.00 | 6 |
| 2014-05-06 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 1-2 | 1500.86 | 1509.15 | 31.39% | 26.88% | 41.74% | -1.84 | 6 |
| 2014-05-09 | @ Orange County Blues FC | W 2-0 | 1499.02 | 1489.61 | 33.43% | 27.63% | 38.94% | +4.34 | 9 |
| 2014-05-22 | @ Orlando City SC | L 1-3 | 1503.36 | 1537.28 | 28.94% | 25.05% | 46.01% | -2.92 | 9 |
| 2014-05-25 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 0-2 | 1500.44 | 1532.14 | 29.13% | 25.24% | 45.63% | -3.41 | 9 |
| 2014-06-01 | Wilmington Hammerheads | L 1-2 | 1497.03 | 1502.09 | 39.61% | 27.49% | 32.90% | -2.19 | 9 |
| 2014-06-08 | OKC Energy FC | T 1-1 | 1494.84 | 1488.57 | 41.41% | 26.99% | 31.61% | -0.11 | 10 |
| 2014-06-14 | Orange County Blues FC | L 0-1 | 1494.73 | 1489.17 | 41.29% | 27.02% | 31.68% | -2.40 | 10 |
| 2014-06-22 | Charleston Battery | W 3-1 | 1492.33 | 1515.30 | 36.90% | 27.89% | 35.21% | +3.50 | 13 |
| 2014-06-28 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | T 1-1 | 1495.83 | 1493.44 | 32.58% | 27.38% | 40.03% | +0.09 | 14 |
| 2014-06-29 | @ Rochester Rhinos | W 1-0 | 1495.92 | 1494.08 | 32.52% | 27.36% | 40.12% | +2.34 | 17 |
| 2014-07-06 | Dayton Dutch Lions | L 1-3 | 1498.26 | 1463.40 | 46.17% | 24.97% | 28.86% | -4.20 | 17 |
| 2014-07-13 | @ Charleston Battery | T 0-0 | 1494.06 | 1506.92 | 30.91% | 26.61% | 42.48% | +0.15 | 18 |
| 2014-07-15 | Sacramento Republic | L 0-1 | 1494.21 | 1502.48 | 39.11% | 27.59% | 33.29% | -2.31 | 18 |
| 2014-07-18 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 0-2 | 1491.90 | 1466.28 | 35.58% | 27.91% | 36.51% | -4.07 | 18 |
| 2014-07-20 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 2-1 | 1487.83 | 1464.07 | 35.32% | 27.90% | 36.78% | +2.08 | 21 |
| 2014-07-27 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 2-0 | 1489.91 | 1503.37 | 38.32% | 27.74% | 33.94% | +3.93 | 24 |
| 2014-08-03 | @ Orlando City SC | L 1-4 | 1493.84 | 1556.54 | 26.77% | 22.17% | 51.06% | -3.74 | 24 |
| 2014-08-10 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 1-2 | 1490.10 | 1554.90 | 26.63% | 21.93% | 51.44% | -1.51 | 24 |
| 2014-08-17 | Rochester Rhinos | W 3-1 | 1488.59 | 1483.56 | 41.21% | 27.05% | 31.74% | +3.21 | 27 |
| 2014-08-21 | Orlando City SC | W 2-0 | 1491.80 | 1560.95 | 31.06% | 26.70% | 42.24% | +4.59 | 30 |
| 2014-08-30 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 0-1 | 1496.39 | 1465.14 | 45.56% | 25.28% | 29.17% | -2.55 | 30 |
| 2014-09-07 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 2-4 | 1493.84 | 1497.31 | 39.86% | 27.43% | 32.71% | -3.42 | 30 |
| 2014-04-05 | @ Charlotte Eagles | W 1-0 | 1487.86 | 1498.86 | 31.10% | 26.72% | 42.18% | +2.43 | 3 |
| 2014-04-12 | Rochester Rhinos | T 1-1 | 1490.29 | 1487.46 | 40.86% | 27.16% | 31.99% | -0.11 | 4 |
| 2014-04-20 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | W 1-0 | 1490.18 | 1506.71 | 30.54% | 26.38% | 43.08% | +2.47 | 7 |
| 2014-04-27 | Richmond Kickers | L 1-5 | 1492.65 | 1514.25 | 37.10% | 27.88% | 35.02% | -6.64 | 7 |
| 2014-05-05 | Charleston Battery | L 0-2 | 1486.01 | 1511.82 | 36.48% | 27.91% | 35.61% | -4.15 | 7 |
| 2014-05-11 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | T 1-1 | 1481.86 | 1510.99 | 36.00% | 27.92% | 36.08% | +0.01 | 8 |
| 2014-05-17 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | L 3-5 | 1481.87 | 1490.85 | 31.31% | 26.84% | 41.85% | -2.69 | 8 |
| 2014-05-26 | Sacramento Republic | L 1-2 | 1479.18 | 1506.57 | 36.25% | 27.92% | 35.83% | -2.06 | 8 |
| 2014-06-02 | Rochester Rhinos | L 0-1 | 1477.12 | 1490.10 | 38.39% | 27.72% | 33.88% | -2.28 | 8 |
| 2014-06-08 | @ Orange County Blues FC | L 3-4 | 1474.84 | 1491.41 | 30.53% | 26.38% | 43.09% | -1.66 | 8 |
| 2014-06-09 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 1-5 | 1473.18 | 1517.54 | 28.09% | 24.09% | 47.82% | -5.15 | 8 |
| 2014-06-12 | @ Arizona United SC | W 2-1 | 1468.03 | 1475.28 | 31.50% | 26.93% | 41.57% | +2.27 | 11 |
| 2014-06-21 | @ Rochester Rhinos | L 0-2 | 1470.30 | 1490.44 | 30.18% | 26.13% | 43.68% | -3.53 | 11 |
| 2014-06-22 | Orlando City SC | L 0-2 | 1466.77 | 1547.56 | 29.91% | 25.92% | 44.17% | -3.50 | 11 |
| 2014-06-29 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 1-0 | 1463.27 | 1465.80 | 32.02% | 27.17% | 40.81% | +2.37 | 14 |
| 2014-07-03 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 1-2 | 1465.64 | 1463.42 | 40.76% | 27.19% | 32.05% | -2.24 | 14 |
| 2014-07-06 | @ Charlotte Eagles | W 3-1 | 1463.40 | 1498.26 | 28.86% | 24.97% | 46.17% | +4.21 | 17 |
| 2014-07-13 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-3 | 1467.61 | 1498.24 | 35.79% | 27.92% | 36.30% | -3.54 | 17 |
| 2014-07-20 | Charlotte Eagles | L 1-2 | 1464.07 | 1487.83 | 36.78% | 27.90% | 35.32% | -2.09 | 17 |
| 2014-07-27 | OKC Energy FC | L 0-3 | 1461.98 | 1497.57 | 35.10% | 27.88% | 37.02% | -5.85 | 17 |
| 2014-08-03 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 0-1 | 1456.13 | 1503.50 | 33.55% | 27.66% | 38.79% | -2.07 | 17 |
| 2014-08-09 | @ Charleston Battery | T 2-2 | 1454.06 | 1504.04 | 27.67% | 23.53% | 48.80% | +0.19 | 18 |
| 2014-08-10 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | W 2-1 | 1454.25 | 1496.12 | 28.29% | 24.33% | 47.39% | +2.47 | 21 |
| 2014-08-17 | @ Richmond Kickers | T 1-1 | 1456.72 | 1556.42 | 24.55% | 17.72% | 57.73% | +0.40 | 22 |
| 2014-09-01 | @ Orlando City SC | L 0-7 | 1457.12 | 1554.53 | 24.68% | 18.00% | 57.32% | -8.62 | 22 |
| 2014-09-06 | Wilmington Hammerheads | L 0-4 | 1448.50 | 1496.52 | 33.47% | 27.64% | 38.89% | -7.37 | 22 |
| 2014-04-06 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | T 0-0 | 1506.65 | 1494.45 | 33.78% | 27.71% | 38.51% | +0.06 | 1 |
| 2014-04-20 | Dayton Dutch Lions | L 0-1 | 1506.71 | 1490.18 | 43.08% | 26.38% | 30.54% | -2.46 | 1 |
| 2014-04-25 | @ Orange County Blues FC | L 1-4 | 1504.25 | 1493.04 | 33.66% | 27.68% | 38.66% | -4.78 | 1 |
| 2014-04-27 | @ Sacramento Republic | W 2-1 | 1499.47 | 1502.76 | 31.93% | 27.13% | 40.93% | +2.24 | 4 |
| 2014-05-03 | Charleston Battery | L 0-4 | 1501.71 | 1503.41 | 40.14% | 27.36% | 32.50% | -8.40 | 4 |
| 2014-05-11 | Arizona United SC | L 0-1 | 1493.31 | 1478.31 | 42.83% | 26.48% | 30.69% | -2.46 | 4 |
| 2014-05-17 | Dayton Dutch Lions | W 5-3 | 1490.85 | 1481.87 | 41.85% | 26.84% | 31.31% | +2.68 | 7 |
| 2014-06-01 | Richmond Kickers | L 2-3 | 1493.53 | 1535.48 | 34.24% | 27.79% | 37.97% | -1.87 | 7 |
| 2014-06-02 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 1-1 | 1491.66 | 1470.21 | 35.00% | 27.88% | 37.12% | +0.02 | 8 |
| 2014-06-08 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 0-1 | 1491.68 | 1537.36 | 27.99% | 23.96% | 48.05% | -1.72 | 8 |
| 2014-06-12 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 3-1 | 1489.96 | 1472.42 | 34.48% | 27.82% | 37.70% | +3.68 | 11 |
| 2014-06-15 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 0-0 | 1493.64 | 1468.74 | 44.48% | 25.78% | 29.74% | -0.20 | 12 |
| 2014-06-28 | Charlotte Eagles | T 1-1 | 1493.44 | 1495.83 | 40.03% | 27.38% | 32.58% | -0.08 | 13 |
| 2014-07-06 | Charleston Battery | W 4-1 | 1493.36 | 1511.80 | 37.57% | 27.83% | 34.60% | +4.88 | 16 |
| 2014-07-13 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 3-1 | 1498.24 | 1467.61 | 36.30% | 27.92% | 35.79% | +3.54 | 19 |
| 2014-07-19 | Wilmington Hammerheads | T 0-0 | 1501.78 | 1501.18 | 40.50% | 27.26% | 32.24% | -0.10 | 20 |
| 2014-07-24 | OKC Energy FC | T 3-3 | 1501.68 | 1497.51 | 41.07% | 27.09% | 31.84% | -0.07 | 21 |
| 2014-07-27 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 1-2 | 1501.61 | 1549.98 | 27.79% | 23.69% | 48.52% | -1.60 | 21 |
| 2014-07-31 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | W 3-1 | 1500.01 | 1522.33 | 36.99% | 27.88% | 35.12% | +3.49 | 24 |
| 2014-08-03 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 1-0 | 1503.50 | 1456.13 | 38.79% | 27.66% | 33.55% | +2.06 | 27 |
| 2014-08-10 | Orlando City SC | W 3-2 | 1505.56 | 1560.28 | 32.66% | 27.41% | 39.93% | +2.10 | 30 |
| 2014-08-17 | @ Orlando City SC | L 1-3 | 1507.66 | 1558.19 | 27.63% | 23.47% | 48.90% | -2.76 | 30 |
| 2014-08-24 | @ Rochester Rhinos | T 2-2 | 1504.90 | 1480.35 | 35.43% | 27.90% | 36.67% | +0.01 | 31 |
| 2014-08-31 | Rochester Rhinos | L 1-4 | 1504.91 | 1480.34 | 44.42% | 25.81% | 29.77% | -5.80 | 31 |
| 2014-09-06 | @ Charleston Battery | L 1-2 | 1499.11 | 1514.73 | 30.63% | 26.44% | 42.93% | -1.80 | 31 |
| 2014-09-07 | @ Charlotte Eagles | W 4-2 | 1497.31 | 1493.84 | 32.71% | 27.43% | 39.86% | +3.42 | 34 |
| 2014-03-23 | Orange County Blues FC | W 3-1 | 1500.00 | 1502.08 | 40.08% | 27.37% | 32.55% | +3.29 | 3 |
| 2014-03-30 | Sacramento Republic | T 1-1 | 1503.29 | 1500.00 | 40.93% | 27.14% | 31.93% | -0.11 | 4 |
| 2014-04-08 | OKC Energy FC | W 4-2 | 1503.18 | 1504.44 | 40.21% | 27.34% | 32.45% | +2.93 | 7 |
| 2014-04-14 | Sacramento Republic | L 0-3 | 1506.11 | 1498.19 | 41.68% | 26.90% | 31.43% | -6.60 | 7 |
| 2014-04-20 | Orange County Blues FC | W 3-1 | 1499.51 | 1496.28 | 40.92% | 27.14% | 31.94% | +3.24 | 10 |
| 2014-04-26 | @ Arizona United SC | T 1-1 | 1502.75 | 1482.70 | 34.81% | 27.86% | 37.33% | +0.02 | 11 |
| 2014-04-28 | @ Orange County Blues FC | W 3-0 | 1502.77 | 1497.82 | 32.89% | 27.48% | 39.63% | +6.38 | 14 |
| 2014-05-06 | Charlotte Eagles | W 2-1 | 1509.15 | 1500.86 | 41.74% | 26.88% | 31.39% | +1.84 | 17 |
| 2014-05-11 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | T 1-1 | 1510.99 | 1481.86 | 36.08% | 27.92% | 36.00% | +0.00 | 18 |
| 2014-05-18 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 1-2 | 1510.99 | 1502.34 | 33.34% | 27.61% | 39.06% | -1.94 | 18 |
| 2014-05-26 | OKC Energy FC | W 5-0 | 1509.05 | 1496.95 | 42.36% | 26.66% | 30.99% | +8.49 | 21 |
| 2014-06-09 | Dayton Dutch Lions | W 5-1 | 1517.54 | 1473.18 | 47.82% | 24.09% | 28.09% | +5.15 | 24 |
| 2014-06-12 | Rochester Rhinos | L 1-2 | 1522.69 | 1490.15 | 45.78% | 25.17% | 29.06% | -2.42 | 24 |
| 2014-06-15 | @ Charleston Battery | L 0-3 | 1520.27 | 1509.64 | 33.59% | 27.66% | 38.75% | -5.65 | 24 |
| 2014-06-22 | @ Arizona United SC | T 1-1 | 1514.62 | 1475.14 | 37.60% | 27.83% | 34.57% | -0.04 | 25 |
| 2014-06-29 | @ Orlando City SC | L 0-3 | 1514.58 | 1551.06 | 28.72% | 24.82% | 46.45% | -4.86 | 25 |
| 2014-07-05 | Arizona United SC | W 4-2 | 1509.72 | 1471.34 | 46.78% | 24.65% | 28.57% | +2.58 | 28 |
| 2014-07-20 | @ OKC Energy FC | W 1-0 | 1512.30 | 1499.79 | 33.82% | 27.71% | 38.46% | +2.28 | 31 |
| 2014-07-27 | @ Orange County Blues FC | W 4-0 | 1514.58 | 1483.59 | 36.35% | 27.91% | 35.74% | +7.75 | 34 |
| 2014-07-31 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-3 | 1522.33 | 1500.01 | 35.12% | 27.88% | 36.99% | -3.49 | 34 |
| 2014-08-03 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 1-3 | 1518.84 | 1462.47 | 40.19% | 27.34% | 32.46% | -3.84 | 34 |
| 2014-08-10 | Arizona United SC | W 3-2 | 1515.00 | 1471.80 | 47.62% | 24.20% | 28.18% | +1.55 | 37 |
| 2014-08-17 | @ OKC Energy FC | W 1-0 | 1516.55 | 1501.01 | 34.21% | 27.78% | 38.00% | +2.26 | 40 |
| 2014-08-24 | Wilmington Hammerheads | T 3-3 | 1518.81 | 1492.31 | 44.75% | 25.66% | 29.59% | -0.11 | 41 |
| 2014-09-02 | Richmond Kickers | T 1-1 | 1518.70 | 1553.71 | 35.18% | 27.89% | 36.94% | +0.02 | 42 |
| 2014-09-07 | @ Sacramento Republic | W 2-1 | 1518.72 | 1532.47 | 30.82% | 26.56% | 42.62% | +2.31 | 45 |
| 2014-04-06 | @ Orange County Blues FC | W 2-0 | 1500.00 | 1498.79 | 32.45% | 27.34% | 40.22% | +4.44 | 3 |
| 2014-04-08 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 2-4 | 1504.44 | 1503.18 | 32.45% | 27.34% | 40.21% | -2.93 | 3 |
| 2014-04-13 | @ Arizona United SC | W 4-0 | 1501.51 | 1488.83 | 33.84% | 27.72% | 38.44% | +8.16 | 6 |
| 2014-04-27 | Orlando City SC | L 1-2 | 1509.67 | 1528.12 | 37.57% | 27.83% | 34.60% | -2.12 | 6 |
| 2014-05-05 | @ Orlando City SC | L 1-3 | 1507.55 | 1530.24 | 29.94% | 25.95% | 44.11% | -3.03 | 6 |
| 2014-05-11 | Orange County Blues FC | L 0-1 | 1504.52 | 1485.27 | 43.53% | 26.20% | 30.27% | -2.48 | 6 |
| 2014-05-17 | Richmond Kickers | L 1-4 | 1502.04 | 1527.05 | 36.60% | 27.91% | 35.50% | -5.09 | 6 |
| 2014-05-26 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 0-5 | 1496.95 | 1509.05 | 30.99% | 26.66% | 42.36% | -8.49 | 6 |
| 2014-06-07 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | T 2-2 | 1488.46 | 1504.29 | 30.61% | 26.43% | 42.97% | +0.11 | 7 |
| 2014-06-08 | @ Charlotte Eagles | T 1-1 | 1488.57 | 1494.84 | 31.61% | 26.99% | 41.41% | +0.11 | 8 |
| 2014-06-15 | Sacramento Republic | W 2-0 | 1488.68 | 1508.43 | 37.37% | 27.85% | 34.77% | +4.00 | 11 |
| 2014-06-23 | Rochester Rhinos | T 0-0 | 1492.68 | 1493.98 | 40.20% | 27.34% | 32.46% | -0.10 | 12 |
| 2014-06-29 | Sacramento Republic | W 2-0 | 1492.58 | 1506.25 | 38.29% | 27.74% | 33.97% | +3.94 | 15 |
| 2014-07-13 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 2-0 | 1496.52 | 1469.74 | 44.80% | 25.64% | 29.56% | +3.45 | 18 |
| 2014-07-18 | Arizona United SC | T 1-1 | 1499.97 | 1471.13 | 45.15% | 25.47% | 29.38% | -0.18 | 19 |
| 2014-07-20 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 0-1 | 1499.79 | 1512.30 | 38.46% | 27.71% | 33.82% | -2.28 | 19 |
| 2014-07-24 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | T 3-3 | 1497.51 | 1501.68 | 31.84% | 27.09% | 41.07% | +0.06 | 20 |
| 2014-07-27 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 3-0 | 1497.57 | 1461.98 | 37.02% | 27.88% | 35.10% | +5.86 | 23 |
| 2014-08-03 | Orange County Blues FC | W 1-0 | 1503.43 | 1475.84 | 44.93% | 25.57% | 29.49% | +1.83 | 26 |
| 2014-08-10 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 1-2 | 1505.26 | 1514.76 | 31.26% | 26.81% | 41.93% | -1.83 | 26 |
| 2014-08-15 | Arizona United SC | L 1-2 | 1503.43 | 1470.25 | 45.89% | 25.11% | 29.00% | -2.42 | 26 |
| 2014-08-17 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 0-1 | 1501.01 | 1516.55 | 38.00% | 27.78% | 34.21% | -2.27 | 26 |
| 2014-08-23 | @ Arizona United SC | L 0-1 | 1498.74 | 1475.89 | 35.20% | 27.89% | 36.92% | -2.14 | 26 |
| 2014-08-25 | Charleston Battery | L 0-2 | 1496.60 | 1507.25 | 38.75% | 27.66% | 33.59% | -4.32 | 26 |
| 2014-09-05 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 0-1 | 1492.28 | 1530.70 | 28.56% | 24.65% | 46.79% | -1.77 | 26 |
| 2014-09-07 | @ Orange County Blues FC | W 1-0 | 1490.51 | 1463.30 | 35.81% | 27.92% | 36.28% | +2.19 | 29 |
| 2014-03-23 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 1-3 | 1502.08 | 1500.00 | 32.55% | 27.37% | 40.08% | -3.29 | 0 |
| 2014-04-06 | OKC Energy FC | L 0-2 | 1498.79 | 1500.00 | 40.22% | 27.34% | 32.45% | -4.43 | 0 |
| 2014-04-13 | Sacramento Republic | W 2-1 | 1494.36 | 1500.10 | 39.51% | 27.51% | 32.98% | +1.92 | 3 |
| 2014-04-20 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 1-3 | 1496.28 | 1499.51 | 31.94% | 27.14% | 40.92% | -3.24 | 3 |
| 2014-04-25 | Harrisburg City Islanders | W 4-1 | 1493.04 | 1504.25 | 38.66% | 27.68% | 33.66% | +4.78 | 6 |
| 2014-04-28 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 0-3 | 1497.82 | 1502.77 | 39.63% | 27.48% | 32.89% | -6.38 | 6 |
| 2014-05-04 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 1-2 | 1491.44 | 1500.51 | 31.30% | 26.83% | 41.86% | -1.83 | 6 |
| 2014-05-09 | Charlotte Eagles | L 0-2 | 1489.61 | 1499.02 | 38.94% | 27.63% | 33.43% | -4.34 | 6 |
| 2014-05-11 | @ OKC Energy FC | W 1-0 | 1485.27 | 1504.52 | 30.27% | 26.20% | 43.53% | +2.48 | 9 |
| 2014-06-01 | Arizona United SC | W 2-0 | 1487.75 | 1478.75 | 41.85% | 26.84% | 31.31% | +3.66 | 12 |
| 2014-06-08 | Dayton Dutch Lions | W 4-3 | 1491.41 | 1474.84 | 43.09% | 26.38% | 30.53% | +1.66 | 15 |
| 2014-06-12 | @ Orlando City SC | L 1-4 | 1493.07 | 1543.66 | 27.62% | 23.47% | 48.91% | -3.90 | 15 |
| 2014-06-14 | @ Charlotte Eagles | W 1-0 | 1489.17 | 1494.73 | 31.68% | 27.02% | 41.29% | +2.39 | 18 |
| 2014-06-29 | @ Arizona United SC | W 3-2 | 1491.56 | 1473.35 | 34.57% | 27.83% | 37.60% | +2.01 | 21 |
| 2014-07-08 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 1-2 | 1493.57 | 1502.32 | 31.34% | 26.85% | 41.81% | -1.83 | 21 |
| 2014-07-13 | Arizona United SC | L 1-2 | 1491.74 | 1468.77 | 44.16% | 25.93% | 29.92% | -2.36 | 21 |
| 2014-07-20 | @ Arizona United SC | L 0-3 | 1489.38 | 1471.31 | 34.55% | 27.83% | 37.63% | -5.79 | 21 |
| 2014-07-27 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 0-4 | 1483.59 | 1514.58 | 35.74% | 27.91% | 36.35% | -7.75 | 21 |
| 2014-08-03 | @ OKC Energy FC | L 0-1 | 1475.84 | 1503.43 | 29.49% | 25.57% | 44.93% | -1.83 | 21 |
| 2014-08-09 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 0-1 | 1474.01 | 1466.31 | 33.22% | 27.58% | 39.20% | -2.05 | 21 |
| 2014-08-11 | @ Rochester Rhinos | W 1-0 | 1471.96 | 1487.79 | 30.61% | 26.43% | 42.97% | +2.46 | 24 |
| 2014-08-14 | @ Charleston Battery | L 2-3 | 1474.42 | 1503.85 | 29.33% | 25.43% | 45.25% | -1.62 | 24 |
| 2014-08-18 | Sacramento Republic | L 1-6 | 1472.80 | 1516.59 | 34.00% | 27.75% | 38.25% | -7.62 | 24 |
| 2014-08-24 | Wilmington Hammerheads | L 1-2 | 1465.18 | 1490.23 | 36.59% | 27.91% | 35.50% | -2.08 | 24 |
| 2014-08-31 | Richmond Kickers | T 1-1 | 1463.10 | 1553.91 | 29.01% | 25.12% | 45.87% | +0.20 | 25 |
| 2014-09-07 | OKC Energy FC | L 0-1 | 1463.30 | 1490.51 | 36.28% | 27.92% | 35.81% | -2.19 | 25 |
| 2014-03-23 | @ Charleston Battery | T 1-1 | 1523.47 | 1507.49 | 34.27% | 27.79% | 37.94% | +0.04 | 1 |
| 2014-03-30 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 1-1 | 1523.51 | 1486.58 | 46.53% | 24.78% | 28.69% | -0.21 | 2 |
| 2014-04-06 | Rochester Rhinos | W 3-1 | 1523.30 | 1490.39 | 45.84% | 25.14% | 29.02% | +2.94 | 5 |
| 2014-04-13 | Charleston Battery | W 1-0 | 1526.24 | 1507.39 | 43.47% | 26.22% | 30.31% | +1.88 | 8 |
| 2014-04-27 | @ OKC Energy FC | W 2-1 | 1528.12 | 1509.67 | 34.60% | 27.83% | 37.57% | +2.12 | 11 |
| 2014-05-05 | OKC Energy FC | W 3-1 | 1530.24 | 1507.55 | 44.11% | 25.95% | 29.94% | +3.03 | 14 |
| 2014-05-10 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 1-0 | 1533.27 | 1481.91 | 39.41% | 27.53% | 33.06% | +2.04 | 17 |
| 2014-05-11 | @ Rochester Rhinos | T 1-1 | 1535.31 | 1489.98 | 38.48% | 27.71% | 33.81% | -0.05 | 18 |
| 2014-05-18 | @ Arizona United SC | W 1-0 | 1535.26 | 1480.77 | 39.90% | 27.42% | 32.68% | +2.02 | 21 |
| 2014-05-22 | Charlotte Eagles | W 3-1 | 1537.28 | 1503.36 | 46.01% | 25.05% | 28.94% | +2.92 | 24 |
| 2014-06-01 | Charleston Battery | W 2-0 | 1540.20 | 1513.10 | 44.85% | 25.61% | 29.54% | +3.46 | 27 |
| 2014-06-12 | Orange County Blues FC | W 4-1 | 1543.66 | 1493.07 | 48.91% | 23.47% | 27.62% | +3.90 | 30 |
| 2014-06-22 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 2-0 | 1547.56 | 1466.77 | 44.17% | 25.92% | 29.91% | +3.50 | 33 |
| 2014-06-29 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | W 3-0 | 1551.06 | 1514.58 | 46.45% | 24.82% | 28.72% | +4.86 | 36 |
| 2014-07-13 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 2-0 | 1555.92 | 1504.36 | 49.08% | 23.37% | 27.55% | +3.18 | 39 |
| 2014-07-18 | @ Sacramento Republic | T 0-0 | 1559.10 | 1504.79 | 39.87% | 27.42% | 32.71% | -0.10 | 40 |
| 2014-07-27 | @ Rochester Rhinos | L 0-1 | 1559.00 | 1485.37 | 42.98% | 26.42% | 30.60% | -2.46 | 40 |
| 2014-08-03 | Charlotte Eagles | W 4-1 | 1556.54 | 1493.84 | 51.06% | 22.17% | 26.77% | +3.74 | 43 |
| 2014-08-10 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | L 2-3 | 1560.28 | 1505.56 | 39.93% | 27.41% | 32.66% | -2.09 | 43 |
| 2014-08-17 | Harrisburg City Islanders | W 3-1 | 1558.19 | 1507.66 | 48.90% | 23.47% | 27.63% | +2.76 | 46 |
| 2014-08-21 | @ Charlotte Eagles | L 0-2 | 1560.95 | 1491.80 | 42.24% | 26.70% | 31.06% | -4.59 | 46 |
| 2014-08-24 | @ Richmond Kickers | W 3-2 | 1556.36 | 1556.02 | 32.35% | 27.30% | 40.35% | +2.11 | 49 |
| 2014-08-29 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | L 1-3 | 1558.47 | 1492.42 | 41.74% | 26.88% | 31.38% | -3.94 | 49 |
| 2014-09-01 | Dayton Dutch Lions | W 7-0 | 1554.53 | 1457.12 | 57.32% | 18.00% | 24.68% | +8.62 | 52 |
| 2014-09-04 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | T 0-0 | 1563.15 | 1496.38 | 41.86% | 26.84% | 31.31% | -0.14 | 53 |
| 2014-09-07 | Richmond Kickers | W 1-0 | 1563.01 | 1553.69 | 41.90% | 26.82% | 31.28% | +1.94 | 56 |
| 2014-03-30 | @ Orlando City SC | T 1-1 | 1486.58 | 1523.51 | 28.69% | 24.78% | 46.53% | +0.21 | 1 |
| 2014-04-06 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 1-3 | 1486.79 | 1513.40 | 29.58% | 25.65% | 44.77% | -3.00 | 1 |
| 2014-04-13 | Wilmington Hammerheads | L 3-4 | 1483.79 | 1494.39 | 38.76% | 27.66% | 33.58% | -2.00 | 1 |
| 2014-04-20 | @ Richmond Kickers | T 2-2 | 1481.79 | 1514.40 | 29.05% | 25.16% | 45.79% | +0.14 | 2 |
| 2014-04-27 | Charleston Battery | T 0-0 | 1481.93 | 1505.51 | 36.81% | 27.90% | 35.29% | -0.02 | 3 |
| 2014-05-10 | Orlando City SC | L 0-1 | 1481.91 | 1533.27 | 33.06% | 27.53% | 39.41% | -2.03 | 3 |
| 2014-05-18 | Rochester Rhinos | L 0-1 | 1479.88 | 1490.03 | 38.82% | 27.65% | 33.53% | -2.30 | 3 |
| 2014-05-24 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | L 1-5 | 1477.58 | 1496.48 | 30.30% | 26.22% | 43.48% | -5.61 | 3 |
| 2014-05-25 | @ Charleston Battery | L 0-1 | 1471.97 | 1511.34 | 28.49% | 24.56% | 46.95% | -1.76 | 3 |
| 2014-06-02 | Harrisburg City Islanders | T 1-1 | 1470.21 | 1491.66 | 37.12% | 27.88% | 35.00% | -0.02 | 4 |
| 2014-06-08 | @ Rochester Rhinos | W 3-2 | 1470.19 | 1492.38 | 29.99% | 25.99% | 44.03% | +2.23 | 7 |
| 2014-06-12 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-3 | 1472.42 | 1489.96 | 37.70% | 27.82% | 34.48% | -3.68 | 7 |
| 2014-06-15 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | T 0-0 | 1468.74 | 1493.64 | 29.74% | 25.78% | 44.48% | +0.20 | 8 |
| 2014-06-22 | Richmond Kickers | L 1-3 | 1468.94 | 1538.93 | 30.97% | 26.65% | 42.38% | -3.14 | 8 |
| 2014-06-29 | Dayton Dutch Lions | L 0-1 | 1465.80 | 1463.27 | 40.81% | 27.17% | 32.02% | -2.38 | 8 |
| 2014-07-03 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 2-1 | 1463.42 | 1465.64 | 32.05% | 27.19% | 40.76% | +2.24 | 11 |
| 2014-07-05 | Rochester Rhinos | W 2-0 | 1465.66 | 1491.73 | 36.44% | 27.91% | 35.64% | +4.08 | 14 |
| 2014-07-13 | @ OKC Energy FC | L 0-2 | 1469.74 | 1496.52 | 29.56% | 25.64% | 44.80% | -3.46 | 14 |
| 2014-07-18 | Charlotte Eagles | W 2-0 | 1466.28 | 1491.90 | 36.51% | 27.91% | 35.58% | +4.07 | 17 |
| 2014-07-28 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 0-5 | 1470.35 | 1504.89 | 28.89% | 25.00% | 46.12% | -7.88 | 17 |
| 2014-08-03 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | W 3-1 | 1462.47 | 1518.84 | 32.46% | 27.34% | 40.19% | +3.84 | 20 |
| 2014-08-09 | Orange County Blues FC | W 1-0 | 1466.31 | 1474.01 | 39.20% | 27.58% | 33.22% | +2.05 | 23 |
| 2014-08-17 | @ Arizona United SC | L 1-3 | 1468.36 | 1472.67 | 31.82% | 27.09% | 41.09% | -3.22 | 23 |
| 2014-08-30 | @ Charlotte Eagles | W 1-0 | 1465.14 | 1496.39 | 29.17% | 25.28% | 45.56% | +2.55 | 26 |
| 2014-08-31 | @ Charleston Battery | L 0-4 | 1467.69 | 1508.47 | 28.37% | 24.43% | 47.20% | -6.25 | 26 |
| 2014-09-07 | Arizona United SC | L 1-2 | 1461.44 | 1478.03 | 37.85% | 27.80% | 34.35% | -2.13 | 26 |
| 2014-03-30 | @ Charleston Battery | T 2-2 | 1513.35 | 1507.44 | 33.00% | 27.52% | 39.48% | +0.05 | 1 |
| 2014-04-06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 3-1 | 1513.40 | 1486.79 | 44.77% | 25.65% | 29.58% | +3.00 | 4 |
| 2014-04-13 | @ Charlotte Eagles | L 1-2 | 1516.40 | 1496.43 | 34.80% | 27.86% | 37.34% | -2.00 | 4 |
| 2014-04-20 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 2-2 | 1514.40 | 1481.79 | 45.79% | 25.16% | 29.05% | -0.15 | 5 |
| 2014-04-27 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 5-1 | 1514.25 | 1492.65 | 35.02% | 27.88% | 37.10% | +6.63 | 8 |
| 2014-05-03 | Rochester Rhinos | T 1-1 | 1520.88 | 1489.67 | 45.55% | 25.28% | 29.17% | -0.19 | 9 |
| 2014-05-10 | Arizona United SC | W 4-0 | 1520.69 | 1484.67 | 46.37% | 24.86% | 28.76% | +6.36 | 12 |
| 2014-05-17 | @ OKC Energy FC | W 4-1 | 1527.05 | 1502.04 | 35.50% | 27.91% | 36.60% | +5.09 | 15 |
| 2014-05-25 | Charlotte Eagles | W 2-0 | 1532.14 | 1500.44 | 45.63% | 25.24% | 29.13% | +3.40 | 18 |
| 2014-05-31 | @ Rochester Rhinos | T 0-0 | 1535.54 | 1490.04 | 38.51% | 27.71% | 33.79% | -0.06 | 19 |
| 2014-06-01 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | W 3-2 | 1535.48 | 1493.53 | 37.97% | 27.79% | 34.24% | +1.88 | 22 |
| 2014-06-08 | Harrisburg City Islanders | W 1-0 | 1537.36 | 1491.68 | 48.05% | 23.96% | 27.99% | +1.72 | 25 |
| 2014-06-15 | Wilmington Hammerheads | T 2-2 | 1539.08 | 1504.18 | 46.18% | 24.96% | 28.86% | -0.15 | 26 |
| 2014-06-22 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 3-1 | 1538.93 | 1468.94 | 42.38% | 26.65% | 30.97% | +3.14 | 29 |
| 2014-06-29 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | T 1-1 | 1542.07 | 1504.33 | 37.34% | 27.86% | 34.80% | -0.03 | 30 |
| 2014-07-13 | Sacramento Republic | W 2-1 | 1542.04 | 1504.15 | 46.70% | 24.70% | 28.61% | +1.66 | 33 |
| 2014-07-20 | Charleston Battery | W 4-0 | 1543.70 | 1506.77 | 46.53% | 24.78% | 28.69% | +6.34 | 36 |
| 2014-07-23 | @ Charleston Battery | T 1-1 | 1550.04 | 1500.43 | 39.14% | 27.59% | 33.27% | -0.06 | 37 |
| 2014-07-27 | Harrisburg City Islanders | W 2-1 | 1549.98 | 1501.61 | 48.52% | 23.69% | 27.79% | +1.60 | 40 |
| 2014-08-02 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | W 3-1 | 1551.58 | 1499.44 | 39.53% | 27.50% | 32.96% | +3.32 | 43 |
| 2014-08-10 | Charlotte Eagles | W 2-1 | 1554.90 | 1490.10 | 51.44% | 21.93% | 26.63% | +1.52 | 46 |
| 2014-08-17 | Dayton Dutch Lions | T 1-1 | 1556.42 | 1456.72 | 57.73% | 17.72% | 24.55% | -0.40 | 47 |
| 2014-08-24 | Orlando City SC | L 2-3 | 1556.02 | 1556.36 | 40.35% | 27.30% | 32.35% | -2.11 | 47 |
| 2014-08-31 | @ Orange County Blues FC | T 1-1 | 1553.91 | 1463.10 | 45.87% | 25.12% | 29.01% | -0.20 | 48 |
| 2014-09-02 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | T 1-1 | 1553.71 | 1518.70 | 36.94% | 27.89% | 35.18% | -0.02 | 49 |
| 2014-09-07 | @ Orlando City SC | L 0-1 | 1553.69 | 1563.01 | 31.28% | 26.82% | 41.90% | -1.94 | 49 |
| 2014-04-06 | @ Orlando City SC | L 1-3 | 1490.39 | 1523.30 | 29.02% | 25.14% | 45.84% | -2.93 | 0 |
| 2014-04-12 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | T 1-1 | 1487.46 | 1490.29 | 31.99% | 27.16% | 40.86% | +0.10 | 1 |
| 2014-04-27 | Charleston Battery | W 1-0 | 1487.56 | 1505.53 | 37.64% | 27.83% | 34.53% | +2.11 | 4 |
| 2014-05-03 | @ Richmond Kickers | T 1-1 | 1489.67 | 1520.88 | 29.17% | 25.28% | 45.55% | +0.20 | 5 |
| 2014-05-04 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | T 0-0 | 1489.87 | 1491.96 | 32.07% | 27.19% | 40.74% | +0.11 | 6 |
| 2014-05-11 | Orlando City SC | T 1-1 | 1489.98 | 1535.31 | 33.81% | 27.71% | 38.48% | +0.05 | 7 |
| 2014-05-18 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 1-0 | 1490.03 | 1479.88 | 33.53% | 27.65% | 38.82% | +2.30 | 10 |
| 2014-05-24 | Sacramento Republic | L 0-1 | 1492.33 | 1504.28 | 38.55% | 27.70% | 33.75% | -2.29 | 10 |
| 2014-05-31 | Richmond Kickers | T 0-0 | 1490.04 | 1535.54 | 33.79% | 27.71% | 38.51% | +0.06 | 11 |
| 2014-06-02 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 1-0 | 1490.10 | 1477.12 | 33.88% | 27.72% | 38.39% | +2.28 | 14 |
| 2014-06-08 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 2-3 | 1492.38 | 1470.19 | 44.03% | 25.99% | 29.99% | -2.23 | 14 |
| 2014-06-12 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | W 2-1 | 1490.15 | 1522.69 | 29.06% | 25.17% | 45.78% | +2.41 | 17 |
| 2014-06-15 | @ Arizona United SC | L 0-1 | 1492.56 | 1473.02 | 34.74% | 27.85% | 37.40% | -2.12 | 17 |
| 2014-06-21 | Dayton Dutch Lions | W 2-0 | 1490.44 | 1470.30 | 43.68% | 26.13% | 30.18% | +3.54 | 20 |
| 2014-06-23 | @ OKC Energy FC | T 0-0 | 1493.98 | 1492.68 | 32.46% | 27.34% | 40.20% | +0.10 | 21 |
| 2014-06-29 | Charlotte Eagles | L 0-1 | 1494.08 | 1495.92 | 40.12% | 27.36% | 32.52% | -2.35 | 21 |
| 2014-07-05 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 0-2 | 1491.73 | 1465.66 | 35.64% | 27.91% | 36.44% | -4.08 | 21 |
| 2014-07-20 | Wilmington Hammerheads | L 0-1 | 1487.65 | 1501.29 | 38.29% | 27.74% | 33.97% | -2.28 | 21 |
| 2014-07-27 | Orlando City SC | W 1-0 | 1485.37 | 1559.00 | 30.60% | 26.42% | 42.98% | +2.46 | 24 |
| 2014-08-02 | Charleston Battery | T 0-0 | 1487.83 | 1503.99 | 37.91% | 27.79% | 34.29% | -0.04 | 25 |
| 2014-08-11 | Orange County Blues FC | L 0-1 | 1487.79 | 1471.96 | 42.97% | 26.43% | 30.61% | -2.46 | 25 |
| 2014-08-16 | @ Charleston Battery | L 1-2 | 1485.33 | 1505.48 | 30.18% | 26.13% | 43.68% | -1.77 | 25 |
| 2014-08-17 | @ Charlotte Eagles | L 1-3 | 1483.56 | 1488.59 | 31.74% | 27.05% | 41.21% | -3.21 | 25 |
| 2014-08-24 | Harrisburg City Islanders | T 2-2 | 1480.35 | 1504.90 | 36.67% | 27.90% | 35.43% | -0.01 | 26 |
| 2014-08-31 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | W 4-1 | 1480.34 | 1504.91 | 29.77% | 25.81% | 44.42% | +5.80 | 29 |
| 2014-09-07 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 2-0 | 1486.14 | 1503.89 | 37.67% | 27.82% | 34.50% | +3.98 | 32 |
| 2014-03-30 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | T 1-1 | 1500.00 | 1503.29 | 31.93% | 27.14% | 40.93% | +0.10 | 1 |
| 2014-04-13 | @ Orange County Blues FC | L 1-2 | 1500.10 | 1494.36 | 32.98% | 27.51% | 39.51% | -1.91 | 1 |
| 2014-04-14 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | W 3-0 | 1498.19 | 1506.11 | 31.43% | 26.90% | 41.68% | +6.60 | 4 |
| 2014-04-20 | @ Arizona United SC | L 1-2 | 1504.79 | 1480.67 | 35.37% | 27.90% | 36.73% | -2.03 | 4 |
| 2014-04-27 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-2 | 1502.76 | 1499.47 | 40.93% | 27.13% | 31.93% | -2.25 | 4 |
| 2014-05-04 | Orange County Blues FC | W 2-1 | 1500.51 | 1491.44 | 41.86% | 26.83% | 31.30% | +1.83 | 7 |
| 2014-05-18 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | W 2-1 | 1502.34 | 1510.99 | 39.06% | 27.61% | 33.34% | +1.94 | 10 |
| 2014-05-24 | @ Rochester Rhinos | W 1-0 | 1504.28 | 1492.33 | 33.75% | 27.70% | 38.55% | +2.29 | 13 |
| 2014-05-26 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 2-1 | 1506.57 | 1479.18 | 35.83% | 27.92% | 36.25% | +2.06 | 16 |
| 2014-06-08 | Arizona United SC | T 1-1 | 1508.63 | 1475.08 | 45.95% | 25.08% | 28.97% | -0.20 | 17 |
| 2014-06-15 | @ OKC Energy FC | L 0-2 | 1508.43 | 1488.68 | 34.77% | 27.85% | 37.37% | -4.00 | 17 |
| 2014-06-27 | Arizona United SC | W 1-0 | 1504.43 | 1475.17 | 45.22% | 25.44% | 29.34% | +1.82 | 20 |
| 2014-06-29 | @ OKC Energy FC | L 0-2 | 1506.25 | 1492.58 | 33.97% | 27.74% | 38.29% | -3.93 | 20 |
| 2014-07-08 | Orange County Blues FC | W 2-1 | 1502.32 | 1493.57 | 41.81% | 26.85% | 31.34% | +1.83 | 23 |
| 2014-07-13 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 1-2 | 1504.15 | 1542.04 | 28.61% | 24.70% | 46.70% | -1.67 | 23 |
| 2014-07-15 | @ Charlotte Eagles | W 1-0 | 1502.48 | 1494.21 | 33.29% | 27.59% | 39.11% | +2.31 | 26 |
| 2014-07-18 | Orlando City SC | T 0-0 | 1504.79 | 1559.10 | 32.71% | 27.42% | 39.87% | +0.10 | 27 |
| 2014-07-28 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 5-0 | 1504.89 | 1470.35 | 46.12% | 25.00% | 28.89% | +7.87 | 30 |
| 2014-08-03 | @ Arizona United SC | W 2-1 | 1512.76 | 1473.80 | 37.52% | 27.84% | 34.64% | +2.00 | 33 |
| 2014-08-10 | OKC Energy FC | W 2-1 | 1514.76 | 1505.26 | 41.93% | 26.81% | 31.26% | +1.83 | 36 |
| 2014-08-18 | @ Orange County Blues FC | W 6-1 | 1516.59 | 1472.80 | 38.25% | 27.75% | 34.00% | +7.62 | 39 |
| 2014-08-21 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 2-0 | 1524.21 | 1493.65 | 45.44% | 25.33% | 29.23% | +3.41 | 42 |
| 2014-08-28 | Charleston Battery | W 3-1 | 1527.62 | 1511.57 | 43.00% | 26.41% | 30.59% | +3.10 | 45 |
| 2014-08-31 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | T 0-0 | 1530.72 | 1496.36 | 36.84% | 27.89% | 35.26% | -0.02 | 46 |
| 2014-09-05 | OKC Energy FC | W 1-0 | 1530.70 | 1492.28 | 46.79% | 24.65% | 28.56% | +1.77 | 49 |
| 2014-09-07 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 1-2 | 1532.47 | 1518.72 | 42.62% | 26.56% | 30.82% | -2.31 | 49 |
| 2014-04-06 | Harrisburg City Islanders | T 0-0 | 1494.45 | 1506.65 | 38.51% | 27.71% | 33.78% | -0.06 | 1 |
| 2014-04-13 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 4-3 | 1494.39 | 1483.79 | 33.58% | 27.66% | 38.76% | +2.00 | 4 |
| 2014-04-27 | Charlotte Eagles | L 0-2 | 1496.39 | 1498.43 | 40.09% | 27.37% | 32.54% | -4.43 | 4 |
| 2014-05-04 | Rochester Rhinos | T 0-0 | 1491.96 | 1489.87 | 40.74% | 27.19% | 32.07% | -0.11 | 5 |
| 2014-05-11 | @ Charleston Battery | W 1-0 | 1491.85 | 1515.97 | 29.81% | 25.84% | 44.35% | +2.51 | 8 |
| 2014-05-18 | Charleston Battery | W 1-0 | 1494.36 | 1513.46 | 37.47% | 27.84% | 34.68% | +2.12 | 11 |
| 2014-05-24 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 5-1 | 1496.48 | 1477.58 | 43.48% | 26.22% | 30.30% | +5.61 | 14 |
| 2014-06-01 | @ Charlotte Eagles | W 2-1 | 1502.09 | 1497.03 | 32.90% | 27.49% | 39.61% | +2.20 | 17 |
| 2014-06-07 | OKC Energy FC | T 2-2 | 1504.29 | 1488.46 | 42.97% | 26.43% | 30.61% | -0.11 | 18 |
| 2014-06-15 | @ Richmond Kickers | T 2-2 | 1504.18 | 1539.08 | 28.86% | 24.96% | 46.18% | +0.15 | 19 |
| 2014-06-29 | Richmond Kickers | T 1-1 | 1504.33 | 1542.07 | 34.80% | 27.86% | 37.34% | +0.03 | 20 |
| 2014-07-13 | @ Orlando City SC | L 0-2 | 1504.36 | 1555.92 | 27.55% | 23.37% | 49.08% | -3.18 | 20 |
| 2014-07-19 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | T 0-0 | 1501.18 | 1501.78 | 32.24% | 27.26% | 40.50% | +0.11 | 21 |
| 2014-07-20 | @ Rochester Rhinos | W 1-0 | 1501.29 | 1487.65 | 33.97% | 27.74% | 38.29% | +2.28 | 24 |
| 2014-07-26 | Arizona United SC | T 0-0 | 1503.57 | 1477.10 | 44.74% | 25.66% | 29.59% | -0.20 | 25 |
| 2014-07-27 | @ Charlotte Eagles | L 0-2 | 1503.37 | 1489.91 | 33.94% | 27.74% | 38.32% | -3.93 | 25 |
| 2014-08-02 | Richmond Kickers | L 1-3 | 1499.44 | 1551.58 | 32.96% | 27.50% | 39.53% | -3.32 | 25 |
| 2014-08-10 | Dayton Dutch Lions | L 1-2 | 1496.12 | 1454.25 | 47.39% | 24.33% | 28.29% | -2.47 | 25 |
| 2014-08-21 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 0-2 | 1493.65 | 1524.21 | 29.23% | 25.33% | 45.44% | -3.42 | 25 |
| 2014-08-24 | @ Orange County Blues FC | W 2-1 | 1490.23 | 1465.18 | 35.50% | 27.91% | 36.59% | +2.08 | 28 |
| 2014-08-24 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | T 3-3 | 1492.31 | 1518.81 | 29.59% | 25.66% | 44.75% | +0.11 | 29 |
| 2014-08-29 | Orlando City SC | W 3-1 | 1492.42 | 1558.47 | 31.38% | 26.88% | 41.74% | +3.94 | 32 |
| 2014-08-31 | Sacramento Republic | T 0-0 | 1496.36 | 1530.72 | 35.26% | 27.89% | 36.84% | +0.02 | 33 |
| 2014-09-04 | Orlando City SC | T 0-0 | 1496.38 | 1563.15 | 31.31% | 26.84% | 41.86% | +0.14 | 34 |
| 2014-09-06 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 4-0 | 1496.52 | 1448.50 | 38.89% | 27.64% | 33.47% | +7.37 | 37 |
| 2014-09-07 | @ Rochester Rhinos | L 0-2 | 1503.89 | 1486.14 | 34.50% | 27.82% | 37.67% | -3.98 | 37 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-09-13 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 1-2 | 1516.52 | 1551.75 | 40.88% | 0.00% | 59.12% | -1.68 | 0-1 |
| 2014-09-13 | @ Orlando City SC | W 1-0 | 1500.73 | 1564.95 | 36.92% | 0.00% | 63.08% | +2.75 | 1-0 |
| 2014-09-20 | @ Richmond Kickers | W 3-2 | 1503.48 | 1553.43 | 38.85% | 0.00% | 61.15% | +2.38 | 2-0 |
| 2014-09-27 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 0-2 | 1505.86 | 1536.07 | 41.58% | 0.00% | 58.42% | -3.42 | 2-1 |
| 2014-09-13 | Rochester Rhinos | W 2-1 | 1521.03 | 1490.12 | 58.52% | 0.00% | 41.48% | +1.70 | 1-0 |
| 2014-09-20 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 2-3 | 1522.73 | 1534.35 | 44.20% | 0.00% | 55.80% | -1.72 | 1-1 |
| 2014-09-13 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 0-1 | 1564.95 | 1500.73 | 63.08% | 0.00% | 36.92% | -2.75 | 0-1 |
| 2014-09-13 | Charleston Battery | W 2-1 | 1551.75 | 1516.52 | 59.12% | 0.00% | 40.88% | +1.68 | 1-0 |
| 2014-09-20 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 2-3 | 1553.43 | 1503.48 | 61.15% | 0.00% | 38.85% | -2.38 | 1-1 |
| 2014-09-13 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 1-2 | 1490.12 | 1521.03 | 41.48% | 0.00% | 58.52% | -1.71 | 0-1 |
| 2014-09-13 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 4-1 | 1530.16 | 1499.91 | 58.43% | 0.00% | 41.57% | +4.19 | 1-0 |
| 2014-09-20 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | W 3-2 | 1534.35 | 1522.73 | 55.80% | 0.00% | 44.20% | +1.72 | 2-0 |
| 2014-09-27 | Harrisburg City Islanders | W 2-0 | 1536.07 | 1505.86 | 58.42% | 0.00% | 41.58% | +3.42 | 3-0 |
| 2014-09-13 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 1-4 | 1499.91 | 1530.16 | 41.57% | 0.00% | 58.43% | -4.19 | 0-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2014-08-10 | 28.29% | Dayton Dutch Lions | 1454.25 | 2 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | 1496.12 | 1 |
| 2 | 2014-07-06 | 28.86% | Dayton Dutch Lions | 1463.40 | 3 | @ Charlotte Eagles | 1498.26 | 1 |
| 3 | 2014-08-15 | 29.00% | Arizona United SC | 1470.25 | 2 | @ OKC Energy FC | 1503.43 | 1 |
| 4 | 2014-06-12 | 29.06% | Rochester Rhinos | 1490.15 | 2 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | 1522.69 | 1 |
| 5 | 2014-08-30 | 29.17% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1465.14 | 1 | @ Charlotte Eagles | 1496.39 | 0 |
| 6 | 2014-08-31 | 29.77% | Rochester Rhinos | 1480.34 | 4 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 1504.91 | 1 |
| 7 | 2014-05-11 | 29.81% | Wilmington Hammerheads | 1491.85 | 1 | @ Charleston Battery | 1515.97 | 0 |
| 8 | 2014-07-13 | 29.92% | Arizona United SC | 1468.77 | 2 | @ Orange County Blues FC | 1491.74 | 1 |
| 9 | 2014-06-08 | 29.99% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1470.19 | 3 | @ Rochester Rhinos | 1492.38 | 2 |
| 10 | 2014-05-11 | 30.27% | Orange County Blues FC | 1485.27 | 1 | @ OKC Energy FC | 1504.52 | 0 |
| 11 | 2014-04-20 | 30.54% | Dayton Dutch Lions | 1490.18 | 1 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 1506.71 | 0 |
| 12 | 2014-07-27 | 30.60% | @ Rochester Rhinos | 1485.37 | 1 | Orlando City SC | 1559.00 | 0 |
| 13 | 2014-08-11 | 30.61% | Orange County Blues FC | 1471.96 | 1 | @ Rochester Rhinos | 1487.79 | 0 |
| 14 | 2014-05-11 | 30.69% | Arizona United SC | 1478.31 | 1 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 1493.31 | 0 |
| 15 | 2014-09-07 | 30.82% | Los Angeles Galaxy II | 1518.72 | 2 | @ Sacramento Republic | 1532.47 | 1 |
| 16 | 2014-08-21 | 31.06% | @ Charlotte Eagles | 1491.80 | 2 | Orlando City SC | 1560.95 | 0 |
| 17 | 2014-04-05 | 31.10% | Dayton Dutch Lions | 1487.86 | 1 | @ Charlotte Eagles | 1498.86 | 0 |
| 18 | 2014-08-29 | 31.38% | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | 1492.42 | 3 | Orlando City SC | 1558.47 | 1 |
| 19 | 2014-04-14 | 31.43% | Sacramento Republic | 1498.19 | 3 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | 1506.11 | 0 |
| 20 | 2014-06-12 | 31.50% | Dayton Dutch Lions | 1468.03 | 2 | @ Arizona United SC | 1475.28 | 1 |
| 21 | 2014-06-14 | 31.68% | Orange County Blues FC | 1489.17 | 1 | @ Charlotte Eagles | 1494.73 | 0 |
| 22 | 2014-04-27 | 31.93% | Harrisburg City Islanders | 1499.47 | 2 | @ Sacramento Republic | 1502.76 | 1 |
| 23 | 2014-06-29 | 32.02% | Dayton Dutch Lions | 1463.27 | 1 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1465.80 | 0 |
| 24 | 2014-07-03 | 32.05% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1463.42 | 2 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | 1465.64 | 1 |
| 25 | 2014-08-24 | 32.35% | Orlando City SC | 1556.36 | 3 | @ Richmond Kickers | 1556.02 | 2 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2014-09-01 | 8.62 | @ Orlando City SC | 7 | 1554.53 | 57.32% | Dayton Dutch Lions | 0 | 1457.12 | 24.68% | 18.00% |
| 2 | 2014-05-26 | 8.49 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | 5 | 1509.05 | 42.36% | OKC Energy FC | 0 | 1496.95 | 30.99% | 26.66% |
| 3 | 2014-05-03 | 8.41 | Charleston Battery | 4 | 1503.41 | 32.50% | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 0 | 1501.71 | 40.14% | 27.36% |
| 4 | 2014-04-13 | 8.16 | OKC Energy FC | 4 | 1501.51 | 33.84% | @ Arizona United SC | 0 | 1488.83 | 38.44% | 27.72% |
| 5 | 2014-07-28 | 7.88 | @ Sacramento Republic | 5 | 1504.89 | 46.12% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 | 1470.35 | 28.89% | 25.00% |
| 6 | 2014-07-27 | 7.75 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | 4 | 1514.58 | 36.35% | @ Orange County Blues FC | 0 | 1483.59 | 35.74% | 27.91% |
| 7 | 2014-08-18 | 7.62 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | 1516.59 | 38.25% | @ Orange County Blues FC | 1 | 1472.80 | 34.00% | 27.75% |
| 8 | 2014-09-06 | 7.37 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 4 | 1496.52 | 38.89% | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | 0 | 1448.50 | 33.47% | 27.64% |
| 9 | 2014-04-27 | 6.64 | Richmond Kickers | 5 | 1514.25 | 35.02% | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | 1 | 1492.65 | 37.10% | 27.88% |
| 10 | 2014-04-14 | 6.60 | Sacramento Republic | 3 | 1498.19 | 31.43% | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | 0 | 1506.11 | 41.68% | 26.90% |
| 11 | 2014-04-28 | 6.38 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | 3 | 1502.77 | 32.89% | @ Orange County Blues FC | 0 | 1497.82 | 39.63% | 27.48% |
| 12 | 2014-05-10 | 6.36 | @ Richmond Kickers | 4 | 1520.69 | 46.37% | Arizona United SC | 0 | 1484.67 | 28.76% | 24.86% |
| 13 | 2014-07-20 | 6.34 | @ Richmond Kickers | 4 | 1543.70 | 46.53% | Charleston Battery | 0 | 1506.77 | 28.69% | 24.78% |
| 14 | 2014-08-31 | 6.26 | @ Charleston Battery | 4 | 1508.47 | 47.20% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 | 1467.69 | 28.37% | 24.43% |
| 15 | 2014-07-27 | 5.86 | OKC Energy FC | 3 | 1497.57 | 37.02% | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | 0 | 1461.98 | 35.10% | 27.88% |
| 16 | 2014-08-31 | 5.80 | Rochester Rhinos | 4 | 1480.34 | 29.77% | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 1 | 1504.91 | 44.42% | 25.81% |
| 17 | 2014-07-20 | 5.79 | @ Arizona United SC | 3 | 1471.31 | 37.63% | Orange County Blues FC | 0 | 1489.38 | 34.55% | 27.83% |
| 18 | 2014-06-15 | 5.66 | @ Charleston Battery | 3 | 1509.64 | 38.75% | Los Angeles Galaxy II | 0 | 1520.27 | 33.59% | 27.66% |
| 19 | 2014-05-24 | 5.61 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | 5 | 1496.48 | 43.48% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1 | 1477.58 | 30.30% | 26.22% |
| 20 | 2014-06-09 | 5.15 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | 5 | 1517.54 | 47.82% | Dayton Dutch Lions | 1 | 1473.18 | 28.09% | 24.09% |
| 21 | 2014-05-17 | 5.09 | Richmond Kickers | 4 | 1527.05 | 35.50% | @ OKC Energy FC | 1 | 1502.04 | 36.60% | 27.91% |
| 22 | 2014-07-06 | 4.88 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 4 | 1493.36 | 37.57% | Charleston Battery | 1 | 1511.80 | 34.60% | 27.83% |
| 23 | 2014-06-29 | 4.86 | @ Orlando City SC | 3 | 1551.06 | 46.45% | Los Angeles Galaxy II | 0 | 1514.58 | 28.72% | 24.82% |
| 24 | 2014-04-25 | 4.78 | @ Orange County Blues FC | 4 | 1493.04 | 38.66% | Harrisburg City Islanders | 1 | 1504.25 | 33.66% | 27.68% |
| 25 | 2014-08-21 | 4.59 | @ Charlotte Eagles | 2 | 1491.80 | 31.06% | Orlando City SC | 0 | 1560.95 | 42.24% | 26.70% |