Home / Leagues / USL / 2014

2014 USL Season

182 regular-season games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

Orlando City SC

16.98% chance to win USL Championship

Biggest Overachiever

Orlando City SC

15.58 points above expected

56 points · 40.42 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dayton Dutch Lions

10.19 points below expected

22 points · 32.19 expected points

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L T Pts Pt% GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Orlando City SC 17 4 5 56 .718 51 21 +30 40.42 +15.58
2 Richmond Kickers 13 3 10 49 .628 53 28 +25 39.72 +9.28
3 Sacramento Republic 15 7 4 49 .628 42 24 +18 36.84 +12.16
4 Los Angeles Galaxy II 13 7 6 45 .577 52 38 +14 37.08 +7.92
5 Charleston Battery 10 9 7 37 .474 34 30 +4 36.46 +0.54
6 Wilmington Hammerheads 9 7 10 37 .474 33 30 +3 34.54 +2.46
7 Arizona United SC 10 11 5 35 .449 31 38 -7 33.13 +1.87
8 Harrisburg City Islanders 9 10 7 34 .436 42 44 -2 35.32 -1.32
9 Rochester Rhinos 8 10 8 32 .410 24 25 -1 34.41 -2.41
10 Charlotte Eagles 9 14 3 30 .385 30 36 -6 34.98 -4.98
11 OKC Energy FC 8 13 5 29 .372 31 36 -5 35.57 -6.57
12 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 7 14 5 26 .333 27 46 -19 32.81 -6.81
13 Orange County Blues FC 8 17 1 25 .321 29 52 -23 34.12 -9.12
14 Dayton Dutch Lions 6 16 4 22 .282 27 58 -31 32.19 -10.19

Playoff Bracket

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Points Avg. Pts. Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Orlando City SC 1565 56 40.42 +15.58 99.22% 18 30 36 40 45 51 67
Richmond Kickers 1552 49 39.72 +9.28 92.72% 13 29 35 40 44 51 62
Sacramento Republic 1530 49 36.84 +12.16 97.16% 13 26 32 37 41 48 62
Los Angeles Galaxy II 1521 45 37.08 +7.92 89.41% 15 26 33 37 42 48 62
Charleston Battery 1517 37 36.46 +0.54 56.42% 10 26 32 36 41 47 62
Harrisburg City Islanders 1501 34 35.32 -1.32 45.53% 13 25 31 35 40 46 61
Wilmington Hammerheads 1500 37 34.54 +2.46 67.18% 11 24 30 35 39 46 62
OKC Energy FC 1493 29 35.57 -6.57 18.12% 14 25 31 35 40 47 59
Rochester Rhinos 1490 32 34.41 -2.41 39.22% 10 24 30 34 39 45 61
Charlotte Eagles 1490 30 34.98 -4.98 25.37% 13 24 30 35 39 46 59
Arizona United SC 1480 35 33.13 +1.87 64.14% 10 23 29 33 38 44 56
Orange County Blues FC 1461 25 34.12 -9.12 9.52% 10 24 30 34 39 45 58
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1459 26 32.81 -6.81 16.80% 10 22 28 33 37 44 60
Dayton Dutch Lions 1441 22 32.19 -10.19 6.64% 11 22 28 32 37 43 61

Head-to-Head

Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team SC Battery Eagles Lions Islanders II FC FC SC Riverhounds Kickers Rhinos Republic Hammerheads
Arizona United SC
0
(1.2 exp.)
3
(1.4 exp.)
0
(1.5 exp.)
3
(1.2 exp.)
2
(4.9 exp.)
7
(5.1 exp.)
6
(5.2 exp.)
0
(1.3 exp.)
6
(2.8 exp.)
0
(1.1 exp.)
3
(1.4 exp.)
4
(5.0 exp.)
1
(1.1 exp.)
Charleston Battery
3
(1.6 exp.)
1
(2.9 exp.)
4
(3.0 exp.)
6
(4.1 exp.)
3
(1.4 exp.)
3
(1.3 exp.)
3
(1.6 exp.)
1
(3.7 exp.)
7
(4.7 exp.)
2
(3.8 exp.)
4
(4.2 exp.)
0
(1.2 exp.)
0
(2.9 exp.)
Charlotte Eagles
0
(1.3 exp.)
4
(2.6 exp.)
3
(4.5 exp.)
1
(2.7 exp.)
0
(1.2 exp.)
1
(1.5 exp.)
3
(2.8 exp.)
3
(3.3 exp.)
0
(3.0 exp.)
3
(3.5 exp.)
6
(2.8 exp.)
0
(1.4 exp.)
6
(4.1 exp.)
Dayton Dutch Lions
3
(1.2 exp.)
1
(2.4 exp.)
6
(3.7 exp.)
3
(5.0 exp.)
1
(2.4 exp.)
0
(1.3 exp.)
0
(1.2 exp.)
0
(2.1 exp.)
3
(2.7 exp.)
1
(2.3 exp.)
1
(4.1 exp.)
0
(1.4 exp.)
3
(2.4 exp.)
Harrisburg City Islanders
0
(1.5 exp.)
3
(4.1 exp.)
4
(2.7 exp.)
9
(5.9 exp.)
3
(1.4 exp.)
1
(1.5 exp.)
0
(1.3 exp.)
3
(2.3 exp.)
5
(4.2 exp.)
0
(3.5 exp.)
1
(2.9 exp.)
3
(1.2 exp.)
2
(2.8 exp.)
Los Angeles Galaxy II
8
(6.0 exp.)
0
(1.3 exp.)
3
(1.5 exp.)
4
(3.0 exp.)
0
(1.3 exp.)
12
(5.6 exp.)
12
(5.6 exp.)
0
(1.1 exp.)
0
(1.5 exp.)
1
(1.3 exp.)
0
(1.6 exp.)
4
(5.5 exp.)
1
(1.6 exp.)
OKC Energy FC
4
(5.9 exp.)
0
(1.4 exp.)
1
(1.2 exp.)
3
(1.4 exp.)
1
(1.2 exp.)
0
(5.3 exp.)
9
(5.8 exp.)
0
(2.6 exp.)
3
(1.6 exp.)
0
(1.4 exp.)
1
(1.5 exp.)
6
(5.1 exp.)
1
(1.2 exp.)
Orange County Blues FC
6
(5.7 exp.)
0
(1.1 exp.)
3
(2.7 exp.)
3
(1.6 exp.)
3
(1.4 exp.)
0
(5.3 exp.)
3
(5.2 exp.)
0
(1.1 exp.)
0
(1.3 exp.)
1
(1.1 exp.)
3
(1.2 exp.)
3
(5.2 exp.)
0
(1.4 exp.)
Orlando City SC
3
(1.5 exp.)
7
(4.5 exp.)
6
(4.9 exp.)
6
(3.5 exp.)
3
(3.2 exp.)
3
(1.6 exp.)
6
(2.9 exp.)
3
(1.7 exp.)
4
(3.1 exp.)
6
(2.8 exp.)
4
(4.6 exp.)
1
(1.5 exp.)
4
(4.8 exp.)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0
(2.6 exp.)
1
(3.6 exp.)
6
(2.5 exp.)
3
(2.7 exp.)
2
(4.0 exp.)
3
(1.2 exp.)
0
(1.1 exp.)
3
(1.5 exp.)
1
(2.4 exp.)
1
(3.5 exp.)
6
(4.0 exp.)
0
(1.1 exp.)
0
(2.6 exp.)
Richmond Kickers
3
(1.6 exp.)
5
(4.4 exp.)
6
(4.7 exp.)
4
(3.2 exp.)
9
(4.8 exp.)
1
(1.4 exp.)
3
(1.3 exp.)
1
(1.6 exp.)
0
(2.7 exp.)
7
(4.8 exp.)
2
(3.1 exp.)
3
(1.6 exp.)
5
(4.5 exp.)
Rochester Rhinos
0
(1.3 exp.)
4
(4.0 exp.)
0
(2.7 exp.)
7
(4.1 exp.)
4
(2.5 exp.)
3
(1.1 exp.)
1
(1.2 exp.)
0
(1.6 exp.)
4
(3.6 exp.)
3
(4.2 exp.)
2
(2.4 exp.)
0
(1.4 exp.)
4
(4.1 exp.)
Sacramento Republic
7
(6.0 exp.)
3
(1.6 exp.)
3
(1.3 exp.)
3
(1.4 exp.)
0
(1.5 exp.)
7
(5.4 exp.)
6
(5.8 exp.)
9
(5.7 exp.)
1
(1.3 exp.)
3
(1.6 exp.)
0
(1.1 exp.)
3
(1.3 exp.)
4
(3.0 exp.)
Wilmington Hammerheads
1
(1.6 exp.)
6
(2.6 exp.)
3
(4.0 exp.)
3
(3.1 exp.)
2
(2.7 exp.)
1
(1.1 exp.)
1
(1.6 exp.)
3
(1.3 exp.)
4
(3.5 exp.)
6
(2.9 exp.)
2
(3.7 exp.)
4
(4.1 exp.)
1
(2.5 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%9.34%5.77%1.65%1.92%0.82%26.65%
19.34%10.44%7.97%5.22%1.65%1.10%35.71%
25.77%7.97%3.30%1.92%0.82%19.78%
31.65%5.22%1.92%1.10%0.55%0.27%10.71%
41.92%1.65%0.82%0.55%4.95%
5+0.82%1.10%0.27%2.20%
Total26.65%35.71%19.78%10.71%4.95%2.20%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.27 1.88
CV 0.92 0.92
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%26.92%
111.54%15.38%7.69%34.62%
219.23%7.69%3.85%30.77%
33.85%3.85%7.69%
4
5+
Total19.23%46.15%15.38%7.69%11.54%100%

Arizona United SC — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.46 -0.27
SD 0.94 1.24 1.66
CV 0.79 0.85
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%3.85%3.85%34.62%
13.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%23.08%
211.54%7.69%7.69%26.92%
33.85%3.85%7.69%
47.69%7.69%
5+
Total38.46%30.77%15.38%7.69%7.69%100%

Charleston Battery — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.15 +0.15
SD 1.26 1.26 1.97
CV 0.96 1.09
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%7.69%26.92%
13.85%7.69%15.38%7.69%3.85%38.46%
215.38%7.69%3.85%26.92%
37.69%7.69%
4
5+
Total23.08%38.46%23.08%7.69%7.69%100%

Charlotte Eagles — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.38 -0.23
SD 0.92 1.17 1.58
CV 0.80 0.84
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%30.77%
111.54%11.54%11.54%3.85%7.69%46.15%
27.69%3.85%11.54%
33.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%
4
5+
Total11.54%30.77%26.92%7.69%7.69%15.38%100%

Dayton Dutch Lions — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 2.23 -1.19
SD 0.96 1.80 2.04
CV 0.92 0.80
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%3.85%26.92%
13.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%7.69%30.77%
23.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%
311.54%3.85%3.85%19.23%
43.85%3.85%7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%
Total15.38%38.46%19.23%15.38%11.54%100%

Harrisburg City Islanders — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.69 -0.08
SD 1.47 1.26 1.74
CV 0.91 0.74
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%
17.69%19.23%7.69%7.69%42.31%
27.69%7.69%
33.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%19.23%
43.85%7.69%11.54%
5+3.85%3.85%7.69%
Total19.23%38.46%19.23%23.08%100%

Los Angeles Galaxy II — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.46 +0.54
SD 1.52 1.07 2.16
CV 0.76 0.73
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%19.23%3.85%3.85%30.77%
17.69%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%34.62%
215.38%3.85%3.85%23.08%
33.85%3.85%7.69%
43.85%3.85%
5+
Total34.62%26.92%19.23%7.69%7.69%3.85%100%

OKC Energy FC — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.38 -0.19
SD 1.10 1.44 1.96
CV 0.92 1.04
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%7.69%3.85%30.77%
111.54%3.85%15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%46.15%
23.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%
33.85%3.85%
43.85%3.85%7.69%
5+
Total15.38%23.08%26.92%23.08%7.69%3.85%100%

Orange County Blues FC — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 2.00 -0.88
SD 1.14 1.44 1.90
CV 1.02 0.72
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%15.38%
115.38%11.54%3.85%30.77%
211.54%3.85%3.85%19.23%
33.85%15.38%3.85%23.08%
47.69%7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%
Total42.31%42.31%7.69%7.69%100%

Orlando City SC — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 0.81 +1.15
SD 1.59 0.90 1.85
CV 0.81 1.11
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%34.62%
17.69%7.69%3.85%15.38%3.85%38.46%
27.69%3.85%3.85%15.38%
33.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%
4
5+
Total23.08%30.77%15.38%15.38%7.69%7.69%100%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.77 -0.73
SD 1.00 1.56 1.85
CV 0.96 0.88
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%7.69%
13.85%23.08%3.85%30.77%
23.85%11.54%11.54%3.85%30.77%
311.54%3.85%15.38%
47.69%3.85%11.54%
5+3.85%3.85%
Total19.23%57.69%19.23%3.85%100%

Richmond Kickers — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 1.08 +0.96
SD 1.28 0.74 1.51
CV 0.63 0.69
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%19.23%3.85%38.46%
115.38%11.54%3.85%7.69%38.46%
27.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
3
43.85%3.85%
5+
Total38.46%38.46%11.54%11.54%100%

Rochester Rhinos — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 0.96 -0.04
SD 0.98 1.00 1.28
CV 1.06 1.04
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%15.38%
115.38%7.69%19.23%42.31%
23.85%23.08%26.92%
33.85%3.85%7.69%
4
5+3.85%3.85%7.69%
Total34.62%38.46%26.92%100%

Sacramento Republic — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 0.92 +0.69
SD 1.42 0.80 1.76
CV 0.88 0.86
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.08%19.23%42.31%
111.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
27.69%7.69%15.38%
33.85%3.85%7.69%
43.85%3.85%7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%
Total38.46%19.23%30.77%11.54%100%

Wilmington Hammerheads — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.15 +0.12
SD 1.48 1.08 1.63
CV 1.17 0.94
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

Points Points vs. Goal Differential

Plot of points against goals differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Orlando City SC 56 40.42 +15.58
2 Sacramento Republic 49 36.84 +12.16
3 Richmond Kickers 49 39.72 +9.28
4 Los Angeles Galaxy II 45 37.08 +7.92
5 Wilmington Hammerheads 37 34.54 +2.46

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Dayton Dutch Lions 22 32.19 -10.19
2 Orange County Blues FC 25 34.12 -9.12
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 26 32.81 -6.81
4 OKC Energy FC 29 35.57 -6.57
5 Charlotte Eagles 30 34.98 -4.98

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orlando City SC 7 May 18 – Jul 13 1 in 247
2 Sacramento Republic 6 Jul 28 – Aug 28 1 in 184
3 Arizona United SC 4 Aug 15 – Sep 7 1 in 66
4 Wilmington Hammerheads 4 May 11 – Jun 1 1 in 63
5 Harrisburg City Islanders 3 Jul 31 – Aug 10 1 in 21

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 OKC Energy FC 6 Aug 10 – Sep 5 1 in 414
2 Orange County Blues FC 6 Jul 8 – Aug 9 1 in 332
3 Dayton Dutch Lions 5 May 17 – Jun 9 1 in 95
4 Wilmington Hammerheads 4 Jul 27 – Aug 21 1 in 51
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 4 May 10 – May 25 1 in 37

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Richmond Kickers 19 Apr 20 – Aug 17 1 in 1,081
2 Orlando City SC 16 Mar 23 – Jul 18 1 in 397
3 Sacramento Republic 10 Jul 15 – Sep 5 1 in 57
4 Wilmington Hammerheads 8 May 4 – Jun 29 1 in 41
5 Rochester Rhinos 6 Apr 12 – May 18 1 in 21

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 10 Mar 30 – Jun 2 1 in 57
2 Dayton Dutch Lions 8 Apr 27 – Jun 9 1 in 29
3 OKC Energy FC 7 Apr 27 – Jun 8 1 in 19
4 Richmond Kickers 5 Aug 17 – Sep 7 1 in 17
5 Orange County Blues FC 6 Jul 8 – Aug 9 1 in 13

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team1234567891011121314
Orlando City SC19.72%14.09%12.06%9.39%8.14%7.13%6.04%5.25%4.94%3.98%3.54%2.34%2.09%1.29%
Richmond Kickers17.03%13.21%11.38%9.50%8.65%7.27%6.40%5.61%5.03%4.71%3.76%3.27%2.31%1.87%
Los Angeles Galaxy II9.01%8.97%8.96%8.67%8.80%7.52%7.19%7.22%6.80%6.08%5.95%5.52%5.10%4.21%
Sacramento Republic8.22%8.52%8.75%8.16%8.10%8.45%7.89%7.61%6.97%6.62%6.01%5.51%4.89%4.30%
Charleston Battery7.86%8.73%7.83%8.36%7.96%7.86%7.48%7.13%6.90%6.63%6.41%6.61%5.44%4.80%
OKC Energy FC6.09%6.95%7.32%7.25%7.34%7.46%7.88%7.68%7.41%7.40%7.31%7.47%6.62%5.82%
Harrisburg City Islanders5.75%6.41%6.69%7.29%7.53%7.36%7.39%8.13%7.43%7.60%7.58%7.14%7.32%6.38%
Charlotte Eagles5.31%5.97%6.91%6.56%6.76%7.77%7.70%7.53%8.01%7.60%7.74%7.66%7.41%7.07%
Wilmington Hammerheads4.31%5.81%6.10%6.82%7.07%6.84%7.42%7.37%7.88%8.04%7.78%8.35%8.29%7.92%
Rochester Rhinos4.40%5.32%5.83%6.89%6.49%6.97%7.87%7.29%7.86%7.80%8.38%7.99%8.21%8.70%
Orange County Blues FC4.02%5.43%5.43%6.15%6.20%6.95%7.15%7.72%7.86%8.40%8.05%8.41%9.21%9.02%
Arizona United SC3.13%3.79%4.54%5.33%6.26%6.44%6.85%7.42%7.48%8.07%9.13%9.31%10.44%11.81%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds2.78%3.68%4.35%5.26%5.65%6.03%6.36%7.37%7.81%8.50%8.96%10.08%10.76%12.41%
Dayton Dutch Lions2.37%3.12%3.85%4.37%5.05%5.95%6.38%6.67%7.62%8.57%9.40%10.34%11.91%14.40%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 Seed5 Seed6 Seed7 Seed8 SeedMissed Playoffs
Orlando City SC19.72%14.09%12.06%9.39%8.14%7.13%6.04%5.25%18.18%
Richmond Kickers17.03%13.21%11.38%9.50%8.65%7.27%6.40%5.61%20.95%
Los Angeles Galaxy II9.01%8.97%8.96%8.67%8.80%7.52%7.19%7.22%33.66%
Sacramento Republic8.22%8.52%8.75%8.16%8.10%8.45%7.89%7.61%34.30%
Charleston Battery7.86%8.73%7.83%8.36%7.96%7.86%7.48%7.13%36.79%
OKC Energy FC6.09%6.95%7.32%7.25%7.34%7.46%7.88%7.68%42.03%
Harrisburg City Islanders5.75%6.41%6.69%7.29%7.53%7.36%7.39%8.13%43.45%
Charlotte Eagles5.31%5.97%6.91%6.56%6.76%7.77%7.70%7.53%45.49%
Rochester Rhinos4.40%5.32%5.83%6.89%6.49%6.97%7.87%7.29%48.94%
Wilmington Hammerheads4.31%5.81%6.10%6.82%7.07%6.84%7.42%7.37%48.26%
Orange County Blues FC4.02%5.43%5.43%6.15%6.20%6.95%7.15%7.72%50.95%
Arizona United SC3.13%3.79%4.54%5.33%6.26%6.44%6.85%7.42%56.24%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds2.78%3.68%4.35%5.26%5.65%6.03%6.36%7.37%58.52%
Dayton Dutch Lions2.37%3.12%3.85%4.37%5.05%5.95%6.38%6.67%62.24%

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Conference Finals Advanced to USL Championship Won USL Championship
Orlando City SC 81.82% 49.35% 29.43% 16.98%
Richmond Kickers 79.05% 46.10% 26.17% 14.70%
Sacramento Republic 65.70% 35.53% 18.54% 9.44%
Los Angeles Galaxy II 66.34% 35.17% 17.84% 9.01%
Charleston Battery 63.21% 32.82% 17.15% 8.57%
Harrisburg City Islanders 56.55% 27.46% 13.41% 6.38%
OKC Energy FC 57.97% 27.56% 12.85% 6.24%
Charlotte Eagles 54.51% 25.34% 11.89% 5.67%
Rochester Rhinos 51.06% 23.95% 11.43% 5.56%
Wilmington Hammerheads 51.74% 25.32% 11.79% 5.50%
Orange County Blues FC 49.05% 21.15% 8.80% 3.79%
Arizona United SC 43.76% 18.71% 8.21% 3.34%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 41.48% 16.59% 6.76% 2.60%
Dayton Dutch Lions 37.76% 14.95% 5.73% 2.22%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Arizona United SCCharleston BatteryCharlotte EaglesDayton Dutch LionsHarrisburg City IslandersLos Angeles Galaxy IIOKC Energy FCOrange County Blues FCOrlando City SCPittsburgh RiverhoundsRichmond KickersRochester RhinosSacramento RepublicWilmington Hammerheads
Arizona United SC1.63%1.38%1.07%1.33%1.56%1.47%1.49%1.78%0.98%1.76%1.24%1.62%1.40%
Charleston Battery2.03%2.76%1.91%2.46%2.75%2.92%2.43%2.98%2.23%3.06%2.16%2.81%2.32%
Charlotte Eagles1.73%1.92%1.49%2.03%2.24%2.05%1.88%2.39%1.77%2.31%1.67%2.25%1.61%
Dayton Dutch Lions1.02%1.14%1.09%1.23%1.22%1.10%1.06%1.41%0.89%1.50%1.07%1.16%1.06%
Harrisburg City Islanders1.73%2.25%2.30%1.27%2.32%1.94%2.03%2.71%1.73%2.46%2.17%2.56%1.99%
Los Angeles Galaxy II2.42%2.71%2.65%2.29%2.88%3.10%2.45%3.19%2.31%3.19%2.45%3.01%2.52%
OKC Energy FC1.60%2.42%2.21%1.58%2.06%2.56%1.87%2.43%1.83%2.85%2.17%2.12%1.86%
Orange County Blues FC1.27%1.78%1.55%1.35%1.34%1.79%1.76%2.22%1.46%1.89%1.54%1.63%1.57%
Orlando City SC3.81%4.15%3.81%3.18%4.01%4.20%4.21%3.78%3.40%3.74%3.58%3.75%3.73%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1.05%1.49%1.05%1.01%1.18%1.44%1.19%1.16%1.60%1.64%1.39%1.29%1.10%
Richmond Kickers3.28%3.98%3.61%3.00%3.91%3.91%3.44%3.45%3.74%3.11%3.34%4.00%3.33%
Rochester Rhinos1.39%1.97%1.93%1.17%1.64%1.98%2.15%1.86%2.49%1.27%2.51%2.01%1.58%
Sacramento Republic2.22%2.94%2.65%1.97%3.00%3.11%2.87%2.62%3.32%2.35%3.59%2.54%2.35%
Wilmington Hammerheads1.50%2.01%2.18%1.52%2.02%2.09%2.21%1.82%2.21%1.56%2.45%1.79%1.96%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Arizona United SCCharleston BatteryCharlotte EaglesDayton Dutch LionsHarrisburg City IslandersLos Angeles Galaxy IIOKC Energy FCOrange County Blues FCOrlando City SCPittsburgh RiverhoundsRichmond KickersRochester RhinosSacramento RepublicWilmington Hammerheads
Arizona United SC0.67%0.71%0.37%0.60%0.78%0.64%0.49%0.90%0.44%0.85%0.59%0.60%0.57%
Charleston Battery1.03%1.13%0.94%1.19%1.74%1.32%1.06%2.08%0.84%1.92%1.21%1.52%1.17%
Charlotte Eagles0.57%1.12%0.45%1.10%0.94%0.99%0.92%1.31%0.54%1.27%0.95%1.06%0.67%
Dayton Dutch Lions0.40%0.49%0.39%0.42%0.63%0.44%0.28%0.65%0.27%0.65%0.21%0.46%0.44%
Harrisburg City Islanders0.69%1.03%1.02%0.57%1.41%1.01%0.88%1.54%0.59%1.63%0.85%1.22%0.97%
Los Angeles Galaxy II0.95%1.55%1.17%0.83%1.38%1.38%1.06%2.02%0.77%2.33%1.17%1.92%1.31%
OKC Energy FC0.63%1.07%1.00%0.54%1.03%1.16%0.76%1.45%0.63%1.59%0.80%1.14%1.05%
Orange County Blues FC0.36%0.96%0.59%0.46%0.54%0.64%0.58%1.04%0.50%0.95%0.59%0.86%0.73%
Orlando City SC1.72%2.56%2.12%1.45%2.29%2.98%2.39%1.78%1.67%3.48%1.90%2.97%2.12%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds0.35%0.59%0.34%0.26%0.58%0.54%0.43%0.53%0.90%0.62%0.48%0.71%0.43%
Richmond Kickers1.58%2.18%1.85%1.24%1.83%2.79%2.19%1.99%2.94%1.37%1.79%2.43%1.99%
Rochester Rhinos0.63%0.99%0.85%0.65%0.83%0.97%0.82%0.78%1.35%0.53%1.26%1.02%0.75%
Sacramento Republic1.00%1.47%1.34%0.91%1.31%1.60%1.64%1.14%2.34%1.03%2.17%1.26%1.33%
Wilmington Hammerheads0.59%0.99%0.94%0.55%0.95%1.15%0.88%0.68%1.40%0.65%1.21%0.72%1.08%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Arizona United SCCharleston BatteryCharlotte EaglesDayton Dutch LionsHarrisburg City IslandersLos Angeles Galaxy IIOKC Energy FCOrange County Blues FCOrlando City SCPittsburgh RiverhoundsRichmond KickersRochester RhinosSacramento RepublicWilmington Hammerheads
Arizona United SC0.31%0.22%0.12%0.26%0.31%0.23%0.19%0.44%0.11%0.47%0.16%0.29%0.23%
Charleston Battery0.50%0.58%0.37%0.73%0.96%0.54%0.43%1.36%0.35%0.96%0.33%0.92%0.54%
Charlotte Eagles0.27%0.54%0.18%0.44%0.55%0.38%0.24%0.80%0.23%0.67%0.29%0.72%0.36%
Dayton Dutch Lions0.08%0.25%0.17%0.09%0.17%0.19%0.15%0.29%0.09%0.16%0.14%0.18%0.26%
Harrisburg City Islanders0.28%0.56%0.42%0.22%0.52%0.44%0.34%0.95%0.35%0.78%0.44%0.67%0.41%
Los Angeles Galaxy II0.45%0.86%0.61%0.36%0.48%0.56%0.50%1.57%0.46%1.01%0.61%0.94%0.60%
OKC Energy FC0.32%0.49%0.39%0.24%0.54%0.56%0.26%0.98%0.21%0.79%0.46%0.50%0.50%
Orange County Blues FC0.24%0.31%0.21%0.11%0.36%0.36%0.28%0.47%0.16%0.39%0.26%0.42%0.22%
Orlando City SC0.75%1.76%1.15%0.54%1.40%1.67%1.25%0.88%0.74%2.95%0.88%1.89%1.12%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds0.12%0.23%0.12%0.06%0.23%0.31%0.20%0.11%0.32%0.30%0.23%0.23%0.14%
Richmond Kickers0.82%1.49%1.02%0.53%1.08%1.44%1.02%0.81%2.39%0.74%0.99%1.40%0.97%
Rochester Rhinos0.34%0.36%0.29%0.21%0.39%0.68%0.45%0.34%0.65%0.18%0.82%0.56%0.29%
Sacramento Republic0.41%0.90%0.63%0.36%0.64%0.80%0.68%0.49%1.43%0.32%1.44%0.69%0.65%
Wilmington Hammerheads0.29%0.52%0.41%0.21%0.39%0.50%0.39%0.27%0.80%0.22%0.73%0.39%0.38%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Advanced to Conference Finals Advanced to USL Championship Won USL Championship
Orlando City SC 63.12% 37.13% 22.71%
Richmond Kickers 59.87% 30.03% 16.80%
Sacramento Republic 58.60% 34.01% 15.86%
Los Angeles Galaxy II 59.66% 29.32% 12.89%
Charleston Battery 40.13% 17.56% 8.89%
Wilmington Hammerheads 41.40% 18.46% 8.09%
Rochester Rhinos 40.34% 18.21% 7.60%
Harrisburg City Islanders 36.88% 15.28% 7.16%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Charleston BatteryHarrisburg City IslandersLos Angeles Galaxy IIOrlando City SCRichmond KickersRochester RhinosSacramento RepublicWilmington Hammerheads
Charleston Battery40.13%
Harrisburg City Islanders36.88%
Los Angeles Galaxy II59.66%
Orlando City SC63.12%
Richmond Kickers59.87%
Rochester Rhinos40.34%
Sacramento Republic58.60%
Wilmington Hammerheads41.40%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Charleston BatteryHarrisburg City IslandersLos Angeles Galaxy IIOrlando City SCRichmond KickersRochester RhinosSacramento RepublicWilmington Hammerheads
Charleston Battery7.71%9.85%
Harrisburg City Islanders6.67%8.61%
Los Angeles Galaxy II15.27%14.05%
Orlando City SC15.90%21.23%
Richmond Kickers13.89%16.14%
Rochester Rhinos9.32%8.89%
Sacramento Republic19.90%14.11%
Wilmington Hammerheads10.44%8.02%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Charleston BatteryHarrisburg City IslandersLos Angeles Galaxy IIOrlando City SCRichmond KickersRochester RhinosSacramento RepublicWilmington Hammerheads
Charleston Battery2.45%1.95%2.74%1.75%
Harrisburg City Islanders2.09%1.42%2.36%1.29%
Los Angeles Galaxy II2.48%2.49%4.22%3.70%
Orlando City SC6.89%3.98%7.55%4.29%
Richmond Kickers5.00%3.26%5.50%3.04%
Rochester Rhinos1.50%1.24%2.65%2.21%
Sacramento Republic3.03%2.88%5.00%4.95%
Wilmington Hammerheads1.66%1.51%2.55%2.37%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Orlando City SC 22.71% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Harrisburg City Islanders
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
63.12%
Conference Finals
vs. Richmond Kickers
Matchup
57.18%
Win Prob
56.81%
USL Championship
vs. Sacramento Republic
Matchup
33.25%
Win Prob
60.16%
Richmond Kickers 16.80% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Charleston Battery
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
59.87%
Conference Finals
vs. Orlando City SC
Matchup
53.75%
Win Prob
43.19%
USL Championship
vs. Sacramento Republic
Matchup
32.74%
Win Prob
52.63%
Sacramento Republic 15.86% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Wilmington Hammerheads
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
58.60%
Conference Finals
vs. Los Angeles Galaxy II
Matchup
58.51%
Win Prob
56.58%
USL Championship
vs. Orlando City SC
Matchup
31.53%
Win Prob
39.84%
Los Angeles Galaxy II 12.89% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Rochester Rhinos
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
59.66%
Conference Finals
vs. Sacramento Republic
Matchup
52.08%
Win Prob
43.42%
USL Championship
vs. Orlando City SC
Matchup
32.74%
Win Prob
37.98%
Charleston Battery 8.89% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Richmond Kickers
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
40.13%
Conference Finals
vs. Orlando City SC
Matchup
56.09%
Win Prob
38.25%
USL Championship
vs. Sacramento Republic
Matchup
30.82%
Win Prob
47.49%
Wilmington Hammerheads 8.09% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Sacramento Republic
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
41.40%
Conference Finals
vs. Los Angeles Galaxy II
Matchup
56.55%
Win Prob
42.63%
USL Championship
vs. Orlando City SC
Matchup
31.52%
Win Prob
37.28%
Rochester Rhinos 7.60% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Galaxy II
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
40.34%
Conference Finals
vs. Sacramento Republic
Matchup
51.18%
Win Prob
39.78%
USL Championship
vs. Orlando City SC
Matchup
34.87%
Win Prob
39.97%
Harrisburg City Islanders 7.16% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Orlando City SC
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
36.88%
Conference Finals
vs. Richmond Kickers
Matchup
56.35%
Win Prob
38.27%
USL Championship
vs. Sacramento Republic
Matchup
32.96%
Win Prob
45.04%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2014-04-13 OKC Energy FC L 0-4 1488.83 1501.51 38.44% 27.72% 33.84% -8.16 0
2014-04-20 Sacramento Republic W 2-1 1480.67 1504.79 36.73% 27.90% 35.37% +2.03 3
2014-04-26 Los Angeles Galaxy II T 1-1 1482.70 1502.75 37.33% 27.86% 34.81% -0.03 4
2014-05-04 Charlotte Eagles W 2-1 1482.67 1502.86 37.31% 27.86% 34.83% +2.00 7
2014-05-10 @ Richmond Kickers L 0-4 1484.67 1520.69 28.76% 24.86% 46.37% -6.36 7
2014-05-11 @ Harrisburg City Islanders W 1-0 1478.31 1493.31 30.69% 26.48% 42.83% +2.46 10
2014-05-18 Orlando City SC L 0-1 1480.77 1535.26 32.68% 27.42% 39.90% -2.02 10
2014-06-01 @ Orange County Blues FC L 0-2 1478.75 1487.75 31.31% 26.84% 41.85% -3.67 10
2014-06-08 @ Sacramento Republic T 1-1 1475.08 1508.63 28.97% 25.08% 45.95% +0.20 11
2014-06-12 Dayton Dutch Lions L 1-2 1475.28 1468.03 41.57% 26.93% 31.50% -2.26 11
2014-06-15 Rochester Rhinos W 1-0 1473.02 1492.56 37.40% 27.85% 34.74% +2.12 14
2014-06-22 Los Angeles Galaxy II T 1-1 1475.14 1514.62 34.57% 27.83% 37.60% +0.03 15
2014-06-27 @ Sacramento Republic L 0-1 1475.17 1504.43 29.34% 25.44% 45.22% -1.82 15
2014-06-29 Orange County Blues FC L 2-3 1473.35 1491.56 37.60% 27.83% 34.57% -2.01 15
2014-07-05 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II L 2-4 1471.34 1509.72 28.57% 24.65% 46.78% -2.57 15
2014-07-13 @ Orange County Blues FC W 2-1 1468.77 1491.74 29.92% 25.93% 44.16% +2.36 18
2014-07-18 @ OKC Energy FC T 1-1 1471.13 1499.97 29.38% 25.47% 45.15% +0.18 19
2014-07-20 Orange County Blues FC W 3-0 1471.31 1489.38 37.63% 27.83% 34.55% +5.79 22
2014-07-26 @ Wilmington Hammerheads T 0-0 1477.10 1503.57 29.59% 25.66% 44.74% +0.20 23
2014-07-27 @ Charleston Battery L 0-2 1477.30 1500.49 29.89% 25.91% 44.19% -3.50 23
2014-08-03 Sacramento Republic L 1-2 1473.80 1512.76 34.64% 27.84% 37.52% -2.00 23
2014-08-10 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II L 2-3 1471.80 1515.00 28.18% 24.20% 47.62% -1.55 23
2014-08-15 @ OKC Energy FC W 2-1 1470.25 1503.43 29.00% 25.11% 45.89% +2.42 26
2014-08-17 Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 3-1 1472.67 1468.36 41.09% 27.09% 31.82% +3.22 29
2014-08-23 OKC Energy FC W 1-0 1475.89 1498.74 36.92% 27.89% 35.20% +2.14 32
2014-09-07 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 2-1 1478.03 1461.44 34.35% 27.80% 37.85% +2.13 35
2014-03-23 Orlando City SC T 1-1 1507.49 1523.47 37.94% 27.79% 34.27% -0.05 1
2014-03-30 Richmond Kickers T 2-2 1507.44 1513.35 39.48% 27.52% 33.00% -0.05 2
2014-04-13 @ Orlando City SC L 0-1 1507.39 1526.24 30.31% 26.22% 43.47% -1.88 2
2014-04-27 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds T 0-0 1505.51 1481.93 35.29% 27.90% 36.81% +0.02 3
2014-04-27 @ Rochester Rhinos L 0-1 1505.53 1487.56 34.53% 27.83% 37.64% -2.12 3
2014-05-03 @ Harrisburg City Islanders W 4-0 1503.41 1501.71 32.50% 27.36% 40.14% +8.41 6
2014-05-05 @ Dayton Dutch Lions W 2-0 1511.82 1486.01 35.61% 27.91% 36.48% +4.15 9
2014-05-11 Wilmington Hammerheads L 0-1 1515.97 1491.85 44.35% 25.84% 29.81% -2.51 9
2014-05-18 @ Wilmington Hammerheads L 0-1 1513.46 1494.36 34.68% 27.84% 37.47% -2.12 9
2014-05-25 Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 1-0 1511.34 1471.97 46.95% 24.56% 28.49% +1.76 12
2014-06-01 @ Orlando City SC L 0-2 1513.10 1540.20 29.54% 25.61% 44.85% -3.46 12
2014-06-15 Los Angeles Galaxy II W 3-0 1509.64 1520.27 38.75% 27.66% 33.59% +5.66 15
2014-06-22 @ Charlotte Eagles L 1-3 1515.30 1492.33 35.21% 27.89% 36.90% -3.50 15
2014-07-06 @ Harrisburg City Islanders L 1-4 1511.80 1493.36 34.60% 27.83% 37.57% -4.88 15
2014-07-13 Charlotte Eagles T 0-0 1506.92 1494.06 42.48% 26.61% 30.91% -0.15 16
2014-07-20 @ Richmond Kickers L 0-4 1506.77 1543.70 28.69% 24.78% 46.53% -6.34 16
2014-07-23 Richmond Kickers T 1-1 1500.43 1550.04 33.27% 27.59% 39.14% +0.06 17
2014-07-27 Arizona United SC W 2-0 1500.49 1477.30 44.19% 25.91% 29.89% +3.50 20
2014-08-02 @ Rochester Rhinos T 0-0 1503.99 1487.83 34.29% 27.79% 37.91% +0.05 21
2014-08-09 Dayton Dutch Lions T 2-2 1504.04 1454.06 48.80% 23.53% 27.67% -0.19 22
2014-08-14 Orange County Blues FC W 3-2 1503.85 1474.42 45.25% 25.43% 29.33% +1.63 25
2014-08-16 Rochester Rhinos W 2-1 1505.48 1485.33 43.68% 26.13% 30.18% +1.77 28
2014-08-25 @ OKC Energy FC W 2-0 1507.25 1496.60 33.59% 27.66% 38.75% +4.32 31
2014-08-28 @ Sacramento Republic L 1-3 1511.57 1527.62 30.59% 26.41% 43.00% -3.10 31
2014-08-31 Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 4-0 1508.47 1467.69 47.20% 24.43% 28.37% +6.26 34
2014-09-06 Harrisburg City Islanders W 2-1 1514.73 1499.11 42.93% 26.44% 30.63% +1.79 37
2014-04-05 Dayton Dutch Lions L 0-1 1498.86 1487.86 42.18% 26.72% 31.10% -2.43 0
2014-04-13 Richmond Kickers W 2-1 1496.43 1516.40 37.34% 27.86% 34.80% +2.00 3
2014-04-27 @ Wilmington Hammerheads W 2-0 1498.43 1496.39 32.54% 27.37% 40.09% +4.43 6
2014-05-04 @ Arizona United SC L 1-2 1502.86 1482.67 34.83% 27.86% 37.31% -2.00 6
2014-05-06 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II L 1-2 1500.86 1509.15 31.39% 26.88% 41.74% -1.84 6
2014-05-09 @ Orange County Blues FC W 2-0 1499.02 1489.61 33.43% 27.63% 38.94% +4.34 9
2014-05-22 @ Orlando City SC L 1-3 1503.36 1537.28 28.94% 25.05% 46.01% -2.92 9
2014-05-25 @ Richmond Kickers L 0-2 1500.44 1532.14 29.13% 25.24% 45.63% -3.41 9
2014-06-01 Wilmington Hammerheads L 1-2 1497.03 1502.09 39.61% 27.49% 32.90% -2.19 9
2014-06-08 OKC Energy FC T 1-1 1494.84 1488.57 41.41% 26.99% 31.61% -0.11 10
2014-06-14 Orange County Blues FC L 0-1 1494.73 1489.17 41.29% 27.02% 31.68% -2.40 10
2014-06-22 Charleston Battery W 3-1 1492.33 1515.30 36.90% 27.89% 35.21% +3.50 13
2014-06-28 @ Harrisburg City Islanders T 1-1 1495.83 1493.44 32.58% 27.38% 40.03% +0.09 14
2014-06-29 @ Rochester Rhinos W 1-0 1495.92 1494.08 32.52% 27.36% 40.12% +2.34 17
2014-07-06 Dayton Dutch Lions L 1-3 1498.26 1463.40 46.17% 24.97% 28.86% -4.20 17
2014-07-13 @ Charleston Battery T 0-0 1494.06 1506.92 30.91% 26.61% 42.48% +0.15 18
2014-07-15 Sacramento Republic L 0-1 1494.21 1502.48 39.11% 27.59% 33.29% -2.31 18
2014-07-18 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 0-2 1491.90 1466.28 35.58% 27.91% 36.51% -4.07 18
2014-07-20 @ Dayton Dutch Lions W 2-1 1487.83 1464.07 35.32% 27.90% 36.78% +2.08 21
2014-07-27 Wilmington Hammerheads W 2-0 1489.91 1503.37 38.32% 27.74% 33.94% +3.93 24
2014-08-03 @ Orlando City SC L 1-4 1493.84 1556.54 26.77% 22.17% 51.06% -3.74 24
2014-08-10 @ Richmond Kickers L 1-2 1490.10 1554.90 26.63% 21.93% 51.44% -1.51 24
2014-08-17 Rochester Rhinos W 3-1 1488.59 1483.56 41.21% 27.05% 31.74% +3.21 27
2014-08-21 Orlando City SC W 2-0 1491.80 1560.95 31.06% 26.70% 42.24% +4.59 30
2014-08-30 Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 0-1 1496.39 1465.14 45.56% 25.28% 29.17% -2.55 30
2014-09-07 Harrisburg City Islanders L 2-4 1493.84 1497.31 39.86% 27.43% 32.71% -3.42 30
2014-04-05 @ Charlotte Eagles W 1-0 1487.86 1498.86 31.10% 26.72% 42.18% +2.43 3
2014-04-12 Rochester Rhinos T 1-1 1490.29 1487.46 40.86% 27.16% 31.99% -0.11 4
2014-04-20 @ Harrisburg City Islanders W 1-0 1490.18 1506.71 30.54% 26.38% 43.08% +2.47 7
2014-04-27 Richmond Kickers L 1-5 1492.65 1514.25 37.10% 27.88% 35.02% -6.64 7
2014-05-05 Charleston Battery L 0-2 1486.01 1511.82 36.48% 27.91% 35.61% -4.15 7
2014-05-11 Los Angeles Galaxy II T 1-1 1481.86 1510.99 36.00% 27.92% 36.08% +0.01 8
2014-05-17 @ Harrisburg City Islanders L 3-5 1481.87 1490.85 31.31% 26.84% 41.85% -2.69 8
2014-05-26 Sacramento Republic L 1-2 1479.18 1506.57 36.25% 27.92% 35.83% -2.06 8
2014-06-02 Rochester Rhinos L 0-1 1477.12 1490.10 38.39% 27.72% 33.88% -2.28 8
2014-06-08 @ Orange County Blues FC L 3-4 1474.84 1491.41 30.53% 26.38% 43.09% -1.66 8
2014-06-09 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II L 1-5 1473.18 1517.54 28.09% 24.09% 47.82% -5.15 8
2014-06-12 @ Arizona United SC W 2-1 1468.03 1475.28 31.50% 26.93% 41.57% +2.27 11
2014-06-21 @ Rochester Rhinos L 0-2 1470.30 1490.44 30.18% 26.13% 43.68% -3.53 11
2014-06-22 Orlando City SC L 0-2 1466.77 1547.56 29.91% 25.92% 44.17% -3.50 11
2014-06-29 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 1-0 1463.27 1465.80 32.02% 27.17% 40.81% +2.37 14
2014-07-03 Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 1-2 1465.64 1463.42 40.76% 27.19% 32.05% -2.24 14
2014-07-06 @ Charlotte Eagles W 3-1 1463.40 1498.26 28.86% 24.97% 46.17% +4.21 17
2014-07-13 Harrisburg City Islanders L 1-3 1467.61 1498.24 35.79% 27.92% 36.30% -3.54 17
2014-07-20 Charlotte Eagles L 1-2 1464.07 1487.83 36.78% 27.90% 35.32% -2.09 17
2014-07-27 OKC Energy FC L 0-3 1461.98 1497.57 35.10% 27.88% 37.02% -5.85 17
2014-08-03 Harrisburg City Islanders L 0-1 1456.13 1503.50 33.55% 27.66% 38.79% -2.07 17
2014-08-09 @ Charleston Battery T 2-2 1454.06 1504.04 27.67% 23.53% 48.80% +0.19 18
2014-08-10 @ Wilmington Hammerheads W 2-1 1454.25 1496.12 28.29% 24.33% 47.39% +2.47 21
2014-08-17 @ Richmond Kickers T 1-1 1456.72 1556.42 24.55% 17.72% 57.73% +0.40 22
2014-09-01 @ Orlando City SC L 0-7 1457.12 1554.53 24.68% 18.00% 57.32% -8.62 22
2014-09-06 Wilmington Hammerheads L 0-4 1448.50 1496.52 33.47% 27.64% 38.89% -7.37 22
2014-04-06 @ Wilmington Hammerheads T 0-0 1506.65 1494.45 33.78% 27.71% 38.51% +0.06 1
2014-04-20 Dayton Dutch Lions L 0-1 1506.71 1490.18 43.08% 26.38% 30.54% -2.46 1
2014-04-25 @ Orange County Blues FC L 1-4 1504.25 1493.04 33.66% 27.68% 38.66% -4.78 1
2014-04-27 @ Sacramento Republic W 2-1 1499.47 1502.76 31.93% 27.13% 40.93% +2.24 4
2014-05-03 Charleston Battery L 0-4 1501.71 1503.41 40.14% 27.36% 32.50% -8.40 4
2014-05-11 Arizona United SC L 0-1 1493.31 1478.31 42.83% 26.48% 30.69% -2.46 4
2014-05-17 Dayton Dutch Lions W 5-3 1490.85 1481.87 41.85% 26.84% 31.31% +2.68 7
2014-06-01 Richmond Kickers L 2-3 1493.53 1535.48 34.24% 27.79% 37.97% -1.87 7
2014-06-02 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds T 1-1 1491.66 1470.21 35.00% 27.88% 37.12% +0.02 8
2014-06-08 @ Richmond Kickers L 0-1 1491.68 1537.36 27.99% 23.96% 48.05% -1.72 8
2014-06-12 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 3-1 1489.96 1472.42 34.48% 27.82% 37.70% +3.68 11
2014-06-15 Pittsburgh Riverhounds T 0-0 1493.64 1468.74 44.48% 25.78% 29.74% -0.20 12
2014-06-28 Charlotte Eagles T 1-1 1493.44 1495.83 40.03% 27.38% 32.58% -0.08 13
2014-07-06 Charleston Battery W 4-1 1493.36 1511.80 37.57% 27.83% 34.60% +4.88 16
2014-07-13 @ Dayton Dutch Lions W 3-1 1498.24 1467.61 36.30% 27.92% 35.79% +3.54 19
2014-07-19 Wilmington Hammerheads T 0-0 1501.78 1501.18 40.50% 27.26% 32.24% -0.10 20
2014-07-24 OKC Energy FC T 3-3 1501.68 1497.51 41.07% 27.09% 31.84% -0.07 21
2014-07-27 @ Richmond Kickers L 1-2 1501.61 1549.98 27.79% 23.69% 48.52% -1.60 21
2014-07-31 Los Angeles Galaxy II W 3-1 1500.01 1522.33 36.99% 27.88% 35.12% +3.49 24
2014-08-03 @ Dayton Dutch Lions W 1-0 1503.50 1456.13 38.79% 27.66% 33.55% +2.06 27
2014-08-10 Orlando City SC W 3-2 1505.56 1560.28 32.66% 27.41% 39.93% +2.10 30
2014-08-17 @ Orlando City SC L 1-3 1507.66 1558.19 27.63% 23.47% 48.90% -2.76 30
2014-08-24 @ Rochester Rhinos T 2-2 1504.90 1480.35 35.43% 27.90% 36.67% +0.01 31
2014-08-31 Rochester Rhinos L 1-4 1504.91 1480.34 44.42% 25.81% 29.77% -5.80 31
2014-09-06 @ Charleston Battery L 1-2 1499.11 1514.73 30.63% 26.44% 42.93% -1.80 31
2014-09-07 @ Charlotte Eagles W 4-2 1497.31 1493.84 32.71% 27.43% 39.86% +3.42 34
2014-03-23 Orange County Blues FC W 3-1 1500.00 1502.08 40.08% 27.37% 32.55% +3.29 3
2014-03-30 Sacramento Republic T 1-1 1503.29 1500.00 40.93% 27.14% 31.93% -0.11 4
2014-04-08 OKC Energy FC W 4-2 1503.18 1504.44 40.21% 27.34% 32.45% +2.93 7
2014-04-14 Sacramento Republic L 0-3 1506.11 1498.19 41.68% 26.90% 31.43% -6.60 7
2014-04-20 Orange County Blues FC W 3-1 1499.51 1496.28 40.92% 27.14% 31.94% +3.24 10
2014-04-26 @ Arizona United SC T 1-1 1502.75 1482.70 34.81% 27.86% 37.33% +0.02 11
2014-04-28 @ Orange County Blues FC W 3-0 1502.77 1497.82 32.89% 27.48% 39.63% +6.38 14
2014-05-06 Charlotte Eagles W 2-1 1509.15 1500.86 41.74% 26.88% 31.39% +1.84 17
2014-05-11 @ Dayton Dutch Lions T 1-1 1510.99 1481.86 36.08% 27.92% 36.00% +0.00 18
2014-05-18 @ Sacramento Republic L 1-2 1510.99 1502.34 33.34% 27.61% 39.06% -1.94 18
2014-05-26 OKC Energy FC W 5-0 1509.05 1496.95 42.36% 26.66% 30.99% +8.49 21
2014-06-09 Dayton Dutch Lions W 5-1 1517.54 1473.18 47.82% 24.09% 28.09% +5.15 24
2014-06-12 Rochester Rhinos L 1-2 1522.69 1490.15 45.78% 25.17% 29.06% -2.42 24
2014-06-15 @ Charleston Battery L 0-3 1520.27 1509.64 33.59% 27.66% 38.75% -5.65 24
2014-06-22 @ Arizona United SC T 1-1 1514.62 1475.14 37.60% 27.83% 34.57% -0.04 25
2014-06-29 @ Orlando City SC L 0-3 1514.58 1551.06 28.72% 24.82% 46.45% -4.86 25
2014-07-05 Arizona United SC W 4-2 1509.72 1471.34 46.78% 24.65% 28.57% +2.58 28
2014-07-20 @ OKC Energy FC W 1-0 1512.30 1499.79 33.82% 27.71% 38.46% +2.28 31
2014-07-27 @ Orange County Blues FC W 4-0 1514.58 1483.59 36.35% 27.91% 35.74% +7.75 34
2014-07-31 @ Harrisburg City Islanders L 1-3 1522.33 1500.01 35.12% 27.88% 36.99% -3.49 34
2014-08-03 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 1-3 1518.84 1462.47 40.19% 27.34% 32.46% -3.84 34
2014-08-10 Arizona United SC W 3-2 1515.00 1471.80 47.62% 24.20% 28.18% +1.55 37
2014-08-17 @ OKC Energy FC W 1-0 1516.55 1501.01 34.21% 27.78% 38.00% +2.26 40
2014-08-24 Wilmington Hammerheads T 3-3 1518.81 1492.31 44.75% 25.66% 29.59% -0.11 41
2014-09-02 Richmond Kickers T 1-1 1518.70 1553.71 35.18% 27.89% 36.94% +0.02 42
2014-09-07 @ Sacramento Republic W 2-1 1518.72 1532.47 30.82% 26.56% 42.62% +2.31 45
2014-04-06 @ Orange County Blues FC W 2-0 1500.00 1498.79 32.45% 27.34% 40.22% +4.44 3
2014-04-08 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II L 2-4 1504.44 1503.18 32.45% 27.34% 40.21% -2.93 3
2014-04-13 @ Arizona United SC W 4-0 1501.51 1488.83 33.84% 27.72% 38.44% +8.16 6
2014-04-27 Orlando City SC L 1-2 1509.67 1528.12 37.57% 27.83% 34.60% -2.12 6
2014-05-05 @ Orlando City SC L 1-3 1507.55 1530.24 29.94% 25.95% 44.11% -3.03 6
2014-05-11 Orange County Blues FC L 0-1 1504.52 1485.27 43.53% 26.20% 30.27% -2.48 6
2014-05-17 Richmond Kickers L 1-4 1502.04 1527.05 36.60% 27.91% 35.50% -5.09 6
2014-05-26 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II L 0-5 1496.95 1509.05 30.99% 26.66% 42.36% -8.49 6
2014-06-07 @ Wilmington Hammerheads T 2-2 1488.46 1504.29 30.61% 26.43% 42.97% +0.11 7
2014-06-08 @ Charlotte Eagles T 1-1 1488.57 1494.84 31.61% 26.99% 41.41% +0.11 8
2014-06-15 Sacramento Republic W 2-0 1488.68 1508.43 37.37% 27.85% 34.77% +4.00 11
2014-06-23 Rochester Rhinos T 0-0 1492.68 1493.98 40.20% 27.34% 32.46% -0.10 12
2014-06-29 Sacramento Republic W 2-0 1492.58 1506.25 38.29% 27.74% 33.97% +3.94 15
2014-07-13 Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 2-0 1496.52 1469.74 44.80% 25.64% 29.56% +3.45 18
2014-07-18 Arizona United SC T 1-1 1499.97 1471.13 45.15% 25.47% 29.38% -0.18 19
2014-07-20 Los Angeles Galaxy II L 0-1 1499.79 1512.30 38.46% 27.71% 33.82% -2.28 19
2014-07-24 @ Harrisburg City Islanders T 3-3 1497.51 1501.68 31.84% 27.09% 41.07% +0.06 20
2014-07-27 @ Dayton Dutch Lions W 3-0 1497.57 1461.98 37.02% 27.88% 35.10% +5.86 23
2014-08-03 Orange County Blues FC W 1-0 1503.43 1475.84 44.93% 25.57% 29.49% +1.83 26
2014-08-10 @ Sacramento Republic L 1-2 1505.26 1514.76 31.26% 26.81% 41.93% -1.83 26
2014-08-15 Arizona United SC L 1-2 1503.43 1470.25 45.89% 25.11% 29.00% -2.42 26
2014-08-17 Los Angeles Galaxy II L 0-1 1501.01 1516.55 38.00% 27.78% 34.21% -2.27 26
2014-08-23 @ Arizona United SC L 0-1 1498.74 1475.89 35.20% 27.89% 36.92% -2.14 26
2014-08-25 Charleston Battery L 0-2 1496.60 1507.25 38.75% 27.66% 33.59% -4.32 26
2014-09-05 @ Sacramento Republic L 0-1 1492.28 1530.70 28.56% 24.65% 46.79% -1.77 26
2014-09-07 @ Orange County Blues FC W 1-0 1490.51 1463.30 35.81% 27.92% 36.28% +2.19 29
2014-03-23 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II L 1-3 1502.08 1500.00 32.55% 27.37% 40.08% -3.29 0
2014-04-06 OKC Energy FC L 0-2 1498.79 1500.00 40.22% 27.34% 32.45% -4.43 0
2014-04-13 Sacramento Republic W 2-1 1494.36 1500.10 39.51% 27.51% 32.98% +1.92 3
2014-04-20 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II L 1-3 1496.28 1499.51 31.94% 27.14% 40.92% -3.24 3
2014-04-25 Harrisburg City Islanders W 4-1 1493.04 1504.25 38.66% 27.68% 33.66% +4.78 6
2014-04-28 Los Angeles Galaxy II L 0-3 1497.82 1502.77 39.63% 27.48% 32.89% -6.38 6
2014-05-04 @ Sacramento Republic L 1-2 1491.44 1500.51 31.30% 26.83% 41.86% -1.83 6
2014-05-09 Charlotte Eagles L 0-2 1489.61 1499.02 38.94% 27.63% 33.43% -4.34 6
2014-05-11 @ OKC Energy FC W 1-0 1485.27 1504.52 30.27% 26.20% 43.53% +2.48 9
2014-06-01 Arizona United SC W 2-0 1487.75 1478.75 41.85% 26.84% 31.31% +3.66 12
2014-06-08 Dayton Dutch Lions W 4-3 1491.41 1474.84 43.09% 26.38% 30.53% +1.66 15
2014-06-12 @ Orlando City SC L 1-4 1493.07 1543.66 27.62% 23.47% 48.91% -3.90 15
2014-06-14 @ Charlotte Eagles W 1-0 1489.17 1494.73 31.68% 27.02% 41.29% +2.39 18
2014-06-29 @ Arizona United SC W 3-2 1491.56 1473.35 34.57% 27.83% 37.60% +2.01 21
2014-07-08 @ Sacramento Republic L 1-2 1493.57 1502.32 31.34% 26.85% 41.81% -1.83 21
2014-07-13 Arizona United SC L 1-2 1491.74 1468.77 44.16% 25.93% 29.92% -2.36 21
2014-07-20 @ Arizona United SC L 0-3 1489.38 1471.31 34.55% 27.83% 37.63% -5.79 21
2014-07-27 Los Angeles Galaxy II L 0-4 1483.59 1514.58 35.74% 27.91% 36.35% -7.75 21
2014-08-03 @ OKC Energy FC L 0-1 1475.84 1503.43 29.49% 25.57% 44.93% -1.83 21
2014-08-09 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 0-1 1474.01 1466.31 33.22% 27.58% 39.20% -2.05 21
2014-08-11 @ Rochester Rhinos W 1-0 1471.96 1487.79 30.61% 26.43% 42.97% +2.46 24
2014-08-14 @ Charleston Battery L 2-3 1474.42 1503.85 29.33% 25.43% 45.25% -1.62 24
2014-08-18 Sacramento Republic L 1-6 1472.80 1516.59 34.00% 27.75% 38.25% -7.62 24
2014-08-24 Wilmington Hammerheads L 1-2 1465.18 1490.23 36.59% 27.91% 35.50% -2.08 24
2014-08-31 Richmond Kickers T 1-1 1463.10 1553.91 29.01% 25.12% 45.87% +0.20 25
2014-09-07 OKC Energy FC L 0-1 1463.30 1490.51 36.28% 27.92% 35.81% -2.19 25
2014-03-23 @ Charleston Battery T 1-1 1523.47 1507.49 34.27% 27.79% 37.94% +0.04 1
2014-03-30 Pittsburgh Riverhounds T 1-1 1523.51 1486.58 46.53% 24.78% 28.69% -0.21 2
2014-04-06 Rochester Rhinos W 3-1 1523.30 1490.39 45.84% 25.14% 29.02% +2.94 5
2014-04-13 Charleston Battery W 1-0 1526.24 1507.39 43.47% 26.22% 30.31% +1.88 8
2014-04-27 @ OKC Energy FC W 2-1 1528.12 1509.67 34.60% 27.83% 37.57% +2.12 11
2014-05-05 OKC Energy FC W 3-1 1530.24 1507.55 44.11% 25.95% 29.94% +3.03 14
2014-05-10 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 1-0 1533.27 1481.91 39.41% 27.53% 33.06% +2.04 17
2014-05-11 @ Rochester Rhinos T 1-1 1535.31 1489.98 38.48% 27.71% 33.81% -0.05 18
2014-05-18 @ Arizona United SC W 1-0 1535.26 1480.77 39.90% 27.42% 32.68% +2.02 21
2014-05-22 Charlotte Eagles W 3-1 1537.28 1503.36 46.01% 25.05% 28.94% +2.92 24
2014-06-01 Charleston Battery W 2-0 1540.20 1513.10 44.85% 25.61% 29.54% +3.46 27
2014-06-12 Orange County Blues FC W 4-1 1543.66 1493.07 48.91% 23.47% 27.62% +3.90 30
2014-06-22 @ Dayton Dutch Lions W 2-0 1547.56 1466.77 44.17% 25.92% 29.91% +3.50 33
2014-06-29 Los Angeles Galaxy II W 3-0 1551.06 1514.58 46.45% 24.82% 28.72% +4.86 36
2014-07-13 Wilmington Hammerheads W 2-0 1555.92 1504.36 49.08% 23.37% 27.55% +3.18 39
2014-07-18 @ Sacramento Republic T 0-0 1559.10 1504.79 39.87% 27.42% 32.71% -0.10 40
2014-07-27 @ Rochester Rhinos L 0-1 1559.00 1485.37 42.98% 26.42% 30.60% -2.46 40
2014-08-03 Charlotte Eagles W 4-1 1556.54 1493.84 51.06% 22.17% 26.77% +3.74 43
2014-08-10 @ Harrisburg City Islanders L 2-3 1560.28 1505.56 39.93% 27.41% 32.66% -2.09 43
2014-08-17 Harrisburg City Islanders W 3-1 1558.19 1507.66 48.90% 23.47% 27.63% +2.76 46
2014-08-21 @ Charlotte Eagles L 0-2 1560.95 1491.80 42.24% 26.70% 31.06% -4.59 46
2014-08-24 @ Richmond Kickers W 3-2 1556.36 1556.02 32.35% 27.30% 40.35% +2.11 49
2014-08-29 @ Wilmington Hammerheads L 1-3 1558.47 1492.42 41.74% 26.88% 31.38% -3.94 49
2014-09-01 Dayton Dutch Lions W 7-0 1554.53 1457.12 57.32% 18.00% 24.68% +8.62 52
2014-09-04 @ Wilmington Hammerheads T 0-0 1563.15 1496.38 41.86% 26.84% 31.31% -0.14 53
2014-09-07 Richmond Kickers W 1-0 1563.01 1553.69 41.90% 26.82% 31.28% +1.94 56
2014-03-30 @ Orlando City SC T 1-1 1486.58 1523.51 28.69% 24.78% 46.53% +0.21 1
2014-04-06 @ Richmond Kickers L 1-3 1486.79 1513.40 29.58% 25.65% 44.77% -3.00 1
2014-04-13 Wilmington Hammerheads L 3-4 1483.79 1494.39 38.76% 27.66% 33.58% -2.00 1
2014-04-20 @ Richmond Kickers T 2-2 1481.79 1514.40 29.05% 25.16% 45.79% +0.14 2
2014-04-27 Charleston Battery T 0-0 1481.93 1505.51 36.81% 27.90% 35.29% -0.02 3
2014-05-10 Orlando City SC L 0-1 1481.91 1533.27 33.06% 27.53% 39.41% -2.03 3
2014-05-18 Rochester Rhinos L 0-1 1479.88 1490.03 38.82% 27.65% 33.53% -2.30 3
2014-05-24 @ Wilmington Hammerheads L 1-5 1477.58 1496.48 30.30% 26.22% 43.48% -5.61 3
2014-05-25 @ Charleston Battery L 0-1 1471.97 1511.34 28.49% 24.56% 46.95% -1.76 3
2014-06-02 Harrisburg City Islanders T 1-1 1470.21 1491.66 37.12% 27.88% 35.00% -0.02 4
2014-06-08 @ Rochester Rhinos W 3-2 1470.19 1492.38 29.99% 25.99% 44.03% +2.23 7
2014-06-12 Harrisburg City Islanders L 1-3 1472.42 1489.96 37.70% 27.82% 34.48% -3.68 7
2014-06-15 @ Harrisburg City Islanders T 0-0 1468.74 1493.64 29.74% 25.78% 44.48% +0.20 8
2014-06-22 Richmond Kickers L 1-3 1468.94 1538.93 30.97% 26.65% 42.38% -3.14 8
2014-06-29 Dayton Dutch Lions L 0-1 1465.80 1463.27 40.81% 27.17% 32.02% -2.38 8
2014-07-03 @ Dayton Dutch Lions W 2-1 1463.42 1465.64 32.05% 27.19% 40.76% +2.24 11
2014-07-05 Rochester Rhinos W 2-0 1465.66 1491.73 36.44% 27.91% 35.64% +4.08 14
2014-07-13 @ OKC Energy FC L 0-2 1469.74 1496.52 29.56% 25.64% 44.80% -3.46 14
2014-07-18 Charlotte Eagles W 2-0 1466.28 1491.90 36.51% 27.91% 35.58% +4.07 17
2014-07-28 @ Sacramento Republic L 0-5 1470.35 1504.89 28.89% 25.00% 46.12% -7.88 17
2014-08-03 Los Angeles Galaxy II W 3-1 1462.47 1518.84 32.46% 27.34% 40.19% +3.84 20
2014-08-09 Orange County Blues FC W 1-0 1466.31 1474.01 39.20% 27.58% 33.22% +2.05 23
2014-08-17 @ Arizona United SC L 1-3 1468.36 1472.67 31.82% 27.09% 41.09% -3.22 23
2014-08-30 @ Charlotte Eagles W 1-0 1465.14 1496.39 29.17% 25.28% 45.56% +2.55 26
2014-08-31 @ Charleston Battery L 0-4 1467.69 1508.47 28.37% 24.43% 47.20% -6.25 26
2014-09-07 Arizona United SC L 1-2 1461.44 1478.03 37.85% 27.80% 34.35% -2.13 26
2014-03-30 @ Charleston Battery T 2-2 1513.35 1507.44 33.00% 27.52% 39.48% +0.05 1
2014-04-06 Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 3-1 1513.40 1486.79 44.77% 25.65% 29.58% +3.00 4
2014-04-13 @ Charlotte Eagles L 1-2 1516.40 1496.43 34.80% 27.86% 37.34% -2.00 4
2014-04-20 Pittsburgh Riverhounds T 2-2 1514.40 1481.79 45.79% 25.16% 29.05% -0.15 5
2014-04-27 @ Dayton Dutch Lions W 5-1 1514.25 1492.65 35.02% 27.88% 37.10% +6.63 8
2014-05-03 Rochester Rhinos T 1-1 1520.88 1489.67 45.55% 25.28% 29.17% -0.19 9
2014-05-10 Arizona United SC W 4-0 1520.69 1484.67 46.37% 24.86% 28.76% +6.36 12
2014-05-17 @ OKC Energy FC W 4-1 1527.05 1502.04 35.50% 27.91% 36.60% +5.09 15
2014-05-25 Charlotte Eagles W 2-0 1532.14 1500.44 45.63% 25.24% 29.13% +3.40 18
2014-05-31 @ Rochester Rhinos T 0-0 1535.54 1490.04 38.51% 27.71% 33.79% -0.06 19
2014-06-01 @ Harrisburg City Islanders W 3-2 1535.48 1493.53 37.97% 27.79% 34.24% +1.88 22
2014-06-08 Harrisburg City Islanders W 1-0 1537.36 1491.68 48.05% 23.96% 27.99% +1.72 25
2014-06-15 Wilmington Hammerheads T 2-2 1539.08 1504.18 46.18% 24.96% 28.86% -0.15 26
2014-06-22 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 3-1 1538.93 1468.94 42.38% 26.65% 30.97% +3.14 29
2014-06-29 @ Wilmington Hammerheads T 1-1 1542.07 1504.33 37.34% 27.86% 34.80% -0.03 30
2014-07-13 Sacramento Republic W 2-1 1542.04 1504.15 46.70% 24.70% 28.61% +1.66 33
2014-07-20 Charleston Battery W 4-0 1543.70 1506.77 46.53% 24.78% 28.69% +6.34 36
2014-07-23 @ Charleston Battery T 1-1 1550.04 1500.43 39.14% 27.59% 33.27% -0.06 37
2014-07-27 Harrisburg City Islanders W 2-1 1549.98 1501.61 48.52% 23.69% 27.79% +1.60 40
2014-08-02 @ Wilmington Hammerheads W 3-1 1551.58 1499.44 39.53% 27.50% 32.96% +3.32 43
2014-08-10 Charlotte Eagles W 2-1 1554.90 1490.10 51.44% 21.93% 26.63% +1.52 46
2014-08-17 Dayton Dutch Lions T 1-1 1556.42 1456.72 57.73% 17.72% 24.55% -0.40 47
2014-08-24 Orlando City SC L 2-3 1556.02 1556.36 40.35% 27.30% 32.35% -2.11 47
2014-08-31 @ Orange County Blues FC T 1-1 1553.91 1463.10 45.87% 25.12% 29.01% -0.20 48
2014-09-02 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II T 1-1 1553.71 1518.70 36.94% 27.89% 35.18% -0.02 49
2014-09-07 @ Orlando City SC L 0-1 1553.69 1563.01 31.28% 26.82% 41.90% -1.94 49
2014-04-06 @ Orlando City SC L 1-3 1490.39 1523.30 29.02% 25.14% 45.84% -2.93 0
2014-04-12 @ Dayton Dutch Lions T 1-1 1487.46 1490.29 31.99% 27.16% 40.86% +0.10 1
2014-04-27 Charleston Battery W 1-0 1487.56 1505.53 37.64% 27.83% 34.53% +2.11 4
2014-05-03 @ Richmond Kickers T 1-1 1489.67 1520.88 29.17% 25.28% 45.55% +0.20 5
2014-05-04 @ Wilmington Hammerheads T 0-0 1489.87 1491.96 32.07% 27.19% 40.74% +0.11 6
2014-05-11 Orlando City SC T 1-1 1489.98 1535.31 33.81% 27.71% 38.48% +0.05 7
2014-05-18 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 1-0 1490.03 1479.88 33.53% 27.65% 38.82% +2.30 10
2014-05-24 Sacramento Republic L 0-1 1492.33 1504.28 38.55% 27.70% 33.75% -2.29 10
2014-05-31 Richmond Kickers T 0-0 1490.04 1535.54 33.79% 27.71% 38.51% +0.06 11
2014-06-02 @ Dayton Dutch Lions W 1-0 1490.10 1477.12 33.88% 27.72% 38.39% +2.28 14
2014-06-08 Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 2-3 1492.38 1470.19 44.03% 25.99% 29.99% -2.23 14
2014-06-12 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II W 2-1 1490.15 1522.69 29.06% 25.17% 45.78% +2.41 17
2014-06-15 @ Arizona United SC L 0-1 1492.56 1473.02 34.74% 27.85% 37.40% -2.12 17
2014-06-21 Dayton Dutch Lions W 2-0 1490.44 1470.30 43.68% 26.13% 30.18% +3.54 20
2014-06-23 @ OKC Energy FC T 0-0 1493.98 1492.68 32.46% 27.34% 40.20% +0.10 21
2014-06-29 Charlotte Eagles L 0-1 1494.08 1495.92 40.12% 27.36% 32.52% -2.35 21
2014-07-05 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 0-2 1491.73 1465.66 35.64% 27.91% 36.44% -4.08 21
2014-07-20 Wilmington Hammerheads L 0-1 1487.65 1501.29 38.29% 27.74% 33.97% -2.28 21
2014-07-27 Orlando City SC W 1-0 1485.37 1559.00 30.60% 26.42% 42.98% +2.46 24
2014-08-02 Charleston Battery T 0-0 1487.83 1503.99 37.91% 27.79% 34.29% -0.04 25
2014-08-11 Orange County Blues FC L 0-1 1487.79 1471.96 42.97% 26.43% 30.61% -2.46 25
2014-08-16 @ Charleston Battery L 1-2 1485.33 1505.48 30.18% 26.13% 43.68% -1.77 25
2014-08-17 @ Charlotte Eagles L 1-3 1483.56 1488.59 31.74% 27.05% 41.21% -3.21 25
2014-08-24 Harrisburg City Islanders T 2-2 1480.35 1504.90 36.67% 27.90% 35.43% -0.01 26
2014-08-31 @ Harrisburg City Islanders W 4-1 1480.34 1504.91 29.77% 25.81% 44.42% +5.80 29
2014-09-07 Wilmington Hammerheads W 2-0 1486.14 1503.89 37.67% 27.82% 34.50% +3.98 32
2014-03-30 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II T 1-1 1500.00 1503.29 31.93% 27.14% 40.93% +0.10 1
2014-04-13 @ Orange County Blues FC L 1-2 1500.10 1494.36 32.98% 27.51% 39.51% -1.91 1
2014-04-14 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II W 3-0 1498.19 1506.11 31.43% 26.90% 41.68% +6.60 4
2014-04-20 @ Arizona United SC L 1-2 1504.79 1480.67 35.37% 27.90% 36.73% -2.03 4
2014-04-27 Harrisburg City Islanders L 1-2 1502.76 1499.47 40.93% 27.13% 31.93% -2.25 4
2014-05-04 Orange County Blues FC W 2-1 1500.51 1491.44 41.86% 26.83% 31.30% +1.83 7
2014-05-18 Los Angeles Galaxy II W 2-1 1502.34 1510.99 39.06% 27.61% 33.34% +1.94 10
2014-05-24 @ Rochester Rhinos W 1-0 1504.28 1492.33 33.75% 27.70% 38.55% +2.29 13
2014-05-26 @ Dayton Dutch Lions W 2-1 1506.57 1479.18 35.83% 27.92% 36.25% +2.06 16
2014-06-08 Arizona United SC T 1-1 1508.63 1475.08 45.95% 25.08% 28.97% -0.20 17
2014-06-15 @ OKC Energy FC L 0-2 1508.43 1488.68 34.77% 27.85% 37.37% -4.00 17
2014-06-27 Arizona United SC W 1-0 1504.43 1475.17 45.22% 25.44% 29.34% +1.82 20
2014-06-29 @ OKC Energy FC L 0-2 1506.25 1492.58 33.97% 27.74% 38.29% -3.93 20
2014-07-08 Orange County Blues FC W 2-1 1502.32 1493.57 41.81% 26.85% 31.34% +1.83 23
2014-07-13 @ Richmond Kickers L 1-2 1504.15 1542.04 28.61% 24.70% 46.70% -1.67 23
2014-07-15 @ Charlotte Eagles W 1-0 1502.48 1494.21 33.29% 27.59% 39.11% +2.31 26
2014-07-18 Orlando City SC T 0-0 1504.79 1559.10 32.71% 27.42% 39.87% +0.10 27
2014-07-28 Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 5-0 1504.89 1470.35 46.12% 25.00% 28.89% +7.87 30
2014-08-03 @ Arizona United SC W 2-1 1512.76 1473.80 37.52% 27.84% 34.64% +2.00 33
2014-08-10 OKC Energy FC W 2-1 1514.76 1505.26 41.93% 26.81% 31.26% +1.83 36
2014-08-18 @ Orange County Blues FC W 6-1 1516.59 1472.80 38.25% 27.75% 34.00% +7.62 39
2014-08-21 Wilmington Hammerheads W 2-0 1524.21 1493.65 45.44% 25.33% 29.23% +3.41 42
2014-08-28 Charleston Battery W 3-1 1527.62 1511.57 43.00% 26.41% 30.59% +3.10 45
2014-08-31 @ Wilmington Hammerheads T 0-0 1530.72 1496.36 36.84% 27.89% 35.26% -0.02 46
2014-09-05 OKC Energy FC W 1-0 1530.70 1492.28 46.79% 24.65% 28.56% +1.77 49
2014-09-07 Los Angeles Galaxy II L 1-2 1532.47 1518.72 42.62% 26.56% 30.82% -2.31 49
2014-04-06 Harrisburg City Islanders T 0-0 1494.45 1506.65 38.51% 27.71% 33.78% -0.06 1
2014-04-13 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 4-3 1494.39 1483.79 33.58% 27.66% 38.76% +2.00 4
2014-04-27 Charlotte Eagles L 0-2 1496.39 1498.43 40.09% 27.37% 32.54% -4.43 4
2014-05-04 Rochester Rhinos T 0-0 1491.96 1489.87 40.74% 27.19% 32.07% -0.11 5
2014-05-11 @ Charleston Battery W 1-0 1491.85 1515.97 29.81% 25.84% 44.35% +2.51 8
2014-05-18 Charleston Battery W 1-0 1494.36 1513.46 37.47% 27.84% 34.68% +2.12 11
2014-05-24 Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 5-1 1496.48 1477.58 43.48% 26.22% 30.30% +5.61 14
2014-06-01 @ Charlotte Eagles W 2-1 1502.09 1497.03 32.90% 27.49% 39.61% +2.20 17
2014-06-07 OKC Energy FC T 2-2 1504.29 1488.46 42.97% 26.43% 30.61% -0.11 18
2014-06-15 @ Richmond Kickers T 2-2 1504.18 1539.08 28.86% 24.96% 46.18% +0.15 19
2014-06-29 Richmond Kickers T 1-1 1504.33 1542.07 34.80% 27.86% 37.34% +0.03 20
2014-07-13 @ Orlando City SC L 0-2 1504.36 1555.92 27.55% 23.37% 49.08% -3.18 20
2014-07-19 @ Harrisburg City Islanders T 0-0 1501.18 1501.78 32.24% 27.26% 40.50% +0.11 21
2014-07-20 @ Rochester Rhinos W 1-0 1501.29 1487.65 33.97% 27.74% 38.29% +2.28 24
2014-07-26 Arizona United SC T 0-0 1503.57 1477.10 44.74% 25.66% 29.59% -0.20 25
2014-07-27 @ Charlotte Eagles L 0-2 1503.37 1489.91 33.94% 27.74% 38.32% -3.93 25
2014-08-02 Richmond Kickers L 1-3 1499.44 1551.58 32.96% 27.50% 39.53% -3.32 25
2014-08-10 Dayton Dutch Lions L 1-2 1496.12 1454.25 47.39% 24.33% 28.29% -2.47 25
2014-08-21 @ Sacramento Republic L 0-2 1493.65 1524.21 29.23% 25.33% 45.44% -3.42 25
2014-08-24 @ Orange County Blues FC W 2-1 1490.23 1465.18 35.50% 27.91% 36.59% +2.08 28
2014-08-24 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II T 3-3 1492.31 1518.81 29.59% 25.66% 44.75% +0.11 29
2014-08-29 Orlando City SC W 3-1 1492.42 1558.47 31.38% 26.88% 41.74% +3.94 32
2014-08-31 Sacramento Republic T 0-0 1496.36 1530.72 35.26% 27.89% 36.84% +0.02 33
2014-09-04 Orlando City SC T 0-0 1496.38 1563.15 31.31% 26.84% 41.86% +0.14 34
2014-09-06 @ Dayton Dutch Lions W 4-0 1496.52 1448.50 38.89% 27.64% 33.47% +7.37 37
2014-09-07 @ Rochester Rhinos L 0-2 1503.89 1486.14 34.50% 27.82% 37.67% -3.98 37

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2014-09-13 @ Richmond Kickers L 1-2 1516.52 1551.75 40.88% 0.00% 59.12% -1.68 0-1
2014-09-13 @ Orlando City SC W 1-0 1500.73 1564.95 36.92% 0.00% 63.08% +2.75 1-0
2014-09-20 @ Richmond Kickers W 3-2 1503.48 1553.43 38.85% 0.00% 61.15% +2.38 2-0
2014-09-27 @ Sacramento Republic L 0-2 1505.86 1536.07 41.58% 0.00% 58.42% -3.42 2-1
2014-09-13 Rochester Rhinos W 2-1 1521.03 1490.12 58.52% 0.00% 41.48% +1.70 1-0
2014-09-20 @ Sacramento Republic L 2-3 1522.73 1534.35 44.20% 0.00% 55.80% -1.72 1-1
2014-09-13 Harrisburg City Islanders L 0-1 1564.95 1500.73 63.08% 0.00% 36.92% -2.75 0-1
2014-09-13 Charleston Battery W 2-1 1551.75 1516.52 59.12% 0.00% 40.88% +1.68 1-0
2014-09-20 Harrisburg City Islanders L 2-3 1553.43 1503.48 61.15% 0.00% 38.85% -2.38 1-1
2014-09-13 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II L 1-2 1490.12 1521.03 41.48% 0.00% 58.52% -1.71 0-1
2014-09-13 Wilmington Hammerheads W 4-1 1530.16 1499.91 58.43% 0.00% 41.57% +4.19 1-0
2014-09-20 Los Angeles Galaxy II W 3-2 1534.35 1522.73 55.80% 0.00% 44.20% +1.72 2-0
2014-09-27 Harrisburg City Islanders W 2-0 1536.07 1505.86 58.42% 0.00% 41.58% +3.42 3-0
2014-09-13 @ Sacramento Republic L 1-4 1499.91 1530.16 41.57% 0.00% 58.43% -4.19 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-08-10 28.29% Dayton Dutch Lions 1454.25 2 @ Wilmington Hammerheads 1496.12 1
2 2014-07-06 28.86% Dayton Dutch Lions 1463.40 3 @ Charlotte Eagles 1498.26 1
3 2014-08-15 29.00% Arizona United SC 1470.25 2 @ OKC Energy FC 1503.43 1
4 2014-06-12 29.06% Rochester Rhinos 1490.15 2 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II 1522.69 1
5 2014-08-30 29.17% Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1465.14 1 @ Charlotte Eagles 1496.39 0
6 2014-08-31 29.77% Rochester Rhinos 1480.34 4 @ Harrisburg City Islanders 1504.91 1
7 2014-05-11 29.81% Wilmington Hammerheads 1491.85 1 @ Charleston Battery 1515.97 0
8 2014-07-13 29.92% Arizona United SC 1468.77 2 @ Orange County Blues FC 1491.74 1
9 2014-06-08 29.99% Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1470.19 3 @ Rochester Rhinos 1492.38 2
10 2014-05-11 30.27% Orange County Blues FC 1485.27 1 @ OKC Energy FC 1504.52 0
11 2014-04-20 30.54% Dayton Dutch Lions 1490.18 1 @ Harrisburg City Islanders 1506.71 0
12 2014-07-27 30.60% @ Rochester Rhinos 1485.37 1 Orlando City SC 1559.00 0
13 2014-08-11 30.61% Orange County Blues FC 1471.96 1 @ Rochester Rhinos 1487.79 0
14 2014-05-11 30.69% Arizona United SC 1478.31 1 @ Harrisburg City Islanders 1493.31 0
15 2014-09-07 30.82% Los Angeles Galaxy II 1518.72 2 @ Sacramento Republic 1532.47 1
16 2014-08-21 31.06% @ Charlotte Eagles 1491.80 2 Orlando City SC 1560.95 0
17 2014-04-05 31.10% Dayton Dutch Lions 1487.86 1 @ Charlotte Eagles 1498.86 0
18 2014-08-29 31.38% @ Wilmington Hammerheads 1492.42 3 Orlando City SC 1558.47 1
19 2014-04-14 31.43% Sacramento Republic 1498.19 3 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II 1506.11 0
20 2014-06-12 31.50% Dayton Dutch Lions 1468.03 2 @ Arizona United SC 1475.28 1
21 2014-06-14 31.68% Orange County Blues FC 1489.17 1 @ Charlotte Eagles 1494.73 0
22 2014-04-27 31.93% Harrisburg City Islanders 1499.47 2 @ Sacramento Republic 1502.76 1
23 2014-06-29 32.02% Dayton Dutch Lions 1463.27 1 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1465.80 0
24 2014-07-03 32.05% Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1463.42 2 @ Dayton Dutch Lions 1465.64 1
25 2014-08-24 32.35% Orlando City SC 1556.36 3 @ Richmond Kickers 1556.02 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-09-01 8.62 @ Orlando City SC 7 1554.53 57.32% Dayton Dutch Lions 0 1457.12 24.68% 18.00%
2 2014-05-26 8.49 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II 5 1509.05 42.36% OKC Energy FC 0 1496.95 30.99% 26.66%
3 2014-05-03 8.41 Charleston Battery 4 1503.41 32.50% @ Harrisburg City Islanders 0 1501.71 40.14% 27.36%
4 2014-04-13 8.16 OKC Energy FC 4 1501.51 33.84% @ Arizona United SC 0 1488.83 38.44% 27.72%
5 2014-07-28 7.88 @ Sacramento Republic 5 1504.89 46.12% Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0 1470.35 28.89% 25.00%
6 2014-07-27 7.75 Los Angeles Galaxy II 4 1514.58 36.35% @ Orange County Blues FC 0 1483.59 35.74% 27.91%
7 2014-08-18 7.62 Sacramento Republic 6 1516.59 38.25% @ Orange County Blues FC 1 1472.80 34.00% 27.75%
8 2014-09-06 7.37 Wilmington Hammerheads 4 1496.52 38.89% @ Dayton Dutch Lions 0 1448.50 33.47% 27.64%
9 2014-04-27 6.64 Richmond Kickers 5 1514.25 35.02% @ Dayton Dutch Lions 1 1492.65 37.10% 27.88%
10 2014-04-14 6.60 Sacramento Republic 3 1498.19 31.43% @ Los Angeles Galaxy II 0 1506.11 41.68% 26.90%
11 2014-04-28 6.38 Los Angeles Galaxy II 3 1502.77 32.89% @ Orange County Blues FC 0 1497.82 39.63% 27.48%
12 2014-05-10 6.36 @ Richmond Kickers 4 1520.69 46.37% Arizona United SC 0 1484.67 28.76% 24.86%
13 2014-07-20 6.34 @ Richmond Kickers 4 1543.70 46.53% Charleston Battery 0 1506.77 28.69% 24.78%
14 2014-08-31 6.26 @ Charleston Battery 4 1508.47 47.20% Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0 1467.69 28.37% 24.43%
15 2014-07-27 5.86 OKC Energy FC 3 1497.57 37.02% @ Dayton Dutch Lions 0 1461.98 35.10% 27.88%
16 2014-08-31 5.80 Rochester Rhinos 4 1480.34 29.77% @ Harrisburg City Islanders 1 1504.91 44.42% 25.81%
17 2014-07-20 5.79 @ Arizona United SC 3 1471.31 37.63% Orange County Blues FC 0 1489.38 34.55% 27.83%
18 2014-06-15 5.66 @ Charleston Battery 3 1509.64 38.75% Los Angeles Galaxy II 0 1520.27 33.59% 27.66%
19 2014-05-24 5.61 @ Wilmington Hammerheads 5 1496.48 43.48% Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1 1477.58 30.30% 26.22%
20 2014-06-09 5.15 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II 5 1517.54 47.82% Dayton Dutch Lions 1 1473.18 28.09% 24.09%
21 2014-05-17 5.09 Richmond Kickers 4 1527.05 35.50% @ OKC Energy FC 1 1502.04 36.60% 27.91%
22 2014-07-06 4.88 @ Harrisburg City Islanders 4 1493.36 37.57% Charleston Battery 1 1511.80 34.60% 27.83%
23 2014-06-29 4.86 @ Orlando City SC 3 1551.06 46.45% Los Angeles Galaxy II 0 1514.58 28.72% 24.82%
24 2014-04-25 4.78 @ Orange County Blues FC 4 1493.04 38.66% Harrisburg City Islanders 1 1504.25 33.66% 27.68%
25 2014-08-21 4.59 @ Charlotte Eagles 2 1491.80 31.06% Orlando City SC 0 1560.95 42.24% 26.70%