1972 NFL Season

182 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Miami Dolphins

1st Super Bowl

Runner-Up

Washington Redskins

1st SB App.

Last Appearance: 1945

Biggest Overachiever

Miami Dolphins

3.50 wins above expected

14 wins · 10.50 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Houston Oilers

3.16 wins below expected

1 wins · 4.16 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	11	3	.786	—	343	175	+168	7.90	+3.10
2	Cleveland Browns (1st) Playoffs	10	4	.714	1	268	249	+19	7.59	+2.41
3	Cincinnati Bengals	8	6	.571	3	299	229	+70	7.54	+0.46
4	Houston Oilers	1	13	.071	10	164	380	-216	4.16	-3.16

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Miami Dolphins Division	14	0	0	1.000	—	385	171	+214	10.50	+3.50
2	New York Jets	7	7	0	.500	7	367	324	+43	7.27	-0.27
3	Baltimore Colts	5	9	0	.357	9	235	252	-17	7.52	-2.52
4	Buffalo Bills	4	9	1	.321	9.5	257	377	-120	3.91	+0.59
5	New England Patriots	3	11	0	.214	11	192	446	-254	4.25	-1.25

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Oakland Raiders Division	10	3	1	.750	—	365	248	+117	8.79	+1.71
2	Kansas City Chiefs	8	6	0	.571	2.5	287	254	+33	8.38	-0.38
3	Denver Broncos	5	9	0	.357	5.5	325	350	-25	5.26	-0.26
4	San Diego Chargers	4	9	1	.321	6	264	344	-80	5.53	-1.03

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	10	4	0	.714	—	304	226	+78	6.95	+3.05
2	Detroit Lions	8	5	1	.607	1.5	339	290	+49	8.40	+0.10
3	Minnesota Vikings	7	7	0	.500	3	301	252	+49	8.60	-1.60
4	Chicago Bears	4	9	1	.321	5.5	225	275	-50	5.28	-0.78

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Washington Redskins Division	11	3	0	.786	—	336	218	+118	9.49	+1.51
2	Dallas Cowboys Playoffs	10	4	0	.714	1	319	240	+79	9.94	+0.06
3	New York Giants	8	6	0	.571	3	331	247	+84	6.30	+1.70
4	St. Louis Cardinals	4	9	1	.321	6.5	193	303	-110	5.01	-0.51
5	Philadelphia Eagles	2	11	1	.179	8.5	145	352	-207	4.74	-2.24

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Francisco 49ers Division	8	5	1	.607	—	353	249	+104	8.45	+0.05
2	Atlanta Falcons	7	7	0	.500	1.5	269	274	-5	7.66	-0.66
3	Los Angeles Rams	6	7	1	.464	2	291	286	+5	8.43	-1.93
4	New Orleans Saints	2	11	1	.179	6	215	361	-146	4.15	-1.65

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Divisional Round

Pittsburgh Steelers 13

Oakland Raiders 7

Dec 23

Miami Dolphins 20

Cleveland Browns (1st) 14

Dec 24

Conference Championship

Miami Dolphins 21

Pittsburgh Steelers 17

Dec 31

NFC

Divisional Round

Dallas Cowboys 30

San Francisco 49ers 28

Dec 23

Washington Redskins 16

Green Bay Packers 3

Dec 24

Conference Championship

Washington Redskins 26

Dallas Cowboys 3

Dec 31

Super Bowl

Miami Dolphins 14

Washington Redskins 7

Jan 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1763	14	10.50	+3.50	100.00%	3	8	9	10	11	13	14
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC Central	1690	11	7.90	+3.10	98.80%	2	5	6	8	9	10	13
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1673	10.5	8.79	+1.71	86.92%	2	6	7	9	10	11	14
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1658	11	9.49	+1.51	91.30%	2	6	8	9	10	12	14
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC Central	1647	10	6.95	+3.05	98.53%	1	4	5	7	8	10	13
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1636	8.5	8.45	+0.05	56.36%	2	5	7	8	9	11	14
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1634	10	9.94	+0.06	67.97%	4	7	9	10	11	12	14
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC Central	1603	8.5	8.40	+0.10	57.88%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1575	8	6.30	+1.70	92.57%	1	3	5	6	7	9	12
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC Central	1574	7	8.60	-1.60	31.79%	2	5	7	8	10	11	14
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1569	8	8.38	-0.38	57.90%	0	5	7	8	9	11	14
Cleveland Browns (1st)	AFC	AFC Central	1564	10	7.59	+2.41	96.40%	1	4	6	7	9	10	14
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC Central	1524	8	7.54	+0.46	75.32%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Baltimore Colts	AFC	AFC East	1480	5	7.52	-2.52	15.30%	1	4	6	7	8	10	13
Los Angeles Rams	NFC	NFC West	1480	6.5	8.43	-1.93	17.21%	2	5	7	8	9	11	14
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC West	1471	7	7.66	-0.66	51.75%	1	4	6	7	9	10	14
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1470	7	7.27	-0.27	61.09%	1	4	6	7	8	10	13
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1446	5	5.26	-0.26	62.55%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1398	4.5	5.53	-1.03	34.29%	0	3	4	5	6	8	12
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC Central	1397	4.5	5.28	-0.78	40.31%	0	2	4	5	6	8	12
St. Louis Cardinals	NFC	NFC East	1389	4.5	5.01	-0.51	44.81%	0	2	4	5	6	7	11
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1346	4.5	3.91	+0.59	70.87%	0	1	3	4	5	6	10
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC West	1293	2.5	4.15	-1.65	20.06%	0	1	3	4	5	7	11
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1260	2.5	4.74	-2.24	10.92%	0	2	3	4	6	7	12
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1239	3	4.25	-1.25	39.47%	0	1	3	4	5	7	10
Houston Oilers	AFC	AFC Central	1223	1	4.16	-3.16	6.10%	0	1	3	4	5	7	11

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team	Bengals	(1st)	Oilers	Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Houston Oilers	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—
Houston Oilers	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-3 (1.0 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	3-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—

Within AFC East

Team	Colts	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Baltimore Colts	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Buffalo Bills	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
New England Patriots	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.1 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
New York Jets	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Baltimore Colts	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Buffalo Bills	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—
New England Patriots	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)
New York Jets	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-0-1 (1.2 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Denver Broncos	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-2 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)

Within NFC Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC East	NFC West
Chicago Bears	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2-1 (1.0 exp.)
Detroit Lions	—	1-0-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	3-0 (1.8 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Cardinals	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)
New York Giants	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)
Washington Redskins	—	1-2 (2.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Falcons	Rams	Saints	49ers
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (0.5 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.4 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East
Atlanta Falcons	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	0-2-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-3 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	0.55%	0.82%	1.92%	2.20%	2.47%	0.82%	0.27%	9.07%
7–13	0.82%	2.75%	2.75%	5.49%	3.02%	0.82%	0.27%	15.93%
14–20	1.92%	2.75%	8.24%	8.79%	2.75%	1.92%	0.82%	27.20%
21–27	2.20%	5.49%	8.79%	7.14%	2.20%	1.37%	0.82%	28.02%
28–34	2.47%	3.02%	2.75%	2.20%	1.10%	—	0.27%	11.81%
35–41	0.82%	0.82%	1.92%	1.37%	—	—	0.27%	5.22%
42+	0.27%	0.27%	0.82%	0.82%	0.27%	0.27%	—	2.75%
Total	9.07%	15.93%	27.20%	28.02%	11.81%	5.22%	2.75%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.25	20.25	+0.00
SD	10.57	10.57	16.59
CV	0.52	0.52	—
Max	62	62	+52
Min	0	0	-52

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	28.57%
21–27	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	14.29%	42.86%	28.57%	—	—	7.14%	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.21	19.57	-0.36
SD	10.62	10.55	16.14
CV	0.55	0.54	—
Max	37	49	+28
Min	0	3	-35

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	28.57%
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	7.14%	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	28.57%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
28–34	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	14.29%	21.43%	42.86%	—	—	7.14%	100%

Baltimore Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.79	18.00	-1.21
SD	12.44	11.37	16.80
CV	0.74	0.63	—
Max	35	44	+31
Min	0	0	-23

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	—	14.29%	21.43%	—	14.29%	—	50.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	28.57%	28.57%	14.29%	28.57%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.36	26.93	-8.57
SD	10.44	9.03	16.12
CV	0.57	0.34	—
Max	38	41	+24
Min	0	14	-38

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
7–13	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
14–20	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
21–27	—	14.29%	—	—	14.29%	14.29%	—	42.86%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	35.71%	14.29%	14.29%	14.29%	14.29%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.07	19.64	-3.57
SD	7.68	11.39	11.33
CV	0.48	0.58	—
Max	27	38	+17
Min	0	0	-16

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
14–20	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	—	28.57%
21–27	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	7.14%	35.71%	35.71%	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.36	16.36	+5.00
SD	13.39	9.96	17.58
CV	0.63	0.61	—
Max	61	40	+44
Min	6	3	-23

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
14–20	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
21–27	7.14%	14.29%	28.57%	14.29%	—	—	—	64.29%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	14.29%	35.71%	21.43%	14.29%	—	—	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.14	17.79	+1.36
SD	10.32	9.00	16.63
CV	0.54	0.51	—
Max	27	31	+21
Min	0	0	-30

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	7.14%	7.14%	—	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	42.86%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.43%	14.29%	14.29%	35.71%	14.29%	—	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.79	17.14	+5.64
SD	9.41	9.63	14.03
CV	0.41	0.56	—
Max	34	31	+22
Min	3	0	-21

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	7.14%	—	21.43%	7.14%	14.29%	—	50.00%
21–27	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	14.29%	7.14%	50.00%	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.21	25.00	-1.79
SD	9.54	9.55	15.22
CV	0.41	0.38	—
Max	45	45	+25
Min	10	10	-23

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	14.29%
14–20	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
28–34	—	—	21.43%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	—	42.86%	28.57%	21.43%	—	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.21	20.71	+3.50
SD	10.03	8.51	14.25
CV	0.41	0.41	—
Max	38	34	+17
Min	7	0	-26

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
21–27	—	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	35.71%
28–34	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	42.86%	28.57%	28.57%	—	—	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.71	16.14	+5.57
SD	7.55	6.63	10.51
CV	0.35	0.41	—
Max	34	27	+26
Min	9	7	-14

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	35.71%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	—	7.14%	35.71%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.14%	28.57%	21.43%	35.71%	—	7.14%	100%

Houston Oilers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	11.71	27.14	-15.43
SD	7.78	12.13	12.89
CV	0.66	0.45	—
Max	26	61	+6
Min	0	9	-44

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	14.29%	21.43%	—	—	—	35.71%
21–27	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	14.29%	42.86%	42.86%	—	—	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.50	18.14	+2.36
SD	10.57	5.99	13.40
CV	0.52	0.33	—
Max	45	27	+24
Min	3	7	-23

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	42.86%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
28–34	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	28.57%	28.57%	7.14%	14.29%	—	14.29%	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.79	20.43	+0.36
SD	10.79	13.56	18.04
CV	0.52	0.66	—
Max	41	45	+31
Min	3	3	-28

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
21–27	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	35.71%
28–34	—	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
35–41	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	21.43%	35.71%	21.43%	21.43%	—	—	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.50	12.21	+15.29
SD	9.35	8.02	12.62
CV	0.34	0.66	—
Max	52	24	+52
Min	16	0	+1

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	—	21.43%
14–20	—	—	28.57%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
21–27	—	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
Total	7.14%	28.57%	35.71%	21.43%	—	7.14%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.50	18.00	+3.50
SD	11.04	8.62	13.07
CV	0.51	0.48	—
Max	45	41	+31
Min	7	6	-16

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	21.43%
7–13	—	—	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	21.43%
14–20	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	35.71%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%	28.57%	21.43%	14.29%	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.71	31.86	-18.14
SD	8.52	10.80	16.20
CV	0.62	0.34	—
Max	24	52	+7
Min	0	10	-52

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%	—	14.29%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	—	28.57%	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	—	64.29%
21–27	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	—	35.71%	14.29%	14.29%	21.43%	7.14%	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.36	25.79	-10.43
SD	5.87	11.28	14.16
CV	0.38	0.44	—
Max	21	45	+18
Min	2	3	-35

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	14.29%	—	14.29%	—	—	—	28.57%
14–20	—	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
21–27	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	7.14%	28.57%	14.29%	42.86%	7.14%	—	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.64	17.64	+6.00
SD	14.45	7.79	18.15
CV	0.61	0.44	—
Max	62	30	+52
Min	10	3	-14

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	21.43%	—	14.29%	—	42.86%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
42+	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
Total	7.14%	14.29%	14.29%	35.71%	14.29%	14.29%	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.21	23.14	+3.07
SD	11.52	9.75	17.89
CV	0.44	0.42	—
Max	44	37	+38
Min	10	3	-18

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
21–27	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
28–34	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	14.29%	—	57.14%	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.07	17.71	+8.36
SD	8.29	9.14	13.49
CV	0.32	0.52	—
Max	45	34	+34
Min	14	0	-13

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	35.71%
7–13	—	—	—	21.43%	7.14%	—	7.14%	35.71%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	—	21.43%	42.86%	21.43%	—	7.14%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	10.36	25.14	-14.79
SD	7.11	12.66	14.45
CV	0.69	0.50	—
Max	23	62	+1
Min	0	6	-52

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
14–20	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
21–27	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	35.71%
28–34	14.29%	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.57%	21.43%	28.57%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.50	12.50	+12.00
SD	9.90	9.19	11.69
CV	0.40	0.74	—
Max	40	28	+30
Min	9	0	-5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
21–27	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	35.71%	35.71%	21.43%	7.14%	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.86	24.57	-5.71
SD	10.40	7.56	15.29
CV	0.55	0.31	—
Max	37	38	+23
Min	2	14	-31

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
14–20	7.14%	—	14.29%	21.43%	—	—	—	42.86%
21–27	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
28–34	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
35–41	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	21.43%	7.14%	21.43%	35.71%	14.29%	—	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.21	17.79	+7.43
SD	10.70	10.75	18.66
CV	0.42	0.60	—
Max	49	34	+35
Min	7	0	-24

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
7–13	7.14%	7.14%	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	7.14%	14.29%	42.86%	21.43%	—	—	100%

St. Louis Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.79	21.64	-7.86
SD	7.65	9.60	11.59
CV	0.55	0.44	—
Max	24	33	+10
Min	3	3	-30

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	28.57%	21.43%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	71.43%
28–34	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	28.57%	28.57%	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.00	15.57	+8.43
SD	5.35	8.99	10.54
CV	0.22	0.58	—
Max	35	34	+30
Min	14	0	-10

Games Played: 14

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Miami Dolphins	14	10.50	+3.50
2	Pittsburgh Steelers	11	7.90	+3.10
3	Green Bay Packers	10	6.95	+3.05
4	Cleveland Browns (1st)	10	7.59	+2.41
5	Oakland Raiders	10.5	8.79	+1.71

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Houston Oilers	1	4.16	-3.16
2	Baltimore Colts	5	7.52	-2.52
3	Philadelphia Eagles	2.5	4.74	-2.24
4	Los Angeles Rams	6.5	8.43	-1.93
5	New Orleans Saints	2.5	4.15	-1.65

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Miami Dolphins	14	Sep 17 – Dec 16	1 in 100
2	Washington Redskins	9	Oct 8 – Dec 3	1 in 40
3	Cleveland Browns (1st)	6	Oct 22 – Nov 26	1 in 30
4	Chicago Bears	3	Oct 15 – Oct 29	1 in 21
5	New York Giants	4	Oct 2 – Oct 22	1 in 18

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Houston Oilers	11	Oct 9 – Dec 17	1 in 57
2	Los Angeles Rams	3	Nov 12 – Nov 26	1 in 41
3	New England Patriots	9	Oct 8 – Dec 3	1 in 32
4	Washington Redskins	2	Dec 9 – Dec 17	1 in 31
5	Kansas City Chiefs	3	Nov 12 – Nov 26	1 in 16

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4
Pittsburgh Steelers	38.01%	32.33%	25.11%	4.55%
Cincinnati Bengals	30.90%	31.67%	30.37%	7.06%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	29.74%	31.93%	30.16%	8.17%
Houston Oilers	1.35%	4.07%	14.36%	80.22%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Miami Dolphins	82.56%	13.84%	3.28%	0.30%	0.02%
Baltimore Colts	9.21%	43.57%	35.16%	9.59%	2.47%
New York Jets	7.94%	37.01%	39.75%	11.99%	3.31%
New England Patriots	0.17%	3.16%	11.92%	41.60%	43.15%
Buffalo Bills	0.12%	2.42%	9.89%	36.52%	51.05%

Team	1	2	3	4
Oakland Raiders	52.31%	34.27%	10.59%	2.83%
Kansas City Chiefs	40.56%	40.88%	13.81%	4.75%
San Diego Chargers	4.20%	13.77%	40.00%	42.03%
Denver Broncos	2.93%	11.08%	35.60%	50.39%

Team	1	2	3	4
Minnesota Vikings	44.80%	31.80%	17.63%	5.77%
Detroit Lions	38.49%	34.77%	19.42%	7.32%
Green Bay Packers	13.73%	24.62%	40.19%	21.46%
Chicago Bears	2.98%	8.81%	22.76%	65.45%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Dallas Cowboys	54.77%	37.41%	6.39%	1.27%	0.16%
Washington Redskins	41.51%	44.96%	10.48%	2.60%	0.45%
New York Giants	2.72%	11.37%	44.78%	26.49%	14.64%
St. Louis Cardinals	0.62%	3.92%	21.86%	36.54%	37.06%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.38%	2.34%	16.49%	33.10%	47.69%

Team	1	2	3	4
San Francisco 49ers	39.79%	32.89%	23.88%	3.44%
Los Angeles Rams	37.23%	33.62%	25.50%	3.65%
Atlanta Falcons	22.45%	30.74%	38.76%	8.05%
New Orleans Saints	0.53%	2.75%	11.86%	84.86%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13
Miami Dolphins	53.57%	21.79%	10.83%	6.21%	3.37%	1.99%	1.18%	0.62%	0.26%	0.10%	0.06%	0.01%	0.01%
Oakland Raiders	13.85%	19.85%	16.36%	12.89%	11.49%	9.23%	6.26%	4.28%	2.90%	1.62%	0.76%	0.40%	0.11%
Kansas City Chiefs	10.86%	15.18%	14.42%	13.80%	12.68%	9.97%	7.96%	5.64%	4.53%	2.51%	1.66%	0.68%	0.11%
Pittsburgh Steelers	5.58%	11.06%	13.95%	13.01%	12.08%	12.01%	10.63%	8.67%	6.17%	3.62%	2.12%	0.81%	0.29%
Cincinnati Bengals	3.88%	8.77%	11.99%	11.24%	11.81%	12.36%	11.04%	10.30%	8.45%	4.67%	3.22%	1.68%	0.59%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	4.05%	9.11%	11.34%	11.56%	11.56%	12.49%	10.93%	9.87%	8.49%	4.97%	3.14%	1.79%	0.70%
Baltimore Colts	4.19%	6.55%	9.01%	12.85%	13.24%	12.52%	12.30%	10.67%	7.62%	5.29%	3.25%	1.66%	0.85%
New York Jets	3.37%	5.27%	7.64%	10.88%	12.05%	12.71%	12.93%	12.01%	9.08%	6.18%	4.12%	2.40%	1.36%
San Diego Chargers	0.40%	1.18%	2.22%	3.21%	4.69%	6.05%	8.95%	11.72%	14.75%	15.74%	14.08%	11.07%	5.94%
Denver Broncos	0.14%	0.85%	1.49%	2.44%	3.52%	5.16%	8.36%	11.06%	13.99%	16.03%	15.69%	12.67%	8.60%
Houston Oilers	0.06%	0.25%	0.37%	0.70%	1.45%	2.09%	3.63%	5.09%	8.48%	13.21%	17.90%	26.11%	20.66%
New England Patriots	0.03%	0.10%	0.22%	0.76%	1.27%	1.89%	3.32%	5.81%	8.44%	13.64%	17.29%	20.15%	27.08%
Buffalo Bills	0.02%	0.04%	0.16%	0.45%	0.79%	1.53%	2.51%	4.26%	6.84%	12.42%	16.71%	20.57%	33.70%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13
Dallas Cowboys	32.26%	20.03%	15.19%	11.37%	8.26%	5.68%	3.27%	1.86%	1.11%	0.58%	0.27%	0.09%	0.03%
Washington Redskins	23.34%	17.34%	15.05%	13.93%	10.18%	7.27%	5.40%	3.41%	1.90%	1.19%	0.64%	0.28%	0.07%
Minnesota Vikings	10.99%	13.33%	14.14%	12.70%	11.57%	10.47%	9.02%	6.51%	4.96%	3.48%	1.95%	0.76%	0.12%
San Francisco 49ers	8.89%	12.62%	12.99%	12.41%	12.71%	11.50%	9.04%	7.80%	5.93%	3.32%	1.65%	0.84%	0.30%
Los Angeles Rams	8.32%	12.01%	12.51%	12.75%	12.92%	11.82%	9.64%	7.78%	5.94%	3.04%	1.75%	1.12%	0.40%
Detroit Lions	8.81%	11.50%	12.58%	12.63%	12.60%	11.90%	9.83%	7.36%	5.62%	3.70%	2.31%	0.81%	0.35%
Atlanta Falcons	4.17%	7.07%	8.12%	9.94%	11.41%	12.27%	12.12%	11.38%	10.12%	6.05%	3.75%	2.56%	1.04%
Green Bay Packers	2.05%	3.44%	5.15%	6.97%	8.55%	10.80%	12.74%	13.23%	12.52%	10.39%	7.83%	4.47%	1.86%
New York Giants	0.75%	1.41%	2.26%	3.72%	5.16%	7.78%	11.78%	13.74%	14.52%	13.13%	11.10%	8.18%	6.47%
Chicago Bears	0.20%	0.70%	0.94%	1.80%	2.92%	4.44%	6.18%	8.67%	10.64%	16.15%	18.06%	16.71%	12.59%
St. Louis Cardinals	0.11%	0.33%	0.45%	0.96%	1.60%	2.80%	5.20%	8.02%	11.32%	14.74%	17.07%	18.25%	19.15%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.09%	0.12%	0.40%	0.53%	1.19%	2.06%	3.44%	6.09%	9.69%	14.12%	16.23%	19.66%	26.38%
New Orleans Saints	0.02%	0.10%	0.22%	0.29%	0.93%	1.21%	2.34%	4.15%	5.73%	10.11%	17.39%	26.27%	31.24%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26
Miami Dolphins	28.70%	20.89%	12.85%	9.74%	6.48%	5.61%	3.82%	3.27%	2.25%	1.67%	1.31%	0.95%	0.70%	0.56%	0.39%	0.30%	0.20%	0.13%	0.08%	0.02%	0.04%	0.02%	—	0.02%	—	—
Dallas Cowboys	18.83%	14.68%	12.40%	9.83%	8.48%	6.73%	5.91%	4.80%	3.96%	3.33%	2.87%	2.09%	1.80%	1.12%	0.77%	0.77%	0.51%	0.40%	0.32%	0.12%	0.16%	0.05%	0.04%	0.03%	—	—
Washington Redskins	12.67%	11.71%	10.50%	9.46%	8.22%	7.44%	7.31%	5.70%	4.94%	4.35%	3.62%	3.11%	2.62%	2.09%	1.76%	1.24%	0.91%	0.83%	0.57%	0.25%	0.31%	0.17%	0.13%	0.03%	0.05%	0.01%
Oakland Raiders	5.67%	7.98%	8.49%	8.69%	7.51%	8.20%	6.18%	6.63%	6.02%	6.28%	4.40%	4.69%	3.87%	3.88%	2.58%	2.44%	1.60%	1.64%	1.11%	0.73%	0.41%	0.44%	0.28%	0.15%	0.07%	0.06%
Minnesota Vikings	6.22%	5.83%	7.41%	6.89%	7.93%	6.59%	7.19%	6.27%	5.94%	5.17%	5.59%	4.85%	4.28%	3.59%	3.69%	2.67%	2.64%	1.97%	1.90%	1.31%	0.92%	0.57%	0.31%	0.17%	0.07%	0.03%
San Francisco 49ers	4.54%	5.18%	6.71%	6.90%	6.94%	6.65%	6.97%	6.49%	6.66%	5.58%	5.79%	5.08%	4.88%	3.97%	4.02%	3.31%	2.79%	2.25%	1.87%	1.16%	0.85%	0.55%	0.42%	0.25%	0.13%	0.06%
Kansas City Chiefs	4.49%	5.59%	6.46%	6.63%	6.59%	7.16%	6.90%	7.04%	6.43%	6.17%	5.68%	5.08%	4.22%	4.08%	3.64%	2.86%	2.70%	2.29%	1.75%	1.33%	0.94%	0.81%	0.65%	0.34%	0.10%	0.07%
Los Angeles Rams	4.23%	5.11%	6.49%	6.32%	7.35%	6.31%	7.34%	6.24%	6.58%	5.87%	6.35%	5.08%	4.85%	3.99%	4.04%	3.22%	3.20%	1.98%	1.53%	1.27%	1.02%	0.62%	0.50%	0.25%	0.21%	0.05%
Detroit Lions	4.23%	5.25%	6.24%	6.22%	7.10%	6.45%	6.74%	6.64%	6.57%	6.02%	6.26%	5.27%	4.72%	4.33%	3.77%	3.22%	2.71%	2.13%	2.04%	1.39%	1.01%	0.68%	0.50%	0.24%	0.23%	0.04%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.03%	3.44%	3.91%	5.38%	5.96%	6.58%	5.66%	6.85%	5.68%	6.56%	5.77%	6.13%	5.85%	5.69%	4.54%	4.81%	3.51%	3.41%	2.17%	2.33%	1.30%	1.01%	0.60%	0.51%	0.21%	0.11%
Atlanta Falcons	1.78%	2.91%	3.52%	4.14%	4.07%	5.07%	5.31%	5.22%	5.99%	6.17%	6.36%	5.78%	5.98%	5.94%	6.03%	4.85%	4.75%	3.93%	3.03%	2.39%	2.21%	1.54%	1.40%	0.75%	0.61%	0.27%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	1.35%	2.73%	3.26%	4.71%	4.33%	5.41%	5.12%	6.02%	5.43%	6.21%	5.76%	6.80%	5.76%	5.40%	4.88%	5.47%	4.37%	4.13%	3.09%	3.02%	1.97%	1.89%	1.15%	0.80%	0.64%	0.30%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.37%	2.37%	3.06%	4.31%	4.81%	5.54%	4.77%	5.73%	6.15%	6.04%	5.66%	6.35%	5.78%	6.04%	4.71%	5.56%	4.60%	4.72%	3.27%	2.66%	1.93%	1.73%	1.35%	0.83%	0.47%	0.19%
Baltimore Colts	1.47%	2.16%	2.71%	3.67%	4.02%	4.46%	5.19%	6.00%	5.96%	6.56%	6.10%	6.75%	6.31%	6.40%	5.68%	5.48%	4.31%	4.18%	3.28%	2.80%	1.81%	1.63%	1.28%	0.88%	0.57%	0.34%
New York Jets	0.99%	1.77%	2.41%	2.68%	3.45%	3.75%	4.43%	5.34%	5.43%	6.21%	6.08%	6.61%	5.74%	7.02%	5.56%	6.30%	5.29%	4.74%	3.45%	3.42%	2.74%	2.22%	1.65%	1.32%	0.89%	0.51%
Green Bay Packers	0.81%	1.35%	1.76%	1.97%	2.72%	3.04%	4.37%	3.62%	4.60%	4.79%	5.42%	5.76%	6.55%	5.88%	7.26%	6.15%	6.31%	5.45%	5.38%	4.71%	3.94%	2.73%	2.34%	1.61%	1.00%	0.48%
New York Giants	0.34%	0.41%	0.78%	0.80%	1.31%	1.43%	2.14%	2.41%	2.96%	3.47%	4.63%	4.37%	5.85%	6.24%	6.90%	6.31%	7.39%	6.68%	7.04%	5.84%	5.48%	5.00%	4.45%	3.22%	2.83%	1.72%
San Diego Chargers	0.07%	0.27%	0.29%	0.45%	0.86%	1.00%	1.31%	1.55%	2.06%	2.13%	2.51%	3.07%	3.98%	4.96%	4.85%	5.32%	6.41%	7.93%	7.19%	8.10%	7.31%	7.82%	6.73%	6.25%	4.40%	3.18%
Denver Broncos	0.04%	0.07%	0.22%	0.38%	0.46%	0.86%	0.87%	1.14%	1.42%	2.03%	1.89%	2.82%	3.21%	4.39%	4.40%	5.91%	5.99%	6.86%	7.12%	8.49%	7.67%	8.51%	7.39%	7.17%	5.86%	4.83%
Chicago Bears	0.11%	0.11%	0.24%	0.41%	0.63%	0.59%	0.95%	1.04%	1.47%	1.83%	2.37%	2.49%	3.34%	3.41%	4.57%	4.62%	5.90%	6.34%	8.03%	7.78%	8.56%	8.20%	7.99%	7.69%	6.11%	5.22%
St. Louis Cardinals	0.02%	0.09%	0.08%	0.24%	0.20%	0.34%	0.50%	0.57%	1.15%	0.88%	1.63%	1.92%	2.86%	2.98%	4.28%	4.17%	6.10%	6.31%	7.60%	7.42%	9.26%	8.60%	9.07%	8.28%	8.66%	6.79%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.02%	0.07%	0.06%	0.04%	0.25%	0.15%	0.33%	0.38%	0.73%	0.71%	1.15%	1.37%	1.94%	2.27%	3.39%	4.09%	4.95%	6.10%	7.13%	7.09%	8.77%	8.13%	10.25%	9.51%	11.23%	9.89%
Houston Oilers	—	0.03%	0.05%	0.05%	0.13%	0.24%	0.17%	0.27%	0.37%	0.77%	0.83%	1.05%	1.29%	1.83%	2.24%	2.73%	3.39%	4.19%	5.23%	6.85%	7.67%	9.54%	10.30%	13.95%	13.19%	13.64%
New England Patriots	0.02%	—	0.02%	0.01%	0.06%	0.18%	0.24%	0.32%	0.52%	0.52%	0.79%	0.90%	1.29%	1.63%	2.24%	3.32%	3.34%	4.22%	5.45%	7.08%	7.92%	9.33%	9.86%	11.51%	12.76%	16.47%
New Orleans Saints	—	—	0.06%	0.07%	0.11%	0.15%	0.09%	0.29%	0.47%	0.33%	0.73%	0.89%	1.33%	1.18%	2.25%	2.55%	3.27%	3.51%	5.62%	6.15%	8.82%	9.23%	11.89%	11.73%	14.27%	15.01%
Buffalo Bills	—	—	0.02%	0.01%	0.03%	0.07%	0.19%	0.17%	0.26%	0.35%	0.45%	0.74%	1.00%	1.13%	1.56%	2.33%	2.86%	3.68%	4.75%	6.29%	6.98%	8.98%	9.47%	12.51%	15.44%	20.73%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Miami Dolphins	53.57%	21.19%	7.80%	8.80%	8.64%
Oakland Raiders	13.85%	21.21%	17.25%	11.85%	35.84%
Kansas City Chiefs	10.86%	16.11%	13.59%	13.93%	45.51%
Pittsburgh Steelers	5.58%	12.39%	20.04%	8.09%	53.90%
Baltimore Colts	4.19%	3.28%	1.74%	19.64%	71.15%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	4.05%	10.07%	15.62%	7.73%	62.53%
Cincinnati Bengals	3.88%	10.11%	16.91%	7.46%	61.64%
New York Jets	3.37%	2.93%	1.64%	15.94%	76.12%
San Diego Chargers	0.40%	1.32%	2.48%	3.00%	92.80%
Denver Broncos	0.14%	1.03%	1.76%	2.08%	94.99%
Houston Oilers	0.06%	0.29%	1.00%	0.35%	98.30%
New England Patriots	0.03%	0.05%	0.09%	0.73%	99.10%
Buffalo Bills	0.02%	0.02%	0.08%	0.40%	99.48%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Dallas Cowboys	32.26%	15.51%	7.00%	22.52%	22.71%
Washington Redskins	23.34%	12.28%	5.89%	25.48%	33.01%
Minnesota Vikings	10.99%	15.43%	18.38%	8.41%	46.79%
San Francisco 49ers	8.89%	14.91%	15.99%	8.18%	52.03%
Detroit Lions	8.81%	13.46%	16.22%	8.42%	53.09%
Los Angeles Rams	8.32%	13.55%	15.36%	8.72%	54.05%
Atlanta Falcons	4.17%	8.38%	9.90%	6.86%	70.69%
Green Bay Packers	2.05%	4.05%	7.63%	4.47%	81.80%
New York Giants	0.75%	1.09%	0.88%	4.09%	93.19%
Chicago Bears	0.20%	0.81%	1.97%	1.16%	95.86%
St. Louis Cardinals	0.11%	0.26%	0.25%	0.94%	98.44%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.09%	0.11%	0.18%	0.59%	99.03%
New Orleans Saints	0.02%	0.16%	0.35%	0.16%	99.31%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Miami Dolphins	91.36%	65.02%	45.39%	30.45%
Washington Redskins	66.99%	41.94%	23.49%	10.67%
Oakland Raiders	64.16%	33.70%	18.10%	10.61%
Dallas Cowboys	77.29%	46.20%	24.18%	10.50%
Pittsburgh Steelers	46.10%	28.23%	14.24%	8.26%
San Francisco 49ers	47.97%	25.93%	14.19%	6.15%
Detroit Lions	46.91%	23.03%	11.53%	5.01%
Minnesota Vikings	53.21%	24.67%	11.34%	3.96%
Kansas City Chiefs	54.49%	21.01%	7.88%	3.34%
Green Bay Packers	18.20%	9.89%	5.64%	2.49%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	37.47%	16.45%	5.35%	2.34%
Cincinnati Bengals	38.36%	15.34%	4.49%	1.74%
Los Angeles Rams	45.95%	14.41%	4.89%	1.49%
Baltimore Colts	28.85%	9.76%	2.27%	0.84%
New York Jets	23.88%	7.73%	1.73%	0.69%
Atlanta Falcons	29.31%	8.51%	2.86%	0.68%
New York Giants	6.81%	3.70%	1.55%	0.55%
Chicago Bears	4.14%	1.04%	0.21%	0.09%
Denver Broncos	5.01%	0.98%	0.18%	0.06%
San Diego Chargers	7.20%	1.36%	0.31%	0.05%
St. Louis Cardinals	1.56%	0.41%	0.09%	0.03%
New Orleans Saints	0.69%	0.11%	0.01%	—
New England Patriots	0.90%	0.12%	0.01%	—
Philadelphia Eagles	0.97%	0.16%	0.02%	—
Houston Oilers	1.70%	0.20%	0.01%	—
Buffalo Bills	0.52%	0.10%	0.04%	—

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers
Baltimore Colts			2.72%	2.48%	0.17%	0.31%	1.16%				0.81%	1.84%	0.27%
Buffalo Bills			0.04%	0.03%			0.02%				0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	3.63%	0.11%			0.29%		2.94%	1.88%	0.21%	3.29%	2.47%		0.52%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	3.79%	0.10%			0.29%		3.04%	2.28%	0.28%	3.21%	3.01%		0.45%
Denver Broncos	0.16%		0.20%	0.08%		0.01%		0.30%		0.10%		0.13%
Houston Oilers	0.05%						0.04%	0.04%		0.06%			0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	2.08%	0.02%	4.37%	3.48%		0.29%		6.26%	0.05%	1.66%		2.80%
Miami Dolphins			7.33%	7.09%	2.57%	0.37%	19.84%				18.07%	6.13%	3.62%
New England Patriots			0.04%	0.04%		0.01%	0.01%				0.01%	0.01%
New York Jets			2.20%	1.72%	0.17%	0.17%	1.00%				0.67%	1.52%	0.28%
Oakland Raiders	2.89%	0.05%	5.89%	5.95%		0.31%		10.73%	0.03%	2.55%		5.30%
Pittsburgh Steelers	6.32%	0.14%			0.54%		5.43%	4.36%	0.21%	5.13%	5.41%		0.69%
San Diego Chargers	0.17%		0.23%	0.15%		0.03%		0.49%		0.15%		0.14%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		0.15%	2.39%	1.29%	0.28%		1.50%		0.37%	0.16%		0.22%	2.15%
Chicago Bears	0.13%		0.36%			0.19%			0.03%		0.06%		0.27%
Dallas Cowboys	6.35%	1.23%		8.75%	3.10%	9.45%	10.29%	0.20%			6.83%
Detroit Lions	2.82%		6.78%			4.29%		0.08%	0.34%	0.08%	3.22%	0.11%	5.31%
Green Bay Packers	1.13%		3.11%			1.61%		0.02%	0.21%	0.04%	1.29%	0.05%	2.43%
Los Angeles Rams		0.32%	3.78%	2.19%	0.71%		2.71%		0.74%	0.18%		0.26%	3.52%
Minnesota Vikings	3.05%		7.51%			4.83%		0.06%	0.50%	0.12%	3.19%	0.16%	5.25%
New Orleans Saints		0.01%	0.02%		0.01%		0.02%		0.01%				0.04%
New York Giants	0.90%	0.04%		0.23%	0.12%	1.12%	0.50%	0.03%			0.76%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.03%					0.05%	0.01%	0.01%			0.06%
San Francisco 49ers		0.44%	7.14%	4.28%	1.38%		5.12%		0.91%	0.23%		0.35%	6.08%
St. Louis Cardinals	0.11%			0.02%	0.01%	0.09%	0.06%				0.12%
Washington Redskins	6.28%	0.91%		7.12%	2.70%	9.91%	8.33%	0.18%			6.51%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers
Baltimore Colts			0.09%	0.11%	0.04%	0.01%	0.38%	0.90%		0.07%	0.45%	0.21%	0.01%
Buffalo Bills					0.01%			0.01%			0.01%	0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.19%			0.24%	0.08%	0.01%	0.72%	1.83%	0.01%	0.14%	0.92%	0.24%	0.11%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	0.16%		0.38%		0.05%		0.81%	2.28%		0.05%	0.90%	0.60%	0.12%
Denver Broncos	0.02%		0.03%	0.03%			0.02%	0.02%		0.01%	0.01%	0.04%
Houston Oilers										0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.68%		0.84%	0.87%	0.09%	0.02%		1.89%	0.02%	0.51%	1.69%	1.15%	0.12%
Miami Dolphins	4.43%	0.04%	6.30%	6.76%	0.27%	0.06%	6.00%		0.04%	3.71%	8.37%	9.03%	0.38%
New England Patriots	0.01%
New York Jets	0.08%		0.15%	0.09%	0.01%		0.29%	0.74%			0.24%	0.11%	0.02%
Oakland Raiders	1.34%		2.02%	1.96%	0.12%	0.07%	3.04%	5.80%	0.03%	1.05%		2.55%	0.12%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.54%	0.02%	0.99%	1.01%	0.12%	0.02%	1.85%	6.11%		0.43%	2.98%		0.17%
San Diego Chargers	0.04%		0.05%	0.03%	0.01%		0.02%	0.05%	0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.05%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		0.05%	0.78%	0.41%	0.12%	0.27%	0.43%				0.29%		0.51%
Chicago Bears	0.01%		0.03%	0.02%		0.02%	0.05%		0.02%	0.01%	0.03%		0.02%
Dallas Cowboys	1.32%	0.19%		2.64%	1.28%	2.61%	3.61%	0.04%	0.70%	0.01%	3.47%	0.09%	8.22%
Detroit Lions	0.86%	0.08%	2.71%		0.40%	1.36%	1.69%		0.32%	0.04%	1.67%	0.05%	2.35%
Green Bay Packers	0.43%	0.05%	1.20%	0.61%		0.72%	0.60%		0.08%	0.01%	0.76%	0.03%	1.15%
Los Angeles Rams	0.31%	0.05%	1.12%	0.76%	0.27%		0.86%		0.06%	0.01%	0.63%		0.82%
Minnesota Vikings	0.82%	0.06%	2.98%	1.49%	0.38%	1.21%		0.02%	0.39%	0.01%	1.59%	0.07%	2.32%
New Orleans Saints													0.01%
New York Giants	0.05%	0.02%	0.34%	0.31%	0.06%	0.09%	0.33%				0.12%		0.23%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.01%			0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	0.79%	0.21%	3.86%	2.16%	0.75%	1.25%	2.18%	0.02%	0.13%	0.01%		0.02%	2.81%
St. Louis Cardinals	0.01%		0.04%	0.01%			0.01%				0.01%		0.01%
Washington Redskins	1.04%	0.12%	8.96%	3.08%	0.99%	1.99%	3.57%	0.02%	0.45%	0.04%	3.17%	0.06%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Baltimore Colts	Buffalo Bills	Chicago Bears	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	Denver Broncos	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Rams	Miami Dolphins	Minnesota Vikings	New England Patriots	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		0.05%			0.02%	0.08%						0.08%		0.19%					0.03%	0.14%		0.07%	0.02%
Baltimore Colts	0.04%						0.24%		0.09%	0.02%			0.05%		0.09%									0.16%		0.15%
Chicago Bears		0.01%			0.01%	0.01%						0.01%		0.02%						0.02%		0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.11%						0.41%		0.15%	0.16%			0.09%		0.27%			0.03%						0.17%		0.35%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	0.17%			0.01%			0.47%		0.20%	0.10%			0.15%		0.38%			0.05%						0.38%		0.43%
Dallas Cowboys		0.29%			0.59%	0.74%		0.04%				1.08%		4.02%					0.22%	1.71%		1.74%	0.07%
Denver Broncos							0.04%						0.01%											0.01%
Detroit Lions		0.18%			0.26%	0.35%		0.02%				0.58%		1.73%					0.18%	0.88%		0.81%	0.02%
Green Bay Packers		0.12%			0.16%	0.21%						0.30%		0.83%		0.01%			0.05%	0.50%		0.30%	0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.14%			0.03%			0.78%		0.42%	0.17%			0.22%		0.33%		0.01%	0.04%						0.45%	0.01%	0.74%
Los Angeles Rams		0.02%	0.01%		0.12%	0.15%		0.01%				0.15%		0.44%					0.02%	0.37%		0.18%	0.02%
Miami Dolphins	1.02%			0.02%			7.00%		3.42%	1.72%			1.67%		4.04%			0.63%			0.02%			4.15%	0.04%	6.72%
Minnesota Vikings		0.14%	0.01%		0.37%	0.26%		0.01%				0.50%		1.30%					0.17%	0.67%		0.51%	0.02%
New York Giants		0.01%			0.01%	0.06%						0.07%		0.21%					0.02%	0.12%		0.05%
New York Jets	0.03%						0.16%		0.07%	0.04%			0.04%		0.09%			0.01%						0.10%		0.15%
Oakland Raiders	0.40%			0.02%			2.48%		1.18%	0.56%			0.71%		1.22%			0.14%						1.49%	0.01%	2.40%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.27%			0.04%			2.10%		0.98%	0.36%			0.44%		0.96%			0.10%						1.13%		1.88%
San Diego Chargers									0.01%	0.02%			0.02%
San Francisco 49ers		0.21%	0.02%		0.47%	0.42%		0.01%			0.01%	0.58%		2.38%					0.08%	1.13%		0.81%	0.03%
St. Louis Cardinals					0.02%									0.01%
Washington Redskins		0.40%			0.72%	0.73%		0.03%				1.19%		3.81%					0.27%	1.95%		1.50%	0.07%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Miami Dolphins	76.43%	45.05%	28.35%	Won Super Bowl
Pittsburgh Steelers	53.78%	25.42%	13.82%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Washington Redskins	52.03%	28.19%	12.42%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Oakland Raiders	46.22%	21.36%	11.92%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Green Bay Packers	47.97%	25.21%	10.64%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
San Francisco 49ers	50.53%	23.53%	9.79%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Dallas Cowboys	49.47%	23.07%	9.54%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Cleveland Browns (1st)	23.57%	8.17%	3.52%	Eliminated in Divisional Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Miami Dolphins	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns (1st)		23.57%
Miami Dolphins	76.43%
Oakland Raiders				46.22%
Pittsburgh Steelers			53.78%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Redskins
Dallas Cowboys			49.47%
Green Bay Packers				47.97%
San Francisco 49ers	50.53%
Washington Redskins		52.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Miami Dolphins	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns (1st)			3.95%	4.22%
Miami Dolphins			20.91%	24.14%
Oakland Raiders	6.89%	14.47%
Pittsburgh Steelers	8.51%	16.91%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Redskins
Dallas Cowboys		11.11%		11.96%
Green Bay Packers	12.31%		12.90%
San Francisco 49ers		11.65%		11.88%
Washington Redskins	14.09%		14.10%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	Miami Dolphins	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Redskins
Cleveland Browns (1st)		0.79%	0.81%				0.83%	1.09%
Dallas Cowboys	0.96%			3.85%	2.25%	2.48%
Green Bay Packers	1.19%			3.95%	2.34%	3.16%
Miami Dolphins		6.73%	7.23%				6.59%	7.80%
Oakland Raiders		2.81%	2.97%				2.92%	3.22%
Pittsburgh Steelers		3.20%	3.56%				3.40%	3.66%
San Francisco 49ers	1.14%			3.94%	2.10%	2.61%
Washington Redskins	1.36%			4.96%	2.75%	3.35%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Miami Dolphins 28.35% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

76.43%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

53.58%

Win Prob

58.81%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

27.51%

Win Prob

61.13%

Pittsburgh Steelers 13.82% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

53.78%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

66.52%

Win Prob

41.19%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

26.48%

Win Prob

52.21%

Washington Redskins 12.42% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

52.03%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

50.02%

Win Prob

54.27%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

39.94%

Win Prob

38.87%

Oakland Raiders 11.92% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

46.22%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

67.74%

Win Prob

40.90%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

27.01%

Win Prob

53.94%

Green Bay Packers 10.64% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

47.97%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

51.17%

Win Prob

52.55%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

37.12%

Win Prob

35.33%

San Francisco 49ers 9.79% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

50.53%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

50.49%

Win Prob

45.73%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

40.25%

Win Prob

37.42%

Dallas Cowboys 9.54% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

49.47%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

51.84%

Win Prob

45.91%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

40.36%

Win Prob

36.39%

Cleveland Browns (1st) 3.52% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

23.57%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

51.65%

Win Prob

33.15%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

30.97%

Win Prob

44.49%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1972-09-17	@ Chicago Bears	W 37-21	1496.92	1450.64	53.88%	42.32%	+31.25	1-0
1972-09-24	@ New England Patriots	L 20-21	1528.17	1399.73	64.84%	31.36%	-11.83	1-1
1972-10-01	Los Angeles Rams	W 31-3	1516.34	1586.05	39.06%	57.14%	+55.29	2-1
1972-10-08	Detroit Lions	L 23-26	1571.63	1558.48	50.81%	45.39%	-16.14	2-2
1972-10-15	@ New Orleans Saints	W 21-14	1555.49	1328.42	75.65%	20.56%	+10.22	3-2
1972-10-22	@ Green Bay Packers	W 10-9	1565.71	1529.52	52.46%	43.74%	+8.07	4-2
1972-10-29	San Francisco 49ers	L 14-49	1573.78	1510.36	57.85%	38.35%	-62.57	4-3
1972-11-05	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 7-20	1511.21	1560.89	40.24%	55.96%	-26.83	4-4
1972-11-12	New Orleans Saints	W 36-20	1484.38	1342.78	67.82%	28.39%	+21.20	5-4
1972-11-20	@ Washington Redskins	L 13-24	1505.58	1703.36	22.29%	73.92%	-13.87	5-5
1972-11-26	Denver Broncos	W 23-20	1491.71	1385.17	63.53%	32.67%	+10.53	6-5
1972-12-03	Houston Oilers	W 20-10	1502.24	1260.01	78.05%	18.17%	+10.82	7-5
1972-12-10	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 0-20	1513.06	1592.79	36.15%	60.05%	-30.00	7-6
1972-12-17	Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-17	1483.06	1556.89	38.49%	57.71%	-12.35	7-7
1972-09-17	St. Louis Cardinals	L 3-10	1601.70	1467.96	66.89%	29.32%	-32.30	0-1
1972-09-24	New York Jets	L 34-44	1569.40	1495.73	59.24%	36.97%	-34.24	0-2
1972-10-01	@ Buffalo Bills	W 17-0	1535.16	1385.43	67.42%	28.78%	+22.15	1-2
1972-10-08	San Diego Chargers	L 20-23	1557.31	1492.70	58.01%	38.19%	-18.37	1-3
1972-10-15	Dallas Cowboys	L 0-21	1538.94	1653.82	33.07%	63.14%	-28.18	1-4
1972-10-22	@ New York Jets	L 20-24	1510.76	1515.52	46.59%	49.61%	-17.15	1-5
1972-10-29	Miami Dolphins	L 0-23	1493.61	1672.11	25.51%	70.70%	-22.89	1-6
1972-11-06	@ New England Patriots	W 24-17	1470.72	1294.31	70.47%	25.74%	+12.74	2-6
1972-11-12	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 21-24	1483.46	1539.08	39.42%	56.78%	-12.64	2-7
1972-11-19	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-19	1470.82	1485.82	45.13%	51.07%	+9.37	3-7
1972-11-26	New England Patriots	W 31-0	1480.19	1258.57	76.22%	20.00%	+20.94	4-7
1972-12-03	Buffalo Bills	W 35-7	1501.13	1325.11	71.67%	24.54%	+24.32	5-7
1972-12-10	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-24	1525.45	1524.24	47.45%	48.75%	-32.65	5-8
1972-12-16	@ Miami Dolphins	L 0-16	1492.80	1749.88	16.93%	79.29%	-12.77	5-9
1972-09-17	New York Jets	L 24-41	1375.42	1468.24	35.94%	60.26%	-27.50	0-1
1972-09-24	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-20	1347.92	1596.65	18.60%	77.62%	+37.51	1-1
1972-10-01	Baltimore Colts	L 0-17	1385.43	1535.16	28.78%	67.42%	-22.15	1-2
1972-10-08	New England Patriots	W 38-14	1363.28	1424.40	40.24%	55.96%	+50.15	2-2
1972-10-15	@ Oakland Raiders	L 16-28	1413.43	1565.55	27.18%	69.03%	-17.59	2-3
1972-10-22	@ Miami Dolphins	L 23-24	1395.84	1669.15	15.66%	80.57%	-2.96	2-4
1972-10-29	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-38	1392.88	1519.78	31.55%	64.65%	-24.22	2-5
1972-11-05	Miami Dolphins	L 16-30	1368.66	1695.00	12.75%	83.49%	-9.03	2-6
1972-11-12	@ New York Jets	L 3-41	1359.63	1524.40	25.76%	70.45%	-29.71	2-7
1972-11-19	@ New England Patriots	W 27-24	1329.92	1271.58	55.57%	40.63%	+13.01	3-7
1972-11-26	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-27	1342.93	1533.14	23.06%	73.16%	-17.82	3-8
1972-12-03	@ Baltimore Colts	L 7-35	1325.11	1501.13	24.54%	71.67%	-24.32	3-9
1972-12-10	Detroit Lions	T 21-21	1300.79	1575.05	16.48%	79.75%	+2.86	3-9
1972-12-17	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-17	1303.65	1700.26	8.37%	87.89%	+42.58	4-9
1972-09-17	Atlanta Falcons	L 21-37	1450.64	1496.92	42.32%	53.88%	-31.25	0-1
1972-09-24	Los Angeles Rams	T 13-13	1419.39	1587.99	26.61%	69.60%	+1.93	0-1
1972-10-01	Detroit Lions	L 24-38	1421.32	1535.40	33.17%	63.03%	-23.08	0-2
1972-10-08	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-20	1398.24	1508.76	32.17%	64.04%	-10.37	0-3
1972-10-15	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 17-0	1387.87	1491.52	33.04%	63.17%	+47.56	1-3
1972-10-23	Minnesota Vikings	W 13-10	1435.43	1595.28	27.60%	68.61%	+21.69	2-3
1972-10-29	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 27-10	1457.12	1417.46	52.95%	43.25%	+32.90	3-3
1972-11-05	@ Detroit Lions	L 0-14	1490.02	1576.12	35.31%	60.89%	-24.54	3-4
1972-11-12	Green Bay Packers	L 17-23	1465.48	1526.62	40.24%	55.96%	-18.22	3-5
1972-11-19	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-34	1447.26	1551.72	34.41%	61.79%	-23.06	3-6
1972-11-26	Cincinnati Bengals	L 3-13	1424.20	1476.46	41.48%	54.72%	-24.23	3-7
1972-12-03	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-23	1399.97	1611.29	20.97%	75.25%	-14.20	3-8
1972-12-10	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-12	1385.77	1285.63	61.23%	34.97%	+19.48	4-8
1972-12-17	@ Oakland Raiders	L 21-28	1405.25	1664.41	16.77%	79.46%	-8.36	4-9
1972-09-17	@ New England Patriots	W 31-7	1471.43	1439.81	51.81%	44.39%	+40.08	1-0
1972-09-24	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 15-10	1511.51	1467.02	55.24%	40.96%	+16.93	2-0
1972-10-01	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 6-27	1528.44	1485.92	53.35%	42.85%	-44.78	2-1
1972-10-08	Denver Broncos	W 21-10	1483.66	1405.81	59.80%	36.41%	+22.40	3-1
1972-10-15	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 23-16	1506.06	1608.79	33.15%	63.05%	+30.46	4-1
1972-10-22	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 12-15	1536.52	1603.98	37.80%	58.40%	-12.13	4-2
1972-10-29	Houston Oilers	W 30-7	1524.39	1340.30	72.53%	23.69%	+21.29	5-2
1972-11-05	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-40	1545.68	1544.01	47.52%	48.68%	-41.90	5-3
1972-11-12	Oakland Raiders	L 14-20	1503.78	1569.45	39.61%	56.59%	-17.96	5-4
1972-11-19	Baltimore Colts	L 19-20	1485.82	1470.82	51.07%	45.13%	-9.36	5-5
1972-11-26	@ Chicago Bears	W 13-3	1476.46	1424.20	54.72%	41.48%	+24.23	6-5
1972-12-03	New York Giants	W 13-10	1500.69	1546.37	42.40%	53.80%	+17.06	7-5
1972-12-09	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 24-27	1517.75	1514.73	49.36%	46.84%	-15.69	7-6
1972-12-17	@ Houston Oilers	W 61-17	1502.06	1245.57	78.29%	17.93%	+22.40	8-6
1972-09-17	Green Bay Packers	L 10-26	1496.32	1469.80	52.71%	43.49%	-38.63	0-1
1972-09-24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-17	1457.69	1455.34	47.61%	48.59%	+28.23	1-1
1972-10-01	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-6	1485.92	1528.44	42.85%	53.35%	+44.78	2-1
1972-10-08	Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-31	1530.70	1569.61	43.36%	52.84%	-39.18	2-2
1972-10-15	Chicago Bears	L 0-17	1491.52	1387.87	63.17%	33.04%	-47.56	2-3
1972-10-22	@ Houston Oilers	W 23-17	1443.96	1356.98	59.48%	36.72%	+16.68	3-3
1972-10-29	@ Denver Broncos	W 27-20	1460.64	1412.17	54.19%	42.01%	+20.52	4-3
1972-11-05	Houston Oilers	W 20-0	1481.16	1319.01	70.16%	26.05%	+21.79	5-3
1972-11-13	@ San Diego Chargers	W 21-17	1502.95	1433.45	57.11%	39.09%	+14.48	6-3
1972-11-19	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 26-24	1517.43	1614.56	35.37%	60.83%	+15.71	7-3
1972-11-26	Buffalo Bills	W 27-10	1533.14	1342.93	73.16%	23.06%	+17.83	8-3
1972-12-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 0-30	1550.97	1634.59	35.64%	60.56%	-36.24	8-4
1972-12-09	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-24	1514.73	1517.75	46.84%	49.36%	+15.70	9-4
1972-12-17	@ New York Jets	W 26-10	1530.43	1503.04	51.21%	44.99%	+33.16	10-4
1972-09-17	Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-6	1632.60	1479.02	69.20%	27.01%	+23.68	1-0
1972-09-24	@ New York Giants	W 23-14	1656.28	1409.05	77.49%	18.73%	+10.57	2-0
1972-10-01	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-16	1666.85	1486.34	70.92%	25.29%	-22.42	2-1
1972-10-08	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 17-13	1644.43	1473.54	71.12%	25.09%	+9.39	3-1
1972-10-15	@ Baltimore Colts	W 21-0	1653.82	1538.94	63.14%	33.07%	+28.19	4-1
1972-10-22	@ Washington Redskins	L 20-24	1682.01	1622.85	55.68%	40.52%	-20.38	4-2
1972-10-30	Detroit Lions	W 28-24	1661.63	1589.92	58.97%	37.23%	+13.80	5-2
1972-11-05	@ San Diego Chargers	W 34-28	1675.43	1442.67	76.19%	20.03%	+9.23	6-2
1972-11-12	St. Louis Cardinals	W 33-24	1684.66	1383.84	82.55%	13.68%	+7.75	7-2
1972-11-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-7	1692.41	1331.01	85.58%	10.67%	+9.27	8-2
1972-11-23	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-31	1701.68	1574.77	66.06%	30.14%	-55.27	8-3
1972-12-03	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 27-6	1646.41	1352.90	81.22%	15.01%	+12.98	9-3
1972-12-09	Washington Redskins	W 34-24	1659.39	1733.66	38.43%	57.77%	+33.40	10-3
1972-12-17	New York Giants	L 3-23	1692.79	1515.96	71.76%	24.45%	-58.58	10-4
1972-09-17	Houston Oilers	W 30-17	1450.25	1442.99	49.97%	46.23%	+30.68	1-0
1972-09-24	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-37	1480.93	1446.24	52.25%	43.95%	-45.92	1-1
1972-10-01	Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-45	1435.01	1540.41	34.29%	61.92%	-29.20	1-2
1972-10-08	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-21	1405.81	1483.66	36.41%	59.80%	-22.40	1-3
1972-10-15	Minnesota Vikings	L 20-23	1383.41	1587.89	22.77%	73.44%	-7.39	1-4
1972-10-22	@ Oakland Raiders	W 30-23	1376.02	1583.14	21.37%	74.84%	+36.15	2-4
1972-10-29	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 20-27	1412.17	1460.64	42.01%	54.19%	-20.52	2-5
1972-11-05	@ New York Giants	L 17-29	1391.65	1498.05	32.69%	63.52%	-21.07	2-6
1972-11-12	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 16-10	1370.58	1587.72	20.42%	75.80%	+33.91	3-6
1972-11-19	Oakland Raiders	L 20-37	1404.49	1587.40	25.03%	71.18%	-19.32	3-7
1972-11-26	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-23	1385.17	1491.71	32.67%	63.53%	-10.53	3-8
1972-12-03	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 21-24	1374.64	1515.02	28.53%	67.67%	-9.23	3-9
1972-12-10	San Diego Chargers	W 38-13	1365.41	1469.61	34.44%	61.76%	+56.40	4-9
1972-12-17	New England Patriots	W 45-21	1421.81	1263.71	69.71%	26.50%	+24.28	5-9
1972-09-17	New York Giants	W 30-16	1559.42	1429.86	66.38%	29.82%	+20.81	1-0
1972-09-24	Minnesota Vikings	L 10-34	1580.23	1573.72	49.86%	46.34%	-44.83	1-1
1972-10-01	@ Chicago Bears	W 38-24	1535.40	1421.32	63.03%	33.17%	+23.08	2-1
1972-10-08	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 26-23	1558.48	1571.63	45.39%	50.81%	+16.15	3-1
1972-10-16	Green Bay Packers	L 23-24	1574.63	1519.13	56.76%	39.44%	-10.39	3-2
1972-10-22	San Diego Chargers	W 34-20	1564.24	1490.94	59.19%	37.01%	+25.68	4-2
1972-10-30	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 24-28	1589.92	1661.63	37.23%	58.97%	-13.80	4-3
1972-11-05	Chicago Bears	W 14-0	1576.12	1490.02	60.89%	35.31%	+24.53	5-3
1972-11-12	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 14-16	1600.65	1621.50	44.29%	51.91%	-11.55	5-4
1972-11-19	New Orleans Saints	W 27-14	1589.10	1321.58	80.12%	16.11%	+10.96	6-4
1972-11-23	New York Jets	W 37-20	1600.06	1544.28	56.80%	39.40%	+30.06	7-4
1972-12-03	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-33	1630.12	1546.07	59.09%	37.11%	-55.07	7-5
1972-12-10	@ Buffalo Bills	T 21-21	1575.05	1300.79	79.75%	16.48%	-2.87	7-5
1972-12-17	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 34-17	1572.18	1510.16	56.08%	40.12%	+30.60	8-5
1972-09-17	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 26-10	1469.80	1496.32	43.49%	52.71%	+38.64	1-0
1972-09-24	Oakland Raiders	L 14-20	1508.44	1507.06	49.12%	47.08%	-22.10	1-1
1972-10-01	Dallas Cowboys	W 16-13	1486.34	1666.85	25.29%	70.92%	+22.42	2-1
1972-10-08	Chicago Bears	W 20-17	1508.76	1398.24	64.04%	32.17%	+10.37	3-1
1972-10-16	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-23	1519.13	1574.63	39.44%	56.76%	+10.39	4-1
1972-10-22	Atlanta Falcons	L 9-10	1529.52	1565.71	43.74%	52.46%	-8.07	4-2
1972-10-29	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-27	1521.45	1573.59	41.49%	54.71%	-28.68	4-3
1972-11-05	San Francisco 49ers	W 34-24	1492.77	1572.93	37.63%	58.57%	+33.85	5-3
1972-11-12	@ Chicago Bears	W 23-17	1526.62	1465.48	55.96%	40.24%	+18.23	6-3
1972-11-19	@ Houston Oilers	W 23-10	1544.85	1288.88	78.25%	17.98%	+12.20	7-3
1972-11-26	@ Washington Redskins	L 16-21	1557.05	1717.23	26.27%	69.94%	-10.98	7-4
1972-12-03	Detroit Lions	W 33-7	1546.07	1630.12	37.11%	59.09%	+55.07	8-4
1972-12-10	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 23-7	1601.14	1625.49	43.79%	52.40%	+38.41	9-4
1972-12-17	@ New Orleans Saints	W 30-20	1639.55	1300.02	84.31%	11.93%	+7.14	10-4
1972-09-17	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-30	1442.99	1450.25	46.23%	49.97%	-30.68	0-1
1972-09-24	@ Miami Dolphins	L 13-34	1412.31	1597.72	23.55%	72.66%	-20.23	0-2
1972-10-01	New York Jets	W 26-20	1392.08	1529.97	30.20%	66.00%	+29.51	1-2
1972-10-09	Oakland Raiders	L 0-34	1421.59	1528.62	34.08%	62.13%	-36.93	1-3
1972-10-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-24	1384.66	1464.15	36.19%	60.01%	-27.68	1-4
1972-10-22	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-23	1356.98	1443.96	36.72%	59.48%	-16.68	1-5
1972-10-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 7-30	1340.30	1524.39	23.69%	72.53%	-21.29	1-6
1972-11-05	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 0-20	1319.01	1481.16	26.05%	70.16%	-21.79	1-7
1972-11-12	Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-18	1297.22	1322.67	45.27%	50.93%	-8.34	1-8
1972-11-19	Green Bay Packers	L 10-23	1288.88	1544.85	17.98%	78.25%	-12.21	1-9
1972-11-26	@ San Diego Chargers	L 20-34	1276.67	1460.10	23.76%	72.46%	-16.66	1-10
1972-12-03	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 10-20	1260.01	1502.24	18.17%	78.05%	-10.82	1-11
1972-12-10	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-9	1249.19	1670.83	7.79%	88.48%	-3.62	1-12
1972-12-17	Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-61	1245.57	1502.06	17.93%	78.29%	-22.40	1-13
1972-09-17	Miami Dolphins	L 10-20	1557.71	1570.32	47.11%	49.09%	-27.41	0-1
1972-09-25	@ New Orleans Saints	W 20-17	1530.30	1401.60	64.88%	31.33%	+10.11	1-1
1972-10-01	@ Denver Broncos	W 45-24	1540.41	1435.01	61.92%	34.29%	+29.20	2-1
1972-10-08	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 31-7	1569.61	1530.70	52.84%	43.36%	+39.18	3-1
1972-10-15	Cincinnati Bengals	L 16-23	1608.79	1506.06	63.05%	33.15%	-30.46	3-2
1972-10-22	Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-21	1578.33	1349.43	76.88%	19.34%	-14.04	3-3
1972-10-29	@ San Diego Chargers	W 26-14	1564.29	1465.26	61.08%	35.12%	+22.59	4-3
1972-11-05	Oakland Raiders	W 27-14	1586.88	1602.20	46.72%	49.48%	+32.75	5-3
1972-11-12	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-16	1619.63	1585.91	52.11%	44.09%	-28.65	5-4
1972-11-19	San Diego Chargers	L 17-27	1590.98	1418.98	71.24%	24.97%	-41.12	5-5
1972-11-26	@ Oakland Raiders	L 3-26	1549.86	1606.72	39.25%	56.95%	-34.84	5-6
1972-12-03	Denver Broncos	W 24-21	1515.02	1374.64	67.67%	28.53%	+9.22	6-6
1972-12-10	Baltimore Colts	W 24-10	1524.24	1525.45	48.75%	47.45%	+32.65	7-6
1972-12-17	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 17-14	1556.89	1483.06	57.71%	38.49%	+12.35	8-6
1972-09-17	New Orleans Saints	W 34-14	1563.97	1425.62	67.43%	28.77%	+24.02	1-0
1972-09-24	@ Chicago Bears	T 13-13	1587.99	1419.39	69.60%	26.61%	-1.94	1-0
1972-10-01	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 3-31	1586.05	1516.34	57.14%	39.06%	-55.29	1-1
1972-10-08	San Francisco 49ers	W 31-7	1530.76	1588.68	40.69%	55.51%	+49.76	2-1
1972-10-15	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 34-3	1580.52	1372.88	73.76%	22.45%	+23.46	3-1
1972-10-22	Cincinnati Bengals	W 15-12	1603.98	1536.52	58.40%	37.80%	+12.13	4-1
1972-10-29	@ Oakland Raiders	L 17-45	1616.11	1546.98	57.06%	39.14%	-55.22	4-2
1972-11-05	Atlanta Falcons	W 20-7	1560.89	1511.21	55.96%	40.24%	+26.83	5-2
1972-11-12	Denver Broncos	L 10-16	1587.72	1370.58	75.80%	20.42%	-33.91	5-3
1972-11-19	Minnesota Vikings	L 41-45	1553.81	1633.05	37.76%	58.44%	-13.99	5-4
1972-11-26	@ New Orleans Saints	L 16-19	1539.82	1310.63	75.85%	20.36%	-23.99	5-5
1972-12-04	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 26-16	1515.83	1630.03	31.71%	64.50%	+37.24	6-5
1972-12-10	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 14-24	1553.07	1339.92	74.31%	21.90%	-42.91	6-6
1972-12-17	Detroit Lions	L 17-34	1510.16	1572.18	40.12%	56.08%	-30.60	6-7
1972-09-17	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-10	1570.32	1557.71	49.09%	47.11%	+27.40	1-0
1972-09-24	Houston Oilers	W 34-13	1597.72	1412.31	72.66%	23.55%	+20.23	2-0
1972-10-01	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 16-14	1617.95	1618.55	47.19%	49.01%	+12.73	3-0
1972-10-08	@ New York Jets	W 27-17	1630.68	1500.45	65.07%	31.14%	+18.34	4-0
1972-10-15	San Diego Chargers	W 24-10	1649.02	1511.07	67.39%	28.82%	+20.13	5-0
1972-10-22	Buffalo Bills	W 24-23	1669.15	1395.84	80.57%	15.66%	+2.96	6-0
1972-10-29	@ Baltimore Colts	W 23-0	1672.11	1493.61	70.70%	25.51%	+22.89	7-0
1972-11-05	@ Buffalo Bills	W 30-16	1695.00	1368.66	83.49%	12.75%	+9.02	8-0
1972-11-12	New England Patriots	W 52-0	1704.02	1281.57	88.97%	7.30%	+9.99	9-0
1972-11-19	New York Jets	W 28-24	1714.01	1554.11	69.91%	26.30%	+9.84	10-0
1972-11-27	St. Louis Cardinals	W 31-10	1723.85	1361.59	86.24%	10.01%	+8.70	11-0
1972-12-03	@ New England Patriots	W 37-21	1732.55	1237.63	91.04%	5.25%	+3.99	12-0
1972-12-10	@ New York Giants	W 23-13	1736.54	1529.30	73.72%	22.49%	+13.34	13-0
1972-12-16	Baltimore Colts	W 16-0	1749.88	1492.80	79.29%	16.93%	+12.77	14-0
1972-09-18	Washington Redskins	L 21-24	1591.46	1541.60	55.98%	40.21%	-17.74	0-1
1972-09-24	@ Detroit Lions	W 34-10	1573.72	1580.23	46.34%	49.86%	+44.83	1-1
1972-10-01	Miami Dolphins	L 14-16	1618.55	1617.95	49.01%	47.19%	-12.73	1-2
1972-10-08	St. Louis Cardinals	L 17-19	1605.82	1449.83	69.47%	26.74%	-17.93	1-3
1972-10-15	@ Denver Broncos	W 23-20	1587.89	1383.41	73.44%	22.77%	+7.39	2-3
1972-10-23	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-13	1595.28	1435.43	68.61%	27.60%	-21.69	2-4
1972-10-29	@ Green Bay Packers	W 27-13	1573.59	1521.45	54.71%	41.49%	+28.69	3-4
1972-11-05	New Orleans Saints	W 37-6	1602.28	1362.00	77.88%	18.34%	+19.22	4-4
1972-11-12	Detroit Lions	W 16-14	1621.50	1600.65	51.91%	44.29%	+11.55	5-4
1972-11-19	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 45-41	1633.05	1553.81	58.44%	37.76%	+13.99	6-4
1972-11-26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-23	1647.04	1598.84	54.15%	42.05%	-35.75	6-5
1972-12-03	Chicago Bears	W 23-10	1611.29	1399.97	75.25%	20.97%	+14.20	7-5
1972-12-10	Green Bay Packers	L 7-23	1625.49	1601.14	52.40%	43.79%	-38.41	7-6
1972-12-16	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-20	1587.08	1622.79	42.19%	54.01%	-13.49	7-7
1972-09-17	Cincinnati Bengals	L 7-31	1439.81	1471.43	44.39%	51.81%	-40.08	0-1
1972-09-24	Atlanta Falcons	W 21-20	1399.73	1528.17	31.36%	64.84%	+11.84	1-1
1972-10-01	Washington Redskins	W 24-23	1411.57	1586.31	25.92%	70.29%	+12.83	2-1
1972-10-08	@ Buffalo Bills	L 14-38	1424.40	1363.28	55.96%	40.24%	-50.16	2-2
1972-10-15	New York Jets	L 13-41	1374.24	1482.11	33.97%	62.24%	-33.40	2-3
1972-10-22	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-33	1340.84	1491.83	27.30%	68.90%	-27.95	2-4
1972-10-29	@ New York Jets	L 10-34	1312.89	1532.66	20.17%	76.04%	-18.58	2-5
1972-11-06	Baltimore Colts	L 17-24	1294.31	1470.72	25.74%	70.47%	-12.74	2-6
1972-11-12	@ Miami Dolphins	L 0-52	1281.57	1704.02	7.30%	88.97%	-9.99	2-7
1972-11-19	Buffalo Bills	L 24-27	1271.58	1329.92	40.63%	55.57%	-13.01	2-8
1972-11-26	@ Baltimore Colts	L 0-31	1258.57	1480.19	20.00%	76.22%	-20.94	2-9
1972-12-03	Miami Dolphins	L 21-37	1237.63	1732.55	5.25%	91.04%	-3.99	2-10
1972-12-10	@ New Orleans Saints	W 17-10	1233.64	1330.09	33.96%	62.24%	+30.07	3-10
1972-12-17	@ Denver Broncos	L 21-45	1263.71	1421.81	26.50%	69.71%	-24.27	3-11
1972-09-17	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 14-34	1425.62	1563.97	28.77%	67.43%	-24.02	0-1
1972-09-25	Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-20	1401.60	1530.30	31.33%	64.88%	-10.11	0-2
1972-10-01	San Francisco 49ers	L 2-37	1391.49	1559.14	26.71%	69.49%	-29.55	0-3
1972-10-08	@ New York Giants	L 21-45	1361.94	1436.08	36.90%	59.30%	-33.52	0-4
1972-10-15	Atlanta Falcons	L 14-21	1328.42	1555.49	20.56%	75.65%	-10.22	0-5
1972-10-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	T 20-20	1318.20	1512.66	22.62%	73.59%	+2.29	0-5
1972-10-29	Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-3	1320.49	1363.47	42.78%	53.42%	+41.51	1-5
1972-11-05	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 6-37	1362.00	1602.28	18.34%	77.88%	-19.22	1-6
1972-11-12	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-36	1342.78	1484.38	28.39%	67.82%	-21.20	1-7
1972-11-19	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-27	1321.58	1589.10	16.11%	80.12%	-10.95	1-8
1972-11-26	Los Angeles Rams	W 19-16	1310.63	1539.82	20.36%	75.85%	+23.99	2-8
1972-12-03	@ New York Jets	L 17-18	1334.62	1514.21	24.16%	72.05%	-4.53	2-9
1972-12-10	New England Patriots	L 10-17	1330.09	1233.64	62.24%	33.96%	-30.07	2-10
1972-12-17	Green Bay Packers	L 20-30	1300.02	1639.55	11.93%	84.31%	-7.14	2-11
1972-09-17	@ Detroit Lions	L 16-30	1429.86	1559.42	29.82%	66.38%	-20.81	0-1
1972-09-24	Dallas Cowboys	L 14-23	1409.05	1656.28	18.73%	77.49%	-10.58	0-2
1972-10-02	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-12	1398.47	1427.11	43.19%	53.01%	+37.61	1-2
1972-10-08	New Orleans Saints	W 45-21	1436.08	1361.94	59.30%	36.90%	+33.53	2-2
1972-10-15	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 23-17	1469.61	1538.92	37.55%	58.65%	+26.26	3-2
1972-10-22	St. Louis Cardinals	W 27-21	1495.87	1435.01	57.50%	38.70%	+17.55	4-2
1972-10-29	Washington Redskins	L 16-23	1513.42	1643.23	31.19%	65.01%	-15.37	4-3
1972-11-05	Denver Broncos	W 29-17	1498.05	1391.65	63.52%	32.69%	+21.07	5-3
1972-11-12	@ Washington Redskins	L 13-27	1519.12	1685.44	25.59%	70.62%	-17.92	5-4
1972-11-19	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 13-7	1501.20	1376.09	64.43%	31.77%	+14.49	6-4
1972-11-26	Philadelphia Eagles	W 62-10	1515.69	1321.75	73.54%	22.68%	+30.68	7-4
1972-12-03	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-13	1546.37	1500.69	53.80%	42.40%	-17.07	7-5
1972-12-10	Miami Dolphins	L 13-23	1529.30	1736.54	22.49%	73.72%	-13.34	7-6
1972-12-17	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 23-3	1515.96	1692.79	24.45%	71.76%	+58.58	8-6
1972-09-17	@ Buffalo Bills	W 41-24	1468.24	1375.42	60.26%	35.94%	+27.49	1-0
1972-09-24	@ Baltimore Colts	W 44-34	1495.73	1569.40	36.97%	59.24%	+34.24	2-0
1972-10-01	@ Houston Oilers	L 20-26	1529.97	1392.08	66.00%	30.20%	-29.52	2-1
1972-10-08	Miami Dolphins	L 17-27	1500.45	1630.68	31.14%	65.07%	-18.34	2-2
1972-10-15	@ New England Patriots	W 41-13	1482.11	1374.24	62.24%	33.97%	+33.41	3-2
1972-10-22	Baltimore Colts	W 24-20	1515.52	1510.76	49.61%	46.59%	+17.14	4-2
1972-10-29	New England Patriots	W 34-10	1532.66	1312.89	76.04%	20.17%	+18.58	5-2
1972-11-05	Washington Redskins	L 17-35	1551.24	1658.61	34.03%	62.17%	-26.84	5-3
1972-11-12	Buffalo Bills	W 41-3	1524.40	1359.63	70.45%	25.76%	+29.71	6-3
1972-11-19	@ Miami Dolphins	L 24-28	1554.11	1714.01	26.30%	69.91%	-9.83	6-4
1972-11-23	@ Detroit Lions	L 20-37	1544.28	1600.06	39.40%	56.80%	-30.07	6-5
1972-12-03	New Orleans Saints	W 18-17	1514.21	1334.62	72.05%	24.16%	+4.53	7-5
1972-12-11	@ Oakland Raiders	L 16-24	1518.74	1648.71	29.77%	66.43%	-15.70	7-6
1972-12-17	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-26	1503.04	1530.43	44.99%	51.21%	-33.16	7-7
1972-09-17	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 28-34	1534.11	1439.97	60.44%	35.76%	-27.05	0-1
1972-09-24	@ Green Bay Packers	W 20-14	1507.06	1508.44	47.08%	49.12%	+22.10	1-1
1972-10-01	San Diego Chargers	T 17-17	1529.16	1492.16	54.19%	42.01%	-0.54	1-1
1972-10-09	@ Houston Oilers	W 34-0	1528.62	1421.59	62.13%	34.08%	+36.93	2-1
1972-10-15	Buffalo Bills	W 28-16	1565.55	1413.43	69.03%	27.18%	+17.59	3-1
1972-10-22	Denver Broncos	L 23-30	1583.14	1376.02	74.84%	21.37%	-36.16	3-2
1972-10-29	Los Angeles Rams	W 45-17	1546.98	1616.11	39.14%	57.06%	+55.22	4-2
1972-11-05	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-27	1602.20	1586.88	49.48%	46.72%	-32.75	4-3
1972-11-12	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-14	1569.45	1503.78	56.59%	39.61%	+17.95	5-3
1972-11-19	@ Denver Broncos	W 37-20	1587.40	1404.49	71.18%	25.03%	+19.32	6-3
1972-11-26	Kansas City Chiefs	W 26-3	1606.72	1549.86	56.95%	39.25%	+34.84	7-3
1972-12-03	@ San Diego Chargers	W 21-19	1641.56	1476.76	69.17%	27.04%	+7.15	8-3
1972-12-11	New York Jets	W 24-16	1648.71	1518.74	66.43%	29.77%	+15.70	9-3
1972-12-17	Chicago Bears	W 28-21	1664.41	1405.25	79.46%	16.77%	+8.37	10-3
1972-09-17	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 6-28	1479.02	1632.60	27.01%	69.20%	-23.68	0-1
1972-09-24	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-27	1455.34	1457.69	48.59%	47.61%	-28.23	0-2
1972-10-02	New York Giants	L 12-27	1427.11	1398.47	53.01%	43.19%	-37.61	0-3
1972-10-08	@ Washington Redskins	L 0-14	1389.50	1573.48	23.70%	72.52%	-16.62	0-4
1972-10-15	Los Angeles Rams	L 3-34	1372.88	1580.52	22.45%	73.76%	-23.45	0-5
1972-10-22	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 21-20	1349.43	1578.33	19.34%	76.88%	+14.04	1-5
1972-10-29	@ New Orleans Saints	L 3-21	1363.47	1320.49	53.42%	42.78%	-41.51	1-6
1972-11-05	St. Louis Cardinals	T 6-6	1321.96	1384.56	40.04%	56.16%	+0.71	1-6
1972-11-12	@ Houston Oilers	W 18-17	1322.67	1297.22	50.93%	45.27%	+8.34	2-6
1972-11-19	Dallas Cowboys	L 7-28	1331.01	1692.41	10.67%	85.58%	-9.26	2-7
1972-11-26	@ New York Giants	L 10-62	1321.75	1515.69	22.68%	73.54%	-30.67	2-8
1972-12-03	Washington Redskins	L 7-23	1291.08	1728.22	7.17%	89.10%	-5.45	2-9
1972-12-10	Chicago Bears	L 12-21	1285.63	1385.77	34.97%	61.23%	-19.49	2-10
1972-12-17	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 23-24	1266.14	1382.82	31.40%	64.81%	-5.84	2-11
1972-09-17	Oakland Raiders	W 34-28	1439.97	1534.11	35.76%	60.44%	+27.05	1-0
1972-09-24	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-15	1467.02	1511.51	40.96%	55.24%	-16.93	1-1
1972-10-01	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 25-19	1450.09	1473.28	43.96%	52.24%	+23.45	2-1
1972-10-08	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 13-17	1473.54	1644.43	25.09%	71.12%	-9.39	2-2
1972-10-15	Houston Oilers	W 24-7	1464.15	1384.66	60.01%	36.19%	+27.68	3-2
1972-10-22	New England Patriots	W 33-3	1491.83	1340.84	68.90%	27.30%	+27.95	4-2
1972-10-29	@ Buffalo Bills	W 38-21	1519.78	1392.88	64.65%	31.55%	+24.23	5-2
1972-11-05	Cincinnati Bengals	W 40-17	1544.01	1545.68	48.68%	47.52%	+41.90	6-2
1972-11-12	Kansas City Chiefs	W 16-7	1585.91	1619.63	44.09%	52.11%	+28.65	7-2
1972-11-19	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 24-26	1614.56	1517.43	60.83%	35.37%	-15.72	7-3
1972-11-26	Minnesota Vikings	W 23-10	1598.84	1647.04	42.05%	54.15%	+35.75	8-3
1972-12-03	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 30-0	1634.59	1550.97	60.56%	35.64%	+36.24	9-3
1972-12-10	@ Houston Oilers	W 9-3	1670.83	1249.19	88.48%	7.79%	+3.62	10-3
1972-12-17	@ San Diego Chargers	W 24-2	1674.45	1413.21	78.69%	17.53%	+15.49	11-3
1972-09-17	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 3-34	1484.32	1558.56	36.89%	59.31%	-38.08	0-1
1972-09-24	Denver Broncos	W 37-14	1446.24	1480.93	43.95%	52.25%	+45.92	1-1
1972-10-01	@ Oakland Raiders	T 17-17	1492.16	1529.16	42.01%	54.19%	+0.54	1-1
1972-10-08	@ Baltimore Colts	W 23-20	1492.70	1557.31	38.19%	58.01%	+18.37	2-1
1972-10-15	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-24	1511.07	1649.02	28.82%	67.39%	-20.13	2-2
1972-10-22	@ Detroit Lions	L 20-34	1490.94	1564.24	37.01%	59.19%	-25.68	2-3
1972-10-29	Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-26	1465.26	1564.29	35.12%	61.08%	-22.59	2-4
1972-11-05	Dallas Cowboys	L 28-34	1442.67	1675.43	20.03%	76.19%	-9.22	2-5
1972-11-13	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-21	1433.45	1502.95	39.09%	57.11%	-14.47	2-6
1972-11-19	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-17	1418.98	1590.98	24.97%	71.24%	+41.12	3-6
1972-11-26	Houston Oilers	W 34-20	1460.10	1276.67	72.46%	23.76%	+16.66	4-6
1972-12-03	Oakland Raiders	L 19-21	1476.76	1641.56	27.04%	69.17%	-7.15	4-7
1972-12-10	@ Denver Broncos	L 13-38	1469.61	1365.41	61.76%	34.44%	-56.40	4-8
1972-12-17	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 2-24	1413.21	1674.45	17.53%	78.69%	-15.49	4-9
1972-09-17	San Diego Chargers	W 34-3	1558.56	1484.32	59.31%	36.89%	+38.09	1-0
1972-09-24	@ Buffalo Bills	L 20-27	1596.65	1347.92	77.62%	18.60%	-37.51	1-1
1972-10-01	@ New Orleans Saints	W 37-2	1559.14	1391.49	69.49%	26.71%	+29.54	2-1
1972-10-08	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 7-31	1588.68	1530.76	55.51%	40.69%	-49.76	2-2
1972-10-15	New York Giants	L 17-23	1538.92	1469.61	58.65%	37.55%	-26.26	2-3
1972-10-22	New Orleans Saints	T 20-20	1512.66	1318.20	73.59%	22.62%	-2.30	2-3
1972-10-29	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 49-14	1510.36	1573.78	38.35%	57.85%	+62.57	3-3
1972-11-05	@ Green Bay Packers	L 24-34	1572.93	1492.77	58.57%	37.63%	-33.85	3-4
1972-11-12	Baltimore Colts	W 24-21	1539.08	1483.46	56.78%	39.42%	+12.64	4-4
1972-11-19	@ Chicago Bears	W 34-21	1551.72	1447.26	61.79%	34.41%	+23.05	5-4
1972-11-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 31-10	1574.77	1701.68	30.14%	66.06%	+55.26	6-4
1972-12-04	Los Angeles Rams	L 16-26	1630.03	1515.83	64.50%	31.71%	-37.24	6-5
1972-12-10	Atlanta Falcons	W 20-0	1592.79	1513.06	60.05%	36.15%	+30.00	7-5
1972-12-16	Minnesota Vikings	W 20-17	1622.79	1587.08	54.01%	42.19%	+13.50	8-5
1972-09-17	@ Baltimore Colts	W 10-3	1467.96	1601.70	29.32%	66.89%	+32.30	1-0
1972-09-24	@ Washington Redskins	L 10-24	1500.26	1559.34	38.95%	57.26%	-26.98	1-1
1972-10-01	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 19-25	1473.28	1450.09	52.24%	43.96%	-23.45	1-2
1972-10-08	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 19-17	1449.83	1605.82	26.74%	69.47%	+17.94	2-2
1972-10-15	Washington Redskins	L 3-33	1467.77	1590.10	32.12%	64.08%	-32.76	2-3
1972-10-22	@ New York Giants	L 21-27	1435.01	1495.87	38.70%	57.50%	-17.55	2-4
1972-10-29	Chicago Bears	L 10-27	1417.46	1457.12	43.25%	52.95%	-32.90	2-5
1972-11-05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	T 6-6	1384.56	1321.96	56.16%	40.04%	-0.72	2-5
1972-11-12	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 24-33	1383.84	1684.66	13.68%	82.55%	-7.75	2-6
1972-11-19	New York Giants	L 7-13	1376.09	1501.20	31.77%	64.43%	-14.50	2-7
1972-11-27	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-31	1361.59	1723.85	10.01%	86.24%	-8.69	2-8
1972-12-03	Dallas Cowboys	L 6-27	1352.90	1646.41	15.01%	81.22%	-12.98	2-9
1972-12-10	Los Angeles Rams	W 24-14	1339.92	1553.07	21.90%	74.31%	+42.90	3-9
1972-12-17	Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-23	1382.82	1266.14	64.81%	31.40%	+5.85	4-9
1972-09-18	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 24-21	1541.60	1591.46	40.21%	55.98%	+17.74	1-0
1972-09-24	St. Louis Cardinals	W 24-10	1559.34	1500.26	57.26%	38.95%	+26.97	2-0
1972-10-01	@ New England Patriots	L 23-24	1586.31	1411.57	70.29%	25.92%	-12.83	2-1
1972-10-08	Philadelphia Eagles	W 14-0	1573.48	1389.50	72.52%	23.70%	+16.62	3-1
1972-10-15	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 33-3	1590.10	1467.77	64.08%	32.12%	+32.75	4-1
1972-10-22	Dallas Cowboys	W 24-20	1622.85	1682.01	40.52%	55.68%	+20.38	5-1
1972-10-29	@ New York Giants	W 23-16	1643.23	1513.42	65.01%	31.19%	+15.38	6-1
1972-11-05	@ New York Jets	W 35-17	1658.61	1551.24	62.17%	34.03%	+26.83	7-1
1972-11-12	New York Giants	W 27-13	1685.44	1519.12	70.62%	25.59%	+17.92	8-1
1972-11-20	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-13	1703.36	1505.58	73.92%	22.29%	+13.87	9-1
1972-11-26	Green Bay Packers	W 21-16	1717.23	1557.05	69.94%	26.27%	+10.99	10-1
1972-12-03	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-7	1728.22	1291.08	89.10%	7.17%	+5.44	11-1
1972-12-09	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 24-34	1733.66	1659.39	57.77%	38.43%	-33.40	11-2
1972-12-17	Buffalo Bills	L 17-24	1700.26	1303.65	87.89%	8.37%	-42.57	11-3

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1972-12-24	@ Miami Dolphins	L 14-20	1563.59	1762.65	23.53%	76.47%	-10.19	0-1
1972-12-23	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 30-28	1634.21	1636.29	48.88%	51.12%	+12.78	1-0
1972-12-31	@ Washington Redskins	L 3-26	1646.99	1688.03	43.31%	56.69%	-36.72	1-1
1972-12-24	@ Washington Redskins	L 3-16	1646.69	1657.69	47.59%	52.41%	-30.34	0-1
1972-12-24	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 20-14	1762.65	1563.59	76.47%	23.53%	+10.19	1-0
1972-12-31	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 21-17	1772.84	1710.17	58.12%	41.88%	+14.81	2-0
1973-01-14	@ Washington Redskins	W 14-7	1787.65	1724.75	58.95%	41.05%	+19.20	3-0
1972-12-23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-13	1672.78	1689.94	46.71%	53.29%	-20.23	0-1
1972-12-23	Oakland Raiders	W 13-7	1689.94	1672.78	53.29%	46.71%	+20.23	1-0
1972-12-31	Miami Dolphins	L 17-21	1710.17	1772.84	41.88%	58.12%	-14.81	1-1
1972-12-23	Dallas Cowboys	L 28-30	1636.29	1634.21	51.12%	48.88%	-12.78	0-1
1972-12-24	Green Bay Packers	W 16-3	1657.69	1646.69	52.41%	47.59%	+30.34	1-0
1972-12-31	Dallas Cowboys	W 26-3	1688.03	1646.99	56.69%	43.31%	+36.72	2-0
1973-01-14	Miami Dolphins	L 7-14	1724.75	1787.65	41.05%	58.95%	-19.20	2-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1972-12-17	8.37%	Buffalo Bills	1303.65	24	@ Washington Redskins	1700.26	17
2	1972-09-24	18.60%	@ Buffalo Bills	1347.92	27	San Francisco 49ers	1596.65	20
3	1972-10-22	19.34%	Philadelphia Eagles	1349.43	21	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1578.33	20
4	1972-11-26	20.36%	@ New Orleans Saints	1310.63	19	Los Angeles Rams	1539.82	16
5	1972-11-12	20.42%	Denver Broncos	1370.58	16	@ Los Angeles Rams	1587.72	10
6	1972-10-22	21.37%	Denver Broncos	1376.02	30	@ Oakland Raiders	1583.14	23
7	1972-12-10	21.90%	@ St. Louis Cardinals	1339.92	24	Los Angeles Rams	1553.07	14
8	1972-12-17	24.45%	New York Giants	1515.96	23	@ Dallas Cowboys	1692.79	3
9	1972-11-19	24.97%	San Diego Chargers	1418.98	27	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1590.98	17
10	1972-10-01	25.29%	@ Green Bay Packers	1486.34	16	Dallas Cowboys	1666.85	13
11	1972-10-01	25.92%	@ New England Patriots	1411.57	24	Washington Redskins	1586.31	23
12	1972-10-08	26.74%	St. Louis Cardinals	1449.83	19	@ Minnesota Vikings	1605.82	17
13	1972-10-23	27.60%	@ Chicago Bears	1435.43	13	Minnesota Vikings	1595.28	10
14	1972-09-17	29.32%	St. Louis Cardinals	1467.96	10	@ Baltimore Colts	1601.70	3
15	1972-11-23	30.14%	San Francisco 49ers	1574.77	31	@ Dallas Cowboys	1701.68	10
16	1972-10-01	30.20%	@ Houston Oilers	1392.08	26	New York Jets	1529.97	20
17	1972-09-24	31.36%	@ New England Patriots	1399.73	21	Atlanta Falcons	1528.17	20
18	1972-12-04	31.71%	Los Angeles Rams	1515.83	26	@ San Francisco 49ers	1630.03	16
19	1972-10-15	33.04%	Chicago Bears	1387.87	17	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1491.52	0
20	1972-10-15	33.15%	Cincinnati Bengals	1506.06	23	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1608.79	16
21	1972-12-10	33.96%	New England Patriots	1233.64	17	@ New Orleans Saints	1330.09	10
22	1972-12-10	34.44%	@ Denver Broncos	1365.41	38	San Diego Chargers	1469.61	13
23	1972-11-19	35.37%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1517.43	26	Pittsburgh Steelers	1614.56	24
24	1972-09-17	35.76%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1439.97	34	Oakland Raiders	1534.11	28
25	1972-09-24	36.97%	New York Jets	1495.73	44	@ Baltimore Colts	1569.40	34

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1972-10-29	62.57	San Francisco 49ers	49	1510.36	38.35%	@ Atlanta Falcons	14	1573.78	57.85%
2	1972-12-17	58.58	New York Giants	23	1515.96	24.45%	@ Dallas Cowboys	3	1692.79	71.76%
3	1972-12-10	56.40	@ Denver Broncos	38	1365.41	34.44%	San Diego Chargers	13	1469.61	61.76%
4	1972-10-01	55.29	@ Atlanta Falcons	31	1516.34	39.06%	Los Angeles Rams	3	1586.05	57.14%
5	1972-11-23	55.27	San Francisco 49ers	31	1574.77	30.14%	@ Dallas Cowboys	10	1701.68	66.06%
6	1972-10-29	55.22	@ Oakland Raiders	45	1546.98	39.14%	Los Angeles Rams	17	1616.11	57.06%
7	1972-12-03	55.07	@ Green Bay Packers	33	1546.07	37.11%	Detroit Lions	7	1630.12	59.09%
8	1972-10-08	50.16	@ Buffalo Bills	38	1363.28	40.24%	New England Patriots	14	1424.40	55.96%
9	1972-10-08	49.76	@ Los Angeles Rams	31	1530.76	40.69%	San Francisco 49ers	7	1588.68	55.51%
10	1972-10-15	47.56	Chicago Bears	17	1387.87	33.04%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	0	1491.52	63.17%
11	1972-09-24	45.92	@ San Diego Chargers	37	1446.24	43.95%	Denver Broncos	14	1480.93	52.25%
12	1972-09-24	44.83	Minnesota Vikings	34	1573.72	46.34%	@ Detroit Lions	10	1580.23	49.86%
13	1972-10-01	44.78	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	27	1485.92	42.85%	Cincinnati Bengals	6	1528.44	53.35%
14	1972-12-10	42.91	@ St. Louis Cardinals	24	1339.92	21.90%	Los Angeles Rams	14	1553.07	74.31%
15	1972-12-17	42.58	Buffalo Bills	24	1303.65	8.37%	@ Washington Redskins	17	1700.26	87.89%
16	1972-11-05	41.90	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	40	1544.01	48.68%	Cincinnati Bengals	17	1545.68	47.52%
17	1972-10-29	41.51	@ New Orleans Saints	21	1320.49	42.78%	Philadelphia Eagles	3	1363.47	53.42%
18	1972-11-19	41.12	San Diego Chargers	27	1418.98	24.97%	@ Kansas City Chiefs	17	1590.98	71.24%
19	1972-09-17	40.08	Cincinnati Bengals	31	1471.43	51.81%	@ New England Patriots	7	1439.81	44.39%
20	1972-10-08	39.18	Kansas City Chiefs	31	1569.61	52.84%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	7	1530.70	43.36%
21	1972-09-17	38.64	Green Bay Packers	26	1469.80	43.49%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	10	1496.32	52.71%
22	1972-12-10	38.41	Green Bay Packers	23	1601.14	43.79%	@ Minnesota Vikings	7	1625.49	52.40%
23	1972-09-17	38.09	@ San Francisco 49ers	34	1558.56	59.31%	San Diego Chargers	3	1484.32	36.89%
24	1972-10-02	37.61	New York Giants	27	1398.47	43.19%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	12	1427.11	53.01%
25	1972-09-24	37.51	@ Buffalo Bills	27	1347.92	18.60%	San Francisco 49ers	20	1596.65	77.62%