1965 NFL Season

98 regular-season games · 3 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Green Bay Packers

9th Title

Last Title: 1962

Runner-Up

Cleveland Browns (1st)

9th Appearance

Last Appearance: 1964

Biggest Overachiever

Chicago Bears

2.28 wins above expected

9 wins · 6.72 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

St. Louis Cardinals

3.32 wins below expected

5 wins · 8.32 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cleveland Browns (1st) Division	11	3	.786	—	363	325	+38	9.46	+1.54
2	Dallas Cowboys	7	7	.500	4	325	280	+45	6.76	+0.24
3	New York Giants	7	7	.500	4	270	338	-68	5.50	+1.50
4	Washington Redskins	6	8	.429	5	257	301	-44	6.16	-0.16
5	Philadelphia Eagles	5	9	.357	6	363	359	+4	6.75	-1.75
6	St. Louis Cardinals	5	9	.357	6	296	309	-13	8.32	-3.32
7	Pittsburgh Steelers	2	12	.143	9	202	397	-195	5.15	-3.15

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	10	3	1	.750	—	316	224	+92	9.31	+1.19
2	Baltimore Colts Playoffs	10	3	1	.750	—	389	284	+105	9.17	+1.33
3	Chicago Bears	9	5	0	.643	1.5	409	275	+134	6.72	+2.28
4	San Francisco 49ers	7	6	1	.536	3	421	402	+19	6.69	+0.81
5	Minnesota Vikings	7	7	0	.500	3.5	383	403	-20	6.64	+0.36
6	Detroit Lions	6	7	1	.464	4	257	295	-38	6.95	-0.45
7	Los Angeles Rams	4	10	0	.286	6.5	269	328	-59	4.42	-0.42

Playoff Bracket

Division Playoff

Green Bay Packers 13

Baltimore Colts 10

Dec 26

NFL Championship Game

Green Bay Packers 23

Cleveland Browns (1st) 12

Jan 2

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Chicago Bears	West	1640	9	6.72	+2.28	95.32%	1	4	5	7	8	9	13
Baltimore Colts	West	1638	10.5	9.17	+1.33	80.48%	3	6	8	9	10	12	14
Green Bay Packers	West	1632	10.5	9.31	+1.19	79.07%	2	6	8	9	10	12	14
Cleveland Browns (1st)	East	1575	11	9.46	+1.54	90.82%	2	6	8	9	10	12	14
Minnesota Vikings	West	1521	7	6.64	+0.36	72.83%	1	4	5	6	8	9	13
Dallas Cowboys	East	1514	7	6.76	+0.24	68.96%	1	4	5	7	8	10	13
San Francisco 49ers	West	1507	7.5	6.69	+0.81	71.00%	1	4	5	6	8	9	13
Detroit Lions	West	1470	6.5	6.95	-0.45	44.64%	1	4	6	7	8	10	13
Washington Redskins	East	1459	6	6.16	-0.16	62.56%	0	3	5	6	7	9	12
Los Angeles Rams	West	1456	4	4.42	-0.42	57.66%	0	2	3	4	5	7	11
Philadelphia Eagles	East	1450	5	6.75	-1.75	28.53%	0	4	5	7	8	10	13
New York Giants	East	1440	7	5.50	+1.50	89.05%	0	2	4	5	6	8	12
St. Louis Cardinals	East	1413	5	8.32	-3.32	6.90%	2	5	7	8	9	11	14
Pittsburgh Steelers	East	1286	2	5.15	-3.15	7.74%	0	2	4	5	6	8	12

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	(1st)	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Cardinals	Redskins
Cleveland Browns (1st)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
New York Giants	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Washington Redskins	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Colts	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	Vikings	49ers
Cleveland Browns (1st)	—	—	—	—	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	—
Dallas Cowboys	—	—	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
New York Giants	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—
Philadelphia Eagles	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	—	—	—
Pittsburgh Steelers	—	—	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	—	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	—
Washington Redskins	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	—	—

Within West

Team	Colts	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	Vikings	49ers
Baltimore Colts	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Chicago Bears	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.3 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	(1st)	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Cardinals	Redskins
Baltimore Colts	—	—	—	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)
Chicago Bears	—	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—
Detroit Lions	—	—	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	—
Los Angeles Rams	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	—	—	—	—	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	—
Minnesota Vikings	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	—	—	—
San Francisco 49ers	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	1.02%	1.02%	0.51%	0.51%	1.53%	—	—	4.59%
7–13	1.02%	1.02%	3.06%	4.59%	2.55%	2.55%	1.53%	16.33%
14–20	0.51%	3.06%	5.10%	7.14%	0.51%	4.59%	0.51%	21.43%
21–27	0.51%	4.59%	7.14%	7.14%	3.06%	1.53%	2.55%	26.53%
28–34	1.53%	2.55%	0.51%	3.06%	4.08%	1.53%	—	13.27%
35–41	—	2.55%	4.59%	1.53%	1.53%	1.02%	1.02%	12.24%
42+	—	1.53%	0.51%	2.55%	—	1.02%	—	5.61%
Total	4.59%	16.33%	21.43%	26.53%	13.27%	12.24%	5.61%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.06	23.06	+0.00
SD	11.18	11.18	16.40
CV	0.48	0.48	—
Max	61	61	+41
Min	0	0	-41

Games Played: 98

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	—	—	21.43%	—	—	7.14%	28.57%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
35–41	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	21.43%	28.57%	35.71%	7.14%	—	7.14%	100%

Baltimore Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.79	20.29	+7.50
SD	10.52	8.81	13.35
CV	0.38	0.43	—
Max	41	42	+31
Min	0	7	-15

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	—	21.43%
21–27	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
28–34	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
35–41	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
Total	14.29%	28.57%	14.29%	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.21	19.64	+9.57
SD	13.27	13.74	18.30
CV	0.45	0.70	—
Max	61	52	+41
Min	13	0	-28

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%	14.29%
14–20	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	—	28.57%	7.14%	—	—	—	35.71%
28–34	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
42+	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	7.14%	42.86%	28.57%	7.14%	—	14.29%	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.93	23.21	+2.71
SD	10.39	11.41	18.24
CV	0.40	0.49	—
Max	42	49	+24
Min	7	7	-36

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	—	35.71%
28–34	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	21.43%	28.57%	21.43%	14.29%	7.14%	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.21	20.00	+3.21
SD	10.07	9.49	12.94
CV	0.43	0.47	—
Max	39	35	+29
Min	3	2	-11

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	35.71%
14–20	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
21–27	—	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	21.43%	14.29%	14.29%	35.71%	7.14%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.36	21.07	-2.71
SD	9.29	11.43	15.20
CV	0.51	0.54	—
Max	35	38	+24
Min	7	0	-28

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
21–27	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	14.29%	28.57%	21.43%	28.57%	7.14%	—	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.57	16.00	+6.57
SD	12.35	8.42	13.78
CV	0.55	0.53	—
Max	42	31	+32
Min	6	3	-21

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
21–27	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	28.57%
28–34	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
42+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	14.29%	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	28.57%	14.29%	7.14%	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.21	23.43	-4.21
SD	12.44	12.97	18.05
CV	0.65	0.55	—
Max	42	45	+35
Min	0	3	-25

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
14–20	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
21–27	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	35.71%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
Total	—	14.29%	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	35.71%	14.29%	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.36	28.79	-1.43
SD	9.05	13.11	16.01
CV	0.33	0.46	—
Max	42	45	+26
Min	13	7	-25

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%	—	42.86%
21–27	—	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	28.57%	14.29%	14.29%	14.29%	28.57%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.29	24.14	-4.86
SD	9.68	11.82	18.02
CV	0.50	0.49	—
Max	35	40	+25
Min	2	10	-29

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	28.57%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	—	14.29%	—	14.29%	—	28.57%
35–41	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	7.14%	21.43%	35.71%	7.14%	28.57%	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.93	25.64	+0.29
SD	9.33	8.51	12.38
CV	0.36	0.33	—
Max	47	38	+34
Min	14	13	-18

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	14.29%	7.14%	35.71%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	28.57%	—	7.14%	—	42.86%
21–27	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.14%	14.29%	35.71%	7.14%	21.43%	14.29%	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.43	28.36	-13.93
SD	5.63	10.46	13.39
CV	0.39	0.37	—
Max	22	47	+9
Min	3	13	-34

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	21.43%	—	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	21.43%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	21.43%	—	—	—	21.43%
Total	—	—	14.29%	57.14%	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	30.07	28.71	+1.36
SD	11.83	12.09	17.56
CV	0.39	0.42	—
Max	52	61	+28
Min	10	14	-41

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
14–20	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	21.43%	21.43%	28.57%	28.57%	—	—	100%

St. Louis Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.14	22.07	-0.93
SD	11.45	8.55	16.28
CV	0.54	0.39	—
Max	49	34	+36
Min	3	7	-24

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	14.29%	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	35.71%
14–20	—	—	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
21–27	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	7.14%	28.57%	35.71%	7.14%	14.29%	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.36	21.50	-3.14
SD	10.05	10.22	16.85
CV	0.55	0.48	—
Max	35	38	+28
Min	7	3	-31

Games Played: 14

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Chicago Bears	9	6.72	+2.28
2	Cleveland Browns (1st)	11	9.46	+1.54
3	New York Giants	7	5.50	+1.50
4	Baltimore Colts	10.5	9.17	+1.33
5	Green Bay Packers	10.5	9.31	+1.19

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	St. Louis Cardinals	5	8.32	-3.32
2	Pittsburgh Steelers	2	5.15	-3.15
3	Philadelphia Eagles	5	6.75	-1.75
4	Detroit Lions	6.5	6.95	-0.45
5	Los Angeles Rams	4	4.42	-0.42

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Los Angeles Rams	3	Nov 28 – Dec 12	1 in 117
2	Baltimore Colts	8	Oct 3 – Nov 21	1 in 27
3	Chicago Bears	5	Nov 14 – Dec 12	1 in 24
4	Washington Redskins	3	Oct 24 – Nov 7	1 in 19
5	Green Bay Packers	6	Sep 19 – Oct 24	1 in 15

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	St. Louis Cardinals	6	Nov 14 – Dec 19	1 in 177
2	Los Angeles Rams	8	Oct 3 – Nov 21	1 in 29
3	Dallas Cowboys	5	Oct 4 – Oct 31	1 in 28
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	7	Nov 7 – Dec 19	1 in 28
5	Philadelphia Eagles	4	Oct 17 – Nov 7	1 in 23

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
Cleveland Browns (1st)	55.16%	23.30%	11.29%	5.80%	2.82%	1.13%	0.50%
St. Louis Cardinals	24.40%	30.90%	18.29%	12.83%	7.18%	4.27%	2.13%
Dallas Cowboys	6.96%	13.68%	18.73%	19.01%	17.02%	14.10%	10.50%
Philadelphia Eagles	6.66%	13.82%	18.83%	19.59%	16.58%	14.01%	10.51%
Washington Redskins	3.48%	8.76%	14.82%	17.23%	19.93%	19.38%	16.40%
New York Giants	1.86%	5.55%	9.83%	13.90%	18.80%	22.82%	27.24%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.48%	3.99%	8.21%	11.64%	17.67%	24.29%	32.72%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
Green Bay Packers	40.61%	27.68%	15.12%	8.90%	4.90%	2.13%	0.66%
Baltimore Colts	37.90%	28.56%	15.53%	9.58%	5.07%	2.67%	0.69%
Detroit Lions	6.48%	12.29%	18.29%	18.79%	19.22%	16.26%	8.67%
Chicago Bears	5.03%	11.07%	16.28%	19.13%	19.84%	18.15%	10.50%
San Francisco 49ers	5.24%	10.03%	16.40%	18.68%	19.60%	19.29%	10.76%
Minnesota Vikings	4.54%	9.42%	15.51%	18.85%	20.49%	19.86%	11.33%
Los Angeles Rams	0.20%	0.95%	2.87%	6.07%	10.88%	21.64%	57.39%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Cleveland Browns (1st)	26.91%	24.01%	13.93%	11.26%	7.11%	5.45%	3.79%	2.73%	1.74%	1.32%	0.87%	0.49%	0.24%	0.15%
Green Bay Packers	24.73%	19.30%	15.32%	11.39%	8.69%	5.83%	4.87%	3.51%	2.55%	1.78%	0.98%	0.56%	0.30%	0.19%
Baltimore Colts	22.82%	17.99%	15.51%	12.22%	8.51%	6.60%	5.32%	3.61%	2.88%	1.80%	1.28%	0.89%	0.41%	0.16%
St. Louis Cardinals	9.98%	12.82%	14.03%	14.81%	10.28%	9.35%	7.41%	6.14%	4.74%	3.79%	2.45%	2.14%	1.34%	0.72%
Detroit Lions	2.83%	4.28%	6.74%	7.02%	9.62%	8.94%	9.98%	9.00%	9.86%	8.69%	7.54%	6.84%	5.22%	3.44%
Dallas Cowboys	2.32%	3.92%	5.48%	7.46%	8.30%	10.01%	8.87%	9.64%	8.87%	8.68%	7.84%	7.51%	6.49%	4.61%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.09%	3.93%	5.49%	7.39%	8.42%	9.78%	8.72%	10.02%	8.90%	9.25%	7.89%	7.40%	6.47%	4.25%
Chicago Bears	2.16%	3.24%	6.23%	6.17%	8.09%	8.52%	10.42%	9.36%	10.01%	8.83%	9.25%	7.68%	5.89%	4.15%
San Francisco 49ers	2.19%	3.50%	5.34%	5.97%	8.57%	8.48%	9.79%	9.43%	9.56%	9.00%	9.03%	8.01%	6.58%	4.55%
Minnesota Vikings	2.20%	3.01%	5.11%	5.50%	7.92%	8.37%	9.44%	9.99%	10.43%	9.31%	9.32%	8.21%	6.68%	4.51%
Washington Redskins	1.08%	1.98%	3.23%	4.90%	6.19%	7.27%	8.14%	9.12%	8.99%	11.08%	10.35%	10.89%	9.06%	7.72%
New York Giants	0.36%	1.06%	1.74%	3.02%	4.19%	5.19%	5.66%	7.82%	8.20%	10.22%	11.32%	13.03%	14.19%	14.00%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.29%	0.78%	1.49%	2.19%	2.85%	4.36%	4.81%	6.06%	7.90%	9.46%	11.85%	13.23%	16.08%	18.65%
Los Angeles Rams	0.04%	0.18%	0.36%	0.70%	1.26%	1.85%	2.78%	3.57%	5.37%	6.79%	10.03%	13.12%	21.05%	32.90%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Cleveland Browns (1st)	55.16%	44.84%
St. Louis Cardinals	24.40%	75.60%
Dallas Cowboys	6.96%	93.04%
Philadelphia Eagles	6.66%	93.34%
Washington Redskins	3.48%	96.52%
New York Giants	1.86%	98.14%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.48%	98.52%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Green Bay Packers	40.61%	59.39%
Baltimore Colts	37.90%	62.10%
Detroit Lions	6.48%	93.52%
San Francisco 49ers	5.24%	94.76%
Chicago Bears	5.03%	94.97%
Minnesota Vikings	4.54%	95.46%
Los Angeles Rams	0.20%	99.80%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Super Bowl
Green Bay Packers	40.61%	27.22%
Baltimore Colts	37.90%	25.17%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	55.16%	24.20%
St. Louis Cardinals	24.40%	6.07%
Chicago Bears	5.03%	3.35%
Detroit Lions	6.48%	2.82%
San Francisco 49ers	5.24%	2.64%
Dallas Cowboys	6.96%	2.52%
Minnesota Vikings	4.54%	2.29%
Philadelphia Eagles	6.66%	1.84%
Washington Redskins	3.48%	1.00%
New York Giants	1.86%	0.54%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.48%	0.22%
Los Angeles Rams	0.20%	0.12%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Chicago Bears	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Baltimore Colts			12.52%	1.81%					0.52%	1.79%	0.48%		7.19%	0.86%
Chicago Bears			1.80%	0.28%					0.03%	0.27%	0.12%		0.68%	0.17%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	8.74%	1.12%			2.28%	8.98%	0.04%	1.29%				1.75%
Dallas Cowboys	0.89%	0.15%			0.19%	0.85%	0.01%	0.27%				0.16%
Detroit Lions			1.32%	0.14%					0.07%	0.14%	0.06%		1.04%	0.05%
Green Bay Packers			13.42%	1.80%					0.61%	2.15%	0.47%		7.64%	1.13%
Los Angeles Rams			0.02%	0.02%						0.05%	0.01%		0.01%	0.01%
Minnesota Vikings			0.71%	0.22%					0.06%	0.24%	0.07%		0.86%	0.13%
New York Giants	0.18%	0.01%			0.10%	0.19%	0.01%	0.04%				0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.60%	0.10%			0.17%	0.72%	0.01%	0.13%				0.11%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.08%	0.02%			0.02%	0.06%		0.02%				0.02%
San Francisco 49ers			1.17%	0.17%					0.03%	0.18%	0.05%		0.91%	0.13%
St. Louis Cardinals	1.98%	0.22%			0.72%	2.19%	0.01%	0.42%				0.53%
Washington Redskins	0.26%	0.06%			0.18%	0.40%		0.08%				0.02%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Won Super Bowl
Green Bay Packers	57.82%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	42.18%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Green Bay Packers
Cleveland Browns (1st)		42.18%
Green Bay Packers	57.82%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Green Bay Packers 57.82% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

57.82%

Cleveland Browns (1st) 42.18% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

42.18%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1965-09-19	Minnesota Vikings	W 35-16	1562.22	1527.29	53.55%	43.56%	+25.76	1-0
1965-09-26	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-20	1587.98	1597.52	47.19%	49.93%	-11.06	1-1
1965-10-03	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-24	1576.92	1510.25	57.98%	39.13%	+9.22	2-1
1965-10-10	Detroit Lions	W 31-7	1586.14	1570.71	50.77%	46.34%	+30.76	3-1
1965-10-17	@ Washington Redskins	W 38-7	1616.90	1420.04	73.83%	23.30%	+17.82	4-1
1965-10-24	Los Angeles Rams	W 35-20	1634.72	1371.68	79.95%	17.18%	+9.17	5-1
1965-10-31	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 34-28	1643.89	1500.51	67.88%	29.24%	+9.81	6-1
1965-11-07	@ Chicago Bears	W 26-21	1653.70	1552.21	62.65%	34.47%	+10.52	7-1
1965-11-14	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 41-21	1664.22	1550.13	64.27%	32.85%	+20.06	8-1
1965-11-21	Philadelphia Eagles	W 34-24	1684.28	1444.13	77.99%	19.14%	+8.34	9-1
1965-11-25	@ Detroit Lions	T 24-24	1692.62	1492.54	74.16%	22.97%	-1.71	9-1
1965-12-05	Chicago Bears	L 0-13	1690.91	1604.96	60.60%	36.52%	-29.43	9-2
1965-12-12	Green Bay Packers	L 27-42	1661.48	1603.41	56.80%	40.32%	-29.66	9-3
1965-12-18	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 20-17	1631.82	1462.46	70.88%	26.24%	+6.23	10-3
1965-09-19	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 24-52	1466.81	1456.60	50.03%	47.09%	-35.78	0-1
1965-09-25	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 28-30	1431.03	1430.99	48.56%	48.55%	-9.30	0-2
1965-10-03	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-23	1421.73	1608.59	24.34%	72.78%	-10.02	0-3
1965-10-10	Los Angeles Rams	W 31-6	1411.71	1430.63	45.84%	51.27%	+34.63	1-3
1965-10-17	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 45-37	1446.34	1530.25	36.79%	60.32%	+22.99	2-3
1965-10-24	Detroit Lions	W 38-10	1469.33	1524.83	40.67%	56.44%	+40.27	3-3
1965-10-31	Green Bay Packers	W 31-10	1509.60	1663.10	28.05%	69.07%	+42.61	4-3
1965-11-07	Baltimore Colts	L 21-26	1552.21	1653.70	34.47%	62.65%	-10.52	4-4
1965-11-14	St. Louis Cardinals	W 34-13	1541.69	1567.22	44.90%	52.22%	+32.32	5-4
1965-11-21	@ Detroit Lions	W 17-10	1574.01	1506.60	58.09%	39.03%	+14.05	6-4
1965-11-28	@ New York Giants	W 35-14	1588.06	1424.59	70.21%	26.91%	+16.90	7-4
1965-12-05	@ Baltimore Colts	W 13-0	1604.96	1690.91	36.52%	60.60%	+29.43	8-4
1965-12-12	San Francisco 49ers	W 61-20	1634.39	1535.94	62.25%	34.87%	+30.46	9-4
1965-12-19	Minnesota Vikings	L 17-24	1664.85	1496.09	70.81%	26.31%	-25.22	9-5
1965-09-19	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-7	1566.76	1492.03	59.08%	38.03%	+16.38	1-0
1965-09-26	St. Louis Cardinals	L 13-49	1583.14	1501.24	60.05%	37.06%	-48.55	1-1
1965-10-03	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 35-17	1534.59	1484.14	55.74%	41.38%	+23.86	2-1
1965-10-09	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-19	1558.45	1404.01	69.18%	27.94%	+8.56	3-1
1965-10-17	Dallas Cowboys	W 23-17	1567.01	1489.25	59.49%	37.62%	+12.55	4-1
1965-10-24	@ New York Giants	W 38-14	1579.56	1430.57	68.54%	28.58%	+19.17	5-1
1965-10-31	Minnesota Vikings	L 17-27	1598.73	1513.83	60.46%	36.66%	-25.75	5-2
1965-11-07	Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-34	1572.98	1433.23	67.44%	29.68%	+8.12	6-2
1965-11-14	New York Giants	W 34-21	1581.10	1404.23	71.71%	25.42%	+12.57	7-2
1965-11-21	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 24-17	1593.67	1478.67	64.38%	32.73%	+11.83	8-2
1965-11-28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 42-21	1605.50	1371.83	77.40%	19.72%	+12.45	9-2
1965-12-05	Washington Redskins	W 24-16	1617.95	1481.49	67.04%	30.07%	+11.63	10-2
1965-12-12	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 7-42	1629.58	1401.17	76.92%	20.21%	-61.28	10-3
1965-12-19	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 27-24	1568.30	1419.73	68.49%	28.63%	+6.79	11-3
1965-09-19	New York Giants	W 31-2	1472.46	1433.03	54.19%	42.93%	+31.38	1-0
1965-09-26	Washington Redskins	W 27-7	1503.84	1475.66	52.59%	44.52%	+27.00	2-0
1965-10-04	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 13-20	1530.84	1549.78	45.84%	51.28%	-16.43	2-1
1965-10-10	Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-35	1514.41	1460.28	56.25%	40.86%	-25.16	2-2
1965-10-17	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-23	1489.25	1567.01	37.62%	59.49%	-12.55	2-3
1965-10-24	@ Green Bay Packers	L 3-13	1476.70	1652.00	25.59%	71.53%	-11.10	2-4
1965-10-31	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-22	1465.60	1403.28	57.39%	39.73%	-23.21	2-5
1965-11-07	San Francisco 49ers	W 39-31	1442.39	1490.71	41.68%	55.44%	+21.15	3-5
1965-11-14	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-17	1463.54	1418.12	55.03%	42.08%	+15.13	4-5
1965-11-21	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-24	1478.67	1593.67	32.73%	64.38%	-11.83	4-6
1965-11-28	@ Washington Redskins	L 31-34	1466.84	1470.22	48.07%	49.04%	-11.27	4-7
1965-12-05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-19	1455.57	1451.41	49.16%	47.96%	+9.18	5-7
1965-12-11	St. Louis Cardinals	W 27-13	1464.75	1442.75	51.71%	45.40%	+23.03	6-7
1965-12-19	@ New York Giants	W 38-20	1487.78	1465.72	51.72%	45.39%	+26.10	7-7
1965-09-19	Los Angeles Rams	W 20-0	1530.81	1453.97	59.37%	37.74%	+22.99	1-0
1965-09-26	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 31-29	1553.80	1501.52	55.99%	41.12%	+7.90	2-0
1965-10-03	Washington Redskins	W 14-10	1561.70	1448.65	64.13%	32.98%	+9.01	3-0
1965-10-10	@ Baltimore Colts	L 7-31	1570.71	1586.14	46.34%	50.77%	-30.76	3-1
1965-10-17	Green Bay Packers	L 21-31	1539.95	1636.87	35.07%	62.05%	-15.12	3-2
1965-10-24	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-38	1524.83	1469.33	56.44%	40.67%	-40.27	3-3
1965-10-31	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 31-7	1484.56	1362.51	65.27%	31.85%	+21.32	4-3
1965-11-07	@ Green Bay Packers	W 12-7	1505.88	1620.49	32.78%	64.33%	+19.37	5-3
1965-11-14	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-27	1525.25	1469.56	56.47%	40.65%	-18.65	5-4
1965-11-21	Chicago Bears	L 10-17	1506.60	1574.01	39.03%	58.09%	-14.06	5-5
1965-11-25	Baltimore Colts	T 24-24	1492.54	1692.62	22.97%	74.16%	+1.71	5-5
1965-12-05	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-17	1494.25	1525.58	44.07%	53.04%	-10.35	5-6
1965-12-12	Minnesota Vikings	L 7-29	1483.90	1463.47	51.49%	45.63%	-32.63	5-7
1965-12-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 35-28	1451.27	1468.68	46.06%	51.06%	+18.25	6-7
1965-09-19	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 41-9	1570.85	1470.05	62.56%	34.56%	+26.67	1-0
1965-09-26	Baltimore Colts	W 20-17	1597.52	1587.98	49.93%	47.19%	+11.07	2-0
1965-10-03	Chicago Bears	W 23-14	1608.59	1421.73	72.78%	24.34%	+10.02	3-0
1965-10-10	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-10	1618.61	1501.03	64.71%	32.41%	+18.26	4-0
1965-10-17	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-21	1636.87	1539.95	62.05%	35.07%	+15.13	5-0
1965-10-24	Dallas Cowboys	W 13-3	1652.00	1476.70	71.53%	25.59%	+11.10	6-0
1965-10-31	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-31	1663.10	1509.60	69.07%	28.05%	-42.61	6-1
1965-11-07	Detroit Lions	L 7-12	1620.49	1505.88	64.33%	32.78%	-19.37	6-2
1965-11-14	Los Angeles Rams	W 6-3	1601.12	1330.64	80.55%	16.58%	+3.96	7-2
1965-11-21	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 38-13	1605.08	1530.07	59.12%	37.99%	+25.87	8-2
1965-11-28	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 10-21	1630.95	1320.24	83.51%	13.62%	-37.34	8-3
1965-12-05	Minnesota Vikings	W 24-19	1593.61	1473.27	65.06%	32.06%	+9.80	9-3
1965-12-12	@ Baltimore Colts	W 42-27	1603.41	1661.48	40.32%	56.80%	+29.66	10-3
1965-12-19	@ San Francisco 49ers	T 24-24	1633.07	1505.48	65.96%	31.16%	-1.16	10-3
1965-09-19	@ Detroit Lions	L 0-20	1453.97	1530.81	37.74%	59.37%	-22.98	0-1
1965-09-25	Chicago Bears	W 30-28	1430.99	1431.03	48.55%	48.56%	+9.29	1-1
1965-10-03	Minnesota Vikings	L 35-38	1440.28	1493.61	40.97%	56.14%	-9.65	1-2
1965-10-10	@ Chicago Bears	L 6-31	1430.63	1411.71	51.27%	45.84%	-34.64	1-3
1965-10-17	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-45	1395.99	1482.77	36.41%	60.71%	-24.31	1-4
1965-10-24	@ Baltimore Colts	L 20-35	1371.68	1634.72	17.18%	79.95%	-9.17	1-5
1965-10-31	Detroit Lions	L 7-31	1362.51	1484.56	31.85%	65.27%	-21.33	1-6
1965-11-07	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-24	1341.18	1539.59	23.14%	73.98%	-10.54	1-7
1965-11-14	@ Green Bay Packers	L 3-6	1330.64	1601.12	16.58%	80.55%	-3.96	1-8
1965-11-21	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 27-30	1326.68	1488.21	27.13%	69.99%	-6.44	1-9
1965-11-28	Green Bay Packers	W 21-10	1320.24	1630.95	13.62%	83.51%	+37.34	2-9
1965-12-05	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 27-3	1357.58	1486.35	31.01%	66.11%	+43.59	3-9
1965-12-12	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 42-7	1401.17	1629.58	20.21%	76.92%	+61.29	4-9
1965-12-18	Baltimore Colts	L 17-20	1462.46	1631.82	26.24%	70.88%	-6.24	4-10
1965-09-19	@ Baltimore Colts	L 16-35	1527.29	1562.22	43.56%	53.55%	-25.77	0-1
1965-09-26	Detroit Lions	L 29-31	1501.52	1553.80	41.12%	55.99%	-7.91	0-2
1965-10-03	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 38-35	1493.61	1440.28	56.14%	40.97%	+9.65	1-2
1965-10-09	New York Giants	W 40-14	1503.26	1434.90	58.22%	38.90%	+26.99	2-2
1965-10-17	Chicago Bears	L 37-45	1530.25	1446.34	60.32%	36.79%	-22.98	2-3
1965-10-24	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 42-41	1507.27	1507.08	48.58%	48.53%	+6.56	3-3
1965-10-31	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 27-17	1513.83	1598.73	36.66%	60.46%	+25.76	4-3
1965-11-07	Los Angeles Rams	W 24-13	1539.59	1341.18	73.98%	23.14%	+10.54	5-3
1965-11-14	Baltimore Colts	L 21-41	1550.13	1664.22	32.85%	64.27%	-20.06	5-4
1965-11-21	Green Bay Packers	L 13-38	1530.07	1605.08	37.99%	59.12%	-25.87	5-5
1965-11-28	San Francisco 49ers	L 24-45	1504.20	1494.65	49.93%	47.18%	-30.93	5-6
1965-12-05	@ Green Bay Packers	L 19-24	1473.27	1593.61	32.06%	65.06%	-9.80	5-7
1965-12-12	@ Detroit Lions	W 29-7	1463.47	1483.90	45.63%	51.49%	+32.62	6-7
1965-12-19	@ Chicago Bears	W 24-17	1496.09	1664.85	26.31%	70.81%	+25.22	7-7
1965-09-19	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 2-31	1433.03	1472.46	42.93%	54.19%	-31.38	0-1
1965-09-26	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 16-14	1401.65	1495.89	35.42%	61.70%	+11.75	1-1
1965-10-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-13	1413.40	1425.51	46.82%	50.30%	+21.50	2-1
1965-10-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 14-40	1434.90	1503.26	38.90%	58.22%	-26.99	2-2
1965-10-17	Philadelphia Eagles	W 35-27	1407.91	1485.44	37.65%	59.46%	+22.66	3-2
1965-10-24	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-38	1430.57	1579.56	28.58%	68.54%	-19.17	3-3
1965-10-31	St. Louis Cardinals	W 14-10	1411.40	1577.85	26.57%	70.55%	+18.99	4-3
1965-11-07	Washington Redskins	L 7-23	1430.39	1431.92	48.34%	48.78%	-26.16	4-4
1965-11-14	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 21-34	1404.23	1581.10	25.42%	71.71%	-12.58	4-5
1965-11-21	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 28-15	1391.65	1534.90	29.26%	67.86%	+32.94	5-5
1965-11-28	Chicago Bears	L 14-35	1424.59	1588.06	26.91%	70.21%	-16.90	5-6
1965-12-05	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 35-10	1407.69	1359.39	55.44%	41.68%	+28.31	6-6
1965-12-12	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-10	1436.00	1469.85	43.71%	53.40%	+29.72	7-6
1965-12-19	Dallas Cowboys	L 20-38	1465.72	1487.78	45.39%	51.72%	-26.11	7-7
1965-09-19	St. Louis Cardinals	W 34-27	1476.29	1520.84	42.20%	54.91%	+19.60	1-0
1965-09-26	New York Giants	L 14-16	1495.89	1401.65	61.70%	35.42%	-11.75	1-1
1965-10-03	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-35	1484.14	1534.59	41.38%	55.74%	-23.86	1-2
1965-10-10	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 35-24	1460.28	1514.41	40.86%	56.25%	+25.16	2-2
1965-10-17	@ New York Giants	L 27-35	1485.44	1407.91	59.46%	37.65%	-22.66	2-3
1965-10-24	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-20	1462.78	1383.58	59.69%	37.43%	-19.70	2-4
1965-10-31	@ Washington Redskins	L 21-23	1443.08	1422.06	51.57%	45.54%	-9.85	2-5
1965-11-07	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 34-38	1433.23	1572.98	29.68%	67.44%	-8.13	2-6
1965-11-14	Washington Redskins	W 21-14	1425.10	1458.08	43.84%	53.28%	+19.03	3-6
1965-11-21	@ Baltimore Colts	L 24-34	1444.13	1684.28	19.14%	77.99%	-8.33	3-7
1965-11-28	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 28-24	1435.80	1501.96	39.20%	57.92%	+15.61	4-7
1965-12-05	Dallas Cowboys	L 19-21	1451.41	1455.57	47.96%	49.16%	-9.18	4-8
1965-12-12	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 47-13	1442.23	1331.07	63.89%	33.22%	+26.45	5-8
1965-12-19	Detroit Lions	L 28-35	1468.68	1451.27	51.06%	46.06%	-18.25	5-9
1965-09-19	Green Bay Packers	L 9-41	1470.05	1570.85	34.56%	62.56%	-26.68	0-1
1965-09-26	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-27	1443.37	1492.38	41.58%	55.54%	-17.86	0-2
1965-10-03	New York Giants	L 13-23	1425.51	1413.40	50.30%	46.82%	-21.50	0-3
1965-10-09	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 19-24	1404.01	1558.45	27.94%	69.18%	-8.56	0-4
1965-10-17	St. Louis Cardinals	L 7-20	1395.45	1585.82	23.97%	73.15%	-11.87	0-5
1965-10-24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-14	1383.58	1462.78	37.43%	59.69%	+19.70	1-5
1965-10-31	Dallas Cowboys	W 22-13	1403.28	1465.60	39.73%	57.39%	+23.21	2-5
1965-11-07	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 17-21	1426.49	1558.85	30.57%	66.55%	-8.37	2-6
1965-11-14	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-24	1418.12	1463.54	42.08%	55.03%	-15.12	2-7
1965-11-21	Washington Redskins	L 3-31	1403.00	1439.05	43.40%	53.71%	-31.17	2-8
1965-11-28	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 21-42	1371.83	1605.50	19.72%	77.40%	-12.44	2-9
1965-12-05	@ New York Giants	L 10-35	1359.39	1407.69	41.68%	55.44%	-28.32	2-10
1965-12-12	Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-47	1331.07	1442.23	33.22%	63.89%	-26.45	2-11
1965-12-19	@ Washington Redskins	L 14-35	1304.62	1440.13	30.19%	66.93%	-18.93	2-12
1965-09-19	Chicago Bears	W 52-24	1456.60	1466.81	47.09%	50.03%	+35.78	1-0
1965-09-26	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-17	1492.38	1443.37	55.54%	41.58%	+17.87	2-0
1965-10-03	@ Baltimore Colts	L 24-27	1510.25	1576.92	39.13%	57.98%	-9.22	2-1
1965-10-10	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-27	1501.03	1618.61	32.41%	64.71%	-18.26	2-2
1965-10-17	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 45-21	1482.77	1395.99	60.71%	36.41%	+24.31	3-2
1965-10-24	Minnesota Vikings	L 41-42	1507.08	1507.27	48.53%	48.58%	-6.57	3-3
1965-10-31	Baltimore Colts	L 28-34	1500.51	1643.89	29.24%	67.88%	-9.80	3-4
1965-11-07	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 31-39	1490.71	1442.39	55.44%	41.68%	-21.15	3-5
1965-11-14	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-21	1469.56	1525.25	40.65%	56.47%	+18.65	4-5
1965-11-21	Los Angeles Rams	W 30-27	1488.21	1326.68	69.99%	27.13%	+6.44	5-5
1965-11-28	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 45-24	1494.65	1504.20	47.18%	49.93%	+30.93	6-5
1965-12-05	Detroit Lions	W 17-14	1525.58	1494.25	53.04%	44.07%	+10.36	7-5
1965-12-12	@ Chicago Bears	L 20-61	1535.94	1634.39	34.87%	62.25%	-30.46	7-6
1965-12-19	Green Bay Packers	T 24-24	1505.48	1633.07	31.16%	65.96%	+1.16	7-6
1965-09-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 27-34	1520.84	1476.29	54.91%	42.20%	-19.60	0-1
1965-09-26	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 49-13	1501.24	1583.14	37.06%	60.05%	+48.54	1-1
1965-10-04	Dallas Cowboys	W 20-13	1549.78	1530.84	51.28%	45.84%	+16.44	2-1
1965-10-10	@ Washington Redskins	W 37-16	1566.22	1439.64	65.83%	31.28%	+19.60	3-1
1965-10-17	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 20-7	1585.82	1395.45	73.15%	23.97%	+11.87	4-1
1965-10-24	Washington Redskins	L 20-24	1597.69	1402.22	73.68%	23.44%	-19.84	4-2
1965-10-31	@ New York Giants	L 10-14	1577.85	1411.40	70.55%	26.57%	-19.00	4-3
1965-11-07	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 21-17	1558.85	1426.49	66.55%	30.57%	+8.37	5-3
1965-11-14	@ Chicago Bears	L 13-34	1567.22	1541.69	52.22%	44.90%	-32.32	5-4
1965-11-21	New York Giants	L 15-28	1534.90	1391.65	67.86%	29.26%	-32.94	5-5
1965-11-28	Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-28	1501.96	1435.80	57.92%	39.20%	-15.61	5-6
1965-12-05	Los Angeles Rams	L 3-27	1486.35	1357.58	66.11%	31.01%	-43.60	5-7
1965-12-11	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 13-27	1442.75	1464.75	45.40%	51.71%	-23.02	5-8
1965-12-19	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 24-27	1419.73	1568.30	28.63%	68.49%	-6.79	5-9
1965-09-19	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-17	1492.03	1566.76	38.03%	59.08%	-16.37	0-1
1965-09-26	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 7-27	1475.66	1503.84	44.52%	52.59%	-27.01	0-2
1965-10-03	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-14	1448.65	1561.70	32.98%	64.13%	-9.01	0-3
1965-10-10	St. Louis Cardinals	L 16-37	1439.64	1566.22	31.28%	65.83%	-19.60	0-4
1965-10-17	Baltimore Colts	L 7-38	1420.04	1616.90	23.30%	73.83%	-17.82	0-5
1965-10-24	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 24-20	1402.22	1597.69	23.44%	73.68%	+19.84	1-5
1965-10-31	Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-21	1422.06	1443.08	45.54%	51.57%	+9.86	2-5
1965-11-07	@ New York Giants	W 23-7	1431.92	1430.39	48.78%	48.34%	+26.16	3-5
1965-11-14	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-21	1458.08	1425.10	53.28%	43.84%	-19.03	3-6
1965-11-21	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-3	1439.05	1403.00	53.71%	43.40%	+31.17	4-6
1965-11-28	Dallas Cowboys	W 34-31	1470.22	1466.84	49.04%	48.07%	+11.27	5-6
1965-12-05	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 16-24	1481.49	1617.95	30.07%	67.04%	-11.64	5-7
1965-12-12	New York Giants	L 10-27	1469.85	1436.00	53.40%	43.71%	-29.72	5-8
1965-12-19	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 35-14	1440.13	1304.62	66.93%	30.19%	+18.93	6-8

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1965-12-26	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-13	1638.05	1631.91	50.88%	49.12%	-11.58	0-1
1966-01-02	@ Green Bay Packers	L 12-23	1575.09	1643.49	40.28%	59.72%	-17.55	0-1
1965-12-26	Baltimore Colts	W 13-10	1631.91	1638.05	49.12%	50.88%	+11.58	1-0
1966-01-02	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 23-12	1643.49	1575.09	59.72%	40.28%	+17.56	2-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1965-11-28	13.62%	@ Los Angeles Rams	1320.24	21	Green Bay Packers	1630.95	10
2	1965-12-12	20.21%	@ Los Angeles Rams	1401.17	42	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1629.58	7
3	1965-10-24	23.44%	Washington Redskins	1402.22	24	@ St. Louis Cardinals	1597.69	20
4	1965-12-19	26.31%	Minnesota Vikings	1496.09	24	@ Chicago Bears	1664.85	17
5	1965-10-31	26.57%	@ New York Giants	1411.40	14	St. Louis Cardinals	1577.85	10
6	1965-10-31	28.05%	@ Chicago Bears	1509.60	31	Green Bay Packers	1663.10	10
7	1965-11-21	29.26%	New York Giants	1391.65	28	@ St. Louis Cardinals	1534.90	15
8	1965-12-05	31.01%	Los Angeles Rams	1357.58	27	@ St. Louis Cardinals	1486.35	3
9	1965-11-07	32.78%	Detroit Lions	1505.88	12	@ Green Bay Packers	1620.49	7
10	1965-09-26	35.42%	New York Giants	1401.65	16	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1495.89	14
11	1965-12-05	36.52%	Chicago Bears	1604.96	13	@ Baltimore Colts	1690.91	0
12	1965-10-31	36.66%	Minnesota Vikings	1513.83	27	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1598.73	17
13	1965-10-17	36.79%	Chicago Bears	1446.34	45	@ Minnesota Vikings	1530.25	37
14	1965-09-26	37.06%	St. Louis Cardinals	1501.24	49	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1583.14	13
15	1965-10-24	37.43%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1383.58	20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1462.78	14
16	1965-10-17	37.65%	@ New York Giants	1407.91	35	Philadelphia Eagles	1485.44	27
17	1965-11-28	39.20%	Philadelphia Eagles	1435.80	28	@ St. Louis Cardinals	1501.96	24
18	1965-10-31	39.73%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1403.28	22	Dallas Cowboys	1465.60	13
19	1965-12-12	40.32%	Green Bay Packers	1603.41	42	@ Baltimore Colts	1661.48	27
20	1965-11-14	40.65%	San Francisco 49ers	1469.56	27	@ Detroit Lions	1525.25	21
21	1965-10-24	40.67%	@ Chicago Bears	1469.33	38	Detroit Lions	1524.83	10
22	1965-10-10	40.86%	Philadelphia Eagles	1460.28	35	@ Dallas Cowboys	1514.41	24
23	1965-11-07	41.68%	@ Dallas Cowboys	1442.39	39	San Francisco 49ers	1490.71	31
24	1965-09-19	42.20%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1476.29	34	St. Louis Cardinals	1520.84	27
25	1965-12-12	43.71%	New York Giants	1436.00	27	@ Washington Redskins	1469.85	10

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1965-12-12	61.29	@ Los Angeles Rams	42	1401.17	20.21%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	7	1629.58	76.92%
2	1965-09-26	48.55	St. Louis Cardinals	49	1501.24	37.06%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	13	1583.14	60.05%
3	1965-12-05	43.60	Los Angeles Rams	27	1357.58	31.01%	@ St. Louis Cardinals	3	1486.35	66.11%
4	1965-10-31	42.61	@ Chicago Bears	31	1509.60	28.05%	Green Bay Packers	10	1663.10	69.07%
5	1965-10-24	40.27	@ Chicago Bears	38	1469.33	40.67%	Detroit Lions	10	1524.83	56.44%
6	1965-11-28	37.34	@ Los Angeles Rams	21	1320.24	13.62%	Green Bay Packers	10	1630.95	83.51%
7	1965-09-19	35.78	@ San Francisco 49ers	52	1456.60	47.09%	Chicago Bears	24	1466.81	50.03%
8	1965-10-10	34.64	@ Chicago Bears	31	1411.71	45.84%	Los Angeles Rams	6	1430.63	51.27%
9	1965-11-21	32.94	New York Giants	28	1391.65	29.26%	@ St. Louis Cardinals	15	1534.90	67.86%
10	1965-12-12	32.63	Minnesota Vikings	29	1463.47	45.63%	@ Detroit Lions	7	1483.90	51.49%
11	1965-11-14	32.32	@ Chicago Bears	34	1541.69	44.90%	St. Louis Cardinals	13	1567.22	52.22%
12	1965-09-19	31.38	@ Dallas Cowboys	31	1472.46	54.19%	New York Giants	2	1433.03	42.93%
13	1965-11-21	31.17	Washington Redskins	31	1439.05	53.71%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	3	1403.00	43.40%
14	1965-11-28	30.93	San Francisco 49ers	45	1494.65	47.18%	@ Minnesota Vikings	24	1504.20	49.93%
15	1965-10-10	30.76	@ Baltimore Colts	31	1586.14	50.77%	Detroit Lions	7	1570.71	46.34%
16	1965-12-12	30.46	@ Chicago Bears	61	1634.39	62.25%	San Francisco 49ers	20	1535.94	34.87%
17	1965-12-12	29.72	New York Giants	27	1436.00	43.71%	@ Washington Redskins	10	1469.85	53.40%
18	1965-12-12	29.66	Green Bay Packers	42	1603.41	40.32%	@ Baltimore Colts	27	1661.48	56.80%
19	1965-12-05	29.43	Chicago Bears	13	1604.96	36.52%	@ Baltimore Colts	0	1690.91	60.60%
20	1965-12-05	28.32	@ New York Giants	35	1407.69	55.44%	Pittsburgh Steelers	10	1359.39	41.68%
21	1965-09-26	27.01	@ Dallas Cowboys	27	1503.84	52.59%	Washington Redskins	7	1475.66	44.52%
22	1965-10-09	26.99	@ Minnesota Vikings	40	1503.26	58.22%	New York Giants	14	1434.90	38.90%
23	1965-09-19	26.68	Green Bay Packers	41	1570.85	62.56%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	9	1470.05	34.56%
24	1965-12-12	26.45	Philadelphia Eagles	47	1442.23	63.89%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	13	1331.07	33.22%
25	1965-11-07	26.16	Washington Redskins	23	1431.92	48.78%	@ New York Giants	7	1430.39	48.34%