1955 NFL Season

72 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Cleveland Browns (1st)

3rd Title

Last Title: 1954

Runner-Up

Los Angeles Rams

5th Appearance

Last Appearance: 1951

Biggest Overachiever

Washington Redskins

2.49 wins above expected

8 wins · 5.51 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Detroit Lions

2.80 wins below expected

3 wins · 5.80 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cleveland Browns (1st) Division	9	2	1	.792	—	349	218	+131	8.09	+1.41
2	Washington Redskins	8	4	0	.667	1.5	246	222	+24	5.51	+2.49
3	New York Giants	6	5	1	.542	3	267	223	+44	6.00	+0.50
4	Philadelphia Eagles	4	7	1	.375	5	248	231	+17	6.14	-1.64
5	Chicago Cardinals	4	7	1	.375	5	224	252	-28	4.79	-0.29
6	Pittsburgh Steelers	4	8	0	.333	5.5	195	285	-90	5.40	-1.40

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Los Angeles Rams Division	8	3	1	.708	—	260	231	+29	6.87	+1.63
2	Chicago Bears	8	4	0	.667	0.5	294	251	+43	6.68	+1.32
3	Green Bay Packers	6	6	0	.500	2.5	258	276	-18	5.67	+0.33
4	Baltimore Colts	5	6	1	.458	3	214	239	-25	5.27	+0.23
5	San Francisco 49ers	4	8	0	.333	4.5	216	298	-82	5.78	-1.78
6	Detroit Lions	3	9	0	.250	5.5	230	275	-45	5.80	-2.80

Playoff Bracket

NFL Championship Game

Cleveland Browns (1st) 38

Los Angeles Rams 14

Dec 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Cleveland Browns (1st)	East	1666	9.5	8.09	+1.41	85.74%	2	5	7	8	9	10	12
Los Angeles Rams	West	1571	8.5	6.87	+1.63	87.35%	1	4	6	7	8	9	12
Chicago Bears	West	1566	8	6.68	+1.32	89.93%	1	4	5	6	8	9	12
New York Giants	East	1566	6.5	6.00	+0.50	67.53%	0	3	5	6	7	8	11
Philadelphia Eagles	East	1512	4.5	6.14	-1.64	19.78%	0	3	5	6	7	9	12
Washington Redskins	East	1511	8	5.51	+2.49	97.72%	0	3	4	5	6	8	11
Green Bay Packers	West	1489	6	5.67	+0.33	74.68%	0	3	4	5	7	8	11
Detroit Lions	West	1462	3	5.80	-2.80	10.73%	0	3	4	6	7	8	11
Chicago Cardinals	East	1428	4.5	4.79	-0.29	49.65%	0	2	3	5	6	7	11
Baltimore Colts	West	1418	5.5	5.27	+0.23	62.03%	0	2	4	5	6	8	11
San Francisco 49ers	West	1414	4	5.78	-1.78	26.85%	0	3	4	6	7	8	11
Pittsburgh Steelers	East	1398	4	5.40	-1.40	34.80%	0	3	4	5	6	8	11

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	Cardinals	(1st)	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Redskins
Chicago Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-0-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-0-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Colts	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	49ers
Chicago Cardinals	—	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	—
Cleveland Browns (1st)	—	—	—	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
New York Giants	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	—
Philadelphia Eagles	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	—
Pittsburgh Steelers	—	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—
Washington Redskins	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	—	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)

Within West

Team	Colts	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	49ers
Baltimore Colts	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Chicago Bears	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-0-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	Cardinals	(1st)	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Redskins
Baltimore Colts	—	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
Chicago Bears	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	—
Detroit Lions	—	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	—
Green Bay Packers	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	—	—	—	—
Los Angeles Rams	—	—	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—
San Francisco 49ers	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	—	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	1.39%	—	2.78%	0.69%	0.69%	—	5.56%
7–13	1.39%	1.39%	4.17%	2.78%	2.78%	2.08%	—	14.58%
14–20	—	4.17%	6.94%	11.81%	4.17%	0.69%	0.69%	28.47%
21–27	2.78%	2.78%	11.81%	6.94%	2.08%	2.08%	—	28.47%
28–34	0.69%	2.78%	4.17%	2.08%	4.17%	—	0.69%	14.58%
35–41	0.69%	2.08%	0.69%	2.08%	—	1.39%	—	6.94%
42+	—	—	0.69%	—	0.69%	—	—	1.39%
Total	5.56%	14.58%	28.47%	28.47%	14.58%	6.94%	1.39%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.84	20.84	+0.00
SD	9.90	9.90	14.82
CV	0.48	0.48	—
Max	53	53	+39
Min	0	0	-39

Games Played: 72

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	16.67%	—	—	8.33%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
21–27	—	—	25.00%	—	—	8.33%	—	33.33%
28–34	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	16.67%	58.33%	8.33%	—	16.67%	—	100%

Baltimore Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.83	19.92	-2.08
SD	6.87	8.60	11.78
CV	0.39	0.43	—
Max	28	38	+15
Min	7	10	-28

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	33.33%
21–27	8.33%	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
Total	8.33%	16.67%	33.33%	25.00%	8.33%	—	8.33%	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.50	20.92	+3.58
SD	12.79	12.65	18.84
CV	0.52	0.60	—
Max	52	53	+28
Min	3	3	-39

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
7–13	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
14–20	—	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
21–27	—	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	33.33%
28–34	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	—	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	16.67%	8.33%	—	100%

Chicago Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.67	21.00	-2.33
SD	15.14	8.97	19.31
CV	0.81	0.43	—
Max	53	35	+39
Min	0	10	-31

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
21–27	—	—	33.33%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
28–34	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	41.67%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	16.67%	41.67%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.08	18.17	+10.92
SD	8.81	9.97	15.79
CV	0.30	0.55	—
Max	41	35	+35
Min	17	3	-16

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	8.33%	25.00%	—	—	—	33.33%
21–27	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	33.33%
28–34	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	8.33%	25.00%	41.67%	16.67%	8.33%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.17	22.92	-3.75
SD	6.07	7.34	9.36
CV	0.32	0.32	—
Max	31	38	+14
Min	10	10	-17

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
28–34	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	33.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	8.33%	25.00%	25.00%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.50	23.00	-1.50
SD	8.27	13.86	16.57
CV	0.38	0.60	—
Max	31	52	+21
Min	10	3	-31

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	8.33%	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
21–27	—	8.33%	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	41.67%
28–34	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	16.67%	41.67%	25.00%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.67	19.25	+2.42
SD	7.33	7.02	10.24
CV	0.34	0.36	—
Max	31	31	+14
Min	3	10	-21

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
14–20	—	8.33%	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	41.67%
21–27	—	—	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%	—	16.67%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	25.00%	25.00%	16.67%	16.67%	8.33%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.25	18.58	+3.67
SD	8.29	11.03	12.96
CV	0.37	0.59	—
Max	35	35	+28
Min	10	0	-11

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
21–27	16.67%	—	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	50.00%
28–34	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	8.33%	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.67	19.25	+1.42
SD	8.75	10.54	14.57
CV	0.42	0.55	—
Max	33	34	+24
Min	7	0	-24

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	41.67%
21–27	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
28–34	—	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	16.67%	8.33%	41.67%	25.00%	8.33%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.25	23.75	-7.50
SD	8.61	9.71	12.45
CV	0.53	0.41	—
Max	30	41	+7
Min	0	7	-27

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%	—	16.67%
7–13	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
14–20	—	—	8.33%	25.00%	—	—	—	33.33%
21–27	—	—	—	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	8.33%	8.33%	58.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.00	24.83	-6.83
SD	11.78	7.69	13.90
CV	0.65	0.31	—
Max	38	38	+17
Min	0	7	-35

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	8.33%	—	16.67%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
28–34	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	8.33%	25.00%	33.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.50	18.50	+2.00
SD	9.85	10.80	15.27
CV	0.48	0.58	—
Max	34	35	+31
Min	7	0	-28

Games Played: 12

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Washington Redskins	8	5.51	+2.49
2	Los Angeles Rams	8.5	6.87	+1.63
3	Cleveland Browns (1st)	9.5	8.09	+1.41
4	Chicago Bears	8	6.68	+1.32
5	New York Giants	6.5	6.00	+0.50

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Detroit Lions	3	5.80	-2.80
2	San Francisco 49ers	4	5.78	-1.78
3	Philadelphia Eagles	4.5	6.14	-1.64
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	4	5.40	-1.40
5	Chicago Cardinals	4.5	4.79	-0.29

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Chicago Bears	6	Oct 16 – Nov 20	1 in 89
2	Washington Redskins	4	Nov 6 – Nov 27	1 in 26
3	Cleveland Browns (1st)	6	Oct 2 – Nov 6	1 in 19
4	Baltimore Colts	3	Sep 25 – Oct 8	1 in 16
5	Los Angeles Rams	3	Sep 25 – Oct 9	1 in 12

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Detroit Lions	6	Sep 25 – Oct 30	1 in 80
2	Pittsburgh Steelers	7	Oct 30 – Dec 11	1 in 61
3	San Francisco 49ers	5	Nov 6 – Dec 4	1 in 17
4	Chicago Bears	3	Sep 25 – Oct 9	1 in 10
5	Philadelphia Eagles	3	Oct 1 – Oct 15	1 in 10

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Cleveland Browns (1st)	58.24%	21.33%	11.01%	5.36%	2.94%	1.12%
Philadelphia Eagles	13.72%	21.18%	19.71%	18.31%	15.46%	11.62%
New York Giants	11.90%	20.82%	20.18%	18.66%	15.88%	12.56%
Washington Redskins	7.06%	14.27%	18.31%	21.10%	20.18%	19.08%
Pittsburgh Steelers	6.13%	13.66%	18.36%	19.92%	21.11%	20.82%
Chicago Cardinals	2.95%	8.74%	12.43%	16.65%	24.43%	34.80%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Los Angeles Rams	30.08%	22.57%	16.72%	13.66%	10.32%	6.65%
Chicago Bears	27.40%	21.74%	17.70%	14.36%	11.01%	7.79%
Detroit Lions	12.04%	15.21%	17.68%	18.52%	17.68%	18.87%
San Francisco 49ers	12.46%	15.21%	16.56%	17.60%	19.33%	18.84%
Green Bay Packers	10.13%	14.25%	17.33%	18.53%	19.69%	20.07%
Baltimore Colts	7.89%	11.02%	14.01%	17.33%	21.97%	27.78%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Cleveland Browns (1st)	38.63%	20.75%	11.68%	8.74%	5.88%	5.02%	3.24%	2.14%	1.75%	1.07%	0.69%	0.41%
Los Angeles Rams	13.47%	15.17%	12.99%	11.08%	9.61%	8.09%	7.77%	5.84%	5.50%	4.59%	3.82%	2.07%
Chicago Bears	11.36%	14.76%	11.89%	11.01%	9.78%	8.50%	7.62%	6.86%	5.92%	4.87%	4.61%	2.82%
Philadelphia Eagles	7.38%	8.15%	9.97%	9.81%	9.41%	9.21%	8.90%	9.21%	8.35%	7.69%	6.34%	5.58%
New York Giants	6.14%	7.11%	9.24%	9.74%	9.42%	9.75%	9.44%	9.06%	8.39%	8.06%	7.09%	6.56%
Detroit Lions	4.19%	7.25%	7.71%	8.67%	8.70%	9.25%	9.15%	9.76%	9.09%	8.79%	9.10%	8.34%
San Francisco 49ers	5.18%	6.39%	7.75%	7.91%	9.09%	8.65%	9.15%	9.16%	9.86%	9.35%	9.24%	8.27%
Green Bay Packers	3.77%	5.75%	7.27%	7.71%	9.07%	8.87%	10.09%	9.44%	9.28%	9.47%	10.36%	8.92%
Washington Redskins	3.31%	4.10%	6.25%	7.37%	8.33%	9.67%	9.17%	10.82%	10.03%	10.25%	10.04%	10.66%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.70%	4.12%	5.91%	7.09%	8.27%	8.72%	9.59%	9.84%	10.30%	10.87%	10.88%	11.71%
Baltimore Colts	2.59%	4.32%	5.59%	6.71%	6.80%	7.65%	8.73%	8.90%	11.11%	11.44%	12.83%	13.33%
Chicago Cardinals	1.28%	2.13%	3.75%	4.16%	5.64%	6.62%	7.15%	8.97%	10.42%	13.55%	15.00%	21.33%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Cleveland Browns (1st)	58.24%	41.76%
Philadelphia Eagles	13.72%	86.28%
New York Giants	11.90%	88.10%
Washington Redskins	7.06%	92.94%
Pittsburgh Steelers	6.13%	93.87%
Chicago Cardinals	2.95%	97.05%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Los Angeles Rams	30.08%	69.92%
Chicago Bears	27.40%	72.60%
San Francisco 49ers	12.46%	87.54%
Detroit Lions	12.04%	87.96%
Green Bay Packers	10.13%	89.87%
Baltimore Colts	7.89%	92.11%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Super Bowl
Cleveland Browns (1st)	58.24%	32.62%
Los Angeles Rams	30.08%	17.84%
Chicago Bears	27.40%	16.38%
Detroit Lions	12.04%	5.45%
Green Bay Packers	10.13%	5.28%
New York Giants	11.90%	5.12%
Philadelphia Eagles	13.72%	4.90%
San Francisco 49ers	12.46%	4.89%
Baltimore Colts	7.89%	3.15%
Washington Redskins	7.06%	2.28%
Pittsburgh Steelers	6.13%	1.34%
Chicago Cardinals	2.95%	0.75%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Chicago Bears	Chicago Cardinals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Redskins
Baltimore Colts			0.15%	1.53%				0.25%	0.61%	0.41%		0.20%
Chicago Bears			0.50%	8.28%				2.28%	2.41%	1.56%		1.35%
Chicago Cardinals	0.09%	0.11%			0.12%	0.06%	0.17%				0.20%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	3.37%	7.90%			4.63%	3.32%	8.74%				4.66%
Detroit Lions			0.20%	2.72%				0.57%	1.08%	0.38%		0.50%
Green Bay Packers			0.14%	2.08%				0.70%	1.07%	0.62%		0.67%
Los Angeles Rams			0.87%	9.10%				2.32%	2.68%	1.20%		1.67%
New York Giants	0.42%	1.19%			0.60%	0.40%	1.57%				0.94%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.47%	0.93%			0.68%	0.62%	1.04%				1.16%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.17%	0.36%			0.17%	0.16%	0.21%				0.27%
San Francisco 49ers			0.34%	1.91%				0.66%	0.97%	0.62%		0.39%
Washington Redskins	0.22%	0.53%			0.39%	0.29%	0.51%				0.34%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team	Won Super Bowl
Los Angeles Rams	51.44%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	48.56%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Los Angeles Rams
Cleveland Browns (1st)		48.56%
Los Angeles Rams	51.44%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Los Angeles Rams 51.44% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

51.44%

Cleveland Browns (1st) 48.56% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

48.56%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1955-09-25	Chicago Bears	W 23-17	1413.64	1509.12	49.22%	46.66%	+14.96	1-0
1955-10-01	Detroit Lions	W 28-13	1428.60	1543.79	46.39%	49.50%	+25.04	2-0
1955-10-08	@ Green Bay Packers	W 24-20	1453.64	1507.45	27.01%	68.89%	+17.89	3-0
1955-10-16	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-38	1471.53	1465.05	34.37%	61.52%	-24.07	3-1
1955-10-23	Washington Redskins	L 13-14	1447.46	1430.91	64.45%	31.45%	-8.37	3-2
1955-10-29	Green Bay Packers	W 14-10	1439.09	1483.12	56.48%	39.41%	+10.38	4-2
1955-11-05	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-24	1449.47	1454.84	32.85%	63.04%	-13.76	4-3
1955-11-13	@ New York Giants	L 7-17	1435.71	1493.70	26.54%	69.36%	-11.18	4-4
1955-11-20	Los Angeles Rams	T 17-17	1424.53	1539.58	46.41%	49.48%	+0.09	4-4
1955-11-27	San Francisco 49ers	W 26-14	1424.62	1448.20	59.26%	36.63%	+16.76	5-4
1955-12-04	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 14-20	1441.38	1550.38	21.22%	74.70%	-6.96	5-5
1955-12-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 24-35	1434.42	1397.20	38.47%	57.41%	-16.82	5-6
1955-09-25	@ Baltimore Colts	L 17-23	1509.12	1413.64	46.66%	49.22%	-14.97	0-1
1955-10-02	@ Green Bay Packers	L 3-24	1494.15	1486.52	34.52%	61.37%	-20.93	0-2
1955-10-09	San Francisco 49ers	L 19-20	1473.22	1469.16	62.87%	33.02%	-8.17	0-3
1955-10-16	Baltimore Colts	W 38-10	1465.05	1471.53	61.52%	34.37%	+24.07	1-3
1955-10-23	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 34-23	1489.12	1491.96	33.17%	62.72%	+27.02	2-3
1955-10-30	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 31-20	1516.14	1577.37	26.18%	69.72%	+30.02	3-3
1955-11-06	Green Bay Packers	W 52-31	1546.16	1472.74	71.06%	24.84%	+15.19	4-3
1955-11-13	Los Angeles Rams	W 24-3	1561.35	1559.81	62.55%	33.34%	+20.23	5-3
1955-11-20	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-14	1581.58	1482.85	47.13%	48.75%	+20.15	6-3
1955-11-27	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 14-53	1601.73	1401.33	61.27%	34.61%	-49.71	6-4
1955-12-04	Detroit Lions	W 21-20	1552.02	1480.81	70.82%	25.08%	+3.35	7-4
1955-12-11	Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-10	1555.37	1522.81	66.40%	29.49%	+10.37	8-4
1955-09-26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-14	1427.08	1476.57	27.50%	68.39%	-9.68	0-1
1955-10-02	New York Giants	W 28-17	1417.40	1511.04	49.48%	46.40%	+20.15	1-1
1955-10-09	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-10	1437.55	1480.65	28.24%	67.65%	+32.86	2-1
1955-10-16	@ New York Giants	L 0-10	1470.41	1478.78	32.47%	63.42%	-13.61	2-2
1955-10-23	Philadelphia Eagles	T 24-24	1456.80	1513.97	54.66%	41.23%	-0.42	2-2
1955-10-30	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 20-26	1456.38	1636.03	37.37%	58.52%	-12.09	2-3
1955-11-05	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-13	1444.29	1496.15	55.40%	40.49%	+19.95	3-3
1955-11-13	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-31	1464.24	1457.55	34.40%	61.49%	-18.77	3-4
1955-11-20	Washington Redskins	L 0-31	1445.47	1455.78	61.02%	34.87%	-44.14	3-5
1955-11-27	Chicago Bears	W 53-14	1401.33	1601.73	34.61%	61.27%	+49.71	4-5
1955-12-04	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-27	1451.04	1505.21	26.97%	68.93%	-17.60	4-6
1955-12-11	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 24-35	1433.44	1660.32	12.02%	83.93%	-5.38	4-7
1955-09-25	Washington Redskins	L 17-27	1585.69	1439.38	78.08%	17.85%	-32.08	0-1
1955-10-02	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 38-3	1553.61	1512.98	38.94%	56.95%	+43.83	1-1
1955-10-09	Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-17	1597.44	1533.03	70.08%	25.82%	+6.88	2-1
1955-10-16	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-14	1604.32	1447.79	55.35%	40.54%	+16.87	3-1
1955-10-23	Green Bay Packers	W 41-10	1621.19	1497.95	76.04%	19.88%	+14.84	4-1
1955-10-30	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 26-20	1636.03	1456.38	58.52%	37.37%	+12.08	5-1
1955-11-06	New York Giants	W 24-14	1648.11	1501.26	78.12%	17.80%	+7.56	6-1
1955-11-13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-33	1655.67	1513.02	53.40%	42.48%	-27.83	6-2
1955-11-20	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 41-14	1627.84	1461.97	79.68%	16.26%	+11.35	7-2
1955-11-27	@ New York Giants	T 35-35	1639.19	1529.63	48.69%	47.19%	-0.05	7-2
1955-12-04	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 30-7	1639.14	1428.84	62.55%	33.34%	+21.18	8-2
1955-12-11	Chicago Cardinals	W 35-24	1660.32	1433.44	83.93%	12.02%	+5.38	9-2
1955-09-25	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-20	1553.81	1476.50	44.07%	51.82%	-10.02	0-1
1955-10-01	@ Baltimore Colts	L 13-28	1543.79	1428.60	49.50%	46.39%	-25.04	0-2
1955-10-09	Los Angeles Rams	L 10-17	1518.75	1555.40	57.49%	38.39%	-19.78	0-3
1955-10-16	San Francisco 49ers	L 24-27	1498.97	1477.32	65.08%	30.81%	-14.63	0-4
1955-10-23	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 13-24	1484.34	1566.79	23.88%	72.02%	-10.58	0-5
1955-10-30	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 21-38	1473.76	1464.94	34.68%	61.21%	-18.92	0-6
1955-11-05	Baltimore Colts	W 24-14	1454.84	1449.47	63.04%	32.85%	+13.77	1-6
1955-11-13	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-28	1468.61	1476.21	32.57%	63.32%	+14.24	2-6
1955-11-20	Chicago Bears	L 14-24	1482.85	1581.58	48.75%	47.13%	-20.15	2-7
1955-11-24	Green Bay Packers	W 24-10	1462.70	1486.48	59.23%	36.66%	+18.11	3-7
1955-12-04	@ Chicago Bears	L 20-21	1480.81	1552.02	25.08%	70.82%	-3.34	3-8
1955-12-11	New York Giants	L 19-24	1477.47	1550.75	52.39%	43.50%	-15.27	3-9
1955-09-25	Detroit Lions	W 20-17	1476.50	1553.81	51.82%	44.07%	+10.02	1-0
1955-10-02	Chicago Bears	W 24-3	1486.52	1494.15	61.37%	34.52%	+20.93	2-0
1955-10-08	Baltimore Colts	L 20-24	1507.45	1453.64	68.89%	27.01%	-17.88	2-1
1955-10-16	Los Angeles Rams	W 30-28	1489.57	1575.18	50.63%	45.25%	+8.38	3-1
1955-10-23	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-41	1497.95	1621.19	19.88%	76.04%	-14.83	3-2
1955-10-29	@ Baltimore Colts	L 10-14	1483.12	1439.09	39.41%	56.48%	-10.38	3-3
1955-11-06	@ Chicago Bears	L 31-52	1472.74	1546.16	24.84%	71.06%	-15.19	3-4
1955-11-13	Chicago Cardinals	W 31-14	1457.55	1464.24	61.49%	34.40%	+18.77	4-4
1955-11-20	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-21	1476.32	1458.37	64.62%	31.27%	+10.16	5-4
1955-11-24	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-24	1486.48	1462.70	36.66%	59.23%	-18.11	5-5
1955-12-04	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 28-7	1468.37	1431.45	38.43%	57.45%	+34.24	6-5
1955-12-11	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 17-31	1502.61	1557.34	26.91%	68.99%	-13.41	6-6
1955-09-25	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 23-14	1527.15	1537.80	32.18%	63.71%	+24.82	1-0
1955-10-02	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-26	1551.97	1486.26	70.22%	25.68%	+3.43	2-0
1955-10-09	@ Detroit Lions	W 17-10	1555.40	1518.75	38.39%	57.49%	+19.78	3-0
1955-10-16	@ Green Bay Packers	L 28-30	1575.18	1489.57	45.25%	50.63%	-8.39	3-1
1955-10-23	Detroit Lions	W 24-13	1566.79	1484.34	72.02%	23.88%	+10.58	4-1
1955-10-30	Chicago Bears	L 20-31	1577.37	1516.14	69.72%	26.18%	-30.02	4-2
1955-11-06	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-14	1547.35	1483.86	69.98%	25.93%	+12.46	5-2
1955-11-13	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-24	1559.81	1561.35	33.34%	62.55%	-20.23	5-3
1955-11-20	@ Baltimore Colts	T 17-17	1539.58	1424.53	49.48%	46.41%	-0.10	5-3
1955-11-27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-21	1539.48	1516.11	36.60%	59.28%	+10.90	6-3
1955-12-04	Baltimore Colts	W 20-14	1550.38	1441.38	74.70%	21.22%	+6.96	7-3
1955-12-11	Green Bay Packers	W 31-17	1557.34	1502.61	68.99%	26.91%	+13.41	8-3
1955-09-24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-27	1524.90	1528.35	33.09%	62.80%	-13.86	0-1
1955-10-02	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 17-28	1511.04	1417.40	46.40%	49.48%	-20.16	0-2
1955-10-09	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 23-30	1490.88	1482.84	34.58%	61.31%	-12.10	0-3
1955-10-16	Chicago Cardinals	W 10-0	1478.78	1470.41	63.42%	32.47%	+13.61	1-3
1955-10-23	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-19	1492.39	1507.11	60.44%	35.45%	-11.11	1-4
1955-10-30	Washington Redskins	W 35-7	1481.28	1439.28	67.52%	28.37%	+19.98	2-4
1955-11-06	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-24	1501.26	1648.11	17.80%	78.12%	-7.56	2-5
1955-11-13	Baltimore Colts	W 17-7	1493.70	1435.71	69.36%	26.54%	+11.18	3-5
1955-11-20	Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-7	1504.88	1540.85	57.58%	38.30%	+24.75	4-5
1955-11-27	Cleveland Browns (1st)	T 35-35	1529.63	1639.19	47.19%	48.69%	+0.04	4-5
1955-12-04	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-20	1529.67	1521.68	34.57%	61.32%	+21.08	5-5
1955-12-11	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-19	1550.75	1477.47	43.50%	52.39%	+15.27	6-5
1955-09-24	New York Giants	W 27-17	1528.35	1524.90	62.80%	33.09%	+13.86	1-0
1955-10-01	Washington Redskins	L 30-31	1542.21	1471.46	70.77%	25.13%	-9.18	1-1
1955-10-09	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-21	1533.03	1597.44	25.82%	70.08%	-6.89	1-2
1955-10-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-13	1526.14	1494.94	37.65%	58.23%	-12.17	1-3
1955-10-23	@ Chicago Cardinals	T 24-24	1513.97	1456.80	41.23%	54.66%	+0.42	1-3
1955-10-30	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-0	1514.39	1518.22	61.86%	34.03%	+22.07	2-3
1955-11-06	@ Washington Redskins	L 21-34	1536.46	1419.31	49.78%	46.11%	-23.44	2-4
1955-11-13	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 33-17	1513.02	1655.67	42.48%	53.40%	+27.83	3-4
1955-11-20	@ New York Giants	L 7-31	1540.85	1504.88	38.30%	57.58%	-24.74	3-5
1955-11-27	Los Angeles Rams	L 21-23	1516.11	1539.48	59.28%	36.60%	-10.90	3-6
1955-12-04	Chicago Cardinals	W 27-3	1505.21	1451.04	68.93%	26.97%	+17.60	4-6
1955-12-11	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-17	1522.81	1555.37	29.49%	66.40%	-10.37	4-7
1955-09-26	Chicago Cardinals	W 14-7	1476.57	1427.08	68.39%	27.50%	+9.69	1-0
1955-10-02	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 26-27	1486.26	1551.97	25.68%	70.22%	-3.42	1-1
1955-10-09	New York Giants	W 30-23	1482.84	1490.88	61.31%	34.58%	+12.10	2-1
1955-10-15	Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-7	1494.94	1526.14	58.23%	37.65%	+12.17	3-1
1955-10-23	@ New York Giants	W 19-17	1507.11	1492.39	35.45%	60.44%	+11.11	4-1
1955-10-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 0-24	1518.22	1514.39	34.03%	61.86%	-22.07	4-2
1955-11-05	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 13-27	1496.15	1444.29	40.49%	55.40%	-19.94	4-3
1955-11-13	Detroit Lions	L 28-31	1476.21	1468.61	63.32%	32.57%	-14.24	4-4
1955-11-20	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-41	1461.97	1627.84	16.26%	79.68%	-11.36	4-5
1955-11-27	Washington Redskins	L 14-23	1450.61	1499.91	55.75%	40.13%	-21.77	4-6
1955-12-04	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-30	1428.84	1639.14	33.34%	62.55%	-21.17	4-7
1955-12-11	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-28	1407.67	1500.60	22.80%	73.10%	-10.11	4-8
1955-09-25	Los Angeles Rams	L 14-23	1537.80	1527.15	63.71%	32.18%	-24.82	0-1
1955-10-02	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 3-38	1512.98	1553.61	56.95%	38.94%	-43.82	0-2
1955-10-09	@ Chicago Bears	W 20-19	1469.16	1473.22	33.02%	62.87%	+8.16	1-2
1955-10-16	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-24	1477.32	1498.97	30.81%	65.08%	+14.64	2-2
1955-10-23	Chicago Bears	L 23-34	1491.96	1489.12	62.72%	33.17%	-27.02	2-3
1955-10-30	Detroit Lions	W 38-21	1464.94	1473.76	61.21%	34.68%	+18.92	3-3
1955-11-06	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 14-27	1483.86	1547.35	25.93%	69.98%	-12.46	3-4
1955-11-13	@ Washington Redskins	L 0-7	1471.40	1442.75	37.31%	58.58%	-13.03	3-5
1955-11-20	@ Green Bay Packers	L 21-27	1458.37	1476.32	31.27%	64.62%	-10.17	3-6
1955-11-27	@ Baltimore Colts	L 14-26	1448.20	1424.62	36.63%	59.26%	-16.75	3-7
1955-12-04	Green Bay Packers	L 7-28	1431.45	1468.37	57.45%	38.43%	-34.25	3-8
1955-12-11	Baltimore Colts	W 35-24	1397.20	1434.42	57.41%	38.47%	+16.83	4-8
1955-09-25	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 27-17	1439.38	1585.69	17.85%	78.08%	+32.08	1-0
1955-10-01	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-30	1471.46	1542.21	25.13%	70.77%	+9.19	2-0
1955-10-09	Chicago Cardinals	L 10-24	1480.65	1437.55	67.65%	28.24%	-32.86	2-1
1955-10-16	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-24	1447.79	1604.32	40.54%	55.35%	-16.88	2-2
1955-10-23	@ Baltimore Colts	W 14-13	1430.91	1447.46	31.45%	64.45%	+8.37	3-2
1955-10-30	@ New York Giants	L 7-35	1439.28	1481.28	28.37%	67.52%	-19.97	3-3
1955-11-06	Philadelphia Eagles	W 34-21	1419.31	1536.46	46.11%	49.78%	+23.44	4-3
1955-11-13	San Francisco 49ers	W 7-0	1442.75	1471.40	58.58%	37.31%	+13.03	5-3
1955-11-20	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 31-0	1455.78	1445.47	34.87%	61.02%	+44.13	6-3
1955-11-27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-14	1499.91	1450.61	40.13%	55.75%	+21.77	7-3
1955-12-04	New York Giants	L 20-27	1521.68	1529.67	61.32%	34.57%	-21.08	7-4
1955-12-11	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-17	1500.60	1407.67	73.10%	22.80%	+10.12	8-4

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1955-12-26	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 38-14	1665.70	1570.75	48.65%	51.35%	+31.55	1-0
1955-12-26	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-38	1570.75	1665.70	51.35%	48.65%	-31.55	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1955-09-25	17.85%	Washington Redskins	1439.38	27	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1585.69	17
2	1955-10-01	25.13%	Washington Redskins	1471.46	31	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1542.21	30
3	1955-10-30	26.18%	Chicago Bears	1516.14	31	@ Los Angeles Rams	1577.37	20
4	1955-10-08	27.01%	Baltimore Colts	1453.64	24	@ Green Bay Packers	1507.45	20
5	1955-10-09	28.24%	Chicago Cardinals	1437.55	24	@ Washington Redskins	1480.65	10
6	1955-10-16	30.81%	San Francisco 49ers	1477.32	27	@ Detroit Lions	1498.97	24
7	1955-10-23	31.45%	Washington Redskins	1430.91	14	@ Baltimore Colts	1447.46	13
8	1955-09-25	32.18%	Los Angeles Rams	1527.15	23	@ San Francisco 49ers	1537.80	14
9	1955-11-13	32.57%	Detroit Lions	1468.61	31	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1476.21	28
10	1955-10-09	33.02%	San Francisco 49ers	1469.16	20	@ Chicago Bears	1473.22	19
11	1955-10-23	33.17%	Chicago Bears	1489.12	34	@ San Francisco 49ers	1491.96	23
12	1955-12-04	34.57%	New York Giants	1529.67	27	@ Washington Redskins	1521.68	20
13	1955-11-27	34.61%	@ Chicago Cardinals	1401.33	53	Chicago Bears	1601.73	14
14	1955-11-20	34.87%	Washington Redskins	1455.78	31	@ Chicago Cardinals	1445.47	0
15	1955-10-23	35.45%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1507.11	19	@ New York Giants	1492.39	17
16	1955-11-27	36.60%	Los Angeles Rams	1539.48	23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1516.11	21
17	1955-10-09	38.39%	Los Angeles Rams	1555.40	17	@ Detroit Lions	1518.75	10
18	1955-12-04	38.43%	Green Bay Packers	1468.37	28	@ San Francisco 49ers	1431.45	7
19	1955-10-02	38.94%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1553.61	38	@ San Francisco 49ers	1512.98	3
20	1955-11-27	40.13%	Washington Redskins	1499.91	23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1450.61	14
21	1955-11-13	42.48%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1513.02	33	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1655.67	17
22	1955-12-11	43.50%	New York Giants	1550.75	24	@ Detroit Lions	1477.47	19
23	1955-11-06	46.11%	@ Washington Redskins	1419.31	34	Philadelphia Eagles	1536.46	21
24	1955-10-01	46.39%	@ Baltimore Colts	1428.60	28	Detroit Lions	1543.79	13
25	1955-11-20	47.13%	Chicago Bears	1581.58	24	@ Detroit Lions	1482.85	14

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1955-11-27	49.71	@ Chicago Cardinals	53	1401.33	34.61%	Chicago Bears	14	1601.73	61.27%
2	1955-11-20	44.14	Washington Redskins	31	1455.78	34.87%	@ Chicago Cardinals	0	1445.47	61.02%
3	1955-10-02	43.83	Cleveland Browns (1st)	38	1553.61	38.94%	@ San Francisco 49ers	3	1512.98	56.95%
4	1955-12-04	34.25	Green Bay Packers	28	1468.37	38.43%	@ San Francisco 49ers	7	1431.45	57.45%
5	1955-10-09	32.86	Chicago Cardinals	24	1437.55	28.24%	@ Washington Redskins	10	1480.65	67.65%
6	1955-09-25	32.08	Washington Redskins	27	1439.38	17.85%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	17	1585.69	78.08%
7	1955-12-26 *	31.55	Cleveland Browns (1st)	38	1665.70	48.65%	@ Los Angeles Rams	14	1570.75	51.35%
8	1955-10-30	30.02	Chicago Bears	31	1516.14	26.18%	@ Los Angeles Rams	20	1577.37	69.72%
9	1955-11-13	27.83	@ Philadelphia Eagles	33	1513.02	42.48%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	17	1655.67	53.40%
10	1955-10-23	27.02	Chicago Bears	34	1489.12	33.17%	@ San Francisco 49ers	23	1491.96	62.72%
11	1955-10-01	25.04	@ Baltimore Colts	28	1428.60	46.39%	Detroit Lions	13	1543.79	49.50%
12	1955-09-25	24.82	Los Angeles Rams	23	1527.15	32.18%	@ San Francisco 49ers	14	1537.80	63.71%
13	1955-11-20	24.75	@ New York Giants	31	1504.88	57.58%	Philadelphia Eagles	7	1540.85	38.30%
14	1955-10-16	24.07	@ Chicago Bears	38	1465.05	61.52%	Baltimore Colts	10	1471.53	34.37%
15	1955-11-06	23.44	@ Washington Redskins	34	1419.31	46.11%	Philadelphia Eagles	21	1536.46	49.78%
16	1955-10-30	22.07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	24	1514.39	61.86%	Pittsburgh Steelers	0	1518.22	34.03%
17	1955-11-27	21.77	Washington Redskins	23	1499.91	40.13%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	14	1450.61	55.75%
18	1955-12-04	21.18	Cleveland Browns (1st)	30	1639.14	62.55%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	7	1428.84	33.34%
19	1955-12-04	21.08	New York Giants	27	1529.67	34.57%	@ Washington Redskins	20	1521.68	61.32%
20	1955-10-02	20.93	@ Green Bay Packers	24	1486.52	61.37%	Chicago Bears	3	1494.15	34.52%
21	1955-11-13	20.23	@ Chicago Bears	24	1561.35	62.55%	Los Angeles Rams	3	1559.81	33.34%
22	1955-10-02	20.16	@ Chicago Cardinals	28	1417.40	49.48%	New York Giants	17	1511.04	46.40%
23	1955-11-20	20.15	Chicago Bears	24	1581.58	47.13%	@ Detroit Lions	14	1482.85	48.75%
24	1955-10-30	19.98	@ New York Giants	35	1481.28	67.52%	Washington Redskins	7	1439.28	28.37%
25	1955-11-05	19.95	@ Chicago Cardinals	27	1444.29	55.40%	Pittsburgh Steelers	13	1496.15	40.49%