Home / Leagues / WNBA / 2018

2018 WNBA Season

204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Seattle Storm

3rd Title

Last Title: 2010

Runner-Up

Washington Mystics

1

Biggest Overachiever

Atlanta Dream

6.30 wins above expected

23 wins · 16.70 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

New York Liberty

6.14 wins below expected

7 wins · 13.14 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Seattle Storm League 26 8 .765 87.2 79.7 +7.6 22.25 +3.75
2 Atlanta Dream Playoffs 23 11 .676 3 81.8 79.5 +2.3 16.70 +6.30
3 Washington Mystics Playoffs 22 12 .647 4 82.1 79.0 +3.1 18.89 +3.11
4 Connecticut Sun Playoffs 21 13 .618 5 87.6 81.7 +5.9 20.21 +0.79
5 Phoenix Mercury Playoffs 20 14 .588 6 85.8 83.2 +2.5 19.51 +0.49
6 Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs 19 15 .559 7 78.9 77.0 +1.9 20.76 -1.76
7 Minnesota Lynx Playoffs 18 16 .529 8 78.9 78.3 +0.7 20.70 -2.70
8 Dallas Wings Playoffs 15 19 .441 11 86.6 85.4 +1.3 17.30 -2.30
9 Las Vegas Aces 14 20 .412 12 81.9 84.5 -2.5 13.88 +0.12
10 Chicago Sky 13 21 .382 13 83.8 90.1 -6.3 12.36 +0.64
11 New York Liberty 7 27 .206 19 77.7 84.8 -7.1 13.14 -6.14
12 Indiana Fever 6 28 .176 20 76.4 85.7 -9.3 8.30 -2.30

Playoff Bracket

WNBA Playoffs

First Round

Los Angeles Sparks 75
Minnesota Lynx 68

Aug 21

Phoenix Mercury 101
Dallas Wings 83

Aug 21

Second Round

Phoenix Mercury 96
Connecticut Sun 86

Aug 23

Washington Mystics 96
Los Angeles Sparks 64

Aug 23

Semifinals

Washington Mystics 3
Atlanta Dream 2

5 games · Aug 26–Sep 4

Seattle Storm 3
Phoenix Mercury 2

5 games · Aug 26–Sep 4

WNBA Finals

Seattle Storm 3
Washington Mystics 0

3 games · Sep 7–Sep 12

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Seattle Storm 1680 26 22.25 +3.75 95.34% 12 18 20 22 24 26 31
Connecticut Sun 1632 21 20.21 +0.79 68.30% 10 16 18 20 22 25 29
Atlanta Dream 1614 23 16.70 +6.30 99.47% 6 12 15 17 19 21 26
Washington Mystics 1607 22 18.89 +3.11 90.09% 7 14 17 19 21 23 29
Phoenix Mercury 1546 20 19.51 +0.49 63.89% 9 15 18 19 21 24 30
Los Angeles Sparks 1538 19 20.76 -1.76 32.59% 11 16 19 21 23 25 30
Minnesota Lynx 1522 18 20.70 -2.70 20.56% 10 16 19 21 23 25 30
Dallas Wings 1456 15 17.30 -2.30 25.43% 7 13 15 17 19 22 27
Las Vegas Aces 1429 14 13.88 +0.12 59.45% 2 9 12 14 16 18 24
Chicago Sky 1402 13 12.36 +0.64 67.21% 4 8 11 12 14 17 23
New York Liberty 1287 7 13.14 -6.14 1.31% 5 9 11 13 15 17 24
Indiana Fever 1287 6 8.30 -2.30 23.42% 0 4 7 8 10 12 18

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team Dream Sky Sun Wings Fever Aces Sparks Lynx Liberty Mercury Storm Mystics
Atlanta Dream
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
3-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
3-0
(1.9 exp.)
2-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
2-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
Chicago Sky
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
2-1
(0.8 exp.)
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
2-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
2-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
0-3
(0.9 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
0-3
(2.0 exp.)
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
3-0
(1.7 exp.)
3-0
(2.4 exp.)
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
3-0
(1.5 exp.)
3-0
(1.6 exp.)
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
0-3
(1.3 exp.)
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
Dallas Wings
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
1-2
(2.2 exp.)
0-3
(1.3 exp.)
2-1
(2.3 exp.)
3-0
(1.7 exp.)
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
Indiana Fever
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
0-3
(0.6 exp.)
1-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
1-2
(0.5 exp.)
1-2
(0.4 exp.)
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
0-3
(0.4 exp.)
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
Las Vegas Aces
0-3
(1.1 exp.)
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
0-3
(1.3 exp.)
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
3-0
(1.5 exp.)
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks
1-2
(1.7 exp.)
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
0-3
(1.5 exp.)
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
2-1
(2.5 exp.)
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
3-1
(1.9 exp.)
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
1-2
(2.1 exp.)
0-3
(1.4 exp.)
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
2-1
(2.6 exp.)
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
1-3
(2.1 exp.)
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
New York Liberty
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
0-3
(1.5 exp.)
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
0-3
(1.1 exp.)
0-3
(0.5 exp.)
0-3
(0.9 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
1-2
(2.2 exp.)
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
3-0
(1.9 exp.)
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
Seattle Storm
1-2
(2.1 exp.)
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
3-0
(1.7 exp.)
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
3-0
(2.6 exp.)
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
3-0
(2.5 exp.)
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
Washington Mystics
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
3-0
(2.1 exp.)
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
3-0
(2.1 exp.)
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
1-2
(1.2 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<600.49%0.25%0.98%0.25%1.96%
60–690.25%0.98%3.19%3.43%0.74%0.25%8.82%
70–790.98%3.19%9.31%11.52%5.39%1.23%0.25%31.86%
80–890.25%3.43%11.52%7.35%5.15%2.21%29.90%
90–990.74%5.39%5.15%4.90%2.70%0.25%19.12%
100–1090.25%1.23%2.21%2.70%0.98%0.25%7.60%
110+0.25%0.25%0.25%0.74%
Total1.96%8.82%31.86%29.90%19.12%7.60%0.74%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 82.40 82.40 +0.00
SD 12.64 12.64 13.71
CV 0.15 0.15
Max 115 115 +38
Min 0 0 -38

Games Played: 204

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60
60–692.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
70–792.94%20.59%5.88%2.94%32.35%
80–898.82%17.65%8.82%5.88%41.18%
90–995.88%2.94%2.94%11.76%
100–1092.94%2.94%5.88%
110+
Total14.71%47.06%20.59%8.82%8.82%100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.82 79.53 +2.29
SD 10.75 10.82 12.62
CV 0.13 0.14
Max 109 104 +24
Min 64 63 -32

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<602.94%2.94%
60–698.82%8.82%
70–792.94%11.76%11.76%2.94%29.41%
80–892.94%2.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%20.59%
90–9911.76%14.71%26.47%
100–1092.94%2.94%5.88%
110+2.94%2.94%5.88%
Total5.88%5.88%38.24%35.29%11.76%2.94%100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 83.76 90.09 -6.32
SD 13.88 11.05 14.57
CV 0.17 0.12
Max 115 110 +18
Min 59 63 -38

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60
60–692.94%2.94%
70–798.82%11.76%20.59%
80–895.88%11.76%8.82%5.88%32.35%
90–992.94%11.76%2.94%5.88%2.94%26.47%
100–1092.94%5.88%5.88%14.71%
110+2.94%2.94%
Total11.76%38.24%29.41%17.65%2.94%100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 87.62 81.68 +5.94
SD 11.09 9.85 14.26
CV 0.13 0.12
Max 110 103 +38
Min 65 64 -17

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60
60–692.94%2.94%5.88%
70–792.94%11.76%5.88%8.82%29.41%
80–895.88%14.71%20.59%
90–992.94%2.94%5.88%8.82%2.94%2.94%26.47%
100–1098.82%5.88%2.94%17.65%
110+
Total5.88%26.47%26.47%32.35%5.88%2.94%100%

Dallas Wings — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 86.65 85.35 +1.29
SD 11.53 10.92 14.24
CV 0.13 0.13
Max 108 114 +29
Min 68 63 -21

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<602.94%2.94%
60–692.94%8.82%8.82%2.94%23.53%
70–792.94%5.88%14.71%17.65%41.18%
80–892.94%8.82%2.94%5.88%20.59%
90–992.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
100–1092.94%2.94%
110+
Total5.88%2.94%20.59%32.35%26.47%8.82%2.94%100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 76.38 85.68 -9.29
SD 11.10 12.47 12.35
CV 0.15 0.15
Max 106 115 +32
Min 55 55 -27

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<602.94%2.94%
60–695.88%2.94%8.82%
70–792.94%2.94%8.82%5.88%2.94%23.53%
80–8917.65%8.82%2.94%2.94%32.35%
90–998.82%8.82%5.88%23.53%
100–1092.94%5.88%8.82%
110+
Total2.94%2.94%35.29%17.65%20.59%20.59%100%

Las Vegas Aces — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.94 84.47 -2.53
SD 17.83 19.36 14.17
CV 0.22 0.23
Max 102 109 +24
Min 0 1 -36

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60
60–692.94%2.94%5.88%
70–798.82%8.82%17.65%14.71%5.88%2.94%58.82%
80–892.94%11.76%8.82%23.53%
90–995.88%2.94%2.94%11.76%
100–109
110+
Total11.76%11.76%35.29%29.41%5.88%5.88%100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 78.91 77.00 +1.91
SD 8.26 11.83 13.48
CV 0.10 0.15
Max 99 102 +26
Min 63 54 -29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<605.88%5.88%
60–695.88%5.88%11.76%
70–792.94%11.76%11.76%5.88%32.35%
80–898.82%20.59%8.82%5.88%44.12%
90–992.94%2.94%5.88%
100–109
110+
Total11.76%47.06%29.41%11.76%100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 78.94 78.26 +0.68
SD 9.31 8.29 13.04
CV 0.12 0.11
Max 91 96 +24
Min 57 64 -22

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<602.94%2.94%5.88%
60–698.82%8.82%17.65%
70–7911.76%23.53%5.88%41.18%
80–8911.76%8.82%2.94%23.53%
90–992.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
100–1092.94%2.94%
110+
Total2.94%20.59%52.94%17.65%5.88%100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.68 84.82 -7.15
SD 11.62 8.52 9.63
CV 0.15 0.10
Max 107 104 +23
Min 54 68 -26

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60
60–69
70–792.94%11.76%11.76%2.94%29.41%
80–892.94%17.65%5.88%5.88%2.94%35.29%
90–998.82%8.82%8.82%26.47%
100–1092.94%5.88%8.82%
110+
Total5.88%38.24%29.41%11.76%14.71%100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 85.76 83.24 +2.53
SD 10.09 10.58 11.68
CV 0.12 0.13
Max 104 103 +20
Min 70 66 -29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60
60–692.94%2.94%
70–798.82%2.94%5.88%2.94%2.94%23.53%
80–895.88%20.59%2.94%29.41%
90–998.82%11.76%8.82%29.41%
100–1092.94%2.94%8.82%14.71%
110+
Total17.65%35.29%23.53%20.59%2.94%100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 87.24 79.68 +7.56
SD 10.23 10.63 11.30
CV 0.12 0.13
Max 105 100 +27
Min 64 62 -23

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<602.94%2.94%
60–692.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
70–792.94%5.88%11.76%20.59%
80–895.88%14.71%5.88%5.88%2.94%35.29%
90–998.82%8.82%5.88%23.53%
100–1092.94%5.88%8.82%
110+
Total2.94%11.76%32.35%29.41%20.59%2.94%100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 82.06 78.97 +3.09
SD 17.32 17.64 12.94
CV 0.21 0.22
Max 103 106 +28
Min 1 0 -26

Games Played: 34

Actual Wins vs. Point Differential

Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Atlanta Dream 23 16.70 +6.30
2 Seattle Storm 26 22.25 +3.75
3 Washington Mystics 22 18.89 +3.11
4 Connecticut Sun 21 20.21 +0.79
5 Chicago Sky 13 12.36 +0.64

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 New York Liberty 7 13.14 -6.14
2 Minnesota Lynx 18 20.70 -2.70
3 Dallas Wings 15 17.30 -2.30
4 Indiana Fever 6 8.30 -2.30
5 Los Angeles Sparks 19 20.76 -1.76

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atlanta Dream 8 Jul 8 – Jul 24 1 in 1,131
2 Phoenix Mercury 8 Jun 1 – Jun 17 1 in 135
3 Washington Mystics 8 Jul 31 – Aug 17 1 in 127
4 Minnesota Lynx 7 Jun 16 – Jul 1 1 in 27
5 Las Vegas Aces 4 Jul 5 – Jul 13 1 in 24

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dallas Wings 9 Jul 20 – Aug 14 1 in 2,908
2 New York Liberty 13 Jul 17 – Aug 19 1 in 54
3 Minnesota Lynx 4 May 27 – Jun 3 1 in 48
4 Connecticut Sun 4 Jun 13 – Jun 22 1 in 45
5 Indiana Fever 10 May 19 – Jun 14 1 in 43

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.

Team123456789101112
Seattle Storm35.15%21.89%15.48%10.45%7.54%4.71%2.86%1.42%0.40%0.08%0.02%
Los Angeles Sparks17.63%18.18%15.91%14.36%11.81%9.58%6.45%3.84%1.60%0.55%0.09%
Minnesota Lynx16.65%17.35%16.39%14.94%12.67%9.41%6.46%3.77%1.58%0.60%0.18%
Connecticut Sun12.45%15.11%16.10%15.23%12.93%11.39%8.13%5.01%2.37%0.92%0.34%0.02%
Phoenix Mercury8.84%11.44%13.33%14.35%14.22%13.77%10.57%7.21%4.03%1.72%0.48%0.04%
Washington Mystics6.03%9.05%11.53%13.08%14.89%14.53%12.96%8.86%5.33%2.75%0.88%0.11%
Dallas Wings2.01%3.85%5.62%8.50%11.58%14.42%17.34%16.78%11.08%6.25%2.23%0.34%
Atlanta Dream1.06%2.54%4.42%6.75%9.78%12.94%17.03%18.52%14.02%8.74%3.53%0.67%
Las Vegas Aces0.14%0.38%0.70%1.44%2.63%4.38%8.16%13.45%22.36%23.27%18.21%4.88%
New York Liberty0.02%0.16%0.32%0.56%1.08%2.91%5.75%11.92%20.28%26.04%24.25%6.71%
Chicago Sky0.02%0.05%0.20%0.34%0.87%1.92%4.08%8.71%15.04%24.14%33.50%11.13%
Indiana Fever0.04%0.21%0.51%1.91%4.94%16.29%76.10%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 Seed5 Seed6 Seed7 Seed8 SeedMissed Playoffs
Seattle Storm35.15%21.89%15.48%10.45%7.54%4.71%2.86%1.42%0.50%
Los Angeles Sparks17.63%18.18%15.91%14.36%11.81%9.58%6.45%3.84%2.24%
Minnesota Lynx16.65%17.35%16.39%14.94%12.67%9.41%6.46%3.77%2.36%
Connecticut Sun12.45%15.11%16.10%15.23%12.93%11.39%8.13%5.01%3.65%
Phoenix Mercury8.84%11.44%13.33%14.35%14.22%13.77%10.57%7.21%6.27%
Washington Mystics6.03%9.05%11.53%13.08%14.89%14.53%12.96%8.86%9.07%
Dallas Wings2.01%3.85%5.62%8.50%11.58%14.42%17.34%16.78%19.90%
Atlanta Dream1.06%2.54%4.42%6.75%9.78%12.94%17.03%18.52%26.96%
Las Vegas Aces0.14%0.38%0.70%1.44%2.63%4.38%8.16%13.45%68.72%
New York Liberty0.02%0.16%0.32%0.56%1.08%2.91%5.75%11.92%77.28%
Chicago Sky0.02%0.05%0.20%0.34%0.87%1.92%4.08%8.71%83.81%
Indiana Fever0.04%0.21%0.51%99.24%

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals
Seattle Storm 81.97% 81.97% 56.72% 36.88%
Connecticut Sun 61.67% 61.67% 36.27% 20.09%
Washington Mystics 56.33% 46.14% 24.69% 12.38%
Atlanta Dream 46.24% 28.77% 16.59% 8.62%
Los Angeles Sparks 58.20% 58.20% 21.71% 7.47%
Phoenix Mercury 51.97% 44.66% 18.11% 6.81%
Minnesota Lynx 54.83% 54.83% 19.62% 6.36%
Dallas Wings 35.15% 17.53% 4.81% 1.11%
Las Vegas Aces 10.79% 3.79% 1.09% 0.25%
Chicago Sky 4.78% 1.41% 0.33% 0.03%
Indiana Fever 0.08%
New York Liberty 4.71% 1.03% 0.06%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunDallas WingsIndiana FeverLas Vegas AcesLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySeattle StormWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream0.17%3.57%2.41%0.36%4.02%4.30%0.29%4.21%2.35%3.49%
Chicago Sky0.05%0.19%0.09%0.01%0.02%0.22%0.27%0.18%0.12%0.19%
Connecticut Sun4.16%0.67%4.34%0.02%1.44%4.78%4.80%0.74%5.51%2.28%5.37%
Dallas Wings1.12%0.18%1.49%0.02%0.41%1.76%2.11%0.29%1.73%0.92%1.64%
Las Vegas Aces0.28%0.02%0.36%0.33%0.54%0.65%0.04%0.45%0.20%0.40%
Los Angeles Sparks2.89%0.48%2.87%3.08%0.02%1.06%3.14%0.48%3.60%1.40%3.37%
Minnesota Lynx2.87%0.55%2.65%3.05%0.93%2.52%0.52%3.22%1.31%3.21%
New York Liberty0.05%0.01%0.07%0.09%0.02%0.18%0.16%0.15%0.05%0.07%
Phoenix Mercury3.04%0.40%3.24%3.06%1.24%3.26%4.00%0.61%1.86%3.67%
Seattle Storm3.65%0.56%2.97%3.43%0.92%2.91%2.83%0.38%3.42%3.86%
Washington Mystics2.96%0.40%4.77%3.60%0.01%1.12%5.06%5.00%0.51%5.12%2.51%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunDallas WingsLas Vegas AcesLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySeattle StormWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream0.02%2.27%0.62%0.08%3.71%3.40%0.01%1.72%3.43%1.33%
Chicago Sky0.04%0.09%0.08%0.05%0.04%0.03%
Connecticut Sun2.21%0.24%2.03%0.47%7.69%7.14%0.14%5.21%6.79%4.35%
Dallas Wings0.27%0.65%0.04%1.15%1.01%0.66%0.67%0.36%
Las Vegas Aces0.01%0.14%0.07%0.19%0.29%0.14%0.20%0.05%
Los Angeles Sparks1.55%0.19%3.43%1.84%0.29%4.72%0.21%3.43%3.42%2.63%
Minnesota Lynx1.42%0.12%3.11%1.53%0.42%4.37%0.12%3.19%3.02%2.32%
New York Liberty0.01%0.01%0.03%0.01%
Phoenix Mercury0.97%0.04%2.82%1.13%0.25%4.03%3.91%0.13%3.05%1.78%
Seattle Storm4.61%0.39%9.35%4.23%0.92%9.90%9.70%0.29%8.73%8.60%
Washington Mystics1.15%0.07%3.58%1.27%0.23%5.35%4.93%0.07%3.41%4.63%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunDallas WingsLas Vegas AcesLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySeattle StormWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream0.04%1.73%0.25%0.05%1.03%1.02%0.97%2.41%1.12%
Chicago Sky0.01%0.01%0.01%
Connecticut Sun1.90%0.03%0.78%0.19%3.00%2.79%0.01%2.21%6.31%2.87%
Dallas Wings0.09%0.13%0.02%0.20%0.09%0.09%0.37%0.12%
Las Vegas Aces0.01%0.06%0.02%0.01%0.01%0.05%0.06%0.03%
Los Angeles Sparks0.56%0.03%1.24%0.26%0.11%1.04%0.01%0.88%2.39%0.95%
Minnesota Lynx0.46%0.03%1.04%0.22%0.09%1.02%0.60%2.08%0.82%
Phoenix Mercury0.58%1.13%0.24%0.08%1.15%0.82%2.11%0.70%
Seattle Storm3.48%0.13%8.59%1.51%0.25%6.18%5.98%0.03%5.04%5.69%
Washington Mystics0.89%0.04%2.25%0.42%0.05%1.64%1.51%0.01%1.46%4.11%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.

Team Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals Actual Outcome
Seattle Storm 100.00% 64.24% 40.11% Won Finals
Atlanta Dream 100.00% 53.12% 21.32% Eliminated in Semifinals
Washington Mystics 62.75% 31.44% 13.82% Eliminated in Finals
Phoenix Mercury 24.11% 7.07% 3.38% Eliminated in Semifinals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Connecticut SunDallas WingsLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercuryWashington Mystics
Connecticut Sun24.06%42.80%
Dallas Wings9.03%
Los Angeles Sparks21.41%
Minnesota Lynx15.84%
Phoenix Mercury24.11%
Washington Mystics35.38%27.37%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamConnecticut SunDallas WingsLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySeattle StormWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream12.53%9.28%31.31%
Connecticut Sun27.04%
Dallas Wings1.65%
Los Angeles Sparks8.88%
Minnesota Lynx6.56%
Phoenix Mercury7.07%
Seattle Storm39.82%7.38%17.04%
Washington Mystics31.44%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamConnecticut SunDallas WingsLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySeattle StormWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream6.23%0.57%1.94%12.58%
Connecticut Sun8.17%1.55%1.29%4.57%
Dallas Wings0.24%0.05%0.06%0.19%
Los Angeles Sparks1.04%0.11%0.32%1.67%
Minnesota Lynx0.65%0.08%0.25%1.13%
Phoenix Mercury1.69%0.36%0.26%1.07%
Seattle Storm21.70%3.78%2.84%11.79%
Washington Mystics3.54%0.35%1.18%8.75%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Seattle Storm 40.11% chance to win
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
61.99%
Win Prob
59.56%
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
54.10%
Win Prob
63.30%
Atlanta Dream 21.32% chance to win
Semifinals
vs. Washington Mystics
Matchup
58.94%
Win Prob
49.90%
Finals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
59.01%
Win Prob
36.70%
Connecticut Sun 15.58% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
64.01%
Win Prob
63.97%
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
40.44%
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
52.44%
Win Prob
56.74%
Washington Mystics 13.82% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
56.38%
Win Prob
62.30%
Semifinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
50.10%
Finals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
63.31%
Win Prob
42.60%
Phoenix Mercury 3.38% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
36.03%
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
29.32%
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
50.00%
Win Prob
46.56%
Los Angeles Sparks 3.14% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Washington Mystics
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
37.70%
Semifinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
41.48%
Finals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
53.18%
Win Prob
30.64%
Minnesota Lynx 2.11% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Washington Mystics
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
36.66%
Semifinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
41.41%
Finals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
53.55%
Win Prob
28.46%
Dallas Wings 0.54% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
27.29%
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
18.27%
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
44.44%
Win Prob
29.63%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2018-05-20 @ Dallas Wings L 78-101 1448.54 1459.42 44.04% 55.96% -25.47 0-1
2018-05-23 @ Chicago Sky W 81-63 1423.07 1493.05 35.90% 64.10% +32.80 1-1
2018-05-26 Dallas Wings L 70-78 1455.87 1475.32 51.62% 48.38% -17.61 1-2
2018-05-29 Minnesota Lynx W 76-74 1438.26 1613.59 30.32% 69.68% +11.89 2-2
2018-06-03 Phoenix Mercury L 71-78 1450.15 1509.23 45.93% 54.07% -14.66 2-3
2018-06-05 Connecticut Sun W 82-77 1435.49 1625.05 28.61% 71.39% +19.25 3-3
2018-06-08 @ Las Vegas Aces W 87-83 1454.74 1385.41 55.53% 44.47% +10.73 4-3
2018-06-10 @ Seattle Storm W 67-64 1465.47 1580.01 30.23% 69.77% +14.57 5-3
2018-06-12 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 64-72 1480.04 1599.78 29.60% 70.40% -10.10 5-4
2018-06-14 Indiana Fever W 72-67 1469.94 1301.83 75.85% 24.15% +6.52 6-4
2018-06-16 @ Indiana Fever L 64-96 1476.46 1295.31 70.39% 29.61% -48.02 6-5
2018-06-19 @ New York Liberty L 72-79 1428.44 1467.31 40.11% 59.89% -12.80 6-6
2018-06-22 Connecticut Sun W 75-70 1415.64 1569.02 33.05% 66.95% +18.05 7-6
2018-06-27 @ Chicago Sky L 80-93 1433.69 1378.31 53.54% 46.46% -23.28 7-7
2018-06-29 @ Minnesota Lynx L 74-85 1410.41 1642.19 18.08% 81.92% -7.23 7-8
2018-07-01 @ Indiana Fever W 87-83 1403.18 1301.75 60.03% 39.97% +9.64 8-8
2018-07-06 Seattle Storm L 86-95 1412.82 1628.66 25.63% 74.37% -9.27 8-9
2018-07-08 Phoenix Mercury W 76-70 1403.55 1616.19 25.98% 74.02% +21.87 9-9
2018-07-11 @ Washington Mystics W 106-89 1425.42 1559.14 27.95% 72.05% +35.82 10-9
2018-07-13 Indiana Fever W 98-74 1461.24 1305.97 74.47% 25.53% +15.08 11-9
2018-07-15 Washington Mystics W 80-77 1476.32 1536.49 45.78% 54.22% +11.33 12-9
2018-07-17 @ Connecticut Sun W 86-83 1487.65 1544.22 37.69% 62.31% +13.01 13-9
2018-07-19 New York Liberty W 82-68 1500.66 1405.19 67.40% 32.60% +14.71 14-9
2018-07-22 Seattle Storm W 87-74 1515.37 1674.76 32.29% 67.71% +29.44 15-9
2018-07-24 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 81-71 1544.81 1559.16 43.55% 56.45% +21.53 16-9
2018-07-31 Washington Mystics L 71-86 1566.34 1504.55 63.01% 36.99% -29.43 16-10
2018-08-03 Chicago Sky W 89-74 1536.91 1403.06 72.06% 27.94% +13.05 17-10
2018-08-05 @ Minnesota Lynx W 86-66 1549.96 1539.13 47.14% 52.86% +28.51 18-10
2018-08-07 Las Vegas Aces W 109-100 1578.47 1462.01 70.00% 30.00% +10.86 19-10
2018-08-09 Los Angeles Sparks W 79-73 1589.33 1577.28 56.13% 43.87% +12.96 20-10
2018-08-11 Dallas Wings W 92-82 1602.29 1493.77 69.03% 30.97% +11.81 21-10
2018-08-12 @ New York Liberty W 86-77 1614.10 1321.22 81.89% 18.11% +6.55 22-10
2018-08-17 @ Phoenix Mercury L 95-104 1620.65 1517.86 60.22% 39.78% -21.79 22-11
2018-08-19 @ Las Vegas Aces W 93-78 1598.86 1444.63 67.06% 32.94% +15.39 23-11
2018-05-19 @ Indiana Fever W 82-64 1455.79 1405.63 52.79% 47.21% +24.16 1-0
2018-05-20 New York Liberty W 80-76 1479.95 1540.84 45.67% 54.33% +13.10 2-0
2018-05-23 Atlanta Dream L 63-81 1493.05 1423.07 64.10% 35.90% -32.80 2-1
2018-05-25 @ Seattle Storm L 91-95 1460.25 1503.87 39.46% 60.54% -9.52 2-2
2018-06-01 Connecticut Sun L 72-110 1450.73 1570.95 37.40% 62.60% -27.80 2-3
2018-06-03 Las Vegas Aces W 95-90 1422.93 1396.70 58.13% 41.87% +11.29 3-3
2018-06-08 @ Phoenix Mercury L 79-96 1434.22 1540.46 31.25% 68.75% -15.54 3-4
2018-06-10 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 59-77 1418.68 1587.47 24.08% 75.92% -12.31 3-5
2018-06-12 @ Seattle Storm L 85-96 1406.37 1565.44 25.11% 74.89% -10.05 3-6
2018-06-17 Los Angeles Sparks L 72-81 1396.32 1625.69 24.17% 75.83% -8.74 3-7
2018-06-19 @ Washington Mystics L 60-88 1387.58 1489.50 31.78% 68.22% -20.29 3-8
2018-06-22 Washington Mystics L 77-93 1367.29 1509.79 34.45% 65.55% -16.62 3-9
2018-06-24 Phoenix Mercury W 97-88 1350.67 1585.39 23.61% 76.39% +27.64 4-9
2018-06-27 Atlanta Dream W 93-80 1378.31 1433.69 46.46% 53.54% +23.28 5-9
2018-06-29 @ New York Liberty W 103-99 1401.59 1419.62 43.03% 56.97% +13.74 6-9
2018-07-01 New York Liberty L 94-97 1415.33 1405.88 55.76% 44.24% -11.64 6-10
2018-07-03 @ Dallas Wings L 85-108 1403.69 1507.86 31.50% 68.50% -18.22 6-11
2018-07-05 @ Las Vegas Aces L 80-84 1385.47 1438.69 38.15% 61.85% -9.21 6-12
2018-07-07 Minnesota Lynx W 77-63 1376.26 1635.93 21.12% 78.88% +35.60 7-12
2018-07-10 Las Vegas Aces L 74-98 1411.86 1461.57 47.27% 52.73% -27.93 7-13
2018-07-13 @ Washington Mystics L 72-88 1383.93 1523.32 27.30% 72.70% -13.17 7-14
2018-07-15 @ New York Liberty L 84-107 1370.76 1392.01 42.57% 57.43% -24.62 7-15
2018-07-18 Seattle Storm L 83-101 1346.14 1650.14 17.18% 82.82% -8.79 7-16
2018-07-20 Dallas Wings W 114-99 1337.35 1619.54 19.04% 80.96% +37.81 8-16
2018-07-22 Los Angeles Sparks L 76-93 1375.16 1543.67 31.15% 68.85% -15.49 8-17
2018-07-25 @ Phoenix Mercury W 101-87 1359.67 1531.28 23.78% 76.22% +34.40 9-17
2018-07-31 @ Dallas Wings W 92-91 1394.07 1550.09 25.44% 74.56% +8.99 10-17
2018-08-03 @ Atlanta Dream L 74-89 1403.06 1536.91 27.94% 72.06% -13.05 10-18
2018-08-07 Minnesota Lynx L 64-85 1390.01 1510.62 37.35% 62.65% -20.64 10-19
2018-08-10 Connecticut Sun W 97-86 1369.37 1615.57 22.44% 77.56% +31.02 11-19
2018-08-12 @ Connecticut Sun L 75-82 1400.39 1584.54 22.50% 77.50% -7.18 11-20
2018-08-14 @ Minnesota Lynx W 91-88 1393.21 1537.47 26.75% 73.25% +15.30 12-20
2018-08-18 @ Indiana Fever W 115-106 1408.51 1280.51 63.64% 36.36% +13.16 13-20
2018-08-19 Indiana Fever L 92-97 1421.67 1267.36 74.37% 25.63% -20.06 13-21
2018-05-20 Las Vegas Aces W 101-65 1520.83 1426.90 67.21% 32.79% +23.72 1-0
2018-05-24 Los Angeles Sparks W 102-94 1544.55 1621.90 43.33% 56.67% +19.33 2-0
2018-05-26 Indiana Fever W 86-77 1563.88 1348.67 80.47% 19.53% +7.07 3-0
2018-06-01 @ Chicago Sky W 110-72 1570.95 1450.73 62.60% 37.40% +27.81 4-0
2018-06-03 @ Washington Mystics W 88-64 1598.76 1529.69 55.49% 44.51% +26.29 5-0
2018-06-05 @ Atlanta Dream L 77-82 1625.05 1435.49 71.39% 28.61% -19.25 5-1
2018-06-07 @ New York Liberty W 88-86 1605.80 1519.28 57.96% 42.04% +7.17 6-1
2018-06-09 Minnesota Lynx W 89-75 1612.97 1576.93 59.49% 40.51% +18.28 7-1
2018-06-13 Washington Mystics L 91-95 1631.25 1487.66 73.17% 26.83% -17.65 7-2
2018-06-15 @ Seattle Storm L 92-103 1613.60 1575.48 51.06% 48.94% -20.43 7-3
2018-06-16 @ Phoenix Mercury L 72-89 1593.17 1572.35 48.57% 51.43% -24.15 7-4
2018-06-22 @ Atlanta Dream L 70-75 1569.02 1415.64 66.95% 33.05% -18.05 7-5
2018-06-24 @ Indiana Fever W 87-78 1550.97 1329.51 74.99% 25.01% +9.05 8-5
2018-06-26 @ Washington Mystics L 80-92 1560.02 1526.40 50.41% 49.59% -21.06 8-6
2018-06-27 Indiana Fever W 101-89 1538.96 1320.46 80.76% 19.24% +8.03 9-6
2018-07-01 @ Seattle Storm L 70-84 1546.99 1598.45 38.39% 61.61% -17.32 9-7
2018-07-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 73-72 1529.67 1584.61 37.91% 62.09% +7.49 10-7
2018-07-05 @ Phoenix Mercury L 77-84 1537.16 1604.63 36.23% 63.77% -11.56 10-8
2018-07-07 @ Las Vegas Aces L 90-94 1525.60 1447.89 56.72% 43.28% -13.68 10-9
2018-07-11 New York Liberty L 76-79 1511.92 1376.93 72.19% 27.81% -15.08 10-10
2018-07-13 Phoenix Mercury W 91-87 1496.84 1560.79 45.24% 54.76% +13.21 11-10
2018-07-15 @ Minnesota Lynx W 83-64 1510.05 1586.95 34.99% 65.01% +34.17 12-10
2018-07-17 Atlanta Dream L 83-86 1544.22 1487.65 62.31% 37.69% -13.01 12-11
2018-07-20 Seattle Storm L 65-78 1531.21 1658.93 36.39% 63.61% -15.83 12-12
2018-07-22 @ Dallas Wings W 92-75 1515.38 1581.72 36.38% 63.62% +31.64 13-12
2018-07-24 Washington Mystics W 94-68 1547.02 1531.20 56.66% 43.34% +26.65 14-12
2018-08-01 New York Liberty W 92-77 1573.67 1367.72 79.62% 20.38% +9.52 15-12
2018-08-05 Las Vegas Aces W 109-88 1583.19 1479.45 68.44% 31.56% +17.44 16-12
2018-08-08 @ Dallas Wings W 101-92 1600.63 1508.71 58.71% 41.29% +14.94 17-12
2018-08-10 @ Chicago Sky L 86-97 1615.57 1369.37 77.56% 22.44% -31.03 17-13
2018-08-12 Chicago Sky W 82-75 1584.54 1400.39 77.50% 22.50% +7.18 18-13
2018-08-14 Dallas Wings W 96-76 1591.72 1468.85 70.77% 29.23% +15.77 19-13
2018-08-17 Minnesota Lynx W 96-79 1607.49 1522.17 66.11% 33.89% +16.85 20-13
2018-08-19 Los Angeles Sparks W 89-86 1624.34 1545.54 65.26% 34.74% +7.26 21-13
2018-05-18 @ Phoenix Mercury L 78-86 1473.00 1514.17 39.80% 60.20% -13.58 0-1
2018-05-20 Atlanta Dream W 101-78 1459.42 1448.54 55.96% 44.04% +25.47 1-1
2018-05-23 @ Minnesota Lynx L 68-76 1484.89 1617.66 28.07% 71.93% -9.57 1-2
2018-05-26 @ Atlanta Dream W 78-70 1475.32 1455.87 48.38% 51.62% +17.61 2-2
2018-05-29 @ New York Liberty L 89-94 1492.93 1515.85 42.34% 57.66% -11.42 2-3
2018-06-02 Seattle Storm W 94-90 1481.51 1553.46 44.10% 55.90% +13.49 3-3
2018-06-08 @ Indiana Fever W 89-83 1495.00 1333.02 68.04% 31.96% +9.44 4-3
2018-06-12 Phoenix Mercury L 72-75 1504.44 1562.73 46.04% 53.96% -9.62 4-4
2018-06-15 Las Vegas Aces W 77-67 1494.82 1418.63 64.92% 35.08% +13.38 5-4
2018-06-19 @ Minnesota Lynx L 83-91 1508.20 1574.52 36.38% 63.62% -12.41 5-5
2018-06-22 Los Angeles Sparks W 101-72 1495.79 1641.56 34.02% 65.98% +42.85 6-5
2018-06-24 Seattle Storm L 76-97 1538.64 1569.48 49.99% 50.01% -27.63 6-6
2018-06-26 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 83-87 1511.01 1615.54 31.46% 68.54% -7.59 6-7
2018-06-27 @ Las Vegas Aces W 97-91 1503.42 1431.97 55.83% 44.17% +13.05 7-7
2018-07-01 Minnesota Lynx L 72-76 1516.47 1649.42 35.70% 64.30% -8.61 7-8
2018-07-03 Chicago Sky W 108-85 1507.86 1403.69 68.50% 31.50% +18.22 8-8
2018-07-05 Indiana Fever W 90-63 1526.08 1330.03 78.68% 21.32% +13.36 9-8
2018-07-08 @ New York Liberty W 97-87 1539.44 1389.71 66.49% 33.51% +12.79 10-8
2018-07-10 Phoenix Mercury W 101-72 1552.23 1594.32 48.37% 51.63% +33.53 11-8
2018-07-12 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 92-77 1585.76 1552.77 50.32% 49.68% +23.20 12-8
2018-07-14 @ Seattle Storm L 84-91 1608.96 1636.86 41.64% 58.36% -13.28 12-9
2018-07-17 New York Liberty W 104-87 1595.68 1416.63 76.99% 23.01% +11.44 13-9
2018-07-19 Washington Mystics W 90-81 1607.12 1525.16 65.67% 34.33% +12.42 14-9
2018-07-20 @ Chicago Sky L 99-114 1619.54 1337.35 80.96% 19.04% -37.82 14-10
2018-07-22 Connecticut Sun L 75-92 1581.72 1515.38 63.62% 36.38% -31.63 14-11
2018-07-31 Chicago Sky L 91-92 1550.09 1394.07 74.56% 25.44% -8.99 14-12
2018-08-02 @ Indiana Fever L 78-84 1541.10 1269.92 79.96% 20.04% -23.63 14-13
2018-08-05 Washington Mystics L 74-76 1517.47 1538.64 51.38% 48.62% -8.76 14-14
2018-08-08 Connecticut Sun L 92-101 1508.71 1600.63 41.29% 58.71% -14.94 14-15
2018-08-11 @ Atlanta Dream L 82-92 1493.77 1602.29 30.97% 69.03% -11.81 14-16
2018-08-12 @ Washington Mystics L 80-93 1481.96 1597.11 30.16% 69.84% -13.11 14-17
2018-08-14 @ Connecticut Sun L 76-96 1468.85 1591.72 29.23% 70.77% -15.76 14-18
2018-08-17 Las Vegas Aces W 107-102 1453.09 1457.08 53.84% 46.16% +12.44 15-18
2018-08-19 @ Seattle Storm L 68-84 1465.53 1670.17 20.51% 79.49% -9.89 15-19
2018-05-19 Chicago Sky L 64-82 1405.63 1455.79 47.21% 52.79% -24.15 0-1
2018-05-20 @ Washington Mystics L 75-82 1381.48 1500.13 29.73% 70.27% -9.49 0-2
2018-05-22 Los Angeles Sparks L 70-87 1371.99 1610.35 23.23% 76.77% -11.56 0-3
2018-05-24 Washington Mystics L 84-93 1360.43 1518.03 32.51% 67.49% -11.76 0-4
2018-05-26 @ Connecticut Sun L 77-86 1348.67 1563.88 19.53% 80.47% -7.07 0-5
2018-06-02 New York Liberty L 81-87 1341.60 1527.27 29.07% 70.93% -8.58 0-6
2018-06-08 Dallas Wings L 83-89 1333.02 1495.00 31.96% 68.04% -9.45 0-7
2018-06-10 @ New York Liberty L 75-78 1323.57 1512.11 22.06% 77.94% -4.60 0-8
2018-06-12 Las Vegas Aces L 92-101 1318.97 1367.96 47.38% 52.62% -17.14 0-9
2018-06-14 @ Atlanta Dream L 67-72 1301.83 1469.94 24.15% 75.85% -6.52 0-10
2018-06-16 Atlanta Dream W 96-64 1295.31 1476.46 29.61% 70.39% +48.02 1-10
2018-06-19 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 55-74 1343.33 1634.44 13.56% 86.44% -7.12 1-11
2018-06-22 @ Seattle Storm L 63-72 1336.21 1562.78 18.52% 81.48% -6.70 1-12
2018-06-24 Connecticut Sun L 78-87 1329.51 1550.97 25.01% 74.99% -9.05 1-13
2018-06-27 @ Connecticut Sun L 89-101 1320.46 1538.96 19.24% 80.76% -8.04 1-14
2018-06-29 Phoenix Mercury L 77-95 1312.42 1574.96 20.84% 79.16% -10.67 1-15
2018-07-01 Atlanta Dream L 83-87 1301.75 1403.18 39.97% 60.03% -9.64 1-16
2018-07-03 @ Minnesota Lynx W 71-59 1292.11 1658.03 9.25% 90.75% +37.92 2-16
2018-07-05 @ Dallas Wings L 63-90 1330.03 1526.08 21.32% 78.68% -13.37 2-17
2018-07-11 Minnesota Lynx L 65-87 1316.66 1600.34 18.91% 81.09% -10.69 2-18
2018-07-13 @ Atlanta Dream L 74-98 1305.97 1461.24 25.53% 74.47% -15.08 2-19
2018-07-15 Phoenix Mercury L 82-101 1290.89 1547.58 21.41% 78.59% -11.25 2-20
2018-07-18 @ Minnesota Lynx L 65-89 1279.64 1552.77 14.81% 85.19% -8.76 2-21
2018-07-20 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 78-76 1270.88 1558.37 13.80% 86.20% +14.70 3-21
2018-07-22 @ Las Vegas Aces L 74-88 1285.58 1498.28 19.76% 80.24% -8.91 3-22
2018-07-24 Seattle Storm L 72-92 1276.67 1645.31 12.51% 87.49% -6.75 3-23
2018-08-02 Dallas Wings W 84-78 1269.92 1541.10 20.04% 79.96% +23.62 4-23
2018-08-04 @ New York Liberty W 68-55 1293.54 1358.19 36.61% 63.39% +27.57 5-23
2018-08-07 Seattle Storm L 79-94 1321.11 1683.47 12.91% 87.09% -6.03 5-24
2018-08-10 @ Phoenix Mercury L 74-94 1315.08 1486.27 23.82% 76.18% -12.85 5-25
2018-08-11 @ Las Vegas Aces L 74-92 1302.23 1430.44 28.60% 71.40% -14.63 5-26
2018-08-15 Washington Mystics L 62-76 1287.60 1610.22 15.71% 84.29% -7.09 5-27
2018-08-18 Chicago Sky L 106-115 1280.51 1408.51 36.36% 63.64% -13.15 5-28
2018-08-19 @ Chicago Sky W 97-92 1267.36 1421.67 25.63% 74.37% +20.05 6-28
2018-05-20 @ Connecticut Sun L 65-101 1426.90 1520.83 32.79% 67.21% -23.73 0-1
2018-05-22 @ Washington Mystics L 70-75 1403.17 1509.61 31.22% 68.78% -8.42 0-2
2018-05-27 Seattle Storm L 98-105 1394.75 1513.39 37.61% 62.39% -12.00 0-3
2018-05-31 @ Seattle Storm L 74-101 1382.75 1537.42 25.59% 74.41% -16.04 0-4
2018-06-01 Washington Mystics W 85-73 1366.71 1559.68 28.21% 71.79% +29.99 1-4
2018-06-03 @ Chicago Sky L 90-95 1396.70 1422.93 41.87% 58.13% -11.29 1-5
2018-06-08 Atlanta Dream L 83-87 1385.41 1454.74 44.47% 55.53% -10.72 1-6
2018-06-10 @ Phoenix Mercury L 66-72 1374.69 1556.00 22.78% 77.22% -6.73 1-7
2018-06-12 @ Indiana Fever W 101-92 1367.96 1318.97 52.62% 47.38% +17.14 2-7
2018-06-13 @ New York Liberty W 78-63 1385.10 1516.72 28.20% 71.80% +33.53 3-7
2018-06-15 @ Dallas Wings L 67-77 1418.63 1494.82 35.08% 64.92% -13.38 3-8
2018-06-17 Phoenix Mercury L 80-92 1405.25 1596.50 28.42% 71.58% -11.87 3-9
2018-06-19 @ Seattle Storm W 89-77 1393.38 1595.90 20.71% 79.29% +33.13 4-9
2018-06-22 New York Liberty W 88-78 1426.51 1480.11 46.72% 53.28% +20.32 5-9
2018-06-24 Minnesota Lynx L 73-88 1446.83 1609.91 31.83% 68.17% -14.86 5-10
2018-06-27 Dallas Wings L 91-97 1431.97 1503.42 44.17% 55.83% -13.05 5-11
2018-06-29 Los Angeles Sparks W 94-78 1418.92 1604.38 29.10% 70.90% +34.20 6-11
2018-07-01 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 71-87 1453.12 1570.17 29.93% 70.07% -14.43 6-12
2018-07-05 Chicago Sky W 84-80 1438.69 1385.47 61.85% 38.15% +9.20 7-12
2018-07-07 Connecticut Sun W 94-90 1447.89 1525.60 43.28% 56.72% +13.68 8-12
2018-07-10 @ Chicago Sky W 98-74 1461.57 1411.86 52.73% 47.27% +27.93 9-12
2018-07-13 @ Minnesota Lynx W 85-77 1489.50 1611.03 29.39% 70.61% +24.08 10-12
2018-07-15 Los Angeles Sparks L 78-99 1513.58 1529.56 52.12% 47.88% -28.80 10-13
2018-07-19 @ Phoenix Mercury W 85-82 1484.78 1558.83 35.36% 64.64% +13.50 11-13
2018-07-22 Indiana Fever W 88-74 1498.28 1285.58 80.24% 19.76% +8.92 12-13
2018-08-01 Phoenix Mercury L 93-104 1507.20 1483.76 57.73% 42.27% -23.10 12-14
2018-08-03 @ Washington Mystics L 0-1 1484.10 1533.98 38.60% 61.40% -4.65 12-15
2018-08-05 @ Connecticut Sun L 88-109 1479.45 1583.19 31.56% 68.44% -17.44 12-16
2018-08-07 @ Atlanta Dream L 100-109 1462.01 1578.47 30.00% 70.00% -10.86 12-17
2018-08-09 Minnesota Lynx L 73-89 1451.15 1531.26 42.94% 57.06% -20.71 12-18
2018-08-11 Indiana Fever W 92-74 1430.44 1302.23 71.40% 28.60% +14.63 13-18
2018-08-15 New York Liberty W 85-72 1445.07 1308.48 72.38% 27.62% +12.01 14-18
2018-08-17 @ Dallas Wings L 102-107 1457.08 1453.09 46.16% 53.84% -12.45 14-19
2018-08-19 Atlanta Dream L 78-93 1444.63 1598.86 32.94% 67.06% -15.38 14-20
2018-05-20 @ Minnesota Lynx W 77-76 1603.43 1624.59 42.59% 57.41% +6.92 1-0
2018-05-22 @ Indiana Fever W 87-70 1610.35 1371.99 76.77% 23.23% +11.55 2-0
2018-05-24 @ Connecticut Sun L 94-102 1621.90 1544.55 56.67% 43.33% -19.33 2-1
2018-05-27 Phoenix Mercury W 80-72 1602.57 1510.03 67.03% 32.97% +11.25 3-1
2018-06-03 Minnesota Lynx W 77-69 1613.82 1574.88 59.90% 40.10% +13.68 4-1
2018-06-07 Seattle Storm L 63-88 1627.50 1539.98 66.39% 33.61% -40.03 4-2
2018-06-10 Chicago Sky W 77-59 1587.47 1418.68 75.92% 24.08% +12.31 5-2
2018-06-12 Atlanta Dream W 72-64 1599.78 1480.04 70.40% 29.60% +10.10 6-2
2018-06-15 @ Washington Mystics W 97-86 1609.88 1505.31 60.47% 39.53% +15.81 7-2
2018-06-17 @ Chicago Sky W 81-72 1625.69 1396.32 75.83% 24.17% +8.75 8-2
2018-06-19 Indiana Fever W 74-55 1634.44 1343.33 86.44% 13.56% +7.12 9-2
2018-06-22 @ Dallas Wings L 72-101 1641.56 1495.79 65.98% 34.02% -42.84 9-3
2018-06-24 New York Liberty W 80-54 1598.72 1459.79 72.65% 27.35% +16.82 10-3
2018-06-26 Dallas Wings W 87-83 1615.54 1511.01 68.54% 31.46% +7.59 11-3
2018-06-28 @ Seattle Storm L 72-81 1623.13 1579.70 51.83% 48.17% -18.75 11-4
2018-06-29 @ Las Vegas Aces L 78-94 1604.38 1418.92 70.90% 29.10% -34.21 11-5
2018-07-01 Las Vegas Aces W 87-71 1570.17 1453.12 70.07% 29.93% +14.44 12-5
2018-07-03 Connecticut Sun L 72-73 1584.61 1529.67 62.09% 37.91% -7.49 12-6
2018-07-05 @ Minnesota Lynx L 72-83 1577.12 1620.12 39.55% 60.45% -15.81 12-7
2018-07-07 Washington Mystics L 74-83 1561.31 1549.53 56.09% 43.91% -20.30 12-8
2018-07-10 @ Seattle Storm W 77-75 1541.01 1648.61 31.08% 68.92% +11.76 13-8
2018-07-12 Dallas Wings L 77-92 1552.77 1585.76 49.68% 50.32% -23.21 13-9
2018-07-15 @ Las Vegas Aces W 99-78 1529.56 1513.58 47.88% 52.12% +28.81 14-9
2018-07-20 Indiana Fever L 76-78 1558.37 1270.88 86.20% 13.80% -14.70 14-10
2018-07-22 @ Chicago Sky W 93-76 1543.67 1375.16 68.85% 31.15% +15.49 15-10
2018-07-24 Atlanta Dream L 71-81 1559.16 1544.81 56.45% 43.55% -21.53 15-11
2018-08-02 Minnesota Lynx W 79-57 1537.63 1579.88 48.34% 51.66% +29.22 16-11
2018-08-05 Phoenix Mercury W 78-75 1566.85 1506.85 62.77% 37.23% +7.78 17-11
2018-08-08 @ New York Liberty W 82-81 1574.63 1323.88 78.01% 21.99% +2.65 18-11
2018-08-09 @ Atlanta Dream L 73-79 1577.28 1589.33 43.87% 56.13% -12.96 18-12
2018-08-12 @ Phoenix Mercury L 78-86 1564.32 1499.12 54.94% 45.06% -18.74 18-13
2018-08-14 New York Liberty W 74-66 1545.58 1314.67 81.85% 18.15% +6.19 19-13
2018-08-17 @ Washington Mystics L 67-69 1551.77 1617.31 36.49% 63.51% -6.23 19-14
2018-08-19 @ Connecticut Sun L 86-89 1545.54 1624.34 34.74% 65.26% -7.25 19-15
2018-05-20 Los Angeles Sparks L 76-77 1624.59 1603.43 57.41% 42.59% -6.93 0-1
2018-05-23 Dallas Wings W 76-68 1617.66 1484.89 71.93% 28.07% +9.58 1-1
2018-05-25 @ New York Liberty W 78-72 1627.24 1527.74 59.77% 40.23% +11.88 2-1
2018-05-27 @ Washington Mystics L 78-90 1639.12 1529.80 61.12% 38.88% -25.53 2-2
2018-05-29 @ Atlanta Dream L 74-76 1613.59 1438.26 69.68% 30.32% -11.89 2-3
2018-06-01 Phoenix Mercury L 85-95 1601.70 1482.41 70.34% 29.66% -26.82 2-4
2018-06-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 69-77 1574.88 1613.82 40.10% 59.90% -13.68 2-5
2018-06-07 @ Washington Mystics W 88-80 1561.20 1503.39 53.89% 46.11% +15.73 3-5
2018-06-09 @ Connecticut Sun L 75-89 1576.93 1612.97 40.51% 59.49% -18.28 3-6
2018-06-16 New York Liberty W 85-71 1558.65 1483.18 64.83% 35.17% +15.87 4-6
2018-06-19 Dallas Wings W 91-83 1574.52 1508.20 63.62% 36.38% +12.41 5-6
2018-06-22 @ Phoenix Mercury W 83-72 1586.93 1608.37 42.55% 57.45% +22.98 6-6
2018-06-24 @ Las Vegas Aces W 88-73 1609.91 1446.83 68.17% 31.83% +14.87 7-6
2018-06-26 Seattle Storm W 91-79 1624.78 1597.10 58.33% 41.67% +17.41 8-6
2018-06-29 Atlanta Dream W 85-74 1642.19 1410.41 81.92% 18.08% +7.23 9-6
2018-07-01 @ Dallas Wings W 76-72 1649.42 1516.47 64.30% 35.70% +8.61 10-6
2018-07-03 Indiana Fever L 59-71 1658.03 1292.11 90.75% 9.25% -37.91 10-7
2018-07-05 Los Angeles Sparks W 83-72 1620.12 1577.12 60.45% 39.55% +15.81 11-7
2018-07-07 @ Chicago Sky L 63-77 1635.93 1376.26 78.88% 21.12% -35.59 11-8
2018-07-11 @ Indiana Fever W 87-65 1600.34 1316.66 81.09% 18.91% +10.69 12-8
2018-07-13 Las Vegas Aces L 77-85 1611.03 1489.50 70.61% 29.39% -24.08 12-9
2018-07-15 Connecticut Sun L 64-83 1586.95 1510.05 65.01% 34.99% -34.18 12-10
2018-07-18 Indiana Fever W 89-65 1552.77 1279.64 85.19% 14.81% +8.75 13-10
2018-07-21 @ Phoenix Mercury W 80-75 1561.52 1545.33 47.91% 52.09% +14.05 14-10
2018-07-24 New York Liberty W 85-82 1575.57 1372.02 79.39% 20.61% +4.31 15-10
2018-08-02 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 57-79 1579.88 1537.63 51.66% 48.34% -29.22 15-11
2018-08-03 @ Seattle Storm L 75-85 1550.66 1665.19 30.23% 69.77% -11.53 15-12
2018-08-05 Atlanta Dream L 66-86 1539.13 1549.96 52.86% 47.14% -28.51 15-13
2018-08-07 @ Chicago Sky W 85-64 1510.62 1390.01 62.65% 37.35% +20.64 16-13
2018-08-09 @ Las Vegas Aces W 89-73 1531.26 1451.15 57.06% 42.94% +20.71 17-13
2018-08-12 Seattle Storm L 72-81 1551.97 1652.59 40.08% 59.92% -14.50 17-14
2018-08-14 Chicago Sky L 88-91 1537.47 1393.21 73.25% 26.75% -15.30 17-15
2018-08-17 @ Connecticut Sun L 79-96 1522.17 1607.49 33.89% 66.11% -16.85 17-16
2018-08-19 Washington Mystics W 88-83 1505.32 1623.53 37.67% 62.33% +16.81 18-16
2018-05-20 @ Chicago Sky L 76-80 1540.84 1479.95 54.33% 45.67% -13.10 0-1
2018-05-25 Minnesota Lynx L 72-78 1527.74 1627.24 40.23% 59.77% -11.89 0-2
2018-05-29 Dallas Wings W 94-89 1515.85 1492.93 57.66% 42.34% +11.42 1-2
2018-06-02 @ Indiana Fever W 87-81 1527.27 1341.60 70.93% 29.07% +8.59 2-2
2018-06-05 Phoenix Mercury L 74-80 1535.86 1523.89 56.12% 43.88% -16.58 2-3
2018-06-07 Connecticut Sun L 86-88 1519.28 1605.80 42.04% 57.96% -7.17 2-4
2018-06-10 Indiana Fever W 78-75 1512.11 1323.57 77.94% 22.06% +4.61 3-4
2018-06-13 Las Vegas Aces L 63-78 1516.72 1385.10 71.80% 28.20% -33.54 3-5
2018-06-16 @ Minnesota Lynx L 71-85 1483.18 1558.65 35.17% 64.83% -15.87 3-6
2018-06-19 Atlanta Dream W 79-72 1467.31 1428.44 59.89% 40.11% +12.80 4-6
2018-06-22 @ Las Vegas Aces L 78-88 1480.11 1426.51 53.28% 46.72% -20.32 4-7
2018-06-24 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 54-80 1459.79 1598.72 27.35% 72.65% -16.82 4-8
2018-06-26 Phoenix Mercury L 69-83 1442.97 1557.76 38.13% 61.87% -17.21 4-9
2018-06-28 @ Washington Mystics L 77-80 1425.76 1547.47 29.37% 70.63% -6.14 4-10
2018-06-29 Chicago Sky L 99-103 1419.62 1401.59 56.97% 43.03% -13.74 4-11
2018-07-01 @ Chicago Sky W 97-94 1405.88 1415.33 44.24% 55.76% +11.65 5-11
2018-07-03 Seattle Storm L 62-77 1417.53 1615.77 27.60% 72.40% -12.89 5-12
2018-07-05 @ Washington Mystics L 67-86 1404.64 1534.60 28.39% 71.61% -14.93 5-13
2018-07-08 Dallas Wings L 87-97 1389.71 1539.44 33.51% 66.49% -12.78 5-14
2018-07-11 @ Connecticut Sun W 79-76 1376.93 1511.92 27.81% 72.19% +15.08 6-14
2018-07-15 Chicago Sky W 107-84 1392.01 1370.76 57.43% 42.57% +24.62 7-14
2018-07-17 @ Dallas Wings L 87-104 1416.63 1595.68 23.01% 76.99% -11.44 7-15
2018-07-19 @ Atlanta Dream L 68-82 1405.19 1500.66 32.60% 67.40% -14.71 7-16
2018-07-21 Washington Mystics L 78-95 1390.48 1512.74 37.13% 62.87% -18.46 7-17
2018-07-24 @ Minnesota Lynx L 82-85 1372.02 1575.57 20.61% 79.39% -4.30 7-18
2018-08-01 @ Connecticut Sun L 77-92 1367.72 1573.67 20.38% 79.62% -9.53 7-19
2018-08-04 Indiana Fever L 55-68 1358.19 1293.54 63.39% 36.61% -27.56 7-20
2018-08-06 Seattle Storm L 80-96 1330.63 1676.72 14.00% 86.00% -6.75 7-21
2018-08-08 Los Angeles Sparks L 81-82 1323.88 1574.63 21.99% 78.01% -2.66 7-22
2018-08-12 Atlanta Dream L 77-86 1321.22 1614.10 18.11% 81.89% -6.55 7-23
2018-08-14 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 66-74 1314.67 1545.58 18.15% 81.85% -6.19 7-24
2018-08-15 @ Las Vegas Aces L 72-85 1308.48 1445.07 27.62% 72.38% -12.01 7-25
2018-08-17 @ Seattle Storm L 77-85 1296.47 1667.09 9.03% 90.97% -3.08 7-26
2018-08-19 @ Phoenix Mercury L 85-96 1293.39 1539.65 16.87% 83.13% -6.75 7-27
2018-05-18 Dallas Wings W 86-78 1514.17 1473.00 60.20% 39.80% +13.58 1-0
2018-05-20 @ Seattle Storm W 87-82 1527.75 1486.16 51.56% 48.44% +13.06 2-0
2018-05-23 Seattle Storm L 71-87 1540.81 1473.09 63.80% 36.20% -30.78 2-1
2018-05-27 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 72-80 1510.03 1602.57 32.97% 67.03% -11.24 2-2
2018-05-30 Washington Mystics L 95-103 1498.79 1543.30 48.02% 51.98% -16.38 2-3
2018-06-01 @ Minnesota Lynx W 95-85 1482.41 1601.70 29.66% 70.34% +26.82 3-3
2018-06-03 @ Atlanta Dream W 78-71 1509.23 1450.15 54.07% 45.93% +14.66 4-3
2018-06-05 @ New York Liberty W 80-74 1523.89 1535.86 43.88% 56.12% +16.57 5-3
2018-06-08 Chicago Sky W 96-79 1540.46 1434.22 68.75% 31.25% +15.54 6-3
2018-06-10 Las Vegas Aces W 72-66 1556.00 1374.69 77.22% 22.78% +6.73 7-3
2018-06-12 @ Dallas Wings W 75-72 1562.73 1504.44 53.96% 46.04% +9.62 8-3
2018-06-16 Connecticut Sun W 89-72 1572.35 1593.17 51.43% 48.57% +24.15 9-3
2018-06-17 @ Las Vegas Aces W 92-80 1596.50 1405.25 71.58% 28.42% +11.87 10-3
2018-06-22 Minnesota Lynx L 72-83 1608.37 1586.93 57.45% 42.55% -22.98 10-4
2018-06-24 @ Chicago Sky L 88-97 1585.39 1350.67 76.39% 23.61% -27.63 10-5
2018-06-26 @ New York Liberty W 83-69 1557.76 1442.97 61.87% 38.13% +17.20 11-5
2018-06-29 @ Indiana Fever W 95-77 1574.96 1312.42 79.16% 20.84% +10.67 12-5
2018-06-30 @ Washington Mystics W 84-74 1585.63 1553.60 50.19% 49.81% +19.00 13-5
2018-07-05 Connecticut Sun W 84-77 1604.63 1537.16 63.77% 36.23% +11.56 14-5
2018-07-08 @ Atlanta Dream L 70-76 1616.19 1403.55 74.02% 25.98% -21.87 14-6
2018-07-10 @ Dallas Wings L 72-101 1594.32 1552.23 51.63% 48.37% -33.53 14-7
2018-07-13 @ Connecticut Sun L 87-91 1560.79 1496.84 54.76% 45.24% -13.21 14-8
2018-07-15 @ Indiana Fever W 101-82 1547.58 1290.89 78.59% 21.41% +11.25 15-8
2018-07-19 Las Vegas Aces L 82-85 1558.83 1484.78 64.64% 35.36% -13.50 15-9
2018-07-21 Minnesota Lynx L 75-80 1545.33 1561.52 52.09% 47.91% -14.05 15-10
2018-07-25 Chicago Sky L 87-101 1531.28 1359.67 76.22% 23.78% -34.39 15-11
2018-07-31 Seattle Storm L 91-102 1496.89 1652.06 32.82% 67.18% -13.13 15-12
2018-08-01 @ Las Vegas Aces W 104-93 1483.76 1507.20 42.27% 57.73% +23.09 16-12
2018-08-05 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 75-78 1506.85 1566.85 37.23% 62.77% -7.78 16-13
2018-08-07 Washington Mystics L 98-103 1499.07 1547.40 47.47% 52.53% -12.80 16-14
2018-08-10 Indiana Fever W 94-74 1486.27 1315.08 76.18% 23.82% +12.85 17-14
2018-08-12 Los Angeles Sparks W 86-78 1499.12 1564.32 45.06% 54.94% +18.74 18-14
2018-08-17 Atlanta Dream W 104-95 1517.86 1620.65 39.78% 60.22% +21.79 19-14
2018-08-19 New York Liberty W 96-85 1539.65 1293.39 83.13% 16.87% +6.75 20-14
2018-05-20 Phoenix Mercury L 82-87 1486.16 1527.75 48.44% 51.56% -13.07 0-1
2018-05-23 @ Phoenix Mercury W 87-71 1473.09 1540.81 36.20% 63.80% +30.78 1-1
2018-05-25 Chicago Sky W 95-91 1503.87 1460.25 60.54% 39.46% +9.52 2-1
2018-05-27 @ Las Vegas Aces W 105-98 1513.39 1394.75 62.39% 37.61% +12.00 3-1
2018-05-29 Washington Mystics W 81-77 1525.39 1555.33 50.11% 49.89% +12.03 4-1
2018-05-31 Las Vegas Aces W 101-74 1537.42 1382.75 74.41% 25.59% +16.04 5-1
2018-06-02 @ Dallas Wings L 90-94 1553.46 1481.51 55.90% 44.10% -13.48 5-2
2018-06-07 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 88-63 1539.98 1627.50 33.61% 66.39% +40.03 6-2
2018-06-10 Atlanta Dream L 64-67 1580.01 1465.47 69.77% 30.23% -14.57 6-3
2018-06-12 Chicago Sky W 96-85 1565.44 1406.37 74.89% 25.11% +10.04 7-3
2018-06-15 Connecticut Sun W 103-92 1575.48 1613.60 48.94% 51.06% +20.42 8-3
2018-06-19 Las Vegas Aces L 77-89 1595.90 1393.38 79.29% 20.71% -33.12 8-4
2018-06-22 Indiana Fever W 72-63 1562.78 1336.21 81.48% 18.52% +6.70 9-4
2018-06-24 @ Dallas Wings W 97-76 1569.48 1538.64 50.01% 49.99% +27.62 10-4
2018-06-26 @ Minnesota Lynx L 79-91 1597.10 1624.78 41.67% 58.33% -17.40 10-5
2018-06-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 81-72 1579.70 1623.13 48.17% 51.83% +18.75 11-5
2018-07-01 Connecticut Sun W 84-70 1598.45 1546.99 61.61% 38.39% +17.32 12-5
2018-07-03 @ New York Liberty W 77-62 1615.77 1417.53 72.40% 27.60% +12.89 13-5
2018-07-06 @ Atlanta Dream W 95-86 1628.66 1412.82 74.37% 25.63% +9.27 14-5
2018-07-08 Washington Mystics W 97-91 1637.93 1569.82 63.85% 36.15% +10.68 15-5
2018-07-10 Los Angeles Sparks L 75-77 1648.61 1541.01 68.92% 31.08% -11.75 15-6
2018-07-14 Dallas Wings W 91-84 1636.86 1608.96 58.36% 41.64% +13.28 16-6
2018-07-18 @ Chicago Sky W 101-83 1650.14 1346.14 82.82% 17.18% +8.79 17-6
2018-07-20 @ Connecticut Sun W 78-65 1658.93 1531.21 63.61% 36.39% +15.83 18-6
2018-07-22 @ Atlanta Dream L 74-87 1674.76 1515.37 67.71% 32.29% -29.45 18-7
2018-07-24 @ Indiana Fever W 92-72 1645.31 1276.67 87.49% 12.51% +6.75 19-7
2018-07-31 @ Phoenix Mercury W 102-91 1652.06 1496.89 67.18% 32.82% +13.13 20-7
2018-08-03 Minnesota Lynx W 85-75 1665.19 1550.66 69.77% 30.23% +11.53 21-7
2018-08-06 @ New York Liberty W 96-80 1676.72 1330.63 86.00% 14.00% +6.75 22-7
2018-08-07 @ Indiana Fever W 94-79 1683.47 1321.11 87.09% 12.91% +6.03 23-7
2018-08-09 @ Washington Mystics L 77-100 1689.50 1560.20 63.82% 36.18% -36.91 23-8
2018-08-12 @ Minnesota Lynx W 81-72 1652.59 1551.97 59.92% 40.08% +14.50 24-8
2018-08-17 New York Liberty W 85-77 1667.09 1296.47 90.97% 9.03% +3.08 25-8
2018-08-19 Dallas Wings W 84-68 1670.17 1465.53 79.49% 20.51% +9.89 26-8
2018-05-20 Indiana Fever W 82-75 1500.13 1381.48 70.27% 29.73% +9.48 1-0
2018-05-22 Las Vegas Aces W 75-70 1509.61 1403.17 68.78% 31.22% +8.42 2-0
2018-05-24 @ Indiana Fever W 93-84 1518.03 1360.43 67.49% 32.51% +11.77 3-0
2018-05-27 Minnesota Lynx W 90-78 1529.80 1639.12 38.88% 61.12% +25.53 4-0
2018-05-29 @ Seattle Storm L 77-81 1555.33 1525.39 49.89% 50.11% -12.03 4-1
2018-05-30 @ Phoenix Mercury W 103-95 1543.30 1498.79 51.98% 48.02% +16.38 5-1
2018-06-01 @ Las Vegas Aces L 73-85 1559.68 1366.71 71.79% 28.21% -29.99 5-2
2018-06-03 Connecticut Sun L 64-88 1529.69 1598.76 44.51% 55.49% -26.30 5-3
2018-06-07 Minnesota Lynx L 80-88 1503.39 1561.20 46.11% 53.89% -15.73 5-4
2018-06-13 @ Connecticut Sun W 95-91 1487.66 1631.25 26.83% 73.17% +17.65 6-4
2018-06-15 Los Angeles Sparks L 86-97 1505.31 1609.88 39.53% 60.47% -15.81 6-5
2018-06-19 Chicago Sky W 88-60 1489.50 1387.58 68.22% 31.78% +20.29 7-5
2018-06-22 @ Chicago Sky W 93-77 1509.79 1367.29 65.55% 34.45% +16.61 8-5
2018-06-26 Connecticut Sun W 92-80 1526.40 1560.02 49.59% 50.41% +21.07 9-5
2018-06-28 New York Liberty W 80-77 1547.47 1425.76 70.63% 29.37% +6.13 10-5
2018-06-30 Phoenix Mercury L 74-84 1553.60 1585.63 49.81% 50.19% -19.00 10-6
2018-07-05 New York Liberty W 86-67 1534.60 1404.64 71.61% 28.39% +14.93 11-6
2018-07-07 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 83-74 1549.53 1561.31 43.91% 56.09% +20.29 12-6
2018-07-08 @ Seattle Storm L 91-97 1569.82 1637.93 36.15% 63.85% -10.68 12-7
2018-07-11 Atlanta Dream L 89-106 1559.14 1425.42 72.05% 27.95% -35.82 12-8
2018-07-13 Chicago Sky W 88-72 1523.32 1383.93 72.70% 27.30% +13.17 13-8
2018-07-15 @ Atlanta Dream L 77-80 1536.49 1476.32 54.22% 45.78% -11.33 13-9
2018-07-19 @ Dallas Wings L 81-90 1525.16 1607.12 34.33% 65.67% -12.42 13-10
2018-07-21 @ New York Liberty W 95-78 1512.74 1390.48 62.87% 37.13% +18.46 14-10
2018-07-24 @ Connecticut Sun L 68-94 1531.20 1547.02 43.34% 56.66% -26.65 14-11
2018-07-31 @ Atlanta Dream W 86-71 1504.55 1566.34 36.99% 63.01% +29.43 15-11
2018-08-03 Las Vegas Aces W 1-0 1533.98 1484.10 61.40% 38.60% +4.66 16-11
2018-08-05 @ Dallas Wings W 76-74 1538.64 1517.47 48.62% 51.38% +8.76 17-11
2018-08-07 @ Phoenix Mercury W 103-98 1547.40 1499.07 52.53% 47.47% +12.80 18-11
2018-08-09 Seattle Storm W 100-77 1560.20 1689.50 36.18% 63.82% +36.91 19-11
2018-08-12 Dallas Wings W 93-80 1597.11 1481.96 69.84% 30.16% +13.11 20-11
2018-08-15 @ Indiana Fever W 76-62 1610.22 1287.60 84.29% 15.71% +7.09 21-11
2018-08-17 Los Angeles Sparks W 69-67 1617.31 1551.77 63.51% 36.49% +6.22 22-11
2018-08-19 @ Minnesota Lynx L 83-88 1623.53 1505.32 62.33% 37.67% -16.80 22-12

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2018-08-26 Washington Mystics L 84-87 1614.25 1632.62 51.78% 48.22% -10.82 0-1
2018-08-28 Washington Mystics W 78-75 1603.43 1643.44 48.67% 51.33% +10.72 1-1
2018-08-31 @ Washington Mystics W 81-76 1614.15 1632.71 42.95% 57.05% +15.39 2-1
2018-09-02 @ Washington Mystics L 76-97 1629.54 1617.33 47.34% 52.66% -26.16 2-2
2018-09-04 Washington Mystics L 81-86 1603.38 1643.49 48.65% 51.35% -13.12 2-3
2018-08-23 Phoenix Mercury L 86-96 1631.60 1563.38 63.87% 36.13% -24.36 0-1
2018-08-21 @ Phoenix Mercury L 83-101 1455.64 1546.40 33.19% 66.81% -16.98 0-1
2018-08-21 Minnesota Lynx W 75-68 1538.29 1522.13 56.71% 43.29% +13.81 1-0
2018-08-23 @ Washington Mystics L 64-96 1552.10 1606.73 37.96% 62.04% -25.89 1-1
2018-08-21 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 68-75 1522.13 1538.29 43.29% 56.71% -13.82 0-1
2018-08-21 Dallas Wings W 101-83 1546.40 1455.64 66.81% 33.19% +16.98 1-0
2018-08-23 @ Connecticut Sun W 96-86 1563.38 1631.60 36.13% 63.87% +24.36 2-0
2018-08-26 @ Seattle Storm L 87-91 1587.74 1680.06 33.00% 67.00% -7.96 2-1
2018-08-28 @ Seattle Storm L 87-91 1579.78 1688.02 31.00% 69.00% -7.47 2-2
2018-08-31 Seattle Storm W 86-66 1572.31 1695.50 37.00% 63.00% +33.97 3-2
2018-09-02 Seattle Storm W 86-84 1606.28 1661.52 46.48% 53.52% +9.13 4-2
2018-09-04 @ Seattle Storm L 84-94 1615.41 1652.39 40.38% 59.62% -15.40 4-3
2018-08-26 Phoenix Mercury W 91-87 1680.06 1587.74 67.00% 33.00% +7.96 1-0
2018-08-28 Phoenix Mercury W 91-87 1688.02 1579.78 69.00% 31.00% +7.48 2-0
2018-08-31 @ Phoenix Mercury L 66-86 1695.50 1572.31 63.00% 37.00% -33.98 2-1
2018-09-02 @ Phoenix Mercury L 84-86 1661.52 1606.28 53.52% 46.48% -9.13 2-2
2018-09-04 Phoenix Mercury W 94-84 1652.39 1615.41 59.62% 40.38% +15.40 3-2
2018-09-07 Washington Mystics W 89-76 1667.79 1656.61 56.00% 44.00% +19.13 4-2
2018-09-09 Washington Mystics W 75-73 1686.92 1637.48 61.34% 38.66% +6.60 5-2
2018-09-12 @ Washington Mystics W 98-82 1693.52 1630.89 54.58% 45.42% +21.91 6-2
2018-08-23 Los Angeles Sparks W 96-64 1606.73 1552.10 62.04% 37.96% +25.89 1-0
2018-08-26 @ Atlanta Dream W 87-84 1632.62 1614.25 48.22% 51.78% +10.82 2-0
2018-08-28 @ Atlanta Dream L 75-78 1643.44 1603.43 51.33% 48.67% -10.73 2-1
2018-08-31 Atlanta Dream L 76-81 1632.71 1614.15 57.05% 42.95% -15.38 2-2
2018-09-02 Atlanta Dream W 97-76 1617.33 1629.54 52.66% 47.34% +26.16 3-2
2018-09-04 @ Atlanta Dream W 86-81 1643.49 1603.38 51.35% 48.65% +13.12 4-2
2018-09-07 @ Seattle Storm L 76-89 1656.61 1667.79 44.00% 56.00% -19.13 4-3
2018-09-09 @ Seattle Storm L 73-75 1637.48 1686.92 38.66% 61.34% -6.59 4-4
2018-09-12 Seattle Storm L 82-98 1630.89 1693.52 45.42% 54.58% -21.92 4-5

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2018-07-03 9.25% Indiana Fever 1292.11 71 @ Minnesota Lynx 1658.03 59
2 2018-07-20 13.80% Indiana Fever 1270.88 78 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1558.37 76
3 2018-07-20 19.04% @ Chicago Sky 1337.35 114 Dallas Wings 1619.54 99
4 2018-08-02 20.04% @ Indiana Fever 1269.92 84 Dallas Wings 1541.10 78
5 2018-06-19 20.71% Las Vegas Aces 1393.38 89 @ Seattle Storm 1595.90 77
6 2018-07-07 21.12% @ Chicago Sky 1376.26 77 Minnesota Lynx 1635.93 63
7 2018-08-10 22.44% @ Chicago Sky 1369.37 97 Connecticut Sun 1615.57 86
8 2018-06-24 23.61% @ Chicago Sky 1350.67 97 Phoenix Mercury 1585.39 88
9 2018-07-25 23.78% Chicago Sky 1359.67 101 @ Phoenix Mercury 1531.28 87
10 2018-07-31 25.44% Chicago Sky 1394.07 92 @ Dallas Wings 1550.09 91
11 2018-08-19 25.63% Indiana Fever 1267.36 97 @ Chicago Sky 1421.67 92
12 2018-07-08 25.98% @ Atlanta Dream 1403.55 76 Phoenix Mercury 1616.19 70
13 2018-08-14 26.75% Chicago Sky 1393.21 91 @ Minnesota Lynx 1537.47 88
14 2018-06-13 26.83% Washington Mystics 1487.66 95 @ Connecticut Sun 1631.25 91
15 2018-07-11 27.81% New York Liberty 1376.93 79 @ Connecticut Sun 1511.92 76
16 2018-07-11 27.95% Atlanta Dream 1425.42 106 @ Washington Mystics 1559.14 89
17 2018-06-13 28.20% Las Vegas Aces 1385.10 78 @ New York Liberty 1516.72 63
18 2018-06-01 28.21% @ Las Vegas Aces 1366.71 85 Washington Mystics 1559.68 73
19 2018-06-05 28.61% @ Atlanta Dream 1435.49 82 Connecticut Sun 1625.05 77
20 2018-06-29 29.10% @ Las Vegas Aces 1418.92 94 Los Angeles Sparks 1604.38 78
21 2018-07-13 29.39% Las Vegas Aces 1489.50 85 @ Minnesota Lynx 1611.03 77
22 2018-06-16 29.61% @ Indiana Fever 1295.31 96 Atlanta Dream 1476.46 64
23 2018-06-01 29.66% Phoenix Mercury 1482.41 95 @ Minnesota Lynx 1601.70 85
24 2018-06-10 30.23% Atlanta Dream 1465.47 67 @ Seattle Storm 1580.01 64
25 2018-05-29 30.32% @ Atlanta Dream 1438.26 76 Minnesota Lynx 1613.59 74

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-06-16 48.02 @ Indiana Fever 96 1295.31 29.61% Atlanta Dream 64 1476.46 70.39%
2 2018-06-22 42.85 @ Dallas Wings 101 1495.79 34.02% Los Angeles Sparks 72 1641.56 65.98%
3 2018-06-07 40.03 Seattle Storm 88 1539.98 33.61% @ Los Angeles Sparks 63 1627.50 66.39%
4 2018-07-03 37.92 Indiana Fever 71 1292.11 9.25% @ Minnesota Lynx 59 1658.03 90.75%
5 2018-07-20 37.82 @ Chicago Sky 114 1337.35 19.04% Dallas Wings 99 1619.54 80.96%
6 2018-08-09 36.91 @ Washington Mystics 100 1560.20 36.18% Seattle Storm 77 1689.50 63.82%
7 2018-07-11 35.82 Atlanta Dream 106 1425.42 27.95% @ Washington Mystics 89 1559.14 72.05%
8 2018-07-07 35.60 @ Chicago Sky 77 1376.26 21.12% Minnesota Lynx 63 1635.93 78.88%
9 2018-07-25 34.40 Chicago Sky 101 1359.67 23.78% @ Phoenix Mercury 87 1531.28 76.22%
10 2018-06-29 34.21 @ Las Vegas Aces 94 1418.92 29.10% Los Angeles Sparks 78 1604.38 70.90%
11 2018-07-15 34.18 Connecticut Sun 83 1510.05 34.99% @ Minnesota Lynx 64 1586.95 65.01%
12 2018-08-31 * 33.98 @ Phoenix Mercury 86 1572.31 37.00% Seattle Storm 66 1695.50 63.00%
13 2018-06-13 33.54 Las Vegas Aces 78 1385.10 28.20% @ New York Liberty 63 1516.72 71.80%
14 2018-07-10 33.53 @ Dallas Wings 101 1552.23 48.37% Phoenix Mercury 72 1594.32 51.63%
15 2018-06-19 33.13 Las Vegas Aces 89 1393.38 20.71% @ Seattle Storm 77 1595.90 79.29%
16 2018-05-23 32.80 Atlanta Dream 81 1423.07 35.90% @ Chicago Sky 63 1493.05 64.10%
17 2018-07-22 31.64 Connecticut Sun 92 1515.38 36.38% @ Dallas Wings 75 1581.72 63.62%
18 2018-08-10 31.03 @ Chicago Sky 97 1369.37 22.44% Connecticut Sun 86 1615.57 77.56%
19 2018-05-23 30.78 Seattle Storm 87 1473.09 36.20% @ Phoenix Mercury 71 1540.81 63.80%
20 2018-06-01 29.99 @ Las Vegas Aces 85 1366.71 28.21% Washington Mystics 73 1559.68 71.79%
21 2018-07-22 29.45 @ Atlanta Dream 87 1515.37 32.29% Seattle Storm 74 1674.76 67.71%
22 2018-07-31 29.43 Washington Mystics 86 1504.55 36.99% @ Atlanta Dream 71 1566.34 63.01%
23 2018-08-02 29.22 @ Los Angeles Sparks 79 1537.63 48.34% Minnesota Lynx 57 1579.88 51.66%
24 2018-07-15 28.81 Los Angeles Sparks 99 1529.56 47.88% @ Las Vegas Aces 78 1513.58 52.12%
25 2018-08-05 28.51 Atlanta Dream 86 1549.96 47.14% @ Minnesota Lynx 66 1539.13 52.86%