2009 WNBA Season
221 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Phoenix Mercury
2nd Title
Last Title: 2007
Runner-Up
Indiana Fever
1
Biggest Overachiever
Phoenix Mercury
4.39 wins above expected
23 wins · 18.61 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
New York Liberty
3.56 wins below expected
13 wins · 16.56 expected wins
Final Standings
Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indiana Fever League | 22 | 12 | .647 | — | 76.6 | 73.6 | +3.1 | 19.59 | +2.41 |
| 2 | Atlanta Dream Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 4 | 84.1 | 82.3 | +1.9 | 15.19 | +2.81 |
| 3 | Detroit Shock Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 4 | 78.0 | 77.8 | +0.2 | 17.49 | +0.51 |
| 4 | Washington Mystics Playoffs | 16 | 18 | .471 | 6 | 76.0 | 77.1 | -1.1 | 15.96 | +0.04 |
| 5 | Connecticut Sun | 16 | 18 | .471 | 6 | 78.0 | 78.1 | -0.1 | 17.90 | -1.90 |
| 6 | Chicago Sky | 16 | 18 | .471 | 6 | 75.7 | 79.2 | -3.5 | 15.43 | +0.57 |
| 7 | New York Liberty | 13 | 21 | .382 | 9 | 73.9 | 74.6 | -0.7 | 16.56 | -3.56 |
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix Mercury League | 23 | 11 | .676 | — | 92.8 | 89.1 | +3.7 | 18.61 | +4.39 |
| 2 | Seattle Storm Playoffs | 20 | 14 | .588 | 3 | 74.8 | 72.8 | +2.0 | 18.79 | +1.21 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 5 | 74.5 | 73.5 | +1.0 | 17.02 | +0.98 |
| 4 | San Antonio Silver Stars Playoffs | 15 | 19 | .441 | 8 | 76.9 | 78.3 | -1.4 | 16.69 | -1.69 |
| 5 | Minnesota Lynx | 14 | 20 | .412 | 9 | 80.3 | 83.1 | -2.8 | 16.59 | -2.59 |
| 6 | Sacramento Monarchs | 12 | 22 | .353 | 11 | 76.8 | 79.1 | -2.4 | 15.18 | -3.18 |
Playoff Bracket
Eastern Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
Western Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
WNBA Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | Western | 1585 | 23 | 18.61 | +4.39 | 96.18% | 8 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 29 | |
| Indiana Fever | Eastern | 1550 | 22 | 19.59 | +2.41 | 85.31% | 10 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 24 | 30 | |
| Seattle Storm | Western | 1544 | 20 | 18.79 | +1.21 | 73.02% | 8 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 28 | |
| Detroit Shock | Eastern | 1538 | 18 | 17.49 | +0.51 | 64.48% | 8 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 22 | 29 | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | Western | 1526 | 18 | 17.02 | +0.98 | 70.03% | 7 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 28 | |
| Atlanta Dream | Eastern | 1502 | 18 | 15.19 | +2.81 | 88.62% | 5 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 25 | |
| Connecticut Sun | Eastern | 1490 | 16 | 17.90 | -1.90 | 30.16% | 6 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 28 | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | Western | 1485 | 15 | 16.69 | -1.69 | 33.05% | 6 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 29 | |
| Washington Mystics | Eastern | 1465 | 16 | 15.96 | +0.04 | 57.49% | 6 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 28 | |
| New York Liberty | Eastern | 1464 | 13 | 16.56 | -3.56 | 13.68% | 7 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 28 | |
| Sacramento Monarchs | Western | 1457 | 12 | 15.18 | -3.18 | 16.66% | 5 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 28 | |
| Chicago Sky | Eastern | 1452 | 16 | 15.43 | +0.57 | 65.36% | 6 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 25 | |
| Minnesota Lynx | Western | 1445 | 14 | 16.59 | -2.59 | 22.47% | 8 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 28 |
Head-to-Head
Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.
Within Eastern
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Shock | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | — |
0-3
(1.6 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
3-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.8 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
1-3
(2.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
| Detroit Shock |
1-3
(2.2 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
— |
3-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.4 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
— |
Eastern vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Monarchs | Stars | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream |
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Detroit Shock |
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
Within Western
| Team | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Monarchs | Stars | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | — |
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
| Sacramento Monarchs |
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.8 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
— |
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
— |
Western vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Shock | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Sacramento Monarchs |
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
Scoreline Distribution
Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | 0.23% | — | — | — | — | 0.23% |
| 50–59 | — | 0.45% | 3.62% | 0.45% | 0.90% | — | — | 5.43% |
| 60–69 | 0.23% | 3.62% | 5.88% | 7.92% | 2.71% | 0.90% | — | 21.27% |
| 70–79 | — | 0.45% | 7.92% | 6.79% | 7.92% | 2.04% | 0.23% | 25.34% |
| 80–89 | — | 0.90% | 2.71% | 7.92% | 7.24% | 7.24% | 2.04% | 28.05% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 0.90% | 2.04% | 7.24% | 3.62% | 1.36% | 15.16% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | 0.23% | 2.04% | 1.36% | 0.90% | 4.52% |
| Total | 0.23% | 5.43% | 21.27% | 25.34% | 28.05% | 15.16% | 4.52% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 78.35 | 78.35 | +0.00 |
| SD | 12.38 | 12.38 | 12.06 |
| CV | 0.16 | 0.16 | — |
| Max | 115 | 115 | +30 |
| Min | 47 | 47 | -30 |
Games Played: 221
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 41.18% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | 23.53% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | — | — | 11.76% | 23.53% | 41.18% | 20.59% | 2.94% | 100% |
Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 84.15 | 82.26 | +1.88 |
| SD | 10.80 | 9.34 | 10.87 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.11 | — |
| Max | 106 | 100 | +30 |
| Min | 64 | 62 | -18 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 2.94% | 11.76% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 23.53% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 11.76% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 44.12% | 29.41% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 100% |
Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 75.68 | 79.21 | -3.53 |
| SD | 11.56 | 10.33 | 11.76 |
| CV | 0.15 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 99 | 106 | +19 |
| Min | 54 | 57 | -30 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 60–69 | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 29.41% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 17.65% | — | 35.29% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 14.71% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 8.82% | 26.47% | 14.71% | 20.59% | 29.41% | — | 100% |
Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 77.97 | 78.06 | -0.09 |
| SD | 11.02 | 13.04 | 13.17 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.17 | — |
| Max | 98 | 95 | +30 |
| Min | 53 | 53 | -24 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 23.53% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | 20.59% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% |
| Total | — | 5.88% | 20.59% | 29.41% | 26.47% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 100% |
Detroit Shock — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 78.00 | 77.76 | +0.24 |
| SD | 12.40 | 12.26 | 11.76 |
| CV | 0.16 | 0.16 | — |
| Max | 101 | 100 | +29 |
| Min | 54 | 52 | -23 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | 8.82% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 80–89 | — | 5.88% | — | 14.71% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | 11.76% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 14.71% | 23.53% | 29.41% | 23.53% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 76.65 | 73.56 | +3.09 |
| SD | 9.88 | 12.83 | 11.63 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.17 | — |
| Max | 94 | 106 | +29 |
| Min | 60 | 53 | -22 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 60–69 | 2.94% | — | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 17.65% | 5.88% | 14.71% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 14.71% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 11.76% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.94% | 8.82% | 35.29% | 17.65% | 26.47% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 74.50 | 73.47 | +1.03 |
| SD | 10.25 | 13.67 | 13.34 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.19 | — |
| Max | 91 | 104 | +29 |
| Min | 52 | 47 | -29 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | — | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 26.47% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 23.53% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 17.65% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 8.82% |
| Total | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 29.41% | 38.24% | 23.53% | 2.94% | 100% |
Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 80.32 | 83.15 | -2.82 |
| SD | 13.13 | 9.40 | 13.84 |
| CV | 0.16 | 0.11 | — |
| Max | 109 | 104 | +29 |
| Min | 61 | 57 | -29 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 11.76% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 11.76% | — | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | 35.29% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 2.94% | 47.06% | 14.71% | 23.53% | 11.76% | — | 100% |
New York Liberty — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 73.88 | 74.56 | -0.68 |
| SD | 11.03 | 11.37 | 10.15 |
| CV | 0.15 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 93 | 96 | +21 |
| Min | 54 | 59 | -19 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 70–79 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 8.82% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 26.47% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 5.88% | 23.53% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 38.24% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | 11.76% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 26.47% |
| Total | — | — | — | 8.82% | 41.18% | 32.35% | 17.65% | 100% |
Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 92.82 | 89.15 | +3.68 |
| SD | 9.81 | 9.72 | 13.60 |
| CV | 0.11 | 0.11 | — |
| Max | 115 | 109 | +24 |
| Min | 71 | 70 | -30 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 50–59 | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 14.71% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | 23.53% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 14.71% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 8.82% |
| Total | — | 2.94% | 26.47% | 29.41% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 14.71% | 100% |
Sacramento Monarchs — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 76.76 | 79.12 | -2.35 |
| SD | 15.05 | 14.34 | 12.87 |
| CV | 0.20 | 0.18 | — |
| Max | 105 | 115 | +22 |
| Min | 47 | 59 | -20 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 60–69 | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 20.59% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 11.76% | — | 35.29% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 5.88% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | — | 5.88% | 17.65% | 29.41% | 26.47% | 17.65% | 2.94% | 100% |
San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 76.91 | 78.26 | -1.35 |
| SD | 12.78 | 12.39 | 10.61 |
| CV | 0.17 | 0.16 | — |
| Max | 106 | 101 | +19 |
| Min | 53 | 52 | -17 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 60–69 | — | 14.71% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 29.41% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 14.71% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 20.59% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 2.94% | — | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | 14.71% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 14.71% | 29.41% | 26.47% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 74.82 | 72.82 | +2.00 |
| SD | 11.33 | 12.22 | 11.09 |
| CV | 0.15 | 0.17 | — |
| Max | 98 | 101 | +28 |
| Min | 53 | 53 | -27 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 14.71% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | 29.41% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 8.82% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | — | 26.47% | 32.35% | 26.47% | 14.71% | — | 100% |
Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 76.03 | 77.12 | -1.09 |
| SD | 9.36 | 10.24 | 10.82 |
| CV | 0.12 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 94 | 96 | +18 |
| Min | 59 | 60 | -29 |
Games Played: 34
Actual Wins vs. Point Differential
Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix Mercury | 23 | 18.61 | +4.39 |
| 2 | Atlanta Dream | 18 | 15.19 | +2.81 |
| 3 | Indiana Fever | 22 | 19.59 | +2.41 |
| 4 | Seattle Storm | 20 | 18.79 | +1.21 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Sparks | 18 | 17.02 | +0.98 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Liberty | 13 | 16.56 | -3.56 |
| 2 | Sacramento Monarchs | 12 | 15.18 | -3.18 |
| 3 | Minnesota Lynx | 14 | 16.59 | -2.59 |
| 4 | Connecticut Sun | 16 | 17.90 | -1.90 |
| 5 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 15 | 16.69 | -1.69 |
Top Streaks
The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indiana Fever | 11 | Jun 9 – Jul 17 | 1 in 405 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Sparks | 6 | Aug 15 – Aug 25 | 1 in 51 |
| 3 | Atlanta Dream | 4 | Jul 22 – Aug 6 | 1 in 35 |
| 4 | Seattle Storm | 6 | Aug 18 – Sep 1 | 1 in 27 |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury | 6 | Jul 1 – Jul 18 | 1 in 27 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Liberty | 5 | Jul 23 – Aug 4 | 1 in 53 |
| 2 | Detroit Shock | 4 | Jun 10 – Jun 26 | 1 in 31 |
| 3 | Minnesota Lynx | 6 | Aug 9 – Aug 23 | 1 in 27 |
| 4 | Indiana Fever | 3 | Aug 29 – Sep 4 | 1 in 24 |
| 5 | Sacramento Monarchs | 6 | Jun 13 – Jun 30 | 1 in 20 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Fever | 40.96% | 22.36% | 14.37% | 9.36% | 7.13% | 4.27% | 1.55% |
| Connecticut Sun | 18.92% | 20.66% | 17.95% | 15.22% | 12.10% | 9.20% | 5.95% |
| Detroit Shock | 15.20% | 18.08% | 17.53% | 16.25% | 13.59% | 11.08% | 8.27% |
| New York Liberty | 9.57% | 13.08% | 15.14% | 16.49% | 16.12% | 15.72% | 13.88% |
| Washington Mystics | 6.70% | 10.41% | 13.28% | 15.39% | 17.17% | 17.84% | 19.21% |
| Chicago Sky | 4.98% | 8.11% | 11.18% | 14.03% | 16.98% | 20.78% | 23.94% |
| Atlanta Dream | 3.67% | 7.30% | 10.55% | 13.26% | 16.91% | 21.11% | 27.20% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 31.64% | 23.78% | 16.55% | 13.17% | 9.24% | 5.62% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 29.22% | 22.64% | 18.25% | 13.54% | 10.27% | 6.08% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 13.08% | 16.85% | 18.56% | 18.30% | 17.49% | 15.72% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 11.26% | 14.37% | 17.73% | 19.14% | 19.61% | 17.89% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 10.04% | 14.40% | 16.72% | 19.92% | 20.47% | 18.45% |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 4.76% | 7.96% | 12.19% | 15.93% | 22.92% | 36.24% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Fever | 24.23% | 16.90% | 12.54% | 9.82% | 8.44% | 6.79% | 5.41% | 4.42% | 4.12% | 2.91% | 2.27% | 1.45% | 0.70% |
| Seattle Storm | 16.08% | 14.59% | 12.27% | 10.23% | 8.79% | 8.36% | 6.31% | 6.14% | 5.21% | 4.67% | 3.07% | 2.74% | 1.54% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 15.18% | 13.14% | 11.90% | 10.48% | 9.26% | 8.35% | 7.16% | 5.88% | 5.46% | 4.37% | 3.83% | 3.15% | 1.84% |
| Connecticut Sun | 9.71% | 10.38% | 10.18% | 10.01% | 9.88% | 8.75% | 8.18% | 7.52% | 6.99% | 6.00% | 5.14% | 4.13% | 3.13% |
| Detroit Shock | 7.33% | 9.17% | 9.16% | 8.51% | 9.35% | 9.17% | 8.56% | 8.33% | 7.71% | 6.63% | 6.45% | 5.42% | 4.21% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 5.96% | 7.06% | 7.76% | 8.73% | 8.30% | 8.69% | 8.41% | 8.45% | 8.12% | 7.53% | 7.93% | 7.13% | 5.93% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 4.90% | 5.71% | 7.00% | 7.98% | 7.85% | 8.45% | 8.76% | 8.63% | 9.12% | 8.40% | 7.94% | 8.05% | 7.21% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 4.42% | 5.71% | 6.84% | 7.05% | 7.77% | 7.73% | 8.85% | 9.15% | 8.58% | 9.35% | 9.14% | 8.17% | 7.24% |
| New York Liberty | 4.45% | 5.57% | 6.40% | 7.34% | 7.92% | 8.12% | 8.52% | 8.49% | 8.99% | 9.19% | 8.54% | 8.62% | 7.85% |
| Washington Mystics | 2.87% | 3.81% | 4.94% | 6.25% | 6.76% | 7.18% | 8.34% | 8.99% | 8.97% | 9.14% | 10.09% | 11.27% | 11.39% |
| Chicago Sky | 1.83% | 3.06% | 3.93% | 4.87% | 5.53% | 6.44% | 7.60% | 7.70% | 9.08% | 10.76% | 11.75% | 12.44% | 15.01% |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 1.69% | 2.64% | 3.53% | 4.28% | 5.03% | 5.80% | 6.89% | 7.96% | 8.67% | 10.88% | 11.89% | 13.52% | 17.22% |
| Atlanta Dream | 1.35% | 2.26% | 3.55% | 4.45% | 5.12% | 6.17% | 7.01% | 8.34% | 8.98% | 10.17% | 11.96% | 13.91% | 16.73% |
Win Totals in Context
How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Fever | 40.96% | 22.36% | 14.37% | 9.36% | 12.95% |
| Connecticut Sun | 18.92% | 20.66% | 17.95% | 15.22% | 27.25% |
| Detroit Shock | 15.20% | 18.08% | 17.53% | 16.25% | 32.94% |
| New York Liberty | 9.57% | 13.08% | 15.14% | 16.49% | 45.72% |
| Washington Mystics | 6.70% | 10.41% | 13.28% | 15.39% | 54.22% |
| Chicago Sky | 4.98% | 8.11% | 11.18% | 14.03% | 61.70% |
| Atlanta Dream | 3.67% | 7.30% | 10.55% | 13.26% | 65.22% |
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 31.64% | 23.78% | 16.55% | 13.17% | 14.86% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 29.22% | 22.64% | 18.25% | 13.54% | 16.35% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 13.08% | 16.85% | 18.56% | 18.30% | 33.21% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 11.26% | 14.37% | 17.73% | 19.14% | 37.50% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 10.04% | 14.40% | 16.72% | 19.92% | 38.92% |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 4.76% | 7.96% | 12.19% | 15.93% | 59.16% |
Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed
The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 83.65% | 57.36% | 36.94% | 23.93% |
| Indiana Fever | 87.05% | 56.89% | 35.20% | 18.26% |
| Seattle Storm | 85.14% | 49.71% | 26.17% | 14.92% |
| Detroit Shock | 67.06% | 39.42% | 21.54% | 10.40% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 66.79% | 33.71% | 15.97% | 8.13% |
| Connecticut Sun | 72.75% | 34.77% | 15.88% | 6.42% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 62.50% | 25.89% | 10.05% | 4.27% |
| Atlanta Dream | 34.78% | 15.83% | 7.22% | 3.06% |
| New York Liberty | 54.28% | 21.06% | 8.12% | 2.69% |
| Washington Mystics | 45.78% | 17.89% | 7.02% | 2.20% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 61.08% | 19.42% | 6.06% | 2.15% |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 40.84% | 13.91% | 4.81% | 1.98% |
| Chicago Sky | 38.30% | 14.14% | 5.02% | 1.59% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 1.88% | 3.50% | 2.35% | 3.51% | 2.70% | 1.89% | |
| Chicago Sky | 0.96% | 3.76% | 2.42% | 3.00% | 2.24% | 1.76% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 3.98% | 4.78% | 6.25% | 6.60% | 6.95% | 6.21% | |
| Detroit Shock | 3.71% | 4.88% | 9.12% | 8.16% | 7.38% | 6.17% | |
| Indiana Fever | 6.80% | 8.12% | 11.89% | 9.89% | 11.00% | 9.19% | |
| New York Liberty | 1.91% | 2.70% | 5.40% | 3.75% | 4.63% | 2.67% | |
| Washington Mystics | 1.59% | 1.80% | 4.31% | 2.98% | 4.26% | 2.95% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 7.41% | 6.65% | 4.19% | 7.06% | 8.40% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 3.79% | 3.85% | 2.80% | 4.18% | 4.80% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 11.38% | 13.60% | 8.65% | 11.74% | 11.99% | |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 2.26% | 3.16% | 2.46% | 2.48% | 3.55% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 5.09% | 5.94% | 4.93% | 3.24% | 6.69% | |
| Seattle Storm | 10.56% | 11.55% | 8.40% | 8.05% | 11.15% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.60% | 1.38% | 1.47% | 2.32% | 0.74% | 0.71% | |
| Chicago Sky | 0.45% | 0.96% | 0.89% | 1.45% | 0.56% | 0.71% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 1.51% | 1.50% | 3.40% | 5.52% | 2.13% | 1.82% | |
| Detroit Shock | 1.77% | 1.93% | 4.78% | 7.64% | 3.14% | 2.28% | |
| Indiana Fever | 3.78% | 3.62% | 8.57% | 9.12% | 5.59% | 4.52% | |
| New York Liberty | 0.71% | 0.84% | 1.79% | 1.62% | 2.33% | 0.83% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.39% | 0.63% | 1.41% | 1.38% | 2.43% | 0.78% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 2.27% | 4.96% | 1.48% | 2.56% | 4.70% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 1.12% | 1.60% | 0.47% | 1.11% | 1.76% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 8.47% | 5.14% | 3.64% | 6.73% | 12.96% | |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 0.94% | 0.73% | 1.22% | 0.65% | 1.27% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 1.87% | 1.24% | 3.05% | 1.04% | 2.85% | |
| Seattle Storm | 5.34% | 3.98% | 9.59% | 2.47% | 4.79% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.55% | 0.28% | 0.87% | 0.23% | 0.43% | 0.70% | |||||||
| Chicago Sky | 0.34% | 0.15% | 0.39% | 0.09% | 0.25% | 0.37% | |||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 1.17% | 0.52% | 1.92% | 0.46% | 0.80% | 1.55% | |||||||
| Detroit Shock | 1.67% | 0.92% | 3.25% | 0.69% | 1.33% | 2.54% | |||||||
| Indiana Fever | 3.13% | 1.62% | 5.38% | 1.02% | 2.32% | 4.79% | |||||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.66% | 0.46% | 1.43% | 1.70% | 2.41% | 0.71% | 0.76% | ||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.16% | 0.11% | 0.37% | 0.46% | 0.58% | 0.24% | 0.23% | ||||||
| New York Liberty | 0.54% | 0.29% | 0.64% | 0.15% | 0.36% | 0.71% | |||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 1.87% | 1.54% | 4.12% | 4.75% | 7.50% | 2.29% | 1.86% | ||||||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 0.15% | 0.13% | 0.35% | 0.33% | 0.57% | 0.21% | 0.24% | ||||||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.34% | 0.24% | 0.66% | 0.99% | 1.17% | 0.54% | 0.33% | ||||||
| Seattle Storm | 0.98% | 0.95% | 2.53% | 2.91% | 4.71% | 1.44% | 1.40% | ||||||
| Washington Mystics | 0.44% | 0.13% | 0.56% | 0.19% | 0.29% | 0.59% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 75.69% | 49.24% | 32.76% | Won Finals |
| Indiana Fever | 73.10% | 44.79% | 21.05% | Eliminated in Finals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 49.62% | |||
| Detroit Shock | 50.38% | |||
| Indiana Fever | 73.10% | |||
| Washington Mystics | 26.90% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 38.64% | |||
| Phoenix Mercury | 75.69% | |||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 24.31% | |||
| Seattle Storm | 61.36% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 13.10% | 8.37% | ||
| Detroit Shock | 15.21% | 9.71% | ||
| Indiana Fever | 23.24% | 21.55% | ||
| Washington Mystics | 4.91% | 3.91% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 10.25% | 5.96% | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 19.02% | 30.22% | ||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 3.41% | 4.81% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 16.20% | 10.13% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 1.66% | 3.02% | 0.98% | 1.95% | ||||
| Detroit Shock | 1.85% | 4.56% | 1.20% | 3.06% | ||||
| Indiana Fever | 4.27% | 7.96% | 2.40% | 6.42% | ||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 2.01% | 1.81% | 3.26% | 0.87% | ||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 7.47% | 8.03% | 14.01% | 3.25% | ||||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.81% | 0.74% | 1.29% | 0.45% | ||||
| Seattle Storm | 3.57% | 3.67% | 5.18% | 1.78% | ||||
| Washington Mystics | 0.48% | 0.94% | 0.35% | 0.70% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009-06-06 | Indiana Fever | W 87-86 | 1438.59 | 1502.43 | 55.45% | 44.55% | +2.54 | 1-0 |
| 2009-06-07 | @ Washington Mystics | L 71-77 | 1441.13 | 1477.74 | 31.07% | 68.93% | -4.33 | 1-1 |
| 2009-06-12 | @ Chicago Sky | L 73-81 | 1436.80 | 1475.24 | 30.84% | 69.16% | -4.98 | 1-2 |
| 2009-06-14 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 67-62 | 1431.82 | 1512.96 | 25.86% | 74.14% | +9.45 | 2-2 |
| 2009-06-19 | Washington Mystics | W 93-81 | 1441.27 | 1491.98 | 57.31% | 42.69% | +8.43 | 3-2 |
| 2009-06-21 | New York Liberty | L 81-93 | 1449.70 | 1496.09 | 57.92% | 42.08% | -11.43 | 3-3 |
| 2009-06-23 | Chicago Sky | L 98-99 | 1438.27 | 1473.78 | 59.43% | 40.57% | -3.39 | 3-4 |
| 2009-06-26 | Detroit Shock | W 96-86 | 1434.88 | 1504.50 | 54.63% | 45.37% | +8.18 | 4-4 |
| 2009-06-27 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 68-82 | 1443.06 | 1517.76 | 26.57% | 73.43% | -5.67 | 4-5 |
| 2009-06-30 | Minnesota Lynx | L 85-91 | 1437.39 | 1519.87 | 52.79% | 47.21% | -7.37 | 4-6 |
| 2009-07-03 | Washington Mystics | W 72-65 | 1430.02 | 1481.97 | 57.13% | 42.87% | +6.47 | 5-6 |
| 2009-07-05 | @ Indiana Fever | L 74-78 | 1436.49 | 1533.98 | 24.09% | 75.91% | -2.75 | 5-7 |
| 2009-07-07 | Connecticut Sun | W 72-67 | 1433.74 | 1521.95 | 51.96% | 48.04% | +6.12 | 6-7 |
| 2009-07-11 | @ New York Liberty | L 69-71 | 1439.86 | 1488.68 | 29.58% | 70.42% | -2.38 | 6-8 |
| 2009-07-15 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 91-77 | 1437.48 | 1514.42 | 26.32% | 73.68% | +15.71 | 7-8 |
| 2009-07-17 | @ Indiana Fever | L 79-84 | 1453.19 | 1557.72 | 23.36% | 76.64% | -2.98 | 7-9 |
| 2009-07-19 | @ New York Liberty | L 86-89 | 1450.21 | 1488.92 | 30.81% | 69.19% | -3.04 | 7-10 |
| 2009-07-22 | @ Detroit Shock | W 98-95 | 1447.17 | 1503.21 | 28.72% | 71.28% | +7.04 | 8-10 |
| 2009-07-30 | Phoenix Mercury | W 106-76 | 1454.21 | 1563.31 | 48.96% | 51.04% | +15.93 | 9-10 |
| 2009-08-01 | New York Liberty | W 89-83 | 1470.14 | 1470.94 | 64.15% | 35.85% | +5.01 | 10-10 |
| 2009-08-06 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 92-84 | 1475.15 | 1506.67 | 31.70% | 68.30% | +11.01 | 11-10 |
| 2009-08-08 | Chicago Sky | L 80-82 | 1486.16 | 1458.33 | 67.84% | 32.16% | -5.47 | 11-11 |
| 2009-08-13 | Detroit Shock | W 80-75 | 1480.69 | 1500.46 | 61.60% | 38.40% | +4.90 | 12-11 |
| 2009-08-15 | Seattle Storm | W 88-79 | 1485.59 | 1527.34 | 58.57% | 41.43% | +7.08 | 13-11 |
| 2009-08-20 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 93-87 | 1492.67 | 1489.85 | 64.62% | 35.38% | +4.94 | 14-11 |
| 2009-08-23 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 87-91 | 1497.61 | 1513.33 | 62.15% | 37.85% | -7.08 | 14-12 |
| 2009-08-25 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 103-83 | 1490.53 | 1464.69 | 67.59% | 32.41% | +8.26 | 15-12 |
| 2009-08-27 | @ Detroit Shock | L 83-87 | 1498.79 | 1517.60 | 33.30% | 66.70% | -3.80 | 15-13 |
| 2009-08-29 | @ Seattle Storm | L 84-91 | 1494.99 | 1547.68 | 29.12% | 70.88% | -4.39 | 15-14 |
| 2009-09-01 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 84-79 | 1490.60 | 1522.24 | 31.68% | 68.32% | +8.71 | 16-14 |
| 2009-09-04 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 98-90 | 1499.31 | 1466.91 | 40.13% | 59.87% | +9.65 | 17-14 |
| 2009-09-05 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 82-100 | 1508.96 | 1576.59 | 27.38% | 72.62% | -6.62 | 17-15 |
| 2009-09-11 | Connecticut Sun | W 88-64 | 1502.34 | 1490.94 | 65.75% | 34.25% | +9.57 | 18-15 |
| 2009-09-12 | @ Washington Mystics | L 64-82 | 1511.91 | 1464.44 | 42.24% | 57.76% | -10.22 | 18-16 |
| 2009-06-06 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 85-102 | 1483.15 | 1499.13 | 33.66% | 66.34% | -7.91 | 0-1 |
| 2009-06-12 | Atlanta Dream | W 81-73 | 1475.24 | 1436.80 | 69.16% | 30.84% | +4.97 | 1-1 |
| 2009-06-14 | Seattle Storm | W 64-57 | 1480.21 | 1539.91 | 56.04% | 43.96% | +6.63 | 2-1 |
| 2009-06-16 | Connecticut Sun | W 78-75 | 1486.84 | 1503.51 | 62.02% | 37.98% | +3.75 | 3-1 |
| 2009-06-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 61-91 | 1490.59 | 1499.76 | 34.54% | 65.46% | -10.78 | 3-2 |
| 2009-06-20 | @ Washington Mystics | L 72-81 | 1479.81 | 1483.55 | 35.25% | 64.75% | -6.03 | 3-3 |
| 2009-06-23 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 99-98 | 1473.78 | 1438.27 | 40.57% | 59.43% | +3.39 | 4-3 |
| 2009-06-27 | Washington Mystics | W 68-63 | 1477.17 | 1481.08 | 63.73% | 36.27% | +4.62 | 5-3 |
| 2009-06-30 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 74-72 | 1481.79 | 1464.16 | 66.55% | 33.45% | +2.69 | 6-3 |
| 2009-07-03 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 72-85 | 1484.48 | 1503.11 | 33.32% | 66.68% | -6.84 | 6-4 |
| 2009-07-07 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 73-83 | 1477.64 | 1471.57 | 36.55% | 63.45% | -6.59 | 6-5 |
| 2009-07-08 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 70-90 | 1471.05 | 1533.87 | 27.93% | 72.07% | -7.12 | 6-6 |
| 2009-07-10 | Indiana Fever | L 54-83 | 1463.93 | 1536.73 | 54.17% | 45.83% | -16.63 | 6-7 |
| 2009-07-12 | @ Seattle Storm | W 86-81 | 1447.30 | 1547.35 | 23.83% | 76.17% | +9.71 | 7-7 |
| 2009-07-15 | @ Indiana Fever | L 74-84 | 1457.01 | 1553.36 | 24.21% | 75.79% | -4.37 | 7-8 |
| 2009-07-19 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 85-75 | 1452.64 | 1501.65 | 57.55% | 42.45% | +7.66 | 8-8 |
| 2009-07-22 | New York Liberty | L 70-77 | 1460.30 | 1491.96 | 59.97% | 40.03% | -9.05 | 8-9 |
| 2009-07-23 | @ Washington Mystics | L 64-75 | 1451.25 | 1469.14 | 33.42% | 66.58% | -6.31 | 8-10 |
| 2009-07-29 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 75-63 | 1444.94 | 1498.39 | 56.92% | 43.08% | +8.50 | 9-10 |
| 2009-08-01 | Connecticut Sun | W 84-72 | 1453.44 | 1517.64 | 55.40% | 44.60% | +8.81 | 10-10 |
| 2009-08-05 | @ Indiana Fever | L 67-76 | 1462.25 | 1571.42 | 22.89% | 77.11% | -3.92 | 10-11 |
| 2009-08-08 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 82-80 | 1458.33 | 1486.16 | 32.16% | 67.84% | +5.47 | 11-11 |
| 2009-08-09 | @ Detroit Shock | L 58-64 | 1463.80 | 1488.92 | 32.50% | 67.50% | -4.53 | 11-12 |
| 2009-08-14 | @ New York Liberty | W 88-77 | 1459.27 | 1480.79 | 32.95% | 67.05% | +12.67 | 12-12 |
| 2009-08-15 | Minnesota Lynx | W 79-76 | 1471.94 | 1475.32 | 63.80% | 36.20% | +3.57 | 13-12 |
| 2009-08-18 | Phoenix Mercury | L 99-106 | 1475.51 | 1555.31 | 53.17% | 46.83% | -8.01 | 13-13 |
| 2009-08-22 | Detroit Shock | L 67-76 | 1467.50 | 1481.89 | 62.33% | 37.67% | -10.66 | 13-14 |
| 2009-08-25 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-75 | 1456.84 | 1520.42 | 27.84% | 72.16% | -5.50 | 13-15 |
| 2009-08-28 | New York Liberty | W 96-77 | 1451.34 | 1478.85 | 60.54% | 39.46% | +9.80 | 14-15 |
| 2009-08-30 | @ New York Liberty | L 63-77 | 1461.14 | 1469.05 | 34.71% | 65.29% | -7.40 | 14-16 |
| 2009-09-04 | Washington Mystics | W 92-86 | 1453.74 | 1474.64 | 61.44% | 38.56% | +5.38 | 15-16 |
| 2009-09-06 | @ Detroit Shock | L 75-84 | 1459.12 | 1522.68 | 27.84% | 72.16% | -4.76 | 15-17 |
| 2009-09-10 | Indiana Fever | W 86-79 | 1454.36 | 1565.65 | 48.64% | 51.36% | +7.75 | 16-17 |
| 2009-09-12 | Detroit Shock | L 69-80 | 1462.11 | 1527.16 | 55.28% | 44.72% | -10.45 | 16-18 |
| 2009-06-06 | Washington Mystics | L 70-82 | 1515.85 | 1463.76 | 70.81% | 29.19% | -13.98 | 0-1 |
| 2009-06-07 | @ New York Liberty | W 66-57 | 1501.87 | 1506.49 | 35.14% | 64.86% | +11.09 | 1-1 |
| 2009-06-14 | Atlanta Dream | L 62-67 | 1512.96 | 1431.82 | 74.14% | 25.86% | -9.45 | 1-2 |
| 2009-06-16 | @ Chicago Sky | L 75-78 | 1503.51 | 1486.84 | 37.98% | 62.02% | -3.75 | 1-3 |
| 2009-06-19 | Chicago Sky | W 91-61 | 1499.76 | 1490.59 | 65.46% | 34.54% | +10.79 | 2-3 |
| 2009-06-21 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 71-58 | 1510.55 | 1505.59 | 64.91% | 35.09% | +7.21 | 3-3 |
| 2009-06-27 | Atlanta Dream | W 82-68 | 1517.76 | 1443.06 | 73.43% | 26.57% | +5.67 | 4-3 |
| 2009-07-02 | @ Indiana Fever | L 53-67 | 1523.43 | 1526.44 | 35.35% | 64.65% | -7.54 | 4-4 |
| 2009-07-05 | @ Detroit Shock | W 95-92 | 1515.89 | 1494.73 | 38.59% | 61.41% | +6.06 | 5-4 |
| 2009-07-07 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 67-72 | 1521.95 | 1433.74 | 48.04% | 51.96% | -6.12 | 5-5 |
| 2009-07-11 | Detroit Shock | L 77-79 | 1515.83 | 1488.67 | 67.76% | 32.24% | -5.46 | 5-6 |
| 2009-07-14 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 82-71 | 1510.37 | 1501.12 | 65.47% | 34.53% | +6.52 | 6-6 |
| 2009-07-17 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 72-64 | 1516.89 | 1511.91 | 36.41% | 63.59% | +10.26 | 7-6 |
| 2009-07-19 | Indiana Fever | W 67-61 | 1527.15 | 1560.70 | 59.71% | 40.29% | +5.62 | 8-6 |
| 2009-07-22 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 83-75 | 1532.77 | 1444.08 | 74.97% | 25.03% | +4.04 | 9-6 |
| 2009-07-28 | Phoenix Mercury | L 80-95 | 1536.81 | 1549.50 | 62.56% | 37.44% | -13.81 | 9-7 |
| 2009-07-30 | @ Indiana Fever | L 85-94 | 1523.00 | 1557.42 | 31.33% | 68.67% | -5.36 | 9-8 |
| 2009-08-01 | @ Chicago Sky | L 72-84 | 1517.64 | 1453.44 | 44.60% | 55.40% | -8.81 | 9-9 |
| 2009-08-02 | @ Detroit Shock | W 83-65 | 1508.83 | 1502.04 | 36.65% | 63.35% | +15.32 | 10-9 |
| 2009-08-07 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 88-95 | 1524.15 | 1483.51 | 41.28% | 58.72% | -6.22 | 10-10 |
| 2009-08-09 | Washington Mystics | W 96-67 | 1517.93 | 1481.47 | 68.92% | 31.08% | +9.54 | 11-10 |
| 2009-08-13 | Seattle Storm | W 64-53 | 1527.47 | 1534.26 | 63.35% | 36.65% | +6.93 | 12-10 |
| 2009-08-14 | @ Washington Mystics | L 89-91 | 1534.40 | 1464.94 | 45.35% | 54.65% | -3.66 | 12-11 |
| 2009-08-19 | New York Liberty | W 74-69 | 1530.74 | 1471.78 | 71.62% | 28.38% | +3.62 | 13-11 |
| 2009-08-21 | @ New York Liberty | L 83-85 | 1534.36 | 1468.16 | 44.89% | 55.11% | -3.62 | 13-12 |
| 2009-08-22 | Minnesota Lynx | W 98-94 | 1530.74 | 1464.74 | 72.44% | 27.56% | +3.14 | 14-12 |
| 2009-08-25 | Detroit Shock | L 70-90 | 1533.88 | 1500.12 | 68.58% | 31.42% | -17.48 | 14-13 |
| 2009-08-27 | @ Seattle Storm | L 74-86 | 1516.40 | 1541.25 | 32.53% | 67.47% | -6.42 | 14-14 |
| 2009-08-29 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 84-95 | 1509.98 | 1559.42 | 29.51% | 70.49% | -5.58 | 14-15 |
| 2009-08-30 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 81-91 | 1504.40 | 1516.07 | 34.22% | 65.78% | -6.17 | 14-16 |
| 2009-09-01 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 70-90 | 1498.23 | 1456.34 | 41.45% | 58.55% | -10.57 | 14-17 |
| 2009-09-04 | New York Liberty | W 88-85 | 1487.66 | 1468.34 | 66.77% | 33.23% | +3.28 | 15-17 |
| 2009-09-11 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 64-88 | 1490.94 | 1502.34 | 34.25% | 65.75% | -9.56 | 15-18 |
| 2009-09-13 | Indiana Fever | W 95-85 | 1481.38 | 1557.90 | 53.64% | 46.36% | +8.36 | 16-18 |
| 2009-06-06 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 58-78 | 1533.78 | 1513.23 | 38.51% | 61.49% | -9.82 | 0-1 |
| 2009-06-08 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 81-52 | 1523.96 | 1523.04 | 64.37% | 35.63% | +10.94 | 1-1 |
| 2009-06-10 | Washington Mystics | L 69-75 | 1534.90 | 1482.08 | 70.90% | 29.10% | -9.90 | 1-2 |
| 2009-06-19 | Indiana Fever | L 54-66 | 1525.00 | 1496.84 | 67.88% | 32.12% | -13.41 | 1-3 |
| 2009-06-21 | @ Indiana Fever | L 70-82 | 1511.59 | 1510.24 | 35.93% | 64.07% | -7.09 | 1-4 |
| 2009-06-26 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 86-96 | 1504.50 | 1434.88 | 45.37% | 54.63% | -8.18 | 1-5 |
| 2009-06-28 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 86-72 | 1496.32 | 1471.09 | 67.52% | 32.48% | +6.93 | 2-5 |
| 2009-07-02 | @ New York Liberty | L 64-80 | 1503.25 | 1491.18 | 37.36% | 62.64% | -8.52 | 2-6 |
| 2009-07-05 | Connecticut Sun | L 92-95 | 1494.73 | 1515.89 | 61.41% | 38.59% | -6.06 | 2-7 |
| 2009-07-11 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 79-77 | 1488.67 | 1515.83 | 32.24% | 67.76% | +5.46 | 3-7 |
| 2009-07-15 | @ Seattle Storm | W 66-63 | 1494.13 | 1537.64 | 30.22% | 69.78% | +6.89 | 4-7 |
| 2009-07-18 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 90-97 | 1501.02 | 1551.95 | 29.33% | 70.67% | -4.42 | 4-8 |
| 2009-07-19 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 69-65 | 1496.60 | 1450.69 | 42.02% | 57.98% | +6.61 | 5-8 |
| 2009-07-22 | Atlanta Dream | L 95-98 | 1503.21 | 1447.17 | 71.28% | 28.72% | -7.04 | 5-9 |
| 2009-07-31 | Minnesota Lynx | W 91-83 | 1496.17 | 1501.12 | 63.60% | 36.40% | +5.87 | 6-9 |
| 2009-08-02 | Connecticut Sun | L 65-83 | 1502.04 | 1508.83 | 63.35% | 36.65% | -15.32 | 6-10 |
| 2009-08-04 | New York Liberty | W 76-64 | 1486.72 | 1465.94 | 66.95% | 33.05% | +6.52 | 7-10 |
| 2009-08-07 | @ Washington Mystics | L 66-70 | 1493.24 | 1477.15 | 37.90% | 62.10% | -4.32 | 7-11 |
| 2009-08-09 | Chicago Sky | W 64-58 | 1488.92 | 1463.80 | 67.50% | 32.50% | +4.54 | 8-11 |
| 2009-08-11 | @ Washington Mystics | W 81-77 | 1493.46 | 1471.93 | 38.64% | 61.36% | +7.00 | 9-11 |
| 2009-08-13 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 75-80 | 1500.46 | 1480.69 | 38.40% | 61.60% | -4.90 | 9-12 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Indiana Fever | L 59-82 | 1495.56 | 1584.65 | 24.99% | 75.01% | -6.83 | 9-13 |
| 2009-08-18 | Seattle Storm | L 75-79 | 1488.73 | 1520.25 | 59.99% | 40.01% | -6.84 | 9-14 |
| 2009-08-22 | @ Chicago Sky | W 76-67 | 1481.89 | 1467.50 | 37.67% | 62.33% | +10.66 | 10-14 |
| 2009-08-23 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 99-84 | 1492.55 | 1481.44 | 65.71% | 34.29% | +7.57 | 11-14 |
| 2009-08-25 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 90-70 | 1500.12 | 1533.88 | 31.42% | 68.58% | +17.48 | 12-14 |
| 2009-08-27 | Atlanta Dream | W 87-83 | 1517.60 | 1498.79 | 66.70% | 33.30% | +3.80 | 13-14 |
| 2009-08-29 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 88-100 | 1521.40 | 1469.39 | 42.87% | 57.13% | -8.47 | 13-15 |
| 2009-09-01 | Phoenix Mercury | W 101-99 | 1512.93 | 1564.99 | 57.12% | 42.88% | +3.46 | 14-15 |
| 2009-09-04 | Indiana Fever | W 70-63 | 1516.39 | 1559.97 | 58.31% | 41.69% | +6.29 | 15-15 |
| 2009-09-06 | Chicago Sky | W 84-75 | 1522.68 | 1459.12 | 72.16% | 27.84% | +4.76 | 16-15 |
| 2009-09-09 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 72-75 | 1527.44 | 1459.52 | 45.13% | 54.87% | -4.46 | 16-16 |
| 2009-09-10 | New York Liberty | W 94-87 | 1522.98 | 1457.91 | 72.33% | 27.67% | +4.18 | 17-16 |
| 2009-09-12 | @ Chicago Sky | W 80-69 | 1527.16 | 1462.11 | 44.72% | 55.28% | +10.45 | 18-16 |
| 2009-06-06 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 86-87 | 1502.43 | 1438.59 | 44.55% | 55.45% | -2.54 | 0-1 |
| 2009-06-07 | Minnesota Lynx | L 74-96 | 1499.89 | 1507.04 | 63.30% | 36.70% | -16.93 | 0-2 |
| 2009-06-09 | Seattle Storm | W 73-66 | 1482.96 | 1531.01 | 57.68% | 42.32% | +6.39 | 1-2 |
| 2009-06-12 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 73-61 | 1489.35 | 1505.64 | 62.07% | 37.93% | +7.49 | 2-2 |
| 2009-06-19 | @ Detroit Shock | W 66-54 | 1496.84 | 1525.00 | 32.12% | 67.88% | +13.40 | 3-2 |
| 2009-06-21 | Detroit Shock | W 82-70 | 1510.24 | 1511.59 | 64.07% | 35.93% | +7.09 | 4-2 |
| 2009-06-26 | @ New York Liberty | W 82-81 | 1517.33 | 1500.29 | 38.03% | 61.97% | +3.54 | 5-2 |
| 2009-06-27 | New York Liberty | W 63-54 | 1520.87 | 1496.76 | 67.37% | 32.63% | +5.57 | 6-2 |
| 2009-07-02 | Connecticut Sun | W 67-53 | 1526.44 | 1523.43 | 64.65% | 35.35% | +7.54 | 7-2 |
| 2009-07-05 | Atlanta Dream | W 78-74 | 1533.98 | 1436.49 | 75.91% | 24.09% | +2.75 | 8-2 |
| 2009-07-10 | @ Chicago Sky | W 83-54 | 1536.73 | 1463.93 | 45.83% | 54.17% | +16.63 | 9-2 |
| 2009-07-15 | Chicago Sky | W 84-74 | 1553.36 | 1457.01 | 75.79% | 24.21% | +4.36 | 10-2 |
| 2009-07-17 | Atlanta Dream | W 84-79 | 1557.72 | 1453.19 | 76.64% | 23.36% | +2.98 | 11-2 |
| 2009-07-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 61-67 | 1560.70 | 1527.15 | 40.29% | 59.71% | -5.63 | 11-3 |
| 2009-07-21 | @ Washington Mystics | W 82-70 | 1555.07 | 1479.77 | 46.19% | 53.81% | +10.63 | 12-3 |
| 2009-07-23 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 65-84 | 1565.70 | 1494.00 | 45.67% | 54.33% | -11.35 | 12-4 |
| 2009-07-28 | Washington Mystics | W 85-81 | 1554.35 | 1482.54 | 73.10% | 26.90% | +3.07 | 13-4 |
| 2009-07-30 | Connecticut Sun | W 94-85 | 1557.42 | 1523.00 | 68.67% | 31.33% | +5.36 | 14-4 |
| 2009-08-02 | @ Washington Mystics | W 87-79 | 1562.78 | 1485.79 | 46.43% | 53.57% | +8.64 | 15-4 |
| 2009-08-05 | Chicago Sky | W 76-67 | 1571.42 | 1462.25 | 77.11% | 22.89% | +3.91 | 16-4 |
| 2009-08-08 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 90-83 | 1575.33 | 1571.01 | 36.32% | 63.68% | +9.60 | 17-4 |
| 2009-08-10 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-75 | 1584.93 | 1493.34 | 48.52% | 51.48% | -9.58 | 17-5 |
| 2009-08-13 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 91-81 | 1575.35 | 1484.62 | 48.40% | 51.60% | +9.30 | 18-5 |
| 2009-08-15 | Detroit Shock | W 82-59 | 1584.65 | 1495.56 | 75.01% | 24.99% | +6.83 | 19-5 |
| 2009-08-20 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 62-67 | 1591.48 | 1447.23 | 56.07% | 43.93% | -7.14 | 19-6 |
| 2009-08-22 | @ Seattle Storm | L 60-74 | 1584.34 | 1527.09 | 43.61% | 56.39% | -9.31 | 19-7 |
| 2009-08-27 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 77-66 | 1575.03 | 1473.87 | 76.29% | 23.71% | +4.49 | 20-7 |
| 2009-08-29 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 78-79 | 1579.52 | 1451.84 | 78.94% | 21.06% | -4.50 | 20-8 |
| 2009-09-02 | Phoenix Mercury | L 90-106 | 1575.02 | 1561.54 | 66.01% | 33.99% | -15.05 | 20-9 |
| 2009-09-04 | @ Detroit Shock | L 63-70 | 1559.97 | 1516.39 | 41.69% | 58.31% | -6.29 | 20-10 |
| 2009-09-06 | Washington Mystics | W 72-61 | 1553.68 | 1469.26 | 74.50% | 25.50% | +4.82 | 21-10 |
| 2009-09-08 | @ New York Liberty | W 69-63 | 1558.50 | 1465.06 | 48.79% | 51.21% | +7.15 | 22-10 |
| 2009-09-10 | @ Chicago Sky | L 79-86 | 1565.65 | 1454.36 | 51.36% | 48.64% | -7.75 | 22-11 |
| 2009-09-13 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 85-95 | 1557.90 | 1481.38 | 46.36% | 53.64% | -8.35 | 22-12 |
| 2009-06-06 | Detroit Shock | W 78-58 | 1513.23 | 1533.78 | 61.49% | 38.51% | +9.81 | 1-0 |
| 2009-06-08 | @ Detroit Shock | L 52-81 | 1523.04 | 1523.96 | 35.63% | 64.37% | -10.93 | 1-1 |
| 2009-06-10 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 76-87 | 1512.11 | 1523.96 | 34.20% | 65.80% | -6.47 | 1-2 |
| 2009-06-12 | @ Indiana Fever | L 61-73 | 1505.64 | 1489.35 | 37.93% | 62.07% | -7.49 | 1-3 |
| 2009-06-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 80-89 | 1498.15 | 1524.70 | 32.32% | 67.68% | -5.52 | 1-4 |
| 2009-06-21 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 67-47 | 1492.63 | 1485.81 | 65.15% | 34.85% | +8.88 | 2-4 |
| 2009-06-26 | @ Seattle Storm | L 67-69 | 1501.51 | 1553.88 | 29.16% | 70.84% | -2.35 | 2-5 |
| 2009-06-28 | Seattle Storm | W 82-55 | 1499.16 | 1556.23 | 56.41% | 43.59% | +12.91 | 3-5 |
| 2009-07-05 | Phoenix Mercury | L 89-104 | 1512.07 | 1519.91 | 63.21% | 36.79% | -13.95 | 3-6 |
| 2009-07-09 | @ New York Liberty | W 69-60 | 1498.12 | 1499.70 | 35.54% | 64.46% | +11.02 | 4-6 |
| 2009-07-11 | @ Washington Mystics | L 63-75 | 1509.14 | 1473.06 | 40.65% | 59.35% | -8.02 | 4-7 |
| 2009-07-14 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 71-82 | 1501.12 | 1510.37 | 34.53% | 65.47% | -6.53 | 4-8 |
| 2009-07-22 | @ Seattle Storm | L 87-98 | 1494.59 | 1544.99 | 29.39% | 70.61% | -5.56 | 4-9 |
| 2009-07-28 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 76-70 | 1489.03 | 1510.48 | 32.96% | 67.04% | +9.36 | 5-9 |
| 2009-07-29 | @ Chicago Sky | L 63-75 | 1498.39 | 1444.94 | 43.08% | 56.92% | -8.51 | 5-10 |
| 2009-08-01 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 59-56 | 1489.88 | 1455.94 | 40.35% | 59.65% | +5.89 | 6-10 |
| 2009-08-04 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 59-63 | 1495.77 | 1499.40 | 63.77% | 36.23% | -7.27 | 6-11 |
| 2009-08-06 | Seattle Storm | W 79-75 | 1488.50 | 1537.48 | 57.55% | 42.45% | +4.84 | 7-11 |
| 2009-08-10 | Indiana Fever | W 75-63 | 1493.34 | 1584.93 | 51.48% | 48.52% | +9.58 | 8-11 |
| 2009-08-11 | New York Liberty | L 61-65 | 1502.92 | 1473.02 | 68.10% | 31.90% | -7.76 | 8-12 |
| 2009-08-14 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 79-85 | 1495.16 | 1451.83 | 69.76% | 30.24% | -9.74 | 8-13 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 78-61 | 1485.42 | 1461.57 | 38.96% | 61.04% | +14.35 | 9-13 |
| 2009-08-18 | Washington Mystics | W 72-69 | 1499.77 | 1464.93 | 68.72% | 31.28% | +3.08 | 10-13 |
| 2009-08-19 | Minnesota Lynx | W 78-63 | 1502.85 | 1471.75 | 68.25% | 31.75% | +7.01 | 11-13 |
| 2009-08-21 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 67-66 | 1509.86 | 1484.91 | 39.11% | 60.89% | +3.47 | 12-13 |
| 2009-08-23 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 91-87 | 1513.33 | 1497.61 | 37.85% | 62.15% | +7.09 | 13-13 |
| 2009-08-25 | Chicago Sky | W 75-63 | 1520.42 | 1456.84 | 72.16% | 27.84% | +5.50 | 14-13 |
| 2009-08-27 | Phoenix Mercury | L 90-98 | 1525.92 | 1549.57 | 61.07% | 38.93% | -9.85 | 14-14 |
| 2009-08-30 | Connecticut Sun | W 91-81 | 1516.07 | 1504.40 | 65.78% | 34.22% | +6.17 | 15-14 |
| 2009-09-01 | Atlanta Dream | L 79-84 | 1522.24 | 1490.60 | 68.32% | 31.68% | -8.71 | 15-15 |
| 2009-09-05 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 72-89 | 1513.53 | 1480.49 | 40.22% | 59.78% | -9.45 | 15-16 |
| 2009-09-08 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 76-68 | 1504.08 | 1489.94 | 66.10% | 33.90% | +5.46 | 16-16 |
| 2009-09-11 | Minnesota Lynx | W 90-61 | 1509.54 | 1463.97 | 70.03% | 29.97% | +9.20 | 17-16 |
| 2009-09-13 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 81-78 | 1518.74 | 1592.68 | 26.66% | 73.34% | +7.24 | 18-16 |
| 2009-06-06 | Chicago Sky | W 102-85 | 1499.13 | 1483.15 | 66.34% | 33.66% | +7.91 | 1-0 |
| 2009-06-07 | @ Indiana Fever | W 96-74 | 1507.04 | 1499.89 | 36.70% | 63.30% | +16.92 | 2-0 |
| 2009-06-10 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 87-76 | 1523.96 | 1512.11 | 65.80% | 34.20% | +6.47 | 3-0 |
| 2009-06-12 | Seattle Storm | L 71-88 | 1530.43 | 1524.63 | 65.02% | 34.98% | -15.28 | 3-1 |
| 2009-06-16 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 86-83 | 1515.15 | 1491.84 | 38.88% | 61.12% | +6.03 | 4-1 |
| 2009-06-17 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 80-104 | 1521.18 | 1514.46 | 36.64% | 63.36% | -10.23 | 4-2 |
| 2009-06-19 | @ Seattle Storm | L 62-90 | 1510.95 | 1533.28 | 32.85% | 67.15% | -9.91 | 4-3 |
| 2009-06-23 | New York Liberty | W 69-57 | 1501.04 | 1507.52 | 63.39% | 36.61% | +7.23 | 5-3 |
| 2009-06-27 | Phoenix Mercury | W 109-80 | 1508.27 | 1523.62 | 62.20% | 37.80% | +11.60 | 6-3 |
| 2009-06-30 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 91-85 | 1519.87 | 1437.39 | 47.21% | 52.79% | +7.37 | 7-3 |
| 2009-07-02 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 68-74 | 1527.24 | 1461.46 | 72.41% | 27.59% | -10.11 | 7-4 |
| 2009-07-07 | Washington Mystics | W 96-94 | 1517.13 | 1475.51 | 69.55% | 30.45% | +2.46 | 8-4 |
| 2009-07-10 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 61-77 | 1519.59 | 1503.28 | 66.38% | 33.62% | -15.14 | 8-5 |
| 2009-07-12 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 83-76 | 1504.45 | 1518.42 | 33.92% | 66.08% | +9.97 | 9-5 |
| 2009-07-15 | Atlanta Dream | L 77-91 | 1514.42 | 1437.48 | 73.68% | 26.32% | -15.71 | 9-6 |
| 2009-07-19 | @ Seattle Storm | L 69-72 | 1498.71 | 1542.00 | 30.25% | 69.75% | -2.99 | 9-7 |
| 2009-07-22 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 99-86 | 1495.72 | 1556.37 | 28.18% | 71.82% | +14.76 | 10-7 |
| 2009-07-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 70-76 | 1510.48 | 1489.03 | 67.04% | 32.96% | -9.36 | 10-8 |
| 2009-07-31 | @ Detroit Shock | L 83-91 | 1501.12 | 1496.17 | 36.40% | 63.60% | -5.87 | 10-9 |
| 2009-08-01 | Phoenix Mercury | L 74-87 | 1495.25 | 1547.37 | 57.11% | 42.89% | -11.74 | 10-10 |
| 2009-08-07 | Connecticut Sun | W 95-88 | 1483.51 | 1524.15 | 58.72% | 41.28% | +6.23 | 11-10 |
| 2009-08-09 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 87-89 | 1489.74 | 1495.66 | 63.47% | 36.53% | -5.12 | 11-11 |
| 2009-08-13 | Indiana Fever | L 81-91 | 1484.62 | 1575.35 | 51.60% | 48.40% | -9.30 | 11-12 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Chicago Sky | L 76-79 | 1475.32 | 1471.94 | 36.20% | 63.80% | -3.57 | 11-13 |
| 2009-08-19 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-78 | 1471.75 | 1502.85 | 31.75% | 68.25% | -7.01 | 11-14 |
| 2009-08-22 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 94-98 | 1464.74 | 1530.74 | 27.56% | 72.44% | -3.14 | 11-15 |
| 2009-08-23 | @ New York Liberty | L 67-80 | 1461.60 | 1471.78 | 34.41% | 65.59% | -7.07 | 11-16 |
| 2009-08-28 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 100-95 | 1454.53 | 1456.43 | 64.00% | 36.00% | +4.58 | 12-16 |
| 2009-08-30 | @ Washington Mystics | L 75-81 | 1459.11 | 1460.41 | 35.58% | 64.42% | -4.96 | 12-17 |
| 2009-09-01 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 82-84 | 1454.15 | 1477.86 | 32.68% | 67.32% | -2.64 | 12-18 |
| 2009-09-05 | Seattle Storm | W 76-68 | 1451.51 | 1550.92 | 50.35% | 49.65% | +8.01 | 13-18 |
| 2009-09-09 | Detroit Shock | W 75-72 | 1459.52 | 1527.44 | 54.87% | 45.13% | +4.45 | 14-18 |
| 2009-09-11 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 61-90 | 1463.97 | 1509.54 | 29.97% | 70.03% | -9.20 | 14-19 |
| 2009-09-13 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 66-88 | 1454.77 | 1446.90 | 36.79% | 63.21% | -9.83 | 14-20 |
| 2009-06-07 | Connecticut Sun | L 57-66 | 1506.49 | 1501.87 | 64.86% | 35.14% | -11.09 | 0-1 |
| 2009-06-10 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 84-91 | 1495.40 | 1512.76 | 33.49% | 66.51% | -5.05 | 0-2 |
| 2009-06-13 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 60-63 | 1490.35 | 1511.33 | 33.02% | 66.98% | -3.26 | 0-3 |
| 2009-06-19 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 77-61 | 1487.09 | 1514.59 | 60.54% | 39.46% | +9.00 | 1-3 |
| 2009-06-21 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 93-81 | 1496.09 | 1449.70 | 42.08% | 57.92% | +11.43 | 2-3 |
| 2009-06-23 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 57-69 | 1507.52 | 1501.04 | 36.61% | 63.39% | -7.23 | 2-4 |
| 2009-06-26 | Indiana Fever | L 81-82 | 1500.29 | 1517.33 | 61.97% | 38.03% | -3.53 | 2-5 |
| 2009-06-27 | @ Indiana Fever | L 54-63 | 1496.76 | 1520.87 | 32.63% | 67.37% | -5.58 | 2-6 |
| 2009-07-02 | Detroit Shock | W 80-64 | 1491.18 | 1503.25 | 62.64% | 37.36% | +8.52 | 3-6 |
| 2009-07-09 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 60-69 | 1499.70 | 1498.12 | 64.46% | 35.54% | -11.02 | 3-7 |
| 2009-07-11 | Atlanta Dream | W 71-69 | 1488.68 | 1439.86 | 70.42% | 29.58% | +2.38 | 4-7 |
| 2009-07-18 | @ Washington Mystics | L 67-68 | 1491.06 | 1477.63 | 37.54% | 62.46% | -2.14 | 4-8 |
| 2009-07-19 | Atlanta Dream | W 89-86 | 1488.92 | 1450.21 | 69.19% | 30.81% | +3.04 | 5-8 |
| 2009-07-22 | @ Chicago Sky | W 77-70 | 1491.96 | 1460.30 | 40.03% | 59.97% | +9.05 | 6-8 |
| 2009-07-23 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 73-88 | 1501.01 | 1440.05 | 71.85% | 28.15% | -15.87 | 6-9 |
| 2009-07-26 | Phoenix Mercury | L 88-94 | 1485.14 | 1541.61 | 56.50% | 43.50% | -7.88 | 6-10 |
| 2009-07-30 | Washington Mystics | L 75-78 | 1477.26 | 1479.48 | 63.96% | 36.04% | -6.32 | 6-11 |
| 2009-08-01 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 83-89 | 1470.94 | 1470.14 | 35.85% | 64.15% | -5.00 | 6-12 |
| 2009-08-04 | @ Detroit Shock | L 64-76 | 1465.94 | 1486.72 | 33.05% | 66.95% | -6.53 | 6-13 |
| 2009-08-07 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 84-66 | 1459.41 | 1450.05 | 36.99% | 63.01% | +15.24 | 7-13 |
| 2009-08-08 | @ Seattle Storm | L 69-70 | 1474.65 | 1532.64 | 28.49% | 71.51% | -1.63 | 7-14 |
| 2009-08-11 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 65-61 | 1473.02 | 1502.92 | 31.90% | 68.10% | +7.77 | 8-14 |
| 2009-08-14 | Chicago Sky | L 77-88 | 1480.79 | 1459.27 | 67.05% | 32.95% | -12.68 | 8-15 |
| 2009-08-16 | @ Washington Mystics | W 60-59 | 1468.11 | 1468.59 | 35.68% | 64.32% | +3.67 | 9-15 |
| 2009-08-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 69-74 | 1471.78 | 1530.74 | 28.38% | 71.62% | -3.62 | 9-16 |
| 2009-08-21 | Connecticut Sun | W 85-83 | 1468.16 | 1534.36 | 55.11% | 44.89% | +3.62 | 10-16 |
| 2009-08-23 | Minnesota Lynx | W 80-67 | 1471.78 | 1461.60 | 65.59% | 34.41% | +7.07 | 11-16 |
| 2009-08-28 | @ Chicago Sky | L 77-96 | 1478.85 | 1451.34 | 39.46% | 60.54% | -9.80 | 11-17 |
| 2009-08-30 | Chicago Sky | W 77-63 | 1469.05 | 1461.14 | 65.29% | 34.71% | +7.40 | 12-17 |
| 2009-09-01 | Seattle Storm | L 58-65 | 1476.45 | 1552.07 | 53.77% | 46.23% | -8.11 | 12-18 |
| 2009-09-04 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 85-88 | 1468.34 | 1487.66 | 33.23% | 66.77% | -3.28 | 12-19 |
| 2009-09-08 | Indiana Fever | L 63-69 | 1465.06 | 1558.50 | 51.21% | 48.79% | -7.15 | 12-20 |
| 2009-09-10 | @ Detroit Shock | L 87-94 | 1457.91 | 1522.98 | 27.67% | 72.33% | -4.17 | 12-21 |
| 2009-09-13 | Washington Mystics | W 86-65 | 1453.74 | 1474.65 | 61.44% | 38.56% | +10.07 | 13-21 |
| 2009-06-06 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 90-79 | 1505.68 | 1518.41 | 62.55% | 37.45% | +7.08 | 1-0 |
| 2009-06-10 | New York Liberty | W 91-84 | 1512.76 | 1495.40 | 66.51% | 33.49% | +5.05 | 2-0 |
| 2009-06-12 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 71-90 | 1517.81 | 1488.50 | 39.71% | 60.29% | -9.87 | 2-1 |
| 2009-06-13 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 115-104 | 1507.94 | 1498.36 | 65.51% | 34.49% | +6.52 | 3-1 |
| 2009-06-17 | Minnesota Lynx | W 104-80 | 1514.46 | 1521.18 | 63.36% | 36.64% | +10.24 | 4-1 |
| 2009-06-19 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 89-80 | 1524.70 | 1498.15 | 67.68% | 32.32% | +5.52 | 5-1 |
| 2009-06-21 | Seattle Storm | L 84-93 | 1530.22 | 1543.19 | 62.52% | 37.48% | -10.69 | 5-2 |
| 2009-06-23 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 87-91 | 1519.53 | 1498.38 | 38.59% | 61.41% | -4.40 | 5-3 |
| 2009-06-25 | @ Washington Mystics | W 93-87 | 1515.13 | 1489.57 | 39.19% | 60.81% | +8.49 | 6-3 |
| 2009-06-27 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 80-109 | 1523.62 | 1508.27 | 37.80% | 62.20% | -11.60 | 6-4 |
| 2009-07-01 | Seattle Storm | W 93-81 | 1512.02 | 1543.32 | 60.02% | 39.98% | +7.89 | 7-4 |
| 2009-07-05 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 104-89 | 1519.91 | 1512.07 | 36.79% | 63.21% | +13.96 | 8-4 |
| 2009-07-08 | Chicago Sky | W 90-70 | 1533.87 | 1471.05 | 72.07% | 27.93% | +7.12 | 9-4 |
| 2009-07-11 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 107-105 | 1540.99 | 1472.90 | 45.15% | 54.85% | +4.42 | 10-4 |
| 2009-07-15 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 100-81 | 1545.41 | 1468.48 | 73.68% | 26.32% | +6.54 | 11-4 |
| 2009-07-18 | Detroit Shock | W 97-90 | 1551.95 | 1501.02 | 70.67% | 29.33% | +4.42 | 12-4 |
| 2009-07-22 | Minnesota Lynx | L 86-99 | 1556.37 | 1495.72 | 71.82% | 28.18% | -14.76 | 12-5 |
| 2009-07-26 | @ New York Liberty | W 94-88 | 1541.61 | 1485.14 | 43.50% | 56.50% | +7.89 | 13-5 |
| 2009-07-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 95-80 | 1549.50 | 1536.81 | 37.44% | 62.56% | +13.81 | 14-5 |
| 2009-07-30 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 76-106 | 1563.31 | 1454.21 | 51.04% | 48.96% | -15.94 | 14-6 |
| 2009-08-01 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 87-74 | 1547.37 | 1495.25 | 42.89% | 57.11% | +11.74 | 15-6 |
| 2009-08-04 | @ Seattle Storm | W 101-90 | 1559.11 | 1549.38 | 37.04% | 62.96% | +11.90 | 16-6 |
| 2009-08-08 | Indiana Fever | L 83-90 | 1571.01 | 1575.33 | 63.68% | 36.32% | -9.60 | 16-7 |
| 2009-08-13 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 95-83 | 1561.41 | 1483.75 | 73.76% | 26.24% | +5.18 | 17-7 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 89-106 | 1566.59 | 1478.57 | 48.01% | 51.99% | -11.28 | 17-8 |
| 2009-08-18 | @ Chicago Sky | W 106-99 | 1555.31 | 1475.51 | 46.83% | 53.17% | +8.02 | 18-8 |
| 2009-08-21 | Washington Mystics | L 81-91 | 1563.33 | 1461.84 | 76.32% | 23.68% | -13.76 | 18-9 |
| 2009-08-27 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 98-90 | 1549.57 | 1525.92 | 38.93% | 61.07% | +9.85 | 19-9 |
| 2009-08-29 | Connecticut Sun | W 95-84 | 1559.42 | 1509.98 | 70.49% | 29.51% | +5.57 | 20-9 |
| 2009-09-01 | @ Detroit Shock | L 99-101 | 1564.99 | 1512.93 | 42.88% | 57.12% | -3.45 | 20-10 |
| 2009-09-02 | @ Indiana Fever | W 106-90 | 1561.54 | 1575.02 | 33.99% | 66.01% | +15.05 | 21-10 |
| 2009-09-05 | Atlanta Dream | W 100-82 | 1576.59 | 1508.96 | 72.62% | 27.38% | +6.62 | 22-10 |
| 2009-09-10 | @ Seattle Storm | W 92-84 | 1583.21 | 1542.91 | 41.23% | 58.77% | +9.47 | 23-10 |
| 2009-09-13 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 78-81 | 1592.68 | 1518.74 | 73.34% | 26.66% | -7.24 | 23-11 |
| 2009-06-06 | Seattle Storm | L 61-71 | 1505.60 | 1513.90 | 63.15% | 36.85% | -11.38 | 0-1 |
| 2009-06-07 | @ Seattle Storm | L 70-80 | 1494.22 | 1525.28 | 31.75% | 68.25% | -5.72 | 0-2 |
| 2009-06-12 | Phoenix Mercury | W 90-71 | 1488.50 | 1517.81 | 60.29% | 39.71% | +9.86 | 1-2 |
| 2009-06-13 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 104-115 | 1498.36 | 1507.94 | 34.49% | 65.51% | -6.52 | 1-3 |
| 2009-06-16 | Minnesota Lynx | L 83-86 | 1491.84 | 1515.15 | 61.12% | 38.88% | -6.03 | 1-4 |
| 2009-06-21 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 47-67 | 1485.81 | 1492.63 | 34.85% | 65.15% | -8.88 | 1-5 |
| 2009-06-26 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 52-62 | 1476.93 | 1502.78 | 32.41% | 67.59% | -5.84 | 1-6 |
| 2009-06-28 | @ Detroit Shock | L 72-86 | 1471.09 | 1496.32 | 32.48% | 67.52% | -6.93 | 1-7 |
| 2009-06-30 | @ Chicago Sky | L 72-74 | 1464.16 | 1481.79 | 33.45% | 66.55% | -2.70 | 1-8 |
| 2009-07-02 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 74-68 | 1461.46 | 1527.24 | 27.59% | 72.41% | +10.11 | 2-8 |
| 2009-07-07 | Chicago Sky | W 83-73 | 1471.57 | 1477.64 | 63.45% | 36.55% | +6.59 | 3-8 |
| 2009-07-09 | @ Seattle Storm | L 55-66 | 1478.16 | 1542.09 | 27.80% | 72.20% | -5.26 | 3-9 |
| 2009-07-11 | Phoenix Mercury | L 105-107 | 1472.90 | 1540.99 | 54.85% | 45.15% | -4.42 | 3-10 |
| 2009-07-15 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 81-100 | 1468.48 | 1545.41 | 26.32% | 73.68% | -6.54 | 3-11 |
| 2009-07-17 | Seattle Storm | L 56-69 | 1461.94 | 1530.75 | 54.74% | 45.26% | -11.25 | 3-12 |
| 2009-07-19 | Detroit Shock | L 65-69 | 1450.69 | 1496.60 | 57.98% | 42.02% | -6.61 | 3-13 |
| 2009-07-22 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 75-83 | 1444.08 | 1532.77 | 25.03% | 74.97% | -4.03 | 3-14 |
| 2009-07-23 | @ New York Liberty | W 88-73 | 1440.05 | 1501.01 | 28.15% | 71.85% | +15.86 | 4-14 |
| 2009-07-26 | @ Washington Mystics | L 73-87 | 1455.91 | 1475.46 | 33.21% | 66.79% | -7.08 | 4-15 |
| 2009-07-30 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 101-93 | 1448.83 | 1509.49 | 55.90% | 44.10% | +7.11 | 5-15 |
| 2009-08-01 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 56-59 | 1455.94 | 1489.88 | 59.65% | 40.35% | -5.89 | 5-16 |
| 2009-08-07 | New York Liberty | L 66-84 | 1450.05 | 1459.41 | 63.01% | 36.99% | -15.24 | 5-17 |
| 2009-08-11 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 90-73 | 1434.81 | 1500.77 | 27.57% | 72.43% | +17.02 | 6-17 |
| 2009-08-14 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 85-79 | 1451.83 | 1495.16 | 30.24% | 69.76% | +9.74 | 7-17 |
| 2009-08-15 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 61-78 | 1461.57 | 1485.42 | 61.04% | 38.96% | -14.34 | 7-18 |
| 2009-08-20 | Indiana Fever | W 67-62 | 1447.23 | 1591.48 | 43.93% | 56.07% | +7.14 | 8-18 |
| 2009-08-22 | Washington Mystics | W 82-60 | 1454.37 | 1475.60 | 61.40% | 38.60% | +10.32 | 9-18 |
| 2009-08-25 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 83-103 | 1464.69 | 1490.53 | 32.41% | 67.59% | -8.26 | 9-19 |
| 2009-08-28 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 95-100 | 1456.43 | 1454.53 | 36.00% | 64.00% | -4.59 | 9-20 |
| 2009-08-29 | @ Indiana Fever | W 79-78 | 1451.84 | 1579.52 | 21.06% | 78.94% | +4.50 | 10-20 |
| 2009-09-01 | Connecticut Sun | W 90-70 | 1456.34 | 1498.23 | 58.55% | 41.45% | +10.57 | 11-20 |
| 2009-09-04 | Atlanta Dream | L 90-98 | 1466.91 | 1499.31 | 59.87% | 40.13% | -9.65 | 11-21 |
| 2009-09-10 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 71-80 | 1457.26 | 1484.48 | 60.58% | 39.42% | -10.36 | 11-22 |
| 2009-09-13 | Minnesota Lynx | W 88-66 | 1446.90 | 1454.77 | 63.21% | 36.79% | +9.84 | 12-22 |
| 2009-06-06 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 79-90 | 1518.41 | 1505.68 | 37.45% | 62.55% | -7.08 | 0-1 |
| 2009-06-13 | New York Liberty | W 63-60 | 1511.33 | 1490.35 | 66.98% | 33.02% | +3.26 | 1-1 |
| 2009-06-19 | @ New York Liberty | L 61-77 | 1514.59 | 1487.09 | 39.46% | 60.54% | -9.00 | 1-2 |
| 2009-06-21 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 58-71 | 1505.59 | 1510.55 | 35.09% | 64.91% | -7.21 | 1-3 |
| 2009-06-23 | Phoenix Mercury | W 91-87 | 1498.38 | 1519.53 | 61.41% | 38.59% | +4.40 | 2-3 |
| 2009-06-26 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 62-52 | 1502.78 | 1476.93 | 67.59% | 32.41% | +5.84 | 3-3 |
| 2009-06-30 | Washington Mystics | L 82-84 | 1508.62 | 1476.46 | 68.38% | 31.62% | -5.51 | 3-4 |
| 2009-07-03 | Chicago Sky | W 85-72 | 1503.11 | 1484.48 | 66.68% | 33.32% | +6.84 | 4-4 |
| 2009-07-07 | @ Seattle Storm | L 53-66 | 1509.95 | 1535.42 | 32.45% | 67.55% | -6.67 | 4-5 |
| 2009-07-10 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 77-61 | 1503.28 | 1519.59 | 33.62% | 66.38% | +15.14 | 5-5 |
| 2009-07-12 | Minnesota Lynx | L 76-83 | 1518.42 | 1504.45 | 66.08% | 33.92% | -9.97 | 5-6 |
| 2009-07-15 | @ Washington Mystics | W 79-78 | 1508.45 | 1481.08 | 39.44% | 60.56% | +3.46 | 6-6 |
| 2009-07-17 | Connecticut Sun | L 64-72 | 1511.91 | 1516.89 | 63.59% | 36.41% | -10.26 | 6-7 |
| 2009-07-19 | @ Chicago Sky | L 75-85 | 1501.65 | 1452.64 | 42.45% | 57.55% | -7.65 | 6-8 |
| 2009-07-23 | Indiana Fever | W 84-65 | 1494.00 | 1565.70 | 54.33% | 45.67% | +11.35 | 7-8 |
| 2009-07-28 | Seattle Storm | W 74-71 | 1505.35 | 1550.54 | 58.08% | 41.92% | +4.14 | 8-8 |
| 2009-07-30 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 93-101 | 1509.49 | 1448.83 | 44.10% | 55.90% | -7.11 | 8-9 |
| 2009-08-01 | @ Seattle Storm | L 82-85 | 1502.38 | 1546.40 | 30.16% | 69.84% | -2.98 | 8-10 |
| 2009-08-04 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 63-59 | 1499.40 | 1495.77 | 36.23% | 63.77% | +7.27 | 9-10 |
| 2009-08-06 | Atlanta Dream | L 84-92 | 1506.67 | 1475.15 | 68.30% | 31.70% | -11.01 | 9-11 |
| 2009-08-09 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 89-87 | 1495.66 | 1489.74 | 36.53% | 63.47% | +5.11 | 10-11 |
| 2009-08-11 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 73-90 | 1500.77 | 1434.81 | 72.43% | 27.57% | -17.02 | 10-12 |
| 2009-08-13 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 83-95 | 1483.75 | 1561.41 | 26.24% | 73.76% | -5.18 | 10-13 |
| 2009-08-15 | Phoenix Mercury | W 106-89 | 1478.57 | 1566.59 | 51.99% | 48.01% | +11.28 | 11-13 |
| 2009-08-20 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 87-93 | 1489.85 | 1492.67 | 35.38% | 64.62% | -4.94 | 11-14 |
| 2009-08-21 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 66-67 | 1484.91 | 1509.86 | 60.89% | 39.11% | -3.47 | 11-15 |
| 2009-08-23 | @ Detroit Shock | L 84-99 | 1481.44 | 1492.55 | 34.29% | 65.71% | -7.57 | 11-16 |
| 2009-08-27 | @ Indiana Fever | L 66-77 | 1473.87 | 1575.03 | 23.71% | 76.29% | -4.48 | 11-17 |
| 2009-08-29 | Detroit Shock | W 100-88 | 1469.39 | 1521.40 | 57.13% | 42.87% | +8.47 | 12-17 |
| 2009-09-01 | Minnesota Lynx | W 84-82 | 1477.86 | 1454.15 | 67.32% | 32.68% | +2.63 | 13-17 |
| 2009-09-05 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 89-72 | 1480.49 | 1513.53 | 59.78% | 40.22% | +9.45 | 14-17 |
| 2009-09-08 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 68-76 | 1489.94 | 1504.08 | 33.90% | 66.10% | -5.46 | 14-18 |
| 2009-09-10 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 80-71 | 1484.48 | 1457.26 | 39.42% | 60.58% | +10.36 | 15-18 |
| 2009-09-12 | Seattle Storm | L 55-64 | 1494.84 | 1533.44 | 59.00% | 41.00% | -10.09 | 15-19 |
| 2009-06-06 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 71-61 | 1513.90 | 1505.60 | 36.85% | 63.15% | +11.38 | 1-0 |
| 2009-06-07 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 80-70 | 1525.28 | 1494.22 | 68.25% | 31.75% | +5.73 | 2-0 |
| 2009-06-09 | @ Indiana Fever | L 66-73 | 1531.01 | 1482.96 | 42.32% | 57.68% | -6.38 | 2-1 |
| 2009-06-12 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 88-71 | 1524.63 | 1530.43 | 34.98% | 65.02% | +15.28 | 3-1 |
| 2009-06-14 | @ Chicago Sky | L 57-64 | 1539.91 | 1480.21 | 43.96% | 56.04% | -6.63 | 3-2 |
| 2009-06-19 | Minnesota Lynx | W 90-62 | 1533.28 | 1510.95 | 67.15% | 32.85% | +9.91 | 4-2 |
| 2009-06-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 93-84 | 1543.19 | 1530.22 | 37.48% | 62.52% | +10.69 | 5-2 |
| 2009-06-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 69-67 | 1553.88 | 1501.51 | 70.84% | 29.16% | +2.35 | 6-2 |
| 2009-06-28 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 55-82 | 1556.23 | 1499.16 | 43.59% | 56.41% | -12.91 | 6-3 |
| 2009-07-01 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 81-93 | 1543.32 | 1512.02 | 39.98% | 60.02% | -7.90 | 6-4 |
| 2009-07-07 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 66-53 | 1535.42 | 1509.95 | 67.55% | 32.45% | +6.67 | 7-4 |
| 2009-07-09 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 66-55 | 1542.09 | 1478.16 | 72.20% | 27.80% | +5.26 | 8-4 |
| 2009-07-12 | Chicago Sky | L 81-86 | 1547.35 | 1447.30 | 76.17% | 23.83% | -9.71 | 8-5 |
| 2009-07-15 | Detroit Shock | L 63-66 | 1537.64 | 1494.13 | 69.78% | 30.22% | -6.89 | 8-6 |
| 2009-07-17 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 69-56 | 1530.75 | 1461.94 | 45.26% | 54.74% | +11.25 | 9-6 |
| 2009-07-19 | Minnesota Lynx | W 72-69 | 1542.00 | 1498.71 | 69.75% | 30.25% | +2.99 | 10-6 |
| 2009-07-22 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 98-87 | 1544.99 | 1494.59 | 70.61% | 29.39% | +5.55 | 11-6 |
| 2009-07-28 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 71-74 | 1550.54 | 1505.35 | 41.92% | 58.08% | -4.14 | 11-7 |
| 2009-08-01 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 85-82 | 1546.40 | 1502.38 | 69.84% | 30.16% | +2.98 | 12-7 |
| 2009-08-04 | Phoenix Mercury | L 90-101 | 1549.38 | 1559.11 | 62.96% | 37.04% | -11.90 | 12-8 |
| 2009-08-06 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-79 | 1537.48 | 1488.50 | 42.45% | 57.55% | -4.84 | 12-9 |
| 2009-08-08 | New York Liberty | W 70-69 | 1532.64 | 1474.65 | 71.51% | 28.49% | +1.62 | 13-9 |
| 2009-08-13 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 53-64 | 1534.26 | 1527.47 | 36.65% | 63.35% | -6.92 | 13-10 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 79-88 | 1527.34 | 1485.59 | 41.43% | 58.57% | -7.09 | 13-11 |
| 2009-08-18 | @ Detroit Shock | W 79-75 | 1520.25 | 1488.73 | 40.01% | 59.99% | +6.84 | 14-11 |
| 2009-08-22 | Indiana Fever | W 74-60 | 1527.09 | 1584.34 | 56.39% | 43.61% | +9.30 | 15-11 |
| 2009-08-25 | Washington Mystics | W 78-68 | 1536.39 | 1465.28 | 73.02% | 26.98% | +4.86 | 16-11 |
| 2009-08-27 | Connecticut Sun | W 86-74 | 1541.25 | 1516.40 | 67.47% | 32.53% | +6.43 | 17-11 |
| 2009-08-29 | Atlanta Dream | W 91-84 | 1547.68 | 1494.99 | 70.88% | 29.12% | +4.39 | 18-11 |
| 2009-09-01 | @ New York Liberty | W 65-58 | 1552.07 | 1476.45 | 46.23% | 53.77% | +8.11 | 19-11 |
| 2009-09-03 | @ Washington Mystics | L 67-78 | 1560.18 | 1465.38 | 48.98% | 51.02% | -9.26 | 19-12 |
| 2009-09-05 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 68-76 | 1550.92 | 1451.51 | 49.65% | 50.35% | -8.01 | 19-13 |
| 2009-09-10 | Phoenix Mercury | L 84-92 | 1542.91 | 1583.21 | 58.77% | 41.23% | -9.47 | 19-14 |
| 2009-09-12 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 64-55 | 1533.44 | 1494.84 | 41.00% | 59.00% | +10.09 | 20-14 |
| 2009-06-06 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 82-70 | 1463.76 | 1515.85 | 29.19% | 70.81% | +13.98 | 1-0 |
| 2009-06-07 | Atlanta Dream | W 77-71 | 1477.74 | 1441.13 | 68.93% | 31.07% | +4.34 | 2-0 |
| 2009-06-10 | @ Detroit Shock | W 75-69 | 1482.08 | 1534.90 | 29.10% | 70.90% | +9.90 | 3-0 |
| 2009-06-19 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 81-93 | 1491.98 | 1441.27 | 42.69% | 57.31% | -8.43 | 3-1 |
| 2009-06-20 | Chicago Sky | W 81-72 | 1483.55 | 1479.81 | 64.75% | 35.25% | +6.02 | 4-1 |
| 2009-06-25 | Phoenix Mercury | L 87-93 | 1489.57 | 1515.13 | 60.81% | 39.19% | -8.49 | 4-2 |
| 2009-06-27 | @ Chicago Sky | L 63-68 | 1481.08 | 1477.17 | 36.27% | 63.73% | -4.62 | 4-3 |
| 2009-06-30 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 84-82 | 1476.46 | 1508.62 | 31.62% | 68.38% | +5.51 | 5-3 |
| 2009-07-03 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 65-72 | 1481.97 | 1430.02 | 42.87% | 57.13% | -6.46 | 5-4 |
| 2009-07-07 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 94-96 | 1475.51 | 1517.13 | 30.45% | 69.55% | -2.45 | 5-5 |
| 2009-07-11 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 75-63 | 1473.06 | 1509.14 | 59.35% | 40.65% | +8.02 | 6-5 |
| 2009-07-15 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 78-79 | 1481.08 | 1508.45 | 60.56% | 39.44% | -3.45 | 6-6 |
| 2009-07-18 | New York Liberty | W 68-67 | 1477.63 | 1491.06 | 62.46% | 37.54% | +2.14 | 7-6 |
| 2009-07-21 | Indiana Fever | L 70-82 | 1479.77 | 1555.07 | 53.81% | 46.19% | -10.63 | 7-7 |
| 2009-07-23 | Chicago Sky | W 75-64 | 1469.14 | 1451.25 | 66.58% | 33.42% | +6.32 | 8-7 |
| 2009-07-26 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 87-73 | 1475.46 | 1455.91 | 66.79% | 33.21% | +7.08 | 9-7 |
| 2009-07-28 | @ Indiana Fever | L 81-85 | 1482.54 | 1554.35 | 26.90% | 73.10% | -3.06 | 9-8 |
| 2009-07-30 | @ New York Liberty | W 78-75 | 1479.48 | 1477.26 | 36.04% | 63.96% | +6.31 | 10-8 |
| 2009-08-02 | Indiana Fever | L 79-87 | 1485.79 | 1562.78 | 53.57% | 46.43% | -8.64 | 10-9 |
| 2009-08-07 | Detroit Shock | W 70-66 | 1477.15 | 1493.24 | 62.10% | 37.90% | +4.32 | 11-9 |
| 2009-08-09 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 67-96 | 1481.47 | 1517.93 | 31.08% | 68.92% | -9.54 | 11-10 |
| 2009-08-11 | Detroit Shock | L 77-81 | 1471.93 | 1493.46 | 61.36% | 38.64% | -6.99 | 11-11 |
| 2009-08-14 | Connecticut Sun | W 91-89 | 1464.94 | 1534.40 | 54.65% | 45.35% | +3.65 | 12-11 |
| 2009-08-16 | New York Liberty | L 59-60 | 1468.59 | 1468.11 | 64.32% | 35.68% | -3.66 | 12-12 |
| 2009-08-18 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 69-72 | 1464.93 | 1499.77 | 31.28% | 68.72% | -3.09 | 12-13 |
| 2009-08-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 91-81 | 1461.84 | 1563.33 | 23.68% | 76.32% | +13.76 | 13-13 |
| 2009-08-22 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 60-82 | 1475.60 | 1454.37 | 38.60% | 61.40% | -10.32 | 13-14 |
| 2009-08-25 | @ Seattle Storm | L 68-78 | 1465.28 | 1536.39 | 26.98% | 73.02% | -4.87 | 13-15 |
| 2009-08-30 | Minnesota Lynx | W 81-75 | 1460.41 | 1459.11 | 64.42% | 35.58% | +4.97 | 14-15 |
| 2009-09-03 | Seattle Storm | W 78-67 | 1465.38 | 1560.18 | 51.02% | 48.98% | +9.26 | 15-15 |
| 2009-09-04 | @ Chicago Sky | L 86-92 | 1474.64 | 1453.74 | 38.56% | 61.44% | -5.38 | 15-16 |
| 2009-09-06 | @ Indiana Fever | L 61-72 | 1469.26 | 1553.68 | 25.50% | 74.50% | -4.82 | 15-17 |
| 2009-09-12 | Atlanta Dream | W 82-64 | 1464.44 | 1511.91 | 57.76% | 42.24% | +10.21 | 16-17 |
| 2009-09-13 | @ New York Liberty | L 65-86 | 1474.65 | 1453.74 | 38.56% | 61.44% | -10.07 | 16-18 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009-09-16 | @ Detroit Shock | L 89-94 | 1501.69 | 1537.61 | 31.15% | 68.85% | -3.97 | 0-1 |
| 2009-09-18 | Detroit Shock | L 79-94 | 1497.72 | 1541.58 | 58.27% | 41.73% | -12.86 | 0-2 |
| 2009-09-16 | Atlanta Dream | W 94-89 | 1537.61 | 1501.69 | 68.85% | 31.15% | +3.97 | 1-0 |
| 2009-09-18 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 94-79 | 1541.58 | 1497.72 | 41.73% | 58.27% | +12.86 | 2-0 |
| 2009-09-23 | Indiana Fever | W 72-56 | 1554.44 | 1562.06 | 63.24% | 36.76% | +8.38 | 3-0 |
| 2009-09-25 | @ Indiana Fever | L 75-79 | 1562.82 | 1553.68 | 36.96% | 63.04% | -4.21 | 3-1 |
| 2009-09-26 | @ Indiana Fever | L 67-72 | 1558.61 | 1557.89 | 35.84% | 64.16% | -4.57 | 3-2 |
| 2009-09-17 | @ Washington Mystics | W 88-79 | 1549.55 | 1464.58 | 47.57% | 52.43% | +8.96 | 1-0 |
| 2009-09-19 | Washington Mystics | W 81-74 | 1558.51 | 1455.62 | 76.47% | 23.53% | +3.55 | 2-0 |
| 2009-09-23 | @ Detroit Shock | L 56-72 | 1562.06 | 1554.44 | 36.76% | 63.24% | -8.38 | 2-1 |
| 2009-09-25 | Detroit Shock | W 79-75 | 1553.68 | 1562.82 | 63.04% | 36.96% | +4.21 | 3-1 |
| 2009-09-26 | Detroit Shock | W 72-67 | 1557.89 | 1558.61 | 64.16% | 35.84% | +4.57 | 4-1 |
| 2009-09-29 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 116-120 | 1562.46 | 1595.32 | 31.53% | 68.47% | -3.59 | 4-2 |
| 2009-10-01 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 93-84 | 1558.87 | 1598.91 | 30.64% | 69.36% | +11.86 | 5-2 |
| 2009-10-04 | Phoenix Mercury | W 86-85 | 1570.73 | 1587.05 | 62.07% | 37.93% | +2.16 | 6-2 |
| 2009-10-07 | Phoenix Mercury | L 77-90 | 1572.89 | 1584.89 | 62.65% | 37.35% | -12.88 | 6-3 |
| 2009-10-09 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 86-94 | 1560.01 | 1597.77 | 30.92% | 69.08% | -4.98 | 6-4 |
| 2009-09-16 | Seattle Storm | W 70-63 | 1525.98 | 1543.53 | 61.90% | 38.10% | +5.75 | 1-0 |
| 2009-09-18 | @ Seattle Storm | L 74-75 | 1531.73 | 1537.78 | 34.95% | 65.05% | -1.99 | 1-1 |
| 2009-09-20 | @ Seattle Storm | W 75-64 | 1529.74 | 1539.78 | 34.43% | 65.57% | +12.39 | 2-1 |
| 2009-09-23 | Phoenix Mercury | L 94-103 | 1542.13 | 1593.63 | 57.20% | 42.80% | -9.78 | 2-2 |
| 2009-09-25 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 87-76 | 1532.35 | 1603.41 | 26.98% | 73.02% | +13.81 | 3-2 |
| 2009-09-26 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 74-85 | 1546.16 | 1589.61 | 30.23% | 69.77% | -5.72 | 3-3 |
| 2009-09-17 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 91-92 | 1585.44 | 1484.75 | 49.83% | 50.17% | -2.84 | 0-1 |
| 2009-09-19 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 106-78 | 1582.60 | 1487.59 | 75.64% | 24.36% | +7.35 | 1-1 |
| 2009-09-21 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 100-92 | 1589.95 | 1480.24 | 77.17% | 22.83% | +3.68 | 2-1 |
| 2009-09-23 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 103-94 | 1593.63 | 1542.13 | 42.80% | 57.20% | +9.78 | 3-1 |
| 2009-09-25 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 76-87 | 1603.41 | 1532.35 | 73.02% | 26.98% | -13.80 | 3-2 |
| 2009-09-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 85-74 | 1589.61 | 1546.16 | 69.77% | 30.23% | +5.71 | 4-2 |
| 2009-09-29 | Indiana Fever | W 120-116 | 1595.32 | 1562.46 | 68.47% | 31.53% | +3.59 | 5-2 |
| 2009-10-01 | Indiana Fever | L 84-93 | 1598.91 | 1558.87 | 69.36% | 30.64% | -11.86 | 5-3 |
| 2009-10-04 | @ Indiana Fever | L 85-86 | 1587.05 | 1570.73 | 37.93% | 62.07% | -2.16 | 5-4 |
| 2009-10-07 | @ Indiana Fever | W 90-77 | 1584.89 | 1572.89 | 37.35% | 62.65% | +12.88 | 6-4 |
| 2009-10-09 | Indiana Fever | W 94-86 | 1597.77 | 1560.01 | 69.08% | 30.92% | +4.98 | 7-4 |
| 2009-09-17 | Phoenix Mercury | W 92-91 | 1484.75 | 1585.44 | 50.17% | 49.83% | +2.84 | 1-0 |
| 2009-09-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 78-106 | 1487.59 | 1582.60 | 24.36% | 75.64% | -7.35 | 1-1 |
| 2009-09-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 92-100 | 1480.24 | 1589.95 | 22.83% | 77.17% | -3.68 | 1-2 |
| 2009-09-16 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-70 | 1543.53 | 1525.98 | 38.10% | 61.90% | -5.75 | 0-1 |
| 2009-09-18 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 75-74 | 1537.78 | 1531.73 | 65.05% | 34.95% | +2.00 | 1-1 |
| 2009-09-20 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 64-75 | 1539.78 | 1529.74 | 65.57% | 34.43% | -12.40 | 1-2 |
| 2009-09-17 | Indiana Fever | L 79-88 | 1464.58 | 1549.55 | 52.43% | 47.57% | -8.96 | 0-1 |
| 2009-09-19 | @ Indiana Fever | L 74-81 | 1455.62 | 1558.51 | 23.53% | 76.47% | -3.55 | 0-2 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2009-08-29 | 21.06% | Sacramento Monarchs | 1451.84 | 79 | @ Indiana Fever | 1579.52 | 78 |
| 2 | 2009-08-21 | 23.68% | Washington Mystics | 1461.84 | 91 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1563.33 | 81 |
| 3 | 2009-07-12 | 23.83% | Chicago Sky | 1447.30 | 86 | @ Seattle Storm | 1547.35 | 81 |
| 4 | 2009-06-14 | 25.86% | Atlanta Dream | 1431.82 | 67 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1512.96 | 62 |
| 5 | 2009-07-15 | 26.32% | Atlanta Dream | 1437.48 | 91 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1514.42 | 77 |
| 6 | 2009-09-13 | 26.66% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1518.74 | 81 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1592.68 | 78 |
| 7 | 2009-09-25 * | 26.98% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1532.35 | 87 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1603.41 | 76 |
| 8 | 2009-08-11 | 27.57% | Sacramento Monarchs | 1434.81 | 90 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1500.77 | 73 |
| 9 | 2009-07-02 | 27.59% | Sacramento Monarchs | 1461.46 | 74 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1527.24 | 68 |
| 10 | 2009-07-23 | 28.15% | Sacramento Monarchs | 1440.05 | 88 | @ New York Liberty | 1501.01 | 73 |
| 11 | 2009-07-22 | 28.18% | Minnesota Lynx | 1495.72 | 99 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1556.37 | 86 |
| 12 | 2009-07-22 | 28.72% | Atlanta Dream | 1447.17 | 98 | @ Detroit Shock | 1503.21 | 95 |
| 13 | 2009-06-10 | 29.10% | Washington Mystics | 1482.08 | 75 | @ Detroit Shock | 1534.90 | 69 |
| 14 | 2009-06-06 | 29.19% | Washington Mystics | 1463.76 | 82 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1515.85 | 70 |
| 15 | 2009-07-15 | 30.22% | Detroit Shock | 1494.13 | 66 | @ Seattle Storm | 1537.64 | 63 |
| 16 | 2009-08-14 | 30.24% | Sacramento Monarchs | 1451.83 | 85 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1495.16 | 79 |
| 17 | 2009-10-01 * | 30.64% | Indiana Fever | 1558.87 | 93 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1598.91 | 84 |
| 18 | 2009-08-25 | 31.42% | Detroit Shock | 1500.12 | 90 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1533.88 | 70 |
| 19 | 2009-06-30 | 31.62% | Washington Mystics | 1476.46 | 84 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1508.62 | 82 |
| 20 | 2009-09-01 | 31.68% | Atlanta Dream | 1490.60 | 84 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1522.24 | 79 |
| 21 | 2009-08-06 | 31.70% | Atlanta Dream | 1475.15 | 92 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1506.67 | 84 |
| 22 | 2009-08-11 | 31.90% | New York Liberty | 1473.02 | 65 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1502.92 | 61 |
| 23 | 2009-06-19 | 32.12% | Indiana Fever | 1496.84 | 66 | @ Detroit Shock | 1525.00 | 54 |
| 24 | 2009-08-08 | 32.16% | Chicago Sky | 1458.33 | 82 | @ Atlanta Dream | 1486.16 | 80 |
| 25 | 2009-07-11 | 32.24% | Detroit Shock | 1488.67 | 79 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1515.83 | 77 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2009-08-25 | 17.48 | Detroit Shock | 90 | 1500.12 | 31.42% | @ Connecticut Sun | 70 | 1533.88 | 68.58% |
| 2 | 2009-08-11 | 17.02 | Sacramento Monarchs | 90 | 1434.81 | 27.57% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 73 | 1500.77 | 72.43% |
| 3 | 2009-06-07 | 16.93 | Minnesota Lynx | 96 | 1507.04 | 36.70% | @ Indiana Fever | 74 | 1499.89 | 63.30% |
| 4 | 2009-07-10 | 16.63 | Indiana Fever | 83 | 1536.73 | 45.83% | @ Chicago Sky | 54 | 1463.93 | 54.17% |
| 5 | 2009-07-30 | 15.94 | @ Atlanta Dream | 106 | 1454.21 | 48.96% | Phoenix Mercury | 76 | 1563.31 | 51.04% |
| 6 | 2009-07-23 | 15.87 | Sacramento Monarchs | 88 | 1440.05 | 28.15% | @ New York Liberty | 73 | 1501.01 | 71.85% |
| 7 | 2009-07-15 | 15.71 | Atlanta Dream | 91 | 1437.48 | 26.32% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 77 | 1514.42 | 73.68% |
| 8 | 2009-08-02 | 15.32 | Connecticut Sun | 83 | 1508.83 | 36.65% | @ Detroit Shock | 65 | 1502.04 | 63.35% |
| 9 | 2009-06-12 | 15.28 | Seattle Storm | 88 | 1524.63 | 34.98% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 71 | 1530.43 | 65.02% |
| 10 | 2009-08-07 | 15.24 | New York Liberty | 84 | 1459.41 | 36.99% | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 66 | 1450.05 | 63.01% |
| 11 | 2009-07-10 | 15.14 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 77 | 1503.28 | 33.62% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 61 | 1519.59 | 66.38% |
| 12 | 2009-09-02 | 15.05 | Phoenix Mercury | 106 | 1561.54 | 33.99% | @ Indiana Fever | 90 | 1575.02 | 66.01% |
| 13 | 2009-07-22 | 14.76 | Minnesota Lynx | 99 | 1495.72 | 28.18% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 86 | 1556.37 | 71.82% |
| 14 | 2009-08-15 | 14.35 | Los Angeles Sparks | 78 | 1485.42 | 38.96% | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 61 | 1461.57 | 61.04% |
| 15 | 2009-06-06 | 13.98 | Washington Mystics | 82 | 1463.76 | 29.19% | @ Connecticut Sun | 70 | 1515.85 | 70.81% |
| 16 | 2009-07-05 | 13.96 | Phoenix Mercury | 104 | 1519.91 | 36.79% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 89 | 1512.07 | 63.21% |
| 17 | 2009-09-25 * | 13.81 | Los Angeles Sparks | 87 | 1532.35 | 26.98% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 76 | 1603.41 | 73.02% |
| 18 | 2009-07-28 | 13.81 | Phoenix Mercury | 95 | 1549.50 | 37.44% | @ Connecticut Sun | 80 | 1536.81 | 62.56% |
| 19 | 2009-08-21 | 13.76 | Washington Mystics | 91 | 1461.84 | 23.68% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 81 | 1563.33 | 76.32% |
| 20 | 2009-06-19 | 13.41 | Indiana Fever | 66 | 1496.84 | 32.12% | @ Detroit Shock | 54 | 1525.00 | 67.88% |
| 21 | 2009-06-28 | 12.91 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 82 | 1499.16 | 56.41% | Seattle Storm | 55 | 1556.23 | 43.59% |
| 22 | 2009-10-07 * | 12.88 | Phoenix Mercury | 90 | 1584.89 | 37.35% | @ Indiana Fever | 77 | 1572.89 | 62.65% |
| 23 | 2009-09-18 * | 12.86 | Detroit Shock | 94 | 1541.58 | 41.73% | @ Atlanta Dream | 79 | 1497.72 | 58.27% |
| 24 | 2009-08-14 | 12.68 | Chicago Sky | 88 | 1459.27 | 32.95% | @ New York Liberty | 77 | 1480.79 | 67.05% |
| 25 | 2009-09-20 * | 12.40 | Los Angeles Sparks | 75 | 1529.74 | 34.43% | @ Seattle Storm | 64 | 1539.78 | 65.57% |