1938-39 NHL Season
168 regular-season games · 6 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Boston Bruins
2nd Title
Last Title: 1928-29
Runner-Up
Toronto Maple Leafs
10th Appearance
Last Appearance: 1937-38
Biggest Overachiever
Boston Bruins
12.65 points above expected
74 points · 61.35 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Chicago Blackhawks
9.92 points below expected
32 points · 41.92 expected points
Final Standings
Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Pt% | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston Bruins Division | 36 | 10 | 2 | 74 | .771 | 156 | 76 | +80 | 61.35 | +12.65 |
| 2 | New York Rangers Playoffs | 26 | 16 | 6 | 58 | .604 | 149 | 105 | +44 | 57.56 | +0.44 |
| 3 | Toronto Maple Leafs Playoffs | 19 | 20 | 9 | 47 | .490 | 114 | 107 | +7 | 49.97 | -2.97 |
| 4 | New York Americans Playoffs | 17 | 21 | 10 | 44 | .458 | 119 | 157 | -38 | 45.03 | -1.03 |
| 5 | Detroit Red Wings Playoffs | 18 | 24 | 6 | 42 | .438 | 107 | 128 | -21 | 41.37 | +0.63 |
| 6 | Montreal Canadiens Playoffs | 15 | 24 | 9 | 39 | .406 | 115 | 146 | -31 | 38.80 | +0.20 |
| 7 | Chicago Blackhawks | 12 | 28 | 8 | 32 | .333 | 91 | 132 | -41 | 41.92 | -9.92 |
Playoff Bracket
NHL Playoffs
Quarterfinals
Detroit Red Wings
2
Montreal Canadiens
1
Quarterfinals
Boston Bruins
4
New York Rangers
3
Round 3
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
New York Americans
0
Semifinals
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
Detroit Red Wings
1
Stanley Cup Final
Boston Bruins
4
Toronto Maple Leafs
1
Season Summary
Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Points | Avg. Pts. | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 1642 | 74 | 61.35 | +12.65 | 98.95% | 39 | 52 | 57 | 61 | 65 | 71 | 83 | ||
| New York Rangers | 1578 | 58 | 57.56 | +0.44 | 55.59% | 34 | 47 | 54 | 58 | 62 | 67 | 82 | ||
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 1517 | 47 | 49.97 | -2.97 | 34.22% | 30 | 40 | 46 | 50 | 54 | 60 | 74 | ||
| Detroit Red Wings | 1459 | 42 | 41.37 | +0.63 | 57.51% | 17 | 31 | 37 | 41 | 45 | 51 | 66 | ||
| Montreal Canadiens | 1450 | 39 | 38.80 | +0.20 | 55.27% | 13 | 29 | 35 | 39 | 43 | 49 | 63 | ||
| New York Americans | 1437 | 44 | 45.03 | -1.03 | 46.39% | 19 | 35 | 41 | 45 | 49 | 55 | 67 | ||
| Chicago Blackhawks | 1417 | 32 | 41.92 | -9.92 | 5.86% | 19 | 32 | 38 | 42 | 46 | 52 | 64 |
Head-to-Head
Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point.
Beat expectations
Fell short
Within expectations
| Team | Bruins | Blackhawks | Wings | Canadiens | Americans | Rangers | Leafs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | — |
16
(10.9 exp.)
|
14
(10.7 exp.)
|
12
(11.2 exp.)
|
11
(10.3 exp.)
|
10
(8.7 exp.)
|
11
(9.6 exp.)
|
| Chicago Blackhawks |
0
(5.1 exp.)
|
— |
4
(8.2 exp.)
|
8
(8.4 exp.)
|
6
(7.6 exp.)
|
7
(5.8 exp.)
|
7
(6.9 exp.)
|
| Detroit Red Wings |
2
(5.3 exp.)
|
12
(7.8 exp.)
|
— |
9
(8.3 exp.)
|
8
(7.7 exp.)
|
4
(5.7 exp.)
|
7
(6.7 exp.)
|
| Montreal Canadiens |
4
(4.8 exp.)
|
8
(7.6 exp.)
|
7
(7.7 exp.)
|
— |
9
(6.9 exp.)
|
5
(5.3 exp.)
|
6
(6.5 exp.)
|
| New York Americans |
5
(5.7 exp.)
|
10
(8.4 exp.)
|
8
(8.3 exp.)
|
7
(9.1 exp.)
|
— |
5
(6.2 exp.)
|
9
(7.2 exp.)
|
| New York Rangers |
6
(7.3 exp.)
|
9
(10.2 exp.)
|
12
(10.3 exp.)
|
11
(10.7 exp.)
|
11
(9.8 exp.)
|
— |
9
(9.2 exp.)
|
| Toronto Maple Leafs |
5
(6.4 exp.)
|
9
(9.1 exp.)
|
9
(9.3 exp.)
|
10
(9.5 exp.)
|
7
(8.8 exp.)
|
7
(6.8 exp.)
|
— |
Scoreline Distribution
Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.
Win
Loss
Same range
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 4.46% | 2.98% | 2.08% | 0.30% | 1.19% | 0.60% | 0.30% | 11.90% |
| 1 | 4.46% | 7.74% | 4.46% | 1.79% | 3.27% | 2.38% | 0.60% | 0.30% | 25.00% |
| 2 | 2.98% | 4.46% | 4.17% | 3.87% | 3.57% | 1.19% | 1.19% | 1.49% | 22.92% |
| 3 | 2.08% | 1.79% | 3.87% | 1.19% | 1.79% | 0.30% | — | 2.08% | 13.10% |
| 4 | 0.30% | 3.27% | 3.57% | 1.79% | 0.60% | 0.30% | 0.60% | 0.30% | 10.71% |
| 5 | 1.19% | 2.38% | 1.19% | 0.30% | 0.30% | 0.60% | 0.30% | 0.60% | 6.85% |
| 6 | 0.60% | 0.60% | 1.19% | — | 0.60% | 0.30% | 0.60% | 0.30% | 4.17% |
| 7+ | 0.30% | 0.30% | 1.49% | 2.08% | 0.30% | 0.60% | 0.30% | — | 5.36% |
| Total | 11.90% | 25.00% | 22.92% | 13.10% | 10.71% | 6.85% | 4.17% | 5.36% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.53 | 2.53 | +0.00 |
| SD | 2.02 | 2.02 | 2.72 |
| CV | 0.80 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 11 | 11 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 168
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 6.25% | 4.17% | — | — | — | — | — | 10.42% |
| 1 | 2.08% | 2.08% | 4.17% | — | 2.08% | — | — | — | 10.42% |
| 2 | 6.25% | 10.42% | 2.08% | 2.08% | 2.08% | — | — | — | 22.92% |
| 3 | 8.33% | 2.08% | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 4 | — | 6.25% | 8.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 14.58% |
| 5 | 4.17% | 4.17% | — | 2.08% | — | — | — | — | 10.42% |
| 6 | — | — | 2.08% | — | 2.08% | — | — | — | 4.17% |
| 7+ | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 2.08% | 2.08% | — | 10.42% |
| Total | 20.83% | 31.25% | 33.33% | 4.17% | 6.25% | 2.08% | 2.08% | — | 100% |
Boston Bruins — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 3.25 | 1.58 | +1.67 |
| SD | 2.28 | 1.35 | 2.19 |
| CV | 0.70 | 0.85 | — |
| Max | 9 | 6 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 48
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 6.25% | 2.08% | 2.08% | — | 2.08% | 2.08% | — | 14.58% |
| 1 | 4.17% | 10.42% | 4.17% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | 37.50% |
| 2 | 2.08% | — | 2.08% | 6.25% | 4.17% | — | — | 2.08% | 16.67% |
| 3 | — | 2.08% | 2.08% | 2.08% | 4.17% | — | — | 2.08% | 12.50% |
| 4 | 2.08% | 2.08% | 4.17% | 2.08% | 2.08% | — | 2.08% | — | 14.58% |
| 5 | 2.08% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.08% |
| 6 | — | 2.08% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.08% |
| 7+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 10.42% | 22.92% | 14.58% | 18.75% | 16.67% | 8.33% | 4.17% | 4.17% | 100% |
Chicago Blackhawks — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.90 | 2.75 | -0.85 |
| SD | 1.49 | 1.98 | 2.54 |
| CV | 0.79 | 0.72 | — |
| Max | 6 | 8 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 48
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 2.08% | 6.25% | 4.17% | — | 4.17% | 2.08% | — | 18.75% |
| 1 | 6.25% | 6.25% | 4.17% | — | 6.25% | 4.17% | — | — | 27.08% |
| 2 | — | 2.08% | 2.08% | 4.17% | 6.25% | — | 2.08% | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | 2.08% | — | 4.17% | 2.08% | 2.08% | — | — | 2.08% | 12.50% |
| 4 | — | 8.33% | 4.17% | 2.08% | — | — | — | — | 14.58% |
| 5 | — | 2.08% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.08% |
| 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.08% | — | 2.08% |
| 7+ | — | 2.08% | — | 4.17% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| Total | 8.33% | 22.92% | 20.83% | 16.67% | 14.58% | 8.33% | 6.25% | 2.08% | 100% |
Detroit Red Wings — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.23 | 2.67 | -0.44 |
| SD | 1.96 | 1.79 | 2.77 |
| CV | 0.88 | 0.67 | — |
| Max | 7 | 7 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 48
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 2.08% | 2.08% | 2.08% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 1 | 4.17% | 8.33% | 4.17% | — | 6.25% | 2.08% | — | 2.08% | 27.08% |
| 2 | 2.08% | 2.08% | 8.33% | 4.17% | 2.08% | 4.17% | 2.08% | — | 25.00% |
| 3 | 2.08% | 4.17% | 4.17% | 2.08% | 4.17% | — | — | 4.17% | 20.83% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.08% | 2.08% | — | — | 2.08% | 2.08% | 8.33% |
| 5 | — | 2.08% | 2.08% | — | 2.08% | — | 2.08% | 2.08% | 10.42% |
| 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7+ | — | — | 2.08% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.08% |
| Total | 8.33% | 18.75% | 25.00% | 10.42% | 14.58% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 10.42% | 100% |
Montreal Canadiens — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.40 | 3.04 | -0.65 |
| SD | 1.55 | 2.21 | 2.37 |
| CV | 0.65 | 0.73 | — |
| Max | 7 | 9 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 48
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 2.08% | — | 2.08% | 2.08% | — | — | 2.08% | 8.33% |
| 1 | 6.25% | 12.50% | 4.17% | — | — | — | 4.17% | — | 27.08% |
| 2 | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 2.08% | 2.08% | 4.17% | — | 6.25% | 27.08% |
| 3 | — | 2.08% | 4.17% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | 12.50% |
| 4 | — | 2.08% | 2.08% | — | — | 2.08% | — | — | 6.25% |
| 5 | — | 6.25% | 2.08% | — | — | — | — | 2.08% | 10.42% |
| 6 | — | — | — | — | 2.08% | — | 2.08% | 2.08% | 6.25% |
| 7+ | — | — | — | 2.08% | — | — | — | — | 2.08% |
| Total | 6.25% | 31.25% | 18.75% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 18.75% | 100% |
New York Americans — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.48 | 3.27 | -0.79 |
| SD | 1.81 | 2.75 | 2.92 |
| CV | 0.73 | 0.84 | — |
| Max | 7 | 11 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 48
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 6.25% | 2.08% | 4.17% | — | 2.08% | — | — | 14.58% |
| 1 | 4.17% | 6.25% | 4.17% | 2.08% | — | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 2 | 2.08% | 6.25% | 4.17% | 2.08% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 20.83% |
| 3 | 2.08% | — | 6.25% | — | 2.08% | 2.08% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 4 | — | — | 4.17% | 2.08% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 5 | — | — | 4.17% | — | — | 2.08% | — | — | 6.25% |
| 6 | 2.08% | 2.08% | 6.25% | — | — | 2.08% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 7+ | 2.08% | — | — | 6.25% | — | 2.08% | — | — | 10.42% |
| Total | 12.50% | 20.83% | 31.25% | 16.67% | 8.33% | 10.42% | — | — | 100% |
New York Rangers — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 3.10 | 2.19 | +0.92 |
| SD | 2.57 | 1.47 | 2.66 |
| CV | 0.83 | 0.67 | — |
| Max | 11 | 5 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 48
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 6.25% | 4.17% | — | — | — | — | — | 10.42% |
| 1 | 4.17% | 8.33% | 6.25% | 4.17% | 2.08% | 4.17% | — | — | 29.17% |
| 2 | 8.33% | 4.17% | 4.17% | 6.25% | 2.08% | — | 4.17% | 2.08% | 31.25% |
| 3 | — | 2.08% | — | 2.08% | — | — | — | — | 4.17% |
| 4 | — | 4.17% | — | 4.17% | 2.08% | — | — | — | 10.42% |
| 5 | 2.08% | 2.08% | — | — | — | 2.08% | — | — | 6.25% |
| 6 | 2.08% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.08% |
| 7+ | — | — | 2.08% | 2.08% | 2.08% | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| Total | 16.67% | 27.08% | 16.67% | 18.75% | 8.33% | 6.25% | 4.17% | 2.08% | 100% |
Toronto Maple Leafs — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.38 | 2.23 | +0.15 |
| SD | 2.02 | 1.86 | 2.63 |
| CV | 0.85 | 0.83 | — |
| Max | 9 | 8 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 48
Points Points vs. Goal Differential
Plot of points against goals differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston Bruins | 74 | 61.35 | +12.65 |
| 2 | Detroit Red Wings | 42 | 41.37 | +0.63 |
| 3 | New York Rangers | 58 | 57.56 | +0.44 |
| 4 | Montreal Canadiens | 39 | 38.80 | +0.20 |
| 5 | New York Americans | 44 | 45.03 | -1.03 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Blackhawks | 32 | 41.92 | -9.92 |
| 2 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 47 | 49.97 | -2.97 |
| 3 | New York Americans | 44 | 45.03 | -1.03 |
| 4 | Montreal Canadiens | 39 | 38.80 | +0.20 |
| 5 | New York Rangers | 58 | 57.56 | +0.44 |
Top Streaks
The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston Bruins | 8 | Feb 26 – Mar 19 | 1 in 51 |
| 2 | New York Americans | 4 | Dec 25 – Jan 1 | 1 in 45 |
| 3 | Montreal Canadiens | 3 | Nov 27 – Dec 3 | 1 in 42 |
| 4 | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 | Nov 3 – Nov 13 | 1 in 40 |
| 5 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 4 | Feb 12 – Feb 25 | 1 in 36 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montreal Canadiens | 7 | Nov 6 – Nov 22 | 1 in 214 |
| 2 | Chicago Blackhawks | 6 | Mar 5 – Mar 19 | 1 in 78 |
| 3 | New York Rangers | 3 | Feb 26 – Mar 5 | 1 in 59 |
| 4 | Detroit Red Wings | 4 | Nov 6 – Nov 15 | 1 in 22 |
| 5 | New York Americans | 3 | Feb 16 – Feb 19 | 1 in 13 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Red Wings | 5 | Jan 5 – Jan 19 | 1 in 21 |
| 2 | Montreal Canadiens | 4 | Nov 24 – Dec 3 | 1 in 18 |
| 3 | Boston Bruins | 8 | Jan 22 – Feb 9 | 1 in 17 |
| 4 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 5 | Feb 11 – Feb 25 | 1 in 12 |
| 5 | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 | Nov 3 – Nov 13 | 1 in 10 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Rangers | 5 | Feb 25 – Mar 7 | 1 in 85 |
| 2 | Montreal Canadiens | 8 | Nov 6 – Nov 24 | 1 in 41 |
| 3 | Chicago Blackhawks | 8 | Jan 10 – Jan 31 | 1 in 32 |
| 4 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 6 | Jan 29 – Feb 11 | 1 in 21 |
| 5 | New York Americans | 6 | Jan 29 – Feb 9 | 1 in 19 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 61.55% | 27.49% | 8.08% | 2.01% | 0.65% | 0.20% | 0.02% |
| New York Rangers | 30.97% | 44.20% | 16.16% | 5.46% | 2.33% | 0.65% | 0.23% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 5.37% | 17.40% | 35.34% | 20.50% | 11.72% | 6.69% | 2.98% |
| New York Americans | 1.35% | 5.59% | 17.31% | 27.04% | 22.04% | 16.60% | 10.07% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 0.39% | 2.44% | 9.68% | 18.52% | 22.60% | 24.46% | 21.91% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 0.27% | 1.97% | 8.85% | 15.96% | 22.93% | 25.97% | 24.05% |
| Montreal Canadiens | 0.10% | 0.91% | 4.58% | 10.51% | 17.73% | 25.43% | 40.74% |
Win Totals in Context
How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 61.55% | 27.49% | 8.08% | 2.01% | 0.65% | 0.20% | 0.02% |
| New York Rangers | 30.97% | 44.20% | 16.16% | 5.46% | 2.33% | 0.65% | 0.23% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 5.37% | 17.40% | 35.34% | 20.50% | 11.72% | 6.69% | 2.98% |
| New York Americans | 1.35% | 5.59% | 17.31% | 27.04% | 22.04% | 16.60% | 10.07% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 0.39% | 2.44% | 9.68% | 18.52% | 22.60% | 24.46% | 21.91% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 0.27% | 1.97% | 8.85% | 15.96% | 22.93% | 25.97% | 24.05% |
| Montreal Canadiens | 0.10% | 0.91% | 4.58% | 10.51% | 17.73% | 25.43% | 40.74% |
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Conference Finals | Advanced to Stanley Cup | Won Stanley Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 98.14% | 98.14% | 73.29% | 60.08% |
| New York Rangers | 93.17% | 93.17% | 42.86% | 24.15% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 74.25% | 70.32% | 37.92% | 10.38% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 73.71% | 38.18% | 14.32% | 2.19% |
| New York Americans | 82.99% | 41.36% | 13.41% | 1.39% |
| Montreal Canadiens | 58.25% | 27.10% | 9.58% | 1.09% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 75.26% | 31.73% | 8.62% | 0.72% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Boston Bruins | Chicago Blackhawks | Detroit Red Wings | Montreal Canadiens | New York Americans | New York Rangers | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 1.97% | 1.55% | 0.93% | 2.79% | 0.36% | 1.50% | |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 0.24% | 8.63% | 6.75% | 7.76% | 1.04% | 4.48% | |
| Detroit Red Wings | 0.21% | 11.94% | 8.07% | 8.57% | 1.18% | 5.97% | |
| Montreal Canadiens | 0.19% | 7.96% | 6.51% | 6.76% | 0.80% | 3.87% | |
| New York Americans | 0.49% | 9.06% | 7.82% | 6.97% | 1.70% | 8.38% | |
| New York Rangers | 0.21% | 3.88% | 3.50% | 1.85% | 6.06% | 2.50% | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 0.50% | 11.55% | 9.76% | 7.59% | 16.63% | 1.52% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Boston Bruins | Chicago Blackhawks | Detroit Red Wings | Montreal Canadiens | New York Americans | New York Rangers | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 3.52% | 3.68% | 2.48% | 5.76% | 44.24% | 13.61% | |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 0.20% | 1.77% | 1.11% | 2.42% | 0.56% | 2.56% | |
| Detroit Red Wings | 0.29% | 2.65% | 1.89% | 3.97% | 0.98% | 4.54% | |
| Montreal Canadiens | 0.21% | 1.67% | 1.46% | 2.62% | 0.70% | 2.92% | |
| New York Americans | 0.34% | 3.18% | 3.61% | 2.11% | 0.88% | 3.29% | |
| New York Rangers | 20.94% | 4.05% | 4.28% | 3.31% | 4.80% | 5.48% | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 2.87% | 8.04% | 9.06% | 6.62% | 8.38% | 2.95% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Boston Bruins | Chicago Blackhawks | Detroit Red Wings | Montreal Canadiens | New York Americans | New York Rangers | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 5.34% | 8.60% | 5.95% | 8.48% | 12.45% | 19.26% | |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 0.29% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.28% | 0.11% | ||
| Detroit Red Wings | 1.02% | 0.04% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.89% | 0.19% | |
| Montreal Canadiens | 0.55% | 0.01% | 0.41% | 0.12% | |||
| New York Americans | 0.66% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.58% | 0.11% | |
| New York Rangers | 5.70% | 2.22% | 3.12% | 2.29% | 3.07% | 7.75% | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 4.99% | 0.29% | 0.38% | 0.21% | 0.41% | 4.10% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Advanced to Conference Finals | Advanced to Stanley Cup | Won Stanley Cup |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 100.00% | 69.31% | 59.76% |
| New York Rangers | 100.00% | 30.69% | 23.32% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 68.84% | 47.12% | 10.51% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 55.98% | 21.23% | 2.79% |
| Montreal Canadiens | 44.02% | 16.05% | 1.92% |
| New York Americans | 31.16% | 15.60% | 1.70% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Detroit Red Wings | Montreal Canadiens | New York Americans | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Red Wings | 55.98% | |||
| Montreal Canadiens | 44.02% | |||
| New York Americans | 31.16% | |||
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 68.84% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Boston Bruins | Detroit Red Wings | Montreal Canadiens | New York Americans | New York Rangers | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 69.31% | |||||
| Detroit Red Wings | 8.99% | 12.24% | ||||
| Montreal Canadiens | 6.57% | 9.48% | ||||
| New York Americans | 8.48% | 7.12% | ||||
| New York Rangers | 30.69% | |||||
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 26.27% | 20.85% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Boston Bruins | Detroit Red Wings | Montreal Canadiens | New York Americans | New York Rangers | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 13.12% | 10.16% | 9.93% | 26.55% | ||
| Detroit Red Wings | 1.37% | 1.42% | ||||
| Montreal Canadiens | 1.07% | 0.85% | ||||
| New York Americans | 0.99% | 0.71% | ||||
| New York Rangers | 5.32% | 3.97% | 3.97% | 10.06% | ||
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 6.12% | 4.39% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.
Boston Bruins
59.76% chance to win
Conference Finals
vs. New York Rangers
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
69.31%
→
Stanley Cup
vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
Matchup
44.43%
Win Prob
81.27%
New York Rangers
23.32% chance to win
Conference Finals
vs. Boston Bruins
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
30.69%
→
Stanley Cup
vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
Matchup
43.14%
Win Prob
69.62%
Toronto Maple Leafs
10.51% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. New York Americans
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
68.84%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Detroit Red Wings
Matchup
55.75%
Win Prob
68.22%
→
Stanley Cup
vs. Boston Bruins
Matchup
58.23%
Win Prob
18.73%
Detroit Red Wings
2.79% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. Montreal Canadiens
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
55.98%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
Matchup
57.65%
Win Prob
31.78%
→
Stanley Cup
vs. New York Rangers
Matchup
50.90%
Win Prob
21.07%
Montreal Canadiens
1.92% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. Detroit Red Wings
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
44.02%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
Matchup
59.07%
Win Prob
31.26%
→
Stanley Cup
vs. Boston Bruins
Matchup
55.73%
Win Prob
9.53%
New York Americans
1.70% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
31.16%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Detroit Red Wings
Matchup
54.36%
Win Prob
48.54%
→
Stanley Cup
vs. Boston Bruins
Matchup
58.24%
Win Prob
9.07%
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1938-11-03 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | W 3-2 | 1546.69 | 1512.93 | 38.23% | 17.13% | 44.64% | +2.76 | 2 |
| 1938-11-06 | @ Detroit Red Wings | W 4-1 | 1549.45 | 1468.58 | 44.92% | 17.13% | 37.95% | +6.20 | 4 |
| 1938-11-13 | @ New York Americans | L 1-2 | 1555.65 | 1480.38 | 44.13% | 17.14% | 38.73% | -2.87 | 4 |
| 1938-11-15 | Toronto Maple Leafs | T 1-1 | 1552.78 | 1513.80 | 54.44% | 16.69% | 28.87% | -0.40 | 5 |
| 1938-11-20 | Detroit Red Wings | W 4-1 | 1552.38 | 1468.38 | 59.90% | 16.15% | 23.95% | +4.11 | 7 |
| 1938-11-22 | New York Rangers | W 4-2 | 1556.49 | 1560.64 | 48.76% | 17.02% | 34.23% | +3.60 | 9 |
| 1938-11-27 | New York Americans | W 8-2 | 1560.09 | 1491.51 | 58.09% | 16.36% | 25.55% | +6.77 | 11 |
| 1938-12-01 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 0-2 | 1566.86 | 1437.14 | 51.60% | 16.88% | 31.52% | -6.58 | 11 |
| 1938-12-04 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | W 5-0 | 1560.28 | 1471.23 | 46.07% | 17.10% | 36.83% | +11.55 | 13 |
| 1938-12-06 | Chicago Blackhawks | W 2-0 | 1571.83 | 1459.68 | 63.05% | 15.73% | 21.22% | +2.99 | 15 |
| 1938-12-11 | @ New York Rangers | W 3-0 | 1574.82 | 1570.37 | 34.27% | 17.02% | 48.71% | +9.09 | 17 |
| 1938-12-13 | Montreal Canadiens | W 3-2 | 1583.91 | 1451.87 | 65.15% | 15.39% | 19.45% | +1.31 | 19 |
| 1938-12-15 | @ Montreal Canadiens | W 1-0 | 1585.22 | 1450.56 | 52.25% | 16.84% | 30.91% | +2.25 | 21 |
| 1938-12-18 | @ Detroit Red Wings | W 2-0 | 1587.47 | 1455.45 | 51.91% | 16.86% | 31.23% | +4.28 | 23 |
| 1938-12-20 | New York Americans | W 3-0 | 1591.75 | 1477.77 | 63.25% | 15.70% | 21.05% | +4.32 | 25 |
| 1938-12-25 | New York Rangers | L 0-1 | 1596.07 | 1558.11 | 54.31% | 16.70% | 28.99% | -3.66 | 25 |
| 1938-12-27 | Toronto Maple Leafs | W 8-2 | 1592.41 | 1521.42 | 58.38% | 16.33% | 25.30% | +6.72 | 27 |
| 1938-12-29 | @ New York Americans | L 2-4 | 1599.13 | 1480.73 | 50.09% | 16.96% | 32.95% | -4.97 | 27 |
| 1938-12-31 | @ New York Rangers | L 1-2 | 1594.16 | 1554.73 | 39.02% | 17.14% | 43.84% | -2.60 | 27 |
| 1939-01-01 | Detroit Red Wings | W 4-1 | 1591.56 | 1455.10 | 65.61% | 15.31% | 19.08% | +3.31 | 29 |
| 1939-01-03 | New York Americans | W 2-1 | 1594.87 | 1496.69 | 61.51% | 15.95% | 22.54% | +1.59 | 31 |
| 1939-01-05 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | W 2-1 | 1596.46 | 1466.03 | 51.70% | 16.87% | 31.43% | +2.15 | 33 |
| 1939-01-07 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | L 0-2 | 1598.61 | 1503.32 | 46.94% | 17.08% | 35.98% | -6.06 | 33 |
| 1939-01-10 | Chicago Blackhawks | W 3-1 | 1592.55 | 1466.68 | 64.51% | 15.50% | 19.99% | +2.45 | 35 |
| 1939-01-17 | Toronto Maple Leafs | W 2-1 | 1595.00 | 1513.75 | 59.58% | 16.19% | 24.23% | +1.70 | 37 |
| 1939-01-19 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 0-1 | 1596.70 | 1417.53 | 57.84% | 16.38% | 25.78% | -3.87 | 37 |
| 1939-01-22 | @ Detroit Red Wings | W 5-0 | 1592.83 | 1459.82 | 52.04% | 16.85% | 31.11% | +9.98 | 39 |
| 1939-01-24 | Montreal Canadiens | W 6-4 | 1602.81 | 1418.23 | 70.24% | 14.37% | 15.40% | +1.54 | 41 |
| 1939-01-29 | @ New York Americans | W 3-2 | 1604.35 | 1496.81 | 48.62% | 17.02% | 34.35% | +2.21 | 43 |
| 1939-01-31 | New York Americans | T 2-2 | 1606.56 | 1494.60 | 63.03% | 15.73% | 21.24% | -0.50 | 44 |
| 1939-02-02 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | W 2-1 | 1606.06 | 1522.98 | 45.23% | 17.12% | 37.65% | +2.51 | 46 |
| 1939-02-05 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | W 3-0 | 1608.57 | 1448.63 | 55.49% | 16.60% | 27.91% | +5.62 | 48 |
| 1939-02-07 | Toronto Maple Leafs | W 2-0 | 1614.19 | 1516.60 | 61.45% | 15.96% | 22.60% | +3.19 | 50 |
| 1939-02-09 | @ New York Rangers | W 4-2 | 1617.38 | 1589.05 | 37.48% | 17.12% | 45.41% | +4.56 | 52 |
| 1939-02-12 | New York Rangers | L 2-3 | 1621.94 | 1584.49 | 54.25% | 16.70% | 29.05% | -3.27 | 52 |
| 1939-02-14 | Detroit Red Wings | W 2-1 | 1618.67 | 1442.08 | 69.51% | 14.53% | 15.96% | +1.13 | 54 |
| 1939-02-16 | @ Montreal Canadiens | W 5-1 | 1619.80 | 1419.57 | 60.31% | 16.10% | 23.58% | +5.24 | 56 |
| 1939-02-19 | @ Detroit Red Wings | L 1-4 | 1625.04 | 1441.22 | 58.40% | 16.33% | 25.28% | -9.02 | 56 |
| 1939-02-21 | Chicago Blackhawks | W 8-2 | 1616.02 | 1445.55 | 68.94% | 14.66% | 16.40% | +4.41 | 58 |
| 1939-02-25 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | L 0-1 | 1620.43 | 1520.60 | 47.57% | 17.06% | 35.38% | -3.25 | 58 |
| 1939-02-26 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | W 5-1 | 1617.18 | 1437.36 | 57.92% | 16.38% | 25.71% | +5.68 | 60 |
| 1939-02-28 | Montreal Canadiens | W 6-2 | 1622.86 | 1439.03 | 70.17% | 14.38% | 15.45% | +2.93 | 62 |
| 1939-03-05 | New York Rangers | W 5-3 | 1625.79 | 1572.79 | 56.20% | 16.54% | 27.26% | +2.77 | 64 |
| 1939-03-07 | Detroit Red Wings | W 3-0 | 1628.56 | 1463.48 | 68.43% | 14.77% | 16.81% | +3.46 | 66 |
| 1939-03-09 | @ New York Americans | W 9-6 | 1632.02 | 1448.28 | 58.39% | 16.33% | 25.29% | +3.12 | 68 |
| 1939-03-12 | @ New York Rangers | W 4-2 | 1635.14 | 1575.72 | 41.86% | 17.16% | 40.98% | +4.19 | 70 |
| 1939-03-14 | Chicago Blackhawks | W 4-2 | 1639.33 | 1427.14 | 72.66% | 13.76% | 13.59% | +1.48 | 72 |
| 1939-03-19 | Montreal Canadiens | W 7-5 | 1640.81 | 1451.61 | 70.65% | 14.27% | 15.08% | +1.48 | 74 |
| 1938-11-03 | New York Americans | W 6-1 | 1463.88 | 1486.88 | 46.15% | 17.10% | 36.75% | +9.54 | 2 |
| 1938-11-05 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | W 2-0 | 1473.42 | 1510.17 | 29.13% | 16.71% | 54.16% | +6.88 | 4 |
| 1938-11-06 | @ Montreal Canadiens | W 3-2 | 1480.30 | 1470.09 | 35.03% | 17.05% | 47.93% | +2.93 | 6 |
| 1938-11-13 | Montreal Canadiens | W 4-3 | 1483.23 | 1456.67 | 52.85% | 16.80% | 30.35% | +1.93 | 8 |
| 1938-11-17 | New York Rangers | L 0-1 | 1485.16 | 1556.42 | 39.29% | 17.15% | 43.56% | -2.77 | 8 |
| 1938-11-20 | Toronto Maple Leafs | T 1-1 | 1482.39 | 1513.86 | 44.97% | 17.13% | 37.91% | -0.11 | 9 |
| 1938-11-24 | @ Detroit Red Wings | L 2-4 | 1482.28 | 1464.27 | 36.07% | 17.08% | 46.85% | -3.75 | 9 |
| 1938-11-26 | @ New York Americans | L 4-6 | 1478.53 | 1488.39 | 32.42% | 16.93% | 50.65% | -3.13 | 9 |
| 1938-11-27 | @ New York Rangers | W 1-0 | 1475.40 | 1562.33 | 23.65% | 16.11% | 60.24% | +4.02 | 11 |
| 1938-12-01 | Detroit Red Wings | L 1-4 | 1479.42 | 1455.57 | 52.49% | 16.82% | 30.68% | -8.19 | 11 |
| 1938-12-04 | Boston Bruins | L 0-5 | 1471.23 | 1560.28 | 36.83% | 17.10% | 46.07% | -11.55 | 11 |
| 1938-12-06 | @ Boston Bruins | L 0-2 | 1459.68 | 1571.83 | 21.22% | 15.73% | 63.05% | -3.00 | 11 |
| 1938-12-10 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | L 1-4 | 1456.68 | 1508.73 | 27.37% | 16.55% | 56.08% | -4.65 | 11 |
| 1938-12-11 | New York Americans | W 4-0 | 1452.03 | 1474.91 | 46.17% | 17.10% | 36.73% | +9.34 | 13 |
| 1938-12-15 | Toronto Maple Leafs | T 4-4 | 1461.37 | 1513.39 | 42.04% | 17.16% | 40.80% | -0.01 | 14 |
| 1938-12-18 | New York Rangers | W 5-0 | 1461.36 | 1563.34 | 35.09% | 17.05% | 47.86% | +14.41 | 16 |
| 1938-12-22 | Detroit Red Wings | T 3-3 | 1475.77 | 1446.90 | 53.15% | 16.78% | 30.07% | -0.22 | 17 |
| 1938-12-25 | @ New York Americans | L 1-5 | 1475.55 | 1473.45 | 33.96% | 17.01% | 49.03% | -7.28 | 17 |
| 1938-12-27 | @ Montreal Canadiens | W 4-1 | 1468.27 | 1433.44 | 38.38% | 17.13% | 44.49% | +7.09 | 19 |
| 1938-12-29 | @ Detroit Red Wings | L 1-4 | 1475.36 | 1449.00 | 37.20% | 17.11% | 45.68% | -6.10 | 19 |
| 1939-01-01 | Montreal Canadiens | L 3-4 | 1469.26 | 1426.35 | 54.94% | 16.65% | 28.41% | -3.23 | 19 |
| 1939-01-05 | Boston Bruins | L 1-2 | 1466.03 | 1596.46 | 31.43% | 16.87% | 51.70% | -2.15 | 19 |
| 1939-01-08 | Toronto Maple Leafs | W 1-0 | 1463.88 | 1509.37 | 42.97% | 17.15% | 39.87% | +2.80 | 21 |
| 1939-01-10 | @ Boston Bruins | L 1-3 | 1466.68 | 1592.55 | 19.99% | 15.50% | 64.51% | -2.45 | 21 |
| 1939-01-12 | @ New York Rangers | L 0-6 | 1464.23 | 1562.34 | 22.55% | 15.95% | 61.50% | -8.82 | 21 |
| 1939-01-14 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | L 1-3 | 1455.41 | 1513.47 | 26.70% | 16.48% | 56.82% | -3.22 | 21 |
| 1939-01-15 | New York Rangers | T 1-1 | 1452.19 | 1571.16 | 32.88% | 16.95% | 50.17% | +0.27 | 22 |
| 1939-01-22 | New York Americans | T 1-1 | 1452.46 | 1486.54 | 44.60% | 17.13% | 38.27% | -0.10 | 23 |
| 1939-01-26 | Detroit Red Wings | L 0-1 | 1452.36 | 1449.84 | 49.66% | 16.98% | 33.36% | -3.37 | 23 |
| 1939-01-29 | Montreal Canadiens | L 0-1 | 1448.99 | 1416.69 | 53.59% | 16.75% | 29.66% | -3.62 | 23 |
| 1939-01-31 | @ New York Rangers | L 2-3 | 1445.37 | 1567.16 | 20.35% | 15.57% | 64.08% | -1.36 | 23 |
| 1939-02-02 | @ Montreal Canadiens | W 4-2 | 1444.01 | 1420.31 | 36.84% | 17.10% | 46.06% | +4.62 | 25 |
| 1939-02-05 | Boston Bruins | L 0-3 | 1448.63 | 1608.57 | 27.91% | 16.60% | 55.49% | -5.63 | 25 |
| 1939-02-07 | @ New York Americans | T 2-2 | 1443.00 | 1472.17 | 30.04% | 16.78% | 53.18% | +0.27 | 26 |
| 1939-02-09 | @ Detroit Red Wings | W 4-2 | 1443.27 | 1449.30 | 32.91% | 16.96% | 50.13% | +4.97 | 28 |
| 1939-02-16 | Detroit Red Wings | T 1-1 | 1448.24 | 1440.95 | 50.30% | 16.95% | 32.75% | -0.27 | 29 |
| 1939-02-19 | Toronto Maple Leafs | L 3-4 | 1447.97 | 1518.18 | 39.44% | 17.15% | 43.41% | -2.42 | 29 |
| 1939-02-21 | @ Boston Bruins | L 2-8 | 1445.55 | 1616.02 | 16.40% | 14.66% | 68.94% | -4.41 | 29 |
| 1939-02-23 | @ New York Americans | L 1-3 | 1441.14 | 1455.05 | 31.91% | 16.90% | 51.19% | -3.78 | 29 |
| 1939-02-26 | Boston Bruins | L 1-5 | 1437.36 | 1617.18 | 25.71% | 16.38% | 57.92% | -5.68 | 29 |
| 1939-03-02 | @ New York Rangers | W 3-1 | 1431.68 | 1580.01 | 18.11% | 15.09% | 66.80% | +7.22 | 31 |
| 1939-03-04 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | T 1-1 | 1438.90 | 1509.63 | 25.32% | 16.33% | 58.34% | +0.52 | 32 |
| 1939-03-05 | Montreal Canadiens | L 1-2 | 1439.42 | 1441.12 | 49.09% | 17.00% | 33.91% | -3.15 | 32 |
| 1939-03-09 | New York Rangers | L 3-8 | 1436.27 | 1569.48 | 31.09% | 16.85% | 52.06% | -6.24 | 32 |
| 1939-03-12 | New York Americans | L 2-3 | 1430.03 | 1445.16 | 47.25% | 17.07% | 35.68% | -2.89 | 32 |
| 1939-03-14 | @ Boston Bruins | L 2-4 | 1427.14 | 1639.33 | 13.59% | 13.76% | 72.66% | -1.48 | 32 |
| 1939-03-16 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 1-5 | 1425.66 | 1444.84 | 31.26% | 16.86% | 51.88% | -6.77 | 32 |
| 1939-03-19 | @ Detroit Red Wings | L 2-3 | 1418.89 | 1457.00 | 28.97% | 16.70% | 54.33% | -1.90 | 32 |
| 1938-11-06 | Boston Bruins | L 1-4 | 1468.58 | 1549.45 | 37.95% | 17.13% | 44.92% | -6.21 | 0 |
| 1938-11-10 | New York Americans | L 1-2 | 1462.37 | 1477.33 | 47.27% | 17.07% | 35.66% | -3.05 | 0 |
| 1938-11-13 | New York Rangers | L 3-4 | 1459.32 | 1550.95 | 36.48% | 17.09% | 46.43% | -2.26 | 0 |
| 1938-11-15 | @ New York Rangers | L 0-2 | 1457.06 | 1553.22 | 22.73% | 15.98% | 61.29% | -3.20 | 0 |
| 1938-11-17 | @ Montreal Canadiens | W 7-1 | 1453.86 | 1454.73 | 33.57% | 16.99% | 49.44% | +14.52 | 2 |
| 1938-11-20 | @ Boston Bruins | L 1-4 | 1468.38 | 1552.38 | 23.95% | 16.15% | 59.90% | -4.11 | 2 |
| 1938-11-24 | Chicago Blackhawks | W 4-2 | 1464.27 | 1482.28 | 46.85% | 17.08% | 36.07% | +3.75 | 4 |
| 1938-11-26 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | L 0-5 | 1468.02 | 1508.69 | 28.67% | 16.67% | 54.65% | -9.27 | 4 |
| 1938-11-27 | Montreal Canadiens | L 2-3 | 1458.75 | 1433.96 | 52.62% | 16.82% | 30.57% | -3.18 | 4 |
| 1938-12-01 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | W 4-1 | 1455.57 | 1479.42 | 30.68% | 16.82% | 52.49% | +8.19 | 6 |
| 1938-12-04 | Toronto Maple Leafs | W 1-0 | 1463.76 | 1511.55 | 42.65% | 17.15% | 40.20% | +2.82 | 8 |
| 1938-12-08 | New York Americans | T 1-1 | 1466.58 | 1474.71 | 48.21% | 17.04% | 34.75% | -0.21 | 9 |
| 1938-12-11 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 2-4 | 1466.37 | 1448.11 | 36.10% | 17.08% | 46.81% | -3.76 | 9 |
| 1938-12-13 | @ New York Americans | L 1-5 | 1462.61 | 1465.56 | 33.30% | 16.98% | 49.72% | -7.16 | 9 |
| 1938-12-18 | Boston Bruins | L 0-2 | 1455.45 | 1587.47 | 31.23% | 16.86% | 51.91% | -4.28 | 9 |
| 1938-12-20 | @ New York Rangers | L 2-6 | 1451.17 | 1548.93 | 22.58% | 15.96% | 61.47% | -4.27 | 9 |
| 1938-12-22 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | T 3-3 | 1446.90 | 1475.77 | 30.07% | 16.78% | 53.15% | +0.22 | 10 |
| 1938-12-24 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | L 0-2 | 1447.12 | 1510.75 | 26.09% | 16.42% | 57.49% | -3.64 | 10 |
| 1938-12-25 | Montreal Canadiens | W 4-1 | 1443.48 | 1438.96 | 49.93% | 16.97% | 33.10% | +5.52 | 12 |
| 1938-12-29 | Chicago Blackhawks | W 4-1 | 1449.00 | 1475.36 | 45.68% | 17.11% | 37.20% | +6.10 | 14 |
| 1939-01-01 | @ Boston Bruins | L 1-4 | 1455.10 | 1591.56 | 19.08% | 15.31% | 65.61% | -3.31 | 14 |
| 1939-01-02 | @ New York Rangers | L 0-3 | 1451.79 | 1557.32 | 21.84% | 15.84% | 62.33% | -4.47 | 14 |
| 1939-01-05 | @ New York Americans | T 6-6 | 1447.32 | 1495.10 | 27.85% | 16.60% | 55.55% | +0.19 | 15 |
| 1939-01-08 | @ Montreal Canadiens | T 1-1 | 1447.51 | 1430.21 | 35.97% | 17.08% | 46.95% | +0.17 | 16 |
| 1939-01-10 | Montreal Canadiens | W 3-0 | 1447.68 | 1430.04 | 51.68% | 16.87% | 31.45% | +6.26 | 18 |
| 1939-01-15 | Toronto Maple Leafs | W 1-0 | 1453.94 | 1516.69 | 40.50% | 17.16% | 42.34% | +2.94 | 20 |
| 1939-01-19 | New York Rangers | W 4-3 | 1456.88 | 1570.89 | 33.51% | 16.98% | 49.50% | +2.94 | 22 |
| 1939-01-22 | Boston Bruins | L 0-5 | 1459.82 | 1592.83 | 31.11% | 16.85% | 52.04% | -9.98 | 22 |
| 1939-01-26 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | W 1-0 | 1449.84 | 1452.36 | 33.36% | 16.98% | 49.66% | +3.38 | 24 |
| 1939-01-28 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | L 0-6 | 1453.22 | 1512.79 | 26.53% | 16.47% | 57.00% | -10.27 | 24 |
| 1939-01-29 | Toronto Maple Leafs | T 2-2 | 1442.95 | 1523.05 | 38.06% | 17.13% | 44.81% | +0.07 | 25 |
| 1939-02-05 | New York Americans | W 7-3 | 1443.02 | 1478.44 | 44.41% | 17.14% | 38.46% | +6.28 | 27 |
| 1939-02-09 | Chicago Blackhawks | L 2-4 | 1449.30 | 1443.27 | 50.13% | 16.96% | 32.91% | -4.97 | 27 |
| 1939-02-12 | @ New York Americans | L 0-1 | 1444.33 | 1466.12 | 30.93% | 16.84% | 52.22% | -2.25 | 27 |
| 1939-02-14 | @ Boston Bruins | L 1-2 | 1442.08 | 1618.67 | 15.96% | 14.53% | 69.51% | -1.13 | 27 |
| 1939-02-16 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | T 1-1 | 1440.95 | 1448.24 | 32.75% | 16.95% | 50.30% | +0.27 | 28 |
| 1939-02-19 | Boston Bruins | W 4-1 | 1441.22 | 1625.04 | 25.28% | 16.33% | 58.40% | +9.02 | 30 |
| 1939-02-21 | @ New York Rangers | L 3-7 | 1450.24 | 1586.34 | 19.11% | 15.32% | 65.57% | -3.32 | 30 |
| 1939-02-23 | New York Rangers | L 2-4 | 1446.92 | 1589.66 | 29.93% | 16.77% | 53.30% | -3.19 | 30 |
| 1939-02-26 | Toronto Maple Leafs | W 5-1 | 1443.73 | 1523.85 | 38.06% | 17.13% | 44.81% | +9.21 | 32 |
| 1939-03-02 | New York Americans | W 7-3 | 1452.94 | 1458.83 | 48.52% | 17.03% | 34.46% | +5.71 | 34 |
| 1939-03-05 | @ New York Americans | W 4-2 | 1458.65 | 1453.12 | 34.41% | 17.02% | 48.57% | +4.83 | 36 |
| 1939-03-07 | @ Boston Bruins | L 0-3 | 1463.48 | 1628.56 | 16.81% | 14.77% | 68.43% | -3.46 | 36 |
| 1939-03-09 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 2-3 | 1460.02 | 1444.81 | 35.69% | 17.07% | 47.24% | -2.28 | 36 |
| 1939-03-11 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | L 1-5 | 1457.74 | 1509.10 | 27.45% | 16.56% | 55.99% | -6.03 | 36 |
| 1939-03-12 | Montreal Canadiens | W 2-1 | 1451.71 | 1447.09 | 49.95% | 16.96% | 33.09% | +2.26 | 38 |
| 1939-03-14 | New York Rangers | W 3-2 | 1453.97 | 1571.54 | 33.05% | 16.96% | 49.98% | +3.03 | 40 |
| 1939-03-19 | Chicago Blackhawks | W 3-2 | 1457.00 | 1418.89 | 54.33% | 16.70% | 28.97% | +1.90 | 42 |
| 1938-11-06 | Chicago Blackhawks | L 2-3 | 1470.09 | 1480.30 | 47.93% | 17.05% | 35.03% | -2.92 | 0 |
| 1938-11-10 | Toronto Maple Leafs | L 0-2 | 1467.17 | 1503.30 | 44.31% | 17.14% | 38.56% | -5.77 | 0 |
| 1938-11-12 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | L 1-4 | 1461.40 | 1509.06 | 27.87% | 16.60% | 55.53% | -4.73 | 0 |
| 1938-11-13 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | L 3-4 | 1456.67 | 1483.23 | 30.35% | 16.80% | 52.85% | -1.94 | 0 |
| 1938-11-17 | Detroit Red Wings | L 1-7 | 1454.73 | 1453.86 | 49.44% | 16.99% | 33.57% | -14.52 | 0 |
| 1938-11-20 | @ New York Rangers | L 1-2 | 1440.21 | 1559.19 | 20.60% | 15.62% | 63.78% | -1.46 | 0 |
| 1938-11-22 | @ New York Americans | L 3-7 | 1438.75 | 1483.59 | 28.19% | 16.63% | 55.18% | -4.78 | 0 |
| 1938-11-24 | New York Americans | T 2-2 | 1433.97 | 1488.38 | 41.70% | 17.16% | 41.14% | -0.01 | 1 |
| 1938-11-27 | @ Detroit Red Wings | W 3-2 | 1433.96 | 1458.75 | 30.57% | 16.82% | 52.62% | +3.18 | 3 |
| 1938-12-01 | Boston Bruins | W 2-0 | 1437.14 | 1566.86 | 31.52% | 16.88% | 51.60% | +6.58 | 5 |
| 1938-12-03 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | W 3-1 | 1443.72 | 1517.97 | 24.95% | 16.29% | 58.76% | +6.42 | 7 |
| 1938-12-08 | New York Rangers | L 5-6 | 1450.14 | 1568.34 | 32.97% | 16.96% | 50.07% | -2.03 | 7 |
| 1938-12-11 | Detroit Red Wings | W 4-2 | 1448.11 | 1466.37 | 46.81% | 17.08% | 36.10% | +3.76 | 9 |
| 1938-12-13 | @ Boston Bruins | L 2-3 | 1451.87 | 1583.91 | 19.45% | 15.39% | 65.15% | -1.31 | 9 |
| 1938-12-15 | Boston Bruins | L 0-1 | 1450.56 | 1585.22 | 30.91% | 16.84% | 52.25% | -2.25 | 9 |
| 1938-12-18 | @ New York Americans | L 2-5 | 1448.31 | 1473.31 | 30.54% | 16.81% | 52.64% | -4.45 | 9 |
| 1938-12-22 | New York Rangers | L 2-5 | 1443.86 | 1553.20 | 34.12% | 17.01% | 48.87% | -4.90 | 9 |
| 1938-12-25 | @ Detroit Red Wings | L 1-4 | 1438.96 | 1443.48 | 33.10% | 16.97% | 49.93% | -5.52 | 9 |
| 1938-12-27 | Chicago Blackhawks | L 1-4 | 1433.44 | 1468.27 | 44.49% | 17.13% | 38.38% | -7.09 | 9 |
| 1939-01-01 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | W 4-3 | 1426.35 | 1469.26 | 28.41% | 16.65% | 54.94% | +3.22 | 11 |
| 1939-01-03 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | T 2-2 | 1429.57 | 1503.71 | 24.96% | 16.29% | 58.75% | +0.40 | 12 |
| 1939-01-05 | New York Rangers | T 2-2 | 1429.97 | 1561.80 | 31.26% | 16.86% | 51.88% | +0.24 | 13 |
| 1939-01-08 | Detroit Red Wings | T 1-1 | 1430.21 | 1447.51 | 46.95% | 17.08% | 35.97% | -0.17 | 14 |
| 1939-01-10 | @ Detroit Red Wings | L 0-3 | 1430.04 | 1447.68 | 31.45% | 16.87% | 51.68% | -6.25 | 14 |
| 1939-01-12 | Toronto Maple Leafs | L 4-9 | 1423.79 | 1506.57 | 37.69% | 17.12% | 45.19% | -6.90 | 14 |
| 1939-01-14 | New York Americans | T 1-1 | 1416.89 | 1494.13 | 38.46% | 17.14% | 44.41% | +0.09 | 15 |
| 1939-01-15 | @ New York Americans | T 1-1 | 1416.98 | 1494.04 | 24.66% | 16.25% | 59.09% | +0.55 | 16 |
| 1939-01-19 | Boston Bruins | W 1-0 | 1417.53 | 1596.70 | 25.78% | 16.38% | 57.84% | +3.87 | 18 |
| 1939-01-22 | @ New York Rangers | L 3-7 | 1421.40 | 1567.95 | 18.25% | 15.13% | 66.62% | -3.17 | 18 |
| 1939-01-24 | @ Boston Bruins | L 4-6 | 1418.23 | 1602.81 | 15.40% | 14.37% | 70.24% | -1.54 | 18 |
| 1939-01-29 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | W 1-0 | 1416.69 | 1448.99 | 29.66% | 16.75% | 53.59% | +3.62 | 20 |
| 1939-02-02 | Chicago Blackhawks | L 2-4 | 1420.31 | 1444.01 | 46.06% | 17.10% | 36.84% | -4.62 | 20 |
| 1939-02-09 | New York Americans | W 5-2 | 1415.69 | 1471.90 | 41.44% | 17.16% | 41.40% | +5.78 | 22 |
| 1939-02-11 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | T 3-3 | 1421.47 | 1513.42 | 23.15% | 16.04% | 60.81% | +0.37 | 23 |
| 1939-02-12 | Toronto Maple Leafs | L 3-4 | 1421.84 | 1513.05 | 36.54% | 17.10% | 46.37% | -2.27 | 23 |
| 1939-02-16 | Boston Bruins | L 1-5 | 1419.57 | 1619.80 | 23.58% | 16.10% | 60.31% | -5.24 | 23 |
| 1939-02-18 | New York Americans | W 7-2 | 1414.33 | 1466.92 | 41.96% | 17.16% | 40.88% | +8.74 | 25 |
| 1939-02-19 | @ New York Americans | W 5-4 | 1423.07 | 1458.18 | 29.33% | 16.73% | 53.95% | +3.12 | 27 |
| 1939-02-25 | New York Rangers | T 1-1 | 1426.19 | 1592.85 | 27.15% | 16.53% | 56.32% | +0.46 | 28 |
| 1939-02-26 | @ New York Rangers | W 3-0 | 1426.65 | 1592.39 | 16.76% | 14.75% | 68.49% | +12.38 | 30 |
| 1939-02-28 | @ Boston Bruins | L 2-6 | 1439.03 | 1622.86 | 15.45% | 14.38% | 70.17% | -2.93 | 30 |
| 1939-03-02 | Toronto Maple Leafs | W 3-1 | 1436.10 | 1514.65 | 38.28% | 17.13% | 44.59% | +5.02 | 32 |
| 1939-03-05 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | W 2-1 | 1441.12 | 1439.42 | 33.91% | 17.00% | 49.09% | +3.15 | 34 |
| 1939-03-07 | @ New York Rangers | T 2-2 | 1444.27 | 1570.02 | 20.00% | 15.50% | 64.50% | +0.54 | 35 |
| 1939-03-09 | Detroit Red Wings | W 3-2 | 1444.81 | 1460.02 | 47.24% | 17.07% | 35.69% | +2.28 | 37 |
| 1939-03-12 | @ Detroit Red Wings | L 1-2 | 1447.09 | 1451.71 | 33.09% | 16.96% | 49.95% | -2.25 | 37 |
| 1939-03-16 | Chicago Blackhawks | W 5-1 | 1444.84 | 1425.66 | 51.88% | 16.86% | 31.26% | +6.77 | 39 |
| 1939-03-19 | @ Boston Bruins | L 5-7 | 1451.61 | 1640.81 | 15.08% | 14.27% | 70.65% | -1.47 | 39 |
| 1938-11-03 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | L 1-6 | 1486.88 | 1463.88 | 36.75% | 17.10% | 46.15% | -9.55 | 0 |
| 1938-11-10 | @ Detroit Red Wings | W 2-1 | 1477.33 | 1462.37 | 35.66% | 17.07% | 47.27% | +3.05 | 2 |
| 1938-11-13 | Boston Bruins | W 2-1 | 1480.38 | 1555.65 | 38.73% | 17.14% | 44.13% | +2.87 | 4 |
| 1938-11-17 | Toronto Maple Leafs | L 0-1 | 1483.25 | 1514.20 | 45.04% | 17.12% | 37.84% | -3.10 | 4 |
| 1938-11-19 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | W 2-1 | 1480.15 | 1517.30 | 29.09% | 16.71% | 54.21% | +3.44 | 6 |
| 1938-11-22 | Montreal Canadiens | W 7-3 | 1483.59 | 1438.75 | 55.18% | 16.63% | 28.19% | +4.79 | 8 |
| 1938-11-24 | @ Montreal Canadiens | T 2-2 | 1488.38 | 1433.97 | 41.14% | 17.16% | 41.70% | +0.01 | 9 |
| 1938-11-26 | Chicago Blackhawks | W 6-4 | 1488.39 | 1478.53 | 50.65% | 16.93% | 32.42% | +3.12 | 11 |
| 1938-11-27 | @ Boston Bruins | L 2-8 | 1491.51 | 1560.09 | 25.55% | 16.36% | 58.09% | -6.77 | 11 |
| 1938-12-04 | New York Rangers | L 1-6 | 1484.74 | 1558.31 | 38.97% | 17.14% | 43.89% | -10.03 | 11 |
| 1938-12-08 | @ Detroit Red Wings | T 1-1 | 1474.71 | 1466.58 | 34.75% | 17.04% | 48.21% | +0.20 | 12 |
| 1938-12-11 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | L 0-4 | 1474.91 | 1452.03 | 36.73% | 17.10% | 46.17% | -9.35 | 12 |
| 1938-12-13 | Detroit Red Wings | W 5-1 | 1465.56 | 1462.61 | 49.72% | 16.98% | 33.30% | +7.17 | 14 |
| 1938-12-15 | @ New York Rangers | T 1-1 | 1472.73 | 1561.28 | 23.49% | 16.09% | 60.42% | +0.58 | 15 |
| 1938-12-18 | Montreal Canadiens | W 5-2 | 1473.31 | 1448.31 | 52.64% | 16.81% | 30.54% | +4.46 | 17 |
| 1938-12-20 | @ Boston Bruins | L 0-3 | 1477.77 | 1591.75 | 21.05% | 15.70% | 63.25% | -4.32 | 17 |
| 1938-12-25 | Chicago Blackhawks | W 5-1 | 1473.45 | 1475.55 | 49.03% | 17.01% | 33.96% | +7.28 | 19 |
| 1938-12-29 | Boston Bruins | W 4-2 | 1480.73 | 1599.13 | 32.95% | 16.96% | 50.09% | +4.97 | 21 |
| 1938-12-31 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | W 3-2 | 1485.70 | 1514.71 | 30.06% | 16.78% | 53.16% | +3.21 | 23 |
| 1939-01-01 | Toronto Maple Leafs | W 5-1 | 1488.91 | 1511.50 | 46.21% | 17.10% | 36.69% | +7.78 | 25 |
| 1939-01-03 | @ Boston Bruins | L 1-2 | 1496.69 | 1594.87 | 22.54% | 15.95% | 61.51% | -1.59 | 25 |
| 1939-01-05 | Detroit Red Wings | T 6-6 | 1495.10 | 1447.32 | 55.55% | 16.60% | 27.85% | -0.19 | 26 |
| 1939-01-08 | @ New York Rangers | L 2-5 | 1494.91 | 1561.56 | 25.76% | 16.38% | 57.86% | -3.82 | 26 |
| 1939-01-10 | New York Rangers | W 1-0 | 1491.09 | 1565.38 | 38.87% | 17.14% | 43.99% | +3.04 | 28 |
| 1939-01-14 | @ Montreal Canadiens | T 1-1 | 1494.13 | 1416.89 | 44.41% | 17.14% | 38.46% | -0.09 | 29 |
| 1939-01-15 | Montreal Canadiens | T 1-1 | 1494.04 | 1416.98 | 59.09% | 16.25% | 24.66% | -0.54 | 30 |
| 1939-01-21 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | L 2-7 | 1493.50 | 1512.05 | 31.33% | 16.87% | 51.80% | -6.96 | 30 |
| 1939-01-22 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | T 1-1 | 1486.54 | 1452.46 | 38.27% | 17.13% | 44.60% | +0.09 | 31 |
| 1939-01-24 | Toronto Maple Leafs | W 4-1 | 1486.63 | 1519.00 | 44.84% | 17.13% | 38.03% | +6.22 | 33 |
| 1939-01-26 | @ New York Rangers | W 1-0 | 1492.85 | 1571.12 | 24.53% | 16.23% | 59.23% | +3.96 | 35 |
| 1939-01-29 | Boston Bruins | L 2-3 | 1496.81 | 1604.35 | 34.35% | 17.02% | 48.62% | -2.21 | 35 |
| 1939-01-31 | @ Boston Bruins | T 2-2 | 1494.60 | 1606.56 | 21.24% | 15.73% | 63.03% | +0.50 | 36 |
| 1939-02-02 | New York Rangers | L 0-7 | 1495.10 | 1568.53 | 38.99% | 17.14% | 43.87% | -16.66 | 36 |
| 1939-02-05 | @ Detroit Red Wings | L 3-7 | 1478.44 | 1443.02 | 38.46% | 17.14% | 44.41% | -6.27 | 36 |
| 1939-02-07 | Chicago Blackhawks | T 2-2 | 1472.17 | 1443.00 | 53.18% | 16.78% | 30.04% | -0.27 | 37 |
| 1939-02-09 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 2-5 | 1471.90 | 1415.69 | 41.40% | 17.16% | 41.44% | -5.78 | 37 |
| 1939-02-12 | Detroit Red Wings | W 1-0 | 1466.12 | 1444.33 | 52.22% | 16.84% | 30.93% | +2.25 | 39 |
| 1939-02-16 | @ New York Rangers | L 1-2 | 1468.37 | 1587.75 | 20.56% | 15.61% | 63.83% | -1.45 | 39 |
| 1939-02-18 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 2-7 | 1466.92 | 1414.33 | 40.88% | 17.16% | 41.96% | -8.74 | 39 |
| 1939-02-19 | Montreal Canadiens | L 4-5 | 1458.18 | 1423.07 | 53.95% | 16.73% | 29.33% | -3.13 | 39 |
| 1939-02-23 | Chicago Blackhawks | W 3-1 | 1455.05 | 1441.14 | 51.19% | 16.90% | 31.91% | +3.78 | 41 |
| 1939-02-28 | Toronto Maple Leafs | T 1-1 | 1458.83 | 1514.65 | 41.49% | 17.16% | 41.35% | +0.00 | 42 |
| 1939-03-02 | @ Detroit Red Wings | L 3-7 | 1458.83 | 1452.94 | 34.46% | 17.03% | 48.52% | -5.71 | 42 |
| 1939-03-05 | Detroit Red Wings | L 2-4 | 1453.12 | 1458.65 | 48.57% | 17.02% | 34.41% | -4.84 | 42 |
| 1939-03-09 | Boston Bruins | L 6-9 | 1448.28 | 1632.02 | 25.29% | 16.33% | 58.39% | -3.12 | 42 |
| 1939-03-12 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | W 3-2 | 1445.16 | 1430.03 | 35.68% | 17.07% | 47.25% | +2.89 | 44 |
| 1939-03-14 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | L 3-7 | 1448.05 | 1515.13 | 25.71% | 16.38% | 57.91% | -4.40 | 44 |
| 1939-03-16 | New York Rangers | L 5-11 | 1443.65 | 1568.50 | 32.13% | 16.91% | 50.96% | -6.58 | 44 |
| 1938-11-13 | @ Detroit Red Wings | W 4-3 | 1550.95 | 1459.32 | 46.43% | 17.09% | 36.48% | +2.27 | 2 |
| 1938-11-15 | Detroit Red Wings | W 2-0 | 1553.22 | 1457.06 | 61.29% | 15.98% | 22.73% | +3.20 | 4 |
| 1938-11-17 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | W 1-0 | 1556.42 | 1485.16 | 43.56% | 17.15% | 39.29% | +2.77 | 6 |
| 1938-11-20 | Montreal Canadiens | W 2-1 | 1559.19 | 1440.21 | 63.78% | 15.62% | 20.60% | +1.45 | 8 |
| 1938-11-22 | @ Boston Bruins | L 2-4 | 1560.64 | 1556.49 | 34.23% | 17.02% | 48.76% | -3.59 | 8 |
| 1938-11-24 | Toronto Maple Leafs | W 6-2 | 1557.05 | 1513.97 | 54.96% | 16.65% | 28.39% | +5.28 | 10 |
| 1938-11-27 | Chicago Blackhawks | L 0-1 | 1562.33 | 1475.40 | 60.24% | 16.11% | 23.65% | -4.02 | 10 |
| 1938-12-04 | @ New York Americans | W 6-1 | 1558.31 | 1484.74 | 43.89% | 17.14% | 38.97% | +10.03 | 12 |
| 1938-12-08 | @ Montreal Canadiens | W 6-5 | 1568.34 | 1450.14 | 50.07% | 16.96% | 32.97% | +2.03 | 14 |
| 1938-12-11 | Boston Bruins | L 0-3 | 1570.37 | 1574.82 | 48.71% | 17.02% | 34.27% | -9.09 | 14 |
| 1938-12-15 | New York Americans | T 1-1 | 1561.28 | 1472.73 | 60.42% | 16.09% | 23.49% | -0.59 | 15 |
| 1938-12-17 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | W 3-2 | 1560.69 | 1513.40 | 40.13% | 17.15% | 42.72% | +2.65 | 17 |
| 1938-12-18 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | L 0-5 | 1563.34 | 1461.36 | 47.86% | 17.05% | 35.09% | -14.41 | 17 |
| 1938-12-20 | Detroit Red Wings | W 6-2 | 1548.93 | 1451.17 | 61.47% | 15.96% | 22.58% | +4.27 | 19 |
| 1938-12-22 | @ Montreal Canadiens | W 5-2 | 1553.20 | 1443.86 | 48.87% | 17.01% | 34.12% | +4.91 | 21 |
| 1938-12-25 | @ Boston Bruins | W 1-0 | 1558.11 | 1596.07 | 28.99% | 16.70% | 54.31% | +3.65 | 23 |
| 1938-12-26 | Toronto Maple Leafs | L 0-2 | 1561.76 | 1514.39 | 55.50% | 16.60% | 27.90% | -7.03 | 23 |
| 1938-12-31 | Boston Bruins | W 2-1 | 1554.73 | 1594.16 | 43.84% | 17.14% | 39.02% | +2.59 | 25 |
| 1939-01-02 | Detroit Red Wings | W 3-0 | 1557.32 | 1451.79 | 62.33% | 15.84% | 21.84% | +4.48 | 27 |
| 1939-01-05 | @ Montreal Canadiens | T 2-2 | 1561.80 | 1429.97 | 51.88% | 16.86% | 31.26% | -0.24 | 28 |
| 1939-01-08 | New York Americans | W 5-2 | 1561.56 | 1494.91 | 57.86% | 16.38% | 25.76% | +3.82 | 30 |
| 1939-01-10 | @ New York Americans | L 0-1 | 1565.38 | 1491.09 | 43.99% | 17.14% | 38.87% | -3.04 | 30 |
| 1939-01-12 | Chicago Blackhawks | W 6-0 | 1562.34 | 1464.23 | 61.50% | 15.95% | 22.55% | +8.82 | 32 |
| 1939-01-15 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | T 1-1 | 1571.16 | 1452.19 | 50.17% | 16.95% | 32.88% | -0.27 | 33 |
| 1939-01-19 | @ Detroit Red Wings | L 3-4 | 1570.89 | 1456.88 | 49.50% | 16.98% | 33.51% | -2.94 | 33 |
| 1939-01-22 | Montreal Canadiens | W 7-3 | 1567.95 | 1421.40 | 66.62% | 15.13% | 18.25% | +3.17 | 35 |
| 1939-01-26 | New York Americans | L 0-1 | 1571.12 | 1492.85 | 59.23% | 16.23% | 24.53% | -3.96 | 35 |
| 1939-01-31 | Chicago Blackhawks | W 3-2 | 1567.16 | 1445.37 | 64.08% | 15.57% | 20.35% | +1.37 | 37 |
| 1939-02-02 | @ New York Americans | W 7-0 | 1568.53 | 1495.10 | 43.87% | 17.14% | 38.99% | +16.66 | 39 |
| 1939-02-04 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | W 4-2 | 1585.19 | 1520.46 | 42.63% | 17.16% | 40.22% | +4.12 | 41 |
| 1939-02-05 | Toronto Maple Leafs | T 5-5 | 1589.31 | 1516.34 | 58.61% | 16.30% | 25.09% | -0.26 | 42 |
| 1939-02-09 | Boston Bruins | L 2-4 | 1589.05 | 1617.38 | 45.41% | 17.12% | 37.48% | -4.56 | 42 |
| 1939-02-12 | @ Boston Bruins | W 3-2 | 1584.49 | 1621.94 | 29.05% | 16.70% | 54.25% | +3.26 | 44 |
| 1939-02-16 | New York Americans | W 2-1 | 1587.75 | 1468.37 | 63.83% | 15.61% | 20.56% | +1.46 | 46 |
| 1939-02-18 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | L 1-2 | 1589.21 | 1515.32 | 43.93% | 17.14% | 38.93% | -2.87 | 46 |
| 1939-02-21 | Detroit Red Wings | W 7-3 | 1586.34 | 1450.24 | 65.57% | 15.32% | 19.11% | +3.32 | 48 |
| 1939-02-23 | @ Detroit Red Wings | W 4-2 | 1589.66 | 1446.92 | 53.30% | 16.77% | 29.93% | +3.19 | 50 |
| 1939-02-25 | @ Montreal Canadiens | T 1-1 | 1592.85 | 1426.19 | 56.32% | 16.53% | 27.15% | -0.46 | 51 |
| 1939-02-26 | Montreal Canadiens | L 0-3 | 1592.39 | 1426.65 | 68.49% | 14.75% | 16.76% | -12.38 | 51 |
| 1939-03-02 | Chicago Blackhawks | L 1-3 | 1580.01 | 1431.68 | 66.80% | 15.09% | 18.11% | -7.22 | 51 |
| 1939-03-05 | @ Boston Bruins | L 3-5 | 1572.79 | 1625.79 | 27.26% | 16.54% | 56.20% | -2.77 | 51 |
| 1939-03-07 | Montreal Canadiens | T 2-2 | 1570.02 | 1444.27 | 64.50% | 15.50% | 20.00% | -0.54 | 52 |
| 1939-03-09 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | W 8-3 | 1569.48 | 1436.27 | 52.06% | 16.85% | 31.09% | +6.24 | 54 |
| 1939-03-12 | Boston Bruins | L 2-4 | 1575.72 | 1635.14 | 40.98% | 17.16% | 41.86% | -4.18 | 54 |
| 1939-03-14 | @ Detroit Red Wings | L 2-3 | 1571.54 | 1453.97 | 49.98% | 16.96% | 33.05% | -3.04 | 54 |
| 1939-03-16 | @ New York Americans | W 11-5 | 1568.50 | 1443.65 | 50.96% | 16.91% | 32.13% | +6.59 | 56 |
| 1939-03-18 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | L 1-2 | 1575.09 | 1519.53 | 41.31% | 17.16% | 41.53% | -2.72 | 56 |
| 1939-03-19 | Toronto Maple Leafs | W 6-2 | 1572.37 | 1522.25 | 55.84% | 16.57% | 27.59% | +5.14 | 58 |
| 1938-11-03 | Boston Bruins | L 2-3 | 1512.93 | 1546.69 | 44.64% | 17.13% | 38.23% | -2.76 | 0 |
| 1938-11-05 | Chicago Blackhawks | L 0-2 | 1510.17 | 1473.42 | 54.16% | 16.71% | 29.13% | -6.87 | 0 |
| 1938-11-10 | @ Montreal Canadiens | W 2-0 | 1503.30 | 1467.17 | 38.56% | 17.14% | 44.31% | +5.76 | 2 |
| 1938-11-12 | Montreal Canadiens | W 4-1 | 1509.06 | 1461.40 | 55.53% | 16.60% | 27.87% | +4.74 | 4 |
| 1938-11-15 | @ Boston Bruins | T 1-1 | 1513.80 | 1552.78 | 28.87% | 16.69% | 54.44% | +0.40 | 5 |
| 1938-11-17 | @ New York Americans | W 1-0 | 1514.20 | 1483.25 | 37.84% | 17.12% | 45.04% | +3.10 | 7 |
| 1938-11-19 | New York Americans | L 1-2 | 1517.30 | 1480.15 | 54.21% | 16.71% | 29.09% | -3.44 | 7 |
| 1938-11-20 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | T 1-1 | 1513.86 | 1482.39 | 37.91% | 17.13% | 44.97% | +0.11 | 8 |
| 1938-11-24 | @ New York Rangers | L 2-6 | 1513.97 | 1557.05 | 28.39% | 16.65% | 54.96% | -5.28 | 8 |
| 1938-11-26 | Detroit Red Wings | W 5-0 | 1508.69 | 1468.02 | 54.65% | 16.67% | 28.67% | +9.28 | 10 |
| 1938-12-03 | Montreal Canadiens | L 1-3 | 1517.97 | 1443.72 | 58.76% | 16.29% | 24.95% | -6.42 | 10 |
| 1938-12-04 | @ Detroit Red Wings | L 0-1 | 1511.55 | 1463.76 | 40.20% | 17.15% | 42.65% | -2.82 | 10 |
| 1938-12-10 | Chicago Blackhawks | W 4-1 | 1508.73 | 1456.68 | 56.08% | 16.55% | 27.37% | +4.66 | 12 |
| 1938-12-15 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | T 4-4 | 1513.39 | 1461.37 | 40.80% | 17.16% | 42.04% | +0.01 | 13 |
| 1938-12-17 | New York Rangers | L 2-3 | 1513.40 | 1560.69 | 42.72% | 17.15% | 40.13% | -2.65 | 13 |
| 1938-12-24 | Detroit Red Wings | W 2-0 | 1510.75 | 1447.12 | 57.49% | 16.42% | 26.09% | +3.64 | 15 |
| 1938-12-26 | @ New York Rangers | W 2-0 | 1514.39 | 1561.76 | 27.90% | 16.60% | 55.50% | +7.03 | 17 |
| 1938-12-27 | @ Boston Bruins | L 2-8 | 1521.42 | 1592.41 | 25.30% | 16.33% | 58.38% | -6.71 | 17 |
| 1938-12-31 | New York Americans | L 2-3 | 1514.71 | 1485.70 | 53.16% | 16.78% | 30.06% | -3.21 | 17 |
| 1939-01-01 | @ New York Americans | L 1-5 | 1511.50 | 1488.91 | 36.69% | 17.10% | 46.21% | -7.79 | 17 |
| 1939-01-03 | Montreal Canadiens | T 2-2 | 1503.71 | 1429.57 | 58.75% | 16.29% | 24.96% | -0.39 | 18 |
| 1939-01-07 | Boston Bruins | W 2-0 | 1503.32 | 1598.61 | 35.98% | 17.08% | 46.94% | +6.05 | 20 |
| 1939-01-08 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | L 0-1 | 1509.37 | 1463.88 | 39.87% | 17.15% | 42.97% | -2.80 | 20 |
| 1939-01-12 | @ Montreal Canadiens | W 9-4 | 1506.57 | 1423.79 | 45.19% | 17.12% | 37.69% | +6.90 | 22 |
| 1939-01-14 | Chicago Blackhawks | W 3-1 | 1513.47 | 1455.41 | 56.82% | 16.48% | 26.70% | +3.22 | 24 |
| 1939-01-15 | @ Detroit Red Wings | L 0-1 | 1516.69 | 1453.94 | 42.34% | 17.16% | 40.50% | -2.94 | 24 |
| 1939-01-17 | @ Boston Bruins | L 1-2 | 1513.75 | 1595.00 | 24.23% | 16.19% | 59.58% | -1.70 | 24 |
| 1939-01-21 | New York Americans | W 7-2 | 1512.05 | 1493.50 | 51.80% | 16.87% | 31.33% | +6.95 | 26 |
| 1939-01-24 | @ New York Americans | L 1-4 | 1519.00 | 1486.63 | 38.03% | 17.13% | 44.84% | -6.21 | 26 |
| 1939-01-28 | Detroit Red Wings | W 6-0 | 1512.79 | 1453.22 | 57.00% | 16.47% | 26.53% | +10.26 | 28 |
| 1939-01-29 | @ Detroit Red Wings | T 2-2 | 1523.05 | 1442.95 | 44.81% | 17.13% | 38.06% | -0.07 | 29 |
| 1939-02-02 | Boston Bruins | L 1-2 | 1522.98 | 1606.06 | 37.65% | 17.12% | 45.23% | -2.52 | 29 |
| 1939-02-04 | New York Rangers | L 2-4 | 1520.46 | 1585.19 | 40.22% | 17.16% | 42.63% | -4.12 | 29 |
| 1939-02-05 | @ New York Rangers | T 5-5 | 1516.34 | 1589.31 | 25.09% | 16.30% | 58.61% | +0.26 | 30 |
| 1939-02-07 | @ Boston Bruins | L 0-2 | 1516.60 | 1614.19 | 22.60% | 15.96% | 61.45% | -3.18 | 30 |
| 1939-02-11 | Montreal Canadiens | T 3-3 | 1513.42 | 1421.47 | 60.81% | 16.04% | 23.15% | -0.37 | 31 |
| 1939-02-12 | @ Montreal Canadiens | W 4-3 | 1513.05 | 1421.84 | 46.37% | 17.10% | 36.54% | +2.27 | 33 |
| 1939-02-18 | New York Rangers | W 2-1 | 1515.32 | 1589.21 | 38.93% | 17.14% | 43.93% | +2.86 | 35 |
| 1939-02-19 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | W 4-3 | 1518.18 | 1447.97 | 43.41% | 17.15% | 39.44% | +2.42 | 37 |
| 1939-02-25 | Boston Bruins | W 1-0 | 1520.60 | 1620.43 | 35.38% | 17.06% | 47.57% | +3.25 | 39 |
| 1939-02-26 | @ Detroit Red Wings | L 1-5 | 1523.85 | 1443.73 | 44.81% | 17.13% | 38.06% | -9.20 | 39 |
| 1939-02-28 | @ New York Americans | T 1-1 | 1514.65 | 1458.83 | 41.35% | 17.16% | 41.49% | +0.00 | 40 |
| 1939-03-02 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 1-3 | 1514.65 | 1436.10 | 44.59% | 17.13% | 38.28% | -5.02 | 40 |
| 1939-03-04 | Chicago Blackhawks | T 1-1 | 1509.63 | 1438.90 | 58.34% | 16.33% | 25.32% | -0.53 | 41 |
| 1939-03-11 | Detroit Red Wings | W 5-1 | 1509.10 | 1457.74 | 55.99% | 16.56% | 27.45% | +6.03 | 43 |
| 1939-03-14 | New York Americans | W 7-3 | 1515.13 | 1448.05 | 57.91% | 16.38% | 25.71% | +4.40 | 45 |
| 1939-03-18 | New York Rangers | W 2-1 | 1519.53 | 1575.09 | 41.53% | 17.16% | 41.31% | +2.72 | 47 |
| 1939-03-19 | @ New York Rangers | L 2-6 | 1522.25 | 1572.37 | 27.59% | 16.57% | 55.84% | -5.14 | 47 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1939-03-21 | @ New York Rangers | W 2-1 | 1642.29 | 1577.51 | 51.22% | 0.00% | 48.78% | +2.66 | 1-0 |
| 1939-03-23 | New York Rangers | W 3-2 | 1644.95 | 1574.85 | 67.43% | 0.00% | 32.57% | +1.68 | 2-0 |
| 1939-03-26 | New York Rangers | W 4-1 | 1646.63 | 1573.17 | 67.86% | 0.00% | 32.14% | +4.29 | 3-0 |
| 1939-03-28 | @ New York Rangers | L 1-2 | 1650.92 | 1568.87 | 53.69% | 0.00% | 46.31% | -2.93 | 3-1 |
| 1939-03-30 | New York Rangers | L 1-2 | 1647.99 | 1571.80 | 68.20% | 0.00% | 31.80% | -3.71 | 3-2 |
| 1939-04-01 | @ New York Rangers | L 1-3 | 1644.28 | 1575.52 | 51.79% | 0.00% | 48.21% | -4.89 | 3-3 |
| 1939-04-02 | New York Rangers | W 2-1 | 1639.39 | 1580.41 | 66.01% | 0.00% | 33.99% | +1.85 | 4-3 |
| 1939-04-06 | Toronto Maple Leafs | W 2-1 | 1641.24 | 1529.56 | 72.46% | 0.00% | 27.54% | +1.50 | 5-3 |
| 1939-04-09 | Toronto Maple Leafs | L 2-3 | 1642.74 | 1528.05 | 72.80% | 0.00% | 27.20% | -3.76 | 5-4 |
| 1939-04-11 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | W 3-1 | 1638.98 | 1531.82 | 57.26% | 0.00% | 42.74% | +4.03 | 6-4 |
| 1939-04-13 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | W 2-0 | 1643.01 | 1527.78 | 58.40% | 0.00% | 41.60% | +4.54 | 7-4 |
| 1939-04-16 | Toronto Maple Leafs | W 3-1 | 1647.55 | 1523.25 | 73.88% | 0.00% | 26.12% | +2.46 | 8-4 |
| 1939-03-21 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 0-2 | 1458.90 | 1450.14 | 43.20% | 0.00% | 56.80% | -4.71 | 0-1 |
| 1939-03-23 | Montreal Canadiens | W 7-3 | 1454.19 | 1454.84 | 57.94% | 0.00% | 42.06% | +5.62 | 1-1 |
| 1939-03-26 | Montreal Canadiens | W 1-0 | 1459.81 | 1449.23 | 59.51% | 0.00% | 40.49% | +2.34 | 2-1 |
| 1939-03-28 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | L 1-4 | 1462.15 | 1528.47 | 33.05% | 0.00% | 66.95% | -4.41 | 2-2 |
| 1939-03-30 | Toronto Maple Leafs | W 3-1 | 1457.74 | 1532.88 | 47.30% | 0.00% | 52.70% | +4.97 | 3-2 |
| 1939-04-01 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | L 4-5 | 1462.71 | 1527.90 | 33.19% | 0.00% | 66.81% | -1.65 | 3-3 |
| 1939-03-21 | Detroit Red Wings | W 2-0 | 1450.14 | 1458.90 | 56.80% | 0.00% | 43.20% | +4.70 | 1-0 |
| 1939-03-23 | @ Detroit Red Wings | L 3-7 | 1454.84 | 1454.19 | 42.06% | 0.00% | 57.94% | -5.61 | 1-1 |
| 1939-03-26 | @ Detroit Red Wings | L 0-1 | 1449.23 | 1459.81 | 40.49% | 0.00% | 59.51% | -2.34 | 1-2 |
| 1939-03-21 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | L 0-4 | 1437.07 | 1517.11 | 31.32% | 0.00% | 68.68% | -6.48 | 0-1 |
| 1939-03-23 | Toronto Maple Leafs | L 0-2 | 1430.59 | 1523.59 | 44.74% | 0.00% | 55.26% | -4.88 | 0-2 |
| 1939-03-21 | Boston Bruins | L 1-2 | 1577.51 | 1642.29 | 48.78% | 0.00% | 51.22% | -2.66 | 0-1 |
| 1939-03-23 | @ Boston Bruins | L 2-3 | 1574.85 | 1644.95 | 32.57% | 0.00% | 67.43% | -1.68 | 0-2 |
| 1939-03-26 | @ Boston Bruins | L 1-4 | 1573.17 | 1646.63 | 32.14% | 0.00% | 67.86% | -4.30 | 0-3 |
| 1939-03-28 | Boston Bruins | W 2-1 | 1568.87 | 1650.92 | 46.31% | 0.00% | 53.69% | +2.93 | 1-3 |
| 1939-03-30 | @ Boston Bruins | W 2-1 | 1571.80 | 1647.99 | 31.80% | 0.00% | 68.20% | +3.72 | 2-3 |
| 1939-04-01 | Boston Bruins | W 3-1 | 1575.52 | 1644.28 | 48.21% | 0.00% | 51.79% | +4.89 | 3-3 |
| 1939-04-02 | @ Boston Bruins | L 1-2 | 1580.41 | 1639.39 | 33.99% | 0.00% | 66.01% | -1.86 | 3-4 |
| 1939-03-21 | New York Americans | W 4-0 | 1517.11 | 1437.07 | 68.68% | 0.00% | 31.32% | +6.48 | 1-0 |
| 1939-03-23 | @ New York Americans | W 2-0 | 1523.59 | 1430.59 | 55.26% | 0.00% | 44.74% | +4.88 | 2-0 |
| 1939-03-28 | Detroit Red Wings | W 4-1 | 1528.47 | 1462.15 | 66.95% | 0.00% | 33.05% | +4.41 | 3-0 |
| 1939-03-30 | @ Detroit Red Wings | L 1-3 | 1532.88 | 1457.74 | 52.70% | 0.00% | 47.30% | -4.98 | 3-1 |
| 1939-04-01 | Detroit Red Wings | W 5-4 | 1527.90 | 1462.71 | 66.81% | 0.00% | 33.19% | +1.66 | 4-1 |
| 1939-04-06 | @ Boston Bruins | L 1-2 | 1529.56 | 1641.24 | 27.54% | 0.00% | 72.46% | -1.51 | 4-2 |
| 1939-04-09 | @ Boston Bruins | W 3-2 | 1528.05 | 1642.74 | 27.20% | 0.00% | 72.80% | +3.77 | 5-2 |
| 1939-04-11 | Boston Bruins | L 1-3 | 1531.82 | 1638.98 | 42.74% | 0.00% | 57.26% | -4.04 | 5-3 |
| 1939-04-13 | Boston Bruins | L 0-2 | 1527.78 | 1643.01 | 41.60% | 0.00% | 58.40% | -4.53 | 5-4 |
| 1939-04-16 | @ Boston Bruins | L 1-3 | 1523.25 | 1647.55 | 26.12% | 0.00% | 73.88% | -2.47 | 5-5 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 1939-02-26 | 16.76% | Montreal Canadiens | 1426.65 | 3 | @ New York Rangers | 1592.39 | 0 |
| 2 | 1939-03-02 | 18.11% | Chicago Blackhawks | 1431.68 | 3 | @ New York Rangers | 1580.01 | 1 |
| 3 | 1938-11-27 | 23.65% | Chicago Blackhawks | 1475.40 | 1 | @ New York Rangers | 1562.33 | 0 |
| 4 | 1939-01-26 | 24.53% | New York Americans | 1492.85 | 1 | @ New York Rangers | 1571.12 | 0 |
| 5 | 1938-12-03 | 24.95% | Montreal Canadiens | 1443.72 | 3 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | 1517.97 | 1 |
| 6 | 1939-02-19 | 25.28% | @ Detroit Red Wings | 1441.22 | 4 | Boston Bruins | 1625.04 | 1 |
| 7 | 1939-01-19 | 25.78% | @ Montreal Canadiens | 1417.53 | 1 | Boston Bruins | 1596.70 | 0 |
| 8 | 1939-04-09 * | 27.20% | Toronto Maple Leafs | 1528.05 | 3 | @ Boston Bruins | 1642.74 | 2 |
| 9 | 1938-12-26 | 27.90% | Toronto Maple Leafs | 1514.39 | 2 | @ New York Rangers | 1561.76 | 0 |
| 10 | 1939-01-01 | 28.41% | Montreal Canadiens | 1426.35 | 4 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | 1469.26 | 3 |
| 11 | 1938-12-25 | 28.99% | New York Rangers | 1558.11 | 1 | @ Boston Bruins | 1596.07 | 0 |
| 12 | 1939-02-12 | 29.05% | New York Rangers | 1584.49 | 3 | @ Boston Bruins | 1621.94 | 2 |
| 13 | 1938-11-19 | 29.09% | New York Americans | 1480.15 | 2 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | 1517.30 | 1 |
| 14 | 1938-11-05 | 29.13% | Chicago Blackhawks | 1473.42 | 2 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | 1510.17 | 0 |
| 15 | 1939-02-19 | 29.33% | Montreal Canadiens | 1423.07 | 5 | @ New York Americans | 1458.18 | 4 |
| 16 | 1939-01-29 | 29.66% | Montreal Canadiens | 1416.69 | 1 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | 1448.99 | 0 |
| 17 | 1938-12-31 | 30.06% | New York Americans | 1485.70 | 3 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | 1514.71 | 2 |
| 18 | 1938-11-27 | 30.57% | Montreal Canadiens | 1433.96 | 3 | @ Detroit Red Wings | 1458.75 | 2 |
| 19 | 1938-12-01 | 30.68% | Detroit Red Wings | 1455.57 | 4 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | 1479.42 | 1 |
| 20 | 1938-12-01 | 31.52% | @ Montreal Canadiens | 1437.14 | 2 | Boston Bruins | 1566.86 | 0 |
| 21 | 1939-03-30 * | 31.80% | New York Rangers | 1571.80 | 2 | @ Boston Bruins | 1647.99 | 1 |
| 22 | 1939-02-09 | 32.91% | Chicago Blackhawks | 1443.27 | 4 | @ Detroit Red Wings | 1449.30 | 2 |
| 23 | 1938-12-29 | 32.95% | @ New York Americans | 1480.73 | 4 | Boston Bruins | 1599.13 | 2 |
| 24 | 1939-03-14 | 33.05% | @ Detroit Red Wings | 1453.97 | 3 | New York Rangers | 1571.54 | 2 |
| 25 | 1939-01-26 | 33.36% | Detroit Red Wings | 1449.84 | 1 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | 1452.36 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 1939-02-02 | 16.66 | New York Rangers | 7 | 1568.53 | 43.87% | @ New York Americans | 0 | 1495.10 | 38.99% | 17.14% |
| 2 | 1938-11-17 | 14.52 | Detroit Red Wings | 7 | 1453.86 | 33.57% | @ Montreal Canadiens | 1 | 1454.73 | 49.44% | 16.99% |
| 3 | 1938-12-18 | 14.41 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | 5 | 1461.36 | 35.09% | New York Rangers | 0 | 1563.34 | 47.86% | 17.05% |
| 4 | 1939-02-26 | 12.38 | Montreal Canadiens | 3 | 1426.65 | 16.76% | @ New York Rangers | 0 | 1592.39 | 68.49% | 14.75% |
| 5 | 1938-12-04 | 11.55 | Boston Bruins | 5 | 1560.28 | 46.07% | @ Chicago Blackhawks | 0 | 1471.23 | 36.83% | 17.10% |
| 6 | 1939-01-28 | 10.27 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | 6 | 1512.79 | 57.00% | Detroit Red Wings | 0 | 1453.22 | 26.53% | 16.47% |
| 7 | 1938-12-04 | 10.03 | New York Rangers | 6 | 1558.31 | 43.89% | @ New York Americans | 1 | 1484.74 | 38.97% | 17.14% |
| 8 | 1939-01-22 | 9.98 | Boston Bruins | 5 | 1592.83 | 52.04% | @ Detroit Red Wings | 0 | 1459.82 | 31.11% | 16.85% |
| 9 | 1938-11-03 | 9.55 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | 6 | 1463.88 | 46.15% | New York Americans | 1 | 1486.88 | 36.75% | 17.10% |
| 10 | 1938-12-11 | 9.35 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | 4 | 1452.03 | 46.17% | New York Americans | 0 | 1474.91 | 36.73% | 17.10% |
| 11 | 1938-11-26 | 9.28 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | 5 | 1508.69 | 54.65% | Detroit Red Wings | 0 | 1468.02 | 28.67% | 16.67% |
| 12 | 1939-02-26 | 9.21 | @ Detroit Red Wings | 5 | 1443.73 | 38.06% | Toronto Maple Leafs | 1 | 1523.85 | 44.81% | 17.13% |
| 13 | 1938-12-11 | 9.09 | Boston Bruins | 3 | 1574.82 | 34.27% | @ New York Rangers | 0 | 1570.37 | 48.71% | 17.02% |
| 14 | 1939-02-19 | 9.02 | @ Detroit Red Wings | 4 | 1441.22 | 25.28% | Boston Bruins | 1 | 1625.04 | 58.40% | 16.33% |
| 15 | 1939-01-12 | 8.82 | @ New York Rangers | 6 | 1562.34 | 61.50% | Chicago Blackhawks | 0 | 1464.23 | 22.55% | 15.95% |
| 16 | 1939-02-18 | 8.74 | @ Montreal Canadiens | 7 | 1414.33 | 41.96% | New York Americans | 2 | 1466.92 | 40.88% | 17.16% |
| 17 | 1938-12-01 | 8.19 | Detroit Red Wings | 4 | 1455.57 | 30.68% | @ Chicago Blackhawks | 1 | 1479.42 | 52.49% | 16.82% |
| 18 | 1939-01-01 | 7.79 | @ New York Americans | 5 | 1488.91 | 46.21% | Toronto Maple Leafs | 1 | 1511.50 | 36.69% | 17.10% |
| 19 | 1938-12-25 | 7.28 | @ New York Americans | 5 | 1473.45 | 49.03% | Chicago Blackhawks | 1 | 1475.55 | 33.96% | 17.01% |
| 20 | 1939-03-02 | 7.22 | Chicago Blackhawks | 3 | 1431.68 | 18.11% | @ New York Rangers | 1 | 1580.01 | 66.80% | 15.09% |
| 21 | 1938-12-13 | 7.17 | @ New York Americans | 5 | 1465.56 | 49.72% | Detroit Red Wings | 1 | 1462.61 | 33.30% | 16.98% |
| 22 | 1938-12-27 | 7.09 | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 | 1468.27 | 38.38% | @ Montreal Canadiens | 1 | 1433.44 | 44.49% | 17.13% |
| 23 | 1938-12-26 | 7.03 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 2 | 1514.39 | 27.90% | @ New York Rangers | 0 | 1561.76 | 55.50% | 16.60% |
| 24 | 1939-01-21 | 6.96 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 1512.05 | 51.80% | New York Americans | 2 | 1493.50 | 31.33% | 16.87% |
| 25 | 1939-01-12 | 6.90 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 9 | 1506.57 | 45.19% | @ Montreal Canadiens | 4 | 1423.79 | 37.69% | 17.12% |