1924-25 NHL Season
89 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Montreal Canadiens
3rd Title
Last Title: 1923-24
Runner-Up
Toronto St. Patricks
4th Appearance
Last Appearance: 1921-22
Biggest Overachiever
Toronto St. Patricks
7.95 points above expected
36 points · 28.05 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Boston Bruins
13.73 points below expected
12 points · 25.73 expected points
Final Standings
Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Pt% | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton Tigers | 19 | 10 | 1 | 39 | .650 | 90 | 60 | +30 | 31.13 | +7.87 |
| 2 | Montreal Canadiens Playoffs | 17 | 11 | 2 | 36 | .600 | 93 | 56 | +37 | 32.68 | +3.32 |
| 3 | Toronto St. Patricks Playoffs | 18 | 11 | 0 | 36 | .621 | 88 | 83 | +5 | 28.05 | +7.95 |
| 4 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | 17 | 12 | 1 | 35 | .583 | 83 | 66 | +17 | 32.17 | +2.83 |
| 5 | Montreal Maroons | 9 | 18 | 2 | 20 | .345 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 28.24 | -8.24 |
| 6 | Boston Bruins | 6 | 24 | 0 | 12 | .200 | 49 | 119 | -70 | 25.73 | -13.73 |
Playoff Bracket
NHL Playoffs
NHL Final
Montreal Canadiens
2
Toronto St. Patricks
0
Season Summary
Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Points | Avg. Pts. | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montreal Canadiens | 1538 | 36 | 32.68 | +3.32 | 76.11% | 12 | 24 | 29 | 33 | 36 | 41 | 51 | ||
| Ottawa Senators (1st) | 1534 | 35 | 32.17 | +2.83 | 73.10% | 13 | 23 | 29 | 32 | 36 | 41 | 51 | ||
| Hamilton Tigers | 1518 | 39 | 31.13 | +7.87 | 94.36% | 11 | 22 | 28 | 31 | 35 | 40 | 51 | ||
| Toronto St. Patricks | 1505 | 36 | 28.05 | +7.95 | 94.93% | 10 | 20 | 25 | 28 | 32 | 37 | 47 | ||
| Montreal Maroons | 1475 | 20 | 28.24 | -8.24 | 6.57% | 10 | 20 | 25 | 28 | 32 | 37 | 47 | ||
| Boston Bruins | 1430 | 12 | 25.73 | -13.73 | 0.48% | 5 | 17 | 22 | 26 | 29 | 34 | 43 |
Head-to-Head
Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point.
Beat expectations
Fell short
Within expectations
| Team | Bruins | Tigers | Canadiens | Maroons | (1st) | Patricks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | — |
2
(5.0 exp.)
|
4
(4.9 exp.)
|
6
(5.4 exp.)
|
0
(4.9 exp.)
|
0
(5.6 exp.)
|
| Hamilton Tigers |
10
(7.0 exp.)
|
— |
6
(5.8 exp.)
|
8
(6.3 exp.)
|
7
(5.9 exp.)
|
8
(6.4 exp.)
|
| Montreal Canadiens |
8
(7.1 exp.)
|
6
(6.2 exp.)
|
— |
10
(6.6 exp.)
|
6
(6.1 exp.)
|
6
(6.6 exp.)
|
| Montreal Maroons |
6
(6.6 exp.)
|
4
(5.7 exp.)
|
2
(5.4 exp.)
|
— |
4
(5.6 exp.)
|
4
(4.8 exp.)
|
| Ottawa Senators (1st) |
12
(7.1 exp.)
|
5
(6.1 exp.)
|
6
(5.9 exp.)
|
8
(6.4 exp.)
|
— |
4
(6.5 exp.)
|
| Toronto St. Patricks |
12
(6.4 exp.)
|
4
(5.6 exp.)
|
6
(5.4 exp.)
|
6
(5.2 exp.)
|
8
(5.5 exp.)
|
— |
Scoreline Distribution
Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.
Win
Loss
Same range
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.12% | 2.81% | 3.37% | 2.25% | 1.69% | 1.69% | — | — | 12.92% |
| 1 | 2.81% | 2.25% | 6.18% | 5.06% | 1.12% | 2.25% | — | 2.25% | 21.91% |
| 2 | 3.37% | 6.18% | — | 6.74% | 2.81% | 1.12% | 1.69% | 0.56% | 22.47% |
| 3 | 2.25% | 5.06% | 6.74% | — | 2.25% | 1.12% | 0.56% | 1.69% | 19.66% |
| 4 | 1.69% | 1.12% | 2.81% | 2.25% | — | 1.12% | — | — | 8.99% |
| 5 | 1.69% | 2.25% | 1.12% | 1.12% | 1.12% | — | — | — | 7.30% |
| 6 | — | — | 1.69% | 0.56% | — | — | — | — | 2.25% |
| 7+ | — | 2.25% | 0.56% | 1.69% | — | — | — | — | 4.49% |
| Total | 12.92% | 21.91% | 22.47% | 19.66% | 8.99% | 7.30% | 2.25% | 4.49% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.51 | 2.51 | +0.00 |
| SD | 2.05 | 2.05 | 3.06 |
| CV | 0.82 | 0.82 | — |
| Max | 10 | 10 | +9 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -9 |
Games Played: 89
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | 13.33% |
| 1 | 3.33% | — | 6.67% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 10.00% | — | 6.67% | 33.33% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 30.00% |
| 3 | — | — | 6.67% | — | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | 3.33% | 23.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 6.67% | 6.67% | 16.67% | 13.33% | 20.00% | 20.00% | 3.33% | 13.33% | 100% |
Boston Bruins — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.63 | 3.97 | -2.33 |
| SD | 1.00 | 2.50 | 2.67 |
| CV | 0.61 | 0.63 | — |
| Max | 3 | 10 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -9 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.33% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 1 | 3.33% | — | 3.33% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | 3.33% | — | — | 6.67% | — | 23.33% |
| 3 | 3.33% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 4 | 3.33% | — | 10.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 5 | — | — | — | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7+ | — | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| Total | 20.00% | 20.00% | 26.67% | 20.00% | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | — | 100% |
Hamilton Tigers — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 3.00 | 2.00 | +1.00 |
| SD | 2.56 | 1.62 | 2.92 |
| CV | 0.85 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 10 | 6 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 1 | 3.33% | 6.67% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 2 | — | 3.33% | — | 6.67% | 10.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 4 | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | 3.33% | — | 3.33% | — | — | 13.33% |
| 5 | 10.00% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 6 | — | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 7+ | — | 3.33% | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| Total | 16.67% | 30.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | — | 100% |
Montreal Canadiens — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 3.10 | 1.87 | +1.23 |
| SD | 2.28 | 1.38 | 2.80 |
| CV | 0.74 | 0.74 | — |
| Max | 10 | 5 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 10.34% | 3.45% | 3.45% | 3.45% | 6.90% | — | — | 27.59% |
| 1 | 3.45% | 6.90% | 13.79% | 6.90% | — | 3.45% | — | — | 34.48% |
| 2 | 3.45% | 6.90% | — | 10.34% | — | — | — | — | 20.69% |
| 3 | — | 6.90% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.90% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 3.45% | — | — | — | — | 3.45% |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | — | — | 6.90% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.90% |
| 7+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 6.90% | 31.03% | 24.14% | 24.14% | 3.45% | 10.34% | — | — | 100% |
Montreal Maroons — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.52 | 2.17 | -0.66 |
| SD | 1.62 | 1.39 | 2.30 |
| CV | 1.07 | 0.64 | — |
| Max | 6 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 29
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.33% | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 1 | 3.33% | — | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 26.67% |
| 3 | 6.67% | 3.33% | 10.00% | — | — | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 30.00% |
| 4 | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | 3.33% | — | 3.33% | — | — | 13.33% |
| 5 | — | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7+ | — | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| Total | 23.33% | 16.67% | 26.67% | 16.67% | 3.33% | 6.67% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 100% |
Ottawa Senators (1st) — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.77 | 2.20 | +0.57 |
| SD | 1.87 | 2.19 | 2.76 |
| CV | 0.68 | 0.99 | — |
| Max | 10 | 10 | +8 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | 3.45% | 3.45% | — | — | — | 6.90% |
| 1 | — | — | 3.45% | 6.90% | — | — | — | 6.90% | 17.24% |
| 2 | — | 6.90% | — | 3.45% | — | 3.45% | — | — | 13.79% |
| 3 | 3.45% | 10.34% | 10.34% | — | 3.45% | — | — | 3.45% | 31.03% |
| 4 | — | — | 6.90% | 3.45% | — | — | — | — | 10.34% |
| 5 | — | 6.90% | — | 3.45% | 3.45% | — | — | — | 13.79% |
| 6 | — | — | — | 3.45% | — | — | — | — | 3.45% |
| 7+ | — | 3.45% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45% |
| Total | 3.45% | 27.59% | 20.69% | 24.14% | 10.34% | 3.45% | — | 10.34% | 100% |
Toronto St. Patricks — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 3.03 | 2.86 | +0.17 |
| SD | 2.06 | 2.26 | 3.49 |
| CV | 0.68 | 0.79 | — |
| Max | 10 | 10 | +9 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 29
Points Points vs. Goal Differential
Plot of points against goals differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toronto St. Patricks | 36 | 28.05 | +7.95 |
| 2 | Hamilton Tigers | 39 | 31.13 | +7.87 |
| 3 | Montreal Canadiens | 36 | 32.68 | +3.32 |
| 4 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | 35 | 32.17 | +2.83 |
| 5 | Montreal Maroons | 20 | 28.24 | -8.24 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston Bruins | 12 | 25.73 | -13.73 |
| 2 | Montreal Maroons | 20 | 28.24 | -8.24 |
| 3 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | 35 | 32.17 | +2.83 |
| 4 | Montreal Canadiens | 36 | 32.68 | +3.32 |
| 5 | Hamilton Tigers | 39 | 31.13 | +7.87 |
Top Streaks
The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toronto St. Patricks | 9 | Jan 31 – Feb 28 | 1 in 910 |
| 2 | Hamilton Tigers | 7 | Jan 12 – Feb 4 | 1 in 120 |
| 3 | Montreal Canadiens | 6 | Dec 8 – Dec 25 | 1 in 42 |
| 4 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | 5 | Dec 27 – Jan 10 | 1 in 29 |
| 5 | Boston Bruins | 2 | Mar 3 – Mar 7 | 1 in 9 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston Bruins | 11 | Dec 3 – Jan 5 | 1 in 1,620 |
| 2 | Montreal Maroons | 10 | Jan 24 – Feb 24 | 1 in 1,510 |
| 3 | Montreal Canadiens | 3 | Feb 25 – Mar 3 | 1 in 13 |
| 4 | Hamilton Tigers | 3 | Jan 3 – Jan 10 | 1 in 9 |
| 5 | Toronto St. Patricks | 3 | Dec 25 – Jan 3 | 1 in 8 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toronto St. Patricks | 9 | Jan 31 – Feb 28 | 1 in 438 |
| 2 | Hamilton Tigers | 7 | Jan 12 – Feb 4 | 1 in 71 |
| 3 | Montreal Canadiens | 7 | Dec 8 – Dec 27 | 1 in 56 |
| 4 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | 5 | Dec 27 – Jan 10 | 1 in 20 |
| 5 | Montreal Maroons | 4 | Dec 23 – Jan 7 | 1 in 16 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston Bruins | 11 | Dec 3 – Jan 5 | 1 in 714 |
| 2 | Montreal Maroons | 10 | Jan 24 – Feb 24 | 1 in 684 |
| 3 | Montreal Canadiens | 5 | Jan 7 – Jan 21 | 1 in 56 |
| 4 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | 3 | Dec 17 – Dec 23 | 1 in 9 |
| 5 | Hamilton Tigers | 3 | Jan 3 – Jan 10 | 1 in 7 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montreal Canadiens | 30.76% | 22.35% | 18.11% | 12.74% | 9.73% | 6.31% |
| Ottawa Senators (1st) | 26.73% | 22.87% | 17.87% | 14.89% | 11.05% | 6.59% |
| Hamilton Tigers | 20.68% | 20.59% | 19.63% | 16.87% | 13.19% | 9.04% |
| Montreal Maroons | 9.32% | 13.50% | 16.68% | 19.33% | 21.51% | 19.66% |
| Toronto St. Patricks | 8.40% | 13.00% | 16.26% | 19.89% | 21.38% | 21.07% |
| Boston Bruins | 4.11% | 7.69% | 11.45% | 16.28% | 23.14% | 37.33% |
Win Totals in Context
How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montreal Canadiens | 30.76% | 22.35% | 18.11% | 28.78% |
| Ottawa Senators (1st) | 26.73% | 22.87% | 17.87% | 32.53% |
| Hamilton Tigers | 20.68% | 20.59% | 19.63% | 39.10% |
| Montreal Maroons | 9.32% | 13.50% | 16.68% | 60.50% |
| Toronto St. Patricks | 8.40% | 13.00% | 16.26% | 62.34% |
| Boston Bruins | 4.11% | 7.69% | 11.45% | 76.75% |
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Stanley Cup | Won Stanley Cup |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ottawa Senators (1st) | 49.60% | 49.08% | 22.35% |
| Montreal Canadiens | 53.11% | 52.92% | 22.16% |
| Hamilton Tigers | 41.38% | 41.38% | 20.70% |
| Toronto St. Patricks | 22.53% | 22.53% | 14.13% |
| Montreal Maroons | 22.89% | 22.89% | 13.57% |
| Boston Bruins | 11.80% | 11.20% | 7.09% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Boston Bruins | Hamilton Tigers | Montreal Canadiens | Montreal Maroons | Ottawa Senators (1st) | Toronto St. Patricks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 0.80% | 1.06% | 0.52% | 1.17% | 0.56% | |
| Hamilton Tigers | 1.85% | 6.61% | 2.86% | 6.69% | 2.67% | |
| Montreal Canadiens | 2.62% | 8.23% | 4.97% | 10.19% | 4.75% | |
| Montreal Maroons | 0.60% | 2.26% | 2.62% | 2.55% | 1.29% | |
| Ottawa Senators (1st) | 2.16% | 7.27% | 9.69% | 3.88% | 3.73% | |
| Toronto St. Patricks | 0.46% | 2.03% | 2.37% | 1.27% | 2.27% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Boston Bruins | Hamilton Tigers | Montreal Canadiens | Montreal Maroons | Ottawa Senators (1st) | Toronto St. Patricks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | 1.68% | 2.21% | 0.62% | 2.08% | 0.50% | |
| Hamilton Tigers | 0.84% | 8.26% | 2.14% | 7.60% | 1.86% | |
| Montreal Canadiens | 1.11% | 6.59% | 2.67% | 9.16% | 2.63% | |
| Montreal Maroons | 0.44% | 2.92% | 5.20% | 3.81% | 1.20% | |
| Ottawa Senators (1st) | 1.19% | 6.28% | 10.12% | 2.55% | 2.21% | |
| Toronto St. Patricks | 0.53% | 3.21% | 4.97% | 1.34% | 4.08% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Advanced to Stanley Cup | Won Stanley Cup |
|---|---|---|
| Montreal Canadiens | 54.12% | 54.12% |
| Toronto St. Patricks | 45.88% | 45.88% |
| Hamilton Tigers | 100.00% | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Toronto St. Patricks |
|---|---|
| Hamilton Tigers | 100.00% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Hamilton Tigers |
|---|---|
| Montreal Canadiens | 54.12% |
| Toronto St. Patricks | 45.88% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.
Montreal Canadiens
54.12% chance to win
Stanley Cup
vs. Hamilton Tigers
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
100.00%
Toronto St. Patricks
45.88% chance to win
Stanley Cup
vs. Hamilton Tigers
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
100.00%
Hamilton Tigers
— chance to win
Conference Finals
vs. Toronto St. Patricks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
100.00%
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1924-12-01 | Montreal Maroons | W 2-1 | 1500.00 | 1500.00 | 55.87% | 3.90% | 40.23% | +1.32 | 2 |
| 1924-12-03 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | L 3-5 | 1501.32 | 1485.15 | 42.49% | 3.90% | 53.61% | -2.04 | 2 |
| 1924-12-08 | Montreal Canadiens | L 3-4 | 1499.28 | 1511.79 | 54.12% | 3.90% | 41.98% | -1.62 | 2 |
| 1924-12-10 | @ Hamilton Tigers | L 1-7 | 1497.66 | 1500.70 | 39.81% | 3.90% | 56.29% | -5.98 | 2 |
| 1924-12-15 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | L 2-10 | 1491.68 | 1506.72 | 53.76% | 3.90% | 42.33% | -8.55 | 2 |
| 1924-12-17 | @ Montreal Maroons | L 2-6 | 1483.13 | 1494.65 | 38.65% | 3.90% | 57.45% | -3.40 | 2 |
| 1924-12-22 | Toronto St. Patricks | L 1-10 | 1479.73 | 1477.57 | 56.17% | 3.90% | 39.93% | -12.21 | 2 |
| 1924-12-25 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 0-5 | 1467.52 | 1527.29 | 32.30% | 3.89% | 63.81% | -4.98 | 2 |
| 1924-12-29 | Hamilton Tigers | L 1-2 | 1462.54 | 1512.32 | 48.81% | 3.90% | 47.28% | -1.59 | 2 |
| 1924-12-31 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | L 2-5 | 1460.95 | 1513.55 | 33.21% | 3.89% | 62.90% | -2.32 | 2 |
| 1925-01-03 | @ Montreal Maroons | L 3-4 | 1458.63 | 1497.64 | 34.97% | 3.89% | 61.14% | -1.07 | 2 |
| 1925-01-05 | Toronto St. Patricks | L 2-3 | 1457.56 | 1478.86 | 52.88% | 3.90% | 43.22% | -1.63 | 2 |
| 1925-01-10 | @ Montreal Canadiens | W 3-2 | 1455.93 | 1529.17 | 30.63% | 3.89% | 65.49% | +2.01 | 4 |
| 1925-01-12 | Hamilton Tigers | L 2-4 | 1457.94 | 1505.91 | 49.07% | 3.90% | 47.02% | -2.47 | 4 |
| 1925-01-17 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | L 2-3 | 1455.47 | 1525.52 | 31.02% | 3.89% | 65.10% | -0.97 | 4 |
| 1925-01-20 | Montreal Maroons | L 0-2 | 1454.50 | 1500.23 | 49.40% | 3.90% | 46.70% | -3.22 | 4 |
| 1925-01-24 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | L 3-4 | 1451.28 | 1486.25 | 35.50% | 3.89% | 60.61% | -1.08 | 4 |
| 1925-01-27 | Montreal Canadiens | L 0-4 | 1450.20 | 1523.71 | 45.41% | 3.90% | 50.69% | -5.62 | 4 |
| 1925-01-31 | @ Hamilton Tigers | L 3-8 | 1444.58 | 1518.28 | 30.57% | 3.89% | 65.55% | -2.96 | 4 |
| 1925-02-03 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | L 1-3 | 1441.62 | 1523.21 | 44.26% | 3.90% | 51.84% | -2.50 | 4 |
| 1925-02-07 | @ Montreal Maroons | W 1-0 | 1439.12 | 1492.99 | 33.05% | 3.89% | 63.06% | +2.16 | 6 |
| 1925-02-10 | Toronto St. Patricks | L 1-5 | 1441.28 | 1487.42 | 49.34% | 3.90% | 46.76% | -5.07 | 6 |
| 1925-02-14 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 1-5 | 1436.21 | 1533.17 | 27.80% | 3.88% | 68.32% | -2.91 | 6 |
| 1925-02-17 | Hamilton Tigers | L 1-2 | 1433.30 | 1523.98 | 42.97% | 3.90% | 53.13% | -1.41 | 6 |
| 1925-02-21 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | L 0-3 | 1431.89 | 1520.77 | 28.75% | 3.88% | 67.37% | -2.76 | 6 |
| 1925-02-24 | Montreal Maroons | W 2-1 | 1429.13 | 1485.14 | 47.92% | 3.90% | 48.18% | +1.57 | 8 |
| 1925-02-28 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | L 1-5 | 1430.70 | 1502.48 | 30.80% | 3.89% | 65.31% | -3.22 | 8 |
| 1925-03-03 | Montreal Canadiens | W 3-2 | 1427.48 | 1534.63 | 40.66% | 3.90% | 55.44% | +1.71 | 10 |
| 1925-03-07 | @ Hamilton Tigers | W 2-0 | 1429.19 | 1525.83 | 27.84% | 3.88% | 68.28% | +4.41 | 12 |
| 1925-03-09 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | L 1-4 | 1433.60 | 1531.10 | 42.01% | 3.90% | 54.09% | -3.37 | 12 |
| 1924-11-29 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | W 5-3 | 1488.01 | 1513.73 | 52.25% | 3.90% | 43.84% | +2.09 | 2 |
| 1924-12-03 | @ Montreal Maroons | W 2-0 | 1490.10 | 1498.68 | 39.05% | 3.90% | 57.05% | +3.70 | 4 |
| 1924-12-05 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | W 10-3 | 1493.80 | 1487.19 | 41.15% | 3.90% | 54.95% | +6.90 | 6 |
| 1924-12-10 | Boston Bruins | W 7-1 | 1500.70 | 1497.66 | 56.29% | 3.90% | 39.81% | +5.98 | 8 |
| 1924-12-13 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 2-6 | 1506.68 | 1519.25 | 38.50% | 3.90% | 57.60% | -3.39 | 8 |
| 1924-12-17 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | T 0-0 | 1503.29 | 1515.27 | 38.59% | 3.90% | 57.52% | +0.18 | 9 |
| 1924-12-20 | Montreal Maroons | W 3-1 | 1503.47 | 1498.05 | 56.62% | 3.90% | 39.48% | +2.24 | 11 |
| 1924-12-25 | Toronto St. Patricks | W 8-1 | 1505.71 | 1489.78 | 58.06% | 3.90% | 38.05% | +6.61 | 13 |
| 1924-12-29 | @ Boston Bruins | W 2-1 | 1512.32 | 1462.54 | 47.28% | 3.90% | 48.81% | +1.59 | 15 |
| 1925-01-01 | Montreal Canadiens | W 4-2 | 1513.91 | 1532.33 | 53.29% | 3.90% | 42.81% | +2.17 | 17 |
| 1925-01-03 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | L 0-2 | 1516.08 | 1515.87 | 40.26% | 3.90% | 55.84% | -2.64 | 17 |
| 1925-01-07 | Montreal Maroons | L 2-6 | 1513.44 | 1498.71 | 57.89% | 3.90% | 38.21% | -5.03 | 17 |
| 1925-01-10 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | L 1-3 | 1508.41 | 1480.48 | 44.16% | 3.90% | 51.94% | -2.50 | 17 |
| 1925-01-12 | @ Boston Bruins | W 4-2 | 1505.91 | 1457.94 | 47.02% | 3.90% | 49.07% | +2.48 | 19 |
| 1925-01-17 | Montreal Canadiens | W 4-2 | 1508.39 | 1527.23 | 53.23% | 3.90% | 42.87% | +2.17 | 21 |
| 1925-01-21 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | W 5-4 | 1510.56 | 1526.49 | 53.64% | 3.90% | 42.46% | +1.27 | 23 |
| 1925-01-24 | @ Montreal Maroons | W 1-0 | 1511.83 | 1503.45 | 41.40% | 3.90% | 54.70% | +1.88 | 25 |
| 1925-01-28 | Toronto St. Patricks | W 4-0 | 1513.71 | 1487.33 | 59.47% | 3.90% | 36.64% | +4.57 | 27 |
| 1925-01-31 | Boston Bruins | W 8-3 | 1518.28 | 1444.58 | 65.55% | 3.89% | 30.57% | +2.95 | 29 |
| 1925-02-04 | @ Montreal Canadiens | W 3-0 | 1521.23 | 1534.90 | 38.35% | 3.90% | 57.75% | +5.44 | 31 |
| 1925-02-07 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | L 2-3 | 1526.67 | 1525.72 | 40.37% | 3.90% | 55.73% | -1.26 | 31 |
| 1925-02-11 | Montreal Maroons | W 3-2 | 1525.41 | 1490.83 | 60.56% | 3.89% | 35.55% | +1.11 | 33 |
| 1925-02-14 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | L 1-3 | 1526.52 | 1492.50 | 45.02% | 3.90% | 51.07% | -2.54 | 33 |
| 1925-02-17 | @ Boston Bruins | W 2-1 | 1523.98 | 1433.30 | 53.13% | 3.90% | 42.97% | +1.40 | 35 |
| 1925-02-21 | Montreal Canadiens | L 1-2 | 1525.38 | 1537.78 | 54.14% | 3.90% | 41.96% | -1.76 | 35 |
| 1925-02-25 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | W 2-0 | 1523.62 | 1523.53 | 55.88% | 3.90% | 40.22% | +2.64 | 37 |
| 1925-02-28 | @ Montreal Maroons | L 0-1 | 1526.26 | 1483.57 | 46.26% | 3.90% | 49.83% | -1.60 | 37 |
| 1925-03-04 | Toronto St. Patricks | W 3-2 | 1524.66 | 1505.70 | 58.47% | 3.90% | 37.64% | +1.17 | 39 |
| 1925-03-07 | Boston Bruins | L 0-2 | 1525.83 | 1429.19 | 68.28% | 3.88% | 27.84% | -4.41 | 39 |
| 1925-03-09 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 1-4 | 1521.42 | 1534.82 | 38.39% | 3.90% | 57.71% | -3.09 | 39 |
| 1924-11-29 | Toronto St. Patricks | W 7-1 | 1507.40 | 1490.87 | 58.14% | 3.90% | 37.97% | +5.71 | 2 |
| 1924-12-03 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | L 1-2 | 1513.11 | 1511.63 | 40.44% | 3.90% | 55.66% | -1.32 | 2 |
| 1924-12-08 | @ Boston Bruins | W 4-3 | 1511.79 | 1499.28 | 41.98% | 3.90% | 54.12% | +1.62 | 4 |
| 1924-12-10 | Montreal Maroons | W 5-0 | 1513.41 | 1497.41 | 58.07% | 3.90% | 38.04% | +5.84 | 6 |
| 1924-12-13 | Hamilton Tigers | W 6-2 | 1519.25 | 1506.68 | 57.60% | 3.90% | 38.50% | +3.39 | 8 |
| 1924-12-17 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | W 5-2 | 1522.64 | 1481.02 | 46.11% | 3.90% | 49.99% | +3.45 | 10 |
| 1924-12-20 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | W 3-2 | 1526.09 | 1515.09 | 57.38% | 3.90% | 38.72% | +1.20 | 12 |
| 1924-12-25 | Boston Bruins | W 5-0 | 1527.29 | 1467.52 | 63.81% | 3.89% | 32.30% | +4.99 | 14 |
| 1924-12-27 | @ Montreal Maroons | T 1-1 | 1532.28 | 1497.69 | 45.10% | 3.90% | 50.99% | +0.05 | 15 |
| 1925-01-01 | @ Hamilton Tigers | L 2-4 | 1532.33 | 1513.91 | 42.81% | 3.90% | 53.29% | -2.17 | 15 |
| 1925-01-03 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | W 3-1 | 1530.16 | 1481.62 | 47.10% | 3.90% | 48.99% | +2.76 | 17 |
| 1925-01-07 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | L 0-2 | 1532.92 | 1518.51 | 57.85% | 3.90% | 38.25% | -3.75 | 17 |
| 1925-01-10 | Boston Bruins | L 2-3 | 1529.17 | 1455.93 | 65.49% | 3.89% | 30.63% | -2.01 | 17 |
| 1925-01-14 | @ Montreal Maroons | T 1-1 | 1527.16 | 1499.04 | 44.18% | 3.90% | 51.91% | +0.07 | 18 |
| 1925-01-17 | @ Hamilton Tigers | L 2-4 | 1527.23 | 1508.39 | 42.87% | 3.90% | 53.23% | -2.17 | 18 |
| 1925-01-21 | Toronto St. Patricks | L 2-4 | 1525.06 | 1483.16 | 61.52% | 3.89% | 34.59% | -3.08 | 18 |
| 1925-01-24 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | W 3-2 | 1521.98 | 1525.22 | 39.78% | 3.90% | 56.32% | +1.73 | 20 |
| 1925-01-27 | @ Boston Bruins | W 4-0 | 1523.71 | 1450.20 | 50.69% | 3.90% | 45.41% | +5.62 | 22 |
| 1925-01-31 | Montreal Maroons | W 5-0 | 1529.33 | 1499.85 | 59.88% | 3.90% | 36.22% | +5.57 | 24 |
| 1925-02-04 | Hamilton Tigers | L 0-3 | 1534.90 | 1521.23 | 57.75% | 3.90% | 38.35% | -5.43 | 24 |
| 1925-02-07 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | L 4-5 | 1529.47 | 1486.04 | 46.37% | 3.90% | 49.73% | -1.38 | 24 |
| 1925-02-11 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | W 10-3 | 1528.09 | 1526.97 | 56.02% | 3.90% | 40.08% | +5.08 | 26 |
| 1925-02-14 | Boston Bruins | W 5-1 | 1533.17 | 1436.21 | 68.32% | 3.88% | 27.80% | +2.92 | 28 |
| 1925-02-18 | @ Montreal Maroons | W 1-0 | 1536.09 | 1488.60 | 46.95% | 3.90% | 49.14% | +1.69 | 30 |
| 1925-02-21 | @ Hamilton Tigers | W 2-1 | 1537.78 | 1525.38 | 41.96% | 3.90% | 54.14% | +1.76 | 32 |
| 1925-02-25 | Toronto St. Patricks | L 1-3 | 1539.54 | 1499.04 | 61.33% | 3.89% | 34.77% | -3.44 | 32 |
| 1925-02-28 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | L 0-1 | 1536.10 | 1520.89 | 42.36% | 3.90% | 53.74% | -1.47 | 32 |
| 1925-03-03 | @ Boston Bruins | L 2-3 | 1534.63 | 1427.48 | 55.44% | 3.90% | 40.66% | -1.71 | 32 |
| 1925-03-07 | Montreal Maroons | W 3-1 | 1532.92 | 1479.97 | 62.95% | 3.89% | 33.16% | +1.90 | 34 |
| 1925-03-09 | Hamilton Tigers | W 4-1 | 1534.82 | 1521.42 | 57.71% | 3.90% | 38.39% | +3.08 | 36 |
| 1924-12-01 | @ Boston Bruins | L 1-2 | 1500.00 | 1500.00 | 40.23% | 3.90% | 55.87% | -1.32 | 0 |
| 1924-12-03 | Hamilton Tigers | L 0-2 | 1498.68 | 1490.10 | 57.05% | 3.90% | 39.05% | -3.70 | 0 |
| 1924-12-06 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | W 3-1 | 1494.98 | 1512.96 | 53.35% | 3.90% | 42.75% | +2.43 | 2 |
| 1924-12-10 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 0-5 | 1497.41 | 1513.41 | 38.04% | 3.90% | 58.07% | -5.84 | 2 |
| 1924-12-13 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | W 3-1 | 1491.57 | 1484.10 | 41.27% | 3.90% | 54.83% | +3.08 | 4 |
| 1924-12-17 | Boston Bruins | W 6-2 | 1494.65 | 1483.13 | 57.45% | 3.90% | 38.65% | +3.40 | 6 |
| 1924-12-20 | @ Hamilton Tigers | L 1-3 | 1498.05 | 1503.47 | 39.48% | 3.90% | 56.62% | -2.24 | 6 |
| 1924-12-23 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | W 2-1 | 1495.81 | 1513.88 | 37.76% | 3.90% | 58.35% | +1.88 | 8 |
| 1924-12-27 | Montreal Canadiens | T 1-1 | 1497.69 | 1532.28 | 50.99% | 3.90% | 45.10% | -0.05 | 9 |
| 1925-01-03 | Boston Bruins | W 4-3 | 1497.64 | 1458.63 | 61.14% | 3.89% | 34.97% | +1.07 | 11 |
| 1925-01-07 | @ Hamilton Tigers | W 6-2 | 1498.71 | 1513.44 | 38.21% | 3.90% | 57.89% | +5.03 | 13 |
| 1925-01-10 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | L 0-4 | 1503.74 | 1522.26 | 37.70% | 3.90% | 58.41% | -4.70 | 13 |
| 1925-01-14 | Montreal Canadiens | T 1-1 | 1499.04 | 1527.16 | 51.91% | 3.90% | 44.18% | -0.06 | 14 |
| 1925-01-17 | Toronto St. Patricks | W 2-1 | 1498.98 | 1484.42 | 57.87% | 3.90% | 38.23% | +1.25 | 16 |
| 1925-01-20 | @ Boston Bruins | W 2-0 | 1500.23 | 1454.50 | 46.70% | 3.90% | 49.40% | +3.22 | 18 |
| 1925-01-24 | Hamilton Tigers | L 0-1 | 1503.45 | 1511.83 | 54.70% | 3.90% | 41.40% | -1.89 | 18 |
| 1925-01-28 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | L 1-2 | 1501.56 | 1523.49 | 52.79% | 3.90% | 43.31% | -1.71 | 18 |
| 1925-01-31 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 0-5 | 1499.85 | 1529.33 | 36.22% | 3.90% | 59.88% | -5.57 | 18 |
| 1925-02-04 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | L 2-3 | 1494.28 | 1484.75 | 41.56% | 3.90% | 54.54% | -1.29 | 18 |
| 1925-02-07 | Boston Bruins | L 0-1 | 1492.99 | 1439.12 | 63.06% | 3.89% | 33.05% | -2.16 | 18 |
| 1925-02-11 | @ Hamilton Tigers | L 2-3 | 1490.83 | 1525.41 | 35.55% | 3.89% | 60.56% | -1.11 | 18 |
| 1925-02-14 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | L 2-3 | 1489.72 | 1521.88 | 35.87% | 3.89% | 60.24% | -1.12 | 18 |
| 1925-02-18 | Montreal Canadiens | L 0-1 | 1488.60 | 1536.09 | 49.14% | 3.90% | 46.95% | -1.70 | 18 |
| 1925-02-21 | Toronto St. Patricks | L 1-2 | 1486.90 | 1497.28 | 54.42% | 3.90% | 41.68% | -1.76 | 18 |
| 1925-02-24 | @ Boston Bruins | L 1-2 | 1485.14 | 1429.13 | 48.18% | 3.90% | 47.92% | -1.57 | 18 |
| 1925-02-28 | Hamilton Tigers | W 1-0 | 1483.57 | 1526.26 | 49.83% | 3.90% | 46.26% | +1.60 | 20 |
| 1925-03-04 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | L 1-5 | 1485.17 | 1522.36 | 50.62% | 3.90% | 45.48% | -5.20 | 20 |
| 1925-03-07 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 1-3 | 1479.97 | 1532.92 | 33.16% | 3.89% | 62.95% | -1.90 | 20 |
| 1925-03-09 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | L 0-3 | 1478.07 | 1500.99 | 37.10% | 3.90% | 59.00% | -3.54 | 20 |
| 1924-11-29 | @ Hamilton Tigers | L 3-5 | 1513.73 | 1488.01 | 43.84% | 3.90% | 52.25% | -2.10 | 0 |
| 1924-12-03 | Montreal Canadiens | W 2-1 | 1511.63 | 1513.11 | 55.66% | 3.90% | 40.44% | +1.33 | 2 |
| 1924-12-06 | @ Montreal Maroons | L 1-3 | 1512.96 | 1494.98 | 42.75% | 3.90% | 53.35% | -2.42 | 2 |
| 1924-12-10 | Toronto St. Patricks | L 3-6 | 1510.54 | 1480.29 | 59.98% | 3.90% | 36.12% | -3.82 | 2 |
| 1924-12-15 | @ Boston Bruins | W 10-2 | 1506.72 | 1491.68 | 42.33% | 3.90% | 53.76% | +8.55 | 4 |
| 1924-12-17 | Hamilton Tigers | T 0-0 | 1515.27 | 1503.29 | 57.52% | 3.90% | 38.59% | -0.18 | 5 |
| 1924-12-20 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 2-3 | 1515.09 | 1526.09 | 38.72% | 3.90% | 57.38% | -1.21 | 5 |
| 1924-12-23 | Montreal Maroons | L 1-2 | 1513.88 | 1495.81 | 58.35% | 3.90% | 37.76% | -1.89 | 5 |
| 1924-12-27 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | W 4-3 | 1511.99 | 1483.17 | 44.28% | 3.90% | 51.81% | +1.56 | 7 |
| 1924-12-31 | Boston Bruins | W 5-2 | 1513.55 | 1460.95 | 62.90% | 3.89% | 33.21% | +2.32 | 9 |
| 1925-01-03 | Hamilton Tigers | W 2-0 | 1515.87 | 1516.08 | 55.84% | 3.90% | 40.26% | +2.64 | 11 |
| 1925-01-07 | @ Montreal Canadiens | W 2-0 | 1518.51 | 1532.92 | 38.25% | 3.90% | 57.85% | +3.75 | 13 |
| 1925-01-10 | Montreal Maroons | W 4-0 | 1522.26 | 1503.74 | 58.41% | 3.90% | 37.70% | +4.70 | 15 |
| 1925-01-14 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | L 2-3 | 1526.96 | 1482.98 | 46.45% | 3.90% | 49.65% | -1.44 | 15 |
| 1925-01-17 | Boston Bruins | W 3-2 | 1525.52 | 1455.47 | 65.10% | 3.89% | 31.02% | +0.97 | 17 |
| 1925-01-21 | @ Hamilton Tigers | L 4-5 | 1526.49 | 1510.56 | 42.46% | 3.90% | 53.64% | -1.27 | 17 |
| 1925-01-24 | Montreal Canadiens | L 2-3 | 1525.22 | 1521.98 | 56.32% | 3.90% | 39.78% | -1.73 | 17 |
| 1925-01-28 | @ Montreal Maroons | W 2-1 | 1523.49 | 1501.56 | 43.31% | 3.90% | 52.79% | +1.71 | 19 |
| 1925-01-31 | Toronto St. Patricks | L 1-2 | 1525.20 | 1482.76 | 61.59% | 3.89% | 34.52% | -1.99 | 19 |
| 1925-02-03 | @ Boston Bruins | W 3-1 | 1523.21 | 1441.62 | 51.84% | 3.90% | 44.26% | +2.51 | 21 |
| 1925-02-07 | Hamilton Tigers | W 3-2 | 1525.72 | 1526.67 | 55.73% | 3.90% | 40.37% | +1.25 | 23 |
| 1925-02-11 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 3-10 | 1526.97 | 1528.09 | 40.08% | 3.90% | 56.02% | -5.09 | 23 |
| 1925-02-14 | Montreal Maroons | W 3-2 | 1521.88 | 1489.72 | 60.24% | 3.89% | 35.87% | +1.12 | 25 |
| 1925-02-18 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | L 2-4 | 1523.00 | 1495.04 | 44.16% | 3.90% | 51.94% | -2.23 | 25 |
| 1925-02-21 | Boston Bruins | W 3-0 | 1520.77 | 1431.89 | 67.37% | 3.88% | 28.75% | +2.76 | 27 |
| 1925-02-25 | @ Hamilton Tigers | L 0-2 | 1523.53 | 1523.62 | 40.22% | 3.90% | 55.88% | -2.64 | 27 |
| 1925-02-28 | Montreal Canadiens | W 1-0 | 1520.89 | 1536.10 | 53.74% | 3.90% | 42.36% | +1.47 | 29 |
| 1925-03-04 | @ Montreal Maroons | W 5-1 | 1522.36 | 1485.17 | 45.48% | 3.90% | 50.62% | +5.21 | 31 |
| 1925-03-07 | Toronto St. Patricks | W 3-0 | 1527.57 | 1504.53 | 59.02% | 3.90% | 37.09% | +3.53 | 33 |
| 1925-03-09 | @ Boston Bruins | W 4-1 | 1531.10 | 1433.60 | 54.09% | 3.90% | 42.01% | +3.37 | 35 |
| 1924-11-29 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 1-7 | 1490.87 | 1507.40 | 37.97% | 3.90% | 58.14% | -5.72 | 0 |
| 1924-12-03 | Boston Bruins | W 5-3 | 1485.15 | 1501.32 | 53.61% | 3.90% | 42.49% | +2.04 | 2 |
| 1924-12-05 | Hamilton Tigers | L 3-10 | 1487.19 | 1493.80 | 54.95% | 3.90% | 41.15% | -6.90 | 2 |
| 1924-12-10 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | W 6-3 | 1480.29 | 1510.54 | 36.12% | 3.90% | 59.98% | +3.81 | 4 |
| 1924-12-13 | Montreal Maroons | L 1-3 | 1484.10 | 1491.57 | 54.83% | 3.90% | 41.27% | -3.08 | 4 |
| 1924-12-17 | Montreal Canadiens | L 2-5 | 1481.02 | 1522.64 | 49.99% | 3.90% | 46.11% | -3.45 | 4 |
| 1924-12-22 | @ Boston Bruins | W 10-1 | 1477.57 | 1479.73 | 39.93% | 3.90% | 56.17% | +12.21 | 6 |
| 1924-12-25 | @ Hamilton Tigers | L 1-8 | 1489.78 | 1505.71 | 38.05% | 3.90% | 58.06% | -6.61 | 6 |
| 1924-12-27 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | L 3-4 | 1483.17 | 1511.99 | 51.81% | 3.90% | 44.28% | -1.55 | 6 |
| 1925-01-03 | Montreal Canadiens | L 1-3 | 1481.62 | 1530.16 | 48.99% | 3.90% | 47.10% | -2.76 | 6 |
| 1925-01-05 | @ Boston Bruins | W 3-2 | 1478.86 | 1457.56 | 43.22% | 3.90% | 52.88% | +1.62 | 8 |
| 1925-01-10 | Hamilton Tigers | W 3-1 | 1480.48 | 1508.41 | 51.94% | 3.90% | 44.16% | +2.50 | 10 |
| 1925-01-14 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | W 3-2 | 1482.98 | 1526.96 | 49.65% | 3.90% | 46.45% | +1.44 | 12 |
| 1925-01-17 | @ Montreal Maroons | L 1-2 | 1484.42 | 1498.98 | 38.23% | 3.90% | 57.87% | -1.26 | 12 |
| 1925-01-21 | @ Montreal Canadiens | W 4-2 | 1483.16 | 1525.06 | 34.59% | 3.89% | 61.52% | +3.09 | 14 |
| 1925-01-24 | Boston Bruins | W 4-3 | 1486.25 | 1451.28 | 60.61% | 3.89% | 35.50% | +1.08 | 16 |
| 1925-01-28 | @ Hamilton Tigers | L 0-4 | 1487.33 | 1513.71 | 36.64% | 3.90% | 59.47% | -4.57 | 16 |
| 1925-01-31 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | W 2-1 | 1482.76 | 1525.20 | 34.52% | 3.89% | 61.59% | +1.99 | 18 |
| 1925-02-04 | Montreal Maroons | W 3-2 | 1484.75 | 1494.28 | 54.54% | 3.90% | 41.56% | +1.29 | 20 |
| 1925-02-07 | Montreal Canadiens | W 5-4 | 1486.04 | 1529.47 | 49.73% | 3.90% | 46.37% | +1.38 | 22 |
| 1925-02-10 | @ Boston Bruins | W 5-1 | 1487.42 | 1441.28 | 46.76% | 3.90% | 49.34% | +5.08 | 24 |
| 1925-02-14 | Hamilton Tigers | W 3-1 | 1492.50 | 1526.52 | 51.07% | 3.90% | 45.02% | +2.54 | 26 |
| 1925-02-18 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | W 4-2 | 1495.04 | 1523.00 | 51.94% | 3.90% | 44.16% | +2.24 | 28 |
| 1925-02-21 | @ Montreal Maroons | W 2-1 | 1497.28 | 1486.90 | 41.68% | 3.90% | 54.42% | +1.76 | 30 |
| 1925-02-25 | @ Montreal Canadiens | W 3-1 | 1499.04 | 1539.54 | 34.77% | 3.89% | 61.33% | +3.44 | 32 |
| 1925-02-28 | Boston Bruins | W 5-1 | 1502.48 | 1430.70 | 65.31% | 3.89% | 30.80% | +3.22 | 34 |
| 1925-03-04 | @ Hamilton Tigers | L 2-3 | 1505.70 | 1524.66 | 37.64% | 3.90% | 58.47% | -1.17 | 34 |
| 1925-03-07 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | L 0-3 | 1504.53 | 1527.57 | 37.09% | 3.90% | 59.02% | -3.54 | 34 |
| 1925-03-09 | Montreal Maroons | W 3-0 | 1500.99 | 1478.07 | 59.00% | 3.90% | 37.10% | +3.54 | 36 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1925-03-11 | Toronto St. Patricks | W 3-2 | 1537.90 | 1504.53 | 62.47% | 0.00% | 37.53% | +1.12 | 1-0 |
| 1925-03-13 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | W 2-0 | 1539.02 | 1503.41 | 47.20% | 0.00% | 52.80% | +3.30 | 2-0 |
| 1925-03-11 | @ Montreal Canadiens | L 2-3 | 1504.53 | 1537.90 | 37.53% | 0.00% | 62.47% | -1.12 | 0-1 |
| 1925-03-13 | Montreal Canadiens | L 0-2 | 1503.41 | 1539.02 | 52.80% | 0.00% | 47.20% | -3.30 | 0-2 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 1925-03-07 | 27.84% | Boston Bruins | 1429.19 | 2 | @ Hamilton Tigers | 1525.83 | 0 |
| 2 | 1925-01-10 | 30.63% | Boston Bruins | 1455.93 | 3 | @ Montreal Canadiens | 1529.17 | 2 |
| 3 | 1925-02-07 | 33.05% | Boston Bruins | 1439.12 | 1 | @ Montreal Maroons | 1492.99 | 0 |
| 4 | 1925-01-31 | 34.52% | Toronto St. Patricks | 1482.76 | 2 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | 1525.20 | 1 |
| 5 | 1925-01-21 | 34.59% | Toronto St. Patricks | 1483.16 | 4 | @ Montreal Canadiens | 1525.06 | 2 |
| 6 | 1925-02-25 | 34.77% | Toronto St. Patricks | 1499.04 | 3 | @ Montreal Canadiens | 1539.54 | 1 |
| 7 | 1924-12-10 | 36.12% | Toronto St. Patricks | 1480.29 | 6 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | 1510.54 | 3 |
| 8 | 1924-12-23 | 37.76% | Montreal Maroons | 1495.81 | 2 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | 1513.88 | 1 |
| 9 | 1925-01-07 | 38.21% | Montreal Maroons | 1498.71 | 6 | @ Hamilton Tigers | 1513.44 | 2 |
| 10 | 1925-01-07 | 38.25% | Ottawa Senators (1st) | 1518.51 | 2 | @ Montreal Canadiens | 1532.92 | 0 |
| 11 | 1925-02-04 | 38.35% | Hamilton Tigers | 1521.23 | 3 | @ Montreal Canadiens | 1534.90 | 0 |
| 12 | 1924-12-03 | 39.05% | Hamilton Tigers | 1490.10 | 2 | @ Montreal Maroons | 1498.68 | 0 |
| 13 | 1925-01-24 | 39.78% | Montreal Canadiens | 1521.98 | 3 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | 1525.22 | 2 |
| 14 | 1924-12-22 | 39.93% | Toronto St. Patricks | 1477.57 | 10 | @ Boston Bruins | 1479.73 | 1 |
| 15 | 1925-03-03 | 40.66% | @ Boston Bruins | 1427.48 | 3 | Montreal Canadiens | 1534.63 | 2 |
| 16 | 1924-12-05 | 41.15% | Hamilton Tigers | 1493.80 | 10 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | 1487.19 | 3 |
| 17 | 1924-12-13 | 41.27% | Montreal Maroons | 1491.57 | 3 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | 1484.10 | 1 |
| 18 | 1925-01-24 | 41.40% | Hamilton Tigers | 1511.83 | 1 | @ Montreal Maroons | 1503.45 | 0 |
| 19 | 1925-02-21 | 41.68% | Toronto St. Patricks | 1497.28 | 2 | @ Montreal Maroons | 1486.90 | 1 |
| 20 | 1925-02-21 | 41.96% | Montreal Canadiens | 1537.78 | 2 | @ Hamilton Tigers | 1525.38 | 1 |
| 21 | 1924-12-08 | 41.98% | Montreal Canadiens | 1511.79 | 4 | @ Boston Bruins | 1499.28 | 3 |
| 22 | 1924-12-15 | 42.33% | Ottawa Senators (1st) | 1506.72 | 10 | @ Boston Bruins | 1491.68 | 2 |
| 23 | 1925-01-05 | 43.22% | Toronto St. Patricks | 1478.86 | 3 | @ Boston Bruins | 1457.56 | 2 |
| 24 | 1925-01-28 | 43.31% | Ottawa Senators (1st) | 1523.49 | 2 | @ Montreal Maroons | 1501.56 | 1 |
| 25 | 1924-12-27 | 44.28% | Ottawa Senators (1st) | 1511.99 | 4 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | 1483.17 | 3 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 1924-12-22 | 12.21 | Toronto St. Patricks | 10 | 1477.57 | 39.93% | @ Boston Bruins | 1 | 1479.73 | 56.17% | 3.90% |
| 2 | 1924-12-15 | 8.55 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | 10 | 1506.72 | 42.33% | @ Boston Bruins | 2 | 1491.68 | 53.76% | 3.90% |
| 3 | 1924-12-05 | 6.90 | Hamilton Tigers | 10 | 1493.80 | 41.15% | @ Toronto St. Patricks | 3 | 1487.19 | 54.95% | 3.90% |
| 4 | 1924-12-25 | 6.61 | @ Hamilton Tigers | 8 | 1505.71 | 58.06% | Toronto St. Patricks | 1 | 1489.78 | 38.05% | 3.90% |
| 5 | 1924-12-10 | 5.98 | @ Hamilton Tigers | 7 | 1500.70 | 56.29% | Boston Bruins | 1 | 1497.66 | 39.81% | 3.90% |
| 6 | 1924-12-10 | 5.84 | @ Montreal Canadiens | 5 | 1513.41 | 58.07% | Montreal Maroons | 0 | 1497.41 | 38.04% | 3.90% |
| 7 | 1924-11-29 | 5.72 | @ Montreal Canadiens | 7 | 1507.40 | 58.14% | Toronto St. Patricks | 1 | 1490.87 | 37.97% | 3.90% |
| 8 | 1925-01-27 | 5.62 | Montreal Canadiens | 4 | 1523.71 | 50.69% | @ Boston Bruins | 0 | 1450.20 | 45.41% | 3.90% |
| 9 | 1925-01-31 | 5.57 | @ Montreal Canadiens | 5 | 1529.33 | 59.88% | Montreal Maroons | 0 | 1499.85 | 36.22% | 3.90% |
| 10 | 1925-02-04 | 5.44 | Hamilton Tigers | 3 | 1521.23 | 38.35% | @ Montreal Canadiens | 0 | 1534.90 | 57.75% | 3.90% |
| 11 | 1925-03-04 | 5.21 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | 5 | 1522.36 | 45.48% | @ Montreal Maroons | 1 | 1485.17 | 50.62% | 3.90% |
| 12 | 1925-02-11 | 5.09 | @ Montreal Canadiens | 10 | 1528.09 | 56.02% | Ottawa Senators (1st) | 3 | 1526.97 | 40.08% | 3.90% |
| 13 | 1925-02-10 | 5.08 | Toronto St. Patricks | 5 | 1487.42 | 46.76% | @ Boston Bruins | 1 | 1441.28 | 49.34% | 3.90% |
| 14 | 1925-01-07 | 5.03 | Montreal Maroons | 6 | 1498.71 | 38.21% | @ Hamilton Tigers | 2 | 1513.44 | 57.89% | 3.90% |
| 15 | 1924-12-25 | 4.99 | @ Montreal Canadiens | 5 | 1527.29 | 63.81% | Boston Bruins | 0 | 1467.52 | 32.30% | 3.89% |
| 16 | 1925-01-10 | 4.70 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | 4 | 1522.26 | 58.41% | Montreal Maroons | 0 | 1503.74 | 37.70% | 3.90% |
| 17 | 1925-01-28 | 4.57 | @ Hamilton Tigers | 4 | 1513.71 | 59.47% | Toronto St. Patricks | 0 | 1487.33 | 36.64% | 3.90% |
| 18 | 1925-03-07 | 4.41 | Boston Bruins | 2 | 1429.19 | 27.84% | @ Hamilton Tigers | 0 | 1525.83 | 68.28% | 3.88% |
| 19 | 1924-12-10 | 3.82 | Toronto St. Patricks | 6 | 1480.29 | 36.12% | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | 3 | 1510.54 | 59.98% | 3.90% |
| 20 | 1925-01-07 | 3.75 | Ottawa Senators (1st) | 2 | 1518.51 | 38.25% | @ Montreal Canadiens | 0 | 1532.92 | 57.85% | 3.90% |
| 21 | 1924-12-03 | 3.70 | Hamilton Tigers | 2 | 1490.10 | 39.05% | @ Montreal Maroons | 0 | 1498.68 | 57.05% | 3.90% |
| 22 | 1925-03-07 | 3.54 | @ Ottawa Senators (1st) | 3 | 1527.57 | 59.02% | Toronto St. Patricks | 0 | 1504.53 | 37.09% | 3.90% |
| 23 | 1925-03-09 | 3.54 | @ Toronto St. Patricks | 3 | 1500.99 | 59.00% | Montreal Maroons | 0 | 1478.07 | 37.10% | 3.90% |
| 24 | 1924-12-17 | 3.45 | Montreal Canadiens | 5 | 1522.64 | 46.11% | @ Toronto St. Patricks | 2 | 1481.02 | 49.99% | 3.90% |
| 25 | 1925-02-25 | 3.44 | Toronto St. Patricks | 3 | 1499.04 | 34.77% | @ Montreal Canadiens | 1 | 1539.54 | 61.33% | 3.89% |