2020 NFL Season
256 regular-season games · 14 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2nd Super Bowl
Last Title: 2002
Runner-Up
Kansas City Chiefs
4th SB App.
Last Appearance: 2019
Biggest Overachiever
Buffalo Bills
3.71 wins above expected
13 wins · 9.29 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Jacksonville Jaguars
3.75 wins below expected
1 wins · 4.75 expected wins
Final Standings
Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pct | GB | PF | PA | PD | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo Bills Division | 13 | 3 | 0 | .812 | — | 501 | 375 | +126 | 9.29 | +3.71 |
| 2 | Miami Dolphins | 10 | 6 | 0 | .625 | 3 | 404 | 338 | +66 | 7.98 | +2.02 |
| 3 | New England Patriots | 7 | 9 | 0 | .438 | 6 | 326 | 353 | -27 | 8.39 | -1.39 |
| 4 | New York Jets | 2 | 14 | 0 | .125 | 11 | 243 | 457 | -214 | 4.06 | -2.06 |
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pct | GB | PF | PA | PD | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pittsburgh Steelers Division | 12 | 4 | 0 | .750 | — | 416 | 312 | +104 | 10.44 | +1.56 |
| 2 | Baltimore Ravens Playoffs | 11 | 5 | 0 | .688 | 1 | 468 | 303 | +165 | 10.98 | +0.02 |
| 3 | Cleveland Browns Playoffs | 11 | 5 | 0 | .688 | 1 | 408 | 419 | -11 | 8.39 | +2.61 |
| 4 | Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 11 | 1 | .281 | 7.5 | 311 | 424 | -113 | 5.66 | -1.16 |
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pct | GB | PF | PA | PD | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indianapolis Colts Division | 11 | 5 | 0 | .688 | — | 451 | 362 | +89 | 9.21 | +1.79 |
| 2 | Tennessee Titans Playoffs | 11 | 5 | 0 | .688 | — | 491 | 439 | +52 | 10.16 | +0.84 |
| 3 | Houston Texans | 4 | 12 | 0 | .250 | 7 | 384 | 464 | -80 | 6.74 | -2.74 |
| 4 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 15 | 0 | .062 | 10 | 306 | 492 | -186 | 4.75 | -3.75 |
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pct | GB | PF | PA | PD | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas City Chiefs Division | 14 | 2 | 0 | .875 | — | 473 | 362 | +111 | 11.88 | +2.12 |
| 2 | Las Vegas Raiders | 8 | 8 | 0 | .500 | 6 | 434 | 478 | -44 | 7.06 | +0.94 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Chargers | 7 | 9 | 0 | .438 | 7 | 384 | 426 | -42 | 6.82 | +0.18 |
| 4 | Denver Broncos | 5 | 11 | 0 | .312 | 9 | 323 | 446 | -123 | 6.25 | -1.25 |
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pct | GB | PF | PA | PD | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Football Team Division | 7 | 9 | 0 | .438 | — | 335 | 329 | +6 | 6.72 | +0.28 |
| 2 | Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 10 | 0 | .375 | 1 | 395 | 473 | -78 | 7.25 | -1.25 |
| 3 | New York Giants | 6 | 10 | 0 | .375 | 1 | 280 | 357 | -77 | 5.58 | +0.42 |
| 4 | Philadelphia Eagles | 4 | 11 | 1 | .281 | 2.5 | 334 | 418 | -84 | 6.85 | -2.35 |
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pct | GB | PF | PA | PD | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green Bay Packers Division | 13 | 3 | 0 | .812 | — | 509 | 369 | +140 | 10.62 | +2.38 |
| 2 | Chicago Bears Playoffs | 8 | 8 | 0 | .500 | 5 | 372 | 370 | +2 | 8.18 | -0.18 |
| 3 | Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 9 | 0 | .438 | 6 | 430 | 475 | -45 | 8.39 | -1.39 |
| 4 | Detroit Lions | 5 | 11 | 0 | .312 | 8 | 377 | 519 | -142 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pct | GB | PF | PA | PD | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Orleans Saints Division | 12 | 4 | 0 | .750 | — | 482 | 337 | +145 | 10.42 | +1.58 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoffs | 11 | 5 | 0 | .688 | 1 | 492 | 355 | +137 | 9.34 | +1.66 |
| 3 | Carolina Panthers | 5 | 11 | 0 | .312 | 7 | 350 | 402 | -52 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 4 | Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 12 | 0 | .250 | 8 | 396 | 414 | -18 | 6.79 | -2.79 |
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pct | GB | PF | PA | PD | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle Seahawks Division | 12 | 4 | 0 | .750 | — | 459 | 371 | +88 | 9.84 | +2.16 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Rams Playoffs | 10 | 6 | 0 | .625 | 2 | 372 | 296 | +76 | 9.62 | +0.38 |
| 3 | Arizona Cardinals | 8 | 8 | 0 | .500 | 4 | 410 | 367 | +43 | 8.21 | -0.21 |
| 4 | San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 10 | 0 | .375 | 6 | 376 | 390 | -14 | 8.47 | -2.47 |
Playoff Bracket
AFC
Wild Card Round
Divisional Round
Conference Championship
NFC
Wild Card Round
Divisional Round
Conference Championship
Super Bowl
Season Summary
Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | AFC | AFC West | 1752 | 14 | 11.88 | +2.12 | 95.00% | 6 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 16 |
| Buffalo Bills | AFC | AFC East | 1719 | 13 | 9.29 | +3.71 | 99.12% | 1 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 15 |
| Green Bay Packers | NFC | NFC North | 1709 | 13 | 10.62 | +2.38 | 94.94% | 4 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 16 |
| New Orleans Saints | NFC | NFC South | 1706 | 12 | 10.42 | +1.58 | 88.30% | 4 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 16 |
| Baltimore Ravens | AFC | AFC North | 1664 | 11 | 10.98 | +0.02 | 61.26% | 4 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 16 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | NFC | NFC South | 1651 | 11 | 9.34 | +1.66 | 88.15% | 2 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| Seattle Seahawks | NFC | NFC West | 1634 | 12 | 9.84 | +2.16 | 92.74% | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 16 |
| Indianapolis Colts | AFC | AFC South | 1604 | 11 | 9.21 | +1.79 | 88.70% | 2 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 15 |
| Los Angeles Rams | NFC | NFC West | 1599 | 10 | 9.62 | +0.38 | 68.53% | 3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 16 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | AFC | AFC North | 1591 | 12 | 10.44 | +1.56 | 87.79% | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 16 |
| Tennessee Titans | AFC | AFC South | 1591 | 11 | 10.16 | +0.84 | 77.00% | 4 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 16 |
| Miami Dolphins | AFC | AFC East | 1550 | 10 | 7.98 | +2.02 | 91.83% | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 14 |
| Cleveland Browns | AFC | AFC North | 1521 | 11 | 8.39 | +2.61 | 95.21% | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 15 |
| Chicago Bears | NFC | NFC North | 1494 | 8 | 8.18 | -0.18 | 56.89% | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 15 |
| New England Patriots | AFC | AFC East | 1482 | 7 | 8.39 | -1.39 | 32.96% | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 15 |
| Arizona Cardinals | NFC | NFC West | 1481 | 8 | 8.21 | -0.21 | 56.70% | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 16 |
| Atlanta Falcons | NFC | NFC South | 1469 | 4 | 6.79 | -2.79 | 11.99% | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 13 |
| Washington Football Team | NFC | NFC East | 1467 | 7 | 6.72 | +0.28 | 67.58% | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 14 |
| San Francisco 49ers | NFC | NFC West | 1466 | 6 | 8.47 | -2.47 | 15.35% | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 15 |
| Minnesota Vikings | NFC | NFC North | 1463 | 7 | 8.39 | -1.39 | 33.11% | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 15 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | AFC | AFC West | 1440 | 7 | 6.82 | +0.18 | 65.72% | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 13 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | AFC | AFC West | 1437 | 8 | 7.06 | +0.94 | 77.80% | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 14 |
| Dallas Cowboys | NFC | NFC East | 1419 | 6 | 7.25 | -1.25 | 35.55% | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 15 |
| Carolina Panthers | NFC | NFC South | 1402 | 5 | 5.82 | -0.82 | 45.30% | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 15 |
| Denver Broncos | AFC | AFC West | 1393 | 5 | 6.25 | -1.25 | 35.89% | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 14 |
| New York Giants | NFC | NFC East | 1393 | 6 | 5.58 | +0.42 | 70.34% | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 13 |
| Houston Texans | AFC | AFC South | 1368 | 4 | 6.74 | -2.74 | 12.77% | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 14 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | AFC | AFC North | 1359 | 4.5 | 5.66 | -1.16 | 27.78% | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 14 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | NFC | NFC East | 1356 | 4.5 | 6.85 | -2.35 | 10.83% | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 13 |
| Detroit Lions | NFC | NFC North | 1312 | 5 | 5.84 | -0.84 | 44.20% | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 13 |
| New York Jets | AFC | AFC East | 1277 | 2 | 4.06 | -2.06 | 17.97% | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | AFC | AFC South | 1231 | 1 | 4.75 | -3.75 | 2.24% | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.
Within AFC East
| Team | Bills | Dolphins | Patriots | Jets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | — |
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Miami Dolphins |
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
— |
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
| New England Patriots |
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
— |
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
| New York Jets |
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
— |
AFC East vs. Other Divisions
| Team | AFC North | AFC South | AFC West | NFC East | NFC North | NFC South | NFC West |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills |
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
| Miami Dolphins |
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
3-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
| New England Patriots |
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
| New York Jets |
1-0
(0.2 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.0 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
1-3
(0.9 exp.)
|
Within AFC North
| Team | Ravens | Bengals | Browns | Steelers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | — |
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Cincinnati Bengals |
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
— |
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
| Cleveland Browns |
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
— |
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Pittsburgh Steelers |
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
— |
AFC North vs. Other Divisions
| Team | AFC East | AFC South | AFC West | NFC East | NFC North | NFC South | NFC West |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens |
0-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.2 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
| Cincinnati Bengals |
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-3-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
| Cleveland Browns |
0-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
| Pittsburgh Steelers |
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.4 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.9 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
Within AFC South
| Team | Texans | Colts | Jaguars | Titans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans | — |
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
| Indianapolis Colts |
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
— |
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Jacksonville Jaguars |
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
— |
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
| Tennessee Titans |
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
AFC South vs. Other Divisions
| Team | AFC East | AFC North | AFC West | NFC East | NFC North | NFC South | NFC West |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans |
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.7 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
—
|
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
| Indianapolis Colts |
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.2 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
—
|
4-0
(2.0 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
| Jacksonville Jaguars |
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
—
|
0-4
(1.0 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
| Tennessee Titans |
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.4 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
—
|
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
Within AFC West
| Team | Broncos | Chiefs | Raiders | Chargers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | — |
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Kansas City Chiefs |
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
| Las Vegas Raiders |
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
— |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Chargers |
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
— |
AFC West vs. Other Divisions
| Team | AFC East | AFC North | AFC South | NFC East | NFC North | NFC South | NFC West |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos |
3-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
|
—
|
| Kansas City Chiefs |
4-0
(3.0 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
4-0
(3.0 exp.)
|
—
|
| Las Vegas Raiders |
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
—
|
| Los Angeles Chargers |
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
—
|
Within NFC East
| Team | Cowboys | Giants | Eagles | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Cowboys | — |
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
| New York Giants |
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
— |
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Philadelphia Eagles |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
— |
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Washington Football Team |
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
— |
NFC East vs. Other Divisions
| Team | AFC East | AFC North | AFC South | AFC West | NFC North | NFC South | NFC West |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Cowboys |
—
|
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
| New York Giants |
—
|
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Philadelphia Eagles |
—
|
0-3-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.1 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Washington Football Team |
—
|
2-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
Within NFC North
| Team | Bears | Lions | Packers | Vikings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears | — |
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Detroit Lions |
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
— |
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
| Green Bay Packers |
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Vikings |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
— |
NFC North vs. Other Divisions
| Team | AFC East | AFC North | AFC South | AFC West | NFC East | NFC South | NFC West |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears |
—
|
—
|
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
| Detroit Lions |
—
|
—
|
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
|
| Green Bay Packers |
—
|
—
|
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
—
|
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Vikings |
—
|
—
|
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
—
|
0-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
Within NFC South
| Team | Falcons | Panthers | Saints | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons | — |
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
| Carolina Panthers |
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
— |
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
| New Orleans Saints |
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
— |
NFC South vs. Other Divisions
| Team | AFC East | AFC North | AFC South | AFC West | NFC East | NFC North | NFC West |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons |
—
|
—
|
—
|
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
| Carolina Panthers |
—
|
—
|
—
|
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
| New Orleans Saints |
—
|
—
|
—
|
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
—
|
—
|
—
|
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
Within NFC West
| Team | Cardinals | Rams | 49ers | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | — |
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Rams |
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
— |
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
| San Francisco 49ers |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
— |
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Seattle Seahawks |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
— |
NFC West vs. Other Divisions
| Team | AFC East | AFC North | AFC South | AFC West | NFC East | NFC North | NFC South |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals |
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
4-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Rams |
1-3
(2.6 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
4-0
(2.6 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
| San Francisco 49ers |
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
1-3
(2.6 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
| Seattle Seahawks |
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
Scoreline Distribution
Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | 0.78% | 0.98% | 0.39% | 0.78% | 0.39% | 3.32% |
| 7–13 | — | 0.39% | 2.93% | 1.95% | 1.76% | 1.95% | 0.20% | 9.18% |
| 14–20 | 0.78% | 2.93% | 4.69% | 7.42% | 3.71% | 1.76% | 0.98% | 22.27% |
| 21–27 | 0.98% | 1.95% | 7.42% | 8.20% | 6.05% | 1.37% | 1.37% | 27.34% |
| 28–34 | 0.39% | 1.76% | 3.71% | 6.05% | 6.25% | 3.52% | 0.59% | 22.27% |
| 35–41 | 0.78% | 1.95% | 1.76% | 1.37% | 3.52% | 1.56% | 0.39% | 11.33% |
| 42+ | 0.39% | 0.20% | 0.98% | 1.37% | 0.59% | 0.39% | 0.39% | 4.30% |
| Total | 3.32% | 9.18% | 22.27% | 27.34% | 22.27% | 11.33% | 4.30% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 24.79 | 24.79 | +0.00 |
| SD | 9.86 | 9.86 | 14.22 |
| CV | 0.40 | 0.40 | — |
| Max | 56 | 56 | +45 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -45 |
Games Played: 256
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | 12.50% | — | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 14–20 | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 21–27 | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | — | 31.25% |
| 28–34 | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | 37.50% |
| 35–41 | — | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 18.75% | 31.25% | 12.50% | 31.25% | 6.25% | — | 100% |
Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 25.62 | 22.94 | +2.69 |
| SD | 8.60 | 9.43 | 12.09 |
| CV | 0.34 | 0.41 | — |
| Max | 38 | 38 | +28 |
| Min | 7 | 7 | -11 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 14–20 | — | — | 12.50% | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | — | 31.25% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 12.50% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 37.50% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | 12.50% |
| 42+ | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| Total | 6.25% | — | 18.75% | 37.50% | 18.75% | 12.50% | 6.25% | 100% |
Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 24.75 | 25.88 | -1.12 |
| SD | 10.09 | 9.58 | 13.55 |
| CV | 0.41 | 0.37 | — |
| Max | 43 | 44 | +37 |
| Min | 9 | 6 | -17 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14–20 | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | 18.75% |
| 21–27 | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | — | 12.50% | — | — | 31.25% |
| 28–34 | — | — | 18.75% | — | 6.25% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 35–41 | 12.50% | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 18.75% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% |
| Total | 18.75% | 12.50% | 31.25% | 6.25% | 25.00% | — | 6.25% | 100% |
Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 29.25 | 18.94 | +10.31 |
| SD | 8.89 | 11.23 | 14.84 |
| CV | 0.30 | 0.59 | — |
| Max | 47 | 42 | +35 |
| Min | 14 | 3 | -14 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14–20 | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% | 18.75% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 18.75% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | 12.50% | 12.50% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 35–41 | — | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 42+ | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | 18.75% |
| Total | — | 12.50% | 25.00% | 31.25% | 25.00% | — | 6.25% | 100% |
Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 31.31 | 23.44 | +7.88 |
| SD | 11.12 | 8.97 | 14.17 |
| CV | 0.35 | 0.38 | — |
| Max | 56 | 42 | +30 |
| Min | 16 | 9 | -26 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% |
| 14–20 | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 18.75% | 6.25% | — | — | 37.50% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 12.50% | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | 6.25% | 37.50% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | — | 18.75% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 6.25% | 6.25% | 12.50% | 31.25% | 37.50% | — | 6.25% | 100% |
Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 21.88 | 25.12 | -3.25 |
| SD | 6.52 | 10.65 | 11.80 |
| CV | 0.30 | 0.42 | — |
| Max | 31 | 46 | +20 |
| Min | 7 | 0 | -26 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 18.75% |
| 14–20 | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | 25.00% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | 6.25% | — | 25.00% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | — | 18.75% |
| 35–41 | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 12.50% | 31.25% | 37.50% | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | 100% |
Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 23.25 | 23.12 | +0.12 |
| SD | 9.14 | 8.62 | 13.01 |
| CV | 0.39 | 0.37 | — |
| Max | 41 | 41 | +29 |
| Min | 10 | 7 | -19 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | 12.50% |
| 7–13 | — | — | 18.75% | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 31.25% |
| 14–20 | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | 18.75% |
| 28–34 | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 12.50% | — | 25.00% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | — | 37.50% | 18.75% | 18.75% | 25.00% | — | 100% |
Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 19.44 | 26.50 | -7.06 |
| SD | 12.03 | 7.62 | 13.80 |
| CV | 0.62 | 0.29 | — |
| Max | 37 | 38 | +11 |
| Min | 3 | 16 | -35 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% | — | 12.50% |
| 7–13 | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | 12.50% |
| 14–20 | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | — | — | 18.75% |
| 28–34 | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | 18.75% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 12.50% |
| Total | 6.25% | 6.25% | 18.75% | 25.00% | 12.50% | 25.00% | 6.25% | 100% |
Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 25.50 | 26.19 | -0.69 |
| SD | 13.86 | 11.68 | 13.80 |
| CV | 0.54 | 0.45 | — |
| Max | 49 | 47 | +14 |
| Min | 6 | 6 | -32 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | 12.50% |
| 14–20 | — | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 31.25% |
| 21–27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 28–34 | — | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 18.75% |
| 35–41 | — | — | 6.25% | — | 12.50% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 31.25% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 6.25% | 100% |
Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 24.69 | 29.56 | -4.88 |
| SD | 12.33 | 10.61 | 14.67 |
| CV | 0.50 | 0.36 | — |
| Max | 41 | 49 | +23 |
| Min | 3 | 7 | -28 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 12.50% |
| 14–20 | — | 12.50% | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | — | 12.50% | 43.75% |
| 21–27 | — | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | — | 18.75% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 12.50% | 12.50% | 18.75% | 37.50% | 6.25% | 12.50% | 100% |
Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 20.19 | 27.88 | -7.69 |
| SD | 9.19 | 10.06 | 13.35 |
| CV | 0.46 | 0.36 | — |
| Max | 37 | 48 | +9 |
| Min | 3 | 12 | -29 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% |
| 14–20 | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% |
| 21–27 | — | — | — | 18.75% | 6.25% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 50.00% |
| 28–34 | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 25.00% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | — | 12.50% | 25.00% | 18.75% | 25.00% | 18.75% | 100% |
Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 23.56 | 32.44 | -8.88 |
| SD | 9.26 | 9.50 | 13.99 |
| CV | 0.39 | 0.29 | — |
| Max | 35 | 47 | +18 |
| Min | 0 | 16 | -40 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% |
| 14–20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 21–27 | — | — | 12.50% | — | 6.25% | — | — | 18.75% |
| 28–34 | — | — | 18.75% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | 31.25% |
| 35–41 | — | — | 18.75% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | 31.25% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | 12.50% |
| Total | — | — | 50.00% | 18.75% | 25.00% | 6.25% | — | 100% |
Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 31.81 | 23.06 | +8.75 |
| SD | 8.70 | 7.66 | 12.92 |
| CV | 0.27 | 0.33 | — |
| Max | 43 | 38 | +26 |
| Min | 10 | 14 | -28 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | 12.50% |
| 14–20 | — | — | — | 12.50% | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | 31.25% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 28–34 | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% | — | 12.50% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 18.75% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 6.25% | 100% |
Houston Texans — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 24.00 | 29.00 | -5.00 |
| SD | 9.83 | 9.02 | 11.56 |
| CV | 0.41 | 0.31 | — |
| Max | 41 | 42 | +16 |
| Min | 7 | 10 | -29 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 14–20 | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 12.50% | — | 12.50% | — | 6.25% | 31.25% |
| 28–34 | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | 31.25% |
| 35–41 | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| Total | — | 18.75% | 25.00% | 31.25% | 18.75% | — | 6.25% | 100% |
Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 28.19 | 22.62 | +5.56 |
| SD | 8.52 | 9.60 | 13.38 |
| CV | 0.30 | 0.42 | — |
| Max | 44 | 45 | +29 |
| Min | 10 | 7 | -19 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | 12.50% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 14–20 | — | — | — | 6.25% | 18.75% | 12.50% | — | 37.50% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 6.25% | 18.75% | 6.25% | — | — | 31.25% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 12.50% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | — | 6.25% | 31.25% | 43.75% | 18.75% | — | 100% |
Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 19.12 | 30.75 | -11.62 |
| SD | 7.66 | 5.80 | 9.87 |
| CV | 0.40 | 0.19 | — |
| Max | 30 | 41 | +7 |
| Min | 3 | 20 | -26 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14–20 | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 21–27 | — | 6.25% | 18.75% | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | 37.50% |
| 28–34 | — | — | 12.50% | 6.25% | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | 37.50% |
| 35–41 | — | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 42+ | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| Total | — | 12.50% | 43.75% | 12.50% | 18.75% | 12.50% | — | 100% |
Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 29.56 | 22.62 | +6.94 |
| SD | 6.72 | 9.31 | 11.09 |
| CV | 0.23 | 0.41 | — |
| Max | 43 | 40 | +27 |
| Min | 17 | 9 | -17 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14–20 | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 18.75% |
| 21–27 | — | — | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | 6.25% | 25.00% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | 12.50% | 18.75% | 6.25% | — | 37.50% |
| 35–41 | — | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 18.75% | 37.50% | 12.50% | 18.75% | 100% |
Las Vegas Raiders — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 27.12 | 29.88 | -2.75 |
| SD | 8.64 | 10.42 | 15.13 |
| CV | 0.32 | 0.35 | — |
| Max | 40 | 45 | +25 |
| Min | 6 | 6 | -37 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14–20 | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | 18.75% | — | — | — | 37.50% |
| 21–27 | — | — | — | — | 18.75% | — | — | 18.75% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | 25.00% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | 31.25% | 37.50% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 100% |
Los Angeles Chargers — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 24.00 | 26.62 | -2.62 |
| SD | 9.91 | 8.16 | 13.31 |
| CV | 0.41 | 0.31 | — |
| Max | 39 | 45 | +17 |
| Min | 0 | 13 | -45 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 14–20 | — | 12.50% | 6.25% | 18.75% | 6.25% | — | — | 43.75% |
| 21–27 | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 28–34 | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | 12.50% |
| 35–41 | — | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 6.25% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | 100% |
Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 23.25 | 18.50 | +4.75 |
| SD | 7.90 | 8.84 | 10.60 |
| CV | 0.34 | 0.48 | — |
| Max | 38 | 35 | +21 |
| Min | 9 | 3 | -11 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 14–20 | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 21–27 | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | 6.25% | 37.50% |
| 28–34 | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | — | 31.25% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 42+ | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| Total | 12.50% | 18.75% | 18.75% | 18.75% | 25.00% | — | 6.25% | 100% |
Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 25.25 | 21.12 | +4.12 |
| SD | 7.72 | 13.72 | 14.58 |
| CV | 0.31 | 0.65 | — |
| Max | 43 | 56 | +26 |
| Min | 11 | 0 | -30 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% |
| 14–20 | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 21–27 | — | — | — | 12.50% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 25.00% |
| 28–34 | — | — | 6.25% | 18.75% | 12.50% | — | 12.50% | 50.00% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 37.50% | 25.00% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 100% |
Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 26.88 | 29.69 | -2.81 |
| SD | 7.15 | 9.53 | 9.77 |
| CV | 0.27 | 0.32 | — |
| Max | 37 | 52 | +14 |
| Min | 11 | 13 | -19 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 7–13 | — | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | 6.25% | — | 25.00% |
| 14–20 | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 21–27 | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 18.75% |
| 28–34 | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | 18.75% |
| 35–41 | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 42+ | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| Total | 6.25% | 6.25% | 31.25% | 37.50% | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | 100% |
New England Patriots — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 20.38 | 22.06 | -1.69 |
| SD | 11.51 | 9.52 | 18.39 |
| CV | 0.56 | 0.43 | — |
| Max | 45 | 38 | +45 |
| Min | 3 | 0 | -29 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14–20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 21–27 | — | 12.50% | 6.25% | 18.75% | 6.25% | — | — | 43.75% |
| 28–34 | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 12.50% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 37.50% |
| 35–41 | 6.25% | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% |
| Total | 12.50% | 18.75% | 6.25% | 31.25% | 25.00% | 6.25% | — | 100% |
New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 30.12 | 21.06 | +9.06 |
| SD | 7.61 | 11.23 | 12.98 |
| CV | 0.25 | 0.53 | — |
| Max | 52 | 37 | +35 |
| Min | 21 | 3 | -10 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 7–13 | — | — | 12.50% | 12.50% | — | 6.25% | — | 31.25% |
| 14–20 | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 18.75% | 12.50% | — | — | — | 31.25% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 6.25% | 50.00% | 31.25% | — | 12.50% | — | 100% |
New York Giants — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 17.50 | 22.31 | -4.81 |
| SD | 7.76 | 6.89 | 9.87 |
| CV | 0.44 | 0.31 | — |
| Max | 34 | 37 | +10 |
| Min | 6 | 12 | -27 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | 18.75% |
| 7–13 | — | — | 6.25% | — | 12.50% | 12.50% | — | 31.25% |
| 14–20 | — | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 12.50% | — | 6.25% | — | — | 18.75% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | — | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | 18.75% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | — | 25.00% | 12.50% | 37.50% | 25.00% | — | 100% |
New York Jets — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 15.19 | 28.56 | -13.38 |
| SD | 9.83 | 7.23 | 12.02 |
| CV | 0.65 | 0.25 | — |
| Max | 28 | 40 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 16 | -37 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14–20 | — | — | 6.25% | 25.00% | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | 50.00% |
| 21–27 | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 18.75% | 6.25% | — | — | 37.50% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 12.50% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | 43.75% | 18.75% | 18.75% | — | 100% |
Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 20.88 | 26.12 | -5.25 |
| SD | 4.69 | 7.80 | 8.72 |
| CV | 0.22 | 0.30 | — |
| Max | 29 | 38 | +14 |
| Min | 14 | 9 | -20 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14–20 | — | — | 6.25% | 18.75% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 21–27 | 6.25% | — | 12.50% | 18.75% | — | — | — | 37.50% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | 18.75% | — | — | — | 18.75% |
| 35–41 | — | 12.50% | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 18.75% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 6.25% | 12.50% | 18.75% | 56.25% | 6.25% | — | — | 100% |
Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 26.00 | 19.50 | +6.50 |
| SD | 7.09 | 7.52 | 11.96 |
| CV | 0.27 | 0.39 | — |
| Max | 38 | 29 | +31 |
| Min | 15 | 3 | -11 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 14–20 | — | 6.25% | — | 18.75% | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | 37.50% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 12.50% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 31.25% |
| 28–34 | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | 18.75% |
| 35–41 | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 6.25% | 18.75% | 12.50% | 31.25% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 6.25% | 100% |
San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 23.50 | 24.38 | -0.88 |
| SD | 6.88 | 11.33 | 15.16 |
| CV | 0.29 | 0.46 | — |
| Max | 36 | 43 | +27 |
| Min | 13 | 6 | -26 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 14–20 | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 18.75% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | — | — | 18.75% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | 12.50% | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 25.00% |
| 35–41 | 6.25% | — | — | 12.50% | 12.50% | — | — | 31.25% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 6.25% | 6.25% | 18.75% | 43.75% | 12.50% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 100% |
Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 28.69 | 23.19 | +5.50 |
| SD | 8.58 | 10.05 | 10.70 |
| CV | 0.30 | 0.43 | — |
| Max | 40 | 44 | +37 |
| Min | 12 | 3 | -10 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14–20 | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 6.25% | 18.75% | 6.25% | — | — | 31.25% |
| 28–34 | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 18.75% |
| 35–41 | — | 6.25% | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 42+ | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| Total | — | 18.75% | 25.00% | 37.50% | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | 100% |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 30.75 | 22.19 | +8.56 |
| SD | 11.84 | 8.92 | 17.80 |
| CV | 0.39 | 0.40 | — |
| Max | 47 | 38 | +40 |
| Min | 3 | 7 | -35 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14–20 | — | — | 6.25% | — | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | 25.00% |
| 21–27 | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 28–34 | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 35–41 | — | — | — | — | — | 12.50% | — | 12.50% |
| 42+ | — | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | — | 6.25% | — | 25.00% |
| Total | — | 6.25% | 18.75% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 25.00% | — | 100% |
Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 30.69 | 27.44 | +3.25 |
| SD | 10.68 | 9.45 | 14.20 |
| CV | 0.35 | 0.34 | — |
| Max | 46 | 41 | +26 |
| Min | 14 | 10 | -26 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0–6 | 7–13 | 14–20 | 21–27 | 28–34 | 35–41 | 42+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7–13 | — | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 14–20 | — | 6.25% | 18.75% | 6.25% | 18.75% | — | — | 50.00% |
| 21–27 | 6.25% | — | 18.75% | — | 6.25% | — | — | 31.25% |
| 28–34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 35–41 | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 42+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 6.25% | 6.25% | 50.00% | 6.25% | 31.25% | — | — | 100% |
Washington Football Team — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 20.94 | 20.56 | +0.38 |
| SD | 7.20 | 8.66 | 13.10 |
| CV | 0.34 | 0.42 | — |
| Max | 41 | 34 | +25 |
| Min | 10 | 3 | -20 |
Games Played: 16
Actual Wins vs. Point Differential
Plot of wins against points differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo Bills | 13 | 9.29 | +3.71 |
| 2 | Cleveland Browns | 11 | 8.39 | +2.61 |
| 3 | Green Bay Packers | 13 | 10.62 | +2.38 |
| 4 | Seattle Seahawks | 12 | 9.84 | +2.16 |
| 5 | Kansas City Chiefs | 14 | 11.88 | +2.12 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 4.75 | -3.75 |
| 2 | Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 6.79 | -2.79 |
| 3 | Houston Texans | 4 | 6.74 | -2.74 |
| 4 | San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 8.47 | -2.47 |
| 5 | Philadelphia Eagles | 4.5 | 6.85 | -2.35 |
Top Streaks
The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 11 | Sep 14 – Dec 2 | 1 in 180 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | Dec 13 – Jan 3 | 1 in 163 |
| 3 | New York Jets | 2 | Dec 20 – Dec 27 | 1 in 71 |
| 4 | Washington Football Team | 4 | Nov 22 – Dec 13 | 1 in 60 |
| 5 | New Orleans Saints | 9 | Oct 4 – Dec 6 | 1 in 58 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 15 | Sep 20 – Jan 3 | 1 in 256 |
| 2 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | Dec 7 – Dec 21 | 1 in 109 |
| 3 | New York Jets | 13 | Sep 13 – Dec 13 | 1 in 75 |
| 4 | Chicago Bears | 6 | Oct 26 – Dec 6 | 1 in 47 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Rams | 2 | Dec 20 – Dec 27 | 1 in 23 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 51.91% | 29.36% | 16.61% | 2.12% |
| New England Patriots | 27.46% | 36.13% | 31.73% | 4.68% |
| Miami Dolphins | 20.15% | 32.08% | 41.33% | 6.44% |
| New York Jets | 0.48% | 2.43% | 10.33% | 86.76% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | 50.63% | 34.96% | 12.93% | 1.48% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 39.66% | 39.67% | 18.08% | 2.59% |
| Cleveland Browns | 8.99% | 22.42% | 51.91% | 16.68% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0.72% | 2.95% | 17.08% | 79.25% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Titans | 59.46% | 31.75% | 7.72% | 1.07% |
| Indianapolis Colts | 34.81% | 46.08% | 16.26% | 2.85% |
| Houston Texans | 5.19% | 18.40% | 53.17% | 23.24% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0.54% | 3.77% | 22.85% | 72.84% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 91.99% | 6.71% | 1.09% | 0.21% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3.76% | 38.16% | 32.31% | 25.77% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2.61% | 32.19% | 34.03% | 31.17% |
| Denver Broncos | 1.64% | 22.94% | 32.57% | 42.85% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Cowboys | 35.79% | 27.76% | 22.26% | 14.19% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 28.76% | 28.23% | 24.37% | 18.64% |
| Washington Football Team | 24.86% | 27.12% | 25.90% | 22.12% |
| New York Giants | 10.59% | 16.89% | 27.47% | 45.05% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 67.39% | 22.19% | 8.61% | 1.81% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 17.19% | 36.15% | 32.53% | 14.13% |
| Chicago Bears | 13.69% | 33.57% | 36.07% | 16.67% |
| Detroit Lions | 1.73% | 8.09% | 22.79% | 67.39% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Saints | 60.15% | 30.05% | 8.06% | 1.74% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 33.07% | 44.90% | 17.11% | 4.92% |
| Atlanta Falcons | 5.00% | 16.00% | 43.69% | 35.31% |
| Carolina Panthers | 1.78% | 9.05% | 31.14% | 58.03% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks | 38.74% | 28.25% | 19.96% | 13.05% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 33.92% | 29.95% | 21.43% | 14.70% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 14.55% | 22.35% | 29.97% | 33.13% |
| Arizona Cardinals | 12.79% | 19.45% | 28.64% | 39.12% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 38.94% | 23.63% | 14.81% | 9.07% | 5.51% | 3.19% | 1.94% | 1.31% | 0.71% | 0.40% | 0.27% | 0.10% | 0.10% | 0.02% | — | — |
| Baltimore Ravens | 21.32% | 18.65% | 14.79% | 12.33% | 9.73% | 7.65% | 5.47% | 3.69% | 2.88% | 1.57% | 0.95% | 0.57% | 0.29% | 0.08% | 0.03% | — |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 13.74% | 14.65% | 14.70% | 12.46% | 11.85% | 8.88% | 7.12% | 5.52% | 4.15% | 2.79% | 1.88% | 1.00% | 0.77% | 0.32% | 0.14% | 0.03% |
| Tennessee Titans | 10.24% | 14.56% | 15.71% | 13.51% | 11.40% | 9.59% | 7.30% | 5.56% | 4.37% | 2.94% | 2.19% | 1.35% | 0.76% | 0.32% | 0.17% | 0.03% |
| Buffalo Bills | 4.78% | 8.25% | 10.93% | 13.03% | 12.05% | 10.81% | 9.09% | 8.41% | 6.11% | 5.61% | 4.16% | 3.13% | 1.97% | 0.91% | 0.60% | 0.16% |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4.66% | 8.32% | 9.27% | 10.99% | 11.21% | 11.43% | 10.34% | 9.04% | 7.12% | 5.61% | 4.20% | 3.47% | 2.22% | 1.16% | 0.66% | 0.30% |
| New England Patriots | 1.77% | 3.66% | 6.02% | 8.16% | 8.92% | 9.75% | 10.94% | 9.74% | 9.62% | 9.04% | 7.47% | 6.24% | 3.98% | 2.36% | 1.42% | 0.91% |
| Cleveland Browns | 2.11% | 3.40% | 4.87% | 6.44% | 8.45% | 8.90% | 9.40% | 10.46% | 10.85% | 9.26% | 8.47% | 6.51% | 4.92% | 3.29% | 1.88% | 0.79% |
| Miami Dolphins | 1.22% | 2.07% | 4.18% | 5.81% | 7.25% | 8.61% | 9.89% | 10.03% | 11.26% | 10.29% | 10.06% | 7.53% | 5.43% | 3.26% | 1.91% | 1.20% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0.37% | 0.91% | 1.65% | 2.34% | 4.09% | 6.30% | 7.59% | 9.30% | 9.34% | 10.16% | 10.63% | 10.27% | 9.59% | 8.71% | 5.39% | 3.36% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0.26% | 0.57% | 0.81% | 1.88% | 3.05% | 5.07% | 7.22% | 7.97% | 8.83% | 10.33% | 10.85% | 11.65% | 10.91% | 9.37% | 6.95% | 4.28% |
| Houston Texans | 0.34% | 0.85% | 1.33% | 2.08% | 3.08% | 4.19% | 5.55% | 7.07% | 8.36% | 10.52% | 11.98% | 12.82% | 10.29% | 9.12% | 7.85% | 4.57% |
| Denver Broncos | 0.16% | 0.26% | 0.50% | 1.19% | 1.96% | 3.27% | 4.77% | 6.21% | 7.49% | 9.14% | 10.37% | 11.45% | 12.11% | 13.25% | 10.53% | 7.34% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0.07% | 0.20% | 0.34% | 0.51% | 0.98% | 1.51% | 2.03% | 3.41% | 4.74% | 6.38% | 7.69% | 11.16% | 15.71% | 16.95% | 15.87% | 12.45% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.06% | 0.15% | 0.32% | 0.58% | 0.87% | 1.51% | 2.71% | 3.96% | 5.84% | 8.01% | 12.10% | 17.14% | 23.14% | 23.58% |
| New York Jets | 0.01% | — | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.15% | 0.27% | 0.48% | 0.77% | 1.46% | 2.00% | 2.99% | 4.74% | 8.85% | 13.74% | 23.46% | 41.00% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 25.99% | 18.75% | 15.00% | 10.28% | 7.57% | 5.84% | 4.65% | 3.64% | 2.62% | 2.02% | 1.53% | 0.95% | 0.51% | 0.40% | 0.18% | 0.07% |
| New Orleans Saints | 21.41% | 18.24% | 14.68% | 10.40% | 8.92% | 7.53% | 5.82% | 3.72% | 2.89% | 2.32% | 1.48% | 0.94% | 0.69% | 0.54% | 0.29% | 0.13% |
| Seattle Seahawks | 13.93% | 14.09% | 12.46% | 10.10% | 9.32% | 7.92% | 6.84% | 6.01% | 5.30% | 4.03% | 3.23% | 2.41% | 2.17% | 1.25% | 0.69% | 0.25% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 11.10% | 12.47% | 11.97% | 10.79% | 9.17% | 9.04% | 7.63% | 6.14% | 5.39% | 4.49% | 3.58% | 2.83% | 2.61% | 1.57% | 0.87% | 0.35% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 9.61% | 9.65% | 10.65% | 11.15% | 10.35% | 9.82% | 9.06% | 7.25% | 5.57% | 4.61% | 4.04% | 3.02% | 2.16% | 1.43% | 1.16% | 0.47% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 4.00% | 5.42% | 6.49% | 7.32% | 8.23% | 8.54% | 8.92% | 8.68% | 8.10% | 7.43% | 7.43% | 6.21% | 4.56% | 4.21% | 2.96% | 1.50% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 4.25% | 5.60% | 6.06% | 7.86% | 7.94% | 8.15% | 8.30% | 8.47% | 8.50% | 7.31% | 7.05% | 6.23% | 5.83% | 4.48% | 2.46% | 1.51% |
| Chicago Bears | 3.01% | 4.31% | 5.52% | 7.20% | 7.55% | 8.37% | 8.50% | 8.87% | 8.59% | 8.15% | 7.54% | 6.25% | 5.58% | 4.63% | 3.79% | 2.14% |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3.48% | 4.39% | 5.54% | 6.64% | 6.77% | 7.78% | 8.26% | 7.95% | 8.17% | 7.67% | 7.37% | 7.51% | 6.55% | 5.68% | 4.02% | 2.22% |
| Dallas Cowboys | 1.05% | 2.17% | 3.63% | 4.91% | 6.45% | 6.21% | 6.78% | 7.96% | 8.29% | 8.57% | 8.45% | 8.32% | 8.13% | 6.79% | 6.68% | 5.61% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 0.59% | 1.25% | 2.28% | 3.78% | 4.78% | 5.35% | 5.97% | 7.46% | 7.82% | 8.55% | 8.82% | 9.09% | 9.55% | 9.11% | 8.01% | 7.59% |
| Washington Football Team | 0.48% | 1.31% | 2.09% | 3.39% | 4.42% | 4.80% | 5.57% | 6.01% | 7.91% | 8.59% | 8.72% | 9.59% | 9.45% | 8.95% | 9.35% | 9.37% |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.68% | 1.23% | 1.95% | 2.81% | 3.60% | 4.25% | 4.87% | 6.39% | 6.91% | 8.56% | 9.46% | 10.42% | 9.42% | 10.53% | 10.24% | 8.68% |
| Carolina Panthers | 0.16% | 0.36% | 0.60% | 1.00% | 1.59% | 2.04% | 3.25% | 4.21% | 4.56% | 6.04% | 7.51% | 9.38% | 10.64% | 13.37% | 16.09% | 19.20% |
| Detroit Lions | 0.17% | 0.41% | 0.42% | 1.17% | 1.59% | 2.17% | 2.73% | 3.76% | 4.69% | 5.73% | 7.47% | 8.80% | 11.24% | 14.77% | 16.17% | 18.71% |
| New York Giants | 0.09% | 0.35% | 0.66% | 1.20% | 1.75% | 2.19% | 2.85% | 3.48% | 4.69% | 5.93% | 6.32% | 8.05% | 10.91% | 12.29% | 17.04% | 22.20% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 28.59% | 15.72% | 12.63% | 9.03% | 7.67% | 5.66% | 4.16% | 3.87% | 2.84% | 2.11% | 1.89% | 1.33% | 0.98% | 0.83% | 0.63% | 0.48% | 0.41% | 0.31% | 0.26% | 0.14% | 0.17% | 0.10% | 0.03% | 0.06% | 0.08% | 0.01% | 0.01% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Baltimore Ravens | 14.05% | 10.90% | 10.84% | 8.72% | 8.08% | 6.52% | 6.16% | 4.96% | 4.83% | 3.84% | 3.70% | 3.36% | 2.57% | 2.47% | 1.80% | 1.43% | 1.37% | 1.08% | 0.91% | 0.68% | 0.50% | 0.33% | 0.31% | 0.26% | 0.15% | 0.09% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.02% | — | — |
| Green Bay Packers | 10.12% | 11.89% | 8.93% | 10.01% | 7.31% | 7.96% | 6.21% | 5.62% | 4.07% | 4.22% | 3.35% | 2.96% | 2.94% | 2.34% | 2.33% | 1.55% | 1.44% | 1.52% | 1.10% | 0.79% | 0.82% | 0.61% | 0.48% | 0.47% | 0.27% | 0.24% | 0.16% | 0.10% | 0.10% | 0.07% | 0.02% | — |
| New Orleans Saints | 8.29% | 10.15% | 8.38% | 9.24% | 7.42% | 7.59% | 6.10% | 5.63% | 5.07% | 4.59% | 3.97% | 4.06% | 3.10% | 2.78% | 2.40% | 1.82% | 1.89% | 1.42% | 1.29% | 0.96% | 0.90% | 0.58% | 0.65% | 0.32% | 0.35% | 0.33% | 0.28% | 0.10% | 0.17% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.01% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 8.48% | 8.17% | 8.54% | 7.52% | 7.35% | 6.86% | 6.34% | 5.74% | 5.93% | 4.81% | 4.26% | 4.04% | 3.25% | 3.22% | 2.67% | 2.38% | 1.97% | 1.72% | 1.47% | 1.21% | 1.00% | 0.80% | 0.44% | 0.54% | 0.47% | 0.34% | 0.12% | 0.16% | 0.09% | 0.08% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
| Tennessee Titans | 6.68% | 6.49% | 7.97% | 7.04% | 8.32% | 6.89% | 6.73% | 5.97% | 5.66% | 4.93% | 4.64% | 4.31% | 3.48% | 3.74% | 2.57% | 2.59% | 2.21% | 1.82% | 1.48% | 1.40% | 0.99% | 1.12% | 0.74% | 0.86% | 0.41% | 0.35% | 0.17% | 0.19% | 0.15% | 0.05% | 0.03% | 0.02% |
| Seattle Seahawks | 4.65% | 7.20% | 6.42% | 7.14% | 6.26% | 6.39% | 5.73% | 5.31% | 5.06% | 4.80% | 4.32% | 4.19% | 4.26% | 3.42% | 3.42% | 2.60% | 2.88% | 2.52% | 2.25% | 2.08% | 1.67% | 1.32% | 1.57% | 1.20% | 0.91% | 0.88% | 0.54% | 0.39% | 0.33% | 0.15% | 0.08% | 0.06% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 3.44% | 5.70% | 5.37% | 6.52% | 5.72% | 6.53% | 5.52% | 5.89% | 5.24% | 4.89% | 4.97% | 4.41% | 4.56% | 3.72% | 3.64% | 2.75% | 3.14% | 2.42% | 2.54% | 2.25% | 1.89% | 1.70% | 1.49% | 1.17% | 1.44% | 0.93% | 0.77% | 0.53% | 0.38% | 0.28% | 0.15% | 0.05% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3.02% | 4.42% | 4.63% | 5.30% | 4.21% | 5.98% | 5.64% | 5.74% | 5.07% | 6.42% | 5.05% | 4.87% | 4.58% | 4.59% | 4.08% | 3.78% | 3.15% | 2.84% | 2.43% | 2.37% | 2.08% | 2.06% | 1.79% | 1.27% | 1.09% | 1.01% | 0.83% | 0.62% | 0.55% | 0.32% | 0.16% | 0.05% |
| Buffalo Bills | 2.71% | 3.31% | 4.65% | 4.68% | 5.91% | 4.83% | 6.26% | 6.32% | 5.84% | 5.23% | 5.30% | 4.93% | 4.37% | 4.15% | 4.38% | 3.91% | 3.38% | 2.95% | 2.72% | 2.61% | 2.13% | 2.09% | 1.48% | 1.76% | 1.07% | 0.91% | 0.75% | 0.52% | 0.41% | 0.28% | 0.08% | 0.08% |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2.71% | 3.20% | 4.78% | 4.13% | 5.53% | 4.38% | 5.35% | 5.34% | 5.58% | 5.30% | 4.88% | 5.31% | 4.76% | 4.73% | 4.40% | 4.81% | 3.16% | 3.42% | 2.55% | 2.94% | 2.01% | 2.33% | 1.81% | 1.72% | 1.32% | 1.16% | 0.63% | 0.63% | 0.42% | 0.33% | 0.28% | 0.10% |
| New England Patriots | 1.01% | 1.15% | 2.18% | 2.41% | 3.19% | 3.19% | 3.91% | 4.11% | 3.94% | 4.51% | 5.16% | 4.59% | 4.76% | 5.42% | 4.79% | 4.72% | 4.13% | 4.66% | 4.36% | 4.24% | 3.68% | 3.58% | 3.21% | 3.24% | 2.22% | 2.09% | 1.52% | 1.41% | 0.85% | 0.79% | 0.60% | 0.38% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 1.08% | 1.97% | 2.29% | 2.65% | 3.09% | 3.65% | 3.83% | 4.09% | 4.35% | 4.30% | 4.28% | 4.06% | 4.74% | 4.22% | 4.55% | 4.53% | 4.38% | 4.15% | 4.04% | 3.57% | 4.07% | 3.55% | 3.51% | 2.96% | 2.67% | 2.52% | 2.02% | 1.64% | 1.31% | 0.98% | 0.61% | 0.34% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 0.97% | 2.02% | 2.14% | 2.78% | 3.19% | 3.37% | 3.64% | 3.80% | 4.14% | 4.02% | 4.44% | 4.74% | 4.60% | 4.63% | 4.58% | 4.35% | 4.62% | 4.33% | 3.88% | 3.91% | 3.98% | 3.55% | 3.58% | 2.41% | 2.77% | 2.29% | 2.24% | 1.45% | 1.57% | 0.91% | 0.74% | 0.36% |
| Cleveland Browns | 1.07% | 1.48% | 1.83% | 1.86% | 3.04% | 2.88% | 3.42% | 3.28% | 4.36% | 4.27% | 4.25% | 4.48% | 4.54% | 5.07% | 4.72% | 4.75% | 4.89% | 5.25% | 3.89% | 4.44% | 3.71% | 4.18% | 3.19% | 3.50% | 2.52% | 2.34% | 1.94% | 1.58% | 1.23% | 1.06% | 0.60% | 0.38% |
| Chicago Bears | 0.69% | 1.43% | 1.71% | 2.12% | 2.56% | 2.92% | 3.66% | 3.54% | 3.80% | 4.10% | 4.20% | 4.75% | 4.71% | 4.20% | 4.35% | 4.57% | 4.88% | 4.65% | 4.09% | 4.06% | 3.97% | 3.68% | 3.21% | 3.15% | 2.88% | 2.78% | 2.72% | 1.91% | 2.04% | 1.30% | 0.87% | 0.50% |
| Arizona Cardinals | 0.83% | 1.70% | 1.92% | 2.22% | 2.46% | 2.88% | 3.53% | 3.46% | 3.56% | 3.75% | 4.09% | 3.92% | 4.39% | 4.70% | 4.12% | 3.93% | 4.56% | 4.15% | 4.63% | 3.78% | 4.06% | 3.52% | 4.22% | 3.10% | 3.26% | 3.07% | 3.09% | 2.15% | 1.89% | 1.37% | 1.13% | 0.56% |
| Miami Dolphins | 0.58% | 0.80% | 1.15% | 1.50% | 2.10% | 2.29% | 2.78% | 2.96% | 3.74% | 3.74% | 4.19% | 4.16% | 4.71% | 4.74% | 4.76% | 5.40% | 4.92% | 5.13% | 4.98% | 4.93% | 4.58% | 4.74% | 3.64% | 4.12% | 2.82% | 2.82% | 2.07% | 1.90% | 1.35% | 1.06% | 0.77% | 0.57% |
| Dallas Cowboys | 0.20% | 0.53% | 0.69% | 0.97% | 1.24% | 2.00% | 2.04% | 2.64% | 2.62% | 3.26% | 3.14% | 3.42% | 3.11% | 3.65% | 4.10% | 4.19% | 4.46% | 4.08% | 4.62% | 4.75% | 4.73% | 4.62% | 4.40% | 4.12% | 4.44% | 4.12% | 3.73% | 3.37% | 3.48% | 3.00% | 2.58% | 1.70% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0.20% | 0.22% | 0.56% | 0.63% | 0.86% | 1.09% | 1.12% | 1.43% | 2.14% | 2.14% | 2.89% | 3.09% | 3.61% | 3.80% | 3.88% | 4.40% | 3.93% | 4.68% | 4.80% | 5.33% | 4.87% | 4.83% | 5.04% | 5.48% | 4.22% | 4.98% | 4.23% | 4.86% | 3.25% | 3.32% | 2.10% | 2.02% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 0.08% | 0.27% | 0.41% | 0.65% | 0.67% | 1.29% | 1.36% | 1.87% | 1.85% | 2.62% | 2.53% | 2.96% | 2.65% | 2.98% | 3.99% | 4.18% | 4.10% | 4.08% | 4.17% | 4.74% | 4.65% | 4.60% | 4.96% | 4.83% | 5.38% | 4.50% | 4.93% | 4.78% | 4.60% | 3.61% | 3.56% | 2.15% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0.15% | 0.12% | 0.33% | 0.32% | 0.56% | 0.49% | 0.88% | 1.23% | 1.72% | 1.63% | 2.27% | 2.93% | 3.39% | 3.22% | 3.17% | 4.05% | 3.97% | 4.46% | 4.71% | 5.09% | 4.54% | 5.67% | 5.48% | 6.42% | 5.11% | 5.28% | 4.63% | 4.71% | 4.29% | 3.87% | 2.79% | 2.52% |
| Washington Football Team | 0.10% | 0.21% | 0.32% | 0.71% | 0.72% | 1.11% | 1.26% | 1.79% | 1.68% | 2.29% | 2.32% | 2.54% | 2.66% | 2.89% | 3.08% | 3.65% | 3.75% | 4.32% | 4.26% | 4.61% | 4.97% | 4.39% | 4.83% | 5.06% | 5.11% | 4.96% | 5.15% | 4.82% | 5.18% | 4.20% | 4.31% | 2.75% |
| Houston Texans | 0.11% | 0.21% | 0.47% | 0.47% | 0.56% | 0.74% | 1.17% | 1.21% | 1.57% | 1.57% | 2.17% | 2.11% | 2.64% | 2.93% | 3.32% | 3.63% | 3.86% | 4.42% | 4.61% | 5.00% | 5.36% | 5.58% | 5.29% | 6.19% | 5.10% | 5.27% | 4.82% | 5.16% | 4.16% | 4.18% | 3.38% | 2.74% |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.08% | 0.39% | 0.31% | 0.62% | 0.82% | 0.94% | 1.26% | 1.52% | 1.59% | 2.04% | 2.18% | 2.25% | 2.28% | 2.85% | 3.18% | 3.63% | 3.55% | 3.75% | 4.76% | 4.33% | 5.23% | 4.63% | 5.40% | 4.62% | 5.46% | 4.91% | 5.63% | 4.94% | 5.64% | 4.41% | 4.40% | 2.40% |
| Denver Broncos | 0.07% | 0.08% | 0.17% | 0.11% | 0.30% | 0.34% | 0.52% | 0.74% | 0.95% | 1.24% | 1.39% | 1.56% | 2.17% | 2.45% | 2.51% | 3.30% | 3.32% | 4.02% | 4.22% | 4.44% | 4.53% | 5.19% | 4.95% | 5.58% | 5.58% | 6.59% | 5.84% | 6.66% | 5.89% | 6.15% | 4.73% | 4.41% |
| Carolina Panthers | 0.02% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.17% | 0.22% | 0.36% | 0.29% | 0.50% | 0.67% | 0.98% | 1.00% | 1.20% | 1.41% | 1.94% | 2.17% | 1.95% | 2.61% | 2.53% | 3.13% | 3.04% | 4.31% | 4.11% | 5.23% | 4.41% | 5.95% | 5.69% | 6.99% | 7.22% | 8.38% | 7.66% | 8.67% | 7.02% |
| Detroit Lions | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.09% | 0.23% | 0.17% | 0.34% | 0.37% | 0.56% | 0.69% | 0.76% | 1.08% | 1.28% | 1.60% | 1.22% | 2.02% | 1.88% | 2.63% | 2.57% | 3.02% | 3.20% | 3.80% | 4.14% | 5.01% | 4.79% | 6.09% | 6.08% | 8.02% | 7.04% | 7.94% | 7.29% | 9.05% | 6.97% |
| New York Giants | — | 0.07% | 0.09% | 0.13% | 0.23% | 0.35% | 0.39% | 0.55% | 0.62% | 0.92% | 1.01% | 0.98% | 1.40% | 1.38% | 1.96% | 1.83% | 2.22% | 2.42% | 3.27% | 2.89% | 3.52% | 3.78% | 4.36% | 4.32% | 5.72% | 5.89% | 6.83% | 6.65% | 9.27% | 8.30% | 10.24% | 8.41% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.08% | 0.12% | 0.20% | 0.15% | 0.29% | 0.24% | 0.50% | 0.58% | 0.70% | 0.76% | 1.22% | 1.05% | 1.57% | 1.67% | 2.59% | 2.27% | 2.99% | 3.24% | 3.66% | 4.24% | 4.61% | 5.25% | 6.82% | 7.30% | 7.29% | 8.29% | 7.73% | 8.46% | 8.07% | 7.99% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | — | 0.02% | — | — | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.07% | 0.06% | 0.23% | 0.10% | 0.26% | 0.33% | 0.34% | 0.43% | 0.63% | 0.89% | 1.00% | 1.41% | 1.62% | 2.01% | 2.31% | 3.01% | 3.15% | 4.35% | 5.01% | 5.85% | 6.72% | 8.86% | 9.42% | 13.37% | 11.99% | 16.51% |
| New York Jets | — | — | 0.01% | — | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.09% | 0.04% | 0.12% | 0.12% | 0.22% | 0.24% | 0.23% | 0.40% | 0.63% | 0.65% | 0.95% | 0.97% | 1.31% | 1.37% | 1.94% | 2.47% | 3.31% | 4.42% | 5.30% | 7.35% | 7.90% | 13.02% | 17.94% | 28.94% |
Win Totals in Context
How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | 7 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 38.94% | 25.67% | 16.77% | 10.61% | 1.83% | 1.99% | 1.56% | 2.63% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 21.32% | 16.70% | 9.31% | 3.30% | 22.58% | 10.16% | 6.19% | 10.44% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 13.74% | 12.81% | 9.22% | 3.89% | 23.54% | 11.75% | 8.02% | 17.03% |
| Tennessee Titans | 10.24% | 15.19% | 19.10% | 14.93% | 8.03% | 8.35% | 6.90% | 17.26% |
| Buffalo Bills | 4.78% | 9.03% | 14.35% | 23.75% | 3.82% | 6.83% | 7.54% | 29.90% |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4.66% | 8.46% | 10.92% | 10.77% | 10.17% | 11.24% | 10.17% | 33.61% |
| Cleveland Browns | 2.11% | 2.89% | 2.60% | 1.39% | 11.60% | 11.23% | 10.79% | 57.39% |
| New England Patriots | 1.77% | 4.08% | 7.76% | 13.85% | 4.02% | 8.25% | 9.92% | 50.35% |
| Miami Dolphins | 1.22% | 2.27% | 5.56% | 11.10% | 3.26% | 6.96% | 9.30% | 60.33% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0.37% | 0.90% | 1.23% | 1.26% | 3.47% | 7.57% | 8.09% | 77.11% |
| Houston Texans | 0.34% | 0.87% | 1.49% | 2.49% | 2.51% | 4.18% | 5.51% | 82.61% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0.26% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.93% | 2.41% | 5.65% | 7.77% | 81.56% |
| Denver Broncos | 0.16% | 0.27% | 0.51% | 0.70% | 1.60% | 3.62% | 4.95% | 88.19% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0.07% | 0.22% | 0.22% | 0.21% | 0.93% | 1.53% | 2.15% | 94.67% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.10% | 0.41% | 0.18% | 0.50% | 0.78% | 98.00% |
| New York Jets | 0.01% | — | 0.06% | 0.41% | 0.05% | 0.19% | 0.36% | 98.92% |
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | 7 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 25.99% | 19.50% | 17.67% | 4.23% | 7.60% | 6.48% | 5.38% | 13.15% |
| New Orleans Saints | 21.41% | 18.55% | 16.55% | 3.64% | 9.79% | 8.65% | 7.07% | 14.34% |
| Seattle Seahawks | 13.93% | 13.62% | 9.11% | 2.08% | 13.62% | 10.94% | 8.84% | 27.86% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 11.10% | 12.26% | 8.46% | 2.10% | 14.24% | 11.38% | 9.84% | 30.62% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 9.61% | 9.55% | 10.74% | 3.17% | 12.32% | 11.68% | 10.70% | 32.23% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 4.25% | 5.21% | 4.01% | 1.08% | 10.25% | 9.82% | 9.45% | 55.93% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 4.00% | 5.18% | 6.07% | 1.94% | 8.92% | 9.67% | 9.99% | 54.23% |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3.48% | 4.29% | 3.91% | 1.11% | 7.85% | 9.22% | 9.38% | 60.76% |
| Chicago Bears | 3.01% | 4.02% | 5.03% | 1.63% | 8.51% | 9.29% | 10.17% | 58.34% |
| Dallas Cowboys | 1.05% | 2.40% | 5.90% | 26.44% | 0.48% | 1.54% | 2.27% | 59.92% |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.68% | 1.31% | 2.27% | 0.74% | 2.94% | 4.58% | 5.11% | 82.37% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 0.59% | 1.48% | 3.97% | 22.72% | 0.54% | 1.10% | 2.26% | 67.34% |
| Washington Football Team | 0.48% | 1.46% | 3.49% | 19.43% | 0.46% | 1.20% | 2.40% | 71.08% |
| Detroit Lions | 0.17% | 0.39% | 0.80% | 0.37% | 1.18% | 1.84% | 2.88% | 92.37% |
| Carolina Panthers | 0.16% | 0.36% | 0.83% | 0.43% | 1.10% | 1.95% | 2.96% | 92.21% |
| New York Giants | 0.09% | 0.42% | 1.19% | 8.89% | 0.20% | 0.66% | 1.30% | 87.25% |
Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed
The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Divisional Round | Advanced to Conference Championship | Advanced to Super Bowl | Won Super Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 83.41% | 83.41% | 56.04% | 35.82% | 21.84% |
| Green Bay Packers | 70.23% | 70.23% | 46.33% | 28.24% | 14.54% |
| New Orleans Saints | 67.40% | 67.40% | 44.18% | 26.63% | 14.38% |
| Buffalo Bills | 65.32% | 50.28% | 30.81% | 18.02% | 10.55% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 68.24% | 63.07% | 34.97% | 16.78% | 8.39% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 58.16% | 45.60% | 25.47% | 12.99% | 5.78% |
| Seattle Seahawks | 58.21% | 50.05% | 26.85% | 12.90% | 5.48% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 69.23% | 48.63% | 20.53% | 7.87% | 3.69% |
| Tennessee Titans | 72.50% | 47.87% | 19.95% | 7.97% | 3.43% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 58.28% | 44.09% | 21.00% | 8.48% | 3.43% |
| Indianapolis Colts | 61.73% | 35.82% | 15.50% | 6.83% | 3.22% |
| Miami Dolphins | 38.45% | 16.94% | 6.88% | 2.58% | 0.96% |
| Chicago Bears | 38.65% | 18.51% | 6.14% | 2.29% | 0.68% |
| Cleveland Browns | 40.50% | 17.30% | 5.78% | 1.72% | 0.60% |
| Arizona Cardinals | 35.76% | 18.08% | 5.65% | 1.79% | 0.57% |
| New England Patriots | 47.88% | 17.92% | 5.23% | 1.40% | 0.48% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 39.82% | 19.36% | 5.96% | 1.65% | 0.45% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 41.77% | 19.58% | 5.91% | 1.65% | 0.42% |
| Washington Football Team | 28.44% | 11.03% | 3.34% | 1.06% | 0.26% |
| Atlanta Falcons | 16.95% | 6.92% | 2.26% | 0.72% | 0.20% |
| Dallas Cowboys | 39.03% | 13.49% | 3.49% | 0.81% | 0.20% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 18.18% | 4.92% | 1.34% | 0.36% | 0.13% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 22.52% | 6.16% | 1.73% | 0.42% | 0.07% |
| Carolina Panthers | 7.63% | 2.38% | 0.55% | 0.16% | 0.06% |
| New York Giants | 12.66% | 3.64% | 0.95% | 0.18% | 0.05% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 32.07% | 8.10% | 1.58% | 0.42% | 0.05% |
| Denver Broncos | 11.65% | 2.56% | 0.45% | 0.13% | 0.04% |
| Houston Texans | 17.05% | 3.53% | 0.58% | 0.07% | 0.03% |
| Detroit Lions | 7.46% | 1.54% | 0.34% | 0.03% | 0.01% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5.26% | 1.09% | 0.16% | 0.03% | 0.01% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 1.99% | 0.30% | 0.04% | — | — |
| New York Jets | 1.07% | 0.20% | 0.01% | — | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Baltimore Ravens | Buffalo Bills | Cincinnati Bengals | Cleveland Browns | Denver Broncos | Houston Texans | Indianapolis Colts | Jacksonville Jaguars | Kansas City Chiefs | Las Vegas Raiders | Los Angeles Chargers | Miami Dolphins | New England Patriots | New York Jets | Pittsburgh Steelers | Tennessee Titans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | 4.06% | 0.69% | 3.34% | 1.13% | 2.03% | 4.55% | 0.24% | 2.13% | 2.11% | 1.92% | 3.87% | 4.74% | 0.19% | 5.14% | 5.61% | |
| Buffalo Bills | 5.40% | 0.72% | 4.68% | 1.24% | 1.66% | 4.65% | 0.23% | 2.03% | 2.50% | 1.90% | 3.34% | 5.35% | 0.07% | 6.70% | 5.03% | |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0.14% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.13% | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.08% | 0.10% | 0.19% | 0.14% | |||
| Cleveland Browns | 1.55% | 1.63% | 0.14% | 0.29% | 0.58% | 1.87% | 0.07% | 1.12% | 0.46% | 0.38% | 1.42% | 1.97% | 0.07% | 1.64% | 2.00% | |
| Denver Broncos | 0.14% | 0.17% | 0.03% | 0.15% | 0.11% | 0.26% | 0.25% | 0.07% | 0.02% | 0.14% | 0.31% | 0.01% | 0.25% | 0.49% | ||
| Houston Texans | 0.28% | 0.21% | 0.04% | 0.16% | 0.09% | 0.26% | 0.01% | 0.25% | 0.13% | 0.15% | 0.25% | 0.40% | 0.03% | 0.42% | 0.51% | |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3.24% | 2.37% | 0.44% | 2.79% | 0.85% | 1.33% | 0.13% | 1.69% | 1.57% | 1.23% | 2.21% | 3.27% | 0.04% | 4.08% | 5.92% | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.04% | 0.04% | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 3.67% | 2.61% | 0.78% | 4.75% | 2.17% | 2.48% | 4.47% | 0.25% | 3.70% | 3.10% | 3.45% | 4.16% | 0.13% | 5.10% | 3.65% | |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0.61% | 0.41% | 0.01% | 0.25% | 0.05% | 0.14% | 0.51% | 0.05% | 0.63% | 0.12% | 0.44% | 0.68% | 0.02% | 0.72% | 1.15% | |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0.51% | 0.43% | 0.20% | 0.02% | 0.23% | 0.55% | 0.01% | 0.38% | 0.06% | 0.31% | 0.51% | 0.73% | 0.72% | |||
| Miami Dolphins | 2.03% | 1.26% | 0.14% | 1.35% | 0.37% | 0.59% | 1.64% | 0.07% | 1.07% | 0.75% | 0.61% | 1.54% | 2.19% | 2.11% | ||
| New England Patriots | 1.56% | 1.36% | 0.27% | 1.50% | 0.55% | 0.67% | 1.75% | 0.09% | 1.06% | 0.81% | 0.69% | 1.11% | 0.01% | 2.39% | 2.33% | |
| New York Jets | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.02% | |||||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3.60% | 3.36% | 0.42% | 2.52% | 1.03% | 1.67% | 4.05% | 0.23% | 1.89% | 1.80% | 1.34% | 3.11% | 4.52% | 0.20% | 5.15% | |
| Tennessee Titans | 3.71% | 1.86% | 0.56% | 3.55% | 1.43% | 2.33% | 5.85% | 0.31% | 1.39% | 2.69% | 2.03% | 2.99% | 4.11% | 0.11% | 4.71% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Arizona Cardinals | Atlanta Falcons | Carolina Panthers | Chicago Bears | Dallas Cowboys | Detroit Lions | Green Bay Packers | Los Angeles Rams | Minnesota Vikings | New Orleans Saints | New York Giants | Philadelphia Eagles | San Francisco 49ers | Seattle Seahawks | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Washington Football Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | 0.41% | 0.23% | 1.08% | 1.79% | 0.29% | 1.01% | 1.00% | 1.31% | 1.16% | 0.58% | 1.76% | 0.91% | 1.13% | 0.79% | 1.15% | |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.42% | 0.06% | 0.51% | 0.65% | 0.08% | 0.39% | 0.53% | 0.52% | 0.47% | 0.27% | 0.51% | 0.43% | 0.51% | 0.39% | 0.50% | |
| Carolina Panthers | 0.06% | 0.02% | 0.25% | 0.18% | 0.08% | 0.14% | 0.27% | 0.22% | 0.15% | 0.07% | 0.23% | 0.14% | 0.17% | 0.16% | 0.08% | |
| Chicago Bears | 0.95% | 0.51% | 0.23% | 1.92% | 0.25% | 1.20% | 1.50% | 1.00% | 1.20% | 0.59% | 1.71% | 1.08% | 1.24% | 0.94% | 1.18% | |
| Dallas Cowboys | 1.40% | 0.60% | 0.24% | 1.25% | 0.39% | 0.61% | 1.45% | 1.35% | 0.52% | 0.24% | 0.45% | 1.68% | 1.10% | 0.84% | 0.32% | |
| Detroit Lions | 0.09% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.13% | 0.09% | 0.14% | 0.13% | 0.08% | 0.05% | 0.21% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.10% | 0.07% | |
| Green Bay Packers | 3.35% | 1.89% | 0.95% | 5.00% | 2.85% | 1.12% | 4.32% | 4.98% | 3.10% | 0.87% | 2.37% | 4.12% | 3.59% | 4.09% | 1.64% | |
| Los Angeles Rams | 2.40% | 0.97% | 0.40% | 2.20% | 3.98% | 0.52% | 1.84% | 2.67% | 2.05% | 1.28% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 3.56% | 2.29% | 2.78% | |
| Minnesota Vikings | 1.09% | 0.51% | 0.30% | 0.64% | 1.98% | 0.30% | 1.47% | 1.25% | 1.08% | 0.54% | 1.71% | 1.18% | 1.17% | 1.15% | 1.21% | |
| New Orleans Saints | 3.44% | 2.02% | 1.03% | 3.95% | 2.97% | 1.22% | 3.05% | 4.05% | 4.52% | 1.21% | 2.82% | 4.00% | 3.48% | 6.00% | 2.23% | |
| New York Giants | 0.26% | 0.16% | 0.14% | 0.40% | 0.07% | 0.08% | 0.11% | 0.43% | 0.37% | 0.20% | 0.09% | 0.49% | 0.41% | 0.27% | 0.07% | |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 0.84% | 0.33% | 0.13% | 0.82% | 0.41% | 0.11% | 0.31% | 0.84% | 0.92% | 0.30% | 0.03% | 0.93% | 0.71% | 0.69% | 0.14% | |
| San Francisco 49ers | 0.77% | 0.43% | 0.23% | 0.95% | 2.12% | 0.29% | 0.85% | 1.30% | 1.14% | 0.87% | 0.74% | 2.22% | 1.07% | 0.97% | 1.16% | |
| Seattle Seahawks | 2.66% | 1.21% | 0.82% | 2.15% | 3.74% | 0.61% | 2.13% | 3.97% | 2.93% | 2.33% | 1.42% | 3.50% | 3.19% | 2.70% | 2.76% | |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2.33% | 1.15% | 0.51% | 2.74% | 3.43% | 0.56% | 2.79% | 2.97% | 2.91% | 4.14% | 1.15% | 3.21% | 2.56% | 2.94% | 2.60% | |
| Washington Football Team | 1.10% | 0.47% | 0.13% | 1.14% | 0.37% | 0.19% | 0.63% | 1.27% | 1.22% | 0.61% | 0.07% | 0.39% | 1.27% | 0.90% | 0.79% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Baltimore Ravens | Buffalo Bills | Cincinnati Bengals | Cleveland Browns | Denver Broncos | Houston Texans | Indianapolis Colts | Jacksonville Jaguars | Kansas City Chiefs | Las Vegas Raiders | Los Angeles Chargers | Miami Dolphins | New England Patriots | New York Jets | Pittsburgh Steelers | Tennessee Titans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | 4.25% | 0.18% | 2.28% | 0.44% | 0.63% | 3.90% | 0.06% | 5.21% | 0.89% | 0.76% | 1.98% | 2.35% | 0.04% | 6.45% | 5.55% | |
| Buffalo Bills | 5.68% | 0.11% | 1.41% | 0.15% | 0.32% | 3.30% | 0.02% | 7.31% | 0.52% | 0.33% | 0.82% | 1.04% | 5.02% | 4.78% | ||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.02% | |||||||||
| Cleveland Browns | 1.04% | 0.40% | 0.04% | 0.06% | 0.55% | 0.01% | 1.08% | 0.09% | 0.11% | 0.25% | 0.36% | 0.83% | 0.96% | |||
| Denver Broncos | 0.08% | 0.03% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.08% | 0.01% | 0.09% | 0.07% | |||||||
| Houston Texans | 0.08% | 0.05% | 0.06% | 0.05% | 0.08% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.13% | 0.08% | |||||||
| Indianapolis Colts | 2.74% | 1.39% | 0.07% | 0.79% | 0.20% | 0.06% | 3.54% | 0.17% | 0.25% | 0.74% | 1.02% | 0.01% | 2.44% | 2.08% | ||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% | |||||||||||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 8.08% | 7.87% | 0.35% | 3.69% | 0.74% | 1.04% | 7.03% | 0.08% | 1.44% | 1.22% | 3.84% | 4.47% | 0.09% | 7.44% | 8.66% | |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0.38% | 0.10% | 0.08% | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.13% | 0.37% | 0.03% | 0.04% | 0.05% | 0.30% | 0.19% | ||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0.28% | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.15% | 0.30% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.16% | 0.19% | |||
| Miami Dolphins | 1.16% | 0.45% | 0.01% | 0.39% | 0.07% | 0.07% | 0.67% | 0.01% | 1.36% | 0.20% | 0.07% | 0.31% | 1.03% | 1.08% | ||
| New England Patriots | 0.90% | 0.29% | 0.03% | 0.26% | 0.04% | 0.11% | 0.47% | 0.02% | 1.11% | 0.13% | 0.08% | 0.12% | 0.77% | 0.90% | ||
| New York Jets | 0.01% | |||||||||||||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 4.00% | 2.29% | 0.08% | 1.13% | 0.20% | 0.32% | 2.27% | 0.06% | 3.17% | 0.56% | 0.38% | 1.13% | 1.56% | 0.02% | 3.36% | |
| Tennessee Titans | 3.65% | 2.29% | 0.08% | 1.33% | 0.21% | 0.24% | 1.74% | 3.70% | 0.41% | 0.34% | 1.10% | 1.43% | 0.03% | 3.40% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Arizona Cardinals | Atlanta Falcons | Carolina Panthers | Chicago Bears | Dallas Cowboys | Detroit Lions | Green Bay Packers | Los Angeles Rams | Minnesota Vikings | New Orleans Saints | New York Giants | Philadelphia Eagles | San Francisco 49ers | Seattle Seahawks | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Washington Football Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | 0.19% | 0.02% | 0.28% | 0.37% | 0.04% | 0.76% | 0.76% | 0.43% | 0.73% | 0.10% | 0.16% | 0.46% | 0.68% | 0.45% | 0.22% | |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.14% | 0.02% | 0.18% | 0.16% | 0.01% | 0.38% | 0.37% | 0.05% | 0.26% | 0.01% | 0.08% | 0.18% | 0.16% | 0.16% | 0.10% | |
| Carolina Panthers | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.04% | 0.04% | 0.08% | 0.01% | 0.11% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.05% | 0.05% | 0.01% | ||
| Chicago Bears | 0.49% | 0.11% | 0.06% | 0.22% | 0.02% | 0.91% | 0.65% | 0.37% | 0.95% | 0.03% | 0.17% | 0.45% | 0.81% | 0.59% | 0.31% | |
| Dallas Cowboys | 0.26% | 0.06% | 0.04% | 0.21% | 0.01% | 0.39% | 0.44% | 0.34% | 0.56% | 0.07% | 0.23% | 0.48% | 0.39% | 0.01% | ||
| Detroit Lions | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.02% | 0.03% | |||
| Green Bay Packers | 3.04% | 1.39% | 0.42% | 3.11% | 2.64% | 0.24% | 6.02% | 3.43% | 7.14% | 0.63% | 1.70% | 3.22% | 5.97% | 5.34% | 2.04% | |
| Los Angeles Rams | 1.37% | 0.54% | 0.28% | 1.44% | 1.16% | 0.17% | 3.24% | 1.41% | 3.03% | 0.32% | 0.80% | 1.45% | 2.73% | 2.35% | 0.71% | |
| Minnesota Vikings | 0.38% | 0.13% | 0.08% | 0.31% | 0.29% | 0.03% | 0.85% | 0.72% | 0.87% | 0.10% | 0.23% | 0.39% | 0.77% | 0.55% | 0.21% | |
| New Orleans Saints | 2.80% | 0.90% | 0.40% | 2.84% | 2.45% | 0.25% | 7.18% | 5.54% | 3.21% | 0.67% | 1.47% | 3.02% | 6.22% | 5.47% | 1.76% | |
| New York Giants | 0.08% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.13% | 0.11% | 0.07% | 0.11% | 0.08% | 0.15% | 0.10% | 0.01% | ||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 0.13% | 0.04% | 0.04% | 0.13% | 0.01% | 0.18% | 0.26% | 0.09% | 0.17% | 0.09% | 0.27% | 0.13% | 0.04% | |||
| San Francisco 49ers | 0.31% | 0.15% | 0.04% | 0.41% | 0.35% | 0.02% | 0.85% | 0.57% | 0.41% | 0.90% | 0.09% | 0.17% | 0.78% | 0.75% | 0.16% | |
| Seattle Seahawks | 1.54% | 0.57% | 0.26% | 1.70% | 1.26% | 0.19% | 3.96% | 3.82% | 1.90% | 3.93% | 0.32% | 0.92% | 1.98% | 3.42% | 1.08% | |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1.65% | 0.41% | 0.12% | 1.48% | 0.98% | 0.19% | 4.41% | 3.37% | 1.69% | 4.07% | 0.39% | 0.70% | 1.54% | 3.47% | 1.00% | |
| Washington Football Team | 0.17% | 0.14% | 0.03% | 0.14% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.58% | 0.36% | 0.23% | 0.37% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.26% | 0.60% | 0.36% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Baltimore Ravens | Buffalo Bills | Cincinnati Bengals | Cleveland Browns | Denver Broncos | Houston Texans | Indianapolis Colts | Jacksonville Jaguars | Kansas City Chiefs | Las Vegas Raiders | Los Angeles Chargers | Miami Dolphins | New England Patriots | New York Jets | Pittsburgh Steelers | Tennessee Titans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | 2.55% | 0.01% | 0.54% | 0.07% | 0.07% | 1.66% | 6.00% | 0.17% | 0.15% | 0.70% | 0.71% | 1.97% | 2.18% | |||
| Buffalo Bills | 3.64% | 0.02% | 0.77% | 0.08% | 0.10% | 1.71% | 0.01% | 5.62% | 0.22% | 0.20% | 0.62% | 0.63% | 2.19% | 2.21% | ||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0.02% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||||
| Cleveland Browns | 0.30% | 0.30% | 0.01% | 0.13% | 0.45% | 0.02% | 0.06% | 0.07% | 0.19% | 0.19% | ||||||
| Denver Broncos | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.01% | |||||||||
| Houston Texans | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.02% | |||||||||||
| Indianapolis Colts | 1.30% | 1.01% | 0.02% | 0.21% | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 1.79% | 0.13% | 0.11% | 0.26% | 0.29% | 0.92% | 0.72% | ||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 9.22% | 6.10% | 0.06% | 1.67% | 0.10% | 0.23% | 3.65% | 0.02% | 0.46% | 0.31% | 1.80% | 1.33% | 0.01% | 5.65% | 5.21% | |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0.05% | 0.08% | 0.05% | 0.08% | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.10% | |||||||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0.04% | 0.05% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.10% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.03% | ||||||
| Miami Dolphins | 0.51% | 0.28% | 0.13% | 0.02% | 0.23% | 0.56% | 0.06% | 0.04% | 0.08% | 0.40% | 0.27% | |||||
| New England Patriots | 0.24% | 0.20% | 0.08% | 0.11% | 0.35% | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.21% | 0.12% | ||||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1.36% | 1.02% | 0.01% | 0.30% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.59% | 2.71% | 0.07% | 0.09% | 0.40% | 0.35% | 0.94% | |||
| Tennessee Titans | 1.48% | 1.19% | 0.01% | 0.32% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.51% | 2.50% | 0.13% | 0.06% | 0.38% | 0.31% | 1.03% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Arizona Cardinals | Atlanta Falcons | Carolina Panthers | Chicago Bears | Dallas Cowboys | Detroit Lions | Green Bay Packers | Los Angeles Rams | Minnesota Vikings | New Orleans Saints | New York Giants | Philadelphia Eagles | San Francisco 49ers | Seattle Seahawks | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Washington Football Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.08% | 0.09% | 0.41% | 0.19% | 0.05% | 0.31% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.04% | 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.04% | ||
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.19% | 0.07% | 0.06% | 0.10% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.10% | 0.03% | ||||
| Carolina Panthers | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | |||||||
| Chicago Bears | 0.08% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.43% | 0.28% | 0.09% | 0.46% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.33% | 0.37% | 0.06% | ||
| Dallas Cowboys | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.17% | 0.07% | 0.06% | 0.18% | 0.04% | 0.07% | 0.11% | 0.01% | |||||
| Detroit Lions | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | |||||||||||||
| Green Bay Packers | 1.23% | 0.52% | 0.12% | 1.06% | 0.84% | 0.06% | 4.13% | 1.19% | 7.19% | 0.27% | 0.33% | 1.33% | 5.00% | 4.28% | 0.69% | |
| Los Angeles Rams | 0.25% | 0.15% | 0.05% | 0.33% | 0.18% | 0.02% | 2.12% | 0.44% | 2.03% | 0.06% | 0.12% | 0.38% | 0.94% | 1.22% | 0.19% | |
| Minnesota Vikings | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.09% | 0.03% | 0.23% | 0.28% | 0.35% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.09% | 0.13% | 0.24% | 0.04% | |
| New Orleans Saints | 1.08% | 0.34% | 0.05% | 1.04% | 0.72% | 0.11% | 7.45% | 4.10% | 1.13% | 0.19% | 0.33% | 1.27% | 4.72% | 3.44% | 0.66% | |
| New York Giants | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.02% | ||||||||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.10% | 0.06% | 0.02% | 0.11% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.01% | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 0.06% | 0.08% | 0.05% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.34% | 0.16% | 0.08% | 0.33% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.15% | 0.29% | 0.04% | ||
| Seattle Seahawks | 0.43% | 0.22% | 0.08% | 0.53% | 0.35% | 0.03% | 3.09% | 1.49% | 0.49% | 3.37% | 0.11% | 0.11% | 0.39% | 1.97% | 0.24% | |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0.52% | 0.10% | 0.05% | 0.56% | 0.28% | 0.05% | 3.22% | 1.51% | 0.59% | 2.80% | 0.10% | 0.14% | 0.66% | 2.14% | 0.27% | |
| Washington Football Team | 0.05% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.25% | 0.13% | 0.04% | 0.23% | 0.04% | 0.09% | 0.16% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Arizona Cardinals | Atlanta Falcons | Baltimore Ravens | Buffalo Bills | Carolina Panthers | Chicago Bears | Cincinnati Bengals | Cleveland Browns | Dallas Cowboys | Denver Broncos | Detroit Lions | Green Bay Packers | Houston Texans | Indianapolis Colts | Kansas City Chiefs | Las Vegas Raiders | Los Angeles Chargers | Los Angeles Rams | Miami Dolphins | Minnesota Vikings | New England Patriots | New Orleans Saints | New York Giants | Philadelphia Eagles | Pittsburgh Steelers | San Francisco 49ers | Seattle Seahawks | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Tennessee Titans | Washington Football Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | 0.07% | 0.09% | 0.03% | 0.06% | 0.16% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.03% | 0.07% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.02% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 0.16% | 0.05% | 0.20% | 0.08% | 2.05% | 0.77% | 0.12% | 2.03% | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.19% | 1.17% | 1.36% | 0.13% | ||||||||||||||||
| Buffalo Bills | 0.32% | 0.10% | 0.02% | 0.33% | 0.12% | 2.74% | 1.11% | 0.24% | 2.34% | 0.04% | 0.07% | 0.27% | 1.32% | 1.35% | 0.18% | |||||||||||||||
| Carolina Panthers | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.02% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chicago Bears | 0.13% | 0.10% | 0.04% | 0.21% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.09% | 0.09% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0.01% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cleveland Browns | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.14% | 0.08% | 0.02% | 0.13% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.08% | 0.01% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.07% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Denver Broncos | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.02% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Detroit Lions | 0.01% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Green Bay Packers | 2.43% | 2.39% | 0.01% | 0.38% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 1.11% | 4.43% | 0.12% | 0.06% | 0.47% | 0.37% | 1.23% | 1.51% | ||||||||||||||||
| Houston Texans | 0.01% | 0.02% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Indianapolis Colts | 0.06% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.09% | 0.04% | 0.95% | 0.28% | 0.11% | 0.66% | 0.02% | 0.08% | 0.46% | 0.35% | 0.08% | ||||||||||||||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 0.50% | 0.20% | 0.05% | 0.61% | 0.23% | 0.02% | 5.78% | 1.92% | 0.39% | 5.04% | 0.04% | 0.18% | 0.41% | 3.16% | 3.01% | 0.30% | ||||||||||||||
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.02% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 0.55% | 0.43% | 0.03% | 0.26% | 1.25% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.13% | 0.03% | 0.35% | 0.37% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Miami Dolphins | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.18% | 0.12% | 0.05% | 0.23% | 0.04% | 0.13% | 0.11% | 0.03% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 0.09% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.13% | 0.06% | 0.03% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| New England Patriots | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.10% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.13% | 0.03% | 0.08% | 0.04% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| New Orleans Saints | 2.76% | 2.36% | 0.01% | 0.27% | 0.04% | 0.02% | 1.08% | 4.30% | 0.11% | 0.08% | 0.56% | 0.24% | 1.25% | 1.30% | ||||||||||||||||
| New York Giants | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 0.04% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.16% | 0.03% | 0.97% | 0.32% | 0.15% | 0.87% | 0.02% | 0.10% | 0.45% | 0.45% | 0.05% | ||||||||||||||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 0.07% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.09% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.07% | 0.05% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 1.03% | 0.79% | 0.15% | 0.03% | 0.49% | 1.58% | 0.08% | 0.03% | 0.13% | 0.10% | 0.50% | 0.57% | ||||||||||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1.18% | 1.01% | 0.17% | 0.01% | 0.44% | 1.62% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.24% | 0.13% | 0.47% | 0.48% | ||||||||||||||||||
| Tennessee Titans | 0.10% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.12% | 0.09% | 0.76% | 0.40% | 0.11% | 0.74% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.06% | 0.51% | 0.43% | 0.01% | |||||||||||||||
| Washington Football Team | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.04% | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Advanced to Divisional Round | Advanced to Conference Championship | Advanced to Super Bowl | Won Super Bowl | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 100.00% | 68.05% | 40.82% | 23.35% | Eliminated in Super Bowl |
| Green Bay Packers | 100.00% | 63.97% | 34.97% | 17.63% | Eliminated in Conference Championship |
| New Orleans Saints | 77.10% | 46.57% | 24.86% | 12.51% | Eliminated in Divisional Round |
| Buffalo Bills | 66.10% | 42.83% | 21.63% | 12.28% | Eliminated in Conference Championship |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 73.53% | 33.80% | 15.95% | 7.21% | Won Super Bowl |
| Baltimore Ravens | 61.10% | 28.91% | 13.82% | 7.04% | Eliminated in Divisional Round |
| Seattle Seahawks | 55.60% | 24.79% | 11.99% | 5.52% | Eliminated in Wild Card Round |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 60.52% | 22.01% | 7.96% | 3.31% | Eliminated in Wild Card Round |
| Los Angeles Rams | 44.40% | 17.93% | 7.95% | 3.12% | Eliminated in Divisional Round |
| Indianapolis Colts | 33.90% | 11.47% | 6.35% | 2.96% | Eliminated in Wild Card Round |
| Tennessee Titans | 38.90% | 16.11% | 6.26% | 2.73% | Eliminated in Wild Card Round |
| Cleveland Browns | 39.48% | 10.62% | 3.16% | 1.09% | Eliminated in Divisional Round |
| Chicago Bears | 22.90% | 6.49% | 2.50% | 0.65% | Eliminated in Wild Card Round |
| Washington Football Team | 26.47% | 6.45% | 1.78% | 0.60% | Eliminated in Wild Card Round |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Baltimore Ravens | Buffalo Bills | Cleveland Browns | Indianapolis Colts | Pittsburgh Steelers | Tennessee Titans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | 61.10% | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 66.10% | |||||
| Cleveland Browns | 39.48% | |||||
| Indianapolis Colts | 33.90% | |||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 60.52% | |||||
| Tennessee Titans | 38.90% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Bears | Los Angeles Rams | New Orleans Saints | Seattle Seahawks | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Washington Football Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears | 22.90% | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 44.40% | |||||
| New Orleans Saints | 77.10% | |||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 55.60% | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 73.53% | |||||
| Washington Football Team | 26.47% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Baltimore Ravens | Buffalo Bills | Cleveland Browns | Indianapolis Colts | Kansas City Chiefs | Pittsburgh Steelers | Tennessee Titans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | 6.63% | 5.40% | 9.39% | 7.49% | |||
| Buffalo Bills | 9.86% | 26.68% | 6.29% | ||||
| Cleveland Browns | 2.78% | 5.97% | 1.87% | ||||
| Indianapolis Colts | 11.47% | ||||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 14.79% | 20.38% | 22.43% | 10.45% | |||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 4.76% | 13.07% | 4.18% | ||||
| Tennessee Titans | 3.57% | 3.08% | 5.12% | 4.34% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Bears | Green Bay Packers | Los Angeles Rams | New Orleans Saints | Seattle Seahawks | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Washington Football Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears | 6.49% | ||||||
| Green Bay Packers | 16.41% | 21.24% | 17.72% | 8.60% | |||
| Los Angeles Rams | 12.94% | 3.28% | 1.71% | ||||
| New Orleans Saints | 24.95% | 14.32% | 7.30% | ||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 17.97% | 4.41% | 2.41% | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 13.97% | 4.28% | 10.51% | 5.04% | |||
| Washington Football Team | 2.63% | 0.95% | 2.05% | 0.82% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Baltimore Ravens | Buffalo Bills | Cleveland Browns | Indianapolis Colts | Kansas City Chiefs | Pittsburgh Steelers | Tennessee Titans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | 3.04% | 1.10% | 2.27% | 5.66% | 1.75% | ||
| Buffalo Bills | 3.47% | 2.47% | 13.61% | 2.08% | |||
| Cleveland Browns | 0.47% | 1.15% | 0.47% | 0.78% | 0.29% | ||
| Indianapolis Colts | 2.20% | 1.05% | 1.76% | 1.34% | |||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7.82% | 15.67% | 2.35% | 9.70% | 5.28% | ||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1.13% | 1.33% | 4.64% | 0.86% | |||
| Tennessee Titans | 1.34% | 0.49% | 1.05% | 2.54% | 0.84% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Bears | Green Bay Packers | Los Angeles Rams | New Orleans Saints | Seattle Seahawks | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Washington Football Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears | 0.56% | 0.69% | 0.94% | 0.31% | |||
| Green Bay Packers | 2.29% | 14.52% | 8.87% | 7.55% | 1.74% | ||
| Los Angeles Rams | 0.73% | 1.41% | 3.40% | 1.81% | 0.60% | ||
| New Orleans Saints | 14.48% | 4.59% | 4.56% | 1.23% | |||
| Seattle Seahawks | 1.20% | 7.01% | 2.99% | 0.79% | |||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1.86% | 5.50% | 2.17% | 3.46% | 2.96% | ||
| Washington Football Team | 0.20% | 0.60% | 0.37% | 0.33% | 0.28% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Baltimore Ravens | Buffalo Bills | Chicago Bears | Cleveland Browns | Green Bay Packers | Indianapolis Colts | Kansas City Chiefs | Los Angeles Rams | New Orleans Saints | Pittsburgh Steelers | Seattle Seahawks | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Tennessee Titans | Washington Football Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | 0.29% | 2.20% | 0.63% | 1.61% | 0.91% | 1.25% | 0.15% | |||||||
| Buffalo Bills | 0.41% | 4.11% | 1.16% | 2.97% | 1.42% | 1.91% | 0.30% | |||||||
| Chicago Bears | 0.08% | 0.08% | 0.05% | 0.05% | 0.27% | 0.09% | 0.03% | |||||||
| Cleveland Browns | 0.02% | 0.34% | 0.10% | 0.29% | 0.12% | 0.22% | ||||||||
| Green Bay Packers | 2.59% | 3.43% | 0.81% | 1.30% | 6.48% | 1.76% | 1.26% | |||||||
| Indianapolis Colts | 0.10% | 0.94% | 0.25% | 0.70% | 0.36% | 0.56% | 0.05% | |||||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 0.79% | 7.71% | 2.08% | 5.39% | 3.03% | 3.83% | 0.52% | |||||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 0.39% | 0.59% | 0.08% | 0.20% | 1.21% | 0.34% | 0.31% | |||||||
| New Orleans Saints | 1.84% | 2.49% | 0.50% | 0.87% | 4.61% | 1.22% | 0.98% | |||||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 0.10% | 1.09% | 0.34% | 0.73% | 0.33% | 0.61% | 0.11% | |||||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 0.82% | 1.22% | 0.26% | 0.41% | 2.00% | 0.44% | 0.37% | |||||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0.95% | 1.43% | 0.35% | 0.53% | 2.64% | 0.76% | 0.55% | |||||||
| Tennessee Titans | 0.14% | 0.95% | 0.27% | 0.66% | 0.30% | 0.36% | 0.05% | |||||||
| Washington Football Team | 0.11% | 0.11% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.26% | 0.04% | 0.03% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-09-13 | @ San Francisco 49ers | W 24-20 | 1452.44 | 1586.04 | 31.09% | 68.36% | +23.54 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-20 | Washington Football Team | W 30-15 | 1475.98 | 1433.97 | 56.13% | 43.32% | +28.94 | 2-0 |
| 2020-09-27 | Detroit Lions | L 23-26 | 1504.92 | 1400.26 | 64.68% | 34.77% | -19.29 | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-04 | @ Carolina Panthers | L 21-31 | 1485.63 | 1404.09 | 60.86% | 38.59% | -33.15 | 2-2 |
| 2020-10-11 | @ New York Jets | W 30-10 | 1452.48 | 1351.93 | 63.42% | 36.03% | +27.82 | 3-2 |
| 2020-10-19 | @ Dallas Cowboys | W 38-10 | 1480.30 | 1486.11 | 48.49% | 50.96% | +46.46 | 4-2 |
| 2020-10-25 | Seattle Seahawks | W 37-34 | 1526.76 | 1612.36 | 38.04% | 61.41% | +18.32 | 5-2 |
| 2020-11-08 | Miami Dolphins | L 31-34 | 1545.08 | 1539.93 | 50.86% | 48.59% | -15.18 | 5-3 |
| 2020-11-15 | Buffalo Bills | W 32-30 | 1529.90 | 1578.46 | 43.18% | 56.28% | +13.71 | 6-3 |
| 2020-11-19 | @ Seattle Seahawks | L 21-28 | 1543.61 | 1563.43 | 46.48% | 52.97% | -21.21 | 6-4 |
| 2020-11-29 | @ New England Patriots | L 17-20 | 1522.40 | 1489.34 | 54.07% | 45.38% | -16.13 | 6-5 |
| 2020-12-06 | Los Angeles Rams | L 28-38 | 1506.27 | 1577.65 | 39.99% | 59.47% | -21.82 | 6-6 |
| 2020-12-13 | @ New York Giants | W 26-7 | 1484.45 | 1440.38 | 55.64% | 43.81% | +32.94 | 7-6 |
| 2020-12-20 | Philadelphia Eagles | W 33-26 | 1517.39 | 1428.39 | 62.61% | 36.84% | +16.82 | 8-6 |
| 2020-12-26 | San Francisco 49ers | L 12-20 | 1534.21 | 1444.36 | 62.73% | 36.72% | -30.55 | 8-7 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ Los Angeles Rams | L 7-18 | 1503.66 | 1576.62 | 39.01% | 60.44% | -22.33 | 8-8 |
| 2020-09-13 | Seattle Seahawks | L 25-38 | 1519.16 | 1521.25 | 49.82% | 49.63% | -30.96 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-20 | @ Dallas Cowboys | L 39-40 | 1488.20 | 1519.39 | 44.86% | 54.59% | -7.73 | 0-2 |
| 2020-09-27 | Chicago Bears | L 26-30 | 1480.47 | 1533.72 | 42.51% | 56.94% | -14.67 | 0-3 |
| 2020-10-05 | @ Green Bay Packers | L 16-30 | 1465.80 | 1612.96 | 29.44% | 70.01% | -19.03 | 0-4 |
| 2020-10-11 | Carolina Panthers | L 16-23 | 1446.77 | 1437.23 | 51.49% | 47.96% | -23.47 | 0-5 |
| 2020-10-18 | @ Minnesota Vikings | W 40-23 | 1423.30 | 1497.06 | 38.90% | 60.55% | +42.99 | 1-5 |
| 2020-10-25 | Detroit Lions | L 22-23 | 1466.29 | 1437.05 | 54.31% | 45.14% | -9.36 | 1-6 |
| 2020-10-29 | @ Carolina Panthers | W 25-17 | 1456.93 | 1432.51 | 52.84% | 46.61% | +22.73 | 2-6 |
| 2020-11-08 | Denver Broncos | W 34-27 | 1479.66 | 1469.65 | 51.56% | 47.89% | +21.84 | 3-6 |
| 2020-11-22 | @ New Orleans Saints | L 9-24 | 1501.50 | 1661.71 | 27.91% | 71.54% | -18.67 | 3-7 |
| 2020-11-29 | Las Vegas Raiders | W 43-6 | 1482.83 | 1529.23 | 43.48% | 55.97% | +58.65 | 4-7 |
| 2020-12-06 | New Orleans Saints | L 16-21 | 1541.48 | 1699.15 | 28.85% | 70.60% | -11.15 | 4-8 |
| 2020-12-13 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | L 17-20 | 1530.33 | 1365.18 | 71.48% | 27.97% | -21.31 | 4-9 |
| 2020-12-20 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 27-31 | 1509.02 | 1596.65 | 37.76% | 61.69% | -13.04 | 4-10 |
| 2020-12-27 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 14-17 | 1495.98 | 1767.33 | 16.95% | 82.50% | -5.08 | 4-11 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 27-44 | 1490.90 | 1628.79 | 30.56% | 68.89% | -21.76 | 4-12 |
| 2020-09-13 | Cleveland Browns | W 38-6 | 1602.60 | 1455.94 | 69.95% | 29.50% | +28.83 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-20 | @ Houston Texans | W 33-16 | 1631.43 | 1491.41 | 68.47% | 30.98% | +22.06 | 2-0 |
| 2020-09-28 | Kansas City Chiefs | L 20-34 | 1653.49 | 1655.79 | 49.79% | 49.66% | -32.11 | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-04 | @ Washington Football Team | W 31-17 | 1621.38 | 1376.92 | 79.71% | 19.74% | +12.78 | 3-1 |
| 2020-10-11 | Cincinnati Bengals | W 27-3 | 1634.16 | 1421.38 | 77.21% | 22.24% | +18.83 | 4-1 |
| 2020-10-18 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | W 30-28 | 1652.99 | 1458.08 | 74.80% | 24.65% | +6.03 | 5-1 |
| 2020-11-01 | Pittsburgh Steelers | L 24-28 | 1659.02 | 1637.92 | 53.15% | 46.30% | -18.32 | 5-2 |
| 2020-11-08 | @ Indianapolis Colts | W 24-10 | 1640.70 | 1570.47 | 59.31% | 40.14% | +25.92 | 6-2 |
| 2020-11-15 | @ New England Patriots | L 17-23 | 1666.62 | 1487.14 | 73.11% | 26.34% | -30.84 | 6-3 |
| 2020-11-22 | Tennessee Titans | L 24-30 | 1635.78 | 1562.22 | 60.52% | 38.93% | -25.53 | 6-4 |
| 2020-12-02 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | L 14-19 | 1610.25 | 1688.39 | 38.31% | 61.15% | -14.78 | 6-5 |
| 2020-12-08 | Dallas Cowboys | W 34-17 | 1595.47 | 1336.84 | 81.44% | 18.01% | +12.84 | 7-5 |
| 2020-12-14 | @ Cleveland Browns | W 47-42 | 1608.31 | 1536.58 | 59.51% | 39.94% | +15.41 | 8-5 |
| 2020-12-20 | Jacksonville Jaguars | W 40-14 | 1623.72 | 1265.19 | 88.45% | 11.00% | +9.71 | 9-5 |
| 2020-12-27 | New York Giants | W 27-13 | 1633.43 | 1385.29 | 80.53% | 18.92% | +12.24 | 10-5 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | W 38-3 | 1645.67 | 1376.75 | 81.84% | 17.61% | +18.02 | 11-5 |
| 2020-09-13 | New York Jets | W 27-17 | 1516.54 | 1452.27 | 59.24% | 40.21% | +21.94 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-20 | @ Miami Dolphins | W 31-28 | 1538.48 | 1396.71 | 68.69% | 30.76% | +9.20 | 2-0 |
| 2020-09-27 | Los Angeles Rams | W 35-32 | 1547.68 | 1575.07 | 46.19% | 53.26% | +15.89 | 3-0 |
| 2020-10-04 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | W 30-23 | 1563.57 | 1460.00 | 63.82% | 35.63% | +16.28 | 4-0 |
| 2020-10-13 | @ Tennessee Titans | L 16-42 | 1579.85 | 1596.11 | 46.99% | 52.46% | -41.31 | 4-1 |
| 2020-10-18 | Kansas City Chiefs | L 17-26 | 1538.54 | 1672.29 | 31.75% | 67.70% | -16.45 | 4-2 |
| 2020-10-25 | @ New York Jets | W 18-10 | 1522.09 | 1300.15 | 77.57% | 21.88% | +10.70 | 5-2 |
| 2020-11-01 | New England Patriots | W 24-21 | 1532.79 | 1492.87 | 55.83% | 43.62% | +13.02 | 6-2 |
| 2020-11-08 | Seattle Seahawks | W 44-34 | 1545.81 | 1620.64 | 39.51% | 59.94% | +32.65 | 7-2 |
| 2020-11-15 | @ Arizona Cardinals | L 30-32 | 1578.46 | 1529.90 | 56.28% | 43.18% | -13.71 | 7-3 |
| 2020-11-29 | Los Angeles Chargers | W 27-17 | 1564.75 | 1423.75 | 69.27% | 30.19% | +16.49 | 8-3 |
| 2020-12-07 | @ San Francisco 49ers | W 34-24 | 1581.24 | 1525.34 | 57.31% | 42.14% | +22.98 | 9-3 |
| 2020-12-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers | W 26-15 | 1604.22 | 1668.39 | 40.99% | 58.46% | +33.40 | 10-3 |
| 2020-12-19 | @ Denver Broncos | W 48-19 | 1637.62 | 1438.74 | 75.22% | 24.23% | +22.55 | 11-3 |
| 2020-12-28 | @ New England Patriots | W 38-9 | 1660.17 | 1490.62 | 71.99% | 27.46% | +25.56 | 12-3 |
| 2021-01-03 | Miami Dolphins | W 56-26 | 1685.73 | 1583.39 | 64.38% | 35.07% | +33.16 | 13-3 |
| 2020-09-13 | Las Vegas Raiders | L 30-34 | 1421.35 | 1432.59 | 48.50% | 50.95% | -16.72 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-20 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 17-31 | 1404.63 | 1473.52 | 39.57% | 59.88% | -25.54 | 0-2 |
| 2020-09-27 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | W 21-16 | 1379.09 | 1485.65 | 34.52% | 64.93% | +25.00 | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-04 | Arizona Cardinals | W 31-21 | 1404.09 | 1485.63 | 38.59% | 60.86% | +33.14 | 2-2 |
| 2020-10-11 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W 23-16 | 1437.23 | 1446.77 | 47.96% | 51.49% | +23.48 | 3-2 |
| 2020-10-18 | Chicago Bears | L 16-23 | 1460.71 | 1532.23 | 39.97% | 59.48% | -18.25 | 3-3 |
| 2020-10-25 | @ New Orleans Saints | L 24-27 | 1442.46 | 1558.64 | 33.28% | 66.17% | -9.95 | 3-4 |
| 2020-10-29 | Atlanta Falcons | L 17-25 | 1432.51 | 1456.93 | 46.61% | 52.84% | -22.73 | 3-5 |
| 2020-11-08 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 31-33 | 1409.78 | 1716.85 | 14.25% | 85.20% | -3.49 | 3-6 |
| 2020-11-15 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 23-46 | 1406.29 | 1573.11 | 27.78% | 71.67% | -23.01 | 3-7 |
| 2020-11-22 | Detroit Lions | W 20-0 | 1383.28 | 1406.11 | 46.84% | 52.61% | +40.54 | 4-7 |
| 2020-11-29 | @ Minnesota Vikings | L 27-28 | 1423.82 | 1507.45 | 37.56% | 61.89% | -6.49 | 4-8 |
| 2020-12-13 | Denver Broncos | L 27-32 | 1417.33 | 1419.55 | 49.80% | 49.65% | -19.19 | 4-9 |
| 2020-12-19 | @ Green Bay Packers | L 16-24 | 1398.14 | 1638.37 | 19.63% | 79.82% | -9.60 | 4-10 |
| 2020-12-27 | @ Washington Football Team | W 20-13 | 1388.54 | 1479.37 | 36.59% | 62.86% | +28.64 | 5-10 |
| 2021-01-03 | New Orleans Saints | L 7-33 | 1417.18 | 1690.70 | 17.23% | 82.23% | -15.19 | 5-11 |
| 2020-09-13 | @ Detroit Lions | W 27-23 | 1508.41 | 1437.55 | 59.39% | 40.06% | +13.83 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-20 | New York Giants | W 17-13 | 1522.24 | 1405.85 | 66.20% | 33.25% | +11.48 | 2-0 |
| 2020-09-27 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W 30-26 | 1533.72 | 1480.47 | 56.94% | 42.51% | +14.66 | 3-0 |
| 2020-10-04 | Indianapolis Colts | L 11-19 | 1548.38 | 1535.50 | 51.97% | 47.48% | -25.33 | 3-1 |
| 2020-10-08 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | W 20-19 | 1523.05 | 1550.22 | 46.22% | 53.23% | +9.18 | 4-1 |
| 2020-10-18 | @ Carolina Panthers | W 23-16 | 1532.23 | 1460.71 | 59.48% | 39.97% | +18.24 | 5-1 |
| 2020-10-26 | @ Los Angeles Rams | L 10-24 | 1550.47 | 1560.42 | 47.90% | 51.55% | -30.89 | 5-2 |
| 2020-11-01 | New Orleans Saints | L 23-26 | 1519.58 | 1568.59 | 43.11% | 56.34% | -12.88 | 5-3 |
| 2020-11-08 | @ Tennessee Titans | L 17-24 | 1506.70 | 1586.40 | 38.09% | 61.36% | -17.40 | 5-4 |
| 2020-11-16 | Minnesota Vikings | L 13-19 | 1489.30 | 1509.25 | 47.25% | 52.20% | -19.95 | 5-5 |
| 2020-11-29 | @ Green Bay Packers | L 25-41 | 1469.35 | 1592.45 | 32.40% | 67.05% | -22.38 | 5-6 |
| 2020-12-06 | Detroit Lions | L 30-34 | 1446.97 | 1339.25 | 65.08% | 34.37% | -22.41 | 5-7 |
| 2020-12-13 | Houston Texans | W 36-7 | 1424.56 | 1460.70 | 44.94% | 54.51% | +50.57 | 6-7 |
| 2020-12-20 | @ Minnesota Vikings | W 33-27 | 1475.13 | 1494.96 | 46.48% | 52.97% | +22.35 | 7-7 |
| 2020-12-27 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | W 41-17 | 1497.48 | 1255.49 | 79.48% | 19.97% | +16.92 | 8-7 |
| 2021-01-03 | Green Bay Packers | L 16-35 | 1514.40 | 1688.32 | 26.97% | 72.49% | -20.31 | 8-8 |
| 2020-09-13 | Los Angeles Chargers | L 13-16 | 1426.08 | 1481.87 | 42.16% | 57.29% | -12.60 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-17 | @ Cleveland Browns | L 30-35 | 1413.48 | 1427.12 | 47.37% | 52.08% | -18.26 | 0-2 |
| 2020-09-27 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | T 23-23 | 1395.22 | 1450.76 | 41.42% | 58.03% | +0.71 | 0-2 |
| 2020-10-04 | Jacksonville Jaguars | W 33-25 | 1395.93 | 1415.92 | 47.25% | 52.20% | +25.45 | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-11 | @ Baltimore Ravens | L 3-27 | 1421.38 | 1634.16 | 22.24% | 77.21% | -18.84 | 1-3 |
| 2020-10-18 | @ Indianapolis Colts | L 27-31 | 1402.54 | 1531.22 | 31.70% | 67.75% | -10.95 | 1-4 |
| 2020-10-25 | Cleveland Browns | L 34-37 | 1391.59 | 1493.50 | 35.85% | 63.60% | -10.72 | 1-5 |
| 2020-11-01 | Tennessee Titans | W 31-20 | 1380.87 | 1632.28 | 19.12% | 80.33% | +45.89 | 2-5 |
| 2020-11-15 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | L 10-36 | 1426.76 | 1662.29 | 20.06% | 79.39% | -17.69 | 2-6 |
| 2020-11-22 | @ Washington Football Team | L 9-20 | 1409.07 | 1358.46 | 56.57% | 42.89% | -32.31 | 2-7 |
| 2020-11-29 | New York Giants | L 17-19 | 1376.76 | 1400.36 | 46.73% | 52.72% | -11.40 | 2-8 |
| 2020-12-06 | @ Miami Dolphins | L 7-19 | 1365.36 | 1550.49 | 25.11% | 74.34% | -15.03 | 2-9 |
| 2020-12-13 | Dallas Cowboys | L 7-30 | 1350.33 | 1324.00 | 53.90% | 45.55% | -44.53 | 2-10 |
| 2020-12-21 | Pittsburgh Steelers | W 27-17 | 1305.80 | 1634.99 | 13.12% | 86.33% | +47.02 | 3-10 |
| 2020-12-27 | @ Houston Texans | W 37-31 | 1352.82 | 1399.08 | 42.72% | 56.73% | +23.93 | 4-10 |
| 2021-01-03 | Baltimore Ravens | L 3-38 | 1376.75 | 1645.67 | 17.61% | 81.84% | -18.02 | 4-11 |
| 2020-09-13 | @ Baltimore Ravens | L 6-38 | 1455.94 | 1602.60 | 29.50% | 69.95% | -28.82 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-17 | Cincinnati Bengals | W 35-30 | 1427.12 | 1413.48 | 52.08% | 47.37% | +18.26 | 1-1 |
| 2020-09-27 | Washington Football Team | W 34-20 | 1445.38 | 1405.03 | 55.89% | 43.56% | +28.10 | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-04 | @ Dallas Cowboys | W 49-38 | 1473.48 | 1507.60 | 44.44% | 55.01% | +31.43 | 3-1 |
| 2020-10-11 | Indianapolis Colts | W 32-23 | 1504.91 | 1560.83 | 42.14% | 57.31% | +29.62 | 4-1 |
| 2020-10-18 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | L 7-38 | 1534.53 | 1580.80 | 42.72% | 56.73% | -41.03 | 4-2 |
| 2020-10-25 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | W 37-34 | 1493.50 | 1391.59 | 63.60% | 35.85% | +10.72 | 5-2 |
| 2020-11-01 | Las Vegas Raiders | L 6-16 | 1504.22 | 1454.21 | 57.25% | 42.20% | -31.19 | 5-3 |
| 2020-11-15 | Houston Texans | W 10-7 | 1473.03 | 1434.91 | 55.58% | 43.87% | +13.11 | 6-3 |
| 2020-11-22 | Philadelphia Eagles | W 22-17 | 1486.14 | 1447.89 | 55.60% | 43.86% | +16.91 | 7-3 |
| 2020-11-29 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | W 27-25 | 1503.05 | 1287.54 | 76.93% | 22.52% | +5.51 | 8-3 |
| 2020-12-06 | @ Tennessee Titans | W 41-35 | 1508.56 | 1626.91 | 33.00% | 66.45% | +28.02 | 9-3 |
| 2020-12-14 | Baltimore Ravens | L 42-47 | 1536.58 | 1608.31 | 39.94% | 59.51% | -15.41 | 9-4 |
| 2020-12-20 | @ New York Giants | W 20-6 | 1521.17 | 1407.45 | 65.15% | 34.30% | +22.16 | 10-4 |
| 2020-12-27 | @ New York Jets | L 16-23 | 1543.33 | 1256.70 | 83.27% | 16.18% | -37.94 | 10-5 |
| 2021-01-03 | Pittsburgh Steelers | W 24-22 | 1505.39 | 1606.32 | 35.98% | 63.47% | +15.45 | 11-5 |
| 2020-09-13 | @ Los Angeles Rams | L 17-20 | 1534.29 | 1530.19 | 49.92% | 49.53% | -14.90 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-20 | Atlanta Falcons | W 40-39 | 1519.39 | 1488.20 | 54.59% | 44.86% | +7.73 | 1-1 |
| 2020-09-27 | @ Seattle Seahawks | L 31-38 | 1527.12 | 1572.88 | 42.80% | 56.66% | -19.52 | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-04 | Cleveland Browns | L 38-49 | 1507.60 | 1473.48 | 55.01% | 44.44% | -31.43 | 1-3 |
| 2020-10-11 | New York Giants | W 37-34 | 1476.17 | 1359.74 | 66.20% | 33.25% | +9.94 | 2-3 |
| 2020-10-19 | Arizona Cardinals | L 10-38 | 1486.11 | 1480.30 | 50.96% | 48.49% | -46.47 | 2-4 |
| 2020-10-25 | @ Washington Football Team | L 3-25 | 1439.64 | 1337.68 | 63.61% | 35.84% | -51.37 | 2-5 |
| 2020-11-01 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | L 9-23 | 1388.27 | 1458.30 | 39.41% | 60.04% | -25.44 | 2-6 |
| 2020-11-08 | Pittsburgh Steelers | L 19-24 | 1362.83 | 1656.23 | 15.65% | 83.80% | -6.06 | 2-7 |
| 2020-11-22 | @ Minnesota Vikings | W 31-28 | 1356.77 | 1529.21 | 26.51% | 72.94% | +21.75 | 3-7 |
| 2020-11-26 | Washington Football Team | L 16-41 | 1378.52 | 1390.77 | 48.36% | 51.09% | -41.68 | 3-8 |
| 2020-12-08 | @ Baltimore Ravens | L 17-34 | 1336.84 | 1595.47 | 18.01% | 81.44% | -12.84 | 3-9 |
| 2020-12-13 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | W 30-7 | 1324.00 | 1350.33 | 45.55% | 53.90% | +44.53 | 4-9 |
| 2020-12-20 | San Francisco 49ers | W 41-33 | 1368.53 | 1475.67 | 35.16% | 64.29% | +31.31 | 5-9 |
| 2020-12-27 | Philadelphia Eagles | W 37-17 | 1399.84 | 1411.57 | 48.43% | 51.02% | +39.32 | 6-9 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ New York Giants | L 19-23 | 1439.16 | 1373.05 | 58.74% | 40.72% | -20.23 | 6-10 |
| 2020-09-14 | Tennessee Titans | L 14-16 | 1492.88 | 1570.18 | 39.17% | 60.28% | -9.56 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-20 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | L 21-26 | 1483.32 | 1527.02 | 43.08% | 56.37% | -16.62 | 0-2 |
| 2020-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 10-28 | 1466.70 | 1499.06 | 45.48% | 53.97% | -33.27 | 0-3 |
| 2020-10-01 | @ New York Jets | W 37-28 | 1433.43 | 1373.44 | 57.88% | 41.57% | +21.52 | 1-3 |
| 2020-10-18 | @ New England Patriots | W 18-12 | 1454.95 | 1563.94 | 34.20% | 65.25% | +27.52 | 2-3 |
| 2020-10-25 | Kansas City Chiefs | L 16-43 | 1482.47 | 1688.74 | 23.46% | 75.99% | -21.07 | 2-4 |
| 2020-11-01 | Los Angeles Chargers | W 31-30 | 1461.40 | 1451.42 | 51.56% | 47.89% | +8.25 | 3-4 |
| 2020-11-08 | @ Atlanta Falcons | L 27-34 | 1469.65 | 1479.66 | 47.89% | 51.56% | -21.84 | 3-5 |
| 2020-11-15 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | L 12-37 | 1447.81 | 1502.39 | 41.56% | 57.89% | -35.84 | 3-6 |
| 2020-11-22 | Miami Dolphins | W 20-13 | 1411.97 | 1570.58 | 28.74% | 70.71% | +32.21 | 4-6 |
| 2020-11-29 | New Orleans Saints | L 3-31 | 1444.18 | 1680.38 | 20.51% | 78.94% | -18.76 | 4-7 |
| 2020-12-06 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 16-22 | 1425.42 | 1738.28 | 13.85% | 85.60% | -5.87 | 4-8 |
| 2020-12-13 | @ Carolina Panthers | W 32-27 | 1419.55 | 1417.33 | 49.65% | 49.80% | +19.19 | 5-8 |
| 2020-12-19 | Buffalo Bills | L 19-48 | 1438.74 | 1637.62 | 24.23% | 75.22% | -22.55 | 5-9 |
| 2020-12-27 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | L 16-19 | 1416.19 | 1404.21 | 51.05% | 48.40% | -15.24 | 5-10 |
| 2021-01-03 | Las Vegas Raiders | L 31-32 | 1400.95 | 1428.66 | 46.14% | 53.31% | -7.95 | 5-11 |
| 2020-09-13 | Chicago Bears | L 23-27 | 1437.55 | 1508.41 | 40.06% | 59.39% | -13.82 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-20 | @ Green Bay Packers | L 21-42 | 1423.73 | 1569.13 | 29.65% | 69.80% | -23.47 | 0-2 |
| 2020-09-27 | @ Arizona Cardinals | W 26-23 | 1400.26 | 1504.92 | 34.77% | 64.68% | +19.29 | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-04 | New Orleans Saints | L 29-35 | 1419.55 | 1533.80 | 34.24% | 65.22% | -14.48 | 1-3 |
| 2020-10-18 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | W 34-16 | 1405.07 | 1360.27 | 55.74% | 43.71% | +31.98 | 2-3 |
| 2020-10-25 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W 23-22 | 1437.05 | 1466.29 | 45.14% | 54.31% | +9.36 | 3-3 |
| 2020-11-01 | Indianapolis Colts | L 21-41 | 1446.41 | 1542.17 | 36.67% | 62.78% | -28.31 | 3-4 |
| 2020-11-08 | @ Minnesota Vikings | L 20-34 | 1418.10 | 1483.39 | 40.07% | 59.38% | -25.86 | 3-5 |
| 2020-11-15 | Washington Football Team | W 30-27 | 1392.24 | 1372.34 | 52.98% | 46.47% | +13.87 | 4-5 |
| 2020-11-22 | @ Carolina Panthers | L 0-20 | 1406.11 | 1383.28 | 52.61% | 46.84% | -40.54 | 4-6 |
| 2020-11-26 | Houston Texans | L 25-41 | 1365.57 | 1450.43 | 38.14% | 61.31% | -26.32 | 4-7 |
| 2020-12-06 | @ Chicago Bears | W 34-30 | 1339.25 | 1446.97 | 34.37% | 65.08% | +22.41 | 5-7 |
| 2020-12-13 | Green Bay Packers | L 24-31 | 1361.66 | 1630.30 | 17.63% | 81.82% | -8.07 | 5-8 |
| 2020-12-20 | @ Tennessee Titans | L 25-46 | 1353.59 | 1609.62 | 18.23% | 81.22% | -14.45 | 5-9 |
| 2020-12-26 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 7-47 | 1339.14 | 1609.68 | 17.47% | 81.98% | -19.11 | 5-10 |
| 2021-01-03 | Minnesota Vikings | L 35-37 | 1320.03 | 1454.90 | 31.61% | 67.84% | -7.72 | 5-11 |
| 2020-09-13 | @ Minnesota Vikings | W 43-34 | 1542.22 | 1555.73 | 47.39% | 52.06% | +26.91 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-20 | Detroit Lions | W 42-21 | 1569.13 | 1423.73 | 69.80% | 29.65% | +23.48 | 2-0 |
| 2020-09-27 | @ New Orleans Saints | W 37-30 | 1592.61 | 1554.15 | 54.84% | 44.61% | +20.35 | 3-0 |
| 2020-10-05 | Atlanta Falcons | W 30-16 | 1612.96 | 1465.80 | 70.01% | 29.44% | +19.03 | 4-0 |
| 2020-10-18 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 10-38 | 1631.99 | 1541.05 | 62.13% | 37.32% | -56.62 | 4-1 |
| 2020-10-25 | @ Houston Texans | W 35-20 | 1575.37 | 1448.46 | 66.84% | 32.61% | +21.81 | 5-1 |
| 2020-11-01 | Minnesota Vikings | L 22-28 | 1597.18 | 1454.06 | 69.52% | 29.93% | -29.32 | 5-2 |
| 2020-11-05 | @ San Francisco 49ers | W 34-17 | 1567.86 | 1563.74 | 49.92% | 49.53% | +35.19 | 6-2 |
| 2020-11-15 | Jacksonville Jaguars | W 24-20 | 1603.05 | 1301.01 | 84.84% | 14.61% | +5.06 | 7-2 |
| 2020-11-22 | @ Indianapolis Colts | L 31-34 | 1608.11 | 1586.13 | 52.49% | 46.96% | -15.66 | 7-3 |
| 2020-11-29 | Chicago Bears | W 41-25 | 1592.45 | 1469.35 | 67.05% | 32.40% | +22.38 | 8-3 |
| 2020-12-06 | Philadelphia Eagles | W 30-16 | 1614.83 | 1418.57 | 75.52% | 23.93% | +15.47 | 9-3 |
| 2020-12-13 | @ Detroit Lions | W 31-24 | 1630.30 | 1361.66 | 81.82% | 17.63% | +8.07 | 10-3 |
| 2020-12-19 | Carolina Panthers | W 24-16 | 1638.37 | 1398.14 | 79.82% | 19.63% | +9.60 | 11-3 |
| 2020-12-27 | Tennessee Titans | W 40-14 | 1647.97 | 1624.07 | 53.55% | 45.90% | +40.35 | 12-3 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ Chicago Bears | W 35-16 | 1688.32 | 1514.40 | 72.49% | 26.97% | +20.31 | 13-3 |
| 2020-09-10 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 20-34 | 1513.26 | 1625.12 | 33.83% | 65.62% | -21.85 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-20 | Baltimore Ravens | L 16-33 | 1491.41 | 1631.43 | 30.98% | 68.47% | -22.06 | 0-2 |
| 2020-09-27 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | L 21-28 | 1469.35 | 1543.64 | 38.83% | 60.62% | -17.73 | 0-3 |
| 2020-10-04 | Minnesota Vikings | L 23-31 | 1451.62 | 1480.68 | 45.95% | 53.50% | -22.41 | 0-4 |
| 2020-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars | W 30-14 | 1429.21 | 1390.48 | 55.66% | 43.79% | +30.21 | 1-4 |
| 2020-10-18 | @ Tennessee Titans | L 36-42 | 1459.42 | 1637.42 | 25.89% | 73.56% | -10.96 | 1-5 |
| 2020-10-25 | Green Bay Packers | L 20-35 | 1448.46 | 1575.37 | 32.61% | 66.84% | -21.81 | 1-6 |
| 2020-11-08 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | W 27-25 | 1426.65 | 1309.27 | 65.62% | 33.83% | +8.26 | 2-6 |
| 2020-11-15 | @ Cleveland Browns | L 7-10 | 1434.91 | 1473.03 | 43.87% | 55.58% | -13.11 | 2-7 |
| 2020-11-22 | New England Patriots | W 27-20 | 1421.80 | 1517.97 | 36.62% | 62.84% | +28.63 | 3-7 |
| 2020-11-26 | @ Detroit Lions | W 41-25 | 1450.43 | 1365.57 | 61.31% | 38.14% | +26.33 | 4-7 |
| 2020-12-06 | Indianapolis Colts | L 20-26 | 1476.76 | 1562.63 | 38.00% | 61.45% | -16.06 | 4-8 |
| 2020-12-13 | @ Chicago Bears | L 7-36 | 1460.70 | 1424.56 | 54.51% | 44.94% | -50.58 | 4-9 |
| 2020-12-20 | @ Indianapolis Colts | L 20-27 | 1410.12 | 1604.25 | 24.15% | 75.30% | -11.04 | 4-10 |
| 2020-12-27 | Cincinnati Bengals | L 31-37 | 1399.08 | 1352.82 | 56.73% | 42.72% | -23.94 | 4-11 |
| 2021-01-03 | Tennessee Titans | L 38-41 | 1375.14 | 1583.72 | 23.22% | 76.23% | -6.95 | 4-12 |
| 2020-09-13 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | L 20-27 | 1485.14 | 1445.15 | 55.06% | 44.39% | -25.09 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-20 | Minnesota Vikings | W 28-11 | 1460.05 | 1528.81 | 40.35% | 59.10% | +41.97 | 1-1 |
| 2020-09-27 | New York Jets | W 36-7 | 1502.02 | 1406.93 | 63.42% | 36.03% | +33.48 | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-04 | @ Chicago Bears | W 19-11 | 1535.50 | 1548.38 | 47.48% | 51.97% | +25.33 | 3-1 |
| 2020-10-11 | @ Cleveland Browns | L 23-32 | 1560.83 | 1504.91 | 57.31% | 42.14% | -29.61 | 3-2 |
| 2020-10-18 | Cincinnati Bengals | W 31-27 | 1531.22 | 1402.54 | 67.75% | 31.70% | +10.95 | 4-2 |
| 2020-11-01 | @ Detroit Lions | W 41-21 | 1542.17 | 1446.41 | 62.78% | 36.67% | +28.30 | 5-2 |
| 2020-11-08 | Baltimore Ravens | L 10-24 | 1570.47 | 1640.70 | 40.14% | 59.31% | -25.91 | 5-3 |
| 2020-11-12 | @ Tennessee Titans | W 34-17 | 1544.56 | 1603.79 | 40.91% | 58.54% | +41.57 | 6-3 |
| 2020-11-22 | Green Bay Packers | W 34-31 | 1586.13 | 1608.11 | 46.96% | 52.49% | +15.66 | 7-3 |
| 2020-11-29 | Tennessee Titans | L 26-45 | 1601.79 | 1587.75 | 52.14% | 47.31% | -39.16 | 7-4 |
| 2020-12-06 | @ Houston Texans | W 26-20 | 1562.63 | 1476.76 | 61.45% | 38.00% | +16.07 | 8-4 |
| 2020-12-13 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | W 44-27 | 1578.70 | 1477.18 | 63.55% | 35.90% | +25.55 | 9-4 |
| 2020-12-20 | Houston Texans | W 27-20 | 1604.25 | 1410.12 | 75.30% | 24.15% | +11.04 | 10-4 |
| 2020-12-27 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | L 24-28 | 1615.29 | 1587.97 | 53.25% | 46.20% | -18.35 | 10-5 |
| 2021-01-03 | Jacksonville Jaguars | W 28-14 | 1596.94 | 1238.57 | 88.44% | 11.01% | +7.13 | 11-5 |
| 2020-09-13 | Indianapolis Colts | W 27-20 | 1445.15 | 1485.14 | 44.39% | 55.06% | +25.09 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-20 | @ Tennessee Titans | L 30-33 | 1470.24 | 1579.74 | 34.14% | 65.31% | -10.20 | 1-1 |
| 2020-09-24 | Miami Dolphins | L 13-31 | 1460.04 | 1387.50 | 60.38% | 39.07% | -44.12 | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-04 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | L 25-33 | 1415.92 | 1395.93 | 52.20% | 47.25% | -25.44 | 1-3 |
| 2020-10-11 | @ Houston Texans | L 14-30 | 1390.48 | 1429.21 | 43.79% | 55.66% | -30.21 | 1-4 |
| 2020-10-18 | Detroit Lions | L 16-34 | 1360.27 | 1405.07 | 43.71% | 55.74% | -31.98 | 1-5 |
| 2020-10-25 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | L 29-39 | 1328.29 | 1432.40 | 34.84% | 64.61% | -19.02 | 1-6 |
| 2020-11-08 | Houston Texans | L 25-27 | 1309.27 | 1426.65 | 33.83% | 65.62% | -8.26 | 1-7 |
| 2020-11-15 | @ Green Bay Packers | L 20-24 | 1301.01 | 1603.05 | 14.61% | 84.84% | -5.05 | 1-8 |
| 2020-11-22 | Pittsburgh Steelers | L 3-27 | 1295.96 | 1679.97 | 9.92% | 89.53% | -8.42 | 1-9 |
| 2020-11-29 | Cleveland Browns | L 25-27 | 1287.54 | 1503.05 | 22.52% | 76.93% | -5.50 | 1-10 |
| 2020-12-06 | @ Minnesota Vikings | L 24-27 | 1282.04 | 1513.94 | 20.40% | 79.06% | -6.11 | 1-11 |
| 2020-12-13 | Tennessee Titans | L 10-31 | 1275.93 | 1598.88 | 13.54% | 85.91% | -10.74 | 1-12 |
| 2020-12-20 | @ Baltimore Ravens | L 14-40 | 1265.19 | 1623.72 | 11.00% | 88.45% | -9.70 | 1-13 |
| 2020-12-27 | Chicago Bears | L 17-41 | 1255.49 | 1497.48 | 19.97% | 79.48% | -16.92 | 1-14 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ Indianapolis Colts | L 14-28 | 1238.57 | 1596.94 | 11.01% | 88.44% | -7.13 | 1-15 |
| 2020-09-10 | Houston Texans | W 34-20 | 1625.12 | 1513.26 | 65.62% | 33.83% | +21.85 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-20 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | W 23-20 | 1646.97 | 1494.46 | 69.99% | 29.46% | +8.82 | 2-0 |
| 2020-09-28 | @ Baltimore Ravens | W 34-20 | 1655.79 | 1653.49 | 49.66% | 49.79% | +32.10 | 3-0 |
| 2020-10-05 | New England Patriots | W 26-10 | 1687.89 | 1588.42 | 64.00% | 35.45% | +24.48 | 4-0 |
| 2020-10-11 | Las Vegas Raiders | L 32-40 | 1712.37 | 1443.73 | 82.28% | 17.18% | -40.08 | 4-1 |
| 2020-10-18 | @ Buffalo Bills | W 26-17 | 1672.29 | 1538.54 | 67.70% | 31.75% | +16.45 | 5-1 |
| 2020-10-25 | @ Denver Broncos | W 43-16 | 1688.74 | 1482.47 | 75.99% | 23.46% | +21.07 | 6-1 |
| 2020-11-01 | New York Jets | W 35-9 | 1709.81 | 1289.45 | 91.48% | 7.97% | +7.04 | 7-1 |
| 2020-11-08 | Carolina Panthers | W 33-31 | 1716.85 | 1409.78 | 85.20% | 14.25% | +3.49 | 8-1 |
| 2020-11-22 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | W 35-31 | 1720.34 | 1538.23 | 73.40% | 26.05% | +9.00 | 9-1 |
| 2020-11-29 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | W 27-24 | 1729.34 | 1580.50 | 69.55% | 29.90% | +8.94 | 10-1 |
| 2020-12-06 | Denver Broncos | W 22-16 | 1738.28 | 1425.42 | 85.60% | 13.85% | +5.87 | 11-1 |
| 2020-12-13 | @ Miami Dolphins | W 33-27 | 1744.15 | 1565.52 | 73.02% | 26.44% | +11.19 | 12-1 |
| 2020-12-20 | @ New Orleans Saints | W 32-29 | 1755.34 | 1684.99 | 59.32% | 40.13% | +11.99 | 13-1 |
| 2020-12-27 | Atlanta Falcons | W 17-14 | 1767.33 | 1495.98 | 82.50% | 16.95% | +5.08 | 14-1 |
| 2021-01-03 | Los Angeles Chargers | L 21-38 | 1772.41 | 1419.45 | 88.13% | 11.32% | -20.86 | 14-2 |
| 2020-09-13 | @ Carolina Panthers | W 34-30 | 1432.59 | 1421.35 | 50.95% | 48.50% | +16.72 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-21 | New Orleans Saints | W 34-24 | 1449.31 | 1591.58 | 30.70% | 68.75% | +37.43 | 2-0 |
| 2020-09-27 | @ New England Patriots | L 20-36 | 1486.74 | 1561.68 | 38.74% | 60.71% | -26.74 | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-04 | Buffalo Bills | L 23-30 | 1460.00 | 1563.57 | 35.63% | 63.82% | -16.27 | 2-2 |
| 2020-10-11 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | W 40-32 | 1443.73 | 1712.37 | 17.18% | 82.28% | +40.08 | 3-2 |
| 2020-10-25 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 20-45 | 1483.81 | 1597.67 | 34.29% | 65.17% | -29.60 | 3-3 |
| 2020-11-01 | @ Cleveland Browns | W 16-6 | 1454.21 | 1504.22 | 42.20% | 57.25% | +31.19 | 4-3 |
| 2020-11-08 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | W 31-26 | 1485.40 | 1443.16 | 55.38% | 44.07% | +16.99 | 5-3 |
| 2020-11-15 | Denver Broncos | W 37-12 | 1502.39 | 1447.81 | 57.89% | 41.56% | +35.84 | 6-3 |
| 2020-11-22 | Kansas City Chiefs | L 31-35 | 1538.23 | 1720.34 | 26.05% | 73.40% | -9.00 | 6-4 |
| 2020-11-29 | @ Atlanta Falcons | L 6-43 | 1529.23 | 1482.83 | 55.97% | 43.48% | -58.64 | 6-5 |
| 2020-12-06 | @ New York Jets | W 31-28 | 1470.59 | 1249.94 | 77.45% | 22.01% | +6.59 | 7-5 |
| 2020-12-13 | Indianapolis Colts | L 27-44 | 1477.18 | 1578.70 | 35.90% | 63.55% | -25.56 | 7-6 |
| 2020-12-17 | Los Angeles Chargers | L 27-30 | 1451.62 | 1386.50 | 59.36% | 40.09% | -17.70 | 7-7 |
| 2020-12-26 | Miami Dolphins | L 25-26 | 1433.92 | 1578.12 | 30.46% | 68.99% | -5.26 | 7-8 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ Denver Broncos | W 32-31 | 1428.66 | 1400.95 | 53.31% | 46.14% | +7.95 | 8-8 |
| 2020-09-13 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | W 16-13 | 1481.87 | 1426.08 | 57.29% | 42.16% | +12.59 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-20 | Kansas City Chiefs | L 20-23 | 1494.46 | 1646.97 | 29.46% | 69.99% | -8.81 | 1-1 |
| 2020-09-27 | Carolina Panthers | L 16-21 | 1485.65 | 1379.09 | 64.93% | 34.52% | -25.00 | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-04 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 31-38 | 1460.65 | 1532.33 | 39.19% | 60.26% | -17.89 | 1-3 |
| 2020-10-12 | @ New Orleans Saints | L 27-30 | 1442.76 | 1548.27 | 34.66% | 64.80% | -10.36 | 1-4 |
| 2020-10-25 | Jacksonville Jaguars | W 39-29 | 1432.40 | 1328.29 | 64.61% | 34.84% | +19.02 | 2-4 |
| 2020-11-01 | @ Denver Broncos | L 30-31 | 1451.42 | 1461.40 | 47.89% | 51.56% | -8.26 | 2-5 |
| 2020-11-08 | Las Vegas Raiders | L 26-31 | 1443.16 | 1485.40 | 44.07% | 55.38% | -16.99 | 2-6 |
| 2020-11-15 | @ Miami Dolphins | L 21-29 | 1426.17 | 1555.11 | 31.67% | 67.78% | -15.47 | 2-7 |
| 2020-11-22 | New York Jets | W 34-28 | 1410.70 | 1275.12 | 68.60% | 30.85% | +13.05 | 3-7 |
| 2020-11-29 | @ Buffalo Bills | L 17-27 | 1423.75 | 1564.75 | 30.19% | 69.27% | -16.49 | 3-8 |
| 2020-12-06 | New England Patriots | L 0-45 | 1407.26 | 1505.48 | 36.34% | 63.11% | -42.08 | 3-9 |
| 2020-12-13 | Atlanta Falcons | W 20-17 | 1365.18 | 1530.33 | 27.97% | 71.48% | +21.32 | 4-9 |
| 2020-12-17 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | W 30-27 | 1386.50 | 1451.62 | 40.09% | 59.36% | +17.71 | 5-9 |
| 2020-12-27 | Denver Broncos | W 19-16 | 1404.21 | 1416.19 | 48.40% | 51.05% | +15.24 | 6-9 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | W 38-21 | 1419.45 | 1772.41 | 11.32% | 88.13% | +20.86 | 7-9 |
| 2020-09-13 | Dallas Cowboys | W 20-17 | 1530.19 | 1534.29 | 49.53% | 49.92% | +14.90 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-20 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | W 37-19 | 1545.09 | 1480.74 | 58.49% | 40.96% | +29.98 | 2-0 |
| 2020-09-27 | @ Buffalo Bills | L 32-35 | 1575.07 | 1547.68 | 53.26% | 46.19% | -15.89 | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-04 | New York Giants | W 17-9 | 1559.18 | 1371.90 | 74.57% | 24.88% | +12.16 | 3-1 |
| 2020-10-11 | @ Washington Football Team | W 30-10 | 1571.34 | 1364.15 | 76.09% | 23.36% | +18.06 | 4-1 |
| 2020-10-18 | @ San Francisco 49ers | L 16-24 | 1589.40 | 1517.79 | 59.50% | 39.95% | -28.98 | 4-2 |
| 2020-10-26 | Chicago Bears | W 24-10 | 1560.42 | 1550.47 | 51.55% | 47.90% | +30.89 | 5-2 |
| 2020-11-01 | @ Miami Dolphins | L 17-28 | 1591.31 | 1504.78 | 61.54% | 37.91% | -35.14 | 5-3 |
| 2020-11-15 | Seattle Seahawks | W 23-16 | 1556.17 | 1588.00 | 45.55% | 53.90% | +24.56 | 6-3 |
| 2020-11-23 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | W 27-24 | 1580.73 | 1596.12 | 47.12% | 52.33% | +15.62 | 7-3 |
| 2020-11-29 | San Francisco 49ers | L 20-23 | 1596.35 | 1506.63 | 62.71% | 36.74% | -18.70 | 7-4 |
| 2020-12-06 | @ Arizona Cardinals | W 38-28 | 1577.65 | 1506.27 | 59.47% | 39.99% | +21.81 | 8-4 |
| 2020-12-10 | New England Patriots | W 24-3 | 1599.46 | 1547.56 | 57.52% | 41.93% | +33.15 | 9-4 |
| 2020-12-20 | New York Jets | L 20-23 | 1632.61 | 1229.64 | 90.72% | 8.73% | -27.07 | 9-5 |
| 2020-12-27 | @ Seattle Seahawks | L 9-20 | 1605.54 | 1596.67 | 50.61% | 48.85% | -28.92 | 9-6 |
| 2021-01-03 | Arizona Cardinals | W 18-7 | 1576.62 | 1503.66 | 60.44% | 39.01% | +22.32 | 10-6 |
| 2020-09-13 | @ New England Patriots | L 11-21 | 1412.32 | 1566.73 | 28.58% | 70.87% | -15.61 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-20 | Buffalo Bills | L 28-31 | 1396.71 | 1538.48 | 30.76% | 68.69% | -9.21 | 0-2 |
| 2020-09-24 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | W 31-13 | 1387.50 | 1460.04 | 39.07% | 60.38% | +44.12 | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-04 | Seattle Seahawks | L 23-31 | 1431.62 | 1592.41 | 28.48% | 70.97% | -13.92 | 1-3 |
| 2020-10-11 | @ San Francisco 49ers | W 43-17 | 1417.70 | 1580.91 | 27.56% | 71.89% | +63.12 | 2-3 |
| 2020-10-18 | New York Jets | W 24-0 | 1480.82 | 1324.11 | 71.14% | 28.31% | +23.96 | 3-3 |
| 2020-11-01 | Los Angeles Rams | W 28-17 | 1504.78 | 1591.31 | 37.91% | 61.54% | +35.15 | 4-3 |
| 2020-11-08 | @ Arizona Cardinals | W 34-31 | 1539.93 | 1545.08 | 48.59% | 50.86% | +15.18 | 5-3 |
| 2020-11-15 | Los Angeles Chargers | W 29-21 | 1555.11 | 1426.17 | 67.78% | 31.67% | +15.47 | 6-3 |
| 2020-11-22 | @ Denver Broncos | L 13-20 | 1570.58 | 1411.97 | 70.71% | 28.74% | -32.21 | 6-4 |
| 2020-11-29 | @ New York Jets | W 20-3 | 1538.37 | 1262.07 | 82.45% | 17.00% | +12.12 | 7-4 |
| 2020-12-06 | Cincinnati Bengals | W 19-7 | 1550.49 | 1365.36 | 74.34% | 25.11% | +15.03 | 8-4 |
| 2020-12-13 | Kansas City Chiefs | L 27-33 | 1565.52 | 1744.15 | 26.44% | 73.02% | -11.18 | 8-5 |
| 2020-12-20 | New England Patriots | W 22-12 | 1554.34 | 1514.41 | 55.83% | 43.62% | +23.78 | 9-5 |
| 2020-12-26 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | W 26-25 | 1578.12 | 1433.92 | 68.99% | 30.46% | +5.27 | 10-5 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ Buffalo Bills | L 26-56 | 1583.39 | 1685.73 | 35.07% | 64.38% | -33.16 | 10-6 |
| 2020-09-13 | Green Bay Packers | L 34-43 | 1555.73 | 1542.22 | 52.06% | 47.39% | -26.92 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-20 | @ Indianapolis Colts | L 11-28 | 1528.81 | 1460.05 | 59.10% | 40.35% | -41.96 | 0-2 |
| 2020-09-27 | Tennessee Titans | L 30-31 | 1486.85 | 1589.94 | 35.69% | 63.76% | -6.17 | 0-3 |
| 2020-10-04 | @ Houston Texans | W 31-23 | 1480.68 | 1451.62 | 53.50% | 45.95% | +22.41 | 1-3 |
| 2020-10-11 | @ Seattle Seahawks | L 26-27 | 1503.09 | 1606.33 | 34.95% | 64.50% | -6.03 | 1-4 |
| 2020-10-18 | Atlanta Falcons | L 23-40 | 1497.06 | 1423.30 | 60.55% | 38.90% | -43.00 | 1-5 |
| 2020-11-01 | @ Green Bay Packers | W 28-22 | 1454.06 | 1597.18 | 29.93% | 69.52% | +29.33 | 2-5 |
| 2020-11-08 | Detroit Lions | W 34-20 | 1483.39 | 1418.10 | 59.38% | 40.07% | +25.86 | 3-5 |
| 2020-11-16 | @ Chicago Bears | W 19-13 | 1509.25 | 1489.30 | 52.20% | 47.25% | +19.96 | 4-5 |
| 2020-11-22 | Dallas Cowboys | L 28-31 | 1529.21 | 1356.77 | 72.94% | 26.51% | -21.76 | 4-6 |
| 2020-11-29 | Carolina Panthers | W 28-27 | 1507.45 | 1423.82 | 61.89% | 37.56% | +6.49 | 5-6 |
| 2020-12-06 | Jacksonville Jaguars | W 27-24 | 1513.94 | 1282.04 | 79.06% | 20.40% | +6.10 | 6-6 |
| 2020-12-13 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 14-26 | 1520.04 | 1571.56 | 41.99% | 57.47% | -25.08 | 6-7 |
| 2020-12-20 | Chicago Bears | L 27-33 | 1494.96 | 1475.13 | 52.97% | 46.48% | -22.36 | 6-8 |
| 2020-12-25 | @ New Orleans Saints | L 33-52 | 1472.60 | 1673.00 | 23.50% | 75.95% | -17.70 | 6-9 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ Detroit Lions | W 37-35 | 1454.90 | 1320.03 | 67.84% | 31.61% | +7.72 | 7-9 |
| 2020-09-13 | Miami Dolphins | W 21-11 | 1566.73 | 1412.32 | 70.87% | 28.58% | +15.62 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-20 | @ Seattle Seahawks | L 30-35 | 1582.35 | 1552.21 | 53.66% | 45.79% | -20.67 | 1-1 |
| 2020-09-27 | Las Vegas Raiders | W 36-20 | 1561.68 | 1486.74 | 60.71% | 38.74% | +26.74 | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-05 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 10-26 | 1588.42 | 1687.89 | 35.45% | 64.00% | -24.48 | 2-2 |
| 2020-10-18 | Denver Broncos | L 12-18 | 1563.94 | 1454.95 | 65.25% | 34.20% | -27.52 | 2-3 |
| 2020-10-25 | San Francisco 49ers | L 6-33 | 1536.42 | 1546.78 | 48.63% | 50.82% | -43.55 | 2-4 |
| 2020-11-01 | @ Buffalo Bills | L 21-24 | 1492.87 | 1532.79 | 43.62% | 55.83% | -13.03 | 2-5 |
| 2020-11-09 | @ New York Jets | W 30-27 | 1479.84 | 1282.42 | 75.06% | 24.39% | +7.30 | 3-5 |
| 2020-11-15 | Baltimore Ravens | W 23-17 | 1487.14 | 1666.62 | 26.34% | 73.11% | +30.83 | 4-5 |
| 2020-11-22 | @ Houston Texans | L 20-27 | 1517.97 | 1421.80 | 62.84% | 36.62% | -28.63 | 4-6 |
| 2020-11-29 | Arizona Cardinals | W 20-17 | 1489.34 | 1522.40 | 45.38% | 54.07% | +16.14 | 5-6 |
| 2020-12-06 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | W 45-0 | 1505.48 | 1407.26 | 63.11% | 36.34% | +42.08 | 6-6 |
| 2020-12-10 | @ Los Angeles Rams | L 3-24 | 1547.56 | 1599.46 | 41.93% | 57.52% | -33.15 | 6-7 |
| 2020-12-20 | @ Miami Dolphins | L 12-22 | 1514.41 | 1554.34 | 43.62% | 55.83% | -23.79 | 6-8 |
| 2020-12-28 | Buffalo Bills | L 9-38 | 1490.62 | 1660.17 | 27.46% | 71.99% | -25.55 | 6-9 |
| 2021-01-03 | New York Jets | W 28-14 | 1465.07 | 1294.65 | 72.71% | 26.74% | +17.29 | 7-9 |
| 2020-09-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | W 34-23 | 1569.30 | 1495.80 | 60.51% | 38.94% | +22.28 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-21 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | L 24-34 | 1591.58 | 1449.31 | 68.75% | 30.70% | -37.43 | 1-1 |
| 2020-09-27 | Green Bay Packers | L 30-37 | 1554.15 | 1592.61 | 44.61% | 54.84% | -20.35 | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-04 | @ Detroit Lions | W 35-29 | 1533.80 | 1419.55 | 65.22% | 34.24% | +14.47 | 2-2 |
| 2020-10-12 | Los Angeles Chargers | W 30-27 | 1548.27 | 1442.76 | 64.80% | 34.66% | +10.37 | 3-2 |
| 2020-10-25 | Carolina Panthers | W 27-24 | 1558.64 | 1442.46 | 66.17% | 33.28% | +9.95 | 4-2 |
| 2020-11-01 | @ Chicago Bears | W 26-23 | 1568.59 | 1519.58 | 56.34% | 43.11% | +12.88 | 5-2 |
| 2020-11-08 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | W 38-3 | 1581.47 | 1631.44 | 42.20% | 57.25% | +58.33 | 6-2 |
| 2020-11-15 | San Francisco 49ers | W 27-13 | 1639.80 | 1528.54 | 65.54% | 33.91% | +21.91 | 7-2 |
| 2020-11-22 | Atlanta Falcons | W 24-9 | 1661.71 | 1501.50 | 71.54% | 27.91% | +18.67 | 8-2 |
| 2020-11-29 | @ Denver Broncos | W 31-3 | 1680.38 | 1444.18 | 78.94% | 20.51% | +18.77 | 9-2 |
| 2020-12-06 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W 21-16 | 1699.15 | 1541.48 | 70.60% | 28.85% | +11.14 | 10-2 |
| 2020-12-13 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | L 21-24 | 1710.29 | 1403.09 | 84.82% | 14.63% | -25.30 | 10-3 |
| 2020-12-20 | Kansas City Chiefs | L 29-32 | 1684.99 | 1755.34 | 40.13% | 59.32% | -11.99 | 10-4 |
| 2020-12-25 | Minnesota Vikings | W 52-33 | 1673.00 | 1472.60 | 75.95% | 23.50% | +17.70 | 11-4 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ Carolina Panthers | W 33-7 | 1690.70 | 1417.18 | 82.23% | 17.23% | +15.19 | 12-4 |
| 2020-09-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers | L 16-26 | 1427.13 | 1505.75 | 38.99% | 60.46% | -21.28 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-20 | @ Chicago Bears | L 13-17 | 1405.85 | 1522.24 | 33.25% | 66.20% | -11.48 | 0-2 |
| 2020-09-27 | San Francisco 49ers | L 9-36 | 1394.37 | 1585.91 | 25.02% | 74.44% | -22.47 | 0-3 |
| 2020-10-04 | @ Los Angeles Rams | L 9-17 | 1371.90 | 1559.18 | 24.88% | 74.57% | -12.16 | 0-4 |
| 2020-10-11 | @ Dallas Cowboys | L 34-37 | 1359.74 | 1476.17 | 33.25% | 66.20% | -9.94 | 0-5 |
| 2020-10-18 | Washington Football Team | W 20-19 | 1349.80 | 1346.09 | 50.66% | 48.80% | +8.41 | 1-5 |
| 2020-10-22 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | L 21-22 | 1358.21 | 1452.06 | 36.19% | 63.26% | -6.25 | 1-6 |
| 2020-11-02 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 23-25 | 1351.96 | 1627.26 | 17.08% | 82.37% | -4.18 | 1-7 |
| 2020-11-08 | @ Washington Football Team | W 23-20 | 1347.78 | 1389.05 | 43.43% | 56.02% | +16.72 | 2-7 |
| 2020-11-15 | Philadelphia Eagles | W 27-17 | 1364.50 | 1483.75 | 33.59% | 65.86% | +35.86 | 3-7 |
| 2020-11-29 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | W 19-17 | 1400.36 | 1376.76 | 52.72% | 46.73% | +11.39 | 4-7 |
| 2020-12-06 | @ Seattle Seahawks | W 17-12 | 1411.75 | 1597.04 | 25.10% | 74.35% | +28.63 | 5-7 |
| 2020-12-13 | Arizona Cardinals | L 7-26 | 1440.38 | 1484.45 | 43.81% | 55.64% | -32.93 | 5-8 |
| 2020-12-20 | Cleveland Browns | L 6-20 | 1407.45 | 1521.17 | 34.30% | 65.15% | -22.16 | 5-9 |
| 2020-12-27 | @ Baltimore Ravens | L 13-27 | 1385.29 | 1633.43 | 18.92% | 80.53% | -12.24 | 5-10 |
| 2021-01-03 | Dallas Cowboys | W 23-19 | 1373.05 | 1439.16 | 40.72% | 58.74% | +20.23 | 6-10 |
| 2020-09-13 | @ Buffalo Bills | L 17-27 | 1452.27 | 1516.54 | 40.21% | 59.24% | -21.93 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-20 | San Francisco 49ers | L 13-31 | 1430.34 | 1562.50 | 31.95% | 67.50% | -23.41 | 0-2 |
| 2020-09-27 | @ Indianapolis Colts | L 7-36 | 1406.93 | 1502.02 | 36.03% | 63.42% | -33.49 | 0-3 |
| 2020-10-01 | Denver Broncos | L 28-37 | 1373.44 | 1433.43 | 41.57% | 57.88% | -21.51 | 0-4 |
| 2020-10-11 | Arizona Cardinals | L 10-30 | 1351.93 | 1452.48 | 36.03% | 63.42% | -27.82 | 0-5 |
| 2020-10-18 | @ Miami Dolphins | L 0-24 | 1324.11 | 1480.82 | 28.31% | 71.14% | -23.96 | 0-6 |
| 2020-10-25 | Buffalo Bills | L 10-18 | 1300.15 | 1522.09 | 21.88% | 77.57% | -10.70 | 0-7 |
| 2020-11-01 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 9-35 | 1289.45 | 1709.81 | 7.97% | 91.48% | -7.03 | 0-8 |
| 2020-11-09 | New England Patriots | L 27-30 | 1282.42 | 1479.84 | 24.39% | 75.06% | -7.30 | 0-9 |
| 2020-11-22 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | L 28-34 | 1275.12 | 1410.70 | 30.85% | 68.60% | -13.05 | 0-10 |
| 2020-11-29 | Miami Dolphins | L 3-20 | 1262.07 | 1538.37 | 17.00% | 82.45% | -12.13 | 0-11 |
| 2020-12-06 | Las Vegas Raiders | L 28-31 | 1249.94 | 1470.59 | 22.01% | 77.45% | -6.59 | 0-12 |
| 2020-12-13 | @ Seattle Seahawks | L 3-40 | 1243.35 | 1568.41 | 13.03% | 86.42% | -13.71 | 0-13 |
| 2020-12-20 | @ Los Angeles Rams | W 23-20 | 1229.64 | 1632.61 | 8.73% | 90.72% | +27.06 | 1-13 |
| 2020-12-27 | Cleveland Browns | W 23-16 | 1256.70 | 1543.33 | 16.18% | 83.27% | +37.95 | 2-13 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ New England Patriots | L 14-28 | 1294.65 | 1465.07 | 26.74% | 72.71% | -17.29 | 2-14 |
| 2020-09-13 | @ Washington Football Team | L 17-27 | 1516.55 | 1398.17 | 65.75% | 33.70% | -35.81 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-20 | Los Angeles Rams | L 19-37 | 1480.74 | 1545.09 | 40.96% | 58.49% | -29.98 | 0-2 |
| 2020-09-27 | Cincinnati Bengals | T 23-23 | 1450.76 | 1395.22 | 58.03% | 41.42% | -0.71 | 0-2 |
| 2020-10-04 | @ San Francisco 49ers | W 25-20 | 1450.05 | 1608.37 | 28.13% | 71.32% | +27.46 | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-11 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | L 29-38 | 1477.51 | 1561.37 | 37.53% | 61.92% | -19.43 | 1-3 |
| 2020-10-18 | Baltimore Ravens | L 28-30 | 1458.08 | 1652.99 | 24.65% | 74.80% | -6.02 | 1-4 |
| 2020-10-22 | New York Giants | W 22-21 | 1452.06 | 1358.21 | 63.26% | 36.19% | +6.24 | 2-4 |
| 2020-11-01 | Dallas Cowboys | W 23-9 | 1458.30 | 1388.27 | 60.04% | 39.41% | +25.45 | 3-4 |
| 2020-11-15 | @ New York Giants | L 17-27 | 1483.75 | 1364.50 | 65.86% | 33.59% | -35.86 | 3-5 |
| 2020-11-22 | @ Cleveland Browns | L 17-22 | 1447.89 | 1486.14 | 43.86% | 55.60% | -16.92 | 3-6 |
| 2020-11-30 | Seattle Seahawks | L 17-23 | 1430.97 | 1584.63 | 29.32% | 70.13% | -12.40 | 3-7 |
| 2020-12-06 | @ Green Bay Packers | L 16-30 | 1418.57 | 1614.83 | 23.93% | 75.52% | -15.48 | 3-8 |
| 2020-12-13 | New Orleans Saints | W 24-21 | 1403.09 | 1710.29 | 14.63% | 84.82% | +25.30 | 4-8 |
| 2020-12-20 | @ Arizona Cardinals | L 26-33 | 1428.39 | 1517.39 | 36.84% | 62.61% | -16.82 | 4-9 |
| 2020-12-27 | @ Dallas Cowboys | L 17-37 | 1411.57 | 1399.84 | 51.02% | 48.43% | -39.31 | 4-10 |
| 2021-01-03 | Washington Football Team | L 14-20 | 1372.26 | 1450.73 | 39.01% | 60.44% | -16.49 | 4-11 |
| 2020-09-14 | @ New York Giants | W 26-16 | 1505.75 | 1427.13 | 60.46% | 38.99% | +21.27 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-20 | Denver Broncos | W 26-21 | 1527.02 | 1483.32 | 56.37% | 43.08% | +16.62 | 2-0 |
| 2020-09-27 | Houston Texans | W 28-21 | 1543.64 | 1469.35 | 60.62% | 38.83% | +17.73 | 3-0 |
| 2020-10-11 | Philadelphia Eagles | W 38-29 | 1561.37 | 1477.51 | 61.92% | 37.53% | +19.43 | 4-0 |
| 2020-10-18 | Cleveland Browns | W 38-7 | 1580.80 | 1534.53 | 56.73% | 42.72% | +41.03 | 5-0 |
| 2020-10-25 | @ Tennessee Titans | W 27-24 | 1621.83 | 1648.38 | 45.52% | 53.93% | +16.09 | 6-0 |
| 2020-11-01 | @ Baltimore Ravens | W 28-24 | 1637.92 | 1659.02 | 46.30% | 53.15% | +18.31 | 7-0 |
| 2020-11-08 | @ Dallas Cowboys | W 24-19 | 1656.23 | 1362.83 | 83.80% | 15.65% | +6.06 | 8-0 |
| 2020-11-15 | Cincinnati Bengals | W 36-10 | 1662.29 | 1426.76 | 79.39% | 20.06% | +17.68 | 9-0 |
| 2020-11-22 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | W 27-3 | 1679.97 | 1295.96 | 89.53% | 9.92% | +8.42 | 10-0 |
| 2020-12-02 | Baltimore Ravens | W 19-14 | 1688.39 | 1610.25 | 61.15% | 38.31% | +14.78 | 11-0 |
| 2020-12-07 | Washington Football Team | L 17-23 | 1703.17 | 1432.45 | 82.45% | 17.01% | -34.78 | 11-1 |
| 2020-12-13 | @ Buffalo Bills | L 15-26 | 1668.39 | 1604.22 | 58.46% | 40.99% | -33.40 | 11-2 |
| 2020-12-21 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | L 17-27 | 1634.99 | 1305.80 | 86.33% | 13.12% | -47.02 | 11-3 |
| 2020-12-27 | Indianapolis Colts | W 28-24 | 1587.97 | 1615.29 | 46.20% | 53.25% | +18.35 | 12-3 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ Cleveland Browns | L 22-24 | 1606.32 | 1505.39 | 63.47% | 35.98% | -15.45 | 12-4 |
| 2020-09-13 | Arizona Cardinals | L 20-24 | 1586.04 | 1452.44 | 68.36% | 31.09% | -23.54 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-20 | @ New York Jets | W 31-13 | 1562.50 | 1430.34 | 67.50% | 31.95% | +23.41 | 1-1 |
| 2020-09-27 | @ New York Giants | W 36-9 | 1585.91 | 1394.37 | 74.44% | 25.02% | +22.46 | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-04 | Philadelphia Eagles | L 20-25 | 1608.37 | 1450.05 | 71.32% | 28.13% | -27.46 | 2-2 |
| 2020-10-11 | Miami Dolphins | L 17-43 | 1580.91 | 1417.70 | 71.89% | 27.56% | -63.12 | 2-3 |
| 2020-10-18 | Los Angeles Rams | W 24-16 | 1517.79 | 1589.40 | 39.95% | 59.50% | +28.99 | 3-3 |
| 2020-10-25 | @ New England Patriots | W 33-6 | 1546.78 | 1536.42 | 50.82% | 48.63% | +43.55 | 4-3 |
| 2020-11-01 | @ Seattle Seahawks | L 27-37 | 1590.33 | 1594.04 | 48.80% | 50.66% | -26.59 | 4-4 |
| 2020-11-05 | Green Bay Packers | L 17-34 | 1563.74 | 1567.86 | 49.53% | 49.92% | -35.20 | 4-5 |
| 2020-11-15 | @ New Orleans Saints | L 13-27 | 1528.54 | 1639.80 | 33.91% | 65.54% | -21.91 | 4-6 |
| 2020-11-29 | @ Los Angeles Rams | W 23-20 | 1506.63 | 1596.35 | 36.74% | 62.71% | +18.71 | 5-6 |
| 2020-12-07 | Buffalo Bills | L 24-34 | 1525.34 | 1581.24 | 42.14% | 57.31% | -22.99 | 5-7 |
| 2020-12-13 | Washington Football Team | L 15-23 | 1502.35 | 1467.23 | 54.76% | 44.69% | -26.68 | 5-8 |
| 2020-12-20 | @ Dallas Cowboys | L 33-41 | 1475.67 | 1368.53 | 64.29% | 35.16% | -31.31 | 5-9 |
| 2020-12-26 | @ Arizona Cardinals | W 20-12 | 1444.36 | 1534.21 | 36.72% | 62.73% | +30.55 | 6-9 |
| 2021-01-03 | Seattle Seahawks | L 23-26 | 1474.91 | 1625.60 | 29.35% | 70.10% | -8.78 | 6-10 |
| 2020-09-13 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W 38-25 | 1521.25 | 1519.16 | 49.63% | 49.82% | +30.96 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-20 | New England Patriots | W 35-30 | 1552.21 | 1582.35 | 45.79% | 53.66% | +20.67 | 2-0 |
| 2020-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys | W 38-31 | 1572.88 | 1527.12 | 56.66% | 42.80% | +19.53 | 3-0 |
| 2020-10-04 | @ Miami Dolphins | W 31-23 | 1592.41 | 1431.62 | 70.97% | 28.48% | +13.92 | 4-0 |
| 2020-10-11 | Minnesota Vikings | W 27-26 | 1606.33 | 1503.09 | 64.50% | 34.95% | +6.03 | 5-0 |
| 2020-10-25 | @ Arizona Cardinals | L 34-37 | 1612.36 | 1526.76 | 61.41% | 38.04% | -18.32 | 5-1 |
| 2020-11-01 | San Francisco 49ers | W 37-27 | 1594.04 | 1590.33 | 50.66% | 48.80% | +26.60 | 6-1 |
| 2020-11-08 | @ Buffalo Bills | L 34-44 | 1620.64 | 1545.81 | 59.94% | 39.51% | -32.64 | 6-2 |
| 2020-11-15 | @ Los Angeles Rams | L 16-23 | 1588.00 | 1556.17 | 53.90% | 45.55% | -24.57 | 6-3 |
| 2020-11-19 | Arizona Cardinals | W 28-21 | 1563.43 | 1543.61 | 52.97% | 46.48% | +21.20 | 7-3 |
| 2020-11-30 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | W 23-17 | 1584.63 | 1430.97 | 70.13% | 29.32% | +12.41 | 8-3 |
| 2020-12-06 | New York Giants | L 12-17 | 1597.04 | 1411.75 | 74.35% | 25.10% | -28.63 | 8-4 |
| 2020-12-13 | New York Jets | W 40-3 | 1568.41 | 1243.35 | 86.42% | 13.03% | +13.72 | 9-4 |
| 2020-12-20 | @ Washington Football Team | W 20-15 | 1582.13 | 1493.91 | 61.77% | 37.68% | +14.54 | 10-4 |
| 2020-12-27 | Los Angeles Rams | W 20-9 | 1596.67 | 1605.54 | 48.85% | 50.61% | +28.93 | 11-4 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ San Francisco 49ers | W 26-23 | 1625.60 | 1474.91 | 70.10% | 29.35% | +8.78 | 12-4 |
| 2020-09-13 | @ New Orleans Saints | L 23-34 | 1495.80 | 1569.30 | 38.94% | 60.51% | -22.28 | 0-1 |
| 2020-09-20 | Carolina Panthers | W 31-17 | 1473.52 | 1404.63 | 59.88% | 39.57% | +25.54 | 1-1 |
| 2020-09-27 | @ Denver Broncos | W 28-10 | 1499.06 | 1466.70 | 53.97% | 45.48% | +33.27 | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-04 | Los Angeles Chargers | W 38-31 | 1532.33 | 1460.65 | 60.26% | 39.19% | +17.89 | 3-1 |
| 2020-10-08 | @ Chicago Bears | L 19-20 | 1550.22 | 1523.05 | 53.23% | 46.22% | -9.17 | 3-2 |
| 2020-10-18 | Green Bay Packers | W 38-10 | 1541.05 | 1631.99 | 37.32% | 62.13% | +56.62 | 4-2 |
| 2020-10-25 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | W 45-20 | 1597.67 | 1483.81 | 65.17% | 34.29% | +29.59 | 5-2 |
| 2020-11-02 | @ New York Giants | W 25-23 | 1627.26 | 1351.96 | 82.37% | 17.08% | +4.18 | 6-2 |
| 2020-11-08 | New Orleans Saints | L 3-38 | 1631.44 | 1581.47 | 57.25% | 42.20% | -58.33 | 6-3 |
| 2020-11-15 | @ Carolina Panthers | W 46-23 | 1573.11 | 1406.29 | 71.67% | 27.78% | +23.01 | 7-3 |
| 2020-11-23 | Los Angeles Rams | L 24-27 | 1596.12 | 1580.73 | 52.33% | 47.12% | -15.62 | 7-4 |
| 2020-11-29 | Kansas City Chiefs | L 24-27 | 1580.50 | 1729.34 | 29.90% | 69.55% | -8.94 | 7-5 |
| 2020-12-13 | Minnesota Vikings | W 26-14 | 1571.56 | 1520.04 | 57.47% | 41.99% | +25.09 | 8-5 |
| 2020-12-20 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W 31-27 | 1596.65 | 1509.02 | 61.69% | 37.76% | +13.03 | 9-5 |
| 2020-12-26 | @ Detroit Lions | W 47-7 | 1609.68 | 1339.14 | 81.98% | 17.47% | +19.11 | 10-5 |
| 2021-01-03 | Atlanta Falcons | W 44-27 | 1628.79 | 1490.90 | 68.89% | 30.56% | +21.77 | 11-5 |
| 2020-09-14 | @ Denver Broncos | W 16-14 | 1570.18 | 1492.88 | 60.28% | 39.17% | +9.56 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-20 | Jacksonville Jaguars | W 33-30 | 1579.74 | 1470.24 | 65.31% | 34.14% | +10.20 | 2-0 |
| 2020-09-27 | @ Minnesota Vikings | W 31-30 | 1589.94 | 1486.85 | 63.76% | 35.69% | +6.17 | 3-0 |
| 2020-10-13 | Buffalo Bills | W 42-16 | 1596.11 | 1579.85 | 52.46% | 46.99% | +41.31 | 4-0 |
| 2020-10-18 | Houston Texans | W 42-36 | 1637.42 | 1459.42 | 73.56% | 25.89% | +10.96 | 5-0 |
| 2020-10-25 | Pittsburgh Steelers | L 24-27 | 1648.38 | 1621.83 | 53.93% | 45.52% | -16.10 | 5-1 |
| 2020-11-01 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | L 20-31 | 1632.28 | 1380.87 | 80.33% | 19.12% | -45.88 | 5-2 |
| 2020-11-08 | Chicago Bears | W 24-17 | 1586.40 | 1506.70 | 61.36% | 38.09% | +17.39 | 6-2 |
| 2020-11-12 | Indianapolis Colts | L 17-34 | 1603.79 | 1544.56 | 58.54% | 40.91% | -41.57 | 6-3 |
| 2020-11-22 | @ Baltimore Ravens | W 30-24 | 1562.22 | 1635.78 | 38.93% | 60.52% | +25.53 | 7-3 |
| 2020-11-29 | @ Indianapolis Colts | W 45-26 | 1587.75 | 1601.79 | 47.31% | 52.14% | +39.16 | 8-3 |
| 2020-12-06 | Cleveland Browns | L 35-41 | 1626.91 | 1508.56 | 66.45% | 33.00% | -28.03 | 8-4 |
| 2020-12-13 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | W 31-10 | 1598.88 | 1275.93 | 85.91% | 13.54% | +10.74 | 9-4 |
| 2020-12-20 | Detroit Lions | W 46-25 | 1609.62 | 1353.59 | 81.22% | 18.23% | +14.45 | 10-4 |
| 2020-12-27 | @ Green Bay Packers | L 14-40 | 1624.07 | 1647.97 | 45.90% | 53.55% | -40.35 | 10-5 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ Houston Texans | W 41-38 | 1583.72 | 1375.14 | 76.23% | 23.22% | +6.95 | 11-5 |
| 2020-09-13 | Philadelphia Eagles | W 27-17 | 1398.17 | 1516.55 | 33.70% | 65.75% | +35.80 | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-20 | @ Arizona Cardinals | L 15-30 | 1433.97 | 1475.98 | 43.32% | 56.13% | -28.94 | 1-1 |
| 2020-09-27 | @ Cleveland Browns | L 20-34 | 1405.03 | 1445.38 | 43.56% | 55.89% | -28.11 | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-04 | Baltimore Ravens | L 17-31 | 1376.92 | 1621.38 | 19.74% | 79.71% | -12.77 | 1-3 |
| 2020-10-11 | Los Angeles Rams | L 10-30 | 1364.15 | 1571.34 | 23.36% | 76.09% | -18.06 | 1-4 |
| 2020-10-18 | @ New York Giants | L 19-20 | 1346.09 | 1349.80 | 48.80% | 50.66% | -8.41 | 1-5 |
| 2020-10-25 | Dallas Cowboys | W 25-3 | 1337.68 | 1439.64 | 35.84% | 63.61% | +51.37 | 2-5 |
| 2020-11-08 | New York Giants | L 20-23 | 1389.05 | 1347.78 | 56.02% | 43.43% | -16.71 | 2-6 |
| 2020-11-15 | @ Detroit Lions | L 27-30 | 1372.34 | 1392.24 | 46.47% | 52.98% | -13.88 | 2-7 |
| 2020-11-22 | Cincinnati Bengals | W 20-9 | 1358.46 | 1409.07 | 42.89% | 56.57% | +32.31 | 3-7 |
| 2020-11-26 | @ Dallas Cowboys | W 41-16 | 1390.77 | 1378.52 | 51.09% | 48.36% | +41.68 | 4-7 |
| 2020-12-07 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | W 23-17 | 1432.45 | 1703.17 | 17.01% | 82.45% | +34.78 | 5-7 |
| 2020-12-13 | @ San Francisco 49ers | W 23-15 | 1467.23 | 1502.35 | 44.69% | 54.76% | +26.68 | 6-7 |
| 2020-12-20 | Seattle Seahawks | L 15-20 | 1493.91 | 1582.13 | 37.68% | 61.77% | -14.54 | 6-8 |
| 2020-12-27 | Carolina Panthers | L 13-20 | 1479.37 | 1388.54 | 62.86% | 36.59% | -28.64 | 6-9 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | W 20-14 | 1450.73 | 1372.26 | 60.44% | 39.01% | +16.49 | 7-9 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-01-10 | @ Tennessee Titans | W 20-13 | 1663.69 | 1590.67 | 59.98% | 40.02% | +18.15 | 1-0 |
| 2021-01-16 | @ Buffalo Bills | L 3-17 | 1681.84 | 1728.89 | 42.88% | 57.12% | -27.50 | 1-1 |
| 2021-01-09 | Indianapolis Colts | W 27-24 | 1718.89 | 1604.07 | 66.30% | 33.70% | +10.00 | 1-0 |
| 2021-01-16 | Baltimore Ravens | W 17-3 | 1728.89 | 1681.84 | 57.12% | 42.88% | +27.50 | 2-0 |
| 2021-01-24 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 24-38 | 1756.39 | 1760.79 | 48.97% | 51.03% | -31.41 | 2-1 |
| 2021-01-10 | @ New Orleans Saints | L 9-21 | 1494.09 | 1705.89 | 22.53% | 77.47% | -13.38 | 0-1 |
| 2021-01-10 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | W 48-37 | 1520.84 | 1590.87 | 39.68% | 60.32% | +34.30 | 1-0 |
| 2021-01-17 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 17-22 | 1555.14 | 1751.55 | 24.11% | 75.89% | -9.25 | 1-1 |
| 2021-01-16 | Los Angeles Rams | W 32-18 | 1708.63 | 1629.01 | 61.64% | 38.36% | +24.60 | 1-0 |
| 2021-01-24 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 26-31 | 1733.23 | 1694.87 | 55.89% | 44.11% | -21.42 | 1-1 |
| 2021-01-09 | @ Buffalo Bills | L 24-27 | 1604.07 | 1718.89 | 33.70% | 66.30% | -10.00 | 0-1 |
| 2021-01-17 | Cleveland Browns | W 22-17 | 1751.55 | 1555.14 | 75.89% | 24.11% | +9.24 | 1-0 |
| 2021-01-24 | Buffalo Bills | W 38-24 | 1760.79 | 1756.39 | 51.03% | 48.97% | +31.41 | 2-0 |
| 2021-02-07 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 9-31 | 1792.20 | 1716.29 | 60.75% | 39.25% | -48.85 | 2-1 |
| 2021-01-09 | @ Seattle Seahawks | W 30-20 | 1598.94 | 1634.38 | 44.53% | 55.47% | +30.07 | 1-0 |
| 2021-01-16 | @ Green Bay Packers | L 18-32 | 1629.01 | 1708.63 | 38.36% | 61.64% | -24.60 | 1-1 |
| 2021-01-10 | Chicago Bears | W 21-9 | 1705.89 | 1494.09 | 77.47% | 22.53% | +13.38 | 1-0 |
| 2021-01-17 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 20-30 | 1719.27 | 1663.22 | 58.38% | 41.62% | -31.64 | 1-1 |
| 2021-01-10 | Cleveland Browns | L 37-48 | 1590.87 | 1520.84 | 60.32% | 39.68% | -34.29 | 0-1 |
| 2021-01-09 | Los Angeles Rams | L 20-30 | 1634.38 | 1598.94 | 55.47% | 44.53% | -30.07 | 0-1 |
| 2021-01-09 | @ Washington Football Team | W 31-23 | 1650.56 | 1467.22 | 73.88% | 26.12% | +12.66 | 1-0 |
| 2021-01-17 | @ New Orleans Saints | W 30-20 | 1663.22 | 1719.27 | 41.62% | 58.38% | +31.65 | 2-0 |
| 2021-01-24 | @ Green Bay Packers | W 31-26 | 1694.87 | 1733.23 | 44.11% | 55.89% | +21.42 | 3-0 |
| 2021-02-07 | Kansas City Chiefs | W 31-9 | 1716.29 | 1792.20 | 39.25% | 60.75% | +48.84 | 4-0 |
| 2021-01-10 | Baltimore Ravens | L 13-20 | 1590.67 | 1663.69 | 40.02% | 59.98% | -18.15 | 0-1 |
| 2021-01-09 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 23-31 | 1467.22 | 1650.56 | 26.12% | 73.88% | -12.66 | 0-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2020-12-20 | 8.73% | New York Jets | 1229.64 | 23 | @ Los Angeles Rams | 1632.61 | 20 |
| 2 | 2021-01-03 | 11.32% | Los Angeles Chargers | 1419.45 | 38 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | 1772.41 | 21 |
| 3 | 2020-12-21 | 13.12% | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 1305.80 | 27 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 1634.99 | 17 |
| 4 | 2020-12-13 | 14.63% | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 1403.09 | 24 | New Orleans Saints | 1710.29 | 21 |
| 5 | 2020-12-27 | 16.18% | @ New York Jets | 1256.70 | 23 | Cleveland Browns | 1543.33 | 16 |
| 6 | 2020-12-07 | 17.01% | Washington Football Team | 1432.45 | 23 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 1703.17 | 17 |
| 7 | 2020-10-11 | 17.18% | Las Vegas Raiders | 1443.73 | 40 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | 1712.37 | 32 |
| 8 | 2020-11-01 | 19.12% | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 1380.87 | 31 | Tennessee Titans | 1632.28 | 20 |
| 9 | 2020-12-06 | 25.10% | New York Giants | 1411.75 | 17 | @ Seattle Seahawks | 1597.04 | 12 |
| 10 | 2020-11-15 | 26.34% | @ New England Patriots | 1487.14 | 23 | Baltimore Ravens | 1666.62 | 17 |
| 11 | 2020-11-22 | 26.51% | Dallas Cowboys | 1356.77 | 31 | @ Minnesota Vikings | 1529.21 | 28 |
| 12 | 2020-10-11 | 27.56% | Miami Dolphins | 1417.70 | 43 | @ San Francisco 49ers | 1580.91 | 17 |
| 13 | 2020-12-13 | 27.97% | @ Los Angeles Chargers | 1365.18 | 20 | Atlanta Falcons | 1530.33 | 17 |
| 14 | 2020-10-04 | 28.13% | Philadelphia Eagles | 1450.05 | 25 | @ San Francisco 49ers | 1608.37 | 20 |
| 15 | 2020-11-22 | 28.74% | @ Denver Broncos | 1411.97 | 20 | Miami Dolphins | 1570.58 | 13 |
| 16 | 2020-11-01 | 29.93% | Minnesota Vikings | 1454.06 | 28 | @ Green Bay Packers | 1597.18 | 22 |
| 17 | 2020-09-21 | 30.70% | @ Las Vegas Raiders | 1449.31 | 34 | New Orleans Saints | 1591.58 | 24 |
| 18 | 2020-09-13 | 31.09% | Arizona Cardinals | 1452.44 | 24 | @ San Francisco 49ers | 1586.04 | 20 |
| 19 | 2020-12-06 | 33.00% | Cleveland Browns | 1508.56 | 41 | @ Tennessee Titans | 1626.91 | 35 |
| 20 | 2020-11-15 | 33.59% | @ New York Giants | 1364.50 | 27 | Philadelphia Eagles | 1483.75 | 17 |
| 21 | 2020-09-13 | 33.70% | @ Washington Football Team | 1398.17 | 27 | Philadelphia Eagles | 1516.55 | 17 |
| 22 | 2020-10-18 | 34.20% | Denver Broncos | 1454.95 | 18 | @ New England Patriots | 1563.94 | 12 |
| 23 | 2020-12-06 | 34.37% | Detroit Lions | 1339.25 | 34 | @ Chicago Bears | 1446.97 | 30 |
| 24 | 2020-09-27 | 34.52% | Carolina Panthers | 1379.09 | 21 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | 1485.65 | 16 |
| 25 | 2020-09-27 | 34.77% | Detroit Lions | 1400.26 | 26 | @ Arizona Cardinals | 1504.92 | 23 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2020-10-11 | 63.12 | Miami Dolphins | 43 | 1417.70 | 27.56% | @ San Francisco 49ers | 17 | 1580.91 | 71.89% |
| 2 | 2020-11-29 | 58.65 | @ Atlanta Falcons | 43 | 1482.83 | 43.48% | Las Vegas Raiders | 6 | 1529.23 | 55.97% |
| 3 | 2020-11-08 | 58.33 | New Orleans Saints | 38 | 1581.47 | 42.20% | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 1631.44 | 57.25% |
| 4 | 2020-10-18 | 56.62 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 38 | 1541.05 | 37.32% | Green Bay Packers | 10 | 1631.99 | 62.13% |
| 5 | 2020-10-25 | 51.37 | @ Washington Football Team | 25 | 1337.68 | 35.84% | Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 1439.64 | 63.61% |
| 6 | 2020-12-13 | 50.58 | @ Chicago Bears | 36 | 1424.56 | 44.94% | Houston Texans | 7 | 1460.70 | 54.51% |
| 7 | 2021-02-07 * | 48.85 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 31 | 1716.29 | 39.25% | Kansas City Chiefs | 9 | 1792.20 | 60.75% |
| 8 | 2020-12-21 | 47.02 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 27 | 1305.80 | 13.12% | Pittsburgh Steelers | 17 | 1634.99 | 86.33% |
| 9 | 2020-10-19 | 46.47 | Arizona Cardinals | 38 | 1480.30 | 48.49% | @ Dallas Cowboys | 10 | 1486.11 | 50.96% |
| 10 | 2020-11-01 | 45.89 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 31 | 1380.87 | 19.12% | Tennessee Titans | 20 | 1632.28 | 80.33% |
| 11 | 2020-12-13 | 44.53 | Dallas Cowboys | 30 | 1324.00 | 45.55% | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 7 | 1350.33 | 53.90% |
| 12 | 2020-09-24 | 44.12 | Miami Dolphins | 31 | 1387.50 | 39.07% | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | 13 | 1460.04 | 60.38% |
| 13 | 2020-10-25 | 43.55 | San Francisco 49ers | 33 | 1546.78 | 50.82% | @ New England Patriots | 6 | 1536.42 | 48.63% |
| 14 | 2020-10-18 | 43.00 | Atlanta Falcons | 40 | 1423.30 | 38.90% | @ Minnesota Vikings | 23 | 1497.06 | 60.55% |
| 15 | 2020-12-06 | 42.08 | New England Patriots | 45 | 1505.48 | 63.11% | @ Los Angeles Chargers | 0 | 1407.26 | 36.34% |
| 16 | 2020-09-20 | 41.97 | @ Indianapolis Colts | 28 | 1460.05 | 40.35% | Minnesota Vikings | 11 | 1528.81 | 59.10% |
| 17 | 2020-11-26 | 41.68 | Washington Football Team | 41 | 1390.77 | 51.09% | @ Dallas Cowboys | 16 | 1378.52 | 48.36% |
| 18 | 2020-11-12 | 41.57 | Indianapolis Colts | 34 | 1544.56 | 40.91% | @ Tennessee Titans | 17 | 1603.79 | 58.54% |
| 19 | 2020-10-13 | 41.31 | @ Tennessee Titans | 42 | 1596.11 | 52.46% | Buffalo Bills | 16 | 1579.85 | 46.99% |
| 20 | 2020-10-18 | 41.03 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 38 | 1580.80 | 56.73% | Cleveland Browns | 7 | 1534.53 | 42.72% |
| 21 | 2020-11-22 | 40.54 | @ Carolina Panthers | 20 | 1383.28 | 46.84% | Detroit Lions | 0 | 1406.11 | 52.61% |
| 22 | 2020-12-27 | 40.35 | @ Green Bay Packers | 40 | 1647.97 | 53.55% | Tennessee Titans | 14 | 1624.07 | 45.90% |
| 23 | 2020-10-11 | 40.08 | Las Vegas Raiders | 40 | 1443.73 | 17.18% | @ Kansas City Chiefs | 32 | 1712.37 | 82.28% |
| 24 | 2020-12-27 | 39.32 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 37 | 1399.84 | 48.43% | Philadelphia Eagles | 17 | 1411.57 | 51.02% |
| 25 | 2020-11-29 | 39.16 | Tennessee Titans | 45 | 1587.75 | 47.31% | @ Indianapolis Colts | 26 | 1601.79 | 52.14% |