2004 MLS Season
150 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
DC United
1st Title
Runner-Up
Kansas City Wizards
2nd Appearance
Last Appearance: 2000
Biggest Overachiever
Columbus Crew
7.11 points above expected
49 points · 41.89 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Chicago Fire
9.52 points below expected
33 points · 42.52 expected points
Final Standings
Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points — positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Pt% | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew Conference | 12 | 5 | 13 | 49 | .544 | 40 | 32 | +8 | 41.89 | +7.11 |
| 2 | DC United Playoffs | 11 | 10 | 9 | 42 | .467 | 43 | 42 | +1 | 40.68 | +1.32 |
| 3 | MetroStars Playoffs | 11 | 12 | 7 | 40 | .444 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41.57 | -1.57 |
| 4 | New England Revolution Playoffs | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 | .367 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 41.50 | -8.50 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 | .367 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 42.52 | -9.52 |
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Pt% | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas City Wizards Conference | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49 | .544 | 38 | 30 | +8 | 42.01 | +6.99 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Galaxy Playoffs | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | .478 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 42.93 | +0.07 |
| 3 | Colorado Rapids Playoffs | 10 | 9 | 11 | 41 | .456 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 40.77 | +0.23 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes Playoffs | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | .422 | 41 | 35 | +6 | 43.73 | -5.73 |
| 5 | Dallas Burn | 10 | 14 | 6 | 36 | .400 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 38.89 | -2.89 |
Playoff Bracket
Eastern Conference
Conference Semifinals
New England Revolution
2
Columbus Crew
0
DC United
2
MetroStars
0
Conference Final
DC United
3
New England Revolution
3
Western Conference
Conference Semifinals
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
Colorado Rapids
0
Kansas City Wizards
2
San Jose Earthquakes
0
Conference Final
Kansas City Wizards
2
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
MLS Cup
DC United
3
Kansas City Wizards
2
Season Summary
Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals from 100,000 simulations. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Points | Avg. Pts. | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | Western | 1519 | 38 | 43.73 | -5.73 | 22.89% | 13 | 32 | 39 | 44 | 48 | 55 | 73 | |
| Columbus Crew | Eastern | 1515 | 49 | 41.89 | +7.11 | 86.22% | 17 | 31 | 37 | 42 | 47 | 54 | 68 | |
| Kansas City Wizards | Western | 1510 | 49 | 42.01 | +6.99 | 85.82% | 19 | 30 | 37 | 42 | 47 | 54 | 68 | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Western | 1505 | 43 | 42.93 | +0.07 | 52.85% | 21 | 32 | 38 | 43 | 48 | 54 | 66 | |
| MetroStars | Eastern | 1500 | 40 | 41.57 | -1.57 | 43.87% | 13 | 30 | 37 | 42 | 46 | 53 | 69 | |
| New England Revolution | Eastern | 1500 | 33 | 41.50 | -8.50 | 12.11% | 16 | 30 | 37 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 66 | |
| DC United | Eastern | 1497 | 42 | 40.68 | +1.32 | 60.89% | 13 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 45 | 53 | 68 | |
| Chicago Fire | Eastern | 1495 | 33 | 42.52 | -9.52 | 10.00% | 17 | 31 | 38 | 43 | 47 | 54 | 71 | |
| Colorado Rapids | Western | 1494 | 41 | 40.77 | +0.23 | 54.27% | 15 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 52 | 72 | |
| Dallas Burn | Western | 1465 | 36 | 38.89 | -2.89 | 37.43% | 14 | 28 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 66 |
Head-to-Head
Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.
Beat expectations
Fell short
Within expectations
Within Eastern
| Team | Fire | Crew | United | MetroStars | Revolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | — |
1
(5.6 exp.)
|
9
(5.7 exp.)
|
5
(5.7 exp.)
|
4
(5.7 exp.)
|
| Columbus Crew |
10
(5.5 exp.)
|
— |
5
(5.7 exp.)
|
5
(5.6 exp.)
|
8
(5.6 exp.)
|
| DC United |
3
(5.4 exp.)
|
5
(5.4 exp.)
|
— |
9
(5.4 exp.)
|
8
(5.4 exp.)
|
| MetroStars |
5
(5.4 exp.)
|
5
(5.5 exp.)
|
3
(5.7 exp.)
|
— |
5
(5.6 exp.)
|
| New England Revolution |
7
(5.4 exp.)
|
2
(5.5 exp.)
|
2
(5.7 exp.)
|
5
(5.5 exp.)
|
— |
Eastern vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Rapids | Burn | Wizards | Galaxy | Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire |
3
(4.7 exp.)
|
0
(3.0 exp.)
|
5
(3.8 exp.)
|
1
(3.8 exp.)
|
5
(4.5 exp.)
|
| Columbus Crew |
2
(3.9 exp.)
|
5
(4.7 exp.)
|
4
(4.5 exp.)
|
4
(3.7 exp.)
|
6
(2.6 exp.)
|
| DC United |
4
(4.5 exp.)
|
4
(3.9 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
2
(4.4 exp.)
|
4
(3.6 exp.)
|
| MetroStars |
0
(2.8 exp.)
|
3
(4.9 exp.)
|
6
(3.7 exp.)
|
9
(4.3 exp.)
|
4
(3.6 exp.)
|
| New England Revolution |
4
(3.8 exp.)
|
6
(4.0 exp.)
|
3
(4.5 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
1
(4.3 exp.)
|
Within Western
| Team | Rapids | Burn | Wizards | Galaxy | Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | — |
5
(5.8 exp.)
|
3
(5.4 exp.)
|
3
(5.3 exp.)
|
5
(5.2 exp.)
|
| Dallas Burn |
5
(5.3 exp.)
|
— |
3
(5.2 exp.)
|
3
(5.1 exp.)
|
4
(4.9 exp.)
|
| Kansas City Wizards |
9
(5.7 exp.)
|
9
(5.9 exp.)
|
— |
8
(5.5 exp.)
|
5
(5.4 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Galaxy |
6
(5.8 exp.)
|
9
(6.1 exp.)
|
2
(5.6 exp.)
|
— |
7
(5.4 exp.)
|
| San Jose Earthquakes |
5
(5.9 exp.)
|
7
(6.2 exp.)
|
5
(5.7 exp.)
|
4
(5.7 exp.)
|
— |
Western vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Fire | Crew | United | MetroStars | Revolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids |
6
(3.6 exp.)
|
5
(4.4 exp.)
|
4
(3.8 exp.)
|
6
(2.7 exp.)
|
4
(4.5 exp.)
|
| Dallas Burn |
6
(2.6 exp.)
|
2
(3.6 exp.)
|
4
(4.4 exp.)
|
6
(3.5 exp.)
|
3
(4.3 exp.)
|
| Kansas City Wizards |
2
(4.4 exp.)
|
4
(3.8 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
3
(4.6 exp.)
|
6
(3.8 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Galaxy |
7
(4.5 exp.)
|
4
(4.6 exp.)
|
5
(3.9 exp.)
|
0
(4.0 exp.)
|
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
| San Jose Earthquakes |
2
(3.8 exp.)
|
0
(2.9 exp.)
|
4
(4.8 exp.)
|
4
(4.8 exp.)
|
7
(4.0 exp.)
|
Scoreline Distribution
Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.
Win
Loss
Same range
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.67% | 9.33% | 5.33% | 2.67% | — | — | 26.00% |
| 1 | 9.33% | 15.33% | 6.67% | 5.33% | 0.67% | 1.00% | 38.33% |
| 2 | 5.33% | 6.67% | 5.33% | 2.33% | 1.00% | 0.33% | 21.00% |
| 3 | 2.67% | 5.33% | 2.33% | 0.67% | — | — | 11.00% |
| 4 | — | 0.67% | 1.00% | — | — | — | 1.67% |
| 5+ | — | 1.00% | 0.33% | — | — | 0.67% | 2.00% |
| Total | 26.00% | 38.33% | 21.00% | 11.00% | 1.67% | 2.00% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.31 | 1.31 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.16 | 1.16 | 1.55 |
| CV | 0.89 | 0.89 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 150
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 6.67% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | — | 26.67% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 16.67% | 6.67% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | 43.33% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | 13.33% |
| 3 | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | 3.33% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.33% | 33.33% | 20.00% | 20.00% | 3.33% | — | 100% |
Chicago Fire — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.20 | 1.47 | -0.27 |
| SD | 1.03 | 1.17 | 1.64 |
| CV | 0.86 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.67% | 13.33% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 36.67% |
| 1 | 10.00% | 20.00% | — | 6.67% | — | 3.33% | 40.00% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 10.00% | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 3 | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | 46.67% | 10.00% | 6.67% | — | 3.33% | 100% |
Colorado Rapids — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.97 | 1.07 | -0.10 |
| SD | 0.96 | 1.26 | 1.54 |
| CV | 1.00 | 1.18 | — |
| Max | 3 | 6 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 16.67% | 16.67% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | — | 43.33% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 10.00% | 10.00% | — | — | — | 23.33% |
| 3 | — | 6.67% | — | 3.33% | — | — | 10.00% |
| 4 | — | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | 36.67% | 20.00% | 10.00% | — | — | 100% |
Columbus Crew — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.33 | 1.07 | +0.27 |
| SD | 1.03 | 0.98 | 1.11 |
| CV | 0.77 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 10.00% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | 23.33% |
| 1 | 13.33% | 16.67% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | 3.33% | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | 3.33% | 6.67% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | 3.33% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| Total | 23.33% | 40.00% | 20.00% | 10.00% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 100% |
DC United — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.43 | 1.40 | +0.03 |
| SD | 1.33 | 1.25 | 1.71 |
| CV | 0.93 | 0.89 | — |
| Max | 6 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 3.33% | 13.33% | 10.00% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 1 | 10.00% | 10.00% | 10.00% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 40.00% |
| 2 | 10.00% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 4 | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 5+ | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| Total | 26.67% | 26.67% | 26.67% | 13.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 100% |
Dallas Burn — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.13 | 1.50 | -0.37 |
| SD | 1.22 | 1.31 | 2.01 |
| CV | 1.08 | 0.87 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 26.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | 46.67% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 6.67% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | — | 26.67% |
| 3 | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| Total | 40.00% | 30.00% | 20.00% | 10.00% | — | — | 100% |
Kansas City Wizards — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.27 | 1.00 | +0.27 |
| SD | 1.05 | 1.02 | 1.36 |
| CV | 0.83 | 1.02 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.00% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | — | 23.33% |
| 1 | 3.33% | 20.00% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | — | 36.67% |
| 2 | 10.00% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | 3.33% | — | 23.33% |
| 3 | — | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 4 | — | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.33% | 36.67% | 26.67% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | 100% |
Los Angeles Galaxy — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 1.33 | +0.07 |
| SD | 1.16 | 1.06 | 1.53 |
| CV | 0.83 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 13.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 3.33% | 20.00% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | 30.00% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 10.00% | — | 6.67% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 30.00% |
| 3 | 6.67% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33% | 3.33% |
| Total | 16.67% | 46.67% | 13.33% | 13.33% | 3.33% | 6.67% | 100% |
MetroStars — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.57 | 1.63 | -0.07 |
| SD | 1.19 | 1.47 | 1.66 |
| CV | 0.76 | 0.90 | — |
| Max | 5 | 6 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 16.67% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 26.67% |
| 1 | — | 13.33% | 6.67% | 10.00% | — | — | 30.00% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 10.00% | 10.00% | 6.67% | — | — | 30.00% |
| 3 | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| Total | 13.33% | 46.67% | 23.33% | 16.67% | — | — | 100% |
New England Revolution — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 1.43 | -0.03 |
| SD | 1.30 | 0.94 | 1.56 |
| CV | 0.93 | 0.65 | — |
| Max | 6 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.33% | 13.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 30.00% |
| 1 | 3.33% | 13.33% | 16.67% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | 3.33% | 10.00% | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 4 | — | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33% | 3.33% |
| Total | 26.67% | 40.00% | 30.00% | — | — | 3.33% | 100% |
San Jose Earthquakes — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.37 | 1.17 | +0.20 |
| SD | 1.33 | 1.05 | 1.27 |
| CV | 0.97 | 0.90 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 30
Points Points vs. Goal Differential
Plot of points against goals differential across the entire season. Hover over a team for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew | 49 | 41.89 | +7.11 |
| 2 | Kansas City Wizards | 49 | 42.01 | +6.99 |
| 3 | DC United | 42 | 40.68 | +1.32 |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | 41 | 40.77 | +0.23 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 43 | 42.93 | +0.07 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 42.52 | -9.52 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 33 | 41.50 | -8.50 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 38 | 43.73 | -5.73 |
| 4 | Dallas Burn | 36 | 38.89 | -2.89 |
| 5 | MetroStars | 40 | 41.57 | -1.57 |
Top Streaks
The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew | 4 | May 15 – Jun 6 | 1 in 65 |
| 2 | Colorado Rapids | 3 | Jun 27 – Jul 5 | 1 in 29 |
| 3 | MetroStars | 3 | Jul 25 – Aug 8 | 1 in 16 |
| 4 | DC United | 3 | Oct 3 – Oct 17 | 1 in 15 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 3 | Jun 28 – Jul 11 | 1 in 15 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Burn | 4 | May 8 – May 30 | 1 in 40 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 3 | Jun 6 – Jun 20 | 1 in 30 |
| 3 | Kansas City Wizards | 3 | Jul 29 – Aug 19 | 1 in 29 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 3 | Jul 5 – Jul 10 | 1 in 18 |
| 5 | MetroStars | 3 | Jun 27 – Jul 3 | 1 in 16 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew | 18 | Jul 4 – Oct 17 | 1 in 7,886 |
| 2 | Kansas City Wizards | 9 | Jun 6 – Jul 25 | 1 in 170 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 7 | Jul 12 – Aug 15 | 1 in 75 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 6 | Jun 28 – Jul 25 | 1 in 30 |
| 5 | Colorado Rapids | 5 | Jun 13 – Jul 5 | 1 in 17 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Fire | 9 | Jun 12 – Jul 29 | 1 in 100 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 7 | Sep 9 – Oct 17 | 1 in 39 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 7 | Jul 15 – Sep 5 | 1 in 22 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 5 | Aug 15 – Sep 12 | 1 in 15 |
| 5 | Kansas City Wizards | 4 | Jul 25 – Aug 19 | 1 in 13 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position across the 100,000 simulations.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 23.54% | 21.21% | 20.25% | 18.31% | 16.69% |
| Columbus Crew | 20.87% | 20.08% | 20.36% | 19.96% | 18.73% |
| MetroStars | 19.54% | 20.29% | 20.25% | 19.70% | 20.22% |
| New England Revolution | 19.22% | 20.41% | 20.06% | 20.15% | 20.16% |
| DC United | 16.83% | 18.01% | 19.08% | 21.88% | 24.20% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 27.90% | 23.73% | 19.60% | 16.22% | 12.55% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 24.44% | 22.21% | 20.46% | 18.77% | 14.12% |
| Kansas City Wizards | 20.66% | 21.35% | 19.67% | 20.59% | 17.73% |
| Colorado Rapids | 15.95% | 18.51% | 21.25% | 21.48% | 22.81% |
| Dallas Burn | 11.05% | 14.20% | 19.02% | 22.94% | 32.79% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 15.07% | 13.22% | 12.07% | 10.97% | 10.50% | 9.24% | 8.34% | 7.92% | 6.83% | 5.84% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 12.46% | 12.03% | 11.29% | 11.22% | 10.64% | 9.55% | 9.62% | 8.16% | 8.12% | 6.91% |
| Chicago Fire | 11.96% | 11.53% | 10.67% | 10.25% | 10.20% | 10.04% | 9.78% | 8.80% | 8.76% | 8.01% |
| Kansas City Wizards | 10.54% | 10.42% | 10.71% | 10.17% | 10.43% | 9.98% | 9.89% | 9.74% | 8.98% | 9.14% |
| Columbus Crew | 10.07% | 10.26% | 10.28% | 10.25% | 10.19% | 10.48% | 9.88% | 9.88% | 9.96% | 8.75% |
| MetroStars | 9.63% | 9.66% | 10.19% | 10.46% | 9.91% | 10.02% | 9.97% | 10.33% | 9.75% | 10.08% |
| New England Revolution | 9.28% | 9.27% | 10.18% | 10.42% | 9.76% | 10.62% | 9.95% | 11.02% | 9.89% | 9.61% |
| Colorado Rapids | 7.88% | 8.77% | 9.08% | 9.53% | 9.73% | 10.16% | 10.49% | 11.35% | 11.56% | 11.45% |
| DC United | 7.97% | 8.63% | 8.80% | 9.02% | 9.84% | 10.00% | 10.78% | 10.94% | 11.47% | 12.55% |
| Dallas Burn | 5.14% | 6.21% | 6.73% | 7.71% | 8.80% | 9.91% | 11.30% | 11.86% | 14.68% | 17.66% |
Win Totals in Context
How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed across the 100,000 simulations. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 23.54% | 21.21% | 20.25% | 18.31% | 16.69% |
| Columbus Crew | 20.87% | 20.08% | 20.36% | 19.96% | 18.73% |
| MetroStars | 19.54% | 20.29% | 20.25% | 19.70% | 20.22% |
| New England Revolution | 19.22% | 20.41% | 20.06% | 20.15% | 20.16% |
| DC United | 16.83% | 18.01% | 19.08% | 21.88% | 24.20% |
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 27.90% | 23.73% | 19.60% | 16.22% | 12.55% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 24.44% | 22.21% | 20.46% | 18.77% | 14.12% |
| Kansas City Wizards | 20.66% | 21.35% | 19.67% | 20.59% | 17.73% |
| Colorado Rapids | 15.95% | 18.51% | 21.25% | 21.48% | 22.81% |
| Dallas Burn | 11.05% | 14.20% | 19.02% | 22.94% | 32.79% |
Points Required to Achieve Each Seed
The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of points. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median points for that seed.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Conference Finals | Advanced to MLS Cup | Won MLS Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 87.45% | 48.47% | 26.52% | 14.69% |
| Columbus Crew | 81.27% | 43.05% | 22.19% | 11.44% |
| Kansas City Wizards | 82.27% | 42.89% | 21.49% | 11.16% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 85.88% | 42.04% | 21.51% | 10.88% |
| Chicago Fire | 83.31% | 40.68% | 20.05% | 10.12% |
| New England Revolution | 79.84% | 39.87% | 20.32% | 9.53% |
| MetroStars | 79.78% | 39.01% | 19.46% | 9.33% |
| DC United | 75.80% | 37.39% | 17.98% | 9.04% |
| Colorado Rapids | 77.19% | 37.60% | 18.06% | 8.25% |
| Dallas Burn | 67.21% | 29.00% | 12.42% | 5.56% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Fire | Columbus Crew | DC United | MetroStars | New England Revolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 9.66% | 9.85% | 11.19% | 9.98% | |
| Columbus Crew | 11.73% | 9.61% | 10.82% | 10.89% | |
| DC United | 10.20% | 9.41% | 8.77% | 9.01% | |
| MetroStars | 10.21% | 9.67% | 9.04% | 10.09% | |
| New England Revolution | 10.49% | 9.48% | 9.91% | 9.99% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Colorado Rapids | Dallas Burn | Kansas City Wizards | Los Angeles Galaxy | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 7.85% | 9.31% | 10.66% | 9.78% | |
| Dallas Burn | 6.36% | 6.85% | 8.12% | 7.67% | |
| Kansas City Wizards | 10.66% | 9.66% | 11.81% | 10.76% | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 10.85% | 9.47% | 10.95% | 10.77% | |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 11.72% | 11.23% | 12.27% | 13.25% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Fire | Columbus Crew | DC United | MetroStars | New England Revolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 5.47% | 4.81% | 4.60% | 5.17% | |
| Columbus Crew | 5.89% | 5.32% | 5.21% | 5.77% | |
| DC United | 4.72% | 4.73% | 4.48% | 4.05% | |
| MetroStars | 5.00% | 5.36% | 4.54% | 4.56% | |
| New England Revolution | 5.02% | 5.30% | 4.74% | 5.26% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Colorado Rapids | Dallas Burn | Kansas City Wizards | Los Angeles Galaxy | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 3.26% | 4.58% | 4.64% | 5.58% | |
| Dallas Burn | 2.87% | 3.18% | 3.02% | 3.35% | |
| Kansas City Wizards | 5.09% | 4.33% | 5.52% | 6.55% | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 4.99% | 4.15% | 5.90% | 6.47% | |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 6.59% | 4.84% | 7.74% | 7.35% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Fire | Colorado Rapids | Columbus Crew | DC United | Dallas Burn | Kansas City Wizards | Los Angeles Galaxy | MetroStars | New England Revolution | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 1.82% | 1.37% | 2.23% | 2.14% | 2.56% | |||||
| Colorado Rapids | 1.78% | 1.71% | 1.47% | 1.61% | 1.68% | |||||
| Columbus Crew | 2.49% | 1.57% | 2.33% | 2.46% | 2.59% | |||||
| DC United | 1.88% | 1.13% | 1.92% | 2.03% | 2.08% | |||||
| Dallas Burn | 1.17% | 1.08% | 0.94% | 1.01% | 1.36% | |||||
| Kansas City Wizards | 2.09% | 2.55% | 2.09% | 2.30% | 2.13% | |||||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 2.03% | 2.21% | 1.90% | 2.30% | 2.44% | |||||
| MetroStars | 1.91% | 1.27% | 1.79% | 2.02% | 2.34% | |||||
| New England Revolution | 1.71% | 1.52% | 2.06% | 1.98% | 2.26% | |||||
| San Jose Earthquakes | 2.86% | 3.20% | 2.54% | 2.91% | 3.18% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
How we would have expected the postseason to play out given the actual playoff bracket according to the 100,000 simulations. Table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The round buttons switch to heat maps that show how often each pair of teams faced off in that round.
| Team | Advanced to Conference Finals | Advanced to MLS Cup | Won MLS Cup | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | 53.70% | 34.59% | 20.29% | Eliminated in Conference Semifinals |
| Kansas City Wizards | 47.99% | 30.23% | 17.91% | Eliminated in MLS Cup |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 51.55% | 25.36% | 13.98% | Eliminated in Conference Finals |
| Colorado Rapids | 48.45% | 23.50% | 11.15% | Eliminated in Conference Semifinals |
| DC United | 50.00% | 23.97% | 10.79% | Won MLS Cup |
| MetroStars | 50.00% | 23.84% | 10.00% | Eliminated in Conference Semifinals |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 52.01% | 20.91% | 9.45% | Eliminated in Conference Semifinals |
| New England Revolution | 46.30% | 17.60% | 6.43% | Eliminated in Conference Finals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Columbus Crew | DC United | MetroStars | New England Revolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | 53.70% | |||
| DC United | 50.00% | |||
| MetroStars | 50.00% | |||
| New England Revolution | 46.30% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Colorado Rapids | Kansas City Wizards | Los Angeles Galaxy | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 48.45% | |||
| Kansas City Wizards | 47.99% | |||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 51.55% | |||
| San Jose Earthquakes | 52.01% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Columbus Crew | DC United | MetroStars | New England Revolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | 17.02% | 17.57% | ||
| DC United | 9.54% | 14.43% | ||
| MetroStars | 9.57% | 14.27% | ||
| New England Revolution | 9.01% | 8.59% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Colorado Rapids | Kansas City Wizards | Los Angeles Galaxy | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 8.79% | 14.71% | ||
| Kansas City Wizards | 14.65% | 15.58% | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 8.97% | 16.39% | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | 10.30% | 10.61% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Colorado Rapids | Columbus Crew | DC United | Kansas City Wizards | Los Angeles Galaxy | MetroStars | New England Revolution | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 2.78% | 2.34% | 3.19% | 2.84% | ||||
| Columbus Crew | 5.02% | 5.56% | 5.25% | 4.46% | ||||
| DC United | 3.71% | 2.23% | 2.13% | 2.72% | ||||
| Kansas City Wizards | 5.45% | 4.76% | 4.60% | 3.10% | ||||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 3.02% | 4.12% | 4.09% | 2.75% | ||||
| MetroStars | 2.11% | 2.60% | 2.24% | 3.05% | ||||
| New England Revolution | 1.51% | 1.93% | 1.76% | 1.23% | ||||
| San Jose Earthquakes | 3.05% | 1.96% | 1.96% | 2.48% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all 100,000 simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.
Columbus Crew
20.29% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. New England Revolution
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
53.70%
→
Conference Finals
vs. MetroStars
Matchup
50.80%
Win Prob
64.74%
→
MLS Cup
vs. Kansas City Wizards
Matchup
27.40%
Win Prob
50.50%
Kansas City Wizards
17.91% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. San Jose Earthquakes
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
47.99%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Los Angeles Galaxy
Matchup
51.54%
Win Prob
63.46%
→
MLS Cup
vs. Columbus Crew
Matchup
30.43%
Win Prob
49.50%
Los Angeles Galaxy
13.98% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Colorado Rapids
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
51.55%
→
Conference Finals
vs. San Jose Earthquakes
Matchup
64.63%
Win Prob
60.70%
→
MLS Cup
vs. DC United
Matchup
29.47%
Win Prob
65.92%
Colorado Rapids
11.15% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Galaxy
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
48.45%
→
Conference Finals
vs. San Jose Earthquakes
Matchup
62.60%
Win Prob
58.82%
→
MLS Cup
vs. MetroStars
Matchup
28.61%
Win Prob
60.19%
DC United
10.79% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. MetroStars
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
50.00%
→
Conference Finals
vs. New England Revolution
Matchup
60.20%
Win Prob
61.56%
→
MLS Cup
vs. Colorado Rapids
Matchup
34.38%
Win Prob
61.32%
MetroStars
10.00% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. DC United
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
50.00%
→
Conference Finals
vs. New England Revolution
Matchup
59.86%
Win Prob
62.42%
→
MLS Cup
vs. San Jose Earthquakes
Matchup
30.50%
Win Prob
60.88%
San Jose Earthquakes
9.45% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Kansas City Wizards
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
52.01%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Los Angeles Galaxy
Matchup
50.74%
Win Prob
39.30%
→
MLS Cup
vs. Columbus Crew
Matchup
32.28%
Win Prob
40.61%
New England Revolution
6.43% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Columbus Crew
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
46.30%
→
Conference Finals
vs. DC United
Matchup
51.19%
Win Prob
38.44%
→
MLS Cup
vs. Kansas City Wizards
Matchup
30.02%
Win Prob
38.37%
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-04-04 | @ Kansas City Wizards | T 0-0 | 1514.69 | 1498.20 | 27.08% | 24.87% | 48.06% | +0.26 | 1 |
| 2004-04-10 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | T 0-0 | 1514.95 | 1512.11 | 26.40% | 22.82% | 50.78% | +0.30 | 2 |
| 2004-04-18 | Dallas Burn | L 0-2 | 1515.25 | 1476.72 | 59.14% | 16.19% | 24.68% | -5.24 | 2 |
| 2004-04-24 | @ DC United | W 1-0 | 1510.01 | 1495.73 | 26.96% | 24.55% | 48.49% | +2.50 | 5 |
| 2004-05-02 | MetroStars | W 3-0 | 1512.51 | 1503.07 | 53.26% | 20.88% | 25.86% | +3.94 | 8 |
| 2004-05-09 | @ Kansas City Wizards | T 2-2 | 1516.45 | 1500.60 | 27.04% | 24.77% | 48.18% | +0.18 | 9 |
| 2004-05-16 | @ MetroStars | T 1-1 | 1516.63 | 1499.29 | 27.12% | 24.99% | 47.89% | +0.23 | 10 |
| 2004-05-23 | Columbus Crew | L 1-3 | 1516.86 | 1493.65 | 56.05% | 18.65% | 25.30% | -4.41 | 10 |
| 2004-05-30 | Colorado Rapids | W 1-0 | 1512.45 | 1492.71 | 55.35% | 19.22% | 25.44% | +1.39 | 13 |
| 2004-06-05 | DC United | W 3-0 | 1513.84 | 1492.41 | 55.69% | 18.94% | 25.37% | +3.77 | 16 |
| 2004-06-12 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 2-3 | 1517.61 | 1512.80 | 26.49% | 23.13% | 50.38% | -1.36 | 16 |
| 2004-06-20 | San Jose Earthquakes | T 1-1 | 1516.25 | 1518.89 | 50.81% | 22.79% | 26.39% | -0.27 | 17 |
| 2004-06-28 | Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-1 | 1515.98 | 1505.33 | 53.50% | 20.69% | 25.81% | -2.63 | 17 |
| 2004-07-04 | @ Columbus Crew | L 0-2 | 1513.35 | 1496.84 | 27.08% | 24.87% | 48.05% | -2.99 | 17 |
| 2004-07-12 | New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1510.36 | 1491.02 | 55.26% | 19.28% | 25.45% | -0.33 | 18 |
| 2004-07-15 | @ New England Revolution | L 1-3 | 1510.03 | 1491.35 | 27.20% | 25.18% | 47.63% | -2.60 | 18 |
| 2004-07-18 | MetroStars | T 1-1 | 1507.43 | 1497.61 | 53.33% | 20.82% | 25.85% | -0.31 | 19 |
| 2004-07-25 | @ MetroStars | L 1-2 | 1507.12 | 1497.91 | 26.70% | 23.79% | 49.50% | -1.45 | 19 |
| 2004-07-29 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 0-2 | 1505.67 | 1489.66 | 27.05% | 24.80% | 48.15% | -2.98 | 19 |
| 2004-08-12 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-1 | 1502.69 | 1516.31 | 48.62% | 24.45% | 26.93% | +1.48 | 22 |
| 2004-08-15 | Colorado Rapids | L 0-3 | 1504.17 | 1488.59 | 54.50% | 19.89% | 25.61% | -7.29 | 22 |
| 2004-08-22 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1496.88 | 1508.20 | 25.78% | 20.58% | 53.64% | +0.32 | 23 |
| 2004-08-29 | @ Dallas Burn | L 1-4 | 1497.20 | 1473.28 | 27.49% | 25.90% | 46.60% | -3.75 | 23 |
| 2004-09-02 | Kansas City Wizards | W 3-1 | 1493.45 | 1508.59 | 48.32% | 24.67% | 27.01% | +2.57 | 26 |
| 2004-09-05 | DC United | W 3-1 | 1496.02 | 1488.97 | 52.77% | 21.27% | 25.96% | +2.37 | 29 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ DC United | L 1-3 | 1498.39 | 1490.52 | 26.64% | 23.59% | 49.77% | -2.50 | 29 |
| 2004-09-26 | New England Revolution | W 2-0 | 1495.89 | 1500.42 | 50.44% | 23.08% | 26.48% | +2.85 | 32 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ Columbus Crew | T 3-3 | 1498.74 | 1512.04 | 25.70% | 20.26% | 54.04% | +0.20 | 33 |
| 2004-10-07 | Columbus Crew | L 0-1 | 1498.94 | 1511.84 | 48.77% | 24.34% | 26.89% | -2.50 | 33 |
| 2004-10-17 | @ New England Revolution | L 1-2 | 1496.44 | 1498.58 | 26.18% | 22.05% | 51.78% | -1.40 | 33 |
| 2004-04-04 | @ Dallas Burn | T 1-1 | 1492.41 | 1476.96 | 27.02% | 24.72% | 48.26% | +0.23 | 1 |
| 2004-04-18 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1492.64 | 1505.71 | 48.73% | 24.37% | 26.90% | -0.24 | 2 |
| 2004-04-25 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 1-0 | 1492.40 | 1515.95 | 46.67% | 25.85% | 27.47% | +1.62 | 5 |
| 2004-05-02 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 0-2 | 1494.02 | 1497.83 | 26.10% | 21.78% | 52.12% | -2.77 | 5 |
| 2004-05-08 | New England Revolution | T 0-0 | 1491.25 | 1502.10 | 49.17% | 24.04% | 26.79% | -0.28 | 6 |
| 2004-05-16 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1490.97 | 1511.20 | 25.42% | 19.14% | 55.44% | +0.34 | 7 |
| 2004-05-23 | DC United | W 2-1 | 1491.31 | 1491.18 | 51.37% | 22.36% | 26.27% | +1.40 | 10 |
| 2004-05-30 | @ Chicago Fire | L 0-1 | 1492.71 | 1512.45 | 25.44% | 19.22% | 55.35% | -1.38 | 10 |
| 2004-06-10 | Kansas City Wizards | L 0-1 | 1491.33 | 1500.20 | 49.57% | 23.74% | 26.69% | -2.53 | 10 |
| 2004-06-13 | @ DC United | T 0-0 | 1488.80 | 1488.64 | 26.28% | 22.41% | 51.31% | +0.31 | 11 |
| 2004-06-20 | Dallas Burn | T 1-1 | 1489.11 | 1479.82 | 53.23% | 20.91% | 25.87% | -0.30 | 12 |
| 2004-06-27 | @ Columbus Crew | W 2-1 | 1488.81 | 1499.33 | 25.82% | 20.71% | 53.47% | +2.48 | 15 |
| 2004-07-01 | @ MetroStars | W 3-2 | 1491.29 | 1500.81 | 25.86% | 20.87% | 53.27% | +2.35 | 18 |
| 2004-07-05 | New England Revolution | W 1-0 | 1493.64 | 1492.51 | 51.57% | 22.20% | 26.22% | +1.48 | 21 |
| 2004-07-11 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-2 | 1495.12 | 1509.43 | 25.66% | 20.10% | 54.24% | -2.67 | 21 |
| 2004-07-15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 0-0 | 1492.45 | 1512.10 | 47.44% | 25.31% | 27.25% | -0.25 | 22 |
| 2004-07-17 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 1-3 | 1492.20 | 1511.74 | 25.45% | 19.25% | 55.30% | -2.26 | 22 |
| 2004-07-24 | Columbus Crew | T 0-0 | 1489.94 | 1499.77 | 49.37% | 23.89% | 26.74% | -0.28 | 23 |
| 2004-07-29 | Chicago Fire | W 2-0 | 1489.66 | 1505.67 | 48.15% | 24.80% | 27.05% | +2.98 | 26 |
| 2004-08-08 | @ Dallas Burn | L 0-1 | 1492.64 | 1479.29 | 26.91% | 24.41% | 48.68% | -1.57 | 26 |
| 2004-08-12 | @ DC United | L 1-3 | 1491.07 | 1486.09 | 26.50% | 23.15% | 50.34% | -2.48 | 26 |
| 2004-08-15 | @ Chicago Fire | W 3-0 | 1488.59 | 1504.17 | 25.61% | 19.89% | 54.50% | +7.28 | 29 |
| 2004-08-22 | MetroStars | W 1-0 | 1495.87 | 1503.38 | 49.84% | 23.54% | 26.62% | +1.54 | 32 |
| 2004-08-29 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | T 0-0 | 1497.41 | 1523.13 | 25.20% | 18.25% | 56.56% | +0.39 | 33 |
| 2004-09-05 | Dallas Burn | W 2-1 | 1497.80 | 1477.03 | 55.55% | 19.05% | 25.40% | +1.30 | 36 |
| 2004-09-11 | Kansas City Wizards | W 3-1 | 1499.10 | 1507.49 | 49.66% | 23.67% | 26.66% | +2.51 | 39 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ New England Revolution | L 1-6 | 1501.61 | 1494.84 | 26.59% | 23.43% | 49.99% | -5.58 | 39 |
| 2004-09-26 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 0-1 | 1496.03 | 1506.56 | 25.82% | 20.71% | 53.48% | -1.43 | 39 |
| 2004-10-03 | San Jose Earthquakes | T 1-1 | 1494.60 | 1519.07 | 46.49% | 25.98% | 27.53% | -0.22 | 40 |
| 2004-10-17 | Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1494.38 | 1514.59 | 47.33% | 25.39% | 27.28% | -0.22 | 41 |
| 2004-04-04 | MetroStars | L 1-3 | 1500.57 | 1497.82 | 51.90% | 21.95% | 26.15% | -4.23 | 0 |
| 2004-04-18 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 0-1 | 1496.34 | 1497.94 | 26.20% | 22.13% | 51.67% | -1.49 | 0 |
| 2004-04-25 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-2 | 1494.85 | 1505.95 | 25.79% | 20.62% | 53.59% | -2.69 | 0 |
| 2004-05-02 | Dallas Burn | T 0-0 | 1492.16 | 1483.54 | 53.09% | 21.02% | 25.90% | -0.34 | 1 |
| 2004-05-09 | @ DC United | T 1-1 | 1491.82 | 1493.57 | 26.19% | 22.11% | 51.70% | +0.28 | 2 |
| 2004-05-15 | New England Revolution | W 1-0 | 1492.10 | 1502.38 | 49.29% | 23.96% | 26.76% | +1.55 | 5 |
| 2004-05-23 | @ Chicago Fire | W 3-1 | 1493.65 | 1516.86 | 25.30% | 18.65% | 56.05% | +4.41 | 8 |
| 2004-05-30 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 1-0 | 1498.06 | 1518.25 | 47.33% | 25.39% | 27.28% | +1.60 | 11 |
| 2004-06-06 | @ New England Revolution | W 2-1 | 1499.66 | 1500.23 | 26.25% | 22.29% | 51.46% | +2.43 | 14 |
| 2004-06-13 | Kansas City Wizards | T 2-2 | 1502.09 | 1502.72 | 51.22% | 22.48% | 26.30% | -0.21 | 15 |
| 2004-06-20 | @ DC United | L 1-3 | 1501.88 | 1488.33 | 26.92% | 24.44% | 48.64% | -2.55 | 15 |
| 2004-06-27 | Colorado Rapids | L 1-2 | 1499.33 | 1488.81 | 53.47% | 20.71% | 25.82% | -2.49 | 15 |
| 2004-07-04 | Chicago Fire | W 2-0 | 1496.84 | 1513.35 | 48.05% | 24.87% | 27.08% | +2.99 | 18 |
| 2004-07-11 | @ Dallas Burn | T 0-0 | 1499.83 | 1478.50 | 27.34% | 25.55% | 47.11% | +0.24 | 19 |
| 2004-07-18 | New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1500.07 | 1493.96 | 52.58% | 21.41% | 26.00% | -0.30 | 20 |
| 2004-07-24 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 0-0 | 1499.77 | 1489.94 | 26.74% | 23.89% | 49.37% | +0.29 | 21 |
| 2004-07-29 | Dallas Burn | W 2-1 | 1500.06 | 1480.60 | 55.29% | 19.26% | 25.45% | +1.30 | 24 |
| 2004-08-07 | @ New England Revolution | T 2-2 | 1501.36 | 1494.50 | 26.59% | 23.44% | 49.97% | +0.20 | 25 |
| 2004-08-15 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | T 0-0 | 1501.56 | 1508.54 | 25.97% | 21.28% | 52.76% | +0.33 | 26 |
| 2004-08-19 | Kansas City Wizards | W 2-1 | 1501.89 | 1507.62 | 50.19% | 23.27% | 26.54% | +1.44 | 29 |
| 2004-08-22 | DC United | T 2-2 | 1503.33 | 1488.38 | 54.37% | 20.00% | 25.63% | -0.24 | 30 |
| 2004-08-29 | @ MetroStars | T 1-1 | 1503.09 | 1501.84 | 26.33% | 22.58% | 51.10% | +0.28 | 31 |
| 2004-09-05 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 3-1 | 1503.37 | 1507.89 | 50.44% | 23.08% | 26.48% | +2.47 | 34 |
| 2004-09-09 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | W 1-0 | 1505.84 | 1525.18 | 25.45% | 19.28% | 55.26% | +2.68 | 37 |
| 2004-09-19 | MetroStars | W 4-2 | 1508.52 | 1501.42 | 52.78% | 21.26% | 25.96% | +2.12 | 40 |
| 2004-09-26 | DC United | W 1-0 | 1510.64 | 1493.02 | 54.91% | 19.56% | 25.52% | +1.40 | 43 |
| 2004-10-03 | Chicago Fire | T 3-3 | 1512.04 | 1498.74 | 54.04% | 20.26% | 25.70% | -0.20 | 44 |
| 2004-10-07 | @ Chicago Fire | W 1-0 | 1511.84 | 1498.94 | 26.89% | 24.34% | 48.77% | +2.51 | 47 |
| 2004-10-10 | @ MetroStars | T 1-1 | 1514.35 | 1501.25 | 26.90% | 24.37% | 48.73% | +0.24 | 48 |
| 2004-10-17 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 1-1 | 1514.59 | 1494.38 | 27.28% | 25.39% | 47.33% | +0.22 | 49 |
| 2004-04-03 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-1 | 1495.23 | 1513.61 | 47.68% | 25.14% | 27.18% | +1.50 | 3 |
| 2004-04-11 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1496.73 | 1506.01 | 25.87% | 20.91% | 53.22% | +0.31 | 4 |
| 2004-04-17 | @ MetroStars | L 2-3 | 1497.04 | 1502.05 | 26.05% | 21.59% | 52.36% | -1.31 | 4 |
| 2004-04-24 | Chicago Fire | L 0-1 | 1495.73 | 1510.01 | 48.49% | 24.55% | 26.96% | -2.50 | 4 |
| 2004-05-01 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | T 1-1 | 1493.23 | 1514.33 | 25.38% | 19.00% | 55.62% | +0.34 | 5 |
| 2004-05-09 | Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1493.57 | 1491.82 | 51.70% | 22.11% | 26.19% | -0.29 | 6 |
| 2004-05-16 | Kansas City Wizards | W 1-0 | 1493.28 | 1500.43 | 49.91% | 23.48% | 26.60% | +1.53 | 9 |
| 2004-05-20 | Los Angeles Galaxy | L 2-4 | 1494.81 | 1510.86 | 48.14% | 24.80% | 27.05% | -3.63 | 9 |
| 2004-05-23 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 1-2 | 1491.18 | 1491.31 | 26.27% | 22.36% | 51.37% | -1.40 | 9 |
| 2004-05-30 | @ New England Revolution | W 1-0 | 1489.78 | 1500.55 | 25.81% | 20.67% | 53.53% | +2.63 | 12 |
| 2004-06-05 | @ Chicago Fire | L 0-3 | 1492.41 | 1513.84 | 25.37% | 18.94% | 55.69% | -3.77 | 12 |
| 2004-06-13 | Colorado Rapids | T 0-0 | 1488.64 | 1488.80 | 51.31% | 22.41% | 26.28% | -0.31 | 13 |
| 2004-06-20 | Columbus Crew | W 3-1 | 1488.33 | 1501.88 | 48.64% | 24.44% | 26.92% | +2.55 | 16 |
| 2004-06-26 | @ Dallas Burn | T 1-1 | 1490.88 | 1480.12 | 26.78% | 24.03% | 49.19% | +0.25 | 17 |
| 2004-07-03 | MetroStars | W 6-2 | 1491.13 | 1498.46 | 49.88% | 23.51% | 26.61% | +3.88 | 20 |
| 2004-07-11 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 0-1 | 1495.01 | 1511.39 | 25.57% | 19.76% | 54.66% | -1.41 | 20 |
| 2004-07-18 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1493.60 | 1512.35 | 47.61% | 25.19% | 27.20% | -0.22 | 21 |
| 2004-07-25 | @ Dallas Burn | L 1-5 | 1493.38 | 1475.87 | 27.13% | 25.01% | 47.86% | -4.74 | 21 |
| 2004-08-08 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 0-2 | 1488.64 | 1513.75 | 25.22% | 18.35% | 56.43% | -2.55 | 21 |
| 2004-08-12 | Colorado Rapids | W 3-1 | 1486.09 | 1491.07 | 50.34% | 23.15% | 26.50% | +2.47 | 24 |
| 2004-08-15 | New England Revolution | T 2-2 | 1488.56 | 1501.16 | 48.83% | 24.30% | 26.87% | -0.18 | 25 |
| 2004-08-22 | @ Columbus Crew | T 2-2 | 1488.38 | 1503.33 | 25.63% | 20.00% | 54.37% | +0.24 | 26 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ New England Revolution | T 0-0 | 1488.62 | 1498.94 | 25.82% | 20.74% | 53.43% | +0.35 | 27 |
| 2004-09-05 | @ Chicago Fire | L 1-3 | 1488.97 | 1496.02 | 25.96% | 21.27% | 52.77% | -2.38 | 27 |
| 2004-09-11 | Dallas Burn | W 3-0 | 1486.59 | 1475.73 | 53.54% | 20.65% | 25.80% | +3.93 | 30 |
| 2004-09-19 | Chicago Fire | W 3-1 | 1490.52 | 1498.39 | 49.77% | 23.59% | 26.64% | +2.50 | 33 |
| 2004-09-26 | @ Columbus Crew | L 0-1 | 1493.02 | 1510.64 | 25.52% | 19.56% | 54.91% | -1.39 | 33 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ MetroStars | W 1-0 | 1491.63 | 1503.90 | 25.74% | 20.43% | 53.83% | +2.64 | 36 |
| 2004-10-10 | New England Revolution | W 1-0 | 1494.27 | 1500.10 | 50.17% | 23.28% | 26.54% | +1.52 | 39 |
| 2004-10-17 | MetroStars | W 3-2 | 1495.79 | 1501.01 | 50.30% | 23.19% | 26.51% | +1.36 | 42 |
| 2004-04-04 | Colorado Rapids | T 1-1 | 1476.96 | 1492.41 | 48.26% | 24.72% | 27.02% | -0.24 | 1 |
| 2004-04-18 | @ Chicago Fire | W 2-0 | 1476.72 | 1515.25 | 24.68% | 16.19% | 59.14% | +5.24 | 4 |
| 2004-04-25 | Kansas City Wizards | W 1-0 | 1481.96 | 1499.42 | 47.86% | 25.01% | 27.13% | +1.58 | 7 |
| 2004-05-02 | @ Columbus Crew | T 0-0 | 1483.54 | 1492.16 | 25.90% | 21.02% | 53.09% | +0.34 | 8 |
| 2004-05-08 | Los Angeles Galaxy | L 1-3 | 1483.88 | 1507.20 | 46.72% | 25.82% | 27.46% | -3.99 | 8 |
| 2004-05-16 | San Jose Earthquakes | L 1-2 | 1479.89 | 1513.83 | 44.68% | 27.20% | 28.12% | -2.25 | 8 |
| 2004-05-23 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 0-2 | 1477.64 | 1498.90 | 25.38% | 18.97% | 55.65% | -2.60 | 8 |
| 2004-05-30 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 1-4 | 1475.04 | 1512.33 | 24.73% | 16.38% | 58.89% | -2.99 | 8 |
| 2004-06-06 | @ MetroStars | W 2-0 | 1472.05 | 1500.84 | 25.07% | 17.75% | 57.18% | +5.15 | 11 |
| 2004-06-13 | New England Revolution | W 3-1 | 1477.20 | 1497.80 | 47.25% | 25.45% | 27.30% | +2.62 | 14 |
| 2004-06-20 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 1-1 | 1479.82 | 1489.11 | 25.87% | 20.91% | 53.23% | +0.30 | 15 |
| 2004-06-26 | DC United | T 1-1 | 1480.12 | 1490.88 | 49.19% | 24.03% | 26.78% | -0.25 | 16 |
| 2004-07-04 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 1-5 | 1479.87 | 1507.38 | 25.12% | 17.96% | 56.92% | -4.01 | 16 |
| 2004-07-08 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-1 | 1475.86 | 1517.39 | 24.55% | 15.71% | 59.74% | +2.64 | 19 |
| 2004-07-11 | Columbus Crew | T 0-0 | 1478.50 | 1499.83 | 47.11% | 25.55% | 27.34% | -0.25 | 20 |
| 2004-07-18 | Kansas City Wizards | L 0-1 | 1478.25 | 1512.79 | 44.57% | 27.27% | 28.16% | -2.38 | 20 |
| 2004-07-25 | DC United | W 5-1 | 1475.87 | 1493.38 | 47.86% | 25.01% | 27.13% | +4.73 | 23 |
| 2004-07-29 | @ Columbus Crew | L 1-2 | 1480.60 | 1500.06 | 25.45% | 19.26% | 55.29% | -1.31 | 23 |
| 2004-08-08 | Colorado Rapids | W 1-0 | 1479.29 | 1492.64 | 48.68% | 24.41% | 26.91% | +1.57 | 26 |
| 2004-08-12 | New England Revolution | L 0-3 | 1480.86 | 1494.31 | 48.66% | 24.43% | 26.92% | -6.85 | 26 |
| 2004-08-15 | @ MetroStars | W 1-0 | 1474.01 | 1506.12 | 24.94% | 17.21% | 57.85% | +2.74 | 29 |
| 2004-08-22 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 0-3 | 1476.75 | 1519.67 | 24.50% | 15.49% | 60.01% | -3.47 | 29 |
| 2004-08-29 | Chicago Fire | W 4-1 | 1473.28 | 1497.20 | 46.60% | 25.90% | 27.49% | +3.75 | 32 |
| 2004-09-05 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 1-2 | 1477.03 | 1497.80 | 25.40% | 19.05% | 55.55% | -1.30 | 32 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ DC United | L 0-3 | 1475.73 | 1486.59 | 25.80% | 20.65% | 53.54% | -3.92 | 32 |
| 2004-09-19 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 2-0 | 1471.81 | 1506.91 | 44.46% | 27.34% | 28.20% | +3.18 | 35 |
| 2004-09-26 | MetroStars | L 0-2 | 1474.99 | 1499.29 | 46.53% | 25.96% | 27.52% | -4.60 | 35 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ New England Revolution | L 0-2 | 1470.39 | 1497.56 | 25.14% | 18.01% | 56.85% | -2.54 | 35 |
| 2004-10-10 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-2 | 1467.85 | 1503.83 | 24.78% | 16.59% | 58.63% | -2.46 | 35 |
| 2004-10-17 | San Jose Earthquakes | T 2-2 | 1465.39 | 1518.93 | 41.08% | 29.28% | 29.63% | -0.09 | 36 |
| 2004-04-04 | Chicago Fire | T 0-0 | 1498.20 | 1514.69 | 48.06% | 24.87% | 27.08% | -0.26 | 1 |
| 2004-04-18 | Columbus Crew | W 1-0 | 1497.94 | 1496.34 | 51.67% | 22.13% | 26.20% | +1.48 | 4 |
| 2004-04-25 | @ Dallas Burn | L 0-1 | 1499.42 | 1481.96 | 27.13% | 25.01% | 47.86% | -1.59 | 4 |
| 2004-05-02 | Colorado Rapids | W 2-0 | 1497.83 | 1494.02 | 52.12% | 21.78% | 26.10% | +2.77 | 7 |
| 2004-05-09 | Chicago Fire | T 2-2 | 1500.60 | 1516.45 | 48.18% | 24.77% | 27.04% | -0.17 | 8 |
| 2004-05-16 | @ DC United | L 0-1 | 1500.43 | 1493.28 | 26.60% | 23.48% | 49.91% | -1.53 | 8 |
| 2004-05-23 | Dallas Burn | W 2-0 | 1498.90 | 1477.64 | 55.65% | 18.97% | 25.38% | +2.60 | 11 |
| 2004-05-31 | @ MetroStars | L 0-1 | 1501.50 | 1499.34 | 26.37% | 22.72% | 50.91% | -1.51 | 11 |
| 2004-06-03 | New England Revolution | L 2-3 | 1499.99 | 1497.92 | 51.77% | 22.05% | 26.18% | -2.31 | 11 |
| 2004-06-06 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | W 2-1 | 1497.68 | 1515.32 | 25.52% | 19.56% | 54.92% | +2.52 | 14 |
| 2004-06-10 | @ Colorado Rapids | W 1-0 | 1500.20 | 1491.33 | 26.69% | 23.74% | 49.57% | +2.52 | 17 |
| 2004-06-13 | @ Columbus Crew | T 2-2 | 1502.72 | 1502.09 | 26.30% | 22.48% | 51.22% | +0.21 | 18 |
| 2004-06-20 | @ New England Revolution | W 3-1 | 1502.93 | 1495.18 | 26.63% | 23.58% | 49.79% | +4.14 | 21 |
| 2004-06-27 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | T 1-1 | 1507.07 | 1519.17 | 25.75% | 20.45% | 53.79% | +0.31 | 22 |
| 2004-07-04 | Dallas Burn | W 5-1 | 1507.38 | 1479.87 | 56.92% | 17.96% | 25.12% | +4.01 | 25 |
| 2004-07-11 | DC United | W 1-0 | 1511.39 | 1495.01 | 54.66% | 19.76% | 25.57% | +1.40 | 28 |
| 2004-07-18 | @ Dallas Burn | W 1-0 | 1512.79 | 1478.25 | 28.16% | 27.27% | 44.57% | +2.39 | 31 |
| 2004-07-25 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 2-2 | 1515.18 | 1512.57 | 51.87% | 21.97% | 26.16% | -0.22 | 32 |
| 2004-07-29 | MetroStars | L 1-2 | 1514.96 | 1499.37 | 54.50% | 19.89% | 25.61% | -2.50 | 32 |
| 2004-08-14 | San Jose Earthquakes | L 0-2 | 1512.46 | 1514.84 | 50.87% | 22.75% | 26.38% | -4.84 | 32 |
| 2004-08-19 | @ Columbus Crew | L 1-2 | 1507.62 | 1501.89 | 26.54% | 23.27% | 50.19% | -1.43 | 32 |
| 2004-08-22 | @ New England Revolution | W 2-1 | 1506.19 | 1501.34 | 26.50% | 23.13% | 50.37% | +2.40 | 35 |
| 2004-09-02 | @ Chicago Fire | L 1-3 | 1508.59 | 1493.45 | 27.01% | 24.67% | 48.32% | -2.57 | 35 |
| 2004-09-05 | MetroStars | W 1-0 | 1506.02 | 1501.57 | 52.25% | 21.68% | 26.08% | +1.47 | 38 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 1-3 | 1507.49 | 1499.10 | 26.66% | 23.67% | 49.66% | -2.51 | 38 |
| 2004-09-19 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 1-0 | 1504.98 | 1521.01 | 48.15% | 24.80% | 27.05% | +1.58 | 41 |
| 2004-09-26 | Colorado Rapids | W 1-0 | 1506.56 | 1496.03 | 53.48% | 20.71% | 25.82% | +1.43 | 44 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1507.99 | 1504.09 | 26.45% | 22.99% | 50.56% | +0.27 | 45 |
| 2004-10-10 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | T 0-0 | 1508.26 | 1519.28 | 25.80% | 20.63% | 53.58% | +0.35 | 46 |
| 2004-10-17 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 1-0 | 1508.61 | 1506.28 | 51.82% | 22.02% | 26.17% | +1.48 | 49 |
| 2004-04-04 | New England Revolution | W 3-2 | 1504.68 | 1505.85 | 51.11% | 22.56% | 26.33% | +1.33 | 3 |
| 2004-04-11 | DC United | T 1-1 | 1506.01 | 1496.73 | 53.22% | 20.91% | 25.87% | -0.30 | 4 |
| 2004-04-18 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 1-1 | 1505.71 | 1492.64 | 26.90% | 24.37% | 48.73% | +0.24 | 5 |
| 2004-04-25 | Columbus Crew | W 2-0 | 1505.95 | 1494.85 | 53.59% | 20.62% | 25.79% | +2.70 | 8 |
| 2004-05-02 | @ New England Revolution | L 1-2 | 1508.65 | 1500.66 | 26.65% | 23.61% | 49.74% | -1.45 | 8 |
| 2004-05-08 | @ Dallas Burn | W 3-1 | 1507.20 | 1483.88 | 27.46% | 25.82% | 46.72% | +4.00 | 11 |
| 2004-05-16 | Colorado Rapids | T 1-1 | 1511.20 | 1490.97 | 55.44% | 19.14% | 25.42% | -0.34 | 12 |
| 2004-05-20 | @ DC United | W 4-2 | 1510.86 | 1494.81 | 27.05% | 24.80% | 48.14% | +3.63 | 15 |
| 2004-05-23 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 2-4 | 1514.49 | 1516.08 | 26.20% | 22.13% | 51.67% | -2.16 | 15 |
| 2004-05-30 | Dallas Burn | W 4-1 | 1512.33 | 1475.04 | 58.89% | 16.38% | 24.73% | +2.99 | 18 |
| 2004-06-06 | Kansas City Wizards | L 1-2 | 1515.32 | 1497.68 | 54.92% | 19.56% | 25.52% | -2.52 | 18 |
| 2004-06-12 | Chicago Fire | W 3-2 | 1512.80 | 1517.61 | 50.38% | 23.13% | 26.49% | +1.36 | 21 |
| 2004-06-19 | @ MetroStars | L 1-2 | 1514.16 | 1493.45 | 27.31% | 25.46% | 47.23% | -1.51 | 21 |
| 2004-06-24 | MetroStars | L 0-3 | 1512.65 | 1494.96 | 54.93% | 19.55% | 25.52% | -7.32 | 21 |
| 2004-06-28 | @ Chicago Fire | W 1-0 | 1505.33 | 1515.98 | 25.81% | 20.69% | 53.50% | +2.64 | 24 |
| 2004-07-05 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-1 | 1507.97 | 1518.85 | 49.17% | 24.05% | 26.79% | +1.46 | 27 |
| 2004-07-11 | Colorado Rapids | W 2-0 | 1509.43 | 1495.12 | 54.24% | 20.10% | 25.66% | +2.67 | 30 |
| 2004-07-15 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 0-0 | 1512.10 | 1492.45 | 27.25% | 25.31% | 47.44% | +0.25 | 31 |
| 2004-07-18 | @ DC United | T 1-1 | 1512.35 | 1493.60 | 27.20% | 25.19% | 47.61% | +0.22 | 32 |
| 2004-07-25 | @ Kansas City Wizards | T 2-2 | 1512.57 | 1515.18 | 26.16% | 21.97% | 51.87% | +0.22 | 33 |
| 2004-08-08 | @ MetroStars | L 0-3 | 1512.79 | 1501.87 | 26.79% | 24.05% | 49.16% | -4.25 | 33 |
| 2004-08-15 | Columbus Crew | T 0-0 | 1508.54 | 1501.56 | 52.76% | 21.28% | 25.97% | -0.34 | 34 |
| 2004-08-22 | Chicago Fire | T 1-1 | 1508.20 | 1496.88 | 53.64% | 20.58% | 25.78% | -0.31 | 35 |
| 2004-09-05 | @ Columbus Crew | L 1-3 | 1507.89 | 1503.37 | 26.48% | 23.08% | 50.44% | -2.47 | 35 |
| 2004-09-12 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-1 | 1505.42 | 1522.51 | 47.94% | 24.95% | 27.11% | +1.49 | 38 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Dallas Burn | L 0-2 | 1506.91 | 1471.81 | 28.20% | 27.34% | 44.46% | -3.18 | 38 |
| 2004-09-26 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | T 0-0 | 1503.73 | 1519.43 | 25.60% | 19.87% | 54.53% | +0.36 | 39 |
| 2004-10-03 | Kansas City Wizards | T 1-1 | 1504.09 | 1507.99 | 50.56% | 22.99% | 26.45% | -0.26 | 40 |
| 2004-10-10 | Dallas Burn | W 2-0 | 1503.83 | 1467.85 | 58.63% | 16.59% | 24.78% | +2.45 | 43 |
| 2004-10-17 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 0-1 | 1506.28 | 1508.61 | 26.17% | 22.02% | 51.82% | -1.48 | 43 |
| 2004-04-04 | @ Columbus Crew | W 3-1 | 1497.82 | 1500.57 | 26.15% | 21.95% | 51.90% | +4.23 | 3 |
| 2004-04-17 | DC United | W 3-2 | 1502.05 | 1497.04 | 52.36% | 21.59% | 26.05% | +1.31 | 6 |
| 2004-04-25 | New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1503.36 | 1500.37 | 51.95% | 21.91% | 26.14% | -0.29 | 7 |
| 2004-05-02 | @ Chicago Fire | L 0-3 | 1503.07 | 1512.51 | 25.86% | 20.88% | 53.26% | -3.94 | 7 |
| 2004-05-09 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | T 5-5 | 1499.13 | 1513.99 | 25.64% | 20.01% | 54.35% | +0.16 | 8 |
| 2004-05-16 | Chicago Fire | T 1-1 | 1499.29 | 1516.63 | 47.89% | 24.99% | 27.12% | -0.24 | 9 |
| 2004-05-22 | @ New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1499.05 | 1500.83 | 26.19% | 22.10% | 51.71% | +0.29 | 10 |
| 2004-05-31 | Kansas City Wizards | W 1-0 | 1499.34 | 1501.50 | 50.91% | 22.72% | 26.37% | +1.50 | 13 |
| 2004-06-06 | Dallas Burn | L 0-2 | 1500.84 | 1472.05 | 57.18% | 17.75% | 25.07% | -5.14 | 13 |
| 2004-06-13 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 1-3 | 1495.70 | 1516.64 | 25.39% | 19.02% | 55.59% | -2.25 | 13 |
| 2004-06-19 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 2-1 | 1493.45 | 1514.16 | 47.23% | 25.46% | 27.31% | +1.51 | 16 |
| 2004-06-24 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | W 3-0 | 1494.96 | 1512.65 | 25.52% | 19.55% | 54.93% | +7.31 | 19 |
| 2004-06-27 | @ New England Revolution | L 1-2 | 1502.27 | 1491.04 | 26.81% | 24.10% | 49.10% | -1.46 | 19 |
| 2004-07-01 | Colorado Rapids | L 2-3 | 1500.81 | 1491.29 | 53.27% | 20.87% | 25.86% | -2.35 | 19 |
| 2004-07-03 | @ DC United | L 2-6 | 1498.46 | 1491.13 | 26.61% | 23.51% | 49.88% | -3.87 | 19 |
| 2004-07-10 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-0 | 1494.59 | 1514.76 | 47.33% | 25.39% | 27.28% | +3.02 | 22 |
| 2004-07-18 | @ Chicago Fire | T 1-1 | 1497.61 | 1507.43 | 25.85% | 20.82% | 53.33% | +0.30 | 23 |
| 2004-07-25 | Chicago Fire | W 2-1 | 1497.91 | 1507.12 | 49.50% | 23.79% | 26.70% | +1.46 | 26 |
| 2004-07-29 | @ Kansas City Wizards | W 2-1 | 1499.37 | 1514.96 | 25.61% | 19.89% | 54.50% | +2.50 | 29 |
| 2004-08-08 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 3-0 | 1501.87 | 1512.79 | 49.16% | 24.05% | 26.79% | +4.25 | 32 |
| 2004-08-15 | Dallas Burn | L 0-1 | 1506.12 | 1474.01 | 57.85% | 17.21% | 24.94% | -2.74 | 32 |
| 2004-08-22 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 0-1 | 1503.38 | 1495.87 | 26.62% | 23.54% | 49.84% | -1.54 | 32 |
| 2004-08-29 | Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1501.84 | 1503.09 | 51.10% | 22.58% | 26.33% | -0.27 | 33 |
| 2004-09-05 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 0-1 | 1501.57 | 1506.02 | 26.08% | 21.68% | 52.25% | -1.47 | 33 |
| 2004-09-12 | New England Revolution | W 3-2 | 1500.10 | 1496.15 | 52.14% | 21.76% | 26.10% | +1.32 | 36 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Columbus Crew | L 2-4 | 1501.42 | 1508.52 | 25.96% | 21.26% | 52.78% | -2.13 | 36 |
| 2004-09-26 | @ Dallas Burn | W 2-0 | 1499.29 | 1474.99 | 27.52% | 25.96% | 46.53% | +4.61 | 39 |
| 2004-10-03 | DC United | L 0-1 | 1503.90 | 1491.63 | 53.83% | 20.43% | 25.74% | -2.65 | 39 |
| 2004-10-10 | Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1501.25 | 1514.35 | 48.73% | 24.37% | 26.90% | -0.24 | 40 |
| 2004-10-17 | @ DC United | L 2-3 | 1501.01 | 1495.79 | 26.51% | 23.19% | 50.30% | -1.36 | 40 |
| 2004-04-04 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 2-3 | 1505.85 | 1504.68 | 26.33% | 22.56% | 51.11% | -1.34 | 0 |
| 2004-04-18 | San Jose Earthquakes | L 1-3 | 1504.51 | 1511.81 | 49.88% | 23.51% | 26.61% | -4.14 | 0 |
| 2004-04-25 | @ MetroStars | T 1-1 | 1500.37 | 1503.36 | 26.14% | 21.91% | 51.95% | +0.29 | 1 |
| 2004-05-02 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 2-1 | 1500.66 | 1508.65 | 49.74% | 23.61% | 26.65% | +1.44 | 4 |
| 2004-05-08 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 0-0 | 1502.10 | 1491.25 | 26.79% | 24.04% | 49.17% | +0.28 | 5 |
| 2004-05-15 | @ Columbus Crew | L 0-1 | 1502.38 | 1492.10 | 26.76% | 23.96% | 49.29% | -1.55 | 5 |
| 2004-05-22 | MetroStars | T 1-1 | 1500.83 | 1499.05 | 51.71% | 22.10% | 26.19% | -0.28 | 6 |
| 2004-05-30 | DC United | L 0-1 | 1500.55 | 1489.78 | 53.53% | 20.67% | 25.81% | -2.63 | 6 |
| 2004-06-03 | @ Kansas City Wizards | W 3-2 | 1497.92 | 1499.99 | 26.18% | 22.05% | 51.77% | +2.31 | 9 |
| 2004-06-06 | Columbus Crew | L 1-2 | 1500.23 | 1499.66 | 51.46% | 22.29% | 26.25% | -2.43 | 9 |
| 2004-06-13 | @ Dallas Burn | L 1-3 | 1497.80 | 1477.20 | 27.30% | 25.45% | 47.25% | -2.62 | 9 |
| 2004-06-20 | Kansas City Wizards | L 1-3 | 1495.18 | 1502.93 | 49.79% | 23.58% | 26.63% | -4.14 | 9 |
| 2004-06-27 | MetroStars | W 2-1 | 1491.04 | 1502.27 | 49.10% | 24.10% | 26.81% | +1.47 | 12 |
| 2004-07-05 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 0-1 | 1492.51 | 1493.64 | 26.22% | 22.20% | 51.57% | -1.49 | 12 |
| 2004-07-12 | @ Chicago Fire | T 1-1 | 1491.02 | 1510.36 | 25.45% | 19.28% | 55.26% | +0.33 | 13 |
| 2004-07-15 | Chicago Fire | W 3-1 | 1491.35 | 1510.03 | 47.63% | 25.18% | 27.20% | +2.61 | 16 |
| 2004-07-18 | @ Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1493.96 | 1500.07 | 26.00% | 21.41% | 52.58% | +0.29 | 17 |
| 2004-07-25 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | T 2-2 | 1494.25 | 1514.00 | 25.44% | 19.22% | 55.35% | +0.25 | 18 |
| 2004-08-07 | Columbus Crew | T 2-2 | 1494.50 | 1501.36 | 49.97% | 23.44% | 26.59% | -0.19 | 19 |
| 2004-08-12 | @ Dallas Burn | W 3-0 | 1494.31 | 1480.86 | 26.92% | 24.43% | 48.66% | +6.85 | 22 |
| 2004-08-15 | @ DC United | T 2-2 | 1501.16 | 1488.56 | 26.87% | 24.30% | 48.83% | +0.18 | 23 |
| 2004-08-22 | Kansas City Wizards | L 1-2 | 1501.34 | 1506.19 | 50.37% | 23.13% | 26.50% | -2.40 | 23 |
| 2004-08-28 | DC United | T 0-0 | 1498.94 | 1488.62 | 53.43% | 20.74% | 25.82% | -0.35 | 24 |
| 2004-09-04 | San Jose Earthquakes | L 0-1 | 1498.59 | 1522.74 | 46.56% | 25.94% | 27.51% | -2.44 | 24 |
| 2004-09-12 | @ MetroStars | L 2-3 | 1496.15 | 1500.10 | 26.10% | 21.76% | 52.14% | -1.31 | 24 |
| 2004-09-19 | Colorado Rapids | W 6-1 | 1494.84 | 1501.61 | 49.99% | 23.43% | 26.59% | +5.58 | 27 |
| 2004-09-26 | @ Chicago Fire | L 0-2 | 1500.42 | 1495.89 | 26.48% | 23.08% | 50.44% | -2.86 | 27 |
| 2004-10-03 | Dallas Burn | W 2-0 | 1497.56 | 1470.39 | 56.85% | 18.01% | 25.14% | +2.54 | 30 |
| 2004-10-10 | @ DC United | L 0-1 | 1500.10 | 1494.27 | 26.54% | 23.28% | 50.17% | -1.52 | 30 |
| 2004-10-17 | Chicago Fire | W 2-1 | 1498.58 | 1496.44 | 51.78% | 22.05% | 26.18% | +1.39 | 33 |
| 2004-04-03 | @ DC United | L 1-2 | 1513.61 | 1495.23 | 27.18% | 25.14% | 47.68% | -1.50 | 0 |
| 2004-04-10 | Chicago Fire | T 0-0 | 1512.11 | 1514.95 | 50.78% | 22.82% | 26.40% | -0.30 | 1 |
| 2004-04-18 | @ New England Revolution | W 3-1 | 1511.81 | 1504.51 | 26.61% | 23.51% | 49.88% | +4.14 | 4 |
| 2004-04-25 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 0-1 | 1515.95 | 1492.40 | 27.47% | 25.85% | 46.67% | -1.62 | 4 |
| 2004-05-01 | DC United | T 1-1 | 1514.33 | 1493.23 | 55.62% | 19.00% | 25.38% | -0.34 | 5 |
| 2004-05-09 | MetroStars | T 5-5 | 1513.99 | 1499.13 | 54.35% | 20.01% | 25.64% | -0.16 | 6 |
| 2004-05-16 | @ Dallas Burn | W 2-1 | 1513.83 | 1479.89 | 28.12% | 27.20% | 44.68% | +2.25 | 9 |
| 2004-05-23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 4-2 | 1516.08 | 1514.49 | 51.67% | 22.13% | 26.20% | +2.17 | 12 |
| 2004-05-30 | @ Columbus Crew | L 0-1 | 1518.25 | 1498.06 | 27.28% | 25.39% | 47.33% | -1.61 | 12 |
| 2004-06-13 | MetroStars | W 3-1 | 1516.64 | 1495.70 | 55.59% | 19.02% | 25.39% | +2.25 | 15 |
| 2004-06-20 | @ Chicago Fire | T 1-1 | 1518.89 | 1516.25 | 26.39% | 22.79% | 50.81% | +0.28 | 16 |
| 2004-06-27 | Kansas City Wizards | T 1-1 | 1519.17 | 1507.07 | 53.79% | 20.45% | 25.75% | -0.32 | 17 |
| 2004-07-05 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 1-2 | 1518.85 | 1507.97 | 26.79% | 24.05% | 49.17% | -1.46 | 17 |
| 2004-07-08 | Dallas Burn | L 1-2 | 1517.39 | 1475.86 | 59.74% | 15.71% | 24.55% | -2.63 | 17 |
| 2004-07-10 | @ MetroStars | L 0-2 | 1514.76 | 1494.59 | 27.28% | 25.39% | 47.33% | -3.02 | 17 |
| 2004-07-17 | Colorado Rapids | W 3-1 | 1511.74 | 1492.20 | 55.30% | 19.25% | 25.45% | +2.26 | 20 |
| 2004-07-25 | New England Revolution | T 2-2 | 1514.00 | 1494.25 | 55.35% | 19.22% | 25.44% | -0.25 | 21 |
| 2004-08-08 | DC United | W 2-0 | 1513.75 | 1488.64 | 56.43% | 18.35% | 25.22% | +2.56 | 24 |
| 2004-08-12 | @ Chicago Fire | L 1-2 | 1516.31 | 1502.69 | 26.93% | 24.45% | 48.62% | -1.47 | 24 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Kansas City Wizards | W 2-0 | 1514.84 | 1512.46 | 26.38% | 22.75% | 50.87% | +4.83 | 27 |
| 2004-08-22 | Dallas Burn | W 3-0 | 1519.67 | 1476.75 | 60.01% | 15.49% | 24.50% | +3.46 | 30 |
| 2004-08-29 | Colorado Rapids | T 0-0 | 1523.13 | 1497.41 | 56.56% | 18.25% | 25.20% | -0.39 | 31 |
| 2004-09-04 | @ New England Revolution | W 1-0 | 1522.74 | 1498.59 | 27.51% | 25.94% | 46.56% | +2.44 | 34 |
| 2004-09-09 | Columbus Crew | L 0-1 | 1525.18 | 1505.84 | 55.26% | 19.28% | 25.45% | -2.67 | 34 |
| 2004-09-12 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 1-2 | 1522.51 | 1505.42 | 27.11% | 24.95% | 47.94% | -1.50 | 34 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 0-1 | 1521.01 | 1504.98 | 27.05% | 24.80% | 48.15% | -1.58 | 34 |
| 2004-09-26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 0-0 | 1519.43 | 1503.73 | 54.53% | 19.87% | 25.60% | -0.36 | 35 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 1-1 | 1519.07 | 1494.60 | 27.53% | 25.98% | 46.49% | +0.21 | 36 |
| 2004-10-10 | Kansas City Wizards | T 0-0 | 1519.28 | 1508.26 | 53.58% | 20.63% | 25.80% | -0.35 | 37 |
| 2004-10-17 | @ Dallas Burn | T 2-2 | 1518.93 | 1465.39 | 29.63% | 29.28% | 41.08% | +0.10 | 38 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-10-23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 1-0 | 1494.16 | 1504.80 | 61.90% | 0.00% | 38.10% | +1.55 | 1-0 |
| 2004-10-31 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-2 | 1495.71 | 1503.25 | 35.67% | 0.00% | 64.33% | -2.73 | 1-1 |
| 2004-10-24 | @ New England Revolution | L 0-1 | 1514.81 | 1499.97 | 38.67% | 0.00% | 61.33% | -1.57 | 0-1 |
| 2004-10-31 | New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1513.24 | 1501.54 | 64.88% | 0.00% | 35.12% | -0.31 | 0-1 |
| 2004-10-24 | @ MetroStars | W 2-0 | 1497.15 | 1499.65 | 36.33% | 0.00% | 63.67% | +4.88 | 1-0 |
| 2004-10-31 | MetroStars | W 2-0 | 1502.03 | 1494.77 | 64.30% | 0.00% | 35.70% | +2.74 | 2-0 |
| 2004-11-06 | New England Revolution | T 3-3 | 1504.77 | 1501.85 | 63.72% | 0.00% | 36.28% | -0.18 | 2-0 |
| 2004-11-14 | @ Kansas City Wizards | W 3-2 | 1504.59 | 1514.42 | 35.36% | 0.00% | 64.64% | +2.35 | 3-0 |
| 2004-10-24 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 0-2 | 1510.09 | 1519.03 | 35.48% | 0.00% | 64.52% | -2.72 | 0-1 |
| 2004-10-31 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 3-0 | 1507.37 | 1521.75 | 61.39% | 0.00% | 38.61% | +4.30 | 1-1 |
| 2004-11-05 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 2-0 | 1511.67 | 1505.99 | 64.09% | 0.00% | 35.91% | +2.75 | 2-1 |
| 2004-11-14 | DC United | L 2-3 | 1514.42 | 1504.59 | 64.64% | 0.00% | 35.36% | -2.35 | 2-2 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 0-1 | 1504.80 | 1494.16 | 38.10% | 0.00% | 61.90% | -1.55 | 0-1 |
| 2004-10-31 | Colorado Rapids | W 2-0 | 1503.25 | 1495.71 | 64.33% | 0.00% | 35.67% | +2.74 | 1-1 |
| 2004-11-05 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 0-2 | 1505.99 | 1511.67 | 35.91% | 0.00% | 64.09% | -2.76 | 1-2 |
| 2004-10-24 | DC United | L 0-2 | 1499.65 | 1497.15 | 63.67% | 0.00% | 36.33% | -4.88 | 0-1 |
| 2004-10-31 | @ DC United | L 0-2 | 1494.77 | 1502.03 | 35.70% | 0.00% | 64.30% | -2.74 | 0-2 |
| 2004-10-24 | Columbus Crew | W 1-0 | 1499.97 | 1514.81 | 61.33% | 0.00% | 38.67% | +1.57 | 1-0 |
| 2004-10-31 | @ Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1501.54 | 1513.24 | 35.12% | 0.00% | 64.88% | +0.31 | 1-0 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ DC United | T 3-3 | 1501.85 | 1504.77 | 36.28% | 0.00% | 63.72% | +0.18 | 1-0 |
| 2004-10-24 | Kansas City Wizards | W 2-0 | 1519.03 | 1510.09 | 64.52% | 0.00% | 35.48% | +2.72 | 1-0 |
| 2004-10-31 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 0-3 | 1521.75 | 1507.37 | 38.61% | 0.00% | 61.39% | -4.30 | 1-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2004-07-08 | 24.55% | Dallas Burn | 1475.86 | 2 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | 1517.39 | 1 |
| 2 | 2004-04-18 | 24.68% | Dallas Burn | 1476.72 | 2 | @ Chicago Fire | 1515.25 | 0 |
| 3 | 2004-08-15 | 24.94% | Dallas Burn | 1474.01 | 1 | @ MetroStars | 1506.12 | 0 |
| 4 | 2004-06-06 | 25.07% | Dallas Burn | 1472.05 | 2 | @ MetroStars | 1500.84 | 0 |
| 5 | 2004-05-23 | 25.30% | Columbus Crew | 1493.65 | 3 | @ Chicago Fire | 1516.86 | 1 |
| 6 | 2004-09-09 | 25.45% | Columbus Crew | 1505.84 | 1 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | 1525.18 | 0 |
| 7 | 2004-06-06 | 25.52% | Kansas City Wizards | 1497.68 | 2 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | 1515.32 | 1 |
| 8 | 2004-06-24 | 25.52% | MetroStars | 1494.96 | 3 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | 1512.65 | 0 |
| 9 | 2004-07-29 | 25.61% | MetroStars | 1499.37 | 2 | @ Kansas City Wizards | 1514.96 | 1 |
| 10 | 2004-08-15 | 25.61% | Colorado Rapids | 1488.59 | 3 | @ Chicago Fire | 1504.17 | 0 |
| 11 | 2004-10-03 | 25.74% | DC United | 1491.63 | 1 | @ MetroStars | 1503.90 | 0 |
| 12 | 2004-05-30 | 25.81% | DC United | 1489.78 | 1 | @ New England Revolution | 1500.55 | 0 |
| 13 | 2004-06-28 | 25.81% | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1505.33 | 1 | @ Chicago Fire | 1515.98 | 0 |
| 14 | 2004-06-27 | 25.82% | Colorado Rapids | 1488.81 | 2 | @ Columbus Crew | 1499.33 | 1 |
| 15 | 2004-07-01 | 25.86% | Colorado Rapids | 1491.29 | 3 | @ MetroStars | 1500.81 | 2 |
| 16 | 2004-04-04 | 26.15% | MetroStars | 1497.82 | 3 | @ Columbus Crew | 1500.57 | 1 |
| 17 | 2004-06-03 | 26.18% | New England Revolution | 1497.92 | 3 | @ Kansas City Wizards | 1499.99 | 2 |
| 18 | 2004-06-06 | 26.25% | Columbus Crew | 1499.66 | 2 | @ New England Revolution | 1500.23 | 1 |
| 19 | 2004-08-14 | 26.38% | San Jose Earthquakes | 1514.84 | 2 | @ Kansas City Wizards | 1512.46 | 0 |
| 20 | 2004-08-22 | 26.50% | Kansas City Wizards | 1506.19 | 2 | @ New England Revolution | 1501.34 | 1 |
| 21 | 2004-04-18 | 26.61% | San Jose Earthquakes | 1511.81 | 3 | @ New England Revolution | 1504.51 | 1 |
| 22 | 2004-06-20 | 26.63% | Kansas City Wizards | 1502.93 | 3 | @ New England Revolution | 1495.18 | 1 |
| 23 | 2004-06-10 | 26.69% | Kansas City Wizards | 1500.20 | 1 | @ Colorado Rapids | 1491.33 | 0 |
| 24 | 2004-10-07 | 26.89% | Columbus Crew | 1511.84 | 1 | @ Chicago Fire | 1498.94 | 0 |
| 25 | 2004-08-12 | 26.92% | New England Revolution | 1494.31 | 3 | @ Dallas Burn | 1480.86 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game. The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2004-06-24 | 7.32 | MetroStars | 3 | 1494.96 | 25.52% | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | 0 | 1512.65 | 54.93% | 19.55% |
| 2 | 2004-08-15 | 7.29 | Colorado Rapids | 3 | 1488.59 | 25.61% | @ Chicago Fire | 0 | 1504.17 | 54.50% | 19.89% |
| 3 | 2004-08-12 | 6.85 | New England Revolution | 3 | 1494.31 | 26.92% | @ Dallas Burn | 0 | 1480.86 | 48.66% | 24.43% |
| 4 | 2004-09-19 | 5.58 | @ New England Revolution | 6 | 1494.84 | 49.99% | Colorado Rapids | 1 | 1501.61 | 26.59% | 23.43% |
| 5 | 2004-04-18 | 5.24 | Dallas Burn | 2 | 1476.72 | 24.68% | @ Chicago Fire | 0 | 1515.25 | 59.14% | 16.19% |
| 6 | 2004-06-06 | 5.15 | Dallas Burn | 2 | 1472.05 | 25.07% | @ MetroStars | 0 | 1500.84 | 57.18% | 17.75% |
| 7 | 2004-10-24 * | 4.88 | DC United | 2 | 1497.15 | 36.33% | @ MetroStars | 0 | 1499.65 | 63.67% | 0.00% |
| 8 | 2004-08-14 | 4.84 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 | 1514.84 | 26.38% | @ Kansas City Wizards | 0 | 1512.46 | 50.87% | 22.75% |
| 9 | 2004-07-25 | 4.74 | @ Dallas Burn | 5 | 1475.87 | 47.86% | DC United | 1 | 1493.38 | 27.13% | 25.01% |
| 10 | 2004-09-26 | 4.61 | MetroStars | 2 | 1499.29 | 27.52% | @ Dallas Burn | 0 | 1474.99 | 46.53% | 25.96% |
| 11 | 2004-05-23 | 4.41 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 1493.65 | 25.30% | @ Chicago Fire | 1 | 1516.86 | 56.05% | 18.65% |
| 12 | 2004-10-31 * | 4.30 | @ Kansas City Wizards | 3 | 1507.37 | 61.39% | San Jose Earthquakes | 0 | 1521.75 | 38.61% | 0.00% |
| 13 | 2004-08-08 | 4.25 | @ MetroStars | 3 | 1501.87 | 49.16% | Los Angeles Galaxy | 0 | 1512.79 | 26.79% | 24.05% |
| 14 | 2004-04-04 | 4.23 | MetroStars | 3 | 1497.82 | 26.15% | @ Columbus Crew | 1 | 1500.57 | 51.90% | 21.95% |
| 15 | 2004-04-18 | 4.14 | San Jose Earthquakes | 3 | 1511.81 | 26.61% | @ New England Revolution | 1 | 1504.51 | 49.88% | 23.51% |
| 16 | 2004-06-20 | 4.14 | Kansas City Wizards | 3 | 1502.93 | 26.63% | @ New England Revolution | 1 | 1495.18 | 49.79% | 23.58% |
| 17 | 2004-07-04 | 4.01 | @ Kansas City Wizards | 5 | 1507.38 | 56.92% | Dallas Burn | 1 | 1479.87 | 25.12% | 17.96% |
| 18 | 2004-05-08 | 4.00 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 3 | 1507.20 | 27.46% | @ Dallas Burn | 1 | 1483.88 | 46.72% | 25.82% |
| 19 | 2004-05-02 | 3.94 | @ Chicago Fire | 3 | 1512.51 | 53.26% | MetroStars | 0 | 1503.07 | 25.86% | 20.88% |
| 20 | 2004-09-11 | 3.93 | @ DC United | 3 | 1486.59 | 53.54% | Dallas Burn | 0 | 1475.73 | 25.80% | 20.65% |
| 21 | 2004-07-03 | 3.88 | @ DC United | 6 | 1491.13 | 49.88% | MetroStars | 2 | 1498.46 | 26.61% | 23.51% |
| 22 | 2004-06-05 | 3.77 | @ Chicago Fire | 3 | 1513.84 | 55.69% | DC United | 0 | 1492.41 | 25.37% | 18.94% |
| 23 | 2004-08-29 | 3.75 | @ Dallas Burn | 4 | 1473.28 | 46.60% | Chicago Fire | 1 | 1497.20 | 27.49% | 25.90% |
| 24 | 2004-05-20 | 3.63 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 4 | 1510.86 | 27.05% | @ DC United | 2 | 1494.81 | 48.14% | 24.80% |
| 25 | 2004-08-22 | 3.47 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | 3 | 1519.67 | 60.01% | Dallas Burn | 0 | 1476.75 | 24.50% | 15.49% |